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Speaker 1: The most valuable commodity I know of is information.

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Speaker 2: Wouldn't you agree?

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Speaker 1: Five five dollars?

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Speaker 2: This is a ratable up.

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Speaker 1: They track. You're saying that humans need fantasy to make

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Speaker 1: life bearable. Humans need fantasy to be human? My goodness, mispeak.

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Speaker 2: The best, relentless, refusing to give up. All right, hit

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Speaker 2: that horn, very bless. What is up? Everybody?

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Speaker 1: Happy New Year? Welcome to the Fantasy Flex podcast from

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Speaker 1: the Action Network and Fantasy Labs. I'm your host, Chris Raybon.

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Speaker 1: Wildcard Weekend is here. This is our NFL Wildcard Player

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Speaker 1: projections episode, and who better to be joined by the

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Speaker 1: the most accurate ranker in the game, the odds maker,

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Speaker 1: Sean Kerner. Sean, I know you're a bit under the weather,

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Speaker 1: but I hope you're feeling good enough you get through

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Speaker 1: this pod and hope you film better in general. How

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Speaker 1: you doing?

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Speaker 2: Yeah? Thank you? Yeah? That that was definitely like the

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Speaker 2: sickest I've ever been in my entire life. This flu

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Speaker 2: going around is no joke. Starting to feel better but

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Speaker 2: still rough. I noticed quite a few like NFL players

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Speaker 2: this weekend. We're ruled out, even pulled in game with

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Speaker 2: the illness. I wonder if it's the same thing, but yeah,

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Speaker 2: it's nasty. Do not catch this thing please? All right?

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Speaker 1: Yeah, that's that's rough. Hope you feel better. We'll get

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Speaker 1: through this pod. We got start with the quarterback. We'll

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Speaker 1: go through all the positions. Guys were high and low

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Speaker 1: on set some props. We'll start out with the quarterback

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Speaker 1: position going into Super wild Card. Sean, who you got

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Speaker 1: in at your top five at QB.

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Speaker 2: I got Josh Allen, Jaden Daniels, Lamar Jackson, Jalen Hurts,

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Speaker 2: and Sam donald.

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Speaker 1: I got Alan Jackson, Daniels Hurts, and I got Baker.

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Speaker 1: Got Baker in there all right now. But Sam Donalds

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Speaker 1: can't argue with him. And I know you're hiring him

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Speaker 1: this week, right.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I guess I'm high on him. His ECR is

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Speaker 2: QB six. I have him QB five. That's kind of

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Speaker 2: what we're dealing with this week. But I'm high on

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Speaker 2: Arnold just because he's coming off that disastrous performance on

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Speaker 2: Senate football against the Lions. He must have gone like,

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Speaker 2: oh for fifteen inside the ten yard lane in that game,

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Speaker 2: which is good news for you. I knew you're on

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Speaker 2: the under. That was fantastic for the under the minute I.

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Speaker 1: Saw that that total like above fifty five, I was like,

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Speaker 1: it's automatic.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, I had a projector on fifty three. But yeah,

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Speaker 2: that was a great hit And part of that was

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Speaker 2: just he was due for some aggression inside the ten

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Speaker 2: yeard line, but that was insane.

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Speaker 1: They just couldn't get anything going nothing.

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Speaker 2: So I think he's going to bounce back this week.

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Speaker 2: You know, last week he was under pressure a ton

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Speaker 2: against the Lions. I think this week, you know, Ford

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Speaker 2: Field was a legit playoff atmosphere that was tough to hear.

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Speaker 2: It's more of a neutral site here in La. I'm

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Speaker 2: wondering what the split's gonna be. But yeah, this Vikings

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Speaker 2: fan base travels well. We don't travel well here in LA.

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Speaker 2: So it's it's probably gonna be a fifty to fifty crowd,

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Speaker 2: so you know, he'll have less crowd noise to deal with.

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Speaker 2: And this Rams defense is legit. They're on you know,

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Speaker 2: the rise, but this is the playoffs. Every single defense

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Speaker 2: this weekend is pretty good, so this is a good

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Speaker 2: bounce back spot for him. Specifically, you know, they're minus

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Speaker 2: one and a half, but their their pass rate should

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Speaker 2: be higher. You know, they've only trailed on twenty one

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Speaker 2: percent of snaps this season, So anytime they do get

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Speaker 2: in a close game like this where you know it'll

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Speaker 2: be closer or maybe they trail, they're going to be

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Speaker 2: throwing more than expected. So I still have his pass

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Speaker 2: right higher than normal this week. And having said that,

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Speaker 2: my passing yard projection for him is thirty five yards

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Speaker 2: higher than any other quarterback right now, I guess thirty

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Speaker 2: yards higher. So that just goes to show that he's

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Speaker 2: in a great spot this week. He always has that

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Speaker 2: sneaky rushing upside, so I think he'll bounce back here

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Speaker 2: with the bounce a solid doubts back game.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, it's all. It's it's quite an interesting time of

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Speaker 1: the year because I I I mean, I didn't expect

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Speaker 1: the Lions to have that much success. You figured they

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Speaker 1: would kind of post something out of the hat. But

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Speaker 1: it's interesting because I feel like Sean McVay wanted this

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Speaker 1: matchup right, like he wanted to get the potential for

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Speaker 1: to face like the Lions of the Vikings and then

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Speaker 1: get I guess, get that second indoor game. So this

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Speaker 1: is a fascinating, uh fascinating matchup with the Rams having

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Speaker 1: won the first one, but yeah, Darnold partially over underrated

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Speaker 1: this year. I think, uh, you know, people are going

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Speaker 1: to kind of use last game as ammo. But let's

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Speaker 1: I just give Aaron Glehn and that Lion's defense a

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Speaker 1: lot of credits. He like people. That's the only thing

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Speaker 1: we heard all week was the Lions defense. There. They

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Speaker 1: have nothing, and it was a lot of it was

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Speaker 1: game plan with them last night. So uh, excuse me

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Speaker 1: two nights ago.

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Speaker 2: All right.

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Speaker 1: I am high on Russell Wilson. Uh he's pretty much

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Speaker 1: the bottom quarterback, uh in. But against this Ravens defense,

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Speaker 1: I think it's going to be a situation where the

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Speaker 1: Ravens are gonna score. You know, the Steeler defense is great,

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Speaker 1: but you know this is a third matchup. I think

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Speaker 1: Russell Wilson, George Pickens, fine, we're gonna start getting back

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Speaker 1: on the same page. And I don't think you're gonna

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Speaker 1: see too much. You know, justin fields coming and usually

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Speaker 1: see that when they're ahead. He takes some rushing opportunities,

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Speaker 1: but they're behind, so I think Russ it might be inefficient,

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Speaker 1: but I think he's gonna have to connect on some

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Speaker 1: deep balls and whatnot in this one. So I have

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Speaker 1: him as my quarterback ten and he's keep twelve in ECR.

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Speaker 1: So look for Russ to get a little better hot,

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Speaker 1: a little hotter than he's been over these last few

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Speaker 1: games because it's been ugly. Pluly low on this week

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Speaker 1: at quarterback.

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Speaker 2: I'm low on Jordan Love against the Eagles. I mean,

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Speaker 2: this is a brutal matchup. Plus he's dealing with numbness

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Speaker 2: in his drawing hand after falling on his elbow. That

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Speaker 2: can't be good, so he's questionable. I'm guessing you'll suit up,

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Speaker 2: but that that's kind of a weird, funky injury. Plus

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Speaker 2: he just lost Christian Watson with the ACL tear. He

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Speaker 2: was his main downfiell threat. That's that's a pretty big

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Speaker 2: loss there. And Romeo Dobbs, you know he missed last

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Speaker 2: game to an illness. Who knows what he's dealing with.

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Speaker 2: Hopefully it's not what I have, but I'm telling you,

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Speaker 2: if it's this flu, he's no luck to suit up

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Speaker 2: this week. But hopefully Dobbs is fine he can return here.

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Speaker 2: But either way, this is just a brutal spot for Love,

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Speaker 2: especially considering he doesn't have any rushing upside, so just

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Speaker 2: it makes it even tougher to overcome, you know, brutal

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Speaker 2: spot like this. So yeah, he's my QB eleven out

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Speaker 2: of twelve, barely ahead of Russell Wilson, but you know,

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Speaker 2: the slightest tweak and Wilson could leap brock him, and

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Speaker 2: he could be my lowest rank QB this week. So

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Speaker 2: a rare week where I'm really really low on Jordan Love.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean that's he's kind of been in that

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Speaker 1: you know, lowend QB one discussion, but now he's only

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Speaker 1: he's only twelve quarterbacks, it's like.

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Speaker 2: Twelve different Yeah.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I would all wever on Justin Herbert this week.

