1 00:00:00,080 --> 00:00:06,760 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, radio News. 2 00:00:11,960 --> 00:00:15,560 Speaker 2: This is the Bloomberg Surveillance Podcast. I'm Tom Keene along 3 00:00:15,600 --> 00:00:18,960 Speaker 2: with Paul Sweeney. Join us each day for insight from 4 00:00:18,960 --> 00:00:23,119 Speaker 2: the best in economics, finance, investment, and international relations. You 5 00:00:23,160 --> 00:00:26,520 Speaker 2: can also watch the show live on YouTube. Visit the 6 00:00:26,520 --> 00:00:31,280 Speaker 2: Bloomberg Podcast channel on YouTube to see the show weekday 7 00:00:31,280 --> 00:00:34,320 Speaker 2: mornings from seven to ten am Eastern from our global 8 00:00:34,360 --> 00:00:39,000 Speaker 2: headquarters in New York City. Subscribe to the podcast on Apple, Spotify, 9 00:00:39,360 --> 00:00:42,920 Speaker 2: or anywhere else you listen, and always I'm Bloomberg Radio, 10 00:00:43,080 --> 00:00:46,280 Speaker 2: the Bloomberg Terminal, and the Bloomberg Business App. 11 00:00:46,440 --> 00:00:47,559 Speaker 3: Lindsay Pigs are with us. 12 00:00:47,560 --> 00:00:50,960 Speaker 2: That chief economists at Stiefel is well, the world changed 13 00:00:50,960 --> 00:00:52,920 Speaker 2: on Friday. It was something, Lindsay, to sit on the 14 00:00:53,000 --> 00:00:56,360 Speaker 2: lawn at Jackson Hole and realize this was a speech. 15 00:00:56,560 --> 00:01:00,280 Speaker 2: Was this the Powell speech of his career? 16 00:01:00,400 --> 00:01:03,360 Speaker 1: Well, it certainly did signal that Chair Powell is on 17 00:01:03,400 --> 00:01:06,119 Speaker 1: the same page with the market. That quote, the time 18 00:01:06,200 --> 00:01:09,600 Speaker 1: has come to adjust policy, although he did say that 19 00:01:09,640 --> 00:01:13,399 Speaker 1: the direction of travel is still uncertain, and he left 20 00:01:13,400 --> 00:01:15,760 Speaker 1: the door open in terms of the timing and the 21 00:01:15,800 --> 00:01:18,640 Speaker 1: pace of rate cuts, suggesting that the Fed is still 22 00:01:18,680 --> 00:01:21,440 Speaker 1: data dependent, but he wanted to make sure that investors 23 00:01:21,720 --> 00:01:25,120 Speaker 1: and market participants were very clear that the FED is 24 00:01:25,160 --> 00:01:28,560 Speaker 1: on board the time has come for rate cuts lindsay. 25 00:01:28,560 --> 00:01:30,920 Speaker 2: The last paragraph I thought was allegiic. I was looking 26 00:01:31,000 --> 00:01:33,840 Speaker 2: for him to try to define FED independence. 27 00:01:33,959 --> 00:01:34,440 Speaker 3: Quote. 28 00:01:34,880 --> 00:01:37,880 Speaker 2: We will be open to criticism and new ideas while 29 00:01:37,920 --> 00:01:40,920 Speaker 2: preserving the strength of our framework. The limits of our 30 00:01:41,000 --> 00:01:45,440 Speaker 2: knowledge so clearly evident during the pandemic, demand humility like 31 00:01:45,520 --> 00:01:48,600 Speaker 2: we get from Lindsay pigs at Stiefel, and a questioning 32 00:01:48,640 --> 00:01:52,920 Speaker 2: spirit focused on learning lessons from the past, etc. 33 00:01:53,760 --> 00:01:54,000 Speaker 3: Etc. 34 00:01:54,800 --> 00:01:57,400 Speaker 2: I thought, you will burner imitation, lindsay, what are the 35 00:01:57,520 --> 00:02:01,720 Speaker 2: lessons from the past the chairman Powell learned well. 36 00:02:01,720 --> 00:02:03,520 Speaker 1: I think this was a big may koopa in the 37 00:02:03,560 --> 00:02:07,680 Speaker 1: sense that, look, they were holding on to crisis level 38 00:02:07,680 --> 00:02:11,960 Speaker 1: accommodation well beyond what was appropriate. They continued to wear 39 00:02:12,000 --> 00:02:15,559 Speaker 1: the transitory T shirt for much longer than was necessary, 40 00:02:15,840 --> 00:02:18,440 Speaker 1: and they realized now that that was a policy mistake, 41 00:02:18,840 --> 00:02:22,320 Speaker 1: that that was an error coming into this cycle, and 42 00:02:22,360 --> 00:02:25,280 Speaker 1: they allowed in many ways price pressures to become more 43 00:02:25,480 --> 00:02:28,480 Speaker 1: ingrained than they otherwise would have had they taken their 44 00:02:28,480 --> 00:02:31,760 Speaker 1: foot off of the gas sooner and So I think 45 00:02:31,800 --> 00:02:35,320 Speaker 1: that's a recognition of the FED contributing to the inflationary 46 00:02:35,360 --> 00:02:38,799 Speaker 1: problems that we continue to see today, and their willingness 47 00:02:38,800 --> 00:02:41,520 Speaker 1: to say we're going to do our best to try 48 00:02:41,560 --> 00:02:45,040 Speaker 1: to not make a second policy error on the back end. 49 00:02:46,000 --> 00:02:49,280 Speaker 4: So, lindsay, from your perspective, is the FED now pivoting 50 00:02:49,360 --> 00:02:52,920 Speaker 4: to easing from a position of strength ied economies, okay? 51 00:02:53,080 --> 00:02:54,680 Speaker 5: Or a position a weakness? 52 00:02:54,720 --> 00:02:54,960 Speaker 6: Did you? 53 00:02:55,040 --> 00:02:57,160 Speaker 5: And maybe they're too late here question. 