1
00:00:01,040 --> 00:00:06,440
Speaker 1: This is the Action Network podcast, but this one is good.

2
00:00:08,160 --> 00:00:08,479
Speaker 1: All right.

3
00:00:08,520 --> 00:00:09,040
Speaker 2: Here we go.

4
00:00:10,600 --> 00:00:15,560
Speaker 1: Throwing in so speak. We're saying it's a cash to stop.

5
00:00:16,400 --> 00:00:19,360
Speaker 3: We see most gamblers when they go to gamble, they

6
00:00:19,400 --> 00:00:20,720
Speaker 3: go to wind.

7
00:00:20,840 --> 00:00:24,239
Speaker 2: That's incredible, big bank, small banks.

8
00:00:24,280 --> 00:00:25,280
Speaker 1: I like to make money.

9
00:00:25,360 --> 00:00:29,120
Speaker 2: All right, this is the ultimate kaba you want to pass.

10
00:00:31,480 --> 00:00:33,199
Speaker 1: And we are underway.

11
00:00:34,680 --> 00:00:38,800
Speaker 4: Welcome to the Action Network podcast. The preseason is a

12
00:00:38,920 --> 00:00:42,000
Speaker 4: wrap and we are officially one week away from real

13
00:00:42,200 --> 00:00:45,199
Speaker 4: NFL football. Today, we are coming at you with our

14
00:00:45,320 --> 00:00:49,159
Speaker 4: NFC preview blitz. We are blitzing through the entire NFC

15
00:00:49,159 --> 00:00:51,280
Speaker 4: and forty five minutes our last So just a couple

16
00:00:51,360 --> 00:00:54,480
Speaker 4: of minutes and our best bet for each team. Joining

17
00:00:54,480 --> 00:00:57,560
Speaker 4: me as alas is my co host, Raheem Palmer. Raheem,

18
00:00:57,560 --> 00:01:00,800
Speaker 4: You're ready to fly through these NFC teams? Oh yeah,

19
00:01:00,800 --> 00:01:03,760
Speaker 4: without a doubt. I mean, you know, we're really excited

20
00:01:03,760 --> 00:01:06,320
Speaker 4: for the NFL season. We're just about a week and

21
00:01:06,360 --> 00:01:10,399
Speaker 4: a half away, so let's go. All right, Well, before

22
00:01:10,400 --> 00:01:12,440
Speaker 4: we get started, don't forget to check out our Win

23
00:01:12,520 --> 00:01:15,480
Speaker 4: Total podcasts right here in the Action Network. We drew

24
00:01:15,560 --> 00:01:19,160
Speaker 4: up four hours of delectable team win goodness last week

25
00:01:19,200 --> 00:01:22,280
Speaker 4: from Stocky, Chris Raybond, and Sean Kerner. Make sure to

26
00:01:22,319 --> 00:01:24,759
Speaker 4: listen to those if you haven't already. We're not really

27
00:01:24,800 --> 00:01:27,280
Speaker 4: doing much with traditional over unders today, but just what

28
00:01:27,440 --> 00:01:29,480
Speaker 4: anything else on the board is in play? So super

29
00:01:29,480 --> 00:01:33,520
Speaker 4: Bowl Odds Conference, Odds Division Winner, order of finish, alternate

30
00:01:33,560 --> 00:01:36,399
Speaker 4: over under lines pretty much anything that we come up

31
00:01:36,440 --> 00:01:39,000
Speaker 4: with to win you some cash. So, as always, oli

32
00:01:39,000 --> 00:01:41,360
Speaker 4: of our odds today are from betdowm GM, the official

33
00:01:41,400 --> 00:01:44,840
Speaker 4: odds provider of the Action Network podcast, and just kind

34
00:01:44,840 --> 00:01:47,200
Speaker 4: of let you know where this is going, we are

35
00:01:47,200 --> 00:01:49,120
Speaker 4: going through teams today in the order that Raheem and

36
00:01:49,160 --> 00:01:51,640
Speaker 4: I are ranking them from top to bottom. So we

37
00:01:51,720 --> 00:01:54,800
Speaker 4: put all sixteen teams into a tier. Five tiers so

38
00:01:54,920 --> 00:01:57,640
Speaker 4: teams that can win the Super Bowl, win a playoff game,

39
00:01:58,000 --> 00:02:00,760
Speaker 4: teams that can make the playoffs, team that contend for

40
00:02:00,800 --> 00:02:03,200
Speaker 4: the playoffs, and then crossoffs. So we'll kind of talk

41
00:02:03,240 --> 00:02:05,720
Speaker 4: about that as we go. But let's start the blitz

42
00:02:05,720 --> 00:02:07,640
Speaker 4: out with the team that pretty much everyone has right

43
00:02:07,640 --> 00:02:10,760
Speaker 4: at the top, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. So for him,

44
00:02:11,040 --> 00:02:13,600
Speaker 4: the champs are back, basically running it back with the

45
00:02:13,800 --> 00:02:15,960
Speaker 4: entire roster. Do we even need to talk about the

46
00:02:15,960 --> 00:02:17,799
Speaker 4: other fifteen teams, of.

47
00:02:17,760 --> 00:02:18,240
Speaker 1: Course we do.

48
00:02:18,280 --> 00:02:21,240
Speaker 3: I mean, this is the NFL and the NFL there's

49
00:02:21,320 --> 00:02:25,399
Speaker 3: no like certainty. Injuries happen, of course, you know, teams

50
00:02:25,440 --> 00:02:27,679
Speaker 3: don't perform the same way they did last year. But

51
00:02:27,720 --> 00:02:30,120
Speaker 3: I think when it comes to the Buccaneers, they had

52
00:02:30,160 --> 00:02:33,480
Speaker 3: the advantage of actually they figured it out late late

53
00:02:33,800 --> 00:02:36,480
Speaker 3: last season. I mean, you know, Brady and Aarons, they

54
00:02:36,520 --> 00:02:38,800
Speaker 3: really weren't on the same page to start last season.

55
00:02:39,000 --> 00:02:40,160
Speaker 1: You know, they didn't.

56
00:02:39,919 --> 00:02:41,639
Speaker 3: Run a lot of play action, they didn't run a

57
00:02:41,639 --> 00:02:44,079
Speaker 3: lot of pre snap motion, and that's what they started

58
00:02:44,120 --> 00:02:46,960
Speaker 3: to run as the year going or went on, and

59
00:02:47,040 --> 00:02:49,239
Speaker 3: you saw, you know, towards the end of the year

60
00:02:49,520 --> 00:02:51,920
Speaker 3: the Bucks didn't win, they didn't lose, and you know,

61
00:02:51,960 --> 00:02:53,440
Speaker 3: they end up winning the Super Bowl. They have one

62
00:02:53,440 --> 00:02:55,440
Speaker 3: of the best defenses in the league. You know, they

63
00:02:55,520 --> 00:02:58,600
Speaker 3: have a vaunted front seven, you know they I mean,

64
00:02:58,639 --> 00:03:00,560
Speaker 3: they have a great secondary with.

65
00:03:00,440 --> 00:03:01,600
Speaker 1: You know, a lot of the young guys.

66
00:03:01,639 --> 00:03:03,919
Speaker 3: So I think this team, this is a team that's

67
00:03:03,919 --> 00:03:06,359
Speaker 3: gonna be there when it's all said done. So I think,

68
00:03:06,440 --> 00:03:08,400
Speaker 3: you know, for me, it's still worth to talk about

69
00:03:08,400 --> 00:03:11,000
Speaker 3: other teams. But you know, this Bucks team with year

70
00:03:11,120 --> 00:03:13,080
Speaker 3: two in Tom Brady and arians.

71
00:03:13,160 --> 00:03:14,280
Speaker 1: You know, they should be fine.

72
00:03:14,680 --> 00:03:15,840
Speaker 2: Yeah. One thing that.

73
00:03:15,760 --> 00:03:18,120
Speaker 4: I just can't quite get pasted in my head is

74
00:03:18,200 --> 00:03:20,519
Speaker 4: wondering if this season might turn out to be a

75
00:03:20,560 --> 00:03:24,080
Speaker 4: little bit of the opposite of last season, meaning like

76
00:03:24,200 --> 00:03:26,280
Speaker 4: last year what we saw is what you just said.

77
00:03:26,280 --> 00:03:29,080
Speaker 4: They started out a little slower, and then they really

78
00:03:29,080 --> 00:03:31,560
Speaker 4: picked up speed as it went on. The offense really

79
00:03:31,600 --> 00:03:34,280
Speaker 4: took off the second half. They peaked for the playoffs.

80
00:03:34,360 --> 00:03:37,760
Speaker 4: It all looked awesome. I worry a little bit. It's

81
00:03:37,760 --> 00:03:41,520
Speaker 4: just a gut instinct that they might peak early and

82
00:03:41,560 --> 00:03:44,000
Speaker 4: then maybe start to fade a little bit, Like I

83
00:03:44,040 --> 00:03:47,360
Speaker 4: wonder if they might be this juggernaut regular season team.

84
00:03:47,520 --> 00:03:51,280
Speaker 4: Everything is lined up right now, but a few hidden concerns.

85
00:03:51,880 --> 00:03:56,240
Speaker 4: On offense, the line is definitely the weakest part. It's good,

86
00:03:56,440 --> 00:03:58,640
Speaker 4: but there are a little bit of question marks there.

87
00:03:58,680 --> 00:04:02,560
Speaker 4: There's some regression possible. On defense, the secondary is the

88
00:04:02,560 --> 00:04:05,880
Speaker 4: weakest part. Line and secondary are the two areas where

89
00:04:05,920 --> 00:04:08,280
Speaker 4: the wrong injury or the wrong regression can like really

90
00:04:08,320 --> 00:04:12,560
Speaker 4: tank your season. They're really rough on special teams. Last

91
00:04:12,640 --> 00:04:14,640
Speaker 4: year they were the healthiest team in football, So that's

92
00:04:14,640 --> 00:04:17,400
Speaker 4: the thing that usually regresses I just wonder if they

93
00:04:17,440 --> 00:04:20,719
Speaker 4: might look really good and just crush teams for a while,

94
00:04:21,440 --> 00:04:24,040
Speaker 4: but then maybe start to fade a little bit later on.

95
00:04:24,640 --> 00:04:27,480
Speaker 4: So for me, I'm actually looking to just make a

96
00:04:27,520 --> 00:04:29,960
Speaker 4: safe play on the Bucks. My best bet for Tampa

97
00:04:30,040 --> 00:04:33,600
Speaker 4: Bay is just twelve or more wins. We're seventeen game

98
00:04:33,680 --> 00:04:35,560
Speaker 4: season now, so I just need to get to twelve

99
00:04:35,560 --> 00:04:39,320
Speaker 4: and five are better. That's at minus one thirty's. I

100
00:04:39,400 --> 00:04:41,680
Speaker 4: just I don't see how this team goes eleven and

101
00:04:41,720 --> 00:04:45,479
Speaker 4: six or worse in less like a Tom Brady injury

102
00:04:45,560 --> 00:04:48,960
Speaker 4: or cast trophic falloff happens. So I'm sticking with the soft,

103
00:04:49,040 --> 00:04:52,400
Speaker 4: easy schedule, easy win. I might look for my spot

104
00:04:52,440 --> 00:04:54,720
Speaker 4: to bet them later. What do you like for Tampa.

105
00:04:55,120 --> 00:04:56,880
Speaker 1: I like the exact fitness in position.

106
00:04:57,000 --> 00:04:59,320
Speaker 3: They have Tampa Bay at minus one eighty five, but

107
00:04:59,360 --> 00:05:02,760
Speaker 3: there's certain out there. They have Tampa Baya to win

108
00:05:02,839 --> 00:05:06,680
Speaker 3: the division at minus two forty, but they have them

109
00:05:06,680 --> 00:05:09,240
Speaker 3: to win first place in the division at minus one

110
00:05:09,279 --> 00:05:11,240
Speaker 3: eighty five, So take the minus one eighty five. I

111
00:05:11,279 --> 00:05:13,080
Speaker 3: think the Saints are going to take a step back

112
00:05:13,400 --> 00:05:15,640
Speaker 3: this year. We don't know what's going on with Michael Thomas,

113
00:05:15,920 --> 00:05:17,240
Speaker 3: Jameis Winston, is.

114
00:05:19,160 --> 00:05:19,680
Speaker 1: I love him.

115
00:05:19,800 --> 00:05:22,160
Speaker 3: I'm a Jamis truper, but you know, we know he

116
00:05:22,200 --> 00:05:24,640
Speaker 3: could turn the ball over. I mean, the defense is

117
00:05:24,640 --> 00:05:27,360
Speaker 3: getting older, the Falcons are, you know, there's still a

118
00:05:27,400 --> 00:05:27,920
Speaker 3: ways away.

119
00:05:28,400 --> 00:05:29,560
Speaker 1: Same with the Panthers.

120
00:05:29,600 --> 00:05:33,039
Speaker 3: So take them minus one eighty five to finish first

121
00:05:33,080 --> 00:05:33,719
Speaker 3: in the division.

122
00:05:34,040 --> 00:05:34,480
Speaker 2: I like that.

123
00:05:34,560 --> 00:05:36,440
Speaker 4: It definitely feels like the division is kind of a

124
00:05:36,480 --> 00:05:40,400
Speaker 4: wrap for them. So let's move to the Green Bay Packers.

125
00:05:40,440 --> 00:05:43,400
Speaker 4: They are the second team that they are my only

126
00:05:43,440 --> 00:05:46,240
Speaker 4: other team that is a Super Bowl contender in that

127
00:05:46,320 --> 00:05:49,080
Speaker 4: top tier for me. In the NFC, they're number two

128
00:05:49,120 --> 00:05:51,919
Speaker 4: for both of us. So the Packers kind of like

129
00:05:52,000 --> 00:05:54,800
Speaker 4: the Bucks are basically seem like they're running everything back

130
00:05:54,839 --> 00:05:57,240
Speaker 4: for the most part. They didn't really make any big

131
00:05:57,279 --> 00:05:59,680
Speaker 4: ticket additions to this team, much to the chagrin of

132
00:05:59,680 --> 00:06:03,839
Speaker 4: Aaron Rodgers every single season. But this is a good team.

133
00:06:04,279 --> 00:06:06,719
Speaker 4: They went thirteen and three each of the last two years.

134
00:06:07,360 --> 00:06:11,280
Speaker 4: I love that they've got Aaron Rodgers, David Baktiari at

135
00:06:11,320 --> 00:06:14,360
Speaker 4: tackle once it gets healthy, soon it's a Darius Smith

136
00:06:14,440 --> 00:06:18,520
Speaker 4: rushing the passer jyr Alexander. Those are four absolute premium

137
00:06:18,520 --> 00:06:21,160
Speaker 4: players at what to me are the four most important

138
00:06:21,160 --> 00:06:24,960
Speaker 4: positions in football, and I was a little worried about

139
00:06:25,000 --> 00:06:28,240
Speaker 4: the regression factors. But it's just a strong, talented team.

140
00:06:28,360 --> 00:06:31,440
Speaker 4: I have them top seven or eight on offense and defense,

141
00:06:31,520 --> 00:06:34,120
Speaker 4: and Tampa's the only other team in football that is

142
00:06:34,160 --> 00:06:36,640
Speaker 4: both of those things. I just think the floor is

143
00:06:36,760 --> 00:06:40,200
Speaker 4: very high. I also don't love the division, so I

144
00:06:40,200 --> 00:06:43,640
Speaker 4: think that there's a lot of win possibilities here. So

145
00:06:43,760 --> 00:06:46,040
Speaker 4: I just think green Bay it feels like we're sleeping

146
00:06:46,040 --> 00:06:48,240
Speaker 4: on them a little bit. I feel like you don't

147
00:06:48,279 --> 00:06:49,679
Speaker 4: like Green Bay as much as me, though.

148
00:06:50,440 --> 00:06:52,320
Speaker 3: I mean, for me, when I look at Green Bay,

149
00:06:52,360 --> 00:06:54,560
Speaker 3: I think the biggest issues that I have with them

150
00:06:54,640 --> 00:06:58,839
Speaker 3: is that first they've overperformed their pot daggery expectation while

151
00:06:58,839 --> 00:07:02,000
Speaker 3: over three games two years now.

152
00:07:02,600 --> 00:07:04,760
Speaker 1: I mean, they also had some losses on the offensive line.

153
00:07:04,800 --> 00:07:08,080
Speaker 3: You know, they lost Lane Taylor, they lost Corey Linsley,

154
00:07:08,720 --> 00:07:12,400
Speaker 3: David Baktiari is out. But even despite that, I think

155
00:07:12,480 --> 00:07:15,120
Speaker 3: they're in a weak division. You know, the Bears don't

156
00:07:15,160 --> 00:07:18,560
Speaker 3: have an offensive line, the defense is taking a step back.

157
00:07:18,920 --> 00:07:21,520
Speaker 1: The Lions are trash. Minnesota.