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Speaker 1: I just think this is a tough matchup going against

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Speaker 1: the Houston Texans. The one thing that this Texa team

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Speaker 1: still has maintained, you know, throughout the rocky offensive production

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Speaker 1: is their defense. And so you know, Justin Herbert on

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Speaker 1: the road in the playoffs, going against a really good

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Speaker 1: defense that did essentially get to rest a lot of

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Speaker 1: guys for much of that game against the Titans, I

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Speaker 1: think it's gonna be a tough spot for Herbert. So

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Speaker 1: they're guys like you know, Matthew Stafford. I think I'd

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Speaker 1: rather have ahead of Herbert in this spot. But I

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Speaker 1: also think the Chargers with Bobbins back gonna be a

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Speaker 1: little run heavier than they were when it was you know,

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Speaker 1: just Gus Edwards and that crew. So wotlewell are on

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Speaker 1: Herbert this week? What do you got for the prop?

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Speaker 2: Yeah? So it's a unique week where like every QB

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Speaker 2: has every prop available right now. So I'm gonna have

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Speaker 2: some fun here. I'm gonna go with the most passing

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Speaker 2: yards this weekend. So the number, I don't care who

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Speaker 2: it's from. Okay, but over under three hundred and sixty

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Speaker 2: two and a half yards. Will any quarterback throw more

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Speaker 2: than that?

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Speaker 1: Wow? Card weekend, I'm gonna go O. That's a good

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Speaker 1: That's that's a good line. I feel like I'm wanna

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Speaker 1: go Yes. It just feels like a weekend Yeah over, yeah, over,

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Speaker 1: just because like you said, you're gonna see some quarterbacks

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Speaker 1: in some spots where they have they've already been thrown,

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Speaker 1: but they haven't been trailing as much. Now it's the playoffs,

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Speaker 1: so I think, yeah, you know, and you have some

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Speaker 1: just powerful offenses, like you know, if the if the

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Speaker 1: if the Broncos get down early, you know they Bonix

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Speaker 1: is a candidate just in a comeback mode or something

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Speaker 1: like that. You have a couple indoor games. So yeah, yeah,

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Speaker 1: we'll go over. But that that seems like a good line.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I wonder if they're gonna float a number like that,

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Speaker 2: should see some fun markets this weekend. But yeah, I'd

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Speaker 2: say I lean over here. But that's still a big number.

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Speaker 1: It is, it is, it is. I mean there are

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Speaker 1: there have been like, you know, less drives per game

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Speaker 1: this year than usual years. I think it's down like

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Speaker 1: ten point seven per team per game, So there are

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Speaker 1: some things working against it. But I just think when

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Speaker 1: you combine all these quarterback a lot of town and quarterbacks,

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Speaker 1: and you know a lot of good downfield throwers. I

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Speaker 1: mean even the guys that were low on like Stroud Love,

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Speaker 1: like those guys can get it downfield.

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Speaker 2: Russ.

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Speaker 1: So yeah, yeah, I'm gonna go over all right.

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Speaker 2: Running back top five, we got Saquon Barkley, Bucky Irving, Derrick, Henry,

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Speaker 2: Kyen Williams, Joe Mixon.

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Speaker 1: I got Barkley, Henry Jacobs, Kyron, and Bucky. I guess

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Speaker 1: Bucky just a little lower because it's still there's still

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Speaker 1: some other guys in that backfield. Yeah, but certainly like

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Speaker 1: that number two ranking.

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Speaker 2: Who high on Bucky Irving. Baby, Yeah, he opens the

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Speaker 2: weekends my RB two over Derrick Henry and Kyen Williams.

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Speaker 2: It's still crazy to like get there. I got him

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Speaker 2: in the third U my Dynasty rookie Draft. It's we're

196
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Speaker 2: very excited about that. Brian Thomas June in the first round,

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Speaker 2: of course. But Irving has just been a workhorse back

198
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Speaker 2: the last three games of the season, and last yek

199
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Speaker 2: or Sean White didn't see a single rushing attempt. He's

200
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Speaker 2: kind of turning in to Javonte Williams here. But more encouragingly,

201
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Speaker 2: Bucky's routes round rate has gone up in five straight games. Ironically,

202
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Speaker 2: that's that's what I thought he'd be his first season,

203
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Speaker 2: like sort of a pass catching back who will mix

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Speaker 2: in on early downs. But he's blown that out of

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Speaker 2: the water. So now he's seeing a bigger role in

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Speaker 2: what I thought he'd be good in to start. So

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Speaker 2: that's encouraging, and it's you know, it's rats round rates

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Speaker 2: up to fifty six percent, which means he has even

209
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Speaker 2: more room to grow in that department. So I think

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Speaker 2: he's gonna get even better if he you know, becomes

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Speaker 2: the main pass catching back. This is a great matchup

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Speaker 2: as well. You know, a lot of good defenses this weekend,

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Speaker 2: but the Commanders are the worst in run defense in

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Speaker 2: the playoffs. You know, they ranked twenty six in DVO

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Speaker 2: against the run. So yeah, it's hard to really project

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Speaker 2: Bucky ahead of Derrick Henry, but that's where I have

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Speaker 2: him with this increase in receiving usage as well. So yeah,

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Speaker 2: he's my RB two to open the week.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, and you know, I mean Harry Craik

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Speaker 1: kind of be going with the same thing Bucky is

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Speaker 1: because he's you know, Justice Hill probably coming back for

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Speaker 1: this playoffs. So I mean they both have like a

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Speaker 1: receiving back. So it's it's not that crazy. I'm high

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Speaker 1: on Aaron Jones. I just think that you know, he

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Speaker 1: I know, Akers had the long run and Jones was

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Speaker 1: he way out of the locker room in that game

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Speaker 1: to start the second half of some weird stuff going on.

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Speaker 2: But the impression he was just taking a dump, Yeah that's.

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Speaker 1: What I thought too. But either way, I mean that

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Speaker 1: whole Viking offense was a dump against the Why And

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Speaker 1: so I think I think people are just a little

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Speaker 1: bit lower on them now, you know, kind of that

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Speaker 1: that preseason's skepticism coming back around. But I do think

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Speaker 1: you're going to see a heavy workload for Jones in

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Speaker 1: this spot, you know, going against a pretty average run

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Speaker 1: defense in the Rams. So like the spot for Aaron

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Speaker 1: Jones when you have like other guys like Dobbins and

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Speaker 1: Robinson who not quite necessarily as good a bets for

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Speaker 1: snaps and to have that complete workload. So yeah, like

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Speaker 1: Aaron Jones, he's the ECR running back nine. I think

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Speaker 1: you should be able to hire. Who are you loa?

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Speaker 2: I'm low on Brian Robinson Junior, the other running back

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Speaker 2: in this game on the other side against the Buccaneers.

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Speaker 2: This is just a tough spot for b rob specifically. First,

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Speaker 2: it's you know, potential trailing game script for the Commanders.

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Speaker 2: They're three point underdogs here. Austin Eckler just returned last week,

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Speaker 2: so this sets up better for him if it does

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Speaker 2: turn into a trailing pass heavy game script. But Robinson,

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Speaker 2: you know, he runs inside of the third highest rate

250
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Speaker 2: among all running backs. And center Tayler Battish missed last

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Speaker 2: week with an ankle injury. That's massive and he's questionable,

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Speaker 2: so his status will be key. Robinson averages four and

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Speaker 2: a half yards per attempt when Beattish is active, just

254
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Speaker 2: three point four yards an attempt when he's out again

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Speaker 2: because he runs inside and that's where Fida Vey is

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Speaker 2: going to be standing there. Yeah, this week, so this

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Speaker 2: is just a tough spot for b Rob. So he

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Speaker 2: opens the week as my RB ten and again there's

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Speaker 2: only twelve teams playing this week, so that's a bit

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Speaker 2: lower for him than normal for me.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, same same for me, b Rob. You know, I

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Speaker 1: mean it all kind of started with that. It was like,

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Speaker 1: who is mad Portnoy when Roger he can't have to

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Speaker 1: touchdown the other week. It's like it's kind of in

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Speaker 1: the story all year. It's like, the minute you think

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Speaker 1: Robinson is kind of safe for a certain type of workload,

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Speaker 1: you see Rodriguez mixing, you see mc nichols, now Echward's back.

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Speaker 1: So yeah, this is just a lot of ways is

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Speaker 1: that Robinson could come up short versus expectations. So yeah,

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Speaker 1: it's hard to trust him in this spot when there's

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Speaker 1: you know, three four other back two three other backs

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Speaker 1: in that backroield that could see work. All right, let's

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Speaker 1: see you're running back. Prop can't go hunt versus the

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Speaker 1: checko because they're off.

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Speaker 2: So let's see got any fun.

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Speaker 1: He did get some carries, right, I know, I know he.

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Speaker 2: Hit that lateral. Oh I guess it was the illegal lateral.

