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Speaker 1: Happy Thanksgiving, guys, what's up?

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Speaker 2: Welcome into a special edition of the Daily Juice Podcast.

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Speaker 2: A holiday spectacular edition of the Daily Juice Podcast. My

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Speaker 2: name is Matt Perrault. Thank you for being here on

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Speaker 2: a holiday. Yes, it's a big betting day, but it's

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Speaker 2: still a holiday. From all of us at Betting Pros

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Speaker 2: and for me in the Daily Juice, I want to

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Speaker 2: say thank you, Happy Thanksgiving and thank you for being

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Speaker 2: part of this community. It means the world to me.

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Speaker 2: Do you guys spend fifteen minutes every morning listening to

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Speaker 2: my ramblings or watching me on YouTube supporting the Daily Juice,

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Speaker 2: buying t shirt, supporting Omaha Steaks or whomever we have

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Speaker 2: as a sponsor here for the podcast. It's been my

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Speaker 2: absolute joy to come back to this community and be

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Speaker 2: here for the last was it in ten months or so?

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Speaker 2: It feels like I never left, even though I left

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Speaker 2: for what seven months. Good to be home, Good to

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Speaker 2: be here, and good to get to talk to you

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Speaker 2: guys here on Thanksgiving. Hopefully you guys have a phenomenal day.

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Speaker 2: Take it easy on everything. Take it easy on the food,

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Speaker 2: take it easy on the booze, Take it easy on

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Speaker 2: the betting. You know, holiday, we can get a little loose,

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Speaker 2: get a little bit of, you know, outside the tips

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Speaker 2: of our skis. Just be careful, okay, have some fun today,

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Speaker 2: enjoy yourself. Don't bet more than you can, and don't

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Speaker 2: yell at Grandpa if your bet doesn't cash, you know,

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Speaker 2: not his fault. He may be riding it with you though.

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Speaker 2: Get the whole family involved.

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Speaker 1: Who knows. I've got two NFL bets.

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Speaker 2: I have two college basketball bets for us here on

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Speaker 2: a Thanksgiving. But first, let's recap what happened last night.

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Speaker 2: A three in one mark back on the winning side,

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Speaker 2: up one point nine units. We get hockey going again.

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Speaker 2: Two and oh it's good. No hockey, no NHL, no

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Speaker 2: MBA today. They've cleaned the slate, cleared the state for

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Speaker 2: the college kids and for the NFL.

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Speaker 1: Get out of the way.

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Speaker 2: Don't blame them one bit, given that three games are

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Speaker 2: being played for the NFL today. But good to see.

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Speaker 2: That's first period we got that. We laid one forty

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Speaker 2: juice in it cashed. Keep that in mind here in

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Speaker 2: just one second, I got another bet that's similar juice

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Speaker 2: that we'll get to here in just one seconds. If

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Speaker 2: you bet the puck line for the Kraken. You went

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Speaker 2: three and oh in hockey, which is good. I told

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Speaker 2: you to bet the over in the Milwaukee game that

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Speaker 2: pushed on the hook two thirty five and a half

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Speaker 2: that landed two thirty five.

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Speaker 1: Yuck, Celtics will win.

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Speaker 2: The game didn't cover amazingly enough on a last second

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Speaker 2: three by Milwaukee. But we didn't touch the side in

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Speaker 2: that game, which was good. We had the what was

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Speaker 2: the other game we got wrong? Oh, the under in

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Speaker 2: Miami that was dead almost from the get go, but

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Speaker 2: the Pacers over came in, so that was good. So

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Speaker 2: I would have been a one in two day bet

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Speaker 2: all six bets on the podcast, one in two in

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Speaker 2: the NBA in three and oh in hockey, So still

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Speaker 2: a winning I'm still pretty much the same.

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Speaker 1: Type of like one point eight or whatever.

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Speaker 2: But for us officially, it's one point nine with a

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Speaker 2: three to one mark for us here on a Tuesday.

