1 00:00:14,640 --> 00:00:16,520 Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome into a Thursday 2 00:00:16,560 --> 00:00:19,040 Speaker 1: morning episode of the Daily Juice podcast. I'm your host, 3 00:00:19,120 --> 00:00:20,840 Speaker 1: Matt Paralt. You guys can follow me across all of 4 00:00:20,840 --> 00:00:24,239 Speaker 1: my socials at Sports Talk Matt, and we come to 5 00:00:24,320 --> 00:00:28,320 Speaker 1: you today with heavy hearts after what happened in New Orleans. 6 00:00:28,400 --> 00:00:32,440 Speaker 1: Just a horrific scene in New Orleans and the Sugar 7 00:00:32,479 --> 00:00:35,360 Speaker 1: Bowl between Notre Dame and Georgia did not happen yesterday 8 00:00:35,479 --> 00:00:37,960 Speaker 1: for obvious reasons. I just want to first start off 9 00:00:38,000 --> 00:00:41,400 Speaker 1: the podcast with my thoughts and well wishes to anyone 10 00:00:41,440 --> 00:00:44,640 Speaker 1: and everyone affected. New Orleans is a very special city. 11 00:00:44,680 --> 00:00:47,960 Speaker 1: I've talked about this before, but my three favorite cities 12 00:00:48,000 --> 00:00:52,120 Speaker 1: outside of my home city of Boston. I love Nashville, 13 00:00:52,680 --> 00:00:56,400 Speaker 1: I love Las Vegas, and I love New Orleans. And 14 00:00:56,520 --> 00:00:58,800 Speaker 1: to see something like that happen to a city that's 15 00:00:58,800 --> 00:01:02,200 Speaker 1: been through so much from Katrina and everything else that's 16 00:01:02,240 --> 00:01:05,959 Speaker 1: gone on down there. To have that act of violence 17 00:01:06,040 --> 00:01:10,200 Speaker 1: be perpetuted excuse me in that way early in the 18 00:01:10,240 --> 00:01:14,160 Speaker 1: morning on New Year's Day, when nobody is prepared for it, 19 00:01:14,200 --> 00:01:17,120 Speaker 1: and the death count keeps on climbing and the injuries 20 00:01:17,240 --> 00:01:19,760 Speaker 1: is just you know, you make a truck into a weapon, 21 00:01:19,959 --> 00:01:22,360 Speaker 1: and I'm sure there will be plenty of people who 22 00:01:22,360 --> 00:01:24,920 Speaker 1: want to blame and talk about how and when and why, 23 00:01:25,000 --> 00:01:27,480 Speaker 1: But at the end of the day, somebody did something 24 00:01:27,520 --> 00:01:32,200 Speaker 1: horrific again in this country and caused mass casualties, and 25 00:01:32,480 --> 00:01:35,399 Speaker 1: sports become very much on the secondary and into the 26 00:01:35,440 --> 00:01:37,680 Speaker 1: back burner and they do not matter, and that's why 27 00:01:37,680 --> 00:01:41,800 Speaker 1: they postpone the game. So I'm assuming Notre Dame and 28 00:01:41,840 --> 00:01:45,040 Speaker 1: Georgia play tonight. I don't know if they're going to, 29 00:01:45,120 --> 00:01:47,120 Speaker 1: but I'm going to assume at the time of taping 30 00:01:47,160 --> 00:01:50,160 Speaker 1: that is still what's supposed to happen tomorrow. But it 31 00:01:50,160 --> 00:01:53,000 Speaker 1: would not be surprising at all if at some point 32 00:01:53,080 --> 00:01:55,800 Speaker 1: over the next couple of hours they say, Okay, we're 33 00:01:55,800 --> 00:01:57,520 Speaker 1: playing it on Friday, or we're going to play it 34 00:01:57,600 --> 00:02:00,920 Speaker 1: on Saturday or whatever, because