WEBVTT - Beating The Book: Guessing Lines Week 13 0:00:03.480 --> 0:00:13.440 Check it on manlow down Man today can check it 0:00:13.480 --> 0:00:15.440 out Man. It is the numbers game right here at 0:00:15.440 --> 0:00:18.960 BSA Sports Betting Network Series XM Channel two four, Visa 0:00:19.040 --> 0:00:21.480 dot Com. The Visa app Boo Boastling and Game Plus 0:00:21.640 --> 0:00:25.759 was hatten in Hey, It's skill Alexander Jason Cohn is 0:00:25.760 --> 0:00:27.880 here as well. It's all brought to you by bet 0:00:28.000 --> 0:00:31.920 MGM Sports and Nevada with exciting college and ProFootball action 0:00:31.960 --> 0:00:34.720 every week. It's time to get into bet MGM Sports Nevada, 0:00:34.760 --> 0:00:37.320 the premier sports betting app. Bet mgm has all your 0:00:37.320 --> 0:00:40.040 favorite wagering options, a lot within game betting, boosted dot specials, 0:00:40.040 --> 0:00:41.960 and much more. 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For those who are just landing 0:01:09.600 --> 0:01:11.640 on the show, it's a tribute, a nod to the 0:01:11.680 --> 0:01:15.520 old Start Us show of the same ilk where I'm 0:01:15.560 --> 0:01:18.480 in a cocoon, guess what the subsequent lines weeks are 0:01:18.480 --> 0:01:20.920 going to be, and then Chris Andrews tells us what 0:01:21.000 --> 0:01:23.360 he's actually going to post at the end of the 0:01:23.360 --> 0:01:25.559 show here at the South Point Hotel Casino. And within 0:01:25.600 --> 0:01:29.240 that exercise we hope to extract value. Jason, good morning 0:01:29.240 --> 0:01:31.120 to you man. How are you good, Gil, how are you? 0:01:31.560 --> 0:01:35.840 We're good. All of us survived. We're all survivors. Yes, exactly, 0:01:36.360 --> 0:01:39.320 hundred and three entries left out of nine. There was 0:01:39.360 --> 0:01:42.479 a hundred and five going into Sunday. One person picked 0:01:42.480 --> 0:01:47.039 the ram and one person didn't submit, so one oh 0:01:47.040 --> 0:01:50.279 three left. Wonder which is worse. One hundred and three 0:01:50.320 --> 0:01:53.600 survivor entries left and everybody got through. It didn't matter 0:01:53.640 --> 0:01:55.280 who you picked. And so we'll talk about that as 0:01:55.280 --> 0:01:58.040 we go on today. But let's bring him into the show. 0:01:58.080 --> 0:01:59.800 The star of the show, Ladies and Gentleman runs the 0:01:59.800 --> 0:02:02.800 south Wain Hotel, Casino, sports books, book, Chrissie Andrews. How 0:02:02.840 --> 0:02:06.960 you doing, Chris? I'm doing good, Jil, very good. Thank you? 0:02:07.080 --> 0:02:08.720 How are you? I'm doing well. You guys had a 0:02:08.880 --> 0:02:15.919 ridiculously great Sunday, didn't you. We had a ridiculously great 0:02:16.080 --> 0:02:19.760 week from Thursday on? And I always listen, I've been 0:02:19.919 --> 0:02:23.960 doing this a long time. Everybody knows that Thank Youiving 0:02:24.080 --> 0:02:28.120 Day is often times a blood bath for bookmakers. But 0:02:28.280 --> 0:02:33.280 you guys, like four free picks almost you bet against Detroit, 0:02:33.919 --> 0:02:37.080 you bet on Dallas, and you bet over in both games. 0:02:37.520 --> 0:02:40.519 And I've been saying that peers, and even this last year. 0:02:40.960 --> 0:02:44.000 I mean, there's only one game that upset the apple 0:02:44.080 --> 0:02:47.400 cart there and that was Dallas losing. But we wound 0:02:47.520 --> 0:02:49.359 up with a really good day Thursday and it just 0:02:49.600 --> 0:02:54.280 kept going and um, yeah, yesterday was the culmination of 0:02:54.400 --> 0:02:57.200 a very good weekend. What was your single biggest winner yesterday? 0:02:59.200 --> 0:03:02.840 The Raider game? What do you make of the Raiders? 