WEBVTT - Venezuela Versus Guyana

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<v Speaker 1>From UFOs to psychic powers and government conspiracies. History is

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<v Speaker 1>riddled with unexplained events. You can turn back now or

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<v Speaker 1>learn this stuff they don't want you to know. A

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<v Speaker 1>production of Iheartrading.

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<v Speaker 2>Hello, welcome back to the show. My name is Matt,

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<v Speaker 2>my name is Nola.

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<v Speaker 3>They called me Bed. We're joyed with our guest super

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<v Speaker 3>producer returning, Max white Pants Williams. Most importantly, you are here.

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<v Speaker 3>That makes this the stuff they don't want you to know. Look,

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<v Speaker 3>the world is full of increasingly bizarre stories. Now are

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<v Speaker 3>there more than there were in the past? Or is

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<v Speaker 3>it just easier to find them? That's a question for

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<v Speaker 3>another evening. What we do know is it could be

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<v Speaker 3>tough to keep track of everything. That's why many people

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<v Speaker 3>in the West. We're probably surprised to learn that the

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<v Speaker 3>president of Venezuela came out on social media and in

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<v Speaker 3>official press releases pretty recently and said that he might

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<v Speaker 3>just you know, f around and invade the neighboring, much

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<v Speaker 3>smaller nation of Guyana. Paul, have that rewind? What here

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<v Speaker 3>are the facts? I don't know, like we all heard

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<v Speaker 3>of Guiana or we've all heard of Venezuela. Maybe we

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<v Speaker 3>start there because we haven't. I don't think a lot

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<v Speaker 3>of people think about Guyana.

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<v Speaker 4>I just know French Guiana. Is that the same thing

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<v Speaker 4>or is that a different gap, that's a different place.

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<v Speaker 4>I only know it because of the French attached to it,

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<v Speaker 4>because I'm such a you know, western minded fool.

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<v Speaker 5>This this was well known in some circles as British

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<v Speaker 5>Guiana for a long time before it became independent. There's

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<v Speaker 5>actually a ton to learn about Venezuela, Ben. I think

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<v Speaker 5>I think most people don't know anything about Venezuela either.

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<v Speaker 6>I mean again, for me, it's mainly the name.

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<v Speaker 5>Yeah, you know, yeah, Venezuela, if we think back, was

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<v Speaker 5>in the news quite a bit when Hugshaves was running it,

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<v Speaker 5>and there was like tension between the US and Venezuela

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<v Speaker 5>right largely around oil and how it is traded with

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<v Speaker 5>what currency? Remember that everybody.

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<v Speaker 3>Right shout out confessions of an economic hit man exactly.

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<v Speaker 5>But I, you know, I just I was looking through

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<v Speaker 5>the old CIA World fact Book again and just looking

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<v Speaker 5>at how little I know actually about Venezuela.

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<v Speaker 3>You say, video out online yet not.

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<v Speaker 2>Yet I don't know.

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<v Speaker 4>Okay, Well, we've got a little little teaser for that

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<v Speaker 4>very book coming out on the social media's keep an

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<v Speaker 4>eye out.

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<v Speaker 5>But yeah, it's just it's something. It's something you can

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<v Speaker 5>look at online. By the way, you don't need a

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<v Speaker 5>physical book the World fact Book, check it out.

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<v Speaker 3>I would also fact check the CIA's claimed facts.

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<v Speaker 2>Oh definitely, yes.

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<v Speaker 5>Yeah, we've mentioned in the video that they are the

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<v Speaker 5>opinions and facts about the world.

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<v Speaker 4>Well, if there's nothing that we've learned doing this show,

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<v Speaker 4>and hopefully you out there listening to the show, is

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<v Speaker 4>to always double check the quote unquote facts, triple check

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<v Speaker 4>if you can.

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<v Speaker 3>I want to shout out to one of my favorite

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<v Speaker 3>talk shows of all time, which was Ugo chav is

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<v Speaker 3>alo Presidente, where, yeah, he had a talk show that

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<v Speaker 3>would go however long he wanted it to go. Where

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<v Speaker 3>in the midst of being sort of a despot. You

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<v Speaker 3>could see clips on this on YouTube. I think he would.

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<v Speaker 3>He would set up in kind of like somewhere between

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<v Speaker 3>a radio thing and an Oprah Wimfrey thing, and he

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<v Speaker 3>would just take what I can only imagine are very

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<v Speaker 3>closely screened calls from the populace.

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<v Speaker 6>It's funny.

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<v Speaker 4>It reminds me of a thing that happens in the

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<v Speaker 4>movie Casino, where eighth Rothstein played by Robert de Niro,

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<v Speaker 4>sort of gets deposed because he do to legal struggles,

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<v Speaker 4>he can't do his casino manager job, so that he's

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<v Speaker 4>give him this talk show where he just takes potshots

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<v Speaker 4>and like the governmental entities that are preventing him from

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<v Speaker 4>doing the job he really wants to do.

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<v Speaker 2>Oh yeah, I'm sorry.

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<v Speaker 5>But the whole thing about the about Venezuela is that

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<v Speaker 5>it has such a rot history in you know, coups

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<v Speaker 5>and fights for power and which ended up in I

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<v Speaker 5>think it was ninety nine when Hugo Chavez was elected

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<v Speaker 5>president and then he lasted until he passed away in

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<v Speaker 5>twenty thirteen of cancer from cancer that he alleged was

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<v Speaker 5>you know, done to him by some powers in the West.

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<v Speaker 5>And then you get Nicholas Maduro, who was his number

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<v Speaker 5>two in command, and he has been in power since then.

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<v Speaker 3>Ever since and shows no signs of abdicating.

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<v Speaker 4>A good quick question, do we have any proof of

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<v Speaker 4>giving someone cancer as an assassination tool?

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<v Speaker 3>Is that a thing that has to be possible? Will

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<v Speaker 3>cancer again? Is such an umbrella?

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<v Speaker 6>It's a revolution carcinogens perhaps over time.

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<v Speaker 5>Well, I in my mind, it's more like in a

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<v Speaker 5>radiated substance like a small amollium.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, shows exactly.

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<v Speaker 5>Need a tiny amount once it gets into your system

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<v Speaker 5>and like attaches to your body and there she goes.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah. The issue with that kind of attack on someone

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<v Speaker 3>really is predictability, like you don't know, you know, novelty

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<v Speaker 3>or navalny. For instance, when he got polodium poisoning, it

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<v Speaker 3>didn't kill him. But yeah, so log answer short, we

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<v Speaker 3>know people have probably attempted it, just because over the

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<v Speaker 3>course of targeted killings, people have tried pretty much anything

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<v Speaker 3>you could imagine.

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<v Speaker 4>Makes perfect sense of just that kind of claim by

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<v Speaker 4>such a you know, unilateral despot like you mentioned, strikes

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<v Speaker 4>me as the stuff of paranoia to a degree. But

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<v Speaker 4>I do understand what you're saying that it's certainly as

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<v Speaker 4>possible good to clarify.

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<v Speaker 6>Thank you.

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<v Speaker 5>Well, he had reason to be paranoid, I would say.

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<v Speaker 3>But yeah, also, people do just get cancer.

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<v Speaker 4>So how about we get a little bit of a

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<v Speaker 4>rundown of some of the stats surrounding Venezuela first, and

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<v Speaker 4>then we'll move on to the one that maybe people

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<v Speaker 4>know even less about.

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<v Speaker 3>Yep. So Venezuela. The full name is the Bolivarian Republic

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<v Speaker 3>of Venezuela. It's pretty big, especially it's the goliath to

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<v Speaker 3>the David of Guiata. It's about nine hundred and sixteen

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<v Speaker 3>issue square clicks population in twenty nine million, so smaller

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<v Speaker 3>than the US for comparison. It is an opponent of

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<v Speaker 3>many US regimes. That's one thing both sides of the

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<v Speaker 3>US political aisle agreed upon for many years. That's why

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<v Speaker 3>most of this stuff you see about Venezuela and Western

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<v Speaker 3>news is going to look at economic woes, inflation, shortages,

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<v Speaker 3>speculation in oil, allegations of massive corruption. And Venezuela is

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<v Speaker 3>a particular interest to the powers that be in Latin

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<v Speaker 3>America and across the world because it has the largest

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<v Speaker 3>oil reserves on the planet.

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<v Speaker 2>Isn't that crazy more than Saudi Arabia?

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<v Speaker 3>Sorry, KSA.

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<v Speaker 4>What's crazier too, is still is that we people don't

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<v Speaker 4>seem to know that in.

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<v Speaker 5>General, Well, it isn't talked about in the same way

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<v Speaker 5>as it is about the Middle East. Well, and it's

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<v Speaker 5>really interesting because the United States very publicly entered the

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<v Speaker 5>Middle East several times over the course of the last

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<v Speaker 5>thirty forty years. It's like, it's weird in that we

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<v Speaker 5>haven't entered Venezuela in the same way. There's been some actions, right,

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<v Speaker 5>but never a war or anything like that.

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<v Speaker 4>Is our relationship a little cozier with South America in general?

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<v Speaker 7>Or is that over a gross generalization cozy the way

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<v Speaker 7>like an abusive step fig has a cozy relationship with

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<v Speaker 7>their kids.

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<v Speaker 3>Ah dear, there are a lot they live in the

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<v Speaker 3>same house. There are a lot of beatings and a

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<v Speaker 3>lot of opinions about what the kids can can or

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<v Speaker 3>cannot do.

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<v Speaker 4>Last question maybe beyond the scope of today's episode, but

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<v Speaker 4>I couldn't help but notice the Bolivarian part. Bolivia is

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<v Speaker 4>of course also quite a large country in South America,

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<v Speaker 4>but it's on the opposite border.

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<v Speaker 5>Yeah, it's it's not about Bolivia, no connection at all.

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<v Speaker 5>It's it's really interesting and again it's just it's like

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<v Speaker 5>world history that maybe we were taught at some point

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<v Speaker 5>but probably has left most of our minds. Just about

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<v Speaker 5>how when Colombia was officially formed, I think Ecuador and

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<v Speaker 5>Venezuela there it was one state that was then broken.

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<v Speaker 2>Up at one point.

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<v Speaker 5>But yeah, Bolivarian revolution, there's a whole history to that

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<v Speaker 5>as well.

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<v Speaker 3>Simon Bolivar, the Venezuelan leader who led what are now

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<v Speaker 3>some of those countries you named, matt and the guy's

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<v Speaker 3>a legend in his time. He was instrumental in the

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<v Speaker 3>escape from colonialism, the move toward independence for these countries.

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<v Speaker 5>It was Columbia. By the way, I misspoke. I named

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<v Speaker 5>one of the countries wrong. But Colombia was the other

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<v Speaker 5>country that was formed.

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<v Speaker 3>Ah, yes, it's no. I think you got like Peru, Panama, Bolivia,

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<v Speaker 3>to Ecuador, Venezuela, Venezuela's made what well, yeah, it was the.

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<v Speaker 5>One that formed Venezuela to anyway, I got somewhere wrong.

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<v Speaker 2>You have to look it up because I don't know

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<v Speaker 2>my stuff.

