Speaker 1: Welcome in What's driving there? Great Episode three eighty six
Speaker 1: our week nine the Midway Points Gambling Show. This episode
Speaker 1: is brought to you by our friends at boost Mobile
Speaker 1: and the Gambling Show. We don't do a straight to voicemail,
Speaker 1: but if we did, that would also be brought to
Speaker 1: you by our friends at boost Mobile. Hard couple of
Speaker 1: weeks for the Gambling Show, Demons, couple losing teasers, couple
Speaker 1: two and three weeks where you know you're at five hundred,
Speaker 1: I'm two games below five hundred. Not great, not disastrous,
Speaker 1: Keep plugging along. Just need to get hot in the
Speaker 1: you know, hot at the right time. As they say
Speaker 1: last week, though, we here's the thing, A half point
Speaker 1: win counts as much as a thirty point cover, and
Speaker 1: getting you know, being blown out by thirty is the
Speaker 1: same as you know, getting absolutely screwed on a back
Speaker 1: door cover. But last week the losses were grizzly. So well,
Speaker 1: we had Atlanta laying seven and a half against Miami,
Speaker 1: they got blown out. We had the biggest strike in
Speaker 1: theory good fortune imaginable, where we got Chicago plus six
Speaker 1: and a half at Baltimore. Under the assumption Lamar was
Speaker 1: playing Lamar wasn't playing. The line dropped to one and
Speaker 1: a half. They lost out right by fourteen. Tampa minus
Speaker 1: three and a half against New Orleans was an easy winner.
Speaker 1: Green Bay minus three at Pittsburgh was an easy winner.
Speaker 1: And then we had Dallas plus three and a half
Speaker 1: at Denver and they got annihilated as well. So our
Speaker 1: three losses were ugly, but two and three is what
Speaker 1: it ends up being. And this week I will say
Speaker 1: I like the slate. Some weeks there's like three games
Speaker 1: I really like, and then I'm, you know, kind of
Speaker 1: having to pull teeth to find the last two. This
Speaker 1: week was the opposite. There were seven games or eight
Speaker 1: games I liked, and I had to manicure it down
Speaker 1: to just five. So we'll get to those in a second.
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Speaker 1: New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, or Virginia. All right, deman's a
Speaker 1: four teams on a bye, Browns, Jets, Eagles, Bucks. We
Speaker 1: do not have a Monday night doubleheader. We do not
Speaker 1: have a London game, which may and there's only four
Speaker 1: teams on a bye, which does mean we should have
Speaker 1: a very meaty Sunday slate of games. Let's get right
Speaker 1: to it.
Speaker 2: H First, stay away Denver at Houston. Houston's one and
Speaker 2: a half point favorites.
Speaker 1: So here's the deal. I've been fading Denver a lot
Speaker 1: this year. I have been wrong so far, and I
Speaker 1: like Houston in this game. Wow, because I think that
Speaker 1: this is my handicap on this game is twofold one
Speaker 1: is I do think the Broncos are gonna really struggle
Speaker 1: with that Houston defense, but the big but the the
Speaker 1: Texans should struggle with the Broncos defense. The real handicap
Speaker 1: on it is I think the general public is gonna
Speaker 1: be all over Denver, and I think that line is
Speaker 1: almost daring you to take the Texans. But I've been
Speaker 1: wrong enough on the Broncos that I'm going I'm either
Speaker 1: I was either this week gonna bet on them or
Speaker 1: stay away, and I'm staying away.
Speaker 2: Next Carolina Green Bay Green Bay thirteen and a half
Speaker 2: point favorites, just.
Speaker 1: A huge number. Yeah, a Carolina on the road with
Speaker 1: the quarterback situation I obviously don't love, but thirteen and
Speaker 1: a half. If I was going to play aside in
Speaker 1: this demand, I would swallow those thirteen and a half points.
Speaker 1: But no, I would take freak Bay. But I'm I am.
Speaker 1: I'm just gonna That's also a game that I don't
Speaker 1: really want to be have an investment in because there's
Speaker 1: too many other good games and that game should be
Speaker 1: a blowout, So I'm staying away from it.
Speaker 2: Next, Yeah, we got Chicago at Cincinnati. Cincinnati's two and
Speaker 2: a half point dogs.
