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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome into a Tuesday

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Speaker 1: morning edition on the Deal Juice Podcast. My name is

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Speaker 1: Matt Parralt. How are you You guys have follow me on

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Speaker 1: Twitter at Sports Talk Matt. You guys can follow Betting

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Speaker 1: Pros on Twitter at Betting Pros. We are always here

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Speaker 1: on YouTube on the Betting Pros YouTube channel for video

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Speaker 1: wherever you get your audio podcasts, and always the bet

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Speaker 1: MGM offer ten dollars to win one hundred and fifty

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Speaker 1: dollars on any event. Use at promo code Juice one

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Speaker 1: fifty at BETMGM betmgm dot com For new users promo

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Speaker 1: code Juice one fifty. Okay, so let's go back to

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Speaker 1: last night here for a little bit and just recap

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Speaker 1: the Rams moneyline bet. Now the teaser hit one unit

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Speaker 1: plus or point nine point eighty five whatever is minas

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Speaker 1: one twenty, we get the money line plus one twenty

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Speaker 1: to come in. Both prop bets do not cash for us,

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Speaker 1: with Hopkins winding up five yards short. That dropped fourth

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Speaker 1: down pass would have gotten us the over for DeAndre Hopkins,

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Speaker 1: but then the endtime touchdown for Kyler Murray does not

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Speaker 1: come in either, so we lose both prop bets, but

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Speaker 1: overall a winning day for us here on a Monday

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Speaker 1: with a very nice teaser hit and the money line

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Speaker 1: plus one twenty cash for the Arizona Cardinals to lose

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Speaker 1: to the Rams. Outright, everyone was on the Cardinals. Bet

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Speaker 1: MGM reported every single state that they operate in, every

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Speaker 1: single state, heavy on the Arizona Cardinals. The line after

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Speaker 1: the COVID news came out that they were going to

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Speaker 1: be missing Tyler Taylor Higbee or Tyler Higbee and Ramsey

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Speaker 1: and company like five players were oute for COVID moved

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Speaker 1: to half a point. Okay, there was no reaction. The

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Speaker 1: books were not playing around. They knew the pros were

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Speaker 1: on the Rams. And I'm not saying we're always going

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Speaker 1: to be right by fading the public. I don't think

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Speaker 1: it's a blind you just automatically do it. But there

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Speaker 1: are certain games, in certain situations where you do, and

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Speaker 1: that was one of them. You're talking about ninety percent

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Speaker 1: of the money coming in on Arizona, everyone jumping on

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Speaker 1: the Cardinals. Everyone in the content space Cardinals Cardinals. Cardinals

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Speaker 1: go the other way. More often than not, you're gonna

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Speaker 1: wind up winning. Okay, It's been my philosophy for a

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Speaker 1: very long time when it comes to moments like that,

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Speaker 1: And there's been at least three of those during this

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Speaker 1: football season where we've looked at it and said, you

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Speaker 1: know what, go the other way because everyone is on

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Speaker 1: this one side hasn't hit every single time, but it's

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Speaker 1: hit more often than not. And I think that just

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Speaker 1: that philosophy, the contrarian angle is the way to play it,

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Speaker 1: and the go against the masses and go against where

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Speaker 1: everyone's running. When they go right, we go left. Okay,

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Speaker 1: we just don't play around with this. Go the opposite

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Speaker 1: direction for what people are going into. And the Rams

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Speaker 1: backed against the wall, must win situation. And frankly, look

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Speaker 1: they're a team that was picked to win it all

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Speaker 1: for a reason. Matthew Stafford played really well. I don't

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Speaker 1: like Matthew Stafford, but Cooper Cup was incredible. Great throws

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Speaker 1: by Stafford, and the defense played great. I mean the defense.

