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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast PODYA, all right,

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Speaker 1: here we go.

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Speaker 2: Fifteen Cuny twenty five, thirty thirty five, Tony Cony five fifty.

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Speaker 3: And the kick as block look college football.

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Speaker 1: Stunner, Oh my goodness please stumbled.

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Speaker 4: And the lateral turn the counter on the inside, don't

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Speaker 4: you the lad came him.

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Speaker 3: Up the field to night.

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Speaker 2: It's not the side of the dog in the fight.

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Speaker 3: It's the side of the fight in the roll.

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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Big Bets on Campus Podcast BLUs You

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Speaker 1: by bet MGM. This is the group of five Deep Dive.

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Speaker 1: I'm Mike Calbary is joined by my co hosts Mike

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Speaker 1: Ianello and Mike. We've made it through the entire regular season,

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Speaker 1: landing year in Championship Week. We talk about the NFL

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Speaker 1: Draft being graduation day for a lot of our G

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Speaker 1: five heroes and our favorite players throughout the season. But

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Speaker 1: also this is a culmination of all the hard works

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Speaker 1: and teams that we followed throughout the season. Certainly for

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Speaker 1: you North Texas being able to stretch your wings and

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Speaker 1: finally get to bet them potentially in their biggest game

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Speaker 1: in years. Reminders to our audience to follow us over

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Speaker 1: on the Action app. That's BBOCG five Deep Dive for

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Speaker 1: all of our picks and one final reminder as well.

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Speaker 1: The Power five Conference Championship Preview will come out a

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Speaker 1: day early.

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Speaker 3: I'll come out tomorrow.

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Speaker 1: That's with Colin and Stucky breaking down all five of

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Speaker 1: the Major Conference Championship games from Georgia LSU all the

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Speaker 1: way down to North Carolina Clemson in the nightcap. All right,

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Speaker 1: I know we're going to hop in hopefully we get

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Speaker 1: another North Texas play from you. I'm really excited for

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Speaker 1: you to be able to talk about Austin ani who,

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Speaker 1: By the way, I.

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Speaker 3: Have to jump in here right off the top. He's

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Speaker 3: a junior. Are you kidding me?

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Speaker 1: I was like looking through he was bio eighty ninth

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Speaker 1: overall pick in the twenty twelve Major League Baseball Draft,

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Speaker 1: and somehow he's a junior, so he gets to come

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Speaker 1: back next year.

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Speaker 3: But we'll get to that in a second.

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Speaker 5: They'll basically be eligible until he's like thirty two.

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Speaker 1: This is really the greatest thing that's going I mean,

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Speaker 1: he makes Chris Winky look like a spring chicken back

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Speaker 1: in the day playing for Florida State. All right, here

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Speaker 1: we go with our G five heroes from Week thirteen.

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Speaker 1: Troy's head football coach John Summrall. I love a good defense,

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Speaker 1: and at the G five levels, sometimes those are not

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Speaker 1: the teams that end up succeeding. Usually it's these high

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Speaker 1: flying offenses that break through. But they bring him. In

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Speaker 1: his first year as the head coach, he was already

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Speaker 1: known as a crack recruiter, did a great job as

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Speaker 1: defensive coordinator at Kentucky, returns to Troy and has turned

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Speaker 1: this defense from a good defense to one of the

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Speaker 1: best in the G five, arguably the best in the

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Speaker 1: G five. They simply don't give up big plays. Their

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Speaker 1: twelfth in limiting explosiveness, seventh in points per game allowed

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Speaker 1: six and yards per play allowed twenty second is sack right.

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Speaker 1: I love this Troy team. I've made no bones about it.

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Speaker 1: This is one of my favorite teams. I also have

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Speaker 1: them tied up in a title game parlay I placed it.

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Speaker 1: I want to say the first week is September, TCU

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Speaker 1: to win the Big twelve and Troy to win the

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Speaker 1: Sun Belt. So hedge opportunities abound. Big shout out to

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Speaker 1: John Sumroll and also, this is just a Troy program

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Speaker 1: that I'm not sure a lot of people are familiar

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Speaker 1: with this. They're not all that's long in the tooth

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Speaker 1: in terms of FBS you know, experience, but this will

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Speaker 1: be their first outright conference championship since two thousand and

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Speaker 1: nine if they can get it. But this has always

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Speaker 1: been a proud program. They were the nineteen eighty seven

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Speaker 1: Division two national champs. So a school and a region

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Speaker 1: that really cares about football. I'm just happy for Troy.

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Speaker 1: I'm happy for John Somerrall. Who's your G five hero

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Speaker 1: from week thirteen?

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Speaker 5: Yeah, I love Troy.

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Speaker 4: I'm also going with a player playing this weekend. I'm

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Speaker 4: going Boise State quarterback Taylor Green two hundred and twenty

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Speaker 4: yards in four touchdowns passing against you State to get

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Speaker 4: the win. But most importantly, he got the Broncos one

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Speaker 4: of the all time greatest covers. For those who didn't see,

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Speaker 4: I'll try to set the stage quickly. Boise State was

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Speaker 4: minus seventeen against Utah State. They were up five with

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Speaker 4: a minute thirty three to go, and Utah State had

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Speaker 4: the ball at the fifteen yard line going in. Boise's

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Speaker 4: about to lose the game outright as seventeen point favorites. Instead,

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Speaker 4: they get an interception to steal the win. On their

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Speaker 4: second play, running the clock out, green houses it ninety

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Speaker 4: one yards. Utah State gets the ball back with a

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Speaker 4: minute four left, throws up pick six to lose by nineteen.

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Speaker 4: That's what I'm all about, teaching the boys play to cover.

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Speaker 4: But this is the entire reason I wanted this segment.

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Speaker 4: I hate calling this a bad beat. This is not

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Speaker 4: a bad beat. This is a miraculous cover. I don't

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Speaker 4: care about Utah State betters. I care about the Boise

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Speaker 4: State betters. Games like this is why you gamble.

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Speaker 5: Believable cover.

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Speaker 3: You can make anything positive.

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Speaker 1: I know. I love that about you, and you were

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Speaker 1: rewarded from the early going making things positive for North Texas,

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Speaker 1: who now, somehow, against all odds, find themselves in the

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Speaker 1: Conference US A title game, traveling to the Alamo Dome

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Speaker 1: in San Antonio to play on arguably their their.

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Speaker 3: Biggest game really in fifteen years.

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Speaker 1: So I think there's a lot of interest in terms

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Speaker 1: of how they can match up against the Roadrunners, a

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Speaker 1: team that they should have beaten really the last time

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Speaker 1: they played. They give up a fourth and two in

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Speaker 1: the final minute by literally inches it was a little like,

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Speaker 1: you know, inside screen to Zakari Franklin, he gets tackled.

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Speaker 1: I'm not even sure they reviewed it. They just basically,

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Speaker 1: you know, wave the play on. Two plays later at

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Speaker 1: the Roadrunners score a touchdown and win the game. So

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Speaker 1: eight and a half, in my opinion, I think is

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Speaker 1: a little bit generous for a North Texas team that, yes,

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Speaker 1: they like to run the football. Ragsdale is their go

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Speaker 1: to guy right now. But as I mentioned off the top,

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Speaker 1: Annie has been really good and his last five starts

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Speaker 1: two hundred and eighty five yards per game, fourteen touchdo

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Speaker 1: to just three picks. Are you on the mean green

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Speaker 1: here or is it time to go back to the

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Speaker 1: well with meat Meat Nation.

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Speaker 5: This is going to shock you.

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Speaker 4: I did give out North Texas plus I think it

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Speaker 4: was twenty two hundred preseason.

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Speaker 5: Hopefully you guys tailed me and are sitting pretty with that.

