1 00:00:02,520 --> 00:00:10,119 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. You're listening to the 2 00:00:10,119 --> 00:00:13,880 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Balance of Power podcast. Catch us live weekdays at 3 00:00:13,920 --> 00:00:17,440 Speaker 1: noon and five pm Eastern on Applecarckley and Android Auto 4 00:00:17,520 --> 00:00:20,680 Speaker 1: with the Bloomberg Business App. Listen on demand wherever you 5 00:00:20,720 --> 00:00:24,480 Speaker 1: get your podcasts, or watch us live on YouTube. 6 00:00:25,360 --> 00:00:28,200 Speaker 2: Thanks for joining us on the early edition this Thursday 7 00:00:28,240 --> 00:00:31,720 Speaker 2: on Bloomberg TV and Radio. Available as well live on 8 00:00:31,800 --> 00:00:35,839 Speaker 2: YouTube search Bloomberg Business News Live. Our conversation ahead with 9 00:00:35,880 --> 00:00:39,199 Speaker 2: Evelyn Farcas from the McCain Institute, as we get our 10 00:00:39,280 --> 00:00:43,199 Speaker 2: hands on the IG report that Tony Capassio broke yesterday, 11 00:00:43,240 --> 00:00:46,600 Speaker 2: our Pentagon reporter no longer inside the Pentagon, yet somehow 12 00:00:46,600 --> 00:00:49,600 Speaker 2: making more news than ever. This is the report, the 13 00:00:49,640 --> 00:00:54,480 Speaker 2: Watchdog report into Signalgate, which of course has caused the 14 00:00:54,520 --> 00:00:57,120 Speaker 2: walls to start closing in a bit around Pete Hegsth. 15 00:00:57,200 --> 00:01:01,080 Speaker 2: Michael Waltz, the President's former National Secure the Advisor, has 16 00:01:01,120 --> 00:01:02,920 Speaker 2: already been reassigned over this. 17 00:01:03,000 --> 00:01:04,440 Speaker 3: And what we're learning here. 18 00:01:04,600 --> 00:01:08,039 Speaker 2: Is indeed troops may have been put at risk when 19 00:01:08,040 --> 00:01:11,399 Speaker 2: the Defense Secretary decided to share on signal on the 20 00:01:11,440 --> 00:01:15,560 Speaker 2: app that we're talking about here, some battle plans that 21 00:01:15,600 --> 00:01:18,920 Speaker 2: we're about to unfold over Yemen. We're joined now by 22 00:01:18,959 --> 00:01:23,240 Speaker 2: the aforementioned Tony Capassio Bloomberg Pentagon national security reporter who 23 00:01:23,319 --> 00:01:24,640 Speaker 2: has his hands on the report. 24 00:01:24,720 --> 00:01:26,680 Speaker 3: This is what eighty something pages long? 25 00:01:26,760 --> 00:01:31,759 Speaker 2: Eighty four pages. Yeah, now you saw portions of this yesterday? 26 00:01:31,760 --> 00:01:32,800 Speaker 2: Are we learning more today? 27 00:01:32,800 --> 00:01:37,520 Speaker 3: We didn't see portions we were we were someone who did. 28 00:01:37,880 --> 00:01:41,039 Speaker 4: Yeah, someone who saw it gave us another media. 29 00:01:41,319 --> 00:01:42,640 Speaker 3: So I don't want to play overplays. 30 00:01:42,760 --> 00:01:45,160 Speaker 2: Absolutely, But you're looking at these documents. Now, how much 31 00:01:45,160 --> 00:01:46,399 Speaker 2: more of a complete picture do we have? 32 00:01:47,160 --> 00:01:50,480 Speaker 4: It's somewhat more complete and somewhat more distressing. So it's 33 00:01:50,520 --> 00:01:53,559 Speaker 4: eighty four pages, but not every page is laced with gold. 34 00:01:53,960 --> 00:01:56,000 Speaker 4: For the viewers here, they want to look at page 35 00:01:56,240 --> 00:01:58,320 Speaker 4: twenty five, page fourteen. 36 00:01:58,400 --> 00:01:59,920 Speaker 3: Basically, those are the kind of the meat. 37 00:02:00,560 --> 00:02:03,600 Speaker 4: On page twenty five, it says the secretary's communication of 38 00:02:03,640 --> 00:02:08,960 Speaker 4: non public duty information created additional risks to US Force's admissions, 39 00:02:09,360 --> 00:02:12,160 Speaker 4: and the killer quote is in that page. But bottom 40 00:02:12,160 --> 00:02:15,600 Speaker 4: line is this showed that the Secretary of War Defense, 41 00:02:15,720 --> 00:02:18,280 Speaker 4: whatever you want to call it, was cavalier in his 42 00:02:18,639 --> 00:02:23,240 Speaker 4: use of this information. This is clearly classified battle of 43 00:02:23,280 --> 00:02:28,240 Speaker 4: war A time on target of Fateen's hitting XYZ timeframes, 44 00:02:28,360 --> 00:02:30,800 Speaker 4: and he sent this stuff out on signal two to 45 00:02:30,840 --> 00:02:32,960 Speaker 4: four hours before the operations began. 46 00:02:33,400 --> 00:02:37,080 Speaker 3: That was new to me. It just a very cavalier notion. 47 00:02:37,200 --> 00:02:39,680 Speaker 4: And then in his very cocky letter to the IG 48 00:02:39,960 --> 00:02:45,280 Speaker 4: basically sticking Thummy's nose seeing no classified information was set 49 00:02:45,880 --> 00:02:48,200 Speaker 4: March twenty fifty said the same thing, I didn't text 50 00:02:48,240 --> 00:02:51,359 Speaker 4: war plans to the media. Well, this reports center shows 51 00:02:51,360 --> 00:02:51,880 Speaker 4: that he was. 52 00:02:53,360 --> 00:02:56,240 Speaker 2: Not telling the truth, but it also indicated he had 53 00:02:56,240 --> 00:02:58,280 Speaker 2: the authority to declasses, had the. 54 00:02:58,240 --> 00:03:02,440 Speaker 3: Authority to two findings the IG thought they didn't. 55 00:03:02,480 --> 00:03:04,400 Speaker 4: They were silent on the issue whether he should have 56 00:03:04,400 --> 00:03:05,959 Speaker 4: declassified or could be classified. 57 00:03:06,120 --> 00:03:07,080 Speaker 3: Okay, excuse me. 58 00:03:07,240 --> 00:03:10,919 Speaker 4: They acknowledged that he was a declassifying authority, but they 59 00:03:10,919 --> 00:03:14,640 Speaker 4: didn't get into that that issue. It was more what 60 00:03:14,720 --> 00:03:20,000 Speaker 4: he did send out potentially could have caused risk. The pilots, 61 00:03:20,680 --> 00:03:23,720 Speaker 4: the hoodies don't have a great electronic warfare capabilities to 62 00:03:23,800 --> 00:03:27,560 Speaker 4: divine into signals sure signal gag, but the possibility was there, 63 00:03:27,680 --> 00:03:32,280 Speaker 4: and as clearly they put, his actions potentially put us 64 00:03:32,639 --> 00:03:33,680 Speaker 4: arament at risk. 65 00:03:33,760 --> 00:03:35,280 Speaker 2: Well, and of course the reason why we know about 66 00:03:35,280 --> 00:03:38,640 Speaker 2: this is because a journalist was inadvertently added by Michael Waltz, 67 00:03:38,680 --> 00:03:43,600 Speaker 2: the former National Security Advisor. To what extent then is 68 00:03:43,720 --> 00:03:47,920 Speaker 2: Pete Hegseth implicated because the chain was already there right by, 69 00:03:48,080 --> 00:03:50,200 Speaker 2: and there were two different chains we should be clear 70 00:03:50,240 --> 00:03:52,960 Speaker 2: about this. One had cabinet officials, the other he had 71 00:03:53,000 --> 00:03:54,080 Speaker 2: friends and family off. 72 00:03:54,040 --> 00:03:57,160 Speaker 4: And the second one they arely they barely discussed, and 73 00:03:57,600 --> 00:03:59,640 Speaker 4: it was like a blink of an eye that that 74 00:03:59,760 --> 00:04:01,320 Speaker 4: just in a highlight of the report, is. 75 00:04:01,320 --> 00:04:04,880 Speaker 2: That an existing thread before these battle plans were put 76 00:04:04,920 --> 00:04:07,000 Speaker 2: forth with the first or second, the one that had 77 00:04:07,000 --> 00:04:08,880 Speaker 2: the reporter on it, the one that had the Atlantic gain. 78 00:04:08,960 --> 00:04:14,480 Speaker 4: My impression was, no, he set that up after effective 79 00:04:14,520 --> 00:04:17,599 Speaker 4: report makes the case that he actually had access to 80 00:04:17,720 --> 00:04:19,120 Speaker 4: a secure facility. 81 00:04:19,279 --> 00:04:20,120 Speaker 3: They call it a skiff. 82 00:04:20,520 --> 00:04:23,560 Speaker 4: He had access to the facility to send the same 83 00:04:23,640 --> 00:04:26,919 Speaker 4: material aloud. But yeah, the point here is that he 84 00:04:27,080 --> 00:04:29,800 Speaker 4: denied it was classified information. The IG was pretty clear 85 00:04:29,800 --> 00:04:33,000 Speaker 4: that it was classified information and that putting it out 86 00:04:33,000 --> 00:04:37,840 Speaker 4: there created additional risks to US forces and missions. 87 00:04:37,920 --> 00:04:39,880 Speaker 3: I mean, I'll say as a point of fact, not 88 00:04:40,000 --> 00:04:40,359 Speaker 3: could have. 89 00:04:41,320 --> 00:04:43,680 Speaker 4: In fact, yeah, and let me read, even though these 90 00:04:44,160 --> 00:04:48,000 Speaker 4: events did not ultimately occur, the secretary's actions created a 91 00:04:48,120 --> 00:04:51,640 Speaker 4: risk to operational security that could have resulted in failed 92 00:04:52,320 --> 00:04:55,160 Speaker 4: US mission objectives and potential harm to US pilots. 93 00:04:55,200 --> 00:04:57,839 Speaker 2: Reading directly from the IG report that's on page twenty five, 94 00:04:58,000 --> 00:05:01,599 Speaker 2: I'll read directly from the statement from Senator Roger Wicker, 95 00:05:01,880 --> 00:05:05,159 Speaker 2: chairman of the Senate Armed Services Committee. Quote, it is 96 00:05:05,200 --> 00:05:08,440 Speaker 2: clear from the reports that the secretary acted within his 97 00:05:08,560 --> 00:05:12,480 Speaker 2: authority to communicate the information in question to other cabinet 98 00:05:12,520 --> 00:05:15,040 Speaker 2: level officials, and then goes on to write, it's clear 99 00:05:15,080 --> 00:05:18,000 Speaker 2: our senior leaders need more tools available to them to 100 00:05:18,040 --> 00:05:19,760 Speaker 2: communicate classified information. 101 00:05:19,960 --> 00:05:22,599 Speaker 3: So nothing to see here. There was a genleminally, Bob 102 00:05:22,880 --> 00:05:26,280 Speaker 3: Bopp and Weave, you know that would be the man 103 00:05:26,400 --> 00:05:28,240 Speaker 3: to do something about it. Yeah, it was affecting. 104 00:05:28,640 --> 00:05:31,440 Speaker 4: His statement effectively, in my eyes, pretty much deflates this 105 00:05:31,480 --> 00:05:32,360 Speaker 4: whole issue. 