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Speaker 1: Huge pick in the red zone was a tone setter

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Speaker 1: in that game. Two picks, two picks of Kyler Murray

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Speaker 1: and then some really poor coaching by Cliff Kingsbury. Look,

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Speaker 1: if you think Cliff Kingsbury's winning the coach of the year,

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Speaker 1: Rip up those tickets. That's done. Okay. I'm not saying

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Speaker 1: Belichick's winning it, but Kingsbury's not. Okay. That was in

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Speaker 1: prime time, in a big game against a big rival,

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Speaker 1: in a chance to win the division, clinch a playoff

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Speaker 1: berth and really knock out the Rams, and he couldn't

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Speaker 1: get it done. And now only I mean they recovered

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Speaker 1: the on side kick. I don't know what they were

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Speaker 1: doing in the two minute drill. It was just a

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Speaker 1: whole cluster for Cliff Kingsbury. His team was not prepared

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Speaker 1: to take care of business. That's coaching, and that can

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Speaker 1: blow the Coach of the Year award when you lose

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Speaker 1: to it arch rival like that. Sean McVay is now

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Speaker 1: five and oh at Arizona, straight up five and oh

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Speaker 1: against the spread. The guy owns the Cardinals in Arizona.

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Speaker 1: That one game earlier this year was just kind of

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Speaker 1: a blip. All right, So good night, winning night, all right.

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Speaker 1: So today Tuesday, we're going to hockey. I haven't bet

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Speaker 1: hockey in a long time. Okay. People say, oh, no

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Speaker 1: one cares about hockey, don't bet hockey. I like betting hockey.

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Speaker 1: We need to bet hockey because we're running out of

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Speaker 1: football and we need to get back into the NHL.

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Speaker 1: So I got two NHL bets today. We haven't bet

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Speaker 1: college basketball for a little bit. We're gonna get involved

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Speaker 1: in college basketball here today coming up. So got two

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Speaker 1: plays in the NHL, I'll get you right here, and

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Speaker 1: then two college basketball plays. So we've got two units

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Speaker 1: in play. Both these units are all four of these

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Speaker 1: bets going to be half unit plays for me coming

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Speaker 1: in and I'm getting closer and closer to being willing

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Speaker 1: to bet more. But I will say this, the Steph

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Speaker 1: Curry to break the record and the Warriors against the

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Speaker 1: Knicks is probably going to be an ad during the day. Okay,

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Speaker 1: Steph Curry needs one made three I believe. I think

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Speaker 1: he needs one to tie in two to break the record.

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Speaker 1: I believe for Ray Allen he will do it at MSG.

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Speaker 1: He will probably do it in the first quarter. My

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Speaker 1: guess is the books are going to put up a

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Speaker 1: bunch of props as to like, when will Steph Curry

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Speaker 1: break the record? Blah blah blah again under six and

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Speaker 1: a half. I gave that out on the Discord channel yesterday.

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Speaker 1: Under six and a half threes, was under five and

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Speaker 1: a half was plus money, and he hit five last

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Speaker 1: night against the Indiana Pacers, So that big plus money

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Speaker 1: five and a half came in. The six and a

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Speaker 1: half that was juiced heavily, that also came in. I

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Speaker 1: played the juiced up one, not the under five and

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Speaker 1: a half, but they both hit, so to me, I'm

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Speaker 1: going to be involved in that market at some point

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Speaker 1: during the day Discord channel, bettingpros dot Com, slash chat

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Speaker 1: or the link it's underneath me on YouTube to get

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Speaker 1: into the Discord channel. I will tell you what I'm

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Speaker 1: going to do with the Steph Curry against the Knicks

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Speaker 1: coming up at MSG with the Warriors. Just don't know

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Speaker 1: just yet, but we'll get into that coming up during

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Speaker 1: the day today on the Discord channel. All right, let's

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Speaker 1: start with the Boston Bruins up against the Las Vegas

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Speaker 1: Raiders or the Vegas Raiders. This. I have to bet

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Speaker 1: this game, right, I mean, this is the Bruins are

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Speaker 1: coming here in February. I've got to go to this game.

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Speaker 1: My daughter has not gone to a nice game yet,

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Speaker 1: so we're or eyeball on that game coming up in February.

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Speaker 1: So the Bruins have some momentum here. They've got a

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Speaker 1: couple of wins. They got a nice win over the Orielers,

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Speaker 1: They've won two games in a row, and Vegas normally

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Speaker 1: is a team They're powerplay is absolutely pathetic. I mean,

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Speaker 1: it is so bad. And five on five is how

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Speaker 1: the Vegas gold Knights generally beat teams. They're always better

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Speaker 1: five on five, except for the Bruins. I don't think

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Speaker 1: they're going to be better than the Bruins five on five.