Speaker 1: My lean here is Chicago and the fact that Flacco's
Speaker 1: hurt and what is that is he officially out? I
Speaker 1: don't think he's officially out. He's fifty to fifty for
Speaker 1: the game. I not knowing whether or not Flaco's playing
Speaker 1: or not, and when we do this to me makes
Speaker 1: this to stay away. I think if the if we
Speaker 1: knew Flacco were playing, I my lean wouldn't be with
Speaker 1: the Bears, would be with the Bengals with Jake Browning,
Speaker 1: I would, you know, lay the two and a half
Speaker 1: with Chicago on the road. But we're just gonna stay
Speaker 1: away from it.
Speaker 2: Next Atlanta at New England. New England's five point favorites.
Speaker 1: My lean here is Atlanta flatly, because I just don't
Speaker 1: think New England can stay this hot. And Atlanta does
Speaker 1: have the best running back in the NFL other than
Speaker 1: Jonathan Taylor this year. And Atlanta prior to the Dolphins game,
Speaker 1: it had a really good pass defense. But their quarterback
Speaker 1: situation is up in the air. They have been such
Speaker 1: a mess that I don't feel and the Patriots have
Speaker 1: been blowing people out last couple of weeks. I don't
Speaker 1: feel comfortable I'm playing aside in this game.
Speaker 2: To be honest, I just I just.
Speaker 1: Feel like the Patriots are and this might be bad handicapping.
Speaker 1: I just feel like they're due for a.
Speaker 2: Bad game, and with Atlanta being a weird team, maybe
Speaker 2: this is one of those games that they also dominated.
Speaker 1: Winning or Vijon looks great, like Atlanta has been so weird,
Speaker 1: But so I'm just staying away.
Speaker 2: Next Chargers at Tennessee. Tennessee's eight and a half point dogs.
Speaker 1: My lean here was the Chargers because the Titans have
Speaker 1: just been so brutal. But eight and a half. At
Speaker 1: six and a half, I would play the Chargers in
Speaker 1: a snap. At seven, I'd play them seven and a half,
Speaker 1: I'd think about it. Eight and a half is too much.
Speaker 1: It just feels like that's they are giving you extra
Speaker 1: points to try to incentivize you to bet Tennessee. But
Speaker 1: betting Tennessee is just I determined. It's not a Bret
Speaker 1: Justin Bryan Callahan issue. That team is just the year.
Speaker 1: So we're staying away.
Speaker 2: Next, uh, New Orleans at the Rams Rams fourteen point favorites.
Speaker 1: That's a big old number. And now it's Tyler Shuck's
Speaker 1: first start. It's the Rams rested, and I think Shuck
Speaker 1: is really going to struggle with that Rams defense. But
Speaker 1: fourteen points for me is too many to lay when
Speaker 1: we have seen the Rams. You know they played the
Speaker 1: Rams have go ahead to mind.
Speaker 2: No, it was a weird one that they played. I
Speaker 2: think a couple of weeks back, it was just like,
Speaker 2: what why is this team?
Speaker 1: Well, it was the Ravens game I think you're thinking of, Yeah,
Speaker 1: it was the Ravens game. When they it was Cooper, Rusher,
Speaker 1: Huntley or whomever, and they just let them stick around.
Speaker 1: Aside from the Jags game a couple of weeks ago,
Speaker 1: the Rams haven't been blowing people out. Beat there's the
Speaker 1: culture excellent, but they beat them by seven.
Speaker 2: Beat.
Speaker 1: The blowing people out's wrong. Let me take that back,
Speaker 1: because the Rams do have multiple exactly fourteen point victories.
Speaker 1: But a fourteen point victory here just get you a push.
Speaker 1: And so I'm just staying away. I'm not betting Tyler
Speaker 1: Shuck in his first start. I'm just staying away.
Speaker 2: Next Jags at Raiders, Raiders two and a half point Dogs.
Speaker 1: These last two stayaways were games I initially had on
Speaker 1: the card and then took them off. I like the
Speaker 1: Raiders plus the points here, absolute desperate spot off of
Speaker 1: bye and see what they were able to get done
Speaker 1: off the by for the Raiders, but I'm not getting three.
