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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast podcast.

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Speaker 2: All right, here we.

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Speaker 1: Go spreading the corn ten seconds or maning, just go

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Speaker 1: show up to the basket.

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Speaker 3: Under the basket.

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Speaker 4: It's the truth.

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Speaker 2: For the wind, God make a miracle.

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Speaker 5: I just.

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Speaker 2: Water hit that one from the parking lot. Looks up

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Speaker 2: the general nation. Welcome to the Big Bets on Campus

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Speaker 2: Podcast presented by Bett MGM. This is the early week

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Speaker 2: college basketball betting preview. I'm Stucky and joining me as

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Speaker 2: always are Mike Calabrese and Greg Wadell. A lot to

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Speaker 2: get to today. We'll recap the weekend, a couple key takeaways.

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Speaker 2: We will talk some early week looks, and it's a

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Speaker 2: special Mike Calvaris episode because you're buying and selling teams

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Speaker 2: in his beloved A ten Before we get start, if

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Speaker 2: you're watching on YouTube, apologize from my background. I'm up

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Speaker 2: visiting my mom dealing with some family stuff. I have

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Speaker 2: a new found respect for people that have to deal

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Speaker 2: with that. You know, are dealing with family stuff that

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Speaker 2: I also have kids calgaries. I don't know how people

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Speaker 2: juggle at all, but anyone going through some stuff out there,

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Speaker 2: thoughts are with you. But let's get into the weekend

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Speaker 2: that was. First off, it was an exciting weekend of

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Speaker 2: college basketball, four top ten matchups. I haven't seen anyone

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Speaker 2: do the math on what the probability of that happening

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Speaker 2: is or was, but it was a lot of There's

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Speaker 2: a lot of separation that I think maybe we look

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Speaker 2: back at this weekend and say, you know, this is

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Speaker 2: when a team clinched a one seed, or you know

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Speaker 2: where seating could be, you have seating tiebreakers, or this

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Speaker 2: teamv this year. This season might might have come down

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Speaker 2: with some of the results we saw over the weekend. Greg,

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Speaker 2: I'll start with you. I hope all is well on

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Speaker 2: your end. I know that both of us are suffering

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Speaker 2: through continued Super Bowl coverage, which when your team loses

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Speaker 2: in the championship game, the two weeks feel like two

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Speaker 2: months and it's only Monday. Still a week to go.

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Speaker 2: What's going on? Greg? Remember this is a safe space.

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Speaker 3: You know what pisses me off most of all.

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Speaker 2: Okay, you're ranting now, Baby, I'm ran why not? I've

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Speaker 2: got to let it out somehow.

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Speaker 6: Yeah, I've aged like eight years in the last eight days.

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Speaker 3: It's not great, Stock, but we can get through this together. Yeah,

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Speaker 3: one a weekend it was.

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Speaker 6: It was It felt like an elite eight day right,

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Speaker 6: Like there's just five file matchups everywhere, and the nice

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Speaker 6: thing is we get some rematches of these matchups again

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Speaker 6: before the regular season ends. I feel like I had

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Speaker 6: my eye on two teams in particular, one that I'm

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Speaker 6: very in on going forward and one that I'm very

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Speaker 6: out on going forward. I bet on both of them

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Speaker 6: in the BBOC Live over the weekend. One is Kansas

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Speaker 6: and one is Kentucky. First off, I think people have

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Speaker 6: swung too far out on Kansas, and maybe I'm a

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Speaker 6: little late in saying that after they beat the number

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Speaker 6: one team in the country, but it feels like every

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Speaker 6: talking head with this team for a month has just

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Speaker 6: been on what they can't do. Why do we question

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Speaker 6: their shooting, why do we question the bench, the lack

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Speaker 6: of depth, you know, just they don't have the great

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Speaker 6: wins yet, except they do have the great wins now.

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Speaker 6: They're three to zero against the Kemp Palm top six

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Speaker 6: in the country this year. There's no other team that

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Speaker 6: can boast that type of record against the very best

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Speaker 6: teams in this sport. And Johnny Furfey has changed everything

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Speaker 6: for this team. Everyone was worried about what he was

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Speaker 6: going to look like against the athleticism, the speed, the

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Speaker 6: physicality of the Houston defense.

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Speaker 3: He was ready for it from the jump.

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Speaker 6: Like he was making the right reads on the fly,

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Speaker 6: even just something as simple as like a quick kick

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Speaker 6: to the corner that set the tone early and then

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Speaker 6: led to him getting more open shots later. He had said,

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Speaker 6: seventeen points in this game. I think this team is

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Speaker 6: a totally different team than the narrative on this team

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Speaker 6: has been for about a month now. They have Dickinson

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Speaker 6: and mccullor, who are always going to be the best

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Speaker 6: two players on the floor unless they're going up against

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Speaker 6: Zach e and that's more than enough when you've got

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Speaker 6: Bill self at coach and then on the flip side, Kentucky.

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Speaker 6: I could not be more out on this team. And

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Speaker 6: it pains me to say.

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Speaker 3: That right now.

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Speaker 6: Everybody knows the defensive woes that they have. There's a

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Speaker 6: want to issue with them. There's also just a simple

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Speaker 6: personnel issue that none of these guys are high level defenders.

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Speaker 6: Like Antonio Reeves is their most consistent player, He's not

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Speaker 6: a defensive asset whatsoever. They don't know who their center

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Speaker 6: is right now Col's trying a lot of different options

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Speaker 6: there in between Bradshaw and on Jensu big Z, who

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Speaker 6: had that great game a couple weeks ago, isn't even

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Speaker 6: playing right now. I think this team has the look

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Speaker 6: of a team that has no idea what their identity is,

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Speaker 6: and I don't know if that's going to change. It's

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Speaker 6: been four straight games now, they've struggled against the spread.

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Speaker 6: They go to Vanderbilt Tuesday, and they're gonna be big

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Speaker 6: favorites on the road. I don't know that I would

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Speaker 6: back Kentucky against anybody right now until they get fully healthy.

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Speaker 3: And until they figure out their rotations.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean you mentioned Reeves he Evan me he right,

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Speaker 2: he has a negative DVPR. I mean he's like below

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Speaker 2: replacement level right now as a defender. And you know,

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Speaker 2: I argue with Kentucky fence who are like Reed Shepherd

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Speaker 2: is a terrible defender. Reed Shepherd is like their best defender,

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Speaker 2: which is not Yeah, you don't want Reed Shepherd being

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Speaker 2: your best defender. And yeah, the rest of the defense,

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Speaker 2: I mean, Mitchell is okay, but there's I mean, Dillingham

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Speaker 2: is barely above replacement level defensively, Edwards, Bradshaw, Wagner, They're

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Speaker 2: all none of them. As you mentioned that, that's my

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Speaker 2: fear for Kentucky. What did you can't even if you

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Speaker 2: look at their wins this year, like you can't rely

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Speaker 2: on scoring ninety five to Tennessee scored in one point

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Speaker 2: three points per possession.

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Speaker 5: I think, yeah, one points more incredible?

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Speaker 2: Yeah with Connect guys with with Connect only sixteen Like

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Speaker 2: they held hundred three points on Kentucky with Connect only

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Speaker 2: going for sixteen of them.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, basically if you offered me up that just that

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Speaker 1: snippet of the box score that they hold him to

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Speaker 1: sixteen points, I would have felt phenomenal. The fact that

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Speaker 1: like basically Greg hitting the nail on the head, like

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Speaker 1: they haven't figured out their rotations. I know that they've

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Speaker 1: had some injury issues, but like you got to come

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Speaker 1: up with a better performance, you know, in that spot.

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Speaker 5: I just don't understand how given.

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Speaker 1: The athleticism, the talent, the coaching, everything, that they can't

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Speaker 1: come up with a single answer while holding another team

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Speaker 1: superstar who is averaging y like thirty points a game

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Speaker 1: across his last state. You know, it's a sixteen points,

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Speaker 1: So it's just really disappointing for UK.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean and they went they shot twenty five

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Speaker 2: percent from three, he put up ninety two points at home,

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Speaker 2: should win. You gave up one hundred and three and

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Speaker 2: the other team scores at one point three nine points

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Speaker 2: per possession. Yeah, major issues. They stole a lot of potential.

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Speaker 2: I mean just offensively. They're going to be a tough

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Speaker 2: out in March if but they have to figure out

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Speaker 2: their rotations, like what's going on with Wagner. The argument

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Speaker 2: for Kentucky is just they haven't played with the full

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Speaker 2: roster once this year. But times running out, like how

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Speaker 2: many how many games do we have left here for

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Speaker 2: each team? What seven eight games? And they have a

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Speaker 2: lot to figure out in a little bit of time.

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Speaker 2: So yeah, that was That was my big takeaway too.

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Speaker 2: It's like big game for Kentucky at home off of

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Speaker 2: home loss. Uh, you know, it was never gonna be

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Speaker 2: an easy game. They were basically was a coin flip spread.

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Speaker 2: But just the defensive effort and uh, just the the

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Speaker 2: you know, the coming into the kind of the allure

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Speaker 2: with Kentucky coming into the year was hey, we have

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Speaker 2: all these talented pieces. You know, it's a very inexperienced

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Speaker 2: young team, but they have five months to figure it out,

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Speaker 2: figure out the rotations, improve a little bit defensively, mesh

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Speaker 2: build some continuity. We haven't seen anything, any improvement defensively.

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Speaker 2: If anything, we've seen progression. And because of all the

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Speaker 2: injuries and you know other stuff, they haven't been able

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Speaker 2: to find the rotations and build that continuity. So like

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Speaker 2: all of the the upside that you know, people were

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Speaker 2: hoping for, including myself with Kentucky, just haven't seen it.

