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Speaker 1: The Action Network Podcast Podcast.

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Speaker 2: If you are even remotely a savage, you'll run these

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Speaker 2: people over for a second. Oh my goodness.

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Speaker 1: Welcome into the Action Network Podcast. We are presented by

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Speaker 1: the FanDuel sportsbook Brendan Glasheen, joined by Sean Zarrillo and

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Speaker 1: calling in the voice of Billy Ward. Billy, Hi, can

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Speaker 1: you hear us?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm here? Am I on? Am I on air?

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Speaker 3: Is that me? But no, as usual, my internet went

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Speaker 3: out on a Friday. No other day this will happen,

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Speaker 3: So making the best of it. Still got a lot

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Speaker 3: of picks to get in.

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Speaker 1: Oh, it just it sounds. I just want to get

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Speaker 1: this out of the way. It just sounds so crisp.

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Speaker 1: It's like we've got Billy as our premier guest on

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Speaker 1: the talk radio show. So it's beautiful in my opinion,

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Speaker 1: but we do miss your face. Just wanted to get

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Speaker 1: that out of the way. Billy's here, but you can't

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Speaker 1: see him. YadA YadA. You have ce Betting preview, when

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Speaker 1: we have Zarrella and Billy Ward joining the podcast. You

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Speaker 1: have c London this weekend from the Two Arena in London.

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Speaker 1: Six fights on the main card, eight prelims, we'll look

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Speaker 1: at underdogs, props, the guys, fight of the night, and

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Speaker 1: we'll finish up with best bets. All of these fights,

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Speaker 1: folks are streaming on ESPN Plus a new Eastern start

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Speaker 1: on Saturday, so ESPN Plus is your go to spot

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Speaker 1: to watch all of the action in London. Zarella, We'll

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Speaker 1: start with you main event. Tom Espinal is the significant

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Speaker 1: favorite on the money line at minus five twenty mar

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Speaker 1: Scene tiber at plus three sixty. So and we'll get

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Speaker 1: to Billy's luck ratings. Billy has a luck ratings right

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Speaker 1: up for this week over at Action Networkaction Network dot

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Speaker 1: Com aspinall the favorite how would you assess the fight?

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Speaker 1: Does Tibera have a chance? Is there an angle to

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Speaker 1: bet Tyberra? How do you want to break this one

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Speaker 1: down and Betett?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, Tibera absolutely has a chance, but I think he

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Speaker 2: needs to get aspenall to deep waters. Tom has never

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Speaker 2: been pasted the second round in his professional career. He's

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Speaker 2: also coming off of a pretty significant injury here, one

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Speaker 2: where he probably hasn't been able to work on his

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Speaker 2: cardio as much going into this fight as he has

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Speaker 2: been in other fights. He's probably mostly working on rehabbing

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Speaker 2: that injury, and considering looking at his career history, the

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Speaker 2: fact that he's lost both fights that have gone beyond

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Speaker 2: seven and a half minutes that ended, you know, slightly

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Speaker 2: in the second half of round two, never been to

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Speaker 2: a third round in his career, and Tybera has five

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Speaker 2: round experience, so it does lend itself to if this

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Speaker 2: fight extends, there's certainly a chance that Marcine Tibera takes

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Speaker 2: over on cardio. He's a guy with good, good takedown defense,

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Speaker 2: decent garrappler, likes to spend a lot of time holding

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Speaker 2: his opponents up against the cage, but he can strike two.

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Speaker 2: We've cashed the big tickets on Marstin tiber in the past.

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Speaker 2: Alexander Romanov bet against him about three to fifty plus

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Speaker 2: four hundred and one of my favorite bets of ever

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Speaker 2: cash and I am tempted to fire on tiber here,

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Speaker 2: not because I don't like tom aspinall, but given the

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Speaker 2: red flags current concerning the cardio, concerning him coming off

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Speaker 2: of injury, don't know what the explosion is going to

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Speaker 2: look like. So there's a lot of reasons to be

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Speaker 2: skeptical about laying a big number on tom aspitaal I

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Speaker 2: believe he's a future heavyweight champion. His skill set is

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Speaker 2: so well rounded, the fact that he has these very

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Speaker 2: lethal submission skills on top of his really Chris boxing.

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Speaker 2: He's a training partner with Tyson Fury, so really good hands,

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Speaker 2: but he actually started out in MMA as a grappler

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Speaker 2: and has some very lethal Brazilian jiu jitsu. I believe

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Speaker 2: his dad was also a Brazilian jiu jitsu practitioner as well.

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Speaker 2: So the way I'm going to bet this fight, Marceine

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Speaker 2: tiber are alive after round one, after round two, if

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Speaker 2: he's still around and surviving, I think he's very much

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Speaker 2: going to be in this fight, and I would expect

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Speaker 2: Aspinall to have his most success in round one, when

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Speaker 2: that speed discrepancy is going to be very big. So

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Speaker 2: you can jump in probably on a better live number

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Speaker 2: on Tibera if he's alive after the first round, and

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Speaker 2: then if you want to get a little bit crazier

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Speaker 2: tiber around three, round four, round five are about thirty

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Speaker 2: to one, forty to one, and fifty to one, respectively.

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Speaker 2: If he wins this fight, it's probably going to be late.

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Speaker 2: And given the fact that Aspinall's never even been through

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Speaker 2: fifteen minutes in a fight, let alone twenty five minutes.

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Speaker 2: I think if this one does go late, there's a

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Speaker 2: chance Tibera finishes him. So looking for tiber alive, but

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Speaker 2: I think his late round props are potentially worth a

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Speaker 2: stab as well.

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Speaker 1: Let's turn to the voice of Billy Ward. You in

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Speaker 1: your luck ratings, Billy, you determined that Espinal is slightly overvalued.

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Speaker 1: You mapped out what Zerillo mentioned, the knee injury returns

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Speaker 1: to the place where the injury happened prior to was

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Speaker 1: on a nice run. Billy, how would you like to

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Speaker 1: approach it, because based on your analysis, are you like Zerilla,

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Speaker 1: do you want to try to play something live or

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Speaker 1: is there something you might like pre fight?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I don't have a ton to add to Zerrilla's analysis.

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Speaker 3: I just don't think the market is baking in the

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Speaker 3: chants that Aspinall's knee is not right yet well enough.

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Speaker 3: He said originally, like not even that long ago, that

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Speaker 3: he didn't think he'd be ready for this card, was

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Speaker 3: hoping to fight a little bit later in the year.

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Speaker 3: But you know, they they rushed a little bit because

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Speaker 3: this one's back in London, so it's a pretty good line,

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Speaker 3: just on the money line of Tiber plus three fifty

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Speaker 3: plus three sixty. I think Sean's right that if we

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Speaker 3: especially if we're discounting the knee injury, Tiber's best chances late.

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Speaker 3: But I don't think it's a crazy idea that Aspinall's

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Speaker 3: just totally not right, can't really move and gets dominated early,

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Speaker 3: just because if that knee is not right, you know

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Speaker 3: it's going to be apparent real fast. So if Tiber

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Speaker 3: wasn't such a juicy underdog, I would probably go with

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Speaker 3: what Shawn's recommending. But I'm more than happy just take

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Speaker 3: the money line at plus three sixty, you know, not

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Speaker 3: a huge beat, a little bit of a sprinkle on it,

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Speaker 3: just given the fact that Asphal might not be all

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Speaker 3: the way right, didn't want to fight this early, and

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Speaker 3: you know, those knee injuries a little bit more significant

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Speaker 3: the bigger you are, So I think it's a bigger

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Speaker 3: deal with him than if we were talking about fly

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Speaker 3: weights in a similar situation.

