1 00:00:13,039 --> 00:00:15,280 Speaker 1: Hey, guys, ill worre you welcome into a Saturday morning 2 00:00:15,360 --> 00:00:17,640 Speaker 1: edition of the Deal Juice Podcast with me Matt Paralz. 3 00:00:17,720 --> 00:00:20,080 Speaker 1: You guys know to follow me on Twitter at sports 4 00:00:20,120 --> 00:00:21,919 Speaker 1: Talk Matt. You can follow betting pros on Twitter at 5 00:00:21,920 --> 00:00:25,040 Speaker 1: Betting Pros. The offer from BETMGM to Tel sponsored this 6 00:00:25,079 --> 00:00:27,640 Speaker 1: podcast always above me on YouTube ten dollars offer to 7 00:00:27,680 --> 00:00:30,680 Speaker 1: win one hundred and fifty dollars new accounts. Only use 8 00:00:30,720 --> 00:00:32,720 Speaker 1: that promo code juice one fifty when you sign up 9 00:00:32,760 --> 00:00:35,680 Speaker 1: at betmgm dot com. 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Okay, so yesterday was a 16 00:00:52,400 --> 00:00:56,320 Speaker 1: washout two and five brutal, But depending on what number 17 00:00:56,360 --> 00:00:59,880 Speaker 1: you got for the total for Arizona, if you got 18 00:01:00,040 --> 00:01:03,120 Speaker 1: one fifty six and a half, you hit the don't 19 00:01:03,120 --> 00:01:05,680 Speaker 1: bet a parlay parlay, so you hit that six hundred 20 00:01:05,680 --> 00:01:09,120 Speaker 1: parlay plus six hundred parlay I pushed. I got plus 21 00:01:09,160 --> 00:01:10,840 Speaker 1: two to fifty. That's what I got on it. Maybe 22 00:01:10,840 --> 00:01:13,040 Speaker 1: you got plus two sixty. I hit two of the 23 00:01:13,080 --> 00:01:15,440 Speaker 1: three legs. One leg pushes. Most books will push it 24 00:01:15,480 --> 00:01:17,000 Speaker 1: to a two leg parlay. That's what happened to me. 25 00:01:17,160 --> 00:01:19,520 Speaker 1: I got plus two to fifty, so I cashed. But 26 00:01:19,959 --> 00:01:22,319 Speaker 1: most of you got one fifty six and a half 27 00:01:22,560 --> 00:01:24,360 Speaker 1: by the look of it, because most of you were 28 00:01:24,720 --> 00:01:26,800 Speaker 1: showing me tickets, and a lot of you guys were 29 00:01:26,840 --> 00:01:30,160 Speaker 1: showing me plus six hundred cashes. So I'm counting it. Okay. 30 00:01:30,520 --> 00:01:33,960 Speaker 1: After the rough day yesterday, three and five or two 31 00:01:34,040 --> 00:01:36,280 Speaker 1: and five on the plays, we're gonna take it. Okay, 32 00:01:36,280 --> 00:01:38,479 Speaker 1: So three and six now all time on the don't 33 00:01:38,480 --> 00:01:41,319 Speaker 1: bet a parlay parlay, we're gonna count it. I cashed. 34 00:01:41,640 --> 00:01:45,160 Speaker 1: Kind of you guys cashed a lot, So that's good. Coldgate, 35 00:01:45,560 --> 00:01:49,200 Speaker 1: thank you for not fouling late in that game. Colgate 36 00:01:49,320 --> 00:01:52,960 Speaker 1: Chattanooga both get there all other bets. Lakers won the 37 00:01:52,960 --> 00:01:57,680 Speaker 1: game outright against the Raptors out total victory total washout 38 00:01:57,800 --> 00:02:00,720 Speaker 1: rather for those five losses there too, and so down 39 00:02:01,520 --> 00:02:03,240 Speaker 1: about a unit and a half. But the don't bet 40 00:02:03,240 --> 00:02:07,000 Speaker 1: a parlay parlay. If you bet it, you won, and 41 00:02:07,080 --> 00:02:09,320 Speaker 1: you were up for the day. So we head to 42 00:02:09,360 --> 00:02:13,200 Speaker 1: the weekend for round number two of the NCAA Tournament. 