54 00:02:56,919 --> 00:02:57,640 Speaker 3: Money question No. 55 00:02:57,880 --> 00:03:00,320 Speaker 1: I think right now, the economy is still in very 56 00:03:00,360 --> 00:03:03,800 Speaker 1: solid conditions, and Chairman Powell all but said so within 57 00:03:03,840 --> 00:03:07,680 Speaker 1: the details of that speech, suggesting that price stability has 58 00:03:08,280 --> 00:03:12,240 Speaker 1: yet been achieved. He's increasingly confident, but prices are still high, 59 00:03:12,560 --> 00:03:15,320 Speaker 1: and at the same time, the labor market, while beginning 60 00:03:15,320 --> 00:03:19,040 Speaker 1: to show signs of cooling, is still overall solid. So 61 00:03:19,440 --> 00:03:21,680 Speaker 1: I think, right now, when we look at the consumer, 62 00:03:21,960 --> 00:03:24,880 Speaker 1: when we look at the momentum in the underlying economy 63 00:03:24,960 --> 00:03:28,040 Speaker 1: picking up from Q one to Q two, not to 64 00:03:28,080 --> 00:03:31,800 Speaker 1: mention again, against the backdrop of still elevated inflation, the 65 00:03:31,840 --> 00:03:36,880 Speaker 1: FED still has a good amount of leeway to continue 66 00:03:36,880 --> 00:03:40,200 Speaker 1: to move at a very slow tempered pace, keep us 67 00:03:40,200 --> 00:03:45,960 Speaker 1: in a relatively firm period a restrictive period of policy. Remember, 68 00:03:46,040 --> 00:03:48,680 Speaker 1: even after the FED cuts rates for the first time, 69 00:03:49,160 --> 00:03:51,920 Speaker 1: the FED is in no rush back to neutral, let 70 00:03:51,920 --> 00:03:56,000 Speaker 1: alone below neutral. So even after they initiate that first 71 00:03:56,080 --> 00:03:59,600 Speaker 1: round reduction, it's likely that the FED disappoints the markets 72 00:03:59,600 --> 00:04:04,440 Speaker 1: expectations for a quick reversal to neutral and then back 73 00:04:04,440 --> 00:04:07,040 Speaker 1: to an accommodative stance. That's kind of the economy is 74 00:04:07,080 --> 00:04:07,480 Speaker 1: still on. 75 00:04:08,240 --> 00:04:10,280 Speaker 4: I'm sorry, Yeah, that's kind of where I wanted to go, lindsay, 76 00:04:10,280 --> 00:04:12,400 Speaker 4: because it's been a while since we've all been in 77 00:04:12,480 --> 00:04:14,160 Speaker 4: a rate cutting cycle. 78 00:04:14,680 --> 00:04:16,960 Speaker 5: How should we expect this to go? 79 00:04:17,000 --> 00:04:20,520 Speaker 4: Should it be twenty five basis points every meeting, every 80 00:04:20,560 --> 00:04:22,239 Speaker 4: other meeting, front load fifty? 81 00:04:22,400 --> 00:04:23,559 Speaker 5: How do you think they're going to proceed? 82 00:04:24,600 --> 00:04:26,680 Speaker 1: Well, I think fifty is off the table, and in fact, 83 00:04:26,720 --> 00:04:29,240 Speaker 1: I never thought fifty was on the table. I think 84 00:04:29,279 --> 00:04:32,880 Speaker 1: even during the July press conference, chair Pole pushed pretty 85 00:04:32,880 --> 00:04:36,080 Speaker 1: aggressively against the notion of fifty basis points, saying that's 86 00:04:36,080 --> 00:04:38,919 Speaker 1: not even something we're considering at this point. So I 87 00:04:38,960 --> 00:04:42,159 Speaker 1: do think twenty five basis points in terms of each 88 00:04:42,279 --> 00:04:46,080 Speaker 1: move is the baseline. The timing, however, I think, is 89 00:04:46,120 --> 00:04:49,200 Speaker 1: going to be again extended beyond the market's expectation. The 90 00:04:49,240 --> 00:04:52,320 Speaker 1: market is looking for every meeting. I think the FED 91 00:04:52,400 --> 00:04:56,480 Speaker 1: goes at most once a quarter. Again, there's no rush 92 00:04:56,560 --> 00:04:59,960 Speaker 1: for the FED to remove policy affirming. At this point, 93 00:05:00,320 --> 00:05:03,719 Speaker 1: the FED is simply responding to an economy that's normalizing, 94 00:05:04,279 --> 00:05:05,760 Speaker 1: not an economy that's weakening. 95 00:05:05,920 --> 00:05:08,840 Speaker 2: And full disclosure, folks, Jackson Hole has changed. It's now 96 00:05:08,839 --> 00:05:11,640 Speaker 2: a bunch of academics. She's great. It's a wonderful group 97 00:05:11,680 --> 00:05:13,720 Speaker 2: of people. But I liked it when people like Lindsay 98 00:05:13,720 --> 00:05:16,279 Speaker 2: Pigs were there, Jan Hatzias and others. 99 00:05:16,279 --> 00:05:20,120 Speaker 3: I like Diane Swamp was there, Paul as well, doctor Piggs. 100 00:05:20,920 --> 00:05:25,279 Speaker 2: I heard this Steifel argument from Adam Posen and also 101 00:05:25,279 --> 00:05:28,039 Speaker 2: a guy named Philip Lane with a modest job for 102 00:05:28,120 --> 00:05:28,800 Speaker 2: Laguard at. 103 00:05:28,680 --> 00:05:32,080 Speaker 3: The ECB, and that they said, okay. 104 00:05:32,000 --> 00:05:37,080 Speaker 2: Disinflation in order. But that was the Lindsay Piggs A 105 00:05:37,120 --> 00:05:40,960 Speaker 2: bible is the butt coming down? How do we monitor 106 00:05:41,040 --> 00:05:45,839 Speaker 2: inflation to discover that we're not disinflating like the soft 107 00:05:45,920 --> 00:05:46,599 Speaker 2: landing crew? 108 00:05:46,640 --> 00:05:47,039 Speaker 3: Hope? 109 00:05:48,480 --> 00:05:52,280 Speaker 1: Well, I think it's going to remain a data dependent focus. 110 00:05:53,040 --> 00:05:57,160 Speaker 1: Paul identified this inflationary issue as a global phenomenon. He 111 00:05:57,200 --> 00:05:59,840 Speaker 1: talked about a rapid rise in the demand for good supply, 112 00:06:00,680 --> 00:06:04,720 Speaker 1: supply chain strained, tight labor markets, a sharp hike in 113 00:06:04,800 --> 00:06:08,239 Speaker 1: commodity priceis what's interesting about that list is a number 114 00:06:08,240 --> 00:06:11,760 Speaker 1: of those factors are outside of the Fed's purview. And 115 00:06:11,800 --> 00:06:16,240 Speaker 1: so if we did see international tensions geo political issues 116 00:06:16,600 --> 00:06:18,800 Speaker 1: lead to a reversal in some of the improvement that 117 00:06:18,839 --> 00:06:22,640 Speaker 1: we've seen, that could quickly undermine a good portion of 118 00:06:22,680 --> 00:06:27,400 Speaker 1: this disinflation without the FED having any control over that reversal. 