1 00:00:00,240 --> 00:00:04,040 Speaker 1: Runt you by Bank of America Mary Lynch with virtual reality, 2 00:00:04,320 --> 00:00:09,719 Speaker 1: virtually everything will change. Discover opportunities in a transforming world. 3 00:00:10,119 --> 00:00:14,440 Speaker 1: Be of a, mL dot Com, slash VR, Mary Lynch, 4 00:00:14,520 --> 00:00:29,240 Speaker 1: Pierced Fenner and Smith Incorporated. Welcome to the Bloomberg Surveillance Podcast. 5 00:00:29,280 --> 00:00:32,760 Speaker 1: I'm Tom Keene with David Gura. Daily we bring you 6 00:00:32,840 --> 00:00:37,640 Speaker 1: insight from the best of economics, finance, investment and international relations. 7 00:00:38,120 --> 00:00:43,640 Speaker 1: Find Bloomberg Surveillance on Apple Podcasts, SoundCloud, Bloomberg dot Com, 8 00:00:43,640 --> 00:00:51,400 Speaker 1: and of course on the Bloomberg Market. Sist all summity 9 00:00:51,440 --> 00:00:53,760 Speaker 1: in weekend this morning, as the Bank of Japan kept 10 00:00:53,760 --> 00:00:56,440 Speaker 1: its lunchist in this program on changed to make a 11 00:00:56,560 --> 00:00:59,080 Speaker 1: got a boost. As a result, will Central Bank also 12 00:00:59,120 --> 00:01:02,440 Speaker 1: pushed back the projected timing for reaching it's two percent 13 00:01:02,480 --> 00:01:05,080 Speaker 1: inflation target for a six time or for more. We're 14 00:01:05,120 --> 00:01:08,640 Speaker 1: joined by Kathy mat Suey Goldman Sachs, Japan Vice President 15 00:01:08,680 --> 00:01:11,560 Speaker 1: and chief Equity stretches to here in London, we still 16 00:01:11,600 --> 00:01:14,200 Speaker 1: have Richard turning Blackbrock. Cathy, great to have you on 17 00:01:14,200 --> 00:01:16,800 Speaker 1: the program. What do you make of the challenges for 18 00:01:16,840 --> 00:01:19,400 Speaker 1: the b o j What is their number one question 19 00:01:19,480 --> 00:01:22,959 Speaker 1: that investors want answered, is it inflation or is it 20 00:01:23,000 --> 00:01:25,920 Speaker 1: just simply well Governor Croda stay on after his term 21 00:01:26,000 --> 00:01:31,680 Speaker 1: ends in two thousand and eighteen. Well, I think the 22 00:01:31,720 --> 00:01:34,759 Speaker 1: top of mind question for many investors that we speak 23 00:01:34,840 --> 00:01:39,600 Speaker 1: with is UH, what is the kind of the endgame 24 00:01:39,720 --> 00:01:45,120 Speaker 1: for this so called yield curve control, quantitative easing framework 25 00:01:45,200 --> 00:01:49,120 Speaker 1: and asset purchase program. Of course, you mentioned the other question, 26 00:01:49,160 --> 00:01:52,680 Speaker 1: which is will Coroda stay on as central bank governor 27 00:01:52,720 --> 00:01:58,000 Speaker 1: here post his UH expiration of next April? But the 28 00:01:58,080 --> 00:02:01,320 Speaker 1: number one question is how much longer can the Banque 29 00:02:01,320 --> 00:02:05,280 Speaker 1: of Japan sustain the current program? For what it's worth, 30 00:02:05,320 --> 00:02:09,320 Speaker 1: our view is because they've set their inflation target quite 31 00:02:09,400 --> 00:02:13,040 Speaker 1: high and ambitious at two percent, it is quite likely 32 00:02:13,520 --> 00:02:17,400 Speaker 1: that they will persist with the current framework, including both 33 00:02:18,000 --> 00:02:20,920 Speaker 1: yield curve control as well as the asset purchases that 34 00:02:21,000 --> 00:02:24,800 Speaker 1: they are currently executing. Having said that, we are also 35 00:02:24,840 --> 00:02:27,040 Speaker 1: of the view that there are some signs of UH 36 00:02:27,160 --> 00:02:30,680 Speaker 1: of inflation beginning to creep through some green shoots. Wages 37 00:02:30,720 --> 00:02:33,799 Speaker 1: are beginning to pick up, Inflation expectations are creeping a 38 00:02:33,840 --> 00:02:37,320 Speaker 1: little bit higher, while not the two percent that the 39 00:02:37,320 --> 00:02:40,000 Speaker 1: Bank of Japan is aiming for, we are definitely going 40 00:02:40,040 --> 00:02:43,280 Speaker 1: to start to see some increasing signs of inflation, we 41 00:02:43,360 --> 00:02:45,680 Speaker 1: think in the next six to twelve months down the road. 42 00:02:46,520 --> 00:02:49,079 Speaker 1: But yeah, by again delaying the time for hitting their 43 00:02:49,120 --> 00:02:51,679 Speaker 1: price targets where their price goals, is the bo J 44 00:02:51,840 --> 00:02:55,839 Speaker 1: effectively acknowledging that they'll need to continue easing for many 45 00:02:55,919 --> 00:02:59,840 Speaker 1: years to come. It would appear so UM and so 46 00:03:00,240 --> 00:03:02,120 Speaker 1: we don't know exactly how long that will be. And 47 00:03:02,160 --> 00:03:04,920 Speaker 1: again a lot will ride on whether KROTA stays or 48 00:03:05,000 --> 00:03:08,160 Speaker 1: leaves post next spring. But for the time being, the 49 00:03:08,200 --> 00:03:11,600 Speaker 1: fact that they did delay or postpone the timeline for 50 00:03:11,720 --> 00:03:16,200 Speaker 1: reaching their target inflation level, obviously the market is interpreting 51 00:03:16,200 --> 00:03:19,080 Speaker 1: that as more for longer UH. And so I think 52 00:03:19,120 --> 00:03:22,000 Speaker 1: we're seeing a divergence of central banks UH. The FED 53 00:03:22,080 --> 00:03:24,160 Speaker 1: and the e c BE on the one hand, versus 54 00:03:24,200 --> 00:03:26,359 Speaker 1: the Bank of Japan is probably going to continue this 55 00:03:26,960 --> 00:03:31,480 Speaker 1: quite aggressive stimulus program at least for the foreseeable future. Kathy, 56 00:03:31,560 --> 00:03:33,320 Speaker 1: good morning. I want to bring up a chart here. 57 00:03:33,400 --> 00:03:36,640 Speaker 1: Let's bring it up right now. This is Japan nominal 58 00:03:36,880 --> 00:03:39,160 Speaker 1: g d P. We've got Robert Schiller with us in 59 00:03:39,200 --> 00:03:42,920 Speaker 1: the next hour, where there's acclaimed work with Professor Akerloff. 60 00:03:43,320 --> 00:03:47,880 Speaker 1: Mr Janet yelling on animal spirit. The animal spirit Kathy 61 00:03:48,000 --> 00:03:51,360 Speaker 1: is evaporated. Nominal g d P, which was really on 62 00:03:51,400 --> 00:03:55,040 Speaker 1: an albionomics friendly trend. Here's the US hurdle rate of 63 00:03:55,120 --> 00:03:59,960 Speaker 1: four percent nominal it's failed, it's rolled over. How critic 64 00:04:00,320 --> 00:04:07,200 Speaker 1: is it that nominal GDP has rolled over? Um, it's obviously, 65 00:04:07,360 --> 00:04:10,119 Speaker 1: you know, super critical because at the end of the day, 66 00:04:10,120 --> 00:04:13,280 Speaker 1: I think corporate managers and mrs what another think in 67 00:04:13,600 --> 00:04:17,560 Speaker 1: nominal terms as opposed to real terms. Right, uh So, clearly, 68 00:04:17,680 --> 00:04:19,599 Speaker 1: you know, there has been an initial sort of jump 69 00:04:19,720 --> 00:04:24,239 Speaker 1: start to getting the economy out of the getting growth 70 00:04:24,520 --> 00:04:27,520 Speaker 1: to expand in all of that, but more needs to 71 00:04:27,600 --> 00:04:29,960 Speaker 1: be done. And I think the concern of the markets 72 00:04:30,080 --> 00:04:33,520 Speaker 1: is that the government currently in Japan may be distracted 73 00:04:33,520 --> 00:04:36,640 Speaker 1: by other issues and needs to refocus its attention on 74 00:04:36,680 --> 00:04:39,720 Speaker 1: the economy, stimulating the economy, trying to get those animal 75 00:04:39,760 --> 00:04:42,920 Speaker 1: spirits to revive once again. Not to be fair, the 76 00:04:42,960 --> 00:04:46,280 Speaker 1: corporate sector is in completely fine shape and we have 77 00:04:46,400 --> 00:04:50,760 Speaker 1: record profits, record profit markets, record cash balances, so it's 78 00:04:50,760 --> 00:04:53,039 Speaker 1: not as if there's no cash around. But you you're 79 00:04:53,040 --> 00:04:55,680 Speaker 1: putting thing on the right point, which is where is 80 00:04:55,720 --> 00:04:58,680 Speaker 1: the trigger, where's the catalyst to get corporate managers to 81 00:04:58,800 --> 00:05:02,080 Speaker 1: deploy that cash into the real economy through capex and 82 00:05:02,120 --> 00:05:06,400 Speaker 1: other means to lead to a virtuous cycle. But again, 83 00:05:06,960 --> 00:05:09,960 Speaker 1: it's not as if everything is in inflation. And back 84 00:05:10,000 --> 00:05:12,000 Speaker 1: to five years ago. We are a little much better 85 00:05:12,000 --> 00:05:14,440 Speaker 1: place than we were five years ago, but more needs 86 00:05:14,440 --> 00:05:16,440 Speaker 1: to be done to make sure the cycle is sustained. 