WEBVTT - Beating The Book: 2021 NFL MegaPod Week 16 Preview 0:00:03.440 --> 0:00:13.800 Check it on Man No Down Thursday morning, December one, 0:00:13.800 --> 0:00:18.520 Festivus for the rest of US Megapod Week sixteen National 0:00:18.560 --> 0:00:21.560 Football League Live from the D. It's Gil Alexander. Glad 0:00:21.560 --> 0:00:24.400 you could join us from our home at the D 0:00:24.560 --> 0:00:28.280 with our big shield table and a packed crowd. Here 0:00:28.800 --> 0:00:33.160 uh the day before Christmas Eve and Christmas Day. Mike Palm, 0:00:33.240 --> 0:00:37.199 the vice president Operations, Circuit Sports Derek Derek Steven's conciliary. 0:00:37.240 --> 0:00:39.360 By the way, thanks for having Derek on with us. 0:00:38.760 --> 0:00:42.320 He called the Lions out right over the Cardinal. He 0:00:42.360 --> 0:00:45.040 did he called it. He did call it. Todd wished 0:00:45.040 --> 0:00:47.040 ever from his mom's cork attic in Pittsburgh, PA. How 0:00:47.040 --> 0:00:51.080 you doing, Toddy. We're a college ship. Thanks for We're 0:00:51.120 --> 0:00:54.840 in a college. He's being stupid and ladies and gentlemen 0:00:55.800 --> 0:01:00.000 are rotating. Guest on the Megapod. Jeff Parlay, producer number 0:01:00.160 --> 0:01:01.680 five and eight of the Numbers Game to Grow. We're 0:01:01.680 --> 0:01:04.679 clevand Up producers and also the hosts of bet Center 0:01:05.560 --> 0:01:10.839 on Christmas Day, Christmas Day afternoon ish at Visa four 0:01:10.880 --> 0:01:13.440 hours on Christmas Day. From young Jeff Parlay, who by 0:01:13.480 --> 0:01:15.320 the way, goes by the name Jeff Pearls when he 0:01:15.360 --> 0:01:17.840 does Bet Center. Are you doing, Jeffreys? Thanks for a 0:01:17.880 --> 0:01:21.760 man of many names apparently now, Gill and every Saturday, 0:01:21.760 --> 0:01:24.360 not every time, not just not just Christmas Day. I 0:01:24.360 --> 0:01:25.959 just happened to be alone and that happened to have 0:01:26.400 --> 0:01:30.800 multiple segments with Young Gil on Joes have to volunteer. 0:01:31.080 --> 0:01:36.319 We we volunteer on Christmas coming into studio. I'm not crazy. 0:01:36.360 --> 0:01:38.120 I'm not I'm not Are you leaving town? Are you 0:01:38.160 --> 0:01:41.080 going to San Francisco? But I used to do it 0:01:41.120 --> 0:01:42.680 when I was at Camel. I used to volunteer for 0:01:42.680 --> 0:01:45.520 shifts on Christmas. At least we could do so. At 0:01:45.600 --> 0:01:47.120 least we could do. We all celebrate the christ So 0:01:47.240 --> 0:01:49.680 you work on Young kiphor but yet you will you 0:01:49.880 --> 0:01:53.240 won't work, but you will work on Christmas. Wow. I'm 0:01:53.280 --> 0:01:55.280 not sure where they cut. I don't know what the 0:01:55.280 --> 0:01:57.960 contradiction was. I don't know what I'm I don't know 0:01:58.000 --> 0:02:03.800 what I'm saying. Actually, Okay, Mikey. First off, we're down 0:02:03.840 --> 0:02:07.800 to sixteen and Survivor and we have the Christmas three 0:02:07.840 --> 0:02:11.040 game fest about to happen. What are the deadlines on 0:02:11.080 --> 0:02:13.760 all of these? That's a very interesting point. Gil If 0:02:13.800 --> 0:02:17.160 you're using either the forty or the Titans tonight, it's 0:02:17.200 --> 0:02:19.160 got to be before kick. I'd get it in before 0:02:20.720 --> 0:02:22.560 because it will shut off in the computer, not actually 0:02:22.600 --> 0:02:25.119 win the kick, but whenever the game is is scheduled 0:02:25.120 --> 0:02:27.000 to go in the computer, in the in the software. 0:02:27.560 --> 0:02:30.359 If you're not, if you're using one of the Saturday games, 0:02:30.360 --> 0:02:33.760 your deadline is ten pm Pacific Friday night, one am 0:02:33.800 --> 0:02:37.680 Eastern Saturday morning, and then there's a nine hour window. 