WEBVTT - 2/28/26: K&S React: TRUMP LAUNCHES REGIME CHANGE IRAN WAR 0:00:00.160 --> 0:00:03.720 Hello everybody. Unfortunately we're having to join you this Saturday morning. 0:00:03.720 --> 0:00:07.440 Donald Trump has launched a major regime change war with Iran. 0:00:07.640 --> 0:00:10.880 This appears to be the full Monty Crystal. We have 0:00:11.039 --> 0:00:14.200 the video that the President released at some two am 0:00:14.360 --> 0:00:18.279 Eastern time where he declared this war. Let's take a 0:00:18.280 --> 0:00:19.720 listen to some of the justification. 0:00:21.040 --> 0:00:26.320 A short time ago, the United States military began major 0:00:26.400 --> 0:00:32.599 combat operations in Iran. Our objective is to defend the 0:00:32.680 --> 0:00:38.479 American people by eliminating eminent threats from the Iranian regime, 0:00:39.080 --> 0:00:46.040 a vicious group of very hard, terrible people. It's menacing 0:00:46.120 --> 0:00:49.879 activities directly in danger the United States, our troops, our 0:00:49.920 --> 0:00:54.800 bases overseas, and our allies throughout the world. For forty 0:00:54.880 --> 0:00:58.680 seven years, the Iranian regime has chanted death to America 0:00:58.720 --> 0:01:03.880 and waged an unending campaign of bloodshed and mass murder, 0:01:04.600 --> 0:01:08.080 targeting the United States, our troops, and the innocent people 0:01:08.200 --> 0:01:12.920 in many, many countries. Among the regime's very first acts 0:01:13.040 --> 0:01:16.399 was to back a violent takeover of the US embassy 0:01:16.440 --> 0:01:21.360 in Tehran, holding dozens of American hostages for four hundred 0:01:21.400 --> 0:01:25.880 and forty four days. In nineteen eighty three, Irans proxies 0:01:25.920 --> 0:01:29.840 carried out the Marine Barracks bombing in Beirut that killed 0:01:29.880 --> 0:01:34.959 two hundred and forty one American military personnel in two thousand. 0:01:35.120 --> 0:01:38.319 They knew and were probably involved with the attack on 0:01:38.440 --> 0:01:44.800 the USS coal many died. Iranian forces killed and maimed 0:01:44.880 --> 0:01:48.920 hundreds of American service members in Iraq. The regime's proxies 0:01:49.040 --> 0:01:55.000 have continued to launch countless attacks against American forces in 0:01:55.080 --> 0:01:58.160 recent So I was going. 0:01:58.080 --> 0:02:01.040 To say a little bit of using the embassy to yeah, 0:02:01.120 --> 0:02:02.880 to justify this insane right. 0:02:03.640 --> 0:02:06.280 So I think the most significant part of that statement 0:02:06.560 --> 0:02:09.960 was obviously, even though they're calling this a preemptive strike, 0:02:10.400 --> 0:02:12.840 it is a you know, not actually a preemptive strike. 0:02:12.880 --> 0:02:16.240 They're using a long historical justification thing. This is a 0:02:16.280 --> 0:02:20.200 forty seven year war. This is a war explicitly now 0:02:20.240 --> 0:02:23.480 declared as regime change. But I think that the most 0:02:23.480 --> 0:02:27.400 significant part of the President's statement was the open acknowledgment 0:02:27.440 --> 0:02:30.000 that American lives are at risk and they may be 0:02:30.120 --> 0:02:31.720 lost as a result of this. I know that we 0:02:31.760 --> 0:02:33.480 have a clip is a little bit later on in 0:02:33.520 --> 0:02:35.160 that speech. It's a full eight minutes, so we're not 0:02:35.160 --> 0:02:36.040 going to play at all for you. 0:02:36.919 --> 0:02:41.120 She seeks to kill. The lives of courageous American heroes 0:02:41.160 --> 0:02:45.280 may be lost, and we may have casualties that often 0:02:45.360 --> 0:02:48.840 happens in war, but we're doing this not for now. 0:02:48.960 --> 0:02:51.720 We're doing this for the future, and it is a 0:02:51.760 --> 0:02:56.160 noble mission. We pray for every service member as they 0:02:56.240 --> 0:03:00.200 selflessly risk their lives to ensure that Americans are our 0:03:00.280 --> 0:03:04.040 children will never be threatened by a nuclear armed Iran. 0:03:05.680 --> 0:03:08.560 Right, and so this is an open declaration of a 0:03:08.639 --> 0:03:12.480 regime changed