really it doesn't matter, because 35 00:02:00,920 --> 00:02:04,480 Speaker 1: we're talking about an environment that is pretty close, a 36 00:02:04,560 --> 00:02:09,400 Speaker 1: crime scene that's really close to the Superdome, and you 37 00:02:09,440 --> 00:02:11,560 Speaker 1: can't play around with any of this stuff. I mean, 38 00:02:12,320 --> 00:02:15,720 Speaker 1: by all accounts, the perpet Twitter did not act alone, 39 00:02:16,560 --> 00:02:18,560 Speaker 1: so that means there's more people out there who could 40 00:02:18,600 --> 00:02:21,160 Speaker 1: be looking to inflict more damage on New Orleans and 41 00:02:21,240 --> 00:02:25,440 Speaker 1: why the Sugar Bowl and why New Orleans. I don't know. 42 00:02:26,080 --> 00:02:28,120 Speaker 1: I just know that my heart breaks for the people 43 00:02:28,280 --> 00:02:30,240 Speaker 1: in New Orleans and for the tourists and the people 44 00:02:30,280 --> 00:02:32,400 Speaker 1: that went down there to cheer on Notre Dame in 45 00:02:32,400 --> 00:02:35,440 Speaker 1: Georgia and have a really good festive New Year and 46 00:02:35,480 --> 00:02:39,440 Speaker 1: to have it be completely tarnished in this way. Hard 47 00:02:39,480 --> 00:02:43,840 Speaker 1: for these football players to focus on a game. So yeah, 48 00:02:43,919 --> 00:02:47,200 Speaker 1: that stinks. So my thoughts goes out to everyone impacted, 49 00:02:47,240 --> 00:02:50,480 Speaker 1: and hopefully we figured this whole thing out as to 50 00:02:50,520 --> 00:02:52,799 Speaker 1: what exactly happened and we can go back talking about 51 00:02:52,840 --> 00:02:56,240 Speaker 1: sports and betting on football. Yesterday a one in one day. 52 00:02:56,480 --> 00:02:59,240 Speaker 1: Texas wins, but they have to go to overtime to 53 00:02:59,320 --> 00:03:01,960 Speaker 1: do it. They win by eight, they do not cover 54 00:03:02,040 --> 00:03:06,680 Speaker 1: the twelve. It was a wild, wild football game. Texas 55 00:03:06,800 --> 00:03:09,360 Speaker 1: was up big twenty four to eight. They were coasting 56 00:03:09,400 --> 00:03:11,880 Speaker 1: and then all of a sudden, Cam Skataboo and company. 57 00:03:11,919 --> 00:03:18,680 Speaker 1: They rally some incredible individual performances, great plays by Arizona State, 58 00:03:18,720 --> 00:03:21,639 Speaker 1: and they should not be hanging their heads at all. 59 00:03:21,680 --> 00:03:24,600 Speaker 1: They got off to a rough start. Okay, so far. 60 00:03:25,080 --> 00:03:29,000 Speaker 1: These two things happened in which I talked about last 61 00:03:29,080 --> 00:03:32,519 Speaker 1: night on the podcast. The first half, Penn State came 62 00:03:32,560 --> 00:03:37,280 Speaker 1: out they had played Boise did not up big. Texas 63 00:03:37,480 --> 00:03:41,760 Speaker 1: they had played Arizona State had not up big at half. 64 00:03:42,360 --> 00:03:47,960 Speaker 1: Ohio State against Oregon they had played. Oregon had not 65 00:03:49,240 --> 00:03:52,800 Speaker 1: one more game here tonight. If you want to add 66 00:03:53,160 --> 00:03:56,920 Speaker 1: in the first half, Notre Dame, go ahead, because Notre 67 00:03:57,000 --> 00:04:00,480 Speaker 1: Dame has played and Georgia has not. And this is 68 00:04:00,520 --> 00:04:02,960 Speaker 1: something