1 00:00:00,160 --> 00:00:03,400 Speaker 1: Welcome to today's edition of The Clay Travis and Buck 2 00:00:03,440 --> 00:00:04,120 Speaker 1: Sexton Show. 3 00:00:04,160 --> 00:00:08,639 Speaker 2: Podcast is Friday. Everybody, get ready to jump into it 4 00:00:08,720 --> 00:00:11,280 Speaker 2: with Clay and Buck. Thanks for being here on The 5 00:00:11,320 --> 00:00:15,920 Speaker 2: Clay Travis and Buck Sexton Show. We have much to discuss. 6 00:00:16,800 --> 00:00:23,279 Speaker 2: For example, a Minnesota Democrat who once called for dismantling 7 00:00:23,400 --> 00:00:29,680 Speaker 2: police during b l M two point zero is violently 8 00:00:29,720 --> 00:00:35,200 Speaker 2: attacked and now has in Minneapolis Minneapolis area now has 9 00:00:35,240 --> 00:00:38,519 Speaker 2: a very different approach, it seems, to law enforcement and police. 10 00:00:39,800 --> 00:00:44,320 Speaker 2: This is yet another story we see that Democrats like 11 00:00:44,400 --> 00:00:46,760 Speaker 2: to say things about law enforcement until they have to 12 00:00:46,760 --> 00:00:53,040 Speaker 2: face the reality themselves of their incredibly irresponsible and reckless policies. 13 00:00:53,800 --> 00:00:58,680 Speaker 2: We shall discuss that. We've also got more here on 14 00:00:59,440 --> 00:01:04,800 Speaker 2: Eric Addam in New York City, Texas, Texas is slamming 15 00:01:05,720 --> 00:01:09,160 Speaker 2: the claim that Adams says that it's Texas's fault. Now 16 00:01:09,160 --> 00:01:12,200 Speaker 2: this is from Governor Rabbitt. Governor Abbitt's office that the 17 00:01:12,200 --> 00:01:15,400 Speaker 2: migrant crisis is so major in NYC. Will discuss that 18 00:01:15,720 --> 00:01:20,920 Speaker 2: an extinction rebellion protest last night at the US Open 19 00:01:21,040 --> 00:01:24,600 Speaker 2: tennis match in Queens, New York, which I was watching. 20 00:01:24,959 --> 00:01:28,959 Speaker 2: We will discuss this politics and sports crossing over. What 21 00:01:29,080 --> 00:01:31,679 Speaker 2: better place could you be in than right here on 22 00:01:31,760 --> 00:01:35,080 Speaker 2: this show? And I am caught the one time, Like 23 00:01:35,360 --> 00:01:37,399 Speaker 2: there's like a couple events a year I might watch 24 00:01:37,440 --> 00:01:40,600 Speaker 2: the sports for, and in this one, sure enough, politics 25 00:01:41,000 --> 00:01:43,640 Speaker 2: came about. We shall certainly discuss that. But I have 26 00:01:44,240 --> 00:01:47,000 Speaker 2: two other areas I want to dive into here with Clay. First, 27 00:01:47,480 --> 00:01:50,640 Speaker 2: in the world of what's going on in politics here 28 00:01:50,640 --> 00:01:55,640 Speaker 2: at home. We have some polling will get to about 29 00:01:55,680 --> 00:01:59,960 Speaker 2: Biden that I think is really interesting. And the culpability 30 00:02:00,040 --> 00:02:05,000 Speaker 2: that people feel for or that think that Joe Biden 31 00:02:05,160 --> 00:02:09,560 Speaker 2: has in the schemes involving Hunter. I think you would 32 00:02:09,639 --> 00:02:12,680 Speaker 2: have to You'd have to be willing to believe the 33 00:02:12,720 --> 00:02:16,680 Speaker 2: absurd to think that Joe Biden was not up on 34 00:02:17,040 --> 00:02:21,520 Speaker 2: and in some way directly benefiting from what Hunter Biden 35 00:02:21,760 --> 00:02:24,720 Speaker 2: was doing. Also, just think about this, Why would you 36 00:02:24,760 --> 00:02:29,119 Speaker 2: want someone in charge who's so reckless and so inept 37 00:02:29,280 --> 00:02:32,799 Speaker 2: that they wouldn't stop their crack addicts on from flying 38 00:02:32,840 --> 00:02:35,600 Speaker 2: all over the world making deals on your behalf like that. 39 00:02:35,760 --> 00:02:39,000 Speaker 2: That's not enough brand protection, if you know what I mean. 40 00:02:39,720 --> 00:02:45,239 Speaker 2: We'll get into that. But first, Clay, mister Clay Travis, 41 00:02:46,080 --> 00:02:52,760 Speaker 2: there's some news here. California Democrat Gavin Newsom, the Governor 42 00:02:53,320 --> 00:02:57,480 Speaker 2: of California, on Meet the Press, has said, I guess 43 00:02:57,480 --> 00:03:01,400 Speaker 2: this is a preview for the full interview on YEP, 44 00:03:01,440 --> 00:03:06,200 Speaker 2: it's their preview clip. But he has said that President 45 00:03:06,240 --> 00:03:09,720 Speaker 2: Biden is going to run. Do we have audio of this? 46 00:03:09,840 --> 00:03:11,079 Speaker 2: Do we have the audio clip? Everybody? 47 00:03:11,280 --> 00:03:11,480 Speaker 3: We have? 48 00:03:11,560 --> 00:03:14,440 Speaker 2: This is this is be still my heart, this is 49 00:03:14,480 --> 00:03:16,360 Speaker 2: this is painful. Play it, play it. 50 00:03:16,639 --> 00:03:19,640 Speaker 4: Filing deadlines haven't passed, President Biden doesn't run, why shouldn't 51 00:03:19,639 --> 00:03:20,520 Speaker 4: we consider you likely? 52 00:03:20,760 --> 00:03:23,600 Speaker 5: I think the vice president is naturally one lined up 53 00:03:23,600 --> 00:03:25,960 Speaker 5: and the finally deadlines are quickly coming to pass. And 54 00:03:25,960 --> 00:03:28,400 Speaker 5: I think we need to move past this notion that 55 00:03:28,440 --> 00:03:31,400 Speaker 5: he's not going to run. President Biden is going to run, 56 00:03:31,760 --> 00:03:34,840 Speaker 5: uh and looking forward to getting re elected. I think 57 00:03:34,880 --> 00:03:38,400 Speaker 5: there's been so much wallowing in the last few months 58 00:03:38,640 --> 00:03:41,600 Speaker 5: and hammering, even disrespect. But we're geary enough for the campaign. 59 00:03:41,680 --> 00:03:43,320 Speaker 5: We're looking forward to it, you know. 60 00:03:43,400 --> 00:03:46,000 Speaker 4: But you hear these calls privately, what do you tell 61 00:03:46,040 --> 00:03:47,160 Speaker 4: these donors who are wallowing? 62 00:03:47,520 --> 00:03:49,200 Speaker 5: Time to move on, Let's go. 63 00:03:49,480 --> 00:03:51,280 Speaker 4: And am I supposed to interpret that comment about the 64 00:03:51,360 --> 00:03:53,880 Speaker 4: vice president that if for some reason the President chose 65 00:03:53,880 --> 00:03:56,520 Speaker 4: not to run at this point that everybody rallies around her, and. 66 00:03:56,600 --> 00:03:58,320 Speaker 5: It's the Biden Harris administration. 67 00:03:58,440 --> 00:03:59,920 Speaker 2: It's maybe I'm over fashion. 68 00:04:00,040 --> 00:04:03,960 Speaker 5: Yeah, maybe I'm a little old fashioned about president's advice. 69 00:04:04,240 --> 00:04:07,240 Speaker 5: I was a lieutenant governor, so I'm a little subjective. 70 00:04:08,200 --> 00:04:12,160 Speaker 2: All right, Clay, are you buying it? And are you 71 00:04:12,200 --> 00:04:14,520 Speaker 2: going to be buying me a steak at the rooftop 72 00:04:14,520 --> 00:04:17,200 Speaker 2: of the JW. Marriott in Nashville when Biden is in 73 00:04:17,240 --> 00:04:19,560 Speaker 2: fact the nominee. We can handle that one later, but first, 74 00:04:19,760 --> 00:04:21,920 Speaker 2: Gavin here, what do you think? 75 00:04:22,000 --> 00:04:24,839 Speaker 6: That's a great steakhouse, bourbon steak at the top, So 76 00:04:24,920 --> 00:04:26,680 Speaker 6: at least we're going to be going to a good denn. 77 00:04:26,839 --> 00:04:28,960 Speaker 2: I just buck. 78 00:04:29,040 --> 00:04:32,599 Speaker 6: I just keep looking at all of the data on Biden, 79 00:04:33,040 --> 00:04:35,320 Speaker 6: and this was such a bad week for him. With 80 00:04:35,400 --> 00:04:38,480 Speaker 6: the Wall Street Journal poll and the New York and 81 00:04:38,520 --> 00:04:39,640 Speaker 6: the CNN poll. 82 00:04:40,320 --> 00:04:42,120 Speaker 2: They're saying the exact same story. 83 00:04:42,600 --> 00:04:45,480 Speaker 6: And I understand people can be skeptical of the polls, 84 00:04:46,000 --> 00:04:52,160 Speaker 6: but when basically seventy six percent of Americans say Biden 85 00:04:52,440 --> 00:04:55,720 Speaker 6: isn't mentally or physically capable. 