1 00:00:10,520 --> 00:00:13,640 Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you happy? Thanksgiving? Thank you 2 00:00:13,720 --> 00:00:16,840 Speaker 1: for listening to a Thanksgiving edition of the Daily Juice Podcast. 3 00:00:16,880 --> 00:00:19,440 Speaker 1: My name is Matt Perolt. You can follow me on Twitter, app, 4 00:00:19,480 --> 00:00:22,239 Speaker 1: Sports Talk Matt This on Bettingpros dot com and it's 5 00:00:22,239 --> 00:00:25,160 Speaker 1: always been brought to you by bet MGM. All Right, 6 00:00:25,239 --> 00:00:29,720 Speaker 1: we got a big day of football, basketball, and eating. 7 00:00:30,480 --> 00:00:33,120 Speaker 1: So here's what I'm gonna give you. I'm gonna give 8 00:00:33,159 --> 00:00:37,760 Speaker 1: you a Thanksgiving feast. Because here's the deal. I have 9 00:00:38,280 --> 00:00:43,600 Speaker 1: made a bunch of bets already, and the reason is, well, one, 10 00:00:43,960 --> 00:00:46,560 Speaker 1: it's the holiday weekend. I'm gonna be kind of busy. 11 00:00:46,640 --> 00:00:48,960 Speaker 1: I'm gonna be cooking, I'm gonna be eating, I'm gonna 12 00:00:49,000 --> 00:00:53,040 Speaker 1: be sleeping, I'm gonna be watching games. And looks it's 13 00:00:53,040 --> 00:00:55,600 Speaker 1: a Thanksgiving unlike any other Thanksgiving. Right, we got a 14 00:00:55,600 --> 00:00:57,480 Speaker 1: lot of craziness going on. We got a lot of 15 00:00:57,480 --> 00:01:01,640 Speaker 1: different things happening, and we have to adapt, right, So 16 00:01:02,080 --> 00:01:04,679 Speaker 1: I've made a bunch of bets already. So I'm gonna 17 00:01:04,720 --> 00:01:08,479 Speaker 1: give you three plays for tomorrow. I'm gonna give you 18 00:01:08,560 --> 00:01:12,679 Speaker 1: two plays for Friday. I'm gonna give you one play 19 00:01:12,840 --> 00:01:18,000 Speaker 1: on Sunday already and a college basketball play for tomorrow 20 00:01:18,040 --> 00:01:20,640 Speaker 1: that I cannot bet yet because I don't know the number. 21 00:01:20,720 --> 00:01:22,400 Speaker 1: But I'm gonna tell you what I think the number 22 00:01:22,440 --> 00:01:24,640 Speaker 1: is gonna be and where I'm gonna bet it. So 23 00:01:25,200 --> 00:01:27,640 Speaker 1: a lot to get to here on a Thanksgiving, a 24 00:01:27,800 --> 00:01:32,039 Speaker 1: feast of sports bets for you here on a Thursday. 25 00:01:32,200 --> 00:01:35,080 Speaker 1: So remember the live stream. So not only am I 26 00:01:35,080 --> 00:01:36,920 Speaker 1: gonna give you this many plays here or what I'm 27 00:01:36,920 --> 00:01:39,480 Speaker 1: gonna give you six plays in one play that I 28 00:01:39,520 --> 00:01:42,039 Speaker 1: can't bet yet, it's really seven plays here today, so 29 00:01:42,120 --> 00:01:44,240 Speaker 1: that's a crazy number. I am also gonna give you 30 00:01:44,280 --> 00:01:46,720 Speaker 1: a bunch of prop bets to bet coming up on 31 00:01:46,800 --> 00:01:49,120 Speaker 1: the live stream because we are going to go live 32 00:01:49,520 --> 00:01:54,000 Speaker 1: on Thanksgiving. I've done podcasts from hospitals. We're doing live 33 00:01:54,080 --> 00:01:58,520 Speaker 1: video streams from my house on Thanksgiving. So Betting Pros 34 00:01:58,560 --> 00:02:02,200 Speaker 1: YouTube channel eleven am Eastern eight a m. Pacific time. 35 00:02:02,560 --> 00:02:04,880 Speaker 1: We're gonna go for really as long as you guys 36 00:02:04,920 --> 00:02:07,440 Speaker 1: want me to. I'll go up to an hour. But 37 00:02:07,760 --> 00:02:10,520 Speaker 1: if you guys stop asking questions and we're not hanging 38 00:02:10,560 --> 00:02:13,160 Speaker 1: out anymore and it gets kind of boring. There are 39 00:02:13,240 --> 00:02:16,800 Speaker 1: two games to bet. Two there's a college game to 40 00:02:16,840 --> 00:02:18,720 Speaker 1: bet and there's some high and really, I may do 41 00:02:18,840 --> 00:02:22,200 Speaker 1: some college basketball tomorrow, so there's going to be a 42 00:02:22,200 --> 00:02:24,680 Speaker 1: lot of bets and plays to give you guys on 43 00:02:24,720 --> 00:02:27,560 Speaker 1: the live stream, but I am gonna give you a 44 00:02:27,560 --> 00:02:29,680 Speaker 1: couple of prop bets that I like. And really, we 45 00:02:29,680 --> 00:02:31,600 Speaker 1: were supposed to have Baltimore and Pittsburgh, so if there 46 00:02:31,680 --> 00:02:33,800 Speaker 1: was three games, we'd have a bunch of you know, 47 00:02:33,840 --> 00:02:36,680 Speaker 1: three games to break down then a bunch of props. 