1 00:00:01,040 --> 00:00:03,360 Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody, the betting pros. It's time to place 2 00:00:03,440 --> 00:00:05,720 Speaker 1: your bets. It's B Joey P joe pis a PA 3 00:00:05,720 --> 00:00:08,719 Speaker 1: and this is BP NFL. It's time to look ahead 4 00:00:08,720 --> 00:00:11,039 Speaker 1: to week five in the NFL for the best bets. 5 00:00:11,240 --> 00:00:15,080 Speaker 1: Andrew ericson the Undertaker is back from the wedding madness 6 00:00:15,160 --> 00:00:19,200 Speaker 1: last week, and what a job done by Debro three 7 00:00:19,239 --> 00:00:21,919 Speaker 1: and two. There you go above five hundred. That's what 8 00:00:22,000 --> 00:00:25,800 Speaker 1: you needed there. And of course Terrell had a very 9 00:00:25,840 --> 00:00:28,639 Speaker 1: good week four and one last week. Terrell, how does 10 00:00:28,680 --> 00:00:30,479 Speaker 1: it feel to be the man on top of the 11 00:00:30,560 --> 00:00:32,959 Speaker 1: mountain right now? Twelve and eight on the year, let's go. 12 00:00:33,360 --> 00:00:35,720 Speaker 2: Yeah. Of course the Dallas Cowboys were the one loss, 13 00:00:36,080 --> 00:00:39,960 Speaker 2: but you know when you got that offense and forty 14 00:00:40,040 --> 00:00:42,360 Speaker 2: forty is the tie game, then you know what it is. 15 00:00:42,400 --> 00:00:42,919 Speaker 2: What it is. 16 00:00:43,040 --> 00:00:43,960 Speaker 1: But it's all. 17 00:00:43,800 --> 00:00:46,240 Speaker 2: Good, it's all good. Four and one. I'll take it 18 00:00:46,440 --> 00:00:49,000 Speaker 2: very I'm very much feeling the pressure. I'm trying to 19 00:00:49,040 --> 00:00:51,040 Speaker 2: have a really good week two weeks in a row. 20 00:00:51,120 --> 00:00:53,920 Speaker 1: So let's do it all right, let's kick things off here. 21 00:00:53,920 --> 00:00:56,200 Speaker 1: Don't forget to subscribe to the channel. That's we're trying 22 00:00:56,200 --> 00:00:57,840 Speaker 1: to get you to do right now, trying to get 23 00:00:57,840 --> 00:00:59,800 Speaker 1: the one hundred thousand subscribers this year, we could do 24 00:00:59,840 --> 00:01:02,840 Speaker 1: it or help so again, like this video share, subscribe 25 00:01:02,880 --> 00:01:04,840 Speaker 1: it to us against the world. So let's get on 26 00:01:04,880 --> 00:01:07,960 Speaker 1: board here, Terrel, since you are the big man from 27 00:01:08,000 --> 00:01:10,039 Speaker 1: week four, why don't you kick us off for week five? Here, 28 00:01:10,080 --> 00:01:13,119 Speaker 1: and let's start with two teams in desperation mode, the 29 00:01:13,160 --> 00:01:17,600 Speaker 1: Texans and the Ravens. Somebody's gonna be obsolete after this game, 30 00:01:17,680 --> 00:01:21,399 Speaker 1: and Lamar Jackson obviously banged up in this one. So 31 00:01:21,840 --> 00:01:24,520 Speaker 1: where are we going for this Texans Ravens contest? 32 00:01:25,520 --> 00:01:29,280 Speaker 2: Yeah, for this one. I watched that game last weekend. 33 00:01:29,319 --> 00:01:32,399 Speaker 2: I saw the quit in the Ravens. I saw this 34 00:01:32,480 --> 00:01:35,080 Speaker 2: Ravens team give up, and it doesn't look like that 35 00:01:35,080 --> 00:01:38,520 Speaker 2: that's gonna be anything that's rectified in one week's time. 36 00:01:38,880 --> 00:01:40,680 Speaker 2: This is a team that's quit right now. This is 37 00:01:40,720 --> 00:01:42,720 Speaker 2: a team with the horrible defense, and now they are 38 00:01:42,760 --> 00:01:47,120 Speaker 2: without their MVP. Ravens are four and nine without Lamar Jackson, 39 00:01:47,240 --> 00:01:51,760 Speaker 2: averaging sixteen points six points per game. Defense is not 40 00:01:51,880 --> 00:01:54,160 Speaker 2: doing them any favors. Over the course of the season, 41 00:01:54,320 --> 00:01:57,400 Speaker 2: averaging thirty three point three points per game, most in 42 00:01:57,440 --> 00:02:00,680 Speaker 2: the NFL's second most yards in the NFL going up 43 00:02:00,720 --> 00:02:04,400 Speaker 2: against the Texans defensive front that has the number one 44 00:02:04,480 --> 00:02:08,320 Speaker 2: scoring defense. And while c J. Stroud has not looked 45 00:02:08,360 --> 00:02:11,000 Speaker 2: like c J. Stroud of his rookie year in a while, 46 00:02:11,440 --> 00:02:13,679 Speaker 2: he completed seventy nine percent of his passes last week 47 00:02:13,680 --> 00:02:17,320 Speaker 2: against that Titans defense. That's really bad. They put up 48 00:02:17,320 --> 00:02:21,160 Speaker 2: two points against this team last year in front of Beyonce. 49 00:02:22,560 --> 00:02:26,160 Speaker 2: I just want to clarify this. This Texans team put 50 00:02:26,240 --> 00:02:28,840 Speaker 2: up two points against the Ravens in front of Beyonce 51 00:02:29,040 --> 00:02:32,400 Speaker 2: at home last year. So I think this is a 52 00:02:32,560 --> 00:02:35,600 Speaker 2: great revenge bounce back spots. I know that they're still 53 00:02:35,600 --> 00:02:37,360 Speaker 2: feeling that and they're saying, hey, we want to go 54 00:02:37,400 --> 00:02:40,440 Speaker 2: out here and have a great offensive day. And sure enough, 55 00:02:40,440 --> 00:02:43,400 Speaker 2: the Ravens defense is just i mean seven to eleven 56 00:02:43,480 --> 00:02:46,200 Speaker 2: always open. So yeah, I'm gonna go with the Texans 57 00:02:46,200 --> 00:02:47,880 Speaker 2: here laying one and a half. I think that they 58 00:02:47,919 --> 00:02:50,280 Speaker 2: are going to come in and beat the Ravens. This 59 00:02:50,360 --> 00:02:53,919 Speaker 2: Ravens team hasn't shown me anything, especially after Lamar Jackson 60 00:02:53,960 --> 00:02:55,600 Speaker 2: went down against the Chiefs last week. 61 00:02:56,160 --> 00:02:58,799 Speaker 1: All right, don't forget to thank Beyonce. Everybody make sure 62 00:02:58,800 --> 00:03:01,320 Speaker 1: on the way out. All right, Erickson, let's get to 63 00:03:01,360 --> 00:03:03,600 Speaker 1: you here, and let's start with your first bet of 64 00:03:03,680 --> 00:03:06,800 Speaker 1: the week. And let's start in London, where you have 65 00:03:06,880 --> 00:03:10,960 Speaker 1: Dylan Gabriel now taking on the Minnesota Vikings. So change 66 00:03:10,960 --> 00:03:14,000 Speaker 1: a QB. Everybody thought it would be after the London game. No, no, no, 67 00:03:14,520 --> 00:03:16,720 Speaker 1: So let this kid start on a neutral field. Sure, 68 00:03:16,800 --> 00:03:19,320 Speaker 1: why not? By the way, the best bet you can make, 69 00:03:19,400 --> 00:03:22,600 Speaker 1: By the way, we could go wrong, Terrell, my favorite bet. 70 00:03:22,639 --> 00:03:24,200 Speaker 1: I can't do it right now. I'm just waiting for 71 00:03:24,280 --> 00:03:26,919 Speaker 1: it to open up. Carson Wentz pick Dylan Gabriel, pick 72 00:03:27,000 --> 00:03:29,840 Speaker 1: over on Judkins Garries. Put those three things together. It's 73 00:03:29,880 --> 00:03:32,959 Speaker 1: my unofficial parlay of the week. But Ericson, let's talk 74 00:03:33,000 --> 00:03:36,480 Speaker 1: about the Baltimore excuse me, the Cleveland Browns here and 75 00:03:36,680 --> 00:03:39,560 Speaker 1: the Minnesota Vikings and how you see this one shaping up. 76 00:03:39,920 --> 00:03:42,320 Speaker 3: I like the Vikings here laying the three and a 77 00:03:42,360 --> 00:03:45,760 Speaker 3: half points. I think that traditionally you always want to 78 00:03:45,760 --> 00:03:48,680 Speaker 3: bet against rookie quarterbacks making their first starts. Now, this 79 00:03:48,720 --> 00:03:52,480 Speaker 3: isn't technically a road start for Dylan Gabriel, but it 80 00:03:52,520 --> 00:03:54,160 Speaker 3: kind of is because it's not at home, and that's 81 00:03:54,200 --> 00:03:54,960 Speaker 3: really the big thing here. 82 00:03:55,000 --> 00:03:55,040 Speaker 2: Is. 83 00:03:55,120 --> 00:03:57,440 Speaker 3: The Cleveland Browns are a very different team when they're 84 00:03:57,480 --> 00:04:00,320 Speaker 3: not playing in Cleveland, especially when they play on the 85 00:04:00,320 --> 00:04:02,440 Speaker 3: their last seven road games, they're zero and seven against 86 00:04:02,440 --> 00:04:04,440 Speaker 3: is Bread on the road. They've played two road games 87 00:04:04,520 --> 00:04:07,200 Speaker 3: this year, two games at home. They've been blown out 88 00:04:07,240 --> 00:04:09,360 Speaker 3: in both of the road games that they've played this season, 89 00:04:09,400 --> 00:04:11,720 Speaker 3: and they've kept both home games very very close. The 90 00:04:11,760 --> 00:04:14,680 Speaker 3: defense plays significantly better when they're playing in Cleveland. I 91 00:04:14,680 --> 00:04:18,200 Speaker 3: think that makes a big difference against the Minnesota Vikings. 