WEBVTT - Week 7 CFB Breakdown with Thor Nystrom and Scott Bogman (Ep 219) 0:00:00.600 --> 0:00:03.520 Welcome back everybody. It's the Betting Pros College Football Show. 0:00:03.520 --> 0:00:05.400 I'm your host, Scott Frogman. Follow me on the Twitter 0:00:05.680 --> 0:00:09.200 at Bogman Sports. I'm joined by Thor Nice from Follow 0:00:09.280 --> 0:00:13.680 him on the Twitter at thor K. You had another fantastic, amazing, 0:00:13.840 --> 0:00:18.160 great week of college football last week with Texas beating 0:00:18.200 --> 0:00:19.840 down Oklahoma forty nine to zering. 0:00:20.040 --> 0:00:22.320 I know that is what everyone was watching. 0:00:22.360 --> 0:00:24.640 No other important games, right, that was the only one 0:00:24.760 --> 0:00:28.120 in my heart anyway, Thor So, I loved college football 0:00:28.200 --> 0:00:31.040 last week even though I was five and five, you know, so, 0:00:31.360 --> 0:00:34.199 just sitting at five hundred on my article coming off 0:00:34.240 --> 0:00:35.880 that eight and two weeks, I knew the other show 0:00:35.960 --> 0:00:39.080 was going to drop eventually. So but I haven't finished 0:00:39.120 --> 0:00:42.240 under five hundred yet this year. Knock on wood, of course. 0:00:42.600 --> 0:00:45.440 But thor, how is your weekend? And are you ready for? 0:00:45.840 --> 0:00:49.040 And I can't believe I'm saying this week seven already here? 0:00:50.000 --> 0:00:53.880 Yeah, weekend was great. Suffered the first loss for Kansas 0:00:53.920 --> 0:00:56.520 of the season, so that was that was kind of tough. 0:00:56.560 --> 0:01:00.720 And my other alma mater, Iowa, was about ugliest game 0:01:00.760 --> 0:01:04.000 I've ever seen, although they've they've had like three other 0:01:04.040 --> 0:01:07.119 games that were exactly the same. Yeah so I but yeah, 0:01:07.120 --> 0:01:10.240 we will soldier through at them. And and my my 0:01:10.280 --> 0:01:12.840 betting weekend was sort of the opposite. I I always 0:01:12.880 --> 0:01:15.360 start slow. I don't know what it is. I you know, 0:01:15.440 --> 0:01:18.360 some some year I'm either gonna decide to stop betting 0:01:18.440 --> 0:01:20.920 in September or I'm gonna I'm gonna have to modulate something. 0:01:20.920 --> 0:01:23.320 But I always, I always pick it up. And last 0:01:23.319 --> 0:01:25.600 week I by far my best week of the year. 0:01:26.200 --> 0:01:28.560 So usually I have one of those vengeance weeks and 0:01:28.560 --> 0:01:32.959 then everything's you know, upward from there. And I hope 0:01:32.959 --> 0:01:34.320 that's what happens this year as well. 0:01:34.680 --> 0:01:37.240 You figure out more stuff as the season goes on, right, 0:01:37.280 --> 0:01:39.800 And I think that's kind of what part of it 0:01:39.840 --> 0:01:42.240 is is, you know, you start to see more stuff, 0:01:42.240 --> 0:01:44.319 the trends become a little more clear, But then you 0:01:44.360 --> 0:01:47.440 also have injuries. So I don't know, I never found 0:01:47.440 --> 0:01:50.280 the best time of year to bet. I just say 0:01:50.640 --> 0:01:54.160 week one, in the final week of the season, regular 0:01:54.160 --> 0:01:57.640 season anyway, those are always the hardest, uh, you know, 0:01:58.080 --> 0:02:01.080 in pretty much any sport because week one it's like 0:02:01.840 --> 0:02:03.560 how much different are these teams? 0:02:03.720 --> 0:02:06.240 And the last week is who cares and who doesn't? 0:02:06.400 --> 0:02:07.760 You know for sure. 0:02:08.040 --> 0:02:11.040 Yeah, so, I mean it's just effort level at that point. 0:02:11.080 --> 0:02:14.079 But we have sitting in the middle here in week seven, 0:02:14.160 --> 0:02:15.840 we have some great games, and let's start out with 0:02:15.880 --> 0:02:18.080 these Thursday and Friday night matchups. 0:02:18.120 --> 0:02:20.639 Here. Throw the first one we have on Thursday. 0:02:20.760 --> 0:02:22.959 UCF is a twenty three and a half point favorite 0:02:23.000 --> 0:02:26.919 at home against Temple. The number is forty six wbu 0:02:27.080 --> 0:02:30.000 versus Baylor is you know, Baylor is a three and 0:02:30.000 --> 0:02:31.959 a half point road favorite in fifty four and a 0:02:32.040 --> 0:02:34.760 half is a total in that one. So for these 0:02:34.800 --> 0:02:37.640 Thursday games, do you have a lean either way? 0:02:38.800 --> 0:02:42.799 Yes? My my lean in UCF Temple, I guess I 0:02:42.840 --> 0:02:45.840 would have would have two of them. My leans would 0:02:45.840 --> 0:02:52.400 be Temple and the under Temple. There. Their offense remains 0:02:52.440 --> 0:02:57.320 awful as always, but their defense has gotten good, and 0:02:57.360 --> 0:03:01.959 not only that, specifically their run defense. Temple's run defense 0:03:02.040 --> 0:03:05.680 is actually legit now. It is legitimately good. And as 0:03:05.720 --> 0:03:09.280 we know, UCF, their best thing is their rushing offense, 0:03:09.680 --> 0:03:12.480 and when you can take that away, they start to 0:03:12.520 --> 0:03:15.440 have real problems when they have to throw, you know, 0:03:15.480 --> 0:03:18.079 like for instance, go back to the Louisville game when 0:03:18.280 --> 0:03:21.920 when John Reeves Plumbly had to throw thirty times the 0:03:22.000 --> 0:03:25.400 UCF offense the wheels came off the thing. Now, in 0:03:25.440 --> 0:03:27.200 this game, I don't think it's going to get that 0:03:27.360 --> 0:03:30.240 bad for UCF where they have to throw Plumbly that 0:03:30.320 --> 0:03:33.280 many times, because Temple almost assuredly will not be able 0:03:33.320 --> 0:03:36.800 to score enough to put the game result in jeopardy. 0:03:37.160 --> 0:03:39.840 But they're you know, Temple is going to be able 0:03:39.920 --> 0:03:42.320 to take away what UCF what they want to do 0:03:42.680 --> 0:03:46.560 to the degree enough, I think that that makes us inflated, 0:03:46.640 --> 0:03:49.800 spread too much, a bridge too far. So I would 0:03:49.840 --> 0:03:52.280 want to take the points with Temple, and for almost 0:03:52.360 --> 0:03:56.440 the exact same reason I want the under. They have 0:03:56.800 --> 0:03:59.080 a pretty solid defense this year as well. They can 0:03:59.120 --> 0:04:00.280 stop the run as well. 0:04:00.000 --> 0:04:00.200 Well. 0:04:00.880 --> 0:04:03.680 Temple's going to have to throw here in order to score. 0:04:03.920 --> 0:04:07.280 We'll see if they can. Jury will be out on that. 0:04:07.400 --> 0:04:09.720 But I, like I said I Temple is going to 0:04:09.760 --> 0:04:12.839 be able to suppress the running of UCF, which might 0:04:12.840 --> 0:04:16.080 incentivize UCF to try to throw more, which is always 0:04:16.120 --> 0:04:18.400 in the favor of the opponent because Jean Reee Plumbly 0:04:18.440 --> 0:04:18.920 can't throw. 0:04:19.680 --> 0:04:24.080 Yeah, and just looking at like PFF grades here thor offensively, 0:04:24.600 --> 0:04:28.200 UCF forty ninth, So you know, above average team, but 0:04:28.279 --> 0:04:31.800 not the UCF that we have seen in their recent history. 0:04:32.040 --> 0:04:36.640 Temple ninth in grade on PFF in terms of their defense. 0:04:36.720 --> 0:04:39.400 So obviously the numbers are adding up to towards what 0:04:39.440 --> 0:04:42.600 you're saying as well. Here according to them, you have 0:04:42.640 --> 0:04:44.919 a good lean in WVU versus Baylor. Is that a 0:04:44.920 --> 0:04:45.680 stay away for you? 0:04:46.920 --> 0:04:52.080 For me, that's a stay away because WVU is in 0:04:52.200 --> 0:04:56.800 general a fade team for me. But Baylor they've been 0:04:56.880 --> 0:05:01.800 disappointing and it's seems like it it's an experiential thing 0:05:01.920 --> 0:05:04.440 at this point. It's such a young team. You know, 0:05:04.520 --> 0:05:07.960 they they're breaking in a new starting quarterback and it's 0:05:08.000 --> 0:05:10.800 what they chose. You know, they didn't want Jerry Bohannan anymore. 0:05:11.000 --> 0:05:13.120 They probably made the right decision if you watch Jerry 0:05:13.120 --> 0:05:16.200 Buhannon in at South Florida, but shape and he hasn't 0:05:16.200 --> 0:05:18.200 had the start that you would have hoped. And then 0:05:18.240 --> 0:05:21.119 at a lot of these other positions they're just as young. 0:05:21.839 --> 0:05:24.680 And so I do think Baylor will eventually get there, 0:05:24.720 --> 0:05:27.800 but it's been kind of slow going stop start, you 0:05:27.839 --> 0:05:30.039 know that that sort of a thing. This is a 0:05:30.160 --> 0:05:33.080 very hard environment for them for Baylor to be walking 0:05:33.120 --> 0:05:36.839 into it. It's a tough spot Thursday night heading into Huntington. 0:05:37.839 --> 0:05:40.960 I definitely like Baylor more as a team, but with 0:05:41.120 --> 0:05:43.560 the spot that it's in and the homefield advantage that 0:05:43.600 --> 0:05:46.840 West Virginia has. To me, the line is fair. Like 0:05:47.480 --> 0:05:49.600 my Justice line on this game is Baylor minus two 0:05:49.640 --> 0:05:52.800 point three. The live line is Baylor minus two point five. 0:05:53.360 --> 0:05:56.320 I just there's nothing for me there to stay away. 0:05:57.839 --> 0:06:01.279 Yeah, interesting game there, but you know, maybe a watch 0:06:01.320 --> 0:06:04.599 and don't bet on that one on Friday. I know 0:06:04.640 --> 0:06:05.919 there's a game here that we both like. 0:06:06.040 --> 0:06:08.479 We have SMU minus twelve and a half versus Navy 0:06:09.279 --> 0:06:11.400 fifty seven total on that, but you and I both 0:06:11.480 --> 0:06:17.279 like FIU or excuse me, UTSA at FIU. This game 0:06:17.800 --> 0:06:21.920 UTSA is thirty three point favorites, thirty three and a 0:06:22.000 --> 0:06:24.480 half in some places. I think it's going to open up. 0:06:24.680 --> 0:06:28.680 Sixty three and a half is the total here. I 0:06:28.720 --> 0:06:31.800 wrote up in my artcle I love UTSA. I'll lay 0:06:31.839 --> 0:06:35.440 the points. It's fun to pick on bad teams when 0:06:35.480 --> 0:06:39.800 you're betting, and FIU is a horrid team now, and 0:06:39.839 --> 0:06:43.559 I think UTSA is sixth in pace of play too. 0:06:44.040 --> 0:06:45.920 They are going to pace this game. They're going to 0:06:46.000 --> 0:06:48.839 be offense on offense a lot. And we've already seen 0:06:49.120 --> 0:06:52.720 FIU give up a lopsided game at home this year 0:06:54.640 --> 0:06:59.040 against Western Kentucky, and UTSA just beat Western Kentucky. So 0:06:59.400 --> 0:07:02.479 of course, you know the transitive properties that never fail 0:07:02.560 --> 0:07:06.080 us ever in college football. Right, UTSA is already better 0:07:06.080 --> 0:07:09.120 than Western Kentucky. They should beat FIU, buy more than 0:07:09.160 --> 0:07:12.040 seventy three nothing, of course, that never works. I fi 0:07:12.160 --> 0:07:13.760 use a different team now than they were a couple 0:07:13.720 --> 0:07:16.480 of weeks ago, maybe better at quarterback. They did have 0:07:16.520 --> 0:07:19.440 a win against New Mexico or actually New Mexico State 0:07:20.000 --> 0:07:22.160 a couple of weeks ago as well, so you know, 0:07:22.280 --> 0:07:25.000 I fi used better, but they're still very bad. So 0:07:25.920 --> 0:07:28.000 you know this game is on Friday. It's one less 0:07:28.000 --> 0:07:30.080 ai to prep for both these teams, which I think 0:07:30.200 --> 0:07:34.200 would also favor UTSA here or so, I mean, I 0:07:34.240 --> 0:07:37.640 am all aboard the Roadrunners bandwagon, So I will lay 0:07:37.640 --> 0:07:40.000 all them points and take UTSA. 0:07:40.120 --> 0:07:42.040 What do you think about either one of these games? 