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Speaker 1: The Action Network Podcast.

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Speaker 2: I'm just about that action awesome.

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Speaker 1: All right, here we go the growing in Joe spector.

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Speaker 1: I'm saying it's a cash start. We'll see most gamblers

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Speaker 1: when they go to gamble, they go to win. That's incredible.

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Speaker 1: Big bank, small banks. I like to make money.

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Speaker 3: All right.

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Speaker 2: It's just the ultimate kabak.

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Speaker 1: You want to pull. And we are underway. What's up? Everybody?

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Speaker 1: Happy Thanksgiving? Welcome to the NFL Week twelve Action Network Podcast,

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Speaker 1: presented by Fan Duel. I am your host, Chris Raybon,

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Speaker 1: and I am joined by one of the top rankers

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Speaker 1: in the game, Sean Kerner. Sean, Happy Thanksgiving? What's going on?

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Speaker 2: Happy? Happy Thanksgiving? I'm doing good. I have a good

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Speaker 2: week one a few units. But I've been on a

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Speaker 2: super cold streak for these primetime props. I think there's

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Speaker 2: people out there that just follow those. Please please, I'm

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Speaker 2: begging you follow my other place too, because those have

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Speaker 2: been crushing. Unfortunately, I can't control which props I win,

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Speaker 2: but you know, over all, the big sample size been

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Speaker 2: crushing the past couple weeks college football props. I've gound

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Speaker 2: like twelve and two the past couple of weeks, so

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Speaker 2: that's been fun to kind of mix that in NFL's

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Speaker 2: is not enough for me right now. So but how'd

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Speaker 2: you do?

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Speaker 1: Pretty good? Week seven and four? I was like break

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Speaker 1: even heading into the Sunday night primetime and then I

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Speaker 1: had Watson over receptions and McKinnon under reception, so hit those.

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Speaker 1: And then yesterday Monday Night had Kittle over because you

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Speaker 1: have to take a tight end that is true against

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Speaker 1: the Cardinals. So I went three and oh on the

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Speaker 1: prime time So I'm like in the reverse of you

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Speaker 1: again but primetime. Yeah, yeah, exactly, good week, good week.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, we won that Jamal Williams problem.

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Speaker 1: Oh yeah, so we sweating.

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Speaker 2: Prop one prop together this year we've lost. That's it.

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Speaker 1: Yeah that Williams probably wasn't even the sweat, but yeah

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Speaker 1: he ran seven routes.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, more than I expected. But yeah, easy, easy wed.

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Speaker 1: I was gonna say, I'm loving these reception props. Wait,

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Speaker 1: I feel like, now that we have so much data,

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Speaker 1: my model is like identifying very strongly you know where

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Speaker 1: to go with those reception props. So hopefully we can

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Speaker 1: keep it up. But let's we got We'll go through

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Speaker 1: each position, our top five. We're going to discuss the

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Speaker 1: players were high and low at and of course we'll

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Speaker 1: throw out a player prop for each position as well.

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Speaker 1: So let's jump into quarterback for your top five four

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Speaker 1: week number twelve.

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Speaker 2: So I have Josh Allen, Patrick Maholmes, Jalen Hurts, Lamar Jackson,

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Speaker 2: and Geno Smith. I've wrote on Geno Smith, but I

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Speaker 2: just updated projections a few minutes ago and justin Herbert's there,

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Speaker 2: So Gino fell the number six. But I just have

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Speaker 2: to just, you know, shout out Gina Smith for potentially

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Speaker 2: making my top five this week.

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Speaker 1: Man, you're already stealing my guys. But he's not in

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Speaker 1: my top five. I was gonna talk about I will

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Speaker 1: talk about him, but my top five Josh Allen, Jalen Hurts,

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Speaker 1: Patrick Mahomes, Lamar Jackson to a tone of BYLOA. I

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Speaker 1: thought for sure you're gonna say Tua jumped in your

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Speaker 1: top Going against this Houston defense, Miami coming off to buy,

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Speaker 1: I don't think they're going to offer much resistance. So yeah,

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Speaker 1: have have to it pretty comfortably in uh in the

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Speaker 1: top five, ahead of Herbert by about a point and

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Speaker 1: a half and Herbert and Burrow by about a point

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Speaker 1: and a half.

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Speaker 2: Nice. Who I am, Well, I am thankful for always

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Speaker 2: getting to go first on these I have Gino Smith

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Speaker 2: as well, so I will let you go first this time.

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Speaker 1: No, no, no, you could do it. You know. It's

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Speaker 1: a Thanksgary. I appreciate the giving nature, but I got

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Speaker 1: to return that.

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Speaker 2: You're up, all right? So Geno Smith, like I said,

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Speaker 2: he is right there, barely you know, inside my top

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Speaker 2: five pop six. But you know he's thrown for two

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Speaker 2: hundred and seventy five yards and two touchdowns and backpack

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Speaker 2: games before the buy and those are tougher matchups, you know,

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Speaker 2: against the Cardinals and Buccaneers. He's also rushed for twenty

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Speaker 2: or more yards in five of the past six games,

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Speaker 2: so he's been tapping into his rushing upside. And this week,

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Speaker 2: you know, he faces the Raiders defense that ranks dead

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Speaker 2: last in DBO against the past. So you know, just

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Speaker 2: my model is loving it. Plus you know, DK Metcalf

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Speaker 2: and Tyler Lockett, we're both pretty banged up heading into By.

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Speaker 2: They were playing through injuries, but I think after coming

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Speaker 2: out of the By they're gonna be much closer, one

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Speaker 2: hundred percent fresh and ready to go. So and we've

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Speaker 2: seen Kenneth Walker being used more in the passing game,

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Speaker 2: so all this just helps Geno Smith. He just has

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Speaker 2: a really high floor in cealing combo this week. So yeah,

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Speaker 2: he's he's definitely like a top five option for me

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Speaker 2: this week.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, that's well said. You know, Gino is popping in

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Speaker 1: my mouto well, and he's the consensus to start the

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Speaker 1: week is pretty well on him at tenth. You know,

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Speaker 1: I think he's gonna break into that top ten sooner

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Speaker 1: than later. But yeah, you mentioned a great matchup for him,

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Speaker 1: and against that wead worst Raider defense that you know,

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Speaker 1: they played the Broncos last week. It's gonna be kind

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Speaker 1: of a shock to the system coming off the Broncos

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Speaker 1: in to a much more formidable offense. And another guy

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Speaker 1: I'll mention is Kenny Pickett is actually popping. He's kind

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Speaker 1: of borderline top fifteen for me. He's outside the top

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Speaker 1: twenty five in consensus. And against this coach defense, I

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Speaker 1: just think the Steelers are going to end up having

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Speaker 1: to throw a lot, and we've just seeing that with

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Speaker 1: Pickett in a bunch of these different spots, you know,

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Speaker 1: just having to throw a ton. He can also give

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Speaker 1: you some rushing upside. If they get behind, they'll be

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Speaker 1: throwing the ball, and you know against this coach Rundy.

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Speaker 1: The Steelers have been running with Naji these last couple

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Speaker 1: of games, but I don't know if they're gonna go

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Speaker 1: hard with that in this spot because you just don't

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Speaker 1: really want to run on this coach. D So, Kelly

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Speaker 1: Piket could be sneaky and kind of like what's a

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Speaker 1: ugly middle tier week? I feel like for for quarterbacks?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, just keep checking it up to George Pickens.

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Speaker 1: Yes, oh my god, he made an amazing catch.

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Speaker 2: He's made so many amazing catches like along the sideline

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Speaker 2: this year, it's crazy. So just love his upside. And

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Speaker 2: your boy Pat Firemouth went, so, yeah, I just love

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Speaker 2: the weapons. Yep, love the weapons around picking. He didn't

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Speaker 2: really tap in his rushing up sale last week. He

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Speaker 2: only ran for fourteen yards, but you know we've seen

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Speaker 2: him rush for over, you know, thirty yards two of

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Speaker 2: the passer games. So yeah, just love his upside. Like

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Speaker 2: you said, on kind of a shaky week for qbs,

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Speaker 2: but yeah, he's definitely like a mid range KB two

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Speaker 2: for me.

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Speaker 1: Oh wait, before we before we get out of quarterback

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Speaker 1: you gotta, I gotta. So we were playing each other

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Speaker 1: in Fantasy. Oh that's right. I was pretty much like

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Speaker 1: kind of conceding the lost all I had left.

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Speaker 2: You were up, yeah, and I.

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Speaker 1: Had Jimmy Garoppolo and he went nuts and I was

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Speaker 1: just last. And I feel like every time we start

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Speaker 1: the week you're like, you have Jimmy Garoppolo's passing yards

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Speaker 1: too high, and uh yeah got the touchdowns this time around.

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Speaker 2: Yeah it was right on his passing yards he had

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Speaker 2: two twenty yeah, but yeah, yeah, he definitely crushed it.

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Speaker 2: And I didn't realize they were playing each other until

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Speaker 2: I saw I lost to you. But next time we

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Speaker 2: got to have a wagering me into that, and I

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Speaker 2: think I had I'm not making excuses, but I think

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Speaker 2: I had a bunch of people on a bye.

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Speaker 1: You have Tony Howard, man, that's all you need. Like

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Speaker 1: I can't believe. Like I was like, oh, man, I

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Speaker 1: hope I'm not playing Tony Pollard anywhere. And then I

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Speaker 1: open the app in the first what I.

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Speaker 2: See is you, I have that guy in every league.

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Speaker 2: But unfortunately I had a lot of guys on bye

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Speaker 2: this weekend every league. Yeah, so I had Gino Smith

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Speaker 2: on by Leonard Fourna on a by which doesn't matter

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Speaker 2: Godwin Tyreek Hill. Oh and I have Cooper Cup on

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Speaker 2: IR so I know it was like short handed, but yeah,

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Speaker 2: you kicked my ass. Ben Scaronic didn't do anything. Man,

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Speaker 2: if I had known we were playing each other, I

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Speaker 2: would have wagered something. Thank god I didn't. But congrats

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Speaker 2: on the win. We we're fighting for a playoff spot

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Speaker 2: in that league too. It's embarrassing.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, what's ugly, But thank you? Who are you low

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Speaker 1: on before we get them from?

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Speaker 2: I have a low on Daniel Jones to start the week.

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Speaker 2: He's my QB twenty one. He faces the Cowboys this week,

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Speaker 2: so you know that's a brutal matchup. They ranked second

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Speaker 2: in DBO against the pass. He just lost his top

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Speaker 2: target and one Dell Robinson for the season.

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Speaker 1: So that's that's Oh I thought Arrus Slayton was hurt.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, well yeah he's there. He's his top target now.

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Speaker 2: But I think I would imagine they're the favorites to

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Speaker 2: land Odell Beckham now. They kind of have to at

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Speaker 2: this point. So in the meantime, you know Jones is

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Speaker 2: going to struggle to clear two hundred yards week in

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Speaker 2: and week out, So he's gonna have to lean on

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Speaker 2: his rushing upside, which he did in Week three against

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Speaker 2: the Cowboys. You know, he ran for seventy nine year yards,

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Speaker 2: but they have done, you know, a pretty good job

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Speaker 2: containing rushing qbigs since then. You know, Jalen Hurts ran

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Speaker 2: for twenty seven yards justin Field only ran for sixty

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Speaker 2: yards when he faced them. So it's just a tough

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Speaker 2: spot for him. And like I said, like until they

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Speaker 2: get you know, Beckham or some other help, it's just

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Speaker 2: going to be the Darius Slayton show. So that really

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Speaker 2: just hurts his upside and you know, just his floor

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Speaker 2: going forward. So he's all the way down to QB

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Speaker 2: twenty one for me to start the week.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean that Cowboys defense just unloaded on the

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Speaker 1: Vikings and just Giant's full line going through some things.

