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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast podcast.

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Speaker 2: All right, here we go fifteen Cuddy forty five, thirty

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Speaker 2: thirty five forty coty five fifty.

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Speaker 3: And the kick as block College Football World Standard. Good bye,

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Speaker 3: Oh my goodness, he stumbled and football the lateral.

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Speaker 2: Turn a counter on the job.

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Speaker 3: Get you the lad I'm not dona table up the

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Speaker 3: fail to night.

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Speaker 2: It's not the side of the dog in the fighting,

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Speaker 2: it's the side of the fight in the hall.

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Speaker 3: What's up to, general nation? Welcome to the Big Bets

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Speaker 3: on Campus Podcast. This is the Week one college football

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Speaker 3: betting preview. I'm stucky in joining me as always Michael host,

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Speaker 3: Colin Wilson. We're coming to you day early because we

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Speaker 3: have a loaded weekend of college football starting on Thursday,

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Speaker 3: then some games Friday, then obviously a massive Saturday slight.

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Speaker 3: We got Sunday Night football, Monday Night football. We'll get

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Speaker 3: to maybe I don't know, thirty games today an hour

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Speaker 3: and a half or so. We have a lot to

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Speaker 3: get to. Underdogs, overdogs, your marquee games, under the radar games.

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Speaker 3: We'll cover it all, even Arkansas football. What's going on?

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Speaker 2: Hugh said, loaded? I think that is undershooting. What the

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Speaker 2: task is at hand, five straight days of college football.

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Speaker 2: By the way, it's good to see you here in

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Speaker 2: Brett McMurphy's Alabama shirt. Yeah, I'm ready to talk to

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Speaker 2: Arkansas football. But hey, we got Bobby Patrino Missouri State

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Speaker 2: football going on. I mean, this is just wild. We've

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Speaker 2: got everything that you could possibly want a college football sandwich.

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Speaker 2: So I'm ready to get Week one going underway, find

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Speaker 2: out more about these teams, and get a more lockdown

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Speaker 2: power rating. We don't get beat up like this until

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Speaker 2: usually Thanksgiving. I think you might want to get you

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Speaker 2: yourself a helmet and a bulletproof vest and an iron

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Speaker 2: jockstrap because you're gonna get your head shot, your back

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Speaker 2: stabbed in, your nuts danced on.

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Speaker 3: Yeah. Thanks to everyone who has been leading reviews. Leave

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Speaker 3: a five star review. I don't care what you say,

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Speaker 3: We've already done it. Grab someone else's phone. How our

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Speaker 3: producer give out some giveaways to some of you that

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Speaker 3: have left. Some recently have really helped us out jump

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Speaker 3: up in the rankings. And hopefully you enjoyed the early

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Speaker 3: week show and some of the voicemails that you guys left,

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Speaker 3: and hopefully some of you grabbed Texas State and the

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Speaker 3: New Mexico State under which have moved quite a bit,

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Speaker 3: and we'll get to those games eventually, but make sure

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Speaker 3: you leave a review and don't forget about the voicemail

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Speaker 3: nine to five to nine Bad Beat. We have island games.

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Speaker 3: I know you guys are going to be calling in

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Speaker 3: where we lead you astray or if you want to

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Speaker 3: give us credit and the rare occasion nine to five

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Speaker 3: to nine Bad Beat twenty four to seven always open.

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Speaker 3: But let's just dive right in. We'll start with Thursday,

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Speaker 3: move on to Friday, then tackle the Marquee games on Saturday,

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Speaker 3: and then go through a rundown of about ten or

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Speaker 3: twelve more to finish up the car here, and then

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Speaker 3: obviously touch on Sunday and Monday night. Just a lot

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Speaker 3: to get to, all right. Thursday, Let's start West Virginia

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Speaker 3: at Pitt Pitt seven and a half point home favored

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Speaker 3: over Under fifty one and a half. The Backyard Brawl

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Speaker 3: is back, baby, first time these two teams will play

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Speaker 3: since twenty eleven and when they were both in the

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Speaker 3: Big East. I've been to the Backyard Brawl in both

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Speaker 3: Pitt and Morgantown. It's a blast. This series goes all

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Speaker 3: the way back to the eighteen hundreds. He seems to

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Speaker 3: hate each other by Two favorite stories from this series.

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Speaker 3: This is actually the first college wolgame that was ever

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Speaker 3: broadcast in the radio in the twenties was West Virginia Pitt.

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Speaker 3: But my favorite story is Bobby Bowden, who's legendary went

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Speaker 3: on become a legendary coach at Florida State. He actually

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Speaker 3: coached at West Virginia. They were up thirty five to

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Speaker 3: eight on Pitt and Pitt came out in the second

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Speaker 3: half of the half, pick him on the second half

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Speaker 3: and just ran power eye. The entire haffict came all

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Speaker 3: the way back. After the game, West Virginia defense stormed

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Speaker 3: like the locker room and we're pounding on Bowden's door

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Speaker 3: or calling for his head, and he said it was

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Speaker 3: the darkest day of his coaching career.

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Speaker 2: Welcome aboard, Slugger.

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Speaker 3: And then the latest saga is our guy. Keidan Slovas

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Speaker 3: came out in the PEP rally and basically said, f

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Speaker 3: West Virginia. I don't know if we have that clip

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Speaker 3: for we sort of throw that in there. I got

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Speaker 3: one more thing to say. I'm glad that this game

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Speaker 3: is back. We talked about this earlier in the week

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Speaker 3: on the under. I think that Pit now with the

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Speaker 3: coordinator change, losing Picket, this is a chance for you

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Speaker 3: to mention media days as well. Losing Addison. They're gonna

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Speaker 3: play a lot slower. They're gonna rely on their running in.

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Speaker 3: They're gonna rely on their defense, which has some pros

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Speaker 3: up front. And the way that you beat this Pit defense,

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Speaker 3: which is always gonna be solid, is you got to

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Speaker 3: beat them over the top. You gotta beat them with

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Speaker 3: deep shots because they play so aggressive on the outside

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Speaker 3: with their corners leading them on the islands and quarters

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Speaker 3: coverage a lot, and I don't think West Virginia has

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Speaker 3: the horses to really take advantage there, so I think

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Speaker 3: this is a grinder. I like the under here. What

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Speaker 3: are you thoughts on the return of the backyard brawl? Baby?

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Speaker 2: I completely agree with you on the under. We've talked

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Speaker 2: about it at nauseum my side conversation with Nardoozi at

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Speaker 2: ACC media Days, informal conversation about how Frank Signetti is

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Speaker 2: the perfect offensive coordinator. They want to run the ball

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Speaker 2: all the time, they want to be bottom ten and tempo,

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Speaker 2: not top ten in tempo, which is what Mark Whipple

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Speaker 2: had him at. And then as far as the defensive

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Speaker 2: side of the ball, I mean, Servasier Dennis is one

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Speaker 2: of our first team All Americans for the Action Network.

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Speaker 2: So the defense, I believe, you know outside of Clemson,

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Speaker 2: you know, one of the best in the nation. The

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Speaker 2: front seven is just so havoc minded. They always have been.

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Speaker 2: That's the typical what Narduzzi wants. And now they're not

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Speaker 2: going to be rush back out of the field because

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Speaker 2: their offense is out there all the time. I think

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Speaker 2: Slovas is a great fit. We'll see how he runs

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Speaker 2: in this offense. He's not in Graham Harrold's air raid,

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Speaker 2: which West Virginia is. Do we trust JT. Daniels, right?

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Speaker 2: Can he run Graham Harrold's offense. He's not really had

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Speaker 2: a successful, slash healthy season since freshman year. A big

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Speaker 2: theme in Week one which is freshman quarterbacks finding their

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Speaker 2: offensive coordinators, and we see that with JT. Daniels. The

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Speaker 2: problem with West Virginia is there's so many transfers. Right,

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Speaker 2: we got Stills on the defensive line, There's so many

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Speaker 2: transfers in the back seven. It's a little questionable whether

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Speaker 2: you know they're going to be accustomed to the to

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Speaker 2: the you know, the scheme and what Leslie, Jordan Leslie

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Speaker 2: wants to run back there. So I think that this

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Speaker 2: is ultimately a Pittsburgh win. I would lay Pittsburgh at seven,

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Speaker 2: although I am staying away from the side. Under is

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Speaker 2: the best bet in my opinion, especially at first half under.

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Speaker 2: I think that's good. Through the key of fifty one,

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Speaker 2: we are seeing buy back. West Virginia is getting the

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Speaker 2: seven and a half. You know, every time the total

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Speaker 2: gets down to fifty and a half, we're seeing a

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Speaker 2: little bump on the over here. But you know, I'm

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Speaker 2: sticking with, you know, pitt laying the seven and under

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Speaker 2: the current number of fifty one and a half in

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Speaker 2: the market.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, absolutely lean West Virginia plus seven and I have

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Speaker 3: to play, all right. Moving on to another conference matchup

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Speaker 3: on Thursday night, Penn State at Purdue. Purdue is a

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Speaker 3: three and a half point home underdog over under fifty three.

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Speaker 3: Both teams have experienced quarterback to Connell returns for Purdue

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Speaker 3: and much maligned Sean Clifford returns for Penn State. Both

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Speaker 3: also lost their top star wideouts to the NFL last

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Speaker 3: year in Dotson and Bell. A lot of similarities to

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Speaker 3: these two teams. They also have two new defensive coordinators.

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Speaker 3: They also lost some talent to the NFL, like a

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Speaker 3: really talented They're bost talented pass rusher. A lot of

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Speaker 3: similarities between these two teams. I think we disagree on

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Speaker 3: this game. When this line first came out, well when

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Speaker 3: the total first round, I was leaning under, you know,

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Speaker 3: because Purdue can't really run the ball. Penn State is

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Speaker 3: They're going to just throw. That's what they do. Penn

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Speaker 3: State strength is their secondary. They have some questions on

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Speaker 3: the front seven. I still don't trust Clifford in this offense.

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Speaker 3: But Sean Clifford and Penn State in this RPO attack

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Speaker 3: they go at a lightning pace that sometimes and all

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Speaker 3: Purdue does is throw it. So I'm like, do I

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Speaker 3: really want to say? And you know, there's two new coordinators.

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Speaker 3: I am concerned about Purdue losing their coordinator. They also

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Speaker 3: lost Carlaftus, who he didn't have the I mean, obviously

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Speaker 3: went in the first round of the NFL draft, but

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Speaker 3: he didn't and he didn't have like the silly sack numbers.

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Speaker 3: But he demanded so much attention from opposing defenses. So

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Speaker 3: I'm a bit worried about what his loss means to

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Speaker 3: the front seven. But there's still some experience in that

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Speaker 3: on that Purdue defense. The Purdue offense, it's gonna be

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Speaker 3: O'Connell slinging around. He's gonna need some Iowa transfers to

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Speaker 3: step up. But if you recall against Tennessee last year

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Speaker 3: in the Bowl, Right and Bell both didn't play. Right,

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Speaker 3: who's academically ineligible, and Bell, who went to the NFL

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Speaker 3: and he's still was slinging the rock all around the

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Speaker 3: field against Tennessee. Granted Tennessee didn't have their top corner

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Speaker 3: playing in that game, but I think that these two

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Speaker 3: teams are close to equal. I do make Penn State

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Speaker 3: a minis school favor, but I basically have this is

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Speaker 3: a point of the game. So I'm tempted by plus

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Speaker 3: three net. But I do have questions about the Purdue receivers,

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Speaker 3: about the Purdue defense at the Carl Athison coordinator, and

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Speaker 3: I just don't trust Clifford. But you like Penn State,

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Speaker 3: I think you met them at minus three. Make your case.

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Speaker 2: The loss of PJ mustafor last year on the defensive

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Speaker 2: interior was monstrous for that Penn State defense. You saw

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Speaker 2: Illinois go to what nine ten overtimes and that's because

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Speaker 2: they just ran it up the gut once Musterpher was injured.

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Speaker 2: They are going to be stout on defense once again.

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Speaker 2: And you and I have said this for years. Manny

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Speaker 2: Diaz as a coordinator, he's not a head coach, and

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Speaker 2: I think he will have success here. But look at

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Speaker 2: the produce side of the ball. This is a team

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Speaker 2: that only runs the ball forty percent of the time.

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Speaker 2: That's extremely low. They love to pass, and Penn State

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Speaker 2: has what from all the things I've seen and projections

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Speaker 2: from the preseason, the best back seven and the big

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Speaker 2: ten from a secondary and linebacker standpoint, and all of

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Speaker 2: the big ten. And that's saying something. When Purdue is

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Speaker 2: one dimensional with Aidan O'Connell, he loses you know, a

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Speaker 2: David Bell, he loses a lot of his top targets

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Speaker 2: and they're not used to running the ball. And then

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Speaker 2: you flip on the other side and George Carloftis has gone,

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Speaker 2: the only guy that was creating a whole bunch of

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Speaker 2: havoc there. I think this real. He plays into the

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Speaker 2: Independent States favor and oh, by the way, Mike Yoursich

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Speaker 2: going into year two as offensive coordinator, the best year

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Speaker 2: that Sean Clifford had. From a decision making standpoint, just

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Speaker 2: don't look at touchdowns and interceptions, look at big time plays,

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Speaker 2: look at turnover worthy plays. Sean Clifford had his best

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Speaker 2: year last year. I think that's going to continue here.

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Speaker 3: I think that there's value with Purdue if it if

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Speaker 3: it gets the four, I might be tempted. I might

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Speaker 3: look live because I do have questions about Purdue, but

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Speaker 3: I respect your stance. Maybe we'll be head to have

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Speaker 3: Maybe we won't very no good guy, very no bad guy.

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Speaker 2: It's only.

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Speaker 3: We just disagree sometimes earlier in the season that you're

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Speaker 3: itching to have action. But the way that I think

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Speaker 3: about it, if I don't have a huge if I

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Speaker 3: don't have a big enough edge, we're just like, okay,

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Speaker 3: my numbers is I have to play it, then I'll

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Speaker 3: look Okay. Do I also like some of the you know,

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Speaker 3: qualitative factors and some of the other things that I

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Speaker 3: take into consideration. If not, I still have some questions,

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Speaker 3: then I probably will pass early in the year, especially

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Speaker 3: now with all the transfers and all of the added uncertainty,

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Speaker 3: but you still have a sweat, right. I love just

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Speaker 3: watching it to learned about these scenes, but I'll go

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Speaker 3: in with a live target. You also could root against

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Speaker 3: yourself towards the end if you never got anything down.

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Speaker 3: So we'll see if that number where it goes. It

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Speaker 3: seems like there's I bet if it hit four you

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Speaker 3: would probably get some sharp money on producer. It probably

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Speaker 3: wouldn't last long, and then we might end up being

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Speaker 3: stuck at three and a half for the most part

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Speaker 3: up until kick another game. I just want to mention

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Speaker 3: New Mexico State at Minnesota. We mentioned this game Minnesota

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Speaker 3: a thirty six and a half point favorite. We mentioned

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Speaker 3: this game earlier in the week saying hit the under.

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Speaker 3: The under is down from fifty six to fifty two.

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Speaker 3: Minnesota's a thirty six and a half point favor. I

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Speaker 3: still like the under, but not nowhere close to as much.

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Speaker 3: At fifty two. You've crossed a major key number fifty five,

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Speaker 3: but slightly like the under. If you want to wait

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Speaker 3: to see if Minnesota goes up, you can, because I

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Speaker 3: don't think. Look, I think the Mexico State is going

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Speaker 3: to be a really good under team. Early on, their

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Speaker 3: offense is going to struggle, and then their defense is

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Speaker 3: way ahead of their offense. Minnesota, I don't know how

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Speaker 3: much they're going to show here. And guess who's coaches

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Speaker 3: in New Mexico State Jerry Kill Minnesota legend number one.

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Speaker 3: He's very, very conservative. But I don't think Flat and

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Speaker 3: company are running this up to sixty nothing against Kill.

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Speaker 3: Minnesota is a really good chance of building a big

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Speaker 3: league here and then sitting on it, and then the

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Speaker 3: other one. I want to mention now you can share

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Speaker 3: your thoughts on either one of those two. Tennessee ball

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Speaker 3: State I played under sixty eight and a half here.

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Speaker 3: It's starting to come down scary because Tennessee plays super fast.

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Speaker 3: Then they could score at will here. Hooker should shred.

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Speaker 3: But ball State's offense maybe the worst quarterback situation besides

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Speaker 3: UMass was five guys listen on the depth chart as

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Speaker 3: starter this week as they started or a. Ball State's

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Speaker 3: quarterback situation is a mess. Their offense should really struggle here.

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Speaker 3: Tennessee has pit on deck. I assume that they're going

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Speaker 3: to come out. I might add to the under live

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Speaker 3: if Tennessee jumps out you know, real quick to twenty

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Speaker 3: one nothing. This reminds me of the game last year

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Speaker 3: when they played Bowling Green to open up the year.

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Speaker 3: They ended up winning thirty eight to six. They ran

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Speaker 3: the ball in twenty six into their final thirty three plays.

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Speaker 3: So I would imagine once they get up twenty four

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Speaker 3: to twenty eight here, it's just let's hand it off

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Speaker 3: and we're not trying to run out. And by the way,

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Speaker 3: Pall State Navy doesn't want to show much, doesn't when

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Speaker 3: anyone get hurt. They have Western Michigan a conference game

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Speaker 3: next week, so this could be just like, let's pack

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Speaker 3: it up early boys in the second half of both teams.

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Speaker 3: Any thoughts on either one of.

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Speaker 2: Those, I agree with you with Jerry Kill they don't

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Speaker 2: want to they don't want to run it up on him.

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Speaker 2: Now that was Tracy Clays, I'd be saying something different.

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Speaker 2: You know, the guy that basically ran out of town

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Speaker 2: and said everybody and kiss his ass and he hates

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Speaker 2: the cold weather. When you look at it, does Minnesota

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Speaker 2: even have the horses to run it up because they

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Speaker 2: want to run Mohammed Ebram like crazy? And I think

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Speaker 2: the thing that gets me about this Minnesota team is

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Speaker 2: that they have one returning offensive lineman. It's not a

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Speaker 2: deep trench. And I'm not saying New Mexico State is

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Speaker 2: all world. Hell, I've got empower rate I think second

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Speaker 2: worst than the nation. But you know, I just don't

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Speaker 2: think that they're going to be explosive enough, even with

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Speaker 2: the return of offensive coordinator Kirk Soroka. Minnesota extremely slow.

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Speaker 2: New Mexico State extremely slow. Take the under Thenesota the snail. Yeah,

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Speaker 2: I think it's actionable. Through fifty one. I'm going to

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Speaker 2: pass on talking about Tennessee. I'm just going to put

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Speaker 2: a mention out there. I love Central Michigan more and

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Speaker 2: more and more against Oklahoma State, and I love Lou Nichols.

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Speaker 2: I don't know how you can't bashing running back from

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Speaker 2: the Mac one of the best. Daniel Richardson has extremely

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Speaker 2: good numbers when it comes to big time throws, turnover

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Speaker 2: worthy plays, a really good quarterback from the Mac. Oklahoma

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Speaker 2: State's got some changes going on defense, just besides Derek

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Speaker 2: Mason coming in, we got some personnel changes, especially in

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Speaker 2: the linebacker unit. I think there's some areas on the

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Speaker 2: defensive line they can attack that's not named Colin Oliver

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Speaker 2: lou Nichols is legit. He will bash you and run

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Speaker 2: you over. This twenty one and a half is screaming

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Speaker 2: back door and considering Central Michigan won here in Stillwater

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Speaker 2: in twenty sixteen. I mean, just go back and look

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Speaker 2: at Oklahoma State over the last several years. When's the

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Speaker 2: last time they scored forty in a non conference game.

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Speaker 2: When's the last time they scored thirty in a non

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Speaker 2: conference game? They have struggled early out of the gate

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Speaker 2: in each of their seasons the last few years. So

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Speaker 2: Michigan heavy heavy on my radar.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I am kind of where they lost two tackles

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Speaker 3: to the NFL. That's what I'm worried about against the

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Speaker 3: Oklahoma States strength and the defense is their defensive line,

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Speaker 3: So I'm worried about that. So maybe I'll I definitely

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Speaker 3: lean your way, but I might wait to see what

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Speaker 3: I see live if I get involved at all.

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Speaker 2: Niles catch like thirty to forty balls last year, and

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Speaker 2: they were all like out in the flats, like if

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Speaker 2: you're getting heavy pressure from the edge. Lou Nichols was

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Speaker 2: like the perfect weapon against it. So that's the one

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Speaker 2: thing that led me into how much I love the chips.

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Speaker 3: Yep, all right, Friday night Lights.

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Speaker 2: That's here, gentlemen, clear eyes, full hearts, let's go.