119 00:06:27,839 --> 00:06:30,400 Speaker 1: And so again, I think this is a very complicated 120 00:06:30,480 --> 00:06:33,960 Speaker 1: pathway for inflation. Yes, we've seen a lot of improvement, 121 00:06:34,400 --> 00:06:38,200 Speaker 1: but the FED must remain vigilant in maintaining focus on 122 00:06:38,240 --> 00:06:42,240 Speaker 1: that disinflationary trend because it's still very bumpy and uneven. 123 00:06:42,640 --> 00:06:47,360 Speaker 2: Lindsey, thank you so much. Lindsey's Stifel this morning. Here 124 00:06:47,400 --> 00:07:01,640 Speaker 2: on the Paul speech, it's ramifications for our honor to 125 00:07:01,680 --> 00:07:05,479 Speaker 2: go to Israel, and Ethan Branner, our Israel bureau chief, 126 00:07:05,880 --> 00:07:11,160 Speaker 2: barely describes his knowledge, his effort, his reporting over decades 127 00:07:11,280 --> 00:07:14,720 Speaker 2: in the greater levant. Ethan, let me just get to 128 00:07:15,240 --> 00:07:20,040 Speaker 2: us one oh one, what is the distinction between Hesbolah 129 00:07:20,120 --> 00:07:21,800 Speaker 2: and Hamas? 130 00:07:22,360 --> 00:07:25,800 Speaker 7: Oh? Well, good morning, Tom. I mean there was an 131 00:07:25,920 --> 00:07:30,120 Speaker 7: enormous distinction. Hisbela is a Shiite Lebanese group on the 132 00:07:30,160 --> 00:07:33,360 Speaker 7: northern border and the southern part of Lebanon, and it's 133 00:07:33,400 --> 00:07:37,000 Speaker 7: the controlling force in Lebanon politically and militarily right now. 134 00:07:37,080 --> 00:07:42,520 Speaker 7: And Hamas is a Sunni Palestinian group based essentially in 135 00:07:42,680 --> 00:07:44,120 Speaker 7: Gaza south of Israel. 136 00:07:44,960 --> 00:07:49,800 Speaker 2: Is Israel from a military standpoint, do they approach this 137 00:07:50,000 --> 00:07:55,360 Speaker 2: like a war like military like divisions in platoons or 138 00:07:55,760 --> 00:08:00,280 Speaker 2: is it a different approach to the border with Hesbolah? 139 00:08:00,760 --> 00:08:04,920 Speaker 7: So I would say that they It's been a difficult 140 00:08:04,960 --> 00:08:09,440 Speaker 7: transition for the Israeli military. It faced states Syria, Lebanon, 141 00:08:09,560 --> 00:08:13,080 Speaker 7: Egypt and so forth in the past, and in facing 142 00:08:13,200 --> 00:08:16,440 Speaker 7: these militias, I think it's finding it more difficult to 143 00:08:16,440 --> 00:08:17,880 Speaker 7: know how to handle it. I mean, it has an 144 00:08:18,000 --> 00:08:22,040 Speaker 7: enormous technological advantage, obviously, but it turns out a lot 145 00:08:22,080 --> 00:08:25,160 Speaker 7: of the low tech stuff that and Hamas have done 146 00:08:25,400 --> 00:08:27,920 Speaker 7: using drones that you can buy at the Best Buy 147 00:08:28,400 --> 00:08:31,840 Speaker 7: and building tunnels, have really caused quite a lot of 148 00:08:31,840 --> 00:08:34,800 Speaker 7: problems for the country. So I think that it's a mix. 149 00:08:34,880 --> 00:08:39,679 Speaker 7: I mean, the truth is that Hamas force and the Hisbela. 150 00:08:40,600 --> 00:08:45,480 Speaker 7: Also militia force are set up in divisions and in brigades, 151 00:08:45,920 --> 00:08:48,640 Speaker 7: but there it's really a much more of an asymmetrical 152 00:08:48,679 --> 00:08:50,200 Speaker 7: warfare problem for the country. 153 00:08:50,960 --> 00:08:54,680 Speaker 4: So, Ethan, how challenging is it for the Israeli defense 154 00:08:54,760 --> 00:08:57,920 Speaker 4: forces to have what now appears to be a two 155 00:08:58,040 --> 00:08:59,800 Speaker 4: front active war. 156 00:08:59,840 --> 00:09:04,160 Speaker 7: He Oh, it's very challenging, Pauland it's more than two fronts, right. 157 00:09:04,160 --> 00:09:07,160 Speaker 7: You have Hispala the north, you have a Master the south, 158 00:09:07,200 --> 00:09:09,640 Speaker 7: you have the Huties further to the south, and you 159 00:09:09,720 --> 00:09:13,200 Speaker 7: have militias in Iraq and Syria. All of these things, 160 00:09:13,559 --> 00:09:17,440 Speaker 7: of course are funded and sponsored by Iran way to 161 00:09:17,480 --> 00:09:20,280 Speaker 7: its east, and so it's got a it likes to 162 00:09:20,280 --> 00:09:22,240 Speaker 7: think of it, or it not so much likes to 163 00:09:22,360 --> 00:09:24,080 Speaker 7: but it tends to think of it as a seven 164 00:09:24,160 --> 00:09:27,320 Speaker 7: front war because there's also concerned about the West Bank 165 00:09:27,440 --> 00:09:30,880 Speaker 7: and some Israeli Arabs who may not be thrilled about 166 00:09:30,880 --> 00:09:34,840 Speaker 7: the place. So it's it's a very very complex situation 167 00:09:35,000 --> 00:09:35,680 Speaker 7: for the country. 168 00:09:36,320 --> 00:09:40,520 Speaker 4: Was it surprising, Ethan that the Israelis chose to bomb Elebanon, 169 00:09:41,040 --> 00:09:44,920 Speaker 4: I guess preemptively to thwart potential attack. 170 00:09:45,920 --> 00:09:48,240 Speaker 7: I mean, you know, these things are surprising to you. 171 00:09:48,280 --> 00:09:50,920 Speaker 7: And me because we're not sitting in those intelligence rooms. 172 00:09:50,960 --> 00:09:54,480 Speaker 7: But what they said that they had very precise intelligence 173 00:09:54,880 --> 00:09:57,960 Speaker 7: that you know, we've known for several weeks that since 174 00:09:58,000 --> 00:10:02,920 Speaker 7: the late July killing of a militia leader in Beirut, 175 00:10:03,000 --> 00:10:06,920 Speaker 7: that Isbela was going to respond, and at the beginning 176 00:10:06,920 --> 00:10:08,960 Speaker 7: of this last week there was a clear sense that 177 00:10:09,000 --> 00:10:09,840 Speaker 7: it was coming. 