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Speaker 1: Welcome back everybody. It's the Betting Pros College Football Show.

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Speaker 1: I'm your host, Scott Frogman. Follow me on the Twitter

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Speaker 1: at Bogman Sports. I'm joined by Thor Nice from Follow

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Speaker 1: him on the Twitter at thor K. You had another fantastic, amazing,

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Speaker 1: great week of college football last week with Texas beating

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Speaker 1: down Oklahoma forty nine to zering.

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Speaker 2: I know that is what everyone was watching.

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Speaker 1: No other important games, right, that was the only one

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Speaker 1: in my heart anyway, Thor So, I loved college football

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Speaker 1: last week even though I was five and five, you know, so,

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Speaker 1: just sitting at five hundred on my article coming off

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Speaker 1: that eight and two weeks, I knew the other show

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Speaker 1: was going to drop eventually. So but I haven't finished

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Speaker 1: under five hundred yet this year. Knock on wood, of course.

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Speaker 1: But thor, how is your weekend? And are you ready for?

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Speaker 1: And I can't believe I'm saying this week seven already here?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, weekend was great. Suffered the first loss for Kansas

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Speaker 3: of the season, so that was that was kind of tough.

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Speaker 3: And my other alma mater, Iowa, was about ugliest game

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Speaker 3: I've ever seen, although they've they've had like three other

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Speaker 3: games that were exactly the same. Yeah so I but yeah,

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Speaker 3: we will soldier through at them. And and my my

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Speaker 3: betting weekend was sort of the opposite. I I always

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Speaker 3: start slow. I don't know what it is. I you know,

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Speaker 3: some some year I'm either gonna decide to stop betting

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Speaker 3: in September or I'm gonna I'm gonna have to modulate something.

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Speaker 3: But I always, I always pick it up. And last

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Speaker 3: week I by far my best week of the year.

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Speaker 3: So usually I have one of those vengeance weeks and

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Speaker 3: then everything's you know, upward from there. And I hope

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Speaker 3: that's what happens this year as well.

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Speaker 1: You figure out more stuff as the season goes on, right,

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Speaker 1: And I think that's kind of what part of it

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Speaker 1: is is, you know, you start to see more stuff,

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Speaker 1: the trends become a little more clear, But then you

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Speaker 1: also have injuries. So I don't know, I never found

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Speaker 1: the best time of year to bet. I just say

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Speaker 1: week one, in the final week of the season, regular

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Speaker 1: season anyway, those are always the hardest, uh, you know,

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Speaker 1: in pretty much any sport because week one it's like

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Speaker 1: how much different are these teams?

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Speaker 2: And the last week is who cares and who doesn't?

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Speaker 3: You know for sure.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, so, I mean it's just effort level at that point.

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Speaker 1: But we have sitting in the middle here in week seven,

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Speaker 1: we have some great games, and let's start out with

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Speaker 1: these Thursday and Friday night matchups.

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Speaker 2: Here. Throw the first one we have on Thursday.

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Speaker 1: UCF is a twenty three and a half point favorite

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Speaker 1: at home against Temple. The number is forty six wbu

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Speaker 1: versus Baylor is you know, Baylor is a three and

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Speaker 1: a half point road favorite in fifty four and a

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Speaker 1: half is a total in that one. So for these

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Speaker 1: Thursday games, do you have a lean either way?

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Speaker 3: Yes? My my lean in UCF Temple, I guess I

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Speaker 3: would have would have two of them. My leans would

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Speaker 3: be Temple and the under Temple. There. Their offense remains

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Speaker 3: awful as always, but their defense has gotten good, and

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Speaker 3: not only that, specifically their run defense. Temple's run defense

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Speaker 3: is actually legit now. It is legitimately good. And as

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Speaker 3: we know, UCF, their best thing is their rushing offense,

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Speaker 3: and when you can take that away, they start to

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Speaker 3: have real problems when they have to throw, you know,

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Speaker 3: like for instance, go back to the Louisville game when

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Speaker 3: when John Reeves Plumbly had to throw thirty times the

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Speaker 3: UCF offense the wheels came off the thing. Now, in

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Speaker 3: this game, I don't think it's going to get that

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Speaker 3: bad for UCF where they have to throw Plumbly that

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Speaker 3: many times, because Temple almost assuredly will not be able

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Speaker 3: to score enough to put the game result in jeopardy.

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Speaker 3: But they're you know, Temple is going to be able

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Speaker 3: to take away what UCF what they want to do

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Speaker 3: to the degree enough, I think that that makes us inflated,

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Speaker 3: spread too much, a bridge too far. So I would

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Speaker 3: want to take the points with Temple, and for almost

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Speaker 3: the exact same reason I want the under. They have

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Speaker 3: a pretty solid defense this year as well. They can

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Speaker 3: stop the run as well.

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Speaker 2: Well.

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Speaker 3: Temple's going to have to throw here in order to score.

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Speaker 3: We'll see if they can. Jury will be out on that.

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Speaker 3: But I, like I said I Temple is going to

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Speaker 3: be able to suppress the running of UCF, which might

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Speaker 3: incentivize UCF to try to throw more, which is always

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Speaker 3: in the favor of the opponent because Jean Reee Plumbly

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Speaker 3: can't throw.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, and just looking at like PFF grades here thor offensively,

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Speaker 1: UCF forty ninth, So you know, above average team, but

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Speaker 1: not the UCF that we have seen in their recent history.

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Speaker 1: Temple ninth in grade on PFF in terms of their defense.

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Speaker 1: So obviously the numbers are adding up to towards what

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Speaker 1: you're saying as well. Here according to them, you have

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Speaker 1: a good lean in WVU versus Baylor. Is that a

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Speaker 1: stay away for you?

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Speaker 3: For me, that's a stay away because WVU is in

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Speaker 3: general a fade team for me. But Baylor they've been

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Speaker 3: disappointing and it's seems like it it's an experiential thing

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Speaker 3: at this point. It's such a young team. You know,

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Speaker 3: they they're breaking in a new starting quarterback and it's

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Speaker 3: what they chose. You know, they didn't want Jerry Bohannan anymore.

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Speaker 3: They probably made the right decision if you watch Jerry

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Speaker 3: Buhannon in at South Florida, but shape and he hasn't

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Speaker 3: had the start that you would have hoped. And then

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Speaker 3: at a lot of these other positions they're just as young.

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Speaker 3: And so I do think Baylor will eventually get there,

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Speaker 3: but it's been kind of slow going stop start, you

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Speaker 3: know that that sort of a thing. This is a

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Speaker 3: very hard environment for them for Baylor to be walking

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Speaker 3: into it. It's a tough spot Thursday night heading into Huntington.

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Speaker 3: I definitely like Baylor more as a team, but with

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Speaker 3: the spot that it's in and the homefield advantage that

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Speaker 3: West Virginia has. To me, the line is fair. Like

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Speaker 3: my Justice line on this game is Baylor minus two

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Speaker 3: point three. The live line is Baylor minus two point five.

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Speaker 3: I just there's nothing for me there to stay away.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, interesting game there, but you know, maybe a watch

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Speaker 2: and don't bet on that one on Friday. I know

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Speaker 2: there's a game here that we both like.

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Speaker 1: We have SMU minus twelve and a half versus Navy

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Speaker 1: fifty seven total on that, but you and I both

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Speaker 1: like FIU or excuse me, UTSA at FIU. This game

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Speaker 1: UTSA is thirty three point favorites, thirty three and a

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Speaker 1: half in some places. I think it's going to open up.

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Speaker 1: Sixty three and a half is the total here. I

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Speaker 1: wrote up in my artcle I love UTSA. I'll lay

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Speaker 1: the points. It's fun to pick on bad teams when

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Speaker 1: you're betting, and FIU is a horrid team now, and

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Speaker 1: I think UTSA is sixth in pace of play too.

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Speaker 1: They are going to pace this game. They're going to

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Speaker 1: be offense on offense a lot. And we've already seen

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Speaker 1: FIU give up a lopsided game at home this year

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Speaker 1: against Western Kentucky, and UTSA just beat Western Kentucky. So

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Speaker 1: of course, you know the transitive properties that never fail

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Speaker 1: us ever in college football. Right, UTSA is already better

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Speaker 1: than Western Kentucky. They should beat FIU, buy more than

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Speaker 1: seventy three nothing, of course, that never works. I fi

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Speaker 1: use a different team now than they were a couple

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Speaker 1: of weeks ago, maybe better at quarterback. They did have

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Speaker 1: a win against New Mexico or actually New Mexico State

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Speaker 1: a couple of weeks ago as well, so you know,

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Speaker 1: I fi used better, but they're still very bad. So

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Speaker 1: you know this game is on Friday. It's one less

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Speaker 1: ai to prep for both these teams, which I think

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Speaker 1: would also favor UTSA here or so, I mean, I

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Speaker 1: am all aboard the Roadrunners bandwagon, So I will lay

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Speaker 1: all them points and take UTSA.

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Speaker 2: What do you think about either one of these games?

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Speaker 2: But I know you like Utsao?

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Speaker 3: Yeah in that one. You The books almost can't make

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Speaker 3: UTSA a high enough favorite.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, they can't make it ugly enough for me to

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Speaker 1: not want to take it, right.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean the lineup it was like I think

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Speaker 3: it was like twenty seven and a half and it

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Speaker 3: just extreme quickly got fed up, like almost by a touchdown,

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Speaker 3: right like. And I think it's it is even still climbing,

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Speaker 3: and that is perfectly justifiable here, uh FIU. They're not

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Speaker 3: only you know, objectively horrid team. If you put them

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Speaker 3: in the FCS, I don't think they would finish over

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Speaker 3: five hundred. They barely beat Bryant in the opener. Uh

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Speaker 3: they beat him by one point? Was that even an

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Speaker 3: overtime too?

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Speaker 1: Yeah, thirty seven, but I don't think it was over

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Speaker 1: time or did they go for two at the end.

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Speaker 2: It was it was something, It was something.

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Speaker 1: I mean, Bryan isn't good either in the FCS level,

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Speaker 1: they're like four.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, So they're not in.

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Speaker 2: The team anywhere, And.

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Speaker 3: Like you said, there won't uh fi use only the

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Speaker 3: other wins again to New Mexico State, who is one

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Speaker 3: of the five worst teams in the nation. And last

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Speaker 3: week FIU hosted Yukon and lost by twenty one points,

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Speaker 3: So I fi us really bad, you know, And another

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Speaker 3: thing to consider here, and this one is really really important.

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Speaker 3: F I you, they're only the only player on that

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Speaker 3: roster that I consider legitimate. It's their outside receiver Chambers.

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Speaker 3: That kid is considered questionable for this game. I don't

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Speaker 3: think he's going to play. Uh, Tyree's Chambers probably a

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Speaker 3: guy that's going to get a long look from the NFL.

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Speaker 3: I don't know if there is one other singular player

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Speaker 3: on that roster that you can say that about. If

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Speaker 3: Tyree's Chambers is not playing in that game, I don't

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Speaker 3: even know what. It's not just that they won't be

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Speaker 3: able to move the ball. I don't know what they

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Speaker 3: do with the ball. It's it's it's one of the

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Speaker 3: like he is the identity of the offense. It's it's

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Speaker 3: the one, the one guy that they trot out that

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Speaker 3: scares people. So, I mean, it's not just that it's

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Speaker 3: a mismatch, and it's not just that the recent history

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Speaker 3: would suggest UTSA. It's also that FIU has one gun

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Speaker 3: to bring to this fight, and that gun is is

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Speaker 3: not going to be discharging. Really unfortunate. And and and

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Speaker 3: like you said, Bagman, the teams that FIU has played,

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Speaker 3: it's you know, the only one where they you know,

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Speaker 3: they won the game against New Mexico and then New

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Speaker 3: Mexico State and then Bryant, but they got annihilated by

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Speaker 3: Texas State by almost thirty points. Texas State is also

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Speaker 3: one of the worst teams in the ses. And then,

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Speaker 3: like I said, they got annihilated by Yukon. The only

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Speaker 3: time that FIU has played a team that is above

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Speaker 3: eighty ninth sp plus was Western Kentucky and Western Kentucky's

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Speaker 3: no great shakes. You know this year their number seventieth

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Speaker 3: sp plus, which isn't even average, right, not even the

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Speaker 3: median watermark. They lost that game seventy three to nothing.

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Speaker 3: What can Western Kentucky do really well? They passed to

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Speaker 3: the ball this utsa team. What fell off about it

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Speaker 3: was sincere McCormick left, so it was the run game,

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Speaker 3: and then their defense got worse. But the passing game

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Speaker 3: has gotten way better because everybody came back, right like

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Speaker 3: Frank Harris came back and it's better. And then the

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Speaker 3: three receivers came back, and all of those guys are

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Speaker 3: going to the NFL and they're all really really good.

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Speaker 3: So they go three wide and they could dominate all

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Speaker 3: of it against FYU. They are going to do whatever

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Speaker 3: they want. This one is lay the points or stay away.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I completely agree with you on that game. That's

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Speaker 2: an ugly one.

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Speaker 1: Let's go over and talk about the games with ninety

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Speaker 1: five percent or more of a cash laid on one side.

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Speaker 2: We have six of them this week, and they are

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Speaker 2: all spread no totals, which is a little surprising, just

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Speaker 2: a strange happenstance. Here.

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Speaker 1: We start with Toledo minus nine versus Kent State. This

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Speaker 1: is a ninety nine percent cash and ninety seven percent

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Speaker 1: tickets store. So everyone right now, you know we're recording

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Speaker 1: this on a Wednesday afternoon. Everyone is on Toledo and

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Speaker 1: laying the nine. So obviously this number is probably going

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Speaker 1: to get bigger by the time you're listening to this.

