1 00:00:00,000 --> 00:00:02,560 Speaker 1: Well, let's look at politics now. Uh. I don't know 2 00:00:02,560 --> 00:00:04,480 Speaker 1: it's gonna be a hurricane, but we're waiting for some 3 00:00:04,600 --> 00:00:08,760 Speaker 1: kind of storm of debate this weekend. Uh. And of 4 00:00:08,800 --> 00:00:13,080 Speaker 1: course there's an earlier storm this week for Donald Trump, 5 00:00:13,320 --> 00:00:17,360 Speaker 1: as his vice presidential running mate said that Mr Trump 6 00:00:17,360 --> 00:00:19,960 Speaker 1: no longer wants to impose a temporary ban on Muslim 7 00:00:20,000 --> 00:00:23,360 Speaker 1: immigration United States. Mike Meets is back executive editor for 8 00:00:23,360 --> 00:00:26,120 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Politics, So let's start with that story. What's going 9 00:00:26,160 --> 00:00:28,400 Speaker 1: on Mike there? So this is, uh, this is kind 10 00:00:28,440 --> 00:00:30,440 Speaker 1: of a case study and how Trump has kind of 11 00:00:30,480 --> 00:00:34,680 Speaker 1: carried on his candidacy for a long time. He Um, 12 00:00:34,720 --> 00:00:38,080 Speaker 1: He's He's struck a lot of different positions, but the 13 00:00:38,120 --> 00:00:40,800 Speaker 1: one that was the most popular on this issue was 14 00:00:40,880 --> 00:00:45,040 Speaker 1: the emphatic Muslim ban that he announced last December that 15 00:00:45,120 --> 00:00:48,080 Speaker 1: powered from through the primaries. UM. I think something like 16 00:00:48,120 --> 00:00:50,519 Speaker 1: a majority of Republican voters in New New Hampshire and 17 00:00:50,520 --> 00:00:53,680 Speaker 1: other states agreed with the band and backed him for 18 00:00:53,760 --> 00:00:56,279 Speaker 1: the nomination, and then he started backing off of it 19 00:00:56,320 --> 00:01:00,760 Speaker 1: as he got closer to uh, the actual Republican convention. UM. 20 00:01:00,800 --> 00:01:03,560 Speaker 1: Even Mike Pence, who before he was the vice presidential 21 00:01:03,600 --> 00:01:06,840 Speaker 1: nominee UH said that this would be unconstitutional, and so 22 00:01:07,200 --> 00:01:11,280 Speaker 1: they shifted to another UH position, but never really disabowed 23 00:01:11,400 --> 00:01:13,959 Speaker 1: disavowed the old one. So Trump never said a Muslim 24 00:01:14,000 --> 00:01:16,520 Speaker 1: band is wrong and unconstitutional. I'd like to do this instead. 25 00:01:16,560 --> 00:01:20,959 Speaker 1: Now to this morning, Pence. UH, Pence did specifically say 26 00:01:21,319 --> 00:01:24,160 Speaker 1: that the Muslim band was out, Um, which might be 27 00:01:24,200 --> 00:01:26,760 Speaker 1: a surprise to a lot of his supporters. So he's 28 00:01:26,840 --> 00:01:30,720 Speaker 1: changed his mind or we don't know exactly what it state. Yeah, 29 00:01:30,720 --> 00:01:34,440 Speaker 1: well we know that Pence says Trump's changed his mind 30 00:01:34,600 --> 00:01:37,160 Speaker 1: and UH, but Trump himself hasn't said it. And as 31 00:01:37,200 --> 00:01:40,840 Speaker 1: you'll recall a few weeks ago with UM, when Trump 32 00:01:40,880 --> 00:01:45,399 Speaker 1: finally acknowledged that Barack Obama was born in America, you 33 00:01:45,440 --> 00:01:47,440 Speaker 1: could never quite know what's going on. And Trump's said 34 00:01:47,480 --> 00:01:50,040 Speaker 1: until he says it himself. So what about lace polls 35 00:01:50,120 --> 00:01:53,160 Speaker 1: seems like they're going from not so good too bad 36 00:01:53,320 --> 00:01:56,760 Speaker 1: a lot of them. Yeah, So I mean this this stretch, UM, 37 00:01:56,840 --> 00:01:59,840 Speaker 1: this bout stretch for Trump started UH two mondays ago 38 00:02:00,320 --> 00:02:03,480 Speaker 1: with his performance at the first presidential debate. UM. It 39 00:02:03,520 --> 00:02:05,160 Speaker 1: takes a little while for those kinds of things to 40 00:02:05,160 --> 00:02:08,800 Speaker 1: shake out and pulls. UM. You and pulls are noisy. 