WEBVTT - Amazon, Meta, Apple Earnings and the Vision Pro

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<v Speaker 1>From Marhart.

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<v Speaker 2>We're Innovation, Money and Power Collne in Silicon Valley, NBN.

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Technology with Caroline Hyde and Ed Love Love.

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<v Speaker 3>I'm Caroline Hyde at Bloomberg's World headquarters in New.

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<v Speaker 4>York, and I'm Ed Lovelow in San Francisco. This is

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<v Speaker 4>Bloomberg Technology.

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<v Speaker 3>Coming up, Amazon, Meta, Apple all out with their latest earnings.

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<v Speaker 3>We'll dig into the latest results from Big Tech.

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<v Speaker 4>Plus Vision pro hits stores. We'll take a closer look

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<v Speaker 4>at Apple's latest bet on the future.

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<v Speaker 3>And an exclusive interview with the Nvidia CEO where he

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<v Speaker 3>sees the biggest benefit from the AI boom. But first,

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<v Speaker 3>let's get straight to some of these big moves. When

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<v Speaker 3>it comes to tech ed and we are record highs.

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<v Speaker 3>When it comes to Meta, extraordinary.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, record high Meta. There's like a comparing contrast here. Apple.

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<v Speaker 4>I kind of think it's the story we expected. They

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<v Speaker 4>did grow overall in the quarter, gone just just and

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<v Speaker 4>they avoided five straight quarters of sales decline. But the

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<v Speaker 4>stock is down significantly back to where it traded in November.

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<v Speaker 4>Why Greater China sales and Greater China missing by like

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<v Speaker 4>three billion dollars. But the narrative on the call. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 4>we are four of the top six handsets in urban

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<v Speaker 4>China in congruous messaging. We'll dig deep into the gross

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<v Speaker 4>story for this stock, and then there is meta, right

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<v Speaker 4>meta to me, is the story today? Probably we're on

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<v Speaker 4>track for the biggest jump since February of last year.

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<v Speaker 4>The stock is touching fresh record highs. Is this an

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<v Speaker 4>AI story or is this a cyclical rebound in ads?

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<v Speaker 4>Either way, one year ago we lamented the spending cash

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<v Speaker 4>burn from Facebook reality labs on the metaverse, But one

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<v Speaker 4>year ago we also said, Okay, your efficiency is here.

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<v Speaker 4>This is good. They're back to hiring, and he's thrown

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<v Speaker 4>in an additional fifty billion dollar buyback and a divvy

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<v Speaker 4>and it's a wonder what it can do for the

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<v Speaker 4>stock character.

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<v Speaker 1>Funnily enough, investors like it.

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<v Speaker 3>And let's dig into the meta earnings and really what

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<v Speaker 3>it says about cost discipline. Jusmin Enburg is with us

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<v Speaker 3>some piece of say principle analyst insider intelligence, where you

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<v Speaker 3>lead the coverage to social media the creator economy. And

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<v Speaker 3>before we get into some of the juiciness for the

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<v Speaker 3>investor base, what do you make of the out and

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<v Speaker 3>out numbers? Of revenue growth at this particular moment.

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<v Speaker 5>Yeah, well, it's clear that Meta's year of efficiency has

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<v Speaker 5>really paid off. Many of the measures that it took

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<v Speaker 5>last year helped it reduce its cost, it reduced its headcount,

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<v Speaker 5>and even with this leaner team and operations, it was

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<v Speaker 5>really able to exceed expectations really across the board, and

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<v Speaker 5>importantly of course, in its core line of business, which

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<v Speaker 5>is advertising. And to me, this is really a testament

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<v Speaker 5>to Meta's execution power. If you look across the social landscape,

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<v Speaker 5>it isn't the coolest or the most exciting social player

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<v Speaker 5>out there, but it is the most sophisticated and it

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<v Speaker 5>knows how to drive business and advertisers really like that.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, they were investing in the underlying advertising technology to

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<v Speaker 3>better serve their clients. But what do you make of

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<v Speaker 3>also the talk generative AI. The larmer has become basically

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<v Speaker 3>the giveaway when you go to AI events. So much

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<v Speaker 3>of that is a course based on their large language model,

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<v Speaker 3>But what does it do in terms of future revenues? Jasmine?

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<v Speaker 5>Look, Meta wants to be an AI heavy hitter, and

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<v Speaker 5>it is working hard and investing in AI to be

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<v Speaker 5>able to do that.

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<v Speaker 1>On the earnings call. Just in the prepared remarks, you.

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<v Speaker 5>Heard executives mention the word AI about fifty times, which

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<v Speaker 5>really shows how much they're trying to emphasize their work

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<v Speaker 5>there as well as how much they truly.

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<v Speaker 1>Are working there.

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<v Speaker 5>And It's AI investments have already proved to have a

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<v Speaker 5>positive impact on its ad business.

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<v Speaker 1>They talked a lot about its automated.

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<v Speaker 5>Tools and AI driven ad formats really driving performance. And

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<v Speaker 5>at the end of the day, advertisers they want efficiency

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<v Speaker 5>and they want effectiveness, and those investments have really paid

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<v Speaker 5>off there and that bodes well for its broader ambitions

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<v Speaker 5>in AI as well.

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<v Speaker 4>I think what we're understanding Jasmine is the relationship between

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<v Speaker 4>the ad business ANAI now right, and so Bloomberg writes

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<v Speaker 4>in the blog, Meta is still the king of digital advertising,

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<v Speaker 4>but what they point out is that the boost is

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<v Speaker 4>coming from China based companies on spending in its association

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<v Speaker 4>with AI generated content. Do you understand that relationship and

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<v Speaker 4>how AI is basically growing interest in its ad.

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<v Speaker 5>Base absolutely, I mean AI of course is growing interest

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<v Speaker 5>in its ad base and generative AI in terms of

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<v Speaker 5>the creative tools that Meta is also rolling out for advertisers,

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<v Speaker 5>will do a lot to prove that. I mean, the

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<v Speaker 5>China based advertisers is a potential risk factor, though I

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<v Speaker 5>wouldn't say it's necessarily the biggest one, because they have

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<v Speaker 5>been buoying spending as well throughout twenty twenty three.

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<v Speaker 4>Later in the program, we're going to go very deep

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<v Speaker 4>on Apple's vision pro and it makes you think about

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<v Speaker 4>the metaquest three. You know, it is hard to keep

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<v Speaker 4>up with meta We were a social media company and

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<v Speaker 4>then we were a metaverse company, but it was expensive,

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<v Speaker 4>so we stopped. And now we're in an AI company.

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<v Speaker 4>Did you get any sense of like where the hardware

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<v Speaker 4>fits into all of this and if the metaverse dream

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<v Speaker 4>is still alive?

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<v Speaker 1>Well, the metaverse dream is very much still alive.

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<v Speaker 5>They didn't talk about it as much on the earnings

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<v Speaker 5>call yesterday. Again, the focus was really on AI, and

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<v Speaker 5>for me, the big challenge now is for Meta to

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<v Speaker 5>be able to prove that those two big bets, one

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<v Speaker 5>being AI and the other being the metaverse, really are complementary.

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<v Speaker 5>It started to lay some of the foundation for that

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<v Speaker 5>thinking about the ray Bank smart glasses, and you know,

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<v Speaker 5>it talked about good sales for its metaquest in the

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<v Speaker 5>last quarter, so there are some signs of progress there

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<v Speaker 5>still for me, you know, the meta versus is somewhat

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<v Speaker 5>of an ill defined concept, and it's something that you know,

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<v Speaker 5>Meta is going to have to continue to prove as

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<v Speaker 5>it continues to form this vision. It also has to

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<v Speaker 5>store that it can keep up the momentum in its

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<v Speaker 5>advertising business, or investors won't be as willing to overlook

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<v Speaker 5>those losses that continue to mount in reality labs.

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<v Speaker 3>Interestingly, maybe Apple's vision pro serves as some boost to

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<v Speaker 3>sales to Meta going forward as they help with outlining

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<v Speaker 3>the vision. Jasmine, I'm interested though you said that China,

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<v Speaker 3>for example, isn't the biggest risk for you. What is

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<v Speaker 3>the biggest risk? Is it regulation?

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<v Speaker 1>It's certainly one of them.

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<v Speaker 5>I mean, just this week as well, CEO Mark Zuckerberg

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<v Speaker 5>testified in front of Congress about protecting children online. That

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<v Speaker 5>was a really heated conversation and it's clearly going to be.

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<v Speaker 1>One of their biggest challenges this year.

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<v Speaker 5>Teen popularity has become, you know, somewhat of a liability,

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<v Speaker 5>at least in the eyes of lawmakers, but young people

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<v Speaker 5>also represent Facebook and Instagram's largest or one of their largest,

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<v Speaker 5>really opportunities for growth.

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<v Speaker 1>And it's going to have to walk a really fine line.

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<v Speaker 5>In terms of protecting their safety on these platforms and

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<v Speaker 5>generating revenue. There's also, of course a lot of other

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<v Speaker 5>regulated regulation that Meta has to think about, both here

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<v Speaker 5>in the US and in the EU.

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<v Speaker 1>And then there's the digital ad market.

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<v Speaker 6>You know.

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<v Speaker 5>I think Meta was able to allay some concerns already

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<v Speaker 5>in the earnings call yesterday, but it is susceptible to

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<v Speaker 5>fluctuations in the economy that really can impact advertiser demand.

