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All right, 25 00:02:03,840 --> 00:02:08,120 Speaker 1: welcome to Hoops Tonight, presented here at the volume Happy Thursday, everybody. 26 00:02:08,200 --> 00:02:10,240 Speaker 1: Hope you guys are having a great week. I'm really 27 00:02:10,240 --> 00:02:12,440 Speaker 1: excited for this show. We are going to be ranking 28 00:02:12,720 --> 00:02:17,760 Speaker 1: all thirty NBA teams, not individually by number, but by tears. 29 00:02:18,000 --> 00:02:20,480 Speaker 1: I'm sorting them into tears based on where they're at 30 00:02:20,919 --> 00:02:24,880 Speaker 1: in their current development slash path towards an NBA championship. 31 00:02:24,919 --> 00:02:27,840 Speaker 1: I have the top tier contenders. Those are the teams 32 00:02:27,840 --> 00:02:30,760 Speaker 1: that obviously have the best chance to win the championship 33 00:02:30,840 --> 00:02:34,040 Speaker 1: this year. That I have the fatal flaw contenders, teams 34 00:02:34,040 --> 00:02:36,560 Speaker 1: that I do believe are contending for a championship but 35 00:02:36,680 --> 00:02:39,360 Speaker 1: have a significant flaw that I expect to get them beat. 36 00:02:39,919 --> 00:02:42,400 Speaker 1: Then we're gonna have the if they make the right 37 00:02:42,440 --> 00:02:45,200 Speaker 1: trade contenders. These are teams that are not good enough yet, 38 00:02:45,600 --> 00:02:48,320 Speaker 1: but if they address specific needs they have a chance. 39 00:02:48,600 --> 00:02:51,600 Speaker 1: Then we're gonna get into the lack of self awareness tier. 40 00:02:51,720 --> 00:02:54,040 Speaker 1: These are the teams that think that they have a 41 00:02:54,120 --> 00:02:57,040 Speaker 1: chance to win a championship but definitely do not. Then 42 00:02:57,040 --> 00:02:59,519 Speaker 1: we have the interesting and scrappy tier. These are the 43 00:02:59,560 --> 00:03:02,200 Speaker 1: teams that definitely don't think they're gonna win a championship, 44 00:03:02,320 --> 00:03:04,400 Speaker 1: but are playing really good basketball and are fun to 45 00:03:04,440 --> 00:03:06,920 Speaker 1: watch on any given night. And then lastly, we'll have 46 00:03:07,000 --> 00:03:12,160 Speaker 1: the actively and intentionally terrible tier. So we're gonna be 47 00:03:12,240 --> 00:03:15,120 Speaker 1: working on all thirty NBA teams today. It's gonna be 48 00:03:15,160 --> 00:03:17,680 Speaker 1: fun one. We're gonna be going pretty fast, though, you 49 00:03:17,680 --> 00:03:19,519 Speaker 1: guys know the joke before we get started. Subscribe to 50 00:03:19,560 --> 00:03:21,440 Speaker 1: the volumes YouTube channels. You don't miss any more of 51 00:03:21,480 --> 00:03:24,360 Speaker 1: our videos. Follow me on Twitter at underscore Jason Lts, 52 00:03:24,400 --> 00:03:27,079 Speaker 1: you guys don't miss any show announcements. And then, last, 53 00:03:27,080 --> 00:03:29,080 Speaker 1: but not least, for whatever reason, you guys miss one 54 00:03:29,080 --> 00:03:31,280 Speaker 1: of these videos and you can't get over to YouTube 55 00:03:31,280 --> 00:03:35,360 Speaker 1: to finish, you can find them wherever you get your podcasts. 56 00:03:35,480 --> 00:03:38,880 Speaker 1: Under Hoops tonight, all right, let's talk some basketball. So 57 00:03:39,920 --> 00:03:43,920 Speaker 1: these are the top tier contenders. Now again, nobody is perfect. 58 00:03:44,120 --> 00:03:47,400 Speaker 1: There is no two two thousand seventeen Warriors or two 59 00:03:47,480 --> 00:03:51,720 Speaker 1: thousand one Lakers in this mix, but all four of 60 00:03:51,760 --> 00:03:54,560 Speaker 1: these teams are a clear cut above the rest and 61 00:03:54,600 --> 00:03:59,960 Speaker 1: should feel confident in their championship odds. This particular season. 62 00:04:00,000 --> 00:04:02,520 Speaker 1: This is gonna be the Boston Celtics, the Brooklyn Nets, 63 00:04:02,840 --> 00:04:06,120 Speaker 1: the Milwaukee Bucks in the Golden State Warriors. Not to 64 00:04:06,120 --> 00:04:09,000 Speaker 1: be clear, as I'm going through these tears, the tears 65 00:04:09,000 --> 00:04:11,800 Speaker 1: are the ranking. The individual teams within the tears are 66 00:04:11,840 --> 00:04:14,400 Speaker 1: not in order, so I just have them in a list, 67 00:04:14,520 --> 00:04:17,120 Speaker 1: but the tears are where they are ranked. For instance, 68 00:04:17,120 --> 00:04:19,480 Speaker 1: I have the Celtics first in this first tier. I 69 00:04:19,480 --> 00:04:22,000 Speaker 1: wouldn't actually have them as the best championship contender. I'd 70 00:04:22,000 --> 00:04:26,520 Speaker 1: probably ranked them Golden State than Milwaukee, Den Boston, then Brooklyn. 71 00:04:26,720 --> 00:04:28,479 Speaker 1: But I'm gonna work. I'm just gonna keep them in 72 00:04:28,520 --> 00:04:31,040 Speaker 1: tears because I think it's more interesting that way. So, 73 00:04:31,080 --> 00:04:33,800 Speaker 1: starting with the Boston Celtics, I think that the humiliation 74 00:04:33,839 --> 00:04:37,480 Speaker 1: from last year's NBA Finals flame out has helped a lot. 75 00:04:37,560 --> 00:04:40,000 Speaker 1: Jason Tatum has clearly spent a ton of time in 76 00:04:40,040 --> 00:04:43,120 Speaker 1: the offseason working on his handle. Uh He's has He 77 00:04:43,160 --> 00:04:45,960 Speaker 1: has his lowest turnovers per thirty six minutes since two 78 00:04:45,960 --> 00:04:49,320 Speaker 1: thousand twenty. Then obviously they added Malcolm Brogden. So the 79 00:04:49,360 --> 00:04:52,600 Speaker 1: general growing up an improvement of the roster plus the 80 00:04:52,600 --> 00:04:55,560 Speaker 1: influx of Malcolm Brogden seems to have addressed their ball 81 00:04:55,600 --> 00:04:57,960 Speaker 1: handling concerns. They are the fourth best team in the 82 00:04:58,040 --> 00:05:00,400 Speaker 1: league right now at taking care of the bat basketball 83 00:05:00,440 --> 00:05:03,760 Speaker 1: at just thirteen point four turnovers per one possessions. But 84 00:05:03,800 --> 00:05:06,240 Speaker 1: then we had that Golden State game or that Denver 85 00:05:06,320 --> 00:05:09,080 Speaker 1: Nuggets game where just time and time again we've seen 86 00:05:09,120 --> 00:05:10,920 Speaker 1: at the biggest stages and a little bit of those 87 00:05:10,960 --> 00:05:14,279 Speaker 1: high stakes environments, they kind of lose their identity a bit. 88 00:05:15,240 --> 00:05:17,920 Speaker 1: They're sloppy on defense and the way you wouldn't expect 89 00:05:17,920 --> 00:05:20,400 Speaker 1: them to be, like, for instance, last year, great transition 90 00:05:20,440 --> 00:05:24,360 Speaker 1: defense all year, horrible transition defense in the playoffs when 91 00:05:24,400 --> 00:05:27,760 Speaker 1: the stakes get heavy, they just lose their identity a 92 00:05:27,800 --> 00:05:30,760 Speaker 1: little bit. And so the real question is can they 93 00:05:30,880 --> 00:05:34,440 Speaker 1: keep their focus this year through four rounds of the 94 00:05:34,480 --> 00:05:37,360 Speaker 1: playoffs and not lose that identity. They have to beat 95 00:05:37,400 --> 00:05:40,680 Speaker 1: their own demons. The biggest enemy of the Boston Celtics 96 00:05:40,800 --> 00:05:43,080 Speaker 1: is the Boston Celtics. I think they actually have the 97 00:05:43,160 --> 00:05:47,400 Speaker 1: most talented team in the n B A second team 98 00:05:47,440 --> 00:05:49,760 Speaker 1: the Brooklyn Nets. They are top five in offense, top 99 00:05:49,800 --> 00:05:52,120 Speaker 1: ten in defense. I think Kevin Durant is the m 100 00:05:52,160 --> 00:05:54,080 Speaker 1: v P of the league if the season ended today. 101 00:05:54,360 --> 00:05:56,719 Speaker 1: Kyrie Irving is having an excellent season. And then a 102 00:05:56,720 --> 00:05:59,240 Speaker 1: lot of their important offseason moves have panned out. That 103 00:05:59,360 --> 00:06:01,920 Speaker 1: Royce O'Neil trade that they made for that first round 104 00:06:01,960 --> 00:06:04,120 Speaker 1: pick from the Jazz, that was a home run trade. 