1
00:00:00,400 --> 00:00:02,400
Speaker 1: The Action Network podcast.

2
00:00:03,120 --> 00:00:08,520
Speaker 2: I'mna just about that action also all right, here we go.

3
00:00:10,119 --> 00:00:15,080
Speaker 3: Throwing in, so we're sitting up to cash touch time.

4
00:00:15,920 --> 00:00:18,920
Speaker 1: We see most gamblers when they go to gamble, they

5
00:00:18,920 --> 00:00:23,759
Speaker 1: go to wind. That's incredible, big bank, small bank.

6
00:00:23,840 --> 00:00:25,280
Speaker 3: I like to make money. All right.

7
00:00:25,960 --> 00:00:27,960
Speaker 2: This is the ultimate combine.

8
00:00:27,680 --> 00:00:35,680
Speaker 1: If you want to pass and we are underway. All right, folks,

9
00:00:35,720 --> 00:00:39,559
Speaker 1: welcome in. This is the Sunday Night recap episode for

10
00:00:39,640 --> 00:00:42,400
Speaker 1: week eight in the National Football League. Here in the

11
00:00:42,440 --> 00:00:43,640
Speaker 1: Action Network podcast.

12
00:00:44,240 --> 00:00:47,400
Speaker 4: Wherever you're listening, where you get your podcasts, and those

13
00:00:47,440 --> 00:00:51,560
Speaker 4: of you watching live on the Action Network YouTube channel,

14
00:00:51,600 --> 00:00:53,280
Speaker 4: please subscribe to our channel.

15
00:00:53,520 --> 00:00:57,200
Speaker 1: Please like the video, comment hang out with us. We

16
00:00:57,240 --> 00:00:59,880
Speaker 1: appreciate you being here. My name is Brendan Glasheen.

17
00:01:00,360 --> 00:01:03,040
Speaker 4: I am joined by Brandon Anderson, one of our NFL

18
00:01:03,080 --> 00:01:06,680
Speaker 4: contributors NFL betters at Action Network. Evan Abrams is our

19
00:01:06,680 --> 00:01:09,559
Speaker 4: director of Research and Media. He joins as well. Even

20
00:01:09,680 --> 00:01:12,120
Speaker 4: with you all season long, and this is the crew

21
00:01:12,160 --> 00:01:12,479
Speaker 4: all here.

22
00:01:12,520 --> 00:01:15,080
Speaker 1: So have you been with us? Thank you? If not, welcome.

23
00:01:15,720 --> 00:01:16,640
Speaker 1: A lot to get.

24
00:01:16,440 --> 00:01:18,440
Speaker 4: To We got to be super quick with some of

25
00:01:18,480 --> 00:01:20,600
Speaker 4: these snoozers that are later on in the show.

26
00:01:20,800 --> 00:01:21,720
Speaker 1: But as we normally do.

27
00:01:21,800 --> 00:01:23,959
Speaker 4: We'll start with some of the games, the marquee games

28
00:01:24,000 --> 00:01:26,640
Speaker 4: of the day, and like we always do, Brandon, we'll

29
00:01:26,680 --> 00:01:29,319
Speaker 4: start right away with Sunday Night.

30
00:01:29,360 --> 00:01:30,960
Speaker 1: I'll turn to Evan first though.

31
00:01:30,959 --> 00:01:35,880
Speaker 4: On Sunday Night Dallas and San Francisco, the Niners bounce

32
00:01:35,959 --> 00:01:39,680
Speaker 4: back after brock Purty looked awful three interceptions against the Chiefs.

33
00:01:40,120 --> 00:01:42,600
Speaker 4: He leads the Niners to victory thirty twenty four. San

34
00:01:42,600 --> 00:01:46,040
Speaker 4: Francisco covers the six, push the six, got the five

35
00:01:46,040 --> 00:01:48,160
Speaker 4: and a half right, got the six right before kickoff.

36
00:01:48,360 --> 00:01:50,400
Speaker 4: Total goes over forty seven and a half.

37
00:01:50,480 --> 00:01:54,600
Speaker 3: Your thoughts, H, yeah, close about that area it was.

38
00:01:54,640 --> 00:01:58,480
Speaker 3: You know, obviously with that last possession for dak one

39
00:01:58,520 --> 00:02:00,919
Speaker 3: way or the other, the cover was in question. Everything

40
00:02:00,960 --> 00:02:02,720
Speaker 3: was kind of in the balance there. The game had

41
00:02:02,760 --> 00:02:05,000
Speaker 3: already gone over the total. Haven't looked it up, but

42
00:02:05,040 --> 00:02:07,840
Speaker 3: I know primetime overs have been a big thing this year,

43
00:02:07,880 --> 00:02:10,960
Speaker 3: so you get another over tonight. And I believe this

44
00:02:11,120 --> 00:02:14,600
Speaker 3: was a very rare over on Sunday Night football, as

45
00:02:14,600 --> 00:02:17,320
Speaker 3: that was kind of the one outlier this year. So

46
00:02:17,400 --> 00:02:20,320
Speaker 3: that was one thing. Looking inside the game, honestly, the

47
00:02:20,320 --> 00:02:22,320
Speaker 3: box score, if I feel like it was like a

48
00:02:22,360 --> 00:02:24,799
Speaker 3: three quarter game and then a final quarter game, because

49
00:02:24,840 --> 00:02:28,639
Speaker 3: like those last quarter really made the game more look

50
00:02:28,680 --> 00:02:31,959
Speaker 3: more even especially in some of the DAK categories and

51
00:02:32,000 --> 00:02:34,240
Speaker 3: the yardage stuff. But even though I'm looking right now,

52
00:02:34,320 --> 00:02:37,120
Speaker 3: yards per play seven point three for the forty nine ers,

53
00:02:37,160 --> 00:02:40,280
Speaker 3: four point nine for Dallas, that feels like most of

54
00:02:40,280 --> 00:02:45,640
Speaker 3: the game. Honestly, this entire season DAK and the Dallas

55
00:02:45,639 --> 00:02:49,800
Speaker 3: offense has looked completely different. Twenty second success rate, twenty

56
00:02:49,880 --> 00:02:53,160
Speaker 3: third EPA per pass, and they were fourth the previous

57
00:02:53,240 --> 00:02:57,240
Speaker 3: three seasons. I mean, see, Lamb had an incredible night,

58
00:02:57,280 --> 00:02:59,600
Speaker 3: but it was his first one hundred yard game in

59
00:02:59,639 --> 00:03:03,240
Speaker 3: the season, me at eight last year. Uh So, I

60
00:03:03,320 --> 00:03:06,440
Speaker 3: just think the game is more about the ineptitude from Dallas,

61
00:03:06,480 --> 00:03:10,080
Speaker 3: even with the good let's call it good last half

62
00:03:10,200 --> 00:03:13,679
Speaker 3: of the fourth quarter. In terms of DAK, a few stats,

63
00:03:14,240 --> 00:03:18,880
Speaker 3: uh two ten ATS is an underdog last twelve starts,

64
00:03:19,240 --> 00:03:21,520
Speaker 3: He's four and twelve ATS as a dog since the

65
00:03:21,520 --> 00:03:25,119
Speaker 3: beginning of twenty twenty. Only quarterbacks worst, Bryce Young, Justin

66
00:03:25,160 --> 00:03:28,079
Speaker 3: Field and Mac Jones. Feels like it's a bad list

67
00:03:28,440 --> 00:03:32,160
Speaker 3: when it's DAK, Bryce Field and Mac so not great.

68
00:03:32,200 --> 00:03:35,400
Speaker 3: And then you look at Dallas coming up Atlanta, Philly, Houston,

69
00:03:35,560 --> 00:03:39,280
Speaker 3: Washington not easy. So not a great loss on the

70
00:03:39,400 --> 00:03:41,920
Speaker 3: Dallas side, and then quickly on San Francisco. I'll just

71
00:03:41,960 --> 00:03:45,560
Speaker 3: say this almost rushed for two hundred yards. I believe

72
00:03:45,600 --> 00:03:47,600
Speaker 3: almost two hundred, oh got way over at the end

73
00:03:47,600 --> 00:03:50,920
Speaker 3: there to twenty three on the ground, two touchdowns. Dallas

74
00:03:50,960 --> 00:03:54,040
Speaker 3: has allowed twelve rushing touchdowns this year, second most of

75
00:03:54,080 --> 00:03:57,600
Speaker 3: the NFL. Be fine, ahead of only Carolina when you're

76
00:03:57,600 --> 00:04:00,000
Speaker 3: on whenever you're on the list with Carolina never good

77
00:04:00,600 --> 00:04:03,280
Speaker 3: and their last in EPA per play on rush last

78
00:04:03,280 --> 00:04:07,760
Speaker 3: success rate just awful. One interesting thing which I will

79
00:04:07,800 --> 00:04:09,800
Speaker 3: note you can even use as like a big stat

80
00:04:09,840 --> 00:04:12,200
Speaker 3: this week, but with a buy coming up, which is

81
00:04:12,200 --> 00:04:15,280
Speaker 3: what San Francisco now rolls into, teams are sixty percent

82
00:04:15,320 --> 00:04:18,359
Speaker 3: straight up fifty eight percent against the spread since twenty nineteen,

83
00:04:18,480 --> 00:04:21,320
Speaker 3: so teams tend to play well looking forward as well.

84
00:04:22,240 --> 00:04:25,640
Speaker 4: Bill, he could DVR a game of Dallas on Sunday

85
00:04:25,720 --> 00:04:27,520
Speaker 4: night and just the cutaways.

86
00:04:26,960 --> 00:04:29,760
Speaker 1: To McCarthy and dak and it's just it's the same.

87
00:04:30,120 --> 00:04:32,039
Speaker 3: And I would have said, I would have exactly agreed

88
00:04:32,080 --> 00:04:33,960
Speaker 3: with you if they had not beaten Pittsburgh, which they.

89
00:04:33,880 --> 00:04:36,640
Speaker 1: Should hit that's fair. Yeah, they did beat Pittsburgh, says.

90
00:04:36,480 --> 00:04:39,160
Speaker 3: The narrative would have been much better tonight had they

91
00:04:39,200 --> 00:04:41,760
Speaker 3: have not come alive in the end of there.

92
00:04:41,920 --> 00:04:44,760
Speaker 4: Well, at least it's when it's McCarthy or Prescott against

93
00:04:44,960 --> 00:04:50,080
Speaker 4: a worthy counterpart offensively, so.

94
00:04:49,160 --> 00:04:52,360
Speaker 2: Brandon Pittsburgh one's a little different too, Like they really

95
00:04:52,400 --> 00:04:55,159
Speaker 2: outplayed Pittsburgh all that game, as they're the better team

96
00:04:55,240 --> 00:04:58,000
Speaker 2: than Pittsburgh and should have and should have been well ahead.

97
00:04:58,400 --> 00:05:00,800
Speaker 2: But they Dallas, so they needed we'll come back at

98
00:05:00,839 --> 00:05:03,120
Speaker 2: the end, but they really should have won comfortably. This

99
00:05:03,279 --> 00:05:06,120
Speaker 2: to me was more less Dallas Pittsburgh, more Dallas Baltimore,

100
00:05:06,440 --> 00:05:08,440
Speaker 2: where it was like I think twenty eight to three

101
00:05:08,560 --> 00:05:10,440
Speaker 2: or twenty eight to six, and then we got a

102
00:05:10,480 --> 00:05:12,840
Speaker 2: cute little comeback for the Cowboys that made it look

103
00:05:12,880 --> 00:05:16,239
Speaker 2: real close near the end. Was like, I mean, I guess,

104
00:05:16,320 --> 00:05:18,760
Speaker 2: I guess you technically had a chance here. They certainly

105
00:05:18,800 --> 00:05:22,640
Speaker 2: had a chance tonight, I think more than against Baltimore.

106
00:05:22,720 --> 00:05:24,640
Speaker 2: But I don't know, e've been like the cdee Lamb

107
00:05:24,680 --> 00:05:27,640
Speaker 2: breakout felt a little bit more like you're just nothing

108
00:05:27,680 --> 00:05:29,880
Speaker 2: to cover of cdee Lamb for these two drives. Huh,

109
00:05:30,040 --> 00:05:32,719
Speaker 2: that's a choice that you could make San fran and

110
00:05:32,760 --> 00:05:34,880
Speaker 2: then they started covering again. I was like, Okay, he

111
00:05:35,000 --> 00:05:38,360
Speaker 2: just went like four and out and that's that so right. Yeah,

112
00:05:38,720 --> 00:05:41,000
Speaker 2: I felt like a lot of Dallas games to Lucien.

113
00:05:41,560 --> 00:05:46,360
Speaker 4: Okay, too much, Dallas, pay too much Dallas. Brandon Anderson

114
00:05:46,400 --> 00:05:48,560
Speaker 4: later on will have the hot read coming up. He'll

115
00:05:48,560 --> 00:05:50,880
Speaker 4: also have what picks for on Monday Night football between

116
00:05:50,920 --> 00:05:54,039
Speaker 4: the Giants and the Steelers Baltimore Cleveland.

117
00:05:54,839 --> 00:05:55,560
Speaker 1: This is the chance.

118
00:05:55,600 --> 00:05:58,840
Speaker 4: This is really Brandon's opportunity to shake his tail about

119
00:05:58,880 --> 00:06:01,839
Speaker 4: Lamar and Jackson losing now to the Raiders and to

120
00:06:01,960 --> 00:06:05,880
Speaker 4: the Browns. Jameis Winston quoted eminem and led the Browns

121
00:06:05,880 --> 00:06:08,240
Speaker 4: to victory twenty nine to twenty four. Cleveland covered as

122
00:06:08,240 --> 00:06:10,000
Speaker 4: an eight and a half point dog. Total goes over

123
00:06:10,040 --> 00:06:13,120
Speaker 4: forty four and a half. Mister Anderson, Yeah, this was

124
00:06:13,160 --> 00:06:13,719
Speaker 4: a fun one.

125
00:06:13,920 --> 00:06:16,760
Speaker 2: Fun one if you like to doubt Lamar Jackson, the

126
00:06:16,800 --> 00:06:18,400
Speaker 2: fun one if you're on the Browns. A lot of

127
00:06:18,600 --> 00:06:22,440
Speaker 2: sharps this week were on the Browns. Not all places

128
00:06:22,560 --> 00:06:24,360
Speaker 2: took the Browns as a plus three to fifty money

129
00:06:24,360 --> 00:06:27,000
Speaker 2: line like we did. I feel like we nailed this

130
00:06:27,160 --> 00:06:30,719
Speaker 2: cap with Jameis Winston with Ken Dorsey, with the offense

131
00:06:30,800 --> 00:06:33,599
Speaker 2: just looking totally different. It looked like the Joe flack

132
00:06:33,640 --> 00:06:35,640
Speaker 2: of offense that we saw near the end of last season,

133
00:06:35,680 --> 00:06:38,960
Speaker 2: which felt like yolo ball, just putting it up there

134
00:06:39,000 --> 00:06:44,360
Speaker 2: for receiving guys. The receivers on this team, like Deshaun Watson,

135
00:06:44,400 --> 00:06:47,680
Speaker 2: should be sued for malpractice after this because we got

136
00:06:47,680 --> 00:06:50,680
Speaker 2: Brown receiving games seven for ninety nine yards. Cedrick Tillman

137
00:06:50,720 --> 00:06:53,360
Speaker 2: looks like the go to guy now two touchdowns eight

138
00:06:53,400 --> 00:06:55,960
Speaker 2: forty five, five for seventy nine, five for sixty one

139
00:06:56,680 --> 00:06:59,040
Speaker 2: all in one game. Pick one of those lines and

140
00:06:59,040 --> 00:07:00,640
Speaker 2: it would have been like a nice game to have

141
00:07:00,760 --> 00:07:04,840
Speaker 2: under de Shaun Watson. That's just Hey, look, we traded

142
00:07:04,880 --> 00:07:07,359
Speaker 2: away Amari Cooper and we still just have dudes that

143
00:07:07,400 --> 00:07:09,840
Speaker 2: can catch the ball when an actual quarterback is running

144
00:07:09,880 --> 00:07:12,559
Speaker 2: the offense. Jamis has three hundred and thirty four yards

145
00:07:12,600 --> 00:07:16,720
Speaker 2: three touchdowns. He now has more three hundred yard games

146
00:07:16,800 --> 00:07:19,840
Speaker 2: as a Cleveland Brown than Deshaun Watson. That's one to

147
00:07:20,000 --> 00:07:22,520
Speaker 2: zero for his career. So thanks for coming out to Sean.

148
00:07:23,040 --> 00:07:23,360
Speaker 3: Wow.

149
00:07:23,480 --> 00:07:28,400
Speaker 2: Yeah, just the offense looked totally different and this is

150
00:07:28,400 --> 00:07:31,600
Speaker 2: the first time all season the Browns have scored twenty points,

151
00:07:32,000 --> 00:07:34,640
Speaker 2: so we got there that the crowd went crazy when

152
00:07:34,680 --> 00:07:38,800
Speaker 2: we got there. This is now in this rivalry, six

153
00:07:38,960 --> 00:07:41,400
Speaker 2: of the last eight that have finished within six points

154
00:07:41,400 --> 00:07:44,960
Speaker 2: in either direction. So these games just tend to stay close.

