1 00:00:00,840 --> 00:00:04,000 Speaker 1: Welcome to the Bloomberg Markets Podcast. I'm Paul Sweeney alongside 2 00:00:04,040 --> 00:00:05,240 Speaker 1: my co host Matt Miller. 3 00:00:05,640 --> 00:00:09,600 Speaker 2: Every business day we bring you interviews from CEOs, market pros, 4 00:00:09,720 --> 00:00:13,600 Speaker 2: and Bloomberg experts, along with essential market moven news. 5 00:00:14,160 --> 00:00:17,279 Speaker 1: Find the Bloomberg Markets Podcast on Apple Podcasts or wherever 6 00:00:17,400 --> 00:00:20,480 Speaker 1: you listen to podcasts, and at Bloomberg dot com slash podcast. 7 00:00:20,920 --> 00:00:23,880 Speaker 1: All right, let's get to the latest on Israel, because 8 00:00:23,920 --> 00:00:26,400 Speaker 1: it just once again we're just waiting it seems like 9 00:00:26,440 --> 00:00:29,240 Speaker 1: for Israel to make the next move here and how 10 00:00:29,440 --> 00:00:31,880 Speaker 1: decisive it will be. Mick mulroy joints us. He's a 11 00:00:31,920 --> 00:00:34,800 Speaker 1: former CIA Power military officer and he's a co founder 12 00:00:34,840 --> 00:00:37,760 Speaker 1: of the Lobo Institute. Mick, thanks so much for joining 13 00:00:37,800 --> 00:00:41,600 Speaker 1: us here. It just it seems like everything we see 14 00:00:41,600 --> 00:00:44,199 Speaker 1: and read from all the reporting that Israel is going 15 00:00:44,240 --> 00:00:47,800 Speaker 1: to go big into kaza I guess the question is 16 00:00:47,960 --> 00:00:50,559 Speaker 1: when and then what do you think? I guess more importantly, 17 00:00:50,600 --> 00:00:52,879 Speaker 1: what do you think a realistic objective for them is? 18 00:00:55,000 --> 00:00:56,400 Speaker 3: Well, it's good to be with you guys. I do 19 00:00:56,480 --> 00:00:58,320 Speaker 3: believe it's coming up. So I think we're in the 20 00:00:58,400 --> 00:01:02,640 Speaker 3: last stages of preparations. We've seen the preparatory fires to 21 00:01:02,680 --> 00:01:05,520 Speaker 3: soften up the targets, take out some leadership. We've seen 22 00:01:05,560 --> 00:01:09,520 Speaker 3: some small incursions, probably by special operations forces to try 23 00:01:09,560 --> 00:01:12,280 Speaker 3: to find the best route for the main body to 24 00:01:12,280 --> 00:01:14,800 Speaker 3: get in and potentially to try to get information on 25 00:01:14,840 --> 00:01:17,160 Speaker 3: where the hostages could be. And now we're going to 26 00:01:17,160 --> 00:01:20,240 Speaker 3: see a giant movement of all these tanks and armored 27 00:01:20,240 --> 00:01:24,800 Speaker 3: personnel carriers and combat engineer vehicles. They're going to leave 28 00:01:24,800 --> 00:01:26,679 Speaker 3: the assembly area. They're going to get in their attack 29 00:01:26,760 --> 00:01:31,560 Speaker 3: formations and then likely enter from ares up at the top, 30 00:01:31,640 --> 00:01:34,720 Speaker 3: because that's the best when it comes to terrain for 31 00:01:35,040 --> 00:01:38,720 Speaker 3: all these formations to get into and then funnel in 32 00:01:38,959 --> 00:01:42,240 Speaker 3: to the top going straight toward Gaza City. And to 33 00:01:42,319 --> 00:01:45,240 Speaker 3: your point, they're going big and it's going to be violent. 34 00:01:45,480 --> 00:01:48,480 Speaker 3: They'll probably have some come in from the sea to 35 00:01:48,560 --> 00:01:51,440 Speaker 3: create a dilemma from Hamas, maybe some coming from the 36 00:01:51,480 --> 00:01:55,240 Speaker 3: air to try to drop behind them in central in 37 00:01:55,320 --> 00:01:58,320 Speaker 3: central Gaza to also to try to create a dilemma 38 00:01:58,360 --> 00:02:01,760 Speaker 3: and develop them. But once they into the actual fighting, 39 00:02:01,800 --> 00:02:05,520 Speaker 3: it's going to be blocked by block I'm hearing the 40 00:02:05,560 --> 00:02:08,400 Speaker 3: Israeli planners that talk to me talk about Upper and 41 00:02:08,520 --> 00:02:12,120 Speaker 3: Lower Gaza. Upper being buildings and everything that you see 42 00:02:12,160 --> 00:02:15,480 Speaker 3: normally in the city lower is all these tunnels is 43 00:02:15,520 --> 00:02:18,520 Speaker 3: around three hundred miles of tunnels down there, and that's 44 00:02:18,560 --> 00:02:22,160 Speaker 3: going to be a bear militarily to try to conquer. 45 00:02:22,600 --> 00:02:23,680 Speaker 1: How deep are the tunnels? 46 00:02:23,680 --> 00:02:27,040 Speaker 2: Why can't A couple of questions I've had, and maybe 47 00:02:27,040 --> 00:02:32,280 Speaker 2: you can help, Mick, how do they block the sea border? 48 00:02:32,440 --> 00:02:36,000 Speaker 2: I mean, why wouldn't people in Gaza be able to 49 00:02:36,040 --> 00:02:39,320 Speaker 2: get out on boats or you know, even swimming as 50 00:02:39,440 --> 00:02:41,880 Speaker 2: rudimentary as it sounds, right, they're on the sea. 51 00:02:41,960 --> 00:02:42,840 Speaker 1: How do they block that? 52 00:02:44,800 --> 00:02:47,520 Speaker 3: So there's been a blockade, enable blockade and placed by 53 00:02:47,520 --> 00:02:50,240 Speaker 3: the Israelis for some time because that was one of 54 00:02:50,280 --> 00:02:54,120 Speaker 3: the means of which are on quite frankly, smuggled weapons 55 00:02:54,160 --> 00:02:58,520 Speaker 3: into Gaza. The other was through the tunnels leading into Egypt. 56 00:02:58,680 --> 00:03:01,960 Speaker 3: So that's been blocked. If boats were allowed in, there 57 00:03:01,960 --> 00:03:05,200 Speaker 3: could be some X bills, uh, you know, civilians leaving 58 00:03:05,280 --> 00:03:07,400 Speaker 3: that way. But I don't think the Israelis are letting 59 00:03:07,400 --> 00:03:10,720 Speaker 3: any any any vessels in any of the c space 60 00:03:11,080 --> 00:03:13,160 Speaker 3: right off the coast of Gaza. I do think they'll 61 00:03:13,480 --> 00:03:16,519 Speaker 3: try some kind of amphibious landing, maybe just a small 62 00:03:16,600 --> 00:03:19,960 Speaker 3: special operations type force or more like a giant or 63 00:03:20,240 --> 00:03:22,720 Speaker 3: you know, a large marine formation like the like the 64 00:03:22,760 --> 00:03:26,760 Speaker 3: Marine Corps type formation hitting hitting the beach. Almost everybody 65 00:03:26,840 --> 00:03:29,160 Speaker 3: is going south via vehicle or put I. 66 00:03:29,520 --> 00:03:33,160 Speaker 2: Also wonder, you know, we wondered, uh, we talked about 67 00:03:33,160 --> 00:03:37,320 Speaker 2: the objective for Israel, but going back to the terrorist 68 00:03:37,480 --> 00:03:42,040 Speaker 2: attacks that we saw last week, why did Hamas do that? 69 00:03:42,560 --> 00:03:47,280 Speaker 2: Other than you know, uh, spreading terror and I guess, 70 00:03:47,320 --> 00:03:51,119 Speaker 2: you know, retaliation against what they feel has been done 71 00:03:51,160 --> 00:03:54,040 Speaker 2: to them. Do you think they're trying to bait the 72 00:03:54,120 --> 00:03:56,560 Speaker 2: Israelis into Gaza. 73 00:03:57,520 --> 00:04:00,120 Speaker 3: Yes, and that's a good that's a good point of 74 00:04:00,200 --> 00:04:02,920 Speaker 3: your question. So when they attacked Israel like this, they 75 00:04:02,960 --> 00:04:04,800 Speaker 3: had to know that this was going to happen, and 76 00:04:04,800 --> 00:04:07,560 Speaker 3: I think they did. Why did they do it? Obviously 77 00:04:07,680 --> 00:04:11,160 Speaker 3: to your point terror, they're a terrorist organization, been designated 78 00:04:11,200 --> 00:04:15,560 Speaker 3: as such as nineteen ninety seven. But also they want 79 00:04:15,680 --> 00:04:19,680 Speaker 3: to disrupt all of the diplomatic efforts in the region. 80 00:04:19,920 --> 00:04:23,159 Speaker 3: We've already had the Abraham Accords Saudi Arabia and Israel. 81 00:04:23,200 --> 00:04:26,560 Speaker 3: We're getting close to normalizing relations. This is not good 82 00:04:26,560 --> 00:04:29,360 Speaker 3: for Hamas, it's not good for Iran. And if it's 83 00:04:29,400 --> 00:04:31,479 Speaker 3: not good for on it's not good for Hamas or Hesbela, 84 00:04:31,760 --> 00:04:34,760 Speaker 3: and that's potentially part of what you're trying to do. 85 00:04:35,080 --> 00:04:37,840 Speaker 3: And then the last part militarily is to get them 86 00:04:37,839 --> 00:04:40,440 Speaker 3: into a fight like this, because the IDEF is one 87 00:04:40,440 --> 00:04:43,520 Speaker 3: of the most advanced militaries in the world. But urban fighting, 88 00:04:43,680 --> 00:04:47,599 Speaker 3: tunneled fighting, is subterranean fighting is it takes away a 89 00:04:47,640 --> 00:04:51,160 Speaker 3: lot of those advantages. And they have this place wired 90 00:04:51,320 --> 00:04:55,960 Speaker 3: literally to fight the benefit on their side. So that 91 00:04:56,080 --> 00:04:58,719 Speaker 3: is why they want the IDEF to get into this 92 00:04:58,920 --> 00:05:01,279 Speaker 3: battle inside Gaza City for example. 93 00:05:01,760 --> 00:05:04,520 Speaker 1: And Mick, I mean, have do you think the IDF 94 00:05:04,560 --> 00:05:08,080 Speaker 1: has been able to identify over the years who actually 95 00:05:08,160 --> 00:05:10,719 Speaker 1: is in Hamas? I mean, the leadership is one thing, 96 00:05:11,200 --> 00:05:14,040 Speaker 1: but of the fifteen hundred or so Hamas terrorists that 97 00:05:14,080 --> 00:05:16,360 Speaker 1: came across the boarded, does Israel know who they are? 98 00:05:16,560 --> 00:05:16,600 Speaker 4: It? 99 00:05:16,680 --> 00:05:19,600 Speaker 1: Did they know? Really? Can they really neutralize Hamas as 100 00:05:19,600 --> 00:05:20,719 Speaker 1: a terrorist organization? 101 00:05:22,800 --> 00:05:24,919 Speaker 3: So there's gonna be a lot of the Hamas fryers 102 00:05:24,960 --> 00:05:26,560 Speaker 3: are going to fight, so they're they're going to die, 103 00:05:26,960 --> 00:05:29,440 Speaker 3: and that's gonna be Then they're going to gather all 104 00:05:29,480 --> 00:05:31,880 Speaker 3: those and then the ones that they capture, they're going 105 00:05:31,960 --> 00:05:35,599 Speaker 3: to go through every camera that and of course Israel, 106 00:05:35,680 --> 00:05:38,680 Speaker 3: like most modern countries, has cameras everywhere and try to 107 00:05:38,720 --> 00:05:42,400 Speaker 3: make sure that they've identified everybody either dead or alive. 108 00:05:42,760 --> 00:05:45,839 Speaker 3: It took part of that operation, and they also keep 109 00:05:45,880 --> 00:05:49,359 Speaker 3: detailed records on who they believe is in Hamas and 110 00:05:49,480 --> 00:05:53,919 Speaker 3: their leader Sinwar is in Gaza City. He is he 111 00:05:54,040 --> 00:05:56,360 Speaker 3: is one of the most significant leaders in Hamas. He's 112 00:05:56,360 --> 00:05:58,920 Speaker 3: going to be target number one. And they've already taken 113 00:05:58,960 --> 00:06:01,120 Speaker 3: about twelve of the sea and your leaders around him 114 00:06:01,440 --> 00:06:05,239 Speaker 3: out so far, just since the preparatory fires started. 115 00:06:05,480 --> 00:06:07,520 Speaker 1: And Nick, one of the question I asked kind of 116 00:06:07,520 --> 00:06:11,200 Speaker 1: consistently to guests on this topic is how much collateral 117 00:06:11,279 --> 00:06:14,600 Speaker 1: damage do you think Israel is willing to inflict in 118 00:06:15,080 --> 00:06:17,839 Speaker 1: order to achieve their military objectives. 