war. Crystal, do we have that statement? From 0:03:12.520 --> 0:03:16.240 this morning? Around four am, a Washington Post reporter was 0:03:16.280 --> 0:03:19.959 able to reach President Trump by phone, where he didn't 0:03:20.040 --> 0:03:23.640 even make any pretense about the nuclear program, about the 0:03:23.639 --> 0:03:28.280 missile program, even about regional proxies. He said in a 0:03:28.280 --> 0:03:31.400 brief phone call, his main concern is freedom for the 0:03:31.440 --> 0:03:34.400 Iranian people, and the US is working with Iran to 0:03:34.520 --> 0:03:37.520 make a place that is safe. All I want is 0:03:37.560 --> 0:03:40.160 freedom for the people. This is two thousand and five, 0:03:40.280 --> 0:03:43.880 George W. Bush inaugural. Obviously, you know you and I 0:03:43.920 --> 0:03:47.800 are still absorbing the news. But it's catastrophic already. We 0:03:47.840 --> 0:03:52.040 see massive retaliatory strikes across the entire region. It's a 0:03:52.080 --> 0:03:54.480 full blown regional war and the war is only blasted 0:03:54.520 --> 0:03:57.920 for six hours now or so, and it's a catastrophe 0:03:57.960 --> 0:04:01.000 I think, strategically for the United States, for the Iranian people, 0:04:01.080 --> 0:04:03.600 and for the American people, for everybody really who lives 0:04:03.600 --> 0:04:04.120 in the region. 0:04:04.600 --> 0:04:06.960 Yeah, and a direct you know, I mean, in direct 0:04:07.000 --> 0:04:09.960 contravention of Trump's positioning on the campaign is so I'm 0:04:09.960 --> 0:04:11.800 going to be the peace candidate. And there was all 0:04:11.920 --> 0:04:14.360 kinds of don't vote for kamalast you'll send your sons 0:04:14.360 --> 0:04:17.080 to war, And now you literally have him out here 0:04:17.120 --> 0:04:20.640 basically saying, yeah, your sons and daughters may die for Israel, 0:04:20.720 --> 0:04:24.280 because let's be real about who really wants this war, 0:04:24.440 --> 0:04:27.720 and it's Israel. And they've been pushing for decades at 0:04:27.720 --> 0:04:30.880 this point and found an easy mark here with Trump, 0:04:31.120 --> 0:04:33.360 in spite of the fact that his own top military 0:04:33.400 --> 0:04:36.920 advisors were saying this could go very poorly for the US. 0:04:37.000 --> 0:04:39.560 We think that this is a bad idea, that there 0:04:39.640 --> 0:04:42.960 is not some limited strike option here that Iran because they, 0:04:43.240 --> 0:04:47.120 you know, of course, obviously see this as existential. They're 0:04:47.160 --> 0:04:50.480 when to throw everything that they have to be able 0:04:50.520 --> 0:04:54.200 to preserve their own lives and their own government. So 0:04:54.480 --> 0:04:58.159 this is not a Venezuela, you know, quick in, quick count, 0:04:58.240 --> 0:05:01.000 grab a leader and done. Not that I think that 0:05:01.000 --> 0:05:02.960 that's really that end of the story with Venezuela, but 0:05:02.960 --> 0:05:05.080 that's how they perceive it. At this point. This does 0:05:05.120 --> 0:05:07.279 not look like it's going to be another twelve day 0:05:07.320 --> 0:05:10.880 war where again relatively limited in terms of, hey, we're 0:05:10.880 --> 0:05:15.000 going to take count these specific nuclear sites and move on. No, 0:05:15.720 --> 0:05:21.120 this is a far reaching, already regional war where the 0:05:21.320 --> 0:05:25.240 justifications offered in that you know, eight minute speech and 0:05:25.279 --> 0:05:28.560 then talking to reporters afterwards, have ranged from everything to 0:05:28.800 --> 0:05:33.680 the nuclear program, the missiles, the revolution itself, the nineteen 0:05:33.760 --> 0:05:38.080 seventy nine you know, embassy kidnapping of Americans in the embassy, 0:05:38.400 --> 0:05:41.080 the long litany of things that he listed out there 0:05:41.360 --> 0:05:43.800 to hey, we just want human rights and freedom for 0:05:43.839 --> 0:05:47.279 the Iranian people, and we have a new justification, which 0:05:47.279 --> 0:05:50.520 is he's claiming that the Iranians interfered in the election, 0:05:50.760 --> 0:05:52.400 so we can throw you know a