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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast podcast. All right,

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Speaker 1: here we go spreading the corn.

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Speaker 2: Ten seconds remaining, so just go show me up to

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Speaker 2: the basket.

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Speaker 3: Under the basket, it's the troup for the wind.

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Speaker 2: God make go abracle.

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Speaker 3: I just chop the water. Hit that one from the

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Speaker 3: parking lot.

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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Big Bets on Campus Podcast presented by

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Speaker 1: bet MGM. I am your host, Kai McEwan, joined by

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Speaker 1: the rest of the Three man Weave crew, Jim Root

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Speaker 1: and Matt Cox. Every Wednesday morning, we'll be dropping a

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Speaker 1: new BBOC episode talking all things betting in the world

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Speaker 1: of Kyle Hoops. Today's episode a standard format, folks, the

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Speaker 1: Live Dog of the Week, our Favorite section, the Power

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Speaker 1: Game of the Week, the mid Major Game of the Week,

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Speaker 1: the trash Man Pick of the week, and of course

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Speaker 1: a spotlight section. And guess what the spotlight section today? Interesting?

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Speaker 1: In my opinion, Conference ats the best and the worst

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Speaker 1: teams in conference play, who's turning it around, who's dominating

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Speaker 1: their leagues? Are there some surprises compared to non con

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Speaker 1: We shall dive in, but first, as we like to do,

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Speaker 1: we start with our favorite section, the Live Dog of

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Speaker 1: the Week and last week fellas pretty darn good. If

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Speaker 1: you listen to the show and you bet you cashed.

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Speaker 1: Utsa and Writer both won outright as doggies. Utsa took

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Speaker 1: down Tulane, Writer took down Saint Peter's Saint Peter's. I

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Speaker 1: believe that's right, yes, And in fact, a couple other

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Speaker 1: games that we recommended did pretty well as well. We

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Speaker 1: did not take them officially on the show, so can't

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Speaker 1: give us too much credit, but they were mentioned. Northern

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Speaker 1: Colorado covered against Eastern Washington did not win out right,

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Speaker 1: but covered in Portland state smacked Montana like smacked Montana

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Speaker 1: at home. So overall, boys, a nice job. I have

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Speaker 1: a a little bit of a four pack to present

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Speaker 1: to you today.

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Speaker 2: Where's mine? Where's mine? Job?

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Speaker 1: I'm not totally on board with all these I gotta

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Speaker 1: admit it's it's a it's a week er week in

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Speaker 1: my opinion. But alas we trudge on Wednesday, two power

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Speaker 1: games we're going to talk about. First. Georgia is hosting Alabama.

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Speaker 1: Georgia is plus seven at home. They nearly beat Tennessee

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Speaker 1: at home. They nearly came back and beat Florida in overtime.

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Speaker 1: They can get hot from three, they can maybe wreak

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Speaker 1: some havoc on ball handlers TVD, and then West Virginia

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Speaker 1: is hosting Cincinnati. West Virginia plus seven at home per

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Speaker 1: kem Pum. Of course, real spreads, they'll probably be a

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Speaker 1: little lower than this. They beat Kansas and Texas here

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Speaker 1: at home in Morgantown. They had to handle the ball

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Speaker 1: Kirk Chris. If you didn't see on an Instagram comment,

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Speaker 1: a guy said, Kurk quit turning the ball over. Kurr said,

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Speaker 1: I'm trying, bro. Trace is an awesome, awesome uh personality

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Speaker 1: in college basketball. But fellas, those are my two starts here.

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Speaker 1: Jim your thoughts on either one.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I like Georgia. I don't think Alabama is quite

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Speaker 3: the same team on the road. They almost lost at

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Speaker 3: Vanderbilt and bart Torvick letz you split up teams performance

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Speaker 3: by home and road. Alabama shooting forty four percent from

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Speaker 3: three in Tuscaloosa on true road games or in true

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Speaker 3: road games are sub nine point seven percent. It's just

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Speaker 3: not the same kind of confidence and kind of attack.

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Speaker 3: And they are so reliant on the three ball that

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Speaker 3: you start missing from there and they become much more

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Speaker 3: mortal Georgia is right there in the NCAA tournament discussion,

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Speaker 3: so it's not like they're rolling over and just trying

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Speaker 3: to get to the finish line like there usually are

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Speaker 3: an SEC play. I think this is a big win

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Speaker 3: for them. They they can win that one out right, guy,

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Speaker 3: It's what I'm taking. And Matthew, I'm also intrigued by

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Speaker 3: West Virginia with Jesse Edwards back in there.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm also taking Georgia. Georgia the.

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Speaker 2: I mean, just look at their home performances so far

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Speaker 2: this year. I mean, they probably should have beat Tennessee.

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Speaker 2: I don't say should have been Tennessee, but they were

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Speaker 2: in front of Tennessee most of that game, and you're

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Speaker 2: gonna basically get a pretty similar value money line wise

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Speaker 2: that you would have gotten in that game. I think

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Speaker 2: george is only getting better as you're getting more used

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Speaker 2: to their rotation. They had some guys in and out

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Speaker 2: of lineup early to start the year.

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Speaker 1: RJ.

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Speaker 2: Melendez, who's been kind of a whack a mole player

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Speaker 2: coming off his best game of the year, had thirty three, sorry,

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Speaker 2: thirty five in thirty three minutes against Florida in ot.

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Speaker 2: I like Georgia I'm with you.

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Speaker 1: So, yeah, I'm making it a threesome here, Fellas. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: I'm taking Georgia in the minaje TOI to beat Alabama. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: this team, Jimmy mentioned, they're on the cusp of mensa

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Speaker 1: Aby Tournament bid wild stuff. I will also take a

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Speaker 1: swing on West Virginia. The home court is real Cincinnati

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Speaker 1: a nice team, but I'm not totally convinced they're awesome

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Speaker 1: or anything like that. And Victor Lockin missed last game.

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Speaker 1: I'm not sure what his deal is, but he was

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Speaker 1: out of lineup. That is important, especially if Jesse Edwards

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Speaker 1: indeed does play for West Virginia.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, this is like the first game that West Virginia

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Speaker 3: will be true full roster of West Virginia. Edwards came

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Speaker 3: off the bench for sixteen minutes last game. I would

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Speaker 3: imagine he's back in the starting lineup by the time

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Speaker 3: this game is rolling around. And they actually have guards

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Speaker 3: to play with him, with Krisa Farakhan and Battle all

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Speaker 3: in there. They were not around when Edwards was dominating

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Speaker 3: the paint early in the year. Matt, You've I've said

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Speaker 3: this team has had like three seasons, three segments to

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Speaker 3: the season. This is basically the beginning of the third

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Speaker 3: segment where they're fully healthy and it could be a

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Speaker 3: dangerous I'm saying this in air quotes bad loss for

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Speaker 3: Big twelve and seed tournament teams because they've been bad

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Speaker 3: up to this point, but suddenly they're good enough to

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Speaker 3: beat you.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm sort of worried that West Virginia might just

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Speaker 2: be the prophecy that was never never came to fruition. Like,

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Speaker 2: I sort of don't love how they defend the shots.

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Speaker 2: Selection and overs have been really, really shaky, So I

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Speaker 2: disavow this one.

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Speaker 1: At a home, they beat Kansas and Texas at home,

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Speaker 1: I know the different genus one feels like a fluke,

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Speaker 1: and I don't know in Texas. I still don't trust

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Speaker 1: is even though they look good.

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Speaker 2: I just to in my loins and my plumes. I

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Speaker 2: just feel like West Virginia. It's like that they're not

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Speaker 2: what the one I.

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Speaker 1: Want them to be.

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Speaker 2: They won't become what I want them to be.

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Speaker 1: Always listen to your plumes. I can feel all the

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Speaker 1: way down on my plums. On Thursday, two more games here,

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Speaker 1: two lane at SMU. I'm not giving up my green wave.

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Speaker 1: I'm a two lane guy, I love this team, but

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Speaker 1: they haven't been great lately. They've been up and down

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Speaker 1: for sure, SMU maybe finally looking a little bit mortal.

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Speaker 1: They lost to Wichita, they lost North Texas. They are

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Speaker 1: a much better team at homes, that's the caveat both

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Speaker 1: those games were on the road. Tulane can handle the ball,

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Speaker 1: that's very key, and they can also throw teams off

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Speaker 1: with their zones. The key is they have to box out.

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Speaker 1: SEM's a good rebounding team. Two Lane has been getting

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Speaker 1: dominated on the glass out of their zone. And then

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Speaker 1: another team that plays zone Oregon State at UCLA Oregon

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Speaker 1: State plus seven per Kin Pom. Right now, the Beavers

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Speaker 1: are hot, hot hot. They just be both Arizona schools. Now,

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Speaker 1: UCLA did win in Corvallis in the first meeting, but

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Speaker 1: that these junk zones, they can be a kryptonite sort

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Speaker 1: of thing for the Bruins.

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Speaker 2: Crappy offense, oh no question. I just think this price

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Speaker 2: is going to be a little too too cheap. I'd

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Speaker 2: like getting more value. It's still Oregon State and it's

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Speaker 2: still Oregon State away from home. Even tu Lane too,

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Speaker 2: like you know this. I like the much better home

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Speaker 2: that I do on the road. SMU has actually been

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Speaker 2: pretty good as a large favor. I don't the've been

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Speaker 2: losing a lot of close games on the ball. They've

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Speaker 2: been really good now too. They can handle it. But

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Speaker 2: I think that pressure for us and you is could

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Speaker 2: be kind of an angry force, especially coming off that

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Speaker 2: tough loss to Whichital this weekend.

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Speaker 3: I'll ride with two. Actually, SMU has been awesome at

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Speaker 3: the rim defending. They've got some mobile bigs that are

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Speaker 3: down transfers from power conferences. Tyree Smith from Oklahoma State

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Speaker 3: Ambers Hilton was at Alabama previously. Ben to have to

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Speaker 3: score at the rim, but you've got to be able

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Speaker 3: to make shots, and Tulane has has shot makers on

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Speaker 3: that roster. You watch some of their games that turned

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Speaker 3: into shootouts and you're like, oh wow, they can score,

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Speaker 3: but I'm not sure they can actually get stops. I'm

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Speaker 3: not as afraid of SMU's offense. I think there's enough

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Speaker 3: shot making on tou lane to hang around Kai. At

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Speaker 3: the odds that your Kimpum's got at eleven, I think

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Speaker 3: that might be enough to intrigue me and make it

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Speaker 3: worth a swing.

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Speaker 1: Love it. I'm gonna say away both those from both

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Speaker 1: those games officially, Guys, any others to add I do

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Speaker 1: see one mentioned here? Jim, is this yours?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, this is the big swing of the week. Matt

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Speaker 3: had had won a couple weeks back. I don't even

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Speaker 3: remember what it was, but it was Florida was yeah.

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Speaker 3: I cackled at him and he ended up correct on

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Speaker 3: South Florida winning at Memphis. I'm well with Chicago State guy,

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Speaker 3: the Cougars on the road at Duquane. Chicago State is

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Speaker 3: down to four D one excuse me, four total games

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Speaker 3: left in their entire season. They've been playing a harrowing

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Speaker 3: gauntlet of a schedule, traveling everywhere because they're not in

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Speaker 3: a conference. But suddenly they have ten days rest and

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Speaker 3: are actually in a pretty decent schedule spot. Du Kaine's

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Speaker 3: been in the middle of an A ten kind of implosion.