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Speaker 2: And there's yeah, how many games they have left. They

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Speaker 2: have nine or ten games left, and yeah, we'll see

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Speaker 2: they have things still, go to Auburn, they host Alabama,

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Speaker 2: they're at Tennessee, so we'll have some data points see

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Speaker 2: if they're improving. But that was my big takeaway from

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Speaker 2: the day as well as I just I don't see

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Speaker 2: them making a deep run unless over these last nine

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Speaker 2: or ten games we see something drastically different, which is

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Speaker 2: hard to imagine. Mike. Oh, by the way, before we

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Speaker 2: get to the aytime, my rant is on a ten

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Speaker 2: related amazing meltdown by LaSalle.

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Speaker 1: I was feeling free of stuff that was the right

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Speaker 1: side the whole way, you know, to four worth nine.

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Speaker 2: To go and then just died. So but any key

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Speaker 2: take always from you for the weekend.

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Speaker 1: H yeah, I got a one quick takeaway, one quick rants,

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Speaker 1: you know, to keep it positive, Harrison Ingram. I think

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Speaker 1: we now have to start talking about him pulling a

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Speaker 1: full Brady Manic impersonation, because you look at two years

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Speaker 1: ago what Manic brought to UNC scored fifteen to six,

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Speaker 1: shot forty percent from three. Ingram is now up to

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Speaker 1: twelve and a half per game in nine boards on

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Speaker 1: forty one percent shooting from.

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Speaker 5: Three point range. He buried five against Duke.

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Speaker 1: I understand that they they basically played as well as

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Speaker 1: they possibly could.

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Speaker 5: They're at home.

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Speaker 1: But some of the issues that I had and some

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Speaker 1: of us I wouldn't say we went as far as

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Speaker 1: calling UNC frauds by any stretch, but like they were

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Speaker 1: getting lucky. Teams couldn't throw it in the ocean against

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Speaker 1: them from three point range. There's some questions about, you know,

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Speaker 1: their coaching overall, but it if Ingram plays like this,

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Speaker 1: I'm not sure there's many teams in the entire country

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Speaker 1: that can beat him.

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Speaker 5: It's also given extra life to bake hot.

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Speaker 1: I think he's just playing a little bit better having

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Speaker 1: somebody in the front court that he can rely on

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Speaker 1: like that. And then on the quick rant side of things,

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Speaker 1: my wife goes down with the flu over the weekend,

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Speaker 1: so I'm, you know, basically solo parenting with my two boys,

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Speaker 1: which just like a player like when the usage goes

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Speaker 1: up too much. I'm a complimentary role player here. I

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Speaker 1: am not the superstar of the family. So I was

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Speaker 1: stretched thin. I'm still trying to watch all of Vermont

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Speaker 1: against Binghamton on ESPN O Show, and I just about

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Speaker 1: lost my shit because they're in a game where they're

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Speaker 1: trying to cover spread late. You know, the game was

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Speaker 1: basically a one possession game with like five minutes into

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Speaker 1: the second half, but they're opening up the lead. I

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Speaker 1: got a chance and they grab a rebounds and their

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Speaker 1: guard walks it up the floor and gets a ten count.

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Speaker 1: Not covered, no pressure, nothing. I just about flipped the

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Speaker 1: table over. I don't know if there's an equivalent for

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Speaker 1: another sport. Maybe just like a fumbled snap, like Alabama

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Speaker 1: in the Rose Bowl. They just couldn't snap the ball,

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Speaker 1: you know, to their quarterback. I was so angry. And

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Speaker 1: this happens from time to time. Usually it's foul shot related.

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Speaker 1: But it's just like in these unforced error situations in

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Speaker 1: college troops. It's hard enough to win on a regular

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Speaker 1: basis betting college basketball because of all the three point variants,

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Speaker 1: but then you add in bullshit like this. I just

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Speaker 1: about my brain broke, so I lost the juicy number

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Speaker 1: that I had. I got it right on the open,

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Speaker 1: but we had a chance to cover for everybody, and.

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Speaker 5: They go ahead and blow it.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, that's the final minute to college basketball. Will I've

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Speaker 2: had lots of trauma for over two decades of betting

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Speaker 2: a sport. It just comes with the territory. There was

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Speaker 2: a game. What was the game that I was watching

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Speaker 2: is Friday night? Man, this would have been this probably

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Speaker 2: would have let off Sports Center bad beats with Van Pell.

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Speaker 2: It was I don't know, someone out there reminding some

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Speaker 2: of the link. I'll retweet it, but there was the

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Speaker 2: spread was like six, and the other team had the

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Speaker 2: ball and they were at like the three point line,

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Speaker 2: and there was like time was running out. It was

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Speaker 2: like eight seven six, and he threw a bounce pass

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Speaker 2: to the kid to go up for like a flashy dunk,

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Speaker 2: and he did it, and but it was like zero

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Speaker 2: point one, after the after the buzzer. Those are always

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Speaker 2: fun too. This podcast is probably desented by BETTMGM.

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Speaker 7: He's bonus code action when signing up to get up

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Speaker 7: to one hundred and fifty eight dollars in bonus bets

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Speaker 7: when you bet five dollars for new users in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, Indiana, Iowall, Kentucky,

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Speaker 7: the Louisiana, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, New Jersey, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Virginia,

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Speaker 7: West Virginia, and Wyoming. Terms gisis apply must be twenty

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Speaker 7: one or older. Gambling problem call one eight hundred gambler.

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Speaker 2: All right, but let's get to some a ten talk

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Speaker 2: some buy low. My one of my favorite things I

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Speaker 2: look forward to each week is Greg buying high. He

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Speaker 2: already started, he already, we already got to taste that

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Speaker 2: he's buying Kansas after they e Houston. Now, for what

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Speaker 2: it's breath, Kansas is fourteen and oh all time at

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Speaker 2: home against top five teams that are ranked higher than them.

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Speaker 2: So you know that excludes if they're like one in

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Speaker 2: the team's five, which is pretty amazing. I think they're

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Speaker 2: now four and oh as home underdogs since nineteen ninety.

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Speaker 2: But let's let's do a little by low in the

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Speaker 2: eight ten, like this is your conference, so I will

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Speaker 2: refer to you to start. Who are you buying in

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Speaker 2: the Atlantic ten conference?

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Speaker 1: Tons of options just because it's you know, a clown

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Speaker 1: car of teams at like four and five in the

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Speaker 1: conference kind of in that middle class? Are they going

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Speaker 1: to end in the top six? But I'm going to

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Speaker 1: go with the minute man. You can UMass. They have

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Speaker 1: a loss at Dating by four, a loss at Loyola

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Speaker 1: by one, they lose at home on a buzzer beater

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Speaker 1: in Saint Jose, and they were without math Cross for

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Speaker 1: a few games. So I think if even one of

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Speaker 1: those games go their way, certainly the day the whole

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Speaker 1: narrative on them is different. I love their balance. They

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Speaker 1: have four starters who average double digits. They're an elite

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Speaker 1: offensive rebounding team eleventh nationally there thirty seventh and turnover

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Speaker 1: margin that's a key stat for me. They protect the basketball,

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Speaker 1: They're good with on ball pressure, they forced teams into

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Speaker 1: tough shots, sixtieth an opponent shooting percentage, and overall, I

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Speaker 1: just trust Frank Martin to get the most out of

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Speaker 1: a team that needs to win some of those closer games,

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Speaker 1: some of those grind half court kind of games as

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Speaker 1: they get into a ten tournament play and potentially you know,

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Speaker 1: whatever it is, a CBI or whatever they play and

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Speaker 1: in the postseason. He's made the tournament and gotten at

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Speaker 1: least one win in the NCAA tournament five times in

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Speaker 1: his career, So I think he certainly is somebody that

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Speaker 1: you can trust. But really the reason I'm buying at

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Speaker 1: this particular moment is a lot of the teams that

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Speaker 1: are in the top third and the bottom third, it's

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Speaker 1: been scheduled dependent. UMass's schedule is pretty light down the stretch.

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Speaker 1: Outside of a rode at Richmond, they could be favored

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Speaker 1: in seven of the other eight games.

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Speaker 5: And for that reason, I think they're going to.

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Speaker 1: Start stacking some wins here and this is an opportunity

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Speaker 1: to to play them to you know, get arguably a

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Speaker 1: top four seed in the A ten tournament if everything

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Speaker 1: goes right. But I'm going to play them on a

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Speaker 1: nightly basis in a lot of these spots.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, across obviously huge, and I also don't think that, Look,

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Speaker 2: it's not a great shooting team by any stretch of

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Speaker 2: the imagination. But I don't think that they're what twenty

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Speaker 2: eight and a half percent from three bad, which is

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Speaker 2: what they're shooting in the A ten, which is, if

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Speaker 2: not the worst, one of the worst in the conference

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Speaker 2: during league play, and we've seen just how important Matt

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Speaker 2: crosses to everything they do. And it's not you know,

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Speaker 2: the thing is, it's they're one of those teams. It's

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Speaker 2: not they don't shoot a ton of threes. They're not

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Speaker 2: a great shooting team, and they're not three point relyingt

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Speaker 2: because they're great on the offensive glass. But I would

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Speaker 2: think that there's probably some looming positive shooting regression for

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Speaker 2: the minute men. They're not as bad as they've been shooting,

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Speaker 2: and that will only provide a little extra bump. Greg,

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Speaker 2: where are you going with b in the A ten?

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Speaker 2: Buy you buying Dayton?

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Speaker 3: I'm not buying Dayton.

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Speaker 6: More on Dayton in just a moment, I think I

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Speaker 6: played this right finally, Although I am buying a team

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Speaker 6: that is ahead in the standings of where Mike just went,

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Speaker 6: I'm gonna take a shot a little flyer, a little

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Speaker 6: fifteen to one flyer.

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Speaker 3: On Loyoala Chicago on the Ramblers. All right, I get it.

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Speaker 3: The metrics don't love this team.

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Speaker 6: They're ninth on ken Pom in terms of just team

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Speaker 6: overall efficiency margin in this league. They're seven to two

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Speaker 6: in the conference. We are not far removed from an

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Speaker 6: offseason ago where Drew Valentine was one of the hottest

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Speaker 6: up and coming rising coaching names in a lot of

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Speaker 6: different job circles.