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Speaker 1: A couple of carries, but.

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Speaker 2: That would have been a fun bizarre stautline again, like

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Speaker 2: does that count Hiss rushing yards or receiving yards? But

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Speaker 2: if you had like zero Russias for twelve yards because

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Speaker 2: lateral or something, just.

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Speaker 1: Oh yeah, no, I think that's the receiving thing. Yeah, yeah,

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Speaker 1: he got five carries. Okay, now let's go James Cook

285
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Speaker 1: total touches eighteen and a half over under.

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Speaker 2: Oh wow, love it. You're higher on that than me. Yeah,

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Speaker 2: it's got to project.

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Speaker 1: He's like well out of the market.

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Speaker 2: I don't want to say anything too soon. The market

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Speaker 2: seems at too low on this. Yeah, right, did you

291
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Speaker 2: see his Russia at tempt Probably? Yeah, I know market.

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Speaker 1: But I'm trying to give like a realistic like because

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Speaker 1: what happens. It's like we we project them based on

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Speaker 1: his current numbers and then he goes over and scores

295
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Speaker 1: like multiple touchdowns. I'm trying to get like at least

296
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Speaker 1: a decent touch.

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Speaker 2: But now this is a this is a week where

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Speaker 2: we're actually like able to witness the opening numbers. Yeah, yeah,

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Speaker 2: I'm going to go I'm going to go under your projection,

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Speaker 2: but over the market.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, the market happened like thirteen and a half.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, which seems too low. Yeah.

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Speaker 1: No, it's it's such a hard guy to project to

304
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Speaker 1: because then it's like he's efficient with his with his

305
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Speaker 1: you know, yeah for touches.

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Speaker 2: But but he tends to see the most work and

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Speaker 2: like competitive.

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Speaker 1: Big game exactly which is it?

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Speaker 2: Like? This isn't Ray Davis's mixing in new you know

310
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Speaker 2: of the Russia tubs. This is like James Cook sees

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Speaker 2: as much work as he can possibly handle, right.

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Speaker 1: I would think so yeah, I mean yeah, I think

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Speaker 1: he'll get I think he'll push for twenty touches in

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Speaker 1: this game. But yeah, yeah, it's it's the usage is

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Speaker 1: it's been up and down looking for weekly projections from

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Speaker 1: me and Sean Kerner. The only place you'll find them

317
00:16:23,880 --> 00:16:27,120
Speaker 1: is at Fantasy labs dot com. You'll get our weekly

318
00:16:27,200 --> 00:16:31,520
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319
00:16:31,520 --> 00:16:35,400
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Speaker 1: lineup builder that uses the power of simulations paired with

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Speaker 2: All Right Receiver.

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Speaker 1: Top five for Wold Card weekend, we.

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Speaker 2: Got Justin Jefferson, Poka Nakua, Mike Evans, Nico Collins, and

329
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Speaker 2: aj Brown.

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Speaker 1: Yep, same exact order for me.

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Speaker 2: For it this week. Yep.

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Speaker 1: Who are higher?

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Speaker 2: I'm high on Cooper Cup, someone that I was low

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Speaker 2: on the last time he stepped foot on the field.

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Speaker 2: But you know he had that brutal three game stretch

336
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Speaker 2: to close the season. Again. I had pointed that out

337
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Speaker 2: the last time I was low on him. That a

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Speaker 2: lot of that had to do with just Poka Nakua

339
00:17:33,680 --> 00:17:38,000
Speaker 2: dominating usage the second half of the season. Puka had

340
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Speaker 2: just a ridiculous forty percent target rate over the last

341
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Speaker 2: seven games. It's kind of hard for anybody else to

342
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Speaker 2: do anything with somebody dominating in that fashion. Pokah's basically

343
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Speaker 2: taken over the old Cooper Cup role, as you pointed out,

344
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Speaker 2: so I don't see that changing anytime soon. But I

345
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Speaker 2: do think Cup could have a mini bounce back here

346
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Speaker 2: against you know, the Vikings. They use you know, zone

347
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Speaker 2: at the fourth highest rate, Cup seeing about a half

348
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Speaker 2: yard jump and yards perun run against zone this year.

349
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Speaker 2: The Vikings also blitz at the highest rate, and Cup

350
00:18:13,119 --> 00:18:16,280
Speaker 2: is seen about a one and a half yards jump

351
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Speaker 2: in yards per run against the blitz. So if there's

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Speaker 2: any matchup where we could see Cup bounce back a bit,

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00:18:22,600 --> 00:18:24,480
Speaker 2: it would be this one. So you know, he's my

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Speaker 2: wide receiver twelve, and you know, long term, I think

355
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Speaker 2: it is not good for him with Puka dominating targets,

356
00:18:32,359 --> 00:18:33,919
Speaker 2: but again, I think this is a spot where we

357
00:18:33,960 --> 00:18:36,560
Speaker 2: can maybe see him bounce back up bit here.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, because they've been going to more two tight end

359
00:18:39,080 --> 00:18:42,360
Speaker 1: looks with now that they have Higbee back and everyone too,

360
00:18:42,400 --> 00:18:45,440
Speaker 1: So that's he's not playing in those three wide sets

361
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Speaker 1: as much, but you expect in a playoff game they

362
00:18:48,000 --> 00:18:52,280
Speaker 1: would have to use some three wide. Yeah. I'm high

363
00:18:52,280 --> 00:18:55,959
Speaker 1: on Marvin Mims. I mean, he just keeps balling and

364
00:18:56,040 --> 00:18:57,960
Speaker 1: now you know he's got He had a second straight

365
00:18:58,000 --> 00:19:01,800
Speaker 1: game with two touchdow down catches, eight for one of

366
00:19:01,880 --> 00:19:04,560
Speaker 1: three against the Bengals with two scores, and then five

367
00:19:04,600 --> 00:19:06,919
Speaker 1: for fifty one with two scores against the Chiefs. I

368
00:19:06,960 --> 00:19:09,120
Speaker 1: just think they're gonna have to continue to get him involved,

369
00:19:09,880 --> 00:19:12,439
Speaker 1: you know, to produce offense here. And this is a

370
00:19:12,440 --> 00:19:15,000
Speaker 1: game we're probably gonna have to score, you know, close

371
00:19:15,040 --> 00:19:18,240
Speaker 1: to thirty points to knock off the Bills. I know

372
00:19:18,320 --> 00:19:21,879
Speaker 1: their defense is good, but yeah, like like Marvin Mims's playing,

373
00:19:21,920 --> 00:19:24,560
Speaker 1: he's getting more involved in the receiving game. Still could

374
00:19:24,560 --> 00:19:26,440
Speaker 1: see he didn't get a carry lasking for the first

375
00:19:26,480 --> 00:19:28,879
Speaker 1: time in about two months, but could also see him

376
00:19:28,880 --> 00:19:31,680
Speaker 1: involved in the backfield as well. So continue to be

377
00:19:31,760 --> 00:19:34,480
Speaker 1: high on Mims here. Who are you?

378
00:19:34,600 --> 00:19:39,320
Speaker 2: Lowa? Lowa and George Pickens this week against the Ravens.

379
00:19:39,320 --> 00:19:41,560
Speaker 2: You know, obviously he's coming off that dreadful one catch,

380
00:19:42,119 --> 00:19:45,840
Speaker 2: zero yard game. He had multiple drops. He's too good

381
00:19:45,880 --> 00:19:48,800
Speaker 2: not to bounce back this week. But this Ravens defense

382
00:19:49,720 --> 00:19:52,000
Speaker 2: used to be a pass final one. Now it's a

383
00:19:52,000 --> 00:19:55,760
Speaker 2: no funnel defense. It's just really good. Ever since they

384
00:19:55,920 --> 00:20:00,000
Speaker 2: shifted you know, Kyle Hamilton to play more free State

385
00:20:00,240 --> 00:20:04,440
Speaker 2: in the second half of the season. But I think,

386
00:20:04,480 --> 00:20:05,880
Speaker 2: you know, they're probably going to try to make sure

387
00:20:05,920 --> 00:20:09,280
Speaker 2: Pickens won't beat them deep. So this this is a

388
00:20:09,320 --> 00:20:11,920
Speaker 2: tougher spot for him. So he's he's all the way

389
00:20:11,920 --> 00:20:15,640
Speaker 2: down to like wide receiver seventeen, you know, below Jalen McMillan,

390
00:20:15,760 --> 00:20:19,440
Speaker 2: Quentin Johnson. Even so, this is just not a good

391
00:20:19,440 --> 00:20:23,040
Speaker 2: spot for Pickens. Again, I agree that with you that

392
00:20:23,160 --> 00:20:24,960
Speaker 2: they'll probably have to throw more this week, but I

393
00:20:25,000 --> 00:20:28,200
Speaker 2: think someone like Pat Friar Muth and maybe Jalen Warren

394
00:20:28,200 --> 00:20:30,680
Speaker 2: will get going this week as opposed to Pickens. I

395
00:20:30,720 --> 00:20:33,280
Speaker 2: think the Ravens will probably do everything they can to

396
00:20:33,359 --> 00:20:36,800
Speaker 2: make sure Pickens, you know, can't beat him here.