43 00:02:13,280 --> 00:02:15,440 Speaker 1: I've got three bets to give you, guys, coming up 44 00:02:15,440 --> 00:02:17,560 Speaker 1: here in just one second. But before we do that, 45 00:02:18,400 --> 00:02:22,840 Speaker 1: I need to tell you a story. So here's the story. So, 46 00:02:23,240 --> 00:02:26,799 Speaker 1: sometimes the world is a crappy place. He Sometimes you 47 00:02:26,840 --> 00:02:28,680 Speaker 1: wake up and you don't know really what the world's 48 00:02:28,720 --> 00:02:30,600 Speaker 1: going to bring to you, and you're like, eh, not 49 00:02:30,720 --> 00:02:32,600 Speaker 1: in love with what's happening out there in the world, 50 00:02:32,680 --> 00:02:35,520 Speaker 1: not in love with where the world is. And then 51 00:02:35,520 --> 00:02:38,760 Speaker 1: you get an email or a DM rather from an 52 00:02:38,800 --> 00:02:43,840 Speaker 1: individual who says, Matt, I'm going to match the five 53 00:02:44,000 --> 00:02:47,480 Speaker 1: thousand dollars that you're raising for the ron McDonald House. 54 00:02:48,520 --> 00:02:51,359 Speaker 1: Then you get a second DM and says Matt, I'm 55 00:02:51,360 --> 00:02:54,640 Speaker 1: going to give you one thousand dollars to the Ronald 56 00:02:54,720 --> 00:02:59,040 Speaker 1: McDonald House. Then we get an email from Celia and 57 00:02:59,080 --> 00:03:03,000 Speaker 1: TJ and say, Matt, we've hit four one hundred orders, 58 00:03:04,080 --> 00:03:08,800 Speaker 1: so we are going to blow the five thousand dollars 59 00:03:09,080 --> 00:03:13,640 Speaker 1: out of the water. We're gonna raise close to, if 60 00:03:13,639 --> 00:03:19,480 Speaker 1: not more, eleven thousand dollars on our fundraiser for the 61 00:03:19,600 --> 00:03:26,359 Speaker 1: Ronald McDonald House. That is unbelievable, I mean so generous, 62 00:03:27,080 --> 00:03:32,000 Speaker 1: so thankful, incredible for you guys. If you've not paid 63 00:03:32,040 --> 00:03:36,240 Speaker 1: your invoice yet, please check your spam and please if 64 00:03:36,240 --> 00:03:38,760 Speaker 1: you've not received an invoice, if you've placed an order 65 00:03:39,000 --> 00:03:41,600 Speaker 1: and the invoice may have gone lost in the ether, 66 00:03:42,040 --> 00:03:45,360 Speaker 1: please check in with the folks at Sweet Sasbakery dot 67 00:03:45,400 --> 00:03:48,200 Speaker 1: com and pay your invoice so they can donate sending 68 00:03:48,280 --> 00:03:50,760 Speaker 1: the cookies and they can donate the money to the 69 00:03:50,840 --> 00:03:54,120 Speaker 1: ron McDonald House. One big lump sun will go next week. 70 00:03:55,040 --> 00:03:58,080 Speaker 1: We'll see how many. Officially we're at for an order 71 00:03:58,200 --> 00:04:03,520 Speaker 1: perspective informent donation, but we are way over and I 72 00:04:03,560 --> 00:04:06,040 Speaker 1: could not be more thankful for the two individuals who 73 00:04:06,040 --> 00:04:09,560 Speaker 1: do not want their names used giving us six grand 74 00:04:10,200 --> 00:04:13,840 Speaker 1: to the ron McDonald House in our efforts chories as 75 00:04:13,920 --> 00:04:17,160 Speaker 1: much money for that charity as possible. So just unbelievable. 