1 00:00:02,320 --> 00:00:05,720 Speaker 1: Global business news twenty four hours a day at Bloomberg 2 00:00:05,760 --> 00:00:08,840 Speaker 1: dot com, the Radio plus Mobile Act and on your radio. 3 00:00:09,119 --> 00:00:13,240 Speaker 1: This is a Bloomberg Business Flash, and I'm Karen Moscow. 4 00:00:13,360 --> 00:00:16,239 Speaker 1: US Dock Index futures are signaling equities will halt their 5 00:00:16,280 --> 00:00:19,400 Speaker 1: best winning strike in five months after worsening economic data 6 00:00:19,440 --> 00:00:22,880 Speaker 1: from as are reignited concern over the outlook for global growth. 7 00:00:23,160 --> 00:00:25,919 Speaker 1: We check the markets every fifteen minutes throughout the trading day. 8 00:00:25,960 --> 00:00:29,320 Speaker 1: On Bloomberg SNP EVENI futures down eight and a half points, 9 00:00:29,360 --> 00:00:31,480 Speaker 1: Dow E Many futures down fifty eight and NAS DOC 10 00:00:31,520 --> 00:00:34,599 Speaker 1: you many futures down twenty two. DAX in Germany's down 11 00:00:34,640 --> 00:00:37,920 Speaker 1: four tenths per cent, ten Your treasury up eighteen thirty seconds. 12 00:00:37,920 --> 00:00:40,000 Speaker 1: The yield one point eight four percent yield on the 13 00:00:40,040 --> 00:00:42,920 Speaker 1: two year point eight six percent. Nim X Screwed oil 14 00:00:43,000 --> 00:00:45,199 Speaker 1: up a quarter percent, or twelve cents to thirty eight 15 00:00:45,200 --> 00:00:47,760 Speaker 1: oh to a barrel. Comax gold is up nine tenths 16 00:00:47,800 --> 00:00:50,440 Speaker 1: per cent, or eleven dollars ninety cents to twelve seventy 17 00:00:50,440 --> 00:00:53,720 Speaker 1: five seventy ounce. The euro A dollar ten twenty six, 18 00:00:53,760 --> 00:00:57,400 Speaker 1: The ends one thirteen even. Some stocks moving in early trading. 19 00:00:57,480 --> 00:01:00,760 Speaker 1: Dicks Sporting Goods down more than seven percent for requarter profit, 20 00:01:00,880 --> 00:01:03,760 Speaker 1: missing analysts estimates, and it said first quarter profit may 21 00:01:03,800 --> 00:01:07,680 Speaker 1: also disappoint. Urban Outfitters is up ten percent this morning, 22 00:01:07,680 --> 00:01:11,040 Speaker 1: while fourth quarter profit beat and unless estimates, and Iron 23 00:01:11,080 --> 00:01:15,400 Speaker 1: Ores rally stalling today after a record advance a day earlier, 24 00:01:15,720 --> 00:01:18,320 Speaker 1: as banks from Goldman Sachs Group to City Group, together 25 00:01:18,400 --> 00:01:21,200 Speaker 1: with some of the largest minors, said that the surge 26 00:01:21,600 --> 00:01:24,720 Speaker 1: wasn't likely to endure. And that's a Bloomberg business flash. 27 00:01:24,760 --> 00:01:28,319 Speaker 1: Tom and mikeer Karen, thanks so much Bloomberg surveillance brought 28 00:01:28,360 --> 00:01:32,039 Speaker 1: you by interactive brokers. Are your returns dragged down by 29 00:01:32,120 --> 00:01:36,040 Speaker 1: high transaction costs? Trade up to interactive brokers where are 30 00:01:36,200 --> 00:01:39,839 Speaker 1: lower costs can help you maximize your returns. Visit ib 31 00:01:40,080 --> 00:01:45,720 Speaker 1: k are dot com slash save more for more information. Michael, 32 00:01:46,360 --> 00:01:50,760 Speaker 1: we have identified that whale you heard yesterday afternoon from 33 