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Speaker 3: Though they have won their last two, I wouldn't say

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Speaker 3: they're playing great. They did get to a Grant last

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Speaker 3: game back last game from injury, but he wasn't fully

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Speaker 3: his full self. I just don't see why this game

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Speaker 3: matters to Dukane, and I know it matters to Chicago State.

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Speaker 3: They're always well motivated under Gillion, so fourteen points on

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Speaker 3: the road. I'll take the swing, Matthew. I think Chicago

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Speaker 3: State's got a chance.

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Speaker 1: I love it.

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Speaker 2: They've just beat Stetson like not too long ago. That

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Speaker 2: sounds like a good team on the road. Probably should

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Speaker 2: have beat utep On a pretty terrible spot like Sharlow.

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Speaker 2: State just does not die a quick death. Occasionally they'll

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Speaker 2: crack and you kind of see the old Chicago State

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Speaker 2: rear it uggly ahead, but generally they're a cockroach in

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Speaker 2: all these games, and it feels like as tough as

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Speaker 2: the spots are, their opponents just don't care as much

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Speaker 2: like they use it as like a Peatritish type game,

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Speaker 2: especially in the mid to low major teams with really

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Speaker 2: only conference that matters. My Helmary swing kai is Rice.

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Speaker 2: I mean it is a massive hell Mary no chance

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Speaker 2: probably type of swing. But kind of following the same

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Speaker 2: South Florida blueprint from was that last week. I took

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Speaker 2: that the Bulls.

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Speaker 1: Against two weeks two weeks.

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Speaker 2: Ago, same premise here, fading Memphis as large favorite, higher

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Speaker 2: risk of Memphis circus continuing to employ her home Rice

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Speaker 2: is terrible, but they have some offensive firepower. They have

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Speaker 2: some high variance potential that can potentially prey on what

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Speaker 2: seems to be a pret dysfunctional Memphis team at this moment.

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Speaker 2: So I think the Owls might be hooting in FedEx Forum.

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Speaker 1: You're not gonna like the blowout section, Matthew. We'll discuss

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Speaker 1: the story soon. But running then dogs, there's blowouts of

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Speaker 1: the week. Yeah, good luck to you. Memphis can't be

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Speaker 1: anybody by more than ten. As a recap, I took

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Speaker 1: Georgia in West Virginia. Matt's on Georgia and Rice and

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Speaker 1: Jim Georgia, Tulane Chicago State. Well, it's going to blow

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Speaker 1: out city next section here last week, so Kim pom.

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Speaker 1: Of course, the spread was strange, so they did not

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Speaker 1: cover against the Paul de Paul was scrappy as crap

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Speaker 1: against the Golden Eagles. But Saint Mary's did beat Pacific

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Speaker 1: by forty eight points. They allowed twenty eight points total,

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Speaker 1: which is just a crazy number. Yeah, Saint Mary's just

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Speaker 1: smashed them. That was a good call for us, So

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Speaker 1: we'll take the split there.

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Speaker 3: Man, Saint Mary's. Maybe we'll touch on them later at

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Speaker 3: some point in the pod. But they're back, Matthew. I

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Speaker 3: know you love your gaels.

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Speaker 2: I'm still mad. They didn't cover four me against Lmu.

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Speaker 2: I just I didn't time the upswing right, so I

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Speaker 2: had laid a big number against the Lions and they

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Speaker 2: did not cover. I still believe they are back, Jim

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Speaker 2: as they continue to rack up wins.

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Speaker 1: So what do we got on tap this week? Honestly,

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Speaker 1: I don't love it again, I really don't. Army is

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Speaker 1: that Colgate. Normally this would be a home run smash

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Speaker 1: for me, but Colgate has just looked mortal this season.

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Speaker 1: They're not the Colgate of old. They're They're laying fourteen

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Speaker 1: for Kim Pum here at home. Army's not good. Colgate

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Speaker 1: is still five and three against the spreading Conference play.

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Speaker 1: They still generally do well in the Patriot, but this

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Speaker 1: year admittedly has been more shaky. I'm not sure I

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Speaker 1: totally buy this one. So TBD on that one. But

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Speaker 1: the one we're going to discuss on Wednesday. The other

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Speaker 1: one when there's one on Thursday as well, is Memphis Rice,

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Speaker 1: and Matt said he likes Rice in a Live Dog spot. Personally,

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Speaker 1: this feels like a Memphis smash. This is angry Memphis

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Speaker 1: bounce back. It's going to be over seventy possessions. This

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Speaker 1: version of Rice cannot handle athleticism, and that's what Memphis

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Speaker 1: has in spades. Rice has not been shooting the ball

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Speaker 1: very well this year. I personally think Memphis blows them out.

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Speaker 3: I think in my gut that was how I felt

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Speaker 3: about it too, Kai, just like, Oh, I don't trust

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Speaker 3: Rice at all. Memphis lost three in a row back home.

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Speaker 3: They've got to completely overwhelm them. But the strange but true,

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Speaker 3: Memphis has been a terrible big favorite recently under Penny Hardaway.

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Speaker 3: I think I'm thinking all the way back to the

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Speaker 3: James Wiseman team where they would smash a couple foes

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Speaker 3: in the non con But in their last twenty games,

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Speaker 3: they're twenty noh straight up as a last twenty as

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Speaker 3: a twelve point favorite or more so big favorite, they're

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Speaker 3: twenty no straight up, so maybe not great for Matt's

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Speaker 3: outright dog. But they're three and seventeen against the spread. Like,

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Speaker 3: they just don't seem to cover these big numbers. I

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Speaker 3: don't know if they lack focus or I guess they're

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Speaker 3: not valuing possessions. They turn the ball over and take

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Speaker 3: bad shots when they don't view the opponent as an equal.

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Speaker 3: That makes me a little bit nervous. Matthew, has Kai

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Speaker 3: swung you away from your outright dog pick? Are you

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Speaker 3: still riding the Rice hot?

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Speaker 2: It is Rice, I've said I love the American Conference,

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Speaker 2: Like all these teams are kind of my babies. For

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Speaker 2: the exception of Rice and Temple, they're sort of the

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Speaker 2: bastard children I put to the side, but then everyone.

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Speaker 3: Else owls, that's what you said, and now they kind of.

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Speaker 1: Freak me out as well.

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Speaker 2: And Rice away from Home has been especially bad. So

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Speaker 2: technically everything Kai says it correct. I just am isolating

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Speaker 2: the what Jim talked about Memphis as a large favorite

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Speaker 2: with all of the dysfunction behind the scenes. I saw

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Speaker 2: they brought back Kendrick Davis to talk to the team

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Speaker 2: as sort of like a re a psychological motivator. We

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Speaker 2: love King Hendrick, Jim, so maybe that might actually might

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Speaker 2: be a good thing in my eyes.

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Speaker 1: I have no idea. This is such a.

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Speaker 2: Weird situation all year from Memphis. I just want to

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Speaker 2: be on the right side of the fade volatility.

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Speaker 3: I think I don't trust either of these teams in

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Speaker 3: this scenario. I don't trust Rice them all on the road.

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Speaker 3: I don't trust Memphis as a big favorite, So I'm

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Speaker 3: gonna let you to a lot of moms and go

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Speaker 3: at it here. Yeah.

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Speaker 1: So I think one of those wins against the spread

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Speaker 1: was Wishta State, which was like two weeks ago from Memphis.

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Speaker 1: So they've shown they can do it this season if

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Speaker 1: you want another feather in your cap. But Thursday, maybe Fellas,

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Speaker 1: maybe you'll agree with this one. San Francisco is hosting

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Speaker 1: San Diego. The Dons are sixteen point favorites per Kim Pump.

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Speaker 1: They won at the slim Gym at San Diego by

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Speaker 1: twenty earlier this season, they shot sixty seven percent from two.

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Speaker 1: They forced eighteen turnovers. It seemed like a total mismatch.

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Speaker 1: Will it be once again, Jim.

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Speaker 3: All board here, Kai, let's ride the Dons. I think

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Speaker 3: they win by twenty five thirty. Gonzaga won at San

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Speaker 3: Diego by forty two. They also won in Spokane by

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Speaker 3: twenty seven. I just don't think San Diego is good

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Speaker 3: enough for mature enough to step up in class, especially

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Speaker 3: on the road. They did sort of hang around Saint

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Speaker 3: Mary's at home. They kept a two an eleven point game,

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Speaker 3: but again, this is going two war memorial. I think

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Speaker 3: San Francisco with their size athleticism. You mentioned the two

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Speaker 3: point percentage in the first game. I think that carries

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Speaker 3: over into this. I think that sustainable Mobo is just

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Speaker 3: such a monster inside. Yeah, Matt, I really like this one.

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Speaker 3: I think San Francisco continues to right itself after two

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Speaker 3: tough els to the top of the league.

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Speaker 2: I agree, I will be on the Dons here. I think, however,

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Speaker 2: usd just to get back Deuce Turner.

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Speaker 1: And Wayne McKenney.

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Speaker 2: I guess he's been back for a few games now,

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Speaker 2: but that was sort of a key reason why they

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Speaker 2: stumbled a little bit to start WCC play. I still

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Speaker 2: believe this Steve Lavin Teae was a little over high, Noncot,

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Speaker 2: I don't think they were ever as good as people

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Speaker 2: thought they were. Get a little bit of buzz, got

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Speaker 2: up to nine and four, beat a lot of bad

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Speaker 2: teams in good spots. So yeah, I think maybe you

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Speaker 2: continue to fade the Trerero's going down to stretcher WCC play.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, all right, Don's is Dons Dons. Don's all right?

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Speaker 1: Before we get to the Power Games of the week,

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Speaker 1: Power Games the Week?

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Speaker 3: Oh, I could feel it.

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Speaker 1: The power Games the week are not that good this

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Speaker 1: week until you get to Saturday. We're not a Saturday show.

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Speaker 1: We don't focus on Saturday. We will focus Wednesday three.

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Speaker 1: Here I picked out two their solid games again though

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Speaker 1: not like top ten matchups here, but on Wednesday.

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Speaker 3: Of those Sat there's a Duke you n c I forget.

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Speaker 3: There's perdue Wisconsin Sunday. I'm jealous of the Friday at

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Speaker 3: BBOC episodecause they get to preview all those A.

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Speaker 1: Lot of good ball on Saturday. On Wednesday, though, we

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Speaker 1: got Florida at Kentucky. Kentucky a six point favorite per

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Speaker 1: Kim Pum right now, the Gators a big opportunity here

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Speaker 1: for a win. Definitely flirting with the bubble. This would

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Speaker 1: go a long way for the resume. Can they handle

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Speaker 1: Kentucky in transition? Will Rob Dillingham be available? Florida was

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Speaker 1: up Matt late on Kentucky. They really competed within the

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Speaker 1: entire game in in Gainesville. Can they win at Rup

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Speaker 1: It's a big question mark your thoughts. I think they can.