76 00:04:17,200 --> 00:04:20,040 Speaker 1: Forget the day right, three and one yesterday, two and 77 00:04:20,120 --> 00:04:22,479 Speaker 1: five today, So it's kind of a wash, right, not 78 00:04:22,600 --> 00:04:27,839 Speaker 1: great to five and six two day window, eh, not great, losers, 79 00:04:28,240 --> 00:04:31,040 Speaker 1: But if you bet the parlay that made up for everything. 80 00:04:31,960 --> 00:04:36,039 Speaker 1: We won on the parlay Houston over Arizona over in Auburn. 81 00:04:36,640 --> 00:04:38,599 Speaker 1: Got there. I told you I liked it, Like I 82 00:04:38,640 --> 00:04:40,720 Speaker 1: don't always do that. When I tell you that I 83 00:04:40,839 --> 00:04:42,640 Speaker 1: like the parlay, I think I'm like hitting it, like 84 00:04:42,720 --> 00:04:45,640 Speaker 1: seventy five percent. When I say this is a parlay, 85 00:04:45,680 --> 00:04:48,560 Speaker 1: I like more than just like I'm trying it out. 86 00:04:48,600 --> 00:04:50,480 Speaker 1: Like no, actually, like I like the parlay. It's actually 87 00:04:50,600 --> 00:04:52,599 Speaker 1: a really good bet. You should make this parlay. So 88 00:04:53,360 --> 00:04:55,320 Speaker 1: that's cool. That's cool. That's good that I hit. So 89 00:04:55,360 --> 00:04:57,200 Speaker 1: that's always excited. So three and six all the time 90 00:04:57,400 --> 00:04:59,760 Speaker 1: for the Don't Bet a Parlay party every Friday. Okay, 91 00:05:00,040 --> 00:05:03,279 Speaker 1: so here's a Saturday. I am not going to do 92 00:05:03,760 --> 00:05:07,039 Speaker 1: the Discord chat for this week. Okay. It's a crazy weekend. 93 00:05:07,200 --> 00:05:10,000 Speaker 1: There's so many games going on, games tipping off. It's 94 00:05:10,080 --> 00:05:13,640 Speaker 1: just kind of it's nonsense. Okay. I might do it 95 00:05:13,680 --> 00:05:17,440 Speaker 1: on Sunday. I might. I don't know. I may hold 96 00:05:17,480 --> 00:05:19,320 Speaker 1: it to next weekend. Just kind of punt on this 97 00:05:19,400 --> 00:05:22,080 Speaker 1: weekend and do it next weekend for the Don't for 98 00:05:22,160 --> 00:05:26,080 Speaker 1: the Discord bet. Maybe Sunday, but not tomorrow. And tomorrow 99 00:05:26,080 --> 00:05:27,240 Speaker 1: I get a lot of stuff going on. I got 100 00:05:27,240 --> 00:05:29,080 Speaker 1: my kid with me. It's it's a mess tomorrow, So 101 00:05:29,240 --> 00:05:32,480 Speaker 1: no discord bet on Saturday. Hopefully maybe on Sunday. Will 102 00:05:32,520 --> 00:05:34,960 Speaker 1: do it, depending on what happens with everything going on. 103 00:05:35,000 --> 00:05:36,880 Speaker 1: I know Sunday for church and a lot of you guys, 104 00:05:36,880 --> 00:05:38,680 Speaker 1: it's not a great day to do it on Sunday, 105 00:05:39,080 --> 00:05:41,120 Speaker 1: but I might do it on Sunday. More on that 106 00:05:41,160 --> 00:05:44,920 Speaker 1: on tomorrow's podcast. But here's what we're doing for today. 107 00:05:45,160 --> 00:05:48,919 Speaker 1: Three bets for the NCAA tournaments. Two of them you 108 00:05:48,920 --> 00:05:52,520 Speaker 1: probably can guess. But I'm going to do two straight 109 00:05:52,560 --> 00:05:59,280 Speaker 1: bets in one teaser. You might go, Matt, look, I'll explain, 110 00:05:59,560 --> 00:06:01,760 Speaker 1: but I think I need to tease these games. I 111 00:06:01,760 --> 00:06:05,800 Speaker 1: think it's actually a decent it's minus one thirty, but 112 00:06:05,880 --> 00:06:09,719 Speaker 1: I actually like it. Don't normally recommend teasers, Normally they're 