1 00:00:00,040 --> 00:00:07,000 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. 2 00:00:09,880 --> 00:00:12,799 Speaker 2: This is the Blueberg Day BAQ podcast, available every morning 3 00:00:12,840 --> 00:00:15,680 Speaker 2: on Apple, Spotify or wherever you listen. It's Wednesday, the 4 00:00:15,720 --> 00:00:18,600 Speaker 2: nineteenth of March. Here in London. I'm Caroline, Hepkip and. 5 00:00:18,560 --> 00:00:21,919 Speaker 3: I'm Stephen Carroll. Coming up today. Differing accounts emerge of 6 00:00:21,960 --> 00:00:25,200 Speaker 3: the Trump Putin call as the Russian leader refuses to 7 00:00:25,239 --> 00:00:27,240 Speaker 3: back a thirty day ceasefire in Ukraine. 8 00:00:27,600 --> 00:00:31,280 Speaker 2: Morgan Stanley plans to cut around two thousand jobs to 9 00:00:31,360 --> 00:00:32,720 Speaker 2: keep a lid on costs. 10 00:00:32,960 --> 00:00:36,240 Speaker 3: Plus, has Paris peaked? We look at why global banks 11 00:00:36,240 --> 00:00:39,879 Speaker 3: have put their hiring plans in the French capital on hold. 12 00:00:40,360 --> 00:00:42,360 Speaker 2: Let's start with a roundup of our top stories. 13 00:00:42,520 --> 00:00:46,000 Speaker 3: Russia' Vladimir Putin has refused President Trump's request for a 14 00:00:46,040 --> 00:00:49,360 Speaker 3: thirty day Ukraine ceasefire during a phone call on ending 15 00:00:49,400 --> 00:00:53,120 Speaker 3: the conflict, as the two sides offered seemingly conflicting accounts 16 00:00:53,120 --> 00:00:55,920 Speaker 3: of their discussion. The Kremlin says Putin agreed only to 17 00:00:55,960 --> 00:00:59,960 Speaker 3: decrease attacks on Ukraine's energy infrastructure, while imposing several can 18 00:01:00,000 --> 00:01:04,080 Speaker 3: additions for a lasting ceasefire, including suspending US arms and 19 00:01:04,160 --> 00:01:07,800 Speaker 3: intelligence support for Ukraine However, the White House redoubt says 20 00:01:07,840 --> 00:01:11,720 Speaker 3: Trump and Putin agreed to an energy and infrastructure ceasefire. 21 00:01:12,200 --> 00:01:14,360 Speaker 3: Speaking to Fox News as Laura Ingram after the call, 22 00:01:14,440 --> 00:01:17,959 Speaker 3: Trump denies that Putin demanded an end to Western military 23 00:01:18,000 --> 00:01:20,880 Speaker 3: aid for Ukraine. We had a great quote lasted almost 24 00:01:20,920 --> 00:01:21,560 Speaker 3: two hours. 25 00:01:22,040 --> 00:01:25,039 Speaker 1: Talked about a lot of things and toward getting it 26 00:01:25,080 --> 00:01:26,720 Speaker 1: to peace, and we talked about other things. 27 00:01:26,720 --> 00:01:27,679 Speaker 3: Also, was there. 28 00:01:27,600 --> 00:01:31,680 Speaker 4: Non negotiables mentioned by Putin? It was reported that I 29 00:01:31,720 --> 00:01:35,680 Speaker 4: think the Krumlin media actually stated that he demanded an 30 00:01:35,720 --> 00:01:40,600 Speaker 4: immediate cessation of aid to Ukraine in order to get 31 00:01:40,680 --> 00:01:41,880 Speaker 4: to this multi step deal. 32 00:01:42,000 --> 00:01:44,640 Speaker 1: No, we didn't talk about aid. Actually we didn't talk 33 00:01:44,680 --> 00:01:45,559 Speaker 1: about aid at all. 34 00:01:46,319 --> 00:01:48,120 Speaker 4: We talked about a lot of things, but aid was 35 00:01:48,160 --> 00:01:49,000 Speaker 4: never discussed. 36 00:01:49,640 --> 00:01:52,560 Speaker 3: Although Ukraine was the focus of the coll initiated by Trump. 37 00:01:52,560 --> 00:01:55,000 Speaker 3: A White House statement also said the two leaders discussed 38 00:01:55,040 --> 00:01:59,960 Speaker 3: improving bilateral ties, including quote enormous economic deals and geopil 39 00:02:00,000 --> 00:02:02,520 Speaker 3: a constability when peace has been achieved. 