WEBVTT - Amazon to Buy Globalstar for $11.6 Billion

0:00:02.520 --> 0:00:13.560
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, radio news. Bloomberg Tech is live

0:00:13.600 --> 0:00:17.400
<v Speaker 1>from coast to coast with Caroline Hide in New York

0:00:17.680 --> 0:00:20.840
<v Speaker 1>and Eva Low in San Francisco.

0:00:22.440 --> 0:00:25.360
<v Speaker 2>This is Bloomberg Tech coming up. Planerzon agrees to buy

0:00:25.400 --> 0:00:28.840
<v Speaker 2>satellite operate a Global Star in an eleven point six

0:00:28.920 --> 0:00:34.839
<v Speaker 2>billion dollar deal all about Spectrum Plus. We speak exclusively.

0:00:34.159 --> 0:00:38.000
<v Speaker 3>To Lucid's new incoming CEO, Sylvio Napoli, as the company

0:00:38.000 --> 0:00:42.600
<v Speaker 3>announces a fresh injection of capital and deeper Robotaxi push, and.

0:00:42.600 --> 0:00:46.000
<v Speaker 2>The US Treasury Department looks to use anthropics mythos Ai

0:00:46.080 --> 0:00:49.040
<v Speaker 2>model to find vulnerabilities in its own systems.

0:00:49.400 --> 0:00:52.240
<v Speaker 3>First we check out the markets which have actually been

0:00:52.360 --> 0:00:54.960
<v Speaker 3>on a tear ten straight days of gains, and then

0:00:55.000 --> 0:00:56.920
<v Speaker 3>as that one hundred, we haven't seen this sort of

0:00:57.000 --> 0:00:59.800
<v Speaker 3>eleven percent charge. We haven't seen this longer stretch of gains.

0:01:00.080 --> 0:01:02.440
<v Speaker 3>So this is all the way back to twenty twenty one. Today.

0:01:02.480 --> 0:01:04.560
<v Speaker 3>The hope is there that we'll have a second round

0:01:04.600 --> 0:01:06.800
<v Speaker 3>of talks between the US between Iran, maybe it happens

0:01:06.800 --> 0:01:09.760
<v Speaker 3>in Pakistan, and whether we are not managed to put

0:01:09.760 --> 0:01:12.320
<v Speaker 3>an end to this conflict, the market is getting ahead

0:01:12.319 --> 0:01:14.640
<v Speaker 3>of those hopes, and we're currently seeing we'll gain up

0:01:14.680 --> 0:01:17.760
<v Speaker 3>three trillion dollars in terms of market cap over the

0:01:17.760 --> 0:01:18.680
<v Speaker 3>course of those ten days.

0:01:18.720 --> 0:01:21.360
<v Speaker 2>In Okay, we have some M and A and it's

0:01:21.360 --> 0:01:23.440
<v Speaker 2>confirmation of a deal we've been tracking on the show

0:01:23.480 --> 0:01:27.360
<v Speaker 2>for a little while. Amazon to buy Global Star eleven

0:01:27.400 --> 0:01:29.920
<v Speaker 2>point six billion dollar deal. The offer is basically the

0:01:29.959 --> 0:01:32.920
<v Speaker 2>equivalent of ninety dollars per share for Global Star and

0:01:33.000 --> 0:01:36.160
<v Speaker 2>cash whrip just around eighty dollars right now, So there's

0:01:36.160 --> 0:01:38.959
<v Speaker 2>a premium on where the start's currently trading, even with

0:01:39.040 --> 0:01:42.039
<v Speaker 2>that big jump on confirmation of the deal. What's it about.

0:01:42.120 --> 0:01:45.640
<v Speaker 2>It's about director sell from satellite. There's some spectrum in there,

0:01:45.680 --> 0:01:47.800
<v Speaker 2>there's some strategy in there. It's time to get the

0:01:47.840 --> 0:01:48.800
<v Speaker 2>details character it.

0:01:48.880 --> 0:01:50.960
<v Speaker 3>Certainly as we get more of them from Blomberg Senior

0:01:51.000 --> 0:01:53.920
<v Speaker 3>does report to Michelle Davis and just the timeline here,

0:01:54.160 --> 0:01:56.920
<v Speaker 3>because we knew this asset, this Global Star business was

0:01:56.920 --> 0:01:59.640
<v Speaker 3>in play. When did Amazon start getting interested?

0:02:00.200 --> 0:02:03.880
<v Speaker 4>So we've heard that Amazon started getting interested last year

0:02:04.120 --> 0:02:06.280
<v Speaker 4>and Global Star is an asset that's kind of been

0:02:06.360 --> 0:02:09.079
<v Speaker 4>out there for years. People have always talked about it

0:02:09.120 --> 0:02:12.240
<v Speaker 4>as the key kind of the jigsaw piece and the

0:02:12.280 --> 0:02:14.680
<v Speaker 4>puzzle that you know, if you bought it because of

0:02:14.680 --> 0:02:18.200
<v Speaker 4>all of its spectrum, it would help you get up

0:02:18.200 --> 0:02:20.440
<v Speaker 4>to speed and kind of dominate the satellite market. So

0:02:20.480 --> 0:02:23.520
<v Speaker 4>that's what it really is about. It's the spectrum. We

0:02:23.639 --> 0:02:27.079
<v Speaker 4>heard that SpaceX had also looked at this asset last year.

0:02:27.160 --> 0:02:29.640
<v Speaker 4>Of course, Amazon prevailed, and you know, both of these

0:02:30.000 --> 0:02:33.240
<v Speaker 4>players had been racing to dominate the space based connectivity

0:02:33.280 --> 0:02:36.959
<v Speaker 4>market and Starlink is clearly ahead. But what this does

0:02:36.960 --> 0:02:40.160
<v Speaker 4>is it really accelerates for Amazon their plans to be

0:02:40.360 --> 0:02:42.720
<v Speaker 4>a formidable competitor to starlink.

0:02:43.520 --> 0:02:46.480
<v Speaker 2>Michelle a really interesting one for the deal's team. Right, Like, Amazon,

0:02:47.120 --> 0:02:49.640
<v Speaker 2>the tech giant that it is, has never gone that

0:02:49.760 --> 0:02:51.320
<v Speaker 2>big on M and A. But I think I'm right

0:02:51.360 --> 0:02:55.000
<v Speaker 2>in saying that Global Star pending clothes, et cetera would

0:02:55.000 --> 0:02:58.919
<v Speaker 2>be its second biggest ever deal. You know, what do

0:02:59.040 --> 0:03:02.120
<v Speaker 2>we make of an what was the reporting around the offer,

0:03:02.240 --> 0:03:06.160
<v Speaker 2>how competitive was and how Amazon really wanted to go

0:03:06.200 --> 0:03:06.520
<v Speaker 2>for this.

0:03:07.720 --> 0:03:10.480
<v Speaker 4>You're right, I mean, this is Amazon's biggest deal since

0:03:10.520 --> 0:03:14.880
<v Speaker 4>twenty seventeen when it bought Whole Foods. Amazon's been known

0:03:14.960 --> 0:03:17.680
<v Speaker 4>to kind of go after different parts of the market,

0:03:17.720 --> 0:03:21.000
<v Speaker 4>you know, everything from healthcare to movie studios to now

0:03:21.080 --> 0:03:24.800
<v Speaker 4>of course this big spectrum satellite play. And what we

0:03:24.800 --> 0:03:26.840
<v Speaker 4>were hearing is that Global Star was really looking for

0:03:26.880 --> 0:03:29.960
<v Speaker 4>a value above ten billion dollars and the deal that

0:03:30.000 --> 0:03:32.400
<v Speaker 4>was announced today is that a huge premium to you know,

0:03:32.440 --> 0:03:34.320
<v Speaker 4>more than one hundred percent premium to where the stock

0:03:34.400 --> 0:03:38.760
<v Speaker 4>was trading when the leak first hit, you know, last October.

0:03:39.040 --> 0:03:41.520
<v Speaker 4>And so I mean, it clearly shows there aren't that

0:03:41.560 --> 0:03:44.400
<v Speaker 4>many players out there that can afford to spend this

0:03:44.560 --> 0:03:46.960
<v Speaker 4>much money on something like this. But if you want

0:03:46.960 --> 0:03:49.520
<v Speaker 4>to win in this market, that's what it takes, clearly.

0:03:49.720 --> 0:03:51.640
<v Speaker 3>And the advice they've been getting from banks is the

0:03:51.680 --> 0:03:53.760
<v Speaker 3>way in which they structure this not just in terms

0:03:53.800 --> 0:03:56.320
<v Speaker 3>of premium, but in terms of what's on the offer.

0:03:56.680 --> 0:04:00.920
<v Speaker 3>It's either shares or indeed it's straight out cash exactly.

0:04:01.040 --> 0:04:04.000
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, so it's a mix of stock and cash. There's

0:04:04.040 --> 0:04:06.480
<v Speaker 4>a forty percent cap on the amount of cash that

0:04:06.520 --> 0:04:09.760
<v Speaker 4>shareholders can get, and that means we'll get up to

0:04:10.160 --> 0:04:12.600
<v Speaker 4>a cap of ninety dollars per share up to forty percent.

0:04:12.800 --> 0:04:14.960
<v Speaker 4>The way that works is basically, a few days before

0:04:14.960 --> 0:04:17.479
<v Speaker 4>the deal is going to close, shareholders will get to

0:04:17.480 --> 0:04:19.600
<v Speaker 4>elect what they want do they want. You could say

0:04:19.640 --> 0:04:21.320
<v Speaker 4>I want all stock or I want all cash, because

0:04:21.320 --> 0:04:24.240
<v Speaker 4>of course Amazon stock is valuable. But at the end

0:04:24.279 --> 0:04:27.039
<v Speaker 4>of the day, assuming everyone elected all cash, the most

0:04:27.080 --> 0:04:30.200
<v Speaker 4>you could get is forty percent forty percent in cash,

0:04:30.240 --> 0:04:33.400
<v Speaker 4>So it'll be pro rated depending on what folks elect.

0:04:33.800 --> 0:04:37.279
<v Speaker 2>Really appreciate you breaking down the deal structure. You know,

0:04:37.360 --> 0:04:39.000
<v Speaker 2>this has been out there for a couple of weeks

0:04:39.000 --> 0:04:42.800
<v Speaker 2>now it's confirmed. In that period, what was industry saying

0:04:42.839 --> 0:04:46.719
<v Speaker 2>about this, right, Like, the big picture is, oh, Amazon's

0:04:46.760 --> 0:04:48.960
<v Speaker 2>going to go off to Starling, but they're actually if

0:04:49.000 --> 0:04:52.200
<v Speaker 2>you look at the specific details, you know, in terms

0:04:52.200 --> 0:04:55.600
<v Speaker 2>of Loo, they have a lot of existing assets Amazon does.

0:04:56.000 --> 0:04:59.000
<v Speaker 2>What was our read on the strategic play from Amazon.