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<v Speaker 4>Jasmine Mberg, principal analysts over in Insider Intelligence, with the

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<v Speaker 4>Meta story, thank you very much. Let's get to the

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<v Speaker 4>Apple story and Apple earnings with Dani's, senior analysts of

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<v Speaker 4>equity research at web Bush Securities, Danish real quick. The

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<v Speaker 4>stock is pairing its decline were now six tenths of

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<v Speaker 4>a percent. We had been down significantly more. What is

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<v Speaker 4>the story? A return to growth overall or China is

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<v Speaker 4>a problem.

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<v Speaker 7>Yeah, I mean the streets reading through this is iPhone

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<v Speaker 7>growths coming back next quarter is essentially massively conservative guidance.

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<v Speaker 7>And now you have AI coming into the Apple store,

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<v Speaker 7>so Jo nor One's selling Apple heading into that narrative,

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<v Speaker 7>and in my opinion, this is the start of the

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<v Speaker 7>renaissance of growth or.

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<v Speaker 4>Apple conservative guidance. So I mean go back, like what

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<v Speaker 4>we hang on are the words of Luca Maistreet. Basically

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<v Speaker 4>he said that that December quarter would be essentially flat.

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<v Speaker 4>We ended up with slight growth overall and weakness in China.

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<v Speaker 4>You know, we're not talking about like a big rebound here, Dan,

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<v Speaker 4>We're talking about them staying out of five consecutive quarters

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<v Speaker 4>of growth declines. If there is growth, where does it

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<v Speaker 4>come from.

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<v Speaker 7>What our view is you don't need to have hypergrowth

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<v Speaker 7>and iPhones row to mid single digit iPhone growth is

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<v Speaker 7>really what you need. Services is the key to evaluation

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<v Speaker 7>one point five to one point six trillion. And then

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<v Speaker 7>look at their active in Starblands when they just need

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<v Speaker 7>the update two point two billion. So you now have

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<v Speaker 7>that that golden and stall base and now you're selling

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<v Speaker 7>AI and so that that's a narrative that in my

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<v Speaker 7>investors are just going to continue to sit here and

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<v Speaker 7>buy up the depths.

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<v Speaker 3>So when you're looking at the overall strength of new products, Dan,

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<v Speaker 3>there has been so much hand ringing about the iPhone fifteen,

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<v Speaker 3>then today we're going to talk about it.

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<v Speaker 1>A lot.

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<v Speaker 3>In a moment the Vision Pro goes on sale. How

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<v Speaker 3>much is that in any way going to be a

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<v Speaker 3>catalyst for liking Apple's tech because it was under pressure

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<v Speaker 3>when we started to think about, well, the fact that

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<v Speaker 3>the overall watch was pulled and we questioned ultimately the

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<v Speaker 3>underlying technology of Apple.

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<v Speaker 7>Look, I think, but again again and Apple continues to

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<v Speaker 7>count out. I mean, you will talk more about the

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<v Speaker 7>Vision Pro, but originally we had three hundred thousand units

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<v Speaker 7>for Vision Pro. Now we think for the year it's

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<v Speaker 7>six hundred two thousand and two years from now, I

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<v Speaker 7>think this is a sub fifteen hundred dollar device that's

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<v Speaker 7>going to look like Sunblosh. And it just goes back

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<v Speaker 7>to the form factor and why you own Apple here

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<v Speaker 7>some of the parts. I believe a year from now,

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<v Speaker 7>it's a four trillion dollar market.

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<v Speaker 3>Okay, So give us that catalyst. Give us what is

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<v Speaker 3>it a slow grind, a slow belief, a commitment of investors,

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<v Speaker 3>or is there something that snaps down that makes us

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<v Speaker 3>rebuy and decide to drive the stock back to a

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<v Speaker 3>four trillion Well.

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<v Speaker 7>I think it's the AI app store, we believe starts

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<v Speaker 7>to get talked about it. WWBC in June and then

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<v Speaker 7>iPhone sixteen as well as iPhone seventeen. They're gonna have

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<v Speaker 7>more AI technology, generative AI driven into that. And then

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<v Speaker 7>you look at that install based two point gwo billion.

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<v Speaker 7>There was one hundred million more than we were expecting.

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<v Speaker 7>This is the start of a renaissance of growth. It's

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<v Speaker 7>my view of where Meta was eighteen months ago. Street

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<v Speaker 7>did not realize at the time. I think eighteen months

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<v Speaker 7>from now we worked back at This is a seminal moment.

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<v Speaker 4>Dan, I want to go back to China. I want

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<v Speaker 4>to understand what's happening. This is what Luka Maistreet told

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<v Speaker 4>us that Apple's disappointed with the decline in China, but

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<v Speaker 4>it's a very competitive market. Compare that with what he

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<v Speaker 4>said in his opening remarks on the call. He cited

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<v Speaker 4>that Cantar data that Apple occupies four of the top

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<v Speaker 4>six handset slots in Greater China in the prior quarter.

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<v Speaker 4>They said, this isn't an iPhone problem, this is Mac

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<v Speaker 4>and iPad where we had not had a refresh cycle.

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<v Speaker 4>Explain the contrast in those two statements.

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<v Speaker 7>Yeah, Well, there's definitely not Chimpan and Rosemes in Beijing.

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<v Speaker 7>I mean they're clearly going through a headwinds. Huawe to geopolitical.

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<v Speaker 7>But our view is, you have two hundred million iPhones

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<v Speaker 7>in China and they gained three inchre BIPs of market

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<v Speaker 7>share the last eighteen months. But Apple has been here before.

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<v Speaker 7>They've navigated challenges again and again. So I think when

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<v Speaker 7>you look for you've been able to do and the

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<v Speaker 7>installers they're basically being cautious. But I think we see

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<v Speaker 7>growth second after the year return and we view this

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<v Speaker 7>as more of them navigating headwinds rather than the start

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<v Speaker 7>of some structural problem that the bears have been talking

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<v Speaker 7>about for the last two trillion of marketcap.

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<v Speaker 8>Up con.

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<v Speaker 3>Dan, I's always great to catch up with you. Where

0:12:38.000 --> 0:12:40.640
<v Speaker 3>in the world are you? We don't know. Potentially, it

0:12:40.679 --> 0:12:43.360
<v Speaker 3>looks like an airport at the moment analysts of equity

0:12:43.480 --> 0:12:47.360
<v Speaker 3>research where Bush Securities stay well, friend, have a great weekend.

0:12:47.520 --> 0:12:49.040
<v Speaker 3>If you are coming up, we're going to be breaking

0:12:49.080 --> 0:12:51.800
<v Speaker 3>down the latest numbers from the jobs report. Sylvia and

0:12:51.880 --> 0:12:54.040
<v Speaker 3>Martin shivik Is can be joining our CEO of the

0:12:54.080 --> 0:13:05.839
<v Speaker 3>Workforce Management Platform, Deputy. Let's go back to where these

0:13:05.840 --> 0:13:08.319
<v Speaker 3>markets are training at the moment. In amongst the earnings

0:13:08.679 --> 0:13:11.840
<v Speaker 3>there is a whole load of impact coming from the

0:13:11.880 --> 0:13:15.200
<v Speaker 3>macro picture. Today NASDAK drives higher one point two percent, lead,

0:13:15.240 --> 0:13:17.240
<v Speaker 3>of course, by some mega moves in meta that we

0:13:17.240 --> 0:13:19.280
<v Speaker 3>were just discussing Amazon doing well. We're digging into that

0:13:19.280 --> 0:13:22.400
<v Speaker 3>in a moment. But the ten year yield phenomenal sell

0:13:22.440 --> 0:13:24.280
<v Speaker 3>off eighteen basis points higher on the two year. We're

0:13:24.280 --> 0:13:26.520
<v Speaker 3>seeing significant moves on the tenure as well across the curve.

0:13:26.600 --> 0:13:29.680
<v Speaker 3>Why absolutely blow out report when it comes to the

0:13:29.679 --> 0:13:32.760
<v Speaker 3>overall job surge three undred fifty three thousand in the

0:13:32.840 --> 0:13:35.880
<v Speaker 3>last month. What then, of all the tech layoffs that

0:13:35.880 --> 0:13:38.040
<v Speaker 3>we've been seeing. It seems as though this economy is

0:13:38.080 --> 0:13:40.080
<v Speaker 3>still going strong, and it means the Federal Reserve is

0:13:40.160 --> 0:13:42.960
<v Speaker 3>unlikely to be cutting anytime as soon as March, and

0:13:43.000 --> 0:13:46.160
<v Speaker 3>certainly it's vindicated and holding rates steady. Bitcoin, as I show,

0:13:46.160 --> 0:13:48.840
<v Speaker 3>actually up six cents percent despite the US dollar managing

0:13:48.840 --> 0:13:50.800
<v Speaker 3>to rally on the back of those numbers that make

0:13:50.880 --> 0:13:53.880
<v Speaker 3>macro data as well. But ed, this picture is so

0:13:53.960 --> 0:13:56.520
<v Speaker 3>surprising when you think of our area of technology and

0:13:56.600 --> 0:13:59.000
<v Speaker 3>just the ongoing narrative of job losses.