40 00:02:03,320 --> 00:02:06,720 Speaker 2: The call between presidents Putin and Trump comes as European 41 00:02:06,760 --> 00:02:10,520 Speaker 2: allies look to accelerate arms shipments to Ukraine ahead of 42 00:02:10,560 --> 00:02:14,200 Speaker 2: a potential full cease fire. Speaking to Bloomberg, the UK's 43 00:02:14,280 --> 00:02:18,080 Speaker 2: Foreign Secretary, David Lammy confirmed that he discussed the possibility 44 00:02:18,440 --> 00:02:21,840 Speaker 2: with the EU's top diplomat, Kayak Kalas during her trip 45 00:02:21,880 --> 00:02:26,919 Speaker 2: to London yesterday. Meanwhile, European Union Commissioned President Ursula Vondeline 46 00:02:27,080 --> 00:02:30,440 Speaker 2: yesterday re emphasized the need for the bloc to be 47 00:02:30,480 --> 00:02:34,680 Speaker 2: able to defend itself in a future confrontation with Russia. 48 00:02:35,200 --> 00:02:38,400 Speaker 2: The era of the peace dividend is long gone. The 49 00:02:38,440 --> 00:02:42,200 Speaker 2: security architecture that we relied on can no longer be 50 00:02:42,280 --> 00:02:46,920 Speaker 2: taken for granted. The age of sphears of influence and 51 00:02:47,000 --> 00:02:52,239 Speaker 2: power competition is well and truly back. Fond Dealin also 52 00:02:52,400 --> 00:02:56,519 Speaker 2: announced plans to set up a European military sales mechanism 53 00:02:56,639 --> 00:03:01,960 Speaker 2: to help pool demand and create an EU wide market. Earlier, 54 00:03:02,000 --> 00:03:04,840 Speaker 2: this marked the Bofseel's propose issuing one hundred and fifty 55 00:03:04,880 --> 00:03:08,600 Speaker 2: billion euros in loans to member states to boost defense spending. 56 00:03:08,960 --> 00:03:10,480 Speaker 2: At a national level. 57 00:03:10,919 --> 00:03:15,320 Speaker 3: Germany's parliament has approved Friedrich Mertz's landmark infrastructure and defense 58 00:03:15,360 --> 00:03:18,880 Speaker 3: spending package. The Chancellor in Waitings plan to largely exclude 59 00:03:18,919 --> 00:03:21,600 Speaker 3: defense spending from the death break received the two thirds 60 00:03:21,600 --> 00:03:25,080 Speaker 3: majority needed to change the country's constitution. It would also 61 00:03:25,080 --> 00:03:27,560 Speaker 3: set up a five hundred billion euro fund to invest 62 00:03:27,560 --> 00:03:30,560 Speaker 3: in the country's aging infrastructure. Mertz called at the start 63 00:03:30,600 --> 00:03:34,160 Speaker 3: of a United europe Defense Force in Shidun Court. 64 00:03:34,160 --> 00:03:36,960 Speaker 5: This decision that we are taking today on defense readiness 65 00:03:37,000 --> 00:03:39,800 Speaker 5: in a comprehensive sense for our country can therefore be 66 00:03:39,840 --> 00:03:43,000 Speaker 5: nothing less than the first major step towards a new 67 00:03:43,120 --> 00:03:44,720 Speaker 5: European defense community. 68 00:03:44,960 --> 00:03:48,440 Speaker 3: O Obersten for Tidi Gump's good mind Shoft. Mertz's historic 69 00:03:48,480 --> 00:03:51,240 Speaker 3: plan was driven by US President Donald Trump's shift away 70 00:03:51,280 --> 00:03:55,280 Speaker 3: from the Transatlantic Alliance and two years of economic contraction 71 00:03:55,360 --> 00:03:58,480 Speaker 3: in Germany. The country's sixteen states vote on the bill 72 00:03:58,520 --> 00:04:01,440 Speaker 3: this Friday. If it passes, it will become law now. 73 00:04:01,560 --> 00:04:05,280 Speaker 2: One of Wall Street's largest banks is planning a dramatic 74 00:04:05,440 --> 00:04:09,760 Speaker 2: cull of its workforce to cut costs amid recent market 75 00:04:09,800 --> 00:04:13,520 Speaker 2: and economic uncertainty. BlueBag Sea Adebayo has the story. 