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Speaker 2: So let's get to the bets here for Thanksgiving. But first,

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Speaker 2: Omaha Steaks dot com. Look, I know it today full

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Speaker 2: of food, right you might be like, oh my gosh, Matt,

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Speaker 2: and tell me to buy more food. Yes, I know,

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Speaker 2: we all are stuffed to we're all going to be,

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Speaker 2: you know, grabbing a ton of food. But here's the

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Speaker 2: fun thing though, Like Omaha Steaks goes right into the freezer.

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Speaker 1: It's great.

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Speaker 2: You can have it whenever you want. It's better than leftovers.

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Speaker 2: It's just there when you need it. So if you're busy,

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Speaker 2: you're running around, you're short on time, this stuff's great.

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Speaker 2: The burgers don't even need to be defrosted before you

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Speaker 2: throw them on the grill. It's absolutely tremendous. Omaha Steaks

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Speaker 2: dot com they take thirty dollars off the fifty percent

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Speaker 2: off savings going on right now with their holiday season

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Speaker 2: sight wide sale. Juice in the checkout saves you thirty

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Speaker 2: bucks off your overall purchase.

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Speaker 1: Minimum parts maybe required.

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Speaker 2: Omah Steakes dot Com promo code Juice at checkout saves

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Speaker 2: you thirty dollars. Okay, So I'm going to say something

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Speaker 2: that's gonna make every professional, every wanna be sharp, every

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Speaker 2: you know, quasi guy shake their heads. He really just

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Speaker 2: say that? He really just recommend a seven point teaser.

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Speaker 2: The answer is yes.

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Speaker 1: Why.

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Speaker 2: Well, here's the thing. We're up nearly forty five units

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Speaker 2: since I've come back. We got a little you know,

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Speaker 2: liquidity to play with here? Okay, I don't know what

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Speaker 2: to do with a thirteen and a half point number

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Speaker 2: for the Dallas Cowboys. Everyone's going to take Dallas in

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Speaker 2: survivor pools. It's probably gonna be safe. The Commanders are awful.

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Speaker 2: Dak Prescott. I'm gonna give you one prop in every

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Speaker 2: game that you can play that it's unofficial, but a

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Speaker 2: prop that I like Dak Prescott to throw more than

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Speaker 2: one and a half touchdowns.

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Speaker 1: I like that.

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Speaker 2: What to do with the Lions, it's seven and a half,

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Speaker 2: I don't like it. I don't like it at all.

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Speaker 2: The Lion has been jumping around, the line has been moving,

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Speaker 2: and personally I'm a little bit frustrated just because I

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Speaker 2: think the Lions win going away. I just don't just

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Speaker 2: not positive that the Lions are win going away. And

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Speaker 2: the number nine is eight pretty much everywhere, so the

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Speaker 2: money's come in. But over a touchdown scares me because

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Speaker 2: the Packers, you know, the over forty seven and a half.

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Speaker 1: I don't mind that.

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Speaker 2: To play the over, I don't mind that, but again,

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Speaker 2: it could be a blowout. The Packers haven't been great

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Speaker 2: this season, and the Lions have been good at home.

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Speaker 1: So here's what I'm gonna do.

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Speaker 2: I gotta get below seven for the Cowboys, Okay, i

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Speaker 2: gotta get below it's thirteen and a half or thirteen.

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna pull it down under seven with a seven

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Speaker 2: point teaser. It's minus one forty Cowboys minus six okay,

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Speaker 2: Cowboys minus six, Lions minus one.

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Speaker 1: Okay.

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Speaker 2: This is a two leg minus one forty seven point teaser.

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Speaker 2: Not every book will let you do a seven point teaser,

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Speaker 2: but most books should let you do a seven point teaser.

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Speaker 1: Okay. There are some that lets you kind of stagger it.

