Speaker 1: Check it on Man No Down Thursday morning, December one,
Speaker 1: Festivus for the rest of US Megapod Week sixteen National
Speaker 1: Football League Live from the D. It's Gil Alexander. Glad
Speaker 1: you could join us from our home at the D
Speaker 1: with our big shield table and a packed crowd. Here
Speaker 1: uh the day before Christmas Eve and Christmas Day. Mike Palm,
Speaker 1: the vice president Operations, Circuit Sports Derek Derek Steven's conciliary.
Speaker 1: By the way, thanks for having Derek on with us.
Speaker 1: He called the Lions out right over the Cardinal. He
Speaker 1: did he called it. He did call it. Todd wished
Speaker 1: ever from his mom's cork attic in Pittsburgh, PA. How
Speaker 1: you doing, Toddy. We're a college ship. Thanks for We're
Speaker 1: in a college. He's being stupid and ladies and gentlemen
Speaker 1: are rotating. Guest on the Megapod. Jeff Parlay, producer number
Speaker 1: five and eight of the Numbers Game to Grow. We're
Speaker 1: clevand Up producers and also the hosts of bet Center
Speaker 1: on Christmas Day, Christmas Day afternoon ish at Visa four
Speaker 1: hours on Christmas Day. From young Jeff Parlay, who by
Speaker 1: the way, goes by the name Jeff Pearls when he
Speaker 1: does Bet Center. Are you doing, Jeffreys? Thanks for a
Speaker 1: man of many names apparently now, Gill and every Saturday,
Speaker 1: not every time, not just not just Christmas Day. I
Speaker 1: just happened to be alone and that happened to have
Speaker 1: multiple segments with Young Gil on Joes have to volunteer.
Speaker 1: We we volunteer on Christmas coming into studio. I'm not crazy.
Speaker 1: I'm not I'm not Are you leaving town? Are you
Speaker 1: going to San Francisco? But I used to do it
Speaker 1: when I was at Camel. I used to volunteer for
Speaker 1: shifts on Christmas. At least we could do so. At
Speaker 1: least we could do. We all celebrate the christ So
Speaker 1: you work on Young kiphor but yet you will you
Speaker 1: won't work, but you will work on Christmas. Wow. I'm
Speaker 1: not sure where they cut. I don't know what the
Speaker 1: contradiction was. I don't know what I'm I don't know
Speaker 1: what I'm saying. Actually, Okay, Mikey. First off, we're down
Speaker 1: to sixteen and Survivor and we have the Christmas three
Speaker 1: game fest about to happen. What are the deadlines on
Speaker 1: all of these? That's a very interesting point. Gil If
Speaker 1: you're using either the forty or the Titans tonight, it's
Speaker 1: got to be before kick. I'd get it in before
Speaker 1: because it will shut off in the computer, not actually
Speaker 1: win the kick, but whenever the game is is scheduled
Speaker 1: to go in the computer, in the in the software.
Speaker 1: If you're not, if you're using one of the Saturday games,
Speaker 1: your deadline is ten pm Pacific Friday night, one am
Speaker 1: Eastern Saturday morning, and then there's a nine hour window.
Speaker 1: If you survive this three game window on your phone
Speaker 1: at the counter on the kiosk, it will populate your
Speaker 1: survivor at midnight Saturday night into Sunday morning, and the
Speaker 1: picks must be in by nine am, wow, hour before kick.
Speaker 1: No one's gonna mess this up, right, No, you're solely
Speaker 1: sixteen seventy five thousand dollar intrinsic value, sixteen entries out
Speaker 1: of four thousand eighty nobody has multiple entries anymore. Sixteen people.
Speaker 1: And so what's interesting about this, and again this is
Speaker 1: like the Thanksgiving Cork where there were three games. What's
Speaker 1: interesting that most of us who were in this, we're
Speaker 1: sort of earmarking Arizona as the team to save. But
Speaker 1: that has obviously changed as Arizona has fallen on hard
Speaker 1: times and the real team. The real advantage is that
Speaker 1: eight of those remaining sixteen have green Bay left. What
Speaker 1: are the odds that eight don't take green Bay? I mean,
Speaker 1: I put it as high. I would be shocked. If
Speaker 1: there aren't be shocked, it's gonna have to take. That's
Speaker 1: your advantage. But then, now where do you go? No Colts?
Speaker 1: No one has the Colts left. So if you don't
Speaker 1: have green Bay, if you're one of those eight people,
Speaker 1: do you go forty Niners, Titans or Cardinals? Those are
Speaker 1: your three choices. I would take San Francisco tonight, That's
Speaker 1: what I would do. I just with with those offensive
Speaker 1: line injuries for Tennessee. I think San Francisco's D line
Speaker 1: is going to dominate the game. I know Gil already
Speaker 1: has the Titans getting three and a half and in
Speaker 1: his account, I know A. J. Brown is back, But
Speaker 1: I think San Francisco's defense is gonna be too much.
Speaker 1: I don't think you could properly evaluate Tennessee. I think
Speaker 1: they've they've tried to replace what Derrick Henry gave him
Speaker 1: with a short passing game. Only problem is they didn't
Speaker 1: have Julio Jones or A J. Brown mos at this time.
Speaker 1: Now they do, so I think that that mitigates the
Speaker 1: offensive line trouble. But we'll see. Some people just have
Speaker 1: a strict policy they don't take road teams, and that
Speaker 1: would forbid them from taking Tennessee. So then you're from
Speaker 1: San Francisco. So then you're left with Tennessee or Arizona.
Speaker 1: I don't like Arizona at all. I think the coast
Speaker 1: will be favored by the time they kicked that game,
Speaker 1: so I would be forced if I didn't play a
Speaker 1: road team to take Tennessee in the game. The answer
Speaker 1: is this an impossible choice. It's a Hobson's choice hops
Speaker 1: good college Hobson's choice named after Butch Hobson. But you
Speaker 1: know I was it after Dennis Hopson, and they just
Speaker 1: spilled it road. What or the other wasn Dennis Hopson
Speaker 1: didn't play ball some Ohio states. I think he was
Speaker 1: in there with Granville Waiters somewhere during Grandville's eighteen years
Speaker 1: in Columbus. Grandville Waiters the last NBA player that didn't
Speaker 1: shave the head. He just decided, I'm gonna let it
Speaker 1: grow out on my sides and I'm gonna have a
Speaker 1: huge bald spot on baldhead on top of it. He
Speaker 1: was starting to bald while he was still in Columbus.
Speaker 1: I think he was there that long. But yes, it's well.
Speaker 1: He played early Jordan's He was on the court with
Speaker 1: Jordan Granville Waiter. He had a COVID year dat I believe. Alright,
Speaker 1: So then, Todd, how did we do last week on
Speaker 1: this here show? Well, I just I want to say
Speaker 1: it was a Christmas festivous miracle because Michael Palm took
Speaker 1: it real bad last week. He went oh and three
Speaker 1: with the Brownies, which he did not deserve to lose,
Speaker 1: with the Miami Dolphins, which he probably deserved to lose,
Speaker 1: and the over forty six and a half in Atlanta
Speaker 1: San Francisco, which was one of the worst losses. They
Speaker 1: had about a hundred billion points in the third order,
Speaker 1: and then all of a sudden, I can see it
Speaker 1: coming from a mile away. I was like, I was
Speaker 1: rooting against you the whole fourth quarter. I was like,
Speaker 1: come on. Every time Mattie Ice would get it inside
Speaker 1: the ten with his Philip Rivers junior impersonation, I was like, Mike,
Speaker 1: he's gonna be real upset when he doesn't get it
Speaker 1: in here and you ended up with an oh and three.
Speaker 1: Just move just to be accurate about that before you
Speaker 1: give the records. Uh, Atlanta went for it down eighteen well,
Speaker 1: first of all, fourth and goal at the one two
Speaker 1: and a half minutes into the game, right and you
Speaker 1: think you're gonna knock him out and knock the forty
Speaker 1: niners out with a touchdown, only take the boys. Just
Speaker 1: kick the field, just kick it. You ran it, ran it,
Speaker 1: didn't get it in kick the field. Not only that,
Speaker 1: cour Darryl Patterson was in the end zone on first
Speaker 1: own and they and they reversed it to no touchdown.
Speaker 1: He by the way, they blew it on second and
Speaker 1: third down also from goal line. Cordarrel Patterson stuffed on
Speaker 1: third down and so then they go for it fourth
Speaker 1: and one and they missed. Then Uh, fourth down eighteen thirteen,
Speaker 1: fourth and one at the eight ten forty two left
Speaker 1: they failed to convert. Then fourth and go at the
Speaker 1: one down thirty one thirteen, they failed to convert. It
Speaker 1: is an eighteen point deficit. Like you have to have
Speaker 1: three scores, the one with twelve minutes left is unforgiven.
Speaker 1: I forget to get it down to two scores. Yes, yes,
Speaker 1: but anyways, I was laughing my head off every time
Speaker 1: on third and six they'd get five yards. It was
Speaker 1: impossibly on top of what, on top of what happened
Speaker 1: to Mike in his regular picks. In his teaser pick,
Speaker 1: he has the Carolina Panthers plus seventeen. It's fourth and two.
Speaker 1: They're down ten from the eleven yard line, and the
Speaker 1: Bills could either kick the field go to go up thirteen,
Speaker 1: or they could just run it into the line to
Speaker 1: get the first down, or run in the line don't
Speaker 1: get the first down. Instead they fake it and throw
Speaker 1: a little dinker pass for the touchdown and they lose
Speaker 1: my seventeen. So it was everything could possibly go wrong.