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Speaker 3: We're gonna cover one of these games later in another segment.

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Speaker 3: So I'm just gonna ask three quick questions here because

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Speaker 3: we already talked about one of these games. Colorado TCU.

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Speaker 3: By the way, Action Network dot Com, Action Network Gap, Well,

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Speaker 3: right up, some I think every game this weekend Colorado

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Speaker 3: now fourteen point dog t is you? Just simple question?

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Speaker 3: What is your strike price? There? Is it dead?

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Speaker 2: Now?

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Speaker 3: You can't play at a fourteen?

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Speaker 2: I don't have a ceiling for TCU, and the reason

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Speaker 2: is because a quarterback battle of two extremely competent players

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Speaker 2: is going into the season and they're both going to

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Speaker 2: be fighting each other for playing time, and that means

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Speaker 2: the third and fourth quarter TCUs offense is still going

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Speaker 2: to be on fire. It's the same thing with Michigan.

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Speaker 2: When you have two quarterbacks and they got ars next

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Speaker 2: to their name and they're still competing for starting duties.

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Speaker 2: That's a bad Week one scenario for the opponent because

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Speaker 2: it's still full blown. Go in quarter three, quarter four.

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Speaker 3: Temple Duke, I'll mention an under that's really scary and ugly,

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Speaker 3: but why not what a better way to spend a

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Speaker 3: Friday night? Who did Duke bring in? Mike Taco should

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Speaker 3: fix that defense? And it's not like Temple's offense is

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Speaker 3: any good and Temple brought it in a head coach.

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Speaker 3: It's a running back guy and they're going to lead

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Speaker 3: on the run. Here it's scary, but I played under

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Speaker 3: fifty one. Math like the fifty one. This CA's either

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Speaker 3: gonna be like forty five to forty or thirteen to ten,

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Speaker 3: hopefully the latter. Last time we'll talk about on fridaynight,

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Speaker 3: Illinois and Indiana Indiana two and a half point favorite

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Speaker 3: over under forty five and a half. I've wrote about

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Speaker 3: this this week. I've talked about this before. Teams that

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Speaker 3: haven't played yet do have an edge historically against the

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Speaker 3: spread against teams who already played because preparation right, Indiana

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Speaker 3: could spend extra time prepared for Illinois. Also the film edge.

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Speaker 3: They saw some things that Illinois did last week. They

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Speaker 3: also have some new things that they can show that

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Speaker 3: Illinois han't seen. And they have a lot of new

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Speaker 3: faces on this trust. We still know the quarterback is

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Speaker 3: if it's Tuttle or Baselek. This line has come down

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Speaker 3: at Indiana. I think the run defense will be okay,

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Speaker 3: that's what Illin moments to do. I'm not sure what

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Speaker 3: Indiana's offense is going to look like. They said that

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Speaker 3: they're going to play up to eight receivers, so I

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Speaker 3: would certainly lean under here. The element of surprise on

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Speaker 3: Indiana's favor. Now this line is under three, I lean

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Speaker 3: their way. I don't know if I can get involved

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Speaker 3: here though. Anything here.

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Speaker 2: Both of these teams outside the top one hundred and

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Speaker 2: finishing drives last year. That really kind of specifically points

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Speaker 2: out the fact that when they get into scoring position,

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Speaker 2: they're not able to put points up on the board.

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Speaker 2: You know that Brett Bilama held forty percent of his

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Speaker 2: trick playbook off the menu from week zero. It's got

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Speaker 2: you know, Tom Allen hate to mention media days. Talk

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Speaker 2: to Tom Allen at Saint Elmo's and told me that

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Speaker 2: he knows that he's going to get a few trick

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Speaker 2: plays from bretby Lama. Listen, Illinois did look very good,

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Speaker 2: but they're supposed to when you play an opponent of

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Speaker 2: that caliber. I like the under in this game. As

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Speaker 2: we've been talking stuck. I mean, this number has come

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Speaker 2: from three to two and a half down to one

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Speaker 2: at circa's taking some respective money. So I am not

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Speaker 2: sure if I just let this float until the noise

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Speaker 2: a favorite and take Indiana as a home dog. I'm

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Speaker 2: not sure I'm gonna get involved with this one, but

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Speaker 2: Indiana's going to be the Look if we cross.

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Speaker 3: Zero, yeah Indiana or nothing, but maybe one you just

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Speaker 3: stay away from. All right, now, let's move on to

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Speaker 3: the marquee games of the weekend.

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Speaker 1: It's another fabulous weekend of college football. Let's check out

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Speaker 1: the marquee matchups we'll all end up bedding for week one.

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Speaker 3: All right, Let's start off with a game at noon

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Speaker 3: that I'm really looking forward to. NC State at East Carolina.

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Speaker 3: East Carolina eleven point underds over under fifty one and

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Speaker 3: a half Skins at noon Eastern on ESPN. This is

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Speaker 3: the college football is a battle in the season. Two

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Speaker 3: teams from the same state that don't like each other,

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Speaker 3: one group of five, one power five, really gonna set

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Speaker 3: the tone for each of their respective seasons. There's even

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Speaker 3: I think they played for like a barrel, some wooden

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Speaker 3: barrel or something.

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Speaker 2: Hey stuck it's your producer, Matt Yes.

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Speaker 4: NC State and ECU have played thirty one times since

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Speaker 4: nineteen seventy would have been playing for the victory barrel

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Speaker 4: since two thousand and seven. It's just a regular ass

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Speaker 4: wooden barrel with NC State and ECU painted by hand

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Speaker 4: on the top. But it's a pretty big barrel. It's

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Speaker 4: you know, standard size, enough to fit all of Callum

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Speaker 4: Wilson's media days references inside.

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Speaker 3: This is just and it's gonna be a raucous environment

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Speaker 3: in Greenville. It's only the fifth time that they've played

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Speaker 3: in Greenville. Ec was one the previous two and they

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Speaker 3: beat They beat Russell Wilson. Are they get in twenty

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Speaker 3: ten and they won in twenty s sixteen. Most reason

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Speaker 3: two meetings were both in Raleigh, and NC State absolutely

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Speaker 3: dominated them. I think fifty They were up fifty eight

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Speaker 3: to nothing at the end of twenty eighteen, and then

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Speaker 3: then East ECU kicked a field goal as time expired

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Speaker 3: to avoid the shutout. Yike's embarrassing and then to open

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Speaker 3: up Houston's their head coach. Like Houston. His first game

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Speaker 3: in twenty nineteen, the season opener, NZ State took at

431
00:20:22,040 --> 00:20:24,760
Speaker 3: DCU again by the way. A lot of the same

432
00:20:24,760 --> 00:20:27,480
Speaker 3: players that were on the field for this one played

433
00:20:27,480 --> 00:20:30,560
Speaker 3: in that game, including hold Naylors, who's back at quarterback again,

434
00:20:30,560 --> 00:20:33,080
Speaker 3: which seams a fiftieth year, but it's just as fifth.

435
00:20:33,320 --> 00:20:36,399
Speaker 3: Both teams have really experienced quarterbacks, and I think this

436
00:20:36,440 --> 00:20:38,399
Speaker 3: one's going to be a fun one. The questions I

437
00:20:38,400 --> 00:20:41,480
Speaker 3: have with NC State the defenses loaded. I want to

438
00:20:41,520 --> 00:20:43,880
Speaker 3: see them get more pressure, but maybe the best linebackers

439
00:20:43,920 --> 00:20:46,760
Speaker 3: in the country they get. You know, they had their

440
00:20:46,800 --> 00:20:49,360
Speaker 3: starting they lost their starting nose tackle comes back. They're

441
00:20:49,359 --> 00:20:51,520
Speaker 3: going to kick him out to end because their nose

442
00:20:51,520 --> 00:20:54,920
Speaker 3: tackle it took over. And I'll be first team All ACC.

443
00:20:55,240 --> 00:20:58,440
Speaker 3: They bring back first team All ACC safety, all three corners,

444
00:20:58,480 --> 00:21:02,679
Speaker 3: and just experience everywhere. The offense is more of a

445
00:21:02,760 --> 00:21:06,560
Speaker 3: question for me. While they do bring back eight starters,

446
00:21:07,040 --> 00:21:08,960
Speaker 3: they lose three of their most important ones outside of

447
00:21:08,960 --> 00:21:12,280
Speaker 3: Devin Leary was a dark horse Heisman candidate. It was

448
00:21:12,280 --> 00:21:14,879
Speaker 3: their starting left tackle. To the NFL, you're gonna have

449
00:21:14,880 --> 00:21:17,359
Speaker 3: a sophomore with one career start against an FBS team

450
00:21:17,520 --> 00:21:21,600
Speaker 3: take his place. You lose your top two backs, one

451
00:21:21,640 --> 00:21:23,359
Speaker 3: of them damn Night. He was also good in the

452
00:21:23,400 --> 00:21:25,280
Speaker 3: return game and then you lose your number one receiver.

453
00:21:25,359 --> 00:21:27,560
Speaker 3: It's really good on third downs and the clutch and

454
00:21:27,680 --> 00:21:33,720
Speaker 3: just a safety blanket for Leary. So replacing those three positions,

455
00:21:34,520 --> 00:21:36,560
Speaker 3: and I think the running game isn't important. They weren't

456
00:21:36,560 --> 00:21:38,119
Speaker 3: that great at running the ball last year anyway. I

457
00:21:38,160 --> 00:21:41,920
Speaker 3: think it's mainly okay left tackle, and then who can

458
00:21:41,960 --> 00:21:44,920
Speaker 3: replace Amezzi who was just so big for them. Think

459
00:21:44,960 --> 00:21:48,080
Speaker 3: back to that North Carolina game as well. What this

460
00:21:48,119 --> 00:21:50,280
Speaker 3: boils down to me is that if you look back

461
00:21:50,320 --> 00:21:54,040
Speaker 3: the two games at ECU won in Greenville against NC State,

462
00:21:54,840 --> 00:21:57,240
Speaker 3: the last two times that they've played there, they got

463
00:21:57,240 --> 00:22:00,199
Speaker 3: off to a fast start. I think they outscored NC

464
00:22:00,320 --> 00:22:02,680
Speaker 3: State by total thirty to nothing in the first quarter.

465
00:22:02,760 --> 00:22:04,480
Speaker 3: That's going to be key here. They can't fall too

466
00:22:04,520 --> 00:22:07,600
Speaker 3: far behind. Got to take advantage of the crowd. NC

467
00:22:07,800 --> 00:22:11,000
Speaker 3: State coming in with a lot of expectations. Are they

468
00:22:11,040 --> 00:22:12,920
Speaker 3: going to be tight? Is ECU going to be loose?

469
00:22:12,960 --> 00:22:15,159
Speaker 3: It's their super Bowl. I'm assuming they're going to throw

470
00:22:15,200 --> 00:22:18,480
Speaker 3: everything at NC State. I played ECU here, I only

471
00:22:18,520 --> 00:22:21,000
Speaker 3: make it nine. It's not a huge edge, but I

472
00:22:21,040 --> 00:22:24,399
Speaker 3: think some of the intangibles may work and east to

473
00:22:24,440 --> 00:22:29,199
Speaker 3: use favor. We'll say they finally might have a decent

474
00:22:29,320 --> 00:22:32,000
Speaker 3: offensive line. They have a really good back and Keaton Mitchell,

475
00:22:32,600 --> 00:22:35,560
Speaker 3: a really promising tight end who returns, and then C. J.

476
00:22:35,720 --> 00:22:37,720
Speaker 3: Johnson returns in the slot. Two new receivers on the

477
00:22:37,760 --> 00:22:41,280
Speaker 3: outside that are transfers, and we'll see if the defense,

478
00:22:41,400 --> 00:22:45,120
Speaker 3: which is really experienced but lost argument's two most important players,

479
00:22:45,320 --> 00:22:49,399
Speaker 3: can take another step forward. I think this game stays

480
00:22:49,440 --> 00:22:52,600
Speaker 3: close throughout. I played ECU plus ten and a half,

481
00:22:52,640 --> 00:22:55,600
Speaker 3: but I'm not as high as on NC State overall

482
00:22:55,760 --> 00:22:57,880
Speaker 3: as you. But I think if they win this game,

483
00:22:57,880 --> 00:23:00,600
Speaker 3: they're going to exhale and they're they're in for a good,

484
00:23:00,640 --> 00:23:02,440
Speaker 3: a big season, but this one could get scary. What

485
00:23:02,480 --> 00:23:03,040
Speaker 3: are your thoughts.

486
00:23:03,520 --> 00:23:04,960
Speaker 2: I think if you have a lot of coin down

487
00:23:05,000 --> 00:23:08,119
Speaker 2: on NC State preseason, you probably want to sit this

488
00:23:08,160 --> 00:23:10,879
Speaker 2: one out now. Stuck, I'm sure that you were not

489
00:23:11,000 --> 00:23:12,719
Speaker 2: happy when you saw this as a you know, a

490
00:23:12,800 --> 00:23:15,320
Speaker 2: noon kick. I mean, the nighttime thing would have been

491
00:23:15,359 --> 00:23:18,200
Speaker 2: a actor there in Greenville, So I think that plays

492
00:23:18,200 --> 00:23:20,480
Speaker 2: the advantage of n C State. But you know, there

493
00:23:20,520 --> 00:23:23,760
Speaker 2: are reasons in this game that I know power rated

494
00:23:23,800 --> 00:23:25,920
Speaker 2: around two touchdowns, but there's I just don't want any

495
00:23:25,960 --> 00:23:27,880
Speaker 2: part of this spread. When you look at the NC

496
00:23:28,040 --> 00:23:30,119
Speaker 2: State side of it, you've already mentioned, you know, some

497
00:23:30,200 --> 00:23:32,359
Speaker 2: key losses they have, especially in the backfield. Are they

498
00:23:32,359 --> 00:23:35,400
Speaker 2: going to be able to establish the run against a

499
00:23:35,480 --> 00:23:38,560
Speaker 2: you know, a decent East Carolina defense. If they become

500
00:23:38,560 --> 00:23:40,719
Speaker 2: one dimensional and have to throw the ball, they might

501
00:23:40,760 --> 00:23:42,480
Speaker 2: have some issues score on some points here the first

502
00:23:42,520 --> 00:23:44,520
Speaker 2: game out. So I do like the under for that aspect.

503
00:23:44,560 --> 00:23:46,320
Speaker 2: But then when I look at the other side with

504
00:23:46,400 --> 00:23:51,000
Speaker 2: East Carolina, they are going to continue to have pass

505
00:23:51,119 --> 00:23:55,240
Speaker 2: pressure problems like hold Naylor's under pressure does not make

506
00:23:55,280 --> 00:23:57,440
Speaker 2: good plays whatsoever. I'm going to sit this one out.

507
00:23:57,440 --> 00:23:59,119
Speaker 2: I do like the under, might end up playing it

508
00:23:59,160 --> 00:24:01,720
Speaker 2: on Saturday, be a first half Underson so early in

509
00:24:01,760 --> 00:24:03,160
Speaker 2: the day. But if you've got a lot of coin

510
00:24:03,200 --> 00:24:05,760
Speaker 2: in C State, set this one out and reassess your

511
00:24:05,800 --> 00:24:08,040
Speaker 2: power rating and see if we're spot on with how

512
00:24:08,080 --> 00:24:09,320
Speaker 2: good they are. I don't know.

513
00:24:09,359 --> 00:24:11,800
Speaker 3: I think Alers will having some opportunities to make place.

514
00:24:11,880 --> 00:24:14,639
Speaker 3: I mean, Alers is a jackal and hide act. So like,

515
00:24:14,920 --> 00:24:17,600
Speaker 3: if you get good Ailers, this is gonna get scary.

516
00:24:17,640 --> 00:24:19,920
Speaker 3: If you get bad Alors, it could be thirty eight nothing.

517
00:24:20,000 --> 00:24:23,879
Speaker 3: NC State. All right, let's move on to the next

518
00:24:23,920 --> 00:24:27,879
Speaker 3: marquee game of the weekend, Oregon against Georgia in Atlanta.

519
00:24:28,240 --> 00:24:29,959
Speaker 3: This is techning a neutral site game, but I'm sure

520
00:24:30,000 --> 00:24:34,959
Speaker 3: Georgia will have the majority of the support. Georgia seventeen

521
00:24:35,640 --> 00:24:38,160
Speaker 3: to seventeen and a half point favorite keeps bouncing back

522
00:24:38,200 --> 00:24:40,880
Speaker 3: and forth over under fifty three. This games three thirty

523
00:24:40,880 --> 00:24:45,879
Speaker 3: pm Eastern on ABC's Bone Next season for Oregon Bone

524
00:24:45,960 --> 00:24:49,760
Speaker 3: next season, then full effect. We will see what the

525
00:24:49,760 --> 00:24:53,720
Speaker 3: offense looks like historically, it's gonna be underdaling, it's gonna

526
00:24:53,720 --> 00:24:58,240
Speaker 3: be faster. Take some shots RPOs. We'll see what it

527
00:24:58,240 --> 00:25:01,560
Speaker 3: looks like there the offensive line. Now, I played Oregon

528
00:25:01,760 --> 00:25:05,119
Speaker 3: mainly because of two factors. I see value in the number.

529
00:25:05,440 --> 00:25:07,280
Speaker 3: I think I'm lower on Georgia than the market, and

530
00:25:07,280 --> 00:25:10,440
Speaker 3: I'm higher on Oregon win the Pac twelve. But there

531
00:25:10,480 --> 00:25:13,119
Speaker 3: are also there are also some things that I like

532
00:25:13,200 --> 00:25:16,840
Speaker 3: about this Oregon team. I actually like what they their secondary.

533
00:25:16,920 --> 00:25:19,240
Speaker 3: Some people have questions. I actually like the kid that

534
00:25:19,280 --> 00:25:21,720
Speaker 3: they brought in from Colorado, five star kids. On the

535
00:25:21,720 --> 00:25:24,719
Speaker 3: other side, their linebackers are excellent. Their defensive line, even

536
00:25:24,720 --> 00:25:28,040
Speaker 3: though they lost Tibeo, is extremely deep. Offensively, they have

537
00:25:28,160 --> 00:25:29,560
Speaker 3: one of the best offensive line. It was a crystal

538
00:25:29,560 --> 00:25:31,480
Speaker 3: bal team, one of the best offensive lines in the country.

539
00:25:31,520 --> 00:25:34,280
Speaker 3: That's enormous against Georgia. Right, Georgia, they did lose it

540
00:25:34,560 --> 00:25:37,040
Speaker 3: at just a massive amount of talent to the NFL

541
00:25:37,040 --> 00:25:39,080
Speaker 3: from last year's National champions team. But the Georgia is

542
00:25:39,080 --> 00:25:41,760
Speaker 3: a team that reloads with five star talent. There could

543
00:25:41,760 --> 00:25:44,120
Speaker 3: be some growing pains early, we'll see, but their defensive

544
00:25:44,160 --> 00:25:47,040
Speaker 3: line is once again loaded, and there's not many teams

545
00:25:47,040 --> 00:25:50,719
Speaker 3: that have an offensive line that can match up an

546
00:25:50,720 --> 00:25:53,200
Speaker 3: Oregon is one that does. I'll pay for at least,

547
00:25:53,560 --> 00:25:56,600
Speaker 3: so I do like that. I also like the fact that,

548
00:25:57,640 --> 00:26:00,680
Speaker 3: and we talked about this on the Favorites podcast, Dan

549
00:26:00,760 --> 00:26:03,800
Speaker 3: Lanning comes from Georgia. We'll see how what kind of

550
00:26:03,800 --> 00:26:06,360
Speaker 3: impact that has on George l This is narrative base,

551
00:26:06,440 --> 00:26:08,920
Speaker 3: but he's human. This is his old team. He also

552
00:26:09,000 --> 00:26:11,840
Speaker 3: knows his old team very well and sets in Bennett

553
00:26:11,920 --> 00:26:14,439
Speaker 3: very well. If Oregon wins his game, I mean it

554
00:26:14,520 --> 00:26:16,840
Speaker 3: is driver's seat to the College Twell Playoff. You can

555
00:26:16,840 --> 00:26:19,520
Speaker 3: lose another game, win the Pac twelve, and you're in

556
00:26:19,560 --> 00:26:22,159
Speaker 3: the Collegewell Playoff. But a personal level, I'm sure he

557
00:26:22,160 --> 00:26:24,600
Speaker 3: wants to win it. I also think that a back

558
00:26:24,600 --> 00:26:25,960
Speaker 3: door might be open on the flip side. I don't

559
00:26:25,960 --> 00:26:27,120
Speaker 3: know if they want to run it up. If it's

560
00:26:27,160 --> 00:26:28,639
Speaker 3: you know, a twenty four, you can get in the

561
00:26:28,680 --> 00:26:32,760
Speaker 3: back door here. But every Wrinkley they're gonna throw the

562
00:26:32,880 --> 00:26:35,760
Speaker 3: kitchen sink out here. And I think Lanning's knowledge and

563
00:26:35,800 --> 00:26:38,000
Speaker 3: then just the amount of preparation time that he's had

564
00:26:38,840 --> 00:26:41,240
Speaker 3: is is going to pay dividends. So I think there's

565
00:26:41,280 --> 00:26:43,000
Speaker 3: value in the number. There's other reasons to like them now,

566
00:26:43,040 --> 00:26:47,760
Speaker 3: similar to Holton Naylors, it's you know this bet, this

567
00:26:47,800 --> 00:26:51,320
Speaker 3: could be Oregon down three late, or it could be

568
00:26:51,359 --> 00:26:54,919
Speaker 3: Oregon down twenty eight late, depending on what you get

569
00:26:54,960 --> 00:26:57,879
Speaker 3: out of the jeckle On high quarterback. And Bonis Bonus

570
00:26:57,960 --> 00:27:01,080
Speaker 3: is going to make some spectacular plays. He's going to

571
00:27:01,160 --> 00:27:04,959
Speaker 3: make some bone heeaded plays. Probably comes down to a

572
00:27:04,960 --> 00:27:07,960
Speaker 3: matter of where on the field and when and how

573
00:27:08,000 --> 00:27:10,199
Speaker 3: many of each does he make. But I think that

574
00:27:10,240 --> 00:27:13,600
Speaker 3: there's over seventeen there's too much value to pass up here.