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Speaker 4: If you didn't meet me, I'm taking UTSA here. I'm

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Speaker 4: laying the number because you mentioned it. You talked about

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Speaker 4: that first meeting they had. Yes, Utsa kind of needed

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Speaker 4: a miracle to pull out the win. That being said,

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Speaker 4: if you look at that box score, UTSA outgained them

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Speaker 4: four hundred and ninety five to three hundred and forty seven.

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Speaker 4: I don't know how the game was that close. UTSA

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Speaker 4: had thirty two first downs, North Texas had thirteen. The

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Speaker 4: road Runners had a fifty one percent success rate in

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Speaker 4: that game. North Texas was just at twenty eight percent.

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Speaker 4: And you said it, I know, and he's been playing better,

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Speaker 4: and I do like any I talked about it a

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Speaker 4: lot this year, but when the Mean Green are at

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Speaker 4: their best, it's when they're running the ball well. In

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Speaker 4: that game, USA held their three running backs to just

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Speaker 4: twenty two yards on twenty one carries.

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Speaker 5: We talk all season about this three headed monster.

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Speaker 4: Well, Aodai has missed the last two games, and I'll

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Speaker 4: be shocked if he plays. Oscar Adaway has missed last

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Speaker 4: three games. He's not even on the depth chart this week,

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Speaker 4: so I don't he's not playing. And this UTSA has

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Speaker 4: been a lot better than expected, and they've been really

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Speaker 4: good against the run. Their top ten in the country.

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Speaker 4: They're eleventh at preventing finishing drives. And this UTSA offense

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Speaker 4: is just humming, you know. Frank Harris has been fantastic

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Speaker 4: to Kari Franklin, Josh Cephiz they're fourth in the country

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Speaker 4: and passing success.

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Speaker 5: They've really gotten the running game going.

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Speaker 4: They've rushed for over two hundred yards in five of

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Speaker 4: the last seven games, including two hundred and fifty seven

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Speaker 4: against this mean Green team. And this North Texas defense

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Speaker 4: is one hundred and twenty at that defending of the run.

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Speaker 4: They're one hundred and twenty eighth in line yards, and

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Speaker 4: you know they're better at passing defense, but they still

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Speaker 4: rank just eighty five fourth. This UTSA offense should be

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Speaker 4: able to get whatever they want, just like they did.

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Speaker 5: The first time they stoo.

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Speaker 4: These two teams played, and if UTSA is able to

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Speaker 4: take away the run just like they did last time,

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Speaker 4: they played, just like they have for most of this season.

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Speaker 4: We saw how much they outplayed at North Texas that

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Speaker 4: first week, and I think they do so again. And

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Speaker 4: I think the score this time around is going to

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Speaker 4: reflect that first game's box score a little bit more

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Speaker 4: than we saw.

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Speaker 5: So I do like North Texas.

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Speaker 4: Hopefully this is a hedge spot and you have that

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Speaker 4: two twenty plus two twenty in your pocket, But I

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Speaker 4: think UTSA wins is by double digits.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, this is.

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Speaker 1: Kind of a stay away from me. I thought that

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Speaker 1: the line was just about right, and I'm glad that

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Speaker 1: you did the deep dive on the box score there

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Speaker 1: because it was a game that the Roadrunners should have controlled,

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Speaker 1: but instead it was you know, touch and go there

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Speaker 1: down at the end, a really exciting fourth quarter. So

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Speaker 1: I'm just gonna enjoy it, just love the game. Because

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Speaker 1: there's four other Conferce Championship games the G five level,

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Speaker 1: and I have either strong leans or plays on all

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Speaker 1: of them.

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Speaker 3: Let's hop into the MAC.

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Speaker 1: Title game this Maccine and this is Ohio against Toledo

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Speaker 1: on Saturday at noon. Toledo just a one and a

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Speaker 1: half point favorite, the total set sitting at fifty five,

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Speaker 1: and this is a difficult game to handicap. Both quarterbacks

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Speaker 1: are banged up, Maple Missile out for the seasons, Dakwan

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Speaker 1: Finn banged up and also ineffective. Do we get Tucker

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Speaker 1: Gleeson again, that's a question coming into it. Ca Bangora time,

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Speaker 1: one hundred percent. He's really that I, in my opinion,

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Speaker 1: the best situation for Ohio to win the football game.

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Speaker 1: They got a turnaround hand of the ball his last

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Speaker 1: three games one hundred and thirty nine toll yards per game,

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Speaker 1: five touchdowns. Is he going to be running into loaded

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Speaker 1: boxes all game?

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Speaker 3: I'm not sure.

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Speaker 1: But what I do know for sure is that Toledo's

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Speaker 1: below average against the RUM and they're one hundred and

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Speaker 1: eighth in explosive runs allowed. So in terms of my

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Speaker 1: lean here, I think over fifty five is probably my play.

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Speaker 1: I also think it's it's worth noting that Ohio's had

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Speaker 1: a little bit of ext end of time to get

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Speaker 1: more reps for CJ. Harris, their dual threat quarterback who's

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Speaker 1: playing in Rourke Stead. He gives them more on the

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Speaker 1: ground than Rourke does. Obviously he's a little bit raw

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Speaker 1: as a passer. But I do think this coaching staff

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Speaker 1: has had time to go ahead and put together a

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Speaker 1: good game plan. I think they're going to be able

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Speaker 1: to score in this game. I think it's going to

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Speaker 1: be a high scoring affair. A lot of the Mac

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Speaker 1: games in the last few years have been high scoring

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Speaker 1: for the title game, so I'm going to stick with that. Obviously,

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Speaker 1: you're playing indoors, whether or not a concern, and that's

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Speaker 1: not been the case from action throughout November, whether it's

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Speaker 1: been freak snowstorms or bitter cold or wins perfect conditions

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Speaker 1: indoor here, so I'm going to go over fifty five

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Speaker 1: as my play. What are your thoughts on the Mid

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Speaker 1: American Conference championship game.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, you mentioned that it's a very hard game to

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Speaker 4: handicap given the uncertainty at quarterback. I do actually like

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Speaker 4: to lead on this spot. I kind of like what

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Speaker 4: I've seen from Tucker Gleeson.

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Speaker 5: You've mentioned it.

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Speaker 4: Finn's been up and down, and Gleisa, I think has

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Speaker 4: been pretty good and relief.

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Speaker 5: You know, he's not as.

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Speaker 4: Dynamic as but we saw you know, he popped off

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Speaker 4: for one hundred yards on the ground in one of

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Speaker 4: those games.

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Speaker 5: And then you know on Ohio side, Yeah, CJ. Harris

236
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Speaker 5: is definitely more mobile than Rourke.

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Speaker 4: But I think there's a much bigger drop off between

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Speaker 4: Rourke and Harris than there is between San and Gleason.

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Speaker 4: You know, Rourke is the highest graded quarterback in the

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Speaker 4: country according to Pro Football Focus. He's been awesome this year.

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Speaker 4: He's got to be transferring to a Power five school.

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Speaker 4: You know, he's he's he has you know, future Big

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Speaker 4: ten quarterback written all over him. But I don't totally

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Speaker 4: agree with you, as I'm a little higher on the

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Speaker 4: Toledo defense, especially against the run. They definitely give up

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Speaker 4: explosiveness on the ground that has been an issue, but

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Speaker 4: they're fourteenth in success right, so they have.

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Speaker 5: Gotten the job done on a play a play basis.

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Speaker 4: And while they do give up those big plays, Ohio

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Speaker 4: is one hundred and fourth in.

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Speaker 5: The country and rushing explosiveness.

