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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites from the Action Network. I'm your

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Speaker 1: host Brandon Kravitz, joined by my fellow d Jens. Your

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Speaker 1: new crew here at the Favorites, Kendrick Middleton and the

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Speaker 1: Prime Minister of Degenerate Nation Stucky with us today. On

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Speaker 1: today's show, we're going to submit our official plays for

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Speaker 1: week three in the NFL. We've got sides. We'll talk totals,

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Speaker 1: props and put together our three Musketeers parlay. Everything is

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Speaker 1: on the table. Like and subscribe wherever it is that

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Speaker 1: you are tuned in. All right, guys, update on the

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Speaker 1: concert last night, sleep Token not bad, pretty good performers.

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Speaker 1: You know now my genre of music, but I enjoyed it.

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Speaker 1: You got to lean into the moment. A lot of

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Speaker 1: aggressive head nodding in the crowd, a lot of fishnet stockings,

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Speaker 1: some medieval garb in there. I wore you guys told

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Speaker 1: me to wear black. So I went to the Spirit

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Speaker 1: Halloween Store because I couldn't think of where else I

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Speaker 1: could get something that kind of fit the vibe. So

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Speaker 1: I went with this here for the for those watching

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Speaker 1: on video, this Jason mask shirt that says I wish

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Speaker 1: it was Friday. Are we good with this.

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Speaker 2: That is the most millennial dad thing I've ever seen

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Speaker 2: in my life. Are we kidding?

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Speaker 1: I walk out of the bathroom last night before we

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Speaker 1: go to the concert. My wife goes, what are you doing?

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Speaker 1: I was like, I'm leaning into the moment, and she's like, no,

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Speaker 1: that's not what people wear to this.

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Speaker 3: It seems like you're fishing for a compliment now that

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Speaker 3: you didn't get last night. You're the only chance.

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Speaker 1: I have at this point.

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Speaker 3: Amazing shirt.

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Speaker 1: We'll start with our shrimply unbelievable stat of the week,

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Speaker 1: courtesy of Action Network Director of Research, Evan Abrams collabsed

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Speaker 1: with Kendra's Lovely and Pregnant Rainbow Shrimp, Monica Lashrimsky and

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Speaker 1: Oj Shrimpson. How they doing, By the way, before we

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Speaker 1: get to the stats, how the yes, I don't know

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Speaker 1: how long the pregnancy lasts for a.

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Speaker 4: Trump, She's sognant, she's so pregnant. I have been trying

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Speaker 4: to wait to change her water and add chemicals in

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Speaker 4: there because obviously it evaporates as water does, because I

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Speaker 4: don't want to disrupt her flow. But it's getting to

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Speaker 4: a point where I need to do it. I just

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Speaker 4: I'm nervous she's been pregnant for so long. I don't

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Speaker 4: know if it has something to do with the incess bit.

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Speaker 1: Take them to the shrimp doctor. I guess we'll figure

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Speaker 1: out what's going on, all right, you guys take your pick.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna run through three that Evan dropped into our

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Speaker 1: chat here because I could not decide which one stood

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Speaker 1: out to me the most. They're all pretty amazing, shrimply unbelievable.

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Speaker 1: I should say, let's stick to the branding. NFL closing

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Speaker 1: favorites of four points or more are twelve and oho

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Speaker 1: straight up this season. First time in NFL history that

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Speaker 1: faves of four points or more are undefeated straight up

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Speaker 1: through two weeks. Okay, so lock that one in your

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Speaker 1: memory bank. Number two an underdog on short rest, tough spot.

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Speaker 1: That's Miami, Houston, Las Vegas. These teams are twenty nine

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Speaker 1: one oh one straight up twenty two percent over the

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Speaker 1: last three seasons. C J Stroud one in three in

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Speaker 1: that spot, Tua who plays tonight as of this recording,

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Speaker 1: and five straight up Gino Smith oh to nine. Okay. Third,

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Speaker 1: Caleb Williams has started seven career NFL games in the

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Speaker 1: afternoon or primetime window. Four pm or later. The Bears

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Speaker 1: are zero to seven straight up in those games, losing

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Speaker 1: by an average of eleven point one points per game.

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Speaker 1: As a Bears backer, this one wants to make me

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Speaker 1: absolutely puke stucky. Which of those? I know, that's a

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Speaker 1: lot right there to digest. Which of those stands out

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Speaker 1: to you the most?

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Speaker 3: I mean, anything in week three? Week three is all

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Speaker 3: about trying not to overreact. So and that's to Caleb

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Speaker 3: Williams time. That doesn't really do anything for me. But

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Speaker 3: a lot of the trends that you'll read in Evan's

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Speaker 3: piece and that you'll read a mind and then we'll

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Speaker 3: talk about here and on the Action Over podcast that

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Speaker 3: I just did with Rayvaughn, they're about how in week

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Speaker 3: three you would have been better off just sleeping or

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Speaker 3: going to concerts through the first two weeks of the

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Speaker 3: NFL and not having any idea of what went on

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Speaker 3: and not seeing anything to cloud your judgment like a

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Speaker 3: lot of like professional betters, you're better off sticking with

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Speaker 3: what you had prior, your priors prior to the year

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Speaker 3: than updating anything really drastically. Because it's a sample size

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Speaker 3: of two. For example, we just don't know how yeah,

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Speaker 3: just two games, you'd take any So if you went

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Speaker 3: back last year and you just took any random subset

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Speaker 3: of two games for a team, probably doesn't tell the

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Speaker 3: picture or paint the picture of what that team really was.

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Speaker 3: So for example, are the Colts really now? The greatest

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Speaker 3: show under is Daniel Jones now? And I'll but probably not.

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Speaker 3: He's more likely than not to turn back into a pumpkin.

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Speaker 3: And the Colts probably won't look this good all year.

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Speaker 3: So anything like that and what that leads to this week,

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Speaker 3: there is usually an underdog week. Week three hunderdogs are

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Speaker 3: fifty five percent against the spread teams that are zero

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Speaker 3: and two, right, So all right, I just saw this

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Speaker 3: team lose twice. They look awful. I don't I really

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Speaker 3: don't want to bet them. The market might be overselling

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Speaker 3: them a bunch or too much. Own two underdogs. Historically,

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Speaker 3: since twenty forty and twenty one against the spread, that's

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Speaker 3: close to sixty six percent covering by a field goal

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Speaker 3: per game. So for example, tonight, who wants to bet

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Speaker 3: the Dolphins after what we've seen? They haven't, they haven't

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Speaker 3: covered a game, they look awful, and the Bills just

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Speaker 3: they beat the Ravens and then blow out the Jets.

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Speaker 3: Who's everyone's favorite underdog darling last week? Including mine? I

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Speaker 3: bet them, and by the way I fell for it.

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Speaker 3: I looked at the Jets week one, we talked about

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Speaker 3: this cloud in my judgment, and guess what, Fields was

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Speaker 3: still pumpkin and the Jets still look bad. So by

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Speaker 3: the way I did bet the Dolphins tonight, partly is

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Speaker 3: just like this line's too high. Take about what I saw.

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Speaker 3: So anything that speaks to like the overreactions of week

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Speaker 3: one and two, those are the trends that I like

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Speaker 3: because it's just the overarching idea that look, ignore and

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Speaker 3: don't overreact. This is still the NFL.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm on the other side, by the way, so

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Speaker 1: we're gonna go opposite on the Thursday night football game.

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Speaker 1: I think that perhaps the Dolphins were just overrated going

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Speaker 1: into the season and we didn't realize just how bad

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Speaker 1: they are, and they are dealing with some offensive line injuries.

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Speaker 1: The Bills no Ed Oliver, no Matt Milano tonight, so

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Speaker 1: that is a big deal for them. Kendra, what about

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Speaker 1: the shrimply unbelieved.

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Speaker 3: Loser has to buy winner. Let's go ahead to have

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Speaker 3: loser by winner a Halloween shirt.

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Speaker 1: Of just a plain black T shirt we're getting from

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Speaker 1: Matt Mitchell in the chat. Yeah, okay, so we go

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Speaker 1: back to because you have a spirit Halloween store. Imagine

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Speaker 1: that's a nation wide chain this time of year, right,

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Speaker 1: you have one of those where you're at I have

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Speaker 1: no idea.

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Speaker 2: Wait, I have an idea. Have you guys seen like.

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Speaker 4: The Bachelor Bachelorette trips where they buy each other like

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Speaker 4: a T shirt with the worst saying that they can

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Speaker 4: possibly find on it. Loser gets to or wine to

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Speaker 4: buy the loser the craziest shirt they can find and

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Speaker 4: they have to wear it on an episode.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, for sure, I'm down for that. A virtual handshake

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Speaker 1: on that. Kendra, Well, I got twelve. We'll call it twelve. Okay,

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Speaker 1: we'll call it twelve and then if there's a push,

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Speaker 1: we'll both wear the shirt. All right, Kendra, what do

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Speaker 1: you got?

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Speaker 4: I brought my own stat and it is so stupid,

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Speaker 4: but I love a weird age.

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Speaker 1: I'm so excited for this. You how the world, how

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Speaker 1: in the world did you come up with this?

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Speaker 4: Anyway, just tell the people, No, I'm in a group chat. Okay,

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Speaker 4: so a bunch of my coworkers are really into like

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Speaker 4: numerology and astrology, which I'm not the biggest person in it,

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Speaker 4: but I love a weird angle for gambling at any point.

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Speaker 2: So this was in our group chat today. The game

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Speaker 2: between the Lions and the Ravens is on a waxing

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Speaker 2: crescent moon. The Lions are nine and one during waxing

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Speaker 2: crescent moons the last two seasons.

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Speaker 4: Hashtag astrology. I think I know where I'm going with this.

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Speaker 4: One nine and one's pretty nuts on.

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Speaker 2: A specific moon's that's pretty crazy.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I want to find the connecting angle to that. Stucky.

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Speaker 1: If I asked you to draw a waning crescent moon,

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Speaker 1: do you think you can do it?

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Speaker 2: It's waxing all it is.

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Speaker 3: If Jared Goff can see the moon, fade him. If

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Speaker 3: he can't inside a dome, bet him. That makes more

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Speaker 3: sense to me is I think it's about whether or

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Speaker 3: not golf can see the actual waxing, remaining moon. But

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Speaker 3: I can't say that I've ever dabbled in numerology. But

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Speaker 3: maybe maybe you got something there.

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Speaker 1: Yep, we got lunar caps here on the podcast today.

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Speaker 1: There is something to that he plays better in domes.

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Speaker 1: You can't see a moon, the moon in a dome,

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Speaker 1: and it looks like based on a quick Google search,

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Speaker 1: the waxing crescent is very little of the moon that

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Speaker 1: you can see, so perhaps it is a moon related stat.

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Speaker 1: The more of the moon that golf can see. We're

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Speaker 1: trying to help you out here, Kendra, The more of

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Speaker 1: the moon that golf can see, the less he performs. Well,

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Speaker 1: let's get to some of the updates for these quarterbacks.

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Speaker 1: Justin Fields is out that has done nothing but create

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Speaker 1: Jets movement in the market, which is just bizarre to me.

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Speaker 1: Tyron Taylor has that started a game since twenty twenty three.