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Speaker 1: The Bruins really are a tough team to score on

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Speaker 1: five on five, and they haven't announced which goaltender is

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Speaker 1: going to be in that tonight, but I don't think

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Speaker 1: it really matters. I think the Bruins just are a

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Speaker 1: better defensive team here, and I don't think Vegas is

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Speaker 1: going to be able to take advantage of the five

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Speaker 1: on five opportunities that they normally get against other teams.

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Speaker 1: The Bruins at home are very physical, they're tough to

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Speaker 1: score on, they're tough to face. Look, it's juiced up.

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Speaker 1: I gotta at minus one thirty. It's probably the max.

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Speaker 1: I don't like betting more than mis one twenty five

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Speaker 1: or minus one thirty here on this one. But I

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Speaker 1: don't want to bet the puck line because I don't

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Speaker 1: I think this is a low scoring game. I could

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Speaker 1: be wrong on that, so I don't want to get

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Speaker 1: involved with the under. But I do lean towards the

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Speaker 1: under under five and a half in this game as well.

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Speaker 1: But I'm just gonna take the Boston Bruins to beat

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Speaker 1: the Vegas goal of the Knights here at home. I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna lay the minus one thirty Boston at home money

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Speaker 1: line to beat Vegas minus one thirty. I mean, come on,

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Speaker 1: I've got to get involved in this game, right. How

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Speaker 1: could I not get involved with this game? Bruins to win.

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Speaker 1: Two teams I watch the closest, but I'm taking my

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Speaker 1: hometown team, the Bruins, to win the game outright at

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Speaker 1: minus one thirty. Second game other half a unit, what

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Speaker 1: are we doing? The Oilers are at home against the

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Speaker 1: Maple Leafs. Now. The Oilers have been struggling. I mean,

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Speaker 1: it's been a struggle for them, but this has been

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Speaker 1: one of the teams that we've backed at home a

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Speaker 1: lot this season, and it's been profitable for us so far.

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Speaker 1: To back this team playing at home Edmonton right now,

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Speaker 1: straight up is nine and five. I've pucklined five and

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Speaker 1: nine at home, not great. Four five and one to

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Speaker 1: the over for the Oilers at home. On the road though,

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Speaker 1: seven to four and one, seven four to zero to

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Speaker 1: one for the Maple Leaves, who are minus one twenty

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Speaker 1: five minus one thirty favorites here. But Edmonton at home.

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Speaker 1: They're a good team at home, and I got the

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Speaker 1: Oilers at plus one ten at home to get a

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Speaker 1: victory here. I just think this is a chance for

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Speaker 1: them to have a bounce back spot. I think this

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Speaker 1: is a chance for them to get some of their

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Speaker 1: young talent with McDavid and company going here. McDavid's had

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Speaker 1: a great year so far, and I just think the

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Speaker 1: Oilers at home are a really tough team to take

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Speaker 1: on in a tough team to beat. And you know,

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Speaker 1: sometimes when things are going the wrong direction, you're at home,

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Speaker 1: in front of your crowd, in front of your you know,

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Speaker 1: you're in your dressing room, and you feel just more comfortable.

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Speaker 1: And although I think this game is probably high scoring,

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Speaker 1: I'm going to take Edmonton to get the w here.

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Speaker 1: I got a home team with the good home record

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Speaker 1: that plays well at home against a tough Maple Leaves team,

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Speaker 1: but got plus one ten. I think it's worth the

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Speaker 1: flyer here for a half a unit to go with

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Speaker 1: the Oilers. Oilers plus one ten on the money line.

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Speaker 1: So for hockey, we're going Boston money line minus one thirty.