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Speaker 4: All of Ohio's big place has come through the air

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Speaker 4: with Rourke, which they just don't have. Ohio's one hundred

254
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Speaker 4: and fourth in explosiveness on the ground and one hundred

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Speaker 4: and first in success rate, So I think they're going

256
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Speaker 4: to have to rely on the run a ton and

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Speaker 4: I think that kind of plays into what Toledo wants

258
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Speaker 4: them to do. And you know, with so much uncertainty

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Speaker 4: on offense for both teams, I'm kind of looking at

260
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Speaker 4: the defenses here. The Bobcats are ninety fourth and defensive

261
00:12:12,800 --> 00:12:16,440
Speaker 4: success rate Toledo's seventy. I think the Rockets have the

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Speaker 4: best defense in the MAC. We've kind of said that

263
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Speaker 4: all year, and before the season I said it, you know,

264
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Speaker 4: I said this was Toledo's year. I'm on and plus

265
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Speaker 4: three eighty to win the MAC. From the preseason, I'm right,

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Speaker 4: I'm letting it ride. I think hedging is for cowards.

267
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Speaker 4: What did you say?

268
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Speaker 5: It's my nerves, sir, I just can't stand me anymore.

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Speaker 1: Hell, you're just a goddamn Colin good hearing.

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Speaker 2: God damn coward.

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Speaker 4: I've had that in my pocket all year. I'm not

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Speaker 4: gonna go ahead and give it away now that I've

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Speaker 4: made it here. Hedging is for cowards. I'm gonna ride with.

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Speaker 1: Them from one quarterback mystery to another. How about the

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Speaker 1: Sun Belt title game?

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Speaker 5: Don't let the latest come between you and the bill?

277
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Speaker 1: Coastal Carolina at Troy Troy lane eight and a half.

278
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Speaker 1: The number danced all the way up to eleven at

279
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Speaker 1: one point, Now back to eight eight and a half.

280
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Speaker 1: Range over at bet MGM forty eight and a half

281
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Speaker 1: for the total, and all this movement is because of

282
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Speaker 1: Grayson McCall. Is there a chance he's gonna play? Is

283
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Speaker 1: this a Bobby Bouchet water boy moment where he comes

284
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Speaker 1: in and helps them win this game in what could

285
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Speaker 1: be Jamie Chadwell's last game as the head coach of

286
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Speaker 1: Coastal Carolina.

287
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Speaker 5: Yeah, that was pretty funny. How about the time we

288
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Speaker 5: tackle the guy from Louisville and threw him into stance.

289
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Speaker 2: Be name in Bobby Boochey showed up a hand timing

290
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Speaker 2: it my dog's warning the bourbon ball.

291
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Speaker 1: My prediction here is that he is going to be

292
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Speaker 1: out the door. There's some interesting jobs still open at

293
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Speaker 1: this point. You know, with Fickle moving to Wisconsin, is

294
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Speaker 1: there any chance that he gets, you know, at least

295
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Speaker 1: an interview a Cincinnati's job that's moving to the Big twelve.

296
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Speaker 1: There's lots of moving pieces here and also potential domino

297
00:13:53,840 --> 00:13:56,880
Speaker 1: effect of someone getting plucked for the NFL for next

298
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Speaker 1: season and how that relates to it. So, in my opinion,

299
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Speaker 1: you have the coach who's at least listening to offers,

300
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Speaker 1: you have the best player in the Sun Belt, and

301
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Speaker 1: Grayson McCall potentially coming back. Because honestly, Jared Guests and

302
00:14:08,200 --> 00:14:11,120
Speaker 1: Bryce Carpenter are not good. They cannot run this offense

303
00:14:11,360 --> 00:14:14,360
Speaker 1: even fifty percent as well as McCall was. They've always

304
00:14:14,360 --> 00:14:17,080
Speaker 1: scored thirty three points in the last two weeks. And

305
00:14:17,120 --> 00:14:20,000
Speaker 1: on the other side of things, Troy's offense is as

306
00:14:20,080 --> 00:14:22,000
Speaker 1: bad as their defense is good. They're one hundred and

307
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Speaker 1: fifteenth in points per opportunity this season. They can't run

308
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Speaker 1: the ball, So I'm just going to go with a

309
00:14:28,360 --> 00:14:29,000
Speaker 1: tried and true here.

310
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Speaker 3: A're gonna go under four to eight and a half.

311
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Speaker 1: I think this number is way off, to be honest,

312
00:14:33,640 --> 00:14:36,200
Speaker 1: and less McCall plays. I think it's inflated by four

313
00:14:36,240 --> 00:14:39,120
Speaker 1: to five points, which is significant in a total situation

314
00:14:39,280 --> 00:14:40,960
Speaker 1: like this, So I'll go ahead and play this. I

315
00:14:40,960 --> 00:14:43,600
Speaker 1: think there's a little bit of inflation because Troy played

316
00:14:43,680 --> 00:14:46,120
Speaker 1: so well in their season finale, but that was against

317
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Speaker 1: Arkansas State. That was against a dead body by Sun

318
00:14:48,800 --> 00:14:50,880
Speaker 1: Belt standards. That's not going to be the case here.

319
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Speaker 3: I think Coastal will play hard.

320
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Speaker 1: They'll have pride, even the fact that they backed in

321
00:14:54,800 --> 00:14:57,160
Speaker 1: not being the top team in the Sun Belt East,

322
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Speaker 1: that going to James Madison, but then being ineligible for

323
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Speaker 1: the conference championship this year. That all being said, I

324
00:15:03,240 --> 00:15:05,440
Speaker 1: think it's defensive battle. I think Troy gets it done,

325
00:15:05,640 --> 00:15:07,920
Speaker 1: maybe win seven ten points. I'm not going to mess

326
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Speaker 1: with the points right here. What are your thoughts on

327
00:15:09,600 --> 00:15:11,640
Speaker 1: the SBC Championship match.

328
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Speaker 4: This line movement is banana lands. I don't know what's

329
00:15:15,200 --> 00:15:17,800
Speaker 4: going on. You mentioned the uncertainty at of McCall, but

330
00:15:17,880 --> 00:15:21,840
Speaker 4: like nothing's changed and this opened at six and a

331
00:15:21,880 --> 00:15:24,040
Speaker 4: half at legal books like you said, flight up to

332
00:15:24,200 --> 00:15:26,200
Speaker 4: eleven and a half at one point. Now it's kind

333
00:15:26,200 --> 00:15:28,240
Speaker 4: of settled in that eight and a half range. Our

334
00:15:28,320 --> 00:15:31,600
Speaker 4: action now were power ratings make this game Troy minus

335
00:15:31,600 --> 00:15:32,440
Speaker 4: seven right now.

336
00:15:32,640 --> 00:15:34,280
Speaker 5: I was talking to Colin Wilson last night.

337
00:15:35,000 --> 00:15:38,840
Speaker 4: He said if McCall gets ruled in and it was

338
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Speaker 4: one hundred percent good to go, he would make this

339
00:15:41,600 --> 00:15:44,600
Speaker 4: Coastal minus three and a half. He said he has

340
00:15:44,680 --> 00:15:49,360
Speaker 4: McCall ten points, the most of any quarterback in the

341
00:15:49,400 --> 00:15:52,840
Speaker 4: country given the drop off between the backup, which if

342
00:15:52,880 --> 00:15:57,280
Speaker 4: you've watched Carpenter or Guest, I don't think he's wrong

343
00:15:58,120 --> 00:16:01,760
Speaker 4: to say so said, he's the most valuable.

344
00:16:01,440 --> 00:16:04,840
Speaker 5: Quarterback to the country in the country. So if it's not.

345
00:16:04,880 --> 00:16:08,600
Speaker 4: McCall, and for now McCall was ruled out three to

346
00:16:08,680 --> 00:16:11,680
Speaker 4: six weeks, this will be four weeks.

347
00:16:11,520 --> 00:16:12,800
Speaker 5: So he is in the window.

348
00:16:12,880 --> 00:16:16,800
Speaker 4: But on the earlier side, if McCall's out, I'm with

349
00:16:16,840 --> 00:16:18,600
Speaker 4: you where this Troy defense is going to eat those

350
00:16:18,640 --> 00:16:21,160
Speaker 4: quarterbacks alive. I don't even care who plays. They don't

351
00:16:21,200 --> 00:16:23,800
Speaker 4: allow any big plays. Coastal offense is seventy eighth and

352
00:16:23,920 --> 00:16:26,920
Speaker 4: rush success eighty seventh in the line yards at most.