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Speaker 1: This idea that he is even a half point improvement

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Speaker 1: to what Justin Fields was feels off to me. Now,

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Speaker 1: part of this could also be Luke Getticky is injured,

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Speaker 1: so the Bucks are dealing with even more offensive line injuries.

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Speaker 1: Collijah Kanci's out for the year. How do you read this, Stucky.

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Speaker 1: As far as the line movement that we're seeing, it

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Speaker 1: seems like there's a lot of Jets sentiment in the market.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I played the Jet I mean I played the

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Speaker 3: Jets again. I played them seven. I mean, think about it.

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Speaker 3: The Jets close five and a half home against the

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Speaker 3: Bills last week. Now, obviously they got blown out. The

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Speaker 3: Bills that just knew exactly what they were gonna run.

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Speaker 3: They were run blitzing, They blew up everything possible, and

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Speaker 3: the Jets were running a terrible defense against Josh. Against

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Speaker 3: Josh Allen, running like cover one, it was insane. Never

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Speaker 3: run like cover one against Ount. He's either gonna find

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Speaker 3: someone or he's just gonna run for first down, which

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Speaker 3: is what happened in the entire game. But that closed. The

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Speaker 3: Markets had five and a half and the Bills had

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Speaker 3: a couple of defensive injuries. But now you're going to Tampa.

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Speaker 3: Tampa's on a short week, they're banged up, and this

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Speaker 3: is seven like. So that's we're basically saying, like the

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Speaker 3: Bills and the Bucks are in the same neighborhood. Absolutely not.

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Speaker 3: I get Ty Taylor hasn't played in a while. He's

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Speaker 3: He's been very good against the number his career. He's

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Speaker 3: thirty four to twenty one and four against the spread,

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Speaker 3: sixty two percent, seven three and one against the spread

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Speaker 3: when catching seven or more. The drop off isn't drastic

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Speaker 3: like fields. His whole career has been a terrible passer.

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Speaker 3: We saw that in week two. We saw the flash

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Speaker 3: in the pan week one. That was obviously the exception

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Speaker 3: of the rule. But Tyrod Taylor is a professional back

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Speaker 3: up on the guy you want when you want to

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Speaker 3: cover a touchdown because he doesn't turn the ball over

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Speaker 3: top five all time among qualified quarterbacks an interception rate,

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Speaker 3: doesn't turn it over, can run the offense. And this

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Speaker 3: Bucks team like they honestly could be going too. They

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Speaker 3: won on basically the final play two weeks in a row.

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Speaker 3: Baker Mayfield is six turnover worthy plays, no interceptions. He's

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Speaker 3: been pretty fortunate and they could easily be ohing to

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Speaker 3: the Jets should have beat the Steelers. Like if the

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Speaker 3: Jets are sitting one and one and the Bucks are

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Speaker 3: rowing two, this line would have been four. Let's call

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Speaker 3: it a point for a point downgrade from Fields to Taylor,

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Speaker 3: this line I think should be around five. That's before

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Speaker 3: even accounting for all the Bucks injuries you mentioned Kancy,

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Speaker 3: They're still shortthanded at receiver. Worst is out one of

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Speaker 3: the best left tackles in the NFL. Geticky's most likely

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Speaker 3: going to miss. Solid right tackle. Then Cody Monk their

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Speaker 3: the right goal he's now out for the year. They're

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Speaker 3: down three starting offensive line mean, they've already had to

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Speaker 3: move their center to left tackle. Like it's a mess.

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Speaker 3: So look, ignore what you saw last week. I know

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Speaker 3: it's painful if you want to beat the Jets again

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Speaker 3: after what they did last week, but I got to

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Speaker 3: take the seven here, so I'm rolling with the Jets again.

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Speaker 3: Hopefully I don't end up with egg on my face again.

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Speaker 4: For me, it's more so just when does the Bucks

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Speaker 4: luck run out? I get that it's only week three.

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Speaker 4: I mean we did watch the Kansas City Chiefs carry

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Speaker 4: that luck through the entire season last year, so maybe

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Speaker 4: it just doesn't for certain teams, but they've got the

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Speaker 4: injury bug. The number is huge. Tyrod Taylor is a

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Speaker 4: pros pro. He can go out there and win you

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Speaker 4: a game two games. We've seen him do it throughout

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Speaker 4: his career.

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Speaker 2: For me, it's like, I just don't think that the

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Speaker 2: drop off is that significant between the two and the

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Speaker 2: number is just too big. Tyrod is a pros pro.

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Speaker 1: I agree the luck rank Kings do of the Bucks

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Speaker 1: pretty high over at Action Network. Before he pivot off

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Speaker 1: of this, Evan, if you could pop in one of

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Speaker 1: the stats that really stood out to me because I

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Speaker 1: want to be on Tampa, but I do respect where

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Speaker 1: STUCKYU and Kendra and where the market is coming from

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Speaker 1: on the Jets, and part of this, it's hard to

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Speaker 1: not ignore the fact that I was heavy on the

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Speaker 1: Jets last week. That was my number one play and

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Speaker 1: they burned me hard. Try not to bake that into

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Speaker 1: your analysis, but it's just human nature. This is Baker

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Speaker 1: Mayfield's eleventh start on short rest since twenty twenty in

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Speaker 1: those games, and his team scored twenty plus points nine

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Speaker 1: or more times overall, six and four against the spread

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Speaker 1: in those games. Evan, this is an interesting one to me,

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Speaker 1: the Baker on short rest. Not every trend, not every

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Speaker 1: stat that you put in the primer carries an equal

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Speaker 1: amount of weight. How much weight do you put into

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Speaker 1: that for the Baker's stat As far as how he

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Speaker 1: plays when he doesn't have a lot of time to prepare, I.

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Speaker 5: Mean, I think it's just he's an erratic quarterback. I

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Speaker 5: think the turnover where he plays at stuck mentioned earlier

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Speaker 5: in the fact that he's had no turns is kind

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Speaker 5: of kind of the way he plays football. So I

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Speaker 5: think the fact that he scores a lot of points.

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Speaker 5: I like the Jets plus seven. I'm with you guys

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Speaker 5: in terms of that play overall, just based off the injuries.

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Speaker 5: I think the short resting is just the fact that again,

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Speaker 5: like he's a passer in the past, a lot of turnovers,

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Speaker 5: a lot of interceptions, which leads to the other team

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Speaker 5: scoring points. I think the six and four number, I'd

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Speaker 5: have to look back, but I imagine some of those

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Speaker 5: games as underdogs.

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Speaker 3: But I doubt he's a favored by a touchdowner more

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Speaker 3: correct both games, and like.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, I would have to go back and see, I'm

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Speaker 5: not sure in any of those games he'd be favored

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Speaker 5: by that much. Would probably be a good added note

287
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Speaker 5: to it. So I think the weight is if anything,

288
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Speaker 5: I'd honestly look to the over like Tyrod not doing

289
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Speaker 5: a ton of turnovers, Like the totals come down two

290
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Speaker 5: and a half points or so from the open, So

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Speaker 5: maybe something to that in the sense that you know

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Speaker 5: Baker's gonna be slinging it here.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I do want to mention I took the Bucks

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Speaker 1: minus seven. I placed it on the app. I am

295
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Speaker 1: gonna look, I took the Bucks minus seven. I am

296
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Speaker 1: going to look to buy out of that at the

297
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Speaker 1: earliest possible opportunity. Right now, I see six and a

298
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Speaker 1: half's everywhere on the Jets, and so I'm gonna have

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Speaker 1: to wait to see if that pops back up.

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Speaker 3: They're still seven seven you can get a seven. Uh,

301
00:15:13,200 --> 00:15:16,760
Speaker 3: there's sevens of DraftKings last I checked. I will say

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Speaker 3: this could do the one thing. This could actually work

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Speaker 3: against him here in a short week because he did

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Speaker 3: get banged up a little bit at the end of

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Speaker 3: that game. Yeah right, he was able to finish, but

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Speaker 3: he heard his knee. Remember he went down. He gravitz.

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Speaker 3: We don't know your adrenaline's going was a game. If

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Speaker 3: that like flares up, he's gonna play. But like maybe

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Speaker 3: he's not his mobile. Maybe he's just not at one

310
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Speaker 3: hundred percent. I don't hate the total look. I think

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Speaker 3: the Jets will have to throw a bit more. They're

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Speaker 3: gonna have to change up their offense from what they

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Speaker 3: did last week a bit. They're gonna have some new looks,

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Speaker 3: probably that Tampa is not ready for. And maybe the

315
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Speaker 3: Bucks go tempo here because their offensive line is decimated,

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Speaker 3: Like they might have to start a rookie at guard.

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Speaker 3: So in order to keep that Jets pass rush at

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Speaker 3: Bay using tempo, which they were flying a bit last

319
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Speaker 3: week to protect their offensive line against those Texans pass rushers.

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Speaker 3: So you could see the Bucks maybe utilize a little

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Speaker 3: bit more tempo this week. So I don't hate that.

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Speaker 4: Look they were super productive running the ball, though, I

323
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Speaker 4: mean they were, they kind of kicked the shit out

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Speaker 4: of them, So I don't know. I don't know if

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Speaker 4: they change a whole lot. It's been working for them.

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Speaker 4: I get the injuries, but if it's working, it's working.

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Speaker 1: Uh. There's at least a chance that brock Purty starts

328
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Speaker 1: this week. He's taking reps behind Mac Jones. I actually

329
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Speaker 1: think he's third right now at practice, but if he

330
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Speaker 1: gears up for a full practice on Friday, there's a

331
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Speaker 1: chance that he plays as a forty nine ers better

332
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Speaker 1: this week. I honestly don't care. And we've seen that

333
00:16:37,520 --> 00:16:40,480
Speaker 1: line is it's been one of the biggest shifts so

334
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Speaker 1: far this week. I got the Niners money line at

335
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Speaker 1: plus one hundred right now they are minus two and

336
00:16:45,200 --> 00:16:48,880
Speaker 1: a half out there. I honestly don't care if Perdy plays,

337
00:16:48,880 --> 00:16:51,080
Speaker 1: and I'm kind of in on the Mac Jones experience.

338
00:16:52,160 --> 00:16:55,840
Speaker 1: Also Arizona. That team outscored nineteen to seven in the

339
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Speaker 1: second half against Kendrick sad Cats. So definitely a team

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Speaker 1: that I looking to fade. Where do you sit, Kendra.

341
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Speaker 1: As far as perhaps putting the mac Jones hate down

342
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Speaker 1: for a week and backing the Niners, I.

343
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Speaker 4: Don't want to take the cheese. That's where I'm at

344
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Speaker 4: in this game. It feels too obvious. It feels like

345
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Speaker 4: the forty nine Ers should be the choice here. Don't

346
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Speaker 4: care about the injuries, don't care if Prety plays. The

347
00:17:18,560 --> 00:17:22,600
Speaker 4: Cardinals do not deserve the wins that they've had this season.

348
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Speaker 4: They have looked like crap against terrible teams. And regardless

349
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Speaker 4: of the fact that the forty nine ers have a

350
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Speaker 4: lot of injuries, they draft well.

351
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Speaker 2: I'm higher on Kyle Shanahan than a lot of people.