575
00:27:13,920 --> 00:27:16,600
Speaker 2: You agree, yeah, I agree completely. This is a game

576
00:27:16,640 --> 00:27:19,720
Speaker 2: I make Georgia minus ten on a neutral They took

577
00:27:19,800 --> 00:27:22,240
Speaker 2: a real big power rating hit about five points of

578
00:27:22,240 --> 00:27:24,359
Speaker 2: power rating hit on defense because they don't return more

579
00:27:24,400 --> 00:27:28,040
Speaker 2: than forty two percent of their tackles, passes defense, or

580
00:27:28,080 --> 00:27:30,480
Speaker 2: their pressures. But I have to ask, does it matter

581
00:27:30,520 --> 00:27:32,360
Speaker 2: when you're reloading with the kind of talent that they're

582
00:27:32,359 --> 00:27:35,640
Speaker 2: bringing in. Dan Lanning knows this defense in and out.

583
00:27:35,640 --> 00:27:37,760
Speaker 2: He recruited every single one of these kids, and he

584
00:27:37,880 --> 00:27:40,679
Speaker 2: knows the basics, you know, like don't run at Jalen

585
00:27:40,720 --> 00:27:43,280
Speaker 2: Carter on the defensive line, don't throw a Kielle Ringo

586
00:27:43,440 --> 00:27:45,359
Speaker 2: right in the secondary. I mean, it's pretty basic.

587
00:27:45,560 --> 00:27:47,600
Speaker 3: And he also has the offense though they were he

588
00:27:47,680 --> 00:27:49,879
Speaker 3: was going against the offense for the entire season. I

589
00:27:49,880 --> 00:27:51,760
Speaker 3: think that helps too for his defensive game plan.

590
00:27:52,040 --> 00:27:54,359
Speaker 2: Yeah, and don't think that, you know, Dan Lanning's not

591
00:27:54,400 --> 00:27:57,480
Speaker 2: sitting in Kenny Dillingham's you know, offensive coordinator room and

592
00:27:57,520 --> 00:27:59,800
Speaker 2: talking about what the execution is going to be here. So,

593
00:28:00,440 --> 00:28:01,600
Speaker 2: you know, I think there's a couple of things to

594
00:28:01,600 --> 00:28:04,439
Speaker 2: look at here. The reasons why I like the number

595
00:28:04,480 --> 00:28:06,520
Speaker 2: at seventeen and a half, which it seems like we're

596
00:28:06,520 --> 00:28:08,159
Speaker 2: getting a lot of buy on Georgia at sixteen and

597
00:28:08,160 --> 00:28:09,880
Speaker 2: a half, a lot of buy in Oregon at seventeen

598
00:28:09,880 --> 00:28:12,520
Speaker 2: and a half at most of the sharp books is

599
00:28:13,080 --> 00:28:16,760
Speaker 2: I think bo Knicks's familiarity with Georgia two and one

600
00:28:16,760 --> 00:28:19,360
Speaker 2: of bo Knicks's best seasons was with Kenny Dillingham as

601
00:28:19,400 --> 00:28:22,280
Speaker 2: the offensive coordinator at Auburn in twenty nineteen. So let's

602
00:28:22,280 --> 00:28:25,240
Speaker 2: review because remember Auburn maybe in a different division, but

603
00:28:25,280 --> 00:28:27,399
Speaker 2: they have to play Georgia every year, you know, in

604
00:28:27,440 --> 00:28:28,040
Speaker 2: the SEC.

605
00:28:28,359 --> 00:28:30,359
Speaker 3: So in last year, and by the way, before you

606
00:28:30,400 --> 00:28:34,720
Speaker 3: review this Knicks for whatever you think of him nineteen

607
00:28:35,200 --> 00:28:39,840
Speaker 3: DOINGMOC twenty different OC twenty one different OC. He's on

608
00:28:39,880 --> 00:28:41,520
Speaker 3: a new team, so you think that's gonna be some

609
00:28:41,520 --> 00:28:44,320
Speaker 3: girl bade. But he finally has a coordinator, the one

610
00:28:44,320 --> 00:28:47,000
Speaker 3: that he excelled with in the second season.

611
00:28:48,440 --> 00:28:50,840
Speaker 2: Last year he had two hundred and seventeen yards against Georgia,

612
00:28:50,960 --> 00:28:53,840
Speaker 2: three big time throws and only two turnover worthy plays.

613
00:28:53,840 --> 00:28:56,360
Speaker 2: Not bad, right, good performance against what was the best

614
00:28:56,360 --> 00:28:58,480
Speaker 2: defense in college football. Yeah, you go back to the

615
00:28:58,480 --> 00:29:00,840
Speaker 2: pandemic season of twenty two, he had one hundred and

616
00:29:00,880 --> 00:29:03,720
Speaker 2: seventy six yards. He had one big time throw to

617
00:29:03,920 --> 00:29:07,440
Speaker 2: two turnover worthy plays. Not disastrous, not things we've seen

618
00:29:07,440 --> 00:29:09,719
Speaker 2: out of Bownicks before. And then you look at his

619
00:29:10,320 --> 00:29:14,360
Speaker 2: first season as a freshman underneath Dillingham at Auburn. He

620
00:29:14,400 --> 00:29:16,800
Speaker 2: didn't have any turnover worthy plays, and he threw for

621
00:29:16,840 --> 00:29:18,840
Speaker 2: a touchdown and he rushed for a touchdown in the

622
00:29:18,880 --> 00:29:21,160
Speaker 2: fourth quarter. Yeah, he also had a fumble in the

623
00:29:21,160 --> 00:29:25,200
Speaker 2: first half, but that's just bo Nick's ball. So Dillingham

624
00:29:25,640 --> 00:29:28,320
Speaker 2: has faced Landing before, and I think there's a lot

625
00:29:28,320 --> 00:29:30,640
Speaker 2: of familiarity when bo Nix lines up and see It's

626
00:29:30,640 --> 00:29:32,600
Speaker 2: not like he's going to see the Georgia defense, especially

627
00:29:32,600 --> 00:29:34,800
Speaker 2: with a whole bunch of new faces and just cave.

628
00:29:35,080 --> 00:29:37,800
Speaker 2: He's very comfortable playing them, and he's been steady. He

629
00:29:37,920 --> 00:29:40,280
Speaker 2: hasn't been god awful, which we've seen out of Boenick.

630
00:29:40,400 --> 00:29:43,520
Speaker 2: So I'm all in on Bonick's season. Covering the seventeen

631
00:29:43,560 --> 00:29:45,360
Speaker 2: and a half, I definitely would want to get that

632
00:29:45,440 --> 00:29:48,000
Speaker 2: hook there because you know Bonix don't quit right that

633
00:29:48,040 --> 00:29:49,600
Speaker 2: fourth quarter. You know he's going to try to get

634
00:29:49,600 --> 00:29:53,320
Speaker 2: that cover. It's a bow t boom, like a powder

635
00:29:53,400 --> 00:29:56,600
Speaker 2: keg in your mouth sucking style. But I think the

636
00:29:56,600 --> 00:29:59,160
Speaker 2: final thing I'll say about this game is Crystal Ball

637
00:30:00,000 --> 00:30:03,280
Speaker 2: worked his tail off on the recruiting trail to build

638
00:30:03,520 --> 00:30:06,800
Speaker 2: trenches on a West Coast school. They return all five

639
00:30:06,840 --> 00:30:09,640
Speaker 2: offensive linemen. They're really good. They returned two of the

640
00:30:09,640 --> 00:30:12,800
Speaker 2: best interior defensive linemen in all of the Pac twelve,

641
00:30:12,840 --> 00:30:16,160
Speaker 2: maybe in the nation. And if they're going to challenge

642
00:30:16,200 --> 00:30:19,120
Speaker 2: to win this game, no sool at linebackers is going

643
00:30:19,160 --> 00:30:22,720
Speaker 2: to have to play lights out because these three tight

644
00:30:22,840 --> 00:30:26,960
Speaker 2: ends Brock Bauers, Darnell Washington, Irie Gilbert, they are the

645
00:30:27,000 --> 00:30:29,600
Speaker 2: most elite tight ends in the nation for Georgia. But

646
00:30:29,920 --> 00:30:32,040
Speaker 2: I'm a believer in bo Nicks, and bo Nicks is

647
00:30:32,080 --> 00:30:33,840
Speaker 2: steady against Georgia. So let's do it.

648
00:30:35,240 --> 00:30:37,880
Speaker 3: All right, Let's move on to the next game. Your

649
00:30:37,920 --> 00:30:42,000
Speaker 3: boys finally going to talk about Arkansas. Cincinnati at Arkansas.

650
00:30:42,080 --> 00:30:43,600
Speaker 3: It's all six to six and a half point favored

651
00:30:43,640 --> 00:30:46,800
Speaker 3: over under fifty two games at three thirty Eastern on ESPN.

652
00:30:47,400 --> 00:30:50,040
Speaker 3: Both teams lost an NFL receiver, but the loss of

653
00:30:50,160 --> 00:30:52,720
Speaker 3: Traylon Burks is massive in how are they going to

654
00:30:52,760 --> 00:30:55,000
Speaker 3: replace them? They have some talent, they brought in some

655
00:30:55,040 --> 00:30:57,840
Speaker 3: more talent, Still have a really good offensive line, still

656
00:30:57,880 --> 00:31:00,440
Speaker 3: have Kaji Jefferson, but Arcoles would do a lot injuries.

657
00:31:00,440 --> 00:31:03,040
Speaker 3: Like the offensive line depth, one of the running backs.

658
00:31:03,400 --> 00:31:05,840
Speaker 3: The receivers have been kind of banged out all curious

659
00:31:05,880 --> 00:31:08,800
Speaker 3: to get your update on the health. Defensively, you get

660
00:31:09,080 --> 00:31:13,640
Speaker 3: Catalan back, Bumperpool barriotom leading the way. Should be a

661
00:31:13,640 --> 00:31:17,400
Speaker 3: solid Arkansas team going up against Cincinnati team. They made

662
00:31:17,400 --> 00:31:19,280
Speaker 3: the College Full Playoff last year. They will now have

663
00:31:19,320 --> 00:31:22,080
Speaker 3: a new quarterback after losing Desmond Ritter, and they also

664
00:31:22,160 --> 00:31:25,960
Speaker 3: lost six starters on defense to the NFL, including three

665
00:31:26,000 --> 00:31:31,680
Speaker 3: in the secondary, two phenomenal, phenomenal cornerbacks. From the looks

666
00:31:31,680 --> 00:31:34,200
Speaker 3: of it, I would think, and Fickles hinted at this

667
00:31:34,240 --> 00:31:36,200
Speaker 3: that the defense might look different this year, might not

668
00:31:36,240 --> 00:31:39,160
Speaker 3: be as much man based on the personnel. You might

669
00:31:39,240 --> 00:31:41,960
Speaker 3: see more four man fronts, which I think would be

670
00:31:42,160 --> 00:31:45,560
Speaker 3: smart in this game. Kind of burnt them against you know,

671
00:31:45,640 --> 00:31:47,479
Speaker 3: the safety's going to probably come up in the box. Well,

672
00:31:47,520 --> 00:31:50,520
Speaker 3: really burnt them against Alabama. Their run defense wasn't great

673
00:31:50,600 --> 00:31:53,200
Speaker 3: last year at times, and now Alabama really took advantage

674
00:31:53,200 --> 00:31:55,040
Speaker 3: of that. Alabama didn't even have a great rushing attack

675
00:31:55,120 --> 00:31:57,760
Speaker 3: last year. You'll probably see more guys in the box

676
00:31:57,800 --> 00:32:00,840
Speaker 3: here daring Arkansas to prove they can row down field.

677
00:32:01,480 --> 00:32:04,360
Speaker 3: And while Cincinnati also lose a lot of talent on

678
00:32:04,400 --> 00:32:06,720
Speaker 3: the defensive side, of the front seven. They still have

679
00:32:06,800 --> 00:32:08,840
Speaker 3: a lot of talent there, and I actually think that

680
00:32:08,840 --> 00:32:10,680
Speaker 3: they'll be better against the run. They're not as quick

681
00:32:10,720 --> 00:32:13,880
Speaker 3: off the edges, but I think they're bigger, bulk hear,

682
00:32:14,120 --> 00:32:16,160
Speaker 3: and that's important against an Arkansas team that wants to

683
00:32:16,240 --> 00:32:19,320
Speaker 3: lean on the run. So my question is two part here,

684
00:32:19,320 --> 00:32:21,800
Speaker 3: and you can break this game down. How much will

685
00:32:22,120 --> 00:32:24,560
Speaker 3: Arkansas miss Burks? What do you think the game plan

686
00:32:24,680 --> 00:32:25,960
Speaker 3: is going to be. I basically want you to convince

687
00:32:26,000 --> 00:32:27,600
Speaker 3: me to hit this under ease. I really do like

688
00:32:27,640 --> 00:32:31,880
Speaker 3: the under. On the other side, do you trust Arkansas's

689
00:32:31,920 --> 00:32:34,840
Speaker 3: defense to shut down what I presume will be Ben

690
00:32:34,880 --> 00:32:38,400
Speaker 3: Bryant at quarterback and the Cincinnati offense, which has some

691
00:32:38,440 --> 00:32:41,640
Speaker 3: talent on the outside, and they return their entire offensive line,

692
00:32:41,680 --> 00:32:44,760
Speaker 3: which is big. What do you see in this matchup here?

693
00:32:44,760 --> 00:32:46,600
Speaker 3: I know they already played since.

694
00:32:46,280 --> 00:32:48,800
Speaker 2: He whoo pig Sully.

695
00:32:49,760 --> 00:32:52,440
Speaker 3: Absolutely don't spin. I don't know how we win a

696
00:32:52,440 --> 00:32:53,320
Speaker 3: game the rest of the year.

697
00:32:53,600 --> 00:32:54,680
Speaker 2: Just blow the program up.

698
00:32:54,760 --> 00:32:55,840
Speaker 3: Give us a death sentence.

699
00:32:56,280 --> 00:32:58,640
Speaker 1: Collins talking razorback football.

700
00:33:00,040 --> 00:33:01,920
Speaker 2: Yeah, the numbers two big against since a lot of

701
00:33:01,960 --> 00:33:03,920
Speaker 2: people see the brand name. Since he know what they've

702
00:33:03,960 --> 00:33:07,400
Speaker 2: lost with Desmond Ritter and Sauce Gardner and think, well,

703
00:33:07,480 --> 00:33:09,880
Speaker 2: Arkansas is just going to steamroll. That's kind of the

704
00:33:09,880 --> 00:33:11,800
Speaker 2: initial thoughts that I had, because when you look at

705
00:33:11,880 --> 00:33:14,840
Speaker 2: Arkansas schedule, you're kind of sizing up defensive front sevens

706
00:33:14,840 --> 00:33:17,960
Speaker 2: and saying, who can they not run over? I think

707
00:33:18,400 --> 00:33:20,200
Speaker 2: it's a little bit of overreaction. The numbers should be

708
00:33:20,240 --> 00:33:22,520
Speaker 2: closer to three and a half, not closer to seven.

709
00:33:23,160 --> 00:33:25,360
Speaker 2: So I think the number is still good there for Cincinnati.

710
00:33:25,800 --> 00:33:27,840
Speaker 2: This is going to be a vanilla game plan for Arkansas,

711
00:33:27,920 --> 00:33:31,560
Speaker 2: especially with South Carolina on deck. But to address your questions,

712
00:33:31,600 --> 00:33:35,520
Speaker 2: the loss of Treylon Burks is absolutely massive. I believe

713
00:33:35,560 --> 00:33:37,560
Speaker 2: he had three times as many targets as the next

714
00:33:37,600 --> 00:33:40,720
Speaker 2: wide receiver, Warren Thompson. Last year. He was the mister

715
00:33:40,840 --> 00:33:43,200
Speaker 2: everything in third downs, He was mister everything in the

716
00:33:43,200 --> 00:33:46,160
Speaker 2: red zone. You just don't replace that overnight. But this

717
00:33:46,240 --> 00:33:48,200
Speaker 2: is not the strength of Arkansas. The strength of Arkansas

718
00:33:48,280 --> 00:33:50,880
Speaker 2: is Raheem Sanders in that running game. The offensive line

719
00:33:51,280 --> 00:33:54,320
Speaker 2: is completely healthy, All the starters are back one filling

720
00:33:54,320 --> 00:33:56,160
Speaker 2: in he was a reserve, but you know, played quality

721
00:33:56,200 --> 00:33:58,360
Speaker 2: time last year. Arkansas is going to line up and

722
00:33:58,440 --> 00:34:02,480
Speaker 2: run the ball like can Cincinnati defend that they should

723
00:34:02,520 --> 00:34:04,880
Speaker 2: be able to have some sort of success. They do

724
00:34:05,000 --> 00:34:07,800
Speaker 2: lose some players out of the front seven, but Cincinnati

725
00:34:07,840 --> 00:34:10,399
Speaker 2: was a top thirty team and standard down success rate.

726
00:34:10,480 --> 00:34:12,800
Speaker 2: What does that mean they were really good in getting

727
00:34:12,840 --> 00:34:15,720
Speaker 2: you into passing downs last year. That's a fickle defense.

728
00:34:16,040 --> 00:34:17,759
Speaker 2: I know he's gonna change scheme, he's going to mold

729
00:34:17,760 --> 00:34:20,840
Speaker 2: it to what they have. But Fickle's always been top thirty,

730
00:34:20,880 --> 00:34:23,680
Speaker 2: top twenty five and standard down success rate. The way

731
00:34:23,719 --> 00:34:27,000
Speaker 2: you beat this Arkansas team is get kJ Jefferson to pass.

732
00:34:27,239 --> 00:34:30,000
Speaker 2: Cincinnati's excellent at doing that, and Fickle will sell out

733
00:34:30,040 --> 00:34:33,160
Speaker 2: of everything to get them in long distances and second

734
00:34:33,160 --> 00:34:36,400
Speaker 2: and third down. So once we get there, kJ Jefferson

735
00:34:36,480 --> 00:34:38,040
Speaker 2: is going to have to learn to have a life

736
00:34:38,080 --> 00:34:41,320
Speaker 2: without Treylon Burks. And kJ Jefferson has to learn in

737
00:34:41,520 --> 00:34:44,320
Speaker 2: gamed real time to hit players that aren't named Traylon Burks.

738
00:34:44,360 --> 00:34:46,720
Speaker 2: It's a massive loss. Now you go to the other side.