0:03:02.919 --> 0:03:05.639 Good guy? We gotta get to them, just, you know, 0:03:06.639 --> 0:03:10.520 we will. That was I have like a grading system, 0:03:11.080 --> 0:03:15.880 should I use see here? And the Raiders had the 0:03:16.000 --> 0:03:19.799 worst I know, they had the worst grades. Uh, they 0:03:19.840 --> 0:03:23.280 were even three points worse than the Broncos. That's how 0:03:23.320 --> 0:03:26.280 bad they were. Yeah, there's a lot there's a lot 0:03:26.320 --> 0:03:28.320 of bad teams in the NFL, and there's a group 0:03:28.400 --> 0:03:29.840 of teams in the Mill. You have no idea are 0:03:29.880 --> 0:03:31.760 they good? Bad teams? Bad good teams? You just don't 0:03:31.760 --> 0:03:35.200 know it. Again every week, all right, let's not forget tonight. 0:03:35.240 --> 0:03:38.800 We have a game still in week twelve, Seattle at Philadelphia, 0:03:39.280 --> 0:03:42.320 where Seattle now is six and a half point favorites. Tomorrow, 0:03:42.640 --> 0:03:46.320 we think, but we don't know that. We're going to 0:03:46.400 --> 0:03:48.960 get Baltimore at Pittsburgh that's up to ten now in 0:03:49.040 --> 0:03:52.200 favor of the Steelers. I don't I have no idea 0:03:53.040 --> 0:03:54.680 if that's going to happen or not. We'll get to 0:03:54.720 --> 0:03:56.600 the do we have the Adam Schefter tweet that just 0:03:56.640 --> 0:03:58.640 came out recently about this game. We have no idea 0:03:58.680 --> 0:04:00.720 if this is going to happen at this point with 0:04:01.400 --> 0:04:03.480 with Baltimore. And but here's what Adam Schefter had to 0:04:03.560 --> 0:04:06.560 say about this, and it goes a little something like 0:04:07.040 --> 0:04:12.880 this like this, NFL canceling Raven's practice schedule for this morning, 0:04:12.920 --> 0:04:15.680 per league source. Raven's last practice the Saturday before the 0:04:15.760 --> 0:04:19.080 Titans game currently scheduled to play in Pittsburgh on Tuesday night. 0:04:19.520 --> 0:04:23.040 Raven's travel plans and flux with snow forecasting in Pittsburgh 0:04:23.080 --> 0:04:26.840 on Tuesday. Am. So read into that what you will. Um, 0:04:27.120 --> 0:04:31.600 But let's start with Thursday night, week thirteen and try 0:04:31.680 --> 0:04:34.480 to see if we can maybe have some thoughts here 0:04:34.520 --> 0:04:40.080 heading into next week. There's a Thursday night came there, 0:04:41.080 --> 0:04:46.560 that's right scuttled Dallas Baltimore. I'm sorry, Dallas Baltimore got 0:04:46.680 --> 0:04:49.680 moved to Sunday. Sorry, I gotta keep up with all 0:04:49.720 --> 0:04:52.960 this or to Monday. So we have a we have 0:04:53.040 --> 0:04:55.800 a double header Monday, Monday at five pm Eastern. Say, 0:04:55.839 --> 0:04:57.880 I knew all this last week. It's all that Survivor 0:04:57.960 --> 0:05:02.800 met this this weekend. Yes, that's Monday, we think at 0:05:02.880 --> 0:05:07.320 this point though that will be contingent on what happens tomorrow. Okay, 0:05:07.480 --> 0:05:12.440 so we'll start Sunday morning then. Okay, before we even 0:05:12.480 --> 0:05:14.440 get to that, let me just tell you there's no 0:05:14.680 --> 0:05:17.080 lines anywhere on that Dallas game. So don't you know 0:05:17.240 --> 0:05:22.640 Dallas and Baltimore Monday game, So don't Yeah, it's Gil Alexander, 0:05:22.680 --> 0:05:24.440 Chris Andrews. This is a numbers game right here at 0:05:24.480 --> 0:05:27.080 Vicent guessing lines on a Monday morning. Okay, I'm sorry, 0:05:27.080 --> 0:05:30.240 go ahead, no line there. Well, I was gonna say, 0:05:30.360 --> 0:05:33.080 don't don't say it's time for that game on Monday. 0:05:33.600 --> 0:05:36.640 There's no lines anywhere. No one even knows, you know, 0:05:36.720 --> 0:05:39.400 what the hell is going on? Hell Baltimore. So okay, 0:05:39.640 --> 0:05:47.560 Sunday morning, Yeah, Sunday morning. First up, the Lions, the 0:05:47.640 --> 0:05:52.039 new coach against the Bears, who didn't look so great 0:05:52.160 --> 0:05:54.400 last night Lions and Bears. Turns out Mr r Bisky 0:05:54.440 --> 0:05:57.400 is still not that good at football. Huh. Detroit at 0:05:58.800 --> 0:06:01.080 Detroit four and seven, and they did, in fact, fire 0:06:01.120 --> 0:06:05.840 Matt Patricia and their GM Bob Quinn. Matt Patricia's final 0:06:05.920 --> 0:06:10.480 