105 00:06:04,279 --> 00:06:06,479 Speaker 1: T J. Warren has fit in really nicely with his 106 00:06:06,520 --> 00:06:08,440 Speaker 1: bit of ball handling and shooting. And then you do 107 00:06:08,480 --> 00:06:12,599 Speaker 1: what Naby getting him um uh this summer. Previously he 108 00:06:12,640 --> 00:06:16,279 Speaker 1: was with the Raptors. That him just providing another big, 109 00:06:16,360 --> 00:06:18,760 Speaker 1: long wing that can knock down threes at a high 110 00:06:18,839 --> 00:06:20,880 Speaker 1: rate and play a little bit of a bit of defense. 111 00:06:20,960 --> 00:06:24,280 Speaker 1: That is giving them a really functional basketball team. Now, 112 00:06:24,360 --> 00:06:27,200 Speaker 1: my two main concerns with the Brooklyn Nets are they 113 00:06:27,240 --> 00:06:30,400 Speaker 1: rely heavily on pull up shooting, and we saw what 114 00:06:30,440 --> 00:06:32,760 Speaker 1: happened last year against Boston when those pull up jump 115 00:06:32,760 --> 00:06:36,240 Speaker 1: shots stopped going in. How suddenly their offense loses a 116 00:06:36,279 --> 00:06:38,560 Speaker 1: great deal of effectiveness. So that would be one of 117 00:06:38,600 --> 00:06:42,200 Speaker 1: my concerns. The second concern is their lack of physicality. 118 00:06:42,240 --> 00:06:44,920 Speaker 1: They are a great defensive team, but they are very thin, 119 00:06:45,080 --> 00:06:49,200 Speaker 1: and so there are specific matchups teams specifically to have 120 00:06:49,240 --> 00:06:51,919 Speaker 1: a great deal of strength on the perimeter, teams like 121 00:06:52,040 --> 00:06:55,479 Speaker 1: Boston that I think are really bad matchup for Brooklyn 122 00:06:55,480 --> 00:06:57,440 Speaker 1: that could get them into some trouble. That top of 123 00:06:57,480 --> 00:07:00,560 Speaker 1: the East is very matchup dependent, Like I really like 124 00:07:00,800 --> 00:07:05,599 Speaker 1: Brooklyn's chances of beating Milwaukee, but I really like Milwaukee's 125 00:07:05,640 --> 00:07:09,160 Speaker 1: chances of beating Boston, but I really like Boston's chances 126 00:07:09,200 --> 00:07:11,840 Speaker 1: of beating Brooklyn. So it's kind of matchups could be 127 00:07:11,840 --> 00:07:15,400 Speaker 1: a big indicator of how things go out East this year. 128 00:07:15,440 --> 00:07:17,560 Speaker 1: But they are top three. The Brooklyn Nets are top three, 129 00:07:17,560 --> 00:07:20,360 Speaker 1: and both half court offense and half court defense, they 130 00:07:20,360 --> 00:07:24,040 Speaker 1: are built for these slow down NBA playoff games. They 131 00:07:24,040 --> 00:07:26,640 Speaker 1: can execute in the half court, so they are definitely 132 00:07:26,680 --> 00:07:30,440 Speaker 1: a top tier contender in my opinion. Alright, Milwaukee Bucks, 133 00:07:30,920 --> 00:07:32,960 Speaker 1: they really have done a masterful job this year of 134 00:07:32,960 --> 00:07:35,680 Speaker 1: floating things despite really bad injury luck with Chris Middleton 135 00:07:35,720 --> 00:07:37,880 Speaker 1: and Drew Holiday. The biggest issue with them is their 136 00:07:37,880 --> 00:07:39,920 Speaker 1: spot up shooting. There the nineteen best team in the 137 00:07:40,000 --> 00:07:42,480 Speaker 1: league at converting spot up opportunities at just one point 138 00:07:42,520 --> 00:07:45,760 Speaker 1: per possession. But we're starting to see some encouraging stuff. 139 00:07:45,960 --> 00:07:48,680 Speaker 1: As I expected, Joe Ingles has been a perfect fit. 140 00:07:48,760 --> 00:07:51,200 Speaker 1: They're not just attacking closeouts and doing stuff in spot 141 00:07:51,280 --> 00:07:54,400 Speaker 1: up situations, but also um his ability to make reads 142 00:07:54,440 --> 00:07:56,320 Speaker 1: on ball so they can run some actions with him 143 00:07:56,360 --> 00:08:00,280 Speaker 1: as a second side creator. Chris Middleton getting healthy and 144 00:08:00,280 --> 00:08:02,440 Speaker 1: getting a good stretch of basketball games where he gets 145 00:08:02,440 --> 00:08:05,240 Speaker 1: his rhythm will go a long way towards remedying those 146 00:08:05,240 --> 00:08:08,040 Speaker 1: spot up issues as well. And you know, just in general, 147 00:08:08,160 --> 00:08:11,520 Speaker 1: I think I can't shake the feeling that the NBA 148 00:08:11,640 --> 00:08:13,840 Speaker 1: world as a whole is kind of writing off your 149 00:08:13,880 --> 00:08:15,480 Speaker 1: honest right now. He is having kind of an ify 150 00:08:15,560 --> 00:08:18,360 Speaker 1: season from a shooting perspective and from a metric perspective. 151 00:08:19,440 --> 00:08:21,600 Speaker 1: The Bucks are flying under the radar right now. And 152 00:08:21,640 --> 00:08:25,440 Speaker 1: we've seen even without Joe ingles Is support, even without 153 00:08:25,520 --> 00:08:28,680 Speaker 1: Chris Middleton's support, we've seen how hard it is to 154 00:08:28,760 --> 00:08:32,319 Speaker 1: beat Janice in that group of guys in a playoff series, 155 00:08:32,720 --> 00:08:34,400 Speaker 1: even for a team is good at the as the 156 00:08:34,440 --> 00:08:38,520 Speaker 1: Boston Celtics, even with all those personnel limitations, because Janice 157 00:08:38,520 --> 00:08:41,240 Speaker 1: Antenna Combo in a seven game series is going to 158 00:08:41,320 --> 00:08:44,000 Speaker 1: put his damn head down and run you over. Time 159 00:08:44,000 --> 00:08:46,680 Speaker 1: and time again for every bit of those seven games 160 00:08:46,679 --> 00:08:47,920 Speaker 1: to try to get to the rim. And if you're 161 00:08:47,960 --> 00:08:50,800 Speaker 1: not prepared to hold up to that, you'll lose. And 162 00:08:50,840 --> 00:08:52,640 Speaker 1: even if you do hold up to that, it's gonna 163 00:08:52,679 --> 00:08:54,840 Speaker 1: be difficult. And if you throw in some real spot 164 00:08:54,880 --> 00:08:58,319 Speaker 1: up shooting with Chris Middleton and Joe Ingles, that fortification 165 00:08:58,360 --> 00:09:01,079 Speaker 1: there on the wing could make the really difficult to beat. 166 00:09:01,120 --> 00:09:03,520 Speaker 1: I still think they're a top tier contender. And then lastly, 167 00:09:03,559 --> 00:09:05,920 Speaker 1: the Golden State Warriors. I just think that I think 168 00:09:05,960 --> 00:09:09,839 Speaker 1: the Warriors are dealing with a really, really, really bad 169 00:09:09,920 --> 00:09:14,320 Speaker 1: case of championship malaise. Yes, they have some roster issues. 170 00:09:14,480 --> 00:09:16,600 Speaker 1: I think they could use a backup center. I think 171 00:09:16,600 --> 00:09:19,520 Speaker 1: they could use another wing off the bench, But I 172 00:09:19,520 --> 00:09:21,640 Speaker 1: think the vast majority of their issues come down to 173 00:09:21,800 --> 00:09:25,560 Speaker 1: inconsistent effort. They just put up a defensive rating of 174 00:09:25,600 --> 00:09:28,840 Speaker 1: one eighteen point three against the Orlando Magic or a 175 00:09:28,840 --> 00:09:31,840 Speaker 1: bottom ten offense, the Detroit Pistons who are a bottom 176 00:09:31,880 --> 00:09:34,800 Speaker 1: five offense, and the Phoenix Suns, who literally can't score 177 00:09:34,840 --> 00:09:37,560 Speaker 1: without Devin Booker on the floor. They're just not playing 178 00:09:37,600 --> 00:09:40,679 Speaker 1: hard enough right now. So I do think that eventually 179 00:09:40,720 --> 00:09:42,959 Speaker 1: they'll snap into gear. Now that steps back, I think 180 00:09:42,960 --> 00:09:45,480 Speaker 1: the veterans are gonna get on everybody's case and snap 181 00:09:45,520 --> 00:09:48,000 Speaker 1: into focus. I expect them to have a twenty game 182 00:09:48,080 --> 00:09:49,839 Speaker 1: stretch at some point over the course of the next 183 00:09:49,840 --> 00:09:52,120 Speaker 1: couple of months where they rip off, you know, seventeen 184 00:09:52,120 --> 00:09:54,679 Speaker 1: and three or sixteen and four, And when they do that, 185 00:09:54,840 --> 00:09:56,960 Speaker 1: all of their issues and the standings will go away 186 00:09:57,480 --> 00:10:01,080 Speaker 1: and they'll kind of recapture that identity. I also expect 187 00:10:01,120 --> 00:10:02,719 Speaker 1: them to finish with the top ten defense when it's 188 00:10:02,720 --> 00:10:03,920 Speaker 1: all said and done, because I think that will be 189 00:10:03,920 --> 00:10:07,000 Speaker 1: the driving force of their turnaround. And make no mistake 190 00:10:07,080 --> 00:10:08,720 Speaker 1: once again, like we were talking about with the