87 00:05:16,880 --> 00:05:18,280 Speaker 1: Go go back to this chart if you what, I 88 00:05:18,320 --> 00:05:20,680 Speaker 1: want to do this on television, like it's Facebook Live 89 00:05:21,040 --> 00:05:23,720 Speaker 1: right now. You're gonna see me make the sausage right now, 90 00:05:24,000 --> 00:05:27,359 Speaker 1: which is the average twenty year line of nominal g 91 00:05:27,480 --> 00:05:30,040 Speaker 1: d P. You can barely see it there. I'm gonna 92 00:05:30,080 --> 00:05:33,520 Speaker 1: make it a big, bright, ugly red for you. Nominal 93 00:05:33,600 --> 00:05:38,599 Speaker 1: GDP over two decades in Japan his flat line. So 94 00:05:38,680 --> 00:05:41,599 Speaker 1: there you go, there's that red line right down by zero. 95 00:05:41,839 --> 00:05:46,160 Speaker 1: I mean, is there any demand by society Kathy in 96 00:05:46,320 --> 00:05:51,080 Speaker 1: Japan to jump start societal animal spirit? Are they all 97 00:05:51,120 --> 00:05:55,359 Speaker 1: doing this for Honda and Toyota? Well, I think I 98 00:05:55,400 --> 00:05:58,280 Speaker 1: think you have to think about this in terms of 99 00:05:58,760 --> 00:06:01,200 Speaker 1: uh if. For example, if you look at the demographic 100 00:06:01,360 --> 00:06:03,400 Speaker 1: I call it, the demograph would divide right the older 101 00:06:03,480 --> 00:06:08,080 Speaker 1: Japanese cohorts who are retired no more you know, earned income, 102 00:06:08,120 --> 00:06:11,520 Speaker 1: but they're trying to live off their savings. Frankly, for them, 103 00:06:11,640 --> 00:06:14,840 Speaker 1: deflation is the best thing since life, because deflation means 104 00:06:15,000 --> 00:06:17,760 Speaker 1: they can stretch their savings, right, Versus those that are 105 00:06:17,760 --> 00:06:20,640 Speaker 1: not retired, they're younger, they're seeing their wages a stagnant 106 00:06:20,680 --> 00:06:23,400 Speaker 1: or falling. So it's been this real battle between these 107 00:06:23,400 --> 00:06:27,000 Speaker 1: two cohorts. Uh And we had seen, of course the dominant, 108 00:06:27,000 --> 00:06:29,640 Speaker 1: that the former group really winning the game. But now 109 00:06:29,680 --> 00:06:32,120 Speaker 1: the other group is now beginning to raise its voices 110 00:06:32,120 --> 00:06:33,920 Speaker 1: and say, look, this is not good for us, it's 111 00:06:33,920 --> 00:06:36,560 Speaker 1: not good for posterity. We really need to change the 112 00:06:36,640 --> 00:06:39,800 Speaker 1: dynamic here. So again I think you're painting a picture 113 00:06:39,839 --> 00:06:43,360 Speaker 1: that is exactly why albinomics came came through, right, It's 114 00:06:43,400 --> 00:06:46,680 Speaker 1: exactly why the society said enough is enough. We made 115 00:06:46,720 --> 00:06:49,520 Speaker 1: the sort of the retired community happy for a while, 116 00:06:49,680 --> 00:06:52,520 Speaker 1: but this is really terrible for our future. Again, the 117 00:06:52,600 --> 00:06:54,520 Speaker 1: verdict is still out whether this is going to be 118 00:06:54,560 --> 00:06:58,320 Speaker 1: sustainable and successful sufficiently, but at least I think they've 119 00:06:58,360 --> 00:07:01,000 Speaker 1: come to recognize as a society that we can't just 120 00:07:01,279 --> 00:07:03,480 Speaker 1: you know, sort of cater to that formal move any longer. 121 00:07:15,400 --> 00:07:16,720 Speaker 1: I cannot throw off as a mention here in our 122 00:07:16,680 --> 00:07:18,760 Speaker 1: Bloomberg and Lemons your studios in New York. Great to 123 00:07:18,800 --> 00:07:22,760 Speaker 1: have you applies. Let me start by asking you to 124 00:07:22,760 --> 00:07:24,440 Speaker 1: respond to what we're seeing here out of Brussels, the 125 00:07:24,760 --> 00:07:27,520 Speaker 1: beginnings of these negotiations between the the U and the 126 00:07:27,600 --> 00:07:30,640 Speaker 1: UK obviously early stages here yet, but in terms of 127 00:07:30,720 --> 00:07:33,000 Speaker 1: what's what the flashpoints are, what the big issues are, 128 00:07:33,960 --> 00:07:35,360 Speaker 1: how do you respond to it? To what we're hearing 129 00:07:35,360 --> 00:07:37,800 Speaker 1: here about sort of the issue of citizens rights in 130 00:07:37,800 --> 00:07:39,240 Speaker 1: the UK and how being an issue that's going to 131 00:07:39,280 --> 00:07:42,840 Speaker 1: be going forward. I don't even know where to start. 132 00:07:42,880 --> 00:07:46,440 Speaker 1: I wonder what I would say that the sort of 133 00:07:46,520 --> 00:07:49,680 Speaker 1: damocles as hanging over the UK here with this bracts 134 00:07:49,760 --> 00:07:52,840 Speaker 1: that they haven't begun to feel the effects, particularly the 135 00:07:52,880 --> 00:07:56,160 Speaker 1: financial sector. If they have to move twenty percent of 136 00:07:56,200 --> 00:08:00,160 Speaker 1: the financial sector out of London, it's going to be very, 137 00:08:00,240 --> 00:08:04,160 Speaker 1: very painful for the UK economy. I think they'll come 138 00:08:04,200 --> 00:08:09,480 Speaker 1: to some kind of reasonable agreement on citizenship and citizens rights, 139 00:08:09,480 --> 00:08:13,640 Speaker 1: but I don't know. Tor resume had this disastrous election, uh, 140 00:08:13,800 --> 00:08:16,720 Speaker 1: will the government fall? I mean, it's hard to see 141 00:08:16,760 --> 00:08:19,720 Speaker 1: how long they can last when they don't really have 142 00:08:19,880 --> 00:08:25,320 Speaker 1: the power to negotiate and whether the very thin working 143 00:08:25,360 --> 00:08:29,160 Speaker 1: majority they have will fray. So it's very very hard 144 00:08:29,280 --> 00:08:31,680 Speaker 1: for her to, uh, you know, really come to a 145 00:08:31,760 --> 00:08:35,079 Speaker 1: deal here. And yet the clock is ticking. We had 146 00:08:35,080 --> 00:08:37,959 Speaker 1: this ECB form a couple of weeks back in Central Portugal, 147 00:08:37,960 --> 00:08:39,800 Speaker 1: and you had a number of central bankers talking about 148 00:08:40,640 --> 00:08:43,600 Speaker 1: working together, collaborate, that collaboration cooperation. I suppose you could say, 149 00:08:43,800 --> 00:08:45,760 Speaker 1: among them, what did you make of what came out 150 00:08:45,760 --> 00:08:49,960 Speaker 1: of that meeting in Central Well, obviously, you know, the 151 00:08:49,960 --> 00:08:53,280 Speaker 1: most striking thing was what Mario Droggy said the markets 152 00:08:53,520 --> 00:08:57,760 Speaker 1: paid attention to. But there is a lot of exchange 153 00:08:57,760 --> 00:09:00,440 Speaker 1: of ideas across central banks. They're all seeing the same thing. 154 00:09:00,559 --> 00:09:03,000 Speaker 1: And the biggest thing in the world over the last 155 00:09:03,080 --> 00:09:06,000 Speaker 1: five or ten years has been the steady drop in 156 00:09:06,840 --> 00:09:11,640 Speaker 1: the inflation adjusted interest rate. For everybody, they weren't expecting it, 157 00:09:11,640 --> 00:09:14,760 Speaker 1: it was. It's it's a couple percent lower than it was, 158 00:09:14,960 --> 00:09:17,520 Speaker 1: you know, at the start of the financial crisis, and 159 00:09:17,559 --> 00:09:21,119 Speaker 1: it's lasted and I don't know if it will stay. 160 00:09:21,160 --> 00:09:24,160 Speaker 1: But obviously, if you're talking about raising interest rates, but 161 00:09:24,840 --> 00:09:27,040 Speaker 1: the you know, the rate of interest, that kind of 162 00:09:27,080 --> 00:09:30,440 Speaker 1: clears the market when you adjust for inflation hasn't been rising, 163 00:09:30,760 --> 00:09:33,800 Speaker 1: they won't, So I think that's gonna as that continues 164 00:09:33,840 --> 00:09:37,080 Speaker 1: to get pushed out the day of quote unquote normalization 165 00:09:37,120 --> 00:09:40,320 Speaker 1: of interest rates. They're all going so they're all seeing 166 00:09:40,360 --> 00:09:42,720 Speaker 1: the same thing. Hey, interest rates were a lot higher 167 00:09:43,240 --> 00:09:45,800 Speaker 1: ten years ago, but where are they going now? There 168 00:09:45,880 --> 00:09:48,240 Speaker 1: was a moment of misinterpretation, I suppose you could call it. 169 00:09:48,320 --> 00:09:50,920 Speaker 1: During that that form, the market seem to misunderstand what 170 00:09:51,080 --> 00:09:54,560 Speaker 1: Mario jogging intended to to say, how how big an 171 00:09:54,559 --> 00:09:57,079 Speaker 1: issue steal this communication by central margages. We push a 172 00:09:57,120 --> 00:09:59,079 Speaker 1: head here to a news conference from the the prison 173 00:09:59,120 --> 00:10:02,080 Speaker 1: of the ECB later this morning. Are you satisfied with 174 00:10:02,080 --> 00:10:06,520 Speaker 1: the green to which central bankers are communicating their policy positions. Well, 175 00:10:06,679 --> 00:10:09,360 Speaker 1: they each have different challenges. So in the case of 176 00:10:09,400 --> 00:10:13,040 Speaker 1: Mario dragging, the European Central Bank is both fiscal policy 177 00:10:13,280 --> 00:10:16,360 Speaker 1: and monetary policy for the Eurozone, and yet he has 178 00:10:16,400 --> 00:10:19,960 Speaker 1: to couch it in this language about inflation, the quantitative 179 00:10:20,040 --> 00:10:23,480 Speaker 1: easing and the slowing quantitative easing. It's not about inflation. 