76 00:04:14,240 --> 00:04:17,200 Speaker 6: Morgan Stanley is preparing to cut two thousand of its 77 00:04:17,240 --> 00:04:20,599 Speaker 6: workers in the coming month. It's the first major staff 78 00:04:20,640 --> 00:04:24,760 Speaker 6: related action under new CEO Ted Pick. Although trimming will 79 00:04:24,760 --> 00:04:28,600 Speaker 6: take place across the firm, Bloomberg understands its roughly fifteen 80 00:04:28,680 --> 00:04:33,000 Speaker 6: thousand financial advisors will remain exempt. Some of the changes 81 00:04:33,040 --> 00:04:36,520 Speaker 6: are performance related, whilst a small portion reflect the impact 82 00:04:36,520 --> 00:04:40,800 Speaker 6: of artificial intelligence and automation. According to those familiar with 83 00:04:40,839 --> 00:04:44,320 Speaker 6: the matter, shares of Morgan Stanley are down six percent 84 00:04:44,480 --> 00:04:47,719 Speaker 6: so far this year. The worst performance among major US 85 00:04:47,839 --> 00:04:50,680 Speaker 6: banks in London TE were at a bio Bloomberg Radio. 86 00:04:51,160 --> 00:04:55,480 Speaker 3: The Bank of Japan has left its policy rate unchanged 87 00:04:55,520 --> 00:04:58,479 Speaker 3: at zero point five percent, while signaling on an ease 88 00:04:58,560 --> 00:05:02,560 Speaker 3: about global trade te A reference to trade policies was 89 00:05:02,600 --> 00:05:04,839 Speaker 3: added to the central Bank's list of risks in the 90 00:05:04,880 --> 00:05:08,320 Speaker 3: outlook and a statement today. The move comes around two 91 00:05:08,400 --> 00:05:12,400 Speaker 3: weeks before President Trump's threatened additional reciprocal tariffs so are 92 00:05:12,480 --> 00:05:14,560 Speaker 3: due to be announced here. 93 00:05:14,440 --> 00:05:17,360 Speaker 2: In the UK, the government has announced plans to cut 94 00:05:17,400 --> 00:05:21,120 Speaker 2: its welfare bill, aiming to save five billion pounds a 95 00:05:21,240 --> 00:05:24,560 Speaker 2: year by twenty thirty. In a move that may spark 96 00:05:24,600 --> 00:05:29,160 Speaker 2: a political rebellion. Labour intends to tighten the criteria disabled 97 00:05:29,200 --> 00:05:32,719 Speaker 2: people and young adults need to meet to claim support. 98 00:05:33,120 --> 00:05:36,480 Speaker 2: The Work and Pension Secretary Liz Kendall promised the social 99 00:05:36,520 --> 00:05:39,559 Speaker 2: security system will always be there for people who really 100 00:05:39,640 --> 00:05:40,080 Speaker 2: need it. 101 00:05:40,920 --> 00:05:43,720 Speaker 7: That is a principle. We will never compromise on you. 102 00:05:45,160 --> 00:05:48,679 Speaker 7: But disabled people and people with health conditions who can 103 00:05:48,800 --> 00:05:52,839 Speaker 7: work that should have the same right choices and chances 104 00:05:52,880 --> 00:05:54,640 Speaker 7: to work as everybody else. 105 00:05:55,440 --> 00:05:58,280 Speaker 2: Kendall's plan has been met with anger, though from her 106 00:05:58,320 --> 00:06:02,479 Speaker 2: own backbenches, with one MP saying that they show a 107 00:06:02,680 --> 00:06:07,160 Speaker 2: quote basic lack of humanity. Two point nine million people 108 00:06:07,240 --> 00:06:09,440 Speaker 2: are out of work due to ill health in Britain, 109 00:06:09,760 --> 00:06:12,760 Speaker 2: which is a third more than before the COVID pandemic. 110 00:06:13,200 --> 00:06:16,760 Speaker 3: Two astronauts whose eight day space mission turned into nine 111 00:06:16,839 --> 00:06:20,080 Speaker 3: months have arrived back on Earth. But Willmore and Sonny 112 00:06:20,080 --> 00:06:23,719 Speaker 3: Williams returned in a SpaceX craft with two other crew members, 113 00:06:23,960 --> 00:06:28,960 Speaker 3: NASA's Nick Haig and Russian cosmotaut cosmonaut Alexander Gorbonov. The 114 00:06:29,000 --> 00:06:33,039 Speaker 3: capsule carrying the four landed off the coast of Florida 115 00:06:33,080 --> 00:06:36,960 Speaker 3: a few hours ago. Here's NASA's Sandra Jones from SpaceX 116 00:06:37,040 --> 00:06:38,320 Speaker 3: mission control. 