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Speaker 2: I kind of like this spot for Florida where it's

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Speaker 2: more of a you're on the road, you don't have

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Speaker 2: It's more of a no one expects you to win.

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Speaker 2: I think people think Kentucky, you're going to take care

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Speaker 2: of business. I'm not sure.

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Speaker 1: It just seems like.

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Speaker 2: That's the vibe I will get as the game approaches.

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Speaker 2: But I think Florida like this is their chance to

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Speaker 2: really put themselves in the Ansilly tournament picture, like more

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Speaker 2: to solidify that where they stand now, and I just

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Speaker 2: think they matchup well Kentucky. I think they can. They

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Speaker 2: have the perimeter firepower to run with Kentucky not as much,

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Speaker 2: but they can at least hang with, defend and score

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Speaker 2: with Kentucky you can't get out, you know, classed in

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Speaker 2: terms of firepowered offensive ammunition, and they have size up front.

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Speaker 2: Golden's got to muse it, go weaponize it. I know

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Speaker 2: we talked about how much we like the burgeon in

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Speaker 2: Kentucky Bigs. I just think that Florida has more of

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Speaker 2: a seasoned front line that they did use well in

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Speaker 2: that first game. He's got to close this time.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, dillingham status is huge for me here just as

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Speaker 3: part of the identity of what makes Kentucky Kentucky, like

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Speaker 3: getting out and going in transition, being able to hit

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Speaker 3: threes from far positions on the floor, getting into gaps

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Speaker 3: when the court is that spread. He just kind of

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Speaker 3: embodies all of that. According to our friends at CVB

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Speaker 3: Analytics guy, he is their second best player in terms

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Speaker 3: of net rating. It's number one is far and away

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Speaker 3: read Shepherd. It's kind of ludicrous how much better they

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Speaker 3: are when he's on the floor, considering he's not a starter.

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Speaker 3: But Dillingham's the other incredible venture enforcement that they bring

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Speaker 3: out there, and he's plus nine per one hundred posessions

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Speaker 3: that he's out there, net rating wise, So I think

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Speaker 3: if he's in there, maybe a little scared of back

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Speaker 3: in Florida. But if he's not, Kentucky's vulnerable enough that,

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Speaker 3: especially at home, like they've lost to UNC Wilmington at

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Speaker 3: home them until overtime was saying Joe's they didn't really

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Speaker 3: run away from Miszoo until the final four or five minutes.

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Speaker 3: They've been better against better competition, but I could see

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Speaker 3: it being like, oh, we already beat this team. Just

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Speaker 3: isn't like our A plus effort time and they are

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Speaker 3: coming off a road wind. So if Dillingham is out,

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Speaker 3: I think I'm in the back gears.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, it's worth noting Game one was really even the

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Speaker 1: matched for every single aspect, and Florida shot sixty two

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Speaker 1: percent from the free throw line. They missed eleven free throws.

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Speaker 1: They really shot themselves on the foot. Probably should have

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Speaker 1: won that game. So there's there's some evidence that they

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Speaker 1: can compete here. Thursday, Wisconsin travels to Nebraska Wisconsin minus

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Speaker 1: three per ken Pom right now. Wisconsin a win puts

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Speaker 1: them one game up, one full game up in the

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Speaker 1: Big Ten standings. Wow, surprising nine to one. Nebraska, though,

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Speaker 1: is four and zero at home this season straight up

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Speaker 1: and against the spread in Big ten play. The Badgers

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Speaker 1: dominated in Game one. They won by sixteen. Gym at

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Speaker 1: the Coal Center put up one point three points per possession.

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Speaker 1: Nebraska didn't even score that poorly. It was just Wisconsin

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Speaker 1: could score every time down the floor. Do you think

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Speaker 1: Nebraska can serve some revenge in this game?

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Speaker 3: I do. I have a feeling this line is going

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Speaker 3: to be like Wisconsin minus one and not minus three.

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Speaker 3: I think they're tilting it towards the excellent Big Ten

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Speaker 3: home teams. Nebraska had in particular has been one of

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Speaker 3: the best Big Ten home teams. As you mentioned, Pinnacle

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Speaker 3: Bank is just a terrific environment when there's juice in

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Speaker 3: the building, and there will be for this, Oh, we're

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Speaker 3: hosting the team at the top of the Big Ten standings. Yeah,

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Speaker 3: I think you get a monster effort from Nebraska here.

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Speaker 3: I don't think Wisconsin is going to be in look

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00:21:08,359 --> 00:21:11,160
Speaker 3: ahead mode, but they do host Purdue on Sunday if

431
00:21:11,160 --> 00:21:13,159
Speaker 3: you're interested in that kind of a spot angle.

432
00:21:13,960 --> 00:21:14,360
Speaker 1: Yeah, Matt.

433
00:21:14,480 --> 00:21:17,320
Speaker 3: I just between the revenge, the home court, the fact

434
00:21:17,320 --> 00:21:20,440
Speaker 3: that they have been just scorching from beyond the three

435
00:21:20,480 --> 00:21:23,119
Speaker 3: point arc when they play at home, I'm going to

436
00:21:23,200 --> 00:21:26,240
Speaker 3: ride with Nebraska here to win outright. I got the

437
00:21:26,240 --> 00:21:29,960
Speaker 3: stat on Nebraska's home three point shooting not only thirty

438
00:21:29,960 --> 00:21:32,640
Speaker 3: seven percent, but it has been even better in league play.

439
00:21:33,720 --> 00:21:35,840
Speaker 2: Yeah, up to forty one and a half percent. I'm

440
00:21:35,840 --> 00:21:38,760
Speaker 2: looking at here to the league play for the Skurs. Overall,

441
00:21:39,359 --> 00:21:40,840
Speaker 2: they give up a ton of threes too. It's one

442
00:21:40,840 --> 00:21:43,080
Speaker 2: of those teams where very high variance outcome no matter

443
00:21:43,080 --> 00:21:45,280
Speaker 2: where they play, they lead to Big ten three point

444
00:21:46,440 --> 00:21:49,560
Speaker 2: shoot rate. They also give up the most Wisconsin can

445
00:21:49,640 --> 00:21:51,560
Speaker 2: shoot it. I mean, aj Store stayed as hot as

446
00:21:51,560 --> 00:21:54,240
Speaker 2: he's been with the range that he's shown this year.

447
00:21:54,280 --> 00:21:57,440
Speaker 2: I mean it's a pretty dynamic, you know, and Klos

448
00:21:58,240 --> 00:22:01,320
Speaker 2: and Klusma too, because I guess we basically put Connor's

449
00:22:01,400 --> 00:22:04,400
Speaker 2: heating to the back burner. Now, this is one Big

450
00:22:04,440 --> 00:22:08,200
Speaker 2: ten team, Northwestern and Wisconsin the two Big ten teams.

451
00:22:08,200 --> 00:22:10,640
Speaker 2: I'll say that I trust the most away from home

452
00:22:10,720 --> 00:22:13,159
Speaker 2: just of how they profile and how they play. But

453
00:22:13,320 --> 00:22:16,680
Speaker 2: still Nebraska at home the way they've been playing at home,

454
00:22:16,920 --> 00:22:18,920
Speaker 2: and I'm not going to go against a trend that's

455
00:22:19,000 --> 00:22:22,920
Speaker 2: as strong and as you know, death taxes and Big

456
00:22:22,960 --> 00:22:25,080
Speaker 2: ten home teams as this has been. So I'm not

457
00:22:25,080 --> 00:22:26,440
Speaker 2: doing it I'm gonna take Nebraska.

458
00:22:27,560 --> 00:22:31,879
Speaker 1: Yeah, I think worth noting Wisconsin's played four road games

459
00:22:31,880 --> 00:22:33,719
Speaker 1: in the Big Ten. They're two and two against the spread,

460
00:22:33,760 --> 00:22:36,120
Speaker 1: so yeah, a little more mortal. All these teams are

461
00:22:36,160 --> 00:22:39,280
Speaker 1: on the road in Big Ten, So Nebraska, good chance. Yeah.

462
00:22:39,320 --> 00:22:43,360
Speaker 1: To your point, Jim books or early market have been

463
00:22:43,400 --> 00:22:47,800
Speaker 1: shading these home spots quite a bit. It's been, hey,

464
00:22:47,800 --> 00:22:50,080
Speaker 1: the market stuff this year. It's sharp. If you want

465
00:22:50,080 --> 00:22:52,320
Speaker 1: to bet these home spots, you're paying a premium. And

466
00:22:52,440 --> 00:22:54,359
Speaker 1: that's that's been a fact this season.

467
00:22:55,040 --> 00:22:56,960
Speaker 3: Yep. Yeah, very very different. I don't know if we

468
00:22:57,040 --> 00:22:59,600
Speaker 3: said it outright, but thirty six and twenty five against

469
00:22:59,600 --> 00:23:01,960
Speaker 3: the spread for Big Ten home teams so far fifty

470
00:23:02,000 --> 00:23:04,120
Speaker 3: nine percent. So yeah, that's that's where that's coming from.

471
00:23:04,119 --> 00:23:07,359
Speaker 3: It's the second best conference by percentage at home, and

472
00:23:07,400 --> 00:23:10,520
Speaker 3: the CUSA only has like twenty game samples. It barely counts.

473
00:23:11,119 --> 00:23:14,000
Speaker 1: All right, Mid major game of the week, two pretty

474
00:23:14,040 --> 00:23:17,040
Speaker 1: good ones on Thursday, I chose out here for US guys.

475
00:23:17,520 --> 00:23:21,359
Speaker 1: Number one, You and see Wilmington at Charleston Charleston minus

476
00:23:21,359 --> 00:23:25,080
Speaker 1: three for Kimpum or some major battle between two title

477
00:23:25,080 --> 00:23:29,359
Speaker 1: contenders in the now named Coastal Athletic Association. Still the

478
00:23:29,400 --> 00:23:33,760
Speaker 1: CAAA chuck looking for some revenge after losing at Trask.

479
00:23:34,359 --> 00:23:36,240
Speaker 1: They were eight for twenty nine from three in that game,

480
00:23:36,320 --> 00:23:39,359
Speaker 1: but they grabbed almost forty percent of their offensive rebounds,

481
00:23:39,560 --> 00:23:42,440
Speaker 1: dominated the offensive glass. Can they actually hit shots this time?

482
00:23:43,160 --> 00:23:45,119
Speaker 1: We'll see, Matthew your thoughts.

483
00:23:45,400 --> 00:23:47,840
Speaker 2: I think Charleston gets it done here, and then I

484
00:23:48,040 --> 00:23:50,560
Speaker 2: gave the three peat sweep to Wilmington last year, elementson

485
00:23:50,560 --> 00:23:53,320
Speaker 2: at the revenge as you mentioned earlier this year at Trask.

486
00:23:53,400 --> 00:23:56,400
Speaker 2: Now it's at Charleston. I just think they went better.

487
00:23:56,440 --> 00:23:59,879
Speaker 2: Team matchup, not great. Actually, Wilmington actually has a good

488
00:24:00,080 --> 00:24:03,400
Speaker 2: matchup for Charleston with some of their size. I guess

489
00:24:03,400 --> 00:24:07,240
Speaker 2: it's not really size, but more of their versatility and switchability.