48 00:02:37,160 --> 00:02:39,120 Speaker 1: We don't have that. We have two games, and frankly 49 00:02:39,200 --> 00:02:41,560 Speaker 1: the two games kind of sting, but whatever, it's fine. 50 00:02:41,880 --> 00:02:43,640 Speaker 1: The first game kicks off at well like nine thirty 51 00:02:43,880 --> 00:02:48,280 Speaker 1: my time, Pacific time, twelve thirty Eastern, so we've got, 52 00:02:48,400 --> 00:02:50,360 Speaker 1: you know, a take almost right to kick off for 53 00:02:50,440 --> 00:02:52,440 Speaker 1: the first game, Houston at Detroit, and then we have 54 00:02:52,560 --> 00:02:55,320 Speaker 1: Washington at Dallas. So those two games to break down 55 00:02:55,360 --> 00:02:58,240 Speaker 1: and talk about, and then we've got college basketball at 56 00:02:58,240 --> 00:03:01,440 Speaker 1: one pm Eastern with Gonzaga and Kansas. Fox did not 57 00:03:01,480 --> 00:03:03,359 Speaker 1: wake up and realize it. Maybe it would be good 58 00:03:03,360 --> 00:03:05,640 Speaker 1: to move that to the nighttime since there's no Baltimore 59 00:03:06,000 --> 00:03:10,440 Speaker 1: and Pittsburgh. But whatever, Fox, go ahead, go up against 60 00:03:10,639 --> 00:03:14,880 Speaker 1: freaking NFL football. That's brilliant on Thanksgiving. But fine, we 61 00:03:14,960 --> 00:03:17,399 Speaker 1: had one of the two games in college football canceled 62 00:03:17,440 --> 00:03:19,920 Speaker 1: that stinks, and only one college football game. But we 63 00:03:19,960 --> 00:03:22,840 Speaker 1: do have a bunch of college basketball games. So tomorrow 64 00:03:23,320 --> 00:03:25,600 Speaker 1: very well, maybe a college basketball day on the pot 65 00:03:25,680 --> 00:03:27,480 Speaker 1: as well. So if you want to know about college 66 00:03:27,520 --> 00:03:30,320 Speaker 1: basketball picks, I will have at least a couple, maybe 67 00:03:30,560 --> 00:03:34,640 Speaker 1: three tomorrow to give away here. So let's recap our 68 00:03:34,680 --> 00:03:37,680 Speaker 1: first college basketball day. I would say it's about it 69 00:03:38,120 --> 00:03:41,640 Speaker 1: was okay, all right, So Drake cashed the plus five 70 00:03:41,680 --> 00:03:44,360 Speaker 1: and a half and it cashed the money line at 71 00:03:44,400 --> 00:03:47,920 Speaker 1: plus one ninety, so those two bets were hit and 72 00:03:47,960 --> 00:03:50,640 Speaker 1: that's good. Hopefully you bet the point twenty five units, 73 00:03:50,680 --> 00:03:52,440 Speaker 1: like I talked about going ahead and betting it on 74 00:03:52,640 --> 00:03:55,240 Speaker 1: the money line. Once that money line came out, so 75 00:03:55,760 --> 00:03:57,600 Speaker 1: it was out late, we did bet it. We took it, 76 00:03:57,640 --> 00:03:59,480 Speaker 1: so we got both those rights. We started two and 77 00:03:59,520 --> 00:04:02,800 Speaker 1: oh that was nice. Then things kind of went south 78 00:04:02,840 --> 00:04:05,480 Speaker 1: on us a little bit. I mean, Arizona State should 79 00:04:05,480 --> 00:04:07,640 Speaker 1: have won that game by a lot more against Rhode Island. 80 00:04:07,640 --> 00:04:09,280 Speaker 1: I didn't know what Bobby Hurley was doing there in 81 00:04:09,320 --> 00:04:12,320 Speaker 1: the second half. You had fats wanted to foul out. 82 00:04:12,360 --> 00:04:14,400 Speaker 1: You just had to attack them, and they finally did 83 00:04:14,440 --> 00:04:15,960 Speaker 1: with about ten minutes to go in the second half, 84 00:04:16,000 --> 00:04:18,520 Speaker 1: but by that time it just didn't really work out. 85 00:04:18,600 --> 00:04:20,680 Speaker 1: And then I thought for sure they would do the 86 00:04:20,720 --> 00:04:22,800 Speaker 1: whole hack a person thing and sending someone to the 87 00:04:22,839 --> 00:04:24,800 Speaker 1: foul line, and they didn't do that. With seven seconds 88 00:04:24,800 --> 00:04:27,880 Speaker 1: to go, they just stopped you or I just stopped playing, 89 00:04:27,920 --> 00:04:32,680 Speaker 1: so that stuck. I was bummed about that, but we 90 00:04:32,720 --> 00:04:34,960 Speaker 1: wound up getting that. It was six the eighth, the 91 00:04:34,960 --> 00:04:38,080 Speaker 1: line was eight. It closed at seven, and there was 92 00:04:38,080 --> 00:04:40,080 Speaker 1: a six point win for Arizona State, so that was 93 00:04:40,160 --> 00:04:41,800 Speaker 1: too bad for us on that. So that was our 94 00:04:41,800 --> 00:04:46,800 Speaker 1: first loss. Then, man, you and lv I was completely 95 00:04:46,880 --> 00:04:49,400 Speaker 1: wrong and on the one unit that wiped out the 96 00:04:49,480 --> 00:04:53,120 Speaker 1: benefit of the plus one ninety on the point twenty 97 00:04:53,160 --> 00:04:56,560 Speaker 1: five units and so that bet the drake bet the 98 00:04:56,560 --> 00:04:59,520 Speaker 1: money line and the plus five and a half gets 99 00:04:59,520 --> 00:05:02,919 Speaker 1: wiped out by UNLV. So the whole day really was 100 00:05:03,000 --> 00:05:06,680 Speaker 1: riding on the San Diego State and UCLA under Now 101 00:05:06,760 --> 00:05:08,720 Speaker 1: at the time of taping, I tell you right now, 102 00:05:08,720 --> 00:05:10,640 Speaker 1: I'm taping this at nine o'clock because I gotta go. 103 00:05:12,160 --> 00:05:14,640 Speaker 1: I have to co cook and get ready for tomorrow. 