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Speaker 1: But I don't know if that matters. Does it matter

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Speaker 1: thor are you just all over Toledo here?

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Speaker 3: I like Toledo too, Yeah, so I guess I guess

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Speaker 3: I'll be a square as well. I will say last week,

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Speaker 3: and for people to, you know, listen to all of

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Speaker 3: our shows, they'll they'll know that I'm telling the truth here.

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Speaker 3: I think I was talking about this with Thomas for sure,

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Speaker 3: and maybe bogming with you as well, maybe on last

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Speaker 3: week's show. The Sharps were on Kent State last week too,

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Speaker 3: to the degree where I was like, like, like, usually

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Speaker 3: I can at least explain it to myself. Last week

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Speaker 3: was really weird when when Kent State was they were

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Speaker 3: playing Miami, they traveled to Miami of Ohio. It got

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Speaker 3: so skewed from what my number was that I was

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Speaker 3: starting to look into the Miami of Ohio roster, like

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Speaker 3: did they have a bunch of injuries that I'm not

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Speaker 3: aware of? Or is something going on here? And I

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Speaker 3: just couldn't. I could not figure out what was going on.

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Speaker 3: But my numbers were screaming at me that Miami of

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Speaker 3: Ohio is gonna win the game outright, and the Sharps

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Speaker 3: pushed that game all the way to Kent State minus

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Speaker 3: six on the road. Well, Miami of Ohio won the

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Speaker 3: game outright. In this one, my numbers like Toledo by

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Speaker 3: double digits. They love Toledo in this game. It looks

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Speaker 3: like the sharp's on again. Like Ken State, I definitely

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Speaker 3: leaned Toledo in that one for sure.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, that's gonna be That's gonna be a fun one.

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Speaker 2: But I'm with you.

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Speaker 1: I'm on Toledo here WKU is laying eight against on

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Speaker 1: the road against Middle Tennessee. But this is another one

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Speaker 1: where it's not just the cash, it's the tickets to both.

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Speaker 1: On the side of WK you very favorably. What do

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Speaker 1: you think about this game? I mean Middle Tennessee is

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Speaker 1: they've shown up. They obviously beat Miami. We talked about

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Speaker 1: this a little bit in our stages that we do

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Speaker 1: before the store feels a little fluky.

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Speaker 2: Hey, look they won the game.

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Speaker 1: Congratulations, But I just don't know if that's very believable.

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Speaker 1: And you made the point many times about, hey, look,

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Speaker 1: this was a terrible match for Miami, and this is

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Speaker 1: you know, if you're going down, you're looking for one

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Speaker 1: team to match up against Miami, it was probably Middle

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Speaker 1: Tennessee and it ended up working for him.

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Speaker 2: So I don't know. I just I trust wk you more.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, that's right. Yeah, And Middle Tennessee we talked about

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Speaker 3: this on on the stages that we did, which you

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Speaker 3: do every Wednesday night. People want to tune in and

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Speaker 3: ask us a question live. Middle Tennessee is a very

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Speaker 3: matchup specific team, right. They recruit small, shifty players because

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Speaker 3: they don't have access to like the elite recruits. They

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Speaker 3: just look for these system fits and they run. They

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Speaker 3: run the air rate. So they have this neot alarmed

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Speaker 3: quarterback who can get the ball out. You hope you

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Speaker 3: can hit the receivers on the hands and then that

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Speaker 3: they can make a guy or to mess and you

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Speaker 3: can maybe manufacture explosive plays in that way. Teams that

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Speaker 3: don't tackle very well in the secondary and don't cover

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Speaker 3: very well that they see separation are the teams that

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Speaker 3: struggle with Middle Tennessee UH team like Miami for instance,

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Speaker 3: and and and then on what you want to do

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Speaker 3: against Middle Tennessee Tennessee, you know, and then and then

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Speaker 3: on the you know, defensive side or whatever, they struggle

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Speaker 3: as well. So with with Western Kentucky that the magic

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Speaker 3: going the other way. Western Kentucky is equip to stop

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Speaker 3: the passing game in a way that Middle Tennessee's defense

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Speaker 3: is not. You can pick on Middle Tennessee secondary, it's

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Speaker 3: not very good. Just that Tyler Van Dyke couldn't do

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Speaker 3: it in that game. Apparently North Carolina secondary is better

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Speaker 3: than than Middle Tennessee's. Western Kentucky secondary. Western Kentucky secondary

299
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Speaker 3: happens to be good. Western Kentucky run defense not quite

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Speaker 3: as good, but their secondary is good and it's deep, right,

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Speaker 3: so they can they can actually contend with the spread offense,

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Speaker 3: as you know, going and press the formation where Middle

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Speaker 3: Tennessee runs out of bodies. So both teams have very

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Speaker 3: very similar offensive strategies, and on the surface, they might

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Speaker 3: look similar, and it might look like sort of similar

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Speaker 3: resumes and stuff like that. So you might be surprised

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Speaker 3: that the road team is laying eight here. But I

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Speaker 3: actually think the Western Kentucky matches up way better, mostly

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Speaker 3: because of the viability of their secondary in this game.

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Speaker 3: If they're able to keep that Middle Tennessee passing game

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Speaker 3: off schedule, I know that they're going to be able

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Speaker 3: to take away the explosive plays Western Kentucky through the

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Speaker 3: year the Middle Tenancy wants to do. I think that

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Speaker 3: they can really hinder what Middle tennanc He wants to

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Speaker 3: do on offense. I would lean Western Kentucky in that game.

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Speaker 2: I'm with you on that one.

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Speaker 1: The next there's four here, I think I have a

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Speaker 1: good lean on maybe one of them. But Wisconsin is

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Speaker 1: a seven and a half point favorite. At Michigan State,

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Speaker 1: the cash is well on their side. Cash also on

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Speaker 1: San Jose State playing eight and a half, Yukon getting

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Speaker 1: nine and a half at Ball State is getting a

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Speaker 1: lot of love. And then Southern missling four and a

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Speaker 1: half at Arkansas State. So these last four here, Thorn,

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Speaker 1: do you have a good lean on Wisconsin, San Jose State,

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Speaker 1: Yukon or Southern Miss.

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Speaker 3: The the Wisconsin Michigan State game, I definitely investigated. Wisconsin

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Speaker 3: was one of my hits last weekend. I was expecting,

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Speaker 3: you know, the dead cap bounce or whatever off of

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Speaker 3: the Paul Chris firing, and we got that. This week.

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Speaker 3: I was, you know, sort of provisionally hoping that I

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Speaker 3: could talk mylf in the Michigan State because at some

333
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Speaker 3: point you expect Michigan State to show just a modicum

334
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Speaker 3: of pride and pick it's up up off the mat.

335
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Speaker 3: And this would be a really good spot to do it,

336
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Speaker 3: because you get this team coming off of what what

337
00:17:13,920 --> 00:17:15,520
Speaker 3: for that you know, it wasn't a good opponent that

338
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Speaker 3: Wisconsin beat last week, but it wasn't an exhilarating win. Nonetheless,

339
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Speaker 3: coming off the week that they had just had, you

340
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Speaker 3: win in Leonard's debut, and now you go on the

341
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Speaker 3: road in what's sort of a sleepy spot because with

342
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Speaker 3: Wiscott Wisconsin certainly, like the rest of us have seen,

343
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Speaker 3: everybody just wiped the floor with Michigan State, any you know,

344
00:17:34,080 --> 00:17:37,159
Speaker 3: decent opponent this year. And so you know, it's like, well, O,

345
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Speaker 3: can I can I justify you know, a bet on

346
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Speaker 3: the idea that Michigan State could ambush them here? It's

347
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Speaker 3: hard to though, It's it's it's it's just really hard.

348
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Speaker 3: Michigan State there. Their worst thing that this was sort

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Speaker 3: of along my lines of thinking of trying to talk

350
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Speaker 3: myself into Michigan State is Michigan State they have this

351
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Speaker 3: absolutely abysmal pass defense. They're their run defense is a

352
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Speaker 3: little bit better, and so you're like, well, you know,

353
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Speaker 3: I mean, like you know, bram Mertz, every time he

354
00:18:06,400 --> 00:18:09,879
Speaker 3: plays a decent pass defense, he stinks, so, like you know,

355
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Speaker 3: and and maybe they can they can somewhat hold down

356
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Speaker 3: Wisconsin's run game, but then like you're starting to stretch

357
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Speaker 3: it already. And I also, I'm not going to back

358
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Speaker 3: Wisconsin in two straight weeks on the road, you know

359
00:18:24,040 --> 00:18:26,200
Speaker 3: what I mean, Like, you know, it's to cover big numbers.

360
00:18:26,440 --> 00:18:29,639
Speaker 3: So for me, that that one's a stay away. The

361
00:18:29,680 --> 00:18:33,280
Speaker 3: next one. San Jose stayed against Fresno State. I forbid

362
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Speaker 3: anyone from listening to this show from betting on Fresno

363
00:18:37,280 --> 00:18:40,960
Speaker 3: until Jayner comes back. That team, that program is a

364
00:18:41,000 --> 00:18:43,680
Speaker 3: mess right now. And it's it's not just Hayter that's hurt.

365
00:18:43,720 --> 00:18:47,240
Speaker 3: They have several key contributors that are hurt. But it

366
00:18:47,320 --> 00:18:49,639
Speaker 3: was like the second that Hainer, you know that he was,

367
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Speaker 3: he was out, like it's they removed.

368
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Speaker 2: All mad stayed also four and one against the spread

369
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Speaker 2: this year.

370
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Speaker 3: Great, Yeah, they've been great. I last week I put

371
00:18:59,320 --> 00:19:01,840
Speaker 3: the thing out about they were San Jose was plus

372
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Speaker 3: six hundred at some books plus six fifty at others

373
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Speaker 3: to win the Mountain West and all they had to

374
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Speaker 3: do was beat UNLV and they basically didn't play any

375
00:19:09,600 --> 00:19:12,960
Speaker 3: tough opponents the rest of the year. They blew out UNLV.

376
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Speaker 3: Now they get fresm of State without Hayner, and then

377
00:19:15,680 --> 00:19:19,600
Speaker 3: their next several opponents all absolutely stink. So San Jose

378
00:19:19,680 --> 00:19:22,080
Speaker 3: State is going to be waltzing at least into the

379
00:19:22,080 --> 00:19:24,760
Speaker 3: conference title game where they're either going to play at

380
00:19:24,760 --> 00:19:28,040
Speaker 3: down Boise State or a down air Force. I shouldn't

381
00:19:28,040 --> 00:19:29,840
Speaker 3: be patting my back about that because it's not relevant

382
00:19:29,840 --> 00:19:33,000
Speaker 3: to anyone else. The odds are different. So for for

383
00:19:33,000 --> 00:19:36,199
Speaker 3: forgive me for the naval gazing right there, but that

384
00:19:36,280 --> 00:19:39,040
Speaker 3: one is San Jose state or pass and you probably

385
00:19:39,080 --> 00:19:41,000
Speaker 3: want before you make a decision, and you probably want

386
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Speaker 3: to monitor just one billion percent confirmed that hater is out.

387
00:19:44,840 --> 00:19:47,240
Speaker 3: It's it's looking like that, but you know whatever you're

388
00:19:47,280 --> 00:19:50,359
Speaker 3: listening to this, just confirm that and then some of

389
00:19:50,400 --> 00:19:53,119
Speaker 3: the other fresm of state. I just check on their status,

390
00:19:53,359 --> 00:19:56,560
Speaker 3: but I either way, I you know, again, until Hayter

391
00:19:56,600 --> 00:20:01,600
Speaker 3: comes back, not betting on them. The you on ball state, Uh,

392
00:20:02,200 --> 00:20:05,440
Speaker 3: that's one that I'm probably not gonna end up touching.

393
00:20:05,760 --> 00:20:09,320
Speaker 3: Yukon has been able to take advantage of some circumstances

394
00:20:09,400 --> 00:20:12,280
Speaker 3: and getting to I think they're three and four now,

395
00:20:12,960 --> 00:20:16,919
Speaker 3: and circumstances might get them to five and seven where

396
00:20:17,040 --> 00:20:20,440
Speaker 3: they really just need to upset one team to become

397
00:20:20,480 --> 00:20:22,880
Speaker 3: ball eligible, which is hilarious. This could be the game,

398
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Speaker 3: like if I mean if they do, because they're gonna

399
00:20:25,560 --> 00:20:27,439
Speaker 3: play two other games this year where I believe that

400
00:20:27,560 --> 00:20:30,080
Speaker 3: they're gonna be either favored or else. It's going to

401
00:20:30,160 --> 00:20:33,080
Speaker 3: be very very close. But I'm not sure that this

402
00:20:33,119 --> 00:20:35,080
Speaker 3: is the matchup for them. One thing to keep in

403
00:20:35,119 --> 00:20:38,000
Speaker 3: mind about Yukon, even though they've caught it right two

404
00:20:38,000 --> 00:20:40,680
Speaker 3: weeks speaking of Presno State, two weeks ago, they caught

405
00:20:40,680 --> 00:20:42,800
Speaker 3: Presno State the first game that hater was out, So

406
00:20:42,960 --> 00:20:45,600
Speaker 3: I mean, congratulations. At that point, you're basically playing an

407
00:20:45,600 --> 00:20:48,159
Speaker 3: FTS team. And then last week they was was at

408
00:20:48,240 --> 00:20:51,760
Speaker 3: FIU that they that they, yeah, our our our favorite

409
00:20:51,880 --> 00:20:54,760
Speaker 3: FIU team. Ball State is certainly a better team and

410
00:20:54,800 --> 00:20:56,360
Speaker 3: now Yukon has to go on the road. The other

411
00:20:56,400 --> 00:20:59,200
Speaker 3: thing I'll say about Yukon is they have a whole

412
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Speaker 3: bunch of injuries themselves, you know they. I mean, they

413
00:21:01,880 --> 00:21:04,200
Speaker 3: start off the season by losing their own starting quarterback

414
00:21:04,920 --> 00:21:06,760
Speaker 3: and then they lost a whole bunch of other guys.

