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Speaker 1: The Action Network podcast named vest vetting Podcast.

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Speaker 2: Or radio show by the Fantasy.

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Speaker 3: Sports and Gaming Association and the number one show for

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Speaker 3: the invested sports fan. All right, here we go.

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Speaker 1: Fifteen twenty, twenty five, thirty thirty five, forty forty five fifty.

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Speaker 3: And the kickoff block. Look college football World, stand, Oh.

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Speaker 1: My goodness, Then stumble the football, the lateral turn, a

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Speaker 1: counter of the hide.

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Speaker 4: Get you the lad table off the fail to night.

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Speaker 4: It's not the sage of the game in the fight.

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Speaker 3: It's the sage of the fight. What's up the general nation?

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Speaker 3: Welcome to the Action Network Podcast. This is the College

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Speaker 3: Football Betting Preview, Part two. I'm stucky with me as always?

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Speaker 3: Is Colin Wilson recovering from that just insane FCS game

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Speaker 3: where the trolls came out at night? So you know

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Speaker 3: football is back when people are trying to troll picks

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Speaker 3: instead of being for each other and against the books.

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Speaker 3: What's going on in Colin?

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Speaker 2: We're into episode number two and we haven't been canceled,

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Speaker 2: so that means college football is still on. So that's

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Speaker 2: good news. That Austin p Central Arkansas game was quite interesting.

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Speaker 2: We got a couple hashtags to be created. Some of

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Speaker 2: our old trolls from our past came out decided to

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Speaker 2: pound their chest when they were quiet for three hours

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Speaker 2: with the Central Arkansas bet I said this with some

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Speaker 2: of our friends with Eli and Nick, you should cap

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Speaker 2: the game and not the noise. All right, I'm going

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Speaker 2: to bet based on teams, players, coaches, schemes, numbers and

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Speaker 2: market and if you're the kind of better that's going

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Speaker 2: to sit out there and wait till two hours in

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Speaker 2: advance for a notice on COVID, and that's the way

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Speaker 2: you're gonna handicap this season. You're gonna be forty two

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Speaker 2: percent at the end of the year. You're not gonna

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Speaker 2: be a very good handicapper if you're just waiting for

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Speaker 2: that news on COVID. Now saying that stuck. You know

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Speaker 2: what the most interesting thing of the weekend was the

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Speaker 2: points spread.

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Speaker 4: Did not move a damn bit.

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Speaker 2: When All American Justice Smith was knocked out di'angelo Wilson,

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Speaker 2: the All American wide Receivers points spread didn't move a

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Speaker 2: half point. That tells me that some of these oddsmakers

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Speaker 2: already know who was not gonna get on that bus

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Speaker 2: for Austin p.

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Speaker 4: I mean, this is sort of.

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Speaker 2: Our Temple is our first game of the year, right,

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Speaker 2: so this could be signs of things to come. But

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Speaker 2: that pointspread did not move at all, and news was

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Speaker 2: everywhere and I'm sure Central Arkansas I was getting hammered.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, that's gonna be one of the most interesting parts

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Speaker 3: of captaining this college football season is the news aspect

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Speaker 3: and finding out of the day of who's out. And

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Speaker 3: there's gonna be some wildline moves. And today we're gonna

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Speaker 3: get to we're gonna talk Big twelve. We'renna talk a

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Speaker 3: lot of Big twelve. We'll talk to acc we'll talk

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Speaker 3: to Thursday Night games. If you're listening to this, this

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Speaker 3: episode came out on Thursday. We'll have an episode tomorrow

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Speaker 3: covering the week one games. I'm excited to talk specifically

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Speaker 3: as always Service Academy games. Two of the five or

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Speaker 3: Service Academy games I'm leaning towards. My first bet of

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Speaker 3: the year is going to be on the Army Game

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Speaker 3: at one thirty Eastern and on Saturday on CBS Sports Network,

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Speaker 3: which just feels so damn right. But that's for tomorrow's episode.

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Speaker 3: Before we get into the Big twelve, there's a lot

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Speaker 3: of rumors out there, But at the Big Ten there's

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Speaker 3: this like Twitter account, yacht something who just like I think,

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Speaker 3: makes up things and just hoping that he's right, and

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Speaker 3: then it'll gain a lot of note. Already. I talk

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Speaker 3: with Bret McMurphy today, who would know better than anyone,

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Speaker 3: and I was like, I mean, is there any validity

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Speaker 3: of these rumors? Is now there's a task force made

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Speaker 3: up of two or three dozen people. They're supposed to

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Speaker 3: give information about the possibility return and play football that's

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Speaker 3: not due back for another week. Once all that info

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Speaker 3: is obtained, they don't present that to the university presidents

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Speaker 3: in the Big Ten, and then they can decide whether

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Speaker 3: they want to start playing in November, January or the spring.

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Speaker 3: That's it. And then keep in mind eleven of the

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Speaker 3: fourteen Big Time presidents voted against it. They'd all have

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Speaker 3: to change their mind. I'm not going to get into

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Speaker 3: politics here, but it's probably a smart strategic move by Trump,

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Speaker 3: you know, being like I'm trying to get the football

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Speaker 3: back for some of these swing states. But I don't

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Speaker 3: think there's much to it. It doesn't look like the

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Speaker 3: Big BET's going to be part of this. If it

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Speaker 3: is great, we'll welcome in with all the open arms.

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Speaker 3: We'll preview those teams to be talking about them all year,

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Speaker 3: but as of now, I think that's just noise. Let's

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Speaker 3: get into the Big Twelve, which I'm excited to talk

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Speaker 3: about because it's a really interesting conference this year. There's

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Speaker 3: a lot of returning quarterbacks right every team, there's ten.

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Speaker 3: I always I hate this, there's ten teams in the

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Speaker 3: Big Twelve. You know, it just makes no sense, But

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Speaker 3: everyone but Kansas and Oklahoma has a returning quarterback who

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Speaker 3: started last year. Although now it looks like TCU might

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Speaker 3: not with Max Duggant look like he has a heart

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Speaker 3: condition and doesn't look like he'll play. Maybe maybe not,

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Speaker 3: and they might have to start a walk on. A

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Speaker 3: kid walk on at Georgia was behind from and fields there.

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Speaker 3: We'll get to TCU. But there's a lot of quarterbacks back.

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Speaker 3: There's a lot of coaches back. I think Baylor is

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Speaker 3: the only coaching change. Baylor in Texas the only two

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Speaker 3: teams that have new OC's and DC's, So there's a

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Speaker 3: lot of stability, which I think helps coming into this year.

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Speaker 3: So you should you could see some higher quality playing

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Speaker 3: the Big Twelve. Early on. But we have to start

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Speaker 3: with Oklahoma. Oklahoma's won five straight Big Twelve titles, two

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Speaker 3: losses in each of the past five years. That second

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Speaker 3: last usually comes to the College World Twelve and they've

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Speaker 3: lost one other game. The big question here with Oklahoma

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Speaker 3: is there's two right. The defense was really improved last

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Speaker 3: year under Alex Grinch. They got a lot more pressure.

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Speaker 3: It was just a more aggressive scheme and it just

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Speaker 3: shows you what scheme can do for a defense. Obviously,

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Speaker 3: they lose Motley, they lose Kenneth Murray to the NFL,

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Speaker 3: but it's a defense that I think can still be

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Speaker 3: a much better year that we saw back in two

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Speaker 3: thousand and eight, something that we saw last year where

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Speaker 3: it was actually they approved by thousand yards overall last year.

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Speaker 3: So it's but it's Oklahoma. It's not about the defense.

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Speaker 3: It's about the offense. The offensive line brings everybody back.

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Speaker 3: Creed Humphrey is one of the best centers in all

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Speaker 3: of college football. They as CD Lamb. But you have

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Speaker 3: Rambo coming back. You have some really interesting transfers that

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Speaker 3: are coming. Obi Obi Ala, who is a huge fan

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Speaker 3: of at Marshall. You have the kid out of UCLA

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Speaker 3: who's coming in because Bridges is suspended half the year,

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Speaker 3: hass was recovering from an injury. But there's a lot

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Speaker 3: of depth of wide receiver. So it comes down to

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Speaker 3: the quarterback position. Spencer Rattler, Red Chert freshman is the

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Speaker 3: first time at Lincoln Riley the quarterback. Whisper doesn't have

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Speaker 3: an experienced quarterback, but it is the first time he

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Speaker 3: has a quarterback coming into the year that understands his system.

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Speaker 3: The wrench that got thrown into all this is Kennedy Brooks.

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Speaker 3: They're running back, decided to opt out, so there are

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Speaker 3: some questions in Oklahoma. It should still be an electric

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Speaker 3: offense as always. What do you see with Oklahoma overall?

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Speaker 2: Well, let's start off with the odds board and you know,

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Speaker 2: per our odds provider for the podcast bet MGM, you know,

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Speaker 2: Oklahoma is sitting at minus one twenty and that is

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Speaker 2: an extremely smart number because the last couple of years

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Speaker 2: we have been gifted numbers of taking Oklahoma plus one

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Speaker 2: fifty plus one seventy plus one thirty. That's not what

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Speaker 2: their money line is going to be in the Big

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Speaker 2: twelve championship game. So you know, finally they're getting smart

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Speaker 2: enough with this round robin format that the conference is in,

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Speaker 2: and you're gonna see the top two. Oklahoma's never going

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Speaker 2: to finish third or worse than this conference. You know,

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Speaker 2: if they do, they probably like the program of fire.

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Speaker 2: But you know, Oklahoma minus one twenty is a proper line.

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Speaker 2: It's probably the stopping point is plus one ten to

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Speaker 2: buy them. But everything you said is true, and I'll

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Speaker 2: focus more. I think what's interesting about Lincoln Riley being

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Speaker 2: the quarterback whisper. When you think about Baker Mayfield, you

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Speaker 2: think about Kyler Murray, and you think about Jalen Hurts.

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Speaker 2: I've never seen him so comfortable with an unknown quantity.

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Speaker 4: Now, I know who.

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Speaker 2: Kyler Murray was when he was a Texas A and M.

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Speaker 2: You just had to watch a couple little bit of

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Speaker 2: film on that kid and you knew he was going

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Speaker 2: to be special. But what do we have on Spencer Rattler.

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Speaker 2: I mean, he's not really been shown off to the world.

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Speaker 2: And Lincoln Riley talks with ease and calmness when it's

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Speaker 2: about how confident he is. And Spencer Rattler and I

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Speaker 2: will tell you this, this ou quarterback will be one

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Speaker 2: of the most protected quarterbacks that's been there in a

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Speaker 2: long time. We're talking all five offensive lineman, you know,

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Speaker 2: return double digit starts from Robinson, Hayes, Humphrey, Eley, Murray,

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Speaker 2: eight starts in the bag for Swinson, and then there's

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Speaker 2: a host of other offensive linemen that have time. This

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Speaker 2: is going to be a very beefed up. I mean,

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Speaker 2: you could, I mean, Kennedy Brooks is a big loss.

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Speaker 2: But at the same time, this is going to be

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Speaker 2: one of the best offensive line easily in this conference,

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Speaker 2: maybe you know, maybe in the nation. For who's left

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Speaker 2: that's playing. And then you mentioned you touched on Alex Grinch.

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Speaker 2: What a change, because two years ago we laughed at

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Speaker 2: Oklahoma and the College Football Playoff because essentially their secondary

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Speaker 2: was a bunch of lawn chairs out there next to

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Speaker 2: yard markers. Alex Grinch comes in. Seventy percent of that

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Speaker 2: defense is going to return. They had a success rate

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Speaker 2: of fifty first in the nation in twenty nineteen. You

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Speaker 2: say fifty first, that's not very good. They were around

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Speaker 2: one hundredth Oklahoma was terrible on defense. They allowed anybody

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Speaker 2: to have an explosive play. And now last year Alex Grinch,

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Speaker 2: mister Havo from Washington State tenth and have it for

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Speaker 2: OU last year triple digits for a team and tackles

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Speaker 2: for loss. The defense was lifeless before Grinch came. OU

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Speaker 2: is the cream of the crop. And if Lincoln Riley

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Speaker 2: is going to be calm about Spencer Rattler, I'm going to.

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Speaker 4: Be calm about Spencer Ratler. Yeah.

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Speaker 3: You make a great point with the offensive line, and

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Speaker 3: you see that in the pros now with Kyler Murray,

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Speaker 3: who I think is gonna be really good, but he

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Speaker 3: tends to take too many sacks. Baker Mayfield is you know,

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Speaker 3: he bails out of the pocket. These guys are used

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Speaker 3: to going to Oklahoma and just sitting back there and

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Speaker 3: getting protected all day long. So Radler will have the

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Speaker 3: benefit of that. The running back position. It is interesting

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Speaker 3: because they did lose Tray Sermon already their senior Stevenson

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Speaker 3: I think suspended for the first few games. But does

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Speaker 3: it really matter in that offensive behind that offense line.

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Speaker 3: Obviously Oklahoma reloads, but they did lose a lot from

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Speaker 3: the running back position. The defense not only was it

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Speaker 3: more aggressive and more successful last year, and they did

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Speaker 3: lost a couple key pieces and then keep an eye

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Speaker 3: on the Ronnie Perkins suspension. I think it's being appealed.

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Speaker 3: But they bring twelve of their top fifteen tackles back

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Speaker 3: and last year they were one hundred and twenty first

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Speaker 3: in the nation in takeaways, and we know that that's

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Speaker 3: sort of lucky and tends to regrets. So if the

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Speaker 3: turnovers and some of the bounces go their way, defense

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Speaker 3: could be even better than last year. Oh and by

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Speaker 3: the way, I have to get my first special teams

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Speaker 3: mentioned in. Oklahoma has one of the best kickers in

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Speaker 3: college football. He made all sixty nine of his kicks

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Speaker 3: last year extra points and field goals. Nice. So the

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Speaker 3: question is if it's not Oklahoma's minus one twenty favorite

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Speaker 3: per MGM. And thanks to you guys, thanks to the listeners,

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Speaker 3: we now have this podcast sponsor. Is gonna be contests

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Speaker 3: coming with free stuff and no rap, fantasy contests and

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Speaker 3: things like that for trips, So we have appreciate you

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Speaker 3: the listeners and also at MGM, so we'll be quoting

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Speaker 3: their lines. But the question in the Big twelve is

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Speaker 3: if it's not Oklahoma, who might debate Oklahoma State Texas

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Speaker 3: are the first two teams that you would start with,

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Speaker 3: So let's start with Oklahoma State. When the first thing

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Speaker 3: you think, and this applies to actually Oklahoma State and Texas,

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Speaker 3: the first thing I think about is experience. These two

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Speaker 3: teams are very, very experienced. Oklahoma State is nineteen nah,

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Speaker 3: but I think it's like around eighteen returning starters. I'll

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Speaker 3: get to why that number actually came down. They obviously

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Speaker 3: have the three headed monster on offense. You have Sanders

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Speaker 3: Hubbard in the backfield while it's back at receiver. Stone

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Speaker 3: are also at receiver, so the offense is loaded. Now.

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Speaker 3: The offensive line was supposed to all come back, but

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Speaker 3: they did lose Bray and Farrell. They got kicked off

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Speaker 3: the team for violating team rules. So they added Sales

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Speaker 3: from West Virginia who was like I think it was

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Speaker 3: all conference, which will help with the left sides really solid.

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Speaker 3: They lost the potential starting right guard and Bray who

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Speaker 3: transferred to Tulsa and then Farrel ended up transferring to

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Speaker 3: North Texas. So there are some question off its line,

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Speaker 3: but the offense should be great. The defense last year

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Speaker 3: was so young and raw, and they started playing and

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Speaker 3: now they're very experienced and they have some really good

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Speaker 3: pieces at every level. They started playing really well at

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Speaker 3: the end of last year in particular, and they rose

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Speaker 3: i think from eightieth to thirty seventh in defensive efficiency

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Speaker 3: from twenty eighteen to twenty nineteen, and they bring almost

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Speaker 3: everybody back. This team is scary. The question is can

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Speaker 3: they beat Oklahoma or run the table and get to

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Speaker 3: the Big twelve championship? Gundy two and thirteen for cir Oklahoma,

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Speaker 3: what do you see with the folks?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, that's obviously a problem for Gundy that he can't

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Speaker 2: get over that bedlam home. But you know, I think

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Speaker 2: I'm going to go through everything analytically from the numbers

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Speaker 2: standpoint with Oklahoma State, and then I think I'm going

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Speaker 2: to end with a question to you and you can

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Speaker 2: think about it. You know, you and I talk about

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Speaker 2: teams that get punched in the gut and they've had

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Speaker 2: some offseason traumatic things happen, and then they're just done

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Speaker 2: the rest of the year. We think about Missouri losing

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Speaker 2: at Wyoming last year. Does Oklahoma State fit that bill

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Speaker 2: if they take a couple of tough luck losses at

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Speaker 2: the beginning? So I'll leave you with that, But let

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Speaker 2: me get into the actual analytics with the Pokes here,

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Speaker 2: because everything on paper, says, I should love these guys.

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Speaker 2: The road to the big twelve to two seed. We're

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Speaker 2: giving Oklahoma the one seed. The road to the big

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Speaker 2: twelve two seed runs through Stillwater. You couldn't have asked

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Speaker 2: for a better schedule than what the Poks have, especially

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Speaker 2: leading up to October twenty fourth, when they host Iowa State, Tulsa,

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Speaker 2: West Virginia, at Kansas at Baylor. You couldn't have got

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Speaker 2: a better start to this team. So you know, they

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Speaker 2: have the highest returning production marks on both sides of

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Speaker 2: the ball, seventy five percent of the offense eighty six

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Speaker 2: percent to the defense. Oklahoma State did finished tenth a

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Speaker 2: top ten defensive and defensive havoc. They finished nineteenth and

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Speaker 2: passes the so they're really good swatting the ball out

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Speaker 2: of the air. PFF took a swipe at Spencer Sanders

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Speaker 2: because you know, we're kind of in this boat that

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Speaker 2: we didn't think Spencer Sanders could do wrong.