92 00:04:18,360 --> 00:04:20,520 Speaker 3: Carson Wentz not the best quarterback in the world, but 93 00:04:20,560 --> 00:04:23,200 Speaker 3: can even better than Dylan Gabriel by a little bit 94 00:04:23,240 --> 00:04:26,120 Speaker 3: more than a field goal, I think. So Brian Flores 95 00:04:26,240 --> 00:04:29,600 Speaker 3: is no easy test for any quarterback, let alone a 96 00:04:29,720 --> 00:04:32,560 Speaker 3: rookie quarterback making his first start in the NFL. So 97 00:04:32,760 --> 00:04:35,120 Speaker 3: the Browns are down on their offensive line. That's a 98 00:04:35,120 --> 00:04:39,120 Speaker 3: big issue for them. So I'm not optimistic about Gabriel 99 00:04:39,160 --> 00:04:42,400 Speaker 3: making this first start a memorable one. At least four 100 00:04:42,480 --> 00:04:46,160 Speaker 3: Browns fans across the nation. So just the stats when 101 00:04:46,160 --> 00:04:48,800 Speaker 3: it comes to rookie quarterbacks. So this is from visen 102 00:04:49,800 --> 00:04:51,799 Speaker 3: if you look at them when they make their early 103 00:04:51,880 --> 00:04:54,040 Speaker 3: season start, So technically this is an early season start, 104 00:04:54,080 --> 00:04:56,880 Speaker 3: but it's Gabriel's first start six twenty six and one 105 00:04:56,920 --> 00:04:58,919 Speaker 3: straight up twelve to twenty and one against the spread. 106 00:04:58,920 --> 00:05:01,960 Speaker 3: That's thirty six percent in the last twenty four games 107 00:05:02,080 --> 00:05:05,280 Speaker 3: weeks one through three, twenty nine to twelve towards the under. Again, 108 00:05:05,320 --> 00:05:07,560 Speaker 3: that's why there's this total for this game is very, 109 00:05:07,640 --> 00:05:09,320 Speaker 3: very low because we're not expecting a lot of points 110 00:05:09,760 --> 00:05:13,120 Speaker 3: from either sides and rookie quarterbacks, specifically on the road. 111 00:05:13,440 --> 00:05:15,839 Speaker 3: When you want to back a rookie quarterback like last 112 00:05:15,839 --> 00:05:18,080 Speaker 3: week Jackson dart Well who's at home, like that makes 113 00:05:18,080 --> 00:05:20,600 Speaker 3: a significant difference. But they're not playing at home. It's 114 00:05:20,640 --> 00:05:22,479 Speaker 3: much tougher for these rookies to cover the numbers, so 115 00:05:22,560 --> 00:05:25,200 Speaker 3: especially when they're small road dogs forty two percent against 116 00:05:25,200 --> 00:05:27,279 Speaker 3: the spread when catching plus four and a half or 117 00:05:27,440 --> 00:05:29,760 Speaker 3: fewer points. So I'm going to be rolling with the 118 00:05:29,760 --> 00:05:32,560 Speaker 3: Minnesota Viking here to bounce back after the loss last 119 00:05:32,600 --> 00:05:33,960 Speaker 3: week against the Steelers. 120 00:05:34,360 --> 00:05:37,279 Speaker 1: All Right, it could be memorable, Andrew, just maybe not 121 00:05:37,320 --> 00:05:39,360 Speaker 1: in a good way. I mean, memorable is the very 122 00:05:39,440 --> 00:05:41,960 Speaker 1: eye of the beholder. Term Terrell. Let's go back to 123 00:05:42,000 --> 00:05:45,960 Speaker 1: you here. Let's talk about the Commanders. Obviously coming off 124 00:05:46,200 --> 00:05:47,960 Speaker 1: a tough game last week, So what do you see 125 00:05:48,000 --> 00:05:49,799 Speaker 1: the Commander's doing in a week five? 126 00:05:50,520 --> 00:05:51,720 Speaker 2: Yeah, I think it is still going to be a 127 00:05:51,760 --> 00:05:54,320 Speaker 2: little bit of sub sledding for the Commanders here. I'm 128 00:05:54,360 --> 00:05:58,279 Speaker 2: taking them on the under of their team total in 129 00:05:58,360 --> 00:06:00,000 Speaker 2: this game. I don't think that they're going to get 130 00:06:00,160 --> 00:06:02,720 Speaker 2: over twenty four points here, So give me under twenty 131 00:06:02,760 --> 00:06:05,600 Speaker 2: three and a half for this Commanders team. I think 132 00:06:05,600 --> 00:06:08,080 Speaker 2: it's going to be a struggle one because you're going 133 00:06:08,160 --> 00:06:14,960 Speaker 2: up against a Chargers defense that won flying around the ball. 134 00:06:15,160 --> 00:06:17,600 Speaker 2: You have Jaydon Daniels in this Commander's team who are 135 00:06:17,880 --> 00:06:20,560 Speaker 2: or are not good on the road. In fact, the offense 136 00:06:20,640 --> 00:06:22,880 Speaker 2: just hasn't looked the same with Jye Daniels, and they 137 00:06:22,880 --> 00:06:24,880 Speaker 2: haven't gotten over this line with Jayan Daniels in the 138 00:06:24,920 --> 00:06:27,320 Speaker 2: helm in the two games he actually played in this season. 139 00:06:27,480 --> 00:06:31,479 Speaker 2: Marcus Mariota, however, to and oh has nothing to do 140 00:06:31,560 --> 00:06:34,000 Speaker 2: with anything, But I just want to say Jane Danielson's 141 00:06:34,080 --> 00:06:36,200 Speaker 2: line zho and two marks Mario too and oh. It 142 00:06:36,200 --> 00:06:38,159 Speaker 2: looks like Daniels is going to play here. I think 143 00:06:38,160 --> 00:06:40,960 Speaker 2: he's still really really beat up in this spot. Jim 144 00:06:41,040 --> 00:06:43,440 Speaker 2: Harball after a loss, really really good I think that 145 00:06:43,480 --> 00:06:45,800 Speaker 2: he's gonna go. And the defense still played really well 146 00:06:45,839 --> 00:06:47,480 Speaker 2: for them. It was the fact that they couldn't find 147 00:06:47,520 --> 00:06:49,679 Speaker 2: any offense and the Joe All injury and the injuries 148 00:06:49,680 --> 00:06:52,200 Speaker 2: along the offensive line really really threw off Herbert and 149 00:06:52,279 --> 00:06:54,120 Speaker 2: so if they make the adjustments over the week, the 150 00:06:54,160 --> 00:06:56,479 Speaker 2: offense could be better. But I don't need the Chargers 151 00:06:56,480 --> 00:06:58,440 Speaker 2: offense to be better. I just need the defense to 152 00:06:58,440 --> 00:07:00,440 Speaker 2: stay locked in as they've been all year, and so 153 00:07:00,480 --> 00:07:02,480 Speaker 2: I think that they're going to continue to keep this going. 154 00:07:02,920 --> 00:07:06,360 Speaker 2: A cross country road spot for this Commander's team as well. 155 00:07:06,600 --> 00:07:08,679 Speaker 2: I think this is a nice bounce back for the Chargers, 156 00:07:08,680 --> 00:07:10,040 Speaker 2: and I think it's just going to be in terms 157 00:07:10,120 --> 00:07:12,440 Speaker 2: of points. So hey, maybe this is a low scoring 158 00:07:12,480 --> 00:07:14,720 Speaker 2: game and Daniels has some Daniels magic at the end 159 00:07:14,760 --> 00:07:16,880 Speaker 2: of the game. I want nothing to do with the side. 160 00:07:16,920 --> 00:07:18,840 Speaker 2: Give me the under on the team total for the Commanders. 161 00:07:18,840 --> 00:07:20,600 Speaker 2: I don't think that they're going to put up over twenty, 162 00:07:20,640 --> 00:07:22,080 Speaker 2: So give me under twenty three and a half. 163 00:07:22,680 --> 00:07:25,480 Speaker 1: All right, Carolina and Miami are going to lock up. 164 00:07:25,640 --> 00:07:28,560 Speaker 1: And Andrew Rickson, if he loves one thing, I know 165 00:07:28,600 --> 00:07:31,480 Speaker 1: he loves to bet Carolina Panther football. I hope someday 166 00:07:31,560 --> 00:07:33,520 Speaker 1: they let you bang the drum down there, kid, That's 167 00:07:33,520 --> 00:07:34,960 Speaker 1: what I want you to be able to do. So 168 00:07:35,080 --> 00:07:37,760 Speaker 1: bang the drums for this game here, and let's go 169 00:07:37,880 --> 00:07:38,560 Speaker 1: Andrew Rickson. 