1 00:00:01,240 --> 00:00:07,120 Speaker 1: The volume. It's the Colin Coward Podcast presented by Fan 2 00:00:07,200 --> 00:00:10,000 Speaker 1: Duel Football Seasons in full gear. No better place to 3 00:00:10,039 --> 00:00:13,880 Speaker 1: get in on the action than Fan Duel FanDuel app 4 00:00:14,000 --> 00:00:16,840 Speaker 1: is safe. You get paid fast, A lot of ways 5 00:00:16,880 --> 00:00:20,720 Speaker 1: to play the spread, the money line, team totals, players, props, 6 00:00:21,200 --> 00:00:24,360 Speaker 1: a lot of stuff over unders, jump into the action, 7 00:00:24,880 --> 00:00:27,600 Speaker 1: same game parlays are my favorite. Just use the promo 8 00:00:27,640 --> 00:00:38,559 Speaker 1: code Colin and download the Fan Duel app today. All right, 9 00:00:38,720 --> 00:00:46,800 Speaker 1: time for an instant reaction on the Bills hammering the Patriots. 10 00:00:46,800 --> 00:00:50,320 Speaker 1: I'm gonna have a glass of veno. It's a pinot 11 00:00:50,400 --> 00:00:55,280 Speaker 1: noir from California. It's called Sleigh. Look it up. Usually 12 00:00:55,280 --> 00:00:58,200 Speaker 1: wine puts me to sleep tonight. The Patriots offense. Did 13 00:00:59,520 --> 00:01:03,440 Speaker 1: you know? Because I lived in Connecticut for a decade, 14 00:01:04,319 --> 00:01:09,240 Speaker 1: and every region I've lived in, you know, you tend 15 00:01:09,280 --> 00:01:11,800 Speaker 1: to not become fans of teams, but you get greater 16 00:01:11,920 --> 00:01:14,760 Speaker 1: access to them, and so people think I'm like a 17 00:01:14,760 --> 00:01:17,760 Speaker 1: Patriot homer, and I was like, no, I really appreciated 18 00:01:17,800 --> 00:01:22,440 Speaker 1: the Belichick Brady combo meal right, the smartest coach, the 19 00:01:22,440 --> 00:01:26,920 Speaker 1: most efficient quarterback. But I'm kind of liking New England 20 00:01:26,959 --> 00:01:32,080 Speaker 1: being at six and six an old grumpy Belichick lack 21 00:01:32,400 --> 00:01:39,800 Speaker 1: of willingness to evolve offensively taking another l. So far, 22 00:01:39,840 --> 00:01:43,440 Speaker 1: the Patriots this year of beaten Zach Wilson twice, Jacoby Brissette, 23 00:01:43,880 --> 00:01:50,000 Speaker 1: Jared Goff and Sam Aliger and Mitch Robinsky. This is 24 00:01:50,080 --> 00:01:54,440 Speaker 1: just an average football team. It's over. It's over. New 25 00:01:54,440 --> 00:01:58,360 Speaker 1: England can win one way and you know, low scoring, 26 00:01:58,720 --> 00:02:02,160 Speaker 1: you know you don't have the guy. This is a 27 00:02:02,160 --> 00:02:05,840 Speaker 1: New York Giant fan. When you're constantly blaming people, the 28 00:02:05,880 --> 00:02:09,080 Speaker 1: Giant fans are like, well, it's the receiver, it's the 29 00:02:09,120 --> 00:02:15,400 Speaker 1: offensive line, it's the play calling. Patriot fans are now 30 00:02:15,440 --> 00:02:20,520 Speaker 1: blaming play calling and Matt Patricia. Matt Jones is not 31 00:02:20,600 --> 00:02:24,160 Speaker 1: an athlete. He's got an average arm, he's not mobile. 32 00:02:24,960 --> 00:02:29,400 Speaker 1: Oh he's accurate, folks. That's like saying the foundation of 33 00:02:29,440 --> 00:02:33,360 Speaker 1: your house isn't crumbling, or your punter has a good leg. 34 00:02:34,440 --> 00:02:38,360 Speaker 1: Throwing the ball accurately feels like something you've gotten to 35 00:02:38,400 --> 00:02:41,919 Speaker 1: do or can't play in this league. It can't. It 36 00:02:41,960 --> 00:02:44,560 Speaker 1: can't be this special sauce. You know he throws an 37 00:02:44,560 --> 00:02:47,000 Speaker 1: accurate ball. You got to give me more than that. 38 00:02:47,560 --> 00:02:51,160 Speaker 1: So Patriot fans are now blaming. Okay, it's Matt Patricia, 39 00:02:51,320 --> 00:02:56,280 Speaker 1: it's Mac Jones is he's just as I've said from 40 00:02:56,280 --> 00:02:59,720 Speaker 1: the beginning, he's got a very very low ceiling. You're 41 00:02:59,720 --> 00:03:02,000 Speaker 1: going to realize what he is very quickly. But he'll 42 00:03:02,000 --> 00:03:05,200 Speaker 1: never grow into anything. It's very like Andy Dalton. He 43 00:03:05,280 --> 00:03:07,960 Speaker 1: want a division, a bad division. At the time, you 44 00:03:08,000 --> 00:03:11,120 Speaker 1: know a Cleveland was a mass that was two wins, 45 00:03:11,160 --> 00:03:13,480 Speaker 1: and you know Marvin Lewis and Andy Dalton could win 46 00:03:13,480 --> 00:03:15,679 Speaker 1: a division. But you realize by like his second third 47 00:03:15,720 --> 00:03:17,840 Speaker 1: year in the league, this is what he is. Whereas 48 00:03:17,919 --> 00:03:21,359 Speaker 1: Josh Allen. There are levels to Justin Herbert or Joe 49 00:03:21,400 --> 00:03:25,960 Speaker 1: Burrow or Josh Allen or Patrick Mahomes. You know, I 50 00:03:26,000 --> 00:03:28,560 Speaker 1: watched New England. They can win one way. Now it's 51 00:03:28,560 --> 00:03:30,800 Speaker 1: got to be low scoring. If they don't keep people 52 00:03:30,840 --> 00:03:33,400 Speaker 1: under twenty, they have no chance to win. And so 53 00:03:33,639 --> 00:03:36,240 Speaker 1: it's the convergence of two bad things. A very low 54 00:03:36,280 --> 00:03:39,520 Speaker 1: ceiling for Mac Jones and the Patriots inability with a 55 00:03:39,560 --> 00:03:44,720 Speaker 1: defensive head coach to draft and develop skill players. I mean, 56 00:03:44,800 --> 00:03:48,600 Speaker 1: look at I mean takeaway Gronk. They just don't hit 57 00:03:48,640 --> 00:03:52,320 Speaker 1: receivers and tight ends. They just don't. So you know, 58 00:03:52,360 --> 00:03:55,680 Speaker 1: I look at the Buffalo Bills and the Cincinnati Bengals 59 00:03:55,760 --> 00:03:59,280 Speaker 1: and the Kansas City Chiefs. Just in the AFC can 60 00:03:59,320 --> 00:04:04,760 Speaker 1: win multiple ways, low scoring, highest scoring shootouts leading from 61 00:04:04,760 --> 00:04:08,880 Speaker 1: behind the Patriots, this team is not built. When Mac 62 00:04:09,000 --> 00:04:12,840 Speaker 1: Jones is playing from behind and Buffalo can pin their 63 00:04:12,960 --> 00:04:16,160 Speaker 1: ears back and just rush him third and fifteen and 64 00:04:16,200 --> 00:04:18,640 Speaker 1: he's thrown out in the flat. I