0:14:00.040 --> 0:14:02.040
<v Speaker 4>I'm just going to read the numbers again, because you're

0:14:02.080 --> 0:14:04.240
<v Speaker 4>exactly right and if you've got X look at the

0:14:04.320 --> 0:14:07.520
<v Speaker 4>number of finn what do we used to call it whatever?

0:14:07.559 --> 0:14:09.800
<v Speaker 4>People that talk about finance on formerly known as Twitter

0:14:09.840 --> 0:14:14.160
<v Speaker 4>platform finish number exactly, but it's a blowout, right, three

0:14:14.280 --> 0:14:17.680
<v Speaker 4>hundred and fifty three thousand jobs added in January, higher

0:14:17.720 --> 0:14:21.080
<v Speaker 4>than all economist estimates. The bulk of the data showing

0:14:21.120 --> 0:14:25.440
<v Speaker 4>more employment, higher pay, and payroll increases across all industries.

0:14:25.520 --> 0:14:28.640
<v Speaker 4>I guess the question where do we sit with technology?

0:14:28.680 --> 0:14:31.400
<v Speaker 4>So let's bring in Sylvia Martinshevik for her take on this.

0:14:31.480 --> 0:14:35.120
<v Speaker 4>She's the CEO of Global Software Platform Deputy, which recently

0:14:35.160 --> 0:14:37.760
<v Speaker 4>put out a report on the change is expected in

0:14:37.800 --> 0:14:42.120
<v Speaker 4>the workforce this year. We're trying to understand what's happening

0:14:42.120 --> 0:14:45.360
<v Speaker 4>in the economy and in the technology sector. There is,

0:14:45.480 --> 0:14:50.520
<v Speaker 4>forgive the pun, but an artificial thing happening with artificial intelligence,

0:14:50.800 --> 0:14:54.480
<v Speaker 4>the muddies the picture of hiring, in particular your reaction

0:14:54.600 --> 0:14:56.040
<v Speaker 4>to that number this morning.

0:14:57.840 --> 0:15:01.560
<v Speaker 6>Good morning, and thank you so much for having me. Yes,

0:15:01.720 --> 0:15:06.200
<v Speaker 6>we are seeing that for the twenty fourth consecutive month,

0:15:06.760 --> 0:15:11.120
<v Speaker 6>the unemployment rate is sub four percent. And yet you know,

0:15:11.160 --> 0:15:17.160
<v Speaker 6>we're hearing so much about AI taking jobs away and

0:15:17.440 --> 0:15:21.440
<v Speaker 6>what we at Deputy obsess about is how will AI

0:15:21.640 --> 0:15:25.640
<v Speaker 6>impact hourly workers? These are the frontline workers, whether they're

0:15:25.760 --> 0:15:31.600
<v Speaker 6>nurses or retail workers. And what we're hearing from hourly workers,

0:15:31.640 --> 0:15:34.320
<v Speaker 6>they themselves are reading the same reports, and you know,

0:15:34.360 --> 0:15:37.280
<v Speaker 6>they believe that AI is going to impact and change

0:15:37.320 --> 0:15:41.040
<v Speaker 6>their jobs and roles. But what we find is that

0:15:41.120 --> 0:15:45.440
<v Speaker 6>in most scenarios, AI is more likely to complement specific

0:15:45.480 --> 0:15:48.680
<v Speaker 6>work tasks rather than replace the workers.

0:15:49.120 --> 0:15:50.640
<v Speaker 1>And really, when you think.

0:15:50.440 --> 0:15:53.880
<v Speaker 6>About the workers that we support at Deputy, whether that

0:15:54.160 --> 0:15:58.400
<v Speaker 6>again are workers and elderly care or hospitality or services,

0:15:59.000 --> 0:16:01.920
<v Speaker 6>we all prefer the human touch in those jobs, and

0:16:02.280 --> 0:16:06.040
<v Speaker 6>those jobs are there's still a lot of lack of

0:16:06.120 --> 0:16:07.560
<v Speaker 6>employees in those jobs.

0:16:07.800 --> 0:16:10.160
<v Speaker 3>And what's interesting about your report as well, humans are

0:16:10.160 --> 0:16:13.120
<v Speaker 3>still cheaper than AI in many of these roles at

0:16:13.120 --> 0:16:16.320
<v Speaker 3>the moment, and well, we're still all testing artificial intelligence,

0:16:16.360 --> 0:16:18.840
<v Speaker 3>whether or not we really get the implication of being

0:16:18.840 --> 0:16:22.000
<v Speaker 3>able to do more with less. But Sylvia, what's really

0:16:22.000 --> 0:16:25.400
<v Speaker 3>interesting this job support was women one hundred and ninety

0:16:25.440 --> 0:16:29.640
<v Speaker 3>eight thousand increase in employment for women, so participation going up,

0:16:29.680 --> 0:16:32.080
<v Speaker 3>making up for a callback in men. And you had

0:16:32.080 --> 0:16:34.320
<v Speaker 3>some interesting thoughts about how much AI is going to

0:16:34.320 --> 0:16:36.240
<v Speaker 3>help or hinder females in the workforce.

0:16:37.560 --> 0:16:42.520
<v Speaker 6>Absolutely, we cannot talk about labor markets without talking about women.

0:16:42.960 --> 0:16:47.400
<v Speaker 6>The constitute over fifty percent of hourly workforce, So this

0:16:47.480 --> 0:16:49.200
<v Speaker 6>is an incredibly important topic.

0:16:49.880 --> 0:16:51.200
<v Speaker 1>And when you think about.

0:16:50.920 --> 0:16:54.600
<v Speaker 6>Historically what were the barriers to women entering workforce, we

0:16:54.720 --> 0:16:59.320
<v Speaker 6>know it's childcare, accessibility, and affordability, and it's also lack

0:16:59.360 --> 0:17:02.800
<v Speaker 6>of predicative But you know, at Deputy we ask what

0:17:02.840 --> 0:17:06.600
<v Speaker 6>do women want from their work and how can technology

0:17:06.720 --> 0:17:09.960
<v Speaker 6>enable that? And what we found is that women want

0:17:10.160 --> 0:17:14.159
<v Speaker 6>more predictability and they want more flexibility when it comes

0:17:14.200 --> 0:17:17.920
<v Speaker 6>to their weekly work schedules. And you know, our mothers

0:17:17.920 --> 0:17:21.639
<v Speaker 6>and grandmothers work nine to five, but women of today

0:17:21.760 --> 0:17:24.520
<v Speaker 6>Gen Z and millennials, they don't want nine to five shifts,

0:17:25.040 --> 0:17:29.120
<v Speaker 6>And so how can technology help that is Actually.

0:17:28.680 --> 0:17:31.000
<v Speaker 1>We believe that it can be a great enabler.

0:17:32.200 --> 0:17:36.840
<v Speaker 6>Micro shifts is one specific trend that we're seeing where

0:17:36.880 --> 0:17:39.399
<v Speaker 6>women work for a couple of hours in the morning,

0:17:39.920 --> 0:17:43.439
<v Speaker 6>then they take care of their kids or their aging parents,

0:17:43.840 --> 0:17:45.760
<v Speaker 6>and then they go back to work and work a

0:17:45.760 --> 0:17:50.240
<v Speaker 6>couple of hours at night. So that micro shift trend

0:17:50.440 --> 0:17:53.639
<v Speaker 6>is something that we believe technology can help. So We

0:17:53.760 --> 0:17:57.879
<v Speaker 6>really do believe that more tech in this space will

0:17:57.920 --> 0:18:01.240
<v Speaker 6>provide more opportunities for women to continue to re enter

0:18:01.359 --> 0:18:03.640
<v Speaker 6>workforce after childbearing.

0:18:04.440 --> 0:18:07.520
<v Speaker 3>Love a bit of optimism around the AI story on

0:18:07.560 --> 0:18:10.639
<v Speaker 3>what felt like a week weather wasn't much. Sylvia mantinshevik me,

0:18:10.680 --> 0:18:13.919
<v Speaker 3>thank you so much, CEO of Deputy.

0:18:14.720 --> 0:18:18.040
<v Speaker 4>It's the official release day for Apple's big bet on

0:18:18.160 --> 0:18:20.120
<v Speaker 4>virtual reality, the Vision Pro.

0:18:20.200 --> 0:18:20.680
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg.

0:18:20.800 --> 0:18:25.040
<v Speaker 4>Stavely is live from Manhattan outside the flagship Apple's store.

0:18:25.960 --> 0:18:28.439
<v Speaker 4>The doors are open, it's on sale. What have you

0:18:28.480 --> 0:18:28.879
<v Speaker 4>been up to?

0:18:32.000 --> 0:18:34.320
<v Speaker 9>Well, I've been here since about seven o'clock when it

0:18:34.400 --> 0:18:36.240
<v Speaker 9>was slightly warm than it is now, I have to say.