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Speaker 3: He got dealt. I don't want to say a bad.

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Speaker 6: Hand, because anytime you get your program to move up

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Speaker 6: a level in competition, that's a good thing. It speaks

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Speaker 6: to what you're building. But for year one in the

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Speaker 6: A ten to also be the first year that he

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Speaker 6: was without kind of his program staple guys that he had.

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Speaker 6: He had Crutwig for a couple of years, and then

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Speaker 6: he had Lucas William who was a superstar. Last year

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Speaker 6: was kind of a writing on the wall year for me.

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Speaker 6: It wasn't a shock to see them really really struggle.

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Speaker 6: He went out and did a lot of things to

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Speaker 6: the roster that I think he needed to do. Like

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Speaker 6: a lot of the same faces are still on this team.

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Speaker 6: Ben Schweiger, who is a big part of the rotation

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Speaker 6: last season, doesn't even play most games now, Miles Rubins

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Speaker 6: second in the country as a true freshman in block percentage.

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Speaker 3: This defense is legitimate.

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Speaker 6: They've got aged, they've got experience, they've got shooting. They

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Speaker 6: just need to take care of the basketball. But talk

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Speaker 6: about a schedule. They do still have some tough games left.

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Speaker 6: They've got back to back road games coming up, but

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Speaker 6: against the two teams ahead of them in the A

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Speaker 6: ten standings. Right now, They've only got one game left

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Speaker 6: on the schedule and it's Dayton March first.

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Speaker 3: They get them at home in Genteel in Chicago. I'm

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Speaker 3: going to take a fly.

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Speaker 6: I think fifteen to one is way misspriced for this team.

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Speaker 6: I think it should be closer to ten to one

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Speaker 6: and only a game back in the standings right now.

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Speaker 6: Halfway through the season. Guys, I think the Ramblers have

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Speaker 6: something special going and it won't surprise me to see

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Speaker 6: them keep racking up the wins.

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Speaker 2: Two things. One, I will say I will give you

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Speaker 2: credit for the call on True Valentine and and the Ramblers,

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Speaker 2: because I think, like a month ago or so, you

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Speaker 2: said everyone's out on this team, but I and you

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Speaker 2: saw something with Loyola. But I will call you out

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Speaker 2: in that you're buying a team that's that third in

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Speaker 2: the standings, are five and one or the last six.

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Speaker 2: So I give you credit for staying on brand even

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Speaker 2: though you thought you were kind of going off brand.

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Speaker 3: You one stuck fifteen to one to win to.

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Speaker 2: Win the conference. That, yeah, that's a different story. Loyal

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Speaker 2: Scott is one of my self candidates.

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Speaker 5: So it's my cell pick for this week. I can't wait, right, so.

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Speaker 2: We'll we'll uh debate that. So I guess I'll throw

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Speaker 2: my buy out there. I'm gonna I'm gonna buy my

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Speaker 2: underground alma mater g w I. You know, they've had

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Speaker 2: four straight losses, so I think that's probably close to

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Speaker 2: the bottom of the market on a team that plays

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Speaker 2: up and down. Not a team that fact is a favorite,

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Speaker 2: but a team that I think might be able to

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Speaker 2: get as an underdog and valuable spots coming up. They've

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Speaker 2: had a tough stretch. They've lost four straight. They've shot

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Speaker 2: twenty six of one oh two from three in those

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Speaker 2: four games, their opponents forty two of ninety three forty

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Speaker 2: five percent. Their opponents are shooting forty one and a

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Speaker 2: half percent from three in league play, and it's a

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Speaker 2: team that does a decent job of defending the three

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Speaker 2: point line or at least limiting three point attempts. So

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Speaker 2: I think you've seen, you know, flashes with GW. So

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Speaker 2: I think, you know, after four straight losses, this is

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Speaker 2: the time to potentially buy back in when you know,

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Speaker 2: pick your spots. But as yeah, I think they're going

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Speaker 2: to be an underdog. They'll be a favorite against Rhode

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Speaker 2: Island at home. I don't really love them as favorites,

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Speaker 2: but they'll probably be an underdog maybe in the rest

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Speaker 2: of their games. So I think at their four straight losses,

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Speaker 2: you know, as a team that before then one at

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Speaker 2: VCU beat Davidson, beat George Mason, and they've kind of

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Speaker 2: just hit a rough patch in terms of shooting splits

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Speaker 2: on both sides. So I think GW the Revolutionaries, which

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Speaker 2: is still so weird for me to say. I think

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Speaker 2: it's signed to buy them, but we're we'll move on

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Speaker 2: to our selling. Do you have any thoughts on GW, Mike,

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Speaker 2: any chance?

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Speaker 1: No, I think you're right in terms of situational spots.

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Speaker 1: I wouldn't want to lay points with them either, But

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Speaker 1: I think that they offensively too. They are due and

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Speaker 1: they have the guard play.

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Speaker 5: To pop off on a nightly basis.

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Speaker 1: So I think that's you're you're seeing the board correctly

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Speaker 1: in terms of playing them moving forward. That that's just

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Speaker 1: my take on GW and I won't do revolutionary. So

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Speaker 1: there was a couple of teams like was it valpos

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Speaker 1: the Beacons? Now it's like, come on, now, I'm not

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Speaker 1: buying into the new names.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I would have went for what sort? I would

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Speaker 2: have went blue Fog. There was like a poll and

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Speaker 2: there was a couple of different options. I didn't think

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Speaker 2: any of them were great, but I thought Blue Fog

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Speaker 2: was the best of the choices. But who cares that?

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Speaker 2: To get to see you are selling Gregg Spy and

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Speaker 2: Loyel in Chicago, I am.

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Speaker 1: I would like to give him credit because you were

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Speaker 1: absolutely right on in terms of when you were more

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Speaker 1: bullish on Loyola and you were singing their praises because

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Speaker 1: the schedule lined up properly.

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Speaker 5: Like when you look, I.

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Speaker 1: Think they have what seven wins in conference? They beat Dukane,

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Speaker 1: they beat Saint Louis twice, and they beat Davidson. So

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Speaker 1: four of those seven wins in the A ten is

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Speaker 1: not exactly blowing my hair back.

434
00:21:27,600 --> 00:21:29,000
Speaker 5: Then you look at some of their metrics.

435
00:21:29,040 --> 00:21:31,640
Speaker 1: Shot Quality rates them one hundred and eightieth offensively, which

436
00:21:31,680 --> 00:21:34,440
Speaker 1: is telling because they do take high efficiency shots. They're

437
00:21:34,440 --> 00:21:36,600
Speaker 1: sixty third in rim and three rate. They just don't

438
00:21:36,640 --> 00:21:39,080
Speaker 1: knock him down. And I also just don't trust him

439
00:21:39,080 --> 00:21:41,080
Speaker 1: in close games because they're awful from the line. They're

440
00:21:41,080 --> 00:21:43,960
Speaker 1: two hundred and eighty eighth in team three throw percentage

441
00:21:43,960 --> 00:21:46,920
Speaker 1: of sixty eight percent. And you mentioned it protecting the basketball.

442
00:21:46,920 --> 00:21:49,760
Speaker 1: They have a negative turnover margin negative one per game,

443
00:21:49,760 --> 00:21:50,920
Speaker 1: that's two hundred and sixtieth.

444
00:21:51,400 --> 00:21:52,119
Speaker 5: I know that they like to.

445
00:21:52,080 --> 00:21:55,320
Speaker 1: Play a little bit smaller, and even with a smaller lineup,

446
00:21:55,320 --> 00:21:58,200
Speaker 1: they're still able to grade up pretty decently on the

447
00:21:58,240 --> 00:22:00,879
Speaker 1: defensive end, but they get nothing on the offensive glass.

448
00:22:00,880 --> 00:22:03,800
Speaker 1: The three hundred and twenty ninth in offensive rebounding percentage.

449
00:22:03,920 --> 00:22:06,439
Speaker 1: So those are my core issues with them. As they

450
00:22:06,480 --> 00:22:08,880
Speaker 1: move into the meat of their A ten schedule, they're

451
00:22:08,920 --> 00:22:12,000
Speaker 1: going to need to get more scoring somehow, and I

452
00:22:12,119 --> 00:22:14,840
Speaker 1: just don't trust the shooting because I've seen enough of

453
00:22:14,880 --> 00:22:15,560
Speaker 1: them this season.

454
00:22:15,680 --> 00:22:16,960
Speaker 5: So can they win.

455
00:22:16,880 --> 00:22:18,679
Speaker 1: Games if they get into some rock fights and they

456
00:22:18,800 --> 00:22:21,880
Speaker 1: lean on their defense, Absolutely, But in terms of buying

457
00:22:21,960 --> 00:22:24,720
Speaker 1: them long term. Where they are now, will they finish

458
00:22:24,800 --> 00:22:27,399
Speaker 1: third or better? I have them moving more towards the

459
00:22:27,440 --> 00:22:29,000
Speaker 1: middle of the pack, maybe a fifth or six place

460
00:22:29,200 --> 00:22:30,360
Speaker 1: finish in the A ten.

461
00:22:30,600 --> 00:22:32,320
Speaker 2: Yeah, to build on that there. I mean they're also

462
00:22:32,359 --> 00:22:35,000
Speaker 2: five and one in one possession games they got to play,

463
00:22:35,080 --> 00:22:36,760
Speaker 2: so some of their metrics aren't played by the fact

464
00:22:36,840 --> 00:22:39,680
Speaker 2: they played. They played a number of teams without key players.

465
00:22:39,920 --> 00:22:44,280
Speaker 2: So they played UMass without Cross, they played Fordam without Meta,

466
00:22:44,359 --> 00:22:47,800
Speaker 2: and they've won those games by what I combined five points.

467
00:22:48,359 --> 00:22:51,240
Speaker 2: Saint Joe's was up like ten with five to go.