170 00:07:39,120 --> 00:07:41,760 Speaker 3: Yeah, I really thought I really wanted to bet on 171 00:07:41,840 --> 00:07:44,480 Speaker 3: the Carolina Panthers here against the spread and probably just 172 00:07:44,480 --> 00:07:46,360 Speaker 3: to win out right. And I know that they click 173 00:07:46,520 --> 00:07:48,840 Speaker 3: they classify for the closed your eyespecially because they got 174 00:07:48,880 --> 00:07:51,600 Speaker 3: blown out by the Patriots last week and points at home. 175 00:07:52,160 --> 00:07:56,040 Speaker 3: That being said, Miami is a small favorite here, and 176 00:07:56,160 --> 00:07:59,400 Speaker 3: Miami has a track record of winning against bad teams 177 00:07:59,600 --> 00:08:02,480 Speaker 3: when they're so that's the only thing that's shying me 178 00:08:02,520 --> 00:08:05,000 Speaker 3: away from just betting the sides in this game, because 179 00:08:05,040 --> 00:08:08,240 Speaker 3: I'm just not confident enough with Carolina that they're not 180 00:08:08,720 --> 00:08:11,320 Speaker 3: a good team. That they just aren't. I don't think 181 00:08:11,320 --> 00:08:13,200 Speaker 3: that I'm going out on a limb saying that. But 182 00:08:13,560 --> 00:08:15,800 Speaker 3: they do tend to play better at home, and the 183 00:08:15,840 --> 00:08:18,560 Speaker 3: Miami Dolphins tend to play better against bad teams. So 184 00:08:19,120 --> 00:08:21,520 Speaker 3: what happens when you mix us all together? You get Hey, 185 00:08:21,880 --> 00:08:23,720 Speaker 3: I think these offenses can probably score against two of 186 00:08:23,800 --> 00:08:26,240 Speaker 3: the worst defenses in the NFL, So I'm going over 187 00:08:26,280 --> 00:08:28,040 Speaker 3: forty three and a half points. I think this total 188 00:08:28,080 --> 00:08:30,120 Speaker 3: is very, very low when you're looking at two of 189 00:08:30,200 --> 00:08:33,160 Speaker 3: the worst defenses in the NFL. Miami's defense ranks thirty 190 00:08:33,160 --> 00:08:35,599 Speaker 3: first and pass defensive efficiency. I think it's going to 191 00:08:35,679 --> 00:08:38,959 Speaker 3: create opportunities for Bryce Young Tetro McMillan to create splash 192 00:08:39,000 --> 00:08:41,920 Speaker 3: plays down the field. The Panthers they can't stop the 193 00:08:42,000 --> 00:08:44,719 Speaker 3: run and they can't put pressure on quarterbacks. So if 194 00:08:44,720 --> 00:08:46,520 Speaker 3: Tuo has time in the pocket, he can get it 195 00:08:46,559 --> 00:08:49,240 Speaker 3: to Jayla Wattle Leak Washington one eight chance should have 196 00:08:49,280 --> 00:08:52,040 Speaker 3: a monster game running the football against the Carolina Panthers 197 00:08:52,120 --> 00:08:54,400 Speaker 3: defense that can't stop the run. Seven of the panthers 198 00:08:54,520 --> 00:08:57,120 Speaker 3: last eight games at home have gone over the total 199 00:08:57,160 --> 00:08:59,280 Speaker 3: points line. So I will take the over here. Bet 200 00:08:59,320 --> 00:09:02,120 Speaker 3: on both these teams offenses against these terrible defenses. 201 00:09:03,080 --> 00:09:04,920 Speaker 1: All right, Remember today's show is brought to you by 202 00:09:05,000 --> 00:09:08,160 Speaker 1: hard Rock Sports Book. Okay, the hard Rock bet app 203 00:09:08,280 --> 00:09:11,640 Speaker 1: is ready for you, so we downloaded today. And remember 204 00:09:11,679 --> 00:09:13,760 Speaker 1: Week five is gonna kick off tonight with a California 205 00:09:13,760 --> 00:09:15,760 Speaker 1: show down between the San Francisco forty nine ers and 206 00:09:15,800 --> 00:09:17,920 Speaker 1: the Los Angeles Rams. And you can check out the 207 00:09:17,920 --> 00:09:20,760 Speaker 1: Streaks too at the hard Rock Bets Stats Hob McCaffrey 208 00:09:21,120 --> 00:09:23,640 Speaker 1: has reached the end zone in six straight October games. 209 00:09:23,760 --> 00:09:26,240 Speaker 1: You can count on him just like Pumpkin season. 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Stop waiting hard 227 00:10:13,080 --> 00:10:16,160 Speaker 1: Rock Bet Download the app right now. Payble and bonus bets, 228 00:10:16,200 --> 00:10:18,000 Speaker 1: not a cash offer offered by the Seminole Tribe of 229 00:10:18,000 --> 00:10:20,520 Speaker 1: Florida in Florida, offered by Seminal hard Rock Digital LLC. 230 00:10:20,600 --> 00:10:24,959 Speaker 1: In other states. Must be twenty one and physically president Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Illinois, Indiana, 231 00:10:25,000 --> 00:10:27,360 Speaker 1: New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, or Virginia to play. Terms and 232 00:10:27,360 --> 00:10:30,040 Speaker 1: conditions apply. Concerned about gambling in Florida called one eight 233 00:10:30,080 --> 00:10:32,600 Speaker 1: eight eight Admit it in Indiana. If you are somebody 234 00:10:32,559 --> 00:10:34,400 Speaker 1: you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 235 00:10:34,480 --> 00:10:36,839 Speaker 1: one eight hundred and nine with it gambling problem called 236 00:10:36,840 --> 00:10:40,680 Speaker 1: one hundred gambler in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, in New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, Virginia. 237 00:10:40,840 --> 00:10:43,280 Speaker 1: Let's get to number three on the list for the 238 00:10:43,320 --> 00:10:48,280 Speaker 1: gentlemen today, and let's start with Jets. Jets. Jets, Jets 239 00:10:48,320 --> 00:10:50,439 Speaker 1: take it on the Cowboys. The Cowboys defense thrella is 240 00:10:50,480 --> 00:10:52,960 Speaker 1: the team that keeps on given and the team total 241 00:10:53,040 --> 00:10:55,720 Speaker 1: is very, very tempting here for the New York Jets. 242 00:10:56,080 --> 00:10:58,199 Speaker 2: Yeah, I will take the over on that team total. 243 00:10:58,240 --> 00:11:02,200 Speaker 2: Give me Jets team over twenty three and a half here. 244 00:11:02,360 --> 00:11:05,199 Speaker 2: I think they're gonna put up an enormous amount of 245 00:11:05,200 --> 00:11:08,000 Speaker 2: points here on this Cowboys defense that can't stop the run, 246 00:11:08,280 --> 00:11:11,200 Speaker 2: can't stop running quarterbacks, honestly can't stop anything. Couldn't stop 247 00:11:11,200 --> 00:11:13,120 Speaker 2: a those bleed if he gave it to him. The 248 00:11:13,280 --> 00:11:16,959 Speaker 2: Cowboys giving up most yards allowed per game this season 249 00:11:17,200 --> 00:11:20,600 Speaker 2: four to twenty point five. Second most points per game 250 00:11:20,600 --> 00:11:23,240 Speaker 2: thirty three points per game. The Jets, they've been moving 251 00:11:23,240 --> 00:11:26,240 Speaker 2: the ball, they just jet it up like that's it. 252 00:11:26,559 --> 00:11:28,400 Speaker 2: The Jets will move the ball, but then they just 253 00:11:28,480 --> 00:11:30,600 Speaker 2: jet up the game. And that's really what the issue 254 00:11:30,640 --> 00:11:33,040 Speaker 2: is here. The Jets lost three fumbles and had thirteen 255 00:11:33,040 --> 00:11:37,000 Speaker 2: accepted penalties last week and somehow outgained Miami by one 256 00:11:37,080 --> 00:11:40,000 Speaker 2: hundred and four yards. This Jets team is actually like 257 00:11:40,040 --> 00:11:42,760 Speaker 2: the offense is actually really really solid, and nobody's talking 258 00:11:42,760 --> 00:11:45,200 Speaker 2: about it. The third in the NFL in rushing, they're 259 00:11:45,200 --> 00:11:48,760 Speaker 2: actually have the fifth most rushing yards in history of 260 00:11:48,920 --> 00:11:52,800 Speaker 2: zero to four teams in the NFL. Justin Fields