Speaker 1: My good friend Mikey Palm went wrong, so he pushed
Speaker 1: his teaser as well. So anyways, Gilly had an nice week,
Speaker 1: he heard him at the end. But me and gil
Speaker 1: both want somehow we both won with the Bengals there,
Speaker 1: gil Um. You know, late in the first half there
Speaker 1: was a huge, huge situation where Denver missed the field
Speaker 1: goals and and then the Bengals got a lucky field goal,
Speaker 1: and then it was you know, at that point, I
Speaker 1: was thought, Okay, now we're gonna we're gonna cover this,
Speaker 1: so let's just let's give the details on that. So
Speaker 1: McManus misses a fifty one yard field goal with about
Speaker 1: seventeen seconds left, somewhere in that pocket, and I just
Speaker 1: figured the first half, first half because I just thought
Speaker 1: the Bengal I had the Bengals first half. I was like, oh,
Speaker 1: thank god, he missed it. Oh my god, I'm gonna
Speaker 1: get the push. I had the money line and it
Speaker 1: was tied at three a piece and push yes. So
Speaker 1: I kind of lose my you know, attention, and I'm
Speaker 1: doing something else, and all of a sudden, like I
Speaker 1: hear the announcer going big pass from Borrow. I'm like, wait,
Speaker 1: they ran a play, not only they want to play.
Speaker 1: It's like a seventeen or I think it was a
Speaker 1: nineteen yard pass play. He gets mcfierson a fifty eight
Speaker 1: yard attempt and he sinks it. It would have been good.
Speaker 1: From we think about that game against Screen Bay where
Speaker 1: he missed all the game. He's been great. He really
Speaker 1: had one bad core of the entire season, and it's
Speaker 1: the one everyone remembers and to guild to your point.
Speaker 1: I had legitimately gotten up from my chair and got
Speaker 1: back and so wait a second, you're lining up for
Speaker 1: a vehicle on there. But look, that's just that's just
Speaker 1: Fannie pack Vick and in his glory, they're getting us
Speaker 1: that extra three. And who at the end who also
Speaker 1: blew it at the end of the game. He blew
Speaker 1: the time outs because Cincinnati. So Cincinnati's up fifteen to
Speaker 1: tend the eventual final score at the end of the game,
Speaker 1: and Fangio ended up calling a time out too early,
Speaker 1: and so Cincinnati ended up with a fourth down at
Speaker 1: the two minute warning. Denver had no time outs. Had
Speaker 1: Fangio used it earlier, Cincinnati would have had to have
Speaker 1: run their fourth down play prior to the to the
Speaker 1: two minute warning, and they would have had two minutes
Speaker 1: to work with instead. He just completely screwed the Broncos,
Speaker 1: screwed his old team. But they weren't going to score anyways.
Speaker 1: It doesn't matter. No, no, I'm with you, no, no, no,
Speaker 1: I'm with you about all that. I'm just saying. We
Speaker 1: know the Broncos, they weren't getting in touchdown and anyways,
Speaker 1: they weren't getting a touchdown, and the two point conversion
Speaker 1: to beat us Todd. They had the greatest drive in
Speaker 1: the history of the league at the end of the game,
Speaker 1: down five, where they went backwards and then Lock fired
Speaker 1: the ball fifty yards at a bounce on fourth and eighteen.
Speaker 1: But you know, we were talking about this, Matt Brown
Speaker 1: and on a primes I was like, we we both
Speaker 1: had the Bengals too. And when Locke came in the game,
Speaker 1: Lock is just scary enough where you're not really thrilled
Speaker 1: with it, where you're like that guy. He when he's bad,
Speaker 1: he's bad, but when he's good, he's kind of really good. Variance.
Speaker 1: So and and you know, you felt bad for Teddy
Speaker 1: Bridgewater got knocked down the third quarter, but that was
Speaker 1: not a that was not a you know, a happy
Speaker 1: thing to see Lock come in. Anyway. I'm sorry interrupted you,
Speaker 1: but so we ended up anyways. Anyway, So you went
Speaker 1: too and one Gilly to now Gilly Ice moved into
Speaker 1: first plance a Mike and and I am a half
Speaker 1: game behind Mike yet nineteen and twenty six we are struggling.
Speaker 1: Uh one other thing, one other thing. Can I just
Speaker 1: give a shout out to whoever? And Mike probably knows
Speaker 1: the name of the referee, but whoever the referee was.
Speaker 1: At the end of the Bears game, I had the
Speaker 1: Bears plus eleven. I had the Bears plus. I had
Speaker 1: Bears plus fifteen, and the Bears plus the team was
Speaker 1: already in, but had Bears plus eleven. And every time
Speaker 1: they get down there in the fourth quarter, they had
Speaker 1: like a thousand chances to cut it from fourteen to
Speaker 1: seven to fourteen to eight or whatever it is at
Speaker 1: the way, and they they were that touchdown, by the way,
Speaker 1: that and by the way, that touchdown helped me, and
Speaker 1: I want that was not a touchdown. The guy didn't.
Speaker 1: He babbled the ball, did you see what a quick
Speaker 1: what a quick review it? Once though, I mean, like
Speaker 1: like what to the reviewing and all they popped the
Speaker 1: score up final like getting the touchdown. Well, no, they
Speaker 1: said they changed I think it was a New York
Speaker 1: deal where they changed it on the field before the review.
Speaker 1: So they said, they said that they really should have
Speaker 1: reviewed it, but they changed it on the field and
Speaker 1: they said, first no, tesch and they said, on the
Speaker 1: field the score is a touchdown. And then we're not
Speaker 1: reviewing it, which you know I was. I was going crazy,
Speaker 1: hallelujah that that I get the cover, but you know,
Speaker 1: a cover you certainly deserve if you have the Bears
Speaker 1: plus eleven on the in game at that point, the
Speaker 1: Bears were inside that you know, the ten yard line
Speaker 1: of Minnesota in the fourth quarter, like I don't know
Speaker 1: th times Cousins through for seventy seven yard It was
Speaker 1: a joke, it was I think about it. We've had
Speaker 1: winning quarterbacks now. Cousins through for eighty seven, Carson Wentz
Speaker 1: through for fifty seven and that win over the Colts,
Speaker 1: and then most famously Mac Jones through for nineteen that
Speaker 1: came against the Bills. That's the greatest thing ever. I
Speaker 1: never got. What you didn't understand was that I was
Speaker 1: swirling winds. Cousins does everything you can't do to help. Anyways,
Speaker 1: what are the team? The teaser? The teaser records Gilly
Speaker 1: moves to seven seven and one. Mikey is also seven
Speaker 1: seven and one, and I am nine and six. So
Speaker 1: that's where we are on the teasers. So hopefully we
Speaker 1: can turn it around here. It's a looks tough to
Speaker 1: me this week again, so we'll see. Alright, Uh, let's
Speaker 1: talk about game tonight. Any plays here, I already have
Speaker 1: the Titans plus three and a half. I'm on the Titans.
Speaker 1: I think the return of A J. Brown and Julio Jones,
Speaker 1: by the way, who can't finish games with hamsteing problems,
Speaker 1: but apparently it's fine to go here tonight. I actually
Speaker 1: think that's a huge thing. I know that the Titans
Speaker 1: are without two of their offensive linemen, including Taylor the lawn,
Speaker 1: but you get when it was three and a half,
Speaker 1: I grabbed it. I think the Titans are extremely hard
Speaker 1: to evaluate because their last three losses they've been minus
Speaker 1: thirteen in turnovers, minus thirteen. They held the Steelers to
Speaker 1: twelve first downs in a hundred sixty eight total yards.
Speaker 1: Their defense has been playing well. So I like the
Speaker 1: Titans tonight. Todd, do you have any thoughts on this one.
Speaker 1: I lean Titans too because I like, I'm not gonna
Speaker 1: play it, but I lean Titans just because I like
Speaker 1: Rabel in this kind of scenario where you know he's
Speaker 1: playing a good team, they're at home, Jimmy g who
Speaker 1: knows what you're gonna get? He could, you know, throw
Speaker 1: three accidental picks and they drop him where they catch him.
Speaker 1: I don't know this just this just smells to me
Speaker 1: like Titans at home. Plus three sounds like a lot
Speaker 1: to get. So if I anything, I'd lean on the Titans.
Speaker 1: They're showing Game six of the World Series between the
Speaker 1: Cubs and the Indians up here. I'll take. I'll take.
Speaker 1: I think of the Cubs. I'm not sure. Russell Grant
Speaker 1: slam later in the game. Arietta, right, Arietta come back
Speaker 1: in one game six for them. I don't remember. I
Speaker 1: don't remember, I remember fake to All I remember is
Speaker 1: Raji davis Is seven game seven home run, three run
Speaker 1: homer to tie it up off with a choked up
Speaker 1: to strike back would have been if Cleveland had held on,
Speaker 1: would have been one of the greatest moments in modern
Speaker 1: baseball history. And no one talks about it more because
Speaker 1: they lost. No agree with you there, Gil, And then
Speaker 1: that was what a what a what a great baseball game?
Speaker 1: Now was really well, it's kind of like the sport
Speaker 1: peaked and at that exact moment, so great. Okay, you guys,
Speaker 1: Mike and he thought on the game, I like it over,
Speaker 1: you do, I do like it over. I think San
Speaker 1: Francisco is moving the ball despite Garoppolo, right, I mean
Speaker 1: to me, when I watched Jimmy Garoppolo, it's like the
Speaker 1: angle of the football when he throws it right. I
Speaker 1: mean he he gets the angle wrong coming out of
Speaker 1: his hand and it can go way high. I can
Speaker 1: go release. Yeah, But the angle of the football when
Speaker 1: he releases it like that, the nose of the football.
Speaker 1: You gotta watch that because he gets out of kilter
Speaker 1: with it and then it takes him a while. But
Speaker 1: I think both these teams I agree with Gil. I
Speaker 1: think Tennessee will be able to move the ball to
Speaker 1: not a little bit on San Francisco. At to Todd's point,
Speaker 1: Garoppolo can score for both teams. You know he can.
Speaker 1: He can do that. So I'm gonna go back to
Speaker 1: the well bet in a forty nine years game over
Speaker 1: this is my third best bet Todd over forty four
Speaker 1: and a half over forty four and a half Titans.
Speaker 1: I'm gonna make the Titans plus three my third as well.