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Speaker 1: Hey, Zarrilla, when you're watching the fight, and I know

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Speaker 1: we've talked about live betting on this podcast before, what

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Speaker 1: exactly in terms of the traits or the approach by Aspinall,

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Speaker 1: what are you might what might you be watching specifically

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Speaker 1: to be like, Okay, this X doesn't look right. This

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Speaker 1: might be a chance to come in on Tyburrow, and

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Speaker 1: then the numbers obviously have to reflect that as well well.

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Speaker 2: I want to see how quick he's closing the distance,

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Speaker 2: like you know, when he's standing on the outside and

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Speaker 2: he wants to make an entry in order to engage

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Speaker 2: or land a combination, how quickly he's able to explode

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Speaker 2: and get towards his opponent. If he's able to get

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Speaker 2: in and out and land punches without taking any back,

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Speaker 2: I think that's a good sign that is explosion. His

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Speaker 2: athleticism is back because he should have a big speed

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Speaker 2: advantage in this matchup. So if he's able to enter

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Speaker 2: an exsit the pocket, land his strikes and then avoid

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Speaker 2: getting any landed back on him, I think that's a

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Speaker 2: pretty good indication that his athleticism is back to where

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Speaker 2: it was previously. You know. Beyond that, it's really going

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Speaker 2: to be whether he's able to takedowns, because I think

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Speaker 2: if he's going to finish this quickly, Marcin Tibert is

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Speaker 2: a pretty durable guy. If Aspinall is going to try

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Speaker 2: to land takedowns, whether he's able to finish those off.

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Speaker 2: I think also another good indication in terms of his

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Speaker 2: lower half explosiveness, whether he's able to get a big

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Speaker 2: guy to the ground. So I said, he's got pretty

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Speaker 2: lethal submission skills. He submitted to Alexander Volkov very quickly

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Speaker 2: during their fight in London. You know, if the knee

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Speaker 2: isn't right and he doesn't have the cardio, necessarily getting

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Speaker 2: this fight to the mat, laying on top of his

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Speaker 2: opponent and trying to submit him might be the best

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Speaker 2: way to do it and also protect that knee. So

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Speaker 2: I would say look for aspinall to grapple. Maybe his

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Speaker 2: submission props could be even an interesting play as supposed

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Speaker 2: to his knockout prop.

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Speaker 1: Tyber a respectable eleven and six in UFC, as we mentioned,

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Speaker 1: as we recorded on a Friday morning plus three sixty

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Speaker 1: over at fandle moving on favorite underdog for the weekend, Zilla,

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Speaker 1: where are we looking this week?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm going with the hometown fighter, Davey Grant at

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Speaker 2: plus one twenty five. You know, David Grant has faced

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Speaker 2: a lot of top caliber competition in the UFC and

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Speaker 2: had a lot of close fights with some very good

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Speaker 2: opponents Chieto Vera, Adrian Yonez. He's looked really good in

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Speaker 2: his last two fights since those decision losses as well,

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Speaker 2: submitted Rafael Sunsau and Luis Smoka, both in the third round,

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Speaker 2: and Grant normally a guy who people think has bad cardio,

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Speaker 2: but showing those third round finishes, that's nastity to go

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Speaker 2: for all fifteen minutes. I think is very encouraging for

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Speaker 2: somebody who's thirty seven years old fighting in a lower

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Speaker 2: weight class. You know it is, and it is a

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Speaker 2: concerning age where guys tend to drop off of a

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Speaker 2: cliff from time to time. And his opponent is eight

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Speaker 2: years younger than him, so there's that age gap that

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Speaker 2: we often talk about in terms of a younger opponent

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Speaker 2: improving and older fighter declining. But David Grant to me

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Speaker 2: still looks like he's in his prime. I don't know

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Speaker 2: how much longer he's going to stay there, but size

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Speaker 2: advantage about the same here would say Marcos really to

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Speaker 2: knock him out early to justify his price tag, not

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Speaker 2: that he's such a significant favorite, but I don't really

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Speaker 2: see much grappling in this fight. I expect a war

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Speaker 2: on the feet, and I think one of these two

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Speaker 2: ends it inside the distance. I know Marcos is undefeated

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Speaker 2: in his career, but going back through his career record,

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Speaker 2: a lot of those wins over very low level regional opponents.

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Speaker 2: This is a big step up in competition here against

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Speaker 2: the guy in Davy Grant, who's taken on you know,

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Speaker 2: potential title challengers, your top fifteen, top ten caliber bandam

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Speaker 2: weights at the UFC levels. Davy Grant at plus one

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Speaker 2: twenty five not only hits harder. I just think this

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Speaker 2: will be a close and competitive fight, and he should

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Speaker 2: have the Home crown behind him, so hopefully we get

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Speaker 2: some influence on the judges' scorecards as well. So plus

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Speaker 2: one twenty five for David.

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Speaker 1: Grant signing an older fighter, thirty seven year old Davy Grant.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, not quite forty, but it's you know, it's there's

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Speaker 2: a difference between the age and the progression of the

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Speaker 2: fight career. And they're getting older and they're dropping these fights,

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Speaker 2: and they're not looking good or they're not looking quite

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Speaker 2: as good. Is they used to quite as sharp as

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Speaker 2: they used to do. There's another fighter we'll talk about

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Speaker 2: later who I think kind of fits that criteria. He's

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Speaker 2: looked really good in his last two fights, arguably as

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Speaker 2: good as he's ever looked. So you know, there's reasons

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Speaker 2: why athletes might improve in their late thirties when they

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Speaker 2: should be declining. That we won't get further into. But yeah,

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Speaker 2: David Grant looking as good as ever right now at

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Speaker 2: thirty seven, which is abnormal, and there may be some

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Speaker 2: science behind it. But a guy I want to put

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Speaker 2: my money on for sure.

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Speaker 1: Billy, you have two underdog plays. I want you to

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Speaker 1: weigh in though, because in your luck ratings right up,

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Speaker 1: you actually think Marcos is undervalued against Davie Grant.

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Speaker 3: Well, I did, and then the line moved that way, right,

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Speaker 3: So the line that Sean's giving you on to Davy

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Speaker 3: Grant is a little bit better than it was when

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Speaker 3: I wrote it. So that's pretty much, you know, what

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Speaker 3: I'm trying to capture with that luck rating. I think

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Speaker 3: the line's about where it is now. You know, I

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Speaker 3: was debating putting baby Marcos is one of my bets,

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Speaker 3: but given the way the lines moved with Shawn, if

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Speaker 3: it's you know plus one twenty five that area are

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Speaker 3: better on Grant, I think that's the correct side. I

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Speaker 3: got Marcos minus one thirty five earlier, which you can't

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Speaker 3: find anymore. So yeah, kind of with Sean based on

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Speaker 3: why the Lions at currently.