113 00:06:09,720 --> 00:06:12,600 Speaker 1: pretty stupid. But i'll explain here in a second. All right, 114 00:06:12,720 --> 00:06:16,160 Speaker 1: first bet for the day today, let's talk about Providence 115 00:06:16,200 --> 00:06:19,640 Speaker 1: in Richmond. A lot of folks love Richmond. People are 116 00:06:19,640 --> 00:06:24,760 Speaker 1: gonna fade Providence again. They're due to lose. They're not 117 00:06:24,920 --> 00:06:28,520 Speaker 1: that good. Richmond's gonna beat them a ten champion, they're hot, 118 00:06:28,600 --> 00:06:33,640 Speaker 1: blah blah, blah, Providence one. Providence covered linees two and 119 00:06:33,680 --> 00:06:37,080 Speaker 1: a half. Providence is eighteen and thirteen ats. They're nine 120 00:06:37,120 --> 00:06:39,839 Speaker 1: to five on the road, Richmond thirteen and eight against 121 00:06:39,880 --> 00:06:42,000 Speaker 1: the spread on the road. They've covered the last four 122 00:06:42,320 --> 00:06:47,240 Speaker 1: VCU Dayton David in Iowa. Pretty damn impressive. They're hot. 123 00:06:48,320 --> 00:06:52,640 Speaker 1: Nine point win for Providence. Here's the thing. Look at 124 00:06:52,680 --> 00:06:55,600 Speaker 1: Ken Pom and what Ken Pom thinks. They think Richmond 125 00:06:55,640 --> 00:06:57,520 Speaker 1: wins this SORR. I think Providence wins this game by 126 00:06:57,520 --> 00:07:01,640 Speaker 1: three to seventy sixty seven wins and for Providence lines 127 00:07:01,680 --> 00:07:07,680 Speaker 1: two and a half. Providence wins these games, low scoring, 128 00:07:08,240 --> 00:07:11,840 Speaker 1: tight games, hard fought, laying two and a half. I 129 00:07:11,880 --> 00:07:15,960 Speaker 1: am writing, I am taking the date that got me there. Okay, 130 00:07:16,520 --> 00:07:19,160 Speaker 1: not giving up on Providence now, not jumping up the 131 00:07:19,200 --> 00:07:22,840 Speaker 1: Providence bandwagon. Now, we've been on the friars forever. We're 132 00:07:22,880 --> 00:07:26,240 Speaker 1: staying with it. Providence minus two and a half for 133 00:07:26,560 --> 00:07:31,920 Speaker 1: a half a unit, Okay, second bet, it's a teaser. 134 00:07:33,600 --> 00:07:38,760 Speaker 1: Arkansas has a matchup up against New Mexico State. I 135 00:07:38,800 --> 00:07:42,200 Speaker 1: think there's a chance that Arkansas kills Mexico State. But 136 00:07:42,480 --> 00:07:45,240 Speaker 1: they were red hot in their game against Yukon. They 137 00:07:45,280 --> 00:07:47,560 Speaker 1: don't shoot well. They're a bad shooting team, and they 138 00:07:47,600 --> 00:07:50,640 Speaker 1: shot really well against Yukon. What happens if they shoot 139 00:07:50,640 --> 00:07:52,960 Speaker 1: really well again. It's a little bit of a fear 140 00:07:53,000 --> 00:07:56,400 Speaker 1: in my part. Ken Pom has it as a five 141 00:07:56,480 --> 00:08:00,120 Speaker 1: point victory to six and a half point line. What 142 00:08:00,160 --> 00:08:01,360 Speaker 1: do we do if we take it to take a 143 00:08:01,400 --> 00:08:04,640 Speaker 1: six point teaser and we pull Arkansas from six and 144 00:08:04,680 --> 00:08:08,560 Speaker 1: a half down to a half a point, all Arkansas 145 00:08:08,600 --> 00:08:12,120 Speaker 1: has to do is win the game. Win the game. 146 00:08:13,040 --> 00:08:19,040 Speaker 1: Arkansas win the game. Okay, Arkansas minds a half a point? 