86 00:04:55,279 --> 00:04:57,960 Speaker 2: To be the president of the United States. 87 00:04:58,279 --> 00:05:03,520 Speaker 6: Including huge majority of Democrats and Republicans and independence, Buck, 88 00:05:04,040 --> 00:05:06,760 Speaker 6: we can barely get anybody to agree on anything in 89 00:05:06,760 --> 00:05:11,760 Speaker 6: this country today. Everybody has finally become united behind Joe 90 00:05:11,800 --> 00:05:14,039 Speaker 6: Biden in this belief. 91 00:05:13,880 --> 00:05:15,640 Speaker 2: He is too old for the job. 92 00:05:15,760 --> 00:05:18,280 Speaker 6: Whether you're a leftist, whether you're a rightist, whether you're 93 00:05:18,320 --> 00:05:21,039 Speaker 6: middle of the road, whether you aren't even that plugged 94 00:05:21,040 --> 00:05:22,320 Speaker 6: in in the political. 95 00:05:21,839 --> 00:05:24,000 Speaker 2: Arena, we all see this. 96 00:05:25,160 --> 00:05:29,080 Speaker 6: Whether you agree with me that Gavin Newsom is an 97 00:05:29,120 --> 00:05:34,000 Speaker 6: adroit and likable personality when he sits down for Sean Hannity, 98 00:05:34,080 --> 00:05:36,920 Speaker 6: and that he's glib and he's smooth, and I think 99 00:05:36,960 --> 00:05:41,360 Speaker 6: he will play well with suburban women voters who I 100 00:05:41,440 --> 00:05:44,279 Speaker 6: believe are going to be the determining factors in this 101 00:05:44,360 --> 00:05:47,960 Speaker 6: twenty twenty four election. Gavin Newsom knows all of this too, 102 00:05:48,560 --> 00:05:51,680 Speaker 6: So a part of me feels like this is when 103 00:05:52,360 --> 00:05:56,200 Speaker 6: you see someone who is about to lose their job, 104 00:05:57,760 --> 00:06:01,279 Speaker 6: you want that job. But the best way for you 105 00:06:01,360 --> 00:06:04,040 Speaker 6: to get that job is to pretend that you actually 106 00:06:04,080 --> 00:06:07,160 Speaker 6: think they're doing a good job. And that's what Gavin 107 00:06:07,200 --> 00:06:09,720 Speaker 6: Newsom seems to me to be saying in this Meet 108 00:06:09,720 --> 00:06:12,359 Speaker 6: the Press interview. I will say this, Buck, and I 109 00:06:12,360 --> 00:06:14,359 Speaker 6: don't have the data in front of me. I would 110 00:06:14,360 --> 00:06:16,159 Speaker 6: be curious. I don't know if you've read this or 111 00:06:16,240 --> 00:06:19,080 Speaker 6: you've seen it anywhere. I would like to know what 112 00:06:19,120 --> 00:06:22,839 Speaker 6: the filing deadlines are if you're going to run in 113 00:06:22,960 --> 00:06:25,680 Speaker 6: South Carolina, if you're going to run in New Hampshire 114 00:06:25,720 --> 00:06:29,000 Speaker 6: for these Democrat primaries, because we've been talking about when 115 00:06:29,440 --> 00:06:31,960 Speaker 6: sort of the drop dead date. Unfortunately, when you say 116 00:06:31,960 --> 00:06:34,320 Speaker 6: the drop dead date with Joe Biden, it has more 117 00:06:34,400 --> 00:06:37,839 Speaker 6: than one connotation. I hope he stays healthy, but the 118 00:06:37,920 --> 00:06:40,680 Speaker 6: drop dead date on when you have to get your 119 00:06:40,760 --> 00:06:45,720 Speaker 6: name in on those ballots is I think truly rapidly approaching. 120 00:06:46,240 --> 00:06:48,799 Speaker 6: So that will give us a good indication of whether 121 00:06:48,920 --> 00:06:52,120 Speaker 6: Biden really plans to run. And I'll just add this, 122 00:06:53,200 --> 00:06:56,000 Speaker 6: if Biden really liked Kamala Harris, do you. 123 00:06:56,000 --> 00:06:58,000 Speaker 2: Think he does? By the way, do you think Biden. 124 00:06:57,839 --> 00:07:01,800 Speaker 6: Actually likes Kamala Harris personally? I'm gonna tell you I 125 00:07:01,920 --> 00:07:05,800 Speaker 6: have never considered that until this moment, So you're I 126 00:07:05,880 --> 00:07:10,080 Speaker 6: need to mull it over a little bit. But mind, 127 00:07:10,600 --> 00:07:13,080 Speaker 6: my inclination is no. My inclination is he does not 128 00:07:13,320 --> 00:07:15,040 Speaker 6: like her. My inclination is. 129 00:07:15,200 --> 00:07:20,200 Speaker 2: At some level, remember Joe Biden, Yeah, he's he's a buffoon, 130 00:07:20,400 --> 00:07:25,720 Speaker 2: but he's president, which is crazy. But he's an egomaniac too, right, 131 00:07:25,760 --> 00:07:28,080 Speaker 2: he would have to be to be as lacking in 132 00:07:28,120 --> 00:07:30,840 Speaker 2: skill and talent other than just the talents of being 133 00:07:31,200 --> 00:07:34,040 Speaker 2: a slimy politician who does whatever their credit card companies 134 00:07:34,040 --> 00:07:36,840 Speaker 2: want and whatever the Democrat Party makes popular for him 135 00:07:36,840 --> 00:07:39,520 Speaker 2: in any moment, or will be popular for him within 136 00:07:39,520 --> 00:07:44,280 Speaker 2: the party. Gavin News, I'm sorry Joe Biden. I think 137 00:07:45,160 --> 00:07:49,240 Speaker 2: I think he's still sore over the treatment he got 138 00:07:49,280 --> 00:07:52,000 Speaker 2: from Kamala on stage that time, because that was a 139 00:07:52,040 --> 00:07:55,400 Speaker 2: real legacy tarnishing moment. And I know a lot of 140 00:07:55,440 --> 00:07:58,320 Speaker 2: Democrats want to pretend like that didn't happen. But you know, Clay, 141 00:07:59,080 --> 00:08:00,840 Speaker 2: you know what this is like we see in politics 142 00:08:01,120 --> 00:08:02,960 Speaker 2: you can say a lot of things about other people 143 00:08:02,960 --> 00:08:06,160 Speaker 2: in your party and let bygones be bygones. But if 144 00:08:06,200 --> 00:08:09,280 Speaker 2: you set up on stage and call Joe Biden a racist, 145 00:08:10,480 --> 00:08:11,880 Speaker 2: I don't know if I don't know if Joe Biden 146 00:08:11,920 --> 00:08:14,000 Speaker 2: lets that one go. So I don't think he likes her. 147 00:08:14,080 --> 00:08:15,200 Speaker 2: I don't think he likes her. 148 00:08:15,480 --> 00:08:18,960 Speaker 6: I think that's right, and that's why I would say this. 149 00:08:19,400 --> 00:08:21,600 Speaker 6: I don't get the sense that Biden likes Kamala, I 150 00:08:21,600 --> 00:08:25,400 Speaker 6: think it's a political marriage, not a true reproachment where 151 00:08:25,400 --> 00:08:27,160 Speaker 6: they enjoy spending time with each other. 152 00:08:27,200 --> 00:08:28,280 Speaker 2: I think sometimes. 153 00:08:27,880 --> 00:08:31,200 Speaker 6: Presidents and vice presidents really do get along and they 154 00:08:31,240 --> 00:08:34,880 Speaker 6: make a good team. Other times I think it's it's 155 00:08:34,920 --> 00:08:38,280 Speaker 6: clearly a union of political necessity. So the point I 156 00:08:38,320 --> 00:08:41,680 Speaker 6: make with that is this, Gavin Newsom raises an interesting 157 00:08:41,760 --> 00:08:44,640 Speaker 6: question about the deadlines of these primaries and when they 158 00:08:44,640 --> 00:08:47,360 Speaker 6: would need to be fit in order to have an 159 00:08:47,400 --> 00:08:54,679 Speaker 6: actual contested primary. But if Biden doesn't drop out, and 160 00:08:55,160 --> 00:08:56,920 Speaker 6: when I say drop out, just announce that he's not 161 00:08:56,920 --> 00:08:59,320 Speaker 6: going to run in twenty twenty four, if he really 162 00:08:59,440 --> 00:09:05,880 Speaker 6: liked Kamla he could wait until just before the convention 163 00:09:06,120 --> 00:09:08,360 Speaker 6: or something like that and say, hey, I'm not going 164 00:09:08,440 --> 00:09:11,920 Speaker 6: to run. Kamala Harris is the choice. She's the standard 165 00:09:11,960 --> 00:09:15,880 Speaker 6: bearer going forward, and there would be popular acclamation and 166 00:09:15,960 --> 00:09:18,880 Speaker 6: I don't think anybody would be able to oppose Kamala Harris. 