honest, 191 00:10:09,080 --> 00:10:12,640 Speaker 1: if you want to beat the Warriors in a playoff series, 192 00:10:12,640 --> 00:10:14,400 Speaker 1: which is something you'll probably have to do, if you 193 00:10:14,400 --> 00:10:16,719 Speaker 1: want to get out of the Western Conference, you're going 194 00:10:16,800 --> 00:10:20,920 Speaker 1: to have to beat Steph Curry, Clay Thompson, Andrew Wiggins, 195 00:10:21,200 --> 00:10:25,720 Speaker 1: Draymond Green, and Kevon Looney four times out of seven games. Yes, 196 00:10:25,760 --> 00:10:29,200 Speaker 1: their bench has some issues. Yes they've had inconsistent defensive 197 00:10:29,200 --> 00:10:31,880 Speaker 1: effort in the regular season, but you know damn well, 198 00:10:31,920 --> 00:10:34,199 Speaker 1: because we just saw it against the Celtics last year, 199 00:10:34,320 --> 00:10:36,199 Speaker 1: and you just saw it against the Mavericks last year. 200 00:10:36,520 --> 00:10:39,640 Speaker 1: When they are in those settings, they just execute on 201 00:10:39,720 --> 00:10:41,520 Speaker 1: both ends of the floor at a higher level than 202 00:10:41,600 --> 00:10:43,480 Speaker 1: anyone else in the league right now, and they're not 203 00:10:43,520 --> 00:10:47,239 Speaker 1: gonna care about them sucking on the road during February 204 00:10:47,240 --> 00:10:48,880 Speaker 1: when they get to that point. They are the one 205 00:10:48,960 --> 00:10:52,280 Speaker 1: team in this entire field that has earned the benefit 206 00:10:52,320 --> 00:10:55,240 Speaker 1: of the doubt as it as it pertains to UH 207 00:10:55,600 --> 00:10:58,640 Speaker 1: trying to figure out what their ultimate ceiling is. We 208 00:10:58,720 --> 00:11:01,120 Speaker 1: know what it looks like, we know what these players 209 00:11:01,120 --> 00:11:03,199 Speaker 1: are capable of. They just have the worst case of 210 00:11:03,280 --> 00:11:05,599 Speaker 1: championship malays that I can remember seeing, which makes some 211 00:11:05,679 --> 00:11:08,600 Speaker 1: sense that this is a late term championship. This was 212 00:11:08,600 --> 00:11:11,840 Speaker 1: a championship at the end of most of these guys' careers, 213 00:11:11,840 --> 00:11:13,319 Speaker 1: so it's a little bit harder for them to get 214 00:11:13,320 --> 00:11:15,960 Speaker 1: the engine started. I do eventually think they'll get the 215 00:11:16,000 --> 00:11:19,120 Speaker 1: engine started. As of right now, to be clear, I 216 00:11:19,160 --> 00:11:22,240 Speaker 1: still have the Golden State Warriors winning the championship, all right. 217 00:11:22,280 --> 00:11:24,120 Speaker 1: Moving on to the next tier, This is the fatal 218 00:11:24,200 --> 00:11:27,400 Speaker 1: flaw contenders. These are teams that legitimately have good reason 219 00:11:27,440 --> 00:11:29,280 Speaker 1: to believe that they can win a championship, and they 220 00:11:29,320 --> 00:11:33,520 Speaker 1: should feel confident in their locker room. But I expect 221 00:11:33,640 --> 00:11:37,960 Speaker 1: these teams to get beat because of significant flaws that 222 00:11:38,040 --> 00:11:41,760 Speaker 1: are historically proven throughout NBA history to get team speed 223 00:11:41,760 --> 00:11:44,960 Speaker 1: in the playoffs. Starting with Denver, they have the best 224 00:11:45,000 --> 00:11:47,520 Speaker 1: offense in the league, or more accurately, they're tied for 225 00:11:47,559 --> 00:11:49,760 Speaker 1: the best offense in the league at one seventeen point 226 00:11:49,800 --> 00:11:51,800 Speaker 1: one points per one hundred possessions, which is just what 227 00:11:51,880 --> 00:11:54,040 Speaker 1: I expected before the season. I told you guys, I 228 00:11:54,040 --> 00:11:56,240 Speaker 1: expected Denver to be the number one offense, but I 229 00:11:56,240 --> 00:11:59,920 Speaker 1: said that didn't matter if they didn't get enough stops. Defensive, 230 00:12:00,120 --> 00:12:06,080 Speaker 1: there is a historic precedent in the NBA in this millennium, 231 00:12:06,200 --> 00:12:08,320 Speaker 1: you do not win a championship unless you have a 232 00:12:08,360 --> 00:12:12,920 Speaker 1: top ten defense. The only two exceptions are the Shack 233 00:12:13,080 --> 00:12:16,800 Speaker 1: Kobe Lakers and the k D Staph Warriors in two 234 00:12:16,840 --> 00:12:19,640 Speaker 1: thousand eighteen, who, by the way, were the eleventh best 235 00:12:19,679 --> 00:12:22,320 Speaker 1: defense in the league. So we have two examples where 236 00:12:22,360 --> 00:12:25,560 Speaker 1: that wasn't true. One they were eleventh and they had 237 00:12:25,600 --> 00:12:27,600 Speaker 1: two of the top three players in the world, and 238 00:12:27,640 --> 00:12:29,839 Speaker 1: the other one they had the two best players in 239 00:12:29,880 --> 00:12:33,800 Speaker 1: the world and Kevin in a Kobe and Shack. That's 240 00:12:33,840 --> 00:12:37,720 Speaker 1: not a luxury that the Nuggets have. Functionally, when you 241 00:12:37,720 --> 00:12:40,800 Speaker 1: get to the playoffs, teams target your weaknesses. That's just 242 00:12:40,880 --> 00:12:44,280 Speaker 1: a fact. Strategically, over seven games, when you have that 243 00:12:44,360 --> 00:12:47,120 Speaker 1: much time to scout and you're running, you know, over 244 00:12:47,120 --> 00:12:51,520 Speaker 1: the course of a series five offensive possessions, you're targeting 245 00:12:51,800 --> 00:12:55,280 Speaker 1: the defensive weaknesses every single time that you can. Now 246 00:12:55,320 --> 00:12:57,920 Speaker 1: Denver has loaded up on some solid defenders. Really like 247 00:12:57,960 --> 00:13:01,200 Speaker 1: the Bruce Brown acquisition. I thought flipping Will Barton for 248 00:13:01,280 --> 00:13:03,920 Speaker 1: k CP was really smart. Said that before the season. 249 00:13:03,960 --> 00:13:05,760 Speaker 1: I think he's a perfect fit with Yokich and he 250 00:13:05,800 --> 00:13:09,040 Speaker 1: has been erin Gordon's having a great defensive season. But 251 00:13:09,960 --> 00:13:15,840 Speaker 1: they're best lineups. Denver's best lineups feature three players that 252 00:13:15,880 --> 00:13:18,960 Speaker 1: will relentlessly be attacked in a playoff series. Nicola Yokich 253 00:13:19,600 --> 00:13:23,160 Speaker 1: through spamming pick and roll with players that force him 254 00:13:23,160 --> 00:13:24,400 Speaker 1: to come up to the level of the screen and 255 00:13:24,440 --> 00:13:27,640 Speaker 1: try to drive about around him or just attacking him 256 00:13:27,640 --> 00:13:30,760 Speaker 1: and switches when they have out opportunities, Jamal Murray attacking 257 00:13:30,760 --> 00:13:33,960 Speaker 1: and switches, and Michael Porter Jr. They will get attacked 258 00:13:34,559 --> 00:13:38,000 Speaker 1: and NBA history tells us they will lose as a result. 259 00:13:38,000 --> 00:13:41,000 Speaker 1: They've been a bottom ten defense this year when they 260 00:13:41,000 --> 00:13:43,440 Speaker 1: play against the top ten offenses in the league. They 261 00:13:43,440 --> 00:13:47,200 Speaker 1: are twentieth in defensive rating according to Cleaning the Glass. 262 00:13:47,240 --> 00:13:51,560 Speaker 1: I expect them in a playoff series to be put 263 00:13:51,600 --> 00:13:54,560 Speaker 1: in a predicament where they're best players are attacked, and 264 00:13:54,600 --> 00:13:56,640 Speaker 1: I think it will result in their in them losing 265 00:13:57,440 --> 00:14:01,600 Speaker 1: like Shack and Kobe, like Katie and Steath. You only 266 00:14:01,600 --> 00:14:04,480 Speaker 1: win a championship with a bad defense if you have 267 00:14:05,160 --> 00:14:10,320 Speaker 1: an otherworldly talent advantage, and the Nuggets do not, and 268 00:14:10,360 --> 00:14:14,559 Speaker 1: so that's the biggest thing standing in their way. Memphis Grizzlies, 269 00:14:14,760 --> 00:14:16,600 Speaker 1: they cannot score in the half court. They are a 270 00:14:16,600 --> 00:14:18,280 Speaker 1: great team. They're tied for the second best record in 271 00:14:18,280 --> 00:14:21,080 Speaker 1: the league. They're probably the most physically imposing team in 272 00:14:21,080 --> 00:14:22,920 Speaker 1: the league. They're damn good on the glass. They have 273 00:14:22,920 --> 00:14:26,160 Speaker 1: the number one defense in the league, but they lack 274 00:14:26,560 --> 00:14:29,120 Speaker 1: total offensive skill and ball handling and shooting in most 275 00:14:29,120 --> 00:14:30,840 Speaker 1: of their lineups. John Mary is the only guy who 276 00:14:30,920 --> 00:14:34,680 Speaker 1: can consistently create shots for himself and his teammates at 277 00:14:34,720 --> 00:14:37,000 Speaker 1: an extremely high level. So as a result, they have 278 00:14:37,080 --> 00:14:40,240 Speaker 1: the seventh worst half court offense in the entire league. 