119 00:06:19,600 --> 00:06:21,720 Speaker 3: Well, I would hope and I do believe they will 120 00:06:21,839 --> 00:06:24,040 Speaker 3: adhere to the law of armed conflict, which is to 121 00:06:24,040 --> 00:06:27,320 Speaker 3: do everything you can to limit civilian casualties. And the 122 00:06:27,400 --> 00:06:33,560 Speaker 3: first step is getting this humanitarian corridor that allows civilians 123 00:06:33,600 --> 00:06:36,760 Speaker 3: to leave northern Gaza and move to southern Gaza, hopefully 124 00:06:37,000 --> 00:06:41,320 Speaker 3: in a UN sponsored safe haven that's monitored. There's plenty 125 00:06:41,320 --> 00:06:45,360 Speaker 3: of effort underway to set that up, but I do 126 00:06:45,440 --> 00:06:48,080 Speaker 3: think Israel the IDF will do everything they can to 127 00:06:48,120 --> 00:06:53,040 Speaker 3: limit sivilian casually. That said, this is urban fighting with armored, 128 00:06:53,160 --> 00:06:57,960 Speaker 3: armored personnel carrier, multi dimension. There's no doubt that Hamas 129 00:06:58,040 --> 00:07:00,120 Speaker 3: is going to hide behind civilians. There's no doubt have 130 00:07:00,200 --> 00:07:03,200 Speaker 3: buildings wired, in tunnels wired. So there's going to be 131 00:07:03,200 --> 00:07:05,320 Speaker 3: a lot of civilian casualties, which is why I think 132 00:07:05,320 --> 00:07:08,280 Speaker 3: there's been so much effort recently to get as many 133 00:07:08,320 --> 00:07:10,920 Speaker 3: civilians as possible, and I think last I heard was 134 00:07:10,920 --> 00:07:14,280 Speaker 3: five hundred thousand have left northern Gaza. Everybody that can 135 00:07:14,400 --> 00:07:15,080 Speaker 3: leave should lead. 136 00:07:15,920 --> 00:07:19,840 Speaker 2: You know, last week was much harder for me than 137 00:07:19,840 --> 00:07:23,120 Speaker 2: I expected mentally, and I don't even have a dog 138 00:07:23,160 --> 00:07:26,000 Speaker 2: in this fight. It just hurt to see all of 139 00:07:26,000 --> 00:07:30,120 Speaker 2: the damage inflicted by the terrorist attack first and then 140 00:07:31,120 --> 00:07:33,440 Speaker 2: looking at the pictures of women and children in Gaza 141 00:07:33,640 --> 00:07:36,760 Speaker 2: in the hospitals was also I mean, the little. 142 00:07:36,480 --> 00:07:37,800 Speaker 1: Girls look like my little girl. 143 00:07:38,240 --> 00:07:41,000 Speaker 2: How do you deal with this as a soldier, as 144 00:07:41,000 --> 00:07:43,440 Speaker 2: a leader, how do you deal with that part of it? 145 00:07:45,720 --> 00:07:47,720 Speaker 3: So that's the part I think that's the most lingering 146 00:07:47,800 --> 00:07:50,720 Speaker 3: and the stuff that causes quite frankly, veterans the most 147 00:07:50,760 --> 00:07:53,760 Speaker 3: grief along with losing their friends for the longest period 148 00:07:53,760 --> 00:07:57,000 Speaker 3: of time. You know, you'd hope that if, quite frankly, 149 00:07:57,040 --> 00:07:59,720 Speaker 3: if adult men would star wars, they should be the 150 00:07:59,760 --> 00:08:02,520 Speaker 3: ones fighting it, right, not little kids as we see 151 00:08:02,520 --> 00:08:05,360 Speaker 3: around the world in so many places, and certainly not 152 00:08:05,760 --> 00:08:08,440 Speaker 3: all these innocent civilians who just happen to be caught 153 00:08:08,440 --> 00:08:11,040 Speaker 3: in the crossfire. As you said, whether it's in Israel, 154 00:08:11,080 --> 00:08:15,120 Speaker 3: whether it's in Gaza, or whether it's in Ukraine. It's 155 00:08:15,280 --> 00:08:18,520 Speaker 3: just unacceptable. It's why most of the UN protocols came 156 00:08:18,880 --> 00:08:22,360 Speaker 3: after World War Two is to try to prevent civilian 157 00:08:22,400 --> 00:08:24,800 Speaker 3: casualties like this. They just should not be part of 158 00:08:24,840 --> 00:08:31,440 Speaker 3: anybody's combat operations and their plans. They should be completely excluded. Unfortunately, 159 00:08:31,560 --> 00:08:35,040 Speaker 3: look like Hamas's sole purpose, quite frankly, was to kill 160 00:08:35,080 --> 00:08:38,199 Speaker 3: civilians when they went into Israel. They actually bypassed many 161 00:08:38,240 --> 00:08:40,640 Speaker 3: of the ideas there is. Now we need to try 162 00:08:40,679 --> 00:08:43,080 Speaker 3: to do everything we can to save civilians in Gaza. 163 00:08:42,720 --> 00:08:44,480 Speaker 1: All right, Mack, thanks so much for joining us. As always, 164 00:08:44,559 --> 00:08:47,280 Speaker 1: Mick mulroy of the lovelod Stude. 165 00:08:48,120 --> 00:08:51,520 Speaker 5: You're listening to the team. Ken's a live program Bloomberg 166 00:08:51,559 --> 00:08:54,920 Speaker 5: Markets weekdays at ten am Eastern on Bloomberg dot Com, 167 00:08:55,040 --> 00:08:58,199 Speaker 5: the iHeartRadio app and the Bloomberg Business app or listening 168 00:08:58,240 --> 00:09:00,400 Speaker 5: on demand wherever you get your podcast. 169 00:09:00,080 --> 00:09:06,240 Speaker 1: Apps Bloomberg News. How was some reporting thing one of 170 00:09:06,280 --> 00:09:11,520 Speaker 1: our mostly most read stories of the day. Apple's iPhones. 171 00:09:11,640 --> 00:09:13,840 Speaker 1: They're off to a sluggish start in China, that's according 172 00:09:13,880 --> 00:09:15,680 Speaker 1: to a study. So we want to bring in Ed Ludlow. 173 00:09:16,080 --> 00:09:17,960 Speaker 1: He knows all about this stuff. He does a lot 174 00:09:18,000 --> 00:09:20,520 Speaker 1: of work with the folks in Kupertino. Ed Lolo joins 175 00:09:20,520 --> 00:09:23,439 Speaker 1: as he's a host of Bloomberg Technology. So, Ed, what's 176 00:09:23,520 --> 00:09:26,960 Speaker 1: kind of the background here for iPhone sales in China? 177 00:09:28,040 --> 00:09:29,480 Speaker 6: I guess it's whether you look at it through the 178 00:09:29,520 --> 00:09:31,319 Speaker 6: lens of an economist or you look at it through 179 00:09:31,320 --> 00:09:34,720 Speaker 6: the lens of a smartphone market analyst. But this is 180 00:09:34,840 --> 00:09:39,600 Speaker 6: counterpoint research data that shows for the first seventeen days 181 00:09:40,040 --> 00:09:43,680 Speaker 6: after the iPhone fifteen went on sale in China, sales 182 00:09:43,679 --> 00:09:47,000 Speaker 6: are down four point five percent versus the same comparable 183 00:09:47,040 --> 00:09:50,600 Speaker 6: period a year ago when the iPhone fourteen went on sale. 184 00:09:50,640 --> 00:09:53,160 Speaker 6: And there are some caveats in that data, right, because 185 00:09:53,200 --> 00:09:55,960 Speaker 6: when Apple releases a new generation of iPhone, there is 186 00:09:56,040 --> 00:09:57,079 Speaker 6: multiple variants. 187 00:09:57,360 --> 00:10:00,000 Speaker 7: So in this case, the iPhone fifteen and fifteen. 188 00:09:59,640 --> 00:10:02,400 Speaker 6: Plus the base models and then the pro and Promacs, 189 00:10:02,440 --> 00:10:06,240 Speaker 6: the more premium models, but overall it's down. And you know, 190 00:10:06,520 --> 00:10:09,880 Speaker 6: China's economy is super interesting right now. It's an aging economy, 191 00:10:10,320 --> 00:10:12,760 Speaker 6: but youth unemployment's really high. And I think we get 192 00:10:12,760 --> 00:10:15,719 Speaker 6: a GDP print for China on Wednesday that's likely to 193 00:10:15,840 --> 00:10:20,320 Speaker 6: show modest uptick on growth quarter on quarter, but below 194 00:10:20,360 --> 00:10:23,720 Speaker 6: it's five percent target that Beijing has on an analyzed basis, 195 00:10:23,800 --> 00:10:26,640 Speaker 6: So it could be a softness thing, but it's also 196 00:10:26,720 --> 00:10:29,520 Speaker 6: a more competitive smartphone market domestically as well. 197 00:10:29,800 --> 00:10:31,920 Speaker 2: Well, and they've made rules that you're not allowed to 198 00:10:31,920 --> 00:10:34,440 Speaker 2: bring an iPhone in to certain places. 199 00:10:34,520 --> 00:10:37,160 Speaker 1: Right it was already uncool, I guess or. 200 00:10:38,640 --> 00:10:38,760 Speaker 4: Not? 201 00:10:39,000 --> 00:10:43,680 Speaker 2: I like that, Yeah, jibe with the Communist Party vibe. 202 00:10:43,800 --> 00:10:47,839 Speaker 2: But is this a China specific problem or do we 203 00:10:48,080 --> 00:10:51,000 Speaker 2: expect to see reports like this for iPhone sales across 204 00:10:51,040 --> 00:10:52,000 Speaker 2: other regions as well? 205 00:10:52,559 --> 00:10:56,040 Speaker 6: So what's fascinating about it is, according to the Counterpoint data, 206 00:10:56,120 --> 00:10:59,800 Speaker 6: it is a Chinese China specific problem because the Counterpoint 207 00:10:59,840 --> 00:11:02,160 Speaker 6: d it has showed that on the first nine days 208 00:11:02,160 --> 00:11:06,199 Speaker 6: of sales in the US, iPhone fifteen was up significantly 209 00:11:06,720 --> 00:11:09,439 Speaker 6: compared to the iPhone fourteen sales for that first nine 210 00:11:09,480 --> 00:11:11,520 Speaker 6: day period a year ago. 211 00:11:12,360 --> 00:11:13,360 Speaker 7: So that's interesting. 212 00:11:13,360 --> 00:11:15,840 Speaker 6: It also is completely counter to what we learned so 213 00:11:16,000 --> 00:11:18,640 Speaker 6: far this year that in the June course or the 214 00:11:18,679 --> 00:11:21,559 Speaker 6: quarter ending in June, what Apple told us was that 215 00:11:21,679 --> 00:11:24,880 Speaker 6: China was the point of strength in that domestic Chinese 216 00:11:24,960 --> 00:11:28,440 Speaker 6: or Greater China market. Apple had actually swung to top 217 00:11:28,480 --> 00:11:31,000 Speaker 6: line growth of eight percent from a three percent decline 218 00:11:31,080 --> 00:11:34,319 Speaker 6: the quarter before, and it was principally driven by iPhone 219 00:11:34,360 --> 00:11:37,280 Speaker 6: at a time where US or North American smartphone sales 220 00:11:37,520 --> 00:11:40,640 Speaker 6: were really weak. So the story we're playing seeing play 221 00:11:40,679 --> 00:11:43,400 Speaker 6: out reading the tea leaves is that there's a really 222 00:11:43,400 --> 00:11:46,360 Speaker 6: big tech upgride cycle going on in the US, not 223 00:11:46,520 --> 00:11:49,880 Speaker 6: so in China. But remember in the background there are 224 00:11:50,640 --> 00:11:54,000 Speaker 6: domestic smartphone market pressures because some of the Chinese players 225 00:11:54,000 --> 00:11:57,720 Speaker 6: have surprised us with competitive handsets in that period as well. 226 00:11:58,520 --> 00:12:00,600 Speaker 1: So, I mean, I guess if I were an Apple 227 00:12:00,679 --> 00:12:03,679 Speaker 1: executive or fire an investor, my biggest fear would be 228 00:12:04,360 --> 00:12:07,760 Speaker 1: just as nationalism on the part of the Chinese care 229 00:12:07,960 --> 00:12:10,280 Speaker 1: are they just not buying American or are they just 230 00:12:10,280 --> 00:12:12,199 Speaker 1: not buying Apple in this particular case. 231 00:12:12,040 --> 00:12:14,040 Speaker 2: And they're like twenty percent of your customer base, right A, 232 00:12:14,160 --> 00:12:16,000 Speaker 2: they make a huge chunk of Apples. 233 00:12:16,200 --> 00:12:19,760 Speaker 6: Well, from a revenue perspective, I mean, you make both 234 00:12:19,880 --> 00:12:22,480 Speaker 6: excellent questions, just really quick that even if your unit 235 00:12:22,600 --> 00:12:26,640 Speaker 6: sales are down overall, remember that the Chinese consumer skews 236 00:12:26,679 --> 00:12:30,120 Speaker 6: towards the higher end product, the pro and promax, So 237 00:12:30,200 --> 00:12:33,280 Speaker 6: you can still grow revenue because of higher average selling prices, 238 00:12:33,600 --> 00:12:36,120 Speaker 6: which is something that Apple's relied on. But I guess 239 00:12:36,120 --> 00:12:37,520 Speaker 6: it doesn't matter if you look at it as an 240 00:12:37,520 --> 00:12:40,880 Speaker 6: economist or as a market analyst. How do we price 241 00:12:40,960 --> 00:12:44,280 Speaker 6: in or understand the effects of that communist policy that 242 00:12:44,360 --> 00:12:47,679 Speaker 6: Matt was talking about. What Bloomberg's reported is that China 243 00:12:47,720 --> 00:12:51,600 Speaker 6: central government basically said to all government agencies and state 244 00:12:51,640 --> 00:12:55,920 Speaker 6: back corporations, tell your staff no iPhones. You cannot bring 245 00:12:55,960 --> 00:12:58,520 Speaker 6: an iPhone to work. You have to use a domestic model. 