I thought about a long time ago, that having 69 00:04:03,160 --> 00:04:07,000 Speaker 1: the first round home game is not nearly as detrimental 70 00:04:07,000 --> 00:04:09,680 Speaker 1: in this in a quarterfinal round as it could be 71 00:04:09,720 --> 00:04:11,440 Speaker 1: in the final. I mean, if you play four games, 72 00:04:11,440 --> 00:04:13,600 Speaker 1: that's really hard, four playoff games, you might be out 73 00:04:13,600 --> 00:04:16,400 Speaker 1: of gas, okay, but in the second playoff game you 74 00:04:16,400 --> 00:04:19,520 Speaker 1: shouldn't be out of gas. You should be raring to go. 75 00:04:20,160 --> 00:04:22,800 Speaker 1: And Ohio State was up what thirty one to eight 76 00:04:23,080 --> 00:04:28,280 Speaker 1: at the break. It was fourteen to three I think 77 00:04:28,440 --> 00:04:34,080 Speaker 1: for Texas, and then it was Penn State. I forget 78 00:04:34,120 --> 00:04:35,719 Speaker 1: the Penn State scored, but they were up big. So 79 00:04:36,800 --> 00:04:41,280 Speaker 1: all teams that played in the first half covered one 80 00:04:41,760 --> 00:04:46,400 Speaker 1: or leading money line and against the number after the 81 00:04:46,400 --> 00:04:50,839 Speaker 1: first half after they played versus the team that sacked, 82 00:04:51,320 --> 00:04:55,000 Speaker 1: So how important how big will that buy be going forward? 83 00:04:56,120 --> 00:04:59,119 Speaker 1: I don't know. Arizona State with the buye, they're out, 84 00:04:59,520 --> 00:05:03,000 Speaker 1: Boisse State with the buye, they're out. Oregon with the buye, 85 00:05:03,680 --> 00:05:08,360 Speaker 1: they're out Georgia. Could they be next with the buy 86 00:05:08,960 --> 00:05:13,720 Speaker 1: to be out? Just saying the College Football Committee is 87 00:05:13,760 --> 00:05:17,080 Speaker 1: going to totally revamp this thing. This thing is gonna 88 00:05:17,080 --> 00:05:21,279 Speaker 1: look nothing like it does right now going forward. Okay, 89 00:05:21,800 --> 00:05:25,160 Speaker 1: we're not Boise State a power five are a group 90 00:05:25,160 --> 00:05:27,200 Speaker 1: of five team will never get a buy ever again, 91 00:05:27,760 --> 00:05:32,840 Speaker 1: never happening. You're gonna see reseeding. You're gonna see conference 92 00:05:32,920 --> 00:05:35,719 Speaker 1: champions getting in but not getting a top five seed 93 00:05:35,839 --> 00:05:38,920 Speaker 1: or top four seed. All those things are not happening 94 00:05:39,600 --> 00:05:42,159 Speaker 1: in the future with the College Football Playoff. But the 95 00:05:42,240 --> 00:05:45,760 Speaker 1: over comes in easily for us here with Oregon and 96 00:05:45,839 --> 00:05:48,120 Speaker 1: Ohio State. That was the one game we got right 97 00:05:48,120 --> 00:05:50,880 Speaker 1: that should be one unit, not one point one but 98 00:05:50,920 --> 00:05:54,279 Speaker 1: plus one unit, so down point one with a one 99 00:05:54,360 --> 00:05:59,320 Speaker 1: point one unit one in one down point one unit 100 00:05:59,360 --> 00:06:03,080 Speaker 1: play flat for us here as we head towards a Thursday, 101 00:06:03,160 --> 00:06:05,120 Speaker 1: so still time to have a winning week here and 102 00:06:05,160 --> 00:06:08,720 Speaker 1: as we start the twenty