180 00:10:23,920 --> 00:10:28,000 Speaker 1: It's about propping up bonds in Portugal, Italy and the 181 00:10:28,000 --> 00:10:31,160 Speaker 1: rest of Europe. And if the Eurozone can't step in 182 00:10:31,200 --> 00:10:33,800 Speaker 1: to do something. Maybe the new French president will be 183 00:10:33,840 --> 00:10:37,320 Speaker 1: able to catalyze something. It's a problem in the US. Actually, 184 00:10:37,320 --> 00:10:40,520 Speaker 1: I think the interesting problem is it does matter what 185 00:10:40,559 --> 00:10:43,160 Speaker 1: people think you're going to do two years from now, 186 00:10:43,240 --> 00:10:46,280 Speaker 1: five years now, but the Fed doesn't even know what 187 00:10:46,400 --> 00:10:49,000 Speaker 1: its constitution is going to be. Two years, five years 188 00:10:49,000 --> 00:10:53,079 Speaker 1: from now. We have this uh, you know, disruptive president 189 00:10:53,480 --> 00:10:55,920 Speaker 1: the Federal Reserve, you know, puts on a brave face. 190 00:10:56,040 --> 00:10:59,520 Speaker 1: Nothing's going to change whoever your points. He'll just get 191 00:10:59,559 --> 00:11:03,480 Speaker 1: you know, institutionalized into the fat way of doing things. 192 00:11:03,520 --> 00:11:06,120 Speaker 1: But the President Trump does an enormous power to appoint 193 00:11:06,160 --> 00:11:08,760 Speaker 1: people can roll off with us with Harvard University, Good 194 00:11:08,800 --> 00:11:12,160 Speaker 1: morning everyone, Green on the screen features up one, Features 195 00:11:12,200 --> 00:11:15,600 Speaker 1: up eleven is David mentions Mr Drog will have a 196 00:11:15,679 --> 00:11:20,000 Speaker 1: sporting morning, will of course have his important press conference 197 00:11:20,040 --> 00:11:23,280 Speaker 1: in Q and a always a raft of headlines out 198 00:11:24,240 --> 00:11:27,560 Speaker 1: with Mr Drog. I want to get one monetary question 199 00:11:27,559 --> 00:11:30,200 Speaker 1: in before we talk about and celebrate my book of 200 00:11:30,240 --> 00:11:33,920 Speaker 1: the year, the Curse of Cash from last year, and 201 00:11:34,000 --> 00:11:37,760 Speaker 1: I've felt Rogueff you spend a lot of Matthew moments 202 00:11:37,840 --> 00:11:44,439 Speaker 1: on this strange word. Expectations are expectations different today because 203 00:11:44,480 --> 00:11:48,800 Speaker 1: of technology, because of speed of news, speed of transfer, 204 00:11:49,280 --> 00:11:53,800 Speaker 1: maybe because of a smarter household, of smarter consumer. Our 205 00:11:53,920 --> 00:11:59,439 Speaker 1: expectations different now than Obsfeld Rogueff of another time and place. Well, 206 00:11:59,440 --> 00:12:02,360 Speaker 1: I sort of expectations of what I think they were 207 00:12:02,360 --> 00:12:06,000 Speaker 1: pretty sophisticated for a long time, but inflations become something 208 00:12:06,000 --> 00:12:10,079 Speaker 1: of a mystery. I think, what's going on with inflations? 209 00:12:10,120 --> 00:12:13,760 Speaker 1: The world's adjusting to this ever lower lowering share of 210 00:12:13,840 --> 00:12:17,400 Speaker 1: labor that's putting downwardressure on wages. And if wages aren't 211 00:12:17,400 --> 00:12:20,680 Speaker 1: going up, there's not a lot of pressure on firms prices. 212 00:12:20,720 --> 00:12:23,720 Speaker 1: That may turn around at some point, but it hasn't, 213 00:12:23,960 --> 00:12:27,080 Speaker 1: and that's that's mystified. How do you respond to Professor 214 00:12:27,160 --> 00:12:30,400 Speaker 1: Roach of Yale University, Steve Roach, the great of invented 215 00:12:30,440 --> 00:12:34,400 Speaker 1: Morgan Stanley economics, who says part of that inflation is 216 00:12:34,559 --> 00:12:38,199 Speaker 1: asset inflation. Should we have a central bank that looks 217 00:12:38,280 --> 00:12:44,640 Speaker 1: not only at inflation and jobs but also at asset dynamics? Well, 218 00:12:44,679 --> 00:12:47,880 Speaker 1: so that's an age old question. Ben Bernanke addressed this 219 00:12:47,960 --> 00:12:50,800 Speaker 1: a lot. He had a very decisive answer no, And 220 00:12:50,840 --> 00:12:54,520 Speaker 1: that's the classic central bank answers we care about asset 221 00:12:54,559 --> 00:12:58,360 Speaker 1: price inflation to the extent if stock prices go up 222 00:12:58,400 --> 00:13:02,000 Speaker 1: and people spend more money, it's upward pressure on output inflation. 223 00:13:02,320 --> 00:13:05,560 Speaker 1: But we don't care about the stock prices themselves. We 224 00:13:05,600 --> 00:13:08,000 Speaker 1: don't know what they should be. But in the case 225 00:13:08,040 --> 00:13:12,119 Speaker 1: of housing and debt fueled housing, it's a little trickier 226 00:13:12,160 --> 00:13:15,120 Speaker 1: because housing is often at the central center of financial crisis. 227 00:13:15,200 --> 00:13:19,120 Speaker 1: Canada recently raised its interest rate, pointing at housing. Um, 228 00:13:20,000 --> 00:13:21,959 Speaker 1: you've got the safe box here with the cash, and 229 00:13:22,200 --> 00:13:24,600 Speaker 1: on the cover of the new course of cash. If 230 00:13:24,640 --> 00:13:28,640 Speaker 1: the death threats slowed down, Uh, yeah, they've slowed down 231 00:13:28,679 --> 00:13:31,880 Speaker 1: a little bit. Although I just got one the other day. 232 00:13:32,280 --> 00:13:34,400 Speaker 1: Just go on the other day. Do you have security 233 00:13:34,440 --> 00:13:37,280 Speaker 1: up at Harvard like the president has two blocks over 234 00:13:37,320 --> 00:13:40,960 Speaker 1: from us. I have had some of the people across 235 00:13:41,000 --> 00:13:43,480 Speaker 1: the half of me wonder if they should move their office. 236 00:13:44,120 --> 00:13:47,599 Speaker 1: If somebody walks into their office my mistake now and 237 00:13:47,679 --> 00:13:51,120 Speaker 1: asks their me. But no, I think in the in 238 00:13:51,200 --> 00:13:54,319 Speaker 1: the new paperback that I put out, first of all, 239 00:13:54,320 --> 00:13:57,560 Speaker 1: I extended the title to make it clear that my 240 00:13:57,679 --> 00:13:59,800 Speaker 1: policy is not getting rid of cash, which it says 241 00:13:59,800 --> 00:14:03,840 Speaker 1: on page one, page two about my policy is more 242 00:14:03,920 --> 00:14:07,760 Speaker 1: about come on, cut to chase every building contractor hate 243 00:14:07,800 --> 00:14:11,240 Speaker 1: your guns because they love being paid under the table 244 00:14:11,320 --> 00:14:14,960 Speaker 1: in cash. The construction industry is a big user of 245 00:14:15,040 --> 00:14:17,280 Speaker 1: cash worldwide. There are lots of studies. I mean, I 246 00:14:17,280 --> 00:14:20,440 Speaker 1: don't mean to pick on contractors have it and they're safe. 247 00:14:20,520 --> 00:14:23,240 Speaker 1: And I mean, David, you're doing something over in Brooklyn 248 00:14:23,280 --> 00:14:27,160 Speaker 1: on the man's so you pay the rule of the 249 00:14:27,160 --> 00:14:29,280 Speaker 1: neighborhood and seriously you go to you're going to India, 250 00:14:29,760 --> 00:14:32,320 Speaker 1: by the way. I don't have a moral thing about this. 251 00:14:32,400 --> 00:14:36,560 Speaker 1: I mean I use cash. People my generation I'm sixty 252 00:14:36,600 --> 00:14:39,600 Speaker 1: four use cash. I use cash. But I think the 253 00:14:39,680 --> 00:14:44,040 Speaker 1: question is scale. Uh, you know how ordinary people use 254 00:14:44,120 --> 00:14:47,200 Speaker 1: cash for whatever reason. I don't have a moral thing 255 00:14:47,240 --> 00:14:50,040 Speaker 1: about this, but we're a lot of the cash is 256 00:14:50,120 --> 00:14:53,800 Speaker 1: using big dealings and huge cach like kill gardens on 257 00:14:53,880 --> 00:14:56,000 Speaker 1: top of his roof and the sweet green over here, 258 00:14:56,000 --> 00:14:58,480 Speaker 1: where I can use cash by a salad tongue. Well, 259 00:14:58,520 --> 00:15:03,840 Speaker 1: that's a different matter, is David. I mentioned your year 260 00:15:03,880 --> 00:15:06,080 Speaker 1: off to India. What will be your message to Indian 261 00:15:06,240 --> 00:15:11,560 Speaker 1: financial leaders about their experiment with the curse of cash? Quickly? Unfortunately? Well, 262 00:15:11,680 --> 00:15:15,240 Speaker 1: I think whenever you're speaking to the India audience, it's 263 00:15:15,640 --> 00:15:19,240 Speaker 1: they move very slowly. Actually normally normally they're moving in 264 00:15:19,240 --> 00:15:22,720 Speaker 1: the right direction, but very slowly. And you you say, well, 265 00:15:22,720 --> 00:15:24,720 Speaker 1: if you moved a little faster, it would be even better. 