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<v Speaker 3>So well, it's independence from the Spanish Empire. That's our

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<v Speaker 3>big takeaway. That's the shadow of colonialism looms large. It

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<v Speaker 3>wasn't the US this time. It was a fight against

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<v Speaker 3>these European powers and something similar happened with Guyana. Giada

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<v Speaker 3>is right next door. Pull up a world map, play

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<v Speaker 3>along at home. It's fascinating because if you look at

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<v Speaker 3>a digital map, you'll see the mileage may vary, but anyway,

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<v Speaker 3>this place full name Cooperative Republic of Guiata. You hear

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<v Speaker 3>about it way less often the west, and to be honest,

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<v Speaker 3>there's not a ding on anyone. A lot of folks

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<v Speaker 3>might have a tough time finding it on a world map.

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<v Speaker 3>I mean it's confusing because like there are three countries

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<v Speaker 3>named some variation of Guinea, and there's French Guiana, and

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<v Speaker 3>then there's this Guiana which is spelled differently. Like it

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<v Speaker 3>gets confusing. It's an understandable thing. Also, this is a

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<v Speaker 3>blink and you miss it country. If you're looking at

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<v Speaker 3>the entirety of South America, it's eighty bitty thing. It's

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<v Speaker 3>the third smallest country on that continent. I think the

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<v Speaker 3>only smaller ones are Surinam, which is right next door,

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<v Speaker 3>and Uruguay. And this place. Even though it's very very tiny,

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<v Speaker 3>it's also one of the least densely populated countries on

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<v Speaker 3>the planet. Very rural, high, high amount of wilderness, jungle biodiversity,

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<v Speaker 3>and it's all packed into just like eighty three thousand

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<v Speaker 3>square miles two hundred and fifty thousand kilometers. It's it's

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<v Speaker 3>weird though, because like the digital map, if you guys

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<v Speaker 3>pull it up, anybody playing along at home, if you

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<v Speaker 3>pull it up now on your let's say you go

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<v Speaker 3>to Google Maps or Google Earth. When you look at

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<v Speaker 3>the map of Guiana, you'll see that it has a

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<v Speaker 3>typical border demarcating the country, but then a little bit

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<v Speaker 3>to the right of center, it has another thing that

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<v Speaker 3>looks like a borderline. It's as if you looked at

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<v Speaker 3>a map of the US and the Mississippi was also

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<v Speaker 3>somehow an international border.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah it is.

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<v Speaker 5>It is the the river, right, the Escuba River. Okay,

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<v Speaker 5>So that's gonna factor in heavily as we continue through

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<v Speaker 5>the story, which again we can't stress enough. If you

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<v Speaker 5>look at it, Ben isn't joking. It goes through and

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<v Speaker 5>cuts this thing well in over half. So so most

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<v Speaker 5>of the country of Guana is to the west of.

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<v Speaker 2>That line, and of Venezuela.

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<v Speaker 5>Yeah, exactly. Okay, let's just let's keep that in mind.

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<v Speaker 3>So, no matter what the news might imply, these two

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<v Speaker 3>countries have a long history of not quite getting along.

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<v Speaker 3>Guiata also is they. I think it was first Dutch,

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<v Speaker 3>then the British were running stuff. And just like the Falklands,

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<v Speaker 3>the British Empire still has its vestiges active. So when

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<v Speaker 3>our boy Maduro comes out and says, hey, this is Venezuela.

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<v Speaker 3>It's always been Venezuela. He's harkening back to earlier stuff.

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<v Speaker 3>He didn't just like, what's that drug that makes people

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<v Speaker 3>that made people talk trash on Twitter? Ambient geez, Yeah.

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<v Speaker 5>Yeah, that's what it was.

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<v Speaker 4>Like, Well, it makes you, It makes you make weird

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<v Speaker 4>sandwiches in the night and also apparently say things that

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<v Speaker 4>you regret and have no recollection.

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<v Speaker 3>Of if you're a celebrity who had a bad day

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<v Speaker 3>on Twitter.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, my mom used to take Ambient and we get

0:12:24.800 --> 0:12:26.840
<v Speaker 4>home and we stayed with her briefly when my kid

0:12:26.960 --> 0:12:29.800
<v Speaker 4>was born. We come home from being out and that

0:12:29.840 --> 0:12:32.720
<v Speaker 4>she'd be up making like peanut butter and mustard sandwiches

0:12:32.960 --> 0:12:34.960
<v Speaker 4>and talking absolute nonsense.

0:12:36.200 --> 0:12:39.720
<v Speaker 3>I'll try the I'll try a peanut butter mustard sandwich.

0:12:39.760 --> 0:12:44.160
<v Speaker 3>Who knows, but but you're right like this this statement

0:12:44.200 --> 0:12:46.360
<v Speaker 3>he's making. As wild as it may sound, it does

0:12:47.000 --> 0:12:52.000
<v Speaker 3>refer back to a centuries long dispute. This border territory

0:12:52.000 --> 0:12:55.400
<v Speaker 3>around the river. You mentioned, Matt the Escuba River, it's

0:12:55.440 --> 0:13:00.640
<v Speaker 3>sixty two thousand square miles, and they said, look, that's Venezuela.

0:13:00.720 --> 0:13:03.400
<v Speaker 3>It's always been Venezuela, why are you playing? They tried

0:13:03.440 --> 0:13:06.760
<v Speaker 3>to gas light an entire country, actually two entire countries.

0:13:07.160 --> 0:13:10.000
<v Speaker 5>Well, and just listen to that number. Sixty two thousand

0:13:10.080 --> 0:13:14.880
<v Speaker 5>square miles of area. All of Guyana is eighty three

0:13:14.920 --> 0:13:19.200
<v Speaker 5>thousand square miles, right, So that's like, we'll take half

0:13:19.200 --> 0:13:21.440
<v Speaker 5>your country plus oh you know what, how about a

0:13:21.440 --> 0:13:22.800
<v Speaker 5>whole let's take another third.

0:13:23.040 --> 0:13:25.679
<v Speaker 3>It's like Canada say, we've looked at the map and

0:13:26.559 --> 0:13:31.640
<v Speaker 3>based on our objective estimate, everything north of Tennessee in

0:13:31.679 --> 0:13:35.520
<v Speaker 3>a straight line is actually Canada. Yeah, you have three

0:13:35.559 --> 0:13:36.240
<v Speaker 3>months to move.

0:13:36.760 --> 0:13:41.640
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, I mean, it's a it's a nuts thing to

0:13:41.800 --> 0:13:44.960
<v Speaker 5>even state, right, even if it is going back to this,

0:13:45.120 --> 0:13:48.480
<v Speaker 5>you know, the eighteen one hundreds, eighteen ninety nine or

0:13:48.640 --> 0:13:51.920
<v Speaker 5>eighteen thirty, going way back, it's still crazy to come

0:13:51.960 --> 0:13:54.679
<v Speaker 5>forward and just say, yo, most of your countries are

0:13:54.720 --> 0:13:55.480
<v Speaker 5>is actually right?

0:13:56.360 --> 0:14:00.600
<v Speaker 3>The jewels, they also said, you know, because what's the

0:14:00.640 --> 0:14:03.240
<v Speaker 3>deal with that? Why do a half measure? They also said,

0:14:03.640 --> 0:14:08.079
<v Speaker 3>And the water offshore is also ours. Has also been

0:14:08.120 --> 0:14:11.200
<v Speaker 3>part of this, and that's because during the Latin American

0:14:11.280 --> 0:14:15.160
<v Speaker 3>Wars of Independence, which you mentioned earlier, Venezuela pulled a

0:14:15.280 --> 0:14:18.599
<v Speaker 3>game of thrones, little finger move and said chaos is

0:14:18.640 --> 0:14:21.200
<v Speaker 3>a ladder, and they did claim about two thirds of

0:14:21.320 --> 0:14:24.640
<v Speaker 3>Kiana's land, but they got caught and they couldn't do

0:14:24.720 --> 0:14:27.200
<v Speaker 3>it because everybody else was like, come on, man, we're

0:14:27.200 --> 0:14:29.240
<v Speaker 3>supposed to be the good guys in this narrative.

0:14:29.560 --> 0:14:32.840
<v Speaker 5>That's sort of a dick move, dude. But there's this

0:14:32.920 --> 0:14:34.680
<v Speaker 5>whole other thing, and I don't know, ben, are we

0:14:34.720 --> 0:14:36.680
<v Speaker 5>going to get into it. There's this whole thing where

0:14:37.720 --> 0:14:42.240
<v Speaker 5>this whole process that we're talking about, and decades and

0:14:42.280 --> 0:14:46.280
<v Speaker 5>decades centuries of dispute here is actually one of the

0:14:46.280 --> 0:14:49.680
<v Speaker 5>primary things that sets the United States up as a

0:14:49.720 --> 0:14:54.200
<v Speaker 5>world power because of this. In the dispute, the US

0:14:54.280 --> 0:14:57.600
<v Speaker 5>basically stepped up to the United Kingdom, to Great Britain

0:14:58.080 --> 0:15:01.400
<v Speaker 5>and said, actually, no, the Monroe Doctrine is the way

0:15:01.440 --> 0:15:03.840
<v Speaker 5>to go and this is the way the border should be.

0:15:04.000 --> 0:15:06.040
<v Speaker 5>And they were like, man, we should fight a war

0:15:06.120 --> 0:15:09.200
<v Speaker 5>with you. But they were also like, uh, actually, we

0:15:09.200 --> 0:15:12.080
<v Speaker 5>can't really fight another war right now, so all right,

0:15:12.320 --> 0:15:13.000
<v Speaker 5>you can have it.

0:15:13.160 --> 0:15:17.960
<v Speaker 3>Because their resources were expended across the globe, it's expensive

0:15:18.080 --> 0:15:21.120
<v Speaker 3>to project force like that, which is also part of

0:15:21.160 --> 0:15:22.000
<v Speaker 3>the story.

0:15:21.760 --> 0:15:24.160
<v Speaker 5>Right, but it's one of the reasons. The United States

0:15:24.280 --> 0:15:28.080
<v Speaker 5>kind of as again as though it's an entity of itself,

0:15:28.560 --> 0:15:32.040
<v Speaker 5>the powers within the United States, the leaders decided, oh,

0:15:32.080 --> 0:15:35.160
<v Speaker 5>we can, actually we can have a say in some

0:15:35.240 --> 0:15:37.920
<v Speaker 5>of these global things like disputes like this.

0:15:38.160 --> 0:15:41.480
<v Speaker 3>M yeah, and become more internationalists. And then also let

0:15:41.560 --> 0:15:45.080
<v Speaker 3>us not forget millions upon millions of people are living

0:15:45.200 --> 0:15:47.560
<v Speaker 3>in Latin America and they're going, hey, we're also in

0:15:47.600 --> 0:15:48.560
<v Speaker 3>the room.

0:15:50.440 --> 0:15:51.160
<v Speaker 2>We live.

0:15:51.480 --> 0:15:54.600
<v Speaker 3>This is actually our room. Ye gays are fighting over

0:15:54.920 --> 0:15:57.760
<v Speaker 3>why did these guys break into our house and start

0:15:57.880 --> 0:15:59.160
<v Speaker 3>arguing about.

0:15:58.840 --> 0:16:01.000
<v Speaker 2>The you know, the ungshways off in here?

0:16:01.960 --> 0:16:05.760
<v Speaker 3>Whatly, so you're referring to, we're referring to something called

0:16:05.760 --> 0:16:09.240
<v Speaker 3>the Arbitral Award of eighteen ninety nine. Sorry a messed

0:16:09.320 --> 0:16:12.040
<v Speaker 3>up name. Guiana is still part of the British Empire.