158
00:07:22,160 --> 00:07:24,160
Speaker 3: I think they could be a worthy challenger to them,

159
00:07:24,280 --> 00:07:27,000
Speaker 3: but to me, it feels like the Packers are going

160
00:07:27,040 --> 00:07:29,760
Speaker 3: to win this division by default. I mean, they still

161
00:07:29,760 --> 00:07:32,880
Speaker 3: have a great offense. I do expect Aaron Rodgers to

162
00:07:32,920 --> 00:07:35,200
Speaker 3: take a step back this year, but you know, I

163
00:07:35,280 --> 00:07:37,800
Speaker 3: just think they're in a division where it makes it

164
00:07:37,840 --> 00:07:38,560
Speaker 3: easier for them.

165
00:07:38,600 --> 00:07:40,800
Speaker 1: And you know, one of the reasons why, you know.

166
00:07:40,920 --> 00:07:42,800
Speaker 3: I spoke about this before in the previous podcast, I

167
00:07:42,800 --> 00:07:44,120
Speaker 3: took Aaron Rodgers to win MVP.

168
00:07:44,240 --> 00:07:46,000
Speaker 1: I took the Packers to win the super Bowl and

169
00:07:46,040 --> 00:07:47,000
Speaker 1: win the NFC.

170
00:07:46,760 --> 00:07:49,680
Speaker 3: Last year is because the best way to get to

171
00:07:49,720 --> 00:07:52,520
Speaker 3: the super Bowl and get that number one seed is

172
00:07:53,080 --> 00:07:55,400
Speaker 3: to beat up on your division. And if they're in

173
00:07:55,440 --> 00:07:57,920
Speaker 3: one of the weakest divisions, then you know they have

174
00:07:58,000 --> 00:07:58,920
Speaker 3: the opportunity there.

175
00:07:58,960 --> 00:08:01,280
Speaker 1: So for me, I think there's some value in a

176
00:08:01,320 --> 00:08:03,040
Speaker 1: package to win a s at plus.

177
00:08:02,800 --> 00:08:04,760
Speaker 3: Twelve hundred, and I also think there's some value on

178
00:08:04,800 --> 00:08:06,920
Speaker 3: them to win a division at minus one forty five.

179
00:08:07,360 --> 00:08:09,960
Speaker 4: Yeah, I like that. I'm with you on those. I

180
00:08:10,360 --> 00:08:13,400
Speaker 4: played the Packers on one of our last podcasts just to.

181
00:08:13,400 --> 00:08:14,880
Speaker 2: Win the most games in the NFL.

182
00:08:15,440 --> 00:08:17,680
Speaker 4: I don't know if I totally believe that this team

183
00:08:17,760 --> 00:08:20,080
Speaker 4: is gonna be the best in the playoffs. I think

184
00:08:20,120 --> 00:08:22,600
Speaker 4: that there may be like third, fourth, fifth, somewhere in

185
00:08:22,640 --> 00:08:25,600
Speaker 4: that range, but they're plus twenty two hundred to finish

186
00:08:25,600 --> 00:08:28,120
Speaker 4: with the best record, and we just saw thirteen and

187
00:08:28,160 --> 00:08:31,840
Speaker 4: three thirteen and three. They did overperform expectations, but that's

188
00:08:31,840 --> 00:08:34,880
Speaker 4: what happens when you have Rogers doing Rogers things, and

189
00:08:34,920 --> 00:08:36,880
Speaker 4: I just feel like this is very easy to see

190
00:08:36,880 --> 00:08:40,680
Speaker 4: them thirteen and four, fourteen and three, NFC one seed.

191
00:08:41,559 --> 00:08:44,920
Speaker 4: I feel like at plus twenty two hundred, that's a

192
00:08:44,920 --> 00:08:47,439
Speaker 4: good number. Looking at the schedule too, they could be

193
00:08:47,480 --> 00:08:50,079
Speaker 4: eight to oh heading into Kansas City for what would

194
00:08:50,080 --> 00:08:52,080
Speaker 4: be the game of the season at that point, so

195
00:08:52,679 --> 00:08:54,679
Speaker 4: I like that. I also like you can bet them

196
00:08:54,679 --> 00:08:56,640
Speaker 4: to go six to zero in the division at plus

197
00:08:56,679 --> 00:08:59,200
Speaker 4: four to seventy five, I don't see this team losing

198
00:08:59,200 --> 00:09:02,520
Speaker 4: to Chicago Detroit, so all you're really betting on now

199
00:09:02,679 --> 00:09:05,720
Speaker 4: is sweeping Minnesota, and I feel like that's a pretty

200
00:09:05,760 --> 00:09:09,160
Speaker 4: good number there. So we like the Packers. They were

201
00:09:09,200 --> 00:09:12,440
Speaker 4: my last Super Bowl contender team. You've got a couple

202
00:09:12,559 --> 00:09:14,520
Speaker 4: more teams in this tier, so your next one is

203
00:09:14,559 --> 00:09:15,920
Speaker 4: the Los Angeles Rams.

204
00:09:16,280 --> 00:09:17,199
Speaker 2: I do like the Rams.

205
00:09:17,240 --> 00:09:20,800
Speaker 4: I have them fourth overall, but not quite a Super

206
00:09:20,800 --> 00:09:23,520
Speaker 4: Bowl contender to me, partly because I just have a

207
00:09:23,559 --> 00:09:26,760
Speaker 4: hard time figuring this team out, So sell me a

208
00:09:26,800 --> 00:09:29,200
Speaker 4: little bit on the Rams. Why are you in on

209
00:09:29,240 --> 00:09:29,800
Speaker 4: them this year?

210
00:09:29,960 --> 00:09:32,240
Speaker 3: I think the biggest thing is they have an upgraded quarterback.

211
00:09:32,280 --> 00:09:35,320
Speaker 3: I mean Jared Golf pretty much had to be spoon

212
00:09:35,360 --> 00:09:38,880
Speaker 3: fed by Sean McVeigh his entire career, and I think

213
00:09:38,880 --> 00:09:40,960
Speaker 3: you have a quarterback who can actually go out there

214
00:09:41,040 --> 00:09:43,559
Speaker 3: and actually win a game for them. I think that's

215
00:09:43,600 --> 00:09:46,559
Speaker 3: a big thing. I mean, the NFL is all about quarterbacks.

216
00:09:46,800 --> 00:09:49,760
Speaker 3: This defense is still gonna be good with Aaron Donald.

217
00:09:49,960 --> 00:09:53,240
Speaker 3: I mean he lost Brandon Staley, but I think Raheem

218
00:09:53,280 --> 00:09:56,839
Speaker 3: Morris is a solid defensive coordinator. When you just look

219
00:09:56,840 --> 00:09:59,160
Speaker 3: at the Rams, I think the upgraded quarterback is just

220
00:09:59,360 --> 00:10:02,520
Speaker 3: it's big enough. The only the only problem I have

221
00:10:02,600 --> 00:10:04,280
Speaker 3: with this team is they don't have a lot of death.

222
00:10:04,720 --> 00:10:06,760
Speaker 3: So you know, if gods start going down, I think

223
00:10:06,760 --> 00:10:09,400
Speaker 3: you're gonna have some problems. But you know McVeigh is

224
00:10:09,400 --> 00:10:11,880
Speaker 3: going to make sure they have a top ZIERO offense.

225
00:10:12,320 --> 00:10:14,560
Speaker 3: So I think that puts them in a position to

226
00:10:14,600 --> 00:10:17,920
Speaker 3: where they have a real shot. If there's any reluctance

227
00:10:17,960 --> 00:10:20,559
Speaker 3: for me is that they're in a really tough division.

228
00:10:20,640 --> 00:10:24,080
Speaker 3: I mean, we all like San Francisco. We like Seattle

229
00:10:24,160 --> 00:10:26,800
Speaker 3: at least with you know, Russell Wilson. But you know,

230
00:10:26,840 --> 00:10:28,760
Speaker 3: I think my bet would be I would lay to

231
00:10:28,760 --> 00:10:30,679
Speaker 3: minus one seventy eight on a makeing playoffs.

232
00:10:30,840 --> 00:10:33,120
Speaker 4: Yeah, yeah, I like that. It's I definitely see this

233
00:10:33,200 --> 00:10:37,680
Speaker 4: team in the playoff picture. Yeah, the depth definitely concerns me.

234
00:10:37,880 --> 00:10:39,480
Speaker 4: That to me, I think that's the thing that I

235
00:10:39,559 --> 00:10:44,000
Speaker 4: keep not getting past. This is very much a starism

236
00:10:44,120 --> 00:10:47,000
Speaker 4: scrubs sort of roster, and that might be a great

237
00:10:47,000 --> 00:10:49,680
Speaker 4: way to play fantasy football, but it traditionally is not

238
00:10:49,800 --> 00:10:54,360
Speaker 4: a good way to build your NFL superstar team. It's

239
00:10:54,480 --> 00:10:57,040
Speaker 4: just to me, it's so easy to see ways where

240
00:10:57,080 --> 00:11:00,760
Speaker 4: this goes sideways. An Aaron Donald injury or Alan Ramsey

241
00:11:00,840 --> 00:11:04,760
Speaker 4: injury at all really means trouble for the defense. Who

242
00:11:04,800 --> 00:11:07,120
Speaker 4: is even the third best player on that defense. They've

243
00:11:07,120 --> 00:11:09,880
Speaker 4: lost so many names lately, like hopefully they hope it's

244
00:11:09,960 --> 00:11:12,360
Speaker 4: Leonard Floyd, I think coming in to rush the passer.

245
00:11:12,960 --> 00:11:13,400
Speaker 2: I don't know.

246
00:11:13,480 --> 00:11:16,280
Speaker 4: There's not much else in the cupboard there. They were

247
00:11:16,280 --> 00:11:18,600
Speaker 4: at number one in some defensive rankings last year, and

248
00:11:18,640 --> 00:11:21,440
Speaker 4: I actually have them like barely in my top twenty

249
00:11:21,559 --> 00:11:24,360
Speaker 4: this season. Bottom half of the league. So that's a

250
00:11:24,480 --> 00:11:27,400
Speaker 4: huge drop back, and it means that, like the Stafford

251
00:11:27,400 --> 00:11:30,800
Speaker 4: thing is huge. This is all about Stafford, and I'm

252
00:11:30,840 --> 00:11:33,680
Speaker 4: excited to watch it. Stafford and Goff is just like

253
00:11:33,760 --> 00:11:36,440
Speaker 4: you can't get much more of a change than that, Like,

254
00:11:36,800 --> 00:11:39,240
Speaker 4: just as an NFL fan that we get to watch

255
00:11:39,280 --> 00:11:42,640
Speaker 4: the grand experiment of what happens if you take a

256
00:11:42,760 --> 00:11:45,520
Speaker 4: quarterback that just has to do the bare minimum to

257
00:11:45,559 --> 00:11:49,240
Speaker 4: get by and then give real talent like Stafford. Last

258
00:11:49,240 --> 00:11:52,520
Speaker 4: season a rank second in play action golf was twenty fourth,

259
00:11:53,000 --> 00:11:57,240
Speaker 4: Stafford was seventh in EPA under pressure golf was twenty seventh.

260
00:11:57,400 --> 00:11:59,400
Speaker 4: Stafford was second in the league in air yards. I

261
00:11:59,480 --> 00:12:02,680
Speaker 4: mean the numbers are all there, like it's like we've

262
00:12:02,679 --> 00:12:07,200
Speaker 4: been running this basic, you know, simplified offense, and now

263
00:12:07,280 --> 00:12:09,720
Speaker 4: you get to see Sean mcvayhan Allo's glory.

264
00:12:10,360 --> 00:12:12,760
Speaker 2: I don't know what that looks like. So for me,

265
00:12:13,240 --> 00:12:14,360
Speaker 2: the Rams are pass.

266
00:12:14,520 --> 00:12:17,000
Speaker 4: I'm just I'm staying away because I don't I don't

267
00:12:17,000 --> 00:12:19,160
Speaker 4: have a good feel for it. They're a team I'm

268
00:12:19,160 --> 00:12:21,760
Speaker 4: probably gonna like in certain matchups in the season. I

269
00:12:21,800 --> 00:12:24,240
Speaker 4: don't have a future play here just because I feel

270
00:12:24,280 --> 00:12:26,400
Speaker 4: like their odds are about right where they're at. I'm

271
00:12:26,440 --> 00:12:28,320
Speaker 4: really excited to see how it all plays out, though.

272
00:12:28,760 --> 00:12:32,000
Speaker 4: So in the division, the forty nine ers are our

273
00:12:32,040 --> 00:12:36,040
Speaker 4: next team down the list. Like you said, really tough division. Well,

274
00:12:36,080 --> 00:12:38,160
Speaker 4: we've got another one of these teams coming right after

275
00:12:38,200 --> 00:12:41,120
Speaker 4: this one. So the forty nine ers, tim me or interesting,

276
00:12:41,679 --> 00:12:44,000
Speaker 4: You and I both have the forty nine ers ranked high.

277
00:12:44,040 --> 00:12:46,520
Speaker 4: You have them fourth on your list, I had them third,

278
00:12:47,040 --> 00:12:49,640
Speaker 4: but neither one of of us has them in our

279
00:12:49,679 --> 00:12:50,840
Speaker 4: Super Bowl contenders.

280
00:12:51,160 --> 00:12:52,600
Speaker 2: I think in the entire NFL, this.

281
00:12:52,640 --> 00:12:55,000
Speaker 4: Is the team that we are collectively the highest on,

282
00:12:55,640 --> 00:12:58,480
Speaker 4: while also not quite agreeing that they can win at all.

283
00:12:59,000 --> 00:13:00,840
Speaker 2: So what do you make about.

284
00:13:01,600 --> 00:13:03,480
Speaker 3: I mean, when you look at this forty nine ers team,

285
00:13:03,720 --> 00:13:07,359
Speaker 3: they suffered one hundred and sixty one point six adjusted

286
00:13:07,480 --> 00:13:10,800
Speaker 3: games lost last year. Literally everyone got injured. I mean

287
00:13:10,840 --> 00:13:14,640
Speaker 3: they were running a hospital. I mean Nick Bosa, Solomon Thomas,

288
00:13:14,760 --> 00:13:18,480
Speaker 3: D four like Richard Sherman, I mean, everybody.

289
00:13:17,960 --> 00:13:19,480
Speaker 1: On both sides of the ball.

290
00:13:19,600 --> 00:13:22,840
Speaker 3: I mean, you know, football outside is mentioned something really interesting.

291
00:13:23,080 --> 00:13:25,640
Speaker 3: But not only were they the worst in the league

292
00:13:25,640 --> 00:13:28,000
Speaker 3: in terms of injuries by wild margin, they were the

293
00:13:28,040 --> 00:13:32,720
Speaker 3: second highest in their database behind the twenty seventeen Chicago Bears,

294
00:13:33,000 --> 00:13:36,560
Speaker 3: who had a one hundred and seventy one adjusted games loss.

295
00:13:36,679 --> 00:13:40,679
Speaker 3: So it's just like the fort get everybody back. I mean,

296
00:13:40,800 --> 00:13:43,640
Speaker 3: they've just been cursed by injuries. I mean, so when

297
00:13:43,679 --> 00:13:46,679
Speaker 3: you get everybody back, and you know, as much as

298
00:13:46,720 --> 00:13:49,560
Speaker 3: we dislike Garoppolo, he's been able to win games for

299
00:13:49,600 --> 00:13:53,839
Speaker 3: them in the regular season. Now, I think where their

300
00:13:53,880 --> 00:13:57,360
Speaker 3: ceiling lies is do we trust Garoppolo to go on

301
00:13:57,400 --> 00:13:59,600
Speaker 3: the road to win a game and even put the

302
00:13:59,600 --> 00:14:02,360
Speaker 3: team on the at home. And I think that's the

303
00:14:02,400 --> 00:14:04,000
Speaker 3: biggest issue when it comes to forty nine er. So

304
00:14:04,080 --> 00:14:06,880
Speaker 3: I think they're going to be a team that you know,

305
00:14:06,920 --> 00:14:08,880
Speaker 3: you want to play on them at like week the

306
00:14:08,920 --> 00:14:12,319
Speaker 3: week in the regular season. But the quarterback situation is

307
00:14:12,360 --> 00:14:14,960
Speaker 3: going to be their ceiling. You know, Trey Lance he

308
00:14:15,040 --> 00:14:17,199
Speaker 3: has a chance of you know, getting the starting position

309
00:14:17,280 --> 00:14:20,560
Speaker 3: at some point, but right now we're just not sure.

310
00:14:20,640 --> 00:14:23,560
Speaker 4: So yeah, I mean, look, we could have basically just

311
00:14:23,640 --> 00:14:26,560
Speaker 4: called this team the San Francisco Murphy's Laws last year,

312
00:14:26,720 --> 00:14:30,280
Speaker 4: like anything that could go wrong went wrong with this team.

313
00:14:30,760 --> 00:14:34,240
Speaker 4: You listed off like the entire defensive roster for them.

314
00:14:34,640 --> 00:14:37,760
Speaker 4: You didn't even say Jimmy Garoppolo was hurt last year.

315
00:14:37,920 --> 00:14:41,200
Speaker 4: George Kittle, their best offensive player was hurt all season.