0:02:37.720 --> 0:02:41.560 If you survive this three game window on your phone 0:02:42.120 --> 0:02:45.200 at the counter on the kiosk, it will populate your 0:02:45.200 --> 0:02:48.880 survivor at midnight Saturday night into Sunday morning, and the 0:02:48.919 --> 0:02:52.680 picks must be in by nine am, wow, hour before kick. 0:02:53.360 --> 0:02:56.160 No one's gonna mess this up, right, No, you're solely 0:02:56.200 --> 0:03:03.040 sixteen seventy five thousand dollar intrinsic value, sixteen entries out 0:03:03.080 --> 0:03:07.639 of four thousand eighty nobody has multiple entries anymore. Sixteen people. 0:03:07.680 --> 0:03:10.280 And so what's interesting about this, and again this is 0:03:10.320 --> 0:03:12.720 like the Thanksgiving Cork where there were three games. What's 0:03:12.720 --> 0:03:15.160 interesting that most of us who were in this, we're 0:03:15.400 --> 0:03:19.360 sort of earmarking Arizona as the team to save. But 0:03:19.440 --> 0:03:24.240 that has obviously changed as Arizona has fallen on hard 0:03:24.240 --> 0:03:27.760 times and the real team. The real advantage is that 0:03:27.840 --> 0:03:30.800 eight of those remaining sixteen have green Bay left. What 0:03:30.880 --> 0:03:33.639 are the odds that eight don't take green Bay? I mean, 0:03:33.639 --> 0:03:35.440 I put it as high. I would be shocked. If 0:03:35.480 --> 0:03:41.119 there aren't be shocked, it's gonna have to take. That's 0:03:41.120 --> 0:03:43.480 your advantage. But then, now where do you go? No Colts? 0:03:43.480 --> 0:03:45.440 No one has the Colts left. So if you don't 0:03:45.480 --> 0:03:47.400 have green Bay, if you're one of those eight people, 0:03:47.600 --> 0:03:50.000 do you go forty Niners, Titans or Cardinals? Those are 0:03:50.000 --> 0:03:53.560 your three choices. I would take San Francisco tonight, That's 0:03:53.560 --> 0:03:55.600 what I would do. I just with with those offensive 0:03:55.640 --> 0:03:58.480 line injuries for Tennessee. I think San Francisco's D line 0:03:58.520 --> 0:04:00.760 is going to dominate the game. I know Gil already 0:04:00.760 --> 0:04:02.640 has the Titans getting three and a half and in 0:04:02.640 --> 0:04:04.800 his account, I know A. J. Brown is back, But 0:04:04.840 --> 0:04:06.960 I think San Francisco's defense is gonna be too much. 0:04:07.280 --> 0:04:09.520 I don't think you could properly evaluate Tennessee. I think 0:04:09.520 --> 0:04:11.880 they've they've tried to replace what Derrick Henry gave him 0:04:11.880 --> 0:04:13.480 with a short passing game. Only problem is they didn't 0:04:13.480 --> 0:04:15.400 have Julio Jones or A J. Brown mos at this time. 0:04:15.680 --> 0:04:19.200 Now they do, so I think that that mitigates the 0:04:19.240 --> 0:04:22.400 offensive line trouble. But we'll see. Some people just have 0:04:22.720 --> 0:04:25.080 a strict policy they don't take road teams, and that 0:04:25.120 --> 0:04:27.680 would forbid them from taking Tennessee. So then you're from 0:04:27.720 --> 0:04:30.000 San Francisco. So then you're left with Tennessee or Arizona. 0:04:30.160 --> 0:04:32.640 I don't like Arizona at all. I think the coast 0:04:32.680 --> 0:04:34.599 will be favored by the time they kicked that game, 0:04:34.720 --> 0:04:38.960 so I would be forced if I didn't play a 0:04:39.040 --> 0:04:41.159 road team to take Tennessee in the game. The answer 0:04:41.200 --> 0:04:44.280 is this an impossible choice. It's a Hobson's choice hops 0:04:45.160 --> 0:04:52.480 good college Hobson's choice named after Butch Hobson. But you 0:04:52.560 --> 0:04:56.840 know I was it after Dennis Hopson, and they just 0:04:57.279 --> 0:04:59.320 spilled it road. What or the other wasn Dennis Hopson 0:04:59.320 --> 0:05:03.200 didn't play ball some Ohio states. I think he was 0:05:03.240 --> 0:05:06.120 in there with Granville Waiters somewhere during Grandville's eighteen years 0:05:06.200 --> 0:05:10.800 in Columbus. Grandville Waiters the last NBA player that didn't 0:05:10.880 --> 0:05:13.560 shave the head. He just decided, I'm gonna let it 0:05:13.680 --> 0:05:15.400 grow out on my sides and I'm gonna have a 0:05:15.520 --> 0:05:18.080 huge bald spot on baldhead on top of it. He 0:05:18.160 --> 0:05:19.960 was starting to bald while he was still in Columbus. 