352
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Speaker 4: I think that he gets a lot of hate, some

353
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Speaker 4: of it deserves, some of it not. This forty nine

354
00:17:36,119 --> 00:17:39,400
Speaker 4: Ers team just has depths that the Cardinals don't. I'm

355
00:17:39,480 --> 00:17:42,919
Speaker 4: actually going to make part of my personality hating Kyler

356
00:17:42,960 --> 00:17:45,160
Speaker 4: Murray at this point because of a social media post

357
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Speaker 4: he had this week. I'm so anti Kyler Murray now

358
00:17:47,960 --> 00:17:50,840
Speaker 4: it's not even funny, I'm praying on his downfall. So

359
00:17:51,040 --> 00:17:53,159
Speaker 4: regardless of if it's Mac Jones or Kyler Murray, I'm

360
00:17:53,200 --> 00:17:56,359
Speaker 4: gonna hate this game. This just feels too obvious with

361
00:17:56,440 --> 00:17:58,520
Speaker 4: the forty nine ers that I feel like, I'm like,

362
00:17:58,680 --> 00:18:02,199
Speaker 4: what am I missing? I'm trying to convince myself that

363
00:18:02,320 --> 00:18:05,560
Speaker 4: the bet that feels like the easy bet you shouldn't bet.

364
00:18:05,880 --> 00:18:07,840
Speaker 4: Am I wrong here for thinking that? Because I feel

365
00:18:07,840 --> 00:18:10,320
Speaker 4: like every time I'm like, that's easy money is when

366
00:18:10,359 --> 00:18:11,040
Speaker 4: I get burned.

367
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Speaker 3: I can't bet this game personally. Yeah, sometimes it can

368
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Speaker 3: feel like that in the NFL, or it might look

369
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Speaker 3: too easy for a reason. But I don't know if

370
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Speaker 3: pretty or Jones is going to play, and if Party

371
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Speaker 3: does plays one hundred pcent, I would assume they rest

372
00:18:28,520 --> 00:18:31,240
Speaker 3: him here. You know, there is a couple point difference.

373
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Speaker 3: But the other thing is the Cardinals second, I don't

374
00:18:32,840 --> 00:18:34,800
Speaker 3: know who's going to play in the Cardinal secondary. All

375
00:18:34,840 --> 00:18:37,040
Speaker 3: three of their corners are hurt. One went to IR

376
00:18:37,160 --> 00:18:40,920
Speaker 3: one didn't practice yesterday, And I was actually liking their

377
00:18:40,960 --> 00:18:44,520
Speaker 3: secondary coming into the year after some of the additions,

378
00:18:44,560 --> 00:18:47,200
Speaker 3: and will Johnson looked really good. He didn't practice yesterday.

379
00:18:48,200 --> 00:18:50,879
Speaker 3: Williams went on ir Melton was banged up, so like,

380
00:18:51,320 --> 00:18:56,320
Speaker 3: who's playing corner for the Cardinals. I don't know. This

381
00:18:56,400 --> 00:18:59,119
Speaker 3: is pure, pure stay away for me.

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Speaker 1: Time for an Evan Abrams trend. Here, the forty nine

383
00:19:02,680 --> 00:19:05,080
Speaker 1: Ers have an opportunity to start three and oh against

384
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Speaker 1: the spread against the Cardinals this week. That would be

385
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Speaker 1: the first time they've done that since two thousand and nine,

386
00:19:11,680 --> 00:19:14,760
Speaker 1: and that was their only three and oh ats start

387
00:19:14,840 --> 00:19:18,800
Speaker 1: in forty years. So, Kendra, you are on the money

388
00:19:19,000 --> 00:19:22,680
Speaker 1: with saying if it feels too easy, you might want

389
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Speaker 1: to stay away. I'm happy with where I'm sitting. This

390
00:19:24,840 --> 00:19:26,520
Speaker 1: is not a position that I want to buy out in,

391
00:19:26,560 --> 00:19:28,119
Speaker 1: but I got it at a really good price. I

392
00:19:28,160 --> 00:19:29,879
Speaker 1: don't think that forty nine Ers minus two and a

393
00:19:29,920 --> 00:19:32,719
Speaker 1: half is a smart bet right now. The most heavily

394
00:19:32,760 --> 00:19:35,359
Speaker 1: bet games of the week so far, according to Action

395
00:19:35,440 --> 00:19:39,240
Speaker 1: Network tracking Thursday Night Football. Those standalone spots are always

396
00:19:39,280 --> 00:19:43,400
Speaker 1: going to be high on the list. Packers, Browns, Chiefs Giants,

397
00:19:43,440 --> 00:19:47,080
Speaker 1: that's Sunday Night Football and Eagles Rams. These are some

398
00:19:47,280 --> 00:19:52,119
Speaker 1: really polarizing games for sports betters. A disclaimer that is

399
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Speaker 1: worth mentioning. And I know that we are on an

400
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Speaker 1: NFL betting podcast. But you do not have to bet

401
00:19:58,880 --> 00:20:02,880
Speaker 1: every game that's out there. Forget your fomo. Only bet

402
00:20:02,920 --> 00:20:04,880
Speaker 1: the games that you feel like you have a good

403
00:20:04,920 --> 00:20:07,040
Speaker 1: read on. I'm on eight games this week as it

404
00:20:07,080 --> 00:20:09,320
Speaker 1: stands right now, we'll probably end up adding more to

405
00:20:09,359 --> 00:20:11,639
Speaker 1: the mix. I have two teasers and a total. I

406
00:20:11,640 --> 00:20:13,879
Speaker 1: don't need my money tied up on the Cleveland Browns,

407
00:20:13,920 --> 00:20:19,120
Speaker 1: So guys, I'm good just staying away from this Packers Browns.

408
00:20:19,119 --> 00:20:20,679
Speaker 1: It feels like people are gonna want to bet this

409
00:20:20,760 --> 00:20:24,160
Speaker 1: game to make a statement a statement of how good

410
00:20:24,240 --> 00:20:27,040
Speaker 1: the Green Bay Packers are or a statement of how

411
00:20:27,080 --> 00:20:30,320
Speaker 1: big their balls are by betting on the Cleveland Browns

412
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Speaker 1: and taking the points here. So I'm it's a stay

413
00:20:34,520 --> 00:20:37,680
Speaker 1: away for me or either of you on this football game.

414
00:20:38,760 --> 00:20:40,480
Speaker 4: I wish I'd gotten in on the six and a half,

415
00:20:40,680 --> 00:20:42,360
Speaker 4: but I didn't get there in time. Because if I'd

416
00:20:42,359 --> 00:20:44,040
Speaker 4: gotten in on the six and a half, I probably

417
00:20:44,040 --> 00:20:45,760
Speaker 4: would have gotten in on it. The only thing that

418
00:20:45,880 --> 00:20:48,360
Speaker 4: I could potentially get to the window on is the

419
00:20:48,359 --> 00:20:50,280
Speaker 4: total of forty one and a half in this game,

420
00:20:50,480 --> 00:20:53,359
Speaker 4: just because I think what's likely to happen is the

421
00:20:53,400 --> 00:20:57,720
Speaker 4: Packers get up comfortably and then sit starters, and even

422
00:20:57,720 --> 00:20:59,399
Speaker 4: though they sit starters, I don't think it's going to

423
00:20:59,440 --> 00:21:00,680
Speaker 4: be that big of a I don't think the Browns

424
00:21:00,720 --> 00:21:02,159
Speaker 4: are going to be able to put up points. The

425
00:21:02,200 --> 00:21:05,440
Speaker 4: Packers defense is just too insane. I think, genuinely, what's

426
00:21:05,480 --> 00:21:07,000
Speaker 4: going to happen. Packers are going to get a.

427
00:21:06,920 --> 00:21:09,600
Speaker 2: Comfortable lead sid starters, and it's that's just how it's

428
00:21:09,640 --> 00:21:11,240
Speaker 2: going to go. I might be on the under.

429
00:21:12,720 --> 00:21:16,679
Speaker 3: I bet the Browns, so again, ignore what do you

430
00:21:16,760 --> 00:21:20,800
Speaker 3: I think this line should probably be seven. Do you

431
00:21:20,800 --> 00:21:23,480
Speaker 3: have to remember the Browns so far have played Joe

432
00:21:23,520 --> 00:21:28,000
Speaker 3: Burrow and that Bengals offense and Lamar Jackson and the

433
00:21:28,080 --> 00:21:31,800
Speaker 3: Ravens offense. The Ravens offense that did whatever wanted against

434
00:21:31,840 --> 00:21:35,160
Speaker 3: the Bills last week. Don't don't look at the final score,

435
00:21:35,200 --> 00:21:38,359
Speaker 3: which is forty one to seventeen. They had Derrick Henry

436
00:21:38,400 --> 00:21:41,440
Speaker 3: had eleven carries for twenty yards. They had two hundred

437
00:21:41,440 --> 00:21:43,159
Speaker 3: and forty yards of offense. The Ravens scored on a

438
00:21:43,160 --> 00:21:45,359
Speaker 3: bunch of flute plays and then you know that, a

439
00:21:45,400 --> 00:21:47,600
Speaker 3: couple of defensive scores and then Lamar Jackson running around

440
00:21:47,600 --> 00:21:52,119
Speaker 3: doing Lamar Jackson things. The Browns also held the Bengals

441
00:21:52,280 --> 00:21:55,679
Speaker 3: to two yards in the second half, two yards. Their

442
00:21:55,760 --> 00:21:59,439
Speaker 3: defense is playing at an elite level at home, catching

443
00:21:59,440 --> 00:22:02,080
Speaker 3: over a touchdo out. I had to take it again.

444
00:22:02,960 --> 00:22:05,760
Speaker 3: Does it feel scary to take the Browns? Yeah? Does

445
00:22:05,800 --> 00:22:08,240
Speaker 3: it feel scared to fade the Packers? Yes'm I guess

446
00:22:08,280 --> 00:22:10,040
Speaker 3: I'm making a statement of both. I think the Packers

447
00:22:10,040 --> 00:22:12,600
Speaker 3: are legit. They were the only Super Bowl future I

448
00:22:12,640 --> 00:22:15,120
Speaker 3: placed it in May. It was before Parsons got there.

449
00:22:15,160 --> 00:22:18,240
Speaker 3: I love this team. But is there a chance that

450
00:22:18,480 --> 00:22:22,600
Speaker 3: the Packers aren't this great? Absolutely? Like maybe Week one

451
00:22:22,680 --> 00:22:24,760
Speaker 3: the Lions with their new coordinators, they were just a mess.

452
00:22:25,480 --> 00:22:27,920
Speaker 3: What the Commanders, I'm not that high on this year.

453
00:22:27,960 --> 00:22:30,920
Speaker 3: And maybe like there's just two games that you have

454
00:22:31,000 --> 00:22:33,800
Speaker 3: to remember. And the Ravens were laying eleven and a

455
00:22:33,840 --> 00:22:38,760
Speaker 3: half last week at home, and now the against the Browns. Now,

456
00:22:38,800 --> 00:22:40,440
Speaker 3: the Browns are catching eight and a half at home,

457
00:22:40,640 --> 00:22:42,840
Speaker 3: adding one point for home field either way. And now

458
00:22:42,880 --> 00:22:44,600
Speaker 3: we're saying the Ravens and the Packers are in like

459
00:22:44,840 --> 00:22:48,240
Speaker 3: we're pricing them in a similar manner. I can't get there.

