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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast.

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Speaker 2: All right, here we go.

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Speaker 1: Fifteen twenty twenty five, thirty thirty five, Hony Coty five

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Speaker 1: fifty and the kick as Block the college football Laura

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Speaker 1: stunned us.

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Speaker 2: Oh my godness, he stumbled and.

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Speaker 1: The latter of turn a counter on the inside, don't

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Speaker 1: you The lad came off the.

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Speaker 2: Fail to night. It's not the size of the dog

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Speaker 2: in the fight, it's the size.

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Speaker 3: Of the fight in the dog.

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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Big Bets on Campus Podcast. This is

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Speaker 1: the group of five deep dive. Week one has arrived,

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Speaker 1: and folks, we got some wind in our sales. Duck

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Speaker 1: and I went four and oh on our best bets

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Speaker 1: to kick off the season. We were there in Chicago,

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Speaker 1: joson Weed cutting up with some BBOC fans in person. Man,

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Speaker 1: was that absolutely electric, particularly the late night walk off

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Speaker 1: winner from Hawaii. Everything that needed to happen down the

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Speaker 1: stretch there for the Bows to get over the hump.

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Speaker 1: But we have a massive Week one card to get into.

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Speaker 1: We got to get back to work. I'm Mike Calabary's

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Speaker 1: I'm joined by Duck, my BBOC co host. Here we're

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Speaker 1: going to break down every single angle that we like

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Speaker 1: here in week one, but before the picks, I'd like

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Speaker 1: to do a quick sounding off segments. Duck is also

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Speaker 1: going to bring the heat with his segment. This pick

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Speaker 1: was pretty easy for me. A new G five darling

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Speaker 1: Canzie Matt Suzawa, the kicker for Hawaii, the Japanese kicker

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Speaker 1: who taught himself to kick from YouTube, transferred to Hawking

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Speaker 1: College in Ohio, and then transfers out to the Islands.

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Speaker 1: He bangs home all three kicks, including the game winner.

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Speaker 1: It's what GFI football is all about. Also a quick

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Speaker 1: timing issue for when these episodes are going to drop.

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Speaker 1: We'll be releasing the G five Deep Dive early this week,

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Speaker 1: but after this, once we get past Labor Day, these

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Speaker 1: episodes are going to drop first thing on Wednesday. Just

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Speaker 1: so you know when to expect these plays to come in,

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Speaker 1: when you're gonna be able to see them on your

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Speaker 1: podcast feed, when you're gonna be able to watch us

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Speaker 1: on YouTube. Doug, the vibes are immaculate at this point.

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Speaker 1: Who are you going to for your sounding off segment here?

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Speaker 2: After week zero, I want to sound off.

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Speaker 3: You know, Idaho State went in there and played about

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Speaker 3: as perfect a football game as you could possibly have.

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Speaker 3: They shredded you in LV five hundred and fifty five

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Speaker 3: yards thirty one points, never threatened to not cover the

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Speaker 3: total win over. But you're down twenty one to seventeen

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Speaker 3: and Idaho State OC Buddy Blevins, what are we doing here?

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Speaker 3: You just converted a third and six Jordan Cook, perfect

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Speaker 3: corner passed down to the two yard line, and you

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Speaker 3: take Jordan Cook out of this game and you run

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Speaker 3: slot goal line fade from the two yard line with

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Speaker 3: the backup quarterback who hadn't played a snap and doesn't

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Speaker 3: play again. What are we doing taking Jordan Cook out

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Speaker 3: of the game with first in goal. They tried to

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Speaker 3: get a little too cute. It costs him a touchdown

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Speaker 3: cost from the game. If you run a slot fade,

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Speaker 3: you should absolutely get a show. Cause Pentley, I don't

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Speaker 3: want to see you coaching at the FCS FBS level

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Speaker 3: drop down to Naia because yeah, there's there was no

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Speaker 3: chance as soon as it left his hands that let

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Speaker 3: alone incomplete it was going to be intercepted.

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Speaker 2: All right.

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Speaker 1: I mentioned we got a huge Week one card. Let's

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Speaker 1: get right into it now.

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Speaker 3: I want to coach calls this team back from the lazy,

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Speaker 3: hazy days of summer.

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Speaker 2: He usually has something in mind, a motivator and do.

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Speaker 1: We expect anything today other than a close, tough, knock

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Speaker 1: him down, belly up football game.

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Speaker 2: I think that's what you're going to say, and that's

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Speaker 2: what you're gonna get, Duck.

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Speaker 1: You're going Saint Francis Louisiana Monroe on Thursday for your

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Speaker 1: first best bet. Noah, Maud Hardy, no problem according to you.

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Speaker 1: I feel like this has to be a fade of

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Speaker 1: an FCS team that you have your finger on the

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Speaker 1: pulse of.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, it's going to be tough for many people to

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Speaker 3: lay this big of a number with Louisiana Monroe, but

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Speaker 3: I did minus twenty two and a half. I would

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Speaker 3: bet this up to minus twenty seven. Saint Francis a

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Speaker 3: PA plays in the Northeast Eastern Conference at FCS, but

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Speaker 3: they're actually dropping down to the Division three level, which

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Speaker 3: is a non scholarship level, and so they did see

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Speaker 3: an influx of talent that portaled out and it was

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Speaker 3: one way street for them this offseason as nobody really

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Speaker 3: came in with the trajectory and direction of the program to.

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Speaker 2: Being what it is.

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Speaker 3: Saint Francis a PA is now going through a complete

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Speaker 3: rebuild on defense. The front seven is inexperienced and really undersized.

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Speaker 3: The secondary, which didn't have a ton of experience last season,

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Speaker 3: now replaces forty three career starts, which was a significant

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Speaker 3: number for them, and they're just going to have such

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Speaker 3: a struggle to try to defend this ground game of

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Speaker 3: Louisiana Monroe. SFPA is unsettled at quarterback. You know, they

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Speaker 3: kind of had the quarterback carousel last season. They played

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Speaker 3: three players. They could all three play in this game,

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Speaker 3: and they might use Mejia at receiver. So they're just

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Speaker 3: so unsettled with what they want to be this year offensively.

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Speaker 3: You know, this was an offense with SFPA that only

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Speaker 3: generated one hundred and fifty nine pass yards per game

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Speaker 3: last season, and their top five receivers that produced last

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Speaker 3: year are gone. Nobody portaled in ULM has Alabama on deck,

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Speaker 3: and then they have a bye. Well, they're not gonna

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Speaker 3: beat Alabama.

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Speaker 2: They'll maybe go in.

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Speaker 3: There and play their first string for a half, but

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Speaker 3: once that game gets out of hand, keep everybody healthy,

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Speaker 3: get into the bye week, and then kind of regroup.

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Speaker 3: You really need to get your guys cooking here. You're

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Speaker 3: not going to get them on a roll against Alabama,

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Speaker 3: and you just don't want to have three kind of

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Speaker 3: stale weeks before you start the meat and potatoes of

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Speaker 3: your schedule. This is the week to get your guys

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Speaker 3: to cook. Get them some reps, run the ball with explosivity.

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Speaker 3: You've got a deep running back room. You're gonna want

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Speaker 3: to get three or four guys some touches.

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Speaker 1: You know.

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Speaker 3: Ulm's defense actually last season was pretty good the first

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Speaker 3: four or five games before they wore down late in

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Speaker 3: the season. They're not gonna be worn down at this point.

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Speaker 3: I think that they'll be firing on all cylinders. Aidan

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Speaker 3: Armanta is actually kind of a sneak talented quarterback in

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Speaker 3: the Sunbelt, and now he's in the second year of

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Speaker 3: the system. I think you'll just see a night and

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Speaker 3: day talent mismatch here with a G five Sun Belt

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Speaker 3: team playing against a middleing NEC team that's transitioning to

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Speaker 3: Division three.

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Speaker 2: Lay it with Uel Monroe my best bet.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna go with a MAX school catching too many

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Speaker 1: points in my opinion. Buffalo plus eighteen at Minnesota. Also

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Speaker 1: a Thursday kickoff. You know, It's gonna come as a

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Speaker 1: surprise to some, but Fleck has actually done a decent

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Speaker 1: job as a double digit favorite since twenty twenty two.