468
00:22:53,200 --> 00:22:56,479
Speaker 2: Who else had them on the ropes? Someone else had

469
00:22:56,480 --> 00:23:00,960
Speaker 2: them on the ropes? Was it? Bc BC was also

470
00:23:01,040 --> 00:23:02,800
Speaker 2: up like nine with three or four to go and

471
00:23:02,800 --> 00:23:05,560
Speaker 2: melted away. So they've had a couple fortunate wins in

472
00:23:05,640 --> 00:23:10,120
Speaker 2: close games, and they've played some teams that had their

473
00:23:10,320 --> 00:23:13,200
Speaker 2: key players missing, which you know, we just talked about

474
00:23:13,200 --> 00:23:16,920
Speaker 2: the importance Across and Fordham without matter is obviously important.

475
00:23:18,240 --> 00:23:21,280
Speaker 2: So yeah, I think I just don't trust their off

476
00:23:21,280 --> 00:23:23,280
Speaker 2: they they don't They don't take care of the ball,

477
00:23:23,320 --> 00:23:25,280
Speaker 2: they can't make free throws like all those little things.

478
00:23:25,520 --> 00:23:27,359
Speaker 2: Their defense is legit, but I think, like this is

479
00:23:27,359 --> 00:23:29,560
Speaker 2: probably the peak of their defensive metrics based on the

480
00:23:29,600 --> 00:23:32,560
Speaker 2: schedule and then playing teams without missing key players. But

481
00:23:32,600 --> 00:23:36,680
Speaker 2: I also mentioned VCU just for the pure fact that

482
00:23:36,760 --> 00:23:39,680
Speaker 2: I know they've lost a Bonnie's I'm a big Ryan

483
00:23:39,680 --> 00:23:42,560
Speaker 2: Odam guy. But they're shooting forty one percent from three

484
00:23:42,600 --> 00:23:45,680
Speaker 2: and teams are shooting twenty six percent against them in

485
00:23:45,760 --> 00:23:48,800
Speaker 2: league play. At that, I mean, they're number one in both.

486
00:23:49,400 --> 00:23:54,800
Speaker 2: I don't think that that's sustainable, and they're going to

487
00:23:54,880 --> 00:23:57,240
Speaker 2: be you know, they have a tough spot here right

488
00:23:57,280 --> 00:24:02,199
Speaker 2: between Richmond and Dayton going to Fordham on Tuesday. But

489
00:24:02,560 --> 00:24:04,960
Speaker 2: there's there's some looming shooting regression that's going to hit

490
00:24:05,119 --> 00:24:08,040
Speaker 2: the Rams that they're just not going to be able

491
00:24:08,040 --> 00:24:11,480
Speaker 2: to sustain. But let's Greg, let's go to your cell.

492
00:24:11,680 --> 00:24:15,440
Speaker 2: If I had a guess, you're selling Saint Louis.

493
00:24:15,119 --> 00:24:19,359
Speaker 6: I'm selling Dayton Boys. That's what I'm going You can't

494
00:24:19,400 --> 00:24:23,560
Speaker 6: accuse me. You cannot accuse me of not selling high here. Listen,

495
00:24:23,720 --> 00:24:25,760
Speaker 6: I respect Dayton. I think this is the.

496
00:24:25,680 --> 00:24:26,840
Speaker 3: Best team in the conference.

497
00:24:26,960 --> 00:24:30,480
Speaker 6: Of course, the Ron Holmes, what he's been doing is special,

498
00:24:30,760 --> 00:24:32,320
Speaker 6: first team All American level stuff.

499
00:24:32,320 --> 00:24:33,760
Speaker 3: I don't know that he's going to get the first.

500
00:24:33,840 --> 00:24:36,679
Speaker 6: American or get rid of the award, right Like, it's

501
00:24:36,800 --> 00:24:39,159
Speaker 6: there's nobody in the country other than Zach Edy that

502
00:24:39,320 --> 00:24:41,200
Speaker 6: at a front corp position is doing what he's doing

503
00:24:41,280 --> 00:24:43,320
Speaker 6: night in a night out right Now. That's also what

504
00:24:43,480 --> 00:24:45,879
Speaker 6: scares me a little bit about Dayton is I just

505
00:24:45,920 --> 00:24:49,560
Speaker 6: think they are so dependent on Holmes being elite every

506
00:24:49,600 --> 00:24:52,080
Speaker 6: single game. I mean, you go through this if he

507
00:24:52,119 --> 00:24:54,280
Speaker 6: gets in foul trouble. The one game that's happened in

508
00:24:54,320 --> 00:24:56,439
Speaker 6: conference play was the lost to Richmond. He finishes with

509
00:24:56,520 --> 00:24:59,479
Speaker 6: nine points in twenty five minutes before fouls. That happens,

510
00:24:59,480 --> 00:25:01,679
Speaker 6: They're gonna lose the basketball game more often not just

511
00:25:01,760 --> 00:25:05,720
Speaker 6: is what it is. They've got three away games left

512
00:25:05,800 --> 00:25:08,320
Speaker 6: against the KEMPOM Top one hundred. I believe they've only

513
00:25:08,320 --> 00:25:11,080
Speaker 6: played one in conference play up until now. The schedule's

514
00:25:11,080 --> 00:25:13,600
Speaker 6: getting harder for this team. I believe they're good. I

515
00:25:13,640 --> 00:25:15,920
Speaker 6: believe they're the best team, but I think, to your guys,

516
00:25:16,000 --> 00:25:18,320
Speaker 6: points schedule is gonna get tougher. I don't like one

517
00:25:18,320 --> 00:25:22,159
Speaker 6: dimensional basketball teams, and that defense I think is the

518
00:25:22,200 --> 00:25:25,200
Speaker 6: weak spot. Like offensively, they can outscore teams most nights,

519
00:25:25,240 --> 00:25:28,159
Speaker 6: defense they're just fine. And if Holmes gets in trouble.

520
00:25:28,720 --> 00:25:30,320
Speaker 6: I don't know that I trust them on the defensive

521
00:25:30,400 --> 00:25:31,679
Speaker 6: end against some of the teams in the middle of

522
00:25:31,680 --> 00:25:33,720
Speaker 6: the pack on their home courts, which is what they're

523
00:25:33,720 --> 00:25:35,680
Speaker 6: going to have to fight through during the stretch run

524
00:25:35,680 --> 00:25:36,119
Speaker 6: of the season.

525
00:25:36,400 --> 00:25:38,560
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean they are super reliant on Holmes, who

526
00:25:38,640 --> 00:25:43,000
Speaker 2: is incredible. I'm gonna next week, I'll try to come

527
00:25:43,000 --> 00:25:46,520
Speaker 2: with this list of teams we're about at that time

528
00:25:46,600 --> 00:25:50,359
Speaker 2: where we have enough data where I and I have

529
00:25:50,440 --> 00:25:52,120
Speaker 2: the like a lot of these teams in my head,

530
00:25:52,119 --> 00:25:55,560
Speaker 2: but covered officialists that the teams that, like, once one

531
00:25:55,640 --> 00:25:59,159
Speaker 2: guy potentially gets in major foul trouble, like if you

532
00:25:59,200 --> 00:26:04,720
Speaker 2: can hit right away live betting against them, like one

533
00:26:04,760 --> 00:26:06,880
Speaker 2: that comes to mind. It's not always the most obvious guy,

534
00:26:07,200 --> 00:26:09,959
Speaker 2: but one that comes to mind for me. This weekend,

535
00:26:09,960 --> 00:26:12,320
Speaker 2: I lost. I lost a bet on Maryland. When I

536
00:26:12,320 --> 00:26:14,040
Speaker 2: put it in the app, I said, just hope Reese

537
00:26:14,040 --> 00:26:17,320
Speaker 2: doesn't get in foul trouble was my comment, which he did,

538
00:26:17,400 --> 00:26:19,399
Speaker 2: and then he didn't. He got he played like fourteen minutes.

539
00:26:19,920 --> 00:26:23,119
Speaker 2: Same thing happened in Minnesota. Maryland argument has maybe a

540
00:26:23,200 --> 00:26:26,560
Speaker 2: top five defense, like, but they need Reese in the middle.

541
00:26:26,600 --> 00:26:29,639
Speaker 2: Where they funnel everything too, and he's kind of the anchor.

542
00:26:29,880 --> 00:26:32,639
Speaker 2: When he gets in foul trouble, which he does frequently,

543
00:26:33,359 --> 00:26:36,840
Speaker 2: their defense is just nowhere close to the same and

544
00:26:38,040 --> 00:26:41,760
Speaker 2: his rim protection. When that goes away, and then Willard

545
00:26:41,760 --> 00:26:44,080
Speaker 2: has to sit him for like fourteen minutes in the

546
00:26:44,080 --> 00:26:45,720
Speaker 2: first half that he picks up another fat you got

547
00:26:45,720 --> 00:26:47,879
Speaker 2: to you know, sit them like ten more minutes in

548
00:26:47,920 --> 00:26:50,639
Speaker 2: the second half, their defense drops off a cliff. But

549
00:26:52,000 --> 00:26:55,200
Speaker 2: Holmes is obviously one of those guys that's just so important.

550
00:26:56,520 --> 00:26:59,640
Speaker 2: So yeah, if he gets in foul trouble, Dayton certainly

551
00:26:59,760 --> 00:27:02,199
Speaker 2: is a trouble for stretches. The good thing is they

552
00:27:02,240 --> 00:27:04,680
Speaker 2: do at least grind the game, try to grind games

553
00:27:04,720 --> 00:27:07,119
Speaker 2: down to a halt. But let's get to the early

554
00:27:07,240 --> 00:27:11,199
Speaker 2: week slate and pick out some spots here. I will say,

555
00:27:11,560 --> 00:27:14,240
Speaker 2: you know, we talked about how I've mentioned this a

556
00:27:14,240 --> 00:27:16,960
Speaker 2: lot over the past month, how like spots that were

557
00:27:17,000 --> 00:27:21,000
Speaker 2: just automatic free money for fifteen years are so priced

558
00:27:21,359 --> 00:27:25,080
Speaker 2: out of the market now, so it's rare that you get,

559
00:27:25,600 --> 00:27:28,480
Speaker 2: you know, I get a spot here with Kansas State

560
00:27:28,720 --> 00:27:31,600
Speaker 2: catching five. I would have thought this line where it

561
00:27:31,640 --> 00:27:33,320
Speaker 2: did open, it was going to be like three, three

562
00:27:33,359 --> 00:27:34,480
Speaker 2: and a half that I wasn't gona be able to

563
00:27:34,520 --> 00:27:38,119
Speaker 2: play it. But we mentioned this on our Big Twelfth

564
00:27:38,240 --> 00:27:40,720
Speaker 2: Cell a couple weeks ago. We all agreed Kansas State

565
00:27:40,920 --> 00:27:44,320
Speaker 2: was the cell. I think it was a pretty obvious cell.