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Speaker 2: Not a lot of British fighters on this card too

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Speaker 2: who have like a serious potential of raising their star

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Speaker 2: power to degree. I think David Grant is one of them.

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Speaker 2: So he's definitely going to have the entire crowd behind him,

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Speaker 2: and we've seen that influence Hudges in the past.

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Speaker 1: Hey, back to the Billy Ward hotline. You have two

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Speaker 1: underdog plays. Billy who are they?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, my first as you know, all I asked moves.

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Speaker 3: You know, we've only seen him for about a minute

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Speaker 3: in the USC. I believe he took his fight on

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Speaker 3: short notice. Knocked out Sam Patterson, another British fighter I

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Speaker 3: think the last time they were here in March, and

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Speaker 3: he's fighting Chris Duncan, who is Scottish but you know,

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Speaker 3: kind of the local guy. And I just noticed something

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Speaker 3: on the tape where the way Ashmos picked up his

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Speaker 3: knockout was the taller, longer fighter throw a kick. He

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Speaker 3: stepped in kind of ate the kick to a degree,

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Speaker 3: but just threw straight shots down the pipe, knocked his

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Speaker 3: opponent out. Then when I was watching Chris Duncan, he

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Speaker 3: was thrown out a lot of kicks with nothing behind him,

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Speaker 3: not really disguising him against Omar Morales, and Morales was

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Speaker 3: able to do kind of the same thing but with

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Speaker 3: less power, where he would catch the kick or eat

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Speaker 3: it a little bit and tag tag Duncan on the

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Speaker 3: way in. So just seeing what one guy really likes

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Speaker 3: to do well against the weakness of someone else, and

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Speaker 3: we're getting plus money. I like ash Moos could also

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Speaker 3: play his knockout props. I think the longer this one goes,

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Speaker 3: probably the less our chance of catching it is because

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Speaker 3: Duncan's the more technical all around fighter. But you know,

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Speaker 3: plus one thirty five solid chance. I think the striking

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Speaker 3: is going to be pretty close. We haven't really seen

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Speaker 3: much grappling from either guy. And then my other one

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Speaker 3: is Josh Cooleyboo. He's fighting were Own Murphy and it's

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Speaker 3: probably going to be mostly a stand up fight where

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Speaker 3: I think Murphy has a little bit of an edge.

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Speaker 3: You know, Murphy's definitely got the size on him. But

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Speaker 3: if it does get tenny grappling, Kuliboo just has a

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Speaker 3: massive advantage and Sean talks about it all the time.

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Speaker 3: But if we can get grappling upside from an underdog fighter,

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Speaker 3: we're almost all always going to take that. I'm a

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Speaker 3: little concerned that Kulibaugh won't try to wrestle or make

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Speaker 3: it a grappling match and get sucked into brawling with

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Speaker 3: a bigger, faster opponent. But if we can get any

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Speaker 3: kind of grappling out of that, it's going to go

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Speaker 3: really well for him. And all we need them to

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Speaker 3: do is get one or two takedown so we cash it.

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Speaker 3: So you know, a little bit of sprinkle on both

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Speaker 3: maybe happy in and on either. Then we're happy if

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Speaker 3: we hit one, and the static if we hit both.

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Speaker 1: Featherweight matchup is our featured fight of the night for

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Speaker 1: Zerrilla and Billy. We've got Nathaniel Wood taking on Andre

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Speaker 1: Touchy Phely. Heely's at plus one sixty two would well

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Speaker 1: looking at Fandel right now, would minus two hundred Phey

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Speaker 1: at plus one sixty Zillo. Same as we discussed in

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Speaker 1: the main event, Wood's the favorite, Peely a shorter dog.

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Speaker 1: How are we breaking this one down and how might

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Speaker 1: we want to bet it?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, it's a fun fight. This is a really good

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Speaker 2: MMA fight. Both of these guys are really well rounded,

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Speaker 2: really skilled across all areas of MMA, striking, wrestling, grappling.

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Speaker 2: Nathaniel Wood has moved up from one thirty five to

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Speaker 2: one forty five. I believe this is his second fight

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Speaker 2: at one forty five after beating Charles Shurdaim. He is

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Speaker 2: smaller five inch reaches screpancy five inches shorter than Andre Feely,

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Speaker 2: but he's much faster.

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Speaker 3: Uh.

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Speaker 2: Nathanda Wood is a really smooth fighter, extremely skilled. Honestly,

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Speaker 2: you watch him and you you view him as a

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Speaker 2: championship level talent. He has all the skills. The one

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Speaker 2: concern is the chin, because he tends to get wobbled

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Speaker 2: about once per fight. And now that he's moved up

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Speaker 2: a division from one thirty five to one forty five, yes,

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Speaker 2: he's not going to have to cut weight and potentially

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Speaker 2: zap himself and you know, leave his chin a little

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Speaker 2: bit lessened compared to where he is without cutting weight.

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Speaker 2: But at the same time, he's also facing a longer

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Speaker 2: opponent and somebody who probably hits harder. So there is

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Speaker 2: the trade off of Wood goes up a weight class,

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Speaker 2: has a big speed advantage, but he's also fighting guys

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Speaker 2: who are longer and hit harder than him, and he

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Speaker 2: didn't have the best chin to begin with. I don't

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Speaker 2: think Philly has a great chint either though, and I

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Speaker 2: expect a pretty high paced war between these two across,

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Speaker 2: as I said, all levels of MMA, striking, grappling, wrestling,

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Speaker 2: I think the one who's likely to land takedowns and

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Speaker 2: hold them is probably Nathaniel Wood. Philly attempts takedowns at

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Speaker 2: a higher clip, but his takedown control, his offensive top

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Speaker 2: control is not as good as what Nathanda Wood can offer.

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Speaker 2: I think Wood can actually keep Pheelly on the ground,

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Speaker 2: maybe even reverse position after Phelly takes him down, So

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Speaker 2: would to me is the better grappler. He has the

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Speaker 2: faster hands. Phelly's advantages mostly come down to size and

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Speaker 2: maybe experience in this division. But I think Nathanda Wood

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Speaker 2: is actually the better fighter across the board. And when

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Speaker 2: I see his skill discrepancy like that, especially in a

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Speaker 2: fight that I expect to be high paced, I kind

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Speaker 2: of lean towards the under. So the under two and

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Speaker 2: a half is a big, juicy plus one ninety. I

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Speaker 2: think that's very interesting. The fight end inside the distance

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Speaker 2: closer to plus one sixty, but I'm just going to

330
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Speaker 2: take Nathaniel Wood went inside the distance at plus three hundred.

331
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Speaker 2: Not a big power puncher by any means, but I

332
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Speaker 2: think the handspeed differential here is going to be pretty big.

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00:16:11,920 --> 00:16:15,480
Speaker 2: And Philly, you know, is phelly. I wanted to mention right,

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Speaker 2: he's a few years older, four years older, even in

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Speaker 2: a lighter weight class. It seems like he's a guy

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Speaker 2: who's slowing down just the touch. Knocked out in his

337
00:16:25,640 --> 00:16:29,800
Speaker 2: last fight, last decision against Bill Algao, probably didn't deserve

338
00:16:29,840 --> 00:16:32,400
Speaker 2: to get it. I thought Algio might have won that fight.

