WEBVTT - CEO Brian Niccol Says Chipotle Navigating Covid Headwinds

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Week. I'm Karl Masser and I'm

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Quick Takes Tim Stanovik. We're here every day bringing

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<v Speaker 1>you the latest news from the world to business and finance,

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<v Speaker 1>plus technology, politics, economics, all purtnising the power of Business

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<v Speaker 1>Week reporters and editors, not to mention our journalists and

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<v Speaker 1>analyst in more than one twenty countries. You can download

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Business Week and iTunes, SoundCloud, or Bloomberg dot com.

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<v Speaker 1>You can also listen to our radio show at two

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<v Speaker 1>pm Eastern Time on the Bloomberg Radio or watch us

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<v Speaker 1>on YouTube search Bloomberg Global News. Fights are saying the

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<v Speaker 1>Coven nineteen shot it's developed with bion Tech was that

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<v Speaker 1>ninety point seven percent effective against symptomatic cases and kids

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<v Speaker 1>ages five to eleven. Seven day moving average of DU

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<v Speaker 1>cases has dropped fift in the past week. That's good news,

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<v Speaker 1>very good news. That's very good news. In Europe, Germany

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<v Speaker 1>recorded its steepest one day increase though in new coronavirus

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<v Speaker 1>cases in more than five months. Meanwhile, a majority of

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<v Speaker 1>Swiss are seen backing a law allowing the government to

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<v Speaker 1>issue COVID nineteen certificates for entry into theaters and restaurants

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<v Speaker 1>ahead of a national vote. All right, so let's get

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<v Speaker 1>to it. Let's get our weekly check with Dr Ian Lesbata,

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<v Speaker 1>clinical professor of medicine at n y U Lango's Medical Center.

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<v Speaker 1>He joins us now on the phone from New York City,

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<v Speaker 1>Dr Lesbador, Happy Friday. It's good to have you back

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<v Speaker 1>with us. The CDC backing boosters from J and J

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<v Speaker 1>and MODERNA. Uh. We're also learning that people can choose

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<v Speaker 1>a shot that's different from their original one. Caroline, I

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<v Speaker 1>have been talking look full disclosure. We're emailing each other

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<v Speaker 1>about like, Okay, what newser we're gonna get, How are

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<v Speaker 1>we gonna do this? Help give us some guidance here hopefully.

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<v Speaker 1>Good Happy Friday, guys. Definitely, Uh, lots of news on

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<v Speaker 1>all the fronts. Not safe to go to a party,

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<v Speaker 1>it seems, without without potential risk. That's a good point.

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<v Speaker 1>So be course. Delta, you know, has arrived and mutated

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<v Speaker 1>in the original Alpha VIC scenes, although pretty effective, over time,

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<v Speaker 1>have sort of waned. Obviously, there's been this whole debate

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<v Speaker 1>and studies, but finally the CDC has come out with recommendations.

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<v Speaker 1>So certainly for the people who received the Fightser and

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<v Speaker 1>maderna two shot regimen. Uh. If it's been six months

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<v Speaker 1>after those, uh, the second shot, you're eligible for a booster.

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<v Speaker 1>Those are people sixty five and older. Uh. Those are

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<v Speaker 1>people eighteen and older who have either underlying medical conditions

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<v Speaker 1>or live or work in a high risk setting like healthcare.

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<v Speaker 1>You may consider your office a high risk setting possibly,

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<v Speaker 1>but officially we're talking you know, first responders, healthcare providers,

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<v Speaker 1>teachers in school, prison settings, manufacturing. There's really a very

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<v Speaker 1>wide list and there's a bit of a wide list

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<v Speaker 1>of the underlying medical conditions. So basically, de facto, most people,

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<v Speaker 1>if you're above eighteen, would be eligible after six months

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<v Speaker 1>for a booster, and J and J somewhat similar. That's

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<v Speaker 1>a two month window. Uh. That's eighteen and older. Uh,

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<v Speaker 1>that's about fifteen million people who are eligible because they

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<v Speaker 1>received the first shot, so uh, and the second shots.

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<v Speaker 1>Really that the third shots can be mixed and match.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, the data is having two different kinds of

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<v Speaker 1>vaccines seems to really increase antibodies. So at this point

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<v Speaker 1>it's certainly reasonable to take a third vaccine of whatever

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<v Speaker 1>the first two you've had. UM, although if that's not available,

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<v Speaker 1>or for a variety of reasons you want to switch

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<v Speaker 1>to another one. It's probably perfectly fine to do that. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>let's talk about that, should we. Some are saying that

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<v Speaker 1>there might be benefits to mixing and matching. Tell us

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<v Speaker 1>what's your take or what is the advice that you

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<v Speaker 1>guys are following so far? When it comes to that,

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<v Speaker 1>it sounds like they want to do mix and match

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<v Speaker 1>so that you don't feel like if if you've had

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<v Speaker 1>fiser and all, you can get access to as Maderna

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<v Speaker 1>as a booster to not walk away from it. Um.

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<v Speaker 1>But but what should we understand about mix and matches?

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<v Speaker 1>It a good thing to do or it doesn't really matter.

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<v Speaker 1>It probably is actually a good thing to do. It

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<v Speaker 1>exposes your immune system to a slightly different UH in

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<v Speaker 1>a sort of variant or vehicle. Certainly, the people who

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<v Speaker 1>J and J, it does seem that getting a messenger

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<v Speaker 1>or an a vaccine really boost their immunity more vigorously.

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<v Speaker 1>So you if you had J and J and you

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<v Speaker 1>want another J and J, you could certainly do that.

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<v Speaker 1>But if you take any of the m R n

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<v Speaker 1>A s you certainly get a bigger boost out of that, uh,

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<v Speaker 1>and that also looks like for the fiser and Maderna

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<v Speaker 1>that if you do kind of switch those, it looks

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<v Speaker 1>like you may get a bit of a boost to

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<v Speaker 1>What we don't really have is long term data, right,

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<v Speaker 1>so we do know these uh improvements in protection certainly

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<v Speaker 1>go out about the study length, which is about fifteen

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<v Speaker 1>to twenty nine days, So certainly for a while you're

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<v Speaker 1>very protected, much decreased infection and transmissibility. We don't really

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<v Speaker 1>know six months from now what that will be. We

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<v Speaker 1>think it's going to be effective and there's probably some

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<v Speaker 1>T cell and memory cell boost. Hopefully COVID will be

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<v Speaker 1>winding down in the United States after the next six months,

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<v Speaker 1>so it will give you some protection along the way,

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<v Speaker 1>but also important to stay healthy, lose weight, control the diabetes,

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<v Speaker 1>control your blood pressure. You know, take supplements like vitamin

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<v Speaker 1>D if you're low. So there are other approaches, but

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<v Speaker 1>in general it would make sense to switch if you can,

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<v Speaker 1>but there's no harm in taking the third of what

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<v Speaker 1>you've already taken. Okay, some some very helpful information there. Hey,

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<v Speaker 1>Dr Lesbia, you said hopefully COVID will wind down over

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<v Speaker 1>the next six months. What do you think it will

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<v Speaker 1>look like it goes as it goes from pandemic to endemic.

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<v Speaker 1>You're exactly right, endemic. I think we'll be having cases

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<v Speaker 1>UM sporadically. We do have some data about vaccines for

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<v Speaker 1>kids five to eleven as well. Again, those are small studies,

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<v Speaker 1>two thousand studies. You know whether or not that will

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<v Speaker 1>make a big difference in in the endemic nature, we

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<v Speaker 1>don't know, But I think hopefully we'll have either some

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<v Speaker 1>treatments UM and hopefully as resistant builds. From a herd

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<v Speaker 1>immunity point of view, there may be cases of COVID

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<v Speaker 1>and obviously if we have home test kits that would

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<v Speaker 1>be great. If you think you're sick and it turns

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<v Speaker 1>out positive, please don't go to work. So I think

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<v Speaker 1>we'll be able to live with this, and hopefully it

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<v Speaker 1>will be even less damaging than the flu, which does

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<v Speaker 1>have a mortality of about fifty per year. Yeah, all right,

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<v Speaker 1>I'm gonna leave it on that note. Hey, Ian, have

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<v Speaker 1>a great week. Dr Ian los pad Or, a clinical

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<v Speaker 1>professor of medicine at and Why you land on medical

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<v Speaker 1>center on the phone from New York City? So what

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<v Speaker 1>would you do then? In a booster would you flip. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>I think I'd flip. You'd flip, Yeah, I mean I

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<v Speaker 1>got fier and modern is all the rage now with

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<v Speaker 1>the Delph Brake Maderna is all the brage. I'm gonna

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<v Speaker 1>get T shirts printed up. All right, you're listening to Bloomberg.

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Week with Carol Masser and Bloomberg

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<v Speaker 1>Quick Takes Tim Stinovich from Bloomberg Radio. Once we start

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<v Speaker 1>talking about this story, you're gonna understand why it is

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<v Speaker 1>the most right story on the Bloomberg Today. And if

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<v Speaker 1>you're looking for access to West Point General's confidential support

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<v Speaker 1>groups and private getaways, Tim, We've got the place for you. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>you probably should be a billionaire, pretty close to a billionaire.

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<v Speaker 1>Well maybe not that might. It's not a guarantee. It's

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<v Speaker 1>not a guarantee. I won't not guaranteed. To get in

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<v Speaker 1>to give us all the details, is Suzanne Willie, personal

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<v Speaker 1>finance reporter at Bloomberg New She's with us in the

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Interactive Broker Studio. It's called our three sixty. What

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<v Speaker 1>is it. It's a very exclusive new membership organization for

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<v Speaker 1>people who have at least a hundred million in net worth,

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<v Speaker 1>although the average of the forty eight members right now

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<v Speaker 1>is about two hundred million UM. And it's this sort

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<v Speaker 1>of mish mush of things. It's a it's like a

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<v Speaker 1>pure to pair learning network, but it's also an investment network,

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<v Speaker 1>and it's it's sort of a taking more holistic view

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<v Speaker 1>of your wealth. And you go on this three year

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<v Speaker 1>journey quote air quotes, journey that costs hundred and eighty

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<v Speaker 1>thousand dollars for you and your family. You know, that

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<v Speaker 1>doesn't seem that expensive considering if you're a million How much? Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>because if you think about it from the perspective, Okay,

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<v Speaker 1>well how much your expensive? Okay, Tim, Well, well, I

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<v Speaker 1>mean how much I meet My mind when I was

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<v Speaker 1>reading this this morning, my mind to media started wise

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<v Speaker 1>right right, Yeah, And that's like you know their country

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<v Speaker 1>clubs that cost that much? Yeah, well, you do pay

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<v Speaker 1>more for if you want to go on, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>the private trip to Richard Branson's Necker Island or which happened?