316
00:14:41,480 --> 00:14:44,720
Speaker 4: Deebo Samuel, their best and only good receiver was hurt

317
00:14:44,760 --> 00:14:50,240
Speaker 4: all season. Like this team got decimated. Look Garoppolo, Kittle, Bosa, Ford, Samuel,

318
00:14:50,280 --> 00:14:55,360
Speaker 4: Sherman Thomas. That's seven good, really good players, like seven

319
00:14:55,400 --> 00:14:58,240
Speaker 4: of their top ten players probably that just basically got

320
00:14:58,280 --> 00:15:00,920
Speaker 4: sidelined for a huge chunk of the season. They also

321
00:15:01,040 --> 00:15:04,000
Speaker 4: had thirty one turnovers, which was second most in the NFL.

322
00:15:04,280 --> 00:15:07,280
Speaker 4: Because guess what, when you're playing not Jimmy Garoppolo, you

323
00:15:07,360 --> 00:15:10,800
Speaker 4: turn the ball over. They had four touchdowns allowed to

324
00:15:10,880 --> 00:15:13,400
Speaker 4: the other team on defense, So that's just free points

325
00:15:13,400 --> 00:15:16,080
Speaker 4: you're given away. That's tough to come over. Yeah, the

326
00:15:16,120 --> 00:15:19,920
Speaker 4: third hardest schedule in the NFL this season, they have,

327
00:15:20,040 --> 00:15:23,720
Speaker 4: by projected win totals, the easiest schedule in the NFL,

328
00:15:24,160 --> 00:15:27,080
Speaker 4: especially in the second half. It really opens up. Each

329
00:15:27,160 --> 00:15:29,440
Speaker 4: team in the NFL has three variable games on the

330
00:15:29,520 --> 00:15:31,920
Speaker 4: schedule based on how you finished last year. So the

331
00:15:31,920 --> 00:15:34,040
Speaker 4: forty nine ers finished last in the division because it's

332
00:15:34,080 --> 00:15:36,840
Speaker 4: a tough division and they had all those injuries, so

333
00:15:36,880 --> 00:15:39,520
Speaker 4: they get to face three other last placed teams this year.

334
00:15:39,560 --> 00:15:42,080
Speaker 4: They get to play the Eagles, the Bengals, and the Falcons,

335
00:15:42,440 --> 00:15:45,920
Speaker 4: and that's why their division opponents are playing like much

336
00:15:45,960 --> 00:15:50,160
Speaker 4: tougher teams in those slots. They also this division as

337
00:15:50,200 --> 00:15:53,200
Speaker 4: tough as the NFC West is against each other, Like

338
00:15:53,240 --> 00:15:55,480
Speaker 4: all these games in the division are gonna be toss uppy,

339
00:15:55,960 --> 00:15:58,120
Speaker 4: but they get to play everyone in the division. Gets

340
00:15:58,160 --> 00:16:00,720
Speaker 4: to play four games against the NFC North, So that's

341
00:16:00,720 --> 00:16:03,440
Speaker 4: a Lions game and a Bears game and even maybe

342
00:16:03,440 --> 00:16:05,520
Speaker 4: a Vikings game. We'll see if they belong on that list.

343
00:16:05,720 --> 00:16:08,120
Speaker 4: They also get to play the AFC South. Yeah, the

344
00:16:08,160 --> 00:16:11,840
Speaker 4: team that the division has nobody. So I think that

345
00:16:11,840 --> 00:16:13,800
Speaker 4: the Niners going to rack up a lot of wins here.

346
00:16:14,320 --> 00:16:18,200
Speaker 4: I agree that the Garoppolo thing is maybe going to

347
00:16:18,280 --> 00:16:20,640
Speaker 4: limit their ceiling, and I don't know that Tree Lance

348
00:16:20,720 --> 00:16:22,520
Speaker 4: is gonna be ready for the Super Bowl ceiling and

349
00:16:22,520 --> 00:16:23,080
Speaker 4: we get there.

350
00:16:23,560 --> 00:16:25,280
Speaker 2: But I kind of like them.

351
00:16:25,280 --> 00:16:27,840
Speaker 4: The division we are on, I think sixteen of the

352
00:16:27,920 --> 00:16:30,400
Speaker 4: last eighteen seasons that we have had a team go

353
00:16:30,520 --> 00:16:33,120
Speaker 4: worse to first in the division, and the Niners were

354
00:16:33,120 --> 00:16:35,400
Speaker 4: worse last year. I've got an article coming out in

355
00:16:35,400 --> 00:16:37,720
Speaker 4: a couple of days, and they are clearly the team

356
00:16:37,800 --> 00:16:40,680
Speaker 4: this year ranking the possible worst to first division winners,

357
00:16:41,000 --> 00:16:42,960
Speaker 4: that's the team they're at one to ninety to do that.

358
00:16:43,440 --> 00:16:45,640
Speaker 4: My best bet, though, I just like them to win

359
00:16:45,680 --> 00:16:47,440
Speaker 4: the one seed in the NFC. I think they can

360
00:16:47,480 --> 00:16:51,320
Speaker 4: pile a bunch of wins and it's gonna be tough.

361
00:16:51,440 --> 00:16:54,080
Speaker 4: The Bucks and the Packers are very good, but plus

362
00:16:54,120 --> 00:16:57,280
Speaker 4: five fifty to get the one seed. What's interesting is

363
00:16:57,360 --> 00:16:59,320
Speaker 4: if they do get the one seed, they don't got

364
00:16:59,320 --> 00:17:02,280
Speaker 4: to go on the road and win that Garoppolo road game.

365
00:17:02,800 --> 00:17:05,640
Speaker 4: And then maybe I don't know. If I'm betting them

366
00:17:05,640 --> 00:17:07,320
Speaker 4: to win the one seed and they only have to

367
00:17:07,320 --> 00:17:09,159
Speaker 4: stay at home, do I need to bet them to

368
00:17:09,200 --> 00:17:10,760
Speaker 4: win the conference or the Super Bowl?

369
00:17:11,160 --> 00:17:11,840
Speaker 2: What do you think?

370
00:17:13,359 --> 00:17:13,679
Speaker 1: Yeah?

371
00:17:13,760 --> 00:17:15,879
Speaker 3: I mean I think if you're betting in the win

372
00:17:15,920 --> 00:17:17,399
Speaker 3: in one seed, you kind of have to throw a

373
00:17:17,440 --> 00:17:20,080
Speaker 3: little flyer on in the winister Bowl, just because, I mean,

374
00:17:20,320 --> 00:17:23,399
Speaker 3: we've seen it, Tom and Tom again. Teams they have

375
00:17:23,440 --> 00:17:25,640
Speaker 3: a first round body. It typically win at the divisional

376
00:17:25,680 --> 00:17:29,120
Speaker 3: round matchup, and if you get to the NFC Championship,

377
00:17:29,160 --> 00:17:29,960
Speaker 3: anything could happen.

378
00:17:30,040 --> 00:17:32,359
Speaker 4: That's true. Well, I will have to think about that.

379
00:17:32,600 --> 00:17:35,080
Speaker 4: Our next team is still in this exact same Division.

380
00:17:35,080 --> 00:17:37,120
Speaker 4: So this is three of our top five in the NFC.

381
00:17:37,760 --> 00:17:42,600
Speaker 4: But boy do we not love the Seattle Seahawks. Russell Wilson,

382
00:17:43,080 --> 00:17:47,160
Speaker 4: My man, you are keeping this team afloat because I

383
00:17:47,240 --> 00:17:50,080
Speaker 4: just don't like the makeup of this team. They have,

384
00:17:50,240 --> 00:17:54,120
Speaker 4: I think the worst corners of any contender. Certainly, they

385
00:17:54,119 --> 00:17:56,720
Speaker 4: don't have much pass rush. I think they grade out

386
00:17:56,720 --> 00:17:59,080
Speaker 4: as a bottom ten defense, and if you are a

387
00:17:59,080 --> 00:18:00,320
Speaker 4: bottom ten defense.

388
00:18:00,200 --> 00:18:02,480
Speaker 2: You have to be really really good.

389
00:18:02,280 --> 00:18:06,320
Speaker 4: Offensively to offset that and like really make a playoff run. Thankfully,

390
00:18:06,440 --> 00:18:10,600
Speaker 4: they have Russell Wilson, so they are usually pretty good offensively.

391
00:18:11,080 --> 00:18:14,439
Speaker 4: But pretty good is not super elite, Like being the

392
00:18:14,520 --> 00:18:17,760
Speaker 4: sixth best offense is not enough. If you're a bottom

393
00:18:17,760 --> 00:18:20,760
Speaker 4: ten defense, you've got to be like Chiefs good offense

394
00:18:20,880 --> 00:18:23,879
Speaker 4: and love your Russell Wilson, but you're not Pat Mahomes.

395
00:18:24,520 --> 00:18:27,440
Speaker 2: So I don't know. I worry about the Seahawks. Both

396
00:18:27,480 --> 00:18:28,200
Speaker 2: of us as.

397
00:18:28,000 --> 00:18:31,200
Speaker 4: We rated them, kind of admitted to like I want

398
00:18:31,200 --> 00:18:34,720
Speaker 4: to rank them lower. But Russell Wilson means that if

399
00:18:34,720 --> 00:18:36,480
Speaker 4: they do make the playoffs, he's going to give you

400
00:18:36,520 --> 00:18:38,760
Speaker 4: a shot in any game, and I think, like that's

401
00:18:38,760 --> 00:18:42,560
Speaker 4: the cheat code you still get Russ but I'm not

402
00:18:42,720 --> 00:18:45,240
Speaker 4: loving the Seahawks. Tell me what you think about them

403
00:18:45,280 --> 00:18:45,680
Speaker 4: this year.

404
00:18:46,200 --> 00:18:48,560
Speaker 3: You know, I think it's funny that you said that

405
00:18:48,880 --> 00:18:51,760
Speaker 3: Russell Wilson isn't Pat Mahomes, And I think in the

406
00:18:51,760 --> 00:18:54,280
Speaker 3: Super Bowl we got to see what Patrick Mahomes would

407
00:18:54,320 --> 00:18:59,200
Speaker 3: look like behind this Seattle offense line. So it's possible

408
00:18:59,240 --> 00:19:01,960
Speaker 3: that Patrick Mahomes may not be Russell Wilson. I mean

409
00:19:02,080 --> 00:19:04,679
Speaker 3: through the first six or seven weeks of the season,

410
00:19:04,680 --> 00:19:07,359
Speaker 3: before the Buffalo game, I mean, Russell Wilson was playing

411
00:19:07,440 --> 00:19:09,199
Speaker 3: lights out. He was able to put the team on

412
00:19:09,240 --> 00:19:13,080
Speaker 3: his back before Pete Carroll actually destroyed the offense and decided,

413
00:19:13,200 --> 00:19:16,359
Speaker 3: you know, we're not gonna let Russ cooking anymore. Russell

414
00:19:16,480 --> 00:19:19,520
Speaker 3: was the MVP candidate and you know, was lighting it up.

415
00:19:19,760 --> 00:19:21,400
Speaker 3: I think the defense will be a little bit better

416
00:19:21,400 --> 00:19:23,880
Speaker 3: this year. They did improve towards the end of last year.

417
00:19:24,160 --> 00:19:25,879
Speaker 3: They do have some problems at the corners and they

418
00:19:25,920 --> 00:19:27,320
Speaker 3: struggle to get a pass rushed.

419
00:19:27,400 --> 00:19:30,560
Speaker 1: But I think the truth is somewhere in the middle.

420
00:19:30,600 --> 00:19:32,679
Speaker 3: From what we saw towards the end of last season

421
00:19:32,760 --> 00:19:34,440
Speaker 3: and what we saw at the beginning last season, I

422
00:19:34,480 --> 00:19:36,320
Speaker 3: think Russell's are just gonna put them in a position.

423
00:19:36,359 --> 00:19:39,640
Speaker 3: I mean they have dk Metcalf, Tyler Lockett. I think

424
00:19:39,680 --> 00:19:43,920
Speaker 3: the rookie Dwayne Eskridge is gonna make this offense.

425
00:19:43,520 --> 00:19:44,240
Speaker 1: You know, prolific.

426
00:19:44,400 --> 00:19:47,480
Speaker 3: So as long as Pete Carroll isn't you know, going

427
00:19:47,520 --> 00:19:49,080
Speaker 3: to completely you know, slow down.

428
00:19:49,080 --> 00:19:50,160
Speaker 1: The pace of this offense.

429
00:19:50,560 --> 00:19:54,000
Speaker 3: They got a new offensive coordinator this year, so I

430
00:19:54,119 --> 00:19:58,240
Speaker 3: think Seattle is They're not a team. I'm necessarily high

431
00:19:58,240 --> 00:20:00,560
Speaker 3: on the winning Super Bowl, but I think, you know,

432
00:20:00,640 --> 00:20:03,760
Speaker 3: Shane Wadron, the new offensive coordinator, he should be able to,

433
00:20:03,920 --> 00:20:06,440
Speaker 3: you know, make sure this offense is rolling.

434
00:20:06,440 --> 00:20:09,760
Speaker 1: And they should be there, you know, with a chance

435
00:20:09,840 --> 00:20:10,840
Speaker 1: to do something.

436
00:20:10,880 --> 00:20:13,120
Speaker 3: Now, if you have a top ten quarterback, top hop quarterback,

437
00:20:13,320 --> 00:20:15,240
Speaker 3: you always kind of got to be in at top tier.

438
00:20:15,520 --> 00:20:16,200
Speaker 2: Yeah, I agree.

439
00:20:16,440 --> 00:20:19,040
Speaker 4: I think I'm intrigued by the Shane Waldron thing and

440
00:20:19,080 --> 00:20:20,399
Speaker 4: what this offense can look like.

441
00:20:20,840 --> 00:20:22,159
Speaker 2: It's it's absolutely wild.

442
00:20:22,200 --> 00:20:25,080
Speaker 4: If you look at the numbers, what Russell Wilson numbers

443
00:20:25,119 --> 00:20:27,560
Speaker 4: were the first half of last season versus the second half.

444
00:20:28,000 --> 00:20:30,199
Speaker 4: I mean he was on pace the first half of

445
00:20:30,200 --> 00:20:32,280
Speaker 4: the season, like for the full first eight games, he

446
00:20:32,359 --> 00:20:34,680
Speaker 4: was on pace for over five thousand yards and fifty

447
00:20:34,720 --> 00:20:37,560
Speaker 4: six touchdowns, and in the second half he dropped down

448
00:20:37,560 --> 00:20:40,240
Speaker 4: to like an under four thousand yard pace and like

449
00:20:40,359 --> 00:20:43,400
Speaker 4: under thirty touchdowns, like his numbers cut in half basically,

450
00:20:43,760 --> 00:20:47,440
Speaker 4: so we saw teams adjust to what they're doing rather

451
00:20:47,520 --> 00:20:49,560
Speaker 4: than just like letting them chuck it deep to DK

452
00:20:49,720 --> 00:20:53,520
Speaker 4: Metcalf and Tyler Lockett over and over again. But the

453
00:20:53,560 --> 00:20:56,480
Speaker 4: Seahawks are are the team that breaks all the models

454
00:20:56,600 --> 00:20:59,280
Speaker 4: because over and over again they end up in all

455
00:20:59,320 --> 00:21:00,000
Speaker 4: these close games.

456
00:21:00,119 --> 00:21:01,320
Speaker 2: So like every.

457
00:21:01,080 --> 00:21:03,320
Speaker 4: Week always you should have watched the Seahawks, but you

458
00:21:03,359 --> 00:21:05,040
Speaker 4: do not have to watch the fourth quarter, because all

459
00:21:05,200 --> 00:21:07,520
Speaker 4: is gonna be close no matter what they play good team,

460
00:21:07,560 --> 00:21:10,200
Speaker 4: they play bad team, it's gonna be close late, and

461
00:21:10,240 --> 00:21:12,560
Speaker 4: they're just gonna keep it close and play terrible football

462
00:21:12,560 --> 00:21:14,280
Speaker 4: for three quarters and then be like, Okay, Russ, go

463
00:21:14,680 --> 00:21:17,600
Speaker 4: win now, and then they'll go win now. And it's

464
00:21:17,680 --> 00:21:21,600
Speaker 4: like it's really tough to bet on that because they

465
00:21:22,000 --> 00:21:25,080
Speaker 4: under or overperform and then just let Wilson clean up

466
00:21:25,119 --> 00:21:27,080
Speaker 4: the mess at the end. The one thing I like

467
00:21:27,080 --> 00:21:30,040
Speaker 4: about them is this, regardless of how the season goes,

468
00:21:30,440 --> 00:21:34,000
Speaker 4: their last three games this season are against the Bears, Lions,

469
00:21:34,040 --> 00:21:37,640
Speaker 4: and Cardinals. So I just feel like, as long as

470
00:21:37,640 --> 00:21:40,520
Speaker 4: Wilson is healthy and they're in a range of the playoffs,

471
00:21:40,840 --> 00:21:42,720
Speaker 4: that's just a three and zero stretch to end the

472
00:21:42,760 --> 00:21:46,280
Speaker 4: year and like definitely get in, maybe improve their seeding

473
00:21:46,320 --> 00:21:48,560
Speaker 4: if they need to. So the bet I like for

474
00:21:48,640 --> 00:21:52,560
Speaker 4: this team is I like them to win nine to

475
00:21:52,640 --> 00:21:55,440
Speaker 4: eleven games. You can kind of bet the win band there.