178 00:10:09,600 --> 00:10:12,280 Speaker 6: Up this week and there was a lot of. 179 00:10:12,280 --> 00:10:15,439 Speaker 7: Chatter about it, and then it became clear that Israel 180 00:10:15,520 --> 00:10:18,679 Speaker 7: had very precise intelligence that there were all of these 181 00:10:18,760 --> 00:10:22,640 Speaker 7: launchers were headed toward mostly northern Israel, but they included 182 00:10:22,720 --> 00:10:26,520 Speaker 7: a plan to hit le Loot, which is where the 183 00:10:26,559 --> 00:10:30,199 Speaker 7: intelligence community sits, just outside of Tel Aviv, and they 184 00:10:30,240 --> 00:10:32,160 Speaker 7: decided that they couldn't allow that to happen. 185 00:10:32,280 --> 00:10:34,000 Speaker 3: Ethan, you're such a pro on this. 186 00:10:34,160 --> 00:10:37,559 Speaker 2: When I look at Israeli media, all the different Israeli 187 00:10:37,559 --> 00:10:40,400 Speaker 2: posts and all the rest of it, my head spins. 188 00:10:40,480 --> 00:10:45,000 Speaker 2: I can't keep track of who represents who, who's on 189 00:10:45,160 --> 00:10:46,160 Speaker 2: the team, et cetera. 190 00:10:46,640 --> 00:10:48,680 Speaker 3: Does mister Netanyahu. 191 00:10:48,200 --> 00:10:52,360 Speaker 2: Have the support of elites in Tel Aviv and Jerusalem? 192 00:10:52,440 --> 00:10:56,800 Speaker 2: Does he have the support of the newspapers. 193 00:10:56,440 --> 00:10:59,520 Speaker 6: No, he does not. In many ways, D'tagna. 194 00:10:59,600 --> 00:11:01,719 Speaker 7: It's best to think of Nitanahu the way you might 195 00:11:01,760 --> 00:11:04,240 Speaker 7: think of Donald Trump. Okay, that is to say, with 196 00:11:04,280 --> 00:11:07,600 Speaker 7: a fair amount of popular support and utter rejection by 197 00:11:07,640 --> 00:11:11,400 Speaker 7: the cultural, economic, and military elites of the country. 198 00:11:12,080 --> 00:11:14,400 Speaker 6: But you know, the people account for a lot. 199 00:11:15,000 --> 00:11:18,720 Speaker 7: And he has also done pretty well in terms of 200 00:11:18,760 --> 00:11:20,880 Speaker 7: his numbers and his polling in the last four or 201 00:11:20,960 --> 00:11:25,040 Speaker 7: five months. He's back up. He's not totally up, but 202 00:11:25,080 --> 00:11:28,480 Speaker 7: he is a steady with whoever might compete against him. 203 00:11:28,480 --> 00:11:30,560 Speaker 7: And it wouldn't shock me if he were to call 204 00:11:30,600 --> 00:11:32,360 Speaker 7: an election in a few months and win. 205 00:11:32,640 --> 00:11:33,880 Speaker 3: That's right where I wanted to go. 206 00:11:34,040 --> 00:11:37,080 Speaker 2: I mean, now he calls an election, and do you 207 00:11:37,160 --> 00:11:42,000 Speaker 2: look at him, you know, within a democracy of parliamentary structure, 208 00:11:42,400 --> 00:11:46,120 Speaker 2: do you look at mister Netanyahoo is basically with an 209 00:11:46,160 --> 00:11:49,360 Speaker 2: extended term, an extended view, and extended vision. 210 00:11:51,000 --> 00:11:53,679 Speaker 7: Yes, I think it's very likely. I mean, look, I 211 00:11:53,720 --> 00:11:55,360 Speaker 7: don't know if he'll win, but he has a decent 212 00:11:55,400 --> 00:11:57,920 Speaker 7: shot at it. It's a similar question about Donald Trump 213 00:11:58,000 --> 00:12:01,840 Speaker 7: right now, right, it's close, but he could and he 214 00:12:02,000 --> 00:12:07,880 Speaker 7: certainly has climbed back up. Because the longer with the 215 00:12:07,920 --> 00:12:10,200 Speaker 7: further way you are from October seventh, the less people 216 00:12:10,240 --> 00:12:13,440 Speaker 7: blame him and remember it as a failure of his 217 00:12:13,600 --> 00:12:18,640 Speaker 7: part or his government, and the more his militant strength grows, 218 00:12:19,160 --> 00:12:22,559 Speaker 7: and people really aren't, you know, especially after October seventh, 219 00:12:22,640 --> 00:12:25,560 Speaker 7: Israelis don't have a sense of how to handle the 220 00:12:25,600 --> 00:12:28,600 Speaker 7: situation except by being tough. I mean, there's plenty to 221 00:12:28,640 --> 00:12:31,880 Speaker 7: say about that question, but that is the growing sentiment here. 222 00:12:32,720 --> 00:12:34,679 Speaker 5: Ethan. You're based in Tel Aviv. 223 00:12:35,360 --> 00:12:39,920 Speaker 4: I'm cossaying to understand what it's like in Tel Aviv 224 00:12:40,080 --> 00:12:42,120 Speaker 4: these days. I mean, if I were to walk the 225 00:12:42,120 --> 00:12:44,960 Speaker 4: streets of Tel Aviv on a Saturday evening, what would 226 00:12:44,960 --> 00:12:47,960 Speaker 4: I find in the restaurants, the cafes, just on the street. 227 00:12:48,720 --> 00:12:50,680 Speaker 7: You'd find it very hard to get a table ball. 228 00:12:50,760 --> 00:12:53,400 Speaker 7: I can tell you that it is very, very crowded. 229 00:12:53,520 --> 00:12:57,120 Speaker 7: It is still fairly wealthy place, lots and lots of 230 00:12:57,160 --> 00:12:59,480 Speaker 7: young people. I happen to live in the southern part, 231 00:12:59,520 --> 00:13:02,240 Speaker 7: in the kind of cool area. I'm not so cool, 232 00:13:02,280 --> 00:13:06,160 Speaker 7: but they've let me in and it is really really crowded. 