1 00:00:04,200 --> 00:00:12,120 Speaker 1: Get in touch with technology with Text Stuff from Hey there, 2 00:00:12,200 --> 00:00:16,680 Speaker 1: and welcome to Text Stuff. I'm Jonathan Strickland, and today 3 00:00:17,120 --> 00:00:20,520 Speaker 1: I am joined by a special guest, the busiest man 4 00:00:20,560 --> 00:00:24,759 Speaker 1: in podcasting, Mr Tom Merritt. Hi, Tom, Hey John. How's 5 00:00:24,760 --> 00:00:29,600 Speaker 1: it going man? It's going great, Thomas, it's fantastic. Um, 6 00:00:30,000 --> 00:00:33,440 Speaker 1: I'm gonna call me if you call me John Thomas, 7 00:00:33,520 --> 00:00:39,479 Speaker 1: that's fine, totally fair. Well, make up the it's the 8 00:00:39,520 --> 00:00:42,720 Speaker 1: conservation of syllables. Yes, we have to. We have to 9 00:00:42,800 --> 00:00:46,440 Speaker 1: maintain that balance. If we end up dropping in a 10 00:00:46,560 --> 00:00:48,800 Speaker 1: then obviously people are going to realize the quality of 11 00:00:48,840 --> 00:00:50,760 Speaker 1: the audios. And they can't see that we're both wearing 12 00:00:50,760 --> 00:00:53,280 Speaker 1: white Thai Texas, so they don't know how formal we 13 00:00:53,360 --> 00:00:58,680 Speaker 1: really are. Right, We've actually decided that normally we would 14 00:00:58,720 --> 00:01:03,080 Speaker 1: only communicate through our servants, but we we've given them 15 00:01:03,080 --> 00:01:08,560 Speaker 1: some time off. Yes, well, uh, tom Merritt. For those 16 00:01:08,560 --> 00:01:12,440 Speaker 1: of you who who may not know hosts about every 17 00:01:12,440 --> 00:01:17,880 Speaker 1: other podcast, that's not how Stuff Works. I think I 18 00:01:17,920 --> 00:01:20,280 Speaker 1: think How Stuff Works and Serial are the only two 19 00:01:20,319 --> 00:01:30,160 Speaker 1: you're not doing. So yeah, yeah, So I mean come on, well, unfortunately, 20 00:01:30,280 --> 00:01:32,800 Speaker 1: this this episode will air well after everyone's had a 21 00:01:32,920 --> 00:01:36,680 Speaker 1: chance to listen to that, although I have not. Tom, 22 00:01:36,760 --> 00:01:39,280 Speaker 1: you are the host of numerous shows, as I said, 23 00:01:39,319 --> 00:01:43,800 Speaker 1: including Daily Tech News Show, a phenomenal show. If you 24 00:01:43,880 --> 00:01:46,760 Speaker 1: want to know what is going on in technology on 25 00:01:46,800 --> 00:01:49,680 Speaker 1: a day to day basis, you gotta go check that 26 00:01:49,720 --> 00:01:53,160 Speaker 1: one out. Highly recommended. I've even been a host a 27 00:01:53,160 --> 00:01:57,880 Speaker 1: few times on that show. It's been hooray. I love 28 00:01:58,000 --> 00:02:01,120 Speaker 1: doing it. And I've asked Tom here to do the 29 00:02:01,160 --> 00:02:03,960 Speaker 1: one thing in the world that I look forward to 30 00:02:04,000 --> 00:02:08,400 Speaker 1: the most every single year, which is the end of 31 00:02:08,400 --> 00:02:10,720 Speaker 1: the year, beginning of the year predictions for the next 32 00:02:10,720 --> 00:02:14,360 Speaker 1: twelve months. But instead of sticking my neck out or 33 00:02:14,400 --> 00:02:19,040 Speaker 1: having Tom stick his neck out making ridiculous predictions for 34 00:02:19,120 --> 00:02:23,080 Speaker 1: what's gonna happen in two thousand fifteen, we decided we 35 00:02:23,080 --> 00:02:26,320 Speaker 1: were going to look at other people's predictions and then 36 00:02:26,600 --> 00:02:29,080 Speaker 1: way in uh with our opinion about whether or not 37 00:02:29,160 --> 00:02:33,280 Speaker 1: we agree with those predictions, or maybe maybe we conditionally 38 00:02:33,320 --> 00:02:36,960 Speaker 1: agree something like that, And we've picked a whole bunch 39 00:02:37,040 --> 00:02:38,960 Speaker 1: of them to go through. I have put on a 40 00:02:39,000 --> 00:02:43,200 Speaker 1: powdered wig to sit in judgment over these predictions. I 41 00:02:43,200 --> 00:02:47,959 Speaker 1: I have my scrying glass here. Um it's uh, it's 42 00:02:47,960 --> 00:02:51,760 Speaker 1: actually a Palin Beer. It's not quite the Palantine. You know. 43 00:02:51,760 --> 00:02:53,960 Speaker 1: I've always said, Jonathan, that you know all there is 44 00:02:54,000 --> 00:02:58,240 Speaker 1: to know about the scrying game. This is true. You 45 00:02:58,320 --> 00:03:01,000 Speaker 1: have said that. All right. So we're gonna start with 46 00:03:01,120 --> 00:03:05,960 Speaker 1: some Samsung predictions that The Verge published, and these are 47 00:03:06,320 --> 00:03:09,280 Speaker 1: the ones that that I thought would be kind of 48 00:03:09,320 --> 00:03:12,320 Speaker 1: fun to begin with. The first one is that wearable 49 00:03:12,360 --> 00:03:15,920 Speaker 1: technology is going to create a new era of power 50 00:03:16,080 --> 00:03:20,520 Speaker 1: dressing for business leaders. So a a smart watch or 51 00:03:20,600 --> 00:03:23,520 Speaker 1: other wearable device is now going to be seen as 52 00:03:23,520 --> 00:03:26,240 Speaker 1: a status symbol. You're gonna be able to tell how 53 00:03:26,280 --> 00:03:32,840 Speaker 1: important an executive is by the type of smart accessories 54 00:03:32,840 --> 00:03:35,320 Speaker 1: they're wearing. I guess where do you? Where do you 55 00:03:35,360 --> 00:03:37,760 Speaker 1: come in on this? Tom? So this is a prediction 56 00:03:37,840 --> 00:03:40,960 Speaker 1: coming from Samsung, right, Yes, yeah, this is a fairly 57 00:03:41,040 --> 00:03:45,200 Speaker 1: aspirational prediction, don't you think? I agree? I feel like 58 00:03:45,240 --> 00:03:47,920 Speaker 1: Samson is trying to accept this into the mind of 59 00:03:47,960 --> 00:03:51,280 Speaker 1: business leaders, like you'll need a gear watch if you 60 00:03:51,320 --> 00:03:53,440 Speaker 1: want to be seen as powerful, which sometimes that's the 61 00:03:53,440 --> 00:03:58,240 Speaker 1: way it works. I think if anybody makes that happen, 62 00:03:58,280 --> 00:03:59,960 Speaker 1: it's going to be Apple. They're the ones trying to 63 00:04:00,080 --> 00:04:02,720 Speaker 1: push the fashion end of this a lot harder. I agree. 64 00:04:02,880 --> 00:04:05,560 Speaker 1: I think obviously, Sam Sung, I mean, all of Sam 65 00:04:05,560 --> 00:04:09,680 Speaker 1: Suck's predictions are going to have that sort of of bias, 66 00:04:09,760 --> 00:04:12,480 Speaker 1: if you will. You know, obviously it's it's how they 67 00:04:12,560 --> 00:04:15,040 Speaker 1: want things to go because it's going to be where 68 00:04:15,120 --> 00:04:18,920 Speaker 1: their businesses will be successful. So there's nothing wrong with that. 69 00:04:19,160 --> 00:04:21,880 Speaker 1: And you know, there is something to say about drumming 70 00:04:21,960 --> 00:04:25,200 Speaker 1: up enthusiasm for something that you have an interest in. 71 00:04:25,880 --> 00:04:28,160 Speaker 1: I just I just don't know that there's been anything 72 00:04:28,200 --> 00:04:30,560 Speaker 1: out yet that is really going to catch on. And 73 00:04:30,600 --> 00:04:33,440 Speaker 1: I mean I say that as someone who owns a 74 00:04:33,480 --> 00:04:36,520 Speaker 1: smart watch, and I've got a couple of other independent 75 00:04:36,560 --> 00:04:41,360 Speaker 1: smart watches that I backed on various crowdfunding campaigns that 76 00:04:41,920 --> 00:04:46,200 Speaker 1: we'll supposedly get to me it's some day. But I'm 77 00:04:46,240 --> 00:04:49,560 Speaker 1: an early adopter type. I don't know that we're going 78 00:04:49,600 --> 00:04:55,120 Speaker 1: to see high powered executives, you know, casually pulling their 79 00:04:55,120 --> 00:04:58,160 Speaker 1: sleeves back to show off their smart accessory at every 80 00:04:58,160 --> 00:05:02,600 Speaker 1: given opportunity without being mocked. Yeah, that's it's actually been. 81 00:05:02,640 --> 00:05:04,599 Speaker 1: One of the things that Apple addressed when they announced 82 00:05:04,600 --> 00:05:08,799 Speaker 1: the Apple Watch was the fact that watches haven't looked 83 00:05:08,800 --> 00:05:11,120 Speaker 1: to that good and and that That's not to say 84 00:05:11,120 --> 00:05:15,039 Speaker 1: that I am judging that Apple solve that problem or not, um, 85 00:05:15,080 --> 00:05:17,400 Speaker 1: but that is that is the issue. Is they have 86 00:05:17,520 --> 00:05:22,599 Speaker 1: to get that tag heure Rolex crowd to decide that 87 00:05:22,680 --> 00:05:24,440 Speaker 1: they want to smart watch if they really want to 88 00:05:24,440 --> 00:05:26,719 Speaker 1: get into the high dollar item game of this. Maybe 89 00:05:26,720 --> 00:05:29,000 Speaker 1: this is Samsung tip in their hand a little huh, 90 00:05:29,240 --> 00:05:33,240 Speaker 1: saying we will be coming with the Rolex of smart 91 00:05:33,240 --> 00:05:35,600 Speaker 1: watches this year. Well, we'll have to keep an eye 92 00:05:35,640 --> 00:05:38,560 Speaker 1: out and see. I I like you, Tom, I am 93 00:05:38,600 --> 00:05:41,159 Speaker 1: a little skeptical of this one. So their next one 94 00:05:41,839 --> 00:05:46,200 Speaker 1: is that people will restructure their working lives around personal 95 00:05:46,400 --> 00:05:50,960 Speaker 1: power hours as technology reveals peak performance times. So this 96 00:05:51,040 --> 00:05:54,480 Speaker 1: is this seems to say, as we're using these devices, 97 00:05:54,800 --> 00:05:57,880 Speaker 1: they give us real time feedback on what is going 98 00:05:57,920 --> 00:06:01,400 Speaker 1: on with our bodies, our heart rates. That way, you 99 00:06:01,400 --> 00:06:04,200 Speaker 1: will start to see the peaks and troughs of our 100 00:06:04,240 --> 00:06:07,680 Speaker 1: activity and when we are most effective, and that we 101 00:06:07,720 --> 00:06:12,280 Speaker 1: will magically restructure our days so that they match those 102 00:06:12,360 --> 00:06:15,880 Speaker 1: peaks and troughs and we avoid everything else, which I 103 00:06:15,880 --> 00:06:20,160 Speaker 1: think sounds amazing, But I'm not sure that corporate America 104 00:06:20,360 --> 00:06:25,160 Speaker 1: is ready to two go that route. Yeah, I can't 105 00:06:25,200 --> 00:06:27,880 Speaker 1: see the excuse. Oh, I'm sorry, I can't have a meeting. 106 00:06:27,880 --> 00:06:32,720 Speaker 1: Then it's not during my power hours going down very well. 107 00:06:33,040 --> 00:06:36,000 Speaker 1: This one, at least is less directly related to a 108 00:06:36,080 --> 00:06:38,600 Speaker 1: Samsung product, right, This is a general like Samsung is 109 00:06:38,640 --> 00:06:41,520 Speaker 1: great with productivity, and so you know, this is the 110 00:06:41,640 --> 00:06:43,760 Speaker 1: kind of thing you'll be able to get. I'm totally 111 00:06:43,760 --> 00:06:46,359 Speaker 1: cool with this one. I just don't think it's gonna 112 00:06:46,400 --> 00:06:48,880 Speaker 1: be true. I mean, I would like the idea of 113 00:06:48,920 --> 00:06:51,240 Speaker 1: them telling me like, hey, you're gonna you're most productive. 114 00:06:51,279 --> 00:06:54,360 Speaker 1: We've analyzed your personal data and you're most productive at 115 00:06:54,400 --> 00:06:56,440 Speaker 1: these times of days. That'd be kind of cool. I 116 00:06:56,560 --> 00:07:01,240 Speaker 1: just don't see that becoming a common track. And yeah, 117 00:07:01,279 --> 00:07:04,320 Speaker 1: I'm lucky in that I work for a company where 118 00:07:04,880 --> 00:07:08,719 Speaker 1: they are very flexible with the way we do our work. 119 00:07:09,000 --> 00:07:12,040 Speaker 1: So I come in super early because I tend to 120 00:07:12,040 --> 00:07:15,600 Speaker 1: be I'm one of those people. I'm most effective first 121 00:07:15,640 --> 00:07:18,480 Speaker 1: thing in the morning, and so I also tend to 122 00:07:18,520 --> 00:07:21,480 Speaker 1: stay late. But if I could leave earlier, if I 123 00:07:21,520 --> 00:07:24,320 Speaker 1: so chose, I just tend to have other things going 124 00:07:24,360 --> 00:07:27,679 Speaker 1: on in the office, like recording episodes of tech stuff stuff. 125 00:07:28,360 --> 00:07:33,000 Speaker 1: Yeah no, no, no, this is not for me, not 126 00:07:33,080 --> 00:07:35,880 Speaker 1: unusual for me. But yeah, I don't. I don't see 127 00:07:35,920 --> 00:07:38,440 Speaker 1: this as being something that easily gets gets rolled out. 128 00:07:38,560 --> 00:07:42,280 Speaker 1: Maybe it's something we'll see happened in the United States 129 00:07:42,280 --> 00:07:44,880 Speaker 1: over time. I mean, certainly in Europe they have very 130 00:07:44,960 --> 00:07:49,440 Speaker 1: different approaches to the work day. But it may be 131 00:07:49,640 --> 00:07:52,880 Speaker 1: that that it'll still take some time for that to 132 00:07:52,960 --> 00:07:57,000 Speaker 1: come over to North America. Um. They also said that 133 00:07:57,120 --> 00:08:01,080 Speaker 1: virtual reality technology and innovative you of displays will lead 134 00:08:01,120 --> 00:08:04,720 Speaker 1: to a new generation of digital shops, allowing retailers to 135 00:08:04,840 --> 00:08:09,360 Speaker 1: overcome space constraints and high rent. So I guess this 136 00:08:09,400 --> 00:08:11,520 Speaker 1: would be where you'd go to a mall, except the 137 00:08:11,560 --> 00:08:14,280 Speaker 1: mall is a kiosk with a head mounted display and 138 00:08:14,320 --> 00:08:16,400 Speaker 1: you put that on and then you just virtually walk 139 00:08:16,480 --> 00:08:19,480 Speaker 1: through all the stores, and the gear VR will be 140 00:08:19,520 --> 00:08:22,920 Speaker 1: the way to do it. Um. You know, I'm actually 141 00:08:22,960 --> 00:08:25,000 Speaker 1: with them right up until they say a new generation 142 00:08:25,040 --> 00:08:28,160 Speaker 1: of digital shops. I could totally see as as things 143 00:08:28,160 --> 00:08:31,280 Speaker 1: like the gear VR and the Oculus Rift and Sony's 144 00:08:31,320 --> 00:08:34,800 Speaker 1: Morpheus Project Morpheus come around and and and this seems 145 00:08:34,840 --> 00:08:37,360 Speaker 1: to be is the year will see the first of 146 00:08:37,400 --> 00:08:42,240 Speaker 1: these really hit retail that. Um. They Yeah, there will 147 00:08:42,280 --> 00:08:44,360 Speaker 1: be digital shops and we'll be able to walk around 148 00:08:44,400 --> 00:08:47,960 Speaker 1: the shop. Whether that will actually allow retailers to overcome 149 00:08:47,960 --> 00:08:51,160 Speaker 1: space constraints and high rent that seems more of a stretch. Well, 150 00:08:51,200 --> 00:08:55,040 Speaker 1: they still have to have the inventory somewhere right right right. 