246 00:12:59,679 --> 00:13:02,080 Speaker 6: And everyone was pretty chill and sanguine about that at 247 00:13:02,080 --> 00:13:04,680 Speaker 6: the time the news came out. We don't know for certain, 248 00:13:04,679 --> 00:13:07,319 Speaker 6: but the question we're posing is does this data show 249 00:13:07,600 --> 00:13:10,400 Speaker 6: that this put off consumers in China from going out 250 00:13:10,440 --> 00:13:13,120 Speaker 6: and buying because their government said you can't use iPhones 251 00:13:13,120 --> 00:13:15,720 Speaker 6: in the workplace, all right. 252 00:13:15,600 --> 00:13:17,240 Speaker 1: So I mean, I guess is there do we have 253 00:13:17,440 --> 00:13:19,959 Speaker 1: any response out of Cooper Tino where they, to their 254 00:13:20,120 --> 00:13:21,400 Speaker 1: extent of their concern. 255 00:13:21,120 --> 00:13:25,640 Speaker 7: Here no Apple define to comment on the story. 256 00:13:25,960 --> 00:13:28,559 Speaker 6: But remember the guidance, right, The guidance was that iPhone 257 00:13:28,559 --> 00:13:31,040 Speaker 6: sales would accelerate into the last three months of this year. 258 00:13:31,520 --> 00:13:34,040 Speaker 6: This data conflicts with that guidance. 259 00:13:34,480 --> 00:13:39,679 Speaker 2: I also feel like it's we do get stories worried 260 00:13:39,679 --> 00:13:43,960 Speaker 2: about iPhone sales every cycle, right is that? Yes, just 261 00:13:44,080 --> 00:13:48,000 Speaker 2: we're always wrong my old exactly it is true, and 262 00:13:48,040 --> 00:13:51,080 Speaker 2: this is a company that loves to under promise and 263 00:13:51,160 --> 00:13:52,319 Speaker 2: over deliver as well. 264 00:13:52,720 --> 00:13:54,000 Speaker 1: So I don't know. 265 00:13:54,120 --> 00:13:56,960 Speaker 2: I mean, it's interesting stuff, yeah, and we'll put it 266 00:13:57,000 --> 00:13:59,000 Speaker 2: into our into our models, ed. 267 00:13:59,760 --> 00:14:02,160 Speaker 7: But so I don't know. 268 00:14:02,200 --> 00:14:05,160 Speaker 6: I do think what's changed this time around is that 269 00:14:05,200 --> 00:14:08,560 Speaker 6: the big tech surprise was that Huawei brought out the 270 00:14:08,600 --> 00:14:12,640 Speaker 6: Mate sixty Pro as a competitive five G enabled handset 271 00:14:12,679 --> 00:14:17,160 Speaker 6: in China with a semiconductor or a processor, which was 272 00:14:17,200 --> 00:14:19,200 Speaker 6: a generation ahead of what we thought China could do. 273 00:14:19,240 --> 00:14:20,720 Speaker 6: And if you look at the body of the story 274 00:14:20,800 --> 00:14:24,360 Speaker 6: that Bloomberg wrote, many analysts on Wall Street now believe 275 00:14:24,440 --> 00:14:28,920 Speaker 6: that Huawei will overtake Apple in China, and that there 276 00:14:28,960 --> 00:14:32,200 Speaker 6: will be, whether it's nationalism or it's just simply a 277 00:14:32,240 --> 00:14:36,000 Speaker 6: price point issue. There is now a smartphone available in 278 00:14:36,040 --> 00:14:39,040 Speaker 6: the market made in China by a Chinese company that 279 00:14:39,880 --> 00:14:43,240 Speaker 6: from a tech perspective at least gets closer to Apple's iPhone. 280 00:14:43,360 --> 00:14:46,920 Speaker 2: But the ux there, I mean, ed, I imagine you're 281 00:14:47,760 --> 00:14:52,920 Speaker 2: playing around with a lot of new phones other than Apple, right, 282 00:14:53,040 --> 00:14:55,600 Speaker 2: does is the operating system on anything else? 283 00:14:55,760 --> 00:15:00,320 Speaker 1: Approach at all? The elegance of Apple's. 284 00:15:00,480 --> 00:15:04,440 Speaker 6: Not really I mean, and bear in mind that the 285 00:15:04,520 --> 00:15:08,000 Speaker 6: Chinese consumer buys motivated by technology. 286 00:15:08,160 --> 00:15:10,240 Speaker 7: They want the latest technology. You know. 287 00:15:10,320 --> 00:15:12,400 Speaker 6: I was being asked on TV show earlier about the 288 00:15:12,400 --> 00:15:15,800 Speaker 6: comparison between LVMH and Apple, and yes, true, there is 289 00:15:15,880 --> 00:15:19,360 Speaker 6: kind of a Chinese middle class consumer that buys Apple 290 00:15:19,360 --> 00:15:22,440 Speaker 6: because of the Western brand recognition, But they're really highly 291 00:15:22,480 --> 00:15:27,560 Speaker 6: motivated about technology advancement and the A seventeen processor in 292 00:15:27,600 --> 00:15:30,880 Speaker 6: this iPhone fifteen pro and Promax, Apple's latest silicon was 293 00:15:30,920 --> 00:15:33,600 Speaker 6: widely to be believed to be a driver of sales 294 00:15:33,640 --> 00:15:34,720 Speaker 6: because of its performance. 295 00:15:35,240 --> 00:15:37,680 Speaker 1: All right, great stuff, as always appreciate it. We like 296 00:15:37,800 --> 00:15:40,680 Speaker 1: the microphone in the shot there. That is very cool. 297 00:15:40,760 --> 00:15:43,040 Speaker 1: That's a Tom Keen effect. I think for those that 298 00:15:43,080 --> 00:15:43,960 Speaker 1: watching as. 299 00:15:43,680 --> 00:15:45,440 Speaker 2: You can see the Golden gate Bridge behind him, what 300 00:15:45,520 --> 00:15:46,280 Speaker 2: an amazing view. 301 00:15:46,440 --> 00:15:49,880 Speaker 1: Our offices in San Francisco are outstanding, which is no 302 00:15:49,920 --> 00:15:52,000 Speaker 1: surprise to guess. They're outstanding in every city where we 303 00:15:52,000 --> 00:15:53,280 Speaker 1: have an office. I don't know how they do it. 304 00:15:53,480 --> 00:15:56,600 Speaker 5: You're listening to the tape can's our live program Bloomberg 305 00:15:56,640 --> 00:16:00,240 Speaker 5: Markets weekdays at ten am Eastern on Bloomberg Radio, the 306 00:16:00,280 --> 00:16:03,520 Speaker 5: tune in app, Bloomberg dot Com, and the Bloomberg Business App. 307 00:16:03,560 --> 00:16:06,400 Speaker 5: You can also listen live on Amazon Alexa from our 308 00:16:06,400 --> 00:16:12,360 Speaker 5: flagship New York station, Just say Alexa play Bloomberg eleven thirty. 309 00:16:12,480 --> 00:16:14,800 Speaker 1: Matt Miller, Paul Sweeney live here in our Bloomberg Interactive 310 00:16:14,800 --> 00:16:17,680 Speaker 1: Brooker Studio. Also streaming live on that YouTube thing, so 311 00:16:17,680 --> 00:16:19,840 Speaker 1: to head over to YouTube dot com and search Bloomberg Radio. 312 00:16:20,200 --> 00:16:22,360 Speaker 1: You know, Matt and I were just talking we may 313 00:16:22,400 --> 00:16:24,400 Speaker 1: not be long here for this radio business John, because 314 00:16:24,400 --> 00:16:25,760 Speaker 1: we're talking about Matt and I are going to go 315 00:16:26,000 --> 00:16:28,000 Speaker 1: maybe start a private credit fund. I think that's where 316 00:16:28,000 --> 00:16:30,240 Speaker 1: we are, and an ATF and an ETF. Okay, we'll 317 00:16:30,240 --> 00:16:33,680 Speaker 1: do an ETF on that as well. So so alternative capital, 318 00:16:34,000 --> 00:16:37,600 Speaker 1: alternative markets a growing source of opportunities for retail investors, 319 00:16:37,680 --> 00:16:40,400 Speaker 1: not just big institutional investors. Michael Whites joins us. He's 320 00:16:40,400 --> 00:16:43,280 Speaker 1: a founder and president of yield Street. Joins us live 321 00:16:43,280 --> 00:16:45,600 Speaker 1: here in our Bloomberg Interactive Brooker studio. Michael talk to 322 00:16:45,640 --> 00:16:47,560 Speaker 1: us about yield Street, what do you guys do there, 323 00:16:47,600 --> 00:16:49,440 Speaker 1: and then we'll dig into the kind of the market option. 324 00:16:49,600 --> 00:16:51,240 Speaker 8: Well, thanks for having me. It's always great to be 325 00:16:51,240 --> 00:16:53,760 Speaker 8: back here at Bloomberg. So at yield Street, we are 326 00:16:53,800 --> 00:16:57,560 Speaker 8: focused on making alternative investments more available. So we want 327 00:16:57,600 --> 00:17:01,040 Speaker 8: to help people rebalance their portfolios, not to just include 328 00:17:01,080 --> 00:17:04,360 Speaker 8: stocks and bonds, but to have private market investments alongside 329 00:17:04,359 --> 00:17:06,920 Speaker 8: them in their portfolio. So at yild Street, what we 330 00:17:07,119 --> 00:17:10,919 Speaker 8: do is invest in institutional quality opportunities, think things like 331 00:17:11,000 --> 00:17:14,040 Speaker 8: private credit as you just mentioned, private equity, real estate, 332 00:17:14,119 --> 00:17:18,200 Speaker 8: fine art, legal finance, structured notes. Basically trying to help 333 00:17:18,240 --> 00:17:22,440 Speaker 8: people access a diversified portfolio of private investments. We put 334 00:17:22,480 --> 00:17:24,920 Speaker 8: those online or on our app, and we have over 335 00:17:24,960 --> 00:17:27,840 Speaker 8: four hundred thousand in our community who are investing in 336 00:17:27,920 --> 00:17:29,720 Speaker 8: these products all across America. 337 00:17:29,840 --> 00:17:32,800 Speaker 2: So how do you get these products? Which are I 338 00:17:32,800 --> 00:17:35,399 Speaker 2: think some of them intended for sophisticated investors, right. I 339 00:17:35,440 --> 00:17:39,760 Speaker 2: can't get into a lot of private investments without meeting 340 00:17:39,760 --> 00:17:42,680 Speaker 2: certain criteria out to a retail investor like me. 341 00:17:43,320 --> 00:17:46,760 Speaker 8: So there's different buckets in the US. From a regulatory 342 00:17:46,800 --> 00:17:49,200 Speaker 8: perspective about what you're able to invest in. I would 343 00:17:49,200 --> 00:17:52,320 Speaker 8: say our primary investor is going to be an accredited investor. 344 00:17:52,320 --> 00:17:54,560 Speaker 8: There's fourteen million of those that live here in America. 345 00:17:54,960 --> 00:17:57,760 Speaker 8: The definition of an accredited investor for those that don't know, 346 00:17:58,200 --> 00:18:00,560 Speaker 8: is if you're single, your two hundred thousand dollars. If 347 00:18:00,560 --> 00:18:02,880 Speaker 8: you're married or filing jointly, it's three hundred thousand dollars 348 00:18:02,920 --> 00:18:05,040 Speaker 8: of income or a million dollars in networth. There are 349 00:18:05,080 --> 00:18:08,360 Speaker 8: fourteen million people like that. The next level are people 350 00:18:08,400 --> 00:18:10,439 Speaker 8: who are yet to be a credit investor. Hopefully one 351 00:18:10,520 --> 00:18:12,960 Speaker 8: day they might be, and those are going to be 352 00:18:13,080 --> 00:18:17,000 Speaker 8: roughly thirty five million Americans who are looking to invest 353 00:18:17,119 --> 00:18:20,320 Speaker 8: in private markets or alternatives but don't meet that threshold. 354 00:18:20,400 --> 00:18:22,600 Speaker 8: For that audience of people, there are things like a 355 00:18:22,720 --> 00:18:25,760 Speaker 8: rate of forty act fund or other types of products 356 00:18:26,000 --> 00:18:28,800 Speaker 8: that are designed for that audience, and so at Yield Street, 357 00:18:28,960 --> 00:18:31,760 Speaker 8: we're able to create and package products in a way 358 00:18:31,760 --> 00:18:33,760 Speaker 8: that's accessible to these various audiences. 359 00:18:34,080 --> 00:18:36,359 Speaker 1: Interesting. So what are the we were just talking a 360 00:18:36,359 --> 00:18:38,720 Speaker 1: little bit about private credit. Talk to us about kind 361 00:18:38,760 --> 00:18:41,480 Speaker 1: of your experience with private credit kind of and and 362 00:18:41,560 --> 00:18:44,320 Speaker 1: for your clients as well, are they asking about private 363 00:18:44,359 --> 00:18:45,680 Speaker 1: credit that they want exposure there? 364 00:18:46,200 --> 00:18:48,119 Speaker 8: I think you just hit on on a hot button. 