1 00:00:13,600 --> 00:00:15,200 Speaker 1: One of up, guys, How are you welcome into a 2 00:00:15,200 --> 00:00:18,079 Speaker 1: Monday morning edition of the Daily Juice podcast with me 3 00:00:18,200 --> 00:00:20,640 Speaker 1: Matt Perrault at Sports Talk Matt to follow me on 4 00:00:20,720 --> 00:00:23,959 Speaker 1: Twitter at Betting Pros to follow Betting Pros on Twitter. 5 00:00:24,200 --> 00:00:28,160 Speaker 1: Our BETMGM offer still the same ten dollars offer ten 6 00:00:28,200 --> 00:00:30,600 Speaker 1: dollars bet one hundred and fifty bucks in your account 7 00:00:30,680 --> 00:00:32,360 Speaker 1: if you set up for a new account using the 8 00:00:32,360 --> 00:00:36,520 Speaker 1: promo code juice one fifty new accounts everywhere that BETMGM 9 00:00:36,560 --> 00:00:39,280 Speaker 1: operates except for Nevada. Doesn't work in Nevada, sorry, but 10 00:00:39,360 --> 00:00:42,120 Speaker 1: here with BETEMGM everywhere else it'll work Juice one fifty 11 00:00:42,200 --> 00:00:45,200 Speaker 1: the promo code. Okay, So a three in one night 12 00:00:45,240 --> 00:00:49,479 Speaker 1: on the pod yesterday. But Cam Smith comes so close 13 00:00:49,560 --> 00:00:52,720 Speaker 1: to get into the top ten. He comes off one 14 00:00:52,760 --> 00:00:56,520 Speaker 1: stroke short top twenty if you bet it, but comes 15 00:00:56,520 --> 00:00:59,800 Speaker 1: in top ten Justin Thomas, of course. So on Saturday 16 00:00:59,800 --> 00:01:02,560 Speaker 1: we bet jat to play well. He plays poorly. Sunday 17 00:01:02,680 --> 00:01:06,040 Speaker 1: he wins the whole damn thing fourteen to one odds 18 00:01:06,040 --> 00:01:08,880 Speaker 1: pre flop. Nice hit if you bet Justin Thomas. A 19 00:01:08,880 --> 00:01:11,320 Speaker 1: couple of you guys jumped on him after we were 20 00:01:11,360 --> 00:01:14,919 Speaker 1: with him in round three shut sixty seven, sixty seven, 21 00:01:15,400 --> 00:01:19,400 Speaker 1: seventy four and then wins it in a playoff up 22 00:01:19,400 --> 00:01:23,399 Speaker 1: against Will's the latorus who now has the title of 23 00:01:23,440 --> 00:01:26,680 Speaker 1: the best golfer two have never won a major. That's 24 00:01:27,040 --> 00:01:30,240 Speaker 1: Phil Michlson for years, had that. Sergio Garcia had that 25 00:01:30,319 --> 00:01:33,240 Speaker 1: for years. Now. I think willie Z has got that. 26 00:01:33,400 --> 00:01:35,920 Speaker 1: He'll win one, just a matter of time. But that 27 00:01:36,120 --> 00:01:38,240 Speaker 1: was tough. He's getting closed and closed and closed, and 28 00:01:38,280 --> 00:01:42,000 Speaker 1: that he keeps on losing and now excruciating fashion. Big 29 00:01:42,040 --> 00:01:45,000 Speaker 1: win for JT though, to get that, and that's a 30 00:01:45,120 --> 00:01:49,320 Speaker 1: nice w second PGA championship for him. So here we 31 00:01:49,400 --> 00:01:53,760 Speaker 1: are now heading into a Monday. So last night under 32 00:01:54,280 --> 00:01:57,280 Speaker 1: two unders in hockey we get both right, the over 33 00:01:57,360 --> 00:01:59,280 Speaker 1: and hockey did not come in, but the under our 34 00:01:59,320 --> 00:02:02,640 Speaker 1: old stand by and the Dallas Mavericks comes in again. 35 00:02:03,360 --> 00:02:06,120 Speaker 1: Our favorite bet, my favorite bet in twenty twenty two, 36 00:02:06,160 --> 00:02:09,880 Speaker 1: continues to cash. Just the books just can't do, don't 37 00:02:09,919 --> 00:02:12,079 Speaker 1: know what to do with it, this same number every 38 00:02:12,080 --> 00:02:15,280 Speaker 1: single time, and bang bang, bang bang bang. So gonna 39 00:02:15,280 --> 00:02:17,440 Speaker 1: take it. Three and one on the pod, three and 40 00:02:17,480 --> 00:02:20,639 Speaker 1: two overall on the day for us. So a winning day. 41 00:02:20,760 --> 00:02:23,080 Speaker 1: Not bad. Let's take it three and one for sure. 42 00:02:23,160 --> 00:02:26,320 Speaker 1: Moving on into a Monday. Okay, So I've got two 43 00:02:26,400 --> 00:02:30,920 Speaker 1: bets on one game in hockey and I've got one 44 00:02:30,960 --> 00:02:34,840 Speaker 1: bet in the NBA. I do not know what to 45 00:02:34,919 --> 00:02:38,480 Speaker 1: do with Colorado and Saint Louis. Didn't bet last time. 46 00:02:39,200 --> 00:02:42,680 Speaker 1: This series has me befuddled. I mean, Saint Louis looks 47 00:02:42,720 --> 00:02:46,080 Speaker 1: like the better team. It looks like bet Saint Louis. 