460
00:22:48,560 --> 00:22:50,320
Speaker 3: I'll make the Packers prove it to me. I think

461
00:22:50,320 --> 00:22:52,480
Speaker 3: this will be a lower scoring game. I agree with Kendra,

462
00:22:52,520 --> 00:22:56,600
Speaker 3: which makes the points even more valuable. So I took

463
00:22:56,640 --> 00:22:59,320
Speaker 3: the Browns. I think the Packers love like this is

464
00:22:59,359 --> 00:23:02,080
Speaker 3: the peak. This is the peak of their value, I think,

465
00:23:02,680 --> 00:23:04,480
Speaker 3: and who wants to bet the Browns after last week?

466
00:23:04,520 --> 00:23:06,480
Speaker 3: But I trust their defense to keep them in this

467
00:23:06,560 --> 00:23:09,840
Speaker 3: at home, And yeah, I took. I took eight and

468
00:23:09,840 --> 00:23:10,160
Speaker 3: a half.

469
00:23:10,720 --> 00:23:13,439
Speaker 1: Browns are pass It's definitely Browns are passed. But for

470
00:23:13,480 --> 00:23:16,080
Speaker 1: me it is a strong pass because I am buying in.

471
00:23:16,200 --> 00:23:20,480
Speaker 1: I think obviously we could all be overreacting positively or

472
00:23:20,480 --> 00:23:22,680
Speaker 1: negatively to the things that we see through the first

473
00:23:22,720 --> 00:23:24,840
Speaker 1: two weeks. I think the Packers are this good, and

474
00:23:24,880 --> 00:23:26,840
Speaker 1: if they are this good, this numbers should probably be

475
00:23:26,880 --> 00:23:31,159
Speaker 1: closer to ten. But you know, this is what we

476
00:23:31,240 --> 00:23:32,960
Speaker 1: tend to do. So eight and a half for a

477
00:23:32,960 --> 00:23:34,639
Speaker 1: home team that has a good defense. You have to

478
00:23:34,640 --> 00:23:37,120
Speaker 1: have some redeeming quality in order to place a bet

479
00:23:37,160 --> 00:23:39,320
Speaker 1: on a team, and the Browns at least have that.

480
00:23:40,119 --> 00:23:45,440
Speaker 1: Are you guys ready? Four our three musketeers parlay all

481
00:23:45,480 --> 00:23:49,520
Speaker 1: for one and one for all last week? Kendra, you

482
00:23:50,040 --> 00:23:51,720
Speaker 1: were the one that carried the team. You had the

483
00:23:51,720 --> 00:23:54,960
Speaker 1: Panthers plus six and a half against the Cardinals, Stucky

484
00:23:55,000 --> 00:23:57,800
Speaker 1: and I did not get home with our bets. So

485
00:23:58,000 --> 00:24:01,119
Speaker 1: I'm gonna let you kick us off. You have two nominees,

486
00:24:01,720 --> 00:24:04,320
Speaker 1: and then Stucky and Ill we'll decide which one we

487
00:24:04,440 --> 00:24:06,520
Speaker 1: throw into the favorites parlay.

488
00:24:06,920 --> 00:24:08,760
Speaker 2: So I'm on the Colts and the Lions this week,

489
00:24:08,880 --> 00:24:14,160
Speaker 2: but I gave you guys options between two anytime touchdowns.

490
00:24:14,440 --> 00:24:17,240
Speaker 2: I'm calling it the Battle of the touchdown list? Stars.

491
00:24:17,720 --> 00:24:21,000
Speaker 4: Are we going Lad McConkey for in anytime or BTJ

492
00:24:21,240 --> 00:24:25,040
Speaker 4: for in any time? Because my whole thing is the

493
00:24:25,119 --> 00:24:27,560
Speaker 4: fact that it's about to be Week three. Neither of

494
00:24:27,680 --> 00:24:29,840
Speaker 4: I would say the two best receivers on both of

495
00:24:29,880 --> 00:24:31,800
Speaker 4: these teams haven't scored a touchdown.

496
00:24:32,040 --> 00:24:34,520
Speaker 2: You the fact that they haven't been involved. It's time.

497
00:24:34,600 --> 00:24:36,520
Speaker 2: It's got to be here. I think the values here.

498
00:24:36,600 --> 00:24:38,080
Speaker 2: It's not going to get any better for either of

499
00:24:38,080 --> 00:24:41,960
Speaker 2: them this season. BTJ, big big, big revenge game for

500
00:24:42,000 --> 00:24:42,520
Speaker 2: the Jaguars.

501
00:24:42,560 --> 00:24:44,600
Speaker 4: I don't know if you guys remember the Aziz all

502
00:24:44,640 --> 00:24:47,360
Speaker 4: sha year situation last year with Trevor Lawrence and how

503
00:24:47,400 --> 00:24:51,320
Speaker 4: that all unfolded. Texan's coming back to Jacksonville BTJ allegedly

504
00:24:51,359 --> 00:24:54,480
Speaker 4: having an injured wrist. Apparently one of his friends died recently,

505
00:24:55,040 --> 00:24:57,680
Speaker 4: just having like an all time low on the BTJ train.

506
00:24:57,760 --> 00:24:59,639
Speaker 4: I think they've got to get him involved, got to

507
00:24:59,640 --> 00:25:01,760
Speaker 4: get his confidence up, got to go to him in

508
00:25:01,800 --> 00:25:05,320
Speaker 4: the red zone, constantly has to score this week. Lad McConkey,

509
00:25:05,400 --> 00:25:07,800
Speaker 4: on the other hand, I hadn't any time for him

510
00:25:07,840 --> 00:25:09,960
Speaker 4: in Week one. I thought that he was the best

511
00:25:10,000 --> 00:25:13,480
Speaker 4: option for them to throw too in that game. Didn't happen,

512
00:25:13,560 --> 00:25:16,119
Speaker 4: didn't get to it last week because of that. Sitting

513
00:25:16,119 --> 00:25:18,520
Speaker 4: here now got to be lad McConkie time. Which one

514
00:25:18,560 --> 00:25:19,440
Speaker 4: are you guys in on?

515
00:25:21,359 --> 00:25:25,720
Speaker 3: I'll say you gotta go maconky because I just, I

516
00:25:25,880 --> 00:25:29,720
Speaker 3: just we both have are gonna have tough corner matchups.

517
00:25:30,240 --> 00:25:32,880
Speaker 3: But I think the Broncos Chargers is a sneaky over

518
00:25:33,400 --> 00:25:37,760
Speaker 3: and I just don't know BTJ. Maybe he's going through

519
00:25:37,760 --> 00:25:39,919
Speaker 3: some other stuff because it's his friend, as you mentioned,

520
00:25:40,040 --> 00:25:41,639
Speaker 3: did die. But I don't know if he's fully healthy,

521
00:25:41,760 --> 00:25:44,520
Speaker 3: so maybe there is an injury. So because of that uncertainty,

522
00:25:45,600 --> 00:25:49,520
Speaker 3: this this Chargers offense is rolling right now. The Broncos

523
00:25:49,560 --> 00:25:52,920
Speaker 3: defense might not be as good as many thought coming

524
00:25:52,960 --> 00:25:53,480
Speaker 3: into the year.

525
00:25:54,200 --> 00:25:55,959
Speaker 2: Have them in fantasy. It's killing me.

526
00:25:56,240 --> 00:25:59,240
Speaker 3: Oh yeah, So I think we got to go Maconkey there.

527
00:26:00,440 --> 00:26:05,439
Speaker 1: We're gonna have a tie split. So BRIANTJ does have

528
00:26:05,440 --> 00:26:07,680
Speaker 1: a touchdown, he had a rushing touchdown. He just doesn't

529
00:26:07,680 --> 00:26:11,440
Speaker 1: have a But I think they're gonna force feed him.

530
00:26:11,480 --> 00:26:14,159
Speaker 1: This is all that Liam Cohen and Trevor Lawrence have

531
00:26:14,200 --> 00:26:16,600
Speaker 1: been asked about this week in Jacksonville.

532
00:26:16,640 --> 00:26:18,399
Speaker 3: And I think that is he healthy is the question.

533
00:26:18,440 --> 00:26:21,240
Speaker 3: I wouldn't. I would agree with you in principle, But is.

534
00:26:21,200 --> 00:26:25,520
Speaker 1: Health the health I think impacts his ability to confidently

535
00:26:25,560 --> 00:26:27,840
Speaker 1: catch passes over the middle. It doesn't. I don't think

536
00:26:28,200 --> 00:26:31,320
Speaker 1: a wrist injury is gonna is gonna stop him from

537
00:26:31,359 --> 00:26:34,080
Speaker 1: going over the top of the defense and you know

538
00:26:34,160 --> 00:26:35,560
Speaker 1: go those but that.

539
00:26:35,320 --> 00:26:40,240
Speaker 3: That going over the middle, that will reduce your chances

540
00:26:40,240 --> 00:26:40,920
Speaker 3: of ways to score.

541
00:26:41,680 --> 00:26:46,199
Speaker 1: Corner. It's a corner in the end zone, fade touchdown

542
00:26:46,480 --> 00:26:47,600
Speaker 1: pass from Trevor.

543
00:26:47,359 --> 00:26:53,640
Speaker 3: Wills against the one of the best corners in the NFL.

544
00:26:55,440 --> 00:26:56,679
Speaker 3: Break Yeah.

545
00:26:56,720 --> 00:26:58,879
Speaker 1: Well, the price also matters here. Can we get it?

546
00:26:58,920 --> 00:27:01,760
Speaker 1: Because I want the or payout if we're going between

547
00:27:01,760 --> 00:27:02,160
Speaker 1: these two.

548
00:27:03,080 --> 00:27:11,320
Speaker 4: He was one sixty and BTJ was one for maybe

549
00:27:11,440 --> 00:27:16,280
Speaker 4: hold on McConkie won sixty. BTJ won forty five corracked.

550
00:27:16,680 --> 00:27:17,800
Speaker 1: Evan break the tie.

551
00:27:19,119 --> 00:27:22,680
Speaker 5: McConkie, all right, you scoring game, He'll he'll figure it out,

552
00:27:23,119 --> 00:27:23,439
Speaker 5: thank you.

553
00:27:23,480 --> 00:27:26,439
Speaker 2: Ev all right, I need BTJ to catch a touchdown.

554
00:27:26,520 --> 00:27:29,960
Speaker 4: No more, no more rushing. I need you to catch something, please.

555
00:27:30,040 --> 00:27:32,119
Speaker 4: I can't sit here and sweat this out any longer.

556
00:27:32,359 --> 00:27:35,280
Speaker 1: It's it's Keenan Allen that throws me off because he's

557
00:27:35,480 --> 00:27:38,359
Speaker 1: sold I know, but he's like he's not going away.

558
00:27:38,400 --> 00:27:40,520
Speaker 1: And then you have Quentin Johnston who's hogging all of

559
00:27:40,560 --> 00:27:44,240
Speaker 1: the touchdowns. So between those between Alan gobbling up targets

560
00:27:44,640 --> 00:27:48,639
Speaker 1: and and then Johnson gobbling up the touchdowns. And this

561
00:27:48,680 --> 00:27:50,520
Speaker 1: team still does want to run the ball a little bit,

562
00:27:50,560 --> 00:27:52,600
Speaker 1: even though they haven't been good at it. All right, stucky,

563
00:27:52,640 --> 00:27:56,760
Speaker 1: we got McConkie. Anytime touchdown in there? Your nominees, please.