476
00:21:55,720 --> 00:21:58,600
Speaker 4: So that's nine and eight, ten and seven, eleven and

477
00:21:58,680 --> 00:22:03,080
Speaker 4: six the win totals. They're the worst numbers, but one

478
00:22:03,200 --> 00:22:05,720
Speaker 4: fifty five to finish somewhere in there. It's like, okay,

479
00:22:05,840 --> 00:22:10,240
Speaker 4: definitely above five hundred. Definitely not a great team, right

480
00:22:10,280 --> 00:22:13,159
Speaker 4: in that kind of middle ground. That's that's what I

481
00:22:13,280 --> 00:22:15,880
Speaker 4: like for the Seahawks. So we are out of teams

482
00:22:15,960 --> 00:22:18,560
Speaker 4: now that have any real shot of winning the Super Bowl,

483
00:22:18,880 --> 00:22:21,160
Speaker 4: and that means that it must be time to talk

484
00:22:21,160 --> 00:22:25,320
Speaker 4: about the Dallas Cowboys, because the Dallas Cowboys are always

485
00:22:25,359 --> 00:22:28,600
Speaker 4: going to be in the conversation as America's team. We've

486
00:22:28,640 --> 00:22:30,560
Speaker 4: got to talk about the Cowboys and what they're going

487
00:22:30,640 --> 00:22:35,159
Speaker 4: to do. This team is baffling because they have so

488
00:22:35,280 --> 00:22:39,440
Speaker 4: much talent on offense. On paper, this is like a

489
00:22:39,480 --> 00:22:42,880
Speaker 4: Madden offense that you could just steamroll everyone with if

490
00:22:42,960 --> 00:22:46,720
Speaker 4: Dak Prescott is healthy, theF Ezekiel Elliott can return to form,

491
00:22:47,080 --> 00:22:49,919
Speaker 4: if the offensive line can come back and be healthy

492
00:22:49,960 --> 00:22:53,359
Speaker 4: and look good again. If Cede Lamb and Amari Cooper

493
00:22:53,400 --> 00:22:56,280
Speaker 4: and Michael Gallup like they outside of Tampa are probably

494
00:22:56,320 --> 00:22:58,000
Speaker 4: the best set of receivers.

495
00:22:57,560 --> 00:22:58,159
Speaker 2: In the league.

496
00:22:58,680 --> 00:23:02,480
Speaker 4: I am a sucker for da Like every year. I

497
00:23:02,520 --> 00:23:04,680
Speaker 4: don't even like Dallas Like I grew up. I was

498
00:23:04,720 --> 00:23:08,240
Speaker 4: hating the Cowboys in the nineties and then Tony Romo

499
00:23:08,359 --> 00:23:10,280
Speaker 4: came and every year I'd be like, man, Roma was

500
00:23:10,359 --> 00:23:12,840
Speaker 4: so good, this team was underrated, and now we got

501
00:23:12,840 --> 00:23:15,399
Speaker 4: to Dak Prescott and it's the same thing. Like it's

502
00:23:15,440 --> 00:23:19,119
Speaker 4: a really talented team. It's unfortunate though, that you do

503
00:23:19,200 --> 00:23:22,080
Speaker 4: have to play defense, and Dallas forgot to get one

504
00:23:22,119 --> 00:23:25,879
Speaker 4: of those. So between the defense and all the injury

505
00:23:25,960 --> 00:23:28,600
Speaker 4: question marks, this is a really hard team to get

506
00:23:28,600 --> 00:23:31,000
Speaker 4: a handle on. What do you think about the Cowboys

507
00:23:31,040 --> 00:23:31,360
Speaker 4: this year?

508
00:23:31,520 --> 00:23:33,200
Speaker 2: Are you in? Are you out? It's kind of hard

509
00:23:33,240 --> 00:23:33,840
Speaker 2: to be in the middle.

510
00:23:35,760 --> 00:23:37,000
Speaker 1: I'm kind of in the middle.

511
00:23:37,359 --> 00:23:41,040
Speaker 3: And I mean, for one, I'm a Cowboys fan, so

512
00:23:41,119 --> 00:23:42,480
Speaker 3: I'm a diehard Cowboys fan.

513
00:23:42,600 --> 00:23:45,200
Speaker 1: I'm more loyal to my bank role obviously these days.

514
00:23:45,280 --> 00:23:48,840
Speaker 3: But I think you know, Dak Prescott, I mean, if

515
00:23:48,880 --> 00:23:51,720
Speaker 3: he's healthy, I mean, this offense is going to roll.

516
00:23:51,760 --> 00:23:54,480
Speaker 3: I mean he finished last season with you know, almost

517
00:23:54,520 --> 00:23:57,240
Speaker 3: on pace for like almost sixty seven hundred yards last year.

518
00:23:57,320 --> 00:24:00,600
Speaker 3: I mean he finished, you know, with eighteen hundred fifty

519
00:24:00,640 --> 00:24:01,320
Speaker 3: six yards.

520
00:24:01,480 --> 00:24:03,959
Speaker 1: I think the weapons around him are scary.

521
00:24:04,160 --> 00:24:06,600
Speaker 3: I think you're gonna get back bounce back season from

522
00:24:06,600 --> 00:24:07,640
Speaker 3: Ezekiel Elliott.

523
00:24:08,000 --> 00:24:10,800
Speaker 1: I mean you got a Marii Cooper, you got CD Lamb.

524
00:24:10,840 --> 00:24:13,920
Speaker 3: I mean, this offense is great, and I think in

525
00:24:13,920 --> 00:24:20,639
Speaker 3: today's NFL, offense is more consistent than defense, and if

526
00:24:20,680 --> 00:24:22,840
Speaker 3: you could light up the scoreboard, you have a shot

527
00:24:22,920 --> 00:24:24,960
Speaker 3: to you know, be a playoff team.

528
00:24:25,520 --> 00:24:28,960
Speaker 1: But I mean, I think my issue is Mike McCarthy and.

529
00:24:29,760 --> 00:24:33,080
Speaker 3: It's clear that Aaron Rodgers carry him all those years.

530
00:24:33,119 --> 00:24:35,960
Speaker 3: And I don't know how you trust this Dallas team

531
00:24:36,040 --> 00:24:38,920
Speaker 3: that doesn't really have a great defense and the head

532
00:24:38,960 --> 00:24:43,000
Speaker 3: coach is lacking. So for me, I think the thing

533
00:24:43,040 --> 00:24:45,919
Speaker 3: that gives me hope about them is that I'm not

534
00:24:46,000 --> 00:24:48,760
Speaker 3: high on the division other than the Washington football team.

535
00:24:49,280 --> 00:24:50,880
Speaker 1: The Eagles are in rebuilding mode.

536
00:24:51,040 --> 00:24:53,840
Speaker 3: The Giants don't really have an offensive line, they have

537
00:24:53,880 --> 00:24:56,439
Speaker 3: a solid defense. But I just don't see the Eagles

538
00:24:56,480 --> 00:24:59,080
Speaker 3: of the Giants doing anything. So I don't really have

539
00:24:59,080 --> 00:25:01,720
Speaker 3: a player on the Cowboys. I was leaning under, but

540
00:25:01,800 --> 00:25:04,040
Speaker 3: I think when you're playing the Eagles in the Giants twice,

541
00:25:04,040 --> 00:25:06,080
Speaker 3: I think it gives them a little bit of advantage.

542
00:25:06,359 --> 00:25:06,560
Speaker 2: Yeah.

543
00:25:06,600 --> 00:25:09,320
Speaker 4: To me, I just really think the Cowboys are boom

544
00:25:09,359 --> 00:25:12,040
Speaker 4: or bust. I think either you need to be in

545
00:25:12,160 --> 00:25:14,240
Speaker 4: if you believe in the offense, if you believe back

546
00:25:14,400 --> 00:25:16,879
Speaker 4: is healthy, if you believe Zeke still has something in

547
00:25:16,880 --> 00:25:19,879
Speaker 4: the tank, then I think you've got to be really in. Like,

548
00:25:19,920 --> 00:25:21,919
Speaker 4: if the offense is healthy, they're not going to be

549
00:25:22,080 --> 00:25:24,919
Speaker 4: just like, oh, yeah they're pretty good again, like the

550
00:25:24,960 --> 00:25:27,600
Speaker 4: Vikings the next team on our list, like that they

551
00:25:27,640 --> 00:25:29,760
Speaker 4: could be a yeah they're pretty good. To me, that's

552
00:25:29,800 --> 00:25:31,800
Speaker 4: not the Cowboys. The Cowboys either are going to be

553
00:25:31,800 --> 00:25:34,000
Speaker 4: a disaster. Again if the injuries are there and the

554
00:25:34,040 --> 00:25:36,760
Speaker 4: defense is really bad and it just doesn't happen, or

555
00:25:36,800 --> 00:25:40,800
Speaker 4: things click and they really click, and then you want

556
00:25:40,840 --> 00:25:42,919
Speaker 4: these guys on your fantasy team and you want all

557
00:25:42,960 --> 00:25:45,600
Speaker 4: the overs. So I think if you're in, you really

558
00:25:45,600 --> 00:25:47,280
Speaker 4: have to be in. You've got to play the conference

559
00:25:47,320 --> 00:25:50,600
Speaker 4: as the Super Bowl odds. But what sucks is it's

560
00:25:50,640 --> 00:25:53,360
Speaker 4: the Cowboys. It's America's team, and so it's all as

561
00:25:53,359 --> 00:25:55,160
Speaker 4: a public team and you're never really going to get

562
00:25:55,160 --> 00:25:57,440
Speaker 4: the best of the number here, so I'm kind of

563
00:25:57,480 --> 00:26:01,119
Speaker 4: stuck on it. What I like here is I'm playing

564
00:26:01,160 --> 00:26:03,720
Speaker 4: them to start six and oh, and it's a tough

565
00:26:03,760 --> 00:26:07,360
Speaker 4: angle because they start as of course, we know, Thursday

566
00:26:07,440 --> 00:26:09,840
Speaker 4: night in Tampa Bay against the champs, so they got

567
00:26:09,880 --> 00:26:12,200
Speaker 4: to win that one, and then they got to go to

568
00:26:12,359 --> 00:26:15,560
Speaker 4: LA to play the Chargers. However, that's a home game

569
00:26:15,560 --> 00:26:18,760
Speaker 4: for the Cowboys, right at LA in the Chargers Stadium

570
00:26:18,760 --> 00:26:19,680
Speaker 4: with Cowboys fans.

571
00:26:19,680 --> 00:26:20,400
Speaker 2: That's a home game.

572
00:26:20,520 --> 00:26:24,280
Speaker 4: So the Cowboys can win that one, then home games

573
00:26:24,320 --> 00:26:27,000
Speaker 4: against the Eagles, Giants, and Panthers. They get a month

574
00:26:27,040 --> 00:26:30,160
Speaker 4: at home against three bad teams. And now they're five

575
00:26:30,200 --> 00:26:33,200
Speaker 4: and oh at New England and you can hedge there

576
00:26:33,280 --> 00:26:34,800
Speaker 4: if you get a little cold feet. We'll see what

577
00:26:34,800 --> 00:26:37,720
Speaker 4: New England looks like. They're plus twenty eight hundred to

578
00:26:37,800 --> 00:26:40,120
Speaker 4: go six and o to start the season, so you're

579
00:26:40,160 --> 00:26:43,800
Speaker 4: gonna s crazy. You're sweating that week one. We'll see

580
00:26:43,800 --> 00:26:46,199
Speaker 4: what happens with Tampa. You might just lose it, you know,

581
00:26:46,320 --> 00:26:49,520
Speaker 4: the first quarter, but twenty eight to one, I like

582
00:26:49,560 --> 00:26:52,639
Speaker 4: the chances there. If they get past that first game,

583
00:26:53,359 --> 00:26:55,919
Speaker 4: then I think I love the next four. And now

584
00:26:55,960 --> 00:26:57,600
Speaker 4: you can hedge out of the New England game. You

585
00:26:57,640 --> 00:26:58,800
Speaker 4: really think it's crazy.

586
00:26:58,920 --> 00:27:01,760
Speaker 3: I mean, open it up at seven and a half

587
00:27:01,760 --> 00:27:04,280
Speaker 3: point underdogs against Tampa on the road.

588
00:27:05,160 --> 00:27:06,200
Speaker 1: That's a tough sale.

589
00:27:06,400 --> 00:27:09,680
Speaker 4: So here's the decision I made. I was either leading

590
00:27:09,680 --> 00:27:11,640
Speaker 4: between that or picking them to win the NFC at

591
00:27:11,640 --> 00:27:15,720
Speaker 4: sixteen hundred. Here's the thought process though. To win the NFC,

592
00:27:16,080 --> 00:27:18,560
Speaker 4: Dallas is gonna have to win at least two games

593
00:27:18,600 --> 00:27:20,920
Speaker 4: against a really good team. Even if they're the one seed,

594
00:27:21,000 --> 00:27:23,159
Speaker 4: they have to win at least two games against the

595
00:27:23,200 --> 00:27:27,359
Speaker 4: Bucks and another team. So would I rather bet them

596
00:27:27,400 --> 00:27:31,160
Speaker 4: to win two or three tough playoff games, or would

597
00:27:31,160 --> 00:27:33,920
Speaker 4: I rather bet them to win at Tampa four bad

598
00:27:33,960 --> 00:27:36,119
Speaker 4: teams and maybe a fifth depending on what New England

599
00:27:36,160 --> 00:27:39,520
Speaker 4: looks like. So I'm playing the odds on taking the

600
00:27:39,560 --> 00:27:42,240
Speaker 4: shorter term thing here. Plus, I know the team is

601
00:27:42,280 --> 00:27:43,880
Speaker 4: healthy now, I don't know if they're gonna be healthy

602
00:27:43,880 --> 00:27:46,320
Speaker 4: in the playoffs, so I'm taking a shot on it.

603
00:27:46,800 --> 00:27:49,000
Speaker 4: I think the Cowboys are a real boomer bus team.

604
00:27:49,720 --> 00:27:52,480
Speaker 4: We have them six on our rankings. I feel like,

605
00:27:52,960 --> 00:27:54,960
Speaker 4: you know, two months from now, they're either you're going

606
00:27:55,040 --> 00:27:57,320
Speaker 4: to be third or tenth and not really stuck in

607
00:27:57,359 --> 00:27:57,720
Speaker 4: the middle.

608
00:27:57,760 --> 00:28:03,800
Speaker 5: Here this is Action Network podcast producer Matt Mitchell here

609
00:28:03,800 --> 00:28:06,280
Speaker 5: to tell you our friends at betmgm have a great

610
00:28:06,320 --> 00:28:09,000
Speaker 5: news sign up offer for our listeners, a six one

611
00:28:09,080 --> 00:28:12,560
Speaker 5: hundred dollars risk free first bet. Here's how it works.

612
00:28:12,880 --> 00:28:15,679
Speaker 5: If you don't already have an account at betmgm, just

613
00:28:15,720 --> 00:28:18,959
Speaker 5: sign up, make your first deposit and place that initial wager.

614
00:28:19,280 --> 00:28:21,760
Speaker 5: If the bet wins, you get all the money. If

615
00:28:21,800 --> 00:28:24,960
Speaker 5: it doesn't win, bet mgm will refund you in free

616
00:28:25,000 --> 00:28:26,800
Speaker 5: bets up to six hundred dollars.

617
00:28:27,040 --> 00:28:27,800
Speaker 1: It's that simple.

618
00:28:28,280 --> 00:28:30,639
Speaker 5: Just click on the link in this episode description to

619
00:28:30,680 --> 00:28:34,119
Speaker 5: get started. Betmgm has been a great podcast partner, and

620
00:28:34,160 --> 00:28:37,159
Speaker 5: they've got all the features gamblers like us love, like

621
00:28:37,240 --> 00:28:41,320
Speaker 5: live betting and daily odds boosts. Plus they're compatible with Betsinc.

622
00:28:41,520 --> 00:28:44,240
Speaker 5: So when you place a wager at betmgm, that bet

623
00:28:44,280 --> 00:28:47,520
Speaker 5: can automatically be tracked in your Action app. So open

624
00:28:47,560 --> 00:28:50,040
Speaker 5: an account today and make your first bet risk free

625
00:28:50,360 --> 00:28:52,640
Speaker 5: up to six hundred dollars just click on the link

626
00:28:52,680 --> 00:28:55,720
Speaker 5: in this episode description to get started. Must be twenty

627
00:28:55,720 --> 00:28:59,080
Speaker 5: one or older and physically located in Michigan, New Jersey, Colorado, Indiana,

628
00:28:59,160 --> 00:29:03,480
Speaker 5: West Virginia, Virginia, Tennessee, Nevada, or Pennsylvania. Please gimble responsibly

629
00:29:03,600 --> 00:29:05,720
Speaker 5: gambling problem called what eight hundred and five two two

630
00:29:05,800 --> 00:29:08,280
Speaker 5: forty seven hundred in Colorado and Nevada. One eight hundred

631
00:29:08,280 --> 00:29:10,760
Speaker 5: gimbler in New Jersey, Pennsylvania in West Virginia. One eight

632
00:29:10,840 --> 00:29:13,120
Speaker 5: hundred and nine with it in Indiana. One eight hundred

633
00:29:13,120 --> 00:29:14,760
Speaker 5: and two seven zero seven to one to one seven

634
00:29:14,800 --> 00:29:16,920
Speaker 5: in Michigan, one one hundred eight nine nine seven eight

635
00:29:17,000 --> 00:29:18,680
Speaker 5: nine in Tennessee. One eight one hundred bets off in

636
00:29:18,760 --> 00:29:21,000
Speaker 5: Iowa or one eight eight five three two thirty five

637
00:29:21,080 --> 00:29:25,000
Speaker 5: hundred in Virginia. Betsink not available in Nevata. Thanks for listening.