mean, there's just 65 00:04:18,760 --> 00:04:24,480 Speaker 1: nothing to it. So you know, I suggested this before 66 00:04:24,480 --> 00:04:30,240 Speaker 1: the season started. I said, if you're Bill Belichick, now 67 00:04:30,240 --> 00:04:33,000 Speaker 1: he's got a gorgeous home down in Jupiter, Florida, which 68 00:04:33,080 --> 00:04:36,839 Speaker 1: is West Palm Beach, Jupiter, Florida. That's living big, go 69 00:04:37,040 --> 00:04:41,000 Speaker 1: golf with Bill Parcels. Have a great life. But if 70 00:04:41,000 --> 00:04:45,760 Speaker 1: you want to continue coaching and you're watching Josh Allenix 71 00:04:45,920 --> 00:04:51,320 Speaker 1: six two fifty running around, what job is potentially open 72 00:04:51,360 --> 00:04:54,640 Speaker 1: and attractive to you. It's the same job that Sean 73 00:04:54,880 --> 00:05:00,240 Speaker 1: Payton has to be looking at. It's the Chargers six 74 00:05:00,400 --> 00:05:06,960 Speaker 1: five justin Herbert huge arm mobile. Like in college football, 75 00:05:07,440 --> 00:05:09,080 Speaker 1: you don't have to have a great quarterback to win 76 00:05:09,160 --> 00:05:13,680 Speaker 1: a Natty in the NFL, even if your quarterbacks as 77 00:05:13,680 --> 00:05:18,920 Speaker 1: good as Kirk Cousins or Dak really solid B plus quarterbacks. 78 00:05:20,400 --> 00:05:24,720 Speaker 1: Chances of winning a Super Bowl feel limited with Mac Jones. 79 00:05:25,320 --> 00:05:30,159 Speaker 1: I mean New England's big play came from using a 80 00:05:30,360 --> 00:05:35,440 Speaker 1: special team or Marcus Jones and Mac Jones immediately got 81 00:05:35,520 --> 00:05:37,320 Speaker 1: rid of the ball and Jones did all the work 82 00:05:37,680 --> 00:05:42,680 Speaker 1: that was their big pop play and practice that all week. Oh, 83 00:05:42,839 --> 00:05:46,200 Speaker 1: Marcus Jones will put him in the offense. They're not 84 00:05:46,320 --> 00:05:51,080 Speaker 1: used to Marcus Jones. We played a trick on Buffalo. 85 00:05:53,000 --> 00:05:58,440 Speaker 1: If that's so, you can bang on you know, Matt Patrician, 86 00:05:58,520 --> 00:06:01,039 Speaker 1: Belichick all you want. At least they were clever enough 87 00:06:01,080 --> 00:06:05,040 Speaker 1: to fool Buffalo on one play. You can't fool your 88 00:06:05,080 --> 00:06:09,360 Speaker 1: way to super bowls, can't fool your way to AFC championships. 89 00:06:09,400 --> 00:06:11,080 Speaker 1: At some point, you got to be able to play 90 00:06:11,240 --> 00:06:14,760 Speaker 1: from behind with a lead in a shootout. The stuff's 91 00:06:14,800 --> 00:06:22,159 Speaker 1: not complicated. Kirk Cousins win justin Jefferson, You're like, yeah, 92 00:06:22,240 --> 00:06:25,520 Speaker 1: that's probably probably not going a Super Bowl. Dak win, ceedee, 93 00:06:25,560 --> 00:06:29,120 Speaker 1: lamb ys probably not gonna win a super Bowl. Mac 94 00:06:29,200 --> 00:06:35,360 Speaker 1: Jones look around. He just doesn't have any dynamic playmakers. 95 00:06:36,400 --> 00:06:40,040 Speaker 1: So I'll go back to this. You're Sean Payton sitting 96 00:06:40,080 --> 00:06:43,120 Speaker 1: on the beach working for Fox. You're Belichick. If you 97 00:06:43,120 --> 00:06:46,440 Speaker 1: want to win super Bowls, you look around this sport. 98 00:06:47,279 --> 00:06:49,679 Speaker 1: You look who you got to get through to win him. 99 00:06:49,800 --> 00:06:55,200 Speaker 1: Josh Allen, Joe Burrow, Patrick Mahomes. Don't you kind of 100 00:06:55,200 --> 00:06:58,040 Speaker 1: go justin Herbert with a right coach could do it. 101 00:06:58,520 --> 00:07:02,400 Speaker 1: It doesn't it seem obvious. You can't be as smart 102 00:07:02,440 --> 00:07:07,720 Speaker 1: as Bill Belichick and think Mac Jones. Yeah, I'm gonna 103 00:07:07,720 --> 00:07:12,600 Speaker 1: go up against Josh Allen, Totete, Mahomes, Burrow. You can't 104 00:07:12,640 --> 00:07:19,240 Speaker 1: possibly see that. And Patriot fans, you're delusional. Stop blaming 105 00:07:19,480 --> 00:07:23,480 Speaker 1: the play calling. That is the all time acknowledgement that 106 00:07:23,520 --> 00:07:28,160 Speaker 1: you have the wrong guy play calling. Oh christ like yeah, 107 00:07:28,160 --> 00:07:30,760 Speaker 1: because the right calls. Max Jones would be six to 108 00:07:30,800 --> 00:07:34,320 Speaker 1: five and a half and two forty and mobile. He 109 00:07:34,480 --> 00:07:40,240 Speaker 1: is what he is. Hold on, I'm gonna enjoy this. 110 00:07:40,320 --> 00:07:50,040 Speaker 1: Pino from California's is This is what New England needs. Greatness, dynamic, 111 00:07:51,440 --> 00:07:57,960 Speaker 1: pop elite. I mean, here, Bill Belichick, I'm watching Josh Allen. 112 00:07:58,400 --> 00:08:02,560 Speaker 1: Forget Mike McDaniel and two who are putting up big numbers. 113 00:08:02,680 --> 00:08:05,280 Speaker 1: You're sitting there watching Josh Allen. You can barely force 114 00:08:05,400 --> 00:08:09,800 Speaker 1: him to punt and I'm not anti any of these 115 00:08:09,840 --> 00:08:13,880 Speaker 1: young quarterbacks. But we got we got a couple of 116 00:08:13,960 --> 00:08:17,160 Speaker 1: years of Mac Jones. Now, what what do you see 117 00:08:17,200 --> 00:08:24,440 Speaker 1: that I don't instant reaction Bill's role, just some other 118 00:08:24,600 --> 00:08:29,880 Speaker 1: thoughts that have bounced around my head recently. So years 119 00:08:29,880 --> 00:08:33,720 Speaker 1: and years ago, when I worked at ESPN, I had 120 00:08:33,720 --> 00:08:39,280 Speaker 1: this discussion with a member of upper management. I said, 121 00:08:39,559 --> 00:08:43,680 Speaker 1: you know, you guys are really beholden in the radio 122 00:08:43,760 --> 00:08:49,720 Speaker 1: department to hiring people with a radio background. And I said, 123 00:08:49,800 --> 00:08:54,760 Speaker 1: you know, my theory is, just hire smart people. I'll 124 00:08:54,840 --> 00:08:59,320 Speaker 1: teach them radio. And ESPN was very reluctant to do that. 125 00:08:59,400 --> 00:09:03,080 Speaker 1: So when I'm to Fox, I didn't want on my 126 00:09:03,160 --> 00:09:07,920 Speaker 1: staff just all radio people. To me, it felt very limiting. 