339
00:16:33,400 --> 00:16:36,280
Speaker 2: Pheelly maybe still it with submission attempts. But it seems

340
00:16:36,320 --> 00:16:39,320
Speaker 2: like that athletic decline is sort of coming for him,

341
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Speaker 2: even though he's only thirty three, just because he's in

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Speaker 2: one of those lower weight classes. So I really think

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Speaker 2: the speed discrepancy here is going to be massive, and

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Speaker 2: I would expect Wood to land some really crisp combinations

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Speaker 2: and potentially put him down. So what inside the distance

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Speaker 2: plus three hundred my bet on this fight.

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Speaker 1: Billy, your luck ratings article still mirrors the odds would

348
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Speaker 1: as we said minus two hundred instead of laying the

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Speaker 1: minus two hundred juice. Another angle on playing Wood for

350
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Speaker 1: this weekend.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm looking at the FanDuel Special the round three

352
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Speaker 3: or decision prop on him at minus one ten. Zerilla

353
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Speaker 3: nailed most of my thought. I think Wood is pretty

354
00:17:18,440 --> 00:17:22,440
Speaker 3: much better at everything than Andre Feeley, other than you know, size, strength, power,

355
00:17:22,480 --> 00:17:24,960
Speaker 3: that kind of thing. I don't love that Wood came

356
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Speaker 3: up a weight class. I didn't think he was an

357
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Speaker 3: especially big one thirty five, or he didn't look like

358
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Speaker 3: he was dwarfing his opponents there. You know, normally I'm

359
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Speaker 3: a fan of guys in their late twenties early thirties

360
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Speaker 3: moving up. This is kind of a rare exception. But

361
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Speaker 3: with that said, you know, the skill level tends to

362
00:17:39,000 --> 00:17:40,399
Speaker 3: get a little bit lower as you go up the

363
00:17:40,400 --> 00:17:43,600
Speaker 3: weight class, as does the speed, which is going to

364
00:17:43,600 --> 00:17:46,240
Speaker 3: be a huge advantage for him. The only I guess,

365
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Speaker 3: the only way I disagree with Sean a little bit

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Speaker 3: is that I think if Wood gets a finish, it's

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Speaker 3: probably going to be late rather than early. He doesn't

368
00:17:53,560 --> 00:17:55,159
Speaker 3: have a ton of power, didn't have a ton of

369
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Speaker 3: power at one thirty five, certainly doesn't it one forty five.

370
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Speaker 3: But if he's going to finish. You he throws a

371
00:17:59,800 --> 00:18:02,440
Speaker 3: lot of body shots, the leg kicks, all those things

372
00:18:02,440 --> 00:18:04,159
Speaker 3: that take time to develop and kind of wear a

373
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Speaker 3: guy down over time. And then obviously the decision win

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00:18:07,240 --> 00:18:09,760
Speaker 3: is probably the most likely outcome here. So we're getting

375
00:18:09,760 --> 00:18:11,800
Speaker 3: close to even money on round three or by decision.

376
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Speaker 3: If you wanted to stretch it a little bit or

377
00:18:14,560 --> 00:18:16,360
Speaker 3: pay a little bit more juice, but increase your win

378
00:18:16,440 --> 00:18:19,840
Speaker 3: rate anywhere with the same game parlay going over one

379
00:18:19,920 --> 00:18:22,440
Speaker 3: round over one and a half, those are viable options too.

380
00:18:23,119 --> 00:18:27,000
Speaker 3: You know, I think round three finish is probably ironically

381
00:18:27,080 --> 00:18:29,000
Speaker 3: the likeliest time for Wood to pick up a finish,

382
00:18:29,080 --> 00:18:31,280
Speaker 3: but normally those rates decline over time. So if we

383
00:18:31,320 --> 00:18:33,399
Speaker 3: wanted to get real juicy, you go round three finish.

384
00:18:33,560 --> 00:18:35,119
Speaker 3: Kind of take the best of both of our bets.

385
00:18:35,200 --> 00:18:37,719
Speaker 3: But I'm happy getting him in round three or by

386
00:18:37,760 --> 00:18:38,840
Speaker 3: decision at minus one ten.

387
00:18:39,240 --> 00:18:41,119
Speaker 2: I'm glad Billy mentioned the leg kicks. That is a

388
00:18:41,119 --> 00:18:43,640
Speaker 2: big advantage for Wood in this fight and a big

389
00:18:43,720 --> 00:18:45,919
Speaker 2: weapon for would to use in this fight, you know,

390
00:18:46,000 --> 00:18:49,239
Speaker 2: having that five inch reach discrepancy, needing to sort of

391
00:18:49,560 --> 00:18:51,639
Speaker 2: find ways to enter the pocket. Well, one way he

392
00:18:51,680 --> 00:18:54,239
Speaker 2: can do that is to chop down Philly's lead leg

393
00:18:54,280 --> 00:18:57,040
Speaker 2: from the outside and then eventually once he slows down,

394
00:18:57,119 --> 00:18:58,720
Speaker 2: what to close the distance and box him up a

395
00:18:58,720 --> 00:19:00,760
Speaker 2: little bit more So, Yeah, leg kick is going to

396
00:19:00,760 --> 00:19:04,240
Speaker 2: be a huge tool for Wood, sort of breaking down

397
00:19:04,240 --> 00:19:05,439
Speaker 2: that reach discrepancy here.

398
00:19:06,280 --> 00:19:09,960
Speaker 1: It's turned to the prop market for UFC London again

399
00:19:10,000 --> 00:19:14,000
Speaker 1: this weekend at the O two Arena in London. Zrilla Ware,

400
00:19:14,520 --> 00:19:16,280
Speaker 1: do you see value in the prop market for this

401
00:19:16,320 --> 00:19:17,120
Speaker 1: coming Saturday.

402
00:19:18,000 --> 00:19:21,199
Speaker 2: Yeah, there's a few inside the distance props that I like,

403
00:19:21,240 --> 00:19:24,680
Speaker 2: but probably my favorite amongst them, as I've just mentioned

404
00:19:24,760 --> 00:19:27,520
Speaker 2: Nathaniel Wood, is Julia stolia Erenco. In the comin event

405
00:19:28,040 --> 00:19:30,040
Speaker 2: at plus two seventy five, you get also better to

406
00:19:30,040 --> 00:19:32,720
Speaker 2: win in round one at plus six hundred. She's a

407
00:19:32,720 --> 00:19:34,920
Speaker 2: bit of a submission specialist, but she's the bigger fighter

408
00:19:34,920 --> 00:19:37,679
Speaker 2: here in this matchup, and we've seen Molly McCann have

409
00:19:37,760 --> 00:19:40,119
Speaker 2: a grappling deficiency in the past or last fight against

410
00:19:40,080 --> 00:19:43,760
Speaker 2: Aaron Landfield absolutely dominated on the map, but that's not

411
00:19:43,880 --> 00:19:48,280
Speaker 2: the first time that has happened. Stoly Ranco Fornch each

412
00:19:48,320 --> 00:19:51,680
Speaker 2: advantage three inches taller. I don't think that's necessarily going

413
00:19:51,680 --> 00:19:53,960
Speaker 2: to help her in the striking. She does have a