151 00:08:55,320 --> 00:08:57,520 Speaker 1: I mean I can see it taking a business that 152 00:08:57,679 --> 00:09:01,080 Speaker 1: might have been stu I mean by the fact that 153 00:09:01,120 --> 00:09:04,280 Speaker 1: they really can't afford the shop front that they need 154 00:09:04,600 --> 00:09:07,679 Speaker 1: open a digital shop instead. In that case, yeah, they 155 00:09:07,679 --> 00:09:11,080 Speaker 1: would overcome space constraints. But I don't Yeah, I don't 156 00:09:11,080 --> 00:09:15,559 Speaker 1: see the mall Kiosks suddenly becoming a huge showroom. Yeah. 157 00:09:15,679 --> 00:09:21,680 Speaker 1: I also worry about, um, the the disorientation factor because 158 00:09:22,880 --> 00:09:25,360 Speaker 1: I've played with the Oculus Rift for a while and 159 00:09:25,400 --> 00:09:27,040 Speaker 1: I'm not sure I want to go to a mall 160 00:09:27,160 --> 00:09:31,800 Speaker 1: that's just coded and vomit um. I mean, it's not 161 00:09:31,880 --> 00:09:34,680 Speaker 1: my scene. Hey, you know, we'll not judge, but I'm 162 00:09:34,679 --> 00:09:38,800 Speaker 1: with you not my not my scene either. Uh yeah, 163 00:09:38,840 --> 00:09:41,440 Speaker 1: And maybe I'm just maybe I've just reached that age, Tom, 164 00:09:42,800 --> 00:09:46,480 Speaker 1: I've just always loved the vomit covered mall. Well, I 165 00:09:46,520 --> 00:09:49,680 Speaker 1: was thinking more about being being able to to adjust 166 00:09:49,760 --> 00:09:53,160 Speaker 1: to the disorientation of the Oculus Rift. But sure, let's 167 00:09:53,160 --> 00:09:57,640 Speaker 1: go back, all right. Well, they also said that automated 168 00:09:57,679 --> 00:10:00,440 Speaker 1: home systems will move from geek to sheet driven by 169 00:10:00,440 --> 00:10:04,480 Speaker 1: a dramatically improved user experience. This is one I really 170 00:10:04,640 --> 00:10:08,800 Speaker 1: can get behind because we've been seeing the progression of 171 00:10:08,840 --> 00:10:12,520 Speaker 1: this with stuff like Nest, despite their their smoke detector 172 00:10:12,720 --> 00:10:16,280 Speaker 1: problems that they had in two thousand fourteen, we've seen 173 00:10:16,679 --> 00:10:19,360 Speaker 1: these sort of systems that are starting to get more 174 00:10:19,360 --> 00:10:23,680 Speaker 1: and more interconnected, become more user friendly, easier to install, 175 00:10:23,800 --> 00:10:27,960 Speaker 1: more attractive, and less of the Jerry Riggs systems that 176 00:10:28,120 --> 00:10:32,440 Speaker 1: a lot of geeks were using the bleeding edge adapter 177 00:10:32,640 --> 00:10:36,079 Speaker 1: adopters rather and uh so I actually agree with this one. 178 00:10:36,080 --> 00:10:38,360 Speaker 1: I think we will see a lot more automated home 179 00:10:38,400 --> 00:10:42,439 Speaker 1: systems enter into the mainstream. Yeah, this is one that 180 00:10:42,480 --> 00:10:44,880 Speaker 1: you could easily dismiss his self share of incause Samsung 181 00:10:44,960 --> 00:10:49,079 Speaker 1: Smart Home exists, But I think that doesn't matter. I 182 00:10:49,120 --> 00:10:52,719 Speaker 1: think they're totally right. Maybe geek Tschika is overstating at 183 00:10:52,720 --> 00:10:55,760 Speaker 1: a touch, but yeah, I'm with you. I think automated 184 00:10:55,760 --> 00:10:58,280 Speaker 1: home systems this year will come into their own and 185 00:10:58,320 --> 00:11:01,280 Speaker 1: we'll see, like you say, the like Nest become even 186 00:11:01,280 --> 00:11:04,600 Speaker 1: more popular, more competitors for that, and more people who 187 00:11:04,640 --> 00:11:07,800 Speaker 1: aren't on the bleeding edge, uh, saying oh, yeah, I 188 00:11:07,880 --> 00:11:10,839 Speaker 1: think I might try out one of those smart lightbulbs, 189 00:11:10,920 --> 00:11:15,400 Speaker 1: slash thermostats, slash smoke alarms, etcetera. Yeah, I think it's 190 00:11:15,480 --> 00:11:17,400 Speaker 1: kind of the way I see it as I see 191 00:11:17,440 --> 00:11:21,120 Speaker 1: the automated home system year of two thousand fifteen be 192 00:11:21,280 --> 00:11:24,400 Speaker 1: kind of like the fitness wearable of two thousand fourteen, 193 00:11:25,080 --> 00:11:28,080 Speaker 1: where we saw two thousand fourteen we saw numbers double 194 00:11:28,720 --> 00:11:33,840 Speaker 1: in in fitness adoption wearable adoption, but it was still 195 00:11:34,000 --> 00:11:38,000 Speaker 1: it's still relatively small compared to the overall consumer market, 196 00:11:38,320 --> 00:11:40,959 Speaker 1: but it shows a trend of growth. So I think 197 00:11:41,000 --> 00:11:43,319 Speaker 1: that's what we're gonna see. Definitely with you on that one. 198 00:11:43,720 --> 00:11:46,240 Speaker 1: And then I love this one. I don't know that 199 00:11:46,280 --> 00:11:49,120 Speaker 1: I agree with it, particularly living in the state of Georgia, 200 00:11:49,200 --> 00:11:51,920 Speaker 1: but every child born the next twelve months will learn 201 00:11:52,000 --> 00:11:57,120 Speaker 1: coding as a core subject alongside numeracy and literacy. Did 202 00:11:57,120 --> 00:12:04,440 Speaker 1: you say codeine ding programming? Yeah? Yeah, not no, no, 203 00:12:04,520 --> 00:12:08,000 Speaker 1: not not opiates. That's good. That's good because I would 204 00:12:08,000 --> 00:12:10,320 Speaker 1: totally disagree with that one. This one, you know, it 205 00:12:10,360 --> 00:12:12,800 Speaker 1: throws you off the way they phrased it here where 206 00:12:12,800 --> 00:12:14,800 Speaker 1: they say, like every child born in the next twelve 207 00:12:14,840 --> 00:12:17,480 Speaker 1: months will learn coding. You gotta keep reading because it's like, no, 208 00:12:17,559 --> 00:12:21,480 Speaker 1: they won't, little baby Pappy learning right, right. But what 209 00:12:21,520 --> 00:12:23,760 Speaker 1: they're saying is as they grow up over the next 210 00:12:23,800 --> 00:12:27,040 Speaker 1: twelve to thirteen years, coding will become a course subject. 211 00:12:27,080 --> 00:12:29,160 Speaker 1: And I kind of think they're right about this. You 212 00:12:29,200 --> 00:12:32,080 Speaker 1: know that. The nice thing about this prediction for them 213 00:12:32,280 --> 00:12:34,640 Speaker 1: is that's going to take a while before they're proven 214 00:12:34,720 --> 00:12:38,240 Speaker 1: right or wrong. Yeah, it's a clever way to do right. 215 00:12:38,360 --> 00:12:41,120 Speaker 1: You're saying, the baby is born this year will and 216 00:12:41,200 --> 00:12:45,319 Speaker 1: now a prediction that will take twelve years to prove through. Yeah, yeah, So, 217 00:12:45,559 --> 00:12:48,880 Speaker 1: uh look cool. I like that you're optimistic about this. 218 00:12:48,920 --> 00:12:52,439 Speaker 1: I'm a little more pessimistic simply because I see so 219 00:12:52,480 --> 00:12:56,520 Speaker 1: many issues with the various school programs that are already 220 00:12:56,520 --> 00:12:59,559 Speaker 1: in existence. I do think cod coding is a very 221 00:13:00,000 --> 00:13:02,440 Speaker 1: Porton's skill set to to learn. It's something that I 222 00:13:02,520 --> 00:13:06,520 Speaker 1: learned on my own, and even then it was very limited. 223 00:13:06,520 --> 00:13:10,199 Speaker 1: I mean I was working in Apple Basic at the time. Um, 224 00:13:10,320 --> 00:13:13,400 Speaker 1: so it's one of those things I think definitely needs 225 00:13:13,440 --> 00:13:16,400 Speaker 1: to be taught. If you talk to computer scientists professors, 226 00:13:17,120 --> 00:13:21,720 Speaker 1: they always mentioned about how incoming classes coming into the 227 00:13:21,880 --> 00:13:26,240 Speaker 1: freshman level computer science courses have little to no experience 228 00:13:26,800 --> 00:13:30,079 Speaker 1: encoding usually at the college level, and that it's very 229 00:13:30,160 --> 00:13:32,000 Speaker 1: I mean, that's the reason why we see things like 230 00:13:32,000 --> 00:13:34,920 Speaker 1: the Raspberry Pie coming out like it was supposed to 231 00:13:34,920 --> 00:13:38,400 Speaker 1: be an inexpensive way to help young kids learn and 232 00:13:38,800 --> 00:13:45,920 Speaker 1: get interested in programming. So I certainly many programs and 233 00:13:46,240 --> 00:13:48,640 Speaker 1: I don't mean the pun in that case, uh, that 234 00:13:48,720 --> 00:13:53,480 Speaker 1: are trying to encourage education to pick up programming and 235 00:13:53,559 --> 00:13:56,880 Speaker 1: coding as as something that they need to teach that 236 00:13:56,960 --> 00:14:00,080 Speaker 1: I feel like over the time scale they're saying, which is, 237 00:14:00,520 --> 00:14:03,520 Speaker 1: you know, children born next year will grow up into 238 00:14:03,520 --> 00:14:06,080 Speaker 1: a world where it becomes that that it's almost inevitable 239 00:14:06,120 --> 00:14:09,080 Speaker 1: to me. But I also see where you're coming from, John, 240 00:14:09,440 --> 00:14:15,200 Speaker 1: nothing where it actually uh it actually is going to 241 00:14:15,240 --> 00:14:19,240 Speaker 1: take a lot to get it there. Um, there's my 242 00:14:19,240 --> 00:14:21,520 Speaker 1: My my belief in the prediction is because there just 243 00:14:21,520 --> 00:14:24,920 Speaker 1: seems to be an overwhelming force pushing for it. But 244 00:14:25,000 --> 00:14:27,160 Speaker 1: it's not gonna happen next year. It's not even gonna 245 00:14:27,160 --> 00:14:29,280 Speaker 1: happen the year after that. It's gonna it's gonna take 246 00:14:29,320 --> 00:14:31,960 Speaker 1: that force to continue to build up and and people 247 00:14:32,040 --> 00:14:34,880 Speaker 1: starting to see the benefits of it directly and and 248 00:14:34,920 --> 00:14:37,240 Speaker 1: all of that. So yeah, it's gonna take probably five 249 00:14:37,280 --> 00:14:40,240 Speaker 1: to ten years before it actually happens. But then that 250 00:14:40,360 --> 00:14:43,240 Speaker 1: still works with this predict right, I mean, yeah, this 251 00:14:43,360 --> 00:14:45,560 Speaker 1: is that, And you make a really good point. Plus 252 00:14:45,760 --> 00:14:48,200 Speaker 1: things that I didn't even consider, things that will probably 253 00:14:48,200 --> 00:14:50,600 Speaker 1: talk about a little bit later in this episode, uh, 254 00:14:50,760 --> 00:14:55,120 Speaker 1: that have unfolded also create a real impetus to teaching 255 00:14:55,640 --> 00:14:59,280 Speaker 1: people how to code things like security breaches, where we're 256 00:14:59,320 --> 00:15:02,800 Speaker 1: going to knee a new generation of people thinking about 257 00:15:02,840 --> 00:15:05,680 Speaker 1: security in a new way to protect the data that 258 00:15:05,720 --> 00:15:08,440 Speaker 1: we have. I mean, two thousand fourteen was the year 259 00:15:08,600 --> 00:15:12,480 Speaker 1: of the security breach. We had so many eBay you had, 260 00:15:12,560 --> 00:15:17,080 Speaker 1: you had target yet Kmart, you had mount Gox getting destroyed. 261 00:15:17,560 --> 00:15:23,360 Speaker 1: I mean it was entertainment and timely picture. Yes, yes, 262 00:15:24,160 --> 00:15:26,640 Speaker 1: so this is definitely something I could I could see 263 00:15:26,640 --> 00:15:31,520 Speaker 1: as being a real, a real incentive to try and 264 00:15:31,600 --> 00:15:36,200 Speaker 1: get coding into schools more more universally. So all right, 265 00:15:36,400 --> 00:15:38,920 Speaker 1: I'm coming around to that one. Well, I've I've got 266 00:15:38,960 --> 00:15:44,040 Speaker 1: some other predictions here. Here's some from the street dot com. 267 00:15:44,080 --> 00:15:47,840 Speaker 1: And the first one is kind of interesting that Facebook 268 00:15:48,200 --> 00:15:51,320 Speaker 1: in sometime in two thousand fifteen will come out with 269 00:15:51,400 --> 00:15:55,400 Speaker 1: a Facebook for Work campaign, which would make it more 270 00:15:55,400 --> 00:15:59,000 Speaker 1: of a competitor to LinkedIn, and it would incorporate things 271 00:15:59,040 --> 00:16:03,120 Speaker 1: that Facebook's already worked with, things like instant messaging or 272 00:16:03,160 --> 00:16:05,840 Speaker 1: maybe even bringing back some of the Facebook email stuff 273 00:16:05,880 --> 00:16:09,360 Speaker 1: they experimented with earlier, and that it would also include 274 00:16:09,400 --> 00:16:13,600 Speaker 1: probably some form of productivity, cloud based software, you know, 275 00:16:13,720 --> 00:16:18,280 Speaker 1: doc sharing, collaboration. And so the thought here is that Facebook, 276 00:16:18,280 --> 00:16:21,400 Speaker 1: in order to grow, uh, you know once once you 277 00:16:21,440 --> 00:16:24,479 Speaker 1: hit a billion users, it's it's hard to find those opportunities, 278 00:16:24,800 --> 00:16:27,680 Speaker 1: is really going to aim at the enterprise level to 279 00:16:27,760 --> 00:16:33,520 Speaker 1: create something that specifically allows companies to work together. But 280 00:16:33,680 --> 00:16:39,479 Speaker 1: in the Facebook realm, do you agree with that? I 281 00:16:39,520 --> 00:16:45,400 Speaker 1: think it is almost a hud certain that Facebook has 282 00:16:46,040 --> 00:16:49,360 Speaker 1: at least one project underway exploring this, and probably multiple 283 00:16:49,400 --> 00:16:53,640 Speaker 1: projects exploring this. When there's a lot of you know, 284 00:16:53,720 --> 00:16:58,680 Speaker 1: Microsoft Bot Yamur long time ago, LinkedIn is extremely popular. 