104 00:05:14,720 --> 00:05:17,040 Speaker 1: So that's why I'm taping this a little bit earlier 105 00:05:17,080 --> 00:05:21,800 Speaker 1: than normal. The game is pacing okay, I mean right 106 00:05:21,839 --> 00:05:27,039 Speaker 1: now we've got about, yeah, I don't know about forty 107 00:05:27,080 --> 00:05:30,279 Speaker 1: points thirty five points to work with here. San Diego 108 00:05:30,360 --> 00:05:34,000 Speaker 1: State is up big on UCLA, fifty five to forty one. 109 00:05:34,320 --> 00:05:36,880 Speaker 1: So as long as UCLA doesn't go on a scoring barrage, 110 00:05:36,920 --> 00:05:39,240 Speaker 1: we should be okay with the one thirty five and 111 00:05:39,279 --> 00:05:42,560 Speaker 1: a half. But the first half was sixty two and 112 00:05:42,640 --> 00:05:45,479 Speaker 1: it hit right on that number. So for the game, 113 00:05:46,600 --> 00:05:48,520 Speaker 1: let's see what happens there. But the whole day is 114 00:05:48,600 --> 00:05:50,479 Speaker 1: riding on that half. A unit will either be up 115 00:05:50,600 --> 00:05:53,800 Speaker 1: or down based upon that, So you guys will know that. 116 00:05:53,839 --> 00:05:55,520 Speaker 1: By the time you're listening to this podcast, you guys 117 00:05:55,560 --> 00:05:57,240 Speaker 1: will know how I did yesterday. So I told you 118 00:05:57,240 --> 00:05:58,640 Speaker 1: it was gonna be tough. I told you that we're 119 00:05:58,640 --> 00:06:01,880 Speaker 1: gonna limp in with college basket. I kind of predicted it, 120 00:06:02,480 --> 00:06:05,520 Speaker 1: But I was really wrong about you and LV And 121 00:06:05,120 --> 00:06:09,799 Speaker 1: I'm frankly stunned at that performance, stunned at the defense, 122 00:06:10,200 --> 00:06:13,040 Speaker 1: stunned at the effort. And maybe they were overlooking Montana 123 00:06:13,080 --> 00:06:15,599 Speaker 1: State because you know, on paper they were so bad. 124 00:06:16,279 --> 00:06:18,240 Speaker 1: But I thought you would get a better effort. I 125 00:06:18,240 --> 00:06:20,120 Speaker 1: thought you'd get a focused effort from U and LV, 126 00:06:20,160 --> 00:06:22,200 Speaker 1: and that just didn't happen. They got crushed at home 127 00:06:22,279 --> 00:06:24,400 Speaker 1: eleven and a half twelve point favorites. They lost by 128 00:06:24,400 --> 00:06:27,160 Speaker 1: what twenty to Montana State, and now they traveled to Asheville, 129 00:06:27,200 --> 00:06:32,279 Speaker 1: North Carolina to play North Carolina in Asheville. Yikes, again, 130 00:06:32,360 --> 00:06:34,400 Speaker 1: maybe they overlooked Montana State and maybe they were looking 131 00:06:34,400 --> 00:06:36,760 Speaker 1: ahead in North Carolina. That's very possible, and maybe you'll 132 00:06:36,800 --> 00:06:39,279 Speaker 1: get their best effort and something different will happen. But 133 00:06:39,920 --> 00:06:43,400 Speaker 1: that will be Saturday, and I'll probably bet U and LV, 134 00:06:43,480 --> 00:06:45,479 Speaker 1: but I probably won't give it away. I'll just do 135 00:06:45,560 --> 00:06:48,720 Speaker 1: it for to be my own worst enemy, but doubt 136 00:06:48,760 --> 00:06:52,840 Speaker 1: i'll use an official play for it. But man, oh man, 137 00:06:52,920 --> 00:06:55,880 Speaker 1: that was embarrassing. So my bad, bad pick. Still think 138 00:06:55,920 --> 00:06:57,520 Speaker 1: they would win the Mountain West Conference, by the way, 139 00:06:57,520 --> 00:07:01,000 Speaker 1: but long season, long way ago. But that was awful 140 00:07:01,040 --> 00:07:04,520 Speaker 1: start for the new second year for tg Altzisberger for 141 00:07:04,680 --> 00:07:07,000 Speaker 1: un LV. All right, let's talk about games today for 142 00:07:07,040 --> 00:07:09,000 Speaker 1: BETMGM and a chance for you guys to win one 143 00:07:09,040 --> 00:07:11,880 Speaker 1: hundred bucks in free wagers today. You bet of the 144 00:07:11,920 --> 00:07:15,200 Speaker 1: four teams playing You're gonna bet one dollar money line 145 00:07:15,320 --> 00:07:18,040 Speaker 1: on any of the four teams playing. 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You must be 154 00:07:44,680 --> 00:07:46,600 Speaker 1: twenty one years or older and you must be physically 155 00:07:46,600 --> 00:07:50,160 Speaker 1: loocated in Tennessee, Colorado, Indiana, New Jersey or West Virginia. 156 00:07:50,320 --> 00:07:53,840 Speaker 1: Please gave a responsibly a gambling problem called one hundred 157 00:07:53,880 --> 00:07:56,840 Speaker 1: five to two forty seven hundred in Colorado and Nevada, one 158 00:07:56,880 --> 00:07:59,560 Speaker 1: hundred gambler in New Jersey and West Virginia, or one 159 00:07:59,640 --> 00:08:02,640 Speaker 1: hundred with it in Indiana. All right, let's start with 160 00:08:02,640 --> 00:08:04,840 Speaker 1: college basketball here first, and I will give you the 161 00:08:04,920 --> 00:08:08,280 Speaker 1: number on the live stream. However, I predict that the 162 00:08:08,400 --> 00:08:13,560 Speaker 1: number for Arizona State and Villanova will somewhere be around 163 00:08:13,640 --> 00:08:15,400 Speaker 1: and I may be off here, but I think it's 164 00:08:15,400 --> 00:08:18,360 Speaker 1: gonna be somewhere around one sixty all right, somewhere in 165 00:08:18,440 --> 00:08:23,000 Speaker 1: that neighborhood. If it is around there, we're betting the over. 166 00:08:23,520 --> 00:08:25,600 Speaker 1: I think these teams are gonna shoot the lights out. 167 00:08:25,640 --> 00:08:27,640 Speaker 1: I think you're gonna see a game where maybe both 168 00:08:27,680 --> 00:08:30,360 Speaker 1: teams in the eighties. I think it's gonna be really 169 00:08:30,520 --> 00:08:32,720 Speaker 1: if it's lower than that, If it's like one fifty five, 170 00:08:32,840 --> 00:08:35,200 Speaker 1: one fifty four somewhere in there, I'm all over it. 171 00:08:35,240 --> 00:08:37,640 Speaker 1: We're gonna be all over the over for Arizona State 172 00:08:38,040 --> 00:08:41,320 Speaker 1: and Villanova. Nova shot the ball poorly, they played poorly. 