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Speaker 1: It's just hard to imagine that offense consistently moving the ball,

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Speaker 1: even if Jones is able to avoid pressure and avoid

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Speaker 1: getting sacked. I am low on Trevor Lawrence. I have

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Speaker 1: him QB nineteen. He is the consensus QB thirteen, and

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Speaker 1: I think that's too high against this Baltimore defense that

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Speaker 1: pretty much didn't allow a score for most of that

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Speaker 1: game last week. I know it was the Panthers, but

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Speaker 1: this Jaguars offense can kind of get into ruts and

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Speaker 1: it's up and down here, and it really hasn't been

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Speaker 1: consistent for Treyler Lawrence. So I think this is going

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Speaker 1: to be a tough spot. I know they're at home,

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Speaker 1: but I just think this Baltimore defense, you know, they

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Speaker 1: got all those linebackers and started getting healthier. They can

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Speaker 1: stop the run. Now. I think it's gonna be tough

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Speaker 1: for the Jacks to move the ball. I don't see

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Speaker 1: Lawrence with a ton of touchdown opportunities, and it could

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Speaker 1: just be a low scoring game overall. Not quite the

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Speaker 1: same kind of matchup as that Chiefs game where you

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Speaker 1: looked at it and said, Okay, you know, trelor Lawrence

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Speaker 1: probably gonna get some garbage time production. I don't know

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Speaker 1: about this one. Just watching this raven team, it's kind

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Speaker 1: of morphing back into that old school Ravens team a

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Speaker 1: little bit. Play good defense, the offense is kind of

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Speaker 1: touch and go, you know, slow paced, run the ball,

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Speaker 1: you'll bleed the clock. Just not an ideal matchup that

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Speaker 1: I want to be starting a fantasy quarterback in Yeah.

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Speaker 2: No, that's a great call on just that. This Rave

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Speaker 2: Raven's defense is, you know, pretty dominant right now, especially

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Speaker 2: with Rokewon Smith. Just a lot of good playmakers, and

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Speaker 2: you know, they've done really good the past couple of weeks.

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Speaker 2: Granted they only faced Baker Mayfield and Andy Dollon, but

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Speaker 2: they slowed down Josh Allen Joe Burrow too, so they're

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Speaker 2: they're looking really good. They have an easy schedule the

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Speaker 2: rest of the way. So this is a ra Raven's

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Speaker 2: defense where I agree. I think we definitely have to

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Speaker 2: start downgrading quarterbacks, especially when they face him.

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Speaker 1: All right, now, time for the prop Let's see. You

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Speaker 1: don't want to go.

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Speaker 2: I think you waxed me last week, right, I'm trying

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Speaker 2: to No, it was one one.

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Speaker 1: I got the over on fields, but I watched the

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Speaker 1: Watson by like two yards and you won dose.

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Speaker 2: Oh what was the Watson? Probably it was forty and

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Speaker 2: a half.

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Speaker 1: I think it was forty eight, forty six and a

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Speaker 1: half yet and he got forty eight.

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Speaker 2: Oh damn. Don't I get a bonus point for a

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Speaker 2: close profit like that?

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Speaker 1: Oh no, you have to be Yeah, it's got to

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Speaker 1: be all the number like if oh okay, yeah, so

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Speaker 1: almost almost all right.

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Speaker 3: Jimmy Garoppolo, Oh boy, heard coming off that big game. Yeah,

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Speaker 3: let's go passing the outage over under two twenty eight

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Speaker 3: and a half.

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Speaker 1: Ooh, I'm I'm on the over there a nice I'm.

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Speaker 2: Sticking with the two thirty five range no matter what.

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Speaker 2: They are nine point favorites, so you know they could

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Speaker 2: get in the run heavy game script. But yeah, just

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Speaker 2: all the weapons right now, I think he does have

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Speaker 2: a pretty high floor, so give me the over.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I actually have it a little bit higher, but

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Speaker 1: I know you like to go.

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Speaker 2: I have it around long here just finally, but you

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Speaker 2: you make.

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Speaker 1: A good point, big favorites. They could you get the

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Speaker 1: run game go. The Saints run defense, for whatever reason,

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Speaker 1: just is not the same run I mean, injuries are

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Speaker 1: probably part of the reason, but even when they were healthy,

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Speaker 1: not the same run defense, not getting a lot of

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Speaker 1: pressure that just that whole defensive line has just been

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Speaker 1: hasn't been there for the Saints this year. So uh,

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Speaker 1: interesting one. But yeah, he's I think he's my QB

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Speaker 1: eleven this week. So definitely a guy that I think

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Speaker 1: you want to consider starting big, big point total, so

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Speaker 1: it could get touchdowns even if he doesn't get that.

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Speaker 1: I was jumped to running back top five, So.

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Speaker 2: I don't know why he's my number one, but I

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Speaker 2: got Josh Jacobs number one right now. Hunter actually Derrick Henry. Yeah,

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Speaker 2: could you imagine that kind of week, that kind of morning,

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Speaker 2: it's too early, Derrick Henry, Austin Eckler, Saquon Barkley, and

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Speaker 2: Jonathan Taylor.

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Speaker 1: I have Derrick Henry number one, Austin Eckler number two,

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Speaker 1: Jacob's third, Kenneth Walker fourth, and Tailor fifth.

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Speaker 2: Yeah. I don't know why I have Jacobs. Like they

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Speaker 2: made Zamir white and active last week, so you know,

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Speaker 2: I think he saw every single carry, right.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, he and he was a monster. I mean he

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Speaker 1: got that he's he cut that no, like not even

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Speaker 1: just as normal monster self. On the run. He was

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Speaker 1: catching pat he cut that clutch pass and almost scored

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Speaker 1: to allow the Raiders to send it to overtime. So

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Speaker 1: he had a monster game. And yeah, they're not really

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Speaker 1: using anyone else except that due here and there.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, the last time I had him number one, he

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Speaker 2: was facing the Texans. It was a little bit more obvious.

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Speaker 2: You know, the Seahawks are a terrible defense. So yeah,

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Speaker 2: it's just it's kind of an interesting week up top.

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Speaker 2: So it's it's close. But I was shocked when I

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Speaker 2: have number one, But I'm sticking with it.

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Speaker 1: Who are you high?

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Speaker 2: So I haven't been able to look at East are yet,

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Speaker 2: So tell me if like I'm high on this guy.

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Speaker 2: But Miles Sanders, I have him as my RB fifteen. Yep,

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Speaker 2: oh okay, cool. Yeah, so he's he's coming off back

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Speaker 2: to back gugs. But you know they had two tougher

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Speaker 2: matchups against the Commanders Colts. Well they did end up winning.

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Speaker 2: You know, last week against the Colts, they were in

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Speaker 2: a trailing game script for most of the game. So

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Speaker 2: that's just not ideal for Sanders, who he's not really

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Speaker 2: involved in the receiving game. So he has a much

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Speaker 2: better matchup this week against the Packers where they should

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Speaker 2: be able to kindly kind of build a lead here.

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Speaker 2: And you know the Packers are run final defense, so

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Speaker 2: I think Sanders is going to bounce back here with

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Speaker 2: a big game. They probably have to go back to

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Speaker 2: him too. You know, they've struggled because they haven't been

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Speaker 2: able to get him going, so I view him as

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Speaker 2: like a high end running back two this week. And

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Speaker 2: then I'm also high on Antonio Gibson against the Falcons.

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Speaker 2: He opens this week as my RB twenty one, and

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Speaker 2: you know, he continues to dominate the passing downs with

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Speaker 2: Jad mcizico. I mean that's no surprise. However, he did

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Speaker 2: handle more of the rushing work last week as well.

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Speaker 2: He had eighteen rushing chips to fifteen of Brian Robinson,

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Speaker 2: so you know, he also looked like he was about

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Speaker 2: to break like a fifteen to twenty yard touchdown towards

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Speaker 2: the end of the game, but he slid down to

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Speaker 2: preserve the wins, so he could have had an even

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Speaker 2: bigger game. So this is just a great matchup where

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Speaker 2: you know, the Commanders are four point favorites, the tenth

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Speaker 2: highest team total, and Gibson looks like he's on his

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Speaker 2: way to potentially being a workhorse back. So I'm super

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Speaker 2: high on this weekend. Again, he's more of a you know,

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Speaker 2: almost a mid range rby two right now based on

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Speaker 2: his underlying usage.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, absolutely, I saw that he kind of got more

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Speaker 1: of the work than Robinson. Both of them have been

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Speaker 1: struggling from an efficiency perspective, but the volume is there.

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Speaker 1: I mean, that's what that Washington team, you know, they

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Speaker 1: that's what they want to do. They're going to try

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Speaker 1: to run the football with those two guys. I am

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Speaker 1: high on Kenneth Walker the third. First of all, he

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Speaker 1: is a home favorite against the Raiders, who are twenty

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Speaker 1: second in run defense DVOA. He should be well arrested

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Speaker 1: coming off the you know, the buye and I think

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Speaker 1: he's gonna get fed the ball here as he usually does,

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Speaker 1: coming off his first really bad down game against the Buccaneers,

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Speaker 1: but he's finally started to do something in the passing

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Speaker 1: game in that one, so it wasn't a total loss.

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Speaker 1: And I just think, you know, he's RB eight in consensus.

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Speaker 1: I think that's way too I think he's the top

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Speaker 1: five back this week. So going with my boy, Kenneth

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Speaker 1: Walker the third.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, and he's still the favorite for a Rookie of the Year, right,

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Speaker 2: I know, Christian Watson has made some noise, but yeah,

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Speaker 2: he's still the favorite. Did you ever get money down

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Speaker 2: on that. I remember that being like one of the

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Speaker 2: best you're talking yeah.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, yeah, I think we talked about it because

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Speaker 1: it was like a post hype kind of bet on

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Speaker 1: on Kenneth Walker after everyone was down on him because

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Speaker 1: of the what did he start the year on IR

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Speaker 1: or something like that on the.

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Speaker 2: Pup as Penny's backup. So if and when Penny ever

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Speaker 2: missed time, obviously he was gonna pop. But yeah, Walker,

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Speaker 2: definitely he was dealing with like an ankle injury I

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Speaker 2: think to begin the year.

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Speaker 1: Right, Yeah, yeah, yeah, that's what it was. He missed

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Speaker 1: three games, yep.

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Speaker 2: Yep, yep. But ever since then, I mean, what a beast.

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Speaker 1: Oh absolutely so, yeah, that's what I'm going with. Who

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Speaker 1: you wing?

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Speaker 2: I've been high on Devin Singletary the past two weeks,

362
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Speaker 2: but I'm low on him here. He's down to RB

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Speaker 2: twenty four. I think they're They're at Detroit, and you know,

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Speaker 2: the Lions have actually been playing pretty good run defense

365
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Speaker 2: of late. You know, they slowed down the Packers both

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Speaker 2: you know, AJ Dillon and Aaron Jones. Last week, they

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Speaker 2: bollowed up Sapon Barkley. And this is just a game.

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Speaker 2: You know, Josh Allen could just you know, light a

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Speaker 2: blow torch to the secondary. So I don't think they're

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Speaker 2: gonna need Singletary much this week. Give him sort of

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Speaker 2: a breather on a short week, save him up for

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Speaker 2: the playoffs. Plus, you know, James Cook has been super

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Speaker 2: involved in neutral game situations lately, so this could be

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Speaker 2: a big James Cook week. Plus at some point we're

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Speaker 2: gonna see Naim Heines kind of chipway at Singletary's receiving usage.

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Speaker 2: It hasn't happened yet, but I'm just a little bit

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Speaker 2: lower on Singletary this week. Well, you know, I was

378
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Speaker 2: super high on the previous two. He's he's more of

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Speaker 2: a low end RB two for me this week. And

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Speaker 2: I guess one other guy is just Damien Harris. He

381
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Speaker 2: actually ended up getting the start. He's finally fully healthy.

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Speaker 2: He got the start, he had the entire first drive,

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Speaker 2: and then after that it was the Madre Stevenson Show.

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Speaker 2: So you know, Harris had ended up having a good game,

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Speaker 2: you know, had over ninety scrimmage yards. But this is

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Speaker 2: not the week to trust Harris, as you know, an

387
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Speaker 2: RB three, you know there it could be a potential

388
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Speaker 2: trailing game script against the Vikings, and in that situation,

389
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Speaker 2: you know Stevenson's gonna eat. But either way, it was

390
00:19:41,520 --> 00:19:43,119
Speaker 2: a good showing for Harris. But I don't think we

391
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Speaker 2: can trust him quite yet. He's gonna need you know

392
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Speaker 2: that the Patriots to be a touchdown favorite or Stevenson

393
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Speaker 2: to be out of the lineup for us really trust him.

