1 00:00:00,640 --> 00:00:04,160 Speaker 1: Hi, I'm Molly John Fast and this is Fast Politics, 2 00:00:04,360 --> 00:00:07,120 Speaker 1: where we discussed the top political headlines with some of 3 00:00:07,160 --> 00:00:10,640 Speaker 1: today's best minds. And a majority of Americans have a 4 00:00:10,720 --> 00:00:14,920 Speaker 1: negative view of billionaires spending more money to buy elections, 5 00:00:15,000 --> 00:00:18,680 Speaker 1: according to a Washington Post IPSOS poll. We have such 6 00:00:18,680 --> 00:00:21,600 Speaker 1: a great show for you today. Author of Evil Geniuses 7 00:00:22,079 --> 00:00:26,040 Speaker 1: Kurt Anderson stops by to talk about Trump, saying the 8 00:00:26,040 --> 00:00:29,400 Speaker 1: Democrats should be hung. Then we'll talk to Aten ben 9 00:00:29,560 --> 00:00:34,240 Speaker 1: about her run for Congress in a swing district in Tennessee. 10 00:00:34,479 --> 00:00:38,080 Speaker 1: But first, the news and disapproval of Donald Trump is 11 00:00:38,159 --> 00:00:41,240 Speaker 1: now higher than in his first term. At the same time, 12 00:00:41,400 --> 00:00:43,800 Speaker 1: we have such a great show for you today as 13 00:00:43,880 --> 00:00:48,120 Speaker 1: the world churns Andy Levy stops by to talk about 14 00:00:48,120 --> 00:00:52,360 Speaker 1: the fight inside Democratic leadership. Then we'll talk to Inside 15 00:00:52,400 --> 00:00:58,040 Speaker 1: Elections Jacob Rubashkin about the Democratic chances of flipping the 16 00:00:58,040 --> 00:01:01,279 Speaker 1: House and perhaps even the Senate. But first, the stories 17 00:01:01,360 --> 00:01:04,000 Speaker 1: the media is not covering enough. 18 00:01:04,280 --> 00:01:06,520 Speaker 2: So Lally, you're going to be shocked to hear this, 19 00:01:06,600 --> 00:01:10,960 Speaker 2: But Lindsay Halligan totally really, really really messed up. I 20 00:01:11,000 --> 00:01:14,039 Speaker 2: wanted to say something much more bad, but I know 21 00:01:14,959 --> 00:01:18,360 Speaker 2: I caught myself and didn't say the same, and body 22 00:01:18,440 --> 00:01:21,000 Speaker 2: vows to take this up to the top of the 23 00:01:21,040 --> 00:01:23,480 Speaker 2: courts to get mister Kobe from mister Trump. 24 00:01:23,600 --> 00:01:26,119 Speaker 3: But I don't know. This doesn't look good for them. 25 00:01:26,440 --> 00:01:31,480 Speaker 1: Despite being a pageant Queen Lindsay Halligan Lindsay Michelle Halligan 26 00:01:31,720 --> 00:01:35,600 Speaker 1: born in nineteen eighty nine in Portland, Maine. She is 27 00:01:35,680 --> 00:01:38,680 Speaker 1: the interim US Attorney for the Eastern District of Virginia. 28 00:01:38,840 --> 00:01:42,080 Speaker 1: And here's the problem. Here is the problem is that 29 00:01:42,120 --> 00:01:46,759 Speaker 1: she has no experience doing anything pretty much at all 30 00:01:47,080 --> 00:01:54,000 Speaker 1: besides pageants and industrial law commercial properties. And then eventually 31 00:01:54,400 --> 00:01:57,760 Speaker 1: she was an insurance lawyer and also pageant Queen Donald 32 00:01:57,800 --> 00:02:00,960 Speaker 1: Trump's lawyer, and it turns out putting her as the 33 00:02:01,240 --> 00:02:04,440 Speaker 1: US Attorney for the Eastern District of Virginia, she should 34 00:02:04,480 --> 00:02:07,680 Speaker 1: have maybe had a few jobs between insurance law. 35 00:02:07,720 --> 00:02:11,160 Speaker 4: And that, and she didn't. And now you know who's 36 00:02:11,200 --> 00:02:12,160 Speaker 4: benefiting from. 37 00:02:12,000 --> 00:02:14,400 Speaker 3: That, mister James Kobe, who is not by. 38 00:02:14,280 --> 00:02:17,640 Speaker 1: Hobie, mister James Comy, who is too dall and a 39 00:02:17,760 --> 00:02:21,160 Speaker 1: terrible writer. But in this case, we want him to 40 00:02:21,240 --> 00:02:24,760 Speaker 1: not go to jail for a trumped up crime. And 41 00:02:24,960 --> 00:02:30,720 Speaker 1: so we will in fact say that this is actually good. 42 00:02:30,800 --> 00:02:34,959 Speaker 1: Both cases, the Comy case the James case both dismissed 43 00:02:35,280 --> 00:02:42,120 Speaker 1: because Judge Cameron Curry said the loyalist prosecutor and still 44 00:02:42,200 --> 00:02:45,720 Speaker 1: by mister Trump to bring the cases was in her 45 00:02:45,760 --> 00:02:50,760 Speaker 1: position unlawfully. And so it turns out you can be 46 00:02:50,880 --> 00:02:55,200 Speaker 1: hot and still be very, very bad at your job. 47 00:02:55,600 --> 00:02:58,440 Speaker 1: There you have it, ladies and gentlemen. Abby Law, the 48 00:02:58,600 --> 00:03:01,600 Speaker 1: lawyer for missus James James, since there are only five 49 00:03:01,639 --> 00:03:04,600 Speaker 1: people in the world, also was the lawyer for Hunter 50 00:03:04,720 --> 00:03:08,400 Speaker 1: Biden Avilall said mister Trump went to extreme measures to 51 00:03:08,560 --> 00:03:10,919 Speaker 1: substitute one of his allies to bring these base those 52 00:03:11,040 --> 00:03:15,080 Speaker 1: charges after career prosecutors refused. This case was not about 53 00:03:15,080 --> 00:03:19,639 Speaker 1: the justice owned law. It was about targeting Attorney James 54 00:03:19,639 --> 00:03:21,840 Speaker 1: for what she stood for and who she challenged. 55 00:03:22,040 --> 00:03:24,600 Speaker 4: Bill Baldy Yet again. 56 00:03:25,080 --> 00:03:27,960 Speaker 3: That guy is battle average a good well. 57 00:03:28,160 --> 00:03:32,239 Speaker 1: The fact that he is able to find mortgages at 58 00:03:32,280 --> 00:03:36,640 Speaker 1: every point that Trump can then use to go against 59 00:03:36,640 --> 00:03:37,200 Speaker 1: his enemies. 60 00:03:37,200 --> 00:03:39,480 Speaker 4: And by the way, at every point this doesn't work. 61 00:03:39,600 --> 00:03:42,840 Speaker 1: So Bill Poulti is being I don't know if they've 62 00:03:43,000 --> 00:03:46,640 Speaker 1: quite opened a formal investigation, but expect to hear the 63 00:03:46,760 --> 00:03:51,040 Speaker 1: name Bill Paultie again and again and again so. 64 00:03:51,120 --> 00:03:55,120 Speaker 2: By Yesterday on Twitter Republican Propaganda News, I'm sorry, punch 65 00:03:55,160 --> 00:03:59,080 Speaker 2: bowl News, Jake Sherman sent out a tweet saying that 66 00:03:59,360 --> 00:04:02,200 Speaker 2: there are many Republicans were looking to exit just like 67 00:04:02,280 --> 00:04:05,200 Speaker 2: Barjorie Taylor Greed, and that they're fed up with big 68 00:04:05,240 --> 00:04:08,960 Speaker 2: props for mister Trump. Politico has a giant explator of 69 00:04:09,000 --> 00:04:10,720 Speaker 2: what's going on today? Where do you see him? 70 00:04:10,880 --> 00:04:14,320 Speaker 1: Okay, first of all, don't be me into Jake Sherman. 71 00:04:14,640 --> 00:04:16,440 Speaker 1: He is got it. 72 00:04:16,680 --> 00:04:17,360 Speaker 4: I'm serious. 73 00:04:17,480 --> 00:04:21,720 Speaker 1: Covering Congress is a thankless job, and they do some 74 00:04:21,760 --> 00:04:23,760 Speaker 1: really good reporting, and then I. 75 00:04:23,720 --> 00:04:24,920 Speaker 3: Won't be saiding committee. 76 00:04:24,920 --> 00:04:25,719 Speaker 5: Thank you. 77 00:04:25,720 --> 00:04:30,360 Speaker 1: You can send him an edible arrangement. Mike Johnson, let's 78 00:04:30,360 --> 00:04:33,920 Speaker 1: talk about this because it's interesting. House Republicans are really 79 00:04:34,000 --> 00:04:36,200 Speaker 1: mad at Mike Johnson. Here's why they're mad at him, 80 00:04:36,760 --> 00:04:40,800 Speaker 1: because he took advantage of what they let him do. Okay, 81 00:04:41,279 --> 00:04:45,600 Speaker 1: Like this is an incredible bit of House Republicans, Like 82 00:04:45,720 --> 00:04:49,800 Speaker 1: why did you let me hit me? You know, like 83 00:04:50,480 --> 00:04:54,800 Speaker 1: just so bad? Okay, So Donald Trump's Republican Party goes 84 00:04:54,920 --> 00:04:57,880 Speaker 1: in there when Donald Trump gets sworn in. We said 85 00:04:57,920 --> 00:05:00,240 Speaker 1: this was coming, We told them it was coming, right, 86 00:05:00,440 --> 00:05:03,159 Speaker 1: got Russ Vought, and the crew is like, you're not 87 00:05:03,200 --> 00:05:05,520 Speaker 1: gonna have the power of the person anymore. Sorry, Congress, 88 00:05:05,560 --> 00:05:10,480 Speaker 1: that's ours. Now. Congress rolls the fuck over with everything. 89 00:05:10,520 --> 00:05:15,479 Speaker 1: They roll over on cabinet appointments, they roll over on spending. 90 00:05:15,800 --> 00:05:18,960 Speaker 1: They let the Trump administration do this five billion dollar 91 00:05:19,080 --> 00:05:22,560 Speaker 1: pocket recision which takes back all the foreign aid money. 92 00:05:22,760 --> 00:05:28,520 Speaker 1: At every point, they just roll over. Now Republicans are mad. 93 00:05:29,160 --> 00:05:31,640 Speaker 1: They don't like the job anymore because they have no power. 94 00:05:31,960 --> 00:05:34,720 Speaker 1: They took this job for power. They give all their 95 00:05:34,760 --> 00:05:37,480 Speaker 1: power to Trump, and now they're mad they have no power. 96 00:05:37,760 --> 00:05:39,640 Speaker 4: Okay, I mean you didn't have to give. 97 00:05:39,520 --> 00:05:42,360 Speaker 1: Trump all your power, So good news for Democrats. Mike 98 00:05:42,440 --> 00:05:45,120 Speaker 1: Johnson is not good at his job. If you had 99 00:05:45,120 --> 00:05:47,960 Speaker 1: a Tom Emmer in there, you had someone who had 100 00:05:48,000 --> 00:05:50,080 Speaker 1: been doing the job for a while, they might be 101 00:05:50,120 --> 00:05:53,000 Speaker 1: able to stop these discharge petitions. They might be able 102 00:05:53,000 --> 00:05:55,600 Speaker 1: to whip votes. But luckily you don't. You have Mike 103 00:05:55,680 --> 00:05:59,560 Speaker 1: Johnson in there. So Mike Johnson has Now there's another 104 00:05:59,640 --> 00:06:03,359 Speaker 1: diste arch petition. These discharge petitions are ways to get 105 00:06:03,360 --> 00:06:07,800 Speaker 1: around leadership, to find a piece of legislation, and to 106 00:06:08,040 --> 00:06:11,080 Speaker 1: get around leadership by getting the two hundred and eighteen 107 00:06:11,200 --> 00:06:14,440 Speaker 1: signatures you need to force a vote on legislation. This 108 00:06:14,839 --> 00:06:17,400 Speaker 1: is something that does not usually happen because usually you 109 00:06:17,440 --> 00:06:19,320 Speaker 1: have a Speaker of the House who has some control 110 00:06:19,360 --> 00:06:22,520 Speaker 1: over their caucus. But Mike Johnson has no control over 111 00:06:22,560 --> 00:06:28,000 Speaker 1: his caucus. And so we have a discharge petition palooza. 