739
00:34:47,160 --> 00:34:50,520
Speaker 2: Pressure is such an issue for Arkansas. They were lucky

740
00:34:50,600 --> 00:34:53,240
Speaker 2: enough to go to the transfer portal, get John Ridgeway,

741
00:34:53,280 --> 00:34:56,640
Speaker 2: a nose, get Tray Williams in an edge presented all

742
00:34:56,640 --> 00:34:59,120
Speaker 2: this pressure that allowed them to drop eight and handle

743
00:34:59,160 --> 00:35:02,360
Speaker 2: any passing attack. They weren't generating any pressure. About a

744
00:35:02,400 --> 00:35:03,759
Speaker 2: week and a half ago, they decided to go to

745
00:35:03,800 --> 00:35:06,640
Speaker 2: a four man front. Isaiah Nichols wasn't cutting it as

746
00:35:06,680 --> 00:35:08,359
Speaker 2: the new nose. We're going to go to a four

747
00:35:08,400 --> 00:35:10,880
Speaker 2: down front. What does that do? Barry Odom, the defensive

748
00:35:10,920 --> 00:35:13,560
Speaker 2: coordinator can no longer just drop eight. That takes one

749
00:35:13,560 --> 00:35:16,360
Speaker 2: guy out of coverage. That means Ben Bryant wants to

750
00:35:16,400 --> 00:35:18,120
Speaker 2: go back and pass. There's one less guy there to

751
00:35:18,160 --> 00:35:21,319
Speaker 2: defend that. And you can't disguise as much. No, you

752
00:35:21,360 --> 00:35:23,680
Speaker 2: can't chease. That's very good at there's a little bit

753
00:35:23,680 --> 00:35:25,839
Speaker 2: of self identification that Arkansas has got to go through

754
00:35:25,840 --> 00:35:27,480
Speaker 2: here in this first game. I don't think this is

755
00:35:27,520 --> 00:35:31,120
Speaker 2: going to be easy whatsoever. So considering that Cincinnati is

756
00:35:31,560 --> 00:35:34,560
Speaker 2: extremely well coached, our Kwan Bush is still there on

757
00:35:34,600 --> 00:35:37,359
Speaker 2: the defense as their nickelback. That's somebody that can roam

758
00:35:37,360 --> 00:35:39,839
Speaker 2: and do whatever he wants depending on how Arkansas lines up.

759
00:35:40,280 --> 00:35:42,160
Speaker 2: So we'll see, But I think the number is way

760
00:35:42,200 --> 00:35:45,200
Speaker 2: too high. The perception of Arkansas is a little bit

761
00:35:45,200 --> 00:35:48,160
Speaker 2: too high, especially on teams that can force Arkansas out

762
00:35:48,160 --> 00:35:50,680
Speaker 2: of standard downs and into second and third and long.

763
00:35:50,960 --> 00:35:52,600
Speaker 2: That's what Cincinnati is going to do, and we'll see

764
00:35:52,640 --> 00:35:54,720
Speaker 2: if Arkansas can work their way out of it. Important

765
00:35:54,719 --> 00:35:58,400
Speaker 2: for your under these two defenses are yearly top twenty

766
00:35:58,400 --> 00:36:01,040
Speaker 2: five in defensive finishing drives. Those are the kind of

767
00:36:01,040 --> 00:36:03,200
Speaker 2: things you want unders on. Now. Sam Pitman's been a

768
00:36:03,200 --> 00:36:09,920
Speaker 2: money maker stuck. I don't like fading them, but this

769
00:36:10,000 --> 00:36:11,000
Speaker 2: number is just too inflated.

770
00:36:11,360 --> 00:36:15,839
Speaker 3: Yeah, all right, let's move on to our next market game.

771
00:36:15,880 --> 00:36:19,440
Speaker 3: And this is one that you feel passionate about. Utah

772
00:36:19,680 --> 00:36:23,160
Speaker 3: at Florida. Florida is now three point home underdog over

773
00:36:23,239 --> 00:36:26,040
Speaker 3: under fifty one and a half the schemes. It's seven

774
00:36:26,040 --> 00:36:30,600
Speaker 3: pm Eastern and ESPN Billy Napierer, the Nameless One takes

775
00:36:30,640 --> 00:36:32,560
Speaker 3: over in Gainesville.

776
00:36:33,280 --> 00:36:35,080
Speaker 2: Scared money, don't make money, you know.

777
00:36:35,600 --> 00:36:38,600
Speaker 3: I actually do think his system when he runs scheme wise,

778
00:36:38,640 --> 00:36:42,359
Speaker 3: will fit Anthony Richardson well as a quarterback. And what

779
00:36:42,400 --> 00:36:45,320
Speaker 3: if you think back to Levi Lewis's skill set, I

780
00:36:45,360 --> 00:36:48,319
Speaker 3: think Richardson, who does have to improve his accuracies just

781
00:36:48,360 --> 00:36:51,920
Speaker 3: certainly explosive, can fit well in this scheme. There are

782
00:36:52,080 --> 00:36:55,759
Speaker 3: questions as Florida roster has mainly for Utah, which is

783
00:36:55,960 --> 00:36:58,640
Speaker 3: you could speak to them. You're extremely high on them.

784
00:36:58,680 --> 00:37:01,360
Speaker 3: You're higher than I am. I think this line is

785
00:37:02,360 --> 00:37:04,160
Speaker 3: about right. It's a tricky spot for each Oh, just

786
00:37:04,200 --> 00:37:08,200
Speaker 3: the Utah team and the humidity going east to tough,

787
00:37:08,440 --> 00:37:12,160
Speaker 3: tough trip Florida. Obviously as a talented team going through

788
00:37:12,200 --> 00:37:15,439
Speaker 3: a lot more change in Utah. You think they take

789
00:37:15,480 --> 00:37:17,719
Speaker 3: care of business. You love the Utes here?

790
00:37:18,280 --> 00:37:19,520
Speaker 4: Did you say ute.

791
00:37:21,280 --> 00:37:24,040
Speaker 3: Start out the season much better than they did last year?

792
00:37:24,040 --> 00:37:26,520
Speaker 3: If you recall they stumbled out of the gates with

793
00:37:26,640 --> 00:37:29,240
Speaker 3: Charlie Brewer and then made the change to Cam Rising

794
00:37:29,280 --> 00:37:31,719
Speaker 3: and the offense really took off. Do you have to

795
00:37:31,800 --> 00:37:35,000
Speaker 3: replace Britain Kobe who was really important for them in

796
00:37:35,400 --> 00:37:38,520
Speaker 3: hunt return game and a receiver? But loaded tight end room.

797
00:37:38,920 --> 00:37:42,000
Speaker 3: Lots of talent across the board for this Utah team.

798
00:37:42,000 --> 00:37:43,360
Speaker 3: And I think the one thing that I like about

799
00:37:43,400 --> 00:37:46,000
Speaker 3: Utah the most if you look back at that secondary.

800
00:37:46,040 --> 00:37:49,239
Speaker 3: Last year, their defense performed well, but they dealt with

801
00:37:49,280 --> 00:37:51,840
Speaker 3: a lot of injuries in the secondary. They were playing

802
00:37:51,880 --> 00:37:54,920
Speaker 3: a running back at corner last year. They got a

803
00:37:54,920 --> 00:37:58,280
Speaker 3: lot of guys back on that secondary healthy, which should

804
00:37:58,520 --> 00:38:01,279
Speaker 3: really help the defense. Defense. What do you see in

805
00:38:01,440 --> 00:38:02,160
Speaker 3: Utah Florida?

806
00:38:02,760 --> 00:38:04,920
Speaker 2: I wrote this game up this morning. It'll be out

807
00:38:04,920 --> 00:38:08,160
Speaker 2: on Action Network dot com. I went from red hot

808
00:38:08,200 --> 00:38:10,759
Speaker 2: on Utah to a lukewarm right. I was on the

809
00:38:10,800 --> 00:38:13,040
Speaker 2: favorites talking about how much I love Utah. I win

810
00:38:13,080 --> 00:38:16,000
Speaker 2: a little lukewarm on this game. Not on your polygamy.

811
00:38:16,080 --> 00:38:17,160
Speaker 3: No more polygamy for you.

812
00:38:18,440 --> 00:38:20,640
Speaker 2: I think what's got me a little bit rattled is,

813
00:38:21,040 --> 00:38:22,920
Speaker 2: you know, this Florida defense is going to be much better.

814
00:38:22,960 --> 00:38:24,680
Speaker 2: I've been so focused on the offensive side of the

815
00:38:24,680 --> 00:38:28,319
Speaker 2: ball with Anthony Richardson, who is a you know, like

816
00:38:29,520 --> 00:38:32,080
Speaker 2: nothing sticks to him. Try to tackle him. Guys just

817
00:38:32,120 --> 00:38:33,799
Speaker 2: fall off, right. I mean, he is a living bo

818
00:38:33,920 --> 00:38:36,560
Speaker 2: Jackson super Tech mobile back from when I was a kid.

819
00:38:36,800 --> 00:38:40,080
Speaker 2: And you know, I think offensively they're completely depleted Florida

820
00:38:40,160 --> 00:38:42,640
Speaker 2: is when it comes to skill position players, from rushing yards,

821
00:38:42,680 --> 00:38:45,480
Speaker 2: from receiving yards, it's going to be the Anthony Richardson show.

822
00:38:45,560 --> 00:38:47,200
Speaker 2: So I think they're gonna be a little bit limited,

823
00:38:47,239 --> 00:38:49,520
Speaker 2: and I think that's going to help, you know, Morgan

824
00:38:49,560 --> 00:38:52,000
Speaker 2: Scalley on the defensive side, come up with a plan

825
00:38:52,080 --> 00:38:54,000
Speaker 2: to go ahead and defend Florida. And I think after

826
00:38:54,040 --> 00:38:57,080
Speaker 2: about three or four series, after they see how limited

827
00:38:57,840 --> 00:39:01,520
Speaker 2: and low the ceiling is for Florida's offense. Morgan Scalley

828
00:39:01,520 --> 00:39:03,440
Speaker 2: will adjust the Utah defense and they'll be able to

829
00:39:03,480 --> 00:39:05,080
Speaker 2: take over. Now on the other side of the balls,

830
00:39:05,080 --> 00:39:07,560
Speaker 2: where I got a little bit nervous about my money

831
00:39:07,560 --> 00:39:09,759
Speaker 2: that I have down on Utah money line, I'm not

832
00:39:09,800 --> 00:39:11,840
Speaker 2: sure I would buy a minus three. And what it

833
00:39:11,880 --> 00:39:14,160
Speaker 2: comes down to is on the offensive line, there's a

834
00:39:14,160 --> 00:39:16,000
Speaker 2: new center and there's a new right tackle. That depth

835
00:39:16,080 --> 00:39:17,680
Speaker 2: chart just came out. You do a little bit of

836
00:39:17,680 --> 00:39:21,840
Speaker 2: digging in some research on Jared Cump and Mail the

837
00:39:21,880 --> 00:39:24,799
Speaker 2: new center there, they had limited exposure and playing time.

838
00:39:24,880 --> 00:39:27,760
Speaker 2: Last year. They had the two worst pass blocking grades

839
00:39:27,760 --> 00:39:31,000
Speaker 2: on the team. This Florida defensive line is completely underrated.

840
00:39:31,360 --> 00:39:35,400
Speaker 2: Gervin Dexter and at the defensive interior Brenton Cox at edge.

841
00:39:35,800 --> 00:39:38,719
Speaker 2: That is a serious problem for a brand new right

842
00:39:38,760 --> 00:39:41,239
Speaker 2: tackle and a brand new center. Now, a center that

843
00:39:41,320 --> 00:39:42,960
Speaker 2: had two hundred STAPs he was not the starter, he

844
00:39:43,000 --> 00:39:45,920
Speaker 2: didn't log eight hundred STAPs, and a center that has

845
00:39:45,960 --> 00:39:49,120
Speaker 2: serious problems in pass blocking grades. Cameron Rising is going

846
00:39:49,160 --> 00:39:51,200
Speaker 2: to see some pressure here and he's going to get

847
00:39:51,200 --> 00:39:53,480
Speaker 2: sacked and he's going to get hit. I do think

848
00:39:53,600 --> 00:39:56,600
Speaker 2: Utah overall wins this game. But it's just not been

849
00:39:56,640 --> 00:39:58,759
Speaker 2: pretty away from Rice Ecles. Look at that. I mean,

850
00:39:58,880 --> 00:40:00,640
Speaker 2: lost to BYU on the right road, lost to San

851
00:40:00,680 --> 00:40:03,080
Speaker 2: Diego State, lost to Oregon State on the road last year.

852
00:40:03,400 --> 00:40:05,560
Speaker 2: It's not the same team outside of home. That's a

853
00:40:05,640 --> 00:40:08,600
Speaker 2: huge home field advantage that they have. So I've gone

854
00:40:08,600 --> 00:40:11,239
Speaker 2: a little lukewarm. I love my Utah money line. I'm

855
00:40:11,239 --> 00:40:13,520
Speaker 2: going to keep it, but you better bet Utah gets

856
00:40:13,560 --> 00:40:15,000
Speaker 2: some sort of lead and I can get some sort

857
00:40:15,040 --> 00:40:17,640
Speaker 2: of Florida at ten or Florida above seven. You better

858
00:40:17,640 --> 00:40:19,960
Speaker 2: bet that live BET's coming through for the same amount

859
00:40:20,040 --> 00:40:22,120
Speaker 2: of the position that I have on the Utah money line.

860
00:40:22,440 --> 00:40:25,560
Speaker 3: Yeah, we'll see where this line ends up. But something

861
00:40:25,640 --> 00:40:28,319
Speaker 3: inside of me is telling me Florida. But we'll see.

862
00:40:28,400 --> 00:40:31,160
Speaker 3: All right, let's go to our last marquee game, Notre

863
00:40:31,280 --> 00:40:36,879
Speaker 3: Dame at Ohio State. Ohio State seventeen point favorite over

864
00:40:36,960 --> 00:40:38,799
Speaker 3: under fifty nine and a half. The scheme's at seven

865
00:40:38,880 --> 00:40:42,600
Speaker 3: thirty Eastern on ABC. If you look at a casual

866
00:40:42,640 --> 00:40:44,120
Speaker 3: fan looks that it's as Wow, this is a big

867
00:40:44,200 --> 00:40:46,080
Speaker 3: number for put it in Notre Dame. I think it's

868
00:40:46,080 --> 00:40:51,160
Speaker 3: fifth in the coach's poll. He've talked about massive, massive

869
00:40:51,719 --> 00:40:54,759
Speaker 3: drop off. It's Alabama Ohio State this year, and then

870
00:40:54,800 --> 00:40:58,439
Speaker 3: depending on how Georgia fills all their losses, it could

871
00:40:58,480 --> 00:41:01,879
Speaker 3: be two touchdown on a neutral between the top two

872
00:41:01,880 --> 00:41:04,680
Speaker 3: teams and the third, or if Georgie is really good,

873
00:41:05,000 --> 00:41:08,920
Speaker 3: the third and the fourth best team. So there's a

874
00:41:08,960 --> 00:41:12,479
Speaker 3: wide gap here, and there's some potential issues for Notre

875
00:41:12,560 --> 00:41:16,560
Speaker 3: Dame at wide receiver, you know, another wide receiver injury.

876
00:41:16,560 --> 00:41:20,800
Speaker 3: They're really inexperienced on the outside. I think the quarterback

877
00:41:20,840 --> 00:41:25,480
Speaker 3: position a little limited, certainly nowhere close to what Ohio

878
00:41:25,520 --> 00:41:28,719
Speaker 3: State brings to the table on the offensive end. It'll

879
00:41:28,719 --> 00:41:30,680
Speaker 3: be up to Notre Dame's defense to really keep them

880
00:41:30,719 --> 00:41:34,160
Speaker 3: in this game somehow, because I think with the addition

881
00:41:34,239 --> 00:41:37,160
Speaker 3: of Jim Knowles, who got to prepare for this Notre

882
00:41:37,200 --> 00:41:41,000
Speaker 3: Dame team last year in the Bowl, just bringing organization

883
00:41:41,600 --> 00:41:46,080
Speaker 3: and communication, just the basics to this defense should improve

884
00:41:46,120 --> 00:41:49,120
Speaker 3: them significantly off the bat. Because the town is certainly there,

885
00:41:49,360 --> 00:41:51,839
Speaker 3: and we know about the Ohio State offense, it's going

886
00:41:51,920 --> 00:41:54,279
Speaker 3: to be hard to stop. So the one thing that

887
00:41:54,320 --> 00:41:58,640
Speaker 3: I will bring up is Marcus Freeman, the clip of

888
00:41:58,719 --> 00:42:01,240
Speaker 3: him saying he's now aware of spread of plus seventeen

889
00:42:01,280 --> 00:42:03,319
Speaker 3: and a half, and he said he didn't know that

890
00:42:03,320 --> 00:42:04,600
Speaker 3: he's gonna use that as motivations.

891
00:42:04,800 --> 00:42:06,399
Speaker 5: Well, I didn't know. I'm gonna write that down. He said,

892
00:42:06,400 --> 00:42:09,480
Speaker 5: seventeen and a half points, right, we'll use that in

893
00:42:09,480 --> 00:42:11,560
Speaker 5: the team meeting today. It's good to know. You know,

894
00:42:11,560 --> 00:42:14,000
Speaker 5: I haven't paid much attention to the spread, but I

895
00:42:14,000 --> 00:42:15,759
Speaker 5: remember the one time we were on college game that

896
00:42:15,840 --> 00:42:17,359
Speaker 5: I so just keep making go up and up.

897
00:42:17,800 --> 00:42:20,759
Speaker 3: My point is, if Notre Dame's down twenty four two

898
00:42:20,800 --> 00:42:25,160
Speaker 3: minutes ago, you know Freeman is going for that cover

899
00:42:25,280 --> 00:42:28,480
Speaker 3: after bringing it up and trying to please his boosters

900
00:42:28,520 --> 00:42:31,239
Speaker 3: and making a point to bring up that spread. So

901
00:42:31,800 --> 00:42:34,200
Speaker 3: if you're backing Notre Dame plus seventeen and a half

902
00:42:34,239 --> 00:42:37,279
Speaker 3: and yet and you're down twenty four late, you might

903
00:42:37,320 --> 00:42:40,200
Speaker 3: have Freeman on your side. I make this game like

904
00:42:40,480 --> 00:42:43,360
Speaker 3: seventeen to one. I would lean under fifty nine and

905
00:42:43,400 --> 00:42:45,640
Speaker 3: a half, but not enough to play it. I'll be

906
00:42:45,680 --> 00:42:47,440
Speaker 3: watching this game live to see what, though, was the

907
00:42:47,480 --> 00:42:51,440
Speaker 3: defense looks like, what Notre Dame looks like, especially a receiver.

908
00:42:51,880 --> 00:42:53,839
Speaker 3: I think that's going to really limit them this year,

909
00:42:54,400 --> 00:42:56,040
Speaker 3: and maybe I'll have a live play. But I think

910
00:42:56,080 --> 00:43:00,399
Speaker 3: this spread is about right and or is to get

911
00:43:00,440 --> 00:43:00,880
Speaker 3: your thoughts.

912
00:43:01,360 --> 00:43:04,160
Speaker 2: These two teams, especially from a coaching staff perspective, they

913
00:43:04,760 --> 00:43:07,759
Speaker 2: really know each other. Now, Jim Knowles did game plan

914
00:43:07,880 --> 00:43:10,640
Speaker 2: for Oklahoma State against Notre Dame. But somebody would come

915
00:43:10,680 --> 00:43:12,480
Speaker 2: back and say, well, Notre Dame in the Fiesta Bowl

916
00:43:12,520 --> 00:43:15,440
Speaker 2: scored what twenty eight points in the first half against

917
00:43:16,000 --> 00:43:18,279
Speaker 2: Holoma State defense. Well, Jim Knowles wasn't on the field.

918
00:43:18,760 --> 00:43:21,440
Speaker 2: And I think the thing about guys like Jim Knowles

919
00:43:21,440 --> 00:43:25,279
Speaker 2: and Brent Vinables, they can change and make adjustments, not

920
00:43:25,600 --> 00:43:28,319
Speaker 2: just drive to drive, but play to play. I keep

921
00:43:28,360 --> 00:43:30,440
Speaker 2: having these problems about trying to back Marcus Freeman is

922
00:43:30,440 --> 00:43:33,200
Speaker 2: I'm not sure he's good at in game adjustments, halftime adjustments.