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Speaker 2: So I'm just urging caution with Damian Harris. So he's

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Speaker 2: my RB thirty five to open up the week.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, he's I got my RB forty, So I'm I'm

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Speaker 1: right there with you. He is. You know, it's really

398
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Speaker 1: he's not gonna do a ton in the receiving game,

399
00:20:07,280 --> 00:20:10,639
Speaker 1: so he's gotta break those efficient long chunk runs and

400
00:20:10,680 --> 00:20:12,919
Speaker 1: he can do that. But when you're talking about a

401
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Speaker 1: guy who's gonna be second in terms of carries and

402
00:20:17,800 --> 00:20:20,679
Speaker 1: not really doing a ton in the receiving game on

403
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Speaker 1: a week where there's no buys, it just kind of

404
00:20:22,880 --> 00:20:24,400
Speaker 1: knock knocks him down.

405
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Speaker 2: For me.

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Speaker 1: A couple of the stud guys, I am lower than

407
00:20:30,280 --> 00:20:33,760
Speaker 1: consensus on Saquon Barkley. I have him as RB eight

408
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Speaker 1: this week. I think that's the lowest I've had him yet.

409
00:20:37,760 --> 00:20:42,400
Speaker 1: But again, this Dallas defense, I know, you know, you'd

410
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Speaker 1: rather run than throw on this Dallas defense, but I

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Speaker 1: just don't see the Giants being able to score a

412
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Speaker 1: ton of points here. And you know, Barkley has been

413
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Speaker 1: seeding some of his passing game work to Matt Brida

414
00:20:55,600 --> 00:20:58,399
Speaker 1: as of late. Ever since he injured that shoulder in

415
00:20:59,040 --> 00:21:02,840
Speaker 1: Week five, I believe it was his route participation rate

416
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Speaker 1: has been trending downward and it's around sixty percent after

417
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Speaker 1: it was around seventy five percent in the first month

418
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Speaker 1: of the season. So that's that's got him projected for

419
00:21:13,359 --> 00:21:15,879
Speaker 1: about two point eight receptions for me, where earlier in

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00:21:15,880 --> 00:21:18,440
Speaker 1: the year we were projecting him for like four catches.

421
00:21:18,560 --> 00:21:21,359
Speaker 1: And when you take a reception or reception and a

422
00:21:21,400 --> 00:21:25,359
Speaker 1: half away, and you're talking about the Giants nearly double

423
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Speaker 1: digit underdogs on the road, they're just not a high

424
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Speaker 1: touchdown probability. Again with just nobody on buy, so they're

425
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Speaker 1: just backs in a lot better spots. Like a Kenneth

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Speaker 1: Walker home favored against one of the worst defense in

427
00:21:39,119 --> 00:21:42,400
Speaker 1: the league, his touchdown projection is just a lot high

428
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Speaker 1: and higher. And so that's really what's kind of doing

429
00:21:46,320 --> 00:21:48,720
Speaker 1: it with Barkley where he's out of my top five

430
00:21:48,760 --> 00:21:54,639
Speaker 1: this week, and similar situation for Dalvin Cook. I know

431
00:21:54,720 --> 00:21:58,000
Speaker 1: he's a home he is at home against the Patriots,

432
00:21:58,040 --> 00:22:01,000
Speaker 1: but they've actually shored up their run defense. They're playing

433
00:22:01,040 --> 00:22:04,040
Speaker 1: a lot better against the run, and this is expected

434
00:22:04,080 --> 00:22:07,400
Speaker 1: to be a pretty low scoring game. The total is

435
00:22:07,880 --> 00:22:10,480
Speaker 1: on forty two and a half and that's kind of

436
00:22:10,480 --> 00:22:13,000
Speaker 1: odd for a Vikings game. Usually the totals are a

437
00:22:13,000 --> 00:22:16,439
Speaker 1: little bit higher. So everyone kind of takes a hit

438
00:22:16,480 --> 00:22:19,359
Speaker 1: in terms of the touchdown projections. And again, there's just

439
00:22:19,400 --> 00:22:22,520
Speaker 1: a lot of choices this week, so you know, a game,

440
00:22:22,600 --> 00:22:25,639
Speaker 1: an ugly game like this, not really feeling cook as

441
00:22:25,680 --> 00:22:29,800
Speaker 1: much as I would have been. Also, I think you know,

442
00:22:29,840 --> 00:22:34,280
Speaker 1: the Vikings having some offensive line issues as well, So yeah,

443
00:22:34,760 --> 00:22:37,240
Speaker 1: well on cooking and Cordell. Another one is Cordell Patterson.

444
00:22:37,280 --> 00:22:40,399
Speaker 1: He's outside my top thirty. He's a consensus already twenty five.

445
00:22:41,000 --> 00:22:44,560
Speaker 1: Just want to fade him against this Washington run defense

446
00:22:44,560 --> 00:22:47,239
Speaker 1: that ranks number two in DVOA. And Patterson's not going

447
00:22:47,280 --> 00:22:49,679
Speaker 1: to return a kickoff for a touchdown every week. And

448
00:22:49,720 --> 00:22:53,600
Speaker 1: they're still rotating in three backs at the minimum. Sometimes

449
00:22:53,640 --> 00:22:55,840
Speaker 1: they even will go with four if if they want

450
00:22:55,840 --> 00:22:58,080
Speaker 1: to get Avery Williams a couple of touches here and there.

451
00:22:58,119 --> 00:23:00,560
Speaker 1: So you know, it's been really hard to kind of

452
00:23:00,640 --> 00:23:06,280
Speaker 1: pict Patterson's usage. And if Atlanta doesn't kind of break

453
00:23:06,359 --> 00:23:08,840
Speaker 1: right in terms of getting in close in the red

454
00:23:08,960 --> 00:23:11,600
Speaker 1: zone and getting a goal line Carrie as opposed to

455
00:23:11,640 --> 00:23:14,119
Speaker 1: maybe a little bit of a longer touchdown or not

456
00:23:14,119 --> 00:23:17,399
Speaker 1: scoring touchdowns. It'll be tough for Patterson to hit his

457
00:23:17,480 --> 00:23:20,639
Speaker 1: value because they're using him like more of a traditional

458
00:23:20,680 --> 00:23:25,679
Speaker 1: early down grinder than that hybrid receiver weapon they were

459
00:23:25,760 --> 00:23:27,160
Speaker 1: using him early last year.

460
00:23:28,520 --> 00:23:30,320
Speaker 2: Yeah, the Cook call is a good call, and it

461
00:23:30,320 --> 00:23:33,480
Speaker 2: looks like Christian Derris has already ruled out, which is surprising.

462
00:23:33,760 --> 00:23:34,359
Speaker 1: Number one y.

463
00:23:36,160 --> 00:23:39,000
Speaker 2: Yep, So that's huge And your Barkley call is definitely

464
00:23:39,560 --> 00:23:42,480
Speaker 2: a hot take. Do you think though, with Wandell Robinson out,

465
00:23:42,520 --> 00:23:45,160
Speaker 2: maybe we do see him get back to that three

466
00:23:45,200 --> 00:23:48,960
Speaker 2: to four catch gate? Like, how are you handling Wandale

467
00:23:49,040 --> 00:23:51,240
Speaker 2: Robinson being out? Because he was he was a target

468
00:23:51,240 --> 00:23:53,199
Speaker 2: hog in this offense. So I just think that, you know,

469
00:23:53,280 --> 00:23:56,320
Speaker 2: Barkley might be one of the pass catchers that benefits.

470
00:23:56,680 --> 00:23:59,720
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, he absolutely could, but you know, another

471
00:24:00,000 --> 00:24:02,840
Speaker 1: section or two is not going to completely change his value.

472
00:24:02,880 --> 00:24:05,879
Speaker 1: I mean you look at his you know, he the

473
00:24:05,920 --> 00:24:08,200
Speaker 1: fact that he couldn't get going again at home against

474
00:24:08,240 --> 00:24:12,160
Speaker 1: Detroit last week, I think it's troubling. Uh, he put

475
00:24:12,240 --> 00:24:15,719
Speaker 1: up the big game against Houston, but he had thirty

476
00:24:15,720 --> 00:24:18,159
Speaker 1: five carries and he only averaged four point three a

477
00:24:18,200 --> 00:24:21,000
Speaker 1: carry against Houston. That's not even that great. And I

478
00:24:21,080 --> 00:24:25,320
Speaker 1: just wonderbody against right and I just wonder if the

479
00:24:25,400 --> 00:24:28,159
Speaker 1: shoulder injury earlier in the year, then he gets thirty

480
00:24:28,160 --> 00:24:32,480
Speaker 1: five carries against Houston, uh and you know, not super efficient,

481
00:24:32,560 --> 00:24:34,840
Speaker 1: just kind of regular. I just wonder if it's all

482
00:24:34,840 --> 00:24:37,760
Speaker 1: catching up to him, because and now you're going on

483
00:24:37,800 --> 00:24:39,479
Speaker 1: a short week, which is another reason. You know, if

484
00:24:39,560 --> 00:24:41,440
Speaker 1: a guy had thirty five carries a week and a

485
00:24:41,480 --> 00:24:46,320
Speaker 1: half ago and then just fifteen for twenty two at

486
00:24:46,359 --> 00:24:49,320
Speaker 1: home against what was on paper, one of the worst

487
00:24:49,359 --> 00:24:53,040
Speaker 1: run defenses in the league, you know, I just worry

488
00:24:53,040 --> 00:24:56,240
Speaker 1: a little bit about Saquon. And he's already had two

489
00:24:56,359 --> 00:24:59,320
Speaker 1: hundred and forty four touches this season. He hasn't had

490
00:24:59,359 --> 00:25:02,520
Speaker 1: that many since twenty nineteen, which is his second year

491
00:25:02,520 --> 00:25:05,359
Speaker 1: in the league. And we're probably through ten games here,

492
00:25:05,520 --> 00:25:07,360
Speaker 1: so I mean this, this guy is carrying a load,

493
00:25:07,400 --> 00:25:09,240
Speaker 1: and I just I just worry that it's catching up

494
00:25:09,280 --> 00:25:11,720
Speaker 1: to him a little bit. So on a full slate,

495
00:25:12,080 --> 00:25:13,960
Speaker 1: he's you know, he's my RBA instead of my RB

496
00:25:14,040 --> 00:25:15,199
Speaker 1: you know, one, two or three.

497
00:25:15,480 --> 00:25:18,200
Speaker 2: Yeah, the Giants have the fifth lowest team total, which

498
00:25:18,240 --> 00:25:21,720
Speaker 2: makes sense. So yeah, his his touchdown odds go way down.

499
00:25:21,800 --> 00:25:24,520
Speaker 2: So yeah, I could see it. Yeah, I guess I

500
00:25:24,640 --> 00:25:26,760
Speaker 2: just probably gave him just a little bit, you know,

501
00:25:27,040 --> 00:25:31,359
Speaker 2: more receiving work as all, but more respect respect.

502
00:25:31,480 --> 00:25:32,960
Speaker 1: Yeah.

503
00:25:33,119 --> 00:25:34,760
Speaker 2: Yeah, so no, it just makes sense why you'd be

504
00:25:34,880 --> 00:25:36,359
Speaker 2: a little bit lower on this week for sure.

505
00:25:37,040 --> 00:25:38,120
Speaker 1: All right, what are you doing with the prop?

506
00:25:38,560 --> 00:25:42,000
Speaker 2: Oh we gotta go Tony Pollard here total rushing and

507
00:25:42,560 --> 00:25:46,960
Speaker 2: receiving yards. I mean, he is pushing RB one status

508
00:25:46,960 --> 00:25:52,560
Speaker 2: even when Zeke is hundred percent. So let's see, I

509
00:25:52,840 --> 00:25:55,320
Speaker 2: have an eighty three and a half total scrimmage yards

510
00:25:55,359 --> 00:25:55,960
Speaker 2: over under that.

511
00:25:56,760 --> 00:25:58,520
Speaker 1: Oh that is a good line. I got eighty six.

