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Speaker 1: This is the Action Network Podcast. It's good all right,

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Speaker 1: here we go throwing him Joe. We're saying it's a

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Speaker 1: catch stop. We'll see most gamblers when they go to gamble,

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Speaker 1: but they go to wind. That's incredible. Big bank, small bank.

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Speaker 2: I like to make money.

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Speaker 1: All right, this is the ultimate kaba.

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Speaker 2: You want to pack and we are underway.

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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Action Network Podcast with Odds, presented by

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Speaker 1: Bett MVM. This is your Week thirteen betting preview. I

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Speaker 1: am your host, Chris Raybon, joined guys always by the

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Speaker 1: Prime Minister of Degenerate Nation. My dude, stucky, stuck? What's

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Speaker 1: going on?

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Speaker 2: I much ready to get into week thirteen. Week twelve

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Speaker 2: start off well with the Lions, and then pretty much

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Speaker 2: Thanksgiving was okay, except for the fact that I lost

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Speaker 2: my survivor pool due to the NFL officials in that

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Speaker 2: ridiculous Dallas Vegas game. I think Vegas said thirty points

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Speaker 2: off of past interference, calls.

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Speaker 1: Off one dude off, one guy too, of one guy.

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Speaker 2: All on incomplete, passes, all on third and longs. I've

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Speaker 2: never seen anything like it, So losing that suck. But

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Speaker 2: Sunday Sunday, almost everything that I touched was bad. Was

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Speaker 2: pretty much wrong across the board. I wish I should

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Speaker 2: I think I deserved the New England under. I mean

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Speaker 2: ten Ael threw for ninety yards, but you have like

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Speaker 2: a broken run at the end of the half by

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Speaker 2: the Titans running not the clock for an eight yr

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Speaker 2: touchdown and then they went for at fourth and fifteen

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Speaker 2: at their own twenty late, and then the Patriots added

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Speaker 2: another score to put it over. So ready to move

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Speaker 2: on to this card which looks tough. Just a lot

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Speaker 2: of road chalk and ugly games.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, it was not my best week either. I know

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Speaker 1: Kerner felt the same way. I think he went over

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Speaker 1: out of spreads and totals as well. So it was

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Speaker 1: come by and I'm sure we were just getting a

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Speaker 1: lot of fire in our Twitter apps. But onto Week thirteen,

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Speaker 1: which is I'm one of the tougher slates, so I'm

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Speaker 1: excited to get into it, hopefully pick some winners for

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Speaker 1: everyone out there listening before we get into our Sunday

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Speaker 1: six pack, our Thursday night preview, all that good stuff.

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Speaker 1: Three quick reminders. First, you plan a bet on any

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Speaker 1: sport ever, and you still have not downloaded the free

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Speaker 1: award winning Action Network app, What are you doing? It's

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Speaker 1: got betting tools, it lets you shop for the best lines,

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Speaker 1: it's got analysis from Me, Stucky and the whole Action

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Speaker 1: Network crew, and most importantly, it lets you track every

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Speaker 1: bet that you make. Second, if you need to reference

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Speaker 1: our Sunday six Pack selections anytime, all you gotta do

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Speaker 1: is use the Action App and follow Sunday six Pack

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Speaker 1: because we use that account to track those picks there

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Speaker 1: every Friday. And finally, the Action Network just launched our

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Speaker 1: new hockey betting podcast called Line Change. It's hosted by

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Speaker 1: our editor Mike Leeb go Off shouts to Mike and

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Speaker 1: the professional hockey better known as so many sports, and

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Speaker 1: they cover the whole NHL board in about twenty minutes.

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Speaker 1: So if you love betting pucks, check out Line Change,

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Speaker 1: with new episodes dropping at ten am Eastern every Tuesday

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Speaker 1: and Thursday. I actually got to check that out. I'm

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Speaker 1: pretty good hockey better A lot of people don't know that,

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Speaker 1: but go check my record in the Action App. I'm

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Speaker 1: actually not bad at hockey, so I'll have to listen

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Speaker 1: to that pod and stuck. Let's get into Thursday night football.

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Speaker 3: It's not the best game, but it's the only game tonight.

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Speaker 3: Let's bet Thursday night football, all right?

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Speaker 1: We got the Cowboys going to New Orleans here Saints

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Speaker 1: four and a half points underdogs at home. The total

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Speaker 1: is forty seven and a half. Some things to note

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Speaker 1: before we talk about this game for everyone out there.

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Speaker 1: Number one looks like Amari Cooper will be back from COVID.

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Speaker 1: Earlier in the week the reports were skeptical, but now

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Speaker 1: they seem optimistic. He's practicing, looks like he will be back.

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Speaker 1: Ceedee Lamb should be back as well for the Cowboys.

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Speaker 1: Cedric Wilson, though who had one hundred yard game against

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Speaker 1: the Raiders, will be out, So a little bit of

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Speaker 1: musical chairs and the Cowboys receiving corps. But their top

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Speaker 1: three of Lamb, Cooper, and Gallup look to be back,

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Speaker 1: which is good news for Dak Prescott. On the other side,

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Speaker 1: Taysom Hill looks like he's off the injury report. He

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Speaker 1: practiced in full this week and reportedly took the entirety

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Speaker 1: of the first team reps at quarterback. So Sean Payton

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Speaker 1: has it verbally committed to Hill as the starter, likely

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Speaker 1: for gamesmanship reasons, but all signs point to Taysom Hill

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Speaker 1: making his first start at quarterback for the New Orleans Saints.

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Speaker 1: So stuck. I know you don't usually like him at

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Speaker 1: Thursday night football, but there is a lot to unpack here,

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Speaker 1: and we also have some kind of things. You know,

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Speaker 1: we if this was a Sunday game, I know we'd

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Speaker 1: be looking at you know, the Saints coming off yet

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Speaker 1: another loss. Sean Payton as a as a home underdog,

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Speaker 1: what are your thoughts on this game?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, this is probably a pass for me and I

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Speaker 2: show a little bit of value on the Saints. But

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Speaker 2: it's hard. I mean, there's so many injuries to try

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Speaker 2: to project and then your it's a Thursday, which is

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Speaker 2: not a short week this weekcause they both played last

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Speaker 2: Thursday and Thanksgiving, so it's a little different here. But

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Speaker 2: like a Kamara is he going to play now? Healthy?

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Speaker 2: Is are both tackles they're all listed as questionable. Are

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Speaker 2: they gonna play? DeMarcus Lawrence? Is he gonna be taken

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Speaker 2: off and made eligible? Which has to happened by I

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Speaker 2: think two o'clock tomorrow or something. So yeah, I mean

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Speaker 2: the same. What is taste of Hill gonna look like?

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Speaker 2: With his foot? He does a lot with his running ability,

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Speaker 2: so you know, he said he's trying to play through

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Speaker 2: the pain. How does that end up playing out? So

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Speaker 2: if if the Saints are all healthy, I think that

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Speaker 2: they could have some success, you know, bout their tackles,

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Speaker 2: Mara or quarterback, if they can up some success running

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Speaker 2: the ball against Dallas. But you know, in the New

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Speaker 2: Orleans second, the New Orleans defense, they've been shredded a

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Speaker 2: couple of times this year and it's very bizarre because

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Speaker 2: it still should be one of the best defenses in

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Speaker 2: the NFL. This is I think a little bit high.

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Speaker 2: But given the uncertainty with the Saints, I don't know,

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Speaker 2: I think this is an easy stay away from me.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, it's tough. I mean, i'd mean Saints as well.

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Speaker 1: You know, I don't think the Cowboys are guaranteed to

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Speaker 1: win this game. You know, much less cover than the number.

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Speaker 1: The total is tough because you know, on one hand,

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Speaker 1: Dallas is getting healthier on offense. But number two, you know,

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Speaker 1: every time we've seen the Saints in Taysom Hill, it's

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Speaker 1: been this run heavy game plan where they just play

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Speaker 1: ball control and Hill throws up a couple of ducks

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Speaker 1: that you know, it's just a weird game. That usually

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Speaker 1: goes under, so not the not the easiest one to handicap.

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Speaker 1: But I would lean the Saints here, you know, getting

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Speaker 1: four and a half in their building. You know, both

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Speaker 1: teams not coming off of a true short week. All right,

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Speaker 1: let's get into what everybody wants to hear. Sunday six

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Speaker 1: pack presented by our friends at the Athletic Brewing.

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Speaker 3: Company Thursdayeper Action. Let's crack open the Sunday six pack.

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Speaker 1: All right, stuck, As I mentioned, not our greatest week.

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Speaker 1: We came in last week tied. Now I'm head by

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Speaker 1: one point, so nothing much went when according to plan

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Speaker 1: you start us off first. Where are you going with

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Speaker 1: your first pick of the week, thirteen Sunday six pack?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, still still really good year. Going for the pod

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Speaker 2: we were, I think do to have one of those weeks.

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Speaker 2: It was a tough Sunday, right, you had a limited slate.

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Speaker 2: This one isn't a great I don't think a great

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Speaker 2: Sunday slate slate either, you know, with all of the

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Speaker 2: favorites on the board. But let's close strong as we

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Speaker 2: normally do. And for my first pick of the week,

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Speaker 2: thirteen Sunday six pack, I'm going with the Pittsburgh Steelers

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Speaker 2: US four and a half at bet MGM. I stayed

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Speaker 2: away from the Steeers. I know you liked them last week.

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Speaker 2: I had a bad feeling about them, but they ended

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Speaker 2: up getting blown out by the Bengals. And look, guess what.

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Speaker 2: I guess we also got bown up by the Bengals

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Speaker 2: earlier this year at the Ravens as well. Look, this

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Speaker 2: is my team. They haven't let us down in the

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Speaker 2: six pack in two years, so I'm hopefully that's why

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Speaker 2: I want to lead off with this game to start.

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Speaker 2: And the Rains haven't been playing good football. I mean,

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Speaker 2: they won that game last week because Baker Mayfield was

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Speaker 2: hurt and Justin Tucker is a god basically, I mean

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Speaker 2: Lamar threw four picks. But I mean just go back

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Speaker 2: their past couple of games before then. I mean, they

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Speaker 2: losing to the Dolphins on Thursday night. You know, they

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Speaker 2: barely beat the Vikings at the come all the way back.

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Speaker 2: I mean, it's not been pretty at all. There's a

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Speaker 2: team that's just not playing well. A lot of it's

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Speaker 2: due to injuries and the defenses. You know, the secondary

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Speaker 2: is not playing well. But I think this is just

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Speaker 2: a good spot to buy low on the Steelers. I

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Speaker 2: know what DJ Watson probably out. I know Friar Mut

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Speaker 2: the star rookie tight end, probably out. But this is

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Speaker 2: Raven Steelers. This game you can almost always throw out

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Speaker 2: the records and it's always going to be close. I mean,

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Speaker 2: listen to some of this. You know, if you look

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Speaker 2: back in this series since John Harball got to Baltimore

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Speaker 2: in two thousand and eight, the Ravens are thirteen and

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Speaker 2: thirteen in the regular season, so the teams have split

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Speaker 2: average margin one twenty of the twenty six decided by

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Speaker 2: one possession, seventeen of the twenty six decided by four

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Speaker 2: or less. Four have gone to overtime. Here's the craziest

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Speaker 2: thing in this series favorites. When any either one of

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Speaker 2: these teams is favored by three or more since two

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Speaker 2: thousand and eight, the favorite has gone one thirteen and

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Speaker 2: two against the spread since two thousand and eight, one

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Speaker 2: thirteen and two. When you're faired by more than three,

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Speaker 2: I mean more times than not, this game is going

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Speaker 2: to finish by a field goal margin. And look like

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Speaker 2: Hayden should be back for Pittsburgh. I'm assuming Steelers by

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Speaker 2: the way oh to eight without Hayden since he arrived there.

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Speaker 2: I know the run defense hasn't been great. We're allowing

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Speaker 2: four four point eight yards per carry, which is a

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Speaker 2: franchise high through eleven games. But I expect just a

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Speaker 2: great effort here from pitt in a must win. They're

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Speaker 2: five and five. It's a raw rock spot against their

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Speaker 2: rival and again and a team they always just play

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Speaker 2: up or down to same with the Ravens.

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Speaker 3: What a raw ron Mike Tomlin spot.

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Speaker 2: We win the game when this cruel bodies right here today,

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Speaker 2: bring you only game to day. We can go through

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Speaker 2: all the Tomlin numbers. Thirty five, sixteen to two against

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Speaker 2: the spread as a dog from week three on twenty

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Speaker 2: nine to eight one against the spread as an underdog

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Speaker 2: versusn opponent with an egor winning or better winning percentage,

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Speaker 2: twelve three and two against the spread as a home dog.

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Speaker 2: It's eighty percent covering by over six points per game.

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Speaker 2: And then you know, also you have Pittsburgh who just

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Speaker 2: laid an egg last week. Team's failing to cover by

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Speaker 2: twenty eight or more points the previous week are one,

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Speaker 2: twenty seventy five and six against the spread. Since two

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Speaker 2: thousand and three, Proaction Labs. That's over sixty one percent.

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Speaker 2: Lamar Jackson just, I mean, he's maybe still a little sick,

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Speaker 2: but he hasn't played well against the Steelers either. He's

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Speaker 2: played started two games against them, played in four. He

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Speaker 2: has three touchdowns and five picks. It's his lowest quarterback

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Speaker 2: grading against any other team in the NFL and has

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Speaker 2: only averaged barely over four yards per carry with five

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Speaker 2: fumbles and thirty nine carries. I think that this is

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Speaker 2: just an overreaction to what we saw last week. The

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Speaker 2: Ravens shouldn't have been upgrade. I've downgraded the Ravens for

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Speaker 2: last week's effort. This is an over reaction to Watt

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Speaker 2: and fire me with being out. This is the this

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Speaker 2: is the Steelers season at home against their rival in

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Speaker 2: a classic raw ross spot, coming off a blowout loss.

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Speaker 2: Ravens a little fat and happy in the one seed,

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Speaker 2: but just they're just not playing great football. This is

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Speaker 2: a team that's six and l in one possession game

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Speaker 2: since Week one. They're the third team since nineteen eighty

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Speaker 2: five to have five fourth quarter comebacks in their first

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Speaker 2: ten games. So, I mean, they've been getting quite fortunate

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Speaker 2: a lot of second half comebacks so I think that

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Speaker 2: there's some value in this line that probably should be

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Speaker 2: a field goal, as most games when the Steelers and

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Speaker 2: Ravens play should be. So give me the Steelers plus

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Speaker 2: four and a half. I'm waiting to see if this

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Speaker 2: is gonna tick even higher to five five and a

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Speaker 2: half six before I pulled the trigger both. Let's go

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Speaker 2: with four to. If it starts to there's signs of

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Speaker 2: the trickling down, then I'll lock in plus four and

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Speaker 2: a half on the Apple. Let's go with plus four

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Speaker 2: and a half at fed MGM with Pittsburgh.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I agree. I mean, no one's gonna want to

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Speaker 1: bet Pittsburgh coming off what happened last week. I think

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Speaker 1: they were still the right play last week, even they've

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Speaker 1: been the right play most of the year. They're going

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Speaker 1: to be when they're underdog. They're going to be when

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Speaker 1: they're in these kind of spots. You know, they're not

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Speaker 1: as bad as they were as they showed last week.

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Speaker 1: Obviously they're not as good as they used to be,

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Speaker 1: but there's still a team. What are they five to

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Speaker 1: five and one? Like the sky isn't completely falling, They're

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Speaker 1: just inconsistent and they have an old quarterback and they're

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Speaker 1: not great at protecting. But yeah, the Ravens are having

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Speaker 1: their issues as well. You know, it's in Pittsburgh, which

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Speaker 1: helps you know a lot. I think, you know, you

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Speaker 1: get the terrible towels, you get some added hype, especially

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Speaker 1: what you going to need that with TJ. Watt not

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Speaker 1: being around. And yeah, the Ravens, I mean, I don't know.

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Speaker 1: The Ravens are like they kind of remind me of

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Speaker 1: the old Seahawks. It's like every game is close. They

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Speaker 1: post something out of the hat at the end. But

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Speaker 1: and and sometimes you know, the run pass ratio is

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Speaker 1: weird sometimes. But yeah, they can't keep winning these one

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Speaker 1: score games. And I agree, I think, you know, you're

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Speaker 1: not even just getting the three, you're getting the hook

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Speaker 1: at the four as well. So you know, it could

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Speaker 1: be one of those, you know, twenty seven to twenty

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Speaker 1: three type situations they'll cover here. So I like to

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Speaker 1: pick for my first pick and the second overall pick

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Speaker 1: of the week thirteen Sunday six pack, I'm going with

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Speaker 1: the GM Man plus four at the Miami Dolphins and this.