0:07:42.040 --> 0:07:43.480 But I know you like Utsao? 0:07:43.600 --> 0:07:47.800 Yeah in that one. You The books almost can't make 0:07:48.040 --> 0:07:50.280 UTSA a high enough favorite. 0:07:50.480 --> 0:07:52.640 Yeah, they can't make it ugly enough for me to 0:07:52.680 --> 0:07:53.920 not want to take it, right. 0:07:53.920 --> 0:07:56.680 Yeah, I mean the lineup it was like I think 0:07:56.720 --> 0:07:58.840 it was like twenty seven and a half and it 0:07:59.040 --> 0:08:03.200 just extreme quickly got fed up, like almost by a touchdown, 0:08:03.600 --> 0:08:06.440 right like. And I think it's it is even still climbing, 0:08:06.520 --> 0:08:11.680 and that is perfectly justifiable here, uh FIU. They're not 0:08:11.760 --> 0:08:15.800 only you know, objectively horrid team. If you put them 0:08:15.800 --> 0:08:18.080 in the FCS, I don't think they would finish over 0:08:18.160 --> 0:08:21.560 five hundred. They barely beat Bryant in the opener. Uh 0:08:21.720 --> 0:08:23.720 they beat him by one point? Was that even an 0:08:23.800 --> 0:08:24.520 overtime too? 0:08:25.360 --> 0:08:27.600 Yeah, thirty seven, but I don't think it was over 0:08:27.600 --> 0:08:29.160 time or did they go for two at the end. 0:08:29.200 --> 0:08:30.520 It was it was something, It was something. 0:08:30.760 --> 0:08:34.240 I mean, Bryan isn't good either in the FCS level, 0:08:34.240 --> 0:08:35.200 they're like four. 0:08:35.559 --> 0:08:37.200 Yeah, So they're not in. 0:08:37.120 --> 0:08:38.520 The team anywhere, And. 0:08:38.840 --> 0:08:41.000 Like you said, there won't uh fi use only the 0:08:41.000 --> 0:08:42.920 other wins again to New Mexico State, who is one 0:08:42.920 --> 0:08:45.760 of the five worst teams in the nation. And last 0:08:45.760 --> 0:08:50.920 week FIU hosted Yukon and lost by twenty one points, 0:08:51.880 --> 0:08:55.440 So I fi us really bad, you know, And another 0:08:55.520 --> 0:08:59.080 thing to consider here, and this one is really really important. 0:08:59.720 --> 0:09:02.200 F I you, they're only the only player on that 0:09:02.320 --> 0:09:05.960 roster that I consider legitimate. It's their outside receiver Chambers. 0:09:06.800 --> 0:09:09.080 That kid is considered questionable for this game. I don't 0:09:09.080 --> 0:09:12.719 think he's going to play. Uh, Tyree's Chambers probably a 0:09:12.760 --> 0:09:14.800 guy that's going to get a long look from the NFL. 0:09:15.160 --> 0:09:18.360 I don't know if there is one other singular player 0:09:18.640 --> 0:09:21.360 on that roster that you can say that about. If 0:09:21.440 --> 0:09:24.720 Tyree's Chambers is not playing in that game, I don't 0:09:24.760 --> 0:09:26.800 even know what. It's not just that they won't be 0:09:26.840 --> 0:09:28.400 able to move the ball. I don't know what they 0:09:28.440 --> 0:09:30.679 do with the ball. It's it's it's one of the 0:09:30.880 --> 0:09:33.280 like he is the identity of the offense. It's it's 0:09:33.320 --> 0:09:35.600 the one, the one guy that they trot out that 0:09:35.679 --> 0:09:39.400 scares people. So, I mean, it's not just that it's 0:09:39.400 --> 0:09:41.559 a mismatch, and it's not just that the recent history 0:09:41.559 --> 0:09:46.040 would suggest UTSA. It's also that FIU has one gun 0:09:46.160 --> 0:09:48.560 to bring to this fight, and that gun is is 0:09:48.640 --> 0:09:52.480 not going to be discharging. Really unfortunate. And and and 0:09:52.600 --> 0:09:55.920 like you said, Bagman, the teams that FIU has played, 0:09:56.200 --> 0:09:58.600 it's you know, the only one where they you know, 0:09:58.600 --> 0:10:00.960 they won the game against New Mexico and then New 0:10:01.040 --> 0:10:05.600 Mexico State and then Bryant, but they got annihilated by 0:10:06.160 --> 0:10:09.000 Texas State by almost thirty points. Texas State is also 0:10:09.040 --> 0:10:10.960 one of the worst teams in the ses. And then, 0:10:11.160 --> 0:10:13.480 like I said, they got annihilated by Yukon. The only 0:10:13.600 --> 0:10:16.760 time that FIU has played a team that is above 0:10:16.880 --> 0:10:21.319 eighty ninth sp plus was Western Kentucky and Western Kentucky's 0:10:21.400 --> 0:10:24.840 no great shakes. You know this year their number seventieth 0:10:24.960 --> 0:10:28.079 sp plus, which isn't even average, right, not even the 0:10:28.520 --> 0:10:32.240 median watermark. They lost that game seventy three to nothing. 0:10:32.559 --> 0:10:36.120 What can Western Kentucky do really well? They passed to 0:10:36.160 --> 0:10:40.600 the ball this utsa team. What fell off about it 0:10:40.720 --> 0:10:43.199 was sincere McCormick left, so it was the run game, 0:10:43.280 --> 0:10:45.959 and then their defense got worse. But the passing game 0:10:46.000 --> 0:10:48.840 has gotten way better because everybody came back, right like 0:10:48.880 --> 0:10:51.320 Frank Harris came back and it's better. And then the 0:10:51.360 --> 0:10:54.120 three receivers came back, and all of those guys are 0:10:54.160 --> 0:10:56.520 going to the NFL and they're all really really good. 0:10:56.840 --> 0:10:59.400 So they go three wide and they could dominate all 0:10:59.400 --> 0:11:02.160 of it against FYU. They are going to do whatever 0:11:02.200 --> 0:11:05.520 they want. This one is lay the points or stay away. 0:11:06.440 --> 0:11:10.320 Yeah, I completely agree with you on that game. That's 0:11:10.360 --> 0:11:11.120 an ugly one. 0:11:11.440 --> 0:11:14.120 Let's go over and talk about the games with ninety 0:11:14.160 --> 0:11:17.680 five percent or more of a cash laid on one side. 0:11:17.840 --> 0:11:19.760 We have six of them this week, and they are 0:11:19.840 --> 0:11:23.480 all spread no totals, which is a little surprising, just 0:11:23.640 --> 0:11:25.960 a strange happenstance. Here. 0:11:26.120 --> 0:11:29.640 We start with Toledo minus nine versus Kent State. This 0:11:29.720 --> 0:11:33.920 is a ninety nine percent cash and ninety seven percent 0:11:34.240 --> 0:11:38.400 tickets store. So everyone right now, you know we're recording 0:11:38.440 --> 0:11:42.280 this on a Wednesday afternoon. Everyone is on Toledo and 0:11:42.360 --> 0:11:44.680 laying the nine. So obviously this number is probably going 0:11:44.760 --> 0:11:47.040 to get bigger by the time you're listening to this. 0:11:47.160 --> 0:11:49.280 But I don't know if that matters. Does it matter 0:11:49.400 --> 0:11:51.200 thor are you just all over Toledo here? 0:11:51.920 --> 0:11:54.320 I like Toledo too, Yeah, so I guess I guess 0:11:54.360 --> 0:11:59.160 I'll be a square as well. I will say last week, 0:11:59.720 --> 0:12:01.719 and for people to, you know, listen to all of 0:12:01.760 --> 0:12:04.200 our shows, they'll they'll know that I'm telling the truth here. 0:12:04.920 --> 0:12:07.160 I think I was talking about this with Thomas for sure, 0:12:07.200 --> 0:12:09.360 and maybe bogming with you as well, maybe on last 0:12:09.360 --> 0:12:13.000 week's show. The Sharps were on Kent State last week too, 0:12:13.240 --> 0:12:16.320 to the degree where I was like, like, like, usually 0:12:16.360 --> 0:12:19.120 I can at least explain it to myself. Last week 0:12:19.240 --> 0:12:22.080 was really weird when when Kent State was they were 0:12:22.120 --> 0:12:26.000 playing Miami, they traveled to Miami of Ohio. It got 0:12:26.080 --> 0:12:29.280 so skewed from what my number was that I was 0:12:29.280 --> 0:12:31.560 starting to look into the Miami of Ohio roster, like 0:12:32.000 --> 0:12:33.720 did they have a bunch of injuries that I'm not 0:12:33.760 --> 0:12:36.600 aware of? Or is something going on here? And I 0:12:36.800 --> 0:12:39.880 just couldn't. I could not figure out what was going on. 0:12:40.240 --> 0:12:42.800 But my numbers were screaming at me that Miami of 0:12:42.840 --> 0:12:46.040 Ohio is gonna win the game outright, and the Sharps 0:12:46.080 --> 0:12:48.240 pushed that game all the way to Kent State minus 0:12:48.280 --> 0:12:51.360 six on the road. Well, Miami of Ohio won the 0:12:51.400 --> 0:12:55.280 game outright. In this one, my numbers like Toledo by 0:12:55.320 --> 0:12:59.240 double digits. They love Toledo in this game. It looks 0:12:59.280 --> 0:13:02.640 like the sharp's on again. Like Ken State, I definitely 0:13:02.760 --> 0:13:04.240 leaned Toledo in that one for sure. 0:13:04.800 --> 0:13:06.880 Yeah, that's gonna be That's gonna be a fun one. 0:13:06.880 --> 0:13:07.440 But I'm with you. 0:13:07.520 --> 0:13:11.600 I'm on Toledo here WKU is laying eight against on 0:13:11.640 --> 0:13:14.480 the road against Middle Tennessee. But this is another one 0:13:14.520 --> 0:13:17.720 where it's not just the cash, it's the tickets to both. 0:13:18.000 --> 0:13:21.520 On the side of WK you very favorably. What do 0:13:21.559 --> 0:13:23.959 you think about this game? I mean Middle Tennessee is 0:13:24.280 --> 0:13:27.840 they've shown up. They obviously beat Miami. We talked about 0:13:27.840 --> 0:13:29.360 this a little bit in our stages that we do 0:13:29.440 --> 0:13:31.760 before the store feels a little fluky. 0:13:31.800 --> 0:13:32.840 Hey, look they won the game. 0:13:32.880 --> 0:13:37.559 Congratulations, But I just don't know if that's very believable. 