490
00:24:07,320 --> 00:24:09,439
Speaker 2: It kind of helps to defend all Charleston's actions. But

491
00:24:09,520 --> 00:24:13,320
Speaker 2: Charleston's bigs have been really good Man Brazovich upfront, and

492
00:24:13,359 --> 00:24:17,120
Speaker 2: then they're kind of burgeoning big guy in James Scott too.

493
00:24:17,200 --> 00:24:19,239
Speaker 2: Like there's some real dudes that Charleston can throw out here.

494
00:24:19,240 --> 00:24:21,920
Speaker 2: It's a balanced team. I think Kelsey kind of has

495
00:24:21,960 --> 00:24:24,960
Speaker 2: his whole collection of his rotation figured out, which he

496
00:24:25,000 --> 00:24:27,400
Speaker 2: really didn't to start the year, So yeah, I would

497
00:24:27,440 --> 00:24:30,080
Speaker 2: be looking to fade Charlestons trum peril going forward just

498
00:24:30,080 --> 00:24:30,960
Speaker 2: does a macro take.

499
00:24:31,600 --> 00:24:34,720
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'll be on Charleston as well. Again with the

500
00:24:34,760 --> 00:24:37,520
Speaker 3: flipping of the venue, I think Trask is a terrific

501
00:24:37,520 --> 00:24:40,040
Speaker 3: home environment and that's where Wilmington got it done, but not

502
00:24:40,160 --> 00:24:43,040
Speaker 3: quite the same team on the road. Charleston should dominate

503
00:24:43,080 --> 00:24:45,280
Speaker 3: the boards on both ends here. I think they can

504
00:24:45,320 --> 00:24:47,119
Speaker 3: continue to do that as they did in the first meeting.

505
00:24:47,160 --> 00:24:50,080
Speaker 3: Like Kai mentioned, yeah, I'm gonna go with the Cougar's

506
00:24:50,200 --> 00:24:53,560
Speaker 3: two very good coaches. Just feels like a split kind

507
00:24:53,560 --> 00:24:55,800
Speaker 3: of series considering how evenly matched they are.

508
00:24:56,359 --> 00:24:58,719
Speaker 1: Yeah, man missed. James Scott plays about fifteen minutes off

509
00:24:58,760 --> 00:25:01,200
Speaker 1: the bench. He's four you won for fifty this year

510
00:25:01,200 --> 00:25:03,560
Speaker 1: from the floor eighty two percent. He's one of those

511
00:25:03,560 --> 00:25:06,080
Speaker 1: big guys that just shoots around the rim and then

512
00:25:06,080 --> 00:25:08,400
Speaker 1: of course thirty five percent from the free throw line

513
00:25:08,440 --> 00:25:08,959
Speaker 1: that checks out.

514
00:25:09,600 --> 00:25:11,920
Speaker 3: In league play, he's missed one shot in eight games.

515
00:25:11,960 --> 00:25:12,800
Speaker 3: He's only taken eleven.

516
00:25:12,880 --> 00:25:16,280
Speaker 1: But he's air for D baby, He's air for D

517
00:25:16,760 --> 00:25:18,520
Speaker 1: in the horizon. The other mid major game of the

518
00:25:18,520 --> 00:25:21,919
Speaker 1: week here, Youngstown State at Wright State Right State minus

519
00:25:21,960 --> 00:25:25,240
Speaker 1: one per kin Pom Youngstown. They go into a tie

520
00:25:25,280 --> 00:25:28,200
Speaker 1: for first if they win this game. In the Horizon.

521
00:25:29,040 --> 00:25:31,440
Speaker 1: They won by ten at home, very good home court

522
00:25:31,480 --> 00:25:34,920
Speaker 1: in Youngstown Wright State. A win for them would move

523
00:25:34,960 --> 00:25:37,760
Speaker 1: them to a game back at first place, so obviously

524
00:25:37,760 --> 00:25:40,479
Speaker 1: some motivations of both sides. Teams obviously want to win

525
00:25:40,520 --> 00:25:42,760
Speaker 1: every single game. This is also the number one offense

526
00:25:42,840 --> 00:25:45,240
Speaker 1: in the Horizon in Wright State versus the number one

527
00:25:45,280 --> 00:25:49,320
Speaker 1: defense in the Horizon in Youngstown State. Jim opinions on

528
00:25:49,359 --> 00:25:49,800
Speaker 1: this game.

529
00:25:50,560 --> 00:25:53,080
Speaker 3: I can't believe Youngstown's the best defense in the conference.

530
00:25:53,119 --> 00:25:56,320
Speaker 3: That did not match my perception. I guess I just

531
00:25:56,359 --> 00:25:58,520
Speaker 3: hadn't thought of like, oh, yeah, the Penguins lock you down.

532
00:25:58,560 --> 00:26:01,040
Speaker 3: But I don't think it's Okamir is either the number

533
00:26:01,040 --> 00:26:03,879
Speaker 3: one and two point percentage defense in league play. That

534
00:26:04,080 --> 00:26:06,840
Speaker 3: is the most sustainable kind of thing to me. And

535
00:26:06,880 --> 00:26:08,359
Speaker 3: they have a little bit of size, a little bit

536
00:26:08,400 --> 00:26:11,160
Speaker 3: of mobility that can contest with you. They play two

537
00:26:11,560 --> 00:26:16,119
Speaker 3: huge centers, including the nkau transfer Zorgval Matthew. He's a

538
00:26:16,160 --> 00:26:19,159
Speaker 3: monster inside. But I'm going with Wright State here. I

539
00:26:19,280 --> 00:26:22,600
Speaker 3: just trust them a little bit more despite the fact

540
00:26:22,600 --> 00:26:26,360
Speaker 3: that their defenses a sieve on most occasions. They've got

541
00:26:26,359 --> 00:26:28,440
Speaker 3: so many offensive weapons. I think they're kind of team

542
00:26:28,480 --> 00:26:32,199
Speaker 3: that can give this number one defense problems. And I

543
00:26:32,240 --> 00:26:33,800
Speaker 3: just I love Scott naggy Man. I think he's a

544
00:26:33,880 --> 00:26:37,080
Speaker 3: terrific coach. Despite like I said, the defensive holes give

545
00:26:37,119 --> 00:26:41,280
Speaker 3: me the Raiders at home in Dayton, Kay, I agree.

546
00:26:41,280 --> 00:26:43,439
Speaker 2: I like the Raiders and gate Dives has actually been

547
00:26:43,480 --> 00:26:45,960
Speaker 2: the was the huge rim protector that was emerging for

548
00:26:46,640 --> 00:26:48,400
Speaker 2: Youngstown and now I got this other guy you mentioned

549
00:26:48,440 --> 00:26:49,040
Speaker 2: of Jim or.

550
00:26:51,240 --> 00:26:51,760
Speaker 1: Whatever his name.

551
00:26:51,840 --> 00:26:54,200
Speaker 2: Is crazy to think that they are the best team

552
00:26:54,240 --> 00:26:59,720
Speaker 2: defensively because Calhoun's been like bemoaning his defensive his team

553
00:27:00,240 --> 00:27:02,440
Speaker 2: all year. It's a league that is built on offense.

554
00:27:02,920 --> 00:27:06,560
Speaker 2: So it's like the smartest kindergartener type situation with defense

555
00:27:06,640 --> 00:27:09,520
Speaker 2: defense in this league. And Right State can outscore anybody.

556
00:27:09,520 --> 00:27:11,280
Speaker 2: I think this turns into a shootout and Right State

557
00:27:11,359 --> 00:27:13,560
Speaker 2: just wins the battle of points pretty simply.

558
00:27:13,880 --> 00:27:17,400
Speaker 1: Yeah, I expect Right State to win the conference tournament. Frankly,

559
00:27:17,440 --> 00:27:19,680
Speaker 1: they have arguably the two best guards in the league

560
00:27:19,680 --> 00:27:22,880
Speaker 1: outside of No Reynolds on their team in Calvin and Holden,

561
00:27:23,280 --> 00:27:27,600
Speaker 1: two high major talents. Their offensive production this season, top

562
00:27:27,640 --> 00:27:29,720
Speaker 1: thirty in the nation, number one in the rise in

563
00:27:29,760 --> 00:27:33,840
Speaker 1: the same gap between them and the number two offensive team,

564
00:27:33,880 --> 00:27:36,240
Speaker 1: which is Young Sound State is the same as number

565
00:27:36,280 --> 00:27:40,120
Speaker 1: two and number four, so they are dominating the league offensively.

566
00:27:40,160 --> 00:27:42,880
Speaker 1: They just can't stop anybody. But I do think when

567
00:27:42,920 --> 00:27:45,760
Speaker 1: you have two game breaking guards like Right State has,

568
00:27:46,400 --> 00:27:48,760
Speaker 1: you're always have a chance to win. You always have

569
00:27:48,760 --> 00:27:51,320
Speaker 1: an advantage, especially at home. So I like Right State

570
00:27:51,359 --> 00:27:53,920
Speaker 1: two as well. Here. I don't think you're gonna get

571
00:27:53,920 --> 00:27:56,320
Speaker 1: minus one. You'll probably get minus two even minus three

572
00:27:56,359 --> 00:27:59,120
Speaker 1: in this one. All right, Moving on next section trash

573
00:27:59,200 --> 00:28:02,080
Speaker 1: man pick of the week, The trash man pick of

574
00:28:02,119 --> 00:28:05,000
Speaker 1: the league. I'm the trash man. Just throw me to

575
00:28:05,119 --> 00:28:09,959
Speaker 1: trash your garbage, and you know it, totally unreliable, undependable

576
00:28:10,119 --> 00:28:10,560
Speaker 1: it that's it.

577
00:28:10,640 --> 00:28:11,320
Speaker 2: You've been told off.

578
00:28:11,320 --> 00:28:13,640
Speaker 1: How do you like that? Good? I had a hard

579
00:28:13,680 --> 00:28:16,400
Speaker 1: time choosing one, to be honest. I chose a big

580
00:28:16,440 --> 00:28:20,040
Speaker 1: South game Charleston Southern at Radford. Radford minus twelve for

581
00:28:20,200 --> 00:28:23,520
Speaker 1: ken Pum Again, I don't think there'll be that big personally.

582
00:28:23,560 --> 00:28:25,840
Speaker 1: If it is that big, I lean towards Chuck South.

583
00:28:25,920 --> 00:28:29,080
Speaker 1: Radford among the slowest teams in the country. Charleston Southern

584
00:28:29,160 --> 00:28:31,400
Speaker 1: the second worst offense in the league. Play very slow

585
00:28:31,440 --> 00:28:34,840
Speaker 1: tempo forty five percent from two in Big South play

586
00:28:34,920 --> 00:28:37,840
Speaker 1: is awful. This game should play in the low sixties

587
00:28:37,920 --> 00:28:41,280
Speaker 1: possession wise. It's going to be a methfest. Mat just

588
00:28:41,320 --> 00:28:42,400
Speaker 1: a methfest, all.