Speaker 1: Now it's not three and a half, which I have
Speaker 1: in my account, but I'll take it. I'll take the
Speaker 1: plus three is my third best. Tennessee plus three, yes, sir,
Speaker 1: no no official play here. I would lean to the
Speaker 1: Niners they're just playing so well. The only concern I
Speaker 1: understand getting Brown back is a big deal for the Titans,
Speaker 1: But the big issue more than anything for San Francisco
Speaker 1: is that travel on a short week. We're going two
Speaker 1: time zones. It's about as long as they're gonna make
Speaker 1: a team travel on a short week. So a little
Speaker 1: bit of a concern there, But in the end, I
Speaker 1: just think the Niners are much better than the Titans
Speaker 1: at the moment, even with Brown and Jones playing. Uh,
Speaker 1: talk to me when Derrick Henry is back into into
Speaker 1: three weeks for Tennessee and its whole different story. Though
Speaker 1: Tennessee one of these teams that can still get a
Speaker 1: number one seed. They can still be knocked out of
Speaker 1: the playoffs in the a f C. All right, let's
Speaker 1: start with the best bets then, Jeff, you are the guest.
Speaker 1: Jeff Parles, Ladies and gentlemen, par lay your number one
Speaker 1: best bet would be well, as we sat down, because
Speaker 1: we can't go more than five minutes without COVID news
Speaker 1: at this point. Uh, my number one play is going
Speaker 1: to stay despite the bad news against the side. I
Speaker 1: like Dalvin Cook is on the COVID list. Dalvin Cook
Speaker 1: is unvaccinated, so he is not going to be able
Speaker 1: to play Jesus. But Gil, as you've mentioned in the past,
Speaker 1: they have as good of a backup as anyone behind
Speaker 1: Dalvin Cook, and he was just activated yesterday from the
Speaker 1: COVID list. So Alexander Madison is going to be able
Speaker 1: to go. And they play the Rams. They're getting three.
Speaker 1: We're starting to see we're gonna see a three and
Speaker 1: a half on this game. I would imagine, uh soon
Speaker 1: behind us three minus one fifteen on the Rams. So
Speaker 1: hopefully we'll see a three and a half. But even
Speaker 1: at three, I like Minnesota in this game getting the
Speaker 1: points against the Rams. Are you seeing the line on
Speaker 1: this anywhere right now? I'm seeing it, and I'm seeing
Speaker 1: it in spots you guys, Yeah, I still see three,
Speaker 1: um on this. I know off the board in some spots. Um,
Speaker 1: But I would imagine what Cook's gonna mean a half
Speaker 1: point appointed most So Look, it's good at good at three,
Speaker 1: good to three and a half, obviously better than four.
Speaker 1: But look, even though the Rams beat Arizona two weeks ago,
Speaker 1: you have to take that win with a grain of
Speaker 1: salt after what we saw from Arizona against Detroit, and
Speaker 1: what we saw really Arizona was was was backtracking a
Speaker 1: little bit leading in to that loss against the Rams
Speaker 1: and Minnesota. They're playing for the playoff lives if they
Speaker 1: lose a game. Now the news in New Orleans kind
Speaker 1: of makes that a little a little more complicated that race.
Speaker 1: But if they lose a game, it's hard for them
Speaker 1: to get in because Philadelphia probably is gonna be his
Speaker 1: big favorite this week, gonna be favorite on the road
Speaker 1: in Washington next week, and then Dallas might not play
Speaker 1: their guys week eight teen. So I like Minnesota plus
Speaker 1: the three that will be my number one for this week.
Speaker 1: So what can I just say? Also something that the
Speaker 1: running backs make absolutely no difference. Did you see the
Speaker 1: Tennessee running backs Foreman running for like a million yards
Speaker 1: against the Steelers? If if there are holes, there are holes, nausea.
Speaker 1: Harris is a fantastic running back. There are no holes.
Speaker 1: Wait a minute, okay, if if there take the wrong example.
Speaker 1: The one team where it does matter is the Tennessee
Speaker 1: No I understand. I know Derrick Henry Is is a standout,
Speaker 1: and He's all I'm trying to say is the best
Speaker 1: running back is like ten better than the worst running back,
Speaker 1: whereas other positions it can be sixty and better. Yes,
Speaker 1: that's all I'm trying to say. And Derrick Henry might,
Speaker 1: and Derrick Henry might be the number one running back
Speaker 1: who's better than all other running backs, and he's a
Speaker 1: one point two versus everybody else is a one. You
Speaker 1: agree with what I'm saying. I agree generally, speaking with
Speaker 1: what you're saying. Yes, that running back is not a
Speaker 1: is not a super important position, but there are outliers everywhere,
Speaker 1: and Derrick Henry would be the one outlier. Uh. I
Speaker 1: only used the example of Foreman just because it shows
Speaker 1: that Tennessee has a good line and that's why. It's
Speaker 1: another reason why Derrick Henry looks so good. Now, granted
Speaker 1: he's fantastic. Let me get back on on on point here.
Speaker 1: What what Jeff was referring to in case those have
Speaker 1: missed it again, We're doing this Thursday morning, and every
Speaker 1: moment there's a different bit of COVID news. So he's
Speaker 1: talking about Dalvin Cook is on the COVID list, Alexander
Speaker 1: Madison came back off the COVID list onto the team yesterday.
Speaker 1: What what we were referring to with the Saints. Is
Speaker 1: that In case you missed it, this morning, Trevor Simeon
Speaker 1: first was announced on the COVID list for the New
Speaker 1: Orleans Saints, and then about a two hours later we'd
Speaker 1: say Taysom Hill was placed on the COVID list, which
Speaker 1: means that the New Orleans Saints on Monday night, a
Speaker 1: game of tow seven and sevens playing each other. Ian
Speaker 1: Book is going to be the Saints starting quarterback on
Speaker 1: Monday night, So that game, that game is completely off
Speaker 1: the board. Couldn't even score against Clemson in the semifinal
Speaker 1: Ian Book, so he's also so there's no line in
Speaker 1: some places from Minnesota. Some places there are, but there
Speaker 1: is no line anywhere from the New Orleans Miami game. Uh,
Speaker 1: Mikey here first, best bet you know, I'm gonna talk
Speaker 1: a little bit about or piggy tail off what you
Speaker 1: did um about Drew lock and I like the Raiders
Speaker 1: this week. I don't see how Denver can win this
Speaker 1: game the Raiders through fortune here, I mean the Browns
Speaker 1: too scared to go play action or throw a pass
Speaker 1: on third down. I mean, you know, if you listen
Speaker 1: to Stefanski's comments the next day about you would have
Speaker 1: thought we, you know, we would have given Mullins to
Speaker 1: the ball and try to make four yards. He said that, Yes,
Speaker 1: he said that. I got something before you continue with this.
Speaker 1: So I brought this up on a Numbers game yesterday.
Speaker 1: I was venging out between shows and around the Horn
Speaker 1: was on and they did a pretty much an entire
Speaker 1: segment on how they couldn't believe that the Browns didn't
Speaker 1: go for it on fourth and three at their own
Speaker 1: thirty and I watched it in horror, and I'm just like,
Speaker 1: what are they talking about? They had a third string quarterback,
Speaker 1: and I know Nick Mullins played well, but he's still
Speaker 1: your third string quarterback if you don't get the three
Speaker 1: yards there. The Raiders are automatically in field goal position
Speaker 1: and they can actually gain yards and get a better
Speaker 1: field goal. Yes, I at it, they punted, and yes,
Speaker 1: I get it, the car got it them downfield, and yes,
Speaker 1: I get at the Carlson hit the game winning field goal.
Speaker 1: But we've gotten to the point now I have so
Speaker 1: I have two huge pet peeves. Now we've got to
Speaker 1: the point that people who rail against analytics have no
Speaker 1: fucking idea what they're talking about, because they don't even
Speaker 1: know what analytics isn't what analytics isn't right, They're like, oh,
Speaker 1: it's analytics for every time. Listen, I'm an analytics guy.
Speaker 1: They should have punted. I'm an analytist guy. I'm I'm
Speaker 1: pro field goals in lots of situations. What you're talking
Speaker 1: about half the time is not analytics. The other thing
Speaker 1: that that I'm saying with this around the horn thing
Speaker 1: is people think it's cool to go on four People
Speaker 1: think now who aren't into analytics think that it's correct
Speaker 1: to go on fourth down every time now, and I'm
Speaker 1: watching around the horn, I'm like, of course they should
Speaker 1: have punted the foot, But what are you guys talking about.
Speaker 1: They lost the game. Remember after the holding penalty or
Speaker 1: whatever it was, or man downfield, they didn't tackle him,
Speaker 1: he couldn't. They let him get like that was the game,
Speaker 1: that was the big It's a good point, like because
Speaker 1: that has been completely forgotten where Foster Moreau was down
Speaker 1: and you could have had a tackled into bounds for
Speaker 1: a five yard game. Instead they did They did the
Speaker 1: little for a shoulder, shivered to tiptoe, tiptoe the sidelines,
Speaker 1: gotten next or seven yards and got out of bounty.
Speaker 1: And look the other thing is too like as soon
Speaker 1: as you knew that you were getting inside fifty five yards,
Speaker 1: you knew Carlson was making the kid. Yeah, he's money.
Speaker 1: When do you have tod can I also ask you
Speaker 1: how can you harbor when he when he gets the
Speaker 1: touchdown to go down eight, of all the people that
Speaker 1: would do the new for two things, he decides not
Speaker 1: to go for two. That screwed me big time. But
Speaker 1: it's like, I don't I have no idea what this
Speaker 1: guy is doing. Sometimes he is, sometimes he Isn't I
Speaker 1: have no idea what's going on? Correct, And so that's
Speaker 1: that his his was the cleanest example of what I'm
Speaker 1: talking about how people who rail against analytics have no
Speaker 1: idea what they're talking about because they don't even understand
Speaker 1: what analytics are going for two down eight. That's analytics
Speaker 1: going for two at the end of the game to
Speaker 1: try to win it down one is just a coach's
Speaker 1: coin flip decision. That's not analytics. So there's like we
Speaker 1: have people, oh, analytics, it's not analytics. You don't even
Speaker 1: know what you're you're screaming about. In fact, how did
Speaker 1: he make the decision he went over. They have him
Speaker 1: on NFL. Mike Big guys, you want to go for it? Yeah,
Speaker 1: I think we can get it. Okay, let's go for it.