0:13:37.640 --> 0:13:41.040 And you made the point many times about, hey, look, 0:13:41.080 --> 0:13:44.920 this was a terrible match for Miami, and this is 0:13:45.040 --> 0:13:47.679 you know, if you're going down, you're looking for one 0:13:47.720 --> 0:13:50.480 team to match up against Miami, it was probably Middle 0:13:50.520 --> 0:13:52.560 Tennessee and it ended up working for him. 0:13:52.840 --> 0:13:55.920 So I don't know. I just I trust wk you more. 0:13:56.720 --> 0:14:00.240 Yeah, that's right. Yeah, And Middle Tennessee we talked about 0:14:00.240 --> 0:14:02.319 this on on the stages that we did, which you 0:14:02.400 --> 0:14:04.640 do every Wednesday night. People want to tune in and 0:14:04.760 --> 0:14:08.400 ask us a question live. Middle Tennessee is a very 0:14:08.600 --> 0:14:14.400 matchup specific team, right. They recruit small, shifty players because 0:14:14.400 --> 0:14:17.679 they don't have access to like the elite recruits. They 0:14:18.080 --> 0:14:20.520 just look for these system fits and they run. They 0:14:20.600 --> 0:14:22.280 run the air rate. So they have this neot alarmed 0:14:22.320 --> 0:14:24.440 quarterback who can get the ball out. You hope you 0:14:24.440 --> 0:14:26.360 can hit the receivers on the hands and then that 0:14:26.400 --> 0:14:28.720 they can make a guy or to mess and you 0:14:28.760 --> 0:14:32.720 can maybe manufacture explosive plays in that way. Teams that 0:14:32.760 --> 0:14:35.000 don't tackle very well in the secondary and don't cover 0:14:35.160 --> 0:14:38.000 very well that they see separation are the teams that 0:14:38.040 --> 0:14:42.120 struggle with Middle Tennessee UH team like Miami for instance, 0:14:42.960 --> 0:14:45.400 and and and then on what you want to do 0:14:45.440 --> 0:14:49.920 against Middle Tennessee Tennessee, you know, and then and then 0:14:50.000 --> 0:14:54.440 on the you know, defensive side or whatever, they struggle 0:14:54.480 --> 0:14:57.440 as well. So with with Western Kentucky that the magic 0:14:57.600 --> 0:15:00.280 going the other way. Western Kentucky is equip to stop 0:15:00.320 --> 0:15:02.600 the passing game in a way that Middle Tennessee's defense 0:15:02.960 --> 0:15:06.920 is not. You can pick on Middle Tennessee secondary, it's 0:15:06.960 --> 0:15:09.840 not very good. Just that Tyler Van Dyke couldn't do 0:15:09.880 --> 0:15:12.320 it in that game. Apparently North Carolina secondary is better 0:15:12.360 --> 0:15:16.440 than than Middle Tennessee's. Western Kentucky secondary. Western Kentucky secondary 0:15:16.440 --> 0:15:19.360 happens to be good. Western Kentucky run defense not quite 0:15:19.360 --> 0:15:22.920 as good, but their secondary is good and it's deep, right, 0:15:22.960 --> 0:15:26.000 so they can they can actually contend with the spread offense, 0:15:26.040 --> 0:15:28.960 as you know, going and press the formation where Middle 0:15:29.000 --> 0:15:32.040 Tennessee runs out of bodies. So both teams have very 0:15:32.160 --> 0:15:36.400 very similar offensive strategies, and on the surface, they might 0:15:36.520 --> 0:15:39.320 look similar, and it might look like sort of similar 0:15:39.360 --> 0:15:41.160 resumes and stuff like that. So you might be surprised 0:15:41.200 --> 0:15:44.400 that the road team is laying eight here. But I 0:15:44.840 --> 0:15:48.240 actually think the Western Kentucky matches up way better, mostly 0:15:48.280 --> 0:15:50.680 because of the viability of their secondary in this game. 0:15:50.800 --> 0:15:54.280 If they're able to keep that Middle Tennessee passing game 0:15:54.840 --> 0:15:57.040 off schedule, I know that they're going to be able 0:15:57.040 --> 0:15:59.800 to take away the explosive plays Western Kentucky through the 0:15:59.840 --> 0:16:02.360 year the Middle Tenancy wants to do. I think that 0:16:02.400 --> 0:16:04.880 they can really hinder what Middle tennanc He wants to 0:16:04.920 --> 0:16:07.280 do on offense. I would lean Western Kentucky in that game. 0:16:07.640 --> 0:16:08.720 I'm with you on that one. 0:16:09.320 --> 0:16:12.280 The next there's four here, I think I have a 0:16:12.320 --> 0:16:15.880 good lean on maybe one of them. But Wisconsin is 0:16:15.920 --> 0:16:18.280 a seven and a half point favorite. At Michigan State, 0:16:18.400 --> 0:16:21.680 the cash is well on their side. Cash also on 0:16:21.760 --> 0:16:25.480 San Jose State playing eight and a half, Yukon getting 0:16:25.560 --> 0:16:28.080 nine and a half at Ball State is getting a 0:16:28.120 --> 0:16:30.520 lot of love. And then Southern missling four and a 0:16:30.600 --> 0:16:34.280 half at Arkansas State. So these last four here, Thorn, 0:16:34.320 --> 0:16:37.200 do you have a good lean on Wisconsin, San Jose State, 0:16:37.280 --> 0:16:39.360 Yukon or Southern Miss. 0:16:40.160 --> 0:16:47.760 The the Wisconsin Michigan State game, I definitely investigated. Wisconsin 0:16:47.840 --> 0:16:50.200 was one of my hits last weekend. I was expecting, 0:16:50.400 --> 0:16:52.800 you know, the dead cap bounce or whatever off of 0:16:52.840 --> 0:16:56.360 the Paul Chris firing, and we got that. This week. 0:16:56.440 --> 0:16:59.320 I was, you know, sort of provisionally hoping that I 0:16:59.360 --> 0:17:02.280 could talk mylf in the Michigan State because at some 0:17:02.400 --> 0:17:05.720 point you expect Michigan State to show just a modicum 0:17:05.760 --> 0:17:08.240 of pride and pick it's up up off the mat. 0:17:08.520 --> 0:17:10.560 And this would be a really good spot to do it, 0:17:10.840 --> 0:17:13.760 because you get this team coming off of what what 0:17:13.920 --> 0:17:15.520 for that you know, it wasn't a good opponent that 0:17:15.560 --> 0:17:19.159 Wisconsin beat last week, but it wasn't an exhilarating win. Nonetheless, 0:17:19.200 --> 0:17:21.159 coming off the week that they had just had, you 0:17:21.280 --> 0:17:24.320 win in Leonard's debut, and now you go on the 0:17:24.400 --> 0:17:27.320 road in what's sort of a sleepy spot because with 0:17:27.640 --> 0:17:30.480 Wiscott Wisconsin certainly, like the rest of us have seen, 0:17:31.000 --> 0:17:33.639 everybody just wiped the floor with Michigan State, any you know, 0:17:34.080 --> 0:17:37.159 decent opponent this year. And so you know, it's like, well, O, 0:17:37.400 --> 0:17:40.280 can I can I justify you know, a bet on 0:17:40.359 --> 0:17:43.680 the idea that Michigan State could ambush them here? It's 0:17:43.760 --> 0:17:47.720 hard to though, It's it's it's it's just really hard. 0:17:48.840 --> 0:17:51.840 Michigan State there. Their worst thing that this was sort 0:17:51.880 --> 0:17:53.719 of along my lines of thinking of trying to talk 0:17:53.800 --> 0:17:56.959 myself into Michigan State is Michigan State they have this 0:17:57.040 --> 0:18:01.879 absolutely abysmal pass defense. They're their run defense is a 0:18:01.920 --> 0:18:04.080 little bit better, and so you're like, well, you know, 0:18:04.160 --> 0:18:06.399 I mean, like you know, bram Mertz, every time he 0:18:06.400 --> 0:18:09.879 plays a decent pass defense, he stinks, so, like you know, 0:18:09.960 --> 0:18:13.520 and and maybe they can they can somewhat hold down 0:18:13.560 --> 0:18:16.639 Wisconsin's run game, but then like you're starting to stretch 0:18:16.680 --> 0:18:19.920 it already. And I also, I'm not going to back 0:18:19.920 --> 0:18:24.040 Wisconsin in two straight weeks on the road, you know 0:18:24.040 --> 0:18:26.200 what I mean, Like, you know, it's to cover big numbers. 0:18:26.440 --> 0:18:29.639 So for me, that that one's a stay away. The 0:18:29.680 --> 0:18:33.280 next one. San Jose stayed against Fresno State. I forbid 0:18:33.359 --> 0:18:37.040 anyone from listening to this show from betting on Fresno 0:18:37.280 --> 0:18:40.960 until Jayner comes back. That team, that program is a 0:18:41.000 --> 0:18:43.680 mess right now. And it's it's not just Hayter that's hurt. 0:18:43.720 --> 0:18:47.240 They have several key contributors that are hurt. But it 0:18:47.320 --> 0:18:49.639 was like the second that Hainer, you know that he was, 0:18:49.720 --> 0:18:52.120 he was out, like it's they removed. 0:18:51.760 --> 0:18:54.200 All mad stayed also four and one against the spread 0:18:54.200 --> 0:18:54.560 this year. 0:18:55.440 --> 0:18:59.320 Great, Yeah, they've been great. I last week I put 0:18:59.320 --> 0:19:01.840 the thing out about they were San Jose was plus 0:19:01.880 --> 0:19:04.399 six hundred at some books plus six fifty at others 0:19:04.440 --> 0:19:07.720 to win the Mountain West and all they had to 0:19:07.760 --> 0:19:09.560 do was beat UNLV and they basically didn't play any 0:19:09.600 --> 0:19:12.960 tough opponents the rest of the year. They blew out UNLV. 0:19:13.119 --> 0:19:15.640 Now they get fresm of State without Hayner, and then 0:19:15.680 --> 0:19:19.600 their next several opponents all absolutely stink. So San Jose 0:19:19.680 --> 0:19:22.080 State is going to be waltzing at least into the 0:19:22.080 --> 0:19:24.760 conference title game where they're either going to play at 0:19:24.760 --> 0:19:28.040 down Boise State or a down air Force. I shouldn't 0:19:28.040 --> 0:19:29.840 be patting my back about that because it's not relevant 0:19:29.840 --> 0:19:33.000 to anyone else. The odds are different. So for for 0:19:33.000 --> 0:19:36.199 forgive me for the naval gazing right there, but that 0:19:36.280 --> 0:19:39.040 one is San Jose state or pass and you probably 0:19:39.080 --> 0:19:41.000 want before you make a decision, and you probably want 0:19:41.000 --> 0:19:44.720 to monitor just one billion percent confirmed that hater is out. 0:19:44.840 --> 0:19:47.240 It's it's looking like that, but you know whatever you're 0:19:47.280 --> 0:19:50.359 listening to this, just confirm that and then some of 0:19:50.400 --> 0:19:53.119 the other fresm of state. I just check on their status, 0:19:53.359 --> 0:19:56.560 but I either way, I you know, again, until Hayter 0:19:56.600 --> 0:20:01.600 comes back, not betting on them. The you on ball state, Uh, 0:20:02.200 --> 0:20:05.440 that's one that I'm probably not gonna end up touching. 0:20:05.760 --> 0:20:09.320 Yukon has been able to take advantage of some circumstances 0:20:09.400 --> 0:20:12.280 and getting to I think they're three and four now, 0:20:12.960 --> 0:20:16.919 and circumstances might get them to five and seven where 0:20:17.040 --> 0:20:20.440 they really just need to upset one team to become 0:20:20.480 --> 0:20:22.880 ball eligible, which is hilarious. This could be the game, 0:20:22.920 --> 0:20:25.560 like if I mean if they do, because they're gonna 0:20:25.560 --> 0:20:27.439 play two other games this year where I believe that 0:20:27.560 --> 0:20:30.080 they're gonna be either favored or else. It's going to 0:20:30.160 --> 0:20:33.080 be very very close. But I'm not sure that this 0:20:33.119 --> 0:20:35.080 is the matchup for them. One thing to keep in 0:20:35.119 --> 0:20:38.000 mind about Yukon, even though they've caught it right two 0:20:38.000 --> 0:20:40.680 weeks speaking of Presno State, two weeks ago, they caught 0:20:40.680 --> 0:20:42.800 Presno State the first game that hater was out, So 0:20:42.960 --> 0:20:45.600 I mean, congratulations. At that point, you're basically playing an 0:20:45.600 --> 0:20:48.159 FTS team. And then last week they was was at 0:20:48.240 --> 0:20:51.760 FIU that they that they, yeah, our our our favorite 0:20:51.880 --> 0:20:54.760 FIU team. Ball State is certainly a better team and 0:20:54.800 --> 0:20:56.360 now Yukon has to go on the road. The other 0:20:56.400 --> 0:20:59.200 thing I'll say about Yukon is they have a whole 0:20:59.200 --> 0:21:01.840 bunch of injuries themselves, you know they. I mean, they 0:21:01.880 --> 0:21:04.200 start off the season by losing their own starting quarterback 0:21:04.920 --> 0:21:06.760 and then they lost a whole bunch of other guys. 0:21:06.800 --> 0:21:10.400 The running back room is particularly bad. They a couple 0:21:10.400 --> 0:21:13.040 of weeks ago it was so bad with injuries. Jim 0:21:13.040 --> 0:21:15.960 Mora actually was batting around the idea of shifting a 0:21:16.040 --> 0:21:18.480 three hundred pounder to running back. This kid who had 0:21:18.520 --> 0:21:19.320 played running back. 0:21:19.600 --> 0:21:22.600 I remember his bolts were like, ay, he looks he 0:21:22.640 --> 0:21:25.200 looks nimble out there. Yeah he can break a tackle 0:21:25.359 --> 0:21:28.800 like he was legit thinking about it. I like, I 0:21:28.840 --> 0:21:30.920 think a little of that was tongue in cheek, but 0:21:31.160 --> 0:21:32.800 I don't he gets that bad who I don't know 0:21:32.800 --> 0:21:33.119 if it was. 0:21:33.160 --> 0:21:34.439 I don't know if it was because they had like 0:21:34.440 --> 0:21:37.000 four running back injuries at the time. And I'll tell 0:21:37.000 --> 0:21:39.240 you what, bug maan, I will never ever root for 0:21:39.320 --> 0:21:42.159 a kid to get injured. But knowing that Yukon was 0:21:42.160 --> 0:21:44.639 probably one running back injury away from shifting to three 0:21:44.720 --> 0:21:47.879 hundred pounder back there, the way that I'll put it is, 0:21:47.920 --> 0:21:49.639 I wouldn't have been sad if that had happened. 