365 00:18:48,200 --> 00:18:51,199 Speaker 8: So you know, what I've seen is a major shift 366 00:18:51,359 --> 00:18:54,320 Speaker 8: in investor demand over the last year and a half. 367 00:18:54,520 --> 00:18:57,000 Speaker 8: If you think back to let's say January twenty two, 368 00:18:57,520 --> 00:19:00,520 Speaker 8: we were in an incredibly sort of bull cycle at 369 00:19:00,520 --> 00:19:02,720 Speaker 8: the time, if you will, and investors at large were 370 00:19:02,760 --> 00:19:05,320 Speaker 8: looking for a great story. They wanted that next real 371 00:19:05,400 --> 00:19:07,600 Speaker 8: estate opportunity they could own. They wanted that big private 372 00:19:07,600 --> 00:19:10,480 Speaker 8: equity idea. They wanted that next big venture back company. 373 00:19:10,880 --> 00:19:13,760 Speaker 8: What folks have shifted their appetite amidst all the volatility 374 00:19:13,760 --> 00:19:17,159 Speaker 8: and increase in rates is a little bit less volatility, 375 00:19:17,200 --> 00:19:20,199 Speaker 8: more consistency. They've asked for debt or debt like products 376 00:19:20,240 --> 00:19:23,520 Speaker 8: that have consistent coupons and shorter duration. So the most 377 00:19:23,560 --> 00:19:26,080 Speaker 8: popular things for us now are three to five years 378 00:19:26,440 --> 00:19:28,639 Speaker 8: paying some type of a coupon, have a debt like 379 00:19:28,680 --> 00:19:31,920 Speaker 8: product in so much as they have collateral that's really 380 00:19:31,920 --> 00:19:35,000 Speaker 8: where people have shifted their appetite to. So practically what 381 00:19:35,040 --> 00:19:39,199 Speaker 8: we've seen is real estate debt, art debt, private credit. 382 00:19:39,320 --> 00:19:42,480 Speaker 8: So think of like supply chain finance, receivable funding, purchase 383 00:19:42,600 --> 00:19:45,639 Speaker 8: order funding, so real credit like instruments. 384 00:19:45,680 --> 00:19:47,639 Speaker 1: So how do you so, what would be a product 385 00:19:47,640 --> 00:19:50,199 Speaker 1: if I want to in that supply chain thing, or 386 00:19:50,200 --> 00:19:51,919 Speaker 1: if I want to art debt? What do you do 387 00:19:51,960 --> 00:19:53,399 Speaker 1: for me? What's your platform do for me? 388 00:19:53,960 --> 00:19:57,320 Speaker 8: So I think I think right now it might be available. 389 00:19:57,359 --> 00:19:59,600 Speaker 8: I'm not sure, but you'd have to look. You'd have 390 00:19:59,600 --> 00:20:02,240 Speaker 8: to look at the website. So for example, an art debt, right, So, 391 00:20:02,320 --> 00:20:06,119 Speaker 8: we bought a business called Athena Fine Art from Carlisle 392 00:20:06,240 --> 00:20:08,520 Speaker 8: in twenty nineteen. I think we paid roughly one hundred 393 00:20:08,560 --> 00:20:10,480 Speaker 8: and seventy million dollars for it, and that is the 394 00:20:10,520 --> 00:20:12,720 Speaker 8: sort of the pre eminent blue chip fine art lender 395 00:20:12,720 --> 00:20:15,399 Speaker 8: in America. What the product will offer you is a 396 00:20:15,400 --> 00:20:19,159 Speaker 8: diversified portfolio of loans that we've made to collectors or 397 00:20:19,200 --> 00:20:23,240 Speaker 8: galleries or dealers who put up collateral of fine art. 398 00:20:23,280 --> 00:20:26,080 Speaker 8: So call it five or ten million dollar pieces of art, 399 00:20:26,119 --> 00:20:28,600 Speaker 8: We'll lend them forty or fifty percent loan to value 400 00:20:28,680 --> 00:20:31,200 Speaker 8: we put it in one portfolio, so you get diversification, 401 00:20:31,600 --> 00:20:34,520 Speaker 8: and we'll pay you ten percent per quarter for investing 402 00:20:34,520 --> 00:20:37,879 Speaker 8: in that product. Okay, that's the art. For example, in 403 00:20:37,880 --> 00:20:40,040 Speaker 8: our supply chain product, we have a product in supply 404 00:20:40,080 --> 00:20:42,399 Speaker 8: chain where I think we've invested north of six hundred 405 00:20:42,440 --> 00:20:45,679 Speaker 8: million dollars since we started that product. And what you 406 00:20:45,720 --> 00:20:48,719 Speaker 8: will invest in is a six month supply chain offering. 407 00:20:49,080 --> 00:20:52,240 Speaker 8: So you're investing in an opportunity to put up dollars today. 408 00:20:52,680 --> 00:20:55,199 Speaker 8: As the product is delivered and paid forward by a 409 00:20:55,240 --> 00:20:57,800 Speaker 8: company that's doing north of two billion in revenue in 410 00:20:57,880 --> 00:21:00,240 Speaker 8: six months time, they will pay us back and we 411 00:21:00,280 --> 00:21:02,480 Speaker 8: will make a we will make a payment to our investors. 412 00:21:02,520 --> 00:21:06,119 Speaker 8: I believe that's eleven percent annually and pays in six months. 413 00:21:06,320 --> 00:21:09,960 Speaker 8: So those are some ideas of how credit works in 414 00:21:10,000 --> 00:21:11,679 Speaker 8: the real estate debt. It could be a one to 415 00:21:11,720 --> 00:21:14,520 Speaker 8: two year bridge loan financing or a senior or a 416 00:21:14,600 --> 00:21:18,240 Speaker 8: senior mortgage, and I can carry on sort of across 417 00:21:18,280 --> 00:21:20,080 Speaker 8: the gamut. But those are legal. 418 00:21:20,160 --> 00:21:23,199 Speaker 2: Legal finance is another thing that you do right, yes, indeed, 419 00:21:23,280 --> 00:21:26,960 Speaker 2: So what does that mean? Like if you're someone wants 420 00:21:27,000 --> 00:21:32,040 Speaker 2: to bring a big lawsuit against a defendant needs to 421 00:21:32,080 --> 00:21:34,280 Speaker 2: fund that and then you take a cut of the winnings. 422 00:21:34,920 --> 00:21:38,080 Speaker 8: So in legal finance there are different aspects of that 423 00:21:38,200 --> 00:21:41,240 Speaker 8: industry across sort of the risk return gamut. So you 424 00:21:41,359 --> 00:21:43,719 Speaker 8: have I would say, look, the safest part of the 425 00:21:43,720 --> 00:21:47,040 Speaker 8: industry is a settled case financing, So somebody has achieved 426 00:21:47,040 --> 00:21:48,920 Speaker 8: the settlement. The settlement is to be paid over a 427 00:21:48,960 --> 00:21:52,040 Speaker 8: period of time. They want to access some capital earlier, 428 00:21:52,280 --> 00:21:54,639 Speaker 8: so effectively you are buying a stream of cashuole in 429 00:21:54,680 --> 00:21:57,320 Speaker 8: the future that's already been agreed upon and settled. The 430 00:21:57,359 --> 00:21:59,879 Speaker 8: second bucket is what we would call law firm financing. 431 00:22:00,160 --> 00:22:03,040 Speaker 8: So you have many law firms that only i would 432 00:22:03,040 --> 00:22:05,800 Speaker 8: say practice on a success fee, and so their cash 433 00:22:05,800 --> 00:22:07,640 Speaker 8: flow is very lumpy. But they may have a huge 434 00:22:07,640 --> 00:22:11,560 Speaker 8: inventory of investments, but they want to be able to 435 00:22:11,640 --> 00:22:13,640 Speaker 8: manage their cash flow needs, and so you will make 436 00:22:13,680 --> 00:22:15,760 Speaker 8: a loan to the law firm, and as the law 437 00:22:15,760 --> 00:22:18,600 Speaker 8: firm generates cash flow from its various cases, it will 438 00:22:18,600 --> 00:22:21,760 Speaker 8: repay its investors. The next bucket is going to be 439 00:22:21,800 --> 00:22:24,360 Speaker 8: more risky, whereas you can take an interest in if 440 00:22:24,400 --> 00:22:28,680 Speaker 8: you will, alongside a plaintiff. So somebody may come and say, hey, 441 00:22:28,720 --> 00:22:32,800 Speaker 8: we're going to pursue this corporation for doing something terrible, 442 00:22:32,840 --> 00:22:35,200 Speaker 8: and we believe we have a case. We need some 443 00:22:35,359 --> 00:22:37,879 Speaker 8: capital to be able to pursue that case or to 444 00:22:37,880 --> 00:22:40,520 Speaker 8: be able to meet our sort of expenses on an 445 00:22:40,560 --> 00:22:43,200 Speaker 8: ongoing basis. Would you like to share in the winnings 446 00:22:43,240 --> 00:22:46,080 Speaker 8: with me? So there's different ways to invest in legal finance. 447 00:22:46,520 --> 00:22:48,080 Speaker 8: Prior to starting yall Street, I was one of the 448 00:22:48,080 --> 00:22:50,600 Speaker 8: sort of the preeminent players in legal finance dating back 449 00:22:50,640 --> 00:22:52,840 Speaker 8: to two thousand and nine. So it's an assea class 450 00:22:52,840 --> 00:22:54,760 Speaker 8: we know super well. It's an area that I think 451 00:22:54,880 --> 00:22:56,720 Speaker 8: Yall Street has a tremendous amount of respect on the 452 00:22:56,720 --> 00:22:58,520 Speaker 8: street and continues to invest actively in. 453 00:22:58,680 --> 00:23:01,920 Speaker 2: But essentially, I mean the ten thousand foot views, you're 454 00:23:01,920 --> 00:23:07,960 Speaker 2: looking at people that have ill liquid assets, that need 455 00:23:08,080 --> 00:23:10,560 Speaker 2: access to cash, and so you're willing to put up 456 00:23:10,560 --> 00:23:13,439 Speaker 2: some cash against some of their less liquid assets like 457 00:23:14,040 --> 00:23:18,879 Speaker 2: five million dollar painting or legal fees that are coming 458 00:23:18,920 --> 00:23:20,200 Speaker 2: in a lumpy way. 459 00:23:20,560 --> 00:23:22,720 Speaker 8: I definitely think that's a part of the business. I 460 00:23:22,760 --> 00:23:26,160 Speaker 8: think the macro perspective is thirty percent of your portfolio 461 00:23:26,240 --> 00:23:29,600 Speaker 8: should be in alternative investments. People don't know how to 462 00:23:29,720 --> 00:23:32,240 Speaker 8: access it or have an enjoyable way or simple way 463 00:23:32,280 --> 00:23:34,800 Speaker 8: to access it. It is our duty to help you 464 00:23:34,880 --> 00:23:38,280 Speaker 8: build a diversified portfolio. We work with the pre eminent 465 00:23:38,320 --> 00:23:41,399 Speaker 8: managers across the street to partner with them and participate 466 00:23:41,440 --> 00:23:42,679 Speaker 8: and make that available to you. 467 00:23:42,840 --> 00:23:44,560 Speaker 1: That's a fascinating business. I'm glad we had you, and 468 00:23:44,560 --> 00:23:46,960 Speaker 1: I didn't even know that stuff existed, so I learned 469 00:23:46,960 --> 00:23:50,920 Speaker 1: something new on in finance. Michael White's founder and president 470 00:23:51,000 --> 00:23:53,320 Speaker 1: of Yield Street is the name of the firm. Pretty 471 00:23:53,359 --> 00:23:55,880 Speaker 1: cool business. You appreciate getting some of his time. 472 00:23:57,320 --> 00:24:01,160 Speaker 5: You're listening to the team canjer Line program Bloomberg Markets 473 00:24:01,200 --> 00:24:04,280 Speaker 5: weekdays at ten am Eastern on Bloomberg dot com, the 474 00:24:04,359 --> 00:24:07,520 Speaker 5: iHeartRadio app and the Bloomberg Business app, or listen on 475 00:24:07,560 --> 00:24:09,520 Speaker 5: demand wherever you get your podcast. 476 00:24:11,160 --> 00:24:13,280 Speaker 1: Joining us in a studio. Right here's Bobby Gost He's 477 00:24:13,320 --> 00:24:16,639 Speaker 1: the editor of a Bloomberg Opinion. Joined Bloomberg Opinion in 478 00:24:16,640 --> 00:24:19,480 Speaker 1: twenty eighteen. I'm looking at his CB. Dude, you've been busy. 479 00:24:19,920 --> 00:24:22,240 Speaker 1: You've been everywhere. Maybe can't hold a job off to 480 00:24:22,320 --> 00:24:25,040 Speaker 1: talk about that later, but Bobby's been all over the 481 00:24:25,040 --> 00:24:27,679 Speaker 1: place covering the global geopolitics, and we're so fortunate to 482 00:24:27,680 --> 00:24:29,320 Speaker 1: get a couple of minutes of his time here in 483 00:24:29,359 --> 00:24:31,720 Speaker 1: the Bloomberg Interactive Brokers studio. Bobby, I know you've written 484 00:24:32,400 --> 00:24:36,360 Speaker 1: extensively on what's happening in Israel. What's your view. 485 00:24:36,240 --> 00:24:39,480 Speaker 2: Kind of Well, let's start with what you think Hamas 486 00:24:39,560 --> 00:24:42,520 Speaker 2: was intended to do, Like, what did they want with 487 00:24:42,760 --> 00:24:50,720 Speaker 2: this brutal, horrendous terrorist attack Beyond spreading you know, hate 488 00:24:50,800 --> 00:24:53,639 Speaker 2: and fear, what do you think they wanted to achieve? 