285 00:16:58,960 --> 00:17:02,240 Speaker 1: There's a lot of case studies to show that social 286 00:17:02,280 --> 00:17:04,439 Speaker 1: networks in the workplace, you know, are helpful in this 287 00:17:04,520 --> 00:17:06,320 Speaker 1: in that way. And I can't believe that Facebook wouldn't 288 00:17:06,320 --> 00:17:10,160 Speaker 1: be exploring this. It's a different matter of whether they 289 00:17:10,200 --> 00:17:12,320 Speaker 1: will get it to the point where they say, yes, 290 00:17:12,359 --> 00:17:14,720 Speaker 1: we've got a product that we're gonna we're gonna launch 291 00:17:14,800 --> 00:17:17,600 Speaker 1: this year. The one thing that I think people forget though, 292 00:17:17,640 --> 00:17:19,520 Speaker 1: which might make you think, I don't know if Facebook 293 00:17:19,560 --> 00:17:21,440 Speaker 1: is gonna want to do this? Would work? Places want 294 00:17:21,440 --> 00:17:24,600 Speaker 1: to be associated with the Facebook name because it's you know, 295 00:17:24,640 --> 00:17:29,160 Speaker 1: it's got all of this baggage about personal sharing and privacy, etcetera. 296 00:17:29,720 --> 00:17:33,639 Speaker 1: Facebook is now lots of other companies, you know, the 297 00:17:33,680 --> 00:17:36,520 Speaker 1: most prominent being Instagram, but they own lots of other 298 00:17:36,560 --> 00:17:40,120 Speaker 1: projects like paper that they launched that uses Facebook more 299 00:17:40,119 --> 00:17:42,879 Speaker 1: as a back end for something. I could see them 300 00:17:42,920 --> 00:17:47,160 Speaker 1: basically creating a startup within Facebook that's not called Facebook, 301 00:17:47,200 --> 00:17:50,480 Speaker 1: doesn't market themselves as Facebook, that does this. That seems 302 00:17:50,520 --> 00:17:53,960 Speaker 1: to be the most likely way that this happens. I agree. 303 00:17:54,000 --> 00:17:56,879 Speaker 1: I think that if they position themselves in such a 304 00:17:56,880 --> 00:17:59,680 Speaker 1: way where it's not you know, not Facebook for work, 305 00:18:00,160 --> 00:18:02,639 Speaker 1: which and I don't mean to suggest that the street 306 00:18:02,680 --> 00:18:05,399 Speaker 1: dot com feels like that would be the name of 307 00:18:05,400 --> 00:18:07,399 Speaker 1: the service. Obviously they had to call it something for 308 00:18:07,440 --> 00:18:10,200 Speaker 1: their prediction, but I agree. I think if they marketed 309 00:18:10,680 --> 00:18:13,880 Speaker 1: a different way, but use the Facebook back end as 310 00:18:13,920 --> 00:18:16,920 Speaker 1: the platform upon which all this was built, it makes 311 00:18:16,960 --> 00:18:21,600 Speaker 1: perfect sense. Um, it is an untapped market for Facebook, 312 00:18:21,720 --> 00:18:24,119 Speaker 1: apart from I mean, you could argue that Pages is 313 00:18:24,240 --> 00:18:27,040 Speaker 1: kind of them dipping their toe in that, but that's 314 00:18:27,080 --> 00:18:30,160 Speaker 1: a different That's a forward facing, a customer facing approach 315 00:18:30,200 --> 00:18:33,840 Speaker 1: as opposed to something that allows companies to do the 316 00:18:33,880 --> 00:18:38,199 Speaker 1: work they need to do, uh internally. So yeah, I 317 00:18:38,240 --> 00:18:40,080 Speaker 1: agree with that one. To the next one, I'm not 318 00:18:40,160 --> 00:18:42,320 Speaker 1: so sure about. I go back and forth on it. 319 00:18:42,880 --> 00:18:46,520 Speaker 1: Amazon is going to get there, gosh darn delivery drones 320 00:18:46,560 --> 00:18:48,560 Speaker 1: in the air before the end of two thousands, get 321 00:18:48,560 --> 00:18:52,840 Speaker 1: their drone on. Yeah, that was the prediction they went 322 00:18:52,920 --> 00:18:54,679 Speaker 1: They went on to say that they felt that the 323 00:18:54,760 --> 00:18:58,040 Speaker 1: f a A and Congress would be under intense pressure 324 00:18:58,560 --> 00:19:02,000 Speaker 1: to allow this to happen, and that that alone would 325 00:19:02,000 --> 00:19:06,720 Speaker 1: be enough to propel the issue forward so that Amazon 326 00:19:06,720 --> 00:19:09,240 Speaker 1: would get the clearance. A couple of companies have already 327 00:19:09,280 --> 00:19:12,919 Speaker 1: received some clearance to use drones in commercial matters, but 328 00:19:13,000 --> 00:19:16,200 Speaker 1: not Amazon. So the thought is that by pointing out 329 00:19:16,200 --> 00:19:18,760 Speaker 1: these other cases, Amazon would be able to make a 330 00:19:18,880 --> 00:19:22,360 Speaker 1: very strong argument to get their drones in the air. 331 00:19:22,440 --> 00:19:25,680 Speaker 1: Do you think that is true. Do you think by 332 00:19:25,680 --> 00:19:28,280 Speaker 1: the end of two thousand fifteen, the stuff that you 333 00:19:28,359 --> 00:19:31,199 Speaker 1: will be ordering for the holidays for your friends and 334 00:19:31,240 --> 00:19:36,399 Speaker 1: family will be delivered by drone. If I live in Sydney, Australia. Possibly, 335 00:19:37,600 --> 00:19:40,800 Speaker 1: but yeah, I don't. The f a A is famously 336 00:19:41,040 --> 00:19:46,119 Speaker 1: not sensitive to pressure. They're not pressure sensitive. Uh. I 337 00:19:46,160 --> 00:19:48,199 Speaker 1: think I think back to how long it took to 338 00:19:48,240 --> 00:19:51,160 Speaker 1: get the ability to keep your phone on during takeoff 339 00:19:51,720 --> 00:19:54,080 Speaker 1: even an airplane mode. This is this is not an 340 00:19:54,119 --> 00:19:56,879 Speaker 1: agency that moves fast, and they've proven that with the 341 00:19:56,960 --> 00:20:00,280 Speaker 1: drone issue. Uh. And they've shown in all of the 342 00:20:00,280 --> 00:20:02,880 Speaker 1: decisions they've made about the drone issue that they are 343 00:20:02,880 --> 00:20:06,320 Speaker 1: going to continue to drag their feet. They wouldn't describe 344 00:20:06,320 --> 00:20:08,360 Speaker 1: it that way. They would say, you know, be cautious 345 00:20:08,400 --> 00:20:11,320 Speaker 1: and careful. And so no, they're they're not going to 346 00:20:11,480 --> 00:20:15,560 Speaker 1: be able to fly Amazon drone shipping in the United 347 00:20:15,600 --> 00:20:17,240 Speaker 1: States by the end of this year. We might have 348 00:20:17,280 --> 00:20:20,440 Speaker 1: a little movement on on the approval. They might get 349 00:20:20,480 --> 00:20:23,520 Speaker 1: a test site by the end of this year maybe, 350 00:20:23,760 --> 00:20:26,719 Speaker 1: but as far as launching a service, absolutely no way. Now. 351 00:20:26,760 --> 00:20:29,120 Speaker 1: In other countries like Australia that I mentioned, where they're 352 00:20:29,280 --> 00:20:32,359 Speaker 1: they're much more open about drone testing and allowing people 353 00:20:32,760 --> 00:20:36,600 Speaker 1: UH to fly this around. It's still an outside possibility, 354 00:20:36,640 --> 00:20:39,639 Speaker 1: but I think at least could happen there. It's definitely 355 00:20:39,680 --> 00:20:42,679 Speaker 1: not gonna happen in the US. Yeah, I have to 356 00:20:42,720 --> 00:20:46,600 Speaker 1: agree with you once again. Um, I can't imagine the 357 00:20:46,680 --> 00:20:50,840 Speaker 1: f a A even with the argument that other businesses 358 00:20:50,840 --> 00:20:53,480 Speaker 1: are able to kind of try this out. I mean, 359 00:20:53,520 --> 00:20:57,200 Speaker 1: when you look at the size of Amazon's delivery business, 360 00:20:58,000 --> 00:21:01,959 Speaker 1: they just that the lot of that many drones flying 361 00:21:02,000 --> 00:21:04,840 Speaker 1: through the air dropping packages, willy nilly, is enough to 362 00:21:04,920 --> 00:21:07,680 Speaker 1: send most people to say, we need to be really 363 00:21:07,760 --> 00:21:11,280 Speaker 1: careful and make sure this works of the time before 364 00:21:11,280 --> 00:21:14,679 Speaker 1: we agree to it, because this is an incredibly huge 365 00:21:14,760 --> 00:21:20,560 Speaker 1: and diverse and complicated system. So uh yeah, I will 366 00:21:20,600 --> 00:21:25,200 Speaker 1: be absolutely shocked if Amazon's drone program is in the air. Uh. 367 00:21:25,240 --> 00:21:28,360 Speaker 1: It also will mean that will probably by the time 368 00:21:28,400 --> 00:21:32,720 Speaker 1: Amazon does get this launched. Literally, um, we're else gonna 369 00:21:32,720 --> 00:21:37,560 Speaker 1: see the competing services like Google's proposed drone delivery service. 370 00:21:37,640 --> 00:21:39,840 Speaker 1: So at that point we may not ever see the 371 00:21:39,840 --> 00:21:43,159 Speaker 1: sky again. Yeah, that'll just be covered in drones, just 372 00:21:43,280 --> 00:21:47,359 Speaker 1: covered in drones. Yeah, you you'll but you'll get your 373 00:21:47,359 --> 00:21:51,639 Speaker 1: electric toothbrush on time, So that's good alright. Our next 374 00:21:51,680 --> 00:21:55,200 Speaker 1: prediction was that in two thousand and fifteen, Uber will 375 00:21:55,240 --> 00:21:59,480 Speaker 1: file an I p O. Uber will go public in 376 00:21:59,520 --> 00:22:04,280 Speaker 1: two in fifteen. That's despite the various trials and tribulations 377 00:22:04,400 --> 00:22:08,840 Speaker 1: Uber has had UH not just with trying to get 378 00:22:09,480 --> 00:22:12,919 Speaker 1: UH trying to get a foothold in various markets that 379 00:22:12,960 --> 00:22:17,160 Speaker 1: have resisted Uber moving in, but also the internal issues 380 00:22:17,200 --> 00:22:20,000 Speaker 1: that have faced Uber. So do you think Uber is 381 00:22:20,040 --> 00:22:22,880 Speaker 1: going to be able to overcome all that and go 382 00:22:23,040 --> 00:22:27,280 Speaker 1: forward in declaring H or to to file an I 383 00:22:27,400 --> 00:22:30,280 Speaker 1: p O. And my instinct is to say no, that 384 00:22:30,280 --> 00:22:32,720 Speaker 1: that would be a bad idea. They really need to 385 00:22:32,760 --> 00:22:36,639 Speaker 1: focus on their public image, etcetera, etcetera. But two things 386 00:22:36,720 --> 00:22:39,560 Speaker 1: make me think that I'm wrong in having that impulse. 387 00:22:39,680 --> 00:22:42,360 Speaker 1: One is, whenever I think that about a company going 388 00:22:42,400 --> 00:22:44,640 Speaker 1: I p O, they always go ip O anyway, because 389 00:22:44,680 --> 00:22:46,800 Speaker 1: the reason they put out their stock has nothing to 390 00:22:46,840 --> 00:22:50,080 Speaker 1: do with my instincts. They usually have some other, much 391 00:22:50,080 --> 00:22:53,320 Speaker 1: more arcane financial calculation that shows them that it is 392 00:22:53,320 --> 00:22:55,120 Speaker 1: the right time. And the other thing I would say 393 00:22:55,200 --> 00:22:59,159 Speaker 1: is the folks at Uber don't really seem to mind 394 00:22:59,320 --> 00:23:01,840 Speaker 1: if people have a perception of them that they don't 395 00:23:01,840 --> 00:23:03,920 Speaker 1: agree with. They go ahead and do what they want anyway. 