through 261 00:11:52,840 --> 00:11:55,240 Speaker 2: two full games. Everybody wants to talk about, Oh, when 262 00:11:55,360 --> 00:11:57,800 Speaker 2: Jalen Hurts starts and finishes a game, Well, when Justin 263 00:11:57,800 --> 00:12:00,200 Speaker 2: Fields has started to finish a game, This season. He's 264 00:12:00,200 --> 00:12:02,760 Speaker 2: seventy three point five percent completion percentage, nine point one 265 00:12:02,840 --> 00:12:05,160 Speaker 2: yards per attempt, and two hundred and eighty six and 266 00:12:05,160 --> 00:12:09,079 Speaker 2: a half total offensive yards per game, five touchdowns, one interception, 267 00:12:09,440 --> 00:12:12,800 Speaker 2: and a one to fourteen passer rating. He's been very good. 268 00:12:13,080 --> 00:12:14,959 Speaker 2: Just don't put the ball on the ground. That's all 269 00:12:15,000 --> 00:12:15,360 Speaker 2: I ask. 270 00:12:15,760 --> 00:12:16,200 Speaker 1: That's it. 271 00:12:16,480 --> 00:12:18,640 Speaker 2: Just don't put the ball on the ground. That's all 272 00:12:18,679 --> 00:12:20,920 Speaker 2: I need, because the Cowboys aren't going to stop anything 273 00:12:20,920 --> 00:12:23,800 Speaker 2: on the ground. Justin Fields is a capable passer. He's 274 00:12:23,840 --> 00:12:25,680 Speaker 2: gonna put up a bunch of points on this Cowboys 275 00:12:25,720 --> 00:12:29,080 Speaker 2: defense that is also lasting opponents third down percentage. So 276 00:12:29,120 --> 00:12:31,760 Speaker 2: you're telling me that on third down, you're letting teams convert. 277 00:12:31,880 --> 00:12:34,280 Speaker 2: If you let this Jets offense convert on third down, 278 00:12:34,520 --> 00:12:36,920 Speaker 2: they're going to get in the end zone. Jets are 279 00:12:36,920 --> 00:12:38,679 Speaker 2: three and one to the over this season, and nine 280 00:12:38,720 --> 00:12:40,720 Speaker 2: and two to the over their last eleven games. I 281 00:12:40,800 --> 00:12:43,800 Speaker 2: like the over overall, but I mean, how would I 282 00:12:43,800 --> 00:12:46,760 Speaker 2: feel if I lost this over because the Cowboys offense 283 00:12:46,800 --> 00:12:48,880 Speaker 2: decided to not show up for a game. So I'm 284 00:12:49,080 --> 00:12:49,720 Speaker 2: just take the Jets. 285 00:12:49,760 --> 00:12:50,000 Speaker 3: Give me. 286 00:12:50,040 --> 00:12:51,520 Speaker 2: The Jets team sowed over twenty. 287 00:12:51,320 --> 00:12:53,280 Speaker 1: Three and a half all right, there you have. By 288 00:12:53,320 --> 00:12:54,520 Speaker 1: the way, should they put the ball on the ground, 289 00:12:54,520 --> 00:12:57,320 Speaker 1: Trill just not sure. Don't don't put the ball. 290 00:12:57,800 --> 00:12:58,720 Speaker 2: Put the ball on the ground. 291 00:12:59,520 --> 00:13:01,720 Speaker 1: I tell you we wanted the ball. I couldn't tell 292 00:13:01,800 --> 00:13:02,680 Speaker 1: from the way you were saying it. 293 00:13:02,720 --> 00:13:04,240 Speaker 3: I don't know what Aaron Gun's gonna do if they 294 00:13:04,360 --> 00:13:13,199 Speaker 3: put the. 295 00:13:10,000 --> 00:13:11,560 Speaker 1: Don't put the ball on the ground. All right, Let's 296 00:13:11,559 --> 00:13:15,920 Speaker 1: revisit something from our hot take opening Monday show here 297 00:13:16,000 --> 00:13:20,240 Speaker 1: on the Betting Pros Network, because Andrew, we kind of 298 00:13:20,280 --> 00:13:22,320 Speaker 1: talked about, you know, the Giants riding high and the 299 00:13:22,360 --> 00:13:24,280 Speaker 1: emotion of that game, and it feels like it might 300 00:13:24,280 --> 00:13:26,160 Speaker 1: be an emotional letdown for the New York Giants as 301 00:13:26,240 --> 00:13:29,600 Speaker 1: they travel to New Orleans, who was pretty plucky against 302 00:13:29,640 --> 00:13:32,640 Speaker 1: the blow Bills. And I'm glad that Terrell is kind 303 00:13:32,640 --> 00:13:34,160 Speaker 1: of already on board with this because it makes me 304 00:13:34,160 --> 00:13:36,520 Speaker 1: feel even better about it. But we talked about Saints' 305 00:13:36,559 --> 00:13:39,560 Speaker 1: money line just outright, just just take it and see 306 00:13:39,559 --> 00:13:42,840 Speaker 1: how it goes. And you are still there on Thursday, 307 00:13:42,920 --> 00:13:44,880 Speaker 1: so nothing has changed for you. So for those people 308 00:13:44,920 --> 00:13:48,200 Speaker 1: who missed Monday's show, talk to them about why the 309 00:13:48,280 --> 00:13:51,120 Speaker 1: Saints on this particular week. 310 00:13:51,240 --> 00:13:54,440 Speaker 3: Well, it's interesting because the lines have moved in favor 311 00:13:54,480 --> 00:13:56,959 Speaker 3: of the Saints. When we talked about it on Monday, 312 00:13:57,040 --> 00:13:59,440 Speaker 3: the Saints were underdogs at home, and now they are 313 00:13:59,559 --> 00:14:02,240 Speaker 3: favorite at home against the New York Giants. So it's 314 00:14:02,280 --> 00:14:03,840 Speaker 3: not by a lot. So I'm not going to mess 315 00:14:03,840 --> 00:14:05,720 Speaker 3: around with the minus one and a half. I just 316 00:14:05,720 --> 00:14:07,000 Speaker 3: want to take the Saints on the money line. That 317 00:14:07,040 --> 00:14:08,920 Speaker 3: was my pick on Monday, and I haven't jumped off that. 318 00:14:09,240 --> 00:14:12,720 Speaker 3: I already talked about rookie quarterbacks making their early starts, 319 00:14:13,679 --> 00:14:15,240 Speaker 3: you want to bet against them when they're playing on 320 00:14:15,280 --> 00:14:18,079 Speaker 3: the road. So this is Jackson Dart's first road start. 321 00:14:18,480 --> 00:14:21,520 Speaker 3: I don't think that offensively, the Giants can kind of 322 00:14:21,560 --> 00:14:24,080 Speaker 3: sneak up on the Saints like they did with the Chargers, 323 00:14:24,080 --> 00:14:25,680 Speaker 3: to think a little bit, because there was not a 324 00:14:25,720 --> 00:14:27,600 Speaker 3: lot of film on Jackson Dart and what he would 325 00:14:27,600 --> 00:14:29,520 Speaker 3: do in this offense. Now he's played a full game, 326 00:14:29,800 --> 00:14:31,720 Speaker 3: so I think the Saints can react to that a 327 00:14:31,720 --> 00:14:34,080 Speaker 3: little bit more game plan. Where the Chargers were kind 328 00:14:34,080 --> 00:14:35,240 Speaker 3: of flying the blind. 329 00:14:34,920 --> 00:14:35,280 Speaker 4: A little bit. 330 00:14:35,400 --> 00:14:37,920 Speaker 3: They had some preseason of Jackson Dart, but the offense 331 00:14:37,920 --> 00:14:39,960 Speaker 3: look way different, a lot more RPOs, not exactly what 332 00:14:39,960 --> 00:14:42,200 Speaker 3: they were doing with Russell Wilson under center. So I 333 00:14:42,200 --> 00:14:45,280 Speaker 3: think that works an advantage for the New Orleans Saints. 334 00:14:46,080 --> 00:14:48,840 Speaker 3: Spencer Rattler is zero to ten as a starter. He's 335 00:14:48,880 --> 00:14:51,240 Speaker 3: not a get many chances to win a game as 336 00:14:51,280 --> 00:14:54,440 Speaker 3: an NFL quarterback. This is a game that both franchises 337 00:14:54,480 --> 00:14:56,960 Speaker 3: were circling when they looked at the schedule. Hey, this 338 00:14:57,000 --> 00:14:59,600 Speaker 3: is where we can get a w. The Giants they 339 00:14:59,640 --> 00:15:02,040 Speaker 3: got their already, they beat the Chargers last week. I 340 00:15:02,080 --> 00:15:03,840 Speaker 3: don't know how many games Saints are gonna win this year, 341 00:15:03,880 --> 00:15:05,640 Speaker 3: but this is a game that they can win. The 342 00:15:05,640 --> 00:15:08,160 Speaker 3: market is telling us that, hey, they expect the Saints 343 00:15:08,200 --> 00:15:10,160 Speaker 3: to win this game. You want to looking at what 344 00:15:10,240 --> 00:15:13,080 Speaker 3: is the worst unit on the field. I think it's 345 00:15:13,080 --> 00:15:14,080 Speaker 3: the Giants run defense. 346 00:15:14,240 --> 00:15:14,920 Speaker 4: It's been terrible. 