167 00:09:19,280 --> 00:09:21,720 Speaker 6: I don't get the sense that that is the way 168 00:09:21,800 --> 00:09:26,640 Speaker 6: Joe Biden feels about Kamala Harris. So I feel like, still, 169 00:09:26,720 --> 00:09:29,960 Speaker 6: if he's not going to run, he doesn't want to 170 00:09:30,040 --> 00:09:34,319 Speaker 6: give her that gilded pathway where she is his deputy 171 00:09:34,400 --> 00:09:39,280 Speaker 6: and he basically bestows upon her the mantle of Democrat nominee. 172 00:09:39,720 --> 00:09:41,559 Speaker 6: So I think if Biden, and this is why he 173 00:09:41,640 --> 00:09:44,880 Speaker 6: keeps saying, if Biden is going to drop out, it 174 00:09:44,960 --> 00:09:47,440 Speaker 6: has to happen in the next few months, where he 175 00:09:47,480 --> 00:09:49,120 Speaker 6: says I'm not going to run because I don't think 176 00:09:49,120 --> 00:09:50,840 Speaker 6: he wants Kamala as his successor. 177 00:09:51,000 --> 00:09:54,880 Speaker 2: I think our friend Ryan Gerdusky on his substack did 178 00:09:54,920 --> 00:09:58,960 Speaker 2: a piece and his analysis of just the filing deadlines 179 00:09:59,000 --> 00:10:01,760 Speaker 2: and all the re if it was if you don't 180 00:10:01,800 --> 00:10:05,920 Speaker 2: have a change in place by December, yeah, which is 181 00:10:06,120 --> 00:10:10,120 Speaker 2: by Christmas, by Christmas, which makes sense just if you 182 00:10:10,200 --> 00:10:11,800 Speaker 2: were to sort of guess, you're like, well, it's kind 183 00:10:11,800 --> 00:10:15,080 Speaker 2: of got to be done before next year starts. If 184 00:10:15,120 --> 00:10:17,480 Speaker 2: it's not done by Christmas, it's not happening. And then 185 00:10:17,520 --> 00:10:19,280 Speaker 2: the only way you're gonna have something else would be 186 00:10:19,280 --> 00:10:21,600 Speaker 2: some kind of a crazy floor fight at the Democrat 187 00:10:21,920 --> 00:10:25,120 Speaker 2: nat which would be I mean, it would be amazing television. 188 00:10:25,160 --> 00:10:27,680 Speaker 2: But I mean, you know, that's a that's a total mess. 189 00:10:28,360 --> 00:10:34,439 Speaker 2: And I think increasingly, I mean Clay Fetterman one independence, 190 00:10:35,320 --> 00:10:37,440 Speaker 2: I think everyone needs to needs to remember this for 191 00:10:37,480 --> 00:10:39,960 Speaker 2: a second. You know, I understand it's a little bit 192 00:10:39,960 --> 00:10:42,920 Speaker 2: of a dynamic that plays out here where mister Clay 193 00:10:43,440 --> 00:10:46,120 Speaker 2: is sunshine and rainbows and I'm a little more storm 194 00:10:46,160 --> 00:10:52,280 Speaker 2: clouds on this stuff sometimes. But Fetterman one independent voters 195 00:10:52,400 --> 00:10:56,280 Speaker 2: in Pennsylvania, despite what we saw, which we don't even 196 00:10:56,280 --> 00:10:58,800 Speaker 2: have to ever knows right, which we just can't be again, 197 00:10:59,160 --> 00:11:02,920 Speaker 2: doesn't work. I mean, yes, profoundly unwell. If Joe Biden 198 00:11:03,320 --> 00:11:09,480 Speaker 2: is alive throughout twenty twenty four, the Democrats are going 199 00:11:09,520 --> 00:11:12,520 Speaker 2: to stick with it, meaning, you know, unless he has 200 00:11:12,200 --> 00:11:17,760 Speaker 2: a serious health issue, health condition and or you know, 201 00:11:17,920 --> 00:11:20,280 Speaker 2: heaven forbid, but something. He's old, I mean, he is. 202 00:11:20,600 --> 00:11:22,600 Speaker 2: You know, it's different when you're talking about a presider 203 00:11:22,600 --> 00:11:25,160 Speaker 2: who's sixty. Okay, it just is, this guy's really old. 204 00:11:26,200 --> 00:11:29,120 Speaker 2: And I just think that they're they're gonna end up 205 00:11:29,160 --> 00:11:33,000 Speaker 2: sticking with him because the machinery in place is to 206 00:11:33,080 --> 00:11:35,640 Speaker 2: defeat Trump at hold Trump as the great you know, 207 00:11:35,679 --> 00:11:39,440 Speaker 2: the great evil, the Satan that is going to destroy America. 208 00:11:40,600 --> 00:11:43,000 Speaker 2: And I don't think that they believe the candidate quality. Really, 209 00:11:43,360 --> 00:11:46,160 Speaker 2: I think it's hard to argue that when you're facing Trump, 210 00:11:46,520 --> 00:11:51,280 Speaker 2: the Democrats think candidate quality really matters when they had 211 00:11:51,320 --> 00:11:54,439 Speaker 2: Joe Biden in the first place. Now I understand the 212 00:11:54,480 --> 00:11:57,439 Speaker 2: counter to this argument is it was twenty twenty. It 213 00:11:57,559 --> 00:12:01,240 Speaker 2: was crazy. You know, you can't wreck located and the 214 00:12:01,360 --> 00:12:05,400 Speaker 2: rigging and all the Okay, fine, but I still don't 215 00:12:05,440 --> 00:12:07,439 Speaker 2: see how Democrats. I mean, let me ask you. Let's 216 00:12:07,480 --> 00:12:10,679 Speaker 2: get down to brass tacks. Here is Gavin Newsom basically 217 00:12:10,800 --> 00:12:13,160 Speaker 2: full of it? Still in your mind when he says this, 218 00:12:13,440 --> 00:12:15,600 Speaker 2: is he still full of it for twenty times? Come 219 00:12:15,679 --> 00:12:18,760 Speaker 2: to grips with these comments live on the air, right 220 00:12:18,800 --> 00:12:21,960 Speaker 2: because I know he's grieving, Yeah, grieving a little bit. 221 00:12:22,000 --> 00:12:23,600 Speaker 2: I was thinking we were gonna have a nice Napa 222 00:12:24,679 --> 00:12:26,920 Speaker 2: red wine, just, you know, kind of talk over things, 223 00:12:26,960 --> 00:12:29,679 Speaker 2: maybe some Camembert, you know, some of his little crackers. 224 00:12:29,800 --> 00:12:32,160 Speaker 6: Uh at crew de Tay if you want to reference 225 00:12:32,280 --> 00:12:38,559 Speaker 6: the Pennsylvania Senate campaign. I believe that he is bluffing. 226 00:12:39,160 --> 00:12:41,199 Speaker 6: I think the best way to get a job that 227 00:12:41,400 --> 00:12:44,800 Speaker 6: you want is to pretend that you don't want it 228 00:12:45,040 --> 00:12:47,959 Speaker 6: and that he is kind of still that snake in 229 00:12:48,040 --> 00:12:51,959 Speaker 6: the grass. For the Democrats waiting, we need to get 230 00:12:52,040 --> 00:12:55,840 Speaker 6: Ryan Gerdski, who does really good data analysis and everything else, 231 00:12:56,160 --> 00:12:59,080 Speaker 6: to actually come on at some point, maybe next week, Buck, 232 00:12:59,440 --> 00:13:02,679 Speaker 6: to give us these dates so we can start to 233 00:13:02,800 --> 00:13:04,599 Speaker 6: look and put them on our calendar and kind of 234 00:13:04,679 --> 00:13:07,280 Speaker 6: keep them in contemplation, both you and me and everybody 235 00:13:07,320 --> 00:13:12,400 Speaker 6: out there listening. Because I looked at that Democrat debate, sorry, 236 00:13:12,440 --> 00:13:18,160 Speaker 6: the Republican debate. I think there are five six candidates 237 00:13:18,400 --> 00:13:23,199 Speaker 6: that could comfortably beat Joe Biden other than Gavin Newsom. 