0:05:20.040 --> 0:05:22.760 I think he was there that long. But yes, it's well. 0:05:22.800 --> 0:05:24.720 He played early Jordan's He was on the court with 0:05:24.839 --> 0:05:30.480 Jordan Granville Waiter. He had a COVID year dat I believe. Alright, 0:05:30.680 --> 0:05:32.760 So then, Todd, how did we do last week on 0:05:32.880 --> 0:05:35.599 this here show? Well, I just I want to say 0:05:35.720 --> 0:05:39.640 it was a Christmas festivous miracle because Michael Palm took 0:05:39.720 --> 0:05:43.919 it real bad last week. He went oh and three 0:05:44.560 --> 0:05:47.559 with the Brownies, which he did not deserve to lose, 0:05:47.839 --> 0:05:51.000 with the Miami Dolphins, which he probably deserved to lose, 0:05:51.360 --> 0:05:53.599 and the over forty six and a half in Atlanta 0:05:53.600 --> 0:05:57.280 San Francisco, which was one of the worst losses. They 0:05:57.360 --> 0:06:00.280 had about a hundred billion points in the third order, 0:06:00.320 --> 0:06:01.760 and then all of a sudden, I can see it 0:06:01.920 --> 0:06:03.720 coming from a mile away. I was like, I was 0:06:03.839 --> 0:06:05.640 rooting against you the whole fourth quarter. I was like, 0:06:05.920 --> 0:06:09.920 come on. Every time Mattie Ice would get it inside 0:06:09.960 --> 0:06:13.040 the ten with his Philip Rivers junior impersonation, I was like, Mike, 0:06:13.080 --> 0:06:14.880 he's gonna be real upset when he doesn't get it 0:06:14.960 --> 0:06:18.920 in here and you ended up with an oh and three. 0:06:19.800 --> 0:06:22.280 Just move just to be accurate about that before you 0:06:22.320 --> 0:06:28.520 give the records. Uh, Atlanta went for it down eighteen well, 0:06:28.560 --> 0:06:30.440 first of all, fourth and goal at the one two 0:06:30.480 --> 0:06:31.920 and a half minutes into the game, right and you 0:06:31.960 --> 0:06:33.760 think you're gonna knock him out and knock the forty 0:06:33.839 --> 0:06:35.920 niners out with a touchdown, only take the boys. Just 0:06:36.080 --> 0:06:38.240 kick the field, just kick it. You ran it, ran it, 0:06:38.279 --> 0:06:40.200 didn't get it in kick the field. Not only that, 0:06:40.400 --> 0:06:44.080 cour Darryl Patterson was in the end zone on first 0:06:44.120 --> 0:06:48.040 own and they and they reversed it to no touchdown. 0:06:48.600 --> 0:06:50.280 He by the way, they blew it on second and 0:06:50.320 --> 0:06:52.880 third down also from goal line. Cordarrel Patterson stuffed on 0:06:52.960 --> 0:06:54.800 third down and so then they go for it fourth 0:06:54.839 --> 0:07:01.320 and one and they missed. Then Uh, fourth down eighteen thirteen, 0:07:01.400 --> 0:07:03.479 fourth and one at the eight ten forty two left 0:07:03.680 --> 0:07:05.760 they failed to convert. Then fourth and go at the 0:07:05.880 --> 0:07:08.680 one down thirty one thirteen, they failed to convert. It 0:07:08.880 --> 0:07:11.400 is an eighteen point deficit. Like you have to have 0:07:11.640 --> 0:07:13.960 three scores, the one with twelve minutes left is unforgiven. 0:07:14.120 --> 0:07:16.960 I forget to get it down to two scores. Yes, yes, 0:07:19.000 --> 0:07:21.640 but anyways, I was laughing my head off every time 0:07:21.720 --> 0:07:23.920 on third and six they'd get five yards. It was 0:07:24.000 --> 0:07:27.440 impossibly on top of what, on top of what happened 0:07:27.480 --> 0:07:30.240 to Mike in his regular picks. In his teaser pick, 0:07:30.600 --> 0:07:34.360 he has the Carolina Panthers plus seventeen. It's fourth and two. 0:07:34.440 --> 0:07:37.800 They're down ten from the eleven yard line, and the 0:07:38.280 --> 0:07:40.600 Bills could either kick the field go to go up thirteen, 0:07:40.680 --> 0:07:42.240 or they could just run it into the line to 0:07:42.280 --> 0:07:44.240 get the first down, or run in the line don't 0:07:44.240 --> 0:07:46.640 get the first down. Instead they fake it and throw 0:07:46.680 --> 0:07:49.320 a little dinker pass for the touchdown and they lose 0:07:49.440 --> 0:07:53.240 my seventeen. So it was everything could possibly go wrong. 