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Speaker 4: He doesn't make mistakes.

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Speaker 2: But you know, when you lose Tyler Wallace, you know

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Speaker 2: you got to find somebody else to throw to. And

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Speaker 2: you know, Wallace coming back this year is just a

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Speaker 2: huge boost. But you know, PFF was they just went

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Speaker 2: to town on his accuracy. He had a thirty eight

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Speaker 2: percent completion rate on passes ten yards and over, which

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Speaker 2: says he can't throw it down the field. Sanders completion

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Speaker 2: percentage drops from sixty eight to forty seven percent when

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Speaker 2: he has pressure. He took seventeen sacks and nineteen pressure

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Speaker 2: drop backs.

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Speaker 4: That's a lot of sacks.

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Speaker 2: You know, maybe with someecurity in another year under his belt,

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Speaker 2: those numbers seemed to have some improvement. But one interesting

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Speaker 2: note is that Gundy was always leaving a guy back.

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Speaker 2: There was always six players in pass protection, and they

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Speaker 2: had an increasing rate of going up to seven defenders.

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Speaker 2: As the season went along and Tyler Wallace wasn't an

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Speaker 2: option anymore, they started leaving more guys in the box

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Speaker 2: to look after Spencer Sanders. So it's interesting to see

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Speaker 2: if that happens this year. You know, one thing you

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Speaker 2: got to do a shout out for is how important

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Speaker 2: Chewa Hubbard is to this team. When I started looking

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Speaker 2: at it third down targets, Chewba Hubbard had fifty eight

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Speaker 2: third down targets. The next closest to him was Dylan

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Speaker 2: Stoner at twenty one, So there are some fantastic options here. Offensively,

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Speaker 2: I think Wallace is a huge boost. It's going to

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Speaker 2: allow Sanders to have single coverage with other wide receivers.

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Speaker 2: But my question here is is will any of the

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Speaker 2: things that happened in the offseason deter these guys from

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Speaker 2: beating Iowa State and possibly playing Texas for the chance

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Speaker 2: to be the number two seed.

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Speaker 4: Yeah.

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Speaker 3: The one thing you also want to start thinking about

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Speaker 3: that I started looking to today. You hear news about

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Speaker 3: some of these teams. We're not gonna have fans the

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Speaker 3: first month, but then we're gonna start letting fans come in.

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Speaker 3: So when do you play these big road games? Is

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Speaker 3: that that could make a big difference. Now, Oklahoma State

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Speaker 3: has to go to Oklahoma, but we're assuming they lose

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Speaker 3: that game anyway, and then the key to getting the

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Speaker 3: two seed is you basically run the rest of the table. Well,

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Speaker 3: they host Texas, they host Iowa State, and at the end,

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Speaker 3: you know, at the end of the the road games

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Speaker 3: are at Kansas State and then at TCU, and TCU

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Speaker 3: has major questions. Maybe that's they need to win that game.

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Speaker 3: That's a tricky game at TCU, depending on how that

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Speaker 3: offense progresses, but they're at Kansas. Is their other road

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Speaker 3: game at Baylor, who's way down. I mean, the schedule

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Speaker 3: is very easy and like it could come down to

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Speaker 3: that at TCU game or Texas at home. And I

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Speaker 3: guess I should mention odds. Okahoma's minus one twenty favorite,

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Speaker 3: Texas plus one eighty per bet MGM. Oklahoma State's actually

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Speaker 3: seven to one plus seven hundred to win the Big twelve.

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Speaker 3: Iowa State is plus eleven hundred, TCUs twenty to one,

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Speaker 3: and then you have West Virginia, Baylor or Kansas State,

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Speaker 3: Texas Tech and Kansas bringing up the rear at one

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Speaker 3: hundred to one. The second team who's getting a lot

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Speaker 3: of love. And when I'm looking in you know, if

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Speaker 3: I was thinking about I don't think I'm betting many

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Speaker 3: win totals if at all this year, but I'm gonna

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Speaker 3: take some shots on the conference futures already have Florida.

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Speaker 3: I was thinking about Texas. Then I see this number

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Speaker 3: and I'm like, I thought Texas and Oklahoma State would

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Speaker 3: be neck and neck in that second tier behind Oklahoma.

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Speaker 3: And remember Oklahoma State coasts Texas on Halloween when you

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Speaker 3: probably could have fans and that game, you know, and

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Speaker 3: obviously Oklahoma and Texas play on the field, but that

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Speaker 3: game could determine who's the two seed, and it's at

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Speaker 3: Oklahoma State. So I think the value if you're going

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Speaker 3: to take a shot here, it's either Oklahoma State or

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Speaker 3: Iowa State if you believe in party and what Iowa

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Speaker 3: States do. But I think the values of Oklahoma State.

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Speaker 3: But let's talk about Texas.

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Speaker 4: The prairie skies are wide and hunt deep in the

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Speaker 4: hut of Texas.

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Speaker 3: Texas is an interesting team because it's a lot of experience.

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Speaker 3: There's a lot of experience. They were one hundred and

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Speaker 3: twenty first in returning production last year, and then they

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Speaker 3: dealt with all those injuries on top of that, so

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Speaker 3: they do bring a lot back. They lost, you know,

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Speaker 3: some town especially receiver to the NFL, but they're reloaded there.

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Speaker 3: Sam Allinger comes back one of the most experienced quarterbacks

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Speaker 3: in the country. One of the big questions is what's

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Speaker 3: gonna happen with the new coordinators. Right, shortened summer, shortened spring.

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Speaker 3: They did have some this happened before the Bowl game

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Speaker 3: last year, and their defense did look a lot better.

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Speaker 3: They're moving from a three to four to like a

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Speaker 3: four to three four four two five. I think a

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Speaker 3: lot of linebackers the weakest point of their defense. It

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Speaker 3: makes a lot of sense, uh to run a four

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Speaker 3: to two five, And the defense looked a lot better

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Speaker 3: in the scheme, which I think is a better fit.

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Speaker 3: They have all juniors starting in the secondary, led by Starts,

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Speaker 3: and the secredary is really talented if it can stay healthy.

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Speaker 4: You know.

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Speaker 3: The offense is intriguing, but it's a new offensive coordinator.

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Speaker 3: It's gonna be a new system. I think you're gonna

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Speaker 3: get more tempo, less eleven personnel. The offensive line is

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Speaker 3: pretty strong, you know, and they have ingram Back, a

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Speaker 3: quarterback in a five star b Jehan Robinson who could

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Speaker 3: be a stud. Look keep your eye on him. So

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Speaker 3: there's a lot of pieces here. But can they go

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Speaker 3: to Oklahoma State and beat Oklahoma State? Can they beat

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Speaker 3: Oklahoma They have to do one of those two things,

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Speaker 3: I think in order to get to the Big twelve

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Speaker 3: championship game. You know, with a lot of these changes

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Speaker 3: in this shortened season, with two new coordinators, at least

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Speaker 3: you have an experienced quarterback. Herman's not gonna be calling

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Speaker 3: plays anymore. You're going away from a blitz heavy Orlando

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Speaker 3: Dean to this new scheme. How's it all gonna work

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Speaker 3: in Texas? Yeah?

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Speaker 4: Well I have to watch myself.

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Speaker 2: I was so down on Texas last year. We caught

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Speaker 2: flames with our listeners for I mean, but it was

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Speaker 2: justified and we were right with what LSU you know,

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Speaker 2: was able to beat him and cover that spread in Austin.

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Speaker 2: But you know, listen, Tom Herman is one step away

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Speaker 2: from being fired, and this move to get some coordinators

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Speaker 2: in here on both sides of the ball is his

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Speaker 2: last dance because if it doesn't work, getting Mike Errisachen

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Speaker 2: former you know Ohio state guy, getting Chris Ashen, another

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Speaker 2: former Ohio state coordinator that was a Ruckers didn't work

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Speaker 2: out there. But he was also a defensive coordinator at Arkansas.

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Speaker 2: He was fantastic. He's got the right guys in place,

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Speaker 2: and now Herman kind of wants to have this relationship

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Speaker 2: with his offensive corder like what he had with Major

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Speaker 2: apple White down at Houston. He wants Major apple White

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Speaker 2: to call all the plays down in Houston, and then

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Speaker 2: he wants to be able to come in on third

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Speaker 2: and short and fourth and shorten make the call and

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Speaker 2: play daddy to the OC and kind of put his

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Speaker 2: fingers in there and then ope, it wasn't my fault

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Speaker 2: when it sucked, and whoa, I'll take the glory. I

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Speaker 2: helped make that call on third and one. But it's

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Speaker 2: just not going to work. I mean, Tom Herman's running

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Speaker 2: out of straws to pull out here. And it's funny

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Speaker 2: you mentioned like they dealt with injuries last year. Tom

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Speaker 2: Herman brings that on himself because he rides them so

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Speaker 2: hard during two days. That's a whole nother story. But

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Speaker 2: I mean, I mean, when you practice at Texas, it's

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Speaker 2: not an easy August and that's why they keep having injuries.

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Speaker 2: And I think this goes back to a story that

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Speaker 2: I just want to bring up from a recruit called

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Speaker 2: Tommy Brockermeyer. Tommy Brockermeier is the five star recruit offensive

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Speaker 2: lineman that was a shoe in to.

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Speaker 4: Be at Texas.

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Speaker 2: His dad was a Longhorn. He's in Fort Worth. He

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Speaker 2: was supposed to go to Texas. Last minute flip for Alabama.

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Speaker 2: Why do you flip for Alabama? He tells everybody because

433
00:19:54,960 --> 00:19:58,199
Speaker 2: of player development and getting people into the NFL. I

434
00:19:58,280 --> 00:20:00,720
Speaker 2: just didn't see it. At Texas and it's happening at Alabama.

435
00:20:01,160 --> 00:20:03,399
Speaker 2: This guy's dad played for Texas. I mean, I just

436
00:20:03,480 --> 00:20:08,000
Speaker 2: I don't think Herman is the guy. He's very emotional

437
00:20:08,000 --> 00:20:10,320
Speaker 2: when he's an underdog and can rise to the occasion,

438
00:20:10,359 --> 00:20:12,800
Speaker 2: and for some reason when he's playing Kansas up at Lawrence,

439
00:20:12,800 --> 00:20:14,840
Speaker 2: he just can't turn it on and get it done.

440
00:20:14,960 --> 00:20:16,800
Speaker 4: And this is not a characteristic.

441
00:20:16,280 --> 00:20:18,639
Speaker 2: It's going away. This is something that keeps on sticking

442
00:20:18,680 --> 00:20:21,600
Speaker 2: with him. So you know, get a past that. This

443
00:20:21,680 --> 00:20:26,560
Speaker 2: new offense I saw it called tempo wrinkle. We're going

444
00:20:26,600 --> 00:20:30,680
Speaker 2: away from a strict eleven formation and going to ten,

445
00:20:31,119 --> 00:20:34,880
Speaker 2: twenty and twelve, which is quite interesting. A twelve set

446
00:20:34,880 --> 00:20:36,479
Speaker 2: that we're going to go to in a tempo wrinkle

447
00:20:36,520 --> 00:20:40,480
Speaker 2: that doesn't make any sense. So I think we're searching

448
00:20:40,520 --> 00:20:42,520
Speaker 2: for an identity. I think we have a ton of

449
00:20:42,560 --> 00:20:45,399
Speaker 2: players back on defense. We're going to switch schemes around

450
00:20:45,840 --> 00:20:48,000
Speaker 2: Roshawn Johnson. You know, he's going to return back to

451
00:20:48,040 --> 00:20:49,920
Speaker 2: the running back corps after trying to be a quarterback,

452
00:20:49,920 --> 00:20:51,800
Speaker 2: as they're kind of the depth there at running back.

453
00:20:52,920 --> 00:20:56,200
Speaker 2: I think there's a lot of questions here and frankly,

454
00:20:56,280 --> 00:20:58,399
Speaker 2: plus one eighty not a good number to be buying

455
00:20:58,680 --> 00:21:01,120
Speaker 2: the Longhorns. It's more like plus three fifty and plus

456
00:21:01,160 --> 00:21:03,959
Speaker 2: four hundred. Forget me to buy them for the Big twelve.

457
00:21:04,800 --> 00:21:07,040
Speaker 2: You know, they generally have problems with Oklahoma State every

458
00:21:07,080 --> 00:21:08,560
Speaker 2: year beating I know they did last year, but before

459
00:21:08,600 --> 00:21:12,000
Speaker 2: that they had problems beating Oklahoma State for years. And listen,

460
00:21:12,160 --> 00:21:15,040
Speaker 2: this is this is Herman's last stand, and you can't

461
00:21:15,080 --> 00:21:18,720
Speaker 2: fire any more coordinators. And so you know, I am

462
00:21:18,720 --> 00:21:22,000
Speaker 2: not on the Longhorns. We'll see the first time there

463
00:21:22,200 --> 00:21:24,159
Speaker 2: when they're an underdog whether I'm going to be involved.

464
00:21:24,200 --> 00:21:26,879
Speaker 2: It could be Herman rally and the troops. But after that,

465
00:21:27,000 --> 00:21:29,760
Speaker 2: can he return and be a seven eight nine point

466
00:21:29,800 --> 00:21:34,719
Speaker 2: favorite and coach properly? And and and you know, we

467
00:21:34,800 --> 00:21:36,640
Speaker 2: just can't beat this underdog all the time. Why don't

468
00:21:36,640 --> 00:21:39,080
Speaker 2: you go coach at New mess or Rutgers. Let's see

469
00:21:39,119 --> 00:21:39,760
Speaker 2: how you do there.

470
00:21:41,080 --> 00:21:45,440
Speaker 3: Wow, harsh words for Herman. I will say the one

471
00:21:45,440 --> 00:21:48,440
Speaker 3: thing like, look, yeah, I would not advise investing a

472
00:21:48,440 --> 00:21:50,359
Speaker 3: plus one eighty I do. I think the defense is

473
00:21:50,359 --> 00:21:52,520
Speaker 3: going to be a lot better. And like Orlando this,

474
00:21:53,400 --> 00:21:56,359
Speaker 3: you know he also his corners played with more of

475
00:21:56,359 --> 00:21:59,240
Speaker 3: a cushion. Nash As a press guy. I just think

476
00:21:59,240 --> 00:22:02,480
Speaker 3: that the scheme fits their fits their roster a lot better,

477
00:22:02,480 --> 00:22:05,560
Speaker 3: so I'll be watching their defense early. But here's the thing.

478
00:22:05,960 --> 00:22:08,919
Speaker 3: They go October tenth, they go to Oklahoma. If they

479
00:22:08,920 --> 00:22:11,320
Speaker 3: don't win that game, they pretty much have to win

480
00:22:11,320 --> 00:22:14,240
Speaker 3: at Oklahoma State. They're going to be a dog in

481
00:22:14,280 --> 00:22:14,680
Speaker 3: that game.

482
00:22:14,760 --> 00:22:15,000
Speaker 4: Right.

483
00:22:15,200 --> 00:22:16,880
Speaker 3: If you really like Texas, bet them as a dog

484
00:22:16,960 --> 00:22:19,879
Speaker 3: that game. I mean, and instead of betting than to

485
00:22:19,880 --> 00:22:22,040
Speaker 3: win the Big Twelve or just wait until the Big

486
00:22:22,040 --> 00:22:24,600
Speaker 3: twelf gif they play Oklahoma the Big Twelve championship. If

487
00:22:24,640 --> 00:22:26,919
Speaker 3: you believe in Texas, to believe in the upside and

488
00:22:26,960 --> 00:22:28,600
Speaker 3: think that they could win the Big Twelve, the better

489
00:22:28,640 --> 00:22:31,119
Speaker 3: option might be a national title or to make the

490
00:22:31,280 --> 00:22:34,480
Speaker 3: College Football Playoff. Okay, enough Texas talk before you piss

491
00:22:34,520 --> 00:22:37,400
Speaker 3: off too many of our loyal Longhorn listeners.

492
00:22:37,600 --> 00:22:39,840
Speaker 1: I hope you're enjoying this great action network podcast. I

493
00:22:39,880 --> 00:22:41,520
Speaker 1: want to make sure you know about the locked On

494
00:22:41,680 --> 00:22:44,920
Speaker 1: podcast network. Locked On has a daily podcast on your

495
00:22:45,000 --> 00:22:45,560
Speaker 1: favorite team.

496
00:22:45,720 --> 00:22:47,960
Speaker 3: Welcome to you, Lockdown forty nine ers. You are locked

497
00:22:47,960 --> 00:22:48,920
Speaker 3: out of the Dallas marriage?

498
00:22:49,000 --> 00:22:49,720
Speaker 4: Can everybody still?

499
00:22:49,760 --> 00:22:50,080
Speaker 3: Locked on?

500
00:22:50,160 --> 00:22:50,960
Speaker 4: Lakers? Podcast?

501
00:22:51,160 --> 00:22:51,720
Speaker 3: Let's Go?

502
00:22:52,040 --> 00:22:54,960
Speaker 1: Locked On podcasts are hosted by the local experts who

503
00:22:55,000 --> 00:22:57,239
Speaker 1: know your team better than anyone and give you the

504
00:22:57,240 --> 00:23:00,160
Speaker 1: inside scoop. So go to your podcast app and search

505
00:23:00,240 --> 00:23:04,560
Speaker 1: locked on your favorite team. Subscribe to your locked on podcast.

506
00:23:07,400 --> 00:23:11,000
Speaker 3: Let's move on to Iowa State, who I mentioned has

507
00:23:11,080 --> 00:23:14,280
Speaker 3: the fourth best odds per MGM at eleven to one

508
00:23:14,320 --> 00:23:17,960
Speaker 3: that win the Big Twelve. Iowa State interesting tear. I

509
00:23:18,000 --> 00:23:20,960
Speaker 3: love Matt Campbell. Brock Party is back. I was hoping

510
00:23:21,040 --> 00:23:23,320
Speaker 3: that they if the Big Twelve, what if the Big

511
00:23:23,320 --> 00:23:26,560
Speaker 3: Twelve started in October, brought.