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<v Speaker 1>Which happened? Tennis played some talis with Branson. Tell us

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<v Speaker 1>about the individual who who created this, what was the

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<v Speaker 1>idea of thinking, and how maybe it's kind of representative

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<v Speaker 1>of our times perhaps it's interesting UM. A man named

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<v Speaker 1>Charles Garcia started it UM. He's an entrepreneur and has

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<v Speaker 1>been in a lot of different networks UM, including Tiger

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<v Speaker 1>twenty one, which is a very well known network. And

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<v Speaker 1>he was at the Harvard Advanced Leadership Initiative where you

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<v Speaker 1>go for ten months and you sort of create a

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<v Speaker 1>project and develop it with a lot of the professors there,

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<v Speaker 1>and he came up with this idea for our three

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<v Speaker 1>sixty as a way to sort of get together a

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<v Speaker 1>lot of like minded people with a lot of wealth

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<v Speaker 1>who can learn from each other because you know, the

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<v Speaker 1>rich do have different problems than you and me. But

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<v Speaker 1>it's interesting too because it's isn't just professional problems? Is

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<v Speaker 1>it personal problems? Are they? It's three six it's everything

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<v Speaker 1>it is. You know, they talk about having like six

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<v Speaker 1>areas of capital that you're going to focus on over

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<v Speaker 1>that three year journey. So you have it spells fishes.

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<v Speaker 1>It's financial, intellectual, spiritual, human, emotional authority, and social um

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<v Speaker 1>fishes and so you sort of, UM, you're trying to

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<v Speaker 1>gain mastery over all these six areas, and you're doing

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<v Speaker 1>that in workshops, would say, like meetings of fifteen of

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<v Speaker 1>your like minded peers, none from the same company or

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<v Speaker 1>you know, industry, so that you can be very um open.

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<v Speaker 1>But it is it's talking about you. I mean, it

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<v Speaker 1>could be work, it could be a lot of the

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<v Speaker 1>talk is about children people who have come into wealth.

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<v Speaker 1>A lot of these people are entrepreneurs who sort of

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<v Speaker 1>suddenly became wealthy, and they don't want their children to

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<v Speaker 1>be corrupted. One interesting thing about this was how this

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<v Speaker 1>is set up as an entity, a limited partnership with

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<v Speaker 1>partners contributing three thousand dollars each. But the idea is

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<v Speaker 1>that it'll never be sold. And as you report, they

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<v Speaker 1>want this to be around a century or two from now. Right.

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<v Speaker 1>They have very grand visions of what they hope to

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<v Speaker 1>do with this group. Um it's forty eight members and

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<v Speaker 1>they own I guess about six of the of our

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<v Speaker 1>three sixty and um it's sort of unique and being

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<v Speaker 1>member owned like that, and the members themselves are creating

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<v Speaker 1>the programming. Although they're also creating programming wing with a

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<v Speaker 1>lot of elite universities, you know, Harvard, Stanford, m I,

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<v Speaker 1>t UM, special programs made just for their members. UM.

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<v Speaker 1>But it's um, yeah, it's it's a unique it's a

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<v Speaker 1>unique structure. Well, and I'm curious about, okay, if it

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<v Speaker 1>is truly representative of our times. I mean, we we've

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<v Speaker 1>talked about how much wealth creation, but I think about

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<v Speaker 1>diversity inclusion, like, are they approaching I mean, if you

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<v Speaker 1>really want to get smarter thought, most people would say

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<v Speaker 1>you have to have diverse thought and inclusive thought. That's true.

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, I think it is indicative of our of

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<v Speaker 1>our times, just because there's so much wealth and the

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<v Speaker 1>gaps between like the merely wealthy and the super wealthy

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<v Speaker 1>are growing. Um. And they do have a special focus

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<v Speaker 1>they say on women. Um, women will get a massive

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<v Speaker 1>wealth transfer um in years from now. Um. So they

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<v Speaker 1>have there's a Women's committee, there's a Rising Generation Committee

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<v Speaker 1>of young you know leaders. Um. I think they have

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<v Speaker 1>a diversity of thought, but they're you know, they're all very, very,

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<v Speaker 1>very wealthy. Yeah, there's still a comic commonality. What about

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<v Speaker 1>when it comes to access to deals or deal flow

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<v Speaker 1>and actually having opportunities to get in on something. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>that's a big part of it. It's a big part

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<v Speaker 1>of any network, you know, Tiger twenty one, there's a

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<v Speaker 1>lot of that there. And these are people who see

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of deals, you know, So what they're doing

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<v Speaker 1>is there. You know, people can present deals, but they

0:11:55.760 --> 0:11:58.160
<v Speaker 1>want to be very disciplined about it, so they put

0:11:58.160 --> 0:12:00.640
<v Speaker 1>it through a very rigorous checklist. They are the members

0:12:00.679 --> 0:12:03.679
<v Speaker 1>form an investment committee and they go through a checklist

0:12:03.679 --> 0:12:06.200
<v Speaker 1>of supposally a hundred different things, and then they send

0:12:06.200 --> 0:12:08.439
<v Speaker 1>it out to an outside due diligence firm to look

0:12:08.480 --> 0:12:11.800
<v Speaker 1>at sort of operationally as you know, up to snuff

0:12:11.840 --> 0:12:15.559
<v Speaker 1>and financially, and then the member can propose a phone

0:12:15.559 --> 0:12:18.000
<v Speaker 1>call and any member who wants to can call in.

0:12:18.440 --> 0:12:21.080
<v Speaker 1>But they have, like many places, they have a really

0:12:21.080 --> 0:12:25.000
<v Speaker 1>an emphasis on non solicitation because people just hate being

0:12:25.040 --> 0:12:26.800
<v Speaker 1>I mean, you know, we'd love to get into some

0:12:26.840 --> 0:12:29.040
<v Speaker 1>of these deals, right, but you know, if you're very wealthy,

0:12:29.040 --> 0:12:31.320
<v Speaker 1>you're bombarded with deals all the time. Well, I also

0:12:31.440 --> 0:12:33.240
<v Speaker 1>like to you talked I think a little bit about

0:12:33.240 --> 0:12:35.960
<v Speaker 1>generational wealth, right, and you can actually make was it

0:12:36.000 --> 0:12:39.320
<v Speaker 1>a film or a book about that? To me is interesting.

0:12:39.480 --> 0:12:41.360
<v Speaker 1>I think it's kind of cool. Yeah, you could. They

0:12:41.360 --> 0:12:44.600
<v Speaker 1>have a document they have a full time filmmaker on staff,

0:12:45.280 --> 0:12:48.160
<v Speaker 1>and you get a documentary made. And the point is,

0:12:48.960 --> 0:12:52.440
<v Speaker 1>you know, you want influence to be a good sort

0:12:52.440 --> 0:12:55.439
<v Speaker 1>of capital there. They say, you want to influence generations

0:12:55.440 --> 0:12:58.000
<v Speaker 1>that are to come that our benefits, that will benefit

0:12:58.040 --> 0:13:00.079
<v Speaker 1>from your wealth. But they will never know you, and

0:13:00.120 --> 0:13:01.760
<v Speaker 1>they will never know where the money came from and

0:13:01.800 --> 0:13:04.080
<v Speaker 1>the work that it took and how many people were involved.

0:13:04.640 --> 0:13:08.600
<v Speaker 1>So it's partly, you know, a document to create your legacy,

0:13:08.720 --> 0:13:12.400
<v Speaker 1>and then you'll work on it over this three year journey,

0:13:12.679 --> 0:13:14.880
<v Speaker 1>and at the end of the journey, presumably you will

0:13:15.160 --> 0:13:17.440
<v Speaker 1>have a clear sense of your purpose in life and

0:13:17.600 --> 0:13:19.280
<v Speaker 1>the good you want to do in the world, and

0:13:19.280 --> 0:13:22.079
<v Speaker 1>you'll finish them. Perhaps somebody's listening right now, they're saying,

0:13:22.120 --> 0:13:24.600
<v Speaker 1>I got a few hundred million dollars. I'm interested in

0:13:24.640 --> 0:13:29.160
<v Speaker 1>the fishes idea. How do I get in? Sorry, you

0:13:29.200 --> 0:13:33.320
<v Speaker 1>can't get in because we're done, because well no they're not.

0:13:33.360 --> 0:13:35.800
<v Speaker 1>You can get in, okay, but but it's invitation only.

0:13:36.400 --> 0:13:39.000
<v Speaker 1>So the fifty members that are there now they can

0:13:39.040 --> 0:13:41.280
<v Speaker 1>each invite two people. They only want to get fifty

0:13:41.320 --> 0:13:47.480
<v Speaker 1>people a year. No offense forgive me. But so right

0:13:47.520 --> 0:13:51.439
<v Speaker 1>now it's just um, you know when you did, We've

0:13:51.480 --> 0:13:53.360
<v Speaker 1>just got about twenty five seconds left. Suzanne. When you

0:13:53.360 --> 0:13:54.719
<v Speaker 1>when you started working in the story what is it

0:13:54.760 --> 0:13:57.720
<v Speaker 1>that you really wanted to know about it? Guy just

0:13:57.760 --> 0:14:00.960
<v Speaker 1>wanted to know what they were going to learn from

0:14:01.120 --> 0:14:04.360
<v Speaker 1>each other, you know, and what was the real demand.

0:14:05.040 --> 0:14:07.080
<v Speaker 1>And it was interesting to hear a lot of it

0:14:07.160 --> 0:14:10.800
<v Speaker 1>just being about children, which isn't really surprising, but a

0:14:10.840 --> 0:14:16.560
<v Speaker 1>lot about as if to protect your children from sort

0:14:16.559 --> 0:14:20.440
<v Speaker 1>of being I don't know, corrupted by my wealth. Yeah, right,

0:14:20.480 --> 0:14:22.480
<v Speaker 1>we've seen it. There's certainly been lots of real life

0:14:22.480 --> 0:14:24.800
<v Speaker 1>stories of it. Um great read most right story on

0:14:24.800 --> 0:14:27.200
<v Speaker 1>the Bloomberg sits Annualie, thank you so much. She's personal

0:14:27.240 --> 0:14:30.800
<v Speaker 1>finance reporter here at Bloomberg News in our interactive broker's studio.