106 00:05:33,080 --> 00:05:35,760 Speaker 2: But you know, the signal gate becomes deflate gate. That 107 00:05:35,880 --> 00:05:39,240 Speaker 2: was for producer James. There was also football correct. 108 00:05:39,400 --> 00:05:43,200 Speaker 3: Gate BI remember that. Well, that's what unfortunately was there 109 00:05:43,200 --> 00:05:43,480 Speaker 3: for that. 110 00:05:43,520 --> 00:05:46,000 Speaker 4: But the point here is that you know, while the 111 00:05:46,120 --> 00:05:47,799 Speaker 4: end of the authority to do it, there's a judgment 112 00:05:47,880 --> 00:05:50,360 Speaker 4: call here. Whether they do it on signally it's a 113 00:05:50,440 --> 00:05:51,760 Speaker 4: judgment issue. 114 00:05:51,520 --> 00:05:53,960 Speaker 2: Correct, Whether it is legal, whether it is right or 115 00:05:54,000 --> 00:05:56,040 Speaker 2: two different questions. Right now, let me ask you about 116 00:05:56,080 --> 00:05:57,720 Speaker 2: the other brick in the wall here, because you know 117 00:05:57,720 --> 00:06:01,520 Speaker 2: we're talking about a potential difficult day for Pete Hegseth. 118 00:06:01,560 --> 00:06:03,720 Speaker 2: You've also got top Rash, the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs, 119 00:06:03,720 --> 00:06:05,880 Speaker 2: and the admiral who ordered the double tap strike on 120 00:06:05,920 --> 00:06:09,760 Speaker 2: the boat coming out of Venezuela testifying today on Capitol Hill. 121 00:06:10,040 --> 00:06:12,440 Speaker 2: There are questions today, and we'll talk to Evelyn Farcas 122 00:06:12,440 --> 00:06:16,760 Speaker 2: about this. At what point do these stories combine to 123 00:06:16,839 --> 00:06:19,719 Speaker 2: create a weight that the sect deaf cannot handle. 124 00:06:20,360 --> 00:06:23,560 Speaker 3: You know, I don't think speaking, I don't. 125 00:06:23,360 --> 00:06:25,080 Speaker 4: Think the wake is going to be that big on 126 00:06:25,520 --> 00:06:26,560 Speaker 4: based on this report. 127 00:06:26,760 --> 00:06:28,320 Speaker 3: How about what's happening on the Hill today. 128 00:06:28,520 --> 00:06:31,360 Speaker 4: It depends on whether the Republicans come on and show 129 00:06:31,400 --> 00:06:35,839 Speaker 4: some outrage. It can't be all Democrats predictably saying the 130 00:06:35,880 --> 00:06:38,840 Speaker 4: guys should go. And I don't see the wake, and 131 00:06:38,960 --> 00:06:41,200 Speaker 4: I don't see the wake over the water coming over 132 00:06:41,240 --> 00:06:44,359 Speaker 4: the ship's side. I see it maybe pounding against it, 133 00:06:44,440 --> 00:06:46,640 Speaker 4: but still rocking, but not capsizing. 134 00:06:46,760 --> 00:06:50,280 Speaker 2: Just a quick note where I started here, You were 135 00:06:50,360 --> 00:06:54,279 Speaker 2: excised essentially from the Pentagon by not signing. 136 00:06:54,400 --> 00:06:55,599 Speaker 3: Agreeing to sign this. 137 00:06:55,600 --> 00:06:58,360 Speaker 4: Exceled excise means I might have been assessed exiled. 138 00:06:58,400 --> 00:06:59,960 Speaker 3: We'll go with fine excise. 139 00:07:00,440 --> 00:07:02,920 Speaker 2: I think kind of well, listen, you choose the language 140 00:07:02,960 --> 00:07:05,800 Speaker 2: you want. Would this have come out yesterday if you 141 00:07:05,880 --> 00:07:07,560 Speaker 2: guys were all still in the building. I feel like 142 00:07:08,120 --> 00:07:10,440 Speaker 2: reporters like you are getting more news now having left 143 00:07:10,480 --> 00:07:12,720 Speaker 2: the Pentagon than you might have been getting inside the Pentagon. 144 00:07:12,800 --> 00:07:14,400 Speaker 4: No, No, this definitely would have come out had we 145 00:07:14,480 --> 00:07:17,000 Speaker 4: been inside. It would have been more contentious because we 146 00:07:17,040 --> 00:07:19,120 Speaker 4: would have gone into their face and say what about this? 147 00:07:19,480 --> 00:07:21,720 Speaker 3: What about? They might have come back more. Do you 148 00:07:21,760 --> 00:07:24,080 Speaker 3: think you're getting more scoops than you were before this happened. 149 00:07:25,560 --> 00:07:30,160 Speaker 4: I think the scoops are I'm getting about the same. 150 00:07:30,320 --> 00:07:33,960 Speaker 4: Interesting we're not getting those access in an emergency. If 151 00:07:33,960 --> 00:07:36,280 Speaker 4: the United States struck ven as a whale at tonight 152 00:07:36,320 --> 00:07:37,240 Speaker 4: or tomorrow, we wouldn't be. 153 00:07:37,200 --> 00:07:38,480 Speaker 3: Able to run any get stuff. 154 00:07:38,640 --> 00:07:41,240 Speaker 4: I think you're grabbed, and we'd be dependent on emails 155 00:07:41,680 --> 00:07:44,560 Speaker 4: and emails and causes which wouldn't be answered, and it 156 00:07:44,600 --> 00:07:48,920 Speaker 4: we'd be all depending on Twitter and they're babble from 157 00:07:48,960 --> 00:07:49,680 Speaker 4: other places. 158 00:07:49,720 --> 00:07:51,520 Speaker 2: People love it when you come on the program because 159 00:07:51,560 --> 00:07:54,080 Speaker 2: you're authentic, and I appreciate your bringing this reporting to us. 160 00:07:54,120 --> 00:07:57,320 Speaker 2: As always Tony Capassio Bloomberg Pentagon reporter with us in 161 00:07:57,360 --> 00:07:59,640 Speaker 2: the flesh here in the studio. We're lucky he's in 162 00:07:59,640 --> 00:08:02,440 Speaker 2: the bureau more often now. That was the decision across 163 00:08:02,520 --> 00:08:05,680 Speaker 2: the river. As we add the voice of Evelyn Farcas 164 00:08:06,320 --> 00:08:09,040 Speaker 2: with more today on the testimony and the idea of 165 00:08:09,080 --> 00:08:13,160 Speaker 2: the legality surrounding this second strike on the same boat 166 00:08:13,200 --> 00:08:16,720 Speaker 2: with survivors in the water. There's been some illuminating reporting 167 00:08:16,760 --> 00:08:19,880 Speaker 2: by The New York Times into this conditions that had 168 00:08:19,880 --> 00:08:23,679 Speaker 2: been set before this scenario by the Secretary of Defense 169 00:08:23,720 --> 00:08:26,720 Speaker 2: on how to handle survivors and whether, in fact they 170 00:08:26,760 --> 00:08:30,400 Speaker 2: continued to present a threat. President Trump talked about this 171 00:08:31,040 --> 00:08:32,599 Speaker 2: just yesterday. As a matter of fact, he was in 172 00:08:32,640 --> 00:08:34,199 Speaker 2: the Oval office when it came up. Listen to what 173 00:08:34,280 --> 00:08:34,640 Speaker 2: he said. 174 00:08:35,440 --> 00:08:38,320 Speaker 5: Do we know every route, We know every house where 175 00:08:38,320 --> 00:08:41,200 Speaker 5: they manufacture this crap, we know where they put it 176 00:08:41,240 --> 00:08:41,920 Speaker 5: all together. 177 00:08:42,600 --> 00:08:44,360 Speaker 3: And I think you're going to see it very soon 178 00:08:44,440 --> 00:08:45,800 Speaker 3: on land. Also, yeah, please, so. 179 00:08:45,760 --> 00:08:48,320 Speaker 1: To be clear, do you support the decision to kill 180 00:08:48,360 --> 00:08:49,880 Speaker 1: survivors after the. 181 00:08:50,040 --> 00:08:52,600 Speaker 5: No I support the decision to knock out the boats 182 00:08:52,679 --> 00:08:57,359 Speaker 5: and whoever's piloting those boats. Most of them are gone, 183 00:08:57,600 --> 00:09:00,839 Speaker 5: but whoever piloting those boats, they guilty if trying to 184 00:09:00,920 --> 00:09:02,080 Speaker 5: kill people at Arkotchi. 185 00:09:03,440 --> 00:09:06,600 Speaker 2: Evelyn Farkas is executive director at the McCain Institute at 186 00:09:06,600 --> 00:09:09,320 Speaker 2: Arizona State University and has been in the building. She's 187 00:09:09,360 --> 00:09:13,679 Speaker 2: former Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense for Russia Ukraine. Your Asia, Evelyn, 188 00:09:13,720 --> 00:09:16,480 Speaker 2: It's great to see you back on Bloomberg TV and radio. 189 00:09:17,600 --> 00:09:19,480 Speaker 2: I don't want to turn you into a lawyer here, 190 00:09:19,600 --> 00:09:23,120 Speaker 2: but there are things like the Geneva Convention, international law 191 00:09:23,160 --> 00:09:26,320 Speaker 2: and training that troops go through, and certainly top brass 192 00:09:26,360 --> 00:09:28,880 Speaker 2: go through. When you talked about the general staff and 193 00:09:28,920 --> 00:09:32,160 Speaker 2: dealing with scenarios like this, what are these senators hearing 194 00:09:32,200 --> 00:09:36,360 Speaker 2: today from the admiral who ordered the strike and from 195 00:09:36,360 --> 00:09:38,800 Speaker 2: the chairman of the Joint Chiefs, who both say they 196 00:09:38,840 --> 00:09:39,840 Speaker 2: acted legally. 197 00:09:41,400 --> 00:09:43,760 Speaker 6: Well, Joe, thanks again for having me back on again. 198 00:09:43,800 --> 00:09:46,400 Speaker 6: And I'm only sorry I can't be on with Tony Capaccio, 199 00:09:46,440 --> 00:09:48,120 Speaker 6: who is one of my favorite journalists. 