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Speaker 1: He's seven and three in spots like this when they're

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Speaker 1: laying ten or more. And yeah, I mean, you see

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Speaker 1: what they have in terms of, you know, their defense

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Speaker 1: coming back eleventh and returning production there, and they have

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Speaker 1: the best player on the field and Darius Taylor. Everything

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Speaker 1: runs through him. Offensively, he's going to get probably thirty

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Speaker 1: plus touches in this game, manufactor and what they do

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Speaker 1: in the passing game, targeting him probably five or six times.

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Speaker 1: But before we get into why like the bulls here,

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Speaker 1: let's talk Corey Heatherman, because this is the story for

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Speaker 1: this game, and this is why I'm on the dog

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Speaker 1: catching North to seventeen. He won the AFC Assistant Coach

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Speaker 1: of the Year as the DC at James Madison. Then

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Speaker 1: he did a fantastic job with this go for defense

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Speaker 1: last ball they were top ten in scoring and total defense.

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Speaker 1: He's a massive loss for Minnesota. So I wanted to

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Speaker 1: find a way right away this season, particularly in the

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Speaker 1: month of September or in this case, in August, to

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Speaker 1: fade them without their top lieutenant. Then there's all the

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Speaker 1: reasons why I do love the Bulls. Great G five

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Speaker 1: defense led by Red Murdoch and Kobe Stewart. In that fronts,

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Speaker 1: they're going to be able to create negative plays and

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Speaker 1: get Minnesota into those clear passing situations. They are ninth

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Speaker 1: overall in returning production on that side of the ball,

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Speaker 1: and the offense has the pieces at least in my opinion,

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Speaker 1: not just to be good by MAX standards, but really

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Speaker 1: arguably if the quarterback hits to be one of the

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Speaker 1: better G five offenses. You look at the receiving core

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Speaker 1: Snow and McMillan. I like those guys a lot. As

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Speaker 1: a tandem, al J. Henderson is an absolute workhorse as

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Speaker 1: they're running back. The only mystery is, as I mentioned,

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Speaker 1: the quarterback, Taikwon Roberson is someone who had all the

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Speaker 1: talent in the world. A former four star canny realize

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Speaker 1: that potential or does he even really need to do

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Speaker 1: so for them just to be as good as they

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Speaker 1: were last year. It was supposed to be a year zero.

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Speaker 1: You know, we were going to potentially play them often

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Speaker 1: as in against the spread Darling, but they put it

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Speaker 1: all together right away for Pete Limbo, So I think

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Speaker 1: this number is off by two key numbers. Going through

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Speaker 1: seventeen and going through fourteen, my numbers put this at

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Speaker 1: about twelve and a half thirteen. I'm more than happy

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Speaker 1: to take that extra points in what I'm hoping can

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Speaker 1: be a rock fight between two really good defenses. But

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Speaker 1: as I mentioned, Minnesota does not have the defensive play caller,

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Speaker 1: so I'm hoping for a few blown coverages, a few

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Speaker 1: issues in terms of situational football that the Bulls take

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Speaker 1: advantage of. What are your thoughts on playing a MAC

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Speaker 1: team like this? I mean we discussed this in person.

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Speaker 1: I almost sprinkled on the money line. It's really that

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Speaker 1: QB one issue that's holding me back. But the Bulls

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Speaker 1: in general, I think are trending in the right direction

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Speaker 1: heading into this season. What are your thoughts?

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Speaker 3: I love Buffalo in this situation. I played Buffalo earlier

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Speaker 3: in the summer. We saw the line creep down to

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Speaker 3: as low as fifteen and a half. I think it

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Speaker 3: was a service play that was released that caused this

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Speaker 3: line to spike back up. Agree with the move I

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Speaker 3: went back for more eighteen and a half. I really

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Speaker 3: think the offensive attack will have a little more punch

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Speaker 3: now that they get mc millan back from injury at receiver.

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Speaker 3: With Minnesota, they're replacing their defensive coordinator and all three

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Speaker 3: unit coaches on defense, So you've got a change in scheme.

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Speaker 3: You've got some new voices in there in the defensive rooms.

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Speaker 3: The last thing, I'll say a little trend here for

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Speaker 3: those that have Action Pro. You've got our pro trends

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Speaker 3: and our pro systems. You get a dog that's this

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Speaker 3: sizable with a low total. Historically those dogs perform very,

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Speaker 3: very well. It's just one of the system trends that

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Speaker 3: we like to at least keep.

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Speaker 2: Tabs on at Action Network.

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Speaker 3: And so absolutely all over Buffalo here eighteen and a half,

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Speaker 3: no question, it's on my card.

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Speaker 1: All right, let's set your second best bet ball state

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Speaker 1: at Purdue. You're going to lay the seventeen. Devin maccabee.

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Speaker 1: It's that fresh prince of bel Air meme. He's just

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Speaker 1: standing in the locker room looking around. No one else

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Speaker 1: is there because he's the only returning starter on the

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Speaker 1: starting twenty two for the boiler Makers. Talk me through

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Speaker 1: how you can fire yourself up about Purdue.

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Speaker 2: Or is this just a pure fade on really both.

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Speaker 3: I'm not going to try to be here to suggest

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Speaker 3: that Purdue is going to be a formidable Big Ten

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Speaker 3: opponent this season, But we're not asking them to beat

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Speaker 3: a Big Ten team. We're asking them to beat one

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Speaker 3: of the very very worst teams in FBS with an

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Speaker 3: atrocious defense, who didn't get any better last year in

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Speaker 3: the portal with ball State. If you just dive into

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Speaker 3: the defensive metrics, forty nine percent surrendered on third down,

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Speaker 3: forty four red zone scores, and forty five opportunities. They

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Speaker 3: didn't bow up in the red zone when they needed to.

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Speaker 3: Eleven plays last year they surrendered of fifty yards or more.

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Speaker 3: They give up way too many explosives. You know, they

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Speaker 3: had twenty sacks as a team last year, did Ball State.

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Speaker 3: Seven of them came against against Kent State. So outside

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Speaker 3: of that, you're not really creating havoc. You're not creating

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Speaker 3: a pass rush. And I just think we're going to

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Speaker 3: see motivation from Purdue. Barry Odom comes in. He has

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Speaker 3: a significant history of pounding lesser opponents when he was

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Speaker 3: at Missouri and NLV. He really steps his foot on

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Speaker 3: the gas during these situations. And they only have Southern

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Speaker 3: Illinois on deck here. So you're kind of really need

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Speaker 3: to build a little program, excitement and some momentum, and

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Speaker 3: you have to do it right now. If you look

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Speaker 3: at the roster top to bottom, they are so much

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Speaker 3: more talented than what ball State's going to bring to

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Speaker 3: the table. Ball State's implementing a new run first offense.

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Speaker 3: I just see guys that portaled in Perdue.

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Speaker 2: We got CJ.

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Speaker 3: Nunneley, Tony Grimes, got so many guys that are talented.

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Speaker 3: I think they can kind of piece meal a defense

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Speaker 3: together that'll be able to limit and contain what Ball

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Speaker 3: State wants to do. I just really don't see it

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Speaker 3: going well. You've got motivation to start off on the

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Speaker 3: right foot Perdue. If any team has to put up

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Speaker 3: a big number, it's these guys.

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Speaker 2: Lay it.

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Speaker 3: It's a tough one to do, but lay it with Perdue.

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Speaker 3: I think they win by three or four touchdowns.

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Speaker 1: All Right, I'm going to go for my second best bet,

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Speaker 1: Lamar traveling to Denton to take on North Texas. I'm

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Speaker 1: going to lay the twenty four and a half. Let's

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Speaker 1: just call it what it is. Lamar is an average

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Speaker 1: FCS team. They're certainly not top twenty five. I'd be

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Speaker 1: surprised if they made the FCS playoffs. They may compete

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Speaker 1: in a wide open Southland. We already saw it right

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Speaker 1: off the jump with Incarnate Word getting upset by Nichols.