238 00:13:23,520 --> 00:13:26,679 Speaker 6: I don't think the Democrats have a good bench. That's 239 00:13:26,679 --> 00:13:31,280 Speaker 6: why I keep coming back to us their bench matter. Well, 240 00:13:31,360 --> 00:13:34,200 Speaker 6: that's the scary I'm not convinced this. That's the dark 241 00:13:34,360 --> 00:13:37,640 Speaker 6: ere perspective. Yes, that it truly doesn't matter. This is 242 00:13:37,679 --> 00:13:40,880 Speaker 6: the Fetterman effect. Yeah, Fetterman is the I mean, we 243 00:13:41,120 --> 00:13:45,400 Speaker 6: needed that Senate seat in Pennsylvania. Doctor Oz isn't perfect, 244 00:13:45,440 --> 00:13:48,319 Speaker 6: but hold on a second. He's a super smart, super 245 00:13:48,360 --> 00:13:51,080 Speaker 6: successful guy. I know he's not, you know, the longest 246 00:13:51,320 --> 00:13:54,520 Speaker 6: conservative credentials, you know, but I've been a conservative since 247 00:13:54,520 --> 00:13:57,480 Speaker 6: I was sixteen, As my entire life record shows, and 248 00:13:57,559 --> 00:13:59,520 Speaker 6: if I say anything on the show Someone's Life, look 249 00:13:59,559 --> 00:13:59,719 Speaker 6: are you? 250 00:14:00,120 --> 00:14:02,360 Speaker 2: You're sounding like a rhino. I'm like, I mean, how 251 00:14:02,440 --> 00:14:05,680 Speaker 2: much more right wing can I be? So I'm willing 252 00:14:05,720 --> 00:14:07,880 Speaker 2: to say doctor Oz, yeah he's not He's not me. 253 00:14:08,600 --> 00:14:11,520 Speaker 6: But he would have been infinitely better for everybody in 254 00:14:11,600 --> 00:14:14,439 Speaker 6: the state of Pennsylvania than John Fetterman on a purely 255 00:14:14,559 --> 00:14:16,959 Speaker 6: objective basis, just in terms of being able to do 256 00:14:17,120 --> 00:14:19,200 Speaker 6: the job for which he was attempting to gain. 257 00:14:19,480 --> 00:14:25,480 Speaker 2: And why did Pennsylvania elect Fetterman. Pennsylvania does a better job. 258 00:14:25,520 --> 00:14:29,560 Speaker 2: The Democrat Party in that state has a registration advantage, 259 00:14:29,760 --> 00:14:32,480 Speaker 2: does early voting, has just a better get out the 260 00:14:32,600 --> 00:14:35,840 Speaker 2: vote machinery. Everything they have it set up. They are 261 00:14:35,960 --> 00:14:39,600 Speaker 2: out playing. They have It's what's the thing? The playbook 262 00:14:39,880 --> 00:14:41,720 Speaker 2: like your book? The thing I was gonna say, the 263 00:14:41,800 --> 00:14:44,000 Speaker 2: thing the coaches have where they make all the squiggly lines, 264 00:14:44,000 --> 00:14:47,240 Speaker 2: the better playbook. They are better at that. Eight hundred 265 00:14:47,240 --> 00:14:50,040 Speaker 2: two two two eight a two. Do you believe Gavin 266 00:14:50,120 --> 00:14:52,680 Speaker 2: Newsom when he says he's out for twenty twenty four 267 00:14:53,880 --> 00:14:57,280 Speaker 2: or is this a head fake? Light up those lines 268 00:14:57,320 --> 00:15:00,000 Speaker 2: on this Friday, my friends. Innovation Refunds has been helped 269 00:15:00,200 --> 00:15:03,560 Speaker 2: small businesses get a tax refund through the Employee Retention 270 00:15:03,720 --> 00:15:07,000 Speaker 2: Credit or the ERC. 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They work with 279 00:15:34,760 --> 00:15:37,840 Speaker 2: an independent network of tax professionals and will share information 280 00:15:38,000 --> 00:15:40,760 Speaker 2: with them to evaluate and process your claims. Terms and 281 00:15:40,800 --> 00:15:44,600 Speaker 2: conditions apply. Go to Innovation Refunds dot com or call 282 00:15:44,680 --> 00:15:47,000 Speaker 2: them to see if you qualify. There's no upfront charge. 283 00:15:47,320 --> 00:15:50,120 Speaker 2: They don't get paid unless you get paid. Their phone 284 00:15:50,200 --> 00:15:53,600 Speaker 2: number is eight four to three Refunds. That's eight for 285 00:15:53,840 --> 00:15:57,200 Speaker 2: three refunds or go to Innovation Refunds dot com. 286 00:15:58,360 --> 00:16:03,400 Speaker 1: Learn and Last Weekdays with Clay Travis and Buck Sexton. 287 00:16:03,840 --> 00:16:08,960 Speaker 6: Welcome back in Clay Travis buck Sexton show. Breaking news 288 00:16:09,480 --> 00:16:12,520 Speaker 6: just in the last forty five minutes or so, and 289 00:16:12,880 --> 00:16:18,160 Speaker 6: I can't believe this is real. Nancy Pelosi, who was 290 00:16:18,320 --> 00:16:22,880 Speaker 6: born in nineteen forty, which makes her right now? 291 00:16:24,440 --> 00:16:26,200 Speaker 2: Is that I'm trying to do the math. Eighty three 292 00:16:26,280 --> 00:16:27,960 Speaker 2: years old, Is that right? I think that's right. 293 00:16:29,120 --> 00:16:34,240 Speaker 6: Eighty three year old Nancy Pelosi just announced that she 294 00:16:34,440 --> 00:16:37,880 Speaker 6: is going to run for reelection next year. 295 00:16:39,360 --> 00:16:43,600 Speaker 2: That would make her what eighty four at. 296 00:16:43,760 --> 00:16:48,240 Speaker 6: The point of reelection next year, and she would serve 297 00:16:48,400 --> 00:16:54,640 Speaker 6: until she is eighty six or so. This is I mean, 298 00:16:55,440 --> 00:16:59,160 Speaker 6: this is crazy. She's no longer the Speaker of the House. 299 00:17:00,080 --> 00:17:02,400 Speaker 6: I don't think she thinks that she could be Speaker 300 00:17:02,440 --> 00:17:04,960 Speaker 6: of the House again. But this is what we've been 301 00:17:05,040 --> 00:17:07,399 Speaker 6: talking about, Buck. We've got a lot of people in 302 00:17:07,520 --> 00:17:11,520 Speaker 6: this gerontocracy who are unwilling to give up power. When 303 00:17:11,560 --> 00:17:14,480 Speaker 6: you look at what's going on with Dianne Feinstein already 304 00:17:14,680 --> 00:17:19,280 Speaker 6: in that state. For Nancy Pelosi, who is going to 305 00:17:19,359 --> 00:17:22,719 Speaker 6: be eighty four next year, to decide, hey, I'm going 306 00:17:22,760 --> 00:17:25,480 Speaker 6: to run for reelection, let's just call it what it is. 307 00:17:26,280 --> 00:17:26,800 Speaker 2: Reckless. 308 00:17:27,600 --> 00:17:30,320 Speaker 6: And it's not like Buck. She's in a district where 309 00:17:30,359 --> 00:17:33,280 Speaker 6: it's like, oh, only she could win there. It's a 310 00:17:33,400 --> 00:17:35,760 Speaker 6: super left wing district. There are many people who could 311 00:17:35,800 --> 00:17:36,720 Speaker 6: represent that area. 312 00:17:37,119 --> 00:17:40,399 Speaker 2: This is this is self obsession. Nancy Pelosi is of 313 00:17:40,520 --> 00:17:44,440 Speaker 2: self with she's obsessed with self and also just being 314 00:17:44,560 --> 00:17:48,040 Speaker 2: powerful and being important, and it's gross and it's time 315 00:17:48,080 --> 00:17:51,879 Speaker 2: to pass the batona. She won't do it. It's crazy. 316 00:17:52,800 --> 00:17:55,359 Speaker 6: We come back by the way. Ryan Gurdusky has called in. 317 00:17:55,960 --> 00:17:58,560 Speaker 6: He has got the data on what some of these 318 00:17:58,920 --> 00:18:01,760 Speaker 6: deadlines are. If Biden's not gonna run, what would it 319 00:18:01,800 --> 00:18:04,760 Speaker 6: need to happen? We'll talk about it. Look NFL seasons 320 00:18:04,840 --> 00:18:08,719 Speaker 6: back underway last night. 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Chalk's 330 00:18:33,800 --> 00:18:37,720 Speaker 6: mal Vitality stack is a great source of all day energy, 331 00:18:37,880 --> 00:18:41,119 Speaker 6: better than all that cups of coffee and sugary energy 332 00:18:41,200 --> 00:18:42,080 Speaker 6: drinks you're pounding. 333 00:18:42,480 --> 00:18:43,600 Speaker 2: Learn more about Chalk. 334 00:18:43,840 --> 00:18:47,920 Speaker 6: You can increase thirty percent your testosterone rate and get 335 00:18:48,040 --> 00:18:52,280 Speaker 6: thirty five percent off for life at cchoq dot com. 336 00:18:52,840 --> 00:18:56,919 Speaker 6: My name Clay, thirty five percent off for life cchoq 337 00:18:57,480 --> 00:18:57,920 Speaker 6: dot com. 338 00:18:58,359 --> 00:19:02,600 Speaker 2: Welcome back, team. We have our friend Ryan Gurdusky with us. 339 00:19:02,720 --> 00:19:06,359 Speaker 2: Mister Gurdusky has a phenomenal sub stack that you should 340 00:19:06,359 --> 00:19:08,680 Speaker 2: all subscribe to. We just we named Checking before he 341 00:19:08,800 --> 00:19:11,680 Speaker 2: happened to be listening Clay. Yeah, he goes, Hey, I'll 342 00:19:11,720 --> 00:19:13,280 Speaker 2: call it and talk to you guys about this. So 343 00:19:13,480 --> 00:19:17,119 Speaker 2: Ryan Substack is the national populist newsletter. Ryan, can we 344 00:19:17,200 --> 00:19:21,840 Speaker 2: first deal with what's going on with Gavin Newsom saying 345 00:19:21,960 --> 00:19:23,920 Speaker 2: he's stepping out? Is this for real? 346 00:19:25,000 --> 00:19:27,960 Speaker 7: Yeah? I've been saying this forever that he had know 347 00:19:28,320 --> 00:19:29,800 Speaker 7: that he was not. I mean, he's an interest in 348 00:19:29,880 --> 00:19:33,760 Speaker 7: probably running for president. But in America in twenty twenty three, 349 00:19:33,840 --> 00:19:36,920 Speaker 7: the Democratic Party is not going to bypass the first 350 00:19:37,080 --> 00:19:41,800 Speaker 7: BIPOC female vice president in favor of a straight white guy. 351 00:19:42,000 --> 00:19:46,160 Speaker 7: It's just not it's not gonna happen. So I never 352 00:19:46,520 --> 00:19:48,840 Speaker 7: had much assumption that it was gonna happen. And plus 353 00:19:49,240 --> 00:19:52,200 Speaker 7: I know a lot of like very active Democrats, none 354 00:19:52,280 --> 00:19:56,200 Speaker 7: of them had had Newsom as the backup if Biden 355 00:19:56,320 --> 00:19:59,520 Speaker 7: and Harris couldn't run. They all want either Gretchen Whitmer 356 00:20:00,160 --> 00:20:03,439 Speaker 7: or Jared Polis or the governor of Illinois. I mean, 357 00:20:03,480 --> 00:20:06,440 Speaker 7: they had a million other people. The only person who 358 00:20:06,600 --> 00:20:08,760 Speaker 7: ever won a newse Me president or talked about it 359 00:20:08,920 --> 00:20:09,560 Speaker 7: was Republican. 