415
00:21:06,800 --> 00:21:10,400
Speaker 3: The running back room is particularly bad. They a couple

416
00:21:10,400 --> 00:21:13,040
Speaker 3: of weeks ago it was so bad with injuries. Jim

417
00:21:13,040 --> 00:21:15,960
Speaker 3: Mora actually was batting around the idea of shifting a

418
00:21:16,040 --> 00:21:18,480
Speaker 3: three hundred pounder to running back. This kid who had

419
00:21:18,520 --> 00:21:19,320
Speaker 3: played running back.

420
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Speaker 1: I remember his bolts were like, ay, he looks he

421
00:21:22,640 --> 00:21:25,200
Speaker 1: looks nimble out there. Yeah he can break a tackle

422
00:21:25,359 --> 00:21:28,800
Speaker 1: like he was legit thinking about it. I like, I

423
00:21:28,840 --> 00:21:30,920
Speaker 1: think a little of that was tongue in cheek, but

424
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Speaker 1: I don't he gets that bad who I don't know

425
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Speaker 1: if it was.

426
00:21:33,160 --> 00:21:34,439
Speaker 3: I don't know if it was because they had like

427
00:21:34,440 --> 00:21:37,000
Speaker 3: four running back injuries at the time. And I'll tell

428
00:21:37,000 --> 00:21:39,240
Speaker 3: you what, bug maan, I will never ever root for

429
00:21:39,320 --> 00:21:42,159
Speaker 3: a kid to get injured. But knowing that Yukon was

430
00:21:42,160 --> 00:21:44,639
Speaker 3: probably one running back injury away from shifting to three

431
00:21:44,720 --> 00:21:47,879
Speaker 3: hundred pounder back there, the way that I'll put it is,

432
00:21:47,920 --> 00:21:49,639
Speaker 3: I wouldn't have been sad if that had happened.

433
00:21:49,760 --> 00:21:52,159
Speaker 2: Like if he just he get cramps, you know, he

434
00:21:52,240 --> 00:21:55,080
Speaker 2: cramps up or something, you know, not the major. Let's

435
00:21:55,119 --> 00:21:56,760
Speaker 2: just be the big guy. That's very short.

436
00:21:57,040 --> 00:21:58,640
Speaker 3: Just one game. I wanted to see that that three

437
00:21:58,680 --> 00:22:03,160
Speaker 3: hundred pounder rumbled for Jimmy Mora junior. But but that game,

438
00:22:03,200 --> 00:22:05,160
Speaker 3: for me, I don't think I can back you con

439
00:22:05,240 --> 00:22:07,080
Speaker 3: in that spot. You know, I mean, coming off that

440
00:22:07,160 --> 00:22:09,960
Speaker 3: the two wins, they're clearly playing. I mean, I'm not

441
00:22:09,960 --> 00:22:12,080
Speaker 3: gonna say a pup their head because they the opponents

442
00:22:12,080 --> 00:22:14,840
Speaker 3: were what they were, but the injuries, et cetera. So

443
00:22:15,240 --> 00:22:18,480
Speaker 3: for me, that that that's a stayaway. And then the

444
00:22:18,480 --> 00:22:22,119
Speaker 3: the Southern miss Arkansas State game for me the angle

445
00:22:22,200 --> 00:22:25,240
Speaker 3: on that. It's not the side, it's the under and

446
00:22:25,320 --> 00:22:29,520
Speaker 3: the reason for that is both the defenses are extremely

447
00:22:29,640 --> 00:22:35,359
Speaker 3: active in terms of piling up TfL sacks, uh, tip balls, interceptions,

448
00:22:35,359 --> 00:22:38,280
Speaker 3: that that sort of stuff, and the offensive lines are

449
00:22:38,320 --> 00:22:41,800
Speaker 3: not very cud Southern miss you know, and a part

450
00:22:41,800 --> 00:22:43,520
Speaker 3: of it too playing into it. Southern miss have been

451
00:22:43,560 --> 00:22:46,520
Speaker 3: playing this this freshman quarterback because they had an injury

452
00:22:46,560 --> 00:22:50,160
Speaker 3: before and then the coaching staff early on, uh will

453
00:22:50,160 --> 00:22:52,560
Speaker 3: it key or whatever the Zach WILLI WILLI key or

454
00:22:52,720 --> 00:22:55,760
Speaker 3: something like that. They they essentially just decided to hitch

455
00:22:55,760 --> 00:22:59,120
Speaker 3: their wagons to him regardless because I think they view

456
00:22:59,160 --> 00:23:01,640
Speaker 3: him as the future of the So they're gonna take

457
00:23:01,680 --> 00:23:03,800
Speaker 3: their lumps with that kid however it goes this year.

458
00:23:04,440 --> 00:23:06,159
Speaker 3: But like you have him playing behind what's not a

459
00:23:06,240 --> 00:23:10,200
Speaker 3: very good offensive line. But the Southern Missus offense hasn't

460
00:23:10,240 --> 00:23:12,639
Speaker 3: been that good this year, but Southern Missus defense is

461
00:23:12,920 --> 00:23:15,840
Speaker 3: and it's a havoc creating defense. It gets after the quarterback.

462
00:23:16,080 --> 00:23:17,600
Speaker 3: Like I said, it's ball hawking as well.

463
00:23:17,760 --> 00:23:20,680
Speaker 2: They have mass Tyler van Dyke, you know another team. Yeah,

464
00:23:20,880 --> 00:23:21,320
Speaker 2: they didn't.

465
00:23:21,359 --> 00:23:23,240
Speaker 1: They didn't put up a great fight in that game.

466
00:23:23,280 --> 00:23:26,199
Speaker 1: They couldn't score on offense, as you mentioned, but they

467
00:23:26,240 --> 00:23:27,800
Speaker 1: made it interesting for a half.

468
00:23:27,920 --> 00:23:28,320
Speaker 2: For sure.

469
00:23:28,680 --> 00:23:30,400
Speaker 3: There's a lot of sports betters out there that would

470
00:23:30,400 --> 00:23:35,840
Speaker 3: love to harass Tyler Vandyke. Yes the burn tickets. Although

471
00:23:36,000 --> 00:23:39,120
Speaker 3: I can't criticize mister Van Dyke because I actually needed

472
00:23:39,160 --> 00:23:41,520
Speaker 3: to start him in my fifty team college fantasy football

473
00:23:42,000 --> 00:23:44,760
Speaker 3: league last week because because I have Bryce Young and

474
00:23:44,800 --> 00:23:46,919
Speaker 3: he got injured and then I didn't know, you know,

475
00:23:46,920 --> 00:23:48,720
Speaker 3: like leading up to kick off, Nick Saban was doing

476
00:23:48,880 --> 00:23:51,640
Speaker 3: all the things, and Van Dyke is my only other quarterback,

477
00:23:51,720 --> 00:23:53,919
Speaker 3: so I rolled the dice and wasn't really rolling the

478
00:23:53,920 --> 00:23:56,200
Speaker 3: dice because he gets to play North Carolina, who gives

479
00:23:56,280 --> 00:23:58,800
Speaker 3: up a billion yards to everybody. But anyway, shout out

480
00:23:58,800 --> 00:24:02,000
Speaker 3: to Tyler Vandyke for me the Southern miss Arkansas, I

481
00:24:02,000 --> 00:24:04,720
Speaker 3: say I'm going under for that reason. Neither of those

482
00:24:04,760 --> 00:24:07,879
Speaker 3: teams can keep opposing defensive lines out of the backfield,

483
00:24:09,000 --> 00:24:11,840
Speaker 3: So I mean there's gonna be a ridiculous amount of sacks,

484
00:24:11,840 --> 00:24:15,080
Speaker 3: a ridiculous amount of TfL both the offense. They're gonna

485
00:24:15,080 --> 00:24:17,680
Speaker 3: have a really hard time getting going. They're they're gonna

486
00:24:17,720 --> 00:24:20,520
Speaker 3: find themselves in a lot of like second and sixteens

487
00:24:20,560 --> 00:24:22,840
Speaker 3: and stuff like that. The under has a really good

488
00:24:22,840 --> 00:24:26,800
Speaker 3: shot of getting there unless we have multiple pick sixes

489
00:24:26,960 --> 00:24:30,160
Speaker 3: and or fumble returns, which you know, I'm just gonna

490
00:24:30,240 --> 00:24:32,520
Speaker 3: knock on wood right now, because with the way that

491
00:24:32,560 --> 00:24:34,560
Speaker 3: the offensive play against the way that the defense played,

492
00:24:34,760 --> 00:24:37,560
Speaker 3: you know, it certainly is a possibility. But barring stuff

493
00:24:37,600 --> 00:24:39,399
Speaker 3: like that, I would I would like the under that

494
00:24:39,440 --> 00:24:40,920
Speaker 3: and my system does too as well.

495
00:24:41,040 --> 00:24:43,240
Speaker 1: I should say, all right, let's go to the big

496
00:24:43,359 --> 00:24:46,879
Speaker 1: five top games of the week. And this was kind

497
00:24:46,920 --> 00:24:51,200
Speaker 1: of hard to narrow down, but top two are extremely obvious.

498
00:24:51,240 --> 00:24:54,680
Speaker 1: Probably the top three are extremely obvious. But number three Alabama,

499
00:24:54,720 --> 00:24:59,240
Speaker 1: who did slip are? They are hosting number six Tennessee.

500
00:24:59,680 --> 00:25:02,119
Speaker 1: The line here is seven and a half for Alabama,

501
00:25:02,400 --> 00:25:06,800
Speaker 1: the total is sixty five. And look, obviously, as you

502
00:25:06,880 --> 00:25:09,600
Speaker 1: mentioned before, the health of Bryce Young is at the

503
00:25:09,600 --> 00:25:13,000
Speaker 1: forefront of where we're going in this game. So how

504
00:25:13,040 --> 00:25:15,880
Speaker 1: do you see this playing with or without Bryce Young?

505
00:25:16,880 --> 00:25:21,199
Speaker 3: Yeah, Bray's young thing is enormous. I mean, it's it's

506
00:25:21,240 --> 00:25:24,280
Speaker 3: for multiple It's not just like Brayce Young in a

507
00:25:24,359 --> 00:25:27,479
Speaker 3: vacuum worth probably about ten to eleven points on the spread,

508
00:25:27,640 --> 00:25:30,080
Speaker 3: just in and of itself, and in my line on

509
00:25:30,119 --> 00:25:33,399
Speaker 3: this game, if it's a fully healthy Bryce fully healthy,

510
00:25:33,400 --> 00:25:36,240
Speaker 3: If fully healthy Bryce Young was playing, I would have

511
00:25:36,280 --> 00:25:38,600
Speaker 3: Alabama minus eight and a half. But even if Bryce

512
00:25:38,640 --> 00:25:40,679
Speaker 3: Young is playing, he's not going to be fully healthy

513
00:25:40,960 --> 00:25:44,160
Speaker 3: and he definitely might not play. And if he doesn't play,

514
00:25:44,440 --> 00:25:46,879
Speaker 3: and if Tennessee gets back Cedar Tillman, which is the

515
00:25:46,880 --> 00:25:49,200
Speaker 3: way that it's looking now, Tennessee's wide receiver number one,

516
00:25:49,359 --> 00:25:51,960
Speaker 3: if Young's not playing but Tillman is, I would I

517
00:25:51,960 --> 00:25:54,560
Speaker 3: would actually favor Tennessee in this game. And the Bugs

518
00:25:54,560 --> 00:25:57,800
Speaker 3: aren't going to but me personally, I would favor them.

519
00:25:58,040 --> 00:26:00,160
Speaker 3: But we don't again, we don't at this time. We're

520
00:26:00,160 --> 00:26:02,439
Speaker 3: recording on Wednesday night. We don't know Bryce young status

521
00:26:02,520 --> 00:26:06,399
Speaker 3: quite yet. But if if Bryce Young doesn't play, it

522
00:26:06,840 --> 00:26:11,879
Speaker 3: not only is you're losing the in a vacuum qualitative value,

523
00:26:12,440 --> 00:26:17,000
Speaker 3: it also enormously plays into the hands of Tennessee's defense

524
00:26:17,359 --> 00:26:21,040
Speaker 3: because mill Row he's a row passer, but he's a really,

525
00:26:21,080 --> 00:26:25,440
Speaker 3: really good runner. The Tennessee defense is awesome defending the run.

526
00:26:25,840 --> 00:26:28,679
Speaker 3: Where it really struggles is against the pass. And so

527
00:26:28,880 --> 00:26:31,280
Speaker 3: if I mean, if Saban could get Bryce Young out

528
00:26:31,280 --> 00:26:34,359
Speaker 3: there by hooker by Kruck. I think he's going to

529
00:26:34,440 --> 00:26:37,720
Speaker 3: try to do it, but we'll see if that's even possible.