512
00:23:26,440 --> 00:23:29,119
Speaker 2: The season the season ended on Halloween, right, we have

513
00:23:30,240 --> 00:23:30,600
Speaker 2: to bet.

514
00:23:30,920 --> 00:23:33,399
Speaker 3: We would have to bet Iowa State win the national title.

515
00:23:33,920 --> 00:23:36,240
Speaker 3: But brock Party's back. They got a thousand yard back

516
00:23:36,359 --> 00:23:38,720
Speaker 3: and returning in Hall, they have one of the best

517
00:23:38,880 --> 00:23:41,879
Speaker 3: tight end groups in all of college football. The major

518
00:23:41,960 --> 00:23:44,199
Speaker 3: question is that the offensive line, and they lost one

519
00:23:44,280 --> 00:23:48,080
Speaker 3: hundred and forty six starts along the offensive line. So

520
00:23:48,160 --> 00:23:49,760
Speaker 3: but they do get a two thousand and eight starter back,

521
00:23:49,760 --> 00:23:51,959
Speaker 3: but it's still what's the offensive line going to look like?

522
00:23:52,440 --> 00:23:54,479
Speaker 3: That's gonna have a lot to say in what this

523
00:23:54,560 --> 00:23:57,000
Speaker 3: offense does. But I mean, Party still put up a

524
00:23:57,040 --> 00:23:59,440
Speaker 3: lot of numbers last year, even with injury set records.

525
00:24:00,080 --> 00:24:03,680
Speaker 3: Defense should be solid again, if not the best in

526
00:24:03,720 --> 00:24:06,320
Speaker 3: the Big Twelve. They're three to three five stacked. They

527
00:24:06,359 --> 00:24:09,359
Speaker 3: did lose Lima and Johnson in the Interier, but they

528
00:24:09,400 --> 00:24:12,640
Speaker 3: signed Blankson one of the best Juco defensive tackles in

529
00:24:12,840 --> 00:24:15,280
Speaker 3: college football. You should help fill that role. You could

530
00:24:15,359 --> 00:24:18,480
Speaker 3: argue they have the best defensive line because they also

531
00:24:18,520 --> 00:24:20,280
Speaker 3: get Bailey back to who was hurt last year, to

532
00:24:20,280 --> 00:24:22,760
Speaker 3: provide a passers. They had the best group of linebackers

533
00:24:23,320 --> 00:24:26,440
Speaker 3: and the best defensive back as a whole. You could

534
00:24:26,480 --> 00:24:28,000
Speaker 3: argue that. So I mean I think that they you

535
00:24:28,000 --> 00:24:30,600
Speaker 3: could say they're the best defense in the Big Twelve,

536
00:24:31,000 --> 00:24:33,920
Speaker 3: as they did last year. You know Greg Eysworth, I

537
00:24:33,920 --> 00:24:35,720
Speaker 3: love him at the star position. So the defense should

538
00:24:35,720 --> 00:24:38,560
Speaker 3: be solid again. Big questions on the offensive line. You

539
00:24:38,640 --> 00:24:40,240
Speaker 3: know last year you look at it, they had three

540
00:24:40,280 --> 00:24:43,280
Speaker 3: losses by a combined four points. Five of the six

541
00:24:43,320 --> 00:24:46,199
Speaker 3: were by ten or less ten or fewer points. So

542
00:24:46,200 --> 00:24:48,439
Speaker 3: you would think, all right, if a couple bounces go

543
00:24:48,520 --> 00:24:52,000
Speaker 3: their way, could this team get to the Big Twelve championships.

544
00:24:52,040 --> 00:24:53,040
Speaker 3: Thoughts on the Clones.

545
00:24:53,480 --> 00:24:55,440
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean I love Matt Campbell every year and

546
00:24:55,480 --> 00:24:57,720
Speaker 2: that three three five that they run is designed to

547
00:24:57,800 --> 00:24:59,480
Speaker 2: be run in the Big twelve.

548
00:24:59,280 --> 00:25:00,560
Speaker 4: Against some of these offenses.

549
00:25:00,640 --> 00:25:03,720
Speaker 2: So you know they returned seventy three percent of that defense.

550
00:25:03,760 --> 00:25:06,359
Speaker 2: It runs exclusively that three, three, five, and they were

551
00:25:06,359 --> 00:25:09,480
Speaker 2: twenty seventh in defensive havoc. So where my focus was.

552
00:25:09,520 --> 00:25:11,840
Speaker 2: You mentioned the offensive line. I was a little bit

553
00:25:11,840 --> 00:25:13,720
Speaker 2: worried about that myself, especially when I saw that there

554
00:25:13,840 --> 00:25:16,560
Speaker 2: was going to be two returning offensive linemen newel and

555
00:25:16,640 --> 00:25:19,040
Speaker 2: downing or returning. And then I got deeper into it

556
00:25:19,080 --> 00:25:21,400
Speaker 2: and I wasn't as much worried about it. They'd lose

557
00:25:21,440 --> 00:25:24,560
Speaker 2: three starters, but they've cascaded their depth very nicely. They

558
00:25:24,600 --> 00:25:27,600
Speaker 2: have three other offensive linemen that have double digit game experience,

559
00:25:27,680 --> 00:25:30,400
Speaker 2: so even though they weren't starters, you know they've they've

560
00:25:30,440 --> 00:25:32,960
Speaker 2: been in plenty of games and won't It won't be

561
00:25:33,000 --> 00:25:35,200
Speaker 2: too much for them to take on. The offensive line

562
00:25:35,240 --> 00:25:38,240
Speaker 2: is important because you have to keep Brock pretty clean.

563
00:25:38,720 --> 00:25:41,680
Speaker 2: I went deep into his numbers, no pressure, seventy five

564
00:25:41,720 --> 00:25:46,000
Speaker 2: percent completion with pressure, forty eight percent completion, eighteen sacks

565
00:25:46,000 --> 00:25:48,119
Speaker 2: on two hundred and fourteen dropbacks. The kid as a

566
00:25:48,160 --> 00:25:50,720
Speaker 2: Heisman Trophy winner if there were no hands in his

567
00:25:50,800 --> 00:25:53,600
Speaker 2: face and no one within his bubble, and that's the

568
00:25:53,680 --> 00:25:56,639
Speaker 2: problem is maybe just in October, people stop tackling and

569
00:25:56,680 --> 00:25:57,280
Speaker 2: get around him.

570
00:25:57,280 --> 00:25:57,679
Speaker 4: I don't know.

571
00:25:57,880 --> 00:26:00,480
Speaker 2: You know, brock Purty is fantastic when they're is nobody

572
00:26:00,520 --> 00:26:02,560
Speaker 2: around him, and the offensive line needs to work hard

573
00:26:02,560 --> 00:26:04,600
Speaker 2: to make sure that keeps happening. You know, the wide

574
00:26:04,640 --> 00:26:07,520
Speaker 2: receiving corps loses de Chante Jones. He had one hundred

575
00:26:07,520 --> 00:26:09,760
Speaker 2: and one targets total last year. He was twenty four

576
00:26:09,800 --> 00:26:11,800
Speaker 2: percent of all the third down targets. So now perty's

577
00:26:11,800 --> 00:26:14,280
Speaker 2: gonna have to find somebody else. When Michael Petaway's out

578
00:26:14,320 --> 00:26:16,720
Speaker 2: after he had eighty eight total targets last year, Colon

579
00:26:16,720 --> 00:26:18,679
Speaker 2: Milton and Hall are gonna have to step up. I mean,

580
00:26:18,680 --> 00:26:20,520
Speaker 2: they had a combined one hundred and sixty seven targets

581
00:26:20,600 --> 00:26:23,399
Speaker 2: last season, so hopefully they'll fill in nicely, you know.

582
00:26:23,400 --> 00:26:25,199
Speaker 2: And over on the defensive side of the ball, the

583
00:26:25,240 --> 00:26:28,080
Speaker 2: back seven gets the most heavily targeted players back from

584
00:26:28,119 --> 00:26:30,560
Speaker 2: twenty nineteen. So the guys that need to have the

585
00:26:30,600 --> 00:26:33,760
Speaker 2: experience and game experience, they're there for the defense. The

586
00:26:33,840 --> 00:26:36,320
Speaker 2: problem that I have with these guys not really a problem,

587
00:26:36,840 --> 00:26:39,360
Speaker 2: is that I just said on Oklahoma State the Big

588
00:26:39,400 --> 00:26:42,399
Speaker 2: twelve two seed runs through Stillwater. That's a problem for

589
00:26:42,440 --> 00:26:44,359
Speaker 2: Iowa State. They have to go to Oklahoma State on

590
00:26:44,400 --> 00:26:46,560
Speaker 2: October twenty fourth, they have to go to Texas a

591
00:26:46,600 --> 00:26:49,920
Speaker 2: couple days after Thanksgiving on November twenty eighth. More than

592
00:26:50,000 --> 00:26:52,119
Speaker 2: likely they're gonna have to sweep those two games to

593
00:26:52,119 --> 00:26:54,320
Speaker 2: get into the Big Twelve championship game. And that's reason

594
00:26:54,359 --> 00:26:57,040
Speaker 2: why bet MGM has these guys at eleven to one.

595
00:26:57,400 --> 00:26:59,080
Speaker 2: You know, in my opinion, before we attack the rest

596
00:26:59,080 --> 00:27:01,280
Speaker 2: of the conference, there's only four teams that can take

597
00:27:01,359 --> 00:27:03,600
Speaker 2: up these two slots, and that's the four teams we

598
00:27:03,680 --> 00:27:04,639
Speaker 2: just got done talking about.

599
00:27:04,720 --> 00:27:06,520
Speaker 4: So in my opinion, I don't think Texas is going

600
00:27:06,560 --> 00:27:07,080
Speaker 4: to make it.

601
00:27:07,119 --> 00:27:09,399
Speaker 2: So I'll split a unit a half unit on Oklahoma State,

602
00:27:09,680 --> 00:27:11,600
Speaker 2: and I'll split a half unit on Iowa State, and

603
00:27:11,640 --> 00:27:13,440
Speaker 2: we'll see how we you know, trying to hedge that out.

604
00:27:13,480 --> 00:27:16,240
Speaker 4: If Spencer Rattler is everything he's supposed.

605
00:27:15,840 --> 00:27:18,440
Speaker 3: To be, Yeah, and Iowa State goes to Oklahoma State

606
00:27:18,480 --> 00:27:22,840
Speaker 3: and to Texas all after October twenty something, so there

607
00:27:22,880 --> 00:27:25,560
Speaker 3: might be fans and you know, in games at Austin,

608
00:27:25,640 --> 00:27:27,600
Speaker 3: so it might make it tougher to even play in

609
00:27:27,640 --> 00:27:30,359
Speaker 3: both those venues. The one thing I'm watching with Iowa State.

610
00:27:30,520 --> 00:27:33,280
Speaker 3: I love their coaching. I'm a huge cameo guy, and

611
00:27:33,280 --> 00:27:35,480
Speaker 3: they came up with this, you know, this three three

612
00:27:35,520 --> 00:27:38,760
Speaker 3: five stack and to solve a lot of I guess

613
00:27:38,840 --> 00:27:40,880
Speaker 3: you shouldn't say saw but contain a lot of these

614
00:27:41,200 --> 00:27:43,359
Speaker 3: spread offenses in the Big twelve. A lot of other

615
00:27:43,440 --> 00:27:46,080
Speaker 3: teams are starting to copy it. They and it's not

616
00:27:46,200 --> 00:27:49,040
Speaker 3: just a purely simple three three five stacktte throw in

617
00:27:49,119 --> 00:27:51,320
Speaker 3: different looks. You might see more format fronts this year,

618
00:27:51,520 --> 00:27:54,600
Speaker 3: but does that lose its effectiveness as teams have seen

619
00:27:54,640 --> 00:27:56,359
Speaker 3: it more over the years and are copying it and

620
00:27:56,359 --> 00:27:59,040
Speaker 3: get the practice against it. It's just something to watch.

621
00:27:59,119 --> 00:28:01,880
Speaker 3: Defense was still ext last year. Just kind of thinking

622
00:28:02,080 --> 00:28:06,800
Speaker 3: out loud here. All right, let's move on to TCU

623
00:28:07,040 --> 00:28:10,720
Speaker 3: per bet MGM. They are twenty to one to win

624
00:28:10,800 --> 00:28:14,720
Speaker 3: the conference. Now, coming into the year, you say, okay,

625
00:28:15,080 --> 00:28:18,159
Speaker 3: you know I have Dougan coming back at quarterback. He

626
00:28:18,200 --> 00:28:20,719
Speaker 3: has a year under his belt, but it looks like

627
00:28:21,400 --> 00:28:23,560
Speaker 3: he's not gonna play. I don't know. It's still up

628
00:28:23,560 --> 00:28:26,159
Speaker 3: in the air, and if not, it's gonna be a

629
00:28:26,400 --> 00:28:29,119
Speaker 3: Georgia walk off. Matthew Downing, he was walked out at

630
00:28:29,119 --> 00:28:32,040
Speaker 3: Georgia behind fields and from transferred, and now it looks

631
00:28:32,040 --> 00:28:34,840
Speaker 3: like he's gonna start. They have major offensive questions. They

632
00:28:34,920 --> 00:28:37,480
Speaker 3: lost their three tackles, They lost their best in tier

633
00:28:37,560 --> 00:28:40,400
Speaker 3: offensive linemen. I mean they pretty much just have their

634
00:28:40,440 --> 00:28:42,200
Speaker 3: center back. I mean they lost a ton on the

635
00:28:42,200 --> 00:28:44,480
Speaker 3: offensive line. They lost their top two backs. They do

636
00:28:44,600 --> 00:28:47,160
Speaker 3: have some promising freshmen coming in. Keeping on Zachar Revans,

637
00:28:47,160 --> 00:28:49,800
Speaker 3: he's a five star, but rord out of campus. He's

638
00:28:49,800 --> 00:28:55,000
Speaker 3: still not ready yet. So this questions all over the offense.

639
00:28:55,600 --> 00:28:57,480
Speaker 3: They run the Gary Patterson, the four to two to

640
00:28:57,560 --> 00:29:00,800
Speaker 3: five defense. They have Wilet linebacker back, the lost Raager

641
00:29:01,160 --> 00:29:03,920
Speaker 3: Jalen Rager in first round, Draffic at wide receiver, but

642
00:29:03,960 --> 00:29:06,840
Speaker 3: the defensive Wilid linebacker. They have a really really really

643
00:29:06,840 --> 00:29:10,320
Speaker 3: good safety duo in Moreingam Washington. But they got to

644
00:29:10,320 --> 00:29:13,800
Speaker 3: find corners. That's the big quest you're in the Big twelve.

645
00:29:14,040 --> 00:29:16,480
Speaker 3: He lost Gladdy to the NFL. The lost so I

646
00:29:16,480 --> 00:29:18,960
Speaker 3: mean he lost black Clock in the interior two. So

647
00:29:19,000 --> 00:29:21,640
Speaker 3: the defense does have to replace some key starters. The

648
00:29:21,720 --> 00:29:26,040
Speaker 3: main questions with TCU a quarterback, the offensive line, and

649
00:29:26,240 --> 00:29:28,960
Speaker 3: at corner, and those are bad problems to have in

650
00:29:29,000 --> 00:29:31,360
Speaker 3: the Big Twelve. So one part of me said, hey,

651
00:29:31,360 --> 00:29:33,400
Speaker 3: they lost six games by a touchdown or less last year.

652
00:29:33,440 --> 00:29:36,600
Speaker 3: The red zone d was so unlucky for you know,

653
00:29:37,200 --> 00:29:39,400
Speaker 3: Gary Patterson defense. So I was like, I kind of

654
00:29:39,400 --> 00:29:41,200
Speaker 3: want to buy TCU this year. And then Dougan gets

655
00:29:41,280 --> 00:29:45,000
Speaker 3: hurt and all these questions in the Big Twelve makes

656
00:29:45,000 --> 00:29:47,040
Speaker 3: it tough for me thoughts on TCU.

657
00:29:47,600 --> 00:29:49,320
Speaker 2: Well, it was it's been brought to my attention by

658
00:29:49,360 --> 00:29:51,360
Speaker 2: three people that aren't invested in the college foot ball

659
00:29:51,360 --> 00:29:52,080
Speaker 2: as much as you would be.

660
00:29:52,200 --> 00:29:53,120
Speaker 4: That they were said that.

661
00:29:53,240 --> 00:29:55,640
Speaker 2: Last year was supposed to be TCU's year. Patterson has

662
00:29:55,640 --> 00:29:57,160
Speaker 2: a hot year, then he has a cold year, then

663
00:29:57,200 --> 00:29:59,240
Speaker 2: he has a hot year, and last year is supposed

664
00:29:59,240 --> 00:30:00,360
Speaker 2: to be the year and it didn't have. But it's

665
00:30:00,400 --> 00:30:02,400
Speaker 2: kind of like betting on the San Francisco Giants, only

666
00:30:02,440 --> 00:30:03,040
Speaker 2: in even years.

667
00:30:03,040 --> 00:30:04,560
Speaker 4: You know, you just expected to be there.

668
00:30:04,600 --> 00:30:07,040
Speaker 2: But I started digging into this run when Dougan got hurt,

669
00:30:07,080 --> 00:30:09,120
Speaker 2: and I don't know, I guess you and I are

670
00:30:09,160 --> 00:30:11,280
Speaker 2: maybe reading a couple of different articles. I think he's

671
00:30:11,280 --> 00:30:14,080
Speaker 2: done right. He's had a procedure done on his heart.