147 00:08:19,560 --> 00:08:24,200 Speaker 1: What's the second leg? Matt Kansas up against the Creighton 148 00:08:24,200 --> 00:08:27,320 Speaker 1: Blue Jays. Creighton Blue Jays are not going to have 149 00:08:28,000 --> 00:08:32,360 Speaker 1: Cal Brenner available. They're star center, sophomore defensive player of 150 00:08:32,400 --> 00:08:36,400 Speaker 1: the year. This is bad. This is really really bad 151 00:08:36,440 --> 00:08:40,719 Speaker 1: for the Creighton Blue Jays. Lines eleven okay, eleven and 152 00:08:40,760 --> 00:08:45,000 Speaker 1: a half. Actually, this is, according to Ken Palm, an 153 00:08:45,040 --> 00:08:48,320 Speaker 1: eleven point win over the Creighton Blue Jays. The Jays 154 00:08:48,440 --> 00:08:50,679 Speaker 1: just might be able to keep this game close and 155 00:08:50,800 --> 00:08:54,080 Speaker 1: Kansas might actually not take this game all that. Seriously, 156 00:08:54,520 --> 00:08:57,160 Speaker 1: I'm a little concerned about that. So if you take 157 00:08:57,200 --> 00:08:59,320 Speaker 1: the KU line of eleven and a half and you 158 00:08:59,360 --> 00:09:01,600 Speaker 1: pull it down to five and a half. Six point 159 00:09:01,640 --> 00:09:07,640 Speaker 1: teaser Arkansas minus a half a point, Kansas minus five 160 00:09:07,679 --> 00:09:11,520 Speaker 1: and a half for minus one thirty. It is not 161 00:09:11,559 --> 00:09:14,360 Speaker 1: a bet I normally would make, but I think ten 162 00:09:14,440 --> 00:09:16,960 Speaker 1: points plus is a little bit too heavy. But the 163 00:09:17,000 --> 00:09:21,560 Speaker 1: potential for Ku to kill Creton is high. Arkansas just 164 00:09:21,600 --> 00:09:25,480 Speaker 1: to win backdoor cover is a potential. If the mesical 165 00:09:25,520 --> 00:09:27,920 Speaker 1: state hits a month of shots, they might get killed. 166 00:09:28,160 --> 00:09:31,040 Speaker 1: Kansas might kill Crating. It's very possible that both these 167 00:09:31,080 --> 00:09:34,040 Speaker 1: teams just route and it's six and a half and 168 00:09:34,080 --> 00:09:35,920 Speaker 1: it's eleven and a half, and you could have just 169 00:09:36,080 --> 00:09:40,120 Speaker 1: parlayed them together and hit. But because of my fear, 170 00:09:41,000 --> 00:09:44,280 Speaker 1: I'm gonna tease it. Six point teaser at minus one 171 00:09:44,400 --> 00:09:49,640 Speaker 1: thirty for a half a unit Arkansas minus five sorry 172 00:09:49,720 --> 00:09:53,400 Speaker 1: point five minus point five in Kansas minus five and 173 00:09:53,400 --> 00:09:56,760 Speaker 1: a half for a two leg six point teaser. Here 174 00:09:57,040 --> 00:10:00,240 Speaker 1: for the games on Saturday, and the last place I'm 175 00:10:00,240 --> 00:10:03,640 Speaker 1: gonna make, We're gonna go to the Saint Peter's Murray 176 00:10:03,679 --> 00:10:08,160 Speaker 1: State game. All right, Saint Peter's beat Kentucky. They're flying 177 00:10:08,400 --> 00:10:12,200 Speaker 1: really really high. Fifteen seed. Kem Pom has this as 178 00:10:12,240 --> 00:10:16,200 Speaker 1: an eight point win for Murray State, who has been outstanding. 