41 00:02:08,840 --> 00:02:11,200 Speaker 1: They you know, they jump up, they jump down. But 42 00:02:11,200 --> 00:02:12,840 Speaker 1: but I think a week and a half later, you're 43 00:02:12,840 --> 00:02:15,680 Speaker 1: starting to see his numbers across the board kind of 44 00:02:15,960 --> 00:02:19,440 Speaker 1: settle into pretty dangerous territory for someone who's people. One 45 00:02:19,480 --> 00:02:22,600 Speaker 1: poll stands out in your mind. Um, well, Pennsylvania has 46 00:02:22,600 --> 00:02:24,400 Speaker 1: definitely state he has to win. It was part of 47 00:02:24,400 --> 00:02:27,560 Speaker 1: his Rust Belt strategy. Whereas is his rhetoric came to 48 00:02:28,160 --> 00:02:33,000 Speaker 1: at uh you know these former manufacturing uh hubs uh 49 00:02:33,080 --> 00:02:36,480 Speaker 1: you know, would like especially in Pennsylvania, just hasn't been 50 00:02:36,560 --> 00:02:38,440 Speaker 1: on it. And that's because it's a different state than 51 00:02:38,440 --> 00:02:40,320 Speaker 1: the rest of the Rust Belts in terms of demography. 52 00:02:40,440 --> 00:02:43,959 Speaker 1: But in the Monmouth poll that was out yesterday the 53 00:02:44,040 --> 00:02:46,560 Speaker 1: day before, he was down ten points. And just to 54 00:02:46,600 --> 00:02:48,800 Speaker 1: give you a sense of how much that as, he's 55 00:02:48,840 --> 00:02:51,720 Speaker 1: down eleven points in New Jersey, which is just you know, 56 00:02:51,840 --> 00:02:55,359 Speaker 1: never state that either presidential Canada campaigns. And I'm glad 57 00:02:55,400 --> 00:02:57,240 Speaker 1: you mentioned New Jersey because I wanted to bring in 58 00:02:57,320 --> 00:03:00,720 Speaker 1: New Jersey Governor Chris Christie and his role uh in 59 00:03:01,400 --> 00:03:05,120 Speaker 1: the debate preparation the debate, which is of course scheduled 60 00:03:05,120 --> 00:03:09,839 Speaker 1: for Sunday evening. Sure, so Chris Christie kind of is uh, 61 00:03:10,320 --> 00:03:13,639 Speaker 1: it's just kind of a beloved character for for journalists 62 00:03:13,639 --> 00:03:15,920 Speaker 1: when it comes to town halls. He's held dozens of 63 00:03:15,960 --> 00:03:18,280 Speaker 1: town halls in the run up to running for president. 64 00:03:18,919 --> 00:03:22,000 Speaker 1: Uh you know, of course, especially in New Hampshire. He 65 00:03:22,040 --> 00:03:24,720 Speaker 1: went up there on the weekends. You know, the national 66 00:03:25,280 --> 00:03:28,040 Speaker 1: news cameras weren't there to watch him, staying in a 67 00:03:28,120 --> 00:03:30,280 Speaker 1: room with fifty or a hundred supporters and just kind 68 00:03:30,280 --> 00:03:32,680 Speaker 1: of talk as long as they had questions, and he 69 00:03:32,840 --> 00:03:34,560 Speaker 1: just he just got really good at it. He's known 70 00:03:34,560 --> 00:03:37,480 Speaker 1: for the New Jersey too as governor. He he's affable. 71 00:03:37,600 --> 00:03:39,360 Speaker 1: He was a popular guy in high school and that 72 00:03:39,400 --> 00:03:42,320 Speaker 1: kind of comes through in all these uh these town halls. 