record with the Lions nine and one, remember Jim Caldwell 0:06:10.560 --> 0:06:15.560 before that was thirty six thirty six. General manager Bob 0:06:15.680 --> 0:06:19.720 Quinn twelve games under five hundred over five seasons. The Lions, 0:06:19.720 --> 0:06:23.800 as you mentioned, get crushed by Houston for twenty five 0:06:23.800 --> 0:06:25.360 in a game that wasn't that close, in a game 0:06:25.400 --> 0:06:30.040 again that was marked by the Lions lollygagging at the 0:06:30.200 --> 0:06:34.000 end of both halves in the first half, down nine, 0:06:34.839 --> 0:06:38.560 just refusing to realize they had three timeouts in pocket 0:06:39.120 --> 0:06:42.520 and just absolutely used none of them and made no 0:06:42.680 --> 0:06:44.600 sense what they did at the end of the at 0:06:44.640 --> 0:06:46.839 the end of the first half, just let the clock 0:06:47.000 --> 0:06:49.280 run from a second and ten with forty six seconds 0:06:49.360 --> 0:06:53.839 left all the way down to twenty five seconds. Punted, 0:06:54.720 --> 0:06:56.720 got sacked with seventy It was terrible. And then the 0:06:56.800 --> 0:06:58.520 end of the game, Yeah, they probably weren't gonna win, 0:06:58.520 --> 0:07:00.880 but they got it from sixteen and then they just decided, 0:07:00.920 --> 0:07:02.800 we're just gonna lollygag down the field too. We we 0:07:02.839 --> 0:07:05.440 have no no clue about what we're doing here, and 0:07:05.520 --> 0:07:08.479 that's probably why that was the final straw for Patricia 0:07:08.800 --> 0:07:12.480 and Bob Quinn there. Uh so Detroit is in that 0:07:12.640 --> 0:07:15.400 situation there four and seven extra rest. I suppose I'm 0:07:15.400 --> 0:07:18.240 supposed to say that in the Chicago last night. Uh 0:07:18.320 --> 0:07:20.800 they were pretty terrible against Green Bay. The final score 0:07:20.880 --> 0:07:23.640 was more cosmetic than anything. Fifteen unanswered at the end 0:07:23.680 --> 0:07:26.880 for the Bears and Mitch Drabinsky. But they were not 0:07:27.040 --> 0:07:29.920 good last night at all. Trabisky twenty six of forty 0:07:30.000 --> 0:07:31.960 six or two forty two looks better on paper than 0:07:32.000 --> 0:07:34.800 it was. Three touchdowns, two pick sack three times. David 0:07:34.840 --> 0:07:36.680 Montgomery eleven for one oh three, a lot of that 0:07:36.800 --> 0:07:39.200 on one big carry. Robinson the best player on the 0:07:39.240 --> 0:07:41.240 team eight eight for seventy four two touchdowns, but they 0:07:41.280 --> 0:07:43.320 were minus three in turnovers. They only had the ball 0:07:43.360 --> 0:07:46.360 twenty two minutes and seventeen seconds against the Packers. They 0:07:46.480 --> 0:07:49.920 get crushed in that game. Uh, forty one to twenty five, 0:07:49.960 --> 0:07:53.040 as I said, not as close as it seemed as 0:07:53.280 --> 0:07:55.240 seven and a half eight it's called eight and a 0:07:55.280 --> 0:07:59.240 half point Dogs closing was eight on that I'll say 0:07:59.400 --> 0:08:01.920 Chicago minus three just because I don't know what else 0:08:01.960 --> 0:08:07.320 to make it. Well, you're light, it's five and a half. 0:08:08.800 --> 0:08:12.960 Uh see one six that uh you know, my power 0:08:13.040 --> 0:08:15.200 radis came to five and it's you know, kind of 0:08:15.240 --> 0:08:20.720 a difficult thing with Detroy situation in flux. But the 0:08:20.800 --> 0:08:22.960 Bears really looked awful. I said, I still make them. 0:08:23.240 --> 0:08:24.880 I made them five. I'm an opening in five and 0:08:24.920 --> 0:08:27.160 a half. That's pretty much where I see, although I 0:08:27.240 --> 0:08:29.680 do see one six. And the issue with that game, 0:08:29.720 --> 0:08:31.240 of course, and the reason I have the three and 0:08:31.320 --> 0:08:32.599 you have a five and a half is because we 0:08:32.640 --> 0:08:35.520 don't know who's playing right for Detroit. Will Amandola be 0:08:35.600 --> 0:08:38.400 back forgetting Amadola. For a second, will Kenny Golladay be back? 0:08:38.800 --> 0:08:41.319 Will DeAndre Swift be back? That will make that will 0:08:41.360 --> 0:08:43.640 make a bunch of difference once you have multiple bodies 0:08:44.160 --> 0:08:48.439 back like that. So um, okay, I'm not gonna I'm 0:08:48.440 --> 0:08:50.480 not gonna go too crazy about that difference because again 0:08:50.520 --> 0:08:54.520 the Lions, we don't really know what we're getting. What's next? Okay, 0:08:54.559 --> 0:08:56.880 before we move on, I wanna you know some maybe 0:08:56.960 --> 0:08:59.040 some people on Twitter can help me out here. I 0:08:59.080 --> 0:09:02.800 started thinking about because Patricia obviously wasn't doing the job. 0:09:02.920 --> 0:09:05.880 He deserved to get five He was a terrific coordinator. 0:09:05.920 --> 0:09:08.560 Though let's not take that away from what I look 0:09:08.600 --> 0:09:11.280 at is when these guys hired coaches, they're hiring a 0:09:11.360 --> 0:09:18.400 head coach, except for two exceptions, they hire um coordinators 0:09:18.440 --> 0:09:20.559 who are doing really well. You know, it's not the 0:09:20.640 --> 0:09:23.319 same job being a coordinator and being a head coach. 0:09:23.800 --> 0:09:27.040 The head coach has multiple people under him that he's 0:09:27.040 --> 0:09:29.800 trying to get the best out of those people. So 0:09:30.080 --> 0:09:33.520 I went through and I probably missed somebody, and that's 0:09:33.520 --> 0:09:35.720 a massive Twitter to correct me here, help me out here. 0:09:36.280 --> 0:09:39.320 The two guys who are not who were not coordinators 0:09:39.360 --> 0:09:42.560 that have head coaching jobs probably the second and third 0:09:42.640 --> 0:09:46.000 best coaches in the league, and that's John Harbaugh and 0:09:46.120 --> 0:09:49.320 Mike Tomlin. How is there anyone else out there who 0:09:49.440 --> 0:09:52.880 was not a coordinator and and you know Harbaugh arguably 0:09:53.200 --> 0:09:55.959 was the special teams coordinator, but you know that's not 0:09:56.320 --> 0:09:59.160 a going re position as a coach. And I just 0:09:59.240 --> 0:10:01.679 wonder to present any one, I think other ones out there, 0:10:01.720 --> 0:10:04.160 because you see some of these guys, you know, like 0:10:04.320 --> 0:10:07.120 Jason Garrett, he was a health coordinator, wasn't very good 0:10:07.160 --> 0:10:08.839 head coach. I mean, we'd run down the line the 0:10:08.880 --> 0:10:10.640 same thing, and I always say say the same thing. 0:10:10.720 --> 0:10:13.280 It's they all look great on the way in. They 0:10:13.360 --> 0:10:15.719 all look so great on the way out, right, But 0:10:15.840 --> 0:10:18.120 I'm just one that for another coach who who was 0:10:18.160 --> 0:10:20.839 not a coordinator. It's a great point, Chrissy. And also, 0:10:21.080 --> 0:10:23.120 you know I asked this of Lombardi, of Michael Lombardi 0:10:23.160 --> 0:10:25.400 a couple of weeks back. Do we know, like because 0:10:25.520 --> 0:10:28.400 one of the hot coaches, hot coaching commodities, you hear 0:10:28.400 --> 0:10:30.360 out there is a guy like Eric bi Enemy. Well, 0:10:30.480 --> 0:10:33.480 we have examples of Chief's coordinators not doing so well 0:10:33.559 --> 0:10:35.160 as head coaches, right, Like how do we know that 0:10:35.280 --> 0:10:38.160 he's any different from anybody else. Maybe he is, but 0:10:38.240 --> 0:10:40.719 I don't know that he is. You're right, it's a 0:10:40.840 --> 0:10:46.720 different gig. What about Vrabel, No, that's a good one. 0:10:48.400 --> 0:10:51.160 Tomlin was defensive coordinator in Minnesota. I've got to look 0:10:51.200 --> 0:10:54.720 it up. But I thought he had coordinator experience. He wasn't. 0:10:54.760 --> 0:10:56.319 I think he was the defense I think it was 0:10:56.360 --> 0:10:59.439 the linebacker, defensive coach. I don't think he was like 0:10:59.679 --> 0:11:02.800 the coordinator. I might be wrong. Yeah, you know, he 0:11:02.920 --> 0:11:05.760 certainly didn't get that job for being such a growing coordinator. 