353
00:16:27,000 --> 00:16:27,920
Speaker 5: That's even with McCall.

354
00:16:28,120 --> 00:16:29,680
Speaker 4: The only thing that makes me a little bit nervous

355
00:16:29,720 --> 00:16:32,480
Speaker 4: is the Coastal defense is horrible. They just gave up

356
00:16:32,520 --> 00:16:35,200
Speaker 4: five hundred yards to James Madison. Granted you have to

357
00:16:35,240 --> 00:16:37,920
Speaker 4: wonder how much they were trying or cared, but they're

358
00:16:37,920 --> 00:16:40,680
Speaker 4: one hundred and fourth in success right on defense. And

359
00:16:40,720 --> 00:16:43,000
Speaker 4: like I said, apparently Troy offense is just a wagon.

360
00:16:43,040 --> 00:16:45,760
Speaker 4: They haven't running the ball out better recently. Troy is

361
00:16:46,000 --> 00:16:49,920
Speaker 4: much better on defense. Troy probably has the better offense

362
00:16:49,960 --> 00:16:52,560
Speaker 4: if McCall's not playing. I've said it all season. I

363
00:16:52,600 --> 00:16:54,200
Speaker 4: think Troy's the best team in the Sun Belt. I

364
00:16:54,200 --> 00:16:56,120
Speaker 4: said it last week. I was gonna bet Troy. I

365
00:16:56,600 --> 00:16:59,360
Speaker 4: said it jokingly. I was gonna bet Troy. I said,

366
00:16:59,400 --> 00:17:00,560
Speaker 4: I don't care or ten and a half.

367
00:17:00,560 --> 00:17:01,280
Speaker 5: I'm gonna lay it.

368
00:17:01,880 --> 00:17:03,720
Speaker 4: They like are so I was like, I said it

369
00:17:03,720 --> 00:17:05,520
Speaker 4: as a joke, thinking it was gonna be like five,

370
00:17:05,560 --> 00:17:06,920
Speaker 4: when I was like, super exaggerating.

371
00:17:07,280 --> 00:17:10,240
Speaker 5: Apparently, I have to now put my money in my office.

372
00:17:10,240 --> 00:17:12,760
Speaker 4: And guess what I'm gonna because I'm a man of.

373
00:17:12,720 --> 00:17:14,480
Speaker 5: My word, so I'm not backing off.

374
00:17:15,240 --> 00:17:19,080
Speaker 4: But if you're somebody who prefers to bet with your

375
00:17:19,119 --> 00:17:22,880
Speaker 4: brain over your heart like a loser. Then I will

376
00:17:22,920 --> 00:17:27,760
Speaker 4: admit this line is probably too high. And I'm really

377
00:17:27,800 --> 00:17:31,920
Speaker 4: hoping McCall gets announced in personally, because Chadwell said he

378
00:17:32,040 --> 00:17:33,840
Speaker 4: was gonna make the decision Wednesday or Thursday.

379
00:17:33,920 --> 00:17:35,560
Speaker 5: We're recording this Wednesday afternoon.

380
00:17:35,680 --> 00:17:39,080
Speaker 4: Nothing's come out yet. I'm really hoping McCaul gets announced in.

381
00:17:40,000 --> 00:17:44,120
Speaker 4: This line flies towards coastal, and then I'm gonna hammer Troy.

382
00:17:44,240 --> 00:17:46,280
Speaker 4: I think Troy is a better team even if McCall plays,

383
00:17:46,280 --> 00:17:47,960
Speaker 4: and I hope he plays, so I can hammer Troy

384
00:17:48,000 --> 00:17:51,240
Speaker 4: at a discounted rate. That being said, I actually do

385
00:17:51,320 --> 00:17:53,119
Speaker 4: like the underlie. I didn't give much thought of it

386
00:17:53,200 --> 00:17:56,280
Speaker 4: until you start talking about it. I'm probably gonna lay

387
00:17:56,280 --> 00:17:59,199
Speaker 4: the points to Troy even if it stays around that

388
00:17:59,240 --> 00:18:01,480
Speaker 4: eight mark, but I'm a lot less confident in it

389
00:18:01,520 --> 00:18:04,520
Speaker 4: if it touches seven again, which the way this line's

390
00:18:04,560 --> 00:18:07,399
Speaker 4: been going up and down at May, I'm hammering it,

391
00:18:07,520 --> 00:18:08,880
Speaker 4: but I'll probably with Troy.

392
00:18:08,920 --> 00:18:10,439
Speaker 5: But I actually do like that underlaw. I may have

393
00:18:10,440 --> 00:18:11,919
Speaker 5: to put some fun to that. I may take that

394
00:18:12,000 --> 00:18:13,720
Speaker 5: as well.

395
00:18:13,920 --> 00:18:16,400
Speaker 1: So he called me out on my total last week

396
00:18:16,640 --> 00:18:18,600
Speaker 1: we were red hot in terms of our best bets.

397
00:18:18,640 --> 00:18:20,360
Speaker 1: We went six and two on the month we've had

398
00:18:20,359 --> 00:18:23,040
Speaker 1: our last four, which brings me to my best bet

399
00:18:23,280 --> 00:18:26,800
Speaker 1: here in Championship week, the Mountain West Conference title game,

400
00:18:26,920 --> 00:18:30,040
Speaker 1: Frezzo State traveling up to Boise, Idaho to take on

401
00:18:30,040 --> 00:18:32,600
Speaker 1: the Broncos. The Broncos minus three and a half and

402
00:18:32,600 --> 00:18:35,040
Speaker 1: the total at fifty four, that is not high enough

403
00:18:35,040 --> 00:18:38,399
Speaker 1: in my opinion. Cold weather but clear weather and no wins.

404
00:18:38,680 --> 00:18:41,520
Speaker 1: And Boise State, which was a corpse offensively, now has

405
00:18:41,520 --> 00:18:44,640
Speaker 1: freshman Taylor Green who has been a savior for them

406
00:18:44,680 --> 00:18:48,200
Speaker 1: offensively in the last five year. Here the week, last

407
00:18:48,240 --> 00:18:50,320
Speaker 1: five games there averaging thirty six points per game. He's

408
00:18:50,359 --> 00:18:53,720
Speaker 1: also just by his you know, dual threat quality that

409
00:18:53,720 --> 00:18:56,440
Speaker 1: he brings to the offense. He's pumps life back into

410
00:18:56,440 --> 00:18:59,440
Speaker 1: George Hallane who's now absolutely cooking. So this running game

411
00:18:59,600 --> 00:19:00,919
Speaker 1: is going to be able to keep pace with a

412
00:19:00,960 --> 00:19:04,000
Speaker 1: Fresno State passing game, which we talked about Jakyner in

413
00:19:04,000 --> 00:19:06,560
Speaker 1: the preseason. He was our G five All American, our

414
00:19:06,640 --> 00:19:10,680
Speaker 1: quarterback pick. He's back to his winning ways. Fifty four

415
00:19:10,800 --> 00:19:13,159
Speaker 1: to me is a touchdown shy where it should be.

416
00:19:13,280 --> 00:19:15,080
Speaker 1: If this was at sixty, it'd be a pass for me.

417
00:19:15,440 --> 00:19:18,479
Speaker 1: I love the over in this spot, so I'm going

418
00:19:18,520 --> 00:19:19,879
Speaker 1: to go ahead and play this. This is actually an

419
00:19:19,920 --> 00:19:22,560
Speaker 1: old whack rivalry, back to like the David Carr days,

420
00:19:22,600 --> 00:19:25,560
Speaker 1: that Ryan Dinwitty days of Boise State before you know

421
00:19:25,600 --> 00:19:28,679
Speaker 1: they became that famous household brand. I'm excited about this

422
00:19:28,720 --> 00:19:30,280
Speaker 1: game a lot. I think it's going to be a

423
00:19:30,280 --> 00:19:33,040
Speaker 1: great one. I know that it's to a certain degree.