0:16:12.480 --> 0:16:15.200
<v Speaker 3>And they say they go back to this constantly, and

0:16:15.240 --> 0:16:19.120
<v Speaker 3>they say, look, that's the agreement. Remember when these Europeans

0:16:19.160 --> 0:16:23.600
<v Speaker 3>came in and did everything surveyed the land, surveyed the land,

0:16:23.800 --> 0:16:26.080
<v Speaker 3>which was a big, big deal. Shout out to Ridiculous

0:16:26.120 --> 0:16:31.760
<v Speaker 3>History episodes there. We saw immediately that Venezuela bucked at this.

0:16:32.080 --> 0:16:36.800
<v Speaker 3>They actually called it quote an Anglo Russian conspiracy, so

0:16:37.160 --> 0:16:41.040
<v Speaker 3>they are the first to allege conspiracy, even though colonialism

0:16:41.160 --> 0:16:46.240
<v Speaker 3>is a conspiracy. By nineteen sixty two, they said, okay, guys,

0:16:46.400 --> 0:16:50.400
<v Speaker 3>enough time has passed. That decision was bs. We don't

0:16:50.440 --> 0:16:53.920
<v Speaker 3>respect it because this has always been Venezuela. You know,

0:16:54.000 --> 0:16:57.520
<v Speaker 3>aren't you fighting those European colonists with us? What happened

0:16:57.560 --> 0:16:59.080
<v Speaker 3>to unity? Give us all your stuff?

0:16:59.480 --> 0:16:59.880
<v Speaker 2>Yeah?

0:17:00.080 --> 0:17:04.160
<v Speaker 5>Well, should we also bring up just the idea of resources.

0:17:04.520 --> 0:17:09.000
<v Speaker 5>We mentioned that Venezuela has the largest oil It is

0:17:09.040 --> 0:17:11.040
<v Speaker 5>the most oil rich country on the planet.

0:17:11.119 --> 0:17:11.320
<v Speaker 6>Right.

0:17:11.680 --> 0:17:16.160
<v Speaker 5>Then, Also that was found in Venezuela, and especially in

0:17:16.160 --> 0:17:18.960
<v Speaker 5>this region that's in dispute is gold.

0:17:19.520 --> 0:17:23.520
<v Speaker 3>Ah, yes, yeah, the resource curse is true.

0:17:23.600 --> 0:17:25.800
<v Speaker 5>Right, And so they gave it sixty years and then

0:17:25.800 --> 0:17:27.719
<v Speaker 5>they're like, hmm, there's gold over there.

0:17:27.760 --> 0:17:30.160
<v Speaker 2>You said, well we need to we need to look

0:17:30.160 --> 0:17:30.640
<v Speaker 2>at this again.

0:17:30.880 --> 0:17:33.760
<v Speaker 3>Also, yes, similar to the Darien Gap. You know, when

0:17:33.800 --> 0:17:37.119
<v Speaker 3>you have that much jungle coverage, it's very difficult to

0:17:37.119 --> 0:17:40.119
<v Speaker 3>build infrastructure and it's very difficult to enforce laws. So

0:17:40.119 --> 0:17:42.840
<v Speaker 3>there's a lot of smuggling operations, a lot of illegal

0:17:42.920 --> 0:17:49.159
<v Speaker 3>mining operations, and those mining operations, the illegal ones have

0:17:49.240 --> 0:17:51.720
<v Speaker 3>a lot of powerful entities who want them to continue

0:17:52.000 --> 0:17:55.840
<v Speaker 3>the big They're not fighting over, you know, OSHA standards

0:17:55.960 --> 0:17:59.920
<v Speaker 3>or workers' rights. They're fighting over who gets that stuff

0:18:00.080 --> 0:18:03.080
<v Speaker 3>pulled from the ground, shout out black Monday murders.

0:18:03.640 --> 0:18:05.840
<v Speaker 2>Exactly. Well, then a little spoiler here.

0:18:06.160 --> 0:18:09.040
<v Speaker 5>What happens if you, as a country that is not

0:18:09.240 --> 0:18:13.800
<v Speaker 5>officially in control of that land, starts giving like citizenship

0:18:13.840 --> 0:18:17.040
<v Speaker 5>to people who are living in on that land. All right, well, no,

0:18:17.040 --> 0:18:19.480
<v Speaker 5>well they are actually our citizens living over.

0:18:19.320 --> 0:18:19.880
<v Speaker 2>There, right?

0:18:19.920 --> 0:18:23.760
<v Speaker 5>What this this thing gets so twisted?

0:18:24.880 --> 0:18:29.480
<v Speaker 3>Or you start giving concessions legal rights to mine to

0:18:30.359 --> 0:18:32.880
<v Speaker 3>private entities, and you just it happens to be for

0:18:32.960 --> 0:18:35.560
<v Speaker 3>a country that is not yours, the soil that is

0:18:35.600 --> 0:18:38.840
<v Speaker 3>not part of your thing. So it's getting nasty. The

0:18:38.880 --> 0:18:43.320
<v Speaker 3>idea is there for several decades at different times Venezuela

0:18:43.400 --> 0:18:45.639
<v Speaker 3>was saying, well, why don't we just behave as though

0:18:46.560 --> 0:18:49.960
<v Speaker 3>it is Venezuela, and then eventually we can not just

0:18:50.080 --> 0:18:52.000
<v Speaker 3>gas like Yiana. But the world that.

0:18:52.240 --> 0:18:53.760
<v Speaker 6>Works long term?

0:18:54.000 --> 0:18:56.679
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, sure, if I keep showing up to that like

0:18:56.760 --> 0:18:59.480
<v Speaker 3>squatters rights, they're doing squatters rights. If I keep showing

0:18:59.560 --> 0:19:02.040
<v Speaker 3>up to this else long enough, someone will say it's mine.

0:19:02.400 --> 0:19:05.119
<v Speaker 4>Well, It's one of those rhetorical devices too, where if

0:19:05.160 --> 0:19:08.600
<v Speaker 4>you repeat the lie long enough and with enough confidence,

0:19:09.119 --> 0:19:12.160
<v Speaker 4>maybe it'll take people will start to believe it as

0:19:12.200 --> 0:19:14.199
<v Speaker 4>the truth and not you know, fact check you like

0:19:14.280 --> 0:19:18.000
<v Speaker 4>we recommended doing, but it seems like an awful risky move.

0:19:18.640 --> 0:19:20.800
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, so we said then in the sixties, so that

0:19:20.840 --> 0:19:23.199
<v Speaker 5>was eighteen ninety nine all the way up to like

0:19:23.359 --> 0:19:26.520
<v Speaker 5>or the early nineteen sixties, right, that that was a

0:19:26.600 --> 0:19:29.560
<v Speaker 5>span of time when Venezuela just said, Okay, we'll just

0:19:29.600 --> 0:19:31.720
<v Speaker 5>deal with these borders as they are. In nineteen sixty

0:19:31.760 --> 0:19:34.679
<v Speaker 5>two they said, actually, we have a problem. Then in

0:19:34.760 --> 0:19:38.120
<v Speaker 5>nineteen sixty six they took it to the United Nations,

0:19:38.680 --> 0:19:41.200
<v Speaker 5>right or wait, well they took.

0:19:41.000 --> 0:19:41.800
<v Speaker 3>Into still bodies.

0:19:41.880 --> 0:19:43.720
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, they took it to international bodies. I know, the

0:19:43.840 --> 0:19:46.800
<v Speaker 5>United Nations or the UN started stepping in early in

0:19:46.840 --> 0:19:49.320
<v Speaker 5>the process to try and negotiate, to be almost a

0:19:49.359 --> 0:19:54.560
<v Speaker 5>middle man for the negotiations. And you guys, it hasn't

0:19:54.600 --> 0:19:58.520
<v Speaker 5>stopped since nineteen what sixty six.

0:19:58.600 --> 0:20:02.480
<v Speaker 3>Yes, since nineteen sixty six, when the UK of Venezuelan

0:20:02.480 --> 0:20:06.040
<v Speaker 3>and Guyana sent representatives together to try to map out

0:20:06.080 --> 0:20:10.280
<v Speaker 3>the borders. And the problem is in any negotiation. If

0:20:10.320 --> 0:20:13.800
<v Speaker 3>you're not if you're negotiating good faith, there has to

0:20:13.800 --> 0:20:16.359
<v Speaker 3>be some give and take. Turned out that wasn't the case,

0:20:16.880 --> 0:20:24.600
<v Speaker 3>and so the Venezuelan government, under different iterations, had one constant,

0:20:24.720 --> 0:20:29.440
<v Speaker 3>which was to to try to deep power Guyana internationally,

0:20:29.520 --> 0:20:33.720
<v Speaker 3>like prevent them from being members of the of the

0:20:33.840 --> 0:20:37.880
<v Speaker 3>like the OAS or the United Nations. Try to keep

0:20:37.920 --> 0:20:42.520
<v Speaker 3>them out of touching on any judiciary bodies internationally, like

0:20:42.560 --> 0:20:45.720
<v Speaker 3>the ICJ International Court of Justice. It's a dumb name,

0:20:45.760 --> 0:20:48.040
<v Speaker 3>but they tried to do good work. And this just

0:20:48.080 --> 0:20:51.760
<v Speaker 3>went back and forth over and over until Venezuela said, ah,

0:20:51.800 --> 0:20:54.280
<v Speaker 3>we might just invade. We had a little kind of

0:20:54.720 --> 0:20:57.840
<v Speaker 3>rigged vote about it. They are essentially saying, if the

0:20:57.920 --> 0:21:00.800
<v Speaker 3>courts and the world at large won't give us all

0:21:00.880 --> 0:21:04.000
<v Speaker 3>the stuff we want, we are just going to take it.

0:21:04.240 --> 0:21:09.000
<v Speaker 3>That is a very, very what we call it diplomacy.

0:21:09.080 --> 0:21:13.880
<v Speaker 3>It is a provocative statement. It is somewhat bellicose, and

0:21:13.920 --> 0:21:17.160
<v Speaker 3>it carries a lot of possible consequence and costs. So

0:21:17.200 --> 0:21:20.160
<v Speaker 3>they had to decide it was worth it. Why why

0:21:20.200 --> 0:21:23.000
<v Speaker 3>did they make this wild ass decision or even bring

0:21:23.040 --> 0:21:25.560
<v Speaker 3>it up. We'll tell you after a word from our sponsor.

0:21:32.200 --> 0:21:36.960
<v Speaker 3>Here's where it gets grazy gold, but not just gold oil,

0:21:37.400 --> 0:21:41.360
<v Speaker 3>black gold, Texas, tea, et cetera. The gunk that to

0:21:41.400 --> 0:21:43.679
<v Speaker 3>this day moves the modern world.

0:21:45.000 --> 0:21:47.440
<v Speaker 5>Ye, well, all the golds, all the golds.

0:21:47.840 --> 0:21:49.320
<v Speaker 3>All of the all the gold.

0:21:49.359 --> 0:21:51.320
<v Speaker 6>You can imagine, black gold makes me want to whoop

0:21:51.760 --> 0:21:52.360
<v Speaker 6>and holler.

0:21:52.840 --> 0:21:57.560
<v Speaker 3>Oh yeah, yeah, it's you know, Beverly Hillbillies for anybody unfamiliar,

0:21:57.640 --> 0:22:02.440
<v Speaker 3>has a neat, catchy little Hollywood Hillbilly theme which was

0:22:02.480 --> 0:22:03.000
<v Speaker 3>an intro.