112 00:06:28,600 --> 00:06:31,600 Speaker 4: And Republicans did this to themselves. You guys. 113 00:06:31,960 --> 00:06:35,679 Speaker 1: By the way, Nashville, Tennessee, you have this special election, 114 00:06:35,960 --> 00:06:38,680 Speaker 1: so and there are more special elections or two more 115 00:06:38,680 --> 00:06:43,600 Speaker 1: special elections coming up, so one in Texas. Mike Johnson's 116 00:06:43,640 --> 00:06:46,680 Speaker 1: his majority is getting thinner. So we'll see what happens. 117 00:06:46,680 --> 00:06:50,280 Speaker 1: But it's nice to see these Republicans reap what they sew. 118 00:06:50,960 --> 00:06:53,560 Speaker 2: So byie, mister Trump seek the writing on the wall 119 00:06:53,600 --> 00:06:57,200 Speaker 2: of the affordability crisis. That might be because he just 120 00:06:57,200 --> 00:06:59,400 Speaker 2: had his crush at the office or on Bob Dottie 121 00:06:59,440 --> 00:07:02,800 Speaker 2: who talks about it extensively. Anyway, he's announce saying an 122 00:07:02,839 --> 00:07:05,440 Speaker 2: extension of ACA tex credits for two years. 123 00:07:05,720 --> 00:07:08,680 Speaker 1: Yeah, so this is Trump has decided he's going to 124 00:07:08,760 --> 00:07:12,960 Speaker 1: solve healthcare. You'll remember that in Trump one point zero, 125 00:07:13,000 --> 00:07:15,760 Speaker 1: which is the world we live in forever and ever, 126 00:07:15,840 --> 00:07:19,200 Speaker 1: until we die. Trump said, he who knew healthcare could 127 00:07:19,200 --> 00:07:20,240 Speaker 1: be so complicated? 128 00:07:20,280 --> 00:07:22,920 Speaker 3: You remember that I do it, did lives rent free 129 00:07:23,000 --> 00:07:23,520 Speaker 3: by Edge. 130 00:07:23,680 --> 00:07:26,920 Speaker 1: Yeah, well, it turns out is very complicated, and so 131 00:07:27,160 --> 00:07:30,000 Speaker 1: in typical Donald Trump fashion, he's decided that he's just 132 00:07:30,040 --> 00:07:32,080 Speaker 1: going to quick fix it. So he said on Monday 133 00:07:32,160 --> 00:07:34,880 Speaker 1: he was going to announce a new like a Trump Care. 134 00:07:35,080 --> 00:07:38,400 Speaker 1: It was the Monday before Thanksgiving, not a time that 135 00:07:38,680 --> 00:07:41,040 Speaker 1: Congressional anyone want. 136 00:07:40,880 --> 00:07:41,600 Speaker 4: To do anything. 137 00:07:41,640 --> 00:07:45,120 Speaker 1: They want to go home for Thanksgiving because they're extremely 138 00:07:45,200 --> 00:07:49,320 Speaker 1: hard working. Politicians basically ended the shutdown because they were 139 00:07:49,320 --> 00:07:53,080 Speaker 1: worried about traveling home for the holidays. Okay, they ended 140 00:07:53,120 --> 00:07:56,200 Speaker 1: the government shutdown because they were worried about holiday travel. 141 00:07:56,520 --> 00:08:01,240 Speaker 1: This is a crew that takes holidays very serious. Anyways. 142 00:08:01,280 --> 00:08:04,400 Speaker 1: So Donald Trump wanted to extend the ACA tax credits 143 00:08:04,440 --> 00:08:07,360 Speaker 1: for two years. This is what Democrats wanted from the 144 00:08:07,400 --> 00:08:13,080 Speaker 1: government shutdown. I am interested to see if this happens. 145 00:08:13,280 --> 00:08:17,040 Speaker 1: If it happens, it's billions of dollars. It will increase 146 00:08:17,040 --> 00:08:19,960 Speaker 1: the deficit. But you know, none of these Republicans particularly 147 00:08:20,000 --> 00:08:23,160 Speaker 1: care about that. If it happens, it will be so 148 00:08:23,480 --> 00:08:27,680 Speaker 1: interesting because it runs contrary to basically all of the 149 00:08:27,840 --> 00:08:32,720 Speaker 1: Republican goals. So we'll see what happens. But I could 150 00:08:32,720 --> 00:08:35,199 Speaker 1: see how Trump would want it, because they're going to 151 00:08:35,240 --> 00:08:39,480 Speaker 1: get killed on these premiums. They're going up, up, up, abup. 152 00:08:39,720 --> 00:08:43,520 Speaker 1: You have voters who are very mad by inflation, and 153 00:08:43,760 --> 00:08:45,160 Speaker 1: now they're going to be even madter. 154 00:08:45,800 --> 00:08:47,360 Speaker 4: So let's see what happens. 155 00:08:47,880 --> 00:08:52,400 Speaker 2: Yes, so famously, Senator Jib Justice, very new to the Senate, 156 00:08:52,559 --> 00:08:56,240 Speaker 2: former governor of West Virginia. He is not so into 157 00:08:56,280 --> 00:09:00,000 Speaker 2: paying taxes. And we now see that his legal woes 158 00:09:00,120 --> 00:09:02,960 Speaker 2: or even bigger because his wife's been sued for five 159 00:09:03,000 --> 00:09:05,760 Speaker 2: million dollars in unpaid taxes from two thousand and nine. 160 00:09:06,040 --> 00:09:10,840 Speaker 1: Yeah, so this is interesting. Jim Justice, my man, he 161 00:09:11,160 --> 00:09:14,600 Speaker 1: flies back and forth to Congress on a private jet 162 00:09:14,760 --> 00:09:18,000 Speaker 1: every week. So okay, that is insane. You can get 163 00:09:18,040 --> 00:09:21,240 Speaker 1: an apartment at private jet, okay, to work. He does 164 00:09:21,280 --> 00:09:23,360 Speaker 1: not have an apartment in DC. He takes a private 165 00:09:23,440 --> 00:09:26,120 Speaker 1: jet there and back. Even for a rich person, that 166 00:09:26,280 --> 00:09:28,960 Speaker 1: is wild. But he has a little bit of a 167 00:09:29,000 --> 00:09:33,280 Speaker 1: tax problem. So the US government on Monday. Now, by 168 00:09:33,320 --> 00:09:37,480 Speaker 1: the way, this is the Trump government. Okay, so think 169 00:09:37,559 --> 00:09:41,640 Speaker 1: about just what had to happen here for the Trump 170 00:09:41,960 --> 00:09:47,600 Speaker 1: government's irs to decide that they were going to sue 171 00:09:48,040 --> 00:09:53,680 Speaker 1: a Republican senator from West Virginia. We're more than five 172 00:09:53,720 --> 00:09:57,280 Speaker 1: million dollars in unpaid federal income taxes, penalties, and interest 173 00:09:57,400 --> 00:10:00,559 Speaker 1: dating to the two thousand and nine tex following you. 174 00:10:00,960 --> 00:10:04,160 Speaker 1: I think this is wild, and Jim Justice is supposed 175 00:10:04,160 --> 00:10:06,760 Speaker 1: to have billions of dollars. We'll see where this lands, 176 00:10:06,800 --> 00:10:09,520 Speaker 1: but this strikes me as wild. 177 00:10:13,800 --> 00:10:15,960 Speaker 4: Andy Levy is the host. 178 00:10:15,840 --> 00:10:19,920 Speaker 1: Of As the World churns Andy Levy. 179 00:10:19,760 --> 00:10:21,280 Speaker 5: Hello, Molly john Fest. 180 00:10:21,559 --> 00:10:23,200 Speaker 4: You know what the first rule of fight club is? 181 00:10:23,840 --> 00:10:25,079 Speaker 5: I do what is it? 182 00:10:25,480 --> 00:10:25,680 Speaker 1: Well? 183 00:10:26,440 --> 00:10:29,320 Speaker 5: You know, even the fact that we are violating. 184 00:10:28,800 --> 00:10:29,559 Speaker 1: It now. 185 00:10:31,040 --> 00:10:31,800 Speaker 6: He's not great. 186 00:10:31,840 --> 00:10:34,600 Speaker 5: But obviously the first and second rules of fight club 187 00:10:35,200 --> 00:10:37,959 Speaker 5: are that you do not talk about fight club. So 188 00:10:38,400 --> 00:10:39,160 Speaker 5: let's talk about that. 189 00:10:39,559 --> 00:10:43,239 Speaker 4: Let's start fight club. Yeah, Tux Humor. 190 00:10:43,760 --> 00:10:48,559 Speaker 1: And a woman you may know, Kristian Jili Brian. They're 191 00:10:48,600 --> 00:10:54,000 Speaker 1: catching a little heat for their wildly unpopular senate picks, 192 00:10:54,200 --> 00:11:00,360 Speaker 1: putting their hands on the scale for Haley Stevens. Gifted 193 00:11:00,400 --> 00:11:08,760 Speaker 1: Orator Haley Stevens and the always young and refreshed seventy 194 00:11:08,800 --> 00:11:10,760 Speaker 1: seven year old Janet Mills discuss. 195 00:11:11,200 --> 00:11:15,280 Speaker 5: Yeah, you're referring, of course, to this group of is 196 00:11:15,320 --> 00:11:21,360 Speaker 5: it six Democratic fake senators? Yeah, we're calling themselves the 197 00:11:21,400 --> 00:11:25,480 Speaker 5: fight club, and yeah, they're not happy with Schumer and 198 00:11:26,040 --> 00:11:29,920 Speaker 5: Joe Brand and look good for them, and they want 199 00:11:29,920 --> 00:11:33,599 Speaker 5: to win. They want to win. And this is way overdue, 200 00:11:34,040 --> 00:11:38,720 Speaker 5: but better late than never, and it would be nice if, yeah, 201 00:11:39,400 --> 00:11:42,600 Speaker 5: if we could get different leadership. Molly, do we have 202 00:11:42,679 --> 00:11:45,680 Speaker 5: to have this leadership? Is there? Is it a rule somewhere? 203 00:11:46,000 --> 00:11:49,120 Speaker 5: Is it another rule of fight club that we have 204 00:11:49,200 --> 00:11:50,120 Speaker 5: to not fight? 205 00:11:50,559 --> 00:11:52,880 Speaker 1: So here's what I would say, Chuck Schumer does not 206 00:11:53,040 --> 00:11:56,480 Speaker 1: need to be the leader of the Senate Democrats. In fact, 207 00:11:56,679 --> 00:12:00,280 Speaker 1: Chuck Schumer is a choice. And I think that you know, 208 00:12:00,400 --> 00:12:05,960 Speaker 1: Chris Murphy is available, Brian Schott is available. Even you 209 00:12:06,000 --> 00:12:15,000 Speaker 1: know Tina Smith or your favorite from Minnesota, Clomentum. God, 210 00:12:15,720 --> 00:12:19,000 Speaker 1: even those people are all available to be in leadership. 211 00:12:19,040 --> 00:12:21,679 Speaker 4: And by the way, this is a job everyone wants. 212 00:12:21,920 --> 00:12:24,960 Speaker 5: I understand why Schumer got the position. He you know, 213 00:12:25,040 --> 00:12:26,760 Speaker 5: he's been working his whole life for it. 214 00:12:26,920 --> 00:12:29,520 Speaker 7: And it was one of those things where you know, 215 00:12:29,559 --> 00:12:33,800 Speaker 7: the Democrats are very big sometimes on sort of I 216 00:12:33,840 --> 00:12:35,959 Speaker 7: don't know if coronation is the right word, but it's 217 00:12:35,960 --> 00:12:39,680 Speaker 7: sort of you know, next in line, like you know, oh. 218 00:12:39,559 --> 00:12:43,920 Speaker 5: Your suppers coronation is I think you it doesn't work. 219 00:12:44,240 --> 00:12:47,240 Speaker 5: And all those people you named, with the possible exception 220 00:12:47,480 --> 00:12:51,640 Speaker 5: of my not so favorite senator from Minnesota, would be 221 00:12:51,720 --> 00:12:54,160 Speaker 5: much better than Chuck Schuman. None of them. It's going 222 00:12:54,200 --> 00:12:58,720 Speaker 5: to be an imperfect person. We know that. And so 223 00:12:58,760 --> 00:13:02,000 Speaker 5: the idea to me is get someone who's at least 224 00:13:02,080 --> 00:13:05,640 Speaker 5: less imperfect than Chuck Schumer. And I know that sounds 225 00:13:05,679 --> 00:13:09,920 Speaker 5: like damning with fate praise, but that's the way politics works. 226 00:13:10,320 --> 00:13:13,079 Speaker 1: The problem with Schumer is not that he's not perfect. 