424
00:19:33,160 --> 00:19:34,760
Speaker 1: The G five this year has been a little bit

425
00:19:34,840 --> 00:19:38,119
Speaker 1: of a letdown because very early, you know, by mid October,

426
00:19:38,280 --> 00:19:39,679
Speaker 1: the writing was on the wall that we were not

427
00:19:39,720 --> 00:19:41,439
Speaker 1: even to get a team that was going to flirt

428
00:19:41,520 --> 00:19:43,840
Speaker 1: with the college Football Playoff, which, by the way, if

429
00:19:43,880 --> 00:19:47,320
Speaker 1: Tulane had found a way to win in a single

430
00:19:47,320 --> 00:19:50,480
Speaker 1: possession loss against UCF and you know, close loss to

431
00:19:50,560 --> 00:19:54,480
Speaker 1: Southern mess if they were undefeated right now, does Tulane like,

432
00:19:54,640 --> 00:19:55,879
Speaker 1: are they on the outside looking in?

433
00:19:55,960 --> 00:19:56,440
Speaker 3: Are they in that.

434
00:19:56,400 --> 00:19:59,680
Speaker 1: Five to six range with Ohio State needing TCU or

435
00:19:59,800 --> 00:20:02,480
Speaker 1: US to lose, Like That's an interesting hypothetical, but that's

436
00:20:02,480 --> 00:20:04,159
Speaker 1: not how it shook out. So we just have to

437
00:20:04,240 --> 00:20:06,560
Speaker 1: appreciate these games for what they are, and this matchup

438
00:20:06,640 --> 00:20:09,120
Speaker 1: right here are two heavyweights in the Mountain West Conference.

439
00:20:09,359 --> 00:20:11,560
Speaker 1: It was early on in the season at least it

440
00:20:11,600 --> 00:20:13,080
Speaker 1: look like Boise was not gonna be able to carry

441
00:20:13,119 --> 00:20:15,040
Speaker 1: their weight and really get it together on offense.

442
00:20:15,119 --> 00:20:15,520
Speaker 3: But they have.

443
00:20:16,280 --> 00:20:18,520
Speaker 1: I'm excited about this one. I'm going best bet over

444
00:20:18,600 --> 00:20:20,280
Speaker 1: fifty four. What do you think about the total here?

445
00:20:21,480 --> 00:20:23,440
Speaker 5: I actually like that a lot. You said your best

446
00:20:23,480 --> 00:20:24,120
Speaker 5: BET's the over.

447
00:20:24,359 --> 00:20:26,359
Speaker 4: My best bet is that this will be the best

448
00:20:26,400 --> 00:20:29,200
Speaker 4: game of the G five This this is honestly maybe

449
00:20:29,240 --> 00:20:31,199
Speaker 4: the best game of the weekend. But I think this

450
00:20:31,320 --> 00:20:33,959
Speaker 4: is the best gonna be the best game of all

451
00:20:34,000 --> 00:20:35,800
Speaker 4: the G five conference games. I think this is gonna

452
00:20:35,800 --> 00:20:38,639
Speaker 4: be an awesome game. You mentioned the old rivalry. This

453
00:20:38,760 --> 00:20:40,840
Speaker 4: actually even since they went to the Mountain West. This

454
00:20:40,920 --> 00:20:43,359
Speaker 4: is the fourth time these two teams will meet in

455
00:20:43,400 --> 00:20:47,040
Speaker 4: the Mountain West Championship in the last nine years. Boise

456
00:20:47,080 --> 00:20:50,480
Speaker 4: State won twenty fourteen and twenty seventeen. Fresno State won

457
00:20:50,520 --> 00:20:53,359
Speaker 4: it in twenty eighteen. Each of the last two games

458
00:20:53,359 --> 00:20:55,440
Speaker 4: have been decided by just three points. And we mentioned

459
00:20:55,480 --> 00:20:58,800
Speaker 4: that twenty eighteen season. By the way, Jeff Tedford head coach,

460
00:20:59,400 --> 00:21:01,760
Speaker 4: that was the lit last season before he left. The

461
00:21:01,800 --> 00:21:04,840
Speaker 4: following season after health reasons. Now his first year back

462
00:21:05,000 --> 00:21:07,680
Speaker 4: brings them back to the championship game. This is the

463
00:21:07,720 --> 00:21:10,720
Speaker 4: Something's got to give game, because on one hand, Boise

464
00:21:10,760 --> 00:21:13,480
Speaker 4: State is seven to one since Taylor Green took over

465
00:21:13,560 --> 00:21:17,000
Speaker 4: as a starting quarterback. Their only loss was by three

466
00:21:17,040 --> 00:21:21,119
Speaker 4: points with less than two minutes to play against Boise BYU.

467
00:21:21,480 --> 00:21:24,560
Speaker 4: On the other hand, Presno State is six and one

468
00:21:24,720 --> 00:21:28,119
Speaker 4: in games with Jake Hayner, and even with Hayter missing

469
00:21:28,160 --> 00:21:30,840
Speaker 4: the third of the season, the Bulldogs finished fifteenth in

470
00:21:30,880 --> 00:21:33,560
Speaker 4: the country and success rate on offense top twenty five

471
00:21:33,760 --> 00:21:37,520
Speaker 4: running pass. We've talked about them all year, Hayn Morino,

472
00:21:37,600 --> 00:21:39,960
Speaker 4: cropperd Nico Romigio, Zane.

473
00:21:39,680 --> 00:21:43,400
Speaker 5: Pope, Jordan Mims. This offense is loaded.

474
00:21:43,800 --> 00:21:46,000
Speaker 4: They're the best offense in the conference, and they're going

475
00:21:46,080 --> 00:21:50,600
Speaker 4: up against the best defense in the conference. Boise State's

476
00:21:50,600 --> 00:21:53,200
Speaker 4: fourth in the country and success right on defense. They

477
00:21:53,240 --> 00:21:56,760
Speaker 4: are number one in the nation against the pass. They

478
00:21:56,760 --> 00:21:57,840
Speaker 4: are so good.

479
00:21:57,600 --> 00:21:59,639
Speaker 5: At getting their hand on the ball and.

480
00:21:59,440 --> 00:22:03,560
Speaker 4: Breaking up passes. That being said, you know, I don't

481
00:22:03,560 --> 00:22:05,320
Speaker 4: totally hate you're over either. I do think as good

482
00:22:05,359 --> 00:22:08,320
Speaker 4: as his poison defenses, I think Hayter's good enough to

483
00:22:08,359 --> 00:22:10,600
Speaker 4: overcome that I think he's still gonna get his He's

484
00:22:10,680 --> 00:22:14,240
Speaker 4: He's unbelievable. And the one area Boise State does struggle

485
00:22:14,359 --> 00:22:16,720
Speaker 4: is giving up big plays against the pass.

486
00:22:17,040 --> 00:22:19,160
Speaker 5: Their secondary is sick. They're really good.

487
00:22:19,160 --> 00:22:21,080
Speaker 4: They have great hands, like I said they I think

488
00:22:21,119 --> 00:22:24,240
Speaker 4: they're third in the country and passes broken up, but

489
00:22:24,480 --> 00:22:28,639
Speaker 4: sometimes they gamble. Sometimes they'll dive to break up a

490
00:22:28,680 --> 00:22:32,200
Speaker 4: pass and if they miss, it's a house call. So

491
00:22:32,600 --> 00:22:35,160
Speaker 4: I do think points can be scored here. They put

492
00:22:35,200 --> 00:22:38,040
Speaker 4: these two teams played earlier this year. Boise State won

493
00:22:38,200 --> 00:22:41,080
Speaker 4: forty to twenty, but that was without Hater and while

494
00:22:41,080 --> 00:22:44,560
Speaker 4: the defense was torched on the ground by you mentioned Tillaate.