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Speaker 2: Line strained neck or the neck.

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Speaker 1: Listen, that's this is what I want to get to.

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Speaker 1: I mean, first of all, this line has actually balloon

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Speaker 1: to five at some spots. Now it's kind of sitting

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Speaker 1: at four as we record this because Jones is acticing

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Speaker 1: with the stray and neck. He hasn't been ruled out.

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Speaker 1: I kind of hope he is ruled out so we

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Speaker 1: get a better number, because like, going from Daniel Jones

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Speaker 1: to Mike Glennon is like, so like, it's not like

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Speaker 1: Daniel Jones has been very good this year, and it's

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Speaker 1: not like they're consistently using his running ability to where

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Speaker 1: you can say, Okay, you know Daniel Jones. You know

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Speaker 1: he's got the running ability. That's what's kind of keeping

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Speaker 1: the Giants in these things. No, they're not really calling runs,

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Speaker 1: they're not really you know, using him a ton of

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Speaker 1: neck in that capacity. And so he hasn't been good

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Speaker 1: as a pastor. He's twenty fifth in DVOA. So you

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Speaker 1: just look at these two teams and Miami kind of

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Speaker 1: surging here. I think it's a good time to fade them.

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Speaker 1: You look at a team that's five hundred or below,

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Speaker 1: which Miami is, they're still not back to five hundred

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Speaker 1: coming off a blowout win of sixteen or more points.

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Speaker 1: Just eighteen and twenty nine against the spread the next

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Speaker 1: week thirty eight percent. You look at overall Dvoa, the

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Speaker 1: Giants are the better team. They're twenty third his twenty

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Speaker 1: six even with this winning streak, then this is a

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Speaker 1: giant spot. Joe Judge nine to four against the spread

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Speaker 1: in the roads, six and eight at home. So Giants

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Speaker 1: going on a road here not one of those teams

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Speaker 1: that you worry about covering a number, especially more than

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Speaker 1: a field goal. And then everyone's gonna look at the

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Speaker 1: Giants and say, Okay, it's just two bad teams, and

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Speaker 1: it is two bad teams record wise. I think both

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Speaker 1: are maybe a little better than their records are, at

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Speaker 1: least playing a little better. But you look at the

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Speaker 1: giants last four losses Dallas, Rams, Kansas City, Tampa Bay.

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Speaker 1: Before that, they lost to the Falcons by three points,

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Speaker 1: which means if you have a four point spread, you cover,

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Speaker 1: and they lost to Washington by one point, which means

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Speaker 1: if you have a four point spread, you cover. In

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Speaker 1: that span, they also beat New Orleans as an underdog,

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Speaker 1: Carolina as an underdog, Vegas as an underdog, Philly as

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Speaker 1: an underdog. So I think anyone would argue that Miami

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Speaker 1: fits into the bucket of teams like either New Orleans, Carolina, Vegas,

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Speaker 1: Philly if you're bullish on Miami, which the Giants beat

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Speaker 1: his dogs, or at worst, if you're bearish, you know

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Speaker 1: a team like Atlanta with the Giants still only watched

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Speaker 1: by three two, you know, they're definitely not a Dallas,

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Speaker 1: you know, a rams, A, Chiefs or Bucks. So I

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Speaker 1: just think this number is too high. I think, you know,

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Speaker 1: it's very possible that maybe the median outcome is Miami

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Speaker 1: wins by a field goal. But I think the Giants

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Speaker 1: have a good chance to pull the upset here. I

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Speaker 1: don't think Miami's offense is sustainable with to a tongue

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Speaker 1: of I looogo at twenty six to twenty nine every game,

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Speaker 1: I still don't think they can run the football. I

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Speaker 1: think Patrick Graham on defense, you know, there's a lot

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Speaker 1: of familiarity there with Brian Flores. I just think that

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Speaker 1: it's gonna be a really tight game between two coaches

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Speaker 1: who know each other, you know, and and the Giants

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Speaker 1: have a good try to pulling off the victory, and

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Speaker 1: that there's no real downgrade in this matchup from Daniel

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Speaker 1: Jones to Mike Glennon and especially you know, I think

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Speaker 1: you know Glenny, you know, with them kind of knowing

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Speaker 1: the possibility of Glenn's early in the week. It's better

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Speaker 1: than it was, like a COVID thing on Saturday. So

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Speaker 1: give me the Giants plus four and key buying the

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Speaker 1: Jones news because you might get a five or even

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Speaker 1: a five and a half six if he's ruled out.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I actually do have a play in this game.

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Speaker 2: Nothing on the side, but I played the first half

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Speaker 2: under here under twenty and a half. The Dolphins are

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Speaker 2: playing good football. He won four in a row, and

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Speaker 2: they even they have the after the Giants, they have

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Speaker 2: the Jets. I mean, they couldn't be winners of six

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Speaker 2: in a row very easily. And since Week seven, when

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Speaker 2: two O returned from injury, he's number one in completion

345
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Speaker 2: percentage over expectation plus EPA composite of any quarterback in

346
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Speaker 2: the NFL, and their defense is fourth and EPA per play.

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Speaker 2: The defense is healthier playing really well. Mike Lennon a quarterback, Yeah, well,

348
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Speaker 2: I agree, it's not a huge downard to the passing lives.

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Speaker 2: He doesn't have mobility, uh that Jones has, and that

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Speaker 2: could hurt here because I expect the Dolphins to go

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Speaker 2: heavy blitz man up on the outside. The Giants are

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Speaker 2: still banged up on the outside. As you mentioned, there's

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Speaker 2: familiarity with both coaching staffs, and the Giants defense is underrated.

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Speaker 2: They're playing really well. They're fifth in EPA per place

355
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Speaker 2: since Week seven. Over that same span, they're thirty first

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Speaker 2: in run dy not a great run day, but they're

357
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Speaker 2: seventh in past day well DDA for the season. So

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Speaker 2: if you look in the season, Johns thirty first and

359
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Speaker 2: rundy DDA seventh in past that's adjusted for opponent. Well,

360
00:18:26,160 --> 00:18:29,240
Speaker 2: the Miami rush offense is a bottom three unit and

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00:18:30,000 --> 00:18:33,639
Speaker 2: the Giants rush offense is a bottom five unit. So

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Speaker 2: neither of these teams can run the ball to take

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Speaker 2: advantage of the weakness of the other's defense. And I

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Speaker 2: think that this is going to be low scoring rock

365
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Speaker 2: fight in the first half. By the way Zavier McKinney,

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Speaker 2: he's turning into a really good player at safety and

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Speaker 2: coming in for Peppers who was hurt, and then you

368
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Speaker 2: know Logan Ryan is back. It looks like a Dori

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Speaker 2: Jackson will be good to go. So like some of

370
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Speaker 2: their depth players are starting to play well like love

371
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Speaker 2: and so this secondary is very underrated, and we always

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Speaker 2: say that Graham is very underrated as a defensive coordinator.

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Speaker 2: This Giants defense next year has the potential to be

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Speaker 2: very good. All these younger pieces are getting better, they

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Speaker 2: have their secondary looks good, They're into your defensive line

376
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Speaker 2: is good. All they need to do is either go

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Speaker 2: out and sign or draft like they need an elite

378
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Speaker 2: edge rusher once they Once this defense has that or two.

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Speaker 2: You know, if you get two really good edge play,

380
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Speaker 2: that's it, and then this defense has the potential to

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Speaker 2: be really really good. So I don't necessarily disagree with

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Speaker 2: you on the side. I do think that Jones's mobility

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Speaker 2: actually would help in this in this matchup, but I

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Speaker 2: went my personally with the first half under I think this

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Speaker 2: will be ugly early on.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean in theory, that makes sense Daniel Jones' mobility,

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Speaker 1: But if you've watched Daniel Jones, I mean, if he's

388
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Speaker 1: reacting to a blitz and a pass rush like his mobility,

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Speaker 1: he usually just uses it to make bad decisions, you know,

390
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Speaker 1: Like I rather just have a veteran quarterback like like

391
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Speaker 1: Glennon in there, and that just knows how, you know,

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Speaker 1: just get rid of the ball, like he knows he

393
00:20:07,480 --> 00:20:10,679
Speaker 1: ain't running nowhere. But this again, you know this. We

394
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Speaker 1: could go either way. I just think the number is

395
00:20:12,640 --> 00:20:14,560
Speaker 1: too high. I think there should be a field goal

396
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Speaker 1: spread at worst. Either way, I make it under three

397
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Speaker 1: regards of who starts that quarterback. So I just think

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Speaker 1: the numbers getting away from us. And as you mentioned,

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Speaker 1: it should be a rock fight. It should be a

400
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Speaker 1: well scoring game, which makes it even harder for a

401
00:20:25,840 --> 00:20:26,920
Speaker 1: favorite to get separation.

402
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Speaker 2: Yeah, all right. For my second picking the third overall

403
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Speaker 2: the week thirteen NFL Sunday six back, I'm going with

404
00:20:34,080 --> 00:20:38,640
Speaker 2: the Denver Broncos plus ten for this contest. It doesn't

405
00:20:38,680 --> 00:20:40,600
Speaker 2: matter plus nine half, but make sure you buy the ten.

406
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Speaker 2: I bought the ten of minus one fifteen against Kansas

407
00:20:43,720 --> 00:20:46,200
Speaker 2: City and obviously an important number to get, and I

408
00:20:46,240 --> 00:20:48,480
Speaker 2: think it's you can find a cheap enough ten's out there.

409
00:20:49,119 --> 00:20:51,480
Speaker 2: But I think this is too many points for the Broncos.

410
00:20:51,560 --> 00:20:54,439
Speaker 2: I know that Denver's lost eleven in a row against

411
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Speaker 2: Kansas City, eleven in a row. I went back and looked.

412
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Speaker 2: I was like, I know Kansas City's dominated this division,

413
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Speaker 2: and I was thinking, when's the last time Denver beat him?

414
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Speaker 2: And then I went and looked, and I was like,

415
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Speaker 2: ll all the way back to like twenty sixteen, last

416
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Speaker 2: time I beat him? And Nadie Reid is off of

417
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Speaker 2: a bye.

418
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Speaker 4: Andy, you had a cheeseburger in celebration of the AFC

419
00:21:15,160 --> 00:21:15,920
Speaker 4: Championship game?

420
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Speaker 1: Is that true? I did good one?

421
00:21:17,880 --> 00:21:18,200
Speaker 2: Just one.

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Speaker 4: Pambado's thick.

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Speaker 2: Nadie Reid, He's been very strong off of a bye.

424
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Speaker 2: But I still think this is way too many points.

425
00:21:23,440 --> 00:21:25,879
Speaker 2: The Broncos should have their tackles back. Their offense is

426
00:21:25,880 --> 00:21:29,119
Speaker 2: actually playing pretty well twelfth in past DVLA, thirteenth in

427
00:21:29,200 --> 00:21:31,000
Speaker 2: run dye of the LA, and they dealt with a

428
00:21:31,000 --> 00:21:34,359
Speaker 2: bunch of injuries like receiver, offensive line across the board.

429
00:21:34,600 --> 00:21:36,399
Speaker 2: So new factor that in. I mean their offense is

430
00:21:36,400 --> 00:21:39,679
Speaker 2: playing really well. Teddy Bridgewater, by the way, second in

431
00:21:39,720 --> 00:21:43,840
Speaker 2: the NFL in the season in EPA plus completion percentage

432
00:21:43,880 --> 00:21:47,320
Speaker 2: over expectation composite. He's trailing only Kyler Murray. I mean

433
00:21:47,320 --> 00:21:50,840
Speaker 2: that's he's playing outstanding football. We all, we could go

434
00:21:50,880 --> 00:21:52,760
Speaker 2: to the Bridgewater stats here as well. Twenty six and

435
00:21:52,840 --> 00:21:55,720
Speaker 2: nine against the spread as an underdog seventy four point

436
00:21:55,720 --> 00:21:58,359
Speaker 2: three percent twenty and five as a road dog eighty

437
00:21:58,400 --> 00:22:01,280
Speaker 2: percent road dog of over a few go fifteen to

438
00:22:01,320 --> 00:22:03,919
Speaker 2: two against the spread eighty eight point two percent. The

439
00:22:03,960 --> 00:22:07,080
Speaker 2: Chiefs defense is better because they got healthier. They got

440
00:22:07,119 --> 00:22:08,960
Speaker 2: a couple of piece back that moved some pieces around,

441
00:22:08,960 --> 00:22:11,040
Speaker 2: but it's still not a great unit. We talked about

442
00:22:11,080 --> 00:22:13,719
Speaker 2: this the last couple weeks, you know, I took them

443
00:22:13,720 --> 00:22:15,719
Speaker 2: against the Cowboys because I said, this defense now can

444
00:22:15,760 --> 00:22:19,720
Speaker 2: be like the twentieth best in the NFL, not dead last,

445
00:22:19,840 --> 00:22:21,560
Speaker 2: and that's where they are now, so you can still

446
00:22:21,600 --> 00:22:25,160
Speaker 2: move the ball on them, and I think the Broncos can.

447
00:22:25,680 --> 00:22:28,760
Speaker 2: The Broncos defense also, like in their front, their secondary

448
00:22:28,800 --> 00:22:30,720
Speaker 2: is great. They had a lot of great players and

449
00:22:30,720 --> 00:22:33,119
Speaker 2: they're just well schooled, especially at safety, so they can

450
00:22:33,160 --> 00:22:36,000
Speaker 2: play this too deep. That's given the Chiefs issues. You know,

451
00:22:36,040 --> 00:22:38,160
Speaker 2: they lost Von Miller, They've had a lot of injuries

452
00:22:38,240 --> 00:22:41,360
Speaker 2: up front in their front seven. They did get chubbed back,

453
00:22:41,400 --> 00:22:43,440
Speaker 2: but they also had the bye week for Vic Fangio

454
00:22:43,520 --> 00:22:45,399
Speaker 2: to kind of get this defense in order, and they

455
00:22:45,440 --> 00:22:48,000
Speaker 2: looked really good last week against a good Chargers offense,

456
00:22:48,720 --> 00:22:53,080
Speaker 2: against a great Charger's offensive, raped out elite and so

457
00:22:53,160 --> 00:22:55,080
Speaker 2: I think that they can carry that over and then

458
00:22:55,160 --> 00:22:57,240
Speaker 2: scheme wise, they can play they have two really good safeties.

459
00:22:57,280 --> 00:23:00,080
Speaker 2: They can play their safeties deep, take away the exposive play,

460
00:23:00,240 --> 00:23:02,159
Speaker 2: and then hold Kansas City the field goals in the

461
00:23:02,160 --> 00:23:05,240
Speaker 2: red zone. That's essentially I think the formulator. And by

462
00:23:05,280 --> 00:23:08,119
Speaker 2: the way, the Broncos red zone defense top ten in

463
00:23:08,160 --> 00:23:11,560
Speaker 2: the league this year. Twenty nineteen red zone touchdown percentage

464
00:23:11,640 --> 00:23:14,960
Speaker 2: led the league. Twenty twenty red zone touchdown percentage led

465
00:23:15,000 --> 00:23:17,480
Speaker 2: the league. It's not a fluke. The first team in

466
00:23:17,640 --> 00:23:19,879
Speaker 2: NFL history since the stat was tracked to lead the

467
00:23:19,920 --> 00:23:22,320
Speaker 2: league in red zone defensive back to back years. So

468
00:23:22,359 --> 00:23:25,240
Speaker 2: I think that they can hold the Chiefs to field goals,

469
00:23:25,359 --> 00:23:27,320
Speaker 2: make them work to get up the field. The Chiefs

470
00:23:27,320 --> 00:23:29,160
Speaker 2: are still they're getting better at doing that, but they're

471
00:23:29,200 --> 00:23:34,000
Speaker 2: still figuring that out. And it's the Chiefs as a

472
00:23:34,080 --> 00:23:38,119
Speaker 2: large favorite. Defense isn't great, their offense is still working

473
00:23:38,160 --> 00:23:41,199
Speaker 2: out some kinks. Chiefs are seven to fifteen is a

474
00:23:41,200 --> 00:23:45,040
Speaker 2: favorite over the past two seasons just under thirty two percent,

475
00:23:45,520 --> 00:23:48,720
Speaker 2: including the postseason. They're two and thirteen against the spread

476
00:23:48,800 --> 00:23:51,040
Speaker 2: is a favorite of over a field goal since the

477
00:23:51,080 --> 00:23:55,000
Speaker 2: midpoint of last year. And how about to eight against

478
00:23:55,000 --> 00:23:58,840
Speaker 2: the spread as a touchdown favorite or more over that

479
00:23:58,920 --> 00:24:02,720
Speaker 2: span over their life eight home divisional favorites, by the way,

480
00:24:03,320 --> 00:24:07,280
Speaker 2: laying more than seven points since two thousand and three

481
00:24:07,560 --> 00:24:09,880
Speaker 2: eighty seven, one twelve and eight against the spread. That's

482
00:24:09,920 --> 00:24:12,959
Speaker 2: like the forty three point seven percent. I think this

483
00:24:13,000 --> 00:24:16,000
Speaker 2: is too many points. Broncos are right in this race.