512
00:25:58,560 --> 00:26:01,760
Speaker 1: I go over. This guy is just a master of

513
00:26:01,920 --> 00:26:09,080
Speaker 1: chunk plays hit. He's like a better Travis et and

514
00:26:09,119 --> 00:26:11,600
Speaker 1: Travis ETN is great, but Poward is kind of that

515
00:26:11,640 --> 00:26:14,920
Speaker 1: same type of back. Just he's never he doesn't look

516
00:26:15,160 --> 00:26:19,960
Speaker 1: super powerful, but he's always slithering out of tackles, and

517
00:26:20,560 --> 00:26:24,879
Speaker 1: he just covers ground so fast that you know, we

518
00:26:24,960 --> 00:26:27,080
Speaker 1: could be done with one drive and he could have

519
00:26:27,119 --> 00:26:30,160
Speaker 1: forty four yards or something like that already, so it's

520
00:26:30,160 --> 00:26:33,000
Speaker 1: a very good line. I got eighty six about fourteen

521
00:26:33,080 --> 00:26:37,720
Speaker 1: touches for him, but I will go over at home

522
00:26:38,359 --> 00:26:40,639
Speaker 1: against the Giants. He just makes it look so effortless

523
00:26:40,680 --> 00:26:46,119
Speaker 1: every time he's on the field. The Giants rusticip a bit. True.

524
00:26:46,200 --> 00:26:49,200
Speaker 2: True. So I mean we've seen Pollard in three games

525
00:26:49,200 --> 00:26:52,159
Speaker 2: now without Zeke, and what is he averaging like thirty

526
00:26:52,200 --> 00:26:54,679
Speaker 2: Fantasy points or something like that. It's a shame, but

527
00:26:54,680 --> 00:26:57,160
Speaker 2: at least we've seen, you know, even when Zeke is back,

528
00:26:57,560 --> 00:26:59,919
Speaker 2: they can't go away from Paular at this point. You know.

529
00:27:00,040 --> 00:27:02,520
Speaker 2: I know Jerry Jones is paying Zeke a shit ton

530
00:27:02,560 --> 00:27:04,159
Speaker 2: of money, but he does want to win. So I

531
00:27:04,240 --> 00:27:07,560
Speaker 2: think I think going forward we will see Pollard potentially

532
00:27:07,560 --> 00:27:10,240
Speaker 2: out touch Elliott, which is just massive. And that's why

533
00:27:10,400 --> 00:27:12,840
Speaker 2: I have him in like every league because he was

534
00:27:12,880 --> 00:27:15,240
Speaker 2: going to put up RB two value either way, I think.

535
00:27:15,280 --> 00:27:18,000
Speaker 2: But just anytime Zeke miss his time, he's I call

536
00:27:18,119 --> 00:27:21,120
Speaker 2: him a top five option. He's like a top two option. Yeah,

537
00:27:21,440 --> 00:27:22,880
Speaker 2: Like he's so good.

538
00:27:23,320 --> 00:27:26,800
Speaker 1: I'm sure he made up for Melvin Gordon and Kareem Hunt.

539
00:27:26,840 --> 00:27:29,760
Speaker 1: Like it's just having Tony Pollard completely makes up for

540
00:27:29,920 --> 00:27:31,359
Speaker 1: because like you would think like he was kind of

541
00:27:31,359 --> 00:27:32,760
Speaker 1: in that group where it was like, all right, these

542
00:27:32,800 --> 00:27:34,960
Speaker 1: high upside backups, and it's not been a good year

543
00:27:35,000 --> 00:27:38,280
Speaker 1: for some of those guys, you know, Hunt, Gordon Yllan

544
00:27:38,359 --> 00:27:42,040
Speaker 1: even has kind of been Yeah, Dylan is the guy. Yeah,

545
00:27:42,160 --> 00:27:44,120
Speaker 1: Poward has just kind of made up for all of it.

546
00:27:44,640 --> 00:27:46,200
Speaker 2: That's why you take a lot of swings at these

547
00:27:46,240 --> 00:27:48,480
Speaker 2: types of guys. They don't all hit, but when they do,

548
00:27:48,600 --> 00:27:50,200
Speaker 2: you know, the their league winners.

549
00:27:50,600 --> 00:27:54,639
Speaker 1: And uh yeah, to your point, I believe it was

550
00:27:54,720 --> 00:27:57,120
Speaker 1: reported that Dallas is going to give them a more

551
00:27:57,240 --> 00:28:00,960
Speaker 1: even touch split going forward. And Rollo made a good

552
00:28:01,000 --> 00:28:05,399
Speaker 1: point on the telecast against the Vikings. He was like,

553
00:28:05,440 --> 00:28:11,320
Speaker 1: you know, if you're running Zeke inside and he's playing physically,

554
00:28:11,440 --> 00:28:14,560
Speaker 1: obviously he's not super explosive or as explosive as he

555
00:28:14,600 --> 00:28:17,240
Speaker 1: once was, but you're playing physical with him and the

556
00:28:17,240 --> 00:28:19,120
Speaker 1: defense has to kind of guard one guy and then

557
00:28:19,440 --> 00:28:21,480
Speaker 1: and then you take powered and you just you know,

558
00:28:21,680 --> 00:28:23,919
Speaker 1: let him do what he does. Like it could be

559
00:28:24,240 --> 00:28:27,080
Speaker 1: just as explosive, you know, and kind of work. You know,

560
00:28:27,119 --> 00:28:30,159
Speaker 1: it's still it's just a very good offense when you

561
00:28:30,200 --> 00:28:33,320
Speaker 1: have a guy like that. So I think Zeke being

562
00:28:33,359 --> 00:28:36,560
Speaker 1: back actually helps him because you know, then powered, he

563
00:28:36,720 --> 00:28:39,800
Speaker 1: can go to the sideline after like two twenty yard

564
00:28:39,880 --> 00:28:42,520
Speaker 1: runs in a row, which he breaks quite often, and

565
00:28:42,560 --> 00:28:45,400
Speaker 1: then come back when the defense has just had Zeke

566
00:28:45,440 --> 00:28:47,000
Speaker 1: hit him in the mouth a couple of times. So

567
00:28:47,560 --> 00:28:50,160
Speaker 1: I like the situation there because I think Dallas with

568
00:28:50,400 --> 00:28:52,520
Speaker 1: just the offense in generals and the defense they have,

569
00:28:52,920 --> 00:28:54,560
Speaker 1: I'm going to be able to control the ball. So

570
00:28:54,680 --> 00:28:57,520
Speaker 1: it's gonna be a lot of running back snaps to

571
00:28:57,520 --> 00:29:04,600
Speaker 1: go around. All right, It's jump to wide receiver top five, Uh, Tyrek.

572
00:29:04,320 --> 00:29:08,920
Speaker 2: Hill, Davonte Adams, Stefon Diggs, Justin Jefferson, and DeAndre Hopkins.

573
00:29:10,080 --> 00:29:14,360
Speaker 1: Uh got Tyreek, Stefan Diggs, Adams, Jefferson, and my number

574
00:29:14,360 --> 00:29:17,959
Speaker 1: five is aman Ross Saint Brown. I just think that

575
00:29:18,120 --> 00:29:21,040
Speaker 1: is going to be, uh one of those kind of

576
00:29:21,040 --> 00:29:23,440
Speaker 1: shootout games that Detroit gets into. I mean, look at

577
00:29:23,520 --> 00:29:27,400
Speaker 1: look at Cleveland. You know, indoors in that stadium, Jacobe

578
00:29:27,480 --> 00:29:30,840
Speaker 1: Prissett and who I was actually high on, thank goodness.

579
00:29:30,920 --> 00:29:34,000
Speaker 1: But you know, for that exact reason, this Buffalo zone

580
00:29:34,040 --> 00:29:36,719
Speaker 1: defense they're gonna put up points on one side and

581
00:29:36,760 --> 00:29:39,840
Speaker 1: then they of course they got good players, but they've

582
00:29:39,840 --> 00:29:43,080
Speaker 1: been every week they're missing one, two, three, four guys

583
00:29:43,560 --> 00:29:48,080
Speaker 1: on that defense, whether it's Edmunds or Poyer. Uh so,

584
00:29:48,080 --> 00:29:51,200
Speaker 1: so you know they're gonna give up production, even if

585
00:29:51,240 --> 00:29:53,880
Speaker 1: it's just in garbage time. But Amon and Roth's been

586
00:29:53,880 --> 00:29:56,640
Speaker 1: doing this thing regardless, just keeps putting up these you know,

587
00:29:56,720 --> 00:29:59,160
Speaker 1: seven eight catch games, and he'll he'll get back in

588
00:29:59,200 --> 00:29:59,840
Speaker 1: the end zone sooner.

589
00:30:01,120 --> 00:30:03,920
Speaker 2: Yeah. No, I love that Jamison Williams looks like he's

590
00:30:03,920 --> 00:30:05,560
Speaker 2: nearing a return. I can't wait to see him on

591
00:30:05,600 --> 00:30:07,440
Speaker 2: the field as well. He might open things up even

592
00:30:07,480 --> 00:30:11,160
Speaker 2: more for aman Ra underneath, so that that's gonna be

593
00:30:11,200 --> 00:30:13,240
Speaker 2: an exciting wide receiver duo going forward.

594
00:30:13,520 --> 00:30:16,480
Speaker 1: Yeah, this guy's been running rounds next to Khalif Raymond,

595
00:30:17,160 --> 00:30:24,400
Speaker 1: Tom Kennedy and Stoney Ferry Hill. Yeah Brock right right, Yeah,

596
00:30:23,800 --> 00:30:27,320
Speaker 1: A man, who are you high on?

597
00:30:28,000 --> 00:30:31,200
Speaker 2: I'm high on Tyler Boyd. You know, I think he's

598
00:30:31,240 --> 00:30:33,920
Speaker 2: a low end wide receiver. Two this week, he's coming

599
00:30:33,920 --> 00:30:37,200
Speaker 2: off a pretty disappointing two catch for forty two yard game.

600
00:30:38,240 --> 00:30:40,640
Speaker 2: The Titans are first and dbo against the run, and

601
00:30:41,400 --> 00:30:43,840
Speaker 2: the Bengals could be without Joe Mixon. So this this

602
00:30:43,880 --> 00:30:47,640
Speaker 2: is really a pass funnel defense and they're thirty second

603
00:30:47,720 --> 00:30:52,000
Speaker 2: DBA against number two wide receivers. So I'm guessing Jamar

604
00:30:52,080 --> 00:30:54,560
Speaker 2: Chase will need at least one more week to return.

605
00:30:55,200 --> 00:30:57,320
Speaker 2: I'm kind of assuming that when I'm projecting the Bengals

606
00:30:57,400 --> 00:31:00,280
Speaker 2: right now. Plus, you know the Titans secondary is bang up.

607
00:31:00,680 --> 00:31:03,560
Speaker 2: Fulton and Elijah Moulten are both questionable this week, so

608
00:31:03,880 --> 00:31:06,360
Speaker 2: this could be a blow up spot for Boyd and

609
00:31:06,360 --> 00:31:09,360
Speaker 2: then he'll be back into you know, fringe wide receiver three,

610
00:31:09,360 --> 00:31:12,400
Speaker 2: wide receiver four territory once Chase returns. But I think

611
00:31:12,400 --> 00:31:14,400
Speaker 2: we're gonna get one more big week out of him

612
00:31:14,400 --> 00:31:18,400
Speaker 2: here and then I gotta go Gabe Davis here. Last

613
00:31:18,440 --> 00:31:20,680
Speaker 2: week I was down on him. I apologize for that. Again.

614
00:31:20,760 --> 00:31:26,720
Speaker 2: That was weather concerned, you know, for sure, Yeah, what's

615
00:31:26,800 --> 00:31:29,240
Speaker 2: it moved to Detroit? You know, I'm back on the

616
00:31:29,280 --> 00:31:32,200
Speaker 2: game train. But this week, we know it's in Detroit.

617
00:31:33,160 --> 00:31:35,720
Speaker 2: So this isn't just an eruption spot for him against

618
00:31:35,720 --> 00:31:38,880
Speaker 2: the Lion's defense that has allowed the most receptions twenty

619
00:31:38,960 --> 00:31:42,600
Speaker 2: plus yards downfield. So that's Gabe Davis's sweet spot again.