396 00:23:04,640 --> 00:23:08,160 Speaker 1: Like operating their service in places that have declared it illegal, 397 00:23:08,240 --> 00:23:11,760 Speaker 1: for instance. So yeah, I think it's probably like that 398 00:23:11,880 --> 00:23:13,840 Speaker 1: if Uber thinks it's the right time to I p 399 00:23:14,000 --> 00:23:16,200 Speaker 1: O the l I p O this year. Now I've 400 00:23:16,200 --> 00:23:19,040 Speaker 1: got another related question this, This doesn't have to do 401 00:23:19,080 --> 00:23:21,280 Speaker 1: with the prediction, just uh, I want to get your 402 00:23:21,320 --> 00:23:25,440 Speaker 1: perspective on this. Uh. You know, Uber is often referred 403 00:23:25,440 --> 00:23:29,520 Speaker 1: to as part of the the sharing economy. Do you 404 00:23:29,920 --> 00:23:34,800 Speaker 1: actually see Uber as as a type of sharing kind 405 00:23:34,840 --> 00:23:37,800 Speaker 1: of service. I always think of Uber as really a 406 00:23:37,920 --> 00:23:41,200 Speaker 1: taxi replacement. I mean that I've used it, but I 407 00:23:41,240 --> 00:23:43,679 Speaker 1: don't think of it as sharing like the way I 408 00:23:43,720 --> 00:23:46,719 Speaker 1: thought the sharing economy was intended to be used. And 409 00:23:46,880 --> 00:23:49,160 Speaker 1: actually I think that's the problem that Uber has run 410 00:23:49,160 --> 00:23:51,560 Speaker 1: into an Airbnb start to run into this a little 411 00:23:51,560 --> 00:23:54,760 Speaker 1: bit as well, which is it started as Hey, it's 412 00:23:54,920 --> 00:23:57,439 Speaker 1: just somebody who wants to use a thing they already 413 00:23:57,520 --> 00:23:59,479 Speaker 1: have and make a little extra money off it. Right, 414 00:24:00,040 --> 00:24:02,720 Speaker 1: I'm going to have a ride, and so I'm going 415 00:24:02,760 --> 00:24:05,439 Speaker 1: to make my car available when I'm driving somewhere, and 416 00:24:05,480 --> 00:24:08,160 Speaker 1: it's become people who said, oh, that's a really great idea. 417 00:24:08,200 --> 00:24:10,520 Speaker 1: I'm going to become a professional at that, and then 418 00:24:10,640 --> 00:24:13,480 Speaker 1: Uber has to start vetting the drivers, and then Uber 419 00:24:13,520 --> 00:24:16,280 Speaker 1: has to start taking more responsibility for the system as 420 00:24:16,280 --> 00:24:18,919 Speaker 1: a whole and institute surge pricing, and suddenly you're right, 421 00:24:19,000 --> 00:24:20,560 Speaker 1: it is a taxi service. So I think it has 422 00:24:20,560 --> 00:24:24,920 Speaker 1: evolved beyond just being the sharing economy. Like I think 423 00:24:24,920 --> 00:24:27,480 Speaker 1: of the sharing economy, Airbnb still exists more in that 424 00:24:27,520 --> 00:24:30,520 Speaker 1: where it's I can say, Okay, I'm going to rent 425 00:24:30,520 --> 00:24:32,640 Speaker 1: out the place that I live in for a couple 426 00:24:32,680 --> 00:24:36,000 Speaker 1: of weeks. But even then, the airbnb economy has become 427 00:24:36,080 --> 00:24:38,600 Speaker 1: so big you have to do a lot to prepare 428 00:24:38,640 --> 00:24:41,280 Speaker 1: your place for someone to stay in it. It's less 429 00:24:41,280 --> 00:24:44,040 Speaker 1: of the couch surfing feel. And I think Uber's well 430 00:24:44,080 --> 00:24:46,680 Speaker 1: beyond that. Like just because you own a car doesn't 431 00:24:46,720 --> 00:24:48,680 Speaker 1: mean you're just gonna hop in and start using Uber 432 00:24:49,720 --> 00:24:53,200 Speaker 1: as a driver. I mean, I totally agree. Well, how 433 00:24:53,240 --> 00:24:55,800 Speaker 1: about a couple of predictions. These came from a site 434 00:24:55,840 --> 00:24:59,760 Speaker 1: called Bread and beyond that. I assumed the predictions were 435 00:24:59,760 --> 00:25:02,800 Speaker 1: made quite some time ago, but they are for two fifteen. 436 00:25:03,240 --> 00:25:07,600 Speaker 1: But here's one that I thought was incredibly optimistic. They 437 00:25:07,680 --> 00:25:11,679 Speaker 1: said they believe that Google glass will head into mass 438 00:25:11,760 --> 00:25:18,000 Speaker 1: production in two thousand and fifteen. Mm. Yeah, yeah, I can. 439 00:25:18,359 --> 00:25:22,680 Speaker 1: I'll give that one like a s Okay, you're you're 440 00:25:22,720 --> 00:25:26,040 Speaker 1: more optimistic than I am. Although I well, I'll say this, 441 00:25:26,600 --> 00:25:30,119 Speaker 1: Google has proven time and again that they are willing 442 00:25:30,160 --> 00:25:34,160 Speaker 1: to charge into something, whether there's any proof that there's 443 00:25:34,200 --> 00:25:37,960 Speaker 1: going to be a modicum of success or not a lot. 444 00:25:38,040 --> 00:25:40,000 Speaker 1: I think there are a lot of strikes against Google Glass. 445 00:25:40,040 --> 00:25:43,120 Speaker 1: I say this as someone who owns Google Glass. I 446 00:25:43,200 --> 00:25:47,600 Speaker 1: love Google Glass, but there have been I think most 447 00:25:47,600 --> 00:25:51,000 Speaker 1: of the coverage of Google Glass, the vast majority of 448 00:25:51,000 --> 00:25:54,879 Speaker 1: it has really been couched in caution, saying it's not 449 00:25:55,000 --> 00:25:59,480 Speaker 1: really ready yet. It's not it's not appealing enough to consumers, 450 00:26:00,040 --> 00:26:03,960 Speaker 1: and that makes me think that it's just enough of 451 00:26:04,000 --> 00:26:07,159 Speaker 1: a risk, considering that this is a hardware thing as well, 452 00:26:07,600 --> 00:26:11,159 Speaker 1: that Google may not jump in by the end of 453 00:26:11,200 --> 00:26:14,240 Speaker 1: two thousand and fifteen. But that's that's just based upon 454 00:26:14,840 --> 00:26:19,680 Speaker 1: the thing, the various articles I've read. Uh, and you know, I, well, 455 00:26:19,720 --> 00:26:21,639 Speaker 1: I have mine, so I don't I don't have a 456 00:26:21,680 --> 00:26:24,120 Speaker 1: dog in this fight. I've got my pair. So yeah, 457 00:26:24,200 --> 00:26:26,920 Speaker 1: but don't you want the new pair, the more stylish pair, 458 00:26:27,160 --> 00:26:30,600 Speaker 1: the more capable pair with a better resolution. Well, yes, 459 00:26:30,640 --> 00:26:33,760 Speaker 1: of course I do. Yeah, exactly, that's why. And and 460 00:26:33,800 --> 00:26:37,640 Speaker 1: Google has formed so many partnerships with design companies, people 461 00:26:37,680 --> 00:26:40,520 Speaker 1: who do eyewear. I feel like this has been on 462 00:26:40,640 --> 00:26:44,320 Speaker 1: simmer because they're busy making sure that what they come 463 00:26:44,320 --> 00:26:48,199 Speaker 1: out with looks a lot better. Uh. And as we 464 00:26:48,240 --> 00:26:51,520 Speaker 1: saw there were those leaked snapchat emails about them partnering 465 00:26:52,200 --> 00:26:53,639 Speaker 1: with an eye word company. In fact, I think they 466 00:26:53,680 --> 00:26:57,639 Speaker 1: might have acquired uh, the eyewear company that makes a 467 00:26:57,880 --> 00:27:01,320 Speaker 1: kind of Google glass, except it's not actively connected to 468 00:27:01,320 --> 00:27:03,119 Speaker 1: the Internet. It doesn't have WiFi in it. You have 469 00:27:03,200 --> 00:27:06,399 Speaker 1: to download the video later, and it's very focused on video. 470 00:27:06,600 --> 00:27:10,760 Speaker 1: But they looked like stylish glasses, and that that's really 471 00:27:10,800 --> 00:27:12,840 Speaker 1: the big thing that I think people think of when 472 00:27:12,840 --> 00:27:15,280 Speaker 1: they think of Google glasses, that they're kind of awkward looking. 473 00:27:16,040 --> 00:27:19,880 Speaker 1: And so Google, don't forget they made partnerships with several 474 00:27:19,920 --> 00:27:24,600 Speaker 1: different eyewear companies. I I would be very surprised if 475 00:27:24,600 --> 00:27:28,040 Speaker 1: we didn't see at least a line of stylish Google 476 00:27:28,080 --> 00:27:32,080 Speaker 1: Glass showed off at that maybe Google I oh in 477 00:27:32,080 --> 00:27:36,560 Speaker 1: the summer, uh and then possibly launched in I can 478 00:27:36,600 --> 00:27:38,960 Speaker 1: also see them sort of saying, well, we're going to 479 00:27:39,040 --> 00:27:41,960 Speaker 1: do another pilot program for certain people to try these 480 00:27:42,000 --> 00:27:44,480 Speaker 1: out to kind of build the buzz back up around 481 00:27:44,520 --> 00:27:47,400 Speaker 1: them being stylish before they actually put them in mass production. 482 00:27:47,520 --> 00:27:51,720 Speaker 1: So that's why i'm more because they might not quite 483 00:27:51,760 --> 00:27:55,440 Speaker 1: go into mass production until Okay, all right, well how 484 00:27:55,480 --> 00:27:58,000 Speaker 1: about this one. This is also from Brent and beyond. 485 00:27:58,119 --> 00:28:04,520 Speaker 1: Firefox OS will flop and never go mainstream. Well, the 486 00:28:05,320 --> 00:28:08,760 Speaker 1: OS from the mobile device. Um, yes, I'm going to 487 00:28:08,840 --> 00:28:14,199 Speaker 1: make the same prediction about sail Fish and all the 488 00:28:14,280 --> 00:28:17,080 Speaker 1: other operating systems that have small market share, Like, why 489 00:28:17,119 --> 00:28:20,240 Speaker 1: are you picking on Firefox O S. Yeah, I I 490 00:28:20,280 --> 00:28:23,240 Speaker 1: don't think anyone has huge expectations for Firefox O S. 491 00:28:23,320 --> 00:28:25,280 Speaker 1: I kind of hope that it catches fire and I 492 00:28:25,320 --> 00:28:28,760 Speaker 1: think it has a shot at catching on because the 493 00:28:28,800 --> 00:28:32,800 Speaker 1: developing market, especially for low cost phones is kind of 494 00:28:32,800 --> 00:28:35,720 Speaker 1: open for everybody right now, and they've got a compelling offering. 495 00:28:36,280 --> 00:28:38,920 Speaker 1: But I think it's pretty obvious the cards are stacked 496 00:28:38,920 --> 00:28:42,280 Speaker 1: against them, So I'm not going to dispute that, but 497 00:28:42,400 --> 00:28:44,920 Speaker 1: I'm still cheering for Firefox away. Well, yeah, you've got 498 00:28:45,000 --> 00:28:49,000 Speaker 1: you've got the mountain of Android and iOS. Basically, I mean, 499 00:28:49,280 --> 00:28:54,400 Speaker 1: Microsoft can't overcome those problems, so I mean, and they've 500 00:28:54,400 --> 00:28:55,720 Speaker 1: been in this game for a while. Of course, you 501 00:28:55,760 --> 00:28:59,080 Speaker 1: could argue that they've just been playing the wrong game 502 00:28:59,200 --> 00:29:02,240 Speaker 1: the entire time, but but they've been in it. I 503 00:29:02,280 --> 00:29:05,400 Speaker 1: guess my reaction is because they say Firefox OS will flop, 504 00:29:05,440 --> 00:29:08,840 Speaker 1: as if the entire world is cheering, like Firefox OS 505 00:29:08,960 --> 00:29:11,760 Speaker 1: is going to be the big hit of And I 506 00:29:11,800 --> 00:29:14,400 Speaker 1: think to flop it would have to have that kind 507 00:29:14,400 --> 00:29:17,719 Speaker 1: of expectation, I don't thin so, so it's more like 508 00:29:17,800 --> 00:29:22,880 Speaker 1: Firefox OS will U we'll we'll never get beyond a 509 00:29:22,960 --> 00:29:27,360 Speaker 1: modest but respectable market cheer. Yeah, that's probably right on 510 00:29:27,600 --> 00:29:30,200 Speaker 1: right there. All right, How about this one? This is 511 00:29:30,240 --> 00:29:34,280 Speaker 1: another pretty ambitious one. We might see autonomous cars before 512 00:29:34,280 --> 00:29:38,840 Speaker 1: the end of Wow. Really that's true, but I'm very 513 00:29:38,840 --> 00:29:41,560 Speaker 1: skeptical that that would be true. I can't believe it. 514 00:29:41,720 --> 00:29:45,920 Speaker 1: I mean, I I've covered this so much. But the Google, 515 00:29:45,960 --> 00:29:49,040 Speaker 1: of course, they have their prototype uh smart cars that 516 00:29:49,120 --> 00:29:51,360 Speaker 1: they produce like a maybe like a hundred of them. 517 00:29:51,560 --> 00:29:54,560 Speaker 1: They're not meant to go on sale there specifically for testing. 518 00:29:55,160 --> 00:29:59,640 Speaker 1: But uh, if if we saw a truly autonomous car 519 00:30:00,400 --> 00:30:05,840 Speaker 1: for sale in it would shock me. I would I 520 00:30:06,200 --> 00:30:09,280 Speaker 1: I would also be shocked and lying on the floor 521 00:30:09,320 --> 00:30:12,760 Speaker 1: next to you. Okay, yeah, because because just for my 522 00:30:12,840 --> 00:30:15,800 Speaker 1: listeners here, it's not the technology that I really see 523 00:30:15,800 --> 00:30:19,840 Speaker 1: as the big obstacle, although there you know, you still 524 00:30:19,840 --> 00:30:22,360 Speaker 1: want to get the technology in a form factor that's 525 00:30:22,360 --> 00:30:24,400 Speaker 1: going to be pleasant. You don't want a car that 526 00:30:24,440 --> 00:30:27,680 Speaker 1: has a big, weird antenna things sticking out of it 527 00:30:27,720 --> 00:30:31,000 Speaker 1: that's gonna make everyone stare at your vehicle. Uh, or 528 00:30:31,040 --> 00:30:33,800 Speaker 1: maybe you do, I don't know. But the real challenge 529 00:30:33,840 --> 00:30:37,200 Speaker 1: I think is going to be legislative. How do we 530 00:30:37,800 --> 00:30:42,640 Speaker 1: convince the various UH regions to allow this sort of thing. Now, 531 00:30:42,640 --> 00:30:44,920 Speaker 1: there's some places that have already passed laws that have 532 00:30:45,000 --> 00:30:48,600 Speaker 1: made it very simple for Google to test their vehicles 533 00:30:48,680 --> 00:30:51,720 Speaker 1: in those areas. But the thing about cars is their 534 00:30:51,760 --> 00:30:56,080 Speaker 1: mobile and they go to different places. So what if 535 00:30:56,080 --> 00:30:59,320 Speaker 1: your car suddenly becomes illegal when you pass a certain area. 536 00:31:00,000 --> 00:31:03,000 Speaker 1: Wouldn't wouldn't a self driving car have to already be 537 00:31:03,840 --> 00:31:07,640 Speaker 1: in the approval process to be able to be sold. 538 00:31:08,600 --> 00:31:11,200 Speaker 1: But I would imagine, I would imagine, So, I mean, 539 00:31:11,240 --> 00:31:15,160 Speaker 1: I can't imagine that that would move quickly enough for 540 00:31:15,240 --> 00:31:17,760 Speaker 1: that to happen. So that's another reason. I mean, especially 541 00:31:17,840 --> 00:31:20,320 Speaker 1: when you look at the Google cars they have essentially 542 00:31:20,320 --> 00:31:23,640 Speaker 1: two controls, which is start this car and turn this 543 00:31:23,760 --> 00:31:26,840 Speaker 1: car off, and then everything else is handled by I 544 00:31:26,880 --> 00:31:29,720 Speaker 1: guess pairing with a phone or something along those lines. 