530
00:26:37,720 --> 00:26:40,639
Speaker 3: Because Bryce Young has is a straight AC joint of

531
00:26:40,680 --> 00:26:43,760
Speaker 3: his throwing shoulder. Quinn Yours missed what was it three

532
00:26:43,840 --> 00:26:47,160
Speaker 3: weeks with the AC sprain of his non throwing shoulder

533
00:26:47,359 --> 00:26:50,840
Speaker 3: right right, Like, I mean, people can be optimistic, and

534
00:26:50,880 --> 00:26:53,439
Speaker 3: certainly Alabama's gonna tell us like, oh yeah, Bryce, you know,

535
00:26:53,560 --> 00:26:56,800
Speaker 3: like sure seven days after he got the injury, you know,

536
00:26:56,840 --> 00:26:59,399
Speaker 3: leading up to the Alabama game on on the PA system, Oh,

537
00:26:59,480 --> 00:27:02,679
Speaker 3: Bryce Young starting for us, And I'm like, okay, like

538
00:27:02,720 --> 00:27:07,080
Speaker 3: that would be a medical miracle. But okay, this game,

539
00:27:07,119 --> 00:27:10,520
Speaker 3: we'll see, you know. I mean, there are certainly shots

540
00:27:10,560 --> 00:27:13,720
Speaker 3: that you can give, you know that uh Drew Brees

541
00:27:13,800 --> 00:27:16,320
Speaker 3: was talking about that, that you can try to try

542
00:27:16,359 --> 00:27:18,080
Speaker 3: to help the kid get out there. But I mean,

543
00:27:19,040 --> 00:27:21,359
Speaker 3: especially with it being the throwing show, that this is

544
00:27:21,480 --> 00:27:24,800
Speaker 3: very early on the on the timeline, and so if

545
00:27:24,840 --> 00:27:27,720
Speaker 3: you you know, even having a depreciated Bryce Young, you

546
00:27:27,800 --> 00:27:31,959
Speaker 3: are less viable in attacking Tennessee's greatest weakness. The other thing,

547
00:27:32,000 --> 00:27:35,160
Speaker 3: of course, Alabama's offensive line is down. Alabama's receiving course

548
00:27:35,320 --> 00:27:38,080
Speaker 3: way down So if you have like a you know,

549
00:27:38,200 --> 00:27:42,040
Speaker 3: eighty three percent Bryce young, are they gonna be able

550
00:27:42,040 --> 00:27:44,280
Speaker 3: to take advantage of Tennessee's weakness to the you know,

551
00:27:44,359 --> 00:27:47,280
Speaker 3: the other otherwise degree that you would. We'll see about that.

552
00:27:47,920 --> 00:27:50,119
Speaker 3: And then Tennessee's offense, I know they're gonna move the

553
00:27:50,119 --> 00:27:52,200
Speaker 3: ball in Alabama's defense. They're gonna move the ball on

554
00:27:52,320 --> 00:27:55,520
Speaker 3: any defense they play all season, I mean, regardless of

555
00:27:55,520 --> 00:27:57,960
Speaker 3: whether Tillman plays or not. But if Tilman comes back,

556
00:27:58,280 --> 00:28:01,439
Speaker 3: they're gonna be even nastier. Tennessee is top ten in

557
00:28:01,480 --> 00:28:05,560
Speaker 3: the nation in both rushing rushing success rate and passing

558
00:28:05,600 --> 00:28:07,840
Speaker 3: success rate. I also happen to think that they are

559
00:28:07,880 --> 00:28:09,520
Speaker 3: the players are being called by the best play coller

560
00:28:09,560 --> 00:28:12,320
Speaker 3: in college football, Josh Hipel, a guy who was criminally

561
00:28:12,400 --> 00:28:15,800
Speaker 3: underrated his entire career now is finally starting to get

562
00:28:15,800 --> 00:28:18,320
Speaker 3: his due respect. I don't think he's gonna quite get

563
00:28:18,320 --> 00:28:21,720
Speaker 3: it in lesser until he you know, wins this game

564
00:28:21,760 --> 00:28:24,520
Speaker 3: and you know, goes on and has a great season

565
00:28:24,520 --> 00:28:27,000
Speaker 3: this year. Might finally start to get his due, but

566
00:28:27,160 --> 00:28:30,800
Speaker 3: it's been just criminally underrated throughout his career. They can

567
00:28:30,840 --> 00:28:34,000
Speaker 3: be multiple and they're always calling the correct play, so

568
00:28:34,040 --> 00:28:36,200
Speaker 3: it's like it's like a pitcher who has like four

569
00:28:36,280 --> 00:28:40,440
Speaker 3: elite pitches and has awesome control and the sequencing of

570
00:28:40,480 --> 00:28:43,240
Speaker 3: his pitches are impeccable, so you have absolutely no idea

571
00:28:43,280 --> 00:28:45,480
Speaker 3: what's coming. It's always filthy and he can put it

572
00:28:45,480 --> 00:28:48,680
Speaker 3: wherever he wants. That's Tennessee's offense. And now they're getting

573
00:28:48,720 --> 00:28:51,080
Speaker 3: their wide receiver one back. And meanwhile, by the way

574
00:28:51,720 --> 00:28:55,000
Speaker 3: Tillman missed the last couple of weeks, they won those games,

575
00:28:55,040 --> 00:28:57,800
Speaker 3: which is great, but also it gave the opportunity for

576
00:28:57,800 --> 00:29:01,160
Speaker 3: Bru McCoy, former five star balllet, number one receiver in

577
00:29:01,200 --> 00:29:03,800
Speaker 3: his class, to step up into the wide receiver one role.

578
00:29:04,000 --> 00:29:06,800
Speaker 3: And he finally started to show the brow McCoy that

579
00:29:06,840 --> 00:29:09,960
Speaker 3: we were promised by the recruiting analysts. Both games he

580
00:29:10,000 --> 00:29:13,000
Speaker 3: went over one hundred yards, looked like a beast. If

581
00:29:13,040 --> 00:29:15,240
Speaker 3: we get that Broo McCoy next to one hundred percent

582
00:29:15,320 --> 00:29:17,880
Speaker 3: set or Tillman and the hen and Hooker that now

583
00:29:18,360 --> 00:29:21,160
Speaker 3: I mean like people high respect greatly in this, Like

584
00:29:21,600 --> 00:29:25,000
Speaker 3: Jordan Reed, we're talking about Hennon Hooker as you know,

585
00:29:25,040 --> 00:29:27,760
Speaker 3: a Day two type pick or a top fifty sixty

586
00:29:27,960 --> 00:29:31,080
Speaker 3: type pick kind of guy. You get all that stuff

587
00:29:31,080 --> 00:29:35,720
Speaker 3: going again, very very scary for Tennessee. So you know,

588
00:29:35,760 --> 00:29:38,360
Speaker 3: as far as where this spread is, where we're talking

589
00:29:38,440 --> 00:29:42,000
Speaker 3: right now, this moment in time, there's the we don't

590
00:29:42,000 --> 00:29:44,480
Speaker 3: know yet exactly what the status is with Young and

591
00:29:44,760 --> 00:29:47,040
Speaker 3: with Tillman, but I'm taking the seven and a half

592
00:29:47,120 --> 00:29:51,520
Speaker 3: points for sure. If Bryce Young plays, I still like

593
00:29:51,640 --> 00:29:53,840
Speaker 3: Tennessee plus the seven and a half. I'll be way

594
00:29:53,920 --> 00:29:57,080
Speaker 3: less confident because I don't know exactly the percentage that

595
00:29:57,120 --> 00:30:00,200
Speaker 3: Bryce Young will be. But if Bryce Young doesn't play,

596
00:30:00,680 --> 00:30:02,760
Speaker 3: it is this is a smash of This is a

597
00:30:02,800 --> 00:30:06,280
Speaker 3: smash Tennessee spot because Alabama categorically will not be able

598
00:30:06,280 --> 00:30:09,840
Speaker 3: to take advantage of Tennessee's defensive weakness, and they will

599
00:30:09,880 --> 00:30:12,600
Speaker 3: be They will only have the recourse to go into

600
00:30:12,840 --> 00:30:15,600
Speaker 3: Tennessee defensive strength, which you're gonna be a problem for him.

601
00:30:16,280 --> 00:30:19,080
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean it's gonna be a fun one, that's

602
00:30:19,080 --> 00:30:22,880
Speaker 1: for sure. But Alabama does you know I keep saying

603
00:30:22,920 --> 00:30:25,120
Speaker 1: this and people take it the wrong way. This is

604
00:30:25,160 --> 00:30:28,360
Speaker 1: the most beatable Bama team that we've seen for a while.

605
00:30:28,880 --> 00:30:31,479
Speaker 1: Doesn't mean that they're actually gonna get beat but they

606
00:30:31,520 --> 00:30:34,200
Speaker 1: are Beata bull I think the last couple of years

607
00:30:34,640 --> 00:30:37,560
Speaker 1: they just were not in that category of a very

608
00:30:37,600 --> 00:30:41,480
Speaker 1: beatable team, unless you know, Georgia could beat them. You know,

609
00:30:41,520 --> 00:30:44,240
Speaker 1: maybe a top two team could have beat them. But

610
00:30:45,520 --> 00:30:47,880
Speaker 1: they're gettable this year, more gettable than they have been

611
00:30:47,920 --> 00:30:50,400
Speaker 1: in the past. Number five Michigan is six and a

612
00:30:50,440 --> 00:30:53,480
Speaker 1: half point home favorites against number ten Penn State. Fifty

613
00:30:53,480 --> 00:30:55,400
Speaker 1: one and a half is the over in this game,

614
00:30:55,440 --> 00:30:56,800
Speaker 1: thor you have a good lean one way or the

615
00:30:56,800 --> 00:30:57,960
Speaker 1: other on Michigan Penn State.

616
00:30:58,520 --> 00:31:01,880
Speaker 3: I lean Michigan. There's a lot of smart people out

617
00:31:01,880 --> 00:31:05,640
Speaker 3: there that are very clearly leaning Penn State because that

618
00:31:05,680 --> 00:31:09,080
Speaker 3: line was sticking right at seven and then it now

619
00:31:09,120 --> 00:31:12,840
Speaker 3: it's toggled down apparently to six and a half. That's fine.

620
00:31:13,240 --> 00:31:15,360
Speaker 3: I'm gonna make Penn State prove me wrong, and if

621
00:31:15,400 --> 00:31:17,640
Speaker 3: they do, great, the books can have my money. But

622
00:31:18,560 --> 00:31:21,840
Speaker 3: I haven't seen much from Penn State to like, you know,

623
00:31:22,000 --> 00:31:24,960
Speaker 3: crazy change my opinion from recent years that the running

624
00:31:25,000 --> 00:31:27,880
Speaker 3: game is, you know, marginally better, The evansive line is

625
00:31:27,880 --> 00:31:31,120
Speaker 3: marginally better, but like the whole thing of it, like,

626
00:31:31,440 --> 00:31:33,880
Speaker 3: it's not like this team is like raised several levels.

627
00:31:34,120 --> 00:31:36,160
Speaker 3: To me, it still feels like it's in the same filum.

628
00:31:36,400 --> 00:31:38,560
Speaker 3: You still have the quarterback that strugg I mean not

629
00:31:38,640 --> 00:31:41,320
Speaker 3: that he struggles to throw down field. He categorically can't.

630
00:31:41,320 --> 00:31:43,480
Speaker 3: He has a wet noodle alarm that this scrambler and

631
00:31:43,960 --> 00:31:46,480
Speaker 3: Sean Clifford and they don't have dots in anymore. You

632
00:31:46,480 --> 00:31:49,120
Speaker 3: don't have like the singular receiving talent anymore. So the

633
00:31:49,200 --> 00:31:51,080
Speaker 3: receipt the running game has gotten a bit better. I

634
00:31:51,120 --> 00:31:53,000
Speaker 3: think the passing game is a little bit down. You're

635
00:31:53,040 --> 00:31:55,680
Speaker 3: still sort of around the same spot. I don't think

636
00:31:55,720 --> 00:31:58,240
Speaker 3: the Michigan's defense is going to have any problem with that.

637
00:31:58,680 --> 00:32:02,960
Speaker 3: And meanwhile, the Michigan I'm more like, if I'm an opponent,

638
00:32:03,000 --> 00:32:06,160
Speaker 3: I'm more afraid of that offense now than even last

639
00:32:06,200 --> 00:32:08,240
Speaker 3: year when you know, when they were a really really

640
00:32:08,240 --> 00:32:11,479
Speaker 3: good team, guys. Whereas that team at Cad macnamara that

641
00:32:11,720 --> 00:32:14,360
Speaker 3: who you know, you know, shouldn't have been starting for

642
00:32:14,360 --> 00:32:17,520
Speaker 3: a playoff contender. Now you have a legitimate quarterback that

643
00:32:17,560 --> 00:32:19,800
Speaker 3: scares people on JJ McCarthy. You can hurt people through

644
00:32:19,800 --> 00:32:22,840
Speaker 3: the air end with his legs. I you know, again

645
00:32:22,920 --> 00:32:25,800
Speaker 3: dominant defense for Michigan, that the offense can do more things.

646
00:32:25,920 --> 00:32:29,160
Speaker 3: Playcorms running really well. I'll lay the seven points here

647
00:32:29,200 --> 00:32:32,120
Speaker 3: and if I'm wrong, I'm wrong. You know. It's this.