564
00:27:58,080 --> 00:28:02,359
Speaker 3: Let's see. I mean, you guys are probably not gonna

565
00:28:02,359 --> 00:28:03,560
Speaker 3: want to bet a lot of mine. So what I

566
00:28:03,680 --> 00:28:06,159
Speaker 3: bet so far to say, I've bet the Dolphins. I

567
00:28:06,200 --> 00:28:10,040
Speaker 3: have the brown. So I just talked about uh and

568
00:28:10,280 --> 00:28:12,160
Speaker 3: these weeked I mean I could go on, I could

569
00:28:12,160 --> 00:28:14,159
Speaker 3: go on for days about the trends of oh and

570
00:28:14,240 --> 00:28:18,520
Speaker 3: two teams I own two underdogs already mentioned forty twenty

571
00:28:18,520 --> 00:28:20,280
Speaker 3: one and one against the spread. I wondered I was

572
00:28:20,320 --> 00:28:24,360
Speaker 3: catching over seven in Week three. It's like double overreaction,

573
00:28:25,040 --> 00:28:27,640
Speaker 3: so we could go to Browns. I did play the

574
00:28:27,640 --> 00:28:32,280
Speaker 3: the Rams, so I guess I'll throw out the Rams

575
00:28:32,320 --> 00:28:34,159
Speaker 3: that Actually, I think you guys can stomach that one

576
00:28:34,320 --> 00:28:37,560
Speaker 3: or that's a yeah the shoes h So we'll go

577
00:28:37,760 --> 00:28:40,880
Speaker 3: Rams one. I mean, look, this Eagles offense. I thought

578
00:28:40,920 --> 00:28:42,640
Speaker 3: Cominer was gonna take a step back because of the

579
00:28:42,640 --> 00:28:44,640
Speaker 3: coordinator change. I thought the defense is gonna take a

580
00:28:44,640 --> 00:28:46,680
Speaker 3: step back because of everything they lost, and that's that's

581
00:28:46,680 --> 00:28:50,480
Speaker 3: what we've seen. And last week, without that Kelsey drop,

582
00:28:50,520 --> 00:28:52,720
Speaker 3: they probably lose to the Chiefs. And think about this,

583
00:28:52,720 --> 00:28:57,560
Speaker 3: this Eagles offense, like they they had two They've completed

584
00:28:57,560 --> 00:28:59,960
Speaker 3: two passes over ten yards. They played the Cowboys, who

585
00:29:00,240 --> 00:29:03,520
Speaker 3: just gave up seven trillion yards to Russell Wilson, and

586
00:29:03,520 --> 00:29:05,120
Speaker 3: then they played the Chiefs, who have issues in the

587
00:29:05,120 --> 00:29:07,680
Speaker 3: back end of their defense. They didn't they got carved

588
00:29:07,720 --> 00:29:10,960
Speaker 3: by Justin Herbert and they didn't. They couldn't throw against either,

589
00:29:11,000 --> 00:29:13,600
Speaker 3: so and then their defense is just not getting the

590
00:29:13,640 --> 00:29:16,280
Speaker 3: same amount of pressure. I think it's gonna take us

591
00:29:16,320 --> 00:29:18,960
Speaker 3: about the play calling is bad McVeigh eighteen eleven and

592
00:29:19,000 --> 00:29:20,560
Speaker 3: two against the spread as a dog of three or

593
00:29:20,600 --> 00:29:22,760
Speaker 3: more fourteen seven and one against the spread in the

594
00:29:22,800 --> 00:29:26,840
Speaker 3: Eastern time zone. And here's my Bowld prediction. I wish

595
00:29:26,880 --> 00:29:29,640
Speaker 3: I could put a bet on this. McVeigh went to

596
00:29:29,720 --> 00:29:31,840
Speaker 3: the league office about the Toush push.

597
00:29:31,960 --> 00:29:34,520
Speaker 4: Yes, I was just gonna say the conspiracy theory I'm in.

598
00:29:34,800 --> 00:29:37,560
Speaker 3: They're gonna call They're gonna call a false start or two.

599
00:29:37,880 --> 00:29:40,200
Speaker 3: Now they might call neutral zone infraction two, but who

600
00:29:40,240 --> 00:29:43,400
Speaker 3: cares if they call both. So the Eagles are always

601
00:29:43,400 --> 00:29:45,040
Speaker 3: going to get their toush push. They it's fourth and one,

602
00:29:45,640 --> 00:29:48,360
Speaker 3: they're always gonna get it. So if you call a

603
00:29:49,040 --> 00:29:51,240
Speaker 3: neutral zone infection they get they get the first time away.

604
00:29:51,400 --> 00:29:54,520
Speaker 3: But if they call false starter or two, that could

605
00:29:54,520 --> 00:29:56,360
Speaker 3: be the difference between say they're at the goal line,

606
00:29:56,400 --> 00:29:58,680
Speaker 3: it's fourth and goal with to one oh false start

607
00:29:59,200 --> 00:30:02,000
Speaker 3: off sides on the offense. For that's a difference between

608
00:30:02,000 --> 00:30:03,680
Speaker 3: a field going to touchdown. That could be four points.

609
00:30:03,680 --> 00:30:05,880
Speaker 3: So if it's a midfield, that's difference between keeping the

610
00:30:05,920 --> 00:30:08,760
Speaker 3: drive going and probably scoring or punting. So a little

611
00:30:08,960 --> 00:30:13,000
Speaker 3: potential hit an edge there. But This Rams offense is

612
00:30:13,040 --> 00:30:15,400
Speaker 3: playing really well. Their defense can get pressures, playing really well,

613
00:30:15,400 --> 00:30:17,320
Speaker 3: and I just don't trust this Eagles offense yet.

614
00:30:17,400 --> 00:30:19,400
Speaker 1: Right now, I don't I think you. I think you

615
00:30:19,440 --> 00:30:22,560
Speaker 1: can stop the sale. Honestly, Yeah, I think we're all good.

616
00:30:22,920 --> 00:30:25,640
Speaker 4: The Rams are getting the league makeup calls this week.

617
00:30:25,720 --> 00:30:27,720
Speaker 4: I'm not betting on this game, but if I know

618
00:30:27,840 --> 00:30:30,280
Speaker 4: one thing, I know that they are going to be

619
00:30:30,320 --> 00:30:32,760
Speaker 4: getting these makeup calls for last week. They're going to

620
00:30:32,800 --> 00:30:35,560
Speaker 4: benefit off of this, and they the league wants to

621
00:30:35,560 --> 00:30:38,240
Speaker 4: ban the toush push and they're going to make the

622
00:30:38,280 --> 00:30:39,560
Speaker 4: case to do it at all.

623
00:30:39,600 --> 00:30:41,440
Speaker 3: I want to talk about this week too, so it

624
00:30:41,480 --> 00:30:43,280
Speaker 3: makes sense to send a message.

625
00:30:43,520 --> 00:30:43,760
Speaker 2: Yep.

626
00:30:44,080 --> 00:30:46,400
Speaker 1: Yeah. The betting splits are in our favor as well.

627
00:30:46,680 --> 00:30:49,480
Speaker 1: When a team has been catching more than sixty percent

628
00:30:49,520 --> 00:30:51,760
Speaker 1: of the bets, they have not been covering so far

629
00:30:51,840 --> 00:30:55,400
Speaker 1: this year. Right now, the Eagles seventy three percent of

630
00:30:55,400 --> 00:30:58,400
Speaker 1: the bets, the Rams sixty eight percent of the money.

631
00:30:58,480 --> 00:31:01,080
Speaker 1: So that's definitely feel like the right side. But can

632
00:31:01,080 --> 00:31:02,920
Speaker 1: I help the ante on this. I think we should

633
00:31:02,920 --> 00:31:06,680
Speaker 1: throw the Rams money line into the parlay instead of

634
00:31:06,720 --> 00:31:07,200
Speaker 1: the spread.

635
00:31:07,680 --> 00:31:10,320
Speaker 3: I'm fine with that little Rams revenge from last year.

636
00:31:10,480 --> 00:31:14,640
Speaker 3: Think I remember they went. McVay knows how to. I

637
00:31:14,640 --> 00:31:16,160
Speaker 3: don't know how what he does or how he gets

638
00:31:16,160 --> 00:31:18,080
Speaker 3: his team ready, but these East Coast.

639
00:31:17,920 --> 00:31:20,080
Speaker 2: Games he's good on. Isn't he good on the road

640
00:31:20,160 --> 00:31:20,320
Speaker 2: or no?

641
00:31:20,680 --> 00:31:23,040
Speaker 3: Yeah, he's He's fourteen seven to one against the spread

642
00:31:23,040 --> 00:31:25,320
Speaker 3: on the Eastern time zone like he he always has

643
00:31:25,360 --> 00:31:27,280
Speaker 3: his team ready for these, like they almost they in

644
00:31:27,400 --> 00:31:30,880
Speaker 3: the snow with old Stafford. They were twenty yards away

645
00:31:30,880 --> 00:31:33,040
Speaker 3: from beating the Eagles last year. And the Eagles were

646
00:31:33,040 --> 00:31:35,480
Speaker 3: a better team with a better off its coordinator last season.

647
00:31:35,520 --> 00:31:37,880
Speaker 3: And I think the Rams overall have improved from last

648
00:31:37,920 --> 00:31:39,480
Speaker 3: year's team. So yeah, we can throw a Rams money

649
00:31:39,520 --> 00:31:39,840
Speaker 3: line in there.

650
00:31:39,880 --> 00:31:42,040
Speaker 2: Are you worried about Stafford's back at all?

651
00:31:42,240 --> 00:31:42,440
Speaker 5: Matter?

652
00:31:42,560 --> 00:31:46,640
Speaker 3: Yeah? It's always a flare up, for sure. And part

653
00:31:46,680 --> 00:31:49,000
Speaker 3: of me is just like, all right, am I overreacting?

654
00:31:49,080 --> 00:31:49,200
Speaker 1: Right?

655
00:31:49,240 --> 00:31:49,400
Speaker 2: Am?

656
00:31:49,400 --> 00:31:51,520
Speaker 3: I overreacting to what we've seen from the Eagles. But

657
00:31:51,600 --> 00:31:53,800
Speaker 3: this was my thought process coming into the year. And

658
00:31:53,840 --> 00:31:55,560
Speaker 3: then like, am I overreacting to the Rams who have

659
00:31:55,560 --> 00:31:59,120
Speaker 3: played the Texans and Titans? Maybe? But all right, let's

660
00:31:59,240 --> 00:32:01,880
Speaker 3: let's throw the Rams money line in with mcconfie touchdown.

661
00:32:02,080 --> 00:32:04,600
Speaker 1: Yeah, we did catch that Kia reference right there by

662
00:32:04,640 --> 00:32:08,280
Speaker 1: the way. All right, my two the Rabbits.

663
00:32:08,280 --> 00:32:10,680
Speaker 2: I hate you for both of these so much.

664
00:32:11,320 --> 00:32:13,400
Speaker 4: I'm on the opposite side of you for both of them.

665
00:32:13,400 --> 00:32:15,400
Speaker 4: Why are you making me choose between Satan and the

666
00:32:15,440 --> 00:32:16,520
Speaker 4: de I.