200 00:09:48,520 --> 00:09:49,800 Speaker 3: I'm going back kids. 201 00:09:51,120 --> 00:09:55,800 Speaker 6: So look, unfortunately, we in the public don't yet know 202 00:09:55,920 --> 00:09:59,160 Speaker 6: exactly what transpired. I do think eventually we'll see the 203 00:09:59,240 --> 00:10:02,760 Speaker 6: videos and we'll get the full story. But I think 204 00:10:02,760 --> 00:10:05,240 Speaker 6: we have to step back one minute and understand that 205 00:10:05,360 --> 00:10:09,920 Speaker 6: these operations in and of themselves are likely illegal. The 206 00:10:10,720 --> 00:10:13,880 Speaker 6: fact that we are conducting these operations on the high seas, 207 00:10:14,480 --> 00:10:17,480 Speaker 6: the fact that we're calling them war, doesn't make it war. 208 00:10:17,679 --> 00:10:22,160 Speaker 6: These are police actions that are resulting in the killing 209 00:10:22,400 --> 00:10:26,040 Speaker 6: of people we don't even know, targets who we have 210 00:10:26,120 --> 00:10:29,719 Speaker 6: been told are drug smugglers working for kind of a 211 00:10:29,800 --> 00:10:34,800 Speaker 6: drug terrorist organization. So this is all new legal waters 212 00:10:35,160 --> 00:10:39,560 Speaker 6: to use a pun intended that we are being asked 213 00:10:39,600 --> 00:10:43,960 Speaker 6: to explore, and I would like to hear from lawyers. Frankly, 214 00:10:44,000 --> 00:10:45,719 Speaker 6: I don't want to hear just from the admiral. I 215 00:10:45,800 --> 00:10:49,360 Speaker 6: want to hear from seasoned you know, judge advocate generals, 216 00:10:49,400 --> 00:10:52,680 Speaker 6: people who understand the military law. And certainly when it 217 00:10:52,720 --> 00:10:55,520 Speaker 6: comes to the issue of people who are survivors who 218 00:10:55,520 --> 00:10:58,240 Speaker 6: are not piloting the boats Joe, who are in the 219 00:10:58,280 --> 00:11:02,199 Speaker 6: water clinging to them for their lives, those people are 220 00:11:02,320 --> 00:11:06,600 Speaker 6: survivors and they should be given safe passage. So we 221 00:11:06,720 --> 00:11:09,679 Speaker 6: know that if those were Americans in a war context 222 00:11:09,720 --> 00:11:13,000 Speaker 6: or in a police context, that we would expect the 223 00:11:13,040 --> 00:11:16,160 Speaker 6: same from any other actor who comes across them. 224 00:11:16,760 --> 00:11:19,839 Speaker 2: We have a literal split screen unfolding live right now 225 00:11:19,880 --> 00:11:23,680 Speaker 2: in Washington, Evelyn, as President Trump has begun speaking at 226 00:11:23,679 --> 00:11:26,560 Speaker 2: the Donald J. Trump Institute of Peace as it was 227 00:11:26,600 --> 00:11:29,760 Speaker 2: renamed just twenty four hours ago. He's there with the 228 00:11:29,800 --> 00:11:33,600 Speaker 2: presidents of Rwanda and the Congo to talk about their 229 00:11:33,760 --> 00:11:38,120 Speaker 2: arriving at peace. If you're with us on Bloomberg Radio, 230 00:11:38,160 --> 00:11:41,880 Speaker 2: the backdrop behind the President has a big lettering that 231 00:11:41,960 --> 00:11:43,640 Speaker 2: reads delivering peace. 232 00:11:44,280 --> 00:11:46,040 Speaker 3: So with that in mind, Evelyn. 233 00:11:46,080 --> 00:11:48,439 Speaker 2: Reporting by The New York Times today shows that Pete 234 00:11:48,440 --> 00:11:50,800 Speaker 2: Hegseth approved contingency plans. 235 00:11:50,480 --> 00:11:52,040 Speaker 3: For this very scenario. 236 00:11:52,120 --> 00:11:55,440 Speaker 2: The military would in fact attempt to rescue survivors if 237 00:11:55,480 --> 00:11:58,880 Speaker 2: they appeared to be helpless, shipwrecked, or out of what 238 00:11:58,920 --> 00:12:02,120 Speaker 2: they considered the fight, but it would try to kill 239 00:12:02,120 --> 00:12:03,920 Speaker 2: them again if they took what the US deemed to 240 00:12:03,920 --> 00:12:07,800 Speaker 2: be a hostile action, like communicating with suspected cartel members. 241 00:12:08,080 --> 00:12:11,560 Speaker 2: After the smoke cleared from the September strike, there were two, 242 00:12:11,600 --> 00:12:14,880 Speaker 2: as you mentioned, survivors clinging to wreckage. One of them 243 00:12:15,000 --> 00:12:19,280 Speaker 2: radioed for help. Is radioing for help a hostile act? 244 00:12:20,440 --> 00:12:21,200 Speaker 3: No? 245 00:12:21,200 --> 00:12:23,680 Speaker 6: No, we know that from our own service members who 246 00:12:23,720 --> 00:12:27,760 Speaker 6: explained to us that they have survivor survival kits, and 247 00:12:27,800 --> 00:12:31,800 Speaker 6: the survival kits include radios, radios to call for help. 248 00:12:32,360 --> 00:12:35,640 Speaker 6: That is not an active war, that is an active 249 00:12:35,679 --> 00:12:39,319 Speaker 6: survivor so survival, if you will, that is a civilian 250 00:12:39,320 --> 00:12:42,840 Speaker 6: act if nothing else. So those individuals cannot be killed 251 00:12:42,840 --> 00:12:44,720 Speaker 6: for radioing for help. 252 00:12:46,400 --> 00:12:49,920 Speaker 2: It's really interesting because Admiral Bradley and his legal advisor, 253 00:12:49,960 --> 00:12:54,000 Speaker 2: according to The Times, concluded that they were attempting to 254 00:12:54,120 --> 00:12:59,280 Speaker 2: continue their drug run, and they're telling senators today that 255 00:12:59,400 --> 00:13:03,959 Speaker 2: made the already damaged vessel illegitimate target. Evelyn What a 256 00:13:04,040 --> 00:13:05,280 Speaker 2: senator say in response? 257 00:13:06,720 --> 00:13:09,600 Speaker 6: Yeah, I mean, I would doubt that that will hold 258 00:13:09,679 --> 00:13:12,040 Speaker 6: up in any kind of court of law. And frankly, 259 00:13:12,400 --> 00:13:15,400 Speaker 6: I do think that these individuals will be court martialed 260 00:13:15,440 --> 00:13:18,480 Speaker 6: at some point or brought before a military court of justice. 261 00:13:18,679 --> 00:13:21,319 Speaker 6: It's not naw and at the end of President Trump's 262 00:13:21,400 --> 00:13:25,040 Speaker 6: term or some other point in time when Congress can 263 00:13:25,080 --> 00:13:28,280 Speaker 6: step in more assertively. The reality is we need to 264 00:13:28,320 --> 00:13:32,200 Speaker 6: make sure that we abide by international law the United States. 265 00:13:32,240 --> 00:13:34,600 Speaker 7: That is because we have service. 266 00:13:34,320 --> 00:13:36,640 Speaker 6: Members who are working all over the world every day 267 00:13:36,760 --> 00:13:40,040 Speaker 6: during peace and obviously during war, and we want them 268 00:13:40,080 --> 00:13:43,520 Speaker 6: to also be given fair treatment and given the protection 269 00:13:43,679 --> 00:13:46,079 Speaker 6: that the Geneva Conventions gives them. 270 00:13:46,760 --> 00:13:49,719 Speaker 2: Huh, you believe Admiral Bradley will be court martialed or 271 00:13:49,760 --> 00:13:50,400 Speaker 2: other z evelyin. 272 00:13:52,240 --> 00:13:53,040 Speaker 7: Well, I don't know. 273 00:13:53,160 --> 00:13:57,240 Speaker 6: Obviously, we have to look and see what the how 274 00:13:57,280 --> 00:14:02,280 Speaker 6: the investigation unfolds. But it does appear. I guess I 275 00:14:02,280 --> 00:14:05,120 Speaker 6: shouldn't go so far forward, lean so far forward to 276 00:14:05,160 --> 00:14:08,560 Speaker 6: say that he definitely will be but there must be 277 00:14:08,600 --> 00:14:10,839 Speaker 6: more investigation. Let's just leave it at that, and then 278 00:14:11,600 --> 00:14:14,600 Speaker 6: someone might have to be held accountable. But there's also 279 00:14:14,679 --> 00:14:18,520 Speaker 6: an overriding question, as I mentioned Joe, about the legality 280 00:14:19,040 --> 00:14:20,520 Speaker 6: under international law. 281 00:14:20,440 --> 00:14:21,840 Speaker 8: Of these operations. 282 00:14:22,440 --> 00:14:24,600 Speaker 6: Deeming them war does not make them war. 283 00:14:26,000 --> 00:14:30,280 Speaker 2: To begin with, reporting in the Wall Street Journal about 284 00:14:30,280 --> 00:14:33,680 Speaker 2: a different Admiral, Alvin Halsey, who was the head of 285 00:14:33,760 --> 00:14:36,600 Speaker 2: southcom and until now we believe that he had stepped 286 00:14:36,640 --> 00:14:39,680 Speaker 2: down from his position in some sort of protest over 287 00:14:39,720 --> 00:14:42,160 Speaker 2: these operations eviln The journal is reporting that he was 288 00:14:42,200 --> 00:14:46,760 Speaker 2: forced out by Pete Hegseth after voicing initial concerns about 289 00:14:46,760 --> 00:14:50,280 Speaker 2: the legality of these operations. Based on your time in 290 00:14:50,320 --> 00:14:53,600 Speaker 2: the Pentagon, how unusual is it to see a commander 291 00:14:53,760 --> 00:14:57,440 Speaker 2: fired from his post or taken off of that post 292 00:14:57,520 --> 00:14:59,600 Speaker 2: during an ongoing military operation. 293 00:15:01,040 --> 00:15:04,480 Speaker 6: Well, it's incredibly rare, Joe, And I will note that 294 00:15:04,520 --> 00:15:06,760 Speaker 6: when I worked on the Senate Armed Services Committee, I 295 00:15:06,800 --> 00:15:09,240 Speaker 6: had oversight for the Southern Command as well as the 296 00:15:09,280 --> 00:15:14,320 Speaker 6: Special Operations Command. So you do not remove your leading 297 00:15:14,800 --> 00:15:18,440 Speaker 6: commander unless there's real cause. And in this case, the 298 00:15:18,480 --> 00:15:22,480 Speaker 6: only thing he did was question the legal assessment. It 299 00:15:22,600 --> 00:15:25,480 Speaker 6: sounds like, I mean, I don't also know the full 300 00:15:25,520 --> 00:15:29,360 Speaker 6: details on this, and to fire someone for questioning, which 301 00:15:29,480 --> 00:15:32,840 Speaker 6: really should be the commander's job. I mean, he should 302 00:15:32,880 --> 00:15:35,760 Speaker 6: be questioning everything to make sure that he's protecting the 303 00:15:35,840 --> 00:15:40,520 Speaker 6: men and women in uniform who are working and conducting 304 00:15:40,680 --> 00:15:41,800 Speaker 6: operations under his. 305 00:15:41,800 --> 00:15:44,840 Speaker 3: Orders as an admiral. 306 00:15:45,160 --> 00:15:48,160 Speaker 2: Can Alvin Halsey speak out about this or just in 307 00:15:48,200 --> 00:15:51,080 Speaker 2: our remaining thirty seconds, Evelyn, will he need to be 308 00:15:51,200 --> 00:15:53,440 Speaker 2: compelled by Congress to speak publicly? 309 00:15:54,800 --> 00:15:56,040 Speaker 3: He likely will. 310 00:15:56,240 --> 00:15:58,640 Speaker 6: Well, that's a good question. He can speak out as 311 00:15:58,640 --> 00:16:01,960 Speaker 6: a civilian, certainly, and the only thing that he can't 312 00:16:01,960 --> 00:16:05,520 Speaker 6: talk about are classified items publicly. But of course he 313 00:16:05,560 --> 00:16:08,880 Speaker 6: can speak to the relevant committees in a classified session 314 00:16:09,000 --> 00:16:09,920 Speaker 6: about all of this. 315 00:16:11,200 --> 00:16:13,680 Speaker 2: Be very curious to hear from him at some point here. Evelyn, 316 00:16:13,720 --> 00:16:15,800 Speaker 2: thank you for walking us through this. It's very helpful. 