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Speaker 1: But they got a new oc potential growing pains in

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Speaker 1: a game like this. But this bet really is a

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Speaker 1: bit based on two things. And on the unt side

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Speaker 1: of things, I know what I'm getting with an Eric

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Speaker 1: Morris offense, quality quarterback play. I was hoping that Poffenbarger

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Speaker 1: was going to win this job, but Messa Maker showed

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Speaker 1: a lot of upside in the bowl game, particularly.

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Speaker 2: With his legs. He wins this job.

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Speaker 1: That was a prolonged, extended battle in fall camp. Now

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Speaker 1: I believe they're going to hand the keys of this

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Speaker 1: up tempo offense over to him, and I think it's

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Speaker 1: going to hum particularly against a Lamar defense. And the

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Speaker 1: second thing here, and this is a little bit of

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Speaker 1: oh boy happy learned how to put North Texas may

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Speaker 1: actually have a defense this year because they made one

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Speaker 1: of the biggest coordinator upgrades in the G five, getting

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Speaker 1: sky Or Cassidy from Sam Houston. He turned water into

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Speaker 1: wine with the Bearcats last year, but they also actually

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Speaker 1: have a lot returning. I know the defense wasn't good

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Speaker 1: last year, but their thirtieth in defensive production returning. And

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Speaker 1: when you have quality corners that at times strategically you

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Speaker 1: can put on islands, you can get creative, you can

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Speaker 1: disguise coverages, you can you know, have a couple of

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Speaker 1: zero blitzes in there. I think this is an opportunity

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Speaker 1: for North Texas to make a statement. And this is

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Speaker 1: the year Eric Morris has to put it together. They

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Speaker 1: faded late when Chandler Morris was banged up. They got

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Speaker 1: to get off to a hot start. He certainly has

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Speaker 1: to get to a bowl. It's got to start with

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Speaker 1: a great defensive performance. We're talking to an FCS team,

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Speaker 1: so I got to pick your brain here. What are

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Speaker 1: your thoughts on Lamar?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean on the surface, you kind of look

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Speaker 3: at them projected to be kind of a middling Southland

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Speaker 3: Conference team, but the South Southland Conference at the bottom

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Speaker 3: has gotten.

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Speaker 2: Really, really bad.

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Speaker 3: You've got some terrible, terrible football there and then you've

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Speaker 3: got Lamar. And I think Lamar is closer to one

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Speaker 3: of those teams in talent than a team like a

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Speaker 3: perceived Southeastern Louisiana Incarnate Ward even Nickel State as we

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Speaker 3: saw on Saturday. So Lamar is very much descending. I

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Speaker 3: just don't see the offensive punch being there for Lamar.

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Speaker 3: I just don't think the number is big enough. North

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Speaker 3: Texas will put up a huge number and Lamar will

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Speaker 3: be packing it in in the middle of the third quarter.

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Speaker 1: We turned out to our four minute offense is where

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Speaker 1: we highlight one of the biggest games in the We

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Speaker 1: don't have any official plays on it, but we don't

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Speaker 1: want to overlook UTSA at Texas, A and M. The

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Speaker 1: Aggie's laying twenty two and a half points at Kyle Field.

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Speaker 1: Here's my reservations right off the top. Jeff Trailer, great coach,

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Speaker 1: phenomenal coach at the G five level, He's won multiple

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Speaker 1: conference titles, but in big paycheck games it's been rough

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Speaker 1: as of late. Lost fifty six to seven at Texas,

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Speaker 1: forty five to fourteen at Tennessee, forty one to twenty

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Speaker 1: at Texas again, one in four straight up in his

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Speaker 1: last five big paycheck games, two and three against the spread,

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Speaker 1: three straight humbling losses, and the road Runners angle here

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Speaker 1: is simple. We talked about a lot in the preseason

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Speaker 1: when we talked about the American the offense should be

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Speaker 1: the class of the G five. They return every starter.

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Speaker 1: Owen mccount is someone that you can trust as a quarterback.

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Speaker 1: They were humbled last year with Justin Burke as their

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Speaker 1: play caller. They finished five and two. They took a

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Speaker 1: twelve team Army team to twelve and two Army team,

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Speaker 1: I should say to the wire. So in terms of

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Speaker 1: where they were at the end of last year, they

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Speaker 1: were absolutely ascending. But this defense is a complete gut job.

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Speaker 1: I trust jess Lepp certainly in AAC play, but that

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Speaker 1: does not extend to him in this opener against an

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Speaker 1: A and M offense that I think from a personnel standpoint,

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Speaker 1: is just going to outclass them. You know, at every

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Speaker 1: turn you look at, you know what's happening in the

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Speaker 1: G five. That's where we're focused. And maybe it's because

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Speaker 1: my eyes are there and I'm not focused fully in

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Speaker 1: the same way that's stuck in Colin. Are on the

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Speaker 1: power for teams, But this SEC buzz, where is it

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Speaker 1: for the Aggies? Because offensively I could see Marcel Reed

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Speaker 1: taking a big step forward. He had qbrs A ninety

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Speaker 1: four plus against Florida and LSU. That LSU game, he

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Speaker 1: came off the bench, did it all with his legs.

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Speaker 1: He had three rushing scores there. Now they add Mario

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Speaker 1: Kraver and Casey Concepcion, who was totally misused last year

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Speaker 1: at NC State. I think they could have pop in

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Speaker 1: the quick game, in the RPO bubble screen game to

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Speaker 1: be able to take some of those short throws take

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Speaker 1: him to the house. And when you look at their

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Speaker 1: offensive line, like they have the road graders upfront to

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Speaker 1: move people, the backfield is deep. I think that they're

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Speaker 1: going to be able to get whatever they want offensively.

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Speaker 1: And then this defense, I think is wrecking crew quality.

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Speaker 1: PFF has them as the ninth best defense in America.

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Speaker 1: The only way that you can talk yourself in THESA,

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Speaker 1: in my opinion at least, is that A and M

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Speaker 1: plays with their food a lot. You know, historically, even

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Speaker 1: last year, Bowling Green and Arkansas were nerve racking wins

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Speaker 1: that should not have been that close. They also lose

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Speaker 1: to Auburn in four overtime. So they've essentially allowed teams,

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Speaker 1: you know, when they're punching down a little bit to

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Speaker 1: hang around and sometimes they get burns, But overall, I'm

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Speaker 1: a believer in ELCO. What are your thoughts on this?

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Speaker 1: In state rivalry, we'll call it between the Roadrunners and Aggies.

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Speaker 2: Major overhaul for UTSA.

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Speaker 3: Along the defensive front seven, the top five producing defensive

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Speaker 3: alignment are gone. The linebacker room is completely bare. I

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Speaker 3: just can't see the defensive front seven providing any resistance

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Speaker 3: to what Texas A and M want to wants to do. Offensively,

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Speaker 3: There's going to be a major mismatch in the trenches,

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Speaker 3: and I think UTSA operating at blazing speed offensively. They're

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Speaker 3: high tempo. They want to pass the ball around. It

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Speaker 3: might go sideways early here. If that defense gets left

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Speaker 3: high and dry after several quick possessions that are three now,

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Speaker 3: they might be on the field a lot in the

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Speaker 3: first half. I don't think we'll have the sack or

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Speaker 3: the tackle for lost pressure here that will be necessary

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Speaker 3: to really put the heat on Marcel Reed to try

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Speaker 3: to force throws. I think A and M's team total,

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Speaker 3: which is projected about thirty nine and a half, is

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Speaker 3: worth going over. Anything up to forty one and a

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Speaker 3: half I think is good. I'm just holding off on

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Speaker 3: putting a play in because we might get a little weather,

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Speaker 3: we might get a little rain, and it could turn

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Speaker 3: into a lot of rain. So I'm just taking a

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Speaker 3: peek at the weather. And as we get closer to

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Speaker 3: the week, if it's going to be marginal, there's not

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Speaker 3: going to be a wind. But if we get marginal

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Speaker 3: rain or no rain, you'll see something come through on

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Speaker 3: the app on an A and M team total.