397
00:20:37,400 --> 00:20:38,720
Speaker 1: Yeah, it's I mean, he has to have a better

398
00:20:38,720 --> 00:20:40,280
Speaker 1: game in the last game, but it's been it's been

399
00:20:40,320 --> 00:20:45,080
Speaker 1: a struggle for weeks now. I am low on a

400
00:20:45,080 --> 00:20:48,359
Speaker 1: MARII Cooper. I just he's wide receiver twenty. I just

401
00:20:48,400 --> 00:20:50,680
Speaker 1: don't know what I'm going to get from Cooper here.

402
00:20:51,000 --> 00:20:54,360
Speaker 1: You know, we still really haven't seen them in an

403
00:20:54,680 --> 00:20:57,320
Speaker 1: important game, like a truly important game like this, and

404
00:20:57,520 --> 00:21:00,320
Speaker 1: the ones we have Cooper still been in that fifty

405
00:21:00,520 --> 00:21:03,200
Speaker 1: sixty percent snap range. So I know he got the

406
00:21:03,760 --> 00:21:05,399
Speaker 1: you know, the day off. I think he popped up

407
00:21:05,400 --> 00:21:08,800
Speaker 1: with an injury before that, so I don't know if

408
00:21:08,840 --> 00:21:12,359
Speaker 1: they intended to rest him regardless or what. But still

409
00:21:12,400 --> 00:21:14,919
Speaker 1: can't be sure that he's gonna get back into the

410
00:21:14,960 --> 00:21:18,880
Speaker 1: eighty ninety route run range, especially when you still have Coleman,

411
00:21:18,920 --> 00:21:23,720
Speaker 1: you still have Howind's Shakir. So yeah, he's you know,

412
00:21:23,760 --> 00:21:28,720
Speaker 1: he's the second highest ranked receiver on the Bills, which

413
00:21:28,760 --> 00:21:31,000
Speaker 1: I guess could be fair, but I just think wide

414
00:21:31,000 --> 00:21:34,560
Speaker 1: receiver twenty is too high for a guy like that.

415
00:21:34,600 --> 00:21:37,000
Speaker 1: Who we just we have no idea what the snap

416
00:21:37,040 --> 00:21:40,680
Speaker 1: rate is going to be. Prop that is, that's you, Yeah,

417
00:21:40,680 --> 00:21:41,520
Speaker 1: so that's me.

418
00:21:42,280 --> 00:21:44,200
Speaker 2: I'm gonna go with the guy that I don't think

419
00:21:44,240 --> 00:21:46,439
Speaker 2: i've seen a prop up yet because he is that

420
00:21:46,560 --> 00:21:49,959
Speaker 2: tricky to project, but I think he's important. I'll get

421
00:21:50,000 --> 00:21:54,479
Speaker 2: to why. But Deontay Johnson, where do you have his

422
00:21:54,520 --> 00:21:57,760
Speaker 2: receiving yards this week? Because he finally made his Texans

423
00:21:57,840 --> 00:22:03,840
Speaker 2: debut last week ran a route on fifth of dropbacks.

424
00:22:04,200 --> 00:22:07,639
Speaker 2: It's a nice target rate too, So just curious your

425
00:22:07,680 --> 00:22:10,600
Speaker 2: process behind this. But I'm gonna set the line at

426
00:22:11,040 --> 00:22:12,200
Speaker 2: twenty four and a half.

427
00:22:12,480 --> 00:22:17,080
Speaker 1: Oh yeah, yeah, it's so. I mean I think he's

428
00:22:17,600 --> 00:22:21,680
Speaker 1: he has a chance to be in the top three, right,

429
00:22:21,720 --> 00:22:24,600
Speaker 1: but I don't know for sure because I mean, you

430
00:22:24,720 --> 00:22:28,240
Speaker 1: still you know, it's you still have like Woods, Mechi

431
00:22:28,440 --> 00:22:31,520
Speaker 1: and Hutchinson wo have been there all years, So it's tough.

432
00:22:31,560 --> 00:22:34,000
Speaker 1: I don't know exactly where he's gonna ran in the

433
00:22:34,040 --> 00:22:37,080
Speaker 1: packing order. So yeah, it's about to catches about right,

434
00:22:40,680 --> 00:22:47,240
Speaker 1: I'm gonna go under. That's Beyonce story. Oh yeah, we don't.

435
00:22:47,320 --> 00:22:50,640
Speaker 2: Yeah, Ryan, yeah, Rian's I was saying that they want

436
00:22:50,680 --> 00:22:55,080
Speaker 2: to continue to feed him more, get him more involved,

437
00:22:55,080 --> 00:22:58,119
Speaker 2: and this was after last week. Uh so that was

438
00:22:58,240 --> 00:23:01,280
Speaker 2: encouraging Mechi isn't I don't know if not. She's in

439
00:23:01,359 --> 00:23:04,000
Speaker 2: the concussion protocol, but I think he's like dealing with

440
00:23:04,040 --> 00:23:08,440
Speaker 2: the concussion. So he's iffie. But like if Deontay, if

441
00:23:08,480 --> 00:23:12,240
Speaker 2: he does become like the number two receiver, like I'm

442
00:23:12,280 --> 00:23:14,400
Speaker 2: showing a ton of value on Nico's under, I don't

443
00:23:14,440 --> 00:23:17,480
Speaker 2: think I'd ever want to bet that, and like Schultz under,

444
00:23:18,000 --> 00:23:20,240
Speaker 2: but like if they have a legit number two receiver,

445
00:23:20,440 --> 00:23:23,119
Speaker 2: like that's going to take away from you know, like

446
00:23:23,240 --> 00:23:27,040
Speaker 2: Nico and Schultz is really curious just how you're projecting him.

447
00:23:27,400 --> 00:23:29,119
Speaker 1: Yeah, right now, I mean I still have him kind of.

448
00:23:29,119 --> 00:23:30,760
Speaker 1: I still have all those guys kind of equal, Like

449
00:23:30,800 --> 00:23:32,520
Speaker 1: I've bumped Joss off a little bit to get to

450
00:23:32,640 --> 00:23:35,399
Speaker 1: like equal with some of them. But realistically, I mean

451
00:23:35,400 --> 00:23:37,800
Speaker 1: we've been kind of one number one. We've been looking

452
00:23:37,800 --> 00:23:40,120
Speaker 1: at like all year with these traded guys where it's

453
00:23:40,119 --> 00:23:41,600
Speaker 1: like we just expect them to come in and be

454
00:23:42,080 --> 00:23:45,440
Speaker 1: in a certain spot and they're not, and in Deontay especially,

455
00:23:45,480 --> 00:23:48,359
Speaker 1: so it's like that was Week eighteen against a tanking

456
00:23:48,400 --> 00:23:50,399
Speaker 1: Titans team and well he still catch like two balls

457
00:23:50,400 --> 00:23:53,160
Speaker 1: for twelve yards. Right, Yeah, he didn't catch He didn't yet,

458
00:23:53,200 --> 00:23:55,920
Speaker 1: So it's it's not like he was just like came

459
00:23:55,960 --> 00:23:59,639
Speaker 1: in and just beasted. So yeah, it's been the story

460
00:23:59,640 --> 00:24:04,920
Speaker 1: all year him just disappointed. Yeah, I mean yeah, yeah,

461
00:24:04,960 --> 00:24:06,679
Speaker 1: I mean I'm just going off what I say. It

462
00:24:06,720 --> 00:24:10,840
Speaker 1: seems more likely than not that h he just disappoints again.

463
00:24:10,920 --> 00:24:12,879
Speaker 1: But now I feel you like it's it's gonna be

464
00:24:12,880 --> 00:24:16,000
Speaker 1: a tough projection. Yeah, I think we'll have to look

465
00:24:16,040 --> 00:24:19,639
Speaker 1: at the the practice reports for more quarity and and uh,

466
00:24:19,960 --> 00:24:21,560
Speaker 1: the beat reports of like you know, who's getting in

467
00:24:21,600 --> 00:24:23,240
Speaker 1: the snatch with the first and second team, because that

468
00:24:23,280 --> 00:24:25,280
Speaker 1: is significant. Earlier in the year, I know they had

469
00:24:25,440 --> 00:24:29,160
Speaker 1: you know, specific roles like Hutchinson with Nico's direct backup

470
00:24:29,200 --> 00:24:31,280
Speaker 1: and you know, so on and so forth, but that

471
00:24:31,320 --> 00:24:35,520
Speaker 1: could be all shifted now with just everyone hurt. So yep, uh, yeah,

472
00:24:35,560 --> 00:24:37,840
Speaker 1: that's that's but yeah, I think it's a pretty good line.