127 00:09:08,800 --> 00:09:13,160 Speaker 1: I had writers on my show, I had people that 128 00:09:13,280 --> 00:09:19,000 Speaker 1: had different backgrounds in tech. Give me smart people. Smart 129 00:09:19,080 --> 00:09:23,600 Speaker 1: people will figure it out. So when the Warriors got 130 00:09:23,600 --> 00:09:26,760 Speaker 1: off to this cruddy start this year, my theory was, 131 00:09:26,960 --> 00:09:34,600 Speaker 1: it's the smartest team in the league. Ker Draymond, Staff, Clay, 132 00:09:34,640 --> 00:09:38,160 Speaker 1: the GM, Bob Myers. They're just trying to bridge old 133 00:09:38,200 --> 00:09:41,920 Speaker 1: guys and young guys. Well, they've now won eight of 134 00:09:41,960 --> 00:09:45,360 Speaker 1: their last twelve games, could have been nine of twelve, 135 00:09:45,400 --> 00:09:48,360 Speaker 1: they're eight and four in their last twelve because they've 136 00:09:48,360 --> 00:09:51,680 Speaker 1: figured it out. They're going through right now what a 137 00:09:51,679 --> 00:09:56,319 Speaker 1: lot of cultures or companies do when you have veteran employees, 138 00:09:56,480 --> 00:10:00,000 Speaker 1: you have young employees, and you're in this competitive environment 139 00:10:00,120 --> 00:10:03,760 Speaker 1: and you're trying to bridge the gap. Have the young 140 00:10:03,800 --> 00:10:08,560 Speaker 1: people take responsibility, but still you kind of lean in 141 00:10:08,840 --> 00:10:12,679 Speaker 1: to your older employees, your staff, your Clay, your Draymond. 142 00:10:13,240 --> 00:10:16,439 Speaker 1: The Warriors are the smartest team in the league. Smart 143 00:10:16,520 --> 00:10:22,920 Speaker 1: people on average figure stuff out. Speaking as smart, I 144 00:10:22,960 --> 00:10:26,920 Speaker 1: think Elon Musk is pretty smart. He may be an egomaniac, 145 00:10:27,200 --> 00:10:32,120 Speaker 1: but when he bought Twitter, the founder of SpaceX and Tesla, 146 00:10:32,280 --> 00:10:36,080 Speaker 1: I figured it would be fun viewing. I'm here for 147 00:10:36,120 --> 00:10:40,400 Speaker 1: the circus, whether it ascended or eroded, I thought it 148 00:10:40,440 --> 00:10:46,160 Speaker 1: would be captivating. And so I really personally have not 149 00:10:46,160 --> 00:10:49,840 Speaker 1: noticed a difference with my Twitter account. Now. I'm not 150 00:10:49,920 --> 00:10:52,679 Speaker 1: on it all day. Some of you live on it. 151 00:10:52,920 --> 00:10:55,680 Speaker 1: I'm not one of those people. I basically use it 152 00:10:55,720 --> 00:11:01,160 Speaker 1: to promote and market already edited content. But the one 153 00:11:01,280 --> 00:11:04,640 Speaker 1: thing that I've watched over the last month or so 154 00:11:05,120 --> 00:11:09,920 Speaker 1: that's interesting is that you hear this a lot from conservatives. 155 00:11:10,400 --> 00:11:14,400 Speaker 1: Free speech. I should have a right to free speech. Well, 156 00:11:14,400 --> 00:11:18,160 Speaker 1: in twenty seventeen, the Supreme Court ruled unanimously there is 157 00:11:18,200 --> 00:11:24,080 Speaker 1: no hate exception to free speech. You can be hateful, 158 00:11:24,640 --> 00:11:29,040 Speaker 1: it's legal speech. There's no exception. And so a lot 159 00:11:29,080 --> 00:11:33,880 Speaker 1: of conservatives will bang the table, where is my right? 160 00:11:34,160 --> 00:11:38,880 Speaker 1: You have that right? And Elon Musk is now leaning 161 00:11:38,960 --> 00:11:44,000 Speaker 1: into some of those people. But never forget that advertisers 162 00:11:44,080 --> 00:11:48,160 Speaker 1: create most of the revenue for Twitter. Advertisers don't want 163 00:11:48,200 --> 00:11:52,840 Speaker 1: to be connected to that quote legal speech that they 164 00:11:53,000 --> 00:11:58,280 Speaker 1: view as vile and incendiary. That's why half the advertisers 165 00:11:58,280 --> 00:12:03,520 Speaker 1: have left. When I watch the Elon Musk Twitter experiment, 166 00:12:04,280 --> 00:12:06,360 Speaker 1: that's the one thing that's jumped out to me. Not 167 00:12:06,440 --> 00:12:10,040 Speaker 1: my personal account. I've just not on it enough to notice. 168 00:12:10,520 --> 00:12:12,240 Speaker 1: I mean, I put up filters to get rid of 169 00:12:12,320 --> 00:12:15,800 Speaker 1: as many you know, wackos as I can. But that 170 00:12:16,360 --> 00:12:19,800 Speaker 1: you can fight and call it woke speech, or you 171 00:12:19,840 --> 00:12:22,880 Speaker 1: can fight for the right to say what you want. 172 00:12:23,600 --> 00:12:27,760 Speaker 1: But as Elon Musk is discovering, advertisers don't want to 173 00:12:27,760 --> 00:12:31,360 Speaker 1: be connected to that. That's why a lot of advertisers 174 00:12:31,400 --> 00:12:36,920 Speaker 1: will not do cable political shows Fox News, MSNBC, CNN. 175 00:12:37,480 --> 00:12:40,800 Speaker 1: They don't want to put their brand up against that toxicity, 176 00:12:41,120 --> 00:12:46,120 Speaker 1: regardless of what side the political aisle you're on. I 177 00:12:46,160 --> 00:12:53,080 Speaker 1: saw this. Fox has been tracking it since twenty sixteen. 178 00:12:54,400 --> 00:12:57,959 Speaker 1: What is that that I'm talking about? It's total minutes 179 00:12:59,080 --> 00:13:04,559 Speaker 1: of college football viewing, pregame shows, postgame shows, actual games. 180 00:13:05,600 --> 00:13:10,160 Speaker 1: What do you know that this is the highest year 181 00:13:11,760 --> 00:13:14,959 Speaker 1: up four percent from last year, and the highest year 182 00:13:15,160 --> 00:13:19,840 Speaker 1: of viewing in six years. Why it's the power of 183 00:13:19,880 --> 00:13:25,360 Speaker 1: the USC brand. Alabama is not as good. TCU looks 184 00:13:25,400 --> 00:13:29,800 Speaker 1: like they could play with anybody. Just because I love 185 00:13:29,880 --> 00:13:35,280 Speaker 1: college football doesn't mean I want it dominated or regionalized 186 00:13:35,520 --> 00:13:38,920 Speaker 1: by three or four teams in the South. And so 187 00:13:38,960 --> 00:13:41,480 Speaker 1: this is what I've been arguing about for years and 188 00:13:41,600 --> 00:13:47,320 Speaker 1: why a twelve team playoff is really important. We know 189 00:13:47,600 --> 00:13:51,360 Speaker 1: in all tournaments, March Madness, the World Cup, I mean, 190 00:13:51,440 --> 00:13:54,800 Speaker 1: Spain beat Costa Rica seven, nothing in March Madness, you'll 191 00:13:54,840 --> 00:13:59,880 Speaker 1: have a dozen games that are total blowouts. That's okay. 192 00:14:00,280 --> 00:14:04,679 Speaker 1: At some point Georgia will probably steamroll a Nonpower five 193 00:14:04,800 --> 00:14:09,559 Speaker 1: team forty eight fourteen. But think about it. Doesn't Georgia 194 00:14:09,640 --> 00:14:13,240 Speaker 1: do that several times a year to SEC teams. Did 195 00:14:13,240 --> 00:14:18,840 Speaker 1: you watch USC play Colorado this year. Almost every good 196 00:14:18,840 --> 00:14:23,960 Speaker 1: team in the PAC twelve steamrolled Colorado this year. Blowouts 197 00:14:24,000 --> 00:14:27,120 Speaker 1: are a part of any sport in any tournament. You 198 00:14:27,160 --> 00:14:30,080 Speaker 1: see it in NBA playoffs, you see it in NFL playoffs. 