0:07:53.440 --> 0:07:56.680 My good friend Mikey Palm went wrong, so he pushed 0:07:56.720 --> 0:08:00.480 his teaser as well. So anyways, Gilly had an nice week, 0:08:01.760 --> 0:08:03.600 he heard him at the end. But me and gil 0:08:03.680 --> 0:08:06.160 both want somehow we both won with the Bengals there, 0:08:06.240 --> 0:08:08.280 gil Um. You know, late in the first half there 0:08:08.400 --> 0:08:11.360 was a huge, huge situation where Denver missed the field 0:08:11.400 --> 0:08:14.600 goals and and then the Bengals got a lucky field goal, 0:08:14.960 --> 0:08:16.800 and then it was you know, at that point, I 0:08:16.880 --> 0:08:18.720 was thought, Okay, now we're gonna we're gonna cover this, 0:08:18.920 --> 0:08:20.840 so let's just let's give the details on that. So 0:08:21.080 --> 0:08:25.040 McManus misses a fifty one yard field goal with about 0:08:25.080 --> 0:08:27.640 seventeen seconds left, somewhere in that pocket, and I just 0:08:27.760 --> 0:08:29.920 figured the first half, first half because I just thought 0:08:30.080 --> 0:08:32.160 the Bengal I had the Bengals first half. I was like, oh, 0:08:32.280 --> 0:08:33.960 thank god, he missed it. Oh my god, I'm gonna 0:08:33.960 --> 0:08:35.679 get the push. I had the money line and it 0:08:35.760 --> 0:08:40.000 was tied at three a piece and push yes. So 0:08:40.160 --> 0:08:43.120 I kind of lose my you know, attention, and I'm 0:08:43.160 --> 0:08:44.839 doing something else, and all of a sudden, like I 0:08:44.960 --> 0:08:48.680 hear the announcer going big pass from Borrow. I'm like, wait, 0:08:49.080 --> 0:08:51.520 they ran a play, not only they want to play. 0:08:51.920 --> 0:08:53.400 It's like a seventeen or I think it was a 0:08:53.480 --> 0:08:57.400 nineteen yard pass play. He gets mcfierson a fifty eight 0:08:57.480 --> 0:08:59.800 yard attempt and he sinks it. It would have been good. 0:08:59.840 --> 0:09:04.679 From we think about that game against Screen Bay where 0:09:04.720 --> 0:09:07.640 he missed all the game. He's been great. He really 0:09:07.720 --> 0:09:10.439 had one bad core of the entire season, and it's 0:09:10.480 --> 0:09:13.240 the one everyone remembers and to guild to your point. 0:09:15.200 --> 0:09:18.440 I had legitimately gotten up from my chair and got 0:09:18.520 --> 0:09:20.559 back and so wait a second, you're lining up for 0:09:20.640 --> 0:09:24.079 a vehicle on there. But look, that's just that's just 0:09:24.200 --> 0:09:27.040 Fannie pack Vick and in his glory, they're getting us 0:09:27.080 --> 0:09:29.400 that extra three. And who at the end who also 0:09:29.520 --> 0:09:32.400 blew it at the end of the game. He blew 0:09:32.520 --> 0:09:35.800 the time outs because Cincinnati. So Cincinnati's up fifteen to 0:09:35.840 --> 0:09:37.760 tend the eventual final score at the end of the game, 0:09:38.440 --> 0:09:42.440 and Fangio ended up calling a time out too early, 0:09:42.800 --> 0:09:45.040 and so Cincinnati ended up with a fourth down at 0:09:45.080 --> 0:09:47.600 the two minute warning. Denver had no time outs. Had 0:09:47.679 --> 0:09:52.000 Fangio used it earlier, Cincinnati would have had to have 0:09:52.080 --> 0:09:54.280 run their fourth down play prior to the to the 0:09:54.360 --> 0:09:56.520 two minute warning, and they would have had two minutes 0:09:56.559 --> 0:09:59.280 to work with instead. He just completely screwed the Broncos, 0:09:59.520 --> 0:10:02.040 screwed his old team. But they weren't going to score anyways. 0:10:02.600 --> 0:10:05.079 It doesn't matter. No, no, I'm with you, no, no, no, 0:10:05.120 --> 0:10:07.000 I'm with you about all that. I'm just saying. We 0:10:07.080 --> 0:10:09.280 know the Broncos, they weren't getting in touchdown and anyways, 0:10:09.280 --> 0:10:11.520 they weren't getting a touchdown, and the two point conversion 0:10:11.559 --> 0:10:13.839 to beat us Todd. They had the greatest drive in 0:10:13.880 --> 0:10:15.600 the history of the league at the end of the game, 0:10:15.679 --> 0:10:18.680 down five, where they went backwards and then Lock fired 0:10:18.720 --> 0:10:21.080 the ball fifty yards at a bounce on fourth and eighteen. 