638
00:29:25,200 --> 00:29:26,200
Speaker 5: Now back to the show.

639
00:29:28,320 --> 00:29:30,440
Speaker 4: Uh So, from your favorite team, we go to my

640
00:29:30,520 --> 00:29:33,480
Speaker 4: favorite team, the Minnesota Vikings. So I started out on

641
00:29:33,480 --> 00:29:35,760
Speaker 4: the Cowboys with your favorite you get to start out

642
00:29:35,760 --> 00:29:37,000
Speaker 4: on the Vikings with my favorite.

643
00:29:37,040 --> 00:29:38,600
Speaker 2: What do we think about my boys? This year?

644
00:29:38,800 --> 00:29:41,720
Speaker 3: I had mixed fillins, you know, just miss some sharp

645
00:29:41,800 --> 00:29:44,240
Speaker 3: money on the over eight and a half wins.

646
00:29:44,360 --> 00:29:45,400
Speaker 1: I believe that said nine.

647
00:29:45,480 --> 00:29:49,600
Speaker 3: Now, I just think I'm expecting improvement from this this

648
00:29:49,720 --> 00:29:50,600
Speaker 3: Vikings defense.

649
00:29:50,640 --> 00:29:53,320
Speaker 1: I mean, the offense was as good as you hoped

650
00:29:53,320 --> 00:29:54,160
Speaker 1: it to be last year.

651
00:29:54,160 --> 00:29:58,720
Speaker 3: Were Kirk Cousins, you know, Justin Jefferson, Adam Thielen, Dalvin Cook.

652
00:29:59,200 --> 00:30:01,560
Speaker 3: So I think this this is a team that can

653
00:30:01,720 --> 00:30:05,320
Speaker 3: realistically make the playoffs. But I'm wondering if this is

654
00:30:05,760 --> 00:30:09,040
Speaker 3: Mike zimmers last year here. It's just because I don't

655
00:30:09,040 --> 00:30:11,200
Speaker 3: know if he's getting through to the players. You know,

656
00:30:11,240 --> 00:30:15,200
Speaker 3: you have Kirk Cousins talking about he's not getting vaccinated.

657
00:30:15,600 --> 00:30:18,120
Speaker 3: It's like for the football reasons. I feel like there's

658
00:30:18,200 --> 00:30:21,200
Speaker 3: reasons that this team could make the playoffs, But I

659
00:30:21,320 --> 00:30:22,880
Speaker 3: just I'm totally not sure.

660
00:30:22,920 --> 00:30:23,480
Speaker 1: What do you think?

661
00:30:23,680 --> 00:30:25,000
Speaker 2: I really am not sure.

662
00:30:25,360 --> 00:30:28,880
Speaker 4: It feels this team could go really good or really bad.

663
00:30:29,040 --> 00:30:31,560
Speaker 4: And to me, it almost feels the Cowboys to me,

664
00:30:31,680 --> 00:30:33,280
Speaker 4: where it's like I don't think they're gonna end up

665
00:30:33,280 --> 00:30:36,520
Speaker 4: in the middle. On the one hand, the defense is

666
00:30:36,520 --> 00:30:40,360
Speaker 4: gonna be way better. Daniel Hunter is back, Dalvin Tomlinson,

667
00:30:40,480 --> 00:30:42,760
Speaker 4: Michael Pierce, Sheldon Richardson is going to shore up that

668
00:30:43,160 --> 00:30:47,240
Speaker 4: horrible run defense. Patrick Peterson, Rashad Breeland. I think the

669
00:30:47,240 --> 00:30:49,400
Speaker 4: corner is gonna be a lot better this year. I

670
00:30:49,560 --> 00:30:52,760
Speaker 4: ranked the defense number two in my defensive rankings at

671
00:30:52,800 --> 00:30:54,560
Speaker 4: my article last week.

672
00:30:54,960 --> 00:30:56,000
Speaker 2: If you're the number.

673
00:30:55,720 --> 00:30:58,000
Speaker 4: Two defense and like, look, we know the offense is

674
00:30:58,040 --> 00:31:02,000
Speaker 4: going to be solid to good. Kirk Cousins and Dalvin

675
00:31:02,080 --> 00:31:04,760
Speaker 4: Cook and Theelen and Jefferson, there's a lot of weapons

676
00:31:04,760 --> 00:31:09,320
Speaker 4: there on paper. I think Minnesota should be top ten

677
00:31:09,400 --> 00:31:13,280
Speaker 4: or twelve on run offense, pass offense, run defense, and

678
00:31:13,400 --> 00:31:16,600
Speaker 4: pass defense. If you're good at all four of the things,

679
00:31:16,840 --> 00:31:19,440
Speaker 4: you should be good. Only Tampa and Baltimore are my

680
00:31:19,520 --> 00:31:21,440
Speaker 4: only other two teams that fit those criteria.

681
00:31:22,200 --> 00:31:24,560
Speaker 2: So the Vikings should be good.

682
00:31:24,960 --> 00:31:26,959
Speaker 4: As a Vikings fan, that makes me think we're going

683
00:31:27,000 --> 00:31:30,120
Speaker 4: to be absolutely terrible, because that's how things go. The

684
00:31:30,760 --> 00:31:33,360
Speaker 4: team is under two thirds vaccinated, by far, the least

685
00:31:33,360 --> 00:31:34,880
Speaker 4: of any team in the NFL. According to all the

686
00:31:34,880 --> 00:31:38,280
Speaker 4: reports that we've seen, it's a super thin team. Irv

687
00:31:38,360 --> 00:31:40,200
Speaker 4: Smith is the new tight end. He's already hurt.

688
00:31:40,600 --> 00:31:43,400
Speaker 2: Christian Darisaw is the first round pick at left tackle.

689
00:31:43,400 --> 00:31:44,000
Speaker 2: He's already hurt.

690
00:31:44,000 --> 00:31:46,479
Speaker 4: He hasn't even played yet, so who knows when he's

691
00:31:46,520 --> 00:31:48,480
Speaker 4: going to see the field. He's never seen NFL talent

692
00:31:48,560 --> 00:31:51,600
Speaker 4: yet before. The old line doesn't have need depth. There's

693
00:31:51,600 --> 00:31:54,120
Speaker 4: two receivers on the team. There's nothing behind them. There's

694
00:31:54,160 --> 00:31:57,640
Speaker 4: no safety depth. It's just like of all the years,

695
00:31:57,720 --> 00:31:59,920
Speaker 4: to have a top heavy team with no depth behind

696
00:32:00,160 --> 00:32:03,640
Speaker 4: it in a COVID season, with the team that doesn't

697
00:32:03,640 --> 00:32:05,880
Speaker 4: believe in vaccinations.

698
00:32:05,560 --> 00:32:07,040
Speaker 2: I'm not really loving it.

699
00:32:07,160 --> 00:32:10,400
Speaker 4: I feel like this could go really awry the later

700
00:32:10,480 --> 00:32:13,560
Speaker 4: in the season. Here's five games Minnesota plays. This is

701
00:32:13,640 --> 00:32:19,440
Speaker 4: consecutive games. They play Cowboys, Ravens, Chargers, Packers, forty nine ers.

702
00:32:19,960 --> 00:32:23,120
Speaker 4: That's five That is a brutal month. And if things

703
00:32:23,120 --> 00:32:25,719
Speaker 4: start a little slowly here, or if like that, you know,

704
00:32:25,960 --> 00:32:29,080
Speaker 4: the wrong teammates get into code protocol at the wrong time,

705
00:32:29,680 --> 00:32:32,960
Speaker 4: that could just go way sideways. So I don't know

706
00:32:32,960 --> 00:32:35,480
Speaker 4: what to make of the vikings. My bet for the

707
00:32:35,520 --> 00:32:38,880
Speaker 4: team is I'm going stage of elimination. You can bet,

708
00:32:38,960 --> 00:32:41,560
Speaker 4: like on how far will they make the during the season.

709
00:32:42,120 --> 00:32:44,160
Speaker 4: I think this is a team that really ought to

710
00:32:44,160 --> 00:32:47,080
Speaker 4: make the playoffs, but now you got Kirk Cousins and

711
00:32:47,320 --> 00:32:50,440
Speaker 4: he's not going to make a far playoff run. I

712
00:32:50,560 --> 00:32:52,520
Speaker 4: like them to lose in the wild card round, So

713
00:32:52,560 --> 00:32:55,880
Speaker 4: losing the first round at plus two seventy five, that

714
00:32:55,960 --> 00:32:58,360
Speaker 4: gives me outs because if things go really well, maybe

715
00:32:58,360 --> 00:33:01,240
Speaker 4: they win the division, but they absolutely could lose a

716
00:33:01,280 --> 00:33:03,560
Speaker 4: home game to one of those other good NFC teams,

717
00:33:03,960 --> 00:33:05,920
Speaker 4: or they get in as a wildcard team. Kirk on

718
00:33:05,960 --> 00:33:08,560
Speaker 4: the road, that's free money at that point. So plus

719
00:33:08,560 --> 00:33:11,280
Speaker 4: two seventy five to be eliminated in a wildcard round.

720
00:33:11,560 --> 00:33:12,840
Speaker 4: Did you have a bet on this team or are

721
00:33:12,840 --> 00:33:13,920
Speaker 4: you just out on them totally?

722
00:33:14,240 --> 00:33:17,200
Speaker 1: The numbers already move, but I do like what the

723
00:33:17,280 --> 00:33:18,960
Speaker 1: shops with the over eight and a half.

724
00:33:19,640 --> 00:33:21,880
Speaker 4: All right, well, we are blitzing here, and we are

725
00:33:22,000 --> 00:33:23,760
Speaker 4: slow on the blitz so far, so we're gonna pick

726
00:33:23,800 --> 00:33:25,200
Speaker 4: up the pace a little bit as we hit the

727
00:33:25,240 --> 00:33:28,040
Speaker 4: second the back half of the NFC here, But I'm

728
00:33:28,040 --> 00:33:31,120
Speaker 4: not so sure that Washington Football team is necessarily in

729
00:33:31,160 --> 00:33:33,560
Speaker 4: the back half. I think you have them six on

730
00:33:33,600 --> 00:33:36,680
Speaker 4: your rankings overall here and definitely a team for you

731
00:33:36,840 --> 00:33:39,120
Speaker 4: that you think can win a playoff game. I'm not

732
00:33:39,200 --> 00:33:41,120
Speaker 4: sold on their ability to win a playoff game, So

733
00:33:41,160 --> 00:33:43,760
Speaker 4: sell me on why Washington is in your top ish

734
00:33:43,800 --> 00:33:44,480
Speaker 4: tier still.

735
00:33:45,200 --> 00:33:49,920
Speaker 3: I mean, you got Chase Young Mont Has Sweat, Dron Payne,

736
00:33:50,520 --> 00:33:52,520
Speaker 3: jam and Davis. I mean, you have one of the

737
00:33:52,600 --> 00:33:56,200
Speaker 3: best front sevens in the NFL. You have a team

738
00:33:56,360 --> 00:33:59,080
Speaker 3: that you know, played the corpse of Alex Smith and

739
00:33:59,360 --> 00:34:02,320
Speaker 3: Dwayne has this last year, and now they're gonna get

740
00:34:02,560 --> 00:34:05,880
Speaker 3: an upgrade at quarterback at Ryan Schmitzpatrick. If it's not

741
00:34:05,960 --> 00:34:09,880
Speaker 3: Ryan switz Patrick, it's gonna be Tailor Henike. This team,

742
00:34:10,080 --> 00:34:12,400
Speaker 3: I mean, the defense is so good. I mean, I

743
00:34:12,440 --> 00:34:15,040
Speaker 3: love this team. I'm taking them to win a division

744
00:34:15,080 --> 00:34:18,680
Speaker 3: at plus two sixty. I mean they have weapons around.

745
00:34:18,800 --> 00:34:23,799
Speaker 3: They got Antonio Gibson, Terry McLaurin, Curtis Samuel. I think

746
00:34:23,840 --> 00:34:26,000
Speaker 3: the offense is going to be that much better this year,

747
00:34:26,040 --> 00:34:29,080
Speaker 3: and then the defense continues to be good. I just

748
00:34:29,840 --> 00:34:31,799
Speaker 3: I don't see how there's a better team in the

749
00:34:31,920 --> 00:34:35,279
Speaker 3: NFC East. If you ask me so, I'm taking them

750
00:34:35,320 --> 00:34:38,160
Speaker 3: to win a division. I think the secondary is gonna

751
00:34:38,200 --> 00:34:40,560
Speaker 3: be good as well. Just give me them to win

752
00:34:40,640 --> 00:34:42,080
Speaker 3: a division plus sixty.

753
00:34:42,360 --> 00:34:46,000
Speaker 4: Yeah, I overlooked this team coming into my prep for

754
00:34:46,040 --> 00:34:48,960
Speaker 4: the season. It's a really fun team. Like if this

755
00:34:49,160 --> 00:34:51,439
Speaker 4: was the NBA, this would be a league pass team

756
00:34:51,520 --> 00:34:53,839
Speaker 4: for me. Like, this team is gonna be behind the list.

757
00:34:53,880 --> 00:34:56,200
Speaker 4: It's gonna be a high flying offense, be passing it

758
00:34:56,239 --> 00:34:59,480
Speaker 4: down the field. The pass rushers are fun. Here's the

759
00:34:59,520 --> 00:35:02,720
Speaker 4: problem though, Remember we talked about those three variable games

760
00:35:02,760 --> 00:35:06,120
Speaker 4: depending on how you finished. Last year, Washington won their division,

761
00:35:06,320 --> 00:35:09,160
Speaker 4: and because they won the division, their three variable games

762
00:35:09,200 --> 00:35:13,960
Speaker 4: this season come against Aaron Rodgers, Russell Wilson, and Josh Allen.

763
00:35:14,520 --> 00:35:16,520
Speaker 2: Thanks hope you enjoyed your playoff.

764
00:35:16,160 --> 00:35:19,200
Speaker 4: Loss last year, because that is a rough schedule to

765
00:35:19,600 --> 00:35:22,719
Speaker 4: get those three on top of everything else. Washington is

766
00:35:22,760 --> 00:35:24,720
Speaker 4: the only team in the NFL that has to play

767
00:35:25,080 --> 00:35:29,319
Speaker 4: Mahomes and Rodgers and Brady and Russ this year. So

768
00:35:29,920 --> 00:35:32,120
Speaker 4: the defense is really good, but boy are they going

769
00:35:32,160 --> 00:35:35,120
Speaker 4: to be tested all season, and the offense can't help

770
00:35:35,160 --> 00:35:35,800
Speaker 4: but be better.

771
00:35:36,080 --> 00:35:36,920
Speaker 2: But I don't know.

772
00:35:37,200 --> 00:35:39,880
Speaker 4: To me, this is my first team out of the playoffs.

773
00:35:40,000 --> 00:35:42,560
Speaker 4: Maybe they get in if Minnesota or Dallas craters. I

774
00:35:42,560 --> 00:35:45,320
Speaker 4: think it's very possible. I'm taking what to me is

775
00:35:45,400 --> 00:35:47,040
Speaker 4: kind of a safer play here, but I still get

776
00:35:47,040 --> 00:35:49,600
Speaker 4: a plus one ninety on it. I'm going to Washington

777
00:35:49,719 --> 00:35:52,839
Speaker 4: over three and a half division wins. That's crazy to

778
00:35:52,880 --> 00:35:55,319
Speaker 4: me that that's a plus one ninety. The Eagles are

779
00:35:55,360 --> 00:35:58,239
Speaker 4: not good. The Giants are terrible, and the Cowboys might

780
00:35:58,280 --> 00:36:01,799
Speaker 4: be bad. We don't know yet. Washington could easily lose

781
00:36:01,840 --> 00:36:03,920
Speaker 4: to Dallas twice and still go four to know in

782
00:36:03,920 --> 00:36:06,640
Speaker 4: the other games, or they beat Dallas once and get

783
00:36:06,640 --> 00:36:09,919
Speaker 4: three of the other four that it's it's really tough

784
00:36:09,920 --> 00:36:12,680
Speaker 4: to me to see Washington just being so bad because

785
00:36:12,719 --> 00:36:15,279
Speaker 4: the defense gives them a high floor. So I like

786
00:36:15,360 --> 00:36:17,440
Speaker 4: them at one ninety to be over three and a

787
00:36:17,480 --> 00:36:20,879
Speaker 4: half division wins. The team that I don't like as much,

788
00:36:20,880 --> 00:36:22,839
Speaker 4: and now we are definitely out of teams that either

789
00:36:22,840 --> 00:36:25,680
Speaker 4: one of us has as winning a playoff game. The

790
00:36:25,760 --> 00:36:28,640
Speaker 4: Arizona Cardinals. You've got them as a team that can

791
00:36:28,640 --> 00:36:30,719
Speaker 4: still make the playoffs. I have them even further. I

792
00:36:30,719 --> 00:36:33,680
Speaker 4: have the Cardinals eleventh in my NFC. I just don't

793
00:36:33,680 --> 00:36:37,040
Speaker 4: believe in this team. Well, I don't believe in Cliff Kingsbury.