672
00:30:14,760 --> 00:30:17,000
Speaker 2: He says that you know, He's glad that he caught

673
00:30:17,040 --> 00:30:19,160
Speaker 2: it in time. Something about COVID spurred him to look

674
00:30:19,200 --> 00:30:21,600
Speaker 2: at what was going on medically with him. It's not

675
00:30:21,680 --> 00:30:24,680
Speaker 2: disclosed what happened, but it was a heart condition that

676
00:30:24,720 --> 00:30:25,680
Speaker 2: he had surgery on.

677
00:30:26,320 --> 00:30:28,000
Speaker 4: That's it, and so that his.

678
00:30:28,080 --> 00:30:29,400
Speaker 3: I think he's done for the air too. I just

679
00:30:29,440 --> 00:30:32,800
Speaker 3: haven't seen it. So yeah, that's my understanding that he's

680
00:30:32,840 --> 00:30:34,200
Speaker 3: done for the year. I just don't want to speak

681
00:30:34,240 --> 00:30:35,440
Speaker 3: in Yeah.

682
00:30:35,480 --> 00:30:37,880
Speaker 2: Of course we're not you and I aren't rot doctors

683
00:30:37,960 --> 00:30:41,440
Speaker 2: or anything. And the information we're getting is so high level,

684
00:30:41,480 --> 00:30:43,840
Speaker 2: like not specific, but we just need to assume that

685
00:30:43,880 --> 00:30:45,800
Speaker 2: Doug is probably not going to play. So I went

686
00:30:46,160 --> 00:30:49,440
Speaker 2: a little bit deeper into the roster. Well, first off,

687
00:30:49,480 --> 00:30:53,080
Speaker 2: I was shocked to find there are eight other quarterbacks

688
00:30:53,400 --> 00:30:56,760
Speaker 2: on this twenty twenty roster for TCU. Seven of them

689
00:30:57,000 --> 00:30:59,920
Speaker 2: have never played in a game. Matthew Downing does have

690
00:31:00,080 --> 00:31:03,080
Speaker 2: experience over four games ten pass attempts for Georgia's a

691
00:31:03,160 --> 00:31:06,480
Speaker 2: red shirt. I'm sorry, as a freshman twenty eighteen for Georgia,

692
00:31:06,840 --> 00:31:10,040
Speaker 2: we're talking stuck and I have as much experience as

693
00:31:10,200 --> 00:31:14,760
Speaker 2: seven quarterbacks on this TCU roster, So you know, listen,

694
00:31:14,920 --> 00:31:17,280
Speaker 2: their top twenty and success rate on defense last year.

695
00:31:17,840 --> 00:31:20,360
Speaker 2: The defense is the is the heart of this Patterson's

696
00:31:20,440 --> 00:31:23,560
Speaker 2: a defensive minded coach. For TCU to like win this year,

697
00:31:23,600 --> 00:31:26,400
Speaker 2: they'd have to For them to even eclipse this win

698
00:31:26,480 --> 00:31:29,120
Speaker 2: total I saw somewhere out there at six, they would

699
00:31:29,160 --> 00:31:32,840
Speaker 2: have to sweep a schedule and upset Texas Ou, Oklahoma State,

700
00:31:32,920 --> 00:31:35,880
Speaker 2: or Iowa State. I just I don't feel good about

701
00:31:35,880 --> 00:31:38,920
Speaker 2: the direction of TCU. You can't get anything done. I

702
00:31:38,960 --> 00:31:40,640
Speaker 2: don't care if you have sixty one percent returning on

703
00:31:40,680 --> 00:31:43,520
Speaker 2: your offense. You don't have a quarterback at all. And

704
00:31:43,600 --> 00:31:46,680
Speaker 2: until somebody steps up and plays quarterback, tc is not

705
00:31:46,720 --> 00:31:48,440
Speaker 2: going anywhere, and they're not gonna beat anybody, and they're

706
00:31:48,440 --> 00:31:50,440
Speaker 2: not gonna have these great underdog wins or covers like

707
00:31:50,480 --> 00:31:52,680
Speaker 2: they did against Ohio State a couple of years ago.

708
00:31:53,120 --> 00:31:54,400
Speaker 4: We haven't heard from tc a while.

709
00:31:54,240 --> 00:31:56,120
Speaker 2: And I think it's gonna keep being a while because

710
00:31:56,200 --> 00:31:57,880
Speaker 2: if you don't have a quarterback. It's been a struggle

711
00:31:57,960 --> 00:32:00,200
Speaker 2: since the cheese At Bowl two years ago, one of

712
00:32:00,240 --> 00:32:02,440
Speaker 2: the worst offensive games I've ever seen between them and

713
00:32:02,520 --> 00:32:06,200
Speaker 2: Cal there's been. The offense has been so putrid in

714
00:32:06,320 --> 00:32:08,520
Speaker 2: Fort Worth and Cowtown to give me an under on

715
00:32:08,520 --> 00:32:11,720
Speaker 2: their win total. Nothing in the conference here. Best of

716
00:32:11,800 --> 00:32:13,400
Speaker 2: luck to Zug and I hope he gets healthy because

717
00:32:13,440 --> 00:32:15,320
Speaker 2: he has he could be, you know, a star in

718
00:32:15,320 --> 00:32:15,920
Speaker 2: the Big twelve.

719
00:32:16,640 --> 00:32:18,240
Speaker 4: I'll pass on the horn Frogs this year.

720
00:32:18,560 --> 00:32:21,640
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, you have a completely raw quarterback situation

721
00:32:21,680 --> 00:32:23,480
Speaker 3: with the Big twelve. You've got to keep up with

722
00:32:23,560 --> 00:32:26,840
Speaker 3: these teams with questions. On the offensive line, lost your

723
00:32:26,840 --> 00:32:28,920
Speaker 3: top two backs, you lost Reagae wide receiver. Then on

724
00:32:28,960 --> 00:32:31,880
Speaker 3: the defensive side, your linebackers will be solid. Your your

725
00:32:31,920 --> 00:32:34,720
Speaker 3: safeties are really good, but they lack getting pressure. They

726
00:32:34,720 --> 00:32:37,000
Speaker 3: have they really struggled to get pressure last year and

727
00:32:37,000 --> 00:32:39,280
Speaker 3: now they have to find corners in the Big twelve.

728
00:32:39,360 --> 00:32:42,160
Speaker 3: It's all bad, all bad news, all right. So let's

729
00:32:42,160 --> 00:32:45,200
Speaker 3: move on to the team with the next besodds per

730
00:32:45,400 --> 00:32:49,560
Speaker 3: bet MGM. That's West Virginia twenty five to one. West

731
00:32:49,640 --> 00:32:52,160
Speaker 3: Virginia last year. You know it's the second year of

732
00:32:52,200 --> 00:32:54,360
Speaker 3: your boy, the Neil Brown, so you would think that

733
00:32:54,400 --> 00:32:57,200
Speaker 3: there should be some improvement there. Jared Joach comes back

734
00:32:57,200 --> 00:32:59,400
Speaker 3: at quarterback. They have a good wide receiver group led

735
00:32:59,400 --> 00:33:03,320
Speaker 3: by Sam James Games. The question here, by the way, again,

736
00:33:03,600 --> 00:33:05,480
Speaker 3: they had in the Big Twelve. On the defensive side,

737
00:33:05,640 --> 00:33:08,760
Speaker 3: they lost Bailey in Washington. They're two lockdown corners. They

738
00:33:08,760 --> 00:33:12,080
Speaker 3: gotta find corners. That's not great in the Big Twelve.

739
00:33:12,560 --> 00:33:14,840
Speaker 3: I know their defensive line is good with the Stills brothers,

740
00:33:14,880 --> 00:33:17,640
Speaker 3: but the biggest question with West Virginia and if they

741
00:33:17,640 --> 00:33:21,720
Speaker 3: can find corners, their defense could be decent. Their defensive

742
00:33:21,760 --> 00:33:25,080
Speaker 3: front as pieces the offense, and in the Big Twelve

743
00:33:25,120 --> 00:33:29,040
Speaker 3: you need offense. The offensive line has to get better.

744
00:33:29,560 --> 00:33:31,600
Speaker 3: I mean, this was arguably the worst all They had

745
00:33:31,640 --> 00:33:34,160
Speaker 3: no running game at all, none, zero and I can't

746
00:33:34,160 --> 00:33:35,760
Speaker 3: even play in the backs. I think there were one

747
00:33:35,800 --> 00:33:39,440
Speaker 3: hundred and thirtieth in adjusted lineyards. I mean, they could

748
00:33:39,440 --> 00:33:42,000
Speaker 3: have got no push. And the craziest thing is they

749
00:33:42,160 --> 00:33:46,400
Speaker 3: lost mckivitz, their left tackle, who was co Offensive Lineman

750
00:33:46,400 --> 00:33:48,240
Speaker 3: of the Year in the Big Twelve. So this is

751
00:33:48,280 --> 00:33:51,640
Speaker 3: the worst offensive line in the country. But they had

752
00:33:51,640 --> 00:33:53,600
Speaker 3: a left tackle. It was co Offensive Lineman of the

753
00:33:53,640 --> 00:33:55,720
Speaker 3: Year the Big Twelve. They lost him. So I mean,

754
00:33:55,800 --> 00:33:59,760
Speaker 3: until this offensive line can do anything, they're you know,

755
00:33:59,800 --> 00:34:03,320
Speaker 3: they're are a step below the elite tier in the

756
00:34:03,320 --> 00:34:07,200
Speaker 3: Big Twelve. And if I'm very curious in the corner situation,

757
00:34:07,280 --> 00:34:09,399
Speaker 3: as well. What do you see with that, your boy

758
00:34:09,480 --> 00:34:11,440
Speaker 3: Neil Brown and your two down in Morgantown.

759
00:34:11,920 --> 00:34:14,200
Speaker 4: I love Neil Brown. I mean there's no secret about that.

760
00:34:14,200 --> 00:34:15,920
Speaker 2: We're betting on him for a long time in the

761
00:34:15,920 --> 00:34:17,799
Speaker 2: Sun Belt, and you know, glad he got the chance

762
00:34:17,800 --> 00:34:19,560
Speaker 2: to come up to the Big twelve. But this is

763
00:34:19,600 --> 00:34:23,000
Speaker 2: not a good situation from a scheduling perspective. They've only

764
00:34:23,040 --> 00:34:24,440
Speaker 2: got four road trips. That's a good thing.

765
00:34:24,640 --> 00:34:25,799
Speaker 4: They get the seller the Big Twelve.

766
00:34:25,840 --> 00:34:28,400
Speaker 2: At home, they get Baylor, Kansas, Kansas State TCU, so

767
00:34:28,440 --> 00:34:30,960
Speaker 2: there is some room there to get some home, you know,

768
00:34:31,040 --> 00:34:32,879
Speaker 2: home victories for they got to travel all the way

769
00:34:32,880 --> 00:34:35,200
Speaker 2: to Morgantown. They really it comes down to can you

770
00:34:35,239 --> 00:34:38,840
Speaker 2: beat TCU in Texas Tech to get around you know what.

771
00:34:39,239 --> 00:34:41,399
Speaker 2: I think the expected win total was was four before

772
00:34:41,440 --> 00:34:44,360
Speaker 2: everything got shut down, So you know, really the handicap

773
00:34:44,520 --> 00:34:46,960
Speaker 2: begins and ends at the offensive line. If you look

774
00:34:47,000 --> 00:34:49,040
Speaker 2: more into this, like you mentioned with the line yards,

775
00:34:49,239 --> 00:34:51,640
Speaker 2: they're one hundred and twenty second rank and offensive success

776
00:34:51,719 --> 00:34:55,319
Speaker 2: rate last year. That's terrible. That's a you massish one

777
00:34:55,400 --> 00:34:57,839
Speaker 2: hundred and twenty third and sack rate on the offensive side.

778
00:34:57,880 --> 00:35:00,799
Speaker 2: Then he's not being protected. Whatsoever quarterbacks is gonna get

779
00:35:00,800 --> 00:35:03,839
Speaker 2: protected with that one hundred and thirtieth and rushing success rate.

780
00:35:04,239 --> 00:35:07,960
Speaker 2: Last you made you mass, not dead last in something.

781
00:35:08,000 --> 00:35:10,319
Speaker 2: That's how bad West Virginia was at rushing success rate.

782
00:35:10,760 --> 00:35:14,560
Speaker 2: Seventeen offensive linemen are on this twenty twenty roster, just

783
00:35:14,640 --> 00:35:18,640
Speaker 2: three year seniors. Those three seniors have combined thirty seven starts.

784
00:35:18,920 --> 00:35:19,640
Speaker 4: When you get.

785
00:35:19,480 --> 00:35:24,080
Speaker 2: Past those three, there's fourteen other linemen here, nothing to contribute.

786
00:35:24,200 --> 00:35:28,680
Speaker 2: It's young, it's green. I think Neil Brown we had

787
00:35:28,719 --> 00:35:31,400
Speaker 2: a what a year zero? I think we're in year

788
00:35:31,520 --> 00:35:33,839
Speaker 2: zero point one. I don't think we're in year one yet.

789
00:35:34,000 --> 00:35:36,200
Speaker 2: Let's give Neil Brown another pass in this COVID era

790
00:35:37,200 --> 00:35:39,080
Speaker 2: and come visit the Mountaineers next year.

791
00:35:39,920 --> 00:35:43,520
Speaker 3: I completely agree with you there with West Virginia. I

792
00:35:43,520 --> 00:35:45,480
Speaker 3: think they're heading in the right direction, but they have

793
00:35:45,920 --> 00:35:49,560
Speaker 3: too many holes this year. Key positions to watch early

794
00:35:49,600 --> 00:35:55,080
Speaker 3: on offensive line and cornerback. For me, the Bowl eligibility

795
00:35:55,080 --> 00:35:57,359
Speaker 3: this year? What is like? What is Bowl eligibility this year?

796
00:35:57,360 --> 00:35:59,080
Speaker 3: You win four games? Three games?

797
00:35:59,760 --> 00:36:01,440
Speaker 4: Don't I think anybody can make a Bowl.

798
00:36:02,160 --> 00:36:04,279
Speaker 3: There's too many isn't there too many teams? For there's

799
00:36:04,280 --> 00:36:05,560
Speaker 3: too many bowls for teams.

800
00:36:05,680 --> 00:36:08,359
Speaker 2: There's not enough There's not enough days for bowls because

801
00:36:08,400 --> 00:36:11,720
Speaker 2: these championship games are like December nineteenth and then January

802
00:36:11,840 --> 00:36:12,560
Speaker 2: versus college.

803
00:36:12,320 --> 00:36:13,880
Speaker 4: Football playoff wh Are you gonna fit them all in

804
00:36:13,920 --> 00:36:14,600
Speaker 4: on Christmas Day?

805
00:36:14,600 --> 00:36:18,239
Speaker 2: You're gonna have eighteen Hawaii bowls, which God, I hope

806
00:36:18,239 --> 00:36:19,520
Speaker 2: we don't have eighteen Hawaii bowls.

807
00:36:19,600 --> 00:36:20,920
Speaker 4: Get some pileon cameras.

808
00:36:21,280 --> 00:36:23,520
Speaker 3: All right, Yo, that's a conversation for another day. The

809
00:36:23,520 --> 00:36:26,080
Speaker 3: bowl situation is MESSI We will talk about that later,

810
00:36:26,080 --> 00:36:28,799
Speaker 3: but let's continue on to the Big Twelve. The team

811
00:36:28,840 --> 00:36:32,719
Speaker 3: with the next beside is Baylor thirty five to one.

812
00:36:33,239 --> 00:36:36,000
Speaker 3: This is a team that was in contention for a

813
00:36:36,000 --> 00:36:39,359
Speaker 3: college football playoff spot late last year. But I mean,

814
00:36:39,440 --> 00:36:41,960
Speaker 3: you want to talk about changes, and this is the

815
00:36:42,000 --> 00:36:45,840
Speaker 3: year not to have changes. That's Baylor. Yes, Brewer comes

816
00:36:45,840 --> 00:36:48,920
Speaker 3: back at quarterback. But this team, I mean, they have

817
00:36:48,960 --> 00:36:51,879
Speaker 3: two new coordinators. They're gonna have two new schemes. They're

818
00:36:51,880 --> 00:36:53,720
Speaker 3: the only team the Big Twelve with the new head coach.

819
00:36:54,160 --> 00:36:57,120
Speaker 3: You know, they lost lynch, Arnold and Roy. They lost

820
00:36:57,120 --> 00:36:59,080
Speaker 3: three key players in the defense from all three levels.

821
00:36:59,200 --> 00:37:02,839
Speaker 3: The defense could still be okay, but it's a rebuilt unit.

822
00:37:03,000 --> 00:37:04,759
Speaker 3: I mean, and it's under a Randa. It's gonna be

823
00:37:04,800 --> 00:37:07,919
Speaker 3: a new scheme. I mean, everything is different with this team.

824
00:37:07,920 --> 00:37:11,080
Speaker 3: Decides quarterback. They lost a ton. I don't think they

825
00:37:11,120 --> 00:37:14,000
Speaker 3: have any prayer of winning the Big twelve. Don't consider

826
00:37:14,080 --> 00:37:16,080
Speaker 3: that thirty five to one, which might look juicy thinking of, hey,

827
00:37:16,120 --> 00:37:19,480
Speaker 3: look Baylor last year. This is a bad year for

828
00:37:19,520 --> 00:37:21,560
Speaker 3: Baylor to be going through all this change. Thoughts on

829
00:37:21,600 --> 00:37:22,160
Speaker 3: the Bears.

830
00:37:22,680 --> 00:37:24,319
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think there is a little bit of a

831
00:37:24,320 --> 00:37:26,880
Speaker 2: betting angle on them, not a season long betting angle.