little bit of 0:05:52.480 --> 0:05:56.680 like pertectual election interference and use that be able to 0:05:56.760 --> 0:05:58.920 use that claim later on to mess with the twenty 0:05:58.960 --> 0:06:01.080 twenty six elections here as well, which appears to be 0:06:01.360 --> 0:06:05.040 part of the plot. I mean, it's there's so many 0:06:05.320 --> 0:06:07.599 layers of dystopia here that it's hard to wrap your 0:06:07.600 --> 0:06:09.600 head around. I do want to just set a little 0:06:09.600 --> 0:06:12.360 bit more of the context here for people who, you know, 0:06:12.760 --> 0:06:15.600 thinking about how we got to this place, because once 0:06:15.640 --> 0:06:19.240 again you had Trump posturing like we're going through this 0:06:19.279 --> 0:06:22.640 diplomatic process. We had these meetings in Geneva. This week, 0:06:22.960 --> 0:06:27.400 the Omani's came out and said, the Iranians offered a 0:06:27.480 --> 0:06:30.760 deal that went far beyond the JCPOA that was the 0:06:30.839 --> 0:06:35.280 Obama era nuclear deal. They offered, you know, these concessions 0:06:35.320 --> 0:06:38.200 that went way beyond what Obama was able to achieve, 0:06:38.560 --> 0:06:41.280 thinking that could potentially give Trump and ount to say, 0:06:41.320 --> 0:06:43.640 you know what, I did so much better than Barack 0:06:43.640 --> 0:06:46.000 Obama could never look at me the art of the 0:06:46.080 --> 0:06:49.080 deal and give himself an out. But what we're hearing 0:06:49.120 --> 0:06:52.920 from Israeli officials is that once again this diplomacy was 0:06:53.120 --> 0:06:57.480 just a ruse, that this was planned months ago, the 0:06:57.600 --> 0:07:00.599 date was set weeks ago, and in in fact, all 0:07:00.640 --> 0:07:03.120 of this was just a dodge to wait until the 0:07:03.200 --> 0:07:07.400 time of their choosing. So a war of choice. Anyone 0:07:07.440 --> 0:07:10.160 you hear out there saying preemptive strike, blah blah, blah. 0:07:10.200 --> 0:07:13.440 You should kindly disregard everything they have to say after this, 0:07:13.800 --> 0:07:17.720 because this is an aggressive, illegal war of choice from 0:07:17.840 --> 0:07:21.600 this president An the Israelis, and there will be massive 0:07:22.120 --> 0:07:25.239 like recaer cussions that we cannot even imagine right now, 0:07:25.440 --> 0:07:27.440 that plan out for years and decades to come. 0:07:27.840 --> 0:07:30.520 Yes, the strikes are now planned for many, many days 0:07:30.720 --> 0:07:34.040 to continue. It appears initially this morning we're hearing from 0:07:34.080 --> 0:07:36.960 the US military there will be some rolling types of 0:07:36.960 --> 0:07:39.880 strikes one to two days of strikes, reassessment for battle damage, 0:07:39.880 --> 0:07:42.720 one to two days of strikes. Obviously, the enemy also 0:07:42.760 --> 0:07:44.840 gets a vote, and they are having their vote right now. 0:07:44.880 --> 0:07:46.240 Do we want to go ahead and put the list 0:07:46.280 --> 0:07:50.560 of countries that Iran has bombed already after the initial 0:07:50.600 --> 0:07:54.120 strikes that happened on Tehran early two am our time, 0:07:54.200 --> 0:07:57.320 so middle of the day, for all of them, the list, 0:07:57.440 --> 0:07:59.600 I believe, Yep, Here we have it. We have a 0:07:59.640 --> 0:08:06.200 number in Bahrain, we have a number in Kuwait, Abu Dhabi, Qatar, Jordan. 0:08:06.840 --> 0:08:11.560 Their videos coming out are unbelievable already to anybody who 0:08:11.640 --> 0:08:14.960 has visited or lived in the region. The most striking 0:08:15.400 --> 0:08:17.680 is exactly the one that you can see there on 0:08:17.720 --> 0:08:21.400 the screen that was where the fifth fleet actually is Crystal. 0:08:21.400 --> 0:08:24.320 Can we put the US soldier reacting? I mean, you know, 0:08:24.440 --> 0:08:27.120 these are not scenes that you really ever would want 0:08:27.160 --> 0:08:29.120 to see. The next one that we're about to show 0:08:29.120 --> 0:08:32.520 you is an American presumably an American service member, some 0:08:32.800 --> 0:08:36.440 American who is stationed in Bahrain, and you can actually 0:08:36.440 --> 0:08:41.520 hear him react live as a Iranian suicide shah head 0:08:41.600 --> 0:08:46.000 drone makes direct contact with a radar installation in Manama. 