589
00:28:42,320 --> 00:28:45,160
Speaker 2: Right, Quick Tangent, who was jocking according to rumors for

590
00:28:45,240 --> 00:28:46,960
Speaker 2: the Charleston Southern head coaching job.

591
00:28:47,480 --> 00:28:49,680
Speaker 1: I don't know. I am a little uh oh ed.

592
00:28:49,720 --> 00:28:53,640
Speaker 2: I think Jared Grosso maybe making a surprise appearance not

593
00:28:53,760 --> 00:28:56,720
Speaker 2: so distant future on the sidelines there. I digress Kai.

594
00:28:56,720 --> 00:28:59,400
Speaker 2: I think Radford smashes Chuck South. I know they've been

595
00:29:00,400 --> 00:29:02,680
Speaker 2: moderately more competitive I guess in conference under the new

596
00:29:02,720 --> 00:29:05,960
Speaker 2: interim seems like a pretty recurring theme Coastal Carolina the

597
00:29:05,960 --> 00:29:07,760
Speaker 2: same way they've been more more competitive under their interim

598
00:29:07,800 --> 00:29:10,360
Speaker 2: coach there. Still, I like Radford. I believe they have

599
00:29:10,440 --> 00:29:13,240
Speaker 2: underperformed and are overdue for a little bit of a

600
00:29:13,280 --> 00:29:14,480
Speaker 2: surge with the talent that they have.

601
00:29:15,440 --> 00:29:18,200
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm surprised how bad Radford's defense is. I think

602
00:29:18,320 --> 00:29:21,280
Speaker 3: they've been more of a stingy type of squad in

603
00:29:21,360 --> 00:29:22,920
Speaker 3: the past couple of years, and I think you get

604
00:29:22,920 --> 00:29:25,360
Speaker 3: a much better performance against Like I said, the team

605
00:29:25,400 --> 00:29:29,240
Speaker 3: that cannot get easy baskets. Despite maybe trying to play

606
00:29:29,280 --> 00:29:32,280
Speaker 3: a little faster under the interim coach, they haven't been

607
00:29:32,320 --> 00:29:35,320
Speaker 3: able to score. In transition. Radford is a very stout

608
00:29:35,840 --> 00:29:40,440
Speaker 3: kind of or principled defense. Only concern here, Chandler Turner.

609
00:29:40,480 --> 00:29:43,200
Speaker 3: This last game for Radford, one of their key pieces.

610
00:29:43,600 --> 00:29:45,240
Speaker 3: Don't know for sure if he'll be back or not,

611
00:29:45,800 --> 00:29:48,640
Speaker 3: but yeah, I would side with the Highlanders at home

612
00:29:48,720 --> 00:29:50,960
Speaker 3: and their giant like lumberjack guy that stands in the

613
00:29:50,960 --> 00:29:52,000
Speaker 3: corner inflatable guy.

614
00:29:53,400 --> 00:29:55,640
Speaker 1: Jim added another game here. It's a good game to

615
00:29:55,640 --> 00:29:58,520
Speaker 1: discuss because it's Notre Dame Virginia. We won't go into

616
00:29:58,560 --> 00:30:01,440
Speaker 1: details here, but the that Kim Pomp projects this game

617
00:30:01,440 --> 00:30:04,720
Speaker 1: to be one hundred and nine points total is baffling

618
00:30:04,760 --> 00:30:09,040
Speaker 1: to me. Gosh, you know, I'm not opposed to taking

619
00:30:09,080 --> 00:30:11,560
Speaker 1: low totals unders on low totals, I do it all

620
00:30:11,600 --> 00:30:14,320
Speaker 1: the time. But if it'd be about one to ten,

621
00:30:14,560 --> 00:30:16,760
Speaker 1: there's no chance. And in that game one had one

622
00:30:16,840 --> 00:30:20,080
Speaker 1: hundred and thirty points. I just think taking any under

623
00:30:20,120 --> 00:30:22,760
Speaker 1: in this type of environment is tough. It's going to

624
00:30:22,800 --> 00:30:25,840
Speaker 1: be a crawl. But no thanks, Actually, bet.

625
00:30:25,880 --> 00:30:27,239
Speaker 2: Slower than Virginia this year.

626
00:30:27,320 --> 00:30:30,280
Speaker 3: Jim, Oh, yeah, I thought that should be the case.

627
00:30:30,280 --> 00:30:32,120
Speaker 3: Shrewsbury kind of did it at Penn State, like I'm

628
00:30:32,120 --> 00:30:34,000
Speaker 3: gonna play slow with a lack of talent, and he's

629
00:30:34,000 --> 00:30:36,040
Speaker 3: doing it with a super young team. I actually bet

630
00:30:36,040 --> 00:30:39,320
Speaker 3: the over in that first one. Kai watched the first half.

631
00:30:39,400 --> 00:30:42,680
Speaker 3: I think Notre Dame banked two different threes in the

632
00:30:42,680 --> 00:30:46,120
Speaker 3: first half of that game, and we're very hot from

633
00:30:46,120 --> 00:30:48,000
Speaker 3: the outside for most of it. So I felt sort

634
00:30:48,040 --> 00:30:50,320
Speaker 3: of fortunate. But yeah, I'm not going to go back

635
00:30:50,360 --> 00:30:52,400
Speaker 3: to the Well, there's a chance this game is like

636
00:30:52,480 --> 00:30:56,120
Speaker 3: fifty two possessions, Like they could really grind this down.

637
00:30:56,760 --> 00:30:58,240
Speaker 2: I think Tony Bennett, I don't have the data in

638
00:30:58,280 --> 00:31:00,959
Speaker 2: front of me. Sorry, Kay been awesome and like rematches

639
00:31:01,000 --> 00:31:03,280
Speaker 2: in conference, like one of the best in making adjustments

640
00:31:03,320 --> 00:31:04,520
Speaker 2: responding to games.

641
00:31:04,560 --> 00:31:06,800
Speaker 1: A good point to Notre Dame won this first game

642
00:31:06,800 --> 00:31:08,920
Speaker 1: by twenty two. Yeah, crushed them. Yeah.

643
00:31:08,920 --> 00:31:12,240
Speaker 2: And also Shrewsbury has a former UVA assistant and he

644
00:31:12,240 --> 00:31:14,600
Speaker 2: talked about that being a huge edge into preparing for

645
00:31:14,720 --> 00:31:17,360
Speaker 2: UVA and finding holes in the pack line of offense.

646
00:31:17,400 --> 00:31:18,880
Speaker 2: I think you got all the edge on Notre Dame

647
00:31:18,880 --> 00:31:21,200
Speaker 2: in the first one. The tenjulum splings back to UVA

648
00:31:21,240 --> 00:31:22,000
Speaker 2: I think in the rematch.

649
00:31:22,400 --> 00:31:24,080
Speaker 3: Also one of the last little factor. I know we

650
00:31:24,160 --> 00:31:26,920
Speaker 3: said we wouldn't dive into the detail, but h bart

651
00:31:26,960 --> 00:31:30,480
Speaker 3: Torvick's home road splits at home Virginia is number ten

652
00:31:30,720 --> 00:31:33,760
Speaker 3: in the country. Anywhere else, away or neutral there are

653
00:31:33,760 --> 00:31:36,640
Speaker 3: one hundred and sixty first like, it's just a completely

654
00:31:36,640 --> 00:31:38,960
Speaker 3: different team. I know they've started to play a little

655
00:31:38,960 --> 00:31:41,600
Speaker 3: better on the road, they smacked a little, but it's

656
00:31:41,640 --> 00:31:44,160
Speaker 3: still a much, much, much better team at home. And

657
00:31:44,200 --> 00:31:46,840
Speaker 3: as Matt mentioned, the adjustments and revenge angle.

658
00:31:47,360 --> 00:31:50,720
Speaker 1: Also one final point if you reject this game game,

659
00:31:50,840 --> 00:31:53,680
Speaker 1: we love this cap Kim Bombers's game as an eleven

660
00:31:53,760 --> 00:31:56,280
Speaker 1: point spread. I mean, gosh, if the total is one

661
00:31:56,360 --> 00:31:59,400
Speaker 1: oh nine and the spread is eleven, it's really hard

662
00:31:59,400 --> 00:32:03,160
Speaker 1: to cover that as a favorite and stay under. I'll

663
00:32:03,160 --> 00:32:03,880
Speaker 1: just say that much.

664
00:32:04,400 --> 00:32:08,960
Speaker 3: Yes, yes, okay, correlated action, Yeah, correlated action.

665
00:32:09,280 --> 00:32:11,240
Speaker 1: Don't take the dog and the favorite or see the

666
00:32:11,280 --> 00:32:13,880
Speaker 1: under in the favorite in this game. Let's talk about

667
00:32:13,880 --> 00:32:17,640
Speaker 1: some spotlight. Yeah, where am I spotlighting? Where are my spotlighting?

668
00:32:17,680 --> 00:32:19,920
Speaker 1: Whe are my shiny my spotlight on? Here? Well? Today

669
00:32:19,920 --> 00:32:23,400
Speaker 1: it's best and worst conference ats teams. We're gonna look

670
00:32:23,400 --> 00:32:26,160
Speaker 1: at records and cover margin, starting with the best, ending

671
00:32:26,200 --> 00:32:28,520
Speaker 1: with the worst, because we're a pessimistic podcast. That's what

672
00:32:28,560 --> 00:32:33,680
Speaker 1: we do. Best records Eastern Kentucky. They're the best team

673
00:32:33,720 --> 00:32:37,120
Speaker 1: against the spreading conference play. They're seven and zero. They

674
00:32:37,160 --> 00:32:39,880
Speaker 1: have almost a seven point cover margin. I'm screaming. I

675
00:32:39,960 --> 00:32:42,800
Speaker 1: love this team from the start. I talked to AW

676
00:32:42,880 --> 00:32:45,600
Speaker 1: Hamilton in the off season. I thought they could be

677
00:32:45,640 --> 00:32:48,640
Speaker 1: top one hundred, and then in the non con they sucked.

678
00:32:49,040 --> 00:32:51,600
Speaker 1: They sucked horribly. They were bad against the spread, they

679
00:32:51,600 --> 00:32:54,240
Speaker 1: were getting blown out, and now they're dominating the conference

680
00:32:54,320 --> 00:32:56,760
Speaker 1: gym and it's really frustrating to me, but that's how

681
00:32:56,760 --> 00:32:58,040
Speaker 1: it goes. Yeah.

682
00:32:58,200 --> 00:32:59,960
Speaker 3: I backed him like the first three or four games

683
00:33:00,080 --> 00:33:02,800
Speaker 3: of league play and one all of them as you mentioned,

684
00:33:02,800 --> 00:33:05,120
Speaker 3: and I was like, all right, I think I've extracted

685
00:33:05,120 --> 00:33:08,960
Speaker 3: the value. I'm done. Nope, they just kept on covering.

686
00:33:09,720 --> 00:33:12,880
Speaker 3: You mentioned their struggles in non conference. They no one's

687
00:33:12,880 --> 00:33:15,320
Speaker 3: making threes against them, and a sun play they're like

688
00:33:15,360 --> 00:33:17,680
Speaker 3: sub thirty three percent and they are still dead last

689
00:33:17,680 --> 00:33:20,080
Speaker 3: in the country in opposing three point percentage for the

690
00:33:20,160 --> 00:33:23,720
Speaker 3: year because non conference was just a complete cascade of

691
00:33:23,760 --> 00:33:26,720
Speaker 3: made shot, made shot, made shot, Matt. The difference is

692
00:33:26,760 --> 00:33:28,320
Speaker 3: they're the only team in the league to plays defense.