0:11:05.840 --> 0:11:08.840 That's what got That's not what got him the job. Rabel. 0:11:08.840 --> 0:11:10.760 You might have a point there. I'm not. I didn't 0:11:10.760 --> 0:11:13.160 think about I thought you might have been a defensive coordinator, 0:11:13.400 --> 0:11:16.800 Mike tell you, Yeah, Mike Tomlin was the defensive coordinator 0:11:16.800 --> 0:11:20.000 for the Vikings for one year two thousand six, So 0:11:22.920 --> 0:11:25.679 just for one year. Um, that's on there. And then 0:11:25.720 --> 0:11:29.440 the case of in a case of Mike Vrabel, Vrabel 0:11:29.720 --> 0:11:33.960 was defensive coordinator for the Texans for the year before. 0:11:34.000 --> 0:11:38.400 At least we're stint there. So yeah, but briefly for 0:11:38.480 --> 0:11:41.040 both of those guys. All right, anyway, next game, what 0:11:41.160 --> 0:11:45.520 do we got on Sunday. Next game Bengals at the Dolphins. 0:11:46.000 --> 0:11:49.720 Bengals at the Dolphins. Oh, the Bengals to eight and one, 0:11:50.160 --> 0:11:53.360 could have taken out the Giants and survivor, but couldn't 0:11:53.440 --> 0:11:56.839 do it. Had the ball, couldn't do it. You want 0:11:56.880 --> 0:12:00.440 to talk about coaching records, Zach Taylor four in one 0:12:01.280 --> 0:12:04.120 in two seasons with the Bagles. Now, how about this. 0:12:04.840 --> 0:12:08.480 They're one thirteen in one in one possession game since 0:12:08.559 --> 0:12:11.000 the start of last season. Let me repeat that, one 0:12:11.160 --> 0:12:14.719 thirteen and one one possession games. The Bengals worst in 0:12:14.760 --> 0:12:17.959 the NFL since the start of last season. Brandon Allen 0:12:18.040 --> 0:12:20.720 seventeen for twenty nine, one thirty six and his debut 0:12:20.760 --> 0:12:23.000 against the Giants. Zach Taylor said he's going with him 0:12:23.000 --> 0:12:26.400 next week against the Dolphins. Said, gave us a chance, 0:12:26.960 --> 0:12:29.720 did some things I love that, did some things football 0:12:29.760 --> 0:12:33.000 coach speak, one touchdown, one pain. He was sacked twice. 0:12:33.160 --> 0:12:35.840 The Bengals had a grand total of eleven first downs, 0:12:36.800 --> 0:12:41.160 one hundred and fifty five total yards of offense, forty rushing, 0:12:41.679 --> 0:12:44.000 and they were minus two in turnovers against the Giants. 0:12:44.080 --> 0:12:46.920 They were out time of possessioned thirty seven twenty six 0:12:47.640 --> 0:12:50.040 thirty four and but remember one of their scores was 0:12:50.040 --> 0:12:52.120 a kickoff return for a touchdown for Brandon Wilson a 0:12:52.200 --> 0:12:54.719 hundred three yards. And despite all of that, they got 0:12:54.800 --> 0:12:59.000 within two points with two thirty three left. Uh Man. 0:12:59.840 --> 0:13:02.199 And then Brandon Alan fumbled while being sacked with fifty 0:13:02.240 --> 0:13:04.599 seven seconds left to seal it for the Giants. And 0:13:04.679 --> 0:13:06.800 as I said, Zach Taylor said, I'm sticking with Alan. 0:13:07.559 --> 0:13:11.520 Miami beats the Jets. Uh that's not breaking news. Jets 0:13:11.559 --> 0:13:13.880 go to eleven. We'll get to them later. Miami's now 0:13:13.960 --> 0:13:16.079 won six of sevens and starting one and three. This 0:13:16.320 --> 0:13:20.559 was Ryan Fitzpatrick, not to a Tago vloa Volo was 0:13:20.800 --> 0:13:24.120 Tago Volo was inactive with a left thumb injury. The 0:13:24.240 --> 0:13:26.800 Dolphins now seven and oh. When leading at halftime this season, 0:13:26.880 --> 0:13:29.320 Ryan Fitzpatch was twenty four thirty nine for two fifty 0:13:29.360 --> 0:13:31.720 seven two touchdowns note pix. He was sacked four times. 