1 00:00:08,840 --> 00:00:15,680 Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites the podcast from the Action Network. 2 00:00:16,760 --> 00:00:19,880 Speaker 1: I am Chad Milman, Chief Content Officer the Action Network. 3 00:00:21,880 --> 00:00:23,880 Speaker 1: I'm going to bring him right in, folks. I got 4 00:00:23,880 --> 00:00:25,160 Speaker 1: a lot to say it, but I'm going to bring 5 00:00:25,239 --> 00:00:30,520 Speaker 1: him in right now. Joining me on the podcast Bob 6 00:00:30,640 --> 00:00:35,400 Speaker 1: Scucci from New Orleans, representing all the board gaming books 7 00:00:35,400 --> 00:00:55,279 Speaker 1: in the state of Nevada. Hello, Bob, Chad, what's going 8 00:00:55,320 --> 00:01:01,400 Speaker 1: on listen? There's a lot going on. M First of all, 9 00:01:01,440 --> 00:01:03,880 Speaker 1: I want to remind everybody download the Action Network app. 10 00:01:04,680 --> 00:01:07,360 Speaker 1: That's where I'm getting all the information I'm using. You 11 00:01:07,440 --> 00:01:11,000 Speaker 1: get the best scores, you get the best data as 12 00:01:11,040 --> 00:01:14,600 Speaker 1: it relates to sports betting. You get updated real time 13 00:01:14,640 --> 00:01:19,959 Speaker 1: odds from your favorite sports books. It is fantastic. Also, 14 00:01:20,720 --> 00:01:23,080 Speaker 1: one to remind everybody, Darren and Simon Hunter aren't going 15 00:01:23,080 --> 00:01:24,800 Speaker 1: to be on the show this week. Obviously we're done 16 00:01:24,800 --> 00:01:27,120 Speaker 1: with the Super Contest finishing a game and a half 17 00:01:27,160 --> 00:01:32,399 Speaker 1: out very upsetting, but uh, Darren is doing another Fade 18 00:01:32,640 --> 00:01:37,679 Speaker 1: Revel promotion with Points Bet. Uh. Last week, Darren got 19 00:01:37,760 --> 00:01:39,920 Speaker 1: very lucky the promotion was going to be. He had 20 00:01:39,959 --> 00:01:42,480 Speaker 1: to shave the Eagles logo into his head. If Carson 21 00:01:42,520 --> 00:01:45,760 Speaker 1: wentz through for more than two and seventy yards. Clearly 22 00:01:45,840 --> 00:01:49,760 Speaker 1: that didn't happen. This week, he is going to bet 23 00:01:49,880 --> 00:01:56,680 Speaker 1: on Lamar Jackson under one half rushing touchdowns, under point 24 00:01:56,720 --> 00:02:01,800 Speaker 1: five rushing touchdowns. The UH punishment we have set up 25 00:02:01,920 --> 00:02:08,239 Speaker 1: is so dangerous, interesting and involving a famous person. You 26 00:02:08,320 --> 00:02:11,000 Speaker 1: are not gonna want to miss it. You're gonna want 27 00:02:11,000 --> 00:02:13,680 Speaker 1: to bet against Darren in the sole hope that this 28 00:02:13,800 --> 00:02:17,560 Speaker 1: actually happens. I can't even reveal it yet, um, but 29 00:02:18,000 --> 00:02:22,040 Speaker 1: check out points bet Darren's bet under one half Russian 30 00:02:22,080 --> 00:02:25,760 Speaker 1: touchdowns for Lamar Jackson. It's going to be fantastic. I'm 31 00:02:25,880 --> 00:02:28,640 Speaker 1: desperately hoping he gets more than half a Russian touchdown, 32 00:02:28,639 --> 00:02:31,680 Speaker 1: which really means scoring one Russian touchdown. Bob Scucci, what 33 00:02:31,720 --> 00:02:33,680 Speaker 1: do you think you think Lamar Jackson will score rushing 34 00:02:33,680 --> 00:02:39,320 Speaker 1: touchdown this weekend? I do, yeah, I'll come. Uh well, 35 00:02:39,520 --> 00:02:41,359 Speaker 1: I don't think. I mean take the last week's game 36 00:02:41,360 --> 00:02:43,960 Speaker 1: out of the mix with the Titans defense. I mean 37 00:02:44,000 --> 00:02:46,600 Speaker 1: the games they're winning, they're letting up some points. So 38 00:02:46,639 --> 00:02:49,840 Speaker 1: if they're letting up points against UH teams that aren't 39 00:02:49,880 --> 00:02:53,720 Speaker 1: as good as the Ravens, I think there's gonna be 40 00:02:53,760 --> 00:02:55,959 Speaker 1: a high scoring affair. And in a high scoring affair, 41 00:02:56,000 --> 00:02:58,000 Speaker 1: I think the chances are pretty good that one of 42 00:02:58,000 --> 00:03:01,600 Speaker 1: the rushing touchdowns is gonna come from Jack. Well. Listen, 43 00:03:01,600 --> 00:03:03,320 Speaker 1: the Titans are the most interesting team to me, and 44 00:03:03,360 --> 00:03:06,240 Speaker 1: we have spent a lot of time talking about them, 45 00:03:06,280 --> 00:03:07,960 Speaker 1: and I do before we get into the games, and 46 00:03:07,960 --> 00:03:11,400 Speaker 1: we'll talk about we'll talk about Minnesota, San Francisco, and 47 00:03:11,400 --> 00:03:14,440 Speaker 1: Tennessee Baltimore. Those are the Saturday games. We'll start with those. 48 00:03:14,680 --> 00:03:19,520 Speaker 1: But this Titans team. Look, we both were all over 49 00:03:19,560 --> 00:03:22,640 Speaker 1: the Titans heading into the game. We like the Titans 50 00:03:22,680 --> 00:03:24,720 Speaker 1: at plus five, plus five and a half, We have 51 00:03:24,760 --> 00:03:27,040 Speaker 1: a license at plus four and a half. The wise 52 00:03:27,040 --> 00:03:30,560 Speaker 1: guys have been all over the Titans. Where did you 53 00:03:30,639 --> 00:03:33,080 Speaker 1: end up on Sunday? Like, how did you end up 54 00:03:33,080 --> 00:03:35,040 Speaker 1: in terms of where money was on Tennessee and where 55 00:03:35,080 --> 00:03:38,800 Speaker 1: money was on New England. Oh, we definitely needed the Titans. 56 00:03:38,840 --> 00:03:40,520 Speaker 1: And and it's kind of like what I said on 57 00:03:40,680 --> 00:03:43,320 Speaker 1: the shows that we had done, is that regardless of 58 00:03:43,320 --> 00:03:45,760 Speaker 1: how much the wise guys love the Titans, the public 59 00:03:46,000 --> 00:03:49,440 Speaker 1: was still on the Patriots. So you know, we opened high, 60 00:03:49,520 --> 00:03:51,680 Speaker 1: We opened six on the game based on kind of 61 00:03:51,720 --> 00:03:53,960 Speaker 1: that public sentiment, and then we got bet down to 62 00:03:54,000 --> 00:03:55,840 Speaker 1: four and a half from the wise guys earlier in 63 00:03:55,840 --> 00:03:58,040 Speaker 1: the week, and then that line got driven up to 64 00:03:58,080 --> 00:04:00,840 Speaker 1: five five and a half from the public again, and 65 00:04:00,880 --> 00:04:03,280 Speaker 1: going into the game, we were huge Titans fans, and 66 00:04:03,280 --> 00:04:05,040 Speaker 1: the fact that they won the game straight up was 67 00:04:05,080 --> 00:04:08,520 Speaker 1: even bigger for us. Now, I will say that in 68 00:04:08,560 --> 00:04:11,440 Speaker 1: the last few years, when we've done really well on 69 00:04:11,520 --> 00:04:15,640 Speaker 1: wild card weekend, we've done equally as poor on divisional 70 00:04:15,720 --> 00:04:18,359 Speaker 1: round weekend. And