832
00:37:26,920 --> 00:37:29,640
Speaker 2: But let's talk about random coming in. First, Aranda comes

833
00:37:29,680 --> 00:37:32,120
Speaker 2: in and inherits, you know, just a mass departure. I

834
00:37:32,160 --> 00:37:33,879
Speaker 2: f A State at LSU, they'd had the same thing,

835
00:37:33,880 --> 00:37:36,040
Speaker 2: but he comes into Baylor and there's just been mass

836
00:37:36,080 --> 00:37:38,360
Speaker 2: departure on both sides of the line. And you know,

837
00:37:38,400 --> 00:37:40,960
Speaker 2: their schedule is tough at Texas out o you at

838
00:37:41,000 --> 00:37:44,240
Speaker 2: Iowa State that's tough, should be an underdog to TCU

839
00:37:44,280 --> 00:37:46,839
Speaker 2: in Oklahoma State. So half they're you know they're gonna

840
00:37:46,840 --> 00:37:49,719
Speaker 2: be they're climbing, you know, from the bottom rung. And

841
00:37:49,800 --> 00:37:52,440
Speaker 2: so I think what you would think if you're kind

842
00:37:52,480 --> 00:37:55,120
Speaker 2: of a high level guy and don't get digged, you know,

843
00:37:55,160 --> 00:37:58,120
Speaker 2: deep into the details. You would think, well, Matt Rule

844
00:37:58,160 --> 00:38:00,400
Speaker 2: and Phil Snow ran a three three five for Baylor,

845
00:38:00,440 --> 00:38:02,520
Speaker 2: and so these players should automatically know what Irand is

846
00:38:02,520 --> 00:38:04,920
Speaker 2: gonna do. Because a Rando runs a three three five. True,

847
00:38:05,120 --> 00:38:07,759
Speaker 2: Aranda runs a three three five, but he blitzes out

848
00:38:07,800 --> 00:38:09,480
Speaker 2: of a one to three seven, a one four six,

849
00:38:09,520 --> 00:38:12,680
Speaker 2: a three four four. Aranda's got pieces moving around the

850
00:38:12,760 --> 00:38:15,719
Speaker 2: chess board at all. I mean, any time the snapcout's

851
00:38:15,760 --> 00:38:18,600
Speaker 2: going on, he's hiding what he's about to do. And

852
00:38:18,760 --> 00:38:20,359
Speaker 2: you know, it's a completely different thing than what Phil

853
00:38:20,360 --> 00:38:21,800
Speaker 2: Snow was doing with the Baylor defense.

854
00:38:21,840 --> 00:38:24,000
Speaker 3: So a lot of stimulated pressure and Beryl Asher just

855
00:38:24,040 --> 00:38:25,960
Speaker 3: wanted to keep everything in front of them, and yeah,

856
00:38:26,120 --> 00:38:27,360
Speaker 3: Vanilla on the back end.

857
00:38:27,480 --> 00:38:29,160
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's not going to be an easy change over

858
00:38:29,200 --> 00:38:31,239
Speaker 2: whatsoever you may hear. The formation is still a three

859
00:38:31,280 --> 00:38:33,360
Speaker 2: three five. It's not the same when it comes to

860
00:38:33,800 --> 00:38:36,560
Speaker 2: disguising blitzes and things like that. So Baylor just thirty

861
00:38:36,560 --> 00:38:38,840
Speaker 2: two percent returning production on the defensive side for a

862
00:38:38,840 --> 00:38:39,839
Speaker 2: really complex scheme.

863
00:38:39,920 --> 00:38:41,000
Speaker 4: That gives me a little worry.

864
00:38:41,280 --> 00:38:44,240
Speaker 2: But if there's a betting angle with this team, Larry

865
00:38:44,239 --> 00:38:48,000
Speaker 2: Fedora steps in as the offensive coordinator. You say, Larry Fedora,

866
00:38:48,000 --> 00:38:50,480
Speaker 2: Where do I remember that name? You remember that name

867
00:38:50,640 --> 00:38:53,799
Speaker 2: because if you were following the Action Network podcast in

868
00:38:53,880 --> 00:38:58,640
Speaker 2: twenty seventeen Rip Jitted Juice and then the twenty eighteen

869
00:38:58,680 --> 00:39:01,480
Speaker 2: Action Never podcast, he was the head coach at UNC

870
00:39:01,640 --> 00:39:06,080
Speaker 2: at North Carolina, and we were betting second half overs

871
00:39:06,200 --> 00:39:10,160
Speaker 2: on Larry Fedora's North Carolina offenses because their plays per

872
00:39:10,239 --> 00:39:13,400
Speaker 2: game were just off the chart in the second half,

873
00:39:13,480 --> 00:39:17,440
Speaker 2: and all of a sudden, Fedora was coaching. He had

874
00:39:17,480 --> 00:39:20,160
Speaker 2: top twenty ISO PPP teams like two years in a row.

875
00:39:20,200 --> 00:39:22,360
Speaker 2: It was just it was one of the most unbelievable

876
00:39:22,400 --> 00:39:25,080
Speaker 2: trends we ever saw. Larry Fedora somehow learned how to

877
00:39:25,120 --> 00:39:27,279
Speaker 2: score points really fast. In his last two years in

878
00:39:27,320 --> 00:39:30,359
Speaker 2: North Carolina defense was an absolute disaster, which is why

879
00:39:30,440 --> 00:39:32,840
Speaker 2: he got fired or was not no longer with the program.

880
00:39:32,840 --> 00:39:35,759
Speaker 2: But he steps in after a six year run with

881
00:39:35,800 --> 00:39:38,719
Speaker 2: North Carolina, increased his plays per game up till his

882
00:39:38,760 --> 00:39:41,680
Speaker 2: twenty eighteen departure. Same number of plays that are rand

883
00:39:41,680 --> 00:39:42,160
Speaker 2: to dealt with.

884
00:39:42,120 --> 00:39:43,439
Speaker 4: At LSU last year.

885
00:39:43,520 --> 00:39:45,919
Speaker 2: So you know, with their whole revamp of what Joe

886
00:39:45,920 --> 00:39:48,520
Speaker 2: Burrow ran last year, Randa had to deal with the

887
00:39:48,520 --> 00:39:50,319
Speaker 2: tempo and the pace that LSU was going to run.

888
00:39:50,320 --> 00:39:51,600
Speaker 2: So that was a big change for Random, but he

889
00:39:51,640 --> 00:39:53,960
Speaker 2: should be he should be accustomed to it after last

890
00:39:54,040 --> 00:39:56,920
Speaker 2: year at LSU. So Fedora averaged a success rate of

891
00:39:56,960 --> 00:39:59,239
Speaker 2: eightieth at UNC over the years over a span of

892
00:39:59,320 --> 00:40:01,560
Speaker 2: years there at the end, and his isopp was in

893
00:40:01,600 --> 00:40:03,480
Speaker 2: the top twenty. So what you can expect from the

894
00:40:03,480 --> 00:40:05,759
Speaker 2: Baylor offense, Charlie Brewer is gonna be explosive. He may

895
00:40:05,800 --> 00:40:07,799
Speaker 2: not move the chains. They may not have a great

896
00:40:07,800 --> 00:40:10,120
Speaker 2: success rate, but I think they're gonna score.

897
00:40:10,200 --> 00:40:11,240
Speaker 4: They're gonna have really big.

898
00:40:11,120 --> 00:40:12,680
Speaker 2: Plays, and if they can expose it on some of

899
00:40:12,680 --> 00:40:14,680
Speaker 2: the bottom tier teams here, I think you're gonna get

900
00:40:14,680 --> 00:40:16,680
Speaker 2: a lot of overs. So expect me to look to

901
00:40:16,680 --> 00:40:19,480
Speaker 2: play second half overs and maybe overs in general. With

902
00:40:19,520 --> 00:40:21,839
Speaker 2: Larry Fedora's an offensive cordner, I'll definitely be watching Charlie

903
00:40:21,840 --> 00:40:22,640
Speaker 2: Brewer to see what they do.

904
00:40:22,960 --> 00:40:26,000
Speaker 3: All right, let's move on now to Kansas State. Per

905
00:40:26,160 --> 00:40:29,440
Speaker 3: bet MGM, they are forty to one to win the conference.

906
00:40:30,200 --> 00:40:34,520
Speaker 3: Kansas State. Look, it is year two climbing era. It's

907
00:40:34,719 --> 00:40:37,480
Speaker 3: you would expect some growth there, But I mean the

908
00:40:37,560 --> 00:40:40,600
Speaker 3: system didn't change that much from what it was. It

909
00:40:40,600 --> 00:40:43,560
Speaker 3: was a very run heavy offense. Skylar Thompson, the experienced

910
00:40:43,600 --> 00:40:46,480
Speaker 3: quarterback dual threat, does come back, but they lost their

911
00:40:46,480 --> 00:40:49,919
Speaker 3: top two backs, they lost their leading receiver, and they

912
00:40:50,000 --> 00:40:56,399
Speaker 3: lost almost everything along their offensive line, which was the

913
00:40:57,360 --> 00:40:59,279
Speaker 3: one of the strengths of the team. So what is

914
00:40:59,320 --> 00:41:02,680
Speaker 3: this offense going to look like? Justin Hughes returns at linebacker.

915
00:41:02,760 --> 00:41:05,080
Speaker 3: That should help the defense, but the front is raw.

916
00:41:05,840 --> 00:41:09,279
Speaker 3: What they have. I think they have two returning starters

917
00:41:09,520 --> 00:41:12,319
Speaker 3: on offense. I think that's all they have. I mean,

918
00:41:12,600 --> 00:41:15,960
Speaker 3: leading receiver, both backs, the entire offensive line is gone.

919
00:41:16,400 --> 00:41:20,240
Speaker 3: I mean, this is a completely rebuilt offense. One interesting

920
00:41:20,280 --> 00:41:22,040
Speaker 3: note with kids think they were They led the nation

921
00:41:22,160 --> 00:41:24,719
Speaker 3: in red zone scoring last year and they were dead

922
00:41:24,760 --> 00:41:27,360
Speaker 3: last in red zone d which one of that regresses

923
00:41:27,400 --> 00:41:28,960
Speaker 3: the most. Will be interesting to see. But what are

924
00:41:29,000 --> 00:41:32,560
Speaker 3: your thoughts on the Wildcats down in Manhattan.

925
00:41:32,920 --> 00:41:34,359
Speaker 4: I wanted to love you Kansas State.

926
00:41:34,400 --> 00:41:37,160
Speaker 2: I mean you look at a victory over Oklahoma like

927
00:41:37,200 --> 00:41:38,960
Speaker 2: they had last year and you think, well, that's a

928
00:41:39,000 --> 00:41:41,440
Speaker 2: young team with a young coach that maybe can have

929
00:41:41,480 --> 00:41:43,920
Speaker 2: some building blocks and year two kind of build on

930
00:41:43,960 --> 00:41:45,680
Speaker 2: that and then I started getting a little deeper into

931
00:41:45,680 --> 00:41:47,759
Speaker 2: the team. I think maybe it's going to be another

932
00:41:47,840 --> 00:41:50,240
Speaker 2: year before I'm buying in on Kansas State. Sixty percent

933
00:41:50,280 --> 00:41:52,680
Speaker 2: returning production on each side of the ball, that's okay.

934
00:41:52,719 --> 00:41:55,960
Speaker 2: It's average ranked fifty fourth and fifty fifth, and success

935
00:41:56,000 --> 00:41:57,480
Speaker 2: rate on both sides of the ball last year, it's

936
00:41:57,480 --> 00:42:00,200
Speaker 2: pretty good for a year one coach Skyler Thompson was

937
00:42:00,239 --> 00:42:02,960
Speaker 2: an explosive quarterback. Case date was thirty second and passing

938
00:42:03,000 --> 00:42:06,800
Speaker 2: epa offensive line, they just couldn't control the line of scrimmage.

939
00:42:06,840 --> 00:42:09,280
Speaker 2: They were one hundred and ninth and stuff rate that's terrible.

940
00:42:09,480 --> 00:42:12,200
Speaker 2: They were eighty fourth and sacharate and protecting Skyler Thompsons.

941
00:42:12,400 --> 00:42:15,120
Speaker 2: Skyler Thompson's explosive quarterback because he would get outside the

942
00:42:15,120 --> 00:42:15,640
Speaker 2: pocket and have.

943
00:42:15,560 --> 00:42:16,560
Speaker 4: To do everything on his own.

944
00:42:16,960 --> 00:42:19,600
Speaker 2: So you know, you should expect more slow play out

945
00:42:19,600 --> 00:42:20,279
Speaker 2: of Kansas State.

946
00:42:20,360 --> 00:42:20,799
Speaker 4: Last year.

947
00:42:21,120 --> 00:42:23,560
Speaker 2: They were one hundred and twenty seventh than seconds per

948
00:42:23,640 --> 00:42:27,920
Speaker 2: play they liked to yeah, just a snail. So you know,

949
00:42:29,160 --> 00:42:31,520
Speaker 2: then I got into the offensive lineman and here we

950
00:42:31,560 --> 00:42:33,520
Speaker 2: go with another team like West Virginia.

951
00:42:33,719 --> 00:42:35,600
Speaker 3: Aren't they replacing their entire offensive line?

952
00:42:35,719 --> 00:42:35,919
Speaker 4: Yeah?

953
00:42:36,000 --> 00:42:38,440
Speaker 3: No struggle last year, but like that's that's they need

954
00:42:38,480 --> 00:42:40,959
Speaker 3: their offensive line, so maybe it can't get any worse,

955
00:42:41,000 --> 00:42:42,520
Speaker 3: but I mean they lose everything.

956
00:42:43,040 --> 00:42:46,759
Speaker 2: Eighteen offensive linemen on the twenty twenty roster. Only two

957
00:42:46,760 --> 00:42:49,960
Speaker 2: players have started experience in Josh Ravis and Logan Long.

958
00:42:50,000 --> 00:42:53,279
Speaker 2: They have thirty eight appearances, not start its appearances and

959
00:42:53,400 --> 00:42:56,200
Speaker 2: just three starts. So you hear thirty eight appearances for

960
00:42:56,280 --> 00:42:59,960
Speaker 2: Josh Ravis and Logan Long only three starts. And then

961
00:43:00,000 --> 00:43:03,319
Speaker 2: and there's sixteen other offensive linemen that have no experience

962
00:43:03,880 --> 00:43:07,080
Speaker 2: on this team. So forty to one is the proper

963
00:43:07,200 --> 00:43:10,040
Speaker 2: number for these guys. I'll see you guys next year

964
00:43:10,200 --> 00:43:13,160
Speaker 2: when you come back with I don't know, fifteen returning

965
00:43:13,200 --> 00:43:15,879
Speaker 2: starters on the offensive line, because everybody's gonna get time here.

966
00:43:17,080 --> 00:43:19,319
Speaker 3: Yep. All right, Let's move on to another coach in

967
00:43:19,440 --> 00:43:23,160
Speaker 3: year two and Matt Wells down in Lubbock at Texas Tech.

968
00:43:23,920 --> 00:43:27,279
Speaker 3: He's got Bowman coming back presumably healthy at quarterback and

969
00:43:27,360 --> 00:43:30,680
Speaker 3: Thompson at running back. That's a good sophomore duo to

970
00:43:30,760 --> 00:43:33,080
Speaker 3: build on. Would really jump out of me about Texas

971
00:43:33,120 --> 00:43:35,359
Speaker 3: Tech is last ye they're zero to four and one

972
00:43:35,400 --> 00:43:37,480
Speaker 3: possession games. They were one of three teams in the

973
00:43:37,480 --> 00:43:40,640
Speaker 3: country to go winless in one possession games with four

974
00:43:40,719 --> 00:43:43,200
Speaker 3: or more, so you would think, hey, they were close

975
00:43:43,239 --> 00:43:45,560
Speaker 3: and a lot of these games the season really could

976
00:43:45,560 --> 00:43:48,680
Speaker 3: have turned with a couple close wins instead of close losses.

977
00:43:49,080 --> 00:43:51,880
Speaker 3: The defense did lose Brooks in Washington to the NFL

978
00:43:51,960 --> 00:43:56,600
Speaker 3: drafts along their front seven. But I don't know. I

979
00:43:56,600 --> 00:43:58,759
Speaker 3: think this team is headed in the right direction. They

980
00:43:58,760 --> 00:44:02,480
Speaker 3: had all those close losses. I despite the quarterback position

981
00:44:02,560 --> 00:44:07,560
Speaker 3: being in flux, their secondary needs to get better. I

982
00:44:07,560 --> 00:44:10,840
Speaker 3: think they were dead last in the nation and explosive

983
00:44:10,880 --> 00:44:15,600
Speaker 3: passing allowed that needs to get better. In the Big twelve, specifically,

984
00:44:16,080 --> 00:44:19,960
Speaker 3: eighty to one seemed a little high to me. I

985
00:44:20,000 --> 00:44:24,279
Speaker 3: couldn't convince myself to actually invest in Texas Tech, but

986
00:44:24,840 --> 00:44:26,960
Speaker 3: compare it to like forty to one with Kansas State,

987
00:44:27,719 --> 00:44:29,680
Speaker 3: it seems a little off to me. Any thoughts on

988
00:44:29,719 --> 00:44:30,360
Speaker 3: the Red Raiders.

989
00:44:31,120 --> 00:44:33,239
Speaker 2: I remember two years ago putting a thirty to one

990
00:44:33,320 --> 00:44:35,880
Speaker 2: down on Cliff Kingsbury and I thought I got laughed

991
00:44:35,880 --> 00:44:37,759
Speaker 2: off the podcast, right, But that I mean it.

992
00:44:37,880 --> 00:44:39,399
Speaker 4: Was a little bit of a long shot.