0:21:49.760 --> 0:21:52.159 Like if he just he get cramps, you know, he 0:21:52.240 --> 0:21:55.080 cramps up or something, you know, not the major. Let's 0:21:55.119 --> 0:21:56.760 just be the big guy. That's very short. 0:21:57.040 --> 0:21:58.640 Just one game. I wanted to see that that three 0:21:58.680 --> 0:22:03.160 hundred pounder rumbled for Jimmy Mora junior. But but that game, 0:22:03.200 --> 0:22:05.160 for me, I don't think I can back you con 0:22:05.240 --> 0:22:07.080 in that spot. You know, I mean, coming off that 0:22:07.160 --> 0:22:09.960 the two wins, they're clearly playing. I mean, I'm not 0:22:09.960 --> 0:22:12.080 gonna say a pup their head because they the opponents 0:22:12.080 --> 0:22:14.840 were what they were, but the injuries, et cetera. So 0:22:15.240 --> 0:22:18.480 for me, that that that's a stayaway. And then the 0:22:18.480 --> 0:22:22.119 the Southern miss Arkansas State game for me the angle 0:22:22.200 --> 0:22:25.240 on that. It's not the side, it's the under and 0:22:25.320 --> 0:22:29.520 the reason for that is both the defenses are extremely 0:22:29.640 --> 0:22:35.359 active in terms of piling up TfL sacks, uh, tip balls, interceptions, 0:22:35.359 --> 0:22:38.280 that that sort of stuff, and the offensive lines are 0:22:38.320 --> 0:22:41.800 not very cud Southern miss you know, and a part 0:22:41.800 --> 0:22:43.520 of it too playing into it. Southern miss have been 0:22:43.560 --> 0:22:46.520 playing this this freshman quarterback because they had an injury 0:22:46.560 --> 0:22:50.160 before and then the coaching staff early on, uh will 0:22:50.160 --> 0:22:52.560 it key or whatever the Zach WILLI WILLI key or 0:22:52.720 --> 0:22:55.760 something like that. They they essentially just decided to hitch 0:22:55.760 --> 0:22:59.120 their wagons to him regardless because I think they view 0:22:59.160 --> 0:23:01.640 him as the future of the So they're gonna take 0:23:01.680 --> 0:23:03.800 their lumps with that kid however it goes this year. 0:23:04.440 --> 0:23:06.159 But like you have him playing behind what's not a 0:23:06.240 --> 0:23:10.200 very good offensive line. But the Southern Missus offense hasn't 0:23:10.240 --> 0:23:12.639 been that good this year, but Southern Missus defense is 0:23:12.920 --> 0:23:15.840 and it's a havoc creating defense. It gets after the quarterback. 0:23:16.080 --> 0:23:17.600 Like I said, it's ball hawking as well. 0:23:17.760 --> 0:23:20.680 They have mass Tyler van Dyke, you know another team. Yeah, 0:23:20.880 --> 0:23:21.320 they didn't. 0:23:21.359 --> 0:23:23.240 They didn't put up a great fight in that game. 0:23:23.280 --> 0:23:26.199 They couldn't score on offense, as you mentioned, but they 0:23:26.240 --> 0:23:27.800 made it interesting for a half. 0:23:27.920 --> 0:23:28.320 For sure. 0:23:28.680 --> 0:23:30.400 There's a lot of sports betters out there that would 0:23:30.400 --> 0:23:35.840 love to harass Tyler Vandyke. Yes the burn tickets. Although 0:23:36.000 --> 0:23:39.120 I can't criticize mister Van Dyke because I actually needed 0:23:39.160 --> 0:23:41.520 to start him in my fifty team college fantasy football 0:23:42.000 --> 0:23:44.760 league last week because because I have Bryce Young and 0:23:44.800 --> 0:23:46.919 he got injured and then I didn't know, you know, 0:23:46.920 --> 0:23:48.720 like leading up to kick off, Nick Saban was doing 0:23:48.880 --> 0:23:51.640 all the things, and Van Dyke is my only other quarterback, 0:23:51.720 --> 0:23:53.919 so I rolled the dice and wasn't really rolling the 0:23:53.920 --> 0:23:56.200 dice because he gets to play North Carolina, who gives 0:23:56.280 --> 0:23:58.800 up a billion yards to everybody. But anyway, shout out 0:23:58.800 --> 0:24:02.000 to Tyler Vandyke for me the Southern miss Arkansas, I 0:24:02.000 --> 0:24:04.720 say I'm going under for that reason. Neither of those 0:24:04.760 --> 0:24:07.879 teams can keep opposing defensive lines out of the backfield, 0:24:09.000 --> 0:24:11.840 So I mean there's gonna be a ridiculous amount of sacks, 0:24:11.840 --> 0:24:15.080 a ridiculous amount of TfL both the offense. They're gonna 0:24:15.080 --> 0:24:17.680 have a really hard time getting going. They're they're gonna 0:24:17.720 --> 0:24:20.520 find themselves in a lot of like second and sixteens 0:24:20.560 --> 0:24:22.840 and stuff like that. The under has a really good 0:24:22.840 --> 0:24:26.800 shot of getting there unless we have multiple pick sixes 0:24:26.960 --> 0:24:30.160 and or fumble returns, which you know, I'm just gonna 0:24:30.240 --> 0:24:32.520 knock on wood right now, because with the way that 0:24:32.560 --> 0:24:34.560 the offensive play against the way that the defense played, 0:24:34.760 --> 0:24:37.560 you know, it certainly is a possibility. But barring stuff 0:24:37.600 --> 0:24:39.399 like that, I would I would like the under that 0:24:39.440 --> 0:24:40.920 and my system does too as well. 0:24:41.040 --> 0:24:43.240 I should say, all right, let's go to the big 0:24:43.359 --> 0:24:46.879 five top games of the week. And this was kind 0:24:46.920 --> 0:24:51.200 of hard to narrow down, but top two are extremely obvious. 0:24:51.240 --> 0:24:54.680 Probably the top three are extremely obvious. But number three Alabama, 0:24:54.720 --> 0:24:59.240 who did slip are? They are hosting number six Tennessee. 0:24:59.680 --> 0:25:02.119 The line here is seven and a half for Alabama, 0:25:02.400 --> 0:25:06.800 the total is sixty five. And look, obviously, as you 0:25:06.880 --> 0:25:09.600 mentioned before, the health of Bryce Young is at the 0:25:09.600 --> 0:25:13.000 forefront of where we're going in this game. So how 0:25:13.040 --> 0:25:15.880 do you see this playing with or without Bryce Young? 0:25:16.880 --> 0:25:21.199 Yeah, Bray's young thing is enormous. I mean, it's it's 0:25:21.240 --> 0:25:24.280 for multiple It's not just like Brayce Young in a 0:25:24.359 --> 0:25:27.479 vacuum worth probably about ten to eleven points on the spread, 0:25:27.640 --> 0:25:30.080 just in and of itself, and in my line on 0:25:30.119 --> 0:25:33.399 this game, if it's a fully healthy Bryce fully healthy, 0:25:33.400 --> 0:25:36.240 If fully healthy Bryce Young was playing, I would have 0:25:36.280 --> 0:25:38.600 Alabama minus eight and a half. But even if Bryce 0:25:38.640 --> 0:25:40.679 Young is playing, he's not going to be fully healthy 0:25:40.960 --> 0:25:44.160 and he definitely might not play. And if he doesn't play, 0:25:44.440 --> 0:25:46.879 and if Tennessee gets back Cedar Tillman, which is the 0:25:46.880 --> 0:25:49.200 way that it's looking now, Tennessee's wide receiver number one, 0:25:49.359 --> 0:25:51.960 if Young's not playing but Tillman is, I would I 0:25:51.960 --> 0:25:54.560 would actually favor Tennessee in this game. And the Bugs 0:25:54.560 --> 0:25:57.800 aren't going to but me personally, I would favor them. 0:25:58.040 --> 0:26:00.160 But we don't again, we don't at this time. We're 0:26:00.160 --> 0:26:02.439 recording on Wednesday night. We don't know Bryce young status 0:26:02.520 --> 0:26:06.399 quite yet. But if if Bryce Young doesn't play, it 0:26:06.840 --> 0:26:11.879 not only is you're losing the in a vacuum qualitative value, 0:26:12.440 --> 0:26:17.000 it also enormously plays into the hands of Tennessee's defense 0:26:17.359 --> 0:26:21.040 because mill Row he's a row passer, but he's a really, 0:26:21.080 --> 0:26:25.440 really good runner. The Tennessee defense is awesome defending the run. 0:26:25.840 --> 0:26:28.679 Where it really struggles is against the pass. And so 0:26:28.880 --> 0:26:31.280 if I mean, if Saban could get Bryce Young out 0:26:31.280 --> 0:26:34.359 there by hooker by Kruck. I think he's going to 0:26:34.440 --> 0:26:37.720 try to do it, but we'll see if that's even possible. 0:26:37.720 --> 0:26:40.639 Because Bryce Young has is a straight AC joint of 0:26:40.680 --> 0:26:43.760 his throwing shoulder. Quinn Yours missed what was it three 0:26:43.840 --> 0:26:47.160 weeks with the AC sprain of his non throwing shoulder 0:26:47.359 --> 0:26:50.840 right right, Like, I mean, people can be optimistic, and 0:26:50.880 --> 0:26:53.439 certainly Alabama's gonna tell us like, oh yeah, Bryce, you know, 0:26:53.560 --> 0:26:56.800 like sure seven days after he got the injury, you know, 0:26:56.840 --> 0:26:59.399 leading up to the Alabama game on on the PA system, Oh, 0:26:59.480 --> 0:27:02.679 Bryce Young starting for us, And I'm like, okay, like 0:27:02.720 --> 0:27:07.080 that would be a medical miracle. But okay, this game, 0:27:07.119 --> 0:27:10.520 we'll see, you know. I mean, there are certainly shots 0:27:10.560 --> 0:27:13.720 that you can give, you know that uh Drew Brees 0:27:13.800 --> 0:27:16.320 was talking about that, that you can try to try 0:27:16.359 --> 0:27:18.080 to help the kid get out there. But I mean, 0:27:19.040 --> 0:27:21.359 especially with it being the throwing show, that this is 0:27:21.480 --> 0:27:24.800 very early on the on the timeline, and so if 0:27:24.840 --> 0:27:27.720 you you know, even having a depreciated Bryce Young, you 0:27:27.800 --> 0:27:31.959 are less viable in attacking Tennessee's greatest weakness. The other thing, 0:27:32.000 --> 0:27:35.160 of course, Alabama's offensive line is down. Alabama's receiving course 0:27:35.320 --> 0:27:38.080 way down So if you have like a you know, 0:27:38.200 --> 0:27:42.040 eighty three percent Bryce young, are they gonna be able 0:27:42.040 --> 0:27:44.280 to take advantage of Tennessee's weakness to the you know, 0:27:44.359 --> 0:27:47.280 the other otherwise degree that you would. We'll see about that. 0:27:47.920 --> 0:27:50.119 And then Tennessee's offense, I know they're gonna move the 0:27:50.119 --> 0:27:52.200 ball in Alabama's defense. They're gonna move the ball on 0:27:52.320 --> 0:27:55.520 any defense they play all season, I mean, regardless of 0:27:55.520 --> 0:27:57.960 whether Tillman plays or not. But if Tilman comes back, 0:27:58.280 --> 0:28:01.439 they're gonna be even nastier. Tennessee is top ten in 0:28:01.480 --> 0:28:05.560 the nation in both rushing rushing success rate and passing 0:28:05.600 --> 0:28:07.840 success rate. I also happen to think that they are 0:28:07.880 --> 0:28:09.520 the players are being called by the best play coller 0:28:09.560 --> 0:28:12.320 in college football, Josh Hipel, a guy who was criminally 0:28:12.400 --> 0:28:15.800 underrated his entire career now is finally starting to get 0:28:15.800 --> 0:28:18.320 his due respect. I don't think he's gonna quite get 0:28:18.320 --> 0:28:21.720 it in lesser until he you know, wins this game 0:28:21.760 --> 0:28:24.520 and you know, goes on and has a great season 0:28:24.520 --> 0:28:27.000 this year. Might finally start to get his due, but 0:28:27.160 --> 0:28:30.800 it's been just criminally