266 00:15:25,280 --> 00:15:27,560 Speaker 1: In the case of this one, they moved way too fast. 267 00:15:27,640 --> 00:15:31,160 Speaker 1: David gerin time came with kenro of Harvard University and 268 00:15:31,240 --> 00:15:34,080 Speaker 1: celebration of my book of the Year last year, The 269 00:15:34,120 --> 00:15:37,960 Speaker 1: Curse of Cash Out in paperback with an important update 270 00:15:38,040 --> 00:15:40,760 Speaker 1: on India. Professor I cut you off at our last 271 00:15:41,080 --> 00:15:43,960 Speaker 1: section on the India. What can the United States? What 272 00:15:44,000 --> 00:15:47,400 Speaker 1: can Europe learn about trying to deal with corruption and 273 00:15:47,520 --> 00:15:52,040 Speaker 1: cash within the new Indian experiment? Well, I think India 274 00:15:52,120 --> 00:15:54,760 Speaker 1: is innovated in a lot of ways to try to 275 00:15:55,240 --> 00:15:58,880 Speaker 1: have financial inclusion. Um, something I don't think we could 276 00:15:58,880 --> 00:16:01,440 Speaker 1: do in the United States, although it probably happened someday. 277 00:16:01,720 --> 00:16:05,880 Speaker 1: Is they have taken biometric data for now over one 278 00:16:05,920 --> 00:16:08,520 Speaker 1: point one billion Indians and they're moving to do the 279 00:16:08,560 --> 00:16:12,520 Speaker 1: rest and you get basically a free debit account when 280 00:16:12,520 --> 00:16:16,160 Speaker 1: you get to do that. It's made financial inclusion very easy. 281 00:16:16,280 --> 00:16:19,960 Speaker 1: And uh, they've also done things like make it impossible 282 00:16:20,040 --> 00:16:23,760 Speaker 1: to pay certain kinds of license fees in cash you 283 00:16:23,920 --> 00:16:26,320 Speaker 1: have to pay online. It's a big source of corruption. 284 00:16:26,600 --> 00:16:30,400 Speaker 1: They haven't done that with houses. Apartments and houses routinely 285 00:16:30,480 --> 00:16:33,720 Speaker 1: trade for cash, and India it's an enormous source of corruption. 286 00:16:34,120 --> 00:16:37,359 Speaker 1: But they're trying to approach these things. There's many, many dimensions. 287 00:16:37,800 --> 00:16:40,840 Speaker 1: I think the demonetization, which is MODI called it was 288 00:16:40,960 --> 00:16:44,800 Speaker 1: very theatric and maybe highlighted these things. I think he 289 00:16:45,200 --> 00:16:48,400 Speaker 1: did it way too fast. I say you should take 290 00:16:48,440 --> 00:16:51,120 Speaker 1: five to seven years. He did it in a few hours. 291 00:16:51,680 --> 00:16:53,240 Speaker 1: I don't think they did it the right way. I 292 00:16:53,240 --> 00:16:56,840 Speaker 1: think that was counterproductive. But the larger picture, they've done 293 00:16:56,840 --> 00:16:59,000 Speaker 1: a lot of good things. Ken, we are ten years 294 00:16:59,040 --> 00:17:02,720 Speaker 1: on from a financial crisis. You are exceptionally generous with 295 00:17:02,800 --> 00:17:06,240 Speaker 1: your time with Bloomberg on the economy and Bloomberg surveillance 296 00:17:06,520 --> 00:17:09,399 Speaker 1: and the heat of two thousand and seven and two 297 00:17:09,400 --> 00:17:12,159 Speaker 1: thousand eight. Of course you did your iconic book with 298 00:17:12,280 --> 00:17:16,920 Speaker 1: Carmen Reinhardt. This time is different, Where this time is different? 299 00:17:17,040 --> 00:17:21,720 Speaker 1: Down ten years, what have you learned well? I mean, 300 00:17:21,960 --> 00:17:26,280 Speaker 1: first I want to say, when academic study these things, 301 00:17:26,280 --> 00:17:30,240 Speaker 1: they do it forever. Ben Bernanke wrote a path breaking 302 00:17:30,280 --> 00:17:34,119 Speaker 1: paper reinterpreting the Great Depression in a way, we still 303 00:17:34,119 --> 00:17:38,440 Speaker 1: think it's important fifty years after it happened. Barry Ikens 304 00:17:38,560 --> 00:17:41,560 Speaker 1: Green's book on the gold standard ten years after that, 305 00:17:42,119 --> 00:17:47,720 Speaker 1: so there's constant rethinking of this. Uh, but I think 306 00:17:47,880 --> 00:17:51,040 Speaker 1: it's still pretty robust. The results that Reinhardt and I 307 00:17:51,119 --> 00:17:54,000 Speaker 1: got from this time is different, which shows that the 308 00:17:54,119 --> 00:17:58,480 Speaker 1: run up to a financial crisis has pretty similar characteristics 309 00:17:58,480 --> 00:18:03,080 Speaker 1: across time, across country, and it's never that painless. That 310 00:18:03,200 --> 00:18:07,040 Speaker 1: is debated. There are papers by Michael Porto, David and 311 00:18:07,080 --> 00:18:10,160 Speaker 1: Christina Romer who say, well, depends on what you call 312 00:18:10,160 --> 00:18:14,400 Speaker 1: a financial crisis. I think we're focusing on deep systemic 313 00:18:14,480 --> 00:18:17,479 Speaker 1: ones that have a big effect on the economy as 314 00:18:17,520 --> 00:18:20,720 Speaker 1: opposed to more minor ones. Did we do okay? Did 315 00:18:20,720 --> 00:18:24,119 Speaker 1: the United States all the jumpeter of Harvard? Did we 316 00:18:24,240 --> 00:18:28,520 Speaker 1: clear our markets better than others? Oh? I think the 317 00:18:28,600 --> 00:18:34,159 Speaker 1: United States did very well not to have a great depression, 318 00:18:34,440 --> 00:18:40,080 Speaker 1: and they, you know, certainly behaved very courageously and remarkably. 319 00:18:40,440 --> 00:18:44,879 Speaker 1: Ben BERNANKI of course widely celebrated President Obama. Uh, you know, 320 00:18:45,040 --> 00:18:48,520 Speaker 1: his actions helped a lot. But George Bush also was 321 00:18:48,680 --> 00:18:54,120 Speaker 1: very courageous going on with a fifty billion dollars stimulus right, 322 00:18:54,480 --> 00:18:57,159 Speaker 1: you know, pretty quickly, contrary to like what all his 323 00:18:57,240 --> 00:19:00,600 Speaker 1: beliefs and statements were, so they were very flexible. There's 324 00:19:00,600 --> 00:19:03,879 Speaker 1: a lot of sort of Monday morning quarterbacking about what 325 00:19:03,920 --> 00:19:06,439 Speaker 1: they should have done better. I think everyone agrees they 326 00:19:06,440 --> 00:19:11,840 Speaker 1: should have done more infrastructure, they should have kept stimulus 327 00:19:11,880 --> 00:19:16,280 Speaker 1: going longer. But I think people forget that the forecasts 328 00:19:16,320 --> 00:19:19,600 Speaker 1: that were coming out from the FED, from Wall Street, 329 00:19:19,640 --> 00:19:23,560 Speaker 1: from everyone where that the Reinhardt rogue off was not 330 00:19:23,640 --> 00:19:25,679 Speaker 1: going to happen. It was going to be much faster. 331 00:19:26,040 --> 00:19:28,679 Speaker 1: And the White House and the Congress, we're looking at 332 00:19:28,720 --> 00:19:32,040 Speaker 1: this and saying, well, why are we doing crazy things? 