0:10:21.160 --> 0:10:22.880 But you know, we were talking about this, Matt Brown 0:10:22.920 --> 0:10:24.319 and on a primes I was like, we we both 0:10:24.360 --> 0:10:27.559 had the Bengals too. And when Locke came in the game, 0:10:28.280 --> 0:10:31.840 Lock is just scary enough where you're not really thrilled 0:10:31.920 --> 0:10:34.679 with it, where you're like that guy. He when he's bad, 0:10:34.760 --> 0:10:39.559 he's bad, but when he's good, he's kind of really good. Variance. 0:10:39.920 --> 0:10:42.120 So and and you know, you felt bad for Teddy 0:10:42.120 --> 0:10:45.120 Bridgewater got knocked down the third quarter, but that was 0:10:45.240 --> 0:10:47.679 not a that was not a you know, a happy 0:10:47.760 --> 0:10:50.079 thing to see Lock come in. Anyway. I'm sorry interrupted you, 0:10:50.160 --> 0:10:52.920 but so we ended up anyways. Anyway, So you went 0:10:53.000 --> 0:10:55.920 too and one Gilly to now Gilly Ice moved into 0:10:56.000 --> 0:11:00.800 first plance a Mike and and I am a half 0:11:00.840 --> 0:11:05.040 game behind Mike yet nineteen and twenty six we are struggling. 0:11:05.720 --> 0:11:09.640 Uh one other thing, one other thing. Can I just 0:11:10.240 --> 0:11:12.600 give a shout out to whoever? And Mike probably knows 0:11:12.640 --> 0:11:15.240 the name of the referee, but whoever the referee was. 0:11:15.320 --> 0:11:17.160 At the end of the Bears game, I had the 0:11:17.200 --> 0:11:20.679 Bears plus eleven. I had the Bears plus. I had 0:11:20.760 --> 0:11:24.559 Bears plus fifteen, and the Bears plus the team was 0:11:24.600 --> 0:11:26.640 already in, but had Bears plus eleven. And every time 0:11:26.679 --> 0:11:28.720 they get down there in the fourth quarter, they had 0:11:28.800 --> 0:11:30.880 like a thousand chances to cut it from fourteen to 0:11:31.000 --> 0:11:34.840 seven to fourteen to eight or whatever it is at 0:11:34.880 --> 0:11:37.400 the way, and they they were that touchdown, by the way, 0:11:38.080 --> 0:11:40.760 that and by the way, that touchdown helped me, and 0:11:40.880 --> 0:11:42.800 I want that was not a touchdown. The guy didn't. 0:11:42.800 --> 0:11:46.000 He babbled the ball, did you see what a quick 0:11:46.080 --> 0:11:48.160 what a quick review it? Once though, I mean, like 0:11:48.320 --> 0:11:49.959 like what to the reviewing and all they popped the 0:11:50.000 --> 0:11:53.120 score up final like getting the touchdown. Well, no, they 0:11:53.160 --> 0:11:55.400 said they changed I think it was a New York 0:11:55.520 --> 0:11:57.880 deal where they changed it on the field before the review. 0:11:58.360 --> 0:12:00.599 So they said, they said that they really should have 0:12:00.679 --> 0:12:03.400 reviewed it, but they changed it on the field and 0:12:03.400 --> 0:12:05.079 they said, first no, tesch and they said, on the 0:12:05.160 --> 0:12:06.920 field the score is a touchdown. And then we're not 0:12:07.000 --> 0:12:09.920 reviewing it, which you know I was. I was going crazy, 0:12:09.960 --> 0:12:12.240 hallelujah that that I get the cover, but you know, 0:12:12.320 --> 0:12:14.640 a cover you certainly deserve if you have the Bears 0:12:14.760 --> 0:12:16.640 plus eleven on the in game at that point, the 0:12:16.679 --> 0:12:19.079 Bears were inside that you know, the ten yard line 0:12:19.120 --> 0:12:20.719 of Minnesota in the fourth quarter, like I don't know 0:12:20.800 --> 0:12:26.079 th times Cousins through for seventy seven yard It was 0:12:26.120 --> 0:12:28.560 a joke, it was I think about it. We've had 0:12:28.600 --> 0:12:32.320 winning quarterbacks now. Cousins through for eighty seven, Carson Wentz 0:12:32.400 --> 0:12:34.840 through for fifty seven and that win over the Colts, 0:12:34.840 --> 0:12:38.079 and then most famously Mac Jones through for nineteen that 0:12:38.280 --> 0:12:43.640 came against the