347 00:15:15,000 --> 00:15:17,760 Speaker 3: It's been terrible all year long. Thirty first in rushing EPA, 348 00:15:17,840 --> 00:15:20,160 Speaker 3: actually dead last EPA allowed against the run this year. 349 00:15:20,640 --> 00:15:23,240 Speaker 3: And what do we see the Saints unlock last week 350 00:15:23,280 --> 00:15:27,880 Speaker 3: against Buffalo the run game, Kamara running, Kendre Miller, Spencer Ratler. 351 00:15:28,200 --> 00:15:30,680 Speaker 3: Everyone's talking about how great Jackson Dart is with his legs. 352 00:15:31,000 --> 00:15:33,720 Speaker 3: Spencer Ratler can pick up yards too as a runner. 353 00:15:33,760 --> 00:15:36,200 Speaker 3: So I think there's enough working in the Saints favor 354 00:15:36,240 --> 00:15:40,800 Speaker 3: here that they kind of blow up the Jackson Dart out, 355 00:15:40,920 --> 00:15:43,000 Speaker 3: you know, coming out party where oh it's gonna be 356 00:15:43,000 --> 00:15:45,280 Speaker 3: the best thing ever. They just lost my Lakighbors. He's 357 00:15:45,280 --> 00:15:47,480 Speaker 3: their best player on offense. So I think if this 358 00:15:47,520 --> 00:15:50,240 Speaker 3: past game struggles, they can put pressure on Jackson Dart, 359 00:15:50,600 --> 00:15:51,840 Speaker 3: force him into some turnovers. 360 00:15:52,200 --> 00:15:53,920 Speaker 4: I like the Saints at home, if. 361 00:15:53,760 --> 00:15:55,560 Speaker 1: Neighbors was healthy, you think they would have been still 362 00:15:55,560 --> 00:15:57,080 Speaker 1: in favor of the Giants. Do you think they would 363 00:15:57,120 --> 00:15:57,960 Speaker 1: have held on? 364 00:15:59,120 --> 00:15:59,560 Speaker 4: I think so. 365 00:15:59,640 --> 00:16:01,400 Speaker 3: I mean I think that he's I mean, he's so 366 00:16:01,560 --> 00:16:03,760 Speaker 3: he's such an integral part of this offense. And replacing 367 00:16:03,800 --> 00:16:06,160 Speaker 3: him with guys like Wanda Robinson and Darius Slayton, it's 368 00:16:06,160 --> 00:16:09,200 Speaker 3: just like those guys aren't need a Moversslak Neighbors when 369 00:16:09,200 --> 00:16:11,840 Speaker 3: he's healthy, I mean, he's a top five receiver talent. 370 00:16:12,680 --> 00:16:15,160 Speaker 1: Yeah, all right, keep the conversation going, everybody on our 371 00:16:15,160 --> 00:16:18,760 Speaker 1: discord betting pros dot com slash chat. It's free, it's fun, 372 00:16:19,200 --> 00:16:22,960 Speaker 1: and of course we're talking NBA, NFL, MLB, NHL player props. 373 00:16:23,000 --> 00:16:25,880 Speaker 1: All of it live with expert handicappers who can provide 374 00:16:25,920 --> 00:16:28,080 Speaker 1: you with free picks for all of the above. So 375 00:16:28,280 --> 00:16:32,160 Speaker 1: don't wait right now, go to bettingpros dot com slash 376 00:16:32,360 --> 00:16:35,920 Speaker 1: chat and join our discord. Terrell, you you have something 377 00:16:36,000 --> 00:16:37,840 Speaker 1: exciting to share with the rest of the class. Is 378 00:16:37,840 --> 00:16:40,960 Speaker 1: that what's going on? No? No, no, you know, just 379 00:16:40,960 --> 00:16:41,400 Speaker 1: just just. 380 00:16:42,880 --> 00:16:45,680 Speaker 2: It's a it's a good letdown spot for designs. Just 381 00:16:46,000 --> 00:16:50,160 Speaker 2: last two seasons, rookie quarterbacks that actually won their first 382 00:16:50,200 --> 00:16:53,360 Speaker 2: start completely crap the bit. 383 00:16:53,320 --> 00:16:54,080 Speaker 4: The next dame. 384 00:16:55,720 --> 00:17:02,440 Speaker 2: Much I mean Williams, Caleb Williams, Michael Pennix look good, 385 00:17:02,480 --> 00:17:09,399 Speaker 2: still lost, and most recently this season. JJ, yeah, I 386 00:17:09,440 --> 00:17:11,480 Speaker 2: mean he thinked that he faked an injury. 387 00:17:11,600 --> 00:17:12,159 Speaker 1: He faked it. 388 00:17:12,200 --> 00:17:19,000 Speaker 2: That's how bad it was. He thanked an injury. It's 389 00:17:19,040 --> 00:17:21,160 Speaker 2: not looking good from dark. It's not all right. 390 00:17:21,400 --> 00:17:24,520 Speaker 1: It's not looking real good for the Bengals this year either, 391 00:17:24,640 --> 00:17:28,199 Speaker 1: speaking of quarterbacks that are hurt. So both the guys 392 00:17:28,280 --> 00:17:31,560 Speaker 1: have feelings about this game. But are they the same? 393 00:17:31,840 --> 00:17:34,200 Speaker 1: Let's find out. Let's talk about the Lions and Bengals 394 00:17:34,240 --> 00:17:35,200 Speaker 1: for all. Why don't you start? 395 00:17:35,960 --> 00:17:38,679 Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm taking Lions late and a half. Like what 396 00:17:38,720 --> 00:17:42,280 Speaker 2: am I doing here? I have no idea who would 397 00:17:42,359 --> 00:17:45,560 Speaker 2: possibly be betting the Bengals in this spot after seeing 398 00:17:45,600 --> 00:17:48,400 Speaker 2: what happened on Monday night, and I mean they got 399 00:17:48,400 --> 00:17:51,000 Speaker 2: out gay by like five or the yards. Who is 400 00:17:51,080 --> 00:17:55,080 Speaker 2: betting the Bengals in this spot? I have no idea 401 00:17:55,119 --> 00:17:58,000 Speaker 2: who's putting money on the Bengals. What I will tell 402 00:17:58,040 --> 00:18:00,280 Speaker 2: you about the Lions though, since Week one, and they 403 00:18:00,280 --> 00:18:02,720 Speaker 2: have won and covered all three of their games, all 404 00:18:02,760 --> 00:18:04,639 Speaker 2: by twelve plus points. So they covered the line in 405 00:18:04,640 --> 00:18:06,960 Speaker 2: all these games since the started last season, They're fifteen 406 00:18:07,000 --> 00:18:10,159 Speaker 2: to five and one ats. They have the fifth highest 407 00:18:10,160 --> 00:18:12,800 Speaker 2: pressure rate in the NFL this season. And I think 408 00:18:12,880 --> 00:18:15,399 Speaker 2: that Jay Browning is gonna be like a deer in 409 00:18:15,440 --> 00:18:17,840 Speaker 2: headlights and have no idea what to do. He actually 410 00:18:18,080 --> 00:18:20,080 Speaker 2: might have just gotten a little old like that's just 411 00:18:20,160 --> 00:18:23,000 Speaker 2: might would have been. You know sometimes year after year, 412 00:18:23,080 --> 00:18:25,560 Speaker 2: them old joints don't get to move in as much anymore. 413 00:18:25,640 --> 00:18:28,600 Speaker 2: And I'm selling you he's he just does. He looks 414 00:18:28,600 --> 00:18:30,879 Speaker 2: like a shell, like a shell. At one point he 415 00:18:31,000 --> 00:18:33,920 Speaker 2: was a competent quarterback. He's no longer competent at all. 416 00:18:34,119 --> 00:18:37,160 Speaker 2: And to tell you, I'll add this, the Closer Eyes 417 00:18:37,200 --> 00:18:44,000 Speaker 2: Special was so great this season, undefeated, undefeated until the 418 00:18:44,040 --> 00:18:46,960 Speaker 2: Cincinnati Bengals that's not a team I want to get behind. 419 00:18:46,960 --> 00:18:49,480 Speaker 2: I'm sorry, I can't do nothing with that. So give 420 00:18:49,520 --> 00:18:52,000 Speaker 2: me the Detroit Lions. I'm laying ten and a half. 421 00:18:52,080 --> 00:18:54,280 Speaker 2: I'm going shock again. We had him last week at 422 00:18:54,320 --> 00:18:55,640 Speaker 2: cash and taking them again this week. 423 00:18:56,760 --> 00:19:00,000 Speaker 1: So for the answer to the question who could possibly 424 00:19:00,160 --> 00:19:04,080 Speaker 1: like the Bengals, I present lais and gentlemen, mister Ericsson. 425 00:19:05,840 --> 00:19:09,560 Speaker 3: Who me yes, I am taking the Bengals plus ten 426 00:19:09,560 --> 00:19:13,680 Speaker 3: and a half points. The process play, you take home underdogs. 427 00:19:13,680 --> 00:19:16,639 Speaker 3: If you're getting double digit points, that's just that's just 428 00:19:16,680 --> 00:19:19,440 Speaker 3: sports betting. NFL one on one, you take double digit 429 00:19:19,440 --> 00:19:21,959 Speaker 3: home dogs. And now I have a bunch of more 430 00:19:22,000 --> 00:19:23,959 Speaker 3: reasons why I like the Bengals in this spot. So 431 00:19:24,200 --> 00:19:27,040 Speaker 3: they have played three of their four games on the 432 00:19:27,119 --> 00:19:29,640 Speaker 3: road this season, they've played one home game. 433 00:19:30,160 --> 00:19:31,879 Speaker 4: Who did they beat? Who is their quarterback? 