0:14:32.320 --> 0:14:38.200
<v Speaker 1>I'll do it. It's just saying you're listening to Bloomberg

0:14:38.200 --> 0:14:41.920
<v Speaker 1>Business Week with Carol Masser and Bloomberg Quick Takes Tim

0:14:41.960 --> 0:14:45.920
<v Speaker 1>Stinovic on Bloomberg Radio. Well, I mentioned to Potle, Mexican

0:14:45.960 --> 0:14:49.440
<v Speaker 1>grill stocks down about three point two percent today. Company

0:14:49.480 --> 0:14:52.800
<v Speaker 1>reported earnings after the close last night's sales last quarter,

0:14:52.840 --> 0:14:56.240
<v Speaker 1>topping Alice estimates to Potle benefited from price increases and

0:14:56.280 --> 0:14:59.040
<v Speaker 1>digital ordering, along with vaccination efforts that really help bring

0:14:59.360 --> 0:15:02.120
<v Speaker 1>customers back into the stores. Let's get to it. Stuck

0:15:02.160 --> 0:15:05.720
<v Speaker 1>by the way up about so far in one great

0:15:05.760 --> 0:15:07.680
<v Speaker 1>to have back with us the chairman CEO of Chipotle,

0:15:08.080 --> 0:15:11.400
<v Speaker 1>Brian nicol. He is joining us from Newport Beach, California. Brian,

0:15:11.440 --> 0:15:12.560
<v Speaker 1>you know what we all want to know is did

0:15:12.640 --> 0:15:14.640
<v Speaker 1>you just have a smoke brisket sandwich because they seem

0:15:14.720 --> 0:15:19.160
<v Speaker 1>to be so in demand. Well, actually, I just had

0:15:19.200 --> 0:15:24.560
<v Speaker 1>a smoke brisket case. We knew it, and we're jealous.

0:15:25.280 --> 0:15:27.720
<v Speaker 1>We're gonna talk. We're gonna talk about this. Listen. What

0:15:27.760 --> 0:15:30.080
<v Speaker 1>I love about talking to you is you have been

0:15:30.120 --> 0:15:33.200
<v Speaker 1>in the consumer space, the restaurant space for a while.

0:15:33.240 --> 0:15:36.240
<v Speaker 1>You are at Procton Gamble for ten years. You uh

0:15:36.760 --> 0:15:40.120
<v Speaker 1>moved up the channel at Taco Bell, eventually becoming president CEO.

0:15:40.160 --> 0:15:43.680
<v Speaker 1>You really repositioned that company. You understand this space. What's

0:15:43.680 --> 0:15:45.640
<v Speaker 1>it like to be a CEO in this space when

0:15:45.640 --> 0:15:48.920
<v Speaker 1>you're still dealing with the pandemic, You're dealing with labor inflation,

0:15:49.000 --> 0:15:52.400
<v Speaker 1>wage inflation, and commodity inflation. How tough is it and

0:15:52.440 --> 0:15:57.680
<v Speaker 1>how tough is this environment? Well? Look, you know one

0:15:57.680 --> 0:16:00.360
<v Speaker 1>thing that's I've learned early in my career and still

0:16:00.400 --> 0:16:03.800
<v Speaker 1>stands today is you've got to have a strong brand

0:16:04.000 --> 0:16:07.920
<v Speaker 1>that stands for something in the consumer's mind to navigate

0:16:07.960 --> 0:16:11.440
<v Speaker 1>all those headwinds that you just mentioned. And we're pretty fortunate.

0:16:11.440 --> 0:16:14.880
<v Speaker 1>You know, Chipotle has always stood for food with integrity,

0:16:14.960 --> 0:16:17.160
<v Speaker 1>and then when you peel that back, you know, we

0:16:17.240 --> 0:16:22.680
<v Speaker 1>provide great culinary, tremendous customization really you know, I think

0:16:23.040 --> 0:16:25.920
<v Speaker 1>world class access, and then you know, you roll that

0:16:25.960 --> 0:16:28.480
<v Speaker 1>all together and we've got a really strong value proposition.

0:16:28.560 --> 0:16:31.640
<v Speaker 1>So our brand has stayed really strong throughout all this,

0:16:31.840 --> 0:16:34.520
<v Speaker 1>and we're really fortunate that, you know, we've got a

0:16:34.520 --> 0:16:38.400
<v Speaker 1>brand that really resonates with consumers and resonates with our employees.

0:16:38.640 --> 0:16:40.440
<v Speaker 1>But if I had to ask you to characterize the

0:16:40.520 --> 0:16:43.280
<v Speaker 1>environment what we're what we'd would you use? Brian? Is

0:16:43.320 --> 0:16:46.880
<v Speaker 1>it tough? Yeah, it's tough. You know, it's definitely tough.

0:16:46.920 --> 0:16:49.640
<v Speaker 1>You you've got to make sure that you know, you've

0:16:49.680 --> 0:16:52.520
<v Speaker 1>got clear strategies. You have to make sure that everybody's

0:16:52.600 --> 0:16:56.680
<v Speaker 1>executing on all cylinders. And I'm really proud of our team.

0:16:56.680 --> 0:16:59.359
<v Speaker 1>You know, I think our results speak for our strategies

0:16:59.400 --> 0:17:02.120
<v Speaker 1>and our execute and the caliber of the people that

0:17:02.200 --> 0:17:04.800
<v Speaker 1>we have across our organization. Um, it's and I don't

0:17:04.800 --> 0:17:07.200
<v Speaker 1>think it's gonna get any easier here going forward. Well, Brian,

0:17:07.240 --> 0:17:09.800
<v Speaker 1>you mentioned the power of the Chipotle brand when it

0:17:09.840 --> 0:17:12.640
<v Speaker 1>comes to how consumers think about it. How much pricing

0:17:12.680 --> 0:17:16.520
<v Speaker 1>power do you have to actually pass along higher costs

0:17:16.560 --> 0:17:19.960
<v Speaker 1>that your experience, whether they're labor costs or commodity costs

0:17:20.000 --> 0:17:23.840
<v Speaker 1>onto consumers. Yeah, you know, we we look at that

0:17:24.720 --> 0:17:27.280
<v Speaker 1>both in the past, right, We have had to take

0:17:27.320 --> 0:17:30.280
<v Speaker 1>some price recently, um, and we were fortunate to have

0:17:30.480 --> 0:17:33.520
<v Speaker 1>such a strong value proposition that we didn't really see

0:17:33.520 --> 0:17:37.520
<v Speaker 1>any resistance from consumers. We continue to attract closely what

0:17:37.560 --> 0:17:41.040
<v Speaker 1>our value proposition looks like, and we continue have a

0:17:41.080 --> 0:17:45.240
<v Speaker 1>really strong value uh score with consumers. And you know,

0:17:45.240 --> 0:17:46.920
<v Speaker 1>a lot of people ask me, what does that really mean?

0:17:46.960 --> 0:17:49.240
<v Speaker 1>You know, the way I bring it to light, a

0:17:49.320 --> 0:17:52.840
<v Speaker 1>chicken burrito or a chicken bowl, which is the number

0:17:52.880 --> 0:17:55.640
<v Speaker 1>one thing we sell, it's still less than eight dollars.

0:17:55.720 --> 0:17:58.439
<v Speaker 1>And so when you stop and think about the you know,

0:17:58.520 --> 0:18:02.320
<v Speaker 1>the culinary, the quality you of those ingredients, the customization

0:18:02.400 --> 0:18:05.240
<v Speaker 1>of the meal for less than eight dollars, you're hard

0:18:05.240 --> 0:18:07.879
<v Speaker 1>pressed to find that anywhere else. And that is what

0:18:07.920 --> 0:18:09.840
<v Speaker 1>we mean by hey, we get we've got a tremendous

0:18:09.920 --> 0:18:12.520
<v Speaker 1>value proposition, and we still have lots of pricing power

0:18:13.119 --> 0:18:17.159
<v Speaker 1>moving forward. So you know, as I've said many times before,

0:18:17.560 --> 0:18:19.480
<v Speaker 1>it's really the last thing we like to pull. We

0:18:19.560 --> 0:18:23.600
<v Speaker 1>prefer you get the growth, find ways to cut costs

0:18:23.600 --> 0:18:26.360
<v Speaker 1>to really be efficient. But if we need to use

0:18:26.400 --> 0:18:29.119
<v Speaker 1>the pricing lever, we do it. We've done it in

0:18:29.119 --> 0:18:32.640
<v Speaker 1>the past. We're pretty judicious with it, uh and fortunately

0:18:32.680 --> 0:18:35.280
<v Speaker 1>we've navigated it really well well given the challenging environment

0:18:35.320 --> 0:18:38.840
<v Speaker 1>that you describe to us, when realistically could you see

0:18:38.920 --> 0:18:43.480
<v Speaker 1>yourself raising prices again, you know, it's something that we're

0:18:43.480 --> 0:18:47.040
<v Speaker 1>looking at right now. We traditionally always evaluate near the

0:18:47.119 --> 0:18:49.119
<v Speaker 1>end of the year what do we think inflation is

0:18:49.160 --> 0:18:52.440
<v Speaker 1>gonna look like for you know, wages and a lot

0:18:52.480 --> 0:18:55.800
<v Speaker 1>of our other input costs, So we always look at that.