545 00:31:30,080 --> 00:31:32,960 Speaker 1: But there's no break or accelerators. So even if you 546 00:31:33,080 --> 00:31:36,080 Speaker 1: wanted to take manual control of one of those prototype cars, 547 00:31:36,160 --> 00:31:39,120 Speaker 1: you couldn't. There's no option there. They in fact, they 548 00:31:39,120 --> 00:31:41,880 Speaker 1: had to modify them to meet the street rules because 549 00:31:41,880 --> 00:31:44,600 Speaker 1: of that. People, you know people, they're like, look, as 550 00:31:44,600 --> 00:31:46,080 Speaker 1: long as you have a stop button, that's really all 551 00:31:46,120 --> 00:31:48,480 Speaker 1: that matters, and and they got a lot of flak 552 00:31:48,760 --> 00:31:51,800 Speaker 1: for that. So there's still a lot of a lot 553 00:31:51,840 --> 00:31:55,240 Speaker 1: of fear, uncertainty, and doubt around self driving cars. And 554 00:31:55,240 --> 00:31:59,160 Speaker 1: then I personally, I'm really looking for it. I don't drive, 555 00:31:59,400 --> 00:32:02,280 Speaker 1: so I'm really looking forward to self driving cars coming 556 00:32:02,320 --> 00:32:06,040 Speaker 1: around and being being a real thing because I know 557 00:32:06,840 --> 00:32:10,959 Speaker 1: that these systems can react at a fraction of the 558 00:32:11,000 --> 00:32:13,880 Speaker 1: time that it takes a human to react in those situations. 559 00:32:14,280 --> 00:32:18,440 Speaker 1: It's really only the worst case scenario where something has 560 00:32:18,480 --> 00:32:21,240 Speaker 1: gone irreparably wrong with the system that you would have 561 00:32:21,280 --> 00:32:23,880 Speaker 1: to worry about something. And I don't think it's as 562 00:32:23,920 --> 00:32:26,719 Speaker 1: common as a lot of people seem to think it is. 563 00:32:27,040 --> 00:32:30,240 Speaker 1: Especially when you compare it to all the terrible things 564 00:32:30,280 --> 00:32:32,520 Speaker 1: that can happen to a human behind the wheel of 565 00:32:32,520 --> 00:32:35,760 Speaker 1: a car, where something as simple as a distraction can 566 00:32:35,880 --> 00:32:39,840 Speaker 1: cause a terrible accident. Yeah. Absolutely, it's it is a 567 00:32:39,920 --> 00:32:45,760 Speaker 1: psychological reluctance, not a scientific reluctance. Yeah. Well, I d 568 00:32:45,920 --> 00:32:51,200 Speaker 1: C also had some predictions. One was that the fablet market. 569 00:32:51,960 --> 00:32:56,480 Speaker 1: Are you a fan of the term fablet? Okay, that's 570 00:32:56,480 --> 00:33:00,640 Speaker 1: I'm glad to hear it. Those those phone tablet hybrids, 571 00:33:00,680 --> 00:33:04,080 Speaker 1: the enormous phones like the six plus and the next 572 00:33:04,120 --> 00:33:08,360 Speaker 1: to six uh that that market will grow as people 573 00:33:08,560 --> 00:33:17,280 Speaker 1: demand these larger devices, but wearables will underperform, which is 574 00:33:17,360 --> 00:33:20,000 Speaker 1: kind of going against what that first prediction said. I 575 00:33:20,360 --> 00:33:23,040 Speaker 1: think the the idea that I and and by the way, 576 00:33:23,200 --> 00:33:25,520 Speaker 1: when you when you asked me if I don't like fablett, 577 00:33:25,880 --> 00:33:29,040 Speaker 1: you said the name, and that's where met right. I 578 00:33:29,080 --> 00:33:30,840 Speaker 1: don't want people to get the misimpression that I don't 579 00:33:30,880 --> 00:33:33,240 Speaker 1: like six inch devices and they're fine. You know, I 580 00:33:33,240 --> 00:33:35,720 Speaker 1: don't have a moral stance on them. If that's the 581 00:33:35,760 --> 00:33:38,720 Speaker 1: kind of size of uh screen you need them, that's great, 582 00:33:38,760 --> 00:33:40,240 Speaker 1: And I know that's right for a lot of people. 583 00:33:40,880 --> 00:33:43,360 Speaker 1: I think that this is a very safe prediction for 584 00:33:43,400 --> 00:33:45,720 Speaker 1: I dc like, oh, we got our first couple of 585 00:33:45,720 --> 00:33:47,880 Speaker 1: six inch phones this year, so we'll have more and 586 00:33:47,880 --> 00:33:51,040 Speaker 1: therefore we'll sell more. I think that's true because we 587 00:33:51,080 --> 00:33:54,040 Speaker 1: haven't seen a big backlash or disappointing sales from the 588 00:33:54,080 --> 00:33:56,320 Speaker 1: next to six or the iPhone six plus, So why 589 00:33:56,360 --> 00:34:01,720 Speaker 1: wouldn't we sell more? The wearables underperforming is is more 590 00:34:01,800 --> 00:34:04,160 Speaker 1: of it not a risky prediction, but that to me 591 00:34:04,200 --> 00:34:07,160 Speaker 1: is more of a substantial prediction that what we've been 592 00:34:07,160 --> 00:34:11,040 Speaker 1: seeing with wearables won't be changed by the onslaught of 593 00:34:11,120 --> 00:34:14,399 Speaker 1: more wearable releases, in which we're definitely going to see 594 00:34:14,400 --> 00:34:16,719 Speaker 1: We're gonna see more products put out there. What they're 595 00:34:16,719 --> 00:34:18,839 Speaker 1: saying is people still won't flock to them. I think 596 00:34:18,840 --> 00:34:22,840 Speaker 1: that's probably true. Yeah, I mean there's certain certain markets 597 00:34:22,880 --> 00:34:27,680 Speaker 1: that I think, Uh, wearables obviously appeal to the fitness market, 598 00:34:27,760 --> 00:34:32,000 Speaker 1: being like that was such a great way of getting 599 00:34:32,040 --> 00:34:36,280 Speaker 1: into the whole fitness or the wearable industry, I should say, 600 00:34:36,320 --> 00:34:40,279 Speaker 1: because it appeals in so many ways that that is 601 00:34:40,320 --> 00:34:43,000 Speaker 1: a that is a particular space in our lives where 602 00:34:43,000 --> 00:34:47,000 Speaker 1: we crave to have that feedback, that data, where we 603 00:34:47,120 --> 00:34:49,920 Speaker 1: can either use it to figure out if we're if 604 00:34:49,920 --> 00:34:53,160 Speaker 1: we're pushing ourselves enough, if we're pushing too hard, we're 605 00:34:53,160 --> 00:34:57,080 Speaker 1: not doing something correctly. It makes perfect sense. Going beyond 606 00:34:57,200 --> 00:34:59,960 Speaker 1: that is a real challenge, and I don't I think 607 00:35:00,040 --> 00:35:02,720 Speaker 1: it's I think it's a challenge will overcome. I don't 608 00:35:02,719 --> 00:35:04,960 Speaker 1: know necessarily that the products that are going to be 609 00:35:05,000 --> 00:35:07,319 Speaker 1: coming out in two thousand and fifteen are going to 610 00:35:07,360 --> 00:35:11,160 Speaker 1: do that where we start to see wearables that are 611 00:35:11,880 --> 00:35:15,200 Speaker 1: addressing other things in our lives apart from fitness and 612 00:35:15,239 --> 00:35:19,600 Speaker 1: activity tracking, to make it more of a um something 613 00:35:19,640 --> 00:35:23,920 Speaker 1: that we absolutely must have. I still think the fitness 614 00:35:24,000 --> 00:35:26,320 Speaker 1: ones are gonna do fine. I think those are gonna 615 00:35:26,400 --> 00:35:30,640 Speaker 1: continue to do well. Um assuming that the bands that 616 00:35:30,719 --> 00:35:34,800 Speaker 1: people may don't have medals in them that cause folks 617 00:35:34,840 --> 00:35:37,719 Speaker 1: to break out. So don't they keep saying it's not 618 00:35:37,800 --> 00:35:41,239 Speaker 1: the band, it's not the band. Yeah, I think they do. 619 00:35:41,360 --> 00:35:44,279 Speaker 1: But you know, I didn't own one of those, so 620 00:35:44,480 --> 00:35:48,080 Speaker 1: I didn't have that particular experience. I am particularly sensitive 621 00:35:48,080 --> 00:35:50,960 Speaker 1: to nickel. I can't have nickel against me or else 622 00:35:51,000 --> 00:35:53,399 Speaker 1: I break out, So I just get careful about any 623 00:35:53,440 --> 00:35:57,000 Speaker 1: kind of wearable device at this point. But yeah, I 624 00:35:57,000 --> 00:36:00,759 Speaker 1: I think I agree, and especially not just that we're 625 00:36:00,760 --> 00:36:04,839 Speaker 1: going to see more of the fablet form factor come 626 00:36:04,880 --> 00:36:07,879 Speaker 1: out in two thousand and fifteen, but just that it's 627 00:36:07,920 --> 00:36:10,319 Speaker 1: it's interesting. It's a reverse of the trend that we 628 00:36:10,400 --> 00:36:13,800 Speaker 1: used to see. Do you remember back when the trend 629 00:36:13,960 --> 00:36:16,839 Speaker 1: was that our phones were getting smaller and smaller, and 630 00:36:16,880 --> 00:36:19,000 Speaker 1: that became like a status symbol if you had a 631 00:36:19,000 --> 00:36:25,360 Speaker 1: really small phone. Yeah, I remember being so proud and 632 00:36:25,480 --> 00:36:28,880 Speaker 1: excited that I had gotten a Motorola razor because it 633 00:36:28,960 --> 00:36:33,040 Speaker 1: was so thin and small, right and slide it in 634 00:36:33,120 --> 00:36:36,080 Speaker 1: a pocket. I remember there was an snl skit where 635 00:36:36,080 --> 00:36:38,920 Speaker 1: Will Ferrell had a character who pulls out a phone 636 00:36:38,920 --> 00:36:40,920 Speaker 1: that's so small. I think you had to use tweezers 637 00:36:40,960 --> 00:36:43,640 Speaker 1: to do the little flip. Wasn't that a Steve Job's imitation? 638 00:36:44,280 --> 00:36:47,560 Speaker 1: It may have been. There was. There was one of 639 00:36:47,560 --> 00:36:50,240 Speaker 1: the it was one of the mall ones. Jimmy Fallon 640 00:36:50,320 --> 00:36:51,880 Speaker 1: was in. It was laughing the whole time. I know 641 00:36:51,960 --> 00:36:54,600 Speaker 1: that doesn't narrow it down at all. Right, So there 642 00:36:54,640 --> 00:36:57,400 Speaker 1: was the tonight show, the entire run exactly it was 643 00:36:57,440 --> 00:37:01,000 Speaker 1: that the roots came out. It was amazing. So but no, 644 00:37:01,640 --> 00:37:03,640 Speaker 1: it's so funny that now it's the other way around. 645 00:37:03,680 --> 00:37:06,120 Speaker 1: And of course the obvious answer to that is that 646 00:37:06,200 --> 00:37:09,400 Speaker 1: now we have these devices that can act as a 647 00:37:09,440 --> 00:37:14,279 Speaker 1: second screen, and obviously screen landscape is going to be 648 00:37:14,320 --> 00:37:17,080 Speaker 1: really important in that in that form factor. Now we 649 00:37:17,280 --> 00:37:21,680 Speaker 1: now we've shifted what our phones do, so it wouldn't 650 00:37:21,680 --> 00:37:24,320 Speaker 1: make sense to continue to push for smaller and smaller 651 00:37:24,320 --> 00:37:27,640 Speaker 1: phones in that new world. So, uh, it's just funny 652 00:37:27,640 --> 00:37:30,000 Speaker 1: to me that we've we've gone from an era where 653 00:37:30,000 --> 00:37:32,120 Speaker 1: we always thought the future is going to have us 654 00:37:32,120 --> 00:37:34,399 Speaker 1: have smaller and smaller phones. Now it's no, we want 655 00:37:34,400 --> 00:37:37,560 Speaker 1: bigger and bigger phones because it stopped being about voice. 656 00:37:37,719 --> 00:37:39,480 Speaker 1: Right when it was all about voice, they're like, well, 657 00:37:39,480 --> 00:37:41,759 Speaker 1: we don't, we don't need an object, We just want 658 00:37:41,760 --> 00:37:45,120 Speaker 1: to hear the voice. And now it's the opposite. Smartphones 659 00:37:45,160 --> 00:37:49,240 Speaker 1: are rarely about calls. They are almost entirely about apps 660 00:37:49,280 --> 00:37:52,279 Speaker 1: and and and messaging, So you need a screen to 661 00:37:52,320 --> 00:37:55,399 Speaker 1: be able to take advantage of that. That's absolutely correct. Well, 662 00:37:55,440 --> 00:38:00,919 Speaker 1: here's another incredibly risky prediction from I d C. The 663 00:38:00,960 --> 00:38:04,239 Speaker 1: Internet of Things will continue to grow and drive innovation, 664 00:38:04,360 --> 00:38:08,520 Speaker 1: with embedded tech and preventive maintenance becoming really important. I 665 00:38:08,560 --> 00:38:14,520 Speaker 1: think you could just drop off things. Yeah, yeah, I don't. 666 00:38:14,600 --> 00:38:16,440 Speaker 1: I don't know how we could be how we can 667 00:38:16,520 --> 00:38:20,000 Speaker 1: make that not be true. You know, I guess. I 668 00:38:20,000 --> 00:38:22,040 Speaker 1: guess there's still some people who might be skeptical about 669 00:38:22,040 --> 00:38:24,759 Speaker 1: the Internet of Things just to play Devil's advocate, uh 670 00:38:24,760 --> 00:38:26,840 Speaker 1: and and that it will end up just being a 671 00:38:26,880 --> 00:38:29,680 Speaker 1: bunch of buzzwords that don't do anything, so that that's 672 00:38:29,680 --> 00:38:31,919 Speaker 1: why they make this prediction. Is like, no, it's gonna 673 00:38:31,960 --> 00:38:35,239 Speaker 1: continue to grow. We're gonna tendue to have more sensors. 