199 00:14:31,520 --> 00:14:35,480 Speaker 1: But what the twelve team playoff assures as that at 200 00:14:35,520 --> 00:14:39,360 Speaker 1: the end of this season in college football, you won't 201 00:14:39,440 --> 00:14:45,560 Speaker 1: have this overwhelming regionalization of sports. You're gonna have a 202 00:14:45,560 --> 00:14:48,280 Speaker 1: couple Pac twelve teams. You're gonna have Big ten teams. 203 00:14:48,280 --> 00:14:51,360 Speaker 1: You're gonna have SEC team Java, couple of Texas teams. 204 00:14:51,760 --> 00:14:55,720 Speaker 1: That's all the sport needs. Even if SEC teams won 205 00:14:55,800 --> 00:14:59,520 Speaker 1: it four to five years. The fact that the playoff 206 00:15:00,120 --> 00:15:04,840 Speaker 1: the final two to three weeks of high drama and 207 00:15:04,920 --> 00:15:12,040 Speaker 1: emotion for college football every region of the country could 208 00:15:12,160 --> 00:15:17,040 Speaker 1: participate in that it wouldn't be all of us sort 209 00:15:17,040 --> 00:15:22,280 Speaker 1: of watching these two teams in the South, so most 210 00:15:22,840 --> 00:15:28,440 Speaker 1: minutes of college football viewed since Fox Sports has been 211 00:15:28,440 --> 00:15:31,680 Speaker 1: tracking it. 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It's another edition of Sharper Square. 259 00:18:28,840 --> 00:18:31,040 Speaker 1: So the last time we talked, I had a four 260 00:18:31,080 --> 00:18:34,720 Speaker 1: and one week really feeling myself, and as I looked 261 00:18:34,760 --> 00:18:37,680 Speaker 1: over the picks this week, I do not remember ever 262 00:18:38,680 --> 00:18:45,080 Speaker 1: my five or six favorites are all underdogs all now. 263 00:18:45,080 --> 00:18:48,560 Speaker 1: I generally am a three to two underdog in five. 264 00:18:48,760 --> 00:18:52,399 Speaker 1: So I'm gonna throw a couple at you Chargers Raiders. 265 00:18:53,760 --> 00:18:55,720 Speaker 1: So I get the Raiders in a point. Anytime the 266 00:18:55,800 --> 00:18:58,080 Speaker 1: Raiders play the Chargers, regardless of over the game at 267 00:18:58,119 --> 00:19:02,440 Speaker 1: it is a Raider home game. Okay. Secondly, this team's 268 00:19:02,560 --> 00:19:08,160 Speaker 1: losses are all close. This team is now forging an 269 00:19:08,200 --> 00:19:12,400 Speaker 1: offensive identity which I'm still not sure the Chargers have. 270 00:19:13,240 --> 00:19:17,560 Speaker 1: This team is now getting healthier this go This falls 271 00:19:17,600 --> 00:19:21,120 Speaker 1: under the category of today. I think the Raiders, despite 272 00:19:21,119 --> 00:19:23,479 Speaker 1: the record, are a better team than the Chargers, and 273 00:19:23,520 --> 00:19:28,359 Speaker 1: they're getting points. I like Vegas sharper square, totally sharp. 274 00:19:28,760 --> 00:19:32,639 Speaker 1: The only caveat I will give you right now is 275 00:19:32,680 --> 00:19:36,359 Speaker 1: that the game was at two forty eight hours ago. 276 00:19:36,880 --> 00:19:43,080 Speaker 1: It's now at one. We still are getting some questions 277 00:19:43,119 --> 00:19:48,560 Speaker 1: about Josh Jacob's availability on Sunday, different game, obviously, when 278 00:19:48,560 --> 00:19:51,200 Speaker 1: the leading rusher in the NFL is out of the game. 279 00:19:52,520 --> 00:19:56,240 Speaker 1: With that, however, your premise is one hundred percent correct, 280 00:19:57,240 --> 00:19:59,560 Speaker 1: even as a two point favorite, which is why the 281 00:19:59,600 --> 00:20:02,360 Speaker 1: wise bet the Raiders and move this game down to one. 282 00:20:02,480 --> 00:20:05,159 Speaker 1: As a two point favorite, the Chargers should not be 283 00:20:06,240 --> 00:20:09,439 Speaker 1: the team that is favored on the road. They're a 284 00:20:09,520 --> 00:20:13,760 Speaker 1: really good team as underdogs because they play with such 285 00:20:14,000 --> 00:20:17,760 Speaker 1: high variants. You can't really depend on them doing the 286 00:20:17,840 --> 00:20:21,000 Speaker 1: things you need them to do to continue to cover, 287 00:20:21,600 --> 00:20:24,120 Speaker 1: but you can depend on them to do wacky things 288 00:20:24,160 --> 00:20:26,919 Speaker 1: to keep the game close. Yes, the public loves the 289 00:20:27,040 --> 00:20:29,760 Speaker 1: Chargers every single week. You just don't bet them as 290 00:20:29,800 --> 00:20:31,560 Speaker 1: a favorite. You play them as a dog and all 291 00:20:31,600 --> 00:20:34,400 Speaker 1: you are on the field. Forget about the betting elements 292 00:20:34,400 --> 00:20:35,800 Speaker 1: and sort of how the market looks at this and 293 00:20:35,920 --> 00:20:38,359 Speaker 1: professional betters look at it. What you're saying about the 294 00:20:38,480 --> 00:20:41,399 Speaker 1: on the field play is all accurate. The Raiders have 295 00:20:41,480 --> 00:20:45,320 Speaker 1: been a bad luck team that have been losing close games. 296 00:20:45,680 --> 00:20:48,400 Speaker 1: The Chargers have been an underperforming team with a ton 297 00:20:48,440 --> 00:20:51,840 Speaker 1: of injuries who we don't really knew who they are. Offensively, 298 00:20:52,240 --> 00:20:56,040 Speaker 1: because they are running the ball with Austin Ekeler, then 299 00:20:56,080 --> 00:20:58,600 Speaker 1: throwing it on third down, then they started throwing it 300 00:20:58,640 --> 00:21:02,159 Speaker 1: more on first down, they feel schizophrenic. I think that 301 00:21:02,240 --> 00:21:04,400 Speaker 1: teams understand that they don't really know what they're doing. 