Speaker 1: Let's right. But everything but everything that goes wrong is analytics,
Speaker 1: and everything that goes right is take that analytic. I
Speaker 1: thought it. Give me a fucking bak. I thought that
Speaker 1: if Baltimore had scored with fifteen seconds left, I have
Speaker 1: no problem with the decision. But even if he makes
Speaker 1: it to Rogers is forty one seconds and the time out,
Speaker 1: you're not out of the woods. You're probably losing either
Speaker 1: way in all honesty, Mike, just just because Rogers what
Speaker 1: they they a time out two left for green bag
Speaker 1: Like you know, he's getting a field goal range. It's
Speaker 1: just a matter of cross. Yeah. You and I agree
Speaker 1: though on one thing, which is the Chiefs Chargers game,
Speaker 1: because that was the first game this week brought up
Speaker 1: all of this. I loved all of Brandon Staley's place,
Speaker 1: I really did, except for the one at the end
Speaker 1: of the first half. No advantage to even at the
Speaker 1: one over kick the field goal and go up seven
Speaker 1: and you get the ball back again, like stop it,
Speaker 1: stop it. On top of that. But on top of that,
Speaker 1: how can you make any determinations about analytics or not
Speaker 1: analytics on three plays? It's meaningless. You need to see
Speaker 1: three thousand plays or three hundred plays, what happens on
Speaker 1: fourth and goal from the three to a hundred times,
Speaker 1: then come back and tell me. Don't tell me. And
Speaker 1: by the way, had he made them all that wasn't
Speaker 1: the right decision either. You have to look at the math,
Speaker 1: and the math is the math. It's not analytics, folks,
Speaker 1: it's math. So if you look at math and it
Speaker 1: says shows three hundred times they went for it, and
Speaker 1: you get a better expected value by going for it,
Speaker 1: that's what we're talking about. And it doesn't mean he's
Speaker 1: wrong because you're By the way, you can flip a
Speaker 1: coin and get seven heads in a row. Would you
Speaker 1: still want to play a game where you gave me
Speaker 1: a dollar ten for every it's in the dollar for
Speaker 1: every tales? No, you wouldn't, So it's ridiculous. This whole
Speaker 1: discussion is ridiculous. Well, because we're getting a cottage industry now, Todd.
Speaker 1: The reason that that it's it's so ridiculous is that
Speaker 1: we're getting in the starry recursing. But that's how ridiculous
Speaker 1: it is. And we're allowing this to spread like wildfire,
Speaker 1: like it's intelligent radio and it's not. And I wish
Speaker 1: we would stop. Is that we have this cottage industry
Speaker 1: of people who think they're the cool guys saying how
Speaker 1: analytics is stupid and they don't even don't they don't
Speaker 1: even understand what analytics. Yeah, but they don't even understand
Speaker 1: what it is. And it's like this, Oh, you're cooler
Speaker 1: than we are. No, you're the one who can't see
Speaker 1: two sides of it. It's the analytics people who actually
Speaker 1: can see both sides, what's correct and what's not. And
Speaker 1: I'm so tired of this. By the way, Jason, you
Speaker 1: can cut out about five of those, but we've a
Speaker 1: couple in the bottom line is you could it doesn't
Speaker 1: prove anything because Brandon's Staley missed it three times. Nothing
Speaker 1: does that prove If if I flip a coin I
Speaker 1: get three heads, does it mean that this coin will
Speaker 1: only get heads for the rest of time? I mean,
Speaker 1: it's so ridiculous. By the way, it's not cool if
Speaker 1: you're in the media and you're taking the approach that
Speaker 1: you're you're tired of that, you're you're not good at
Speaker 1: your job. You don't have to agree with it, but
Speaker 1: you have to know what is and what is an analytics.
Speaker 1: Thank you. I was on I was on This Morning
Speaker 1: the morning show before yours, and one of my no
Speaker 1: hyperboles was specifically Arthur Smith not taking the field goal
Speaker 1: down eighteen. I'm with you, should have kicked One of
Speaker 1: the host that's filling in said said to me, I'm
Speaker 1: with you. I don't like this analytics. That's not what
Speaker 1: I was saying. I was talking about that specific situation.
Speaker 1: But then why don't you bring why don't you raise
Speaker 1: your voice and say that exactly to that very very
Speaker 1: hard out there, and I still had I still had
Speaker 1: three more to get to. That was a very hard
Speaker 1: in six minutes, and I still had well the the
Speaker 1: going back to the Atlanta game for a second, because
Speaker 1: the one thing, and I agree with both of you,
Speaker 1: that they should have kicked down by eighteen. They were
Speaker 1: in the one situation and where legitimately every freaking time
Speaker 1: they got it the fourth and one, which was the
Speaker 1: only time that Archer Smith the worst thing in the world.
Speaker 1: I've talked about this before. The it's the it's the
Speaker 1: the cruel trick of getting all the yards but one right,
Speaker 1: because it makes you you would have kicked the field
Speaker 1: if it was fourth. Matt Ryan throws every other passing
Speaker 1: through in that game, wide and high and incomplete. You
Speaker 1: see Coo out there to get the field goal, to
Speaker 1: get into it. It was automatic, but it was It
Speaker 1: wasn't missing. It was automatic. But because it's the cruel
Speaker 1: trick of getting every yard but one, it all of
Speaker 1: a sudden changes your entire thinking with these coaches, like
Speaker 1: we're going for it, let's go. I don't care for it.
Speaker 1: Actually trademark that which rule trick of getting every hard
Speaker 1: but one, the cruel trick it is. It's almost like
Speaker 1: that Grievances segment that turned into hyper Bowl. I hope
Speaker 1: I hope Todd that you took You took some solace
Speaker 1: in the fact that the progeny of grievances like the
Speaker 1: Catholics are the project Name of the Jews won the
Speaker 1: Mitchi Award for Best Segment, and I was still overcoming
Speaker 1: overcoming two of the numbers game out rushmore and you
Speaker 1: mentioned the awards named after the show that he's on.
Speaker 1: By the way, me getting thirty of of an award
Speaker 1: that is named after you. You went over you hit
Speaker 1: the over there. Congratulations, Gills. I feel so great about it.
Speaker 1: I can't tell you. I don't store me. This morning
Speaker 1: I said I almost put my guys in the desert
Speaker 1: winning Best PM Show in no hyperbole. She's what you
Speaker 1: in store me where you were. Guys were very serious
Speaker 1: about she was I had no she ambushed me. I
Speaker 1: didn't know she would call on the whole V. G. K.
Speaker 1: Disney Empire to take me down. Mikey. No one was
Speaker 1: more serious than you were. No. No, I found out
Speaker 1: I'm the first person to win for mitchi' Jeff. I
Speaker 1: wouldn't have known that, but someone pointed out, what did
Speaker 1: you point it out there? Rest of my kid pointed
Speaker 1: it out to himself. That's exactly what happened. I'm I
Speaker 1: won the I won the last eight Toddy Awards. Do
Speaker 1: you know you were in a category? Did you even
Speaker 1: know that? Yes? Yes, I don't know. Intrigued on the
Speaker 1: Hot Toddy Awards that would be yes. Did you give
Speaker 1: your your pick then full dissertation? Is it a pick? Todd?
Speaker 1: What do you have? The number? And I see someone Raiders.
Speaker 1: Pick Todd, You're number one. I'm gonna do it with
Speaker 1: the Woofties. M Dallas Cowboys. Dallas Cowboys don't really impress me.
Speaker 1: So you beat up on all these teams that are
Speaker 1: completely decimated. You beat the Giants, you beat Washington, Uh,
Speaker 1: you beat New Orleans. Now you're gonna go and give
Speaker 1: how many ten and a half points? Do you guys? Have?
Speaker 1: Ten and a half or ten? Uh? Across ten and
Speaker 1: a half cross the board on my screen. Okay, So
Speaker 1: I'm gonna go with the Wifties plus ten and a half.
Speaker 1: I think hopefully Heinie he is back to play for them,
Speaker 1: And uh, I just you know, it's an NFL game.
Speaker 1: It's a lot of points in an NFL game. And
Speaker 1: I don't think the wolf These are that bad, you know.
Speaker 1: I mean, even with their you know, fourteen string quarterback.
Speaker 1: They hung in that game against the Eagles for a while.
Speaker 1: Uh and uh, I'll take the wolf These plus ten
Speaker 1: and a half. Yeah. The point is it wasn't even
Speaker 1: their fourteen string quarterback. They literally had to sign a
Speaker 1: dude off another team's practice squad. Like I mean, I
Speaker 1: talked with all my Washington football fan friends we don't
Speaker 1: even know how to feel afterwards. It's like, really, we're
Speaker 1: gonna look back on this season. We're like, remember we
Speaker 1: played a game in the middle of a playoff race
Speaker 1: with a dude from another team's brand. What happened to
Speaker 1: the kid from Vanderbilt? I thought he was going to
Speaker 1: be the quarter Scharmer. He's terrible Fritch Scharmer's son, right Patch,
Speaker 1: Kyle Kyle Schmer. Yeah, I thought that he was in
Speaker 1: line to get the start I was in. The Steelers
Speaker 1: once played this. You know, a great organization, The Pittsburgh
Speaker 1: Steels once played a game with a guy named Duck
Speaker 1: at quarterback for a numerous games in the road. That
Speaker 1: better than Mason Rudolph. Okay, Todd is better than Mason Rudolph.
Speaker 1: They're both mats. Uh My number one we already said
Speaker 1: was the Titans. So we're at the number two, Jeff. See,
Speaker 1: now this is where this gets difficult because we have
Speaker 1: no idea where who's gonna test positive for COVID next
Speaker 1: and miss these games. We also don't know if guys
Speaker 1: are gonna clear, Like we still don't know if Baker
Speaker 1: Baker Mayfield still in the list. K Keenum, we don't.
Speaker 1: We don't know, so this is not a pick, but
Speaker 1: I just want to bring something up on the New
Speaker 1: Orleans Miami game because the lines are off the board
Speaker 1: when we're recording this with no Taysom Hill and no
Speaker 1: Trevor Simeons. Malcolm Perry is on that roster. Malcolm Perry
Speaker 1: is one of the best quarterbacks ever to play at Navy.
Speaker 1: Wouldn't you think Sean Payton would be smart enough to
Speaker 1: get a package on bare minimum on Malcolm Perry and
Speaker 1: then on Malcolm Perry many times in college he was awesome.