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Speaker 2: They're gonna make you pay DraftKings makes you pay minus

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Speaker 2: one forty. I'm okay with laying the juice. It's minus

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Speaker 2: one twenty for a six point one thirty for six

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Speaker 2: and a half points, or miss one forty for seven

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Speaker 2: point teaser. I don't think I've ever recommended a seven

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Speaker 2: point teaser, but because it is, it's imperative to get

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Speaker 2: below seven. You can do a six and a half

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Speaker 2: point teaser if you want, and lay what mis one

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Speaker 2: thirty if you want, Okay, and do six and a half.

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Speaker 2: But you know, if the game goes into overtime and

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Speaker 2: something really wonky happens and they win by six. If

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Speaker 2: the Cowboys win by six, we push, so you can

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Speaker 2: pull it down to six, and I'm okay with that

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Speaker 2: here to pull it down, I'm gonna do this. I

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Speaker 2: want to have action on both games, Lions, Packers and

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Speaker 2: the Cowboys in the command seven point Teaser minus one

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Speaker 2: forty one point four units down Dallas minus six Packer, sorry,

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Speaker 2: Lions minus one for one point four units. Now, Gibbs,

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Speaker 2: anytime touchdown shop around, you should be able to find

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Speaker 2: that for even money for the Lions. All right, Pretty

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Speaker 2: confident that guy's gonna score. You can do first time

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Speaker 2: touchdowns if you want, but I think anytime touchdown is

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Speaker 2: pretty good for Tamir Gibbs mis won ten drafting throw

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Speaker 2: all the way, Mice won twenty. I got Mice one

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Speaker 2: oh five. But if you want a prop in this game,

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Speaker 2: Gibbs to score a touchdown is my prop. Dak Prescott

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Speaker 2: to throw over one and a half touchdowns, that's my

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Speaker 2: other prop in the Commander's game.

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Speaker 1: Let's see what the juice is, Governor.

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Speaker 2: I mean I that is probably going to be pretty expensive,

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Speaker 2: uh for Dak. Yeah, Mius one ninety If you want

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Speaker 2: to get involved with that, But I do like that.

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Speaker 1: That's the prop that I like.

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Speaker 2: You can find that are juiced on that in different books,

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Speaker 2: but I do like that all right. But officially seven

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Speaker 2: point teaser minus won forty one point four units down

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Speaker 2: on this Cowboys minus six minus one for the Lions

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Speaker 2: late game Seattle hosting San Francisco. Total is forty four. Look,

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Speaker 2: I think we're seeing offense, all right. I think we're

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Speaker 2: gonna see quite a bit of offense. The Niners are

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Speaker 2: two and three to the over on the road. Seattle

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Speaker 2: is three and two to the over at home. Last

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Speaker 2: two for San France have gone under. But the bye

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Speaker 2: week they went. They came up to buy and scored

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Speaker 2: thirty four points against Jacksonville, came home to tamp against

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Speaker 2: Tampa and they won twenty seven to fourteen. Again, Tampa

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Speaker 2: only scores fourteen, jackson only scores three. I think Seattle

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Speaker 2: could score on the Niners. They're at home here. Their

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Speaker 2: offense has been pretty good. They got skilled players, they

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Speaker 2: can throw the football. I think they score Okay, how

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Speaker 2: many points, I don't know. But they scored twenty nine

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Speaker 2: on Washington, twenty four on Cleveland twenty on Arizona in

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Speaker 2: their last three games at home. I think we get

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Speaker 2: seventeen points out of them, all right, I really do,

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Speaker 2: and I'm pretty confident we're getting twenty eight to thirty

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Speaker 2: out of San Francisco. Okay, I think they're gonna be

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Speaker 2: able to move the football. I think you're gonna be

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Speaker 2: able to get Christian McCaffrey involved. I like McCaffrey over

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Speaker 2: is receiving yards to catch the football a lot.

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Speaker 1: Today. It's a prop bet.

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Speaker 2: I like, in this game, let's see where that thing

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Speaker 2: has wound up, because that was climbing consistently. As this

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Speaker 2: number goes from six and a half to seven. McCaffrey's

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Speaker 2: receiving props is not about thirty three and a half

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Speaker 2: over one fifteen.

