1 00:00:00,080 --> 00:00:04,560 Speaker 1: Thirty nine days remain until the Democratic National Convention convenes 2 00:00:04,600 --> 00:00:09,399 Speaker 1: in Chicago. It is July the eleventh, twenty twenty four. 3 00:00:10,200 --> 00:00:16,840 Speaker 1: This is the warning. Today, Tim Alberta published a long 4 00:00:16,920 --> 00:00:21,840 Speaker 1: profile of the Trump campaign chieftains Susie Wiles and Chris 5 00:00:22,000 --> 00:00:25,599 Speaker 1: la Sevita. The story is yet in another epic profile 6 00:00:26,040 --> 00:00:30,560 Speaker 1: by Tim Alberta, and it captures perfectly this moment. I'm 7 00:00:30,600 --> 00:00:33,560 Speaker 1: going to read some parts from it. Only one thing 8 00:00:34,040 --> 00:00:37,920 Speaker 1: could disrupt that plan, a change of candidates atop the 9 00:00:37,960 --> 00:00:41,680 Speaker 1: Democratic ticket. There was always a certain danger inherent to 10 00:00:41,720 --> 00:00:46,479 Speaker 1: this assault on Biden's faculties. If Wiles and las Aveta 11 00:00:46,560 --> 00:00:52,440 Speaker 1: were too successful, if too many Democrats decided too quickly 12 00:00:52,880 --> 00:00:56,560 Speaker 1: that Biden was no longer capable of defeating Trump, much 13 00:00:56,640 --> 00:01:01,120 Speaker 1: less serving another four years thereafter, than they just losing 14 00:01:01,440 --> 00:01:05,640 Speaker 1: an ideal opponent against whom they're Every tactical maneuver had 15 00:01:05,680 --> 00:01:11,440 Speaker 1: already been deliberated, pull tested, and prepared. Campaigns are usually 16 00:01:11,480 --> 00:01:16,760 Speaker 1: on guard against peaking too soon. In this case, the 17 00:01:16,880 --> 00:01:22,200 Speaker 1: risk for Trump's team was Biden bottoming out to early. 18 00:01:22,640 --> 00:01:27,640 Speaker 1: Let's flash up what the election result was in twenty twenty. 19 00:01:28,000 --> 00:01:33,720 Speaker 1: These are the states that voted for Donald Trump. These 20 00:01:33,760 --> 00:01:39,280 Speaker 1: are the states that voted for President Biden. And this 21 00:01:39,480 --> 00:01:46,080 Speaker 1: was the final result, Joe Biden winning by forty four 22 00:01:46,560 --> 00:01:53,800 Speaker 1: thousand votes across these three states. That's it a raisers 23 00:01:53,960 --> 00:02:00,480 Speaker 1: edge game of very very small numbers. Now, let's look 24 00:02:00,520 --> 00:02:05,360 Speaker 1: at the race in twenty twenty four. Let's project all 25 00:02:05,480 --> 00:02:10,040 Speaker 1: of the states that Donald Trump is certain to win, 26 00:02:10,639 --> 00:02:15,720 Speaker 1: and let's accumulate and add up those electoral votes. Now, 27 00:02:15,800 --> 00:02:20,480 Speaker 1: let's add up the states that Joe Biden is absolutely 28 00:02:21,000 --> 00:02:24,919 Speaker 1: going to win. Now, let's add up the electoral votes. Now, 29 00:02:25,000 --> 00:02:28,560 Speaker 1: let's take those states off of the map and let's 30 00:02:28,639 --> 00:02:31,480 Speaker 1: just look at the states that are in play that 31 00:02:31,840 --> 00:02:36,360 Speaker 1: decide the outcome. This is how the race looks. This 32 00:02:36,440 --> 00:02:40,960 Speaker 1: is where Donald Trump stands in twenty twenty four. This 33 00:02:41,080 --> 00:02:45,320 Speaker 1: is how the map would look on election night. If 34 00:02:45,360 --> 00:02:49,600 Speaker 1: the election were tonight, Trump would win, and he would 35 00:02:49,600 --> 00:02:53,880 Speaker 1: win decisively. And so here we sit, thirty nine days 36 00:02:54,240 --> 00:02:58,480 Speaker 1: from the Democratic Convention. The storyline and the narrative change 37 00:02:58,560 --> 00:03:02,440 Speaker 1: is minute by minute. Here the President has called in 38 00:03:02,480 --> 00:03:05,800 Speaker 1: to mourning Joe. He may have spoken with Mika. The 39 00:03:05,880 --> 00:03:10,840 Speaker 1: President is up, Oh, he's down, It seems Senator Schumer 40 00:03:11,200 --> 00:03:14,680 Speaker 1: desperate to be majority leader is ready to throw his 41 00:03:14,760 --> 00:03:20,000 Speaker 1: old colleague over the rail if necessary. We see Nancy 42 00:03:20,040 --> 00:03:25,000 Speaker 1: Pelosi trying to make a vision statement of sorts, a 43 00:03:25,080 --> 00:03:31,240 Speaker 1: guidance statement, giving the president room space to avoid the 44 00:03:31,400 --> 00:03:37,839 Speaker 1: humiliation of history, recalling the time that Democratic leaders had 45 00:03:37,880 --> 00:03:40,880 Speaker 1: to march down to the White House or be flown 46 00:03:40,920 --> 00:03:46,320 Speaker 1: into Camp