Speaker 1: So just throwing that out there as a possibility because
Speaker 1: I'm I'm in Mikey's camp on Ian book that guy.
Speaker 1: So Malcolm Barry would play the Taysom Hill rolling. Yeah,
Speaker 1: possibly he is on the roster, so that that is
Speaker 1: at least worth a look there. Potentially have time to
Speaker 1: install the triple option. Do you have an extra day day? Right?
Speaker 1: Every days? Why? Why the hell out? At this point,
Speaker 1: I'm gonna take the Philadelphia Eagles. Laying nine and a
Speaker 1: half is my next pick against the Giants. Um, I
Speaker 1: just the Giant. I'll lay ten. Then that's fine, it
Speaker 1: doesn't matter. It doesn't matter. What the number is. I
Speaker 1: know Siriani's out with COVID. I know there could be
Speaker 1: some more COVID concerns, but the Giants are just so
Speaker 1: unfathomly awful on offense at this point. I don't care
Speaker 1: if it's Glennon, I don't care if it's from Uh,
Speaker 1: it doesn't matter. They're not moving the ball against Philadelphia's defense.
Speaker 1: Who I thought again, I know is Garret Gilbert. But
Speaker 1: even before that, other than the first half against the Jets,
Speaker 1: have played very well for the last month or so. Uh. Look,
Speaker 1: Jalen Hurts had the worst game he's had all year
Speaker 1: against the Giants the first time. He was clearly injured
Speaker 1: in that game, and and he's been healthy though over
Speaker 1: the last six weeks, Jalen Hurts has showed pretty well. Uh.
Speaker 1: And the Eagles need this game in order to keep
Speaker 1: stay in the playoff hunt. Now with the news in
Speaker 1: New Orleans, they have a real chance of getting the
Speaker 1: seventh seed. So I don't care if it's nine and
Speaker 1: a half, ten, whatever the number you'll give me, Todd,
Speaker 1: I'll lay and with Philadelphia against the Giants. Wow. Mike
Speaker 1: Glennon and Jake from Ladies and gentlemen, Daniel Jones shut
Speaker 1: down for the season. Mikey number two. I have the
Speaker 1: same pick, Yes, number two. Ten's your one, are your two?
Speaker 1: That's my two and we already left. I only have
Speaker 1: a two left. You can't trade up or down. Yeah, man, Mike,
Speaker 1: you're going the opposite direction as you guys because Tennessee
Speaker 1: was my three. Todd, you're number two. Uh, you know what,
Speaker 1: I'm just gonna. I hate to do this, but I'm gonna.
Speaker 1: I'm taking Denver. I mean, I don't like betting with
Speaker 1: those idiots. With that Fangio guy, I can't stand him.
Speaker 1: I just think that the Raiders are not a good
Speaker 1: team and they constantly do dumb things. Now, granted, they
Speaker 1: won the game the other night, but you know what
Speaker 1: this so they beat Mullins. I mean, when does Mullins
Speaker 1: is an NFL He's not an NFL quarterback in my opinion.
Speaker 1: And they barely held on for that game. The three
Speaker 1: games prior to that, they got crushed by Kansas City.
Speaker 1: The Woofties beat him at home. Uh, they didn't have
Speaker 1: that miracle game against Dallas. But you know, I just
Speaker 1: don't believe in the Raiders, and to me, this is
Speaker 1: going to be one of those who cannot lose it
Speaker 1: versus who can win it. And I think Denver is
Speaker 1: a little bit better at not losing it. And as
Speaker 1: we know in the NFL, a lot of it is
Speaker 1: just don't lose the game. Let the other team lose
Speaker 1: the game. And that's why I'm going to take Denver.
Speaker 1: Pick them. You're taking lock over Car. I'm taking lock
Speaker 1: over Car. Yes, And we still don't have a d
Speaker 1: I don't like Lack. We still don't the way I
Speaker 1: can't stand him. We don't have a Darren Waller update
Speaker 1: yet do we not trend? And well he didn't practice yesterday.
Speaker 1: My number two is going to be the Detroit football lock.
Speaker 1: There we go. Uh, they're catching five and a half?
Speaker 1: I believe it is. What is it, Todd? What do
Speaker 1: you say? The Detroit Lions are catching five and a half? Yes,
Speaker 1: five and a half. Um, Listen. They're coming off an
Speaker 1: eighteen point win against Arizona. Game before that was sort
Speaker 1: of the Minnesota fallout game where they won on the
Speaker 1: last second touchdown. It was their first win of the
Speaker 1: year against Minnesota. They got crushed by Denver in between.
Speaker 1: But if you throw out that Denver game, which I
Speaker 1: would like to for the purposes of this discussion. They've
Speaker 1: last games besides that Denver game. They beat Arizona by eighteen.
Speaker 1: They beat the Vikings by two, they lost to the
Speaker 1: Bears by two, they lost to Cleveland by three, they
Speaker 1: tied with Pittsburgh. That's the Detroit Lions since October. They've
Speaker 1: really had one bad outing one and they're catching five
Speaker 1: and a half at Atlanta against the Maddie Ices Jared
Speaker 1: goff By. I don't know if you've seen these Jared
Speaker 1: Goff is on the COVID list, but I don't know
Speaker 1: if you've seen the reports from the Lions about Jared
Speaker 1: Goff how he's feeling. They have made a point now
Speaker 1: on multiple occasions to let everybody know Jared golf is
Speaker 1: feeling perfect. They're sort of like it's their passive aggressive
Speaker 1: way of telling the NFL, Hey, if you really want
Speaker 1: to play, as if you're really if you're really serious
Speaker 1: about asymptomatic players coming back and playing, we just want
Speaker 1: to let you know Jared Goff is completely asymptomatic. So
Speaker 1: I think he goes and I'll take the five and
Speaker 1: a half on the Detroit Lions Jeffrey number three. I'm
Speaker 1: gonna follow Totty and take the ten and a half
Speaker 1: with the Washington football team on Sunday night. Look, Washington
Speaker 1: with Heinrich is a playoff back end, playoff caliber team. Yes,
Speaker 1: And Dallas breach, we we have you and I have
Speaker 1: talked about this on a numbers game. Dallas's offense since
Speaker 1: Dak Prescott hurt himself in Foxborough just has not been
Speaker 1: the same and there's serious there. There's something still going
Speaker 1: on with that, with the with the calf for the
Speaker 1: lower leg or whatever it is with Dad, because that
Speaker 1: offense just has not been the same since he suffered
Speaker 1: that injury on the last play of the game in
Speaker 1: New England. So look, I'll take the ten and a
Speaker 1: half in Washington. They're stolen the race too, I mean
Speaker 1: if they get uh, if Minnesota goes down, New Orleans
Speaker 1: goes down, it will come down to that game and
Speaker 1: in Land over next week against Philadelphia again. So I'll
Speaker 1: take the ten and a half with the Washington football
Speaker 1: team on Sunday night. Totty and I have some potty.
Speaker 1: Let's go skinnies. Mikey number one for you. My one
Speaker 1: was the was the Raiders, so he already has three.
Speaker 1: He is Vegas, and Okay, Todd your number three. I'm
Speaker 1: gonna go with the over. In the Lions Atlanta Falcons game.
Speaker 1: I think it's over forty three, over forty three Lions
Speaker 1: and um Atlanta. I just think that the Lions are
Speaker 1: showing me a little bit more on offense. I'm not
Speaker 1: impressed with at Lana's defense at all. I think I
Speaker 1: think Detroit should be able to get you some point.
Speaker 1: It's over forty three is not a real high number
Speaker 1: in an NFL game. And Atlanta sometimes they can score,
Speaker 1: you know. I mean last week they should have a
Speaker 1: lot more than thirteen points against the good San Francisco defense.
Speaker 1: You know, they scored twenty nine in Carolina, they scored
Speaker 1: twenty one at Jacksonville, twenty seven in New Orleans. Sometimes
Speaker 1: they can get you a lot of points. So I'm
Speaker 1: gonna go over forty three in the lines. Atlanta maybe
Speaker 1: get a win, and uh, somebody wine it goes over me. Okay,
Speaker 1: and my number one pick, because I remember I've been
Speaker 1: doing this in the hours. Order is and he guesses
Speaker 1: I'm going with the Cincinnati Bengals. Yeah, giving three to
Speaker 1: the Ravens obviously like the better two and a half,
Speaker 1: but I like them given three. There's a couple of
Speaker 1: things here. One, I think everybody's feeling real good about
Speaker 1: Tyler Huntley. I think he's solid. I've even heard Chrissie
Speaker 1: Andrews was like, oh, Pittsburgh should trade for all Right.
Speaker 1: I haven't seen enough of Tyler Huntley to be making
Speaker 1: the proclamations that others have, but yes, he played a
Speaker 1: great game against Green Bay. That's one thing. The biggest
Speaker 1: thing though here for me, is is that the Ravens
Speaker 1: still don't have a secondary and what do the Bengals have,
Speaker 1: Maybe above every team in the league except for maybe
Speaker 1: a couple great trio of wide receivers. And I think
Speaker 1: Joe Burrow gets the ball to Jamaar Chase pro bowler
Speaker 1: Jamar Chase by the way uh to uh Tyler Boyd
Speaker 1: and uh to T Higgins, And I think they absolutely
Speaker 1: exploit the Ravens weakness in the secondary. I think this
Speaker 1: is the Bengals coming out party once and for all.
Speaker 1: This game is for the lead in the a f
Speaker 1: C North. I like the Cincinnati Bengals by the way
Speaker 1: they whacked They whacked them that was a game though
Speaker 1: it wasn't hardball went for some fourth downs in their
Speaker 1: own territory and got out of hand. Yeah, but since
Speaker 1: but Cincinnati dominated that game offensively, Chase did whatever he
Speaker 1: wanted in this and the one one quick thing on
Speaker 1: the Bengals here. Warren Sharp us sent this out earlier
Speaker 1: today and I thought it was interesting. So the Pols
Speaker 1: are coming up playing Denver last week, the Denver Broncos
Speaker 1: the last since week so the last six opponents that
Speaker 1: the Broncos have faced are averaging thirty eight and a
Speaker 1: half points a game after playing the Denver Broncos, after
Speaker 1: going under their team total by an average of seven
Speaker 1: and a half points in the previous in the in
Speaker 1: the game against Denver. So from a betting perspective, a
Speaker 1: game against the Broncos almost minimizes what the market feels
Speaker 1: about their opponent. In the following, correct kind of thing? Correct?