566
00:27:44,920 --> 00:27:46,600
Speaker 2: They were playing a bunch of teams that could turn

567
00:27:46,640 --> 00:27:49,960
Speaker 2: them over, and that's really there. They have a lot

568
00:27:50,000 --> 00:27:52,480
Speaker 2: of issues, but that's one of their primary issues. That

569
00:27:52,560 --> 00:27:55,080
Speaker 2: be they're three hundred and forty seventh in the country

570
00:27:55,080 --> 00:27:57,320
Speaker 2: and turnover percentage. There's a lot of teams in the

571
00:27:57,320 --> 00:27:59,840
Speaker 2: Big twelve that you do not want to play if

572
00:27:59,880 --> 00:28:02,720
Speaker 2: you have turnover issues. Well, since we said to sell

573
00:28:03,720 --> 00:28:08,160
Speaker 2: Kansas State, they what they They barely beat Oklahoma State,

574
00:28:08,240 --> 00:28:10,159
Speaker 2: then they lost four straight. I always stated, a good

575
00:28:10,200 --> 00:28:13,400
Speaker 2: journey over Houston, blown out by Oklahoma and then they

576
00:28:13,520 --> 00:28:16,920
Speaker 2: I think they bottomed out, probably at Oklahoma State. They're

577
00:28:16,960 --> 00:28:21,400
Speaker 2: now on the outs, to my opinion, on the outside

578
00:28:21,400 --> 00:28:26,240
Speaker 2: of the bubble. Looking at the bubble, this is like

579
00:28:26,320 --> 00:28:30,119
Speaker 2: their season. This game against Kansas at home, Kansas coming

580
00:28:30,160 --> 00:28:34,639
Speaker 2: off of a they played perfect basketball. You score what

581
00:28:34,720 --> 00:28:37,640
Speaker 2: did they shoot eighty percent from two against Houston? They

582
00:28:37,640 --> 00:28:40,160
Speaker 2: scored one point twenty five points possession? What is that

583
00:28:41,600 --> 00:28:44,280
Speaker 2: if you translate that to a normal against a normal defense,

584
00:28:44,560 --> 00:28:47,400
Speaker 2: like scoring one point two points per possession against Houston,

585
00:28:47,760 --> 00:28:52,360
Speaker 2: that's like one, that's one eight. Again, I mean Houston

586
00:28:52,680 --> 00:28:57,360
Speaker 2: was historically good defense. So Kansas quick turnaround from that.

587
00:28:57,600 --> 00:29:00,280
Speaker 2: Just huge win. And this is still a team at

588
00:29:00,520 --> 00:29:03,760
Speaker 2: look at their last four road games. They lost that UCF,

589
00:29:03,800 --> 00:29:06,640
Speaker 2: they lost that West Virginia, they lost that Iowa State,

590
00:29:07,280 --> 00:29:09,720
Speaker 2: and they beat Oklahoma State. So it's a team that

591
00:29:10,320 --> 00:29:13,320
Speaker 2: hasn't been the same away from home. I agree with

592
00:29:13,320 --> 00:29:15,200
Speaker 2: a lot of things that Greg said earlier in the

593
00:29:15,240 --> 00:29:17,640
Speaker 2: week or early in the show, I should say with

594
00:29:17,680 --> 00:29:21,280
Speaker 2: how Furfey, it's just like more furfee les Jackson and

595
00:29:21,760 --> 00:29:24,800
Speaker 2: they've just become a different team. But Kansas won't pressure.

596
00:29:25,000 --> 00:29:27,120
Speaker 2: They're not going to pressure Kansas State. They're not a

597
00:29:27,120 --> 00:29:28,960
Speaker 2: team that's going to force a ton of turnovers, which

598
00:29:29,000 --> 00:29:32,520
Speaker 2: really helps the Kansas State offense. This is just the

599
00:29:32,560 --> 00:29:35,640
Speaker 2: definition of a Bilo cell high spot. And I don't

600
00:29:36,360 --> 00:29:38,360
Speaker 2: for once they don't have to actually pay a premium

601
00:29:38,440 --> 00:29:40,960
Speaker 2: on it. So I'm taking a show with Kansas State

602
00:29:41,840 --> 00:29:46,560
Speaker 2: full game and some first half tonight in just a

603
00:29:46,640 --> 00:29:49,320
Speaker 2: game that they I think they pretty much have to

604
00:29:49,320 --> 00:29:51,240
Speaker 2: have they. I know that Big twelve you get a

605
00:29:51,280 --> 00:29:55,920
Speaker 2: ton of opportunities to get more resume building wins. But

606
00:29:56,360 --> 00:29:58,440
Speaker 2: this is a huge game for Kansas State, and I

607
00:29:58,480 --> 00:30:03,040
Speaker 2: don't think it's the worst matchup in the world stematically.

608
00:30:03,240 --> 00:30:06,640
Speaker 2: So yeah, I'm gonna go with the Wildcats Ema. I

609
00:30:06,720 --> 00:30:10,880
Speaker 2: think they've probably bottomed out market wise and Kansas coming

610
00:30:10,920 --> 00:30:13,120
Speaker 2: off that huge win. Greg, I'll throw it to you.

611
00:30:13,640 --> 00:30:15,840
Speaker 2: Any thoughts there, and what do you got?

612
00:30:16,480 --> 00:30:18,480
Speaker 3: Yeah? I stuck. I hate to say it.

613
00:30:18,520 --> 00:30:20,920
Speaker 6: I'm opposite you here, but that should surprise no one

614
00:30:21,000 --> 00:30:24,800
Speaker 6: because I buy high and sell love. So the deal

615
00:30:24,840 --> 00:30:27,080
Speaker 6: with this Kansas State team for me is I just

616
00:30:27,120 --> 00:30:27,880
Speaker 6: think they stink.

617
00:30:27,880 --> 00:30:28,720
Speaker 3: I think they're cooked.

618
00:30:28,880 --> 00:30:32,800
Speaker 6: I think their desperation spot was a week ago at

619
00:30:32,800 --> 00:30:36,760
Speaker 6: home against Oklahoma and they lost by twenty.

620
00:30:36,800 --> 00:30:39,800
Speaker 3: This to me is not a good matchup.

621
00:30:39,920 --> 00:30:41,840
Speaker 6: I agree with you on the turnover points, but to me,

622
00:30:42,000 --> 00:30:47,000
Speaker 6: Kansas State's entire offense hinges on. Can Tyler Perry win

623
00:30:47,120 --> 00:30:49,840
Speaker 6: his matchup one on one for forty minutes? I don't

624
00:30:49,840 --> 00:30:51,800
Speaker 6: think he can do that against Awan Harris, who is

625
00:30:51,840 --> 00:30:54,920
Speaker 6: a stellar defensive guard. Even if he's not pressuring full

626
00:30:54,920 --> 00:30:57,040
Speaker 6: court like he's gonna make it very difficult on a

627
00:30:57,120 --> 00:31:00,480
Speaker 6: volume shooting guy. This is just a crazy number. I

628
00:31:00,480 --> 00:31:02,360
Speaker 6: went back and looked at this. Jerome Tang is like

629
00:31:02,480 --> 00:31:04,640
Speaker 6: still one of the hottest names in coaching circles. He's

630
00:31:04,640 --> 00:31:06,320
Speaker 6: been at Kansas State for a year and a half.

631
00:31:06,800 --> 00:31:11,200
Speaker 6: He's ten and zero in overtime games. Twenty five percent

632
00:31:11,280 --> 00:31:14,000
Speaker 6: of his wins at Kansas State have come in overtime.

633
00:31:14,360 --> 00:31:17,720
Speaker 6: That's insane, Like, I don't think that's ever happened in

634
00:31:17,720 --> 00:31:20,400
Speaker 6: college basketball history for a guy, and to me, I

635
00:31:20,760 --> 00:31:23,000
Speaker 6: just think there's clear signals that the wheels are off

636
00:31:23,000 --> 00:31:23,560
Speaker 6: with this team.

637
00:31:23,640 --> 00:31:27,760
Speaker 3: So it's probably a stay away for me more than anything. Stuck.

638
00:31:27,880 --> 00:31:29,920
Speaker 6: But I agree with you the number being up to

639
00:31:29,960 --> 00:31:32,760
Speaker 6: four and a half now signals that Kansas State should

640
00:31:32,760 --> 00:31:33,080
Speaker 6: be the play.

641
00:31:33,200 --> 00:31:35,520
Speaker 3: I just don't trust this team with my life right now.