227 00:13:13,200 --> 00:13:15,319 Speaker 1: The problem with Schumer is that he's not a fighter. 228 00:13:16,040 --> 00:13:20,160 Speaker 1: And this is again goes back to this adage from 229 00:13:20,480 --> 00:13:23,679 Speaker 1: Pritzker's chief of staff. It's not left versus senator, it's 230 00:13:23,720 --> 00:13:27,520 Speaker 1: fight versus cave. And with the fight club the six senators, 231 00:13:27,520 --> 00:13:30,240 Speaker 1: what you see is they're not ideologically all the same. 232 00:13:30,559 --> 00:13:35,319 Speaker 1: Maryland Senator Chris van Holland and Connecticut Senator Chris Murphy 233 00:13:35,840 --> 00:13:38,880 Speaker 1: are not the same as Bernie Sanders of course, and 234 00:13:39,000 --> 00:13:41,520 Speaker 1: Elizabeth Warren, but they are the same in the fact 235 00:13:41,559 --> 00:13:46,319 Speaker 1: that they want to fight. Whereas the Gillibrands and the 236 00:13:46,360 --> 00:13:51,760 Speaker 1: Schumers want to raise money and pick bad candidates. 237 00:13:52,120 --> 00:13:55,800 Speaker 5: It's twentieth century politics versus twenty first century politics. And 238 00:13:56,760 --> 00:13:59,839 Speaker 5: that's not even necessarily an age thing because you look 239 00:13:59,840 --> 00:14:02,960 Speaker 5: at the people in that fight club. You've got Bernice Anders, 240 00:14:02,960 --> 00:14:06,040 Speaker 5: You've got Liz Warren. You know, it's not like these 241 00:14:06,040 --> 00:14:09,720 Speaker 5: are people in their forties or fifties or whatever. They 242 00:14:09,720 --> 00:14:15,560 Speaker 5: are elder statespeople. But they at least recognize that it's 243 00:14:15,600 --> 00:14:19,040 Speaker 5: not nineteen ninety six. This is not George H. W. 244 00:14:19,160 --> 00:14:23,680 Speaker 5: Bush's Republican Party. I mean, let alone Mitt Romney's Republican Party. 245 00:14:23,840 --> 00:14:27,200 Speaker 5: But they recognize that it's Donald Trump's Republican Party. And 246 00:14:27,240 --> 00:14:30,680 Speaker 5: you can't sit there and do twentieth century politics in 247 00:14:31,080 --> 00:14:34,920 Speaker 5: this environment. And Chuck Schumer does not and apparently never 248 00:14:35,080 --> 00:14:38,560 Speaker 5: will understand that. I don't think Jilli brand does either. 249 00:14:38,760 --> 00:14:41,400 Speaker 5: And look, Joe Biden was and should have been the 250 00:14:41,520 --> 00:14:44,680 Speaker 5: last gasp of twentieth century politics for the Democrats. That 251 00:14:44,840 --> 00:14:48,000 Speaker 5: caused a lot of problems his not being comfortable going 252 00:14:48,080 --> 00:14:51,120 Speaker 5: after the jan six people. You know, So I'll let 253 00:14:51,120 --> 00:14:55,400 Speaker 5: that be in the past. Let's move forward. That the Mark. 254 00:14:55,120 --> 00:14:57,240 Speaker 4: Garland school of not doing anything. 255 00:14:56,960 --> 00:15:00,880 Speaker 5: Exactly exactly, and that's the same school that Schumer and 256 00:15:01,000 --> 00:15:03,560 Speaker 5: Julibrand are part of. And it just it has to 257 00:15:03,680 --> 00:15:05,880 Speaker 5: it has to go. It has to die. That school 258 00:15:05,920 --> 00:15:07,240 Speaker 5: of politics has to die. 259 00:15:07,480 --> 00:15:10,600 Speaker 1: I think that what you're going to see is and 260 00:15:10,640 --> 00:15:12,160 Speaker 1: this is not from the pundit class. 261 00:15:12,200 --> 00:15:13,040 Speaker 4: This is from the base. 262 00:15:13,800 --> 00:15:18,440 Speaker 1: The base is mad about Biden, the pundit class. And 263 00:15:18,840 --> 00:15:22,120 Speaker 1: I was as skilty of this as anyone said, go 264 00:15:22,200 --> 00:15:25,880 Speaker 1: along with Biden. He'll be good. Voters will like him. 265 00:15:26,120 --> 00:15:29,000 Speaker 1: He's not too old. He's going to just do one term. 266 00:15:29,160 --> 00:15:31,800 Speaker 1: He got in there, he was not going to do 267 00:15:31,840 --> 00:15:35,840 Speaker 1: one term. Everything was exactly the worst case scenario, right, 268 00:15:35,920 --> 00:15:38,600 Speaker 1: he was too old, he did this, he stayed in 269 00:15:38,640 --> 00:15:41,680 Speaker 1: too long. They couldn't have a primary process at every point. 270 00:15:41,720 --> 00:15:45,000 Speaker 1: It was just a disaster. And so you do not 271 00:15:45,200 --> 00:15:49,840 Speaker 1: have the base's full faith and credit now like in 272 00:15:49,920 --> 00:15:53,960 Speaker 1: twenty sixteen, Chuck Schumer could tweet Orange Man bad and 273 00:15:54,160 --> 00:15:57,760 Speaker 1: raise ten million dollars. No no, no, no no. And we 274 00:15:57,880 --> 00:16:00,400 Speaker 1: see this when we look at the DNC number, like 275 00:16:00,400 --> 00:16:03,480 Speaker 1: they're taking out loans to pay for the DNC. Like 276 00:16:04,040 --> 00:16:10,160 Speaker 1: voters are not happy. And even if they want Democrats 277 00:16:10,200 --> 00:16:12,480 Speaker 1: to win more than they want Republicans to win, you 278 00:16:12,600 --> 00:16:13,960 Speaker 1: don't have a blank check. 279 00:16:14,240 --> 00:16:16,760 Speaker 5: No, but look, I think if they send me one 280 00:16:16,800 --> 00:16:23,960 Speaker 5: more text that'll do it. You know, I just it's 281 00:16:24,040 --> 00:16:27,720 Speaker 5: it's unreal. But you're absolutely right. Look the base and 282 00:16:27,840 --> 00:16:31,200 Speaker 5: forget about the pundit class, forget about you know, well 283 00:16:31,760 --> 00:16:35,120 Speaker 5: except for me, because I really am. I'm much more 284 00:16:35,320 --> 00:16:37,200 Speaker 5: of a man of the people, a man of the 285 00:16:37,240 --> 00:16:38,200 Speaker 5: base than I am. 286 00:16:38,320 --> 00:16:40,960 Speaker 1: You were in the army, certainly more than many a 287 00:16:41,320 --> 00:16:43,240 Speaker 1: NASCAR come on, yeah, but you're. 288 00:16:43,120 --> 00:16:45,880 Speaker 5: Absolutely right when it comes to the base. And that 289 00:16:45,920 --> 00:16:48,760 Speaker 5: gets back to what you were saying before from Pritzker's 290 00:16:48,800 --> 00:16:53,200 Speaker 5: people about it's fighting versus not fighting, and everybody wants 291 00:16:53,200 --> 00:16:56,080 Speaker 5: fighting now. And the thing is, Chuck Schumer will now 292 00:16:56,160 --> 00:16:59,520 Speaker 5: get on Twitter, I suppose, and definitely on Blue Sky 293 00:16:59,560 --> 00:17:02,560 Speaker 5: where I see it, and he'll post things that maybe 294 00:17:02,600 --> 00:17:06,040 Speaker 5: ten years ago would have been effective or you would 295 00:17:06,040 --> 00:17:08,680 Speaker 5: have said, all right, good for you, Chuck. Now what 296 00:17:08,720 --> 00:17:11,960 Speaker 5: they look like, because it's what they are, is a 297 00:17:12,080 --> 00:17:17,040 Speaker 5: guy who is trying desperately to catch up and to 298 00:17:17,280 --> 00:17:20,840 Speaker 5: be someone he's absolutely not, and so it just comes 299 00:17:20,880 --> 00:17:24,120 Speaker 5: across as completely performative when he sits there and goes, 300 00:17:24,359 --> 00:17:26,920 Speaker 5: we will fight this, and we you know, we have 301 00:17:26,960 --> 00:17:29,000 Speaker 5: to do this. It was like, you've been in power 302 00:17:29,040 --> 00:17:31,639 Speaker 5: for a long time and you haven't done any of this, 303 00:17:31,960 --> 00:17:33,560 Speaker 5: and so you get a lot You look at it 304 00:17:33,600 --> 00:17:35,879 Speaker 5: and you see people applying saying, why are you telling 305 00:17:35,960 --> 00:17:38,840 Speaker 5: us this, Why aren't you doing this? Because that's who 306 00:17:38,920 --> 00:17:41,840 Speaker 5: Chuck Schumer is, so it all rings false when he 307 00:17:41,920 --> 00:17:46,040 Speaker 5: tries to do it now and again it's, you know, 308 00:17:46,760 --> 00:17:51,000 Speaker 5: twentieth century versus twenty first. The twentieth century politicians have 309 00:17:51,160 --> 00:17:55,280 Speaker 5: got to, if not completely go they've got to step back. 310 00:17:55,640 --> 00:17:58,800 Speaker 5: They've got to step back. We saw this when AOC 311 00:17:59,680 --> 00:18:03,000 Speaker 5: wanted to be the I forget which committee it is now, 312 00:18:03,560 --> 00:18:07,800 Speaker 5: and we went with the guy that oversight, guy that 313 00:18:08,760 --> 00:18:12,800 Speaker 5: nally he died, who died in office, who you know, 314 00:18:13,040 --> 00:18:14,760 Speaker 5: had cancer, and the. 315 00:18:14,720 --> 00:18:17,320 Speaker 4: Democrats sex he was seventy six. It wasn't like he 316 00:18:17,440 --> 00:18:18,280 Speaker 4: was a young guy. 317 00:18:18,480 --> 00:18:21,359 Speaker 5: Right, and the Democratic leadership said, no, we need to 318 00:18:21,359 --> 00:18:25,280 Speaker 5: give this position to him. It was not term exactly, 319 00:18:25,520 --> 00:18:28,440 Speaker 5: and that shit has got to go away. And it's 320 00:18:28,520 --> 00:18:30,560 Speaker 5: one of the biggest things I think holding back the 321 00:18:30,560 --> 00:18:33,679 Speaker 5: Democratic Party right now is this sort of refusal to 322 00:18:33,960 --> 00:18:38,359 Speaker 5: let the next generation, or at least the people you know, again, 323 00:18:38,560 --> 00:18:41,640 Speaker 5: Liz Warren is not young. Bernie Sanders certainly isn't young. 324 00:18:42,040 --> 00:18:44,439 Speaker 5: But they know what's going on and they always have 325 00:18:44,560 --> 00:18:46,800 Speaker 5: because they've been those kinds of politicians in their whole 326 00:18:46,880 --> 00:18:49,320 Speaker 5: lives where they do fight. You've got to start turning 327 00:18:49,359 --> 00:18:52,080 Speaker 5: it over to the people who recognize the world in 328 00:18:52,119 --> 00:18:54,000 Speaker 5: which we live in twenty twenty five. 329 00:18:54,280 --> 00:18:58,120 Speaker 1: Yeah, now I want to talk about where we are 330 00:18:58,280 --> 00:19:02,080 Speaker 1: right now because Donald Trump he's going to bring peace 331 00:19:02,240 --> 00:19:05,800 Speaker 1: to Russia Ukraine. Like, I feel like he's doing everything 332 00:19:05,880 --> 00:19:09,000 Speaker 1: he can to distract from the Epstein files, right Like 333 00:19:09,080 --> 00:19:12,000 Speaker 1: he's like hoping that if he just keeps going on 334 00:19:12,040 --> 00:19:14,879 Speaker 1: with the news sources like that, how that the that 335 00:19:15,040 --> 00:19:18,879 Speaker 1: Pam BONDI will never release any of the Epstein stuff, 336 00:19:18,960 --> 00:19:21,080 Speaker 1: even though he had to file, he had to sign 337 00:19:21,160 --> 00:19:24,320 Speaker 1: that discharge petition which says in his law that they're 338 00:19:24,320 --> 00:19:25,960 Speaker 1: going to release it within thirty days. 339 00:19:26,200 --> 00:19:29,359 Speaker 5: Yeah, but Molly, remember he instructed everyone to vote for 340 00:19:29,400 --> 00:19:30,639 Speaker 5: that because he really wants it. 341 00:19:31,200 --> 00:19:32,119 Speaker 4: Yeah, he did. 342 00:19:32,720 --> 00:19:35,080 Speaker 1: He changed the very last minute when he saw he 343 00:19:35,119 --> 00:19:37,040 Speaker 1: was going to lose. He was like, I think we 344 00:19:37,160 --> 00:19:39,120 Speaker 1: want those, you want those? 