0:22:03.640 --> 0:22:05.240
<v Speaker 4>So it's only one of those ones that describes the

0:22:05.240 --> 0:22:06.600
<v Speaker 4>plot of the show in the right.

0:22:06.720 --> 0:22:09.480
<v Speaker 3>That's what I was gonna say. Yeah, it's like the Nanny,

0:22:09.800 --> 0:22:14.440
<v Speaker 3>It's like the Mister Belvedere stuffs. I enjoy those much

0:22:14.480 --> 0:22:15.760
<v Speaker 3>more than the actual show.

0:22:16.080 --> 0:22:18.680
<v Speaker 6>Of course, to.

0:22:18.680 --> 0:22:21.639
<v Speaker 4>Those in the know, is often referred to as the

0:22:21.720 --> 0:22:26.160
<v Speaker 4>New Guitar and Venezuela reactivated that claim to the territory

0:22:26.640 --> 0:22:32.040
<v Speaker 4>after finding some eleven billion barrels of oil, recoverable oil

0:22:32.160 --> 0:22:35.680
<v Speaker 4>and natural gas off of Guyana's coast. So the government

0:22:35.760 --> 0:22:40.639
<v Speaker 4>then held a super controversial referendum on this issue in

0:22:40.680 --> 0:22:43.560
<v Speaker 4>December and early December last year.

0:22:45.200 --> 0:22:48.800
<v Speaker 3>And that was after Guyana had gone to the Guiana

0:22:48.880 --> 0:22:51.960
<v Speaker 3>knew this was coming. It's just it was originally called

0:22:52.720 --> 0:22:57.720
<v Speaker 3>a referendum. Means that if they're enacted in good faith,

0:22:57.880 --> 0:23:00.119
<v Speaker 3>the government is asking the people, hey, what do you

0:23:00.119 --> 0:23:04.240
<v Speaker 3>guys think about this? Right, Like they're saying, hey, kids,

0:23:04.960 --> 0:23:07.480
<v Speaker 3>who want pizza? Or do we want you know, we

0:23:07.560 --> 0:23:11.159
<v Speaker 3>want to get lasagna or something. However, this is not

0:23:11.280 --> 0:23:15.200
<v Speaker 3>a There's some serious problems, as you mentioned, with the

0:23:15.520 --> 0:23:18.400
<v Speaker 3>referendum itself, and it goes super deep in the weeds

0:23:18.400 --> 0:23:20.720
<v Speaker 3>because people have been looking at this. Giada was trying

0:23:20.720 --> 0:23:24.959
<v Speaker 3>to get international bodies not to allow this referendum to happen. Sorry,

0:23:25.040 --> 0:23:28.480
<v Speaker 3>kind of tricky, right. It's like how South Korea has

0:23:28.520 --> 0:23:31.160
<v Speaker 3>this law that says, if you are South Korea national,

0:23:31.400 --> 0:23:34.080
<v Speaker 3>you can't gamble anywhere in the world.

0:23:34.680 --> 0:23:35.640
<v Speaker 2>Did you know that?

0:23:35.640 --> 0:23:37.879
<v Speaker 3>That's so crazy? I don't know how you enforced that.

0:23:38.640 --> 0:23:41.680
<v Speaker 5>I don't know, man, but I've been I keep thinking

0:23:41.680 --> 0:23:43.679
<v Speaker 5>about how nuts this would be if it was just

0:23:43.760 --> 0:23:46.640
<v Speaker 5>two neighbors right in a house, like one house next

0:23:46.640 --> 0:23:49.520
<v Speaker 5>to the other house and one one You guys have

0:23:49.560 --> 0:23:52.960
<v Speaker 5>always had problems with where the fence should be, you know, right, Yeah,

0:23:52.960 --> 0:23:55.560
<v Speaker 5>But like all of a sudden, one of the neighbors

0:23:55.600 --> 0:23:58.960
<v Speaker 5>discovers like incredible stuff in their backyard, like, oh my god,

0:23:58.960 --> 0:24:02.080
<v Speaker 5>there's this cave system on there and there's resources inside it.

0:24:02.240 --> 0:24:05.800
<v Speaker 5>And the neighbors like, actually, we're gonna have a little vote,

0:24:06.359 --> 0:24:08.439
<v Speaker 5>and I think that's actually mine.

0:24:08.520 --> 0:24:10.600
<v Speaker 2>So yeah, you come downstairs.

0:24:11.080 --> 0:24:13.920
<v Speaker 5>Ye, we are going to vote in our house about

0:24:13.960 --> 0:24:14.920
<v Speaker 5>your terrihouse.

0:24:15.080 --> 0:24:15.520
<v Speaker 2>Yeah.

0:24:15.560 --> 0:24:21.560
<v Speaker 3>And it's it's crazy because when people who do election

0:24:21.760 --> 0:24:26.320
<v Speaker 3>monitoring looked at this, they found they found the number

0:24:26.440 --> 0:24:29.919
<v Speaker 3>Venezuela offered to the world, which was ninety five percent

0:24:29.960 --> 0:24:33.680
<v Speaker 3>approval to take over this part of Guiana. They found

0:24:33.720 --> 0:24:36.399
<v Speaker 3>that that just didn't hold up, and it looked like

0:24:37.160 --> 0:24:40.320
<v Speaker 3>it looked like if it was ninety five percent of voters,

0:24:40.600 --> 0:24:44.120
<v Speaker 3>it was less than ten percent of the population. So

0:24:44.160 --> 0:24:46.360
<v Speaker 3>you have to you have to be careful with those statistics.

0:24:46.480 --> 0:24:49.679
<v Speaker 5>And well, and it's almost like having a vote on

0:24:49.720 --> 0:24:52.920
<v Speaker 5>whether or not we should go to war basically, and

0:24:52.960 --> 0:24:55.280
<v Speaker 5>so like, what does that have to do with anybody

0:24:55.280 --> 0:24:58.080
<v Speaker 5>else besides your own country deciding it's going to go

0:24:58.119 --> 0:24:58.480
<v Speaker 5>to war.

0:24:59.280 --> 0:25:05.560
<v Speaker 3>That's also doing the war vote at sea pack, you know,

0:25:05.840 --> 0:25:10.439
<v Speaker 3>or at like at a aerospace defense industry meeting. And

0:25:10.480 --> 0:25:12.280
<v Speaker 3>so I like, okay, you guys vote.

0:25:12.080 --> 0:25:13.639
<v Speaker 2>Though, yeah, yeah, yea, yeah.

0:25:13.800 --> 0:25:16.680
<v Speaker 5>We just needs she checked the temp of the old

0:25:16.720 --> 0:25:20.160
<v Speaker 5>room here exactly all your weapons manufacturers.

0:25:20.680 --> 0:25:23.879
<v Speaker 3>Or I read something recently. I can't remember what it was,

0:25:23.920 --> 0:25:28.040
<v Speaker 3>so it was a more conservative publication where they had this.

0:25:28.200 --> 0:25:31.160
<v Speaker 3>They were like, this report shows that, as a matter

0:25:31.200 --> 0:25:35.040
<v Speaker 3>of fact, workers are very excited about returning to the office.

0:25:35.080 --> 0:25:37.600
<v Speaker 3>And I looked into it, and the study was conducted

0:25:37.600 --> 0:25:42.320
<v Speaker 3>by an architectural firm that builds offices, So you gotta

0:25:42.320 --> 0:25:45.960
<v Speaker 3>look at that stuff. Anyway. Giata is already having a

0:25:46.000 --> 0:25:49.000
<v Speaker 3>game changing moment with this oil because one of the

0:25:49.040 --> 0:25:52.080
<v Speaker 3>important words there we don't want to miss is recoverable.

0:25:52.560 --> 0:25:56.320
<v Speaker 3>You can get this stuff out and still make a

0:25:56.359 --> 0:25:58.960
<v Speaker 3>profit off of it. So there are other places in

0:25:59.000 --> 0:26:01.840
<v Speaker 3>the world where there's a ton of some sort of

0:26:01.840 --> 0:26:04.479
<v Speaker 3>fossil fuel, but it's just right now too expensive to

0:26:04.480 --> 0:26:05.199
<v Speaker 3>get it, and.

0:26:06.040 --> 0:26:09.159
<v Speaker 5>Or you have to use something like fracking exclusively to

0:26:09.200 --> 0:26:12.360
<v Speaker 5>get to it, right, which is not as great as

0:26:12.480 --> 0:26:15.080
<v Speaker 5>just being able to get that oil. Get at that oil,

0:26:15.960 --> 0:26:17.440
<v Speaker 5>let's say, in more traditional ways.

0:26:17.800 --> 0:26:22.040
<v Speaker 3>Sure, yeah, Beverly hillbilly style. Yeah, put a spike in

0:26:22.080 --> 0:26:24.439
<v Speaker 3>the ground and then build a little, a neat, little

0:26:24.440 --> 0:26:27.840
<v Speaker 3>mini and build an oil Derek around it. But I

0:26:27.920 --> 0:26:29.600
<v Speaker 3>was going to call it the mini Eiffel Tower. That

0:26:29.640 --> 0:26:35.480
<v Speaker 3>doesn't work. Right now, Guyana is creating four hundred thousand

0:26:35.560 --> 0:26:40.040
<v Speaker 3>something barrels per day of oil and gas, and they're

0:26:40.040 --> 0:26:42.680
<v Speaker 3>going to make more than one million barrels per day

0:26:43.400 --> 0:26:46.359
<v Speaker 3>very soon in twenty twenty seven. So this is huge

0:26:46.480 --> 0:26:50.520
<v Speaker 3>for small country's economy and it's going to change people's

0:26:50.680 --> 0:26:53.760
<v Speaker 3>lives in a measurable way. The question is, you know,

0:26:53.880 --> 0:26:57.800
<v Speaker 3>if we're all neighbors, if we survived colonialism, if we

0:26:57.880 --> 0:27:01.680
<v Speaker 3>have a shared history of fighting for independence, well, Venezuela,

0:27:03.080 --> 0:27:06.119
<v Speaker 3>are you being a hater? Like why why are you

0:27:06.160 --> 0:27:10.680
<v Speaker 3>flipping the script? Don't you don't you literally have more

0:27:10.720 --> 0:27:14.119
<v Speaker 3>oil than anybody in the world already. It's it's a

0:27:14.160 --> 0:27:18.280
<v Speaker 3>weird question, like why is this? Why is this the fight?

0:27:19.520 --> 0:27:23.199
<v Speaker 3>Part of it is because the US has made it

0:27:23.440 --> 0:27:27.040
<v Speaker 3>very expensive and costly for the Venezuelan government to exist.

0:27:27.720 --> 0:27:31.000
<v Speaker 3>Production in oil has fallen significantly. There are all kinds

0:27:31.040 --> 0:27:34.760
<v Speaker 3>of allegations of corruption. The infrastructure is bad. You know,

0:27:34.920 --> 0:27:38.000
<v Speaker 3>people who can leave Venezuela, and I'm sure we have

0:27:38.040 --> 0:27:40.880
<v Speaker 3>a lot of Venezuelan listeners today people who can leave

0:27:40.960 --> 0:27:44.200
<v Speaker 3>Venezuela have been doing so on mass it's just very

0:27:44.200 --> 0:27:45.639
<v Speaker 3>difficult to live there now.