333 00:19:32,040 --> 00:19:34,920 Speaker 1: That things are going to get better? And as aggressive 334 00:19:34,920 --> 00:19:37,840 Speaker 1: as monetary policy was, I think it could have been 335 00:19:37,880 --> 00:19:40,600 Speaker 1: more aggressive. I think they were a little bit too 336 00:19:40,640 --> 00:19:45,800 Speaker 1: concerned with maintaining inflation not going up, and not looking, 337 00:19:45,920 --> 00:19:48,920 Speaker 1: you know, at really what the core problem was. Very quickly, 338 00:19:49,000 --> 00:19:50,960 Speaker 1: you have but three seconds left. I wanted to sort 339 00:19:50,960 --> 00:19:52,960 Speaker 1: of how your expectations for growth or your sense of 340 00:19:53,000 --> 00:19:55,560 Speaker 1: where the U. S. Economy is going has changed in 341 00:19:55,640 --> 00:19:57,560 Speaker 1: light of the disruptiveness. I think that was the word 342 00:19:57,600 --> 00:20:00,199 Speaker 1: you used of of this president. How have you reavalid 343 00:20:00,040 --> 00:20:02,960 Speaker 1: where you think things are heading well. I think for 344 00:20:03,040 --> 00:20:08,439 Speaker 1: the moment it's just growth deferred and not reversed. I 345 00:20:08,480 --> 00:20:12,600 Speaker 1: think the US economy is fundamentally very strong, and if 346 00:20:12,640 --> 00:20:16,239 Speaker 1: the President of the Senate and President Congress don't end 347 00:20:16,280 --> 00:20:19,960 Speaker 1: up doing much, it could be a lot worse. Um So, 348 00:20:20,240 --> 00:20:23,239 Speaker 1: I do think productivity will start to improve. I do 349 00:20:23,320 --> 00:20:26,080 Speaker 1: think investment will start to come back. We've gone on 350 00:20:26,119 --> 00:20:28,959 Speaker 1: this long trend, but at least part of that the 351 00:20:29,000 --> 00:20:32,119 Speaker 1: aftermath of the financial crisis, there's this view of Robert Gordon, 352 00:20:32,320 --> 00:20:36,480 Speaker 1: We're not inventing anything anymore. I think that will look 353 00:20:36,560 --> 00:20:39,680 Speaker 1: ridiculous in ten years. Can congratulations In my book of 354 00:20:39,720 --> 00:20:42,720 Speaker 1: the Year last year, the Curse of Cash still most 355 00:20:42,880 --> 00:20:46,320 Speaker 1: current out in paperback. Can't say enough about it, The 356 00:20:46,400 --> 00:20:56,720 Speaker 1: Curse of Cash. This is Bloomer Brunts you by Bank 357 00:20:56,760 --> 00:21:01,480 Speaker 1: of America Mary Lynch. With virtual reality, virtual everything will change. 358 00:21:01,920 --> 00:21:06,520 Speaker 1: Discover opportunities in a transforming world, be of a mL 359 00:21:06,600 --> 00:21:12,199 Speaker 1: dot Com, slash VR, Mary Lynch, Pierce Fenner and Smith Incorporated. 360 00:21:17,480 --> 00:21:20,320 Speaker 1: We've had a wonderful week on a housing Jonathan Miller 361 00:21:20,400 --> 00:21:23,760 Speaker 1: joined us, who is truly the smartest guy on per 362 00:21:23,880 --> 00:21:28,800 Speaker 1: square foot in the major cities Uh. Doug Duncan joined 363 00:21:28,840 --> 00:21:33,760 Speaker 1: his studios in in his little cases. UH from Fannie 364 00:21:33,760 --> 00:21:37,639 Speaker 1: May and now the academic authority were the late Carl 365 00:21:37,760 --> 00:21:41,600 Speaker 1: Case of Wellesley and Harvard, Robert Scholler, the laureate from Yale. 366 00:21:42,240 --> 00:21:47,200 Speaker 1: On a housing Bob Shower, Why isn't there affordable housing 367 00:21:47,720 --> 00:21:55,760 Speaker 1: across much of California? Well? Uh, I would say restrictions 368 00:21:55,760 --> 00:22:01,360 Speaker 1: on supply. There's two kinds of restrictions as natural restriction uh, 369 00:22:01,520 --> 00:22:06,160 Speaker 1: the mountains the ocean that limits building. But then there's 370 00:22:06,200 --> 00:22:13,200 Speaker 1: other restrictions which are human created. Uh. And people are 371 00:22:13,240 --> 00:22:19,240 Speaker 1: resistant to new construction. Uh. It's still possible in California, 372 00:22:19,840 --> 00:22:24,160 Speaker 1: but people don't people existing homeowners don't want it. What 373 00:22:24,160 --> 00:22:27,680 Speaker 1: what determines where there is affordable housing? Is it geographies 374 00:22:27,720 --> 00:22:30,879 Speaker 1: You've just mentioned the mountains, the oceans, etcetera. Or is 375 00:22:30,920 --> 00:22:32,359 Speaker 1: it something more than that when you look at the 376 00:22:32,359 --> 00:22:34,120 Speaker 1: world and you look at where you can find affordable 377 00:22:34,160 --> 00:22:40,119 Speaker 1: housing in major cities. Yeah, there's evidence that geography matters. 378 00:22:40,760 --> 00:22:43,760 Speaker 1: So part of it is you know, San Francisco is 379 00:22:43,760 --> 00:22:47,560 Speaker 1: on a on a sort of peninsula around the Bay. 380 00:22:47,840 --> 00:22:52,320 Speaker 1: Uh that limits uh, limits construction, and cities like that 381 00:22:52,840 --> 00:22:57,359 Speaker 1: do have higher prices. That's a fact of life. Uh. 382 00:22:57,480 --> 00:23:01,520 Speaker 1: Then the question is what other factors? Well, the other 383 00:23:01,560 --> 00:23:06,440 Speaker 1: factors are people preserving neighborhoods. And also there's a kind 384 00:23:06,440 --> 00:23:10,800 Speaker 1: of a coordination problem. How can we what people like 385 00:23:11,000 --> 00:23:13,880 Speaker 1: urban living? The problem is there isn't enough of it? 386 00:23:14,600 --> 00:23:18,800 Speaker 1: How can we start new city centers? That's that's a difficult, 387 00:23:19,440 --> 00:23:23,760 Speaker 1: difficult thing to do. It does happen eventually, It was 388 00:23:23,800 --> 00:23:26,760 Speaker 1: a long lag. Let's let's chew on that or congitate 389 00:23:26,800 --> 00:23:29,000 Speaker 1: on it. There, How how do you begin to do that? 390 00:23:29,040 --> 00:23:31,280 Speaker 1: As you think about that, as we hear stories of 391 00:23:32,000 --> 00:23:35,680 Speaker 1: companies moving to new cities, new towns and and intending 392 00:23:35,720 --> 00:23:38,280 Speaker 1: to grow. What what kick starts that kind of growth? 393 00:23:38,280 --> 00:23:39,800 Speaker 1: It does take a long time, as you say, but 394 00:23:39,840 --> 00:23:43,679 Speaker 1: what are the catalysts that make it work? Well? I 395 00:23:43,720 --> 00:23:46,919 Speaker 1: think it has something to do with civic spirit, with 396 00:23:47,000 --> 00:23:51,240 Speaker 1: people who who think about what to do with our city, 397 00:23:51,320 --> 00:23:57,960 Speaker 1: people who plan, uh, and a general atmosphere of cooperation. 398 00:23:58,280 --> 00:24:01,800 Speaker 1: So for example, Stanford can etiquette to go back fifty 399 00:24:01,840 --> 00:24:05,920 Speaker 1: to a hundred years, it was an industrial town. Uh, 400 00:24:06,119 --> 00:24:09,119 Speaker 1: the industry started moving out. We were losing jobs to 401 00:24:09,280 --> 00:24:13,159 Speaker 1: the foreign countries. But they decided that this is a 402 00:24:13,200 --> 00:24:16,960 Speaker 1: city which is, uh, within an hour's commute of New 403 00:24:17,040 --> 00:24:20,159 Speaker 1: York City on the rail line. So they were lucky 404 00:24:20,240 --> 00:24:23,560 Speaker 1: they were on the rail line. And they decided to 405 00:24:23,600 --> 00:24:27,679 Speaker 1: try to court corporate headquarters and get some out of 406 00:24:28,040 --> 00:24:32,359 Speaker 1: out of the city. Whether it's it's more more lands 407 00:24:32,560 --> 00:24:38,080 Speaker 1: prices are lower, and they transformed Stanford into a into 408 00:24:38,160 --> 00:24:43,240 Speaker 1: a like a second downtown for New York. What would 409 00:24:43,280 --> 00:24:48,200 Speaker 1: you propose to allow for upper middle class forget about 410 00:24:48,240 --> 00:24:52,320 Speaker 1: middle class or lower middle class, upper middle class mortal 411 00:24:52,400 --> 00:24:55,520 Speaker 1: housing where the rich people don't want that in their 412 00:24:55,560 --> 00:24:59,520 Speaker 1: backyard or in the backyard next to their backyard. How 413 00:24:59,520 --> 00:25:02,119 Speaker 1: do we do we just get you know, within the 414 00:25:02,119 --> 00:25:05,520 Speaker 1: New York metaphor, forget about three million dollar properties? How 415 00:25:05,520 --> 00:25:11,719 Speaker 1: do we get more non affordable affordable dollar properties? Eight 416 00:25:12,000 --> 00:25:21,200 Speaker 1: d well not for all of us, but uh yeah, 417 00:25:21,480 --> 00:25:23,760 Speaker 1: I think that when you talk about that level, you're 418 00:25:23,760 --> 00:25:28,920 Speaker 1: talking about people who uh might nice area, really nice, 419 00:25:29,000 --> 00:25:32,760 Speaker 1: I mean more than eight hundred thousand. Uh, they might 420 00:25:32,800 --> 00:25:36,119 Speaker 1: resist having the riff raff come in. Well, that's a 421 00:25:36,200 --> 00:25:39,679 Speaker 1: society issue. They don't want them. What can policy do 422 00:25:39,760 --> 00:25:43,800 Speaker 1: about that? Well, I think that we have to appeal 423 00:25:43,880 --> 00:25:48,680 Speaker 1: to people's Uh, this is what we call the American 424 00:25:48,800 --> 00:25:53,920 Speaker 1: dream that, uh, we respect people for what they are 425 00:25:53,960 --> 00:25:59,080 Speaker 1: and what they make themselves. We're not all about making money. Uh. 426 00:25:59,119 --> 00:26:03,400 Speaker 1: And you're the value of your house isn't everything, and 427 00:26:03,440 --> 00:26:06,600 Speaker 1: we we Uh. This is also part of the American dream. 428 00:26:06,640 --> 00:26:11,159 Speaker 1: It's tolerance of other people, it's other kinds of people. 429 00:26:11,400 --> 00:26:16,720 Speaker 1: And this is really the the success story of this country. 