794
00:36:37,360 --> 00:36:40,920
Speaker 4: I don't like Cliff Kingsbury. The man is in love

795
00:36:41,000 --> 00:36:44,560
Speaker 4: with bubble screens and curls. They got the whole offense

796
00:36:44,560 --> 00:36:47,239
Speaker 4: built around Kyler's legs, and they's like they're doing nothing

797
00:36:47,320 --> 00:36:51,160
Speaker 4: to help them. That this the roster on paper, I've

798
00:36:51,160 --> 00:36:54,560
Speaker 4: got roster rankings on paper the Cardinals are twelfth on

799
00:36:54,640 --> 00:36:58,000
Speaker 4: offense and fourteenth on defense. That should be a playoff team,

800
00:36:58,360 --> 00:37:01,520
Speaker 4: but they're only twentieth overall because the head coaching and

801
00:37:01,560 --> 00:37:04,160
Speaker 4: the special teams brings everything down so much, like it's

802
00:37:04,200 --> 00:37:08,520
Speaker 4: a multiplying factor and we're multiplaying by negatives. So Arizona,

803
00:37:08,560 --> 00:37:11,319
Speaker 4: they went out and they brought in AJ Green and

804
00:37:11,440 --> 00:37:16,000
Speaker 4: JJ Watt and Malcolm Butler and Matt Prater and James Connor. Like,

805
00:37:16,120 --> 00:37:19,000
Speaker 4: to me, this reeks of a team that is like

806
00:37:19,080 --> 00:37:22,040
Speaker 4: playing Madden and is just like, Oh, I know that name,

807
00:37:22,200 --> 00:37:24,960
Speaker 4: Oh JJ Watt, I've heard of him. Malcolm Butler. Didn't

808
00:37:24,960 --> 00:37:27,360
Speaker 4: he win the Super Bowl MVP? He had the interception.

809
00:37:27,920 --> 00:37:30,880
Speaker 4: I think they're just grabbing guys like these guys are not,

810
00:37:30,960 --> 00:37:33,160
Speaker 4: Like there's a reason these players are. We're all free

811
00:37:33,160 --> 00:37:36,600
Speaker 4: agents and there's a reason they're available. I just feel

812
00:37:36,640 --> 00:37:39,880
Speaker 4: like the Arizona, the management, the direction, the coaching, it

813
00:37:40,000 --> 00:37:42,080
Speaker 4: just dooms the team. To me, I just I don't

814
00:37:42,160 --> 00:37:44,200
Speaker 4: want I don't want part of it.

815
00:37:44,400 --> 00:37:45,839
Speaker 1: I actually don't want part of them either.

816
00:37:45,880 --> 00:37:47,399
Speaker 3: I think one of the reasons why I had them

817
00:37:47,400 --> 00:37:49,880
Speaker 3: in that tier in which they could make the playoffs

818
00:37:49,960 --> 00:37:52,560
Speaker 3: is that you have Kyler Murray and DeAndre Hopkins. I

819
00:37:52,600 --> 00:37:56,400
Speaker 3: think sometimes that's enough you have a you know, solid quarterback.

820
00:37:56,640 --> 00:38:00,000
Speaker 3: But I'm not a believer in Cliff Kingsbury either. Malcolm Butler,

821
00:38:00,120 --> 00:38:03,240
Speaker 3: I mean, he hasn't been good in years. JJ Watt

822
00:38:03,840 --> 00:38:06,200
Speaker 3: could be a waste of money. I think, you know,

823
00:38:06,239 --> 00:38:09,759
Speaker 3: their high ceiling is making it to the playoffs. But

824
00:38:09,800 --> 00:38:12,080
Speaker 3: for me, I think my best bet here is the

825
00:38:12,200 --> 00:38:15,839
Speaker 3: Arizona Cardinals finishing forth in the division at plus one ten.

826
00:38:16,200 --> 00:38:18,920
Speaker 3: They're obviously the worst team in this division between the

827
00:38:19,040 --> 00:38:22,640
Speaker 3: Rams forty nine ers and Seattle Seahawks. We're in agreement that,

828
00:38:22,719 --> 00:38:24,920
Speaker 3: you know, Cliff Kingsbury is probably going to be fired

829
00:38:24,960 --> 00:38:27,719
Speaker 3: at the end of this year. He has basic concepts

830
00:38:28,080 --> 00:38:30,640
Speaker 3: and I think, I mean, one of the things that

831
00:38:31,080 --> 00:38:35,239
Speaker 3: people don't really recognize is that Belichick took his soul,

832
00:38:35,880 --> 00:38:39,920
Speaker 3: you know, like I mean, like seriously, if you were watching,

833
00:38:40,040 --> 00:38:44,359
Speaker 3: you know their season last year, Arizona's offense was running wild,

834
00:38:44,880 --> 00:38:47,920
Speaker 3: and then they played the New England Patriots. You know,

835
00:38:47,960 --> 00:38:50,040
Speaker 3: they decided to go small, put a lot of corners

836
00:38:50,080 --> 00:38:54,839
Speaker 3: out there, and since then, Arizona's offense completely fell off

837
00:38:54,840 --> 00:38:57,920
Speaker 3: a cliff. And I think with another year you're going

838
00:38:58,000 --> 00:39:00,480
Speaker 3: to have more difference of coordinators doing that. And do

839
00:39:00,560 --> 00:39:05,840
Speaker 3: we really trust Cliff Kingsbury's ability to make adjustments? I don't,

840
00:39:05,880 --> 00:39:09,359
Speaker 3: so I think forfeiting Division plus one ten, you've got

841
00:39:09,360 --> 00:39:10,239
Speaker 3: some good value on it.

842
00:39:10,719 --> 00:39:15,000
Speaker 4: I love the accidental wordplay there fell off a cliff. Boy,

843
00:39:15,040 --> 00:39:18,120
Speaker 4: did they ever fall off the cliff? And Arizona fans

844
00:39:18,160 --> 00:39:20,600
Speaker 4: will be hoping they fall off of cliff and get

845
00:39:20,640 --> 00:39:22,440
Speaker 4: a real coach in there by the end of the season.

846
00:39:22,480 --> 00:39:24,839
Speaker 2: I think I'm one hundred percent with you.

847
00:39:24,920 --> 00:39:27,279
Speaker 4: Last in the division plus one ten one of my

848
00:39:27,320 --> 00:39:30,279
Speaker 4: favorite bets of the entire podcast here. That division is

849
00:39:30,360 --> 00:39:33,000
Speaker 4: really good. Those other three teams are all playoff teams.

850
00:39:33,000 --> 00:39:35,799
Speaker 4: To me, Arizona is tough to make the playoffs if

851
00:39:35,800 --> 00:39:38,000
Speaker 4: you were a last near division. So plus one ten,

852
00:39:38,480 --> 00:39:42,279
Speaker 4: thank you betting gods for the plus number, because I

853
00:39:42,400 --> 00:39:46,120
Speaker 4: want to play the Cardinals to fade the Cardinals ends

854
00:39:46,160 --> 00:39:49,120
Speaker 4: a play on those other three teams, all right. Number

855
00:39:49,120 --> 00:39:51,719
Speaker 4: ten on our list is the New Orleans Saints kind

856
00:39:51,719 --> 00:39:54,200
Speaker 4: of stuck in the middle. So you said that you're

857
00:39:54,200 --> 00:39:57,000
Speaker 4: in on the Jamis Winston experience. I have been out

858
00:39:57,000 --> 00:39:59,239
Speaker 4: on the Jamis Winston experience since like the moment that

859
00:39:59,280 --> 00:40:02,120
Speaker 4: I ever laid on on him. So tell me about Jamas.

860
00:40:02,440 --> 00:40:04,160
Speaker 4: Why do I need to believe again?

861
00:40:05,200 --> 00:40:07,160
Speaker 3: I mean I said I'm a Jamis oncet In Truther

862
00:40:07,640 --> 00:40:11,279
Speaker 3: because I believe he has the talent to be you know,

863
00:40:11,400 --> 00:40:15,799
Speaker 3: he reminds me of like Atlanta Brett Farth Okay, I

864
00:40:15,800 --> 00:40:18,319
Speaker 3: think he has that that gun slinger mentality. But I

865
00:40:18,320 --> 00:40:21,200
Speaker 3: don't know if this is the team where he can actually,

866
00:40:21,280 --> 00:40:21,960
Speaker 3: you know, thrive.

867
00:40:22,400 --> 00:40:24,200
Speaker 1: I mean he let Emanuel Sanders walk.

868
00:40:24,560 --> 00:40:26,520
Speaker 3: We don't know if Michael Thomas is ever going to

869
00:40:26,560 --> 00:40:30,439
Speaker 3: play again, So I'm not sure that he's the guy

870
00:40:30,520 --> 00:40:32,080
Speaker 3: that you want to see on this team. They don't

871
00:40:32,120 --> 00:40:35,200
Speaker 3: have the receivers that he had in Tampa Bay. And

872
00:40:35,200 --> 00:40:36,880
Speaker 3: then when I look at this defense, I mean the

873
00:40:36,880 --> 00:40:39,880
Speaker 3: guys are getting older. I mean Cameron Cameron Jordan is

874
00:40:39,880 --> 00:40:44,319
Speaker 3: thirty two years old, Trey Hendrickson left, Malcolm Jenkins is

875
00:40:44,360 --> 00:40:46,280
Speaker 3: thirty four years old. Towards the end of his career,

876
00:40:46,920 --> 00:40:50,640
Speaker 3: marsh A. Lottimore, he wasn't what he was his rookie season.

877
00:40:50,960 --> 00:40:54,280
Speaker 3: He was fifty seventh and success rates along with forty

878
00:40:54,320 --> 00:40:59,000
Speaker 3: seven percent success rate among you know, against opposing receivers.

879
00:40:59,239 --> 00:41:02,240
Speaker 3: I don't really trust the secondary. The difference of line

880
00:41:02,320 --> 00:41:06,160
Speaker 3: is getting older, guys are walking. The offense is not

881
00:41:06,200 --> 00:41:08,920
Speaker 3: going to be nearly as good. So I'm out on

882
00:41:08,960 --> 00:41:10,880
Speaker 3: his team. I mean, there's been some sharp money to

883
00:41:10,960 --> 00:41:14,200
Speaker 3: hit this total, this win total at under nine and

884
00:41:14,239 --> 00:41:16,720
Speaker 3: a half, I think under nine is still good.

885
00:41:16,960 --> 00:41:18,400
Speaker 1: I'm going under on the Saints.

886
00:41:18,440 --> 00:41:20,520
Speaker 3: I think you're gonna get some improvement between the Falcons

887
00:41:20,560 --> 00:41:22,640
Speaker 3: and the Panthers and that's gonna be enough to push

888
00:41:22,719 --> 00:41:23,160
Speaker 3: them under.

889
00:41:23,440 --> 00:41:23,760
Speaker 2: Yeah.

890
00:41:23,920 --> 00:41:26,160
Speaker 4: I was way out on the Saints, and I'm a

891
00:41:26,200 --> 00:41:29,160
Speaker 4: little less out just because the defense is still gonna

892
00:41:29,160 --> 00:41:31,759
Speaker 4: be pretty good, the offensive line is really good, the

893
00:41:31,800 --> 00:41:34,560
Speaker 4: coaching is really good, all of those things like this

894
00:41:34,600 --> 00:41:36,759
Speaker 4: is the anti Cardinals, Like that just gives you a

895
00:41:36,840 --> 00:41:40,120
Speaker 4: high floor when you've got defense and blocking and coaching.

896
00:41:40,960 --> 00:41:45,040
Speaker 4: You know, whatever Jamis can be, they're gonna find out.

897
00:41:45,160 --> 00:41:47,000
Speaker 4: They're gonna put him on a spot like, don't bet

898
00:41:47,040 --> 00:41:49,560
Speaker 4: Jamis to leave the league interceptions. I know that he's

899
00:41:49,600 --> 00:41:53,440
Speaker 4: a turnover machine, but they're just not gonna let it happen.

900
00:41:53,680 --> 00:41:56,239
Speaker 4: If it happens, then they'll turn to Taysom Hill or

901
00:41:56,280 --> 00:41:58,319
Speaker 4: they'll be like you hand off the ball on every play,

902
00:41:58,360 --> 00:42:01,040
Speaker 4: now or Alvin Kamara will play quarter back like Sean

903
00:42:01,080 --> 00:42:04,000
Speaker 4: Payton will find a way. They're going to figure something out,

904
00:42:04,080 --> 00:42:06,200
Speaker 4: and so that that leads me to not want to

905
00:42:06,200 --> 00:42:07,400
Speaker 4: be totally out on this team.

906
00:42:07,640 --> 00:42:08,440
Speaker 2: But here's what I know.

907
00:42:09,040 --> 00:42:12,480
Speaker 4: Last year, the Bucks went from Jameis Winston to a

908
00:42:12,520 --> 00:42:15,120
Speaker 4: Hall of Fame quarterback and they jumped from seven to

909
00:42:15,239 --> 00:42:17,800
Speaker 4: nine to winning the Super Bowl. This year, the Saints

910
00:42:17,840 --> 00:42:20,600
Speaker 4: are going from a Hall of Fame quarterback to Jameis Winston.

911
00:42:20,800 --> 00:42:23,640
Speaker 4: It's the other direction. I don't like where things are

912
00:42:23,680 --> 00:42:27,200
Speaker 4: trending here. The Saints the last two years were the

913
00:42:27,320 --> 00:42:30,960
Speaker 4: number one offense inefficiency when Drew Brees was on the field.

914
00:42:31,280 --> 00:42:33,440
Speaker 4: Yeah that Drew Brees, the one that we agree should

915
00:42:33,440 --> 00:42:36,399
Speaker 4: be retired now still number one. When he was out

916
00:42:36,440 --> 00:42:40,080
Speaker 4: for those games, they dropped a number twenty. So I

917
00:42:40,160 --> 00:42:42,400
Speaker 4: just I don't think it'd be good enough. This is

918
00:42:42,440 --> 00:42:44,840
Speaker 4: our tenth team on the list. I'm just taking the

919
00:42:44,840 --> 00:42:47,759
Speaker 4: Saints to miss the playoffs minus one thirty. I just

920
00:42:47,800 --> 00:42:50,359
Speaker 4: something can get there. The NFC is real deep and

921
00:42:50,560 --> 00:42:53,399
Speaker 4: there's too many teams in the way. So we're both

922
00:42:53,440 --> 00:42:56,239
Speaker 4: out on the Saints. We mentioned the Falcons and the

923
00:42:56,280 --> 00:42:58,319
Speaker 4: Panthers They're the next two seams on our list, So

924
00:42:58,400 --> 00:43:01,520
Speaker 4: the Atlanta Falcons. I want to get there. On the Falcons,

925
00:43:01,680 --> 00:43:04,560
Speaker 4: I love Arthur Smith, the new coach. I love Dean

926
00:43:04,640 --> 00:43:07,400
Speaker 4: Peas out of retirement to coach the defense. This is

927
00:43:07,440 --> 00:43:10,480
Speaker 4: a regression team all over the place. They went four

928
00:43:10,520 --> 00:43:13,080
Speaker 4: and twelve last year, but by Pythagorean we're closer like

929
00:43:13,120 --> 00:43:16,319
Speaker 4: a five hundred team. Basically, the Atlanta lost six games

930
00:43:16,400 --> 00:43:19,000
Speaker 4: last year where they had an eighty percent win expectancy

931
00:43:19,160 --> 00:43:21,799
Speaker 4: and then lost anyway. They led the Chiefs and the

932
00:43:21,840 --> 00:43:24,000
Speaker 4: Bucks in the second half. They had that game where

933
00:43:24,000 --> 00:43:26,480
Speaker 4: Todd Gurley fell into the end zone against the Lions

934
00:43:26,480 --> 00:43:28,759
Speaker 4: and they lost. They had that weird on side kick

935
00:43:28,800 --> 00:43:31,680
Speaker 4: against the Cowboys after they're up twenty to nothing and lost.

936
00:43:32,160 --> 00:43:35,240
Speaker 4: They let Mitchell Trubisky like extend his career by season

937
00:43:35,320 --> 00:43:38,080
Speaker 4: or two against the Bears, and they just they blew

938
00:43:38,160 --> 00:43:41,239
Speaker 4: so many games. They just aren't very talented though, like

939
00:43:41,640 --> 00:43:44,840
Speaker 4: all the regression stuff is there. I love Smith, I

940
00:43:44,880 --> 00:43:46,960
Speaker 4: love Peace. It just feels like this is kind of

941
00:43:47,000 --> 00:43:49,600
Speaker 4: going to take some time and be a transitional year.

942
00:43:49,719 --> 00:43:52,200
Speaker 2: So I want to like the Falcons.