0:04:59.160 --> 0:05:04.279
<v Speaker 4>So Amazon really needed the Spectrum to really accelerate its

0:05:04.320 --> 0:05:06.720
<v Speaker 4>desire to get into that director device market, which it's

0:05:06.720 --> 0:05:09.400
<v Speaker 4>said today it's going to do in twenty twenty eight.

0:05:09.440 --> 0:05:11.760
<v Speaker 4>And what that'll do is it means, you know, consumers

0:05:11.800 --> 0:05:14.560
<v Speaker 4>will be able to get text, video data, you know,

0:05:14.680 --> 0:05:18.480
<v Speaker 4>voice using satellite service rather than than cell towers kind

0:05:18.480 --> 0:05:22.440
<v Speaker 4>of like a cell tower in space. But it really

0:05:22.440 --> 0:05:24.840
<v Speaker 4>what it does is helps Amazon catch up. They haven't

0:05:24.839 --> 0:05:28.159
<v Speaker 4>been able to launch as many satellites as SpaceX has.

0:05:28.640 --> 0:05:31.520
<v Speaker 4>That's the biggest, one of the biggest reasons why they've

0:05:31.520 --> 0:05:35.080
<v Speaker 4>been behind. But this, this piece is really complimentary to

0:05:35.080 --> 0:05:36.520
<v Speaker 4>everything that they do already have.

0:05:37.720 --> 0:05:40.520
<v Speaker 2>Bloomberg's Michelle Davis with the reporting, Thank you very much.

0:05:40.560 --> 0:05:43.080
<v Speaker 2>So what does Amazon get out of the deal. Let's

0:05:43.080 --> 0:05:46.440
<v Speaker 2>get the reaction. According to Bloomberg Intelligence, the company's eleven

0:05:46.480 --> 0:05:49.159
<v Speaker 2>point six billion dollar agreement gives it a foothold in

0:05:49.200 --> 0:05:52.719
<v Speaker 2>the direct to sell satellite market, along with access to

0:05:52.800 --> 0:05:57.800
<v Speaker 2>valuable spectrum, narrowing the gap with Starlink, an sat space mobile.

0:05:57.839 --> 0:06:01.760
<v Speaker 2>Bloomberg Senior telecom analyst John Butler joins us with his research.

0:06:02.200 --> 0:06:04.560
<v Speaker 2>That's start with the Russian. Now, why do you think

0:06:04.560 --> 0:06:05.480
<v Speaker 2>Amazon's doing this?

0:06:06.440 --> 0:06:10.080
<v Speaker 5>It's all about the spectrum that you know. There's a

0:06:10.120 --> 0:06:13.600
<v Speaker 5>lot of spectrum out there, mostly in use by terrestrial

0:06:13.720 --> 0:06:18.440
<v Speaker 5>wireless carriers. And I stress the word terrestrial because the

0:06:18.520 --> 0:06:23.240
<v Speaker 5>FCC will only allow most of the spectrum now that's

0:06:24.760 --> 0:06:29.520
<v Speaker 5>accorded to wireless services to be used on a terrestrial basis.

0:06:29.560 --> 0:06:33.440
<v Speaker 5>But there is a band called Mobile Satellite Service or

0:06:33.480 --> 0:06:38.599
<v Speaker 5>the MSS bands that allow for direct communication from satellite

0:06:38.680 --> 0:06:42.760
<v Speaker 5>to cell phone and Global Star owns some of that

0:06:42.960 --> 0:06:46.719
<v Speaker 5>valuable L and S band spectrum as it's called. So

0:06:46.839 --> 0:06:49.720
<v Speaker 5>in my mind, this deal is all about the spectrum.

0:06:49.839 --> 0:06:51.800
<v Speaker 5>It's not about the satellites that.

0:06:51.720 --> 0:06:52.360
<v Speaker 2>Are up there.

0:06:53.040 --> 0:06:58.320
<v Speaker 5>GST actually has a pretty thin constellation as satellite networks go.

0:06:58.680 --> 0:07:04.440
<v Speaker 3>So coup for LEO, Amazon's LEO potentially is Apple as well. John,

0:07:04.480 --> 0:07:06.800
<v Speaker 3>So how much does this make this a cementing of that?

0:07:06.960 --> 0:07:09.320
<v Speaker 3>How do we see Amazon really going neck connect now

0:07:09.560 --> 0:07:10.760
<v Speaker 3>with the likes of SpaceX.

0:07:12.520 --> 0:07:15.680
<v Speaker 5>Well, SpaceX has a big lead here at Caroline. I

0:07:15.680 --> 0:07:19.480
<v Speaker 5>mean they you know, they have both broadband and directs

0:07:19.480 --> 0:07:24.680
<v Speaker 5>to sell satellites. Their fleet numbers ten thousand satellites, six

0:07:24.800 --> 0:07:27.800
<v Speaker 5>hundred and fifty of which are direct to sell. So

0:07:27.960 --> 0:07:31.080
<v Speaker 5>Amazon has a lot of catching up to do, both

0:07:31.120 --> 0:07:34.000
<v Speaker 5>on the broadband front and the direct to sell front.

0:07:34.560 --> 0:07:38.680
<v Speaker 5>My suspicion is what they'll do is throw more funds

0:07:38.720 --> 0:07:44.800
<v Speaker 5>into gst's next generation satellite development program. They're developing these

0:07:44.920 --> 0:07:49.840
<v Speaker 5>next generation SATs called I believe C three's. They will

0:07:49.840 --> 0:07:53.760
<v Speaker 5>be higher capacity, they'll be able to offer full wireless

0:07:53.800 --> 0:07:58.880
<v Speaker 5>services for the most part, voice, video, and browsing. And

0:07:59.040 --> 0:08:03.840
<v Speaker 5>so that's the key here is the Amazon has Jopper pockets.

0:08:04.920 --> 0:08:06.880
<v Speaker 2>Let me jump in hre that that is key because

0:08:06.920 --> 0:08:11.480
<v Speaker 2>there is a really big present day distinction between broadband

0:08:11.600 --> 0:08:14.800
<v Speaker 2>and the capabilities that starlink offers you and what you

0:08:14.800 --> 0:08:16.800
<v Speaker 2>can do with direct to sell. Direct to sell is

0:08:16.840 --> 0:08:19.200
<v Speaker 2>text messages right now, right, and not a lot more.

0:08:19.960 --> 0:08:22.120
<v Speaker 2>Could you just go through the basics of that distinction.

0:08:23.720 --> 0:08:28.560
<v Speaker 5>Yes, So broadband satellites offer high capacity links. So if

0:08:28.600 --> 0:08:31.320
<v Speaker 5>you look at starlink, they have one hundred two hundred,

0:08:31.360 --> 0:08:37.120
<v Speaker 5>four hundred megabit plans. The users are static, they're not moving,

0:08:37.400 --> 0:08:41.480
<v Speaker 5>and so those satellites are really designed specifically for that.

0:08:42.080 --> 0:08:44.520
<v Speaker 5>Direct to sell is a different animal. You need to

0:08:44.559 --> 0:08:48.440
<v Speaker 5>go from the satellite directly to a cell phone, and

0:08:48.559 --> 0:08:53.600
<v Speaker 5>cell phones have very very low their signals are very

0:08:53.640 --> 0:08:58.280
<v Speaker 5>low power. So you need specialized satellites with big antennas

0:08:58.360 --> 0:09:02.600
<v Speaker 5>to do that link. And Amazon have the funds to

0:09:02.760 --> 0:09:07.760
<v Speaker 5>develop those next generation satellites. Again, Amazon has a little

0:09:07.840 --> 0:09:10.960
<v Speaker 5>catching up here to do. Ast is also a big

0:09:11.000 --> 0:09:15.120
<v Speaker 5>player in this market. They have very sophisticated satellites. So

0:09:15.400 --> 0:09:17.719
<v Speaker 5>I guess I guess I would say this ed the

0:09:17.840 --> 0:09:20.960
<v Speaker 5>race is only interesting.

0:09:21.720 --> 0:09:24.000
<v Speaker 3>Em and A is certainly helping JOMP start at John

0:09:24.040 --> 0:09:26.560
<v Speaker 3>Butler of Broomberg Intelligence. It's been great to have your

0:09:26.600 --> 0:09:28.920
<v Speaker 3>expertise or analysis today. Let's get a broader take on

0:09:28.960 --> 0:09:31.000
<v Speaker 3>the markets. There certainly a bit of a tech M

0:09:31.040 --> 0:09:33.280
<v Speaker 3>and A field to it till today laid shows with

0:09:33.400 --> 0:09:36.800
<v Speaker 3>us alliance Bensteam please to be welcoming your portfolio manager,

0:09:36.840 --> 0:09:39.319
<v Speaker 3>and we don't want to do individual names. What's notable

0:09:39.400 --> 0:09:41.800
<v Speaker 3>is that there is some desire to be been making purchases

0:09:41.800 --> 0:09:44.439
<v Speaker 3>at this moment despite the volatility in the market. What

0:09:44.559 --> 0:09:46.319
<v Speaker 3>do you make of M and A coming to the foe.

0:09:47.080 --> 0:09:50.520
<v Speaker 6>Well, as there's definitely the race is on, I think

0:09:50.559 --> 0:09:53.080
<v Speaker 6>that's a good description of the current state of the market.

0:09:53.920 --> 0:09:57.440
<v Speaker 6>There are a lot of disruptive changes happening across different

0:09:57.480 --> 0:09:59.880
<v Speaker 6>themes AI is one of them, but there are the

0:10:00.000 --> 0:10:03.440
<v Speaker 6>things as well, and because of that, I feel that

0:10:03.640 --> 0:10:08.360
<v Speaker 6>incumbent in particular, with such strong balance sheet historically, they

0:10:08.440 --> 0:10:11.720
<v Speaker 6>are looking to bolster their war chest because when disrupt

0:10:11.880 --> 0:10:16.480
<v Speaker 6>changes happen at this pace, everybody is spending, and you

0:10:16.480 --> 0:10:18.679
<v Speaker 6>can think of spending as in capex, but M and

0:10:18.760 --> 0:10:21.839
<v Speaker 6>A is another factor that it plays in and then

0:10:21.880 --> 0:10:24.640
<v Speaker 6>sometimes can help you get a lead. But I would

0:10:24.640 --> 0:10:27.800
<v Speaker 6>say the bottom line is the race is on. Everybody's

0:10:27.840 --> 0:10:31.560
<v Speaker 6>playing both offensive and defensive, and that's what makes an

0:10:31.559 --> 0:10:33.559
<v Speaker 6>interesting and exciting market to invest.

0:10:33.720 --> 0:10:36.040
<v Speaker 3>How have you seen the disruption and the race in

0:10:36.120 --> 0:10:38.200
<v Speaker 3>space in defense tech, because that been something you've been

0:10:38.280 --> 0:10:39.360
<v Speaker 3>leaning into with the funds.