twenty five year, which will 103 00:06:08,760 --> 00:06:10,680 Speaker 1: take me about a month, they get used to saying 104 00:06:10,720 --> 00:06:14,279 Speaker 1: twenty twenty five one in one to start the new year. 105 00:06:14,800 --> 00:06:18,680 Speaker 1: I am traveling again today back to Massachusetts and New Hampshire, 106 00:06:18,720 --> 00:06:21,320 Speaker 1: so I will not be able to watch a ton 107 00:06:21,360 --> 00:06:23,440 Speaker 1: of things. So I just have two bets for us 108 00:06:23,440 --> 00:06:27,320 Speaker 1: going today, and the first one you already know it's again. 109 00:06:27,360 --> 00:06:30,520 Speaker 1: I'm taking Notre Dame plus one and a half. If 110 00:06:30,880 --> 00:06:34,080 Speaker 1: the number dramatically moves and we start seeing, you know, 111 00:06:34,160 --> 00:06:37,120 Speaker 1: a bunch of different numbers come in because the game 112 00:06:37,240 --> 00:06:39,320 Speaker 1: was pushed back. I don't know why it would, but 113 00:06:39,920 --> 00:06:43,200 Speaker 1: it's plus one and a half. It's one. Notre Dame 114 00:06:43,320 --> 00:06:45,880 Speaker 1: is favored at certain books now, so we're sitting on 115 00:06:45,920 --> 00:06:48,200 Speaker 1: a better number with the Irish at plus one and 116 00:06:48,240 --> 00:06:51,080 Speaker 1: a half. It's a pick at a bunch of books. 117 00:06:51,080 --> 00:06:53,640 Speaker 1: It's minus one for the Irish. So there was some 118 00:06:53,760 --> 00:06:55,640 Speaker 1: late money that came in. I think you might see 119 00:06:55,640 --> 00:06:58,200 Speaker 1: some late Georgia money come in as well. But I'll 120 00:06:58,200 --> 00:06:59,840 Speaker 1: take the plus one and a half. We're sitting on 121 00:06:59,839 --> 00:07:02,400 Speaker 1: the six to one with Georgia and we'll just ride 122 00:07:02,400 --> 00:07:04,200 Speaker 1: with this and we'll see what ends up happening for this. 123 00:07:04,360 --> 00:07:07,960 Speaker 1: So if Georgia wins by one that's great, That's exactly 124 00:07:07,960 --> 00:07:10,040 Speaker 1: what we want with that Georgia win by one would 125 00:07:10,040 --> 00:07:12,240 Speaker 1: be the best case scenario for us. We'd keep one 126 00:07:12,240 --> 00:07:14,400 Speaker 1: bet alive when we've cashed a plus one and a half. 127 00:07:14,760 --> 00:07:17,080 Speaker 1: So we've got that bet going for us with nordame 128 00:07:17,120 --> 00:07:19,920 Speaker 1: plus one and a half for minus one fifteen for 129 00:07:19,960 --> 00:07:23,080 Speaker 1: one point one five units. And I do have one 130 00:07:23,120 --> 00:07:26,400 Speaker 1: college basketball bet to add number nine Oregon. We'll be 131 00:07:26,440 --> 00:07:29,880 Speaker 1: taking on number twenty two Illinois at home coming up 132 00:07:29,920 --> 00:07:32,480 Speaker 1: here tonight. This is going to be a really interesting 133 00:07:32,520 --> 00:07:35,360 Speaker 1: basketball game in the Big Ten. So Oregon's already lost 134 00:07:35,360 --> 00:07:37,640 Speaker 1: a home game this year. They lost to UCLA at 135 00:07:37,640 --> 00:07:40,240 Speaker 1: home in a non conference game seventy three seventy one. 136 00:07:40,240 --> 00:07:42,040 Speaker 1: Actually know I was a conference game, sorry, seventy three 137 00:07:42,040 --> 00:07:46,600 Speaker 1: seventy one. Forgot UCLA's in the Big Ten. So would 138 00:07:46,640 --> 00:07:50,000 Speaker 1: they lose two home games? I don't think so. That 139 00:07:50,040 --> 00:07:52,040 Speaker 1: would be really surprising to me for you, for the 140 00:07:52,160 --> 00:07:55,000 Speaker 1: Ducks to lose again. And Dane Olman really prides himself 141 00:07:55,000 --> 00:07:58,240 Speaker 1: on winning home games and so already having one loss 142 00:07:58,240 --> 00:08:00,800 Speaker 1: on the home schedule, the only loss of the year 143 00:08:01,000 --> 00:08:03,360 Speaker 1: for the Ducks really surprising. He's going to lose two 144 00:08:03,400 --> 00:08:06,160 Speaker 1: games Illinois goes in there. According to kempom, it's a 145 00:08:06,200 --> 00:08:08,960 Speaker 1: seventy nine to seventy five win. That's a four point win. 146 00:08:09,280 --> 00:08:12,160 Speaker 1: The current numbers or is Oregon minus two and a 147 00:08:12,240 --> 00:08:15,880 Speaker 1: half for Illinois. They've gone on the road down to 148 00:08:15,920 --> 00:08:19,280 Speaker 1: Birmingham against Alabama, they lost badly. They went on the 149 00:08:19,360 --> 00:08:22,200 Speaker 1: road to Northwestern and they lost in overtime. We were 150 00:08:22,200 --> 00:08:25,800 Speaker 1: on Northwestern in that game seventy to sixty six, and 151 00:08:25,840 --> 00:08:27,800 Speaker 1: they were at home against Tennessee and they lost the 152 00:08:27,840 --> 00:08:33,120 Speaker 1: game sixty six to sixty four. Since taking on, they 153 00:08:33,200 --> 00:08:35,800 Speaker 1: gone to Tennessee against Missouri and Chicago State. They won 154 00:08:35,840 --> 00:08:39,559 Speaker 1: both those games by eighty seventy seven and one seventeen 155 00:08:39,679 --> 00:08:42,960 Speaker 1: sixty four. But here's the thing. The schedule really is 156 00:08:43,000 --> 00:08:45,640 Speaker 1: strong for Illinois. But the only win they have over 157 00:08:45,679 --> 00:08:48,520 Speaker 1: a top fifty team is Wisconsin, and they won that 158 00:08:48,559 --> 00:08:51,880 Speaker 1: game at home eighty six to eighty. This is a 159 00:08:52,000 --> 00:08:54,520 Speaker 1: road game against the team ranked in the top fifteen 160 00:08:54,600 --> 00:08:59,040 Speaker 1: on kempom. Alabama was nine, they lost, Tennessee was four. 161 00:08:59,360 --> 00:09:02,520 Speaker 1: They lost. Northwestern was forty five. They lost. Now they 162 00:09:02,559 --> 00:09:05,960 Speaker 1: beat Arkansas, who was thirty ninth, in Wisconsin, who's thirty second. 163 00:09:06,080 --> 00:09:09,079 Speaker 1: Those two wins the top fifty. Sorry but no, nothing. 164 00:09:09,080 --> 00:09:11,520 Speaker 1: I would say none in the top twenty five. I 165 00:09:11,600 --> 00:09:13,720 Speaker 1: like Oregon here. I like the Ducks at home. I 166 00:09:13,800 --> 00:09:16,439 Speaker 1: like their offense. The Ducks are twenty fourth in efficiency. 