642
00:31:36,320 --> 00:31:39,080
Speaker 2: You know what a team that The only team that

643
00:31:39,120 --> 00:31:42,840
Speaker 2: I could thick of in overtime with a similar record

644
00:31:43,120 --> 00:31:45,920
Speaker 2: of late is Florida State. I think Florida State's won

645
00:31:46,040 --> 00:31:49,320
Speaker 2: like fifteen straight overtime games. I know that they were

646
00:31:49,560 --> 00:31:53,320
Speaker 2: thirteen toz they have, they tied, they tied, they beat

647
00:31:53,320 --> 00:31:55,520
Speaker 2: the nca They have the NCAA record which they set

648
00:31:55,520 --> 00:31:57,400
Speaker 2: like a year or so ago, and then they won

649
00:31:57,440 --> 00:31:59,760
Speaker 2: a game, and didn't they beat Colorado in overtime around

650
00:31:59,800 --> 00:32:04,240
Speaker 2: this Yeah, yep, so fourteen straight. They've won fourteen straight

651
00:32:04,320 --> 00:32:08,640
Speaker 2: in overtime, which is an NCAA record, So don't quot

652
00:32:08,680 --> 00:32:12,200
Speaker 2: overtime against Florida State or Kansas State. Mike League got

653
00:32:12,240 --> 00:32:12,720
Speaker 2: for early week.

654
00:32:13,200 --> 00:32:15,480
Speaker 1: I'm gonna go Monday with a total under one thirty

655
00:32:15,480 --> 00:32:18,080
Speaker 1: two and a half. Miami against Virginia. It's it's tried

656
00:32:18,080 --> 00:32:20,280
Speaker 1: and true here. The Cavaliers play at the second slowest

657
00:32:20,320 --> 00:32:22,480
Speaker 1: pace in the country. A little fun fact for of

658
00:32:22,480 --> 00:32:24,840
Speaker 1: the five slowest tempo teams in the country have been

659
00:32:24,840 --> 00:32:27,560
Speaker 1: winning the record, including Virginia and Saint Mary's. So it's

660
00:32:27,600 --> 00:32:30,800
Speaker 1: nice to see the Snails getting rewarded for their their

661
00:32:30,880 --> 00:32:34,640
Speaker 1: brand of basketball. You know, Miami, despite their talent, they've

662
00:32:34,680 --> 00:32:37,840
Speaker 1: actually gone under in seven of their eleven ACC games,

663
00:32:37,840 --> 00:32:40,160
Speaker 1: and a handful have gone way under. Nineteen points under

664
00:32:40,160 --> 00:32:43,600
Speaker 1: the closing total against QS, ten under against pitt thirteen

665
00:32:43,680 --> 00:32:46,640
Speaker 1: under against NC State, And when you look at Tony Bennett,

666
00:32:46,640 --> 00:32:49,640
Speaker 1: you know, since arriving in Charlottesville in two thousand and nine,

667
00:32:49,960 --> 00:32:52,840
Speaker 1: they've cast sixty percent to the under that's the most

668
00:32:52,840 --> 00:32:55,680
Speaker 1: profitable under team among power programs. And you got to

669
00:32:55,760 --> 00:32:58,760
Speaker 1: keep in mind books obviously have adjusted, they keep dropping

670
00:32:58,800 --> 00:33:01,360
Speaker 1: these numbers low, they keep you know, limboing below them.

671
00:33:01,720 --> 00:33:04,120
Speaker 1: And then finally there's the three point variance here, of

672
00:33:04,160 --> 00:33:06,400
Speaker 1: which there is little to speak of because I think

673
00:33:06,400 --> 00:33:08,800
Speaker 1: it's already baked in. Miami's a top twenty three point

674
00:33:08,800 --> 00:33:09,920
Speaker 1: shooting team in the country.

675
00:33:10,000 --> 00:33:11,320
Speaker 5: That's already baked into the number.

676
00:33:11,440 --> 00:33:14,000
Speaker 1: And Virginia only shoots eighteen per game, which is three

677
00:33:14,040 --> 00:33:14,720
Speaker 1: hundred and twelve.

678
00:33:15,160 --> 00:33:16,880
Speaker 5: So when you look at that, there's just.

679
00:33:16,800 --> 00:33:19,440
Speaker 1: Not going to be that many opportunities for mini runs

680
00:33:19,480 --> 00:33:20,400
Speaker 1: to happen in this game.

681
00:33:20,520 --> 00:33:22,000
Speaker 5: That's why I like Under one thirty two and a

682
00:33:22,040 --> 00:33:23,040
Speaker 5: half great.

683
00:33:23,040 --> 00:33:25,720
Speaker 2: Before we get to another look each and Michael, I

684
00:33:25,760 --> 00:33:28,520
Speaker 2: asked you this too. If as of right now, if

685
00:33:28,560 --> 00:33:32,360
Speaker 2: you had to go to battle with it's for your life,

686
00:33:32,840 --> 00:33:37,440
Speaker 2: and it's we're telling the ACC Conference sermon. So we

687
00:33:37,520 --> 00:33:40,600
Speaker 2: take Duke in North Carolina out of it. If either

688
00:33:40,600 --> 00:33:44,200
Speaker 2: one of those teams wins, you live. But if any

689
00:33:44,280 --> 00:33:49,280
Speaker 2: other team wins it, you go to prison for five years.

690
00:33:49,440 --> 00:33:51,400
Speaker 2: But you can pick one of the other teams and

691
00:33:51,440 --> 00:33:54,240
Speaker 2: if you get it right, then we'll give you ten

692
00:33:54,280 --> 00:33:58,480
Speaker 2: million dollars. Which other team are you choosing in the

693
00:33:58,520 --> 00:34:01,960
Speaker 2: ACC to win? Because there's just a giant what is

694
00:34:02,000 --> 00:34:05,959
Speaker 2: there ten tent. It's just like a ten team glob

695
00:34:07,160 --> 00:34:11,000
Speaker 2: above you Notre Dame Louisville, Georgia Tech. Who are you taking?

696
00:34:11,080 --> 00:34:13,880
Speaker 2: If I had a guess, Greg, You're going with Miami.

697
00:34:14,480 --> 00:34:17,439
Speaker 6: I'm trying to talk myself out of it actively right now,

698
00:34:17,480 --> 00:34:20,840
Speaker 6: but I don't think I can. And there's nothing metrically

699
00:34:20,960 --> 00:34:25,120
Speaker 6: that's gonna defend this pick. But like, there's gotta be

700
00:34:25,400 --> 00:34:29,960
Speaker 6: at least a chance that this team really is just

701
00:34:30,080 --> 00:34:32,120
Speaker 6: coasting and is a bright lights team, Like I still

702
00:34:32,120 --> 00:34:34,920
Speaker 6: have no idea how they made the Final four last season,

703
00:34:34,960 --> 00:34:38,160
Speaker 6: and they got some breaks along the way, But I

704
00:34:38,200 --> 00:34:41,040
Speaker 6: think given where the other teams are and the track

705
00:34:41,080 --> 00:34:44,279
Speaker 6: record and the resumes at this point, Miami's the only

706
00:34:44,280 --> 00:34:46,080
Speaker 6: one I would circle and be like, well, they've never

707
00:34:46,160 --> 00:34:49,480
Speaker 6: been at full strength, like Virginia has gotten where they

708
00:34:49,480 --> 00:34:52,560
Speaker 6: are pretty much at full strength Wake Forest, same thing.

709
00:34:53,360 --> 00:34:55,919
Speaker 6: I think there's a reasonable outcome here where we see

710
00:34:55,920 --> 00:34:57,880
Speaker 6: a different Miami team for the final month of the

711
00:34:57,920 --> 00:35:00,880
Speaker 6: season than we've seen for the bulk of offer to play,

712
00:35:01,000 --> 00:35:03,360
Speaker 6: which Yeah, points me to the Hurricanes, is my answer,

713
00:35:03,840 --> 00:35:04,600
Speaker 6: Mike choosing.

714
00:35:04,880 --> 00:35:07,719
Speaker 1: There's some quick clarification notes here, is it like a

715
00:35:07,760 --> 00:35:10,319
Speaker 1: single room in prison? Because I've been woking up either

716
00:35:10,360 --> 00:35:12,640
Speaker 1: by my kids or my sick wife about four days

717
00:35:12,640 --> 00:35:13,000
Speaker 1: in a row.

718
00:35:13,040 --> 00:35:16,520
Speaker 5: So if I'm on my own, slay me.

719
00:35:16,840 --> 00:35:20,439
Speaker 2: All right, I mean, you really got to choose too.

720
00:35:20,600 --> 00:35:22,719
Speaker 5: Okay, okay, all right, you're really putting my feet to

721
00:35:22,719 --> 00:35:22,960
Speaker 5: the fire.

722
00:35:22,960 --> 00:35:26,200
Speaker 2: Here. I'll go he has untreated, untreated sleep happening. I'll

723
00:35:26,200 --> 00:35:26,800
Speaker 2: go Clemson.

724
00:35:26,920 --> 00:35:29,080
Speaker 1: They got four losses in the past six weeks by

725
00:35:29,080 --> 00:35:32,239
Speaker 1: three points or less. Eventually some of these threes have

726
00:35:32,280 --> 00:35:35,360
Speaker 1: to go in Chase Hunter. Isn't an incredible three point slump.

727
00:35:35,600 --> 00:35:37,839
Speaker 1: At least I know I got PJ Hole, and maybe

728
00:35:37,840 --> 00:35:39,279
Speaker 1: I can hitch my wagon to him and he could

729
00:35:39,280 --> 00:35:41,359
Speaker 1: play really well for three or four games in a row.

730
00:35:41,440 --> 00:35:43,960
Speaker 2: So I'll go Clemson. Yeah, I guess it's it's a

731
00:35:44,000 --> 00:35:45,520
Speaker 2: tough question because I was thinking about it and I

732
00:35:45,520 --> 00:35:47,800
Speaker 2: didn't really have a clear answer. I mean, I don't

733
00:35:48,080 --> 00:35:51,560
Speaker 2: I don't trust Virginia's offense, I don't trust Miami's defense.

734
00:35:53,120 --> 00:35:55,880
Speaker 2: I don't paint either of your two answers there were

735
00:35:55,880 --> 00:35:57,840
Speaker 2: the two I would have considered. But also they awake.