434 00:19:31,920 --> 00:19:33,800 Speaker 3: From the majority of that game? It was Jake Browning 435 00:19:33,840 --> 00:19:35,959 Speaker 3: against the Jacksonville Jaguars. They won that game and their 436 00:19:36,000 --> 00:19:39,440 Speaker 3: offense looked great. Because sometimes teams play better at home 437 00:19:39,480 --> 00:19:41,159 Speaker 3: than they do on the road. That's been apparent with 438 00:19:41,240 --> 00:19:43,760 Speaker 3: the Bengals with Jake Browning as their quarterback. Jake Browning 439 00:19:43,760 --> 00:19:46,080 Speaker 3: as a starting quarterback one and seven on the road, 440 00:19:46,520 --> 00:19:50,439 Speaker 3: six and two straight up at home. So I'm expecting 441 00:19:50,480 --> 00:19:53,280 Speaker 3: these Bengals offense to play significantly better in front of 442 00:19:53,280 --> 00:19:55,160 Speaker 3: the home crowd and not on the road. Again, one 443 00:19:55,160 --> 00:19:58,320 Speaker 3: of their biggest issues is their offensive line. Offensive lines 444 00:19:58,359 --> 00:20:00,840 Speaker 3: bad ones don't travel well. Oh yeah, they have an 445 00:20:00,840 --> 00:20:03,760 Speaker 3: advantage when you have the crowd working in your favor 446 00:20:04,119 --> 00:20:07,159 Speaker 3: to change up protections at the line of scrimmage. So 447 00:20:07,200 --> 00:20:10,040 Speaker 3: that works for the Bengals. Another thing that thought was 448 00:20:10,040 --> 00:20:12,080 Speaker 3: really interesting Zach Taylor. Since he took over as the 449 00:20:12,080 --> 00:20:14,760 Speaker 3: Bengals head coach in twenty nineteen, no team has performed 450 00:20:14,800 --> 00:20:18,679 Speaker 3: better against the spread off rest disadvantage than him. So 451 00:20:19,040 --> 00:20:21,560 Speaker 3: where I think the market is overvaluing all the Bengals 452 00:20:21,600 --> 00:20:23,719 Speaker 3: playing on a short week, They're going to be tired, 453 00:20:24,040 --> 00:20:27,240 Speaker 3: that's not actually been the case. Sixteen four and one 454 00:20:27,240 --> 00:20:31,040 Speaker 3: against the spread with rest disadvantage of the Bengals eighty percent. 455 00:20:31,760 --> 00:20:34,399 Speaker 3: I'm backing that type of number with double digit points 456 00:20:34,440 --> 00:20:36,920 Speaker 3: at home. Back at home for Jake Browning, where he's 457 00:20:36,960 --> 00:20:38,760 Speaker 3: performed at a much higher level. Then you just look 458 00:20:38,800 --> 00:20:40,960 Speaker 3: at the matchup itself. The lines are down like a 459 00:20:41,000 --> 00:20:43,200 Speaker 3: multiple starters in their secondary I don't hear anybody talking 460 00:20:43,200 --> 00:20:46,640 Speaker 3: about that. Oh who's going to cover Jamar Chase. I'm 461 00:20:46,640 --> 00:20:49,560 Speaker 3: not optimistic that these lines can stop him. So I 462 00:20:49,600 --> 00:20:51,680 Speaker 3: am backing the Bengals here because the narrative has gone 463 00:20:51,680 --> 00:20:54,360 Speaker 3: way too far calling for Jake Browning's job when he's 464 00:20:54,359 --> 00:20:57,000 Speaker 3: had two tough matchup against the Minnesota Vikings at Denver 465 00:20:57,040 --> 00:21:00,280 Speaker 3: Broncos on the road. A lot of quarterbacks wouldn't play 466 00:21:00,280 --> 00:21:03,120 Speaker 3: well in that situation. So I'm taking the Bengals plus 467 00:21:03,200 --> 00:21:03,760 Speaker 3: ten and a half. 468 00:21:04,920 --> 00:21:07,639 Speaker 1: All right, So the guys are on different sides of 469 00:21:07,680 --> 00:21:10,360 Speaker 1: the spectrum on this one. One will be right though. 470 00:21:10,480 --> 00:21:12,360 Speaker 1: We'll have to tune in next week to see who 471 00:21:12,359 --> 00:21:14,960 Speaker 1: it is. All right, Terrell, Let's walk through the last 472 00:21:15,040 --> 00:21:16,679 Speaker 1: of the five here and then we'll get to the 473 00:21:16,720 --> 00:21:20,040 Speaker 1: Upset Special off the Week and the SG Joey p 474 00:21:20,280 --> 00:21:22,040 Speaker 1: of the Week two. All right, So let's talk about 475 00:21:22,040 --> 00:21:25,560 Speaker 1: the Eagles and Broncos. And the number here is forty 476 00:21:25,560 --> 00:21:27,480 Speaker 1: three and a half. He's taking the over or the under. 477 00:21:28,280 --> 00:21:31,480 Speaker 2: Yeah, give me the under in this game under forty 478 00:21:31,520 --> 00:21:34,600 Speaker 2: three and a half. Here, it's the Vic Fangio revenge game. 479 00:21:35,000 --> 00:21:37,800 Speaker 2: He's gonna have the defense at least trying to play 480 00:21:37,800 --> 00:21:40,119 Speaker 2: a little bit better. Honestly, this is less about the 481 00:21:40,160 --> 00:21:43,000 Speaker 2: Eagles defense and this is more about the Broncos defense 482 00:21:43,080 --> 00:21:48,239 Speaker 2: and the huh whatever the heck this Eagles offense is. 483 00:21:48,280 --> 00:21:53,040 Speaker 2: Because would you believe that the Philadelphia Eagles four and 484 00:21:53,080 --> 00:21:57,560 Speaker 2: oh lead the league in three and out rate north 485 00:21:57,600 --> 00:22:01,760 Speaker 2: to fort of their of their drives. They're going three 486 00:22:01,800 --> 00:22:04,800 Speaker 2: and out and they are four and oh this team, 487 00:22:04,960 --> 00:22:06,960 Speaker 2: Oh my gosh, what if I say it, I'm a hater. 488 00:22:07,119 --> 00:22:08,840 Speaker 2: If I say it, I'm a hater. Jalen hurts this 489 00:22:08,880 --> 00:22:11,119 Speaker 2: offensive line. Remember when the offensive line for the Eagles 490 00:22:11,160 --> 00:22:12,880 Speaker 2: was just the best thing since sliced bread. 491 00:22:13,200 --> 00:22:13,400 Speaker 1: Oh. 492 00:22:13,720 --> 00:22:15,879 Speaker 2: He's been pressured on forty three point seven percent of 493 00:22:15,920 --> 00:22:18,480 Speaker 2: his drop backs this season. That's fourth highest in the NFL, 494 00:22:18,880 --> 00:22:22,280 Speaker 2: only behind justin Fields, brock Perty and cam Ward of 495 00:22:22,400 --> 00:22:27,520 Speaker 2: all quarterbacks, whereas the Broncos lead the NFL NQB pressure 496 00:22:27,560 --> 00:22:31,680 Speaker 2: rate forty eight point one percent. AJ Brown is going 497 00:22:31,720 --> 00:22:37,880 Speaker 2: out there and getting crucified for demanding the ball when 498 00:22:37,920 --> 00:22:41,120 Speaker 2: the offense looks like crap and they have the highest 499 00:22:41,119 --> 00:22:44,400 Speaker 2: three and out rate in the entire league, and everybody's 500 00:22:44,480 --> 00:22:47,920 Speaker 2: mad at AJ Brown for demanding the ball because they're 501 00:22:47,960 --> 00:22:52,720 Speaker 2: four and oh, it's gonna wear off at some point. 