693
00:33:28,400 --> 00:33:32,080
Speaker 3: Isaiah Coozard is a complete difference maker inside monster rim protector,

694
00:33:32,680 --> 00:33:34,360
Speaker 3: and nobody else really has that in the league, and

695
00:33:34,360 --> 00:33:35,520
Speaker 3: it's it's separated them.

696
00:33:35,760 --> 00:33:37,200
Speaker 2: Yeah, I was look at the splits. I mean, team

697
00:33:37,240 --> 00:33:40,880
Speaker 2: shot twelve percent better from three against them in non

698
00:33:40,920 --> 00:33:43,880
Speaker 2: cons I think like forty three percent or something like,

699
00:33:43,960 --> 00:33:47,240
Speaker 2: just something crazy, and then now it's down to thirty

700
00:33:47,280 --> 00:33:48,760
Speaker 2: two percent. It's one of those things, right, I think

701
00:33:48,760 --> 00:33:51,440
Speaker 2: we over talk about three point regression both ways that

702
00:33:51,640 --> 00:33:53,880
Speaker 2: when you get like a really extreme one, that just

703
00:33:53,920 --> 00:33:57,200
Speaker 2: lines up and then it all comes rushing through at

704
00:33:57,480 --> 00:33:59,280
Speaker 2: the right time. Congrats to those out there who have

705
00:33:59,320 --> 00:34:02,520
Speaker 2: been writing the EKU regression train. It's been very profitable

706
00:34:02,520 --> 00:34:04,800
Speaker 2: and I am envious of you, as like Kai I

707
00:34:04,880 --> 00:34:07,160
Speaker 2: abandoned ship and bolted for the woods.

708
00:34:07,400 --> 00:34:09,400
Speaker 1: Well, it makes it more amazing is the books adjusted

709
00:34:09,440 --> 00:34:12,759
Speaker 1: for it. They still had their spreads as if they

710
00:34:12,760 --> 00:34:15,920
Speaker 1: didn't perform poorly in non come and it was correct

711
00:34:15,920 --> 00:34:18,000
Speaker 1: to do and they're still covering spread. So it's been

712
00:34:18,000 --> 00:34:21,640
Speaker 1: impressive by the colonels. Richmond They're also seven to oh

713
00:34:21,719 --> 00:34:24,400
Speaker 1: this season in conference play against the spread, They've been awesome.

714
00:34:24,400 --> 00:34:27,520
Speaker 1: They're number one right now in the eight ten. Very surprising.

715
00:34:27,680 --> 00:34:32,160
Speaker 1: Just be Dayton. Wow. Hat tip to the Spiders Yale.

716
00:34:32,280 --> 00:34:35,360
Speaker 1: The IVY season is early still, there's just four games

717
00:34:35,600 --> 00:34:37,400
Speaker 1: in league play so far, but Yale's four and oh

718
00:34:37,440 --> 00:34:42,680
Speaker 1: against the number seven point cover margin doing. Yes, some

719
00:34:42,719 --> 00:34:46,160
Speaker 1: of us have Yale's futures to win the IVY. So

720
00:34:46,239 --> 00:34:49,640
Speaker 1: go Yale. And now we'll get to two darling teams.

721
00:34:50,680 --> 00:34:53,640
Speaker 1: South Florida, Matthew, your darling team now that they have

722
00:34:53,640 --> 00:34:56,000
Speaker 1: two pushes, but they are five and oh with two

723
00:34:56,000 --> 00:34:59,200
Speaker 1: pushes in the American against the spread four point cover

724
00:34:59,280 --> 00:35:01,440
Speaker 1: margin a little less and the other Juggernauts, but still.

725
00:35:01,920 --> 00:35:05,640
Speaker 1: Cason Pryor has been incredible this season for South Florida.

726
00:35:05,719 --> 00:35:07,360
Speaker 2: I think since we brought him up on the podcast.

727
00:35:07,360 --> 00:35:09,760
Speaker 2: He went twenty nine to twenty one, twenty five, twenty

728
00:35:09,800 --> 00:35:13,399
Speaker 2: points with three double doubles netspan. He only played twenty

729
00:35:13,400 --> 00:35:16,520
Speaker 2: mine minutes in the last game because they were killing Utsa.

730
00:35:16,560 --> 00:35:19,960
Speaker 2: But yeah, there's a lot of the same keennessaw State

731
00:35:20,560 --> 00:35:23,399
Speaker 2: mojo with a mere aub Durrahim we saw last year

732
00:35:23,400 --> 00:35:26,800
Speaker 2: with this squad, just like deep team, fearless shot makers,

733
00:35:26,840 --> 00:35:29,239
Speaker 2: the key Jim you mentioned Jadeen Reed awesome, the fresh

734
00:35:29,320 --> 00:35:32,359
Speaker 2: and quasi point guard. I mean, this is a good

735
00:35:32,440 --> 00:35:34,399
Speaker 2: basketball team. And you forget that they still have two

736
00:35:34,440 --> 00:35:37,239
Speaker 2: of those starters from Kennasaw's team last year on this

737
00:35:37,320 --> 00:35:40,239
Speaker 2: year's team young Blood and Stroud. So yeah, it's a

738
00:35:40,239 --> 00:35:40,720
Speaker 2: good makeup.

739
00:35:41,320 --> 00:35:43,399
Speaker 3: I have nothing that love that team. Soft Wor is great.

740
00:35:43,440 --> 00:35:44,560
Speaker 3: Take him has impressed me.

741
00:35:45,640 --> 00:35:47,840
Speaker 1: Green May might be the most impressive team that gets spread.

742
00:35:47,920 --> 00:35:50,279
Speaker 1: Actually this this season in conference play, they're eleven and

743
00:35:50,360 --> 00:35:53,759
Speaker 1: one in conference play against the number eight point cover

744
00:35:53,840 --> 00:35:57,200
Speaker 1: margin in Horizon. In the Horizon League, they're number one

745
00:35:57,280 --> 00:35:59,640
Speaker 1: right now in the standings, they're nine to three in

746
00:35:59,719 --> 00:36:03,520
Speaker 1: the Green Bay they finished second to last last season.

747
00:36:03,560 --> 00:36:07,799
Speaker 1: I believe Sundance Wicks Jim Sonny is doing a fantastic

748
00:36:07,880 --> 00:36:09,359
Speaker 1: job this season at the Phoenix Helm.

749
00:36:09,960 --> 00:36:13,040
Speaker 3: Yeah, basically a full reset, like all right, we are

750
00:36:13,080 --> 00:36:15,719
Speaker 3: starting the program over compared to the last couple of

751
00:36:15,760 --> 00:36:19,560
Speaker 3: years and Will Ryan ran it into the ground. Nepotism

752
00:36:19,640 --> 00:36:23,360
Speaker 3: higher completely there. Yeah, last two years Green Bay was

753
00:36:23,440 --> 00:36:26,319
Speaker 3: six and thirty four in league play and now they're

754
00:36:26,360 --> 00:36:30,840
Speaker 3: nine to three, Like, that's just an unbelievable change. Bringing

755
00:36:30,920 --> 00:36:34,719
Speaker 3: in Noah Reynolds from Wyoming who had committed initially to Wisconsin.

756
00:36:35,160 --> 00:36:37,360
Speaker 3: It's like, just not a fair player in this league, Like,

757
00:36:37,640 --> 00:36:41,200
Speaker 3: he's ridiculous. Probably the player of the year, although that's

758
00:36:41,280 --> 00:36:46,120
Speaker 3: stiff competition there. Just mega impressed. I think maybe it's

759
00:36:46,160 --> 00:36:49,879
Speaker 3: not going to continue to be such a lovely cover

760
00:36:50,000 --> 00:36:52,200
Speaker 3: train because of the shooting numbers that have been in

761
00:36:52,239 --> 00:36:55,719
Speaker 3: their favor so far. But just I have to tit

762
00:36:55,800 --> 00:36:58,319
Speaker 3: my cat to an incredible, incredible first year coaching job.

763
00:36:59,000 --> 00:37:01,239
Speaker 1: Yeah, to your point, teams are shooting twenty eight percent

764
00:37:01,239 --> 00:37:04,920
Speaker 1: of three against them. That'll probably change eventually here for

765
00:37:05,760 --> 00:37:08,520
Speaker 1: Green Bay, but yeah, great job so far. The best

766
00:37:08,560 --> 00:37:10,399
Speaker 1: cover margins real quick. If you're interested in that sort

767
00:37:10,440 --> 00:37:13,840
Speaker 1: of thing. Cover margins usually a good indicator of a

768
00:37:13,880 --> 00:37:19,319
Speaker 1: special dominance in against the spread. Realm Houston, Washington in

769
00:37:19,360 --> 00:37:22,319
Speaker 1: the Big Sky over a ten point cover margin, and

770
00:37:22,360 --> 00:37:25,080
Speaker 1: conference play they've been dominating. I know Matt and I

771
00:37:25,080 --> 00:37:27,920
Speaker 1: have ridden some each and Washington this season six and

772
00:37:27,960 --> 00:37:31,000
Speaker 1: one against the spread in the league. Thank you so

773
00:37:31,120 --> 00:37:35,240
Speaker 1: much for helping us cover games. David Riley. David Riley,

774
00:37:36,000 --> 00:37:40,480
Speaker 1: one team that's very surprising. Lamoine quietly doing very very

775
00:37:40,520 --> 00:37:43,680
Speaker 1: well in the neec A nine point cover margin, five

776
00:37:43,719 --> 00:37:46,520
Speaker 1: and one against the spread. In league play, this team

777
00:37:46,560 --> 00:37:50,960
Speaker 1: is scrappy. There's something about these teams that transition up

778
00:37:50,960 --> 00:37:55,160
Speaker 1: to D one the first season. They're always better than expected, Jim,

779
00:37:55,239 --> 00:37:56,359
Speaker 1: and I don't know why it is.

780
00:37:57,680 --> 00:38:01,680
Speaker 3: Yeah, it's just a rather impressive squad. I think I've

781
00:38:01,880 --> 00:38:04,759
Speaker 3: missed on Lemoyne this year. I didn't think they'd be

782
00:38:04,800 --> 00:38:08,400
Speaker 3: good because they were bringing two major players from IUPUI

783
00:38:08,719 --> 00:38:11,560
Speaker 3: the past couple of years that were horrible, horrible teams.

784
00:38:12,040 --> 00:38:14,919
Speaker 3: But their offense has been really solid and look matt

785
00:38:14,960 --> 00:38:16,480
Speaker 3: Let's face at the end of season not very good.

786
00:38:16,560 --> 00:38:19,239
Speaker 3: So you just have to be mildly competent and you

787
00:38:19,280 --> 00:38:21,960
Speaker 3: can cover games, and Lamoy's been able to do that.