0:18:56.000 --> 0:18:58.720
<v Speaker 1>And then obviously in this environment right now, there's a

0:18:58.720 --> 0:19:02.199
<v Speaker 1>lot of things that have been unexpected. Right Freight is

0:19:02.240 --> 0:19:06.879
<v Speaker 1>really high. We believe that's going to be temporary. Versus wages,

0:19:07.160 --> 0:19:09.119
<v Speaker 1>I think are going to continue to have some additional

0:19:09.240 --> 0:19:11.639
<v Speaker 1>upward movement. Um, so we've got to figure out how

0:19:11.640 --> 0:19:13.800
<v Speaker 1>to balance that. But you know, we're trying to figure

0:19:13.840 --> 0:19:15.200
<v Speaker 1>out what is the priceing we want to take to

0:19:15.280 --> 0:19:18.560
<v Speaker 1>cover things that are permanent versus the things that are temporary,

0:19:18.600 --> 0:19:21.400
<v Speaker 1>and then balance that with you know, we have tremendous

0:19:21.440 --> 0:19:22.639
<v Speaker 1>growth in front of us, so we want to make

0:19:22.640 --> 0:19:25.240
<v Speaker 1>sure we're leveraging the growth to offset some of these

0:19:25.280 --> 0:19:27.440
<v Speaker 1>costs to UM, because at the end of it comes

0:19:27.480 --> 0:19:29.959
<v Speaker 1>back to I want people feeling great about the chicken

0:19:30.000 --> 0:19:31.840
<v Speaker 1>burrito that they buy from us. You know, I want

0:19:31.840 --> 0:19:33.800
<v Speaker 1>them all we're saying, well, I got a lot more

0:19:34.760 --> 0:19:37.040
<v Speaker 1>for my money than any place else when it comes

0:19:37.080 --> 0:19:39.480
<v Speaker 1>to picking a great meal. Hey, if we may just

0:19:39.520 --> 0:19:41.680
<v Speaker 1>when we're question on prices, Brian, I mean, I think

0:19:41.720 --> 0:19:43.919
<v Speaker 1>you guys raise prices menu prices by as much as

0:19:43.920 --> 0:19:45.960
<v Speaker 1>four percent earlier in the year. So if we think

0:19:46.000 --> 0:19:48.600
<v Speaker 1>about what you might raise prices by, do you have

0:19:48.680 --> 0:19:50.919
<v Speaker 1>a number that's kind of being talked about at the

0:19:50.920 --> 0:19:53.240
<v Speaker 1>at the company that you guys are just bouncing around.

0:19:54.480 --> 0:19:57.040
<v Speaker 1>You know, I think we've been pretty consistent. We we

0:19:57.119 --> 0:20:00.760
<v Speaker 1>usually take about two to three percent UM, and you know,

0:20:01.160 --> 0:20:03.120
<v Speaker 1>we take a look at as I mentioned, all those

0:20:03.160 --> 0:20:07.640
<v Speaker 1>other variables to help us inform what that should look like. UM.

0:20:07.680 --> 0:20:09.879
<v Speaker 1>You know, whether or not it's gonna be necessary to

0:20:09.920 --> 0:20:13.040
<v Speaker 1>go beyond that that's what we're waiting to try and understand. So,

0:20:13.359 --> 0:20:15.800
<v Speaker 1>you know, the good news is we've got the strength

0:20:16.119 --> 0:20:19.360
<v Speaker 1>of you know, a really powerful brand with I think

0:20:19.440 --> 0:20:22.280
<v Speaker 1>excellent results. That gives us the flexibility on the timing

0:20:22.440 --> 0:20:24.720
<v Speaker 1>of how we phase in pricing if we need to

0:20:24.720 --> 0:20:27.520
<v Speaker 1>go beyond the two or three percent that we've taken historically.

0:20:28.000 --> 0:20:29.919
<v Speaker 1>One of the challenges that many companies like yours are

0:20:29.960 --> 0:20:32.240
<v Speaker 1>facing right now is labor. We talked about it so

0:20:32.320 --> 0:20:34.199
<v Speaker 1>much at Bloomberg and our audience is really familiar with

0:20:34.200 --> 0:20:37.280
<v Speaker 1>the challenges that companies are facing. How is staffing right now?

0:20:37.320 --> 0:20:39.320
<v Speaker 1>What percent are you staffed? If you think about open

0:20:39.320 --> 0:20:43.040
<v Speaker 1>positions that you have at restaurants throughout the country. Yeah,

0:20:43.040 --> 0:20:46.520
<v Speaker 1>we're we're pretty fortunate. Um, you know, back in I

0:20:46.560 --> 0:20:50.320
<v Speaker 1>guess it was like March April earlier this year, staffing

0:20:50.400 --> 0:20:53.000
<v Speaker 1>was really challenging. Uh, you know, it kind of was

0:20:53.000 --> 0:20:56.720
<v Speaker 1>one of those scenarios where as our dining rooms reopened,

0:20:56.720 --> 0:21:00.280
<v Speaker 1>consumers became much more mobile, our demand just took off,

0:21:00.400 --> 0:21:03.919
<v Speaker 1>and you know, we were caught behind staffing our restaurants

0:21:04.000 --> 0:21:06.159
<v Speaker 1>and it took us a while to get caught up.

0:21:06.520 --> 0:21:08.280
<v Speaker 1>You know, we still have you know, a couple of

0:21:08.359 --> 0:21:12.200
<v Speaker 1>hundred restaurants where you know, we're challenged with the staffing.

0:21:12.640 --> 0:21:17.199
<v Speaker 1>The good news is though it's much more across the country. Uh,

0:21:17.400 --> 0:21:19.159
<v Speaker 1>you know, it's a couple of restaurants in the region

0:21:19.200 --> 0:21:22.000
<v Speaker 1>here or there, and we're being very you know, surgical

0:21:22.040 --> 0:21:24.200
<v Speaker 1>on how do we ensure that restaurant gets the staffing

0:21:24.359 --> 0:21:27.840
<v Speaker 1>necessary to be successful. But it's a tough environment, make

0:21:27.920 --> 0:21:29.840
<v Speaker 1>no mistake, And I kind of come back to where

0:21:29.840 --> 0:21:32.919
<v Speaker 1>we started earlier. It's like the way we recruit is

0:21:32.960 --> 0:21:35.040
<v Speaker 1>we talked about the strength of the brand, we talked

0:21:35.080 --> 0:21:38.399
<v Speaker 1>about the growth opportunities, and then obviously this is what

0:21:38.440 --> 0:21:40.399
<v Speaker 1>the proposition looks like when you get started with us,

0:21:40.440 --> 0:21:43.560
<v Speaker 1>you know, from wages to benefits to you know, being

0:21:43.560 --> 0:21:46.520
<v Speaker 1>a part of the great team. So, um, it's a

0:21:46.520 --> 0:21:49.119
<v Speaker 1>tough environment, no doubt. Are you at all worried, Brian

0:21:49.119 --> 0:21:51.600
<v Speaker 1>about workers trying to unionize in this environment? I mean

0:21:51.600 --> 0:21:54.240
<v Speaker 1>it does feel like as they get you know, hourly gains,

0:21:54.280 --> 0:21:57.680
<v Speaker 1>there feels like the workers feeling empowered at this point.

0:21:57.760 --> 0:22:01.560
<v Speaker 1>Is that at all on your mind? You know, Look

0:22:01.680 --> 0:22:03.160
<v Speaker 1>what I what I want to make sure is we're

0:22:03.160 --> 0:22:08.119
<v Speaker 1>giving our employees a great experience. And my belief is

0:22:08.200 --> 0:22:12.000
<v Speaker 1>Chipotle is a place that gives employees tremendous personal growth

0:22:12.160 --> 0:22:15.720
<v Speaker 1>as well as, you know, business growth. And there aren't

0:22:15.720 --> 0:22:18.600
<v Speaker 1>many places where you can join an organization as a

0:22:18.600 --> 0:22:21.560
<v Speaker 1>crew member and in a couple of years find yourself

0:22:21.680 --> 0:22:25.000
<v Speaker 1>running a multimillion dollar restaurant with a team of thirty

0:22:25.119 --> 0:22:28.240
<v Speaker 1>to thirty five employees. But I think what also gets

0:22:28.240 --> 0:22:30.800
<v Speaker 1>people excited is and then there's a path to being

0:22:30.800 --> 0:22:33.440
<v Speaker 1>a leader of multiple units, right where you get above

0:22:33.480 --> 0:22:36.159
<v Speaker 1>the store and now you're overseeing seven eight restaurants, and

0:22:36.720 --> 0:22:38.840
<v Speaker 1>you know the next levels our team director where you're

0:22:38.840 --> 0:22:42.240
<v Speaker 1>overseeing restaurants. The fact that we're gonna go build three

0:22:42.280 --> 0:22:46.800
<v Speaker 1>thousand or more restaurants, the growth for you professionally, it's

0:22:46.840 --> 0:22:49.160
<v Speaker 1>just tremendous. And then we want to make sure we're

0:22:49.200 --> 0:22:53.199
<v Speaker 1>providing everything we can so that personally you're growing. Um.

0:22:53.240 --> 0:22:57.040
<v Speaker 1>You know, we have tuition reimbursement, that free degrees, mental

0:22:57.040 --> 0:22:59.920
<v Speaker 1>health benefits. But you know it's I think when you

0:23:00.000 --> 0:23:03.920
<v Speaker 1>give people a great experience at the job, they're delighting

0:23:03.960 --> 0:23:06.080
<v Speaker 1>to be a part of it. And that's our mission

0:23:06.160 --> 0:23:08.440
<v Speaker 1>is I want people feeling great about working at your pole,

0:23:09.480 --> 0:23:11.560
<v Speaker 1>so that you know frankly, when they tell people where

0:23:11.560 --> 0:23:14.000
<v Speaker 1>they were, they do it with a lot of pride. Yeah,

0:23:14.040 --> 0:23:15.639
<v Speaker 1>and you can definitely feel it, and I've seen it

0:23:15.640 --> 0:23:17.920
<v Speaker 1>first time, where you guys work with people to to

0:23:17.920 --> 0:23:20.600
<v Speaker 1>to move them through and up the chain in terms

0:23:20.600 --> 0:23:22.800
<v Speaker 1>of responsibility. Hey, one thing we've got to ask you.

0:23:22.840 --> 0:23:25.199
<v Speaker 1>I know we've talked about this before you and I

0:23:25.240 --> 0:23:28.359
<v Speaker 1>were together, just as everything was shutting down, you know,

0:23:28.520 --> 0:23:30.600
<v Speaker 1>thinking about protocols and what it all meant. How do

0:23:30.640 --> 0:23:33.200
<v Speaker 1>you plan to handle that vaccine mandate that we're starting

0:23:33.240 --> 0:23:36.359
<v Speaker 1>to see for large employers UM for your restaurant, especially

0:23:36.400 --> 0:23:39.080
<v Speaker 1>since you don't franchise. How do you do that? What's

0:23:39.119 --> 0:23:43.119
<v Speaker 1>the plan? Yeah, well, obviously we're still waiting for all

0:23:43.119 --> 0:23:46.880
<v Speaker 1>the details to come from OSHA on what that looks like.