0:18:36.440 --> 0:18:39.240
<v Speaker 9>And at seven there was a healthy line of people

0:18:39.720 --> 0:18:42.479
<v Speaker 9>waiting to head straight in and be some of the

0:18:42.480 --> 0:18:45.440
<v Speaker 9>first to buy this new Vision Pro, which of course

0:18:45.480 --> 0:18:48.920
<v Speaker 9>went on sale today for thirty five hundred dollars. Tim Cook,

0:18:48.920 --> 0:18:51.920
<v Speaker 9>the Apple CEO, has expected. He was here. He opened

0:18:51.920 --> 0:18:55.040
<v Speaker 9>the store, came out, greeted everyone said thanks very much,

0:18:55.080 --> 0:18:57.400
<v Speaker 9>and all the usual things we've come to expect from

0:18:57.400 --> 0:19:00.080
<v Speaker 9>these first sales days for Apple, and then downstairs to

0:19:00.119 --> 0:19:02.800
<v Speaker 9>say there's a decent amount of excitement people. It takes

0:19:02.800 --> 0:19:05.200
<v Speaker 9>about twenty minutes to get this thing fitted. So people

0:19:05.200 --> 0:19:07.880
<v Speaker 9>were doing that and you know, seeing all the features

0:19:07.880 --> 0:19:10.840
<v Speaker 9>were and then emerging shortly after. So it's not quite

0:19:10.840 --> 0:19:13.560
<v Speaker 9>an iPhone day ed. I mean, the line is definitely

0:19:13.560 --> 0:19:15.560
<v Speaker 9>gone now you can just head straight in if you'd like.

0:19:16.160 --> 0:19:18.440
<v Speaker 9>But a significant amount of excitement I think for the

0:19:19.119 --> 0:19:21.080
<v Speaker 9>vision pro on this first morning.

0:19:21.320 --> 0:19:24.000
<v Speaker 3>Dave as lucky enough to be flanking you at seven

0:19:24.040 --> 0:19:26.760
<v Speaker 3>am and heading down there and having a chat with

0:19:26.800 --> 0:19:29.160
<v Speaker 3>Tim Cook, and he seemed to be thinking that really

0:19:29.200 --> 0:19:32.320
<v Speaker 3>it's the intuitive nature of this device that's got people

0:19:32.400 --> 0:19:34.680
<v Speaker 3>really excited. The fact that you're just using your eyes,

0:19:34.720 --> 0:19:36.320
<v Speaker 3>the fact that you're just using your own hands, you

0:19:36.359 --> 0:19:39.439
<v Speaker 3>haven't got a controller. He himself also really liking the

0:19:39.440 --> 0:19:43.119
<v Speaker 3>productivity use of it. But from your perspective, what do

0:19:43.240 --> 0:19:45.400
<v Speaker 3>you like about it? You've tried and I know you're

0:19:45.400 --> 0:19:47.600
<v Speaker 3>a bit of an addict to the quest for example,

0:19:48.119 --> 0:19:53.240
<v Speaker 3>what about this particular iteration. Well, let's see what I.

0:19:53.240 --> 0:19:55.359
<v Speaker 9>Think is interesting here, Caroline, is you know, what are

0:19:55.359 --> 0:19:57.960
<v Speaker 9>we going to use these things for? And in Apple's case,

0:19:58.000 --> 0:20:02.359
<v Speaker 9>they seem to you know, they're targeting extremely premium I guess,

0:20:02.400 --> 0:20:07.400
<v Speaker 9>more immersive, higher quality experience where productivity and entertainment seem

0:20:07.440 --> 0:20:10.639
<v Speaker 9>to be the focus. Meta's approach has been something a

0:20:10.640 --> 0:20:13.119
<v Speaker 9>bit cheaper. It's only five hundred dollars compared to thirty

0:20:13.119 --> 0:20:15.720
<v Speaker 9>five hundred dollars, and you can move around with it.

0:20:15.760 --> 0:20:17.439
<v Speaker 9>You can do the exercise is something I think is

0:20:17.800 --> 0:20:21.280
<v Speaker 9>really fun on that device. They're two sort of different philosophies,

0:20:21.320 --> 0:20:25.119
<v Speaker 9>and Apple's philosophy comes with that bigger price point as well.

0:20:26.320 --> 0:20:29.720
<v Speaker 9>Where I think Apple may over time get the upper

0:20:29.760 --> 0:20:32.200
<v Speaker 9>hand is that, you know, this is the V one

0:20:32.240 --> 0:20:34.040
<v Speaker 9>of this product, and Tim Cook has been kind of

0:20:34.040 --> 0:20:37.080
<v Speaker 9>stressing that as well, but this is a new entry

0:20:37.119 --> 0:20:40.199
<v Speaker 9>for them into a new computing format. The idea that

0:20:40.200 --> 0:20:42.720
<v Speaker 9>this is going to get better and cheaper, you know,

0:20:42.760 --> 0:20:45.560
<v Speaker 9>that's clear and the same way the iPhone improves over time.

0:20:45.880 --> 0:20:47.520
<v Speaker 9>So I think that's what's going to be interesting here.

0:20:47.600 --> 0:20:49.520
<v Speaker 9>Is not V one as we've seen today, but V two,

0:20:49.640 --> 0:20:51.679
<v Speaker 9>v three. If you can come down in price, be

0:20:51.720 --> 0:20:54.840
<v Speaker 9>a bit lighter, maybe less bulky, I think that would

0:20:54.840 --> 0:20:57.560
<v Speaker 9>be when you can really tell whether this is genuinely

0:20:57.560 --> 0:21:00.320
<v Speaker 9>a new, a smash hit, new Apple product, or whether

0:21:00.320 --> 0:21:01.120
<v Speaker 9>it's something a bit more.

0:21:01.119 --> 0:21:05.679
<v Speaker 3>Niche savely doing your duty down there in rain, we

0:21:05.760 --> 0:21:08.760
<v Speaker 3>really appreciate your opinion on this particular device. We thank

0:21:08.800 --> 0:21:11.600
<v Speaker 3>you for it. Davely on Fifth Avenue, I said a

0:21:11.680 --> 0:21:13.919
<v Speaker 3>quick check on these markets, said because, but the NASDAK

0:21:13.960 --> 0:21:16.359
<v Speaker 3>manages to outperform even though we're worried about a strong

0:21:16.400 --> 0:21:19.359
<v Speaker 3>macro picture. That means perhaps a federal reserve ain't going

0:21:19.400 --> 0:21:21.520
<v Speaker 3>to be cunning as soon as Mart. But dig into

0:21:21.560 --> 0:21:24.399
<v Speaker 3>what's driving the Nasdaq one hundred, just sea of Green.

0:21:24.560 --> 0:21:27.600
<v Speaker 3>Even Apple turns up to run well less than a

0:21:27.600 --> 0:21:30.359
<v Speaker 3>point higher, but that's after their numbers showed, yes, a

0:21:30.480 --> 0:21:33.040
<v Speaker 3>return to revenue growth, aching out that two percent. The

0:21:33.080 --> 0:21:35.800
<v Speaker 3>market had anticipated a one percent. But remember after four

0:21:35.840 --> 0:21:39.320
<v Speaker 3>straight quarters of declines in revenue, that was a standout.

0:21:39.400 --> 0:21:41.480
<v Speaker 3>Despite that weakness in China where we saw revenue off

0:21:41.480 --> 0:21:44.919
<v Speaker 3>by thirteen percent, but better absolute extraordinary up twenty percent,

0:21:44.960 --> 0:21:47.560
<v Speaker 3>new record high, and we're still seeing of course, they're

0:21:47.560 --> 0:21:50.480
<v Speaker 3>managing to be tripling profit. They're really driving up revenue growth.

0:21:50.480 --> 0:21:52.239
<v Speaker 3>They're going back to the basis of what's good at

0:21:52.280 --> 0:21:55.320
<v Speaker 3>advertising as well as still investing in their AI. And

0:21:55.359 --> 0:21:58.399
<v Speaker 3>then we leave you to Amazon up more than seven percent,

0:21:58.800 --> 0:22:02.000
<v Speaker 3>best online sales growth since early in the pandemic. This

0:22:02.080 --> 0:22:04.119
<v Speaker 3>is about quickert shipping times. It's about job cuts. This

0:22:04.160 --> 0:22:06.199
<v Speaker 3>is about discipline, and we can get to it with

0:22:06.240 --> 0:22:06.960
<v Speaker 3>our next guest ed.

0:22:07.840 --> 0:22:11.360
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, I think that there's a really interesting difference with Amazon,

0:22:11.440 --> 0:22:15.000
<v Speaker 4>and that is principally, hey, look at the profit we're

0:22:15.040 --> 0:22:16.600
<v Speaker 4>going to hit in the current course, so let's stick

0:22:16.600 --> 0:22:20.400
<v Speaker 4>with Amazon. With Stephan Slewinski, global head of Software Research

0:22:20.440 --> 0:22:24.120
<v Speaker 4>at BNP powabout exam and it just goes down to fundamentals.

0:22:24.200 --> 0:22:28.240
<v Speaker 4>We love exciting stories metas about AI and competition in

0:22:28.280 --> 0:22:31.199
<v Speaker 4>ads and apples about China and vision pro. For me,

0:22:31.400 --> 0:22:33.280
<v Speaker 4>Amazon is just about we're going to make a lot

0:22:33.280 --> 0:22:34.960
<v Speaker 4>of money in the current period, and it's a lot

0:22:34.960 --> 0:22:35.960
<v Speaker 4>more than the street thought.

0:22:38.480 --> 0:22:42.760
<v Speaker 10>Hi, thanks for having me on. So you're absolutely right. Aws.