117 00:06:38,680 --> 00:06:39,760 Speaker 2: Copy splash down. 118 00:06:39,839 --> 00:06:44,520 Speaker 3: We see main shoots, cuts, Nick, alex butch Sunny on 119 00:06:44,600 --> 00:06:45,600 Speaker 3: behalf of SpaceX. 120 00:06:46,200 --> 00:06:46,840 Speaker 2: Welcome home. 121 00:06:48,120 --> 00:06:51,760 Speaker 3: Willmore and William's trip is the sixth longest continuous day 122 00:06:51,800 --> 00:06:55,200 Speaker 3: on the International Space Station by NASA astronauts. After technical 123 00:06:55,240 --> 00:06:58,799 Speaker 3: issues with their Boeing spacecraft led to their extended stay. 124 00:06:59,480 --> 00:07:02,640 Speaker 2: Those stories, Let's get to the markets. The hang sing 125 00:07:02,760 --> 00:07:06,560 Speaker 2: Tech index retreating ahead of ten cent earnings. Bank of 126 00:07:06,560 --> 00:07:10,480 Speaker 2: America says that China's equities rally may face a meaningful 127 00:07:10,640 --> 00:07:14,080 Speaker 2: correction soon. US and European stock futures are up this morning, 128 00:07:14,120 --> 00:07:16,160 Speaker 2: although Wall Street did sell off on Tuesday. The S 129 00:07:16,200 --> 00:07:18,360 Speaker 2: and P five hundred fell more than one percent, the 130 00:07:18,400 --> 00:07:21,720 Speaker 2: Magnificent seven declining two and a half percent, although European 131 00:07:21,760 --> 00:07:25,240 Speaker 2: stocks outperformed again. The US Stocks fifty closed up by 132 00:07:25,360 --> 00:07:28,920 Speaker 2: zero point seven percent this morning. The Japanese yen weakening 133 00:07:29,040 --> 00:07:32,720 Speaker 2: slightly after that BOJ decision to hold interest rates. The 134 00:07:32,800 --> 00:07:36,240 Speaker 2: Feds expected to hold today too. The dollar and treasuries 135 00:07:36,280 --> 00:07:40,080 Speaker 2: are steady. Gold, though has hit a record high. Fresh 136 00:07:40,160 --> 00:07:42,880 Speaker 2: record high has now treenty a three thousand and forty 137 00:07:43,040 --> 00:07:46,400 Speaker 2: three dollars. Oil has been retracing down about half of 138 00:07:46,440 --> 00:07:47,800 Speaker 2: one percent. Those are the markets. 139 00:07:48,080 --> 00:07:49,360 Speaker 3: In a moment, we'll bring you more on what a 140 00:07:49,360 --> 00:07:52,280 Speaker 3: marriage from that phone call between Vladimir Putin and Donald Trump, 141 00:07:52,360 --> 00:07:56,520 Speaker 3: plus has Paris peaked as a financial center, But first 142 00:07:56,560 --> 00:07:58,600 Speaker 3: on the story that caught a iron the ternal this morning. 143 00:07:59,120 --> 00:08:02,200 Speaker 3: As someone who's nash particularly good cook, I can cook. 144 00:08:02,240 --> 00:08:04,640 Speaker 3: I'm just not great at it. This is a very 145 00:08:04,680 --> 00:08:08,080 Speaker 3: in depth dive into pepper. Is pepper the unsung hero 146 00:08:08,160 --> 00:08:09,160 Speaker 3: of your kitchen? Caroline? 147 00:08:09,200 --> 00:08:12,040 Speaker 2: Oh yeah, I love it? You know fancy peppercorn. Bloomberg's 148 00:08:12,040 --> 00:08:15,240 Speaker 2: Matthew Cronsburg has a story out in BusinessWeek this week. 149 00:08:15,360 --> 00:08:18,480 Speaker 2: But apparently this is the hottest new menu menu trend 150 00:08:18,960 --> 00:08:23,200 Speaker 2: luxury peppercorns, and apparently chefs are even now name checking 151 00:08:23,240 --> 00:08:27,360 Speaker 2: all the various varieties. Telly cherry, penja, Cambodian campos. 