0:23:47.240 --> 0:23:49.200
<v Speaker 1>But yeah, you touched on we have Clostal a hundred

0:23:49.200 --> 0:23:52.639
<v Speaker 1>thousand employees UM and you know this is going to

0:23:52.680 --> 0:23:57.320
<v Speaker 1>be a logistical challenge. But nonetheless, we've got a great

0:23:57.359 --> 0:24:02.200
<v Speaker 1>team that leads are UH well being and health program

0:24:02.280 --> 0:24:05.000
<v Speaker 1>and UH they've done a phenomenal job to COVID. I'm

0:24:05.040 --> 0:24:09.199
<v Speaker 1>confident we'll figure out how to navigate, you know, meeting

0:24:09.400 --> 0:24:13.399
<v Speaker 1>or complying with this new uh ocean requirement around you know,

0:24:13.480 --> 0:24:16.520
<v Speaker 1>vaccinations are getting a COVID test, a negative COVID test

0:24:16.640 --> 0:24:20.119
<v Speaker 1>order work. Um. You know, I'm hopeful that you know,

0:24:20.880 --> 0:24:23.280
<v Speaker 1>the feedback has gotten back to the folks that are

0:24:23.280 --> 0:24:25.280
<v Speaker 1>making the policy on this so that it is something

0:24:25.280 --> 0:24:29.199
<v Speaker 1>that's executable. Um, because you know, I'd rather have a

0:24:29.200 --> 0:24:32.320
<v Speaker 1>program that we can comply and actually make progress versus

0:24:32.320 --> 0:24:35.719
<v Speaker 1>a program that sends us backwards. You're not doing testing.

0:24:35.760 --> 0:24:40.440
<v Speaker 1>You're not doing testing yet, are you? No? Okay, okay,

0:24:40.440 --> 0:24:43.960
<v Speaker 1>we're curious about that. We should talk about digital because

0:24:44.000 --> 0:24:45.639
<v Speaker 1>you know that's a big thing. Yeah, we saw some

0:24:45.680 --> 0:24:48.959
<v Speaker 1>growth year over year when it comes to digital ordering.

0:24:49.160 --> 0:24:51.639
<v Speaker 1>I'm wondering when you think that what you think it

0:24:51.680 --> 0:24:54.280
<v Speaker 1>was going to happen when it comes to the goals

0:24:54.320 --> 0:24:56.119
<v Speaker 1>that you have for digital ordering, Like, what do you

0:24:56.119 --> 0:25:00.280
<v Speaker 1>want to see in terms of digital versus in store? Yeah,

0:25:00.280 --> 0:25:02.399
<v Speaker 1>you know, look, this was a really exciting quarter for

0:25:02.560 --> 0:25:06.000
<v Speaker 1>us because you know, it was record sales when it

0:25:06.000 --> 0:25:09.400
<v Speaker 1>comes to digital. But our dining rooms did over one

0:25:09.480 --> 0:25:12.399
<v Speaker 1>point one billion dollars in sales, So you know, our

0:25:12.440 --> 0:25:15.040
<v Speaker 1>two billion dollar quarter was really you know called eight

0:25:15.080 --> 0:25:18.679
<v Speaker 1>or nine million digital and over a billion dollars of

0:25:19.000 --> 0:25:21.879
<v Speaker 1>being in the dining room. And you know, we've always

0:25:21.880 --> 0:25:27.160
<v Speaker 1>thought these businesses are unique occasions, and um, I think

0:25:27.200 --> 0:25:30.119
<v Speaker 1>we're demonstrating that. So you know, right now we're settling

0:25:30.200 --> 0:25:33.399
<v Speaker 1>in kind of of the business. Um. But you know,

0:25:33.920 --> 0:25:37.800
<v Speaker 1>the absolute dollars is really what we're focused on because

0:25:37.800 --> 0:25:40.200
<v Speaker 1>we want to continue to grow that digital business while

0:25:40.240 --> 0:25:42.480
<v Speaker 1>we grow our dining rooms. And it will be part

0:25:42.480 --> 0:25:44.639
<v Speaker 1>of the puzzle for how we get our averaging booms

0:25:44.640 --> 0:25:47.880
<v Speaker 1>to go above three million is continue to drive those

0:25:47.880 --> 0:25:52.280
<v Speaker 1>two businesses, which today definitely appear to be different occasions

0:25:52.520 --> 0:25:56.280
<v Speaker 1>and therefore very complimentary. All Right, So we know smoke

0:25:56.359 --> 0:25:58.440
<v Speaker 1>brisket is a limited run. We're here, it's going to

0:25:58.520 --> 0:26:01.200
<v Speaker 1>even end even sooner Brian, because it's been so popular.

0:26:01.320 --> 0:26:03.760
<v Speaker 1>So what's the next thing? Guys are experimenting with plant

0:26:03.800 --> 0:26:06.240
<v Speaker 1>based items, what's the next thing that we can maybe

0:26:06.280 --> 0:26:10.200
<v Speaker 1>look forward to? Yeah, well, the the uh, the next

0:26:10.240 --> 0:26:13.919
<v Speaker 1>exciting menu item is this plant based toreriso. Um. You know,

0:26:13.960 --> 0:26:16.120
<v Speaker 1>we we've added in test in a couple of markets.

0:26:16.640 --> 0:26:18.399
<v Speaker 1>I you know, had the ability to go out and

0:26:18.480 --> 0:26:20.520
<v Speaker 1>visit a few of these markets and I'll tell you

0:26:20.520 --> 0:26:23.520
<v Speaker 1>what it just tastes amazing. I'll give you a pro

0:26:23.600 --> 0:26:27.480
<v Speaker 1>tip right now, like plant based triso with some white

0:26:27.560 --> 0:26:31.879
<v Speaker 1>rice and caeso and a taco. Uh, it's tough to

0:26:31.920 --> 0:26:35.360
<v Speaker 1>be so um. You know it makes you feel really

0:26:35.400 --> 0:26:37.400
<v Speaker 1>good about eating plant based that that much, I can

0:26:37.400 --> 0:26:40.440
<v Speaker 1>tell you. Um. So yeah, we're excited about that. We've

0:26:40.440 --> 0:26:42.399
<v Speaker 1>got a great culinary team. They're working on a lot

0:26:42.440 --> 0:26:45.840
<v Speaker 1>of other ideas down the road. Uh. The idea is

0:26:45.880 --> 0:26:48.119
<v Speaker 1>we always want to be listening to what consumers are

0:26:48.119 --> 0:26:51.600
<v Speaker 1>asking us to provide and then also leading consumers palates.

0:26:51.640 --> 0:26:54.080
<v Speaker 1>And I think we did a pretty good job this

0:26:54.160 --> 0:26:57.320
<v Speaker 1>year demonstrating that right Like we did cauliflower rice, which

0:26:57.560 --> 0:27:01.439
<v Speaker 1>was leading consumer palets the case Todia digitally was listening

0:27:01.480 --> 0:27:04.320
<v Speaker 1>to consumer's request. And then the smoke brisk it I

0:27:04.359 --> 0:27:08.000
<v Speaker 1>think was just a kind of a culinary plus up.

0:27:08.040 --> 0:27:10.840
<v Speaker 1>So uh, you know, the sauce of those guys created

0:27:10.840 --> 0:27:15.080
<v Speaker 1>around our brisk it is just fabuless um and you know,

0:27:15.280 --> 0:27:18.560
<v Speaker 1>the meats terrific. So I'm I'm loving kind of the

0:27:18.600 --> 0:27:21.880
<v Speaker 1>cadence that we've got. Our culinary team does a fabulous job,

0:27:22.160 --> 0:27:24.920
<v Speaker 1>and uh, our operators do a great job of executing

0:27:25.000 --> 0:27:26.919
<v Speaker 1>all I'm gonna say is I'm really hungry and with

0:27:26.960 --> 0:27:29.160
<v Speaker 1>the Theresa. You forgot the margharita. That's the only thing

0:27:29.160 --> 0:27:32.800
<v Speaker 1>that you left out. Hey, listen, Brian, you know we'll

0:27:32.840 --> 0:27:35.280
<v Speaker 1>work on that. Hey, be well, you know, it was

0:27:35.320 --> 0:27:37.600
<v Speaker 1>always good to check in with you. We really appreciate it.

0:27:37.960 --> 0:27:40.280
<v Speaker 1>Brian Nicol of course, chairman and CEO to Polo Mexican

0:27:40.320 --> 0:27:43.800
<v Speaker 1>Grill joining us there from Newport, Newport Peach. Excuse me, California.

0:27:43.960 --> 0:27:47.919
<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Week with Carol Masser and Bloomberg

0:27:48.000 --> 0:27:52.320
<v Speaker 1>Quick Takes Tim Stinovic from Bloomberg Radio in our weekly

0:27:52.320 --> 0:27:55.000
<v Speaker 1>Crypto segment, putting the spotlight back on the documentary The

0:27:55.000 --> 0:27:59.720
<v Speaker 1>Bitcoin Dilemma having its world premier as we speak. Technology futurist,

0:28:00.040 --> 0:28:03.399
<v Speaker 1>documentarian and author Ian Khan is the individual behind it.

0:28:03.440 --> 0:28:06.160
<v Speaker 1>He's back with us here on Bloomberg Business Week, and Tim,

0:28:06.320 --> 0:28:09.040
<v Speaker 1>he's interact. He is Ian. It's so great to have

0:28:09.119 --> 0:28:10.679
<v Speaker 1>you back on the show with us. First, give us

0:28:10.680 --> 0:28:12.760
<v Speaker 1>an update on on on why you're interacting. What you're

0:28:12.760 --> 0:28:17.400
<v Speaker 1>doing there. So, Iraq is an emergent market for me.