345 00:19:39,480 --> 00:19:42,399 Speaker 5: Yeah, And look at least he's not, you know, maybe 346 00:19:42,440 --> 00:19:45,480 Speaker 5: starting a war in it with the South American country 347 00:19:45,600 --> 00:19:47,399 Speaker 5: to distract from everything else. 348 00:19:47,600 --> 00:19:51,720 Speaker 1: But look where your favorite of the way the ways 349 00:19:51,760 --> 00:19:53,800 Speaker 1: in which Donald Trump is trying to distract is your 350 00:19:53,880 --> 00:19:57,359 Speaker 1: favorite that he's starting a war, or is your favorite 351 00:19:57,520 --> 00:20:00,360 Speaker 1: that he's trying to bring peace to Russia Ukraine. 352 00:20:00,480 --> 00:20:03,320 Speaker 5: It's the war for me. It's always the war for me. 353 00:20:03,520 --> 00:20:05,760 Speaker 5: I mean, if you're going to distract, you got to 354 00:20:05,800 --> 00:20:08,760 Speaker 5: do it with a war, because that's when you get 355 00:20:08,920 --> 00:20:13,000 Speaker 5: the CNNs of the world can prepare their their theme songs. 356 00:20:13,200 --> 00:20:17,480 Speaker 4: Right and exactly, Caribbean. 357 00:20:18,320 --> 00:20:21,960 Speaker 5: Caribbean freedom. You know, that's when you get all the 358 00:20:22,240 --> 00:20:24,480 Speaker 5: all the newspapers and everyone's there, well, we have to 359 00:20:24,480 --> 00:20:25,440 Speaker 5: support the president. 360 00:20:25,440 --> 00:20:26,080 Speaker 3: We're at war. 361 00:20:26,920 --> 00:20:28,960 Speaker 5: You get people saying this is the day Donald Trump 362 00:20:29,000 --> 00:20:31,879 Speaker 5: became president. You can't beat a war if you're trying 363 00:20:31,880 --> 00:20:34,360 Speaker 5: to take the focus off of something else. I mean, 364 00:20:34,640 --> 00:20:36,800 Speaker 5: I'm fairly certain there was a whole movie that was 365 00:20:36,920 --> 00:20:40,480 Speaker 5: kind of about that. Yes do yeah, that sort of 366 00:20:40,480 --> 00:20:43,720 Speaker 5: gave us a praeze. So it's absolutely that for me. 367 00:20:43,840 --> 00:20:48,520 Speaker 5: The the Ukraine Russia stuff is I mean, have you 368 00:20:48,840 --> 00:20:52,960 Speaker 5: seen anything more incompetent than well, this is our plan. No, 369 00:20:53,080 --> 00:20:56,879 Speaker 5: this isn't our plan. Marco Rubio have nothing that doesn't 370 00:20:56,920 --> 00:20:59,200 Speaker 5: even know about this plan. Oh, Marco Rubier wrote this plan. 371 00:20:59,320 --> 00:21:03,520 Speaker 5: It's unbelieve and beyond the incompetence, just the national security 372 00:21:03,640 --> 00:21:07,880 Speaker 5: implications of having a plan out there. And we can't 373 00:21:07,880 --> 00:21:10,320 Speaker 5: get a straight answer as to whether this plan is 374 00:21:10,400 --> 00:21:14,080 Speaker 5: Russian talking points or whether it's from the administration because 375 00:21:14,119 --> 00:21:15,440 Speaker 5: we can't tell the difference. 376 00:21:16,080 --> 00:21:21,080 Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, you know, it's nuts, but it's part of 377 00:21:21,119 --> 00:21:25,880 Speaker 1: Donald Trump's tri facta for trying to get the Nobel 378 00:21:25,880 --> 00:21:30,679 Speaker 1: Peace Prize, which he has now missed the window on 379 00:21:31,000 --> 00:21:33,639 Speaker 1: at least for twenty twenty five. But it is funny 380 00:21:33,680 --> 00:21:36,080 Speaker 1: to me because it's like, you know, he does on 381 00:21:36,200 --> 00:21:39,119 Speaker 1: some level like he kind of wants to do the 382 00:21:39,160 --> 00:21:42,360 Speaker 1: stuff presidents do, but just not with any of the 383 00:21:42,400 --> 00:21:45,440 Speaker 1: follow up for any of the you know, like he's 384 00:21:45,680 --> 00:21:47,640 Speaker 1: like he's like, yeah, I'm gonna bring peace and I'm 385 00:21:47,640 --> 00:21:51,760 Speaker 1: gonna do this. Like it's a very sort of distracted view, 386 00:21:52,680 --> 00:21:55,960 Speaker 1: kind of you know, half hearted view on presidenting. But 387 00:21:56,080 --> 00:21:58,280 Speaker 1: ultimately he's really just trying to make money. 388 00:21:58,320 --> 00:22:01,040 Speaker 5: Well, he's just trying to make money, finds me of 389 00:22:01,359 --> 00:22:03,320 Speaker 5: you know, there's a sort of a famous saying that 390 00:22:03,359 --> 00:22:06,040 Speaker 5: writers have I love to have written, but I hate writing. 391 00:22:05,880 --> 00:22:07,439 Speaker 4: Speak for yourself. I hate all of it. 392 00:22:08,280 --> 00:22:10,719 Speaker 5: Right, But it's the same. That to me, that's Trump 393 00:22:10,840 --> 00:22:14,639 Speaker 5: with presidenting. He doesn't like presidenting, you know. He doesn't 394 00:22:14,920 --> 00:22:19,600 Speaker 5: like having to negotiate a peace treaty or doing any 395 00:22:19,600 --> 00:22:21,879 Speaker 5: of the work. What he wants is the credit. And 396 00:22:22,080 --> 00:22:24,720 Speaker 5: it's just that simple. That's all he wants is the credit. 397 00:22:24,760 --> 00:22:27,040 Speaker 5: He's not interested in the work. He couldn't care less 398 00:22:27,160 --> 00:22:30,960 Speaker 5: if there was peace between Russia and Ukraine. Obviously he'd 399 00:22:30,960 --> 00:22:33,080 Speaker 5: probably just be happier if Russia had been able to 400 00:22:33,200 --> 00:22:37,080 Speaker 5: swallow up Ukraine. Yeah, but he just ultimately doesn't care. 401 00:22:37,320 --> 00:22:39,400 Speaker 5: He just wants the credit. He wants, like you said, 402 00:22:39,440 --> 00:22:41,520 Speaker 5: he wants the Nobel Prize. He doesn't want to do 403 00:22:41,600 --> 00:22:44,440 Speaker 5: the work that you would, you know, like to think 404 00:22:44,600 --> 00:22:48,040 Speaker 5: is involved in getting a Nobel prize. He just wants 405 00:22:48,080 --> 00:22:50,000 Speaker 5: the prize. He wants the trophy. And we see this 406 00:22:50,040 --> 00:22:52,439 Speaker 5: when he goes to these events, the sporting events, and 407 00:22:52,480 --> 00:22:54,560 Speaker 5: he leaves with the trophy that he was supposed to 408 00:22:54,600 --> 00:22:57,000 Speaker 5: give the team, and we saw that happen. That's Donald 409 00:22:57,040 --> 00:22:59,359 Speaker 5: Trump in a nutshell. He just wants the trophy. 410 00:22:59,440 --> 00:23:02,240 Speaker 1: By the way, this week not didn't like make the 411 00:23:02,240 --> 00:23:04,920 Speaker 1: top of the newsfeed, But I think it is important 412 00:23:05,040 --> 00:23:09,560 Speaker 1: is that this week in Las Vegas, Ice Barbie and 413 00:23:10,000 --> 00:23:15,280 Speaker 1: FBI Director Cash Battl went to some kind of grand. 414 00:23:15,000 --> 00:23:16,760 Speaker 5: Praise Formula one. 415 00:23:16,840 --> 00:23:17,240 Speaker 3: Yeah. 416 00:23:17,320 --> 00:23:21,600 Speaker 1: Yeah, and they had a great time on our tax paradigm. 417 00:23:21,600 --> 00:23:22,800 Speaker 4: So I'm glad they're having fun. 418 00:23:23,119 --> 00:23:25,960 Speaker 5: Look, you can't spend all of the FBI's travel budget 419 00:23:26,000 --> 00:23:27,840 Speaker 5: on your girlfriend. You have to keep some for yourself. 420 00:23:28,400 --> 00:23:30,600 Speaker 5: It's right, I mean, that's just that's just fair. That 421 00:23:30,600 --> 00:23:33,200 Speaker 5: seems fair to me. So good for Cash, I say, 422 00:23:33,400 --> 00:23:35,080 Speaker 5: for getting out of the office, you. 423 00:23:35,040 --> 00:23:36,000 Speaker 4: Know, Cash Battel. 424 00:23:36,160 --> 00:23:39,840 Speaker 1: Also this week we discovered the Cash Battel's girlfriend, twenty 425 00:23:39,880 --> 00:23:45,560 Speaker 1: seven year old conservative influencer Slash Singer, is guarded by 426 00:23:45,560 --> 00:23:46,639 Speaker 1: the Swat Team. 427 00:23:47,359 --> 00:23:47,639 Speaker 3: Yeah. 428 00:23:47,760 --> 00:23:51,399 Speaker 5: The extent to which this entire administration is a grift, 429 00:23:51,680 --> 00:23:55,680 Speaker 5: it's absolutely unreal, Like even I think, beyond the most 430 00:23:55,720 --> 00:24:01,520 Speaker 5: cynical person's wildest dreams. Just every possible method or mode 431 00:24:01,880 --> 00:24:06,200 Speaker 5: of grifting is being taken advantage of by just about 432 00:24:06,320 --> 00:24:09,760 Speaker 5: every official in this administration. I mean, you know, you 433 00:24:09,880 --> 00:24:12,800 Speaker 5: absolutely don't have to hand it to them, but it 434 00:24:12,880 --> 00:24:16,520 Speaker 5: is truly remarkable. I mean, we've Obviously we've lived through 435 00:24:16,800 --> 00:24:19,239 Speaker 5: both in the history of our country and even in 436 00:24:19,600 --> 00:24:22,320 Speaker 5: you know, just the short history of my life and 437 00:24:22,359 --> 00:24:25,560 Speaker 5: the longer history of your life. But we've lived through 438 00:24:25,960 --> 00:24:32,359 Speaker 5: grifting administrations, unscrupulous administrations. But I think you could pretty 439 00:24:32,400 --> 00:24:35,639 Speaker 5: much stack them all up, all the previous ones in 440 00:24:35,680 --> 00:24:38,320 Speaker 5: one stack, and put the Trump grifts in another stack, 441 00:24:38,560 --> 00:24:41,879 Speaker 5: and the Trump grifts would outweigh I think every single 442 00:24:42,160 --> 00:24:47,320 Speaker 5: previous administration's grifts throughout the history of this country. 443 00:24:47,440 --> 00:24:51,520 Speaker 1: We need a word, an expression for what the Teapot 444 00:24:51,560 --> 00:25:00,480 Speaker 1: Dome scandal like with crypto and double dealing and insider 445 00:25:00,680 --> 00:25:06,520 Speaker 1: trading and influence trading, and your son in law who's 446 00:25:06,560 --> 00:25:10,959 Speaker 1: negotiating all these deals is also not in government, but 447 00:25:11,040 --> 00:25:15,359 Speaker 1: he is also negotiating the Russian peace treaty and also 448 00:25:15,440 --> 00:25:18,320 Speaker 1: in the Middle East, but he also takes money from 449 00:25:18,840 --> 00:25:22,800 Speaker 1: a lot of Middle Eastern countries for his wealth fund. 450 00:25:23,119 --> 00:25:25,080 Speaker 4: I mean, it's like, what is that. 451 00:25:25,240 --> 00:25:27,560 Speaker 1: It feels like there's got to be a bigger word 452 00:25:27,600 --> 00:25:28,720 Speaker 1: than cryptocracy. 