0:10:40.000 --> 0:10:43.600
<v Speaker 6>Yes, and for our portfolio, we have been looking at

0:10:43.679 --> 0:10:47.959
<v Speaker 6>disruptive changes across and space, and defense tech is certainly

0:10:48.000 --> 0:10:51.120
<v Speaker 6>one area that we're seeing tremendous amount of capital flowing

0:10:51.160 --> 0:10:54.880
<v Speaker 6>into it. And so while the market has been spending

0:10:54.920 --> 0:10:56.800
<v Speaker 6>a lot of time and AI is certainly part of

0:10:56.800 --> 0:10:59.560
<v Speaker 6>it where a lot of capital has float into its

0:10:59.640 --> 0:11:03.800
<v Speaker 6>space defense tech, it is an area particularly in developed markets,

0:11:04.040 --> 0:11:08.080
<v Speaker 6>we have actually underinvested and perhaps underestimated. So when we

0:11:08.120 --> 0:11:12.080
<v Speaker 6>look for secular changes longer term, these are two buckets

0:11:12.080 --> 0:11:14.160
<v Speaker 6>how we see sustainable growth trends.

0:11:15.360 --> 0:11:17.560
<v Speaker 2>Lebe bear with us. One second, we have some breaking

0:11:17.559 --> 0:11:21.000
<v Speaker 2>news on the Bloomberg terminal. Disney is announcing it's cutting

0:11:21.040 --> 0:11:24.520
<v Speaker 2>one thousand jobs the first wave of layoffs under new

0:11:24.600 --> 0:11:28.120
<v Speaker 2>CEO Josh Tomorrow. The layoffs are company wide, but they

0:11:28.160 --> 0:11:32.119
<v Speaker 2>will fall particularly hard in marketing and the marketing department,

0:11:32.559 --> 0:11:38.640
<v Speaker 2>which has been consolidated under new leadership. An interesting one.

0:11:38.679 --> 0:11:42.120
<v Speaker 2>Disney shares up around a percentage point right now in

0:11:42.200 --> 0:11:45.400
<v Speaker 2>response to this, But one thousand jobs in the context

0:11:45.400 --> 0:11:49.240
<v Speaker 2>of this company Caroline is a relatively big move, but

0:11:49.320 --> 0:11:51.360
<v Speaker 2>it's a company of two hundred and thirty thousand people.

0:11:51.400 --> 0:11:53.120
<v Speaker 2>So we're going to continue tracking that and bring you

0:11:53.160 --> 0:11:55.920
<v Speaker 2>a fuller picture later in the program. What you were

0:11:55.960 --> 0:11:58.320
<v Speaker 2>just saying, Ley is so interesting. When you've come on

0:11:58.320 --> 0:12:01.320
<v Speaker 2>this program, we've been taught looking in the context of

0:12:01.720 --> 0:12:07.439
<v Speaker 2>the AI race on terrestrial based assets. For many people,

0:12:07.600 --> 0:12:10.559
<v Speaker 2>the next wave, particularly you know, running inference at the

0:12:10.720 --> 0:12:13.000
<v Speaker 2>edge is going to be above our heads. And so

0:12:13.040 --> 0:12:15.120
<v Speaker 2>in the context of what we went through Amazon Global

0:12:15.160 --> 0:12:20.000
<v Speaker 2>Star Satellite Communications generally, what is the Alliance Burned Steene

0:12:20.160 --> 0:12:20.920
<v Speaker 2>thesis on that.

0:12:22.000 --> 0:12:25.480
<v Speaker 6>I think from our perspective when we think about it,

0:12:26.360 --> 0:12:28.800
<v Speaker 6>a lot of attention has been clearly focused on the

0:12:28.840 --> 0:12:31.920
<v Speaker 6>GPUs at the core and then on the training side.

0:12:32.280 --> 0:12:34.920
<v Speaker 6>And this year with the rapid adoption of AI as

0:12:34.920 --> 0:12:38.439
<v Speaker 6>what we have seen the token adoption, we see increasing

0:12:38.559 --> 0:12:42.640
<v Speaker 6>evidence the edge is taking off and the data center

0:12:42.760 --> 0:12:47.120
<v Speaker 6>infrastructure as we see it is rapidly evolving. So if

0:12:47.160 --> 0:12:50.800
<v Speaker 6>you look at from an investment perspective, from our fund

0:12:51.280 --> 0:12:55.160
<v Speaker 6>is we're seeing a broadening out. We're seeing the players,

0:12:55.280 --> 0:12:58.520
<v Speaker 6>the incumbent, annual entrants, thinking about what the future of

0:12:58.600 --> 0:13:01.920
<v Speaker 6>infrastructure would look like. We talked about the shortages at

0:13:02.040 --> 0:13:06.160
<v Speaker 6>various levels. We talked about the training, the power, but

0:13:06.320 --> 0:13:10.240
<v Speaker 6>increasingly we're also seeing, just even at the commodity level,

0:13:10.559 --> 0:13:13.760
<v Speaker 6>across the board, we're seeing the adoption and that gives

0:13:13.880 --> 0:13:18.160
<v Speaker 6>us confidence that you know, there is increasing confidence in

0:13:18.200 --> 0:13:21.400
<v Speaker 6>the cap expend the sustainable trend of that, and then

0:13:21.400 --> 0:13:24.160
<v Speaker 6>beyond that in terms of different buckets that will benefit

0:13:24.200 --> 0:13:27.600
<v Speaker 6>from it, which really seem the broadening out of different

0:13:27.600 --> 0:13:30.400
<v Speaker 6>ways that we're trying. Because at the end of the day,

0:13:30.559 --> 0:13:37.200
<v Speaker 6>as incredibly capital intensive, data intensive, bandwidth intensive, so everything

0:13:37.240 --> 0:13:39.120
<v Speaker 6>has to catch up. There are just a lot of

0:13:39.160 --> 0:13:41.120
<v Speaker 6>investment opportunities across the board.

0:13:42.640 --> 0:13:46.640
<v Speaker 2>Have you done an assessment on the viability of the

0:13:46.679 --> 0:13:49.000
<v Speaker 2>economics of orbital data center.

0:13:50.240 --> 0:13:53.800
<v Speaker 6>I think it's probably too early to say that, you know,

0:13:53.880 --> 0:13:57.960
<v Speaker 6>to say definitively viable and not viable. But that said,

0:13:58.320 --> 0:14:01.840
<v Speaker 6>we're just using today's revenue numbers. But this is really

0:14:01.920 --> 0:14:04.800
<v Speaker 6>about the rebuild of the future of infrastructure as we

0:14:04.880 --> 0:14:07.839
<v Speaker 6>see it in the digital world. So I would venture

0:14:07.880 --> 0:14:09.880
<v Speaker 6>to say some of the changes that we have seen

0:14:10.040 --> 0:14:13.839
<v Speaker 6>thus far in terms of how rapidly we have hidden

0:14:13.840 --> 0:14:16.520
<v Speaker 6>an inflection point in the AI adoption. Just look at

0:14:16.520 --> 0:14:19.320
<v Speaker 6>the arrs of some of the new entrants is staggering.

0:14:19.680 --> 0:14:23.360
<v Speaker 6>How fast it's actually ramping. So if we take that

0:14:23.400 --> 0:14:26.400
<v Speaker 6>as a starting point and then we look out, I

0:14:26.440 --> 0:14:30.280
<v Speaker 6>would say, you know, if historically in technology and when

0:14:30.320 --> 0:14:33.680
<v Speaker 6>there is disruptive trends, what we have seen is on

0:14:33.720 --> 0:14:37.200
<v Speaker 6>the short term basis, it looks like everything could be overbuilt.

0:14:37.280 --> 0:14:39.520
<v Speaker 6>But if you actually look out on the long term basis,

0:14:39.800 --> 0:14:43.560
<v Speaker 6>as consumption is taking off, we actually don't have enough

0:14:43.560 --> 0:14:47.320
<v Speaker 6>capacity to address all the needs of the future. And

0:14:47.400 --> 0:14:50.560
<v Speaker 6>in this particular case, it's really about looking out long

0:14:50.680 --> 0:14:53.840
<v Speaker 6>term and having a secular view and then say what

0:14:54.000 --> 0:14:57.120
<v Speaker 6>do we see as the future and then invest accordingly.

0:14:57.520 --> 0:14:59.760
<v Speaker 6>They're not all going to be winners. There will be

0:14:59.800 --> 0:15:03.080
<v Speaker 6>some losers, and so we actually have to be very

0:15:03.080 --> 0:15:04.560
<v Speaker 6>selective as well nimble.

0:15:05.040 --> 0:15:08.120
<v Speaker 3>And therefore how much you divert towards the energy focus

0:15:08.160 --> 0:15:10.880
<v Speaker 3>towards the actual infrastructure rather than just the deployment and

0:15:10.920 --> 0:15:11.640
<v Speaker 3>the applications.

0:15:12.160 --> 0:15:15.720
<v Speaker 6>Yes, we actually just look across the board at all times, right,

0:15:15.760 --> 0:15:18.680
<v Speaker 6>all investments. When we look at it we think about

0:15:18.920 --> 0:15:21.400
<v Speaker 6>you know, I always say we don't look at valuation

0:15:21.720 --> 0:15:25.960
<v Speaker 6>as the first starting point, but ultimately we do look

0:15:25.960 --> 0:15:28.640
<v Speaker 6>at the long term potential and look at how much

0:15:28.720 --> 0:15:31.840
<v Speaker 6>the stocks have been buid up, and then how sustainable

0:15:31.880 --> 0:15:34.280
<v Speaker 6>it is the growth and the margin profit pools that

0:15:34.320 --> 0:15:37.960
<v Speaker 6>we're looking at, and whether that justify the valuation, so

0:15:38.000 --> 0:15:40.360
<v Speaker 6>that all times it does require you to be more

0:15:40.440 --> 0:15:43.120
<v Speaker 6>nimble as an active investor in this kind of environment.

0:15:43.480 --> 0:15:47.000
<v Speaker 2>Wow, we love having you on ed Yeah, Lachue of

0:15:47.000 --> 0:15:49.840
<v Speaker 2>the lines. Bernstein back on Bloomberg Tech. Let's turn to

0:15:49.960 --> 0:15:52.240
<v Speaker 2>some whiplash in the markets and the story we brought

0:15:52.280 --> 0:15:55.800
<v Speaker 2>you yesterday. Nvidia has denied that it's trying to buy

0:15:55.880 --> 0:15:59.680
<v Speaker 2>a large PC company. The report from the website semi

0:15:59.720 --> 0:16:02.920
<v Speaker 2>at sent shares of the two of the world's top

0:16:02.920 --> 0:16:06.640
<v Speaker 2>PC vendors hire yesterday. Dell climbed over six and a

0:16:06.680 --> 0:16:10.440
<v Speaker 2>half percent. Hp was up over five and a half percent.

0:16:10.480 --> 0:16:13.480
<v Speaker 2>That was Monday, after we brought you that original report. Today,

0:16:13.560 --> 0:16:17.040
<v Speaker 2>after that denial, we're back down on both of those

0:16:17.160 --> 0:16:19.960
<v Speaker 2>names a little softer, three percent on Dell, almost two

0:16:20.040 --> 0:16:23.480
<v Speaker 2>percent on HPN. It got people talking. Carro we brought

0:16:23.480 --> 0:16:26.280
<v Speaker 2>you the original report yesterday. We've had the denial. I

0:16:26.320 --> 0:16:28.200
<v Speaker 2>think we just wanted to close the loop on that one.