0:28:17.480 --> 0:28:21.880
<v Speaker 1>I'm just consulting here and you know, helping the government

0:28:21.960 --> 0:28:25.000
<v Speaker 1>figure out the future trends. So just a bit of

0:28:25.000 --> 0:28:27.920
<v Speaker 1>work and uh yeah, a day a day office. Well,

0:28:28.000 --> 0:28:31.440
<v Speaker 1>how how is the government thinking about this technology? And

0:28:31.680 --> 0:28:34.440
<v Speaker 1>how should governments be thinking about this technology? In your opinion,

0:28:36.400 --> 0:28:39.600
<v Speaker 1>I think governments have the biggest responsibility of looking at

0:28:39.600 --> 0:28:42.600
<v Speaker 1>future trends and things that shape tomorrow. I mean, look

0:28:42.600 --> 0:28:45.640
<v Speaker 1>at crypto. It is such an important thing that plays

0:28:45.680 --> 0:28:49.200
<v Speaker 1>a big part in governance. Whether you're a government in

0:28:49.680 --> 0:28:54.800
<v Speaker 1>North America, Latin America, maybe East it doesn't matter. Governments

0:28:54.880 --> 0:28:59.080
<v Speaker 1>have to take uh, cryptocurrency perviously as an example. You

0:28:59.160 --> 0:29:03.200
<v Speaker 1>have to take ouraging technology is very seriously and know

0:29:03.800 --> 0:29:06.280
<v Speaker 1>what can shape the futures onto your country. What are

0:29:06.280 --> 0:29:09.360
<v Speaker 1>the questions that they're having over cryptocurrencies? And I think

0:29:09.360 --> 0:29:11.480
<v Speaker 1>it's a it's an interesting week to to be having,

0:29:11.480 --> 0:29:13.320
<v Speaker 1>at least here for the United States, because we saw

0:29:13.760 --> 0:29:15.880
<v Speaker 1>I feel like crypto take a big step forward as

0:29:15.920 --> 0:29:18.360
<v Speaker 1>a result of a Bitcoin futures et F having its

0:29:18.360 --> 0:29:20.840
<v Speaker 1>debut this week. It does feel like the regulatory front

0:29:21.440 --> 0:29:24.760
<v Speaker 1>is slowly increasingly jumping on board, certainly here in the US.

0:29:25.240 --> 0:29:27.600
<v Speaker 1>What are the questions, the smart questions that bankers are

0:29:27.640 --> 0:29:32.520
<v Speaker 1>having central bankers, So so you've been surprised to hear that. Uh.

0:29:32.800 --> 0:29:36.200
<v Speaker 1>And you mentioned that the documentary launched in in the meding,

0:29:36.320 --> 0:29:38.880
<v Speaker 1>So it launched in Goodbai, having the event with a

0:29:38.960 --> 0:29:43.440
<v Speaker 1>hundred thousand people attending, and uh, it's that's that's groundbreaking.

0:29:43.600 --> 0:29:47.600
<v Speaker 1>And a huge part of that conference was cryptocurrency blocking

0:29:47.720 --> 0:29:50.400
<v Speaker 1>technology and all of the related items you know, E

0:29:50.560 --> 0:29:53.200
<v Speaker 1>f T S and uh sorry, n f T S,

0:29:53.760 --> 0:29:57.800
<v Speaker 1>uh and and so on, even the Metah. The biggest

0:29:57.880 --> 0:30:01.840
<v Speaker 1>question right now is what is happening in terms of regulations,

0:30:02.040 --> 0:30:05.880
<v Speaker 1>what is regulated, what is not regulated? Where is stability?

0:30:06.000 --> 0:30:09.720
<v Speaker 1>But there's definitely not not I didn't say too much hype,

0:30:09.800 --> 0:30:12.640
<v Speaker 1>but there's a lot of interest notes from the private

0:30:12.680 --> 0:30:17.080
<v Speaker 1>sector as well as the government sector in anything related

0:30:17.160 --> 0:30:20.880
<v Speaker 1>to block to in cryptocurrency, UM, n F T and

0:30:20.920 --> 0:30:22.960
<v Speaker 1>so on. Sorry, I want to make sure I got

0:30:22.960 --> 0:30:25.160
<v Speaker 1>this number right. How many people did you say attended?

0:30:26.880 --> 0:30:29.800
<v Speaker 1>A hundred thousand, one hundred thousand people. A hundred thousand

0:30:29.800 --> 0:30:32.680
<v Speaker 1>people attended the screening of this What does that tell

0:30:32.720 --> 0:30:39.720
<v Speaker 1>you know, attended attended the event which my documentary screen Okay,

0:30:39.720 --> 0:30:43.080
<v Speaker 1>but one hundred thousand people did not attend my document screening.

0:30:44.040 --> 0:30:47.440
<v Speaker 1>Great it still does that would be great. It still does.

0:30:47.560 --> 0:30:52.040
<v Speaker 1>It still does speak though to the appeal that cryptocurrency

0:30:52.360 --> 0:30:55.040
<v Speaker 1>and is having right now around the world. Hey, I'm

0:30:55.320 --> 0:30:57.720
<v Speaker 1>wondering because you consult with governments all over and because

0:30:57.720 --> 0:30:59.680
<v Speaker 1>you look at this so closely, give us an example

0:30:59.680 --> 0:31:04.240
<v Speaker 1>of a tree that's just doing this really well. You

0:31:04.280 --> 0:31:07.800
<v Speaker 1>look at the government of um, well, different governments, and

0:31:07.880 --> 0:31:11.600
<v Speaker 1>I know El Salvador has been in the new quite

0:31:11.600 --> 0:31:15.800
<v Speaker 1>a bit with their bitcoin adoption, and I feel, um

0:31:15.960 --> 0:31:18.800
<v Speaker 1>they still have a long way to go before you

0:31:18.840 --> 0:31:21.560
<v Speaker 1>can truly call it an amazing Jain's case and a

0:31:22.040 --> 0:31:25.240
<v Speaker 1>big success. Uh sorry, I'm starting off on the on

0:31:25.280 --> 0:31:26.959
<v Speaker 1>the on the on the on the a little bit

0:31:27.000 --> 0:31:29.440
<v Speaker 1>of a down the right. So if there's any government today,

0:31:29.760 --> 0:31:32.840
<v Speaker 1>there isn't a use case where they're fully adopted crypto

0:31:33.000 --> 0:31:36.959
<v Speaker 1>or they're moving fast towards it. Government is divide definitely

0:31:37.240 --> 0:31:40.600
<v Speaker 1>has a blockchain um side to it. They have a

0:31:40.600 --> 0:31:44.360
<v Speaker 1>blockchain initiative. The United Arab Emirates, where I was just

0:31:44.440 --> 0:31:46.640
<v Speaker 1>now a couple of days ago, they have a federal

0:31:47.320 --> 0:31:50.720
<v Speaker 1>blockchain strategy, which is hard to come by in some

0:31:50.840 --> 0:31:55.480
<v Speaker 1>other places. The Netherlands has a has a Dutch blockchain coalition.

0:31:55.600 --> 0:31:58.960
<v Speaker 1>Singapore has something similar, So many governments across the world

0:31:58.960 --> 0:32:02.720
<v Speaker 1>are focusing on blocked in definitely because it's much more

0:32:03.040 --> 0:32:07.080
<v Speaker 1>than just cryptocurrencies. Would you would have created essentially only blocked.

0:32:07.960 --> 0:32:09.840
<v Speaker 1>I wish there were the use case that that has

0:32:09.840 --> 0:32:12.440
<v Speaker 1>solved it all that there isn't yet. Well, you know,

0:32:12.480 --> 0:32:14.640
<v Speaker 1>when you talk about hype, what is the hype? I

0:32:14.640 --> 0:32:17.240
<v Speaker 1>mean we are all still trying to figure out what

0:32:17.400 --> 0:32:19.720
<v Speaker 1>it is. And you know, if there are futures, what

0:32:19.840 --> 0:32:22.320
<v Speaker 1>is it, what is the underlying asset that you're actually buying.

0:32:22.440 --> 0:32:24.640
<v Speaker 1>I mean, there's so many questions out there. What do

0:32:24.680 --> 0:32:26.280
<v Speaker 1>you see if you have to whittle it down to

0:32:26.840 --> 0:32:29.280
<v Speaker 1>what is really the hype in your view or or

0:32:29.320 --> 0:32:31.240
<v Speaker 1>and and certainly from the experts that you talk to

0:32:31.320 --> 0:32:36.000
<v Speaker 1>for your for your documentary, that's a great question. The

0:32:36.080 --> 0:32:40.880
<v Speaker 1>hype essentially is over expecting from any new technology, in

0:32:40.920 --> 0:32:44.200
<v Speaker 1>my opinion, So if it's blocking, then blocked and will

0:32:44.280 --> 0:32:47.360
<v Speaker 1>solve every problem that we have. So let's take the

0:32:47.400 --> 0:32:49.720
<v Speaker 1>piece of technology and find a problem, which is a

0:32:49.800 --> 0:32:54.360
<v Speaker 1>long way of solve problems. Another hype is cryptocurrencies are

0:32:54.480 --> 0:32:58.000
<v Speaker 1>the future. Let's all investing cryptore cities right now and

0:32:58.120 --> 0:33:00.800
<v Speaker 1>bitcom because the prices all is going to go up

0:33:00.800 --> 0:33:03.720
<v Speaker 1>and it's going to be beautiful tomorrow. All those are

0:33:03.800 --> 0:33:06.200
<v Speaker 1>hyped up statements. I think there's a realism that we

0:33:06.240 --> 0:33:11.080
<v Speaker 1>need to deal with. Cryptocurrencies are unrea regulated, the stability

0:33:11.200 --> 0:33:14.120
<v Speaker 1>they afford, the needs a lot of things before we

0:33:14.200 --> 0:33:17.520
<v Speaker 1>can say, a this asset class is stable, and yet

0:33:17.600 --> 0:33:20.360
<v Speaker 1>it's the real, something real that's coming in. That's all

0:33:20.400 --> 0:33:22.560
<v Speaker 1>a little bit of that has happened just now with

0:33:22.720 --> 0:33:26.080
<v Speaker 1>the new um he has created. I think hype is

0:33:26.160 --> 0:33:30.640
<v Speaker 1>just over blown indistications, not necessarily distrusting something that is

0:33:30.760 --> 0:33:34.160
<v Speaker 1>something good, but thinking that this is the best thing ever.

0:33:35.360 --> 0:33:39.360
<v Speaker 1>Are you concerned in about volatility in the prices of

0:33:39.400 --> 0:33:43.160
<v Speaker 1>cryptocurrencies pushing people away from from interest people saying, wait

0:33:43.200 --> 0:33:45.840
<v Speaker 1>a second, if this thing moves so quickly and so much,

0:33:46.080 --> 0:33:48.040
<v Speaker 1>then I don't want to touch it, and I'm kind

0:33:48.080 --> 0:33:52.760
<v Speaker 1>of scared of it. I'm actually concerned with people who

0:33:52.880 --> 0:33:55.920
<v Speaker 1>are not listening to that, and they're still invested in

0:33:56.000 --> 0:33:59.160
<v Speaker 1>cryptocurrencies thinking they're going to triple in quadruple their money.