414
00:19:53,960 --> 00:19:57,160
Speaker 2: striking background, and it's more called lethway where head butts

415
00:19:57,200 --> 00:20:00,199
Speaker 2: are legal, and it's a completely bizarre sport that is

416
00:20:00,240 --> 00:20:03,920
Speaker 2: like mma, but somehow even more violent. But I think

417
00:20:04,000 --> 00:20:06,480
Speaker 2: McCann has the clear striking advantage here, probably the power

418
00:20:06,480 --> 00:20:09,760
Speaker 2: advantage too, and maybe even the durability advantage on the

419
00:20:09,760 --> 00:20:12,560
Speaker 2: feet as well. Molly is a little tank on the feet,

420
00:20:13,080 --> 00:20:15,320
Speaker 2: but if stoly Ranco gets her down, I think she's

421
00:20:15,320 --> 00:20:17,840
Speaker 2: gonna put her in serious troubles. So I like this

422
00:20:17,920 --> 00:20:20,240
Speaker 2: fight in inside the distance. It's juiced too, about minus

423
00:20:20,280 --> 00:20:24,880
Speaker 2: two hundred in a division women's flyway where fights probably

424
00:20:24,960 --> 00:20:27,920
Speaker 2: go to a decision i'd say closer to sixty percent

425
00:20:27,960 --> 00:20:30,440
Speaker 2: of the time than finish sixty percent of the time

426
00:20:30,520 --> 00:20:32,600
Speaker 2: or seventy percent of the time. So a very juiced

427
00:20:32,680 --> 00:20:35,000
Speaker 2: up fight end inside the distance prop But it also

428
00:20:35,000 --> 00:20:37,760
Speaker 2: seems like a very binary matchup. We're one of the

429
00:20:37,760 --> 00:20:40,479
Speaker 2: other finishes, but I would actually get more finishing equity

430
00:20:40,480 --> 00:20:42,680
Speaker 2: to do sliwly Ranco. I would say McCann is likely

431
00:20:42,760 --> 00:20:46,359
Speaker 2: to win a decision with her striking, then you know

432
00:20:46,400 --> 00:20:49,439
Speaker 2: slowly Ranco is just going to fold, So rather than

433
00:20:49,520 --> 00:20:52,240
Speaker 2: laying that minus three hundred fight end inside the distance.

434
00:20:52,280 --> 00:20:54,680
Speaker 2: I'd rather bet Stoly Ranco at plus three hundred plus

435
00:20:54,760 --> 00:20:57,040
Speaker 2: two seventy five. Then, as I said, her round one

436
00:20:57,119 --> 00:21:01,920
Speaker 2: prop as well the way into watch. Certainly for this fight,

437
00:21:02,400 --> 00:21:04,359
Speaker 2: Stollia Ranco took her last fight, to believe it, one

438
00:21:04,480 --> 00:21:08,160
Speaker 2: forty five. She's always had trouble making one twenty five.

439
00:21:08,240 --> 00:21:10,080
Speaker 2: She's coming back down to one twenty five here. I

440
00:21:10,080 --> 00:21:12,640
Speaker 2: think it's very unlikely she makes the weight. So we'll

441
00:21:12,640 --> 00:21:15,040
Speaker 2: see if this fight even goes off, if McCann has

442
00:21:15,080 --> 00:21:18,280
Speaker 2: to take a catchweight bout but odd booking but slowly.

443
00:21:18,359 --> 00:21:20,600
Speaker 2: Ranco's just bigger. She's just bigger, and if she gets

444
00:21:20,640 --> 00:21:22,200
Speaker 2: her down early, she's gonna put her in trouble.

445
00:21:23,680 --> 00:21:26,399
Speaker 1: Are YOUFC? Betting previews are presented by Fandel and Billy

446
00:21:26,440 --> 00:21:28,800
Speaker 1: Once again, you have a FanDuel special to share with

447
00:21:28,880 --> 00:21:30,840
Speaker 1: us for your prop. What might that be?

448
00:21:32,040 --> 00:21:33,960
Speaker 3: Yeah, real quick, before we get to that, the weigh

449
00:21:34,040 --> 00:21:36,520
Speaker 3: ends were earlier today because of the time change, and

450
00:21:37,320 --> 00:21:39,640
Speaker 3: Stulia Rinko made it no problem. I was surprised too.

451
00:21:39,920 --> 00:21:40,680
Speaker 2: That is shocking.

452
00:21:41,000 --> 00:21:43,240
Speaker 3: So who knows what she walked around at. Maybe she

453
00:21:43,320 --> 00:21:47,359
Speaker 3: wasn't really cutting at one forty five but yeah, moving on,

454
00:21:47,600 --> 00:21:49,920
Speaker 3: I could not let this event get past us without

455
00:21:50,000 --> 00:21:52,960
Speaker 3: talking about our favorite fighter, Paul Craig. It is just

456
00:21:53,040 --> 00:21:55,240
Speaker 3: hilarious watching Paul Craig fight. You know, he paints his

457
00:21:55,320 --> 00:21:58,160
Speaker 3: face like Braveheart at the way in super intense guy

458
00:21:58,200 --> 00:22:00,920
Speaker 3: screams in your face. Then he proceeds to come out,

459
00:22:01,000 --> 00:22:02,920
Speaker 3: get punched in the face a million times while trying

460
00:22:02,960 --> 00:22:06,320
Speaker 3: to pull guard, and occasionally pulls a crazy submission out

461
00:22:06,359 --> 00:22:09,119
Speaker 3: of nowhere when we all thought he was already unconscious.

462
00:22:09,400 --> 00:22:12,880
Speaker 3: So the typical Paul Craig fight is either Paul Craig

463
00:22:12,920 --> 00:22:15,679
Speaker 3: gets knocked out pretty violently and we worry about his

464
00:22:15,720 --> 00:22:18,560
Speaker 3: health and safety for a while, or in the midst

465
00:22:18,600 --> 00:22:21,280
Speaker 3: of getting knocked out pretty violently, Paul Craig lands some

466
00:22:21,400 --> 00:22:25,120
Speaker 3: crazy submission and just looks like a wizard who makes

467
00:22:25,119 --> 00:22:28,359
Speaker 3: guys tap out out of nowhere. Sanduel is offering a

468
00:22:28,440 --> 00:22:31,320
Speaker 3: bet at plus one fifty five where you win if

469
00:22:31,359 --> 00:22:34,320
Speaker 3: Paul Craig gets his submission or Andre munieds his opponent

470
00:22:34,359 --> 00:22:38,280
Speaker 3: gets a PKO. I would love just Andre Mune's PKO

471
00:22:38,600 --> 00:22:41,119
Speaker 3: at plus money. At this point, you know, Craig is

472
00:22:41,160 --> 00:22:43,320
Speaker 3: getting older, been knocked out pretty badly, a couple of

473
00:22:43,359 --> 00:22:46,440
Speaker 3: times cutting the one to eighty five, which also made weight,

474
00:22:46,520 --> 00:22:48,600
Speaker 3: So maybe not a big deal for them. To get

475
00:22:48,600 --> 00:22:51,159
Speaker 3: the Paul Craig submission, which is his likeliest win condition

476
00:22:51,240 --> 00:22:54,520
Speaker 3: on there is a huge gift. I think this one.