155
00:07:45,080 --> 00:07:48,440
Speaker 2: Keep that in mind for when they play in the future. Again,

156
00:07:49,160 --> 00:07:52,400
Speaker 2: Baltimore just got away from Derrick Henry only eleven carries

157
00:07:52,440 --> 00:07:55,120
Speaker 2: in this game, and it just they continue to do

158
00:07:55,200 --> 00:07:57,640
Speaker 2: that in some of these games. Doesn't make a lot

159
00:07:57,640 --> 00:08:00,840
Speaker 2: of sense to me. And I don't know, is that

160
00:08:00,920 --> 00:08:04,480
Speaker 2: a team identity thing or is it that that's the

161
00:08:04,560 --> 00:08:07,280
Speaker 2: thing that they're trying the defense they're trying to avoid

162
00:08:07,800 --> 00:08:10,520
Speaker 2: and saying, go ahead, Lamar Jackson, see if you can

163
00:08:10,560 --> 00:08:12,680
Speaker 2: beat us doing the passing thing. We don't want Derek

164
00:08:12,720 --> 00:08:15,680
Speaker 2: Henry running all over us. I don't know schematically, but

165
00:08:15,880 --> 00:08:19,120
Speaker 2: on third down that's where this game was won. The

166
00:08:19,120 --> 00:08:22,080
Speaker 2: Browns were eight to fifteen on third downs, the Ravens

167
00:08:22,080 --> 00:08:24,680
Speaker 2: were two of ten. They could not convert, could not

168
00:08:24,760 --> 00:08:26,640
Speaker 2: stand on the field and keeps things going. Now, to

169
00:08:26,720 --> 00:08:30,320
Speaker 2: be fair, Baltimore missed a field goal justin Tucker another

170
00:08:30,320 --> 00:08:34,640
Speaker 2: fifty yard mess. Cal Hamilton dropped the easiest interception we'll

171
00:08:34,679 --> 00:08:37,240
Speaker 2: ever have in his career. On the final drive, they

172
00:08:37,240 --> 00:08:40,319
Speaker 2: would have won the game. And if I'm being totally honest,

173
00:08:40,360 --> 00:08:43,680
Speaker 2: the Lamar guy I know two plays down the game.

174
00:08:43,760 --> 00:08:47,080
Speaker 2: Lamar scrambles around for like four hours and I'm just

175
00:08:47,160 --> 00:08:49,560
Speaker 2: waiting for the ball to fall into the arms of someone.

176
00:08:49,600 --> 00:08:51,559
Speaker 2: And the Ravens get the comeback and there's the MVP

177
00:08:51,679 --> 00:08:54,720
Speaker 2: doing the thing again. Didn't happen. Sometimes when you leave

178
00:08:54,760 --> 00:08:57,520
Speaker 2: these games up for grabs, the other team puts them away.

179
00:08:58,000 --> 00:08:59,959
Speaker 2: We are now at four the season I did tweet

180
00:09:00,120 --> 00:09:04,560
Speaker 2: us out plus two fifty or longer money line underdogs

181
00:09:04,960 --> 00:09:09,120
Speaker 2: are nine and eleven straight up on the season. That

182
00:09:09,400 --> 00:09:12,319
Speaker 2: is a wild stat Bet the money line on those teams,

183
00:09:12,360 --> 00:09:16,000
Speaker 2: like in this game, seventy eight percent ROI on your

184
00:09:16,000 --> 00:09:20,080
Speaker 2: money line investment on the season. We now have in

185
00:09:20,120 --> 00:09:22,680
Speaker 2: bet labs. This closed at plus two eighty five. We

186
00:09:22,760 --> 00:09:25,520
Speaker 2: bet at plus three to fifty. There are only five

187
00:09:25,679 --> 00:09:28,160
Speaker 2: losses this season out plus two eighty five or longer

188
00:09:28,280 --> 00:09:31,360
Speaker 2: or five wins by underdogs. The Ravens are responsible for

189
00:09:31,400 --> 00:09:34,400
Speaker 2: two of those, and they led in the fourth quarter

190
00:09:34,480 --> 00:09:38,120
Speaker 2: of both of them. This is a thing for the Ravens.

191
00:09:38,200 --> 00:09:40,480
Speaker 2: This is a thing that they do. They lose these

192
00:09:40,520 --> 00:09:43,400
Speaker 2: games that they shouldn't be losing. They lose these games

193
00:09:43,400 --> 00:09:45,720
Speaker 2: that they're leading late. I know this is a little different.

194
00:09:45,760 --> 00:09:48,360
Speaker 2: They came back and took the lead, then gave back

195
00:09:48,440 --> 00:09:51,440
Speaker 2: up the lead. The defense was not up to par here,

196
00:09:52,320 --> 00:09:55,240
Speaker 2: nobody is up to par. You can't be losing near

197
00:09:55,360 --> 00:09:57,440
Speaker 2: double dig your favorites as they were earlier in the week.

198
00:09:57,520 --> 00:10:00,440
Speaker 2: We talked about this one. They're five and three now, Like,

199
00:10:00,480 --> 00:10:03,240
Speaker 2: this is a team that we talk about as the

200
00:10:03,240 --> 00:10:06,080
Speaker 2: class of the AFC, but there are three games behind

201
00:10:06,240 --> 00:10:08,120
Speaker 2: the class of the AFC and the team that they're

202
00:10:08,120 --> 00:10:10,360
Speaker 2: gonna always be compared to until they actually beat them.

203
00:10:11,360 --> 00:10:13,760
Speaker 2: I don't know. The Browns look good. The Ravens gave

204
00:10:13,800 --> 00:10:15,360
Speaker 2: this on a LII. Yeah.

205
00:10:15,440 --> 00:10:18,240
Speaker 4: You mentioned the Browns win total in Best Bets on

206
00:10:18,400 --> 00:10:21,520
Speaker 4: Thursday into Friday morning. We did the Friday morning release

207
00:10:22,160 --> 00:10:24,319
Speaker 4: looking at the Browns win total over three and a

208
00:10:24,360 --> 00:10:24,960
Speaker 4: half live.

209
00:10:25,480 --> 00:10:27,920
Speaker 1: That's big for you there too.

210
00:10:27,400 --> 00:10:31,000
Speaker 4: Okay, Chicago Washington speaking of a quarterback running around for

211
00:10:31,040 --> 00:10:35,319
Speaker 4: four hours and they're making a heave and finding Noah

212
00:10:35,360 --> 00:10:38,400
Speaker 4: Brown after a tipball. A whole lot to unpack there

213
00:10:38,400 --> 00:10:42,160
Speaker 4: in that final minute, Tyreek Stevenson did end up going

214
00:10:42,160 --> 00:10:46,040
Speaker 4: to Twitter and apologizing to all of Chicago. He said,

215
00:10:46,080 --> 00:10:48,520
Speaker 4: to Chicago and teammates, my apologies for my lack of

216
00:10:48,559 --> 00:10:51,679
Speaker 4: awareness and focus. The gamemate over until zero's hit the clock.

217
00:10:52,080 --> 00:10:55,960
Speaker 4: Can't take anything for granted. Notes taken, improvement will happen.

218
00:10:56,400 --> 00:10:59,839
Speaker 4: It's talking smack. That angle from the fan is just fantastic.

219
00:11:00,200 --> 00:11:02,199
Speaker 4: They actually gave him some credit on the Sunday.

220
00:11:02,000 --> 00:11:03,920
Speaker 1: Night broadcast and they were talking about it at halftime.

221
00:11:03,960 --> 00:11:07,200
Speaker 1: But the hail Mary for Jade and Daniels against Caleb Williams.

222
00:11:07,200 --> 00:11:08,800
Speaker 1: The number two pick beats the number.

223
00:11:08,600 --> 00:11:12,600
Speaker 4: One pick eighteen fifteen Washington minus one and a half.

224
00:11:12,440 --> 00:11:15,240
Speaker 1: If our friends Chad and Simon the favorites.

225
00:11:15,280 --> 00:11:20,120
Speaker 4: Poe was live and Chad was already declaring victory.

226
00:11:21,000 --> 00:11:24,080
Speaker 1: Simon was stone cold silent, and Chad put his hands

227
00:11:24,080 --> 00:11:24,600
Speaker 1: in his face.

228
00:11:26,240 --> 00:11:27,720
Speaker 4: Worth your time, if you want to go look at

229
00:11:27,760 --> 00:11:29,880
Speaker 4: the clip, I'm pretty sure it's out there somewhere.

230
00:11:29,920 --> 00:11:33,400
Speaker 1: But yeah, Evan, what do we got here on this game?

231
00:11:33,720 --> 00:11:34,719
Speaker 1: What do we pick apart here?

232
00:11:35,360 --> 00:11:37,440
Speaker 3: I'll try to do this as quickly as possible since

233
00:11:37,440 --> 00:11:39,400
Speaker 3: there really is so much to talk about, but I

234
00:11:39,440 --> 00:11:42,200
Speaker 3: will say this. I was on that Favorites call as

235
00:11:42,240 --> 00:11:46,240
Speaker 3: we're doing that podcast live, and unfortunately Chad's feed is

236
00:11:46,400 --> 00:11:49,560
Speaker 3: actually more delayed than everyone else is on the call,

237
00:11:50,000 --> 00:11:52,800
Speaker 3: so I went least sitting there on mute knowing what

238
00:11:53,000 --> 00:11:57,120
Speaker 3: happens listening to him talk about Jayden Daniels in the backfield.

239
00:11:57,200 --> 00:12:00,640
Speaker 3: So I we all felt very bad and it came

240
00:12:00,679 --> 00:12:03,360
Speaker 3: across on the call. But moving forward, I think it's

241
00:12:03,400 --> 00:12:05,880
Speaker 3: worth talking about this game just from one perspective and

242
00:12:05,880 --> 00:12:08,920
Speaker 3: then the Hail Mary at the end, because Caleb Williams

243
00:12:09,240 --> 00:12:12,440
Speaker 3: didn't deserve to win the game. He literally had a

244
00:12:12,440 --> 00:12:16,640
Speaker 3: absolutely terrible game, and that's really taking away the fact

245
00:12:16,960 --> 00:12:21,440
Speaker 3: he had two game winning drives basically to win this

246
00:12:21,480 --> 00:12:25,800
Speaker 3: one and didn't. But minus ten point sixtypa, he was

247
00:12:25,840 --> 00:12:27,760
Speaker 3: ten of twenty four for one hundred and thirty one

248
00:12:27,800 --> 00:12:30,680
Speaker 3: passing yards with a little rush. But then you look

249
00:12:30,840 --> 00:12:33,439
Speaker 3: on the other side, Jane Daniels was a plus ninety

250
00:12:33,480 --> 00:12:35,680
Speaker 3: PA twenty one to thirty eight, three to twenty six

251
00:12:35,679 --> 00:12:38,400
Speaker 3: a touchdown, also some rush eight to fifty two on

252
00:12:38,440 --> 00:12:41,600
Speaker 3: the ground. They both had the exact same a dot

253
00:12:41,640 --> 00:12:44,560
Speaker 3: almost and that's after Jane Daniels threw the ball seventy

254
00:12:44,600 --> 00:12:49,280
Speaker 3: yards downfield to win the game. I just one thing overall,

255
00:12:49,320 --> 00:12:51,520
Speaker 3: like we see week to week, just a difference of

256
00:12:51,520 --> 00:12:55,160
Speaker 3: the quarterbacks. This is Caleb's third game in seven starts

257
00:12:55,320 --> 00:12:59,520
Speaker 3: with a passer rating of sixty or below. Only him

258
00:12:59,559 --> 00:13:01,800
Speaker 3: and Zach Wilson top ten picks have done that since

259
00:13:01,840 --> 00:13:05,319
Speaker 3: twenty seventeen. It's not a great list. He's gone back

260
00:13:05,360 --> 00:13:08,000
Speaker 3: and forth, but I just think it's super clear that

261
00:13:08,080 --> 00:13:12,520
Speaker 3: Jayden Daniels looks better week to week, more composed. Now,

262
00:13:12,960 --> 00:13:15,440
Speaker 3: the other layer of this is just ebra Flu's made

263
00:13:15,480 --> 00:13:17,920
Speaker 3: some mistakes, I would say, I mean the formations on

264
00:13:17,960 --> 00:13:21,440
Speaker 3: the Hail Mary, the allowing the chunk yards before the

265
00:13:21,440 --> 00:13:24,360
Speaker 3: hail Mary, like you know, the the you know, giving

266
00:13:24,400 --> 00:13:27,280
Speaker 3: it to the offensive lineman and trying to make them

267
00:13:27,320 --> 00:13:30,320
Speaker 3: look like the fridge. All sorts of different things could

268
00:13:30,360 --> 00:13:34,040
Speaker 3: have gone one way of the other here. So that's

269
00:13:34,080 --> 00:13:36,760
Speaker 3: one thing looking forward for Chicago. Just a tiny bit

270
00:13:37,440 --> 00:13:41,559
Speaker 3: hardest remaining strength of schedule of any team, sixty three

271
00:13:41,640 --> 00:13:45,720
Speaker 3: percent their opponents. All six division games remain for Chicago.

272
00:13:46,080 --> 00:13:49,400
Speaker 3: Plus they're at Arizona next week, which coming off this

273
00:13:49,559 --> 00:13:52,559
Speaker 3: game not the easiest. Then you also still have Seattle

274
00:13:52,600 --> 00:13:57,560
Speaker 3: and at San Francisco crazy crazy crazy nonetheless, and I

275
00:13:57,559 --> 00:13:59,720
Speaker 3: will say this, I'll talk about a stat moving forward

276
00:13:59,720 --> 00:14:02,280
Speaker 3: a little little bit. So I looked this up. Last

277
00:14:02,360 --> 00:14:05,880
Speaker 3: touch last second touchdown with no time left, down six

278
00:14:05,920 --> 00:14:08,080
Speaker 3: points or less. The last time we saw that was

279
00:14:08,120 --> 00:14:11,120
Speaker 3: Derek Carr and Michael Crabtree for the Raiders in twenty seventeen.

280
00:14:11,920 --> 00:14:15,240
Speaker 3: It's only the sixth time we've seen that type of

281
00:14:15,280 --> 00:14:19,000
Speaker 3: touchdown since two thousand. Those teams. Those previous teams went

282
00:14:19,080 --> 00:14:22,560
Speaker 3: one and four the next week. So I do think

283
00:14:22,600 --> 00:14:25,960
Speaker 3: from Washington's point of view, possibly a little emotional, maybe

284
00:14:26,040 --> 00:14:28,520
Speaker 3: an interesting Giants play, even though no one I know

285
00:14:28,680 --> 00:14:32,600
Speaker 3: wants to bet the Giants. But that's that's probably the

286
00:14:32,720 --> 00:14:35,360
Speaker 3: analysis here. The other thing is, please just google it.

287
00:14:35,400 --> 00:14:39,320
Speaker 3: But you've got the Washington rule as well in this

288
00:14:39,360 --> 00:14:42,680
Speaker 3: one with a little of an election spin to it.

289
00:14:42,760 --> 00:14:44,960
Speaker 3: You can Brandon can talk about that a little bit.

290
00:14:45,000 --> 00:14:47,520
Speaker 3: But a lot of circumstances dealt with on this Hail

291
00:14:47,560 --> 00:14:51,560
Speaker 3: Mary Tyrek Stevenson. The taunt to the tip is what

292
00:14:51,640 --> 00:14:54,800
Speaker 3: I probably would call this, but just a terrible set

293
00:14:54,800 --> 00:14:56,640
Speaker 3: of circumstances. Sorry for him.

294
00:14:57,200 --> 00:14:59,640
Speaker 2: Yeah, the the Washington rule, just to put out there,

295
00:14:59,640 --> 00:15:03,000
Speaker 2: you go ahead processes. How are you like to since

296
00:15:03,440 --> 00:15:08,120
Speaker 2: Washington moved since since the now commanders moved to Washington

297
00:15:08,480 --> 00:15:12,320
Speaker 2: before the nineteen forty election in nineteen of twenty one

298
00:15:12,720 --> 00:15:16,400
Speaker 2: American elections since then, the result of the last Washing

299
00:15:16,560 --> 00:15:20,240
Speaker 2: home game, that's this one before the election, determined the

300
00:15:20,280 --> 00:15:24,040
Speaker 2: outcome of the election quote unquote of course when and

301
00:15:24,120 --> 00:15:29,400
Speaker 2: the incumbent stays lose and the opposition wins. So maybe

302
00:15:29,680 --> 00:15:32,040
Speaker 2: you've got your name for my name for it is

303
00:15:32,040 --> 00:15:34,680
Speaker 2: the Kamala Hale Mary. Maybe that's what we came about.

304
00:15:34,680 --> 00:15:37,360
Speaker 3: It is what about the Harris Hill Mary, since you've

305
00:15:37,360 --> 00:15:39,120
Speaker 3: got the owner and the last name of the.

306
00:15:39,360 --> 00:15:42,400
Speaker 2: Yeah, that's not bad. I don't mind that. So you know,

307
00:15:43,040 --> 00:15:45,080
Speaker 2: you can look it up. You can look at Wikipedia,

308
00:15:45,120 --> 00:15:47,840
Speaker 2: like the nineteen forty to two thousand, it held every

309
00:15:47,920 --> 00:15:50,240
Speaker 2: year and then the results been pretty fuzzy since then,

310
00:15:50,320 --> 00:15:54,360
Speaker 2: and you know it's obviously correlation causation. Like it's it's

311
00:15:54,400 --> 00:15:56,440
Speaker 2: all very goofy and fun. But we've got an article

312
00:15:56,520 --> 00:15:59,800
Speaker 2: up talking about it. Chicago. By the way, all those

313
00:15:59,840 --> 00:16:02,560
Speaker 2: twas you listed off every single one of them that

314
00:16:02,640 --> 00:16:04,440
Speaker 2: they faced the rest of the season as five hundred

315
00:16:04,520 --> 00:16:07,680
Speaker 2: or better. It's October You've got a lot of games

316
00:16:07,760 --> 00:16:10,600
Speaker 2: left against every team five hundred or better, which the

317
00:16:10,640 --> 00:16:14,880
Speaker 2: Bears are too. It's a tough schedule coming up, Washington schedule.

318
00:16:14,920 --> 00:16:17,640
Speaker 2: Not a real not a real peach either, So this

319
00:16:17,880 --> 00:16:21,680
Speaker 2: was fun. I gotta think I thought Jane Daniels was

320
00:16:21,720 --> 00:16:24,680
Speaker 2: pretty clearly ahead Rookie of the year. Anyways. I thought

321
00:16:24,680 --> 00:16:26,680
Speaker 2: this was a chance for Caleb to maybe flip the

322
00:16:26,760 --> 00:16:29,840
Speaker 2: narrative in his favor. I gotta feel like it's gonna

323
00:16:29,840 --> 00:16:31,640
Speaker 2: really take something like this. May have been the nail

324
00:16:31,640 --> 00:16:32,400
Speaker 2: on the coffin.