0:16:28.320 --> 0:16:31.240
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, some MNA on, some MNA off, keeping us up

0:16:31.280 --> 0:16:33.200
<v Speaker 3>to speed. Meanwhile, coming up, we're going to hear from

0:16:33.280 --> 0:16:36.320
<v Speaker 3>Lucid's incoming CEO, Silvio and Nepolie on the ev maker's

0:16:36.360 --> 0:16:39.440
<v Speaker 3>latest injection and capital. That's a lot as through med tech.

0:16:44.120 --> 0:16:44.440
<v Speaker 4>Okay.

0:16:44.480 --> 0:16:47.000
<v Speaker 2>Shares of Lucid are all over the place. Frankly, with

0:16:47.120 --> 0:16:49.560
<v Speaker 2>down almost six percent in the pre market when news

0:16:49.560 --> 0:16:52.520
<v Speaker 2>broke up twelve percent. We opened higher in the main

0:16:52.600 --> 0:16:56.040
<v Speaker 2>Tuesday session. The company has named former Shindler Holding chief

0:16:56.080 --> 0:16:59.240
<v Speaker 2>Sylvia Napoli as its new CEO. The ev maker also

0:16:59.240 --> 0:17:02.120
<v Speaker 2>announced one hundred and fifty million dollars in fresh investment

0:17:02.320 --> 0:17:05.439
<v Speaker 2>from its two largest backers, Uber and Saudi Arabia's public

0:17:05.480 --> 0:17:08.640
<v Speaker 2>Investments Fund. I spoke with Naplie about the new capital

0:17:08.840 --> 0:17:10.560
<v Speaker 2>and the company's path forward. Listen to this.

0:17:12.480 --> 0:17:19.280
<v Speaker 7>Discussing with PIF discussing with a chairman was an absolutely

0:17:19.680 --> 0:17:21.560
<v Speaker 7>vital element of my decision making.

0:17:21.680 --> 0:17:25.000
<v Speaker 2>They were involved in your talks to become CEO of Lucid.

0:17:25.480 --> 0:17:27.680
<v Speaker 7>We have a chairman of the board with RPF of

0:17:27.680 --> 0:17:31.919
<v Speaker 7>course they were, and again equally I was keen to

0:17:32.000 --> 0:17:36.040
<v Speaker 7>understand their engagement. Today's announcement is a confirmation or their

0:17:37.119 --> 0:17:41.800
<v Speaker 7>continued support or they believe in Lucid as a company

0:17:42.280 --> 0:17:46.240
<v Speaker 7>and in his future. And therefore, absolutely the role is

0:17:46.280 --> 0:17:49.360
<v Speaker 7>the absolutely heat and they are a very sub investor

0:17:49.840 --> 0:17:53.840
<v Speaker 7>and it is for Lucid a competitive advantage to be

0:17:53.920 --> 0:17:56.240
<v Speaker 7>able to rely on that type of support in a

0:17:56.320 --> 0:17:57.480
<v Speaker 7>very competitive market.

0:17:57.720 --> 0:18:02.440
<v Speaker 2>What did the PIF, the chairman, but the PIF's representatives

0:18:02.480 --> 0:18:05.320
<v Speaker 2>convey to you on what their priorities are, how they

0:18:05.440 --> 0:18:08.359
<v Speaker 2>see the to do list for you at Lucid.

0:18:08.760 --> 0:18:11.639
<v Speaker 7>Yeah, these type of discussions, of course, where there was

0:18:11.680 --> 0:18:15.440
<v Speaker 7>an element of strategic discussion to be now taken further.

0:18:15.720 --> 0:18:19.600
<v Speaker 7>But the most important element of that was their belief,

0:18:19.720 --> 0:18:22.840
<v Speaker 7>their willingness to bring on board someone like me with

0:18:23.160 --> 0:18:28.040
<v Speaker 7>industrial global experience in turning around in growth in businesses

0:18:28.080 --> 0:18:33.719
<v Speaker 7>around the world, combining industrial manufacturing and service and building

0:18:33.800 --> 0:18:37.480
<v Speaker 7>a brand. And we saw it the same way.

0:18:37.680 --> 0:18:41.719
<v Speaker 2>I've been reading about you as discreetly as possible, been

0:18:41.760 --> 0:18:48.359
<v Speaker 2>asking people about you. You are about discipline, reality in

0:18:48.400 --> 0:18:52.320
<v Speaker 2>your approach cost discipline as well. You look at all

0:18:52.320 --> 0:18:56.040
<v Speaker 2>these projects that Lucid has some of them may or

0:18:56.040 --> 0:19:00.280
<v Speaker 2>may not carry forward right at the investor day, a

0:19:00.320 --> 0:19:04.520
<v Speaker 2>prototype of a specific ROBOTAXI design. How much is that

0:19:04.560 --> 0:19:08.480
<v Speaker 2>on your list to look at the existing plans, existing

0:19:08.520 --> 0:19:13.880
<v Speaker 2>products and say let's just focus on the main thing.

0:19:15.000 --> 0:19:17.399
<v Speaker 7>It's very high on the priority. As a matter of fact,

0:19:17.400 --> 0:19:21.199
<v Speaker 7>I believe deciding what we don't do is going to

0:19:21.200 --> 0:19:23.760
<v Speaker 7>be as important, is no more than deciding on what

0:19:23.840 --> 0:19:27.600
<v Speaker 7>we do. I'm an engineer myself. I can see the

0:19:27.680 --> 0:19:32.800
<v Speaker 7>excitement engineers experience when given a new challenge, and so

0:19:33.000 --> 0:19:37.360
<v Speaker 7>our goal will be to channel that excitement in the

0:19:37.480 --> 0:19:41.040
<v Speaker 7>projects that are the highest return for our shouolders and

0:19:41.080 --> 0:19:42.600
<v Speaker 7>then taking them one other time.

0:19:43.040 --> 0:19:45.000
<v Speaker 3>A lot to talk about with the incoming Lucid CEO

0:19:45.240 --> 0:19:47.680
<v Speaker 3>Sylvie and Apolie Great interview ed mean while coming up

0:19:47.800 --> 0:19:51.040
<v Speaker 3>Oracle It's agreed to purchase fuel cell power from Blue

0:19:51.160 --> 0:19:53.600
<v Speaker 3>Energy as it scales up the AI boom More on

0:19:53.640 --> 0:20:01.840
<v Speaker 3>that next. As a boombag tech and the race to

0:20:01.840 --> 0:20:04.520
<v Speaker 3>build out AI infrastructure, Oracle is moving to solve that

0:20:04.680 --> 0:20:07.679
<v Speaker 3>power pinch by striking another big deal with Blue Energy

0:20:07.680 --> 0:20:10.720
<v Speaker 3>for its fuel cell power remotes. Brodi Ford has more

0:20:10.760 --> 0:20:13.520
<v Speaker 3>the share prices have reacted, Brodie, And what is it

0:20:13.520 --> 0:20:15.720
<v Speaker 3>the blue energy brings that others.

0:20:15.440 --> 0:20:17.600
<v Speaker 8>Don't they bring power?

0:20:18.000 --> 0:20:18.240
<v Speaker 9>Right?

0:20:18.359 --> 0:20:21.600
<v Speaker 8>I mean, that's the big bottleneck right now. You can

0:20:21.640 --> 0:20:24.600
<v Speaker 8>really get the chips, you can get the customers, certainly,

0:20:24.680 --> 0:20:26.760
<v Speaker 8>but in a lot of cases you just can't get

0:20:26.800 --> 0:20:30.280
<v Speaker 8>the power to get these big data centers running. And

0:20:30.359 --> 0:20:33.639
<v Speaker 8>so what Bloom Energy offers is fuel cells. That's going

0:20:33.720 --> 0:20:35.399
<v Speaker 8>to be a lot quicker than if you're going to

0:20:35.480 --> 0:20:38.399
<v Speaker 8>go out and try to buy some gas turbines yourself.

0:20:39.080 --> 0:20:41.760
<v Speaker 8>And you know, Oracle has clearly said that they are

0:20:41.800 --> 0:20:44.760
<v Speaker 8>willing to pay what is likely a pretty hefty premium

0:20:44.800 --> 0:20:48.400
<v Speaker 8>here to get power online quickly. And again they have

0:20:48.520 --> 0:20:51.639
<v Speaker 8>the giant contract with open Ai. They're on the hook

0:20:51.680 --> 0:20:55.320
<v Speaker 8>for a number of gigawatts and within a year or two,

0:20:55.440 --> 0:20:58.680
<v Speaker 8>and so Oracle is ready to give out the cash

0:20:58.720 --> 0:21:01.320
<v Speaker 8>to Bloom to make sure that this plan goes accordingly.

0:21:02.760 --> 0:21:06.000
<v Speaker 2>That scale is interesting because we talk about the hyper

0:21:06.040 --> 0:21:10.440
<v Speaker 2>scalers and then Oracle from a capacity standpoint, we're covering

0:21:10.520 --> 0:21:15.159
<v Speaker 2>great detail the hyper scalers securing long term energy supply.

0:21:15.760 --> 0:21:18.520
<v Speaker 2>Talk a bit more about oracles broader strategy and making

0:21:18.560 --> 0:21:21.160
<v Speaker 2>sure it can power all of that capacity.

0:21:22.480 --> 0:21:26.560
<v Speaker 8>Effectively, Oracle promised something pretty large to open AI. They

0:21:26.600 --> 0:21:30.680
<v Speaker 8>promised four and a half gigawatts and a pretty unprecedented timeline.

0:21:31.119 --> 0:21:34.399
<v Speaker 8>And so yes, they are not a traditional hyperscaler, but

0:21:34.560 --> 0:21:37.560
<v Speaker 8>right now they are building at hyper scale. They have

0:21:37.600 --> 0:21:40.679
<v Speaker 8>a similar deal with a company called Voltagrid, which offers

0:21:40.760 --> 0:21:44.080
<v Speaker 8>kind of gas turbines as a service, and they're paying

0:21:44.080 --> 0:21:45.760
<v Speaker 8>them a lot of money, right, I mean, out of

0:21:45.880 --> 0:21:50.240
<v Speaker 8>their Shackelford campus in Texas, that's one data center. They're

0:21:50.280 --> 0:21:52.959
<v Speaker 8>paying over a billion dollars per year to power it.

0:21:53.400 --> 0:21:55.720
<v Speaker 8>And so we have to imagine this is a similar

0:21:55.840 --> 0:21:58.879
<v Speaker 8>scale deal and that's why the bloom shares are so

0:21:58.960 --> 0:21:59.760
<v Speaker 8>happy this morning.

0:22:01.040 --> 0:22:05.000
<v Speaker 2>Bloomberg's Brodie Ford, thank you very much. All Right, So

0:22:05.320 --> 0:22:07.200
<v Speaker 2>the state of play is that the NAZDAK one hundred,

0:22:07.240 --> 0:22:10.399
<v Speaker 2>it's a very tech heavy index, is up for a

0:22:10.440 --> 0:22:13.120
<v Speaker 2>tenth straight day, best run of gain since twenty twenty one.