667
00:32:16,480 --> 00:32:18,240
Speaker 1: Do have, I do have more than two. I just

668
00:32:18,240 --> 00:32:19,800
Speaker 1: threw two in there for simplicity.

669
00:32:19,880 --> 00:32:21,800
Speaker 2: So yeah, dag me I.

670
00:32:23,320 --> 00:32:24,880
Speaker 1: I mean I left mac Jones out of it. I

671
00:32:24,880 --> 00:32:26,040
Speaker 1: am on the Niners too, But.

672
00:32:26,000 --> 00:32:29,040
Speaker 2: Patts plus Jones, pat.

673
00:32:28,760 --> 00:32:31,800
Speaker 1: Plus Pats plus one and a half against the Steelers,

674
00:32:31,840 --> 00:32:35,840
Speaker 1: Titans plus three and a half against the Indianapolis Colts. Guys,

675
00:32:35,880 --> 00:32:38,240
Speaker 1: I know what that. We said on Tuesday that it

676
00:32:38,320 --> 00:32:40,600
Speaker 1: was either Sunday or to one of our last episodes.

677
00:32:40,640 --> 00:32:42,200
Speaker 1: We said that at some point we're gonna have to

678
00:32:42,200 --> 00:32:45,720
Speaker 1: fade this Indianapolis Colts team. Well, I say, why not us?

679
00:32:45,960 --> 00:32:50,120
Speaker 1: Why not? Now? On the Tennessee Titans catching a field

680
00:32:50,200 --> 00:32:53,800
Speaker 1: goal and the hook. This is Danny Dimes on the

681
00:32:53,880 --> 00:32:57,280
Speaker 1: road as the public side against the divisional rival. You

682
00:32:57,320 --> 00:33:00,320
Speaker 1: talk about the Green Bay Packers reaching the peak of

683
00:33:00,360 --> 00:33:03,200
Speaker 1: the market. I think this is the Colts reaching the

684
00:33:03,240 --> 00:33:05,960
Speaker 1: peak of the market. Also, teams that are own two

685
00:33:06,880 --> 00:33:10,360
Speaker 1: straight up are thirty one and twenty seven straight up

686
00:33:10,400 --> 00:33:13,800
Speaker 1: forty seventeen and one against the spread. That's seventy percent

687
00:33:13,880 --> 00:33:18,080
Speaker 1: in week three since twenty ten. Betting the Titans to me,

688
00:33:18,240 --> 00:33:21,160
Speaker 1: feels like an absolute must this week. I don't think

689
00:33:21,160 --> 00:33:26,240
Speaker 1: we should wait any longer on this Colt's fade. We

690
00:33:26,280 --> 00:33:28,680
Speaker 1: could even throw the Titans plus four in there, because

691
00:33:28,680 --> 00:33:29,760
Speaker 1: I'm seeing that out there.

692
00:33:31,680 --> 00:33:34,800
Speaker 3: Yeah, Titans plus four, you could. There's a little bit

693
00:33:34,800 --> 00:33:38,640
Speaker 3: more expensive four and a half they if anyone's into

694
00:33:38,680 --> 00:33:41,320
Speaker 3: do theory, which I'm not. But the Titans are zero

695
00:33:41,320 --> 00:33:43,680
Speaker 3: to nine against the spread in their past nine home games,

696
00:33:44,680 --> 00:33:48,920
Speaker 3: so maybe nobody beats the Titans nine ten times in

697
00:33:48,960 --> 00:33:52,280
Speaker 3: a row against the spread in Nashville, but those fans

698
00:33:52,280 --> 00:33:55,560
Speaker 3: have not seen. I feel bad for season ticket holders

699
00:33:55,560 --> 00:33:56,080
Speaker 3: in Tennessee.

700
00:33:56,200 --> 00:33:59,880
Speaker 4: No, they're horrible even they're so mean's male eater?

701
00:34:02,760 --> 00:34:04,960
Speaker 1: Yah? Should I do the pat sale? So I have

702
00:34:05,000 --> 00:34:07,840
Speaker 1: the Pats plus one and a half at home. Pittsburgh's

703
00:34:07,920 --> 00:34:11,320
Speaker 1: last outright road win against the Patriots came in two

704
00:34:11,360 --> 00:34:13,719
Speaker 1: thousand and eight. Now is that relevant? No, But it's

705
00:34:13,719 --> 00:34:16,960
Speaker 1: a fun fact. That's not why I'm betting them. Like,

706
00:34:17,160 --> 00:34:19,480
Speaker 1: I really like the way the Patriots looked last week.

707
00:34:19,520 --> 00:34:22,040
Speaker 1: I know that they played against the Miami Dolphins and

708
00:34:22,040 --> 00:34:23,759
Speaker 1: that has a lot to do with it, but even

709
00:34:23,880 --> 00:34:28,400
Speaker 1: vermondre Stevenson looked good. And the Pittsburgh defense has been terrible.

710
00:34:28,400 --> 00:34:31,040
Speaker 1: They're twenty ninth in the league and scoring defense thirty

711
00:34:31,080 --> 00:34:34,400
Speaker 1: one in defensive success rate. Bad offense, bad defense. A

712
00:34:34,480 --> 00:34:37,000
Speaker 1: coach that can't beat New England for whatever voodoo reason,

713
00:34:37,719 --> 00:34:40,319
Speaker 1: not a deserving favorite on the road. So I like

714
00:34:40,360 --> 00:34:41,359
Speaker 1: backing the home dog.

715
00:34:43,160 --> 00:34:45,000
Speaker 2: I don't know where to go here.

716
00:34:45,600 --> 00:34:48,000
Speaker 4: I am on the opposite side of both of these,

717
00:34:48,200 --> 00:34:51,080
Speaker 4: so I feel like I'm.

718
00:34:50,200 --> 00:34:52,760
Speaker 2: Putting in a parlay against my best interest.

719
00:34:54,080 --> 00:34:57,480
Speaker 3: I also like dolls playing Dallas practice yesterday.

720
00:34:57,960 --> 00:35:01,680
Speaker 4: Okay, So I was listening to Rabel's press conference yesterday

721
00:35:01,680 --> 00:35:05,239
Speaker 4: and someone asked him if Gonzalez was gonna practice, and

722
00:35:05,360 --> 00:35:10,440
Speaker 4: Rabel's answer was, he's gonna do some stuff.

723
00:35:10,160 --> 00:35:12,440
Speaker 3: That's an improvement, that's a step in the right direction

724
00:35:12,520 --> 00:35:13,280
Speaker 3: from doing nothing.

725
00:35:13,719 --> 00:35:15,960
Speaker 4: But then I was listening to a podcast of some

726
00:35:16,040 --> 00:35:19,239
Speaker 4: Patriots insiders and they're saying that they're not sure, but

727
00:35:19,280 --> 00:35:21,959
Speaker 4: they feel like he'll probably come back for the Bills game.

728
00:35:23,480 --> 00:35:27,680
Speaker 4: So I genuinely don't know if he's playing, I'm gonna

729
00:35:27,800 --> 00:35:29,040
Speaker 4: lean towards no.

730
00:35:32,080 --> 00:35:34,320
Speaker 2: God, I don't know they.

731
00:35:34,200 --> 00:35:35,919
Speaker 3: Really need him back. I mean because that that's been

732
00:35:35,960 --> 00:35:38,319
Speaker 3: one of their weakest areas. Uh, because I thought Drake

733
00:35:38,360 --> 00:35:39,640
Speaker 3: May played well last week?

734
00:35:40,880 --> 00:35:43,520
Speaker 2: Did rewatch that game like I promised that I would.

735
00:35:43,760 --> 00:35:48,959
Speaker 3: Their secondary has been like just horrendous for two weeks

736
00:35:48,960 --> 00:35:50,560
Speaker 3: in a row, and Gonzales.

737
00:35:50,640 --> 00:35:52,799
Speaker 1: Not sure it matters against this team. But I'm not.

738
00:35:52,680 --> 00:35:54,640
Speaker 3: Saying well either, I'm just saying for the value of

739
00:35:54,640 --> 00:35:59,279
Speaker 3: getting Gonzalez back would be significant. I will also mention

740
00:35:59,320 --> 00:36:02,120
Speaker 3: this years have a on of injuries like there are defense.

741
00:36:02,160 --> 00:36:04,760
Speaker 3: They could be without four or five starters on defense,

742
00:36:04,800 --> 00:36:07,280
Speaker 3: and Watt just doesn't look like the same caliber player.

743
00:36:07,920 --> 00:36:10,879
Speaker 3: Credit to him for demanding the money when he did

744
00:36:10,920 --> 00:36:13,560
Speaker 3: get it, because I'm not sure he would have after

745
00:36:13,640 --> 00:36:16,120
Speaker 3: this season and what he looks like right now.

746
00:36:16,840 --> 00:36:18,839
Speaker 4: I think high Smith is the only one who's ruled

747
00:36:18,840 --> 00:36:21,040
Speaker 4: out for the Steelers right now. I think everybody else

748
00:36:21,120 --> 00:36:23,640
Speaker 4: is expected to play, except I don't know about Joey

749
00:36:23,680 --> 00:36:26,560
Speaker 4: Porter Junior. I feel like he probably will play. My

750
00:36:26,680 --> 00:36:29,640
Speaker 4: big thing is that I get the TJ. Watt hasn't

751
00:36:29,960 --> 00:36:35,280
Speaker 4: been himself, but the Patriots offensive line has looked quote

752
00:36:35,360 --> 00:36:38,040
Speaker 4: unquote serviceable through these first two weeks, but they've got

753
00:36:38,040 --> 00:36:40,439
Speaker 4: a breakdown at some point. I mean, Campbell just keeps

754
00:36:40,480 --> 00:36:49,120
Speaker 4: getting penalty after penalty. Ah, I guess, I guess I'm

755
00:36:49,120 --> 00:36:51,560
Speaker 4: gonna go with the Titans. I hate this so much,

756
00:36:52,360 --> 00:36:54,480
Speaker 4: but yeah, I also have the.

757
00:36:54,400 --> 00:36:57,360
Speaker 1: Bears plus one if you guys wanted a third option,

758
00:36:57,440 --> 00:37:00,880
Speaker 1: I really like that. But the blowout bounce back at home.

759
00:37:00,960 --> 00:37:04,279
Speaker 3: Yeah, teas teams after a thirty point loss usually a

760
00:37:04,280 --> 00:37:04,719
Speaker 3: good bet.

761
00:37:04,880 --> 00:37:07,279
Speaker 2: I like the Bears because they're oer and two at home.

762
00:37:07,480 --> 00:37:09,960
Speaker 1: Okay, so let's you want to toss the other two

763
00:37:10,000 --> 00:37:12,319
Speaker 1: to the side. We go. Bears plus one is the

764
00:37:12,360 --> 00:37:14,000
Speaker 1: third leg sucky.