923
00:43:33,600 --> 00:43:36,280
Speaker 2: Jim Noles is such a monster addition to this Ohio

924
00:43:36,320 --> 00:43:38,799
Speaker 2: State team, not just to clean up the tackling, but

925
00:43:38,880 --> 00:43:41,200
Speaker 2: to clean up the fact that Ohio State keeps trying

926
00:43:41,200 --> 00:43:42,520
Speaker 2: to run a four two five and they can never

927
00:43:42,560 --> 00:43:45,240
Speaker 2: identify who's going to play that nickelback. You know, Knowles

928
00:43:45,280 --> 00:43:48,440
Speaker 2: is one of the best fundamental teachers from a tackling perspective,

929
00:43:48,600 --> 00:43:50,680
Speaker 2: He's going to be able to make changes here. I

930
00:43:50,719 --> 00:43:53,319
Speaker 2: would be really nervous if I was backing Notre Dame

931
00:43:53,680 --> 00:43:55,920
Speaker 2: with what they have and the youth that they have

932
00:43:56,080 --> 00:43:59,120
Speaker 2: on that offensive line, and when you have edge rushers

933
00:43:59,160 --> 00:44:01,960
Speaker 2: on Ohio State like Zach Harrison coming at Tyler Buckner,

934
00:44:02,760 --> 00:44:04,560
Speaker 2: that's going to be a problem. And I don't know

935
00:44:04,560 --> 00:44:06,200
Speaker 2: how Notre Dame stays in this game when their only

936
00:44:06,280 --> 00:44:09,200
Speaker 2: real weapon is Michael Meyer at tight end. I mean,

937
00:44:09,280 --> 00:44:11,280
Speaker 2: there's only so far you can go with explosive plays

938
00:44:11,280 --> 00:44:14,000
Speaker 2: on a tight end over the middle. So you know,

939
00:44:14,200 --> 00:44:17,360
Speaker 2: this Ohio State team completely loaded on offense. The Irish

940
00:44:17,360 --> 00:44:20,319
Speaker 2: defense is I mean they return almost everything, and they're

941
00:44:20,360 --> 00:44:22,759
Speaker 2: actually really good at defending. I mean they had top

942
00:44:22,800 --> 00:44:25,000
Speaker 2: ten ranks of almost all the advanced analytics and the

943
00:44:25,040 --> 00:44:29,200
Speaker 2: five factors. So I do believe that Ryan Day is

944
00:44:29,239 --> 00:44:32,600
Speaker 2: going to have about two or three series where he's

945
00:44:32,640 --> 00:44:34,920
Speaker 2: going to try to establish the run. Go look at

946
00:44:34,920 --> 00:44:36,839
Speaker 2: his presser and I know, stuck, you hate me doing

947
00:44:36,880 --> 00:44:40,400
Speaker 2: coach speak. Monday's Ryan Day presser. We have to establish

948
00:44:40,480 --> 00:44:42,359
Speaker 2: the run now. Is Notre Dame going to be able

949
00:44:42,360 --> 00:44:44,959
Speaker 2: to stop that? They're not bad as a run defense unit.

950
00:44:45,200 --> 00:44:46,719
Speaker 2: It's going to be slow going in the beginning. It's going

951
00:44:46,760 --> 00:44:49,520
Speaker 2: to be a grind and once Knowles figures out what

952
00:44:49,520 --> 00:44:51,759
Speaker 2: Notre Dame is going to do offensively shut it down.

953
00:44:51,920 --> 00:44:54,440
Speaker 2: I'm not sure how Notre Dame scores any points. And

954
00:44:54,520 --> 00:44:56,640
Speaker 2: my bet for this game, by the way, I'm happy

955
00:44:56,760 --> 00:44:58,480
Speaker 2: enough to grab fourteen and a half put into the

956
00:44:58,520 --> 00:45:00,000
Speaker 2: action app. It's a reason you want to fall start

957
00:45:00,160 --> 00:45:02,200
Speaker 2: and I were getting these numbers. We're going to get

958
00:45:02,200 --> 00:45:04,560
Speaker 2: these numbers on Labor Day while everybody is having a

959
00:45:04,560 --> 00:45:06,920
Speaker 2: cookout with their family. We'll be smacking lines that are

960
00:45:06,920 --> 00:45:09,360
Speaker 2: getting opened up to these odds makers at these books

961
00:45:09,360 --> 00:45:11,040
Speaker 2: and that way, you know, by the time we podcast,

962
00:45:11,040 --> 00:45:13,200
Speaker 2: everybody's got a good number. But if your mate just

963
00:45:13,200 --> 00:45:14,759
Speaker 2: listening to this now and you don't have any money

964
00:45:14,800 --> 00:45:16,800
Speaker 2: on this game, I'm going under thirty one in the

965
00:45:16,840 --> 00:45:20,200
Speaker 2: first half with Ryan Day making it completely visible that

966
00:45:20,239 --> 00:45:23,000
Speaker 2: he wants to run the ball as much as possible.

967
00:45:23,480 --> 00:45:26,080
Speaker 2: I think a full game under is actually in play two,

968
00:45:26,640 --> 00:45:28,560
Speaker 2: and you might get Notre Dame. I'm soorr you might

969
00:45:28,560 --> 00:45:30,800
Speaker 2: get Notre Dame, you know, not getting into double digits

970
00:45:30,800 --> 00:45:33,200
Speaker 2: in Ohio State scoring all the points. But I think

971
00:45:33,239 --> 00:45:37,080
Speaker 2: the one key staff from this game is Jackson Smith Njigba.

972
00:45:37,520 --> 00:45:41,439
Speaker 2: He was the second highest graded wide receiver against Manda

973
00:45:41,480 --> 00:45:43,920
Speaker 2: man coverage and all of college football last year. What

974
00:45:44,000 --> 00:45:46,359
Speaker 2: does Marcus Freeman run every stop He's been at every

975
00:45:46,360 --> 00:45:50,280
Speaker 2: single year, Manda Man coverage, Smith Njigua and the Ohio

976
00:45:50,280 --> 00:45:53,080
Speaker 2: State offense is going to tear the secondary apart when

977
00:45:53,120 --> 00:45:56,360
Speaker 2: they decide to stop running the ball. So look for

978
00:45:56,400 --> 00:45:58,399
Speaker 2: Nolds to make those changes. Shut down the Notre Dame

979
00:45:58,440 --> 00:46:01,040
Speaker 2: offense early. Might be a little success for the Irish

980
00:46:01,040 --> 00:46:03,040
Speaker 2: early until you know, Knowles figures out what's going on

981
00:46:03,480 --> 00:46:06,600
Speaker 2: and expect Ryan Day to run the ball relentlessly until

982
00:46:06,600 --> 00:46:08,560
Speaker 2: it gets stopped. First half under for me.

983
00:46:08,920 --> 00:46:12,080
Speaker 3: Yeah, don't disagree. Hated to see that. The injury to

984
00:46:12,719 --> 00:46:15,319
Speaker 3: Notre Dame wide receiver Avery Datas, who towards a CL

985
00:46:15,360 --> 00:46:18,000
Speaker 3: and I think he towards ACL last year too. He

986
00:46:18,120 --> 00:46:20,440
Speaker 3: was going to be a captain and starting receiver. So

987
00:46:20,719 --> 00:46:22,919
Speaker 3: we'll see what Notre Dame can cook up and see

988
00:46:22,920 --> 00:46:25,840
Speaker 3: if their defense can keep them in the game. But

989
00:46:25,880 --> 00:46:30,960
Speaker 3: that's a tall task against the Ohio State loaded offense.

990
00:46:31,600 --> 00:46:34,640
Speaker 3: All right, let's move on to the rundown and let's

991
00:46:34,760 --> 00:46:37,880
Speaker 3: just hit a bunch of different games here. All right,

992
00:46:38,000 --> 00:46:41,520
Speaker 3: let's start in Boom. An interesting game here with North

993
00:46:41,520 --> 00:46:47,240
Speaker 3: Carolina in app State. This line has been bouncing around

994
00:46:47,280 --> 00:46:49,440
Speaker 3: a little bit. You would season one and a half

995
00:46:49,520 --> 00:46:52,839
Speaker 3: point favorite over under fifty five and a half. I

996
00:46:52,880 --> 00:46:54,960
Speaker 3: really want to play this under. I don't know if

997
00:46:54,960 --> 00:46:57,520
Speaker 3: I had the balls to do so, you and see

998
00:46:57,520 --> 00:46:58,560
Speaker 3: coming to the R I said this is going to be

999
00:46:58,560 --> 00:46:59,840
Speaker 3: one of my favorite under teams early on. So I

1000
00:46:59,840 --> 00:47:02,560
Speaker 3: think the defense, which is just retooled and they have

1001
00:47:02,680 --> 00:47:04,600
Speaker 3: Town on the back end. I like some of their

1002
00:47:04,640 --> 00:47:06,799
Speaker 3: defensive line pieces. I don't think they showed anything less.

1003
00:47:06,840 --> 00:47:08,920
Speaker 3: They just want completely denil last week. You know, I

1004
00:47:08,920 --> 00:47:11,400
Speaker 3: think their offense is obviously going to struggle more with

1005
00:47:11,480 --> 00:47:13,759
Speaker 3: Drake Maytt quarterback. I don't take anything in last week's

1006
00:47:13,800 --> 00:47:16,040
Speaker 3: game against a Florida A and M team that almost

1007
00:47:16,080 --> 00:47:18,160
Speaker 3: had a quit because I didn't have enough player. So

1008
00:47:18,320 --> 00:47:20,480
Speaker 3: I can't really take anything from last week, and I

1009
00:47:20,520 --> 00:47:22,920
Speaker 3: doubt they should anything. Doubt they even prepared for them.

1010
00:47:23,080 --> 00:47:26,760
Speaker 3: App State really strong rushing attack, Brice back under center.

1011
00:47:27,360 --> 00:47:31,880
Speaker 3: Really intriguing game here. It's similar to East Carolina hosting

1012
00:47:32,000 --> 00:47:36,759
Speaker 3: NC State. Right. The Carolina is here the group of

1013
00:47:36,840 --> 00:47:39,600
Speaker 3: five team hosting the Power five team. What do you

1014
00:47:39,600 --> 00:47:40,759
Speaker 3: make of unc app State.

1015
00:47:41,280 --> 00:47:43,360
Speaker 2: I'm over on this game. I actually just put it

1016
00:47:43,440 --> 00:47:45,560
Speaker 2: into the app. Got some money down on this before

1017
00:47:45,600 --> 00:47:49,960
Speaker 2: we started recording. And I'm not a huge fan of

1018
00:47:50,719 --> 00:47:53,920
Speaker 2: a Chase Brice led app State team. But if you

1019
00:47:54,000 --> 00:47:56,280
Speaker 2: go and break down that box score of North Carolina

1020
00:47:56,320 --> 00:47:57,919
Speaker 2: and Florida A and M, say what you want about

1021
00:47:57,960 --> 00:48:00,000
Speaker 2: Florida and M and who was eligible and who wasn't.

1022
00:48:00,080 --> 00:48:02,720
Speaker 2: Who showed up. Florida A and M had four offensive

1023
00:48:02,800 --> 00:48:04,440
Speaker 2: drives go past the forty yard line. You know how

1024
00:48:04,440 --> 00:48:07,440
Speaker 2: many touchdowns they scored on those four drives. Four They

1025
00:48:07,480 --> 00:48:10,280
Speaker 2: scored a touchdown every single time they got into scoring position.

1026
00:48:10,520 --> 00:48:13,160
Speaker 2: Shouldn't be happening when Florida A and M plays North Carolina.

1027
00:48:13,280 --> 00:48:16,680
Speaker 2: Now you are going on the road to play app State,

1028
00:48:17,080 --> 00:48:19,680
Speaker 2: a game that was scheduled before Mac Brown took over.

1029
00:48:19,920 --> 00:48:23,080
Speaker 2: Now another reason I like the over. Phil Longo ball

1030
00:48:23,239 --> 00:48:26,839
Speaker 2: is back, baby. Now. They did slow their tempo down.

1031
00:48:26,880 --> 00:48:29,680
Speaker 2: They wanted to focus more on Sam Howe passing game.

1032
00:48:30,480 --> 00:48:33,480
Speaker 2: You know, North Carolina was one of the fastest offenses

1033
00:48:33,480 --> 00:48:35,440
Speaker 2: in the country, and that's what Phil Longo was when

1034
00:48:35,440 --> 00:48:37,640
Speaker 2: he was old. And this is an offensive coordinator. They

1035
00:48:37,680 --> 00:48:40,800
Speaker 2: are back to up tempo twenty three seconds per play.

1036
00:48:41,760 --> 00:48:43,920
Speaker 2: I mean we're there. They're getting back to being lightning

1037
00:48:43,960 --> 00:48:46,560
Speaker 2: fast again. And if that's going to happen, I'll take

1038
00:48:46,600 --> 00:48:49,320
Speaker 2: the over in this game. Just looking at how Florida

1039
00:48:49,400 --> 00:48:52,279
Speaker 2: A and m undressed North Carolina not just in the

1040
00:48:52,320 --> 00:48:54,719
Speaker 2: red zone, but it's past the forty. I think app

1041
00:48:54,760 --> 00:48:55,839
Speaker 2: State it's going to be able to do the same,

1042
00:48:55,880 --> 00:48:57,560
Speaker 2: So I'll take the over. I think fifty five and

1043
00:48:57,600 --> 00:48:59,360
Speaker 2: a half is what I got. Fifty six is out there,

1044
00:49:00,120 --> 00:49:02,040
Speaker 2: how buy it again? If it goes lower, I.

1045
00:49:02,040 --> 00:49:04,160
Speaker 3: Kind of disagree, but that I have something to telling

1046
00:49:04,160 --> 00:49:08,760
Speaker 3: me not about it. So the North Carolina unders are

1047
00:49:08,920 --> 00:49:13,680
Speaker 3: scary a scary thought. Arizona San Diego State. San Diego

1048
00:49:13,719 --> 00:49:16,080
Speaker 3: State's sixty six and a half point favorite here at home,

1049
00:49:16,239 --> 00:49:21,279
Speaker 3: unveiling their new stadium, taking on an Arizona team that

1050
00:49:21,360 --> 00:49:23,360
Speaker 3: I think might be one of the most improved teams

1051
00:49:23,480 --> 00:49:26,120
Speaker 3: in the entire country. I think this line is way

1052
00:49:26,120 --> 00:49:28,880
Speaker 3: too I think it's closer to one or two. So

1053
00:49:28,960 --> 00:49:32,719
Speaker 3: I played Arizona plus getting six against San Diego State

1054
00:49:32,880 --> 00:49:38,640
Speaker 3: is always a intriguing offer, and we saw Matt Riza

1055
00:49:39,000 --> 00:49:42,440
Speaker 3: last year just he was worth. He was their most

1056
00:49:42,440 --> 00:49:46,320
Speaker 3: important player against the spread, flipping fields eighty yard punts.

1057
00:49:46,719 --> 00:49:49,800
Speaker 3: He's no longer there. San Diego State's defense is always

1058
00:49:49,840 --> 00:49:53,239
Speaker 3: going to be excellent. Braxton Burmis there at quarterback. Their

1059
00:49:53,239 --> 00:49:57,360
Speaker 3: offense is going to be limited. I think Arizona probably

1060
00:49:57,440 --> 00:50:01,160
Speaker 3: has more talent overall here, and I think this game

1061
00:50:01,239 --> 00:50:04,080
Speaker 3: is closer to a coin flip. Six points in this game,

1062
00:50:04,120 --> 00:50:07,919
Speaker 3: which should be low on the lower scoring side. I'll

1063
00:50:07,920 --> 00:50:08,960
Speaker 3: take the walkout too great.

1064
00:50:09,560 --> 00:50:12,000
Speaker 2: I do agree. I haven't pulled the trigger. I think

1065
00:50:12,040 --> 00:50:13,959
Speaker 2: it's too many points, should be a lot lower below

1066
00:50:14,000 --> 00:50:16,680
Speaker 2: a field goal. But the under has absolutely has my

1067
00:50:16,719 --> 00:50:18,560
Speaker 2: attention because you know, I want to hit that San

1068
00:50:18,600 --> 00:50:20,799
Speaker 2: Diego State over when it gets below twenty in the

1069
00:50:20,800 --> 00:50:21,560
Speaker 2: middle of the game.

1070
00:50:21,920 --> 00:50:24,040
Speaker 1: As techovers sad.

1071
00:50:23,840 --> 00:50:25,359
Speaker 2: That this isn't at night, I'd love to see snap

1072
00:50:25,400 --> 00:50:28,160
Speaker 2: Dragon Stadium at night. Brax and Burmeister coming in at

1073
00:50:28,200 --> 00:50:30,239
Speaker 2: San Diego State. He may try to air it out.

1074
00:50:30,280 --> 00:50:32,680
Speaker 2: He's got some transfer wide receivers in there. Don't know

1075
00:50:32,719 --> 00:50:35,560
Speaker 2: if Jeff Hecklinski is actually going to veer away from

1076
00:50:35,560 --> 00:50:37,560
Speaker 2: the run and try to throw the ball a little bit.

1077
00:50:37,640 --> 00:50:40,440
Speaker 2: With San Diego State this year, but we know that

1078
00:50:40,520 --> 00:50:43,480
Speaker 2: they're going to be trying to dominate the trench, slow

1079
00:50:43,760 --> 00:50:46,080
Speaker 2: grind run, and then the defense is going to be

1080
00:50:46,080 --> 00:50:47,719
Speaker 2: the same. Nothing's going to change over and that side

1081
00:50:47,719 --> 00:50:49,600
Speaker 2: of the ball for San Diego State, and that's going

1082
00:50:49,680 --> 00:50:51,600
Speaker 2: to be a problem for an Arizona offensive line that

1083
00:50:51,680 --> 00:50:55,279
Speaker 2: only returns half their snaps for last year. So you know,

1084
00:50:55,440 --> 00:50:57,839
Speaker 2: I think there's going to be a struggle to get

1085
00:50:57,840 --> 00:51:00,000
Speaker 2: points up on the board. And I hate saying that

1086
00:51:00,040 --> 00:51:02,680
Speaker 2: because I love Jaden de Laura from Washington State and

1087
00:51:02,719 --> 00:51:05,200
Speaker 2: I love Jacob Cowing coming in from UTEP. The problem

1088
00:51:05,280 --> 00:51:08,200
Speaker 2: is is that's an explosive combination. That's not a success

1089
00:51:08,320 --> 00:51:11,840
Speaker 2: rate combination. That's an explosive play combination, and that's not

1090
00:51:11,920 --> 00:51:15,319
Speaker 2: what gets overs. That's, you know, not a combination that

1091
00:51:15,360 --> 00:51:17,400
Speaker 2: you want to be betting. So I do like the

1092
00:51:17,480 --> 00:51:20,000
Speaker 2: under here. I think I want to bet the under

1093
00:51:20,200 --> 00:51:22,279
Speaker 2: just so I can come in live and take an

1094
00:51:22,280 --> 00:51:22,840
Speaker 2: over here.

1095
00:51:23,920 --> 00:51:28,920
Speaker 3: Hyping a San Diego State under. It's a new year, everybody,

1096
00:51:29,080 --> 00:51:30,080
Speaker 3: a new week one.

1097
00:51:30,320 --> 00:51:31,120
Speaker 2: I'm going to bet it now.

1098
00:51:31,920 --> 00:51:36,560
Speaker 3: Wow, put it through. It's going to be shockwaves through

1099
00:51:36,680 --> 00:51:39,279
Speaker 3: the betting community. Just go out there and try to

1100
00:51:39,320 --> 00:51:41,239
Speaker 3: have fun. You know, you know, having fun is the

1101
00:51:41,280 --> 00:51:43,239
Speaker 3: name of the game. I bet you're gonna end up

1102
00:51:43,680 --> 00:51:46,280
Speaker 3: hitting the live over. Get you know, to get nervous

1103
00:51:46,320 --> 00:51:48,799
Speaker 3: thirty seconds in. I can't do this. I'm hitting you over.

1104
00:51:49,280 --> 00:51:52,520
Speaker 3: Let's move on to a really another intriguing game of

1105
00:51:52,560 --> 00:51:56,000
Speaker 3: a Utah team traveling east to the state of Florida,

1106
00:51:56,480 --> 00:51:59,640
Speaker 3: dealing with the humidity, maybe the rain, elements they're not

1107
00:51:59,719 --> 00:52:05,840
Speaker 3: used to. BYU twelve point favorite at South Florida. South Florida,

1108
00:52:05,920 --> 00:52:08,040
Speaker 3: similar to Arizona, I think, could be really improved. They've

1109
00:52:08,040 --> 00:52:10,640
Speaker 3: returned as much experience as anyone in the country. They

1110
00:52:10,719 --> 00:52:15,560
Speaker 3: really hit the transfer portal hard, including bringing in Jerry Bohannon,

1111
00:52:15,840 --> 00:52:19,080
Speaker 3: the quarterback from Baylor who beat b YU last year.