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Speaker 1: Over, great call on the weather. Also the A and

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Speaker 1: M offensive line. I failed to mention they return every starter.

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Speaker 1: Only four schools in America can say that, all right,

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Speaker 1: football season is here, folks. And we got some huge

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Speaker 1: improvements and updates coming to the award winning Action Network app,

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Speaker 1: which we're very excited to discuss in the weeks ahead.

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Speaker 1: But you don't want to miss out on the free

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Speaker 1: Action app because as soon as we put our picks in,

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Speaker 1: as we book a My Ducks Stucks, Colin Wilson, all

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00:18:03,119 --> 00:18:04,920
Speaker 1: the expertsier at Action, you want to be able to

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00:18:04,960 --> 00:18:06,879
Speaker 1: see them in real time so you can get the

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00:18:06,920 --> 00:18:08,959
Speaker 1: best number. You can sign up free right now by

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00:18:09,040 --> 00:18:11,080
Speaker 1: using the link in the episode description, and you go

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00:18:11,119 --> 00:18:13,960
Speaker 1: ahead and follow us. You just search for Breeze or Calibres,

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00:18:14,040 --> 00:18:15,880
Speaker 1: My name's gonna pop up if you put in Duck

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00:18:16,520 --> 00:18:18,719
Speaker 1: right at the top of the list. In terms of follows,

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Speaker 1: it's gonna be our good man here, Josh Nunn. You

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Speaker 1: want to follow us so that you get every single

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Speaker 1: angle as soon as it comes through. All right, we

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Speaker 1: are back here. We teased it in a week zero

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Speaker 1: we didn't have an underdog parlay. The G five money

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Speaker 1: line underdog parlay is back, turning good weekends into great weekends.

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Speaker 1: It's time for the money line parlay. We got a

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Speaker 1: pair of plus one to ninety dogs. When you put

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Speaker 1: it together, pays close to plus seven fifty. So let's

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Speaker 1: hop into it. Thursday, South Florida hosting Boise. I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: go ahead and take the bulls Byron Brown. When he's healthy,

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Speaker 1: he can run the hell out of this beer and

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Speaker 1: shoot offense and goals.

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Speaker 2: Attack.

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Speaker 1: What they're gonna do, They're gonna walk those wide receivers

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Speaker 1: outside the numbers, right next to the sideline. Defensively, you

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Speaker 1: have to go ahead and walk your DB's out there.

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Speaker 2: What does that do?

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Speaker 1: It simplifies things for the quarterback because you can't hide

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Speaker 1: or disguise your blitzes. And if you're talking about Boise

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Speaker 1: State football. They love to send the heat. So even

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Speaker 1: if they are going to do that and they're gonna gamble,

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Speaker 1: at least Byron Brown pre snap knows that's coming. On

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Speaker 1: the other side of things, no dirt cutter on the

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Speaker 1: headset calling plays for the Broncos, Nate Potter in his

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Speaker 1: first game in the big boy seat calling plays for

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Speaker 1: the Broncos without Ash and gen Z. So much more

435
00:19:35,880 --> 00:19:39,560
Speaker 1: pressure on Mattson in this game because without Jens, who

436
00:19:39,800 --> 00:19:42,160
Speaker 1: essentially you could even call bad play, you could fail

437
00:19:42,200 --> 00:19:44,200
Speaker 1: to audible out. He's gonna break two or three tackles,

438
00:19:44,280 --> 00:19:47,119
Speaker 1: tickets to the house for sixty yards. The fact of

439
00:19:47,200 --> 00:19:50,960
Speaker 1: the matter is Maddox has to be a difference maker,

440
00:19:51,160 --> 00:19:53,879
Speaker 1: and I don't necessarily see it in terms of just

441
00:19:53,960 --> 00:19:57,240
Speaker 1: the quarterback matchup between him and Brown. Hot sticky conditions

442
00:19:57,320 --> 00:20:00,159
Speaker 1: down in Tampa. It's gonna feel like ninety six on

443
00:20:00,280 --> 00:20:02,320
Speaker 1: the field for kickoff. There's also like a fifty to

444
00:20:02,359 --> 00:20:04,720
Speaker 1: fifty shot of thunderstorms, so this could be a stop

445
00:20:04,800 --> 00:20:07,680
Speaker 1: and start kind of game. All of those weird elements

446
00:20:07,720 --> 00:20:09,960
Speaker 1: and angles. I like the home team, you know, to

447
00:20:10,040 --> 00:20:13,639
Speaker 1: be able to weather that storm figuratively and literally and

448
00:20:13,760 --> 00:20:15,359
Speaker 1: I think this is when it all clicks. You know,

449
00:20:15,440 --> 00:20:18,120
Speaker 1: for Goalish, he's fourteenth in returning production as a team.

450
00:20:18,359 --> 00:20:21,520
Speaker 1: Great quarterback for the system, and they have a real identity.

451
00:20:21,600 --> 00:20:24,280
Speaker 1: Where what is going to be Boise's identity? We have

452
00:20:24,359 --> 00:20:26,399
Speaker 1: to wait and see. Give me the home dogs. Oh

453
00:20:26,440 --> 00:20:28,840
Speaker 1: by the way, it's a blackout. Student section is going

454
00:20:28,880 --> 00:20:30,840
Speaker 1: to be wearing all black. They get all black unis.

455
00:20:31,119 --> 00:20:33,000
Speaker 1: I love the vibes. I'm going to go ahead here

456
00:20:33,080 --> 00:20:36,760
Speaker 1: plus one ninety with USF to score a massive ranks

457
00:20:36,880 --> 00:20:40,080
Speaker 1: upset against the number twenty five team in America. All right, Duck,

458
00:20:40,320 --> 00:20:42,960
Speaker 1: take me through UTEP. What are you seeing and why

459
00:20:43,000 --> 00:20:45,120
Speaker 1: do you like them? At nearly two to one, we're

460
00:20:45,240 --> 00:20:49,639
Speaker 1: talking minor nation out in the West Texas town of

461
00:20:49,840 --> 00:20:52,560
Speaker 1: l passl picks up.

462
00:20:53,480 --> 00:20:56,440
Speaker 3: Yeah, really highly contested quarterback battle that went deep into

463
00:20:56,480 --> 00:20:59,240
Speaker 3: fall camp. Malachi Nelson wins the job. I think he

464
00:20:59,320 --> 00:21:02,919
Speaker 3: provides a little more upside than Skyler Locklear. The offense

465
00:21:03,000 --> 00:21:05,320
Speaker 3: I think is just really ready to explode in this

466
00:21:05,440 --> 00:21:08,359
Speaker 3: second year in the Scottie Walden system. They're loaded at receiver,

467
00:21:08,520 --> 00:21:11,280
Speaker 3: They've got some running backs that can pop off. You've

468
00:21:11,400 --> 00:21:14,960
Speaker 3: got the offensive line that added significant size and strength

469
00:21:15,080 --> 00:21:18,680
Speaker 3: via the portal and an off season conditioning, we should

470
00:21:18,760 --> 00:21:22,080
Speaker 3: see much better pass protection this year with a little

471
00:21:22,080 --> 00:21:26,280
Speaker 3: bit more familiarity in the system. In the Scottie Walden

472
00:21:26,320 --> 00:21:29,720
Speaker 3: system here, defense I think sees a significant talent upgrade

473
00:21:29,760 --> 00:21:32,440
Speaker 3: as well. For UTEB specifically in the linebacker room. You

474
00:21:32,520 --> 00:21:34,960
Speaker 3: got Micah Davie who comes in from Macnie and he

475
00:21:35,160 --> 00:21:38,639
Speaker 3: was all over the field last year, just a tremendous player.

476
00:21:38,720 --> 00:21:41,800
Speaker 3: You'll see right away that the linebackers, which are really

477
00:21:41,880 --> 00:21:44,800
Speaker 3: key in that defensive system, are really going to perform well.

478
00:21:45,440 --> 00:21:45,600
Speaker 2: Now.