317 00:16:15,800 --> 00:16:19,520 Speaker 2: Evelyn Farcus speaking from experience in her time at the 318 00:16:19,560 --> 00:16:22,120 Speaker 2: Pentagon and of course in the United States Senate. She's 319 00:16:22,160 --> 00:16:25,960 Speaker 2: executive director of the McCain Institute at Arizona State University. 320 00:16:26,480 --> 00:16:29,280 Speaker 2: We'll assemble our political panel next. Rick Davis and Jane 321 00:16:29,320 --> 00:16:32,840 Speaker 2: Wartel are with us today. I'm Joe Matthew. This is Bloomberg. 322 00:16:33,040 --> 00:16:35,200 Speaker 2: Stay with us on Balance of Power. We'll have much 323 00:16:35,240 --> 00:16:36,440 Speaker 2: more coming up after this. 324 00:16:41,840 --> 00:16:45,320 Speaker 1: You're listening to the Bloomberg Balance of Power podcast. Catch 325 00:16:45,360 --> 00:16:48,360 Speaker 1: us live weekdays at noon and five pm Eastern on 326 00:16:48,520 --> 00:16:51,760 Speaker 1: almal Cochley and Android Auto with the Bloomberg Business App. 327 00:16:51,920 --> 00:16:55,200 Speaker 1: Listen on demand wherever you get your podcasts, or watch 328 00:16:55,280 --> 00:16:56,640 Speaker 1: us live on YouTube. 329 00:16:58,000 --> 00:17:01,800 Speaker 2: With one of the most honest polls in America today, 330 00:17:01,800 --> 00:17:04,399 Speaker 2: you might have heard about a Google trending topics throughout 331 00:17:04,400 --> 00:17:07,520 Speaker 2: with their yearly list. What were we searching about? What 332 00:17:07,600 --> 00:17:10,800 Speaker 2: was important to you? Interesting to see politics creep into 333 00:17:10,800 --> 00:17:13,440 Speaker 2: the list in a number of cases here in some 334 00:17:13,520 --> 00:17:18,440 Speaker 2: cases pretty esoteric, actually, but it is honest about what's 335 00:17:18,480 --> 00:17:22,720 Speaker 2: important to us in America. Charlie Kirk was number one, 336 00:17:22,840 --> 00:17:25,840 Speaker 2: number one on the top ten here the late Charlie 337 00:17:25,920 --> 00:17:29,760 Speaker 2: Kirk spiking searches like no other story that we saw 338 00:17:29,800 --> 00:17:33,560 Speaker 2: this year. It is immediately followed by K pop demon hunters. 339 00:17:35,080 --> 00:17:38,040 Speaker 2: If you want to humble yourself as an American, continue 340 00:17:38,080 --> 00:17:41,240 Speaker 2: reading number three La boo boo. That's how you say it, right, 341 00:17:41,280 --> 00:17:45,399 Speaker 2: those scary looking toys, followed by iPhone seventeen and how 342 00:17:45,400 --> 00:17:50,960 Speaker 2: about this number five, one big beautiful bill. I guess 343 00:17:51,000 --> 00:17:54,320 Speaker 2: that communications effort worked pretty well for the president, followed 344 00:17:54,320 --> 00:18:00,639 Speaker 2: by Zoron Mam Danni Deep seek government shutdown and in 345 00:18:00,760 --> 00:18:04,480 Speaker 2: number ten tariffs. The stories that we talk about every 346 00:18:04,560 --> 00:18:07,880 Speaker 2: day here on balance of power. It's pretty remarkable, as 347 00:18:07,880 --> 00:18:11,480 Speaker 2: we asked today, with evidence of Congress showing up in 348 00:18:11,560 --> 00:18:15,280 Speaker 2: the Google yearly search trends. Here, what is happening in 349 00:18:15,320 --> 00:18:17,959 Speaker 2: the House of Representatives? If you read the tip sheets 350 00:18:17,960 --> 00:18:20,200 Speaker 2: this morning, you think it was Lord of the Flies, 351 00:18:20,560 --> 00:18:26,640 Speaker 2: Elis Stephonic and Chip Roy running around the bonfire calling 352 00:18:26,680 --> 00:18:32,959 Speaker 2: for the name of the Speaker of the House, Mike Johnson. Indeed, 353 00:18:33,000 --> 00:18:35,920 Speaker 2: there are some cross currents that are making life very 354 00:18:35,920 --> 00:18:39,040 Speaker 2: difficult for the Speaker, and in the case of Elise 355 00:18:39,040 --> 00:18:42,520 Speaker 2: Stephonic now taking a victory lap, criticizing the speaker, calling 356 00:18:42,600 --> 00:18:46,560 Speaker 2: him an ineffective leader who is losing control of his conference, 357 00:18:46,600 --> 00:18:50,280 Speaker 2: but she manage to impact legislation in the form of 358 00:18:50,280 --> 00:18:53,800 Speaker 2: the NDAA to her benefit. Listen to what the speaker 359 00:18:53,880 --> 00:18:56,560 Speaker 2: said when asked about his standoff with Stephonic. She's been 360 00:18:56,560 --> 00:18:59,399 Speaker 2: attacking him on social media and on television. He was 361 00:18:59,400 --> 00:19:00,560 Speaker 2: asked about it on Tuesday. 362 00:19:00,600 --> 00:19:05,640 Speaker 9: Listen, all of that is false. I don't exactly know why, 363 00:19:05,760 --> 00:19:08,400 Speaker 9: at least won't just call me. I texted her yesterday. 364 00:19:08,480 --> 00:19:10,880 Speaker 9: I sent my friend elsa text last night and I said, 365 00:19:11,000 --> 00:19:12,840 Speaker 9: can you find out what the issue was and I'll 366 00:19:12,880 --> 00:19:13,560 Speaker 9: help you resolve it. 367 00:19:13,600 --> 00:19:15,000 Speaker 7: I support her provision. 368 00:19:15,520 --> 00:19:16,600 Speaker 9: I mean I would vote for it, and I think 369 00:19:16,600 --> 00:19:19,400 Speaker 9: it's smart, and I'm not sure exactly why it wasn't included, 370 00:19:19,440 --> 00:19:22,439 Speaker 9: So I don't know why she's frustrated with me. I 371 00:19:22,480 --> 00:19:24,520 Speaker 9: literally had nothing to do with it, but I'm happy 372 00:19:24,520 --> 00:19:26,000 Speaker 9: to roll up my sleeves and help her. I want, 373 00:19:26,080 --> 00:19:29,320 Speaker 9: I want, I want everybody to be successful, and we're 374 00:19:29,320 --> 00:19:31,520 Speaker 9: going to try to make the bill best it can be. 375 00:19:33,000 --> 00:19:35,439 Speaker 3: Let's assemble our political panel for their thoughts on this. 376 00:19:36,160 --> 00:19:39,560 Speaker 2: Bloomberg Politics contributor Rick Davis as where this Republican strategist 377 00:19:39,560 --> 00:19:43,040 Speaker 2: partner at Stone Court Capital alongside Democratic strategist Jenny Wartel, 378 00:19:43,359 --> 00:19:44,920 Speaker 2: partner at ARC Initiatives. 379 00:19:45,200 --> 00:19:46,560 Speaker 3: Great to see you both, Jennay. 380 00:19:47,040 --> 00:19:49,359 Speaker 2: What does it tell you when the Speaker of the 381 00:19:49,359 --> 00:19:54,240 Speaker 2: House is talking to his membership, in this case a 382 00:19:54,280 --> 00:19:56,439 Speaker 2: member of his own conference through the media, saying I 383 00:19:56,440 --> 00:19:57,320 Speaker 2: wish she would call me. 384 00:20:00,040 --> 00:20:02,840 Speaker 8: Well, look, of course the GOP is spiraling. They have 385 00:20:02,920 --> 00:20:06,639 Speaker 8: control of the White House, control of Congress both chambers, 386 00:20:06,800 --> 00:20:10,520 Speaker 8: and yet we're in a twenty twenty sixth election cycle 387 00:20:10,960 --> 00:20:13,000 Speaker 8: and the American people are not happy. We're in an 388 00:20:13,040 --> 00:20:18,080 Speaker 8: affordability crisis, healthcare is under attack. So now folks like 389 00:20:18,320 --> 00:20:21,520 Speaker 8: at least Tephanic want to be out front as being 390 00:20:21,880 --> 00:20:27,320 Speaker 8: dissenting or expressing discontent with the direction that Congress is 391 00:20:27,359 --> 00:20:31,040 Speaker 8: taking and their key votes on some of these policies. Now, yes, 392 00:20:31,200 --> 00:20:33,040 Speaker 8: she could have just picked up the phone or sent 393 00:20:33,119 --> 00:20:36,480 Speaker 8: a text and reached out to Speaker Johnson, but instead 394 00:20:36,640 --> 00:20:39,639 Speaker 8: she wanted to be out front as showing that she 395 00:20:40,000 --> 00:20:42,040 Speaker 8: is not a part of the rank and file of 396 00:20:42,119 --> 00:20:45,879 Speaker 8: Republicans who have gone along with the Trump administration's policies 397 00:20:46,080 --> 00:20:49,879 Speaker 8: and the most recent controversial votes that Congress has taken. 398 00:20:50,240 --> 00:20:53,160 Speaker 8: And so you know, she's reading the tea leaves here, 399 00:20:53,240 --> 00:20:57,080 Speaker 8: as are Mini. We're seeing these Google searches really reflecting 400 00:20:57,160 --> 00:21:00,840 Speaker 8: that Americans are tuned into politics and that they haven't 401 00:21:00,880 --> 00:21:04,440 Speaker 8: been googling the one beautiful bill understanding what cares are. 402 00:21:04,840 --> 00:21:05,880 Speaker 3: Folks are dialed in. 403 00:21:06,119 --> 00:21:09,280 Speaker 8: And what we're seeing now is that Republicans are trying 404 00:21:09,320 --> 00:21:13,480 Speaker 8: to figure out ways to show some independence from what 405 00:21:13,640 --> 00:21:16,680 Speaker 8: has been Donald Trump's real stranglehold. 406 00:21:16,040 --> 00:21:16,600 Speaker 3: On the party. 407 00:21:18,040 --> 00:21:22,000 Speaker 2: You know, interesting, it wasn't just this provision in the NDAA. 408 00:21:22,320 --> 00:21:25,639 Speaker 2: Rick stephonic talk to the Wall Street Journal cited matters 409 00:21:25,720 --> 00:21:30,200 Speaker 2: ranging from members criticizing Speaker's decision to keep lawmakers of 410 00:21:30,240 --> 00:21:33,080 Speaker 2: their home districts during the recent government shutdown to week 411 00:21:33,160 --> 00:21:36,159 Speaker 2: showings and special elections, to what she cast as his 412 00:21:36,320 --> 00:21:40,080 Speaker 2: failure to address the expected jump in healthcare costs if 413 00:21:40,080 --> 00:21:42,520 Speaker 2: the party doesn't reach agreement soon with Democrats. And that's 414 00:21:42,560 --> 00:21:44,240 Speaker 2: going to bring us to the jumping off point here 415 00:21:44,280 --> 00:21:47,840 Speaker 2: when it comes to the looming healthcare vote a week 416 00:21:47,880 --> 00:21:51,040 Speaker 2: from today in the Senate, how many members of the 417 00:21:51,080 --> 00:21:54,560 Speaker 2: Republican conference is at least to phonic speaking for Rick, 418 00:21:54,640 --> 00:21:57,840 Speaker 2: because we know Nancy May says she may soon announce 419 00:21:58,359 --> 00:22:01,080 Speaker 2: her decision to follow Marjorie Tayler Green out the door 420 00:22:01,119 --> 00:22:02,399 Speaker 2: in not running for re election. 