152 00:08:27,600 --> 00:08:29,240 Speaker 3: Have you heard of any of these before you read this? 153 00:08:29,640 --> 00:08:32,160 Speaker 2: Yes, I had had a cheli Telly cherry, which is 154 00:08:32,240 --> 00:08:32,959 Speaker 2: quite popular. 155 00:08:33,040 --> 00:08:34,760 Speaker 3: I mean they're on load for a chef of special 156 00:08:34,760 --> 00:08:35,800 Speaker 3: peppercorns in your house. 157 00:08:35,840 --> 00:08:36,880 Speaker 2: I don't, but I do cook. 158 00:08:36,920 --> 00:08:38,080 Speaker 3: You would like ones? 159 00:08:39,160 --> 00:08:42,839 Speaker 2: I'd like to have that much time? But yes, this, 160 00:08:43,800 --> 00:08:46,520 Speaker 2: But apparently also some of these chefs are starting to 161 00:08:46,640 --> 00:08:49,480 Speaker 2: sell the peppercorns that they use on their website. So 162 00:08:49,559 --> 00:08:51,840 Speaker 2: you know, you don't just get the dishes, the plates 163 00:08:51,840 --> 00:08:53,880 Speaker 2: and the cutler. You can buy the peppercorns too. 164 00:08:54,040 --> 00:08:56,640 Speaker 3: And at a price. I mean I noticed they range 165 00:08:56,679 --> 00:08:59,440 Speaker 3: up to eighteen dollars for four ounces, about one hundred 166 00:08:59,440 --> 00:09:02,520 Speaker 3: and ten grand papers, which seems fifteen quid seems like 167 00:09:02,640 --> 00:09:06,160 Speaker 3: quite a lot anyway. Full story on Bloomberg dot Com 168 00:09:06,160 --> 00:09:07,000 Speaker 3: and on the Terminal. 169 00:09:07,840 --> 00:09:11,719 Speaker 2: Now, President Trump's high profile but controversial Ukraine thirty day 170 00:09:11,840 --> 00:09:15,760 Speaker 2: ceasefar proposal has been rejected by President Putin. The Russian 171 00:09:15,840 --> 00:09:19,840 Speaker 2: leader has agreed to limit a tax on energy infrastructure 172 00:09:19,840 --> 00:09:22,040 Speaker 2: in a call between Trump and Putin that focused on 173 00:09:22,120 --> 00:09:28,080 Speaker 2: growing US Russia bilateral relations beyond just Ukraine. Let's dig 174 00:09:28,120 --> 00:09:30,880 Speaker 2: into this story. Bloomberg's Tony Haupin, who leads our team 175 00:09:30,920 --> 00:09:33,559 Speaker 2: covering Russia's economy and government, is with us. Now, Tony, 176 00:09:33,600 --> 00:09:37,320 Speaker 2: good morning. What exactly has been agreed though between the 177 00:09:37,400 --> 00:09:40,160 Speaker 2: US and Russia? The White House and the Kremlin readoubts 178 00:09:40,320 --> 00:09:42,080 Speaker 2: seem to say different things. 179 00:09:42,520 --> 00:09:45,840 Speaker 1: Yes, that's right. They seem to emphasize different elements of 180 00:09:45,880 --> 00:09:51,160 Speaker 1: the conversation. As you noted that, the Kremlin stress that 181 00:09:51,240 --> 00:09:54,040 Speaker 1: it saw a key condition of any agreement to a 182 00:09:54,080 --> 00:09:59,000 Speaker 1: longer term full cease fire as the refusal to supply 183 00:09:59,200 --> 00:10:04,080 Speaker 1: Ukraine with any intelligence or armaments. That's something that really 184 00:10:04,120 --> 00:10:06,560 Speaker 1: puts the ball back into Trump's court to go back 185 00:10:06,600 --> 00:10:09,440 Speaker 1: to Ukraine and decide whether he's going to accept that 186 00:10:09,480 --> 00:10:13,360 Speaker 1: in order to pressure put further pressure on Kiev. All 187 00:10:13,400 --> 00:10:18,440 Speaker 1: that Putin really agreed to was a ceasefire against energy infrastructure, 188 00:10:18,440 --> 00:10:21,040 Speaker 1: and in some ways that even benefits Russia, because one 189 00:10:21,080 --> 00:10:23,840 Speaker 1: of Ukraine's more effective tactics in this war has been 190 00:10:23,880 --> 00:10:26,199 Speaker 1: to target all refineries in Russia in order to try 191 00:10:26,240 --> 00:10:29,040 Speaker 1: and pressure the Russian economy, and presumably that will also 192 00:10:29,120 --> 00:10:31,760 Speaker 1: be covered by such an agreement. So there was very 193 00:10:31,760 --> 00:10:35,920 Speaker 1: little given away by Putin. He and Trump agreed to 194 00:10:35,920 --> 00:10:38,840 Speaker 1: continue talking, and that seems to be the Russian tactic currently, 195 00:10:38,920 --> 00:10:41,080 Speaker 1: to continue talks while seeding very little. 