173 00:08:41,720 --> 00:08:44,760 Speaker 1: Arizona State can score, but they can't defend, and Nova's 174 00:08:44,800 --> 00:08:46,880 Speaker 1: gonna be ticked off. So I think that's a back 175 00:08:46,920 --> 00:08:49,360 Speaker 1: and forth battle. I think it's gonna be an overplay 176 00:08:49,400 --> 00:08:51,400 Speaker 1: for sure, but I can't bet it because well, the 177 00:08:51,480 --> 00:08:53,719 Speaker 1: number is not out yet here anywhere. I don't think 178 00:08:53,720 --> 00:08:55,520 Speaker 1: even off shores got it. The game ended about an 179 00:08:55,520 --> 00:08:58,920 Speaker 1: hour ago, so not positive. We'll wake up to numbers 180 00:08:59,440 --> 00:09:02,640 Speaker 1: for that game here for theater here on Thanksgiving, but 181 00:09:03,000 --> 00:09:06,480 Speaker 1: we'll talk about that on the live stream. Arizona, Arizona 182 00:09:06,480 --> 00:09:09,559 Speaker 1: State and Nova I think Uuri in Boston College might 183 00:09:09,559 --> 00:09:12,959 Speaker 1: be an interesting play. Iowa and North Carolina might be 184 00:09:13,000 --> 00:09:15,360 Speaker 1: an interesting play. So there's some different games that it 185 00:09:15,360 --> 00:09:17,760 Speaker 1: will go off today that I'll get up in the morning. 186 00:09:17,800 --> 00:09:19,840 Speaker 1: I'll take a look at it. I'll Scana Peruz and 187 00:09:19,880 --> 00:09:21,320 Speaker 1: maybe I'll come up with a player two for the 188 00:09:21,360 --> 00:09:24,520 Speaker 1: live stream college basketball wise, and that's how we'll wind 189 00:09:24,640 --> 00:09:27,800 Speaker 1: up replacing the missed Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers game. 190 00:09:28,000 --> 00:09:30,000 Speaker 1: We'll then talk about some college basketball plays that you 191 00:09:30,000 --> 00:09:31,960 Speaker 1: could make. So eleven a m. Eastern for the live 192 00:09:31,960 --> 00:09:34,679 Speaker 1: stream off betting pros, off the YouTube channel. So that's 193 00:09:34,679 --> 00:09:38,280 Speaker 1: college basketball. Let's talk about the NFL games. Okay, two games, 194 00:09:38,760 --> 00:09:43,400 Speaker 1: Houston taking on Detroit. I wanted to take Detroit, I 195 00:09:43,440 --> 00:09:46,720 Speaker 1: really did. I was looking at it, and then I 196 00:09:46,760 --> 00:09:48,880 Speaker 1: talked to Dave Sheriapan, I talked to a couple of 197 00:09:48,920 --> 00:09:53,000 Speaker 1: my friends and they just were like, absolutely not. You 198 00:09:53,040 --> 00:09:56,640 Speaker 1: could not trust this team. And then Kenny Galladay was 199 00:09:56,760 --> 00:09:59,400 Speaker 1: ruled out. So this is either a Houston or a 200 00:09:59,480 --> 00:10:02,080 Speaker 1: no play. But it's gonna be a no play for 201 00:10:02,160 --> 00:10:05,160 Speaker 1: me because I just don't trust either team. This is 202 00:10:05,200 --> 00:10:09,280 Speaker 1: a letdown spot for the Houston, Texans. I know Deshaun 203 00:10:09,320 --> 00:10:12,000 Speaker 1: Watson has been playing really well. He just loved the Patriots. 204 00:10:12,000 --> 00:10:14,679 Speaker 1: But I think Detroit's got a better secondary. I think 205 00:10:14,720 --> 00:10:17,360 Speaker 1: Matt Patricia's coaching for his job. I think there's a 206 00:10:17,400 --> 00:10:19,560 Speaker 1: lot of pressure on both these teams, but namely on 207 00:10:19,600 --> 00:10:23,040 Speaker 1: Detroit after getting shut out to bounce back defensively, though 208 00:10:23,040 --> 00:10:28,240 Speaker 1: they haven't been that bad, and Detroit's been playing some 209 00:10:28,400 --> 00:10:31,960 Speaker 1: games that have been somewhat surprising to the over. Three 210 00:10:32,000 --> 00:10:34,960 Speaker 1: of the last four games for Detroit have hit the over. 211 00:10:35,360 --> 00:10:37,960 Speaker 1: Houston is five and five to the over. Detroit is 212 00:10:38,000 --> 00:10:40,600 Speaker 1: six and four to the over. The number I got 213 00:10:40,640 --> 00:10:45,000 Speaker 1: was fifty one here we're playing over Houston to score 214 00:10:45,040 --> 00:10:50,760 Speaker 1: points here early Houston over fifty one between Houston and 215 00:10:50,840 --> 00:10:56,200 Speaker 1: Detroit in the first game of Thanksgiving. Dave Sheripen gave 216 00:10:56,240 --> 00:10:58,280 Speaker 1: me a stat on the air yesterday. By the way, 217 00:10:58,320 --> 00:11:01,960 Speaker 1: that's kind of wild. But Dohorley speaking, the team that 218 00:11:02,080 --> 00:11:06,160 Speaker 1: has played first in the first game of Thanksgiving is 219 00:11:06,240 --> 00:11:09,400 Speaker 1: eighteen and one against the spread. The favorite is eighteen 220 00:11:09,440 --> 00:11:12,680 Speaker 1: and one against the spread in the first game of Thanksgiving. 