1112
00:52:19,080 --> 00:52:21,839
Speaker 3: By the way, by is gonna play Bohannon. Then they

1113
00:52:21,880 --> 00:52:25,000
Speaker 3: play Shape and they played Baylor again next week, then

1114
00:52:25,040 --> 00:52:27,560
Speaker 3: they played they played Liberty, I think, which is where

1115
00:52:27,640 --> 00:52:29,319
Speaker 3: Charlie Brewer is like all they do, all they're doing

1116
00:52:29,360 --> 00:52:32,839
Speaker 3: is playing Baylor quarterbacks this year. But I think that

1117
00:52:33,200 --> 00:52:36,880
Speaker 3: South Florida could be extremely improved here. This is a

1118
00:52:36,880 --> 00:52:40,239
Speaker 3: tough it's tough elements for BYU to deal with. They

1119
00:52:40,239 --> 00:52:43,399
Speaker 3: were zero to eight in program history in Florida before

1120
00:52:43,400 --> 00:52:46,480
Speaker 3: they beat UCF in like late December in the Boca

1121
00:52:46,520 --> 00:52:49,600
Speaker 3: Ratone Bowl. It's going to be humid, it's going to

1122
00:52:49,640 --> 00:52:52,480
Speaker 3: be rain. Byu is loaded on both sides of all

1123
00:52:52,480 --> 00:52:53,880
Speaker 3: lots of experience and they're not going to get a

1124
00:52:53,880 --> 00:52:55,960
Speaker 3: lot of pressure. And I think that does help South Florida.

1125
00:52:55,960 --> 00:52:58,239
Speaker 3: It's one of the weak points and so I think

1126
00:52:58,239 --> 00:53:01,320
Speaker 3: Bohannon will have some time. Passing game should improve with

1127
00:53:01,400 --> 00:53:04,680
Speaker 3: him back there. Not the biggest fan of his when

1128
00:53:04,680 --> 00:53:07,239
Speaker 3: he was in the Big twelve, but compared to what

1129
00:53:07,280 --> 00:53:08,960
Speaker 3: they had passing the ball last year, and he can

1130
00:53:09,000 --> 00:53:11,200
Speaker 3: move as well, I think their passing game will be

1131
00:53:11,280 --> 00:53:13,919
Speaker 3: significantly improved. They have a really good receiver too, could

1132
00:53:14,440 --> 00:53:16,480
Speaker 3: end up going to the NFL. I think that they

1133
00:53:16,480 --> 00:53:18,920
Speaker 3: can make some plays against this BYU secondary. This bya

1134
00:53:18,960 --> 00:53:21,239
Speaker 3: team that drops eight a lot, and on the other

1135
00:53:21,280 --> 00:53:23,560
Speaker 3: side of the ball, you know you have haul back

1136
00:53:23,600 --> 00:53:26,560
Speaker 3: a quarterback for Byu. He made his first start here

1137
00:53:26,640 --> 00:53:29,320
Speaker 3: by the way back in twenty nineteen at South Florida

1138
00:53:29,320 --> 00:53:31,279
Speaker 3: in the game South Florida came back to win as

1139
00:53:31,360 --> 00:53:36,279
Speaker 3: underdogs in humidity. He has a really good offensive line

1140
00:53:36,320 --> 00:53:37,800
Speaker 3: in front of them. Now they do need to replace

1141
00:53:37,840 --> 00:53:41,319
Speaker 3: Tyler Geir al Jier at running back, and they bring

1142
00:53:41,360 --> 00:53:45,399
Speaker 3: in Brooks, a transfer who has pedigree, but we'll keep

1143
00:53:45,400 --> 00:53:48,000
Speaker 3: an eye on if there is any drop off there.

1144
00:53:48,239 --> 00:53:52,759
Speaker 3: He also has a loaded skill position players, but there

1145
00:53:52,800 --> 00:53:55,359
Speaker 3: are questions there. Their star tight end Rex is coming

1146
00:53:55,400 --> 00:53:58,440
Speaker 3: off surgery. He says he's like eighty percent, but he

1147
00:53:58,480 --> 00:54:03,640
Speaker 3: can't really jump. So and then your two best receivers

1148
00:54:04,320 --> 00:54:07,359
Speaker 3: Nkua and Gunner Robney. I don't know if they're gonna play.

1149
00:54:07,560 --> 00:54:10,799
Speaker 3: They haven't been practicing. They were on the depth chart.

1150
00:54:11,160 --> 00:54:13,880
Speaker 3: They haven't been practicing in weeks. Romney went on the

1151
00:54:14,000 --> 00:54:18,080
Speaker 3: radio show yesterday and said, yeah, he's been running around

1152
00:54:18,080 --> 00:54:21,200
Speaker 3: and he's hopeful that'll play. It just doesn't sound like

1153
00:54:21,239 --> 00:54:24,560
Speaker 3: the rumors are like they're not gonna play. So we'll

1154
00:54:24,600 --> 00:54:28,319
Speaker 3: see who knows. I think South Florida hangs around in

1155
00:54:28,320 --> 00:54:30,840
Speaker 3: this game. I think South Florida is gonna have a

1156
00:54:30,840 --> 00:54:33,480
Speaker 3: shot to pull off his upset. Am I crazy?

1157
00:54:34,080 --> 00:54:37,399
Speaker 2: You're not crazy? But I'm not joining you. Because South

1158
00:54:37,400 --> 00:54:39,440
Speaker 2: Florida may have the players. They had one of the

1159
00:54:39,520 --> 00:54:42,279
Speaker 2: highest returning numbers in all of TARP from offensive and

1160
00:54:42,320 --> 00:54:46,280
Speaker 2: defensive side of the ball, but in that aspect by

1161
00:54:46,360 --> 00:54:48,600
Speaker 2: you did. Also, for me, this comes down to a

1162
00:54:48,640 --> 00:54:50,759
Speaker 2: coaching angle and I just have never seen it out

1163
00:54:50,760 --> 00:54:52,960
Speaker 2: of Jeff Scott. And then you know, Chad Morris is

1164
00:54:52,960 --> 00:54:56,160
Speaker 2: there to provide some offensive analytics and hopefully you can

1165
00:54:56,200 --> 00:54:58,279
Speaker 2: get them over the hump. But there are things with

1166
00:54:58,320 --> 00:55:00,640
Speaker 2: South Florida that bothered me. I I want to join

1167
00:55:00,680 --> 00:55:03,400
Speaker 2: you on this. I get the whole BYU travel, I

1168
00:55:03,440 --> 00:55:06,320
Speaker 2: get the players missing out, but you know, going against

1169
00:55:06,320 --> 00:55:10,520
Speaker 2: Sataki and Jeff Grimes and taking on Jeff Scott whose

1170
00:55:10,560 --> 00:55:12,480
Speaker 2: team last year finished one hundred and twenty ninth and

1171
00:55:12,840 --> 00:55:16,120
Speaker 2: tackle grading outside the top one hundred, and offensive finishing drives,

1172
00:55:16,760 --> 00:55:19,799
Speaker 2: these are things that are correlated to coaching, and there

1173
00:55:19,840 --> 00:55:23,600
Speaker 2: is a massive coaching edge for BYU here. So you know,

1174
00:55:23,640 --> 00:55:27,440
Speaker 2: despite we've seen BYU be without players before and for

1175
00:55:27,480 --> 00:55:30,799
Speaker 2: some reason just keep chugging. So I want to join you.

1176
00:55:31,000 --> 00:55:33,640
Speaker 2: I'm gonna set this one out. The market agrees with you.

1177
00:55:33,960 --> 00:55:35,640
Speaker 2: I can see it in the number just kind of

1178
00:55:35,640 --> 00:55:37,880
Speaker 2: hanging out there in that dead zone. But at the

1179
00:55:37,880 --> 00:55:40,359
Speaker 2: same time, I'm not going to fade Jeff Grimes by

1180
00:55:40,520 --> 00:55:41,520
Speaker 2: backing Jeff Scott.

1181
00:55:41,880 --> 00:55:44,200
Speaker 3: Yeah, we'll see on the BYU receivers if Both those

1182
00:55:44,200 --> 00:55:48,320
Speaker 3: receivers are out. The big losses for BYU. Let's me

1183
00:55:48,440 --> 00:55:51,200
Speaker 3: on to Memphis Mississippi State last year. It's a really

1184
00:55:51,239 --> 00:55:55,239
Speaker 3: pretty interesting game. Mississippi State lost to Memphis at the

1185
00:55:55,239 --> 00:55:58,560
Speaker 3: Liberty Bowl and will be played at the Starkville. Mississippi

1186
00:55:58,600 --> 00:56:01,000
Speaker 3: State over a two touch on favor in this game.

1187
00:56:01,080 --> 00:56:03,399
Speaker 3: Last year, they were only a three point favor. They

1188
00:56:03,440 --> 00:56:07,000
Speaker 3: lost that game despite dominating statistically. You had a punt

1189
00:56:07,000 --> 00:56:09,000
Speaker 3: return ninety four yard punk return by Calvin Aulstin that

1190
00:56:09,040 --> 00:56:12,760
Speaker 3: shouldn't have counted. They Memphis also had a fumble return

1191
00:56:12,800 --> 00:56:15,600
Speaker 3: for a touchdown Calvin Austin in that game. Have the

1192
00:56:15,719 --> 00:56:18,240
Speaker 3: nine catches for one hundred yards and three touchdowns. He's gone.

1193
00:56:18,480 --> 00:56:21,600
Speaker 3: Their star tight end is also gone. Mississippi State. By

1194
00:56:21,600 --> 00:56:23,719
Speaker 3: the way, there two best receivers that game. One of

1195
00:56:23,719 --> 00:56:25,720
Speaker 3: them is on the ravens Now combined for like twenty

1196
00:56:25,719 --> 00:56:28,680
Speaker 3: catches and two hundred yards. They're both gone. I like

1197
00:56:28,760 --> 00:56:30,440
Speaker 3: this under here. The market is disagreeing with me. I

1198
00:56:30,440 --> 00:56:33,480
Speaker 3: think it's ticking back up a little bit. But you know,

1199
00:56:33,560 --> 00:56:35,680
Speaker 3: they got to sixty points last year with two non

1200
00:56:35,719 --> 00:56:38,759
Speaker 3: offensive touchdowns. All the receivers that went off are no

1201
00:56:38,800 --> 00:56:41,279
Speaker 3: longer there. I think Memphis is going to go. They

1202
00:56:41,280 --> 00:56:42,920
Speaker 3: started to play slower at the end of last year too.

1203
00:56:42,920 --> 00:56:44,920
Speaker 3: I think they're gonna rely on their running game. Right.

1204
00:56:44,920 --> 00:56:48,440
Speaker 3: They bring in Ducker for Meniu, their new offensive coordinator.

1205
00:56:48,840 --> 00:56:51,560
Speaker 3: That's especialty is the run game. He came over from Marshall.

1206
00:56:51,960 --> 00:56:54,200
Speaker 3: So I think they're going to play slower, rely on

1207
00:56:54,239 --> 00:56:56,160
Speaker 3: their run game. They lost their two best targets on

1208
00:56:56,200 --> 00:56:59,000
Speaker 3: the outside. I know Hennigan comes back at quarterback. On

1209
00:56:59,040 --> 00:57:02,719
Speaker 3: the other side, yes, Rogers comes back, but you lose

1210
00:57:02,760 --> 00:57:05,759
Speaker 3: both tackles, including one in the top ten of the

1211
00:57:05,840 --> 00:57:08,720
Speaker 3: NFL draft. You're going to kick a guard out to tackle.

1212
00:57:08,960 --> 00:57:12,560
Speaker 3: You lose your best receiver, you lose another receiver. So

1213
00:57:12,800 --> 00:57:15,320
Speaker 3: I think that they're gonna be fine time. It's an offense,

1214
00:57:15,360 --> 00:57:18,040
Speaker 3: it's all about timings. His third year in the offense.

1215
00:57:18,360 --> 00:57:20,280
Speaker 3: Whenever that happens under Leach, the team's win at least

1216
00:57:20,360 --> 00:57:22,600
Speaker 3: nine games. But there could be some growing pains early,

1217
00:57:23,080 --> 00:57:26,240
Speaker 3: and I think the Memphis defense will be a little

1218
00:57:26,280 --> 00:57:29,000
Speaker 3: bit better. Last year was just a disaster last year,

1219
00:57:29,040 --> 00:57:31,000
Speaker 3: especially against the run, but that's not really what Mississippi

1220
00:57:31,000 --> 00:57:34,720
Speaker 3: State does. And while Mississippi State's pass heavy they play slow,

1221
00:57:35,200 --> 00:57:38,160
Speaker 3: and the Missippi State defense is just loaded across the board,

1222
00:57:38,960 --> 00:57:41,200
Speaker 3: and then you throw in some transfers. Davis coming back

1223
00:57:41,200 --> 00:57:44,360
Speaker 3: from injury. So I like this under here. I think

1224
00:57:44,400 --> 00:57:46,640
Speaker 3: it's gonna be I think the Mississipi State defense could

1225
00:57:46,720 --> 00:57:49,520
Speaker 3: keep a Memphis offense. It's gonna I think rely on

1226
00:57:49,520 --> 00:57:51,400
Speaker 3: the run, play a little slower than they have in

1227
00:57:51,440 --> 00:57:53,720
Speaker 3: the past. I think Missipi State will keep them in check.

1228
00:57:54,080 --> 00:57:57,040
Speaker 3: And then I think Memphis can do enough to not

1229
00:57:57,200 --> 00:57:59,480
Speaker 3: keep this from getting completely out of hand. And there

1230
00:57:59,480 --> 00:58:03,520
Speaker 3: could be some early growing pains for the Mississippi State offense.

1231
00:58:03,560 --> 00:58:06,280
Speaker 3: So give me the under the market. It's going to

1232
00:58:06,320 --> 00:58:07,600
Speaker 3: get me in this. Once you get about a number

1233
00:58:07,600 --> 00:58:10,160
Speaker 3: fifty seven, which is important N thirty to twenty seven,

1234
00:58:10,200 --> 00:58:12,520
Speaker 3: there's your push. But I played under fifty six and

1235
00:58:12,520 --> 00:58:13,680
Speaker 3: a half and under fifty six here.

1236
00:58:15,080 --> 00:58:16,800
Speaker 2: I like Missisippi State in the first half here. I mean,

1237
00:58:16,880 --> 00:58:20,320
Speaker 2: this was a game on a terrible part of the schedule.

1238
00:58:20,440 --> 00:58:22,720
Speaker 2: It was in between LSU and NC State last year

1239
00:58:24,200 --> 00:58:26,480
Speaker 2: on the road. I mean, I know it's not a

1240
00:58:26,560 --> 00:58:28,400
Speaker 2: very far trip, but still when you're in the middle

1241
00:58:28,400 --> 00:58:31,200
Speaker 2: of you know, beating INC State, you got LSU on deck.

1242
00:58:31,240 --> 00:58:33,000
Speaker 2: It was just the perfect spot for Memphis to get

1243
00:58:33,000 --> 00:58:37,120
Speaker 2: at him. Now, Mike Leach has had all summer. It's

1244
00:58:37,160 --> 00:58:38,680
Speaker 2: not like he's going to change his game plan with

1245
00:58:38,720 --> 00:58:41,560
Speaker 2: his air raid and with Will Rodgers. But Will Rodgers

1246
00:58:41,600 --> 00:58:43,880
Speaker 2: was fantastic in that game last year, had three touchdowns.

1247
00:58:44,600 --> 00:58:47,240
Speaker 2: I just think it was a sixty seven times, Yeah,

1248
00:58:47,320 --> 00:58:50,240
Speaker 2: sixty seven times. This spot had more to do with

1249
00:58:50,280 --> 00:58:54,640
Speaker 2: that win last year than anything else. And Mike Leach

1250
00:58:54,680 --> 00:58:56,560
Speaker 2: has been known to give up a few spots that

1251
00:58:56,800 --> 00:58:59,520
Speaker 2: were really important to the schedule. I think he's not

1252
00:58:59,560 --> 00:59:01,000
Speaker 2: gonna be called off guard this year. I think the

1253
00:59:01,040 --> 00:59:03,680
Speaker 2: team's gonna have eyes wide open. I would take Mississippi

1254
00:59:03,680 --> 00:59:05,240
Speaker 2: State in the first half in this game.

1255
00:59:06,080 --> 00:59:11,280
Speaker 3: Let's stay in the state of Mississippi and talk about

1256
00:59:11,600 --> 00:59:16,600
Speaker 3: Southern Miss and Liberty. Southern Miss three and a half

1257
00:59:16,640 --> 00:59:20,960
Speaker 3: point underdog. Southern Miss, in my bucket, is potentially one

1258
00:59:20,960 --> 00:59:23,400
Speaker 3: of the most improved teams in the country this year.

1259
00:59:23,800 --> 00:59:26,040
Speaker 3: I liked some of the pieces they brought in to

1260
00:59:26,120 --> 00:59:28,040
Speaker 3: bolster that defense, which was prett good last year. They

1261
00:59:28,040 --> 00:59:30,160
Speaker 3: Allen just couldn't give many help. They had all kinds

1262
00:59:30,160 --> 00:59:33,640
Speaker 3: of quarterback injuries. They should have more continuity there you know,

1263
00:59:33,680 --> 00:59:37,520
Speaker 3: you're getting more experience in the hall Ball system. I

1264
00:59:37,560 --> 00:59:41,960
Speaker 3: think Liberty is a bit overrated in the market. They've

1265
00:59:41,960 --> 00:59:44,560
Speaker 3: played just such you know, obviously they lost my league Willis.

1266
00:59:44,680 --> 00:59:47,480
Speaker 3: They've played such soft schedules the past couple of years.

1267
00:59:47,760 --> 00:59:49,680
Speaker 3: I think Southern Miss is extremely of here. I make

1268
00:59:49,720 --> 00:59:53,960
Speaker 3: this game a complete toss up one underrated aspect. Southern

1269
00:59:54,000 --> 00:59:57,800
Speaker 3: Miss brought in Liberty's or the offensive line coach has

1270
00:59:57,840 --> 01:00:00,959
Speaker 3: been there for the last couple of years. Offensive line coach.

1271
01:00:01,040 --> 01:00:04,120
Speaker 3: He also knows Liberty inside and out, So I think

1272
01:00:04,160 --> 01:00:07,480
Speaker 3: that'll help, especially in Game one, with the preparation I

1273
01:00:07,560 --> 01:00:08,920
Speaker 3: like so I Missay, I buy them plus three and

1274
01:00:08,920 --> 01:00:10,440
Speaker 3: a half. I think this game is a coin flip,

1275
01:00:10,760 --> 01:00:13,520
Speaker 3: comes down to the wire, gladly take over a field

1276
01:00:13,520 --> 01:00:14,200
Speaker 3: goal talk.

1277
01:00:14,320 --> 01:00:16,800
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, we'll back haul in any kind of coin

1278
01:00:16,840 --> 01:00:19,560
Speaker 2: flip scenario, especially against Liberty, a team that's going to

1279
01:00:19,640 --> 01:00:22,080
Speaker 2: have to learn to live without Malik Willis. We're starting

1280
01:00:22,080 --> 01:00:25,200
Speaker 2: to see with the Titans in preseason exactly how important

1281
01:00:25,200 --> 01:00:27,520
Speaker 2: he was to that Hugh Freeze offense. Now they're going

1282
01:00:27,600 --> 01:00:29,160
Speaker 2: to try to get it to go with Charlie Brewer.

1283
01:00:29,560 --> 01:00:32,680
Speaker 2: Hopefully no concussions or anything like that or any cameraisings

1284
01:00:32,720 --> 01:00:34,439
Speaker 2: in the depth chart that might chase him out of town.

1285
01:00:35,440 --> 01:00:37,560
Speaker 2: I love Southern Miss, you know, doing the sun Belt

1286
01:00:37,600 --> 01:00:40,320
Speaker 2: pod with with Mike I L and Mike Calabres By

1287
01:00:40,360 --> 01:00:42,000
Speaker 2: the way they went four and oh last week. You

1288
01:00:42,000 --> 01:00:43,360
Speaker 2: should go listen to their pod on the on the

1289
01:00:43,360 --> 01:00:45,600
Speaker 2: Group of five. You know, I love Southern Miss. This year,

1290
01:00:45,640 --> 01:00:48,800
Speaker 2: Taike's at quarterback, Frank Gord moving the quarterback back to

1291
01:00:48,880 --> 01:00:51,440
Speaker 2: running back. They're going to take on a liberty defense

1292
01:00:51,480 --> 01:00:54,840
Speaker 2: that returns just half their stops, less than half their

1293
01:00:54,880 --> 01:00:57,480
Speaker 2: tackles last year. And then you flipped the offensive side

1294
01:00:57,480 --> 01:00:59,720
Speaker 2: of the ball. Not only is Malik Willis gone, but

1295
01:00:59,760 --> 01:01:03,320
Speaker 2: there is a large drop in running back production that's

1296
01:01:03,360 --> 01:01:05,480
Speaker 2: coming too. They do get all of their offensive linebacks,

1297
01:01:05,480 --> 01:01:07,840
Speaker 2: so we'll see if Southern Miss can get any penetration

1298
01:01:07,920 --> 01:01:10,640
Speaker 2: on that or cause any havoc. But you just wipe

1299
01:01:10,680 --> 01:01:12,920
Speaker 2: the stats away with Southern Miss last year, especially from

1300
01:01:12,920 --> 01:01:14,800
Speaker 2: the offensive side of the ball, where they were one

1301
01:01:14,880 --> 01:01:17,439
Speaker 2: hundred and thirtieth in almost everything. I think the one

1302
01:01:17,480 --> 01:01:20,920
Speaker 2: big key takeaway that I've got from this team, Southern

1303
01:01:20,920 --> 01:01:24,120
Speaker 2: Miss was fifteenth in defensive finishing drives last year. They

1304
01:01:24,200 --> 01:01:27,920
Speaker 2: annihilated drives that came within the forty yard line. That

1305
01:01:28,120 --> 01:01:30,400
Speaker 2: is going to continue. I think Liberty is gonna have

1306
01:01:30,400 --> 01:01:32,000
Speaker 2: a hard time getting some points in the end zone.