325
00:16:32,120 --> 00:16:37,600
Speaker 1: There, Hunt, Tip Trump, those all work too.

326
00:16:38,880 --> 00:16:41,800
Speaker 4: Moving on Indy here, I mean, yeah, and I had

327
00:16:41,840 --> 00:16:43,320
Speaker 4: I had the Bears too, So I'm ready to move on.

328
00:16:43,800 --> 00:16:48,240
Speaker 4: Like Chad, Indy, Indy and Houston. The Colts were play

329
00:16:48,320 --> 00:16:51,160
Speaker 4: for a lot of folks at action. They got there

330
00:16:51,320 --> 00:16:53,960
Speaker 4: plus five. Texans did win the game outright, twenty three

331
00:16:54,000 --> 00:16:58,200
Speaker 4: to twenty. Just another slog here really for the Texans,

332
00:16:58,240 --> 00:16:59,360
Speaker 4: but they come out victorious.

333
00:16:59,400 --> 00:17:01,480
Speaker 1: The total goes under forty five.

334
00:17:01,520 --> 00:17:05,439
Speaker 2: Brandon, Yeah, the Texans continue to win and continue to

335
00:17:05,480 --> 00:17:09,240
Speaker 2: not cover. That is the thing that they've done this season. Look,

336
00:17:09,280 --> 00:17:11,840
Speaker 2: they're now six and two. I can think they're fraudulent

337
00:17:11,920 --> 00:17:14,199
Speaker 2: all I want, but they are up two games on

338
00:17:14,240 --> 00:17:16,520
Speaker 2: the Colts in the division. That's really three games because

339
00:17:16,520 --> 00:17:19,560
Speaker 2: they've swept them already and it's not like Tennessee or

340
00:17:19,640 --> 00:17:23,640
Speaker 2: Jacksonville is coming. So it doesn't really matter what's happening

341
00:17:23,640 --> 00:17:25,040
Speaker 2: if you actually get the win. At the end of

342
00:17:25,080 --> 00:17:29,360
Speaker 2: the day, Stefan Diggs left with a non contact injury

343
00:17:29,400 --> 00:17:32,200
Speaker 2: fear of an ACL tear. Not great for Houston. That

344
00:17:32,359 --> 00:17:35,040
Speaker 2: was the big move everyone loved. Offensively, Nico Collins has

345
00:17:35,080 --> 00:17:38,720
Speaker 2: already hurt, so we're getting short on receivers. But I mean,

346
00:17:38,760 --> 00:17:41,680
Speaker 2: to me, this story just has to be Anthony Richardson.

347
00:17:42,160 --> 00:17:45,320
Speaker 2: He just, man, I don't even know. I'm low on

348
00:17:45,440 --> 00:17:48,480
Speaker 2: words for how bad he was. First half, he throws

349
00:17:48,480 --> 00:17:51,080
Speaker 2: a sixty nine yard touchdown the Josh downs. That's good.

350
00:17:51,640 --> 00:17:54,720
Speaker 2: Here's the stat line for the rest of Richardson at halftime,

351
00:17:55,280 --> 00:18:01,320
Speaker 2: one of fourteen passing for twelve yards, including on third

352
00:18:01,359 --> 00:18:05,359
Speaker 2: down on his own twelve. With twenty three seconds till halftime,

353
00:18:05,800 --> 00:18:09,840
Speaker 2: throws an insanely horrible interception that set the Texans up

354
00:18:09,840 --> 00:18:12,280
Speaker 2: for touchdown the very next play, which're again. They won

355
00:18:12,320 --> 00:18:16,000
Speaker 2: by three. You can't just give the team seven points there.

356
00:18:16,400 --> 00:18:18,960
Speaker 2: That's on coaching too, like why are you even passing

357
00:18:19,400 --> 00:18:22,119
Speaker 2: with your young quarterback that can't pass the ball normal?

358
00:18:22,520 --> 00:18:26,640
Speaker 2: He finishes Richardson ten of thirty two passing on the day,

359
00:18:27,320 --> 00:18:31,040
Speaker 2: just an insane number. That's like thirty percent completion percentage

360
00:18:31,760 --> 00:18:34,720
Speaker 2: one hundred and six yards outside of that one long throw.

361
00:18:35,720 --> 00:18:38,600
Speaker 2: He got benched briefly in the third quarter for Joe.

362
00:18:38,680 --> 00:18:41,000
Speaker 2: Flacco asked him about it after the game, and he

363
00:18:41,040 --> 00:18:46,120
Speaker 2: said he was tired from running so much. What he

364
00:18:46,560 --> 00:18:48,320
Speaker 2: gets a hail mary on the final play, which talked

365
00:18:48,320 --> 00:18:50,520
Speaker 2: about the hail mary. He got a hail mary chance.

366
00:18:50,760 --> 00:18:53,080
Speaker 2: Can't even get a pass off, can't even throw the

367
00:18:53,080 --> 00:18:55,240
Speaker 2: ball on a hail mary. Like we talked about the

368
00:18:55,280 --> 00:18:58,560
Speaker 2: guys scrambling around for four hours. He scrambled for like

369
00:18:58,680 --> 00:19:00,800
Speaker 2: three seconds, and I was like, all right, I'm sack

370
00:19:00,880 --> 00:19:05,960
Speaker 2: game over finishes with just under sixteen average depth of

371
00:19:06,000 --> 00:19:09,600
Speaker 2: target yards that is the ninety ninth percentile, with the

372
00:19:09,800 --> 00:19:13,840
Speaker 2: minus twenty five completion percentage over expectation, which is the

373
00:19:13,880 --> 00:19:17,560
Speaker 2: first percentile. This is just like I don't know how

374
00:19:17,600 --> 00:19:21,119
Speaker 2: to play quarterback, so I'm just gonna run backwards and

375
00:19:21,200 --> 00:19:24,400
Speaker 2: yell five hundred and just shuck it down field every

376
00:19:24,400 --> 00:19:26,360
Speaker 2: time and hope to God someone on my team can

377
00:19:26,400 --> 00:19:29,880
Speaker 2: catch it. The Colts are two and three in Richardson

378
00:19:30,000 --> 00:19:32,960
Speaker 2: games now. In the two wins, he has no touchdowns

379
00:19:33,040 --> 00:19:37,320
Speaker 2: running or passing, two interceptions. Two of the losses are

380
00:19:37,359 --> 00:19:41,159
Speaker 2: to the Texans by two and three points. You're the

381
00:19:41,160 --> 00:19:45,960
Speaker 2: Colts other than the quarterbacks, you're gonna be like revolting

382
00:19:46,000 --> 00:19:48,240
Speaker 2: in the locker room. Joe Flacco is right there. You're

383
00:19:48,280 --> 00:19:50,800
Speaker 2: telling me you can't win by two or three points

384
00:19:50,840 --> 00:19:52,639
Speaker 2: these games that are right there. You could be leading

385
00:19:52,640 --> 00:19:55,320
Speaker 2: the division. I don't know what you do about this.

386
00:19:55,480 --> 00:19:58,879
Speaker 2: Anthony Richardson, the book is not written. He's only, you know,

387
00:19:58,960 --> 00:20:02,160
Speaker 2: like a rookie basically still. But he is a very

388
00:20:02,440 --> 00:20:05,000
Speaker 2: very bad rookie at this point. And I don't know

389
00:20:05,000 --> 00:20:05,560
Speaker 2: what you do about it.

390
00:20:05,600 --> 00:20:08,879
Speaker 4: If you're the Colts, win totals in the balance, I

391
00:20:08,880 --> 00:20:11,040
Speaker 4: mean the Texans nine and a half was a preseason

392
00:20:11,040 --> 00:20:14,359
Speaker 4: win total. Their next three at Jets, which is Thursday

393
00:20:14,440 --> 00:20:18,520
Speaker 4: night more prime time Jets and Lions home, and then

394
00:20:18,560 --> 00:20:19,240
Speaker 4: at Dallas.

395
00:20:19,600 --> 00:20:20,160
Speaker 1: That's where they.

396
00:20:20,280 --> 00:20:23,320
Speaker 3: Coming inpleting forty four point four percent of passes this season.

397
00:20:25,160 --> 00:20:27,680
Speaker 2: A surprising about that is that seems a little high

398
00:20:27,720 --> 00:20:28,480
Speaker 2: to me for the.

399
00:20:28,359 --> 00:20:30,240
Speaker 3: Only people that have even thrown a pass. It's only

400
00:20:30,280 --> 00:20:31,600
Speaker 3: Drew lock Lower at the moment.

401
00:20:32,640 --> 00:20:36,320
Speaker 4: Okay, all right, Texans are six to two, Colts are

402
00:20:36,359 --> 00:20:39,360
Speaker 4: four and four folks. If you want access to all

403
00:20:39,400 --> 00:20:43,199
Speaker 4: of Actions Pro projections, make sure to sign up for

404
00:20:43,280 --> 00:20:44,560
Speaker 4: our annual subscription that.

405
00:20:44,560 --> 00:20:45,520
Speaker 1: Is currently on sale.

406
00:20:46,119 --> 00:20:49,080
Speaker 4: Access includes exclusive player prop picks for Sean Kerner and

407
00:20:49,080 --> 00:20:51,760
Speaker 4: other members of the Action Analytics team. He'll also get

408
00:20:51,800 --> 00:20:54,800
Speaker 4: access to exclusive expert articles are best Spread, Money, line

409
00:20:54,840 --> 00:20:57,040
Speaker 4: and total Bets, and real ticket and money percentages.

410
00:20:57,560 --> 00:20:58,919
Speaker 1: To sign up, all you have to do is go

411
00:20:58,960 --> 00:20:59,920
Speaker 1: to Action network dot.

412
00:20:59,840 --> 00:21:03,439
Speaker 4: Com Slash pro today and use the code live twenty

413
00:21:03,520 --> 00:21:05,919
Speaker 4: its sign up one more time. That's live twenty at

414
00:21:06,000 --> 00:21:09,320
Speaker 4: sign up for twenty dollars off. We're recapping all of

415
00:21:09,359 --> 00:21:11,760
Speaker 4: these games. There was a busy, busy slate in week

416
00:21:11,800 --> 00:21:15,160
Speaker 4: eight on this Sunday, Hot Reeds coming, Monday Night Football

417
00:21:15,160 --> 00:21:16,080
Speaker 4: Picks coming as well.

418
00:21:16,160 --> 00:21:17,080
Speaker 1: If you're enjoying the.

419
00:21:17,280 --> 00:21:19,800
Speaker 4: Podcast, If you're watching live on YouTube, please subscribe to

420
00:21:19,840 --> 00:21:21,760
Speaker 4: the channel and also like our video if you don't mind,

421
00:21:21,800 --> 00:21:25,679
Speaker 4: we'd appreciate that Arizona Miami too is return but the

422
00:21:25,720 --> 00:21:30,160
Speaker 4: Cardinals spoil it Brandon twenty eight, twenty seven The Hot Red,

423
00:21:30,240 --> 00:21:32,720
Speaker 4: speaking of which you ended up getting there with the Cardinals.

424
00:21:32,800 --> 00:21:36,040
Speaker 4: Didn't feel all that promising Cardinals was your give. You

425
00:21:36,080 --> 00:21:37,480
Speaker 4: gave it out at three and a half, ends up

426
00:21:37,480 --> 00:21:39,240
Speaker 4: closing around five five and a half.

427
00:21:39,280 --> 00:21:41,399
Speaker 1: Maybe it closed at three. I don't remember what the

428
00:21:41,760 --> 00:21:43,119
Speaker 1: I don't know what the number closed at.

429
00:21:43,440 --> 00:21:45,160
Speaker 2: Yeah, I remember where it closed. I think it did

430
00:21:45,440 --> 00:21:48,280
Speaker 2: certainly moved toward Miami. The hope was that perhaps Tuo

431
00:21:48,359 --> 00:21:49,960
Speaker 2: would miss this one, and we didn't get that. It

432
00:21:50,040 --> 00:21:53,200
Speaker 2: closed that five. We got to cover anyways, And honestly

433
00:21:53,240 --> 00:21:55,160
Speaker 2: that was part of the cap is that I knew

434
00:21:55,160 --> 00:21:56,720
Speaker 2: I was going to probably still like the ears on

435
00:21:56,760 --> 00:21:59,040
Speaker 2: the side even if it was Tu and part of

436
00:21:59,040 --> 00:22:02,160
Speaker 2: what we saw he was good, but not great. This

437
00:22:02,200 --> 00:22:04,680
Speaker 2: is not the Miami offense that we saw last year.

438
00:22:04,960 --> 00:22:08,440
Speaker 2: This is a timing thing, and especially on early downs,

439
00:22:08,800 --> 00:22:11,320
Speaker 2: they're fine compared to what they've been and the rest

440
00:22:11,359 --> 00:22:14,520
Speaker 2: of the year they were miles better. They still weren't Miami, though.

441
00:22:15,040 --> 00:22:17,560
Speaker 2: Last year is Miami against this Arizona defense could have

442
00:22:17,560 --> 00:22:20,040
Speaker 2: put up like fifty points. That's just not what they

443
00:22:20,040 --> 00:22:22,840
Speaker 2: did today. In fact, they were eleven of fifteen the

444
00:22:22,920 --> 00:22:26,639
Speaker 2: Dolphins were on third down. That's really good. Just to

445
00:22:26,680 --> 00:22:28,679
Speaker 2: get to the twenty seven. That kind of shows you

446
00:22:28,720 --> 00:22:32,280
Speaker 2: on the early downs, the more reliable downs, how mid

447
00:22:32,320 --> 00:22:37,000
Speaker 2: they effectively were. So Cardinals now lead the division four

448
00:22:37,000 --> 00:22:40,720
Speaker 2: and four. They might be along with Washington. You know,

449
00:22:40,920 --> 00:22:43,080
Speaker 2: we talked about this before. This is the opposite of

450
00:22:43,080 --> 00:22:46,480
Speaker 2: a victory lap. I wanted Cardinals Island. We talked about

451
00:22:46,480 --> 00:22:48,520
Speaker 2: it back in like March and April that wanted to

452
00:22:48,560 --> 00:22:50,679
Speaker 2: get there and I couldn't do it. And here they

453
00:22:50,720 --> 00:22:54,080
Speaker 2: are maybe the worst first team this year along with Washington.

454
00:22:54,800 --> 00:22:58,480
Speaker 2: One prop note for you with to a back, Devin

455
00:22:58,600 --> 00:23:01,080
Speaker 2: h Chan has been so much better with Tua. He

456
00:23:01,080 --> 00:23:03,560
Speaker 2: almost had one hundred yards rushing again, but more importantly

457
00:23:04,160 --> 00:23:07,040
Speaker 2: six catches fifty yards his other games with two of

458
00:23:07,080 --> 00:23:10,160
Speaker 2: this year seven for seventy nine, seven for seventy six

459
00:23:10,560 --> 00:23:13,440
Speaker 2: as a receiver. That's been a big new weapon for them.

460
00:23:13,760 --> 00:23:17,160
Speaker 2: In the games without Tua, twelve catches forty nine yards combined.

461
00:23:17,520 --> 00:23:20,640
Speaker 2: So keep that in mind for props receptions and receiving

462
00:23:20,720 --> 00:23:24,600
Speaker 2: yards over Dolphins offense. I think they're fine. I think

463
00:23:24,640 --> 00:23:26,919
Speaker 2: this is like shake off the rust and get back going.

464
00:23:27,400 --> 00:23:30,960
Speaker 2: The problem is they're fine, but two and five. They

465
00:23:31,000 --> 00:23:34,640
Speaker 2: play at Buffalo next week. That's for the season. If

466
00:23:34,640 --> 00:23:37,639
Speaker 2: you get that one, which they've not been getting against

467
00:23:37,680 --> 00:23:40,560
Speaker 2: Buffalo lately. That's the game that Tua got hurt in

468
00:23:40,680 --> 00:23:46,440
Speaker 2: last time. If you win it, Rams, Raiders Patriots, all right,

469
00:23:46,800 --> 00:23:50,080
Speaker 2: those are winnable. Those are winnable defenses for that offense

470
00:23:50,119 --> 00:23:52,359
Speaker 2: to start hitting its steam. You can get back to

471
00:23:52,400 --> 00:23:54,800
Speaker 2: six and five, but you gotta win at Buffalo. You

472
00:23:54,840 --> 00:23:57,200
Speaker 2: can't go to two and six. Two and five might

473
00:23:57,200 --> 00:24:00,639
Speaker 2: already be a little too far. I don't know, Mimi.

474
00:24:00,920 --> 00:24:04,359
Speaker 2: Miami is teetering on the brink for me. They've got

475
00:24:04,400 --> 00:24:07,479
Speaker 2: a rough schedule coming up after that stretch. Cardinals are

476
00:24:07,520 --> 00:24:09,879
Speaker 2: four and four, and in that division. I believe Seattle

477
00:24:09,880 --> 00:24:11,960
Speaker 2: and San fran are also four and four. LA is

478
00:24:11,960 --> 00:24:14,639
Speaker 2: certainly looking better now than did a week ago as well.

479
00:24:15,040 --> 00:24:18,119
Speaker 2: That looks like the division to watch, But Arizona's surprise

480
00:24:18,240 --> 00:24:19,359
Speaker 2: leader at the midpoint.

481
00:24:20,400 --> 00:24:21,840
Speaker 1: Weather in Buffalo next Sunday.