196 00:10:41,240 --> 00:10:44,000 Speaker 3: But it appears that Donald Trump is claiming this as 197 00:10:44,240 --> 00:10:47,760 Speaker 3: a victory for him. Is there is there any merit 198 00:10:47,840 --> 00:10:49,040 Speaker 3: in that, Well, it doesn't. 199 00:10:48,840 --> 00:10:52,079 Speaker 1: Have a great deal of choice, because his whole strategy 200 00:10:52,120 --> 00:10:55,200 Speaker 1: seems to be based upon bringing Russia to the table 201 00:10:55,280 --> 00:10:57,880 Speaker 1: and to try and negotiate a deal that ends the 202 00:10:57,920 --> 00:11:00,960 Speaker 1: war in Ukraine, and in some ways those talks sideline 203 00:11:01,080 --> 00:11:04,720 Speaker 1: Ukraine and sideline Europe, and they're aimed at really striking 204 00:11:04,760 --> 00:11:08,240 Speaker 1: some sort of bilateral deal and repairing the broader relationship 205 00:11:08,280 --> 00:11:12,720 Speaker 1: between Russia and the US. If that doesn't work out, 206 00:11:12,880 --> 00:11:15,600 Speaker 1: then the question gets asked, what is the next step 207 00:11:15,640 --> 00:11:17,920 Speaker 1: for the US if they're really serious in trying to 208 00:11:18,040 --> 00:11:22,000 Speaker 1: end this war. And currently President Trump is focused on 209 00:11:22,120 --> 00:11:27,680 Speaker 1: negotiations and focused on getting Russia to consider ways to 210 00:11:27,760 --> 00:11:30,520 Speaker 1: halt the fighting, but Putin isn't showing much interest in 211 00:11:30,559 --> 00:11:30,959 Speaker 1: doing so. 212 00:11:31,480 --> 00:11:35,640 Speaker 2: Yeah, and so skepticism then surely is the response in Europe, 213 00:11:35,679 --> 00:11:39,319 Speaker 2: the UK What about Ukraine as the fighting in Ukraine 214 00:11:39,400 --> 00:11:41,920 Speaker 2: grinds on, Yes, I mean the. 215 00:11:42,040 --> 00:11:45,000 Speaker 1: UK and Europe have been looking for ways to accelerate 216 00:11:45,800 --> 00:11:48,719 Speaker 1: armed shipments to Ukraine as a way to bolster Ukraine's 217 00:11:48,920 --> 00:11:51,920 Speaker 1: position on the battlefield and give it a better chance 218 00:11:52,040 --> 00:11:55,920 Speaker 1: during negotiations that may emerge with the US and Russia. 219 00:11:56,679 --> 00:11:59,319 Speaker 1: But again that's going to become an issue of contention 220 00:11:59,480 --> 00:12:01,440 Speaker 1: now because which is made very clear to Trump that 221 00:12:01,480 --> 00:12:03,959 Speaker 1: if he wants this thirty day full cease fire, those 222 00:12:04,080 --> 00:12:06,960 Speaker 1: kind of shipments have to stop. And that implies that 223 00:12:07,160 --> 00:12:09,280 Speaker 1: the US then will have to go back to Europeans 224 00:12:09,280 --> 00:12:11,200 Speaker 1: and go back to Kiev and say, well, if we 225 00:12:11,240 --> 00:12:13,400 Speaker 1: want to hold the war, we're going to have to 226 00:12:13,400 --> 00:12:17,800 Speaker 1: stop the shipments. That implies that Ugrain's position will be 227 00:12:17,800 --> 00:12:20,840 Speaker 1: beacon So it's a very difficult position both for Kiev 228 00:12:21,160 --> 00:12:22,240 Speaker 1: and the US. 229 00:12:22,320 --> 00:12:26,280 Speaker 3: Okay, Tony Halpin leading our team covering Russia's economics and government. 