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Speaker 1: I'm going Edmonton money line at plus one ten here

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Speaker 1: for one unit. In play for the NHL, I haven't

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Speaker 1: been involved in a while. Let's see what happens. Let's

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Speaker 1: kind of get back into it, all right, Let's talk

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Speaker 1: about two college basketball plays that I've got going on.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna go to the totals in two of these games,

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Speaker 1: and well, I tend to bet teams I watch in

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Speaker 1: teams that I know. Okay, So to me, although my

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Speaker 1: college basketball betting is not being great, I'm going to

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Speaker 1: try to get myself back going and more heavily into

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Speaker 1: college basketball and picking sides is right now, I'm not

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Speaker 1: doing great pickingsides. So I'm gonna go to some totals

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Speaker 1: here tonight, and I'm gonna start with Alabama at Memphis,

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Speaker 1: Crimson tie to the over, five to three and one,

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Speaker 1: Memphis to the over five and four at home Memphis

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Speaker 1: four and one to the over. Alabama on the road

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Speaker 1: two to two and one to the over. The total

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Speaker 1: is one fifty five and a half. According to kempom

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Speaker 1: dot com, Memphis has the thirteenth fastest adjusted tempo play

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Speaker 1: in college basketball. Alabama comes in at twentieth, so both

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Speaker 1: these two teams are top top twenty in the country

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Speaker 1: when it comes to adjusted tempo attorney to According to

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Speaker 1: kenpom dot com, they get up and down. We know

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Speaker 1: what Bama likes to do. Bama shoots a ton of threes. Right,

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Speaker 1: They're not the most accurate this year, thirty five percent.

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Speaker 1: Not great, okay. However, they do go into these games

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Speaker 1: and they shoot nine point nine threes per game. That's

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Speaker 1: twenty fifth best in the country. So while they may

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Speaker 1: not no hit a ton of them, they do take

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Speaker 1: a ton of three pointers. They are a their top

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Speaker 1: twenty five in effective field goal percentage, which is a

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Speaker 1: really big key to me. But Memphis defensively is pretty

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Speaker 1: good here forty three percent effective field goal percentage is

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Speaker 1: is twenty third in the country, so it's top twenty

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Speaker 1: five as well. Alabama, however forty six point nine. Bama's

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Speaker 1: not great defensively, ninetieth effective field goal percentage. Memphis fifty

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Speaker 1: two point five percent. That's eighty fourth best in the country.

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Speaker 1: Memphis right around Alabama thirty five percent shooting from behind

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Speaker 1: the arc, fifty two percent shooting inside of it. This

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Speaker 1: theyll takes six point four threes per game. Are or sorry?

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Speaker 1: I'm sorry. Alabama attempts twenty eight point two threes per game.

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Speaker 1: They make nine point nine. Excuse me, I was misreading

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Speaker 1: that Alabama takes twenty eight threes. They make nine point nine.

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Speaker 1: Memphis takes eighteen threes a game. They make six point four,

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Speaker 1: which is not great, but they do make a bunch

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Speaker 1: of two point shots. Okay, they are a pretty good

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Speaker 1: shooting team inside. With up tempo, go to the rim,

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Speaker 1: go to the rat right one fifty five and a

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Speaker 1: half with this tempo, Let's hope Bema bombs threes, hits

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Speaker 1: a bunch of them. Hopefully Memphis get gets to the rim,

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Speaker 1: a bunch of and one opportunities for Memphis. I'm going

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Speaker 1: over one fifty five and a half for Alabama and

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Speaker 1: Memphis here to see a lot of points being scored

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Speaker 1: between Alabama and Memphis over the last let's say two

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Speaker 1: of the last three games for Memphis have gone over

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Speaker 1: the last three games for BAMA against Florida, Gonzaga in

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Speaker 1: Houston have all gone over. Bama is starting to play,

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Speaker 1: They're starting to score. BEMA scored eighty three, ninety one,

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Speaker 1: and ninety six points in their last three games. They're

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Speaker 1: playing well offensively. We're going to go over one fifty

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Speaker 1: five and a half and hope that Memphis can match

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Speaker 1: and score some points. Two of the last three against Georgia,

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Speaker 1: Mississippi and Murray State have gone over, scoring seventy seventy

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Speaker 1: two to sixty seven and seventy nine points. So let's

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Speaker 1: get a good, you know, eighty points here out of Memphis.

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Speaker 1: Let's get Alabama with n and let's sail over this

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Speaker 1: one fifty five and a half total for this one okay,

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Speaker 1: half unit play minus one ten and the last game

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Speaker 1: the Creighton Blue Jays taking on Arizona State in Omaha.