620
00:31:42,640 --> 00:31:44,560
Speaker 2: You know, the lines have been pretty solid against the

621
00:31:44,600 --> 00:31:46,800
Speaker 2: run lately, so I just think this is a matchup,

622
00:31:46,960 --> 00:31:50,800
Speaker 2: you know, Josh Allens just goes off specifically Gabe Davis,

623
00:31:50,840 --> 00:31:53,480
Speaker 2: so he's all the way up to wide receiver twelve

624
00:31:53,520 --> 00:31:57,280
Speaker 2: for me. I know, I predicted a Stefan Diggs and

625
00:31:57,360 --> 00:31:59,720
Speaker 2: gave Davis both being in the top five a week.

626
00:31:59,720 --> 00:32:02,440
Speaker 2: We're not quite yet there, but we're getting there.

627
00:32:03,560 --> 00:32:06,320
Speaker 1: Yeah. Man, Davis has been a little bit inconsistent this year.

628
00:32:06,320 --> 00:32:09,200
Speaker 1: It struggled with some drops, just hasn't made at least

629
00:32:09,240 --> 00:32:10,840
Speaker 1: since early in the year as many of those wow

630
00:32:10,920 --> 00:32:14,200
Speaker 1: plays as you would expect, So hopefully he gets back

631
00:32:14,960 --> 00:32:18,520
Speaker 1: gets back to it in this one. I am high

632
00:32:18,600 --> 00:32:25,040
Speaker 1: on DK metcalf. He is the consensus wide receiver twenty one.

633
00:32:25,640 --> 00:32:30,560
Speaker 1: He's my wide receiver thirteen. Vegas is dead weast in

634
00:32:30,680 --> 00:32:33,840
Speaker 1: DVOA against the pass, the blow average against number one

635
00:32:33,960 --> 00:32:37,640
Speaker 1: wide receivers, and they tend to point man coverage more

636
00:32:37,680 --> 00:32:40,719
Speaker 1: than most defenses. Their seventh in man coverage rate, and

637
00:32:41,440 --> 00:32:45,160
Speaker 1: DK averages two point nine yards per route against man

638
00:32:45,160 --> 00:32:48,200
Speaker 1: coverage that leads the Seahawks and his twelfth league wide

639
00:32:48,200 --> 00:32:50,800
Speaker 1: among wide receivers. So I just think it's a good

640
00:32:50,840 --> 00:32:53,680
Speaker 1: matchup for pretty much everyone on the Seahawks team. I

641
00:32:53,680 --> 00:32:56,880
Speaker 1: mean walker on the ground, Gino through the air. But yeah,

642
00:32:56,880 --> 00:33:00,320
Speaker 1: I gotta mention Metcalf, even on a pack slate, I

643
00:33:00,360 --> 00:33:04,160
Speaker 1: think he deserves to be a top fifteen wide receiver

644
00:33:04,240 --> 00:33:09,480
Speaker 1: this week thirteenth. All right, who are you long.

645
00:33:10,920 --> 00:33:14,040
Speaker 2: Man? I hate to say it, but Christian Watson. I

646
00:33:14,080 --> 00:33:17,600
Speaker 2: haven't met wide receiver forty oh in the week. Yeah,

647
00:33:17,600 --> 00:33:20,000
Speaker 2: I know, right, this is scary and I do. I

648
00:33:20,120 --> 00:33:23,960
Speaker 2: view him as a solid wide receiver three with upside

649
00:33:24,000 --> 00:33:26,920
Speaker 2: the rest of the season, but we have to consider

650
00:33:27,000 --> 00:33:29,680
Speaker 2: the matchup this week, so he does get a slight downgrade.

651
00:33:30,240 --> 00:33:32,400
Speaker 2: I mean, he typically lines up on the outside, so

652
00:33:32,840 --> 00:33:35,400
Speaker 2: against the Eagles, he's likely going to face off against

653
00:33:35,480 --> 00:33:38,600
Speaker 2: Darius Slay and James Brebery and we can't bank on

654
00:33:38,720 --> 00:33:42,320
Speaker 2: touchdowns every week with him. I think the Eagles will

655
00:33:42,480 --> 00:33:44,280
Speaker 2: take note of that when they get in the red zone,

656
00:33:44,640 --> 00:33:49,040
Speaker 2: make sure they have somebody on Watson. So plus, you know,

657
00:33:49,080 --> 00:33:51,280
Speaker 2: the Packers will probably take advantage of the Eagles run

658
00:33:51,760 --> 00:33:54,320
Speaker 2: funnel defense here. So this is just you know, we

659
00:33:54,400 --> 00:33:57,000
Speaker 2: have to be cautious with them. You know, I'm still

660
00:33:57,400 --> 00:34:00,320
Speaker 2: starting him if he's your best, you know, easier top

661
00:34:00,360 --> 00:34:04,120
Speaker 2: three receivers, but there could be better options out there,

662
00:34:04,200 --> 00:34:06,760
Speaker 2: is all I'm saying, so he's just slightly lower than

663
00:34:06,800 --> 00:34:09,960
Speaker 2: ECR to begin the week at wide receiver forty and

664
00:34:10,000 --> 00:34:12,760
Speaker 2: then a guy I'm more confidently down on is Curtis

665
00:34:12,800 --> 00:34:16,600
Speaker 2: Samuel at wide receiver forty one against the Falcons. And

666
00:34:16,719 --> 00:34:19,040
Speaker 2: he was, you know, a mainstay in my top twenty

667
00:34:19,400 --> 00:34:21,799
Speaker 2: just a couple of weeks ago, but he has seen

668
00:34:21,800 --> 00:34:25,359
Speaker 2: his target share plummet down to twelve percent per route

669
00:34:25,400 --> 00:34:28,280
Speaker 2: run the past four games. Plus. You know, Johan Dawson

670
00:34:28,400 --> 00:34:30,440
Speaker 2: is back to his full time role, and while he

671
00:34:30,480 --> 00:34:35,400
Speaker 2: hasn't really been commanding many targets, it's certainly lowering Samuel's

672
00:34:35,400 --> 00:34:39,000
Speaker 2: weekly for ceiling combo. You know, Curtis Samuel is able

673
00:34:39,000 --> 00:34:41,600
Speaker 2: to bail his fantasy managers out last week with the

674
00:34:41,680 --> 00:34:44,040
Speaker 2: rushing score, but again, we can't just bank on touchdowns

675
00:34:44,080 --> 00:34:47,640
Speaker 2: every week. So he's back in that wide receiver four territory,

676
00:34:47,719 --> 00:34:50,239
Speaker 2: especially with no teams on a bye this week. He

677
00:34:50,360 --> 00:34:53,360
Speaker 2: is way down my wide receiver rankings at wide receiver

678
00:34:53,440 --> 00:34:54,320
Speaker 2: forty one this week.

679
00:34:54,880 --> 00:34:59,320
Speaker 1: Yeah, IVAM thirty seven, So I'm lower than consensus as well.

680
00:35:00,080 --> 00:35:03,279
Speaker 1: You know, his his route participation's going down. He's being

681
00:35:03,360 --> 00:35:06,680
Speaker 1: used as a you know, a running back at kind

682
00:35:06,680 --> 00:35:09,279
Speaker 1: of their third running back at times. But it's kind

683
00:35:09,280 --> 00:35:12,239
Speaker 1: of like the quarter Ole Patterson situation. It's just if

684
00:35:12,239 --> 00:35:14,080
Speaker 1: you're getting a couple of carries in and there, but

685
00:35:14,080 --> 00:35:17,960
Speaker 1: you're not getting that many catches anymore. Like now you're

686
00:35:18,000 --> 00:35:21,800
Speaker 1: in this weird you know, Lane, You're not Deevo Samuel,

687
00:35:21,920 --> 00:35:25,520
Speaker 1: So right, it's tough, but yeah, I'm weller as well

688
00:35:27,120 --> 00:35:29,719
Speaker 1: lower than him, well than contentsus on him. Excuse me,

689
00:35:30,600 --> 00:35:31,960
Speaker 1: I am anyone else.

690
00:35:31,920 --> 00:35:34,400
Speaker 2: Or no, that's it those two. Where do you have

691
00:35:35,320 --> 00:35:37,320
Speaker 2: Christian Watson rink right now? Just curious?

692
00:35:37,560 --> 00:35:40,680
Speaker 1: I have Watson wide receiver thirty?

693
00:35:41,520 --> 00:35:43,720
Speaker 2: Oh okay, so everyone? Why? Okay?

694
00:35:44,880 --> 00:35:47,120
Speaker 1: Yeah, I still have him for about four catches for fifty,

695
00:35:47,160 --> 00:35:49,920
Speaker 1: you know, kind of the normal stuff. You know, It's

696
00:35:49,960 --> 00:35:54,440
Speaker 1: it's tough with this Philly defense to kind of reject

697
00:35:54,480 --> 00:35:58,880
Speaker 1: individual receivers because you know, last week, for example, I said, okay,

698
00:35:59,040 --> 00:36:02,879
Speaker 1: Michael Pittman mayds ruggle a little bit, but there's still

699
00:36:02,880 --> 00:36:05,760
Speaker 1: a zone defense, so you could get those crossers things

700
00:36:05,800 --> 00:36:08,160
Speaker 1: like that, and you do things to kind of get

701
00:36:08,200 --> 00:36:12,839
Speaker 1: away from the two perimeter cornerbacks. So you know, I'm

702
00:36:12,880 --> 00:36:15,480
Speaker 1: sure Aaron Rodgers is a savvy event I wouldn't be

703
00:36:15,680 --> 00:36:20,320
Speaker 1: overly worried about Watson. His route participation did drop from

704
00:36:20,960 --> 00:36:23,719
Speaker 1: ninety to seventy eight, but I still expect him to

705
00:36:23,760 --> 00:36:25,799
Speaker 1: kind of be in that you know, like seventy five

706
00:36:25,840 --> 00:36:28,839
Speaker 1: to ninety range that you know that I receiver two ranch. Yeah,

707
00:36:28,840 --> 00:36:32,399
Speaker 1: I think I'm gonna bet you'll have them a little

708
00:36:32,480 --> 00:36:32,960
Speaker 1: higher by it.

709
00:36:33,160 --> 00:36:36,640
Speaker 2: Well, yeah, possibly, and starting next week, I mean he's

710
00:36:36,640 --> 00:36:39,000
Speaker 2: probably gonna be inside my top twenty five. It's just

711
00:36:39,280 --> 00:36:40,919
Speaker 2: one of those things we do have to at least

712
00:36:40,920 --> 00:36:42,920
Speaker 2: factor in the matchup. And this week, yeah, you know,

713
00:36:43,000 --> 00:36:45,359
Speaker 2: it's not a good one, and I really do think

714
00:36:45,400 --> 00:36:48,120
Speaker 2: they're gonna lean on the run. I mean kind of

715
00:36:48,120 --> 00:36:51,520
Speaker 2: what they did, you know against like the Bills that game.

716
00:36:52,080 --> 00:36:54,080
Speaker 2: We could see something like that. So it's just I'm

717
00:36:54,080 --> 00:36:57,800
Speaker 2: projecting Aaron Rodgers specifically to not throw for many yards

718
00:36:58,520 --> 00:37:02,800
Speaker 2: and that's just hurting all the pass catchers, specifically Watson.

719
00:37:02,840 --> 00:37:05,000
Speaker 2: So that's that's all I'm saying. Just worry about the

720
00:37:05,000 --> 00:37:05,759
Speaker 2: matchup a little bit.