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Speaker 1: I like that. I like McCaffrey to go over.

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Speaker 2: He want to bet that McCaffrey over thirty three and

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Speaker 2: a half receiving yards. Obviously, anytime touchdown for Christian McCaffrey

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Speaker 2: tends to score any in every single game.

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Speaker 1: But I'm gonna bet the over in this game.

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Speaker 2: Forty four is the total over forty four Seattle and

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Speaker 2: San Francisco Thursday Short Week tire defenses. We've seen it. Okay,

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Speaker 2: everyone's been betting under in primetime. This is a primetime game.

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Speaker 2: Thursday night's been a pretty good over I think at

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Speaker 2: six and five. Now to the over in primetime on Thursdays. Okay,

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Speaker 2: this is a different situation. This is not the same. Okay,

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Speaker 2: this is not like Sunday Monday, Sunday Monday. It's under

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Speaker 2: its blindly bet under Sunday night and Monday night.

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Speaker 1: Thursday is different.

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Speaker 2: I'm going over forty four Seattle and San Francisco for

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Speaker 2: one point one units. Okay, So teas are in the

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Speaker 2: first two games and then the over in the late

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Speaker 2: game on Sunday, or so are on Thursday for Thanksgiving.

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Speaker 1: We do have a game tomorrow.

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Speaker 2: Remember Dallas Dolphins against the Jets is tomorrow on Black Friday. Okay,

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Speaker 2: to basketball, we go Arizona against Michigan State. Ken Palm

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Speaker 2: has this as a five point number. DraftKings that does

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Speaker 2: it as well, five points. Arizona is at home games

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Speaker 2: in Palm Springs, California. There'll be a ton of Wildcats

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Speaker 2: who have made the trek to watch their team play

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Speaker 2: against Michigan State. This is the number seven offense up

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Speaker 2: against the number eight defense. For adjusted deficiency in college basket.

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Speaker 2: So far, Arizona's been very good offensively ninth effective field

216
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Speaker 2: goal percentage. Michigan State's defense just as good. Seventh effective

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00:11:08,520 --> 00:11:12,640
Speaker 2: field goal percentage three point shooting, It's twelfth for Arizona,

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Speaker 2: sixty seventh for Michigan State. On defense two point percentage

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Speaker 2: fifty seven point three. That's thirty fifth best up against

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Speaker 2: the second best two point defense in basketball in Michigan State.

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Speaker 2: The problem is that Arizona's defense has been tremendous this year.

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Speaker 2: Seventh effective field goal percentage, sorry, just efficiency rather for Arizona,

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Speaker 2: fifty first an effective field goal percentage. Michigan State's two

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Speaker 2: hundredth in that category offensively fifty six and adjusted offensive

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Speaker 2: efficiency for them, they can't shoot the three to save

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Speaker 2: their life, three hundred and seventeenth in college basketball and

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Speaker 2: three point shooting they are one hundred and eleventh, and

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Speaker 2: two point percentage at fifty two point nine. They don't

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Speaker 2: hit their free throws. They're two hundred and sixty eighth

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Speaker 2: in free throw shooting. Here, Michigan State's offense isn't good

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Speaker 2: enough to keep up with Arizona. I know how good

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Speaker 2: Michigan State's defense is I lean towards the under in

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Speaker 2: this game because it's Michigan State and they're four and

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Speaker 2: one to the under.

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Speaker 1: So far this year, they've been just an under machine.

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Speaker 2: But Arizona's five and zero ats and this number is

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Speaker 2: tied with the Duke number as the shortest numbers so

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Speaker 2: far with five.

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Speaker 1: I don't think this game is all that close.

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Speaker 2: If Arizona plays the way they're capable of playing again,

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Speaker 2: if it's under, it does fit. It favors Michigan State.

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Speaker 2: It's one forty six. They're four and one to the under.

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Speaker 2: Arizona's three and two to the under this season actually,

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Speaker 2: which is kind of funny. But their last game against

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Speaker 2: Texas Arlington went under. But like Duke, the game against

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Speaker 2: Duke went under, first game against Jane Madison went over.