0:08:46.280 --> 0:08:48.600 Can why don't we make that video us? Yeah, and 0:08:48.600 --> 0:08:51.560 then we can see oh shit, oh. 0:08:51.600 --> 0:09:10.920 Shit, oh oh shit, oh fuck, oh my god, oh 0:09:11.520 --> 0:09:16.319 do fuck me? A fucking missile actually got through others more. 0:09:16.559 --> 0:09:17.680 I gotta get the fuck out of. 0:09:17.679 --> 0:09:20.160 Here, so you could see that was from an Iranian 0:09:20.240 --> 0:09:23.000 suicide drone. He mistook that as a missile. There's other 0:09:23.080 --> 0:09:26.040 videos actually showing the direct impact. These are scenes that 0:09:26.120 --> 0:09:29.719 anybody familiar with the battlefield in Ukraine will see. So 0:09:29.800 --> 0:09:33.559 they have an asymmetric capability already. Many of their missiles 0:09:33.600 --> 0:09:36.040 have been intercepted in the Gulf. We don't have any 0:09:36.080 --> 0:09:39.400 confirmed American casualties right now, but to zoom out a 0:09:39.400 --> 0:09:42.400 little bit more, I can confirm the Iranians delivered a 0:09:42.520 --> 0:09:46.360 message on letter, specifically to Jared Kushner and to Steve 0:09:46.400 --> 0:09:49.200 wick Coop, saying that they will not pursue a nuclear weapon. 0:09:49.240 --> 0:09:54.280 The Omani foreign minister was actually on television yesterday confirming 0:09:54.400 --> 0:09:56.560 exactly what you said, that they offered to give up 0:09:56.600 --> 0:10:02.760 their entire enriched uranium stockpile, provide IAEA inspectors into the country, 0:10:03.000 --> 0:10:06.520 and basically to end this entire charade. But if you've 0:10:06.559 --> 0:10:08.880 been watching our program, I do think it's important that 0:10:08.920 --> 0:10:11.640 you all know the goalposts have all moved on behalf 0:10:11.679 --> 0:10:14.320 of the Israelis. Originally it was supposed to be about 0:10:14.320 --> 0:10:17.160 the nuclear weapon. I also, I finally have some more 0:10:17.200 --> 0:10:20.160 context for Trump saying that the Iranians won't say the 0:10:20.200 --> 0:10:22.960 magic words about how they won't pursue a nuclear weapon. 0:10:23.200 --> 0:10:27.599 He believes that any enrichment whatsoever, even for like medical isotopes, 0:10:27.679 --> 0:10:30.640 is itself a declaration of a nuclear weapon. So just 0:10:30.679 --> 0:10:34.280 so you all understand where that term came from. I 0:10:34.320 --> 0:10:37.800 also do think it's important now to see that diplomacy 0:10:37.880 --> 0:10:40.920 under this administration can never be trusted. I mean, we 0:10:41.000 --> 0:10:43.679 all knew that it was kind of a joke. Of course, 0:10:44.000 --> 0:10:47.839 the Jared Kushner and Steve Wikoff negotiations. The JCPOA came 0:10:47.880 --> 0:10:49.920 across the finish line. After two and a half years 0:10:50.080 --> 0:10:52.600 of the most sophisticated experts in the US government on 0:10:52.679 --> 0:10:55.720 nuclear issues, it was just two real estate guys, one 0:10:55.760 --> 0:10:57.760 of whom is the son in law of the president. 0:10:57.800 --> 0:11:00.160 They didn't even really know what they were doing. It's 0:11:00.200 --> 0:11:03.520 all pretextual, right exactly. It was all pretextual for a 0:11:03.559 --> 0:11:06.960 planned operation that is now here. I also think it's 0:11:07.080 --> 0:11:10.880 very important to underscore that what the administration has done 0:11:10.960 --> 0:11:13.400 by doing the full Monty of regime change, there's no 0:11:13.440 --> 0:11:16.400 off ram from here. The Iranians are fighting for their survival. 0:11:16.480 --> 0:11:19.920 There has been no offer. They are saying freedom overthrow. 0:11:20.200 --> 0:11:23.200 We have reports already this morning that Ayatola Hamani was 0:11:23.240 --> 0:11:26.280 actually targeted by the United States and Israel in a 0:11:26.320 --> 0:11:29.800 targeted assassination. We don't yet know what the result of 0:11:29.840 --> 0:11:33.080 that is, whether he is alive or dead. Many senior 0:11:33.120 --> 0:11:36.240 members of the IRGC, the Runian defense minister, and others. 