453 00:25:29,119 --> 00:25:33,199 Speaker 5: And honestly, I'm out a losstocracy because well, because everything 454 00:25:33,240 --> 00:25:35,480 Speaker 5: you said is it's just I don't know, it's a 455 00:25:35,480 --> 00:25:38,560 Speaker 5: trump oocracy, Like I don't know what else to call 456 00:25:38,600 --> 00:25:43,360 Speaker 5: it like it's every single aspect of his presidency is 457 00:25:43,520 --> 00:25:48,080 Speaker 5: to enrich him, to help him. And I mean, we've 458 00:25:48,080 --> 00:25:51,360 Speaker 5: seen Richard Nixon and people like that before, but they 459 00:25:51,359 --> 00:25:55,400 Speaker 5: are rank amateurs compared to the level of. 460 00:25:55,359 --> 00:25:56,440 Speaker 3: What's going on now. 461 00:25:56,560 --> 00:25:59,960 Speaker 5: It's absolutely unreal. You can't even say, like the teapot 462 00:26:00,080 --> 00:26:02,880 Speaker 5: dome scandal is a perfect example, because it's the one 463 00:26:02,960 --> 00:26:04,720 Speaker 5: thing we remember from that. 464 00:26:04,920 --> 00:26:05,880 Speaker 4: You can't do that. 465 00:26:05,960 --> 00:26:10,320 Speaker 5: Now there's a new teapot dome level scandal every damn day. 466 00:26:10,400 --> 00:26:14,159 Speaker 1: Speak for yourself, man, I remember it all from the 467 00:26:14,240 --> 00:26:19,080 Speaker 1: teapot Don't periods kidding? I was so mean will you 468 00:26:19,200 --> 00:26:20,000 Speaker 1: never come back? 469 00:26:21,280 --> 00:26:24,080 Speaker 5: Earlier when I said your longer history as opposed to 470 00:26:24,080 --> 00:26:25,400 Speaker 5: my shorter history. 471 00:26:25,119 --> 00:26:26,359 Speaker 4: Will you never come back? 472 00:26:26,600 --> 00:26:28,600 Speaker 5: Can you always never come back? 473 00:26:29,240 --> 00:26:32,280 Speaker 4: Don't? I would like to invite you not to come back. 474 00:26:32,760 --> 00:26:37,280 Speaker 5: I will accept your non invitation to always come back. 475 00:26:37,880 --> 00:26:42,879 Speaker 1: Actually, you can come back because I like you. Jacob 476 00:26:42,960 --> 00:26:48,000 Speaker 1: rubash Kin is an analyst and reporter at Inside Elections. 477 00:26:48,359 --> 00:26:51,920 Speaker 1: Jacob Rubashkin, Welcome back to Fast Politics. 478 00:26:51,920 --> 00:26:53,600 Speaker 6: Always a pleasure, happy to be here. 479 00:26:53,800 --> 00:26:58,160 Speaker 1: So you are here to be our election whisperer, and 480 00:26:58,280 --> 00:27:00,879 Speaker 1: I'm going to make you start with an election you 481 00:27:00,920 --> 00:27:04,679 Speaker 1: were not prepared to weigh in on. Because what we 482 00:27:04,800 --> 00:27:07,919 Speaker 1: do at this podcast is we put people in very 483 00:27:08,160 --> 00:27:10,520 Speaker 1: uncomfortable situations because. 484 00:27:10,119 --> 00:27:12,080 Speaker 4: We don't tell them what we're going to ask them about. 485 00:27:12,160 --> 00:27:15,320 Speaker 1: And we do that because it's a because of being 486 00:27:15,440 --> 00:27:19,760 Speaker 1: very disorganized. So there is a special election in Tennessee. 487 00:27:20,160 --> 00:27:23,760 Speaker 1: It is Mark Green's seat. It is a R plus 488 00:27:23,920 --> 00:27:28,640 Speaker 1: twenty two. It is happening the Tuesday after Thanksgiving, and 489 00:27:29,119 --> 00:27:34,160 Speaker 1: both Democrats and Republicans are just pouring money into it. 490 00:27:34,320 --> 00:27:37,600 Speaker 8: Explain, yeah, this special election, like you said, it's Mark 491 00:27:37,680 --> 00:27:39,960 Speaker 8: Green's seats. So Mark Green was a Republican congressman. He 492 00:27:40,080 --> 00:27:43,320 Speaker 8: resigned over the summer. By all rights, this should be 493 00:27:43,359 --> 00:27:47,560 Speaker 8: an incredibly Republican seat, an easy hold for the Republican Party. 494 00:27:47,920 --> 00:27:49,840 Speaker 8: But there are two things going on here. The first 495 00:27:49,920 --> 00:27:52,680 Speaker 8: is the shape of the district itself. Tennessee drew a 496 00:27:52,720 --> 00:27:56,600 Speaker 8: pretty aggressive gerrymander following the twenty twenty census. There used 497 00:27:56,640 --> 00:27:59,199 Speaker 8: to be two Democratic seats in Tennessee, one in Memphis 498 00:27:59,240 --> 00:28:01,359 Speaker 8: and one in Nashville. And what they did was they 499 00:28:01,480 --> 00:28:04,119 Speaker 8: left the Memphis one, but they cracked the Nashville one, 500 00:28:04,160 --> 00:28:07,600 Speaker 8: and they distributed little pieces of Nashville across three different 501 00:28:07,640 --> 00:28:11,679 Speaker 8: districts in Middle Tennessee, so that there was no concentration 502 00:28:11,760 --> 00:28:14,879 Speaker 8: of Democratic votes. But what that means is that three 503 00:28:14,920 --> 00:28:18,480 Speaker 8: districts in Middle Tennessee all have a piece of Nashville, 504 00:28:18,800 --> 00:28:23,760 Speaker 8: and if turnout dynamics are such that Democratic voters are 505 00:28:23,800 --> 00:28:26,719 Speaker 8: super fired up and Republican voters are not fired up 506 00:28:26,760 --> 00:28:28,919 Speaker 8: and may not even know that there's an election going on, 507 00:28:29,280 --> 00:28:32,040 Speaker 8: that little piece of Nashville can punch above its weight 508 00:28:32,359 --> 00:28:36,080 Speaker 8: in those three districts. And that's exactly what's going on here, 509 00:28:36,240 --> 00:28:39,280 Speaker 8: is that it is a Republican district under normal conditions. 510 00:28:39,280 --> 00:28:44,000 Speaker 8: But the Democrats are hoping that the combination of the 511 00:28:44,040 --> 00:28:48,080 Speaker 8: president's poor approval rating, some Democratic momentum, and the fact 512 00:28:48,080 --> 00:28:50,800 Speaker 8: that this is a sleepy race the weekend after Thanksgiving 513 00:28:50,920 --> 00:28:54,400 Speaker 8: will allow them to reshape the electorate in such a 514 00:28:54,400 --> 00:28:57,280 Speaker 8: way that they can win what should be an unwinnable 515 00:28:57,320 --> 00:28:58,000 Speaker 8: seat for them. 516 00:28:58,120 --> 00:29:00,520 Speaker 1: And the candidate who is running for this seat is 517 00:29:00,520 --> 00:29:05,320 Speaker 1: a woman called aften Bane. Aften Bane, Yeah, we interviewed 518 00:29:05,360 --> 00:29:09,600 Speaker 1: her on this podcast and she is really interesting candidate, 519 00:29:09,680 --> 00:29:12,080 Speaker 1: and I think she's a really good example of if 520 00:29:12,120 --> 00:29:14,040 Speaker 1: you want to run a candidate in a place you 521 00:29:14,080 --> 00:29:19,080 Speaker 1: can't necessarily win because she is both an activist, grassroots activist, 522 00:29:19,160 --> 00:29:20,960 Speaker 1: so she has a lot of connections on the ground. 523 00:29:20,960 --> 00:29:24,200 Speaker 1: It's not like she is parachuting in. And then she 524 00:29:24,440 --> 00:29:30,520 Speaker 1: also is very beautiful and young and charismatic and out there. Right, 525 00:29:30,560 --> 00:29:34,719 Speaker 1: I mean, all of these are pieces when you're running 526 00:29:34,880 --> 00:29:37,840 Speaker 1: in anywhere, but especially when you're running in a very 527 00:29:37,840 --> 00:29:38,640 Speaker 1: tough district. 528 00:29:38,760 --> 00:29:41,680 Speaker 8: Right, yeah, no, I mean, look, it helps to look 529 00:29:41,720 --> 00:29:45,600 Speaker 8: the part. It helps to you know, have a political base, 530 00:29:45,680 --> 00:29:47,960 Speaker 8: as she does having served in the state legislature. 531 00:29:48,280 --> 00:29:49,800 Speaker 6: These days, it helps to be young. 532 00:29:50,000 --> 00:29:53,040 Speaker 8: Right, We're in a moment where after everything that went 533 00:29:53,080 --> 00:29:56,440 Speaker 8: down last year. I think Biden voters voters place a 534 00:29:56,520 --> 00:30:00,440 Speaker 8: premium on youth, or at least they place a whatever 535 00:30:00,480 --> 00:30:03,520 Speaker 8: the opposite of a premium is on being older. 536 00:30:03,880 --> 00:30:07,240 Speaker 1: And again, in voters defense, like they get fucked by 537 00:30:07,280 --> 00:30:10,880 Speaker 1: electing someone really old. They were told to trust the 538 00:30:10,880 --> 00:30:14,440 Speaker 1: Democratic Party that this candidate wasn't too old, and then 539 00:30:14,640 --> 00:30:17,560 Speaker 1: exactly the worst case scenario unfolded. 540 00:30:17,760 --> 00:30:20,160 Speaker 4: So they're right to be mad. 541 00:30:20,440 --> 00:30:23,160 Speaker 8: Yeah, And so I you know, I think that she 542 00:30:23,280 --> 00:30:25,640 Speaker 8: does bring a fair bit to the table. She's proved 543 00:30:25,680 --> 00:30:28,320 Speaker 8: to be an able fundraiser. But like you said, she 544 00:30:28,520 --> 00:30:32,000 Speaker 8: is very progressive. She is out there, and she's she's outspoken, 545 00:30:32,080 --> 00:30:37,280 Speaker 8: and so the Republicans woman, and she's exactly And Republicans 546 00:30:37,320 --> 00:30:40,120 Speaker 8: have amassed a whole treasure trove of clips of her 547 00:30:40,160 --> 00:30:42,360 Speaker 8: over the past couple of years, saying all sorts of 548 00:30:42,400 --> 00:30:46,480 Speaker 8: things that don't usually fly in particularly Republican areas, and 549 00:30:46,560 --> 00:30:48,280 Speaker 8: they are in the last couple of weeks of this 550 00:30:48,400 --> 00:30:51,400 Speaker 8: race putting all of that on TV an attempt to 551 00:30:51,840 --> 00:30:54,640 Speaker 8: push back against whatever sort of momentum. 552 00:30:54,400 --> 00:30:56,000 Speaker 6: She has going for her. 553 00:30:56,280 --> 00:30:58,960 Speaker 8: But you know, all of the data that we have 554 00:30:59,080 --> 00:31:02,520 Speaker 8: suggests that this race is closer than it has any 555 00:31:02,640 --> 00:31:05,240 Speaker 8: right to be. I have not seen anything that convinces 556 00:31:05,280 --> 00:31:07,320 Speaker 8: me that this is a race that often is going 557 00:31:07,400 --> 00:31:10,000 Speaker 8: to win. But when we talk about a Trump plus 558 00:31:10,040 --> 00:31:13,080 Speaker 8: twenty two district, I would not be surprised if this 559 00:31:13,120 --> 00:31:15,680 Speaker 8: is a single digit outcome when all is said and done. 560 00:31:15,840 --> 00:31:18,080 Speaker 6: So a significant shift. 561 00:31:17,760 --> 00:31:20,360 Speaker 8: From where we were just a year ago in the 562 00:31:20,400 --> 00:31:22,040 Speaker 8: twenty twenty four presidential election. 