Speaker 1: I like that? Thank you, Warren Sharp, Thank you Parley.
Speaker 1: Are we already on teasers? Todd wishnev with the lead.
Speaker 1: I have the leading against the Todd, will you repeat
Speaker 1: to teaser records? The teaser records are met at nine
Speaker 1: and six, and you and Gilly both at seven, seven
Speaker 1: and one al right, which means, Todd, by the way,
Speaker 1: how did Derrick Stephens do last week in his picks?
Speaker 1: Do you have a record of that? By the way, yes,
Speaker 1: Derrick Stephens. Uh. He went. He had Detroit with a winner,
Speaker 1: he had the Rams minus four and a half um
Speaker 1: and he had Miami minus nine and a half, which
Speaker 1: was which was a loser. And then his his teaser
Speaker 1: was the Ellie Clippers, Chargers and the Rams. So we
Speaker 1: hit so yeah, so hit. By the way, I got
Speaker 1: robbed on my teaser with the Pats plus eight and
Speaker 1: a half. The game was over there, just trying to
Speaker 1: run out the clog and Jonathan Taylor runs into the house.
Speaker 1: That was not very fortunate. Even with that loss, even
Speaker 1: with my game, I'm still a game and a half
Speaker 1: behind you with teasers. Yeah, I didn't realize that fall
Speaker 1: in that far behind. All right, Todd, your first then
Speaker 1: on the teaser, I'm gonna go with the Green Bay
Speaker 1: Packers minus the one and a half. I am not
Speaker 1: a believer in the Cleveland Browns football team. I don't
Speaker 1: care who's playing quarterback. Give me the Green Bay Packers
Speaker 1: just to win by one and a half points. And
Speaker 1: also give me the Bills plus eight and a half
Speaker 1: exact be going against going against my beloved Patriots. But
Speaker 1: I just think that the Bills are good enough to
Speaker 1: hang in. Remember the game a couple of weeks ago
Speaker 1: when Bill Belichick took us back to football and ran
Speaker 1: the ball on every single play and was they somehow win?
Speaker 1: But they did not win by more than they only
Speaker 1: one by four. And I don't think, I mean, the
Speaker 1: Patriots are not designed to you know, they're a run team,
Speaker 1: and the Bills are a good team. The Bill should
Speaker 1: be able to hold, you know, hang in there. Point
Speaker 1: of clarification, are we continuing these records into the post
Speaker 1: season or these regular season tally's I'm I'm up for
Speaker 1: whatever you guys want to do. I think we should
Speaker 1: continue into the post season. In that case, I have
Speaker 1: the exact same teaser that Todd does, because that is
Speaker 1: the best teaser on the board. Green Bay on Christmas
Speaker 1: Day down through the seven and the three, and then
Speaker 1: the Buffalo Bills up through the three and the I'm
Speaker 1: gonna take the Packers and the Chiefs, Oh, the Chiefs
Speaker 1: are gonna be what do you have him at ten? Right?
Speaker 1: Are they at ten? Right now. She that's it looks like,
Speaker 1: what are you talking about? Seven and seven and a half?
Speaker 1: You see seven half. I don't even see any seven halves.
Speaker 1: I just see tens and nines and eights. So we're
Speaker 1: gonna give him. We're going to give him and half
Speaker 1: off Shore to give me eight. Make it, make it
Speaker 1: the middle. Okay, Chiefs minus two, and I'm looking at
Speaker 1: what I'm looking at one of the big off shores.
Speaker 1: Minnesota Rams game is off the board. The Kansas City
Speaker 1: and Miami games are not even to be found listed.
Speaker 1: They're not even up here. So what the Kansas City game? Why?
Speaker 1: Because we still don't know about Travis Kelsey Kelsey and
Speaker 1: Tyree Kill. But you're willing to risk keep betting. Let's
Speaker 1: keep betting him because Tomlin can afford to lose now
Speaker 1: that he's back to five, you know what I mean,
Speaker 1: because he will not be less than five now he
Speaker 1: can If he would have lost, I can't go against him.
Speaker 1: But he can't afford to lose a game now that
Speaker 1: he's won a game. If the Pittsburgh Steelers somehow make
Speaker 1: the post easy, unbelievable, It's incredible. I thought they were
Speaker 1: dead in the water. Down thirteen and nothing against the Titans.
Speaker 1: I gave them no shot. That would have made a
Speaker 1: large I would have made a large money line beat
Speaker 1: on the Titans, had I had you been been not sweating.
Speaker 1: And by the way, Mikey, how did you like the
Speaker 1: fourth and fourth down spot? I mean, how did these guys?
Speaker 1: I mean, this wasn't. This wasn't. By the way, I
Speaker 1: needed them to score because I had a bet on that,
Speaker 1: but I won't tell you what that was. But the
Speaker 1: point was I wanted them to score and fourth then
Speaker 1: I'm like, are you kidding me? You're giving I mean,
Speaker 1: I'll take the first down, But it was it was
Speaker 1: so far away. How could you even miss it by
Speaker 1: that much? They missed it by yard and a half?
Speaker 1: I thought it was the rest from the Army Missouri
Speaker 1: game last night. They only needed nine yards for first
Speaker 1: downs in the fourth quarters, the clock stopping area a
Speaker 1: yard short one on the one at the end of
Speaker 1: the game. One way were MISSOO got the first got
Speaker 1: the fourth got the third down conversion was bad. The
Speaker 1: one that Army got Army was legitimately too yards. It
Speaker 1: was I don't know. I said that, I see the
Speaker 1: clock stop right now? He's calling it time out here
Speaker 1: and they're moving to change. So glad we brought this
Speaker 1: up though, the one in the one in the Pittsburgh game.
Speaker 1: I I was on Tennessee right, so I'm like, oh
Speaker 1: my god, he didn't make it. And then the next
Speaker 1: thing you know, it's like this measurement and oh no.
Speaker 1: First of all, Tennessee was trying to rush the place
Speaker 1: because they're like, oh my god, I think it might
Speaker 1: have give him his first down. Then the measurement where
Speaker 1: they put the ball, it was like credit card thin.
Speaker 1: But they they would have challenged, they would have challenged.
Speaker 1: It's clearly yard. But but what Jeff is talking about
Speaker 1: last night, dude, Oh my this this this game was hihilarious.
Speaker 1: So missoo. On their final touchdown drive, I literally I
Speaker 1: had I had Army on the money line, which got
Speaker 1: there thankfully as the last leg of the parlay, but
Speaker 1: I had so Massou's matriculating the ball down the field.
Speaker 1: They're in the red zone and I'm like, fun, i
Speaker 1: gotta stop them, Oh my god. And then there's a
Speaker 1: play where I'm like, again, we were talking about walking
Speaker 1: away from the TV and the Denver since in any
Speaker 1: game it's clearly fourth and one, right, clearly fourth and one.
Speaker 1: I do that thing where you lose your concentration for
Speaker 1: a moment, and I'm like, okay, fourth and one and
Speaker 1: pass and then I'm like and then I'm like, why
Speaker 1: isn't there and he throws up. I'm like, first and
Speaker 1: second intent. I think it was. I think it was
Speaker 1: actually third and one. No, no, no, it was fourth
Speaker 1: and you're right that the yeah, no, it was fourth
Speaker 1: and one. And then next thing I knew on the
Speaker 1: incomplete pass, I'm like, second and ten because you know
Speaker 1: on the bottom of the screen they put forth in
Speaker 1: one after the play and oh I didn't see that.
Speaker 1: But then if you watch, they change it to first
Speaker 1: intend and then he threw away and complete just threw
Speaker 1: it away. So that one was bad enough because it
Speaker 1: was a yard. But the but just talking about them,
Speaker 1: they not only they not only moved the chains, they
Speaker 1: kept the clock running so nobody and they stopped it.
Speaker 1: They stopped it for two seconds, yeah, because I said, well,
Speaker 1: I would mon can call it time out in this spot.
Speaker 1: And then they see a movement that they wounded with
Speaker 1: like thirty eight, they started the game clock again. It's
Speaker 1: so arbitrary in these bowl games. You're betting on this,
Speaker 1: like yeah, whatever, it's very arbitrary when you're bet in
Speaker 1: college total skill. And I do this because there's a
Speaker 1: couple of crews in the Big Ten. When they get
Speaker 1: the first down, they start winding. They don't have the
Speaker 1: ball in the hash right. There's a couple of these
Speaker 1: guys that are thirty seven are wind and others. It
Speaker 1: goes down to twenty eight before they start the game. Class.
Speaker 1: I noticed there was one arbitrary Bowl game a couple
Speaker 1: of days ago where they I don't think they even
Speaker 1: stopped at they just let it's amazing. By the way,
Speaker 1: you guys are wrong. It was third and one, as
Speaker 1: I said it was. It would have been third and one,
Speaker 1: not fourth and one on that play because I knew.
Speaker 1: I was like, oh my god, now it's gonna be
Speaker 1: third and one, and I'm looking at the play by play.
Speaker 1: It would have been third and one at the Army seventeen,
Speaker 1: not fourth and one. But still the points still stands
Speaker 1: that it was a ridiculous call. It would have been
Speaker 1: I don't think you're correct. I think this was further
Speaker 1: up the field. This was around midfield. Midfield By the way,
Speaker 1: don't you feel fortunate that Missouri stayed in hurry up?
Speaker 1: Once they had first to go with a minute and
Speaker 1: twenty ago. They kept could they could have they could
Speaker 1: have made amuse his time outs, but they didn't. Well,
Speaker 1: and then forget forget at all. I mean the cook
Speaker 1: legitimately missed the guy who had no one within fourteen
Speaker 1: miles down show i'd open. You know what I'm really
Speaker 1: upset about is they didn't spike the ball. Corney Thomas,
Speaker 1: I gotta go back and find this game on demanding
Speaker 1: just listen to it. It is a It is a
Speaker 1: It's Shakespeare of bad announcing what's Parley's what's part my teaser?