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Speaker 1: Jays are favored by seven and a half points. This

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Speaker 1: feels heavy to me and I'm not in love with this,

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Speaker 1: but the total is one thirty six and a half.

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Speaker 1: You know, it's crazy. Craton right now is two hundred

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Speaker 1: and fifteenth and adjusted tempo in the country according to KEMPOM. Creighton,

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Speaker 1: they normally go up tempo, they normally play really fast.

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Speaker 1: They are playing very slow. This year. They are three

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Speaker 1: six and one to the over. Arizona State is three

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Speaker 1: and seven to the over. The Creighton Blue Jays are

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Speaker 1: one and four to the over at home this season.

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Speaker 1: Arizona State is three and two to the over on

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Speaker 1: the road. But the last game against BYU, the game

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Speaker 1: that I was on BYU and the Jays blew them

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Speaker 1: out eighty three seventy one. So maybe you're like, well

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Speaker 1: they turned a corner. Okay, maybe, But in the home

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Speaker 1: game against Iowa State, under home game against Northekosa State,

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Speaker 1: under home game against SIU Edwardsville, under neutral side against

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Speaker 1: Southern Illinois under, I mean they just come right now.

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Speaker 1: They're on a streak of four to the last five

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Speaker 1: have gone under for the great and Blue Jays. On

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Speaker 1: the other side, two of the last three for Arizona

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Speaker 1: State have gone under. Grand Canyon went under against Oregon,

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Speaker 1: went over by three and a half points, sixty nine

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Speaker 1: sixty seven. They won that game against Oregon on the

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Speaker 1: road against Washington State, that game was fifty one to

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Speaker 1: twenty nine, fifty one to twenty nine. That was the

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Speaker 1: game where it's like, oh my gosh, what happened. Arizona

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Speaker 1: State can't score. I mean, they just can't. They're just

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Speaker 1: a bad offensive team. But the Jays can really run

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Speaker 1: hot and cold too. I'm just not comfortable saying the

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Speaker 1: Jays are gonna be able to cover this. And I'm like,

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Speaker 1: you know what, Arizona say, score sixty four points per game.

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Speaker 1: That's two hundred and sixty seven in the country. It's horrific.

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Speaker 1: But the Jays only scored seventy three points per game.

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Speaker 1: And defensively, Arizona State's not awful. That's how they're winning games.

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Speaker 1: They're playing solid defense, and they're trying hard to hold

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Speaker 1: teams down, not giving up a ton of threes. And frankly, look,

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Speaker 1: you know the Jays offensively, this is not a typical

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Speaker 1: Creighton basketball team. They're not up and down shooting a

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Speaker 1: bunch of threes. Maybe they'll get into that, but the

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Speaker 1: Jays are shooting nineteen threes per game and hitting six

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Speaker 1: of them. That is not typical. They're normally in the

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Speaker 1: twenty five twenty six range hit nine ten a game.

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Speaker 1: So they're just not scoring the way that they used to.

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Speaker 1: Their effective feugal present is pretty good. But you know,

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Speaker 1: Arizona State's defensively is not horrible. Their top one hundred

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Speaker 1: Jays are top fifty, so it's not awful. Total is

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Speaker 1: one thirty six and a half. I'm going under here

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Speaker 1: Arizona State and Creighton. I'm taking the under one thirty

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Speaker 1: six and a half under for the Sun Devils in

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Speaker 1: the Creighton Blue Jays at minus one ten all right,

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Speaker 1: four plays two in hockey. Two in college basketball, We're

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Speaker 1: going the Boston Bruins minus one thirty against Vegas gold Knights.

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Speaker 1: We're taking the Edmonton Oilers at plus one ten at

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Speaker 1: home again to Toronto Maple Leafs. We're taken the over

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Speaker 1: for Alabama and Memphis at one fifty five and a half,

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Speaker 1: and I'm taking the under for Creighton and Arizona State

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Speaker 1: at one thirty six and a half. My name is

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Speaker 1: Matt Parolt. You guys can follow me on Twitter at

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Speaker 1: Sports Talk Matt. Each and every morning, it's the Daily

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Speaker 1: Juice podcast, always being brought to you by BETMGM