563 00:31:22,520 --> 00:31:25,000 Speaker 1: So let's talk about the rest and landscape. Why I 564 00:31:25,080 --> 00:31:27,400 Speaker 1: really brought you on here. I want you to talk 565 00:31:27,480 --> 00:31:31,960 Speaker 1: us through the dummy mander again. I'm being overly optimistic 566 00:31:31,960 --> 00:31:34,600 Speaker 1: because I'm a partisan hack. But I'm just going to 567 00:31:34,680 --> 00:31:36,720 Speaker 1: paint this scene for you and let you go wherever 568 00:31:36,760 --> 00:31:39,440 Speaker 1: you want with it. Trump went to the party and said, 569 00:31:39,480 --> 00:31:41,480 Speaker 1: I need you to get me five seats to the 570 00:31:41,560 --> 00:31:44,840 Speaker 1: Texas Republicans. They got in five seeds. Court said no. 571 00:31:45,560 --> 00:31:49,200 Speaker 1: Justice Alito at the Supreme Court shockingly said yes, Republicans 572 00:31:49,200 --> 00:31:52,479 Speaker 1: can have whatever they want. Now there are five seats 573 00:31:52,520 --> 00:31:55,600 Speaker 1: coming from California. Unless the Supreme Court is able to 574 00:31:55,640 --> 00:31:58,640 Speaker 1: do something, it will look real bad if they take 575 00:31:58,640 --> 00:32:01,560 Speaker 1: the five seats away from cal but give the five 576 00:32:01,640 --> 00:32:05,640 Speaker 1: seats to Texas. Though anything is possible. But the landscape 577 00:32:05,680 --> 00:32:08,160 Speaker 1: is really all up in the air right now. So 578 00:32:08,280 --> 00:32:11,200 Speaker 1: i'd love you to talk us through what it looks like. 579 00:32:11,440 --> 00:32:14,680 Speaker 1: First with the eye to jerrymandering. And then there's also 580 00:32:14,760 --> 00:32:17,800 Speaker 1: the question of Section two of the Voting Rights Act, 581 00:32:17,960 --> 00:32:21,080 Speaker 1: and that decision will come down in June. My first 582 00:32:21,160 --> 00:32:23,560 Speaker 1: question for you is, if that decision comes down in 583 00:32:23,640 --> 00:32:26,440 Speaker 1: June and the Supreme Court says you don't have to 584 00:32:26,560 --> 00:32:32,600 Speaker 1: have race negative jerrymandering or race sensitive jerrymandering, would that 585 00:32:32,880 --> 00:32:36,960 Speaker 1: affect the twenty twenty six election. Would the South get 586 00:32:37,040 --> 00:32:39,600 Speaker 1: more Republican seats in twenty twenty six. 587 00:32:39,960 --> 00:32:42,680 Speaker 8: If that decision comes down in June, and that decision 588 00:32:42,960 --> 00:32:47,120 Speaker 8: is a case about the Louisiana congressional map, which currently 589 00:32:47,400 --> 00:32:51,600 Speaker 8: has two black opportunity districts. They had to redraw the 590 00:32:51,640 --> 00:32:54,000 Speaker 8: map ahead of last year to take it from one 591 00:32:54,040 --> 00:32:57,080 Speaker 8: to two, that decision does have the potential, like you said, 592 00:32:57,080 --> 00:33:00,520 Speaker 8: to eviscerate a core component of the Voting Act as 593 00:33:00,560 --> 00:33:03,360 Speaker 8: it pertains to redistricting. If it comes down in June, 594 00:33:03,440 --> 00:33:06,080 Speaker 8: that is too late for anything to happen for the 595 00:33:06,080 --> 00:33:07,760 Speaker 8: twenty twenty sixth election. 596 00:33:07,680 --> 00:33:09,760 Speaker 4: But it will affect twenty twenty eight. 597 00:33:09,920 --> 00:33:10,440 Speaker 6: Absolutely. 598 00:33:10,480 --> 00:33:10,680 Speaker 3: Yes. 599 00:33:10,720 --> 00:33:15,520 Speaker 8: If the Supreme Court were to say states with significant 600 00:33:15,560 --> 00:33:20,040 Speaker 8: minority populations and largely that means black populations don't have 601 00:33:20,280 --> 00:33:24,200 Speaker 8: to create black opportunity districts, which is the term of art, 602 00:33:24,400 --> 00:33:31,120 Speaker 8: then I would anticipate we will see at the least Louisiana, Alabama, Mississippi, 603 00:33:31,400 --> 00:33:36,440 Speaker 8: potentially South Carolina, and Tennessee at a minimum all attempt 604 00:33:36,640 --> 00:33:40,080 Speaker 8: a redistrict ahead of twenty twenty eight, because all of 605 00:33:40,120 --> 00:33:42,720 Speaker 8: those states have at least one seat that is a 606 00:33:42,760 --> 00:33:46,280 Speaker 8: heavily democratic black majority or black plurality district. 607 00:33:46,360 --> 00:33:47,920 Speaker 6: Because they're required to by law. 608 00:33:48,080 --> 00:33:52,160 Speaker 8: And then there are additional opportunities potentially in states like 609 00:33:52,240 --> 00:33:55,200 Speaker 8: Texas and Florida where obviously it's not just oh, there's 610 00:33:55,320 --> 00:33:59,480 Speaker 8: one district where the legislature has drawn most of the 611 00:33:59,480 --> 00:34:02,440 Speaker 8: black vote into you know, these are huge states that 612 00:34:02,520 --> 00:34:06,400 Speaker 8: have different pockets of racial concentration throughout the state, some 613 00:34:06,440 --> 00:34:08,560 Speaker 8: of which are protected by the VRA, some of which 614 00:34:08,600 --> 00:34:12,800 Speaker 8: are not VRA. Jurisprudence is actually kind of in flux 615 00:34:12,880 --> 00:34:15,040 Speaker 8: right now, and this is getting very in the weeds here, 616 00:34:15,080 --> 00:34:17,920 Speaker 8: but the Fifth Circuit has said it has to be 617 00:34:17,960 --> 00:34:21,000 Speaker 8: a single racial group to qualify as a VRA district. 618 00:34:21,040 --> 00:34:24,200 Speaker 8: You can't say, well, this really diverse area, you know, 619 00:34:24,239 --> 00:34:27,240 Speaker 8: has thirty percent Black voters and thirty percent Hispanic voters 620 00:34:27,239 --> 00:34:31,000 Speaker 8: and twenty percent Asian voters. Therefore it deserves a district 621 00:34:31,000 --> 00:34:33,920 Speaker 8: where those communities can elect a representative of their choosing. 622 00:34:34,520 --> 00:34:36,759 Speaker 8: It says, if it's not you know, forty or more 623 00:34:36,800 --> 00:34:39,520 Speaker 8: percent Black, or forty or more percent Asian, or forty 624 00:34:39,600 --> 00:34:42,359 Speaker 8: or more percent Hispanic, it doesn't qualify. But that's only 625 00:34:42,360 --> 00:34:45,120 Speaker 8: the Fifth Circuit, so like the Eleventh Circuit in Georgia 626 00:34:45,640 --> 00:34:48,440 Speaker 8: hasn't said whether they agree with that. Yet there's a 627 00:34:48,480 --> 00:34:51,440 Speaker 8: lot up in the air, as there always is with redistricting. 628 00:34:51,760 --> 00:34:54,200 Speaker 8: And if the Supreme Court steps in and says we're 629 00:34:54,200 --> 00:34:58,040 Speaker 8: going to undermine the last essentially thirty five years of 630 00:34:58,440 --> 00:35:02,120 Speaker 8: VRA interpretation, which they might, which they might, they might not. 631 00:35:02,440 --> 00:35:05,080 Speaker 8: I think that people are always get a little overconfident 632 00:35:05,120 --> 00:35:06,959 Speaker 8: when they try and predict out what the Supreme Court 633 00:35:07,040 --> 00:35:09,200 Speaker 8: is going to do. But there's a chance that the 634 00:35:09,360 --> 00:35:14,560 Speaker 8: redistricting chaos we've seen this year is only multiplied in 635 00:35:14,760 --> 00:35:18,960 Speaker 8: two years when the states are unfettered by the Voting 636 00:35:19,040 --> 00:35:20,880 Speaker 8: Rights Act requirements. 637 00:35:20,520 --> 00:35:23,279 Speaker 1: In June, when that comes down, no matter what the 638 00:35:23,320 --> 00:35:26,000 Speaker 1: decision is, it'll be too soon for twenty twenty six. 639 00:35:26,400 --> 00:35:29,600 Speaker 8: Yeah, yeah, I mean, look, Texas filing deadline is December eighth, right, 640 00:35:29,640 --> 00:35:33,480 Speaker 8: Illinois filing deadline already passed. States filing deadlines are coming up. 641 00:35:33,560 --> 00:35:37,719 Speaker 8: Primaries start in March the earliest. The earliest primaries begin 642 00:35:37,800 --> 00:35:40,439 Speaker 8: in March. By the time June rolls around, it will 643 00:35:40,480 --> 00:35:44,239 Speaker 8: be far too late for the train to be rewound 644 00:35:44,640 --> 00:35:48,279 Speaker 8: on redistricting. So for the twenty twenty six cycle, I 645 00:35:48,320 --> 00:35:51,600 Speaker 8: honestly think it's highly unlikely, no matter what the Court rules, 646 00:35:51,880 --> 00:35:55,560 Speaker 8: that we'll see the dismantling of VRA districts in America. 647 00:35:55,840 --> 00:35:58,920 Speaker 1: That means in twenty twenty six cycle we have a 648 00:35:58,960 --> 00:36:02,120 Speaker 1: pretty good sense of what the jerry nander will look like. 649 00:36:02,440 --> 00:36:05,279 Speaker 6: Well, not necessarily. 650 00:36:04,640 --> 00:36:06,600 Speaker 4: Okay, so then tell us why. 651 00:36:06,800 --> 00:36:07,120 Speaker 6: Yeah. 652 00:36:07,200 --> 00:36:10,360 Speaker 8: So the frustrating thing, of course, is that even the 653 00:36:10,400 --> 00:36:13,200 Speaker 8: maps that have been passed this cycle, there's a tremendous 654 00:36:13,200 --> 00:36:16,520 Speaker 8: amount of uncertainty. So you mentioned the Texas map that 655 00:36:16,680 --> 00:36:19,600 Speaker 8: was struck down by a federal district court in al Paso. 656 00:36:19,880 --> 00:36:23,080 Speaker 8: The Republicans appealed to the Supreme Court. Now, Justice Alito 657 00:36:23,160 --> 00:36:26,080 Speaker 8: did implement a stay, but that's a very brief administrative 658 00:36:26,120 --> 00:36:29,360 Speaker 8: stay that suggests that sometime in the next week, essentially 659 00:36:29,760 --> 00:36:33,320 Speaker 8: the full Court will consider what to do on that front, 660 00:36:33,360 --> 00:36:35,600 Speaker 8: and there's a chance that they will let that lower 661 00:36:35,640 --> 00:36:38,480 Speaker 8: court ruling stand. I think most people still think they 662 00:36:38,480 --> 00:36:41,880 Speaker 8: will keep the stay in place and do full arguments 663 00:36:41,920 --> 00:36:45,080 Speaker 8: next year. Maybe, but the Texas map is currently in flux. 664 00:36:45,320 --> 00:36:50,320 Speaker 8: You have a map in Missouri that was a gerrymander 665 00:36:50,680 --> 00:36:53,840 Speaker 8: that Republicans drew earlier this year to draw out a 666 00:36:53,840 --> 00:36:58,200 Speaker 8: Democratic representative in Kansas City, and that map could be 667 00:36:58,200 --> 00:37:01,840 Speaker 8: blocked by a referendum, and you've got the potential for 668 00:37:02,360 --> 00:37:08,040 Speaker 8: democratic redistricting in Virginia early next year and Republican redistricting 669 00:37:08,160 --> 00:37:09,799 Speaker 8: in Florida early next year. 670 00:37:10,160 --> 00:37:13,560 Speaker 4: In Florida redistrict, I thought they were pretty tight. 