0:27:46.560 --> 0:27:49.639
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, you know something I was thinking about this morning,

0:27:49.680 --> 0:27:55.119
<v Speaker 5>you guys, I didn't know. Guyana is the only predominantly

0:27:55.240 --> 0:28:00.280
<v Speaker 5>English speaking country in South America. Yeah, which for look,

0:28:00.480 --> 0:28:04.920
<v Speaker 5>and it doesn't necessarily mean that there's major strategic interest

0:28:05.000 --> 0:28:08.560
<v Speaker 5>by you know, the United States and the UK and

0:28:08.640 --> 0:28:12.600
<v Speaker 5>other Western governments, but it feels as though maybe that's

0:28:12.920 --> 0:28:16.840
<v Speaker 5>enough of a reason to really want to support the

0:28:16.880 --> 0:28:23.360
<v Speaker 5>independence and continued growth of Guyana versus a country like Venezuela.

0:28:24.600 --> 0:28:26.840
<v Speaker 5>Just when I'm thinking, Sorry, this is kind of random

0:28:26.880 --> 0:28:30.280
<v Speaker 5>thought here, but I'm just I'm imagining as all of

0:28:30.280 --> 0:28:34.520
<v Speaker 5>this is heating up, like maybe maybe there is some

0:28:34.600 --> 0:28:37.080
<v Speaker 5>kind of strategic interest that is simply based in the

0:28:37.200 --> 0:28:39.920
<v Speaker 5>language of the people spoken in Guyana.

0:28:40.240 --> 0:28:43.960
<v Speaker 3>That's part of it. Yeah, there's that colonial well, there's

0:28:43.720 --> 0:28:46.440
<v Speaker 3>that history, right, so they are part of the anglosphere

0:28:46.480 --> 0:28:51.760
<v Speaker 3>I would advance. Also, maybe that is a facet of

0:28:51.800 --> 0:28:55.240
<v Speaker 3>the larger thing, which is Guyana is a US friendly country.

0:28:55.720 --> 0:28:55.880
<v Speaker 5>Yeah.

0:28:55.920 --> 0:28:59.240
<v Speaker 3>If Guyana has access to that oil, then all of

0:28:59.240 --> 0:29:02.520
<v Speaker 3>a sudden, it's much easy. It's easier to work with

0:29:02.600 --> 0:29:05.440
<v Speaker 3>them than it is to say, work with some of

0:29:05.480 --> 0:29:08.880
<v Speaker 3>our friends out east, or you know, these other things.

0:29:08.880 --> 0:29:11.680
<v Speaker 3>And now, of course, obviously the US creates its own oil,

0:29:11.840 --> 0:29:14.720
<v Speaker 3>its own fossil fuels. But it's you know, it's nice

0:29:14.720 --> 0:29:18.360
<v Speaker 3>to have someone that you could have a cool conversation with,

0:29:18.880 --> 0:29:23.080
<v Speaker 3>or whatever America sees is that instead of a instead

0:29:23.120 --> 0:29:27.800
<v Speaker 3>of a thing that could almost always go sideways. So

0:29:27.880 --> 0:29:31.000
<v Speaker 3>I think that's maybe part of it. But also when

0:29:31.040 --> 0:29:35.000
<v Speaker 3>we look at Venezuela's motivations, sure you already got all

0:29:35.040 --> 0:29:37.640
<v Speaker 3>the oil in the world, don't you want a little more?

0:29:37.880 --> 0:29:40.680
<v Speaker 3>I mean you could. They could definitely use the cash.

0:29:40.760 --> 0:29:45.880
<v Speaker 3>It would definitely bolster the reputation of the Maduro government.

0:29:46.000 --> 0:29:49.360
<v Speaker 3>I posit that is one of the big big things.

0:29:49.400 --> 0:29:53.040
<v Speaker 3>I think that might be the actual thing, because he's

0:29:53.080 --> 0:29:56.960
<v Speaker 3>coming down hard. He said, Guiana can't sell the rights

0:29:57.480 --> 0:30:02.120
<v Speaker 3>to explore or drill for oil here. He also did

0:30:02.120 --> 0:30:05.440
<v Speaker 3>not say specifically which areas of Guiata should be under control.

0:30:05.600 --> 0:30:08.280
<v Speaker 3>Everybody knows what he's talking about, but he doesn't want

0:30:08.320 --> 0:30:11.440
<v Speaker 3>to like paint himself into a corner. Instead, he said,

0:30:11.760 --> 0:30:15.800
<v Speaker 3>without telling you exactly, which areas I think are Venezuela.

0:30:16.320 --> 0:30:19.200
<v Speaker 3>If you are working with Guiata in the oil trade.

0:30:19.280 --> 0:30:23.120
<v Speaker 3>Right now, you have three months to leave gt FO

0:30:23.600 --> 0:30:24.640
<v Speaker 3>and the clock is ticket.

0:30:25.320 --> 0:30:25.560
<v Speaker 2>Yeah.

0:30:25.600 --> 0:30:27.280
<v Speaker 3>And these are the big boys too. These are like

0:30:27.320 --> 0:30:28.880
<v Speaker 3>the BPS, the exons, et cetera.

0:30:29.280 --> 0:30:34.480
<v Speaker 4>If an invasion were to occur, however, Guyana would not

0:30:34.680 --> 0:30:35.640
<v Speaker 4>be in.

0:30:35.560 --> 0:30:39.120
<v Speaker 6>A very advantageous position. I believe the term he used

0:30:39.160 --> 0:30:41.920
<v Speaker 6>ben in the research was thick.

0:30:43.640 --> 0:30:43.880
<v Speaker 5>Yeah.

0:30:44.000 --> 0:30:48.000
<v Speaker 4>Their army is just about five thousand strong, meaning that

0:30:48.040 --> 0:30:52.560
<v Speaker 4>they would be very quickly overtaken unless a much larger

0:30:52.640 --> 0:30:53.840
<v Speaker 4>power came to their aid.

0:30:54.680 --> 0:30:55.480
<v Speaker 2>Yeah.

0:30:55.520 --> 0:30:58.680
<v Speaker 5>And the thing that is in dispute right is offshore.

0:30:59.320 --> 0:31:02.520
<v Speaker 5>So if you imagine the if you look at Gion

0:31:02.640 --> 0:31:06.640
<v Speaker 5>on the map, just the northern border right is the ocean.

0:31:07.120 --> 0:31:07.320
<v Speaker 2>Right.

0:31:07.800 --> 0:31:13.040
<v Speaker 5>And as we know, naval naval powers are very strong

0:31:13.560 --> 0:31:17.920
<v Speaker 5>in countries often that have large oil supplies. Doesn't mean

0:31:17.960 --> 0:31:22.040
<v Speaker 5>that Venezuela's naval, you know, force.

0:31:21.960 --> 0:31:22.960
<v Speaker 2>Is the strongest.

0:31:23.240 --> 0:31:25.560
<v Speaker 5>The US is is like how I forget how many

0:31:25.560 --> 0:31:28.800
<v Speaker 5>times stronger the US Navy is than any other country.

0:31:28.800 --> 0:31:29.560
<v Speaker 2>But it's insane.

0:31:29.880 --> 0:31:32.600
<v Speaker 3>The US Navy is crazy. It's the uh, it's the

0:31:32.720 --> 0:31:35.760
<v Speaker 3>US Navy is the world's second largest air force, in

0:31:35.800 --> 0:31:39.840
<v Speaker 3>addition to be the first is the USAF.

0:31:39.440 --> 0:31:42.600
<v Speaker 5>So, but they don't even really factor into here. It's

0:31:42.640 --> 0:31:46.000
<v Speaker 5>just like Venezuela has a lot of coastline, has a

0:31:46.040 --> 0:31:49.240
<v Speaker 5>lot of shipping, has a lot of reasons to have

0:31:49.520 --> 0:31:53.280
<v Speaker 5>very strong forces on the water, and if they were to,

0:31:53.640 --> 0:31:56.600
<v Speaker 5>you know, have a dispute and an actual hot war,

0:31:57.120 --> 0:31:59.720
<v Speaker 5>they would be coming in so much, not even just

0:31:59.760 --> 0:32:03.479
<v Speaker 5>the five thousand member army, but the ships and the

0:32:03.520 --> 0:32:07.240
<v Speaker 5>weapons that would be that Guiana would be facing would

0:32:07.280 --> 0:32:08.080
<v Speaker 5>be tremendous.

0:32:08.320 --> 0:32:11.520
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, and the army for Venezuela, I think as of

0:32:11.640 --> 0:32:16.720
<v Speaker 3>like nineteen twenty, nineteen twenty twenty, it's like three hundred

0:32:16.720 --> 0:32:19.680
<v Speaker 3>and forty three thousand versus five.

0:32:19.520 --> 0:32:21.280
<v Speaker 5>Thousand, little significant.

0:32:21.480 --> 0:32:24.040
<v Speaker 3>It's tough. It's tough. And again that's not a ding

0:32:24.640 --> 0:32:29.680
<v Speaker 3>on the people in Guyana's arm services. That's just the math,

0:32:29.760 --> 0:32:32.160
<v Speaker 3>and the math is scary. So, like you're saying, a

0:32:32.240 --> 0:32:34.600
<v Speaker 3>larger power would have to step into help to prevent

0:32:34.640 --> 0:32:40.760
<v Speaker 3>this from being an absolute, just one sided massacre, honestly, well.

0:32:40.760 --> 0:32:43.720
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, I mean, and there are only so many candidates

0:32:43.720 --> 0:32:45.600
<v Speaker 4>for who that larger power might be.

0:32:45.960 --> 0:32:50.400
<v Speaker 3>Right exactly, because we can name some people who won't

0:32:50.400 --> 0:32:56.680
<v Speaker 3>come in to help. China, Russia, properly. I don't know.

0:32:56.800 --> 0:32:59.400
<v Speaker 3>Brazil is a very interesting question for this.

0:32:59.360 --> 0:33:03.120
<v Speaker 5>One because just as a reminder of the geography there,

0:33:03.160 --> 0:33:06.840
<v Speaker 5>they are just south like all you know, Brazil has

0:33:06.840 --> 0:33:09.959
<v Speaker 5>so many different states within it, but the entirety of

0:33:09.960 --> 0:33:13.000
<v Speaker 5>Brazil is below Guyana and Venezuela.

0:33:12.640 --> 0:33:17.600
<v Speaker 3>And Lula wants to maintain peace in the region, right,

0:33:17.640 --> 0:33:20.600
<v Speaker 3>so they would definitely have a stake in this. We

0:33:20.640 --> 0:33:25.280
<v Speaker 3>haven't mentioned the president of Guyana yet. Irfan Ali Ali

0:33:25.400 --> 0:33:28.680
<v Speaker 3>is going through. Ali knows all this obviously and is

0:33:28.760 --> 0:33:34.480
<v Speaker 3>going through the correct theoretical. International channels went to the

0:33:34.600 --> 0:33:38.680
<v Speaker 3>United Nations International Court of Justice, talked to the UN

0:33:38.760 --> 0:33:43.320
<v Speaker 3>Security General and it's like, hey, Maduro is unhinged, guys,

0:33:43.440 --> 0:33:48.160
<v Speaker 3>we need something to happen here. Here is my country, Guyana.

0:33:48.280 --> 0:33:51.240
<v Speaker 3>We're playing by the rules. We're doing everything we were

0:33:51.280 --> 0:33:57.760
<v Speaker 3>told we should do. Help and so we can say

0:33:57.800 --> 0:34:02.320
<v Speaker 3>at this point no invasion has occurred. However, it for

0:34:02.440 --> 0:34:05.880
<v Speaker 3>quite some time it seemed very close. We'll have some

0:34:05.920 --> 0:34:08.120
<v Speaker 3>good news at the end. But right now it's sort

0:34:08.160 --> 0:34:11.319
<v Speaker 3>of like if there were a doomsday clock for this,

0:34:11.840 --> 0:34:14.200
<v Speaker 3>the world would have been at two minutes to midnight.