482
00:24:21,840 --> 00:24:24,080
Speaker 4: It's way too early, but it looks like it's going

483
00:24:24,160 --> 00:24:26,640
Speaker 4: to be not too cold. I mean, hey, for two,

484
00:24:26,760 --> 00:24:28,920
Speaker 4: in the Dolphins sake, they're not playing this game in December,

485
00:24:29,320 --> 00:24:31,399
Speaker 4: which is has boded well with the cold weather with

486
00:24:31,440 --> 00:24:34,160
Speaker 4: the two of cold weather numbers. But low forty high

487
00:24:34,160 --> 00:24:38,280
Speaker 4: of fifty five looks like clouds next Sunday, which.

488
00:24:38,560 --> 00:24:39,200
Speaker 1: Could be helpful.

489
00:24:39,280 --> 00:24:42,120
Speaker 4: Yeah, shake off the rust kind of game I think

490
00:24:42,160 --> 00:24:44,400
Speaker 4: for the Dolphins. But yeah, again they certainly should have had.

491
00:24:44,560 --> 00:24:47,800
Speaker 4: But the Cardinals get there. Buffalo at Seattle, that was

492
00:24:47,800 --> 00:24:50,480
Speaker 4: one of the prime four to thirty window games. That

493
00:24:50,520 --> 00:24:53,480
Speaker 4: was the Fox primetime game in Buffalo. This was just

494
00:24:54,119 --> 00:24:56,800
Speaker 4: right when the ball got snapped over Gino's head. I'm like,

495
00:24:56,880 --> 00:25:00,080
Speaker 4: oh boy, it all kind of went to hell for

496
00:25:00,160 --> 00:25:04,640
Speaker 4: the Seahawks. Bills thirty one Seahawks ten, Buffalo minus three

497
00:25:04,680 --> 00:25:08,160
Speaker 4: gets there, no problem, evan total goes under forty five

498
00:25:08,200 --> 00:25:08,639
Speaker 4: and a half.

499
00:25:09,080 --> 00:25:10,920
Speaker 3: Yeah, it probably could have been a completely different game

500
00:25:10,920 --> 00:25:15,639
Speaker 3: if they execute early. Maybe just a different scheme going forward,

501
00:25:15,680 --> 00:25:18,040
Speaker 3: because after that it just felt like everything went downhill.

502
00:25:18,440 --> 00:25:20,399
Speaker 3: But the entire game felt like it kind of pinned

503
00:25:20,400 --> 00:25:23,560
Speaker 3: on the run game. Buffalo thirty four to sixty four

504
00:25:23,600 --> 00:25:26,399
Speaker 3: to two touchdowns Seattle. I had to read this a

505
00:25:26,400 --> 00:25:29,840
Speaker 3: few times. They have seventeen carries for thirty two yards,

506
00:25:30,520 --> 00:25:33,480
Speaker 3: so literally could not move the ball. I saw some Charbonnet,

507
00:25:33,880 --> 00:25:36,600
Speaker 3: some walker just no matter what they did, didn't work

508
00:25:36,640 --> 00:25:41,320
Speaker 3: at all. Seattle's first seven possessions punt, punt, field goal, turnover,

509
00:25:41,359 --> 00:25:45,639
Speaker 3: on downs, half, interception, punt. It just at that point

510
00:25:45,960 --> 00:25:48,240
Speaker 3: you just can't stay in the game, even when Josh

511
00:25:48,280 --> 00:25:51,560
Speaker 3: Allen gives you his first interception of the year. I

512
00:25:51,640 --> 00:25:54,680
Speaker 3: will note just an interesting Geno number here. So he's

513
00:25:54,800 --> 00:25:57,200
Speaker 3: three and nine against the spread at home since the

514
00:25:57,240 --> 00:26:00,320
Speaker 3: start of last season, worse than the NFL. Only worse

515
00:26:00,560 --> 00:26:03,479
Speaker 3: is Sam Howell seven and one, who is his backup.

516
00:26:03,680 --> 00:26:06,800
Speaker 3: So that's not very good either. And you look at

517
00:26:06,800 --> 00:26:09,679
Speaker 3: that Geno at home this year, four touchdowns, six picks.

518
00:26:10,040 --> 00:26:12,480
Speaker 3: On the road, he's got four touchdowns and one interception,

519
00:26:12,760 --> 00:26:16,040
Speaker 3: and his road passer rating is sixteen points higher. So

520
00:26:16,520 --> 00:26:19,840
Speaker 3: it's just seems like he's a different guy when they

521
00:26:19,840 --> 00:26:22,080
Speaker 3: had their road and they just have done better. So

522
00:26:22,160 --> 00:26:25,080
Speaker 3: that's to me probably the Seattle side of the ball.

523
00:26:25,359 --> 00:26:28,480
Speaker 3: They're at home next week and they stay there against

524
00:26:28,480 --> 00:26:32,040
Speaker 3: a Rams team who is on extended rest off of Thursday,

525
00:26:32,160 --> 00:26:35,000
Speaker 3: so interesting matchup and definitely want to get around there

526
00:26:35,560 --> 00:26:39,119
Speaker 3: and look different at home. But we will see it.

527
00:26:39,160 --> 00:26:41,359
Speaker 3: And from Buffalo's point of view, I don't think I

528
00:26:41,480 --> 00:26:45,880
Speaker 3: learned much except for the fact, like Josh Allen continues

529
00:26:46,000 --> 00:26:48,880
Speaker 3: to blow out opponents in the majority of his games

530
00:26:49,440 --> 00:26:52,000
Speaker 3: fifty three of seventy four wins by seven points or more.

531
00:26:52,280 --> 00:26:55,080
Speaker 3: So that helps with those bigger spreads in a sense.

532
00:26:55,480 --> 00:26:58,600
Speaker 3: We talked about the interception, but I will say this

533
00:26:58,640 --> 00:27:02,400
Speaker 3: in terms of the schedule. So Buffalo is you talked

534
00:27:02,440 --> 00:27:05,520
Speaker 3: about that Miami game, Then they're at Indy and then

535
00:27:05,560 --> 00:27:09,399
Speaker 3: they play Kansas City before the bye Kansas City one today.

536
00:27:09,400 --> 00:27:11,080
Speaker 3: We'll talk about that in a little bit, probably not

537
00:27:11,160 --> 00:27:13,520
Speaker 3: as much to talk about, but at Vegas and they

538
00:27:13,600 --> 00:27:16,560
Speaker 3: play Tampa at home, then at home against Denver. So

539
00:27:16,600 --> 00:27:18,480
Speaker 3: you could be setting up maybe a nine to zero

540
00:27:18,920 --> 00:27:21,840
Speaker 3: versus seven and two game in week eleven, which is

541
00:27:21,880 --> 00:27:22,359
Speaker 3: really fun.

542
00:27:24,200 --> 00:27:24,800
Speaker 1: MARII Cooper.

543
00:27:24,840 --> 00:27:29,840
Speaker 4: One pitch here was excellent, And yeah, hey for Seattle, Brandon,

544
00:27:29,920 --> 00:27:32,439
Speaker 4: I mean, because you're high on Seattle this year, you

545
00:27:32,560 --> 00:27:34,320
Speaker 4: just kind of burn the tape and your next three

546
00:27:34,359 --> 00:27:36,040
Speaker 4: are against the division and then you hope.

547
00:27:36,080 --> 00:27:37,760
Speaker 1: I don't know if they're gonna get Metcalf.

548
00:27:37,400 --> 00:27:39,399
Speaker 4: Back next week or not with that mcl thing, but

549
00:27:39,440 --> 00:27:41,240
Speaker 4: maybe they wait for the buye and then they get

550
00:27:41,280 --> 00:27:41,760
Speaker 4: them for the.

551
00:27:41,680 --> 00:27:44,280
Speaker 1: San Francisco game. After they play.

552
00:27:45,720 --> 00:27:47,480
Speaker 4: They get the Rams, as haven't mentioned, but then they

553
00:27:47,720 --> 00:27:50,840
Speaker 4: they get the Niners on November seventeenth after a buy

554
00:27:50,920 --> 00:27:53,160
Speaker 4: So maybe that's the spot for Metcalf, or they try

555
00:27:53,200 --> 00:27:54,760
Speaker 4: to play him sooner rather than later because it's a

556
00:27:54,800 --> 00:27:55,359
Speaker 4: division game.

557
00:27:55,560 --> 00:27:57,760
Speaker 3: I'd probably like Seattle next week, to be honest with you.

558
00:27:57,880 --> 00:28:00,320
Speaker 3: It's only a minus one right now, obviously to wait

559
00:28:00,400 --> 00:28:03,200
Speaker 3: on Metcalf, but I think it's just a decent spot

560
00:28:03,240 --> 00:28:05,320
Speaker 3: after Rams looked. Is probably as good as you can

561
00:28:05,359 --> 00:28:07,560
Speaker 3: do beating a hard Minnesota team.

562
00:28:07,880 --> 00:28:10,200
Speaker 4: Right Metcalf for no Betcalf, though the run at the

563
00:28:10,440 --> 00:28:12,720
Speaker 4: run numbers, the run stats are not, you gotta still

564
00:28:13,040 --> 00:28:16,080
Speaker 4: run the balls that Rams deep. I think it's just

565
00:28:16,200 --> 00:28:18,520
Speaker 4: keeps getting better at that front with all those young picks.

566
00:28:18,800 --> 00:28:19,880
Speaker 1: All right, let's go to the next one.

567
00:28:19,880 --> 00:28:23,840
Speaker 4: Atlanta Tampa Falcons win thirty one twenty six. It was

568
00:28:23,880 --> 00:28:26,640
Speaker 4: a good start for the Bucks without Godwin without Evans,

569
00:28:27,000 --> 00:28:30,040
Speaker 4: but then Atlanta settles in. They cover the short number

570
00:28:30,080 --> 00:28:32,720
Speaker 4: one and a half, total goes over forty seven and

571
00:28:32,720 --> 00:28:32,960
Speaker 4: a half.

572
00:28:33,040 --> 00:28:36,399
Speaker 2: Brandon, Yeah, the Bucks honestly hung pretty well given that

573
00:28:36,440 --> 00:28:40,160
Speaker 2: they don't have any receivers left statistically pretty even outside

574
00:28:40,160 --> 00:28:42,400
Speaker 2: of three turnovers to none, and that's kind of what

575
00:28:42,480 --> 00:28:45,680
Speaker 2: did the difference here. That's the Baker Mayfield effect. Unfortunately,

576
00:28:45,720 --> 00:28:47,000
Speaker 2: it's going to give you the big plays, but it's

577
00:28:47,000 --> 00:28:50,120
Speaker 2: gonna come with some turnovers. My takeaway is that Kirk

578
00:28:50,160 --> 00:28:51,880
Speaker 2: Cousins would be the MVP if we just played the

579
00:28:51,880 --> 00:28:55,200
Speaker 2: Bucks every week. Four touchdowns two hudred and seventy six yards.

580
00:28:55,200 --> 00:28:57,960
Speaker 2: We just saw earlier this month. Four touchdowns five hundred

581
00:28:57,960 --> 00:29:00,800
Speaker 2: and nine yards in that Thursday night game. Kirk against

582
00:29:00,840 --> 00:29:04,400
Speaker 2: the Bucks pace for the season six six hundred and

583
00:29:04,440 --> 00:29:07,760
Speaker 2: seventy three yards and sixty eight passing touchdowns. So Kirk

584
00:29:07,760 --> 00:29:12,040
Speaker 2: Cousins against the Bucks is your MVP. Kyle Pitts at

585
00:29:12,080 --> 00:29:14,720
Speaker 2: his Leon Lett touchdown moment, if you remember that from

586
00:29:14,720 --> 00:29:17,760
Speaker 2: the nineties, he had the ball kind of just dragging

587
00:29:17,840 --> 00:29:21,200
Speaker 2: out behind him, stripped at the goal line. They called

588
00:29:21,240 --> 00:29:24,000
Speaker 2: a touchdown on the field. I think it probably stood

589
00:29:24,000 --> 00:29:26,080
Speaker 2: because of that. I don't think it was a touchdown.

590
00:29:26,080 --> 00:29:28,280
Speaker 2: It depends on the angle that you're looking at. It's

591
00:29:28,280 --> 00:29:31,840
Speaker 2: a touchdown in history. Now. So Atlanta five and three,

592
00:29:32,080 --> 00:29:34,120
Speaker 2: one game up on the box, but really two games

593
00:29:34,120 --> 00:29:37,640
Speaker 2: they've swept them. Now campus out of receivers. The Saints

594
00:29:37,640 --> 00:29:39,640
Speaker 2: and Panthers play next week, so I guess somebody has

595
00:29:39,680 --> 00:29:42,400
Speaker 2: to win. But those teams are deader than dead. I

596
00:29:42,440 --> 00:29:45,560
Speaker 2: think I wanted to fade the Texans and the Falcons

597
00:29:45,560 --> 00:29:47,080
Speaker 2: this year. I've been looking to fade them in the

598
00:29:47,120 --> 00:29:50,120
Speaker 2: division coming into the year and all throughout. I still

599
00:29:50,120 --> 00:29:52,480
Speaker 2: don't really believe in either team, but by default, at

600
00:29:52,480 --> 00:29:56,400
Speaker 2: this point, they've gotten the job done despite the circumstances,

601
00:29:56,480 --> 00:29:59,160
Speaker 2: and they are now both pretty clearly in the lead.

602
00:29:59,600 --> 00:30:01,240
Speaker 2: I think that it's the one division and the NFC

603
00:30:01,480 --> 00:30:02,880
Speaker 2: that's just well wrapped at this point.

604
00:30:04,400 --> 00:30:08,320
Speaker 4: Chiefs Raiders. So we talked about Lamar and then Jared.

605
00:30:08,400 --> 00:30:11,080
Speaker 4: We'll get to Jared Goff in the in the Lions soon.

606
00:30:11,160 --> 00:30:14,120
Speaker 4: But Jared Goff hit three touchdowns. We only threw eighty

607
00:30:14,160 --> 00:30:16,680
Speaker 4: five yards. I'm like, all right, here you go, Patrick Mahomes, Raiders.

608
00:30:16,720 --> 00:30:20,200
Speaker 4: Here's We talked about MVP on Tuesday, we did Brown Table.

609
00:30:20,320 --> 00:30:21,120
Speaker 1: And we mentioned it.

610
00:30:21,160 --> 00:30:24,480
Speaker 4: I think on last Sunday too, about MVP, and there's

611
00:30:24,520 --> 00:30:27,680
Speaker 4: an opportunity there, Evan, and it just it just they win.

612
00:30:27,800 --> 00:30:30,000
Speaker 1: The Chiefs win again. They're twenty seven to twenty.

613
00:30:30,000 --> 00:30:33,120
Speaker 4: It was sloppy Mahomes to another pick a couple touchdowns.

614
00:30:33,240 --> 00:30:34,280
Speaker 1: Raiders do cover.

615
00:30:34,160 --> 00:30:36,560
Speaker 4: The the nine points they get, their plus nine total

616
00:30:36,600 --> 00:30:39,920
Speaker 4: goes over. I just rinse and repeat with what we're

617
00:30:39,920 --> 00:30:40,920
Speaker 4: talking about with the Chiefs.

618
00:30:40,960 --> 00:30:46,120
Speaker 3: It seems stats don't look good enough to like change

619
00:30:46,160 --> 00:30:50,400
Speaker 3: the season numbers. But from a game to game perspective,

620
00:30:50,600 --> 00:30:54,480
Speaker 3: he played well plus twelve EPA. His a dot was

621
00:30:54,480 --> 00:30:56,520
Speaker 3: about a yard and a half to two points higher

622
00:30:56,560 --> 00:31:01,240
Speaker 3: than it has been on the season, about six plus

623
00:31:01,320 --> 00:31:04,880
Speaker 3: six completion percentage over expected. And even if you look downfield,

624
00:31:04,920 --> 00:31:08,840
Speaker 3: he was nine of fourteen ten plus yards and his

625
00:31:09,080 --> 00:31:11,560
Speaker 3: inner and his two touchdowns were just below that ten

626
00:31:11,680 --> 00:31:13,840
Speaker 3: yard mark with more a little more yack on it.

627
00:31:14,760 --> 00:31:19,040
Speaker 3: But it's just, you know, the case's thing. They were

628
00:31:19,080 --> 00:31:22,280
Speaker 3: twelve of sixteen on third down. You just can't beat

629
00:31:22,320 --> 00:31:26,560
Speaker 3: a team, even with Mahomes showing another interceptions twenty third

630
00:31:26,840 --> 00:31:29,160
Speaker 3: in the last two seasons. It just doesn't matter when

631
00:31:29,160 --> 00:31:31,560
Speaker 3: they just convert and their defense shows up every time.

632
00:31:31,600 --> 00:31:34,560
Speaker 3: I think they had five sacks. Just really difficult to

633
00:31:34,600 --> 00:31:37,640
Speaker 3: beat them. Part of their success has been the defenses, overall,

634
00:31:37,680 --> 00:31:41,280
Speaker 3: allowing twenty seven points now in twenty eight consecutive games,

635
00:31:41,480 --> 00:31:44,240
Speaker 3: longest for any streak since the two thousand and five

636
00:31:44,320 --> 00:31:49,040
Speaker 3: Ravens who did it in twenty nine straight and then honestly,

637
00:31:49,080 --> 00:31:51,320
Speaker 3: it just feels like Mahomes keeps doing this. So him

638
00:31:51,360 --> 00:31:54,760
Speaker 3: and Reid six win at Allegiance most of any combo.

639
00:31:55,000 --> 00:31:58,200
Speaker 3: Nobody else has even five wins. So you know, when

640
00:31:58,240 --> 00:32:00,760
Speaker 3: you talk about ownership of the division, teen and one

641
00:32:00,840 --> 00:32:03,760
Speaker 3: straight up on the road for Mahomes, and here's my

642
00:32:03,840 --> 00:32:07,600
Speaker 3: favorite one, so read twenty nine and six straight up

643
00:32:07,680 --> 00:32:10,720
Speaker 3: road neutral versus the AFC West twenty thirteen and now

644
00:32:11,080 --> 00:32:14,920
Speaker 3: twenty nine and six on the road versus his own division.