279 00:14:40,320 --> 00:14:42,520 Speaker 1: When they get into the playoffs, teams will find a 280 00:14:42,520 --> 00:14:44,600 Speaker 1: way to trap them in the half court, and when 281 00:14:44,600 --> 00:14:47,200 Speaker 1: that happens, I expect them to struggle to score, which 282 00:14:47,240 --> 00:14:50,520 Speaker 1: I think will get them beat. Uh. The only real 283 00:14:50,600 --> 00:14:52,760 Speaker 1: chance they have is if Desmond Bane comes back and 284 00:14:52,760 --> 00:14:54,880 Speaker 1: some of that off the drible stuff he flashed. Now 285 00:14:54,920 --> 00:14:58,400 Speaker 1: he is back, but gets back to what he was 286 00:14:58,440 --> 00:15:00,280 Speaker 1: earlier in the season, which is a really high level 287 00:15:00,400 --> 00:15:03,240 Speaker 1: dribble creator. And if that translates to the playoffs, it 288 00:15:03,320 --> 00:15:06,280 Speaker 1: might improve them um in those half court situations. But 289 00:15:06,400 --> 00:15:08,080 Speaker 1: right now to this point in the season, through half 290 00:15:08,120 --> 00:15:10,800 Speaker 1: the season, they've been a really bad half court offense. 291 00:15:11,040 --> 00:15:12,360 Speaker 1: That's going to be an issue when they get to 292 00:15:12,360 --> 00:15:16,000 Speaker 1: the late rounds of the playoffs. Next to Cleveland Cavaliers. Again, 293 00:15:16,160 --> 00:15:18,640 Speaker 1: lots of reasons to be excited. Second best defense in 294 00:15:18,680 --> 00:15:21,920 Speaker 1: the league, seventh best record in the league. The Donovan 295 00:15:21,960 --> 00:15:25,880 Speaker 1: Mitchell trade was an absolute home run, but their best 296 00:15:25,960 --> 00:15:30,560 Speaker 1: lineup features two small guards and Darius Garland and Donovan Mitchell, 297 00:15:30,600 --> 00:15:33,840 Speaker 1: both of which are bad defensive players. Despite the fact 298 00:15:33,880 --> 00:15:35,920 Speaker 1: that the Calves as a team have a great defense, again, 299 00:15:35,960 --> 00:15:38,280 Speaker 1: when we get into the postseason, we see these things 300 00:15:38,280 --> 00:15:40,360 Speaker 1: get attacked. The best example I can give you, guys 301 00:15:40,400 --> 00:15:43,520 Speaker 1: is the Utah Jazz the Utah Jazz. Functionally, in the 302 00:15:43,600 --> 00:15:47,200 Speaker 1: regular season a couple of years ago, UM had an 303 00:15:47,400 --> 00:15:50,200 Speaker 1: excellent defense. I think there were third in defensive rating 304 00:15:50,480 --> 00:15:54,280 Speaker 1: two years ago. But then what happened It might have 305 00:15:54,280 --> 00:15:55,760 Speaker 1: been last year. Was either last year the year four, 306 00:15:55,760 --> 00:15:59,040 Speaker 1: I can't remember exactly, but they had the third best 307 00:15:59,200 --> 00:16:00,960 Speaker 1: defense in the regular season. I think it was last 308 00:16:01,000 --> 00:16:04,000 Speaker 1: year against the MAVs UM. But when they get into 309 00:16:04,000 --> 00:16:06,440 Speaker 1: the postseason, it turns out that all those small guards 310 00:16:06,480 --> 00:16:08,680 Speaker 1: that they have can get attacked. And so what ended 311 00:16:08,720 --> 00:16:12,440 Speaker 1: up happening. They got attacked all of a sudden. Rudy 312 00:16:12,480 --> 00:16:16,040 Speaker 1: Gobert isn't just hanging out by the paint blocking shots. Instead, 313 00:16:16,120 --> 00:16:19,360 Speaker 1: he's covering ground in rotation and being dragged away from 314 00:16:19,360 --> 00:16:22,120 Speaker 1: the rim, and teams are either getting high quality three 315 00:16:22,160 --> 00:16:25,080 Speaker 1: point shots or rim attempts. When Rudy gets pulled away 316 00:16:25,080 --> 00:16:27,480 Speaker 1: from the rim. Next thing, you know, their defense falls apart. 317 00:16:27,640 --> 00:16:30,280 Speaker 1: I want to say that the Jazz had like a 318 00:16:30,360 --> 00:16:35,120 Speaker 1: one thirty defensive rating um UH in that playoff run 319 00:16:35,200 --> 00:16:37,160 Speaker 1: after being the third best defense in the league to 320 00:16:37,160 --> 00:16:39,920 Speaker 1: start the year. There's a difference between you know, what 321 00:16:39,960 --> 00:16:43,000 Speaker 1: you can functionally like kind of like do what kind 322 00:16:43,000 --> 00:16:44,680 Speaker 1: of defense you can put out as a fac simile 323 00:16:44,800 --> 00:16:47,960 Speaker 1: of defense in the regular season versus what actually works 324 00:16:48,000 --> 00:16:50,760 Speaker 1: in the playoffs. It's kind of the difference between defensive 325 00:16:50,840 --> 00:16:54,360 Speaker 1: versatility and you know, a defensive base concept, you know 326 00:16:54,400 --> 00:16:56,120 Speaker 1: what I mean. Like in the playoffs, you need to 327 00:16:56,120 --> 00:16:57,880 Speaker 1: have defensive versatility, you need to be able to go 328 00:16:57,920 --> 00:17:01,480 Speaker 1: to different defensive coverages. And you know, when you have 329 00:17:01,520 --> 00:17:03,960 Speaker 1: two small guards like Darius Garland and Donovan Mitchell, when 330 00:17:03,960 --> 00:17:05,640 Speaker 1: you get into the postseason, I don't care how good 331 00:17:05,640 --> 00:17:08,240 Speaker 1: defensively they were in the regular season. Teams will find 332 00:17:08,280 --> 00:17:10,240 Speaker 1: a way to attack those guys. And the big guy 333 00:17:10,280 --> 00:17:12,479 Speaker 1: that I've seen them get attacked, they seem get attacked 334 00:17:12,960 --> 00:17:15,920 Speaker 1: most frequently in these late game situations. In particular has 335 00:17:15,920 --> 00:17:19,560 Speaker 1: been Darius Garland because he's so incredibly small, and you 336 00:17:19,560 --> 00:17:21,840 Speaker 1: know what you're seeing it is in those clutch situations. 337 00:17:21,920 --> 00:17:25,720 Speaker 1: Calves are second in defense, but they're seventeen in defense 338 00:17:25,800 --> 00:17:30,560 Speaker 1: and clutch situations, and it's because clutch situations mimic playoff basketball. 339 00:17:30,720 --> 00:17:33,120 Speaker 1: It's a lot more matchup attacking, and that's where those 340 00:17:33,119 --> 00:17:36,359 Speaker 1: small guards end up presenting problems. As I've been preaching 341 00:17:36,400 --> 00:17:39,879 Speaker 1: all year, I expect that Eventually, the Calves will have 342 00:17:39,920 --> 00:17:42,600 Speaker 1: to consider flipping Darius Garland for a wing so that 343 00:17:42,600 --> 00:17:46,360 Speaker 1: they can get away from that specific fatal flaw. Next 344 00:17:46,480 --> 00:17:48,800 Speaker 1: is the Philadelphia seventy six Ers, their fourth in defense, 345 00:17:48,920 --> 00:17:50,639 Speaker 1: sixth best record in the league. I think they have 346 00:17:50,640 --> 00:17:53,080 Speaker 1: the most talented top four in the league, between James 347 00:17:53,080 --> 00:17:55,479 Speaker 1: hard and Joel and beat Tyres, Maxie and Tobias Harris 348 00:17:55,920 --> 00:17:58,800 Speaker 1: and Joel Embied and James Harden both look fantastic this year, 349 00:17:59,080 --> 00:18:02,000 Speaker 1: but Olan Bead and James Harden have a history of 350 00:18:02,080 --> 00:18:05,159 Speaker 1: not playing well in the NBA playoffs. Joel Embiid his 351 00:18:05,240 --> 00:18:09,040 Speaker 1: perimeter jump shot consistently falls apart in the playoffs, and 352 00:18:09,080 --> 00:18:11,320 Speaker 1: as we've seen, that has become a huge part of 353 00:18:11,359 --> 00:18:14,439 Speaker 1: his game. So if that happens again, that's gonna be problematic. 