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Speaker 2: They lost the game Michigan State did to JMU, But

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Speaker 2: then the last four wins for them have all gone

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Speaker 2: under or I guess they lost to Duke. Sorry, but

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Speaker 2: the last four games have all gone under three and

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Speaker 2: one since that loss to JMU. I just think I

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Speaker 2: think it's going to look like the Duke game. Seventy

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Speaker 2: four to sixty five was the final score. In that

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Speaker 2: I think it looks very similar here for air Force

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Speaker 2: for Arizona. Rather, I'm gonna lay the five Arizona minus five.

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Speaker 2: DraftKings has this Tonight's Michigan State the opponent minus five

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Speaker 2: for Arizona.

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Speaker 1: Now the fourth bet. Here's the thing.

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Speaker 2: Creighton plays in Kansas City against Colorado State tonight. Okay,

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Speaker 2: the problem is the number is the Creighton Blue Jays

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Speaker 2: minus eight and a half. The total in the game

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Speaker 2: is one fifty three. That means the Creighton team total

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Speaker 2: should be somewhere around eighty one, but that number is

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Speaker 2: not out at the time of taping. There are no

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Speaker 2: team totals out yet anywhere on the planet, and I

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Speaker 2: am hunting for one because I want the Creighton Blue

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Speaker 2: Jays team total to go over.

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Speaker 1: As soon as we get this, I will fire on it.

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Speaker 2: But there's nothing that's up at the moment for this,

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Speaker 2: because well, the books are going to wait and see

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Speaker 2: a little while until we get closer to game time.

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Speaker 1: So I'm gonna have to.

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Speaker 2: I was gonna try to do a social media ban

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Speaker 2: for myself and not be on social media at all,

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Speaker 2: but I gotta be on it for this game. I

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Speaker 2: will post and tell you guys, what I get for

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Speaker 2: a Creton team total number? What will be the official

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Speaker 2: play will be the official bet because the Create and

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Speaker 2: Blue Jays are going to score on Colorado State. Okay,

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Speaker 2: kem pom has this as an eighty one seventy four victory,

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Speaker 2: which is right there at seven the lines eight and

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Speaker 2: a half. So maybe Coloroda State hangs around. But the

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Speaker 2: Jays are the number two adjusted efficiency offense in college basketball.

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Speaker 2: They are the number one team right now in college

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Speaker 2: basketball with effective field goal percentage one hundred and sixty first.

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Speaker 2: Defensively for CSU, creaton right now is ninth in three

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Speaker 2: point shooting at forty two percent. They are number one

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Speaker 2: in the country with two point shooting sixty seven point

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Speaker 2: six percent, and the two pointers are going down one

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00:14:55,760 --> 00:15:00,360
Speaker 2: hundred and eighty third for the Rams. Defensively, Rams are

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Speaker 2: one hundred and thirtieth guarding the three point shot. The

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Speaker 2: Jays are making forty four percent of their points from

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Speaker 2: behind the arc. That is not good for a team

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Speaker 2: in CSU that does not defend the arc very well.

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Speaker 2: And defensively, the Jays are much better than people giving

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Speaker 2: them credit for. Yes, CSU's offense is very good, but

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Speaker 2: the Jays defensively, they're solid. They're twenty ninth and adjusted

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Speaker 2: field goal percentage they're forty seventh and effective field goal percentage, sorry,

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Speaker 2: just a efficiency. Forty seventh in effective field goal percentage.

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Speaker 2: They're not great with three point defense. Still, you can

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Speaker 2: hit threes on the Jays. They're two or d fifty

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Speaker 2: fifth and CSU can hit threes. So that's why the

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Speaker 2: game very well. MIC go over one fifty three. I

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Speaker 2: don't mind an overbet here on the on the game either.