489 00:24:53,760 --> 00:24:56,840 Speaker 9: Well, they wanted to achieve a couple of things. First 490 00:24:56,840 --> 00:24:58,919 Speaker 9: and foremost, they wanted to kill as many Israelis as 491 00:24:58,920 --> 00:25:02,560 Speaker 9: they could, and they didn't whether there were civilians, children, women, 492 00:25:02,920 --> 00:25:06,520 Speaker 9: grown men, soldiers didn't matter. They just wanted to kill 493 00:25:06,560 --> 00:25:08,520 Speaker 9: as many people as they could, which is the basic 494 00:25:09,119 --> 00:25:11,919 Speaker 9: modus operandi of any terrorist group. The second thing they 495 00:25:12,000 --> 00:25:14,600 Speaker 9: wanted is they wanted to engage. They wanted to bring 496 00:25:15,000 --> 00:25:18,720 Speaker 9: Israel into Gaza again, sort of bring the fight back 497 00:25:18,760 --> 00:25:22,520 Speaker 9: into Gaza where lots of other civilians, now Palestinian civilians, 498 00:25:22,560 --> 00:25:24,800 Speaker 9: would die. That also suits Hamas perfectly. 499 00:25:24,800 --> 00:25:26,760 Speaker 2: Well, they don't their own people. 500 00:25:26,520 --> 00:25:29,280 Speaker 9: Absolutely not. That's where they live. That's the whole idea 501 00:25:29,600 --> 00:25:33,800 Speaker 9: of Hamas. They've always had this sort of apocalyptic view 502 00:25:33,880 --> 00:25:37,800 Speaker 9: of the world. And also then you have some other 503 00:25:37,920 --> 00:25:43,960 Speaker 9: political objectives. One is to end the rapprochma between Israel 504 00:25:44,040 --> 00:25:47,600 Speaker 9: and Arab countries, specifically the deal that was very slowly 505 00:25:47,640 --> 00:25:52,359 Speaker 9: developing between Israel and Saudi Arabia. Remember, Hamas also has 506 00:25:52,480 --> 00:25:55,840 Speaker 9: answers to a master in Tehran, the Iranian regime, which 507 00:25:55,920 --> 00:25:58,320 Speaker 9: pays their bills and which has supported Hamas for a 508 00:25:58,359 --> 00:26:00,960 Speaker 9: couple of decades. Now this is part of the Iranian 509 00:26:01,000 --> 00:26:03,600 Speaker 9: agenda as well, to keep them addle East in play, 510 00:26:03,680 --> 00:26:07,159 Speaker 9: to keep things unstable, so that the eyes of the 511 00:26:07,200 --> 00:26:09,879 Speaker 9: world are on these various other things when we are 512 00:26:09,880 --> 00:26:12,560 Speaker 9: not paying attention to what's happening in Iran. So lots 513 00:26:12,600 --> 00:26:15,800 Speaker 9: of different goals, some big, some small, some very local, 514 00:26:15,880 --> 00:26:20,200 Speaker 9: some regional. So far, I'm sorry to say, Hamas seems 515 00:26:20,200 --> 00:26:21,720 Speaker 9: to be achieving most of its goals. 516 00:26:22,080 --> 00:26:25,800 Speaker 1: So now it's I guess the turn of Israel to respond, 517 00:26:26,440 --> 00:26:28,320 Speaker 1: what do you think they should do? And what do 518 00:26:28,359 --> 00:26:29,280 Speaker 1: you think they will do? 519 00:26:29,400 --> 00:26:30,720 Speaker 8: They're gonna do exactly. 520 00:26:30,480 --> 00:26:33,320 Speaker 1: What wants them to do, right, that's yeah. 521 00:26:33,359 --> 00:26:36,640 Speaker 9: I mean, look, Natanya, who is damned if he does 522 00:26:36,640 --> 00:26:40,360 Speaker 9: and he's damned if he doesn't. So as he has 523 00:26:40,400 --> 00:26:42,840 Speaker 9: always done in his career, he'll be damned if he does. 524 00:26:43,760 --> 00:26:43,879 Speaker 5: So. 525 00:26:44,280 --> 00:26:46,240 Speaker 9: I suspect he will go in and go in in 526 00:26:46,600 --> 00:26:53,840 Speaker 9: strength and try to disarm and decapitate Hamas. But we've 527 00:26:53,920 --> 00:26:56,119 Speaker 9: learned this from the past that this is not that 528 00:26:56,359 --> 00:26:58,720 Speaker 9: kind of a creature. This is not a traditional army, 529 00:26:58,840 --> 00:27:01,399 Speaker 9: This is not even a tradition terrorist group. This is 530 00:27:01,440 --> 00:27:05,000 Speaker 9: somewhere in between those two things. And so going in, 531 00:27:05,560 --> 00:27:11,960 Speaker 9: guns blazing, bringing down entire neighborhoods, forcing a million Palestinians 532 00:27:11,960 --> 00:27:14,680 Speaker 9: and Gaza to sort of head for the hills. 533 00:27:14,760 --> 00:27:15,400 Speaker 5: So it was. 534 00:27:15,560 --> 00:27:21,480 Speaker 9: These things don't really get to the objective that Israelis 535 00:27:21,560 --> 00:27:25,680 Speaker 9: say they want, which is to completely destroy her mass. 536 00:27:25,720 --> 00:27:27,880 Speaker 9: This is not that kind of creature. You can't completely 537 00:27:27,960 --> 00:27:31,399 Speaker 9: destroy her mass because with every effort you make, you 538 00:27:31,560 --> 00:27:36,440 Speaker 9: are potentially radicalizing young Palestinians who are today seeing their 539 00:27:36,440 --> 00:27:39,320 Speaker 9: houses being blown down, who are seeing we're being forced 540 00:27:39,320 --> 00:27:43,640 Speaker 9: to flee, who are seeing their entire population being denied water, 541 00:27:43,760 --> 00:27:46,480 Speaker 9: denied electricity, all those things. So even as you kill 542 00:27:46,960 --> 00:27:50,120 Speaker 9: a thousand Hermas soldiers, the risk is that a thousand 543 00:27:50,320 --> 00:27:55,280 Speaker 9: new Hermas recruits are being born. Metaphorically speaking, even as we. 544 00:27:55,240 --> 00:28:01,399 Speaker 2: Speak, what's the answer here, to limit civilian deaths, especially 545 00:28:01,440 --> 00:28:05,160 Speaker 2: of women and children, is their way to let them 546 00:28:05,200 --> 00:28:06,320 Speaker 2: out of Gaza. 547 00:28:07,359 --> 00:28:08,879 Speaker 1: And I know you want to. 548 00:28:08,880 --> 00:28:16,199 Speaker 2: Avoid taking all the Palestinians out of Gaza, right because that's. 549 00:28:13,520 --> 00:28:16,960 Speaker 9: The soldiers will go in that But we also have 550 00:28:17,000 --> 00:28:19,960 Speaker 9: to start with the reckoning that not everybody wants to leave. 551 00:28:20,040 --> 00:28:22,960 Speaker 9: Quite a lot of people in Palestine don't in Gaza 552 00:28:22,960 --> 00:28:24,840 Speaker 9: don't want to leave because they're terrified that they won't 553 00:28:24,840 --> 00:28:27,720 Speaker 9: be allowed back. For good reason that you know, many 554 00:28:27,760 --> 00:28:30,520 Speaker 9: of the majority of people who live in Gaza are 555 00:28:31,480 --> 00:28:35,520 Speaker 9: children and grandchildren of former refugees who were who fled 556 00:28:35,560 --> 00:28:37,960 Speaker 9: to Gaza from other places in Israel and never got 557 00:28:37,960 --> 00:28:40,280 Speaker 9: to go back to their homes. And so the people 558 00:28:40,280 --> 00:28:42,560 Speaker 9: in Gaza live in fear that if they leave now, 559 00:28:42,640 --> 00:28:45,920 Speaker 9: they will not be allowed back. But at the same time, 560 00:28:46,000 --> 00:28:48,520 Speaker 9: as the bombs come down, as their houses collapse, they 561 00:28:48,560 --> 00:28:50,800 Speaker 9: want they want their families to be safe. So there 562 00:28:50,840 --> 00:28:53,520 Speaker 9: will be a proportion of people who at least want 563 00:28:53,520 --> 00:28:57,640 Speaker 9: to get their children out. The question the trouble is 564 00:28:58,400 --> 00:29:03,440 Speaker 9: where can nobody want That's the tragedy of Gaza. They 565 00:29:03,440 --> 00:29:07,320 Speaker 9: have to deal with Hamas on one side, Israel on 566 00:29:07,360 --> 00:29:10,320 Speaker 9: the other side. They've got no place to go. None 567 00:29:10,320 --> 00:29:13,920 Speaker 9: of the other Arab countries want them because Indians. They 568 00:29:13,960 --> 00:29:16,200 Speaker 9: don't want the Palestinians because for two reasons. One is 569 00:29:16,240 --> 00:29:19,200 Speaker 9: they say, look, the Egyptians say this, first and foremost, 570 00:29:19,320 --> 00:29:22,320 Speaker 9: you bring hundreds of thousands of Palestinians into Egypt. That 571 00:29:22,360 --> 00:29:26,080 Speaker 9: creates a security problem for Egypt. The second thing they 572 00:29:26,080 --> 00:29:29,720 Speaker 9: say is that, look, you bring these people out of Palestine, 573 00:29:30,160 --> 00:29:33,480 Speaker 9: you're letting Israel off the hook, out of sight, out 574 00:29:33,480 --> 00:29:36,040 Speaker 9: of mind. Once the Palaestinians have left Palestine, then Israel 575 00:29:36,120 --> 00:29:40,440 Speaker 9: doesn't face any pressure to solve the problem. And then 576 00:29:40,480 --> 00:29:43,400 Speaker 9: there's the sort of cold reality, which is that these 577 00:29:43,440 --> 00:29:46,320 Speaker 9: countries simply don't want the headache of having to deal 578 00:29:46,400 --> 00:29:50,080 Speaker 9: with hundreds of thousands of Palestinians in their. 579 00:29:50,000 --> 00:29:53,040 Speaker 1: Midst Here's my naive question of the day. To what 580 00:29:53,200 --> 00:29:58,640 Speaker 1: extent does Hamas enjoy the support of the Palestinian people 581 00:29:58,640 --> 00:30:01,520 Speaker 1: in Gaza? Questions I asked much. 582 00:30:01,400 --> 00:30:02,080 Speaker 9: That's a good question. 583 00:30:02,120 --> 00:30:06,960 Speaker 1: Why don't they Why don't they force Hamas out somehow? 584 00:30:07,520 --> 00:30:08,240 Speaker 1: I don't. I don't know. 585 00:30:08,320 --> 00:30:11,040 Speaker 9: It's it's a question that I've asked myself a thousand times. 586 00:30:11,120 --> 00:30:14,120 Speaker 9: When I used to go to Gaza. The thing is 587 00:30:14,160 --> 00:30:19,560 Speaker 9: that Hamas has the guns. Ordinary citizens can't really afford 588 00:30:19,640 --> 00:30:23,400 Speaker 9: to rise up against Hamas because they've got again, they've 589 00:30:23,400 --> 00:30:26,440 Speaker 9: got no place to run. There's nobody backing them. Right 590 00:30:26,600 --> 00:30:30,440 Speaker 9: in other situations like this, why you have an armed 591 00:30:30,440 --> 00:30:35,920 Speaker 9: group subjugating the populace. The populace has or can at 592 00:30:36,000 --> 00:30:38,479 Speaker 9: least hope that somebody else will support them if they 593 00:30:38,560 --> 00:30:41,360 Speaker 9: rise up. Who's going to help the Palestinians if they 594 00:30:41,400 --> 00:30:41,760 Speaker 9: rise up? 595 00:30:41,880 --> 00:30:43,520 Speaker 1: Will it be there any entities? 596 00:30:44,880 --> 00:30:49,880 Speaker 9: Right now? The PLA is now long past it's revolutionary credentials. 597 00:30:49,920 --> 00:30:53,760 Speaker 9: It's a deeply corrupt, inept organizations. It's been right. They've 598 00:30:53,760 --> 00:30:57,239 Speaker 9: had no elections in sort of two decades. They're being 599 00:30:57,320 --> 00:31:01,440 Speaker 9: run by a gerontocracy of deeply corrupt and inept individuals. 600 00:31:01,440 --> 00:31:04,120 Speaker 9: So the PLA is out. It took them nearly a 601 00:31:04,160 --> 00:31:06,400 Speaker 9: week to come up with a statement to say Hamas 602 00:31:06,440 --> 00:31:09,960 Speaker 9: doesn't represent the Palestinian people. This should have been their 603 00:31:10,000 --> 00:31:12,960 Speaker 9: statement within minutes of the first news breaking, It took 604 00:31:12,960 --> 00:31:14,800 Speaker 9: them a week. That gives you a sense of how 605 00:31:14,920 --> 00:31:19,440 Speaker 9: useless their political leaders are. So they are really the 606 00:31:19,560 --> 00:31:21,920 Speaker 9: people of Gaza are really caught in a bad place. 