0:11:36.440 --> 0:11:39.240 Iranian state media saying that they have been killed. And 0:11:39.320 --> 0:11:41.480 you know, if you've been watching our coverage, they are 0:11:41.480 --> 0:11:43.560 prepared for this. They knew that some ninety percent of 0:11:43.559 --> 0:11:46.480 their command and control was going to get decimated, and 0:11:46.559 --> 0:11:49.680 they also clearly had pre approved strike packages across the 0:11:49.840 --> 0:11:53.000 entire region. The reason that they're doing that is they 0:11:53.120 --> 0:11:55.400 know that this is now a war of this is 0:11:55.440 --> 0:11:58.280 an existential thing for the regime. You have to go 0:11:58.520 --> 0:12:00.440 all out try to turn it into a real war 0:12:00.480 --> 0:12:03.440 as much of a nightmare for the United States. I 0:12:03.480 --> 0:12:06.440 also think it's important, you know, to even take it back, 0:12:06.480 --> 0:12:09.320 as you said, you know, it's not exactly political times 0:12:09.559 --> 0:12:12.000 right now when so many lives are at stake, but 0:12:12.160 --> 0:12:15.800 this is the most profound betrayal I think of any president, 0:12:16.320 --> 0:12:20.600 from the campaign to the actions in his administration, and 0:12:20.640 --> 0:12:23.280 in particular the vice president and many of the other 0:12:23.320 --> 0:12:26.480 people the so called anti war movement. These are people 0:12:26.679 --> 0:12:30.240 who directly looked Americans in the face. Tulci Gabbard, I 0:12:30.240 --> 0:12:33.000 think we should add to that list. Who said Stephen Miller, 0:12:33.160 --> 0:12:35.760 they said, Kamala will send your sons to war. Donald 0:12:35.800 --> 0:12:38.199 Trump is a candidate of peace. That was always a 0:12:38.240 --> 0:12:40.120 little bit ridiculous because we knew that he was going 0:12:40.200 --> 0:12:42.400 to be pro Iran but or sorry, pro Israel. But 0:12:42.440 --> 0:12:46.000 I don't think anybody anybody thought a full blown war 0:12:46.040 --> 0:12:49.640 of choice on the Iranian on the Iranian regime was 0:12:49.760 --> 0:12:53.520 ever in the cards, and you know, I look, we'll 0:12:53.640 --> 0:12:56.360 ruminate on that, I think for many years to come 0:12:56.640 --> 0:12:58.920 and exactly how that happened, And I guess now is 0:12:58.960 --> 0:13:05.040 not exactly the time. But I'm so disgusted with this administration, 0:13:06.120 --> 0:13:08.760 with so many of the people who I knew personally, 0:13:08.800 --> 0:13:11.640 who looked me in the face over many years told 0:13:11.720 --> 0:13:14.240 us that this was things they believed. Jokes on me 0:13:14.720 --> 0:13:19.959 for believing them. And I also I'm really terrified about 0:13:19.960 --> 0:13:22.720 where this brings us, not just in terms of the region, 0:13:23.040 --> 0:13:26.000 think about where we are. This country is now at 0:13:26.080 --> 0:13:30.079 war with Iran, embroiled in a full blown regional conflict, 0:13:30.440 --> 0:13:34.559 with no congressional authorization, no debate. How many times did 0:13:34.559 --> 0:13:36.760 we say over the last preceding years, ninety percent of 0:13:36.800 --> 0:13:39.480 Americans had no idea any of this was happening. Carricer 0:13:39.520 --> 0:13:41.840 strike groups that were on there where there. Many of 0:13:41.880 --> 0:13:44.040 them are waking up and all they have is a 0:13:44.080 --> 0:13:46.960 Twitter video released by the president at two AM. As 0:13:47.040 --> 0:13:49.199 of right now, the President is not scheduled to make 0:13:49.240 --> 0:13:52.079 any public remarks. That is how much contempt that they 0:13:52.080 --> 0:13:53.760 have for all of us is that they don't have 0:13:53.800 --> 0:13:57.280 to explain their actions. They can launch this war completely 0:13:57.320 --> 0:14:01.640 of choice. Our Congress is a joke absent for ro Kana. 0:14:02.040 --> 0:14:05.160 Everybody in the Democrat and the Republican Party who you 0:14:05.200 --> 0:14:08.200 know even remotely is upset about this, is like, but 