645
00:32:14,960 --> 00:32:18,680
Speaker 3: Mahomes are not just some crazy stats, and I think

646
00:32:18,720 --> 00:32:21,680
Speaker 3: people in terms of gambling on the Raiders felt good

647
00:32:21,680 --> 00:32:24,640
Speaker 3: about the end there. So Mahomes three at favorite of

648
00:32:24,640 --> 00:32:27,480
Speaker 3: three and a half for more twenty four thirty five

649
00:32:27,560 --> 00:32:30,600
Speaker 3: and two ats and is twenty twenty as least profitable

650
00:32:30,680 --> 00:32:33,800
Speaker 3: quarterback in the NFL in that spot. So wins the

651
00:32:33,840 --> 00:32:37,760
Speaker 3: games always figures it out. Chiefs defense comes through, doesn't

652
00:32:37,760 --> 00:32:39,760
Speaker 3: cover the number. Honestly feels like I put it that

653
00:32:39,800 --> 00:32:41,480
Speaker 3: in a blender every time we talk about them.

654
00:32:42,200 --> 00:32:44,920
Speaker 4: Davir Worthy had I know it's wasn't like the pizazz

655
00:32:45,040 --> 00:32:46,640
Speaker 4: or like an end a round or something. But he

656
00:32:46,640 --> 00:32:48,920
Speaker 4: had eight targets, like they really integrated him. I felt

657
00:32:48,960 --> 00:32:52,600
Speaker 4: he was actually running some real routes in their offense.

658
00:32:52,640 --> 00:32:55,000
Speaker 4: It wasn't just gadget stuff too, and he was looking

659
00:32:55,000 --> 00:32:56,320
Speaker 4: at it and Travis Kelsey scords.

660
00:32:56,360 --> 00:32:59,200
Speaker 3: Yeah, and Kelsey scored. If you want to search right now,

661
00:32:59,320 --> 00:33:02,000
Speaker 3: just search Nation tight Ends Day on Twitter. The park

662
00:33:02,080 --> 00:33:05,200
Speaker 3: goes out there crazy. We just posted on an action network.

663
00:33:05,240 --> 00:33:07,720
Speaker 3: It was ten dollars to one hundred and eighty five grand,

664
00:33:07,960 --> 00:33:08,880
Speaker 3: So people had a day.

665
00:33:09,560 --> 00:33:11,520
Speaker 4: I was proud for like the first thirty five minutes

666
00:33:11,560 --> 00:33:13,080
Speaker 4: of this that we didn't even mention that, but you

667
00:33:13,200 --> 00:33:13,520
Speaker 4: just did.

668
00:33:13,800 --> 00:33:15,800
Speaker 3: I did tight Ends Day.

669
00:33:16,280 --> 00:33:20,200
Speaker 1: Hairs. I mean, tight Ends were actually really good today.

670
00:33:20,760 --> 00:33:24,680
Speaker 2: But like the HALLMARKUS holiday that football dudes ever made up.

671
00:33:24,560 --> 00:33:27,800
Speaker 1: Before, Yeah, you know, and it's whatever.

672
00:33:27,880 --> 00:33:29,640
Speaker 3: It's a lot of people made some money today, so

673
00:33:29,720 --> 00:33:30,120
Speaker 3: you can't.

674
00:33:30,560 --> 00:33:33,640
Speaker 4: Hey, they included George Kittle, who did score in the

675
00:33:33,760 --> 00:33:36,520
Speaker 4: game tonight. They did include Kittle in the Receiver doc

676
00:33:36,560 --> 00:33:38,760
Speaker 4: on Netflix, so they don't like forget about these guys.

677
00:33:38,840 --> 00:33:42,200
Speaker 2: That's fair. By the way, we're all on we're all

678
00:33:42,240 --> 00:33:44,440
Speaker 2: on team win money. From the bucks. So if National

679
00:33:44,480 --> 00:33:46,400
Speaker 2: tight Ends Day is winning us all money, we can

680
00:33:46,400 --> 00:33:47,040
Speaker 2: celebrate it.

681
00:33:47,800 --> 00:33:49,760
Speaker 4: By the way, Josh Allen is now your new MVP

682
00:33:49,880 --> 00:33:52,440
Speaker 4: favorite as of right now plus three twenty. Lamar Jackson

683
00:33:52,560 --> 00:33:55,600
Speaker 4: second at plus three to fifty, Maholmes plus four to fifty,

684
00:33:55,640 --> 00:33:58,760
Speaker 4: Jared Goff's number didn't move plus seven hundred, and Jayden

685
00:33:58,880 --> 00:34:01,240
Speaker 4: Daniels at plus nine hundred.

686
00:34:01,320 --> 00:34:03,520
Speaker 3: Is you at his MVP moment today? Maybe?

687
00:34:03,800 --> 00:34:07,400
Speaker 1: Yeah, hard to ignore that for sure.

688
00:34:07,600 --> 00:34:09,880
Speaker 4: Okay, one more before we do our rapid fire ugly

689
00:34:10,000 --> 00:34:15,239
Speaker 4: round Brandon green Bay Jacksonville. The super escalator did not

690
00:34:15,960 --> 00:34:20,239
Speaker 4: get there, but Dobbs was the guy receiving. Wise, that

691
00:34:20,280 --> 00:34:23,320
Speaker 4: definitely happened. Green Bay does win, they come from behind.

692
00:34:24,360 --> 00:34:28,080
Speaker 4: It was a really off putting game. Doug Peterson postgame

693
00:34:28,120 --> 00:34:30,440
Speaker 4: really didn't want to give Trevor Lawrence any love whatsoever.

694
00:34:30,440 --> 00:34:33,719
Speaker 4: He credit the receivers, credit the blocking, but really didn't

695
00:34:33,719 --> 00:34:36,120
Speaker 4: want to touch Trevor Lawrence in his impact in that game.

696
00:34:36,400 --> 00:34:39,879
Speaker 4: Green Bay thirty, Jacksonville twenty seven. Jags do cover three

697
00:34:39,920 --> 00:34:41,719
Speaker 4: and a half and the total goes over for to nine.

698
00:34:42,600 --> 00:34:44,680
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's a weird one. Dobbs went over the forty

699
00:34:44,719 --> 00:34:47,400
Speaker 2: five yards we went. That was the basis of our escalator.

700
00:34:47,400 --> 00:34:49,000
Speaker 2: I think he was over that like halfway through the

701
00:34:49,000 --> 00:34:51,920
Speaker 2: first quarter. So we're feeling good, like two big plays downfield,

702
00:34:52,200 --> 00:34:55,200
Speaker 2: another one soon after that, then just nothing and Join

703
00:34:55,280 --> 00:34:58,840
Speaker 2: Love leaves hurt with a groin injury. We'll see what happens.

704
00:34:58,880 --> 00:35:01,360
Speaker 2: But apparently for the pack it means they win. Malik

705
00:35:01,400 --> 00:35:04,040
Speaker 2: Willis is basically now three and ozer Like. I know

706
00:35:04,080 --> 00:35:07,120
Speaker 2: he doesn't get credit for the win here, but Milik

707
00:35:07,120 --> 00:35:08,799
Speaker 2: will should get credit for the win. He led them

708
00:35:09,000 --> 00:35:11,120
Speaker 2: from behind late in the game. He led them ahead

709
00:35:11,200 --> 00:35:13,799
Speaker 2: and they went behind. But you get both parts there.

710
00:35:14,480 --> 00:35:17,359
Speaker 2: Matt Lafleur Coach of the year six and two three

711
00:35:17,400 --> 00:35:21,000
Speaker 2: wins now with Malik Willis, like, that's saving green Bay's season.

712
00:35:21,560 --> 00:35:23,960
Speaker 2: Up next for the Packers the Lions. So that's a

713
00:35:23,960 --> 00:35:27,919
Speaker 2: big one. They don't sound super concerned about Love right now.

714
00:35:28,320 --> 00:35:31,120
Speaker 2: The books disagree, and I've already moved the line off

715
00:35:31,200 --> 00:35:32,680
Speaker 2: of a lot what it was, so I think at

716
00:35:32,760 --> 00:35:35,400
Speaker 2: least kind of hedging on the weather level player or not.

717
00:35:35,520 --> 00:35:38,239
Speaker 2: So obviously that's the big story for that one. Green

718
00:35:38,280 --> 00:35:41,640
Speaker 2: Bay led by ten with six minutes left, Jacksonville got

719
00:35:41,680 --> 00:35:44,160
Speaker 2: back into it. Green Bay ended up getting the win. Anyways,

720
00:35:44,760 --> 00:35:46,920
Speaker 2: I think the Packers deserved to win here, so there

721
00:35:46,920 --> 00:35:48,880
Speaker 2: were two of six in the red zone. Otherwise, I

722
00:35:48,880 --> 00:35:52,120
Speaker 2: think they probably just can win more comfortably. Shouts to

723
00:35:52,239 --> 00:35:55,680
Speaker 2: Logan Cook, who you've never heard of before. Hunter for

724
00:35:55,760 --> 00:35:59,480
Speaker 2: the Jaguars has his feet inside his own ten. Hunt

725
00:35:59,480 --> 00:36:01,719
Speaker 2: of the he punts it out of bounce to the

726
00:36:01,760 --> 00:36:04,800
Speaker 2: one yard line across the field on the other side

727
00:36:04,920 --> 00:36:07,959
Speaker 2: from inside his own ten. We got to mention something

728
00:36:08,000 --> 00:36:11,120
Speaker 2: like that on a show like this. Punter analytics out here.

729
00:36:11,640 --> 00:36:14,839
Speaker 2: Teams returning from London without a bye week have now

730
00:36:14,960 --> 00:36:18,960
Speaker 2: tied or trailed in the fourth quarter fifteen of seventeen games.

731
00:36:19,239 --> 00:36:21,239
Speaker 2: We're done with London for the year, but keep that

732
00:36:21,280 --> 00:36:24,160
Speaker 2: in mind for next year. That stat still holds up.

733
00:36:26,080 --> 00:36:29,600
Speaker 1: Yeah, two straight weeks in London. They hung in there though, Jacksonville,

734
00:36:29,640 --> 00:36:30,359
Speaker 1: but they cover.

735
00:36:30,480 --> 00:36:32,080
Speaker 4: So if you if you bet the Jaguars to cover,

736
00:36:32,480 --> 00:36:34,520
Speaker 4: here you go and we'll keep an eye on the Green.

737
00:36:34,640 --> 00:36:34,799
Speaker 2: Yeah.

738
00:36:34,800 --> 00:36:38,080
Speaker 4: The Jordan love thing is alarm. And he threw another pick, right,

739
00:36:38,120 --> 00:36:39,319
Speaker 4: He threw a pick in the first half.

740
00:36:39,520 --> 00:36:41,360
Speaker 2: Yeah, bad one, another bad one.

741
00:36:41,960 --> 00:36:44,719
Speaker 3: That life's plus four next week for green Bay, Right,

742
00:36:44,719 --> 00:36:45,520
Speaker 3: now against Detroit.

743
00:36:46,840 --> 00:36:51,239
Speaker 4: Okay, I mean it super quick on these with Philly Cincinnati,

744
00:36:51,239 --> 00:36:53,000
Speaker 4: even though I think Philly Cincinnati was actually a game

745
00:36:53,040 --> 00:36:54,640
Speaker 4: that was actually not as bad as we thought it

746
00:36:54,680 --> 00:36:56,600
Speaker 4: was going to be. Does go over forty seven and

747
00:36:56,640 --> 00:36:59,400
Speaker 4: a half? Philly wins thirty seven to seventeen. They were

748
00:36:59,400 --> 00:37:00,120
Speaker 4: a short dot.

749
00:37:00,200 --> 00:37:03,920
Speaker 2: Brandon, Yeah, still no first quarter points for the Eagles.

750
00:37:04,000 --> 00:37:06,440
Speaker 2: The under was my play here, feeling great, tell about

751
00:37:06,440 --> 00:37:09,839
Speaker 2: five minutes till halftime. Lane Johnson gets hurt. Turned out

752
00:37:09,840 --> 00:37:12,960
Speaker 2: he was fine. Turned out we got like a push

753
00:37:13,040 --> 00:37:16,279
Speaker 2: push right before halftime that I felt like was the

754
00:37:16,400 --> 00:37:19,640
Speaker 2: entire Eagles regime. If the Bengals have stopped them, they're

755
00:37:19,680 --> 00:37:21,879
Speaker 2: on their second try, the Bengal will stop them again. There,

756
00:37:22,160 --> 00:37:24,759
Speaker 2: I think like that's it for Philly. They didn't stop them.

757
00:37:24,840 --> 00:37:27,200
Speaker 2: They get the touchdown they coming after that touchdown touchdown

758
00:37:27,200 --> 00:37:30,000
Speaker 2: field little touchdown field goal. The Eagles offense is fixed.

759
00:37:30,040 --> 00:37:33,560
Speaker 2: Apparently the Bengals defense let them fix it. After all that,

760
00:37:34,320 --> 00:37:36,520
Speaker 2: the Eagles are five and two. We kind of feel

761
00:37:36,560 --> 00:37:39,440
Speaker 2: like we've written them off mostly and they're just suddenly

762
00:37:39,600 --> 00:37:42,320
Speaker 2: offense maybe clicking, looking pretty good. After all that, the

763
00:37:42,360 --> 00:37:45,200
Speaker 2: Bengals are three and five trouble in Cincinnati.

764
00:37:47,360 --> 00:37:49,160
Speaker 4: Yeah, that tush push would have been nice if they

765
00:37:49,160 --> 00:37:51,160
Speaker 4: did that against Cleveland at the first half few weeks ago,

766
00:37:51,239 --> 00:37:55,640
Speaker 4: right New Orleans and the Chargers just felt like a

767
00:37:55,680 --> 00:37:56,879
Speaker 4: big ten Michigan game.

768
00:37:57,200 --> 00:37:59,000
Speaker 1: This was like Michigan Iowa or something.

769
00:38:00,040 --> 00:38:03,160
Speaker 4: Six to eight Chargers, they cover seven and a half

770
00:38:03,320 --> 00:38:05,480
Speaker 4: Evan and the totals under forty one.

771
00:38:05,760 --> 00:38:07,799
Speaker 3: As quick as I can go here. The Chargers play

772
00:38:07,840 --> 00:38:09,759
Speaker 3: the same game every single week. They are six and

773
00:38:09,800 --> 00:38:12,799
Speaker 3: one to the under by eight point two points per game. Oh,

774
00:38:13,000 --> 00:38:16,239
Speaker 3: eighteen and six to the under since the started last year.

775
00:38:16,640 --> 00:38:18,680
Speaker 3: And I even looked it up with Harbaugh. Harball's last

776
00:38:18,719 --> 00:38:21,160
Speaker 3: three seasons in the NFL, He's twenty seven to fourteen

777
00:38:21,200 --> 00:38:23,600
Speaker 3: and one to the under with the Chargers and Niners.

778
00:38:23,920 --> 00:38:26,440
Speaker 3: You look at Herbert sixteen and four to the unders

779
00:38:26,480 --> 00:38:28,920
Speaker 3: to start a last year, He's sixteen and two to

780
00:38:28,960 --> 00:38:32,040
Speaker 3: the under in his last eighteen starts. It's just a

781
00:38:32,120 --> 00:38:35,239
Speaker 3: run game right now for the Chargers. Four point two

782
00:38:35,320 --> 00:38:38,680
Speaker 3: yards per attempt, the exact same number in the first

783
00:38:38,680 --> 00:38:41,200
Speaker 3: half and the second half when they are leading by

784
00:38:41,200 --> 00:38:44,800
Speaker 3: one possession, they are averaging five point two yards per attempt.

785
00:38:45,000 --> 00:38:48,200
Speaker 3: They are just running the ball, downs people down, people's throats.

786
00:38:48,360 --> 00:38:50,319
Speaker 3: It just doesn't matter, and it's keeping the game under

787
00:38:50,320 --> 00:38:52,480
Speaker 3: the total. Uh, the only thing that matters for the

788
00:38:52,480 --> 00:38:55,080
Speaker 3: Saints owing three straight up and against the spread with

789
00:38:55,120 --> 00:38:58,280
Speaker 3: a backup being outscored one ten to forty five. Derek

790
00:38:58,320 --> 00:39:01,319
Speaker 3: Carr is supposed to be maybe play next week and

791
00:39:01,360 --> 00:39:05,840
Speaker 3: they're in Carolina laying seven. So with that line, he

792
00:39:05,920 --> 00:39:07,960
Speaker 3: better be playing because I don't know how they could

793
00:39:07,960 --> 00:39:10,799
Speaker 3: be laying seven, but I guess it's Carolina. Moving on.

794
00:39:11,920 --> 00:39:16,120
Speaker 4: Detroit throttles Tennessee fifty two to fourteen. This one was

795
00:39:16,200 --> 00:39:18,759
Speaker 4: over very soon. I mean the Titans made it, I guess,

796
00:39:18,880 --> 00:39:21,160
Speaker 4: kind of interesting in the first half, but Detroit covers

797
00:39:21,200 --> 00:39:23,919
Speaker 4: the big number twelve and a half. Brandon total goes

798
00:39:23,960 --> 00:39:27,239
Speaker 4: well over the Lions. This team, they've got to be.

799
00:39:27,280 --> 00:39:28,560
Speaker 4: They're the favorite to come out of the NFC.

800
00:39:28,880 --> 00:39:29,400
Speaker 1: These guys.

801
00:39:30,320 --> 00:39:32,480
Speaker 2: You know what's crazy is that this score makes it

802
00:39:32,520 --> 00:39:35,080
Speaker 2: just like look like, oh yeah, Tennessee sucks. The Lions

803
00:39:35,080 --> 00:39:38,240
Speaker 2: are amazing. The Lions had more return yards than offensive

804
00:39:38,320 --> 00:39:41,080
Speaker 2: yards this game. They had a seventy yard run by

805
00:39:41,160 --> 00:39:44,360
Speaker 2: Jamior Gibbs and only one hundred and fifty five yards otherwise,

806
00:39:44,600 --> 00:39:47,320
Speaker 2: they had two hundred and sixty two kick return yards.