477
00:22:55,080 --> 00:22:57,960
Speaker 3: I like the Paul Craig subots just by themselves. Andre

478
00:22:58,080 --> 00:23:00,679
Speaker 3: Munie's is also a grappler. I'd be a little bit

479
00:23:00,680 --> 00:23:02,600
Speaker 3: more willing to engage with Craig on the mat than

480
00:23:02,760 --> 00:23:05,640
Speaker 3: many of his past opponents. But just the interesting prop.

481
00:23:05,720 --> 00:23:08,800
Speaker 3: You know, we talked in our Experts guide about all

482
00:23:08,840 --> 00:23:10,919
Speaker 3: the new props coming out all the time. This is

483
00:23:10,960 --> 00:23:13,199
Speaker 3: one I kind of just fumbled across and plus one

484
00:23:13,240 --> 00:23:15,439
Speaker 3: fifty five I love it this This one feels like

485
00:23:15,440 --> 00:23:17,640
Speaker 3: it should be almost even money. So just to get

486
00:23:17,640 --> 00:23:20,320
Speaker 3: both those guys most likely win conditions and we get

487
00:23:20,320 --> 00:23:22,680
Speaker 3: to enjoy the weirdness that is a Paul Craig fight.

488
00:23:22,840 --> 00:23:24,880
Speaker 3: So plus one fifty five taken that one.

489
00:23:26,280 --> 00:23:29,560
Speaker 1: Anything to add on Paul Craig schanzerlo.

490
00:23:29,160 --> 00:23:30,760
Speaker 2: So I'm not sure really said up with Paul Craig

491
00:23:30,840 --> 00:23:33,520
Speaker 2: moving down here, or he might have moved down in

492
00:23:33,560 --> 00:23:36,680
Speaker 2: his last fright from two five to one eighty five,

493
00:23:36,720 --> 00:23:39,680
Speaker 2: which is a big drop for him. He was never

494
00:23:39,760 --> 00:23:43,400
Speaker 2: the biggest light heavyweight. But also he looks really sort

495
00:23:43,440 --> 00:23:47,600
Speaker 2: of sucked out fighting at middleweight now, so durability that

496
00:23:47,720 --> 00:23:50,040
Speaker 2: was already a serious question mark. I get two oh

497
00:23:50,119 --> 00:23:56,080
Speaker 2: five middleweights don't hit significantly lesser than the light heavyweights do.

498
00:23:56,320 --> 00:23:59,520
Speaker 2: I'm just very concerned about Paul Craig's chin, and you know,

499
00:23:59,680 --> 00:24:02,440
Speaker 2: just take king a straight up Andre Buneese knockout prop

500
00:24:02,920 --> 00:24:06,040
Speaker 2: I think could be interesting. Oftentimes, when you see two

501
00:24:06,080 --> 00:24:09,720
Speaker 2: really good jiu jitsu pract practitioners fight off, they end

502
00:24:09,800 --> 00:24:11,800
Speaker 2: up having a slugfest where you know, you get two

503
00:24:11,800 --> 00:24:16,760
Speaker 2: strikers wrestling. Sometimes the guys try to compete in the

504
00:24:16,880 --> 00:24:20,359
Speaker 2: style that they think they might have an advantage in

505
00:24:20,440 --> 00:24:23,120
Speaker 2: that they assume their opponent doesn't because it's not their

506
00:24:23,600 --> 00:24:26,840
Speaker 2: primary skill sets. So I could end up seeing some

507
00:24:27,000 --> 00:24:30,240
Speaker 2: sloppy striking fight here where one of them gets knocked out.

508
00:24:30,320 --> 00:24:33,960
Speaker 2: Craig throws really hard to but you needs at knockout

509
00:24:34,440 --> 00:24:37,320
Speaker 2: plus four to thirty certainly caught my attention. As Billy said,

510
00:24:37,359 --> 00:24:39,639
Speaker 2: he could land a knock down and then you know,

511
00:24:39,720 --> 00:24:42,280
Speaker 2: Craig throws up a triangle and finishes him the other way.

512
00:24:42,320 --> 00:24:44,960
Speaker 2: But yeah, I don't. I don't love the matchup for

513
00:24:45,040 --> 00:24:48,439
Speaker 2: Crack against the guy with better Brazilian jiu jitsu, but

514
00:24:48,560 --> 00:24:52,320
Speaker 2: I think we might see like a really sloppy, funny

515
00:24:52,359 --> 00:24:54,840
Speaker 2: brawl between these two submission artists.

516
00:24:56,160 --> 00:24:59,280
Speaker 3: Billy Mitch to jump in on that. Neither of these

517
00:24:59,280 --> 00:25:01,919
Speaker 3: guys can wrestle, right, they both have excellent submissions but

518
00:25:01,960 --> 00:25:04,520
Speaker 3: can't really get takedowns of their own. But we don't

519
00:25:04,560 --> 00:25:07,280
Speaker 3: really see either of them defensively wrestling at all because

520
00:25:07,320 --> 00:25:09,560
Speaker 3: no one ever tries to take them down. So it'll

521
00:25:09,600 --> 00:25:11,879
Speaker 3: be interesting to see, you know, kind of who shoots first,

522
00:25:12,080 --> 00:25:14,160
Speaker 3: if one of them has defense, or if Paul Craig

523
00:25:14,280 --> 00:25:16,879
Speaker 3: just does his horrible shoot for a double leg. Realize,

524
00:25:16,880 --> 00:25:18,560
Speaker 3: I'm not going to get them flop to my back

525
00:25:18,640 --> 00:25:20,760
Speaker 3: routine because if he does that, I think you needs

526
00:25:20,800 --> 00:25:23,320
Speaker 3: will probably just Toompson knock him out. But we'll see.

527
00:25:23,359 --> 00:25:25,760
Speaker 3: It should be just a hilarious fight to watch. I'm

528
00:25:25,800 --> 00:25:29,199
Speaker 3: really looking forward to both my bet and watching this one.

529
00:25:29,440 --> 00:25:31,359
Speaker 2: When they are striking too, Craig is going to be

530
00:25:31,400 --> 00:25:34,080
Speaker 2: throwing an content. You know, his technique is not good,

531
00:25:34,600 --> 00:25:37,000
Speaker 2: but he does throw hard. He tries to hurt his

532
00:25:37,040 --> 00:25:41,000
Speaker 2: opponents he's not drabbing, he's like winging hooks in overhands

533
00:25:41,000 --> 00:25:43,440
Speaker 2: and actually trying to hurt his opponents. So Paul Craig

534
00:25:43,520 --> 00:25:45,560
Speaker 2: might knock out at plus fourteen hundred. I mean, it's

535
00:25:46,440 --> 00:25:48,560
Speaker 2: not the worst angle in the world either. I as

536
00:25:48,600 --> 00:25:51,000
Speaker 2: Billy said, neither of these guys are good offensive wrestlers.

537
00:25:51,280 --> 00:25:54,000
Speaker 2: It's very possible that this just turns into a striking fight.

538
00:25:54,080 --> 00:25:57,600
Speaker 2: So taking fight ends by ko either fight or by knockout.