674 00:38:35,360 --> 00:38:38,520 Speaker 1: The one prediction that I saw someone make out there 675 00:38:38,560 --> 00:38:41,680 Speaker 1: that I've started to think about is the idea of 676 00:38:41,760 --> 00:38:46,520 Speaker 1: the Internet of things being rentable, so that you don't 677 00:38:46,600 --> 00:38:50,480 Speaker 1: buy the things, but there's an't there's an internet of 678 00:38:50,480 --> 00:38:52,279 Speaker 1: things out there you can take advantage of when you 679 00:38:52,320 --> 00:38:56,000 Speaker 1: need it. Interesting. I could see that because I mean 680 00:38:56,040 --> 00:38:59,640 Speaker 1: that it obviously if you were to to jump into 681 00:38:59,680 --> 00:39:01,560 Speaker 1: the world to the Internet of things, if you wanted 682 00:39:01,600 --> 00:39:06,360 Speaker 1: to incorporate embeddable technology in your world, that's a pretty 683 00:39:06,400 --> 00:39:09,920 Speaker 1: big upfront cost that not everyone can do. But something 684 00:39:09,960 --> 00:39:13,239 Speaker 1: along those lines where it's more like a service as 685 00:39:13,239 --> 00:39:15,799 Speaker 1: opposed to something you own, I could I could see that, 686 00:39:16,280 --> 00:39:18,160 Speaker 1: like the one. The one example I saw I had 687 00:39:18,160 --> 00:39:20,200 Speaker 1: to do with the insurance company. It was like Internet 688 00:39:20,239 --> 00:39:22,960 Speaker 1: of Things as a service, so that you can only 689 00:39:23,000 --> 00:39:25,960 Speaker 1: pay for just the amount you actually need. Mm hmm. 690 00:39:26,440 --> 00:39:28,719 Speaker 1: Now I like that idea. Someone should get on that. 691 00:39:30,480 --> 00:39:32,399 Speaker 1: As for whether or not the Internet of Things ends 692 00:39:32,440 --> 00:39:34,400 Speaker 1: up being a bunch of buzzwords, at least in the 693 00:39:34,400 --> 00:39:38,399 Speaker 1: short term, it doesn't matter because so many companies are 694 00:39:38,480 --> 00:39:41,400 Speaker 1: so invested in bringing this kind of stuff to market 695 00:39:41,960 --> 00:39:44,560 Speaker 1: that it's going to be a factor. Whether or not 696 00:39:44,600 --> 00:39:49,399 Speaker 1: it works is another question, but it's gonna be out there, 697 00:39:49,520 --> 00:39:52,640 Speaker 1: so it's it's definitely gonna play an important role in it. 698 00:39:52,719 --> 00:39:56,000 Speaker 1: Maybe is the year where we decide whether or not 699 00:39:56,280 --> 00:40:01,279 Speaker 1: it ends up working and or what it works for. Like, 700 00:40:01,440 --> 00:40:04,759 Speaker 1: I have a feeling that it's just too broad of 701 00:40:04,760 --> 00:40:07,799 Speaker 1: a concept for it not to work somewhere in some 702 00:40:07,880 --> 00:40:10,120 Speaker 1: niche somewhere, and I think we'll figure out what that 703 00:40:10,200 --> 00:40:13,719 Speaker 1: is in the coming year, or at least in going 704 00:40:13,760 --> 00:40:16,839 Speaker 1: back to automotives. I mean, you could easily see an 705 00:40:16,840 --> 00:40:20,719 Speaker 1: Internet of things approach helping out there with everything from uh, 706 00:40:21,560 --> 00:40:27,040 Speaker 1: just route planning for your daily commute to on a 707 00:40:27,160 --> 00:40:29,920 Speaker 1: city planning level to figure it out, Well, what's the 708 00:40:29,960 --> 00:40:32,879 Speaker 1: best way we need to relook at at how all 709 00:40:32,920 --> 00:40:37,719 Speaker 1: of our intersection uh traffic lights time out. And now 710 00:40:37,719 --> 00:40:40,240 Speaker 1: we've got all this amazing data that we can sift 711 00:40:40,280 --> 00:40:43,839 Speaker 1: through and actually make a city that you're not gonna 712 00:40:43,880 --> 00:40:46,160 Speaker 1: be sitting in traffic for you know, two and a 713 00:40:46,200 --> 00:40:49,960 Speaker 1: half hours every day, Tom, you live in Los Angeles, Right, yeah, 714 00:40:50,000 --> 00:40:52,520 Speaker 1: we we don't have that problem here because, as the 715 00:40:52,520 --> 00:40:55,080 Speaker 1: City of Los Angeles is proud to point out, all 716 00:40:55,120 --> 00:40:58,040 Speaker 1: of our lights are timed across the entire city, which 717 00:40:58,080 --> 00:41:01,360 Speaker 1: has solved all traffic proble. Was in Los Angeles, exactly 718 00:41:01,440 --> 00:41:04,759 Speaker 1: the same in Atlanta just the other day, as we 719 00:41:04,760 --> 00:41:07,000 Speaker 1: were stopped on the highway, I got my car and 720 00:41:07,040 --> 00:41:10,919 Speaker 1: just marveled at how well everything was moving. Alright, Well, 721 00:41:11,200 --> 00:41:15,319 Speaker 1: moving over to to Gartner, Uh, there was There were 722 00:41:15,320 --> 00:41:17,360 Speaker 1: a lot of predictions. They said lots of stuff was 723 00:41:17,400 --> 00:41:21,120 Speaker 1: gonna double in two thousand and fifteen. For example, getting 724 00:41:21,160 --> 00:41:22,880 Speaker 1: back to the Internet of Things, that the number of 725 00:41:22,880 --> 00:41:26,640 Speaker 1: physical objects connected to the Internet would double. That would 726 00:41:26,680 --> 00:41:31,760 Speaker 1: be from six fifty million to thirty one point three billion. 727 00:41:31,840 --> 00:41:34,799 Speaker 1: I guess that's a lot. They also thought that the 728 00:41:34,840 --> 00:41:37,200 Speaker 1: market for three D printers would go from a billion 729 00:41:37,200 --> 00:41:40,239 Speaker 1: dollars to two billion dollars, so it would double as well, 730 00:41:40,960 --> 00:41:43,239 Speaker 1: that we would see twice as many car models with 731 00:41:43,320 --> 00:41:45,960 Speaker 1: connectivity to the Internet as we did in two thousand 732 00:41:46,000 --> 00:41:49,640 Speaker 1: and fourteen. I don't know that that's that huge of 733 00:41:49,640 --> 00:41:52,000 Speaker 1: a number really when you get down to it, depending 734 00:41:52,080 --> 00:41:54,879 Speaker 1: upon what you mean by connectivity. And then um, we'll 735 00:41:54,920 --> 00:41:57,960 Speaker 1: see more companies create positions for chief data officers in 736 00:41:58,040 --> 00:42:02,680 Speaker 1: chief digital officers. So a lot of these I I 737 00:42:02,680 --> 00:42:04,600 Speaker 1: I don't know that I would agree that all of 738 00:42:04,640 --> 00:42:07,239 Speaker 1: them are going to double. I certainly see all of 739 00:42:07,239 --> 00:42:12,360 Speaker 1: these being trends that are on the rise. Yeah, I 740 00:42:12,400 --> 00:42:16,719 Speaker 1: don't know if I doubled down on Gardner's predictions, but 741 00:42:17,800 --> 00:42:20,200 Speaker 1: I and that's really what Gardner is saying. I mean, 742 00:42:20,200 --> 00:42:22,880 Speaker 1: Gardner deals in numbers, so they're probably pretty close to accurate. 743 00:42:23,480 --> 00:42:25,719 Speaker 1: But they're saying like, we are going to see significant 744 00:42:25,760 --> 00:42:27,879 Speaker 1: increases in all of those areas. And I think the right. 745 00:42:28,560 --> 00:42:31,239 Speaker 1: I think three D printing is ripe for its big 746 00:42:31,280 --> 00:42:33,839 Speaker 1: moment in the sun. Uh you know it's I don't 747 00:42:33,840 --> 00:42:36,000 Speaker 1: think it's quite to the level of three D printer 748 00:42:36,080 --> 00:42:38,440 Speaker 1: in every home yet, but I think it'll start to 749 00:42:38,480 --> 00:42:41,319 Speaker 1: hit the mainstream probably, so I'm with most of those. 750 00:42:41,520 --> 00:42:44,880 Speaker 1: I actually think the chief Digital Officer chief data officer 751 00:42:45,400 --> 00:42:47,640 Speaker 1: is definitely going to be affected by what we talked 752 00:42:47,680 --> 00:42:50,440 Speaker 1: about earlier with the security hacks. Yeah, I think it 753 00:42:50,560 --> 00:42:54,640 Speaker 1: will become even more of a security position, or even 754 00:42:55,200 --> 00:42:58,279 Speaker 1: a position of chief cyber security officer. As much as 755 00:42:58,320 --> 00:43:01,680 Speaker 1: I hate that term, it does convey what companies mean 756 00:43:01,719 --> 00:43:05,160 Speaker 1: when they talk about it. M hmm, that's excellent point, 757 00:43:05,239 --> 00:43:10,839 Speaker 1: I agree. Uh. Moving over to to Recode, I love 758 00:43:10,920 --> 00:43:13,080 Speaker 1: that almost all of their predictions were about cloud based 759 00:43:13,080 --> 00:43:18,759 Speaker 1: services and mobile devices. We almost I didn't write it down. 760 00:43:18,800 --> 00:43:24,240 Speaker 1: Who was this Steve Sonofsky, Microsoft head of UH office 761 00:43:24,400 --> 00:43:28,480 Speaker 1: and so yeah, it was all about cloud based services, 762 00:43:28,520 --> 00:43:30,520 Speaker 1: mobile devices. I love that the first one was about 763 00:43:30,560 --> 00:43:35,360 Speaker 1: the behavior of millennials and talking about UH, the behavior 764 00:43:35,440 --> 00:43:38,600 Speaker 1: of millennials on top of the security issues related to 765 00:43:38,640 --> 00:43:43,520 Speaker 1: having emails that contain attachments. The problems that that that 766 00:43:43,600 --> 00:43:46,319 Speaker 1: ends up bringing along with companies means that we're going 767 00:43:46,400 --> 00:43:48,960 Speaker 1: to see more of a move to alternatives to email, 768 00:43:49,280 --> 00:43:52,960 Speaker 1: stuff like instant messaging or other means of linking to 769 00:43:53,440 --> 00:43:56,400 Speaker 1: content but not actually sending it as an attachment so 770 00:43:56,440 --> 00:43:59,200 Speaker 1: that you don't have all these copies floating around. Uh, 771 00:43:59,440 --> 00:44:02,400 Speaker 1: meaning that email isn't gonna die, but it's importance is 772 00:44:02,440 --> 00:44:05,480 Speaker 1: going to decrease in two thousand and fift What do 773 00:44:05,520 --> 00:44:08,040 Speaker 1: you think, Yeah, I I think this plays into a 774 00:44:08,040 --> 00:44:11,360 Speaker 1: couple of other things. I think the idea of ubiquitous 775 00:44:11,440 --> 00:44:14,600 Speaker 1: cloud is going to make it so that you can 776 00:44:14,719 --> 00:44:17,120 Speaker 1: use that option more often. It's interesting to me that 777 00:44:17,200 --> 00:44:21,400 Speaker 1: Google this very week announced that you can now attach 778 00:44:21,520 --> 00:44:24,640 Speaker 1: Google Docs to email, not just send a link. So 779 00:44:24,680 --> 00:44:27,080 Speaker 1: there's obviously still a demand out there for No I 780 00:44:27,120 --> 00:44:29,799 Speaker 1: actually needed the attachment. I don't want to link. I 781 00:44:29,880 --> 00:44:33,000 Speaker 1: want the document to be there in their inbox, even offline, 782 00:44:33,040 --> 00:44:35,839 Speaker 1: once that email has been downloaded. Uh. So it maybe 783 00:44:35,880 --> 00:44:38,600 Speaker 1: a little early for getting rid of attachments altogether, but 784 00:44:38,680 --> 00:44:41,520 Speaker 1: it is certainly is more efficient. So having that option 785 00:44:41,600 --> 00:44:43,719 Speaker 1: is great, and it will continue to be used in 786 00:44:43,840 --> 00:44:47,279 Speaker 1: more than greater numbers. I think we are starting to 787 00:44:47,400 --> 00:44:51,640 Speaker 1: learn as a society how to use email. I don't 788 00:44:51,640 --> 00:44:53,239 Speaker 1: think email is gonna go away. I don't think email 789 00:44:53,280 --> 00:44:55,440 Speaker 1: is gonna die, but I think he is pointing to 790 00:44:55,520 --> 00:44:58,839 Speaker 1: something important here, which is there are times when you 791 00:44:58,880 --> 00:45:01,880 Speaker 1: need to message some one and people sometimes use email 792 00:45:01,960 --> 00:45:04,120 Speaker 1: for that and I think we're we're learning, oh, you 793 00:45:04,120 --> 00:45:06,320 Speaker 1: know what, don't use email as if it's into messenger, 794 00:45:06,480 --> 00:45:09,200 Speaker 1: use instan a messenger, use text messaging for that. Uh, 795 00:45:09,239 --> 00:45:13,920 Speaker 1: and we'll probably start getting better at figuring out what 796 00:45:14,000 --> 00:45:16,880 Speaker 1: tool to use for the right communication. John and I 797 00:45:17,600 --> 00:45:21,040 Speaker 1: also agree with the point that we're seeing, you know, 798 00:45:21,120 --> 00:45:25,640 Speaker 1: the millennial generation moving through the workforce, getting promoted, getting 799 00:45:25,640 --> 00:45:29,680 Speaker 1: further up into leadership positions over time. Obviously that's going 800 00:45:29,760 --> 00:45:33,360 Speaker 1: to be go hand in hand with a shift in 801 00:45:33,400 --> 00:45:36,799 Speaker 1: the way we use the technology, because just because there's 802 00:45:36,800 --> 00:45:40,320 Speaker 1: a generational difference. I mean, I remember when I first 803 00:45:40,360 --> 00:45:44,320 Speaker 1: got into the workforce that there was a generational difference. 804 00:45:44,360 --> 00:45:46,759 Speaker 1: I work for people who asked me to print out 805 00:45:46,800 --> 00:45:50,400 Speaker 1: all their emails, so they had to have all of 806 00:45:50,400 --> 00:45:52,960 Speaker 1: them like printed out on file. They didn't they didn't 807 00:45:53,040 --> 00:45:55,960 Speaker 1: understand that they could go and look at the digital 808 00:45:56,040 --> 00:45:58,040 Speaker 1: version anytime they wanted to, and that it was in 809 00:45:58,120 --> 00:46:02,360 Speaker 1: fact easier to track it down then it filing away 810 00:46:02,400 --> 00:46:05,000 Speaker 1: of a printed out email. So it is one of 811 00:46:05,000 --> 00:46:07,520 Speaker 1: those things that does change over time. And again, maybe 812 00:46:07,560 --> 00:46:09,560 Speaker 1: it's just that I've gotten to this certain age where 813 00:46:10,040 --> 00:46:12,520 Speaker 1: I'm just thinking, like, don't maybe use all those new 814 00:46:12,560 --> 00:46:16,640 Speaker 1: fangled messagings things. I'm tired of learning things. I don't 815 00:46:16,680 --> 00:46:19,399 Speaker 1: wanna don't make me snap my chat. I don't want 816 00:46:19,400 --> 00:46:23,600 Speaker 1: to instant my Graham. I just want my emails. Yeah, yeah, no, 817 00:46:23,719 --> 00:46:26,799 Speaker 1: it's funny. I worry about that, Like, am I assifying? 