00:01:50,840 --> 00:01:54,920 Speaker 1: the direction of Wisconsin Avenue in Washington, d C. It 34 00:01:54,960 --> 00:01:57,320 Speaker 1: was NBC's Chuck Todd, the host of Meet the Press, 35 00:01:57,320 --> 00:02:00,520 Speaker 1: when he got the news that Michael Bloomberg, the founder 36 00:02:00,800 --> 00:02:04,920 Speaker 1: a majority owner of this radio station in Blueberg, LP, 37 00:02:05,120 --> 00:02:08,639 Speaker 1: was not going to run for president. Uh, you were 38 00:02:08,680 --> 00:02:12,480 Speaker 1: not endorsing him, but you would have as a political reporter, 39 00:02:12,560 --> 00:02:15,119 Speaker 1: he would have loved to have an into a well financed, 40 00:02:15,160 --> 00:02:19,320 Speaker 1: credible independent in the race. Always shake it up number one, 41 00:02:19,840 --> 00:02:22,640 Speaker 1: forced post parties to be more accountable number two, And 42 00:02:22,680 --> 00:02:24,680 Speaker 1: it would have engaged more voters number three. I mean, 43 00:02:24,720 --> 00:02:27,000 Speaker 1: I look, I'm for it because it would have, you know, 44 00:02:27,240 --> 00:02:30,400 Speaker 1: guaranteed more states and play guaranteed that the candidates would 45 00:02:30,400 --> 00:02:32,680 Speaker 1: have to talk to more voters and talk to So 46 00:02:32,720 --> 00:02:34,400 Speaker 1: there's there's a lot of good that would have come 47 00:02:34,440 --> 00:02:37,840 Speaker 1: out of a third party bid. Um. But you know, 48 00:02:39,000 --> 00:02:42,560 Speaker 1: everybody I've talked too, very close to Mayor Bloomberg essentially 49 00:02:42,600 --> 00:02:44,639 Speaker 1: said he wanted a pass to victory and he couldn't 50 00:02:44,680 --> 00:02:47,560 Speaker 1: find one. Uh And the only past he kept finding 51 00:02:47,639 --> 00:02:50,240 Speaker 1: was a pas for Donald Trump to win if he 52 00:02:50,320 --> 00:02:53,239 Speaker 1: got in in a Clinton Trump scenario. Do you agree 53 00:02:53,240 --> 00:02:56,040 Speaker 1: with that analysis? I do. I think that he would 54 00:02:56,040 --> 00:03:00,960 Speaker 1: have taken votes away from her in places like Pennsylvania, uh, Ohio, 55 00:03:01,120 --> 00:03:02,880 Speaker 1: New York, but particularly in the rust belt in the 56 00:03:02,880 --> 00:03:05,960 Speaker 1: Northeast corridor, and that would have opened the door for 57 00:03:06,000 --> 00:03:09,200 Speaker 1: Trump to carry those states. Uh And and I think 58 00:03:09,200 --> 00:03:12,239 Speaker 1: would have messed up her math had a better shot 59 00:03:12,280 --> 00:03:14,920 Speaker 1: if Sanders had been been making more noise in the 60 00:03:14,919 --> 00:03:20,480 Speaker 1: Democratic side, Um, you could see that possibility. But with 61 00:03:20,560 --> 00:03:24,160 Speaker 1: Hillary Clinton, I think they share too many positions, particularly 62 00:03:24,280 --> 00:03:30,840 Speaker 1: undone foreign affairs things like that, that that they'd split both. 63 00:03:30,880 --> 00:03:34,040 Speaker 1: They'd more likely split both more so than uh Bloomberg 64 00:03:34,040 --> 00:03:37,120 Speaker 1: and Trump. Chuck. The most intelligent tweet I've seen in 65 00:03:37,200 --> 00:03:41,520 Speaker 1: the political season was from one S. Guthrie at NBC 66 00:03:42,160 --> 00:03:44,440 Speaker 1: suggesting that we should