765
00:37:16,320 --> 00:37:18,279
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm okay with that. I mean, just teams that

766
00:37:18,400 --> 00:37:20,359
Speaker 3: lose by thirty plus sixty percent as a dog are

767
00:37:20,360 --> 00:37:22,680
Speaker 3: a favorite of under a field goal fifty five percent overall,

768
00:37:22,680 --> 00:37:26,960
Speaker 3: like going back forever. Like again, don't overreact. Usually you

769
00:37:27,000 --> 00:37:28,640
Speaker 3: might get a point or two value. The market's betting

770
00:37:28,640 --> 00:37:30,640
Speaker 3: against these teams, Like who wants to bet the Bears

771
00:37:30,640 --> 00:37:33,040
Speaker 3: after seeing them lose by thirty and they're owing two

772
00:37:33,080 --> 00:37:35,920
Speaker 3: and you saw the Cowboys win and the Bears secondary

773
00:37:35,960 --> 00:37:38,640
Speaker 3: is scary? They have like all these injuries going up

774
00:37:39,160 --> 00:37:41,200
Speaker 3: go up against the Cowboys receivers, but like this is

775
00:37:41,280 --> 00:37:43,960
Speaker 3: Dallas outdoors, there could be some wind. I'm cool with

776
00:37:44,000 --> 00:37:46,400
Speaker 3: the Bears. I will just throw one of my favorite

777
00:37:46,440 --> 00:37:50,160
Speaker 3: trends for the Titans, and the Titans injuries worry me

778
00:37:50,200 --> 00:37:52,600
Speaker 3: a bit, Like they have injuries offensive line and the secondary.

779
00:37:52,960 --> 00:37:55,600
Speaker 3: Excuse me on the offensive line and then the defensive line,

780
00:37:56,120 --> 00:37:59,040
Speaker 3: like they need sweat in there because take that he's

781
00:37:59,040 --> 00:38:01,040
Speaker 3: helpful for the run game. Takes attention away from Simmons.

782
00:38:01,080 --> 00:38:04,160
Speaker 3: So we'll see who ends up playing. But this goes

783
00:38:04,200 --> 00:38:06,480
Speaker 3: back to the whole theme of the podcast. Over reactions

784
00:38:07,320 --> 00:38:12,400
Speaker 3: Weeks two through five over the past twenty years, road

785
00:38:12,800 --> 00:38:17,120
Speaker 3: favorites after winning as a home underdog. So this is

786
00:38:17,160 --> 00:38:20,440
Speaker 3: early in the year. Everyone just saw a team win

787
00:38:20,480 --> 00:38:22,560
Speaker 3: as a home underdog that was expected to lose, and

788
00:38:22,600 --> 00:38:25,080
Speaker 3: then they go out on the road in their favorite

789
00:38:25,360 --> 00:38:27,839
Speaker 3: So this is a team that maybe overachieved early and

790
00:38:27,880 --> 00:38:30,480
Speaker 3: maybe people are thinking that is better than they really are.

791
00:38:30,600 --> 00:38:33,440
Speaker 3: This fits the Colts to a t so road favorites

792
00:38:33,480 --> 00:38:37,080
Speaker 3: weeks two through five early in the season, then that

793
00:38:37,200 --> 00:38:39,759
Speaker 3: win as a home dog, go on the road in

794
00:38:39,800 --> 00:38:43,560
Speaker 3: our favor seventeen thirty nine and one against the spread.

795
00:38:43,880 --> 00:38:46,399
Speaker 3: That's thirty percent. They're failing to cover by about six

796
00:38:46,440 --> 00:38:48,919
Speaker 3: points per game when favored by more than a field goal,

797
00:38:49,200 --> 00:38:52,520
Speaker 3: six and sixteen against the spread when they're playing a

798
00:38:52,560 --> 00:38:55,000
Speaker 3: team with a losing record, which is definitely the Titans

799
00:38:55,400 --> 00:38:59,680
Speaker 3: eleven twenty nine to one against the spread twenty seven

800
00:38:59,680 --> 00:39:01,960
Speaker 3: and a half percent. So like that just speaks to

801
00:39:01,960 --> 00:39:04,920
Speaker 3: this whole thing, like, hey, there's a there's a decent

802
00:39:05,000 --> 00:39:06,880
Speaker 3: chance the Colts. This is probably the peak of the

803
00:39:07,000 --> 00:39:08,640
Speaker 3: valley and they're probably not as good as we've seen,

804
00:39:10,040 --> 00:39:13,200
Speaker 3: and the Titans, I think are going to continue to

805
00:39:13,280 --> 00:39:15,799
Speaker 3: keep improving. So I was okay with the Titans.

806
00:39:16,400 --> 00:39:20,440
Speaker 2: I'm not a Colts truther, but the Titans are ass.

807
00:39:20,440 --> 00:39:22,880
Speaker 1: I think cam Ward is going to be a spread coverer.

808
00:39:22,920 --> 00:39:26,640
Speaker 3: Though in Denver they were down three at the start

809
00:39:26,640 --> 00:39:29,799
Speaker 3: of the fourth quarter, they lost Zeitler, their offensive line,

810
00:39:29,840 --> 00:39:32,040
Speaker 3: and then it led to a sack that really led

811
00:39:32,080 --> 00:39:33,759
Speaker 3: to a short field touch on flipped the game and

812
00:39:33,760 --> 00:39:36,040
Speaker 3: they didn't have sweat in there. Simmons had nothing left

813
00:39:36,080 --> 00:39:38,560
Speaker 3: in the fourth quarter. So that's what concerns me here.

814
00:39:38,719 --> 00:39:40,799
Speaker 3: But the Colts pass rush isn't the Rams, and it's

815
00:39:40,840 --> 00:39:44,560
Speaker 3: not the Broncos. They're like bottom five and Prussure eight.

816
00:39:44,640 --> 00:39:48,359
Speaker 3: So Ward might be a little bit more comfortable here

817
00:39:48,400 --> 00:39:50,759
Speaker 3: in this division game division like this. I think this

818
00:39:50,800 --> 00:39:54,080
Speaker 3: should be three max. So I was cool with both.

819
00:39:54,120 --> 00:39:57,799
Speaker 3: But Kenjer, I'm cool with the Bears too. Bears as

820
00:39:57,800 --> 00:39:58,920
Speaker 3: you can get plus one.

821
00:39:59,760 --> 00:40:01,240
Speaker 2: Get ev into time break again.

822
00:40:02,120 --> 00:40:03,760
Speaker 3: No, I'm cool with the Bears.

823
00:40:03,840 --> 00:40:07,040
Speaker 4: Kender, Yeah, I'm cool with the Bears. I think the

824
00:40:07,080 --> 00:40:09,400
Speaker 4: Colts just have aura. Dude, I don't know what it is.

825
00:40:09,480 --> 00:40:11,640
Speaker 2: I don't think that there was Daniel Jones as.

826
00:40:11,960 --> 00:40:14,400
Speaker 1: I think they they probably have home aura, though I

827
00:40:14,440 --> 00:40:17,200
Speaker 1: think they play. I feel pretty confident in saying that

828
00:40:17,200 --> 00:40:20,080
Speaker 1: that team inside of that dome in Indianapolis, that's gonna

829
00:40:20,080 --> 00:40:21,480
Speaker 1: be a tough team to beat there.

830
00:40:21,560 --> 00:40:23,440
Speaker 4: I'm going to tell you guys a secret. Do you

831
00:40:23,480 --> 00:40:27,040
Speaker 4: guys follow the seth Erkson kid who sings the songs

832
00:40:27,040 --> 00:40:28,640
Speaker 4: he writes about the Colts every week?

833
00:40:28,840 --> 00:40:29,759
Speaker 1: Of course? How do you not?

834
00:40:30,520 --> 00:40:34,000
Speaker 4: I bet on the Colts games, whether if the song

835
00:40:34,239 --> 00:40:36,400
Speaker 4: isn't a banger, I know to bet on the Colts,

836
00:40:36,480 --> 00:40:38,560
Speaker 4: and if it is a banger, I know to bet

837
00:40:38,600 --> 00:40:39,400
Speaker 4: against the Colts.

838
00:40:39,760 --> 00:40:41,720
Speaker 2: This week not a banger.

839
00:40:41,680 --> 00:40:44,239
Speaker 3: All right, we can we have a I'm going to

840
00:40:44,320 --> 00:40:47,200
Speaker 3: test you with this, Brandon. You have to we can

841
00:40:47,200 --> 00:40:49,200
Speaker 3: get like a whiteboard or a notepad, and we have

842
00:40:49,280 --> 00:40:52,839
Speaker 3: to keep track of all of Kender's crazy systems. So

843
00:40:52,880 --> 00:40:56,400
Speaker 3: we have some. We have Moon's no girl Dad's girl

844
00:40:56,480 --> 00:40:59,720
Speaker 3: Dad's Moons. Now, I don't know some singer.

845
00:41:01,440 --> 00:41:03,279
Speaker 2: You don't know who Seth is the Colts kid.

846
00:41:04,480 --> 00:41:06,880
Speaker 3: I doubt know. I actually I don't who is it.

847
00:41:07,360 --> 00:41:10,400
Speaker 2: His name is Seth Erkson I R K S E N.

848
00:41:10,480 --> 00:41:14,480
Speaker 4: And he writes songs every single week about the Colts matchups.

849
00:41:14,840 --> 00:41:15,759
Speaker 3: Okay, so.

850
00:41:17,520 --> 00:41:19,600
Speaker 1: To send this in slack and then I'll tell I

851
00:41:19,640 --> 00:41:21,279
Speaker 1: got my notepad here, We'll get that on.

852
00:41:21,480 --> 00:41:24,400
Speaker 4: We'll get I can serve, I can start a system.

853
00:41:24,480 --> 00:41:27,840
Speaker 4: It's girl dads after their daughters born first when first

854
00:41:27,840 --> 00:41:28,480
Speaker 4: came back.

855
00:41:28,680 --> 00:41:30,640
Speaker 3: W Moons.

856
00:41:31,040 --> 00:41:33,120
Speaker 2: No, I'm not really high on the Moons. I just

857
00:41:33,320 --> 00:41:35,359
Speaker 2: the fact I couldn't ignore this one nine and one

858
00:41:35,840 --> 00:41:38,640
Speaker 2: on a particular moon kind of crazy. I'm and I

859
00:41:38,760 --> 00:41:42,239
Speaker 2: like a weird angle. And then yes, if it's not

860
00:41:42,320 --> 00:41:43,280
Speaker 2: a banger, I'm.

861
00:41:43,160 --> 00:41:49,960
Speaker 4: Betting on the Colts. And then this week no bangers,

862
00:41:50,040 --> 00:41:51,960
Speaker 4: no bangers. We close my other show with it every

863
00:41:51,960 --> 00:41:55,799
Speaker 4: single week, just so everyone can get the vibe to.

864
00:41:55,760 --> 00:41:58,920
Speaker 3: Your your Uh, it's our producer just said, you're waxing

865
00:41:59,080 --> 00:42:01,840
Speaker 3: and waning on your lunar takes.

866
00:42:02,160 --> 00:42:06,359
Speaker 2: No, I'm not. I'm not. I'm not saying anything. I'm not.

867
00:42:06,640 --> 00:42:08,640
Speaker 2: I'm not always on the moon. I'm just saying this

868
00:42:08,680 --> 00:42:10,160
Speaker 2: one was too good to ignore.

869
00:42:10,560 --> 00:42:12,400
Speaker 1: I'm not always on the moon. As it has to

870
00:42:12,440 --> 00:42:14,760
Speaker 1: be the line of the podcast. So we have Rams

871
00:42:14,840 --> 00:42:18,160
Speaker 1: plus one fifty five. We've got on the Monday line.