360 00:20:10,560 --> 00:20:13,720 Speaker 6: Okay, So let's go into the timeline here. Buck and 361 00:20:13,760 --> 00:20:16,520 Speaker 6: I have a debate stake bet over whether or not 362 00:20:16,800 --> 00:20:20,320 Speaker 6: Biden is going to run for reelection in twenty twenty four. 363 00:20:20,800 --> 00:20:23,439 Speaker 6: A lot of people out there will recall if your 364 00:20:23,560 --> 00:20:26,000 Speaker 6: history people, some of you are old enough, you were 365 00:20:26,040 --> 00:20:28,520 Speaker 6: sitting and you were watching it at the time that 366 00:20:29,119 --> 00:20:33,600 Speaker 6: LBJ famously announced he wouldn't run for reelection in nineteen 367 00:20:33,760 --> 00:20:36,720 Speaker 6: sixty eight during I think it was the summer, or 368 00:20:36,760 --> 00:20:38,920 Speaker 6: maybe it was the spring of sixty eight. I don't 369 00:20:38,960 --> 00:20:41,399 Speaker 6: have that in front of me right now. March of 370 00:20:41,520 --> 00:20:44,200 Speaker 6: sixty eight, all right, is when LBJ in sixty eight 371 00:20:44,320 --> 00:20:46,719 Speaker 6: said I'm not gonna run, won't be the nominee. Then 372 00:20:46,760 --> 00:20:51,120 Speaker 6: shortly thereafter, Robert F. Kennedy Junior was killed, Martin Luther 373 00:20:51,280 --> 00:20:53,200 Speaker 6: King was killed. Like all that's going on, that was 374 00:20:53,240 --> 00:20:56,639 Speaker 6: a crazy year. What would the timeline look like if 375 00:20:56,800 --> 00:21:00,639 Speaker 6: Joe Biden were not going to run. In your mind, Ryan, 376 00:21:00,920 --> 00:21:03,800 Speaker 6: what would that need to look like if he wants 377 00:21:03,840 --> 00:21:06,920 Speaker 6: an open primary, and then if he also just wanted 378 00:21:07,119 --> 00:21:12,159 Speaker 6: bipopular acclamation effectively to deputize Kamala Harris and make her 379 00:21:12,280 --> 00:21:14,400 Speaker 6: the nominee, how would you assess the timeline? 380 00:21:14,640 --> 00:21:17,920 Speaker 7: Well, by December, I think exactly. I think it's December 381 00:21:18,119 --> 00:21:22,560 Speaker 7: thirteenth or fourteenth. That is when the ballot access closes. 382 00:21:23,280 --> 00:21:25,960 Speaker 7: So within what is that four months from now? 383 00:21:26,200 --> 00:21:28,840 Speaker 6: That is three months basically three months from now if 384 00:21:28,880 --> 00:21:31,400 Speaker 6: we're sitting you know, in the three months in mid 385 00:21:32,040 --> 00:21:35,040 Speaker 6: early to mid December is when you're saying, if you 386 00:21:35,160 --> 00:21:37,399 Speaker 6: want to be on the ballot and have a truly 387 00:21:37,480 --> 00:21:40,440 Speaker 6: contested primary, that's when Biden would need to announce that 388 00:21:40,520 --> 00:21:42,760 Speaker 6: he wasn't running, correct. 389 00:21:42,560 --> 00:21:44,800 Speaker 7: So Biden would have to do it within the next 390 00:21:44,920 --> 00:21:48,040 Speaker 7: three months to have an actual primary. Let's say Biden 391 00:21:48,119 --> 00:21:50,680 Speaker 7: goes to the primary process, is the nominee, and then 392 00:21:51,520 --> 00:21:55,160 Speaker 7: something happens and he can't run. Then the Democratic DNC 393 00:21:56,200 --> 00:22:00,960 Speaker 7: and the delegates and the governors select. Then they are 394 00:22:01,040 --> 00:22:04,600 Speaker 7: not going to pass a person on the ticket for 395 00:22:04,760 --> 00:22:07,280 Speaker 7: somebody who is not on the ticket. Now, they make 396 00:22:07,320 --> 00:22:09,840 Speaker 7: sect a new vice president and that might fight. They will, 397 00:22:09,920 --> 00:22:12,000 Speaker 7: and that will be the fight. But they're not going 398 00:22:12,080 --> 00:22:15,480 Speaker 7: to tell Kamala Hey, guess what you're like? You know, 399 00:22:15,800 --> 00:22:18,359 Speaker 7: Julie Lewis Draves and deep and you're not getting it again. 400 00:22:18,440 --> 00:22:22,680 Speaker 7: It's just not going to happen, especially considering and I 401 00:22:22,800 --> 00:22:26,280 Speaker 7: know she's unpopular Democrats. No, she's unpopular, but it would 402 00:22:26,280 --> 00:22:29,119 Speaker 7: be at a very very very big kick in the 403 00:22:29,200 --> 00:22:33,359 Speaker 7: face to the most loyal group of Democrats are black women, 404 00:22:33,520 --> 00:22:37,160 Speaker 7: that the first of female black Asian vice president ever 405 00:22:37,440 --> 00:22:39,240 Speaker 7: is going to miss the opportunity to be to be 406 00:22:39,320 --> 00:22:41,840 Speaker 7: a president because they're going to pick a straight white 407 00:22:41,920 --> 00:22:44,000 Speaker 7: guy who has never been on a ballot nationally. 408 00:22:44,800 --> 00:22:47,080 Speaker 2: Hey, Ryan, what do you make of the polls? I mean, 409 00:22:47,080 --> 00:22:50,480 Speaker 2: they're clearly bad, right because even CNN and CBS News 410 00:22:50,600 --> 00:22:53,200 Speaker 2: and such we're saying, like, this is not good polls 411 00:22:53,240 --> 00:22:56,119 Speaker 2: for Biden we're seeing right now. But how do you 412 00:22:56,359 --> 00:22:59,359 Speaker 2: read them? What does it tell you about you know, 413 00:22:59,480 --> 00:23:03,080 Speaker 2: things like independence, the suburban mom or not su non 414 00:23:03,160 --> 00:23:06,680 Speaker 2: suburban women specifically, how do you see this bad week 415 00:23:06,720 --> 00:23:08,320 Speaker 2: of pulling for Biden? I think he's at what was 416 00:23:08,359 --> 00:23:10,679 Speaker 2: he played forty one percent approval something like that. 417 00:23:13,600 --> 00:23:13,800 Speaker 3: Yeah. 418 00:23:13,840 --> 00:23:17,200 Speaker 7: Third. Now, Biden's in a very very bad place, much 419 00:23:17,280 --> 00:23:20,000 Speaker 7: worse than he than a lot of Democrats assumed that 420 00:23:20,119 --> 00:23:22,359 Speaker 7: he would be in. So there's two major polls, the 421 00:23:22,400 --> 00:23:25,400 Speaker 7: CNN poll and the Wall Street Journal poll. CCENN had 422 00:23:25,440 --> 00:23:27,840 Speaker 7: him losing to Trump by one. Wall Street Journal had 423 00:23:27,920 --> 00:23:31,360 Speaker 7: him tied. They're both very accredited polls, but Wall Stert 424 00:23:31,400 --> 00:23:33,800 Speaker 7: Journal doesn't have exit polls. Seenn did, so he tied 425 00:23:33,880 --> 00:23:37,119 Speaker 7: through the exit through the cross tabs. And something that 426 00:23:37,240 --> 00:23:39,440 Speaker 7: stuck out to me with this poll is it and 427 00:23:39,560 --> 00:23:41,679 Speaker 7: I looked at other state poles that have come out 428 00:23:41,720 --> 00:23:44,480 Speaker 7: in the last month, what it looks like to me 429 00:23:45,520 --> 00:23:48,320 Speaker 7: is this looks a lot like twenty twenty two in 430 00:23:48,400 --> 00:23:50,720 Speaker 7: the sense that if you look at state poles over 431 00:23:50,840 --> 00:23:55,880 Speaker 7: the last month, Biden's numbers are down significantly in places 432 00:23:56,000 --> 00:24:00,960 Speaker 7: like California, New York, New Jersey, where he is not collapsed. 