539
00:25:57,720 --> 00:25:59,159
Speaker 2: I think could be a fun way to play this,

540
00:26:01,240 --> 00:26:03,920
Speaker 2: the opposite of how they would normally fight. But that's

541
00:26:04,040 --> 00:26:06,040
Speaker 2: when you get two guys like this sometimes that's how

542
00:26:06,080 --> 00:26:06,360
Speaker 2: it goes.

543
00:26:06,600 --> 00:26:09,080
Speaker 3: Just a ridiculous understatement to say that his striking is

544
00:26:09,080 --> 00:26:11,439
Speaker 3: bad and he throws hard, like both of those are

545
00:26:11,520 --> 00:26:14,199
Speaker 3: right extreme examples.

546
00:26:14,280 --> 00:26:17,680
Speaker 1: With that, Billy on the Hotline has been phenomenal plugging

547
00:26:17,720 --> 00:26:21,680
Speaker 1: Fandel's specials. Also, the Experts Guide to Betting UFC episode

548
00:26:21,760 --> 00:26:25,520
Speaker 1: is available now on the Action Network podcast for anyone interested.

549
00:26:25,560 --> 00:26:28,280
Speaker 1: Billy and Sean join Maria Marino on that episode, so

550
00:26:28,760 --> 00:26:31,239
Speaker 1: to reference what Billy's talking about, you can listen to

551
00:26:31,280 --> 00:26:34,880
Speaker 1: that as well. Just a general outlook on betting the UFC.

552
00:26:35,280 --> 00:26:39,840
Speaker 1: Before we go final bet best bet. I'm always fascinated

553
00:26:39,880 --> 00:26:42,360
Speaker 1: to find out which category it might fall in. Zarillo.

554
00:26:42,880 --> 00:26:45,840
Speaker 1: Each each of you, Billy and Zarrillo have a moneyline

555
00:26:45,880 --> 00:26:48,919
Speaker 1: play to wrap up the pod on this Friday morning. Zarrillo,

556
00:26:49,080 --> 00:26:53,359
Speaker 1: your moneyline pick for UFC London to take us home.

557
00:26:53,800 --> 00:26:56,280
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm gonna go with Danny Hotchalco at Roberts. He

558
00:26:56,400 --> 00:26:58,840
Speaker 2: is the more scope fighter here. He's the bigger fighter here.

559
00:26:59,640 --> 00:27:01,640
Speaker 2: It is the issue that we talked about a couple

560
00:27:01,640 --> 00:27:04,080
Speaker 2: weeks ago. Shannon Rosser like his comes up from time

561
00:27:04,119 --> 00:27:08,320
Speaker 2: to time when we bet. Jason Witt. I'm afraid anytime

562
00:27:08,359 --> 00:27:10,360
Speaker 2: he takes a punch that he might get folded up

563
00:27:10,520 --> 00:27:12,920
Speaker 2: and collapse. He just does not have a good shin.

564
00:27:13,040 --> 00:27:16,320
Speaker 2: But he is clearly the more skilled fighter here. He's

565
00:27:16,320 --> 00:27:18,680
Speaker 2: four inches taller, he has a five inch reach advantage.

566
00:27:18,680 --> 00:27:22,200
Speaker 2: He's also a seuth paw and Southpaw fighters going against

567
00:27:22,280 --> 00:27:25,639
Speaker 2: Orthodox fighters tend to win about fifty five percent to

568
00:27:25,720 --> 00:27:29,159
Speaker 2: forty five percent of the matchups. There's just an inherent

569
00:27:29,200 --> 00:27:32,320
Speaker 2: advantage with the south Paws and Orthodox fighters not being

570
00:27:32,400 --> 00:27:36,000
Speaker 2: used to facing them, where southpaws are often facing Orthodox

571
00:27:36,040 --> 00:27:38,159
Speaker 2: fighters in the gym. So some fighters just don't adjust

572
00:27:38,160 --> 00:27:41,520
Speaker 2: as well to seuth pause. But that's you know, the

573
00:27:41,680 --> 00:27:43,639
Speaker 2: size the south butt like, there's a lot of built

574
00:27:43,680 --> 00:27:47,000
Speaker 2: in advantages for Roberts in terms of the physicality on

575
00:27:47,160 --> 00:27:51,399
Speaker 2: top of the skill discrepancy. Here, Parsons was losing his

576
00:27:51,440 --> 00:27:56,560
Speaker 2: Contender Series fight. Basically his opponent Solomon Renfro gassed out.

577
00:27:57,520 --> 00:28:01,480
Speaker 2: I think Parsons was gifted a decision. Probably shouldn't even

578
00:28:01,520 --> 00:28:05,320
Speaker 2: have a UFC contract. Roberts just you know, has fought

579
00:28:05,320 --> 00:28:09,399
Speaker 2: a lot of high level competition. This is essentially a

580
00:28:09,400 --> 00:28:11,520
Speaker 2: step down for him against the guy making his debut.

581
00:28:12,640 --> 00:28:15,280
Speaker 2: There's no reason why this should be a pick him

582
00:28:15,320 --> 00:28:17,720
Speaker 2: aside from the fact that he might get knocked out.

583
00:28:17,800 --> 00:28:20,399
Speaker 2: So I made him closer to about sixty percent in

584
00:28:20,440 --> 00:28:22,560
Speaker 2: this matchup. I would bet him out to about minus

585
00:28:22,600 --> 00:28:28,040
Speaker 2: one twenty five minus one thirty the inside of the distance. Also,

586
00:28:28,400 --> 00:28:30,919
Speaker 2: I think is interesting as well, I should mention with

587
00:28:30,960 --> 00:28:34,719
Speaker 2: Parsons since that Contender Series win, he's had other fights

588
00:28:34,760 --> 00:28:39,120
Speaker 2: booked that were canceled because he was dealing with concussion symptoms.

589
00:28:39,160 --> 00:28:44,040
Speaker 2: So both guys, you know, have potential durability concerns. Considering

590
00:28:44,160 --> 00:28:47,120
Speaker 2: Roberts often gets knocked out and Parsons is literally coming

591
00:28:47,120 --> 00:28:50,600
Speaker 2: off of a layoff that was related to concussions. But

592
00:28:50,640 --> 00:28:52,680
Speaker 2: that that just kind of makes me like Roberts more

593
00:28:52,720 --> 00:28:54,640
Speaker 2: if the durability is going to be a question on

594
00:28:54,680 --> 00:28:57,320
Speaker 2: either side. So yeah, pretty easy bet for me to make.

595
00:28:58,600 --> 00:29:00,400
Speaker 2: And if Roberts loses, he's going to get cut and

596
00:29:00,400 --> 00:29:02,040
Speaker 2: I never have to bet on him again anyways. So

597
00:29:02,480 --> 00:29:02,800
Speaker 2: that's that.

598
00:29:04,040 --> 00:29:06,000
Speaker 1: A lot of chin talk on this episode today.

599
00:29:06,000 --> 00:29:06,760
Speaker 2: I'm enjoying that the.

600
00:29:07,160 --> 00:29:10,960
Speaker 1: Chin references Billy Money line play for you before we go.

601
00:29:12,040 --> 00:29:14,480
Speaker 3: Yeah, I love the if a guy loses, he's gonna

602
00:29:14,480 --> 00:29:16,280
Speaker 3: get cut and I don't have to worry about him logic.