788
00:38:22,800 --> 00:38:24,840
Speaker 2: Yeah, any seed's bad. It's a shame, but it's just

789
00:38:24,840 --> 00:38:28,759
Speaker 2: a bad league now. It's it's almost too unpredictable, like

790
00:38:28,800 --> 00:38:31,520
Speaker 2: the Patriot in the same way. It's so unpredictable where

791
00:38:31,520 --> 00:38:33,279
Speaker 2: it's annoying and it just turns you off from like

792
00:38:33,760 --> 00:38:36,040
Speaker 2: following it in a way. Is that is that fair

793
00:38:36,080 --> 00:38:36,359
Speaker 2: to say?

794
00:38:36,360 --> 00:38:38,280
Speaker 1: I don't know. Oh that's not nice.

795
00:38:38,560 --> 00:38:40,560
Speaker 2: Yeah, well, and just being honest here, not here to

796
00:38:40,560 --> 00:38:41,840
Speaker 2: be nice, here to be truthful.

797
00:38:42,040 --> 00:38:44,320
Speaker 1: Yeah, number one three per percentage and free throw percentage

798
00:38:44,320 --> 00:38:47,000
Speaker 1: in league plays Lamoye, number one offense. Uh you see

799
00:38:47,000 --> 00:38:50,399
Speaker 1: San Diego nine point cover margin and Big West play. Yep,

800
00:38:50,480 --> 00:38:52,080
Speaker 1: we all surrender. I think we've mentioned them on the

801
00:38:52,080 --> 00:38:56,440
Speaker 1: podcast before. They've been great this season. Central Michigan and

802
00:38:56,480 --> 00:38:58,480
Speaker 1: the MAC is six and two against the spread with

803
00:38:58,480 --> 00:39:00,719
Speaker 1: a nine point cover margin, and then North Florida in

804
00:39:00,840 --> 00:39:03,640
Speaker 1: the a Sun six and one against the spread, nine

805
00:39:03,680 --> 00:39:07,760
Speaker 1: point cover margin. North Florida is a team that talent wise,

806
00:39:07,840 --> 00:39:10,800
Speaker 1: going into the season roster turnover wise, you expected to

807
00:39:10,800 --> 00:39:13,319
Speaker 1: see them near the bottom of the league and they're

808
00:39:13,360 --> 00:39:16,240
Speaker 1: having one of their best years ever to start the season.

809
00:39:16,320 --> 00:39:19,480
Speaker 1: Go figure. College basketball can be crazy sometimes.

810
00:39:19,960 --> 00:39:22,239
Speaker 2: I laid two and a half for three with North

811
00:39:22,239 --> 00:39:26,200
Speaker 2: Florida at home against South Carolina State or something. Yeah,

812
00:39:26,200 --> 00:39:29,279
Speaker 2: like in hindsight, just a really good price. But they

813
00:39:29,320 --> 00:39:31,240
Speaker 2: suck that night, and they've been really good since.

814
00:39:31,400 --> 00:39:34,680
Speaker 1: I think they lost that game. Is that right? Yeah?

815
00:39:34,680 --> 00:39:38,960
Speaker 1: Pretty incredible? All right, worst records and cover margins. Then

816
00:39:39,000 --> 00:39:42,200
Speaker 1: we'll sign off. The worst ATS teams in the country

817
00:39:42,400 --> 00:39:46,000
Speaker 1: are excuse me in Conference play. Stone Hill in the

818
00:39:46,080 --> 00:39:49,800
Speaker 1: NEC zero to seven minus five cover margin. Hey, speaking

819
00:39:49,800 --> 00:39:52,000
Speaker 1: of teams that just transitioned up stone Hill last year,

820
00:39:52,080 --> 00:39:54,520
Speaker 1: not bad this year, Gym. It's all come crashing down.

821
00:39:55,040 --> 00:39:57,120
Speaker 1: The beginner's luck is gone for Stonehill.

822
00:39:57,480 --> 00:39:59,799
Speaker 3: Last year they played a bunch of zone in league play,

823
00:40:00,160 --> 00:40:03,759
Speaker 3: kind of messed with teams vibes and haven't really been

824
00:40:03,760 --> 00:40:06,000
Speaker 3: able to do it. They've definitely been injured, but they've

825
00:40:06,040 --> 00:40:08,920
Speaker 3: been healthier of late and it has not improved their

826
00:40:08,960 --> 00:40:11,400
Speaker 3: play at all. So Yeah, it just seems like a

827
00:40:11,400 --> 00:40:12,520
Speaker 3: team that's circling the drain.

828
00:40:13,080 --> 00:40:16,800
Speaker 1: Matt what they beat? Army beat Army. Yeah, they didn't cover.

829
00:40:16,680 --> 00:40:18,799
Speaker 2: Apparently, No November ninth, there was actually a game before

830
00:40:18,920 --> 00:40:20,040
Speaker 2: Army that.

831
00:40:20,000 --> 00:40:24,239
Speaker 1: Was not any Patriot. Yeah. N i U is zero

832
00:40:24,239 --> 00:40:27,840
Speaker 1: to seven against the spread in MAC play, which is

833
00:40:27,880 --> 00:40:29,920
Speaker 1: surprising to me. They had a great non con and

834
00:40:29,960 --> 00:40:32,439
Speaker 1: they've fallen off a cliff. They've done a reverse of

835
00:40:32,920 --> 00:40:36,360
Speaker 1: some of the teams in the first section. Injuries, shockun injuries,

836
00:40:36,520 --> 00:40:37,280
Speaker 1: a ton of injuries.

837
00:40:37,400 --> 00:40:39,920
Speaker 2: Just a chance with a fairly thin roster to begin with,

838
00:40:40,000 --> 00:40:42,200
Speaker 2: and then you got like three of your top seven

839
00:40:42,239 --> 00:40:44,000
Speaker 2: in and out. Yeah, it's just no chance with those

840
00:40:44,080 --> 00:40:44,640
Speaker 2: those injuries.

841
00:40:44,640 --> 00:40:47,600
Speaker 1: I think they're a team that got some more bad news.

842
00:40:47,640 --> 00:40:49,680
Speaker 1: Old Dominion one and nine against the spread in the

843
00:40:49,680 --> 00:40:53,040
Speaker 1: sun Belt minus five cover Margins just lost their leading scorer.

844
00:40:53,680 --> 00:40:57,640
Speaker 1: He's been kicked off the team. Ltte gone, Old Dominion.

845
00:40:57,680 --> 00:41:00,000
Speaker 1: Probably not a team to back going forward as well,

846
00:41:00,080 --> 00:41:02,040
Speaker 1: unless he was a cancer to the team Jim. Maybe

847
00:41:02,080 --> 00:41:02,319
Speaker 1: he is.

848
00:41:02,840 --> 00:41:05,640
Speaker 3: Yeah, there's potential for like addition by subtraction with a

849
00:41:05,680 --> 00:41:07,759
Speaker 3: guy who's coming off the bench and leading the team

850
00:41:07,800 --> 00:41:11,359
Speaker 3: in usage's, I could see that being helpful. But this

851
00:41:11,440 --> 00:41:13,760
Speaker 3: all started with their coach having a heart attack before

852
00:41:14,400 --> 00:41:17,600
Speaker 3: the Diamond Head Classic pre Christmas, and Jeff Jones will

853
00:41:17,600 --> 00:41:19,160
Speaker 3: not return of the season. It's going to be under

854
00:41:19,160 --> 00:41:22,080
Speaker 3: the interim interim coach the rest of the way. It's

855
00:41:22,400 --> 00:41:25,600
Speaker 3: it's just not a situation. I'm looking forward to putting

856
00:41:25,600 --> 00:41:26,360
Speaker 3: my money behind.

857
00:41:26,640 --> 00:41:29,880
Speaker 1: Yeah. Another team that's really fallen off from non con

858
00:41:30,320 --> 00:41:32,279
Speaker 1: U I see in the Missouri Valley is one and

859
00:41:32,400 --> 00:41:35,080
Speaker 1: nine against the spread. This team was not supposed to

860
00:41:35,120 --> 00:41:37,560
Speaker 1: be that good. This makes way more sense than the

861
00:41:38,239 --> 00:41:41,000
Speaker 1: level they're playing in non con which was incredible.

862
00:41:41,120 --> 00:41:43,920
Speaker 2: Funny that Rashan berno Kai and I you just mentioned

863
00:41:43,960 --> 00:41:47,160
Speaker 2: in luke yaklic You I see both initial names tied

864
00:41:47,200 --> 00:41:50,040
Speaker 2: to the DePaul job opening, like in late November December

865
00:41:50,040 --> 00:41:52,840
Speaker 2: when they were kind of rolling and DePaul was stinking.

866
00:41:53,360 --> 00:41:55,399
Speaker 2: Fast forward a month later and I think you sort

867
00:41:55,440 --> 00:41:57,239
Speaker 2: of see how quickly things can change there.

868
00:41:57,560 --> 00:42:01,200
Speaker 3: Yeah, they're also anti Eku in terms of like no

869
00:42:01,280 --> 00:42:04,600
Speaker 3: one made a three against them, and not suddenly. I

870
00:42:04,640 --> 00:42:07,239
Speaker 3: mean not that they're pouring it on in league play,

871
00:42:07,280 --> 00:42:09,680
Speaker 3: but they're making the league average amount and they look

872
00:42:09,760 --> 00:42:10,400
Speaker 3: much more mortal.

873
00:42:10,480 --> 00:42:12,759
Speaker 2: Regression always finds you can't hide from it can't run.

874
00:42:12,840 --> 00:42:15,319
Speaker 1: Then how about this one, guys, power team Ohio State

875
00:42:15,600 --> 00:42:17,680
Speaker 1: one and eight in the Big Ten in ATS or

876
00:42:17,719 --> 00:42:21,839
Speaker 1: excuse me against the spread in conference play, good guy,

877
00:42:22,080 --> 00:42:22,640
Speaker 1: Chris Hilton.

878
00:42:22,719 --> 00:42:25,680
Speaker 3: I just I just guessed it on the live edition

879
00:42:25,760 --> 00:42:27,800
Speaker 3: of the Drive of the Lane Show. It's an Ohio

880
00:42:27,800 --> 00:42:31,920
Speaker 3: State podcast with Joey Lane and andrews Olden. And there's

881
00:42:31,960 --> 00:42:36,600
Speaker 3: some lack of confidence in the current leadership. Unfortunately, it's

882
00:42:36,640 --> 00:42:39,359
Speaker 3: a very young team, but they're just really bad down

883
00:42:39,400 --> 00:42:41,160
Speaker 3: the stretch. They were young last year, they kind of

884
00:42:41,200 --> 00:42:42,960
Speaker 3: are still young this year. You thought they'd maybe take

885
00:42:43,000 --> 00:42:45,799
Speaker 3: a step forward, but late in games they kind of

886
00:42:45,840 --> 00:42:48,799
Speaker 3: roll over, and lately they've started the bad in first halves. Two.

887
00:42:49,040 --> 00:42:52,880
Speaker 3: They got smacked at Northwestern over the weekend, two notables

888
00:42:52,880 --> 00:42:55,239
Speaker 3: before the cover margin finishes us off.