302 00:21:04,440 --> 00:21:08,440 Speaker 1: There's not a lot of confidence there. Secondly, Lions are 303 00:21:08,440 --> 00:21:12,679 Speaker 1: a very interesting team, especially at home in the weaker NFC. 304 00:21:13,480 --> 00:21:17,399 Speaker 1: They are still playing for a wildcard. Jared Goff is 305 00:21:17,440 --> 00:21:19,600 Speaker 1: not the problem. In fact, there are arguments to be 306 00:21:19,640 --> 00:21:21,760 Speaker 1: made this year. At times at home, he's been the 307 00:21:21,800 --> 00:21:25,720 Speaker 1: solution to a terrible defense. The Jags are coming off 308 00:21:25,800 --> 00:21:32,119 Speaker 1: a huge emotional win. Pullback market overvaluing them Lions plus 309 00:21:32,119 --> 00:21:35,880 Speaker 1: one at home sharper square. So this line has been 310 00:21:35,920 --> 00:21:40,879 Speaker 1: bouncing around over that zero the entire week. It was 311 00:21:41,000 --> 00:21:45,160 Speaker 1: Lions one, it became Jags minus one. Now it's bad. 312 00:21:45,240 --> 00:21:48,920 Speaker 1: Then it was Lions minus one again. So now you're 313 00:21:48,960 --> 00:21:52,639 Speaker 1: back to Lions minus one short home favorite doesn't really matter. 314 00:21:52,880 --> 00:21:55,399 Speaker 1: The wise guys are playing both sides of this. You 315 00:21:55,440 --> 00:21:57,760 Speaker 1: are not going to find a consensus with professional betters. 316 00:21:58,200 --> 00:22:03,040 Speaker 1: It's whatever you choose, Colin, whatever you believe. I'm with 317 00:22:03,119 --> 00:22:05,280 Speaker 1: you on the Lions. I will tell you that right now, 318 00:22:05,960 --> 00:22:09,639 Speaker 1: Detroit loves to blitz. Trevor Lawrence worst in the league 319 00:22:09,680 --> 00:22:12,840 Speaker 1: against the blitz. Twenty sixth in the league is his 320 00:22:12,960 --> 00:22:17,760 Speaker 1: ranking according to PFF, thirtieth in yards per attempt. And 321 00:22:17,800 --> 00:22:20,159 Speaker 1: you're also kind of selling high on the Jags right now. 322 00:22:20,160 --> 00:22:22,920 Speaker 1: That Jacks needed fifteen things to go right against the 323 00:22:23,000 --> 00:22:25,040 Speaker 1: Ravens to win that game. One of the thing the 324 00:22:25,119 --> 00:22:27,639 Speaker 1: Ravens did they played zone defense, which Trevor Lawrence is 325 00:22:27,680 --> 00:22:30,360 Speaker 1: better when he's playing against his zone. He's not very 326 00:22:30,359 --> 00:22:33,960 Speaker 1: good playing, man. That's what the Lions do. They're getting 327 00:22:34,000 --> 00:22:37,080 Speaker 1: Jeff acuterback this week, and I would say that think 328 00:22:37,080 --> 00:22:41,000 Speaker 1: the Lions with them with I'm on st. Brown playing 329 00:22:41,440 --> 00:22:44,680 Speaker 1: their sixth on offense according to DVOA, and their fourteenth 330 00:22:44,680 --> 00:22:47,520 Speaker 1: on defense since the bye, So you know, think think 331 00:22:47,560 --> 00:22:50,600 Speaker 1: about the Bengals their seventh and twelfth respectively for the season. 332 00:22:50,960 --> 00:22:54,640 Speaker 1: So you're talking about a team that statistically is much 333 00:22:54,680 --> 00:22:57,040 Speaker 1: better than what their record shows. I will say one 334 00:22:57,080 --> 00:22:59,879 Speaker 1: more thing about the Jags, though. I bet the Jag 335 00:23:00,640 --> 00:23:03,399 Speaker 1: plus seven fifty to win the AFC South before the 336 00:23:03,440 --> 00:23:07,000 Speaker 1: season began. This is a critical game for the Jags 337 00:23:07,119 --> 00:23:09,280 Speaker 1: to stay in contention because they still got the Titans 338 00:23:09,320 --> 00:23:11,440 Speaker 1: a couple of times this year, so they still got 339 00:23:11,440 --> 00:23:15,400 Speaker 1: a shot to win that division. This one seems odd. 340 00:23:15,720 --> 00:23:18,239 Speaker 1: Philadelphia is a good home team, but the Titans are 341 00:23:18,240 --> 00:23:22,400 Speaker 1: getting four and a half awful loss an exceptionally well 342 00:23:22,440 --> 00:23:26,560 Speaker 1: coached team, short week for the Eagles, and I do 343 00:23:26,680 --> 00:23:32,200 Speaker 1: believe physically Tennessee matches up well. Four and a half 344 00:23:32,280 --> 00:23:35,879 Speaker 1: seems like a randomly big number. I would be on 345 00:23:35,880 --> 00:23:40,200 Speaker 1: the Titan side. Sharper square, Am I missing an injury? Nope, 346 00:23:40,200 --> 00:23:42,520 Speaker 1: You're totally sharp. If you think four and a half 347 00:23:42,600 --> 00:23:45,040 Speaker 1: is randomly big, you should have seen it when it 348 00:23:45,119 --> 00:23:47,920 Speaker 1: opened at six and a half on Sunday and then 349 00:23:48,040 --> 00:23:50,960 Speaker 1: got that down to six, and then down to five 350 00:23:51,000 --> 00:23:53,320 Speaker 1: and a half and then five, and then this morning 351 00:23:53,960 --> 00:23:57,080 Speaker 1: it was at four and a half. The wise guys 352 00:23:57,160 --> 00:24:01,640 Speaker 1: love Tennessee in this spot number one, it's a Mike 353 00:24:01,720 --> 00:24:06,920 Speaker 1: Vrabel smash spot. Right. He is covering at a seventy 354 00:24:06,920 --> 00:24:11,959 Speaker 1: five percent clip against the spread in scenarios where he 355 00:24:12,119 --> 00:24:15,560 Speaker 1: is a dog of more than three points. So anything 356 00:24:15,560 --> 00:24:17,720 Speaker 1: you're getting here at this point is going to be 357 00:24:18,080 --> 00:24:21,080 Speaker 1: in that data set of when he's covering really well. 358 00:24:21,080 --> 00:24:23,359 Speaker 1: But also, look, the Titans are number one in rush 359 00:24:23,440 --> 00:24:26,840 Speaker 1: defense accord to DVOA. Again, very fancy stat that sort 360 00:24:26,840 --> 00:24:29,479 Speaker 1: of buckets a lot of different numbers and gives you 361 00:24:29,560 --> 00:24:33,080 Speaker 1: a high end analytic look at how a team performs 362 00:24:33,080 --> 00:24:36,920 Speaker 1: outside of just the raw yards per carry, total yards, 363 00:24:36,960 --> 00:24:39,280 Speaker 