48 00:02:46,360 --> 00:02:49,400 Speaker 1: That's what my head tells me, bete Saint Louis. But 49 00:02:49,520 --> 00:02:53,200 Speaker 1: I've got this thing on my shoulder saying it's Colorado, Matt. 50 00:02:54,400 --> 00:02:58,760 Speaker 1: They're not gonna get bounced this easily. Like they're gonna 51 00:02:58,800 --> 00:03:02,840 Speaker 1: come back and they're gonna win game Like, don't do that, 52 00:03:02,919 --> 00:03:05,880 Speaker 1: Don't be dumb, don't bet against Colorado here. I thought 53 00:03:05,880 --> 00:03:09,000 Speaker 1: about betting the over in this game. Current line for 54 00:03:09,080 --> 00:03:13,800 Speaker 1: this is minus one sixty for Colorado plus one forty 55 00:03:13,880 --> 00:03:16,640 Speaker 1: at home again for Saint Louis, another home dog. They 56 00:03:16,680 --> 00:03:18,920 Speaker 1: were home dog. Game three, won the game outright, I 57 00:03:18,919 --> 00:03:20,880 Speaker 1: mean home dogs a get a game four, win the 58 00:03:20,880 --> 00:03:23,799 Speaker 1: game outright. I don't know, but I'm not laying one 59 00:03:23,919 --> 00:03:26,480 Speaker 1: sixty with an Avalanche team that I'm not so sure 60 00:03:26,600 --> 00:03:29,160 Speaker 1: matches up all that well against Saint Louis. And I'm 61 00:03:29,160 --> 00:03:30,960 Speaker 1: not gonna bet the under six and a half either 62 00:03:31,040 --> 00:03:33,040 Speaker 1: because a party says this is going to be an over. 63 00:03:33,760 --> 00:03:36,800 Speaker 1: This game's gonna be over. Not betting it, all right. 64 00:03:36,840 --> 00:03:39,360 Speaker 1: What I am betting is for the Tampa Bay Lightning 65 00:03:39,440 --> 00:03:42,360 Speaker 1: to end their series. I have seen nothing from Florida 66 00:03:42,760 --> 00:03:45,960 Speaker 1: eleven to three. They've been outscored here in this series. 67 00:03:46,040 --> 00:03:49,360 Speaker 1: They can't beat these defensive forwards for the Tampa Bay Lightning, 68 00:03:49,360 --> 00:03:53,480 Speaker 1: and they cannot beat Vasilevski. We've got a minus one 69 00:03:53,600 --> 00:03:57,520 Speaker 1: twenty price at bet MGM right now on the money 70 00:03:57,560 --> 00:04:01,560 Speaker 1: line half a unit Tampa Bay on the money line 71 00:04:01,600 --> 00:04:04,480 Speaker 1: at minus one twenty to win tonight and close out 72 00:04:04,520 --> 00:04:07,560 Speaker 1: the Florida Panthers at home to sweep them out of 73 00:04:07,600 --> 00:04:12,600 Speaker 1: the playoffs. Did not see that coming. Bad matchup, no offense, 74 00:04:12,840 --> 00:04:16,479 Speaker 1: no power play, bad bad, bad, all right. So with 75 00:04:16,760 --> 00:04:19,960 Speaker 1: that said, you might think I'm betting under six and 76 00:04:19,960 --> 00:04:24,400 Speaker 1: a half right DraftKings is at right now time of 77 00:04:24,440 --> 00:04:28,600 Speaker 1: taping six. I think that's where everyone's gonna wind up. 78 00:04:28,600 --> 00:04:30,160 Speaker 1: I think they're just kind of ahead of the move 79 00:04:31,320 --> 00:04:34,800 Speaker 1: and it's juiced to the over minus one twenty six 80 00:04:34,839 --> 00:04:38,600 Speaker 1: goals six and five two numbers. I love to bet 81 00:04:38,640 --> 00:04:41,200 Speaker 1: over because chances are it goes four to we get 82 00:04:41,240 --> 00:04:43,400 Speaker 1: to push, so it's kind of like a free roll. 83 00:04:43,520 --> 00:04:47,280 Speaker 1: In some ways. People