721
00:37:07,120 --> 00:37:11,319
Speaker 1: Yep. I'm all on Dj Moore. I have him wide

722
00:37:11,360 --> 00:37:14,600
Speaker 1: receiver thirty nine. He's a consensus wide receiver thirty five

723
00:37:14,840 --> 00:37:20,200
Speaker 1: and h you know, talk about a tough matchup. You

724
00:37:20,200 --> 00:37:24,680
Speaker 1: know this. I know certain got lit up by Devonte Adams,

725
00:37:24,680 --> 00:37:27,799
Speaker 1: but Devontae Adams has been the only the only guy

726
00:37:27,880 --> 00:37:30,200
Speaker 1: that can do that. I mean, I was on the

727
00:37:30,280 --> 00:37:34,759
Speaker 1: Raiders in that game specifically because the Raiders were pretty

728
00:37:34,840 --> 00:37:37,640
Speaker 1: much the only offense all year that gave the Broncos

729
00:37:37,719 --> 00:37:41,480
Speaker 1: defense trouble, and they did it yet again. But now

730
00:37:41,800 --> 00:37:44,600
Speaker 1: you got More. You don't even we don't even know

731
00:37:44,640 --> 00:37:50,640
Speaker 1: what the quarterbacks is gonna be first, right, basically second

732
00:37:50,680 --> 00:37:54,080
Speaker 1: of all terras. Marshall is actually coming on and he

733
00:37:54,320 --> 00:37:58,239
Speaker 1: gets less attention. So a lot of times the Panthers

734
00:37:58,239 --> 00:38:02,200
Speaker 1: offense is gonna be concentrated around those two perimeter guys

735
00:38:02,200 --> 00:38:04,440
Speaker 1: for the most part, and they'll try to work in

736
00:38:04,760 --> 00:38:08,120
Speaker 1: Visca or Shy Smith, but a lot of times Marshall,

737
00:38:08,160 --> 00:38:11,120
Speaker 1: it's kind of like the Donovan people's Jone situation a

738
00:38:11,160 --> 00:38:14,200
Speaker 1: little bit, except with More not balling out like Cooper.

739
00:38:14,280 --> 00:38:17,520
Speaker 1: But you know, if you got a stud on the

740
00:38:17,520 --> 00:38:19,560
Speaker 1: other side of you, a lot of times, you know

741
00:38:19,760 --> 00:38:21,879
Speaker 1: the quarterback ends up going to the guy that's drawing

742
00:38:21,960 --> 00:38:23,560
Speaker 1: less attention. So I think More is just going to

743
00:38:23,600 --> 00:38:27,320
Speaker 1: be the focal point of that game plan for Denver,

744
00:38:27,480 --> 00:38:30,359
Speaker 1: and they should get a little bit healthier they were

745
00:38:30,880 --> 00:38:33,640
Speaker 1: just they've been injury ravaged for for a while now,

746
00:38:33,719 --> 00:38:37,200
Speaker 1: so you know, don't do not like DJ Moore and

747
00:38:37,280 --> 00:38:40,239
Speaker 1: just another one of those games where the total is

748
00:38:40,280 --> 00:38:41,880
Speaker 1: thirty five and a half, which.

749
00:38:41,760 --> 00:38:43,000
Speaker 2: I don't remember the last time.

750
00:38:43,239 --> 00:38:45,280
Speaker 1: When is the last time we've seen a total open

751
00:38:45,840 --> 00:38:48,560
Speaker 1: under thirty six, like in the thousand So.

752
00:38:49,520 --> 00:38:51,919
Speaker 2: The Bills Patriots game.

753
00:38:52,120 --> 00:38:54,080
Speaker 1: Oh yes, yes, Wendy, but I.

754
00:38:54,080 --> 00:38:56,359
Speaker 2: Think it was like thirty nine and a half or something.

755
00:38:58,560 --> 00:39:02,000
Speaker 2: The Kendall Hinton game. I think that was pretty low.

756
00:39:02,600 --> 00:39:04,719
Speaker 1: That opened a little higher, I think, and then ended

757
00:39:04,760 --> 00:39:06,440
Speaker 1: up dropping them. I feel like that was just in

758
00:39:06,480 --> 00:39:07,920
Speaker 1: the normal. I don't know if that was like a

759
00:39:07,920 --> 00:39:10,480
Speaker 1: thirty six to start, like this was like a thirty

760
00:39:10,520 --> 00:39:12,360
Speaker 1: five to start, that's well yeah.

761
00:39:12,239 --> 00:39:14,239
Speaker 2: I mean, but once we knew that Kendall had would

762
00:39:14,239 --> 00:39:16,359
Speaker 2: be starting, I think it was around thirty six. But yeah,

763
00:39:16,400 --> 00:39:18,640
Speaker 2: either way, this is definitely one of the lowest totals

764
00:39:18,680 --> 00:39:22,680
Speaker 2: we've seen non weather related anyway, And I still think

765
00:39:22,719 --> 00:39:23,839
Speaker 2: it might be a little bit too high.

766
00:39:24,640 --> 00:39:27,520
Speaker 1: Yeah, I can't. I mean, Denver, you know what they're

767
00:39:27,520 --> 00:39:30,680
Speaker 1: gonna do. They're gonna score thirteen to sixteen points. Yep,

768
00:39:31,239 --> 00:39:35,279
Speaker 1: and Carolina. I didn't see Carolina on red zone for

769
00:39:35,440 --> 00:39:39,360
Speaker 1: the full three hours last week because they did not

770
00:39:39,560 --> 00:39:43,400
Speaker 1: a thing on offense, So it looks like PJ. Walker

771
00:39:43,480 --> 00:39:46,239
Speaker 1: still got the anchor. I feel like, you know, as

772
00:39:46,239 --> 00:39:49,400
Speaker 1: crazy as it sounds, he's probably their best bet to

773
00:39:49,520 --> 00:39:52,319
Speaker 1: run an efficient offense. I mean, you know, yes, he's

774
00:39:52,320 --> 00:39:54,600
Speaker 1: gonna make mistakes and he's you know, but he gives

775
00:39:54,640 --> 00:39:57,759
Speaker 1: him some upside, whereas it's just they're just kind of,

776
00:39:58,600 --> 00:40:01,080
Speaker 1: you know, running in place with with Mayfield, and I

777
00:40:01,080 --> 00:40:05,239
Speaker 1: can't imagine it would be significantly better with Darnold. I mean, yeah,

778
00:40:05,239 --> 00:40:08,439
Speaker 1: he's a hot start that first year with Carolina, but yeah,

779
00:40:08,960 --> 00:40:10,719
Speaker 1: you know, we don't know what's going on with him.

780
00:40:10,760 --> 00:40:15,439
Speaker 1: So uh and there could be some there could there's

781
00:40:15,480 --> 00:40:17,359
Speaker 1: some win. There's not. For a second, I thought there

782
00:40:17,400 --> 00:40:19,600
Speaker 1: was some rain in the forecast, but it is some Uh,

783
00:40:20,160 --> 00:40:23,960
Speaker 1: it is some win. There's potential rain in the Bucks

784
00:40:23,960 --> 00:40:26,480
Speaker 1: Browns game and the Jets Bears game.

785
00:40:26,560 --> 00:40:29,400
Speaker 2: So yeah, all we need is Bill Vanovich to be

786
00:40:29,440 --> 00:40:31,640
Speaker 2: the rest of this game as well.

787
00:40:31,080 --> 00:40:36,000
Speaker 1: Right yeah, uh, and uh, one more I'll mention you

788
00:40:36,000 --> 00:40:37,840
Speaker 1: you mentioned Samuel who I am won as well. But

789
00:40:37,840 --> 00:40:42,200
Speaker 1: I'm also low on Johan Dotson. He's I guess because

790
00:40:42,239 --> 00:40:46,200
Speaker 1: you know, high upside rookie started the year well with

791
00:40:46,239 --> 00:40:51,839
Speaker 1: those touchdowns. He is landing at wide receiver forty six

792
00:40:51,920 --> 00:40:56,080
Speaker 1: in consensus, and I haven't projected for about eighty eight

793
00:40:56,120 --> 00:40:59,400
Speaker 1: percent of the routes as the number two wide receiver,

794
00:40:59,640 --> 00:41:03,320
Speaker 1: and he's still projecting as my wide receiver sixty six

795
00:41:03,719 --> 00:41:08,520
Speaker 1: because the guy just hasn't been drawing targets consistently. His

796
00:41:08,640 --> 00:41:12,080
Speaker 1: target per route rate is just eleven percent and that

797
00:41:12,200 --> 00:41:15,120
Speaker 1: is not going to cut it. He was basically relying

798
00:41:16,080 --> 00:41:20,640
Speaker 1: solely on touchdowns, and you know he could get on shore.

799
00:41:20,640 --> 00:41:23,480
Speaker 1: I wouldn't be surprised, you know, rookies as the year progresses,

800
00:41:23,520 --> 00:41:29,319
Speaker 1: but there's nothing to say I'm ranking him above. You know,

801
00:41:29,560 --> 00:41:33,440
Speaker 1: like another handful of ten to fifteen guys that are

802
00:41:33,520 --> 00:41:35,719
Speaker 1: just going to be are just targeted a lot more

803
00:41:35,719 --> 00:41:38,319
Speaker 1: and have the same kind of opportunities. I mean, this

804
00:41:38,360 --> 00:41:41,799
Speaker 1: guy has caught more than three passes in a game

805
00:41:42,239 --> 00:41:44,880
Speaker 1: only once. He started the year with two touchdown catches

806
00:41:44,920 --> 00:41:48,960
Speaker 1: on three total receptions in Week one, and then another

807
00:41:49,040 --> 00:41:53,520
Speaker 1: touchdown catch on four receptions in Week two, So three

808
00:41:53,600 --> 00:41:56,360
Speaker 1: touchdowns on seven catches in the first two weeks, and

809
00:41:56,400 --> 00:41:59,279
Speaker 1: then since then he's only he's played four games and

810
00:41:59,320 --> 00:42:02,440
Speaker 1: he's only had seven catches total, and one of them

811
00:42:02,480 --> 00:42:06,080
Speaker 1: have been touchdowns. And even that that's kind of out

812
00:42:06,080 --> 00:42:08,400
Speaker 1: playing his coverage in terms of you know that that

813
00:42:08,440 --> 00:42:10,880
Speaker 1: should regress. So I think he's got a lot of

814
00:42:10,920 --> 00:42:14,640
Speaker 1: touchdown regression and he hasn't shown that he's gonna be

815
00:42:14,719 --> 00:42:16,279
Speaker 1: a guy who can catch you know, four or five

816
00:42:16,320 --> 00:42:19,040
Speaker 1: six bawls like a like an o Lave or somebody

817
00:42:19,120 --> 00:42:20,960
Speaker 1: like that. Right, and his Washington team, I don't think

818
00:42:20,960 --> 00:42:23,320
Speaker 1: they have interest in really playing that kind of offense,

819
00:42:23,400 --> 00:42:27,000
Speaker 1: especially when it's not Terry. So, yeah, low on John

820
00:42:27,120 --> 00:42:31,080
Speaker 1: what was his East Yer Easier has watched for forty six.

821
00:42:31,960 --> 00:42:34,200
Speaker 2: Oh yeah, no, I'm right there with you. With wide

822
00:42:34,200 --> 00:42:36,880
Speaker 2: receiver sixty five. Yeah, it's got to just be the

823
00:42:36,920 --> 00:42:39,239
Speaker 2: touchdown regression. You know, I'm projecting him for two and

824
00:42:39,280 --> 00:42:41,759
Speaker 2: a half catches for thirty three yards and sort of

825
00:42:41,760 --> 00:42:45,120
Speaker 2: a normal touchdown. Right, Yeah, you get wide receiver sixty five.

826
00:42:45,160 --> 00:42:48,160
Speaker 2: So I think people are just probably just overweighting the

827
00:42:48,160 --> 00:42:51,120
Speaker 2: first four weeks when, like you said, he was scoring touchdowns.

828
00:42:51,719 --> 00:42:57,160
Speaker 1: Yeah, all right, let's see we got the receiver prop

829
00:42:58,000 --> 00:43:00,440
Speaker 1: all right. So yeah, so Josh Palmer had the game.

830
00:43:00,920 --> 00:43:03,680
Speaker 1: I think you and I both called we like the

831
00:43:03,719 --> 00:43:08,680
Speaker 1: first touchdown prop one convinced me. So you know, it

832
00:43:08,800 --> 00:43:12,080
Speaker 1: looks like Mike Williams got banged up again, but a

833
00:43:12,320 --> 00:43:14,880
Speaker 1: little healthier. Here you might get Everett back. You have

834
00:43:14,960 --> 00:43:18,600
Speaker 1: Keenan Allen. So I think people he's gonna kind of

835
00:43:18,640 --> 00:43:21,719
Speaker 1: be on that wide receiver two borderline two, you know

836
00:43:21,920 --> 00:43:24,120
Speaker 1: two three, you know, just outside the top twenty five

837
00:43:24,160 --> 00:43:26,359
Speaker 1: and a lot of people's rankings, and people are gonna

838
00:43:26,360 --> 00:43:29,000
Speaker 1: wonder whether they should roll with him or maybe somebody

839
00:43:29,080 --> 00:43:32,719
Speaker 1: like a Christian Watson. So let's go with his receiving

840
00:43:33,080 --> 00:43:41,600
Speaker 1: yardage and I will go with fifty seven and a.