807
00:39:47,640 --> 00:39:50,080
Speaker 2: They had so many short field touchdowns in this game,

808
00:39:50,080 --> 00:39:52,680
Speaker 2: which you get credit for. Titans entered this game as

809
00:39:52,719 --> 00:39:55,440
Speaker 2: the worst special teams in the league. I promise you

810
00:39:55,480 --> 00:39:57,520
Speaker 2: that they left it as the worst special teams in

811
00:39:57,560 --> 00:40:00,399
Speaker 2: the league too. This was a special teams win. Try

812
00:40:00,480 --> 00:40:03,080
Speaker 2: and guess what. That's part of the game, too, your

813
00:40:03,120 --> 00:40:04,880
Speaker 2: Super Bowl contender, if you can win in all three

814
00:40:04,880 --> 00:40:06,200
Speaker 2: phases of the game. And that's the way they keep

815
00:40:06,239 --> 00:40:06,520
Speaker 2: doing that.

816
00:40:07,360 --> 00:40:10,400
Speaker 4: Carolina Denver, Sean Payton, he's got a hair across, as

817
00:40:10,440 --> 00:40:12,640
Speaker 4: you know what, because that guy's still running.

818
00:40:12,719 --> 00:40:14,880
Speaker 1: Trick plays and gadget plays late in.

819
00:40:14,880 --> 00:40:16,960
Speaker 4: The game and they're up, and they're they're beating the

820
00:40:16,960 --> 00:40:20,319
Speaker 4: crap out of Carolina. Twenty eight to fourteen. Denver, they

821
00:40:20,360 --> 00:40:24,120
Speaker 4: covered the big number. Total goes over forty and a half.

822
00:40:24,320 --> 00:40:25,120
Speaker 4: Evan Abrams.

823
00:40:25,200 --> 00:40:27,120
Speaker 3: Carolina just wasn't happy about it. I think they were

824
00:40:27,160 --> 00:40:30,120
Speaker 3: pissed off about him running up the score in postgame.

825
00:40:30,400 --> 00:40:32,200
Speaker 3: The honestly, the story of this line, the story of

826
00:40:32,239 --> 00:40:34,120
Speaker 3: the game to me is the line. So the look

827
00:40:34,120 --> 00:40:36,680
Speaker 3: ahead was Denver minus two and a half eight days ago.

828
00:40:36,680 --> 00:40:39,400
Speaker 3: It goes to four it's minus ten by the weekend,

829
00:40:39,960 --> 00:40:43,640
Speaker 3: it's minus eleven Sunday at noon. Sunday at noon, it

830
00:40:43,680 --> 00:40:47,880
Speaker 3: moves two points in the final hour, closes Denver minus thirteen.

831
00:40:48,280 --> 00:40:52,080
Speaker 3: Biggest favorite for Denver since twenty seventeen. And then it

832
00:40:52,239 --> 00:40:55,480
Speaker 3: just every move was the right move, the ten point

833
00:40:55,560 --> 00:40:58,759
Speaker 3: move or whatever it ends up being the correct move,

834
00:40:58,760 --> 00:41:01,239
Speaker 3: because it was seven to Carolina, and it felt like

835
00:41:01,320 --> 00:41:04,600
Speaker 3: Carolina was even just never in the game. Just some

836
00:41:04,640 --> 00:41:08,520
Speaker 3: crazy numbers on Carolina quickly tight twenty eighth consecutive game

837
00:41:08,560 --> 00:41:11,160
Speaker 3: as an underdog. They have been favored since week fifteen,

838
00:41:11,239 --> 00:41:13,879
Speaker 3: twenty twenty two, and even when they are favored, they've

839
00:41:13,920 --> 00:41:18,080
Speaker 3: lost nine consecutive games against the spread. The Bryce Young

840
00:41:18,160 --> 00:41:23,040
Speaker 3: number he's lost eleven straight now first half ats Carolina

841
00:41:23,120 --> 00:41:26,520
Speaker 3: is one in fourteen last fifteen first half ats. So

842
00:41:26,840 --> 00:41:28,600
Speaker 3: when you don't start good and you're up seven to

843
00:41:28,600 --> 00:41:30,760
Speaker 3: nothing and you still can't cover the first half line,

844
00:41:31,239 --> 00:41:33,880
Speaker 3: it is pretty terrible. From Denver's point of view, I

845
00:41:33,880 --> 00:41:36,839
Speaker 3: think it's pretty simple. Bone Nicks recently has looked better

846
00:41:37,440 --> 00:41:41,680
Speaker 3: thirteenth ePaper play fifteenth success rate weeks one through four. Now,

847
00:41:41,719 --> 00:41:44,600
Speaker 3: that's since week five, weeks one through four. He was

848
00:41:44,640 --> 00:41:47,319
Speaker 3: twenty seventh and twenty eighth. So I kind of think

849
00:41:47,360 --> 00:41:51,040
Speaker 3: that's exactly what's behind Denver success lately, is he's just

850
00:41:51,080 --> 00:41:54,680
Speaker 3: way more competent. The one Carolina stat just actually killed me,

851
00:41:54,680 --> 00:41:57,239
Speaker 3: and then I'm getting out of here. They've lost now

852
00:41:57,280 --> 00:42:00,319
Speaker 3: fifty six straight games when trailing by ten plus points

853
00:42:00,360 --> 00:42:02,800
Speaker 3: at any point. Their last one was in twenty eighteen,

854
00:42:02,880 --> 00:42:05,560
Speaker 3: so they can't start well, they can't come back.

855
00:42:05,880 --> 00:42:08,120
Speaker 1: Just doesn't matter that Denver team.

856
00:42:08,200 --> 00:42:13,120
Speaker 4: So twenty seventeen, their quarterbacks were Trevor Simeon, Brock Osweiler,

857
00:42:13,400 --> 00:42:14,480
Speaker 4: and Paxton Lynch.

858
00:42:14,760 --> 00:42:16,200
Speaker 1: When were they favored by two.

859
00:42:16,120 --> 00:42:20,440
Speaker 3: Touchdowns Simeon against the Giants.

860
00:42:20,840 --> 00:42:22,840
Speaker 1: And they lost by They lost by thirteen.

861
00:42:23,200 --> 00:42:25,040
Speaker 3: That's where we were in the NFL, where it was

862
00:42:25,080 --> 00:42:27,800
Speaker 3: Trevor Simeon was the last quarterback to close minus thirteen

863
00:42:27,840 --> 00:42:30,080
Speaker 3: for Denver. Before that, it was Peyton Manning. I was

864
00:42:30,400 --> 00:42:31,920
Speaker 3: you know, if it would have been Peyton Manning, you

865
00:42:31,960 --> 00:42:34,640
Speaker 3: would have heard me say it, but I didn't really,

866
00:42:35,520 --> 00:42:37,040
Speaker 3: you know, I feel like it was necessary.

867
00:42:38,400 --> 00:42:41,360
Speaker 4: They lost by thirteen. Holy cow, Eli Manning was the

868
00:42:41,440 --> 00:42:42,680
Speaker 4: quarterback in twenty seventeen.

869
00:42:42,880 --> 00:42:45,760
Speaker 1: Anyway, Little offended, Little Smallow.

870
00:42:45,480 --> 00:42:47,520
Speaker 4: That the Patriots got buried at the end of this

871
00:42:47,920 --> 00:42:51,879
Speaker 4: particular episode because they won. They beat the Jets as

872
00:42:51,920 --> 00:42:55,640
Speaker 4: seven point underdogs. Total goes over. Drake may runs in

873
00:42:55,680 --> 00:42:59,400
Speaker 4: the first touchdown and gets hurt concussion protocol. Brissett saves today,

874
00:42:59,840 --> 00:43:03,520
Speaker 4: they run the ball. Mayo calls him soft. They responded

875
00:43:03,719 --> 00:43:06,080
Speaker 4: and they beat the Jets. This is more about the Jets,

876
00:43:06,120 --> 00:43:07,560
Speaker 4: though the Jets kind of gave it to him.

877
00:43:07,800 --> 00:43:10,200
Speaker 2: Brandon, Yeah, the Jets are why this is the end

878
00:43:10,200 --> 00:43:12,840
Speaker 2: game here. We had to bury the Jets. The Patriots

879
00:43:12,880 --> 00:43:14,840
Speaker 2: just had to be unfortunately tied to them in the

880
00:43:14,880 --> 00:43:17,440
Speaker 2: game here. Greg zero Line missed an extra point and

881
00:43:17,480 --> 00:43:20,440
Speaker 2: a forty four yard field goal in a three point loss,

882
00:43:20,480 --> 00:43:21,879
Speaker 2: so you can do the math on that one.

883
00:43:22,080 --> 00:43:23,960
Speaker 4: For the record, I was in Foxboro today. It was

884
00:43:24,000 --> 00:43:24,839
Speaker 4: a beautiful day.

885
00:43:24,960 --> 00:43:27,239
Speaker 1: So that Monday night game a few weeks ago with

886
00:43:27,360 --> 00:43:29,600
Speaker 1: the wind and it was a kind of a weird night.

887
00:43:29,680 --> 00:43:32,040
Speaker 1: Maybe it was that. No, the exer lines is not.

888
00:43:32,480 --> 00:43:35,000
Speaker 3: And Mike Frances some new kickers guys. I think it's

889
00:43:35,000 --> 00:43:37,879
Speaker 3: about done. Greg. The leg might be toast.

890
00:43:37,680 --> 00:43:39,320
Speaker 1: And it's been a great year for kickers.

891
00:43:39,480 --> 00:43:42,839
Speaker 2: So anyway, going last year, he was all right last

892
00:43:42,880 --> 00:43:45,440
Speaker 2: year yes, he's greg the leg for a reason. It

893
00:43:45,560 --> 00:43:48,200
Speaker 2: was not so today that the whole thing with the Jets,

894
00:43:48,239 --> 00:43:51,279
Speaker 2: we keep saying all season is that the defense and

895
00:43:51,320 --> 00:43:53,680
Speaker 2: the special team they were supposed to be a quarterback

896
00:43:53,760 --> 00:43:56,440
Speaker 2: away and the defensive special teams have not been good enough.

897
00:43:56,480 --> 00:43:59,520
Speaker 2: So I think it is fitting as we finally completely

898
00:43:59,560 --> 00:44:02,960
Speaker 2: bury the Jets at two and six season over that

899
00:44:03,000 --> 00:44:06,000
Speaker 2: they lose a game with four points on special teams

900
00:44:06,040 --> 00:44:08,759
Speaker 2: just given away, and that the season effectively ends after

901
00:44:08,800 --> 00:44:12,440
Speaker 2: the offense drove down for a game leading touchdown, That

902
00:44:12,480 --> 00:44:15,680
Speaker 2: they end with the defense giving up a twelve play

903
00:44:15,840 --> 00:44:20,520
Speaker 2: seventy yard drive to Jacoby Brissett and Ramande Stevenson, and

904
00:44:21,400 --> 00:44:24,640
Speaker 2: on fourth down they just pushed the ball through get

905
00:44:24,640 --> 00:44:27,360
Speaker 2: into the end zone. That's That is the first time

906
00:44:27,800 --> 00:44:30,719
Speaker 2: in two hundred and twenty three games a team had

907
00:44:30,840 --> 00:44:33,640
Speaker 2: zero turnovers, gave up under two hundred and fifty yards

908
00:44:33,719 --> 00:44:37,000
Speaker 2: and still lost. The last time that happened was the

909
00:44:37,000 --> 00:44:40,960
Speaker 2: Fail Mary game back in twenty twelve, featuring Aaron Rodgers

910
00:44:41,000 --> 00:44:45,719
Speaker 2: losing that game two and from producer Tito. If you

911
00:44:45,760 --> 00:44:47,719
Speaker 2: add in one more thing, the last time a team

912
00:44:47,760 --> 00:44:50,799
Speaker 2: had zero turners gave up under two fifty yards and

913
00:44:50,960 --> 00:44:55,319
Speaker 2: scored twenty. It's been since nineteen forty that one of

914
00:44:55,320 --> 00:44:57,920
Speaker 2: those teams lost a game. They were seven hundred and

915
00:44:57,960 --> 00:45:01,239
Speaker 2: fifty six and oh before the Jets managed to lose

916
00:45:01,280 --> 00:45:05,160
Speaker 2: this one. The numbers say the Jets chinda lass, but

917
00:45:05,280 --> 00:45:07,839
Speaker 2: they did. That's what they just keep on doing. It's

918
00:45:07,880 --> 00:45:11,120
Speaker 2: the miracle the New York Jets. They're on three since

919
00:45:11,160 --> 00:45:14,920
Speaker 2: firing Bob Sala clearly not the problem. Twice his favorites.

920
00:45:15,360 --> 00:45:17,240
Speaker 2: Get this whole stupid team out of here.

921
00:45:18,760 --> 00:45:21,240
Speaker 3: Okay, I will, I will say this, aren't the Packers

922
00:45:21,280 --> 00:45:22,560
Speaker 3: want to know with Robert Sellino?

923
00:45:22,840 --> 00:45:26,959
Speaker 2: Yeah, Raly, you know that would have been a story

924
00:45:26,960 --> 00:45:28,840
Speaker 2: if they give that game away late with him showing

925
00:45:28,920 --> 00:45:29,319
Speaker 2: up there.

926
00:45:31,120 --> 00:45:34,040
Speaker 4: Okay, we will get to Brandon's hot reads. He's got

927
00:45:34,080 --> 00:45:37,000
Speaker 4: two momentarily, but we'll do Monday Night football.

928
00:45:37,040 --> 00:45:40,040
Speaker 1: First, Giants visiting the Steelers. Just one game.

929
00:45:40,120 --> 00:45:44,040
Speaker 4: There's no ESPN Plus exclusive this week. It's Giants at Steelers.

930
00:45:44,640 --> 00:45:48,400
Speaker 4: Giants are getting six right now, the totals at thirty six.

931
00:45:48,200 --> 00:45:50,359
Speaker 1: And a half. I'll throw to Evan first.

932
00:45:50,360 --> 00:45:52,680
Speaker 4: Evan, any clear side or total that you're eyeing here

933
00:45:52,760 --> 00:45:53,880
Speaker 4: or touchdown play?

934
00:45:54,000 --> 00:45:56,759
Speaker 3: Yeah, I just like two props, and then I'll three

935
00:45:56,800 --> 00:45:59,440
Speaker 3: trends that everyone's gonna know walking into this one. I

936
00:45:59,520 --> 00:46:02,360
Speaker 3: liked single Terry unders. I just feel like they're just

937
00:46:02,400 --> 00:46:04,200
Speaker 3: going to other running backs, and he's kind of being

938
00:46:04,200 --> 00:46:06,640
Speaker 3: phased out a tiny bit. Under two and a half receptions,

939
00:46:06,800 --> 00:46:09,160
Speaker 3: he said, two total targets his last two games. Eleven

940
00:46:09,200 --> 00:46:12,680
Speaker 3: receptions on twelve targets this year, just something I feel

941
00:46:12,680 --> 00:46:14,800
Speaker 3: like is a decent number. And I like Van Jefferson

942
00:46:14,840 --> 00:46:18,000
Speaker 3: unders under two and a half receptions, also under twelve

943
00:46:18,000 --> 00:46:20,319
Speaker 3: and a half longest reception. So those are the two

944
00:46:20,360 --> 00:46:22,960
Speaker 3: bets and then the props. I mean, the trends I

945
00:46:22,960 --> 00:46:25,719
Speaker 3: think people would look at here dating back to ninety two,

946
00:46:25,719 --> 00:46:28,000
Speaker 3: Steelers twenty one and one straight up at home in

947
00:46:28,040 --> 00:46:31,400
Speaker 3: Monday night football games, they just do not lose in

948
00:46:31,440 --> 00:46:33,359
Speaker 3: this spot. I think we've heard that before. They lost

949
00:46:33,640 --> 00:46:37,719
Speaker 3: Washington throwing loss in twenty twenty. The Giants Jets won

950
00:46:37,880 --> 00:46:40,040
Speaker 3: four and thirty two straight up now at night in

951
00:46:40,120 --> 00:46:43,480
Speaker 3: primetime games since twenty nineteen. Even with that, Jets win

952
00:46:43,520 --> 00:46:46,799
Speaker 3: over the Patriots earlier this year, and Daniel Jones one

953
00:46:46,840 --> 00:46:49,440
Speaker 3: in fifteen straight up at night. So those are all

954
00:46:49,520 --> 00:46:51,920
Speaker 3: the things kind of in the mix here all pointing

955
00:46:51,920 --> 00:46:55,960
Speaker 3: towards Pittsburgh. So doesn't mean something, probably not, but it's

956
00:46:56,200 --> 00:46:58,640
Speaker 3: gonna be a direction. Everyone's going to be kind of

957
00:46:58,640 --> 00:47:00,280
Speaker 3: looking at.

958
00:47:00,080 --> 00:47:03,439
Speaker 4: Brandon on the Best Bets Pot on Friday. You gave

959
00:47:03,520 --> 00:47:07,279
Speaker 4: out some angles here as it pertains to the part

960
00:47:07,280 --> 00:47:09,719
Speaker 4: of Cheez. I can't even talk the total excuse me

961
00:47:09,760 --> 00:47:12,480
Speaker 4: because I'm getting so excited to hear the mind shaft

962
00:47:12,680 --> 00:47:13,200
Speaker 4: once again.

963
00:47:14,160 --> 00:47:16,759
Speaker 2: Yeah, definitely on the under here. We've talked about this

964
00:47:16,920 --> 00:47:18,680
Speaker 2: on the look Ahead a week ago. We grabbed this

965
00:47:18,680 --> 00:47:20,880
Speaker 2: at thirty seven and a half. Still like it at

966
00:47:20,880 --> 00:47:22,759
Speaker 2: thirty six and a half, thirty six if you need it,

967
00:47:22,760 --> 00:47:25,080
Speaker 2: I'll still like it if it drops below there as well.