479
00:21:45,640 --> 00:21:48,479
Speaker 3: When we got Utah State, we're talking about them one

480
00:21:48,520 --> 00:21:50,840
Speaker 3: of the most porous defenses that we saw in FBS

481
00:21:51,000 --> 00:21:55,040
Speaker 3: last season, and their solution with Bronco Mendenhall coming in

482
00:21:55,400 --> 00:21:58,680
Speaker 3: was to bring his defensive coordinator with New Mexico and

483
00:21:58,840 --> 00:22:01,920
Speaker 3: two of their starting corn back with them. I think

484
00:22:02,000 --> 00:22:04,159
Speaker 3: we will just see that the Aggies are going to

485
00:22:04,200 --> 00:22:08,159
Speaker 3: be undersized on defense in the defensive line. The secondary

486
00:22:08,280 --> 00:22:11,119
Speaker 3: was brutal last year, and to bring in players from

487
00:22:11,160 --> 00:22:14,920
Speaker 3: New Mexico that had an equally bad secondary, I just

488
00:22:15,000 --> 00:22:18,520
Speaker 3: don't feel like that's the solution here. I'm not excited

489
00:22:18,560 --> 00:22:23,320
Speaker 3: about offensively, what the U tags are gonna show up with.

490
00:22:23,520 --> 00:22:26,200
Speaker 3: I know Bronco Mendenhall can turn around programs, but I

491
00:22:26,320 --> 00:22:29,119
Speaker 3: just don't think he has the tools to really do

492
00:22:29,280 --> 00:22:31,520
Speaker 3: it right away. I think we've got a wrong team.

493
00:22:31,640 --> 00:22:35,160
Speaker 3: Favorite situation here. If you look at the offensive losses

494
00:22:35,280 --> 00:22:39,320
Speaker 3: for Utah State, running back face On goes to South Carolina,

495
00:22:39,720 --> 00:22:43,760
Speaker 3: Jalen Royals is gone, Kyries White and Robert Briggs are

496
00:22:43,800 --> 00:22:47,360
Speaker 3: both gone. A lot of the explosivity that you could

497
00:22:47,440 --> 00:22:49,480
Speaker 3: count on from Utah State to at least throw a

498
00:22:49,560 --> 00:22:52,800
Speaker 3: couple of punches is all gone. Oh, by the way,

499
00:22:52,920 --> 00:22:55,680
Speaker 3: you're breaking in five new on the offensive line. I

500
00:22:55,840 --> 00:22:58,639
Speaker 3: just can't see this offensive system humming. I can see

501
00:22:58,880 --> 00:23:01,800
Speaker 3: UTEPS getting much better or in year two, I think

502
00:23:01,880 --> 00:23:03,960
Speaker 3: the wrong team is favored here. I think UTEP will

503
00:23:03,960 --> 00:23:05,760
Speaker 3: go in there and actually win the game on the field.

504
00:23:06,760 --> 00:23:08,879
Speaker 1: My favorite new segment for this year are two minute

505
00:23:08,920 --> 00:23:11,120
Speaker 1: drill where you run through the rest of your card.

506
00:23:11,560 --> 00:23:14,040
Speaker 1: We talked about this in Chicago. Don't worry, duck. He

507
00:23:14,160 --> 00:23:16,560
Speaker 1: looked into it. He's down on the microscope. He's looking

508
00:23:16,560 --> 00:23:20,480
Speaker 1: at the microfiche. FCS games. You were absolutely on fire

509
00:23:20,600 --> 00:23:23,439
Speaker 1: and not just picking winners, but also the game narrative

510
00:23:23,480 --> 00:23:25,200
Speaker 1: being able to provide it before we got into it.

511
00:23:25,520 --> 00:23:28,040
Speaker 1: Walk us through your two minute drill here, hut hut,

512
00:23:28,240 --> 00:23:30,920
Speaker 1: use the sidelines, use your timeouts. You got two minutes

513
00:23:30,960 --> 00:23:31,920
Speaker 1: here on the clock. Go for it.

514
00:23:32,680 --> 00:23:32,880
Speaker 2: Yeah.

515
00:23:32,960 --> 00:23:35,959
Speaker 3: So, South Dakota State hosts Sacramento State in Week one

516
00:23:36,000 --> 00:23:39,400
Speaker 3: in FCS. For South Dakota State, a perennial FCS power,

517
00:23:39,440 --> 00:23:41,560
Speaker 3: their head coach and many of their starters left to

518
00:23:41,560 --> 00:23:44,800
Speaker 3: go to Wazoo. There's a new offensive coordinator, new DC,

519
00:23:45,080 --> 00:23:47,640
Speaker 3: and new special teams coordinator, all new at the helm.

520
00:23:48,040 --> 00:23:51,800
Speaker 3: They're replacing their quarterback, starting running back. The receiver room

521
00:23:51,880 --> 00:23:54,760
Speaker 3: is empty, the entire seven back seven on defense is

522
00:23:54,800 --> 00:23:58,520
Speaker 3: being replaced. Special teams has anticipated to take a big

523
00:23:58,600 --> 00:24:01,879
Speaker 3: step back this year and Sacramento State, the Hornets made

524
00:24:01,880 --> 00:24:04,200
Speaker 3: a real buzz this year. Brought in Jaden Rashada and

525
00:24:04,320 --> 00:24:07,240
Speaker 3: thirty five players with FBS experience in the too deep.

526
00:24:07,720 --> 00:24:11,960
Speaker 3: They've increased their program funding for NIL and there's this

527
00:24:12,080 --> 00:24:15,080
Speaker 3: big push to move to FBS and we get the

528
00:24:15,160 --> 00:24:17,000
Speaker 3: go go with Brandon Mary and he's bringing the go

529
00:24:17,160 --> 00:24:19,359
Speaker 3: go offense to Sacramento State. There's going to be this

530
00:24:19,560 --> 00:24:22,560
Speaker 3: unique offense that's being deployed that South Dakota State has

531
00:24:22,640 --> 00:24:26,280
Speaker 3: never had any experience with defending. This projected line here

532
00:24:26,359 --> 00:24:28,520
Speaker 3: is north of fifteen and a half. Some projections have

533
00:24:28,600 --> 00:24:31,000
Speaker 3: it as high as eighteen and a half. Anything over

534
00:24:31,080 --> 00:24:34,400
Speaker 3: two touchdowns, Sacramento State is worth play. I think they'll

535
00:24:34,440 --> 00:24:37,080
Speaker 3: have every opportunity to win this game on the field.

536
00:24:37,160 --> 00:24:39,520
Speaker 3: So let's get north of fourteen and a half and

537
00:24:39,640 --> 00:24:42,920
Speaker 3: we'll punch it in here with Sacramento State. Next one,

538
00:24:42,960 --> 00:24:46,600
Speaker 3: East Tennessee State plays Murray State. I cannot stress this

539
00:24:46,800 --> 00:24:49,320
Speaker 3: enough how bad Murray State is as a program, and

540
00:24:49,400 --> 00:24:52,760
Speaker 3: they're really in a bad way right now. There's inexperience

541
00:24:52,840 --> 00:24:56,200
Speaker 3: throughout every level of the offense and defense. Every room

542
00:24:56,280 --> 00:24:59,800
Speaker 3: has an experience. Murray State in the spring was not

543
00:25:00,080 --> 00:25:02,720
Speaker 3: able to formulate a two D because they had thirty

544
00:25:02,800 --> 00:25:06,040
Speaker 3: four players on their roster in spring. They just didn't

545
00:25:06,080 --> 00:25:08,679
Speaker 3: have the personnel. It required them to sign forty eight

546
00:25:08,800 --> 00:25:11,359
Speaker 3: freshmen in this year's class. Well, those are going to

547
00:25:11,400 --> 00:25:12,639
Speaker 3: be the people that are going to be playing on

548
00:25:12,720 --> 00:25:15,120
Speaker 3: the field, and it's going to look really, really bad.