354 00:18:14,600 --> 00:18:16,080 Speaker 1: And then James Harden, we don't have to get into 355 00:18:16,119 --> 00:18:19,320 Speaker 1: his playoff resume, but just consistently like probably the most 356 00:18:19,400 --> 00:18:24,240 Speaker 1: consistent example of playoff decline in NBA history from a 357 00:18:24,280 --> 00:18:28,119 Speaker 1: superstar player. So again, if they do play at that 358 00:18:28,160 --> 00:18:30,520 Speaker 1: same level, if m B does continue to knock down 359 00:18:30,560 --> 00:18:32,920 Speaker 1: his perimeter shot in the playoffs, if James Harden does 360 00:18:32,960 --> 00:18:35,080 Speaker 1: continue to play at this level in the playoffs. I 361 00:18:35,080 --> 00:18:37,760 Speaker 1: think the Sixers have a damn good chance to win, 362 00:18:38,080 --> 00:18:41,880 Speaker 1: But the best indicator of future performances, past performance, and 363 00:18:41,960 --> 00:18:43,879 Speaker 1: what we've seen in the past is that those two 364 00:18:43,920 --> 00:18:46,800 Speaker 1: guys experience is significant decline when they get into the playoffs. 365 00:18:47,560 --> 00:18:49,040 Speaker 1: Then the last two teams I have in this team 366 00:18:49,280 --> 00:18:52,160 Speaker 1: tier are the l A Clippers and New Orleans Pelicans. Again, 367 00:18:52,200 --> 00:18:54,600 Speaker 1: two teams that I absolutely have think have chances to 368 00:18:54,600 --> 00:18:58,000 Speaker 1: win the championship, but health is their biggest concern. Kauai, 369 00:18:58,119 --> 00:19:00,840 Speaker 1: Paul George, Zion Williamson brandon Ing just can't stay on 370 00:19:00,880 --> 00:19:03,280 Speaker 1: the floor and stay healthy. Makes it really difficult to 371 00:19:03,359 --> 00:19:05,760 Speaker 1: evaluate them, makes it really difficult for that team to 372 00:19:05,760 --> 00:19:08,280 Speaker 1: build any continuity. They're gonna have to play a certain 373 00:19:08,280 --> 00:19:09,680 Speaker 1: way when they get in the postseason that they're not 374 00:19:09,680 --> 00:19:12,320 Speaker 1: gonna have enough reps from the regular season to lean on. 375 00:19:13,000 --> 00:19:17,040 Speaker 1: That to me, um takes them off of real championship 376 00:19:17,040 --> 00:19:20,840 Speaker 1: contention and puts it puts them more on the fringes Alright. 377 00:19:20,880 --> 00:19:23,000 Speaker 1: The next tier is the if they make the right 378 00:19:23,040 --> 00:19:27,080 Speaker 1: trade contenders. Again, these are teams that have incredible star 379 00:19:27,240 --> 00:19:33,560 Speaker 1: talent but monster roster deficiencies that need to be addressed 380 00:19:33,600 --> 00:19:35,440 Speaker 1: at the deadline to give them any chance to compete 381 00:19:35,480 --> 00:19:37,080 Speaker 1: for a championship. The first team I have in this 382 00:19:37,119 --> 00:19:41,840 Speaker 1: tier is the Dallas Mavericks. They have everything you need 383 00:19:41,960 --> 00:19:44,960 Speaker 1: except for that third drible creator. I think Luca is 384 00:19:45,000 --> 00:19:46,520 Speaker 1: more than good enough to be the best player on 385 00:19:46,520 --> 00:19:49,400 Speaker 1: a championship team. Their defense has been bad as of late, 386 00:19:49,400 --> 00:19:52,960 Speaker 1: but you gotta look at the personnel at Mexicaliba being hurt. 387 00:19:53,440 --> 00:19:56,119 Speaker 1: That's one of their best back line defenders. You know, 388 00:19:56,560 --> 00:19:59,240 Speaker 1: Josh Green has been a very important defensive player this year. 389 00:19:59,600 --> 00:20:03,080 Speaker 1: Dorian Phinney Smith is literally their best defensive wing. When 390 00:20:03,119 --> 00:20:06,720 Speaker 1: those guys come back, I expect their defense to stabilize, um, 391 00:20:06,760 --> 00:20:09,520 Speaker 1: but they need to address that backup creation role. I'd 392 00:20:09,560 --> 00:20:12,159 Speaker 1: be looking to flip Christian Would at the deadline for 393 00:20:12,160 --> 00:20:14,520 Speaker 1: a creator because I don't really like Christian Wood's game, 394 00:20:14,560 --> 00:20:15,760 Speaker 1: and I don't think he's a guy that you can 395 00:20:15,800 --> 00:20:18,560 Speaker 1: really rely on in a playoff setting. UM, you can 396 00:20:18,560 --> 00:20:21,840 Speaker 1: go super aggressive and pair him with like Tim Hardaway Jr. 397 00:20:21,920 --> 00:20:23,960 Speaker 1: And some draft picks and try to go after Zach Levin. 398 00:20:24,400 --> 00:20:26,600 Speaker 1: That'd be an interesting piece, but you better be convinced 399 00:20:26,640 --> 00:20:29,360 Speaker 1: that he can be your secondary star. Otherwise you're tied 400 00:20:29,440 --> 00:20:32,000 Speaker 1: up to him for a long time. UM Or you 401 00:20:32,000 --> 00:20:34,960 Speaker 1: could just flip Christian Wood straight up for you know, 402 00:20:35,080 --> 00:20:38,040 Speaker 1: someone like Jordan Clarkson from the Utah Jazz to try 403 00:20:38,040 --> 00:20:41,720 Speaker 1: to give yourself some backup um ball hand like you 404 00:20:41,720 --> 00:20:43,920 Speaker 1: could either go with a heavily protected first round pick 405 00:20:43,960 --> 00:20:45,440 Speaker 1: if you think that's what he's worth, or try to 406 00:20:45,480 --> 00:20:48,080 Speaker 1: go for something like two second round picks. Another guy 407 00:20:48,119 --> 00:20:49,879 Speaker 1: would be looking at his Terry Rosier from the New 408 00:20:49,960 --> 00:20:52,440 Speaker 1: Orleans or from the Charlotte Hornets. If you can get 409 00:20:52,520 --> 00:20:56,439 Speaker 1: him in there in that third creation role alongside Luca 410 00:20:56,440 --> 00:20:58,200 Speaker 1: and Spencer Dinwoody, I think you have a better chance 411 00:20:58,280 --> 00:21:00,880 Speaker 1: no matter what. Just somebody that can help them run 412 00:21:00,880 --> 00:21:03,760 Speaker 1: coherent offense when Luca is off the floor and lower 413 00:21:03,840 --> 00:21:07,960 Speaker 1: Lucas usage. Right now, this season, the Dallas Maverick score 414 00:21:08,280 --> 00:21:10,159 Speaker 1: d and twenty one points per one h possessions when 415 00:21:10,200 --> 00:21:12,439 Speaker 1: Luca is on the floor and just one oh six 416 00:21:12,680 --> 00:21:14,920 Speaker 1: when he's off the floor. It's a significant drop off 417 00:21:14,960 --> 00:21:18,120 Speaker 1: offensively when he's off. They can address that. That's their 418 00:21:18,160 --> 00:21:21,840 Speaker 1: big need at the deadline. Next the Los Angeles Lakers. 419 00:21:22,680 --> 00:21:27,800 Speaker 1: They have everything they need except for competency with wing size, 420 00:21:28,240 --> 00:21:30,080 Speaker 1: They've got all the star power in the world. Lebron 421 00:21:30,119 --> 00:21:32,639 Speaker 1: and Anthony Davis I think are definitively top ten players 422 00:21:32,680 --> 00:21:35,120 Speaker 1: in the league. Uh. The Ringer just released their NBA 423 00:21:35,200 --> 00:21:37,119 Speaker 1: rankings the other day and they have Lebron and A 424 00:21:37,240 --> 00:21:39,119 Speaker 1: d both as top ten players in the league. I 425 00:21:39,160 --> 00:21:41,000 Speaker 1: sent out a poll the other day just seeing what 426 00:21:41,080 --> 00:21:44,520 Speaker 1: the um pulse was of the fan the all of 427 00:21:44,560 --> 00:21:49,040 Speaker 1: the basketball fans that follow me and over of the 428 00:21:49,040 --> 00:21:51,399 Speaker 1: people who voted in the poll said that they believe 429 00:21:51,480 --> 00:21:54,080 Speaker 1: Lebron and A d were both top ten players. So 430 00:21:54,200 --> 00:21:56,400 Speaker 1: there you go. You're checked in the star department. Their 431 00:21:56,440 --> 00:21:59,199 Speaker 1: guard corps actually really solid. Dennis Reuter has been one 432 00:21:59,200 --> 00:22:01,080 Speaker 1: of the best veteran him them signings in the league 433 00:22:01,080 --> 00:22:05,000 Speaker 1: this year. Austin Reeves is an excellent backcourt piece. Lonnie 434 00:22:05,000 --> 00:22:07,160 Speaker 1: Walker has had a very good season for the Lakers. 435 00:22:07,240 --> 00:22:09,320 Speaker 1: Kendrick Nunn is even starting to play better after a 436 00:22:09,520 --> 00:22:12,080 Speaker 1: nightmares start to the season, and then Russell Westbrook. I mean, 437 00:22:12,080 --> 00:22:17,399 Speaker 1: it's a complicated and polarizing topic, but as a bench guard, 438 00:22:17,480 --> 00:22:19,480 Speaker 1: he's not the worst option in the world. I think. 