0:33:59.520 --> 0:34:01.840
<v Speaker 1>There's many people who are doing that right now, and

0:34:02.000 --> 0:34:05.160
<v Speaker 1>those are the people I'm concerned for. I'm very confident

0:34:05.280 --> 0:34:07.840
<v Speaker 1>that eventually, you know, a few years from now, a

0:34:07.960 --> 0:34:11.520
<v Speaker 1>decade from now could differently what have you In that

0:34:12.000 --> 0:34:15.239
<v Speaker 1>entire ecosystem will be stable and all be good, But

0:34:15.360 --> 0:34:17.879
<v Speaker 1>I think we have to tread carefully and not dumb

0:34:17.960 --> 0:34:19.799
<v Speaker 1>all or for one case, and there's not put all

0:34:19.840 --> 0:34:22.279
<v Speaker 1>of us investments into it, but there is a volatility.

0:34:22.840 --> 0:34:27.000
<v Speaker 1>Is okay for large institutional investors because they can play

0:34:27.040 --> 0:34:29.360
<v Speaker 1>around with it, but not for people who who are

0:34:29.480 --> 0:34:34.040
<v Speaker 1>just tested this out right a lot of caution. Hey,

0:34:34.200 --> 0:34:37.080
<v Speaker 1>and just got about thirty thirty five seconds left here.

0:34:38.120 --> 0:34:40.400
<v Speaker 1>Can you look into your crystal ball and say, okay,

0:34:40.440 --> 0:34:44.320
<v Speaker 1>bitcoin is going to replace X in the future, or

0:34:44.600 --> 0:34:46.360
<v Speaker 1>or you know something that we count on today but

0:34:46.480 --> 0:34:49.040
<v Speaker 1>it will replace it. Is there something in your mind

0:34:49.560 --> 0:34:52.920
<v Speaker 1>that makes sense as a as a come out as

0:34:53.080 --> 0:34:55.600
<v Speaker 1>as an asset class that we invest in and it's

0:34:55.600 --> 0:34:59.600
<v Speaker 1>being good good valuation back, I think bitcoin may not

0:35:00.080 --> 0:35:05.960
<v Speaker 1>place anything, but the definitely do that because apply also

0:35:06.080 --> 0:35:08.799
<v Speaker 1>and if keys are going to rise, I think they're

0:35:08.800 --> 0:35:11.160
<v Speaker 1>going to be very big in the next stuff. So

0:35:11.200 --> 0:35:14.040
<v Speaker 1>these two things that will be got now, Okay, we're

0:35:14.040 --> 0:35:16.680
<v Speaker 1>gonna leave it there. Yeah, so many questions. Uh, as

0:35:16.760 --> 0:35:19.360
<v Speaker 1>you say, you see a lot of hype, but a

0:35:19.440 --> 0:35:21.800
<v Speaker 1>lot of it is covered in that new documentary The

0:35:21.800 --> 0:35:25.200
<v Speaker 1>Bitcoin to Lemma in con is behind It technology futurist

0:35:25.280 --> 0:35:28.279
<v Speaker 1>documentary and author joining us on this Friday on the

0:35:28.320 --> 0:35:33.759
<v Speaker 1>phone from Iraq. This is Bloomberg. I'm ro yeah, but

0:35:33.880 --> 0:35:36.080
<v Speaker 1>you let me drive. Oh no, no, no no, this

0:35:36.320 --> 0:35:40.560
<v Speaker 1>is not a toy. All right please, I'll do the

0:35:40.680 --> 0:35:46.600
<v Speaker 1>riding gravels. I want to drive. It's a good question.

0:35:47.320 --> 0:35:55.600
<v Speaker 1>Drive this good drive to the clothes well up on

0:35:55.880 --> 0:35:58.520
<v Speaker 1>Bluebird Radio. Yes, and we're gonna cunt you down to

0:35:58.560 --> 0:35:59.880
<v Speaker 1>the clothes. But as we do, we just want to

0:36:00.040 --> 0:36:03.560
<v Speaker 1>to the headline crossing the Bloomberg terminal. And I do

0:36:03.640 --> 0:36:07.800
<v Speaker 1>see Bristol Myers Squib expressing interest in acquiring rival biopharmaceutical

0:36:07.920 --> 0:36:11.480
<v Speaker 1>com Arenia Pharmaceuticals. This is according to people and the

0:36:11.560 --> 0:36:16.480
<v Speaker 1>no quick check on Arenia Pharmaceuticals as the target and

0:36:16.560 --> 0:36:19.239
<v Speaker 1>it is definitely Spika. It is now up ten point

0:36:19.400 --> 0:36:22.640
<v Speaker 1>six percent, so uh straight up on that news. No

0:36:22.760 --> 0:36:25.279
<v Speaker 1>surprise there h New York based company recently approached a

0:36:25.320 --> 0:36:26.920
<v Speaker 1>Reinia about a deal. So the people who has not

0:36:27.000 --> 0:36:28.719
<v Speaker 1>to be identified because the matter is in public, no

0:36:28.880 --> 0:36:31.719
<v Speaker 1>final decision has been made in Bristol Myers could op

0:36:31.800 --> 0:36:34.760
<v Speaker 1>against any potential deal. They said, Yeah, another big scoop

0:36:34.760 --> 0:36:36.759
<v Speaker 1>by Art Deals reporter at Hammond. Check it out at

0:36:36.880 --> 0:36:39.239
<v Speaker 1>the Bloomberg terminal. M and A continues, It's going to

0:36:39.320 --> 0:36:41.560
<v Speaker 1>be a record year, folks for M and A. We're

0:36:41.600 --> 0:36:43.200
<v Speaker 1>on track for that. All right, let's get into it

0:36:43.320 --> 0:36:45.520
<v Speaker 1>and let's see what our next guest has to say

0:36:45.719 --> 0:36:49.120
<v Speaker 1>about the market environment. What is uh, what what's on

0:36:49.200 --> 0:36:51.640
<v Speaker 1>the mind of investors? I should say Rebecca Corbin, founder

0:36:51.719 --> 0:36:54.640
<v Speaker 1>and chief executive officer at Corbin Advisors. She joins us

0:36:54.840 --> 0:36:57.680
<v Speaker 1>back with us on the phone from Farmington, Connecticut. Hey, Rebecca,

0:36:57.840 --> 0:37:01.120
<v Speaker 1>good to have you here. When I see M and

0:37:01.160 --> 0:37:04.239
<v Speaker 1>A deals to me, it says, uh, there's optimism in

0:37:04.280 --> 0:37:06.799
<v Speaker 1>the market and companies have money to put to work.

0:37:06.840 --> 0:37:09.480
<v Speaker 1>I should point out Arenia too, by the way, folks,

0:37:09.719 --> 0:37:12.680
<v Speaker 1>is halted because of the volatility in that big move up,

0:37:12.760 --> 0:37:16.480
<v Speaker 1>so triggering some trading stops there. Um, you guys, you

0:37:16.719 --> 0:37:20.279
<v Speaker 1>check what's on the minds of investors? What are you hearing? Well,

0:37:20.440 --> 0:37:23.439
<v Speaker 1>Good afternoon, Carolyn, tim Happy Friday. Thank you for having

0:37:23.520 --> 0:37:25.440
<v Speaker 1>me back. You know, M and A is a very

0:37:25.520 --> 0:37:28.120
<v Speaker 1>interesting topic right now. Like you said, it's been a

0:37:28.239 --> 0:37:31.160
<v Speaker 1>record year um, lots of records being said. I don't

0:37:31.200 --> 0:37:33.400
<v Speaker 1>know if that gives anybody cause feels a little peaky

0:37:33.480 --> 0:37:37.359
<v Speaker 1>to me. Okay, yeah, Well I just want to stop

0:37:37.400 --> 0:37:38.920
<v Speaker 1>you there, because that's something I think about a lot.

0:37:39.120 --> 0:37:41.839
<v Speaker 1>What What's that's sort of what these superlatives mean about

0:37:41.880 --> 0:37:45.600
<v Speaker 1>the economic cycle and where you think we are. Well,

0:37:45.719 --> 0:37:48.760
<v Speaker 1>I'm not sure that we are in any economic cycle.

0:37:48.800 --> 0:37:51.200
<v Speaker 1>I think we're in a supercycle that is an orbit

0:37:51.600 --> 0:37:55.560
<v Speaker 1>around COVID And you know, going back to the vacuum

0:37:55.600 --> 0:37:59.839
<v Speaker 1>that happened in April when like a tsunami, the water

0:38:00.120 --> 0:38:03.800
<v Speaker 1>just receded and the beach was exposed, that was a

0:38:03.880 --> 0:38:07.800
<v Speaker 1>lack of demand to that prophecy. Coming to fruition in

0:38:07.840 --> 0:38:11.520
<v Speaker 1>the second quarter of twenty everybody actually sign a sigh

0:38:11.560 --> 0:38:14.120
<v Speaker 1>of relief because it was better than expected, even though

0:38:14.160 --> 0:38:18.640
<v Speaker 1>companies were down. To Fast forward to you know, over

0:38:18.719 --> 0:38:21.440
<v Speaker 1>the summer and into this year with the massive amount

0:38:21.480 --> 0:38:25.120
<v Speaker 1>of capex that's been plowed into the world globally, and

0:38:25.280 --> 0:38:27.880
<v Speaker 1>now we're starting to see that massive demand and clearly

0:38:28.000 --> 0:38:31.000
<v Speaker 1>the supply chain can't handle it. Coupled with other issues

0:38:31.120 --> 0:38:35.280
<v Speaker 1>such as weather and UH and and port congestion, etcetera.

0:38:35.480 --> 0:38:37.839
<v Speaker 1>So you know, I'm not going to say that we're

0:38:38.120 --> 0:38:41.160
<v Speaker 1>in a normal economic cycle. We're in the cycle of

0:38:41.239 --> 0:38:43.520
<v Speaker 1>what is going on with COVID and that still has

0:38:43.600 --> 0:38:45.960
<v Speaker 1>to play out, UM, but I will tell you that

0:38:46.080 --> 0:38:49.279
<v Speaker 1>there is a confluence of events that are happening where

0:38:49.360 --> 0:38:53.760
<v Speaker 1>there is now a shift after several quarters of building

0:38:53.880 --> 0:38:58.360
<v Speaker 1>optimism and really strong results where a number of companies

0:38:58.480 --> 0:39:03.239
<v Speaker 1>were beating and raising precedentedly raising guidance in Q one,

0:39:03.520 --> 0:39:06.680
<v Speaker 1>unprecedentedly raising guidance in Q two, to where we are today.