0:22:13.280 --> 0:22:17.600
<v Speaker 2>Despite everything that's happening around the world, technology is plowing on.

0:22:18.080 --> 0:22:20.200
<v Speaker 2>Coming up, we're going to speak to Denny Fish, portfolio

0:22:20.240 --> 0:22:25.240
<v Speaker 2>manager on the Global Technology and Innovation Team. Janis Henderson Investors,

0:22:25.240 --> 0:22:28.240
<v Speaker 2>somebody that has funds in the billions and billions of

0:22:28.280 --> 0:22:31.600
<v Speaker 2>dollars is zeroed in on the biggest names of technology,

0:22:31.640 --> 0:22:35.719
<v Speaker 2>and I hope can tell us why tech powers forward

0:22:36.000 --> 0:22:40.320
<v Speaker 2>amid all these geopolitical crises. It is hard time and

0:22:40.400 --> 0:22:41.760
<v Speaker 2>this is Bloomberg Tech.

0:22:50.480 --> 0:22:52.920
<v Speaker 3>Welcome back to Bloomberg Tech and check on these markets

0:22:53.040 --> 0:22:55.679
<v Speaker 3>that are continuing to ramp hire. We've had ten straight

0:22:55.760 --> 0:22:57.199
<v Speaker 3>days of gains and then as like one hundred. We'll

0:22:57.200 --> 0:22:59.560
<v Speaker 3>dig into that at moment, but today what fuels us

0:22:59.600 --> 0:23:02.240
<v Speaker 3>higher optimism that we'll have a second round of peace

0:23:02.280 --> 0:23:04.600
<v Speaker 3>talks between the United States and Iran. And we're up

0:23:04.640 --> 0:23:06.160
<v Speaker 3>more than a percentage point on the nast That one

0:23:06.200 --> 0:23:09.160
<v Speaker 3>hundred Amazon m and A spending eleven point six billion

0:23:09.200 --> 0:23:12.040
<v Speaker 3>dollars to buy a satellite company, and global start jumps

0:23:12.119 --> 0:23:14.480
<v Speaker 3>almost ten percent, and that's from the back of a

0:23:14.560 --> 0:23:17.080
<v Speaker 3>nice little premium being paid by Amazon. Move on and

0:23:17.080 --> 0:23:19.280
<v Speaker 3>have a little look at what has been an extraordinary

0:23:19.280 --> 0:23:23.720
<v Speaker 3>stretch for technology amid all the volatility geopolitical acts. We

0:23:23.720 --> 0:23:25.640
<v Speaker 3>saw the S and P five hundred shake off those

0:23:25.680 --> 0:23:28.159
<v Speaker 3>losses of the conflict yesterday and now we have a

0:23:28.200 --> 0:23:31.399
<v Speaker 3>tenth day of gains. Three trillion dollars added to the

0:23:31.480 --> 0:23:34.120
<v Speaker 3>NASTAK one hundred ed, the question is can we continue.

0:23:35.320 --> 0:23:37.240
<v Speaker 2>Let's get more on the perspective and the markets with

0:23:37.320 --> 0:23:40.600
<v Speaker 2>Denny Fish, portfolio manager on the Global Technology and Innovation

0:23:40.720 --> 0:23:44.760
<v Speaker 2>Team Janis Henderson Investors. Something we looked at yesterday is

0:23:44.800 --> 0:23:47.840
<v Speaker 2>one case study was an Intel right and gaining more

0:23:47.880 --> 0:23:50.720
<v Speaker 2>than fifty percent over nine sessions. But then as that

0:23:50.840 --> 0:23:53.159
<v Speaker 2>one hundred is on track for ten straight days of

0:23:53.200 --> 0:23:56.359
<v Speaker 2>gains while we have a war in Iran, while energy

0:23:56.400 --> 0:24:02.280
<v Speaker 2>prices are spiking. Given the technology sect has momentum, what

0:24:02.520 --> 0:24:05.040
<v Speaker 2>is it that investors are basing that on, Denny? What

0:24:05.080 --> 0:24:08.240
<v Speaker 2>are the facts as they're assessing in their optimism.

0:24:09.080 --> 0:24:13.399
<v Speaker 9>Yeah, I think the primary factors are that regardless of

0:24:13.480 --> 0:24:17.320
<v Speaker 9>what the geopolitical environment looks like. And you know, obviously

0:24:17.400 --> 0:24:19.080
<v Speaker 9>I have to couch out a little bit because if

0:24:19.080 --> 0:24:23.280
<v Speaker 9>it got extreme, this won't hold. But the trends that

0:24:23.480 --> 0:24:25.840
<v Speaker 9>have persisted for the last three years because of the

0:24:25.880 --> 0:24:31.840
<v Speaker 9>advances and expected advances in artificial intelligence just won't slow.

0:24:32.359 --> 0:24:35.600
<v Speaker 9>And so unless you have a belief that we are

0:24:35.640 --> 0:24:39.040
<v Speaker 9>starting to plateau in some form as it relates to

0:24:39.080 --> 0:24:42.640
<v Speaker 9>the models, or that there's some other major constraint that's

0:24:42.680 --> 0:24:47.480
<v Speaker 9>going to constrain our ability to actually advance these technologies,

0:24:48.000 --> 0:24:52.120
<v Speaker 9>you kind of have to participate in the investment cycle

0:24:52.600 --> 0:24:55.359
<v Speaker 9>because this could go on for several years. And you know,

0:24:55.440 --> 0:24:58.840
<v Speaker 9>having covered technology or worked in the technology industry for

0:24:58.880 --> 0:25:02.840
<v Speaker 9>over thirty years, you know these trends persist much longer

0:25:02.840 --> 0:25:06.040
<v Speaker 9>than investors could ever imagine. And this is the most

0:25:06.040 --> 0:25:08.720
<v Speaker 9>profound technology shift in our lifetimes. And I think that's

0:25:08.720 --> 0:25:12.040
<v Speaker 9>why the market has quickly come back to the stocks

0:25:12.080 --> 0:25:16.800
<v Speaker 9>that were working before the conflict actually started.

0:25:17.040 --> 0:25:21.320
<v Speaker 3>Denny, Before the conflict started, software wasn't working, and actually

0:25:21.359 --> 0:25:23.520
<v Speaker 3>today it is. But that hasn't been consistent in the

0:25:23.640 --> 0:25:25.800
<v Speaker 3>last few days, particularly when you think about mythols, the

0:25:25.840 --> 0:25:28.440
<v Speaker 3>latest models coming out of Anthropic and what that means

0:25:28.440 --> 0:25:31.000
<v Speaker 3>for software written large. What's your take on how beaten

0:25:31.080 --> 0:25:31.840
<v Speaker 3>up the sector's got.

0:25:33.280 --> 0:25:36.560
<v Speaker 9>Yeah, it's really hard because the fundamental thing that's going

0:25:36.600 --> 0:25:40.360
<v Speaker 9>on right now in software is that the market broadly speaking,

0:25:40.480 --> 0:25:43.840
<v Speaker 9>is questioning the terminal values of the companies. And once

0:25:43.880 --> 0:25:46.800
<v Speaker 9>you start questioning the terminal values of the companies, it's

0:25:47.000 --> 0:25:50.200
<v Speaker 9>really really hard to disprove a bare case. And the

0:25:50.240 --> 0:25:53.600
<v Speaker 9>reason that this just continues to get questioned and we've

0:25:53.640 --> 0:25:57.080
<v Speaker 9>seen it really it started in mid December, when you know,

0:25:57.119 --> 0:26:02.399
<v Speaker 9>with the launches of CLAW four dot five and Codex

0:26:02.640 --> 0:26:05.840
<v Speaker 9>from open AIY, those were step function changes, and I

0:26:05.880 --> 0:26:09.160
<v Speaker 9>think in an environment where investors were expecting maybe more

0:26:09.240 --> 0:26:14.200
<v Speaker 9>moderate increases in capabilities, we saw saw a step function change.

0:26:14.320 --> 0:26:16.880
<v Speaker 9>And then with four dot six from Claude, we just

0:26:17.200 --> 0:26:20.800
<v Speaker 9>saw another step function change. And what's important is, you know,

0:26:20.880 --> 0:26:24.919
<v Speaker 9>these context windows are getting much longer, the agentic capabilities

0:26:24.960 --> 0:26:29.920
<v Speaker 9>are becoming amazing. You combine those two things, these these products, now,

0:26:30.640 --> 0:26:35.280
<v Speaker 9>these models can do things that humans, the best humans

0:26:35.320 --> 0:26:37.800
<v Speaker 9>can barely do when it comes to software development. So

0:26:37.880 --> 0:26:41.600
<v Speaker 9>really what it comes down to then is what is

0:26:41.680 --> 0:26:44.719
<v Speaker 9>going to be the barrier to injury for software and

0:26:44.800 --> 0:26:48.720
<v Speaker 9>how sustainable are the competitive advantages of the existing incumbents.

0:26:49.200 --> 0:26:51.760
<v Speaker 9>And I think one of the challenges is that not

0:26:51.800 --> 0:26:55.199
<v Speaker 9>only do you have threats from the models at the moment,

0:26:55.760 --> 0:26:59.240
<v Speaker 9>but all these capital market cycles generally kind of look

0:26:59.280 --> 0:27:01.880
<v Speaker 9>and feel the same, and as we get into twenty

0:27:01.960 --> 0:27:04.840
<v Speaker 9>twenty seven twenty twenty eight, we're likely to see an

0:27:04.920 --> 0:27:09.000
<v Speaker 9>environment where you see a whole slew of agentic first

0:27:09.040 --> 0:27:12.760
<v Speaker 9>software companies that have been funded in the venture community

0:27:12.800 --> 0:27:14.959
<v Speaker 9>over the last three or four years that are then

0:27:15.040 --> 0:27:18.600
<v Speaker 9>going to becoming a scaled enterprises growing really fast, and

0:27:18.640 --> 0:27:20.800
<v Speaker 9>typically that's a more attractive environment.

0:27:21.000 --> 0:27:23.520
<v Speaker 3>And so Joe vin to software at these levels. Denny like,

0:27:23.560 --> 0:27:25.280
<v Speaker 3>how do you make that decision? Or is it safe

0:27:25.280 --> 0:27:26.600
<v Speaker 3>to be with the picks and the shovels, with the

0:27:26.680 --> 0:27:28.119
<v Speaker 3>energy of the infrastructure of the chips.

0:27:29.280 --> 0:27:32.280
<v Speaker 9>I think it's still safer to be with the picks

0:27:32.320 --> 0:27:36.400
<v Speaker 9>and shovels and the infrastructure that's building out, you know,

0:27:36.640 --> 0:27:39.440
<v Speaker 9>for these models. And I mean if we just look,

0:27:39.600 --> 0:27:41.760
<v Speaker 9>I think a great data point that we just recently

0:27:42.040 --> 0:27:46.840
<v Speaker 9>got if you read Anti Jassey's shareholder letter from Amazon,

0:27:47.200 --> 0:27:50.040
<v Speaker 9>and he just clearly lays out what's going on within

0:27:50.080 --> 0:27:54.159
<v Speaker 9>their infrastructure. And once you really understand kind of the

0:27:54.200 --> 0:27:58.320
<v Speaker 9>constraints that we're still facing and the returns that these

0:27:58.320 --> 0:28:01.199
<v Speaker 9>companies expect to get over time, you can start to

0:28:01.200 --> 0:28:03.160
<v Speaker 9>get more comfortable with that. But you know, as far

0:28:03.160 --> 0:28:05.200
<v Speaker 9>as the I can see, I was just in Asia.