and part of the reason is is 71 00:04:18,400 --> 00:04:20,960 Speaker 1: that when we do get a lot of these upsets 72 00:04:21,000 --> 00:04:25,119 Speaker 1: in the wild card weekend, then the disparity between those 73 00:04:25,160 --> 00:04:27,880 Speaker 1: teams that have a bye in the divisional round are 74 00:04:27,920 --> 00:04:31,599 Speaker 1: playing an even worst team so to speak. In other words, 75 00:04:31,720 --> 00:04:34,800 Speaker 1: the point spreads are bigger and bigger, and the last 76 00:04:34,839 --> 00:04:36,960 Speaker 1: couple of years, the home teams have been like seven 77 00:04:36,960 --> 00:04:41,240 Speaker 1: and one uh and covering those spreads. So it's good 78 00:04:41,240 --> 00:04:43,839 Speaker 1: that we get the upsets and wild card week But 79 00:04:43,880 --> 00:04:46,440 Speaker 1: then what happens the following week is you've got these 80 00:04:46,600 --> 00:04:50,320 Speaker 1: big disparities between these the teams that have the buy 81 00:04:50,360 --> 00:04:52,440 Speaker 1: and the teams that weren't really supposed to be there. 82 00:04:52,720 --> 00:04:58,320 Speaker 1: So you have these huge point spreads. That is the 83 00:04:58,320 --> 00:05:00,680 Speaker 1: most fascinating thing about the weekend before even get into 84 00:05:00,680 --> 00:05:03,440 Speaker 1: the games. Yeah, I'm not trying to I'm not trying 85 00:05:03,480 --> 00:05:06,159 Speaker 1: to keep people listening for longer. That would be entirely 86 00:05:06,200 --> 00:05:11,479 Speaker 1: inappropriate of a podcasts. But these numbers all open so big, 87 00:05:12,240 --> 00:05:15,560 Speaker 1: Like especially the Chiefs game and especially the Ravens game. 88 00:05:16,080 --> 00:05:19,960 Speaker 1: It gave me such a made me have to really 89 00:05:20,600 --> 00:05:22,880 Speaker 1: think hard about which way I'm going to go. And 90 00:05:22,920 --> 00:05:25,239 Speaker 1: I feel like I'm being forced into making a decision 91 00:05:25,640 --> 00:05:27,320 Speaker 1: just based on how the market is moving, because I 92 00:05:27,320 --> 00:05:30,240 Speaker 1: didn't love the numbers in either direction. And so when 93 00:05:30,240 --> 00:05:33,320 Speaker 1: you're setting these numbers, you've got a huge Titan to 94 00:05:33,320 --> 00:05:35,800 Speaker 1: win against the Patriots, You've got the Chiefs are a 95 00:05:35,880 --> 00:05:38,320 Speaker 1: massive public team, You've got a Texans scene that needed 96 00:05:38,400 --> 00:05:42,960 Speaker 1: over time to win their game. I imagine like things 97 00:05:43,000 --> 00:05:48,560 Speaker 1: are just in your head jumbled like a very difficult puzzle. Well, 98 00:05:48,680 --> 00:05:51,240 Speaker 1: we weren't expecting, so we were we were kind of 99 00:05:51,480 --> 00:05:54,280 Speaker 1: setting lines on what iss you know, prior to last 100 00:05:54,279 --> 00:05:57,080 Speaker 1: weekend's game, and we weren't expecting these matchups. So we're 101 00:05:57,120 --> 00:05:59,920 Speaker 1: just trying to decide. Okay, let's look at this Kansas City, 102 00:06:00,040 --> 00:06:02,640 Speaker 1: New England, mine, and what's that my mind's going to be. 103 00:06:02,720 --> 00:06:05,360 Speaker 1: And initially maybe four and a half, but then as 104 00:06:05,400 --> 00:06:07,520 Speaker 1: the Patriots weren't looking so good, we're saying, you know what, 105 00:06:07,640 --> 00:06:09,680 Speaker 1: we've got to open Kansas City maybe as high as 106 00:06:09,720 --> 00:06:12,080 Speaker 1: six against the Patriots, and then all of a sudden, 107 00:06:12,120 --> 00:06:14,560 Speaker 1: we're like, wait a minute, Patriots might not win. Now 108 00:06:14,800 --> 00:06:17,039 Speaker 1: Kansas City is gonna play Houston. The Titans are gonna 109 00:06:17,120 --> 00:06:19,040 Speaker 1: so we're so, yeah, we're we're we're trying to get 110 00:06:19,040 --> 00:06:23,160 Speaker 1: all these uh these matchups in and uh and they're not. 111 00:06:23,360 --> 00:06:26,120 Speaker 1: You know, I'm looking at possibly the forty niners in 112 00:06:26,120 --> 00:06:28,520 Speaker 1: the Seahawks thinking that, you know, the Saints are gonna 113 00:06:28,520 --> 00:06:30,440 Speaker 1: win obviously, and then the Saints are gonna go to 114 00:06:30,520 --> 00:06:33,120 Speaker 1: Lambeau and you know what, do we make the Saints? 115 00:06:33,120 --> 00:06:36,520 Speaker 1: So everything got messed up. And I'll be and I'll 116 00:06:36,520 --> 00:06:38,560 Speaker 1: be honest with you. I think looking back on this, 117 00:06:39,080 --> 00:06:43,320 Speaker 1: uh opening up the Ravens, the ten point favorite against 118 00:06:43,360 --> 00:06:46,920 Speaker 1: the Titans was probably maybe maybe a little higher than 119 00:06:46,960 --> 00:06:50,520 Speaker 1: what we should have, but we didn't take that much yet, 120 00:06:51,120 --> 00:06:53,040 Speaker 1: so so I'm not too upset. And I know that 121 00:06:53,120 --> 00:06:54,880 Speaker 1: some of the public money will come back on the 122 00:06:54,960 --> 00:06:58,120 Speaker 1: Ravens but uh, but yeah, that's what happens. You know, 123 00:06:59,680 --> 00:07:01,960 Speaker 1: like you said, all these matchups are mixed up and 124 00:07:02,040 --> 00:07:03,680 Speaker 1: jumbled in your head and you're trying to get all 125 00:07:03,720 --> 00:07:08,720 Speaker 1: your point spreads exactly right. How much did the Patriots 126 00:07:08,760 --> 00:07:13,119 Speaker 1: losing help you in terms of the futures perspective, help 127 00:07:13,160 --> 00:07:16,239 Speaker 1: you in terms of balancing the books this past weekend? 128 00:07:16,280 --> 00:07:19,120 Speaker 1: What does that do for you? So we actually, you know, 129 00:07:19,160 --> 00:07:22,320 Speaker 1: the Patriots were one of the favorites to win obviously 130 00:07:22,640 --> 00:07:26,880 Speaker 1: at the beginning of the year. Um, so we actually 131 00:07:26,880 --> 00:07:29,640 Speaker 1: did really well with Patriots winning the Super Bowl. So 132 00:07:30,000 --> 00:07:34,160 Speaker 1: with them out and now the Titans possibly in it, 133 00:07:34,800 --> 00:07:37,200 Speaker 1: we don't do well with some of these long shots. 