484
00:24:16,480 --> 00:24:19,960
Speaker 2: Defense is playing better after that, buye, I think, and

485
00:24:20,000 --> 00:24:23,320
Speaker 2: their offense is I take an underrated unit and Bridgewater's

486
00:24:23,359 --> 00:24:26,560
Speaker 2: playing well enough to get another road cover here, So

487
00:24:26,640 --> 00:24:29,600
Speaker 2: give me the Broncos against the Chiefs.

488
00:24:29,760 --> 00:24:33,879
Speaker 1: On a Denver broncoach. I like Denver here. I'll have

489
00:24:33,920 --> 00:24:35,600
Speaker 1: a write up on this game later in the week,

490
00:24:35,680 --> 00:24:37,520
Speaker 1: so check out Action Network dot com or the app

491
00:24:37,560 --> 00:24:39,440
Speaker 1: for that. But I agree, I think the one thing

492
00:24:39,440 --> 00:24:42,680
Speaker 1: that's gonna scare your average better away is it's Andy

493
00:24:42,760 --> 00:24:44,440
Speaker 1: Reid coming off of bye and he has been good.

494
00:24:44,440 --> 00:24:46,800
Speaker 1: He's sixteen and eleven fifty nine percent against the spread.

495
00:24:46,920 --> 00:24:48,879
Speaker 1: But that's fifty nine percent. You can look at a

496
00:24:48,880 --> 00:24:51,200
Speaker 1: trend for Denver like Teddy Bridgewader on the road twenty

497
00:24:51,200 --> 00:24:54,080
Speaker 1: four and five eighty three percent. Eighty three is better

498
00:24:54,119 --> 00:24:56,199
Speaker 1: than fifty nine, So There's a lot of things, you know,

499
00:24:56,240 --> 00:24:59,439
Speaker 1: on both sides here, but Denver is the matchup that

500
00:24:59,480 --> 00:25:01,879
Speaker 1: gives a Chief trouble. And this was George Patten's doing

501
00:25:01,880 --> 00:25:04,760
Speaker 1: a great job, like like he That's the reason Denver's

502
00:25:04,800 --> 00:25:07,760
Speaker 1: managed to, you know, kind of mitigate these injuries here.

503
00:25:07,920 --> 00:25:10,320
Speaker 1: Their rosters a lot deep. Remember last year when they

504
00:25:10,320 --> 00:25:13,679
Speaker 1: got hurt on defense and it was just disastrous weekend

505
00:25:13,720 --> 00:25:15,840
Speaker 1: and week out for them. Like this year, you know

506
00:25:15,880 --> 00:25:17,919
Speaker 1: they have enough depth. You know they've withstood you know,

507
00:25:17,960 --> 00:25:21,600
Speaker 1: the two inside linebacker injuries, they've withstood trading Von Miller,

508
00:25:21,800 --> 00:25:26,959
Speaker 1: They've withstood some injuries in at cornerback. But philosophically, they

509
00:25:26,960 --> 00:25:29,560
Speaker 1: were built to beat the Chiefs. They play that too

510
00:25:29,600 --> 00:25:34,000
Speaker 1: deep safety like that's that's Fangio's defense. They run the ball,

511
00:25:34,080 --> 00:25:36,280
Speaker 1: which they have two running backs so they can sustain

512
00:25:36,320 --> 00:25:38,439
Speaker 1: their run game. They have a quarterback who's not going

513
00:25:38,480 --> 00:25:41,439
Speaker 1: to turn it over in Teddy Bridgewater, and they can

514
00:25:41,480 --> 00:25:44,120
Speaker 1: stop you on defense in the red zone. They're literally

515
00:25:44,680 --> 00:25:48,760
Speaker 1: set up perfectly to beat the Chiefs. So don't disagree.

516
00:25:49,119 --> 00:25:53,639
Speaker 1: I'll almost in all certainty be riding this pickup for

517
00:25:53,920 --> 00:25:58,320
Speaker 1: our Sunday night football breakdown. All right, for my second

518
00:25:58,480 --> 00:26:00,920
Speaker 1: pick and the fourth overall pick of the week thirteen

519
00:26:01,040 --> 00:26:04,840
Speaker 1: Sunday six pack going with the Los Angeles Chargers plus

520
00:26:04,840 --> 00:26:10,000
Speaker 1: three at the Cincinnati Bengals. And this is a matchup

521
00:26:10,040 --> 00:26:13,080
Speaker 1: of two teams and on paper again, the Chargers are

522
00:26:13,080 --> 00:26:15,639
Speaker 1: actually a little better. You go by DVOA, which is

523
00:26:15,720 --> 00:26:19,199
Speaker 1: schedule adjusted, they are sixteenth, the Bengals are eighteenth. The

524
00:26:19,200 --> 00:26:22,119
Speaker 1: Bengals have had one of the easiest schedules in the

525
00:26:22,200 --> 00:26:25,440
Speaker 1: league and that has kind of inflated their numbers. Their

526
00:26:25,480 --> 00:26:28,800
Speaker 1: offense still, you know, it played well against Pittsburgh, but

527
00:26:28,840 --> 00:26:32,360
Speaker 1: overall it hasn't been quite as consistent. It's been turnover

528
00:26:32,440 --> 00:26:35,919
Speaker 1: prone at times. So this is a game the Chargers

529
00:26:35,920 --> 00:26:38,520
Speaker 1: can absolutely beat Cincinnati, and the Chargers are going to

530
00:26:38,560 --> 00:26:41,879
Speaker 1: be hungry now, like we've faded the Chargers these last

531
00:26:42,400 --> 00:26:44,800
Speaker 1: over a month now, you know, because we talked about it.

532
00:26:45,160 --> 00:26:49,200
Speaker 1: Third down couldn't sustain that efficiency. Herbert was just bailing

533
00:26:49,240 --> 00:26:51,280
Speaker 1: them out. But now's I think a good time to

534
00:26:51,280 --> 00:26:53,399
Speaker 1: buy low because now the Chargers have kind of come

535
00:26:53,440 --> 00:26:55,960
Speaker 1: back down to earth and now they're starving for a win.

536
00:26:56,359 --> 00:26:58,440
Speaker 1: They're coming up against the Bengals team which is just

537
00:26:58,520 --> 00:27:01,320
Speaker 1: coming off of a big block out. You look at

538
00:27:01,520 --> 00:27:05,480
Speaker 1: Justin Herbert, he has the weapons, Keenan Allen, Mike Williams,

539
00:27:05,480 --> 00:27:09,080
Speaker 1: Austin Eckler, but the run defense, you know, could be

540
00:27:09,119 --> 00:27:12,040
Speaker 1: getting Winball Joseph back. You know, if they have Joseph

541
00:27:12,080 --> 00:27:15,399
Speaker 1: and Jones, they will be better. They were better, so

542
00:27:15,480 --> 00:27:18,439
Speaker 1: that's a big deal. But overall, I just think this

543
00:27:18,480 --> 00:27:20,160
Speaker 1: is a good spot to buy low on the Chargers.

544
00:27:20,160 --> 00:27:22,280
Speaker 1: You know, I'm not worried about the West traveling east.

545
00:27:23,000 --> 00:27:25,760
Speaker 1: You know, in the conference since twenty eleven, fifty eight

546
00:27:25,760 --> 00:27:27,680
Speaker 1: to forty one and two are the West Coast teams

547
00:27:27,680 --> 00:27:33,159
Speaker 1: traveling east fifty nine percent against the spread. And listen

548
00:27:33,160 --> 00:27:36,359
Speaker 1: to Bengals team. It's a it's a decent team. It's

549
00:27:36,480 --> 00:27:39,680
Speaker 1: Joe Burrows great, but Justin Herbert is also great. It's

550
00:27:39,720 --> 00:27:42,520
Speaker 1: just an evenly match game. The Chargers don't normally have

551
00:27:42,560 --> 00:27:44,879
Speaker 1: a home field advantage, so it's not like you're knocking

552
00:27:44,920 --> 00:27:47,840
Speaker 1: them down a ton. And it's interesting because you know,

553
00:27:48,000 --> 00:27:50,000
Speaker 1: as for as much as Dave, you know, we've kind

554
00:27:50,000 --> 00:27:52,840
Speaker 1: of harpd on the inconsistency of their offense, they still

555
00:27:52,920 --> 00:27:56,679
Speaker 1: rank second in DVOA on offense, and that's what's kind

556
00:27:56,680 --> 00:27:59,960
Speaker 1: of giving them the better the better overall DVOA rank

557
00:28:00,080 --> 00:28:01,960
Speaker 1: can here. So this is the this is what you

558
00:28:01,960 --> 00:28:04,760
Speaker 1: need to do against Cincinnati at this point. You know, Cincinnati,

559
00:28:05,119 --> 00:28:07,840
Speaker 1: when they're not turning the ball over, they're gonna score points.

560
00:28:08,040 --> 00:28:09,760
Speaker 1: You know, you have Jamar Chase, you have t Higgins

561
00:28:09,800 --> 00:28:11,720
Speaker 1: playing where you have Joe Mixon, So you have three

562
00:28:11,800 --> 00:28:15,520
Speaker 1: legit guys that can kind of be centerpieces for an offense.

563
00:28:15,520 --> 00:28:17,680
Speaker 1: So you need a team that has a guy like

564
00:28:17,760 --> 00:28:20,520
Speaker 1: Keenan Allen and Austin Eckler and Mike Williams and Justin

565
00:28:20,560 --> 00:28:24,000
Speaker 1: Herbert to kind of balance that out. So, uh, you know,

566
00:28:24,119 --> 00:28:26,800
Speaker 1: maybe I shouldn't have bet against Cincinnati with Pittsburgh last week.

567
00:28:27,000 --> 00:28:29,320
Speaker 1: I still thought it was the right spot. But I'm

568
00:28:29,560 --> 00:28:31,600
Speaker 1: not going to be scared off of going against them

569
00:28:31,600 --> 00:28:33,080
Speaker 1: this week. And what I think is a let down

570
00:28:33,119 --> 00:28:36,360
Speaker 1: spot for them and a kind of a bounce back

571
00:28:36,359 --> 00:28:38,880
Speaker 1: spot here for for a hungry Chargers team that just

572
00:28:38,920 --> 00:28:40,560
Speaker 1: needs to get right back on track.

573
00:28:41,200 --> 00:28:44,240
Speaker 2: Yeah, the Chargers are look there. RUNDI is really bad,

574
00:28:44,680 --> 00:28:47,040
Speaker 2: really bad. And I talked about this before the year

575
00:28:47,080 --> 00:28:50,680
Speaker 2: about how this I don't think that this roster fits

576
00:28:50,720 --> 00:28:53,440
Speaker 2: what Staley wants to do. Defensively like and it's just

577
00:28:53,520 --> 00:28:55,560
Speaker 2: not a great fit. And then the secondary has been

578
00:28:55,560 --> 00:28:58,720
Speaker 2: banged up as well. That doesn't help matters. So Sante

579
00:28:58,760 --> 00:29:01,560
Speaker 2: Samuel Jr. He was probably their best cover guy right

580
00:29:01,600 --> 00:29:04,720
Speaker 2: now he had a second concussion. He remains questionable. That's

581
00:29:04,760 --> 00:29:09,760
Speaker 2: something to watch here. And the offense, yeah, grades out great,

582
00:29:09,960 --> 00:29:11,520
Speaker 2: but there's just something that seems to be off I

583
00:29:11,560 --> 00:29:16,120
Speaker 2: don't know if it's the play calling with Lombardy, it's

584
00:29:16,320 --> 00:29:18,640
Speaker 2: I think it might be just also getting a bit unlucky.

585
00:29:19,120 --> 00:29:21,720
Speaker 2: It's it's really tough to figure out what exactly is

586
00:29:21,760 --> 00:29:25,280
Speaker 2: going on at times with their offense. But both teams

587
00:29:25,400 --> 00:29:27,880
Speaker 2: are grading out right around league average. I have them

588
00:29:28,000 --> 00:29:32,240
Speaker 2: rated similarly this year. They're both like, I think around

589
00:29:32,280 --> 00:29:35,160
Speaker 2: five point eight estimated wins on the season. Yeah, I mean,

590
00:29:35,200 --> 00:29:37,320
Speaker 2: if you're gonna bet this game, I think I would

591
00:29:37,440 --> 00:29:40,000
Speaker 2: take the field goal or not. Matt Filer, their left guard,

592
00:29:40,000 --> 00:29:42,920
Speaker 2: who has been great all year, paired with Slater at

593
00:29:43,000 --> 00:29:44,880
Speaker 2: left tackle. He was out last week and it was

594
00:29:44,920 --> 00:29:48,280
Speaker 2: a disaster. His backup came in and was one of

595
00:29:48,280 --> 00:29:50,760
Speaker 2: the worst performances at left guard we've seen all year.

596
00:29:51,000 --> 00:29:52,920
Speaker 2: He was limited in practicing, So if he's back and

597
00:29:53,000 --> 00:29:56,920
Speaker 2: Samuel's back, it should serve them well. The Bengals are

598
00:29:57,000 --> 00:30:00,000
Speaker 2: still Look, they have these great efforts. They blow out

599
00:30:00,080 --> 00:30:03,000
Speaker 2: out the Ravens, they blow out the Steelers, but they

600
00:30:03,000 --> 00:30:06,400
Speaker 2: also have some stinkers, right. They lose at the Jets,

601
00:30:06,600 --> 00:30:09,120
Speaker 2: they need a miracle to come back and beat the

602
00:30:09,200 --> 00:30:12,400
Speaker 2: Jags at home. So it's still a really inconsistent team

603
00:30:12,440 --> 00:30:15,160
Speaker 2: on a weekend and week out basis. I think that

604
00:30:15,240 --> 00:30:18,440
Speaker 2: this is a decent spot to buy the Chargers in

605
00:30:18,480 --> 00:30:22,280
Speaker 2: a matchup of two teams that are fairly similar. And yeah,

606
00:30:22,720 --> 00:30:25,320
Speaker 2: the sincey home field isn't worth three points.

607
00:30:25,000 --> 00:30:27,400
Speaker 1: Here one more note on that. The Bengals, I'm looking

608
00:30:27,400 --> 00:30:31,360
Speaker 1: at the numbers now, they've played at average schedule that's

609
00:30:31,600 --> 00:30:35,160
Speaker 1: four points below league average in terms of point differential.

610
00:30:35,520 --> 00:30:38,080
Speaker 1: That is tops in the NFL. So by just straight

611
00:30:38,120 --> 00:30:41,840
Speaker 1: up point differential, they played the NFL's easiest schedule. The

612
00:30:41,920 --> 00:30:46,160
Speaker 1: Chargers are on the other side, one point three points higher.

613
00:30:46,840 --> 00:30:50,160
Speaker 1: That's fourth in the AFC and top ten in the NFL.

614
00:30:50,280 --> 00:30:52,640
Speaker 1: So that's something I think is kind of skewing these

615
00:30:52,680 --> 00:30:55,120
Speaker 1: teams and why we're saying, okay, you know, both of

616
00:30:55,120 --> 00:30:57,440
Speaker 1: them are kind of similar. Even though the Bengals admitted.

617
00:30:57,480 --> 00:31:00,200
Speaker 1: We you know, if you just I testing weightly have

618
00:31:00,280 --> 00:31:01,240
Speaker 1: look like the better team.