430 00:26:17,080 --> 00:26:20,400 Speaker 1: You have to appeal to that and help people remember that. Yeah, 431 00:26:20,440 --> 00:26:24,360 Speaker 1: two bedroom to bath square feet down the street from 432 00:26:24,480 --> 00:26:28,200 Speaker 1: Laureate Schiller in New Haven, Connecticut, within reach of Joe's 433 00:26:28,240 --> 00:26:32,240 Speaker 1: Pizza and two other good parlors. David Girl four dred 434 00:26:32,600 --> 00:26:35,879 Speaker 1: thousand dollars. All right, all right, there's nothing. There's nothing 435 00:26:35,920 --> 00:26:38,480 Speaker 1: like that within three zip codes where we're very true, 436 00:26:38,760 --> 00:26:42,520 Speaker 1: Professor Sheller. You you write about inequality and inequality of income, 437 00:26:42,520 --> 00:26:44,840 Speaker 1: and then you write about inequality of housing. This one 438 00:26:44,920 --> 00:26:46,720 Speaker 1: lead the other. In other words, when you look at 439 00:26:46,760 --> 00:26:51,160 Speaker 1: what's the biggest detriment to somebody having economic mobility, how 440 00:26:51,200 --> 00:26:54,680 Speaker 1: big a role is inequality of of housing? Yeah? Well, 441 00:26:54,760 --> 00:27:00,439 Speaker 1: inequality of in terms of housing exacerbates the problem of 442 00:27:01,000 --> 00:27:05,119 Speaker 1: other forms of inequality. The problem is that when you 443 00:27:05,200 --> 00:27:11,359 Speaker 1: have a city developing with limited land, it's going to 444 00:27:11,560 --> 00:27:15,600 Speaker 1: force people out right, and the higher bidders for the 445 00:27:15,720 --> 00:27:19,120 Speaker 1: land in that city maybe to build a to tear 446 00:27:19,200 --> 00:27:22,920 Speaker 1: down the house and build something. Uh. They they are 447 00:27:23,160 --> 00:27:26,760 Speaker 1: eventually have effect of pushing the others out. So you 448 00:27:26,840 --> 00:27:29,240 Speaker 1: might have lived in a neighborhood all your life. You 449 00:27:29,359 --> 00:27:32,720 Speaker 1: have a sense of identity with this neighborhood and neighbors 450 00:27:32,800 --> 00:27:35,160 Speaker 1: and you know where the jobs are where you're used 451 00:27:35,200 --> 00:27:37,880 Speaker 1: to know where they are. Um, and now all that 452 00:27:37,960 --> 00:27:41,639 Speaker 1: changes and you kind of are pushed out by your 453 00:27:41,680 --> 00:27:46,119 Speaker 1: inability to afford housing and that uh, that also is 454 00:27:46,160 --> 00:27:51,680 Speaker 1: an inability to to have opportunities. You're no longer where 455 00:27:51,720 --> 00:27:54,960 Speaker 1: the action is. You've moved out to some area with 456 00:27:55,119 --> 00:27:59,560 Speaker 1: other low income people and you're just too far away 457 00:27:59,560 --> 00:28:03,800 Speaker 1: to make contact. So that that worsens an equality because 458 00:28:03,840 --> 00:28:08,399 Speaker 1: it harms opportunity, It harms feebla's ability to develop themselves 459 00:28:09,080 --> 00:28:13,400 Speaker 1: into something better. Well, let's do this. We are fortunate. 460 00:28:13,440 --> 00:28:17,119 Speaker 1: We have Robert Schiller with us of Yale University and 461 00:28:17,640 --> 00:28:20,440 Speaker 1: he is a Nobel Lord, the Laureate of Newport Beach. 462 00:28:20,480 --> 00:28:24,200 Speaker 1: Bill Gross is just published for Janice Anderson and Bill 463 00:28:24,240 --> 00:28:27,640 Speaker 1: Gross is writing about the world of Robert Schiller, which 464 00:28:27,720 --> 00:28:33,200 Speaker 1: is our orthodox monetary policy and some of our newer concepts. 465 00:28:33,359 --> 00:28:36,159 Speaker 1: Let's come back with Bob Schiller and talk about the 466 00:28:36,160 --> 00:28:38,640 Speaker 1: FED and not so much, you know, the parlor game, 467 00:28:38,880 --> 00:28:41,880 Speaker 1: A We're gonna raise rates in December. Yes, no, maybe, whatever, 468 00:28:42,400 --> 00:28:45,240 Speaker 1: But let's come back and talk to Bob Schiller about 469 00:28:45,600 --> 00:28:49,480 Speaker 1: what the new orthodox should be for our economics. This 470 00:28:49,640 --> 00:28:53,360 Speaker 1: ten years on in the financial crisis, and again Bill 471 00:28:53,400 --> 00:28:59,200 Speaker 1: Gross just publishing on on the linkage here of finance 472 00:28:59,240 --> 00:29:04,040 Speaker 1: and investment into UH Schiller Economics. Professor Schiller where us 473 00:29:04,040 --> 00:29:08,040 Speaker 1: from Yale the Laureate of Yale University UH Professor Schiller, 474 00:29:08,080 --> 00:29:13,960 Speaker 1: Professor Gross of Janice Henderson publishes on our orthodox economics? 475 00:29:14,480 --> 00:29:18,760 Speaker 1: Are we beyond the efficacy of the Taylor rule the 476 00:29:18,800 --> 00:29:22,400 Speaker 1: efficacy of the Phillips curve? Have we moved on to 477 00:29:22,560 --> 00:29:26,080 Speaker 1: a new economics? From what Madigliani taught you at M 478 00:29:26,120 --> 00:29:29,239 Speaker 1: I T a few years ago. That was more than 479 00:29:29,280 --> 00:29:35,239 Speaker 1: a few years ago. Back then, under Franco Modigliani, we 480 00:29:35,280 --> 00:29:39,000 Speaker 1: thought we had the whole economy reduced to a computer simulation. 481 00:29:39,160 --> 00:29:45,680 Speaker 1: Did Yeah, that worked out well. Unfortunately, that model is 482 00:29:45,720 --> 00:29:51,040 Speaker 1: not capable of predicting any recessions before they start to happen. 483 00:29:51,880 --> 00:29:55,000 Speaker 1: This is a fundamental problem that even the causes, the 484 00:29:55,040 --> 00:29:59,800 Speaker 1: causes of the secular stagnation are still not I mean, 485 00:30:00,160 --> 00:30:03,160 Speaker 1: maybe we have some hints why it's happening, but we 486 00:30:03,200 --> 00:30:06,520 Speaker 1: don't know. We don't have a Uh. It's like we 487 00:30:06,600 --> 00:30:12,520 Speaker 1: have a secular stagnation disease which is more effective in 488 00:30:12,560 --> 00:30:15,520 Speaker 1: Europe than in the US. But it's there and we 489 00:30:15,600 --> 00:30:18,040 Speaker 1: don't understand it. We don't know whether it's a virus 490 00:30:18,200 --> 00:30:24,760 Speaker 1: or a bacteria or carcinoma. It's just not u not understood. 491 00:30:25,360 --> 00:30:29,560 Speaker 1: That makes it makes it difficult for Druggy and others. 492 00:30:29,560 --> 00:30:35,680 Speaker 1: How political is the fund Reserve right now? Well, this 493 00:30:35,760 --> 00:30:37,720 Speaker 1: is I don't know if I'm the right person to 494 00:30:37,760 --> 00:30:43,040 Speaker 1: answer that. It's a time, it's a time when we 495 00:30:43,080 --> 00:30:47,640 Speaker 1: are the most polarized society I've seen in my lifetime, 496 00:30:48,680 --> 00:30:54,840 Speaker 1: and uh, maybe the most polarized since eighteen sixty or 497 00:30:54,880 --> 00:31:01,040 Speaker 1: eighteen sixty five. Uh, And so you know, the the 498 00:31:01,040 --> 00:31:04,920 Speaker 1: the job of the said chairman shouldn't be that politicized, 499 00:31:05,000 --> 00:31:11,560 Speaker 1: but unfortunately it's it's a time just of tensions and 500 00:31:11,600 --> 00:31:16,680 Speaker 1: anxieties and u uh at a time of mistrust. So 501 00:31:16,960 --> 00:31:19,959 Speaker 1: it puts anybody in a position like that. I I 502 00:31:20,000 --> 00:31:25,200 Speaker 1: sympathize with Janet Yellen Um. What she's doing is very sensible, 503 00:31:25,320 --> 00:31:29,520 Speaker 1: but I can see that it's open to criticism. Let 504 00:31:29,520 --> 00:31:30,880 Speaker 1: me rip up the script here. In the last couple 505 00:31:30,920 --> 00:31:32,640 Speaker 1: of minutes we have with you. We had, of course 506 00:31:32,720 --> 00:31:34,360 Speaker 1: Ken Rogoff on the show a few minutes ago, and 507 00:31:34,400 --> 00:31:37,640 Speaker 1: we were asking him during a break just about academic 508 00:31:37,680 --> 00:31:40,080 Speaker 1: life in Cambridge these days, talking about what he's teaching, 509 00:31:40,080 --> 00:31:42,120 Speaker 1: how much he's teaching. You had a lecture that you 510 00:31:42,240 --> 00:31:44,680 Speaker 1: delivered when you were a president of the of the 511 00:31:44,720 --> 00:31:48,320 Speaker 1: American Economic Association on the importance of of humanities, and 512 00:31:48,400 --> 00:31:51,520 Speaker 1: I know that's been exerted by the Booth School recently. 