671 00:37:13,840 --> 00:37:14,680 Speaker 6: They can try. 672 00:37:14,920 --> 00:37:18,200 Speaker 8: They may run into some timeline challenges just because we're 673 00:37:18,280 --> 00:37:21,400 Speaker 8: later in the game, but remember Florida's primary isn't until August, 674 00:37:21,600 --> 00:37:23,880 Speaker 8: and so by virtue of their own calendar, they have 675 00:37:23,960 --> 00:37:25,960 Speaker 8: a little bit more wiggle room. I don't know how 676 00:37:25,960 --> 00:37:28,560 Speaker 8: aggressive they can get, but I think you could probably 677 00:37:28,640 --> 00:37:32,080 Speaker 8: draw a map that gets Republicans in additional two seats 678 00:37:32,160 --> 00:37:35,720 Speaker 8: at minimum out of Florida if they go down that path. 679 00:37:35,760 --> 00:37:38,800 Speaker 8: And that's you know, that's twenty eight districts. Virginia is 680 00:37:38,840 --> 00:37:43,440 Speaker 8: another dozen districts. Texas obviously thirty eight. So we still 681 00:37:43,520 --> 00:37:47,360 Speaker 8: have seventy five congressional districts that are somewhat up in 682 00:37:47,400 --> 00:37:50,840 Speaker 8: the air as we know close out twenty twenty five. 683 00:37:51,320 --> 00:37:54,399 Speaker 4: Those five seats in California, though, are set now. 684 00:37:54,680 --> 00:37:56,880 Speaker 8: Yeah, so the California map, I think most of the 685 00:37:56,920 --> 00:37:59,440 Speaker 8: people that I talked to in both parties are pretty 686 00:38:00,160 --> 00:38:02,560 Speaker 8: or that the California map is going to be in 687 00:38:02,600 --> 00:38:05,279 Speaker 8: place that the Republicans have been unsuccessful in all of 688 00:38:05,320 --> 00:38:06,440 Speaker 8: their court challenges. 689 00:38:06,520 --> 00:38:09,319 Speaker 6: You know, the DOJ, the Trump DOJ just filed a 690 00:38:09,360 --> 00:38:10,640 Speaker 6: suit against. 691 00:38:10,280 --> 00:38:13,560 Speaker 8: The California map, but I don't think anyone is particularly 692 00:38:13,800 --> 00:38:17,560 Speaker 8: confident that suit will prevail. So, yes, the Prop fifty 693 00:38:17,640 --> 00:38:21,320 Speaker 8: map that was designed to improve democratic odds in five seats, 694 00:38:21,480 --> 00:38:24,680 Speaker 8: five Republican health seats, will be the map almost certainly 695 00:38:24,800 --> 00:38:26,400 Speaker 8: for the twenty twenty six mid terms. 696 00:38:26,640 --> 00:38:30,359 Speaker 1: That means Democrats definitely have a five seat advantage at 697 00:38:30,440 --> 00:38:35,239 Speaker 1: least for that jerrymandering that Republicans have done Texas. What 698 00:38:35,400 --> 00:38:38,600 Speaker 1: else They couldn't get Indiana though they've been trying. 699 00:38:38,960 --> 00:38:43,000 Speaker 6: Yeah, so Republicans got Texas, they got North. 700 00:38:42,760 --> 00:38:46,120 Speaker 1: Carolina, right, and that was one seat. That was one seat, 701 00:38:46,160 --> 00:38:48,800 Speaker 1: and that's because they have a super majority in the House. 702 00:38:49,320 --> 00:38:53,440 Speaker 8: Correct, and redistricting in North Carolina does not require the 703 00:38:53,480 --> 00:38:55,239 Speaker 8: governor's signature. 704 00:38:54,880 --> 00:38:59,560 Speaker 1: Because North Carolina had Democratic governors and super powerful state 705 00:39:00,040 --> 00:39:02,759 Speaker 1: legislatures that have been working hard to screw over those 706 00:39:02,760 --> 00:39:04,920 Speaker 1: governors for a couple of years. 707 00:39:05,000 --> 00:39:07,719 Speaker 8: Right, the North Carolina legislature has taken a lot of 708 00:39:07,760 --> 00:39:11,000 Speaker 8: powers away from the governors. As like you said, North Carolina, 709 00:39:11,000 --> 00:39:13,240 Speaker 8: of course, used to be solid Democratic at all levels, 710 00:39:13,280 --> 00:39:17,120 Speaker 8: but over the last twenty years they keep electing Democrats governor. 711 00:39:17,280 --> 00:39:20,680 Speaker 8: But the state legislature is pretty consistently Republican and so 712 00:39:20,719 --> 00:39:23,320 Speaker 8: they've taken a lot of powers away from the governor. 713 00:39:23,600 --> 00:39:26,120 Speaker 8: So they got that. You know, Ohio, It kind of 714 00:39:26,160 --> 00:39:29,000 Speaker 8: depends how you do the math. In Ohio. You can 715 00:39:29,040 --> 00:39:32,439 Speaker 8: either give Republicans a seat or not, or a half 716 00:39:32,480 --> 00:39:34,600 Speaker 8: a seat if you want to hedge. But the Marcy 717 00:39:34,680 --> 00:39:37,080 Speaker 8: Captor seat does get a little bit worse for her, 718 00:39:37,120 --> 00:39:38,480 Speaker 8: and it was already pretty bad for her. 719 00:39:38,600 --> 00:39:40,880 Speaker 6: So that is another one. Missouri. 720 00:39:41,280 --> 00:39:43,200 Speaker 8: You know, will see what happens, but that one you 721 00:39:43,560 --> 00:39:46,040 Speaker 8: have to put in the Republican column until if and 722 00:39:46,160 --> 00:39:49,479 Speaker 8: until it's paused or rolled back. So you know, five 723 00:39:49,520 --> 00:39:52,600 Speaker 8: in Texas, one in North Carolina, one in Missouri. That 724 00:39:52,600 --> 00:39:55,760 Speaker 8: that gets you to seven and then you know, depending 725 00:39:55,760 --> 00:39:59,320 Speaker 8: on how you want to count Ohio. But the number 726 00:39:59,480 --> 00:40:03,520 Speaker 8: is is smaller than Republicans would have liked. I think 727 00:40:03,520 --> 00:40:07,279 Speaker 8: when Trump first set down this path in the summer, right, 728 00:40:07,360 --> 00:40:10,520 Speaker 8: he wanted five in Texas. He wanted not just your 729 00:40:10,520 --> 00:40:13,120 Speaker 8: one in Missouri and one in North Carolina, but he 730 00:40:13,160 --> 00:40:15,880 Speaker 8: wanted two in Indiana, he wanted one in Kansas, he 731 00:40:15,920 --> 00:40:20,200 Speaker 8: wanted one in Nebraska, probably wanted four in Florida, and 732 00:40:20,280 --> 00:40:23,840 Speaker 8: he didn't even think that Democrats might get five to 733 00:40:23,880 --> 00:40:28,239 Speaker 8: counterbalance in Texas. So the math has shifted considerably over 734 00:40:28,280 --> 00:40:31,239 Speaker 8: the last couple months. And to your point, I think 735 00:40:31,239 --> 00:40:34,680 Speaker 8: there's ultimately an outcome here where Democrats end up with 736 00:40:34,840 --> 00:40:38,960 Speaker 8: more favorable districts across the country when all is said 737 00:40:39,000 --> 00:40:42,319 Speaker 8: and done, than they had at the outset, which would 738 00:40:42,320 --> 00:40:46,279 Speaker 8: be a pretty significant turn of events. And underline how 739 00:40:46,360 --> 00:40:49,640 Speaker 8: in that scenario, how that push would backfire on Trump. 740 00:40:49,680 --> 00:40:51,279 Speaker 1: And we're going to turn our eye now to the 741 00:40:51,360 --> 00:40:55,880 Speaker 1: Senate math because there's a sense and again we just 742 00:40:56,040 --> 00:40:59,080 Speaker 1: know the twenty five cycle and the polls, and we 743 00:40:59,160 --> 00:41:02,920 Speaker 1: can use that information to extrapolate what we can. But 744 00:41:03,360 --> 00:41:06,239 Speaker 1: there's a feeling that Democrats are in a much better 745 00:41:06,239 --> 00:41:09,719 Speaker 1: position than they have been. But this Senate map is 746 00:41:09,760 --> 00:41:13,960 Speaker 1: still a real cluster fox. So let's just go Maine 747 00:41:14,000 --> 00:41:15,880 Speaker 1: across the country. So start with Maine. 748 00:41:16,040 --> 00:41:19,160 Speaker 8: Yeah, so your word mind, But I would say that 749 00:41:19,160 --> 00:41:22,279 Speaker 8: the Senate map is a very difficult one for Democrats, 750 00:41:22,320 --> 00:41:24,360 Speaker 8: even in a favorable political environment. 751 00:41:24,440 --> 00:41:25,720 Speaker 6: So you've got Maine. 752 00:41:25,920 --> 00:41:28,399 Speaker 8: Maine is the only seat on the Senate map held 753 00:41:28,440 --> 00:41:31,680 Speaker 8: by a Republican, but one by Vice President Harris, one 754 00:41:31,719 --> 00:41:34,160 Speaker 8: by Joe Biden, and in twenty twenty one by Hillary 755 00:41:34,160 --> 00:41:36,680 Speaker 8: Clinton in twenty sixteen. By rights, that should make it 756 00:41:36,760 --> 00:41:39,640 Speaker 8: the top target for Democrats in twenty twenty six The 757 00:41:39,680 --> 00:41:42,400 Speaker 8: only reason why it's arguably not the top target is 758 00:41:42,440 --> 00:41:45,680 Speaker 8: because Susan Collins is there, and she has proven to 759 00:41:45,760 --> 00:41:49,520 Speaker 8: be an incredibly difficult out. She has beaten back challenger 760 00:41:49,560 --> 00:41:52,520 Speaker 8: after challenger. She's beaten back some really heavy hitters on 761 00:41:52,560 --> 00:41:55,000 Speaker 8: the Democratic side, people with a ton of money, people 762 00:41:55,000 --> 00:41:58,239 Speaker 8: with a ton of electoral experience, and main voters just 763 00:41:58,320 --> 00:42:00,880 Speaker 8: keep on sending her back. Now, that's no reason to 764 00:42:00,920 --> 00:42:04,720 Speaker 8: believe that she can't lose this time, because everybody wins 765 00:42:04,800 --> 00:42:07,080 Speaker 8: up until the moment that they lose. But it does 766 00:42:07,160 --> 00:42:10,080 Speaker 8: mean that it's no sure thing to beat her, even 767 00:42:10,120 --> 00:42:14,040 Speaker 8: in a state that Kamala Harris carried by six seven 768 00:42:14,120 --> 00:42:17,160 Speaker 8: points at the top of the ticket. So that's the 769 00:42:17,560 --> 00:42:20,400 Speaker 8: first seat. You know, there are two seats Democrats absolutely 770 00:42:20,440 --> 00:42:22,560 Speaker 8: have to win in order to take back the Senate, 771 00:42:22,560 --> 00:42:25,400 Speaker 8: and one of those is Main where they've got themselves 772 00:42:25,480 --> 00:42:27,560 Speaker 8: a real headache of a primary and then a real 773 00:42:27,800 --> 00:42:30,759 Speaker 8: stalwart in Susan Collins waiting on the other side. And 774 00:42:30,800 --> 00:42:34,120 Speaker 8: the other is North Carolina, which is a perennial battleground. 775 00:42:34,440 --> 00:42:37,760 Speaker 8: Democrats haven't won a Senate race here since two thousand 776 00:42:37,760 --> 00:42:40,440 Speaker 8: and eight and kay Hagen, but they get really really 777 00:42:40,480 --> 00:42:43,279 Speaker 8: close every time, and they've got a great recruit there 778 00:42:43,360 --> 00:42:46,400 Speaker 8: and former Governor Roy Cooper, he won four terms as 779 00:42:46,400 --> 00:42:49,400 Speaker 8: state attorney general. He won two terms as governor even 780 00:42:49,480 --> 00:42:52,800 Speaker 8: as the state was voting Republican for many other offices. 