421 00:22:04,240 --> 00:22:06,840 Speaker 10: Yeah look, I mean, you don't need to look any 422 00:22:06,920 --> 00:22:10,760 Speaker 10: further than last week special election in Tennessee or this 423 00:22:10,760 --> 00:22:16,680 Speaker 10: week's special election in Tennessee where you know you lost basically, 424 00:22:17,240 --> 00:22:20,719 Speaker 10: you know, ten to twelve percent of the Republican vote 425 00:22:21,040 --> 00:22:24,840 Speaker 10: from twenty twenty four to twenty from twenty twenty four 426 00:22:24,880 --> 00:22:25,840 Speaker 10: to twenty twenty five. 427 00:22:25,960 --> 00:22:28,120 Speaker 3: I mean, it's it is a big deal. 428 00:22:28,200 --> 00:22:32,920 Speaker 10: There are fifty House Republicans in districts that Trump won 429 00:22:33,000 --> 00:22:35,800 Speaker 10: by ten to twelve to fifteen percent. 430 00:22:35,920 --> 00:22:38,280 Speaker 3: That now we're waking up saying I could lose. 431 00:22:39,160 --> 00:22:42,159 Speaker 10: And if you lost fifty Republicans in a House, you 432 00:22:42,160 --> 00:22:45,680 Speaker 10: can forget any initiative legislatively for Donald Trump in the 433 00:22:45,760 --> 00:22:49,000 Speaker 10: last two years of his office. So this is this 434 00:22:49,080 --> 00:22:53,399 Speaker 10: is a major political fallout that's occurring both after the 435 00:22:53,480 --> 00:22:56,680 Speaker 10: elections last year and then this year. And it's it's 436 00:22:56,720 --> 00:22:59,480 Speaker 10: got Republicans in a pretty grumpy mood. I mean, and 437 00:22:59,520 --> 00:23:01,640 Speaker 10: talk about at least a bony How about the most 438 00:23:01,680 --> 00:23:04,720 Speaker 10: recent thing, I mean, she got out there beating up 439 00:23:05,720 --> 00:23:09,440 Speaker 10: Mayor elect Mondani before his trip to Washington, and then 440 00:23:09,640 --> 00:23:11,800 Speaker 10: Trump throws her under the bus in a love fest 441 00:23:11,880 --> 00:23:15,119 Speaker 10: with a socialist. I mean, like, she has made every 442 00:23:15,160 --> 00:23:18,199 Speaker 10: bet wrong this month and she's mad about it, and 443 00:23:18,240 --> 00:23:21,040 Speaker 10: she should be mad about it because the party has 444 00:23:21,119 --> 00:23:23,879 Speaker 10: become something different than what she had And Marjorie Taylor 445 00:23:23,920 --> 00:23:26,600 Speaker 10: Green read the same tea leaves and is out And 446 00:23:26,640 --> 00:23:29,280 Speaker 10: as you point out, there are others like Mace who 447 00:23:29,359 --> 00:23:31,480 Speaker 10: are running for governor and have other things to do, 448 00:23:31,800 --> 00:23:34,439 Speaker 10: and maybe I don't want to spend my time getting 449 00:23:34,440 --> 00:23:36,440 Speaker 10: wasted in Washington for the next year. 450 00:23:36,920 --> 00:23:38,440 Speaker 3: Wow boy, oh boy. 451 00:23:38,880 --> 00:23:41,880 Speaker 2: Well, you know, Rick reminds Ustefanic is running for governor here, Janaana, 452 00:23:42,000 --> 00:23:44,439 Speaker 2: so we do need to look at her remarks and 453 00:23:44,520 --> 00:23:47,359 Speaker 2: her posture here through that prism with the campaign. But 454 00:23:47,400 --> 00:23:49,360 Speaker 2: she went on to say to the journal, whereas Kevin 455 00:23:49,440 --> 00:23:53,280 Speaker 2: McCarthy was a political animal, Mike Johnson is a political novice, 456 00:23:53,800 --> 00:23:56,879 Speaker 2: and boy does it show. With House Republicans underperforming for 457 00:23:56,920 --> 00:24:00,320 Speaker 2: the first time in the Trump era, I'm confused. I 458 00:24:00,359 --> 00:24:03,480 Speaker 2: thought Mike Johnson was the golden boy, the only guy 459 00:24:03,920 --> 00:24:06,800 Speaker 2: who got to deliver at the end for Donald Trump. 460 00:24:07,000 --> 00:24:11,240 Speaker 2: Kevin McCarthy was fired for doing things that Mike Johnson 461 00:24:11,280 --> 00:24:12,200 Speaker 2: managed to pull off. 462 00:24:12,200 --> 00:24:13,600 Speaker 3: How has this changed so quickly? 463 00:24:15,280 --> 00:24:17,919 Speaker 8: Well, you said the two magic words, Donald Trump. And 464 00:24:17,960 --> 00:24:20,000 Speaker 8: one of the reasons why Mike Johnson has been so 465 00:24:20,119 --> 00:24:24,639 Speaker 8: successful is because Donald Trump under threat of primary for 466 00:24:24,760 --> 00:24:29,399 Speaker 8: any lawmaker congressman who steps out of line, has threatened 467 00:24:29,440 --> 00:24:32,640 Speaker 8: to primary them. So for the first what nine ten 468 00:24:32,720 --> 00:24:35,600 Speaker 8: months of the administration, we saw that no one was 469 00:24:35,600 --> 00:24:38,840 Speaker 8: stepping out of line. They were voting on unpopular legislation, 470 00:24:38,880 --> 00:24:42,040 Speaker 8: they were voting against the interests of constituents in their districts. 471 00:24:42,240 --> 00:24:44,800 Speaker 8: And now those chickens have come home to roosts because 472 00:24:44,800 --> 00:24:47,399 Speaker 8: we're in the twenty twenty sixth election cycle. So I 473 00:24:47,440 --> 00:24:50,840 Speaker 8: think that Mike Johnson's effectiveness has really been tied more 474 00:24:50,880 --> 00:24:54,200 Speaker 8: directly to how much that folks have fallen in line 475 00:24:54,240 --> 00:24:57,879 Speaker 8: with Donald Trump rather than his own political maneuvering and 476 00:24:57,920 --> 00:25:01,640 Speaker 8: how he's been able to bring folks together. And now, surprisingly, 477 00:25:02,240 --> 00:25:04,719 Speaker 8: given that we're in the twenty twenty sixth election cycle, 478 00:25:04,960 --> 00:25:07,680 Speaker 8: we see that folks are starting to realize that they're 479 00:25:07,680 --> 00:25:11,159 Speaker 8: in these vulnerable districts. They as we mentioned, saw the 480 00:25:11,200 --> 00:25:14,560 Speaker 8: election results from a few tuesdays ago and said, Wow, 481 00:25:14,760 --> 00:25:17,719 Speaker 8: a lot of what we are we've been voting on, 482 00:25:17,760 --> 00:25:20,520 Speaker 8: and what we've been loyal to Donald Trump about has 483 00:25:21,160 --> 00:25:25,520 Speaker 8: created this affordability crisis for our constituents. They're not happy 484 00:25:25,680 --> 00:25:28,520 Speaker 8: about healthcare, They're not happy about anything right now, and 485 00:25:28,600 --> 00:25:32,240 Speaker 8: so we've got to find ways to show some independence. 486 00:25:32,840 --> 00:25:36,000 Speaker 8: So I think Mike Johnson's real effectiveness has really more 487 00:25:36,040 --> 00:25:39,000 Speaker 8: so been tied to how strong has the Republican brand 488 00:25:39,040 --> 00:25:42,640 Speaker 8: been under Trump for the first few months of this administration. 489 00:25:43,880 --> 00:25:45,960 Speaker 2: Interesting, you know, so a week from today, as I 490 00:25:46,000 --> 00:25:48,240 Speaker 2: mentioned that the healthcare vote is supposed to take place 491 00:25:48,280 --> 00:25:50,480 Speaker 2: in the Senate, that's what John Thune promised, and we 492 00:25:50,520 --> 00:25:53,120 Speaker 2: are seeing the gears turn a little bit today. Rick, 493 00:25:53,200 --> 00:25:56,080 Speaker 2: there was a meeting yesterday that included Senator Bill Cassidy 494 00:25:56,680 --> 00:26:00,359 Speaker 2: representing his plan. On the Senate side, Representatives Josh Godmer 495 00:26:00,400 --> 00:26:02,879 Speaker 2: and Jen Kiggins D and R were in that meeting 496 00:26:02,920 --> 00:26:06,359 Speaker 2: as well. They didn't come to a particular agreement, but 497 00:26:06,400 --> 00:26:10,080 Speaker 2: they're talking. And today the aforementioned Gotteimer and Higgins are 498 00:26:10,080 --> 00:26:13,800 Speaker 2: introducing a framework their own bipartisan legislation here to reduce 499 00:26:13,840 --> 00:26:16,520 Speaker 2: health premiums. Is this going to be another case where 500 00:26:16,560 --> 00:26:19,280 Speaker 2: Mike Johnson gets a vote, something passes in a squeaker 501 00:26:19,280 --> 00:26:20,760 Speaker 2: and he's the made man once again. 502 00:26:22,560 --> 00:26:27,880 Speaker 10: Well, he hopes so, because right now Republicans are outside 503 00:26:27,880 --> 00:26:33,760 Speaker 10: of affordability desperate to do something positive around healthcare. It's 504 00:26:33,800 --> 00:26:38,400 Speaker 10: pretty clear that we lost the narrative debate around the 505 00:26:38,480 --> 00:26:42,359 Speaker 10: shutdown over healthcare. Regardless of how you feel about the 506 00:26:42,359 --> 00:26:47,359 Speaker 10: shutdown writ large, we got on totally the defensive Republicans 507 00:26:47,359 --> 00:26:50,560 Speaker 10: did on healthcare, and they're desperate to get back into 508 00:26:50,600 --> 00:26:52,520 Speaker 10: the game. And so my guess is you have a 509 00:26:52,640 --> 00:26:55,200 Speaker 10: very high chance that something comes out of the House 510 00:26:55,240 --> 00:26:58,679 Speaker 10: that the Speaker will try to take a victory lap on, 511 00:26:58,800 --> 00:27:04,119 Speaker 10: even though you know his strategy around the shutdown was 512 00:27:04,119 --> 00:27:07,160 Speaker 10: what put us in this place to begin with. Memories 513 00:27:07,160 --> 00:27:09,439 Speaker 10: are not that short in the House of Representatives, and 514 00:27:09,480 --> 00:27:12,240 Speaker 10: as at least Aphonics said, if an election were held 515 00:27:12,280 --> 00:27:16,720 Speaker 10: today for a speaker, no way would this guy get elected. So, uh, 516 00:27:16,840 --> 00:27:18,919 Speaker 10: you know, you've got a pretty good mess in the 517 00:27:19,000 --> 00:27:22,239 Speaker 10: leadership in the House of Representatives, and you kind of 518 00:27:22,280 --> 00:27:25,040 Speaker 10: hope that they can eke something out on healthcare so 519 00:27:25,080 --> 00:27:26,880 Speaker 10: that we can get through this year in a better 520 00:27:26,920 --> 00:27:31,600 Speaker 10: position going into the election cycle than we are at now. 521 00:27:32,520 --> 00:27:36,280 Speaker 2: Boy, you got our wonder who could get elected? Great conversation, 522 00:27:36,680 --> 00:27:38,480 Speaker 2: Rick and Jenay, thank you so much. Great panel today. 