0:34:14.520 --> 0:34:18.760
<v Speaker 3>And in late December, the United Kingdom dispatched a Royal

0:34:18.880 --> 0:34:22.920
<v Speaker 3>Navy Patrol vessel to Guyana just to sort of swim

0:34:22.960 --> 0:34:27.720
<v Speaker 3>around the waters like in simulation games, like in Civilization,

0:34:28.320 --> 0:34:32.000
<v Speaker 3>you want to repel other forces, so you just start

0:34:32.040 --> 0:34:34.520
<v Speaker 3>sort of putting your boats out, you know, putting your

0:34:34.520 --> 0:34:37.320
<v Speaker 3>troops out in these different areas. Kind of like holding

0:34:37.320 --> 0:34:40.160
<v Speaker 3>a parking space in a crowded mall. When people used

0:34:40.160 --> 0:34:43.400
<v Speaker 3>to go to malls, but now the question with guns,

0:34:43.600 --> 0:34:46.480
<v Speaker 3>but with very launch guns.

0:34:47.200 --> 0:34:49.160
<v Speaker 4>Kind of like going to a mall in Texas today.

0:34:49.760 --> 0:34:52.640
<v Speaker 4>I love going to mall. I'm a mallwalker. I love

0:34:52.680 --> 0:34:55.080
<v Speaker 4>a dead mall too, or a dying mall. That's sort

0:34:55.080 --> 0:34:57.400
<v Speaker 4>of an interesting.

0:34:58.120 --> 0:35:01.760
<v Speaker 3>I'm okay with those because they're less crowd that's fair. Yeah,

0:35:01.800 --> 0:35:04.000
<v Speaker 3>the North of Cabmall here indicator is a good example.

0:35:04.120 --> 0:35:05.720
<v Speaker 3>Number one spot for Bollywood films.

0:35:05.920 --> 0:35:07.600
<v Speaker 5>I'm just gonna say this, The borrow game at dead

0:35:07.600 --> 0:35:12.279
<v Speaker 5>Mall's is kind of weak, so I'm not really into it.

0:35:12.280 --> 0:35:18.239
<v Speaker 3>It's advantages, disadvantages, pros cons cost benefit. I say, with

0:35:18.320 --> 0:35:21.920
<v Speaker 3>that in mind, let's pause for word from our sponsors

0:35:22.000 --> 0:35:25.360
<v Speaker 3>and get to one of the big questions. Why now?

0:35:32.280 --> 0:35:35.799
<v Speaker 3>All right? Why now? Might be saying well, because of

0:35:35.840 --> 0:35:40.560
<v Speaker 3>the oil dummies. The oil discovery is new, but itself

0:35:40.640 --> 0:35:44.440
<v Speaker 3>it's not that new. Instead of a conspiracy to control

0:35:44.520 --> 0:35:47.840
<v Speaker 3>more of the fossil fuel market, it feels like the

0:35:47.880 --> 0:35:52.359
<v Speaker 3>conspiracy here is to shore up Maduro's government and get

0:35:52.400 --> 0:35:55.400
<v Speaker 3>the people to support them, because there we're serious problems

0:35:55.400 --> 0:35:58.799
<v Speaker 3>with that vote. A crooked vote is nothing new in Venezuela,

0:35:58.920 --> 0:36:02.560
<v Speaker 3>nor in Latin America, in the world overall, for being honest.

0:36:02.960 --> 0:36:06.759
<v Speaker 3>But Maduro took this one referendum as a mandate and

0:36:06.920 --> 0:36:10.000
<v Speaker 3>ran with it. And if you ask folks, like if

0:36:10.000 --> 0:36:12.280
<v Speaker 3>you ask policy wonks, which I mean is a compliment,

0:36:12.360 --> 0:36:17.520
<v Speaker 3>Like Anderson Sekira over at a political analysis firm based

0:36:17.520 --> 0:36:21.360
<v Speaker 3>in Venezuela, you'll see them say stuff like the government's

0:36:21.440 --> 0:36:25.080
<v Speaker 3>only options are to try to rile up national sentiments

0:36:25.360 --> 0:36:29.640
<v Speaker 3>and escalate the situation because it helps them increase political

0:36:29.880 --> 0:36:34.200
<v Speaker 3>repression and it helps them persecute anybody who is an

0:36:34.239 --> 0:36:38.440
<v Speaker 3>opponent of Maduro. Sort of like and this might be

0:36:38.480 --> 0:36:41.239
<v Speaker 3>a hot take, but it's very true. Sort of like

0:36:41.400 --> 0:36:45.080
<v Speaker 3>how in the wake of the attacks of September eleventh

0:36:45.080 --> 0:36:49.960
<v Speaker 3>in the US, politicians who aligned with the current president

0:36:50.440 --> 0:36:55.399
<v Speaker 3>had to field day saying like, you're an American if

0:36:55.440 --> 0:36:59.359
<v Speaker 3>you disagree with me and my party about anything, right,

0:37:00.040 --> 0:37:02.840
<v Speaker 3>you support terrorists, if you think school lunch should be affordable.

0:37:03.719 --> 0:37:06.759
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, well, and also remember what comes along with a

0:37:06.840 --> 0:37:09.600
<v Speaker 5>hot conflict, like if they actually did go to war

0:37:09.640 --> 0:37:14.759
<v Speaker 5>with Guiana, the money that would be spent on building

0:37:14.800 --> 0:37:18.080
<v Speaker 5>a war machine even larger so that they could, you know,

0:37:18.120 --> 0:37:22.280
<v Speaker 5>as the country itself could maintain security internally while fighting

0:37:22.320 --> 0:37:25.319
<v Speaker 5>a war across the way, right, and all of these,

0:37:25.600 --> 0:37:29.239
<v Speaker 5>all the contractors that get paid, all of the there's

0:37:29.280 --> 0:37:33.439
<v Speaker 5>just so much money that gets generated or spent, let's say,

0:37:33.680 --> 0:37:37.239
<v Speaker 5>during war, which we kind.

0:37:37.160 --> 0:37:39.000
<v Speaker 2>Of know this about money.

0:37:39.080 --> 0:37:41.640
<v Speaker 5>You do kind of have to borrow it from somebody,

0:37:41.680 --> 0:37:44.120
<v Speaker 5>but you can also kind of just print it in

0:37:44.160 --> 0:37:48.160
<v Speaker 5>some ways. So it's interesting, like the way you can

0:37:48.680 --> 0:37:51.440
<v Speaker 5>you can make things better for a little bit. Often,

0:37:51.480 --> 0:37:54.040
<v Speaker 5>as you're saying, there been when you go to war.

0:37:54.640 --> 0:37:59.160
<v Speaker 3>I mean, it's always a great way to get re elected,

0:37:59.440 --> 0:38:05.600
<v Speaker 3>unfortunately in even even things that are problematic democracies or

0:38:05.800 --> 0:38:10.000
<v Speaker 3>democracies and names only I know, I mean something different.

0:38:10.080 --> 0:38:12.759
<v Speaker 3>But the idea here is that you make up an

0:38:12.880 --> 0:38:15.920
<v Speaker 3>enemy of them, and you rally your people behind it.

0:38:16.239 --> 0:38:20.200
<v Speaker 3>At that point. As crazy as it sounds, at that point,

0:38:20.280 --> 0:38:23.520
<v Speaker 3>it doesn't really matter if you win the conflict. It

0:38:23.600 --> 0:38:26.520
<v Speaker 3>matters that you get the support to wage the conflict

0:38:26.760 --> 0:38:31.360
<v Speaker 3>and then rationalize the outcome to an increasingly isolated public.

0:38:31.640 --> 0:38:34.800
<v Speaker 3>That's how fascism works, right, and that's what's so brilliant

0:38:34.800 --> 0:38:39.880
<v Speaker 3>about it. I also note, uh, I still I shouldn't

0:38:39.880 --> 0:38:42.399
<v Speaker 3>do it, but I still read The Economist and they

0:38:42.440 --> 0:38:44.440
<v Speaker 3>had an article that speaks to what your point was

0:38:44.480 --> 0:38:47.239
<v Speaker 3>about about borrowing money. They had a very tone deaf

0:38:47.320 --> 0:38:50.799
<v Speaker 3>article that came out out pretty recently where they were like,

0:38:51.239 --> 0:38:57.040
<v Speaker 3>what would world war iie mean for investors? That's not kidding,

0:38:57.320 --> 0:39:01.960
<v Speaker 3>not the onion, that's what I mean. Yeah, I know, right,

0:39:02.400 --> 0:39:05.759
<v Speaker 3>So okay, so that's the idea, Like, is this just

0:39:06.880 --> 0:39:09.680
<v Speaker 3>a push for support, you know, something I can do

0:39:09.760 --> 0:39:13.399
<v Speaker 3>a culture war and then a hot war all mixed up, right,

0:39:13.440 --> 0:39:15.880
<v Speaker 3>to keep to keep people from coming out in the

0:39:15.880 --> 0:39:19.319
<v Speaker 3>streets with torches and pitchforks and overthrowing you.

0:39:19.760 --> 0:39:23.080
<v Speaker 5>So yeah, Ben, Ben, It's also like the situation in

0:39:23.160 --> 0:39:26.960
<v Speaker 5>Crimea in my mind. Yeah right, It's a dispute in

0:39:27.440 --> 0:39:30.480
<v Speaker 5>somebody else's land that you felt like was once yours

0:39:30.680 --> 0:39:34.520
<v Speaker 5>in some way right with the two disputing countries stallid.

0:39:34.120 --> 0:39:36.920
<v Speaker 3>In nineteen fifty four, Yeah.

0:39:36.160 --> 0:39:39.320
<v Speaker 5>Exactly, exactly, well then and then how crime was taken

0:39:39.360 --> 0:39:43.120
<v Speaker 5>back over again, and so it's just to me, it

0:39:43.160 --> 0:39:45.600
<v Speaker 5>feels like we're moving to another one of those I'm sorry,

0:39:45.680 --> 0:39:46.319
<v Speaker 5>just went with that out there.

0:39:46.400 --> 0:39:49.280
<v Speaker 3>That's perfect. I think that's a perfect comparison, man, because

0:39:49.560 --> 0:39:55.480
<v Speaker 3>you know, the Putin administration was encountering terrible, terrible problems,

0:39:55.600 --> 0:39:58.799
<v Speaker 3>very similar problems, and now there's a there's a war

0:39:58.840 --> 0:40:02.759
<v Speaker 3>in another country, and like, if you disagree, you're a

0:40:02.880 --> 0:40:08.040
<v Speaker 3>very bad person. You're on Russian you know. Like if

0:40:08.560 --> 0:40:11.759
<v Speaker 3>we said this, though, if Venezuela actually did invade, and

0:40:11.800 --> 0:40:16.680
<v Speaker 3>this isn't just a cynical fascist attempt to support a

0:40:16.719 --> 0:40:20.440
<v Speaker 3>failing government, then several things would happen. If Yana has

0:40:20.520 --> 0:40:22.600
<v Speaker 3>no on the ground four and support, Like your point,

0:40:22.680 --> 0:40:27.360
<v Speaker 3>no Venezuela will win instantly. It will simply happen and

0:40:27.440 --> 0:40:32.000
<v Speaker 3>the world will have to deal with it later. And

0:40:32.200 --> 0:40:36.600
<v Speaker 3>if that happens, venezuel will pay a heavy price geopolitically.