607 00:31:22,160 --> 00:31:26,080 Speaker 9: We can never really know. There's plenty of anecdotal evidence 608 00:31:26,280 --> 00:31:29,840 Speaker 9: that they don't like Hamas. Whenever they've had an opportunity 609 00:31:29,920 --> 00:31:31,800 Speaker 9: to express that, that's the expression that. 610 00:31:31,760 --> 00:31:35,440 Speaker 2: They've given the Palestinian people in Gaza, particularly because I've. 611 00:31:35,360 --> 00:31:36,400 Speaker 1: Heard conflicting reports. 612 00:31:36,400 --> 00:31:38,920 Speaker 2: Some people say, you know, of course, very few of 613 00:31:38,960 --> 00:31:41,040 Speaker 2: them support Hamas than others say. 614 00:31:41,920 --> 00:31:42,680 Speaker 1: People I've talked to. 615 00:31:42,760 --> 00:31:45,600 Speaker 2: Last week say fifty percent of them like Hamas and 616 00:31:45,120 --> 00:31:48,200 Speaker 2: the others want someone a little bit more extreme than Hamas. 617 00:31:48,360 --> 00:31:50,560 Speaker 9: No, I wouldn't go that far. These are people who've 618 00:31:50,600 --> 00:31:54,920 Speaker 9: lived through the consequences of Hamas running their little enclave, 619 00:31:55,000 --> 00:31:59,360 Speaker 9: and they know what damage that has done. I'm forgive me. 620 00:32:00,120 --> 00:32:04,280 Speaker 9: Everybody I've ever talked to has said, we would like 621 00:32:04,480 --> 00:32:06,520 Speaker 9: not to have to depend on Hamas, but we've got 622 00:32:06,600 --> 00:32:09,160 Speaker 9: nothing else. We can never know because you can't hold 623 00:32:09,160 --> 00:32:11,200 Speaker 9: a pole. You can't hold an opinion poll in a 624 00:32:11,200 --> 00:32:13,280 Speaker 9: place like that with the Hamas guns around you. It's 625 00:32:13,320 --> 00:32:15,400 Speaker 9: like trying to hold it. How many people support Putin 626 00:32:15,440 --> 00:32:17,760 Speaker 9: in Russia? Right, We can never know. How many people 627 00:32:18,000 --> 00:32:21,520 Speaker 9: support the Castros in Cuba. We can never know because 628 00:32:21,560 --> 00:32:23,360 Speaker 9: people are not allowed to express themselves freely. 629 00:32:24,040 --> 00:32:27,880 Speaker 1: Do do you expect this to get really bad, to 630 00:32:27,920 --> 00:32:31,680 Speaker 1: widen out where Iran is involved. Is that something that 631 00:32:31,920 --> 00:32:33,720 Speaker 1: is a reasonable risk here that we need to be 632 00:32:33,840 --> 00:32:36,640 Speaker 1: I mean, I see the US sending a second carrier 633 00:32:36,680 --> 00:32:38,760 Speaker 1: group in there, which to me tells me that the 634 00:32:38,880 --> 00:32:42,000 Speaker 1: US is does have a valid concern about Iran. 635 00:32:42,400 --> 00:32:46,240 Speaker 9: Well, if we have, we should be concerned about Iran. 636 00:32:46,320 --> 00:32:49,680 Speaker 9: But I can't see the Ruanians themselves get involved. The 637 00:32:50,040 --> 00:32:52,880 Speaker 9: Iranian modus operandi with Israel has always been they will 638 00:32:52,920 --> 00:32:55,720 Speaker 9: fight to the last Arab. They don't want their blood 639 00:32:55,800 --> 00:32:58,160 Speaker 9: on the line, they don't want their people and their 640 00:32:58,200 --> 00:33:02,400 Speaker 9: regime at risk, happy to fight using other people as 641 00:33:02,400 --> 00:33:06,560 Speaker 9: they can and fodder, which is what Hamas is. But 642 00:33:06,640 --> 00:33:09,600 Speaker 9: they do have other proxies has Belah, most prominently the 643 00:33:10,240 --> 00:33:13,720 Speaker 9: Chiai militias in Iraq, the Hutis and Yemen. They've got 644 00:33:14,000 --> 00:33:18,080 Speaker 9: the sort of a number of catspaws, these little proxy 645 00:33:18,200 --> 00:33:21,880 Speaker 9: armies that they have supplied and trained and paid for 646 00:33:21,760 --> 00:33:25,720 Speaker 9: for decades. And that's what is the main concern. If 647 00:33:25,760 --> 00:33:26,880 Speaker 9: Hezbullah gets in. 648 00:33:27,560 --> 00:33:30,360 Speaker 2: Why does the Arab world allow them to have so 649 00:33:30,440 --> 00:33:31,280 Speaker 2: many proxies? 650 00:33:31,320 --> 00:33:32,240 Speaker 8: I mean, why. 651 00:33:33,560 --> 00:33:39,440 Speaker 2: Don't Saudi Arabia and Egypt. You know, Jordan, get together 652 00:33:39,720 --> 00:33:42,760 Speaker 2: and say no more of this Iranian outreach. 653 00:33:42,480 --> 00:33:44,760 Speaker 9: Because they're not led very well. They're not led by 654 00:33:44,920 --> 00:33:51,320 Speaker 9: by they're not open free societies, they're not elected representative leaders. 655 00:33:51,320 --> 00:33:55,840 Speaker 9: These are monarchies or dictatorships. They're highly corrupt and highly 656 00:33:55,840 --> 00:33:58,000 Speaker 9: not I mean the Saudi army. Take this out the 657 00:33:58,080 --> 00:34:00,360 Speaker 9: army for example, this is one of the if you 658 00:34:00,400 --> 00:34:03,200 Speaker 9: looked at just their hardware, they've been buying American best 659 00:34:03,200 --> 00:34:07,600 Speaker 9: of American military hardware forever, right. They pay top dollars. 660 00:34:07,600 --> 00:34:09,919 Speaker 9: They've got no shortage of money, and they buy the best, 661 00:34:10,040 --> 00:34:15,319 Speaker 9: shiniest weapons. And they got there. They got trashed by 662 00:34:15,600 --> 00:34:19,560 Speaker 9: these hoo thies in Yemen who are basically operating on 663 00:34:21,080 --> 00:34:25,040 Speaker 9: early twentieth century military strategies and sort of maybe late 664 00:34:25,040 --> 00:34:29,920 Speaker 9: twentieth century hardware. They got beaten to a pulp. These armies, 665 00:34:30,120 --> 00:34:33,319 Speaker 9: most of these Arab armies, are designed to protect the 666 00:34:33,400 --> 00:34:37,160 Speaker 9: regime from their own people. These armies are good at 667 00:34:37,239 --> 00:34:41,080 Speaker 9: beating up unarmed pro democracy protesters. They're no good at 668 00:34:41,160 --> 00:34:45,279 Speaker 9: actually fighting any wars, which is why they depend on 669 00:34:45,280 --> 00:34:48,560 Speaker 9: the American security umbrella, which is why they're not capable 670 00:34:48,600 --> 00:34:49,719 Speaker 9: of securing themselves. 671 00:34:50,040 --> 00:34:52,560 Speaker 1: Bobby, Thanks, so much for journeys. Really appreciate it. I 672 00:34:52,600 --> 00:34:53,920 Speaker 1: really try to read your stuff. Now. I'm going to 673 00:34:53,960 --> 00:34:55,400 Speaker 1: set up an alert because mentioned we had to set 674 00:34:55,440 --> 00:34:56,919 Speaker 1: up alert so I never miss any of your stuff. 675 00:34:56,920 --> 00:34:59,359 Speaker 1: Bobby Goes, he's the editor for Bloomberg Companion. We really 676 00:34:59,400 --> 00:35:01,520 Speaker 1: appreciate getting a few minutes of his time as we 677 00:35:01,560 --> 00:35:03,080 Speaker 1: try to figure out kind of what's I mean. We 678 00:35:03,120 --> 00:35:04,279 Speaker 1: could talk to Bobby for an hour. 679 00:35:04,880 --> 00:35:07,359 Speaker 5: I know you're listening to the tape. Can's our live 680 00:35:07,440 --> 00:35:11,840 Speaker 5: program Bloomberg Markets weekdays at ten am Eastern on Bloomberg Radio, 681 00:35:12,000 --> 00:35:14,719 Speaker 5: the tune in app, Bloomberg dot Com, and the Bloomberg 682 00:35:14,760 --> 00:35:17,840 Speaker 5: Business App. You can also listen live on Amazon Alexa 683 00:35:17,920 --> 00:35:21,240 Speaker 5: from our flagship New York station, just say Alexa playing 684 00:35:21,320 --> 00:35:23,320 Speaker 5: Bloomberg eleven thirty. 685 00:35:24,239 --> 00:35:26,440 Speaker 1: Let's talk about the ipo market. You're just talking earlier 686 00:35:26,440 --> 00:35:29,680 Speaker 1: about Birkenstock. That was the latest of a number of 687 00:35:29,719 --> 00:35:32,680 Speaker 1: IPOs that we've seen since kind of that Labor Day weekend. 688 00:35:32,719 --> 00:35:34,440 Speaker 1: We had a bunch of them kind of teed up. 689 00:35:34,880 --> 00:35:37,840 Speaker 1: Birkenstock's trading up four percent today, but it is below 690 00:35:37,880 --> 00:35:40,880 Speaker 1: its ipo price. The question is, is this mark a 691 00:35:40,880 --> 00:35:44,080 Speaker 1: little bit of a beginning of reawakening of the IPO market. 692 00:35:44,480 --> 00:35:46,200 Speaker 1: Let's check in with our next guest. I think she 693 00:35:46,320 --> 00:35:48,719 Speaker 1: may have an opinion here. Katie Penny joins us. She 694 00:35:48,800 --> 00:35:53,360 Speaker 1: said of corporate transaction practice at Cross Country Consulting. She 695 00:35:53,480 --> 00:35:55,719 Speaker 1: joins us via zoom. Katie, thanks so much for joining 696 00:35:55,800 --> 00:35:59,279 Speaker 1: us here. We had a little open window there in 697 00:35:59,280 --> 00:36:01,680 Speaker 1: the IPO market right after Labor Day. Seems people were 698 00:36:01,680 --> 00:36:03,880 Speaker 1: getting back to work, getting off the beach. Talk to 699 00:36:03,960 --> 00:36:05,880 Speaker 1: us about kind of the IPO market today is at 700 00:36:05,920 --> 00:36:10,160 Speaker 1: the beginning of maybe a wider opening of this window 701 00:36:10,360 --> 00:36:10,680 Speaker 1: or not. 702 00:36:12,400 --> 00:36:15,719 Speaker 4: Yeah, thanks Paul and Matt for having me. You know, 703 00:36:15,840 --> 00:36:20,200 Speaker 4: certainly post Labor Day with arm and Instacart and the 704 00:36:20,239 --> 00:36:25,520 Speaker 4: most recent Birkenstock all coming out into the market, certainly 705 00:36:25,600 --> 00:36:30,520 Speaker 4: attracting attention as it relates to the IPO markets. But 706 00:36:30,600 --> 00:36:34,200 Speaker 4: I think in general what we have seen is with 707 00:36:34,719 --> 00:36:39,960 Speaker 4: the market volatility and the after market performance from each 708 00:36:40,000 --> 00:36:42,960 Speaker 4: of those that I specifically named, but others as well, 709 00:36:43,040 --> 00:36:48,160 Speaker 4: that in that net decline position. I think again there 710 00:36:48,360 --> 00:36:51,200 Speaker 4: likely could be some delays that are coming through as 711 00:36:51,200 --> 00:36:54,120 Speaker 4: it relates to those that might be considering going public. 712 00:36:54,400 --> 00:36:59,800 Speaker 4: I mean, Birkenstock is a strong brand, profitable company, steady 713 00:37:00,000 --> 00:37:04,960 Speaker 4: consumer base, and it is early, but with price declines 714 00:37:05,080 --> 00:37:08,400 Speaker 4: after their market debut, I think this may delay some 715 00:37:08,520 --> 00:37:12,080 Speaker 4: other companies that maybe considering an IPO debut right now. 716 00:37:12,920 --> 00:37:17,520 Speaker 2: Is I wonder if the problem with IPOs is that 717 00:37:17,760 --> 00:37:21,440 Speaker 2: the market environment is no good for them, or that 718 00:37:21,600 --> 00:37:25,879 Speaker 2: companies don't necessarily need to come to market the way 719 00:37:25,920 --> 00:37:28,240 Speaker 2: they previously did for their exits. 720 00:37:28,239 --> 00:37:28,799 Speaker 8: What do you think? 721 00:37:30,160 --> 00:37:33,440 Speaker 4: Yeah, I think the market environment certainly is not in 722 00:37:33,560 --> 00:37:36,520 Speaker 4: their favor. I mean, if we reflect back, we know 723 00:37:36,600 --> 00:37:40,160 Speaker 4: twenty two was certainly a stagnant year, but looking back 724 00:37:40,239 --> 00:37:44,160 Speaker 4: to twenty one when IPOs were at their ultimate high, 725 00:37:44,800 --> 00:37:47,760 Speaker 4: thinking about that strong and steady flow at that point, 726 00:37:47,760 --> 00:37:51,600 Speaker 4: you know, what were market conditions then, and consumers and 727 00:37:51,640 --> 00:37:56,239 Speaker 4: companies were coming out of hibernation so to speak, post pandemic. 