872
00:42:18,200 --> 00:42:20,800
Speaker 1: We've got Lad McConkie anytime touchdown. We've got the Bears

873
00:42:20,800 --> 00:42:24,719
Speaker 1: plus one estimate on price for at plus nine five.

874
00:42:24,760 --> 00:42:27,120
Speaker 1: We'll have this logged in the app. That right there

875
00:42:27,719 --> 00:42:29,799
Speaker 1: is going to be our three Musketeers parlay this week.

876
00:42:29,840 --> 00:42:32,440
Speaker 3: You've better ruin it again this week, burn mine. I

877
00:42:32,480 --> 00:42:34,640
Speaker 3: didn't ruin anything because you already ruined it by then.

878
00:42:34,800 --> 00:42:37,480
Speaker 3: So like if you hadn't, my bet would have won.

879
00:42:37,680 --> 00:42:41,799
Speaker 1: So we at least would have had a hedgeable opportunity

880
00:42:41,800 --> 00:42:44,400
Speaker 1: on Monday night. So I'll give you that. I just laugh.

881
00:42:44,800 --> 00:42:47,280
Speaker 2: But we might be we might be cooking.

882
00:42:47,880 --> 00:42:49,840
Speaker 3: What are you? Where are you? What are you guys watching?

883
00:42:51,120 --> 00:42:52,600
Speaker 3: What is your setup or what are you doing for

884
00:42:52,640 --> 00:42:53,600
Speaker 3: the games on Sunday?

885
00:42:55,160 --> 00:42:58,800
Speaker 4: I feel like I'm working at six o'clock in the

886
00:42:58,840 --> 00:43:01,840
Speaker 4: morning on Sunday for f one and then I'm gonna

887
00:43:02,440 --> 00:43:04,239
Speaker 4: have a brunch thing that i have to go to after.

888
00:43:04,280 --> 00:43:06,680
Speaker 4: But I will be on my couch, three TVs in

889
00:43:06,719 --> 00:43:09,600
Speaker 4: a laptop immediately after that at one o'clock for the

890
00:43:09,600 --> 00:43:11,080
Speaker 4: rest of the day and I'm not moving.

891
00:43:12,040 --> 00:43:14,319
Speaker 3: That sounds like That's sounds like mine. If I don't

892
00:43:14,360 --> 00:43:18,320
Speaker 3: go to the bar, then yeah, I have three TVs,

893
00:43:18,360 --> 00:43:26,000
Speaker 3: my laptop out and I'll eat a little gummy bear

894
00:43:26,480 --> 00:43:31,520
Speaker 3: around eleven yep, and then order some food. We'll do

895
00:43:31,600 --> 00:43:34,240
Speaker 3: my do college football podcast, Shout Out Big that's on campus,

896
00:43:34,280 --> 00:43:36,239
Speaker 3: listen to some voicemails, get yelled at, and.

897
00:43:36,160 --> 00:43:39,279
Speaker 2: Then uh, wait, what's your game day meal?

898
00:43:40,360 --> 00:43:40,600
Speaker 1: Uh?

899
00:43:40,680 --> 00:43:43,480
Speaker 3: It depends. I don't have a I don't have a constant.

900
00:43:44,120 --> 00:43:46,880
Speaker 3: Maybe I'll get Zaxby's in the sauce, but yeah, I

901
00:43:46,960 --> 00:43:51,360
Speaker 3: don't need to do that. But uh, I'll order something

902
00:43:51,960 --> 00:43:53,960
Speaker 3: big and really good around here from like one of

903
00:43:53,960 --> 00:43:55,520
Speaker 3: my favorite staurants and just get a ton of food

904
00:43:57,280 --> 00:44:00,520
Speaker 3: and then yeah, sit for We'll be doing the live

905
00:44:00,560 --> 00:44:03,360
Speaker 3: show at Semple usually just sit down on the couch

906
00:44:03,400 --> 00:44:07,279
Speaker 3: from one until Sunday night football is over.

907
00:44:08,000 --> 00:44:11,799
Speaker 2: Uh So I love being a piece of on Sundays.

908
00:44:12,440 --> 00:44:13,279
Speaker 3: Yeah, that's the.

909
00:44:13,239 --> 00:44:16,839
Speaker 1: Best Red Zone channel I am.

910
00:44:16,920 --> 00:44:17,080
Speaker 3: Now.

911
00:44:17,200 --> 00:44:19,520
Speaker 1: My kid is five years old, about to turn six.

912
00:44:19,600 --> 00:44:23,440
Speaker 1: He's just now into the idea of watching football and

913
00:44:23,840 --> 00:44:27,000
Speaker 1: he cheers for whoever has the lead. That's his thing

914
00:44:27,080 --> 00:44:31,440
Speaker 1: right now. But it is very confusing sitting back. Last

915
00:44:31,440 --> 00:44:33,719
Speaker 1: week was the first week I've watched Red Zone with him.

916
00:44:33,719 --> 00:44:35,680
Speaker 1: So he like gets into one game and then all

917
00:44:35,680 --> 00:44:37,440
Speaker 1: of a sudden they're onto the next one, and I'm

918
00:44:37,480 --> 00:44:39,640
Speaker 1: having to teach him that Scott Hansen has taking us

919
00:44:39,680 --> 00:44:42,240
Speaker 1: on a He's taking us on a magical carpet ride.

920
00:44:42,600 --> 00:44:44,160
Speaker 1: How he's five?

921
00:44:44,400 --> 00:44:45,799
Speaker 2: Does he get the Witching Hour? Yet?

922
00:44:46,400 --> 00:44:47,200
Speaker 1: We're not there yet.

923
00:44:48,200 --> 00:44:51,040
Speaker 3: When you have a kid, how do you, like, do

924
00:44:51,080 --> 00:44:54,640
Speaker 3: you want to make sure to be a responsible father

925
00:44:54,719 --> 00:44:57,200
Speaker 3: that there they don't go down the path of becoming

926
00:44:57,200 --> 00:44:59,200
Speaker 3: a fan of a team that's going to lead to

927
00:44:59,280 --> 00:45:00,720
Speaker 3: a life of pain.

928
00:45:01,080 --> 00:45:03,080
Speaker 2: So the Jaguars are awesome.

929
00:45:03,640 --> 00:45:05,400
Speaker 3: Yeah, like you don't want to be for example, you

930
00:45:05,400 --> 00:45:07,080
Speaker 3: don't want to become a Jaguars fan.

931
00:45:08,080 --> 00:45:09,200
Speaker 1: I'm a Dolphins fan.

932
00:45:12,000 --> 00:45:14,279
Speaker 3: I do the Dolphins lost it? Like, do you want

933
00:45:14,320 --> 00:45:15,719
Speaker 3: you really wanted to be a Dolphins fan?

934
00:45:15,760 --> 00:45:18,000
Speaker 1: Who not? Really? Not really? Right now, I think he's

935
00:45:18,040 --> 00:45:20,160
Speaker 1: on a good path. Whoever has more points, that's the

936
00:45:20,200 --> 00:45:22,920
Speaker 1: team that he cheers for, and I think it's a

937
00:45:22,960 --> 00:45:26,360
Speaker 1: good place to start when you're five. Okay, trying to

938
00:45:26,360 --> 00:45:28,240
Speaker 1: teach him the game, I did get up. So speaking

939
00:45:28,239 --> 00:45:32,040
Speaker 1: of rewatching Pats Dolphins, because he knows I'm a Dolphins fan,

940
00:45:32,040 --> 00:45:34,000
Speaker 1: he gets excited when the Dolphins are on the screen.

941
00:45:34,360 --> 00:45:37,400
Speaker 1: He woke up this is like Monday or Tuesday morning,

942
00:45:37,719 --> 00:45:39,560
Speaker 1: and I asked him, do you want to watch you know,

943
00:45:39,680 --> 00:45:43,040
Speaker 1: Bluie or Mickey Mouse, you know, one of his cartoons

944
00:45:43,040 --> 00:45:45,440
Speaker 1: when we get up in the morning, and he goes,

945
00:45:45,480 --> 00:45:48,279
Speaker 1: can we watch the Dolphins? And I was like, and

946
00:45:48,320 --> 00:45:50,880
Speaker 1: so he doesn't know that this is a painful experience

947
00:45:50,920 --> 00:45:53,520
Speaker 1: for me. I just but I'm excited that he wants

948
00:45:53,560 --> 00:45:56,200
Speaker 1: to watch football. So I turned the Pats Dolphins game on.

949
00:45:56,280 --> 00:45:58,960
Speaker 1: It's six o'clock in the morning to start the week.

950
00:45:59,400 --> 00:46:01,279
Speaker 1: I've already lived through this and now I have to

951
00:46:01,320 --> 00:46:05,920
Speaker 1: relive this. Friend, what do you do? And I'm not

952
00:46:05,960 --> 00:46:08,400
Speaker 1: gonna say no. I love the fact that he's asking

953
00:46:08,440 --> 00:46:09,200
Speaker 1: to watch football.

954
00:46:10,200 --> 00:46:16,040
Speaker 2: Oh no, that is so tragic. We watched the Dolphins

955
00:46:16,040 --> 00:46:18,320
Speaker 2: and not the Patriots exactly.

956
00:46:18,600 --> 00:46:20,880
Speaker 1: I mean, you know, the kids will pick up. Whatever

957
00:46:20,920 --> 00:46:23,000
Speaker 1: it is you get excited about, kids will get excited

958
00:46:23,040 --> 00:46:25,280
Speaker 1: about too. There's my dad advice for the week. Stucky.

959
00:46:25,920 --> 00:46:27,480
Speaker 3: Okay, write that.

960
00:46:27,480 --> 00:46:31,760
Speaker 1: Down almost ten to one on our three leg parlay.

961
00:46:31,800 --> 00:46:34,120
Speaker 1: That'll do it for this week's episode. Special Thanks to

962
00:46:34,160 --> 00:46:38,760
Speaker 1: the producers Gifford Gold, David Payne, and of course Matt Mitchell,

963
00:46:38,960 --> 00:46:41,720
Speaker 1: the one and only. Thank you for helping to build

964
00:46:41,719 --> 00:46:43,719
Speaker 1: this channel into what it is. You are a true

965
00:46:43,800 --> 00:46:46,399
Speaker 1: legend in my book. And if you need to cut

966
00:46:46,440 --> 00:46:48,200
Speaker 1: this at the end of the episode, by all means

967
00:46:48,239 --> 00:46:50,160
Speaker 1: do so, but it needed to be said. Thank you

968
00:46:50,560 --> 00:46:54,879
Speaker 1: from all of us. The Favorites will return next on

969
00:46:54,960 --> 00:46:57,920
Speaker 1: Sunday night. We'll have a full recap for you. We'll

970
00:46:57,960 --> 00:47:00,399
Speaker 1: see how he did with all of our bets. Thanks

971
00:47:00,440 --> 00:47:02,560
Speaker 1: so much for tuning in. We'll catch you next time

972
00:47:02,640 --> 00:47:05,640
Speaker 1: right here on the Favorites podcast. Let's catch these tickets.

973
00:47:06,120 --> 00:47:06,360
Speaker 2: I know.

974
00:47:11,719 --> 00:47:16,239
Speaker 1: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or

975
00:47:16,280 --> 00:47:19,600
Speaker 1: someone you care about has a gambling problem, help is available.

976
00:47:19,640 --> 00:47:22,200
Speaker 2: Twenty four to seven at one eight hundred gambler