all have a drinking game when 67 00:03:44,520 --> 00:03:49,040 Speaker 1: Chuck Todd refers to the Whig Party, which which is 68 00:03:49,160 --> 00:03:53,560 Speaker 1: which is great but also exceptionally important. The Whig Party 69 00:03:53,800 --> 00:03:58,920 Speaker 1: is attacking Mr Trump, and it worphs every day. Where 70 00:03:58,960 --> 00:04:02,520 Speaker 1: are we on this Tuesday? Is the Whig Party tries 71 00:04:02,560 --> 00:04:05,680 Speaker 1: to move forward? Well, you know, it's interesting and obviously 72 00:04:06,040 --> 00:04:08,360 Speaker 1: in case people are wondering what we're why we keep 73 00:04:08,360 --> 00:04:12,920 Speaker 1: talking about the Whigs. Esentially, the the Conservative Party before 74 00:04:12,960 --> 00:04:14,840 Speaker 1: there was the Republican Party was the Lakes and they 75 00:04:14,880 --> 00:04:18,440 Speaker 1: were having their own uh they you know, they splintered 76 00:04:18,480 --> 00:04:21,719 Speaker 1: and the Republican Party was formed. Abe Lincoln wins and 77 00:04:21,720 --> 00:04:25,120 Speaker 1: and the rest is history. And essentially, you know there's 78 00:04:25,160 --> 00:04:28,520 Speaker 1: a split inside this party. The rank and file on 79 00:04:28,760 --> 00:04:32,400 Speaker 1: one definition of what conservatism is and the elite, the 80 00:04:32,400 --> 00:04:34,599 Speaker 1: ones that run the party, have another definition. That's really 81 00:04:34,640 --> 00:04:37,880 Speaker 1: what's going on here, right, And it's about you know 82 00:04:37,960 --> 00:04:41,159 Speaker 1: that this is this rank and file, working class wing 83 00:04:41,200 --> 00:04:44,839 Speaker 1: of the Republican Party for thirty years, but they got 84 00:04:44,880 --> 00:04:47,120 Speaker 1: lurned in by social issues and now they're saying, hey, 85 00:04:47,120 --> 00:04:50,280 Speaker 1: wait a minute, none of your economic policies have benefited us, 86 00:04:50,279 --> 00:04:53,440 Speaker 1: and we're tired of it. And and that's where this is. 87 00:04:53,520 --> 00:04:57,320 Speaker 1: That's that's Trump's tracks. It speaks to a lot of Michigan. 88 00:04:57,320 --> 00:04:59,120 Speaker 1: What will you look for tonight? I mean, if we 89 00:04:59,160 --> 00:05:04,200 Speaker 1: assume Trump, Michigan is the symbol of Donald Trump, right, 90 00:05:04,440 --> 00:05:06,919 Speaker 1: this should be his This should be the heart and 91 00:05:07,000 --> 00:05:10,360 Speaker 1: soul of where he does well. I think what I'm 92 00:05:10,360 --> 00:05:13,080 Speaker 1: looking for our margins tonight, both Mit, Michigan and Mississippi 93 00:05:13,080 --> 00:05:15,400 Speaker 1: should be big Trump's date. How big are they going 94 00:05:15,400 --> 00:05:18,400 Speaker 1: to be? The big? Double digit wins? Are we calling it? Right? 95 00:05:18,400 --> 00:05:21,440 Speaker 1: When the bull's closed? That tells you that that Trump is. 96 00:05:22,040 --> 00:05:23,880 Speaker 1: You know that that Saturday was a blip. Maybe the 97 00:05:23,960 --> 00:05:26,880 Speaker 1: Romney stuff didn't have an impact. But if Trump struggled tonight, 98 00:05:27,000 --> 00:05:28,680 Speaker 1: you know you're gonter be wins both state, but it's 99 00:05:28,839 --> 00:05:33,160 Speaker 1: very narrow. Single day did less than five points. Um. 100 00:05:33,320 --> 00:05:35,920 Speaker 1: Then I think we started putting connecting the dots and saying, 101 00:05:35,920 --> 00:05:39,080 Speaker 1: you know what, starting last Thursday with met Romney, then 102 00:05:39,080 --> 00:05:42,600 Speaker 1: that vulgar debate, then the results on Saturday. Maybe something's 103 00:05:42,640 --> 00:05:45,039 Speaker 1: happening here and and Trump start to lose a little. 