Speaker 1: You go ahead, Todd. Just you can look at the
Speaker 1: play by play and you'll see we will, we will. Todd,
Speaker 1: You're probably right, because you're never wrong my teaser. My
Speaker 1: teaser is the same as Todd and Gills. I don't
Speaker 1: know how I with the way the numbers are right now.
Speaker 1: I don't know how you can't go with with green
Speaker 1: Bay in Buffalo. I expect that game in Foxboro to
Speaker 1: be close, and I expect green Bay to wax h Clive,
Speaker 1: especially if Baker is in there. Um it was second
Speaker 1: and six from the Army twenty three with one thirty
Speaker 1: eight left. He passed it for six yards. According to
Speaker 1: the thing for Army first down, it really should have
Speaker 1: been third and one right right, But Todd, what I'm
Speaker 1: saying is, so follow the play by play, so it
Speaker 1: would have been third and one there right right, and
Speaker 1: then then the the next place is then complete to
Speaker 1: make it second and tend So the next play, the
Speaker 1: next play, no, no, this is but this is what
Speaker 1: I'm saying. So I didn't explain, right, So the next play,
Speaker 1: when it's an incomplete pass, then I'm thinking it's a
Speaker 1: fourth and one, but instead it's the second and ten.
Speaker 1: That's what's That's what I'm talking. Yeah, right, Uh, your
Speaker 1: teaser is the same as you're in, Todd. Yeah, same one.
Speaker 1: Packers Packers and Bills, Packers Bills, best teaser in the world.
Speaker 1: What could go wrong? What it'll be like, They'll be
Speaker 1: like that Cleveland that that campas Cleveland Raider teaser from
Speaker 1: a few weeks that's right. By the way, did you
Speaker 1: guys think, because Jeff and I disagreed of this, did
Speaker 1: you think Belichick should not have kicked the field goal
Speaker 1: with nine minutes left to cut it to ten. Did
Speaker 1: you think that that was a terrible move? No? I
Speaker 1: didn't either. I think you could argue with a lot
Speaker 1: of time. It was a lot of time left. The
Speaker 1: big the big concern and that and and it ended
Speaker 1: up happening, even though New England scored quickly after. Was
Speaker 1: my concern was that New England was only going to
Speaker 1: have time for one possession left because of the way
Speaker 1: Indianapolis plays offense. That was my That was my big
Speaker 1: concern on that. That's why I would have would have
Speaker 1: gone for now. If it was like fourth and twelve,
Speaker 1: I would say, fine, you gotta kick it. But it
Speaker 1: was fourth and six. I just find a lot of
Speaker 1: this stuff not you necessary. But I'm just saying a
Speaker 1: lot of people just say, oh, that's terrible. Not the
Speaker 1: same situation. But remember people crucified him for kicking the
Speaker 1: field goal to go down twenty eight six and the
Speaker 1: Super Bowl. Remember wait, no, didn't they I thought it
Speaker 1: was twenty nine it was it was kicked to go
Speaker 1: to six. No, no, it was a touchdown. They went
Speaker 1: for two to make it eleven and missed twelve. He
Speaker 1: kicked the field That the reason that I know it
Speaker 1: was nine is because at the south point they had
Speaker 1: a huge liability on nine. If New England had finished
Speaker 1: with nine points, another one of those Zach White deals, Yeah,
Speaker 1: it would have been. It would have been six figures.
Speaker 1: Uh in liability. You have Tampa Beta score zero points.
Speaker 1: Last week it was plus twelve billion. So by the way, Todd,
Speaker 1: you talked about the last play with the Bears game
Speaker 1: and the overrule change on the field, we had a
Speaker 1: guy make a very large wager and laid minus three
Speaker 1: forty that there would be a score. There would not
Speaker 1: be a scoreless quarter, so we blow. It was a
Speaker 1: huge swing for us by that being that there would
Speaker 1: not Yes, no, will there be a scoreless quarter? He said, no,
Speaker 1: the fourth quarter would have been scoreless if they don't
Speaker 1: score in the last play. So he laid he laid
Speaker 1: three forty fe mid five figures and he gets there
Speaker 1: with that last touch the goodness. And by the way,
Speaker 1: a lot of people had the Bears plus uh plus seven,
Speaker 1: like myself, And that's the Minneapolis miracle rule. You don't
Speaker 1: need to be don't but it does not change the
Speaker 1: result of the game. Yeah, though, when you google articles
Speaker 1: from right after that rule change. A lot of people
Speaker 1: like if it's the winning score, So I had to
Speaker 1: actually look it up in the rules, and it is
Speaker 1: any score. It is any score. What's happened a number
Speaker 1: of times now that where they get the touchdown the
Speaker 1: last place and they don't kick. Alright, we're down to
Speaker 1: the final two questions. Are we already here? I believe
Speaker 1: we are. We are all right? Uh, final two questions,
Speaker 1: the first of which is which of the big favorites
Speaker 1: is the most likely to lose? Outright? Outright in this
Speaker 1: Let me get back to the board. By the way,
Speaker 1: you know, Chris Andrews, it's as if he's listening in
Speaker 1: to the megapod because I just mentioned how there's a
Speaker 1: prominent off shore that has three games off the board.
Speaker 1: He just texted me randomly to tell me that the
Speaker 1: other prominent offshore, Pinnacle, has nine games currently off the board.
Speaker 1: So Pinnacle, the arbiter of beating closing line value, has
Speaker 1: nine NFL games off the board as we do this
Speaker 1: Thursday morning. Interesting. Interesting me ask you how many of
Speaker 1: them canna have off the board at about one forty
Speaker 1: five on Sunday. No, but you understand the point, Oh no,
Speaker 1: do you understand my point. We can bet all these games.
Speaker 1: After the game started and we see who's playing, we
Speaker 1: see who's doing what. You might as well just wait, folks,
Speaker 1: I know you want to go to the picnic. I
Speaker 1: know you want to go to the barbecue and get
Speaker 1: your bets in. You don't need to go to the
Speaker 1: damn barbecue. Todd wishing everybody a lot of Christmas barbecue, picnic,
Speaker 1: lot of picnics on Christmas? Okay, whatever, you get my point.
Speaker 1: I can go picked up her son some other times
Speaker 1: on Sunday. What's that Jewish holiday with the cheesecake? Todd
Speaker 1: lewis let The Gentiles love barbecue. We love it, they
Speaker 1: really do. Okay, it's not but you get my point.
Speaker 1: These people, they insist they got the game. Let's get
Speaker 1: let's slaughter one of the Oxen Barbecue. Alright. So here
Speaker 1: here are the big favorites. There's the most likely to
Speaker 1: He's a Christmas bar because a big deal, isn't it
Speaker 1: out in the backyard? Yeah, as long as the major
Speaker 1: doesn't catch fire? Tampa Bay? What do they do on Christmas? Wait,
Speaker 1: let me ask Mikey, what's the big deal on Christmas?
Speaker 1: A big Christmas dinner Christmas Day lunch for a lot
Speaker 1: of families. That's going to Mass at midnight on Christmas Eve?
Speaker 1: Is it? Do you do that? Yeah? We always do.
Speaker 1: We always go at midnight even now. Yeah, yes, If
Speaker 1: Jeff and then Jeff Schwartz were here, he would have
Speaker 1: lost his mind right now. Old, Sorry, Well, there are
Speaker 1: questions about diet and calories. I'm convinced. I like to
Speaker 1: know what Mikey is doing on Christmas. So he goes
Speaker 1: midnight Mass. Then you wake up late because you're up
Speaker 1: so late, right, I wake up late and open the
Speaker 1: presents and then go to the grandparents house in the afternoon.
Speaker 1: Oh nice, it's good and it's a big meal. There's
Speaker 1: a big meal, a big meal at the grandparents house.
Speaker 1: Because what do you have? No? No, is it turkey
Speaker 1: Flippino food? What is Filipino Christmas? Is it not turkey
Speaker 1: and stuff? Or what is it? No? What's their own food?
Speaker 1: It's just they do not that they change. It's not
Speaker 1: I mean, it's Lumpia and Olumpia, Olympia's dig I had
Speaker 1: Lumpia plus two nine fans. You know, the noodles and
Speaker 1: all this. You know what I'll bet I'll be eating
Speaker 1: Chinese food on Christmas for sure. Christmas story, yes man, alright,
Speaker 1: Tampa Bay. Which of these is most likely to lose?
Speaker 1: Out right? Tampa Bay? Uh? Ten point favorites on the
Speaker 1: road against Carolina Philly, nine and a half of ten
Speaker 1: point favorites at home against the Giants, Chargers ten points
Speaker 1: on the road against Houston. Banka Banga. Should I keep
Speaker 1: sepp in there? All right? I'll take Kansas City though,
Speaker 1: seven and a half point favorites at home against Pittsburgh
Speaker 1: and Dallas ten and a half ten point favorites at
Speaker 1: home against the Washington Football teamers. Who's the most likely
Speaker 1: to lose? Outright, Todd, I'll take uh, God, I guess
Speaker 1: I'll take what to beat the Cowboys? Cowboys? Jeff? Kansas City,
Speaker 1: Kansas City? No way are the Stillers beating the Kansas
Speaker 1: City Stillers. I love the Picksburgh Stollers. I'll be the
Speaker 1: first person to tell, Yeah, have some parogies, have a bermanies,
Speaker 1: whatever you want to have. But we're not gonna go dinner.
Speaker 1: We can't go down at Kansas City and think we're
Speaker 1: gonna come out with can't. We just don't have enough
Speaker 1: on the offensive side of the ball. Thank you, Pet Todd.
Speaker 1: I will I will say this, the Steelers have reached
Speaker 1: the point where they are so horrible that they are
Speaker 1: still that that you know, the the old SA It's
Speaker 1: so bad, it's good. That's kind of where we're at
Speaker 1: with the Steelers, where they're so terrible and they're still
Speaker 1: gonna probably find a way to have a chance to
Speaker 1: win the division. We gay team, Mikey, because we're a
Speaker 1: great organizations. I don't know that any of them are losing,
Speaker 1: or think that any of them are. But I'd have
Speaker 1: to go to the one with the coach coaching mismatch.