439 00:22:19,680 --> 00:22:21,800 Speaker 1: I think as long as the Lakers don't ever play 440 00:22:21,880 --> 00:22:25,639 Speaker 1: him in a closing lineup, it's fine to keep him around. Um, 441 00:22:26,000 --> 00:22:27,359 Speaker 1: you guys know how I feel about USS. I'm not 442 00:22:27,359 --> 00:22:28,960 Speaker 1: gonna get into it any further. And then when you 443 00:22:28,960 --> 00:22:31,359 Speaker 1: look at the front court, they're actually really solid between 444 00:22:31,440 --> 00:22:35,159 Speaker 1: Lebron James, Anthony Davis, Thomas Bryant has shown that he 445 00:22:35,160 --> 00:22:37,000 Speaker 1: could be an excellent backup center for that group. And 446 00:22:37,040 --> 00:22:39,359 Speaker 1: then when you Gabriel flies around and just does stuff 447 00:22:39,520 --> 00:22:42,640 Speaker 1: with his length in athleticism. But at the forward position 448 00:22:42,680 --> 00:22:45,680 Speaker 1: on the wing, they're incredibly thin. The only two forwards 449 00:22:45,680 --> 00:22:48,280 Speaker 1: they really have or Troy Brown Jr. Who's really undersized 450 00:22:48,280 --> 00:22:51,000 Speaker 1: and does better guarding guards than he does guarding wings, 451 00:22:51,119 --> 00:22:53,960 Speaker 1: and want Toscano Anderson, who can guard upon opposing wings, 452 00:22:54,000 --> 00:22:56,240 Speaker 1: but he really can't shoot, so he hurts you on 453 00:22:56,280 --> 00:22:58,800 Speaker 1: the offensive end of the floor. So they desperately need 454 00:22:58,920 --> 00:23:02,200 Speaker 1: somebody in that seven to six nine range, preferably two 455 00:23:02,200 --> 00:23:05,159 Speaker 1: guys that can shoot the ball competently on the offensive 456 00:23:05,240 --> 00:23:07,280 Speaker 1: end of the floor and that can play defense on 457 00:23:07,320 --> 00:23:10,639 Speaker 1: the perimeter, particularly against bigger wings. If I was running 458 00:23:10,640 --> 00:23:12,359 Speaker 1: at the if I was running the Lakers, I'd go 459 00:23:12,400 --> 00:23:16,280 Speaker 1: after both Kyle Kuzman Boy and Begdanovitch. Both are reportedly 460 00:23:16,359 --> 00:23:18,959 Speaker 1: valued for right around the first round pick. The Lakers 461 00:23:19,000 --> 00:23:21,680 Speaker 1: have two first round picks that are both extremely highly 462 00:23:21,760 --> 00:23:24,080 Speaker 1: valued around the league because of the incompetence of Genie 463 00:23:24,080 --> 00:23:27,159 Speaker 1: Buss and Rob Polinka. Now, matching salaries would be a 464 00:23:27,200 --> 00:23:30,040 Speaker 1: little bit challenging. Kyle Kuzma makes thirteen millions. You could 465 00:23:30,040 --> 00:23:33,639 Speaker 1: go straight across with a guy like Patrick Beverley for 466 00:23:33,720 --> 00:23:35,880 Speaker 1: Kyle Kuzma, But if you wanted to get Boy and Begdanovitch, 467 00:23:35,880 --> 00:23:37,320 Speaker 1: you might have to get a little bit more creative. 468 00:23:37,320 --> 00:23:38,720 Speaker 1: You might have to loop in a third team to 469 00:23:38,720 --> 00:23:42,080 Speaker 1: get some cap space to help absorb salary. But I 470 00:23:42,119 --> 00:23:44,080 Speaker 1: think that they should go after both because if you 471 00:23:44,119 --> 00:23:47,880 Speaker 1: put that backcourt with that front court with Lebron James 472 00:23:47,880 --> 00:23:50,840 Speaker 1: and Anthony Davis and Kyle Kuzman, Boy and Begdanovitch on 473 00:23:50,880 --> 00:23:53,879 Speaker 1: the wing, that to me is a contender that is 474 00:23:53,960 --> 00:23:56,200 Speaker 1: just below that top tier. And if Lebron James and 475 00:23:56,200 --> 00:23:58,679 Speaker 1: Anthony Davis play to the level they're capable of, then 476 00:23:58,680 --> 00:24:01,560 Speaker 1: they're absolutely top tier can tenders. And I have to 477 00:24:01,600 --> 00:24:04,080 Speaker 1: keep reminding everybody because people don't understand, but the Lakers 478 00:24:04,080 --> 00:24:07,280 Speaker 1: have been damn good at pretty much ever since they 479 00:24:07,320 --> 00:24:10,040 Speaker 1: beat the Brooklyn Nets back on November or whatever it is. 480 00:24:10,080 --> 00:24:11,760 Speaker 1: They've been one of the top ten teams in the league. 481 00:24:12,080 --> 00:24:15,159 Speaker 1: So whatever your impression is of the Lakers, it's probably 482 00:24:15,200 --> 00:24:18,000 Speaker 1: been poisoned by a two intense start to the season 483 00:24:18,000 --> 00:24:21,560 Speaker 1: when Dennis Shrewder wasn't available, Thomas Bryant wasn't available, Lebron 484 00:24:21,680 --> 00:24:24,040 Speaker 1: is playing like crap, and Anthony Davis wasn't making any 485 00:24:24,080 --> 00:24:26,280 Speaker 1: jump shots. So it's a different team now than what 486 00:24:26,320 --> 00:24:28,159 Speaker 1: they were to begin the season, and we gotta adjust 487 00:24:28,680 --> 00:24:31,280 Speaker 1: our expectations there. But even if they couldn't get both 488 00:24:31,320 --> 00:24:34,399 Speaker 1: of those guys just one, if they could just flip 489 00:24:34,400 --> 00:24:38,160 Speaker 1: Patrick Beverley in a lightly protected first for Kyle Kuzma, 490 00:24:38,440 --> 00:24:43,280 Speaker 1: that would monumentally improve their opportunity to win this season. 491 00:24:44,320 --> 00:24:45,919 Speaker 1: They have the eighth best record in the league over 492 00:24:45,960 --> 00:24:49,119 Speaker 1: the last thirty games, despite Lebron and Anthony Davis missing 493 00:24:49,119 --> 00:24:51,680 Speaker 1: significant stretches. There, if you get both of those guys 494 00:24:51,680 --> 00:24:53,760 Speaker 1: back on the floor and you fortify that wing position, 495 00:24:53,840 --> 00:24:56,920 Speaker 1: you have a championship contender. End of story. Um next 496 00:24:56,960 --> 00:24:58,840 Speaker 1: Miami Heat. They have ton to get excited about. Their 497 00:24:58,840 --> 00:25:00,959 Speaker 1: ten and five over the last few team games, just 498 00:25:01,000 --> 00:25:02,640 Speaker 1: one and a half games back of the sixth seed 499 00:25:02,640 --> 00:25:04,760 Speaker 1: to get out of the plane. Bama to Bio has 500 00:25:04,760 --> 00:25:07,680 Speaker 1: gone up a level, particularly as a score, but they're 501 00:25:07,720 --> 00:25:11,160 Speaker 1: still way too thin on the front line. They definitely 502 00:25:11,200 --> 00:25:14,280 Speaker 1: need to look to try to get a big, strong forward, 503 00:25:14,359 --> 00:25:16,240 Speaker 1: kind of a different archetype. The Lakers are more in 504 00:25:16,240 --> 00:25:19,400 Speaker 1: the market for a skilled forward. I'm for the heat. 505 00:25:19,440 --> 00:25:22,480 Speaker 1: I'm more concerned with a physical forward, So I'd be 506 00:25:22,560 --> 00:25:24,359 Speaker 1: looking at guys like O g N and Obi on 507 00:25:24,400 --> 00:25:27,159 Speaker 1: the aggressive end, and guys like Jake Crowder on the 508 00:25:27,200 --> 00:25:29,720 Speaker 1: less aggressive end, but a big, strong forward that can 509 00:25:29,760 --> 00:25:34,199 Speaker 1: help fortify their interior presence. Okay, so we're moving on 510 00:25:34,240 --> 00:25:36,080 Speaker 1: to the next year. From this point forward through the 511 00:25:36,080 --> 00:25:38,760 Speaker 1: rest of the show, it's gonna be much more rapid fire. Obviously, 512 00:25:38,760 --> 00:25:40,640 Speaker 1: these are lower level teams, so I'm not gonna spend 513 00:25:40,640 --> 00:25:43,040 Speaker 1: as much time talking about them. This is the lack 514 00:25:43,119 --> 00:25:45,679 Speaker 1: of self awareness here. Every single one of these teams 515 00:25:45,760 --> 00:25:49,480 Speaker 1: is trapped in mediocrity and unwilling to admit it. They 516 00:25:49,520 --> 00:25:52,760 Speaker 1: probably have some sort of, you know, misperception that they 517 00:25:52,800 --> 00:25:55,040 Speaker 1: have an opportunity to win this year when they actually 518 00:25:55,080 --> 00:25:59,080 Speaker 1: don't and they have severe, you know, severe severe flaws 519 00:25:59,119 --> 00:26:00,840 Speaker 1: that would need to be dry before they could ever 520 00:26:00,880 --> 00:26:04,359 Speaker 1: even hope to contend. First the Chicago Bulls. Their stars 521 00:26:04,400 --> 00:26:06,960 Speaker 1: do not compete physically, especially on the defensive end of 522 00:26:07,000 --> 00:26:10,160 Speaker 1: the floor. Secondly, the Atlanta Hawks. They have major locker 523 00:26:10,240 --> 00:26:13,000 Speaker 1: room issues. Their energy seems off half the time I 524 00:26:13,040 --> 00:26:16,760 Speaker 1: watched them. Feels like any moment now Nate McMillan could resign. 