221 00:11:12,920 --> 00:11:16,120 Speaker 1: Does that mean anything, No, it means nothing. Just giving 222 00:11:16,120 --> 00:11:17,839 Speaker 1: it to you because it's kind of interesting. I'm not 223 00:11:17,880 --> 00:11:21,440 Speaker 1: gonna play aside here. I'm taking points Houston over with 224 00:11:21,559 --> 00:11:25,000 Speaker 1: Detroit over fifty one points to be scored. Texans can't 225 00:11:25,000 --> 00:11:28,200 Speaker 1: stop the run. Texans defense isn't that good. Matthew Stafford 226 00:11:28,240 --> 00:11:30,679 Speaker 1: a better throwing quarterback than Cam Newton. But I think 227 00:11:30,720 --> 00:11:32,320 Speaker 1: you're gonna see a big number being put up as 228 00:11:32,360 --> 00:11:35,800 Speaker 1: well by the Houston Texans. So game number one, play 229 00:11:35,880 --> 00:11:40,440 Speaker 1: number one over fifty one, play number two. We're gonna 230 00:11:40,440 --> 00:11:44,320 Speaker 1: split one unit in half. All right, here's what we're doing. 231 00:11:44,960 --> 00:11:51,439 Speaker 1: We are betting Washington plus three at Dallas. Washington has 232 00:11:51,480 --> 00:11:55,640 Speaker 1: the better quarterback, Washington's got the better defensive line, and 233 00:11:55,640 --> 00:11:58,200 Speaker 1: Andy Dalton's got a concussion issue that already kept him 234 00:11:58,200 --> 00:11:59,480 Speaker 1: out a couple of weeks, and he's got to deal 235 00:11:59,520 --> 00:12:04,640 Speaker 1: with Chasey good luck. This is not a good matchup 236 00:12:04,720 --> 00:12:07,960 Speaker 1: for a banged up offensive line. This is a talented 237 00:12:08,120 --> 00:12:12,959 Speaker 1: Washington defense. They get after the quarterback. Washington is great 238 00:12:13,360 --> 00:12:17,440 Speaker 1: at blitzing, getting after it, and putting pressure on the quarterback. 239 00:12:17,800 --> 00:12:20,679 Speaker 1: Andy Dalton, like any quarterback, does not like pressure. But 240 00:12:20,880 --> 00:12:23,960 Speaker 1: Washington's gonna get after it. Dallas after a win on 241 00:12:24,000 --> 00:12:26,760 Speaker 1: the road at the Vikings. This is a letdown spot 242 00:12:26,760 --> 00:12:28,840 Speaker 1: for Dallas. I know this is a traditional spot for 243 00:12:28,880 --> 00:12:30,560 Speaker 1: them to play all the time, but I know the 244 00:12:30,600 --> 00:12:33,240 Speaker 1: receiving corps is good. But I think that Washington defense 245 00:12:33,280 --> 00:12:36,400 Speaker 1: is better than people think. Alex Smith's a better quarterback 246 00:12:36,679 --> 00:12:39,160 Speaker 1: than Andy Dalton. We're taking a half a unit and 247 00:12:39,200 --> 00:12:44,679 Speaker 1: we're taking plus three here, plus three on Washington against 248 00:12:44,720 --> 00:12:46,920 Speaker 1: the Dallas Cowboys. So what do we do with the 249 00:12:46,920 --> 00:12:49,560 Speaker 1: other half of unit. Well, here's what we're gonna do 250 00:12:49,600 --> 00:12:51,920 Speaker 1: with that other half of unit. The other half of 251 00:12:52,040 --> 00:12:55,079 Speaker 1: unit is going on the money line, and we're taking 252 00:12:55,320 --> 00:12:59,440 Speaker 1: Washington at plus one point thirty to win outright this 253 00:12:59,520 --> 00:13:03,240 Speaker 1: game outright, So we're gonna take the three points in 254 00:13:03,240 --> 00:13:06,440 Speaker 1: case we're wrong, and then we're taking Washington with the 255 00:13:06,480 --> 00:13:11,360 Speaker 1: better quarterback, the better defense. Yes, it's Thursday, Yes it's 256 00:13:11,400 --> 00:13:14,440 Speaker 1: a short week. But Dallas is not good all right. 257 00:13:14,520 --> 00:13:16,320 Speaker 1: I don't know what the Vikings were doing last week, 258 00:13:16,320 --> 00:13:18,439 Speaker 1: but Dallas is not a very good football team. Sort 259 00:13:18,480 --> 00:13:20,079 Speaker 1: of them to fall back to earth and have their 260 00:13:20,080 --> 00:13:22,120 Speaker 1: defense be lit up and have their offense not be 261 00:13:22,160 --> 00:13:25,000 Speaker 1: able to block. I'm taking Chase Young and in the 262 00:13:25,040 --> 00:13:28,160 Speaker 1: Washington football team almost at it Washington football team to 263 00:13:28,240 --> 00:13:31,600 Speaker 1: go ahead and get a victory here. So the NFL 264 00:13:31,640 --> 00:13:38,240 Speaker 1: plays Houston Detroit over fifty one Washington plus three half 265 00:13:38,240 --> 00:13:41,840 Speaker 1: a unit. Washington money line to win half a unit 266 00:13:42,200 --> 00:13:46,680 Speaker 1: for NFL plays on Thursday. So that's it for Thursday. 