233 00:13:06,280 --> 00:13:09,240 Speaker 7: So you wouldn't you could? You know, as far as 234 00:13:09,240 --> 00:13:11,480 Speaker 7: you know, you'd be in Barcelona that kind of a criminal. 235 00:13:11,480 --> 00:13:13,920 Speaker 7: There's no sense of menas on the streets of Tel 236 00:13:13,920 --> 00:13:14,960 Speaker 7: Aviv right now. 237 00:13:15,000 --> 00:13:18,079 Speaker 2: Ethan, Thank you, Ethan Bronner. Day after day there's leadership 238 00:13:18,600 --> 00:13:22,520 Speaker 2: in the Levant. Israeli Barret, chief of Bloomberg News, acclaimed 239 00:13:22,600 --> 00:13:26,000 Speaker 2: for his work over the last number of decades. 240 00:13:28,120 --> 00:13:35,360 Speaker 8: There are things back before digital that you would carry 241 00:13:35,600 --> 00:13:39,520 Speaker 8: around to be cool, very important. 242 00:13:39,720 --> 00:13:43,880 Speaker 2: You'd carry around what was called the Maroon Book from DLJ. Donison, 243 00:13:43,960 --> 00:13:47,360 Speaker 2: Lufkin Jen read it was her beautiful fixed income essay. 244 00:13:47,360 --> 00:13:50,400 Speaker 2: They had some young Turk named John writing. They would 245 00:13:50,400 --> 00:13:53,800 Speaker 2: write for it. I think bear Stearns had something. But 246 00:13:53,920 --> 00:13:58,319 Speaker 2: the mother of all status symbols was to carry. 247 00:13:58,080 --> 00:14:02,280 Speaker 3: Around the Black Books. Yes of Sanford Bernstein. 248 00:14:03,160 --> 00:14:06,200 Speaker 2: There were any number of iconic names there good morning 249 00:14:06,240 --> 00:14:09,440 Speaker 2: Brad hints. But one of them was a guy named 250 00:14:09,440 --> 00:14:12,520 Speaker 2: Peer Faragu. Not that familiar, I think to Americans, but 251 00:14:12,600 --> 00:14:18,760 Speaker 2: Peer Farragu was an absolute required read on global technology. 252 00:14:18,880 --> 00:14:21,920 Speaker 2: We're thrilled he could join us right now on in video. 253 00:14:21,960 --> 00:14:27,479 Speaker 2: But i'm tech in general. Is in Vidia pier alone 254 00:14:28,320 --> 00:14:34,280 Speaker 2: or can we take signals from Nvidia across your larger technology. 255 00:14:33,640 --> 00:14:40,920 Speaker 9: Space, Adam, That's a great, great question. Well, Nvidia is 256 00:14:40,920 --> 00:14:43,840 Speaker 9: definitely not alone. A lot of people supply in Vidia, 257 00:14:43,880 --> 00:14:46,880 Speaker 9: and even more people depend on Nvidia for what they're doing. 258 00:14:47,520 --> 00:14:51,840 Speaker 9: But Nvidia has this particularity of being almost last to 259 00:14:51,880 --> 00:14:56,120 Speaker 9: speak in earning season, so we know a lot of 260 00:14:56,160 --> 00:14:59,240 Speaker 9: what's going on in the upstream of Nvidia, in the 261 00:14:59,280 --> 00:15:02,760 Speaker 9: downstream of FA Vida before the report, So you don't 262 00:15:02,760 --> 00:15:07,360 Speaker 9: have that much read across coming from them, and it's 263 00:15:07,400 --> 00:15:10,160 Speaker 9: it's just because they speak last. So what we've heard 264 00:15:10,200 --> 00:15:13,600 Speaker 9: so far is that the clients or Nvidia are increasing 265 00:15:13,640 --> 00:15:17,080 Speaker 9: their capex very significantly. It's good for Nvidia, and then 266 00:15:17,120 --> 00:15:20,960 Speaker 9: the supply chain of Nvida is accelerating the pace at 267 00:15:20,960 --> 00:15:24,840 Speaker 9: which they make more capacity available for Nvidia, which means 268 00:15:24,840 --> 00:15:28,280 Speaker 9: that we are still based on all what we see 269 00:15:28,280 --> 00:15:31,560 Speaker 9: in a world in which there are people want buy 270 00:15:31,720 --> 00:15:34,360 Speaker 9: more GPUs than the number of GPUs that can be 271 00:15:34,400 --> 00:15:35,440 Speaker 9: actually manufactured. 272 00:15:36,240 --> 00:15:38,320 Speaker 4: Pierre, do we know yet, when we look across the 273 00:15:38,400 --> 00:15:40,680 Speaker 4: tech stack and we see the capital spending numbers which 274 00:15:40,680 --> 00:15:44,400 Speaker 4: are just extraordinary, how much of that is incremental for 275 00:15:44,600 --> 00:15:48,080 Speaker 4: AI versus maybe shifting it from other parts of the 276 00:15:48,160 --> 00:15:50,320 Speaker 4: capex budget, Whether it's it or something else. 277 00:15:51,640 --> 00:15:52,480 Speaker 3: It's a great question. 278 00:15:52,600 --> 00:15:57,920 Speaker 9: Well, it's usually the one of the most tricky, trickiest 279 00:15:58,320 --> 00:16:01,480 Speaker 9: questions you can ask, and you have a technology transition. 280 00:16:02,120 --> 00:16:07,120 Speaker 9: But here the answer is actually relatively easy. Spending on 281 00:16:07,280 --> 00:16:11,000 Speaker 9: AI chips might you know, reach like one hundred and 282 00:16:11,000 --> 00:16:15,920 Speaker 9: fifty billions in twenty twenty five next year. And compared 283 00:16:15,960 --> 00:16:19,720 Speaker 9: to that, the market for CPUs, you know, like which 284 00:16:19,760 --> 00:16:22,880 Speaker 9: is really like the leading ship of the what I 285 00:16:22,880 --> 00:16:25,440 Speaker 9: would call like the traditional infrastructure, you know, the legacy 286 00:16:25,480 --> 00:16:29,080 Speaker 9: infrastructure is only in the twenties. It's like, it's less 287 00:16:29,080 --> 00:16:33,000 Speaker 9: than thirty billions. So the market for AI infrastructure is 288 00:16:33,040 --> 00:16:36,400 Speaker 9: so large that you can't talk about a shift or 289 00:16:36,400 --> 00:16:40,760 Speaker 9: anything else. So that's one first way to look at it. 290 00:16:40,800 --> 00:16:43,040 Speaker 9: And the second way to look at it is