134 00:07:37,200 --> 00:07:39,720 Speaker 1: So the Titans or the Texans win it, we don't 135 00:07:39,720 --> 00:07:42,320 Speaker 1: do real well. Uh, we don't do real well with 136 00:07:42,360 --> 00:07:45,360 Speaker 1: the forty Niners or Ravens because the forty Niners really 137 00:07:45,400 --> 00:07:47,520 Speaker 1: kind of came on out of nowhere at the beginning 138 00:07:47,520 --> 00:07:52,000 Speaker 1: of the year. So the teams that we do the 139 00:07:52,120 --> 00:07:58,280 Speaker 1: best one are probably the Packers, um uh, probably the 140 00:07:58,400 --> 00:08:00,960 Speaker 1: Ravens and the Chiefs, I mean the the Chiefs. Probably 141 00:08:01,000 --> 00:08:03,000 Speaker 1: the Chiefs and the Packers are probably the two teams 142 00:08:03,000 --> 00:08:05,760 Speaker 1: we do the best on you know what I need 143 00:08:05,800 --> 00:08:09,000 Speaker 1: to happen. Because we've discussed this. I'm in a very 144 00:08:09,040 --> 00:08:14,720 Speaker 1: high stakes pool three other people. We each choose eight teams, 145 00:08:14,880 --> 00:08:17,800 Speaker 1: or four of us choose eight teams snake draft before 146 00:08:17,840 --> 00:08:23,480 Speaker 1: the season starts. Whosever team wins the Super Bowl wins 147 00:08:23,520 --> 00:08:28,680 Speaker 1: the entire pot. I went into the playoffs having the Chiefs, 148 00:08:29,000 --> 00:08:32,120 Speaker 1: the Niners, the Texans, the Titans, and the Bills. So 149 00:08:32,160 --> 00:08:36,920 Speaker 1: now we are into the divisional round and I have, uh, 150 00:08:37,080 --> 00:08:41,040 Speaker 1: four of the eight teams remaining in the divisional round? 151 00:08:42,320 --> 00:08:48,640 Speaker 1: Can believe strong? That is unreal? That really is including 152 00:08:48,640 --> 00:08:50,160 Speaker 1: the one seed in the two seed, and I would 153 00:08:50,160 --> 00:08:53,040 Speaker 1: say as a two seed, they are a live two seed. 154 00:08:53,080 --> 00:08:55,640 Speaker 1: The Kansas City Chiefs. I love this team right now. 155 00:08:55,760 --> 00:08:58,640 Speaker 1: They are playing so well. If they lose this weekend 156 00:08:58,640 --> 00:09:01,200 Speaker 1: of the Texans, I am going to be crushed because 157 00:09:01,280 --> 00:09:05,000 Speaker 1: I am such a huge Chiefs fan right now. I 158 00:09:05,040 --> 00:09:07,319 Speaker 1: think that's the one game on the board that kind 159 00:09:07,360 --> 00:09:10,959 Speaker 1: of most people aren't giving the Texans much of a 160 00:09:11,040 --> 00:09:13,360 Speaker 1: chance in this one. Nine and a half is kind 161 00:09:13,360 --> 00:09:16,040 Speaker 1: of uh what the line is right now? And all 162 00:09:16,080 --> 00:09:18,240 Speaker 1: the all the money and all the tickets are on 163 00:09:18,320 --> 00:09:22,040 Speaker 1: the Chiefs. Um So you talked a little bit about 164 00:09:22,080 --> 00:09:24,560 Speaker 1: the big point spreads. I think the difference in the 165 00:09:24,600 --> 00:09:29,400 Speaker 1: Titans Ravens line is that a lot of people feel 166 00:09:29,400 --> 00:09:31,880 Speaker 1: like the Titans are a live dog in that one, 167 00:09:31,920 --> 00:09:34,680 Speaker 1: whereas in the Chiefs Texans, I think a lot of 168 00:09:34,679 --> 00:09:38,720 Speaker 1: people feel like the Texans were very inconsistent, winning some 169 00:09:38,800 --> 00:09:42,320 Speaker 1: big games, but then losing games they should have won easily. Uh. 170 00:09:42,360 --> 00:09:44,880 Speaker 1: And then uh, you know, tough, tough game against the 171 00:09:44,920 --> 00:09:46,560 Speaker 1: Bills that could have went either way. That was a 172 00:09:46,600 --> 00:09:50,720 Speaker 1: point flip. So there's nothing particularly dominating, uh that you 173 00:09:50,800 --> 00:09:52,960 Speaker 1: look at that game and say, Okay, you know, they 174 00:09:53,000 --> 00:09:56,800 Speaker 1: really are a lot better than we thought. Um, you 175 00:09:56,840 --> 00:09:59,559 Speaker 1: don't get that. So I think everyone feels like the 176 00:09:59,640 --> 00:10:02,680 Speaker 1: Chiefs is really the play here, all right, So let's 177 00:10:02,679 --> 00:10:05,040 Speaker 1: get let's get to it. Let's talk about the most 178 00:10:05,080 --> 00:10:12,000 Speaker 1: controversial team, the most controversial ending the Minnesota Vikings. And um, 179 00:10:12,040 --> 00:10:16,720 Speaker 1: there are seven point underdogs right now against said San 180 00:10:16,760 --> 00:10:21,280 Speaker 1: Francisco forty Niners. How you set that number? How did 181 00:10:21,640 --> 00:10:25,280 Speaker 1: the weekend's results impact You're thinking on what this number 182 00:10:25,280 --> 00:10:29,720 Speaker 1: would have did a little bit in terms of kind 183 00:10:29,720 --> 00:10:34,120 Speaker 1: of the Vikings, Uh, playing a lot better than um 184 00:10:34,280 --> 00:10:36,920 Speaker 1: than we anticipate that we're looking back on the game, 185 00:10:38,120 --> 00:10:40,800 Speaker 1: I guess you can say that the Saints lost that 186 00:10:40,840 --> 00:10:44,080 Speaker 1: game as much as the Vikings won that game. You know, 187 00:10:44,200 --> 00:10:46,360 Speaker 1: we're looking at the Saints the last three years and 188 00:10:46,400 --> 00:10:48,720 Speaker 1: how going into it they seem like one of the 189 00:10:48,760 --> 00:10:51,360 Speaker 1: best teams and then somehow they just find ways to 190 00:10:51,400 --> 00:10:54,640 Speaker 1: lose games flukes, you know, the last two years. This 191 00:10:54,679 --> 00:10:56,560 Speaker 1: one wasn't as much of a fluke, but just a 192 00:10:56,559 --> 00:10:59,559 Speaker 1: lot of poor decision making I think on the Saint side, 193 00:10:59,600 --> 00:11:02,200 Speaker 1: you know, on this field goal, and and some some 194 00:11:02,320 --> 00:11:04,960 Speaker 1: bad the fumbled by Drew Brees as they're getting ready 195 00:11:05,000 --> 00:11:08,800 Speaker 1: to go in for a touchdown. So I don't think 196 00:11:08,840 --> 00:11:11,360 Speaker 1: it was a case where we just suddenly thought that 197 00:11:11,400 --> 00:11:13,560 Speaker 1: the Vikings were so much better than we thought they 198 00:11:13,600 --> 00:11:17,680 Speaker 1: were going into the game. So um, but we were looking, 199 00:11:17,800 --> 00:11:21,080 Speaker 1: like I said, at San Francisco playing Seattle, and we're 200 00:11:21,160 --> 00:11:23,600 Speaker 1: kind of thinking of what that line should be like 201 00:11:23,679 --> 00:11:25,719 Speaker 1: somewhere in the neighbor the neighborhood of four and a 202 00:11:25,760 --> 00:11:30,319 Speaker 1: half to five and a half Minnesota. Um, I feel 203 00:11:30,400 --> 00:11:33,280 Speaker 1: we feel like they're not as good as that Seattle matchup. 204 00:11:33,400 --> 00:11:35,640 Speaker 1: So made it a little bit higher and started with 205 00:11:35,679 --> 00:11:38,440 Speaker 1: the touchdown figure let's start with a key number of 206 00:11:38,520 --> 00:11:41,360 Speaker 1: seven and let the money take us off of that 207 00:11:41,480 --> 00:11:44,240 Speaker 1: key number rather than starting at six and a half 208 00:11:44,640 --> 00:11:47,200 Speaker 1: and letting us, you know, drive onto the key number. 209 00:11:47,800 --> 00:11:51,960 Speaker 1: That's what makes these games so interesting. Right when we 210 00:11:52,000 --> 00:11:55,920 Speaker 1: learned to the weekend, you and I both love Minnesota. 