0:40:36.640 --> 0:40:40.040
<v Speaker 3>But what's the nature of that is that? Does that

0:40:40.160 --> 0:40:44.600
<v Speaker 3>mean toothless condemnation? The UN writes an angry letter and

0:40:44.640 --> 0:40:47.560
<v Speaker 3>says you can't come to the pizza party because they'll

0:40:47.600 --> 0:40:48.560
<v Speaker 3>still sell the oil.

0:40:49.280 --> 0:40:51.360
<v Speaker 5>It's weird, though, because they're already kind of not invited

0:40:51.400 --> 0:40:53.200
<v Speaker 5>to the pizza party, and they have been for a

0:40:53.239 --> 0:40:53.840
<v Speaker 5>long time.

0:40:54.000 --> 0:40:56.480
<v Speaker 3>The sanctions, right, yeah.

0:40:56.360 --> 0:40:59.680
<v Speaker 5>So I mean, what wow? What really is the major price?

0:41:01.360 --> 0:41:03.920
<v Speaker 3>That's the thing. It might be a little bit more

0:41:03.960 --> 0:41:10.160
<v Speaker 3>of a discount than we think. There are sanctions related

0:41:10.280 --> 0:41:14.960
<v Speaker 3>to Venezuela, and a lot of sanctions are that get

0:41:15.040 --> 0:41:18.840
<v Speaker 3>applied to different countries come from the US directly. But

0:41:19.800 --> 0:41:24.120
<v Speaker 3>even in those cases, people other governments and companies they

0:41:24.239 --> 0:41:27.560
<v Speaker 3>need fossil fuels still, so they're going to buy them.

0:41:27.600 --> 0:41:30.719
<v Speaker 3>You can still make a buck off of it. We

0:41:30.880 --> 0:41:34.920
<v Speaker 3>know that. I don't know. The more chaotic thing is

0:41:34.920 --> 0:41:39.720
<v Speaker 3>what happens I Venezuela invades and then a third party intercedes.

0:41:40.200 --> 0:41:42.880
<v Speaker 3>That's very frightening. At first it sounds like, oh, the

0:41:42.880 --> 0:41:46.280
<v Speaker 3>good guys, America's police, and that may to a degree

0:41:46.320 --> 0:41:49.280
<v Speaker 3>be somewhat true, but it also means this could escalate

0:41:49.320 --> 0:41:52.880
<v Speaker 3>into a proxy war. We don't know what Venezuela's allies

0:41:53.200 --> 0:41:55.840
<v Speaker 3>would provide, but it'd be enough to make things ugly.

0:41:55.880 --> 0:41:59.960
<v Speaker 3>There would be a blood price, and then the people

0:42:00.120 --> 0:42:02.799
<v Speaker 3>who would fight in that that third party, which would

0:42:02.840 --> 0:42:05.560
<v Speaker 3>probably be the United States, who were being honest, their

0:42:05.600 --> 0:42:10.200
<v Speaker 3>resources would be spread increasingly thin. You know, this would

0:42:10.239 --> 0:42:13.239
<v Speaker 3>like if I were interested, if we were hanging out

0:42:13.400 --> 0:42:15.440
<v Speaker 3>and we were waiting for a good time, it's be

0:42:15.440 --> 0:42:18.640
<v Speaker 3>a good time to get a little closer to Taiwan, right,

0:42:19.200 --> 0:42:21.319
<v Speaker 3>because the boats are somewhere else.

0:42:22.080 --> 0:42:24.560
<v Speaker 5>It's true, And we do we say that China is

0:42:24.640 --> 0:42:28.040
<v Speaker 5>Venezuela's primary receiver of exported oil.

0:42:28.360 --> 0:42:30.320
<v Speaker 2>We do not, well, we should.

0:42:30.360 --> 0:42:33.640
<v Speaker 5>We should say that China receives around four hundred and

0:42:33.719 --> 0:42:38.000
<v Speaker 5>thirty thousand barrels per day of oil from Venezuela, which

0:42:38.800 --> 0:42:44.319
<v Speaker 5>does mean they were It does mean they would be

0:42:44.400 --> 0:42:46.560
<v Speaker 5>the ones. China would be the one who would say, hey,

0:42:46.560 --> 0:42:49.719
<v Speaker 5>hold on, hold on, maybe I've gotta do something here, right,

0:42:49.760 --> 0:42:51.760
<v Speaker 5>And when we're talking about a proxy war that becomes

0:42:51.840 --> 0:42:56.400
<v Speaker 5>larger with bigger players, that's what it could be could be.

0:42:56.840 --> 0:42:59.800
<v Speaker 3>Yeah. And then also if you are a certain Russian

0:42:59.840 --> 0:43:03.239
<v Speaker 3>day dat not naming names hoping to get some distractions

0:43:03.239 --> 0:43:08.080
<v Speaker 3>from say a failing war in hypothetically Ukraine, then chaos

0:43:08.120 --> 0:43:11.120
<v Speaker 3>like this is fantastic because it dilutes your opponent's resources,

0:43:11.160 --> 0:43:14.600
<v Speaker 3>It spreads them further across and further away from your

0:43:14.600 --> 0:43:20.160
<v Speaker 3>particular conflict. It also shifts international attention and therefore political

0:43:20.200 --> 0:43:22.040
<v Speaker 3>will away from opposing you.

0:43:22.440 --> 0:43:23.839
<v Speaker 2>So this is I.

0:43:23.800 --> 0:43:26.360
<v Speaker 3>Don't know, like we can play the game where this

0:43:26.480 --> 0:43:28.800
<v Speaker 3>spins out further and further and further in each of

0:43:28.840 --> 0:43:31.880
<v Speaker 3>these if thens is troubling, but how likely is it

0:43:31.920 --> 0:43:32.400
<v Speaker 3>to occur?

0:43:35.320 --> 0:43:35.759
<v Speaker 6>I don't know.

0:43:35.880 --> 0:43:38.800
<v Speaker 3>Fascism just needs an external enemy, a thing for you

0:43:38.920 --> 0:43:39.600
<v Speaker 3>fight against.

0:43:39.760 --> 0:43:42.040
<v Speaker 6>Oh my gosh, that's a really interesting thing that you mentioned.

0:43:42.080 --> 0:43:45.719
<v Speaker 4>I was listening to a podcast with Adam Conover the

0:43:45.760 --> 0:43:47.880
<v Speaker 4>other day and he was just talking about the history

0:43:48.000 --> 0:43:51.920
<v Speaker 4>of the Right and talking about how oftentimes, you know,

0:43:52.000 --> 0:43:56.680
<v Speaker 4>historically the right has been a reaction to being disenfranchised

0:43:57.320 --> 0:43:59.680
<v Speaker 4>of the wealthy, kind of having things taken away from

0:43:59.719 --> 0:44:03.640
<v Speaker 4>them and then creating a situation where they have a

0:44:03.680 --> 0:44:06.520
<v Speaker 4>perceived enemy, uh, and they want to kind of crib

0:44:06.640 --> 0:44:09.040
<v Speaker 4>from the other side, the creative of the situation that

0:44:09.080 --> 0:44:10.839
<v Speaker 4>took the things away from them in order to get

0:44:10.840 --> 0:44:12.520
<v Speaker 4>the things back, and in order to do that, they

0:44:12.560 --> 0:44:15.080
<v Speaker 4>have to have a perceived enemy. And that's just a

0:44:15.120 --> 0:44:19.200
<v Speaker 4>really you know, important touchstone in that kind of rhetoric

0:44:19.239 --> 0:44:22.400
<v Speaker 4>and that kind of sort of political gas lighting and maneuvering.

0:44:22.920 --> 0:44:26.800
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, you just need the eternal war. And the problem

0:44:26.920 --> 0:44:31.120
<v Speaker 3>is with people who are fans of fascist ideology and

0:44:31.160 --> 0:44:35.840
<v Speaker 3>tactics is it's a lot like it's a lot like

0:44:35.840 --> 0:44:39.560
<v Speaker 3>playing a dark lottery. It's it's writing or it's trying

0:44:39.560 --> 0:44:43.080
<v Speaker 3>to ride a bull. Right, It's an unpredictable thing because

0:44:43.160 --> 0:44:46.320
<v Speaker 3>the nature, the specific nature of the enemy will always

0:44:46.360 --> 0:44:49.319
<v Speaker 3>shift once you kind of deplete the first one, and

0:44:49.360 --> 0:44:51.120
<v Speaker 3>then eventually it's going to be your turn in the

0:44:51.160 --> 0:44:55.160
<v Speaker 3>stone chair. So that's why, that's why fat is not sustainable.

0:44:55.560 --> 0:44:57.360
<v Speaker 5>Stone chair is the sacrifice for anyone.

0:44:57.840 --> 0:44:59.960
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, it just sounds cool.

0:45:00.560 --> 0:45:04.160
<v Speaker 3>I don't know, God, but luckily I don't know. It

0:45:04.200 --> 0:45:07.400
<v Speaker 3>seems like they are seeking de escalation, so all this

0:45:07.440 --> 0:45:08.719
<v Speaker 3>is hypothetical right now.

0:45:09.480 --> 0:45:13.239
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, it's weird to me that a dispute like this

0:45:13.400 --> 0:45:17.440
<v Speaker 5>can be so long agoing, Like the dispute really hasn't

0:45:17.480 --> 0:45:22.560
<v Speaker 5>stopped since eighteen ninety nine, and the International Court of

0:45:22.719 --> 0:45:26.239
<v Speaker 5>Justice has officially had something in front of them since

0:45:26.280 --> 0:45:30.040
<v Speaker 5>twenty eighteen that they've just been mulling over since twenty eighteen. Like,

0:45:30.239 --> 0:45:33.000
<v Speaker 5>h guys, come on, we really got to decide what's

0:45:33.040 --> 0:45:36.880
<v Speaker 5>happening here, and it just hasn't happened, which it is

0:45:36.960 --> 0:45:39.920
<v Speaker 5>just it's to me, it's crazy. It could be a

0:45:39.920 --> 0:45:43.359
<v Speaker 5>five year long court battle, right right.

0:45:43.520 --> 0:45:43.680
<v Speaker 6>Well.

0:45:43.760 --> 0:45:47.239
<v Speaker 3>Venezuela also considers ICG a kangaroo court.

0:45:47.600 --> 0:45:49.440
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, so you can do that.

0:45:49.480 --> 0:45:51.760
<v Speaker 3>When you're a country, you could just say I reject

0:45:51.840 --> 0:45:54.719
<v Speaker 3>this court. Imagine geting a parking ticket and saying, like,

0:45:55.200 --> 0:45:59.920
<v Speaker 3>you know, traffic Court of Atlanta, malarkey, everybody knows it.

0:46:00.040 --> 0:46:00.840
<v Speaker 3>You guys are clowns.

0:46:01.440 --> 0:46:01.640
<v Speaker 2>I do.

0:46:02.200 --> 0:46:07.000
<v Speaker 5>I don't respect your entire international justice system. Sorry, right exactly.

0:46:07.320 --> 0:46:08.719
<v Speaker 4>Geez, you guys just reminded me that I have to

0:46:08.760 --> 0:46:11.560
<v Speaker 4>show up for jury duty on Monday.