818 00:46:27,120 --> 00:46:31,560 Speaker 1: Or is this a bad app? I just don't know anymore. Yeah, yeah, 819 00:46:31,560 --> 00:46:34,200 Speaker 1: I I sit there and I usually have to turn 820 00:46:34,239 --> 00:46:36,200 Speaker 1: to my wife and say, does this come across as 821 00:46:36,200 --> 00:46:39,760 Speaker 1: someone who is rationally pointing out flaws in the design 822 00:46:39,760 --> 00:46:43,160 Speaker 1: of an app? Or does just descended into cranky old 823 00:46:43,160 --> 00:46:47,399 Speaker 1: man territory? And uh, yeah, it's a it's a coin 824 00:46:47,440 --> 00:46:52,640 Speaker 1: flip usually you know, situation. Uh. There was also an 825 00:46:52,719 --> 00:46:55,920 Speaker 1: interesting prediction that said that tablets in two thousand and 826 00:46:55,960 --> 00:46:59,439 Speaker 1: fifteen would make a surprising come back, that they would 827 00:46:59,480 --> 00:47:03,960 Speaker 1: become more uh popular, which is particularly interesting because there 828 00:47:04,000 --> 00:47:07,840 Speaker 1: was another site, msp Mentor that predicted that tablets would 829 00:47:07,840 --> 00:47:11,640 Speaker 1: fade away as a secondary device behind laptops and smartphones. 830 00:47:11,920 --> 00:47:16,040 Speaker 1: So somebody's gonna be wrong, but somebody's gonna be right. 831 00:47:16,440 --> 00:47:18,320 Speaker 1: So who do you think it's gonna be right? Tom, 832 00:47:18,600 --> 00:47:21,880 Speaker 1: I'd say, Jonathan, don't call it a comeback. Tablets have 833 00:47:21,960 --> 00:47:26,040 Speaker 1: been here for years. That's fair. Uh No, I I 834 00:47:26,080 --> 00:47:29,680 Speaker 1: think probably we won't see a huge spike in tablet sales, 835 00:47:29,719 --> 00:47:33,359 Speaker 1: but they're far from dying. My theory of why we've 836 00:47:33,400 --> 00:47:36,400 Speaker 1: seen a stall in tablet sales is based on my 837 00:47:36,440 --> 00:47:39,120 Speaker 1: own experience, which I have an original next to seven 838 00:47:39,160 --> 00:47:41,920 Speaker 1: that I still use. I'm just now getting to the 839 00:47:41,960 --> 00:47:43,880 Speaker 1: point where I think maybe I should get a new 840 00:47:43,920 --> 00:47:46,400 Speaker 1: seven inch tablet because there are a few apps that 841 00:47:46,440 --> 00:47:48,960 Speaker 1: have come out that won't run on it because it's old. 842 00:47:49,080 --> 00:47:51,040 Speaker 1: The operating system still up to date, but it just 843 00:47:51,120 --> 00:47:54,359 Speaker 1: doesn't have the oomph uh to run certain things. And 844 00:47:54,400 --> 00:47:59,680 Speaker 1: I have an iPad third generation that I still haven't run. 845 00:47:59,840 --> 00:48:03,359 Speaker 1: I haven't run into a problem with. So tablets are 846 00:48:03,400 --> 00:48:07,080 Speaker 1: more like desktop computers in that way you can use 847 00:48:07,160 --> 00:48:10,040 Speaker 1: them for longer. And so, yeah, we had a huge 848 00:48:10,080 --> 00:48:12,840 Speaker 1: spike in sales of tablets as people discovered them and 849 00:48:12,880 --> 00:48:15,080 Speaker 1: started using them and buying them. And of course we're 850 00:48:15,080 --> 00:48:17,879 Speaker 1: going to have a stall as people say I've got 851 00:48:17,880 --> 00:48:20,680 Speaker 1: a tablet, I don't need to buy another tablet, And 852 00:48:20,719 --> 00:48:23,280 Speaker 1: then it will start to come back as those tablets 853 00:48:23,280 --> 00:48:25,479 Speaker 1: get older and you're like, wow, this one's this one's 854 00:48:25,480 --> 00:48:27,480 Speaker 1: starting to not be as useful, I need to upgrade, 855 00:48:27,520 --> 00:48:29,560 Speaker 1: get a new one. Uh And and so I think 856 00:48:29,560 --> 00:48:32,600 Speaker 1: we'll maybe see a slight rise, a slight come back. 857 00:48:32,600 --> 00:48:34,200 Speaker 1: I don't I don't think it'll be sharp, but probably 858 00:48:34,200 --> 00:48:36,520 Speaker 1: a little bit of a come back. In tablets, I 859 00:48:36,520 --> 00:48:38,719 Speaker 1: can see that being more of a kind of a 860 00:48:38,760 --> 00:48:42,000 Speaker 1: cyclical thing, Like when when the first iPad came out 861 00:48:42,200 --> 00:48:45,200 Speaker 1: and then iPad two came out, we saw a lot 862 00:48:45,239 --> 00:48:48,320 Speaker 1: of people upgrading from the iPad to iPad two because 863 00:48:48,360 --> 00:48:52,200 Speaker 1: the novelty was still there, right, the desire to have 864 00:48:52,360 --> 00:48:55,719 Speaker 1: the newest, shiniest thing, this thing that was so amazing 865 00:48:55,760 --> 00:48:58,880 Speaker 1: that Apple had come out with this tablet that no 866 00:48:58,920 --> 00:49:01,200 Speaker 1: one had ever made a table buble it before, or 867 00:49:01,239 --> 00:49:03,200 Speaker 1: at least no one made one that was appealing to 868 00:49:03,280 --> 00:49:06,759 Speaker 1: a mass consumer market like Apple did. And then the 869 00:49:06,800 --> 00:49:09,919 Speaker 1: iPad two recaptured some of that excitement. And I think 870 00:49:10,000 --> 00:49:14,160 Speaker 1: since then it's it's people have realized, like you were saying, 871 00:49:14,600 --> 00:49:18,520 Speaker 1: that this is a device that is there's no need 872 00:49:18,600 --> 00:49:20,960 Speaker 1: for me to upgrade it yet there's not a compelling 873 00:49:21,080 --> 00:49:23,880 Speaker 1: enough reason it does what I need it to do. 874 00:49:24,840 --> 00:49:27,160 Speaker 1: And I'm actually seeing that across a lot of different 875 00:49:27,200 --> 00:49:30,239 Speaker 1: things now where people are kind of settling in the 876 00:49:30,239 --> 00:49:32,600 Speaker 1: way they would with computers. They buy a computer and 877 00:49:32,640 --> 00:49:35,399 Speaker 1: they think, well, sure, the computer I owned this year, 878 00:49:35,719 --> 00:49:37,480 Speaker 1: you know, I bought it last year. It's nowhere near 879 00:49:37,520 --> 00:49:39,640 Speaker 1: as fast as the newest ones, but it does everything 880 00:49:39,640 --> 00:49:41,480 Speaker 1: I needed to do, So I'm gonna stick with it 881 00:49:41,760 --> 00:49:44,680 Speaker 1: until I need to upgrade. I'm seeing that more with 882 00:49:44,760 --> 00:49:48,279 Speaker 1: other kinds of electronics now, so I and I do 883 00:49:48,360 --> 00:49:50,960 Speaker 1: think we are hitting that that part of the phase. 884 00:49:51,280 --> 00:49:53,960 Speaker 1: I also have an excess seven. I also I'm getting 885 00:49:53,960 --> 00:49:56,120 Speaker 1: into the point where I'm thinking it might be time 886 00:49:56,160 --> 00:49:59,799 Speaker 1: to upgrade because there's some loading issues I'm having now. 887 00:50:00,000 --> 00:50:02,520 Speaker 1: Things are taking longer, gets it just gets a little 888 00:50:02,560 --> 00:50:06,239 Speaker 1: slower at running everything. Yeah, so, uh yeah, I can. 889 00:50:06,360 --> 00:50:08,680 Speaker 1: I can see it that way. I I that makes 890 00:50:08,680 --> 00:50:10,840 Speaker 1: more sense to me than calling it a comeback. It 891 00:50:10,880 --> 00:50:13,759 Speaker 1: definitely makes more sense in that respect, as opposed to 892 00:50:13,760 --> 00:50:18,319 Speaker 1: people just suddenly rediscovering tablets again. Um well, I've got 893 00:50:18,360 --> 00:50:22,200 Speaker 1: a couple of questions that are just general questions for you, Uh, 894 00:50:22,360 --> 00:50:25,359 Speaker 1: something that I've been wondering every single year. I kind 895 00:50:25,360 --> 00:50:30,880 Speaker 1: of have an NFC prediction, which was always that NFC 896 00:50:30,960 --> 00:50:33,000 Speaker 1: is going to continue to be pushed and it's going 897 00:50:33,080 --> 00:50:37,480 Speaker 1: to continue to encounter resistance for adoption and we're not 898 00:50:37,480 --> 00:50:39,880 Speaker 1: going to see it happen. But do you think that 899 00:50:39,880 --> 00:50:43,720 Speaker 1: two thousand fifteen is finally the year that NFC actually 900 00:50:43,800 --> 00:50:48,760 Speaker 1: enters mainstream use in the United States. I think Apple 901 00:50:48,840 --> 00:50:51,799 Speaker 1: may have done NFC the biggest favor it could ever 902 00:50:51,880 --> 00:50:55,239 Speaker 1: have as a standard by putting in an Apple Pay. 903 00:50:55,360 --> 00:51:00,040 Speaker 1: I still don't think NFC is going to be a 904 00:51:00,120 --> 00:51:02,680 Speaker 1: huge thing that people thought it was going to revolutionize 905 00:51:02,680 --> 00:51:05,160 Speaker 1: the way you use devices. I just I just don't 906 00:51:05,200 --> 00:51:07,520 Speaker 1: see that. There's plenty of things that can do similar 907 00:51:07,560 --> 00:51:09,759 Speaker 1: things to NFC, which is why I don't think we've 908 00:51:09,800 --> 00:51:12,360 Speaker 1: ever seen people get on board. At the same time, 909 00:51:12,880 --> 00:51:17,040 Speaker 1: I feel like we're seeing NFC follow the route of Bluetooth. 910 00:51:17,640 --> 00:51:22,359 Speaker 1: Bluetooth was out in comdex right, and it it took 911 00:51:22,560 --> 00:51:26,680 Speaker 1: years for the technology to finally figure out, oh, that's 912 00:51:26,680 --> 00:51:28,480 Speaker 1: what we can use bluetooth for. And at first it 913 00:51:28,480 --> 00:51:31,920 Speaker 1: was bluetooth headsets for your cell phones, and and then 914 00:51:31,920 --> 00:51:34,960 Speaker 1: it marched on into other things. So NFC maybe following 915 00:51:34,960 --> 00:51:38,120 Speaker 1: that more plotting route to like, oh, Apple Pay is 916 00:51:38,160 --> 00:51:41,640 Speaker 1: sort of the equivalent of the Bluetooth headset. The Bluetooth earpiece, 917 00:51:42,080 --> 00:51:45,480 Speaker 1: and and and we'll we'll have another one coming along 918 00:51:45,520 --> 00:51:47,880 Speaker 1: here in the next year or two. That. Oh, NFC 919 00:51:47,960 --> 00:51:49,960 Speaker 1: is also good for that, But I still don't think 920 00:51:49,960 --> 00:51:52,479 Speaker 1: it's going to be that revolutionary thing that some people 921 00:51:52,480 --> 00:51:55,399 Speaker 1: said it would become. Yeah, I think the one thing 922 00:51:55,480 --> 00:51:59,560 Speaker 1: that is really in favor of NFC, apart from Apple 923 00:51:59,640 --> 00:52:06,319 Speaker 1: getting involved, obviously, that just adds more confusion and competition 924 00:52:06,360 --> 00:52:10,480 Speaker 1: in that that space because we've seen vendors, so some 925 00:52:10,600 --> 00:52:14,840 Speaker 1: retail establishments resist Apple Pay because they have their own 926 00:52:16,000 --> 00:52:21,880 Speaker 1: NFC based payment system base. But yeah, right, that's true. 927 00:52:22,320 --> 00:52:27,520 Speaker 1: Uh So it's it's interesting to see, right, have you 928 00:52:27,600 --> 00:52:30,040 Speaker 1: heard of these things? Uh? They used to be on 929 00:52:30,120 --> 00:52:33,560 Speaker 1: movie posters and no one knew why. Um no, it's 930 00:52:33,640 --> 00:52:37,680 Speaker 1: it's I think I think the the hack the hacks 931 00:52:37,719 --> 00:52:41,360 Speaker 1: we saw with the Kmart incident, for example, that Kmart's 932 00:52:41,400 --> 00:52:44,920 Speaker 1: credit card machines were that essentially hacked, that people got 933 00:52:44,920 --> 00:52:48,560 Speaker 1: credit cards that information that way. That is adding a 934 00:52:48,640 --> 00:52:51,840 Speaker 1: lot more pressure, and the United States government is adding 935 00:52:51,840 --> 00:52:56,799 Speaker 1: more pressure calling for more secure systems to protect consumers. 936 00:52:56,800 --> 00:53:00,320 Speaker 1: That that might end up helping more than anything else, 937 00:53:00,560 --> 00:53:04,279 Speaker 1: at least in two thousand fifteen. Uh, whether we see 938 00:53:04,360 --> 00:53:07,680 Speaker 1: n FC being the solution, I don't know. I think 939 00:53:07,760 --> 00:53:11,800 Speaker 1: Chip and Pin is another possibility, UM, not necessarily in 940 00:53:12,000 --> 00:53:17,400 Speaker 1: NFC implementation, but I think it's got the best chance 941 00:53:17,440 --> 00:53:20,439 Speaker 1: in two thousand fifteen that it's ever had. I agree 942 00:53:20,480 --> 00:53:23,480 Speaker 1: with you there. I don't know that it's gonna make it, 943 00:53:23,520 --> 00:53:26,480 Speaker 1: but it's it's way closer than it was in two 944 00:53:26,520 --> 00:53:30,160 Speaker 1: thousand fourteen. Uh. And then my last question for you, 945 00:53:30,400 --> 00:53:35,839 Speaker 1: a burning question everyone wants to know. Will the Firefox 946 00:53:35,880 --> 00:53:40,799 Speaker 1: browsers switching to Yahoo search engine make a big difference? Huge? Huge? 947 00:53:40,800 --> 00:53:47,160 Speaker 1: You're gonna see Google selling off YouTube and it's headquarters buildings. 948 00:53:47,400 --> 00:53:49,640 Speaker 1: All of their autonomous cars are now going to come 949 00:53:49,680 --> 00:53:54,600 Speaker 1: with drivers, right right, They're gonna hire drivers. No. I 950 00:53:54,600 --> 00:53:57,160 Speaker 1: I think it will be interesting. I think it'll be 951 00:53:57,200 --> 00:54:00,520 Speaker 1: good for Yahoo. I think it will make Google a 952 00:54:00,560 --> 00:54:06,080 Speaker 1: little sharper. But that company Google, UH in particular, UH 953 00:54:07,120 --> 00:54:11,080 Speaker 1: has way too much money as it is. UH. So 954 00:54:11,280 --> 00:54:14,279 Speaker 1: I think all this does is pokes the bear and 955 00:54:14,360 --> 00:54:17,279 Speaker 1: lets them know that they can't rest on their laurels. UH. 956 00:54:17,280 --> 00:54:20,160 Speaker 1: And it gives Marissa Mayer a victory, which she desperately needed. 