1307
01:01:32,040 --> 01:01:33,840
Speaker 2: I like Southern miss here outright.

1308
01:01:34,960 --> 01:01:39,280
Speaker 3: I agree final game in the rundown. Got a lot

1309
01:01:39,280 --> 01:01:43,800
Speaker 3: of questions about this game Louisville Syracuse. I think a

1310
01:01:43,800 --> 01:01:47,680
Speaker 3: lot of people are interested in Louisville. I would agree

1311
01:01:47,720 --> 01:01:49,560
Speaker 3: their four point favorite tier over under fifty six and

1312
01:01:49,560 --> 01:01:52,920
Speaker 3: a half. Syracuse finished top in the top fifteen to

1313
01:01:52,960 --> 01:01:56,120
Speaker 3: twenty eighteen. Since then, it's been a disaster if they

1314
01:01:56,120 --> 01:01:58,840
Speaker 3: haven't had a winning season, and over that stretch they've

1315
01:01:58,840 --> 01:02:01,760
Speaker 3: gotten blown out three times tis by Louisville, including the

1316
01:02:01,840 --> 01:02:04,400
Speaker 3: last two years, it's something like seventy eight to three.

1317
01:02:04,720 --> 01:02:06,720
Speaker 3: But all three games are in Louisville. This one will

1318
01:02:06,720 --> 01:02:08,680
Speaker 3: be in Syracuse. It's a new year for Dino Bakers,

1319
01:02:08,680 --> 01:02:11,880
Speaker 3: who's definitely on the hot seat. He brought in a

1320
01:02:11,920 --> 01:02:14,000
Speaker 3: new offensive coordinator from Virginia. Is a good one, but

1321
01:02:14,640 --> 01:02:17,160
Speaker 3: I don't know if it fits here. You have Garrett

1322
01:02:17,200 --> 01:02:20,560
Speaker 3: Trader back at quarterback. You have Sean Tucker back, a

1323
01:02:20,640 --> 01:02:23,600
Speaker 3: running back star, running record break and running back. Last

1324
01:02:23,640 --> 01:02:25,720
Speaker 3: year they were really good running ball. The trader can't

1325
01:02:25,720 --> 01:02:28,320
Speaker 3: really throw the ball downfield like Brennan Armstrong could, so

1326
01:02:28,400 --> 01:02:30,040
Speaker 3: I don't like, are they going to pass more? Assume

1327
01:02:30,040 --> 01:02:32,720
Speaker 3: they're going to try to go really high tempo. I

1328
01:02:32,760 --> 01:02:35,800
Speaker 3: don't know if that's necessarily going to work here. On

1329
01:02:35,840 --> 01:02:39,240
Speaker 3: the other side of the ball. For Syracuse, they're three

1330
01:02:39,280 --> 01:02:41,600
Speaker 3: to three five D. They returned most of the the

1331
01:02:41,720 --> 01:02:43,040
Speaker 3: back end of their deep, but they have to replace

1332
01:02:43,080 --> 01:02:46,160
Speaker 3: their entire defensive line, which could be an issue against

1333
01:02:46,200 --> 01:02:49,200
Speaker 3: a Louisville offensive line that I think could be really strong.

1334
01:02:49,440 --> 01:02:52,800
Speaker 3: I think the Louisville defense will be better. Love the

1335
01:02:52,800 --> 01:02:55,200
Speaker 3: addition at nose tackle, the kid they brought in from

1336
01:02:55,240 --> 01:02:59,040
Speaker 3: Arizona State Lole, and that's what they needed. They needed

1337
01:02:59,080 --> 01:03:01,720
Speaker 3: more bulk in the Interier, especially against a team like Syracuse.

1338
01:03:01,920 --> 01:03:04,760
Speaker 3: Malik Cunningham's back a quarterback for Louisville is a pretty

1339
01:03:04,760 --> 01:03:07,959
Speaker 3: good offensive line. The questions are a receiver. Louisville after

1340
01:03:07,960 --> 01:03:11,600
Speaker 3: twenty twenty lost too receivers the NFL. Those lost their

1341
01:03:11,680 --> 01:03:14,800
Speaker 3: two top receivers from last year. We transferred to SEC schools.

1342
01:03:15,680 --> 01:03:17,320
Speaker 3: Got some talent out there, but it could take some

1343
01:03:17,360 --> 01:03:20,400
Speaker 3: time to gel. But Louisvill's problem last year they would

1344
01:03:20,440 --> 01:03:24,040
Speaker 3: blow leads. Is that really a concern against the Syracuse

1345
01:03:24,080 --> 01:03:25,280
Speaker 3: attack and throwing the ball?

1346
01:03:25,520 --> 01:03:25,840
Speaker 2: I don't know.

1347
01:03:25,880 --> 01:03:27,840
Speaker 3: I mean, I assume Syracuse is gonna have some new

1348
01:03:27,840 --> 01:03:31,280
Speaker 3: wrinkles with their new coordinator and maybe they jump out

1349
01:03:31,360 --> 01:03:34,480
Speaker 3: to a lead here. I make this like six, So

1350
01:03:35,040 --> 01:03:37,320
Speaker 3: kudos to you if you got Louisville minus three or better.

1351
01:03:38,160 --> 01:03:43,160
Speaker 3: I'm gonna hope Louisville gets behind early and try to

1352
01:03:43,160 --> 01:03:45,640
Speaker 3: get them live as a dog, I would certainly lean

1353
01:03:45,640 --> 01:03:48,640
Speaker 3: Louisville here, but not a play at four. What are

1354
01:03:48,680 --> 01:03:49,160
Speaker 3: your thoughts?

1355
01:03:49,640 --> 01:03:52,800
Speaker 2: I love Sean Tucker and he deserves every bit of

1356
01:03:52,840 --> 01:03:55,040
Speaker 2: praise that we can give him. But you know, this

1357
01:03:55,080 --> 01:03:57,040
Speaker 2: is just a really if he was in a different system,

1358
01:03:57,040 --> 01:03:58,960
Speaker 2: at a different school than we could talk about Heisman.

1359
01:03:59,240 --> 01:04:01,480
Speaker 2: He definitely has a game changing for Syracuse because they're

1360
01:04:01,520 --> 01:04:03,880
Speaker 2: so inept at doing everything else. I think the thing

1361
01:04:03,880 --> 01:04:06,520
Speaker 2: this shocked me last year is that Syracuse finished in

1362
01:04:06,560 --> 01:04:09,080
Speaker 2: the top ten and PFF as far as tackle grading

1363
01:04:09,160 --> 01:04:12,840
Speaker 2: was concerned, but they couldn't tackle one player for Louisville,

1364
01:04:13,000 --> 01:04:15,360
Speaker 2: whether it was a rushing or a passing attempt. Quite

1365
01:04:15,360 --> 01:04:17,600
Speaker 2: an embarrassment from Syracuse, and I think it shows how

1366
01:04:17,640 --> 01:04:19,560
Speaker 2: far they fell off. Now they do have a very

1367
01:04:19,600 --> 01:04:21,920
Speaker 2: high ranking in TARP, but Louisville does that too. Scott

1368
01:04:22,000 --> 01:04:24,800
Speaker 2: Saderfield still trying to get back in the good graces

1369
01:04:24,800 --> 01:04:26,720
Speaker 2: of the fan base after aftering a pen a letter about,

1370
01:04:26,760 --> 01:04:29,120
Speaker 2: you know, taking a job interview with South Carolina. I

1371
01:04:29,120 --> 01:04:30,920
Speaker 2: think that he's always got something to prove and if

1372
01:04:30,960 --> 01:04:33,280
Speaker 2: he can run up scores like he did against Syracuse

1373
01:04:33,360 --> 01:04:35,840
Speaker 2: last year, he's absolutely going to do it. They also

1374
01:04:35,920 --> 01:04:38,560
Speaker 2: return at least seventy percent across the board that includes

1375
01:04:38,840 --> 01:04:40,800
Speaker 2: you know, eighty three percent of their offensive line snaps.

1376
01:04:40,800 --> 01:04:43,640
Speaker 2: That's good news from Milke Cunningham. I would still bang

1377
01:04:43,640 --> 01:04:46,000
Speaker 2: on Louisville Hillert although iepower rate this at six. I

1378
01:04:46,040 --> 01:04:47,920
Speaker 2: think there's no more value left in the spread. But

1379
01:04:48,320 --> 01:04:50,479
Speaker 2: are we really expecting this game to be close after

1380
01:04:50,680 --> 01:04:52,800
Speaker 2: all of the results that we've had the last couple

1381
01:04:52,840 --> 01:04:56,280
Speaker 2: of years. So Louisville maybe in a moneyline parlay. If

1382
01:04:56,280 --> 01:04:57,560
Speaker 2: you're a numbers guy and you don't want to get

1383
01:04:57,600 --> 01:05:00,000
Speaker 2: away from your power rating, maybe Louisville is a moneyline piece.

1384
01:05:00,680 --> 01:05:03,760
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm thinking that as well. If if not, I'll

1385
01:05:03,800 --> 01:05:06,200
Speaker 3: probably look to get them live. This is Syracuse seen

1386
01:05:06,200 --> 01:05:08,840
Speaker 3: that was like top twenty in pressure in Sacerate last year,

1387
01:05:08,880 --> 01:05:11,920
Speaker 3: and they lose their entire d front tough to replace.

1388
01:05:12,160 --> 01:05:14,960
Speaker 3: And if you get a drop off there, then the

1389
01:05:15,040 --> 01:05:18,520
Speaker 3: numbers in your secondary also drop off. So we'll see.

1390
01:05:19,000 --> 01:05:21,880
Speaker 3: I hate these conference games sorrow. They're interesting, but I

1391
01:05:21,920 --> 01:05:24,200
Speaker 3: wish to know we didn't have conference games and week one,

1392
01:05:24,240 --> 01:05:26,040
Speaker 3: to be honest, all right, before we get out of here,

1393
01:05:26,120 --> 01:05:29,320
Speaker 3: let's go green out.

1394
01:05:28,240 --> 01:05:32,240
Speaker 1: Oh, let's make it a quick three and out.

1395
01:05:33,400 --> 01:05:37,400
Speaker 3: All right, first down we have. We're already covered Thursday night,

1396
01:05:37,400 --> 01:05:39,600
Speaker 3: we cover Friday night. I think we talked about twenty

1397
01:05:39,600 --> 01:05:42,800
Speaker 3: games already. We now I have to talk about Sunday

1398
01:05:42,840 --> 01:05:46,320
Speaker 3: Night and Monday night Sunday Night college football. I'm sure

1399
01:05:46,360 --> 01:05:48,720
Speaker 3: all of Twitter will be tuned in. This game has

1400
01:05:48,760 --> 01:05:53,560
Speaker 3: potential to get weird. LSU the Brian Kelly Air has

1401
01:05:53,600 --> 01:05:55,680
Speaker 3: begun the accent Air else. He's a two and a

1402
01:05:55,720 --> 01:05:58,320
Speaker 3: half point favorite over under, sitting at fifty one and

1403
01:05:58,360 --> 01:06:01,360
Speaker 3: a half. I tend to think that this game the

1404
01:06:01,360 --> 01:06:03,280
Speaker 3: way that's going to play out. There's a lot of questions,

1405
01:06:03,320 --> 01:06:06,880
Speaker 3: a lot of new pieces, but I think both defensive

1406
01:06:06,960 --> 01:06:10,360
Speaker 3: lines will have the edge over each respective offensive line,

1407
01:06:10,400 --> 01:06:12,400
Speaker 3: and I think that's the storyline of the game, kind

1408
01:06:12,400 --> 01:06:15,560
Speaker 3: of keeps each offense from sustaining drives. So I like

1409
01:06:15,560 --> 01:06:17,280
Speaker 3: the under. Not sure if we're gonna get full game under,

1410
01:06:17,520 --> 01:06:20,520
Speaker 3: first half under or both. What are your thoughts for me?

1411
01:06:20,560 --> 01:06:22,200
Speaker 2: It's a first half under all the way. I mean,

1412
01:06:22,240 --> 01:06:25,960
Speaker 2: these defensive lines are so good. They're so big too.

1413
01:06:26,000 --> 01:06:28,080
Speaker 2: I still can't believe Mason Smith is the size of

1414
01:06:28,080 --> 01:06:30,600
Speaker 2: a house. For LSU. When you look at the Florida State,

1415
01:06:30,880 --> 01:06:33,280
Speaker 2: you know team in general, they've definitely got a leg

1416
01:06:33,360 --> 01:06:35,720
Speaker 2: up when it comes to experience and being in Norville's

1417
01:06:35,720 --> 01:06:38,360
Speaker 2: system over the number of years, they're turning almost all

1418
01:06:38,400 --> 01:06:40,880
Speaker 2: their tackles back. They're turning all of their PBUs back.

1419
01:06:40,920 --> 01:06:43,600
Speaker 2: This defense knows the system, they know how to execute it,

1420
01:06:43,720 --> 01:06:45,880
Speaker 2: and last year they were highly successful at doing that.

1421
01:06:46,040 --> 01:06:47,880
Speaker 2: When you look at the offensive side of the ball,

1422
01:06:48,080 --> 01:06:50,480
Speaker 2: this is not the poster child for success rate, not

1423
01:06:50,640 --> 01:06:54,320
Speaker 2: long sustained drives. They're all about explosive plays. So an

1424
01:06:54,400 --> 01:06:57,480
Speaker 2: LSU defense that you know and from a back seven perspective,

1425
01:06:57,520 --> 01:06:59,440
Speaker 2: is trying to learn new schemes and what is their

1426
01:06:59,440 --> 01:07:02,120
Speaker 2: fourth scheme? I think in four years a number of

1427
01:07:02,200 --> 01:07:04,760
Speaker 2: defensive coordinators that have floated through there. There may be

1428
01:07:04,760 --> 01:07:06,640
Speaker 2: some struggles when it comes to the passing game. So

1429
01:07:06,680 --> 01:07:08,080
Speaker 2: I do think Florida State's going to be able to

1430
01:07:08,120 --> 01:07:10,360
Speaker 2: break away. You get a couple of explosive plays, but

1431
01:07:10,400 --> 01:07:12,480
Speaker 2: that's not going to happen early. This is going to

1432
01:07:12,480 --> 01:07:14,840
Speaker 2: be a struggle to figure out who they are early

1433
01:07:14,880 --> 01:07:17,760
Speaker 2: in the game. Both these defensive lines are absolutely going

1434
01:07:17,800 --> 01:07:20,560
Speaker 2: to dominate the offensive lines. And when you look at LSU,

1435
01:07:20,600 --> 01:07:22,720
Speaker 2: we got Jayden Daniels, right, yeah.

1436
01:07:22,640 --> 01:07:25,360
Speaker 3: Yeah, Jayden Daniels is I think going to start. It

1437
01:07:25,360 --> 01:07:28,840
Speaker 3: could be nuss Meyer. Brennan has left, but Brian Kelly's

1438
01:07:28,840 --> 01:07:31,120
Speaker 3: being coy about it, hasn't named a starter at quarterback.

1439
01:07:31,200 --> 01:07:32,920
Speaker 2: I mean, Daniels is the one that could make you

1440
01:07:32,920 --> 01:07:34,640
Speaker 2: know a few things happen on the ground in case

1441
01:07:34,640 --> 01:07:37,240
Speaker 2: there's a bus to play. But Garrettnusmeyer, to me, is

1442
01:07:37,280 --> 01:07:39,840
Speaker 2: the one that's going to be the arm cannon that

1443
01:07:39,920 --> 01:07:42,400
Speaker 2: leads LSU to the Promised Land later on in the season.

1444
01:07:42,440 --> 01:07:44,040
Speaker 2: So maybe they're going to hold him back, kind of

1445
01:07:44,040 --> 01:07:45,800
Speaker 2: throw Daniels out to the wolf. Something that we talked

1446
01:07:45,840 --> 01:07:48,280
Speaker 2: about Brody Miller with from the Athletic Back on our

1447
01:07:48,360 --> 01:07:51,160
Speaker 2: SEC podcast is that this defensive line is absolutely going

1448
01:07:51,200 --> 01:07:53,600
Speaker 2: to dominate. The offensive line has some questions to answer.

1449
01:07:53,640 --> 01:07:56,480
Speaker 2: They are big, but they are young. There are freshmen

1450
01:07:56,520 --> 01:07:59,320
Speaker 2: and sophomores all over this offensive line, and Daniels has

1451
01:07:59,320 --> 01:08:01,120
Speaker 2: more mobility that pocket and that's going to be a

1452
01:08:01,160 --> 01:08:03,840
Speaker 2: big factor here against Florida State. So expect all the

1453
01:08:03,920 --> 01:08:06,520
Speaker 2: scores between Florida State and LSU in the first half

1454
01:08:06,840 --> 01:08:09,520
Speaker 2: to come via the explosive play. It's probably gonna take

1455
01:08:09,560 --> 01:08:12,400
Speaker 2: LSU a little bit longer. This number should.

1456
01:08:12,160 --> 01:08:13,200
Speaker 3: Be a pick. Uh.

1457
01:08:13,200 --> 01:08:14,760
Speaker 2: There's a lot of love in the market right now

1458
01:08:14,760 --> 01:08:17,720
Speaker 2: for Brian Kelly h He is an excellent coach. They

1459
01:08:17,760 --> 01:08:19,479
Speaker 2: have a ton of talent as one of the most

1460
01:08:19,680 --> 01:08:22,520
Speaker 2: recruiting rich states in you know, in all of FBS.

1461
01:08:23,120 --> 01:08:23,240
Speaker 3: Uh.

1462
01:08:23,439 --> 01:08:25,680
Speaker 2: So, you know, I expect LSU to figure it out,

1463
01:08:25,720 --> 01:08:27,760
Speaker 2: but probably second half. This is the first half under me,

1464
01:08:27,960 --> 01:08:29,680
Speaker 2: just because the defensive lines are going to be so

1465
01:08:29,840 --> 01:08:30,719
Speaker 2: dominant in this game.

1466
01:08:31,800 --> 01:08:34,280
Speaker 3: Yes, Elsie's a hard one of the hardest teams for

1467
01:08:34,320 --> 01:08:37,120
Speaker 3: me to project this year. New coaches, a lot of

1468
01:08:37,160 --> 01:08:40,000
Speaker 3: new pieces, like like we don't even know starting a quarterback,

1469
01:08:40,120 --> 01:08:44,519
Speaker 3: and so there could be some the defensive line is loaded.

1470
01:08:44,560 --> 01:08:46,120
Speaker 3: I think the defense will be ahead of the offense.

1471
01:08:46,160 --> 01:08:48,719
Speaker 3: So yeah, I agree with you on that first half

1472
01:08:49,000 --> 01:08:52,880
Speaker 3: under a Let's move on to Monday night college football.

1473
01:09:05,400 --> 01:09:08,880
Speaker 3: It looks like on paper maybe a Thursday night NFL game.

1474
01:09:08,960 --> 01:09:12,120
Speaker 3: This one might not be the most competitive prime time

1475
01:09:12,479 --> 01:09:18,519
Speaker 3: Island college football game with Clemson taking on Georgia Tech.

1476
01:09:18,720 --> 01:09:23,280
Speaker 3: Clemson has this line has blown past twenty one, obviously

1477
01:09:23,680 --> 01:09:27,960
Speaker 3: a very key number in college football. Clemson's out to

1478
01:09:28,000 --> 01:09:32,200
Speaker 3: a twenty two point favorite over under jumped today, right,

1479
01:09:32,240 --> 01:09:35,719
Speaker 3: I believe it jumped up to fifty one. Yeah, which

1480
01:09:36,240 --> 01:09:39,240
Speaker 3: I was surprised about. But Clemson twenty two point favorite.