968
00:47:25,480 --> 00:47:28,320
Speaker 2: Giants games thirty nine or below all but one, Steelers

969
00:47:28,360 --> 00:47:31,400
Speaker 2: thirty seven at below four times already combined ten and

970
00:47:31,600 --> 00:47:34,719
Speaker 2: three to the under. Neither team has a lot of

971
00:47:34,800 --> 00:47:36,239
Speaker 2: chance to score. I don't know how it's going to happen.

972
00:47:36,239 --> 00:47:38,480
Speaker 2: The Giants have I think the worst offensive line in

973
00:47:38,480 --> 00:47:41,480
Speaker 2: the league now against all that Pittsburgh defensive talent, and

974
00:47:41,520 --> 00:47:45,520
Speaker 2: then on the other side you get an injured inside

975
00:47:45,560 --> 00:47:48,879
Speaker 2: offensive line for the Steelers right now up against Dexter

976
00:47:48,960 --> 00:47:51,880
Speaker 2: Lawrence and the one strength that the Giants have with

977
00:47:52,080 --> 00:47:56,239
Speaker 2: Russell Wilson, who can't deal with inside pressure. So I

978
00:47:56,320 --> 00:47:59,280
Speaker 2: don't know how this goes well scoring either way. Total

979
00:47:59,640 --> 00:48:01,960
Speaker 2: seven blow since Noumber twenty nineteen. You keep hearing me

980
00:48:02,000 --> 00:48:04,719
Speaker 2: with that stat thirty eight seventeen and a one to

981
00:48:04,760 --> 00:48:08,160
Speaker 2: the under sixty nine percent and then the mine shaft.

982
00:48:08,520 --> 00:48:12,160
Speaker 2: All of those fifty five games fifty six percent, more

983
00:48:12,239 --> 00:48:15,440
Speaker 2: than half of them finished at thirty points or blow.

984
00:48:15,640 --> 00:48:18,600
Speaker 2: So I take the under thirty and a half down

985
00:48:18,640 --> 00:48:21,840
Speaker 2: the mine shaft plus two to fifteen. Almost a quarter

986
00:48:21,920 --> 00:48:24,399
Speaker 2: of those games with the total lis Low finished at

987
00:48:24,400 --> 00:48:26,479
Speaker 2: twenty three or blow. So you want to go under

988
00:48:26,520 --> 00:48:28,600
Speaker 2: twenty three and a half, take the mind shaft all

989
00:48:28,600 --> 00:48:31,000
Speaker 2: the way down six to one on that one, and

990
00:48:31,040 --> 00:48:33,759
Speaker 2: then a little extra juice here for you if you

991
00:48:33,920 --> 00:48:36,440
Speaker 2: like it. I didn't even think about it because I've

992
00:48:36,440 --> 00:48:38,960
Speaker 2: been so on the under in this game. I think

993
00:48:39,000 --> 00:48:40,920
Speaker 2: it's a pretty good spot for the Giants if you

994
00:48:41,000 --> 00:48:41,560
Speaker 2: like a side.

995
00:48:41,560 --> 00:48:41,799
Speaker 3: Here.

996
00:48:42,360 --> 00:48:44,719
Speaker 2: A lot of trends that support Danny Dimes as a

997
00:48:44,800 --> 00:48:47,760
Speaker 2: road dog, a lot of trends kind of fading teams

998
00:48:47,760 --> 00:48:50,560
Speaker 2: I just won big as small underdogs like Pittsburgh and

999
00:48:50,600 --> 00:48:53,120
Speaker 2: then last week Pittsburgh was kind of a raw ra

1000
00:48:53,280 --> 00:48:58,600
Speaker 2: spot after raw raw after Steelers win as win, after

1001
00:48:58,640 --> 00:49:01,080
Speaker 2: they cover as an underdog, and then our favorites of

1002
00:49:01,160 --> 00:49:03,720
Speaker 2: three or more. After that, you're only forty one percent

1003
00:49:03,719 --> 00:49:05,799
Speaker 2: against the spread. So this is not This is kind

1004
00:49:05,800 --> 00:49:08,880
Speaker 2: of a letdown spot for Pittsburgh. Historically, with Tomlin, you

1005
00:49:08,920 --> 00:49:11,000
Speaker 2: think about You're like, oh, yeah, I can picture them

1006
00:49:11,480 --> 00:49:14,920
Speaker 2: playing an ugly one, and guess what if it goes

1007
00:49:15,000 --> 00:49:18,000
Speaker 2: under thirty, you're under twenty three. Six points is a

1008
00:49:18,080 --> 00:49:20,160
Speaker 2: lot to cover. Six points is a lot more valuable

1009
00:49:20,160 --> 00:49:22,680
Speaker 2: at that point. So I think if you agree with

1010
00:49:22,760 --> 00:49:25,120
Speaker 2: the mine shaft angle on the under and you like

1011
00:49:25,160 --> 00:49:27,120
Speaker 2: the Giants that way too, so I don't mind if

1012
00:49:27,120 --> 00:49:29,600
Speaker 2: you want to play that through and play them together

1013
00:49:29,680 --> 00:49:30,320
Speaker 2: that way.

1014
00:49:31,719 --> 00:49:33,759
Speaker 1: And then you seem outraged about something you wanted to

1015
00:49:33,800 --> 00:49:34,320
Speaker 1: say something.

1016
00:49:34,680 --> 00:49:37,040
Speaker 3: I just feel like you have to. Everyone needs to

1017
00:49:37,040 --> 00:49:38,960
Speaker 3: throw down at least five dollars on some sort of

1018
00:49:38,960 --> 00:49:42,000
Speaker 3: special teams defensive touchdown in this game, because with both

1019
00:49:42,000 --> 00:49:44,080
Speaker 3: these quarterbacks, I'm at least going to put a five

1020
00:49:44,080 --> 00:49:46,720
Speaker 3: dollars ticket on both defenses to score on a parlay

1021
00:49:46,800 --> 00:49:49,120
Speaker 3: or something like that. Because with Jones and Wilson. I

1022
00:49:49,160 --> 00:49:52,200
Speaker 3: just feel like we're especially both defenses are just really

1023
00:49:52,239 --> 00:49:56,239
Speaker 3: talented and Giants have a lot of sacks. Something weird.

1024
00:49:56,280 --> 00:49:57,719
Speaker 3: It's gonna happen, and.

1025
00:49:57,800 --> 00:49:58,440
Speaker 1: I can't believe me.

1026
00:49:58,520 --> 00:50:00,279
Speaker 2: So if you can get, if you can it, I

1027
00:50:00,280 --> 00:50:02,560
Speaker 2: don't think i'll see a book posted. But over under

1028
00:50:02,880 --> 00:50:06,160
Speaker 2: one passing, over under half a passing attempt for Drew Lock,

1029
00:50:06,480 --> 00:50:08,200
Speaker 2: I take that over if we got a chance at

1030
00:50:08,200 --> 00:50:11,040
Speaker 2: at that's the Jones backup.

1031
00:50:11,760 --> 00:50:14,520
Speaker 4: You know, even that Cincinnati game that they played a

1032
00:50:14,560 --> 00:50:19,040
Speaker 4: few Sunday nights ago, primetime standalone game, they looked Okay,

1033
00:50:19,320 --> 00:50:22,560
Speaker 4: I mean, I don't get how that line kept staying

1034
00:50:22,640 --> 00:50:25,239
Speaker 4: under three and why even the money line price dropped,

1035
00:50:25,239 --> 00:50:27,000
Speaker 4: Like I know, Cincinnati has been a great outfit, but

1036
00:50:27,400 --> 00:50:29,279
Speaker 4: that was without neighbors.

1037
00:50:29,520 --> 00:50:31,239
Speaker 1: I don't know. I like day ball.

1038
00:50:31,280 --> 00:50:34,160
Speaker 4: This is also kind of for his his sanity right

1039
00:50:34,160 --> 00:50:35,160
Speaker 4: in his positioning.

1040
00:50:35,719 --> 00:50:38,560
Speaker 3: It's a very different defense with Cincinnati and Pittsburgh like

1041
00:50:38,560 --> 00:50:42,200
Speaker 3: they should, they should have a little bit of trouble,

1042
00:50:42,760 --> 00:50:44,719
Speaker 3: that's fairness, when that they didn't have before and they

1043
00:50:44,719 --> 00:50:47,880
Speaker 3: were only able to put up like WHATN.

1044
00:50:47,080 --> 00:50:51,799
Speaker 1: Remember seventeen to seven final? Yeah, yeah, yeah, okay, there

1045
00:50:51,840 --> 00:50:52,040
Speaker 1: you go.

1046
00:50:52,080 --> 00:50:55,360
Speaker 4: There's your Monday Night angles. And now for Brandon Anderson.

1047
00:50:56,160 --> 00:50:59,600
Speaker 4: Brandon Anderson's hot reads, he's got two for week nine.

1048
00:50:59,640 --> 00:51:02,680
Speaker 4: So the hot read here you try to find value

1049
00:51:02,760 --> 00:51:05,399
Speaker 4: right now as it pertains to it's a numbers play.

1050
00:51:05,600 --> 00:51:08,040
Speaker 1: You like numbers. That's why we're getting this now before

1051
00:51:08,040 --> 00:51:09,799
Speaker 1: there's movement throughout the week. What do you got hot

1052
00:51:09,880 --> 00:51:13,280
Speaker 1: raps O seventy on ice rights?

1053
00:51:13,520 --> 00:51:16,080
Speaker 3: Ice cream? How real soul?

1054
00:51:19,239 --> 00:51:19,479
Speaker 1: Yeah?

1055
00:51:19,520 --> 00:51:23,239
Speaker 2: First pick, we're leading, Brandon leading, not burying. Leading with

1056
00:51:23,280 --> 00:51:27,799
Speaker 2: your Patriots under on the Patriots Patriots at Titans under

1057
00:51:27,880 --> 00:51:32,560
Speaker 2: thirty nine. Quarterback play here, Drake May, you mentioned in

1058
00:51:32,719 --> 00:51:37,120
Speaker 2: concussion protocol. Typically that makes you less likely to play

1059
00:51:37,120 --> 00:51:40,359
Speaker 2: a week from now. Certainly with the franchise, I have

1060
00:51:40,400 --> 00:51:43,200
Speaker 2: to believe they're going to be very cautious, so I

1061
00:51:43,280 --> 00:51:46,760
Speaker 2: think we get more likely Jacoby Brissett on Tennessee side.

1062
00:51:46,760 --> 00:51:48,719
Speaker 2: We don't know if Will Levis is ready yet, so

1063
00:51:48,760 --> 00:51:51,960
Speaker 2: I think more likely Mason and Rudolph in both cases.

1064
00:51:52,360 --> 00:51:55,960
Speaker 2: I think that makes each team more predictable, more vanilla offense,

1065
00:51:56,120 --> 00:52:00,560
Speaker 2: less explosive offense, and less mistake pro everything better for

1066
00:52:00,680 --> 00:52:03,839
Speaker 2: unders here. I don't want Will Levis or Drake May

1067
00:52:03,920 --> 00:52:06,120
Speaker 2: chucking the ball to the other team out there that

1068
00:52:06,239 --> 00:52:09,680
Speaker 2: gives short fields and easy points. Just give me Brissette

1069
00:52:09,719 --> 00:52:12,200
Speaker 2: and Rudolph boring me to death and hitting an under here.

1070
00:52:12,719 --> 00:52:16,080
Speaker 2: When Brissette starts, Patriots games have averaged under thirty three

1071
00:52:16,080 --> 00:52:19,520
Speaker 2: points a game, not them the whole game. When May starts,

1072
00:52:19,520 --> 00:52:22,000
Speaker 2: they're averaging over fifty two points a game, So that's

1073
00:52:22,080 --> 00:52:25,279
Speaker 2: nearly a twenty point swinging. They've just clearly been much

1074
00:52:25,360 --> 00:52:29,160
Speaker 2: more explosive that way. Titans defense been pretty good this year. Honestly,

1075
00:52:29,600 --> 00:52:31,760
Speaker 2: I know they just gave up fifty two to Detroit,

1076
00:52:31,800 --> 00:52:34,360
Speaker 2: but we talked about that that was a special teams

1077
00:52:34,440 --> 00:52:37,040
Speaker 2: thing a lot more than the defense. The defense did

1078
00:52:37,120 --> 00:52:40,000
Speaker 2: mostly fine. They just played inside the red zone the

1079
00:52:40,120 --> 00:52:45,239
Speaker 2: entire game. Titans have now played Lions, Bills, Packers elite offenses.

1080
00:52:45,280 --> 00:52:48,319
Speaker 2: They average almost thirty nine points a game allowed, only

1081
00:52:48,400 --> 00:52:51,000
Speaker 2: twenty points a game allowed in every other opponent there

1082
00:52:51,080 --> 00:52:55,040
Speaker 2: So offenses Patriots fifteen and a half points a game,

1083
00:52:55,080 --> 00:52:57,719
Speaker 2: Titans seventeen or last all but one. I like the

1084
00:52:57,760 --> 00:53:00,279
Speaker 2: under thirty nine here. It's already dropping thirty eight, thirty

1085
00:53:00,320 --> 00:53:02,680
Speaker 2: seven and a half at some books. Thirty seven is

1086
00:53:02,719 --> 00:53:05,399
Speaker 2: that last key number down. Get that thirty nine if

1087
00:53:05,400 --> 00:53:08,040
Speaker 2: you can, or just the best thing above a thirty seven.

1088
00:53:08,920 --> 00:53:10,680
Speaker 1: Okay, very good.

1089
00:53:10,719 --> 00:53:12,600
Speaker 4: I don't have much to I mean, it is kind

1090
00:53:12,600 --> 00:53:15,440
Speaker 4: of funny that Brissette had the game winning drive. If

1091
00:53:15,480 --> 00:53:17,919
Speaker 4: he did that against Miami, we probably we don't see

1092
00:53:18,000 --> 00:53:20,719
Speaker 4: Drake may but so the Patriots have that at least

1093
00:53:20,760 --> 00:53:22,520
Speaker 4: to ride with then again.

1094
00:53:22,320 --> 00:53:23,400
Speaker 1: And also to help you.

1095
00:53:23,800 --> 00:53:26,719
Speaker 4: What was very annoying that the end of the first

1096
00:53:26,719 --> 00:53:28,279
Speaker 4: half they had a minute left and Mayo is not

1097
00:53:28,320 --> 00:53:31,040
Speaker 4: even going for points. He's just like he didn't punt

1098
00:53:31,040 --> 00:53:33,399
Speaker 4: the ball, but they're punting on scoring any points went

1099
00:53:33,440 --> 00:53:34,080
Speaker 4: into the half.

1100
00:53:34,239 --> 00:53:36,080
Speaker 1: That's how I incompetent the offense still is.

1101
00:53:36,160 --> 00:53:37,640
Speaker 4: As much as it was cool to see them beat

1102
00:53:37,640 --> 00:53:41,040
Speaker 4: the Jets today, hot read number two.

1103
00:53:41,680 --> 00:53:43,839
Speaker 2: Number two. This one's gonna be a aven. You're gonna

1104
00:53:43,880 --> 00:53:46,440
Speaker 2: like this one. I'm taking a Chargers under Chargers at

1105
00:53:46,480 --> 00:53:49,879
Speaker 2: the Browns under forty one. These are ugly, but that's

1106
00:53:49,920 --> 00:53:54,240
Speaker 2: all right. It's it's not pretty winning money. Sometimes Chargers

1107
00:53:54,280 --> 00:53:57,200
Speaker 2: just keep playing like nineteen fifties football. I don't need

1108
00:53:57,239 --> 00:53:59,960
Speaker 2: to watch it. I'll just cash it under. This line

1109
00:54:00,280 --> 00:54:04,360
Speaker 2: jumped from thirty nine this morning to forty one. Why well,

1110
00:54:04,800 --> 00:54:07,440
Speaker 2: I guess Browns. I guess because we watched the Browns

1111
00:54:07,480 --> 00:54:09,920
Speaker 2: put up some points on the Ravens. We talked about it.

1112
00:54:09,920 --> 00:54:12,680
Speaker 2: There's certainly more juice than the offense with Jamis, but

1113
00:54:13,200 --> 00:54:15,040
Speaker 2: I think to be fair, Jamis should have been picked

1114
00:54:15,080 --> 00:54:17,400
Speaker 2: a couple times in that game too, had some dropped interceptions.

1115
00:54:17,400 --> 00:54:19,759
Speaker 2: I think that's gonna even out over time. These are

1116
00:54:19,800 --> 00:54:23,720
Speaker 2: still defense teams all day, every day, clevesand the defense

1117
00:54:23,800 --> 00:54:25,880
Speaker 2: plays a little better now that the offense is not

1118
00:54:25,960 --> 00:54:29,520
Speaker 2: quite so terrible and the Chargers have had a game

1119
00:54:29,560 --> 00:54:31,840
Speaker 2: at forty points all season. The Chargers are seven to

1120
00:54:31,880 --> 00:54:34,919
Speaker 2: oh to this number on the under charge defense, allowing

1121
00:54:35,000 --> 00:54:38,080
Speaker 2: thirteen points a game. Brown's defense allowed twenty one or

1122
00:54:38,160 --> 00:54:40,760
Speaker 2: less all but two games. Some of the underlying numbers

1123
00:54:40,760 --> 00:54:43,279
Speaker 2: hasn't been pretty there, but it's quietly been a little

1124
00:54:43,360 --> 00:54:45,640
Speaker 2: better lately. We know how good their defense was a

1125
00:54:45,719 --> 00:54:48,799
Speaker 2: year ago. Teams are combined eleven and five to the

1126
00:54:48,920 --> 00:54:53,080
Speaker 2: under games that are in thirty nine to forty five range,

1127
00:54:53,080 --> 00:54:55,239
Speaker 2: in a total that dropped from the look ahead line.