648
00:32:32,440 --> 00:32:35,360
Speaker 3: The hard thing about the handycap is we haven't seen

649
00:32:35,400 --> 00:32:37,680
Speaker 3: either of these two teams really play anyone yet. So

650
00:32:38,480 --> 00:32:39,840
Speaker 3: that's the part of it where you sort of have

651
00:32:39,920 --> 00:32:42,040
Speaker 3: to step out into the unknown and you have to

652
00:32:42,080 --> 00:32:45,000
Speaker 3: trust your conviction of what you've seen against these teams

653
00:32:45,000 --> 00:32:47,680
Speaker 3: playing like lesser opponents. But my conviction would be on

654
00:32:47,720 --> 00:32:48,440
Speaker 3: the Michigan side.

655
00:32:48,800 --> 00:32:50,440
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm with you on that too. I want to

656
00:32:50,480 --> 00:32:54,120
Speaker 1: take Michigan. And you know I told you this before.

657
00:32:54,200 --> 00:32:56,080
Speaker 1: I think I end up with another seven and three

658
00:32:56,080 --> 00:32:59,160
Speaker 1: week of Mike Cart. You know, Mike Cart obviously went

659
00:32:59,200 --> 00:33:01,480
Speaker 1: down with a seizure early in that game from Michigan,

660
00:33:01,480 --> 00:33:04,400
Speaker 1: and you could just see the kids reacting towards it,

661
00:33:04,440 --> 00:33:07,840
Speaker 1: and they were upset. They got they started rolling. The

662
00:33:07,880 --> 00:33:10,800
Speaker 1: second half I think of that game is two minutes longer.

663
00:33:11,120 --> 00:33:13,760
Speaker 1: I probably get not only the Michigan cover, but the

664
00:33:13,800 --> 00:33:17,840
Speaker 1: other the over, but also on the old Miss side.

665
00:33:17,920 --> 00:33:20,360
Speaker 1: We were talking about this in the stream too. I

666
00:33:20,440 --> 00:33:22,360
Speaker 1: barely got just because Ole Miss wanted to go for

667
00:33:22,440 --> 00:33:24,400
Speaker 1: more points at the end. The only reason I got

668
00:33:24,400 --> 00:33:26,760
Speaker 1: them laying the points last week too. So hey, look,

669
00:33:27,000 --> 00:33:29,360
Speaker 1: you know you get these by inches, you don't get

670
00:33:29,440 --> 00:33:30,080
Speaker 1: them by inches.

671
00:33:30,160 --> 00:33:32,240
Speaker 2: It's just the way it is when you're gambling. That's all.

672
00:33:32,280 --> 00:33:34,080
Speaker 3: Well, Bogman, you know what they said in the Mighty

673
00:33:34,200 --> 00:33:36,120
Speaker 3: Ducks if it had gone half an inch the other way,

674
00:33:36,240 --> 00:33:38,040
Speaker 3: Charlie right, question.

675
00:33:38,320 --> 00:33:40,720
Speaker 2: Never even thought of it that way, right? I remember

676
00:33:40,760 --> 00:33:44,360
Speaker 2: that line number thirteen TCU four point favorites at home

677
00:33:44,360 --> 00:33:48,840
Speaker 2: against number eight Okay State. This total is sixty eight

678
00:33:48,920 --> 00:33:49,600
Speaker 2: and a half.

679
00:33:49,840 --> 00:33:54,000
Speaker 1: We obviously saw TCU's offense come alive last week against Kansas.

680
00:33:54,480 --> 00:33:57,080
Speaker 1: Oklahoma State has been great all year with Spencer Sanders.

681
00:33:57,160 --> 00:33:58,320
Speaker 1: Do you have a good lean one way or the

682
00:33:58,360 --> 00:34:00,240
Speaker 1: other in this Big twelve matchup? Yeah?

683
00:34:00,240 --> 00:34:02,880
Speaker 3: I actually did. I leaned TCU. I actually did not

684
00:34:02,960 --> 00:34:05,360
Speaker 3: know that that number it tackled up to four. When

685
00:34:05,360 --> 00:34:07,240
Speaker 3: I was looking into this earlier in the afternoon, it

686
00:34:07,320 --> 00:34:10,920
Speaker 3: was three and a half. I don't disagree with the

687
00:34:10,960 --> 00:34:14,800
Speaker 3: line movement. I think TCU matches up pretty.

688
00:34:14,600 --> 00:34:18,280
Speaker 2: Much betting pros. Just so you know, it's four everywhere now.

689
00:34:18,160 --> 00:34:21,719
Speaker 1: Like, Yeah, I don't disagree with that half was the

690
00:34:21,760 --> 00:34:24,560
Speaker 1: only you can only get that one from Michigan minus

691
00:34:24,560 --> 00:34:25,799
Speaker 1: six and a half on fan duel.

692
00:34:26,000 --> 00:34:28,640
Speaker 2: But it looks like four everywhere here according to betting pros.

693
00:34:28,920 --> 00:34:32,600
Speaker 3: Okay, yeah, yeah, the TCU, I think, well, I just

694
00:34:32,640 --> 00:34:36,520
Speaker 3: think they're the objectively better team. And some of Oklahoma

695
00:34:36,560 --> 00:34:38,719
Speaker 3: State's stuff this year they've done is a little bit

696
00:34:38,760 --> 00:34:42,640
Speaker 3: fools goldie to me, whereas everything that TCU is doing

697
00:34:42,760 --> 00:34:46,279
Speaker 3: to me feels legitimate. And I think that Oklahoma State

698
00:34:46,360 --> 00:34:48,480
Speaker 3: is going to have problems defending some of this stuff

699
00:34:48,760 --> 00:34:52,000
Speaker 3: that TCU does. TCU can be multiple in a way

700
00:34:52,000 --> 00:34:56,520
Speaker 3: that Oklahoma State can't. And Oklahoma State's defense that's the

701
00:34:56,520 --> 00:34:58,799
Speaker 3: problem for them this year is last year they had

702
00:34:58,800 --> 00:35:01,680
Speaker 3: the dominant defense. The defense is falling way off because

703
00:35:01,680 --> 00:35:03,439
Speaker 3: they lost all those guys to the NFL. They lost

704
00:35:03,480 --> 00:35:06,360
Speaker 3: Gym Knowles, et cetera, and and and to their credit

705
00:35:06,480 --> 00:35:09,239
Speaker 3: to this point, and they've defied my expectations. I didn't

706
00:35:09,239 --> 00:35:11,239
Speaker 3: think Oklahoma State would be nearly as good. So so

707
00:35:11,560 --> 00:35:14,360
Speaker 3: you know that's on you know, me a callup on

708
00:35:14,440 --> 00:35:16,680
Speaker 3: that one to the Oklahoma State folks. The offense has

709
00:35:16,680 --> 00:35:18,839
Speaker 3: gotten a little bit there, it's gotten better to to

710
00:35:18,880 --> 00:35:21,440
Speaker 3: sort of mitigate some of that, but the the defense

711
00:35:21,560 --> 00:35:24,560
Speaker 3: is down and it gives up explosive plays. I think

712
00:35:24,640 --> 00:35:27,520
Speaker 3: TCU is going to generate several of those in this game.

713
00:35:27,880 --> 00:35:30,480
Speaker 3: And I think if if that is indeed the case,

714
00:35:30,840 --> 00:35:33,520
Speaker 3: it's going to be very very hard for an offense

715
00:35:33,560 --> 00:35:38,440
Speaker 3: that where the majority of the usage is being centered

716
00:35:38,480 --> 00:35:42,520
Speaker 3: on Spencer Sanders. For an offense like that to keep

717
00:35:42,560 --> 00:35:45,320
Speaker 3: pace right like in a game that becomes a shootout.

718
00:35:45,680 --> 00:35:48,480
Speaker 3: I think that is the nightmare scenario for Mike Gundy

719
00:35:48,640 --> 00:35:51,080
Speaker 3: and Oklahoma State. You have to have Spencer Sanders put

720
00:35:51,120 --> 00:35:55,239
Speaker 3: on the heroka. That's when Spencer Sanders turns into the

721
00:35:55,600 --> 00:35:57,640
Speaker 3: what did I call him? And a pa like the fembot.

722
00:35:57,680 --> 00:36:00,520
Speaker 3: Spencer Sanders were like, it's that starts going and you know,

723
00:36:00,560 --> 00:36:02,319
Speaker 3: like the smoke starts coming out of his ear and

724
00:36:02,320 --> 00:36:05,600
Speaker 3: that's where you see the three interception game when Oklahoma

725
00:36:05,600 --> 00:36:08,439
Speaker 3: State's ahead, and you know it's it's you know, all

726
00:36:08,440 --> 00:36:12,080
Speaker 3: within their their volition and they can control things. That's

727
00:36:12,160 --> 00:36:14,440
Speaker 3: when he plays well. But yeah, when when the looks

728
00:36:14,480 --> 00:36:16,719
Speaker 3: get different, and when when you got to press him

729
00:36:16,719 --> 00:36:19,200
Speaker 3: and you're pushing the tempo and yadaya, you're trying to

730
00:36:19,200 --> 00:36:20,960
Speaker 3: come from behind, you got to push the ball down

731
00:36:21,000 --> 00:36:23,680
Speaker 3: field more, you become more predictable. That's when he starts

732
00:36:23,719 --> 00:36:26,560
Speaker 3: making the mistakes. So this is a game that could

733
00:36:26,640 --> 00:36:29,200
Speaker 3: get away from them, and if it does, it wouldn't

734
00:36:29,200 --> 00:36:31,200
Speaker 3: surprise me. If TCU and wins by double.

735
00:36:31,000 --> 00:36:35,200
Speaker 1: Digits, Yeah, gonna be a fun game there, for sure.

736
00:36:35,560 --> 00:36:38,160
Speaker 1: Those always those always seem to be fun, those big

737
00:36:38,200 --> 00:36:42,160
Speaker 1: big twelve matchups. Number twenty UTAH three and half point

738
00:36:42,160 --> 00:36:45,480
Speaker 1: home favorites against number seven USC sixty five is a

739
00:36:45,560 --> 00:36:46,200
Speaker 1: total here?

740
00:36:47,200 --> 00:36:48,839
Speaker 2: What way you leaning in this game? Thor?

741
00:36:48,920 --> 00:36:51,360
Speaker 1: This line surprised me a little bit. I know Jordan

742
00:36:51,360 --> 00:36:53,920
Speaker 1: Addison is a little bit nicked up, isn't he? So

743
00:36:54,600 --> 00:36:55,839
Speaker 1: how do we feel in this game?

744
00:36:56,400 --> 00:36:59,560
Speaker 3: Yeah, well we'll have to get a definitive picture on

745
00:36:59,719 --> 00:37:02,440
Speaker 3: out of since status. But yeah, he got knocked out

746
00:37:02,440 --> 00:37:05,640
Speaker 3: of the last game and he's obviously enormous to USC.

747
00:37:05,960 --> 00:37:09,640
Speaker 3: I think another big part of this this handicap is

748
00:37:10,480 --> 00:37:15,520
Speaker 3: USC's defense has way exceeded everybody's expectations, in large part

749
00:37:15,880 --> 00:37:19,440
Speaker 3: because they've been able to generate a ridiculous amount of

750
00:37:19,480 --> 00:37:26,040
Speaker 3: turnovers almost by any any measure, and unsustainable amount of turnovers.

751
00:37:26,440 --> 00:37:29,600
Speaker 3: You were wondering when they played a team that could

752
00:37:29,640 --> 00:37:32,720
Speaker 3: take care of the ball and could be efficient on offense,

753
00:37:32,920 --> 00:37:35,040
Speaker 3: you know what would happen to that defense because it

754
00:37:35,040 --> 00:37:37,560
Speaker 3: seems house of card z. You know, you think maybe

755
00:37:37,640 --> 00:37:39,960
Speaker 3: if if an offense can take care of the ball

756
00:37:40,000 --> 00:37:43,319
Speaker 3: and could just stay on schedule, the whole thing falls down.

757
00:37:43,360 --> 00:37:46,080
Speaker 3: Well that's what Utah is, right, Like, I mean, Utah

758
00:37:46,160 --> 00:37:48,640
Speaker 3: teams can, you know, like they were built to be

759
00:37:48,680 --> 00:37:51,680
Speaker 3: able to you know, like in response to this USC team,

760
00:37:51,719 --> 00:37:54,680
Speaker 3: even though the USC team came along later, but like that,

761
00:37:55,120 --> 00:37:58,400
Speaker 3: I really like the matchup of Utah's offense against that

762
00:37:58,560 --> 00:38:02,640
Speaker 3: USC defense. What Utah's offense does not do. The weakness

763
00:38:02,640 --> 00:38:06,120
Speaker 3: of it is they cannot generate explosive plays, and in

764
00:38:06,239 --> 00:38:08,720
Speaker 3: certain games that is going to be an enormous problem.

765
00:38:08,719 --> 00:38:11,560
Speaker 3: And we've already seen dis manifest in a couple of them, right, Like,

766
00:38:11,600 --> 00:38:14,600
Speaker 3: they've already taken their couple losses in part because of this.