513 00:31:52,400 --> 00:31:54,880 Speaker 1: Give us a process of that. Give us your your 514 00:31:54,960 --> 00:31:57,240 Speaker 1: argument here that we should be investing more in stressing 515 00:31:57,240 --> 00:32:02,720 Speaker 1: the importance of humanities. Complimenting this out of economics. Well, economics, 516 00:32:02,760 --> 00:32:06,400 Speaker 1: you know, in any academic field there's specialization, and economics 517 00:32:06,440 --> 00:32:11,920 Speaker 1: has has proven itself to be valuable in its present form. 518 00:32:12,000 --> 00:32:14,320 Speaker 1: But I think that we've lost something as well when 519 00:32:14,320 --> 00:32:19,320 Speaker 1: we uh when we assume that people are strictly rational, 520 00:32:19,720 --> 00:32:24,000 Speaker 1: that they have well defined preferences and are responding only 521 00:32:24,040 --> 00:32:28,480 Speaker 1: to information. So the people in the other departments that 522 00:32:28,600 --> 00:32:33,520 Speaker 1: I normally wouldn't have any interaction with humanities. People have 523 00:32:33,640 --> 00:32:36,400 Speaker 1: a different view of human nature. You know. It's not 524 00:32:36,480 --> 00:32:38,760 Speaker 1: like we have a utility function and we know what 525 00:32:38,920 --> 00:32:41,760 Speaker 1: we want. We don't know what we want, and we're 526 00:32:41,840 --> 00:32:47,720 Speaker 1: affected by humans and by stories. So my presidential address 527 00:32:47,760 --> 00:32:51,400 Speaker 1: that the a e A was called narrative economics. It's 528 00:32:51,400 --> 00:32:54,000 Speaker 1: because I think that, you know, it's not as if 529 00:32:54,040 --> 00:32:58,120 Speaker 1: people have clear expectations, what will the interest rate be 530 00:32:58,320 --> 00:33:01,800 Speaker 1: next year, what will the f o MC due next 531 00:33:02,120 --> 00:33:05,400 Speaker 1: It's not what not the way most people think, uh, 532 00:33:05,440 --> 00:33:10,360 Speaker 1: and they're they're kind of story or they want to 533 00:33:10,440 --> 00:33:13,640 Speaker 1: know what is the story of my life and what's 534 00:33:13,680 --> 00:33:18,560 Speaker 1: going on as in a way that has some emotional significance. 535 00:33:18,840 --> 00:33:34,600 Speaker 1: Bob Schuler, thank you so much. A couple of years back, Tom, 536 00:33:34,640 --> 00:33:36,480 Speaker 1: I was in New Orleans on a reporting trip and 537 00:33:36,520 --> 00:33:38,840 Speaker 1: we parked by the old Charity Hospital which had been 538 00:33:39,360 --> 00:33:41,560 Speaker 1: boarded up, and made our way to the new University 539 00:33:41,600 --> 00:33:44,840 Speaker 1: Medical Center, which is a beautiful new building several blocks 540 00:33:44,840 --> 00:33:47,680 Speaker 1: away from where that old hospital stands, and I got 541 00:33:47,680 --> 00:33:49,560 Speaker 1: a tour of the new space from the chief medical 542 00:33:49,600 --> 00:33:51,720 Speaker 1: officer there, a guy named Dr Peter to Blue, if 543 00:33:51,760 --> 00:33:54,480 Speaker 1: I remember the name correctly, and it really was an 544 00:33:54,480 --> 00:33:58,240 Speaker 1: amazing space decorated with Chihuli sculptures and a really radical 545 00:33:58,280 --> 00:34:00,280 Speaker 1: sense of how you can take care of a lot 546 00:34:00,280 --> 00:34:03,440 Speaker 1: of patients, particularly patients dealing with trauma. Emergency room that 547 00:34:03,480 --> 00:34:05,240 Speaker 1: had a lot of pods. I think is he described 548 00:34:05,520 --> 00:34:08,319 Speaker 1: a very innovative space. And I know that somebody who 549 00:34:08,400 --> 00:34:11,440 Speaker 1: is partially responsible for the creation the building of that 550 00:34:11,480 --> 00:34:13,560 Speaker 1: structure is the Mayor of the City of New Orleans, 551 00:34:13,560 --> 00:34:15,200 Speaker 1: Mitch Lander, who joins us now on our phone lines. 552 00:34:15,280 --> 00:34:18,040 Speaker 1: Mayor Landra has been vociferous wighing in a lot about 553 00:34:18,080 --> 00:34:20,319 Speaker 1: the healthcare debate here nationally, and I wonder, Mayor, if 554 00:34:20,320 --> 00:34:22,479 Speaker 1: I could start by asking you what we could learn 555 00:34:22,760 --> 00:34:25,600 Speaker 1: about healthcare from how it's played out here in recent 556 00:34:25,680 --> 00:34:28,879 Speaker 1: years in the city of New Orleans. Well, thank first 557 00:34:28,920 --> 00:34:31,200 Speaker 1: of all, thank you for recognizing that Hospitals of Beautiful. 558 00:34:31,200 --> 00:34:33,600 Speaker 1: The gentleman's name is Dr pet who's one of the 559 00:34:33,640 --> 00:34:37,120 Speaker 1: great heroes. He was on the ground after Katrina, saving 560 00:34:37,120 --> 00:34:39,040 Speaker 1: a lot of people, and he's a great guy that 561 00:34:39,120 --> 00:34:42,120 Speaker 1: runs the trauma center, the emergency medical unit. You know 562 00:34:42,160 --> 00:34:45,320 Speaker 1: what's interesting is this is this issue across the country 563 00:34:45,360 --> 00:34:48,920 Speaker 1: of affordable characters played out in Louisiana, you know, Katrina 564 00:34:49,000 --> 00:34:51,920 Speaker 1: hit And when we started rebuilding our healthcare delivery system, 565 00:34:51,960 --> 00:34:53,760 Speaker 1: one of the things we had learned from our failures 566 00:34:53,840 --> 00:34:57,360 Speaker 1: earlier on is that you can't provide preventative care and 567 00:34:57,400 --> 00:35:00,640 Speaker 1: acute care in emergency room hospitals of public hospitals that 568 00:35:00,680 --> 00:35:03,439 Speaker 1: have no money to eventually break the state and make 569 00:35:03,440 --> 00:35:05,439 Speaker 1: people less healthy. So one of the things we knew 570 00:35:05,480 --> 00:35:06,719 Speaker 1: was we had to get on the front end of it. 571 00:35:06,800 --> 00:35:10,320 Speaker 1: We and we created primary care clinics in the Metromolin 572 00:35:10,360 --> 00:35:12,520 Speaker 1: area of New Orleans, where people who didn't have access 573 00:35:12,560 --> 00:35:16,040 Speaker 1: to health care before now have access to preventative care. 574 00:35:16,600 --> 00:35:18,719 Speaker 1: What used to happen was for working folks, they used 575 00:35:18,719 --> 00:35:20,319 Speaker 1: to have to go to the emergency room and sit 576 00:35:20,360 --> 00:35:22,760 Speaker 1: there to get the ear ache, and the kids taking 577 00:35:22,760 --> 00:35:25,799 Speaker 1: care of get triage with the gunshot. Victims stayed at 578 00:35:25,800 --> 00:35:28,920 Speaker 1: the thirteen hours get fired and it was catastrophic. And 579 00:35:28,960 --> 00:35:32,360 Speaker 1: so the important part was to make sure that you 580 00:35:32,440 --> 00:35:33,839 Speaker 1: got on the front end and of the back end, 581 00:35:33,840 --> 00:35:37,879 Speaker 1: you kept the cost down, you spread the risk. And unfortunately, 582 00:35:37,880 --> 00:35:40,200 Speaker 1: what's happened in Washington and they seem to be stuck 583 00:35:41,120 --> 00:35:43,799 Speaker 1: on on making the same mistake, which is not coming 584 00:35:43,880 --> 00:35:47,160 Speaker 1: up with a bipartisan approach that is broad based at 585 00:35:47,160 --> 00:35:49,560 Speaker 1: the country supports. There is an answer to this very 586 00:35:49,560 --> 00:35:51,560 Speaker 1: difficult question. And so I think on behalf of the 587 00:35:51,640 --> 00:35:54,680 Speaker 1: U S Conference of Management, we're asking is for leading 588 00:35:54,760 --> 00:35:57,120 Speaker 1: McConnell to step back for a minute, to go ahead 589 00:35:57,160 --> 00:35:59,840 Speaker 1: and create a bipartisan working group, get some smart pyres, 590 00:36:00,000 --> 00:36:02,200 Speaker 1: ipartisan groups, some governors, and then let's see if we 591 00:36:02,200 --> 00:36:04,480 Speaker 1: can have this thing out. Get it right. Mats, you 592 00:36:04,719 --> 00:36:09,120 Speaker 1: kill it to your senator, the doctor, doctor Cassidy, and 593 00:36:09,160 --> 00:36:14,200 Speaker 1: in paragraph six of your latest missile to Mrs to Washington, 594 00:36:14,840 --> 00:36:17,360 Speaker 1: you go into the economics of the ninth Ward of 595 00:36:17,400 --> 00:36:21,600 Speaker 1: your Louisiana, your New Orleans. Rather, the ninth Ward is 596 00:36:21,640 --> 00:36:25,400 Speaker 1: the people that nobody's talking about in this debate. What 597 00:36:25,520 --> 00:36:29,440 Speaker 1: does it mean for the people in the trenches at 598 00:36:29,440 --> 00:36:33,560 Speaker 1: the Baptist Community Health Services Center of the ninth Ward 599 00:36:33,640 --> 00:36:38,200 Speaker 1: of New Orleans, Hannah Pounds, Edward Lynn, the nurse, Robert Jemison, 600 00:36:38,680 --> 00:36:42,920 Speaker 1: there in the trenches of our health care system? What 601 00:36:42,920 --> 00:36:46,640 Speaker 1: what do what do they need from the politicians in 602 00:36:46,680 --> 00:36:50,640 Speaker 1: the fancy suits. Well, first, first, that's a great question 603 00:36:50,680 --> 