433 00:24:01,000 --> 00:24:05,280 Speaker 7: Where his numbers have not collapsed significantly in states that 434 00:24:05,359 --> 00:24:11,840 Speaker 7: are overwhelmingly white and black Michigan, Pennsylvania, Virginia, New Hampshire, 435 00:24:12,119 --> 00:24:14,680 Speaker 7: states where ninety percent plus of the electric will either 436 00:24:14,800 --> 00:24:17,720 Speaker 7: be blacks or whites. That is where Biden's numbers have 437 00:24:17,960 --> 00:24:22,439 Speaker 7: not gone down pretty much at all. In California, for example, 438 00:24:22,480 --> 00:24:25,879 Speaker 7: which the Biden plus twenty nine state. The La Times 439 00:24:25,880 --> 00:24:28,399 Speaker 7: that have polled this week it was Biden plus twenty. 440 00:24:28,760 --> 00:24:31,920 Speaker 7: In New York, a Biden plus twenty three state. The 441 00:24:32,040 --> 00:24:35,040 Speaker 7: Siena poll from two weeks ago had Biden plus thirteen. 442 00:24:35,880 --> 00:24:40,320 Speaker 7: These are massive double digit losses in big blue states, 443 00:24:40,440 --> 00:24:44,960 Speaker 7: primarily because Hispanics and Asians have fled the Democratic Party 444 00:24:45,000 --> 00:24:48,880 Speaker 7: over issues like crime. Where we're not seeing it, these 445 00:24:49,000 --> 00:24:51,119 Speaker 7: numbers match at all in a change would be like 446 00:24:51,280 --> 00:24:54,480 Speaker 7: in Emerson it's New Hampshire it was Biden plus seven. 447 00:24:55,200 --> 00:24:58,240 Speaker 7: Michigan Epic poll Biden plus one, which was a Biden 448 00:24:58,240 --> 00:25:01,560 Speaker 7: plus one state. Franklin Marsh Pennsylvania Biden plus two. It 449 00:25:01,640 --> 00:25:05,120 Speaker 7: was a Biden plus one state. Virginia Biden plus nine. 450 00:25:05,160 --> 00:25:07,600 Speaker 7: It was a Biden plus ten state. In these states, 451 00:25:07,720 --> 00:25:10,000 Speaker 7: it is stagnant. When you look at the crossteps of 452 00:25:10,480 --> 00:25:11,960 Speaker 7: the C and N poll. Now they don't break it 453 00:25:12,040 --> 00:25:14,119 Speaker 7: down by race as far as like Hispanic or Asian go. 454 00:25:14,280 --> 00:25:17,520 Speaker 7: They say non white white. The non white numbers for 455 00:25:17,680 --> 00:25:21,520 Speaker 7: Biden have gone down significantly. It's D plus twenty six. 456 00:25:21,640 --> 00:25:23,760 Speaker 7: It should be like D plus forty b D plus 457 00:25:23,840 --> 00:25:27,800 Speaker 7: forty five. But where it is very strong for Biden 458 00:25:28,000 --> 00:25:31,880 Speaker 7: is among college educated whites against Trump D plus fourteen. 459 00:25:32,800 --> 00:25:34,960 Speaker 7: Where it is among very strong for Biden also is 460 00:25:35,000 --> 00:25:38,600 Speaker 7: among independents. It's D plus nine. These were the pole 461 00:25:38,680 --> 00:25:42,879 Speaker 7: These were the voters that helped elect John Fetterman in Pennsylvania. 462 00:25:42,920 --> 00:25:46,280 Speaker 7: These are the voters that prevented Republicans from winning a 463 00:25:46,320 --> 00:25:50,400 Speaker 7: lot of congressional districts in suburban counties. So this poll 464 00:25:50,680 --> 00:25:53,560 Speaker 7: is very bad for Biden. He is not sitting comfortably 465 00:25:53,600 --> 00:25:56,959 Speaker 7: in any way, shape or form. Is this Should Republicans 466 00:25:57,040 --> 00:25:58,720 Speaker 7: sit back for the next year and a half and 467 00:25:58,800 --> 00:26:01,640 Speaker 7: say we got this in the egg. No, What could 468 00:26:01,800 --> 00:26:05,960 Speaker 7: very well happen is blue cities outside of New Work, 469 00:26:06,040 --> 00:26:09,760 Speaker 7: outside of New York City, Los Angeles, Chicago could see 470 00:26:10,359 --> 00:26:13,959 Speaker 7: could see voters once again continuing to move more Republican 471 00:26:14,680 --> 00:26:17,879 Speaker 7: in places like the Bronx, in places like Cicero, Illinois, 472 00:26:17,960 --> 00:26:21,000 Speaker 7: In places like Los Angeles and Beverly Hills, they'll continue 473 00:26:21,040 --> 00:26:24,160 Speaker 7: to move more Republican, but that won't matter as those 474 00:26:24,240 --> 00:26:28,160 Speaker 7: places are non competitive ultimately statewide. 475 00:26:28,800 --> 00:26:31,359 Speaker 2: Okay, so this is fascinating. I love when you kind 476 00:26:31,400 --> 00:26:32,320 Speaker 2: of dive into the data. 477 00:26:32,800 --> 00:26:35,560 Speaker 6: What would jump out to me about what you said 478 00:26:36,000 --> 00:26:38,400 Speaker 6: is first of all, obviously we don't know who officially 479 00:26:38,440 --> 00:26:40,520 Speaker 6: the nominee is going to be, so I'm curious how 480 00:26:40,680 --> 00:26:44,080 Speaker 6: you would assess, you know, the Republican nominee in terms 481 00:26:44,160 --> 00:26:47,040 Speaker 6: of the likelihood of winning. And so Part one of 482 00:26:47,119 --> 00:26:50,800 Speaker 6: this is Nicky Haley, for instance, in that CNN poll 483 00:26:50,920 --> 00:26:54,919 Speaker 6: plus six, how would you assess Nicki Haley, Tim Scott, 484 00:26:55,760 --> 00:26:59,880 Speaker 6: Ron DeSantis, favek Ramaswami compared to Trump in the event 485 00:27:00,040 --> 00:27:01,760 Speaker 6: that Biden is going to be the nominee. 486 00:27:01,920 --> 00:27:04,320 Speaker 2: That's part one, But maybe I want. 487 00:27:04,200 --> 00:27:06,359 Speaker 6: To start with this part two with you, which is 488 00:27:07,359 --> 00:27:10,199 Speaker 6: what you just said, would suggest to me that there 489 00:27:10,280 --> 00:27:13,640 Speaker 6: may be a real opportunity for Republicans to win Nevada, 490 00:27:14,119 --> 00:27:18,520 Speaker 6: to win certainly Arizona, which both have substantial Hispanic communities, 491 00:27:18,560 --> 00:27:21,399 Speaker 6: given the fact that we're seeing Hispanic movement towards Trump. 492 00:27:21,880 --> 00:27:25,440 Speaker 6: Does it put New Mexico at all in play? Obviously 493 00:27:25,520 --> 00:27:28,160 Speaker 6: a lot of focus on the rust Belt, Georgia, New Hampshire, 494 00:27:28,520 --> 00:27:31,479 Speaker 6: But when you see the Southwest and you see Biden 495 00:27:31,600 --> 00:27:34,359 Speaker 6: losing some of that support outside of the traditional white 496 00:27:34,400 --> 00:27:37,760 Speaker 6: black window, Am I crazy? Or is the Southwest in 497 00:27:37,880 --> 00:27:39,000 Speaker 6: play for Republicans. 498 00:27:39,640 --> 00:27:41,480 Speaker 7: So let's tall with Nikki Haley for a second. The 499 00:27:41,560 --> 00:27:44,280 Speaker 7: reason that Haley was top plus six is because among 500 00:27:44,440 --> 00:27:48,479 Speaker 7: college educated white she was pop plus eight as opposed 501 00:27:48,520 --> 00:27:51,680 Speaker 7: to Trump, who was losing them by fourteen. So that 502 00:27:51,920 --> 00:27:56,160 Speaker 7: the entire swing for people like Nikki Haley is completely 503 00:27:56,200 --> 00:27:56,760 Speaker 7: because do you. 504 00:27:56,800 --> 00:27:57,520 Speaker 2: Think that's real. 505 00:27:57,760 --> 00:27:59,440 Speaker 6: Do you think that's real, by the way, that college 506 00:27:59,520 --> 00:28:02,480 Speaker 6: educated like Nicki Haley a lot more than they like Trump, 507 00:28:02,560 --> 00:28:04,440 Speaker 6: or do you think that's a statistical anomaly. 