767
00:38:14,840 --> 00:38:16,640
Speaker 3: But I don't think they need to do that to

768
00:38:16,719 --> 00:38:19,560
Speaker 3: beat USC. What they need to do to beat USC

769
00:38:20,280 --> 00:38:23,120
Speaker 3: is play good defense, but then on offense, take care

770
00:38:23,160 --> 00:38:25,279
Speaker 3: of the ball and stay on schedule. I know that

771
00:38:25,320 --> 00:38:28,640
Speaker 3: they're going to do that on offense, right Like, I mean,

772
00:38:28,840 --> 00:38:32,279
Speaker 3: they just will. They're not going to allow USC to

773
00:38:32,320 --> 00:38:34,319
Speaker 3: flip the field and then put Caleb Williams in a

774
00:38:34,320 --> 00:38:36,680
Speaker 3: really good field position and then put points on the

775
00:38:36,800 --> 00:38:40,480
Speaker 3: on the board. That way, they're gonna make USC's offense, Okay,

776
00:38:40,560 --> 00:38:41,960
Speaker 3: you want to score a touchdown, you got to go

777
00:38:42,000 --> 00:38:44,320
Speaker 3: eighty yards, you gotta go seventy five yards, and you

778
00:38:44,440 --> 00:38:47,200
Speaker 3: got to methodically do it against our defense, a really

779
00:38:47,239 --> 00:38:52,560
Speaker 3: solid defense, you know, in Utah's. Utah's offense, I think

780
00:38:52,560 --> 00:38:54,839
Speaker 3: it probably better than people think it's. It's number ten

781
00:38:55,000 --> 00:38:59,520
Speaker 3: SP plus. USC's, by the way, is fiftieth SP plus. Again,

782
00:38:59,560 --> 00:39:01,680
Speaker 3: it's been played above its head because of the turnovers.

783
00:39:01,719 --> 00:39:04,239
Speaker 3: I think those go away in this game. USC also

784
00:39:04,320 --> 00:39:06,920
Speaker 3: has a really really bad special teams in Utah plays

785
00:39:07,040 --> 00:39:10,480
Speaker 3: awesome special teams. It's a discrepancy in the SPPLUS rankings

786
00:39:10,719 --> 00:39:14,120
Speaker 3: almost one hundred. Utah is twenty third. USC is one

787
00:39:14,200 --> 00:39:17,160
Speaker 3: hundred and twentieth. So that's another area of the game,

788
00:39:17,440 --> 00:39:19,439
Speaker 3: sort of a sneaky part where I think Utah could

789
00:39:19,440 --> 00:39:22,279
Speaker 3: maybe steal some points. I actually like Utah in this game.

790
00:39:22,400 --> 00:39:24,360
Speaker 3: I think Utah is going to win and I like

791
00:39:24,480 --> 00:39:25,399
Speaker 3: them to cover as well.

792
00:39:25,920 --> 00:39:27,760
Speaker 2: A tough place to play too, Utah.

793
00:39:27,680 --> 00:39:28,680
Speaker 3: Very tough place to play.

794
00:39:28,760 --> 00:39:31,960
Speaker 2: Utah very the crowd is into it. They're going to

795
00:39:32,000 --> 00:39:33,919
Speaker 2: make it difficult for sure.

796
00:39:34,640 --> 00:39:37,000
Speaker 1: The last one in the top five, let's go to

797
00:39:37,040 --> 00:39:42,279
Speaker 1: the ACC number fifteen NC State hosting number eighteen Syracuse.

798
00:39:42,719 --> 00:39:46,000
Speaker 1: Syracuse is a three and a half point favorite here

799
00:39:46,080 --> 00:39:49,319
Speaker 1: on the road. Forty four is the total. I know

800
00:39:49,480 --> 00:39:52,080
Speaker 1: there's a question about Devin Leary if he's going to

801
00:39:52,120 --> 00:39:54,760
Speaker 1: be available in this game of QB for NC State.

802
00:39:55,440 --> 00:39:57,920
Speaker 1: Syracuse has been killing it too, So how do you

803
00:39:57,960 --> 00:39:58,600
Speaker 1: see this one going?

804
00:39:59,040 --> 00:40:01,839
Speaker 3: Yeah, I think Leary's out of there. I don't think

805
00:40:01,840 --> 00:40:04,160
Speaker 3: he's gonna play from all the indications that we've got.

806
00:40:04,640 --> 00:40:07,839
Speaker 3: Dave Doran did say on Monday that Leary's injury is

807
00:40:07,880 --> 00:40:11,440
Speaker 3: not season ending, but the sort of he he didn't

808
00:40:11,480 --> 00:40:14,560
Speaker 3: rule him out for this weekend, but the strong infinuation

809
00:40:14,840 --> 00:40:17,040
Speaker 3: was that he was not gonna play. I would be

810
00:40:17,120 --> 00:40:20,319
Speaker 3: stunned if Devin Leary takes even one snap. So so

811
00:40:20,480 --> 00:40:22,440
Speaker 3: I think you can bet assuming that Devin Larry is

812
00:40:22,480 --> 00:40:24,560
Speaker 3: going to be out. If there was good news for

813
00:40:24,680 --> 00:40:28,719
Speaker 3: NSIS State, it's that they had two other, uh very

814
00:40:28,719 --> 00:40:32,239
Speaker 3: important injuries to key contributors in their last game, and

815
00:40:32,360 --> 00:40:36,440
Speaker 3: Doran was was way more optimistic about about those guys.

816
00:40:36,640 --> 00:40:39,440
Speaker 3: They're the running back and their wide receiver to the

817
00:40:39,680 --> 00:40:47,719
Speaker 3: running back Demi Sumo Kung Bay. I should have even tried.

818
00:40:47,760 --> 00:40:49,360
Speaker 3: And then the receiver Devin I love.

819
00:40:49,239 --> 00:40:52,000
Speaker 2: To hear those Minnesota guys try to say those I don't.

820
00:40:52,040 --> 00:40:54,080
Speaker 3: I don't know why I tried. I really should not have.

821
00:40:54,440 --> 00:40:58,040
Speaker 3: But anyway, and and Devin Carter for them is their

822
00:40:58,080 --> 00:41:01,719
Speaker 3: best blocking receiver, and he is also of their downfield guys.

823
00:41:01,840 --> 00:41:04,959
Speaker 3: He's not as much usage, but it's it's the pop

824
00:41:05,040 --> 00:41:07,439
Speaker 3: the top thing and then the helping the run game.

825
00:41:08,200 --> 00:41:10,719
Speaker 3: So he's a valuable player to that offense, even if

826
00:41:10,719 --> 00:41:13,200
Speaker 3: the receiving numbers aren't a high as like say they

827
00:41:13,239 --> 00:41:16,040
Speaker 3: or Thomas. He was more like the short area guy.

828
00:41:16,080 --> 00:41:19,799
Speaker 3: He matters. It seems though, like Carter is gonna play

829
00:41:19,840 --> 00:41:22,479
Speaker 3: and that Demi's gonna play as well, or at least

830
00:41:22,520 --> 00:41:25,320
Speaker 3: that's what dorin Monts is to believe. But again Leary

831
00:41:25,480 --> 00:41:28,560
Speaker 3: almost assuredly will be out. NC State is coming off

832
00:41:28,600 --> 00:41:31,080
Speaker 3: of like NC State is in a bad spot here.

833
00:41:30,880 --> 00:41:34,400
Speaker 3: They're coming off of a like a big win and

834
00:41:34,400 --> 00:41:37,120
Speaker 3: and probably a win that you look back in hindsight

835
00:41:37,120 --> 00:41:38,719
Speaker 3: that probably they shouldn't have had because they had to

836
00:41:38,719 --> 00:41:41,040
Speaker 3: overcome all these different injuries and all this stuff you

837
00:41:41,160 --> 00:41:43,759
Speaker 3: sort of get by Florida State, but now you have

838
00:41:43,760 --> 00:41:45,960
Speaker 3: this beaten up team you have to turn around the

839
00:41:46,000 --> 00:41:49,120
Speaker 3: next week, you have to travel to Syracuse and play

840
00:41:49,120 --> 00:41:52,520
Speaker 3: the Syracuse team that not only is undefeated, but they

841
00:41:52,560 --> 00:41:54,919
Speaker 3: are fresh as a daisy. It's not just that they're

842
00:41:54,960 --> 00:41:57,319
Speaker 3: coming off of a bye week the week before they

843
00:41:57,360 --> 00:42:00,440
Speaker 3: played friggin Wagner. They haven't they haven't actually played a

844
00:42:00,600 --> 00:42:03,200
Speaker 3: real game in three weeks. So so I mean it's

845
00:42:03,239 --> 00:42:05,560
Speaker 3: the tail of two cities with this game. Both the

846
00:42:05,640 --> 00:42:09,239
Speaker 3: rosters are in totally opposite spots. And Syracuse they want

847
00:42:09,239 --> 00:42:11,719
Speaker 3: to get out and they want to run and and

848
00:42:11,719 --> 00:42:14,360
Speaker 3: and they can also be physical, you know, Schrader, you know,

849
00:42:14,480 --> 00:42:17,719
Speaker 3: pounding them. And n said their defense gonna have to

850
00:42:17,760 --> 00:42:20,440
Speaker 3: run after Tucker the whole time. And Trader now can pass,

851
00:42:20,640 --> 00:42:22,719
Speaker 3: which NC State their defense is gonna have to get

852
00:42:22,800 --> 00:42:24,840
Speaker 3: used to it because the Strader that they know, he

853
00:42:24,880 --> 00:42:27,879
Speaker 3: couldn't throw, yeah, but now he can. Now he can throw.

854
00:42:28,080 --> 00:42:30,160
Speaker 3: So Syracuse can be multiple now in a way that

855
00:42:30,200 --> 00:42:32,400
Speaker 3: they couldn't used to be. They're going to provide more

856
00:42:32,440 --> 00:42:34,839
Speaker 3: of a problem for NC State's defense than they used

857
00:42:34,880 --> 00:42:37,880
Speaker 3: to and NC State's offense the jury's out on if

858
00:42:37,880 --> 00:42:39,880
Speaker 3: they're gonna be able to move the ball. We this

859
00:42:40,000 --> 00:42:42,880
Speaker 3: backup quarterback, we'll have to see he's just like this

860
00:42:42,960 --> 00:42:45,200
Speaker 3: veteran kid that he you know, from the FCS or

861
00:42:45,239 --> 00:42:48,920
Speaker 3: whatever that that that they brought in. Uh, I don't know. Well,

862
00:42:49,280 --> 00:42:51,560
Speaker 3: we'll see some of these backup quarterbacks that we see

863
00:42:51,600 --> 00:42:54,400
Speaker 3: are just hide the women and children bad.

864
00:42:54,800 --> 00:42:57,040
Speaker 2: Well, but some of them are good to look at ASU.

865
00:42:57,360 --> 00:43:00,000
Speaker 1: You know, Uh, Emery Jones got hurt and here comes

866
00:43:00,280 --> 00:43:02,720
Speaker 1: the uh I can't remember the kid's name from ASU,

867
00:43:02,840 --> 00:43:06,120
Speaker 1: but leads them to a win over Washington as two

868
00:43:06,160 --> 00:43:07,240
Speaker 1: touchdown dogs.

869
00:43:07,280 --> 00:43:10,960
Speaker 2: So it's just, you know, it's more often, more often

870
00:43:11,000 --> 00:43:14,080
Speaker 2: than not, mostly exactly more often.

871
00:43:13,880 --> 00:43:15,680
Speaker 3: Than not, when you go from the established arter the

872
00:43:15,680 --> 00:43:18,440
Speaker 3: person that nobody's ever heard of before, it's a precipitous

873
00:43:18,520 --> 00:43:21,840
Speaker 3: drop off, and sometimes it's enough so where it rules

874
00:43:21,840 --> 00:43:23,879
Speaker 3: that team out for their odds of winning the game.

875
00:43:24,200 --> 00:43:27,120
Speaker 3: So I mean like that, certainly the way you lean

876
00:43:27,160 --> 00:43:29,680
Speaker 3: in this one, it's tough not having Leary. Leary's a

877
00:43:29,680 --> 00:43:32,520
Speaker 3: fringe NFL guy, like you know, you know, probably a

878
00:43:32,600 --> 00:43:35,759
Speaker 3: Day three type type prospect whatever. Losing him really hurts,

879
00:43:35,840 --> 00:43:39,319
Speaker 3: especially for an offense that wasn't dynamic to begin with.

880
00:43:39,880 --> 00:43:42,359
Speaker 3: So I if they're not able to throw and their

881
00:43:42,440 --> 00:43:45,720
Speaker 3: running games not awesome, right, and they're also the running

882
00:43:45,719 --> 00:43:47,920
Speaker 3: back if he can play, like the running back room

883
00:43:48,000 --> 00:43:51,759
Speaker 3: might be depreciated anyway. So like, you know, I got

884
00:43:51,840 --> 00:43:54,920
Speaker 3: questions about the NC State side that for all these reasons,

885
00:43:54,960 --> 00:43:58,920
Speaker 3: that's why Syracuse is favored. That if the backup quarterback,

886
00:43:58,920 --> 00:44:01,880
Speaker 3: if he shows up and he's awesome, then and C

887
00:44:02,000 --> 00:44:04,480
Speaker 3: say it certainly would have a puncher shot. But the

888
00:44:04,600 --> 00:44:07,600
Speaker 3: odds in this one would say that with the percentage

889
00:44:07,719 --> 00:44:09,799
Speaker 3: is you would lean towards Syracuse for sure.

890
00:44:10,280 --> 00:44:15,960
Speaker 1: Yeah, and shout out to Thomas. So Thomas, the Syracuse orangement,

891
00:44:16,040 --> 00:44:19,160
Speaker 1: go Orange, let's go. How about them games that you like?

892
00:44:19,239 --> 00:44:21,239
Speaker 1: Thor we went through the top five games, We've gone

893
00:44:21,239 --> 00:44:24,160
Speaker 1: through the money games and the early games this week.