736
00:35:57,920 --> 00:36:02,040
Speaker 2: I think just Waits the most complete other team, but

737
00:36:02,120 --> 00:36:04,560
Speaker 2: something just seems off with them. I don't I can't

738
00:36:04,560 --> 00:36:07,879
Speaker 2: put my finger on it. But weve a lot more

739
00:36:07,920 --> 00:36:10,920
Speaker 2: to say about the ACA Conference Cernament Love podcast previewing

740
00:36:11,000 --> 00:36:14,520
Speaker 2: every single conference Curnament when March is here, which is

741
00:36:14,600 --> 00:36:19,120
Speaker 2: less than a month away. Crazy. All right, let's get

742
00:36:19,160 --> 00:36:23,120
Speaker 2: to at least one more look each for the early week, Mike,

743
00:36:23,160 --> 00:36:29,040
Speaker 2: you just mentioned it. North Carolina plays Clemson, huge win

744
00:36:29,080 --> 00:36:32,240
Speaker 2: over Duke there. I'm hoping that I can get double

745
00:36:32,280 --> 00:36:37,440
Speaker 2: digits with Clemson here. Carolina has been incredible for stretches,

746
00:36:37,480 --> 00:36:39,200
Speaker 2: but we still talked about what you did, Duke shoot

747
00:36:39,200 --> 00:36:40,880
Speaker 2: twenty percent from three? I didn't even look at the

748
00:36:40,920 --> 00:36:44,080
Speaker 2: bid even updated. My numbers have been traveling, but I

749
00:36:44,320 --> 00:36:46,760
Speaker 2: assume Duke shot twenty percent from three? What did they shoot?

750
00:36:47,680 --> 00:36:50,080
Speaker 5: I think it was in the mid twenties. It wasn't great.

751
00:36:50,080 --> 00:36:52,600
Speaker 2: It's improvement. Well yeah, so, I mean teas are still

752
00:36:52,600 --> 00:36:59,240
Speaker 2: shooting twenty six percent from three against North Carolina and Clemson. Meanwhile,

753
00:36:59,280 --> 00:37:02,279
Speaker 2: you mentioned the shooting regression. They're shooting thirty percent from

754
00:37:02,360 --> 00:37:04,600
Speaker 2: three in league play. They're like a thirty four to

755
00:37:04,640 --> 00:37:09,839
Speaker 2: thirty five percent three point shooting team, and teams are

756
00:37:09,840 --> 00:37:13,440
Speaker 2: shooting thirty seven and a half percent against them, and

757
00:37:13,480 --> 00:37:16,359
Speaker 2: it's not a great shooting league. And for the year,

758
00:37:16,480 --> 00:37:19,520
Speaker 2: they're holding teams to like thirty three percent. So shooting

759
00:37:19,520 --> 00:37:21,799
Speaker 2: regression all on the side of Clemson. Go back to

760
00:37:21,880 --> 00:37:24,680
Speaker 2: the first time these two teams played, and I'm curious

761
00:37:24,680 --> 00:37:27,839
Speaker 2: to see where this line ends up, because Clemson, I

762
00:37:27,840 --> 00:37:31,960
Speaker 2: believe opened as like a pick and closed like minus three.

763
00:37:32,280 --> 00:37:36,919
Speaker 2: Mike Crazy, some of these counts, right, yeah, so would

764
00:37:36,960 --> 00:37:39,040
Speaker 2: love to get them. I mean a kmam Projeckson's double.

765
00:37:39,080 --> 00:37:40,759
Speaker 2: They just love to get that. They played that game

766
00:37:40,760 --> 00:37:42,640
Speaker 2: they went if they were never out of it. I

767
00:37:42,680 --> 00:37:45,040
Speaker 2: didn't feel like they could win it. But they shot

768
00:37:45,080 --> 00:37:49,160
Speaker 2: one of eighteen from three. You're not beating North count

769
00:37:49,239 --> 00:37:51,840
Speaker 2: so obviously they shoot one of eighteen from three. I

770
00:37:51,840 --> 00:37:53,279
Speaker 2: mean they lost by ten. They technically, I mean, I

771
00:37:53,280 --> 00:37:55,600
Speaker 2: guess they could still cover. But North caront off that

772
00:37:55,680 --> 00:38:00,279
Speaker 2: huge Duke win, like just fat and happy syndrome two

773
00:38:00,320 --> 00:38:05,400
Speaker 2: and a half games clear in the ACC. Clemson needs

774
00:38:05,400 --> 00:38:08,520
Speaker 2: this game, and you mentioned it. Three of their last

775
00:38:08,520 --> 00:38:12,600
Speaker 2: four losses by one to Virginia by one at Duke

776
00:38:12,760 --> 00:38:17,120
Speaker 2: a foul with one second left, and by two or

777
00:38:17,160 --> 00:38:21,239
Speaker 2: three and double overtime against Georgia Tech. So they've just

778
00:38:21,719 --> 00:38:24,480
Speaker 2: they've been on the wrong end of some of these

779
00:38:24,480 --> 00:38:28,200
Speaker 2: close games, which I think will get us some value here.

780
00:38:28,200 --> 00:38:33,080
Speaker 2: They got embarrassed last year against North Carolina, and I

781
00:38:33,080 --> 00:38:35,120
Speaker 2: think it's just a good spot for a veteran Clemson

782
00:38:35,120 --> 00:38:38,560
Speaker 2: team that won't be intimidated by the environment. We saw

783
00:38:38,600 --> 00:38:40,760
Speaker 2: that in Cameron, So I think it's a good spot

784
00:38:40,800 --> 00:38:43,719
Speaker 2: to get Clemson in a good number. Great. Do you

785
00:38:43,760 --> 00:38:44,719
Speaker 2: have anything else early week?

786
00:38:45,360 --> 00:38:45,680
Speaker 3: I do?

787
00:38:46,160 --> 00:38:48,640
Speaker 6: First off, though, I love I love the running trope

788
00:38:48,680 --> 00:38:51,000
Speaker 6: that either you or I are fading North Carolina every

789
00:38:51,000 --> 00:38:52,359
Speaker 6: single week on this program.

790
00:38:52,040 --> 00:38:54,600
Speaker 5: With oh yeah I forgot and I actually had Clemson.

791
00:38:54,640 --> 00:38:56,000
Speaker 1: I was like, I'm ready to be a part of

792
00:38:56,000 --> 00:38:57,680
Speaker 1: the trio here and you jump me in line.

793
00:38:57,719 --> 00:38:59,600
Speaker 2: So yeah, I will build on that, Mike, build you

794
00:38:59,600 --> 00:39:00,000
Speaker 2: anything else?

795
00:39:01,200 --> 00:39:02,960
Speaker 5: Yeah, I know you hit all the main points.

796
00:39:03,000 --> 00:39:04,520
Speaker 1: The fact that they only lost by ten and they

797
00:39:04,520 --> 00:39:06,520
Speaker 1: could throw it in the ocean against North Carolina.

798
00:39:06,560 --> 00:39:08,000
Speaker 5: I find that to be very promising.

799
00:39:08,200 --> 00:39:10,919
Speaker 1: Like, honestly, if they shoot twenty five percent from that game,

800
00:39:10,920 --> 00:39:11,799
Speaker 1: they probably win it.

801
00:39:12,040 --> 00:39:14,720
Speaker 5: So I think the.

802
00:39:14,120 --> 00:39:17,080
Speaker 2: PJ was in like a fog in that game and

803
00:39:17,200 --> 00:39:18,839
Speaker 2: he was getting benched and like, I don't know what

804
00:39:18,920 --> 00:39:21,719
Speaker 2: was he got. Then he got in foul trouble and

805
00:39:21,760 --> 00:39:24,879
Speaker 2: he's obviously really important that they also got Jack Clark back,

806
00:39:25,080 --> 00:39:28,600
Speaker 2: and he's more important defensively. Could just give you some

807
00:39:28,760 --> 00:39:31,799
Speaker 2: versatility and good defensive minutes agahead.

808
00:39:31,480 --> 00:39:33,439
Speaker 1: Yeah, it just you know, to close that up as

809
00:39:33,440 --> 00:39:35,960
Speaker 1: I was mentioning Chase Hunter in this three point slump,

810
00:39:36,040 --> 00:39:38,520
Speaker 1: just give me something from one of the two guards

811
00:39:38,719 --> 00:39:40,560
Speaker 1: in this offense. And I think they're going to be

812
00:39:40,600 --> 00:39:43,440
Speaker 1: hanging around, you know, the last media time. Out of

813
00:39:43,440 --> 00:39:46,319
Speaker 1: four minutes, I bet they'll be within five points. Let's

814
00:39:46,400 --> 00:39:48,719
Speaker 1: let's say, as long as they get anything out of

815
00:39:48,719 --> 00:39:52,239
Speaker 1: their back court. And you know, U and C not

816
00:39:52,280 --> 00:39:56,520
Speaker 1: only firmly established as the leader in the ACC race

817
00:39:56,600 --> 00:39:58,560
Speaker 1: up to on Virginia up two and a half on Duke,

818
00:39:58,840 --> 00:40:01,279
Speaker 1: they're also pretty firmly ablished as a one seed now.

819
00:40:01,400 --> 00:40:06,840
Speaker 1: So I agree from a like urgency and psychological perspective,

820
00:40:06,920 --> 00:40:08,640
Speaker 1: I could see them coming out kind of as they

821
00:40:08,640 --> 00:40:10,960
Speaker 1: did against Georgia Tech and just go through the motions

822
00:40:10,960 --> 00:40:12,919
Speaker 1: for the first ten minutes and then try to turn

823
00:40:12,920 --> 00:40:15,279
Speaker 1: it on late. So getting a key number here, I

824
00:40:15,320 --> 00:40:17,120
Speaker 1: bet it closes it like nine and a half or ten.

825
00:40:17,360 --> 00:40:19,399
Speaker 1: I would love to get anything above that in terms

826
00:40:19,440 --> 00:40:21,840
Speaker 1: of double digits, but I'm certainly going to play the Tigers.

827
00:40:22,080 --> 00:40:28,880
Speaker 2: Yeah, I would assume right now one seeds are Carolina, Purdue, Yukon,

828
00:40:29,000 --> 00:40:30,800
Speaker 2: and Houston. Like that's pretty much.