473
00:24:38,040 --> 00:24:40,280
Speaker 1: But it's about two catches. You're saying, right, like two

474
00:24:40,320 --> 00:24:41,840
Speaker 1: catches for twenty four.

475
00:24:42,359 --> 00:24:47,520
Speaker 2: Over two catches? Yeah, yeah, right, yeah, yeah, yeah, exactly.

476
00:24:48,240 --> 00:24:51,560
Speaker 1: Yeah. Now I'm with you, but I yeah, if I

477
00:24:51,720 --> 00:24:53,960
Speaker 1: if I'm betting man, which I am, you know, I'm

478
00:24:53,960 --> 00:24:56,200
Speaker 1: gonna go under it. I think last year around this time,

479
00:24:56,240 --> 00:24:58,920
Speaker 1: I had a I want to say, a Hutchinson under

480
00:24:59,000 --> 00:25:00,920
Speaker 1: like six and a half half or something that ended

481
00:25:01,000 --> 00:25:03,119
Speaker 1: up hitting like in a textan playoff game six and.

482
00:25:03,160 --> 00:25:04,159
Speaker 2: A half receiving yards.

483
00:25:04,240 --> 00:25:06,960
Speaker 1: Yeah, something like that. You know my style with these guys.

484
00:25:06,960 --> 00:25:11,760
Speaker 2: Oh yeah, uh. Did I have like Dawson Knox under

485
00:25:12,080 --> 00:25:13,560
Speaker 2: nine and a half or something.

486
00:25:14,320 --> 00:25:15,760
Speaker 1: And a half or yeah, it might be a good

487
00:25:15,760 --> 00:25:16,400
Speaker 1: bet again.

488
00:25:16,400 --> 00:25:19,200
Speaker 2: Betting from the studio. If you remember that, like, yeah,

489
00:25:19,480 --> 00:25:21,320
Speaker 2: it was up to it went up to like twelve

490
00:25:21,400 --> 00:25:22,240
Speaker 2: and a half or something.

491
00:25:22,280 --> 00:25:24,840
Speaker 1: I was like, what the I think we had him

492
00:25:24,960 --> 00:25:27,000
Speaker 1: under and then like it was like, uh, I want

493
00:25:27,000 --> 00:25:28,879
Speaker 1: to say, like IRV Smith over or something like that

494
00:25:29,040 --> 00:25:33,720
Speaker 1: or Smith under, oh under? Okay, yeah yeah it kind yeah, because.

495
00:25:33,480 --> 00:25:35,520
Speaker 2: I think you asked me what percent chance do you

496
00:25:35,560 --> 00:25:37,160
Speaker 2: have Erth Smith even getting a catch?

497
00:25:37,800 --> 00:25:38,040
Speaker 1: Right?

498
00:25:38,640 --> 00:25:39,560
Speaker 2: Like high?

499
00:25:40,119 --> 00:25:40,280
Speaker 1: Yeah?

500
00:25:40,359 --> 00:25:43,280
Speaker 2: Right? Then I was like, even if he gets a catch,

501
00:25:43,280 --> 00:25:45,359
Speaker 2: there's a percent chance it'll be under five and a

502
00:25:45,400 --> 00:25:47,920
Speaker 2: half yards. I remember that one. I think it was

503
00:25:48,240 --> 00:25:49,760
Speaker 2: Smith five and a half yards, right.

504
00:25:50,359 --> 00:25:50,879
Speaker 1: Something like that.

505
00:25:50,960 --> 00:25:51,200
Speaker 2: Yeah.

506
00:25:51,320 --> 00:25:52,840
Speaker 1: I mean that's kind of a story with tight ends

507
00:25:52,840 --> 00:25:55,280
Speaker 1: and running backs. It's like they can get their catches,

508
00:25:55,320 --> 00:25:57,440
Speaker 1: but like a lot of times it's not going to

509
00:25:57,520 --> 00:26:00,240
Speaker 1: be that full a dot or full you know, yeah

510
00:26:00,280 --> 00:26:06,840
Speaker 1: average though, all right, uh tight ends to five.

511
00:26:08,400 --> 00:26:13,240
Speaker 2: I got TJ. Howkinson, Mark Andrews, Pat Friarmuth zach Ertz,

512
00:26:13,440 --> 00:26:14,600
Speaker 2: and Tucker Craft.

513
00:26:15,600 --> 00:26:18,399
Speaker 1: Yeah, I got Andrews, Hockinson, Ertz Craft prime with but

514
00:26:18,800 --> 00:26:21,320
Speaker 1: pretty same same idea. Who you high on?

515
00:26:22,000 --> 00:26:25,720
Speaker 2: Uh? Pat Firemouth just someone that's really been trending up

516
00:26:25,760 --> 00:26:29,520
Speaker 2: to close the season, ending on just back to back

517
00:26:29,560 --> 00:26:32,000
Speaker 2: season highs. He had seven catches for sixty yards and

518
00:26:32,000 --> 00:26:34,720
Speaker 2: then eight catches eighty five yards in a touchdown, had

519
00:26:34,720 --> 00:26:37,480
Speaker 2: that key dropped to end the game, but still a

520
00:26:37,560 --> 00:26:40,280
Speaker 2: really good game from him. Look for him to keep

521
00:26:40,359 --> 00:26:44,560
Speaker 2: rolling here despite the tougher matchup. The Ravens just allowed

522
00:26:44,640 --> 00:26:47,159
Speaker 2: Jordan Akins to go for six catches sixty yards in

523
00:26:47,160 --> 00:26:50,400
Speaker 2: a touchdown, and like I said, they're probably more concerned

524
00:26:50,440 --> 00:26:54,040
Speaker 2: about just preventing big plays from George Pickens, so they

525
00:26:54,119 --> 00:26:56,800
Speaker 2: might be okay with Firemouth, you know, having a solid

526
00:26:56,800 --> 00:27:01,680
Speaker 2: game here, but yeah, it's it's kind of a weird

527
00:27:01,960 --> 00:27:03,800
Speaker 2: for tight end. So yeah, he's in my top three.

528
00:27:03,840 --> 00:27:05,360
Speaker 2: So I'm high on Ptver.

529
00:27:06,640 --> 00:27:08,560
Speaker 1: Yeah, I've been I've been hiring on most of this

530
00:27:08,640 --> 00:27:12,399
Speaker 1: stretch run. He's been playing pretty well, So yeah, I

531
00:27:12,520 --> 00:27:14,800
Speaker 1: like that. I'm the only thing I'm concerned about is

532
00:27:14,800 --> 00:27:16,280
Speaker 1: like what if they if they're like, all right, we're

533
00:27:16,320 --> 00:27:20,600
Speaker 1: gonna get like Kyle Hamilton on him like every play.

534
00:27:20,760 --> 00:27:24,520
Speaker 1: That wouldn't be great, but it's it is the playoffs.

535
00:27:24,800 --> 00:27:27,040
Speaker 1: But yeah, no, I agree. I think he's been playing well.

536
00:27:27,080 --> 00:27:29,439
Speaker 1: And you know, Russell Wilson has been kind of looking

537
00:27:29,760 --> 00:27:32,120
Speaker 1: towards the middle more and toward him more, uh these

538
00:27:32,200 --> 00:27:34,520
Speaker 1: last few weeks, and that's been working out. Now, if

539
00:27:34,520 --> 00:27:39,440
Speaker 1: they can just combine it with also getting pickings going downfield,

540
00:27:39,440 --> 00:27:41,080
Speaker 1: maybe maybe it's more what they need to get more

541
00:27:41,080 --> 00:27:43,080
Speaker 1: Mike Williams. That catch at the beginning of the game

542
00:27:43,240 --> 00:27:46,159
Speaker 1: is pretty sweet for Mike, probably best year.

543
00:27:46,480 --> 00:27:48,560
Speaker 2: I was thinking that too, just get him more evolved,

544
00:27:48,560 --> 00:27:50,600
Speaker 2: but for whatever reason they don't.

545
00:27:51,640 --> 00:27:53,720
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, he's it's weird. It's because like I

546
00:27:53,720 --> 00:27:55,840
Speaker 1: feel like every week is just different guys. So it's

547
00:27:55,840 --> 00:27:58,400
Speaker 1: probably the same thing in practice where it's like because

548
00:27:58,400 --> 00:28:00,840
Speaker 1: remember a couple of weeks ago against the Ravens, it

549
00:28:00,920 --> 00:28:03,959
Speaker 1: was like Scronic who looked the best. He was just

550
00:28:04,160 --> 00:28:06,080
Speaker 1: catching balls left and right, and then he got hurt

551
00:28:06,080 --> 00:28:08,280
Speaker 1: and then yeah, so yeah, it's probably weird in that

552
00:28:08,320 --> 00:28:10,000
Speaker 1: practice with the stay.