0:14:08.280 --> 0:14:11.600 what about the process? Will anybody think of the process 0:14:11.800 --> 0:14:14.720 and of the strategic end there's no strategic endgame Trump 0:14:14.800 --> 0:14:19.160 said it. It's about regime change. How we avoid getting 0:14:19.200 --> 0:14:23.080 into a broader conflict? I have no idea, I truly 0:14:23.320 --> 0:14:25.240 have no idea how it is. 0:14:25.240 --> 0:14:29.120 Because from the beginning, if you declare that the goal 0:14:29.280 --> 0:14:31.760 of the mission is for the government to collapse, and 0:14:31.760 --> 0:14:35.000 by the way, Voice of America Persia is up on 0:14:35.160 --> 0:14:37.840 air telling people to rise up against the regime and 0:14:38.000 --> 0:14:40.040 you know, throw off the yoke of their oppression blah 0:14:40.080 --> 0:14:43.640 blah blah. So if you don't achieve that, then you've failed. 0:14:43.840 --> 0:14:45.440 And do you think that this president is just going 0:14:45.480 --> 0:14:47.840 to walk away and take that ol? Of course he's 0:14:47.880 --> 0:14:53.360 not so. Look, I mean, I am always nervous when 0:14:53.400 --> 0:14:56.520 I bring up the Israeli equation here, simply because I 0:14:56.600 --> 0:14:59.400 do not want to deny this president any agency. Right, 0:14:59.480 --> 0:15:03.360 these are his decisions. He is fully and completely responsible 0:15:03.400 --> 0:15:09.000 for them. Ntan Yahoo has successfully achieved and ensnared this 0:15:09.040 --> 0:15:11.240 president in the trap that he has been trying to 0:15:11.520 --> 0:15:14.440 ensnare the you know, American people and the United States 0:15:14.480 --> 0:15:18.480 of America in for decades. It's happened, It's done. The 0:15:18.520 --> 0:15:21.480 trap is now closed because Trump has said the end 0:15:21.560 --> 0:15:26.120 goal is for this government to fall. So what is 0:15:26.160 --> 0:15:29.400 that going to mean going forward? How are we going 0:15:29.440 --> 0:15:34.120 to achieve that? Because it is highly unlikely that you're 0:15:34.160 --> 0:15:37.280 going to be able to achieve it simply with airstrikes 0:15:37.520 --> 0:15:40.440 where we can you know, fly over, drop some bombs 0:15:40.720 --> 0:15:43.800 and get out and you know, and not actually be 0:15:44.440 --> 0:15:47.040 on the ground. That is the sort of thing that 0:15:47.080 --> 0:15:51.560 would require an actual ground invasion. Because think about it, 0:15:51.640 --> 0:15:55.080 this government. Yes they've been weakened by our economic sanctions 0:15:55.080 --> 0:15:57.480 of economic warfare. Yes, they've been weakened by the Twelve 0:15:57.560 --> 0:15:59.760 Day War. Yes, they're weakened by the fact that there 0:15:59.800 --> 0:16:02.720 is a significant amount of the population that is very 0:16:02.800 --> 0:16:06.640 unhappy with them. But they have also survived for damn 0:16:06.640 --> 0:16:10.200 near fifty years with the US wanting them gone and 0:16:10.240 --> 0:16:14.320 wanting them dead the entire time. So do not think 0:16:14.400 --> 0:16:16.240 that this is just going to be some quick and 0:16:16.280 --> 0:16:19.000 easy thing where we can drop a few bombs and 0:16:19.000 --> 0:16:20.880 they're going to say, oh, you're right, we're going to go, 0:16:21.000 --> 0:16:24.080 and you know, glorious freedom will ultimately rain. Let me 0:16:24.160 --> 0:16:27.840 put you know this statement from the Iranians up here, 0:16:27.880 --> 0:16:29.640 just to get a sense of you know what they're saying. 0:16:29.680 --> 0:16:32.360 This is Sardar Jabbari, advisor of the Comander in Chief 0:16:32.360 --> 0:16:35.080 of the IRGC. He says Trump should understand this clearly, 0:16:35.120 --> 0:16:37.920 what we launched today were our last stock missiles. What 0:16:38.040 --> 0:16:41.840 comes next our systems and weapons He has never seen before. 0:16:42.040 --> 0:16:45.400 Now this may be bluster, we don't know, but clearly 0:16:45.600 --> 0:16:49.080 already and this was something we talked about and we anticipated. 