549
00:25:15,200 --> 00:25:16,880
Speaker 3: It's going to look just as bad as last year

550
00:25:17,400 --> 00:25:19,359
Speaker 3: for a bunch that gave up five hundred and thirty

551
00:25:19,359 --> 00:25:22,080
Speaker 3: four yards per game on the road, couldn't stop the

552
00:25:22,200 --> 00:25:25,520
Speaker 3: run six point four yards per carry. Now with East Tennessee,

553
00:25:25,600 --> 00:25:29,400
Speaker 3: we've got Cad McNamara who portals in and Jacorey Criswell

554
00:25:29,400 --> 00:25:32,320
Speaker 3: who comes in from North Carolina. There's major talent upgrades

555
00:25:32,320 --> 00:25:35,760
Speaker 3: at wide receiver. These guys should get absolutely whatever they

556
00:25:35,800 --> 00:25:38,439
Speaker 3: want here Offensively, I wouldn't be surprised at all if

557
00:25:38,480 --> 00:25:42,119
Speaker 3: ETSU scores fifty. Will Healey comes in to coach up

558
00:25:42,200 --> 00:25:44,359
Speaker 3: this bunch after Trey Lamb goes to the FBS. We

559
00:25:44,480 --> 00:25:47,080
Speaker 3: all remember Will Healey with Club Litt and he's going

560
00:25:47,160 --> 00:25:50,359
Speaker 3: to bring that sort of energy to ETSU. Murray State

561
00:25:50,440 --> 00:25:53,359
Speaker 3: does not belong in the Missouri Valley Conference. They cannot

562
00:25:53,440 --> 00:25:56,400
Speaker 3: compete with hardly any of the teams on their schedule.

563
00:25:56,520 --> 00:25:59,600
Speaker 3: It's one and eleven or so. It's just Murray States

564
00:25:59,640 --> 00:26:00,640
Speaker 3: and just such a bad way.

565
00:26:00,720 --> 00:26:01,040
Speaker 2: This year.

566
00:26:01,119 --> 00:26:04,040
Speaker 3: We'll see the youth, We'll see the inexperience they've gotten.

567
00:26:04,359 --> 00:26:06,480
Speaker 3: Half of their guys have never played a college game,

568
00:26:07,080 --> 00:26:10,119
Speaker 3: really really in a bad way. Next one here, the

569
00:26:10,320 --> 00:26:12,960
Speaker 3: last one, I'll say. Middle Tennessee is hosting Austin p

570
00:26:13,440 --> 00:26:16,040
Speaker 3: and the projections are under a touchdown and even as

571
00:26:16,080 --> 00:26:16,520
Speaker 3: low as.

572
00:26:16,400 --> 00:26:17,320
Speaker 2: Three and a half here.

573
00:26:17,840 --> 00:26:21,200
Speaker 3: We've got this base based solely on how Middle Tennessee

574
00:26:21,280 --> 00:26:24,440
Speaker 3: performed last season. They really struggled with FCS Tennessee Tech.

575
00:26:25,440 --> 00:26:27,560
Speaker 3: I think we'll see a different urgency here from the

576
00:26:27,600 --> 00:26:30,000
Speaker 3: Blue Raiders in the second year of the system. We've

577
00:26:30,040 --> 00:26:34,560
Speaker 3: got marginal improvement defensively and offensively with Nicholas Vadiado. I

578
00:26:34,640 --> 00:26:36,960
Speaker 3: think they'll remember the film last year and how they

579
00:26:37,080 --> 00:26:39,640
Speaker 3: let Tennessee Tech back in that game in the second half.

580
00:26:40,000 --> 00:26:42,960
Speaker 3: They'll tighten the screws up here. Anything under a touchdown

581
00:26:43,080 --> 00:26:45,000
Speaker 3: I'm laying it with Middle Tennessee in their opener.

582
00:26:45,840 --> 00:26:48,440
Speaker 1: All right, time for my two minute offense here, we're

583
00:26:48,440 --> 00:26:51,320
Speaker 1: gonna start with Marshall traveling to Georgia that there's laying

584
00:26:51,359 --> 00:26:52,920
Speaker 1: a monster number thirty nine and a half.

585
00:26:53,280 --> 00:26:53,920
Speaker 2: I'm gonna lay it.

586
00:26:54,240 --> 00:26:57,399
Speaker 1: Marshall was completely and utterly gutted. They lost all their staff,

587
00:26:57,480 --> 00:27:01,080
Speaker 1: all their top players, sixty new players in total, portaling

588
00:27:01,160 --> 00:27:03,600
Speaker 1: in and Rod Smith their offensive coordinator. He wants to

589
00:27:03,680 --> 00:27:05,840
Speaker 1: run the ball. It's not going to work against Georgia,

590
00:27:06,000 --> 00:27:08,160
Speaker 1: not at all. Georgia. By the way. On the other side,

591
00:27:08,480 --> 00:27:11,000
Speaker 1: Mike Bobo really needs to make a statement. They need

592
00:27:11,119 --> 00:27:13,879
Speaker 1: to show that they have explosiveness on the perimeter. This

593
00:27:14,000 --> 00:27:16,720
Speaker 1: is a receiving corps that not only let down Carson

594
00:27:16,760 --> 00:27:19,239
Speaker 1: Beck last year, they dropped so many passes. So can

595
00:27:19,280 --> 00:27:21,520
Speaker 1: they answer some questions in a positive way with Gunner

596
00:27:21,560 --> 00:27:24,159
Speaker 1: Stockton thrown around the yard? I think so. Now this

597
00:27:24,320 --> 00:27:27,119
Speaker 1: line has not moved past forty because Smart's reputation in

598
00:27:27,160 --> 00:27:29,800
Speaker 1: games like this as he's not gone for the juggular,

599
00:27:29,880 --> 00:27:32,520
Speaker 1: He's not kept his starters in running a full array

600
00:27:32,560 --> 00:27:34,760
Speaker 1: of plays deep into the game. But as I mentioned,

601
00:27:34,800 --> 00:27:36,159
Speaker 1: I think it's got to be a showcase game for

602
00:27:36,240 --> 00:27:37,639
Speaker 1: Mike Bobo. I'm going to go ahead and lay the

603
00:27:37,640 --> 00:27:39,520
Speaker 1: big number because I want to find lots of different

604
00:27:39,520 --> 00:27:42,639
Speaker 1: ways to fade the thundering Herd this season. FAU against

605
00:27:42,640 --> 00:27:45,680
Speaker 1: Maryland over sixty and a half. The Owl's defense is

606
00:27:45,800 --> 00:27:48,080
Speaker 1: going to be dreadful. Zero returning starters, one hundred and

607
00:27:48,080 --> 00:27:51,240
Speaker 1: twentyeth in returning production. Brett Dewhurst is going to be

608
00:27:51,320 --> 00:27:54,080
Speaker 1: calling place here for the very first time with a

609
00:27:54,200 --> 00:27:56,639
Speaker 1: super green unit. And then on the other side here

610
00:27:56,720 --> 00:27:58,960
Speaker 1: with Maryland, you've got Pep Hamilton. He hasn't named a

611
00:27:59,000 --> 00:28:00,840
Speaker 1: starter yet a quarterback, but I think that's actually going

612
00:28:00,880 --> 00:28:02,800
Speaker 1: to help, because you're going to get Milik Washington, You're

613
00:28:02,840 --> 00:28:04,560
Speaker 1: going to get Justin Martin, both of them running the

614
00:28:04,600 --> 00:28:07,320
Speaker 1: full offense as an extended audition. Even if he does

615
00:28:07,560 --> 00:28:09,680
Speaker 1: go ahead and name a starter in the next let's

616
00:28:09,680 --> 00:28:12,680
Speaker 1: call it forty eight hours offensively for the Owls. I

617
00:28:12,880 --> 00:28:15,359
Speaker 1: like what I get with Velcmp throwing de mesr in

618
00:28:15,480 --> 00:28:18,479
Speaker 1: Kittley's point producing offense, and vel Camp is a guy

619
00:28:18,480 --> 00:28:20,359
Speaker 1: who can pick you apart if he has time in

620
00:28:20,440 --> 00:28:22,440
Speaker 1: the pocket. Maryland had the worst pass rush in the

621
00:28:22,480 --> 00:28:24,359
Speaker 1: Big Ten last year. They could be better in the

622
00:28:24,400 --> 00:28:26,720
Speaker 1: secondary with some new pieces. But if bell Camp gets

623
00:28:26,800 --> 00:28:29,119
Speaker 1: that clean pocket, I think he's going to go ahead

624
00:28:29,160 --> 00:28:31,160
Speaker 1: and give them at least let's call it twenty four points.