179 00:10:16,600 --> 00:10:20,319 Speaker 1: Murray State's been just raring to go, been drilling. The 180 00:10:20,400 --> 00:10:23,280 Speaker 1: last game that Murray State lost was to Auburn on 181 00:10:23,400 --> 00:10:29,120 Speaker 1: December the twenty second, Hello Incredible went to overtime with 182 00:10:29,240 --> 00:10:32,440 Speaker 1: San Francisco winning the game ninety to eighty seven. Low 183 00:10:32,480 --> 00:10:35,400 Speaker 1: scoring game being projected sixty eight to sixty against Saint 184 00:10:35,400 --> 00:10:38,760 Speaker 1: Peter's because of their defense. I think the dog is 185 00:10:38,840 --> 00:10:42,160 Speaker 1: live here. I think the under is live here again. 186 00:10:42,320 --> 00:10:45,559 Speaker 1: Nine points to play with with Saint Peter's. I'm gonna 187 00:10:45,600 --> 00:10:49,120 Speaker 1: lay the nine points here with Saint Peter's given what 188 00:10:49,200 --> 00:10:52,199 Speaker 1: they have done this season and just how good defensively 189 00:10:52,520 --> 00:10:55,840 Speaker 1: they have been. I mean, the total is one thirty 190 00:10:55,880 --> 00:11:00,240 Speaker 1: in this game, one thirty. It's extremely low total. I mean, 191 00:11:00,280 --> 00:11:03,560 Speaker 1: you look at just the overall ability to score. Saint 192 00:11:03,559 --> 00:11:06,360 Speaker 1: Peters has been an under machine, eighteen and twelve to 193 00:11:06,400 --> 00:11:09,600 Speaker 1: the under, twenty one and nine ats for Saint Peter's, 194 00:11:09,800 --> 00:11:12,440 Speaker 1: seventeen twelve and one for Murray State, but fourteen and 195 00:11:12,520 --> 00:11:15,360 Speaker 1: four on the road for Saint Peter's. They have covered 196 00:11:15,559 --> 00:11:20,000 Speaker 1: their last eight games, eight game cover street going for 197 00:11:20,080 --> 00:11:23,800 Speaker 1: Saint Peter's. I like it. Let's take the points they beat. 198 00:11:23,880 --> 00:11:26,640 Speaker 1: Kentucky outright is eighteen and a half point favorites. If 199 00:11:26,640 --> 00:11:28,640 Speaker 1: Saint Peters wins the game outright and goes to the 200 00:11:28,640 --> 00:11:31,200 Speaker 1: Sweet sixteen, I would favor SAT. I would would fade 201 00:11:31,200 --> 00:11:33,920 Speaker 1: Saint Peter's. But in this game, I'm getting nine points 202 00:11:34,240 --> 00:11:37,480 Speaker 1: taking Saint Peter's plus nine for a half a unit. Okay, 203 00:11:38,440 --> 00:11:41,880 Speaker 1: three plays to start, Maybe more will wake up. We'll 204 00:11:41,880 --> 00:11:44,800 Speaker 1: see how the numbers move around. Any value, any play 205 00:11:44,840 --> 00:11:47,560 Speaker 1: that I like. We're going Providence minus two and a half, 206 00:11:48,160 --> 00:11:53,120 Speaker 1: two team teaser, six point teaser, Arkansas minus point five, 207 00:11:53,480 --> 00:11:56,240 Speaker 1: Kansas minus five and a half at minus one thirty 208 00:11:56,360 --> 00:11:59,360 Speaker 1: for a half a unit in Saint Peter's plus nine 209 00:12:00,080 --> 00:12:03,679 Speaker 1: for a half a unit as well. Three plays on 210 00:12:03,760 --> 00:12:08,240 Speaker 1: the Discord channel bettingpros dot com, slash chat link underneath 211 00:12:08,280 --> 00:12:10,800 Speaker 1: me here on YouTube. More plays most likely to come 212 00:12:10,920 --> 00:12:14,360 Speaker 1: later on today here on a Saturday minus Matt Parolt. 213 00:12:14,440 --> 00:12:16,880 Speaker 1: Follow me on Twitter at sports Talk Matt. Each and 214 00:12:16,880 --> 00:12:19,840 Speaker 1: every morning It's the Dally Juice Podcast. I was being 215 00:12:19,840 --> 00:12:32,560 Speaker 1: brought to you by BEDAMGM