603
00:29:16,280 --> 00:29:20,360
Speaker 3: I'm gonna start start stealing that too. But yeah, this

604
00:29:20,480 --> 00:29:22,840
Speaker 3: is another one I discussed in the luck ratings. I

605
00:29:22,880 --> 00:29:25,080
Speaker 3: can't believe this line. Well, this line did move and

606
00:29:25,120 --> 00:29:26,640
Speaker 3: then it came back a little bit, but it's just

607
00:29:26,760 --> 00:29:29,800
Speaker 3: fell Filo. And if people don't remember, he fought Mohammed

608
00:29:29,840 --> 00:29:32,880
Speaker 3: Makayev the last time they were in London. Makaya is

609
00:29:32,960 --> 00:29:35,600
Speaker 3: like probably the most touted one hundred and twenty five

610
00:29:35,640 --> 00:29:38,280
Speaker 3: pound prospect we've seen in a while, and Philo had

611
00:29:38,280 --> 00:29:41,320
Speaker 3: MOKAIV in a fully extended knee Bar. Can't believe mokay

612
00:29:41,320 --> 00:29:44,040
Speaker 3: have survived it. And then when he lost that, there's

613
00:29:44,080 --> 00:29:46,760
Speaker 3: a deep into the third round. You know, he clearly dumps,

614
00:29:46,960 --> 00:29:50,080
Speaker 3: dumps the tank trying to finish that knee bar. When

615
00:29:50,120 --> 00:29:52,520
Speaker 3: that didn't work, kind of just gave in, got tapped

616
00:29:52,520 --> 00:29:54,720
Speaker 3: out after that. But to look as good as he

617
00:29:54,800 --> 00:29:58,240
Speaker 3: did in his debut against Mohammed Makayev, I was really impressed.

618
00:29:58,640 --> 00:30:00,520
Speaker 3: I also think the UFC was in press and is

619
00:30:00,560 --> 00:30:02,560
Speaker 3: giving him a little bit easier of a fight against

620
00:30:02,560 --> 00:30:06,440
Speaker 3: the debuting Daniel Barrez this time. Not a ton of

621
00:30:06,480 --> 00:30:08,960
Speaker 3: tape on Barez. Don't know a lot about him, but

622
00:30:09,000 --> 00:30:12,120
Speaker 3: Barez didn't lose his Dana White Contender series about back

623
00:30:12,160 --> 00:30:14,920
Speaker 3: in twenty twenty one before being given another shot. So

624
00:30:15,280 --> 00:30:18,880
Speaker 3: Celio Philo looks like he certainly belongs here. I don't

625
00:30:18,920 --> 00:30:21,160
Speaker 3: know that we can say that about Barez. And just

626
00:30:21,200 --> 00:30:23,840
Speaker 3: like Zula with Roberts had taken to probably beat him

627
00:30:23,960 --> 00:30:26,600
Speaker 3: minus one twenty five minus one thirty, the minus one

628
00:30:26,640 --> 00:30:28,640
Speaker 3: ten on FanDuel just feels like a gift.

629
00:30:30,440 --> 00:30:33,280
Speaker 1: All right, fellas, Billy, good luck to you and the

630
00:30:33,760 --> 00:30:36,680
Speaker 1: camera feed the Wi Fi whatever you need to so

631
00:30:36,720 --> 00:30:37,720
Speaker 1: we can see your face again.

632
00:30:39,080 --> 00:30:41,920
Speaker 3: Yeap, hope to be back next week at the very latest.

633
00:30:42,280 --> 00:30:46,160
Speaker 1: Looking at you guys, it still sounds awesome, just that

634
00:30:46,200 --> 00:30:50,960
Speaker 1: the talk radio guest caller vibe. It sounds so good.

635
00:30:51,040 --> 00:30:53,440
Speaker 2: But yeah, it's all that the static ads an element

636
00:30:53,480 --> 00:30:55,000
Speaker 2: of expertise, but it does.

637
00:30:55,680 --> 00:30:58,520
Speaker 1: Especially when he plugs the FanDuel specials and the Experts

638
00:30:58,600 --> 00:31:03,160
Speaker 1: Guide just pro absolute pro. You can find Sean Zillo

639
00:31:03,240 --> 00:31:05,280
Speaker 1: and Billy Ward in the Action Network app. You won't

640
00:31:05,320 --> 00:31:07,840
Speaker 1: see their faces, but you will see anything they add

641
00:31:08,520 --> 00:31:11,200
Speaker 1: for tomorrow's card and keep an eye especially on that

642
00:31:11,240 --> 00:31:14,720
Speaker 1: main event with Aspidel and Tyboraw. Any live ads by

643
00:31:14,760 --> 00:31:16,800
Speaker 1: the guys, you can check that out in the Action

644
00:31:16,920 --> 00:31:22,600
Speaker 1: Network app. Again. The full card streaming on ESPN Plus.

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00:31:23,080 --> 00:31:25,280
Speaker 2: Get those bets in early New Eastern.

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00:31:25,400 --> 00:31:27,000
Speaker 1: New An Eastern start, that's right, So you got to

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00:31:27,040 --> 00:31:28,920
Speaker 1: get those in and then do whatever you need to

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00:31:28,960 --> 00:31:31,600
Speaker 1: do to enjoy. And from the sound of it, it

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00:31:31,600 --> 00:31:33,040
Speaker 1: looks like it sounds like a lot of fights that

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00:31:33,080 --> 00:31:35,360
Speaker 1: we're going to bet and enjoy watching at the same time,

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00:31:35,400 --> 00:31:36,520
Speaker 1: which doesn't always occur.

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00:31:36,840 --> 00:31:40,400
Speaker 2: Yeah, you know, when you get fifteen fights the volume approach,

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00:31:40,400 --> 00:31:42,080
Speaker 2: you're gonna end up hitting on a few that works,

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00:31:42,160 --> 00:31:45,360
Speaker 2: so glad to every fighter made weight. I just I

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00:31:45,400 --> 00:31:48,120
Speaker 2: hate handicapping these fifteen fight cards. It's too many fights.

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00:31:48,120 --> 00:31:50,400
Speaker 2: I'd rather have twelve makes it a bit easier to

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00:31:50,400 --> 00:31:52,120
Speaker 2: hone in on them. But yeah, a lot of potential

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00:31:52,160 --> 00:31:54,480
Speaker 2: action across fifteen fights there. If you can't find something

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00:31:54,520 --> 00:31:56,320
Speaker 2: to bet on, I don't know what you're doing.

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00:31:57,400 --> 00:31:59,840
Speaker 1: So that'll do it for our UFC London Betting pre

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00:32:00,000 --> 00:32:03,120
Speaker 1: Thank you again. We will join you next week here

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00:32:03,160 --> 00:32:05,760
Speaker 1: on the Action Network podcast from UFC Betting Previews. Thanks

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00:32:05,800 --> 00:32:13,920
Speaker 1: for tuning in. Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly.

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00:32:14,320 --> 00:32:17,160
Speaker 1: If you or someone you care about has a gambling problem,

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00:32:17,440 --> 00:32:20,080
Speaker 1: help is available twenty four to seven at one eight

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Speaker 1: hundred gambler