781 00:42:53,120 --> 00:42:57,000 Speaker 8: And he's got a good match up there against Michael Wattley, Yes. 782 00:42:57,640 --> 00:43:00,239 Speaker 4: Who's an R and C guy. 783 00:43:00,320 --> 00:43:02,560 Speaker 8: Yeah, he's the Trump pick and that's why he gets 784 00:43:02,560 --> 00:43:06,120 Speaker 8: to be the nominee. But realistically, I talked to Republicans 785 00:43:06,360 --> 00:43:09,680 Speaker 8: all the time, you know, I think everyone understands that, well, 786 00:43:09,719 --> 00:43:11,640 Speaker 8: North Carolina is always going to be really close, It's 787 00:43:11,640 --> 00:43:14,160 Speaker 8: always going to be really competitive. On the surface, the 788 00:43:14,160 --> 00:43:19,359 Speaker 8: matchup of popular former governor, former state attorney general, well known, 789 00:43:19,440 --> 00:43:23,600 Speaker 8: well liked in the state, versus former chairman of the 790 00:43:23,760 --> 00:43:26,640 Speaker 8: RNC and chairman of the North Carolina Republican Party who's 791 00:43:26,640 --> 00:43:29,560 Speaker 8: never held office before and who nobody really knows is 792 00:43:29,640 --> 00:43:33,600 Speaker 8: not naturally the best contrast for Republicans. So that doesn't 793 00:43:33,640 --> 00:43:36,640 Speaker 8: mean this race mole costs half a billion dollars and 794 00:43:37,160 --> 00:43:39,000 Speaker 8: you know, end up in a two point margin one 795 00:43:39,000 --> 00:43:39,600 Speaker 8: way or the other. 796 00:43:39,880 --> 00:43:42,760 Speaker 6: But I think Democrats are most excited. I would say. 797 00:43:42,640 --> 00:43:46,000 Speaker 8: About about Roy Cooper in North Carolina, but that only 798 00:43:46,040 --> 00:43:48,280 Speaker 8: gets you to two right, and Democrats have to flip 799 00:43:48,360 --> 00:43:51,440 Speaker 8: four seats in order to win back the majority there 800 00:43:51,440 --> 00:43:52,040 Speaker 8: at forty seven. 801 00:43:52,080 --> 00:43:53,200 Speaker 6: They need to get to fifty one. 802 00:43:53,320 --> 00:43:55,040 Speaker 8: So then you have to look at this map and say, 803 00:43:55,080 --> 00:43:58,000 Speaker 8: all right, well, where can we find our two other seats? 804 00:43:58,080 --> 00:44:00,759 Speaker 8: And the reality is you got us start. You've got 805 00:44:00,760 --> 00:44:02,799 Speaker 8: to start digging a little deeper. And what you come 806 00:44:02,880 --> 00:44:06,240 Speaker 8: up with are you've got Ohio, where former Senator Shared 807 00:44:06,239 --> 00:44:08,680 Speaker 8: Brown is attempting to come back after he lost by 808 00:44:08,719 --> 00:44:10,040 Speaker 8: a couple points last cycle. 809 00:44:10,400 --> 00:44:13,960 Speaker 1: That's kind of a special election because it's to fill 810 00:44:14,280 --> 00:44:15,200 Speaker 1: the JD. 811 00:44:15,360 --> 00:44:15,879 Speaker 6: Van seat. 812 00:44:16,160 --> 00:44:19,319 Speaker 8: Yes, so John Hustad is the incumbent Republican. He was 813 00:44:19,320 --> 00:44:21,919 Speaker 8: appointed to that seat. He's the former lieutenant governor. He 814 00:44:22,120 --> 00:44:25,880 Speaker 8: has been elected statewide before, but not to that Senate seat, 815 00:44:26,120 --> 00:44:28,680 Speaker 8: and he's new in the chamber. Shared Brown, of course, 816 00:44:28,760 --> 00:44:32,520 Speaker 8: heavily recruited by Democrats to run this time around and 817 00:44:32,880 --> 00:44:37,120 Speaker 8: avoids a primary and all that stuff, So he's one potential. 818 00:44:37,440 --> 00:44:40,560 Speaker 8: Then you've got Iowa, where you have an open seat. 819 00:44:40,640 --> 00:44:44,000 Speaker 8: Senator Joni Ernst isn't seeking a third term. Democrats have 820 00:44:44,000 --> 00:44:47,839 Speaker 8: a primary there essentially a three person primary between state 821 00:44:47,880 --> 00:44:52,160 Speaker 8: Representative Josh Turik, State Senator Zach Walls, and veteran Nathan Sage. 822 00:44:52,280 --> 00:44:55,280 Speaker 8: Republicans have all lined up behind Congresswoman Ashley Hinson. 823 00:44:55,560 --> 00:44:58,360 Speaker 4: Iowa was a what and R plus Trump wonted. 824 00:44:58,160 --> 00:45:00,359 Speaker 8: By like twelve last time he went it by ten 825 00:45:00,560 --> 00:45:04,120 Speaker 8: or nine in twenty twenty and twenty sixteen. It's gotten 826 00:45:04,120 --> 00:45:06,640 Speaker 8: pretty republican. But here's what I'll say about Iowa and 827 00:45:06,640 --> 00:45:08,960 Speaker 8: the reason why I think that Iowa, of all of 828 00:45:09,000 --> 00:45:11,000 Speaker 8: these states that I'm mentioning here kind of in this 829 00:45:11,080 --> 00:45:13,960 Speaker 8: second and third tier, Iowa is the most intriguing to 830 00:45:14,000 --> 00:45:17,160 Speaker 8: me is for two reasons. Firstly, there's clearly something in 831 00:45:17,160 --> 00:45:19,600 Speaker 8: the water there if you look at special election results 832 00:45:19,840 --> 00:45:22,439 Speaker 8: at the state legislative level. Since the beginning of the year, 833 00:45:22,719 --> 00:45:26,200 Speaker 8: Iowa has been the location of the greatest Democratic overperformance 834 00:45:26,440 --> 00:45:29,120 Speaker 8: relative to twenty twenty four. We've had now half a 835 00:45:29,160 --> 00:45:31,839 Speaker 8: dozen state Senate and state House races in Iowa over 836 00:45:31,840 --> 00:45:35,080 Speaker 8: the last twelve months, and Democrats have I believe in 837 00:45:35,120 --> 00:45:38,520 Speaker 8: almost perhaps every single one of them overperformed well into 838 00:45:38,560 --> 00:45:41,479 Speaker 8: the double digits. They had some big wins, flipping state 839 00:45:41,520 --> 00:45:44,799 Speaker 8: Senate districts. They are breaking the Republican super majority. So 840 00:45:45,320 --> 00:45:48,920 Speaker 8: I think that there is an element of democratic energy 841 00:45:48,920 --> 00:45:49,480 Speaker 8: in Iowa. 842 00:45:49,920 --> 00:45:50,880 Speaker 6: Arguably, Iowa is. 843 00:45:50,880 --> 00:45:53,120 Speaker 8: In a bit of a localized recession right now due 844 00:45:53,120 --> 00:45:57,280 Speaker 8: to the outsize impact of the tariffs, of the soybean policy, 845 00:45:57,320 --> 00:45:58,400 Speaker 8: of the beef policy. 846 00:45:58,800 --> 00:45:59,959 Speaker 6: You know, you have a reason why. 847 00:46:00,239 --> 00:46:03,719 Speaker 8: You know, Chuck Grassley is very vocally pushing back against 848 00:46:03,920 --> 00:46:07,520 Speaker 8: Trump on tariffs, and that's because I think Iowa is 849 00:46:07,640 --> 00:46:11,920 Speaker 8: uniquely vulnerable to those challenges. So I think that there's 850 00:46:11,960 --> 00:46:15,240 Speaker 8: a possibility for Democrats to put up a real fight there. Plus, 851 00:46:15,239 --> 00:46:17,680 Speaker 8: you've got Rob sand running for governor who's going to 852 00:46:17,719 --> 00:46:19,480 Speaker 8: spend a ton of money and run a very good 853 00:46:19,520 --> 00:46:21,920 Speaker 8: campaign at the top of the ticket. So that's always 854 00:46:21,960 --> 00:46:25,120 Speaker 8: helpful for every other Democrat in the state. After Iowa, 855 00:46:25,200 --> 00:46:28,240 Speaker 8: you got to look to Texas, where Democrats have tried 856 00:46:28,280 --> 00:46:31,600 Speaker 8: and failed to make something happen for the last twenty 857 00:46:31,600 --> 00:46:35,000 Speaker 8: five years, not since Anne Richards has a Democrat won 858 00:46:35,120 --> 00:46:38,320 Speaker 8: statewide in Texas, so it's been quite a long time. 859 00:46:38,480 --> 00:46:41,920 Speaker 8: They've got a primary amongst themselves Colin Allread and James Tallerico. 860 00:46:42,120 --> 00:46:45,160 Speaker 8: But the real drama here is the Republican primary. 861 00:46:45,480 --> 00:46:48,799 Speaker 1: Yes, which we will continue on next time you come back. 862 00:46:49,520 --> 00:46:53,160 Speaker 1: Will you please come back? This was like one of 863 00:46:53,560 --> 00:46:57,600 Speaker 1: the I just I'm like obsessed with this interview. 864 00:46:58,120 --> 00:47:01,080 Speaker 4: I am a huge fan and also I've just learned 865 00:47:01,080 --> 00:47:02,440 Speaker 4: a lot of new stuff. So thanks. 866 00:47:02,760 --> 00:47:05,319 Speaker 8: Yeah, no, absolutely, there's We've got a full year to 867 00:47:05,360 --> 00:47:08,720 Speaker 8: digest all this, so there's a lot to talk about. 868 00:47:09,800 --> 00:47:10,839 Speaker 3: No more. 869 00:47:11,120 --> 00:47:16,839 Speaker 4: Pet Jesse Cannon BII. Mister Trump, Yes, I've heard about him. 870 00:47:17,160 --> 00:47:21,640 Speaker 2: He really loved the socialists Zorad, you know, the TikTok Bolshevik, 871 00:47:21,760 --> 00:47:22,880 Speaker 2: and he's showing it. 872 00:47:22,960 --> 00:47:24,720 Speaker 3: He's socializing fucking everything. 873 00:47:24,880 --> 00:47:29,360 Speaker 1: Yes, so this should be a shmongous scandal, a huge 874 00:47:29,600 --> 00:47:34,160 Speaker 1: mangus scandal. So Trump administration is buying parts of companies 875 00:47:34,200 --> 00:47:35,520 Speaker 1: now in itself. 876 00:47:35,760 --> 00:47:37,839 Speaker 4: Who doesn't love socialism? We love it. 877 00:47:37,960 --> 00:47:40,920 Speaker 1: And look, the American government has done this before, and 878 00:47:40,960 --> 00:47:44,120 Speaker 1: the thinking behind it is maybe not so insane. The 879 00:47:44,200 --> 00:47:46,960 Speaker 1: problem is because of Trump, He's done a lot of 880 00:47:47,000 --> 00:47:50,000 Speaker 1: crypt shit. Also, we don't know how he's vetting these companies. 881 00:47:50,520 --> 00:47:53,640 Speaker 1: But what you have to realize is, okay, so a 882 00:47:53,680 --> 00:47:57,600 Speaker 1: few things. There's no real strategy here. Some of it 883 00:47:57,800 --> 00:48:00,839 Speaker 1: is Trump wanting to, like king make or you know, 884 00:48:01,040 --> 00:48:03,399 Speaker 1: make over chores towards people he likes. 885 00:48:03,680 --> 00:48:06,239 Speaker 4: So that is for sure true. 886 00:48:06,320 --> 00:48:09,080 Speaker 3: Picked up winners and losers, pretty capitalism. 887 00:48:09,120 --> 00:48:13,440 Speaker 1: There's no strategy. It's a lot of cronyism one of 888 00:48:13,480 --> 00:48:17,360 Speaker 1: these situations. Then he went and bought oh in Intel, 889 00:48:17,400 --> 00:48:20,080 Speaker 1: I think he went and bought three million dollars of debt, 890 00:48:20,480 --> 00:48:22,880 Speaker 1: so personally I think it was Intel. 891 00:48:22,960 --> 00:48:26,320 Speaker 4: But you know, so there's real, like real. 892 00:48:26,200 --> 00:48:31,080 Speaker 1: Corruption level corruption here, which I think is also worth noting. 893 00:48:31,880 --> 00:48:35,120 Speaker 4: That's it for this episode of Fast Politics. 894 00:48:35,560 --> 00:48:41,319 Speaker 1: Tune in every Monday, Wednesday, Thursday and Saturday to hear 895 00:48:41,560 --> 00:48:46,000 Speaker 1: the best minds and politics make sense of all this chaos. 896 00:48:46,239 --> 00:48:49,080 Speaker 1: If you enjoy this podcast, please send it to a 897 00:48:49,120 --> 00:48:51,520 Speaker 1: friend and keep the conversation going. 898 00:48:52,000 --> 00:48:53,160 Speaker 4: Thanks for listening.