1481
01:09:39,320 --> 01:09:42,559
Speaker 3: I was thinking about the under fifty one came back down,

1482
01:09:42,960 --> 01:09:44,800
Speaker 3: which I didn't see much value, and I might go

1483
01:09:44,880 --> 01:09:49,240
Speaker 3: back to the well I leaned Clemson at under twenty one.

1484
01:09:49,880 --> 01:09:52,400
Speaker 3: This I just don't see how this Georgia Tech offense

1485
01:09:53,000 --> 01:09:56,160
Speaker 3: is going to sustain anything again, so arguably one of

1486
01:09:56,160 --> 01:09:59,080
Speaker 3: the best defenses in the country, This Georgia Tech team

1487
01:09:59,080 --> 01:10:01,400
Speaker 3: was gutted by the trans for a portal. And on

1488
01:10:01,479 --> 01:10:02,800
Speaker 3: the other side of the ball, it's what are we

1489
01:10:02,840 --> 01:10:06,600
Speaker 3: going to get with Clemson at quarterback? What is the

1490
01:10:06,600 --> 01:10:09,639
Speaker 3: impact of the loss of both of their coordinators. I

1491
01:10:09,640 --> 01:10:12,120
Speaker 3: imagine Dabo wants to come out here and make a

1492
01:10:12,160 --> 01:10:16,400
Speaker 3: statement after and put up points here and after hearing

1493
01:10:16,520 --> 01:10:19,200
Speaker 3: all about their offense and the disrespect all season. Are

1494
01:10:19,240 --> 01:10:22,479
Speaker 3: not really in the conversation as they've been Big would

1495
01:10:22,680 --> 01:10:26,160
Speaker 3: bring your own guts, and I just don't think Georgia

1496
01:10:26,160 --> 01:10:28,599
Speaker 3: Tech can keep up. Georgia Tech did played them close

1497
01:10:28,680 --> 01:10:32,240
Speaker 3: last year, almost one at Clempston when their offense couldn't

1498
01:10:32,240 --> 01:10:35,400
Speaker 3: do a thing completely in that. Will their offense be better?

1499
01:10:35,479 --> 01:10:38,040
Speaker 3: I don't know. I probably won't bet this game because

1500
01:10:38,439 --> 01:10:41,120
Speaker 3: I don't know what we're gonna get from Clempson's quarterback play.

1501
01:10:41,439 --> 01:10:43,720
Speaker 3: Curious to see what the loss of Venables means to

1502
01:10:43,800 --> 01:10:46,559
Speaker 3: the defense, but the defense should be loaded regardless. What

1503
01:10:46,600 --> 01:10:47,240
Speaker 3: do you see here?

1504
01:10:47,640 --> 01:10:49,479
Speaker 2: Well, CLEMBS is not going to change any scripts. But

1505
01:10:49,720 --> 01:10:52,360
Speaker 2: like I said earlier, there are just not a lot

1506
01:10:52,360 --> 01:10:55,360
Speaker 2: of defensive coordinators out there like Venables, like Jim Knowles

1507
01:10:55,400 --> 01:10:58,040
Speaker 2: at Ohio State that can adjust from play to play.

1508
01:10:58,760 --> 01:11:00,400
Speaker 2: So we're gonna have to find out if these new

1509
01:11:00,439 --> 01:11:03,040
Speaker 2: coordinators on the offensive and defensive side for Clemson are

1510
01:11:03,040 --> 01:11:06,920
Speaker 2: able to make those in drive adjustments to lead Clemson

1511
01:11:07,000 --> 01:11:09,400
Speaker 2: back to the promised land of you know, national championship

1512
01:11:09,479 --> 01:11:12,920
Speaker 2: worthy and dj Uyungali has a ton to prove now.

1513
01:11:13,080 --> 01:11:16,559
Speaker 2: You know, Dabo said in the offseason, we want to

1514
01:11:16,560 --> 01:11:19,120
Speaker 2: be up tempo, we want to run at a faster pace,

1515
01:11:19,479 --> 01:11:21,600
Speaker 2: but we have to execute the offense better from a

1516
01:11:21,640 --> 01:11:24,280
Speaker 2: success rate perspective for us to be able to run

1517
01:11:24,280 --> 01:11:26,920
Speaker 2: that kind of up tempo offense. I think the loss

1518
01:11:27,000 --> 01:11:29,960
Speaker 2: of Travis Etn is still being felt. They really you know,

1519
01:11:30,040 --> 01:11:33,400
Speaker 2: Kobe pace has been excellent in the backfield. You know,

1520
01:11:33,439 --> 01:11:35,640
Speaker 2: they have plenty of weapons from the ground perspective, but

1521
01:11:35,680 --> 01:11:39,400
Speaker 2: there's no chemistry between the wide receivers and dj Ueyungaliley

1522
01:11:39,520 --> 01:11:41,720
Speaker 2: as of yet. So when you see this number tick

1523
01:11:41,800 --> 01:11:43,760
Speaker 2: up in the total, it's got to be dealing with

1524
01:11:43,840 --> 01:11:47,000
Speaker 2: the tempo that Clemson wants to put and they probably

1525
01:11:47,000 --> 01:11:48,640
Speaker 2: want to throw the hammer down on Jeff Collins and

1526
01:11:48,680 --> 01:11:51,599
Speaker 2: Georgia Tech. Anyways, make a statement, it's a standalone game

1527
01:11:51,640 --> 01:11:55,040
Speaker 2: on Monday night. Georgia Tech's defense is just prime for

1528
01:11:55,080 --> 01:11:58,320
Speaker 2: a beating here. They only return forty percent of their PBUs,

1529
01:11:58,520 --> 01:12:01,519
Speaker 2: the only return half their tackle. So if Dju wants

1530
01:12:01,560 --> 01:12:03,839
Speaker 2: to have a pretty good game, this is a defense

1531
01:12:03,880 --> 01:12:06,280
Speaker 2: that he probably wants to do it against. So you

1532
01:12:06,360 --> 01:12:08,920
Speaker 2: have to ask yourself, is it done steaming at twenty two? Now?

1533
01:12:08,960 --> 01:12:11,160
Speaker 2: I understand that we're recording this on a Wednesday night.

1534
01:12:11,240 --> 01:12:12,960
Speaker 2: This game is not gonna happen for another four days

1535
01:12:13,080 --> 01:12:15,679
Speaker 2: or so, so you know, the number could be completely different.

1536
01:12:15,680 --> 01:12:17,760
Speaker 2: I don't think it's done going down. I think it's

1537
01:12:17,760 --> 01:12:20,920
Speaker 2: going to go even farther. If it eclipses twenty four, good,

1538
01:12:21,160 --> 01:12:24,400
Speaker 2: maybe we'll see. But from a total perspective, that's got

1539
01:12:24,439 --> 01:12:26,439
Speaker 2: to be all in the tempo. I think the question

1540
01:12:26,479 --> 01:12:29,959
Speaker 2: stuck is if this is going to be the best

1541
01:12:30,200 --> 01:12:32,920
Speaker 2: Clemson defense, and when you compare to twenty eighteen, one

1542
01:12:32,960 --> 01:12:35,759
Speaker 2: of the best culturball defenses ever, if this is defense

1543
01:12:35,840 --> 01:12:38,479
Speaker 2: is going to be better than that? Does Georgia Tech

1544
01:12:38,560 --> 01:12:41,800
Speaker 2: score and this is a Georgia Tech team one hundred

1545
01:12:41,840 --> 01:12:45,160
Speaker 2: and twelveth in offensive finishing drives last year, they only

1546
01:12:45,200 --> 01:12:46,800
Speaker 2: returned half their receiving yards.

1547
01:12:46,680 --> 01:12:48,960
Speaker 3: They lost their best back to Alabama.

1548
01:12:48,800 --> 01:12:51,439
Speaker 2: Lost their best back to Alabama, Damir Gibbs, and they

1549
01:12:51,479 --> 01:12:56,160
Speaker 2: only return half of their offensive line snaps. I think,

1550
01:12:56,400 --> 01:12:58,360
Speaker 2: I mean, I think a Georgia Tech team total is

1551
01:12:58,760 --> 01:13:00,760
Speaker 2: under is the way to play here are they gonna

1552
01:13:00,760 --> 01:13:04,320
Speaker 2: score any points? I mean, the offense is questionable for Clemson,

1553
01:13:05,200 --> 01:13:07,920
Speaker 2: the defense is not. And if Georgia Tech is able

1554
01:13:07,960 --> 01:13:10,559
Speaker 2: to get two scores up, I mean Clemson's got real

1555
01:13:10,560 --> 01:13:12,360
Speaker 2: problems the rest of the year. So I think for me,

1556
01:13:12,360 --> 01:13:14,479
Speaker 2: it's probably gonna be a Georgia Tech team total under.

1557
01:13:14,920 --> 01:13:16,879
Speaker 2: And then I'll just sit back and see how Dju

1558
01:13:17,000 --> 01:13:18,840
Speaker 2: deals with a defense that should not give him any

1559
01:13:18,840 --> 01:13:19,639
Speaker 2: problems whatsoever.

1560
01:13:21,160 --> 01:13:22,920
Speaker 3: Yep, don't mind that, all right, Let's move on to

1561
01:13:23,000 --> 01:13:28,080
Speaker 3: second down. That's our favorite overdog, favorite favorite for those

1562
01:13:28,120 --> 01:13:29,720
Speaker 3: who have been listening for a while.

1563
01:13:29,800 --> 01:13:31,960
Speaker 2: It's called the Overdogs parlay coin.

1564
01:13:32,000 --> 01:13:32,439
Speaker 3: What he got?

1565
01:13:32,640 --> 01:13:35,040
Speaker 2: My favorite favorite the week is gonna be Michigan State Spartans.

1566
01:13:35,680 --> 01:13:38,880
Speaker 2: You know, Mel Tucker Pride, having himself and having a

1567
01:13:38,920 --> 01:13:41,160
Speaker 2: chip on his shoulder. It doesn't matter who the opponent

1568
01:13:41,240 --> 01:13:44,360
Speaker 2: is on the other sidelines. I think in his vision,

1569
01:13:44,439 --> 01:13:47,640
Speaker 2: all he sees is Michigan. He pretends like Wolverine's are

1570
01:13:47,680 --> 01:13:49,840
Speaker 2: on the other side. Last year four and zero against

1571
01:13:49,880 --> 01:13:52,120
Speaker 2: the spread and non conference games. I know it's a

1572
01:13:52,160 --> 01:13:55,240
Speaker 2: really small sample and we don't use trends on this podcast,

1573
01:13:55,400 --> 01:13:58,799
Speaker 2: but it goes to show what the mel Tucker regime

1574
01:13:59,120 --> 01:14:01,639
Speaker 2: is that no game is going to get left behind.

1575
01:14:01,960 --> 01:14:04,519
Speaker 2: We're not gonna you know, We're not gonna just throw

1576
01:14:04,560 --> 01:14:06,680
Speaker 2: something aside just because of who the opponent is, just

1577
01:14:06,680 --> 01:14:10,439
Speaker 2: because it's a directional school. From inside the state, every

1578
01:14:10,439 --> 01:14:13,120
Speaker 2: game means everything to mil Tucker. There is a huge

1579
01:14:13,120 --> 01:14:17,200
Speaker 2: discrepancy in Tarpier for what returning experiences for Michigan State.

1580
01:14:17,439 --> 01:14:19,599
Speaker 2: Getting an excellent quarterback, getting one of the best special

1581
01:14:19,640 --> 01:14:22,040
Speaker 2: teams players and wide receivers in the nation back, and

1582
01:14:22,040 --> 01:14:25,040
Speaker 2: a havoc minded defense going up against a MAX school

1583
01:14:25,800 --> 01:14:29,040
Speaker 2: that is going to have serious problems because Tim Lester

1584
01:14:29,120 --> 01:14:32,360
Speaker 2: has lost everything at Western Michigan offensive and defensive side.

1585
01:14:32,439 --> 01:14:35,160
Speaker 2: So I think that number has started at what seventeen

1586
01:14:35,160 --> 01:14:37,120
Speaker 2: and a half, it's up to twenty one. I saw

1587
01:14:37,200 --> 01:14:40,240
Speaker 2: twenty three. Not sure where it start stops, but that's

1588
01:14:40,240 --> 01:14:41,080
Speaker 2: my favorite overdog.

1589
01:14:41,960 --> 01:14:43,680
Speaker 3: Yeah, that was actually gonna be mine too. For the

1590
01:14:43,840 --> 01:14:46,280
Speaker 3: I played them first half when it's thirteen and a half,

1591
01:14:46,520 --> 01:14:50,040
Speaker 3: which I'd like fourteen or below. Western Michigan has major questions,

1592
01:14:50,120 --> 01:14:52,719
Speaker 3: especially on offense, and I think they're going to struggle

1593
01:14:52,720 --> 01:14:55,519
Speaker 3: early here on the road with a new quarterback. You

1594
01:14:55,600 --> 01:14:58,920
Speaker 3: dose skymore at receiver, you lose some key piece on

1595
01:14:58,960 --> 01:15:01,519
Speaker 3: the offensive line, it is your best pass rusher on

1596
01:15:01,560 --> 01:15:03,680
Speaker 3: the defense. The defense, I mean, I'm just super low

1597
01:15:03,680 --> 01:15:06,960
Speaker 3: on this Western Michigan team in general, and I think

1598
01:15:06,960 --> 01:15:09,840
Speaker 3: they'll be overmatched here. I think Michigan State will get

1599
01:15:09,880 --> 01:15:12,439
Speaker 3: off to a fast start and get out to at

1600
01:15:12,479 --> 01:15:15,880
Speaker 3: least a two touchdown lead at halftime. So I agree

1601
01:15:15,880 --> 01:15:18,320
Speaker 3: with you on Michigan State. Was zachron a two touchdown

1602
01:15:18,360 --> 01:15:20,160
Speaker 3: favorite A goat Saint Francis a PA. I saw that

1603
01:15:20,160 --> 01:15:21,960
Speaker 3: that'd probably go off batter but I can't say that.

1604
01:15:21,960 --> 01:15:24,160
Speaker 3: I can't. That's great, can't say that one. I'm gonna

1605
01:15:24,160 --> 01:15:25,559
Speaker 3: say Washington against k State.

1606
01:15:25,640 --> 01:15:27,599
Speaker 2: By the way, do you want to buy it on TCU?

1607
01:15:27,920 --> 01:15:29,040
Speaker 2: Do you want to go with Washington?

1608
01:15:29,720 --> 01:15:31,760
Speaker 3: Yeah? See, I can't. I can't play TCU now that

1609
01:15:31,800 --> 01:15:34,560
Speaker 3: it's out the fourteen, But I'm going to go Washington.

1610
01:15:34,840 --> 01:15:38,639
Speaker 3: Kent State. They're just too small for these types of games.

1611
01:15:38,800 --> 01:15:43,400
Speaker 3: I think Washington, with the new staff, much steadier quarterback situation,

1612
01:15:44,160 --> 01:15:46,879
Speaker 3: will want to come out here in their home opener

1613
01:15:46,960 --> 01:15:50,599
Speaker 3: after last year losing to Montana. I think they'll really

1614
01:15:50,640 --> 01:15:52,200
Speaker 3: make a statement here. I think Ken State's going to

1615
01:15:52,240 --> 01:15:56,000
Speaker 3: miss Dustin from especially early on. So give me Washington

1616
01:15:56,760 --> 01:15:59,479
Speaker 3: minus twenty two and a half. They're down before we

1617
01:15:59,479 --> 01:16:04,320
Speaker 3: get out of here. Underdog money line parlay.

1618
01:16:04,400 --> 01:16:09,320
Speaker 1: Turning good weekends into great weekends. It's time for the

1619
01:16:09,520 --> 01:16:10,800
Speaker 1: money line parlay.

1620
01:16:11,960 --> 01:16:12,719
Speaker 3: Calm what you got.

1621
01:16:12,920 --> 01:16:15,880
Speaker 2: I'm gonna go Old Dominion against Virginia Tech. Yes, Hayden

1622
01:16:15,920 --> 01:16:18,400
Speaker 2: Wolf comes back as a quarterback. He was named the starter.

1623
01:16:20,880 --> 01:16:24,000
Speaker 3: Wolf in Shock, but he's got him asking you shall

1624
01:16:24,080 --> 01:16:26,320
Speaker 3: receive my friend from Hayden Wolf.

1625
01:16:27,280 --> 01:16:33,200
Speaker 2: Going to woolf bang to wolf bang. The Virginia Tech

1626
01:16:33,240 --> 01:16:36,240
Speaker 2: team new coach Penn State old defensive coordinator Burn Pry.

1627
01:16:36,760 --> 01:16:39,240
Speaker 2: I expect improvement in the defense, a defense that has

1628
01:16:39,280 --> 01:16:42,720
Speaker 2: fallen outside the top one hundred and everything from fundamentals

1629
01:16:42,760 --> 01:16:45,920
Speaker 2: like tackling from coverage. Virginia Tech will have a little

1630
01:16:45,920 --> 01:16:49,400
Speaker 2: bit of improvement there, but there's questions all over this roster,

1631
01:16:49,560 --> 01:16:53,320
Speaker 2: and the market has spoken. Old Dominion was whacked at ten,

1632
01:16:53,479 --> 01:16:56,439
Speaker 2: whacked at nine, whacked at eight. We've got flat sevens

1633
01:16:56,439 --> 01:16:58,720
Speaker 2: out there right now, and think about it. This is

1634
01:16:58,800 --> 01:17:01,519
Speaker 2: Ricky Rain. He was the offensive coordinator at Penn State.

1635
01:17:01,840 --> 01:17:04,719
Speaker 2: These two coaches know each other extremely well, and Ricky

1636
01:17:04,760 --> 01:17:07,519
Speaker 2: Rain should have no problem scheming against Brent Pry in

1637
01:17:07,560 --> 01:17:10,120
Speaker 2: a new position at Virginia Tech. Some people would say, hey,

1638
01:17:10,120 --> 01:17:13,600
Speaker 2: Old Dominion's already lost their offensive coordinator, but he was

1639
01:17:13,680 --> 01:17:15,720
Speaker 2: hired after last season. He had nothing to do with

1640
01:17:15,800 --> 01:17:17,360
Speaker 2: that five game win streak at the end of the

1641
01:17:17,439 --> 01:17:20,120
Speaker 2: year for the Monarchs before they went to the bowl game.

1642
01:17:20,360 --> 01:17:22,880
Speaker 2: So he's gone. They already had a mature staff in

1643
01:17:22,920 --> 01:17:25,679
Speaker 2: their offensive line coach, wide receiver coach, running back coach.

1644
01:17:26,000 --> 01:17:28,920
Speaker 2: It's an offensive offense by committee. It's going to be called.

1645
01:17:29,080 --> 01:17:31,679
Speaker 2: I have no worries about them losing their offensive coordinator.

1646
01:17:32,000 --> 01:17:36,040
Speaker 2: I think Old Dominion is a live dog here. Virginia Tech,

1647
01:17:36,280 --> 01:17:38,840
Speaker 2: new head coach, lots of transfers. It's going to be an.

1648
01:17:38,720 --> 01:17:41,920
Speaker 3: Issue tweak one. So let's get a little crazy. There's

1649
01:17:41,920 --> 01:17:43,840
Speaker 3: some craziness. I'm going to go with the game are

1650
01:17:43,840 --> 01:17:47,160
Speaker 3: we talked about. Let's go bulls South Florida in the

1651
01:17:47,200 --> 01:17:50,640
Speaker 3: commidity down of Florida, upsetting VYU. All right, that'll do

1652
01:17:50,720 --> 01:17:53,080
Speaker 3: it for us. Thank you for listening. As always, we

1653
01:17:53,160 --> 01:17:56,360
Speaker 3: love you guys. Thanks for support. Again. Reminder we'll do

1654
01:17:56,400 --> 01:17:58,439
Speaker 3: giveaways all the time. Lead five star review. This is

1655
01:17:58,439 --> 01:18:00,559
Speaker 3: the time that it really helps us out nine to five,

1656
01:18:00,640 --> 01:18:02,479
Speaker 3: nine Bad Beat. Make sure you call on all weekend.

1657
01:18:02,880 --> 01:18:06,439
Speaker 3: We'll be back with a recap episode next week, and

1658
01:18:06,479 --> 01:18:08,680
Speaker 3: as always, make sure you check out the Group of

1659
01:18:08,680 --> 01:18:11,720
Speaker 3: Five episode. Good luck on all of your wages, and

1660
01:18:11,800 --> 01:18:14,400
Speaker 3: we'll see you Saturday morning for the Big Bets on

1661
01:18:14,400 --> 01:18:16,920
Speaker 3: Campus Live show ten thirty am Eastern. We'll catch you later.

1662
01:18:17,080 --> 01:18:18,040
Speaker 2: Cheers, peace out,