underrated throughout his career. They can 0:28:30.840 --> 0:28:34.000 be multiple and they're always calling the correct play, so 0:28:34.040 --> 0:28:36.200 it's like it's like a pitcher who has like four 0:28:36.280 --> 0:28:40.440 elite pitches and has awesome control and the sequencing of 0:28:40.480 --> 0:28:43.240 his pitches are impeccable, so you have absolutely no idea 0:28:43.280 --> 0:28:45.480 what's coming. It's always filthy and he can put it 0:28:45.480 --> 0:28:48.680 wherever he wants. That's Tennessee's offense. And now they're getting 0:28:48.720 --> 0:28:51.080 their wide receiver one back. And meanwhile, by the way 0:28:51.720 --> 0:28:55.000 Tillman missed the last couple of weeks, they won those games, 0:28:55.040 --> 0:28:57.800 which is great, but also it gave the opportunity for 0:28:57.800 --> 0:29:01.160 Bru McCoy, former five star balllet, number one receiver in 0:29:01.200 --> 0:29:03.800 his class, to step up into the wide receiver one role. 0:29:04.000 --> 0:29:06.800 And he finally started to show the brow McCoy that 0:29:06.840 --> 0:29:09.960 we were promised by the recruiting analysts. Both games he 0:29:10.000 --> 0:29:13.000 went over one hundred yards, looked like a beast. If 0:29:13.040 --> 0:29:15.240 we get that Broo McCoy next to one hundred percent 0:29:15.320 --> 0:29:17.880 set or Tillman and the hen and Hooker that now 0:29:18.360 --> 0:29:21.160 I mean like people high respect greatly in this, Like 0:29:21.600 --> 0:29:25.000 Jordan Reed, we're talking about Hennon Hooker as you know, 0:29:25.040 --> 0:29:27.760 a Day two type pick or a top fifty sixty 0:29:27.960 --> 0:29:31.080 type pick kind of guy. You get all that stuff 0:29:31.080 --> 0:29:35.720 going again, very very scary for Tennessee. So you know, 0:29:35.760 --> 0:29:38.360 as far as where this spread is, where we're talking 0:29:38.440 --> 0:29:42.000 right now, this moment in time, there's the we don't 0:29:42.000 --> 0:29:44.480 know yet exactly what the status is with Young and 0:29:44.760 --> 0:29:47.040 with Tillman, but I'm taking the seven and a half 0:29:47.120 --> 0:29:51.520 points for sure. If Bryce Young plays, I still like 0:29:51.640 --> 0:29:53.840 Tennessee plus the seven and a half. I'll be way 0:29:53.920 --> 0:29:57.080 less confident because I don't know exactly the percentage that 0:29:57.120 --> 0:30:00.200 Bryce Young will be. But if Bryce Young doesn't play, 0:30:00.680 --> 0:30:02.760 it is this is a smash of This is a 0:30:02.800 --> 0:30:06.280 smash Tennessee spot because Alabama categorically will not be able 0:30:06.280 --> 0:30:09.840 to take advantage of Tennessee's defensive weakness, and they will 0:30:09.880 --> 0:30:12.600 be They will only have the recourse to go into 0:30:12.840 --> 0:30:15.600 Tennessee defensive strength, which you're gonna be a problem for him. 0:30:16.280 --> 0:30:19.080 Yeah, I mean it's gonna be a fun one, that's 0:30:19.080 --> 0:30:22.880 for sure. But Alabama does you know I keep saying 0:30:22.920 --> 0:30:25.120 this and people take it the wrong way. This is 0:30:25.160 --> 0:30:28.360 the most beatable Bama team that we've seen for a while. 0:30:28.880 --> 0:30:31.479 Doesn't mean that they're actually gonna get beat but they 0:30:31.520 --> 0:30:34.200 are Beata bull I think the last couple of years 0:30:34.640 --> 0:30:37.560 they just were not in that category of a very 0:30:37.600 --> 0:30:41.480 beatable team, unless you know, Georgia could beat them. You know, 0:30:41.520 --> 0:30:44.240 maybe a top two team could have beat them. But 0:30:45.520 --> 0:30:47.880 they're gettable this year, more gettable than they have been 0:30:47.920 --> 0:30:50.400 in the past. Number five Michigan is six and a 0:30:50.440 --> 0:30:53.480 half point home favorites against number ten Penn State. Fifty 0:30:53.480 --> 0:30:55.400 one and a half is the over in this game, 0:30:55.440 --> 0:30:56.800 thor you have a good lean one way or the 0:30:56.800 --> 0:30:57.960 other on Michigan Penn State. 0:30:58.520 --> 0:31:01.880 I lean Michigan. There's a lot of smart people out 0:31:01.880 --> 0:31:05.640 there that are very clearly leaning Penn State because that 0:31:05.680 --> 0:31:09.080 line was sticking right at seven and then it now 0:31:09.120 --> 0:31:12.840 it's toggled down apparently to six and a half. That's fine. 0:31:13.240 --> 0:31:15.360 I'm gonna make Penn State prove me wrong, and if 0:31:15.400 --> 0:31:17.640 they do, great, the books can have my money. But 0:31:18.560 --> 0:31:21.840 I haven't seen much from Penn State to like, you know, 0:31:22.000 --> 0:31:24.960 crazy change my opinion from recent years that the running 0:31:25.000 --> 0:31:27.880 game is, you know, marginally better, The evansive line is 0:31:27.880 --> 0:31:31.120 marginally better, but like the whole thing of it, like, 0:31:31.440 --> 0:31:33.880 it's not like this team is like raised several levels. 0:31:34.120 --> 0:31:36.160 To me, it still feels like it's in the same filum. 0:31:36.400 --> 0:31:38.560 You still have the quarterback that strugg I mean not 0:31:38.640 --> 0:31:41.320 that he struggles to throw down field. He categorically can't. 0:31:41.320 --> 0:31:43.480 He has a wet noodle alarm that this scrambler and 0:31:43.960 --> 0:31:46.480 Sean Clifford and they don't have dots in anymore. You 0:31:46.480 --> 0:31:49.120 don't have like the singular receiving talent anymore. So the 0:31:49.200 --> 0:31:51.080 receipt the running game has gotten a bit better. I 0:31:51.120 --> 0:31:53.000 think the passing game is a little bit down. You're 0:31:53.040 --> 0:31:55.680 still sort of around the same spot. I don't think 0:31:55.720 --> 0:31:58.240 the Michigan's defense is going to have any problem with that. 0:31:58.680 --> 0:32:02.960 And meanwhile, the Michigan I'm more like, if I'm an opponent, 0:32:03.000 --> 0:32:06.160 I'm more afraid of that offense now than even last 0:32:06.200 --> 0:32:08.240 year when you know, when they were a really really 0:32:08.240 --> 0:32:11.479 good team, guys. Whereas that team at Cad macnamara that 0:32:11.720 --> 0:32:14.360 who you know, you know, shouldn't have been starting for 0:32:14.360 --> 0:32:17.520 a playoff contender. Now you have a legitimate quarterback that 0:32:17.560 --> 0:32:19.800 scares people on JJ McCarthy. You can hurt people through 0:32:19.800 --> 0:32:22.840 the air end with his legs. I you know, again 0:32:22.920 --> 0:32:25.800 dominant defense for Michigan, that the offense can do more things. 0:32:25.920 --> 0:32:29.160 Playcorms running really well. I'll lay the seven points here 0:32:29.200 --> 0:32:32.120 and if I'm wrong, I'm wrong. You know. It's this. 0:32:32.440 --> 0:32:35.360 The hard thing about the handycap is we haven't seen 0:32:35.400 --> 0:32:37.680 either of these two teams really play anyone yet. So 0:32:38.480 --> 0:32:39.840 that's the part of it where you sort of have 0:32:39.920 --> 0:32:42.040 to step out into the unknown and you have to 0:32:42.080 --> 0:32:45.000 trust your conviction of what you've seen against these teams 0:32:45.000 --> 0:32:47.680 playing like lesser opponents. But my conviction would be on 0:32:47.720 --> 0:32:48.440 the Michigan side. 0:32:48.800 --> 0:32:50.440 Yeah, I'm with you on that too. I want to 0:32:50.480 --> 0:32:54.120 take Michigan. And you know I told you this before. 0:32:54.200 --> 0:32:56.080 I think I end up with another seven and three 0:32:56.080 --> 0:32:59.160 week of Mike Cart. You know, Mike Cart obviously went 0:32:59.200 --> 0:33:01.480 down with a seizure early in that game from Michigan, 0:33:01.480 --> 0:33:04.400 and you could just see the kids reacting towards it, 0:33:04.440 --> 0:33:07.840 and they were upset. They got they started rolling. The 0:33:07.880 --> 0:33:10.800 second half I think of that game is two minutes longer. 0:33:11.120 --> 0:33:13.760 I probably get not only the Michigan cover, but the 0:33:13.800 --> 0:33:17.840 other the over, but also on the old Miss side. 0:33:17.920 --> 0:33:20.360 We were talking about this in the stream too. I 0:33:20.440 --> 0:33:22.360 barely got just because Ole Miss wanted to go for 0:33:22.440 --> 0:33:24.400 more points at the end. The only reason I got 0:33:24.400 --> 0:33:26.760 them laying the points last week too. So hey, look, 0:33:27.000 --> 0:33:29.360 you know you get these by inches, you don't get 0:33:29.440 --> 0:33:30.080 them by inches. 0:33:30.160 --> 0:33:32.240 It's just the way it is when you're gambling. That's all. 0:33:32.280 --> 0:33:34.080 Well, Bogman, you know what they said in the Mighty 0:33:34.200 --> 0:33:36.120 Ducks if it had gone half an inch the other way, 0:33:36.240 --> 0:33:38.040 Charlie right, question. 0:33:38.320 --> 0:33:40.720 Never even thought of it that way, right? I remember 0:33:40.760 --> 0:33:44.360 that line number thirteen TCU four point favorites at home 0:33:44.360 --> 0:33:48.840 against number eight Okay State. This total is sixty eight 0:33:48.920 --> 0:33:49.600 and a half. 0:33:49.840 --> 0:33:54.000 We obviously saw TCU's offense come alive last week against Kansas. 0:33:54.480 --> 0:33:57.080 Oklahoma State has been great all year with Spencer Sanders. 0:33:57.160 --> 0:33:58.320 Do you have a good lean one way or the 0:33:58.360 --> 0:34:00.240 other in this Big twelve matchup? Yeah? 0:34:00.240 --> 0:34:02.880 I actually did. I leaned TCU. I actually did not 0:34:02.960 --> 0:34:05.360 know that that number it tackled up to four. When 0:34:05.360 --> 0:34:07.240 I was looking into this earlier in the afternoon, it 0:34:07.320 --> 0:34:10.920 was three and a half. I don't disagree with the 0:34:10.960 --> 0:34:14.800 line movement. I think TCU matches up pretty. 0:34:14.600 --> 0:34:18.280 Much betting pros. Just so you know, it's four everywhere now. 0:34:18.160 --> 0:34:21.719 Like, Yeah, I don't disagree with that half was the 0:34:21.760 --> 0:34:24.560 only you can only get that one from Michigan minus 0:34:24.560 --> 0:34:25.799 six and a half on fan duel. 0:34:26.000 --> 0:34:28.640 But it looks like four everywhere here according to betting pros. 0:34:28.920 --> 0:34:32.600 Okay, yeah, yeah, the TCU, I think, well, I just 0:34:32.640 --> 0:34:36.520 think they're the objectively better team. And some of Oklahoma 0:34:36.560 --> 0:34:38.719 State's stuff this year they've done is a little bit 0:34:38.760 --> 0:34:42.640 fools goldie to me, whereas everything that TCU is doing 0:34:42.760 --> 0:34:46.279 to me feels legitimate. And I think that Oklahoma State 0:34:46.360 --> 0:34:48.480 is going to have problems defending some of this stuff 0:34:48.760 --> 0:34:52.000 that TCU does. TCU can be multiple in a way 0:34:52.000 --> 0:34:56.520 that Oklahoma State can't. And Oklahoma State's defense that's the 0:34:56.520 --> 0:34:58.799 problem for them this year is last year they had 0:34:58.800 --> 0:35:01.680 the dominant defense. The defense is falling way off because 0:35:01.680 --> 0:35:03.439 they lost all those guys to the NFL. They lost 0:35:03.480 --> 0:35:06.360 Gym Knowles, et cetera, and and and to their credit 0:35:06.480 --> 0:35:09.239 to this point, and they've defied my expectations. I didn't 0:35:09.239 --> 0:35:11.239 think Oklahoma State would be nearly as good. So so 0:35:11.560 --> 0:35:14.360 you know that's on you know, me a callup on 0:35:14.440 --> 0:35:16.680 that one to the Oklahoma State folks. The offense has 0:35:16.680 --> 0:35:18.839 gotten a little bit there, it's gotten better to to 0:35:18.880 --> 0:35:21.440 sort of mitigate some of that, but the the defense 0:35:21.560 --> 0:35:24.560 is down and it gives up explosive plays. I think 0:35:24.640 --> 0:35:27.520 TCU is going to generate several of those in this game. 0:35:27.880 --> 0:35:30.480 And I think if if that is indeed the case, 0:35:30.840 --> 0:35:33.520 it's going to be very very hard for an offense 0:35:33.560 --> 0:35:38.440 that where the majority of the usage is being centered 0:35:38.480 --> 0:35:42.520 on Spencer Sanders. For an offense like that to keep 0:35:42.560 --> 0:35:45.320 pace right like in a game that becomes a shootout. 