553
00:28:10,480 --> 00:28:14,080
Speaker 2: And Jyllen, Warren just kind of disappeared from the game

554
00:28:14,119 --> 00:28:15,520
Speaker 2: plan last week.

555
00:28:15,840 --> 00:28:17,360
Speaker 1: I was kind of, yeah, that seems like a hot

556
00:28:17,400 --> 00:28:20,199
Speaker 1: hand thing where now he gets to always gets the

557
00:28:20,240 --> 00:28:22,399
Speaker 1: first crack at it because he's got physical runner. But

558
00:28:22,440 --> 00:28:24,880
Speaker 1: then they didn't have Warren in on like spots where

559
00:28:24,920 --> 00:28:27,000
Speaker 1: you would want him in, like that short yardage play

560
00:28:27,000 --> 00:28:29,200
Speaker 1: where it was like second one because frar move didn't

561
00:28:29,280 --> 00:28:31,439
Speaker 1: duck out. He ducked out too soon, and then I

562
00:28:31,480 --> 00:28:33,440
Speaker 1: think they mixed it on a quarterback sneak and then

563
00:28:33,800 --> 00:28:35,840
Speaker 1: on fourth and one it was Warren and just no

564
00:28:35,960 --> 00:28:38,640
Speaker 1: fall forward and they got stopped again. So yeah, it's

565
00:28:38,640 --> 00:28:44,320
Speaker 1: been weird in Pittsburgh. I'm high on Tower Hagbies. I

566
00:28:44,320 --> 00:28:48,440
Speaker 1: think he's interesting here for the uh for the Rams

567
00:28:48,480 --> 00:28:51,240
Speaker 1: he did have. He did play in that Week seven

568
00:28:51,360 --> 00:28:54,480
Speaker 1: eighteen game five for forty six in a touchdown. Now

569
00:28:54,480 --> 00:29:00,880
Speaker 1: you get to go against the Minnesota Vikings, and you know,

570
00:29:00,920 --> 00:29:03,160
Speaker 1: that's a pretty good spot. I think for tight ends

571
00:29:03,160 --> 00:29:05,440
Speaker 1: it's you know, they've they've been giving up a high

572
00:29:05,480 --> 00:29:10,560
Speaker 1: schedule adjusted target over expectation rate to the tight end position.

573
00:29:10,840 --> 00:29:13,240
Speaker 1: You know they do drop back there. They haven't dropping

574
00:29:13,320 --> 00:29:15,600
Speaker 1: back even when they blitzed more So, I do think

575
00:29:15,680 --> 00:29:20,120
Speaker 1: this is a pretty interesting spot for Hagebee here, kind

576
00:29:20,120 --> 00:29:22,960
Speaker 1: of forgotten man, but he should lead. I do expect

577
00:29:23,000 --> 00:29:24,520
Speaker 1: him to leave that tight end room for the Rams,

578
00:29:24,520 --> 00:29:27,720
Speaker 1: So high on him. Who are you low on this week?

579
00:29:28,200 --> 00:29:31,520
Speaker 2: Well, not too much benefit for being low on any

580
00:29:31,560 --> 00:29:33,800
Speaker 2: given tight end. This week I saw that I was

581
00:29:33,880 --> 00:29:38,160
Speaker 2: minus three etar a Dallas Goddard, but not much to

582
00:29:38,200 --> 00:29:41,200
Speaker 2: say there, So I was minus one on zach Ertz.

583
00:29:41,920 --> 00:29:44,240
Speaker 2: So I'll just say I think zach Ertz might cool

584
00:29:44,280 --> 00:29:48,160
Speaker 2: off a bit this week, and he's more interesting to

585
00:29:48,200 --> 00:29:50,280
Speaker 2: talk about this week from a production point of view,

586
00:29:50,320 --> 00:29:53,320
Speaker 2: so I'm going to go with him. But he closed

587
00:29:53,320 --> 00:29:55,480
Speaker 2: out the season with two massive games where he was

588
00:29:55,560 --> 00:29:59,880
Speaker 2: chasing just millions of dollars in incentives and he collected

589
00:29:59,880 --> 00:30:01,960
Speaker 2: a let me tell you that, like he did really

590
00:30:01,960 --> 00:30:05,840
Speaker 2: good for the incentive crowd of the last two games.

591
00:30:06,600 --> 00:30:08,680
Speaker 2: I'm sure he's still going to give one hundred percent here,

592
00:30:08,680 --> 00:30:10,760
Speaker 2: but still I got a lot to play for those

593
00:30:10,800 --> 00:30:14,360
Speaker 2: last two weeks. But Austin Eckler's return I think potentially

594
00:30:14,960 --> 00:30:19,160
Speaker 2: ding his target share a bit, and more importantly, the

595
00:30:19,240 --> 00:30:22,040
Speaker 2: buck secondary is what I'm looking for when it comes

596
00:30:22,080 --> 00:30:26,719
Speaker 2: to projection later in the week, because you know, safety

597
00:30:26,720 --> 00:30:31,480
Speaker 2: antline Winfield's questionable, Jordan Whitehead's recovering from that car accident,

598
00:30:31,840 --> 00:30:34,800
Speaker 2: and his backup Mike Edwards left the game with cramps.

599
00:30:34,880 --> 00:30:36,239
Speaker 1: Yeah, I saw that. I saw that.

600
00:30:37,680 --> 00:30:42,040
Speaker 2: He stills questionable, but I'm assuming he'll play Cramp's usual.

601
00:30:42,040 --> 00:30:43,840
Speaker 2: You don't really up for a week, but I don't

602
00:30:43,840 --> 00:30:44,600
Speaker 2: know what's fun of him.

603
00:30:44,720 --> 00:30:46,320
Speaker 1: I'll put an injury though, so I don't. I mean,

604
00:30:46,440 --> 00:30:48,240
Speaker 1: I mean they're saying cramp. I don't know if you

605
00:30:48,240 --> 00:30:51,160
Speaker 1: saw that play, but I think, yeah, he had a

606
00:30:51,240 --> 00:30:53,040
Speaker 1: chance at an interception or something it and he just

607
00:30:53,120 --> 00:30:56,080
Speaker 1: kind of pulled up lay like in a weird way.

608
00:30:56,160 --> 00:30:58,600
Speaker 1: I kind of like kneeled down as he was running

609
00:30:58,720 --> 00:31:01,240
Speaker 1: and fell backward. I don't know it was out than Cramps.

610
00:31:01,240 --> 00:31:02,240
Speaker 1: That's all I'm gonna say about.

611
00:31:02,760 --> 00:31:05,480
Speaker 2: Like they're saying that to Cramps, but that that didn't

612
00:31:05,480 --> 00:31:06,320
Speaker 2: look at cramps.

613
00:31:06,480 --> 00:31:08,040
Speaker 1: What do I know? Uh?

614
00:31:08,400 --> 00:31:13,680
Speaker 2: And then Jamel Dean's questionable. Zion McCollums is just gonna

615
00:31:13,720 --> 00:31:17,240
Speaker 2: have to hold down the fort. But again, just based

616
00:31:17,240 --> 00:31:20,200
Speaker 2: on the availability of these guys. You know, if all

617
00:31:20,440 --> 00:31:22,800
Speaker 2: three safeties are out, I'm going to move zach Ertz

618
00:31:22,880 --> 00:31:25,520
Speaker 2: up quite a bit. If they're all back, you know,

619
00:31:25,680 --> 00:31:27,800
Speaker 2: I'm going to keep him here. So just a lot

620
00:31:27,840 --> 00:31:31,360
Speaker 2: going on with zach Ertz projection this week. So I'm

621
00:31:31,360 --> 00:31:34,520
Speaker 2: not saying I'm like Lolo on him, but right now

622
00:31:34,560 --> 00:31:37,840
Speaker 2: I have Pat fry With slightly ahead of him. But

623
00:31:37,920 --> 00:31:39,720
Speaker 2: I just think zach Ertz is one of the more

624
00:31:39,760 --> 00:31:43,080
Speaker 2: fascinating Titans projector right now with all these moving pieces.

625
00:31:43,400 --> 00:31:45,480
Speaker 1: Yeah, I have I mean, I still have the third.

626
00:31:45,560 --> 00:31:48,200
Speaker 1: I think I think he's a major part of this

627
00:31:48,280 --> 00:31:49,760
Speaker 1: passing game, and I think, I mean, I know he's

628
00:31:49,840 --> 00:31:55,760
Speaker 1: chasing the sentives, but he's also a good target for Daniels.