104 00:05:45,560 --> 00:05:49,400 Speaker 1: We're still a little elevation. We're starting to see UH 105 00:05:49,720 --> 00:05:53,640 Speaker 1: polls suggests that's happening. We have seen big jumps, been 106 00:05:53,640 --> 00:05:57,279 Speaker 1: through this before, though, haven't we in the voters vote, Well, 107 00:05:57,320 --> 00:05:59,800 Speaker 1: you know we have not been through this. Uh scene 108 00:06:00,000 --> 00:06:04,159 Speaker 1: on Kasy pick up support. Well, that's right, so we'll see. 109 00:06:04,200 --> 00:06:07,520 Speaker 1: I mean, look, there's a lot of I am like 110 00:06:07,560 --> 00:06:11,040 Speaker 1: I like I said on paper, Michigan and Mississippi seem 111 00:06:11,120 --> 00:06:15,200 Speaker 1: to be perfect Trump states, and that's why tonight margins 112 00:06:15,360 --> 00:06:18,160 Speaker 1: matter to be more than anything else. Well, we then 113 00:06:18,240 --> 00:06:21,400 Speaker 1: go on to the next version of Super Tuesday, which 114 00:06:21,440 --> 00:06:23,159 Speaker 1: really is in a way because you get into the 115 00:06:23,320 --> 00:06:27,360 Speaker 1: winner take all states, and you've got Casey still running 116 00:06:27,640 --> 00:06:31,279 Speaker 1: strong in Ohio, got to overcome Trump. But the big 117 00:06:31,360 --> 00:06:35,680 Speaker 1: question is Florida. Marco Radio has lost some support, but 118 00:06:35,880 --> 00:06:38,159 Speaker 1: the anti Trump forces are pouring a ton of money 119 00:06:38,200 --> 00:06:41,800 Speaker 1: into that state. What's it look like that? Well, look, 120 00:06:41,839 --> 00:06:45,320 Speaker 1: I think, look, I think Rubio is slowly making gains, um, 121 00:06:45,400 --> 00:06:48,320 Speaker 1: but I don't think you know, he's still behind, and 122 00:06:48,560 --> 00:06:50,720 Speaker 1: there's a ton of money being, a ton of anti 123 00:06:50,720 --> 00:06:53,760 Speaker 1: Trump money being poured into the state. We'll see. I 124 00:06:53,800 --> 00:06:56,640 Speaker 1: think tonight it's gonna be another tough night for Perrubio. 125 00:06:56,880 --> 00:06:58,880 Speaker 1: There's a chance he sent it's just fourth in both 126 00:06:58,920 --> 00:07:02,240 Speaker 1: Michigan and these are states Kate too could put some 127 00:07:02,279 --> 00:07:05,360 Speaker 1: effort into. And wherever Kate Took has put effort, he 128 00:07:05,480 --> 00:07:08,360 Speaker 1: finished ahead of Rubia and just about every every date 129 00:07:08,440 --> 00:07:11,640 Speaker 1: where he's you know, he picks and shooting their mid 130 00:07:11,720 --> 00:07:14,640 Speaker 1: day that he that he competes in. That's not a 131 00:07:14,680 --> 00:07:17,400 Speaker 1: good place for Marco Rubia to night. Um. And I'm 132 00:07:17,440 --> 00:07:19,760 Speaker 1: hosting a town all of them tomorrow. I'll be curious 133 00:07:19,840 --> 00:07:22,120 Speaker 1: to