0:13:32.160 --> 0:13:34.800 DeVante Parker was eight had eight catches for a hundred 0:13:34.880 --> 0:13:37.160 nineteen yards. Now, I'm not saying the Jets would have 0:13:37.280 --> 0:13:40.320 won this football game, but did you see that DeVante 0:13:40.480 --> 0:13:45.440 Parker catch that was ruled to catch even after replay 0:13:45.920 --> 0:13:49.720 on the dolphins first go ahead touchdown drive. This might 0:13:49.800 --> 0:13:52.920 have been the worst call in NFL history, and I 0:13:53.480 --> 0:13:55.640 really am not given to hyperbole on this stuff. This 0:13:55.840 --> 0:14:00.040 was awful. He got a nineteen yard catch despite not 0:14:00.120 --> 0:14:03.560 appearing to ever fully control the football before Getry knocked 0:14:03.600 --> 0:14:06.319 it out of his hands for the Jets. Gaze Adam 0:14:06.400 --> 0:14:09.439 Gates challenged the call. TV replay seemed to support the 0:14:09.520 --> 0:14:12.040 Jets argument, but it was upheld. The Dolphins scored four 0:14:12.080 --> 0:14:14.920 plays later, and I'm just like, the Jets are not 0:14:15.000 --> 0:14:17.959 only bad, but they get the Scrooge Up of the 0:14:18.160 --> 0:14:21.120 year on that, Like, this is terrible, and you never 0:14:21.200 --> 0:14:23.160 know how plays like that, because that was the third dampot. 0:14:23.200 --> 0:14:27.120 You never know how plays like that can change a game. 0:14:27.840 --> 0:14:30.120 Jason Sanders, by the way, kicked field goals of fifty 0:14:30.160 --> 0:14:32.440 four and fifty one yards for the Dolphins as well, 0:14:32.760 --> 0:14:35.360 giving him an NFL leading eight from fifty or more yards. 0:14:35.440 --> 0:14:38.680 He's like, justin Tucker light, he's that good. I'll say 0:14:38.720 --> 0:14:42.080 the Dolphins will be ten point favorites here. No less, 0:14:43.120 --> 0:14:47.760 that's what I made it. I see it higher. I 0:14:47.960 --> 0:14:51.360 see eleven, eleven and a half. Take your choice for 0:14:51.640 --> 0:14:55.120 both numbers out there. I'm gonna open eleven because you know, well, 0:14:55.320 --> 0:14:58.400 they do have a lot of one score games. The Bengals. 0:14:58.480 --> 0:15:00.560 They managed to blow every one of them but one, 0:15:00.680 --> 0:15:04.120 I guess in the last two years with Taylor to Helm. 0:15:04.960 --> 0:15:09.400 But yeah, I think they'll probably listen pen eleven. We're 0:15:09.560 --> 0:15:11.920 cutting it pretty fine. But I like the eleven better 0:15:11.960 --> 0:15:13.400 than the eleven and a half. And by the way, 0:15:13.480 --> 0:15:16.400 Bryant Flores who was not a coordinator, so that guy 0:15:16.480 --> 0:15:18.160 who like, there you go, doing a hell of the 0:15:18.280 --> 0:15:22.560 job of the All right, Uh, those are two non 0:15:22.640 --> 0:15:25.120 exciting games, by the way. To start things off, what's third? 0:15:27.480 --> 0:15:30.440 Colts at the Texans and you are posting what are 0:15:30.440 --> 0:15:34.080 you posting for the Dolphins game? Again? Just for record keeping? Eleven? 0:15:34.240 --> 0:15:37.240 I'm open eleven. Eleven, Okay, Colts of the Texans. Seven 0:15:37.280 --> 0:15:42.440 and four Colts at the four and seven Texans. Indianapolis 0:15:42.560 --> 0:15:45.520 losing to the Titans and therefore getting knocked out of 0:15:45.600 --> 0:15:48.080 first place in the a f C South that now 0:15:48.200 --> 0:15:50.360 belongs to the Titans. Titans crushed in forty five to 0:15:50.480 --> 0:15:53.480 twenty six. We'll get to the Titans momentarily, but that 0:15:53.600 --> 0:15:56.920 was all out destruction in the first half. Indianapolis allowed 0:15:57.120 --> 0:15:59.480 more points in the first half of that game, thirty 0:15:59.600 --> 0:16:02.920 five of then they had in any full game this season. 0:16:03.920 --> 0:16:06.360 They were out rushed in the first half to twenty 0:16:06.440 --> 0:16:09.880 nine to fifty six. They allowed three hundred forty six 0:16:09.960 --> 0:16:15.440 total yards in the first half. Philip Rivers too touchdowns, 0:16:15.480 --> 0:16:18.600 one pick, he was sacked once. Then there's Houston extra 0:16:18.720 --> 0:16:22.960 rest as we mentioned beating the Lions handily. Deshaun Watson 0:16:22.960 --> 0:16:24.560 with a pair of go ahead touchdowns in the first 0:16:24.600 --> 0:16:26.880 half through for two more scores in the fourth quarter. 