943
00:43:52,840 --> 00:43:54,880
Speaker 4: I do think they're going to be better, but I

944
00:43:54,920 --> 00:43:57,560
Speaker 4: don't know if I can get too much further with them.

945
00:43:57,640 --> 00:43:58,960
Speaker 2: What do you think about Atlanta this year?

946
00:43:59,480 --> 00:44:00,800
Speaker 1: I think we're on the same page.

947
00:44:00,880 --> 00:44:03,400
Speaker 3: And then I think one thing you also have to

948
00:44:03,440 --> 00:44:08,239
Speaker 3: add is they also lose a home game because they're

949
00:44:08,239 --> 00:44:12,760
Speaker 3: playing the New York Jets in Week five and London.

950
00:44:12,920 --> 00:44:15,560
Speaker 1: So I think they're really in a tight position.

951
00:44:15,680 --> 00:44:17,640
Speaker 3: Like you said, I want to like them. I want

952
00:44:17,640 --> 00:44:20,160
Speaker 3: to go over to win total seven and a half,

953
00:44:20,320 --> 00:44:22,080
Speaker 3: but this is a pass for me.

954
00:44:22,920 --> 00:44:23,160
Speaker 2: Yeah.

955
00:44:23,200 --> 00:44:25,040
Speaker 4: Well, the one thing I do like is that their

956
00:44:25,080 --> 00:44:27,719
Speaker 4: schedule is really winnable. They only have four games this

957
00:44:27,840 --> 00:44:30,840
Speaker 4: season against a quarterback that I would say as a

958
00:44:30,880 --> 00:44:34,359
Speaker 4: top half of the league quarterback, and this defense has

959
00:44:34,360 --> 00:44:36,200
Speaker 4: been pretty good against the run over the years.

960
00:44:36,239 --> 00:44:37,520
Speaker 2: They just can't defend the pass.

961
00:44:37,960 --> 00:44:41,040
Speaker 4: But like the fifth best quarterback on their schedule is

962
00:44:41,080 --> 00:44:44,200
Speaker 4: either Jimmy Garoppolo or Jared Goff, so whatever the drop

963
00:44:44,280 --> 00:44:46,399
Speaker 4: is to those guys, Like obviously they got to phase

964
00:44:46,400 --> 00:44:48,919
Speaker 4: of Brady twice, but there's just not much else there.

965
00:44:49,000 --> 00:44:51,560
Speaker 4: So I think that this is a team. To me,

966
00:44:51,680 --> 00:44:54,880
Speaker 4: this is almost like a Seahawks team, but without Russell Wilson,

967
00:44:55,120 --> 00:44:57,320
Speaker 4: Like I can see a lot of close winnable games,

968
00:44:57,680 --> 00:45:00,239
Speaker 4: and who knows, maybe Arthur Smith and Matt Ryan can

969
00:45:00,280 --> 00:45:02,480
Speaker 4: win some of those games that this team has always

970
00:45:02,480 --> 00:45:05,640
Speaker 4: found ways to lose since that Super Bowl collapse. So

971
00:45:06,280 --> 00:45:08,680
Speaker 4: I like Atlanta. I couldn't quite get there to win

972
00:45:08,719 --> 00:45:10,759
Speaker 4: the division at plus eight fifty. But here's what I do.

973
00:45:10,960 --> 00:45:14,320
Speaker 4: Like Tampa Bay number one, Atlanta number two in the division.

974
00:45:14,719 --> 00:45:16,520
Speaker 4: So basically, we all think the Bucks can win the

975
00:45:16,520 --> 00:45:18,959
Speaker 4: division anyway, that's a given. Nobody else can catch them.

976
00:45:19,280 --> 00:45:21,080
Speaker 4: But I like the Falcons better than the Saints and

977
00:45:21,120 --> 00:45:24,319
Speaker 4: the Panthers plus five hundred to go one two in

978
00:45:24,320 --> 00:45:27,360
Speaker 4: the division. So that's my play, just seeing if Atlanta

979
00:45:27,400 --> 00:45:29,440
Speaker 4: can get there a little bit more than the Saints

980
00:45:29,440 --> 00:45:32,239
Speaker 4: and Panthers. So the Panthers areur next team. They're number

981
00:45:32,239 --> 00:45:35,640
Speaker 4: twelve on our list. I gotta be honest, the Panthers

982
00:45:35,880 --> 00:45:37,680
Speaker 4: might be the team that I have thought the least

983
00:45:37,719 --> 00:45:40,040
Speaker 4: about out of all thirty two teams. Like, I just

984
00:45:40,080 --> 00:45:42,200
Speaker 4: don't have a lot of thoughts about the Panthers, and

985
00:45:42,239 --> 00:45:43,960
Speaker 4: I think it's because of Sam Donald. I just see

986
00:45:44,000 --> 00:45:45,680
Speaker 4: Sam Donald and I'm like, Okay, I don't even think

987
00:45:45,680 --> 00:45:48,480
Speaker 4: about this team. I'm out, So do I need to

988
00:45:48,520 --> 00:45:50,760
Speaker 4: know anything more than Sam Donald on the Panthers.

989
00:45:51,360 --> 00:45:52,800
Speaker 3: I'm kind of with you. I mean, I like the

990
00:45:52,840 --> 00:45:55,600
Speaker 3: weapons on this game, but it's just I don't know what.

991
00:45:55,880 --> 00:45:57,120
Speaker 3: I don't know what to make of it. They gave

992
00:45:57,200 --> 00:46:00,200
Speaker 3: up so much for Sam Donald. If Matt Ruhle is,

993
00:46:00,320 --> 00:46:02,560
Speaker 3: you know, really that guy that he could turn this

994
00:46:02,600 --> 00:46:04,920
Speaker 3: guy around. But besides that, I don't really have too

995
00:46:04,960 --> 00:46:07,160
Speaker 3: much of a play on this. I have seen some

996
00:46:07,239 --> 00:46:09,960
Speaker 3: sharp money hit the screen on the over seven and

997
00:46:10,000 --> 00:46:12,400
Speaker 3: a half wins, so if you want to roll with that,

998
00:46:12,640 --> 00:46:14,239
Speaker 3: But for me, I'm sitting this one out.

999
00:46:14,440 --> 00:46:16,640
Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm a pass on the Panthers too. I just

1000
00:46:16,680 --> 00:46:18,920
Speaker 4: I don't have a good feel for them. I'm not

1001
00:46:19,080 --> 00:46:21,480
Speaker 4: totally sure what the Saints and Panthers are going to do,

1002
00:46:21,800 --> 00:46:23,480
Speaker 4: so that plays in a little bit to where the

1003
00:46:23,480 --> 00:46:26,399
Speaker 4: Panthers are. I'm just gonna kind of sit out on them,

1004
00:46:26,680 --> 00:46:28,839
Speaker 4: all right. We have four teams laughed at the bottom here,

1005
00:46:29,040 --> 00:46:31,320
Speaker 4: teams that we agree just really aren't in the mix.

1006
00:46:31,680 --> 00:46:33,600
Speaker 4: We had each of these teams in our bottom four.

1007
00:46:33,760 --> 00:46:36,920
Speaker 4: So start out with the Philadelphia Eagles, your hometown Eagles,

1008
00:46:37,880 --> 00:46:41,319
Speaker 4: health pending, this team could be good kind of the

1009
00:46:41,400 --> 00:46:43,960
Speaker 4: defense could be pretty good. The offensive line could be

1010
00:46:43,960 --> 00:46:46,240
Speaker 4: pretty good, and that again, that could give them a floor.

1011
00:46:46,680 --> 00:46:49,480
Speaker 4: But the difference with them and like the forty nine

1012
00:46:49,600 --> 00:46:52,000
Speaker 4: ers is that there guys that don't stay healthy are

1013
00:46:52,040 --> 00:46:55,760
Speaker 4: old dudes, and old dudes don't stay healthy much worse

1014
00:46:55,920 --> 00:46:59,600
Speaker 4: than the younger guys. Like you know, I'm thirty eight.

1015
00:46:59,800 --> 00:47:01,560
Speaker 4: I kind of hard to get out of the bed

1016
00:47:01,640 --> 00:47:04,640
Speaker 4: sometimes in the morning. So once you get to those

1017
00:47:04,680 --> 00:47:07,359
Speaker 4: thirties and late thirties like that, that starts its setting

1018
00:47:07,400 --> 00:47:10,400
Speaker 4: a little bit. And I just I don't trust anything

1019
00:47:10,400 --> 00:47:13,080
Speaker 4: on this offense. Maybe it can be good. Maybe Jalen

1020
00:47:13,120 --> 00:47:15,799
Speaker 4: Hurts is a real quarterback. Maybe DeVante Smith and Jaalen

1021
00:47:15,880 --> 00:47:18,880
Speaker 4: Rieger like figure things out a receiver. Maybe Nick Sirianni

1022
00:47:18,920 --> 00:47:21,440
Speaker 4: elevates the team. I won't rule it out. I think

1023
00:47:21,440 --> 00:47:23,719
Speaker 4: the NFC East puts some of that into play if

1024
00:47:23,760 --> 00:47:26,440
Speaker 4: they're like competent at least and if they stay healthy.

1025
00:47:26,719 --> 00:47:28,839
Speaker 4: To me, I have them as my last team that

1026
00:47:28,960 --> 00:47:32,280
Speaker 4: could still contend for the playoffs, mostly because of the division.

1027
00:47:32,800 --> 00:47:35,560
Speaker 4: But it's not because I believe in them. What are

1028
00:47:35,600 --> 00:47:37,080
Speaker 4: you hearing about, Philadelphia?

1029
00:47:37,200 --> 00:47:41,920
Speaker 3: I don't believe in this team at all. Honestly, this

1030
00:47:42,000 --> 00:47:44,719
Speaker 3: is a team in transition mode. This is not a

1031
00:47:44,760 --> 00:47:47,239
Speaker 3: team I'm looking at, bet. I mean, honestly, you know,

1032
00:47:47,239 --> 00:47:49,160
Speaker 3: when I look at this schedule, they can easily start

1033
00:47:49,200 --> 00:47:52,239
Speaker 3: off oh and five, oh and six. I'm gonna be

1034
00:47:52,320 --> 00:47:57,120
Speaker 3: honest with you, Atlanta, San Francisco, Dallas, Kansas City, Carolina,

1035
00:47:57,120 --> 00:48:01,000
Speaker 3: and Tampa Bay. The Rams think the Wills are going

1036
00:48:01,080 --> 00:48:03,720
Speaker 3: to fall off this team from the from Jump Street.

1037
00:48:03,880 --> 00:48:06,120
Speaker 3: So this is a team I'm probably looking to go

1038
00:48:06,239 --> 00:48:10,480
Speaker 3: under on. Well, it's just you just never know. You

1039
00:48:10,480 --> 00:48:12,960
Speaker 3: got a rookie head coach. I'm not really that high

1040
00:48:13,000 --> 00:48:15,240
Speaker 3: on jail and hurt, so I think.

1041
00:48:15,080 --> 00:48:17,040
Speaker 1: Six is a little too high.

1042
00:48:17,160 --> 00:48:19,480
Speaker 2: Yeah for me, the Eagles the number I'm playing. We

1043
00:48:19,560 --> 00:48:20,440
Speaker 2: talked about this before.

1044
00:48:20,480 --> 00:48:22,239
Speaker 4: This isn't quite a team bet, But I'm gonna just

1045
00:48:22,239 --> 00:48:24,520
Speaker 4: sprinkle a little bit on Nick Sirianni to win Coach

1046
00:48:24,520 --> 00:48:27,160
Speaker 4: of the Year at five thousand, just fifty to one,

1047
00:48:27,280 --> 00:48:29,520
Speaker 4: he's like the second or third lowest on the board.

1048
00:48:29,920 --> 00:48:31,440
Speaker 2: We love to give Coach of the Year to a

1049
00:48:31,480 --> 00:48:32,480
Speaker 2: first year coach.

1050
00:48:32,280 --> 00:48:35,479
Speaker 4: On a new team, and the NFC East could open

1051
00:48:35,560 --> 00:48:38,360
Speaker 4: up that the Cowboys don't stay healthy. If Washington, you know,

1052
00:48:38,400 --> 00:48:41,080
Speaker 4: struggles against the schedule, it's not hard for me to

1053
00:48:41,080 --> 00:48:44,800
Speaker 4: see this Eagles team staying healthy and because of the

1054
00:48:45,160 --> 00:48:47,640
Speaker 4: schedule and the division, getting like ten and seven, and

1055
00:48:47,680 --> 00:48:50,680
Speaker 4: maybe that's in play. That's just my way to protect

1056
00:48:50,680 --> 00:48:53,399
Speaker 4: myself against like, well, what if they're actually kind of good?

1057
00:48:53,840 --> 00:48:55,400
Speaker 4: That gives me a little bit of a long shot

1058
00:48:55,400 --> 00:48:57,799
Speaker 4: out there. But I think for you, the New York

1059
00:48:57,800 --> 00:49:00,319
Speaker 4: Giants are your maybe version of that. I think you

1060
00:49:00,320 --> 00:49:02,440
Speaker 4: probably have them ahead of the Eagles, and they're your

1061
00:49:02,520 --> 00:49:05,000
Speaker 4: last team that might still contend for the playoffs, probably

1062
00:49:05,040 --> 00:49:08,080
Speaker 4: because of the division. So I'm out on the Giants.

1063
00:49:08,120 --> 00:49:10,200
Speaker 4: So why do you think the Giants are possibly in

1064
00:49:10,239 --> 00:49:11,000
Speaker 4: the next player?

1065
00:49:11,080 --> 00:49:13,919
Speaker 3: I mean, for me, I'm out on the Giants as well.

1066
00:49:14,040 --> 00:49:17,560
Speaker 3: But I think they have a solid defense. I think

1067
00:49:17,600 --> 00:49:19,319
Speaker 3: they're you know, a.

1068
00:49:19,400 --> 00:49:23,359
Speaker 1: Seven eight wins team, maybe six something like that.

1069
00:49:24,960 --> 00:49:28,279
Speaker 3: The interesting thing about Daniel Jones is that I'm not

1070
00:49:28,400 --> 00:49:31,120
Speaker 3: that high on him either, but he's one of those

1071
00:49:31,120 --> 00:49:33,160
Speaker 3: guys who can add variance to the game and just

1072
00:49:33,280 --> 00:49:34,640
Speaker 3: make a play. Like I don't know if you were

1073
00:49:34,640 --> 00:49:37,800
Speaker 3: watching the game last night, but he had a touchdown

1074
00:49:37,840 --> 00:49:41,080
Speaker 3: pass in the first half to give the Giants elite

1075
00:49:41,120 --> 00:49:42,880
Speaker 3: and it's just like, it's like, how do you do that.

1076
00:49:43,000 --> 00:49:46,319
Speaker 3: So he's just one of those guys that he can

1077
00:49:46,400 --> 00:49:49,680
Speaker 3: make plays, and I think the defense can keep them

1078
00:49:49,719 --> 00:49:52,919
Speaker 3: in enough games, and Jones is going to make enough

1079
00:49:52,920 --> 00:49:55,680
Speaker 3: plays for them to you know, still games here and there.

1080
00:49:55,800 --> 00:49:59,080
Speaker 3: So I don't think they're as bad as the Eagles,

1081
00:49:59,120 --> 00:50:02,600
Speaker 3: but I think they're they can compete.

1082
00:50:03,080 --> 00:50:04,560
Speaker 2: Did you have a play on the Giants.

1083
00:50:05,239 --> 00:50:06,719
Speaker 1: I have no play on the Giants at all.

1084
00:50:07,640 --> 00:50:09,359
Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm out on the Giants. They have the worst

1085
00:50:09,400 --> 00:50:11,800
Speaker 4: offensive line in the league. And I don't believe in

1086
00:50:11,920 --> 00:50:14,239
Speaker 4: Daniel Jones. I don't disagree with what you said. He's

1087
00:50:14,280 --> 00:50:17,120
Speaker 4: kind of just random a little bit. Jameis winstony where

1088
00:50:17,160 --> 00:50:19,239
Speaker 4: he can just like do random stuff and kind of

1089
00:50:19,239 --> 00:50:21,439
Speaker 4: mess it up for either side. But I don't believe

1090
00:50:21,480 --> 00:50:24,080
Speaker 4: in Jones. I don't believe in Joe Judge. To me,

1091
00:50:24,120 --> 00:50:26,279
Speaker 4: I'm just really fading the Giants. I'm gonna take the

1092
00:50:26,320 --> 00:50:29,840
Speaker 4: alternate under six wins, so they gotta go five wins

1093
00:50:29,880 --> 00:50:32,520
Speaker 4: or worse at plus two twenty. I just think this

1094
00:50:32,560 --> 00:50:35,000
Speaker 4: team could creter and get to a spot where they're

1095
00:50:35,040 --> 00:50:37,880
Speaker 4: definitely out on Daniel Jones like this. If it's not

1096
00:50:37,960 --> 00:50:39,839
Speaker 4: happening this year, they got to move on and get

1097
00:50:39,840 --> 00:50:43,680
Speaker 4: the new quarterback in and so I'm not afraid of

1098
00:50:43,719 --> 00:50:45,800
Speaker 4: them getting the seven to ten or better. I disagree

1099
00:50:45,840 --> 00:50:47,120
Speaker 4: with what you said. I don't think they're a seven

1100
00:50:47,200 --> 00:50:48,680
Speaker 4: or eight win team. I think they're just a little

1101
00:50:48,680 --> 00:50:49,440
Speaker 4: bit worse.