0:22:42.840 --> 0:22:46.280
<v Speaker 10>Amazon Web Services squeaked by with thirteen percent growth, but

0:22:46.320 --> 0:22:49.000
<v Speaker 10>that was good enough. They are still losing share, we think,

0:22:49.000 --> 0:22:53.800
<v Speaker 10>to Microsoft Azure, but we're seeing a recovery in cloud computing,

0:22:54.240 --> 0:22:59.119
<v Speaker 10>large deals being signed, optimization ending, and that allowed for

0:22:59.160 --> 0:23:02.760
<v Speaker 10>the market to focus on those North American margins, which

0:23:02.760 --> 0:23:05.800
<v Speaker 10>they're able to lift and beat expectations. And I think

0:23:05.840 --> 0:23:08.399
<v Speaker 10>what was important as well is with the Q one guidance,

0:23:09.119 --> 0:23:11.080
<v Speaker 10>they've actually left more room for upside. So if you

0:23:11.119 --> 0:23:13.520
<v Speaker 10>look at the Q one guide eight to twelve billion

0:23:13.560 --> 0:23:17.560
<v Speaker 10>of EBIT, if you assume Amazon Web Services margins remain

0:23:17.680 --> 0:23:21.240
<v Speaker 10>flatish at twenty nine thirty percent, you assume internationals to

0:23:21.320 --> 0:23:24.240
<v Speaker 10>loses some money, that actually implies the North American margins

0:23:24.280 --> 0:23:27.440
<v Speaker 10>would go down from six to four percent. That's unlikely.

0:23:27.840 --> 0:23:30.040
<v Speaker 10>The company gave us reasons why we should continue to

0:23:30.040 --> 0:23:32.800
<v Speaker 10>see efficiencies there, so I think people see potential for

0:23:32.880 --> 0:23:34.120
<v Speaker 10>beats coming ahead as well.

0:23:35.600 --> 0:23:38.560
<v Speaker 4>I've not ever heard of that a company guiding conservatively

0:23:38.800 --> 0:23:43.520
<v Speaker 4>and leaving room for upside. I'm just kidding the thing

0:23:43.520 --> 0:23:47.320
<v Speaker 4>that I'm interested into the advertising business because aws one

0:23:47.320 --> 0:23:50.280
<v Speaker 4>on one with Azure, we know the competition there, but

0:23:50.359 --> 0:23:54.400
<v Speaker 4>Microsoft doesn't have that right now, add business, how much

0:23:54.400 --> 0:23:55.920
<v Speaker 4>of a strength is that for Amazon?

0:23:57.560 --> 0:23:59.720
<v Speaker 10>I mean, certainly the ad business plays a good part

0:23:59.720 --> 0:24:03.119
<v Speaker 10>of their online business, and that's been growing healthily in

0:24:03.119 --> 0:24:05.840
<v Speaker 10>the mid twenties, and that's helping that margin as well. So,

0:24:05.880 --> 0:24:08.119
<v Speaker 10>as you pointed out earlier, you know, Amazon was a

0:24:08.160 --> 0:24:11.560
<v Speaker 10>company that in twenty twenty two was doing sort of

0:24:11.560 --> 0:24:14.479
<v Speaker 10>a one percent margin. The market thinks that that can

0:24:14.520 --> 0:24:17.320
<v Speaker 10>get up towards ten percent. Here in twenty twenty five,

0:24:17.400 --> 0:24:20.760
<v Speaker 10>and growing ADS is a part of that. But I

0:24:20.800 --> 0:24:22.280
<v Speaker 10>do think we need to keep an eye on what's

0:24:22.280 --> 0:24:26.679
<v Speaker 10>happening with AWS versus Azure. Amazon Web Services is fifty

0:24:26.720 --> 0:24:29.880
<v Speaker 10>percent of the cloud computing market if you look at

0:24:29.960 --> 0:24:33.680
<v Speaker 10>just Microsoft, Amazon, and Google together, But in twenty twenty three,

0:24:33.840 --> 0:24:36.480
<v Speaker 10>if you just look at the incremental revenue those three

0:24:36.560 --> 0:24:39.760
<v Speaker 10>generated in twenty twenty three, actually Amazon's share was down

0:24:39.760 --> 0:24:43.240
<v Speaker 10>to thirty five percent, with Microsoft Azure at forty five percent,

0:24:43.600 --> 0:24:46.399
<v Speaker 10>and that's thanks to obviously the open eye relationship and

0:24:46.440 --> 0:24:50.239
<v Speaker 10>what Microsoft and Google are doing on AI. I do

0:24:50.280 --> 0:24:53.640
<v Speaker 10>think that gap may close again as AWS benefits maybe

0:24:53.640 --> 0:24:56.040
<v Speaker 10>a bit more from the end of optimization, but that

0:24:56.160 --> 0:24:58.040
<v Speaker 10>is something to watch as some of those share losses

0:24:58.080 --> 0:25:00.560
<v Speaker 10>continuing on the cloud computing side.

0:25:01.320 --> 0:25:04.159
<v Speaker 3>I'm interested in your price target an ultimate sort of

0:25:04.400 --> 0:25:07.360
<v Speaker 3>neutral rating on this stop when we're thinking of one

0:25:07.359 --> 0:25:11.560
<v Speaker 3>point seven trillion dollar market capitalization, that's still enormous. You see, though,

0:25:11.560 --> 0:25:13.439
<v Speaker 3>what I think a price targeting correct me if I'm

0:25:13.440 --> 0:25:15.600
<v Speaker 3>wrong of one hundred and fifty so below where we're

0:25:15.640 --> 0:25:19.640
<v Speaker 3>currently trading. Why that conservative nature of coming from U Steffan.

0:25:21.520 --> 0:25:23.639
<v Speaker 10>We did raise that today one sixty, but we are

0:25:23.680 --> 0:25:26.600
<v Speaker 10>still neutral. But we do think that all three cloud

0:25:26.640 --> 0:25:31.000
<v Speaker 10>computing companies benefit this year from Jenai. So that's Microsoft Azure,

0:25:31.040 --> 0:25:34.600
<v Speaker 10>that's Google Cloud, that's Amazon Web Services, and we actually

0:25:34.640 --> 0:25:37.080
<v Speaker 10>think that that's a better way of playing Jenai this

0:25:37.200 --> 0:25:39.920
<v Speaker 10>year than the SaaS companies where we may see some disappointments,

0:25:39.920 --> 0:25:43.960
<v Speaker 10>and that's Microsoft Copilot, it's maybe Adobe Firefly or even

0:25:44.000 --> 0:25:46.760
<v Speaker 10>Service now with proclus where we may not see that

0:25:46.800 --> 0:25:51.000
<v Speaker 10>revenue generation this year. When we look at Amazon versus Microsoft,

0:25:51.040 --> 0:25:54.199
<v Speaker 10>we do prefer Microsoft. We are outperformed there, there is

0:25:54.240 --> 0:25:57.320
<v Speaker 10>a valuation gap. It's shrunk, but you are on sort

0:25:57.320 --> 0:26:00.360
<v Speaker 10>of twenty seven times earnings for Microsoft on twenty twenty five,

0:26:00.720 --> 0:26:03.840
<v Speaker 10>about thirty times for Amazon, and you still do have

0:26:04.320 --> 0:26:07.560
<v Speaker 10>much higher margins, of course, much better returns at Microsoft,

0:26:07.840 --> 0:26:10.520
<v Speaker 10>and probably even higher revenue growth. So we think all

0:26:10.560 --> 0:26:12.760
<v Speaker 10>three will benefit, but we have to have some preferences,

0:26:12.800 --> 0:26:14.480
<v Speaker 10>and that's why we sick with Microsoft.

0:26:14.920 --> 0:26:17.879
<v Speaker 3>Stefan great for that context into play for us. We

0:26:17.920 --> 0:26:20.520
<v Speaker 3>thank you so much. Stefan Stowinski, Global head of Software

0:26:20.560 --> 0:26:24.199
<v Speaker 3>research over at BMP parabat Exam. We thank him for it. Meanwhile,

0:26:24.280 --> 0:26:27.280
<v Speaker 3>let's get back to the other big stock on Deck

0:26:27.280 --> 0:26:30.640
<v Speaker 3>Capital's earnings. BlueBag Intelligence senior analyst an rag Rana joins

0:26:30.680 --> 0:26:33.120
<v Speaker 3>us An Anurag. Well, the share is actually turning positive

0:26:33.160 --> 0:26:36.440
<v Speaker 3>after a four percent slump. Are we managing to counteract

0:26:36.480 --> 0:26:38.520
<v Speaker 3>it with the Vision pro news or is it more

0:26:38.520 --> 0:26:40.879
<v Speaker 3>that we're getting okay in fact, that China will be

0:26:41.000 --> 0:26:41.919
<v Speaker 3>short term in nature.

0:26:43.040 --> 0:26:45.000
<v Speaker 11>Yeah, I have no idea. I'm a bit surprised at

0:26:45.040 --> 0:26:47.320
<v Speaker 11>that too. I mean, I think the print last night

0:26:47.359 --> 0:26:50.200
<v Speaker 11>basically said there's going to be very little growth this year.