267 00:13:46,920 --> 00:13:49,920 Speaker 1: As I mentioned, live stream, so we'll have prop bets 268 00:13:49,920 --> 00:13:52,320 Speaker 1: giving away in college basketball to talk about coming up 269 00:13:52,360 --> 00:13:54,719 Speaker 1: on the prop bets on the on the livestream rather 270 00:13:54,960 --> 00:13:57,199 Speaker 1: eleven am off the YouTube channel tomorrow morning. Hope you'll 271 00:13:57,240 --> 00:14:00,120 Speaker 1: join us. So let's talk about Friday, and let's talk 272 00:14:00,120 --> 00:14:04,000 Speaker 1: about college football on Friday. Let's start with Nebraska in Iowa. 273 00:14:04,360 --> 00:14:06,320 Speaker 1: The reason why I'm gonna give you this number now 274 00:14:06,480 --> 00:14:09,040 Speaker 1: is because this number is gonna move. The number is 275 00:14:09,120 --> 00:14:13,360 Speaker 1: Iowa minus thirteen and a half. There is something really 276 00:14:13,440 --> 00:14:18,199 Speaker 1: wrong with Nebraska, and I mean really really wrong with Nebraska. 277 00:14:18,320 --> 00:14:22,080 Speaker 1: Their offense has big problems. Their defense has big problems. 278 00:14:22,120 --> 00:14:25,120 Speaker 1: Those black shirts they pulled out, yikes, that was not 279 00:14:25,360 --> 00:14:27,640 Speaker 1: smart to do they, I mean, Scott Frost thought it 280 00:14:27,720 --> 00:14:31,800 Speaker 1: might energize the guys. It didn't happen. Illinois just went 281 00:14:31,880 --> 00:14:36,680 Speaker 1: in there in crushed Nebraska. It was ugglee. Now, when 282 00:14:36,720 --> 00:14:40,400 Speaker 1: you're seventeen point favorites against Illinois and you lose by eighteen. 283 00:14:40,680 --> 00:14:43,360 Speaker 1: That's a thirty five point differential than what you're supposed 284 00:14:43,360 --> 00:14:46,560 Speaker 1: to have. That is not good. Nebraska beat Penn State 285 00:14:46,600 --> 00:14:48,600 Speaker 1: at home. I have no idea how the hell Penn 286 00:14:48,640 --> 00:14:51,160 Speaker 1: State lost. That's how bad Penn State is. Okay, Penn 287 00:14:51,200 --> 00:14:54,760 Speaker 1: State is absolutely awful. We will bet Michigan on Saturday. 288 00:14:55,000 --> 00:14:56,680 Speaker 1: I don't like the number yet. We're gonna wait to 289 00:14:56,720 --> 00:14:58,480 Speaker 1: see with them when the odds go at Michigan's only 290 00:14:58,560 --> 00:15:01,000 Speaker 1: laying two. We're gonna take me Michigan against Penn State. 291 00:15:01,040 --> 00:15:03,000 Speaker 1: By the way, on Saturday, little preview pick there. But 292 00:15:03,120 --> 00:15:06,520 Speaker 1: for this game against Nebraska and Iowa, we are going 293 00:15:06,640 --> 00:15:09,560 Speaker 1: one hundred percent, laying the thirteen and a half for 294 00:15:09,640 --> 00:15:12,480 Speaker 1: the Hawkeyes to run the football straight down the throats 295 00:15:12,520 --> 00:15:16,400 Speaker 1: of the Nebraska Cornhuskers. And whether you believe it or not, 296 00:15:16,760 --> 00:15:19,160 Speaker 1: these two states don't like each other. These two teams 297 00:15:19,200 --> 00:15:21,360 Speaker 1: don't like each other. This is a real rivalry, but 298 00:15:21,400 --> 00:15:23,760 Speaker 1: it's been going on for a long time in the shadows. 299 00:15:24,360 --> 00:15:27,440 Speaker 1: This is Kirk Ferris's chance to really flex here. He 300 00:15:27,840 --> 00:15:31,600 Speaker 1: recruits the state of Nebraska. Penn State lost by twenty, 301 00:15:31,960 --> 00:15:35,800 Speaker 1: Minnesota lost by twenty eight Michigan. Michigan State lost by 302 00:15:35,800 --> 00:15:38,800 Speaker 1: forty two. That's gonna be the margin of victory somewhere 303 00:15:38,800 --> 00:15:41,880 Speaker 1: in there between twenty and forty two. Penn State big 304 00:15:42,280 --> 00:15:45,240 Speaker 1: over Nebraska on Friday. We're gonna lay the thirteen and 305 00:15:45,320 --> 00:15:49,000 Speaker 1: a half here and we're gonna take Iowa minus thirteen 306 00:15:49,000 --> 00:15:52,840 Speaker 1: and a half against Nebraska. One more game to talk 307 00:15:52,840 --> 00:15:55,600 Speaker 1: about coming up on Friday. And this is a game 308 00:15:56,000 --> 00:15:58,480 Speaker 1: that I think people might be sleeping on a little 309 00:15:58,520 --> 00:16:03,720 Speaker 1: bit here, Notre Dame at North Carolina. All right, so 310 00:16:03,800 --> 00:16:07,560 Speaker 1: the number I got was five. The number is ping 311 00:16:07,680 --> 00:16:10,320 Speaker 1: punging around between five and a half and four and 312 00:16:10,360 --> 00:16:14,640 Speaker 1: a half here for North Carolina catching five and a 313 00:16:14,720 --> 00:16:18,920 Speaker 1: half at home. I've talked to some very short people. 