993
00:44:39,440 --> 00:44:42,480
Speaker 2: But listen, Lubbock is going to host two big boys

994
00:44:42,480 --> 00:44:43,960
Speaker 2: this year. They're gonna host O You and they're gonna

995
00:44:44,000 --> 00:44:46,480
Speaker 2: host Texas, so Texas Tech is definitely gonna have their

996
00:44:46,480 --> 00:44:48,759
Speaker 2: shot to pull off one of those upsets, maybe to

997
00:44:48,800 --> 00:44:50,840
Speaker 2: be you know, something they've done before in Lubbock, but

998
00:44:50,880 --> 00:44:53,760
Speaker 2: it was under a different regime. Five conference home games

999
00:44:53,760 --> 00:44:55,600
Speaker 2: this year, they go on the road to Kansas State,

1000
00:44:55,640 --> 00:44:58,319
Speaker 2: Iowa State, TCU, Oklahoma State at least half of those

1001
00:44:58,360 --> 00:45:00,800
Speaker 2: that can win road games in the state and TCU

1002
00:45:00,840 --> 00:45:03,520
Speaker 2: that'll probably determine their win total. Not going to jump

1003
00:45:03,560 --> 00:45:05,520
Speaker 2: up into the upper echelon of the top four in

1004
00:45:05,520 --> 00:45:07,880
Speaker 2: those conference. You know, all of those teams that I

1005
00:45:07,960 --> 00:45:09,920
Speaker 2: just mentioned, they're power rated within three and a half

1006
00:45:10,000 --> 00:45:11,960
Speaker 2: points of each other. So it makes it extremely hard

1007
00:45:11,960 --> 00:45:13,479
Speaker 2: for me to get a read on these guys when

1008
00:45:13,800 --> 00:45:16,359
Speaker 2: we've got deficiencies at offensive line, we've got deficiencies at

1009
00:45:16,400 --> 00:45:18,920
Speaker 2: corner in but Texas techt's kind of the same, you know,

1010
00:45:19,000 --> 00:45:22,320
Speaker 2: returning production forty eight percent on offense, seventy percent on defense,

1011
00:45:22,320 --> 00:45:24,239
Speaker 2: but they're missing it in the important key area is

1012
00:45:24,520 --> 00:45:27,640
Speaker 2: Alan Bowman is excellent when he's healthy and he has

1013
00:45:27,680 --> 00:45:29,839
Speaker 2: an open first receiver. You know, you do a deep

1014
00:45:29,880 --> 00:45:32,080
Speaker 2: dive on his numbers against defenses where he has to

1015
00:45:32,160 --> 00:45:35,759
Speaker 2: check down his efficiency hits the floor. He does not

1016
00:45:35,880 --> 00:45:37,319
Speaker 2: know what to do when he has to look off

1017
00:45:37,320 --> 00:45:39,719
Speaker 2: his hot route. He is a PlayStation.

1018
00:45:39,920 --> 00:45:43,200
Speaker 4: What is that? What is the hot route? X? SO?

1019
00:45:43,320 --> 00:45:45,799
Speaker 2: I mean, but Alan Bowman has to go away from

1020
00:45:45,880 --> 00:45:47,879
Speaker 2: who he's already gotten his brain when he when he's

1021
00:45:47,920 --> 00:45:50,120
Speaker 2: ready to take the ball from the snap.

1022
00:45:50,960 --> 00:45:51,920
Speaker 4: It's trouble for Bowman.

1023
00:45:52,040 --> 00:45:53,880
Speaker 2: So I think one thing is we just wish for

1024
00:45:53,960 --> 00:45:55,600
Speaker 2: full healthier because we just can't seem to get it

1025
00:45:55,600 --> 00:45:58,120
Speaker 2: out of him or gent Duffy either year. So I

1026
00:45:58,120 --> 00:45:59,600
Speaker 2: think they're going to stay in the middle of the pack.

1027
00:46:00,160 --> 00:46:02,160
Speaker 2: Hopefully it's good enough to keep Wells off the hot seat.

1028
00:46:02,200 --> 00:46:04,560
Speaker 2: I think he is a decent coach, But you know,

1029
00:46:04,640 --> 00:46:06,120
Speaker 2: no play here for me. I don't care what the

1030
00:46:06,160 --> 00:46:07,680
Speaker 2: odds are, even if they were one hundred and one

1031
00:46:07,719 --> 00:46:10,040
Speaker 2: hundred and twenty to one. There's just a thing where

1032
00:46:10,040 --> 00:46:12,120
Speaker 2: the top four teams in this conference they have the

1033
00:46:12,160 --> 00:46:14,080
Speaker 2: primo quarterbacks and they're the ones that are going to

1034
00:46:14,080 --> 00:46:15,000
Speaker 2: be in the championship game.

1035
00:46:15,320 --> 00:46:18,200
Speaker 3: Yeah, I couldn't bring myself into it. Let's close out

1036
00:46:18,239 --> 00:46:21,319
Speaker 3: with some less miles talk will close out the Big twelve.

1037
00:46:21,360 --> 00:46:24,000
Speaker 3: They are one hundred to one to win the big twelve.

1038
00:46:24,280 --> 00:46:26,040
Speaker 3: I don't even consider that.

1039
00:46:26,440 --> 00:46:27,360
Speaker 4: What number would you say that?

1040
00:46:27,719 --> 00:46:32,160
Speaker 3: Five hundred? Maybe? I mean, there's there's more COVID uncertainty.

1041
00:46:32,280 --> 00:46:35,120
Speaker 3: So you could have like teams. You could have teams

1042
00:46:35,200 --> 00:46:38,399
Speaker 3: that just have outbreaks every week that they play Kansas. Right,

1043
00:46:38,880 --> 00:46:41,920
Speaker 3: But it's the second year Brett Deerman and his offense,

1044
00:46:41,960 --> 00:46:44,360
Speaker 3: so maybe that's gonna take the step forward. But they

1045
00:46:44,400 --> 00:46:47,280
Speaker 3: do lose Stanley at quarterbacks. Who's going to be the quarterback?

1046
00:46:47,400 --> 00:46:49,520
Speaker 3: I don't know? Is that McVitie. I think it's gonna

1047
00:46:49,520 --> 00:46:53,719
Speaker 3: be Miles Kendrick, a junior. He actually I think fits better.

1048
00:46:53,760 --> 00:46:55,320
Speaker 3: He's more of a dual threat. He fits better in

1049
00:46:55,360 --> 00:46:59,680
Speaker 3: Deerman's kind of RPO scheme. So is this offense interesting?

1050
00:47:00,680 --> 00:47:01,040
Speaker 4: I don't know.

1051
00:47:01,040 --> 00:47:03,399
Speaker 3: I mean, Kansas is really bad. Tell us how bad

1052
00:47:03,440 --> 00:47:03,759
Speaker 3: they are.

1053
00:47:04,400 --> 00:47:08,320
Speaker 2: They are so bad that I have Coastal Carolina favored

1054
00:47:08,360 --> 00:47:10,640
Speaker 2: by three points in Lawrence here next week.

1055
00:47:10,760 --> 00:47:12,360
Speaker 3: So oh and I think they're a three and a

1056
00:47:12,360 --> 00:47:14,400
Speaker 3: half point doll you're gonna you're gonna set Twitter a

1057
00:47:14,480 --> 00:47:15,240
Speaker 3: blaze again.

1058
00:47:15,320 --> 00:47:17,800
Speaker 4: Yeah, here we go. Yeah, rough hashtag it.

1059
00:47:18,760 --> 00:47:22,239
Speaker 2: But no, So Kansas lost to Coastal Carolina last year

1060
00:47:22,480 --> 00:47:26,279
Speaker 2: and now Coastal comes to Lawrence, and I think if, well,

1061
00:47:26,360 --> 00:47:28,520
Speaker 2: at least if I get a positive number on Coastal,

1062
00:47:28,520 --> 00:47:30,200
Speaker 2: I know I'll be taking them because Coastal has a

1063
00:47:30,239 --> 00:47:35,400
Speaker 2: fantastic offense, but they are literally just a flat tarmac

1064
00:47:35,440 --> 00:47:36,080
Speaker 2: of a defense.

1065
00:47:36,120 --> 00:47:40,320
Speaker 3: So again, that total, that total is gonna be got.

1066
00:47:40,120 --> 00:47:40,640
Speaker 4: It, Dearman?

1067
00:47:40,719 --> 00:47:42,839
Speaker 2: Okay, So Deerman is the new offensive coordinator in case,

1068
00:47:43,280 --> 00:47:45,359
Speaker 2: let's give a good shout out to Brent Dearman here,

1069
00:47:45,400 --> 00:47:48,160
Speaker 2: the new offensive coordinator mid season for Kansas last year

1070
00:47:48,239 --> 00:47:51,279
Speaker 2: came out on fire, had Kansas actually doing stuff with

1071
00:47:51,320 --> 00:47:55,560
Speaker 2: Puka Andrew Parchment. You know, they looked like a working offense,

1072
00:47:55,600 --> 00:47:57,160
Speaker 2: and there were a couple overs in a row that

1073
00:47:57,160 --> 00:48:00,520
Speaker 2: we hit. But then Big twelve coordinators, defensive courinator's got

1074
00:48:00,560 --> 00:48:03,000
Speaker 2: some tape on what Britt Deerman was doing. He's published

1075
00:48:03,000 --> 00:48:05,440
Speaker 2: a book on how to run the RPO, so they

1076
00:48:05,480 --> 00:48:07,279
Speaker 2: got a little brushed up on what his offense was

1077
00:48:07,320 --> 00:48:09,279
Speaker 2: going to be, and he, you know, quickly got shut down.

1078
00:48:09,320 --> 00:48:11,120
Speaker 2: So we'll see what they come back with in his

1079
00:48:11,160 --> 00:48:14,520
Speaker 2: little sophomore campaign as an offensive coordinator. Parchman had one

1080
00:48:14,600 --> 00:48:16,719
Speaker 2: hundred and eleven targets last year, but he had thirty

1081
00:48:16,840 --> 00:48:19,040
Speaker 2: seven poorly thrown balls his way.

1082
00:48:19,320 --> 00:48:21,040
Speaker 4: That's just not going to do it.

1083
00:48:21,080 --> 00:48:23,360
Speaker 2: When you have almost a forty you know, a thirty

1084
00:48:23,360 --> 00:48:26,720
Speaker 2: five percent rate of things that are poorly thrown balls

1085
00:48:26,760 --> 00:48:28,040
Speaker 2: is not going to get the offense down the field.

1086
00:48:28,120 --> 00:48:30,840
Speaker 2: So you're right, quarterback is the biggest question. I project

1087
00:48:30,920 --> 00:48:34,919
Speaker 2: them with this new schedule at point nine wins, so

1088
00:48:35,320 --> 00:48:36,640
Speaker 2: you know, if there's a market out there for you

1089
00:48:36,760 --> 00:48:39,440
Speaker 2: to find it, listen, Coastal should be a favorite. And

1090
00:48:39,520 --> 00:48:40,640
Speaker 2: I'm sure a week from now when you and I

1091
00:48:40,719 --> 00:48:42,799
Speaker 2: recording a podcast, I'll have a Coastal bet down and

1092
00:48:43,200 --> 00:48:45,880
Speaker 2: I'll say wrong team favorite, and everybody can take their

1093
00:48:45,960 --> 00:48:48,640
Speaker 2: lap with their win. But uh, you know, their two

1094
00:48:48,680 --> 00:48:51,120
Speaker 2: top tacklers last year with safeties, and they met their

1095
00:48:51,120 --> 00:48:53,719
Speaker 2: college expiration date, so you know they're they're done having

1096
00:48:53,760 --> 00:48:55,120
Speaker 2: service time as a college player.

1097
00:48:55,160 --> 00:48:56,040
Speaker 4: So when your.

1098
00:48:55,880 --> 00:48:58,640
Speaker 2: Safeties, like multiple safeties, are your top tacklers, that's not

1099
00:48:58,640 --> 00:48:59,080
Speaker 2: a good thing.

1100
00:48:59,400 --> 00:49:02,400
Speaker 3: Yeah, this is bad, all right. So that's the Big twelve.

1101
00:49:02,840 --> 00:49:05,600
Speaker 3: So now let's quickly cover acc next in week two.

1102
00:49:06,120 --> 00:49:09,759
Speaker 3: The Big twelve is a lot of really not that

1103
00:49:09,880 --> 00:49:12,920
Speaker 3: me be nice here. They have a lot of unappetizing matchups.

1104
00:49:12,920 --> 00:49:15,400
Speaker 3: They play a lot of SCS teams. We'll talk about

1105
00:49:15,440 --> 00:49:19,280
Speaker 3: some of them. The ACC actually has conference games next

1106
00:49:19,320 --> 00:49:21,560
Speaker 3: in week two, so we'll be able to talk a

1107
00:49:21,600 --> 00:49:24,759
Speaker 3: lot about the ACC next week. So let's run through

1108
00:49:24,800 --> 00:49:28,480
Speaker 3: the ACC really quickly. Clemson is obviously the big favorite.

1109
00:49:28,560 --> 00:49:31,960
Speaker 3: You'll set BETMGM. They're minus five hundred to win the conference.

1110
00:49:32,440 --> 00:49:35,760
Speaker 3: What's interesting about the ACC this year is there's fifteen

1111
00:49:35,800 --> 00:49:39,160
Speaker 3: teams because Notre Dame is joining the conference, and they're

1112
00:49:39,200 --> 00:49:41,640
Speaker 3: not gonna have divisions. You know, there's the two best

1113
00:49:41,640 --> 00:49:43,759
Speaker 3: teams are just gonna play in the conference championship. My

1114
00:49:43,880 --> 00:49:48,920
Speaker 3: main question here with the ACC what would happen if,

1115
00:49:49,360 --> 00:49:51,400
Speaker 3: you know, obviously we're assuming there's no Big Ten and

1116
00:49:51,400 --> 00:49:56,040
Speaker 3: there's no Pac twelve. Right, we'll get to UCF tomorrow's podcast,

1117
00:49:56,040 --> 00:49:58,799
Speaker 3: But I don't think that any powerful non Power five

1118
00:49:58,800 --> 00:50:00,880
Speaker 3: team can get there with their schedule. So if we

1119
00:50:00,920 --> 00:50:02,680
Speaker 3: assume that these four teams that they come from the

1120
00:50:02,680 --> 00:50:06,840
Speaker 3: Collegewell playoff, d SEC is probably the most likely conference

1121
00:50:06,840 --> 00:50:08,840
Speaker 3: to send to I don't think the Big twelve is

1122
00:50:08,880 --> 00:50:13,040
Speaker 3: any chance, but the ACC, what if Notre Dame Clemson

1123
00:50:13,280 --> 00:50:16,440
Speaker 3: split and they have one loss each, so Notre Dame

1124
00:50:16,480 --> 00:50:19,359
Speaker 3: they play in the regular season, Clemson loses to Notre

1125
00:50:19,440 --> 00:50:22,239
Speaker 3: Dame and then they play each other in the ACC Championship,

1126
00:50:22,600 --> 00:50:25,320
Speaker 3: and then Clemson beats Notre Dame. You might have both teams,

1127
00:50:25,440 --> 00:50:28,520
Speaker 3: especially from the committee, would love that getting Notre Dame

1128
00:50:28,560 --> 00:50:32,759
Speaker 3: and Clemson and like say Alabama and Oklahoma. So that's

1129
00:50:32,760 --> 00:50:35,120
Speaker 3: one of the things that I'm pondering. So, as I

1130
00:50:35,200 --> 00:50:38,920
Speaker 3: just mentioned, Notre Dame does play Clemson. Clemson has Trevor

1131
00:50:38,960 --> 00:50:41,840
Speaker 3: Lawrence back at quarterback Travis etn The defense might be

1132
00:50:41,880 --> 00:50:44,879
Speaker 3: going back to more four man fronts. The biggest question

1133
00:50:44,920 --> 00:50:47,880
Speaker 3: with them They've lost some pieces, key pieces of wide receiver,

1134
00:50:48,000 --> 00:50:49,680
Speaker 3: but the offensive line they have one starter and the

1135
00:50:49,680 --> 00:50:52,480
Speaker 3: offensive line returning. So I mean, obviously this is Clemson.

1136
00:50:52,520 --> 00:50:54,920
Speaker 3: They reload. They've also been a great bet. I have

1137
00:50:54,960 --> 00:50:57,440
Speaker 3: to give props to Dabba. They're forty three to twenty

1138
00:50:57,440 --> 00:50:59,360
Speaker 3: four and two against the spread the last five years.

1139
00:50:59,560 --> 00:51:03,880
Speaker 3: Notre Dame is obviously an intriguing team as well. With

1140
00:51:03,880 --> 00:51:07,840
Speaker 3: the Ian book, their schedule gets they go from Navy, Wisconsin,

1141
00:51:07,880 --> 00:51:12,759
Speaker 3: Stanford in the USC to Boston College, UNC, Syracuse and

1142
00:51:12,800 --> 00:51:16,080
Speaker 3: Florida State, So they make out with that swap and

1143
00:51:16,120 --> 00:51:18,799
Speaker 3: then you have UNC who I think is probably the

1144
00:51:18,880 --> 00:51:21,680
Speaker 3: third best team with Sam Howe and that offense probably

1145
00:51:21,680 --> 00:51:25,279
Speaker 3: a top ten offense in Longo's second year. Just guys

1146
00:51:25,320 --> 00:51:28,040
Speaker 3: who can win one on one on the outside. Sam Howe,

1147
00:51:28,480 --> 00:51:31,800
Speaker 3: you know, coming back experience, but just an explosive offense.

1148
00:51:32,280 --> 00:51:35,720
Speaker 3: So is this just Clemson lock stay away as always

1149
00:51:36,400 --> 00:51:40,240
Speaker 3: or is Notre Dame or even North Carolina or someone

1150
00:51:40,280 --> 00:51:41,840
Speaker 3: else worth the flyer.