167 00:09:16,840 --> 00:09:19,400 Speaker 1: Their effective field goal percent is not great, but I 168 00:09:19,440 --> 00:09:22,160 Speaker 1: think offensively the Ducks will be able to like most 169 00:09:22,160 --> 00:09:25,040 Speaker 1: teams do. They play better at home, and as long 170 00:09:25,080 --> 00:09:27,760 Speaker 1: as they're getting to the foul line hitting their free throws, 171 00:09:27,800 --> 00:09:29,480 Speaker 1: I think they should be pretty good. They hit it 172 00:09:29,520 --> 00:09:31,839 Speaker 1: about seventy five percent of the time. From a free 173 00:09:31,880 --> 00:09:35,240 Speaker 1: throw shooting perspective, the offense for Illinois has been pretty good, 174 00:09:35,280 --> 00:09:37,640 Speaker 1: but they really don't shoot threes very well. They're one 175 00:09:37,720 --> 00:09:41,160 Speaker 1: hundred and seventy six and three point shooting. The Ducks 176 00:09:41,200 --> 00:09:44,400 Speaker 1: are twenty fourth and three point defense. They're twenty fifth 177 00:09:44,440 --> 00:09:47,079 Speaker 1: in effective field goal percentage, and they're twenty first in 178 00:09:47,160 --> 00:09:52,280 Speaker 1: offensive efficiency. Defensively, they've been really strong this year. Offensively 179 00:09:52,320 --> 00:09:54,000 Speaker 1: is where they really kind of need to work on 180 00:09:54,080 --> 00:09:56,800 Speaker 1: some things. But at night arena, I think you get 181 00:09:56,840 --> 00:09:59,079 Speaker 1: the home crowd, you get their ratcheted up, and it's 182 00:09:59,080 --> 00:10:01,040 Speaker 1: only a two and a half p point number. I 183 00:10:01,040 --> 00:10:02,599 Speaker 1: think it's good to lay it. I'm gonna take the 184 00:10:02,679 --> 00:10:05,720 Speaker 1: Ducks minus two and a half at home up against 185 00:10:05,760 --> 00:10:08,840 Speaker 1: Illinois for one point one units. All right, so two 186 00:10:08,840 --> 00:10:11,720 Speaker 1: bets going for us here today on the Daily Juice 187 00:10:11,720 --> 00:10:14,199 Speaker 1: for a Thursday, Notre Dame plus one and a half. 188 00:10:14,200 --> 00:10:17,200 Speaker 1: That number nine is one favored for the Iris, but 189 00:10:17,360 --> 00:10:18,760 Speaker 1: plus one and a half. We met that a couple 190 00:10:18,800 --> 00:10:21,080 Speaker 1: of days ago at minus one point fifteen and the 191 00:10:21,080 --> 00:10:23,240 Speaker 1: Oregon Ducks at home minus two and a half up 192 00:10:23,280 --> 00:10:27,600 Speaker 1: against Illinois in college basketball. I will get to more 193 00:10:27,679 --> 00:10:29,960 Speaker 1: picks in place coming up later on in the week. 194 00:10:30,000 --> 00:10:33,679 Speaker 1: We have a big week eighteen NFL Saturday and Sunday 195 00:10:33,720 --> 00:10:36,280 Speaker 1: coming at you guys in more college basketball, and we'll 196 00:10:36,280 --> 00:10:39,760 Speaker 1: start betting hockey again very soon. Well, we're getting past 197 00:10:40,679 --> 00:10:42,360 Speaker 1: the first of the year. Now we can start to 198 00:10:42,360 --> 00:10:45,160 Speaker 1: focusing on the NHL. We'll start adding in some hockey 199 00:10:45,200 --> 00:10:48,000 Speaker 1: plays and back to the NBA player props as well 200 00:10:48,320 --> 00:10:50,920 Speaker 1: as we'll get rolling here on this minume is Matt 201 00:10:50,920 --> 00:10:53,800 Speaker 1: Parolcauess volume across all my socials at Sports Talk Matt 202 00:10:54,120 --> 00:10:57,320 Speaker 1: every single morning wherever you guys get your podcasts. It 203 00:10:57,400 --> 00:11:07,320 Speaker 1: is the Daily Juice