619
00:31:01,640 --> 00:31:04,840
Speaker 2: Yep, all right. For my third pick and the fifth

620
00:31:04,880 --> 00:31:08,320
Speaker 2: overall in the week thirteen Sunday six pack, I'm going

621
00:31:08,520 --> 00:31:12,840
Speaker 2: with the Minnesota Vikings minus seven at the Detroit Lions.

622
00:31:12,920 --> 00:31:15,640
Speaker 2: I don't really love a third pick the Sea. Actually,

623
00:31:15,640 --> 00:31:17,080
Speaker 2: my favorite pick of the week is the Bills. All

624
00:31:17,160 --> 00:31:19,520
Speaker 2: a right up for that game on Monday night, But

625
00:31:19,600 --> 00:31:23,400
Speaker 2: this was my next biggest edge when I account for

626
00:31:23,480 --> 00:31:27,280
Speaker 2: the matchup. Look, the Lions are still fighting, but they're

627
00:31:27,320 --> 00:31:34,400
Speaker 2: just awful. They're horrible. Try I feel bad for Dan Campbell,

628
00:31:34,400 --> 00:31:37,320
Speaker 2: who's by the way calling plays and that's a bad move.

629
00:31:37,360 --> 00:31:39,680
Speaker 2: I mean, we saw how that worked out against the Bears,

630
00:31:39,680 --> 00:31:43,120
Speaker 2: to just draw, play, draw, play, third and long run.

631
00:31:43,920 --> 00:31:46,560
Speaker 2: He said they weren't going to play scared. Well, they did,

632
00:31:46,960 --> 00:31:48,960
Speaker 2: embarrassing for a team that has winless. And he's going

633
00:31:49,000 --> 00:31:51,120
Speaker 2: to maintain play calling duties instead of Anthony Lynn. I

634
00:31:51,120 --> 00:31:53,160
Speaker 2: think that's a mistake. It hurts. And by the way,

635
00:31:53,680 --> 00:31:57,280
Speaker 2: golf is awful. He's playing awful. He doesn't have many

636
00:31:57,320 --> 00:32:01,320
Speaker 2: receiving options. The best player that offense that just can

637
00:32:01,320 --> 00:32:04,440
Speaker 2: make things happen as Deandres Swift right, he can hit

638
00:32:04,480 --> 00:32:08,800
Speaker 2: some explosive plays, not only in the backfield, but in

639
00:32:08,840 --> 00:32:10,680
Speaker 2: the passing game as well. I think he leads the

640
00:32:10,800 --> 00:32:14,320
Speaker 2: NFL in receptions of all running backs this year. Could

641
00:32:14,320 --> 00:32:17,040
Speaker 2: be mistaken, but he's up there. He's most likely going

642
00:32:17,120 --> 00:32:18,959
Speaker 2: to be out this week. I think that hurts their offense.

643
00:32:19,200 --> 00:32:21,360
Speaker 2: The Vikings defense is dealing with some injuries here, but

644
00:32:21,360 --> 00:32:24,760
Speaker 2: they should shut down this just abysmal offense led by

645
00:32:24,840 --> 00:32:27,400
Speaker 2: Jared Goff. And by the way, this is a divisional game.

646
00:32:27,640 --> 00:32:32,080
Speaker 2: Minnesota's familiar here. I can't imagine after that Thanksgiving loss

647
00:32:32,080 --> 00:32:35,040
Speaker 2: you're going to get any much of a crowd. Conditions

648
00:32:35,040 --> 00:32:38,520
Speaker 2: are great indoors. The home field advantage here is close

649
00:32:38,600 --> 00:32:41,960
Speaker 2: to nothing. And the other side of the ball, Minnesota,

650
00:32:42,280 --> 00:32:44,640
Speaker 2: who's grading out across the board. They've just been very unlucky.

651
00:32:44,680 --> 00:32:46,640
Speaker 2: I mean, this team could have eight wins, you know.

652
00:32:46,960 --> 00:32:48,920
Speaker 2: I think my power ad he's having them around tenth

653
00:32:49,000 --> 00:32:51,960
Speaker 2: or eleventh. I think dB either or tenth. This team

654
00:32:52,440 --> 00:32:54,880
Speaker 2: can move the ball, and where can they move the

655
00:32:54,920 --> 00:32:58,640
Speaker 2: ball most efficiently through the air? With Cousins, who's playing

656
00:32:58,680 --> 00:33:01,400
Speaker 2: at an elite level, two of the best or maybe

657
00:33:01,440 --> 00:33:05,280
Speaker 2: arguably the best receiver duo in the NFL, and that

658
00:33:05,400 --> 00:33:10,960
Speaker 2: spells disaster for a Lions pass defense that's dead last

659
00:33:11,000 --> 00:33:14,400
Speaker 2: and epa for drop back. We saw when Andy Dalton

660
00:33:14,520 --> 00:33:19,720
Speaker 2: came in without Robinson on Thanksgiving. He just started slinging

661
00:33:19,720 --> 00:33:21,880
Speaker 2: the ball up and down the field, moving it at will.

662
00:33:22,160 --> 00:33:26,400
Speaker 2: That's the line. Secondary is awful, right, and they've got

663
00:33:26,400 --> 00:33:28,600
Speaker 2: they got to play justin fields and a banged up

664
00:33:28,640 --> 00:33:31,960
Speaker 2: Bears offense. They got to play the you know Mason

665
00:33:32,080 --> 00:33:36,040
Speaker 2: Rudolph in whether this is now in a dome against

666
00:33:36,080 --> 00:33:39,760
Speaker 2: his Vikings offense, Dalvin Cook most likely out. I think

667
00:33:39,840 --> 00:33:43,840
Speaker 2: that's confirmed. Great now, I don't need Zimmer running it

668
00:33:44,000 --> 00:33:48,160
Speaker 2: on first and second down. Let Kirk Cook. So I

669
00:33:48,160 --> 00:33:50,080
Speaker 2: think that they're just going to lead to more passing

670
00:33:50,120 --> 00:33:53,400
Speaker 2: for Cousins against this bad secondary. I think the Vikings

671
00:33:53,400 --> 00:33:55,760
Speaker 2: show up here. They need to win. All they've done

672
00:33:55,880 --> 00:33:57,800
Speaker 2: is played. Every single one of their games is one possession,

673
00:33:57,800 --> 00:33:59,760
Speaker 2: which is scay except for a winner of the Seahawks.

674
00:33:59,800 --> 00:34:03,239
Speaker 2: But I think they get the win here, and uh

675
00:34:04,040 --> 00:34:07,480
Speaker 2: pretty convincingly. And renumber this was a game that closed

676
00:34:07,520 --> 00:34:11,040
Speaker 2: what tenant you were on them at home closed ten

677
00:34:11,080 --> 00:34:13,600
Speaker 2: and a half eleven it closed, Yeah, I think you

678
00:34:13,680 --> 00:34:15,120
Speaker 2: bet it at eight or a half night it closed

679
00:34:15,120 --> 00:34:17,960
Speaker 2: like ten and a half or eleven. And you know,

680
00:34:18,080 --> 00:34:21,839
Speaker 2: the Lions had a much healthier receiving cord. They had

681
00:34:22,160 --> 00:34:26,399
Speaker 2: DeAndre Swift who played. And there's almost no home field here,

682
00:34:26,600 --> 00:34:29,400
Speaker 2: and you're you're getting us at seven, Like maybe if

683
00:34:29,440 --> 00:34:31,120
Speaker 2: it was if it was seven and a half, I would pass.

684
00:34:31,640 --> 00:34:34,880
Speaker 2: But at seven here in the Dome where there's almost

685
00:34:34,920 --> 00:34:37,279
Speaker 2: no home field, I think the Vikings can get this

686
00:34:37,400 --> 00:34:40,120
Speaker 2: done here and win a rare game by more than

687
00:34:40,160 --> 00:34:42,560
Speaker 2: one possession. The lines are bad. I don't know where

688
00:34:42,560 --> 00:34:44,040
Speaker 2: they're going to get their win. I mean, like, if

689
00:34:44,080 --> 00:34:45,520
Speaker 2: you look at their schedule.

690
00:34:45,480 --> 00:34:47,560
Speaker 1: They got their win, it's Pittsburgh. It was a tie.

691
00:34:47,719 --> 00:34:50,640
Speaker 1: The Lions don't get wins. Ties are their wins.

692
00:34:50,800 --> 00:34:53,440
Speaker 2: They're at the Broncos after this, home against the Cardinals,

693
00:34:53,440 --> 00:34:57,080
Speaker 2: at the Falcons, at the Seahawks, then against the Packers Falcons.

694
00:34:58,520 --> 00:35:01,600
Speaker 2: They could win at the Falcons, or they could win

695
00:35:02,320 --> 00:35:05,640
Speaker 2: at home against the Packers in week seventeen. If the

696
00:35:05,680 --> 00:35:09,560
Speaker 2: Powers are sitting everyone anyway, but give me the micau.

697
00:35:09,560 --> 00:35:12,600
Speaker 1: This is my third Yeah, I'll have more on this game.

698
00:35:12,640 --> 00:35:16,080
Speaker 1: I so like an angle for the total here, so

699
00:35:16,200 --> 00:35:17,960
Speaker 1: I won't talk too much about it, but yeah, I

700
00:35:18,000 --> 00:35:19,960
Speaker 1: just don't know how the Lions are getting offense in

701
00:35:20,000 --> 00:35:24,000
Speaker 1: this game. All right? For my third pick and the

702
00:35:24,040 --> 00:35:26,879
Speaker 1: sixth pick of the Sunday six pack, let's get ug

703
00:35:26,880 --> 00:35:29,799
Speaker 1: we again. Let's do it with the Seattle Seahawks plus

704
00:35:29,880 --> 00:35:34,359
Speaker 1: three and a half at home against San Francisco. No,

705
00:35:34,440 --> 00:35:37,160
Speaker 1: Seattle has not been playing well, but should they be

706
00:35:37,280 --> 00:35:39,319
Speaker 1: three and a half more than a field goal at

707
00:35:39,360 --> 00:35:42,919
Speaker 1: home here against the forty nine ers. I just can't

708
00:35:42,920 --> 00:35:46,960
Speaker 1: bring myself to see that line, you know, justify that line.

709
00:35:47,080 --> 00:35:50,920
Speaker 1: You look at the Niners and you know, as he's

710
00:35:51,040 --> 00:35:54,399
Speaker 1: usual with them, which seems to happen every year, they're

711
00:35:54,440 --> 00:35:57,080
Speaker 1: dealing with some key injuries. Now they've been playing really well,

712
00:35:57,120 --> 00:36:01,400
Speaker 1: but Deebo Samuel, who's been not only their best player

713
00:36:01,440 --> 00:36:04,319
Speaker 1: on offense but arguably one of the best, if not

714
00:36:04,360 --> 00:36:07,440
Speaker 1: the best offensive players in the league this year, is

715
00:36:07,480 --> 00:36:10,640
Speaker 1: going to be out and then just a major loss

716
00:36:10,640 --> 00:36:13,520
Speaker 1: to the to your defensive front with Fred Warner he's

717
00:36:13,520 --> 00:36:17,640
Speaker 1: gonna miss, and Drake Greenlaw looks like he may miss

718
00:36:17,760 --> 00:36:20,520
Speaker 1: as well. It's a cluster of injuries here for key

719
00:36:20,520 --> 00:36:24,200
Speaker 1: players for the forty nine ers and listen, I don't

720
00:36:24,200 --> 00:36:26,839
Speaker 1: know what's wrong with the Seahawks, Like there's it's hard

721
00:36:26,880 --> 00:36:28,560
Speaker 1: to put my finger on it, because there's still really

722
00:36:28,600 --> 00:36:32,080
Speaker 1: good on early downs on offense, and that's something that

723
00:36:32,080 --> 00:36:34,480
Speaker 1: that tends to be more predictive. Their issue has been

724
00:36:34,520 --> 00:36:37,479
Speaker 1: third down. I think the play calling has been poor,

725
00:36:38,440 --> 00:36:41,000
Speaker 1: you know, Freddie Swain is getting way too many targets

726
00:36:41,000 --> 00:36:45,000
Speaker 1: and key situations, especially at the expense of either Tyra Lockett.

727
00:36:45,160 --> 00:36:48,280
Speaker 1: It's been Tyer Lockett now DK Metcalf last game. Russell

728
00:36:48,280 --> 00:36:51,640
Speaker 1: Wilson's obviously not He's not on the way he was,

729
00:36:51,880 --> 00:36:54,319
Speaker 1: you know, for his entire career. I don't know if

730
00:36:54,360 --> 00:36:57,920
Speaker 1: that's kind of missing time for the first time, you know,

731
00:36:58,000 --> 00:36:59,440
Speaker 1: and just kind of threw him off his rhythm. I

732
00:36:59,480 --> 00:37:02,799
Speaker 1: don't know if he is like subconsciously angry that they

733
00:37:02,840 --> 00:37:05,480
Speaker 1: didn't bring back Schottenheimer, who he was a fan of,

734
00:37:05,600 --> 00:37:08,000
Speaker 1: or what. But he's not playing well, but still this

735
00:37:08,040 --> 00:37:12,680
Speaker 1: is divisional matchup. San Francisco's coming to their house banged up,

736
00:37:13,320 --> 00:37:17,200
Speaker 1: and it's just a bilo spot for Seattle. When you

737
00:37:17,200 --> 00:37:19,320
Speaker 1: look at all of the trends and all the things

738
00:37:19,960 --> 00:37:22,440
Speaker 1: these spots you tend to cash with the with the

739
00:37:22,480 --> 00:37:26,080
Speaker 1: home dog here, I mean, forget Seattle and forget Shanahan,

740
00:37:26,560 --> 00:37:29,719
Speaker 1: just a home dog by one to fourteen points on

741
00:37:29,760 --> 00:37:33,440
Speaker 1: a three game straight up losing streak, seventy eight forty

742
00:37:33,480 --> 00:37:36,440
Speaker 1: four and seven sixty four percent against the spread since

743
00:37:36,480 --> 00:37:38,600
Speaker 1: two thousand and three according to our Action Labs data.

744
00:37:38,719 --> 00:37:40,680
Speaker 1: And then you look at the other side of San Francisco.

745
00:37:40,719 --> 00:37:43,360
Speaker 1: They've been scoring a lot of points thirty plus and

746
00:37:43,400 --> 00:37:46,120
Speaker 1: three straight teams on a three game streak of scoring

747
00:37:46,160 --> 00:37:48,520
Speaker 1: thirty or more points late in the season. So from

748
00:37:48,520 --> 00:37:51,879
Speaker 1: week ten on, facing a team that's not a week

749
00:37:51,960 --> 00:37:55,760
Speaker 1: so under a sixty six percent winning percentage those teams,

750
00:37:56,600 --> 00:37:58,680
Speaker 1: fading those teams, you go sixty two, forty and two

751
00:37:58,760 --> 00:38:01,480
Speaker 1: sixty one percent against this spread. Uh, then you have

752
00:38:01,520 --> 00:38:06,080
Speaker 1: Shanahan is a favorite ten nineteen in one as not

753
00:38:06,120 --> 00:38:08,120
Speaker 1: coming off a buye against the spread, that's just thirty

754
00:38:08,160 --> 00:38:11,480
Speaker 1: three percent. You have Wilson as a dog, He's sixty

755
00:38:11,520 --> 00:38:14,240
Speaker 1: seven percent at twenty four to twelve and two, Carol

756
00:38:15,040 --> 00:38:18,520
Speaker 1: sixteen three and four eighty four percent against the spread

757
00:38:18,760 --> 00:38:21,080
Speaker 1: off a multi game losing streak including three and one

758
00:38:21,120 --> 00:38:24,440
Speaker 1: this season, and Carol and Wilson coming off the loss

759
00:38:24,719 --> 00:38:28,520
Speaker 1: twenty seven sixteen and four sixty three percent against the spread. So,

760
00:38:28,960 --> 00:38:31,799
Speaker 1: I mean this is just a bilo spot for Seattle. Uh,

761
00:38:32,160 --> 00:38:33,840
Speaker 1: you know, every week it's still a struggle. I mean,

762
00:38:33,920 --> 00:38:36,040
Speaker 1: Russell Wilson's final numbers didn't look as bad as they

763
00:38:36,040 --> 00:38:38,879
Speaker 1: had the last two weeks. I do think they're gonna start.