894
00:44:24,680 --> 00:44:26,200
Speaker 1: You know, it's funny because we were talking about this

895
00:44:26,280 --> 00:44:30,839
Speaker 1: before we hit record and you brought up I've only

896
00:44:30,840 --> 00:44:33,759
Speaker 1: written up two games for my article so far, and

897
00:44:33,800 --> 00:44:36,800
Speaker 1: you brought up one that I already wrote up in

898
00:44:37,560 --> 00:44:42,080
Speaker 1: the Cal and Colorado under forty nine. And you know,

899
00:44:42,239 --> 00:44:44,759
Speaker 1: my first instinct in this game was to take Cal

900
00:44:44,880 --> 00:44:47,600
Speaker 1: minus the fourteen. But then I thought about, you know,

901
00:44:48,120 --> 00:44:52,080
Speaker 1: the dead cap bounce with you know, Carl Drell being fired,

902
00:44:52,080 --> 00:44:55,560
Speaker 1: and you were calling for that the entire season that

903
00:44:55,640 --> 00:44:58,880
Speaker 1: Carl Durrell was gonna get canned here, so not a

904
00:44:58,920 --> 00:45:01,120
Speaker 1: surprise to see him go. But I mean, what do

905
00:45:01,200 --> 00:45:04,440
Speaker 1: we think in this game for Colorado and Cal because

906
00:45:05,880 --> 00:45:08,560
Speaker 1: neither offense has been good, Like Jayde not has been good.

907
00:45:08,760 --> 00:45:12,120
Speaker 1: He is like the most efficient running back in the nation.

908
00:45:12,560 --> 00:45:14,920
Speaker 1: But when you look at like you know, PFF grades,

909
00:45:14,920 --> 00:45:18,200
Speaker 1: if they mean anything to you, I believe Cal is

910
00:45:18,239 --> 00:45:21,279
Speaker 1: one hundred and twenty ninth in run blocking, so he

911
00:45:21,480 --> 00:45:24,279
Speaker 1: is literally doing it all by himself.

912
00:45:24,520 --> 00:45:27,279
Speaker 2: They have a little bit of passing at Cal, but

913
00:45:27,440 --> 00:45:31,480
Speaker 2: Colorado's got nothing on offense at all. So I mean,

914
00:45:31,520 --> 00:45:34,799
Speaker 2: this game screams the under which can be a little

915
00:45:34,800 --> 00:45:37,520
Speaker 2: tricky sometimes, but I trust in my gut and FIU

916
00:45:37,520 --> 00:45:39,080
Speaker 2: in New Mexico State a couple of weeks ago and

917
00:45:39,120 --> 00:45:41,920
Speaker 2: that paid off big time. So what do you think

918
00:45:41,920 --> 00:45:44,040
Speaker 2: in this game? Is forty nine? The over is is

919
00:45:44,200 --> 00:45:46,840
Speaker 2: fairly high for these two pathetic offenses.

920
00:45:47,200 --> 00:45:51,080
Speaker 3: Yeah. I rarely bring up fantasy in these shows because

921
00:45:51,080 --> 00:45:52,479
Speaker 3: I know people hate to hear it, but I'm gonna

922
00:45:52,480 --> 00:45:55,000
Speaker 3: do it for the second time today because in one

923
00:45:55,000 --> 00:45:58,200
Speaker 3: of those ridiculously deep C two C leagues, I took

924
00:45:58,280 --> 00:46:00,120
Speaker 3: jade Not at the end of a draft like the

925
00:46:00,960 --> 00:46:03,800
Speaker 3: forty fifth round or whatever, and it's it's one of

926
00:46:03,880 --> 00:46:05,799
Speaker 3: my one of my great picks of all time. I'm

927
00:46:05,800 --> 00:46:07,640
Speaker 3: gonna have that kid for the next four years. And

928
00:46:07,680 --> 00:46:10,279
Speaker 3: one of the owners in that league every single week

929
00:46:10,400 --> 00:46:12,359
Speaker 3: sends me trade offers for him, and I've ignored every

930
00:46:12,360 --> 00:46:14,920
Speaker 3: single one, and he's getting increasingly annoyed with me. He's

931
00:46:14,920 --> 00:46:16,919
Speaker 3: like sending me messages like, hey man, have you seen

932
00:46:16,960 --> 00:46:21,880
Speaker 3: my trade offers for jade Not? And it's like yeah, yeah, yeah,

933
00:46:22,000 --> 00:46:24,680
Speaker 3: and I'm I'm not responding to them. You are not

934
00:46:24,680 --> 00:46:28,640
Speaker 3: getting jade Not. But yet j Not been great and

935
00:46:28,640 --> 00:46:32,440
Speaker 3: and cal Cal ran into one justin Wilcox, who struggled

936
00:46:32,480 --> 00:46:35,919
Speaker 3: to drive offenses and entire time there found a Jym

937
00:46:36,360 --> 00:46:38,239
Speaker 3: so so so good on him, but like you said,

938
00:46:38,440 --> 00:46:40,960
Speaker 3: their offensive line stinks, they don't have quarterback play their

939
00:46:41,000 --> 00:46:43,319
Speaker 3: their pass catchers aren't very good either, so it's it's

940
00:46:43,360 --> 00:46:45,920
Speaker 3: still even though they finally found a good offensive player,

941
00:46:46,040 --> 00:46:48,239
Speaker 3: he's a true freshman, and he's surrounded by not good

942
00:46:48,239 --> 00:46:51,439
Speaker 3: offensive players, and they are playing one of the worst

943
00:46:51,480 --> 00:46:56,600
Speaker 3: teams in the entire FBS, certainly the worst Power five team.

944
00:46:58,640 --> 00:47:01,640
Speaker 3: For the side, I'm same thing you were talking about, Buckman.

945
00:47:02,080 --> 00:47:03,799
Speaker 3: I'm not touching the side of this one. I think

946
00:47:03,920 --> 00:47:06,439
Speaker 3: it's an objectively fair line. In fact, my system has

947
00:47:07,080 --> 00:47:09,840
Speaker 3: California minus fourteen point four. It is right on that

948
00:47:09,960 --> 00:47:13,440
Speaker 3: Vegas line. But the under I'm with you man, the

949
00:47:13,480 --> 00:47:16,359
Speaker 3: total came out, I was actually surprised with how high

950
00:47:16,360 --> 00:47:18,840
Speaker 3: it was. It comes out forty eight and a half

951
00:47:19,600 --> 00:47:23,080
Speaker 3: my system. That was much more fair forty one and

952
00:47:23,120 --> 00:47:26,800
Speaker 3: a half. If Vegas had dropped that number, nobody bats

953
00:47:26,840 --> 00:47:29,640
Speaker 3: an eye like again, I'm surprised it was a touchdown

954
00:47:29,719 --> 00:47:34,200
Speaker 3: higher than that. Colorado. They can't generate offense on really anybody.

955
00:47:34,560 --> 00:47:37,120
Speaker 3: And the concern when you know with you know, as

956
00:47:37,120 --> 00:47:39,959
Speaker 3: far as the total handicap goes in the Colorado game,

957
00:47:40,080 --> 00:47:42,120
Speaker 3: is that the opponent is going to score a billion points.

958
00:47:42,480 --> 00:47:45,120
Speaker 3: Kelly is gonna score a billion points. Cal's gonna run

959
00:47:45,320 --> 00:47:47,200
Speaker 3: the ball a whole bunch with jayde Not behind the

960
00:47:47,239 --> 00:47:50,520
Speaker 3: bad offensive line, and then they're going to huddle up

961
00:47:51,239 --> 00:47:54,400
Speaker 3: very very slowly, and then they're going to meander up

962
00:47:54,400 --> 00:47:56,520
Speaker 3: to the line and they're gonna snap the ball with

963
00:47:56,640 --> 00:47:59,959
Speaker 3: like three seconds left on the play clock. Every single time.

964
00:48:00,360 --> 00:48:04,040
Speaker 3: Cal rinks one hundred and twenty third in adjusted pace

965
00:48:04,680 --> 00:48:08,879
Speaker 3: Colorado's they're fifty six, so they're around average, but their

966
00:48:08,920 --> 00:48:12,560
Speaker 3: offense stinks, so it doesn't really matter for me. This

967
00:48:13,000 --> 00:48:16,120
Speaker 3: total is too high. I do lean under wouldn't touch

968
00:48:16,120 --> 00:48:16,640
Speaker 3: the side.

969
00:48:17,000 --> 00:48:20,120
Speaker 1: Yeah, I love that game this week for sure. The

970
00:48:20,200 --> 00:48:24,000
Speaker 1: other game that you wanted to talk about is you're Jayhawks,

971
00:48:24,120 --> 00:48:27,799
Speaker 1: number nineteen ranked. They're going into Oklahoma, who just did

972
00:48:27,840 --> 00:48:30,919
Speaker 1: not show up for the Red River rivalry there, and

973
00:48:31,840 --> 00:48:34,000
Speaker 1: I think Dylan Gabriel could be back here.

974
00:48:34,200 --> 00:48:37,879
Speaker 2: I don't know how much it matters though, but Oklahoma

975
00:48:38,680 --> 00:48:44,480
Speaker 2: currently sitting as I believe nine point favorites. Is that right, Yeah?

976
00:48:44,600 --> 00:48:48,279
Speaker 2: Nine point favorites right now. But I took a look

977
00:48:48,320 --> 00:48:51,279
Speaker 2: at the peaked at the money line here thor and

978
00:48:51,520 --> 00:48:56,120
Speaker 2: Kansas is at plus to sixty on MGM, plus two

979
00:48:56,200 --> 00:48:59,439
Speaker 2: twenty five on DraftKings plus two sixty and a color

980
00:48:59,520 --> 00:49:03,480
Speaker 2: up other couple spots, So I don't know. The money

981
00:49:03,480 --> 00:49:04,600
Speaker 2: line might look good.

982
00:49:04,800 --> 00:49:08,359
Speaker 1: Especially if Gabriel doesn't play because Jalen Daniels is out,

983
00:49:08,560 --> 00:49:12,040
Speaker 1: which is a big reason why Oklahoma is favored in

984
00:49:12,080 --> 00:49:14,600
Speaker 1: this game. Most likely out, I guess I should say,

985
00:49:14,600 --> 00:49:17,000
Speaker 1: because he hasn't been officially ruled out, like they'll never

986
00:49:17,040 --> 00:49:17,319
Speaker 1: do that.

987
00:49:17,400 --> 00:49:19,960
Speaker 2: But he ain't even play. But Jason Bean, as you

988
00:49:20,000 --> 00:49:23,600
Speaker 2: mentioned before when we were talking on stages, a pretty good,

989
00:49:23,800 --> 00:49:26,719
Speaker 2: you know, backup quarterback, one of the better ones in

990
00:49:26,760 --> 00:49:29,600
Speaker 2: the nation. So what do you think of this game?

991
00:49:30,320 --> 00:49:33,360
Speaker 3: Yeah that I took a drink as you were talking

992
00:49:33,680 --> 00:49:37,479
Speaker 3: to signify metaphorically wedding my beak on that Jay Money line.

993
00:49:39,000 --> 00:49:44,320
Speaker 3: The Gabriel status is very important because Davis Bevell, Oklahoma's

994
00:49:44,320 --> 00:49:48,680
Speaker 3: backup stinks. The difference between Gabriel and him. It's it's

995
00:49:48,719 --> 00:49:50,759
Speaker 3: like ten points. And it's not because Gabriel is as

996
00:49:50,760 --> 00:49:54,080
Speaker 3: good as Bryce Young. It's because the backup is that bad.