Speaker 1: And they have looked so bad that off a bye
Speaker 1: should be a good thing, but it also might have
Speaker 1: been you know, let's pack it up, fellas. And so
Speaker 1: I need to see them play a game. And you
Speaker 1: like the jag side of it. I can see it
Speaker 1: in your eyes.
Speaker 2: You're, oh yeah. I mean, I don't think. I think
Speaker 2: the Raiders probably think that they're cooked. They don't look good.
Speaker 2: I don't know if it was I just.
Speaker 1: Don't know how the impact the buye is gonna have
Speaker 1: on them. But I'm staying away.
Speaker 2: And last one, Arizona at Dallas. Would Dallas be in
Speaker 2: two and a half point favorites?
Speaker 1: I initially had Dallas on there. I just feel like
Speaker 1: Dallas is offense at home. Monday night football should roll.
Speaker 1: And then I paused and I said, man, I just
Speaker 1: watched bo Nicks carve up this Dallas defense. What are
Speaker 1: the Cardinals going to do? I think Kyler's playing. Here's
Speaker 1: the thing. I don't really care if it's k I
Speaker 1: don't know if there's difference right now between Kyler and Brissett.
Speaker 1: Kyler is eight to zero in his life in Texas Stadium.
Speaker 1: Dominated there in high school, one there in college, is
Speaker 1: undefeated there as a pro. That's his favorite place to play. Yeah,
Speaker 1: and that Dallas. Steven's been so bad that I took
Speaker 1: him off the card at the last moment for a
Speaker 1: different game. So those are the stayaways. Here are my
Speaker 1: five picks this week.
Speaker 2: First pick is Detroit minus eight and a half going
Speaker 2: up again.
Speaker 1: It's Minnesota Golf evidently is eight to zero against the
Speaker 1: spread against the Vikings in his Lions career. The Lions
Speaker 1: are on extended rest. Minnesota right now might be a
Speaker 1: total mess. I think the Lions defense, which against bad quarterbacks,
Speaker 1: really can get after. You could give JJ McCarthy hell.
Speaker 1: And we don't know if JJ McCarthy, how hurt was
Speaker 1: he or how much were they hiding him? And what
Speaker 1: we do know about the Lions. The Lions love pouring
Speaker 1: it on. The Lions love annihilating teams, and so I
Speaker 1: don't mind laying the eight and a half points. I
Speaker 1: love the Lions in this spot. Maybe my favorite play
Speaker 1: of the week. It's the first one. Detroit minus eight
Speaker 1: and a half.
Speaker 2: Yeah, never been so sure about minus eight and a
Speaker 2: half spread. I'm very confident in that one, Pittsburgh plus
Speaker 2: three versus Indy.
Speaker 1: So I'm very you saying you're very confident in that one.
Speaker 1: I am no, no, no, not at all. I'm just
Speaker 1: curious if that means it's gonna be the Detroit money line.
Speaker 1: Is gonna be a leg of your teaser?
Speaker 2: Oh yeah, because you like eight.
Speaker 1: Point teasers and if you like them, minus eight and
Speaker 1: a half like that, to me is a pretty good
Speaker 1: for your eight point teaser, A pretty good teaser leg.
Speaker 1: I good, all right, Pittsburgh plus three against Andy Tomlin
Speaker 1: at home, getting at least a field goal with all
Speaker 1: these numbers. We win against them last week Green Bay.
Speaker 1: We said we didn't care, and we were right. We're
Speaker 1: going back with them this week. Awful lot loss. Tomlin's
Speaker 1: sixty one and forty seven against the spread. They're twenty
Speaker 1: five and fifteen against the spread as an underdog off
Speaker 1: and outright loss, and twelve and four against the spread
Speaker 1: as a home dog off a straight up loss. Tomlin
Speaker 1: twenty two eight and three uh as a home dog
Speaker 1: against the spread. Now, the Steelers defense against that offense
Speaker 1: does worry you a bit, but Rogers has been good again.
Speaker 1: I'm getting three points. I don't feel spectacular about this
Speaker 1: from having watched that Steelers defense over the course season
Speaker 1: and watched the Colts offense. But there's just all of
Speaker 1: Tomlin's history says if you're giving him at least three
Speaker 1: points at home, he doesn't loose. He covers that was
Speaker 1: the case last week, and he didn't and we sniffed
Speaker 1: it out. I don't think it's gonna happen back to back.