230 00:12:26,320 --> 00:12:27,080 Speaker 3: Thank you very much. 231 00:12:27,520 --> 00:12:32,200 Speaker 2: Now to France, where rising taxes and political turmoil are 232 00:12:32,240 --> 00:12:35,600 Speaker 2: having a chilling effect on the financial sector. Since last summer, 233 00:12:35,640 --> 00:12:40,080 Speaker 2: international banks in Paris have quietly shelved expansion plans after 234 00:12:40,200 --> 00:12:44,800 Speaker 2: years of building its role as Europ's post breaksit financial center. 235 00:12:44,960 --> 00:12:48,360 Speaker 2: What is happening in Paris? Our finance reporter in France, 236 00:12:48,400 --> 00:12:52,240 Speaker 2: Claudia Cohen, joins us now for more on this Good morning, Claudia, 237 00:12:52,320 --> 00:12:56,040 Speaker 2: what's happening in terms of head count at financial firms 238 00:12:56,080 --> 00:12:56,800 Speaker 2: in Paris. 239 00:12:57,120 --> 00:13:00,720 Speaker 8: It's like some banks, some big banks like Rugains Stanley 240 00:13:00,880 --> 00:13:04,720 Speaker 8: or even GP Morgan in Paris, who came with many 241 00:13:04,880 --> 00:13:11,320 Speaker 8: many people following Brexit referendum, are quietly either cutting a 242 00:13:11,360 --> 00:13:16,079 Speaker 8: bit of workforce here and there or even the planet before. So, 243 00:13:16,160 --> 00:13:18,840 Speaker 8: for instance, in the story I'm talking about Morgan Stanley 244 00:13:19,320 --> 00:13:22,160 Speaker 8: that peak last year, beginning of last year was saying 245 00:13:22,200 --> 00:13:26,959 Speaker 8: that Paris bureau could welcome around five hundred and fifty people. No, 246 00:13:27,120 --> 00:13:30,360 Speaker 8: they are four hundred fifty people and behind private doors 247 00:13:30,800 --> 00:13:34,520 Speaker 8: like management or saying obviously with the political turmoil in 248 00:13:34,559 --> 00:13:38,720 Speaker 8: the country, with the instability in regards to the taxes. 249 00:13:39,280 --> 00:13:41,440 Speaker 8: Maybe now it's not the good time to make all 250 00:13:41,480 --> 00:13:43,280 Speaker 8: these new people coming in Paris. 251 00:13:43,960 --> 00:13:47,240 Speaker 3: What's the official line on all of this, Claudia, What 252 00:13:47,440 --> 00:13:50,960 Speaker 3: is the government saying about these moves by banks, or 253 00:13:51,040 --> 00:13:53,120 Speaker 3: rather lack of moves by banks that are happening. 254 00:13:53,679 --> 00:13:56,760 Speaker 8: I mean, to be fair, like they've been quite realistic 255 00:13:56,760 --> 00:14:00,480 Speaker 8: about it. What they want to show more than anything 256 00:14:00,679 --> 00:14:03,400 Speaker 8: is like, look how many people actually came, you know, 257 00:14:03,880 --> 00:14:06,839 Speaker 8: the kind of saying like, so many people came this 258 00:14:07,000 --> 00:14:09,680 Speaker 8: past few years. So obviously we can't have that many 259 00:14:09,720 --> 00:14:13,800 Speaker 8: people coming every year. So they think that this plateau, 260 00:14:13,880 --> 00:14:18,079 Speaker 8: if I can say so, situation is rather normal than 261 00:14:18,200 --> 00:14:22,320 Speaker 8: worrying and for instances today always at your INEX conference 262 00:14:22,720 --> 00:14:26,560 Speaker 8: and the Finance Minister Eric Lambard was saying that, like 263 00:14:27,600 --> 00:14:30,000 Speaker 8: they kind of know that the environment is not the 264 00:14:30,000 --> 00:14:34,040 Speaker 8: best business friendly one at the moment, but the promise 265 00:14:34,120 --> 00:14:38,680 Speaker 8: to make more efforts to make either the labor law 266 00:14:38,880 --> 00:14:43,120 Speaker 8: like more comfortable for foreign players, so like they saying 267 00:14:43,200 --> 00:14:45,640 Speaker 8: that they know that they keep to they need to 268 00:14:45,800 --> 00:14:48,000 Speaker 8: keep continuing making efforts. 