0:28:05.280 --> 0:28:08.960
<v Speaker 9>I mean, we are supply constrained in AI infrastructure, likely

0:28:09.240 --> 0:28:12.480
<v Speaker 9>you know, well through twenty twenty seven, maybe into twenty

0:28:12.560 --> 0:28:15.679
<v Speaker 9>twenty eight, depending on you know what components or you

0:28:15.720 --> 0:28:20.199
<v Speaker 9>know that you're looking at. But nonetheless, this building this

0:28:20.280 --> 0:28:23.000
<v Speaker 9>buildout is going to continue, and I think we're going

0:28:23.080 --> 0:28:25.040
<v Speaker 9>to continue to see the same thing that we've seen

0:28:25.080 --> 0:28:26.960
<v Speaker 9>the last three years, where we get closer to the

0:28:27.040 --> 0:28:30.600
<v Speaker 9>end of the year and then the expectations around CAPEX,

0:28:30.760 --> 0:28:34.560
<v Speaker 9>whether it's the hyperscalers, enterprises or governments, just continues to

0:28:34.600 --> 0:28:35.760
<v Speaker 9>exceed expectations.

0:28:36.440 --> 0:28:39.240
<v Speaker 2>So to illustrate that point, the top two holdings in

0:28:39.280 --> 0:28:43.000
<v Speaker 2>the two biggest funds that you're across any are in

0:28:43.120 --> 0:28:46.760
<v Speaker 2>Nvidia and then TSMC. And the state of play so

0:28:46.840 --> 0:28:49.440
<v Speaker 2>far in twenty twenty six is that then, as that

0:28:49.480 --> 0:28:52.840
<v Speaker 2>one hundred is up modestly and the socks excuse me

0:28:52.960 --> 0:28:56.360
<v Speaker 2>is massively outperformed. I think, going back to Caroline's last question,

0:28:56.400 --> 0:28:59.320
<v Speaker 2>when does that change? When do you which point in

0:28:59.360 --> 0:29:02.480
<v Speaker 2>times you adjust stieholdings to reflect more dominance of the

0:29:02.520 --> 0:29:04.600
<v Speaker 2>software names benefiting from the investment.

0:29:06.040 --> 0:29:08.360
<v Speaker 9>Yeah, I think a couple of things would need to happen.

0:29:08.400 --> 0:29:11.160
<v Speaker 9>I mean, the reason that AI infrastructure continues to work

0:29:11.200 --> 0:29:14.160
<v Speaker 9>is number one, the fundamentals remain quite strong and continue

0:29:14.200 --> 0:29:17.520
<v Speaker 9>to exceed expectations. And that's not just TSMC and Nvidia.

0:29:17.600 --> 0:29:21.880
<v Speaker 9>That's the memory complex, that's optics, that's energy. I mean,

0:29:22.120 --> 0:29:24.400
<v Speaker 9>we can you know, data center infrastructure. You can go,

0:29:24.560 --> 0:29:27.120
<v Speaker 9>you know, down the whole list and they all continue

0:29:27.160 --> 0:29:32.280
<v Speaker 9>to participate. But you would either need those fundamentals really

0:29:32.360 --> 0:29:35.800
<v Speaker 9>to start to slow, you know, lower than what investor

0:29:35.840 --> 0:29:39.120
<v Speaker 9>expectations are, or the valuations to blow out to levels

0:29:39.480 --> 0:29:41.960
<v Speaker 9>where then you just get really uncomfortable at what your

0:29:42.000 --> 0:29:45.880
<v Speaker 9>return could be despite really strong fundamentals. And so far,

0:29:46.520 --> 0:29:50.160
<v Speaker 9>fundamentals continue to be strong and valuations are reasonable across

0:29:50.160 --> 0:29:52.760
<v Speaker 9>a lot of the ecosystem, and you can trast that

0:29:52.880 --> 0:29:57.440
<v Speaker 9>to software, for example, where maybe fundamentals are stable, maybe

0:29:57.440 --> 0:29:59.280
<v Speaker 9>they're not declining yet, but as I mentioned, you have

0:29:59.360 --> 0:30:02.640
<v Speaker 9>terminal value risk. And then you actually, if you're looking

0:30:02.640 --> 0:30:05.600
<v Speaker 9>at these things and comparing them on say like a

0:30:05.640 --> 0:30:09.560
<v Speaker 9>gap basis or adjusted for stock based compensation or the

0:30:09.560 --> 0:30:13.040
<v Speaker 9>things that a lot of generalist investors would do, the

0:30:13.120 --> 0:30:16.640
<v Speaker 9>valuations actually might not look that attractive in many cases.

0:30:16.840 --> 0:30:18.400
<v Speaker 9>And that's why I think you have to be careful.

0:30:18.600 --> 0:30:21.960
<v Speaker 9>We're still investing in software, to be clear, but we're

0:30:21.960 --> 0:30:25.120
<v Speaker 9>taking what I call a rifle shot approach versus a

0:30:25.160 --> 0:30:27.200
<v Speaker 9>shotgun approach when we think about the names that we'll

0:30:27.200 --> 0:30:31.320
<v Speaker 9>invest in, and more likely than not, the better place

0:30:31.320 --> 0:30:34.200
<v Speaker 9>to be invested. Is in infrastructure software that's based on

0:30:34.280 --> 0:30:37.360
<v Speaker 9>consumption that's really going to benefit from this build out

0:30:37.400 --> 0:30:39.680
<v Speaker 9>as well versus the application space.

0:30:40.040 --> 0:30:43.040
<v Speaker 3>Danny Fisher, Jenis Henderson. We so appreciate it. It's even

0:30:43.080 --> 0:30:45.120
<v Speaker 3>on the road a lot. Thanks for checking in. And look,

0:30:45.200 --> 0:30:48.440
<v Speaker 3>let's check out another era that in Vidia is injecting

0:30:48.520 --> 0:30:51.960
<v Speaker 3>some life into quantum. Now we understand in Video is

0:30:52.040 --> 0:30:55.280
<v Speaker 3>launching its world's first family of open source quantum AI

0:30:55.360 --> 0:30:58.840
<v Speaker 3>models called Nvidia Icing. That's named after a mathematical model.

0:30:59.040 --> 0:31:01.400
<v Speaker 3>And really this is a design how researches enterprises that

0:31:01.480 --> 0:31:05.640
<v Speaker 3>build quantum processes actually capable of running useful applications. Look

0:31:05.680 --> 0:31:08.920
<v Speaker 3>at the stock market reaction, D Wave, IONQ inflection, which

0:31:08.960 --> 0:31:11.880
<v Speaker 3>is part of this partnership in particular, all up into

0:31:11.920 --> 0:31:12.440
<v Speaker 3>the right end.

0:31:13.520 --> 0:31:17.600
<v Speaker 2>Okay, coming up the Treasury Department's tech team. Once access

0:31:17.800 --> 0:31:22.760
<v Speaker 2>to Anthropics Mythos, we'll discuss the air model's cybersecurity impact. Next,

0:31:23.320 --> 0:31:24.320
<v Speaker 2>this is Bloomberg Tech.

0:31:32.360 --> 0:31:36.320
<v Speaker 3>The US Treasury Department is seeking access to Anthropics mythus

0:31:36.440 --> 0:31:39.640
<v Speaker 3>model so it can begin hunting for vulnerabilities. Now that's

0:31:39.640 --> 0:31:42.400
<v Speaker 3>according to a source, Anthropic has worn the powerful model,

0:31:42.480 --> 0:31:45.320
<v Speaker 3>maybe capable of powering cyber attacks and has released it

0:31:45.440 --> 0:31:48.160
<v Speaker 3>only to a limited group of institutions. Thus far s

0:31:48.200 --> 0:31:52.200
<v Speaker 3>get the latest Bloomberg cyber editor justone. Is it as

0:31:52.200 --> 0:31:55.080
<v Speaker 3>powerful as all? This is a good reason why part

0:31:55.120 --> 0:31:58.200
<v Speaker 3>of the government, I might say, while the Pentagon is

0:31:58.240 --> 0:32:00.760
<v Speaker 3>currently in a legal fight with anthrops be getting access

0:32:00.800 --> 0:32:01.040
<v Speaker 3>to the.

0:32:01.000 --> 0:32:04.560
<v Speaker 10>Model, Anthropic hasn't released this model publicly, which is really

0:32:04.600 --> 0:32:07.920
<v Speaker 10>important for everyone, especially in the general public cybersecurity research.

0:32:08.200 --> 0:32:10.840
<v Speaker 10>Cybersecurity researchers don't have access to this tool, so we

0:32:10.880 --> 0:32:14.280
<v Speaker 10>can't independently verify that. Initial feedback has been that this

0:32:14.280 --> 0:32:16.480
<v Speaker 10>tool is quite powerful. This is the kind of thing

0:32:16.560 --> 0:32:21.040
<v Speaker 10>that it's essentially what Anthropic describes as the ultimate kind

0:32:21.080 --> 0:32:23.000
<v Speaker 10>of red team tool that if you unleash it within

0:32:23.000 --> 0:32:25.120
<v Speaker 10>your systems, you're going to use it to find as

0:32:25.160 --> 0:32:29.600
<v Speaker 10>many bugs and vulnerabilities and potential points of exploit before.

0:32:29.360 --> 0:32:33.240
<v Speaker 2>The bad guys can so. According to our source, right

0:32:33.560 --> 0:32:37.920
<v Speaker 2>the Treasury Department want access to it to identify vulnerability.

0:32:38.640 --> 0:32:40.920
<v Speaker 2>Is there any more flesh to that that you can

0:32:40.960 --> 0:32:43.240
<v Speaker 2>take us through, Jeff, what the Treasury Department would do

0:32:43.280 --> 0:32:47.160
<v Speaker 2>with it. There's also the background that Treasury Secretary Besson

0:32:47.280 --> 0:32:50.600
<v Speaker 2>was part of the official group that warned Wall Street

0:32:51.000 --> 0:32:53.640
<v Speaker 2>about taking this seriously, right.

0:32:53.720 --> 0:32:54.160
<v Speaker 9>That's right.