728 00:37:56,560 --> 00:38:03,120 Speaker 4: Interest rates were low, financing was inexpensetive, consumer spending was up. 729 00:38:03,719 --> 00:38:06,000 Speaker 4: We know, valuations were high, and there was a lot 730 00:38:06,040 --> 00:38:10,480 Speaker 4: of focus on growth strategy, all of those influencing the 731 00:38:10,840 --> 00:38:14,600 Speaker 4: IPO markets. But if we take a look today, those 732 00:38:14,600 --> 00:38:19,319 Speaker 4: same conditions don't exist. We know interest rates are high, 733 00:38:19,320 --> 00:38:20,799 Speaker 4: and you were talking about that on one of your 734 00:38:20,800 --> 00:38:25,239 Speaker 4: earlier segments, the possibility of another rate increase, and this 735 00:38:25,400 --> 00:38:29,920 Speaker 4: concept of staying higher for longer certainly drives the cost 736 00:38:29,960 --> 00:38:35,440 Speaker 4: of capital to be expensive. There has been some discussion, 737 00:38:35,480 --> 00:38:38,080 Speaker 4: I know, around the pandemic savings coming to an end, 738 00:38:38,120 --> 00:38:44,000 Speaker 4: student loan payments, all coming back the geopolitical certainly as 739 00:38:44,000 --> 00:38:46,440 Speaker 4: it relates to Ukraine, and as I noticed on your 740 00:38:46,440 --> 00:38:50,279 Speaker 4: prior segment, the devastation and conflict in Israel, all of 741 00:38:50,320 --> 00:38:55,400 Speaker 4: those factors really being fluid and compounding and really I 742 00:38:55,400 --> 00:38:58,560 Speaker 4: think having some negative impact as it relates to those 743 00:38:58,560 --> 00:39:01,839 Speaker 4: that are considering coming into market through an IPO. So 744 00:39:02,200 --> 00:39:04,399 Speaker 4: some really tough market dynamics right now. 745 00:39:04,920 --> 00:39:09,400 Speaker 1: Hey, Katie, Back when I was doing these IPOs for business, 746 00:39:09,400 --> 00:39:14,440 Speaker 1: we never used these anchor investors. My anchor investor was 747 00:39:14,440 --> 00:39:16,880 Speaker 1: always Fidelity. I mean he was tooking twice the allocation 748 00:39:16,960 --> 00:39:21,000 Speaker 1: of the next highest of the number two offering. That 749 00:39:21,120 --> 00:39:23,600 Speaker 1: was kind of my anchor. But talk to us about 750 00:39:23,640 --> 00:39:25,799 Speaker 1: that anchor investor kind of thing. It seems to become 751 00:39:25,840 --> 00:39:27,080 Speaker 1: a little bit of a strategy here. 752 00:39:28,920 --> 00:39:31,560 Speaker 4: Yeah, I would say some companies, and this is somewhat 753 00:39:31,640 --> 00:39:34,200 Speaker 4: more more recent. So same as I look over my 754 00:39:34,320 --> 00:39:38,320 Speaker 4: career as well, it wasn't often to have these anchor 755 00:39:38,360 --> 00:39:42,680 Speaker 4: investors or cornerstones. But some companies with the strategy of 756 00:39:42,719 --> 00:39:46,120 Speaker 4: looking to potentially de risk their IPO through this way, 757 00:39:46,200 --> 00:39:51,719 Speaker 4: so more or less talking with investors early, using a 758 00:39:51,760 --> 00:39:56,600 Speaker 4: strategy to identify these anchor investors or cornerstones, really with 759 00:39:56,719 --> 00:40:01,200 Speaker 4: the idea to more or less attempt to demonstratevalidation and 760 00:40:01,280 --> 00:40:03,040 Speaker 4: confidence in their offering. 761 00:40:04,239 --> 00:40:06,520 Speaker 1: I don't know. I kind of when I first saw that, 762 00:40:06,560 --> 00:40:08,800 Speaker 1: I said, this is a deal that needs an anchor, 763 00:40:10,600 --> 00:40:13,439 Speaker 1: maybe can't stand on its own. That was my view. 764 00:40:14,520 --> 00:40:16,560 Speaker 1: I don't know, but I guess this seems to be 765 00:40:16,600 --> 00:40:18,840 Speaker 1: a little bit more accepted in the IPO marketplace. I 766 00:40:18,880 --> 00:40:20,759 Speaker 1: was wondering if that's just reflection something that seems to 767 00:40:20,800 --> 00:40:21,480 Speaker 1: have carried. 768 00:40:21,239 --> 00:40:23,839 Speaker 2: Over from spack investments. 769 00:40:23,040 --> 00:40:26,960 Speaker 1: Maybe, you know, maybe. So, how's the pipeline look, Katie, 770 00:40:27,000 --> 00:40:29,239 Speaker 1: as you look towards the remainder of the year. 771 00:40:31,200 --> 00:40:35,319 Speaker 4: Yeah, I think as far as looking out that more 772 00:40:35,440 --> 00:40:38,320 Speaker 4: or less given some of the challenges that we just mentioned, 773 00:40:38,760 --> 00:40:42,240 Speaker 4: it's really creating dynamics for the IPO market and again 774 00:40:42,400 --> 00:40:44,680 Speaker 4: reflecting on some of these that as we talk about 775 00:40:44,680 --> 00:40:48,000 Speaker 4: come out post Labor Day there after, market overall kind 776 00:40:48,000 --> 00:40:51,839 Speaker 4: of net decline. I'm not expecting to see a significant 777 00:40:51,960 --> 00:40:56,520 Speaker 4: uptick in IP as for the remainder of twenty twenty four. Certainly, 778 00:40:56,560 --> 00:40:59,799 Speaker 4: maybe if some of these challenges begin to subside, or 779 00:41:00,000 --> 00:41:03,440 Speaker 4: again we tend to move things to think of them 780 00:41:03,440 --> 00:41:07,000 Speaker 4: as normalcy, then there may be more periods for entry 781 00:41:07,040 --> 00:41:09,759 Speaker 4: as we head into the first half of twenty four 782 00:41:10,840 --> 00:41:14,640 Speaker 4: before the electioneers that again might narrow the window a bit. 783 00:41:14,760 --> 00:41:18,000 Speaker 4: So I think it'll again through the rest of this year. 784 00:41:18,320 --> 00:41:21,279 Speaker 4: I'm not expecting it a significant uptick, all right. 785 00:41:21,360 --> 00:41:22,440 Speaker 1: I don't know. If I had the S and P 786 00:41:22,560 --> 00:41:24,719 Speaker 1: up fifteen percent, I could get some companies through. I 787 00:41:24,760 --> 00:41:27,120 Speaker 1: don't know what these kids are doing today. Katie Penny, 788 00:41:27,120 --> 00:41:29,120 Speaker 1: thanks so much for joining as head of corporate Transaction 789 00:41:29,200 --> 00:41:33,120 Speaker 1: Practice at Cross Country Consulting. I mean, the deal's coming 790 00:41:33,120 --> 00:41:36,600 Speaker 1: out after the Liberty they all look like good companies, 791 00:41:36,640 --> 00:41:39,000 Speaker 1: you know, and they really Yeah, I thought they were. 792 00:41:39,239 --> 00:41:40,839 Speaker 2: I mean, there were a couple of companies I still 793 00:41:40,840 --> 00:41:42,560 Speaker 2: don't know exactly what they were doing. 794 00:41:42,640 --> 00:41:43,839 Speaker 1: I thought they were. I thought they were. I mean, 795 00:41:44,239 --> 00:41:46,239 Speaker 1: you know, ARM is a chip company. I don't know 796 00:41:46,280 --> 00:41:48,400 Speaker 1: that kind of felt like there were some solid companies, 797 00:41:48,440 --> 00:41:48,879 Speaker 1: solid track. 798 00:41:49,000 --> 00:41:54,719 Speaker 2: I get ARM for sure, Instacart two Kava, I get that. Yeah, 799 00:41:55,040 --> 00:41:56,280 Speaker 2: Burgenstock for sure. 800 00:41:56,400 --> 00:41:56,600 Speaker 8: Yeah. 801 00:41:56,640 --> 00:41:58,040 Speaker 1: So I mean I thought they were real companies, real 802 00:41:58,080 --> 00:42:00,520 Speaker 1: real businesses, real cash flows spread. They haven't trade a 803 00:42:00,520 --> 00:42:02,279 Speaker 1: little bit better, but we'll have to see. 804 00:42:02,280 --> 00:42:05,360 Speaker 5: Here you're listening to the tape. Cat's a our live program, 805 00:42:05,400 --> 00:42:09,360 Speaker 5: Bloomberg Markets weekdays at ten am Eastern on Bloomberg Radio, 806 00:42:09,520 --> 00:42:12,239 Speaker 5: the tune in app, Bloomberg dot Com, and the Bloomberg 807 00:42:12,280 --> 00:42:15,400 Speaker 5: Business app. You can also listen live on Amazon Alexa 808 00:42:15,440 --> 00:42:18,719 Speaker 5: from our flagship New York station. Just say Alexa play 809 00:42:18,840 --> 00:42:20,840 Speaker 5: Bloomberg eleven thirty. 810 00:42:21,800 --> 00:42:23,640 Speaker 1: Well, we're right in the midst of a lot of 811 00:42:23,640 --> 00:42:27,440 Speaker 1: the big banks reporting earnings, and obviously one of the 812 00:42:27,520 --> 00:42:31,640 Speaker 1: key topics it's just the advances in financial technology, how 813 00:42:31,640 --> 00:42:35,120 Speaker 1: they're trying to capitalize on that, how it represents fintech 814 00:42:35,160 --> 00:42:37,920 Speaker 1: represents perhaps a competitive threat. So we want to dive 815 00:42:37,920 --> 00:42:40,560 Speaker 1: a little deeper into that. Brian Hindeman he joins us. 816 00:42:40,560 --> 00:42:43,480 Speaker 1: He's the CEO of Blue Ocean Technologies. He joins us 817 00:42:43,600 --> 00:42:45,839 Speaker 1: via zoom Brian, thanks so much for joining us here. 818 00:42:45,920 --> 00:42:48,319 Speaker 1: Let's just take the thirty thousand foot view here talk 819 00:42:48,320 --> 00:42:51,600 Speaker 1: to us about Blue Ocean Technologies. What do you guys, 820 00:42:52,040 --> 00:42:53,720 Speaker 1: how do you guys play in this fintech space? 821 00:42:54,360 --> 00:42:57,120 Speaker 10: Yeah, well thanks for having me so very simply, Blue 822 00:42:57,120 --> 00:43:01,320 Speaker 10: Ocean Technologies, we have an ATS, a alternative trading system. 823 00:43:02,160 --> 00:43:05,880 Speaker 10: We trade US stocks National Market system stocks when the 824 00:43:05,920 --> 00:43:10,560 Speaker 10: traditional exchanges are closed. So starting at eight o'clock PM 825 00:43:10,600 --> 00:43:13,440 Speaker 10: Eastern Time to four o'clock in the morning, we'll trade 826 00:43:13,800 --> 00:43:19,279 Speaker 10: the most active National Market System US stocks during that 827 00:43:19,320 --> 00:43:24,799 Speaker 10: eight hour period on any given night. During the month 828 00:43:24,840 --> 00:43:27,719 Speaker 10: of September, we traded over four thousand different stocks on 829 00:43:27,800 --> 00:43:29,160 Speaker 10: any given night during the month. 830 00:43:29,760 --> 00:43:33,000 Speaker 1: So are you a market maker? Are you an agent? 831 00:43:33,160 --> 00:43:34,760 Speaker 1: Just putting together buyers and sellers? 832 00:43:34,760 --> 00:43:34,920 Speaker 7: Here? 833 00:43:34,960 --> 00:43:36,760 Speaker 1: Do you make a market? How does that work? 834 00:43:37,360 --> 00:43:39,799 Speaker 10: So we have market makers on the platform like Chain 835 00:43:39,840 --> 00:43:43,640 Speaker 10: Street and Virtuo that provide two sided liquidity. In these names, 836 00:43:44,160 --> 00:43:47,080 Speaker 10: we act like an alternative trading system or a very 837 00:43:47,120 --> 00:43:51,280 Speaker 10: exchange like just like Nasdaq. We match buyers and sellers 838 00:43:51,280 --> 00:43:53,000 Speaker 10: and don't take any principal position. 839 00:43:53,800 --> 00:43:56,640 Speaker 1: And so your is your commission? Straight up commission? Is 840 00:43:56,640 --> 00:43:58,800 Speaker 1: that how your business model works? 841 00:43:59,120 --> 00:43:59,319 Speaker 5: Yeah? 842 00:43:59,360 --> 00:44:03,359 Speaker 10: I mean basic as we call it, a maker taker fee. 843 00:44:03,600 --> 00:44:06,920 Speaker 10: We give a rebate to people that provide liquidity on 844 00:44:06,920 --> 00:44:09,880 Speaker 10: the platform. And we charge a take fee when someone 845 00:44:10,000 --> 00:44:12,680 Speaker 10: is hitting a bit or lifting an offer and removing liquidity. 846 00:44:13,280 --> 00:44:15,319 Speaker 10: And we also charge for market data. So there's two 847 00:44:15,400 --> 00:44:16,880 Speaker 10: revenue streams for the ATS. 848 00:44:17,400 --> 00:44:20,320 Speaker 1: So who are your customers? Who's trading here? Is that 849 00:44:20,480 --> 00:44:22,520 Speaker 1: individual is a retail as institutional? 