0:39:06.760 --> 0:39:09.640
<v Speaker 1>This is the first quarter that we are seeing supply

0:39:09.840 --> 0:39:12.719
<v Speaker 1>chain disruption and cost inflation, which I will remind you

0:39:12.880 --> 0:39:15.880
<v Speaker 1>we've been identifying as an issue since fourth quarter twenty

0:39:16.640 --> 0:39:20.800
<v Speaker 1>coming home to roost and having material impact on results.

0:39:21.560 --> 0:39:23.360
<v Speaker 1>A lot of carcass is going to be on the

0:39:23.480 --> 0:39:27.280
<v Speaker 1>road this quarter and next. Well, I see what you're saying,

0:39:27.760 --> 0:39:31.800
<v Speaker 1>But is it maybe difficult for another quarter but ultimately

0:39:31.920 --> 0:39:35.960
<v Speaker 1>manageable as as supply chains right themselves, Because it does

0:39:36.000 --> 0:39:38.680
<v Speaker 1>seem like you know J. Powell making some comments, he said,

0:39:38.719 --> 0:39:42.080
<v Speaker 1>the global supply chain will resume functioning over time. It's

0:39:42.120 --> 0:39:45.200
<v Speaker 1>a very uneven recovery. UM risk still too clearly to

0:39:45.280 --> 0:39:48.520
<v Speaker 1>battle nicks and higher inflation. But they do feel like

0:39:48.520 --> 0:39:50.000
<v Speaker 1>their policy is in a good, good place. I mean,

0:39:50.040 --> 0:39:52.160
<v Speaker 1>we still see some dislocations, no doubt about it. Just

0:39:52.239 --> 0:39:54.080
<v Speaker 1>to look at look at the labor market. We just

0:39:54.120 --> 0:39:57.640
<v Speaker 1>talked to the Chipotle CEO. But nonetheless, you know, people

0:39:57.680 --> 0:39:59.840
<v Speaker 1>are buying lots of stuff and we are still me

0:40:00.000 --> 0:40:07.240
<v Speaker 1>being a lot of demand. The supply chain, I believe,

0:40:07.440 --> 0:40:13.000
<v Speaker 1>based on channel checks is under appreciated in terms of

0:40:13.120 --> 0:40:18.000
<v Speaker 1>the impact that we will see what companies in terms

0:40:18.120 --> 0:40:23.680
<v Speaker 1>of um not truly understanding the second, third, fourth derivative

0:40:23.920 --> 0:40:28.359
<v Speaker 1>of supply chain dislocation and how globally interconnected we are.

0:40:29.120 --> 0:40:32.440
<v Speaker 1>And while there is very very strong demand, that is,

0:40:32.560 --> 0:40:36.920
<v Speaker 1>you know, earnings calls for the fact the past three quarters,

0:40:37.000 --> 0:40:40.800
<v Speaker 1>including this quarter, have talked about strong demand, strong growth,

0:40:41.000 --> 0:40:45.600
<v Speaker 1>record record levels. That's that's true, and they're seeing that. However,

0:40:46.280 --> 0:40:49.880
<v Speaker 1>these issues are very significant, and some of these are

0:40:49.920 --> 0:40:54.000
<v Speaker 1>not transitory. You know, labor inflation is not transitory. It

0:40:54.160 --> 0:40:58.239
<v Speaker 1>is very difficult when you have wages up in some

0:40:58.400 --> 0:41:02.400
<v Speaker 1>cases to actually walk that back down. What has to

0:41:02.480 --> 0:41:06.560
<v Speaker 1>happen for wages to reset at pre pandemic levels, if

0:41:06.600 --> 0:41:09.040
<v Speaker 1>you will, or levels that are not inflated at this

0:41:09.320 --> 0:41:12.000
<v Speaker 1>at this rate, we have to go through a layoff

0:41:12.239 --> 0:41:15.080
<v Speaker 1>period um. And so you know as and I'm not

0:41:15.160 --> 0:41:19.120
<v Speaker 1>suggesting we will go through that, but clearly labor inflation

0:41:19.400 --> 0:41:22.080
<v Speaker 1>is not transitory and you cannot take that away. And

0:41:22.320 --> 0:41:25.720
<v Speaker 1>right now the employee is in the command seat because

0:41:25.760 --> 0:41:27.960
<v Speaker 1>of the labor shortage and because of the demand, and

0:41:28.040 --> 0:41:32.160
<v Speaker 1>companies are paying these levels. Um. But when demands starts

0:41:32.200 --> 0:41:35.880
<v Speaker 1>to decelerate, and it will have to do that, um,

0:41:36.160 --> 0:41:39.160
<v Speaker 1>we will see you know, that scenario play out. So

0:41:39.360 --> 0:41:42.319
<v Speaker 1>I just you know, the supply chance scenario is one,

0:41:42.440 --> 0:41:46.120
<v Speaker 1>but that is setting kind of a fuse for other

0:41:46.280 --> 0:41:49.640
<v Speaker 1>things to happen in order for you know, the environment

0:41:49.760 --> 0:41:52.920
<v Speaker 1>that we're in too right itself, because the pendulum just swung,

0:41:53.120 --> 0:41:55.200
<v Speaker 1>you know, one way too far and the other way

0:41:55.200 --> 0:41:57.239
<v Speaker 1>too far, and we're trying to get back to center. Okay,

0:41:57.280 --> 0:41:58.880
<v Speaker 1>So how do you play an environment like this, the

0:41:58.920 --> 0:42:01.080
<v Speaker 1>one that you describe Where are you putting where are

0:42:01.080 --> 0:42:04.080
<v Speaker 1>you putting money? Well, I can tell you where investors

0:42:04.160 --> 0:42:06.720
<v Speaker 1>are putting money. Um, They're putting money in pure plays

0:42:06.800 --> 0:42:11.040
<v Speaker 1>because they're very easy to understand. Um, They're putting money

0:42:11.120 --> 0:42:13.799
<v Speaker 1>in North America out of all of the regions. North

0:42:13.840 --> 0:42:18.000
<v Speaker 1>America is the biggest bet um and interestingly, they're putting

0:42:18.000 --> 0:42:22.560
<v Speaker 1>money in small caps. So you know, those are three.

0:42:22.719 --> 0:42:25.160
<v Speaker 1>The other which I think is very interesting, and again

0:42:25.840 --> 0:42:28.040
<v Speaker 1>I love to read the tea leaves of our research.

0:42:28.280 --> 0:42:30.319
<v Speaker 1>And you know, this quarter we saw a tremendous shift

0:42:30.400 --> 0:42:34.919
<v Speaker 1>in sentiment. The top three UM investment thematic is cost

0:42:35.000 --> 0:42:39.200
<v Speaker 1>cutting initiatives. When we start to see companies announcing cost

0:42:39.239 --> 0:42:42.279
<v Speaker 1>cutting initiatives, that's a sign that is a sign of

0:42:43.000 --> 0:42:47.640
<v Speaker 1>UM strain on the organization. And because companies have been

0:42:47.719 --> 0:42:50.720
<v Speaker 1>spending handover foot with regard to reinvesting in their business,

0:42:50.760 --> 0:42:53.680
<v Speaker 1>which is why we're in this type of environment. Companies

0:42:53.760 --> 0:42:56.440
<v Speaker 1>were sitting on boatloads of free cash flow in the

0:42:56.600 --> 0:42:59.160
<v Speaker 1>second quarter and third quarter of twenty what did they do.

0:42:59.680 --> 0:43:02.239
<v Speaker 1>They've loud it all into the market, and so they

0:43:02.360 --> 0:43:06.560
<v Speaker 1>created this demand for services and goods. Consumers felt great

0:43:06.600 --> 0:43:09.680
<v Speaker 1>about it as well, because there was this exuberance around

0:43:09.840 --> 0:43:13.640
<v Speaker 1>you know, summertime and getting through COVID, etcetera. And you know,

0:43:13.920 --> 0:43:17.640
<v Speaker 1>so we're watching to see what happens with reinvestment strategies.

0:43:20.480 --> 0:43:22.360
<v Speaker 1>And you talked about M n A and M and

0:43:22.440 --> 0:43:26.120
<v Speaker 1>A is at as at a record pace, UM, you know,

0:43:26.280 --> 0:43:29.520
<v Speaker 1>and and investors. What was shocking to to me quite frankly,

0:43:29.680 --> 0:43:33.000
<v Speaker 1>having tracked investor sentiment for the past twenty years UM,

0:43:33.320 --> 0:43:36.640
<v Speaker 1>after seeing reinvestment at such high levels quarter over quarter

0:43:36.800 --> 0:43:40.520
<v Speaker 1>for three consecutive quarters, this quarter was the first time

0:43:40.640 --> 0:43:44.120
<v Speaker 1>that debt paid down came into focus as the number

0:43:44.160 --> 0:43:47.680
<v Speaker 1>one preference in our inside the Buy Side Earnings primer

0:43:47.800 --> 0:43:50.759
<v Speaker 1>starting which we published last week. And not only that,

0:43:51.000 --> 0:43:54.919
<v Speaker 1>but the level of UM comfort with debt levels went down,

0:43:55.160 --> 0:43:57.919
<v Speaker 1>so we saw a big sharp increase in net debt

0:43:57.920 --> 0:43:59.920
<v Speaker 1>to even at around one time. All right, just a

0:44:00.120 --> 0:44:03.239
<v Speaker 1>very very conservative yeah, that is that certainly does speak

0:44:03.280 --> 0:44:06.000
<v Speaker 1>to a conservative action. Hey Rebecca, we've got a run.

0:44:06.040 --> 0:44:09.320
<v Speaker 1>Rebecca Corbyn, founder and CEO Corby Advisors, with us on

0:44:09.440 --> 0:44:14.360
<v Speaker 1>the phone from Farmington, Connecticut. Thanks for listening to Bloomberg

0:44:14.400 --> 0:44:18.040
<v Speaker 1>Business Week. Download the podcast on iTunes, SoundCloud or Bloomberg

0:44:18.120 --> 0:44:19.959
<v Speaker 1>dot com, and you can also listen to our radio

0:44:20.000 --> 0:44:22.560
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0:44:22.680 --> 0:44:25.000
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