764
00:38:39,000 --> 00:38:40,560
Speaker 1: I mean, they got to be playing a looser here.

765
00:38:40,640 --> 00:38:43,000
Speaker 1: You know, the season's all but over, although somehow they're

766
00:38:43,040 --> 00:38:45,320
Speaker 1: still like two games out of a wild card spot.

767
00:38:45,320 --> 00:38:48,040
Speaker 1: I think it is, but I expect more, no huddle,

768
00:38:48,280 --> 00:38:51,240
Speaker 1: I expect more play action. I mean, it's just obvious

769
00:38:51,239 --> 00:38:53,440
Speaker 1: the issues. I expect more just forced the ball to

770
00:38:53,760 --> 00:38:56,719
Speaker 1: lock it in Metcalf here. So and then with the

771
00:38:56,800 --> 00:38:59,560
Speaker 1: Niners injuries and without Debou, you know they're still going

772
00:38:59,640 --> 00:39:01,000
Speaker 1: to be able to run. But Debo has been a

773
00:39:01,040 --> 00:39:03,760
Speaker 1: big part of their running game. Two, it just changes

774
00:39:03,760 --> 00:39:06,520
Speaker 1: a lot for that offense. Seattle's still been good in

775
00:39:06,560 --> 00:39:09,920
Speaker 1: the red zone on both sides. So I just think

776
00:39:09,960 --> 00:39:12,840
Speaker 1: Seattle can at least hold it to a field goal here.

777
00:39:13,480 --> 00:39:15,279
Speaker 1: They've they've come out on the right side of most

778
00:39:15,320 --> 00:39:18,240
Speaker 1: of these last few in San Francisco. Between these two teams,

779
00:39:18,239 --> 00:39:21,360
Speaker 1: So betting you get a good effort from Seattle finally

780
00:39:21,920 --> 00:39:23,879
Speaker 1: in this spot, but it's a hold your nose play

781
00:39:23,880 --> 00:39:24,960
Speaker 1: the way they've been playing lately.

782
00:39:26,480 --> 00:39:30,080
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean they've owned Sefran has been owned by

783
00:39:30,080 --> 00:39:32,360
Speaker 2: Seattle in the past. That they are two and the

784
00:39:32,400 --> 00:39:34,960
Speaker 2: four Ninds are two and fourteen straight up against the

785
00:39:34,960 --> 00:39:38,440
Speaker 2: Seahawks in twenty fourteen. I don't disagree as a classic

786
00:39:38,480 --> 00:39:42,239
Speaker 2: Bilow Cell high spots. It just feels ugly. But I'll

787
00:39:42,239 --> 00:39:44,399
Speaker 2: get to my thoughts on this game in a bit

788
00:39:45,000 --> 00:39:47,239
Speaker 2: on when we get to our favorite totals of the week.

789
00:39:47,840 --> 00:39:50,400
Speaker 1: Cool, all right, So that's going to wrap it up

790
00:39:50,400 --> 00:39:53,840
Speaker 1: for our Week thirteen Sunday six pack. To recap, Stucky

791
00:39:53,960 --> 00:39:58,200
Speaker 1: is going with Pittsburgh plus four and a half against Baltimore,

792
00:39:58,760 --> 00:40:01,480
Speaker 1: Denver plus nine and a half half plus ten against

793
00:40:01,520 --> 00:40:05,760
Speaker 1: Kansas City, and the Minnesota Vikings minus seven at Detroit.

794
00:40:06,080 --> 00:40:08,520
Speaker 1: Im go along with the Giants plus four at Miami,

795
00:40:09,080 --> 00:40:14,360
Speaker 1: the Chargers plus three at Cincinnati, and the Seahawks plus

796
00:40:14,400 --> 00:40:18,120
Speaker 1: three and a half hosting the forty nine Ers. So

797
00:40:18,200 --> 00:40:21,719
Speaker 1: that concludes our Week thirteen Sunday six pack presented by

798
00:40:21,840 --> 00:40:26,440
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799
00:40:26,520 --> 00:40:30,839
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800
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801
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802
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803
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804
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805
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806
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807
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808
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809
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810
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811
00:41:14,480 --> 00:41:20,799
Speaker 1: That's act Io n one zero. Cheers. All right, now,

812
00:41:20,800 --> 00:41:23,680
Speaker 1: it's time for our week thirteen Coaches pep Talk.

813
00:41:24,239 --> 00:41:26,200
Speaker 2: We sucked. That's what it boiled down to.

814
00:41:26,480 --> 00:41:30,120
Speaker 1: I'm totally embarrassed and totally ashamed. This week's Coaches pep

815
00:41:30,160 --> 00:41:34,120
Speaker 1: Talk comes from the nineteen ninety three film Rudy, and

816
00:41:34,800 --> 00:41:37,319
Speaker 1: we're gonna dedicate it to Mike Tomlin. Here I mean,

817
00:41:37,920 --> 00:41:40,120
Speaker 1: you know, still in it. He knows what he is,

818
00:41:40,280 --> 00:41:43,840
Speaker 1: doesn't really have to prove anything to anybody, but you know,

819
00:41:43,880 --> 00:41:47,719
Speaker 1: people starting to chirp and question him. So let's let's

820
00:41:47,760 --> 00:41:49,000
Speaker 1: dedicate this one to Tomlin.

821
00:41:50,120 --> 00:41:52,120
Speaker 2: In this lifetime, you don't have to prove nothing to

822
00:41:52,160 --> 00:41:56,200
Speaker 2: nobody except yourself, and after what you've gone through, if

823
00:41:56,200 --> 00:41:59,880
Speaker 2: you haven't done that by now, it ain't gonna never happen.

824
00:42:00,680 --> 00:42:02,239
Speaker 1: All right, that's going to do it for our week

825
00:42:02,280 --> 00:42:06,160
Speaker 1: thirteen coaches pep talk. Now, let's get into our favorite

826
00:42:06,480 --> 00:42:09,560
Speaker 1: total of the week. If you follow me in the

827
00:42:09,560 --> 00:42:12,440
Speaker 1: action app at Chris Raymond, you probably saw this come

828
00:42:12,480 --> 00:42:17,959
Speaker 1: through already. But Minnesota Detroit the number is forty six.

829
00:42:18,000 --> 00:42:21,080
Speaker 1: I'm going under at bet MGM and the reason being

830
00:42:21,120 --> 00:42:24,200
Speaker 1: stuck you kind of mentioned it, like without DeAndre Swift,

831
00:42:24,400 --> 00:42:27,160
Speaker 1: it's going to be almost impossible for Detroit to get

832
00:42:27,200 --> 00:42:31,040
Speaker 1: offense here, you know, just Jared Goffs not taking chances downfield.

833
00:42:31,360 --> 00:42:34,000
Speaker 1: The Lions, you know, whatever they want to say, they're

834
00:42:34,000 --> 00:42:36,839
Speaker 1: not going to be a super aggressive offense. They know

835
00:42:36,920 --> 00:42:39,120
Speaker 1: they their way to win is kind of make it ugly.

836
00:42:39,440 --> 00:42:41,319
Speaker 1: They've been able to do that to some extent in

837
00:42:41,360 --> 00:42:43,200
Speaker 1: a lot of these games, and that's why they're three

838
00:42:43,200 --> 00:42:46,719
Speaker 1: at eight toward the over, or said another way, eight

839
00:42:46,719 --> 00:42:48,719
Speaker 1: and three towards the under. This year, they have to

840
00:42:48,800 --> 00:42:51,719
Speaker 1: keep the scoring down, that they have to slow the

841
00:42:51,760 --> 00:42:56,440
Speaker 1: pace situation neutral pace, which Football Outsiders measures thirty second

842
00:42:56,560 --> 00:42:59,480
Speaker 1: dead weast are the Detroit Lions. Now on the other

843
00:42:59,520 --> 00:43:02,680
Speaker 1: side of the Minnesota should have success on offense. But

844
00:43:03,239 --> 00:43:05,759
Speaker 1: the one issue, you know, for Minnesota, they always play

845
00:43:05,800 --> 00:43:09,080
Speaker 1: pretty good situational football. But one of the things that

846
00:43:09,120 --> 00:43:10,560
Speaker 1: I well, I think it's not gonna be one of

847
00:43:10,560 --> 00:43:12,960
Speaker 1: these things where Minnesota scores like forty five and just

848
00:43:13,040 --> 00:43:15,839
Speaker 1: kills the total all by themselves. You can success rate

849
00:43:15,880 --> 00:43:20,280
Speaker 1: on early downs, Minnesota twenty second at forty six percent,

850
00:43:21,000 --> 00:43:23,640
Speaker 1: Detroit just one percent lower at forty five percent. They're

851
00:43:23,680 --> 00:43:26,120
Speaker 1: twenty seventh. So it's still been a little bit of

852
00:43:26,160 --> 00:43:29,480
Speaker 1: a struggle, you know, consistently on early downs four Minnesota.

853
00:43:30,280 --> 00:43:32,000
Speaker 1: I think they could get to you know, twenty seven

854
00:43:32,120 --> 00:43:34,279
Speaker 1: thirty points and win the you know, cover the number here.

855
00:43:34,320 --> 00:43:36,760
Speaker 1: But I think this is going to be just an

856
00:43:36,800 --> 00:43:40,040
Speaker 1: egg game for Detroit on offense, and I think Minnesota

857
00:43:40,120 --> 00:43:41,840
Speaker 1: kind of tops out in the in the you know,

858
00:43:41,960 --> 00:43:45,480
Speaker 1: mid twenties or the high thirties. These teams are combined

859
00:43:45,560 --> 00:43:48,319
Speaker 1: thirteen to nine towards the under this year. And they

860
00:43:48,320 --> 00:43:51,760
Speaker 1: did play that nineteen seventeen game in the first meeting

861
00:43:51,960 --> 00:43:54,560
Speaker 1: that was actually sixteen should have ended sixteen to six

862
00:43:55,160 --> 00:43:58,240
Speaker 1: in favor of Minnesota, but just a bunch of wonky

863
00:43:58,280 --> 00:44:01,680
Speaker 1: things happened down to stretch and game where the Lions

864
00:44:01,719 --> 00:44:04,000
Speaker 1: got two scores, took the lead, and the Vikings had

865
00:44:04,000 --> 00:44:06,839
Speaker 1: to do a two minute drive to get the game

866
00:44:06,880 --> 00:44:10,040
Speaker 1: winning field goal. So that's kind of lines mo I

867
00:44:10,080 --> 00:44:13,520
Speaker 1: expected to continue. Forty six. That's a league average total.

868
00:44:14,040 --> 00:44:16,160
Speaker 1: I just think it's too high for two teams without

869
00:44:16,160 --> 00:44:18,319
Speaker 1: their two best players on offense. You know, Dalvin Cook

870
00:44:18,480 --> 00:44:22,040
Speaker 1: for Minnesota. You could argue Justin Jefferson, who's great, and

871
00:44:22,080 --> 00:44:24,680
Speaker 1: then DeAndre is sort of clearly the best offensive player

872
00:44:24,760 --> 00:44:27,160
Speaker 1: for Detroit. So you can get a shut out here

873
00:44:27,719 --> 00:44:30,799
Speaker 1: from Minnesota. Hope hopefully for your spread pick stuck, but

874
00:44:31,160 --> 00:44:33,799
Speaker 1: going with the under forty six here like it either way.

875
00:44:34,600 --> 00:44:36,560
Speaker 2: I mean, the one thing that I do like with

876
00:44:36,680 --> 00:44:39,200
Speaker 2: Minnesota is their success. You're right about their success right alone,

877
00:44:39,200 --> 00:44:42,080
Speaker 2: but I think without Cook it might actually improve. But yeah,

878
00:44:42,280 --> 00:44:45,120
Speaker 2: this this is gonna be a tough to ethic for

879
00:44:45,160 --> 00:44:49,000
Speaker 2: the Detroit offense. And for my favorite total of the week,

880
00:44:49,040 --> 00:44:52,320
Speaker 2: I'm gonna go with a game we just talked about recently,

881
00:44:52,360 --> 00:44:58,040
Speaker 2: and that's Seattle San Francisco over forty five are a

882
00:44:58,160 --> 00:45:00,600
Speaker 2: rare late season divisional over for me, But there's a

883
00:45:00,600 --> 00:45:03,080
Speaker 2: lot of reasons why I like this over. They'll win there.

884
00:45:03,160 --> 00:45:05,160
Speaker 2: It could be some rain, but not too worried about

885
00:45:05,160 --> 00:45:08,560
Speaker 2: that Seahawks offense. As you said, fourth and EPA per

886
00:45:08,600 --> 00:45:13,600
Speaker 2: play on early downs, thirty second on third down, thirty

887
00:45:13,800 --> 00:45:16,960
Speaker 2: second on fourth down. They are thirty two point five

888
00:45:17,040 --> 00:45:21,440
Speaker 2: percent on third downs converting third downs. That's dead last,

889
00:45:21,880 --> 00:45:25,600
Speaker 2: sixteen point sixty seven on fourth downs. That's dead last

890
00:45:25,600 --> 00:45:28,680
Speaker 2: sixteen percent on fourth downs. With Russell Wilson with a

891
00:45:28,719 --> 00:45:30,840
Speaker 2: team that's and dead last and third on with the

892
00:45:30,880 --> 00:45:33,239
Speaker 2: team that's fourth in the league and EPA per play

893
00:45:33,280 --> 00:45:38,560
Speaker 2: on early downs, that's crazy. There's positive aggression coming there is.

894
00:45:38,600 --> 00:45:41,360
Speaker 2: Wilson hasn't looked right, but this is supposed to be

895
00:45:41,400 --> 00:45:44,399
Speaker 2: a seven to eight week injury. Everyone said it, all

896
00:45:44,440 --> 00:45:47,480
Speaker 2: the doctors said it. Well, now you're coming up on

897
00:45:47,520 --> 00:45:49,879
Speaker 2: eight weeks that he's had a couple of weeks. Does

898
00:45:50,000 --> 00:45:52,520
Speaker 2: Russell Wilson suck all of a sudden, I don't think so.

899
00:45:52,520 --> 00:45:55,600
Speaker 2: So I think that there's probably a bumpet performance for

900
00:45:55,640 --> 00:45:57,000
Speaker 2: Russell Wilson. Do I worry about some of the locker

901
00:45:57,080 --> 00:45:59,919
Speaker 2: room issues. Maybe these guys are still playing for time

902
00:46:00,120 --> 00:46:02,759
Speaker 2: tracks and is still an NFL team. It's ei They're

903
00:46:02,800 --> 00:46:04,560
Speaker 2: just gonna come out here and lay down against a

904
00:46:04,560 --> 00:46:07,520
Speaker 2: division rival. Sam friand you mentioned some injuries on the

905
00:46:07,520 --> 00:46:10,479
Speaker 2: defensive side of the ball. Fred Warner is gonna miss

906
00:46:10,480 --> 00:46:13,319
Speaker 2: his first start. I think he started like sixty six

907
00:46:13,440 --> 00:46:16,360
Speaker 2: in a row somewhere around there. So I think that

908
00:46:16,440 --> 00:46:20,359
Speaker 2: Seattle's offense can finally have success on third downs and

909
00:46:20,440 --> 00:46:22,640
Speaker 2: break out a little bit here against an under maned

910
00:46:22,640 --> 00:46:27,200
Speaker 2: San Francisco defense. And the Seattle defense stinks. I don't

911
00:46:27,200 --> 00:46:30,440
Speaker 2: care if they're what are they sixth in the NFL

912
00:46:30,480 --> 00:46:35,160
Speaker 2: and scoring defense frauds just a fraudulent stat They're fourth

913
00:46:35,200 --> 00:46:38,279
Speaker 2: in red zone touchdown percentage. It's just a joke. This

914
00:46:38,320 --> 00:46:41,320
Speaker 2: is a defense that is twenty fifth and EPA per play,

915
00:46:41,600 --> 00:46:44,680
Speaker 2: twenty ninth at success rate, dead last and drop back

916
00:46:44,760 --> 00:46:47,640
Speaker 2: success rate. They lost one of their corners for the year.

917
00:46:47,800 --> 00:46:49,880
Speaker 2: This is one of the worst defenses in the NFL.