a kind of movie in two fourth place finishes 134 00:07:22,120 --> 00:07:24,640 Speaker 1: the six days to go and forth. Chuck, I want 135 00:07:24,640 --> 00:07:26,800 Speaker 1: to ask you a question about the industry. I have 136 00:07:26,840 --> 00:07:29,560 Speaker 1: had a huge response from our listeners and our viewers 137 00:07:30,160 --> 00:07:33,360 Speaker 1: about the state of Chuck Todd's world. You're working with NBC, 138 00:07:33,400 --> 00:07:37,560 Speaker 1: You're working with MSNBC across cable news. How do we 139 00:07:37,640 --> 00:07:42,600 Speaker 1: get the discourse back in cable news political coverage or 140 00:07:42,680 --> 00:07:46,120 Speaker 1: is it forever gone? Are we are we just drowning 141 00:07:46,120 --> 00:07:51,080 Speaker 1: in expertology. I don't know what to I don't know. 142 00:07:51,160 --> 00:07:54,360 Speaker 1: It's an interesting question. I've been listening to some podcasts 143 00:07:54,400 --> 00:07:58,280 Speaker 1: on media criticism lately, and and I hear it, right, 144 00:07:58,360 --> 00:08:01,200 Speaker 1: I get what some folks are. I'm not saying you're 145 00:08:01,240 --> 00:08:05,360 Speaker 1: not doing it, but I don't. Look, I do think 146 00:08:05,360 --> 00:08:08,320 Speaker 1: that it's I'd like to think that we're trying to 147 00:08:08,360 --> 00:08:10,200 Speaker 1: do it a little bit better than our two competitors. 148 00:08:10,240 --> 00:08:13,760 Speaker 1: I think our two competitors are are are pushing the 149 00:08:13,880 --> 00:08:17,440 Speaker 1: envelope on going downward. Uh. I'd like to think they're 150 00:08:17,440 --> 00:08:20,000 Speaker 1: doing a little bit faster than we are. What we're 151 00:08:20,000 --> 00:08:22,480 Speaker 1: trying not to. I mean, some of us are trying 152 00:08:22,520 --> 00:08:24,920 Speaker 1: really hard not to go down that road. So I 153 00:08:24,960 --> 00:08:27,360 Speaker 1: get it, I understand it. I guess my feeling is, 154 00:08:28,080 --> 00:08:30,200 Speaker 1: is that beauty of digital, that's the beauty of all 155 00:08:30,200 --> 00:08:32,760 Speaker 1: these other places where there's there is an opportunity to 156 00:08:32,760 --> 00:08:37,040 Speaker 1: get respectful discourse in a lot of places. Yeah, but 157 00:08:37,120 --> 00:08:39,800 Speaker 1: it does start with the candidates, you know. I think 158 00:08:40,000 --> 00:08:42,640 Speaker 1: let's remember this, this is not there. You can blame 159 00:08:42,640 --> 00:08:45,880 Speaker 1: the media for coverage, but the candidate, you know, we 160 00:08:45,920 --> 00:08:48,040 Speaker 1: can have a higher we can have a higher proud 161 00:08:48,040 --> 00:08:51,560 Speaker 1: of date if if the front runner chose to happen chuckle, 162 00:08:51,600 --> 00:08:54,319 Speaker 1: Thank you so much, greatly appreciated. This morning, He's moderators 163 00:08:54,320 --> 00:08:58,240 Speaker 1: Meet the Press, NBC working with MSNBC as well. Look 164 00:08:58,320 --> 00:09:02,080 Speaker 1: for that. I'm Bloomberg Radio. You can see listen to 165 00:09:02,080 --> 00:09:07,120 Speaker 1: that rather Sunday afternoon, Chuck Todd with NBC Mike Um 166 00:09:07,440 --> 00:09:09,840 Speaker 1: I super Tuesday. You and I took in a hockey 167 00:09:09,880 --> 00:09:12,600 Speaker 1: game and I went