841
00:43:41,600 --> 00:43:45,640
Speaker 2: Half over all, right, that's a damn good line. I

842
00:43:46,280 --> 00:43:48,719
Speaker 2: said it like fifty nine and a half in my head.

843
00:43:49,520 --> 00:43:52,480
Speaker 2: But he's my guy. I got a roll with him,

844
00:43:52,560 --> 00:43:56,480
Speaker 2: and I think it's not official, right, but Mike Williams

845
00:43:56,560 --> 00:43:57,839
Speaker 2: was probably gonna mess this week.

846
00:43:57,920 --> 00:43:59,319
Speaker 1: Yeah, I haven't prepped it out, so.

847
00:43:59,320 --> 00:44:02,480
Speaker 2: Yeah, same here, and then Jeryl Everett is definitely iffy,

848
00:44:03,560 --> 00:44:05,920
Speaker 2: So I'm projecting Everett and so I just think that

849
00:44:06,040 --> 00:44:09,400
Speaker 2: you know, Palmer can only go up in my projection,

850
00:44:09,600 --> 00:44:12,000
Speaker 2: so that that's why I'm leaying with him over.

851
00:44:12,440 --> 00:44:14,959
Speaker 1: Yeah, no, it's it's it's fun to see Palmer still

852
00:44:15,000 --> 00:44:17,040
Speaker 1: in that, you know, top thirty even with you know,

853
00:44:17,080 --> 00:44:20,160
Speaker 1: guys get healthy for the charges. But he's my wide

854
00:44:20,200 --> 00:44:23,720
Speaker 1: receiver twenty eight. I have them around fifty five yards.

855
00:44:23,800 --> 00:44:25,799
Speaker 1: I am probably a little bit lower than you, but

856
00:44:26,480 --> 00:44:29,799
Speaker 1: still makes a top top thirty play for me. Let's

857
00:44:29,840 --> 00:44:33,400
Speaker 1: go to tight end. Close it out here. Who are

858
00:44:33,360 --> 00:44:35,000
Speaker 1: your top five at the tight end position?

859
00:44:35,680 --> 00:44:40,360
Speaker 2: So I got Travis Kelcey, Mark Andrews, Pat Firemouth, TJ. Howkinson,

860
00:44:40,560 --> 00:44:43,439
Speaker 2: and Tyler Higbee. Assuming Stafford starts.

861
00:44:43,800 --> 00:44:46,799
Speaker 1: I don't think Stafford starting. Okay, well, then he's a

862
00:44:47,120 --> 00:44:48,560
Speaker 1: call a second week and second time.

863
00:44:48,640 --> 00:44:50,960
Speaker 2: Yeah no, I know, I know, I was just being

864
00:44:51,040 --> 00:44:54,000
Speaker 2: cautious with that. So Greg Dulcic number five for.

865
00:44:53,960 --> 00:44:59,120
Speaker 1: Me, I have Kelsey, Andrews, Howkinson, Friar Muth Kittle. I

866
00:44:59,120 --> 00:45:03,000
Speaker 1: know Kittle has a tough matchup, but he's still like

867
00:45:03,040 --> 00:45:05,680
Speaker 1: it's it's an ugly tight end week even with no buys,

868
00:45:05,800 --> 00:45:08,800
Speaker 1: So I just go with the talented guy with the side.

869
00:45:09,800 --> 00:45:12,200
Speaker 1: But it is a tough matchup. But I mean, how

870
00:45:12,440 --> 00:45:14,720
Speaker 1: How great was it for him to come through against

871
00:45:14,760 --> 00:45:16,960
Speaker 1: the Cardinals, Like it's just one of those things that

872
00:45:17,000 --> 00:45:21,920
Speaker 1: you can just predict based on what's on paper, and

873
00:45:21,960 --> 00:45:24,000
Speaker 1: it worked out exactly like that.

874
00:45:24,880 --> 00:45:27,760
Speaker 2: Yep. Yeah, and he's a fan favorite in that area,

875
00:45:27,800 --> 00:45:30,959
Speaker 2: so that love seeing him go off there, and yeah,

876
00:45:31,280 --> 00:45:35,280
Speaker 2: just attack the Cardinals when it comes to tight ends.

877
00:45:34,960 --> 00:45:36,560
Speaker 1: All right, who are you hunt?

878
00:45:37,160 --> 00:45:40,160
Speaker 2: I'm high on Dawson Knox to begin the week. He's

879
00:45:40,160 --> 00:45:42,800
Speaker 2: my tight end eight. They face the Lions this weekend.

880
00:45:43,000 --> 00:45:44,839
Speaker 2: You know, he's coming off a season high and routes

881
00:45:44,920 --> 00:45:47,880
Speaker 2: run Ray at eighty three percent, also saw a season

882
00:45:47,960 --> 00:45:51,080
Speaker 2: high with seven targets. He's actually seen his target rate

883
00:45:51,480 --> 00:45:54,239
Speaker 2: go up in five straight games, and the Bills have

884
00:45:54,320 --> 00:45:57,480
Speaker 2: been using a lot more twelve personnel lately, So instead

885
00:45:57,520 --> 00:46:00,319
Speaker 2: of having Isaiah McKenzie out there running route, I got

886
00:46:00,320 --> 00:46:03,560
Speaker 2: tight end Quinton Morris, who is I don't need to

887
00:46:03,560 --> 00:46:05,239
Speaker 2: tell you this, but he's a low target kind of guy,

888
00:46:05,920 --> 00:46:09,360
Speaker 2: so that just helps concentrate more targets too. Stefon Diggs

889
00:46:09,480 --> 00:46:12,799
Speaker 2: to day Davis two, Dawson knocks So he's just really

890
00:46:12,800 --> 00:46:15,239
Speaker 2: popping on my maul right here. So yeah, he opens

891
00:46:15,280 --> 00:46:17,239
Speaker 2: the week as the tight end eight and obviously has

892
00:46:17,239 --> 00:46:19,080
Speaker 2: a massive touchdown upside as well.

893
00:46:20,000 --> 00:46:24,799
Speaker 1: I love that he actually opened up as my tight

894
00:46:24,880 --> 00:46:27,880
Speaker 1: end five. I kind of slipped him with Kittle so

895
00:46:29,120 --> 00:46:32,480
Speaker 1: like I could, I might very well have Dawson Knox

896
00:46:32,560 --> 00:46:34,160
Speaker 1: as my tight end five because it's one of those

897
00:46:34,160 --> 00:46:36,319
Speaker 1: weeks where I think he just kind of got to

898
00:46:36,360 --> 00:46:40,520
Speaker 1: go a little bit unorthodox. There is after that top four.

899
00:46:40,880 --> 00:46:43,080
Speaker 1: You know, Kittle's got the tough matchup, Haigby's got the

900
00:46:43,760 --> 00:46:48,480
Speaker 1: quarterback issues. You know, Foster Moroseman up and down. Schultz

901
00:46:48,560 --> 00:46:51,200
Speaker 1: is kind of splitting work with a lot of guys,

902
00:46:51,239 --> 00:46:54,480
Speaker 1: and there's just a lot. There's not much to hang

903
00:46:54,520 --> 00:46:56,960
Speaker 1: your hat on Dulsic. They don't. So the thing with

904
00:46:57,040 --> 00:47:00,600
Speaker 1: Dulsach is I thought about this. I was like, all right,

905
00:47:00,800 --> 00:47:03,000
Speaker 1: Docic that he's the guy that kind of makes sense.

906
00:47:03,040 --> 00:47:05,520
Speaker 1: And I was like, wait a minute, the Broncos don't

907
00:47:05,520 --> 00:47:08,560
Speaker 1: score touchdowns like you can literally bet the bunk the

908
00:47:08,600 --> 00:47:10,400
Speaker 1: Broncos scoring one touchdown.

909
00:47:10,760 --> 00:47:11,719
Speaker 2: Yeah, her game, and.

910
00:47:11,960 --> 00:47:14,799
Speaker 1: Docitch, remember that that big play he had where it

911
00:47:14,840 --> 00:47:17,400
Speaker 1: was like a busted coverage or something like one. He

912
00:47:17,440 --> 00:47:20,400
Speaker 1: has not seen a red zone target since that. Since then,

913
00:47:20,640 --> 00:47:22,720
Speaker 1: so he hasn't like he hasn't really had a scoring

914
00:47:22,719 --> 00:47:26,720
Speaker 1: opportunity outside of that that coverage bust in the first

915
00:47:26,719 --> 00:47:30,160
Speaker 1: game he played. So it's that's that's the only reason why,

916
00:47:31,080 --> 00:47:33,480
Speaker 1: you know, I cause I thought about that too. But

917
00:47:33,520 --> 00:47:35,640
Speaker 1: I like the call on Knox. I think that's the

918
00:47:35,719 --> 00:47:37,520
Speaker 1: right move because you're looking at You're talking about a

919
00:47:37,520 --> 00:47:41,600
Speaker 1: Detroit team that's projected to score what thirty points indoors,

920
00:47:42,000 --> 00:47:45,080
Speaker 1: So in a tough week like this, I think you

921
00:47:45,360 --> 00:47:46,719
Speaker 1: just go with the guy who could get some of

922
00:47:46,760 --> 00:47:51,879
Speaker 1: that touchdown equity. All right, Uh, I'm high on Knox

923
00:47:51,920 --> 00:47:55,719
Speaker 1: as well as you could tell. Foster Moreau is another one.

924
00:47:55,760 --> 00:47:58,680
Speaker 1: I know he's kind of been inconsistent, but Seattle is

925
00:47:58,680 --> 00:48:02,040
Speaker 1: twenty ninth in DVOA against tight ends. They're giving up

926
00:48:02,080 --> 00:48:04,960
Speaker 1: the second most schedule adjusted yards per game to the

927
00:48:05,000 --> 00:48:08,800
Speaker 1: position at seventy and the third most schedule adjustice targets

928
00:48:09,120 --> 00:48:13,040
Speaker 1: per game to tight ends at eight, and Seattle is

929
00:48:13,080 --> 00:48:17,480
Speaker 1: twenty second in pressure rate. So Moreau is chipping a

930
00:48:17,480 --> 00:48:20,600
Speaker 1: lot against Denver. You know, Barren Browning and just you know,

931
00:48:20,600 --> 00:48:23,200
Speaker 1: you don't want to let that Denver defense get to

932
00:48:23,239 --> 00:48:26,120
Speaker 1: Derek Carr because that could have really ruined the game.

933
00:48:26,200 --> 00:48:28,200
Speaker 1: I don't think they have to play it the same way,

934
00:48:28,320 --> 00:48:33,120
Speaker 1: and Moreau's route participation has been vastly different depending on

935
00:48:33,160 --> 00:48:37,040
Speaker 1: if he's had to chip or not. He's essentially been

936
00:48:37,080 --> 00:48:39,919
Speaker 1: the only tight end that gets snaps. But it went

937
00:48:40,040 --> 00:48:43,240
Speaker 1: sixty eight percent in his first start, then three straight

938
00:48:43,280 --> 00:48:47,439
Speaker 1: where he didn't really have any blocking responsibilities, eighty seven,

939
00:48:47,960 --> 00:48:52,239
Speaker 1: ninety five percent in weeks nine, eight through ten, and

940
00:48:52,280 --> 00:48:54,160
Speaker 1: then last week it was down to sixty one percent.

941
00:48:54,200 --> 00:48:56,600
Speaker 1: But he's still the only tight ends seeing snaps going

942
00:48:56,640 --> 00:48:59,280
Speaker 1: against a great matchup in a game where I expect

943
00:48:59,680 --> 00:49:03,480
Speaker 1: the Vegas defense to give up some points, so you're

944
00:49:03,520 --> 00:49:05,920
Speaker 1: gonna have to have Garrett Carr probably throwing a ball

945
00:49:06,520 --> 00:49:10,319
Speaker 1: maybe underneath in some of those zones to get some

946
00:49:10,360 --> 00:49:12,439
Speaker 1: points on the border come back late in the game.