0:32:54.360 --> 0:32:57.480
<v Speaker 10>The best meeting that he had with fed Share Powell

0:32:57.560 --> 0:32:59.600
<v Speaker 10>is a really important piece of context to this when

0:32:59.600 --> 0:33:02.680
<v Speaker 10>they summon these Wall Street leaders to a meeting with

0:33:02.680 --> 0:33:05.560
<v Speaker 10>them in Washington to urge them to say, hey, you

0:33:05.600 --> 0:33:08.200
<v Speaker 10>should unleash this tool. You should try to find your

0:33:08.240 --> 0:33:11.200
<v Speaker 10>own kind of flaws and vulnerabilities before outside attackers. Do

0:33:11.840 --> 0:33:15.840
<v Speaker 10>you know at that time, we know that Treasury and

0:33:15.880 --> 0:33:19.120
<v Speaker 10>some government agencies were in discussions with Anthropic about using

0:33:19.120 --> 0:33:22.040
<v Speaker 10>this tool. They want it for the same reasons that

0:33:22.320 --> 0:33:24.840
<v Speaker 10>they're encouraging so many of their partners to use it.

0:33:26.080 --> 0:33:29.000
<v Speaker 2>Bloomberg Jeffstone with the reporting, Thank you very much. Let's

0:33:29.000 --> 0:33:32.560
<v Speaker 2>get more on the capabilities an impact of Anthropics Mythos

0:33:32.560 --> 0:33:35.280
<v Speaker 2>that speak with Jaya Blue. She's the chief operating Officer

0:33:35.320 --> 0:33:39.480
<v Speaker 2>and chief Information security Officer at the AI cybersecurity firm Aisle.

0:33:40.280 --> 0:33:42.560
<v Speaker 2>A week ago, I spoke to Mike Krieger, who leads

0:33:42.600 --> 0:33:46.120
<v Speaker 2>Anthropics Labs team, and in the context of Mythos, who

0:33:46.160 --> 0:33:49.360
<v Speaker 2>was saying, when you have a model this powerful, you

0:33:49.400 --> 0:33:53.760
<v Speaker 2>can't actually isolate one capability. But what's so confusing about

0:33:53.760 --> 0:33:57.440
<v Speaker 2>that is we are only talking about Mythos's ability to

0:33:57.840 --> 0:34:03.800
<v Speaker 2>identify vulnerabilities quicker at great expense. But that's the very

0:34:03.920 --> 0:34:05.600
<v Speaker 2>narrow use case. What have you made of that?

0:34:07.040 --> 0:34:09.680
<v Speaker 11>Well, So, actually it was never in doubt that we

0:34:09.719 --> 0:34:13.000
<v Speaker 11>can use AI to discover vulnerabilities, and at Aisle we've

0:34:13.000 --> 0:34:17.280
<v Speaker 11>been doing that since August twenty twenty five. We found

0:34:17.360 --> 0:34:19.359
<v Speaker 11>all of the vulnerabilities, and something that's been a very

0:34:19.360 --> 0:34:22.600
<v Speaker 11>hard code base, like open SSL, we've been finding those vulnerabilities.

0:34:22.600 --> 0:34:26.400
<v Speaker 11>So using AI to find vulnerabilities is not a unique capability.

0:34:26.440 --> 0:34:28.560
<v Speaker 11>What I think is interesting about Mythos is it's supposed

0:34:28.560 --> 0:34:32.400
<v Speaker 11>to be the most powerful model yet, and I have

0:34:32.440 --> 0:34:35.719
<v Speaker 11>to say, like there is a contention here. I disagree

0:34:35.760 --> 0:34:37.799
<v Speaker 11>with that because I think one of the things you

0:34:37.880 --> 0:34:40.280
<v Speaker 11>see is that you know, the vulnerabilities that they've actually

0:34:40.320 --> 0:34:44.279
<v Speaker 11>surfaced and disclosed are not impossible to find, not with

0:34:44.320 --> 0:34:49.080
<v Speaker 11>a closed source model like Mythos, but also with small, tiny,

0:34:49.760 --> 0:34:54.440
<v Speaker 11>open source models. And that's incredibly significant. Because Mythos has

0:34:54.520 --> 0:34:57.839
<v Speaker 11>now been restricted use to only like forty companies, they

0:34:57.880 --> 0:35:00.880
<v Speaker 11>are incredibly deterministic about who gets access to it. And

0:35:00.960 --> 0:35:03.200
<v Speaker 11>I think that what we should expect is that if

0:35:03.200 --> 0:35:06.680
<v Speaker 11>we really want to maintain a state of security, specifically

0:35:06.680 --> 0:35:10.879
<v Speaker 11>with open source security vendors, then we need to make

0:35:10.920 --> 0:35:13.520
<v Speaker 11>sure that they also have the capability to do this.

0:35:14.000 --> 0:35:16.080
<v Speaker 11>So one of the things that we're really intent on

0:35:16.320 --> 0:35:21.720
<v Speaker 11>is releasing something open source that is comparable the finding

0:35:21.760 --> 0:35:24.279
<v Speaker 11>those same kind of vulnerabilities, and we've proven that we

0:35:24.360 --> 0:35:25.319
<v Speaker 11>can actually do it.

0:35:25.440 --> 0:35:28.839
<v Speaker 3>How can you do that safely? And do you think

0:35:28.880 --> 0:35:32.360
<v Speaker 3>therefore that this is being done safely from a mytho's

0:35:32.400 --> 0:35:35.680
<v Speaker 3>general purpose model perspective, or is it more hype that's

0:35:35.719 --> 0:35:36.560
<v Speaker 3>happening around it.

0:35:37.560 --> 0:35:39.319
<v Speaker 11>Well, I think there's always you know, I think with

0:35:39.440 --> 0:35:41.279
<v Speaker 11>all of this stuff, there is always a degree of

0:35:41.400 --> 0:35:45.280
<v Speaker 11>hype and the real effect you can only actually validate

0:35:45.280 --> 0:35:47.160
<v Speaker 11>it when you have access to the model and you

0:35:47.280 --> 0:35:49.640
<v Speaker 11>compare it to other models. But if you just take

0:35:49.640 --> 0:35:52.919
<v Speaker 11>a look at the vulnerabilities that they disclosed, we can

0:35:52.960 --> 0:35:55.960
<v Speaker 11>confirm that we can find those vulnerabilities not with a

0:35:56.040 --> 0:36:00.200
<v Speaker 11>closed source model from nthropic, but an open source model

0:36:00.239 --> 0:36:04.040
<v Speaker 11>like GPT five point four, And that is the tiniest

0:36:04.080 --> 0:36:06.320
<v Speaker 11>model that we can test with, and we can confirm

0:36:06.360 --> 0:36:09.600
<v Speaker 11>that we can find those same vulnerabilities. And the reason

0:36:09.680 --> 0:36:14.720
<v Speaker 11>to make this more widely available, this open source tiny

0:36:14.840 --> 0:36:17.920
<v Speaker 11>LM model is this is something that I believe that

0:36:17.960 --> 0:36:22.200
<v Speaker 11>we should always do because defenders now globally, are you

0:36:22.560 --> 0:36:25.840
<v Speaker 11>worried about who else can build this? If we've already

0:36:25.880 --> 0:36:28.919
<v Speaker 11>proven previously you can do this with open source, it's

0:36:29.040 --> 0:36:31.560
<v Speaker 11>just a matter of time before someone else figures out

0:36:31.600 --> 0:36:33.759
<v Speaker 11>how to do it. So without making it open source,

0:36:33.800 --> 0:36:38.040
<v Speaker 11>we're actually giving defenders a disadvantage. And I think the

0:36:38.080 --> 0:36:40.279
<v Speaker 11>real issue is how can you get defenders up to

0:36:40.360 --> 0:36:44.080
<v Speaker 11>scale globally and not just forty companies in Selicon Valley,

0:36:44.120 --> 0:36:46.840
<v Speaker 11>but everybody on a level playing field in order to

0:36:46.840 --> 0:36:50.000
<v Speaker 11>defend their stuff. So open source maintainers need to be

0:36:50.040 --> 0:36:52.480
<v Speaker 11>able to find their own villabilities in order to fix them.

0:36:52.560 --> 0:36:56.160
<v Speaker 3>Our attack is already looking at these smaller open source models.

0:36:56.239 --> 0:36:58.680
<v Speaker 3>What have you seen, particularly as we are in the

0:36:58.719 --> 0:37:03.399
<v Speaker 3>midst of a global conflict where Iran has very sophisticated

0:37:03.600 --> 0:37:05.120
<v Speaker 3>cyber attackers.

0:37:05.120 --> 0:37:08.600
<v Speaker 11>At least I think the best example that we saw

0:37:08.760 --> 0:37:12.200
<v Speaker 11>is the recent example that was hit by the towards

0:37:12.200 --> 0:37:16.000
<v Speaker 11>the Mexican government, where you saw a bunch of compromise

0:37:16.120 --> 0:37:19.600
<v Speaker 11>happening because of AI, because of an attacker using AI

0:37:20.800 --> 0:37:24.239
<v Speaker 11>to hack the government in Mexico, so I think we

0:37:24.320 --> 0:37:27.480
<v Speaker 11>are definitely going to see more of this. I worry

0:37:27.520 --> 0:37:32.040
<v Speaker 11>about again the ability for people who are trying to

0:37:32.080 --> 0:37:37.280
<v Speaker 11>build like foundational Internet capabilities to have access to things,

0:37:37.360 --> 0:37:40.200
<v Speaker 11>to find issues in their own code base and then

0:37:40.239 --> 0:37:44.959
<v Speaker 11>defend them proactively, versus having sort of small community only

0:37:45.000 --> 0:37:47.760
<v Speaker 11>have access. I think we need to democratize this because

0:37:48.000 --> 0:37:50.799
<v Speaker 11>the building blocks of the Internet are democratized. They are

0:37:50.920 --> 0:37:51.880
<v Speaker 11>in the hands of everyone.

0:37:53.120 --> 0:37:53.400
<v Speaker 12>JII.

0:37:53.440 --> 0:37:55.680
<v Speaker 2>This is the view of Bloomberg Intelligence are in house

0:37:55.719 --> 0:37:59.240
<v Speaker 2>and this right, and that is that mythos on paper,

0:37:59.360 --> 0:38:01.920
<v Speaker 2>because you quite rightly point out the limited scope of

0:38:01.960 --> 0:38:07.720
<v Speaker 2>access lacks the capability to replace leading cybersecurity providers like yourself.

0:38:08.080 --> 0:38:12.640
<v Speaker 2>Beyond vulnerability assessment, right, it's good at identifying memory corruption,

0:38:12.800 --> 0:38:17.600
<v Speaker 2>logic vulnerabilities. Do you accept that that that's where it's

0:38:17.640 --> 0:38:20.640
<v Speaker 2>limits end. Because the conversations I've had every day for

0:38:20.680 --> 0:38:23.960
<v Speaker 2>seven days is that this is a model more capable

0:38:24.239 --> 0:38:25.520
<v Speaker 2>than any we've seen before.

0:38:27.400 --> 0:38:29.319
<v Speaker 11>And you know what I think Mythos is actually doing.

0:38:29.400 --> 0:38:31.600
<v Speaker 11>Let me just maybe cavy up this by saying, I

0:38:31.600 --> 0:38:33.600
<v Speaker 11>think they're doing a really good job. I think it's

0:38:33.600 --> 0:38:36.960
<v Speaker 11>hard for us to actually validate some of that that

0:38:37.000 --> 0:38:39.239
<v Speaker 11>it's the greatest model ever unless you can actually do it,

0:38:39.280 --> 0:38:42.920
<v Speaker 11>because we can reproduce this with three and I want

0:38:42.960 --> 0:38:47.320
<v Speaker 11>to emphasize the word free here. Free open source models.