850 00:44:23,360 --> 00:44:28,359 Speaker 10: Yeah, so primarily we only interface with finner registered broker dealers, right, so, 851 00:44:28,480 --> 00:44:31,399 Speaker 10: if you're a retail customer, you have to come through 852 00:44:31,440 --> 00:44:34,960 Speaker 10: your brokerage account like Robinhood or interactive brokers who are 853 00:44:35,000 --> 00:44:36,600 Speaker 10: currently connected to the platform. 854 00:44:37,080 --> 00:44:37,239 Speaker 7: Right. 855 00:44:37,320 --> 00:44:39,960 Speaker 10: So, right now, I would say it's ninety five to 856 00:44:39,960 --> 00:44:43,680 Speaker 10: almost one hundred percent retail, both here in the States, 857 00:44:44,200 --> 00:44:47,920 Speaker 10: but more importantly retail coming from the Asia pac region. 858 00:44:48,840 --> 00:44:51,880 Speaker 10: Those folks over there want to trade US stocks during 859 00:44:51,960 --> 00:44:53,160 Speaker 10: their daytime hours. 860 00:44:53,840 --> 00:44:56,480 Speaker 1: So what's kind of an average transaction size for you 861 00:44:56,560 --> 00:44:58,040 Speaker 1: and shares and dollars? 862 00:44:58,840 --> 00:45:02,239 Speaker 10: Yeah, so the average share size and we charge on 863 00:45:02,280 --> 00:45:04,800 Speaker 10: a per share basis, it's somewhere between one hundred and 864 00:45:04,840 --> 00:45:06,880 Speaker 10: fifty and two hundred shares on any given. 865 00:45:06,719 --> 00:45:11,560 Speaker 1: Night, per per transaction, per transaction, I got you. So, 866 00:45:11,560 --> 00:45:14,279 Speaker 1: so where are we in terms of like, you know, 867 00:45:14,560 --> 00:45:17,960 Speaker 1: one of the things I've you know, learned about crypto, 868 00:45:18,440 --> 00:45:21,920 Speaker 1: particularly bitcoin. And what's so unusual is it trades all 869 00:45:21,960 --> 00:45:24,480 Speaker 1: the time, twenty four hours a day, seven days a week. 870 00:45:25,280 --> 00:45:27,400 Speaker 1: And so you kind of you leave work on Friday 871 00:45:27,400 --> 00:45:29,360 Speaker 1: and you look at bitcoin. You remember it was trading 872 00:45:29,400 --> 00:45:31,680 Speaker 1: at like, you know, twenty four thousand. You come in 873 00:45:31,719 --> 00:45:34,239 Speaker 1: on Monday and it's twenty eight thousand, Like what Then 874 00:45:34,320 --> 00:45:36,920 Speaker 1: You're like, oh, yeah, they trades over the weekend. Are 875 00:45:36,920 --> 00:45:39,880 Speaker 1: we ever going to get to that kind of trading 876 00:45:39,960 --> 00:45:40,920 Speaker 1: for equities? 877 00:45:41,800 --> 00:45:44,200 Speaker 10: I think we are, and really because of you know, 878 00:45:44,239 --> 00:45:46,879 Speaker 10: the way crypto trades. I think US equities are now 879 00:45:46,920 --> 00:45:50,560 Speaker 10: trading twenty four by five. So years ago, when I 880 00:45:50,640 --> 00:45:53,799 Speaker 10: was at NASDAK running the NASDAK platform, we wanted to 881 00:45:53,840 --> 00:45:56,880 Speaker 10: go ahead and trade twenty four hours, but customers just 882 00:45:57,160 --> 00:46:00,360 Speaker 10: they weren't prepared a from a call it support for respected. 883 00:46:00,400 --> 00:46:03,480 Speaker 10: They didn't have the desk or the infrastructure to support 884 00:46:03,560 --> 00:46:06,959 Speaker 10: twenty four hour trading. But now that crypto, as you said, 885 00:46:07,040 --> 00:46:13,040 Speaker 10: trades twenty four by seven, right, futures even some options 886 00:46:13,080 --> 00:46:16,839 Speaker 10: trade twenty three, twenty four hours a day. The infrastructure 887 00:46:16,920 --> 00:46:19,279 Speaker 10: is in place now to trade twenty four by five. 888 00:46:19,360 --> 00:46:22,680 Speaker 10: We start trading on Sunday night at eight pm, and 889 00:46:22,719 --> 00:46:27,120 Speaker 10: we wrap up on Thursday, well really Friday at four 890 00:46:27,120 --> 00:46:31,680 Speaker 10: in the morning. Right now, because of anything clearance and settlement, 891 00:46:32,400 --> 00:46:35,640 Speaker 10: we're not really prepared as an industry to trade seven 892 00:46:35,680 --> 00:46:38,680 Speaker 10: days a week. But right now US equities are trading 893 00:46:38,760 --> 00:46:39,919 Speaker 10: twenty four by five. 894 00:46:40,280 --> 00:46:42,880 Speaker 1: Interesting, all right, So talk to just about your customers. 895 00:46:43,040 --> 00:46:46,239 Speaker 1: You mentioned Asia, So do you have any I mean, 896 00:46:46,400 --> 00:46:48,319 Speaker 1: how do you get customers in Asia? How does that 897 00:46:48,520 --> 00:46:50,480 Speaker 1: kind of all work? Did you work with maybe the 898 00:46:50,480 --> 00:46:52,359 Speaker 1: Tokyo Stock Exchange or how does that work? 899 00:46:52,840 --> 00:46:54,920 Speaker 10: Yeah, So, a couple of ways that customers can come in. 900 00:46:54,960 --> 00:46:56,960 Speaker 10: If thera fit or registered broke a dealer like many 901 00:46:57,000 --> 00:46:59,920 Speaker 10: of them over in Asia, are they have a US ARM, 902 00:47:00,000 --> 00:47:02,720 Speaker 10: they can come in directly and interfaced with Blue Ocean directly, 903 00:47:04,360 --> 00:47:06,520 Speaker 10: or they can come in sponsored access. So we have 904 00:47:06,600 --> 00:47:10,400 Speaker 10: some firms that they're finner registered broken dealers. We interface 905 00:47:10,520 --> 00:47:13,960 Speaker 10: with them and then they onboard the Asian brokers to 906 00:47:14,040 --> 00:47:14,959 Speaker 10: interface with them. 907 00:47:15,680 --> 00:47:15,839 Speaker 4: Right. 908 00:47:15,880 --> 00:47:18,680 Speaker 10: But then as you mentioned, we also recently did a 909 00:47:18,719 --> 00:47:22,440 Speaker 10: deal with the Tokyo Stock Exchange. The Tokyo Stock Exchange 910 00:47:22,440 --> 00:47:25,960 Speaker 10: took a five percent stak in Blue Ocean Technologies. They 911 00:47:26,000 --> 00:47:29,640 Speaker 10: have eighty two brokers that trade on their exchange that 912 00:47:29,760 --> 00:47:33,480 Speaker 10: will now have access to become subscribers of Blue Ocean, 913 00:47:33,560 --> 00:47:36,640 Speaker 10: either directly or in a sponsored access fashion like I 914 00:47:36,680 --> 00:47:37,680 Speaker 10: previously mentioned. 915 00:47:38,000 --> 00:47:42,719 Speaker 1: Interesting, how about some of the retail brokers here, like Robinhood. 916 00:47:43,239 --> 00:47:46,040 Speaker 1: I mean, robin Hood's has gotten so big so quickly, 917 00:47:46,960 --> 00:47:50,000 Speaker 1: and I'm guessing there's some demand from those customers. 918 00:47:50,880 --> 00:47:54,200 Speaker 10: Yeah, so Robinhood is a great example robin Hood Interactive brokers. 919 00:47:54,960 --> 00:47:58,000 Speaker 10: US clients want to trade at a time that's more 920 00:47:58,040 --> 00:48:01,000 Speaker 10: convenience when they get home from work. The exchanges could 921 00:48:01,040 --> 00:48:04,440 Speaker 10: be closed on the West Coast even after hours. Trading 922 00:48:04,480 --> 00:48:08,760 Speaker 10: closes at five o'clock on the exchanges. So robin Hood 923 00:48:08,840 --> 00:48:13,480 Speaker 10: offers in the US to trade on Blue Ocean twenty 924 00:48:13,520 --> 00:48:17,200 Speaker 10: four by five. But robin Hood's also expanding to the 925 00:48:17,200 --> 00:48:20,960 Speaker 10: European markets also, firms like Interactive Brokers, they have a 926 00:48:21,080 --> 00:48:23,799 Speaker 10: very large presence at in the Asia market and they 927 00:48:23,840 --> 00:48:26,840 Speaker 10: get US customers and they also get Asia customers trading 928 00:48:26,840 --> 00:48:27,600 Speaker 10: on Blue Ocean. 929 00:48:28,640 --> 00:48:32,200 Speaker 1: So I mean, are you seeing an expansion either or 930 00:48:33,160 --> 00:48:35,319 Speaker 1: maybe just kind of talks about you mentioned one hundred 931 00:48:35,320 --> 00:48:37,360 Speaker 1: and fifty to or two hundred shares. Do you expect 932 00:48:37,360 --> 00:48:40,880 Speaker 1: that to grow? Do you expect more stocks to be traded. 933 00:48:42,040 --> 00:48:44,120 Speaker 1: How do you expect the fighter If. 934 00:48:44,040 --> 00:48:46,360 Speaker 10: I look at the growth this year, We've grown almost 935 00:48:46,440 --> 00:48:52,000 Speaker 10: twenty times since December of twenty twenty two last year. 936 00:48:52,960 --> 00:48:57,120 Speaker 10: So there's been a real upward trajectory on the number 937 00:48:57,160 --> 00:48:59,000 Speaker 10: of stocks that we trade on any given night. Like 938 00:48:59,000 --> 00:49:01,000 Speaker 10: I said, during the month that's Tember, close to four 939 00:49:01,000 --> 00:49:04,319 Speaker 10: thousand different names which traded, the number of brokers that 940 00:49:04,360 --> 00:49:08,760 Speaker 10: are connected, retail customers coming in directly we sponsored access, 941 00:49:09,640 --> 00:49:11,600 Speaker 10: and the amount of shares on any given night. We're 942 00:49:11,600 --> 00:49:14,960 Speaker 10: close to thirty million shares on any given night where 943 00:49:14,960 --> 00:49:17,520 Speaker 10: we finished last year called it a half a million 944 00:49:17,520 --> 00:49:18,200 Speaker 10: shares per night. 945 00:49:18,920 --> 00:49:21,359 Speaker 1: Where do you think that thirty million goes? Maybe over 946 00:49:21,400 --> 00:49:21,839 Speaker 1: the next year. 947 00:49:21,960 --> 00:49:24,279 Speaker 10: So yeah, I think if I wanted to make some 948 00:49:24,360 --> 00:49:27,000 Speaker 10: forward looking statements, I would say that, you know, we 949 00:49:27,040 --> 00:49:30,000 Speaker 10: certainly can double that up. I think certainly get to 950 00:49:30,040 --> 00:49:32,760 Speaker 10: the sixty to ninety one hundred million over the course 951 00:49:32,800 --> 00:49:35,080 Speaker 10: of the next call it twelve to eighteen months. 952 00:49:35,440 --> 00:49:39,520 Speaker 1: So your company, Blue Ocean, what's the ownership of that company? 953 00:49:40,160 --> 00:49:40,239 Speaker 7: So? 954 00:49:40,440 --> 00:49:46,520 Speaker 10: Blue Ocean is owned by a variety of partners. Obviously 955 00:49:46,560 --> 00:49:50,120 Speaker 10: I mentioned the Tokyo Stock Exchange. Our largest investor is 956 00:49:50,239 --> 00:49:55,479 Speaker 10: Urbana Corporation. Urbana Corporation is a publicly traded company north 957 00:49:55,520 --> 00:49:58,800 Speaker 10: of the border Canadian company. They own, you know, in 958 00:49:58,880 --> 00:50:01,240 Speaker 10: excess of thirty five percent and a Blue Ocean. 959 00:50:01,120 --> 00:50:04,520 Speaker 1: Interesting, all right, really fascinating story. Brian Hindeman, he is 960 00:50:04,560 --> 00:50:09,240 Speaker 1: the CEO of Blue Ocean Technologies, talking about the trading 961 00:50:09,480 --> 00:50:13,600 Speaker 1: outside of market ours electronic trading, and question is whether 962 00:50:13,600 --> 00:50:17,760 Speaker 1: there every twenty four hour trading trend in equities truly, 963 00:50:18,120 --> 00:50:19,839 Speaker 1: you know, something like that. You have seven days a week, 964 00:50:19,880 --> 00:50:22,880 Speaker 1: so it's really interesting part of the trading dynamic. 965 00:50:24,640 --> 00:50:27,759 Speaker 2: Thanks for listening to the Bloomberg Markets podcasts. You can 966 00:50:27,760 --> 00:50:31,560 Speaker 2: subscribe and listen to interviews at Apple Podcasts or whatever 967 00:50:31,640 --> 00:50:33,160 Speaker 2: podcast platform you prefer. 968 00:50:33,520 --> 00:50:34,320 Speaker 1: I'm Matt Miller. 969 00:50:34,560 --> 00:50:37,640 Speaker 2: I'm on Twitter at Matt Miller nineteen seventy three. 970 00:50:37,920 --> 00:50:40,320 Speaker 1: And I'm fall Sweeney. I'm on Twitter at pt Sweeney. 971 00:50:40,440 --> 00:50:43,080 Speaker 1: Before the podcast, you can always catch us worldwide at 972 00:50:43,120 --> 00:50:44,839 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Radio