0:35:45.680 --> 0:35:48.480 I think that is the nightmare scenario for Mike Gundy 0:35:48.640 --> 0:35:51.080 and Oklahoma State. You have to have Spencer Sanders put 0:35:51.120 --> 0:35:55.239 on the heroka. That's when Spencer Sanders turns into the 0:35:55.600 --> 0:35:57.640 what did I call him? And a pa like the fembot. 0:35:57.680 --> 0:36:00.520 Spencer Sanders were like, it's that starts going and you know, 0:36:00.560 --> 0:36:02.319 like the smoke starts coming out of his ear and 0:36:02.320 --> 0:36:05.600 that's where you see the three interception game when Oklahoma 0:36:05.600 --> 0:36:08.439 State's ahead, and you know it's it's you know, all 0:36:08.440 --> 0:36:12.080 within their their volition and they can control things. That's 0:36:12.160 --> 0:36:14.440 when he plays well. But yeah, when when the looks 0:36:14.480 --> 0:36:16.719 get different, and when when you got to press him 0:36:16.719 --> 0:36:19.200 and you're pushing the tempo and yadaya, you're trying to 0:36:19.200 --> 0:36:20.960 come from behind, you got to push the ball down 0:36:21.000 --> 0:36:23.680 field more, you become more predictable. That's when he starts 0:36:23.719 --> 0:36:26.560 making the mistakes. So this is a game that could 0:36:26.640 --> 0:36:29.200 get away from them, and if it does, it wouldn't 0:36:29.200 --> 0:36:31.200 surprise me. If TCU and wins by double. 0:36:31.000 --> 0:36:35.200 Digits, Yeah, gonna be a fun game there, for sure. 0:36:35.560 --> 0:36:38.160 Those always those always seem to be fun, those big 0:36:38.200 --> 0:36:42.160 big twelve matchups. Number twenty UTAH three and half point 0:36:42.160 --> 0:36:45.480 home favorites against number seven USC sixty five is a 0:36:45.560 --> 0:36:46.200 total here? 0:36:47.200 --> 0:36:48.839 What way you leaning in this game? Thor? 0:36:48.920 --> 0:36:51.360 This line surprised me a little bit. I know Jordan 0:36:51.360 --> 0:36:53.920 Addison is a little bit nicked up, isn't he? So 0:36:54.600 --> 0:36:55.839 how do we feel in this game? 0:36:56.400 --> 0:36:59.560 Yeah, well we'll have to get a definitive picture on 0:36:59.719 --> 0:37:02.440 out of since status. But yeah, he got knocked out 0:37:02.440 --> 0:37:05.640 of the last game and he's obviously enormous to USC. 0:37:05.960 --> 0:37:09.640 I think another big part of this this handicap is 0:37:10.480 --> 0:37:15.520 USC's defense has way exceeded everybody's expectations, in large part 0:37:15.880 --> 0:37:19.440 because they've been able to generate a ridiculous amount of 0:37:19.480 --> 0:37:26.040 turnovers almost by any any measure, and unsustainable amount of turnovers. 0:37:26.440 --> 0:37:29.600 You were wondering when they played a team that could 0:37:29.640 --> 0:37:32.720 take care of the ball and could be efficient on offense, 0:37:32.920 --> 0:37:35.040 you know what would happen to that defense because it 0:37:35.040 --> 0:37:37.560 seems house of card z. You know, you think maybe 0:37:37.640 --> 0:37:39.960 if if an offense can take care of the ball 0:37:40.000 --> 0:37:43.319 and could just stay on schedule, the whole thing falls down. 0:37:43.360 --> 0:37:46.080 Well that's what Utah is, right, Like, I mean, Utah 0:37:46.160 --> 0:37:48.640 teams can, you know, like they were built to be 0:37:48.680 --> 0:37:51.680 able to you know, like in response to this USC team, 0:37:51.719 --> 0:37:54.680 even though the USC team came along later, but like that, 0:37:55.120 --> 0:37:58.400 I really like the matchup of Utah's offense against that 0:37:58.560 --> 0:38:02.640 USC defense. What Utah's offense does not do. The weakness 0:38:02.640 --> 0:38:06.120 of it is they cannot generate explosive plays, and in 0:38:06.239 --> 0:38:08.720 certain games that is going to be an enormous problem. 0:38:08.719 --> 0:38:11.560 And we've already seen dis manifest in a couple of them, right, Like, 0:38:11.600 --> 0:38:14.600 they've already taken their couple losses in part because of this. 0:38:14.840 --> 0:38:16.640 But I don't think they need to do that to 0:38:16.719 --> 0:38:19.560 beat USC. What they need to do to beat USC 0:38:20.280 --> 0:38:23.120 is play good defense, but then on offense, take care 0:38:23.160 --> 0:38:25.279 of the ball and stay on schedule. I know that 0:38:25.320 --> 0:38:28.640 they're going to do that on offense, right Like, I mean, 0:38:28.840 --> 0:38:32.279 they just will. They're not going to allow USC to 0:38:32.320 --> 0:38:34.319 flip the field and then put Caleb Williams in a 0:38:34.320 --> 0:38:36.680 really good field position and then put points on the 0:38:36.800 --> 0:38:40.480 on the board. That way, they're gonna make USC's offense, Okay, 0:38:40.560 --> 0:38:41.960 you want to score a touchdown, you got to go 0:38:42.000 --> 0:38:44.320 eighty yards, you gotta go seventy five yards, and you 0:38:44.440 --> 0:38:47.200 got to methodically do it against our defense, a really 0:38:47.239 --> 0:38:52.560 solid defense, you know, in Utah's. Utah's offense, I think 0:38:52.560 --> 0:38:54.839 it probably better than people think it's. It's number ten 0:38:55.000 --> 0:38:59.520 SP plus. USC's, by the way, is fiftieth SP plus. Again, 0:38:59.560 --> 0:39:01.680 it's been played above its head because of the turnovers. 0:39:01.719 --> 0:39:04.239 I think those go away in this game. USC also 0:39:04.320 --> 0:39:06.920 has a really really bad special teams in Utah plays 0:39:07.040 --> 0:39:10.480 awesome special teams. It's a discrepancy in the SPPLUS rankings 0:39:10.719 --> 0:39:14.120 almost one hundred. Utah is twenty third. USC is one 0:39:14.200 --> 0:39:17.160 hundred and twentieth. So that's another area of the game, 0:39:17.440 --> 0:39:19.439 sort of a sneaky part where I think Utah could 0:39:19.440 --> 0:39:22.279 maybe steal some points. I actually like Utah in this game. 0:39:22.400 --> 0:39:24.360 I think Utah is going to win and I like 0:39:24.480 --> 0:39:25.399 them to cover as well. 0:39:25.920 --> 0:39:27.760 A tough place to play too, Utah. 0:39:27.680 --> 0:39:28.680 Very tough place to play. 0:39:28.760 --> 0:39:31.960 Utah very the crowd is into it. They're going to 0:39:32.000 --> 0:39:33.919 make it difficult for sure. 0:39:34.640 --> 0:39:37.000 The last one in the top five, let's go to 0:39:37.040 --> 0:39:42.279 the ACC number fifteen NC State hosting number eighteen Syracuse. 0:39:42.719 --> 0:39:46.000 Syracuse is a three and a half point favorite here 0:39:46.080 --> 0:39:49.319 on the road. Forty four is the total. I know 0:39:49.480 --> 0:39:52.080 there's a question about Devin Leary if he's going to 0:39:52.120 --> 0:39:54.760 be available in this game of QB for NC State. 0:39:55.440 --> 0:39:57.920 Syracuse has been killing it too, So how do you 0:39:57.960 --> 0:39:58.600 see this one going? 0:39:59.040 --> 0:40:01.839 Yeah, I think Leary's out of there. I don't think 0:40:01.840 --> 0:40:04.160 he's gonna play from all the indications that we've got. 0:40:04.640 --> 0:40:07.839 Dave Doran did say on Monday that Leary's injury is 0:40:07.880 --> 0:40:11.440 not season ending, but the sort of he he didn't 0:40:11.480 --> 0:40:14.560 rule him out for this weekend, but the strong infinuation 0:40:14.840 --> 0:40:17.040 was that he was not gonna play. I would be 0:40:17.120 --> 0:40:20.319 stunned if Devin Leary takes even one snap. So so 0:40:20.480 --> 0:40:22.440 I think you can bet assuming that Devin Larry is 0:40:22.480 --> 0:40:24.560 going to be out. If there was good news for 0:40:24.680 --> 0:40:28.719 NSIS State, it's that they had two other, uh very 0:40:28.719 --> 0:40:32.239 important injuries to key contributors in their last game, and 0:40:32.360 --> 0:40:36.440 Doran was was way more optimistic about about those guys. 0:40:36.640 --> 0:40:39.440 They're the running back and their wide receiver to the 0:40:39.680 --> 0:40:47.719 running back Demi Sumo Kung Bay. I should have even tried. 0:40:47.760 --> 0:40:49.360 And then the receiver Devin I love. 0:40:49.239 --> 0:40:52.000 To hear those Minnesota guys try to say those I don't. 0:40:52.040 --> 0:40:54.080 I don't know why I tried. I really should not have. 0:40:54.440 --> 0:40:58.040 But anyway, and and Devin Carter for them is their 0:40:58.080 --> 0:41:01.719 best blocking receiver, and he is also of their downfield guys. 0:41:01.840 --> 0:41:04.959 He's not as much usage, but it's it's the pop 0:41:05.040 --> 0:41:07.439 the top thing and then the helping the run game. 0:41:08.200 --> 0:41:10.719 So he's a valuable player to that offense, even if 0:41:10.719 --> 0:41:13.200 the receiving numbers aren't a high as like say they 0:41:13.239 --> 0:41:16.040 or Thomas. He was more like the short area guy. 0:41:16.080 --> 0:41:19.799 He matters. It seems though, like Carter is gonna play 0:41:19.840 --> 0:41:22.479 and that Demi's gonna play as well, or at least 0:41:22.520 --> 0:41:25.320 that's what dorin Monts is to believe. But again Leary 0:41:25.480 --> 0:41:28.560 almost assuredly will be out. NC State is coming off 0:41:28.600 --> 0:41:31.080 of like NC State is in a bad spot here. 0:41:30.880 --> 0:41:34.400 They're coming off of a like a big win and 0:41:34.400 --> 0:41:37.120 and probably a win that you look back in hindsight 0:41:37.120 --> 0:41:38.719 that probably they shouldn't have had because they had to 0:41:38.719 --> 0:41:41.040 overcome all these different injuries and all this stuff you 0:41:41.160 --> 0:41:43.759 sort of get by Florida State, but now you have 0:41:43.760 --> 0:41:45.960 this beaten up team you have to turn around the 0:41:46.000 --> 0:41:49.120 next week, you have to travel to Syracuse and play 0:41:49.120 --> 0:41:52.520 the Syracuse team that not only is undefeated, but they 0:41:52.560 --> 0:41:54.919 are fresh as a daisy. It's not just that they're 0:41:54.960 --> 0:41:57.319 coming off of a bye week the week before they 0:41:57.360 --> 0:42:00.440 played friggin Wagner. They haven't they haven't actually played a 0:42:00.600 --> 0:42:03.200 real game in three weeks. So so I mean it's 0:42:03.239 --> 0:42:05.560 the tail of two cities with this game. Both the 0:42:05.640 --> 0:42:09.239 rosters are in totally opposite spots. And Syracuse they want 0:42:09.239 --> 0:42:11.719 to get out and they want to run and and 0:42:11.719 --> 0:42:14.360 and they can also be physical, you know, Schrader, you know, 0:42:14.480 --> 0:42:17.719 pounding them. And n said their defense gonna have to 0:42:17.760 --> 0:42:20.440 run after Tucker the whole time. And Trader now can pass, 0:42:20.640 --> 0:42:22.719 which NC State their defense is gonna have to get 0:42:22.800 --> 0:42:24.840 used to it because the Strader that they know, he 0:42:24.880 --> 0:42:27.879 couldn't throw, yeah, but now he can. Now he can throw. 