629
00:31:55,760 --> 00:31:59,120
Speaker 1: And that's at a time when you know, like mclarren

630
00:31:59,200 --> 00:32:01,200
Speaker 1: had a couple of those down games, like a couple

631
00:32:01,200 --> 00:32:02,800
Speaker 1: of weeks ago, do you have a one catch? So

632
00:32:03,480 --> 00:32:06,000
Speaker 1: I think the veteran tight end in the playoffs, I

633
00:32:06,040 --> 00:32:08,520
Speaker 1: think Zach Hurts will be okay. But I understand where

634
00:32:08,520 --> 00:32:10,960
Speaker 1: you're coming from, too, Like it's it's up in the air.

635
00:32:12,200 --> 00:32:14,200
Speaker 1: Is a good case to be low on too, because

636
00:32:14,520 --> 00:32:17,680
Speaker 1: the thing about Goddard is like that, you know the

637
00:32:17,760 --> 00:32:21,000
Speaker 1: reads for that that Philly offense are brown Smith and

638
00:32:21,040 --> 00:32:24,440
Speaker 1: then in some order and then, uh, you still want

639
00:32:24,440 --> 00:32:26,480
Speaker 1: to get bark we the ball in the pass game

640
00:32:26,600 --> 00:32:29,440
Speaker 1: probably a little bit. Gotson's usually a non factor. But

641
00:32:30,840 --> 00:32:33,320
Speaker 1: how much did they throw right? And you know, because god,

642
00:32:33,320 --> 00:32:35,760
Speaker 1: it's at best the number three options. So now that

643
00:32:35,800 --> 00:32:39,720
Speaker 1: it's playoff time, uh, you know they've had time off.

644
00:32:39,800 --> 00:32:41,120
Speaker 1: You know they they they're going to try to come

645
00:32:41,120 --> 00:32:43,440
Speaker 1: out and run the ball. Green Day likes to run

646
00:32:43,480 --> 00:32:45,400
Speaker 1: the ball, so that could be one of those games

647
00:32:45,400 --> 00:32:47,120
Speaker 1: with a quick clock, so I can see I can

648
00:32:47,160 --> 00:32:48,480
Speaker 1: see being low on got Her too.

649
00:32:49,080 --> 00:32:53,000
Speaker 2: Yeah, Like he's he's an interesting projection as well for

650
00:32:53,120 --> 00:32:58,160
Speaker 2: other players, because yeah, Hurts just looks for you know,

651
00:32:58,240 --> 00:33:00,800
Speaker 2: Brown or Smith. But when God was like he would

652
00:33:00,800 --> 00:33:02,560
Speaker 2: look for him too, it was more of a Calca

653
00:33:02,680 --> 00:33:06,560
Speaker 2: terror problem than anything. So gotter D's return, I'm actually

654
00:33:06,600 --> 00:33:09,840
Speaker 2: showing a shit ton of value on AJ Brown's under

655
00:33:11,000 --> 00:33:12,719
Speaker 2: I don't know what you're projecting for him, but his

656
00:33:12,800 --> 00:33:16,560
Speaker 2: prop is like eighty five and a half. Yeah. But

657
00:33:16,760 --> 00:33:18,760
Speaker 2: when you're projecting, like usually.

658
00:33:18,440 --> 00:33:21,080
Speaker 1: For a J. Brown, what happens is I project him

659
00:33:21,120 --> 00:33:23,480
Speaker 1: and then it's like, okay, I gotta remember to raise

660
00:33:23,480 --> 00:33:25,800
Speaker 1: his routes run to one hundred percent because he came

661
00:33:25,840 --> 00:33:27,320
Speaker 1: out and it's like I got it, and by the

662
00:33:27,400 --> 00:33:29,160
Speaker 1: end of the week, I'm like in line with the market.

663
00:33:29,200 --> 00:33:31,840
Speaker 1: But like, yeah, every week they he's prop uply so

664
00:33:32,000 --> 00:33:33,120
Speaker 1: fucking high.

665
00:33:33,200 --> 00:33:35,400
Speaker 2: Yeah, And I'm I'm not saying I'm gonna take his

666
00:33:35,680 --> 00:33:39,720
Speaker 2: uh is under anything, but like by having got Her

667
00:33:39,800 --> 00:33:41,840
Speaker 2: back in the lineup and I'm projecting him back to

668
00:33:41,920 --> 00:33:45,479
Speaker 2: his typical like seventy percent routes run, I lowered his

669
00:33:45,560 --> 00:33:47,840
Speaker 2: target share than what it typically is. And I'm still

670
00:33:47,840 --> 00:33:51,040
Speaker 2: showing a J. Brown. I'm wondering if I just fade

671
00:33:51,120 --> 00:33:54,479
Speaker 2: DeVante Smith, but that never goes well. But it's just

672
00:33:54,960 --> 00:33:58,040
Speaker 2: interesting because Calca Terror was the one that, like you know,

673
00:33:58,560 --> 00:34:01,360
Speaker 2: Hurts would never look his way, but Goddard does get

674
00:34:01,480 --> 00:34:04,200
Speaker 2: a pretty good target share when he is in there.

675
00:34:04,240 --> 00:34:07,280
Speaker 2: So it's just really tricky projecting these pass catchers. I

676
00:34:07,320 --> 00:34:11,560
Speaker 2: think I'm gonna just not fait anybody, uh see how I.

677
00:34:11,560 --> 00:34:14,560
Speaker 1: Mean, there was there were a couple of games where

678
00:34:14,600 --> 00:34:19,520
Speaker 1: like when Goddard was healthiest was coincided with either a

679
00:34:19,560 --> 00:34:22,359
Speaker 1: Brown or a Smith's injury or both. So like there's

680
00:34:22,400 --> 00:34:24,600
Speaker 1: some big games in there where like, yeah, I usually

681
00:34:24,640 --> 00:34:26,400
Speaker 1: go in kind of like game by game and adjust

682
00:34:26,400 --> 00:34:29,120
Speaker 1: the target share to reflect, you know, like the spots

683
00:34:29,120 --> 00:34:30,719
Speaker 1: where all three of them were in there usually will

684
00:34:30,800 --> 00:34:32,200
Speaker 1: with some a little bit, but I know what you mean.

685
00:34:32,280 --> 00:34:34,080
Speaker 1: Like he had that he had that massive perform what

686
00:34:34,200 --> 00:34:35,879
Speaker 1: was it against New Orleans? I think where he had

687
00:34:35,920 --> 00:34:37,960
Speaker 1: like the they had that great pick by I think

688
00:34:37,960 --> 00:34:40,000
Speaker 1: it was Dots that he went like sixty sixty or

689
00:34:40,040 --> 00:34:42,399
Speaker 1: eighty yards you know on that last drive or second

690
00:34:42,480 --> 00:34:46,080
Speaker 1: last drive. So yeah, he is. He's a tough projection.

691
00:34:46,200 --> 00:34:49,640
Speaker 1: But I'm I think I do think that you know,

692
00:34:49,719 --> 00:34:53,239
Speaker 1: him playing in WE eighteen is probably a negative all

693
00:34:53,280 --> 00:34:57,560
Speaker 1: things considered. And uh and just the fact that Philly

694
00:34:57,640 --> 00:35:02,319
Speaker 1: is so you know, top heavy. I wouldn't mind being

695
00:35:02,320 --> 00:35:02,879
Speaker 1: low on him.

696
00:35:03,840 --> 00:35:09,279
Speaker 2: If was maybe healthy, I might like take a swing

697
00:35:09,320 --> 00:35:11,120
Speaker 2: at it. But yeah, it's it's too risky to ever

698
00:35:11,160 --> 00:35:12,640
Speaker 2: fade those receivers.

699
00:35:12,920 --> 00:35:14,920
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, I think the biggest story and this

700
00:35:15,040 --> 00:35:16,520
Speaker 1: might be a game where we're just on the unders

701
00:35:16,520 --> 00:35:18,680
Speaker 1: for everyone because like I said, both of these teams

702
00:35:18,719 --> 00:35:21,919
Speaker 1: like to run. They did extremely run heavy. That's good.

703
00:35:21,920 --> 00:35:23,839
Speaker 1: That would just run clock and I gotta I gotta

704
00:35:23,880 --> 00:35:25,920
Speaker 1: look at their you know, their plays for and against.

705
00:35:25,920 --> 00:35:27,719
Speaker 1: But I'm guessing it would just be a game where

706
00:35:27,719 --> 00:35:31,160
Speaker 1: it lowers like the potential projective plays on both offenses.