1: things like that. All the betters use it, right, That 364 00:24:39,320 --> 00:24:43,560 Speaker 1: plays to the weakness of Philadelphia, which is their passing game, 365 00:24:43,600 --> 00:24:46,880 Speaker 1: and especially since Dallas Goddard has been out, Jalen Hurts 366 00:24:46,960 --> 00:24:49,240 Speaker 1: is barely thrown from more than two hundred yards. Even 367 00:24:49,280 --> 00:24:51,680 Speaker 1: though they've been winning the past few weeks, this team 368 00:24:51,680 --> 00:24:54,359 Speaker 1: has struggled right, and their run defense without Jordan Davis 369 00:24:54,400 --> 00:24:58,440 Speaker 1: has been very vulnerable. So this plays to the strengths 370 00:24:58,520 --> 00:25:02,320 Speaker 1: of the Tennessee Titans. All Right, an ugly game, but 371 00:25:02,400 --> 00:25:05,639 Speaker 1: I do think the Commanders have played with house money 372 00:25:06,000 --> 00:25:08,600 Speaker 1: a lot of close wins, a couple when they've been 373 00:25:08,600 --> 00:25:12,840 Speaker 1: outplayed Giants at home. Getting two and a half feels 374 00:25:12,880 --> 00:25:16,760 Speaker 1: like the side these divisional games. I almost always in 375 00:25:16,760 --> 00:25:20,359 Speaker 1: this division love the points. Sharper square. Take the Giants 376 00:25:20,359 --> 00:25:24,960 Speaker 1: and the points. Yeah, it's like this sharp side because 377 00:25:26,240 --> 00:25:28,879 Speaker 1: there's only so many games to bet on in the NFL, 378 00:25:29,200 --> 00:25:31,520 Speaker 1: and if you're a professional better you try to find 379 00:25:31,520 --> 00:25:33,360 Speaker 1: a way to bet in all the games, even if 380 00:25:33,400 --> 00:25:35,960 Speaker 1: you barely have an edge. And this is one of 381 00:25:35,960 --> 00:25:38,560 Speaker 1: those games where the Giants are kind of the edge, 382 00:25:38,760 --> 00:25:41,880 Speaker 1: but there's not a lot of passionate enthusiasm. You want 383 00:25:41,880 --> 00:25:45,760 Speaker 1: to talk about passion enthusiasm, talk about Tennessee, right, you 384 00:25:45,800 --> 00:25:48,679 Speaker 1: want to talk about milk toast. Not that interested. Not 385 00:25:48,720 --> 00:25:51,520 Speaker 1: going to make for like a game that wise guys 386 00:25:51,520 --> 00:25:53,840 Speaker 1: are dying to bet on. Giants plus two and a 387 00:25:53,880 --> 00:25:58,639 Speaker 1: half for this situation, Giants at home. The Giants have 388 00:25:58,720 --> 00:26:01,840 Speaker 1: been getting beaten up. It plays to the This is 389 00:26:01,840 --> 00:26:04,560 Speaker 1: an opportunity for Sequon Barkley to get healthy against a 390 00:26:04,760 --> 00:26:07,399 Speaker 1: rush defense for the Commanders that isn't very good. The 391 00:26:07,440 --> 00:26:10,080 Speaker 1: Commanders a little overvalued because they've gone six and one 392 00:26:10,119 --> 00:26:15,840 Speaker 1: and there's Taylor Heinik fever. But yeah, I guess if 393 00:26:15,880 --> 00:26:17,720 Speaker 1: you got to bet it, you take the Giants, but 394 00:26:18,119 --> 00:26:20,719 Speaker 1: not a ton of an edge, all right, Finally, I 395 00:26:20,760 --> 00:26:24,240 Speaker 1: would not get the best number here. When the number 396 00:26:24,359 --> 00:26:26,080 Speaker 1: first came out, I thought it was the bet of 397 00:26:26,119 --> 00:26:29,040 Speaker 1: the week when I could get like the Dolphins plus five. 398 00:26:30,160 --> 00:26:33,480 Speaker 1: It's now like three and a half. I've never felt 399 00:26:33,480 --> 00:26:36,760 Speaker 1: the Niners are significantly better at home. I just think 400 00:26:36,800 --> 00:26:40,120 Speaker 1: they're a physical team. They're a matchup team, so they 401 00:26:40,240 --> 00:26:43,680 Speaker 1: travel well. Their defense, their run game, their physicality, those 402 00:26:43,720 --> 00:26:47,480 Speaker 1: things all travel well. There are teams I believe Buffalo 403 00:26:47,560 --> 00:26:51,919 Speaker 1: at home always feels like they played downhill, so the 404 00:26:51,960 --> 00:26:54,400 Speaker 1: home field doesn't mean much to me. I also think 405 00:26:54,440 --> 00:26:58,879 Speaker 1: Mike McDaniels knows Jimmy Garoppolo's weaknesses better than anybody. I 406 00:26:58,880 --> 00:27:01,960 Speaker 1: would take the Dolphin plush the points here, although which 407 00:27:02,040 --> 00:27:06,760 Speaker 1: not the best number sharper square. This is there's two games, right, 408 00:27:06,800 --> 00:27:09,919 Speaker 1: So as you know, we've discussed this me and my partner, 409 00:27:10,080 --> 00:27:13,200 Speaker 1: my bff, Simon Hunter, on the Favorite podcast and the 410 00:27:13,240 --> 00:27:17,440 Speaker 1: Volume podcast Network. Every Thursday when we record our show, 411 00:27:17,680 --> 00:27:20,199 Speaker 1: we will get phone calls from professional betters in the 412 00:27:20,200 --> 00:27:23,280 Speaker 1: preceding forty eight hours based on what we said on Tuesday. 413 00:27:23,480 --> 00:27:26,480 Speaker 1: Were they are responding to our early leads and the conversations. 414 00:27:26,480 --> 00:27:30,960 Speaker 1: We're having two games popped piqued their interest. This week, 415 00:27:31,920 --> 00:27:34,919 Speaker 1: we love the Dolphins at minus FOURT two gets the 416 00:27:34,920 --> 00:27:38,119 Speaker 1: ball out really quick right, top rated quarterback and getting 417 00:27:38,119 --> 00:27:40,080 Speaker 1: the ball out in under two and a half seconds. 418 00:27:40,359 --> 00:27:45,120 Speaker 1: Top rated quarterback under pressure, second rated quarterback with no pressure. 