we 291 00:16:43,240 --> 00:16:50,720 Speaker 9: haven't seen more than a slightly sluggish, slightly sluggish market 292 00:16:50,880 --> 00:16:55,320 Speaker 9: outside of AI. And when you ask Microsoft, Google and others, 293 00:16:55,840 --> 00:16:58,040 Speaker 9: why are you not spending so much on CPUs and 294 00:16:58,080 --> 00:17:01,720 Speaker 9: others and traditional servers all they never tell you what 295 00:17:01,880 --> 00:17:05,200 Speaker 9: it's because we're done with these technologies. They're telling you 296 00:17:05,280 --> 00:17:07,920 Speaker 9: it's just that we don't have time. We're so focused 297 00:17:07,920 --> 00:17:10,320 Speaker 9: on the eye that we don't have time. We'll have 298 00:17:10,359 --> 00:17:11,520 Speaker 9: to catch up at some point a. 299 00:17:11,560 --> 00:17:13,000 Speaker 3: Periodic conversation with you. 300 00:17:13,000 --> 00:17:16,600 Speaker 2: We've got to look at your brilliant call and Apple 301 00:17:16,960 --> 00:17:22,119 Speaker 2: with a neutral. There are forty one buys, seventeen neutrals 302 00:17:22,160 --> 00:17:25,879 Speaker 2: holds and Apple right now, what would it take for 303 00:17:26,000 --> 00:17:29,439 Speaker 2: Apple to do to get pure fair good, to go 304 00:17:29,600 --> 00:17:32,119 Speaker 2: long Apple, to go buy Apple. 305 00:17:34,280 --> 00:17:41,200 Speaker 9: Well, you would need to create you know, in some ways, 306 00:17:41,840 --> 00:17:45,480 Speaker 9: way more controversy than what you have on the stock today. 307 00:17:46,040 --> 00:17:47,960 Speaker 9: You know, Apple is a very easy story. It's a 308 00:17:48,040 --> 00:17:50,879 Speaker 9: very very high quality franchise, but is the highest quality 309 00:17:51,400 --> 00:17:52,840 Speaker 9: consumer franchise. 310 00:17:52,400 --> 00:17:52,880 Speaker 3: In the world. 311 00:17:53,760 --> 00:17:57,600 Speaker 9: They're still on top of their game, and they're very 312 00:17:57,600 --> 00:18:04,240 Speaker 9: good at defending their position, mostly as you know, a 313 00:18:04,320 --> 00:18:08,320 Speaker 9: provider of the actual hardware like the handset, and also 314 00:18:08,359 --> 00:18:11,119 Speaker 9: building out from the one billion user base, you know, 315 00:18:11,680 --> 00:18:18,600 Speaker 9: steadily growing and very stable recurring revenue stream for services, 316 00:18:19,160 --> 00:18:23,200 Speaker 9: and you know we're going through multiple revolutions like streaming 317 00:18:23,320 --> 00:18:27,840 Speaker 9: content and then the voice voice interaction. Now we're going 318 00:18:27,840 --> 00:18:31,960 Speaker 9: into artificial integence. And Apple is doing a very good 319 00:18:32,000 --> 00:18:35,160 Speaker 9: job at adapting to all these things. But the only 320 00:18:35,400 --> 00:18:38,439 Speaker 9: power of Apple is very very mature. So you know, 321 00:18:39,280 --> 00:18:41,960 Speaker 9: the controversy is it going to grow five percent or 322 00:18:42,000 --> 00:18:43,160 Speaker 9: seven percent next year? 323 00:18:43,680 --> 00:18:44,719 Speaker 3: And so it's very difficult. 324 00:18:44,800 --> 00:18:47,280 Speaker 9: You have a strong conviction on the stock as long 325 00:18:47,359 --> 00:18:53,439 Speaker 9: as you don't have more more of a controversy. So 326 00:18:54,160 --> 00:18:56,760 Speaker 9: you know, the simpleeancer would be for people to start 327 00:18:56,840 --> 00:18:59,800 Speaker 9: worry about something for Apple would not worry about, and 328 00:18:59,800 --> 00:19:01,159 Speaker 9: then probably I would become a buyer. 329 00:19:01,640 --> 00:19:04,520 Speaker 4: Peer, Is there a reasonable I guess there's a call 330 00:19:04,560 --> 00:19:07,480 Speaker 4: out there that maybe Apple has missed at least temporarily 331 00:19:07,600 --> 00:19:09,520 Speaker 4: the AI evolution. 332 00:19:10,000 --> 00:19:10,919 Speaker 5: Is that a fair statement? 333 00:19:13,080 --> 00:19:16,919 Speaker 9: Well, from a technological standpoint, I would say, you know, 334 00:19:17,760 --> 00:19:21,160 Speaker 9: Apple Intelligence. The way the way Apple is articulating AI 335 00:19:21,359 --> 00:19:23,840 Speaker 9: for their devices, I think is very sound and very good, 336 00:19:23,880 --> 00:19:27,879 Speaker 9: and it's it's the right way to do it. But 337 00:19:28,000 --> 00:19:33,040 Speaker 9: our view here is that Apple has to host AI 338 00:19:33,440 --> 00:19:38,040 Speaker 9: and let AI mature and let AI you know, winning 339 00:19:38,080 --> 00:19:43,040 Speaker 9: news cases emerge and and so it's it's going to 340 00:19:43,080 --> 00:19:48,480 Speaker 9: be very nondestructive to UH to Apple. The business model 341 00:19:48,520 --> 00:19:50,320 Speaker 9: of Apple is not going to change as we go 342 00:19:50,480 --> 00:19:53,000 Speaker 9: through through AI, even if Apple is probably going to 343 00:19:53,680 --> 00:19:56,760 Speaker 9: a major player in the adoption of AI very quickly. 344 00:19:56,800 --> 00:20:01,000 Speaker 2: Here, Peer, you've got a humongous call and Microsoft was 345 00:20:01,040 --> 00:20:05,400 Speaker 2: made some time ago. Do you reiterate a five seventy 346 00:20:05,640 --> 00:20:07,760 Speaker 2: target and Microsoft? 