back to the La Mans and 168 00:09:12,880 --> 00:09:16,640 Speaker 1: the Motel six, and I was just dazzled by what 169 00:09:16,720 --> 00:09:19,800 Speaker 1: I heard on cable news. It was. It was painful, 170 00:09:20,480 --> 00:09:23,840 Speaker 1: it was I mean, you lived it with your wonderful 171 00:09:23,880 --> 00:09:26,760 Speaker 1: comments yesterday about the Reagans. I mean, you've seen the 172 00:09:26,800 --> 00:09:31,240 Speaker 1: generational change. The problem. The problem is is that the 173 00:09:31,880 --> 00:09:36,160 Speaker 1: worst and the stupidest draw the biggest ratings. And it 174 00:09:36,280 --> 00:09:37,960 Speaker 1: is not about it. And that's the pressure to Chuck 175 00:09:38,000 --> 00:09:40,960 Speaker 1: Todd and is not about it. And it has for many, 176 00:09:41,000 --> 00:09:45,080 Speaker 1: many many years not been about covering the issues. Issues 177 00:09:45,120 --> 00:09:48,720 Speaker 1: get some stories, but let's face it, everybody likes to 178 00:09:48,760 --> 00:09:51,640 Speaker 1: say to cover that he said. She said, aspect of 179 00:09:51,679 --> 00:09:54,880 Speaker 1: it except here on Bloomberg Surveillance, and we've proudly tried 180 00:09:54,960 --> 00:09:58,040 Speaker 1: not to do that. We try to stick with the 181 00:09:58,120 --> 00:10:01,120 Speaker 1: issues and covering politics. Are good to talk to. Chuck Toute, 182 00:10:01,160 --> 00:10:03,880 Speaker 1: Chris Michigan covers look for with all due respect, Mark Helprin, 183 00:10:04,800 --> 00:10:08,280 Speaker 1: and John Heilman, Uh Tonight. I loved how the other 184 00:10:08,360 --> 00:10:10,480 Speaker 1: day Anderson Cooper. I don't know if I mentioned this 185 00:10:10,559 --> 00:10:14,200 Speaker 1: on radio yesterday, Mike Anderson Cooper was talking about Mrs 186 00:10:14,240 --> 00:10:17,200 Speaker 1: Reagan and the last time he saw her and met 187 00:10:17,240 --> 00:10:20,760 Speaker 1: with her. She was reading Mark Helprin's book, Heilman's book 188 00:10:21,120 --> 00:10:25,520 Speaker 1: Game Change. Well that was that was the last election. 189 00:10:25,640 --> 00:10:29,240 Speaker 1: Talking about it seems ancient history. I mean, maybe the 190 00:10:29,280 --> 00:10:32,719 Speaker 1: game changed a little four years ago, but boy did 191 00:10:32,760 --> 00:10:35,160 Speaker 1: it change. I had to wonder what the title of 192 00:10:35,160 --> 00:10:39,240 Speaker 1: the next helper In Heilman tone will be put down. 193 00:10:39,679 --> 00:10:44,599 Speaker 1: They'll probably still oh there it is covers Tonight of 194 00:10:44,679 --> 00:10:48,920 Speaker 1: Michigan onto Florida. Of course, next Tuesday, we look at 195 00:10:48,960 --> 00:10:53,880 Speaker 1: the markets through the lens of economics, finance, and investment. 196 00:10:54,720 --> 00:10:57,200 Speaker 1: What's going on this morning? Well, actually green on the 197 00:10:57,240 --> 00:11:01,120 Speaker 1: screen on oil Brent crude forty one forty barrel of 198 00:11:01,240 --> 00:11:05,800 Speaker 1: fifty six cents right now, West Texas Intermediate thirty nine. 199 00:11:05,840 --> 00:11:09,000 Speaker 1: That gets your attention. That's we have to watch oil 200 00:11:09,320 --> 00:11:13,400 Speaker 1: lifting with commodities. Another hour of Bloomberg's surveillance,