269 00:14:48,200 --> 00:14:51,440 Speaker 2: What does it mean for the financial professionals and their families. 270 00:14:51,480 --> 00:14:56,240 Speaker 2: We've moved to Paris. You've done lots of reporting on individuals. 271 00:14:56,480 --> 00:14:59,080 Speaker 8: I think the main question on that is that what 272 00:14:59,200 --> 00:15:03,560 Speaker 8: is the what we did the alternative because Paris fundamentals 273 00:15:03,640 --> 00:15:07,800 Speaker 8: are still there with very very highly skilled people. The 274 00:15:07,800 --> 00:15:11,560 Speaker 8: in frustrautures are in my article I talk about these schools, 275 00:15:11,960 --> 00:15:15,680 Speaker 8: like Paris were able to build many places and in 276 00:15:15,720 --> 00:15:18,800 Speaker 8: school for all the people who came and with the kids. 277 00:15:19,080 --> 00:15:21,480 Speaker 8: So like when you talk to individuals, they tell you 278 00:15:21,600 --> 00:15:25,840 Speaker 8: either like they're not moving and for other people it's 279 00:15:25,920 --> 00:15:29,280 Speaker 8: kind of the end of a cycle. Because for those 280 00:15:29,320 --> 00:15:32,760 Speaker 8: who came just after the Brexit referendum, so let's say 281 00:15:32,960 --> 00:15:35,960 Speaker 8: to fa than sixteen to th than seventeen, it would 282 00:15:35,960 --> 00:15:38,640 Speaker 8: be kind of the end of an era at the 283 00:15:38,760 --> 00:15:42,120 Speaker 8: end of this year because when they came, they were 284 00:15:42,160 --> 00:15:47,200 Speaker 8: able to benefit from a very general fiscal regime, which 285 00:15:47,320 --> 00:15:53,120 Speaker 8: basically means that almost fifty percent of their revenues wouldn't 286 00:15:53,120 --> 00:15:56,440 Speaker 8: be taken to account for taxes. And as you know, 287 00:15:56,600 --> 00:15:59,720 Speaker 8: taxes in France are quite high and it was only 288 00:15:59,760 --> 00:16:05,320 Speaker 8: a fatures regime. So obviously we can inspect many people 289 00:16:05,440 --> 00:16:07,840 Speaker 8: at the end of this year and maybe beginning of 290 00:16:07,960 --> 00:16:10,960 Speaker 8: next year to ask themselves like should I go back 291 00:16:11,000 --> 00:16:13,440 Speaker 8: to London, or maybe I can you know they can 292 00:16:13,600 --> 00:16:15,000 Speaker 8: try something in Millen. 293 00:16:17,120 --> 00:16:19,840 Speaker 3: This is Bloomberg Daybreak Europe, your morning brief on the 294 00:16:19,880 --> 00:16:22,960 Speaker 3: stories making news from London to Wall Street and beyond. 295 00:16:23,240 --> 00:16:27,200 Speaker 2: Look for us on your podcast feed every morning, on Apple, Spotify, 296 00:16:27,320 --> 00:16:29,240 Speaker 2: and anywhere else you get your podcasts. 297 00:16:29,320 --> 00:16:32,320 Speaker 3: You can also listen live each morning on London Dab Radio, 298 00:16:32,360 --> 00:16:35,080 Speaker 3: the Bloomberg Business app, and Bloomberg dot Com. 299 00:16:35,120 --> 00:16:37,880 Speaker 2: Our flagship New York station, is also available on your 300 00:16:37,880 --> 00:16:42,600 Speaker 2: Amazon Alexa devices. Just say Alexa play Bloomberg eleven thirty. 301 00:16:42,840 --> 00:16:44,240 Speaker 2: I'm Caroline Hepca. 302 00:16:44,000 --> 00:16:46,440 Speaker 3: And I'm Stephen Carroll. Join us again tomorrow morning for 303 00:16:46,560 --> 00:16:48,960 Speaker 3: all the news you need to start your day right 304 00:16:49,000 --> 00:16:54,760 Speaker 3: here on Bloomberg day Break Europe