829
00:40:31,160 --> 00:40:35,279
Speaker 1: And like Arizona. Like if Arizona is the top of

830
00:40:35,280 --> 00:40:37,560
Speaker 1: the two line behind them, then like North Carolina.

831
00:40:37,640 --> 00:40:40,360
Speaker 8: So they have so many Arizona's so many bad losses exactly,

832
00:40:41,640 --> 00:40:48,080
Speaker 8: Like that's like Arizona loss to Stanford Oregon State, and I

833
00:40:48,080 --> 00:40:48,960
Speaker 8: guess it's just a couple.

834
00:40:49,320 --> 00:40:51,359
Speaker 2: They also lost to Washington State. It's not a terrible

835
00:40:51,360 --> 00:40:54,200
Speaker 2: lost washing he's playing a lot better. But that's where

836
00:40:54,200 --> 00:40:56,640
Speaker 2: I think we'll hold them back. But yeah, I guess

837
00:40:56,640 --> 00:41:01,359
Speaker 2: they be the next team knocking on the door. But yeah,

838
00:41:01,400 --> 00:41:04,279
Speaker 2: those four clearly just from a resume perspective, your one

839
00:41:04,320 --> 00:41:07,080
Speaker 2: seats right now, Craig, You got anything else for early week?

840
00:41:07,200 --> 00:41:08,040
Speaker 3: Yeah? I got one more.

841
00:41:08,080 --> 00:41:10,879
Speaker 6: I'm looking ahead to Tuesday night in the Big Ten,

842
00:41:11,040 --> 00:41:13,400
Speaker 6: where Michigan State is on the road at the Barn

843
00:41:13,600 --> 00:41:16,640
Speaker 6: against Minnesota. They're likely going to open up as a

844
00:41:16,680 --> 00:41:20,239
Speaker 6: slight road favorite. Ken Pom has them by four. The

845
00:41:20,280 --> 00:41:23,759
Speaker 6: first time these two teams played this season, Michigan State

846
00:41:24,000 --> 00:41:26,719
Speaker 6: won the game by ten at the Bresn Center. Elijah

847
00:41:26,719 --> 00:41:29,920
Speaker 6: Hawkins did not play for Minnesota. Elijah Hawkins leads the

848
00:41:29,960 --> 00:41:33,080
Speaker 6: country in assists per game. The kid is absolutely special.

849
00:41:33,239 --> 00:41:35,000
Speaker 6: He can go through his game logs. It's like a

850
00:41:35,040 --> 00:41:38,240
Speaker 6: bunch of fifteen eleven eleven, twelve assist games.

851
00:41:38,280 --> 00:41:40,520
Speaker 3: It's insane to not have him.

852
00:41:40,600 --> 00:41:42,879
Speaker 6: And to make that game competitive that was a tie

853
00:41:42,960 --> 00:41:45,120
Speaker 6: ball game about eight minutes left in the game was

854
00:41:45,160 --> 00:41:48,360
Speaker 6: wildly impressive for me. Dawson Garcia is a mismatch problem

855
00:41:48,360 --> 00:41:51,239
Speaker 6: for the Michigan State front court. Michigan State on the

856
00:41:51,280 --> 00:41:55,360
Speaker 6: year guys one in six outright outside the state of Michigan.

857
00:41:55,400 --> 00:41:58,239
Speaker 6: The one win was a two point win at Maryland,

858
00:41:58,280 --> 00:42:01,719
Speaker 6: who I think is honestly a similar caliber team to Minnesota.

859
00:42:02,520 --> 00:42:03,680
Speaker 6: I think this game is going.

860
00:42:03,560 --> 00:42:06,400
Speaker 2: To Belsy could have won that. They could have easily won.

861
00:42:06,280 --> 00:42:07,960
Speaker 3: That game, easily easily.

862
00:42:08,000 --> 00:42:10,440
Speaker 6: I think at best from Michigan State, this is a

863
00:42:10,560 --> 00:42:13,839
Speaker 6: very close final possession type game. At worst, I think

864
00:42:13,840 --> 00:42:16,799
Speaker 6: you see Minnesota get hot from outside and exploit some

865
00:42:16,840 --> 00:42:20,040
Speaker 6: of Michigan State's road wos. So if we get plus

866
00:42:20,080 --> 00:42:23,399
Speaker 6: money for the Gophers in any capacity, I'm actually gonna

867
00:42:23,440 --> 00:42:25,839
Speaker 6: bet the money line that Minnesota wins this ball game.

868
00:42:26,239 --> 00:42:29,200
Speaker 2: Yeah, man, I watched that entire game, and Michigan State

869
00:42:29,200 --> 00:42:30,879
Speaker 2: pulled away like Minison also have to do a foul

870
00:42:30,880 --> 00:42:36,359
Speaker 2: trouble and no Hawkins, but they were right there until

871
00:42:36,480 --> 00:42:40,080
Speaker 2: you know, Michigan State pulled away late. So anything else, Mike,

872
00:42:40,160 --> 00:42:41,120
Speaker 2: you got you good.

873
00:42:41,520 --> 00:42:43,640
Speaker 1: I'm gonna go Tuesday night, Colorado State if I can

874
00:42:43,680 --> 00:42:46,600
Speaker 1: get them below four, you know, laying on their home

875
00:42:46,600 --> 00:42:49,680
Speaker 1: floor against Boise the first meeting, Isaiah Stevens couldn't have

876
00:42:49,680 --> 00:42:52,160
Speaker 1: played any worse. He had six turnovers, He shot four

877
00:42:52,200 --> 00:42:54,360
Speaker 1: for sixteen, and they shot as a team four for

878
00:42:54,440 --> 00:42:55,440
Speaker 1: sixteen from three.

879
00:42:55,680 --> 00:42:57,080
Speaker 5: They only made six foul shots.

880
00:42:57,080 --> 00:43:00,960
Speaker 1: Boise had twenty three foul shot attempts comparatively. Despite all

881
00:43:01,000 --> 00:43:02,560
Speaker 1: of that, it was still a four point game with

882
00:43:02,680 --> 00:43:05,919
Speaker 1: ninety seconds left. So Stevens, he's going to be making

883
00:43:05,920 --> 00:43:09,040
Speaker 1: his one hundred and fortieth career start. I just view

884
00:43:09,080 --> 00:43:11,120
Speaker 1: this as you can't keep a good player like him down.

885
00:43:11,280 --> 00:43:13,320
Speaker 1: He's just too good. They need it on their home floor.

886
00:43:13,800 --> 00:43:15,360
Speaker 1: I'm going to go with the Rams. I think this

887
00:43:15,680 --> 00:43:18,560
Speaker 1: actually is a game. I'd kind of explore the alternate

888
00:43:18,560 --> 00:43:20,520
Speaker 1: line because I think if everything goes right for them

889
00:43:20,719 --> 00:43:22,799
Speaker 1: and they get it going offensively, I think it's a

890
00:43:22,800 --> 00:43:25,160
Speaker 1: Boise team that's at the peak of their value in

891
00:43:25,239 --> 00:43:27,239
Speaker 1: terms of the market right now. So if I could

892
00:43:27,320 --> 00:43:29,680
Speaker 1: lay you know, minus seven and get close to two

893
00:43:29,680 --> 00:43:31,560
Speaker 1: to one or something like that, that would be phenomenal.

894
00:43:31,840 --> 00:43:36,040
Speaker 2: Yeah. One positive takeaway with Colorado the State because I've

895
00:43:36,040 --> 00:43:38,520
Speaker 2: been concerned about their defense and just like their physicality

896
00:43:38,560 --> 00:43:40,840
Speaker 2: inside when they have to deal with more physical bags.

897
00:43:40,880 --> 00:43:44,719
Speaker 2: But they've been a good job against the Day in

898
00:43:44,840 --> 00:43:48,600
Speaker 2: San Diego State and they change some things up schematically,

899
00:43:48,600 --> 00:43:51,200
Speaker 2: and you know, so that gives me hop because Boise

900
00:43:51,280 --> 00:43:54,759
Speaker 2: State can really host you up with multiple guys. But

901
00:43:54,840 --> 00:43:57,520
Speaker 2: that's definitely a good spot for the Rams against a

902
00:43:57,840 --> 00:44:02,560
Speaker 2: hot Boise State team. All Right, good stuff, Thanks for

903
00:44:03,360 --> 00:44:07,400
Speaker 2: joining me. As always, thanks to our producer David on

904
00:44:07,440 --> 00:44:10,080
Speaker 2: the back end. Thanks most importantly to all of you

905
00:44:10,200 --> 00:44:13,080
Speaker 2: for tuning in for watching on YouTube. Make sure subscribe

906
00:44:13,080 --> 00:44:15,799
Speaker 2: it that like button three man leave. We'll be back

907
00:44:15,800 --> 00:44:18,760
Speaker 2: as always for Wednesday. We'll be back with the weekend

908
00:44:18,840 --> 00:44:22,359
Speaker 2: Betting preview Thursday night, and then we'll be back with

909
00:44:23,200 --> 00:44:26,920
Speaker 2: BBOC Live ten thirty am Eastern on Twitter or x

910
00:44:26,920 --> 00:44:28,480
Speaker 2: we will tweet out that link. It'll also be on

911
00:44:28,520 --> 00:44:31,360
Speaker 2: the Action of our gap we could find all of

912
00:44:31,400 --> 00:44:33,360
Speaker 2: our bets, so make sure you follow us there. But

913
00:44:33,760 --> 00:44:35,680
Speaker 2: thanks for tuning in and we'll see y'all later in

914
00:44:35,680 --> 00:44:35,920
Speaker 2: the week.

915
00:44:36,040 --> 00:44:47,360
Speaker 4: Cheers.

916
00:44:48,560 --> 00:44:52,040
Speaker 1: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly.

917
00:44:52,440 --> 00:44:55,280
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918
00:44:55,560 --> 00:44:58,200
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919
00:44:58,280 --> 00:44:59,080
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