889
00:42:55,719 --> 00:42:58,360
Speaker 1: FAU and Memphis are both horrible against the spread in

890
00:42:58,440 --> 00:43:03,160
Speaker 1: American play one in seven, Memphis is one and six. Matthew,

891
00:43:03,360 --> 00:43:04,400
Speaker 1: your thoughts.

892
00:43:05,120 --> 00:43:06,239
Speaker 2: Did we sort of predict this?

893
00:43:06,320 --> 00:43:08,440
Speaker 3: I think we said, yeah, you definitely did mat that

894
00:43:08,800 --> 00:43:09,960
Speaker 3: like all these games to.

895
00:43:10,000 --> 00:43:12,680
Speaker 2: This degree, yeah, But I just it's a a way

896
00:43:12,680 --> 00:43:15,279
Speaker 2: better league than the market understands, and I think people

897
00:43:15,360 --> 00:43:18,960
Speaker 2: anticipated and b they're getting everyone's best shots every night.

898
00:43:19,000 --> 00:43:21,320
Speaker 2: And see, there are real flaws to both FAU and Memphis.

899
00:43:21,360 --> 00:43:24,120
Speaker 2: I mean, Memphis has their whole off the court nonsense,

900
00:43:24,160 --> 00:43:27,680
Speaker 2: their cohesion, and also defensively just a disaster like David

901
00:43:27,760 --> 00:43:30,800
Speaker 2: Jones is like the epitome of like Gambler out of position.

902
00:43:30,880 --> 00:43:33,239
Speaker 2: They give up way too many easy layups. Fau's got

903
00:43:33,239 --> 00:43:36,680
Speaker 2: plenty of defensive issues themselves. It's that's more. They miss

904
00:43:36,719 --> 00:43:40,760
Speaker 2: having a second rim protector. They don't always defend consistently

905
00:43:40,800 --> 00:43:43,640
Speaker 2: on the perimeter. But I think this is predictable. I

906
00:43:43,640 --> 00:43:45,360
Speaker 2: don't think we should be so super surprised by this.

907
00:43:46,400 --> 00:43:48,840
Speaker 2: As the guy who made zero dollars office.

908
00:43:48,960 --> 00:43:52,319
Speaker 3: By the way, Yes, I've faded Fau a few times,

909
00:43:52,360 --> 00:43:56,040
Speaker 3: a few times. I will likely continue to fade them,

910
00:43:56,280 --> 00:44:00,239
Speaker 3: even margin wise. Kai, I feel like they've stretched games out,

911
00:44:00,320 --> 00:44:03,520
Speaker 3: like the East Carolina game they extended to fifteen, extended

912
00:44:03,600 --> 00:44:05,480
Speaker 3: to thirteen, Witch tucks in at nine, and those games

913
00:44:05,520 --> 00:44:08,560
Speaker 3: are like nip and tuck the whole way. I think

914
00:44:08,560 --> 00:44:10,640
Speaker 3: there's still value to be had going against them.

915
00:44:10,840 --> 00:44:12,560
Speaker 1: Yeah, and they've come back and won a couple of

916
00:44:12,600 --> 00:44:17,240
Speaker 1: games too, or Texas, right, those type of games. Okay,

917
00:44:17,239 --> 00:44:19,759
Speaker 1: how we're gonna finish this show worst cover margins? But

918
00:44:19,920 --> 00:44:22,800
Speaker 1: I want each of you to quickly say back going forward,

919
00:44:22,880 --> 00:44:25,520
Speaker 1: aka they're going to turn it around or continue to

920
00:44:25,560 --> 00:44:28,160
Speaker 1: fade going forward, They're going to just suck, suck, suck.

921
00:44:28,800 --> 00:44:31,320
Speaker 1: The worst cover margin team in the country and conference

922
00:44:31,320 --> 00:44:35,960
Speaker 1: play is Arkansas minus twelve cover margin. They've been horrible.

923
00:44:36,280 --> 00:44:38,400
Speaker 1: They play our Tigers soon. Jim, are you going to

924
00:44:38,480 --> 00:44:39,879
Speaker 1: back them going forward or fade them?

925
00:44:40,200 --> 00:44:42,799
Speaker 3: I'm tentatively going to wait for them to play well

926
00:44:42,840 --> 00:44:45,840
Speaker 3: one game and then back because Deebo Davis leaving the

927
00:44:45,840 --> 00:44:48,120
Speaker 3: team might help the chemistry, and this is typically when

928
00:44:48,160 --> 00:44:50,640
Speaker 3: we see a little uptick from Musselman. Maybe it's too little,

929
00:44:50,640 --> 00:44:52,600
Speaker 3: too late, but I'm thinking back.

930
00:44:52,920 --> 00:44:55,080
Speaker 2: They and he's Muscleman's already trying to get himself out

931
00:44:55,080 --> 00:44:57,400
Speaker 2: of that. He's trying to parachute into another job at

932
00:44:57,360 --> 00:45:00,520
Speaker 2: blue Ville. I'm believing everything I read on Twitter. It's

933
00:45:00,560 --> 00:45:02,480
Speaker 2: been a good week for college basketball Twitter, so it's

934
00:45:02,520 --> 00:45:05,000
Speaker 2: a great time to believe everything you read. That's what

935
00:45:05,040 --> 00:45:07,120
Speaker 2: I'm following this week. That's the script I'm going to track.

936
00:45:07,160 --> 00:45:12,800
Speaker 2: And Yeah, wellisvill Eric Musselman maybe.

937
00:45:11,719 --> 00:45:14,120
Speaker 1: Diving into the extra board. New Orleans in the south

938
00:45:14,200 --> 00:45:16,759
Speaker 1: Land a minus nine and a half cover margin league

939
00:45:16,800 --> 00:45:19,719
Speaker 1: play two and six, Matt going forward, you bet in

940
00:45:19,719 --> 00:45:21,000
Speaker 1: her fading fade.

941
00:45:21,920 --> 00:45:24,040
Speaker 2: They don't like how they play, still play kind of archaic,

942
00:45:24,080 --> 00:45:25,080
Speaker 2: antiquated basketball.

943
00:45:25,600 --> 00:45:29,279
Speaker 3: Jim, I'm actually gonna back, but they've been they've been

944
00:45:29,280 --> 00:45:32,239
Speaker 3: missing guys in the lineup. Need them to be fully healthy.

945
00:45:32,239 --> 00:45:33,600
Speaker 3: They've got maybe the best guard in the league in

946
00:45:33,640 --> 00:45:38,719
Speaker 3: Jordan Johnson. Johnson's on McNeese Division. But yeah, I'm not

947
00:45:38,800 --> 00:45:40,080
Speaker 3: super excited to back them.

948
00:45:40,600 --> 00:45:44,200
Speaker 1: Detroit a minus nine cover margin in the Horizon, surprisingly

949
00:45:44,239 --> 00:45:45,840
Speaker 1: three and eight against the spread. I would expect that

950
00:45:45,880 --> 00:45:49,239
Speaker 1: to be zero to eleven, but Detroit backer fade going forward,

951
00:45:49,320 --> 00:45:51,200
Speaker 1: Jim Jaydenstone back in the lineup.

952
00:45:51,400 --> 00:45:54,400
Speaker 3: Uh fade. I think Mike Davis is kind of on

953
00:45:54,440 --> 00:45:56,080
Speaker 3: the way out. Stone has given them a little life,

954
00:45:56,120 --> 00:45:58,440
Speaker 3: but I just generally think all the other teams that

955
00:45:58,480 --> 00:46:00,279
Speaker 3: are in the title nix are going to look to

956
00:46:00,320 --> 00:46:01,120
Speaker 3: smash Detroit.

957
00:46:02,160 --> 00:46:06,399
Speaker 2: Matt, I'll back these prices are just like insanely low.

958
00:46:06,640 --> 00:46:08,360
Speaker 2: I did just fade them with green Bay over the weekend,

959
00:46:08,400 --> 00:46:09,640
Speaker 2: and I have once, so maybe I should stick with that.

960
00:46:10,040 --> 00:46:11,840
Speaker 2: All back, give me the back.

961
00:46:12,480 --> 00:46:16,840
Speaker 1: Portland and the WCC surprisingly minus eight point cover margin,

962
00:46:16,840 --> 00:46:17,560
Speaker 1: Matt or fading.

963
00:46:18,160 --> 00:46:21,840
Speaker 2: Yeah, Chanty's my guy, but they just have zero ability

964
00:46:21,880 --> 00:46:24,040
Speaker 2: to defend. The talents just not there. They have no doubt.

965
00:46:24,040 --> 00:46:26,200
Speaker 2: It's like Tyler Robertson, please score fifty year else we

966
00:46:26,280 --> 00:46:29,799
Speaker 2: have no chance. And a great blueprint for every game, yep,

967
00:46:29,840 --> 00:46:31,360
Speaker 2: a great fade.

968
00:46:31,520 --> 00:46:34,160
Speaker 1: And finally Idaho and the Big Sky one and six

969
00:46:34,280 --> 00:46:38,000
Speaker 1: kainst the spread minus eight cover margin, Jim Vader back.

970
00:46:38,880 --> 00:46:40,759
Speaker 3: I'm backing him because I like the coach and I'm

971
00:46:40,800 --> 00:46:42,839
Speaker 3: hoping at some point these prices are going to get

972
00:46:42,840 --> 00:46:47,040
Speaker 3: into the range of worth backing against. Or backing with

973
00:46:47,560 --> 00:46:50,279
Speaker 3: so Maddie. I'm gonna I'm gonna side with the vandals.

974
00:46:50,760 --> 00:46:51,399
Speaker 1: I think so too.

975
00:46:51,400 --> 00:46:53,520
Speaker 2: I love Prebble. I just man, he has no talent

976
00:46:53,640 --> 00:46:56,399
Speaker 2: like that. That roster is a little too D three

977
00:46:56,520 --> 00:46:59,040
Speaker 2: E for me. I like to see like, you know,

978
00:46:59,120 --> 00:47:01,200
Speaker 2: like the Saint Tom roster that kind of came last

979
00:47:01,239 --> 00:47:02,960
Speaker 2: couple of years. They had some real D one players there.

980
00:47:02,960 --> 00:47:05,280
Speaker 2: I don't really see that. That's a big difference.

981
00:47:05,719 --> 00:47:08,200
Speaker 1: Shots fired at Idaho's personnel there.

982
00:47:08,880 --> 00:47:11,520
Speaker 2: Sorry Taron Frank, Sorry Tyler Linhard.

983
00:47:11,800 --> 00:47:13,600
Speaker 1: All right, that does it for us. Thank you for

984
00:47:13,640 --> 00:47:16,120
Speaker 1: joining us on Big Bets on Campus. We are back

985
00:47:16,560 --> 00:47:20,200
Speaker 1: next week Wednesday morning. Thank you to bet mgim. We

986
00:47:20,239 --> 00:47:34,440
Speaker 1: will see you next week of luck with your bets.

987
00:47:35,640 --> 00:47:40,160
Speaker 2: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or

988
00:47:40,200 --> 00:47:42,960
Speaker 2: someone you care about has a gambling problem, help is

989
00:47:43,000 --> 00:47:46,160
Speaker 2: available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred Gambler