523 00:27:38,520 --> 00:27:41,800 Speaker 2: Rick Davis, Bloomberg Politics contributor, Stone Court Capital and Jenee 524 00:27:41,800 --> 00:27:44,840 Speaker 2: Wartel Arc Initiatives, fascinating insights. 525 00:27:45,160 --> 00:27:46,560 Speaker 3: We're going to go to the source on this. 526 00:27:46,680 --> 00:27:48,320 Speaker 2: You're not going to want to leave because coming up 527 00:27:48,359 --> 00:27:50,800 Speaker 2: we'll speak with a member of the Republican Conference in 528 00:27:50,840 --> 00:27:55,479 Speaker 2: the House, Marlon Stutzman, Republican from Indiana's third District, with 529 00:27:55,560 --> 00:27:57,760 Speaker 2: us on a range of issues including what we've already 530 00:27:57,840 --> 00:28:02,440 Speaker 2: talked about here, remembering as well on the Financial Services Committee, 531 00:28:02,600 --> 00:28:06,480 Speaker 2: as we consider the next FED share being announced and 532 00:28:06,560 --> 00:28:07,240 Speaker 2: how easy it. 533 00:28:07,240 --> 00:28:08,920 Speaker 3: Might be for him to be confirmed. 534 00:28:09,000 --> 00:28:11,680 Speaker 2: This is Bloomberg. Stay with us on Balance of Power. 535 00:28:11,720 --> 00:28:13,480 Speaker 2: We'll have much more coming up after this. 536 00:28:17,800 --> 00:28:21,280 Speaker 1: You're listening to the Bloomberg Balance of Power Podcast. Catch 537 00:28:21,320 --> 00:28:24,800 Speaker 1: us live weekdays at noon and five pm Eastern on Apple, 538 00:28:24,840 --> 00:28:27,879 Speaker 1: Cocklay and Android Auto with the Bloomberg Business app. You 539 00:28:27,880 --> 00:28:31,359 Speaker 1: can also listen live on Amazon Alexa from our flagship 540 00:28:31,440 --> 00:28:35,320 Speaker 1: New York station, Just say Alexa, play Bloomberg eleven thirty 541 00:28:36,640 --> 00:28:36,960 Speaker 1: as we. 542 00:28:36,920 --> 00:28:39,160 Speaker 3: Talk policy and politics here in Washington. 543 00:28:39,200 --> 00:28:41,200 Speaker 2: I'm Joe Matthew in the nation's capital, and thank you 544 00:28:41,240 --> 00:28:43,959 Speaker 2: for spending part of your Thursday with us, with our 545 00:28:44,000 --> 00:28:47,920 Speaker 2: eyes on Capitol Hill and a looming vote one week 546 00:28:48,120 --> 00:28:51,160 Speaker 2: from today in the United States Senate. At least John 547 00:28:51,200 --> 00:28:55,040 Speaker 2: Thunne promised that vote. The majority leader to Democrats as 548 00:28:55,240 --> 00:28:58,920 Speaker 2: part of the conversation to reopen the government. That vote 549 00:28:59,560 --> 00:29:04,920 Speaker 2: on health care. Whether it extends the current COVID COVID era, 550 00:29:05,040 --> 00:29:09,880 Speaker 2: I should say, subsidies from Obamacare, or is some other 551 00:29:10,200 --> 00:29:13,800 Speaker 2: type of reform or an entirely different plan to replace it. 552 00:29:14,440 --> 00:29:16,440 Speaker 2: No one has come to terms on this, but an 553 00:29:16,440 --> 00:29:19,960 Speaker 2: important development today as a Democrat and a Republican in 554 00:29:20,000 --> 00:29:24,480 Speaker 2: the House of Representatives drop a bipartisan framework to reduce 555 00:29:24,520 --> 00:29:28,800 Speaker 2: health premiums. That's Representatives Josh Gotttheimer and Jen Kiggins, the 556 00:29:28,880 --> 00:29:33,000 Speaker 2: D and R, respectively, providing potentially some hope to get 557 00:29:33,000 --> 00:29:35,520 Speaker 2: around this matter and then move on to or at 558 00:29:35,560 --> 00:29:38,400 Speaker 2: least continue the work to fund the government past the 559 00:29:38,520 --> 00:29:39,440 Speaker 2: end of January. 560 00:29:39,800 --> 00:29:40,600 Speaker 3: Time is tight. 561 00:29:41,240 --> 00:29:43,360 Speaker 2: If we're following along on our home game here, I 562 00:29:43,400 --> 00:29:47,720 Speaker 2: think we're below ten legislative days remaining to get all 563 00:29:47,720 --> 00:29:49,720 Speaker 2: of this done, and it's where we start our conversation 564 00:29:49,840 --> 00:29:54,040 Speaker 2: with Congressman Marlin Stutzman, the Republican from Indiana's third District, 565 00:29:54,200 --> 00:29:55,720 Speaker 2: is with us and it's great to have you back 566 00:29:55,760 --> 00:29:58,400 Speaker 2: on the program. Congressman, you've got a couple of important 567 00:29:58,400 --> 00:30:01,760 Speaker 2: committee assignments for our audience here on Bloomberg as a 568 00:30:01,800 --> 00:30:04,640 Speaker 2: member of Financial Services and as a member of the 569 00:30:04,680 --> 00:30:05,520 Speaker 2: Budget Committee. 570 00:30:05,560 --> 00:30:07,800 Speaker 3: Do you see all the chaos. 571 00:30:07,360 --> 00:30:11,000 Speaker 2: Surrounding healthcare finally being solved in the next week. 572 00:30:12,280 --> 00:30:14,720 Speaker 11: Great to be with you, Joe. I don't think we'll 573 00:30:14,720 --> 00:30:16,400 Speaker 11: get all of the problems solved. I think, you know, 574 00:30:16,440 --> 00:30:19,400 Speaker 11: what we all are realizing is that the Affordable Care 575 00:30:19,440 --> 00:30:23,760 Speaker 11: Act isn't as affordable as was promised, and I think 576 00:30:23,760 --> 00:30:26,160 Speaker 11: that that there's a lot of frustration. I was just 577 00:30:26,200 --> 00:30:29,080 Speaker 11: talking to my brother, who runs family businesses for us 578 00:30:29,120 --> 00:30:30,920 Speaker 11: back home, and he was talking about the cost of 579 00:30:30,960 --> 00:30:34,320 Speaker 11: healthcare going up for smaller, you know. 580 00:30:34,320 --> 00:30:35,440 Speaker 7: To mid size companies. 581 00:30:35,480 --> 00:30:38,640 Speaker 11: And that's one of the challenges that we've all been 582 00:30:38,720 --> 00:30:41,000 Speaker 11: facing in this country is the fact that the you know, 583 00:30:41,120 --> 00:30:44,640 Speaker 11: inflation has definitely affected the economy and the ability to 584 00:30:45,400 --> 00:30:48,800 Speaker 11: make those raises for employees. My hope is is that 585 00:30:48,840 --> 00:30:52,120 Speaker 11: we've set the table with the big, beautiful bill, keeping 586 00:30:52,160 --> 00:30:55,560 Speaker 11: taxes where they're at, and making sure that the regulatory 587 00:30:55,640 --> 00:31:00,160 Speaker 11: environment is much more affordable or much more you know, 588 00:31:00,240 --> 00:31:02,760 Speaker 11: in check, so that way businesses don't have to those 589 00:31:02,800 --> 00:31:06,320 Speaker 11: high cost of accountants and attorneys and consultants to be 590 00:31:06,400 --> 00:31:09,880 Speaker 11: able to make a profit. So I don't think it's 591 00:31:09,920 --> 00:31:12,800 Speaker 11: going to happen all in this next week. I always, 592 00:31:12,800 --> 00:31:15,240 Speaker 11: of course commend those who want to try to find 593 00:31:15,280 --> 00:31:17,360 Speaker 11: a solution. I'm always willing to look at anything. But 594 00:31:17,400 --> 00:31:19,160 Speaker 11: at the end of the day, I think what's really 595 00:31:19,240 --> 00:31:20,880 Speaker 11: going to be what's going to matter here is that 596 00:31:21,360 --> 00:31:26,560 Speaker 11: these subsidies should go directly to the American consumer rather 597 00:31:26,880 --> 00:31:29,000 Speaker 11: than to the insurance companies. I think the insurance companies 598 00:31:29,000 --> 00:31:31,560 Speaker 11: have really lost the faith and trust of the American 599 00:31:31,600 --> 00:31:33,400 Speaker 11: people and don't feel like they're getting their best bang 600 00:31:33,440 --> 00:31:33,920 Speaker 11: for their buck. 601 00:31:35,080 --> 00:31:37,560 Speaker 2: Well, what do you think of this Scotttheimer Kiggins bill 602 00:31:37,600 --> 00:31:39,800 Speaker 2: and what are you hearing about it? It would provide, 603 00:31:39,880 --> 00:31:43,080 Speaker 2: as I understand, a one year extension for these subsidies 604 00:31:43,320 --> 00:31:46,320 Speaker 2: would also add new guardrails when it comes to eligibility, 605 00:31:46,320 --> 00:31:49,680 Speaker 2: cracking down on fraud, and a menu of separate pay 606 00:31:49,800 --> 00:31:53,880 Speaker 2: for options not in the form of subsidies. Is that 607 00:31:53,920 --> 00:31:57,560 Speaker 2: getting closer to something you might support, It's going. 608 00:31:57,480 --> 00:31:59,280 Speaker 11: To be tough for me, Joe, I'll be honest, just 609 00:31:59,320 --> 00:32:01,720 Speaker 11: because I don't have the faith and confidence in the 610 00:32:01,720 --> 00:32:04,640 Speaker 11: insurance companies either. You know, if we send them the money, 611 00:32:04,960 --> 00:32:06,920 Speaker 11: they're going to know add it to their bottom line. 612 00:32:07,160 --> 00:32:10,600 Speaker 11: I would much rather send it to the hsas, send 613 00:32:10,640 --> 00:32:13,160 Speaker 11: the money directly to the consumers, let the consumer make 614 00:32:13,160 --> 00:32:15,400 Speaker 11: the decision on what to do with those funds, because 615 00:32:15,400 --> 00:32:17,400 Speaker 11: I think that's where the American people feel like, you know, 616 00:32:17,480 --> 00:32:19,920 Speaker 11: they're getting jipped. I mean because the you know, the 617 00:32:19,920 --> 00:32:23,880 Speaker 11: money goes through government, the money goes through big corporations, 618 00:32:24,200 --> 00:32:26,160 Speaker 11: and then what gets left to them at the end 619 00:32:26,200 --> 00:32:28,840 Speaker 11: of the day isn't enough to cover the bills. And 620 00:32:28,920 --> 00:32:31,520 Speaker 11: I think that's why, you know, just like the Trump 621 00:32:32,320 --> 00:32:35,400 Speaker 11: the Trump Savings account that has got some attention this week, 622 00:32:36,120 --> 00:32:38,880 Speaker 11: it empowers the American individual. It makes sure that the 623 00:32:38,920 --> 00:32:41,360 Speaker 11: money gets to them and then they can decide how 624 00:32:41,400 --> 00:32:43,640 Speaker 11: those moneies would be used. And going through an HSA 625 00:32:43,760 --> 00:32:46,400 Speaker 11: would give those guardrails to be sure that the funds 626 00:32:46,480 --> 00:32:48,560 Speaker 11: go to actual health care services provided. 