508 00:28:05,000 --> 00:28:08,600 Speaker 7: I think there's a definite demographic that like candidates who 509 00:28:09,119 --> 00:28:13,679 Speaker 7: won speak speak speak closer towards the middle on abortion, 510 00:28:13,800 --> 00:28:17,080 Speaker 7: which Nikki Hily does. She does have girl boss vibes, 511 00:28:17,080 --> 00:28:19,520 Speaker 7: which definitely signals a lot of people who you know, 512 00:28:19,720 --> 00:28:22,680 Speaker 7: want to have a female vice president possibly there. And 513 00:28:22,800 --> 00:28:26,040 Speaker 7: she hasn't been mired in some of the uglier culture 514 00:28:26,080 --> 00:28:29,040 Speaker 7: war fights over the last year. She's basically been almost 515 00:28:29,119 --> 00:28:32,639 Speaker 7: uncompletely unnoticed. She is very much what a generic Republican 516 00:28:32,720 --> 00:28:35,080 Speaker 7: like John Kasik would have looked like in twenty sixteen. 517 00:28:35,560 --> 00:28:38,719 Speaker 7: I think the longer people hear about her, those numbers 518 00:28:38,800 --> 00:28:42,320 Speaker 7: might change. But I think that's partially part of the 519 00:28:42,400 --> 00:28:45,440 Speaker 7: reason why you know, Nikiely does not have a huge name. 520 00:28:45,520 --> 00:28:49,160 Speaker 7: I d DeSantis does better with college educated whites as well. 521 00:28:49,240 --> 00:28:53,120 Speaker 7: That's why he just has lower overall name ID. So 522 00:28:53,240 --> 00:28:55,400 Speaker 7: he's tied with Biden as opposed to Trump, who's getting 523 00:28:55,440 --> 00:28:59,320 Speaker 7: by one. But it's all insignificant. But among college educated whites, 524 00:28:59,640 --> 00:29:03,200 Speaker 7: everyone and performs better than Trump. And that's just I mean, 525 00:29:03,520 --> 00:29:05,640 Speaker 7: Trump supporters might not like that a number, but that 526 00:29:05,760 --> 00:29:09,280 Speaker 7: is exactly the truth. And they all basically perform as 527 00:29:09,400 --> 00:29:14,080 Speaker 7: well or better with Trump. Among non college educated whites, 528 00:29:14,200 --> 00:29:17,080 Speaker 7: this group that apparently Trump could only win, which was 529 00:29:17,320 --> 00:29:19,440 Speaker 7: you know what Trump supporters like to sit there and say, 530 00:29:19,600 --> 00:29:22,320 Speaker 7: is not true. Glenn Younkin one non college educated whites 531 00:29:22,320 --> 00:29:25,080 Speaker 7: by larger margins than Trump did in Virginia, the Santas 532 00:29:25,080 --> 00:29:28,760 Speaker 7: did in Florida. There's been the governor jawined Is in Ohio. 533 00:29:29,200 --> 00:29:31,000 Speaker 7: So I mean there's a lot to sit there and 534 00:29:31,120 --> 00:29:34,160 Speaker 7: say when it comes to the idea that only Trump 535 00:29:34,200 --> 00:29:37,920 Speaker 7: can win this portion of voters. The question of can 536 00:29:38,000 --> 00:29:41,719 Speaker 7: the Southwest change New Mexico would take a large, large 537 00:29:42,080 --> 00:29:45,120 Speaker 7: poll to sit there and make that competitive. Colorado is 538 00:29:45,440 --> 00:29:49,840 Speaker 7: you know gone, Nevada has a chance, Arizona has a chance, 539 00:29:49,880 --> 00:29:54,200 Speaker 7: but Let's say you do the Southwest. You know, you 540 00:29:54,280 --> 00:29:56,840 Speaker 7: try to win the Southwest states and by catering heavily 541 00:29:56,920 --> 00:30:00,880 Speaker 7: to Hispanics and you put more emphasis in places like Arizona, Nevada, Texas, 542 00:30:00,960 --> 00:30:04,840 Speaker 7: New Mexico, even if they are Republican. We're to sweep Arizona, Nevada. 543 00:30:04,880 --> 00:30:06,920 Speaker 7: I think New Mexico might be too heavy to lift. 544 00:30:07,760 --> 00:30:11,400 Speaker 7: It's worth seventeen Electoral College votes. You're not going to 545 00:30:11,440 --> 00:30:15,120 Speaker 7: win the presidency like that. There's the states that really 546 00:30:15,200 --> 00:30:22,760 Speaker 7: do matter are still racially binary states North Carolina, Georgia, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, 547 00:30:23,640 --> 00:30:28,920 Speaker 7: New Hampshire. Those are all ninety black white states when 548 00:30:28,960 --> 00:30:31,040 Speaker 7: it comes to the voting electric The rest where the 549 00:30:31,160 --> 00:30:34,560 Speaker 7: Hispanics live mostly are in very non competitive states right 550 00:30:34,640 --> 00:30:38,120 Speaker 7: now the ones who are competitive. Florida is slightly competitive. 551 00:30:38,120 --> 00:30:41,440 Speaker 7: I guess Texas is a very very important Arizona and Nevada. 552 00:30:42,040 --> 00:30:44,960 Speaker 7: Republicans can't afford to lose the two states are most 553 00:30:45,040 --> 00:30:47,040 Speaker 7: likely to win there, and they need to win Arizona back. 554 00:30:47,400 --> 00:30:49,280 Speaker 7: And at the same exact time, the fight will be 555 00:30:49,360 --> 00:30:53,080 Speaker 7: completely in the Ross Belt and in New Hampshire and 556 00:30:53,400 --> 00:30:55,080 Speaker 7: North Carolina real quick. 557 00:30:55,120 --> 00:30:56,640 Speaker 2: Ryn before we let you go. And I just would 558 00:30:56,840 --> 00:31:00,200 Speaker 2: again say Ryan's National Populist newsletter on substack to get 559 00:31:00,200 --> 00:31:02,400 Speaker 2: a subsect dot com. I'm a subscriber. I think he 560 00:31:02,440 --> 00:31:05,320 Speaker 2: does a great job. Do the Democrats think that if 561 00:31:05,320 --> 00:31:07,280 Speaker 2: they had to, they could make Kamala win in twenty 562 00:31:07,360 --> 00:31:09,920 Speaker 2: twenty four if Biden did have let's say Biden had 563 00:31:10,080 --> 00:31:12,120 Speaker 2: a health a true health issue. Do you think they're 564 00:31:12,160 --> 00:31:14,040 Speaker 2: confident that they could push they could kind of do 565 00:31:14,120 --> 00:31:17,120 Speaker 2: the Fetterman routine and just the candidate doesn't matter. 566 00:31:18,600 --> 00:31:22,280 Speaker 7: I mean, look, I think that the Fetterman routine, it 567 00:31:22,400 --> 00:31:25,440 Speaker 7: matters who you're running opposed to. Does it does the 568 00:31:25,520 --> 00:31:28,160 Speaker 7: canon Does the Republican candidate energize people who show up 569 00:31:28,240 --> 00:31:30,960 Speaker 7: against them? What is working in Republicans favor is the 570 00:31:31,000 --> 00:31:34,640 Speaker 7: economy is garbage. Everyone knows it, and Biden, for example, 571 00:31:35,160 --> 00:31:39,040 Speaker 7: is not. Biden's not doesn't seem to be healthy, and 572 00:31:39,160 --> 00:31:42,280 Speaker 7: Kamala is not likable. The thing that is working against 573 00:31:42,320 --> 00:31:46,040 Speaker 7: the Republicans is this mere demographics of the country changing. 574 00:31:46,440 --> 00:31:49,000 Speaker 7: Probably a two million Trump a million to two million 575 00:31:49,000 --> 00:31:52,200 Speaker 7: Trump voters have passed away since the last election. Millions 576 00:31:52,280 --> 00:31:54,800 Speaker 7: of gen zs who will be first time voters are 577 00:31:54,840 --> 00:31:58,080 Speaker 7: overwhelming a democrat. Millions of immigrants who have been legalized 578 00:31:58,160 --> 00:32:00,840 Speaker 7: or overwhelmingly democrat, or they went to the nationalization process 579 00:32:01,360 --> 00:32:05,800 Speaker 7: that's working in democrats favor now shifts and Hispanics shifts, 580 00:32:05,840 --> 00:32:08,800 Speaker 7: and Asians ships and working class people they matter significantly, 581 00:32:09,240 --> 00:32:12,040 Speaker 7: But a lot of despite will be on to college 582 00:32:12,160 --> 00:32:14,360 Speaker 7: educated white people. Are they motivated to sit there a 583 00:32:14,400 --> 00:32:17,000 Speaker 7: white college educated white people in suburbs. Are they motivated 584 00:32:17,280 --> 00:32:19,240 Speaker 7: by hatred of a certain candidate to sit there and 585 00:32:19,320 --> 00:32:22,000 Speaker 7: vote against them? Or will the talk of what issues 586 00:32:22,200 --> 00:32:23,000 Speaker 7: matter more than this? 587 00:32:23,840 --> 00:32:26,560 Speaker 2: Ryan ger Dusk, everybody, Ryan, thanks for all the spot analysis, 588 00:32:26,600 --> 00:32:27,440 Speaker 2: my friend. Great talk to you. 589 00:32:27,560 --> 00:32:27,840 Speaker 3: Thank you. 590 00:32:28,400 --> 