211 00:11:56,920 --> 00:11:59,520 Speaker 1: I believe you had Minnesota in Scooch Roulette. I had 212 00:11:59,559 --> 00:12:03,640 Speaker 1: the text in um. We both thought Philly was a 213 00:12:03,640 --> 00:12:06,480 Speaker 1: live dog, which they made have been if if Carson 214 00:12:06,520 --> 00:12:12,920 Speaker 1: wentz uh survives the game. We both love Tennessee and 215 00:12:12,960 --> 00:12:17,439 Speaker 1: it's betting is all about understanding the window. There's nothing 216 00:12:17,480 --> 00:12:20,240 Speaker 1: about Minnesota going into this game that I feel as 217 00:12:20,320 --> 00:12:24,480 Speaker 1: good about Minnesota as a equally high underdog as I 218 00:12:24,520 --> 00:12:29,040 Speaker 1: did in the last game. Yeah. I mean it's a 219 00:12:29,040 --> 00:12:32,040 Speaker 1: lot of points for you know, a divisional round game. 220 00:12:32,640 --> 00:12:35,599 Speaker 1: And even though the Minnesota only has you know, you 221 00:12:35,640 --> 00:12:37,440 Speaker 1: think about it, they only have five days rest. They 222 00:12:37,480 --> 00:12:40,120 Speaker 1: were going to think the only team playing Sunday that's 223 00:12:40,160 --> 00:12:43,440 Speaker 1: now playing on Saturday. So there's just one extra less 224 00:12:43,559 --> 00:12:46,839 Speaker 1: day's rest than the other three teams. Uh. So you 225 00:12:46,920 --> 00:12:51,720 Speaker 1: got you're going up against a fresh forty niner team. Uh. 226 00:12:51,800 --> 00:12:54,280 Speaker 1: I like where the lion is if you had to 227 00:12:54,600 --> 00:12:56,960 Speaker 1: sway me. If I had was forced to play the game, 228 00:12:56,960 --> 00:12:59,120 Speaker 1: I'd probably just take the points because that's what you 229 00:12:59,200 --> 00:13:01,840 Speaker 1: do and take at many points in a divisional round game. 230 00:13:01,880 --> 00:13:04,760 Speaker 1: But I wouldn't feel great about it. What about the totals? 231 00:13:06,160 --> 00:13:08,080 Speaker 1: So the total in this one, the sharp guys have 232 00:13:08,120 --> 00:13:11,840 Speaker 1: already met the under on this one UM, and uh, 233 00:13:11,920 --> 00:13:14,319 Speaker 1: you know, I think they're looking for these defenses to 234 00:13:14,400 --> 00:13:17,720 Speaker 1: kind of step up. Minnesota has already did. But we 235 00:13:17,840 --> 00:13:21,400 Speaker 1: opened the game at forty five and a half. Actually 236 00:13:21,480 --> 00:13:24,319 Speaker 1: we opened this one at forty six, and we're down 237 00:13:24,320 --> 00:13:28,240 Speaker 1: to forty five. Now all sharp money. Uh, the public 238 00:13:28,240 --> 00:13:30,400 Speaker 1: money really hasn't come in on the total yet, but 239 00:13:30,480 --> 00:13:33,720 Speaker 1: this is just all sharp money on the under. Both games, 240 00:13:34,160 --> 00:13:36,880 Speaker 1: the Titans Ravens game, they also bet the under that one. 241 00:13:37,440 --> 00:13:39,440 Speaker 1: We opened forty eight and a half and we're down 242 00:13:39,480 --> 00:13:42,160 Speaker 1: to forty seven on this one UM, and we can 243 00:13:42,280 --> 00:13:44,600 Speaker 1: easily go to forty six and a half. But I'm 244 00:13:44,640 --> 00:13:47,080 Speaker 1: just worried that all the over money is gonna usually 245 00:13:47,080 --> 00:13:49,400 Speaker 1: comes in closer to game time when you get most 246 00:13:49,400 --> 00:13:52,200 Speaker 1: of the public wait until the last minute to bet, 247 00:13:52,320 --> 00:13:55,400 Speaker 1: and they usually bet the overs. Which way do you favor? Right? 248 00:13:55,440 --> 00:14:00,400 Speaker 1: Now I'd like the unders in both of them. Actually, uh, 249 00:14:00,559 --> 00:14:03,280 Speaker 1: if we're looking at value, and again, these because there 250 00:14:03,360 --> 00:14:07,000 Speaker 1: were such highly concentrated games, we try to think of 251 00:14:07,040 --> 00:14:09,840 Speaker 1: where the betting public is going to be playing, and 252 00:14:09,920 --> 00:14:13,280 Speaker 1: usually they bet the overs. So we're very high on 253 00:14:13,400 --> 00:14:15,600 Speaker 1: the totals going into these games, and we know that, 254 00:14:16,559 --> 00:14:19,200 Speaker 1: and so we try not to let the wise guys 255 00:14:19,280 --> 00:14:21,760 Speaker 1: move us off too much from that high total because 256 00:14:21,800 --> 00:14:24,640 Speaker 1: we know it's going to creep back up by game time. 257 00:14:24,960 --> 00:14:27,400 Speaker 1: So the value initially is going to be on the under. 258 00:14:29,400 --> 00:14:31,520 Speaker 1: Because I'm also in a pool this weekend where like, 259 00:14:32,280 --> 00:14:35,080 Speaker 1: you pay a little bit and you do confidence ratings 260 00:14:35,080 --> 00:14:37,720 Speaker 1: against every game. Scooch, all of a sudden, I'm like 261 00:14:37,720 --> 00:14:42,720 Speaker 1: a degenerate gambler. You are. You're in pools, You're in contest, 262 00:14:42,840 --> 00:14:45,800 Speaker 1: your head to head matchups. You've got a lot going on. Man, 263 00:14:45,920 --> 00:14:49,440 Speaker 1: what happened to me? I used to be like, I'm 264 00:14:49,480 --> 00:14:52,800 Speaker 1: interested in it for the psychology and the math and 265 00:14:53,320 --> 00:14:56,280 Speaker 1: the language. I think it's a really visceral language. And 266 00:14:56,320 --> 00:15:01,880 Speaker 1: now I am like, Stace, we need the Chiefs and Niners. 267 00:15:01,920 --> 00:15:04,800 Speaker 1: We are paying for spring break. If we get the 268 00:15:04,880 --> 00:15:08,520 Speaker 1: Chiefs and the Niners, just let's roll. And even even 269 00:15:08,600 --> 00:15:11,480 Speaker 1: last night, she's like, wait, wait, who do we need again? 270 00:15:11,680 --> 00:15:13,400 Speaker 1: What do we need? And what are you paying if 271 00:15:13,440 --> 00:15:15,280 Speaker 1: you lose? And now all of a sudden she's asking 272 00:15:15,280 --> 00:15:23,200 Speaker 1: me questions. It's like different conversations. Yeah, baby needs to 273 00:15:23,240 --> 00:15:29,960 Speaker 1: pay for flights to Puerto Rico. Yeah, exactly what happened 274 00:15:29,960 --> 00:15:34,560 Speaker 1: to me? I believe? Well, yeah, you hang around all 275 00:15:34,600 --> 00:15:36,320 Speaker 1: of us out here in Vegas, that are you know, 276 00:15:36,560 --> 00:15:38,440 Speaker 1: that's just a way of life for us. You know, 277 00:15:39,160 --> 00:15:41,400 Speaker 1: when I'm watching a game, anyone that comes in the room, 278 00:15:41,440 --> 00:15:43,680 Speaker 1: they're like, the first question is who do you need? Yeah, 279 00:15:43,840 --> 00:15:46,560 Speaker 1: it's not and they're shocked when I'm like, no, just 280 00:15:46,600 --> 00:15:49,840 Speaker 1: watching the game. They're what I'll tell you, I am 281 00:15:49,880 --> 00:15:52,520 Speaker 1: a little worried about my kids. Like now, every single 282 00:15:52,560 --> 00:15:56,000 Speaker 1: time I sit down and watch a football game, my 283 00:15:56,120 --> 00:16:02,040 Speaker 1: younger son, who'd you better, I'm like Jesus. But then 284 00:16:02,080 --> 00:16:05,520 Speaker 1: I got to explain, and now I'm worried. Like last night, 285 00:16:05,920 --> 00:16:08,400 Speaker 1: he and I were watching the Mavericks Bulls game together. 