Bills. That's the greatest thing ever. I 0:12:43.679 --> 0:12:46.000 never got. What you didn't understand was that I was 0:12:46.080 --> 0:12:51.000 swirling winds. Cousins does everything you can't do to help. Anyways, 0:12:51.040 --> 0:12:54.760 what are the team? The teaser? The teaser records Gilly 0:12:54.840 --> 0:12:57.520 moves to seven seven and one. Mikey is also seven 0:12:57.600 --> 0:13:00.520 seven and one, and I am nine and six. So 0:13:00.679 --> 0:13:03.120 that's where we are on the teasers. So hopefully we 0:13:03.200 --> 0:13:05.599 can turn it around here. It's a looks tough to 0:13:05.679 --> 0:13:09.000 me this week again, so we'll see. Alright, Uh, let's 0:13:09.160 --> 0:13:13.520 talk about game tonight. Any plays here, I already have 0:13:14.640 --> 0:13:17.120 the Titans plus three and a half. I'm on the Titans. 0:13:17.240 --> 0:13:20.680 I think the return of A J. Brown and Julio Jones, 0:13:20.720 --> 0:13:22.880 by the way, who can't finish games with hamsteing problems, 0:13:22.880 --> 0:13:25.320 but apparently it's fine to go here tonight. I actually 0:13:25.400 --> 0:13:27.720 think that's a huge thing. I know that the Titans 0:13:27.760 --> 0:13:30.080 are without two of their offensive linemen, including Taylor the lawn, 0:13:30.800 --> 0:13:32.320 but you get when it was three and a half, 0:13:32.400 --> 0:13:35.400 I grabbed it. I think the Titans are extremely hard 0:13:35.440 --> 0:13:38.040 to evaluate because their last three losses they've been minus 0:13:38.240 --> 0:13:42.520 thirteen in turnovers, minus thirteen. They held the Steelers to 0:13:42.600 --> 0:13:45.319 twelve first downs in a hundred sixty eight total yards. 0:13:45.520 --> 0:13:47.559 Their defense has been playing well. So I like the 0:13:47.600 --> 0:13:49.800 Titans tonight. Todd, do you have any thoughts on this one. 0:13:50.840 --> 0:13:53.320 I lean Titans too because I like, I'm not gonna 0:13:53.360 --> 0:13:55.679 play it, but I lean Titans just because I like 0:13:55.960 --> 0:13:58.760 Rabel in this kind of scenario where you know he's 0:13:58.760 --> 0:14:01.760 playing a good team, they're at home, Jimmy g who 0:14:01.840 --> 0:14:03.880 knows what you're gonna get? He could, you know, throw 0:14:04.040 --> 0:14:06.640 three accidental picks and they drop him where they catch him. 0:14:06.960 --> 0:14:08.959 I don't know this just this just smells to me 0:14:09.120 --> 0:14:11.480 like Titans at home. Plus three sounds like a lot 0:14:12.679 --> 0:14:15.960 to get. So if I anything, I'd lean on the Titans. 0:14:17.160 --> 0:14:19.920 They're showing Game six of the World Series between the 0:14:20.160 --> 0:14:24.120 Cubs and the Indians up here. I'll take. I'll take. 0:14:24.200 --> 0:14:27.960 I think of the Cubs. I'm not sure. Russell Grant 0:14:28.000 --> 0:14:32.360 slam later in the game. Arietta, right, Arietta come back 0:14:32.400 --> 0:14:34.000 in one game six for them. I don't remember. I 0:14:34.040 --> 0:14:40.560 don't remember, I remember fake to All I remember is 0:14:41.320 --> 0:14:45.560 Raji davis Is seven game seven home run, three run 0:14:45.640 --> 0:14:49.640 homer to tie it up off with a choked up 0:14:49.760 --> 0:14:53.200 to strike back would have been if Cleveland had held on, 0:14:53.560 --> 0:14:56.440 would have been one of the greatest moments in modern 0:14:56.520 --> 0:14:58.840 baseball history. And no one talks about it more because 0:14:58.840 --> 0:15:02.400 they lost. No agree with you there, Gil, And then 0:15:02.480 --> 0:15:05.520 that was what a what a what a great baseball game? 0:15:05.600 --> 0:15:08.280 Now was really well, it's kind of like the sport 0:15:08.360 --> 0:15:12.840 peaked and at that exact moment, so great. Okay, you guys, 0:15:13.000 --> 0:15:15.000 Mike and he thought on the game, I like it over, 0:15:15.440 --> 0:15:17.080 you do, I do like it over. I think San 0:15:17.120 --> 0:15:19.880 Francisco is moving the ball despite Garoppolo, right, I mean 0:15:20.440 --> 0:15:22.520 to me, when I watched Jimmy Garoppolo, it's like the 0:15:22.640 --> 0:15:24.760 angle of the football when he throws it right. I 0:15:24.800 --> 0:15:28.160 mean he he gets the angle wrong coming out of 0:15:28.240 --> 0:15:29.720 his hand and it can go way high. I can 0:15:29.760 --> 0:15:33.000 go release. Yeah, But the angle of the football when 0:15:33.000 --> 0:15:35.120 he releases it like that, the nose of the football. 