997
00:49:55,040 --> 00:49:58,200
Speaker 3: Brent Venable should be embarrassed for like leaving the QB

998
00:49:58,239 --> 00:50:01,120
Speaker 3: two spot that bad when all the players were transferring

999
00:50:01,160 --> 00:50:03,840
Speaker 3: all off season. You could have signed a billion different

1000
00:50:03,840 --> 00:50:07,080
Speaker 3: guys that were better than that kid. That's an unforced

1001
00:50:07,080 --> 00:50:09,200
Speaker 3: ara that was shooting yourself in the foot. But they

1002
00:50:09,280 --> 00:50:12,320
Speaker 3: can't help it now. So Gabriel is his status is

1003
00:50:12,400 --> 00:50:14,719
Speaker 3: key for Oklahoma. But like you were, mentioning. Like we

1004
00:50:14,719 --> 00:50:17,560
Speaker 3: were talking about on the stages, Daniels is not Jalen

1005
00:50:17,640 --> 00:50:20,120
Speaker 3: Daniels for Kansas is not going to play. But it's

1006
00:50:20,160 --> 00:50:23,160
Speaker 3: the opposite scenario for Kansas. Kansas had one of the

1007
00:50:23,160 --> 00:50:26,760
Speaker 3: better backup quarterbacks in the entire FBS in Jason Bean,

1008
00:50:27,040 --> 00:50:29,319
Speaker 3: who started the first nine games for them last year

1009
00:50:29,560 --> 00:50:32,600
Speaker 3: and was North Texas starter before that. Jason Bean has

1010
00:50:32,560 --> 00:50:35,040
Speaker 3: started numerous games in his college career. You call him

1011
00:50:35,080 --> 00:50:37,239
Speaker 3: a two year starter coming into this year. He has

1012
00:50:37,280 --> 00:50:39,400
Speaker 3: a good arm, and he was a track star in

1013
00:50:39,480 --> 00:50:42,400
Speaker 3: high school. He's one of the by any report, one

1014
00:50:42,400 --> 00:50:44,960
Speaker 3: of the fastest players on the Kansas football team. This

1015
00:50:45,080 --> 00:50:47,319
Speaker 3: stuff that Leopold likes to do with all the motion

1016
00:50:47,440 --> 00:50:50,080
Speaker 3: and then getting the quarterback out on the perimeter, that's

1017
00:50:50,080 --> 00:50:52,200
Speaker 3: what Bean wants to do. I mean, there's a reason

1018
00:50:52,200 --> 00:50:56,120
Speaker 3: that he was absolutely shredding TCU. I'm not going to

1019
00:50:56,160 --> 00:50:58,560
Speaker 3: say that he was better than Daniels, but in that game,

1020
00:50:58,880 --> 00:51:01,080
Speaker 3: Daniel did not do much in the first half, and

1021
00:51:01,080 --> 00:51:04,520
Speaker 3: then Bean came in and Kansas was not missing. Being

1022
00:51:04,600 --> 00:51:07,400
Speaker 3: did throw one interception in that second half, but on

1023
00:51:07,440 --> 00:51:09,359
Speaker 3: almost every other draft his scored a touching. I think

1024
00:51:09,360 --> 00:51:12,759
Speaker 3: he threw for four touchdowns and only in the last

1025
00:51:12,800 --> 00:51:17,400
Speaker 3: two quarters Jason Bean can play for me. I downgrade

1026
00:51:17,480 --> 00:51:21,200
Speaker 3: Kansas very very small there that you know, half a

1027
00:51:21,280 --> 00:51:24,400
Speaker 3: point or a point, whereas again with Gabriel to Bevel

1028
00:51:24,520 --> 00:51:27,279
Speaker 3: it's ten or eleven something like that. So keep an

1029
00:51:27,280 --> 00:51:30,480
Speaker 3: eye on that one. The other major major point is

1030
00:51:30,520 --> 00:51:34,680
Speaker 3: Oklahoma's defense is an abomination a couple a couple of

1031
00:51:34,719 --> 00:51:39,120
Speaker 3: stats for you and just crazy, almost unthinkable that a

1032
00:51:39,239 --> 00:51:44,080
Speaker 3: defense coordinated by Brent Venables could be this bad. But

1033
00:51:44,239 --> 00:51:48,200
Speaker 3: Kansas saw you know. The comparing contrast between the Kansas

1034
00:51:48,239 --> 00:51:52,399
Speaker 3: offense and the Oaklahoma defense. Kansas offense number twenty six

1035
00:51:52,560 --> 00:51:56,680
Speaker 3: in success rate, number ten in isoppp which is an

1036
00:51:56,760 --> 00:52:01,120
Speaker 3: explosiveness measure, and number thirty two in points per scoring opportunity.

1037
00:52:01,440 --> 00:52:05,440
Speaker 3: Here's the Oklahoma defense's rankings in the exact same categories.

1038
00:52:06,280 --> 00:52:10,000
Speaker 3: So Oklahoma's defense ranks number ninety eighth in success rate,

1039
00:52:10,120 --> 00:52:14,480
Speaker 3: number fifty one in explosiveness against, and one hundred and

1040
00:52:14,640 --> 00:52:18,120
Speaker 3: first in preventing the opponent from scoring when they're in

1041
00:52:18,239 --> 00:52:22,719
Speaker 3: the scoring opportunities. The Sooners also rank one hundred and

1042
00:52:22,840 --> 00:52:26,520
Speaker 3: twenty fifth out of one thirty one in tackling rates,

1043
00:52:27,120 --> 00:52:27,960
Speaker 3: so they can't.

1044
00:52:27,800 --> 00:52:30,160
Speaker 2: Tackle any anything. I mean, I know that as a

1045
00:52:30,200 --> 00:52:33,160
Speaker 2: Texas fan for the last decade. Is tackling is just

1046
00:52:33,400 --> 00:52:35,640
Speaker 2: so enormous. You have to do it. You know, you

1047
00:52:35,719 --> 00:52:39,239
Speaker 2: give guys ten fifteen extra yards by missing attackle It's ridiculous.

1048
00:52:39,360 --> 00:52:44,000
Speaker 3: This defense, it's what's gonna call it sun Belt level.

1049
00:52:44,520 --> 00:52:46,160
Speaker 3: The sun Belts good this year, and that would have

1050
00:52:46,160 --> 00:52:48,799
Speaker 3: been an insult to the sun Belt. This is it's

1051
00:52:48,840 --> 00:52:53,400
Speaker 3: an absolute embarrassment. Yes, if Dylan Gabriel doesn't play in

1052
00:52:53,480 --> 00:52:56,359
Speaker 3: this game, the Kansas Jayhawks are winning it out right.

1053
00:52:56,880 --> 00:52:59,920
Speaker 3: I'll just say that if Gabriel plays, we'll have a

1054
00:53:00,080 --> 00:53:00,759
Speaker 3: game for sure.

1055
00:53:01,800 --> 00:53:03,480
Speaker 2: But this game was close last year, wasn't it.

1056
00:53:04,000 --> 00:53:07,200
Speaker 3: Oh? Yeah, Kansas led into the fourth quarter against This

1057
00:53:07,360 --> 00:53:08,040
Speaker 3: is the one where.

1058
00:53:07,840 --> 00:53:10,640
Speaker 1: Like Caleb Williams has out of the running backs hand

1059
00:53:11,200 --> 00:53:12,160
Speaker 1: to get that purst down.

1060
00:53:12,440 --> 00:53:13,120
Speaker 2: That was the game.

1061
00:53:13,239 --> 00:53:16,919
Speaker 3: Yeah, Kansas. Kansas controlled that, I mean throughout until until

1062
00:53:16,920 --> 00:53:19,399
Speaker 3: the fourth courter, and yeah, they came back. That game

1063
00:53:19,560 --> 00:53:22,160
Speaker 3: is hilarious. Was like, uh, it was in Lawrence and

1064
00:53:22,360 --> 00:53:25,440
Speaker 3: Oklahoma's like thirty eight point favor or something, and this

1065
00:53:25,560 --> 00:53:28,959
Speaker 3: one is in Norman and it's thirty points last or whatever.

1066
00:53:30,239 --> 00:53:33,239
Speaker 3: But yeah, to me, this line it's too high. I mean,

1067
00:53:33,400 --> 00:53:36,959
Speaker 3: like it's even despite the thirty points you know shift

1068
00:53:37,120 --> 00:53:40,600
Speaker 3: or whatever. Kansas is, Like I said, absolutely legitimate opponent.

1069
00:53:40,880 --> 00:53:44,520
Speaker 3: Absolutely could have beaten TCU last week despite losing their

1070
00:53:44,520 --> 00:53:49,120
Speaker 3: starting quarterback. I'm still upset about it. Very last drive.

1071
00:53:49,800 --> 00:53:53,160
Speaker 3: Two very obvious penalties happened on the last two plays

1072
00:53:53,800 --> 00:53:56,399
Speaker 3: that were not called. One of them was the horse

1073
00:53:56,480 --> 00:53:58,839
Speaker 3: collar thing on the third down and then the more

1074
00:53:58,880 --> 00:54:02,160
Speaker 3: egregious one a very clear pass interference on fourth down

1075
00:54:02,520 --> 00:54:04,680
Speaker 3: that the rest just didn't throw a flat. But anyway,

1076
00:54:05,160 --> 00:54:09,120
Speaker 3: either way, Kansas played with TCU the entire time. It was,

1077
00:54:09,360 --> 00:54:12,520
Speaker 3: you know, a coin flip type game, and TCU is.

1078
00:54:13,320 --> 00:54:14,840
Speaker 3: I mean, we'll find out by the end of the

1079
00:54:14,920 --> 00:54:16,759
Speaker 3: year they're either the best team in the Big Twelve

1080
00:54:16,840 --> 00:54:18,400
Speaker 3: or the second best team in the Big Twelve. I

1081
00:54:18,440 --> 00:54:20,960
Speaker 3: think we'll figure that out. Uh, maybe we'll have to

1082
00:54:21,000 --> 00:54:23,400
Speaker 3: wait until the Big Twelve title game. But them in Texas,

1083
00:54:23,960 --> 00:54:26,080
Speaker 3: I think they're gonna have a tango. I'm sorry to

1084
00:54:26,160 --> 00:54:29,640
Speaker 3: disco on Oklahoma State, but for me, those are the

1085
00:54:29,680 --> 00:54:32,880
Speaker 3: two teams. But this Oklahoma team, they can't defend anyone,

1086
00:54:33,120 --> 00:54:35,799
Speaker 3: they can't tackle against anyone. The only way they can

1087
00:54:35,840 --> 00:54:38,399
Speaker 3: derive offense is when Dylan Gabriel is one hundred percent

1088
00:54:38,520 --> 00:54:41,920
Speaker 3: healthy and they're able to hit the downfield shots. But

1089
00:54:42,600 --> 00:54:45,680
Speaker 3: I will say even though Kansas's secondary, it's not a

1090
00:54:45,840 --> 00:54:48,560
Speaker 3: leech for sure, And don't take what I'm about to

1091
00:54:48,560 --> 00:54:53,280
Speaker 3: say as that they are. They are opportunistic. Though Kansas's

1092
00:54:53,520 --> 00:54:57,000
Speaker 3: defensive backs can flip the field. They're I mean, you

1093
00:54:57,040 --> 00:54:58,880
Speaker 3: can think of them essentially as like a sort of

1094
00:54:58,920 --> 00:55:01,680
Speaker 3: a homeless man's version of the USC thing where they

1095
00:55:01,719 --> 00:55:04,200
Speaker 3: can you know, they are able to get the interceptions

1096
00:55:04,239 --> 00:55:08,200
Speaker 3: and flip it a little bit. Oklahoma needs Dylan Gabriel

1097
00:55:08,239 --> 00:55:10,440
Speaker 3: in this game. We don't know if he's gonna play it.

1098
00:55:10,560 --> 00:55:14,799
Speaker 3: It's sounding more optimistic on that side. But again, either way,

1099
00:55:15,160 --> 00:55:17,480
Speaker 3: I'm taking the nine points and if Gabriel is not playing,

1100
00:55:18,120 --> 00:55:19,560
Speaker 3: it's rock shock outright for sure.

1101
00:55:20,600 --> 00:55:22,719
Speaker 1: It's gonna be a fun week, another fun week of

1102
00:55:22,800 --> 00:55:25,400
Speaker 1: college football. Good luck and all your bets. You can

1103
00:55:25,440 --> 00:55:28,879
Speaker 1: follow me on Twitter at Bogman Sports. You'll follow Thor

1104
00:55:29,040 --> 00:55:32,879
Speaker 1: at thor ku Thor. What is the schedule for this week?

1105
00:55:33,120 --> 00:55:35,480
Speaker 1: Remind everyone where they can find all your work. Obviously,

1106
00:55:35,520 --> 00:55:36,759
Speaker 1: you can go to Twitter to find all of it,

1107
00:55:37,000 --> 00:55:38,239
Speaker 1: But what do you got coming up here?

1108
00:55:38,480 --> 00:55:41,360
Speaker 3: I got my ten best bets coming up on vetting

1109
00:55:41,440 --> 00:55:43,920
Speaker 3: pro as. What would be when you guys hear this?

1110
00:55:44,000 --> 00:55:48,200
Speaker 3: Maybe today on Thursday, and then on Saturday, I have

1111
00:55:48,360 --> 00:55:52,399
Speaker 3: my ninety minute live show with Mike Farrell where people

1112
00:55:52,440 --> 00:55:54,480
Speaker 3: can come and watch live and then also ask questions.

1113
00:55:54,719 --> 00:55:56,400
Speaker 3: Mike and I answer any questions you have about the

1114
00:55:56,440 --> 00:55:58,920
Speaker 3: betting card, and then we handicap as many games as

1115
00:55:59,480 --> 00:56:01,600
Speaker 3: we can get you know, get through or whatever, and

1116
00:56:01,680 --> 00:56:03,759
Speaker 3: also give out our favorite props you know, as well

1117
00:56:03,760 --> 00:56:06,560
Speaker 3: as the sides and the totals obviously. And then on

1118
00:56:07,000 --> 00:56:10,400
Speaker 3: the day after, you know, every every college football Saturday,

1119
00:56:10,760 --> 00:56:13,759
Speaker 3: on Sunday, me and Tomas Viola sit down after the

1120
00:56:13,880 --> 00:56:16,279
Speaker 3: lines have dropped the new lines for the coming week,

1121
00:56:16,680 --> 00:56:19,480
Speaker 3: go through those lines. I've run my numbers Sunday morning,

1122
00:56:19,840 --> 00:56:22,759
Speaker 3: comparing my lines against the Vegas lines. Are there any

1123
00:56:22,840 --> 00:56:25,720
Speaker 3: games that you should bet early? Are there any injuries

1124
00:56:25,760 --> 00:56:28,080
Speaker 3: that are affecting the lines? Just sort of going through

1125
00:56:28,120 --> 00:56:30,560
Speaker 3: the card in that way. If there's any angles early

1126
00:56:30,600 --> 00:56:32,160
Speaker 3: on in the week to check that out as well.

1127
00:56:32,719 --> 00:56:35,600
Speaker 1: Check them out and good luck in your bets. Week seven.

1128
00:56:35,640 --> 00:56:37,439
Speaker 1: Wee will see you guys, next week, take it easy.

1129
00:56:37,480 --> 00:56:37,840
Speaker 2: Everybody