286 00:16:08,920 --> 00:16:11,920 Speaker 1: You know, he's a huge Bulls fan, you know, and 287 00:16:12,120 --> 00:16:14,800 Speaker 1: uh loves the NBA. He's like, we got money on 288 00:16:14,840 --> 00:16:22,800 Speaker 1: this game. Oh that's funny. Like me, as a kid 289 00:16:22,880 --> 00:16:25,240 Speaker 1: with my dad. That's what That's what we did. Oh man, 290 00:16:25,440 --> 00:16:28,160 Speaker 1: I'm just enjoying the game with you. Let's cuddle. Let's 291 00:16:28,200 --> 00:16:33,240 Speaker 1: just cuddle, man, Um, all right, Tennessee is at Baltimore. Baltimore. 292 00:16:33,360 --> 00:16:37,360 Speaker 1: You open this game big, really big. Let's talk about 293 00:16:37,400 --> 00:16:39,280 Speaker 1: the total first, because I think what you just mentioned 294 00:16:39,280 --> 00:16:42,280 Speaker 1: about wanting to open these a little high and not 295 00:16:42,400 --> 00:16:46,680 Speaker 1: get off that number too quickly. This is the second 296 00:16:46,760 --> 00:16:49,920 Speaker 1: highest total of the weekend. It's forty and a half. Uh. 297 00:16:50,040 --> 00:16:53,560 Speaker 1: Forty nine is the Kansas City game. Forty and a 298 00:16:53,560 --> 00:16:55,240 Speaker 1: half is a lot for two teams that are known 299 00:16:55,280 --> 00:16:56,800 Speaker 1: for rushing the ball. So how do you end up 300 00:16:56,800 --> 00:17:01,400 Speaker 1: with this number? Um? Well, like that that Tennessee defense 301 00:17:01,480 --> 00:17:03,960 Speaker 1: just isn't known as being as stout as I mean, 302 00:17:04,080 --> 00:17:05,920 Speaker 1: they're winning a lot of these games, and they're covering 303 00:17:05,920 --> 00:17:08,520 Speaker 1: a lot of spreads, but we're kind of looking at 304 00:17:08,560 --> 00:17:11,440 Speaker 1: the points given up. The yards is given up. Uh. 305 00:17:11,560 --> 00:17:13,800 Speaker 1: They do both like to run the run the ball, 306 00:17:13,840 --> 00:17:16,760 Speaker 1: and that's kind of why I favor the under. When 307 00:17:16,760 --> 00:17:19,200 Speaker 1: you asked me if I had to bet which way 308 00:17:19,440 --> 00:17:23,040 Speaker 1: I'd go. I mean, Derrick Henry has just been a monster, 309 00:17:23,080 --> 00:17:26,200 Speaker 1: who's been a beast average in five six yards of 310 00:17:26,320 --> 00:17:29,919 Speaker 1: carry and if there is kind of a chink in 311 00:17:29,960 --> 00:17:32,480 Speaker 1: the armor in the Baltimore defense. I know there's ranked 312 00:17:32,520 --> 00:17:34,679 Speaker 1: like third or fourth against the rush, but they do 313 00:17:34,840 --> 00:17:37,720 Speaker 1: let up uh quite a few yards four and a 314 00:17:37,720 --> 00:17:41,639 Speaker 1: half five yards of carry. So um, and again we 315 00:17:41,720 --> 00:17:44,200 Speaker 1: know that the public is going to want to bet 316 00:17:44,240 --> 00:17:48,320 Speaker 1: the over in this one too, so uh, I think 317 00:17:48,320 --> 00:17:52,359 Speaker 1: it's a good number, but it's the wise guys can 318 00:17:52,359 --> 00:17:54,760 Speaker 1: see value on the under, and I'm okay with that. 319 00:17:54,920 --> 00:17:57,959 Speaker 1: So we'll see what happens. Doesn't this have the feeling 320 00:17:58,080 --> 00:18:04,640 Speaker 1: of Derrick Henry just getting shut down? Well, they've got 321 00:18:04,640 --> 00:18:06,600 Speaker 1: to they know that that that he's the key, So 322 00:18:06,640 --> 00:18:08,960 Speaker 1: I mean they've got to focus on him. And yeah, hardball, 323 00:18:09,320 --> 00:18:12,120 Speaker 1: you know, he's he's great at figuring that stuff out 324 00:18:12,160 --> 00:18:14,240 Speaker 1: and he's been known to you know, he's one of 325 00:18:14,320 --> 00:18:18,560 Speaker 1: the great coaches. So uh, I'm a little surprised Belichick 326 00:18:18,640 --> 00:18:22,439 Speaker 1: didn't have a little bit more. Uh you know, I 327 00:18:22,440 --> 00:18:25,359 Speaker 1: guess just a sign of the decline of the Patriots. 328 00:18:25,840 --> 00:18:28,720 Speaker 1: But but yeah, it does have that feel that because 329 00:18:28,720 --> 00:18:32,520 Speaker 1: everyone's expecting him. I think I read where he's got 330 00:18:33,000 --> 00:18:36,240 Speaker 1: a thousand yards and just set the last seven games, 331 00:18:36,240 --> 00:18:39,199 Speaker 1: and usually a thousand yards season is a monster season 332 00:18:39,240 --> 00:18:41,520 Speaker 1: for a running back, and he's got it tast the 333 00:18:41,560 --> 00:18:45,320 Speaker 1: amount of games that most people take the whole season. 334 00:18:45,440 --> 00:18:49,560 Speaker 1: Yet he's got four four yards in the past two games. 335 00:18:50,080 --> 00:18:52,439 Speaker 1: He went for more than two hundred against in the 336 00:18:52,520 --> 00:18:54,280 Speaker 1: last game against the Texans, and he went for more 337 00:18:54,280 --> 00:18:56,879 Speaker 1: than two hundred against the Patriots, and that was a 338 00:18:56,920 --> 00:19:00,880 Speaker 1: weird two. Like he's one of the running backs where 339 00:19:01,440 --> 00:19:07,440 Speaker 1: he he like scarfs up yards and so all of 340 00:19:07,520 --> 00:19:11,480 Speaker 1: a sudden, it's five yards and he's got a hundred 341 00:19:11,480 --> 00:19:13,480 Speaker 1: and twenty yards and a half, and you're like, how 342 00:19:13,520 --> 00:19:17,120 Speaker 1: did that happen? Like, you know, he just eats them 343 00:19:17,160 --> 00:19:21,320 Speaker 1: like four yards at a time. That's it. Very Eric Dickerson. 