625
00:28:31,359 --> 00:28:34,360
Speaker 1: I'll say Maryland forty two FAU twenty four go over

626
00:28:34,480 --> 00:28:36,119
Speaker 1: sixty and a half year. And let's close that with

627
00:28:36,280 --> 00:28:39,720
Speaker 1: Rice at Louisiana just on the verge of two touchdowns.

628
00:28:39,760 --> 00:28:41,920
Speaker 1: The rage Incagon's laying thirteen and a half. I'm okay

629
00:28:42,000 --> 00:28:44,320
Speaker 1: with it, and I like Scott abel a lot. I

630
00:28:44,360 --> 00:28:46,080
Speaker 1: think he's going to turn Rice into a tough out

631
00:28:46,160 --> 00:28:48,760
Speaker 1: this season. I think moving forward there'll be a perennial

632
00:28:49,080 --> 00:28:51,320
Speaker 1: six seven to eight win team out of the American

633
00:28:51,360 --> 00:28:53,480
Speaker 1: because of his system. But here's the issue. This is

634
00:28:53,480 --> 00:28:56,640
Speaker 1: a year zero rebuild. He's got a starting quarterback who's

635
00:28:56,640 --> 00:28:59,600
Speaker 1: playing wide receiver last year, transitions back to quarterback. He

636
00:28:59,640 --> 00:29:02,920
Speaker 1: only thirteen career pass attempts. There's going to be an

637
00:29:02,960 --> 00:29:05,800
Speaker 1: issue with them starting slow with also a green offensive line.

638
00:29:05,840 --> 00:29:08,400
Speaker 1: And when you look back on Able, who we've basically

639
00:29:08,440 --> 00:29:12,240
Speaker 1: pumped his tires this whole offseason, really slow and underwhelming

640
00:29:12,320 --> 00:29:15,160
Speaker 1: starts in his openers. If you look at what they've done,

641
00:29:15,360 --> 00:29:18,720
Speaker 1: you at Davidson, some real stinkers in game one, and

642
00:29:18,760 --> 00:29:20,120
Speaker 1: then they get it reved up and then they get

643
00:29:20,160 --> 00:29:21,080
Speaker 1: it going in the right direction.

644
00:29:21,200 --> 00:29:22,440
Speaker 2: So what I'm hoping for is.

645
00:29:22,440 --> 00:29:25,400
Speaker 1: A big Louisiana win here, some inflation in terms of

646
00:29:25,520 --> 00:29:27,040
Speaker 1: the points that the Als are going to catch for

647
00:29:27,080 --> 00:29:28,720
Speaker 1: the rest of the month, and then go ahead and

648
00:29:28,800 --> 00:29:31,200
Speaker 1: start playing them again. This Rice defense, by the way,

649
00:29:31,280 --> 00:29:34,280
Speaker 1: eight new starters in John k as their defensive play caller.

650
00:29:34,720 --> 00:29:36,800
Speaker 1: It's his first time Colin plays in college. He was

651
00:29:36,800 --> 00:29:39,240
Speaker 1: an awesome high school coach in the Houston area, but

652
00:29:39,400 --> 00:29:41,560
Speaker 1: this is a big bump up for him with an

653
00:29:41,560 --> 00:29:44,320
Speaker 1: inexperienced group. I think Walker Howard is going to shred him.

654
00:29:44,400 --> 00:29:47,480
Speaker 1: One of the best quarterbacks talent wise, recruiting services wise

655
00:29:47,720 --> 00:29:49,600
Speaker 1: to start in the G five this season. So I'll

656
00:29:49,640 --> 00:29:53,840
Speaker 1: go ahead with Louisiana. All right, we fit that segment

657
00:29:53,880 --> 00:29:55,440
Speaker 1: in the two minute drill for both of us. We're

658
00:29:55,480 --> 00:29:58,040
Speaker 1: going to close out the episode here with this new

659
00:29:58,120 --> 00:30:01,160
Speaker 1: segment that we are calling the Tug Award. Just visualize

660
00:30:01,200 --> 00:30:03,040
Speaker 1: with me for a moment, close your eyes, the ball

661
00:30:03,120 --> 00:30:05,080
Speaker 1: starting on the fifty yard line. Whenever we have these

662
00:30:05,120 --> 00:30:08,160
Speaker 1: Tug Awards, whoever is right moves the ball ten yards

663
00:30:08,200 --> 00:30:10,280
Speaker 1: at a time, closer to the opposing teams end zone.

664
00:30:10,440 --> 00:30:12,600
Speaker 1: Whoever hits it, We're going to figure out what we're

665
00:30:12,600 --> 00:30:14,400
Speaker 1: given out. But you know, we're gamblers, so there's going

666
00:30:14,480 --> 00:30:16,680
Speaker 1: to be something meaningful, whether it's cash, whether it's a

667
00:30:16,720 --> 00:30:19,640
Speaker 1: prize pack. But you got to hit winners to move

668
00:30:19,760 --> 00:30:22,320
Speaker 1: the ball in this game. So we're starting at midfield

669
00:30:22,560 --> 00:30:26,320
Speaker 1: and our first game is Toledo against Kentucky. I like

670
00:30:26,400 --> 00:30:29,920
Speaker 1: the Rockets, Duck likes the Wildcats seven and a half.

671
00:30:30,160 --> 00:30:32,280
Speaker 1: Getting that hook is key. You know, earlier in the

672
00:30:32,640 --> 00:30:35,240
Speaker 1: offseason this was closer to ten. But I made it

673
00:30:35,280 --> 00:30:38,080
Speaker 1: clear in the Mac preview this is the premier G

674
00:30:38,280 --> 00:30:41,960
Speaker 1: five roster led by a veteran quarterback, splashy skill position

675
00:30:42,120 --> 00:30:45,240
Speaker 1: talent on offense train Him and Rudolph are great weapons

676
00:30:45,480 --> 00:30:47,560
Speaker 1: to be able to have, you know, some really explosive

677
00:30:47,600 --> 00:30:49,920
Speaker 1: places for them. And historically, what do I want to

678
00:30:49,920 --> 00:30:52,440
Speaker 1: do with Jason Kandell and Toledo. I want to play

679
00:30:52,520 --> 00:30:54,760
Speaker 1: them when they're punching up and I want to fade

680
00:30:54,800 --> 00:30:57,160
Speaker 1: them when they're punching down in Mac play. That's how

681
00:30:57,200 --> 00:30:59,640
Speaker 1: you make money when it comes to rocket football.

682
00:31:00,200 --> 00:31:01,320
Speaker 2: This. I mean, if this was a.

683
00:31:01,360 --> 00:31:04,240
Speaker 1: Vintage Mark Soups defense, you know, and they were strong

684
00:31:04,320 --> 00:31:06,840
Speaker 1: in the trenches on both sides of the ball, this

685
00:31:06,960 --> 00:31:09,840
Speaker 1: would be probably a pass for me. But uncharacteristically they

686
00:31:09,920 --> 00:31:12,800
Speaker 1: were soft last year and now they're replacing four starters

687
00:31:12,840 --> 00:31:15,960
Speaker 1: on the offensive line, their entire front seven defensively, and

688
00:31:16,120 --> 00:31:19,200
Speaker 1: Bush Hampden is their offensive coordinator. He is not a

689
00:31:19,280 --> 00:31:22,400
Speaker 1: schematic difference maker. He got fired at Washington, he got

690
00:31:22,480 --> 00:31:25,240
Speaker 1: walked out of that Boise situation. Like this is a

691
00:31:25,280 --> 00:31:28,600
Speaker 1: guy that I think is a liability as a play caller. Now,

692
00:31:28,760 --> 00:31:31,160
Speaker 1: Zach Calsada could be an upgrade very well, could be.