like to bet overs in elimination 84 00:04:47,400 --> 00:04:50,520 Speaker 1: games because they'll pull the goaltender if they're down, they'll 85 00:04:50,560 --> 00:04:53,720 Speaker 1: pull the goaltender early. You may get some last second shots, 86 00:04:53,760 --> 00:04:58,159 Speaker 1: some last second empty net goals. I just think over 87 00:04:58,320 --> 00:05:01,320 Speaker 1: six goals at minus one twenty is a decent bet. 88 00:05:01,600 --> 00:05:04,080 Speaker 1: I know this has been an under series. I get that. 89 00:05:04,360 --> 00:05:07,320 Speaker 1: I know Florida can't score, but I think this could 90 00:05:07,360 --> 00:05:09,279 Speaker 1: be a four to two win for Tampa and there's 91 00:05:09,279 --> 00:05:11,160 Speaker 1: a chance we get five to two. There's a chance 92 00:05:11,160 --> 00:05:13,839 Speaker 1: we get five to three, So I'm gonna bet the 93 00:05:13,880 --> 00:05:16,960 Speaker 1: over six. I think we get a push at worse 94 00:05:17,200 --> 00:05:21,359 Speaker 1: here over six at minus one twenty also for Tampa 95 00:05:21,760 --> 00:05:25,600 Speaker 1: and Florida. Okay, so two half unit bets on this game, 96 00:05:25,640 --> 00:05:28,240 Speaker 1: so a full unit committed to this game. Tampa Bay 97 00:05:28,320 --> 00:05:31,440 Speaker 1: on the money line minus won twenty and over six 98 00:05:31,520 --> 00:05:36,800 Speaker 1: goals also at minus one twenty for Tampa and Florida. 99 00:05:36,960 --> 00:05:40,320 Speaker 1: One NBA game tonight, Boston Celtics at home, laying six 100 00:05:40,360 --> 00:05:43,960 Speaker 1: and a half to the Miami Heat told you after 101 00:05:44,040 --> 00:05:47,719 Speaker 1: Game three we were betting on Boston Jimmy, but there's 102 00:05:47,720 --> 00:05:52,800 Speaker 1: gonna be back. It looks like Robert Williams will probably play. 103 00:05:53,080 --> 00:05:55,359 Speaker 1: Looks like Marcus Smart will give it a go. I 104 00:05:55,440 --> 00:05:58,720 Speaker 1: don't think much of a problem for Jason Tatum. I mean, look, 105 00:05:58,800 --> 00:06:02,680 Speaker 1: Boston Tatum mac like he got his arm ripped off 106 00:06:02,800 --> 00:06:05,440 Speaker 1: and he came right back. Marcus Smart looks like with 107 00:06:05,480 --> 00:06:08,200 Speaker 1: his ankle turned, looked like he broke his ankle. Can't 108 00:06:08,200 --> 00:06:10,520 Speaker 1: believe he's coming back and play. He played and playing 109 00:06:10,600 --> 00:06:13,880 Speaker 1: in this game. And then Niss soortis for a serious 110 00:06:13,880 --> 00:06:16,599 Speaker 1: surgery that Robert Williams had, But having him on the 111 00:06:16,600 --> 00:06:18,960 Speaker 1: court will be really important for Boston Defensively. They got 112 00:06:19,000 --> 00:06:21,200 Speaker 1: to stop Bam out of Bio. Bam killed them coming 113 00:06:21,240 --> 00:06:24,080 Speaker 1: up in game three. So you put Robert Williams back 114 00:06:24,120 --> 00:06:27,880 Speaker 1: on time, Lord takes out Bam. Let Al Horford do 115 00:06:27,960 --> 00:06:31,600 Speaker 1: his thing. I'm gonna lay the six and a half points. Okay. 116 00:06:31,920 --> 00:06:35,760 Speaker 1: Boston at home this year again, they are under five 117 00:06:35,880 --> 00:06:39,719 Speaker 1: hundred ats twenty three and twenty five. Miami on the 118 00:06:39,760 --> 00:06:43,680 Speaker 1: road is twenty eight and nineteen. Look it's minus two 119 00:06:43,760 --> 00:06:47,279 Speaker 1: seventy five on the money line. This is the problem. 