495
00:22:44,840 --> 00:22:47,360
Speaker 5: And Gentry has been awesome too.

496
00:22:47,400 --> 00:22:49,960
Speaker 4: This freshman running back is gonna be sick, but they

497
00:22:50,000 --> 00:22:52,159
Speaker 4: did keep Tayling Green in check. They held him to

498
00:22:52,200 --> 00:22:54,440
Speaker 4: one hundred and twenty seven yards passing in just twenty

499
00:22:54,480 --> 00:22:57,960
Speaker 4: two yards rushing on eleven carries. I think the Freslo

500
00:22:58,040 --> 00:22:59,840
Speaker 4: State defense is a little bit better than they get credit.

501
00:23:00,119 --> 00:23:03,000
Speaker 4: Or this is another game where if you listen to

502
00:23:03,080 --> 00:23:06,399
Speaker 4: US preseason, I have a Fresno State plus three hundred ticket.

503
00:23:07,200 --> 00:23:10,639
Speaker 4: They're a dog here and I'm still letting it ride again,

504
00:23:10,760 --> 00:23:13,080
Speaker 4: headging is still for cowards. I like I thought I

505
00:23:13,119 --> 00:23:15,080
Speaker 4: ted President State was gonna win the conference before the season.

506
00:23:15,080 --> 00:23:17,920
Speaker 4: I still think they're gonna win it. But I do

507
00:23:18,000 --> 00:23:20,120
Speaker 4: think this is gonna be a very close game. This

508
00:23:20,160 --> 00:23:23,080
Speaker 4: is one of those games where I'm pretty confident it'll

509
00:23:23,080 --> 00:23:26,359
Speaker 4: be decided by three points or less on either side.

510
00:23:26,359 --> 00:23:28,280
Speaker 4: If you gave me Boise State plus three and a half,

511
00:23:28,320 --> 00:23:30,720
Speaker 4: I would take it. Fresno State plus three and a half,

512
00:23:30,800 --> 00:23:33,639
Speaker 4: I would take it. That's what I'm getting right now,

513
00:23:33,840 --> 00:23:35,359
Speaker 4: three in the hook. If it went to two and

514
00:23:35,400 --> 00:23:37,320
Speaker 4: a half, I'd probably switched to kind of year over.

515
00:23:37,440 --> 00:23:40,280
Speaker 4: I do like that as well. But I'm taking the

516
00:23:40,280 --> 00:23:42,960
Speaker 4: Bulldogs plus three and a half. I just think this

517
00:23:43,040 --> 00:23:45,920
Speaker 4: comes down to the end. I think it's gonna be

518
00:23:46,040 --> 00:23:48,439
Speaker 4: back and forth contest. I think Jake Hanner is the

519
00:23:48,440 --> 00:23:51,080
Speaker 4: best player in this game. I think Jeff Tedford is

520
00:23:51,080 --> 00:23:53,520
Speaker 4: the best coach in this game. Give me the Bulldogs.

521
00:23:53,600 --> 00:23:55,280
Speaker 4: I think they get it done. I think they get revenge.

522
00:23:55,320 --> 00:23:57,240
Speaker 4: Like I said, Boise beat up on them in that

523
00:23:57,280 --> 00:23:58,560
Speaker 4: first game, but that was without Hayter.

524
00:23:58,720 --> 00:24:00,679
Speaker 5: Now they have them back. I think he's just too

525
00:24:00,720 --> 00:24:03,520
Speaker 5: good here. I'm taking the Bulldogs.

526
00:24:03,160 --> 00:24:06,120
Speaker 1: You brought up Boise's defense, and I think they are

527
00:24:06,200 --> 00:24:08,520
Speaker 1: certainly a bona fide top fifteen defense, but they have

528
00:24:08,760 --> 00:24:13,400
Speaker 1: feasted on some really bad Moundwest Conference offenses. And when

529
00:24:13,440 --> 00:24:15,639
Speaker 1: you look at that game that you mentioned, they're loss

530
00:24:15,640 --> 00:24:19,000
Speaker 1: to BYU Jaren Hall three hundred and seventy seven yards

531
00:24:19,160 --> 00:24:21,399
Speaker 1: three passing touchdowns. They ran for one hundred and fifty

532
00:24:21,400 --> 00:24:23,200
Speaker 1: five as well. I think that's what we're going to

533
00:24:23,280 --> 00:24:25,600
Speaker 1: see that game HiT's fifty nine. I think we're going

534
00:24:25,680 --> 00:24:27,720
Speaker 1: to see this game in the load to mid sixties.

535
00:24:27,920 --> 00:24:30,480
Speaker 1: I think it's going to cruise past it and it's

536
00:24:30,520 --> 00:24:32,040
Speaker 1: really going to come down to big plays and the

537
00:24:32,040 --> 00:24:34,240
Speaker 1: fact that Boise finally can bring somebody to the table

538
00:24:34,240 --> 00:24:37,199
Speaker 1: in that category with Green's athleticism, I think that's going

539
00:24:37,280 --> 00:24:38,679
Speaker 1: to help aid this over all.

540
00:24:38,760 --> 00:24:41,400
Speaker 2: Right, before we continue, as a reminder, the Big Bets

541
00:24:41,400 --> 00:24:44,919
Speaker 2: on Campus podcast is probably presented by bet MGM. So

542
00:24:45,119 --> 00:24:47,320
Speaker 2: kick off the new Pro football season with the King

543
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544
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547
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548
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549
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550
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551
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553
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554
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555
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556
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558
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562
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563
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564
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565
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566
00:25:56,080 --> 00:25:58,440
Speaker 2: about your gambling or someone close to you, please contact

567
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568
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569
00:26:03,800 --> 00:26:06,200
Speaker 2: of charge. Sports betting is voyd in Georgia, f Hawaii, Ohio,

570
00:26:06,280 --> 00:26:09,080
Speaker 2: and Utah and other states were profited. Promotional offers not

571
00:26:09,119 --> 00:26:11,160
Speaker 2: available in Nevada and New York.

572
00:26:11,640 --> 00:26:14,400
Speaker 1: All Right, we turned to our final G five Conference

573
00:26:14,440 --> 00:26:19,280
Speaker 1: championship game, the AAC title bout between UCF and Tulane

574
00:26:19,320 --> 00:26:21,800
Speaker 1: to lane at home at Yeoman Stadium, laying three and

575
00:26:21,840 --> 00:26:24,360
Speaker 1: a half in the rematch. The total here is set

576
00:26:24,400 --> 00:26:25,040
Speaker 1: at fifty six.

577
00:26:25,000 --> 00:26:25,480
Speaker 3: And a half.

578
00:26:26,080 --> 00:26:28,920
Speaker 1: UCF remains just a really difficult team to handicap.

579
00:26:28,920 --> 00:26:29,720
Speaker 3: They're a bit of a mystery.

580
00:26:29,720 --> 00:26:31,760
Speaker 1: They've won four of their last five, so they dropped

581
00:26:31,760 --> 00:26:34,959
Speaker 1: a game seventeen fourteen to four and seven Navy. They

582
00:26:34,960 --> 00:26:37,200
Speaker 1: could play Mikey Keane, who's more of a pocket passer.

583
00:26:37,280 --> 00:26:40,760
Speaker 1: They could go to John Rice Plumbley, who knows what

584
00:26:40,880 --> 00:26:42,240
Speaker 1: kind of combination they're gonna.

585
00:26:42,000 --> 00:26:45,520
Speaker 3: Go with here. But the reality is their.

586
00:26:45,400 --> 00:26:48,080
Speaker 1: Offense is a tempo offense. They need to continue to

587
00:26:48,080 --> 00:26:50,280
Speaker 1: pick up first downs. They get stronger as drives go on.