419 00:27:45,440 --> 00:27:47,840 Speaker 1: The Dolphins offense should still be able to function even 420 00:27:47,840 --> 00:27:51,960 Speaker 1: if the Niners pass rush, which is exemplary, is getting 421 00:27:51,960 --> 00:27:54,000 Speaker 1: to him. And the Dolphins have been very good at 422 00:27:54,000 --> 00:27:57,399 Speaker 1: stopping the traditional run games right their fourth and early 423 00:27:57,480 --> 00:28:00,880 Speaker 1: down rush success rate aloud fancy way saying, if you're 424 00:28:00,960 --> 00:28:04,960 Speaker 1: running your standard plays, you know, off tackle plays up 425 00:28:04,960 --> 00:28:07,919 Speaker 1: the middle plays as a Russian game, they're stopping you. 426 00:28:10,040 --> 00:28:15,000 Speaker 1: But the wise guys have been pounding, pounding the Niners 427 00:28:15,600 --> 00:28:17,720 Speaker 1: in this game. You can see it in the money. Right, 428 00:28:17,960 --> 00:28:22,600 Speaker 1: the tickets are all coming in on Miami. Seventy nine 429 00:28:22,720 --> 00:28:26,280 Speaker 1: percent of the tickets coming in a Miami. You've got 430 00:28:26,320 --> 00:28:31,000 Speaker 1: what's called a reverse line move because the line went up. Normally, 431 00:28:31,040 --> 00:28:32,400 Speaker 1: if the line is at three and a half, you've 432 00:28:32,400 --> 00:28:35,400 Speaker 1: got seventy nine percent of the tickets coming in on 433 00:28:35,400 --> 00:28:38,000 Speaker 1: one side. That line is going to go in the 434 00:28:38,040 --> 00:28:41,120 Speaker 1: direction of the tickets. This went up, which tells you 435 00:28:41,400 --> 00:28:44,640 Speaker 1: that the wise guys love the Niners in this spot. 436 00:28:45,040 --> 00:28:46,680 Speaker 1: It's given me a lot of pause. I'm not gonna 437 00:28:46,720 --> 00:28:49,520 Speaker 1: lie to your column, but i will say this. We 438 00:28:49,600 --> 00:28:52,880 Speaker 1: said this on the podcast today. The last time we 439 00:28:52,920 --> 00:28:57,400 Speaker 1: had this much reaction from these specific betters. So there 440 00:28:57,440 --> 00:29:02,440 Speaker 1: are betters out there who they don't. They work as 441 00:29:02,440 --> 00:29:05,600 Speaker 1: a syndicate, right, and there are four or five times 442 00:29:05,640 --> 00:29:08,800 Speaker 1: a year they pull their money and they are putting 443 00:29:09,080 --> 00:29:13,800 Speaker 1: a max unit boatload of money bets on a side. 444 00:29:14,480 --> 00:29:17,360 Speaker 1: The last time we had this kind of reaction, we 445 00:29:17,440 --> 00:29:20,160 Speaker 1: had talked about the Dallas Cowboys as one point favorites 446 00:29:20,240 --> 00:29:23,120 Speaker 1: against the Minnesota Vikings. That's the kind of reaction we're 447 00:29:23,120 --> 00:29:28,000 Speaker 1: getting for the Niners in this game. This week's gold 448 00:29:28,120 --> 00:29:31,560 Speaker 1: Metal performance goes to the new quarterback Darling of the 449 00:29:31,680 --> 00:29:35,680 Speaker 1: Jets in New York. Mike White replace Zach Wilson under 450 00:29:35,720 --> 00:29:38,160 Speaker 1: center for New York. It was night and day difference 451 00:29:38,200 --> 00:29:40,600 Speaker 1: for the offense. His numbers were better for Mike. The 452 00:29:40,680 --> 00:29:44,160 Speaker 1: fans were chanting his name, Teammates like him, and oh yeah, 453 00:29:44,200 --> 00:29:46,880 Speaker 1: they got a big double you. Even Robert Salah admitted 454 00:29:46,920 --> 00:29:50,200 Speaker 1: the game looked easy for White. I thought the Jets 455 00:29:50,200 --> 00:29:53,680 Speaker 1: shouldn't have been Zack Wilson. I'll admit I was dead wrong. 456 00:29:54,000 --> 00:29:58,000 Speaker 1: Keep Mike White in there. This week's Gold Metal Performance 457 00:29:58,080 --> 00:30:02,280 Speaker 1: is sponsored by Legacy Precious Metals. We're living in tough 458 00:30:02,320 --> 00:30:08,240 Speaker 1: economic times with soaring grocery prices, high inflation, unstable stock market. 459 00:30:08,320 --> 00:30:10,920 Speaker 1: You really want to gamble with your investments? 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And then 469 00:30:53,360 --> 00:30:55,320 Speaker 1: a game that I should bet you try to talk 470 00:30:55,320 --> 00:30:57,120 Speaker 1: me into it, so a game I won't bet. I 471 00:30:57,160 --> 00:31:00,640 Speaker 1: would take the Bengals plus two and a half hosting 472 00:31:00,680 --> 00:31:02,760 Speaker 1: the Chiefs. That feels like the side to me. I 473 00:31:02,800 --> 00:31:05,880 Speaker 1: think Cincinnati has got the most underrated defense in the league, 474 00:31:06,040 --> 00:31:09,240 Speaker 1: and I actually think they match up really well against 475 00:31:09,280 --> 00:31:13,600 Speaker 1: the Chiefs. You tell me, Sharper square, what's the side 476 00:31:14,160 --> 00:31:17,320 Speaker 1: totally sharp? Yeah, I said there were two games that 477 00:31:17,360 --> 00:31:21,120 Speaker 1: we're getting the sharp calls. One was this Niners Dolphins. 478 00:31:21,120 --> 00:31:24,400 Speaker 1: The other is the Bengals Chiefs, And so I agree 479 00:31:24,440 --> 00:31:27,800 Speaker 1: with you. Dj Reader came back for the Bengals. They're 480 00:31:27,800 --> 00:31:31,240 Speaker 1: just a better defense. You know, they're playing like not 481 00:31:31,400 --> 00:31:34,760 Speaker 1: a championship caliber defense, but they're playing like a defense 482 00:31:34,920 --> 00:31:39,040 Speaker 1: that can stop people number one, number two. Joe Burrow 483 00:31:39,200 --> 00:31:42,080 Speaker 1: needed that first four or five weeks to get back 484 00:31:42,080 --> 00:31:45,440 Speaker 1: into shape. Like that's why you know we can talk 485 00:31:45,480 --> 00:31:48,160 Speaker 1: about this game if you want. Deshaun Watson is playing 486 00:31:48,160 --> 00:31:50,280 Speaker 1: for the Browns. The Browns are seven point favorites against 487 00:31:50,280 --> 00:31:53,880 Speaker 1: the Texans on the road. That's an absurd number. As 488 00:31:53,880 --> 00:31:56,720 Speaker 1: bad as the Texans are, Deshaun Watson hasn't played a 489 00:31:56,720 --> 00:31:59,400 Speaker 1: game in two years. Right, It is not easy to 490 00:31:59,440 --> 00:32:01,600 Speaker 1: play quarterback in the NFL in the matter who you're playing. 