918
00:46:50,400 --> 00:46:53,320
Speaker 2: And they were on the field for forty one minutes

919
00:46:53,400 --> 00:46:56,239
Speaker 2: last week and have to come off a short week

920
00:46:56,280 --> 00:46:59,120
Speaker 2: across the country after Monday night game, this defense is

921
00:46:59,120 --> 00:47:02,239
Speaker 2: gonna be gas. So I know that Deebo Samuel won't

922
00:47:02,280 --> 00:47:05,279
Speaker 2: play for San Francisco. They still have enough weapons on

923
00:47:05,320 --> 00:47:08,919
Speaker 2: the outside and in the backfield. Jimmy g by the way,

924
00:47:09,560 --> 00:47:13,359
Speaker 2: playing extremely well of late, so you know, I think

925
00:47:13,360 --> 00:47:15,320
Speaker 2: that they can move the ball a day against this

926
00:47:15,719 --> 00:47:20,040
Speaker 2: gassed Seattle defense. That's due for some negative aggression. The

927
00:47:20,080 --> 00:47:22,200
Speaker 2: other side of all, the Seattle offense is due for

928
00:47:22,400 --> 00:47:25,040
Speaker 2: some positive regression. And these are two teams that when

929
00:47:25,120 --> 00:47:30,080
Speaker 2: they meet, they score points. You know they've and by

930
00:47:30,080 --> 00:47:31,680
Speaker 2: the way, both the offenses are really good in the

931
00:47:31,680 --> 00:47:34,080
Speaker 2: red zone, as you might imagine, because you have Russell

932
00:47:34,080 --> 00:47:36,759
Speaker 2: Wilson San Francisco, you have that you have a really

933
00:47:36,760 --> 00:47:39,439
Speaker 2: good tight end, really good running game. But the last

934
00:47:39,480 --> 00:47:44,200
Speaker 2: seven between these two fifty nine forty nine, fifty one,

935
00:47:44,320 --> 00:47:47,520
Speaker 2: forty seven, sixty four, forty nine, forty nine, those are

936
00:47:47,560 --> 00:47:50,960
Speaker 2: the combined point totals. Every one hit at least forty

937
00:47:51,000 --> 00:47:55,040
Speaker 2: nine fifty two point six average. They met earlier this year,

938
00:47:55,920 --> 00:48:00,040
Speaker 2: Seattle won twenty eight to twenty one, I believe, so

939
00:48:00,160 --> 00:48:02,480
Speaker 2: when these two teams meet, you get points. I think

940
00:48:02,480 --> 00:48:06,480
Speaker 2: this total is deflated because of some fraudulent Seattle defensive

941
00:48:06,520 --> 00:48:09,200
Speaker 2: output and then what we've seen from the Seattle offensive late.

942
00:48:09,719 --> 00:48:11,719
Speaker 2: But I think that we can expect a little better

943
00:48:11,719 --> 00:48:15,480
Speaker 2: performance from Russell Wilson here, and the Seattle offens is

944
00:48:15,520 --> 00:48:17,759
Speaker 2: just due for so much positive regression on third down.

945
00:48:17,800 --> 00:48:19,560
Speaker 2: So give me this over forty five.

946
00:48:20,640 --> 00:48:22,799
Speaker 1: Yeah. And the thing about Seattle's offenses, even if they

947
00:48:22,800 --> 00:48:25,719
Speaker 1: have some regression, they'll still probably score in like chunk plays.

948
00:48:25,760 --> 00:48:28,160
Speaker 1: It'll still probably be like a sixty eight yard bomb

949
00:48:28,239 --> 00:48:32,280
Speaker 1: that Tyler Lockett or something. Because I think like their defense. Honestly,

950
00:48:32,280 --> 00:48:35,560
Speaker 1: Seattle's defense, that's one of the reasons they're so bad

951
00:48:35,640 --> 00:48:37,239
Speaker 1: is because they've been on the field so long. Like

952
00:48:37,280 --> 00:48:39,160
Speaker 1: I think it actually would be a pretty league average

953
00:48:39,200 --> 00:48:41,160
Speaker 1: defense if it was just on the field for like

954
00:48:41,200 --> 00:48:43,200
Speaker 1: thirty minutes a game. It's like, yeah, when you put

955
00:48:43,239 --> 00:48:46,719
Speaker 1: a defense that's already overachieving on the field for like

956
00:48:46,800 --> 00:48:50,480
Speaker 1: an extra ten twenty percent more than most NFL teams, like,

957
00:48:50,520 --> 00:48:53,080
Speaker 1: it's it's it's absurd, but but yeah, I can't disagree

958
00:48:53,120 --> 00:48:55,719
Speaker 1: with that, I'm hoping Seattle scores point because that's the

959
00:48:55,760 --> 00:48:58,239
Speaker 1: reason why is you know that the total so low

960
00:48:58,480 --> 00:48:59,880
Speaker 1: is because Seattle's a three and a half point on

961
00:49:00,160 --> 00:49:02,319
Speaker 1: dog at home. If they were playing normal offense, they'll

962
00:49:02,320 --> 00:49:04,160
Speaker 1: probably be a three point favorite at home and the

963
00:49:04,239 --> 00:49:07,520
Speaker 1: total would be like forty nine or fifty. So yeah,

964
00:49:07,880 --> 00:49:09,520
Speaker 1: I hope for you, for both of our sake, that

965
00:49:09,840 --> 00:49:11,960
Speaker 1: Seattle gets it right here on offense, which I think

966
00:49:11,960 --> 00:49:15,760
Speaker 1: I think they should. All right, So the recap, Stucky

967
00:49:15,880 --> 00:49:18,920
Speaker 1: is going with Seattle San Francisco over forty five, and

968
00:49:18,920 --> 00:49:23,160
Speaker 1: I'm going with Minnesota Detroit under forty six. Now let's

969
00:49:23,200 --> 00:49:25,879
Speaker 1: get into our favorite teaser of the week.

970
00:49:27,080 --> 00:49:30,920
Speaker 3: Oh yeah, six point teasers.

971
00:49:31,719 --> 00:49:44,240
Speaker 1: Don't change, don't tease day to please. So for those

972
00:49:44,360 --> 00:49:47,560
Speaker 1: not familiar, teasers are when you get an additional amount

973
00:49:47,560 --> 00:49:51,600
Speaker 1: of points to allocate toward spread bets when you combine

974
00:49:51,640 --> 00:49:54,480
Speaker 1: two or more. The standard is a six point two

975
00:49:54,520 --> 00:49:58,120
Speaker 1: team or two leg teaser. Stuck has a lot of

976
00:49:58,120 --> 00:50:00,520
Speaker 1: great content that you can find by I go in

977
00:50:00,560 --> 00:50:02,319
Speaker 1: to action at dot com and searching for it or

978
00:50:02,360 --> 00:50:06,839
Speaker 1: just googling Stucky teasers. There's certain key numbers, the three,

979
00:50:06,920 --> 00:50:09,040
Speaker 1: the four to six, seven that you're trying to tease

980
00:50:09,080 --> 00:50:13,920
Speaker 1: through with those six points stuck? Where are you going

981
00:50:13,960 --> 00:50:15,560
Speaker 1: with your teaser for week thirteen?

982
00:50:16,840 --> 00:50:20,839
Speaker 2: The most obvious one here is Washington teasing them from

983
00:50:20,840 --> 00:50:22,120
Speaker 2: two and a half up to eight and a half.

984
00:50:22,600 --> 00:50:25,120
Speaker 2: Doesn't look like Darren Waller's gonna go. Washington's playing better

985
00:50:25,160 --> 00:50:27,839
Speaker 2: football late. They were so bad on third down, even

986
00:50:27,880 --> 00:50:30,399
Speaker 2: though they lost a couple of defensive end pieces. After

987
00:50:30,400 --> 00:50:32,279
Speaker 2: the bye week, their secondary is playing a little better.

988
00:50:32,640 --> 00:50:34,719
Speaker 2: Their third down defense has been much better. They were

989
00:50:34,800 --> 00:50:38,680
Speaker 2: due for some regression in that department. This Raiders team

990
00:50:38,760 --> 00:50:41,560
Speaker 2: still has a lot of issues. Derek Carr is playing

991
00:50:41,600 --> 00:50:44,680
Speaker 2: really well, but it is still a team that is

992
00:50:45,120 --> 00:50:50,279
Speaker 2: below average overall. And you know, look, they beat the

993
00:50:50,320 --> 00:50:55,560
Speaker 2: Cowboys because of seventeen defensive best interference calls, and the

994
00:50:55,600 --> 00:50:58,799
Speaker 2: Cowboys weren't playing without Amari Cooper and CD Lamb. They

995
00:50:58,840 --> 00:51:01,520
Speaker 2: still needed overtime just by you know, having seventeen guys

996
00:51:01,520 --> 00:51:03,799
Speaker 2: on the field at one time. So I think that

997
00:51:03,880 --> 00:51:07,360
Speaker 2: the Washington can keep this within one possession. You're teasing

998
00:51:07,360 --> 00:51:10,520
Speaker 2: through three, four, six, and seven. The totals out, you know,

999
00:51:10,640 --> 00:51:15,560
Speaker 2: fifty five fifty six. No brainer there, and I'll tease

1000
00:51:15,600 --> 00:51:19,719
Speaker 2: them with the Eagles. You're not coming down off of

1001
00:51:20,040 --> 00:51:23,839
Speaker 2: a touchdown here. Jalen Hurts. There are some questions about

1002
00:51:23,880 --> 00:51:26,760
Speaker 2: whether or not he'll go or Gardner Minshew. They're preparing

1003
00:51:26,800 --> 00:51:31,080
Speaker 2: as if Hurts will start. But you know this, they

1004
00:51:31,080 --> 00:51:33,040
Speaker 2: should be able to hand it off. Anyone should be

1005
00:51:33,080 --> 00:51:35,400
Speaker 2: able to move on. This Jets defense, just defense is

1006
00:51:35,400 --> 00:51:38,200
Speaker 2: already be the worst in the NFL, and Zack Wilson

1007
00:51:38,200 --> 00:51:39,880
Speaker 2: is still a worst quarterback in the NFL. What did

1008
00:51:39,880 --> 00:51:43,560
Speaker 2: you do last week, Zach Wilson? Last week against the Texans,

1009
00:51:44,480 --> 00:51:48,320
Speaker 2: four one hundred and forty five yards, no touchdowns, and

1010
00:51:48,400 --> 00:51:52,360
Speaker 2: an interception. He did have, yeah, four sacks against a

1011
00:51:52,400 --> 00:51:55,080
Speaker 2: team that can't sack anybody. So the Eagles should be

1012
00:51:55,080 --> 00:51:57,799
Speaker 2: able to get pressure upfront and they should win this game.

1013
00:51:57,800 --> 00:51:59,879
Speaker 2: They just were in this whole this stadium as well,

1014
00:52:00,320 --> 00:52:03,560
Speaker 2: just there, so there's I can't imagine there's gonna be

1015
00:52:03,680 --> 00:52:07,440
Speaker 2: much home field advantage here. By the way, Zach Wilson,

1016
00:52:07,480 --> 00:52:09,720
Speaker 2: you and albadis he's the holy quarterback in the NFL.

1017
00:52:09,880 --> 00:52:16,160
Speaker 2: Is a negative EPA plus completion percentage over expectation composite negative.

1018
00:52:16,280 --> 00:52:19,760
Speaker 2: He's a negative. So he's terrible. The Jets are terrible,

1019
00:52:20,239 --> 00:52:23,120
Speaker 2: and I think the Eagles should bounce back here and

1020
00:52:23,120 --> 00:52:25,279
Speaker 2: get this win. So teasing them to a half a

1021
00:52:25,320 --> 00:52:27,480
Speaker 2: point I like. I also like teasing the Vikings down,

1022
00:52:27,520 --> 00:52:31,239
Speaker 2: but for this will go Eagles well, little NFC East,

1023
00:52:31,239 --> 00:52:33,879
Speaker 2: teaser Eagles down, Washington up.

1024
00:52:34,120 --> 00:52:36,759
Speaker 1: I'll go to Minnesota teasing him down. You made the

1025
00:52:36,760 --> 00:52:39,200
Speaker 1: case for Minnesota already. I think more than likely they

1026
00:52:39,200 --> 00:52:42,040
Speaker 1: are able to cover the number. But instead of betting

1027
00:52:42,040 --> 00:52:44,440
Speaker 1: them to cover the seven, I like this teasing him

1028
00:52:44,440 --> 00:52:46,960
Speaker 1: down to the one. I don't see the Lions getting

1029
00:52:46,960 --> 00:52:50,719
Speaker 1: their first win this week, especially without DeAndre Swift. And

1030
00:52:50,760 --> 00:52:52,640
Speaker 1: then we also, you know the Vikings every once in

1031
00:52:52,680 --> 00:52:55,000
Speaker 1: a while do just kind of play these weird one

1032
00:52:55,040 --> 00:52:57,880
Speaker 1: of possession games. But for the other leg, I'll go

1033
00:52:57,960 --> 00:53:03,120
Speaker 1: with Arizona from eight to two, another team that just

1034
00:53:03,360 --> 00:53:05,800
Speaker 1: I think coming off the buy. I think they'll get

1035
00:53:06,000 --> 00:53:08,160
Speaker 1: Kyler back. We still they'll get one of the two

1036
00:53:08,400 --> 00:53:11,560
Speaker 1: Kyler and DeAndre. I think you know they're coming off

1037
00:53:11,600 --> 00:53:14,359
Speaker 1: the buy. But either way, this team has just been

1038
00:53:15,160 --> 00:53:18,040
Speaker 1: uh not really missing a beat, even with McCoy if

1039
00:53:18,080 --> 00:53:21,719
Speaker 1: he happens to start again, and going against Chicago, I mean,

1040
00:53:22,600 --> 00:53:25,200
Speaker 1: if you need to look at how where things are

1041
00:53:25,239 --> 00:53:27,799
Speaker 1: for Chicago. I mean, they're hyped about this win over

1042
00:53:27,920 --> 00:53:31,600
Speaker 1: Detroit in a game that they barely won. They needed

1043
00:53:31,600 --> 00:53:33,200
Speaker 1: to the last I don't care if you have Andy Donks,

1044
00:53:33,200 --> 00:53:36,200
Speaker 1: because Andy Donk's probably better than justin fields right now

1045
00:53:36,600 --> 00:53:39,960
Speaker 1: at you know, as a as a passer, and they

1046
00:53:39,960 --> 00:53:42,160
Speaker 1: still needed a last second field go there. This is

1047
00:53:42,200 --> 00:53:45,880
Speaker 1: not a good right, It's like uh. And then this

1048
00:53:46,000 --> 00:53:48,520
Speaker 1: Cardos team, like on defense, I mean that's where the

1049
00:53:48,560 --> 00:53:51,040
Speaker 1: big edge is gonna come, you know, regardless of what's

1050
00:53:51,040 --> 00:53:53,120
Speaker 1: going on with the offense. They have enough at the

1051
00:53:53,160 --> 00:53:56,400
Speaker 1: skill positions, especially with Connor playing well to kind of

1052
00:53:57,120 --> 00:53:59,480
Speaker 1: let McCoy dink and dug through this game against the

1053
00:53:59,480 --> 00:54:02,600
Speaker 1: team that's came score points. But on defense, Arizona's just

1054
00:54:02,600 --> 00:54:06,040
Speaker 1: been so good against the pass especially, so you know

1055
00:54:06,080 --> 00:54:08,399
Speaker 1: it's gonna be David Montgomery, you know, three four yards

1056
00:54:08,440 --> 00:54:10,560
Speaker 1: and a crowd of dust, and that's gonna be that.

1057
00:54:10,840 --> 00:54:13,279
Speaker 1: And I just don't see how Chicago, you know, I

1058
00:54:13,280 --> 00:54:14,640
Speaker 1: know they're at home, but I just don't see how

1059
00:54:14,680 --> 00:54:18,080
Speaker 1: they you know, don't I don't see how Arizona covers.

1060
00:54:18,360 --> 00:54:20,160
Speaker 1: It doesn't cover less than a field goal. So I

1061
00:54:20,239 --> 00:54:23,440
Speaker 1: love this down from eight to two here, regardless of

1062
00:54:23,800 --> 00:54:27,040
Speaker 1: what's going on injury wise for the Cardinals and regardless

1063
00:54:27,040 --> 00:54:30,600
Speaker 1: of whether it's fields or Andy Dalton for Chicago.