0:26:50.280 --> 0:26:54.399
<v Speaker 11>So it is concerning, and I don't think Vision broken

0:26:54.440 --> 0:26:57.240
<v Speaker 11>off said that. Listen, even if you sell one million units,

0:26:57.320 --> 0:26:59.600
<v Speaker 11>which is way above anybody else in the world, as

0:26:59.600 --> 0:27:01.760
<v Speaker 11>the model as well, that's three and a half billion

0:27:01.800 --> 0:27:05.000
<v Speaker 11>in revenue Apple generates, or you know, the consensus is

0:27:05.000 --> 0:27:07.399
<v Speaker 11>around three around four hundred billion, so that would be

0:27:07.680 --> 0:27:10.479
<v Speaker 11>you know, less than one percent of total you know,

0:27:10.520 --> 0:27:13.600
<v Speaker 11>revenue addition to Apple. So this is not a needle

0:27:13.600 --> 0:27:16.280
<v Speaker 11>movement when it comes to sales. I mean, China is

0:27:16.280 --> 0:27:19.160
<v Speaker 11>a big factor and then we see nothing but disappointment there.

0:27:20.840 --> 0:27:24.040
<v Speaker 4>Karen Ana Rag's keeping it real, which if you read

0:27:24.040 --> 0:27:26.320
<v Speaker 4>some of the notes out this morning, is a bit

0:27:26.359 --> 0:27:28.399
<v Speaker 4>of a standout in that respect because a lot of

0:27:28.440 --> 0:27:32.919
<v Speaker 4>people do see growth. I still don't understand this issue

0:27:32.920 --> 0:27:34.720
<v Speaker 4>of China. You know, we've done a lot of it

0:27:34.760 --> 0:27:37.080
<v Speaker 4>on the show, but one thing that we haven't discussed

0:27:37.359 --> 0:27:41.920
<v Speaker 4>is services revenue in Europe and the installed base. You know,

0:27:42.000 --> 0:27:44.520
<v Speaker 4>the installed base continues to grow. So even if you

0:27:44.520 --> 0:27:48.000
<v Speaker 4>look at one market geographically and say weakness in China

0:27:48.119 --> 0:27:52.280
<v Speaker 4>or one product category, weakness in whatever, overall more people

0:27:52.320 --> 0:27:54.760
<v Speaker 4>are buying Apple products and they have Apple products, and

0:27:54.800 --> 0:27:56.240
<v Speaker 4>the services side is doing good.

0:27:57.840 --> 0:27:58.040
<v Speaker 8>Yeah.

0:27:58.119 --> 0:27:59.639
<v Speaker 11>See one of the things I have to talk about.

0:27:59.800 --> 0:28:03.280
<v Speaker 11>We all know Apple's a phenomenal company, amazing you know,

0:28:03.359 --> 0:28:07.119
<v Speaker 11>install based services, all sorts of things that's going. But

0:28:07.200 --> 0:28:08.600
<v Speaker 11>at the same time, you want to talk about the

0:28:08.600 --> 0:28:12.720
<v Speaker 11>revenue model. How much can this grow this year, next year.

0:28:13.640 --> 0:28:15.479
<v Speaker 11>This year it's going to be less than five percent.

0:28:16.000 --> 0:28:18.679
<v Speaker 11>Next year maybe five percent. So the question is how

0:28:18.760 --> 0:28:20.920
<v Speaker 11>much do you pay for a stock it's going to grow,

0:28:21.040 --> 0:28:23.040
<v Speaker 11>you know, four five percent. And you know, I was

0:28:23.040 --> 0:28:25.919
<v Speaker 11>listening to your colleague before. When you look at somebody

0:28:26.000 --> 0:28:28.440
<v Speaker 11>something like an aw sort of Microsoft, you're going to

0:28:28.440 --> 0:28:31.840
<v Speaker 11>get double digit growth for multiple years to come. So

0:28:31.960 --> 0:28:33.440
<v Speaker 11>you you take that into account.

0:28:33.480 --> 0:28:34.920
<v Speaker 12>And then you you know, match up.

0:28:35.480 --> 0:28:38.560
<v Speaker 11>Apple has a lot to explain here that how do

0:28:38.600 --> 0:28:40.680
<v Speaker 11>they get to that seven eight percent growth here? And

0:28:40.720 --> 0:28:42.560
<v Speaker 11>I think it's it's going to be a challenging task

0:28:42.680 --> 0:28:44.680
<v Speaker 11>at least for this year and next year because at.

0:28:44.600 --> 0:28:46.760
<v Speaker 3>The moment, the market price is for yet another revenue

0:28:46.800 --> 0:28:49.760
<v Speaker 3>decline in their fiscal second quarter. So back to what

0:28:49.800 --> 0:28:52.280
<v Speaker 3>we were seeing all of last year. I mean, any

0:28:52.320 --> 0:28:56.560
<v Speaker 3>exuberance about this new VRAR reality that we get on

0:28:56.600 --> 0:28:57.520
<v Speaker 3>sale today on our.

0:28:58.880 --> 0:29:01.480
<v Speaker 11>No, not on that, but you know he did utter

0:29:01.520 --> 0:29:04.760
<v Speaker 11>the magic word Jenny I on the call, and then

0:29:04.960 --> 0:29:08.160
<v Speaker 11>you're gonna talk about launching some new tubes and Slash

0:29:08.200 --> 0:29:10.840
<v Speaker 11>products sometime in the second half of this year. I

0:29:10.880 --> 0:29:13.680
<v Speaker 11>think that's a wild guard that could you know, basically

0:29:14.120 --> 0:29:17.040
<v Speaker 11>prove me wrong, because if they're able to come up

0:29:17.040 --> 0:29:20.160
<v Speaker 11>with certain things that are embedded in iOS eighteen that

0:29:20.280 --> 0:29:23.280
<v Speaker 11>will really make productivity higher, then you don't really need

0:29:23.320 --> 0:29:25.360
<v Speaker 11>to download an app and do a lot of that stuff.

0:29:25.560 --> 0:29:27.720
<v Speaker 11>And for that maybe you need to go to iPhone

0:29:27.760 --> 0:29:30.400
<v Speaker 11>sixteen or the next version of the iPhone that may

0:29:30.440 --> 0:29:34.360
<v Speaker 11>have some capabilities and then can drive the refresh cycle

0:29:34.400 --> 0:29:35.920
<v Speaker 11>of iPhone that we've been.

0:29:35.840 --> 0:29:40.800
<v Speaker 4>All waiting for Bloomberg Intelligence senior analysts Andamgrana keeping it real.

0:29:41.120 --> 0:29:41.840
<v Speaker 4>Thank you very much.

0:29:41.880 --> 0:29:42.560
<v Speaker 1>Happy Friday.

0:29:42.840 --> 0:29:47.200
<v Speaker 4>Coming up on the program, my exclusive conversation with invidiac

0:29:48.120 --> 0:29:51.840
<v Speaker 4>Jensen Huang. This was big picture and it was t

0:29:52.400 --> 0:30:04.960
<v Speaker 4>check it out next. This is Bloomberg Technology. Jensen Wang

0:30:05.120 --> 0:30:08.520
<v Speaker 4>says that artificial intelligence will matter to every single country

0:30:08.520 --> 0:30:12.120
<v Speaker 4>and industry on the planet, and crucially that's going to

0:30:12.200 --> 0:30:15.520
<v Speaker 4>drive up sovereign AI demand for his company's products. I

0:30:15.520 --> 0:30:18.360
<v Speaker 4>spoke to Nvidia's CEO yesterday. Listen to this.

0:30:21.080 --> 0:30:30.080
<v Speaker 12>You have seen India, Japan, and France, Canada, now Southeast Asia,

0:30:30.160 --> 0:30:35.120
<v Speaker 12>Singapore speak up about the importance of investing in sovereign

0:30:35.160 --> 0:30:40.000
<v Speaker 12>AI capabilities. It has become abundantly clear to each one

0:30:40.040 --> 0:30:43.760
<v Speaker 12>of the countries that their natural resource, which is the

0:30:43.920 --> 0:30:48.800
<v Speaker 12>data of their country, should be should be refined and

0:30:48.960 --> 0:30:53.240
<v Speaker 12>produce intelligence of their country for their country. And that

0:30:53.360 --> 0:30:56.760
<v Speaker 12>capability of refining the data of their country, of their

0:30:56.760 --> 0:31:00.400
<v Speaker 12>country and turn it into their artificial intelligence, it is

0:31:00.480 --> 0:31:04.320
<v Speaker 12>now possible in quite a quite a democratized way. Almost

0:31:04.320 --> 0:31:06.200
<v Speaker 12>every country should be able to do it for themselves.

0:31:06.920 --> 0:31:11.320
<v Speaker 12>And and what's needed, of course is the technology and

0:31:11.360 --> 0:31:15.000
<v Speaker 12>the know how of standing up AI infrastructure, and that's

0:31:15.040 --> 0:31:19.160
<v Speaker 12>where we could be quite helpful to to various regions.

0:31:19.480 --> 0:31:22.640
<v Speaker 12>And so I think that the the recognition of the

0:31:22.640 --> 0:31:26.640
<v Speaker 12>importance of sovereign AI capabilities is now quite quite global.

0:31:26.800 --> 0:31:30.200
<v Speaker 4>Jensen, does that recognition and your ability to help extend

0:31:30.280 --> 0:31:30.880
<v Speaker 4>to China.