588
00:26:50,320 --> 00:26:52,639
Speaker 1: They're ninth nationally and third down conversions. But in that

589
00:26:52,720 --> 00:26:54,840
Speaker 1: Navy game they went three for twelve, So they can

590
00:26:54,960 --> 00:26:57,320
Speaker 1: shoot themselves in the foot. As someone who was on

591
00:26:57,359 --> 00:26:59,440
Speaker 1: the wrong side of their game against Louisville, I saw

592
00:26:59,440 --> 00:27:01,879
Speaker 1: what it looks like when they can't get those you know,

593
00:27:02,080 --> 00:27:05,600
Speaker 1: six to ten play drives going. It really shows in

594
00:27:05,680 --> 00:27:08,200
Speaker 1: terms of kind of being stuck in the mud, being

595
00:27:08,200 --> 00:27:10,160
Speaker 1: stuck in neutral and on the other side of the thing.

596
00:27:10,200 --> 00:27:12,800
Speaker 1: Two Lane's offense remains white hot. I mean, the Green

597
00:27:12,840 --> 00:27:15,439
Speaker 1: Waves average almost thirty eight points per game across their

598
00:27:15,480 --> 00:27:19,200
Speaker 1: last six Tajy Spears has realized all of his potential

599
00:27:19,560 --> 00:27:22,840
Speaker 1: the you know Louisiana Bourne High School, you know stud

600
00:27:23,000 --> 00:27:25,520
Speaker 1: that they're able to keep in state. He's been on

601
00:27:25,680 --> 00:27:28,159
Speaker 1: an incredible tear across that six game stretch as well,

602
00:27:28,160 --> 00:27:29,800
Speaker 1: one hundred and forty four yards per game in the

603
00:27:29,800 --> 00:27:33,200
Speaker 1: ground with nine total touchdowns. Central Florida is.

604
00:27:33,280 --> 00:27:34,280
Speaker 3: Stout against the run.

605
00:27:34,320 --> 00:27:36,280
Speaker 1: But when you look at their first matchup, they gave

606
00:27:36,359 --> 00:27:37,960
Speaker 1: up big plays to Spears.

607
00:27:38,160 --> 00:27:38,840
Speaker 3: He hit them with.

608
00:27:38,800 --> 00:27:41,120
Speaker 1: A handful of long runs in that game. The Knights

609
00:27:41,119 --> 00:27:44,280
Speaker 1: are eighty third in explosiveness allowed on the grounds. I

610
00:27:44,320 --> 00:27:46,199
Speaker 1: think that's going to be the difference here. I'm going

611
00:27:46,240 --> 00:27:48,200
Speaker 1: to go ahead with the Green Wave in the rematch

612
00:27:48,320 --> 00:27:50,280
Speaker 1: lay in three and a half. I think this number

613
00:27:50,320 --> 00:27:52,680
Speaker 1: is pretty well calibrated, but I'm going to go ahead

614
00:27:52,680 --> 00:27:54,480
Speaker 1: and lay it, even with the hook going against me

615
00:27:54,640 --> 00:27:56,480
Speaker 1: and that key number. What are your thoughts on the

616
00:27:56,560 --> 00:28:01,200
Speaker 1: Knights versus the Green Wave in the big easy.

617
00:28:00,200 --> 00:28:03,080
Speaker 4: I went back and forth on this all week, well

618
00:28:03,160 --> 00:28:05,879
Speaker 4: half the week until Wednesday. I think this is one

619
00:28:05,880 --> 00:28:09,359
Speaker 4: of those games where if if you told me I

620
00:28:09,440 --> 00:28:11,600
Speaker 4: had to write up a case for Tulane, I could

621
00:28:11,640 --> 00:28:14,439
Speaker 4: do it easily and make it super convincing and you know,

622
00:28:15,040 --> 00:28:15,880
Speaker 4: be so.

623
00:28:15,720 --> 00:28:17,960
Speaker 5: Confident in it. And if you told me I had.

624
00:28:17,880 --> 00:28:19,800
Speaker 4: To do the same for UCF, I could do the same.

625
00:28:20,280 --> 00:28:23,440
Speaker 4: So I've kind of switched back and forth on who

626
00:28:23,520 --> 00:28:27,399
Speaker 4: I like, but instead I've settled on it's probably my

627
00:28:27,480 --> 00:28:29,400
Speaker 4: best bet of the week, and I think a lot

628
00:28:29,440 --> 00:28:32,080
Speaker 4: of what you just said is a good argument for

629
00:28:32,160 --> 00:28:34,920
Speaker 4: me as well. I like over fifty six and a

630
00:28:34,960 --> 00:28:38,680
Speaker 4: half because in the first meeting between these two teams,

631
00:28:38,880 --> 00:28:43,120
Speaker 4: UCF one thirty eight to thirty one in an absolute shootout,

632
00:28:43,200 --> 00:28:45,880
Speaker 4: and they got it done by John Rice Plumbley going

633
00:28:45,920 --> 00:28:49,280
Speaker 4: off for one hundred and seventy six yards and two touchdowns.

634
00:28:49,280 --> 00:28:49,920
Speaker 5: On the ground.

635
00:28:50,560 --> 00:28:52,680
Speaker 4: You see f for US for three hundred and thirty

636
00:28:52,680 --> 00:28:55,920
Speaker 4: six yards and four touchdowns. They averaged six point two

637
00:28:56,000 --> 00:28:59,360
Speaker 4: yards per Kerry. I don't see why that's going to

638
00:28:59,360 --> 00:29:01,880
Speaker 4: be any different this time around because that's UCF game

639
00:29:01,920 --> 00:29:04,000
Speaker 4: all year. They run the football and they do it

640
00:29:04,120 --> 00:29:06,480
Speaker 4: very well. They have two stud running backs and Isaiah

641
00:29:06,480 --> 00:29:07,040
Speaker 4: Bowser and R.

642
00:29:07,080 --> 00:29:07,280
Speaker 5: RJ.

643
00:29:07,400 --> 00:29:10,120
Speaker 4: Harvey, and Plumbing has been a killer with his legs.

644
00:29:10,320 --> 00:29:14,360
Speaker 4: They're fourteenth in rushing success and this two lane defense

645
00:29:14,800 --> 00:29:16,760
Speaker 4: is one hundred and fifth in line yards. They just

646
00:29:16,800 --> 00:29:19,120
Speaker 4: gave up two hundred and thirty five yards and three

647
00:29:19,160 --> 00:29:22,160
Speaker 4: touchdowns to a Cincinnati team that hasn't run the ball

648
00:29:22,320 --> 00:29:25,440
Speaker 4: all season. So I think UCF is going to continue

649
00:29:25,480 --> 00:29:27,720
Speaker 4: to get whatever they want on the ground. If they

650
00:29:27,720 --> 00:29:30,120
Speaker 4: do get into situations they need to pass. They We've

651
00:29:30,160 --> 00:29:32,560
Speaker 4: seen Mikey King come in and be successful to the air.

652
00:29:33,040 --> 00:29:34,960
Speaker 4: I still don't think plumbing's that bad throwing it, but

653
00:29:35,000 --> 00:29:36,520
Speaker 4: they do have that kind of ace in the hole

654
00:29:36,640 --> 00:29:38,560
Speaker 4: they get down and need to throw it. I like

655
00:29:38,640 --> 00:29:41,000
Speaker 4: having that they can bring in keen to throw them

656
00:29:41,040 --> 00:29:43,840
Speaker 4: back into a game. And you said it, this two

657
00:29:43,920 --> 00:29:46,360
Speaker 4: lane offense is just humming.

658
00:29:46,720 --> 00:29:47,000
Speaker 1: Ty J.

659
00:29:47,160 --> 00:29:48,400
Speaker 5: Spears has been awesome.

660
00:29:48,480 --> 00:29:48,800
Speaker 2: He is.