344 00:19:22,960 --> 00:19:25,680 Speaker 1: Very Yeah, he's got that huge build. You know, he's 345 00:19:25,680 --> 00:19:27,600 Speaker 1: a tall guy and he's big, and he's just a 346 00:19:27,640 --> 00:19:30,520 Speaker 1: train coming at you. Uh it's not like that kind 347 00:19:30,520 --> 00:19:33,400 Speaker 1: of Barry Sanders type of runner where you know, it's 348 00:19:33,440 --> 00:19:37,480 Speaker 1: just making a lot of moves and get getting those 349 00:19:37,480 --> 00:19:40,640 Speaker 1: big eighty yard touchdowns. But it's uh, like you said, 350 00:19:40,640 --> 00:19:43,080 Speaker 1: it's grinding just I mean, it's hard to stop him, 351 00:19:43,640 --> 00:19:45,399 Speaker 1: all right, So you opened this game ten it's now 352 00:19:45,440 --> 00:19:48,199 Speaker 1: down to nine. You're making it very hard because I 353 00:19:48,240 --> 00:19:49,679 Speaker 1: want to bet the Ravens in this game. I think 354 00:19:49,720 --> 00:19:51,800 Speaker 1: they're going to crush them. But that nine is so 355 00:19:51,960 --> 00:19:54,880 Speaker 1: freaking big you didn't want to bet. You didn't want 356 00:19:54,880 --> 00:19:59,080 Speaker 1: to bet, like against Minnesota at plus seven. So how 357 00:19:59,080 --> 00:20:01,080 Speaker 1: do you take the Titans? I know the Titans are 358 00:20:01,119 --> 00:20:03,119 Speaker 1: gonna get killed in this game. I gotta take the Ravens. 359 00:20:03,119 --> 00:20:06,080 Speaker 1: And I'm getting like it's someone's like, do I wait, 360 00:20:06,520 --> 00:20:08,440 Speaker 1: what do I do here? Is it never gonna go down? 361 00:20:08,480 --> 00:20:09,879 Speaker 1: Is it never going to go back up? When do 362 00:20:09,920 --> 00:20:12,879 Speaker 1: I get it? I think it's gonna go down because 363 00:20:13,320 --> 00:20:16,639 Speaker 1: the Titans have covered if you go back the last 364 00:20:16,680 --> 00:20:19,800 Speaker 1: eight games the uh starting with the game they play 365 00:20:19,840 --> 00:20:23,160 Speaker 1: the Kansas City Chiefs, the Titans beat the Chiefs high 366 00:20:23,200 --> 00:20:27,439 Speaker 1: scoring game, thirty five thirty two something like that. Since 367 00:20:27,520 --> 00:20:30,800 Speaker 1: then they've cut. They've covered six out of eight games. 368 00:20:31,280 --> 00:20:33,000 Speaker 1: And I know we've talked about it a lot on 369 00:20:33,000 --> 00:20:35,520 Speaker 1: the show. The wise guys were absolutely in love with 370 00:20:35,560 --> 00:20:38,879 Speaker 1: them starting with that Chiefs game. But now you you 371 00:20:39,000 --> 00:20:40,600 Speaker 1: look at a lot of those games. They beat up 372 00:20:40,600 --> 00:20:44,520 Speaker 1: on the Colts, the Jaguars once against the Texans team 373 00:20:44,560 --> 00:20:48,120 Speaker 1: where they were resting players. They beat the Raiders, Um, 374 00:20:49,080 --> 00:20:52,119 Speaker 1: they're Yeah, they beat the Patriots last week. That's what 375 00:20:52,160 --> 00:20:55,000 Speaker 1: the public is going to see. But I agree with you. 376 00:20:55,240 --> 00:20:59,080 Speaker 1: I don't mind needing the Ravens in this one. Um, 377 00:20:59,160 --> 00:21:01,480 Speaker 1: you know you still Okay, A lot of the good 378 00:21:01,520 --> 00:21:05,399 Speaker 1: teams of Tennessee played and yeah, they beat the Chiefs, 379 00:21:05,440 --> 00:21:09,639 Speaker 1: but you know they they've lost a couple of They 380 00:21:09,720 --> 00:21:12,719 Speaker 1: lost to the Saints. Uh in that eight week stretch. 381 00:21:13,680 --> 00:21:16,440 Speaker 1: They lost again the second time they played the Texans. 382 00:21:16,440 --> 00:21:20,119 Speaker 1: So yeah, they're they're they're beatiful and and with Baltimore 383 00:21:20,200 --> 00:21:23,919 Speaker 1: resting and just that dynamic offense and good coach, I 384 00:21:23,920 --> 00:21:26,920 Speaker 1: could easily see uh kind of a blowout in this one. 385 00:21:29,400 --> 00:21:31,040 Speaker 1: I'm looking at the totals in all these games, and 386 00:21:31,040 --> 00:21:33,840 Speaker 1: I might want to go under in all four playoff 387 00:21:33,880 --> 00:21:36,760 Speaker 1: games Houston and Kansas City. Kansas City nine and a 388 00:21:36,800 --> 00:21:41,239 Speaker 1: half points opened it eight skyrocketed up. I did not 389 00:21:41,320 --> 00:21:43,000 Speaker 1: get the best of the number in this game. I 390 00:21:43,040 --> 00:21:46,840 Speaker 1: feel terrible because I so don't want to bet on Houston. 391 00:21:46,920 --> 00:21:48,560 Speaker 1: I want to bet in Kansas City in this game. 392 00:21:49,800 --> 00:21:54,600 Speaker 1: Not as good at home, that's the one thing. Yeah, 393 00:21:54,600 --> 00:21:57,480 Speaker 1: and they don't have a good track record in the playoffs. 394 00:21:57,480 --> 00:22:01,040 Speaker 1: I mean even under Andy Reid, as good as he 395 00:22:01,119 --> 00:22:03,480 Speaker 1: is in the regular season, he's been kind of the 396 00:22:03,480 --> 00:22:06,439 Speaker 1: opposite when he gets to the playoffs. Now, I know 397 00:22:06,480 --> 00:22:09,320 Speaker 1: it's a different story with this team and a guy 398 00:22:09,400 --> 00:22:14,720 Speaker 1: like Mahomes, but this is this is the one game 399 00:22:14,760 --> 00:22:17,520 Speaker 1: we're both the Shark guys and the public are on 400 00:22:17,520 --> 00:22:19,880 Speaker 1: the same side. And I know I've said that many 401 00:22:19,920 --> 00:22:23,239 Speaker 1: many times that that's usually bad for the bookmakers, But 402 00:22:23,600 --> 00:22:25,280 Speaker 1: when you get both of them on the same side, 403 00:22:25,320 --> 00:22:28,200 Speaker 1: that means we just made a bad line on this one. Now, 404 00:22:28,240 --> 00:22:30,359 Speaker 1: we can still win the game, gotta get lucky, but 405 00:22:30,560 --> 00:22:33,080 Speaker 1: we never want to see a line open eight, go 406 00:22:33,160 --> 00:22:35,000 Speaker 1: to nine and a half and have both the public 407 00:22:35,040 --> 00:22:39,920 Speaker 1: and the Sharks on the same side. Well, I was 408 00:22:39,960 --> 00:22:41,520 Speaker 1: gonna say the total on this one is one of 409 00:22:41,560 --> 00:22:44,480 Speaker 1: the only games that has gone up, so both wise, 410 00:22:44,520 --> 00:22:46,800 Speaker 1: guys in the public both like the over on this one. 411 00:22:46,800 --> 00:22:48,480 Speaker 1: So this one's just a bad game all the way 412 00:22:48,480 --> 00:22:53,359 Speaker 1: around for us. Guys like the over because Chiefs at 413 00:22:53,400 --> 00:22:57,520 Speaker 1: home are scoring significantly fewer points and the Chiefs at 414 00:22:57,520 --> 00:23:01,000 Speaker 1: home in the playoffs. Uh. We have a great story 415 00:23:01,160 --> 00:23:04,680 Speaker 1: from John Ewing Action Network dot Com again, download the 416 00:23:04,680 --> 00:23:11,840 Speaker 1: Action Network out. Uh, it's free um to the under. 