1151
00:51:42,360 --> 00:51:44,920
Speaker 2: I think if you can find North Carolina at eighteen

1152
00:51:44,960 --> 00:51:47,719
Speaker 2: to one, you should probably take a little hit on

1153
00:51:47,760 --> 00:51:49,600
Speaker 2: that and let me get into all the teams that

1154
00:51:49,600 --> 00:51:51,920
Speaker 2: we talked about. I'll just be I'll do quick hitters.

1155
00:51:52,640 --> 00:51:54,640
Speaker 2: The name of the game with Clemson for me is

1156
00:51:55,000 --> 00:51:58,520
Speaker 2: something to monitor. Right, lost half of their double headed

1157
00:51:58,520 --> 00:52:01,040
Speaker 2: offensive coordinator with Jeff Scott takes those taking the job

1158
00:52:01,080 --> 00:52:04,719
Speaker 2: down at South Florida. Something to monitor, completely depleted wide

1159
00:52:04,719 --> 00:52:09,120
Speaker 2: receiver corps T Higgins NFL. Justin Ross is injured, Joseph

1160
00:52:09,120 --> 00:52:11,600
Speaker 2: Madgatta is still there, Mario Rodgers is going to come

1161
00:52:11,640 --> 00:52:15,440
Speaker 2: back from injury. Something to monitor. Lawrence wasn't exactly perfect

1162
00:52:15,520 --> 00:52:19,720
Speaker 2: last year. Something to monitor Isaiah Simmons the only reason

1163
00:52:20,000 --> 00:52:22,520
Speaker 2: well Traves etend but one of the reasons they beat

1164
00:52:22,560 --> 00:52:25,680
Speaker 2: Ohio State is because Isaiah Simmons was able to catch

1165
00:52:25,800 --> 00:52:30,000
Speaker 2: every single breakaway player for Ohio State. Isaiah Simmons is

1166
00:52:30,000 --> 00:52:33,280
Speaker 2: the reason Clemson won that game. He's not there something

1167
00:52:33,320 --> 00:52:36,160
Speaker 2: to monitor. The price should not be minus five hundred.

1168
00:52:36,239 --> 00:52:37,799
Speaker 2: You don't buy there. You don't buy it. Minus four

1169
00:52:37,840 --> 00:52:40,040
Speaker 2: to fifty, don't buy it minus four hundred. The proper

1170
00:52:40,080 --> 00:52:44,080
Speaker 2: price for Clemson for this round robin play top two

1171
00:52:44,080 --> 00:52:47,040
Speaker 2: seeds get in is about minus three hundred minus three

1172
00:52:47,080 --> 00:52:48,960
Speaker 2: twenty five. So if you want to lay it with Clemson,

1173
00:52:49,320 --> 00:52:51,200
Speaker 2: that's where the number is. You see any minus two

1174
00:52:51,200 --> 00:52:53,319
Speaker 2: fifties out there, that's a lot of value. Same thing

1175
00:52:53,320 --> 00:52:55,160
Speaker 2: with the College wable playoff. You see them around minus

1176
00:52:55,200 --> 00:52:57,800
Speaker 2: two seventy five College rble playoffs. It's got some value

1177
00:52:58,000 --> 00:53:01,399
Speaker 2: to go pass that. I love North Carolina. I love

1178
00:53:01,400 --> 00:53:04,040
Speaker 2: everything about in North Carolina. This is a team that's

1179
00:53:04,080 --> 00:53:07,000
Speaker 2: going to have a heavy amount of points. Sam Hell

1180
00:53:07,280 --> 00:53:09,759
Speaker 2: might finally start playing the other three quarters like he

1181
00:53:09,800 --> 00:53:12,839
Speaker 2: plays the fourth quarter where he is an All Star.

1182
00:53:13,680 --> 00:53:15,719
Speaker 2: There may not be a more explosive passing offense with

1183
00:53:15,800 --> 00:53:19,959
Speaker 2: Das Newsom. Diami Brown offensive coordinator Phil Longo has a

1184
00:53:20,120 --> 00:53:23,759
Speaker 2: very long history of explosive passing offenses back from his

1185
00:53:23,840 --> 00:53:25,839
Speaker 2: days It'll miss here last year.

1186
00:53:25,880 --> 00:53:26,640
Speaker 4: This is no different.

1187
00:53:27,200 --> 00:53:29,160
Speaker 2: They got the right quarterback, they got the right receivers,

1188
00:53:29,239 --> 00:53:31,520
Speaker 2: they have the right amount of returning production. There'll be

1189
00:53:31,560 --> 00:53:34,560
Speaker 2: a coin flip game against Virginia Tech. North Carolina does

1190
00:53:34,600 --> 00:53:37,480
Speaker 2: not even play Clemson. They face Notre Dame off of

1191
00:53:37,520 --> 00:53:39,000
Speaker 2: a bye week. They get a bye week before they

1192
00:53:39,000 --> 00:53:41,799
Speaker 2: play Notre Dame. They don't play Clemson, and it's coin

1193
00:53:41,840 --> 00:53:44,600
Speaker 2: flip game against Virginia Tech. I think a one loss

1194
00:53:45,000 --> 00:53:47,799
Speaker 2: North Carolina team could easily get an a SEC championship game.

1195
00:53:48,160 --> 00:53:49,640
Speaker 2: And so if you're looking at an eight team to one,

1196
00:53:49,680 --> 00:53:51,640
Speaker 2: a team that actually has a shot, a team that

1197
00:53:51,640 --> 00:53:54,680
Speaker 2: can score a boatload of points really fast with an

1198
00:53:54,680 --> 00:53:57,080
Speaker 2: offensive coordinator that's proven that he can do it, that's

1199
00:53:57,080 --> 00:54:00,760
Speaker 2: North Carolina. Oh something to monitor. They almost beat Clemson.

1200
00:54:01,080 --> 00:54:03,440
Speaker 2: Just keep that in mind. I love North Carolina. I

1201
00:54:03,480 --> 00:54:05,319
Speaker 2: like Virginia Tech from a win total and not to

1202
00:54:05,360 --> 00:54:08,400
Speaker 2: win the conference. Return eighty nine percent of the defense,

1203
00:54:08,600 --> 00:54:11,120
Speaker 2: they were eighteenth in success rate. Hendon Hooker, it took

1204
00:54:11,200 --> 00:54:12,360
Speaker 2: him till the very end of the year before he

1205
00:54:12,360 --> 00:54:16,040
Speaker 2: started getting intercepted. Great great throwing in the tight windows,

1206
00:54:16,040 --> 00:54:18,120
Speaker 2: one of the best in the nation. Virginia Tech's defense

1207
00:54:18,120 --> 00:54:21,200
Speaker 2: has a new DC, but he played for Virginia Tech.

1208
00:54:21,560 --> 00:54:24,000
Speaker 2: He's coached the secondaries. Not much of a scheme change.

1209
00:54:24,080 --> 00:54:25,680
Speaker 2: I like Virginia Tech to give it a good run,

1210
00:54:25,719 --> 00:54:28,200
Speaker 2: but ultimately I think it's North Carolina to steal the

1211
00:54:28,200 --> 00:54:31,280
Speaker 2: second seed. Something about Notre Dame makes me extremely nervous.

1212
00:54:31,360 --> 00:54:34,240
Speaker 2: No one's taken more sacks since twenty eighteen than ian Book.

1213
00:54:34,560 --> 00:54:36,919
Speaker 2: His go to wide receiver, Chase Chase Claypool one hundred

1214
00:54:36,920 --> 00:54:40,160
Speaker 2: and twenty targets is gone, along with Cole Kment second targets,

1215
00:54:40,440 --> 00:54:43,359
Speaker 2: Chris Finkey, Tony Jones Junior. Those three are that's another

1216
00:54:43,440 --> 00:54:46,279
Speaker 2: one hundred and forty five targets it's missing. So you know,

1217
00:54:46,320 --> 00:54:48,319
Speaker 2: there's plenty of depth and the two deep in the

1218
00:54:48,360 --> 00:54:50,680
Speaker 2: offensive line. That's great, But the skill positions that ian

1219
00:54:50,719 --> 00:54:52,960
Speaker 2: Book leans on they're gone. They lose a little bit

1220
00:54:52,960 --> 00:54:55,160
Speaker 2: of havoc on defense, not a big deal. Defensive coordinator

1221
00:54:55,160 --> 00:54:56,560
Speaker 2: Clark Lee is one of the best in the game.

1222
00:54:56,719 --> 00:54:59,000
Speaker 2: He's going to be a head coach someday. And Tommy

1223
00:54:59,040 --> 00:55:02,000
Speaker 2: Reees is really where the question marks are. He had

1224
00:55:02,040 --> 00:55:05,520
Speaker 2: a great camping World Bowl thirty three points against Iowa State.

1225
00:55:05,560 --> 00:55:07,000
Speaker 2: But he's got to prove himself this year as a

1226
00:55:07,000 --> 00:55:10,200
Speaker 2: play caller. So I think there's I have questions about

1227
00:55:10,200 --> 00:55:12,759
Speaker 2: Ian Book and what his ceiling is. I don't think

1228
00:55:12,800 --> 00:55:15,200
Speaker 2: his floor is low. I think his flor's actually pretty high.

1229
00:55:15,280 --> 00:55:17,480
Speaker 2: But how high is his ceiling, especially when he's missing

1230
00:55:17,480 --> 00:55:19,880
Speaker 2: his pieces? I think that they're limited on how far

1231
00:55:20,000 --> 00:55:22,480
Speaker 2: Notre Dame can go to me. North Carolina is the

1232
00:55:22,520 --> 00:55:26,320
Speaker 2: team that's proven that they could beat a loaded Clemson squad,

1233
00:55:26,800 --> 00:55:29,719
Speaker 2: and they're the ones that have a favorable schedule by

1234
00:55:29,760 --> 00:55:32,640
Speaker 2: not even playing Clemson eighteen to one. I'll take a

1235
00:55:32,680 --> 00:55:33,359
Speaker 2: little piece of that.

1236
00:55:33,800 --> 00:55:35,560
Speaker 3: These tie breakers could I got to look into the

1237
00:55:35,600 --> 00:55:37,799
Speaker 3: tiebreakers for all this too, Like what if Notre Dame

1238
00:55:37,840 --> 00:55:41,400
Speaker 3: beats Clemson but and finishes one must, but UNC beats

1239
00:55:41,440 --> 00:55:45,399
Speaker 3: Notre Dame. Who's look into all this? If there's a big,

1240
00:55:45,440 --> 00:55:47,640
Speaker 3: that big of a price discrepancy out on UNC and

1241
00:55:47,640 --> 00:55:49,640
Speaker 3: Notre Dame, I would agree with because this offense is

1242
00:55:49,640 --> 00:55:52,680
Speaker 3: explosive and the defense has the potential to get better.

1243
00:55:53,320 --> 00:55:55,719
Speaker 3: Just so I look, I'll spend ninety seconds going I

1244
00:55:55,760 --> 00:55:57,319
Speaker 3: just want to mention every other team. I'll do a

1245
00:55:57,360 --> 00:55:59,600
Speaker 3: quick hit for every team. Colin, I'll give you a

1246
00:55:59,680 --> 00:56:02,600
Speaker 3: chance to way after to see if you want to

1247
00:56:02,600 --> 00:56:05,280
Speaker 3: mention anythink Miami Derek King comes in, which is exciting.

1248
00:56:05,320 --> 00:56:07,600
Speaker 3: Danny Nose, your boy is gone. They have a new offense.

1249
00:56:07,640 --> 00:56:10,640
Speaker 3: Quarnator go on a spread. Brevin Jordan's awesome as a

1250
00:56:10,640 --> 00:56:14,600
Speaker 3: tight end. There's still questions about the old line. Rosa

1251
00:56:14,680 --> 00:56:17,480
Speaker 3: that their defensive end opted out, which is really unfortunate

1252
00:56:17,560 --> 00:56:20,640
Speaker 3: because Rochet, the defensive end for was a stud from Temple.

1253
00:56:20,719 --> 00:56:23,600
Speaker 3: They would have had the best two best defensive end,

1254
00:56:24,040 --> 00:56:26,440
Speaker 3: the best defensive end group in all of college football,

1255
00:56:26,560 --> 00:56:29,040
Speaker 3: but he opted out. Opt Outs are a huge storyline

1256
00:56:29,040 --> 00:56:33,240
Speaker 3: in the ACC. You mentioned Virginia Tech. Their star cornerback Farley,

1257
00:56:33,640 --> 00:56:38,680
Speaker 3: he opted out. Huge loss. Pitt I love the pit.

1258
00:56:38,800 --> 00:56:40,840
Speaker 3: All the questions on Pitt is they have an offensive identity.

1259
00:56:41,239 --> 00:56:44,800
Speaker 3: Their defense is so good. A Twiman opted out, which

1260
00:56:45,120 --> 00:56:47,360
Speaker 3: is awful. He's so good in that interier. But the

1261
00:56:47,440 --> 00:56:51,840
Speaker 3: defensive line is still stacked. Their safeties are still monsters.

1262
00:56:51,840 --> 00:56:55,440
Speaker 3: Paris Ford is a stud in that pressman quarters defense.

1263
00:56:55,480 --> 00:56:58,440
Speaker 3: The questions about on Pitt is about their offense. Louisville,

1264
00:56:58,440 --> 00:57:01,919
Speaker 3: you mentioned Cunningham Hawkins. Well, they're gonna score. They're gonna

1265
00:57:01,920 --> 00:57:04,600
Speaker 3: score a lot of points. Can their D take that

1266
00:57:04,719 --> 00:57:07,000
Speaker 3: next step and help them compete with the upper echelon

1267
00:57:07,160 --> 00:57:09,280
Speaker 3: That remains to be seen. Florida State's the Mike norwal

1268
00:57:09,360 --> 00:57:13,360
Speaker 3: Era secondary a lot of potential and Marvin Wilson in

1269
00:57:13,400 --> 00:57:15,560
Speaker 3: the interior, but they're changing everything. They're going back to

1270
00:57:15,600 --> 00:57:17,120
Speaker 3: a four to three, which four man front, which I

1271
00:57:17,160 --> 00:57:20,640
Speaker 3: think is a good fit for them, But they're changing everything. Virginia,

1272
00:57:20,680 --> 00:57:23,800
Speaker 3: you gotta replace Bryce Perkins. Brendan Armstrong gonna do it.

1273
00:57:23,840 --> 00:57:26,920
Speaker 3: Their defense still should be good, but replacing Bryce Perkins,

1274
00:57:26,920 --> 00:57:29,840
Speaker 3: who's everything that team not gonna be easy. Duke Chase

1275
00:57:29,880 --> 00:57:32,120
Speaker 3: Bryce er is that who's the projected starter as of now?

1276
00:57:32,280 --> 00:57:35,640
Speaker 3: Clemson back up. This team is not good enough to

1277
00:57:35,640 --> 00:57:38,840
Speaker 3: win the conference. Wake Fares another opt out lose stage

1278
00:57:38,840 --> 00:57:41,120
Speaker 3: throught one of the best receivers in the country. I

1279
00:57:41,160 --> 00:57:43,040
Speaker 3: do have to say they might have the best kicker

1280
00:57:43,240 --> 00:57:45,440
Speaker 3: in the country for Wake Farst, but the Serrat loss

1281
00:57:45,440 --> 00:57:48,520
Speaker 3: was huge. Boston College new coach Chaffan's gonna rebuild that D.

1282
00:57:49,000 --> 00:57:51,959
Speaker 3: But who's the quarterback? Speaking of who's the quarterback? NZ State,

1283
00:57:52,000 --> 00:57:54,880
Speaker 3: who's the quarterback and could the d get any turnovers?

1284
00:57:55,080 --> 00:57:57,920
Speaker 3: The lowest interception rate in the country last year, lowest

1285
00:57:57,960 --> 00:58:01,160
Speaker 3: projected turnover margin, butestions all over that roster. Same with

1286
00:58:01,200 --> 00:58:03,000
Speaker 3: Georgia Tech. They got to find a quarterback. Their offense

1287
00:58:03,080 --> 00:58:05,840
Speaker 3: is do something. It's year two of Jeff Collins. You

1288
00:58:05,840 --> 00:58:07,840
Speaker 3: would think that there's some progression. If the offense gets better,

1289
00:58:07,920 --> 00:58:09,320
Speaker 3: the defense will get better because they don't have to

1290
00:58:09,320 --> 00:58:12,000
Speaker 3: be on the field all the time. Syracuse new three

1291
00:58:12,040 --> 00:58:14,040
Speaker 3: to three five scheme that no one knows about it

1292
00:58:14,040 --> 00:58:16,720
Speaker 3: except those one coach and they lost their spring, so

1293
00:58:16,840 --> 00:58:19,520
Speaker 3: changing their whole defense. The offensive line is still mess.

1294
00:58:19,560 --> 00:58:21,680
Speaker 3: A lot of change in Syracuse, which is not what

1295
00:58:21,720 --> 00:58:23,560
Speaker 3: you want this year. So I had to throw in.

1296
00:58:23,640 --> 00:58:25,200
Speaker 3: I had to get a mention of all the ACC teams.

1297
00:58:25,200 --> 00:58:27,000
Speaker 3: But like I said, we're going to talk about all

1298
00:58:27,080 --> 00:58:29,040
Speaker 3: the next week when we talk about other games. What

1299
00:58:29,400 --> 00:58:30,840
Speaker 3: teams did you want to add something in on?

1300
00:58:31,120 --> 00:58:32,800
Speaker 4: Well, let's throw something in on Florida State.

1301
00:58:32,960 --> 00:58:35,520
Speaker 2: They had the highest run disruption rate of any other

1302
00:58:35,560 --> 00:58:38,480
Speaker 2: team on the offensive line in the nation. Please, you

1303
00:58:38,600 --> 00:58:40,400
Speaker 2: now have a party there as a fresh mun at

1304
00:58:40,440 --> 00:58:44,200
Speaker 2: Tuba party. Have some better offensive line play. You are

1305
00:58:44,240 --> 00:58:46,680
Speaker 2: a sell until you see it. Louisville, no Clemson on

1306
00:58:46,680 --> 00:58:50,160
Speaker 2: this schedule. Season ends with Virginia kues BC and Wake.