525 00:26:17,240 --> 00:26:20,359 Speaker 1: There's just a major chemistry issue in that locker room. 526 00:26:20,480 --> 00:26:23,480 Speaker 1: Next to Portland Trailblazers, they have the sixth worst record 527 00:26:23,520 --> 00:26:26,479 Speaker 1: in the league over the last twenty six games. Dropped 528 00:26:26,520 --> 00:26:29,679 Speaker 1: another game at home last night to the Orlando Magic. 529 00:26:30,800 --> 00:26:33,680 Speaker 1: Next the Minnesota Timberwolves. Their best players can't play together. 530 00:26:34,119 --> 00:26:37,600 Speaker 1: Anthony Edwards lineups are way better when D'Angelo russell is 531 00:26:37,640 --> 00:26:41,080 Speaker 1: off the floor. All of their one center lineups are positive. 532 00:26:41,119 --> 00:26:44,120 Speaker 1: So if it's just nas read positive, just Carl Town's positive, 533 00:26:44,359 --> 00:26:47,440 Speaker 1: just Rudy Gobert positive, but any combination of the two 534 00:26:47,480 --> 00:26:49,800 Speaker 1: of them is negative, which goes right back to one 535 00:26:49,800 --> 00:26:51,880 Speaker 1: of the fundamental team building things that I always talked 536 00:26:51,880 --> 00:26:54,199 Speaker 1: about on this show. Don't build your team around two 537 00:26:54,240 --> 00:26:56,320 Speaker 1: centers on the floor at the same time. You need 538 00:26:56,359 --> 00:26:58,919 Speaker 1: to be able to um compete in the up and 539 00:26:58,960 --> 00:27:01,520 Speaker 1: down nature of the modern b A. I think Anthony 540 00:27:01,600 --> 00:27:03,920 Speaker 1: Edwards and Rudy Gobert make an interesting core, but I 541 00:27:03,960 --> 00:27:06,680 Speaker 1: think they need to reconfigure the rest, probably resulting in 542 00:27:06,720 --> 00:27:10,399 Speaker 1: then moving Carl Town's Indiangelo russell Um. Next is the 543 00:27:10,400 --> 00:27:13,119 Speaker 1: Phoenix Suns. They lost two years in a row in 544 00:27:13,680 --> 00:27:17,199 Speaker 1: UH Deep playoff runs because their stars couldn't compete with 545 00:27:17,200 --> 00:27:20,080 Speaker 1: the likes of Janice or Luca don chich Well. Now 546 00:27:20,119 --> 00:27:22,399 Speaker 1: CP three is worse than ever and Devin Booker is 547 00:27:22,440 --> 00:27:25,520 Speaker 1: having health issues, so that fundamental flaw that they have 548 00:27:25,720 --> 00:27:28,160 Speaker 1: is only worse now than it's ever been. Plus they've 549 00:27:28,160 --> 00:27:29,480 Speaker 1: lost a lot of depth on the wing with the 550 00:27:29,520 --> 00:27:32,399 Speaker 1: Cam Johnson injury and the Jay Crowder trade request. They're 551 00:27:32,440 --> 00:27:34,920 Speaker 1: just a worse version of a team that was already 552 00:27:35,000 --> 00:27:38,520 Speaker 1: fatally flawed. Next is the New York Knicks, kind of 553 00:27:38,520 --> 00:27:40,560 Speaker 1: a similar predicaments of the Phoenix Suns. They have lots 554 00:27:40,600 --> 00:27:43,720 Speaker 1: of talent. Mitchell Robinson's really good, Quentin Grinds is really good, 555 00:27:43,720 --> 00:27:46,520 Speaker 1: are j Barrett is really good. They defended a high level, 556 00:27:46,560 --> 00:27:48,840 Speaker 1: but you're not beating any of those top teams in 557 00:27:48,840 --> 00:27:52,119 Speaker 1: the Eastern Conference of Jalen Brunson and Julius Randall are 558 00:27:52,160 --> 00:27:55,280 Speaker 1: making all your offensive decisions for you. Next is the 559 00:27:55,280 --> 00:27:57,600 Speaker 1: Sacramento Kings. They don't play any defense, and as a 560 00:27:57,600 --> 00:27:59,760 Speaker 1: result they can't beat any good teams. They're just eight 561 00:27:59,800 --> 00:28:03,080 Speaker 1: and and against teams that are five are better. Next 562 00:28:03,080 --> 00:28:06,000 Speaker 1: to Washington Wizards, everyone of the team is overslotted. Bradley Beal, 563 00:28:06,080 --> 00:28:07,680 Speaker 1: I really like if he's the second best player on 564 00:28:07,720 --> 00:28:09,520 Speaker 1: your team, but on the Wizards, he's the best player 565 00:28:09,520 --> 00:28:11,720 Speaker 1: on the team. I really like Kyle Kuzma if he's 566 00:28:11,760 --> 00:28:13,800 Speaker 1: the third or fourth best player on your team, but 567 00:28:13,920 --> 00:28:15,560 Speaker 1: he's the second best player on your team, and so 568 00:28:15,600 --> 00:28:19,399 Speaker 1: as a result, everyone's kind of uh playing, you know, 569 00:28:19,480 --> 00:28:21,720 Speaker 1: above their pay grade, and as a result they can't 570 00:28:21,720 --> 00:28:25,080 Speaker 1: win games. And then lastly, the Toronto Raptors. They just 571 00:28:25,119 --> 00:28:27,760 Speaker 1: don't have nearly enough ball handling and shooting and so 572 00:28:27,840 --> 00:28:29,560 Speaker 1: as a result they can't score in the half court 573 00:28:29,600 --> 00:28:31,160 Speaker 1: and they can only win if it's a track meet, 574 00:28:31,200 --> 00:28:33,080 Speaker 1: which just is never going to happen when you get 575 00:28:33,119 --> 00:28:36,879 Speaker 1: into the playoffs. Alright, Moving on to the interesting and 576 00:28:36,920 --> 00:28:39,360 Speaker 1: scrappy tier. These are teams that are further along in 577 00:28:39,400 --> 00:28:42,400 Speaker 1: their development than the tanking teams and have multiple good 578 00:28:42,520 --> 00:28:45,760 Speaker 1: NBA players that are young and exciting, but they are 579 00:28:45,920 --> 00:28:48,440 Speaker 1: close to being good enough to like push their chips 580 00:28:48,440 --> 00:28:50,560 Speaker 1: in to try to go after contention. And there's no 581 00:28:50,640 --> 00:28:53,640 Speaker 1: misconception in the front office where they think they're contending 582 00:28:53,720 --> 00:28:57,160 Speaker 1: right now when they're not. Um. The front offices for 583 00:28:57,200 --> 00:28:59,360 Speaker 1: these teams probably know that they're gonna lose in some 584 00:28:59,400 --> 00:29:01,240 Speaker 1: early play round, but they look at it as a 585 00:29:01,280 --> 00:29:04,520 Speaker 1: valuable experience and part of that process towards getting to 586 00:29:04,520 --> 00:29:06,680 Speaker 1: the next level. The three teams that I have in 587 00:29:06,720 --> 00:29:09,160 Speaker 1: this yere are the Indiana Pacers, the Utah Jazz, and 588 00:29:09,200 --> 00:29:11,840 Speaker 1: the Oklahoma City Thunder. I just did a deep dive 589 00:29:11,880 --> 00:29:13,880 Speaker 1: on the Oklahoma City Thunder yesterday. You can find that 590 00:29:13,920 --> 00:29:16,600 Speaker 1: they're I'm not gonna talk anymore about them today. The 591 00:29:16,680 --> 00:29:19,240 Speaker 1: Utah Jazz, it's basically team made up of trade filler 592 00:29:19,440 --> 00:29:22,200 Speaker 1: from the Rudy Gobert and the Donovan mettal trades, and 593 00:29:22,280 --> 00:29:24,760 Speaker 1: this season is basically a tryout for the front office 594 00:29:24,760 --> 00:29:26,600 Speaker 1: to decide which one of these pieces they want to 595 00:29:26,680 --> 00:29:28,959 Speaker 1: hold onto for the future and which one of these 596 00:29:28,960 --> 00:29:32,520 Speaker 1: pieces they want to ship off for um for resources 597 00:29:32,600 --> 00:29:35,880 Speaker 1: over the trade deadline. But they're young talented, exciting LORI 598 00:29:36,040 --> 00:29:39,520 Speaker 1: market in looks like a franchise cornerstone piece. UM. Really 599 00:29:39,560 --> 00:29:41,200 Speaker 1: excited to see what Danny Angel does with that group 600 00:29:41,240 --> 00:29:45,000 Speaker 1: over the next decade, half decade, I should say. And lastly, 601 00:29:45,000 --> 00:29:48,560 Speaker 1: the Indiana Pacers, Um, it makes sense for them to wait, 602 00:29:49,320 --> 00:29:52,360 Speaker 1: they're I think they're all in trade would be for 603 00:29:52,440 --> 00:29:54,560 Speaker 1: a wing right now. They're way too heavy young guards 604 00:29:54,600 --> 00:29:57,320 Speaker 1: and Miles Turner love would love to see them get 605 00:29:57,320 --> 00:29:59,840 Speaker 1: a legitimate wing in there that can take wing de 606 00:30:00,000 --> 00:30:01,960 Speaker 1: pensive assignments and give them a little bit more of 607 00:30:01,960 --> 00:30:05,000 Speaker 1: a rim pressuring element. But they have such an exciting 608 00:30:05,080 --> 00:30:08,320 Speaker 1: young backcourt that they can even afford to trade some 609 00:30:08,400 --> 00:30:11,400 Speaker 1: of them for assets. Um, They're definitely a really exciting 610 00:30:11,440 --> 00:30:14,160 Speaker 1: young team. Tyrese Haliburton in his past First Culture has 611 00:30:14,200 --> 00:30:20,360 Speaker 1: transformed that backcourt all right. Lastly, the actively and intentionally 612 00:30:20,440 --> 00:30:23,440 Speaker 1: terrible tier. These are teams that basically serve one purpose, 613 00:30:24,000 --> 00:30:27,440 Speaker 1: giving young players low pressure reps so that they can 614 00:30:27,440 --> 00:30:30,640 Speaker 1: evaluate and see what they project to be as NBA players. 