0:16:27.360 --> 0:16:29.200 Uh to have the Texans pull away from the Lions 0:16:29.240 --> 0:16:31.480 forty one twenty five. Remember J. J. Watt had the 0:16:31.480 --> 0:16:34.240 pick six. DeShawn was seventeen of twenty five for three 0:16:34.280 --> 0:16:37.440 eighteen four touchdowns, no picks in that game, will full 0:16:37.480 --> 0:16:39.720 of the fifth his biggest target six for one seventy 0:16:39.760 --> 0:16:43.080 one and two touchdowns. But the Texans were sloppy. Remember 0:16:43.120 --> 0:16:45.280 how many penalties they had in that game, and there 0:16:45.320 --> 0:16:48.760 was a bunch denied excuse me, UH declined as well, 0:16:49.280 --> 0:16:51.120 So in the end it was ten penalties or seventy 0:16:51.160 --> 0:16:53.640 four yards. But I mean, they were just shooting themselves 0:16:53.680 --> 0:16:55.360 in the foot. Is just the Detroit was so bad 0:16:55.440 --> 0:16:58.760 it didn't matter. They were plus two turnovers in that game, 0:16:59.480 --> 0:17:02.640 and that the trick play late h India at Houston. 0:17:03.120 --> 0:17:05.359 Huge game now for Indie as they're out of the 0:17:05.440 --> 0:17:08.480 top spot and there in the wild card mix. After 0:17:08.560 --> 0:17:11.320 that Houston performance in the extra rest, I don't think 0:17:11.359 --> 0:17:14.520 Indie can be that big of a favorite here, even 0:17:14.560 --> 0:17:16.960 though again it doesn't matter that you're on the road. 0:17:17.200 --> 0:17:19.360 But I'm not sure that that's factored in here. I'll 0:17:19.400 --> 0:17:25.080 say Indian Apples minus three and a half. So the 0:17:25.160 --> 0:17:28.280 first time in the show, I liked your number better. 0:17:29.560 --> 0:17:33.240 It's a two and a half. The Colts my power 0:17:33.320 --> 0:17:37.040 rating from the five. If you look back at this 0:17:37.160 --> 0:17:40.440 text and the team. Now there's two wins against the Jags. 0:17:41.560 --> 0:17:45.080 They have win against you know, a letterless ship and 0:17:45.160 --> 0:17:48.440 the Lions, and then they beat the Patriots, which is 0:17:48.520 --> 0:17:52.400 pretty good. Okay, that's their four wins. I think it's 0:17:52.480 --> 0:17:55.920 I think it's a classic, you know by low Sell 0:17:56.160 --> 0:17:59.959 high moment, because the whole world saw the Houston Texans 0:18:00.440 --> 0:18:02.960 went on Thursday, Like I said, against the Runner the Ship, 0:18:04.160 --> 0:18:08.440 the Colts look awful yesterday. I've forgot the last play, 0:18:08.800 --> 0:18:10.720 well last significant play of the game. They tried the 0:18:10.760 --> 0:18:12.880 ontie kick and the guy returned it for a touchdown. 0:18:13.280 --> 0:18:16.359 So there's an extra seven points against them that you know, 0:18:16.680 --> 0:18:22.040 not really inagoration. Um, so I think that that number 0:18:23.200 --> 0:18:25.119 I like fining as certainly a lot better than the 0:18:25.200 --> 0:18:27.480 two and a half. But my numbers come to five 0:18:28.600 --> 0:18:32.600 right now. I see the game two and a half one, 0:18:33.840 --> 0:18:36.360 two spots with a little bit of juice on the favorite, 0:18:36.800 --> 0:18:42.640 one spot, three with the juice on the dog. Um, well, 0:18:42.720 --> 0:18:45.600 we do everything eleven at ten at South when everybody 0:18:45.640 --> 0:18:49.080 knows that I'm gonna debate that one, I'm gonna I'm 0:18:49.119 --> 0:18:52.280 gonna if that three holes out there, I'm gonna open 0:18:52.320 --> 0:18:54.440 it three. If not, i'll open it too and half 0:18:54.440 --> 0:18:56.560 because I know I'm just inviting in action if I don't, 0:18:57.080 --> 0:19:02.720 but I'm probably probably gonna open three. I'll lay the 0:19:02.760 --> 0:19:05.680 two and a half if I can find that on Indianapolis. Yeah, 0:19:05.760 --> 0:19:09.720 that's that total. I think you're buying low and Teche. 