0:31:31.160 --> 0:31:33.840
<v Speaker 12>Well, we're American company and we have to comply with

0:31:34.000 --> 0:31:38.040
<v Speaker 12>American policies, and whatever the rules and regulations are and

0:31:38.040 --> 0:31:41.680
<v Speaker 12>the laws are, will number one, comply with them, work

0:31:41.680 --> 0:31:46.920
<v Speaker 12>closely with the regulators and understand understand their intentions and

0:31:46.960 --> 0:31:51.480
<v Speaker 12>their desires, work within those boundaries, and be able to

0:31:51.480 --> 0:31:55.880
<v Speaker 12>create products for for the various countries that are involved.

0:31:56.280 --> 0:32:00.240
<v Speaker 12>Fully in compliant with the regulations that are never front

0:32:00.240 --> 0:32:04.120
<v Speaker 12>of us UH and beyond that, once we once we comply,

0:32:04.840 --> 0:32:07.160
<v Speaker 12>our goal are in the United States would love to

0:32:07.160 --> 0:32:10.360
<v Speaker 12>see us be a successful country and in one of

0:32:10.400 --> 0:32:14.320
<v Speaker 12>the pillars of national security of successful industries, and it

0:32:14.360 --> 0:32:20.280
<v Speaker 12>creates jobs and allows our country to stay ahead and technologically,

0:32:20.320 --> 0:32:24.880
<v Speaker 12>and so it is of a great interest of our

0:32:24.960 --> 0:32:28.600
<v Speaker 12>nation that our American companies are successful around the world.

0:32:29.080 --> 0:32:32.120
<v Speaker 12>And so once once we comply with the regulations, we'll

0:32:32.120 --> 0:32:36.240
<v Speaker 12>do our best to serve the local markets, and we

0:32:36.320 --> 0:32:42.400
<v Speaker 12>have full the we have excellent communications with with the administration.

0:32:42.600 --> 0:32:47.120
<v Speaker 4>How should we think about sovereign AI as a business

0:32:47.120 --> 0:32:49.600
<v Speaker 4>line for you? Is there a way that we can

0:32:49.720 --> 0:32:54.000
<v Speaker 4>understand how in videos work. Even if it's building supercomputers

0:32:54.040 --> 0:32:57.160
<v Speaker 4>like in the UK, for example, what proportion of your

0:32:57.200 --> 0:32:59.640
<v Speaker 4>overall business that will represent.

0:32:59.720 --> 0:33:04.640
<v Speaker 12>That's majority of the computing market has been the United

0:33:04.640 --> 0:33:08.560
<v Speaker 12>States and to a small to a much longer smaller

0:33:08.560 --> 0:33:13.040
<v Speaker 12>degree in China. For the very first time, every industry

0:33:13.120 --> 0:33:16.960
<v Speaker 12>would be every single country will become a computer industry,

0:33:17.120 --> 0:33:20.640
<v Speaker 12>and every industry will become a technology industry. And so

0:33:20.840 --> 0:33:26.120
<v Speaker 12>artificial intelligence or the automation uh the production at scale

0:33:26.160 --> 0:33:29.880
<v Speaker 12>of intelligence matters to every single country. It matters to

0:33:29.880 --> 0:33:32.440
<v Speaker 12>every single industry. And so for the very first time,

0:33:32.520 --> 0:33:36.600
<v Speaker 12>there's a there's a whole new computer market that is

0:33:36.680 --> 0:33:39.400
<v Speaker 12>going to be uh in in every single country, in

0:33:39.440 --> 0:33:43.840
<v Speaker 12>every single every single market. And UH it starts with

0:33:44.080 --> 0:33:49.520
<v Speaker 12>it starts with, of course, uh the native computer industry itself.

0:33:50.240 --> 0:33:53.520
<v Speaker 12>But you're seeing you're seeing a great adoption in healthcare,

0:33:53.600 --> 0:33:58.760
<v Speaker 12>great adoption and logistics uh in in transportation of course,

0:33:59.400 --> 0:34:02.200
<v Speaker 12>uh in many factoring in the large industry, so heavy

0:34:02.240 --> 0:34:06.560
<v Speaker 12>industries for the very first time. Because of generative AI,

0:34:07.160 --> 0:34:10.040
<v Speaker 12>computers are going to be computer technology is going to

0:34:10.080 --> 0:34:13.839
<v Speaker 12>impact literally every single industry in every single country.

0:34:15.040 --> 0:34:18.000
<v Speaker 4>And Nvidia CEO Jensen Van Kara is saying that data

0:34:18.120 --> 0:34:22.240
<v Speaker 4>is a country's natural resource. But for them, let's be honest,

0:34:22.280 --> 0:34:24.080
<v Speaker 4>it's a big growth market opportunity.

0:34:24.600 --> 0:34:28.319
<v Speaker 3>Absolutely phenomenal interview, just so wide ranging, so global in

0:34:28.360 --> 0:34:31.440
<v Speaker 3>its nature, kind of well, exactly what you do so well,

0:34:31.520 --> 0:34:34.000
<v Speaker 3>and we thank you for it. Great deep dive. Meanwhile,

0:34:34.080 --> 0:34:36.160
<v Speaker 3>we've got some breaking news coming to us in terms

0:34:36.200 --> 0:34:39.680
<v Speaker 3>of the podcasting area. Once again, we're starting to see

0:34:39.680 --> 0:34:42.960
<v Speaker 3>that continue to mount. We have Joe Rogan set to

0:34:43.000 --> 0:34:47.200
<v Speaker 3>renew his podcast deal with Spotify. We understand so Joe Rogan,

0:34:47.239 --> 0:34:49.640
<v Speaker 3>of course one of the number one players in terms

0:34:49.640 --> 0:34:52.360
<v Speaker 3>of the Spotify podcast offering and indeed one of the

0:34:52.400 --> 0:34:55.440
<v Speaker 3>most expensive for them. Joe Rogan is set to renew

0:34:55.440 --> 0:34:58.239
<v Speaker 3>his podcast deal with Spotify, and we will bring you

0:34:58.280 --> 0:35:00.239
<v Speaker 3>the deep dive as to how much that is all

0:35:00.280 --> 0:35:03.440
<v Speaker 3>going to be costing. Spotify TikTok Well users will no

0:35:03.520 --> 0:35:05.759
<v Speaker 3>longer hear the music of artists like Taylor Swift, like

0:35:05.880 --> 0:35:08.879
<v Speaker 3>Drake while using the app, since talks between the social

0:35:08.920 --> 0:35:11.960
<v Speaker 3>media platform and Universal Music Group. They failed here with

0:35:12.040 --> 0:35:15.279
<v Speaker 3>the details blue most Chris Palmery and Chris the date

0:35:15.560 --> 0:35:18.200
<v Speaker 3>was January the thirty first. It wasn't able to be

0:35:18.239 --> 0:35:20.919
<v Speaker 3>agreed upon. And the fight seems to be what from

0:35:20.960 --> 0:35:24.600
<v Speaker 3>UMG's perspective over AI and money and from TikTok's perspective

0:35:24.880 --> 0:35:26.480
<v Speaker 3>that we'll give you loads of free advertising.

0:35:26.520 --> 0:35:31.239
<v Speaker 8>Basically, yeah, I'm smiling because this is Grammy Week in

0:35:31.360 --> 0:35:35.960
<v Speaker 8>LA parties everywhere gearing up for Sunday's awards. It may

0:35:35.960 --> 0:35:39.320
<v Speaker 8>have been a total coincidence, but this was the perfect

0:35:39.320 --> 0:35:42.120
<v Speaker 8>time for Universal to do this. I'm going to get

0:35:42.120 --> 0:35:44.000
<v Speaker 8>a lot of sympathy from artists. It's going to be

0:35:44.040 --> 0:35:47.440
<v Speaker 8>the number one topic of conversation everywhere, and very awkward

0:35:47.520 --> 0:35:52.840
<v Speaker 8>for TikTok. They're a huge part of the marketing of

0:35:53.000 --> 0:35:56.720
<v Speaker 8>music these days. You know, billion users, over one hundred

0:35:56.719 --> 0:35:59.960
<v Speaker 8>billion in revenue, and yet only one percent of Universe

0:36:00.320 --> 0:36:03.839
<v Speaker 8>Music's revenue. And so this is going to have an

0:36:03.840 --> 0:36:08.239
<v Speaker 8>impact on TikTok, lesser impact on Universal, but everyone is

0:36:08.640 --> 0:36:10.080
<v Speaker 8>going to have something to say about this.

0:36:11.000 --> 0:36:13.920
<v Speaker 4>Chris, let's get some more in this breaking news sources

0:36:13.920 --> 0:36:17.759
<v Speaker 4>and telling Bloomberg that Joe Rogan's close to renewing a

0:36:17.800 --> 0:36:18.759
<v Speaker 4>deal with Spotify.

0:36:18.880 --> 0:36:24.680
<v Speaker 8>What are the details, Well, what we hear could be

0:36:24.680 --> 0:36:29.160
<v Speaker 8>announced you know this morning. It's going to be another

0:36:29.239 --> 0:36:32.560
<v Speaker 8>multi year extension. Is probably going to be an eye

0:36:32.560 --> 0:36:35.000
<v Speaker 8>popping number of the last deal was for two hundred

0:36:35.000 --> 0:36:37.440
<v Speaker 8>million for three years, although we may not get the

0:36:37.480 --> 0:36:41.640
<v Speaker 8>details immediately they Spotify has been taking a different tack

0:36:41.760 --> 0:36:46.400
<v Speaker 8>with their podcasts recently. The last deal with Rogan was exclusive,

0:36:46.480 --> 0:36:51.000
<v Speaker 8>although they put some highlights up online. This one may

0:36:51.040 --> 0:36:55.479
<v Speaker 8>be available on other platforms, so that would be a departure, all.