314 00:16:19,480 --> 00:16:22,040 Speaker 1: Talk to my friend Lee Sterling of Paramount Sports. I 315 00:16:22,160 --> 00:16:25,840 Speaker 1: talked to Dave Sheripan. I talked to a different book 316 00:16:25,840 --> 00:16:27,920 Speaker 1: maker who I don't really reference on the podcast all 317 00:16:27,960 --> 00:16:33,160 Speaker 1: that often. Everyone likes North Carolina. Everyone thinks Notre Dame's 318 00:16:33,160 --> 00:16:36,400 Speaker 1: in trouble, and I think that they're right. This is 319 00:16:36,440 --> 00:16:38,600 Speaker 1: a game where you may see some Notre Dame money 320 00:16:38,600 --> 00:16:40,640 Speaker 1: come in and drive the number up, but the sharp 321 00:16:40,640 --> 00:16:44,080 Speaker 1: plays are all gonna be on North Carolina. Well, why, Matt, 322 00:16:44,120 --> 00:16:48,320 Speaker 1: why is North Carolina against Notre Dame. It's a trap game. Okay, 323 00:16:48,680 --> 00:16:51,800 Speaker 1: this is an offense that can flat out score for 324 00:16:52,040 --> 00:16:55,360 Speaker 1: North Carolina. This is a bad matchup for that defense. 325 00:16:55,840 --> 00:16:58,280 Speaker 1: And you look at the points that were scored. Look 326 00:16:58,320 --> 00:17:00,640 Speaker 1: what happened with Clemson, and look, but they were able 327 00:17:00,640 --> 00:17:03,440 Speaker 1: to do this Nore Dame defense. Everyone's saying they're great, 328 00:17:03,480 --> 00:17:06,879 Speaker 1: They're great, They're great. Yeah, but North Carolina's offense is 329 00:17:06,920 --> 00:17:09,640 Speaker 1: scoring forty three points per game. You might say, well, 330 00:17:09,680 --> 00:17:12,399 Speaker 1: end's only giving up sixteen. Yeah, but against Clemson they 331 00:17:12,400 --> 00:17:16,680 Speaker 1: gave up quite a bit. Okay, they can run Notre Dame. 332 00:17:16,880 --> 00:17:19,680 Speaker 1: It's gonna see a rushing offense. It's at five point 333 00:17:19,760 --> 00:17:22,320 Speaker 1: six yards per rush. They got two good running backs, 334 00:17:22,400 --> 00:17:24,760 Speaker 1: they got a couple of really good wide receivers. They've 335 00:17:24,760 --> 00:17:29,520 Speaker 1: got NFL talents, NFL offense. Okay, this game, you can 336 00:17:29,560 --> 00:17:32,800 Speaker 1: look at this. Look, there's two plays to make on this. Okay, 337 00:17:32,800 --> 00:17:35,440 Speaker 1: there's two bets to make. You can go North Carolina 338 00:17:35,440 --> 00:17:38,880 Speaker 1: plus five or you can go on the over sixty eight. 339 00:17:39,160 --> 00:17:41,640 Speaker 1: I have bet them both, all right, I've got Notre 340 00:17:41,720 --> 00:17:45,000 Speaker 1: Dame plus five and we've gone over sixty eight for 341 00:17:45,720 --> 00:17:48,600 Speaker 1: Norre Dame in North Carolina. All right, so you got 342 00:17:48,720 --> 00:17:51,920 Speaker 1: three plays going. I think points points points in this game. 343 00:17:51,960 --> 00:17:54,120 Speaker 1: And I also think Carolina is gonna be live here. 344 00:17:54,440 --> 00:17:56,640 Speaker 1: Potentially they win the game outright, But I think we're 345 00:17:56,640 --> 00:17:59,960 Speaker 1: gonna see an absolute shootout at North Carolina. I think 346 00:18:00,040 --> 00:18:01,720 Speaker 1: Ian Book will be able to move the football on 347 00:18:01,760 --> 00:18:04,200 Speaker 1: that North Carolina defense. But I don't think North Carolina's 348 00:18:04,200 --> 00:18:07,560 Speaker 1: gonna stop North Dam's not gonna stop North Carolina. We're 349 00:18:07,560 --> 00:18:11,600 Speaker 1: gonna go over sixty eight and North Carolina plus five, 350 00:18:11,800 --> 00:18:15,480 Speaker 1: all right, So that is what three plays? Actually I lied, 351 00:18:15,560 --> 00:18:18,439 Speaker 1: sorry I was miscounting. So three plays in the NFL, 352 00:18:18,760 --> 00:18:22,760 Speaker 1: three plays in college football, one play in hoops, and 353 00:18:22,800 --> 00:18:27,080 Speaker 1: then one Sunday football game. To talk about Chiefs at 354 00:18:27,119 --> 00:18:30,199 Speaker 1: Tampa Bay. Chiefs will lay in three and a half. 355 00:18:31,119 --> 00:18:32,800 Speaker 1: I'm gonna tell you to bet it now because the 356 00:18:32,880 --> 00:18:36,399 Speaker 1: number is gonna move nor This is just to me. 357 00:18:36,480 --> 00:18:38,200 Speaker 1: It may move north of four, four and a half, 358 00:18:38,280 --> 00:18:41,359 Speaker 1: five somewhere in that range. But Tampa Bay's in real trouble. 359 00:18:41,840 --> 00:18:45,200 Speaker 1: They're in real, real trouble. And this is against Kansas City. 360 00:18:45,640 --> 00:18:48,119 Speaker 1: This is against an offense that can score on anybody, 361 00:18:48,320 --> 00:18:51,359 Speaker 1: and I don't think they can score thirty points against 362 00:18:51,440 --> 00:18:53,640 Speaker 1: the Casey Chiefs offense. I don't think they can run 363 00:18:53,640 --> 00:18:56,000 Speaker 1: the ball enough effectively enough. The Chiefs done a good 364 00:18:56,040 --> 00:18:59,760 Speaker 1: job against everybody except the Raiders stopping the run here 365 00:19:00,119 --> 00:19:02,960 Speaker 1: Kansasy's on the road. But I just think, look at primetime, 366 00:19:03,000 --> 00:19:04,520 Speaker 1: look at big games, look at the games at home 367 00:19:04,560 --> 00:19:08,040 Speaker 1: against the Saints and now against the Rams. Poor performances. 