Speaker 1: I like Pittsburgh plus three next.
Speaker 2: Dan Francisco minus two and a half going with the Giants.
Speaker 1: I listen, this is just a play that the Giants
Speaker 1: season ended with the blown game to Denver, and last
Speaker 1: week they got bullied by the Eagles, and they lost
Speaker 1: another key player in Scataboo due to injuries. So no Skataboo,
Speaker 1: no neighbors. Weird noise this week surrounding their D line
Speaker 1: with Carl Banks calling out Dexter Lawrence, with Thibodeau potentially
Speaker 1: being on the trade block, I think the Giants are
Speaker 1: floundering a bit. I don't really think it matters which
Speaker 1: Niners quarterback plays. All lay the two and a half,
Speaker 1: with the Giants going east coast to west coast, all
Speaker 1: lay the two and a half with San Francisco next.
Speaker 2: Who would have thought you got the Chiefs midst one
Speaker 2: and a half at Buffalo.
Speaker 1: Listen, I just think the Chiefs are the best team
Speaker 1: in the league, and I'm laying less than a field goal.
Speaker 1: This is the sharp side is going to say. I
Speaker 1: would imagine getting points with the Bills at home. You
Speaker 1: have to do it. I don't care about that, and
Speaker 1: a lot of mahomes is against the spread, grizzly against
Speaker 1: the spread. Numbers the last few years have to do
Speaker 1: with the Chiefs being big favorites. They are not big
Speaker 1: favorites here, They're tiny favorites. I think the Chiefs win
Speaker 1: by at least a field goal. I'll lay the point
Speaker 1: and a half. And last one this is the one
Speaker 1: I added when I took out Cowboys.
Speaker 2: Yes, Seattle to minus three at Washington.
Speaker 1: Yeah, listen, I don't love the West Coast to East. However,
Speaker 1: Washington is banged up, the defense has been bad. I
Speaker 1: do think Jayden's gonna play, But I think Seattle is
Speaker 1: one of the more underrated teams in the league right now,
Speaker 1: and Seattle is one of the only teams that going
Speaker 1: West Coast to East actually helps them. As far as
Speaker 1: covering seventeen eight and two over the last basically basically
Speaker 1: half decade. When they're playing on the East coast. I
Speaker 1: think Seattle's really good. I think Washington is bad and injured.
Speaker 1: I'll take Seattle minus three. So we are going to
Speaker 1: Monty with four faites. We are going with Detroit laying
Speaker 1: eight and a half against Minnesota, San Francisco laying two
Speaker 1: and a half against the Giants, Kansas City laying one
Speaker 1: and a half at Buffalo, Seattle laying three at Washington,
Speaker 1: and the one dog is Pittsburgh plus three at home
Speaker 1: against the seven and one Indianapolis Colts. All right, before
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Speaker 1: let's get to your pit of the weekend. Well, first,
Speaker 1: last week, Dallas got you like they got me. Yeah,
Speaker 1: iigo plus fourteen and a half by the skin of
Speaker 1: your teeth, buddy, that I got in the morning, yep,
Speaker 1: easy winner. And then Dallas screwed you as bo Nicks
Speaker 1: carved him up. Let's see what do you have this week?
Speaker 2: All right? So the record is in jeopardy, so we're
Speaker 2: doing whatever it takes by any means necessary, is what
Speaker 2: we're calling this. We got a three team eight point
Speaker 2: teaser at plus on hundred. I am throwing Detroit in
Speaker 2: there by any means necessary. Like we said, they're basically
Speaker 2: a pick them at point five. I'm don't throwing the
Speaker 2: Charges in there as a pick them as well, as
Speaker 2: they're at minus point five against the Titans and then
Speaker 2: Kansas City up to plus six and a half against
Speaker 2: the Bills. Yeah, I know those are both just basically
Speaker 2: money line bets. But I mean the Chargers are going
Speaker 2: to beat the Titans, and the Lights are going to
Speaker 2: be the Vikings, and the Chiefs don't get blown out.
Speaker 1: Yeah, oddly of that, the Chiefs are the most nerve
Speaker 1: wracking one. Yeah, like the I also though like that
Speaker 1: you're telling me there you think the Chiefs might blow
Speaker 1: out the Bills because you're you could have gotten the
Speaker 1: bill yeah and a half. Yeah, but I so I'm
Speaker 1: going to give that an a because Detroit and the
Speaker 1: Chargers should just be in already, and then it's can
Speaker 1: the Chiefs keep it within a touchdown or win?