0:36:55.440 --> 0:36:58.200
<v Speaker 4>Right, Bloombos Chris Palm Mary with that breaking news and

0:36:58.239 --> 0:36:59.880
<v Speaker 4>some more details. Spotify up two percent.

0:37:00.040 --> 0:37:00.520
<v Speaker 12>Interesting.

0:37:00.800 --> 0:37:04.440
<v Speaker 4>Sticking with the music space, what if you could invest

0:37:04.480 --> 0:37:09.000
<v Speaker 4>in a hit song? Jukebox, which is currently seeking SEC approval,

0:37:09.800 --> 0:37:12.000
<v Speaker 4>is a platform that aims to provide people with the

0:37:12.040 --> 0:37:16.040
<v Speaker 4>opportunity to hold interests in music related investments. Here and

0:37:16.120 --> 0:37:19.000
<v Speaker 4>tell us more ahead of the Grammys is the company

0:37:19.120 --> 0:37:22.400
<v Speaker 4>CEO Scott Cohen. So for clarity, this is not something

0:37:22.440 --> 0:37:25.440
<v Speaker 4>you yet have approval for that is pending. But I

0:37:25.440 --> 0:37:28.000
<v Speaker 4>guess I start with the demand side. You must know

0:37:28.640 --> 0:37:31.640
<v Speaker 4>that this is something that either the everyday retail investor

0:37:32.239 --> 0:37:34.280
<v Speaker 4>or firms actually want to buy into.

0:37:35.760 --> 0:37:36.040
<v Speaker 9>Yeah.

0:37:36.120 --> 0:37:39.959
<v Speaker 2>I mean you're talking about maybe the first time they've

0:37:40.000 --> 0:37:44.560
<v Speaker 2>actually truly understood an investment they made. When we're talking

0:37:44.560 --> 0:37:47.520
<v Speaker 2>about the retail investor, they may invest in a tech sta,

0:37:47.760 --> 0:37:51.080
<v Speaker 2>but do they really know what's driving that. But when

0:37:51.120 --> 0:37:54.680
<v Speaker 2>you talk about music, there's something fundamental that people know

0:37:54.840 --> 0:37:58.279
<v Speaker 2>about music that this is a hit song and I'm

0:37:58.280 --> 0:38:01.000
<v Speaker 2>gonna listen to it at my ten year high school

0:38:01.000 --> 0:38:03.840
<v Speaker 2>reunion and my twenty year reunion, and we'll play it

0:38:03.880 --> 0:38:07.160
<v Speaker 2>at my wedding. You have a real feel for what

0:38:07.360 --> 0:38:09.239
<v Speaker 2>songs are valuable and what are not.

0:38:10.200 --> 0:38:14.440
<v Speaker 3>You've got the music rights yourself exclusively secured. I think

0:38:14.560 --> 0:38:16.480
<v Speaker 3>last time we wrote about it, is it about one

0:38:16.480 --> 0:38:19.839
<v Speaker 3>point seven billion dollars worth. Where are you sourcing that from?

0:38:19.840 --> 0:38:23.440
<v Speaker 3>There's been so many interesting deals. Beaver selling his catalog

0:38:23.960 --> 0:38:26.319
<v Speaker 3>to of course Hignosis. We seen Bob Dylan do the same,

0:38:26.400 --> 0:38:29.280
<v Speaker 3>John Legend. But where do you access the assets from?

0:38:30.000 --> 0:38:34.040
<v Speaker 2>What exactly those types of players? You know, as people

0:38:34.120 --> 0:38:37.840
<v Speaker 2>are acquiring these these catalogs, they're looking for new ways

0:38:37.960 --> 0:38:40.680
<v Speaker 2>to exploit them. And when I say exploit them, it's

0:38:40.920 --> 0:38:43.520
<v Speaker 2>bring it to the very people that made these artists

0:38:43.520 --> 0:38:46.520
<v Speaker 2>big in the first place, and allow the retail investor

0:38:46.560 --> 0:38:49.640
<v Speaker 2>to get in on these deals because we've all read

0:38:49.680 --> 0:38:52.359
<v Speaker 2>about it, you know, Bruce, and as you said, Bob

0:38:52.440 --> 0:38:55.840
<v Speaker 2>Dylan and Justin Bieber, like, these are amazing deals, but

0:38:56.400 --> 0:38:59.280
<v Speaker 2>nobody offered up any piece of it to the public.

0:38:59.320 --> 0:39:01.920
<v Speaker 2>So for the first time, now the public can join in.

0:39:03.040 --> 0:39:06.879
<v Speaker 4>So there's a question on value and valuation and appreciation.

0:39:07.120 --> 0:39:09.719
<v Speaker 4>Like we've done this on this show about sneakers. There

0:39:09.760 --> 0:39:13.800
<v Speaker 4>are platforms where you can trade sneakers and part of

0:39:13.840 --> 0:39:17.719
<v Speaker 4>the value relates to their scarcity or rarity. In the

0:39:18.080 --> 0:39:21.440
<v Speaker 4>context of a song, Isn't it just like whether everyone

0:39:21.640 --> 0:39:22.640
<v Speaker 4>likes that song or not.

0:39:23.600 --> 0:39:26.040
<v Speaker 2>No, No, I would look at it a very different way.

0:39:26.160 --> 0:39:30.920
<v Speaker 2>I mean, think about it. When music is played, somebody's

0:39:30.920 --> 0:39:33.120
<v Speaker 2>getting paid. I mean, I don't care.

0:39:33.239 --> 0:39:35.400
<v Speaker 1>You can go back however far you want, you know,

0:39:35.760 --> 0:39:38.600
<v Speaker 1>So what if it doesn't get played, what if it's

0:39:38.760 --> 0:39:40.200
<v Speaker 1>not get well.

0:39:40.840 --> 0:39:44.399
<v Speaker 2>What we're doing is listing songs that already will have

0:39:44.760 --> 0:39:48.200
<v Speaker 2>an earning's history. It's not songs that have never made it.

0:39:48.239 --> 0:39:51.960
<v Speaker 2>This isn't speculating on whether a song will be successful.

0:39:52.200 --> 0:39:55.640
<v Speaker 2>This is looking at once a song is successful, it's

0:39:55.680 --> 0:39:56.760
<v Speaker 2>always making money.

0:39:57.040 --> 0:40:01.319
<v Speaker 3>I mean making much money. Scott given for example, at

0:40:01.320 --> 0:40:04.080
<v Speaker 3>the moment UMG is at a loggerheads with TikTok because

0:40:04.080 --> 0:40:04.879
<v Speaker 3>they're not paying enough.

0:40:06.800 --> 0:40:10.480
<v Speaker 2>That's, if anything, that supports the thesis that music is

0:40:10.520 --> 0:40:14.640
<v Speaker 2>really valuable and and and and that is why they're

0:40:14.680 --> 0:40:17.799
<v Speaker 2>fighting for it. When we look at music, there's a

0:40:17.840 --> 0:40:20.919
<v Speaker 2>there's a very typical decay curve. Sure a song makes

0:40:20.960 --> 0:40:23.200
<v Speaker 2>a lot of money when it's first released and it

0:40:23.239 --> 0:40:26.200
<v Speaker 2>becomes a hit, and then it drops off pretty steadily

0:40:26.239 --> 0:40:29.520
<v Speaker 2>over the next few years. But then it hits its floor,

0:40:29.800 --> 0:40:33.400
<v Speaker 2>which is non zero, and then it earns money forever.

0:40:33.640 --> 0:40:35.960
<v Speaker 2>And if you look at the Goldman Sacks Report, I

0:40:36.000 --> 0:40:38.720
<v Speaker 2>think they're pegging it somewhere between six and eight percent

0:40:39.360 --> 0:40:42.320
<v Speaker 2>annual growth for the music industry over the next decade.

0:40:42.480 --> 0:40:42.719
<v Speaker 3>Yeah.

0:40:42.760 --> 0:40:45.759
<v Speaker 2>I mean, once a song makes money, it makes a

0:40:45.760 --> 0:40:48.520
<v Speaker 2>lot at the beginning, drops to a new level and

0:40:48.560 --> 0:40:51.799
<v Speaker 2>then slowly climbs. But then there's always this kind of

0:40:51.880 --> 0:40:55.200
<v Speaker 2>wild card. Maybe it gets into a big film or

0:40:55.760 --> 0:40:59.080
<v Speaker 2>you know TV, Like think about what happened on Stranger

0:40:59.160 --> 0:40:59.960
<v Speaker 2>Things last season.

0:41:00.200 --> 0:41:01.600
<v Speaker 1>Kate Bushy.

0:41:03.080 --> 0:41:06.799
<v Speaker 3>Jukebox CEO Scott Cohen diversification of investment. There, we thank you.

0:41:06.840 --> 0:41:08.799
<v Speaker 3>That does it for this edition of Bloomberg Technology.

0:41:09.920 --> 0:41:12.719
<v Speaker 4>Check out the pod. What a week this is Bloomberg

0:41:14.600 --> 0:41:14.640
<v Speaker 6>M