502 00:22:52,800 --> 00:22:55,399 Speaker 2: You're not gonna keep winning these games. You have to 503 00:22:55,440 --> 00:22:57,160 Speaker 2: find a way to move the football and you got 504 00:22:57,160 --> 00:22:59,320 Speaker 2: to get it to their best player. And guess what, 505 00:22:59,440 --> 00:23:01,960 Speaker 2: you can't do that, you can't do it at all. 506 00:23:02,119 --> 00:23:05,040 Speaker 2: I predict after this game, Eagles fans will be calling 507 00:23:05,080 --> 00:23:07,520 Speaker 2: for the OC's job, as they do every time the 508 00:23:07,560 --> 00:23:10,080 Speaker 2: Eagles offense looks a little bit off because they have 509 00:23:10,160 --> 00:23:12,560 Speaker 2: no idea what they're talking about. Because they think this 510 00:23:12,600 --> 00:23:15,000 Speaker 2: team is good. They're not as good as everybody makes 511 00:23:15,040 --> 00:23:17,560 Speaker 2: them out to be. So no, no, they're not gonna 512 00:23:17,560 --> 00:23:20,600 Speaker 2: put up a bunch of points. Ultimately, this is also 513 00:23:20,640 --> 00:23:23,560 Speaker 2: a fade of Boknicks, who doesn't play as well at 514 00:23:23,600 --> 00:23:25,639 Speaker 2: on the road as he does at home. The numbers 515 00:23:25,720 --> 00:23:29,000 Speaker 2: drop off two hundred and fifty yards per game at 516 00:23:29,040 --> 00:23:31,880 Speaker 2: home and one ninety three per game on the road. 517 00:23:31,880 --> 00:23:34,479 Speaker 2: The touchdowns go down on the road as well, so 518 00:23:35,080 --> 00:23:38,000 Speaker 2: and the Eagles have dominated the Broncos here at home, 519 00:23:38,080 --> 00:23:39,919 Speaker 2: So I don't think that the Broncos are gonna put 520 00:23:40,000 --> 00:23:41,560 Speaker 2: up a bunch of points. Honestly, I'm not too big 521 00:23:41,600 --> 00:23:43,320 Speaker 2: on the Eagles defense, so I'm not gonna highlight them 522 00:23:43,320 --> 00:23:45,639 Speaker 2: as much as the Broncos offense. But I do not 523 00:23:45,760 --> 00:23:47,960 Speaker 2: think that this Eagles offense is legit. I think the 524 00:23:48,000 --> 00:23:50,640 Speaker 2: Eagles team total under is also in play. But I'll 525 00:23:50,680 --> 00:23:52,920 Speaker 2: take the full game. I will take the full game, 526 00:23:52,960 --> 00:23:55,280 Speaker 2: and if the Broncos put up fifty points on the 527 00:23:55,280 --> 00:23:58,560 Speaker 2: Eagles and make me lose my under, I'll be a 528 00:23:58,600 --> 00:24:02,280 Speaker 2: happy man. Not gonna so get me the Broncos Eagles. 529 00:24:02,600 --> 00:24:07,240 Speaker 3: For the man of principle, A Brown would probably I 530 00:24:07,240 --> 00:24:08,840 Speaker 3: think he'd rather put up one hundred yards and have 531 00:24:08,880 --> 00:24:09,480 Speaker 3: the Eagles win. 532 00:24:10,280 --> 00:24:13,919 Speaker 1: Well, I mean I but to Terrell's point, AJ Brown's 533 00:24:14,000 --> 00:24:19,440 Speaker 1: not wrong. He's been struggle bust all year. He does 534 00:24:19,440 --> 00:24:21,600 Speaker 1: want the ball because he also knows that that also 535 00:24:21,640 --> 00:24:24,280 Speaker 1: helps facilitate everything else. The reason why Saequan could do 536 00:24:24,280 --> 00:24:26,280 Speaker 1: with sequond is because people are worried about it AJ Brown. 537 00:24:26,280 --> 00:24:28,160 Speaker 1: They're not worried about him right now. They're not worried 538 00:24:28,200 --> 00:24:31,679 Speaker 1: about anybody taking shots anywhere. And look, winning is at 539 00:24:31,680 --> 00:24:33,000 Speaker 1: the end of the day, what's all about. And I 540 00:24:33,040 --> 00:24:34,760 Speaker 1: love the Jalen Hurts is willing to put his ego 541 00:24:34,800 --> 00:24:38,359 Speaker 1: aside to win football games. That makes great leaders. But 542 00:24:39,240 --> 00:24:41,480 Speaker 1: to Terrell's point. If you're going to be an elite 543 00:24:41,480 --> 00:24:43,320 Speaker 1: team here and go to the Super Bowl and repeat, 544 00:24:43,640 --> 00:24:45,879 Speaker 1: you gotta start fixing some of the problems. It doesn't 545 00:24:45,880 --> 00:24:49,560 Speaker 1: belye or hide all the problems that the Eagles are 546 00:24:49,560 --> 00:24:52,120 Speaker 1: having offensively despite the fact they keep winning football games. 547 00:24:52,119 --> 00:24:55,000 Speaker 1: And I expect the squeaky wheel to get the grease 548 00:24:55,000 --> 00:24:56,760 Speaker 1: here this week with aj Brown, I'm taking all the 549 00:24:56,800 --> 00:24:58,119 Speaker 1: overs on him this week. 550 00:24:58,440 --> 00:25:01,000 Speaker 2: Who just be like a nine to six game Eagles win, 551 00:25:01,160 --> 00:25:03,880 Speaker 2: don't cover and then the Eagles are going around, oh yeah, 552 00:25:03,920 --> 00:25:05,359 Speaker 2: look we won another game. Everything. 553 00:25:07,800 --> 00:25:09,720 Speaker 1: But but you know what we've seen this story a 554 00:25:09,760 --> 00:25:12,320 Speaker 1: million times too, which is when these wide receivers chure 555 00:25:12,480 --> 00:25:14,800 Speaker 1: publicly about getting the football, they typically did the football 556 00:25:14,800 --> 00:25:15,200 Speaker 1: the next week. 557 00:25:15,240 --> 00:25:17,560 Speaker 4: Yeah, but how is he gonna the squeaky was not? 558 00:25:17,760 --> 00:25:19,359 Speaker 3: Yeah, the squeak we might get the grease, but not 559 00:25:19,440 --> 00:25:22,800 Speaker 3: if there's a boot on it, Nan Patrick's or Tan Yeah. 560 00:25:22,880 --> 00:25:25,199 Speaker 1: But you know what, great players make great plays. You know, 561 00:25:25,520 --> 00:25:29,600 Speaker 1: I'll always take the great wide receivers and nine targets. 562 00:25:29,680 --> 00:25:30,960 Speaker 4: Last week, I got two catches. 563 00:25:32,160 --> 00:25:35,080 Speaker 1: I understand, I understand, But theo Jalen Hurt's got to 564 00:25:35,080 --> 00:25:35,639 Speaker 1: play a little better. 565 00:25:35,680 --> 00:25:39,320 Speaker 2: Too, all right, ericson walks by the way, who sucks 566 00:25:39,359 --> 00:25:42,000 Speaker 2: to by the way? 567 00:25:41,920 --> 00:25:44,560 Speaker 1: Ye? Fair, fair, all right, Erics will walk us through 568 00:25:44,600 --> 00:25:46,080 Speaker 1: your last bet of the week for Week. 569 00:25:45,880 --> 00:25:50,399 Speaker 3: Five, tamp the Tampa Bay Buccaneers plus three and a half. 570 00:25:50,960 --> 00:25:53,200 Speaker 3: You bet on Baker Mayfield when he's on the road, 571 00:25:53,400 --> 00:25:56,600 Speaker 3: when he's underdog, when he's out for the count, especially 572 00:25:57,119 --> 00:26:00,840 Speaker 3: especially on Sundays when he's facing Sam Dark Like that's 573 00:26:00,880 --> 00:26:03,560 Speaker 3: when you wanted that on Baker Mayfield. Here are the 574 00:26:03,600 --> 00:26:05,720 Speaker 3: stats of the Buccaneers fifteen to five against the spread 575 00:26:05,760 --> 00:26:08,879 Speaker 3: on the road since twenty twenty three. Baker Mayfield's Buccaneers 576 00:26:08,960 --> 00:26:12,160 Speaker 3: are eight and seven straight up as road underdogs, twelve 577 00:26:12,200 --> 00:26:14,879 Speaker 3: and three against the spray to eighty percent as road underdogs, 578 00:26:15,000 --> 00:26:17,960 Speaker 3: and after a loss eleven and four against the spread. 579 00:26:17,960 --> 00:26:21,000 Speaker 3: That's seventy three percent. Including nine of their last ten games, 580 00:26:21,040 --> 00:26:24,679 Speaker 3: the Buccaneers have covered after a loss. So yes, I 581 00:26:24,680 --> 00:26:27,480 Speaker 3: get the optics of the matchup are tougher. Probably no 582 00:26:27,480 --> 00:26:30,720 Speaker 3: Bucky Irving, there's no Mike Evans, but Baker Mayfield shows 583 00:26:30,720 --> 00:26:33,119 Speaker 3: that he steps up in these situations. He can make 584 00:26:33,160 --> 00:26:35,360 Speaker 3: plays with his legs. He still has Chris Godwin, who 585 00:26:35,359 --> 00:26:37,680 Speaker 3: should be better in his second game back from his injury. 