00:32:28,600 Speaker 5: Bike. 591 00:32:29,480 --> 00:32:31,200 Speaker 2: Look, it takes a lot to write a book, many 592 00:32:31,280 --> 00:32:33,280 Speaker 2: more hours than you'd think. I know about this. I'm 593 00:32:33,280 --> 00:32:35,200 Speaker 2: going through it right now. And Clay Well, he just 594 00:32:35,280 --> 00:32:37,640 Speaker 2: had his book come out. It's a grind, but it's 595 00:32:37,640 --> 00:32:40,760 Speaker 2: a labor of love. We welcome our friend Dutch Mendenhall 596 00:32:40,840 --> 00:32:43,160 Speaker 2: to the Writers Club. By day. He's the co founder 597 00:32:43,200 --> 00:32:45,920 Speaker 2: and CEO of rad Diversified and the president of the 598 00:32:45,960 --> 00:32:49,720 Speaker 2: Alternative Investment Association, and now he's become the author of 599 00:32:49,760 --> 00:32:52,600 Speaker 2: a new book titled Money Shackles. That's a term he 600 00:32:52,680 --> 00:32:56,000 Speaker 2: coined for the financial hamstrings that many Americans face. It's debt, 601 00:32:56,080 --> 00:32:59,400 Speaker 2: student loans, car loans, home mortgages, each of them he 602 00:32:59,560 --> 00:33:02,560 Speaker 2: views as burdens. He believes it's the wrong thought, however, 603 00:33:02,680 --> 00:33:05,280 Speaker 2: for you to not understand how best to handle this 604 00:33:05,440 --> 00:33:08,160 Speaker 2: kind of debt. He'll give you his strategies to use 605 00:33:08,280 --> 00:33:10,520 Speaker 2: debt to your advantage. So use debt in the way 606 00:33:10,600 --> 00:33:14,200 Speaker 2: you should use it and tap into alternative lucrative investment 607 00:33:14,320 --> 00:33:17,680 Speaker 2: vehicles to redefine your American dream. Jush is on a 608 00:33:17,720 --> 00:33:20,040 Speaker 2: mission to be at the forefront of the greatest financial 609 00:33:20,160 --> 00:33:23,520 Speaker 2: change in American history. Get ready for his redefined American 610 00:33:23,600 --> 00:33:27,880 Speaker 2: dream with money shackles. Learn more at the rad dot com. 611 00:33:28,000 --> 00:33:33,200 Speaker 2: That's th E r a d tharrad dot com. Break 612 00:33:33,280 --> 00:33:36,680 Speaker 2: free from your money shackles. Go to tharrad dot. 613 00:33:36,600 --> 00:33:40,320 Speaker 1: Com, download and use than you Clay and Buck app. 614 00:33:41,160 --> 00:33:42,520 Speaker 1: Listen to the program live. 615 00:33:42,720 --> 00:33:44,520 Speaker 2: Catch up on any part of this show you. 616 00:33:44,600 --> 00:33:47,600 Speaker 1: Might have missed. State current with what Clay and Buck 617 00:33:47,640 --> 00:33:50,720 Speaker 1: are saying on TV. Fine the Clay and Buck app 618 00:33:50,760 --> 00:33:52,120 Speaker 1: in your app store and make it. 619 00:33:52,200 --> 00:33:55,160 Speaker 6: Part of your Dave Welcome Back in Clay Travis Buck 620 00:33:55,240 --> 00:33:57,719 Speaker 6: Sexton Show. Appreciate all of you hanging out with us. 621 00:33:57,960 --> 00:34:00,360 Speaker 6: We are rolling through the Friday edition of the program. 622 00:34:00,480 --> 00:34:03,120 Speaker 6: By the way, Carrie Lake is going to join us 623 00:34:03,240 --> 00:34:06,680 Speaker 6: at the top of the next hour. She may be 624 00:34:06,880 --> 00:34:09,360 Speaker 6: running for the Senate in what is likely to be 625 00:34:09,719 --> 00:34:13,080 Speaker 6: an incredibly contested race. We don't know what Cinema is 626 00:34:13,120 --> 00:34:16,760 Speaker 6: gonna do. The current senator there, Ruben Diego, I believe, 627 00:34:16,920 --> 00:34:21,120 Speaker 6: has already announced he's the presumptive Democrat candidate. What's going 628 00:34:21,200 --> 00:34:23,200 Speaker 6: to happen out there. We'll talk about that with Carrie 629 00:34:23,400 --> 00:34:27,480 Speaker 6: and more. But I wanted to play this because there 630 00:34:27,600 --> 00:34:31,360 Speaker 6: is certainly a large segment of the left in this 631 00:34:31,560 --> 00:34:36,520 Speaker 6: country that is driven insane by Donald Trump. But it's 632 00:34:36,640 --> 00:34:40,160 Speaker 6: also worth it noting that there's a huge segment of 633 00:34:40,440 --> 00:34:44,160 Speaker 6: otherwise Republican voters that are also driven insane. And I 634 00:34:44,239 --> 00:34:48,200 Speaker 6: saw this clip from Dick Cheney, and Dick Cheney said, 635 00:34:48,239 --> 00:34:51,160 Speaker 6: and I can't believe this is real. He says, in 636 00:34:51,280 --> 00:34:56,160 Speaker 6: our nation's two hundred and forty six year history, there's 637 00:34:56,360 --> 00:35:00,000 Speaker 6: never been a greater threat than Donald Truy. 638 00:35:00,280 --> 00:35:00,680 Speaker 2: Listen to this. 639 00:35:00,960 --> 00:35:03,600 Speaker 3: In our nation's two hundred and forty six year history, 640 00:35:03,719 --> 00:35:05,959 Speaker 3: there has never been an individual who is a greater 641 00:35:06,080 --> 00:35:08,680 Speaker 3: threat to our republic than Donald Trump. He tried to 642 00:35:08,719 --> 00:35:12,200 Speaker 3: steal the last election, using lies and violence to keep 643 00:35:12,239 --> 00:35:14,920 Speaker 3: himself in power after the voters had rejected him. He 644 00:35:15,040 --> 00:35:17,799 Speaker 3: is a coward. A real man wouldn't lie to his supporters. 645 00:35:17,960 --> 00:35:20,719 Speaker 3: He lost his election, and he lost big. I know it. 646 00:35:20,920 --> 00:35:24,359 Speaker 3: He knows it, and deep down I think most Republicans. 647 00:35:23,840 --> 00:35:28,920 Speaker 6: Know, Like Okay buck two and forty six year history, 648 00:35:30,040 --> 00:35:34,759 Speaker 6: Pearl Harbor nine to eleven, the Civil War. I feel 649 00:35:34,800 --> 00:35:36,640 Speaker 6: like there's been a lot of things that we have 650 00:35:36,840 --> 00:35:40,320 Speaker 6: gone through that were far more dangerous to the Republic 651 00:35:40,960 --> 00:35:42,120 Speaker 6: than Donald Trump. 652 00:35:42,640 --> 00:35:45,480 Speaker 2: Well, when people say things like what change just said, 653 00:35:47,680 --> 00:35:51,840 Speaker 2: it undermines any faith you could have in their overall judgment, 654 00:35:51,920 --> 00:35:54,960 Speaker 2: because that's it's a crazy thing to say. It's not 655 00:35:55,040 --> 00:35:57,919 Speaker 2: an incorrect thing to say, it's an absurd thing to say. 656 00:35:58,680 --> 00:36:02,319 Speaker 2: And I alsoppreciated if somebody, now, this is never going 657 00:36:02,360 --> 00:36:05,279 Speaker 2: to happen, but somebody who's like Cheney, a who term 658 00:36:05,400 --> 00:36:08,080 Speaker 2: vice president, a former White House Chief of staff. I mean, 659 00:36:08,520 --> 00:36:12,640 Speaker 2: he is gop Old School royalty. Let's be honest. Some 660 00:36:12,719 --> 00:36:15,160 Speaker 2: people said he was basically running the Bush ADMINISTRAI yat 661 00:36:15,160 --> 00:36:18,239 Speaker 2: fore years if he's going to say that he doesn't 662 00:36:18,320 --> 00:36:20,960 Speaker 2: like Donald Trump. Okay, I mean, first of all, he's 663 00:36:21,000 --> 00:36:24,160 Speaker 2: of course entitled, But how about pointing out that the 664 00:36:24,239 --> 00:36:28,239 Speaker 2: Democrats are locking up political opponents. Is that not a 665 00:36:28,320 --> 00:36:31,320 Speaker 2: threat as well? Is that not an issue worthy of 666 00:36:31,840 --> 00:36:34,400 Speaker 2: speaking out? So when you only do it on the 667 00:36:34,480 --> 00:36:37,320 Speaker 2: one side and pretend to be principled, I think a 668 00:36:37,360 --> 00:36:41,720 Speaker 2: lot of people very understandably question not just the motives, 669 00:36:41,840 --> 00:36:45,640 Speaker 2: but the base ideology of these individuals and what are 670 00:36:45,680 --> 00:36:46,520 Speaker 2: they really all about. 671 00:36:47,160 --> 00:36:50,320 Speaker 6: I think Biden is by far a bigger threat to 672 00:36:50,400 --> 00:36:52,640 Speaker 6: the country than Donald Trump ever was.