347 00:20:07,840 --> 00:20:10,160 Speaker 3: Is that accurate? Yeah? 348 00:20:10,240 --> 00:20:12,879 Speaker 9: I think Microsoft is in a very good in a 349 00:20:12,960 --> 00:20:18,480 Speaker 9: very good place investors that have been worried about Microsoft 350 00:20:18,600 --> 00:20:21,480 Speaker 9: spending so much money on Kapex. So the freaka shlow 351 00:20:21,560 --> 00:20:27,040 Speaker 9: is coming down and terms you know my history with TSMC, 352 00:20:28,760 --> 00:20:31,439 Speaker 9: but I know a lot and you knows my history 353 00:20:31,480 --> 00:20:34,439 Speaker 9: with Tesla. I like a lot good businesses that are 354 00:20:34,480 --> 00:20:39,479 Speaker 9: spending a lot of money on infrastructure on PPS because 355 00:20:39,920 --> 00:20:41,480 Speaker 9: if you make if you have a good business, you 356 00:20:41,520 --> 00:20:43,040 Speaker 9: make a good return on an asset. And when you 357 00:20:43,080 --> 00:20:46,640 Speaker 9: invest a lot, that means good returns are coming through. 358 00:20:47,000 --> 00:20:51,240 Speaker 9: And so that's really the way I'm looking at Microsoft today. 359 00:20:51,680 --> 00:20:57,040 Speaker 9: I'm thinking the busiest case of a for them is 360 00:20:57,160 --> 00:21:01,200 Speaker 9: very straightforward. It's like it's very to say AI as 361 00:21:01,200 --> 00:21:03,480 Speaker 9: an adult. So they are getting to make money out 362 00:21:03,520 --> 00:21:06,560 Speaker 9: of all the investments are doing today. This is very 363 00:21:06,680 --> 00:21:07,159 Speaker 9: very bootish. 364 00:21:07,400 --> 00:21:10,200 Speaker 2: Never enough time, peer fergu thank you so much on Nvidia, 365 00:21:10,760 --> 00:21:24,000 Speaker 2: an Apple, on Microsoft, you deal. You look at the 366 00:21:24,040 --> 00:21:26,879 Speaker 2: front pages the John Tucker our mister Tucker. 367 00:21:27,280 --> 00:21:30,120 Speaker 10: All right, let's take a deeper dive. Bloomberg Quick Take 368 00:21:30,520 --> 00:21:32,800 Speaker 10: has a deeper dive in the story that we've reporting 369 00:21:32,920 --> 00:21:35,399 Speaker 10: all morning long. As we learned of the arrasta the 370 00:21:35,480 --> 00:21:38,880 Speaker 10: CEO in Europe, comes the question of how did the 371 00:21:38,880 --> 00:21:44,080 Speaker 10: messaging app Telegram become a focus of extremist activity online. 372 00:21:44,640 --> 00:21:47,760 Speaker 10: The service was started back in twenty thirteen and it 373 00:21:47,840 --> 00:21:51,680 Speaker 10: is actually one of the most downloaded apps worldwide. It 374 00:21:51,720 --> 00:21:55,200 Speaker 10: also polices content with what you could call a pretty 375 00:21:55,280 --> 00:21:58,200 Speaker 10: light touch. It's used by hundreds of millions of people 376 00:21:58,240 --> 00:22:02,800 Speaker 10: across the world as a straightforward, everyday communication tool. Users 377 00:22:02,800 --> 00:22:06,080 Speaker 10: can also post stories, create discussion groups, or establish what 378 00:22:06,119 --> 00:22:08,359 Speaker 10: are known as channels, and a channel can end up 379 00:22:08,400 --> 00:22:13,000 Speaker 10: drawing millions of subscribers. And a Telegram was used to 380 00:22:13,040 --> 00:22:16,440 Speaker 10: foment and coordinate those anti immigrant riots in the UK 381 00:22:17,560 --> 00:22:20,600 Speaker 10: last month, well earlier this month, I should say law 382 00:22:20,640 --> 00:22:24,560 Speaker 10: enforcement agencies. They do actually have more leverage to persuade 383 00:22:24,600 --> 00:22:28,960 Speaker 10: Facebook and Meta to help them identify users engaged in 384 00:22:29,000 --> 00:22:32,680 Speaker 10: illegal activities, as it's a publicly listed company and it's 385 00:22:32,720 --> 00:22:36,280 Speaker 10: headquartered in the US. This has proven to be largely 386 00:22:37,000 --> 00:22:40,680 Speaker 10: powerless when it comes to Telegram, which is based in Dubai. 387 00:22:41,440 --> 00:22:46,600 Speaker 2: It's gonna it was fermenting overnight with a huge Russian response, 388 00:22:46,800 --> 00:22:50,359 Speaker 2: and the French seem pretty entrenchous on it. 389 00:22:50,280 --> 00:22:51,960 Speaker 3: It's just this is the way it is. What else 390 00:22:52,080 --> 00:22:52,560 Speaker 3: is it next? 391 00:22:52,640 --> 00:22:52,879 Speaker 6: All right? 392 00:22:52,920 --> 00:22:56,320 Speaker 10: This from the New York Times Apple rethinking its movie strategy. 393 00:22:56,800 --> 00:22:59,240 Speaker 10: When Apple won a bidding war in twenty twenty one 394 00:22:59,280 --> 00:23:02,080 Speaker 10: for the rights to make the action comedy Wolfs with 395 00:23:02,520 --> 00:23:04,880 Speaker 10: George Clooney and Brad Pitt, it did so in partant 396 00:23:04,920 --> 00:23:08,240 Speaker 10: because it promised the stars they put the movie into 397 00:23:08,240 --> 00:23:12,200 Speaker 10: a large number of theaters. But this month, just six 398 00:23:12,280 --> 00:23:14,040 Speaker 10: weeks before the film was set to show up in 399 00:23:14,080 --> 00:23:17,760 Speaker 10: thousands of theaters across the country, Apple announced a significant 400 00:23:17,800 --> 00:23:21,000 Speaker 10: change in plans. Wolves will now be shown on a 401 00:23:21,119 --> 00:23:25,000 Speaker 10: limited number of movie screens for one week before becoming 402 00:23:25,040 --> 00:23:27,199 Speaker 10: available on the company streaming service. 403 00:23:27,359 --> 00:23:29,360 Speaker 2: Let's stop here, this is really important, Paul. I looked 404 00:23:29,400 --> 00:23:31,480 Speaker 2: at a pie chart this week in a market share 405 00:23:31,760 --> 00:23:35,480 Speaker 2: Who's kidna? Who these people? This is a fantasy of 406 00:23:35,960 --> 00:23:39,400 Speaker 2: Variety Magazine's done a great treach one. This is a 407 00:23:39,440 --> 00:23:44,840 Speaker 2: fantasy of micro's share. The fact is paramount Apple. All 408 00:23:44,880 --> 00:23:46,960 Speaker 2: the rest have micro Share. 