627 00:32:48,680 --> 00:32:52,160 Speaker 2: Yeah, well, with so little agreed upon, Congressman, what's your 628 00:32:52,200 --> 00:32:54,200 Speaker 2: gut are you worried about a shutdown in the new year, 629 00:32:54,280 --> 00:32:55,360 Speaker 2: or can this be solved by that. 630 00:32:56,880 --> 00:32:59,720 Speaker 11: I don't think there will be a shutdown again, you know. 631 00:32:59,760 --> 00:33:02,040 Speaker 11: I think the Democrats, you know, they got what they 632 00:33:02,040 --> 00:33:04,960 Speaker 11: were looking for to show that they're showed their base 633 00:33:05,000 --> 00:33:06,200 Speaker 11: that they were fighting for them. 634 00:33:07,200 --> 00:33:07,400 Speaker 7: You know. 635 00:33:07,560 --> 00:33:09,600 Speaker 11: Again, I don't think it comes back down just to 636 00:33:09,800 --> 00:33:14,080 Speaker 11: these subsidies. I think there's more with the Democrat side 637 00:33:14,120 --> 00:33:16,680 Speaker 11: that they're just trying to put a put slow the 638 00:33:16,720 --> 00:33:19,880 Speaker 11: momentum that President Trump had, and it has worked. You know, 639 00:33:19,880 --> 00:33:23,000 Speaker 11: We're not getting things moving as quickly as we'd like 640 00:33:23,080 --> 00:33:25,240 Speaker 11: to in Congress, but we're getting there. 641 00:33:25,320 --> 00:33:26,040 Speaker 7: It's going to happen. 642 00:33:26,280 --> 00:33:28,080 Speaker 11: I think a lot of the hard work was already 643 00:33:28,120 --> 00:33:30,800 Speaker 11: done with a big, beautiful bill, making sure that we're 644 00:33:30,880 --> 00:33:33,360 Speaker 11: you know, companies are ready to set their budgets for 645 00:33:33,400 --> 00:33:36,600 Speaker 11: twenty twenty six, whether it was last month or this month. 646 00:33:37,360 --> 00:33:39,600 Speaker 11: But we've got a lot of work to do. And 647 00:33:39,680 --> 00:33:42,840 Speaker 11: I know that affordability is a big issue, whether it's housing, 648 00:33:43,240 --> 00:33:45,960 Speaker 11: whether it's you know, buying a new car or buying 649 00:33:45,960 --> 00:33:48,680 Speaker 11: a used car. Interest rates are coming down a little bit. 650 00:33:48,760 --> 00:33:51,640 Speaker 11: That's that's helping. I think the outlook is bright but 651 00:33:51,720 --> 00:33:55,040 Speaker 11: we're still going through the leftover, kind of the hangover 652 00:33:55,200 --> 00:33:56,480 Speaker 11: of the Biden administration. 653 00:33:58,240 --> 00:34:00,760 Speaker 3: Well, so talk to us about the Budge process. 654 00:34:01,280 --> 00:34:04,080 Speaker 2: You're actually on the Budget Committee, and there's been talk 655 00:34:04,160 --> 00:34:08,720 Speaker 2: of something revolutionary happening, as the Speaker promised Regular Order Congressman, 656 00:34:08,760 --> 00:34:10,319 Speaker 2: I don't mean to get too cute here. I don't 657 00:34:10,320 --> 00:34:13,480 Speaker 2: think anybody sees twelve separate bills coming together. But we 658 00:34:13,520 --> 00:34:17,520 Speaker 2: could have a couple of minibus bills correct, that would 659 00:34:17,560 --> 00:34:19,800 Speaker 2: help us fund the government past January thirty. 660 00:34:19,840 --> 00:34:21,200 Speaker 3: How close are we to making that happen. 661 00:34:21,920 --> 00:34:25,520 Speaker 11: Yeah, Well, that's always the goal. And I appreciate Speaker 662 00:34:25,600 --> 00:34:29,840 Speaker 11: Johnson's leadership. I mean, he has brought the Republican Conference 663 00:34:29,920 --> 00:34:32,400 Speaker 11: a long way in the House with a small majority, 664 00:34:33,000 --> 00:34:35,759 Speaker 11: he doesn't take too many members to jump off that 665 00:34:36,160 --> 00:34:38,759 Speaker 11: makes it difficult to pass anything. That's one thing that 666 00:34:38,840 --> 00:34:42,160 Speaker 11: Republicans need to do is stick together. We've got a 667 00:34:42,160 --> 00:34:44,600 Speaker 11: great leader at the White House, we've got partners in 668 00:34:44,640 --> 00:34:47,840 Speaker 11: the Senate where we're getting stuff done. It's not easy, 669 00:34:48,280 --> 00:34:51,360 Speaker 11: but at the same time, that should always be the 670 00:34:51,400 --> 00:34:55,280 Speaker 11: goal of getting twelve appropriations bills passed. If it doesn't 671 00:34:55,600 --> 00:34:58,040 Speaker 11: work exactly the way we want it. We've got to 672 00:34:58,080 --> 00:35:00,960 Speaker 11: be nimble and flexible to be able to the best 673 00:35:00,960 --> 00:35:03,160 Speaker 11: packages on the floor that we can. Always is going 674 00:35:03,200 --> 00:35:05,160 Speaker 11: to be some other issues that come up that take attention, 675 00:35:05,680 --> 00:35:07,920 Speaker 11: but I think we're going to get there, and we 676 00:35:08,000 --> 00:35:10,680 Speaker 11: know from what we've passed already that we're going to 677 00:35:10,680 --> 00:35:16,600 Speaker 11: start cutting the expenses that Washington has been doing for 678 00:35:16,640 --> 00:35:19,319 Speaker 11: the last several decades that just seem to be out 679 00:35:19,320 --> 00:35:21,640 Speaker 11: of control, and that's where reforms are going to have 680 00:35:21,719 --> 00:35:24,239 Speaker 11: to be made. But we can do this by empowering 681 00:35:24,320 --> 00:35:27,360 Speaker 11: the American people and not just empowering the big corporations 682 00:35:27,600 --> 00:35:29,560 Speaker 11: that take a lot to their bottom line. 683 00:35:30,480 --> 00:35:33,399 Speaker 2: I know you're referring to Republican unity in the House, 684 00:35:33,400 --> 00:35:35,520 Speaker 2: but there have been some concerns about discord and the 685 00:35:35,560 --> 00:35:39,359 Speaker 2: family Congressman look no further than a least dephonic who 686 00:35:39,400 --> 00:35:42,480 Speaker 2: has been at odds with Speaker Johnson over a number 687 00:35:42,480 --> 00:35:46,279 Speaker 2: of issues beyond the provision and the NDAA that she 688 00:35:46,400 --> 00:35:50,600 Speaker 2: planted a flag on. There are questions about more than that, 689 00:35:50,640 --> 00:35:53,320 Speaker 2: she says, speaking with The Wall Street Journal, citing matters 690 00:35:53,440 --> 00:35:57,279 Speaker 2: ranging from members criticizing Speaker's decision to keep lawmakers like 691 00:35:57,320 --> 00:35:59,920 Speaker 2: yourself home during the shutdown to week showings and special 692 00:36:00,160 --> 00:36:03,640 Speaker 2: elections to what she cast as his failure to address 693 00:36:03,680 --> 00:36:06,440 Speaker 2: and expected jump in healthcare costs, which you and I 694 00:36:06,560 --> 00:36:09,160 Speaker 2: were just talking about. She went on to say Kevin 695 00:36:09,200 --> 00:36:12,640 Speaker 2: McCarthy was a political animal, Mike Johnson is a political novice, 696 00:36:12,960 --> 00:36:15,520 Speaker 2: and BOYD does it show Is this just a member 697 00:36:15,719 --> 00:36:18,960 Speaker 2: running for governor congressman or is there more to it? 698 00:36:18,960 --> 00:36:19,720 Speaker 3: In your conference? 699 00:36:20,680 --> 00:36:23,400 Speaker 11: Well, no, I mean, this is the first I've actually 700 00:36:23,440 --> 00:36:24,840 Speaker 11: heard of this. I know, I know there's been a 701 00:36:24,840 --> 00:36:28,759 Speaker 11: couple of members that have expressed frustration publicly. Marjorie Taylor 702 00:36:28,840 --> 00:36:31,880 Speaker 11: Green is one of them, and of course at least staphonic. 703 00:36:31,960 --> 00:36:34,279 Speaker 11: She was put in a really awkward, difficult spot, you know, 704 00:36:34,360 --> 00:36:35,799 Speaker 11: here she thought she was going to be the UN 705 00:36:35,840 --> 00:36:38,879 Speaker 11: ambassador and those things didn't work out, and now she's 706 00:36:38,920 --> 00:36:41,560 Speaker 11: running for governor. You know, I wish we would always 707 00:36:41,640 --> 00:36:45,440 Speaker 11: keep those conversations inside the family, and you know, especially 708 00:36:45,440 --> 00:36:47,880 Speaker 11: one on one. She should be expressing her frustration with 709 00:36:48,000 --> 00:36:50,879 Speaker 11: the speaker if it's genuinely real. I mean, that's what 710 00:36:50,920 --> 00:36:53,319 Speaker 11: we should all be doing. So, you know, taking them 711 00:36:53,360 --> 00:36:54,880 Speaker 11: public I don't think is the right way, but I 712 00:36:55,040 --> 00:36:56,439 Speaker 11: have a ton of respect for a lease. 713 00:36:56,840 --> 00:36:57,920 Speaker 7: She's a great leader. 714 00:36:58,120 --> 00:37:00,560 Speaker 11: She will be a great governor of New York if 715 00:37:01,160 --> 00:37:03,800 Speaker 11: if that's what she decides she's going to do. Speaker 716 00:37:03,880 --> 00:37:06,560 Speaker 11: Johnson has a very tough job, and I think that 717 00:37:06,840 --> 00:37:09,319 Speaker 11: the fact that you know this, the shutdown did hurt 718 00:37:10,160 --> 00:37:13,280 Speaker 11: the momentum that we had. If that's what Democrats wanted, 719 00:37:13,280 --> 00:37:14,959 Speaker 11: that it probably did help them. 720 00:37:15,280 --> 00:37:17,040 Speaker 7: But we're going to get back on track. We're going 721 00:37:17,120 --> 00:37:17,520 Speaker 7: to make sure. 722 00:37:17,560 --> 00:37:19,520 Speaker 11: You know, the NDAA is as kind of one of 723 00:37:19,560 --> 00:37:22,319 Speaker 11: those must pass bills, and so everybody's jockeying trying to 724 00:37:22,320 --> 00:37:25,200 Speaker 11: get their piece of legislation into the NDAA because they 725 00:37:25,239 --> 00:37:27,240 Speaker 11: know it's going to likely get across the finish line. 726 00:37:27,560 --> 00:37:29,960 Speaker 11: But Speaker Johnson will navigate all of that. I'm sure 727 00:37:29,960 --> 00:37:32,200 Speaker 11: he's already, you know, making the phone calls to at 728 00:37:32,239 --> 00:37:34,000 Speaker 11: least to say, hey, let's get together and talk and 729 00:37:34,040 --> 00:37:36,400 Speaker 11: work this out. We really got to stick together as 730 00:37:36,400 --> 00:37:37,120 Speaker 11: a team. 731 00:37:37,960 --> 00:37:40,840 Speaker 2: Ever, the diplomat in Marlon Stutsman, Congressman, I've got to 732 00:37:40,880 --> 00:37:43,839 Speaker 2: ask you about redistricting. There is an effort in your state, 733 00:37:43,880 --> 00:37:46,480 Speaker 2: a big push and pull at least in the state 734 00:37:46,560 --> 00:37:48,640 Speaker 2: legislature when it comes to Indiana. 