1064
00:54:31,280 --> 00:54:33,400
Speaker 2: I knew that you were gonna take them, and the

1065
00:54:33,480 --> 00:54:36,439
Speaker 2: Cardinals owned me, so I didn't want to, right, yeah,

1066
00:54:36,840 --> 00:54:39,080
Speaker 2: because the Bears would win if I if I tease

1067
00:54:39,120 --> 00:54:40,400
Speaker 2: the Cardinals.

1068
00:54:40,160 --> 00:54:41,680
Speaker 1: Like you said, We're still doing pretty good on the

1069
00:54:41,719 --> 00:54:43,160
Speaker 1: year here at the on the pot, but I feel

1070
00:54:43,160 --> 00:54:45,560
Speaker 1: like we're gonna look back and it's gonna be like

1071
00:54:45,760 --> 00:54:50,120
Speaker 1: fading Cliff Kingsbury and like losing closing line value on

1072
00:54:50,239 --> 00:54:52,239
Speaker 1: like backup quarterbacks is gonna be like, we're gonna be.

1073
00:54:52,239 --> 00:54:55,319
Speaker 2: Like, yeah, that's crushed my ears so far, and overtimes

1074
00:54:55,360 --> 00:54:58,520
Speaker 2: and over time, Yeah, that's that's crushed my ear so far.

1075
00:54:58,560 --> 00:55:01,520
Speaker 2: As these beating the Sprea by seven points, presuming and

1076
00:55:01,520 --> 00:55:03,839
Speaker 2: predicting correctly, the backup is gonna be in, I mean,

1077
00:55:03,880 --> 00:55:06,440
Speaker 2: what are you gonna do? So yeah, hopefully we have

1078
00:55:06,520 --> 00:55:08,919
Speaker 2: some positive overtime regression coming the rest of the way now,

1079
00:55:08,960 --> 00:55:11,520
Speaker 2: but no no sense dwelling on it. But yeah, pretty funny,

1080
00:55:12,040 --> 00:55:12,399
Speaker 2: all right.

1081
00:55:12,719 --> 00:55:15,560
Speaker 1: So our Teezers stuck is going It's Philly from six

1082
00:55:15,640 --> 00:55:17,759
Speaker 1: and a half to a half a point in Washington

1083
00:55:17,920 --> 00:55:19,840
Speaker 1: plus two and a half to plus eight and a half.

1084
00:55:20,640 --> 00:55:24,399
Speaker 1: I am going Minnesota seven to one and Arizona eight

1085
00:55:24,440 --> 00:55:28,760
Speaker 1: to two. Now let's get into our money line underdog parlay.

1086
00:55:31,719 --> 00:55:35,080
Speaker 3: Turning good weekends into great weekends.

1087
00:55:35,560 --> 00:55:38,120
Speaker 2: It's time for the money line parlay.

1088
00:55:39,280 --> 00:55:43,920
Speaker 5: All right, Stuck, we've had an unconventional like what two

1089
00:55:44,000 --> 00:55:47,520
Speaker 5: three week losing streak on the underdog partway, so it's

1090
00:55:47,520 --> 00:55:49,600
Speaker 5: not like us this year, and we've been pretty good

1091
00:55:49,600 --> 00:55:50,040
Speaker 5: on these.

1092
00:55:50,280 --> 00:55:53,320
Speaker 1: So let's try to get back in the win column

1093
00:55:53,360 --> 00:55:54,359
Speaker 1: where you're going for your dog.

1094
00:55:55,520 --> 00:55:58,200
Speaker 2: Let's go with a game you mentioned earlier. It's very high.

1095
00:55:58,200 --> 00:55:59,839
Speaker 2: The arrants team hard to figure out, but I think

1096
00:55:59,880 --> 00:56:03,040
Speaker 2: the two even teams, two high errant teams every week.

1097
00:56:03,080 --> 00:56:04,960
Speaker 2: The week you're like, whoa, what is that result? So

1098
00:56:05,239 --> 00:56:08,600
Speaker 2: I think that there's some good value taking the Chargers

1099
00:56:09,440 --> 00:56:15,040
Speaker 2: in Cincinnati here plus one thirty five currently at bet MGM. Here.

1100
00:56:15,640 --> 00:56:18,840
Speaker 1: Yeah, and I'll go with the classic spot again. I

1101
00:56:18,880 --> 00:56:22,520
Speaker 1: think no one's gonna want to do this. My Twitter

1102
00:56:22,600 --> 00:56:26,280
Speaker 1: mentions seemed to tell me that no one who follows

1103
00:56:26,320 --> 00:56:29,279
Speaker 1: me is ever letting me talk them out of the

1104
00:56:29,280 --> 00:56:32,960
Speaker 1: Bengals again. So there's that, which also probably means they're

1105
00:56:33,000 --> 00:56:35,319
Speaker 1: never letting me talked them into betting the Steelers again.

1106
00:56:35,360 --> 00:56:37,640
Speaker 1: But I'm going with the Steelers as the money line dog.

1107
00:56:37,680 --> 00:56:40,080
Speaker 1: You mentioned it. Ravens are six to oho one score games.

1108
00:56:40,800 --> 00:56:43,280
Speaker 1: They can't keep doing this. They're not playing great football.

1109
00:56:43,440 --> 00:56:46,200
Speaker 1: So Steeers aren't playing great football. The Ravens aren't playing

1110
00:56:46,239 --> 00:56:51,600
Speaker 1: great football. Mike tom Win moneyline dog from October on.

1111
00:56:52,080 --> 00:56:55,640
Speaker 1: He has a winning record twenty eight and twenty two,

1112
00:56:56,120 --> 00:57:00,480
Speaker 1: fifty six percent straight up as an under dog from

1113
00:57:00,520 --> 00:57:03,160
Speaker 1: October on. I don't want to hear about the labor

1114
00:57:03,200 --> 00:57:06,640
Speaker 1: pays man, deliver the damn baby and then off the loss.

1115
00:57:06,640 --> 00:57:09,640
Speaker 1: He's fifty and twenty nine straight up. So you know,

1116
00:57:09,719 --> 00:57:13,319
Speaker 1: this is a spot here for Pittsburgh at home to

1117
00:57:13,400 --> 00:57:16,479
Speaker 1: surprise some people against the Ravens team that, like you said,

1118
00:57:16,480 --> 00:57:17,800
Speaker 1: would you would you say they are kind of like

1119
00:57:17,840 --> 00:57:20,280
Speaker 1: fat with that first place, we're just kind of sitting

1120
00:57:20,320 --> 00:57:23,640
Speaker 1: pretty here. They can it sounds you know, this is crazy NFL.

1121
00:57:23,720 --> 00:57:25,720
Speaker 1: You can't really ever afford it. But if anyone could

1122
00:57:25,760 --> 00:57:28,360
Speaker 1: afford to like drop this game, it's the Ravens, And

1123
00:57:28,960 --> 00:57:30,520
Speaker 1: I think you get a better effort from the Steelers,

1124
00:57:30,560 --> 00:57:32,720
Speaker 1: and that's all you can kind of hope for at

1125
00:57:32,720 --> 00:57:36,560
Speaker 1: home against Avision rival that's also struggling. So give me

1126
00:57:36,600 --> 00:57:41,760
Speaker 1: the Steelers at plus one fifty five. Here. My kids

1127
00:57:41,800 --> 00:57:44,000
Speaker 1: want to have a good Christmas. So if we parla

1128
00:57:44,120 --> 00:57:47,320
Speaker 1: those together, you get a five to one payout just

1129
00:57:47,360 --> 00:57:49,560
Speaker 1: about if you put one hundred dollars in you get

1130
00:57:49,560 --> 00:57:53,800
Speaker 1: five ninety nine backs. So hopefully get back on the

1131
00:57:53,880 --> 00:57:56,320
Speaker 1: right track here hit these money line dogs.

1132
00:57:58,840 --> 00:58:03,080
Speaker 4: The Action Network Past is proudly presented by betmgm, and

1133
00:58:03,160 --> 00:58:06,720
Speaker 4: to celebrate the twenty twenty one NFL season, betmgm is

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1140
00:58:27,440 --> 00:58:30,360
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1141
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00:58:36,680 --> 00:58:40,920
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Speaker 4: be tracked in your action in So open an account

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00:58:53,240 --> 00:58:55,600
Speaker 4: one thousand dollars. Just click on the link in this

1149
00:58:55,680 --> 00:58:58,880
Speaker 4: episode description to get started. Must be twenty one or

1150
00:58:58,920 --> 00:59:02,200
Speaker 4: older and physically located to the Michigan, New Jersey, Colorado, Indiana,

1151
00:59:02,240 --> 00:59:06,920
Speaker 4: West Virginia, Iowa, Virginia, Tennessee, Nevada, or Pennsylvania. Please gamble responsibly.

1152
00:59:07,160 --> 00:59:10,000
Speaker 4: Gambling problem called one eight hundred five two two forty

1153
00:59:10,000 --> 00:59:13,000
Speaker 4: seven hundred in Colorado and Nevada. One eight hundred gambler

1154
00:59:13,040 --> 00:59:15,800
Speaker 4: in New Jersey, Pennsylvania and West Virginia. One eight hundred

1155
00:59:15,920 --> 00:59:18,360
Speaker 4: nine with it in Indiana, one eight hundred two seven

1156
00:59:18,480 --> 00:59:20,640
Speaker 4: zero seven to one to one seven in Michigan, one

1157
00:59:20,680 --> 00:59:23,360
Speaker 4: eight hundred eight eight nine nine seven eight nine in Tennessee.

1158
00:59:23,480 --> 00:59:25,960
Speaker 4: One eight hundred bets off in Iowa or one eight

1159
00:59:25,960 --> 00:59:28,680
Speaker 4: eight eight five three to two thirty five hundred in Virginia.

1160
00:59:28,800 --> 00:59:31,960
Speaker 4: Nuts think not available in Nevada. Thanks so much for listening.

1161
00:59:32,200 --> 00:59:33,240
Speaker 4: Let's get back to the show.

1162
00:59:35,040 --> 00:59:37,760
Speaker 1: Let's now get into best of the rest, which are

1163
00:59:37,800 --> 00:59:40,760
Speaker 1: the games that we did not break down in any

1164
00:59:40,800 --> 00:59:43,640
Speaker 1: other segment, Hi Statt. First up, we got the Bucks

1165
00:59:44,040 --> 00:59:48,480
Speaker 1: go in Atlanta to take on Corde Aero Patterson and

1166
00:59:48,520 --> 00:59:51,520
Speaker 1: the Falcons. Falcons ten and a half point dogs, the

1167
00:59:51,560 --> 00:59:54,280
Speaker 1: totals at fifty, so that's take down about a half point,

1168
00:59:54,920 --> 00:59:58,240
Speaker 1: presumably with the news of Antonio Brown likely to miss

1169
00:59:58,280 --> 01:00:01,400
Speaker 1: another game. But ten Bay Po, you're really well on offense.

1170
01:00:01,560 --> 01:00:04,360
Speaker 1: This is just one of those matchups that always kind

1171
01:00:04,360 --> 01:00:07,880
Speaker 1: of makes me raise my Eyebroute, because Falcons can't get pressure.

1172
01:00:08,000 --> 01:00:11,160
Speaker 1: That means like a forty burger for this Bucks offense.

1173
01:00:11,240 --> 01:00:13,160
Speaker 1: So what are your thoughts on this one?

1174
01:00:14,160 --> 01:00:16,760
Speaker 2: Yeah, I this has passed for me. I make this

1175
01:00:16,840 --> 01:00:21,080
Speaker 2: the spreading total spot on. Debucks should win. The Falcons

1176
01:00:21,120 --> 01:00:24,480
Speaker 2: are averaging fourteen points per game since losing Calvin Ridley.

1177
01:00:25,320 --> 01:00:28,120
Speaker 2: Maybe he was back this year, but all besides he's

1178
01:00:28,160 --> 01:00:30,520
Speaker 2: not coming back to speak. This offense is dreadful. And

1179
01:00:30,560 --> 01:00:33,520
Speaker 2: you said that the defense doesn't get any pressure. Can't

1180
01:00:33,560 --> 01:00:36,800
Speaker 2: really stop anybody. Hey, j Torrell starting into a play.

1181
01:00:36,920 --> 01:00:39,800
Speaker 2: Cordrell Patterson has been awesome, but that's about it. Matt

1182
01:00:39,840 --> 01:00:43,840
Speaker 2: Ryan is over the hill. By the way, Falcons amazingly.

1183
01:00:44,080 --> 01:00:46,480
Speaker 2: Think about all the bad teams in the NFL, all right,

1184
01:00:46,560 --> 01:00:51,040
Speaker 2: the Text and the Jets, the Cardinals. You know, I

1185
01:00:51,040 --> 01:00:54,560
Speaker 2: could go on and on here the yes, that was

1186
01:00:54,960 --> 01:00:58,240
Speaker 2: a Joe Cardinals fence, but the Falcons and the lot,

1187
01:00:58,320 --> 01:01:02,480
Speaker 2: the winless Lions. The Falcons are amazingly thirty first in

1188
01:01:03,400 --> 01:01:07,760
Speaker 2: DVA offense, twenty ninth in defense, and thirty first in

1189
01:01:07,840 --> 01:01:11,480
Speaker 2: special teams. And I believe the thirty second overall the

1190
01:01:11,560 --> 01:01:15,520
Speaker 2: worst team per Football Outsiders DBI. Is that correct? Are

1191
01:01:15,520 --> 01:01:16,360
Speaker 2: they dead last?

1192
01:01:17,080 --> 01:01:19,520
Speaker 1: They are? Yes, they are dead last. They are thirty

1193
01:01:19,600 --> 01:01:24,600
Speaker 1: second in both pustseason and weighted. They are thirty first

1194
01:01:24,600 --> 01:01:28,080
Speaker 1: on offense, twenty ninth on defense, and thirty first on

1195
01:01:28,200 --> 01:01:28,840
Speaker 1: special team.

1196
01:01:29,400 --> 01:01:31,080
Speaker 2: Yeah, and they're playing the best team in the NFL.

1197
01:01:31,360 --> 01:01:34,400
Speaker 2: But I made this spread spot on not laye ten

1198
01:01:34,440 --> 01:01:36,880
Speaker 2: and a half here and certainly not taking the Falcons

1199
01:01:37,120 --> 01:01:37,880
Speaker 2: pure pass for me.

1200
01:01:38,280 --> 01:01:40,960
Speaker 1: Yeah, imagine how much worse they do without for Daryl Patterson,

1201
01:01:41,040 --> 01:01:44,120
Speaker 1: which is mind boggling. By the way, With all of

1202
01:01:44,160 --> 01:01:49,200
Speaker 1: that said, the Falcons right now record wise are tied

1203
01:01:49,640 --> 01:01:53,200
Speaker 1: with Washington football team, the Vikings, and the Saints for

1204
01:01:53,280 --> 01:01:55,480
Speaker 1: that final wild card spot. They wouldn't. They don't have

1205
01:01:55,520 --> 01:01:57,919
Speaker 1: the tie breakers, so they're not technically that seventh team,

1206
01:01:58,120 --> 01:02:00,959
Speaker 1: but they have the same record as as a team

1207
01:02:01,120 --> 01:02:02,840
Speaker 1: that is in that seventh wild card spot, so they're

1208
01:02:02,880 --> 01:02:04,560
Speaker 1: not even out of it yet.

1209
01:02:04,600 --> 01:02:05,240
Speaker 2: It's amazing.

1210
01:02:06,320 --> 01:02:08,120
Speaker 1: Gun in my head, I'd pray the Bucks here. I

1211
01:02:08,200 --> 01:02:12,520
Speaker 1: just think these spots with you know, with no no pressure,

1212
01:02:12,680 --> 01:02:15,200
Speaker 1: and then your offense is not It's not like a

1213
01:02:15,200 --> 01:02:17,360
Speaker 1: Colts offense or something where at least you have like

1214
01:02:17,400 --> 01:02:20,160
Speaker 1: a Jonathan Taylor or something like that. Like, I just

1215
01:02:20,520 --> 01:02:23,360
Speaker 1: I don't know how the Falcons stayed within two possessions. Yeah,

1216
01:02:23,360 --> 01:02:25,160
Speaker 1: I mean it's late in the year. Maybe weird things happen.