Speaker 1: I'll take uh the Texans to beat the Chargers. Do
Speaker 1: what you said set up. You can't wait when he
Speaker 1: wins coaching there not this year. This year, I'm gonna
Speaker 1: I'm gonna agree with my buddy Jeff Parlay and I'm
Speaker 1: going with the Kansas City Omaha Chiefs. You're just playing
Speaker 1: against that you're worried about. The second here about the Steelers.
Speaker 1: Here's the thing about the Steelers. They have on defense
Speaker 1: like four legitimate awesome players Bushes on COVID though, but
Speaker 1: like Fitzpatrick, T J. Watt of course, Joe Hayden. They
Speaker 1: have players on defense that could mess with a especially
Speaker 1: if either Kelsey or Hill can't go. Uh. I don't
Speaker 1: know how pens we're scoring. That's another story, but I
Speaker 1: think that's the most likely. It was our right because
Speaker 1: I think there's a scenario. And then the final question,
Speaker 1: Oh boy, with all these COVID things, who knows right here?
Speaker 1: But you have to make a play in every single game,
Speaker 1: but you're allowed one free pass? Jeffrey, what's the game?
Speaker 1: You want? No part of the Jacksonville Jaguars at my
Speaker 1: New York Jets. I second that, I'm going Denver, Oakland.
Speaker 1: I don't want any part of that or Denver at
Speaker 1: Las Vegas. Pardon me. I would not want to bet
Speaker 1: the Miami Dolphins against the Ian Book led New Orleans Saints. Uh,
Speaker 1: you wouldn't. You're starting to see some picks reposted Todd.
Speaker 1: You still wouldn't consider Miami even even at a coin
Speaker 1: flip against Ian Book. Well, I mean, the Saints won
Speaker 1: a game without a quarterback last week, so why can't
Speaker 1: they do it again? I don't know, I don't. I
Speaker 1: don't like that game. I'm not I'm not I'm not
Speaker 1: Miami Dolphins is not a game I wanted total might
Speaker 1: go down to thirty five. I'm just possible. We had this.
Speaker 1: We had this discussion on the numbers game. Dude to
Speaker 1: I say, conservatively, he's a top half NFL quarterback, probably
Speaker 1: thirteenth or fourteenth, even if you rank all the quarterbacks
Speaker 1: in the league. You say, what, I don't know. I
Speaker 1: think you know. I I think that once you get
Speaker 1: like past eight nine, that from ten to is like
Speaker 1: That's that's what makes my statement correct. If you go
Speaker 1: if you can go through every single team, I defy
Speaker 1: you to find fifteen quarterbacks better than two a taga
Speaker 1: La plus two for the second straight year. So last
Speaker 1: year he had the smallest separation between his receivers and
Speaker 1: the defenders, so he had to throw it into the
Speaker 1: smallest windows of any quarterback in the NFL. This year,
Speaker 1: same thing. If you take Waddle out and you could
Speaker 1: talk about all his other receivers two point two yards
Speaker 1: of separation, the guy has no help whatsoever. And by
Speaker 1: the way, Miami is still obsessed with the Shawn Watson.
Speaker 1: So after this season, I wouldn't be surprised if they
Speaker 1: picked up the Shaun Watson. I would happily take to
Speaker 1: h in the Burgundy and Gold. Where did you get
Speaker 1: that stat about the about the thing and who who's
Speaker 1: the quarterback? Get who has the most? Uh? That I
Speaker 1: do not know where did you get the stat? Though?
Speaker 1: A little Bertie, little Bertie, because I'd love to I'd
Speaker 1: love to see Dr Eric, Dr Eric, as the stats
Speaker 1: told me. Yeah, I was guessing. That's just a guess.
Speaker 1: I don't I don't know that was Dr Eric, But
Speaker 1: I think that's where it came here because it's a
Speaker 1: huge it's a huge thing that that whole who has
Speaker 1: room to throw too? If you watch these games, uh,
Speaker 1: you know, it's a gigantic thing. And people think they can,
Speaker 1: you know, they can rank the quarterbacks solely, just you can't.
Speaker 1: So much of it is who you're throwing too, and
Speaker 1: who if they're open, if they're not open, and all
Speaker 1: that stuff. Another example of how the human eye doesn't
Speaker 1: process that. But guess what does analytics? And also guilt?
Speaker 1: How about the telltale sign of all with this Tom Brady,
Speaker 1: who legitimately was going to waltz to another m v
Speaker 1: P award. All of these guys get hurt. No one
Speaker 1: can get open against New Orleans And now we're Tom
Speaker 1: Brady's the second favorite, after looking like he's gonna waltz another.
Speaker 1: Can I say that m v P should be abolished
Speaker 1: in the National Football League? It is a pure team game,
Speaker 1: the m v P. I know, Visa loves to talk
Speaker 1: about m VPS all day long in the in the
Speaker 1: I know, like like if I if I listen to
Speaker 1: the Numbers game, we're gonna have the m v P
Speaker 1: and the G league discussion of the NBA. I'm the
Speaker 1: least guilty of that. We've talked about it, maybe for
Speaker 1: five minutes a week, just a numbers game. Numbers game. Okay, sorry,
Speaker 1: I take it back, I take it back. Not a
Speaker 1: numbers game. But I hear this endless talk of m
Speaker 1: vps and and everything. Okay, fine, maybe people like it,
Speaker 1: that's fine. But in the National Football League, for God's sakes,
Speaker 1: it's a team game. It is not a a game
Speaker 1: where that leads itself to m VPS but the people
Speaker 1: trying to win money. Though, that's all I understand. I
Speaker 1: have no problem because of the swift dispensation of all
Speaker 1: the necessary things in this show, and we finished a
Speaker 1: few minutes early. Do we have time for a Christmas message?
Speaker 1: Michael with his annual Christmas. But why is he laughing?
Speaker 1: I'm assuming that we have I'm laughing because because you
Speaker 1: can't just be Christmas like one day of the year.
Speaker 1: But go ahead, you love of my Christmas is for
Speaker 1: more than Christians two years ago in the holiday reflection,
Speaker 1: and I believe our audience is ecumenical. Right, There's there's
Speaker 1: a wide variety of creeds. We are now just a
Speaker 1: few days from Christmas, and many of us are preparing
Speaker 1: to celebrate that birth of birth that happened over two
Speaker 1: thousand years ago in an occupied Middle Eastern country. Ideally,
Speaker 1: the birth of any child is a product or manifestation
Speaker 1: of love. A baby should be loved into life, irrespective
Speaker 1: of the parents or circumstances. Birth is full of wonder.
Speaker 1: People can easily become captivated staring into the face of
Speaker 1: the newborn. Such joy, such a miracle. But preparing for
Speaker 1: Christmas can be overwhelming. The decorating cards, sending Christmas plays
Speaker 1: and office parties, the ordering and shipping and shopping. Add
Speaker 1: to that the problems we face as a society. Rampant inflation,
Speaker 1: supply chain shortages, stock market gyrations, new vaccine man dates,
Speaker 1: water shortages, riots, arson, mass shootings, smash and grab robberies,
Speaker 1: and political descent, and now a new, rapidly spreading strain
Speaker 1: of the virus. How do we keep ourselves safe? How
Speaker 1: do we keep our children safe? And, for many of us,
Speaker 1: the most important question, how do we keep our elderly
Speaker 1: parents safe? That sense of being overwhelmed can easily turn
Speaker 1: into a sense of desperation or even defeat. So let's
Speaker 1: not forget the words of Luke. Fear not, for behold,
Speaker 1: I bring you good news of great joy that will
Speaker 1: be for all people. For unto you is born this
Speaker 1: day in the City of David, a savior who is
Speaker 1: Christ the Lord. Do not be afraid. This isn't the
Speaker 1: first time we've heard this message. These words were spoken
Speaker 1: to Zechariah, to Joseph, to marry and to the shepherds.
Speaker 1: They were even spoken by the Lord himself to the
Speaker 1: first witnesses of the resurrection. These are the words which
Speaker 1: signify God's deepest message of love and care toward us.
Speaker 1: Rather than wringing our hands over the worrisome state of
Speaker 1: our nation and world, we should celebrate instead a tiny baby,
Speaker 1: wrapped swaddling clothes and lying in the Bethlehem, Manger continues
Speaker 1: to overcome hate with love, evil with sacrifice, and wrong
Speaker 1: with right from our families. Dr gil Alexander Todd wished,
Speaker 1: if myself our guest Jeff Parls, we wish you and
Speaker 1: yours a very blessed and joyful Christmas. One of the
Speaker 1: most glorious messes in the world is the mess created
Speaker 1: in the living room on Christmas Day. Don't clean it
Speaker 1: up too quickly, Michael Palm. Everybody very nice. And that's
Speaker 1: the way it ended on this megapod Week sixty to
Speaker 1: the National Football League. Good luck with all your I
Speaker 1: just have to that with can you do the ice pond?
Speaker 1: Can you do the ice fund on? Mikey. That's my
Speaker 1: favorite line from Mike. I grew up. We grew up,
Speaker 1: we grew we grew up Catholics. We were just skeptical Catholics.
Speaker 1: We believe Jesus. We believe Jesus walked on water. We
Speaker 1: just thought was probably in the wintertime. My notes would be,
Speaker 1: I like the last line where you say, don't clean
Speaker 1: it up too quickly, so I could have done without
Speaker 1: the Christ of the Lord part. Believe differently, Todd and
Speaker 1: I wins a little bit on that he didn't how
Speaker 1: he was sitting back in the chair and join it. No,
Speaker 1: I just I find I find the whole thing hysterical
Speaker 1: because we're all gonna act christ Like on one day
Speaker 1: of the year, and three sixty four days a year,
Speaker 1: we're gonna act the way the normal thing is. But whatever,
Speaker 1: it's all good. Well, I think it's a lovely in spirit.
Speaker 1: It's a lovely message, thank you, thank you, Like Palm,
Speaker 1: known for many things, including his yearly Christmas message, good
Speaker 1: luck with all your bets and by the way, can
Speaker 1: I end it? That's ended? Good luck with all your bets.
Speaker 1: Week sixty to the NFL. Happy holidays, everybody,