120 00:06:47,320 --> 00:06:49,400 Speaker 1: Like I would say, go ahead and bet a full 121 00:06:49,520 --> 00:06:52,760 Speaker 1: unit on Boston minus two seventy five, but it's not 122 00:06:52,920 --> 00:06:56,720 Speaker 1: worth it because it's the return just isn't there. I mean, 123 00:06:56,800 --> 00:06:59,520 Speaker 1: it's just you know, I'm not gonna recommend laying three 124 00:06:59,600 --> 00:07:02,240 Speaker 1: dollars to win a dollar. I just don't think that's 125 00:07:02,279 --> 00:07:05,359 Speaker 1: a that's a good bet to make. So I'm gonna 126 00:07:05,360 --> 00:07:07,440 Speaker 1: hold my nose here, and I think we could be 127 00:07:07,480 --> 00:07:09,760 Speaker 1: sweating this all the way to the end. I'm gonna 128 00:07:09,760 --> 00:07:12,360 Speaker 1: take Boston to win and cover the six and a 129 00:07:12,360 --> 00:07:15,440 Speaker 1: half points. I also think this could be an under 130 00:07:15,560 --> 00:07:18,600 Speaker 1: game because it could be a blowout if Boston plays 131 00:07:18,640 --> 00:07:22,040 Speaker 1: the way they're capable of. But I mean, look, the 132 00:07:22,080 --> 00:07:25,000 Speaker 1: totals have been going in an interesting way. It's been 133 00:07:25,040 --> 00:07:28,840 Speaker 1: over three times, but the books are adjusting two oh three, 134 00:07:29,120 --> 00:07:31,040 Speaker 1: two oh six and a half, two oh seven and 135 00:07:31,080 --> 00:07:33,560 Speaker 1: a half over. By twenty two, twenty three and four 136 00:07:33,640 --> 00:07:35,480 Speaker 1: and a half, we're right back here at a two 137 00:07:35,560 --> 00:07:38,120 Speaker 1: oh seven and a half. Books are thinking one of 138 00:07:38,160 --> 00:07:41,280 Speaker 1: these games are going to go under. I lean towards 139 00:07:41,280 --> 00:07:44,760 Speaker 1: a blowout for Boston and under I think Boston they're 140 00:07:44,800 --> 00:07:47,679 Speaker 1: eleven and one straight up after a loss this season, 141 00:07:48,120 --> 00:07:51,080 Speaker 1: I think they come out like Gangbusters, angry, and they 142 00:07:51,160 --> 00:07:53,720 Speaker 1: make the shots they missed. Much like Game one to 143 00:07:53,760 --> 00:07:57,000 Speaker 1: Game two. It's Game three to Game four. Boston missed 144 00:07:57,000 --> 00:07:58,960 Speaker 1: a bunch of shots in Game three, and they come 145 00:07:59,000 --> 00:08:01,640 Speaker 1: back and they win Game four. They hit those shots. 146 00:08:01,800 --> 00:08:03,960 Speaker 1: I'll lay the six and a half officially for a 147 00:08:04,000 --> 00:08:06,240 Speaker 1: half a unit, but then I also will look at 148 00:08:06,280 --> 00:08:09,040 Speaker 1: potentially betting the under in this game. Personally under two 149 00:08:09,080 --> 00:08:11,360 Speaker 1: O seven and a half is the other way that 150 00:08:11,440 --> 00:08:14,320 Speaker 1: I lean. Now, you guys know, I don't bet baseball 151 00:08:14,360 --> 00:08:17,120 Speaker 1: on Sunday, and I don't bet baseball on Monday. Maybe 152 00:08:17,200 --> 00:08:19,400 Speaker 1: on Tuesday we'll come back with a baseball play haven't 153 00:08:19,400 --> 00:08:21,040 Speaker 1: had one of those in a while. But I don't 154 00:08:21,040 --> 00:08:23,240 Speaker 1: necessarily want to bet baseball, so I want to bet 155 00:08:23,240 --> 00:08:25,960 Speaker 1: playoffs for as long as we can bet playoffs. Had 156 00:08:25,960 --> 00:08:28,000 Speaker 1: a good day yesterday, Let's hope you have another good 157 00:08:28,040 --> 00:08:31,040 Speaker 1: day here on a Monday. Tampa money line minus one 158 00:08:31,120 --> 00:08:35,720 Speaker 1: twenty to knock out the Florida Panthers over six goals 159 00:08:35,840 --> 00:08:41,000 Speaker 1: minus one twenty for Tampa and Florida here today for 160 00:08:41,280 --> 00:08:45,560 Speaker 1: their game game Game four in Tampa and Boston minus 161 00:08:45,600 --> 00:08:49,480 Speaker 1: six and a half against Miami in Game four. All 162 00:08:49,640 --> 00:08:52,720 Speaker 1: four of those bets. Our half unit plays here on 163 00:08:52,800 --> 00:08:55,560 Speaker 1: a Monday, minus Matt Paroltz following me on Twitter at 164 00:08:55,600 --> 00:08:58,920 Speaker 1: Sports Talk Matt. Each every morning, it's the All Jude Podcast. 165 00:08:59,000 --> 00:09:13,600 Speaker 1: I was being brought to you by Bedom Jam