0:42:28.080 --> 0:42:30.160 So Syracuse can be multiple now in a way that 0:42:30.200 --> 0:42:32.400 they couldn't used to be. They're going to provide more 0:42:32.440 --> 0:42:34.839 of a problem for NC State's defense than they used 0:42:34.880 --> 0:42:37.880 to and NC State's offense the jury's out on if 0:42:37.880 --> 0:42:39.880 they're gonna be able to move the ball. We this 0:42:40.000 --> 0:42:42.880 backup quarterback, we'll have to see he's just like this 0:42:42.960 --> 0:42:45.200 veteran kid that he you know, from the FCS or 0:42:45.239 --> 0:42:48.920 whatever that that that they brought in. Uh, I don't know. Well, 0:42:49.280 --> 0:42:51.560 we'll see some of these backup quarterbacks that we see 0:42:51.600 --> 0:42:54.400 are just hide the women and children bad. 0:42:54.800 --> 0:42:57.040 Well, but some of them are good to look at ASU. 0:42:57.360 --> 0:43:00.000 You know, Uh, Emery Jones got hurt and here comes 0:43:00.280 --> 0:43:02.720 the uh I can't remember the kid's name from ASU, 0:43:02.840 --> 0:43:06.120 but leads them to a win over Washington as two 0:43:06.160 --> 0:43:07.240 touchdown dogs. 0:43:07.280 --> 0:43:10.960 So it's just, you know, it's more often, more often 0:43:11.000 --> 0:43:14.080 than not, mostly exactly more often. 0:43:13.880 --> 0:43:15.680 Than not, when you go from the established arter the 0:43:15.680 --> 0:43:18.440 person that nobody's ever heard of before, it's a precipitous 0:43:18.520 --> 0:43:21.840 drop off, and sometimes it's enough so where it rules 0:43:21.840 --> 0:43:23.879 that team out for their odds of winning the game. 0:43:24.200 --> 0:43:27.120 So I mean like that, certainly the way you lean 0:43:27.160 --> 0:43:29.680 in this one, it's tough not having Leary. Leary's a 0:43:29.680 --> 0:43:32.520 fringe NFL guy, like you know, you know, probably a 0:43:32.600 --> 0:43:35.759 Day three type type prospect whatever. Losing him really hurts, 0:43:35.840 --> 0:43:39.319 especially for an offense that wasn't dynamic to begin with. 0:43:39.880 --> 0:43:42.359 So I if they're not able to throw and their 0:43:42.440 --> 0:43:45.720 running games not awesome, right, and they're also the running 0:43:45.719 --> 0:43:47.920 back if he can play, like the running back room 0:43:48.000 --> 0:43:51.759 might be depreciated anyway. So like, you know, I got 0:43:51.840 --> 0:43:54.920 questions about the NC State side that for all these reasons, 0:43:54.960 --> 0:43:58.920 that's why Syracuse is favored. That if the backup quarterback, 0:43:58.920 --> 0:44:01.880 if he shows up and he's awesome, then and C 0:44:02.000 --> 0:44:04.480 say it certainly would have a puncher shot. But the 0:44:04.600 --> 0:44:07.600 odds in this one would say that with the percentage 0:44:07.719 --> 0:44:09.799 is you would lean towards Syracuse for sure. 0:44:10.280 --> 0:44:15.960 Yeah, and shout out to Thomas. So Thomas, the Syracuse orangement, 0:44:16.040 --> 0:44:19.160 go Orange, let's go. How about them games that you like? 0:44:19.239 --> 0:44:21.239 Thor we went through the top five games, We've gone 0:44:21.239 --> 0:44:24.160 through the money games and the early games this week. 0:44:24.680 --> 0:44:26.200 You know, it's funny because we were talking about this 0:44:26.280 --> 0:44:30.839 before we hit record and you brought up I've only 0:44:30.840 --> 0:44:33.759 written up two games for my article so far, and 0:44:33.800 --> 0:44:36.800 you brought up one that I already wrote up in 0:44:37.560 --> 0:44:42.080 the Cal and Colorado under forty nine. And you know, 0:44:42.239 --> 0:44:44.759 my first instinct in this game was to take Cal 0:44:44.880 --> 0:44:47.600 minus the fourteen. But then I thought about, you know, 0:44:48.120 --> 0:44:52.080 the dead cap bounce with you know, Carl Drell being fired, 0:44:52.080 --> 0:44:55.560 and you were calling for that the entire season that 0:44:55.640 --> 0:44:58.880 Carl Durrell was gonna get canned here, so not a 0:44:58.920 --> 0:45:01.120 surprise to see him go. But I mean, what do 0:45:01.200 --> 0:45:04.440 we think in this game for Colorado and Cal because 0:45:05.880 --> 0:45:08.560 neither offense has been good, Like Jayde not has been good. 0:45:08.760 --> 0:45:12.120 He is like the most efficient running back in the nation. 0:45:12.560 --> 0:45:14.920 But when you look at like you know, PFF grades, 0:45:14.920 --> 0:45:18.200 if they mean anything to you, I believe Cal is 0:45:18.239 --> 0:45:21.279 one hundred and twenty ninth in run blocking, so he 0:45:21.480 --> 0:45:24.279 is literally doing it all by himself. 0:45:24.520 --> 0:45:27.279 They have a little bit of passing at Cal, but 0:45:27.440 --> 0:45:31.480 Colorado's got nothing on offense at all. So I mean, 0:45:31.520 --> 0:45:34.799 this game screams the under which can be a little 0:45:34.800 --> 0:45:37.520 tricky sometimes, but I trust in my gut and FIU 0:45:37.520 --> 0:45:39.080 in New Mexico State a couple of weeks ago and 0:45:39.120 --> 0:45:41.920 that paid off big time. So what do you think 0:45:41.920 --> 0:45:44.040 in this game? Is forty nine? The over is is 0:45:44.200 --> 0:45:46.840 fairly high for these two pathetic offenses. 0:45:47.200 --> 0:45:51.080 Yeah. I rarely bring up fantasy in these shows because 0:45:51.080 --> 0:45:52.479 I know people hate to hear it, but I'm gonna 0:45:52.480 --> 0:45:55.000 do it for the second time today because in one 0:45:55.000 --> 0:45:58.200 of those ridiculously deep C two C leagues, I took 0:45:58.280 --> 0:46:00.120 jade Not at the end of a draft like the 0:46:00.960 --> 0:46:03.800 forty fifth round or whatever, and it's it's one of 0:46:03.880 --> 0:46:05.799 my one of my great picks of all time. I'm 0:46:05.800 --> 0:46:07.640 gonna have that kid for the next four years. And 0:46:07.680 --> 0:46:10.279 one of the owners in that league every single week 0:46:10.400 --> 0:46:12.359 sends me trade offers for him, and I've ignored every 0:46:12.360 --> 0:46:14.920 single one, and he's getting increasingly annoyed with me. He's 0:46:14.920 --> 0:46:16.919 like sending me messages like, hey man, have you seen 0:46:16.960 --> 0:46:21.880 my trade offers for jade Not? And it's like yeah, yeah, yeah, 0:46:22.000 --> 0:46:24.680 and I'm I'm not responding to them. You are not 0:46:24.680 --> 0:46:28.640 getting jade Not. But yet j Not been great and 0:46:28.640 --> 0:46:32.440 and cal Cal ran into one justin Wilcox, who struggled 0:46:32.480 --> 0:46:35.919 to drive offenses and entire time there found a Jym 0:46:36.360 --> 0:46:38.239 so so so good on him, but like you said, 0:46:38.440 --> 0:46:40.960 their offensive line stinks, they don't have quarterback play their 0:46:41.000 --> 0:46:43.319 their pass catchers aren't very good either, so it's it's 0:46:43.360 --> 0:46:45.920 still even though they finally found a good offensive player, 0:46:46.040 --> 0:46:48.239 he's a true freshman, and he's surrounded by not good 0:46:48.239 --> 0:46:51.439 offensive players, and they are playing one of the worst 0:46:51.480 --> 0:46:56.600 teams in the entire FBS, certainly the worst Power five team. 0:46:58.640 --> 0:47:01.640 For the side, I'm same thing you were talking about, Buckman. 0:47:02.080 --> 0:47:03.799 I'm not touching the side of this one. I think 0:47:03.920 --> 0:47:06.439 it's an objectively fair line. In fact, my system has 0:47:07.080 --> 0:47:09.840 California minus fourteen point four. It is right on that 0:47:09.960 --> 0:47:13.440 Vegas line. But the under I'm with you man, the 0:47:13.480 --> 0:47:16.359 total came out, I was actually surprised with how high 0:47:16.360 --> 0:47:18.840 it was. It comes out forty eight and a half 0:47:19.600 --> 0:47:23.080 my system. That was much more fair forty one and 0:47:23.120 --> 0:47:26.800 a half. If Vegas had dropped that number, nobody bats 0:47:26.840 --> 0:47:29.640 an eye like again, I'm surprised it was a touchdown 0:47:29.719 --> 0:47:34.200 higher than that. Colorado. They can't generate offense on really anybody. 0:47:34.560 --> 0:47:37.120 And the concern when you know with you know, as 0:47:37.120 --> 0:47:39.959 far as the total handicap goes in the Colorado game, 0:47:40.080 --> 0:47:42.120 is that the opponent is going to score a billion points. 0:47:42.480 --> 0:47:45.120 Kelly is gonna score a billion points. Cal's gonna run 0:47:45.320 --> 0:47:47.200 the ball a whole bunch with jayde Not behind the 0:47:47.239 --> 0:47:50.520 bad offensive line, and then they're going to huddle up 0:47:51.239 --> 0:47:54.400 very very slowly, and then they're going to meander up 0:47:54.400 --> 0:47:56.520 to the line and they're gonna snap the ball with 0:47:56.640 --> 0:47:59.959 like three seconds left on the play clock. Every single time. 0:48:00.360 --> 0:48:04.040 Cal rinks one hundred and twenty third in adjusted pace 0:48:04.680 --> 0:48:08.879 Colorado's they're fifty six, so they're around average, but their 0:48:08.920 --> 0:48:12.560 offense stinks, so it doesn't really matter for me. This 0:48:13.000 --> 0:48:16.120 total is too high. I do lean under wouldn't touch 0:48:16.120 --> 0:48:16.640 the side. 0:48:17.000 --> 0:48:20.120 Yeah, I love that game this week for sure. The 0:48:20.200 --> 0:48:24.000 other game that you wanted to talk about is you're Jayhawks, 0:48:24.120 --> 0:48:27.799 number nineteen ranked. They're going into Oklahoma, who just did 0:48:27.840 --> 0:48:30.919 not show up for the Red River rivalry there, and 0:48:31.840 --> 0:48:34.000 I think Dylan Gabriel could be back here. 0:48:34.200 --> 0:48:37.879 I don't know how much it matters though, but Oklahoma 0:48:38.680 --> 0:48:44.480 currently sitting as I believe nine point favorites. Is that right, Yeah? 0:48:44.600 --> 0:48:48.279 Nine point favorites right now. But I took a look 0:48:48.320 --> 0:48:51.279 at the peaked at the money line here thor and 0:48:51.520 --> 0:48:56.120 Kansas is at plus to sixty on MGM, plus two 0:48:56.200 --> 0:48:59.439 twenty five on DraftKings plus two sixty and a color 0:48:59.520 --> 0:49:03.480 up other couple spots, So I don't know. The money 0:49:03.480 --> 0:49:04.600 line might look good. 0:49:04.800 --> 0:49:08.359 Especially if Gabriel doesn't play because Jalen Daniels is out, 0:49:08.560 --> 0:49:12.040 which is a big reason why Oklahoma is favored in 0:49:12.080 --> 0:49:14.600 this game. Most likely out, I guess I should say, 0:49:14.600 --> 0:49:17.000 because he hasn't been officially ruled out, like they'll never 0:49:17.040 --> 0:49:17.319 do that. 0:49:17.400 --> 0:49:19.960 But he ain't even play. But Jason Bean, as you 0:49:20.000 --> 0:49:23.600 mentioned before when we were talking on stages, a pretty good, 0:49:23.800 --> 0:49:26.719 you know, backup quarterback, one of the better ones in 0:49:26.760 --> 0:49:29.600 the nation. So what