368 00:19:08,160 --> 00:19:11,160 Speaker 1: Do I think Tom Brady's done? No, But I've said 369 00:19:11,200 --> 00:19:13,160 Speaker 1: it from the get go. They're gonna win ten games, 370 00:19:13,200 --> 00:19:14,880 Speaker 1: they're gonna be a wild card team, and they're gonna 371 00:19:14,920 --> 00:19:18,280 Speaker 1: lose early in the postseason. Bruce Arians. There's a lot 372 00:19:18,320 --> 00:19:20,560 Speaker 1: of chatter that going into the bye week, which is 373 00:19:20,600 --> 00:19:24,399 Speaker 1: after this week for Tampa, if they lose badly to 374 00:19:24,480 --> 00:19:29,040 Speaker 1: the Chiefs, you might see some malcontent players, unnamed players 375 00:19:29,080 --> 00:19:31,440 Speaker 1: talking to the media about what Bruce Arians is doing 376 00:19:31,480 --> 00:19:35,400 Speaker 1: because he's basically round peg, square hole here the offense. 377 00:19:35,720 --> 00:19:38,400 Speaker 1: Brady can't throw a deep ball, so what do you do. 378 00:19:38,600 --> 00:19:41,439 Speaker 1: You make them throw a deep ball, and it's ugly, 379 00:19:41,800 --> 00:19:43,840 Speaker 1: and that's what the Rams made him do, and the 380 00:19:43,920 --> 00:19:46,560 Speaker 1: Chiefs are gonna do the exact same thing. Their defense 381 00:19:46,680 --> 00:19:49,239 Speaker 1: is a touch underrated, and I think they can get 382 00:19:49,320 --> 00:19:51,040 Speaker 1: up the field, stop the run, and get after the 383 00:19:51,119 --> 00:19:53,840 Speaker 1: quarterback enough to make Tom Brady uncomfortable. I know the 384 00:19:53,880 --> 00:19:56,280 Speaker 1: weapons are there for Brady, but I'm gonna lay the 385 00:19:56,320 --> 00:19:59,120 Speaker 1: three and a half early already bet it miss three 386 00:19:59,160 --> 00:20:03,040 Speaker 1: and a half can City at Tampa on Sunday, trying 387 00:20:03,040 --> 00:20:05,920 Speaker 1: to get the best number before that game kicks off 388 00:20:05,920 --> 00:20:10,160 Speaker 1: coming up on Sunday. So giving you a laundry list 389 00:20:10,200 --> 00:20:13,080 Speaker 1: of things here to bet, you can pick and choose. 390 00:20:13,480 --> 00:20:15,760 Speaker 1: I have bet all these games. You don't have to 391 00:20:15,800 --> 00:20:17,680 Speaker 1: if you don't want to, but these are all official 392 00:20:17,680 --> 00:20:21,400 Speaker 1: plays for me going on here. We've got seven official 393 00:20:21,440 --> 00:20:25,119 Speaker 1: plays in eight when you count the over Arizona Nova. 394 00:20:25,160 --> 00:20:27,000 Speaker 1: Once we get a number to be able to bet it, 395 00:20:27,000 --> 00:20:28,880 Speaker 1: I don't have a number yet, but I'm gonna most 396 00:20:28,920 --> 00:20:30,560 Speaker 1: likely be on the over as long as it's not 397 00:20:30,600 --> 00:20:34,800 Speaker 1: some stupid crazy number for Arizona State and Villa Nova. 398 00:20:34,880 --> 00:20:37,640 Speaker 1: So to recap the bets again, we got to wait 399 00:20:37,640 --> 00:20:40,040 Speaker 1: for that Nova Arizona State numbers to put that aside. 400 00:20:40,080 --> 00:20:45,320 Speaker 1: But Houston over fifty one, Washington plus three at a 401 00:20:45,359 --> 00:20:48,920 Speaker 1: half a unit Washington money line out of half a unit. 402 00:20:49,600 --> 00:20:53,040 Speaker 1: Iowa minus thirteen and a half against Nebraska on Friday, 403 00:20:53,560 --> 00:20:57,120 Speaker 1: North Carolina plus five at home against Notre Dame, and 404 00:20:57,160 --> 00:21:01,160 Speaker 1: the over sixty eight for Notre Dame and North Carolina, 405 00:21:01,520 --> 00:21:04,159 Speaker 1: and the Chiefs minus three and a half against Tampa 406 00:21:04,160 --> 00:21:08,680 Speaker 1: Bay coming up on Sunday in the NFL. So you 407 00:21:08,800 --> 00:21:12,879 Speaker 1: got four NFL plays, three college football plays, one college 408 00:21:12,880 --> 00:21:17,760 Speaker 1: basketball play, all on our thanks Giving smorgas sport stuff 409 00:21:17,840 --> 00:21:22,040 Speaker 1: your Face Daily Juice Podcast. My name is Matt Paroltz. 410 00:21:22,119 --> 00:21:23,679 Speaker 1: I will talk to you on the live stream for 411 00:21:23,760 --> 00:21:26,959 Speaker 1: even more player props in college basketball and let's keep 412 00:21:27,000 --> 00:21:29,360 Speaker 1: on betting and hopefully having some fun winning some money here. 413 00:21:29,640 --> 00:21:33,240 Speaker 1: Let's keep rolling as we are here every single morning, 414 00:21:33,400 --> 00:21:35,360 Speaker 1: even on a Thanksgiving. But I'll talk to you coming 415 00:21:35,440 --> 00:21:37,879 Speaker 1: up on the live stream on our YouTube channel for 416 00:21:37,920 --> 00:21:40,720 Speaker 1: Bettingpros dot Com. Min Is Matt parolt Follow me on 417 00:21:40,760 --> 00:21:45,040 Speaker 1: Twitter at sports Talk Matt every morning even Thanksgiving. It's 418 00:21:45,040 --> 00:21:56,080 Speaker 1: the Daily Juice Podcast, presented by BETTMGM off Bettingpros dot Com.