00:36:52,959 Speaker 1: First of all, I want to thank because he's really 604 00:36:52,960 --> 00:36:56,239 Speaker 1: been trying hard, unlike some other senators to find some 605 00:36:56,320 --> 00:36:58,040 Speaker 1: common ground. Hadn't been able to do it yet, but 606 00:36:58,080 --> 00:36:59,680 Speaker 1: at least he has an open mind. One of the 607 00:36:59,719 --> 00:37:03,040 Speaker 1: things at folks in Washington, miss is what their words 608 00:37:03,160 --> 00:37:06,040 Speaker 1: mean when they hit the ground in a specific spot 609 00:37:06,120 --> 00:37:09,239 Speaker 1: in an American city, in a real neighborhood, affecting a 610 00:37:09,280 --> 00:37:12,319 Speaker 1: real person. So what you basically talked about it was 611 00:37:12,360 --> 00:37:14,359 Speaker 1: a clinic in the lower ninth ward. And of course 612 00:37:14,360 --> 00:37:16,239 Speaker 1: we have a bunch of these where these individuals are 613 00:37:16,280 --> 00:37:17,799 Speaker 1: not going to be able to get the kind of 614 00:37:17,840 --> 00:37:20,360 Speaker 1: care that they need, which in some instances is going 615 00:37:20,400 --> 00:37:22,080 Speaker 1: to cost them their job, it's going to cost them 616 00:37:22,080 --> 00:37:24,279 Speaker 1: to lose their home, or are they going to get sick, 617 00:37:24,360 --> 00:37:25,719 Speaker 1: And if they don't have the kind of care that 618 00:37:25,760 --> 00:37:28,200 Speaker 1: they need, they could potentially die. So this isn't a 619 00:37:28,239 --> 00:37:30,880 Speaker 1: political fight for people on the ground. This is a 620 00:37:30,920 --> 00:37:33,600 Speaker 1: life of death decision about how they're going to have 621 00:37:33,640 --> 00:37:35,400 Speaker 1: a good quality of life. And you know the President 622 00:37:35,480 --> 00:37:38,279 Speaker 1: said when he ran, I want better health care for 623 00:37:38,360 --> 00:37:41,239 Speaker 1: more Americans for lower costs. That's what he said the 624 00:37:41,280 --> 00:37:44,279 Speaker 1: goal was. And I don't think we're moving there right now, 625 00:37:44,400 --> 00:37:47,000 Speaker 1: we're stuck in this. Are the Republicans going to pretend 626 00:37:47,040 --> 00:37:48,759 Speaker 1: a bill? Are the Democrats gonna do it? What the 627 00:37:48,760 --> 00:37:51,440 Speaker 1: mayors are saying is, look, get rid of all that 628 00:37:51,440 --> 00:37:54,880 Speaker 1: that ideologically bent talk, and let's get down to tactics 629 00:37:54,960 --> 00:37:56,799 Speaker 1: of how we're going to make sure that America can 630 00:37:56,800 --> 00:37:59,600 Speaker 1: be strong by being healthy. And the process that's being 631 00:37:59,719 --> 00:38:03,120 Speaker 1: using Washington is not getting us there. So now Senator 632 00:38:03,200 --> 00:38:05,879 Speaker 1: McConnell is in a position of saying, well, let's try 633 00:38:05,880 --> 00:38:08,040 Speaker 1: to go ahead and go back to the original House bill, 634 00:38:08,080 --> 00:38:10,800 Speaker 1: which is gonna make sure that thirty two million Americans 635 00:38:10,800 --> 00:38:12,880 Speaker 1: lose healthcare. And if we don't do that, you know, 636 00:38:12,960 --> 00:38:15,359 Speaker 1: let's go back to some place that's even worse than that. 637 00:38:15,680 --> 00:38:17,720 Speaker 1: I think we've got to scrap it, start over again 638 00:38:18,280 --> 00:38:21,120 Speaker 1: and find the answers to the things in the Affordable 639 00:38:21,120 --> 00:38:23,400 Speaker 1: Care Act that are broken. And every Democrat in America 640 00:38:23,440 --> 00:38:26,839 Speaker 1: that serving knows that the issues with the Affordable Care Act, 641 00:38:26,840 --> 00:38:30,319 Speaker 1: notwithstanding the fact that we have used that particular law 642 00:38:30,360 --> 00:38:32,200 Speaker 1: to make sure other people are more healthy, so it's 643 00:38:32,200 --> 00:38:34,719 Speaker 1: not perfect. It needs to be fixed. Let's figure out 644 00:38:34,760 --> 00:38:36,719 Speaker 1: how to fix it. We can get this done. I 645 00:38:36,760 --> 00:38:39,120 Speaker 1: was talking with John hick and Looper, the governor Colorado, 646 00:38:39,239 --> 00:38:41,840 Speaker 1: last week, and we we were having a conversation about 647 00:38:41,880 --> 00:38:44,640 Speaker 1: the role that states are taking on here now. The 648 00:38:44,960 --> 00:38:48,080 Speaker 1: federal government might be taking up a more backseat roles, 649 00:38:48,239 --> 00:38:49,879 Speaker 1: the governor seat that as an opportunity to get together 650 00:38:49,920 --> 00:38:52,120 Speaker 1: and do more on the issues of policy themselves. Do 651 00:38:52,120 --> 00:38:53,880 Speaker 1: you feel that same way when it comes to the 652 00:38:53,920 --> 00:38:55,840 Speaker 1: group of mayors that you're heading up now to. Mayors 653 00:38:55,880 --> 00:38:58,440 Speaker 1: feel like they have a greater responsibility here to craft 654 00:38:58,440 --> 00:39:01,160 Speaker 1: and and and put forward policy. Well, well, not only 655 00:39:01,160 --> 00:39:03,160 Speaker 1: do we have a responsibility, were the ones that actually 656 00:39:03,160 --> 00:39:05,560 Speaker 1: do the work. You know, when you get down on 657 00:39:05,600 --> 00:39:08,600 Speaker 1: the ground. Mayors are like the emergency room physicians in 658 00:39:08,600 --> 00:39:11,200 Speaker 1: a war zone, where the guys that run the emergency 659 00:39:11,239 --> 00:39:14,600 Speaker 1: medical services. So you were talking about Peter W's Hospital, 660 00:39:15,160 --> 00:39:18,120 Speaker 1: Essentially that's trauma center. When something bad happens in the 661 00:39:18,239 --> 00:39:20,600 Speaker 1: in the city, it's it's our vehicles and you know, 662 00:39:20,640 --> 00:39:22,560 Speaker 1: pick the folks up, bring them to the emergency room. 663 00:39:22,640 --> 00:39:24,640 Speaker 1: All of our first responders are engaged in it. So 664 00:39:24,680 --> 00:39:26,839 Speaker 1: we're the ones that are actually doing the work. And 665 00:39:26,880 --> 00:39:29,040 Speaker 1: we don't think that Congress ought to be passing any 666 00:39:29,080 --> 00:39:31,640 Speaker 1: major piece of legislation without the mayors of the major 667 00:39:31,640 --> 00:39:35,240 Speaker 1: American cities and the small cities in partnership with the governors, 668 00:39:35,280 --> 00:39:38,839 Speaker 1: given them our view about what their words mean when 669 00:39:38,880 --> 00:39:40,919 Speaker 1: they actually hit the grounds. And this is we don't 670 00:39:40,960 --> 00:39:43,919 Speaker 1: govern in theory, we don't govern in philosophy. We govern 671 00:39:44,040 --> 00:39:47,120 Speaker 1: in real time and in reality, and we don't really 672 00:39:47,120 --> 00:39:49,600 Speaker 1: have a whole lot of time for ideologically meant debates. 673 00:39:49,600 --> 00:39:51,279 Speaker 1: And so that's why it's important for us to be 674 00:39:51,360 --> 00:39:54,279 Speaker 1: on the table so we can tell our senators exactly 675 00:39:54,320 --> 00:39:56,800 Speaker 1: what it is that they're talking about means when it 676 00:39:56,880 --> 00:39:59,879 Speaker 1: hits the streets. You check your blood pressure? How many 677 00:40:00,160 --> 00:40:02,880 Speaker 1: how many nights a week do you eat at Charlie's Steakhouse. 678 00:40:05,600 --> 00:40:10,279 Speaker 1: Charlie steakhous is great killer. Don't tell my doctor said 679 00:40:13,960 --> 00:40:19,000 Speaker 1: fruit in the ring or leave it there. I love that. 680 00:40:19,760 --> 00:40:22,040 Speaker 1: Rich Landry, the President of the Conference of Mayor's, joining 681 00:40:22,120 --> 00:40:34,080 Speaker 1: us here on our phone lines. Thanks for listening to 682 00:40:34,120 --> 00:40:38,799 Speaker 1: the Bloomberg Savannas podcast. Subscribe and listen to interviews on 683 00:40:39,000 --> 00:40:44,600 Speaker 1: Apple Podcasts, SoundCloud, or whichever podcast platform you prefer. I'm 684 00:40:44,600 --> 00:40:48,400 Speaker 1: on Twitter at Tom Keene. David Gura, Is that David Gura? 685 00:40:48,840 --> 00:40:52,759 Speaker 1: Before the podcast? You can always catch us worldwide. I'm 686 00:40:52,760 --> 00:41:06,919 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Radio, brought you by Bank of America Mery Lynch. 687 00:41:07,200 --> 00:41:12,680 Speaker 1: With virtual reality, virtually everything will change. Discover opportunities in 688 00:41:12,719 --> 00:41:17,320 Speaker 1: a transforming world, be of a mL dot com, slash VR, 689 00:41:18,200 --> 00:41:21,160 Speaker 1: Mary Lynch, Pierced Fenner and Smith Incorporated