0:46:11.680 --> 0:46:14.560
<v Speaker 3>Nice tell if you don't want to do it. Whenever

0:46:14.600 --> 0:46:17.239
<v Speaker 3>they ask you a question, talk about jury nullification. It's

0:46:17.239 --> 0:46:18.200
<v Speaker 3>your one way ticket out.

0:46:18.320 --> 0:46:20.400
<v Speaker 6>I did. I tried last time, and they totally picked me.

0:46:20.440 --> 0:46:23.640
<v Speaker 4>I also said, I'm They said, I suppose anything that

0:46:23.680 --> 0:46:26.719
<v Speaker 4>would prevent me from being objective. It was a case

0:46:26.760 --> 0:46:30.520
<v Speaker 4>surrounding police or whatever, and I said, I'm actually the

0:46:30.560 --> 0:46:35.279
<v Speaker 4>co host of a conspiracy podcast and we objectively do

0:46:35.400 --> 0:46:36.560
<v Speaker 4>not trust the government.

0:46:37.000 --> 0:46:38.880
<v Speaker 6>And that wasn't enough. To get me struck.

0:46:39.719 --> 0:46:43.440
<v Speaker 3>Wow, asking you.

0:46:43.400 --> 0:46:49.719
<v Speaker 6>That question, I swear anyhow, we'll try it again this time.

0:46:49.800 --> 0:46:53.759
<v Speaker 3>But anyway, well, the thing is right now there is

0:46:53.800 --> 0:46:56.040
<v Speaker 3>some good news we can end on. The leaders of

0:46:56.160 --> 0:47:02.000
<v Speaker 3>Venezuela and Guiana had a recent long meeting what Corporate

0:47:02.040 --> 0:47:05.280
<v Speaker 3>America will call an off site a summit, and resulted

0:47:05.360 --> 0:47:08.560
<v Speaker 3>in a declaration that they both signed, or I shouldn't

0:47:08.560 --> 0:47:11.439
<v Speaker 3>say declaration, a joint statement they will call it, where

0:47:11.440 --> 0:47:15.640
<v Speaker 3>they said, look, we don't get along. Venezuela is like,

0:47:15.920 --> 0:47:19.319
<v Speaker 3>we're totally right, and gian is like, that's a lie.

0:47:19.480 --> 0:47:23.399
<v Speaker 3>We're totally right. However, we can agree that we're not

0:47:23.440 --> 0:47:27.239
<v Speaker 3>going to use force against each other. The question is

0:47:27.320 --> 0:47:30.759
<v Speaker 3>how long that's going to hold. Instead, they said, you

0:47:30.800 --> 0:47:33.080
<v Speaker 3>know what we're gonna do, because it worked so great

0:47:33.120 --> 0:47:36.040
<v Speaker 3>over the past few centuries, we're gonna put together a

0:47:36.080 --> 0:47:39.640
<v Speaker 3>little team, well team of bureaucrats, and they're going to

0:47:39.680 --> 0:47:44.879
<v Speaker 3>figure it out peacefully. Sounds and surely the forty eighth

0:47:44.920 --> 0:47:47.799
<v Speaker 3>millionth time is the charm, right, And then what they

0:47:47.840 --> 0:47:49.000
<v Speaker 3>say in baseball.

0:47:49.320 --> 0:47:50.080
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I think that's it.

0:47:52.040 --> 0:47:55.480
<v Speaker 3>That's a that's a quote for our pal Max. But

0:47:56.719 --> 0:47:59.719
<v Speaker 3>also at the same time, like how off. Can you

0:47:59.760 --> 0:48:02.399
<v Speaker 3>try us the statements of these various countries. Can trust

0:48:02.400 --> 0:48:07.640
<v Speaker 3>the statements of Venezuela because true story, the Venezuelan government

0:48:07.880 --> 0:48:11.600
<v Speaker 3>has already ordered new maps that include land from Guyana

0:48:11.640 --> 0:48:15.000
<v Speaker 3>as part of Venezuela. Which parts you might ask, Oh, well,

0:48:15.040 --> 0:48:17.400
<v Speaker 3>it's the ones with the oil, Oh yeah.

0:48:17.680 --> 0:48:21.040
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, and they're super into that whole region we talked

0:48:21.080 --> 0:48:25.719
<v Speaker 5>about where that one river cuts through most of the country.

0:48:26.000 --> 0:48:29.759
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, somewhere between two thirds and three fourths. And look, obviously,

0:48:29.800 --> 0:48:32.000
<v Speaker 3>when I feel like it's important for us to say this,

0:48:32.200 --> 0:48:35.680
<v Speaker 3>whenever we talk about governmental actions, we are not talking

0:48:35.719 --> 0:48:39.399
<v Speaker 3>about the people living in these countries. No, people living

0:48:39.400 --> 0:48:43.560
<v Speaker 3>in these countries are chill. They want the same stuff

0:48:43.719 --> 0:48:46.360
<v Speaker 3>anybody else in any other part of the world wants.

0:48:46.840 --> 0:48:50.920
<v Speaker 3>They also probably have serious issues with world governments, with

0:48:51.000 --> 0:48:55.479
<v Speaker 3>their own government, and they are not the people who

0:48:55.520 --> 0:48:58.600
<v Speaker 3>want a war overwhelmingly throughout history.

0:48:59.400 --> 0:49:02.520
<v Speaker 5>No, there's a great Can we shout out a couple

0:49:02.520 --> 0:49:05.560
<v Speaker 5>of articles just for people who shout out, there's one

0:49:05.560 --> 0:49:07.520
<v Speaker 5>in Al Jazeera I would just send everybody to. It's

0:49:07.520 --> 0:49:10.200
<v Speaker 5>one of the more recent stories that was written about this.

0:49:10.440 --> 0:49:16.120
<v Speaker 5>On January eleventh, written by Nozima Raghubir and it is

0:49:16.200 --> 0:49:19.880
<v Speaker 5>titled Fears Simmer in Eskibo Region as Venezuela eyes the

0:49:19.920 --> 0:49:20.960
<v Speaker 5>Disputed Territory.

0:49:21.239 --> 0:49:22.040
<v Speaker 2>It's just there's so.

0:49:22.040 --> 0:49:24.560
<v Speaker 5>Many written like this, and they have been really since

0:49:25.080 --> 0:49:27.799
<v Speaker 5>I guess early December of last year. Right that that

0:49:27.840 --> 0:49:31.960
<v Speaker 5>give a pretty good overview of what's happening on both sides.

0:49:33.360 --> 0:49:37.480
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, yeah, that's a really good point too. And an

0:49:37.520 --> 0:49:43.399
<v Speaker 3>American representative also visited they're seeking a bureaucratic solution at

0:49:43.400 --> 0:49:47.640
<v Speaker 3>this point, and I know, bureaucratic. The word bureaucracy has

0:49:47.640 --> 0:49:52.160
<v Speaker 3>some connotations for an effectiveness, and it's earned those connotations

0:49:52.160 --> 0:49:55.799
<v Speaker 3>to a degree. But still that's better than a hot war.

0:49:56.360 --> 0:49:59.600
<v Speaker 3>You know, Guyana is not a wealthy country. The people

0:49:59.640 --> 0:50:02.920
<v Speaker 3>who live there for the most part are the people

0:50:03.000 --> 0:50:06.160
<v Speaker 3>who people of Venezuela. They're not the people who can

0:50:06.200 --> 0:50:08.640
<v Speaker 3>afford to say, oh, fiddle d D there's a war.

0:50:08.960 --> 0:50:11.560
<v Speaker 3>I guess I'll go summer in Monaco. You know, we

0:50:11.680 --> 0:50:14.440
<v Speaker 3>have to exercise humanity with this stuff, and we can't

0:50:14.480 --> 0:50:18.680
<v Speaker 3>put oil barrels over that. But as a society we do.

0:50:19.960 --> 0:50:22.360
<v Speaker 2>Really got gion over an oil barrel.

0:50:24.160 --> 0:50:26.759
<v Speaker 3>And on that note, thank you, as always so much

0:50:26.800 --> 0:50:29.880
<v Speaker 3>for duty in Folks, listen, send on a goodwin. We

0:50:29.960 --> 0:50:32.720
<v Speaker 3>can't wait to hear your thoughts. If you have first

0:50:32.719 --> 0:50:36.600
<v Speaker 3>and experience visiting living in Guyana and Venezuela, if you

0:50:36.640 --> 0:50:39.360
<v Speaker 3>have ties with these countries this region, let us know.

0:50:39.520 --> 0:50:41.719
<v Speaker 3>We'd love to hear your thoughts. We try to be

0:50:41.719 --> 0:50:43.319
<v Speaker 3>easy to find online. I'm try.

0:50:43.360 --> 0:50:45.399
<v Speaker 4>You can find us at the handle Conspiracy Stuff where

0:50:45.440 --> 0:50:48.439
<v Speaker 4>we exist on Facebook, or we have our Facebook group.

0:50:48.480 --> 0:50:50.000
<v Speaker 6>Here's where it gets crazy.

0:50:50.200 --> 0:50:54.880
<v Speaker 4>We are also conspiracy Stuff on x FKA Twitter, and

0:50:54.920 --> 0:50:57.520
<v Speaker 4>you can also find us at that handle on YouTube.

0:50:57.680 --> 0:51:01.160
<v Speaker 4>We are Conspiracy Stuff Show however on Insta and TikTok.

0:51:01.200 --> 0:51:04.680
<v Speaker 4>And be on the lookout for new social media short

0:51:04.719 --> 0:51:06.080
<v Speaker 4>form videos.

0:51:05.640 --> 0:51:08.239
<v Speaker 6>And maybe even some longer form stuff coming in the

0:51:08.280 --> 0:51:08.680
<v Speaker 6>new year.

0:51:09.120 --> 0:51:11.640
<v Speaker 5>Hey, if you've got a moment, why not head to

0:51:11.680 --> 0:51:14.279
<v Speaker 5>our YouTube channel and check out the videos we made

0:51:14.360 --> 0:51:16.799
<v Speaker 5>on who Hugo Chavez back in.

0:51:19.160 --> 0:51:21.640
<v Speaker 2>Ten years ago? Maybe we made those videos?

0:51:22.480 --> 0:51:25.000
<v Speaker 5>Go check those out because there's really interesting information in

0:51:25.080 --> 0:51:29.200
<v Speaker 5>there about again, maybe how the country was going, what

0:51:29.280 --> 0:51:31.759
<v Speaker 5>the fears were at least at the top of the

0:51:31.880 --> 0:51:33.439
<v Speaker 5>chain ten years ago.

0:51:33.960 --> 0:51:37.680
<v Speaker 3>Also, the US definitely did Dirton Venezuela just to be

0:51:37.960 --> 0:51:40.440
<v Speaker 3>very clear. Oh yeah, did bad stuff.

0:51:41.440 --> 0:51:47.160
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, the CI that made the fact book. Anyway, it's fine,

0:51:47.280 --> 0:51:51.600
<v Speaker 5>everything's fine. Call our number one eight three three std WYTK.

0:51:51.840 --> 0:51:54.480
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0:51:58.320 --> 0:52:01.239
<v Speaker 5>on one of our listener mail episodes. If you got

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<v Speaker 5>more to say, you got an attachment, maybe some links,

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<v Speaker 5>why not instead shoot us an email.

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<v Speaker 3>We are conspiracy at iHeartRadio dot com.

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