73 00:03:42,360 --> 00:03:44,840 Speaker 1: He's just uh, he's just really good at it. And 74 00:03:44,880 --> 00:03:48,120 Speaker 1: he's one of Trump's top advisors. And so as Trump 75 00:03:48,480 --> 00:03:52,160 Speaker 1: sets his sights on this town hall style debate on 76 00:03:52,160 --> 00:03:54,960 Speaker 1: on Sunday with Hillary Clinton, he's, uh, he's getting some 77 00:03:55,000 --> 00:03:57,760 Speaker 1: advice from Chris Christie. What do you think they're telling him. 78 00:03:57,840 --> 00:04:01,760 Speaker 1: I think they're telling him that that thing is like, uh, 79 00:04:01,800 --> 00:04:05,160 Speaker 1: like body language matters, so that that's something that Trump 80 00:04:05,240 --> 00:04:07,640 Speaker 1: doesn't have to think about a lot since his campaign 81 00:04:07,680 --> 00:04:10,600 Speaker 1: is so based on on media interviews either over the 82 00:04:10,640 --> 00:04:13,880 Speaker 1: phone or at a desk UM, or big rallies where 83 00:04:13,880 --> 00:04:16,960 Speaker 1: he's standing behind a podium. UM. In the town hall setting, 84 00:04:16,960 --> 00:04:20,839 Speaker 1: you're kind of walking around stage, you're talking directly to voters. You're, um, 85 00:04:21,240 --> 00:04:24,520 Speaker 1: you're you know, you're, you're using your hands to make points. 86 00:04:24,560 --> 00:04:27,479 Speaker 1: So there's there's a lot of ways where uh, good 87 00:04:27,480 --> 00:04:29,920 Speaker 1: body language can get you a pretty far. Bad body 88 00:04:30,200 --> 00:04:33,200 Speaker 1: language could lead the wrong message and um. And so 89 00:04:33,240 --> 00:04:35,279 Speaker 1: I think that's one definite thing. The next thing is 90 00:04:35,760 --> 00:04:38,599 Speaker 1: kind of just the art of retail politics, which is 91 00:04:38,600 --> 00:04:41,320 Speaker 1: something that I don't think, uh, there's ever been a 92 00:04:41,400 --> 00:04:44,600 Speaker 1: presidential nominee from a major party who has had less 93 00:04:44,600 --> 00:04:48,120 Speaker 1: experience uh doing retail politics, just you know, shaking hands 94 00:04:48,120 --> 00:04:51,360 Speaker 1: in a diner, um, getting to know normal voters. Uh 95 00:04:51,960 --> 00:04:54,839 Speaker 1: and uh. And it's something that Trump kind of doesn't 96 00:04:54,839 --> 00:04:56,960 Speaker 1: like to do. By his own admission, he said he's 97 00:04:56,960 --> 00:04:59,680 Speaker 1: a germophobe. You know, he doesn't really on a on 98 00:04:59,800 --> 00:05:02,560 Speaker 1: a get in there too much. UM. But those two 99 00:05:02,560 --> 00:05:04,320 Speaker 1: things are kind of really important when it comes to 100 00:05:04,760 --> 00:05:07,680 Speaker 1: coming across as as warm and relatable in that kind 101 00:05:07,680 --> 00:05:10,400 Speaker 1: of setting. Well, I want to thank you very much 102 00:05:10,760 --> 00:05:16,919 Speaker 1: Mike Nitza. He is executive editor for Bloomberg Politics. You 103 00:05:16,920 --> 00:05:21,200 Speaker 1: can follow him on Twitter at Mike Nitze and I 104 00:05:21,320 --> 00:05:25,479 Speaker 1: double z a. Thank you very much for illuminating. I 105 00:05:25,480 --> 00:05:27,960 Speaker 1: guess we um have to wait until Sunday to see 106 00:05:27,960 --> 00:05:31,039 Speaker 1: whether that debate prep pays off. If you're listening to 107 00:05:31,080 --> 00:05:34,920 Speaker 1: taking Stock, I'm pim Fox, my cost Kathleen Hayes. This 108 00:05:35,279 --> 00:05:35,960 Speaker 1: is Bloomberg