615 00:30:30,880 --> 00:30:33,920 Speaker 1: They're bad, and they know they're bad, and they're playing 616 00:30:34,040 --> 00:30:38,240 Speaker 1: the long game. First is the Houston Rockets. They desperately 617 00:30:38,320 --> 00:30:40,280 Speaker 1: need a veteran ball handler to get in there and 618 00:30:40,280 --> 00:30:43,280 Speaker 1: teach their young guards game management. This is an important 619 00:30:43,320 --> 00:30:46,840 Speaker 1: detail of being a ball handler that I think goes underrated, 620 00:30:46,960 --> 00:30:50,240 Speaker 1: especially in young players. You know, I talked a lot 621 00:30:50,280 --> 00:30:54,440 Speaker 1: about the important skills of beating coverages in the NBA, right, Like, 622 00:30:54,440 --> 00:30:56,280 Speaker 1: you've got to have a certain amount of ball handling 623 00:30:56,560 --> 00:30:59,280 Speaker 1: off the dribble, shooting, finishing at the ram, and making 624 00:30:59,320 --> 00:31:01,760 Speaker 1: reads right. But it's not just as simple as that. 625 00:31:01,800 --> 00:31:04,560 Speaker 1: There is a that's what you do on a single possession, 626 00:31:05,040 --> 00:31:06,880 Speaker 1: but over the course of a game, let's say, let's 627 00:31:06,880 --> 00:31:08,520 Speaker 1: to make the Matthew easy. Let's say there's a hundred 628 00:31:08,520 --> 00:31:10,840 Speaker 1: possessions in an NBA game. Well, in addition to those 629 00:31:10,840 --> 00:31:13,520 Speaker 1: one hundred possessions, let's say that I am on the 630 00:31:13,520 --> 00:31:15,760 Speaker 1: floor for a thirty two minute shift out of the 631 00:31:15,760 --> 00:31:19,080 Speaker 1: forty eight, So that's like roughly seventy possessions. And then 632 00:31:19,400 --> 00:31:22,160 Speaker 1: you know, I'm sharing those possessions with my teammates. So like, 633 00:31:22,600 --> 00:31:27,840 Speaker 1: maybe I've got forty initiation possessions if I'm jailing green right, Um, 634 00:31:27,880 --> 00:31:30,480 Speaker 1: in those forty possessions, it's important for me to feel 635 00:31:30,520 --> 00:31:33,160 Speaker 1: the value of all forty of them versus the value 636 00:31:33,160 --> 00:31:35,800 Speaker 1: of any one particular of them, So there is a 637 00:31:35,840 --> 00:31:38,479 Speaker 1: time and a place for specific types of shots. Like 638 00:31:38,760 --> 00:31:41,720 Speaker 1: higher difficulty shots are better reserved for when you've built 639 00:31:41,760 --> 00:31:44,480 Speaker 1: your rhythm and you're feeling very confident and you feel 640 00:31:44,560 --> 00:31:46,360 Speaker 1: very good about that shot when you're rising up to 641 00:31:46,360 --> 00:31:48,920 Speaker 1: take it, whereas like early in the game, when you're 642 00:31:48,920 --> 00:31:51,440 Speaker 1: building your rhythm, it's better to make reads to try 643 00:31:51,480 --> 00:31:53,760 Speaker 1: to get your teammates going so they feel confident throughout 644 00:31:53,760 --> 00:31:55,800 Speaker 1: the game, or to seek out and hunt out easy 645 00:31:55,840 --> 00:31:58,440 Speaker 1: shots so you can build your rhythm to be able 646 00:31:58,480 --> 00:32:00,000 Speaker 1: to make the tougher ones at the end of the game. 647 00:32:00,160 --> 00:32:02,600 Speaker 1: But no matter what, there's a feel of the game, 648 00:32:02,720 --> 00:32:05,920 Speaker 1: especially as it pertains to the scoreboard. Down eight up eight, 649 00:32:06,200 --> 00:32:08,160 Speaker 1: close game. You're on a run, they're on a run. 650 00:32:08,240 --> 00:32:11,680 Speaker 1: Whatever it is, those ebbs and flows of the game, 651 00:32:12,120 --> 00:32:15,200 Speaker 1: and many in many ways are controlled by the ball 652 00:32:15,240 --> 00:32:18,560 Speaker 1: handlers and their ability to slow the game down when 653 00:32:18,560 --> 00:32:20,880 Speaker 1: the other teams on a run to really execute and 654 00:32:20,880 --> 00:32:24,480 Speaker 1: get a good shot, for instance, right or the transition 655 00:32:24,520 --> 00:32:26,800 Speaker 1: pull up three. When you're on a run, you're feeling 656 00:32:26,840 --> 00:32:29,960 Speaker 1: confident and you feel an opportunity to take to snatch 657 00:32:30,000 --> 00:32:32,640 Speaker 1: the other team's heart. That's maybe an opportunity to be 658 00:32:32,640 --> 00:32:36,680 Speaker 1: more aggressive, but that feel is something that Kevin Porter Jr. 659 00:32:36,720 --> 00:32:39,719 Speaker 1: And Jaalen Green really struggle with, and so getting in 660 00:32:39,880 --> 00:32:43,480 Speaker 1: a a legit veteran ball handler kind of a similar 661 00:32:43,480 --> 00:32:46,040 Speaker 1: thing to what we were talking about earlier with Oklahoma City, 662 00:32:46,360 --> 00:32:48,640 Speaker 1: I should say yesterday with Oklahoma City, like I'd love 663 00:32:48,680 --> 00:32:51,200 Speaker 1: to see them target a Kyle Lowry or at Chris 664 00:32:51,240 --> 00:32:53,680 Speaker 1: Paul or something in the late end of their career 665 00:32:54,200 --> 00:32:56,800 Speaker 1: just to bring in not to do anything specific for 666 00:32:56,840 --> 00:32:58,960 Speaker 1: them on their team, but do what like Ray John 667 00:32:59,040 --> 00:33:01,040 Speaker 1: Rondo did for the and A Hawks, which is like, 668 00:33:01,120 --> 00:33:03,440 Speaker 1: just go in there and be a mentor to some 669 00:33:03,440 --> 00:33:06,040 Speaker 1: of these young players and help them feel the game out. 670 00:33:07,600 --> 00:33:10,440 Speaker 1: Um the Detroit Piston, Charlotte Hornets, and San Antonio Spurs, 671 00:33:10,480 --> 00:33:12,800 Speaker 1: no specific thoughts there, but they're also in this tier. 672 00:33:13,160 --> 00:33:14,760 Speaker 1: And then the last team in this tier is the 673 00:33:14,840 --> 00:33:17,720 Speaker 1: Orlando Magic. And my one note there is I expect 674 00:33:17,760 --> 00:33:20,720 Speaker 1: them to jump into that interesting and scrappy tier next 675 00:33:20,880 --> 00:33:24,120 Speaker 1: season because of the level of talent they have on 676 00:33:24,160 --> 00:33:26,760 Speaker 1: the wing and just how good they're young players are 677 00:33:26,960 --> 00:33:29,760 Speaker 1: in the sense that they're too good to continue to 678 00:33:29,800 --> 00:33:32,240 Speaker 1: lose basketball games, and they're becoming a very difficult team 679 00:33:32,240 --> 00:33:34,440 Speaker 1: to beat on any given night. They've been over five 680 00:33:34,520 --> 00:33:36,280 Speaker 1: hundred for the past like month or so. They just 681 00:33:36,360 --> 00:33:38,640 Speaker 1: won last night in Portland, so I expect them to 682 00:33:38,680 --> 00:33:40,680 Speaker 1: move up to that next tier. All right, that was 683 00:33:40,720 --> 00:33:43,800 Speaker 1: fun all thirty teams. How about that? Um? You guys 684 00:33:43,840 --> 00:33:47,200 Speaker 1: know the drill. I'm gonna be h taking. I have 685 00:33:47,200 --> 00:33:49,920 Speaker 1: one other video this week. It's going to be five 686 00:33:49,960 --> 00:33:52,719 Speaker 1: burning questions for next season. I believe that one airs 687 00:33:52,840 --> 00:33:54,960 Speaker 1: on Saturday, so keep an eye on the feeds there. 688 00:33:55,160 --> 00:33:57,440 Speaker 1: As always, I appreciate your support and I will see 689 00:33:57,440 --> 00:34:13,560 Speaker 1: you guys next time. The volume