0:16:49.600 --> 0:16:52.600 They are hitting back much harder than we have ever 0:16:52.640 --> 0:16:56.040 seen before, with the range of targets that they are striking, 0:16:56.360 --> 0:16:58.920 with the threats to close down these strait of horm moves, 0:16:58.920 --> 0:17:03.800 which would have huge, huge economic reverberations. You already have 0:17:04.040 --> 0:17:08.040 a number of shipping companies suspending any sort of travel 0:17:08.080 --> 0:17:10.480 in the region. Of course, air travel is shut down 0:17:10.520 --> 0:17:13.879 in the region as well, So we are already at 0:17:14.160 --> 0:17:19.240 full scale regional war with and very hard to see 0:17:20.200 --> 0:17:22.560 what the off ramp is what that would look like, 0:17:22.640 --> 0:17:25.720 because again, you know, this president is not going to 0:17:25.760 --> 0:17:28.360 walk away with this tail between his legs and say, oops, 0:17:28.400 --> 0:17:30.359 you know we didn't accomplish the goal, but you know 0:17:30.440 --> 0:17:31.600 we'll live to fight another. 0:17:31.440 --> 0:17:33.520 Day even if we wanted to. How can we do 0:17:33.560 --> 0:17:35.840 so when we have the Israelis who are on our 0:17:35.920 --> 0:17:38.560 right shoulder, who are always willing to up the ante. 0:17:38.560 --> 0:17:41.040 They will never allow us out of this. That's why 0:17:41.080 --> 0:17:44.720 they tried to target the Iranian Ayatola on day one. 0:17:44.800 --> 0:17:48.879 This is now a war of absolute declaration on the regime. 0:17:48.960 --> 0:17:50.919 They will now have to fight to the death if 0:17:50.960 --> 0:17:53.600 they ever want to live to see another day. And 0:17:53.720 --> 0:17:56.200 many of the top leadership, it appears, has already been 0:17:56.520 --> 0:18:00.159 wiped out again. As we noted at the beginning, I 0:18:00.200 --> 0:18:02.159 believe that many plan for this. I think that the 0:18:02.160 --> 0:18:05.680 IRGC and others were fully aware that this was going 0:18:05.720 --> 0:18:09.120 to happen and that there are go now going to collapse. 0:18:09.400 --> 0:18:11.840 As we all found out in Iraq, taking out the 0:18:11.960 --> 0:18:14.600 very top echelon the bathists the people who run the 0:18:14.640 --> 0:18:19.440 country can often result in a much more strategically bad situation. 0:18:19.640 --> 0:18:24.960 It unleashes chaos lower level IRGC folks anybody with a 0:18:25.040 --> 0:18:27.639 monopoly on the use of force, access to weapons. You 0:18:27.680 --> 0:18:29.719 are now in charge of your own fiefdom, of your 0:18:29.760 --> 0:18:33.359 own survival. There will be a full blown conflict, I 0:18:33.400 --> 0:18:36.399 think inside of the country, regardless of whether the United 0:18:36.440 --> 0:18:41.119 States is even able to come in or not. Again, actually, 0:18:41.200 --> 0:18:44.000 looking just learning this morning, the President doesn't appear to 0:18:45.320 --> 0:18:48.400 be speaking again to the American people. I cannot actually 0:18:48.440 --> 0:18:51.920 believe it that this is happening. We also, by the way, 0:18:52.000 --> 0:18:55.159 have our fail son who is ready and able. Can 0:18:55.200 --> 0:18:58.480 we put raise Apolovi's statement up here on the screen? 0:18:58.880 --> 0:19:02.800 Raise us Polave, the son of the deposed Shah of Iran, 0:19:03.200 --> 0:19:06.520 is now openly calling not only just for regime change, 0:19:06.560 --> 0:19:10.520 but for people rising up. His statements are being broadcast 0:19:10.560 --> 0:19:14.640 by Voice of America and others into the country in Farsi. 0:19:14.760 --> 0:19:18.280 So this is a direct US authorized coup to try 0:19:18.280 --> 0:19:21.120 and restore some sort of the monarchy. Will see if 0:19:21.119 --> 0:19:23.080 it does ever get there. But that is you know, 0:19:23.160 --> 0:19:25.840 I mean, this is disastrous. This is Iraq two point 0:19:25.920 --> 0:19:28.439 zero in many ways, except without the US or boots 0:19:28.480 --> 0:19:32.280 that are on the ground. We don't obviously want to 0:19:32.320 --> 0:19:34.760 see that and avoid it. However, even if we do 0:19:34.840 --> 0:19:37.199 avoid it, then the country is very likely on a 0:19:37.240 --> 0:19:40.600 Libya trajectory right now, and in particular to turn itself 0:19:40.880 --> 0:19:45.000 into an Israeli rump state, which will long be targeted. 