707
00:35:32,000 --> 00:35:35,640
Speaker 1: So yeah, that that's something to watch for. I'm on

708
00:35:35,840 --> 00:35:38,600
Speaker 1: Will Disley just you know, this is all boy. But

709
00:35:39,040 --> 00:35:42,399
Speaker 1: I know he's tightened seven in ECI I just feel

710
00:35:42,400 --> 00:35:44,640
Speaker 1: like that's a little high when you know he is

711
00:35:44,680 --> 00:35:46,759
Speaker 1: in this four way committee. He did weed it and

712
00:35:47,080 --> 00:35:48,799
Speaker 1: for the second week back in a row, so he's

713
00:35:48,800 --> 00:35:50,680
Speaker 1: still gonna be the leader. But just kind of a

714
00:35:50,719 --> 00:35:52,719
Speaker 1: guy where I don't know exactly where he's going to

715
00:35:52,800 --> 00:35:54,560
Speaker 1: land in the routes run. I don't know exactly what

716
00:35:54,640 --> 00:35:56,759
Speaker 1: the game plan is going to be between you know,

717
00:35:57,200 --> 00:35:59,680
Speaker 1: they usually like to have somebody pass protecting. Is it

718
00:35:59,760 --> 00:36:01,799
Speaker 1: going to Dobbins because he's been good at it? Is

719
00:36:01,800 --> 00:36:04,880
Speaker 1: it gonna be Diswey chipping? Euston does have you know,

720
00:36:04,920 --> 00:36:07,960
Speaker 1: some guys off the edge that could get pressure. Uh

721
00:36:08,120 --> 00:36:10,440
Speaker 1: so and d has been one of the better teams

722
00:36:10,600 --> 00:36:14,040
Speaker 1: against tight ends Number seven and Dvoa, So you know,

723
00:36:14,320 --> 00:36:17,560
Speaker 1: just kind of I still probably full season, it's for

724
00:36:17,719 --> 00:36:19,560
Speaker 1: first week of the wild card. You know, a guy

725
00:36:19,600 --> 00:36:21,759
Speaker 1: like a Kincaid, I'd probably still trust a little more,

726
00:36:21,880 --> 00:36:25,160
Speaker 1: just because you know, it's they're all kind of close

727
00:36:25,160 --> 00:36:27,719
Speaker 1: in routes run, But I really don't know which will

728
00:36:27,760 --> 00:36:30,000
Speaker 1: just we I'm I'm getting here, which you know how

729
00:36:30,040 --> 00:36:31,840
Speaker 1: it involves will be So I think seven is a

730
00:36:31,840 --> 00:36:34,640
Speaker 1: little a little rich for uh for him, But yeah,

731
00:36:34,920 --> 00:36:38,160
Speaker 1: I'm with you on the Goddard as well. Prop a

732
00:36:38,200 --> 00:36:42,200
Speaker 1: bunch of interesting ones this week. Could just call Mark

733
00:36:42,239 --> 00:36:47,160
Speaker 1: Andrews over under half a touchdown. Uh, I'm gonna agree

734
00:36:47,160 --> 00:36:52,839
Speaker 1: with You're right. Uh, let's go with Isaiah, like, because

735
00:36:52,880 --> 00:36:56,160
Speaker 1: I think he's the most interesting one in this because

736
00:36:56,160 --> 00:37:00,279
Speaker 1: he got colder back. But it is the playoffs. Yeah,

737
00:37:00,280 --> 00:37:07,120
Speaker 1: I want to go Isaiah likely over under twenty nine

738
00:37:07,200 --> 00:37:08,320
Speaker 1: and a half receiving it.

739
00:37:09,200 --> 00:37:11,480
Speaker 2: He had said it there, That's what I was thinking.

740
00:37:11,880 --> 00:37:15,960
Speaker 2: That's a good line. Also, just his median's probably lower

741
00:37:16,960 --> 00:37:19,000
Speaker 2: and didn't yet. They both had a really good game

742
00:37:19,040 --> 00:37:22,640
Speaker 2: against the Steelers last game a few weeks ago. Yeah,

743
00:37:23,080 --> 00:37:26,399
Speaker 2: Deshaan Elliott was out and Mika Fitzpatrick was playing out

744
00:37:26,400 --> 00:37:30,320
Speaker 2: of position. There was a lot of miscommunication in that game.

745
00:37:30,640 --> 00:37:34,160
Speaker 2: Elliott returned a couple of games ago. So I think

746
00:37:34,160 --> 00:37:37,880
Speaker 2: they're gonna be better equipped to handle the dual threat

747
00:37:38,160 --> 00:37:42,480
Speaker 2: of Andrews and Likely, So I'm gonna lean under here.

748
00:37:42,520 --> 00:37:43,560
Speaker 2: But that's a very good line.

749
00:37:44,880 --> 00:37:47,640
Speaker 1: Yeah, he's tough because he definitely he's usually better when

750
00:37:47,640 --> 00:37:50,160
Speaker 1: they're trailing, and you know, this is the playoffs, but

751
00:37:50,800 --> 00:37:53,160
Speaker 1: you know they've been just blowing teams out. This is

752
00:37:53,200 --> 00:37:54,960
Speaker 1: the third matchups, so yeah, just a lot of things

753
00:37:54,960 --> 00:37:57,319
Speaker 1: going on, But he's always tough projection. Yeah, and he's

754
00:37:57,400 --> 00:37:58,880
Speaker 1: kind he's kind of filling in as like the de

755
00:37:58,920 --> 00:38:04,320
Speaker 1: facto slot receiver. Agalar out too, which could be back.

756
00:38:04,640 --> 00:38:08,000
Speaker 2: So yeah, it's this, This depends if Zay Flowers is

757
00:38:08,040 --> 00:38:09,640
Speaker 2: going to play or not, right, I mean.

758
00:38:09,640 --> 00:38:11,560
Speaker 1: Yeah, that's yeah, that's a big that's the big one.

759
00:38:12,360 --> 00:38:15,640
Speaker 2: Like fifty to fifty. He didn't practice today, that's not good.

760
00:38:18,200 --> 00:38:22,719
Speaker 2: But yeah, yeah, he seems fifty to fifty. They said

761
00:38:22,719 --> 00:38:24,600
Speaker 2: he's day to day. But do we even know what

762
00:38:24,680 --> 00:38:25,400
Speaker 2: his injury is?

763
00:38:26,040 --> 00:38:28,560
Speaker 1: Like, he banged knees, so I assume it's like a

764
00:38:28,640 --> 00:38:34,280
Speaker 1: knee bruise or something. Let's see the official sprain sprain

765
00:38:34,320 --> 00:38:36,319
Speaker 1: that's what they're going on. Yeah, I mean that's that

766
00:38:36,480 --> 00:38:38,759
Speaker 1: sounds I would think he plays, but you're right, he

767
00:38:38,760 --> 00:38:40,560
Speaker 1: could be under. He could be under one hundred percent,

768
00:38:40,800 --> 00:38:44,719
Speaker 1: which is just complicating the projection. But yeah, I think

769
00:38:44,960 --> 00:38:46,600
Speaker 1: I think like we's kind of in that thirty yard

770
00:38:46,680 --> 00:38:51,080
Speaker 1: range as a median, but yeah, Flowers out, I'd probably

771
00:38:51,120 --> 00:38:53,399
Speaker 1: probably go a little higher, but I respect the under

772
00:38:53,440 --> 00:38:56,520
Speaker 1: I think it's it's just it's just a violetile thing

773
00:38:56,560 --> 00:38:58,920
Speaker 1: with with Andrews playing so well too. It's not like

774
00:38:59,000 --> 00:39:01,000
Speaker 1: he's going to take Andrews snaps in the playoffs. I

775
00:39:01,000 --> 00:39:02,600
Speaker 1: don't think. I wouldn't think, no.

776
00:39:02,480 --> 00:39:06,240
Speaker 2: Way no way. Yeah, got what a roller coaster season

777
00:39:06,320 --> 00:39:07,280
Speaker 2: for Andrews though.

778
00:39:07,160 --> 00:39:08,719
Speaker 1: Yeah, I know right, like it was like his dad

779
00:39:08,719 --> 00:39:13,000
Speaker 1: and then he just catches touchdown. All right, that's gonna

780
00:39:13,040 --> 00:39:15,960
Speaker 1: do it. For our wild Card Weekend Player Projections episode,

781
00:39:16,280 --> 00:39:22,800
Speaker 1: I will have our Touchdown Show, our DFS slash Touchdown

782
00:39:22,800 --> 00:39:26,160
Speaker 1: Show coming to you liy on Thursday, So look out

783
00:39:26,239 --> 00:39:32,359
Speaker 1: for that one. And you can find Sean on X

784
00:39:32,400 --> 00:39:34,759
Speaker 1: at the underscarage Maker. I'm at Chris Raybond. We're at

785
00:39:34,760 --> 00:39:37,560
Speaker 1: those same handles on the free award winning Action Network

786
00:39:37,600 --> 00:39:41,120
Speaker 1: app fantasywabs dot com for all of our fantasy football content, DFS,

787
00:39:41,200 --> 00:39:49,960
Speaker 1: tools and models. Until next time, let's get fish money.

788
00:39:50,960 --> 00:39:54,440
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789
00:39:54,840 --> 00:39:57,680
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790
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791
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