Speaker 2: Uh?
Speaker 1: And now really what maybe we should rename the Friday
Speaker 1: Gambling Show. Yeah, just we give you mediocre picks for
Speaker 1: a half hour and then I give you a can't
Speaker 1: lose player touchdown prop.
Speaker 2: So last week, Kelsey hits just like you said at
Speaker 2: plus one twenty outside of you calling seedy like you
Speaker 2: you called seedee lamb one. We he went out early,
Speaker 2: so we really don't got hurt in the game. Yeah,
Speaker 2: he got hurt, so he got out. Do you have
Speaker 2: anything for us this week? For any time touchdown score? So?
Speaker 2: I like.
Speaker 1: Because we're basically undefeated on this and dating back to
Speaker 1: last year we crushed. Part of that is that I
Speaker 1: don't do them every week. Yeah, but I'm gonna play
Speaker 1: the hot hand, but not in the way you would
Speaker 1: expect Chiefs Bills. I am going to go Josh Allen. Yeah, touchdown,
Speaker 1: Josh Allen anytime touchdown for the Chiefs Bills game.
Speaker 2: That is, you'll probably have to have the cape on
Speaker 2: that day. So nine times out of ten.
Speaker 1: Or like you know, they get it down to the
Speaker 1: one they like the push push, So yeah, I'm gonna
Speaker 1: go Josh Allen anytime touchdown, all right, yeah, even money
Speaker 1: exactly debt, even money, all right, the offer.
Speaker 2: So we striked out two in a row with Bijon
Speaker 2: not hitting on the offers. So last week that didn't hit.
Speaker 2: And speaking of striking out, we're gonna pivot over to baseball.
Speaker 2: We're avoiding football and uh Toronto to win the World
Speaker 2: Series four to three at plus two forty Game six
Speaker 2: on Friday. Do you want that one? We got some
Speaker 2: other ones.
Speaker 1: If here, well, here's the thing. I'm gonna turn it
Speaker 1: down just because of this. I think that on general principle,
Speaker 1: I think you're going to I just don't want to
Speaker 1: give the audience bad gambling advice. And I think you're
Speaker 1: gonna get better return on your money if you just
Speaker 1: if you believe Toronto's gonna win four to three. I
Speaker 1: think you can get better than two plus two forty
Speaker 1: on betting the Dodgers for their game tomorrow and then
Speaker 1: putting the entirety of that bet on the Blue Jays
Speaker 1: on Saturday. So I think that the cumulative return on
Speaker 1: that would be better than plus two forty And it's
Speaker 1: the exact same bet, so it uh, I just think
Speaker 1: that that is Yeah, So when you are at this
Speaker 1: point in a series, I I just don't think that
Speaker 1: in order to.
Speaker 2: Like so like you probably wanted to bet bet that
Speaker 2: a week ago.
Speaker 1: Correct absolutely where you it's not there's only one where
Speaker 1: there were multiple ways for Toronto. When you know you
Speaker 1: couldn't just simply make the exact bet, you're making it
Speaker 1: in a slightly different way. And again I don't think
Speaker 1: the return will be hugely different. I think it'd be
Speaker 1: like plus probably two fifty five, but still it's a
Speaker 1: better return, uh Dodgers right now or minus one forty
Speaker 1: five tonight. And then what if, again, if you were
Speaker 1: to do that, you every you'd put your in whatever
Speaker 1: you were gonna bet on Toronto. Say you're gonna bet
Speaker 1: one hundred bucks on Toronto plus two forty, you would
Speaker 1: put that one hundred dollars on the Dodgers minus one
Speaker 1: forty five and then tonight, and then you would put
Speaker 1: that entire stake on Toronto money Line tomorrow. That's the
Speaker 1: way to make that bet, all right. Thank you to
Speaker 1: Volume and to Blue Duck, thank you to Boost, thank
Speaker 1: you to hard Rock, thank you to our great friends
Speaker 1: at Zen. Enjoy your football this weekend. We will talk
Speaker 1: to you guys on Tuesday.
Speaker 2: What's right