957 00:54:20,200 --> 00:54:22,600 Speaker 1: So it's good for Yahoo in that way. And yeah, 958 00:54:22,640 --> 00:54:25,719 Speaker 1: I mean it makes a difference. I don't know that 959 00:54:25,800 --> 00:54:30,520 Speaker 1: it it really is going to upset the balance of 960 00:54:30,560 --> 00:54:35,440 Speaker 1: the search engine marketplace too terribly. Um, you know, being 961 00:54:35,560 --> 00:54:41,040 Speaker 1: got onto uh iOS in Syrie. Uh and and that 962 00:54:41,120 --> 00:54:45,000 Speaker 1: didn't like shake the ground. Bing is the default search 963 00:54:45,000 --> 00:54:47,160 Speaker 1: engine on iOS and a couple of different areas, just 964 00:54:47,200 --> 00:54:49,480 Speaker 1: not in the browser. Yet. Maybe it'll get in the browser. 965 00:54:49,480 --> 00:54:52,319 Speaker 1: I don't know. I think I think those sorts of 966 00:54:52,320 --> 00:54:58,040 Speaker 1: things pale by comparison to Google's ridiculously dominant market share worldwide, 967 00:54:58,080 --> 00:55:02,280 Speaker 1: especially in Europe where it's like abo. Yeah, I agree, 968 00:55:02,680 --> 00:55:05,560 Speaker 1: I agree. I when I read about it, I thought, well, 969 00:55:05,600 --> 00:55:10,040 Speaker 1: that's interesting, and I respect what's going on. Um, it 970 00:55:10,040 --> 00:55:13,520 Speaker 1: almost sounded like Google was just bidding up its own 971 00:55:14,160 --> 00:55:17,960 Speaker 1: uh its own claim to Firefox, just enough for it 972 00:55:18,000 --> 00:55:22,000 Speaker 1: to be inconvenient for anyone else. And I disclosed that 973 00:55:22,120 --> 00:55:24,319 Speaker 1: my wife is an employee of Google, So don't believe 974 00:55:24,320 --> 00:55:26,640 Speaker 1: anything I say. Okay, that's fair, all right, we will 975 00:55:26,680 --> 00:55:30,520 Speaker 1: just completely disregard the last question. Well, well then, Tom, 976 00:55:30,560 --> 00:55:32,359 Speaker 1: is there anything else you want to say, any other 977 00:55:32,400 --> 00:55:36,160 Speaker 1: predictions that we didn't mention that you felt were interesting 978 00:55:36,360 --> 00:55:40,360 Speaker 1: or controversial or anything like that. Um, no. I you 979 00:55:40,400 --> 00:55:42,600 Speaker 1: know what, we didn't bring up any of the like 980 00:55:42,680 --> 00:55:45,160 Speaker 1: will Apple release X because we know they're doing the 981 00:55:45,160 --> 00:55:48,400 Speaker 1: Apple Watch that's coming next year, that's announced, and you know, 982 00:55:48,520 --> 00:55:50,520 Speaker 1: there are certain things you can count on every year. 983 00:55:50,600 --> 00:55:54,800 Speaker 1: You can count on updates to the hardware from Apple, 984 00:55:54,960 --> 00:55:57,959 Speaker 1: that sort of stuff. Uh, there's not really any point 985 00:55:57,960 --> 00:56:00,920 Speaker 1: in predicting that. I guess the click the burning question 986 00:56:01,000 --> 00:56:03,279 Speaker 1: that we've had for years. The other burning question we've 987 00:56:03,320 --> 00:56:07,040 Speaker 1: had for years is an Apple television Are we gonna 988 00:56:07,080 --> 00:56:09,600 Speaker 1: Are we actually going to get that? I saw that 989 00:56:09,719 --> 00:56:13,319 Speaker 1: Jane Munster said we're gonna get one, in which you know, 990 00:56:13,440 --> 00:56:15,279 Speaker 1: every year Jean Munster has been saying we're gonna get 991 00:56:15,320 --> 00:56:17,640 Speaker 1: one in a couple of years, so that seems pretty consistent. 992 00:56:18,760 --> 00:56:23,040 Speaker 1: I don't disbelieve that he has sources on the inside. 993 00:56:23,120 --> 00:56:26,080 Speaker 1: That's ay. Yeah, Apples still working on something regarding television. 994 00:56:26,400 --> 00:56:29,080 Speaker 1: I just I don't know that we'll see it this year. 995 00:56:29,200 --> 00:56:33,040 Speaker 1: That that is such a problematic arena. I guess the 996 00:56:33,080 --> 00:56:35,080 Speaker 1: one thing that I would say is, don't forget that 997 00:56:35,200 --> 00:56:40,640 Speaker 1: both Verizon, Dish, and Sony plan to come out with 998 00:56:41,120 --> 00:56:45,920 Speaker 1: internet only cable television services in the United States. In 999 00:56:45,960 --> 00:56:48,560 Speaker 1: the coming year. We don't know what shape they're gonna take, 1000 00:56:48,840 --> 00:56:51,480 Speaker 1: but they will have many of the same channels that 1001 00:56:51,520 --> 00:56:54,280 Speaker 1: you would get in a normal cable or satellite package. 1002 00:56:54,360 --> 00:56:56,359 Speaker 1: And of course you have HBO saying they're gonna launch 1003 00:56:56,480 --> 00:57:00,440 Speaker 1: a direct to the consumer Internet service. Cb I already 1004 00:57:00,480 --> 00:57:03,160 Speaker 1: launched their direct to the Internet direct to the consumer 1005 00:57:03,200 --> 00:57:06,160 Speaker 1: Internet service, so that landscape will changed by the end 1006 00:57:06,160 --> 00:57:08,319 Speaker 1: of the year. I don't know if Apple is UH 1007 00:57:08,640 --> 00:57:10,319 Speaker 1: is going to get in on it yet, but maybe 1008 00:57:10,320 --> 00:57:13,360 Speaker 1: in after we see how that all shakes out. That 1009 00:57:13,520 --> 00:57:16,640 Speaker 1: is interesting. It could be that, who knows, Maybe at 1010 00:57:16,680 --> 00:57:21,880 Speaker 1: the predictions episode for for sixteen, we start talking about serious, 1011 00:57:22,040 --> 00:57:24,560 Speaker 1: you know, some serious talk about the decline of cable 1012 00:57:24,640 --> 00:57:29,040 Speaker 1: at that point. I mean, we're we're we've been talking 1013 00:57:29,080 --> 00:57:31,680 Speaker 1: about this for years and we've been seeing this. I mean, 1014 00:57:31,720 --> 00:57:34,200 Speaker 1: you've got a whole show devoted to this kind of thing. 1015 00:57:34,280 --> 00:57:39,960 Speaker 1: Cord cutters or cord killers is er. Yeah, I apologize, 1016 00:57:40,000 --> 00:57:45,560 Speaker 1: I I am such a guy, you know, but no 1017 00:57:45,760 --> 00:57:48,080 Speaker 1: chord killers where you talk about these kind of things, 1018 00:57:48,120 --> 00:57:50,040 Speaker 1: and it's something that we've seen for a while. Heck, 1019 00:57:50,080 --> 00:57:52,040 Speaker 1: I talked to CNN about it several years ago and 1020 00:57:52,040 --> 00:57:56,280 Speaker 1: then got in trouble um. But now we're we're actually 1021 00:57:56,480 --> 00:58:00,160 Speaker 1: seeing this come to fruition. It's it's pretty interesting and 1022 00:58:00,240 --> 00:58:02,080 Speaker 1: exciting to see it, you know, roll out on a 1023 00:58:02,120 --> 00:58:05,040 Speaker 1: broader scale. And I really do wonder by the end 1024 00:58:05,080 --> 00:58:09,480 Speaker 1: of what that's going to mean for the cable industry 1025 00:58:09,520 --> 00:58:12,880 Speaker 1: as a whole, not just um, not just a channel 1026 00:58:12,920 --> 00:58:15,880 Speaker 1: here are a channel there. I mean the it may 1027 00:58:15,920 --> 00:58:19,200 Speaker 1: open up opportunities, and I'm sure it's going to put 1028 00:58:19,240 --> 00:58:22,280 Speaker 1: a lot of people in a very stressful position for 1029 00:58:22,480 --> 00:58:26,479 Speaker 1: most of Yeah, I think we might be seeing peak 1030 00:58:26,640 --> 00:58:30,240 Speaker 1: cable right now. Yeah, I think you might be right. 1031 00:58:30,320 --> 00:58:32,480 Speaker 1: I mean, if we get to a point, if we 1032 00:58:32,560 --> 00:58:36,120 Speaker 1: ever get to that point where people can go more 1033 00:58:36,200 --> 00:58:39,600 Speaker 1: a lak heart, which is it's incredibly hard to do. 1034 00:58:40,200 --> 00:58:43,560 Speaker 1: It's incredibly from a from a provider standpoint, it's incredibly 1035 00:58:43,600 --> 00:58:46,360 Speaker 1: hard to do because you're a counting as a provider 1036 00:58:46,400 --> 00:58:49,320 Speaker 1: on the money from your big name channels to support 1037 00:58:49,640 --> 00:58:53,440 Speaker 1: the ones that supply content to a niche audience but 1038 00:58:53,960 --> 00:58:56,080 Speaker 1: just don't make the money that they would in order 1039 00:58:56,120 --> 00:58:58,640 Speaker 1: to survive on their own. If you enter into a 1040 00:58:58,640 --> 00:59:01,000 Speaker 1: world where people just get to pick and choose, some 1041 00:59:01,000 --> 00:59:03,560 Speaker 1: stuff is gonna die. It's just not gonna it's not 1042 00:59:03,640 --> 00:59:06,480 Speaker 1: going to be able to maintain the level of production 1043 00:59:06,560 --> 00:59:10,360 Speaker 1: that people expect. So it may be that, who knows, 1044 00:59:10,400 --> 00:59:13,400 Speaker 1: in a couple of years, our expectations for what is 1045 00:59:13,600 --> 00:59:18,440 Speaker 1: entertainment is going to change fundamentally. Yeah. I don't even 1046 00:59:18,480 --> 00:59:22,000 Speaker 1: think that necessarily means we'll have worse things to watch either. 1047 00:59:22,200 --> 00:59:26,040 Speaker 1: It just means that we might have fewer outlets or 1048 00:59:26,320 --> 00:59:30,280 Speaker 1: a different selection of outlets. I mean, don't forget Amazon, Prime, 1049 00:59:30,800 --> 00:59:36,240 Speaker 1: Hulu and obviously Netflix all making high quality television entertainment 1050 00:59:36,280 --> 00:59:39,120 Speaker 1: that they deliver through their internet only services. So it's 1051 00:59:39,160 --> 00:59:41,280 Speaker 1: not like there's a lack of providers out there. I 1052 00:59:41,280 --> 00:59:46,280 Speaker 1: think some of those on off channels that not as 1053 00:59:46,360 --> 00:59:49,880 Speaker 1: many people watch, though, go the way of the nineties. 1054 00:59:49,920 --> 00:59:54,160 Speaker 1: You just you think of them as as something old fashioned. Right, Well, 1055 00:59:54,440 --> 00:59:56,919 Speaker 1: I mean, if this just means that I get more 1056 00:59:57,160 --> 01:00:02,960 Speaker 1: quality programming, like a re a a reincarnation of the Tick, 1057 01:00:03,600 --> 01:00:08,400 Speaker 1: because it's coming back on Amazon, I'm happy. I love 1058 01:00:08,480 --> 01:00:12,160 Speaker 1: that series, all right. Well, Tom Merritt, thank you so 1059 01:00:12,240 --> 01:00:15,320 Speaker 1: much for joining me on this episode. Thank you, Jonathan. 1060 01:00:15,400 --> 01:00:17,280 Speaker 1: It's it was. It was a fun talk. I can't 1061 01:00:17,280 --> 01:00:19,720 Speaker 1: believe it's already been through an hour. Here, this was 1062 01:00:19,960 --> 01:00:22,280 Speaker 1: just time flew by. This was fun. Yeah, this is 1063 01:00:22,360 --> 01:00:23,800 Speaker 1: this was This was the right way to do a 1064 01:00:23,840 --> 01:00:28,040 Speaker 1: predictions episode. Two smart movie looks great other people and 1065 01:00:28,160 --> 01:00:33,480 Speaker 1: not talking about UM. So, where can people find your stuff? Well, 1066 01:00:33,520 --> 01:00:35,600 Speaker 1: tom Merritt dot com to ours two t s is 1067 01:00:35,640 --> 01:00:37,960 Speaker 1: my main website to collects all the shows I do 1068 01:00:38,320 --> 01:00:41,080 Speaker 1: in one place, so you can find the subscription page 1069 01:00:41,120 --> 01:00:44,320 Speaker 1: there and and find out the different shows. But probably 1070 01:00:44,680 --> 01:00:47,800 Speaker 1: of most interest to it folks interested in tech stuff 1071 01:00:47,800 --> 01:00:49,920 Speaker 1: would be Daily Tech News Show, Daily Tech News Show 1072 01:00:50,280 --> 01:00:54,280 Speaker 1: dot com. I do it entirely crowdfunded. Uh so it's 1073 01:00:54,320 --> 01:00:57,480 Speaker 1: absolutely free and add free. Go check it out. We 1074 01:00:57,520 --> 01:00:59,960 Speaker 1: do it every day Monday through Friday, most of the day. 1075 01:01:00,040 --> 01:01:02,360 Speaker 1: We'll have a little holiday break, but we'll have some 1076 01:01:02,400 --> 01:01:06,080 Speaker 1: special episodes. They're including a predictions episode where I will 1077 01:01:06,120 --> 01:01:09,080 Speaker 1: actually go out on a limb and and make some 1078 01:01:09,080 --> 01:01:12,280 Speaker 1: some predictions. I will learn next year from Jonathan not 1079 01:01:12,320 --> 01:01:17,400 Speaker 1: to do that. I can't believe you haven't learned that. Yeah, 1080 01:01:17,440 --> 01:01:20,000 Speaker 1: I think you did it with Cena. You've got it. 1081 01:01:20,040 --> 01:01:23,720 Speaker 1: You've done a long history of making predictions. The fun 1082 01:01:23,800 --> 01:01:27,440 Speaker 1: part is coming back a year later and actually grading 1083 01:01:27,480 --> 01:01:30,560 Speaker 1: yourself yeah, I do that too. Actually, the Predictions Results 1084 01:01:30,560 --> 01:01:32,960 Speaker 1: show is actually really fun. Yeah, it could be a blast. 1085 01:01:33,000 --> 01:01:36,120 Speaker 1: I usually end up giving fake prizes for all the 1086 01:01:37,240 --> 01:01:41,200 Speaker 1: nice well yeah, yeah, this year I think um, I 1087 01:01:41,200 --> 01:01:44,200 Speaker 1: think the top prize was a stretch armstrong whose arms 1088 01:01:44,200 --> 01:01:47,560 Speaker 1: have been stretched out too far. That's prize. Yeah, that's 1089 01:01:47,560 --> 01:01:51,560 Speaker 1: pretty good. Well, it gives up, gives a good hug. Well, guys, 1090 01:01:51,640 --> 01:01:54,120 Speaker 1: thank you so much for listening. Remember you can get 1091 01:01:54,120 --> 01:01:56,720 Speaker 1: in touch with me with the email address tech stuff 1092 01:01:56,800 --> 01:01:58,920 Speaker 1: at how stuff Works dot com, or drop me a 1093 01:01:58,960 --> 01:02:01,800 Speaker 1: line on Facebook or Tumbler. I have to handle tech 1094 01:02:01,880 --> 01:02:04,880 Speaker 1: stuff hs W at all three and we'll talk to 1095 01:02:04,880 --> 01:02:10,960 Speaker 1: you again. Releases for more on this and thousands of 1096 01:02:10,960 --> 01:02:22,920 Speaker 1: other topics. Because it has to work dot Com