417 00:23:12,880 --> 00:23:17,359 Speaker 1: The chiefs are under Andy Reid at home. Wow, didn't 418 00:23:17,400 --> 00:23:20,200 Speaker 1: didn't know that it's a good stat to have, so 419 00:23:20,600 --> 00:23:22,440 Speaker 1: well we need it under. I hope that, I hope, 420 00:23:22,520 --> 00:23:25,560 Speaker 1: I hope the trend continues. I think the wise guys 421 00:23:25,560 --> 00:23:27,080 Speaker 1: here got the best of the number in the side. 422 00:23:27,080 --> 00:23:29,200 Speaker 1: That's what I was going to say before. So they 423 00:23:29,280 --> 00:23:31,520 Speaker 1: bettered at eight and now the public is just continuing 424 00:23:31,560 --> 00:23:33,399 Speaker 1: to pile on. Wise guys are not bet in this 425 00:23:33,400 --> 00:23:35,119 Speaker 1: game at nine and nine and a half. I just 426 00:23:35,200 --> 00:23:37,280 Speaker 1: want to be clear, Like they bettered at eight and 427 00:23:37,280 --> 00:23:41,040 Speaker 1: then they walked away. Yeah, I mean there is a 428 00:23:41,320 --> 00:23:44,560 Speaker 1: couple of tens out there, not many ten even moneys 429 00:23:44,600 --> 00:23:48,479 Speaker 1: at some of the places around Vegas. Most places are 430 00:23:48,480 --> 00:23:52,639 Speaker 1: at nine nine and a half though, So but you know, again, 431 00:23:52,800 --> 00:23:55,879 Speaker 1: we're already seeing like sixty six the bets coming in 432 00:23:56,000 --> 00:23:58,879 Speaker 1: on on Kansas City. It may drive it up to 433 00:23:58,960 --> 00:24:02,720 Speaker 1: ten and then you may see some some other sets 434 00:24:02,720 --> 00:24:05,240 Speaker 1: of wive guys just taken ten knowing that they already 435 00:24:05,280 --> 00:24:07,520 Speaker 1: laid eight and looking for a middle. This feels like 436 00:24:07,520 --> 00:24:10,719 Speaker 1: a blowout weekend. Everything last weekend was so close. This 437 00:24:10,760 --> 00:24:15,200 Speaker 1: feels like a Niners, Ravens Chiefs blow them that weekend. 438 00:24:15,840 --> 00:24:17,679 Speaker 1: The only game that I think will be close is 439 00:24:17,680 --> 00:24:20,600 Speaker 1: the game between two fraudulent teams that is sort of 440 00:24:20,640 --> 00:24:23,680 Speaker 1: the marquee matchup, which is the Seahawks and the Packers. 441 00:24:23,720 --> 00:24:26,879 Speaker 1: Neither team is as good as their record indicates. Um, 442 00:24:26,920 --> 00:24:29,560 Speaker 1: and you're kind of reflecting that lowest spread of the weekend. 443 00:24:29,600 --> 00:24:32,560 Speaker 1: It's minus four open to three and a half. Some 444 00:24:32,600 --> 00:24:37,280 Speaker 1: money came in on the Packers. Give me your narrative here. Yeah, Well, 445 00:24:37,320 --> 00:24:39,800 Speaker 1: you know, like I said, I wasn't expecting this matchup. 446 00:24:39,840 --> 00:24:42,399 Speaker 1: I was expecting green Bay to be kind of a short. 447 00:24:42,760 --> 00:24:45,280 Speaker 1: I was actually hoping just to see green Bay being 448 00:24:45,600 --> 00:24:48,240 Speaker 1: an underdog at home in a playoff game to the Saints, 449 00:24:48,320 --> 00:24:50,840 Speaker 1: because that's what was going to happen. Had the Saints 450 00:24:51,160 --> 00:24:54,320 Speaker 1: beat the Vikings and uh, and then the Seahawks would 451 00:24:54,320 --> 00:24:56,639 Speaker 1: have been playing you know, San Francisco for the third 452 00:24:56,680 --> 00:25:00,000 Speaker 1: time this year, which you know, there were two great games, 453 00:25:00,160 --> 00:25:03,280 Speaker 1: so I mean, I was expecting another good game there. 454 00:25:03,359 --> 00:25:06,560 Speaker 1: So this was the unexpected matchup. But I'm happy that 455 00:25:06,640 --> 00:25:08,679 Speaker 1: this is the last game of the weekend because, like 456 00:25:08,720 --> 00:25:11,640 Speaker 1: you said, it's the most competitive in terms of where 457 00:25:11,680 --> 00:25:15,320 Speaker 1: the line is so hopefully the public can't make up 458 00:25:15,320 --> 00:25:17,439 Speaker 1: their mind on this one. But we're getting kind of 459 00:25:17,480 --> 00:25:20,400 Speaker 1: fifty fifty action, which is great for the get out 460 00:25:20,440 --> 00:25:23,399 Speaker 1: game on the weekend that it's not completely lopsided that 461 00:25:23,440 --> 00:25:26,920 Speaker 1: we're gonna need for our lunch. The Kansas City game 462 00:25:27,000 --> 00:25:28,480 Speaker 1: is going to be the big game of the weekend 463 00:25:28,520 --> 00:25:30,640 Speaker 1: for US, So going into this one, like I said, 464 00:25:30,640 --> 00:25:34,879 Speaker 1: it's fifty fifty is take account. Um, really don't have 465 00:25:34,920 --> 00:25:38,200 Speaker 1: any big money on either side. The sharp guys haven't 466 00:25:38,320 --> 00:25:40,359 Speaker 1: tipped their hand as to which way they're going in 467 00:25:40,400 --> 00:25:46,520 Speaker 1: this one. Um, I would suspect maybe Seattle only because 468 00:25:46,560 --> 00:25:48,160 Speaker 1: of the points and more than a field goal if 469 00:25:48,160 --> 00:25:52,080 Speaker 1: you think the game is going to be competitive. But uh, 470 00:25:52,560 --> 00:25:54,560 Speaker 1: and not much on the total either in this one. 471 00:25:54,640 --> 00:25:57,280 Speaker 1: So uh, it looks like we said a decent line. 472 00:25:57,320 --> 00:25:59,720 Speaker 1: That's not a lot of movement. I guess my feeling 473 00:25:59,760 --> 00:26:02,760 Speaker 1: on the Seahawks is that they haven't done anything to 474 00:26:02,800 --> 00:26:05,400 Speaker 1: improve their secondary. They haven't done anything to improve their 475 00:26:05,400 --> 00:26:08,240 Speaker 1: defense in the middle of the field. Aaron Rodgers could 476 00:26:08,280 --> 00:26:13,320 Speaker 1: pick them apart, so this could easily be another blowout game. 477 00:26:13,560 --> 00:26:15,639 Speaker 1: It's entirely possible I end up having to choose the 478 00:26:15,720 --> 00:26:18,399 Speaker 1: favorites and the under in every game, and I'm going 479 00:26:18,440 --> 00:26:20,639 Speaker 1: to have to do this confidence pool. I'm not going 480 00:26:20,680 --> 00:26:23,000 Speaker 1: to know which one to do, but I might just 481 00:26:23,040 --> 00:26:26,280 Speaker 1: do it. That might be what happens. And like I said, 482 00:26:26,280 --> 00:26:29,560 Speaker 1: I hate this weekend because typically that's usually what happens, 483 00:26:29,680 --> 00:26:31,439 Speaker 1: especially when you get the upsets in the in the 484 00:26:31,480 --> 00:26:35,200 Speaker 1: wild card weekend and you have the quote unquote inferior team. 485 00:26:35,240 --> 00:26:37,760 Speaker 1: The less the teams that we're getting points in the 486 00:26:37,800 --> 00:26:40,359 Speaker 1: wild card weekends that weren't supposed to win and now 487 00:26:40,400 --> 00:26:43,600 Speaker 1: they're playing an even better team the week after. So yeah, 488 00:26:43,600 --> 00:26:46,360 Speaker 1: that's what that's what scares me. And then the teaser 489 00:26:46,400 --> 00:26:49,120 Speaker 1: weekend you look at I'm already looking at our our 490 00:26:49,240 --> 00:26:54,399 Speaker 1: three team teaser liability with San Francisco, Baltimore, and Kansas City. 491 00:26:54,520 --> 00:26:56,840 Speaker 1: I mean all of them just have to either win 492 00:26:56,920 --> 00:26:59,480 Speaker 1: win by a field goal and we get annihilated. Oh 493 00:26:59,520 --> 00:27:01,560 Speaker 1: my god, that's totally that is going to be. Like 494 00:27:01,720 --> 00:27:05,440 Speaker 1: the six point teaser is gonna be San Francisco to 495 00:27:05,480 --> 00:27:09,160 Speaker 1: minus war in, Baltimore to minus three, and Kansas City, 496 00:27:09,720 --> 00:27:11,879 Speaker 1: uh to minus three and a half. Oh my god, 497 00:27:11,960 --> 00:27:18,600 Speaker 1: you guys are crude from the cage that's transfer the 498 00:27:18,640 --> 00:27:21,399 Speaker 1: money now so we can start paying out. Oh my god, 499 00:27:21,600 --> 00:27:24,200 Speaker 1: you're so screwed because they are gonna blow those teams out. 500 00:27:24,280 --> 00:27:30,399 Speaker 1: I might have to do that myself. I can't wait. Scoot. 