491 00:32:01,960 --> 00:32:04,200 Speaker 1: Joe Burrow might be one of the five best quarterbacks 492 00:32:04,200 --> 00:32:06,560 Speaker 1: in the NFL, one of our colleagues, one of our 493 00:32:06,640 --> 00:32:11,000 Speaker 1: volume colleagues. Right, So he has been playing so well 494 00:32:11,080 --> 00:32:14,000 Speaker 1: the past few weeks, even without Jamar Chase. He's at 495 00:32:14,000 --> 00:32:15,959 Speaker 1: a different level. You get Joe Mixon back, you get 496 00:32:16,040 --> 00:32:18,000 Speaker 1: Jamar Chase back, you get a Chiefs team that has 497 00:32:18,040 --> 00:32:21,000 Speaker 1: not been blowing people out. So the wise guys love 498 00:32:21,000 --> 00:32:23,600 Speaker 1: the Bengals. Her all right, tell me a game I 499 00:32:23,720 --> 00:32:26,240 Speaker 1: haven't brought up. My guest was going to be Texans 500 00:32:26,240 --> 00:32:30,160 Speaker 1: plus seven against the Browns. Seriously, I do love it, so, 501 00:32:30,800 --> 00:32:34,520 Speaker 1: I do love it so, but there's a game that's 502 00:32:34,560 --> 00:32:40,400 Speaker 1: even grosser. There's two games that are even grosser. You're 503 00:32:40,440 --> 00:32:43,080 Speaker 1: not gonna want to do it. It's a question, it's 504 00:32:43,160 --> 00:32:45,600 Speaker 1: it's a it's a testament to how far we've come 505 00:32:46,440 --> 00:32:50,560 Speaker 1: if you can commit to one of these games. Los 506 00:32:50,640 --> 00:32:55,000 Speaker 1: Angeles Rams, Yeah, plus seven and a half at home. 507 00:32:55,920 --> 00:32:58,560 Speaker 1: The Rams are still a professional football team. They're not 508 00:32:58,600 --> 00:33:00,600 Speaker 1: just going to roll over. It doesn't matter that Aaron 509 00:33:00,640 --> 00:33:02,880 Speaker 1: Donald isn't playing, the Cooper Cup isn't playing, that Matthew 510 00:33:02,880 --> 00:33:07,240 Speaker 1: Stafford isn't playing. The Seahawks should not have been adjusted 511 00:33:07,280 --> 00:33:09,760 Speaker 1: to be seven and a half point favorites on the 512 00:33:09,880 --> 00:33:15,160 Speaker 1: road against the Los Angeles Rams. It makes no sense 513 00:33:15,360 --> 00:33:17,920 Speaker 1: at all, not with this defense we saw last week 514 00:33:17,920 --> 00:33:21,440 Speaker 1: with Josh Jacobs. Did the Rams can still run the ball? 515 00:33:21,480 --> 00:33:23,680 Speaker 1: That is one thing they can do. They can't protect anything. 516 00:33:23,680 --> 00:33:26,000 Speaker 1: And with Bryce Perkins, who showed he was capable of 517 00:33:26,080 --> 00:33:28,280 Speaker 1: running the ball last week, moves well, that gives them 518 00:33:28,320 --> 00:33:32,880 Speaker 1: another dimension. That's one. It's gross week. I'm telling you 519 00:33:33,160 --> 00:33:37,160 Speaker 1: number two Denver Broncos plus eight and a half against 520 00:33:37,160 --> 00:33:40,200 Speaker 1: the Rams. Oh, I can't do it. Oh. The Ravens 521 00:33:40,240 --> 00:33:43,480 Speaker 1: are beat up everywhere. Lamar is injured, they don't have 522 00:33:43,680 --> 00:33:47,440 Speaker 1: their starting receivers. Mark Andrews is injured and hasn't looked 523 00:33:47,520 --> 00:33:52,600 Speaker 1: right since he came back. They're missing Ronnie Stanley. This 524 00:33:52,720 --> 00:33:58,280 Speaker 1: defense for the Broncos is wicked, all right. So do 525 00:33:58,320 --> 00:34:01,440 Speaker 1: I think that they can keep it close against a 526 00:34:01,720 --> 00:34:07,719 Speaker 1: much maligned, very injured Ravens team. I do. I do, Colin. 527 00:34:08,320 --> 00:34:11,360 Speaker 1: I want you to be there with me. I'll consider 528 00:34:11,400 --> 00:34:17,520 Speaker 1: it be my betting buddy. Yeah. At night, I've told 529 00:34:17,560 --> 00:34:19,160 Speaker 1: at night, when it's time to go to bed, and like, 530 00:34:19,200 --> 00:34:20,959 Speaker 1: I go to bed earlier than my wife, and she's 531 00:34:21,000 --> 00:34:24,000 Speaker 1: like up and she's like watching videos, and then like 532 00:34:24,200 --> 00:34:27,319 Speaker 1: fifteen minutes in like she'll play a video out loud 533 00:34:27,360 --> 00:34:29,320 Speaker 1: and start laughing, and I'll be and I'm already asleep. 534 00:34:29,360 --> 00:34:31,120 Speaker 1: And then it takes me two hours to fall back asleep, 535 00:34:31,280 --> 00:34:35,719 Speaker 1: or like, Stace be my sleeping buddy. You gotta work 536 00:34:35,719 --> 00:34:38,200 Speaker 1: with me. You know I'm going to sleep. Colin be 537 00:34:38,280 --> 00:34:43,439 Speaker 1: my betting buddy. I struggle to bet teams. I don't 538 00:34:43,520 --> 00:34:47,439 Speaker 1: like to watch. I can't watch the Rams, I can't 539 00:34:47,440 --> 00:34:51,760 Speaker 1: watch the Broncos. God, what about the Jets. Oh, the Jets, 540 00:34:52,200 --> 00:34:55,719 Speaker 1: the Jets. Right, but the Jets this week plus three 541 00:34:55,960 --> 00:34:58,200 Speaker 1: plus three against the Vikings. Yeah, that's it. I have 542 00:34:58,280 --> 00:34:59,880 Speaker 1: no problem with that. It's not one of my picks. 543 00:35:00,080 --> 00:35:03,919 Speaker 1: I think it's a that's the side, right, yes, side. 544 00:35:05,080 --> 00:35:07,080 Speaker 1: Forget about Mike White. Everyone is gonna be like, I 545 00:35:07,080 --> 00:35:09,520 Speaker 1: really want to bet Mike White on the road, Like, 546 00:35:09,800 --> 00:35:12,120 Speaker 1: can you repeat what he did against the Bears. It 547 00:35:12,160 --> 00:35:17,319 Speaker 1: doesn't matter. You've got a phenomenally talented defense. You've got 548 00:35:17,520 --> 00:35:22,120 Speaker 1: really good receivers. The Vikings have been living on luck 549 00:35:22,320 --> 00:35:25,839 Speaker 1: and one score games. You play the defense, you play 550 00:35:25,840 --> 00:35:29,239 Speaker 1: the regression. You're getting a field goal with a good team, 551 00:35:29,360 --> 00:35:34,480 Speaker 1: you take the Jets. Chad Millman CCO Action Network All 552 00:35:34,520 --> 00:35:38,040 Speaker 1: Odds by Van Duel. Good seeing your buddy. Good to 553 00:35:38,080 --> 00:35:55,120 Speaker 1: see you too, buddy. I'll talk to you later the volume. 554 00:35:58,480 --> 00:36:01,440 Speaker 1: Make sure to check out The drain am On Green Show. 555 00:36:01,840 --> 00:36:04,160 Speaker 1: I brought Draymond Green into the Volume because one of 556 00:36:04,200 --> 00:36:08,320 Speaker 1: the more entertaining voices in sports, unique perspective understands behind 557 00:36:08,360 --> 00:36:11,840 Speaker 1: the rope. Also chops up with guests like Gary Peyton, 558 00:36:11,960 --> 00:36:15,719 Speaker 1: Zach Levine, Tracy McGrady. Make sure download The Draymond Green 559 00:36:15,760 --> 00:36:20,600 Speaker 1: Show wherever you get your podcasts, only on the Volume 560 00:36:21,320 --> 00:36:22,280 Speaker 1: podcast Network.