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Speaker 2: But the Jays defensively, they are twenty second in college

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Speaker 2: basketball protecting the rim. They do not give up two

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Speaker 2: point shots forty one point five percent. Why Ryan Cock

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Speaker 2: runners top three defensive players in the game. So you

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Speaker 2: don't score, you would get a vomit and CSU can

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Speaker 2: vomit and they hit their three. This game's going over,

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Speaker 2: but I trust the Jays up against a bad defensive

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Speaker 2: team for CSU. I trust Creighton to score. Again, this

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Speaker 2: number should be around eighty one. If it's eighty one,

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Speaker 2: we're going over for the Creighton Blue Jays team total. Here,

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Speaker 2: the Jays have scored one oh five eighty nine, ninety two,

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Speaker 2: eighty two and eighty eight so far here this season

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Speaker 2: eighty one where the numbers should be. The books might

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Speaker 2: juice it to eighty two. I don't like anything over

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Speaker 2: eighty three.

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Speaker 1: I don't like.

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Speaker 2: But if it's eighty one eighty two somewhere in that range,

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Speaker 2: eighty one and a half, the Creighton Blue Jays team

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Speaker 2: total will be the bet. Here the fourth play for

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Speaker 2: US up against Coloro State. That game is scheduled to

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Speaker 2: tip off at What time is that game? Kissey four

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Speaker 2: o'clock eastern, one o'clock Pacific on CBS Sports Network. So

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Speaker 2: you got that going up against football. But I'll be

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Speaker 2: watching basketball and football watching the Creighton Blue Jays stick

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Speaker 2: on Coloro State.

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Speaker 1: Again, I don't.

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Speaker 2: Mind laying the eight and a half, but I'm a

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Speaker 2: little bit skittish of it, to be quite honest. I

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Speaker 2: think the Jays win the game, but eight and a

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Speaker 2: half seems a little bit heavy given the offensive power

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Speaker 2: potentially for Carro State. Would rather end game a total

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Speaker 2: one three seems a little high on our neutral court

337
00:17:08,760 --> 00:17:11,240
Speaker 2: between these two teams, But because I don't think the

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Speaker 2: CSU is going to score more than like seventy two

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00:17:14,280 --> 00:17:17,359
Speaker 2: seventy three points, like the Jay's team totally creating to

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Speaker 2: score eighty five or so here.

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Speaker 1: So we go with the Jays.

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Speaker 2: But I got to put it in the Discord channel

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Speaker 2: bettingpros dot Com slash chat. I will tell you guys

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Speaker 2: about it coming up during the day. Once I get

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Speaker 2: the number, I'll tell you about in the morning. Here

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Speaker 2: for us okay, So here are our bets. Four of them,

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Speaker 2: team seven point teaser for Dallas and the Lions, teasing

348
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Speaker 2: it down to minus one and minus six over forty

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Speaker 2: four for San Francisco and Seattle Arizona. Minus five against

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Speaker 2: Michigan State, and soon to come the Creighton Blue Jays

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Speaker 2: team total. We're going over in that play up against

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Speaker 2: Caro State. I don't mind the Jays in the first

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Speaker 2: half either. I want to lay less than eight and

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Speaker 2: a half, lay four or five. Don't mind that either

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Speaker 2: for the Creaint and Blue Jays. So we want some

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Speaker 2: extra stuff you can jump in on that. Have a

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Speaker 2: great Thanksgiving thank you for being here. Please do not

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Speaker 2: drink and drive. Please take cabs and ubers and everything

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Speaker 2: else not worth it here on the holidays.

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Speaker 1: Okay, and take a breath.

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Speaker 2: If Grandpa or your uncle says something stupid just take

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Speaker 2: a breath. It's a holiday, right, one day we all

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Speaker 2: can bear somebody we don't like for one day. Heck,

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Speaker 2: you guys bear me every day. My name is Matt Parolt.

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Speaker 2: You guys can follow me across all socials at Sports

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Speaker 2: Talk Matt. Each and every morning, the Diliduce Podcast being

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Speaker 2: brought to you by Olmaha Steaks dot com