0:15:35.480 --> 0:15:37.440 You gotta watch that because he gets out of kilter 0:15:37.560 --> 0:15:39.120 with it and then it takes him a while. But 0:15:39.600 --> 0:15:41.720 I think both these teams I agree with Gil. I 0:15:41.800 --> 0:15:44.080 think Tennessee will be able to move the ball to 0:15:44.200 --> 0:15:46.280 not a little bit on San Francisco. At to Todd's point, 0:15:46.400 --> 0:15:48.800 Garoppolo can score for both teams. You know he can. 0:15:48.880 --> 0:15:50.560 He can do that. So I'm gonna go back to 0:15:50.640 --> 0:15:52.320 the well bet in a forty nine years game over 0:15:52.400 --> 0:15:55.240 this is my third best bet Todd over forty four 0:15:55.240 --> 0:15:59.560 and a half over forty four and a half Titans. 0:15:59.640 --> 0:16:02.200 I'm gonna make the Titans plus three my third as well. 0:16:03.160 --> 0:16:04.400 Now it's not three and a half, which I have 0:16:04.440 --> 0:16:05.720 in my account, but I'll take it. I'll take the 0:16:05.720 --> 0:16:10.040 plus three is my third best. Tennessee plus three, yes, sir, 0:16:12.600 --> 0:16:15.160 no no official play here. I would lean to the 0:16:15.280 --> 0:16:19.480 Niners they're just playing so well. The only concern I 0:16:19.600 --> 0:16:23.040 understand getting Brown back is a big deal for the Titans, 0:16:23.200 --> 0:16:25.600 But the big issue more than anything for San Francisco 0:16:25.800 --> 0:16:28.080 is that travel on a short week. We're going two 0:16:28.160 --> 0:16:31.000 time zones. It's about as long as they're gonna make 0:16:31.040 --> 0:16:33.720 a team travel on a short week. So a little 0:16:33.760 --> 0:16:35.720 bit of a concern there, But in the end, I 0:16:36.000 --> 0:16:37.920 just think the Niners are much better than the Titans 0:16:37.960 --> 0:16:41.240 at the moment, even with Brown and Jones playing. Uh, 0:16:41.320 --> 0:16:43.640 talk to me when Derrick Henry is back into into 0:16:43.800 --> 0:16:46.120 three weeks for Tennessee and its whole different story. Though 0:16:46.560 --> 0:16:48.280 Tennessee one of these teams that can still get a 0:16:48.400 --> 0:16:50.320 number one seed. They can still be knocked out of 0:16:50.360 --> 0:16:53.320 the playoffs in the a f C. All right, let's 0:16:53.360 --> 0:16:56.840 start with the best bets then, Jeff, you are the guest. 0:16:57.000 --> 0:17:01.040 Jeff Parles, Ladies and gentlemen, par lay your number one 0:17:01.120 --> 0:17:04.040 best bet would be well, as we sat down, because 0:17:04.080 --> 0:17:06.600 we can't go more than five minutes without COVID news 0:17:06.720 --> 0:17:09.920 at this point. Uh, my number one play is going 0:17:10.080 --> 0:17:13.040 to stay despite the bad news against the side. I 0:17:13.200 --> 0:17:16.520 like Dalvin Cook is on the COVID list. Dalvin Cook 0:17:16.640 --> 0:17:19.560 is unvaccinated, so he is not going to be able 0:17:19.600 --> 0:17:23.760 to play Jesus. But Gil, as you've mentioned in the past, 0:17:24.280 --> 0:17:27.119 they have as good of a backup as anyone behind 0:17:27.240 --> 0:17:30.159 Dalvin Cook, and he was just activated yesterday from the 0:17:30.280 --> 0:17:33.840 COVID list. So Alexander Madison is going to be able 0:17:33.880 --> 0:17:37.400 to go. And they play the Rams. They're getting three. 