0:38:47.360 --> 0:38:50.879
<v Speaker 11>The smallest models are capable of finding the same thing.

0:38:50.920 --> 0:38:54.080
<v Speaker 11>So it's not about the model, although anthropic makes it

0:38:54.120 --> 0:38:57.120
<v Speaker 11>about the model, It's really about the system and the

0:38:57.120 --> 0:39:00.600
<v Speaker 11>scaffold and everything you build around it. Because what we

0:39:00.640 --> 0:39:02.920
<v Speaker 11>see is that this is this capability is quite jagged,

0:39:02.960 --> 0:39:05.839
<v Speaker 11>so it's not good at everything. Equally as well, it's

0:39:05.880 --> 0:39:08.440
<v Speaker 11>good at some things, like you pointed out that it's

0:39:08.480 --> 0:39:10.040
<v Speaker 11>not good at everything, and this is something that we

0:39:10.120 --> 0:39:13.240
<v Speaker 11>also see in the open source model. But given enough

0:39:13.320 --> 0:39:16.920
<v Speaker 11>open source model, you can highly paralyze all of this stuff.

0:39:17.080 --> 0:39:20.480
<v Speaker 11>So instead of relying on one exceptionally intelligent model, you

0:39:20.520 --> 0:39:23.719
<v Speaker 11>can take this kind of raw intelligence capability, farm it

0:39:23.760 --> 0:39:27.880
<v Speaker 11>across many models and then actually find more. This is

0:39:27.880 --> 0:39:31.680
<v Speaker 11>something that we've proven we can actually find bugs that

0:39:31.800 --> 0:39:35.360
<v Speaker 11>Mythos has missed, and we're doing this together with the

0:39:35.400 --> 0:39:39.520
<v Speaker 11>open source community, for example hugging face models and you

0:39:39.600 --> 0:39:42.840
<v Speaker 11>know a GPT five point four and again like doing

0:39:42.880 --> 0:39:45.400
<v Speaker 11>this for free means that there's a certain degree of

0:39:45.440 --> 0:39:49.319
<v Speaker 11>asymmetry right now that's being held by anthropic that asymmetry

0:39:49.320 --> 0:39:52.799
<v Speaker 11>will decline, and to your point, we will have other

0:39:52.920 --> 0:39:56.240
<v Speaker 11>actors also capable of doing this. So it's about giving

0:39:57.239 --> 0:40:00.960
<v Speaker 11>defenders the leverage here to figure out their on issues.

0:40:01.000 --> 0:40:01.479
<v Speaker 11>And six.

0:40:01.520 --> 0:40:05.399
<v Speaker 3>Then it's great catching out with you, Javalu A Vile.

0:40:05.760 --> 0:40:09.400
<v Speaker 3>We really appreciate your time. Now coming up US residential

0:40:09.400 --> 0:40:12.759
<v Speaker 3>electricity prices. They have spiked in the last five years,

0:40:12.760 --> 0:40:15.480
<v Speaker 3>and how much blame is AI getting for that jump?

0:40:15.880 --> 0:40:17.360
<v Speaker 3>What's it going to mean for the midterms? More on

0:40:17.360 --> 0:40:17.640
<v Speaker 3>that next.

0:40:17.680 --> 0:40:18.560
<v Speaker 1>This is a boombog peg.

0:40:23.120 --> 0:40:25.520
<v Speaker 3>The rapid build out of AI infrastructure has seen the

0:40:25.600 --> 0:40:29.160
<v Speaker 3>spike in energy prices wholesale electricity in areas with significant

0:40:29.200 --> 0:40:31.319
<v Speaker 3>data center activity, so there isn't as much as two

0:40:31.360 --> 0:40:34.120
<v Speaker 3>hundred and sixty seven percent in five years. That's making

0:40:34.120 --> 0:40:36.960
<v Speaker 3>the cost of electricity for the twenty twenty six midterms

0:40:37.360 --> 0:40:39.360
<v Speaker 3>well what the price of eggs was in the twenty

0:40:39.400 --> 0:40:42.320
<v Speaker 3>twenty four election. That's the focus of the latest Bloomberg

0:40:42.360 --> 0:40:44.719
<v Speaker 3>Big Take, and one of our reporters on it, Energy

0:40:44.719 --> 0:40:46.719
<v Speaker 3>reporter Josh Saul, is here with us now and I

0:40:46.760 --> 0:40:49.480
<v Speaker 3>want to clear something up first and foremost, because is

0:40:49.520 --> 0:40:53.120
<v Speaker 3>the wrap the bad rap coming to data centers the

0:40:53.239 --> 0:40:57.440
<v Speaker 3>right target right now in amidst oil price issues, amid

0:40:57.719 --> 0:41:01.200
<v Speaker 3>just supply demand constraints, the up grade of the utilities.

0:41:01.200 --> 0:41:04.880
<v Speaker 12>More broadly, people are really angry about their utility bills.

0:41:05.200 --> 0:41:07.280
<v Speaker 12>Data centers are part of the reason that those bills

0:41:07.280 --> 0:41:09.680
<v Speaker 12>are getting higher, but they're not the whole reason. There's

0:41:09.719 --> 0:41:14.520
<v Speaker 12>other things like investments needed for an aging grid, overall inflation.

0:41:15.040 --> 0:41:16.600
<v Speaker 12>But when you ask people, when I was in the

0:41:16.680 --> 0:41:18.919
<v Speaker 12>Lehigh Valley in Pennsylvania, when I would ask them about

0:41:18.960 --> 0:41:22.160
<v Speaker 12>their utility bills, they would say, I'm so mad about

0:41:22.160 --> 0:41:23.960
<v Speaker 12>the data centers. They would go right to.

0:41:23.960 --> 0:41:27.879
<v Speaker 2>That, right, Josh, you know there is when it comes

0:41:27.920 --> 0:41:30.440
<v Speaker 2>to data center impact on any given zip code. There

0:41:30.520 --> 0:41:33.560
<v Speaker 2>is not in my backyard, right, Nimbi. That's one movement,

0:41:34.120 --> 0:41:37.360
<v Speaker 2>But specifically with energy prices and how it relates to

0:41:37.360 --> 0:41:40.200
<v Speaker 2>the mid terms, How do we measure the movement of

0:41:40.239 --> 0:41:43.360
<v Speaker 2>the electorate in how they feel about this issue, in

0:41:43.440 --> 0:41:46.560
<v Speaker 2>how it might sway votes in key races.

0:41:47.840 --> 0:41:50.680
<v Speaker 12>The NIMBI issue is more about green space. It's more

0:41:50.680 --> 0:41:54.280
<v Speaker 12>about what's right next to you. People worry about power prices,

0:41:54.320 --> 0:41:57.360
<v Speaker 12>but the way that the power prices travel across the grid.

0:41:57.480 --> 0:41:59.839
<v Speaker 12>Whether you can see a data center or whether it's

0:42:00.480 --> 0:42:02.719
<v Speaker 12>ten or even one hundred miles away, it's still going

0:42:02.800 --> 0:42:04.200
<v Speaker 12>to be affecting your power bills.

0:42:04.680 --> 0:42:08.760
<v Speaker 3>And look, it's affecting Japanese power bills. It's affecting UK pawables,

0:42:08.800 --> 0:42:10.759
<v Speaker 3>and some of them are data center related to some

0:42:10.800 --> 0:42:13.919
<v Speaker 3>of them are also energy and import related. But take

0:42:14.000 --> 0:42:17.000
<v Speaker 3>us to Pennsylvania and take us to whether or not

0:42:17.080 --> 0:42:20.640
<v Speaker 3>this is being deemed more one side, more Democrat issue,

0:42:20.640 --> 0:42:23.160
<v Speaker 3>more Republican issue, because of course it is the administration,

0:42:23.280 --> 0:42:26.239
<v Speaker 3>the current administration that is all in on data center expansion.

0:42:27.200 --> 0:42:30.560
<v Speaker 12>It's shaping up as an anti incumbent issue. So there's

0:42:30.600 --> 0:42:34.320
<v Speaker 12>a Republican incumbent in the Lehigh Valley and people are

0:42:34.480 --> 0:42:37.200
<v Speaker 12>angry about their power bills, and often that anger is

0:42:37.239 --> 0:42:40.040
<v Speaker 12>taken out on an incumbent, whether it's a local representative

0:42:40.280 --> 0:42:42.600
<v Speaker 12>in the Lehigh Valley or whether it's President Trump.

0:42:44.000 --> 0:42:46.439
<v Speaker 2>I want to thank Bloomberg Joshaul, who has the big

0:42:46.480 --> 0:42:49.320
<v Speaker 2>take and it's a must read. Let's get back to Disney,

0:42:49.360 --> 0:42:51.240
<v Speaker 2>the story that we broke at the top of the hour.

0:42:51.760 --> 0:42:55.719
<v Speaker 2>Disney is cutting around one thousand jobs. That's according to

0:42:55.760 --> 0:42:59.879
<v Speaker 2>Bloomberg's sources, Bloomberg reporting that the cuts will be company why,

0:43:00.600 --> 0:43:05.440
<v Speaker 2>but impact marketing most This would be the first layoffs

0:43:05.719 --> 0:43:08.439
<v Speaker 2>under new CEO Josh Tomorrow, who took over from Bob

0:43:08.480 --> 0:43:12.640
<v Speaker 2>Iger in March. Separately, Bloomberg is reporting and has seen

0:43:12.719 --> 0:43:16.320
<v Speaker 2>a memo from Josh Tomorrow to Disney's staff that says

0:43:16.360 --> 0:43:19.719
<v Speaker 2>that they will start eliminating roles in some parts of

0:43:19.719 --> 0:43:25.000
<v Speaker 2>the company, and they've begun notifying those impacted employees. The

0:43:25.000 --> 0:43:27.279
<v Speaker 2>stock didn't really move when the story broake carry you know,

0:43:27.520 --> 0:43:30.879
<v Speaker 2>there's been reports on this in prior weeks, but yeah,

0:43:31.040 --> 0:43:31.879
<v Speaker 2>a big piece of news.

0:43:32.080 --> 0:43:36.160
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, more agile, technologically enabled workforce, that's what they want. Well,

0:43:36.360 --> 0:43:39.040
<v Speaker 3>we talk about that technology and the enablement and it

0:43:39.080 --> 0:43:40.600
<v Speaker 3>does it for this edition of Bloombog Tech.

0:43:41.640 --> 0:43:43.600
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, recap on the pod. You know where to find it.

0:43:43.640 --> 0:43:47.600
<v Speaker 2>A lot of important markets, news, technology conversations. That's where

0:43:47.600 --> 0:43:50.359
<v Speaker 2>you find it. From New York and San Francisco. This

0:43:50.400 --> 0:43:51.239
<v Speaker 2>is Bloomberg Tech