Speaker 1: Thirty nine days remain until the Democratic National Convention convenes
Speaker 1: in Chicago. It is July the eleventh, twenty twenty four.
Speaker 1: This is the warning. Today, Tim Alberta published a long
Speaker 1: profile of the Trump campaign chieftains Susie Wiles and Chris
Speaker 1: la Sevita. The story is yet in another epic profile
Speaker 1: by Tim Alberta, and it captures perfectly this moment. I'm
Speaker 1: going to read some parts from it. Only one thing
Speaker 1: could disrupt that plan, a change of candidates atop the
Speaker 1: Democratic ticket. There was always a certain danger inherent to
Speaker 1: this assault on Biden's faculties. If Wiles and las Aveta
Speaker 1: were too successful, if too many Democrats decided too quickly
Speaker 1: that Biden was no longer capable of defeating Trump, much
Speaker 1: less serving another four years thereafter, than they just losing
Speaker 1: an ideal opponent against whom they're Every tactical maneuver had
Speaker 1: already been deliberated, pull tested, and prepared. Campaigns are usually
Speaker 1: on guard against peaking too soon. In this case, the
Speaker 1: risk for Trump's team was Biden bottoming out to early.
Speaker 1: Let's flash up what the election result was in twenty twenty.
Speaker 1: These are the states that voted for Donald Trump. These
Speaker 1: are the states that voted for President Biden. And this
Speaker 1: was the final result, Joe Biden winning by forty four
Speaker 1: thousand votes across these three states. That's it a raisers
Speaker 1: edge game of very very small numbers. Now, let's look
Speaker 1: at the race in twenty twenty four. Let's project all
Speaker 1: of the states that Donald Trump is certain to win,
Speaker 1: and let's accumulate and add up those electoral votes. Now,
Speaker 1: let's add up the states that Joe Biden is absolutely
Speaker 1: going to win. Now, let's add up the electoral votes. Now,
Speaker 1: let's take those states off of the map and let's
Speaker 1: just look at the states that are in play that
Speaker 1: decide the outcome. This is how the race looks. This
Speaker 1: is where Donald Trump stands in twenty twenty four. This
Speaker 1: is how the map would look on election night. If
Speaker 1: the election were tonight, Trump would win, and he would
Speaker 1: win decisively. And so here we sit, thirty nine days
Speaker 1: from the Democratic Convention. The storyline and the narrative change
Speaker 1: is minute by minute. Here the President has called in
Speaker 1: to mourning Joe. He may have spoken with Mika. The
Speaker 1: President is up, Oh, he's down, It seems Senator Schumer
Speaker 1: desperate to be majority leader is ready to throw his
Speaker 1: old colleague over the rail if necessary. We see Nancy
Speaker 1: Pelosi trying to make a vision statement of sorts, a
Speaker 1: guidance statement, giving the president room space to avoid the
Speaker 1: humiliation of history, recalling the time that Democratic leaders had
Speaker 1: to march down to the White House or be flown
Speaker 1: into Camp David to speak to the restraints necessary on
Speaker 1: an ego so vast as to be comparable to only
Speaker 1: one person's, which is exactly what John Stewart did. There
Speaker 1: is a moral case for Biden's can to see in
Speaker 1: twenty twenty that is gone, evaporated forever, that cannot be
Speaker 1: recaptured because of what fifty one million people witnessed. And
Speaker 1: it is holding the Biden campaign's head under proverbial water,
Speaker 1: drowning it. And so now Senator Peter Welch has come
Speaker 1: out and said that Biden should retire from the field,
Speaker 1: that he should put the country first. In so moment
Speaker 1: by moment, up and down and down and up again
Speaker 1: and again. But one thing is certain. Trump is on top,
Speaker 1: and he's pointing forward, he's advancing, he's in command, he's
Speaker 1: in control, he's winning. Only one thing, one thing interrupts
Speaker 1: that now, And it's the ability to understand that there's
Speaker 1: a red button for a reason, that lifting the glass
Speaker 1: case above it has been envisioned and banging down on
Speaker 1: it is the right thing to do in the right circumstance.
Speaker 1: Hitting that button, and only Joe Biden can hit it,
Speaker 1: scuttles all of Trump's best laid plans. What matters here
Speaker 1: is America. People who take to the television cameras to
Speaker 1: say things like I'm with Joe no matter what, blindly
Speaker 1: like the Republicans who lined up with Trump, are no
Speaker 1: different whatsoever. There are thirty nine days, and so long
Speaker 1: as the president does not face reality, and so long
Speaker 1: as this situation hangs, American democracy simply twists in the wind.
Speaker 1: When a presidential race comes down to moment by moment
Speaker 1: survival tests, can the as it then make it through
Speaker 1: the five o'clock NATO news conference. It is difficult to
Speaker 1: overstate the magnitude of the political crisis. Put aside who, what, why?
Speaker 1: How did this happen? Except that it has, and an
Speaker 1: accepting realize that a campaign that has held hostage to
Speaker 1: events as trivial as a NATO news conference is in big,
Speaker 1: big trouble. There are thirty nine days for Democrats to
Speaker 1: do something. It's a lot of time and politics. The
Speaker 1: Trump convention is at hand, and soon it will consume
Speaker 1: the show and give the president a bit of breathing room,
Speaker 1: a reprieve. But then he will be called upon to
Speaker 1: answer the insanity and the madness, and there will still
Speaker 1: be a lot of time on the clock. And the
Speaker 1: simple truth is that Joe Biden, since the debate, has
Speaker 1: not moved an inch four and the campaign has not
Speaker 1: thrown a punch. And that's no way to hold the presidency,
Speaker 1: though it's a perfect path to losing it. This is
Speaker 1: the warning. I'm Steve Schmidt. This is the warning, and
Speaker 1: I invite you to join. Subscribe on our substock, on
Speaker 1: our YouTube channel, follow us. Welcome to the community.