409 00:23:47,680 --> 00:23:48,720 Speaker 3: It's delusional. 410 00:23:48,840 --> 00:23:49,919 Speaker 5: Yeah, I mean it's interesting. 411 00:23:49,920 --> 00:23:52,119 Speaker 4: I mean and in this particular story, Tom, I mean, 412 00:23:52,160 --> 00:23:56,160 Speaker 4: you get two heavyweights, George Kleen, Brad Pitt, You make 413 00:23:56,200 --> 00:23:59,600 Speaker 4: a deal with these people. I can't imagine what that 414 00:23:59,680 --> 00:24:01,760 Speaker 4: meeting was like to say, oh, guys, we're going. 415 00:24:01,520 --> 00:24:05,160 Speaker 10: Back not too happy, and they should follow my advice. 416 00:24:05,359 --> 00:24:09,880 Speaker 10: Brad read the fine print exactly. 417 00:24:10,119 --> 00:24:13,920 Speaker 4: I mean it was Apple can do obviously whatever Apple wants. 418 00:24:13,920 --> 00:24:16,520 Speaker 4: But boy, if you're George pleading Brad Pitt, I mean, 419 00:24:17,160 --> 00:24:18,880 Speaker 4: you have to be right. 420 00:24:18,960 --> 00:24:19,359 Speaker 5: You want that. 421 00:24:19,800 --> 00:24:21,320 Speaker 4: You you came up in the world where you had 422 00:24:21,359 --> 00:24:23,520 Speaker 4: the broad theatrical release, you know, in. 423 00:24:23,480 --> 00:24:25,680 Speaker 3: Honor of the courage of what they did in World 424 00:24:25,720 --> 00:24:28,399 Speaker 3: War Two. We watched the World War. 425 00:24:28,280 --> 00:24:32,560 Speaker 2: Two Flyers thing on Apple. Spielberg did it with Tom Hanks. 426 00:24:32,560 --> 00:24:36,080 Speaker 3: It was great, but it's it's it's dead. It's dead garbage, 427 00:24:36,160 --> 00:24:38,920 Speaker 3: you know, It's it's like it got next to nobody 428 00:24:38,960 --> 00:24:39,480 Speaker 3: watched it. 429 00:24:39,840 --> 00:24:42,240 Speaker 2: I mean, I just I've never seen an industry where 430 00:24:42,280 --> 00:24:44,080 Speaker 2: nobody cares if anybody's watching. 431 00:24:45,760 --> 00:24:49,439 Speaker 4: And uh, there's another movie out on one of these 432 00:24:49,480 --> 00:24:52,120 Speaker 4: streaming services that it would if it back in the day, 433 00:24:52,119 --> 00:24:55,959 Speaker 4: would have been out in the theaters, huge promotion, huge budget, 434 00:24:56,040 --> 00:24:58,240 Speaker 4: hundreds of millions of dollars spent on every talk show. 435 00:24:58,720 --> 00:25:01,840 Speaker 4: It comes out with just a but I guess if 436 00:25:01,840 --> 00:25:03,880 Speaker 4: I'm not dam they wrote me my ten million dollar check. 437 00:25:04,480 --> 00:25:06,160 Speaker 5: I spent through, you know, three months on a thing. 438 00:25:06,520 --> 00:25:07,520 Speaker 5: I guess that's it's. 439 00:25:07,400 --> 00:25:08,400 Speaker 10: The new reality. 440 00:25:08,520 --> 00:25:11,320 Speaker 3: Yes, just do you have one more, sir? 441 00:25:11,400 --> 00:25:13,760 Speaker 10: Well, let's take this one. I love this one from 442 00:25:13,760 --> 00:25:19,600 Speaker 10: the Financial Times. Ikea is taking on eBay. Ikea starting 443 00:25:19,600 --> 00:25:22,959 Speaker 10: a peer to peer marketplace for consumers to sell secondhand 444 00:25:23,000 --> 00:25:27,000 Speaker 10: furniture to each other. This is Ikea pre Owned, will 445 00:25:27,000 --> 00:25:29,480 Speaker 10: be tested in Madrid and Oslo until the end of 446 00:25:29,520 --> 00:25:31,679 Speaker 10: the year, with the aim of rolling out the buying 447 00:25:31,680 --> 00:25:35,320 Speaker 10: and selling platform globally. The new marketplace part of a 448 00:25:35,400 --> 00:25:37,840 Speaker 10: transformation of Ikea. 449 00:25:37,960 --> 00:25:41,200 Speaker 3: This is the couch pizza. 450 00:25:41,320 --> 00:25:45,840 Speaker 10: The couch with the Swedish people stains. He gets some 451 00:25:46,160 --> 00:25:48,240 Speaker 10: other fool to buy it from you. 452 00:25:48,600 --> 00:25:52,640 Speaker 4: So all right, But who's ever put together an Ikea 453 00:25:53,080 --> 00:25:53,960 Speaker 4: piece of furniture. 454 00:25:54,600 --> 00:25:56,240 Speaker 5: I have not done that, but I know that's Oh. 455 00:25:56,280 --> 00:25:59,960 Speaker 10: I have so many Allen ranches left over from that total. 456 00:26:00,000 --> 00:26:02,760 Speaker 2: I have a collection of al retch I have a 457 00:26:02,800 --> 00:26:06,120 Speaker 2: full disclosure, folks, I've never been in an iq. 458 00:26:06,280 --> 00:26:09,920 Speaker 4: No, sir, no, no surprise us. 459 00:26:09,960 --> 00:26:12,120 Speaker 3: John Tucker, thank you for the news there. 460 00:26:12,480 --> 00:26:15,720 Speaker 2: This is a Bloomberg Surveillance podcast bringing you the best 461 00:26:15,720 --> 00:26:20,520 Speaker 2: in economics, finance, investment, and international relations. You can also 462 00:26:20,560 --> 00:26:24,600 Speaker 2: watch the show live on YouTube. Visit the Bloomberg Podcast 463 00:26:24,720 --> 00:26:28,760 Speaker 2: channel on YouTube. To see the show weekday mornings from 464 00:26:28,800 --> 00:26:32,080 Speaker 2: seven to ten am Eastern from our global headquarters in 465 00:26:32,160 --> 00:26:35,840 Speaker 2: New York City. Subscribe to the podcast on Apple, Spotify, 466 00:26:36,200 --> 00:26:39,760 Speaker 2: or anywhere else you listen, and always on Bloomberg Radio, 467 00:26:39,960 --> 00:26:40,520 Speaker 2: the Bloomberg 468 00:26:40,640 --> 00:26:43,160 Speaker 3: Terminal, and the Bloomberg Business app.