501 00:27:30,400 --> 00:27:33,800 Speaker 1: You know we should do right now. Screw troulette. Let's 502 00:27:33,800 --> 00:27:42,360 Speaker 1: do it, baby. We both won last week. I had 503 00:27:42,400 --> 00:27:48,600 Speaker 1: the Houston Texans. You had the Minnesota Vikings. So guess what. 504 00:27:48,960 --> 00:27:52,840 Speaker 1: I'm gonna let you go first. I'm gonna double down 505 00:27:52,840 --> 00:27:55,600 Speaker 1: on the Minnesota Vikings flu the sudden. You hate that 506 00:27:55,640 --> 00:27:59,880 Speaker 1: pick though, you really do. I'm not crazy, I really do, 507 00:28:00,040 --> 00:28:02,600 Speaker 1: but I can't. I mean, I'm looking at Kansas City 508 00:28:02,800 --> 00:28:05,640 Speaker 1: and I couldn't lay nine and a half points, even 509 00:28:05,640 --> 00:28:08,280 Speaker 1: though I think that they win this game pretty handily. 510 00:28:09,240 --> 00:28:11,480 Speaker 1: You do not. You do not like what you're doing 511 00:28:11,560 --> 00:28:13,800 Speaker 1: right now. I like what I'm doing right now. I 512 00:28:13,840 --> 00:28:17,960 Speaker 1: am taking the Baltimore Ravens. I think that this is 513 00:28:18,000 --> 00:28:19,520 Speaker 1: a Look what am I gonna do? I don't I 514 00:28:19,520 --> 00:28:22,240 Speaker 1: don't trust the Packers. You took the Vikings. So my 515 00:28:22,359 --> 00:28:24,840 Speaker 1: two options are the Chiefs at nine and a half 516 00:28:24,840 --> 00:28:30,040 Speaker 1: of the Ravens at nine, and you know what's screw it. 517 00:28:32,200 --> 00:28:35,119 Speaker 1: I'm all in on the Chiefs. Oh, I am, I 518 00:28:35,240 --> 00:28:37,399 Speaker 1: was gonna I'm actually gonna go to the Chiefs. I 519 00:28:37,440 --> 00:28:40,000 Speaker 1: was tossed between the Chiefs. I am pop committed to 520 00:28:40,080 --> 00:28:44,080 Speaker 1: the Chiefs. And this Texas team is just as Charles 521 00:28:44,160 --> 00:28:50,280 Speaker 1: Berkley would say, drible. They're just terrible. So yeah, you've 522 00:28:50,320 --> 00:28:51,960 Speaker 1: been on them quite a bit, so you should know. 523 00:28:53,520 --> 00:28:56,200 Speaker 1: Just give me the Kansas City Chiefs. Give me the 524 00:28:56,280 --> 00:28:58,160 Speaker 1: Kansas City Chiefs. Get him into the a f C 525 00:28:58,280 --> 00:29:01,080 Speaker 1: title game. Give me the same Cisco forty to get 526 00:29:01,120 --> 00:29:03,720 Speaker 1: the title game. Let me start hedging the freak out 527 00:29:03,720 --> 00:29:05,440 Speaker 1: of those two teams. So I can still pay for 528 00:29:05,480 --> 00:29:09,080 Speaker 1: my trips. That's why. So I can, so I can 529 00:29:09,080 --> 00:29:11,160 Speaker 1: tell my wife we're making money even when we're losing money. 530 00:29:11,200 --> 00:29:17,600 Speaker 1: I can use the old Bob Scucci. Yeah, exactly. Everybody 531 00:29:17,600 --> 00:29:23,040 Speaker 1: should listen to us on tercom stations throughout the country. 532 00:29:23,120 --> 00:29:25,480 Speaker 1: I heard this today, just today, I just heard this, Scooch. 533 00:29:25,560 --> 00:29:28,479 Speaker 1: We are being added two more stations right now. You 534 00:29:28,520 --> 00:29:32,840 Speaker 1: can hear you better, you bet from intercom with the 535 00:29:32,880 --> 00:29:37,000 Speaker 1: Action Network countdown to kickoff the second hour. You can 536 00:29:37,000 --> 00:29:40,800 Speaker 1: hear these uh ten to twelve on Saturday and Sunday, 537 00:29:40,840 --> 00:29:43,480 Speaker 1: the pregames we're in this partnership with Edtercom. Scooch, you 538 00:29:43,480 --> 00:29:47,000 Speaker 1: and I did Radio dot Com all season long Action 539 00:29:47,040 --> 00:29:50,000 Speaker 1: Network Countdown, a kickoff that is now part of a 540 00:29:50,200 --> 00:29:54,680 Speaker 1: big pregame package on Entercom stations. That is on in 541 00:29:54,880 --> 00:29:58,040 Speaker 1: Chicago on the Score. It is on in Detroit, It's 542 00:29:58,080 --> 00:30:00,640 Speaker 1: on in Milwaukee. It's on in San franc Tisco, it's 543 00:30:00,640 --> 00:30:04,760 Speaker 1: on in San Diego. UM, it's on two more stations 544 00:30:04,760 --> 00:30:06,600 Speaker 1: that I can't remember right now that I say Cleveland. 545 00:30:06,640 --> 00:30:09,240 Speaker 1: It's on in Cleveland. It's on one more station. We're 546 00:30:09,240 --> 00:30:11,360 Speaker 1: getting picked up in more stations. If you're in any 547 00:30:11,440 --> 00:30:16,480 Speaker 1: of those cities within the range of those antennas, listen 548 00:30:16,520 --> 00:30:19,840 Speaker 1: to you better you bet ten to twelve Eastern on 549 00:30:19,880 --> 00:30:23,800 Speaker 1: Saturday and Sunday. It's you, it's me, It's Nick Costos, 550 00:30:23,800 --> 00:30:26,920 Speaker 1: It's Danny Parkins's Joe Ostrowski, all these guys who know 551 00:30:26,960 --> 00:30:30,440 Speaker 1: a lot about betting talking about betting in the window 552 00:30:30,480 --> 00:30:33,040 Speaker 1: before the games. It's so much fun. It is the 553 00:30:33,120 --> 00:30:36,120 Speaker 1: most fun live radio experience you're gonna have. If you 554 00:30:36,160 --> 00:30:44,240 Speaker 1: like football, would you agree? I agree? Check it out, Scooch. 555 00:30:44,360 --> 00:30:46,200 Speaker 1: I want to thank you for coming on your podcast. 556 00:30:46,200 --> 00:30:48,000 Speaker 1: I want to thank everyone for listening. I want everyone 557 00:30:48,000 --> 00:30:50,320 Speaker 1: to download it from Apple Podcast, listen to it and 558 00:30:50,360 --> 00:30:53,480 Speaker 1: download it from Spotify, Go to radio dot Com, search 559 00:30:53,520 --> 00:30:56,480 Speaker 1: the favorites, do whatever you gotta do to listen to 560 00:30:56,480 --> 00:31:00,520 Speaker 1: this podcast my friends. Until next time we are out, 561 00:31:00,760 --> 00:31:09,080 Speaker 1: I love you, M