do you think of this game? 0:49:30.320 --> 0:49:33.360 Yeah that I took a drink as you were talking 0:49:33.680 --> 0:49:37.479 to signify metaphorically wedding my beak on that Jay Money line. 0:49:39.000 --> 0:49:44.320 The Gabriel status is very important because Davis Bevell, Oklahoma's 0:49:44.320 --> 0:49:48.680 backup stinks. The difference between Gabriel and him. It's it's 0:49:48.719 --> 0:49:50.759 like ten points. And it's not because Gabriel is as 0:49:50.760 --> 0:49:54.080 good as Bryce Young. It's because the backup is that bad. 0:49:55.040 --> 0:49:58.200 Brent Venable should be embarrassed for like leaving the QB 0:49:58.239 --> 0:50:01.120 two spot that bad when all the players were transferring 0:50:01.160 --> 0:50:03.840 all off season. You could have signed a billion different 0:50:03.840 --> 0:50:07.080 guys that were better than that kid. That's an unforced 0:50:07.080 --> 0:50:09.200 ara that was shooting yourself in the foot. But they 0:50:09.280 --> 0:50:12.320 can't help it now. So Gabriel is his status is 0:50:12.400 --> 0:50:14.719 key for Oklahoma. But like you were, mentioning. Like we 0:50:14.719 --> 0:50:17.560 were talking about on the stages, Daniels is not Jalen 0:50:17.640 --> 0:50:20.120 Daniels for Kansas is not going to play. But it's 0:50:20.160 --> 0:50:23.160 the opposite scenario for Kansas. Kansas had one of the 0:50:23.160 --> 0:50:26.760 better backup quarterbacks in the entire FBS in Jason Bean, 0:50:27.040 --> 0:50:29.319 who started the first nine games for them last year 0:50:29.560 --> 0:50:32.600 and was North Texas starter before that. Jason Bean has 0:50:32.560 --> 0:50:35.040 started numerous games in his college career. You call him 0:50:35.080 --> 0:50:37.239 a two year starter coming into this year. He has 0:50:37.280 --> 0:50:39.400 a good arm, and he was a track star in 0:50:39.480 --> 0:50:42.400 high school. He's one of the by any report, one 0:50:42.400 --> 0:50:44.960 of the fastest players on the Kansas football team. This 0:50:45.080 --> 0:50:47.319 stuff that Leopold likes to do with all the motion 0:50:47.440 --> 0:50:50.080 and then getting the quarterback out on the perimeter, that's 0:50:50.080 --> 0:50:52.200 what Bean wants to do. I mean, there's a reason 0:50:52.200 --> 0:50:56.120 that he was absolutely shredding TCU. I'm not going to 0:50:56.160 --> 0:50:58.560 say that he was better than Daniels, but in that game, 0:50:58.880 --> 0:51:01.080 Daniel did not do much in the first half, and 0:51:01.080 --> 0:51:04.520 then Bean came in and Kansas was not missing. Being 0:51:04.600 --> 0:51:07.400 did throw one interception in that second half, but on 0:51:07.440 --> 0:51:09.359 almost every other draft his scored a touching. I think 0:51:09.360 --> 0:51:12.759 he threw for four touchdowns and only in the last 0:51:12.800 --> 0:51:17.400 two quarters Jason Bean can play for me. I downgrade 0:51:17.480 --> 0:51:21.200 Kansas very very small there that you know, half a 0:51:21.280 --> 0:51:24.400 point or a point, whereas again with Gabriel to Bevel 0:51:24.520 --> 0:51:27.279 it's ten or eleven something like that. So keep an 0:51:27.280 --> 0:51:30.480 eye on that one. The other major major point is 0:51:30.520 --> 0:51:34.680 Oklahoma's defense is an abomination a couple a couple of 0:51:34.719 --> 0:51:39.120 stats for you and just crazy, almost unthinkable that a 0:51:39.239 --> 0:51:44.080 defense coordinated by Brent Venables could be this bad. But 0:51:44.239 --> 0:51:48.200 Kansas saw you know. The comparing contrast between the Kansas 0:51:48.239 --> 0:51:52.399 offense and the Oaklahoma defense. Kansas offense number twenty six 0:51:52.560 --> 0:51:56.680 in success rate, number ten in isoppp which is an 0:51:56.760 --> 0:52:01.120 explosiveness measure, and number thirty two in points per scoring opportunity. 0:52:01.440 --> 0:52:05.440 Here's the Oklahoma defense's rankings in the exact same categories. 0:52:06.280 --> 0:52:10.000 So Oklahoma's defense ranks number ninety eighth in success rate, 0:52:10.120 --> 0:52:14.480 number fifty one in explosiveness against, and one hundred and 0:52:14.640 --> 0:52:18.120 first in preventing the opponent from scoring when they're in 0:52:18.239 --> 0:52:22.719 the scoring opportunities. The Sooners also rank one hundred and 0:52:22.840 --> 0:52:26.520 twenty fifth out of one thirty one in tackling rates, 0:52:27.120 --> 0:52:27.960 so they can't. 0:52:27.800 --> 0:52:30.160 Tackle any anything. I mean, I know that as a 0:52:30.200 --> 0:52:33.160 Texas fan for the last decade. Is tackling is just 0:52:33.400 --> 0:52:35.640 so enormous. You have to do it. You know, you 0:52:35.719 --> 0:52:39.239 give guys ten fifteen extra yards by missing attackle It's ridiculous. 0:52:39.360 --> 0:52:44.000 This defense, it's what's gonna call it sun Belt level. 0:52:44.520 --> 0:52:46.160 The sun Belts good this year, and that would have 0:52:46.160 --> 0:52:48.799 been an insult to the sun Belt. This is it's 0:52:48.840 --> 0:52:53.400 an absolute embarrassment. Yes, if Dylan Gabriel doesn't play in 0:52:53.480 --> 0:52:56.359 this game, the Kansas Jayhawks are winning it out right. 0:52:56.880 --> 0:52:59.920 I'll just say that if Gabriel plays, we'll have a 0:53:00.080 --> 0:53:00.759 game for sure. 0:53:01.800 --> 0:53:03.480 But this game was close last year, wasn't it. 0:53:04.000 --> 0:53:07.200 Oh? Yeah, Kansas led into the fourth quarter against This 0:53:07.360 --> 0:53:08.040 is the one where. 0:53:07.840 --> 0:53:10.640 Like Caleb Williams has out of the running backs hand 0:53:11.200 --> 0:53:12.160 to get that purst down. 0:53:12.440 --> 0:53:13.120 That was the game. 0:53:13.239 --> 0:53:16.919 Yeah, Kansas. Kansas controlled that, I mean throughout until until 0:53:16.920 --> 0:53:19.399 the fourth courter, and yeah, they came back. That game 0:53:19.560 --> 0:53:22.160 is hilarious. Was like, uh, it was in Lawrence and 0:53:22.360 --> 0:53:25.440 Oklahoma's like thirty eight point favor or something, and this 0:53:25.560 --> 0:53:28.959 one is in Norman and it's thirty points last or whatever. 0:53:30.239 --> 0:53:33.239 But yeah, to me, this line it's too high. I mean, 0:53:33.400 --> 0:53:36.959 like it's even despite the thirty points you know shift 0:53:37.120 --> 0:53:40.600 or whatever. Kansas is, Like I said, absolutely legitimate opponent. 0:53:40.880 --> 0:53:44.520 Absolutely could have beaten TCU last week despite losing their 0:53:44.520 --> 0:53:49.120 starting quarterback. I'm still upset about it. Very last drive. 0:53:49.800 --> 0:53:53.160 Two very obvious penalties happened on the last two plays 0:53:53.800 --> 0:53:56.399 that were not called. One of them was the horse 0:53:56.480 --> 0:53:58.839 collar thing on the third down and then the more 0:53:58.880 --> 0:54:02.160 egregious one a very clear pass interference on fourth down 0:54:02.520 --> 0:54:04.680 that the rest just didn't throw a flat. But anyway, 0:54:05.160 --> 0:54:09.120 either way, Kansas played with TCU the entire time. It was, 0:54:09.360 --> 0:54:12.520 you know, a coin flip type game, and TCU is. 0:54:13.320 --> 0:54:14.840 I mean, we'll find out by the end of the 0:54:14.920 --> 0:54:16.759 year they're either the best team in the Big Twelve 0:54:16.840 --> 0:54:18.400 or the second best team in the Big Twelve. I 0:54:18.440 --> 0:54:20.960 think we'll figure that out. Uh, maybe we'll have to 0:54:21.000 --> 0:54:23.400 wait until the Big Twelve title game. But them in Texas, 0:54:23.960 --> 0:54:26.080 I think they're gonna have a tango. I'm sorry to 0:54:26.160 --> 0:54:29.640 disco on Oklahoma State, but for me, those are the 0:54:29.680 --> 0:54:32.880 two teams. But this Oklahoma team, they can't defend anyone, 0:54:33.120 --> 0:54:35.799 they can't tackle against anyone. The only way they can 0:54:35.840 --> 0:54:38.399 derive offense is when Dylan Gabriel is one hundred percent 0:54:38.520 --> 0:54:41.920 healthy and they're able to hit the downfield shots. But 0:54:42.600 --> 0:54:45.680 I will say even though Kansas's secondary, it's not a 0:54:45.840 --> 0:54:48.560 leech for sure, And don't take what I'm about to 0:54:48.560 --> 0:54:53.280 say as that they are. They are opportunistic. Though Kansas's 0:54:53.520 --> 0:54:57.000 defensive backs can flip the field. They're I mean, you 0:54:57.040 --> 0:54:58.880 can think of them essentially as like a sort of 0:54:58.920 --> 0:55:01.680 a homeless man's version of the USC thing where they 0:55:01.719 --> 0:55:04.200 can you know, they are able to get the interceptions 0:55:04.239 --> 0:55:08.200 and flip it a little bit. Oklahoma needs Dylan Gabriel 0:55:08.239 --> 0:55:10.440 in this game. We don't know if he's gonna play it. 0:55:10.560 --> 0:55:14.799 It's sounding more optimistic on that side. But again, either way, 0:55:15.160 --> 0:55:17.480 I'm taking the nine points and if Gabriel is not playing, 0:55:18.120 --> 0:55:19.560 it's rock shock outright for sure. 0:55:20.600 --> 0:55:22.719 It's gonna be a fun week, another fun week of 0:55:22.800 --> 0:55:25.400 college football. Good luck and all your bets. You can 0:55:25.440 --> 0:55:28.879 follow me on Twitter at Bogman Sports. You'll follow Thor 0:55:29.040 --> 0:55:32.879 at thor ku Thor. What is the schedule for this week? 0:55:33.120 --> 0:55:35.480 Remind everyone where they can find all your work. Obviously, 0:55:35.520 --> 0:55:36.759 you can go to Twitter to find all of it, 0:55:37.000 --> 0:55:38.239 But what do you got coming up here? 0:55:38.480 --> 0:55:41.360 I got my ten best bets coming up on vetting 0:55:41.440 --> 0:55:43.920 pro as. What would be when you guys hear this? 0:55:44.000 --> 0:55:48.200 Maybe today on Thursday, and then on Saturday, I have 0:55:48.360 --> 0:55:52.399 my ninety minute live show with Mike Farrell where people 0:55:52.440 --> 0:55:54.480 can come and watch live and then also ask questions. 0:55:54.719 --> 0:55:56.400 Mike and I answer any questions you have about the 0:55:56.440 --> 0:55:58.920 betting card, and then we handicap as many games as 0:55:59.480 --> 0:56:01.600 we can get you know, get through or whatever, and 0:56:01.680 --> 0:56:03.759 also give out our favorite props you know, as well 0:56:03.760 --> 0:56:06.560 as the sides and the totals obviously. And then on 0:56:07.000 --> 0:56:10.400 the day after, you know, every every college football Saturday, 0:56:10.760 --> 0:56:13.759 on Sunday, me and Tomas Viola sit down after the 0:56:13.880 --> 0:56:16.279 lines have dropped the new lines for the coming week, 0:56:16.680 --> 0:56:19.480 go through those lines. I've run my numbers Sunday morning, 0:56:19.840 --> 0:56:22.759 comparing my lines against the Vegas lines. Are there any 0:56:22.840 --> 0:56:25.720 games that you should bet early? Are there any injuries 0:56:25.760 --> 0:56:28.080 that are affecting the lines? Just sort of going through 0:56:28.120 --> 0:56:30.560 the card in that way. If there's any angles early 0:56:30.600 --> 0:56:32.160 on in the week to check that out as well. 0:56:32.719 --> 0:56:35.600 Check them out and good luck in your bets. Week seven. 0:56:35.640 --> 0:56:37.439 Wee will see you guys, next week, take it easy. 0:56:37.480 --> 0:56:37.840 Everybody