693
00:31:31,200 --> 00:31:33,800
Speaker 1: You know, he's resuscitated his career at the FCS level.

694
00:31:33,960 --> 00:31:36,360
Speaker 1: He's basically bringing in a little bit of juice. But

695
00:31:36,480 --> 00:31:38,960
Speaker 1: Toledo has a really strong secondary. You can make a

696
00:31:38,960 --> 00:31:41,280
Speaker 1: strong argument they had the best G five secondary with

697
00:31:41,360 --> 00:31:44,160
Speaker 1: four of their five starters returning in that defensive backfield.

698
00:31:44,440 --> 00:31:47,240
Speaker 1: And historically they always show up in these spots. They

699
00:31:47,320 --> 00:31:49,760
Speaker 1: beat the stuffing out of Mississippi State last year on

700
00:31:49,800 --> 00:31:52,000
Speaker 1: the road in Starkfield. They took Illinois down to the

701
00:31:52,040 --> 00:31:54,840
Speaker 1: wire in twenty twenty three. They nearly upset Notre Dame

702
00:31:54,920 --> 00:31:57,120
Speaker 1: in South Bend in twenty twenty one. I see them

703
00:31:57,160 --> 00:31:59,560
Speaker 1: doing it again. I'm sprinkling on the money line as well.

704
00:32:00,200 --> 00:32:03,160
Speaker 1: You know, listen, we gotta have some disagreement at some point,

705
00:32:03,400 --> 00:32:07,480
Speaker 1: so you like UK here in Lexington, make your case

706
00:32:07,600 --> 00:32:09,360
Speaker 1: and we'll see who wins the first rounds of the

707
00:32:09,400 --> 00:32:10,000
Speaker 1: tugle war.

708
00:32:10,760 --> 00:32:12,320
Speaker 2: A little head to head, baby, I love it. This

709
00:32:12,440 --> 00:32:13,920
Speaker 2: is gonna be fun, you know.

710
00:32:14,080 --> 00:32:16,680
Speaker 3: I just I know Toledo has head and shoulders, the

711
00:32:16,720 --> 00:32:19,760
Speaker 3: most talented team in the MAC and we're not gonna

712
00:32:19,800 --> 00:32:23,800
Speaker 3: discredit what they're going to do in their league schedule.

713
00:32:23,920 --> 00:32:27,280
Speaker 3: I'm just not sure this team has what they need

714
00:32:27,400 --> 00:32:30,560
Speaker 3: in the defensive front seven, I expect to drop off

715
00:32:30,640 --> 00:32:32,480
Speaker 3: with all of the talent that they replace along the

716
00:32:32,520 --> 00:32:36,000
Speaker 3: defensive line and at linebacker. It's just hard for me

717
00:32:36,160 --> 00:32:39,360
Speaker 3: to not imagine Kentucky going in there, grinding this game

718
00:32:39,440 --> 00:32:41,880
Speaker 3: on the ground and being able to rush for two

719
00:32:41,960 --> 00:32:45,280
Speaker 3: hundred and fifty yards and just completely gashed Toledo's front seven,

720
00:32:45,400 --> 00:32:47,800
Speaker 3: just like they did the last year's MAC champion in

721
00:32:48,200 --> 00:32:50,520
Speaker 3: Ohio University when they beat him forty one to six.

722
00:32:50,960 --> 00:32:54,280
Speaker 3: I think we'll get upgraded quarterback play with Calzada. I

723
00:32:54,400 --> 00:32:59,560
Speaker 3: think that we'll see the Toledo secondary really stressed because

724
00:32:59,560 --> 00:33:02,240
Speaker 3: they're going to have to bring extra guys in to

725
00:33:02,400 --> 00:33:05,880
Speaker 3: defend the run. And I'm just not sure that those

726
00:33:05,960 --> 00:33:09,400
Speaker 3: Toledo receivers are going to see as much space as

727
00:33:09,520 --> 00:33:12,400
Speaker 3: we're used to them seeing. I think everything will be

728
00:33:12,520 --> 00:33:16,360
Speaker 3: contested for Toledo in the past game, It's just a

729
00:33:16,520 --> 00:33:19,720
Speaker 3: tough ask when you've got motivated Stoops. He really needs

730
00:33:19,760 --> 00:33:21,440
Speaker 3: to get some heat off of him. He needs to

731
00:33:21,520 --> 00:33:24,400
Speaker 3: put up a big number right away. If I'm Kentucky

732
00:33:25,240 --> 00:33:28,640
Speaker 3: all week, I've got the Mississippi State film against Toledo

733
00:33:28,840 --> 00:33:31,000
Speaker 3: in in the locker room, and I'm telling my guys, hey,

734
00:33:31,040 --> 00:33:32,400
Speaker 3: you don't want to show up for this one. This

735
00:33:32,560 --> 00:33:35,040
Speaker 3: is what's gonna happen forty one to seventeen. You're gonna

736
00:33:35,040 --> 00:33:38,000
Speaker 3: get your ass whooped. So show up, play hard. We

737
00:33:38,080 --> 00:33:40,040
Speaker 3: need to start our season strong. There's not gonna be

738
00:33:40,080 --> 00:33:42,360
Speaker 3: a lot of opportunities to get some wins. I think

739
00:33:42,440 --> 00:33:45,760
Speaker 3: motivated Stoops is a lot different coach than at complacent Stoops.

740
00:33:45,960 --> 00:33:48,960
Speaker 3: We've got the upgraded quarterback. They're gonna be more talented

741
00:33:49,040 --> 00:33:52,000
Speaker 3: on the offensive line than what Toledo has on the

742
00:33:52,080 --> 00:33:55,520
Speaker 3: defensive trench, at least on paper. I just think we

743
00:33:55,680 --> 00:33:58,480
Speaker 3: see Kentucky grind one out. It's a tough ask for

744
00:33:58,640 --> 00:34:01,080
Speaker 3: this Toledo defense to go in there and stop the Wildcats.

745
00:34:01,120 --> 00:34:02,920
Speaker 3: So I'm laying at seven and a half.

746
00:34:03,400 --> 00:34:05,040
Speaker 1: That'll do it for today's episode of The Group of

747
00:34:05,080 --> 00:34:07,520
Speaker 1: Five Deep Dive under the Big Bets on Campus banner.

748
00:34:07,600 --> 00:34:10,040
Speaker 1: Thanks for tuning in, don't forget to download the free

749
00:34:10,080 --> 00:34:12,080
Speaker 1: award winning Action Network app and leave us a five

750
00:34:12,120 --> 00:34:14,319
Speaker 1: star rating and review wherever you listen to the pod.

751
00:34:14,520 --> 00:34:17,400
Speaker 1: If you haven't already, please subscribe to our YouTube channel.

752
00:34:17,600 --> 00:34:19,920
Speaker 1: Search for BBOC and you'll have access to all of

753
00:34:19,960 --> 00:34:23,040
Speaker 1: our preseason content as well as all the week one

754
00:34:23,200 --> 00:34:25,800
Speaker 1: preview that there's going to be multiple from column and

755
00:34:25,840 --> 00:34:28,279
Speaker 1: stuck for some of that early week action and then

756
00:34:28,280 --> 00:34:30,600
Speaker 1: the rest of it over the weekends. Thanks for listening

757
00:34:30,600 --> 00:34:32,799
Speaker 1: to the Big Bets on Campus podcast for Duck, I'm

758
00:34:32,840 --> 00:34:43,920
Speaker 1: Mike Calabres. We'll catch you here next time. Action Network

759
00:34:44,040 --> 00:34:48,080
Speaker 1: reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you

760
00:34:48,200 --> 00:34:51,320
Speaker 1: care about has a gambling problem, help us available twenty

761
00:34:51,360 --> 00:34:53,520
Speaker 1: four to seven at one eight hundred Gambler