1102
00:50:49,480 --> 00:50:51,640
Speaker 2: Even in a division that's kind of soft.

1103
00:50:51,719 --> 00:50:54,560
Speaker 4: So I'm gonna play the alternate under knowing that they

1104
00:50:54,640 --> 00:50:57,240
Speaker 4: might push. But if they really creator plus two twenty,

1105
00:50:57,360 --> 00:51:00,480
Speaker 4: I get the payoff there. Our last two teams come

1106
00:51:00,480 --> 00:51:02,799
Speaker 4: out of the NFC North and they should stay there.

1107
00:51:02,880 --> 00:51:05,120
Speaker 4: They are not going to be good this year. My

1108
00:51:05,280 --> 00:51:08,840
Speaker 4: poor hometown Chicago Bears have an absolutely brutal.

1109
00:51:08,520 --> 00:51:09,520
Speaker 2: Schedule this season.

1110
00:51:10,120 --> 00:51:13,320
Speaker 4: They face by my schedule, they face twelve out of

1111
00:51:13,360 --> 00:51:15,359
Speaker 4: their seventeen games or against teams that I have as

1112
00:51:15,400 --> 00:51:18,799
Speaker 4: playoff contenders. So there's not a soft spot here to

1113
00:51:18,840 --> 00:51:21,680
Speaker 4: put justin fields into the mix. I don't believe in

1114
00:51:22,400 --> 00:51:25,400
Speaker 4: like what Matt Naggy is doing. Andy Dolton stinks. Just

1115
00:51:25,480 --> 00:51:27,200
Speaker 4: put fields out there and let him do his thing.

1116
00:51:27,360 --> 00:51:31,680
Speaker 4: But there's no blocking. It's a mess, and the Bears

1117
00:51:31,719 --> 00:51:34,440
Speaker 4: don't have that like awesome Bears defense to save them

1118
00:51:34,440 --> 00:51:37,239
Speaker 4: anymore either. It's more like a good defense that needs

1119
00:51:37,239 --> 00:51:39,799
Speaker 4: a little help so I think it could go really

1120
00:51:39,840 --> 00:51:41,200
Speaker 4: badly for the Bears this year.

1121
00:51:41,360 --> 00:51:42,520
Speaker 2: What do you think about Chicago?

1122
00:51:43,040 --> 00:51:45,000
Speaker 1: Oh, I agree with you. I like the under seven

1123
00:51:45,000 --> 00:51:45,560
Speaker 1: and a half wins.

1124
00:51:45,600 --> 00:51:48,560
Speaker 3: I mean, the offensive line is terrible, the defense is

1125
00:51:48,600 --> 00:51:52,239
Speaker 3: actually taking a step back, and I just think Matt

1126
00:51:52,320 --> 00:51:56,840
Speaker 3: Naggy isn't the guy to coach this team. I was

1127
00:51:56,880 --> 00:52:00,239
Speaker 3: initially on board with putting Fields in, but are you

1128
00:52:00,280 --> 00:52:02,360
Speaker 3: sure you even want to put him in? You know

1129
00:52:02,400 --> 00:52:05,360
Speaker 3: from Jump Street. When you have an offensive line it's poor.

1130
00:52:05,920 --> 00:52:08,480
Speaker 3: So I just I'm going under.

1131
00:52:09,320 --> 00:52:11,759
Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm taking just the traditional under on this too,

1132
00:52:11,840 --> 00:52:15,160
Speaker 4: under seven and a half. Yeah, there's no way this

1133
00:52:15,200 --> 00:52:17,279
Speaker 4: team is getting to eight and nine this season. It's

1134
00:52:17,320 --> 00:52:19,080
Speaker 4: just not in a play. I think that they're gonna

1135
00:52:19,080 --> 00:52:21,600
Speaker 4: be bad, but not as bad as the Detroit Lions.

1136
00:52:22,200 --> 00:52:25,120
Speaker 4: The Lions were bad last year and then lost Matthew

1137
00:52:25,120 --> 00:52:29,600
Speaker 4: Stafford and Kenny Galladay and Marvin Jones Jared Goff.

1138
00:52:29,920 --> 00:52:31,280
Speaker 2: I think this could be rough.

1139
00:52:31,680 --> 00:52:34,319
Speaker 4: We're about to go for like the same experiment we

1140
00:52:34,360 --> 00:52:36,759
Speaker 4: got on the Stafford side, We're getting the other direction. Now,

1141
00:52:36,840 --> 00:52:39,239
Speaker 4: what if you took away all the Sean McVay protections

1142
00:52:39,280 --> 00:52:42,560
Speaker 4: from Jared Goff and gave him, you know, worse blocking

1143
00:52:42,920 --> 00:52:46,759
Speaker 4: and no weapons and no coaching. Now what happens, I

1144
00:52:46,800 --> 00:52:49,239
Speaker 4: think bad things. I think bad things happen, is the

1145
00:52:49,280 --> 00:52:52,279
Speaker 4: answer to that question. Detroit is the worst secondary in

1146
00:52:52,280 --> 00:52:54,600
Speaker 4: the league. I think they're gonna be very bad. I

1147
00:52:54,600 --> 00:52:56,560
Speaker 4: think I said earlier, I thought that they were more

1148
00:52:56,680 --> 00:52:58,160
Speaker 4: traditional bad than horrible.

1149
00:52:58,440 --> 00:53:00,000
Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't know. I think they might be horrible.

1150
00:53:00,840 --> 00:53:02,319
Speaker 3: Yeah, this is gonna be one of the worst teams

1151
00:53:02,360 --> 00:53:04,680
Speaker 3: in the league. Even at minus two sixty. I think

1152
00:53:05,239 --> 00:53:07,640
Speaker 3: you're getting the best of it. Even if Bears are

1153
00:53:07,680 --> 00:53:10,960
Speaker 3: better than this team. This defense isn't good. This head coach,

1154
00:53:11,120 --> 00:53:15,600
Speaker 3: I mean Dan Campbell, he had the most bizarre entry

1155
00:53:15,640 --> 00:53:18,520
Speaker 3: level press conference I've ever seen. I just don't see

1156
00:53:18,520 --> 00:53:20,279
Speaker 3: this team being very good. There's no reason to spent

1157
00:53:20,320 --> 00:53:22,319
Speaker 3: a lot of time on it. Minus two sixty to

1158
00:53:22,360 --> 00:53:25,440
Speaker 3: finish last in the division, it's worth laying the juice.

1159
00:53:25,640 --> 00:53:28,080
Speaker 4: So I disagree. I am not willing to lay the

1160
00:53:28,120 --> 00:53:32,440
Speaker 4: two sixty. Mostly nothing because of Detroit, but just because

1161
00:53:32,480 --> 00:53:35,279
Speaker 4: I think it could go very badly for Chicago. I

1162
00:53:35,320 --> 00:53:38,240
Speaker 4: think it's there's a world where Minnesota could even contend.

1163
00:53:38,280 --> 00:53:41,440
Speaker 4: Down there, things really implode. I actually you're gonna think

1164
00:53:41,440 --> 00:53:44,600
Speaker 4: I'm crazy, like you usually do. I looked up what

1165
00:53:44,760 --> 00:53:47,560
Speaker 4: happens if the Detroit Lions finished second in the division.

1166
00:53:47,680 --> 00:53:50,800
Speaker 4: They're at plus nine hundred to finish second. And then again,

1167
00:53:50,840 --> 00:53:53,080
Speaker 4: that's not a bet on Detroit. It's a bet against

1168
00:53:53,160 --> 00:53:57,080
Speaker 4: Chicago and Minnesota. But it's pretty crazy even for me.

1169
00:53:57,719 --> 00:54:00,400
Speaker 4: I like Detroit to have their first win against the

1170
00:54:00,480 --> 00:54:04,560
Speaker 4: Bengals at plus five hundred. That's week six, So the

1171
00:54:04,640 --> 00:54:07,120
Speaker 4: Lions are going to start zero to three. They play

1172
00:54:07,160 --> 00:54:09,600
Speaker 4: the Niners, the Packers, and the Ravens the first three

1173
00:54:09,640 --> 00:54:13,880
Speaker 4: weeks it's bad, then at Chicago and then the Vikings.

1174
00:54:14,320 --> 00:54:17,239
Speaker 4: So if they can get through those games, I won

1175
00:54:17,280 --> 00:54:20,600
Speaker 4: to five like they probably will. Then it's at Cincinnati

1176
00:54:20,920 --> 00:54:22,520
Speaker 4: and it's one of the very few games on the

1177
00:54:22,520 --> 00:54:24,880
Speaker 4: schedule they might actually be able to win, and so

1178
00:54:25,080 --> 00:54:28,400
Speaker 4: that's plus five hundred. I'm just taking a shot on it.

1179
00:54:28,480 --> 00:54:29,960
Speaker 4: The Lions are going to lose a lot of games

1180
00:54:30,000 --> 00:54:32,480
Speaker 4: this year, and I think that, you know, fading them

1181
00:54:32,520 --> 00:54:34,840
Speaker 4: early before the Books of Justice is probably gonna be

1182
00:54:34,880 --> 00:54:36,319
Speaker 4: a good play on them too, all right.

1183
00:54:36,360 --> 00:54:37,600
Speaker 3: I mean, I think I think the thing with the

1184
00:54:37,600 --> 00:54:40,720
Speaker 3: minus two to sixty is that if it gets close

1185
00:54:40,760 --> 00:54:42,040
Speaker 3: you leave yourself.

1186
00:54:41,760 --> 00:54:42,520
Speaker 1: From the hedge.

1187
00:54:42,760 --> 00:54:47,040
Speaker 3: Yeah, they're gonna be underdogs in nearly every single game

1188
00:54:47,080 --> 00:54:49,440
Speaker 3: this year. And then you know they finished the season

1189
00:54:49,480 --> 00:54:54,239
Speaker 3: against Denver, Arizona, Atlanta, Seattle, and green Back.

1190
00:54:54,719 --> 00:54:55,880
Speaker 1: So it's just there's.

1191
00:54:55,680 --> 00:54:59,080
Speaker 3: Always gonna be o opportunities to hedge Dad by either

1192
00:54:59,120 --> 00:55:01,160
Speaker 3: playing them with the the money line.

1193
00:55:01,200 --> 00:55:04,440
Speaker 4: All right, well we made it through all sixteen teams. Well,

1194
00:55:04,640 --> 00:55:07,319
Speaker 4: just to recap for you, we think Tampa and Green

1195
00:55:07,320 --> 00:55:09,200
Speaker 4: Bay are definitely the teams to beat at the top.

1196
00:55:09,600 --> 00:55:12,439
Speaker 4: The Rams, Niners, Seahawks, Cowboys are kind of the next

1197
00:55:12,440 --> 00:55:14,080
Speaker 4: in line with being upside.

1198
00:55:14,120 --> 00:55:14,919
Speaker 2: And then you know.

1199
00:55:14,960 --> 00:55:17,200
Speaker 4: That's six of the seven playoff spots probably if we

1200
00:55:17,280 --> 00:55:20,919
Speaker 4: get there. But Raheem, can you give the listeners your

1201
00:55:20,960 --> 00:55:23,040
Speaker 4: three best bets out of all the things that you've

1202
00:55:23,040 --> 00:55:25,480
Speaker 4: talked about today? What are your three favorites on the board.

1203
00:55:26,239 --> 00:55:28,560
Speaker 4: My three favorites on the board is I like the

1204
00:55:28,680 --> 00:55:31,799
Speaker 4: Saints under nine and a half wins. I'm gonna go

1205
00:55:32,000 --> 00:55:35,040
Speaker 4: with the Packers to win the division. And then also

1206
00:55:35,239 --> 00:55:38,640
Speaker 4: Tampa Bay minus one eighty five to finish first in

1207
00:55:38,640 --> 00:55:41,319
Speaker 4: the division. I think that price is short as we

1208
00:55:41,480 --> 00:55:45,440
Speaker 4: see that Tampa Bay is minus two forty to win

1209
00:55:45,480 --> 00:55:45,880
Speaker 4: a division.

1210
00:55:45,960 --> 00:55:48,839
Speaker 3: That's a little inefficiency within the market, so you can

1211
00:55:48,880 --> 00:55:51,160
Speaker 3: find it before they correct it. Go ahead and do that.

1212
00:55:51,400 --> 00:55:51,839
Speaker 2: All right.

1213
00:55:52,640 --> 00:55:54,960
Speaker 4: My three three best bets, I think my favorite on

1214
00:55:55,000 --> 00:55:57,680
Speaker 4: the board, and I honestly was, I'm pretty sure you're

1215
00:55:57,680 --> 00:55:59,799
Speaker 4: gonna take this one too. I just got to play

1216
00:55:59,840 --> 00:56:02,320
Speaker 4: the oar no's last place in the division with a

1217
00:56:02,360 --> 00:56:04,400
Speaker 4: plus number in front of that, I'm all over it.

1218
00:56:04,560 --> 00:56:07,719
Speaker 4: Let me fade Cliff right off the cliff, Tampa Bay

1219
00:56:07,920 --> 00:56:10,520
Speaker 4: to win twelve or more games at minus one to thirty.

1220
00:56:11,160 --> 00:56:14,000
Speaker 4: I just think, like I'm not usually playing futures with

1221
00:56:14,080 --> 00:56:15,239
Speaker 4: kind of eban ods or whatever.

1222
00:56:15,239 --> 00:56:16,480
Speaker 2: I'm looking for the long shots.

1223
00:56:16,480 --> 00:56:18,719
Speaker 4: But to me, that seems like a pretty safe one,

1224
00:56:18,719 --> 00:56:20,840
Speaker 4: and I'm just looking to, you know, build up a

1225
00:56:20,880 --> 00:56:24,520
Speaker 4: little credit for otherwise. And I like Seattle in that

1226
00:56:24,560 --> 00:56:26,719
Speaker 4: wind ban nine to eleven wins. They just kind of

1227
00:56:26,719 --> 00:56:30,080
Speaker 4: seem stuck in that upper middle echelon Tommy at plus

1228
00:56:30,120 --> 00:56:32,880
Speaker 4: one fifty five there. So I think those are my

1229
00:56:33,160 --> 00:56:36,480
Speaker 4: three best bets in the NFC. And that is our

1230
00:56:36,600 --> 00:56:40,560
Speaker 4: NFC blitz for today. So that will wrap it up

1231
00:56:40,560 --> 00:56:43,440
Speaker 4: for our NFC Blitz here at the Action Network podcast,

1232
00:56:43,840 --> 00:56:46,960
Speaker 4: We'll be back soon this week with our AFC Blitz

1233
00:56:47,440 --> 00:56:50,200
Speaker 4: and later on this week with our season stat Leaders.

1234
00:56:50,640 --> 00:56:53,439
Speaker 4: We've got all sorts of podcasts coming in this feed here.

1235
00:56:53,520 --> 00:56:56,239
Speaker 4: Don't forget to check out those AFC and NFC Win

1236
00:56:56,320 --> 00:57:00,000
Speaker 4: Total podcasts with Stucky, Raybon and Kerner. There are four

1237
00:57:00,200 --> 00:57:04,479
Speaker 4: those that drop last week and next week. Next week

1238
00:57:04,520 --> 00:57:07,640
Speaker 4: is it We're coming where we got Labor Day and

1239
00:57:07,719 --> 00:57:09,680
Speaker 4: so we won't have anything that day, but after that

1240
00:57:09,840 --> 00:57:13,320
Speaker 4: you will get Rabond and Stucky's NFL Betting Guide episodes

1241
00:57:13,400 --> 00:57:16,040
Speaker 4: every Wednesday, and then Raheem and I will be with

1242
00:57:16,120 --> 00:57:20,400
Speaker 4: you every Monday and Friday. We'll hit the preview a

1243
00:57:20,400 --> 00:57:24,000
Speaker 4: Monday night football and recap the betting weekend that we'll

1244
00:57:24,000 --> 00:57:26,440
Speaker 4: be ready for you every Monday morning for your coffee

1245
00:57:26,760 --> 00:57:30,000
Speaker 4: and we'll read the early lines even already starting next week.

1246
00:57:30,280 --> 00:57:32,360
Speaker 4: And then we'll be back on a Friday each week

1247
00:57:32,360 --> 00:57:34,800
Speaker 4: for a quick run up and down the NFL betting

1248
00:57:34,800 --> 00:57:37,800
Speaker 4: board heading to the weekend. That is all right here

1249
00:57:37,840 --> 00:57:40,760
Speaker 4: at the Action Network, so make sure to follow subscribe

1250
00:57:40,840 --> 00:57:41,920
Speaker 4: all that good stuff.

1251
00:57:42,360 --> 00:57:43,240
Speaker 2: Burheem Palmer.

1252
00:57:43,320 --> 00:57:46,920
Speaker 4: I'm Brandon Anderson and this has been the Action Network podcast.

1253
00:57:47,080 --> 00:57:47,960
Speaker 2: We will see you soon