0:19:09.960 --> 0:19:11.600 I agree. Let's try to get one more in here. 0:19:13.440 --> 0:19:17.160 Jacksonville at the Vikings, Jacksonville at the Vikings. Man, these 0:19:17.200 --> 0:19:21.960 are barn burners, huh, Jacksonville. Jacksonville's one in ten, but 0:19:22.080 --> 0:19:23.920 they had the ball with a chance to tie it 0:19:24.040 --> 0:19:27.720 up yesterday against Cleveland would have had survivor implications or 0:19:27.720 --> 0:19:30.879 at least would have forced an overtime or or a 0:19:31.119 --> 0:19:33.440 frenzy at the end of the game in regulation. Jacksonville 0:19:33.520 --> 0:19:36.400 one in ten. Now they said a single season franchise 0:19:36.440 --> 0:19:39.000 record by losing their tenth consecutive game yesterday, and they 0:19:39.119 --> 0:19:42.760 fired their GM. By the way, Dave Caldwell, the owner, 0:19:42.880 --> 0:19:45.840 con says the that Doug Maron is safe till the 0:19:45.960 --> 0:19:49.359 end of the year. Oh, that's wonderful. Uh. Caldwell has 0:19:49.400 --> 0:19:53.879 been the GM since January, presided over only one winning season. 0:19:54.240 --> 0:19:56.960 Jacks thirty nine and eighties six in his tenure have 0:19:57.119 --> 0:19:59.480 lost ten or more games in every season under Caldwell 0:19:59.800 --> 0:20:03.520 X up twenties seventeen. Remember that glorious season where they 0:20:03.560 --> 0:20:06.920 got to the you know, a f C championship. Um 0:20:08.080 --> 0:20:11.680 glenn On Mike Glennon Yesterday thirty five or two thirty five, 0:20:11.720 --> 0:20:16.639 two touchdowns note Picks wasn't sacked, Robinson one twenty a touchdown, 0:20:16.680 --> 0:20:19.159 Colin Johnson four for ninety six and a touchdown, but 0:20:19.440 --> 0:20:22.320 all for not couldn't get the two point conversion. Brown's 0:20:22.320 --> 0:20:25.080 beat him by two and then there's Minnesota, who, like 0:20:25.240 --> 0:20:27.800 so many games yesterday, looked like they were dead in 0:20:27.840 --> 0:20:30.159 the water, and then not so much. They beat the 0:20:30.240 --> 0:20:34.119 Carolina Panthers yesterday twenty eight to twenty seven. Huge for 0:20:34.200 --> 0:20:37.840 any possible playoff hopes for the Vikings. Joey Slide missing 0:20:37.880 --> 0:20:40.040 a fifty four yard for the Panthers with the second left. 0:20:40.640 --> 0:20:43.320 UH that after Jeremy Chinn of Carolina had two fumble 0:20:43.359 --> 0:20:46.920 recovery returns for touchdowns on two consecutive plays the first 0:20:47.000 --> 0:20:49.880 minute of the third quarter. I said, I've never seen 0:20:49.920 --> 0:20:51.240 that in my life, and there's a reason for that. 0:20:51.880 --> 0:20:54.639 Only one other player has ever had two fumble scoops 0:20:54.640 --> 0:20:58.800 for touchdowns in a game ever, let alone to consecutive plays. 0:20:59.280 --> 0:21:01.920 Kirk Cousins third before forty five three oh seven, three 0:21:02.000 --> 0:21:04.800 touchdowns Doe picks. He was sacked twice. He was twelve 0:21:04.840 --> 0:21:07.040 of fifteen in the fourth quarter for one thirty six 0:21:07.119 --> 0:21:10.560 and two touchdowns. When the game was decided, Jefferson justin 0:21:10.640 --> 0:21:14.360 Jefferson seven for seventy two touchdowns. The Vikings win it. Besides, 0:21:15.040 --> 0:21:17.480 despite being minus two and turnovers, those two turnovers we 0:21:17.560 --> 0:21:20.760 talked about being the difference UH three turnovers for the 0:21:20.880 --> 0:21:24.800 Vikings in total, I'll say Minnesota, that's against Jacksonville. It's 0:21:24.840 --> 0:21:26.720 gotta be more than a I'll split the difference between 0:21:26.720 --> 0:21:28.440 seven and ten. I'll say minus eight and a half. 0:21:28.840 --> 0:21:30.920 And we'll come back and we'll get Chrissy's response coming 0:21:30.960 --> 0:21:32.879 back on guessing lines right here on the numbers game 0:21:32.920 --> 0:21:38.320 at Visa these Sports Betting network. All right, Jacksonville in Minnesota, 0:21:38.359 --> 0:21:42.960 A get I guess eight and a half? Three two 0:21:43.040 --> 0:21:47.640 segments were in a third. I'm sorry he good side 0:21:47.720 --> 0:21:54.240 checked Tiratings came to level. I see the game anywhere 0:21:54.320 --> 0:21:59.480