586 00:26:37,800 --> 00:26:39,639 Speaker 3: He still at Mikaebuko, who's going to be in the 587 00:26:39,640 --> 00:26:41,840 Speaker 3: Hall of Fame one day. They're already like fitting him 588 00:26:41,840 --> 00:26:43,680 Speaker 3: for his jacket. He's gonna be all set to go. 589 00:26:44,200 --> 00:26:45,600 Speaker 4: So I want to. 590 00:26:45,600 --> 00:26:49,160 Speaker 3: Back Buccaneers in the Baker Mayfield here because I think 591 00:26:49,160 --> 00:26:53,280 Speaker 3: that what works in Tampa's advantage is their defense matches 592 00:26:53,359 --> 00:26:55,719 Speaker 3: up pretty well with Seattle's offense. Seattle wants to run 593 00:26:55,720 --> 00:26:58,040 Speaker 3: the football like that is their identity. They don't want 594 00:26:58,080 --> 00:27:00,760 Speaker 3: to cut it loose with Sam Darnold and jaysn as 595 00:27:00,760 --> 00:27:02,639 Speaker 3: their number one wide receiver. They want to run the 596 00:27:02,640 --> 00:27:04,480 Speaker 3: football with Ken of Walker and x Sharbonnae. But the 597 00:27:04,480 --> 00:27:07,560 Speaker 3: Tampa Buccaneers like that is where they thrive. Defensively, they 598 00:27:07,600 --> 00:27:11,480 Speaker 3: are a great run stopping defense. If you look at 599 00:27:11,520 --> 00:27:14,240 Speaker 3: what they've done so far this year defensively seventh and 600 00:27:14,320 --> 00:27:16,720 Speaker 3: run defense efficiency this year fifth few is rushing yards 601 00:27:16,720 --> 00:27:19,439 Speaker 3: per game allowed, fewest yards after contact per attempt allowed, 602 00:27:19,680 --> 00:27:22,240 Speaker 3: third highest stuff rate three point three yards per carry 603 00:27:22,240 --> 00:27:25,160 Speaker 3: allowed on outside tackle runs, which is where Seattle has 604 00:27:25,160 --> 00:27:27,200 Speaker 3: been most effected trying to get guys like Ken Walker 605 00:27:27,240 --> 00:27:29,640 Speaker 3: out in space with the outside zone So if they 606 00:27:29,640 --> 00:27:34,120 Speaker 3: can halt the rushing attack for Seattle, make the offense 607 00:27:34,200 --> 00:27:36,800 Speaker 3: for the Seahawks a little bit more pass happy, one 608 00:27:36,800 --> 00:27:39,600 Speaker 3: dimensional with Jasn maybe for Sam Darnold into a turnover 609 00:27:39,720 --> 00:27:41,640 Speaker 3: or two. I think that they can cover the spread 610 00:27:41,720 --> 00:27:43,960 Speaker 3: or come out with an upset. And it was interesting 611 00:27:44,000 --> 00:27:46,000 Speaker 3: too when I was looking at my Betting pros pick 612 00:27:46,040 --> 00:27:48,480 Speaker 3: Insights on the Betting pros app, what sticks out to 613 00:27:48,480 --> 00:27:50,960 Speaker 3: me as the first thing Buccaneers. This is your most 614 00:27:50,960 --> 00:27:54,960 Speaker 3: profitable team over the last since twenty twenty four. So 615 00:27:54,960 --> 00:27:56,560 Speaker 3: what I've bet on the Bucks against the spread since 616 00:27:56,560 --> 00:27:58,840 Speaker 3: the beginning of last year, I'm up over five units 617 00:27:59,160 --> 00:28:02,000 Speaker 3: ninety one percent return of my investment. So that's somebody 618 00:28:02,000 --> 00:28:03,080 Speaker 3: you want to check out as part of Like the 619 00:28:03,119 --> 00:28:05,600 Speaker 3: pick insights is, Hey, what has been working for you 620 00:28:05,840 --> 00:28:08,240 Speaker 3: and for me, it's been betting on the Buccaneers against 621 00:28:08,240 --> 00:28:08,600 Speaker 3: the spread. 622 00:28:09,000 --> 00:28:10,720 Speaker 1: It's one of the great things about the Betting pros app. 623 00:28:10,760 --> 00:28:13,520 Speaker 1: Download it Sinker Sportsbooks for free because you could track 624 00:28:13,560 --> 00:28:15,280 Speaker 1: all your bets and find out what you're actually good 625 00:28:15,280 --> 00:28:17,360 Speaker 1: at betting, and then keep betting it so you keep 626 00:28:17,359 --> 00:28:20,680 Speaker 1: winning money. Makes sense, doesn't it. Speaking of upsets, how 627 00:28:20,720 --> 00:28:23,240 Speaker 1: about we keep that rolling. The only one I got 628 00:28:23,280 --> 00:28:25,480 Speaker 1: right so far this year is what Baker Mayfield on 629 00:28:25,520 --> 00:28:28,480 Speaker 1: the road, and I'm gonna stick with that. Let's get 630 00:28:28,680 --> 00:28:31,200 Speaker 1: to the one fifty two on the plus side for 631 00:28:31,320 --> 00:28:33,600 Speaker 1: the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on the money line against the 632 00:28:33,640 --> 00:28:36,680 Speaker 1: Seattle Seahawks. I know the Seahawks are a good football team. 633 00:28:36,920 --> 00:28:38,680 Speaker 1: I know they've got some extra time to prepare and 634 00:28:38,720 --> 00:28:40,920 Speaker 1: all that jazz, and I know Bucky Irving's hurt. I 635 00:28:41,000 --> 00:28:43,680 Speaker 1: get it. I get all those things. But Baker Mayfield 636 00:28:43,680 --> 00:28:46,520 Speaker 1: finds a way. So give me Baker Mayfield for the 637 00:28:46,640 --> 00:28:49,360 Speaker 1: upset on the road in Seattle at plus money here 638 00:28:49,400 --> 00:28:53,120 Speaker 1: and then the sg JOEP of the week here. Let's go. 639 00:28:53,160 --> 00:28:54,320 Speaker 1: We need to get one of these. We're zero and 640 00:28:54,360 --> 00:28:56,960 Speaker 1: four to start the year. Man is not good again, 641 00:28:57,120 --> 00:28:57,840 Speaker 1: so good. 642 00:28:58,040 --> 00:29:01,480 Speaker 4: So good on the You're great on prime time, great. 643 00:29:03,200 --> 00:29:03,320 Speaker 2: Bro. 644 00:29:03,520 --> 00:29:06,200 Speaker 1: I'm the I'm like the opposite of Kirk Cousins. Man 645 00:29:06,400 --> 00:29:09,040 Speaker 1: like Kirk Cousins can never be good on those primetime games. 646 00:29:09,120 --> 00:29:09,200 Speaker 2: Me. 647 00:29:09,400 --> 00:29:11,800 Speaker 1: I show up, the lights are on, I show up, 648 00:29:11,840 --> 00:29:16,720 Speaker 1: man Sunday. Should we get k then I need somebody somebody. 649 00:29:16,760 --> 00:29:18,400 Speaker 1: All right, let's see if we can do this, yere, 650 00:29:18,520 --> 00:29:21,360 Speaker 1: Let's take my upset special, and let's take it with 651 00:29:21,360 --> 00:29:23,200 Speaker 1: two things that I know to be true that I 652 00:29:23,200 --> 00:29:25,280 Speaker 1: think are pretty easy. I'm trying not to bite off 653 00:29:25,320 --> 00:29:27,040 Speaker 1: more than I could chew and just get a w here. 654 00:29:27,240 --> 00:29:30,000 Speaker 1: So as long as Baker Mayfield handles is business plus 655 00:29:30,000 --> 00:29:32,440 Speaker 1: one fifty two on the money line, then we take 656 00:29:32,480 --> 00:29:35,400 Speaker 1: the Lions on the minus five twenty the money line 657 00:29:35,400 --> 00:29:37,680 Speaker 1: and the Bills at minus four thirty. I don't think 658 00:29:37,720 --> 00:29:39,400 Speaker 1: the Bills are going to lose to the Patriots, and 659 00:29:39,440 --> 00:29:42,080 Speaker 1: I really don't think that the Detroit Lions are going 660 00:29:42,120 --> 00:29:44,440 Speaker 1: to lose to the Cincinnati Bengals. You put those two 661 00:29:44,480 --> 00:29:47,760 Speaker 1: things together along with Baker, you get plus two seventy. 662 00:29:48,000 --> 00:29:50,520 Speaker 1: Is it the highest parlay in the world now? But 663 00:29:50,840 --> 00:29:53,240 Speaker 1: is it achievable? I think it is almost three to one. 664 00:29:53,320 --> 00:29:54,920 Speaker 1: I think that's a pretty good day at the office. 665 00:29:54,960 --> 00:29:57,040 Speaker 1: So there you go hoping to get on the board, 666 00:29:57,040 --> 00:29:58,800 Speaker 1: and of course don't forget if you want to check 667 00:29:58,840 --> 00:30:01,560 Speaker 1: the board for yourself and all your bets, the best 668 00:30:01,560 --> 00:30:03,200 Speaker 1: way to do it is by using the app. Download 669 00:30:03,240 --> 00:30:05,320 Speaker 1: the Betting Pros app today, subscribe to the Betting Pros 670 00:30:05,360 --> 00:30:07,480 Speaker 1: YouTube channel, and follow us on social media as well. 671 00:30:07,480 --> 00:30:09,240 Speaker 1: That'll do it for us, but the story of the 672 00:30:09,240 --> 00:30:11,880 Speaker 1: game goes on for Andrew Erikson and Torell. I'm Joey P. 673 00:30:12,480 --> 00:30:15,480 Speaker 1: We'll see you next time, Kids who Day. Thanks for 674 00:30:15,520 --> 00:30:17,280 Speaker 1: listening to the Betting Pros podcast. 675 00:30:17,520 --> 00:30:19,880 Speaker 2: If you love the show, the best freeway to support 676 00:30:19,960 --> 00:30:22,600 Speaker 2: us is by leaving a positive review on Apple. 677 00:30:22,320 --> 00:30:25,600 Speaker 1: Podcasts or Spotify. Follow us on x and TikTok at 678 00:30:25,640 --> 00:30:28,440 Speaker 1: Betting Pros and Instagram at Betting Pros NFL. 679 00:30:28,880 --> 00:30:31,800 Speaker 2: Also subscribe to our YouTube channel at YouTube dot com 680 00:30:31,800 --> 00:30:33,840 Speaker 2: slash Betting Pros