0:17:37.520 --> 0:17:39.280 We're starting to see we're gonna see a three and 0:17:39.320 --> 0:17:42.000 a half on this game. I would imagine, uh soon 0:17:43.000 --> 0:17:46.240 behind us three minus one fifteen on the Rams. So 0:17:46.880 --> 0:17:48.480 hopefully we'll see a three and a half. But even 0:17:48.520 --> 0:17:51.680 at three, I like Minnesota in this game getting the 0:17:51.760 --> 0:17:54.600 points against the Rams. Are you seeing the line on 0:17:54.680 --> 0:17:56.960 this anywhere right now? I'm seeing it, and I'm seeing 0:17:57.000 --> 0:18:00.000 it in spots you guys, Yeah, I still see three, 0:18:00.840 --> 0:18:04.040 um on this. I know off the board in some spots. Um, 0:18:04.200 --> 0:18:06.400 But I would imagine what Cook's gonna mean a half 0:18:06.480 --> 0:18:11.080 point appointed most So Look, it's good at good at three, 0:18:11.160 --> 0:18:12.880 good to three and a half, obviously better than four. 0:18:13.680 --> 0:18:17.760 But look, even though the Rams beat Arizona two weeks ago, 0:18:18.040 --> 0:18:19.399 you have to take that win with a grain of 0:18:19.440 --> 0:18:22.720 salt after what we saw from Arizona against Detroit, and 0:18:22.800 --> 0:18:26.040 what we saw really Arizona was was was backtracking a 0:18:26.080 --> 0:18:29.080 little bit leading in to that loss against the Rams 0:18:29.119 --> 0:18:31.959 and Minnesota. They're playing for the playoff lives if they 0:18:32.080 --> 0:18:34.440 lose a game. Now the news in New Orleans kind 0:18:34.440 --> 0:18:37.200 of makes that a little a little more complicated that race. 0:18:37.800 --> 0:18:40.119 But if they lose a game, it's hard for them 0:18:40.200 --> 0:18:42.560 to get in because Philadelphia probably is gonna be his 0:18:42.680 --> 0:18:44.880 big favorite this week, gonna be favorite on the road 0:18:44.920 --> 0:18:47.640 in Washington next week, and then Dallas might not play 0:18:47.680 --> 0:18:50.680 their guys week eight teen. So I like Minnesota plus 0:18:50.760 --> 0:18:53.120 the three that will be my number one for this week. 0:18:53.600 --> 0:18:55.520 So what can I just say? Also something that the 0:18:55.680 --> 0:18:58.520 running backs make absolutely no difference. Did you see the 0:18:58.560 --> 0:19:02.280 Tennessee running backs Foreman running for like a million yards 0:19:02.320 --> 0:19:06.040 against the Steelers? If if there are holes, there are holes, nausea. 0:19:06.160 --> 0:19:10.359 Harris is a fantastic running back. There are no holes. 0:19:10.440 --> 0:19:13.680 Wait a minute, okay, if if there take the wrong example. 0:19:13.760 --> 0:19:15.640 The one team where it does matter is the Tennessee 0:19:15.880 --> 0:19:19.359 No I understand. I know Derrick Henry Is is a standout, 0:19:19.640 --> 0:19:21.960 and He's all I'm trying to say is the best 0:19:22.080 --> 0:19:27.000 running back is like ten better than the worst running back, 0:19:27.040 --> 0:19:30.520 whereas other positions it can be sixty and better. Yes, 0:19:30.640 --> 0:19:32.600 that's all I'm trying to say. And Derrick Henry might, 0:19:33.040 --> 0:19:35.280 and Derrick Henry might be the number one running back 0:19:35.280 --> 0:19:36.960 who's better than all other running backs, and he's a 0:19:37.040 --> 0:19:41.040 one point two versus everybody else is a one. You 0:19:41.119 --> 0:19:43.720 agree with what I'm saying. I agree generally, speaking with 0:19:43.800 --> 0:19:45.600 what you're saying. Yes, that running back is not a 0:19:45.960 --> 0:19:49.760 is not a super important position, but there are outliers everywhere, 0:19:49.760 --> 0:19:52.359 and Derrick Henry would be the one outlier. Uh. I 0:19:52.440 --> 0:19:54.680 only used the example of Foreman just because it shows 0:19:54.680 --> 0:19:57.400 that Tennessee has a good line and that's why. It's 0:19:57.400 --> 0:19:59.680 another reason why Derrick Henry looks so good. Now, granted 0:19:59.720 --> 0:20:03.640 he's fantastic. Let me get back on on on point here. 0:20:03.960 --> 0:20:06.200 What what Jeff was referring to in case those have 0:20:06.240 --> 0:20:08.480 missed it again, We're doing this Thursday morning, and every 0:20:08.600 --> 0:20:10.320 moment there's a different bit of COVID news. So he's 0:20:10.320 --> 0:20:12.719 talking about Dalvin Cook is on the COVID list, Alexander 0:20:12.760 --> 0:20:16.000