661
00:29:49,960 --> 00:29:51,560
Speaker 4: He's just every time he touches the ball, you're like,

662
00:29:51,600 --> 00:29:54,000
Speaker 4: he may take it eighty yards. Like he's just that electric.

663
00:29:54,360 --> 00:29:56,440
Speaker 4: He's that good. He's been so good down the stretch.

664
00:29:57,640 --> 00:30:01,040
Speaker 4: He's just so shifty and like you said, you see

665
00:30:01,080 --> 00:30:04,520
Speaker 4: has been good against the run on a per play basis,

666
00:30:04,520 --> 00:30:06,520
Speaker 4: but they've given up big plays, which is what Spears

667
00:30:06,600 --> 00:30:07,480
Speaker 4: his best at.

668
00:30:07,720 --> 00:30:10,360
Speaker 5: And then Michael Pratt he I don't know if this

669
00:30:10,400 --> 00:30:12,200
Speaker 5: is gonna make sense, but it does in my head.

670
00:30:12,640 --> 00:30:16,200
Speaker 4: He's one of those guys that's just he's not really

671
00:30:16,240 --> 00:30:19,200
Speaker 4: great at anything, and like he's not gonna put up

672
00:30:19,280 --> 00:30:23,640
Speaker 4: huge numbers and you're not really sure why, but like

673
00:30:24,400 --> 00:30:26,880
Speaker 4: he's just good at football. Like you just watch him

674
00:30:26,920 --> 00:30:28,880
Speaker 4: play and you're like, bad, dude's good at football. I

675
00:30:28,880 --> 00:30:31,280
Speaker 4: don't know why or what it is about him, He's

676
00:30:31,400 --> 00:30:32,280
Speaker 4: just good at football.

677
00:30:32,680 --> 00:30:34,080
Speaker 5: He's basically the opposite of Will Legs.

678
00:30:34,080 --> 00:30:37,640
Speaker 4: We will Leavish like Cannon arm super athletic, not good

679
00:30:37,640 --> 00:30:41,400
Speaker 4: at football, where Michael Pratt is like Okay arm sneaky, athletic,

680
00:30:41,960 --> 00:30:44,400
Speaker 4: good at football. He just gets the job done. So

681
00:30:44,480 --> 00:30:47,560
Speaker 4: I like having him there because we saw it a Cincinnati.

682
00:30:47,600 --> 00:30:49,600
Speaker 4: They used a big play late, he came up with it.

683
00:30:50,480 --> 00:30:52,760
Speaker 4: Both of these defenses have kind of slipped as the

684
00:30:52,800 --> 00:30:56,920
Speaker 4: season's gone on. They're not neither ones really playing at

685
00:30:56,920 --> 00:31:01,040
Speaker 4: a peak level right now. Where Banks offense is humming,

686
00:31:01,040 --> 00:31:03,760
Speaker 4: and I still trust UCF's offense, especially on the ground.

687
00:31:04,360 --> 00:31:06,600
Speaker 4: I think we've seen another shootout here. I'm not really

688
00:31:06,640 --> 00:31:07,280
Speaker 4: sure who wins.

689
00:31:07,280 --> 00:31:08,280
Speaker 5: To be honest, I think.

690
00:31:08,120 --> 00:31:10,080
Speaker 4: Either team could win, but I think it's going to

691
00:31:10,080 --> 00:31:12,440
Speaker 4: be another high scoring, back and forth game.

692
00:31:13,040 --> 00:31:13,880
Speaker 5: I love the over here.

693
00:31:14,800 --> 00:31:16,520
Speaker 1: And this is the fun thing about the G five,

694
00:31:16,600 --> 00:31:19,800
Speaker 1: about our Deep Dive podcast in general, the fact that

695
00:31:20,000 --> 00:31:22,080
Speaker 1: every year there's a chance for a team to have

696
00:31:22,080 --> 00:31:24,680
Speaker 1: a special season. This would be the green Waves first

697
00:31:24,720 --> 00:31:27,080
Speaker 1: conference championships since nineteen ninety eight, when they had Sean

698
00:31:27,200 --> 00:31:30,280
Speaker 1: King and Tommy Bowden as their head coach. In Rich

699
00:31:30,360 --> 00:31:32,640
Speaker 1: Rod running the offense that he would end up becoming

700
00:31:32,680 --> 00:31:35,080
Speaker 1: famous for at West Virginia. So it's just fun to

701
00:31:35,160 --> 00:31:38,200
Speaker 1: see a fan base really get rewarded. I think it's

702
00:31:38,200 --> 00:31:41,120
Speaker 1: going to be a zoo at Yeoman Stadium in New

703
00:31:41,200 --> 00:31:44,720
Speaker 1: Orleans on Saturday, so I'm holding for the Green Wave

704
00:31:44,760 --> 00:31:46,920
Speaker 1: also to give him a shout out. I did call

705
00:31:47,080 --> 00:31:50,520
Speaker 1: for them as a flyer at the preseason show at

706
00:31:50,520 --> 00:31:52,600
Speaker 1: thirty five to one to win the AAC, so I'm

707
00:31:52,600 --> 00:31:53,920
Speaker 1: gonna have a little hedge there as well.

708
00:31:53,960 --> 00:31:54,560
Speaker 3: For myself.

709
00:31:55,240 --> 00:31:57,680
Speaker 5: It also is a sense of UCF's going to be

710
00:31:57,680 --> 00:31:59,240
Speaker 5: in the Big twelve next year. It's a kind of

711
00:31:59,280 --> 00:32:01,880
Speaker 5: your fighting. Your fighting for the AAC, you're fighting for

712
00:32:02,040 --> 00:32:02,680
Speaker 5: the G five.

713
00:32:02,920 --> 00:32:06,200
Speaker 4: You can't let you seem take that AAC title up

714
00:32:06,240 --> 00:32:07,040
Speaker 4: to the Big twelve.

715
00:32:07,200 --> 00:32:08,600
Speaker 5: I like the over more so I think both teams

716
00:32:08,600 --> 00:32:09,440
Speaker 5: are able to fall.

717
00:32:09,880 --> 00:32:11,960
Speaker 1: So no cutting room floor this week. We left it

718
00:32:12,000 --> 00:32:14,720
Speaker 1: all on the gambling fields. We got plays for all

719
00:32:14,800 --> 00:32:17,240
Speaker 1: five of the title games. Here a reminder to our

720
00:32:17,320 --> 00:32:21,280
Speaker 1: audience that's the Power five Conference preview between Colin and

721
00:32:21,280 --> 00:32:23,800
Speaker 1: Stuckey is going to come out one day earlier this week,

722
00:32:23,840 --> 00:32:25,720
Speaker 1: so make sure to check your podcast feeds for that,

723
00:32:26,240 --> 00:32:29,040
Speaker 1: and also our college basketball podcast is back on a

724
00:32:29,040 --> 00:32:32,000
Speaker 1: weekly basis. That's the three man weave, so by the

725
00:32:32,000 --> 00:32:35,080
Speaker 1: time you're listening to this, it's probably also available anywhere

726
00:32:35,280 --> 00:32:38,360
Speaker 1: fine podcasts are sold, so make sure to download, subscribe,

727
00:32:38,560 --> 00:32:41,000
Speaker 1: like comment, All of it is really helpful for us.

728
00:32:41,240 --> 00:32:43,320
Speaker 3: For Mike Ianello, I'm Mike Calbary. Thank you so much

729
00:32:43,320 --> 00:32:43,920
Speaker 3: for listening to the.

730
00:32:43,840 --> 00:32:45,840
Speaker 1: Group of five Deep Dive under the Big Bets on

731
00:32:45,920 --> 00:32:47,960
Speaker 1: Campus banner brought to you by bet MGM.

732
00:32:48,200 --> 00:32:50,400
Speaker 3: Have a great weekend and enjoy the ten.

733
00:32:50,320 --> 00:33:02,000
Speaker 1: Commerce Championship games across the entire slate. Eight