1307
00:58:50,680 --> 00:58:53,040
Speaker 2: Don't sleep on the Cardinals.

1308
00:58:53,160 --> 00:58:53,680
Speaker 4: NC State.

1309
00:58:54,400 --> 00:58:56,720
Speaker 2: Dave Dorian was outside the top one hundred and passing

1310
00:58:56,720 --> 00:58:59,720
Speaker 2: success rushing is posted and pass exposa thank you next.

1311
00:58:59,800 --> 00:59:04,040
Speaker 2: Dave Dorian has probably done Boston College half way. You know,

1312
00:59:04,120 --> 00:59:06,880
Speaker 2: defensive cordator for Iowa State decided to hire his buddy

1313
00:59:07,360 --> 00:59:11,080
Speaker 2: as the offensive coordinator, Tony Signetti. He's been a quarterbacks

1314
00:59:11,120 --> 00:59:13,280
Speaker 2: coach for Aaron Rodgers and Ela Manning the past seven years,

1315
00:59:13,280 --> 00:59:14,680
Speaker 2: and I don't know how that makes him qualified to

1316
00:59:14,760 --> 00:59:17,920
Speaker 2: run a college offensive team. Said, but that's what's going

1317
00:59:17,960 --> 00:59:20,560
Speaker 2: to try to happen at Boston College. You know, Wake

1318
00:59:20,640 --> 00:59:21,320
Speaker 2: has lost a lot.

1319
00:59:21,400 --> 00:59:21,880
Speaker 4: Syracuse.

1320
00:59:21,920 --> 00:59:23,439
Speaker 2: I don't know what they're doing up there. The days

1321
00:59:23,440 --> 00:59:25,760
Speaker 2: of Eric Dungee meecapping people in the faces over to

1322
00:59:25,840 --> 00:59:29,240
Speaker 2: veto is not as good as a value value over

1323
00:59:29,280 --> 00:59:32,080
Speaker 2: replacement of VOT player QS was one hundred and twenty

1324
00:59:32,120 --> 00:59:33,320
Speaker 2: second success rate last season.

1325
00:59:33,360 --> 00:59:35,040
Speaker 4: It doesn't seem like that's going to get any better.

1326
00:59:35,960 --> 00:59:38,960
Speaker 2: And finally, on Pitt, it looks like the Mark Whipple

1327
00:59:39,080 --> 00:59:41,840
Speaker 2: offensive coordinator experience didn't really pan out last year in

1328
00:59:41,880 --> 00:59:44,680
Speaker 2: the advanced stats. I think Nardoozi's going to be looking

1329
00:59:44,720 --> 00:59:46,840
Speaker 2: for a new coordinator, maybe on his last legs there

1330
00:59:46,800 --> 00:59:50,760
Speaker 2: at Pitt about a year from now. And you know, sorry,

1331
00:59:50,160 --> 00:59:52,480
Speaker 2: that is good man, The pit d's good.

1332
00:59:52,520 --> 00:59:53,440
Speaker 4: Yeah, it's fantastic.

1333
00:59:53,440 --> 00:59:56,320
Speaker 2: I havoc And that's why you know we we will

1334
00:59:56,320 --> 00:59:58,840
Speaker 2: always cherish our Central Florida win. We will never say

1335
00:59:58,880 --> 01:00:01,200
Speaker 2: anything bad about Pitt. But the Mark Whipple area Mark

1336
01:00:01,200 --> 01:00:04,240
Speaker 2: Whipple era did not produce anything, you know, like I

1337
01:00:04,280 --> 01:00:06,840
Speaker 2: thought it would last year, which led me finally to

1338
01:00:06,840 --> 01:00:08,000
Speaker 2: a loss. I mean, I think we wrote him for

1339
01:00:08,000 --> 01:00:09,800
Speaker 2: four weeks in a row. But let me slip. In

1340
01:00:09,840 --> 01:00:12,160
Speaker 2: Georgia Tech. I think Georgia Tech is they're going to rebuild.

1341
01:00:12,200 --> 01:00:14,200
Speaker 2: They still fought hard, they still won games, They went

1342
01:00:14,240 --> 01:00:16,680
Speaker 2: to overtime, they lost to the Citadel, They beat Miami,

1343
01:00:17,000 --> 01:00:22,080
Speaker 2: crazy ass wafflouse, George Collins first year, throwing to the

1344
01:00:22,080 --> 01:00:24,400
Speaker 2: tight end for the first time at eighteen years in Atlanta.

1345
01:00:24,480 --> 01:00:26,640
Speaker 2: I mean it, So, you know, good on Georgia Tech.

1346
01:00:26,680 --> 01:00:29,080
Speaker 2: They're gonna get better, not this season. And Miami. I

1347
01:00:29,480 --> 01:00:31,720
Speaker 2: don't get this at all. I'm so glad Miami opens

1348
01:00:31,720 --> 01:00:35,320
Speaker 2: with UAB a havoc minded defensive team, and Derek King

1349
01:00:35,440 --> 01:00:38,200
Speaker 2: is going to be running for his life. This team

1350
01:00:38,280 --> 01:00:41,280
Speaker 2: lost to Duke, this team lost in Shreveport. This team

1351
01:00:41,360 --> 01:00:44,240
Speaker 2: lost to Georgia Tech. I don't know how all this

1352
01:00:44,320 --> 01:00:46,480
Speaker 2: love for Miami is in this market to win the ACC.

1353
01:00:47,000 --> 01:00:49,320
Speaker 2: It's not gonna happen, even though you shed the worst

1354
01:00:49,320 --> 01:00:52,520
Speaker 2: offensive coordinator at least in Arkansas history in the name

1355
01:00:52,520 --> 01:00:54,840
Speaker 2: of Dan enos So that's it for me on the ACC.

1356
01:00:55,480 --> 01:00:57,240
Speaker 3: What much more next week when we talk about all

1357
01:00:57,240 --> 01:00:59,920
Speaker 3: the AEC games in Week two, and just a reminder,

1358
01:01:00,000 --> 01:01:03,280
Speaker 3: we're going our Week one preview podcast out tomorrow. We'll

1359
01:01:03,320 --> 01:01:05,880
Speaker 3: go through all five games, including Monday night football between

1360
01:01:05,920 --> 01:01:08,200
Speaker 3: Navy and b YU, which I know everyone in the

1361
01:01:08,200 --> 01:01:11,520
Speaker 3: world is going to bet. Yeah, make sure you subscribe, unsubscribe,

1362
01:01:11,840 --> 01:01:13,680
Speaker 3: leave a review, tell a friend, tone enemy. It really

1363
01:01:13,720 --> 01:01:15,440
Speaker 3: helps us out. We appreciate all of you listening, and

1364
01:01:15,480 --> 01:01:17,640
Speaker 3: then make sure you check out the Action app at

1365
01:01:17,680 --> 01:01:19,800
Speaker 3: Action network dot com for all of our college football

1366
01:01:19,800 --> 01:01:22,200
Speaker 3: content and the track all of your bets. And again,

1367
01:01:22,280 --> 01:01:25,520
Speaker 3: thank you to bet MGM to being our podcast official

1368
01:01:26,080 --> 01:01:29,360
Speaker 3: odds provider before we get out of here, and you'll

1369
01:01:29,400 --> 01:01:31,680
Speaker 3: be able to find even more info on these games

1370
01:01:31,720 --> 01:01:37,280
Speaker 3: on the Action Network app. Colin quick thoughts on the

1371
01:01:38,160 --> 01:01:40,480
Speaker 3: Thursday night games. Will you be betting anything and what

1372
01:01:40,480 --> 01:01:41,320
Speaker 3: should people look for?

1373
01:01:41,760 --> 01:01:43,760
Speaker 2: Absolutely, I'm waiting on a line to come out on

1374
01:01:43,800 --> 01:01:47,440
Speaker 2: Central marketsall versus UAB. The right team will be favored

1375
01:01:47,440 --> 01:01:49,640
Speaker 2: here UAB, and they already are at fourteen and a

1376
01:01:49,720 --> 01:01:52,360
Speaker 2: half and some markets out there. But what I'm waiting

1377
01:01:52,400 --> 01:01:55,960
Speaker 2: for is a first half line. And you know, to

1378
01:01:55,960 --> 01:01:59,120
Speaker 2: be more specific, I like UAB, love you AB a lot.

1379
01:01:59,200 --> 01:02:01,680
Speaker 2: We are a devoted to Bill Clark here. He's one

1380
01:02:01,680 --> 01:02:03,920
Speaker 2: of the best covering head coaches thirty one and eighteen.

1381
01:02:03,960 --> 01:02:06,920
Speaker 2: I think even back in twenty fourteen, before UAB was

1382
01:02:06,960 --> 01:02:08,840
Speaker 2: out of football for a while. I think what you

1383
01:02:08,880 --> 01:02:11,320
Speaker 2: need to think about is UCA just played last week.

1384
01:02:11,760 --> 01:02:15,400
Speaker 2: They started off extremely slow. They got to the p

1385
01:02:15,600 --> 01:02:18,160
Speaker 2: thirty five yard line in eleven of fifteen drive. They

1386
01:02:18,160 --> 01:02:21,880
Speaker 2: struggled to score points. But this first half struggle by

1387
01:02:21,960 --> 01:02:25,840
Speaker 2: Central Arkansas is not something that just happened in this game.

1388
01:02:26,440 --> 01:02:30,360
Speaker 2: It's something that happened in every single game for UCA

1389
01:02:30,440 --> 01:02:32,120
Speaker 2: last year. So if you go and look it up,

1390
01:02:32,160 --> 01:02:33,720
Speaker 2: we'll have more of this, you know, in a write

1391
01:02:33,760 --> 01:02:36,080
Speaker 2: up but they just had six point six points in

1392
01:02:36,080 --> 01:02:38,280
Speaker 2: the first half against Austin p Last year, they had

1393
01:02:38,320 --> 01:02:40,280
Speaker 2: seven the first half against Elly State. They had three

1394
01:02:40,280 --> 01:02:42,440
Speaker 2: points to the first quarter against Incarnate Word and they

1395
01:02:42,480 --> 01:02:44,640
Speaker 2: ended up scoring fifty two. They had three points in

1396
01:02:44,640 --> 01:02:47,440
Speaker 2: the first quarter and a thirty point effort against Steven

1397
01:02:47,480 --> 01:02:50,560
Speaker 2: F Austin. Last year, they blanked Southeast Louisiana, but they

1398
01:02:50,600 --> 01:02:53,640
Speaker 2: had zero first half points against Sam Sam Houston State

1399
01:02:53,920 --> 01:02:56,680
Speaker 2: they won twenty nine to twenty five. They were blanked

1400
01:02:56,720 --> 01:02:59,360
Speaker 2: the first half against Nichols. They had zero first quarter

1401
01:02:59,360 --> 01:03:01,960
Speaker 2: points against a This UCA team can't score in the

1402
01:03:02,000 --> 01:03:04,800
Speaker 2: first quarter in the first half UAB. Meanwhile, if you

1403
01:03:04,800 --> 01:03:07,400
Speaker 2: go and look it up, UAB second quarter points last

1404
01:03:07,440 --> 01:03:10,120
Speaker 2: year in twenty nineteen, one hundred and twenty four. How

1405
01:03:10,120 --> 01:03:12,520
Speaker 2: many points they have in the fourth quarter twenty seven.

1406
01:03:13,080 --> 01:03:15,400
Speaker 2: There is a UAB first half play tomorrow. There'll be

1407
01:03:15,400 --> 01:03:16,600
Speaker 2: more over on the Action Network.

1408
01:03:16,760 --> 01:03:18,160
Speaker 3: By the way, I just want to met UAV is

1409
01:03:18,160 --> 01:03:20,200
Speaker 3: one of the most experienced teams in the country. They

1410
01:03:20,280 --> 01:03:23,600
Speaker 3: bring a ton back and this is such a unique scenario.

1411
01:03:22,960 --> 01:03:26,080
Speaker 3: You have a team that's on like four or five

1412
01:03:26,160 --> 01:03:28,400
Speaker 3: days rest. They played on this past Saturday. Now they're

1413
01:03:28,400 --> 01:03:30,960
Speaker 3: playing on Thursday against a team that hasn't played yet.

1414
01:03:31,000 --> 01:03:34,320
Speaker 3: That is I mean the preparation and the rest advantage.

1415
01:03:34,320 --> 01:03:36,560
Speaker 3: And it's basically the second straight road game such Arckets

1416
01:03:36,600 --> 01:03:39,080
Speaker 3: have played in Birmingham. Wait, now they're gonna play in

1417
01:03:39,120 --> 01:03:42,400
Speaker 3: Birmingham again, didn't I guess they're gonna stay there. Yeah. Yeah,

1418
01:03:42,480 --> 01:03:45,960
Speaker 3: it's still a horrific situation for them. But the other game,

1419
01:03:46,000 --> 01:03:49,320
Speaker 3: the first FBS matchup of the year, is a hilarious one,

1420
01:03:49,880 --> 01:03:54,120
Speaker 3: Southern Miss and South Alabama. South Alabama made a joke

1421
01:03:54,160 --> 01:03:56,480
Speaker 3: on Twitter, improved like sixty points in my power ratings

1422
01:03:56,520 --> 01:03:59,080
Speaker 3: when all these conferences dropped out. That was the only

1423
01:03:59,120 --> 01:04:03,320
Speaker 3: piece of positive news that could offer for South Alabama fans.

1424
01:04:03,600 --> 01:04:06,800
Speaker 3: I think South Abama, what's the fifteen point underdog right now?

1425
01:04:07,160 --> 01:04:09,640
Speaker 2: Yeah, I make this game thirteen and a half. Not much,

1426
01:04:09,800 --> 01:04:11,400
Speaker 2: you know, a little small ledge here to what South

1427
01:04:11,440 --> 01:04:13,920
Speaker 2: Alabama's going But what you're betting on is that the

1428
01:04:13,960 --> 01:04:16,480
Speaker 2: game's probably gonna be at Southern Miss by twenty one

1429
01:04:16,560 --> 01:04:18,600
Speaker 2: and you're waiting on a last minute pick six or

1430
01:04:18,640 --> 01:04:20,720
Speaker 2: something like that for them to have a backdoor cover.

1431
01:04:20,760 --> 01:04:22,320
Speaker 2: It's got back door cover written all over it. So

1432
01:04:22,320 --> 01:04:24,360
Speaker 2: there's not much value in that. I do make the

1433
01:04:24,400 --> 01:04:26,560
Speaker 2: total forty eight and a half. It's been sitting at

1434
01:04:26,600 --> 01:04:28,400
Speaker 2: fifty three and a half for about two days now.

1435
01:04:28,440 --> 01:04:30,400
Speaker 2: I'd like it to get to fifty four. I'd like

1436
01:04:30,440 --> 01:04:34,080
Speaker 2: to take an under on this game, Specifically Southern miss

1437
01:04:34,160 --> 01:04:36,480
Speaker 2: They're not a deep ball throwing team. They're a dink

1438
01:04:36,480 --> 01:04:39,080
Speaker 2: and dunk. Abraham just likes to He's zero to nine

1439
01:04:39,160 --> 01:04:41,439
Speaker 2: yards on all of his passes, burns a lot of clock.

1440
01:04:41,480 --> 01:04:44,360
Speaker 2: They're not extremely fast, you know. Southern Miss ended twenty

1441
01:04:44,440 --> 01:04:46,640
Speaker 2: nineteen one hundred and twenty second and havoc allowed.

1442
01:04:46,640 --> 01:04:48,880
Speaker 4: They're not They don't take care of the ball whatsoever.

1443
01:04:49,040 --> 01:04:50,680
Speaker 2: And South Alabama is one of the worst teams in

1444
01:04:50,720 --> 01:04:54,320
Speaker 2: the world at converting you know, field position into points.

1445
01:04:54,760 --> 01:04:56,800
Speaker 2: So I'm gonna like to take a little bit of

1446
01:04:56,840 --> 01:04:58,439
Speaker 2: an under here, maybe a half unit on an under,

1447
01:04:58,440 --> 01:05:00,040
Speaker 2: but I'd like to get to fifty four first.

1448
01:05:00,400 --> 01:05:02,160
Speaker 3: A right, fair enough. We'll have more on the Action

1449
01:05:02,240 --> 01:05:06,840
Speaker 3: Appenactionwork dot Com. Kyle, thanks for joining me as always,

1450
01:05:06,960 --> 01:05:09,960
Speaker 3: good stuff on the Big twelve. Don't forget. We're gonna

1451
01:05:10,000 --> 01:05:11,720
Speaker 3: have our Week one preview tomorrow and then we'll be

1452
01:05:11,800 --> 01:05:16,439
Speaker 3: back to our regularly scheduled programming starting next weekend. Each

1453
01:05:16,480 --> 01:05:19,560
Speaker 3: week we'll have a preview episode for those weeks games

1454
01:05:19,600 --> 01:05:21,640
Speaker 3: that'll come out on Friday. We'll have a weekend recap

1455
01:05:21,680 --> 01:05:23,520
Speaker 3: that comes out on Monday. We'll talk about any weekday

1456
01:05:23,560 --> 01:05:25,640
Speaker 3: games as well. I don't think we're gonna have too

1457
01:05:25,680 --> 01:05:28,680
Speaker 3: venue this year, so we'll be back in business until

1458
01:05:28,760 --> 01:05:32,280
Speaker 3: college football lets us and then hopefully on to college basketball.

1459
01:05:32,560 --> 01:05:36,680
Speaker 3: But again, don't forget the subscribe unsubscribe. Thanks again for listening,

1460
01:05:36,880 --> 01:05:54,360
Speaker 3: and we'll catch you all later years. Peace out, we're

1461
01:05:54,400 --> 01:05:55,240
Speaker 3: finished talking