1217
01:02:25,200 --> 01:02:26,560
Speaker 1: But I think the Bucks are going to be motivated

1218
01:02:26,560 --> 01:02:28,400
Speaker 1: because they had that two game losing streak. You look

1219
01:02:28,440 --> 01:02:31,560
Speaker 1: at the Bucks schedule from here on out, I think

1220
01:02:31,560 --> 01:02:33,440
Speaker 1: they're going to be very motivated the rest of the

1221
01:02:33,440 --> 01:02:35,840
Speaker 1: way because they could they could finish fourteen and three,

1222
01:02:36,120 --> 01:02:38,840
Speaker 1: they could win, they could run the table. Here, pretty

1223
01:02:38,840 --> 01:02:41,200
Speaker 1: winnable slate of games for them. If they can beat

1224
01:02:41,240 --> 01:02:43,959
Speaker 1: Buffalo in Tampa Bay that's like the one tough one,

1225
01:02:44,680 --> 01:02:47,360
Speaker 1: they could very well finish fourteen and three here. So

1226
01:02:47,600 --> 01:02:49,200
Speaker 1: I think you get a good effort from the Bucks.

1227
01:02:49,960 --> 01:02:51,800
Speaker 1: I think the Colts were a much more dangerous game,

1228
01:02:51,960 --> 01:02:54,800
Speaker 1: and they conquered that last week. But let's go to

1229
01:02:54,920 --> 01:02:58,080
Speaker 1: the Colts. They're going to Houston. Eight and a half

1230
01:02:58,800 --> 01:03:01,640
Speaker 1: is the spread in favor of the Colts on the road.

1231
01:03:01,680 --> 01:03:05,560
Speaker 1: The totals forty five and a half. Yeah, my first

1232
01:03:06,000 --> 01:03:08,320
Speaker 1: the Sharps looks like the Sharps on the Texans. Here.

1233
01:03:09,160 --> 01:03:12,080
Speaker 1: I first thought is could be an undergame. Both of

1234
01:03:12,120 --> 01:03:15,800
Speaker 1: these teams not good catching, just aren't good early downs

1235
01:03:15,880 --> 01:03:18,880
Speaker 1: any any downs on offense. And the Colts are thirty

1236
01:03:18,880 --> 01:03:22,560
Speaker 1: first early down past success rate on offense. So the

1237
01:03:22,600 --> 01:03:25,400
Speaker 1: Coats are just all about running the football and kind

1238
01:03:25,400 --> 01:03:28,320
Speaker 1: of getting out of here. I think, I know there's

1239
01:03:28,400 --> 01:03:31,200
Speaker 1: what was I think thirty one to three or something

1240
01:03:31,240 --> 01:03:33,360
Speaker 1: like that last time they played, So it went under,

1241
01:03:33,400 --> 01:03:35,280
Speaker 1: So that's kind of how I leaned. But probably a

1242
01:03:35,320 --> 01:03:37,120
Speaker 1: pass for me. What are your thoughts?

1243
01:03:37,680 --> 01:03:40,080
Speaker 2: I mean, I make this nine to three? Uh, this

1244
01:03:40,160 --> 01:03:43,919
Speaker 2: is just pure pass, like just double almost double digit

1245
01:03:44,040 --> 01:03:46,800
Speaker 2: favorite on the road and division like Ada'm spot onto

1246
01:03:46,840 --> 01:03:50,200
Speaker 2: the market two tailor doesn't even look great. This is

1247
01:03:50,200 --> 01:03:52,400
Speaker 2: a pass for me. By the way, the Lions you

1248
01:03:52,480 --> 01:03:54,320
Speaker 2: were talking about who are you talk about the payoff chances?

1249
01:03:54,320 --> 01:03:58,240
Speaker 2: The Falcons, Falcons, the Lions. Uh just they're O ten

1250
01:03:58,320 --> 01:04:01,320
Speaker 2: and one. They're still alive in the playoff FN. They

1251
01:04:01,360 --> 01:04:04,000
Speaker 2: need four hundred and thirty seven things to go their

1252
01:04:04,040 --> 01:04:05,800
Speaker 2: way the rest of the way, all four under thirty

1253
01:04:05,840 --> 01:04:08,800
Speaker 2: seven events need to go their way and they can

1254
01:04:08,840 --> 01:04:12,200
Speaker 2: get the wild card, although if they do lose against

1255
01:04:12,240 --> 01:04:14,360
Speaker 2: the Vikings, they are eliminated. They'll be the first team

1256
01:04:15,320 --> 01:04:18,520
Speaker 2: to be eliminated. Absolutely zero interest in this game. If

1257
01:04:18,520 --> 01:04:19,760
Speaker 2: you got if you got down to like eight and

1258
01:04:19,800 --> 01:04:22,800
Speaker 2: a half the culture good teaser piece, all.

1259
01:04:22,760 --> 01:04:26,360
Speaker 1: Right, and then the final game. Jaguars at the Rams.

1260
01:04:26,600 --> 01:04:30,720
Speaker 1: Jags are thirteen point underdogs in LA the totals forty

1261
01:04:30,760 --> 01:04:32,800
Speaker 1: seven and a half. The Rams have been one of

1262
01:04:32,840 --> 01:04:35,400
Speaker 1: the worst offenses in the week over the last few weeks.

1263
01:04:35,880 --> 01:04:39,400
Speaker 1: There's talk of Stafford dealing with the back injury. Obviously

1264
01:04:39,400 --> 01:04:42,520
Speaker 1: you lost Robert Woods. Daryl Henderson's dealing with the injury

1265
01:04:42,560 --> 01:04:46,960
Speaker 1: as well, so could be another ugly one here. Sharps

1266
01:04:47,000 --> 01:04:50,000
Speaker 1: have come in on the Jags. We've tracked a bunch

1267
01:04:50,000 --> 01:04:53,600
Speaker 1: of sharp action in the Action Network app on the Jaguars,

1268
01:04:53,640 --> 01:04:55,960
Speaker 1: but this is a pass for me. I mean, you've

1269
01:04:55,960 --> 01:04:59,040
Speaker 1: seen the Rams. You know, they've handled some of these

1270
01:04:59,080 --> 01:05:00,880
Speaker 1: kind of teams in the past. Said could be a

1271
01:05:00,920 --> 01:05:03,120
Speaker 1: get right game. I just I don't want any part

1272
01:05:03,120 --> 01:05:03,800
Speaker 1: of it. What do you think?

1273
01:05:04,560 --> 01:05:05,960
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think the line's a little too high, But

1274
01:05:06,320 --> 01:05:08,760
Speaker 2: I mean this is a get right game for the Rams,

1275
01:05:08,800 --> 01:05:11,440
Speaker 2: and they do have issues. The staff are healthy, they're

1276
01:05:11,480 --> 01:05:13,440
Speaker 2: just they don't really have an identity, I don't think,

1277
01:05:13,560 --> 01:05:15,880
Speaker 2: and they're still trying to figure themselves out. Really disappointing

1278
01:05:15,880 --> 01:05:18,800
Speaker 2: effort last week. They give the Packers. I mean, that

1279
01:05:18,840 --> 01:05:21,080
Speaker 2: was my biggest bat last week. It just crushed my week.

1280
01:05:21,440 --> 01:05:23,560
Speaker 2: But they give the Packers twenty off of the bye.

1281
01:05:23,560 --> 01:05:27,000
Speaker 2: They give the Packers twenty points on twenty total yards.

1282
01:05:27,560 --> 01:05:30,400
Speaker 2: They you know, don't get a fourth and one at

1283
01:05:30,400 --> 01:05:33,280
Speaker 2: their own twenty. They throw a pick six, they fumble

1284
01:05:33,360 --> 01:05:36,360
Speaker 2: a punt, they have another fumble. I mean, you give

1285
01:05:36,400 --> 01:05:41,120
Speaker 2: Aaron Rodgers at home three touchdowns for free. Just just

1286
01:05:41,200 --> 01:05:45,720
Speaker 2: sloppy and you know, so yeah, I can't back the

1287
01:05:45,800 --> 01:05:49,040
Speaker 2: Jags here, but the lines too high for me to

1288
01:05:49,040 --> 01:05:51,240
Speaker 2: get involved with the Rams. So pass, easy.

1289
01:05:51,000 --> 01:05:53,720
Speaker 1: Pass, And I mean I think Odell was going to play.

1290
01:05:53,800 --> 01:05:55,840
Speaker 1: He has a hit pointer but if for some reason

1291
01:05:55,840 --> 01:05:58,720
Speaker 1: he doesn't play, the Rams are pretty banged up at receiver.

1292
01:05:58,920 --> 01:06:01,600
Speaker 1: Remember Woods already went down. Looks like JJ Cosky got

1293
01:06:01,600 --> 01:06:04,120
Speaker 1: banged up and Ben Scaronic got banged up. So you

1294
01:06:04,120 --> 01:06:09,520
Speaker 1: could see like Cooper cup Van Jefferson and Landon Acres

1295
01:06:09,560 --> 01:06:12,960
Speaker 1: in three wide sets. So it's just could be the

1296
01:06:13,040 --> 01:06:17,000
Speaker 1: odd could be an odd game. All right, let's get

1297
01:06:17,000 --> 01:06:21,320
Speaker 1: into our Survivor Pool pick of the week, the.

1298
01:06:26,360 --> 01:06:28,960
Speaker 5: Survivorpool pick of the week.

1299
01:06:30,560 --> 01:06:32,400
Speaker 1: And god damn it, I knew I should have stayed

1300
01:06:32,400 --> 01:06:36,080
Speaker 1: with the Bears. I pivoted to the Texans. I got

1301
01:06:36,080 --> 01:06:38,760
Speaker 1: eliminate it, and you also got eliminated, so he both

1302
01:06:38,800 --> 01:06:41,800
Speaker 1: lost last week. Like I don't know, I mean, what

1303
01:06:41,880 --> 01:06:43,680
Speaker 1: do we just if anyone's still alive? I guess we

1304
01:06:43,840 --> 01:06:46,160
Speaker 1: just give him the team we would take, which would

1305
01:06:46,240 --> 01:06:46,760
Speaker 1: I guess.

1306
01:06:48,480 --> 01:06:51,920
Speaker 2: If anyone is is alive, Yeah, you gotta look Rams

1307
01:06:52,000 --> 01:06:55,200
Speaker 2: or Colts or who did I have saved here? I

1308
01:06:55,280 --> 01:06:56,720
Speaker 2: was gonna use the Eagles this week. I thought it

1309
01:06:56,720 --> 01:06:59,000
Speaker 2: was still alive. But yeah, I would use the Rams

1310
01:06:59,000 --> 01:07:01,120
Speaker 2: if you have them available. But I was going to

1311
01:07:01,200 --> 01:07:03,560
Speaker 2: use the Eagles because Eagles probably like nothing but the

1312
01:07:03,640 --> 01:07:07,280
Speaker 2: Visional games after this. If you look at the Rams schedule,

1313
01:07:07,920 --> 01:07:11,000
Speaker 2: you know their home against the Seahawks, their home against

1314
01:07:11,040 --> 01:07:13,920
Speaker 2: the Niners, at Raven's, at Vikings, at Cardinals. He wouldn't

1315
01:07:13,960 --> 01:07:16,560
Speaker 2: use them. So yeah, if you haven't used the Rams,

1316
01:07:16,640 --> 01:07:19,320
Speaker 2: you can you could certainly would I would use them here.

1317
01:07:19,960 --> 01:07:24,360
Speaker 2: If you have used the Rams, then I would potentially

1318
01:07:24,360 --> 01:07:28,120
Speaker 2: look at using the Eagles. Well, for I would go

1319
01:07:28,200 --> 01:07:31,880
Speaker 2: My hierarchy would be Rams if you haven't used them,

1320
01:07:31,960 --> 01:07:35,080
Speaker 2: Cults if you haven't used them. Same with the Bucks,

1321
01:07:35,560 --> 01:07:37,080
Speaker 2: all three of those teams a lot people probably have

1322
01:07:37,160 --> 01:07:39,040
Speaker 2: used them. If you've gotten at this point, I think

1323
01:07:39,080 --> 01:07:42,200
Speaker 2: the Eagles are a good option, as are the Vikings.

1324
01:07:42,480 --> 01:07:44,280
Speaker 2: But for this week, I mean, even though we're out

1325
01:07:44,280 --> 01:07:45,440
Speaker 2: of it, I'll save the Eagles.

1326
01:07:45,760 --> 01:07:47,520
Speaker 1: Yeah, because if you still have the Bucks, you know

1327
01:07:47,560 --> 01:07:50,439
Speaker 1: they play the Jets a little later in the year. Again,

1328
01:07:50,480 --> 01:07:53,400
Speaker 1: they have a pretty winnable schedule. The Eagles make me

1329
01:07:53,440 --> 01:07:56,600
Speaker 1: a little nervous, just because we of that uncertainty with Hurts,

1330
01:07:56,880 --> 01:07:59,640
Speaker 1: and like, the thing I worry about, maybe even more

1331
01:07:59,640 --> 01:08:02,240
Speaker 1: than him not playing, isn't playing and playing like you

1332
01:08:02,240 --> 01:08:04,560
Speaker 1: did last week. If Hurts plays like you did against

1333
01:08:04,600 --> 01:08:06,680
Speaker 1: the Giants last week, the Jets could win this game.

1334
01:08:06,720 --> 01:08:08,560
Speaker 1: I mean, the Eagles scored seven points. Now it wasn't

1335
01:08:08,600 --> 01:08:11,360
Speaker 1: only hurts, you know, they dropped a touchdown. But if

1336
01:08:11,360 --> 01:08:13,320
Speaker 1: you scored seven points, you're not winning in the NFL.

1337
01:08:13,400 --> 01:08:16,479
Speaker 1: So like, if you have the Coats, you know, I

1338
01:08:16,520 --> 01:08:18,960
Speaker 1: would try to use them or one of these, you know,

1339
01:08:19,000 --> 01:08:21,200
Speaker 1: teams that you've been saving. But yeah, if you if

1340
01:08:21,240 --> 01:08:22,960
Speaker 1: you're in a bind, you have to go with the

1341
01:08:22,960 --> 01:08:25,759
Speaker 1: Eagles here. I wouldn't trust any of these division games.

1342
01:08:25,800 --> 01:08:28,280
Speaker 1: I mean, you know, the Niners, you know you can't

1343
01:08:28,280 --> 01:08:31,840
Speaker 1: trust them. We talked about them Vikings. I mean, maybe

1344
01:08:31,880 --> 01:08:33,680
Speaker 1: if you have the Vikings, I guess that would be

1345
01:08:33,680 --> 01:08:36,120
Speaker 1: a team that that I would feel good with. But

1346
01:08:36,439 --> 01:08:38,880
Speaker 1: unfortunately we both s bowed out at the same time.

1347
01:08:39,720 --> 01:08:42,120
Speaker 1: It was a good run, it was it was of course,

1348
01:08:42,160 --> 01:08:44,600
Speaker 1: of course, it would comes to end deciding for me

1349
01:08:44,600 --> 01:08:47,439
Speaker 1: at least between the Texans and the Bears and picking

1350
01:08:47,479 --> 01:08:50,200
Speaker 1: the wrong team. All right, that's gonna wrap it up

1351
01:08:50,280 --> 01:08:54,120
Speaker 1: for the week thirteen Action Network podcast. As a reminder,

1352
01:08:54,160 --> 01:08:55,880
Speaker 1: you can follow all of our picks on the award

1353
01:08:55,880 --> 01:08:58,479
Speaker 1: winning Action Network app. Just search for Sunday six Pack

1354
01:08:58,760 --> 01:09:02,400
Speaker 1: and the apps follow feature. You can find Stucky on

1355
01:09:02,479 --> 01:09:05,720
Speaker 1: Twitter at Stucky Too, and you can find me on

1356
01:09:05,800 --> 01:09:08,800
Speaker 1: Twitter at Chris Raybon. You can find us at those

1357
01:09:08,800 --> 01:09:12,080
Speaker 1: same handles in the Action Network app, where again you

1358
01:09:12,120 --> 01:09:15,679
Speaker 1: can follow all of our bets and track yours as well.

1359
01:09:15,760 --> 01:09:18,920
Speaker 1: Be sure to check out actionnetwork dot com for all

1360
01:09:18,960 --> 01:09:22,479
Speaker 1: of our fantasy football and betting content. Stuck will have

1361
01:09:22,520 --> 01:09:26,080
Speaker 1: a breakdown of the Monday Night football game. Sean Kerner

1362
01:09:26,120 --> 01:09:29,880
Speaker 1: will have a breakdown of the Thursday Night football game

1363
01:09:30,400 --> 01:09:36,800
Speaker 1: until next week. Catchus your money, Let's go