0:19:45.080 --> 0:19:48.159 Their goal is a full blown civil war inside the country. 0:19:48.160 --> 0:19:51.879 They don't care about the refugee crisis because none of 0:19:51.920 --> 0:19:54.439 them will come to them. They'll stick it on the Arabs, 0:19:54.440 --> 0:19:57.600 and they'll stick it on Europe. Europeans, by the way, 0:19:57.840 --> 0:20:01.000 appear broadly supportive so far of a lot of these 0:20:01.840 --> 0:20:05.720 our Carney, mister new global Order, mister new Global Order, 0:20:05.840 --> 0:20:08.720 is supportive of this. Just to show you all how 0:20:08.800 --> 0:20:11.080 full of shit so many of these people are, I'll 0:20:11.080 --> 0:20:12.280 give you what Crone his credit. 0:20:12.520 --> 0:20:15.080 Yeah, yeah, Well, I just wanted to point out this 0:20:15.119 --> 0:20:17.560 statement that I have up from Jade Vance because I 0:20:17.560 --> 0:20:19.880 think this may turn out to be a rather infamous 0:20:19.880 --> 0:20:21.879 statement that he made yesterday. I think we have to 0:20:21.960 --> 0:20:25.960 avoid over learning the lessons of the past. Just because 0:20:26.000 --> 0:20:28.520 one president screwed up a military conflict doesn't mean we 0:20:28.560 --> 0:20:31.840 can never engauge in military conflict again. 0:20:32.000 --> 0:20:34.160 And I knew we were there, and yeah. 0:20:33.960 --> 0:20:36.720 And this is you know, this is mister positioned himself 0:20:36.720 --> 0:20:39.560 like he was mister anti war, and now he's saying 0:20:39.600 --> 0:20:41.240 out of the Iraq war that was just a blip. 0:20:41.359 --> 0:20:44.439 We shouldn't have we shouldn't overlearn the mistakes from that. 0:20:44.520 --> 0:20:46.439 And to your point about Tulcy Gabbard, you know she 0:20:46.560 --> 0:20:49.480 had previously what she would say is going to war 0:20:49.520 --> 0:20:52.919 with Iran will make a rock look like a cake walk. 0:20:53.520 --> 0:20:57.120 That was her previous positioning. And now here we are 0:20:58.280 --> 0:21:01.199 going to say about launching an a major war with 0:21:01.240 --> 0:21:03.320 the run and not even some pretext of like it's 0:21:03.359 --> 0:21:05.880 limited strikes. No, we are going for the whole thing. 0:21:06.280 --> 0:21:07.720 Yeah, what do you? I mean, what is there to 0:21:07.720 --> 0:21:09.879 even say about people like this? It's it's the post 0:21:09.880 --> 0:21:14.200 profound lie to the American people. Man. I can't even 0:21:14.240 --> 0:21:17.680 think of a similar example. And look, you know, maybe 0:21:17.720 --> 0:21:20.320 we'll we'll help them pay for it a little bit later. 0:21:20.320 --> 0:21:22.680 But in the interim, as we all know, we are 0:21:22.720 --> 0:21:25.439 at their mercy. And what we are now watching is 0:21:25.640 --> 0:21:29.840 a full blown regime change. John Bolton, Mark Levin, many 0:21:29.960 --> 0:21:35.879 others who are doing backflips. Kroke, Lindsey Graham, I mean, 0:21:35.960 --> 0:21:39.560 my god, I mean it is it is really noteworthy 0:21:39.760 --> 0:21:42.639 in so far as the war has gone. Now, is 0:21:42.680 --> 0:21:46.200 that all not only was diplomacy a ruse, but even 0:21:46.240 --> 0:21:50.080 the limited strike package was was a ruse because it 0:21:50.200 --> 0:21:55.119 presumed negotiation. This is fully the it Israeli wet dream 0:21:55.400 --> 0:21:57.919 of what's happened. And just to prove it to you, 0:21:58.359 --> 0:22:01.520 can we put that CNN article up there about I 0:22:01.520 --> 0:22:04.760 couldn't even believe that this is real. I checked. It's real. 0:22:05.040 --> 0:22:08.120 This is a real article that ran on CNN dot 0:22:08.119 --> 0:22:13.880 com from Jerusalem, and they are talking about the significance 0:22:14.080 --> 0:22:17.840 of this day launching this attack from the book of 0:22:18.000 --> 0:22:25.119 Deuteram Deuteronomy and amelek uh, so like this is the reality. 0:22:25.480 --> 0:22:28.040 This is remember and this is the about to be 0:22:28.200 --> 0:22:32.000