1128
00:54:55,239 --> 00:54:57,280
Speaker 2: This was a forty two on the season look ahead

1129
00:54:57,600 --> 00:55:00,759
Speaker 2: fifty five percent to the under. Jim Harbor totals below

1130
00:55:00,800 --> 00:55:03,600
Speaker 2: forty four or fifty nine percent to the under. That's

1131
00:55:03,680 --> 00:55:05,600
Speaker 2: kind of that Jim Harbor big ten, the thing that

1132
00:55:05,640 --> 00:55:08,840
Speaker 2: we talked about. And again, this line's going up. So

1133
00:55:08,880 --> 00:55:12,040
Speaker 2: I almost hesitated here, thinking like, is it really gonna

1134
00:55:12,120 --> 00:55:14,640
Speaker 2: rise a little more? Could we get a little better value?

1135
00:55:14,920 --> 00:55:17,160
Speaker 2: Forty and forty one are key numbers though, that's a

1136
00:55:17,239 --> 00:55:20,239
Speaker 2: really key range, forty to forty four, and we went

1137
00:55:20,520 --> 00:55:22,680
Speaker 2: up into that range. They gave us a couple of

1138
00:55:22,760 --> 00:55:25,759
Speaker 2: key numbers here, So I'm gonna take the under forty one.

1139
00:55:26,680 --> 00:55:28,799
Speaker 2: Chargers just gonna keep going under that. I don't want

1140
00:55:28,800 --> 00:55:30,319
Speaker 2: to watch it. I'm just happy to make some money

1141
00:55:30,360 --> 00:55:32,000
Speaker 2: off of it if they're gonna keep playing whatever sort

1142
00:55:32,040 --> 00:55:34,399
Speaker 2: of football that they're doing. So that's the last one

1143
00:55:34,400 --> 00:55:34,840
Speaker 2: for today.

1144
00:55:35,280 --> 00:55:37,480
Speaker 4: Something tells me we're gonna be here again next week

1145
00:55:37,560 --> 00:55:40,279
Speaker 4: and the Chargers are hosting the Tennessee Titans, and we.

1146
00:55:40,239 --> 00:55:41,799
Speaker 1: Could be hearing the same thing.

1147
00:55:42,320 --> 00:55:44,520
Speaker 2: The hot hot read two weeks ahead. I like it,

1148
00:55:45,239 --> 00:55:48,319
Speaker 2: the hot read look ahead. There you go, perfect, Yeah,

1149
00:55:48,400 --> 00:55:48,920
Speaker 2: my hot red.

1150
00:55:48,960 --> 00:55:51,279
Speaker 4: I got CLV by the way on the Cardinals and

1151
00:55:51,320 --> 00:55:53,239
Speaker 4: the Dolphins, but that didn't go well because you know,

1152
00:55:53,280 --> 00:55:55,920
Speaker 4: the Dolphins actually look like an outfit that was respectable offensively,

1153
00:55:55,960 --> 00:55:57,040
Speaker 4: and the Cardinals score points.

1154
00:55:57,080 --> 00:56:00,440
Speaker 1: So ohen Ones, I'm done with that. I'll leave it

1155
00:56:00,480 --> 00:56:03,840
Speaker 1: to you too. Brandon Anderson find his work, of course,

1156
00:56:03,920 --> 00:56:04,440
Speaker 1: in the app.

1157
00:56:04,480 --> 00:56:06,760
Speaker 4: Follow him there for any futures that he may add.

1158
00:56:06,800 --> 00:56:10,480
Speaker 4: Also the picks, the hot reads, and best bets coming

1159
00:56:10,480 --> 00:56:14,200
Speaker 4: your way on Friday morning every week during the NFL season.

1160
00:56:14,200 --> 00:56:16,960
Speaker 4: Evan Abrams, our director of Research Media. You can also

1161
00:56:17,000 --> 00:56:20,160
Speaker 4: find his work in the app Actionnetwork dot com for

1162
00:56:20,239 --> 00:56:22,680
Speaker 4: write ups, primers, all that good stuff when it comes

1163
00:56:22,719 --> 00:56:25,360
Speaker 4: to the research, the news and notes. Okay, before we

1164
00:56:25,440 --> 00:56:29,080
Speaker 4: wrap up, let's hear from our friend Patrick Everson over

1165
00:56:29,239 --> 00:56:31,960
Speaker 4: at Vegas Insider for a market report.

1166
00:56:32,040 --> 00:56:34,240
Speaker 1: How did Las Vegas fare today?

1167
00:56:34,320 --> 00:56:36,080
Speaker 5: All right, Brandon, thanks a lot for having me on

1168
00:56:36,120 --> 00:56:40,400
Speaker 5: the Action Network podcast. Once again, we are recapping NFL

1169
00:56:40,960 --> 00:56:43,960
Speaker 5: Week eight odds, how the betters did, how the odds

1170
00:56:43,960 --> 00:56:47,560
Speaker 5: makers did, and the last couple of weeks we've talked

1171
00:56:47,560 --> 00:56:50,560
Speaker 5: about this, the betting public masses have done pretty well

1172
00:56:51,200 --> 00:56:54,560
Speaker 5: against the book makers. The pendulum always tends to swing,

1173
00:56:54,719 --> 00:56:58,600
Speaker 5: and it certainly swung in the early games on Sunday

1174
00:56:59,120 --> 00:57:02,160
Speaker 5: in NFL Week eight odds, specifically as you all might

1175
00:57:02,200 --> 00:57:07,040
Speaker 5: have surmised already with the Browns beating the Ravens outright.

1176
00:57:07,480 --> 00:57:11,160
Speaker 5: At Betam Jam, for example, no team took more tickets

1177
00:57:11,160 --> 00:57:13,719
Speaker 5: on the point spread, no team took more money on

1178
00:57:13,760 --> 00:57:17,360
Speaker 5: the point spread than the Baltimore Ravens. So even though

1179
00:57:17,440 --> 00:57:19,480
Speaker 5: sharp play at Benham Jam and certainly had a lot

1180
00:57:19,480 --> 00:57:22,040
Speaker 5: of other books drove this number down as low as

1181
00:57:22,040 --> 00:57:24,760
Speaker 5: seven and a half, even some sevens at some spots

1182
00:57:24,760 --> 00:57:27,320
Speaker 5: on the Ravens, from a high of eleven and a

1183
00:57:27,360 --> 00:57:29,960
Speaker 5: half on the Ravens. So it's definitely some significant to

1184
00:57:30,600 --> 00:57:33,280
Speaker 5: respected money coming in on Cleveland, and it was right.

1185
00:57:34,040 --> 00:57:37,720
Speaker 5: Even so, most books still needed the Browns in this game.

1186
00:57:38,040 --> 00:57:41,520
Speaker 5: BETEMGM was certainly among them. Several other odds makers weighed

1187
00:57:41,520 --> 00:57:44,440
Speaker 5: in with me and and said that they definitely needed

1188
00:57:44,920 --> 00:57:47,560
Speaker 5: the you know, the the Browns in this game to

1189
00:57:47,560 --> 00:57:49,400
Speaker 5: at least cover the number. I don't think they expected

1190
00:57:49,440 --> 00:57:52,200
Speaker 5: an outright win, but they got it, and because of

1191
00:57:52,240 --> 00:57:56,120
Speaker 5: it was of it being an outright win, one odds

1192
00:57:56,160 --> 00:58:00,000
Speaker 5: maker one sportsbook noted that this was an eight figure

1193
00:58:00,560 --> 00:58:04,720
Speaker 5: swing by the Browns winning outright, an eight figure swing

1194
00:58:05,360 --> 00:58:10,600
Speaker 5: for this sportsbook nationwide, So a really really big, big

1195
00:58:10,640 --> 00:58:16,120
Speaker 5: swing there obviously multimillions of dollars going on here. Now

1196
00:58:16,360 --> 00:58:19,600
Speaker 5: that said, other games in the early window also helped

1197
00:58:19,640 --> 00:58:25,800
Speaker 5: out certainly. Obviously the Browns was huge, but the Jaguars

1198
00:58:25,840 --> 00:58:28,800
Speaker 5: covering against the Packers. The Packers were a very well

1199
00:58:28,840 --> 00:58:33,200
Speaker 5: played team, including, once again alluding to bet MGM, they

1200
00:58:33,240 --> 00:58:35,240
Speaker 5: were the number two bet team in tickets, the number

1201
00:58:35,280 --> 00:58:38,000
Speaker 5: two bet team in money, so they were certainly a

1202
00:58:38,040 --> 00:58:44,720
Speaker 5: reliability as well. The Patriots beating the Jets outright not

1203
00:58:44,760 --> 00:58:47,280
Speaker 5: necessarily a heavily bet game, but most of the action

1204
00:58:47,560 --> 00:58:50,600
Speaker 5: was on the New York Jets and the Patriots winning outright.

1205
00:58:50,640 --> 00:58:53,960
Speaker 5: Again in the early window, the Houston Texans against the

1206
00:58:53,960 --> 00:58:57,480
Speaker 5: Indianapolis Colts not a hugely bet game, again not at

1207
00:58:57,480 --> 00:58:59,320
Speaker 5: the you know, not as high a profile as some

1208
00:58:59,360 --> 00:59:02,720
Speaker 5: of these other ones, but you had the Texans a

1209
00:59:02,760 --> 00:59:06,880
Speaker 5: home favorite, not covering, winning but not covering, just like

1210
00:59:06,920 --> 00:59:11,920
Speaker 5: the Packers did. So those were pretty good results behind

1211
00:59:11,920 --> 00:59:14,160
Speaker 5: the counter kind of set the table for the books

1212
00:59:14,160 --> 00:59:16,360
Speaker 5: to have a reasonably good day, a good bounce back week.

1213
00:59:16,800 --> 00:59:18,000
Speaker 1: Now, all that.

1214
00:59:18,080 --> 00:59:23,600
Speaker 5: Said, the Commanders Hail Mary kind of changed the change

1215
00:59:23,640 --> 00:59:25,479
Speaker 5: the mood a little bit because the Commanders have become

1216
00:59:25,480 --> 00:59:28,120
Speaker 5: a public team this season. Once it was clear on

1217
00:59:28,200 --> 00:59:32,520
Speaker 5: Sunday that Jayden Daniels was going to play, the line

1218
00:59:33,120 --> 00:59:35,880
Speaker 5: shifted by two and a half three points and moved

1219
00:59:35,920 --> 00:59:39,360
Speaker 5: to the Commanders being a favorite again. The book you

1220
00:59:39,360 --> 00:59:43,840
Speaker 5: know some books ended up meeting the Bears again. Might

1221
00:59:43,880 --> 00:59:46,120
Speaker 5: have needed them anyway, just because Washington's become such a

1222
00:59:46,120 --> 00:59:49,280
Speaker 5: public team and then Washington wins and covers any number

1223
00:59:49,320 --> 00:59:53,760
Speaker 5: they might have been at that on the incredible Hail Mary.

1224
00:59:53,920 --> 00:59:57,560
Speaker 5: So that was one that where the public probably got

1225
00:59:57,920 --> 01:00:01,880
Speaker 5: a little bit back. Scott Shelton bet MGM, Nevada. He

1226
01:00:02,440 --> 01:00:07,200
Speaker 5: noted that they were having a great afternoon session, but

1227
01:00:07,880 --> 01:00:11,200
Speaker 5: were it not for that Hail Mary pass, it would

1228
01:00:11,240 --> 01:00:13,520
Speaker 5: have been really really great. They were on their way,

1229
01:00:13,560 --> 01:00:15,440
Speaker 5: but he said it was an incredibly exciting play, just

1230
01:00:15,480 --> 01:00:18,040
Speaker 5: not a good result for us. However, they did get

1231
01:00:18,040 --> 01:00:20,600
Speaker 5: a Raiders back door cover against the Chiefs, which which

1232
01:00:20,640 --> 01:00:25,800
Speaker 5: helped for sure. And again a couple of other odds

1233
01:00:25,800 --> 01:00:28,080
Speaker 5: makers mentioned that the you know, the Commanders getting that

1234
01:00:28,520 --> 01:00:32,000
Speaker 5: Hail Mary was not necessarily a good result for them.

1235
01:00:32,320 --> 01:00:34,120
Speaker 5: Back just a moment, just because I want to throw

1236
01:00:34,120 --> 01:00:37,360
Speaker 5: this out there from Circa Sports regarding that Browns win

1237
01:00:37,720 --> 01:00:40,240
Speaker 5: Circus Sports is known for taking sharp play. They took

1238
01:00:40,280 --> 01:00:42,720
Speaker 5: a ton of sharp money on the Browns, including what

1239
01:00:42,800 --> 01:00:45,080
Speaker 5: Derek Stevens said was some six figure bets, were some

1240
01:00:45,120 --> 01:00:50,520
Speaker 5: six figure plays, so they actually needed Baltimore there. So

1241
01:00:51,000 --> 01:00:55,520
Speaker 5: Circa actually took a pretty decent beating on that with

1242
01:00:55,520 --> 01:00:57,880
Speaker 5: with Cleveland winning that game, but they were certainly the

1243
01:00:57,920 --> 01:01:01,320
Speaker 5: exception to the rule. And again skipping back ahead of

1244
01:01:01,320 --> 01:01:05,960
Speaker 5: that Commander's game, that was obviously a hugely important play,

1245
01:01:06,000 --> 01:01:10,000
Speaker 5: a hugely critical play, an amazing play, and it falls

1246
01:01:10,040 --> 01:01:12,680
Speaker 5: in favor of the public betters. But I think generally speaking,

1247
01:01:12,880 --> 01:01:15,960
Speaker 5: the sportsbooks will take the day they had, and if

1248
01:01:15,960 --> 01:01:18,360
Speaker 5: you want to just take a look ahead to the

1249
01:01:18,400 --> 01:01:23,440
Speaker 5: Monday night game, not the most exhilarating matchup the Giants

1250
01:01:23,480 --> 01:01:27,400
Speaker 5: against the Steelers, but looking at early numbers from BETAMGM

1251
01:01:27,400 --> 01:01:30,280
Speaker 5: as we head into Monday, you've got about four to

1252
01:01:30,320 --> 01:01:32,480
Speaker 5: one tickets and three to one money two and a

1253
01:01:32,520 --> 01:01:35,040
Speaker 5: half to one money on the Steelers on the spread.

1254
01:01:35,280 --> 01:01:38,320
Speaker 5: They're also willing, at least this is at BETAMGM nationally,

1255
01:01:38,640 --> 01:01:41,440
Speaker 5: and they're also willing to lay the Steelers on the

1256
01:01:41,480 --> 01:01:44,919
Speaker 5: money line. Three to one tickets, four to one money

1257
01:01:44,960 --> 01:01:47,520
Speaker 5: on the Steelers money line willing to pay that minus

1258
01:01:47,560 --> 01:01:51,800
Speaker 5: price on Pittsburgh in the Monday night game, thinking that

1259
01:01:51,800 --> 01:01:53,760
Speaker 5: that team will keep it going under Russell Wilson.

1260
01:01:53,760 --> 01:01:54,360
Speaker 1: We shall see.

1261
01:01:55,120 --> 01:01:56,280
Speaker 5: So that is a wrap.

1262
01:01:56,320 --> 01:01:56,560
Speaker 2: Again.

1263
01:01:56,600 --> 01:01:58,680
Speaker 5: Probably maybe some give and take between the books and

1264
01:01:58,680 --> 01:02:00,920
Speaker 5: the betters, but generally speaking, I think the sportsbooks will

1265
01:02:00,960 --> 01:02:03,760
Speaker 5: take this Sunday in Liu and when the wake of

1266
01:02:03,760 --> 01:02:07,160
Speaker 5: what happened in weeks six and seven in the NFL.

1267
01:02:07,480 --> 01:02:07,920
Speaker 2: Thanks a lot.

1268
01:02:07,960 --> 01:02:08,840
Speaker 5: We'll talk next week.

1269
01:02:09,200 --> 01:02:12,200
Speaker 1: That's it. We're done. Thanks for watching live on YouTube today.

1270
01:02:12,360 --> 01:02:14,960
Speaker 4: Before you leave again, please, if you don't mind, hit

1271
01:02:15,200 --> 01:02:17,600
Speaker 4: like on the video, subscribe to our channel when you

1272
01:02:17,680 --> 01:02:19,440
Speaker 4: hit that little bell. When we go live for stuff

1273
01:02:19,480 --> 01:02:22,560
Speaker 4: like this, the favorites, all those other guys, Sunday six pack,

1274
01:02:22,600 --> 01:02:23,280
Speaker 4: whatever it may.

1275
01:02:23,160 --> 01:02:25,560
Speaker 1: Be, you'll get the notification.

1276
01:02:25,720 --> 01:02:28,840
Speaker 4: So please subscribe to our channel like the video before

1277
01:02:28,840 --> 01:02:31,520
Speaker 4: you head out, and those of you listening. Five star

1278
01:02:31,640 --> 01:02:34,080
Speaker 4: ratings and reviews much appreciated on the Action Network podcast

1279
01:02:34,160 --> 01:02:36,600
Speaker 4: wherever you get your podcast for Brandon Anderson, Evan Abrams,

1280
01:02:36,600 --> 01:02:38,960
Speaker 4: Freending glash Sheen, thanks for tuning in the NFL Week

1281
01:02:38,960 --> 01:02:40,760
Speaker 4: eight our Sunday Night recap episode.

1282
01:02:40,880 --> 01:03:06,600
Speaker 6: You're on the Action Network podcast.

1283
01:02:58,200 --> 01:03:01,680
Speaker 1: Action Network reminds you please Gambler responsibly.

1284
01:03:02,080 --> 01:03:04,920
Speaker 5: If you or someone you care about has a gambling problem,

1285
01:03:05,200 --> 01:03:08,200
Speaker 5: help is available twenty four seven at one eight hundred

1286
01:03:08,200 --> 01:03:08,680
Speaker 5: Gambler