735 00:37:48,760 --> 00:37:50,239 Speaker 3: Do you support the effort. 736 00:37:50,680 --> 00:37:52,960 Speaker 11: I do, you know, and it's it's one of those 737 00:37:52,960 --> 00:37:56,560 Speaker 11: things again where these issues come at you and you're like, 738 00:37:56,840 --> 00:37:59,359 Speaker 11: why do we have to do this? You know, why 739 00:37:59,400 --> 00:38:01,719 Speaker 11: are we having to you know, break the precedent. Well, 740 00:38:01,920 --> 00:38:03,920 Speaker 11: the problem is is, you know, we meet all the 741 00:38:03,920 --> 00:38:07,680 Speaker 11: time in legislative bodies because something's changed, you know, precedent changed, 742 00:38:07,719 --> 00:38:10,040 Speaker 11: and so we always are faced with challenges. 743 00:38:10,080 --> 00:38:11,520 Speaker 7: And I think that it's. 744 00:38:11,400 --> 00:38:14,080 Speaker 11: One of those that the Indiana legislature wasn't expecting. But 745 00:38:14,520 --> 00:38:16,239 Speaker 11: a lot of this comes back to the politics that 746 00:38:16,280 --> 00:38:19,080 Speaker 11: I mentioned earlier. The Democrats have been you know, drawing 747 00:38:19,120 --> 00:38:21,840 Speaker 11: their maps in states like California, Illinois. 748 00:38:22,120 --> 00:38:23,720 Speaker 7: Massachusetts is a good example. 749 00:38:23,800 --> 00:38:28,640 Speaker 11: Massachusetts is as Democrat as Indiana is Republican. And you know, 750 00:38:28,640 --> 00:38:31,840 Speaker 11: there's nine districts in Massachusetts. There's nine districts in Indiana. 751 00:38:32,360 --> 00:38:36,600 Speaker 11: Every district in Massachusetts is Democrat. It's favored to the Democrats. 752 00:38:37,200 --> 00:38:37,400 Speaker 4: You know. 753 00:38:37,440 --> 00:38:40,360 Speaker 11: In Indiana, I think the maps were actually very favorable 754 00:38:40,400 --> 00:38:43,600 Speaker 11: to the Democrats because there was one district in Indianapolis 755 00:38:43,600 --> 00:38:46,799 Speaker 11: that it was a true blue Democrat seat, and then 756 00:38:46,840 --> 00:38:50,080 Speaker 11: of course Northwest Indiana was a swing seat kind of 757 00:38:50,320 --> 00:38:52,560 Speaker 11: But we've had a lot of people moving over from Illinois. 758 00:38:52,600 --> 00:38:55,600 Speaker 11: And you know, if we're going to play partisan politics, 759 00:38:55,880 --> 00:38:59,200 Speaker 11: Indiana is a nine zero state and so the Republican 760 00:38:59,239 --> 00:39:02,400 Speaker 11: friends in this legislature there need to realize we're a 761 00:39:02,520 --> 00:39:03,359 Speaker 11: national battle here. 762 00:39:03,400 --> 00:39:04,640 Speaker 7: This isn't just about Indiana. 763 00:39:04,880 --> 00:39:07,040 Speaker 11: It's a national battle where we need to be sure 764 00:39:07,360 --> 00:39:09,920 Speaker 11: that there's equal representation in Washington for Hoosiers. 765 00:39:09,960 --> 00:39:10,240 Speaker 3: Wow. 766 00:39:11,000 --> 00:39:14,319 Speaker 2: Well, a couple of different scenarios that you just outlined there, right. 767 00:39:14,360 --> 00:39:17,520 Speaker 2: And first of all, California was responding to Texas, which 768 00:39:17,520 --> 00:39:19,239 Speaker 2: got the ball rolling on this, and some of those 769 00:39:19,239 --> 00:39:22,360 Speaker 2: other states you mentioned, like Massachusetts were on schedule with 770 00:39:22,400 --> 00:39:22,880 Speaker 2: the census. 771 00:39:22,960 --> 00:39:23,080 Speaker 4: Right. 772 00:39:23,360 --> 00:39:26,200 Speaker 2: The question has been should every state just go for 773 00:39:26,239 --> 00:39:28,239 Speaker 2: it right now and hope for the best when it's done. 774 00:39:28,239 --> 00:39:30,480 Speaker 3: And it looks like that's a yes for Indiana. 775 00:39:30,880 --> 00:39:33,200 Speaker 11: Well it is, but Texas was also forced to do 776 00:39:33,239 --> 00:39:35,600 Speaker 11: it by the court, so it wasn't just they decided 777 00:39:35,640 --> 00:39:38,560 Speaker 11: to do that. That's something that I've checked on several 778 00:39:38,640 --> 00:39:42,520 Speaker 11: times because I always hear that explanation. You know, California, 779 00:39:42,560 --> 00:39:44,520 Speaker 11: they actually put it to a vote to the people, 780 00:39:45,000 --> 00:39:48,160 Speaker 11: and the people overwhelming they voted said hey, we're going 781 00:39:48,239 --> 00:39:50,200 Speaker 11: to let the legislator go ahead. And draw the maps again. 782 00:39:50,239 --> 00:39:52,680 Speaker 11: So I tell my Indiana's colleagues, like, you know what, 783 00:39:52,719 --> 00:39:55,400 Speaker 11: if you put the issue in front of the people 784 00:39:55,440 --> 00:39:58,200 Speaker 11: of Indiana, they would probably look at it the same 785 00:39:58,200 --> 00:39:59,879 Speaker 11: way as Californians. 786 00:40:00,680 --> 00:40:02,200 Speaker 7: But they just have a different process. 787 00:40:02,560 --> 00:40:04,560 Speaker 11: You know, they actually have to take it to a 788 00:40:04,640 --> 00:40:08,000 Speaker 11: vote first with the public. Indiana has a different process. 789 00:40:08,200 --> 00:40:10,279 Speaker 11: We have a super majority. I think it needs to 790 00:40:10,280 --> 00:40:12,120 Speaker 11: be something that needs to get done so that way 791 00:40:12,160 --> 00:40:14,800 Speaker 11: we can continue to push the conservative agenda forward. 792 00:40:15,800 --> 00:40:17,319 Speaker 2: I thought you were going to say that you might 793 00:40:17,360 --> 00:40:19,360 Speaker 2: actually bring this to a vote in Indiana. I know 794 00:40:19,440 --> 00:40:22,279 Speaker 2: Governor Brunn had some concerns about this to begin with, 795 00:40:22,360 --> 00:40:23,560 Speaker 2: but I read what you're. 796 00:40:23,400 --> 00:40:24,040 Speaker 3: Saying right now. 797 00:40:24,080 --> 00:40:25,879 Speaker 2: I have to ask you quickly, while you're with US 798 00:40:26,200 --> 00:40:30,120 Speaker 2: Congressman with your post on the Financial Services Committee, about 799 00:40:30,160 --> 00:40:33,480 Speaker 2: Bloomberg's reporting that Kevin Hassett is leading the charge here 800 00:40:33,480 --> 00:40:35,640 Speaker 2: and at the top of President Trump's list to be 801 00:40:35,680 --> 00:40:36,720 Speaker 2: the next fedch here. 802 00:40:36,840 --> 00:40:38,920 Speaker 3: Is that a name you would support? Oh? 803 00:40:39,120 --> 00:40:39,839 Speaker 7: Would? I hope? 804 00:40:39,880 --> 00:40:39,960 Speaker 4: So? 805 00:40:40,160 --> 00:40:40,840 Speaker 7: I love Kevin. 806 00:40:40,880 --> 00:40:44,160 Speaker 11: He's done a great job for the administration already. You know, 807 00:40:44,200 --> 00:40:47,359 Speaker 11: he's just got a great smile. He's always optimistic. But 808 00:40:47,400 --> 00:40:49,200 Speaker 11: I think he's also the level head that we need 809 00:40:49,239 --> 00:40:52,640 Speaker 11: a steady hand, you know, between Kevin and Scott Assent, 810 00:40:53,200 --> 00:40:57,080 Speaker 11: two great folks at the wheel for the American economy, 811 00:40:57,080 --> 00:40:58,840 Speaker 11: and he's got my vote. 812 00:40:58,840 --> 00:41:01,160 Speaker 7: If there's anybody that is listening. 813 00:41:02,000 --> 00:41:05,480 Speaker 2: Well, Scott Bessett might if this happens, Bloomberg reporting that 814 00:41:05,560 --> 00:41:07,719 Speaker 2: the White House might give him has its job as 815 00:41:07,760 --> 00:41:10,720 Speaker 2: well running the NEEC. That gives I think Scott Bessett 816 00:41:10,760 --> 00:41:12,200 Speaker 2: three hats. Are you comfortable with that? 817 00:41:13,480 --> 00:41:15,759 Speaker 11: Well, he's got a really big one with just the irs, 818 00:41:16,560 --> 00:41:20,879 Speaker 11: I should say so, right, So, you know, Scott is tremendous. 819 00:41:21,440 --> 00:41:24,880 Speaker 11: I always enjoy our meetings with him on the Budget Committee. 820 00:41:25,360 --> 00:41:28,040 Speaker 11: He's very thoughtful. He's got a great team around him. 821 00:41:28,600 --> 00:41:31,759 Speaker 11: He knows how these things work, and I'm sure he'll 822 00:41:31,760 --> 00:41:33,960 Speaker 11: do whatever he can for the President ultimately for the 823 00:41:33,960 --> 00:41:34,640 Speaker 11: American people. 824 00:41:35,680 --> 00:41:37,600 Speaker 2: Great Congressman, come back and talk to us about your 825 00:41:37,640 --> 00:41:38,799 Speaker 2: invest act next time. 826 00:41:38,840 --> 00:41:40,480 Speaker 3: We'd like to keep the conversation rolling. 827 00:41:40,560 --> 00:41:44,279 Speaker 2: Marlin Stutsman, Republican from Indiana's third District, with us live 828 00:41:44,320 --> 00:41:48,440 Speaker 2: from Capitol Hill. 829 00:41:48,440 --> 00:41:50,920 Speaker 3: Thanks for listening to the Balance of Power podcast. 830 00:41:51,520 --> 00:41:54,640 Speaker 2: Make sure to subscribe if you haven't already at Apple, Spotify, 831 00:41:54,760 --> 00:41:57,319 Speaker 2: or wherever you get your podcasts, and you can find 832 00:41:57,400 --> 00:42:00,640 Speaker 2: us live every weekday from Washington, d C, Time Eastern 833 00:42:00,920 --> 00:42:02,800 Speaker 2: at Bloomberg dot com