David to speak to the restraints necessary on 47 00:03:46,400 --> 00:03:51,200 Speaker 1: an ego so vast as to be comparable to only 48 00:03:51,240 --> 00:03:55,520 Speaker 1: one person's, which is exactly what John Stewart did. There 49 00:03:55,680 --> 00:04:01,240 Speaker 1: is a moral case for Biden's can to see in 50 00:04:01,320 --> 00:04:07,320 Speaker 1: twenty twenty that is gone, evaporated forever, that cannot be 51 00:04:08,320 --> 00:04:13,960 Speaker 1: recaptured because of what fifty one million people witnessed. And 52 00:04:14,080 --> 00:04:19,719 Speaker 1: it is holding the Biden campaign's head under proverbial water, 53 00:04:20,320 --> 00:04:24,240 Speaker 1: drowning it. And so now Senator Peter Welch has come 54 00:04:24,240 --> 00:04:27,920 Speaker 1: out and said that Biden should retire from the field, 55 00:04:27,960 --> 00:04:31,080 Speaker 1: that he should put the country first. In so moment 56 00:04:31,160 --> 00:04:34,560 Speaker 1: by moment, up and down and down and up again 57 00:04:34,760 --> 00:04:39,440 Speaker 1: and again. But one thing is certain. Trump is on top, 58 00:04:40,000 --> 00:04:44,479 Speaker 1: and he's pointing forward, he's advancing, he's in command, he's 59 00:04:44,560 --> 00:04:50,240 Speaker 1: in control, he's winning. Only one thing, one thing interrupts 60 00:04:50,279 --> 00:04:56,200 Speaker 1: that now, And it's the ability to understand that there's 61 00:04:56,240 --> 00:05:00,799 Speaker 1: a red button for a reason, that lifting the glass 62 00:05:00,839 --> 00:05:05,120 Speaker 1: case above it has been envisioned and banging down on 63 00:05:05,200 --> 00:05:09,520 Speaker 1: it is the right thing to do in the right circumstance. 64 00:05:10,000 --> 00:05:13,840 Speaker 1: Hitting that button, and only Joe Biden can hit it, 65 00:05:14,040 --> 00:05:19,680 Speaker 1: scuttles all of Trump's best laid plans. What matters here 66 00:05:20,200 --> 00:05:24,760 Speaker 1: is America. People who take to the television cameras to 67 00:05:24,839 --> 00:05:29,760 Speaker 1: say things like I'm with Joe no matter what, blindly 68 00:05:30,279 --> 00:05:34,599 Speaker 1: like the Republicans who lined up with Trump, are no 69 00:05:34,760 --> 00:05:40,000 Speaker 1: different whatsoever. There are thirty nine days, and so long 70 00:05:40,600 --> 00:05:45,320 Speaker 1: as the president does not face reality, and so long 71 00:05:45,920 --> 00:05:52,040 Speaker 1: as this situation hangs, American democracy simply twists in the wind. 72 00:05:52,720 --> 00:05:57,480 Speaker 1: When a presidential race comes down to moment by moment 73 00:05:58,040 --> 00:06:01,000 Speaker 1: survival tests, can the as it then make it through 74 00:06:01,040 --> 00:06:04,919 Speaker 1: the five o'clock NATO news conference. It is difficult to 75 00:06:05,040 --> 00:06:13,280 Speaker 1: overstate the magnitude of the political crisis. Put aside who, what, why? 76 00:06:13,839 --> 00:06:17,440 Speaker 1: How did this happen? Except that it has, and an 77 00:06:17,480 --> 00:06:22,120 Speaker 1: accepting realize that a campaign that has held hostage to 78 00:06:22,400 --> 00:06:27,080 Speaker 1: events as trivial as a NATO news conference is in big, 79 00:06:27,120 --> 00:06:31,120 Speaker 1: big trouble. There are thirty nine days for Democrats to 80 00:06:31,200 --> 00:06:35,240 Speaker 1: do something. It's a lot of time and politics. The 81 00:06:35,320 --> 00:06:39,880 Speaker 1: Trump convention is at hand, and soon it will consume 82 00:06:39,960 --> 00:06:43,880 Speaker 1: the show and give the president a bit of breathing room, 83 00:06:44,200 --> 00:06:47,599 Speaker 1: a reprieve. But then he will be called upon to 84 00:06:47,720 --> 00:06:51,640 Speaker 1: answer the insanity and the madness, and there will still 85 00:06:51,640 --> 00:06:53,919 Speaker 1: be a lot of time on the clock. And the 86 00:06:53,960 --> 00:06:58,640 Speaker 1: simple truth is that Joe Biden, since the debate, has 87 00:06:58,640 --> 00:07:02,640 Speaker 1: not moved an inch four and the campaign has not 88 00:07:02,760 --> 00:07:07,040 Speaker 1: thrown a punch. And that's no way to hold the presidency, 89 00:07:07,520 --> 00:07:11,920 Speaker 1: though it's a perfect path to losing it. This is 90 00:07:11,960 --> 00:07:16,720 Speaker 1: the warning. I'm Steve Schmidt. This is the warning, and 91 00:07:16,760 --> 00:07:20,560 Speaker 1: I invite you to join. Subscribe on our substock, on 92 00:07:20,600 --> 00:07:25,160 Speaker 1: our YouTube channel, follow us. Welcome to the community.