947
00:49:12,560 --> 00:49:17,359
Speaker 1: So like Moreau this week, even though he has been inconsistent, Yeah, no.

948
00:49:17,320 --> 00:49:19,160
Speaker 2: I love that call. And I did notice his routes

949
00:49:19,239 --> 00:49:22,080
Speaker 2: run dipped down to sixty one percent, But like you said,

950
00:49:22,280 --> 00:49:24,600
Speaker 2: they don't have anybody else, and not only is he

951
00:49:24,640 --> 00:49:27,279
Speaker 2: benefiting from Waller being out, but also Hunter Renfro. So

952
00:49:27,320 --> 00:49:30,080
Speaker 2: it's really just you know, DeVante Adams and you know,

953
00:49:30,320 --> 00:49:33,200
Speaker 2: maybe Seattle double teams him, puts more resources on him,

954
00:49:33,440 --> 00:49:35,280
Speaker 2: and that'll just open things up even.

955
00:49:35,040 --> 00:49:35,640
Speaker 1: More for Morow.

956
00:49:35,680 --> 00:49:37,480
Speaker 2: So yeah, I love that call. He's he's definitely like

957
00:49:37,480 --> 00:49:39,760
Speaker 2: a low end tight end one option for me this week.

958
00:49:40,440 --> 00:49:44,839
Speaker 1: Yeah, he is my tight end eight. He's consensus I

959
00:49:44,840 --> 00:49:48,960
Speaker 1: think Titans third team yet. So yeah, I have him

960
00:49:49,000 --> 00:49:52,040
Speaker 1: in the top ten in what's a pretty ugly week

961
00:49:52,520 --> 00:49:55,680
Speaker 1: for tight ends outside that top four? Who are you

962
00:49:57,200 --> 00:49:57,520
Speaker 1: low on?

963
00:49:58,280 --> 00:50:00,759
Speaker 2: So I'm low on cole Kment again this week at

964
00:50:00,840 --> 00:50:05,000
Speaker 2: tight end seventeen against the Jets. I still just view

965
00:50:05,080 --> 00:50:09,040
Speaker 2: him as a touchdown dependent tight end too. And you

966
00:50:09,080 --> 00:50:11,239
Speaker 2: know he caught three balls for thirty five yards but

967
00:50:11,280 --> 00:50:14,759
Speaker 2: didn't score, so you know there were better options out there,

968
00:50:15,000 --> 00:50:18,640
Speaker 2: and we're just not certain that Justin Fields will even

969
00:50:18,640 --> 00:50:21,720
Speaker 2: play this week. So you know, Trevor Simeon may elevate

970
00:50:21,840 --> 00:50:25,799
Speaker 2: you know Comet's projected receptions yards, but you know there's

971
00:50:25,800 --> 00:50:29,319
Speaker 2: me lower touchdown nods for the Bears with Simeon under center,

972
00:50:29,440 --> 00:50:32,280
Speaker 2: so plus Chase Clipple, you know, he saw his playing

973
00:50:32,320 --> 00:50:35,760
Speaker 2: time increase quite a bit. I think he topped fifty

974
00:50:35,800 --> 00:50:38,560
Speaker 2: percent routes run. His target rate was low, but you

975
00:50:38,600 --> 00:50:40,600
Speaker 2: know he's going to become a bigger part of this

976
00:50:40,680 --> 00:50:44,919
Speaker 2: offense very soon. Plus we're seeing David Montgomery running more routes.

977
00:50:44,920 --> 00:50:47,600
Speaker 2: He sees, you know, more targets per route than a

978
00:50:47,960 --> 00:50:50,799
Speaker 2: Khalil Herbert. So just there's all these factors sort of

979
00:50:50,840 --> 00:50:53,759
Speaker 2: going against Comet when he doesn't score a touchdown. So

980
00:50:53,760 --> 00:50:56,879
Speaker 2: again he's just a you know, a touchdown dependent tight

981
00:50:56,960 --> 00:50:58,759
Speaker 2: end too. I know a lot of people have been

982
00:50:58,800 --> 00:51:01,640
Speaker 2: treating him like tight end one, but you know, just

983
00:51:01,680 --> 00:51:06,160
Speaker 2: courting my projections. It just doesn't like him enough right now.

984
00:51:06,200 --> 00:51:07,680
Speaker 2: But again, we'll have to wait and see what the

985
00:51:07,760 --> 00:51:09,400
Speaker 2: quarterback situation looks like this week.

986
00:51:10,040 --> 00:51:11,880
Speaker 1: Yeah, you know, it's interesting. So I have fields projected

987
00:51:11,880 --> 00:51:14,000
Speaker 1: as out. I mean, he's, oh yeah, he's got a

988
00:51:14,000 --> 00:51:16,560
Speaker 1: dislocated shoulder, and they're talking about it could be a

989
00:51:16,600 --> 00:51:18,880
Speaker 1: season ender or he could play. So I'm I'm guessing

990
00:51:18,960 --> 00:51:22,480
Speaker 1: they're just not trying to it's gamesmanship. I'm guessing, you know,

991
00:51:22,560 --> 00:51:25,440
Speaker 1: I don't see I don't see this guy playing, and

992
00:51:25,560 --> 00:51:30,240
Speaker 1: there's no reason to risk it anyway, Like dislocated shoulder,

993
00:51:30,840 --> 00:51:33,919
Speaker 1: you're not really chasing a playoff spot or anything like that.

994
00:51:34,080 --> 00:51:37,239
Speaker 1: So why would you play them this week? Maybe you know,

995
00:51:37,320 --> 00:51:40,759
Speaker 1: maybe let him heil up a little bit, but I

996
00:51:40,800 --> 00:51:43,960
Speaker 1: see no reason for him to play. But with Trevor

997
00:51:43,960 --> 00:51:48,840
Speaker 1: simeon In, even with lowering the you know, projected score, obviously,

998
00:51:49,200 --> 00:51:54,080
Speaker 1: I I it actually helps Comet because all of those

999
00:51:54,239 --> 00:51:58,200
Speaker 1: run plays and scrambles and all those things. So now

1000
00:51:58,440 --> 00:52:01,239
Speaker 1: the Chicago Bears could get like a normal, you know,

1001
00:52:01,320 --> 00:52:04,600
Speaker 1: thirty two to thirty five past attempt kind of game.

1002
00:52:04,800 --> 00:52:08,840
Speaker 1: So it actually he's my tight end eleven with simeon In,

1003
00:52:10,200 --> 00:52:12,879
Speaker 1: so that is interesting. With fields, I think he would

1004
00:52:12,920 --> 00:52:15,799
Speaker 1: actually be lower just because you have a lot less completions,

1005
00:52:16,160 --> 00:52:19,839
Speaker 1: you have a lot less yards, and you're more likely

1006
00:52:19,960 --> 00:52:24,759
Speaker 1: to see rushing touchdowns than passing. So yeah, how many passing.

1007
00:52:24,560 --> 00:52:26,000
Speaker 2: Yards are you projecting for Simon?

1008
00:52:27,320 --> 00:52:32,440
Speaker 1: Let's see low two hundreds. Wha wow, it's even more

1009
00:52:32,560 --> 00:52:33,600
Speaker 1: than I thought.

1010
00:52:34,680 --> 00:52:39,120
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, I think for Comet to get inside my

1011
00:52:39,280 --> 00:52:42,000
Speaker 2: top twelve, I would have to project the Bears to

1012
00:52:42,080 --> 00:52:46,640
Speaker 2: throw for over two hundred and twenty yards, So that

1013
00:52:46,640 --> 00:52:48,200
Speaker 2: that seems to be the line for me. But yeah,

1014
00:52:48,239 --> 00:52:50,200
Speaker 2: I take your point. And again right now I'm projecting

1015
00:52:50,239 --> 00:52:53,319
Speaker 2: fields in, so I guess that's my fault for that.

1016
00:52:53,440 --> 00:52:56,840
Speaker 2: But yeah, like I think Simon will help the yardage

1017
00:52:56,840 --> 00:52:58,760
Speaker 2: go up, but I do think, you know, the touchdown

1018
00:52:58,760 --> 00:53:00,600
Speaker 2: odds will be signific and lower.

1019
00:53:00,719 --> 00:53:03,560
Speaker 1: I'm low. I already mentioned Gulsiic. You know I have

1020
00:53:03,600 --> 00:53:05,720
Speaker 1: him tight end ten for what I talked about. Denver

1021
00:53:06,080 --> 00:53:09,759
Speaker 1: has scored a league low thirteen touchdowns this season, and

1022
00:53:09,840 --> 00:53:12,399
Speaker 1: he hasn't seen a red zone target since his first game.

1023
00:53:12,640 --> 00:53:15,280
Speaker 1: So you know, if he catches five balls for forty

1024
00:53:15,320 --> 00:53:18,759
Speaker 1: yards or something like that and no touchdowns, I mean,

1025
00:53:19,239 --> 00:53:21,839
Speaker 1: is that really You know, he'd have to essentially put

1026
00:53:21,920 --> 00:53:24,000
Speaker 1: up you know, close to like eight ninety yards. And

1027
00:53:25,320 --> 00:53:28,080
Speaker 1: this Denver team in a game with a total of

1028
00:53:28,160 --> 00:53:30,239
Speaker 1: thirty five, I don't see them. You know, this is

1029
00:53:30,239 --> 00:53:32,200
Speaker 1: not the Raiders this week like last week. Everyone's like, oh,

1030
00:53:32,280 --> 00:53:35,520
Speaker 1: Russell Wilson's a lot better. They're facing the number thirty

1031
00:53:35,560 --> 00:53:38,440
Speaker 1: two defense against the past. Of course he looks better

1032
00:53:38,880 --> 00:53:44,280
Speaker 1: and they still got one touchdown. So you know it's

1033
00:53:44,320 --> 00:53:49,839
Speaker 1: it's it's tough. And another guy is Tyler Conklin, and

1034
00:53:49,880 --> 00:53:55,239
Speaker 1: this is more due to inconsistency. He is my tight

1035
00:53:55,320 --> 00:53:57,920
Speaker 1: end twenty one. He's a tight end fifteen consensus, and

1036
00:53:58,280 --> 00:54:00,759
Speaker 1: I get it. It's kind of a ug. You know,

1037
00:54:01,440 --> 00:54:03,840
Speaker 1: Conkin has had some good games, but in his last

1038
00:54:03,880 --> 00:54:08,480
Speaker 1: six games, he's had twenty two or fewer yards five times.

1039
00:54:08,600 --> 00:54:12,080
Speaker 1: He had that one big game against the Patriots where

1040
00:54:12,080 --> 00:54:15,480
Speaker 1: he scored two touchdowns, he had double digit targets, but

1041
00:54:16,640 --> 00:54:18,440
Speaker 1: Dugger was out, I believe in that game. So he

1042
00:54:18,520 --> 00:54:21,920
Speaker 1: was going up against their like third string safety and

1043
00:54:21,960 --> 00:54:25,319
Speaker 1: they just relentlessly kept going back to him, and then

1044
00:54:25,320 --> 00:54:27,719
Speaker 1: he got this another touchdown. I think it was in

1045
00:54:27,719 --> 00:54:31,160
Speaker 1: the garbage time drive. So that's really his only good

1046
00:54:31,200 --> 00:54:35,560
Speaker 1: game after Jack Wilson's first start against Pittsburgh. He has

1047
00:54:35,760 --> 00:54:37,960
Speaker 1: not had a good game with Zack Wilson. So you know,

1048
00:54:38,000 --> 00:54:39,759
Speaker 1: maybe the Jets switch it up and go with a

1049
00:54:39,760 --> 00:54:42,520
Speaker 1: different quarterback, but you know, I don't think he's gonna

1050
00:54:42,520 --> 00:54:44,520
Speaker 1: have if it's Mike White because I don't know if

1051
00:54:44,520 --> 00:54:46,400
Speaker 1: they would go back to Flacco. So if it's White,

1052
00:54:47,160 --> 00:54:49,759
Speaker 1: you know he doesn't have chemistry with White. So kind

1053
00:54:49,760 --> 00:54:52,839
Speaker 1: of the same deal here. Just can't there's no consistency

1054
00:54:52,880 --> 00:54:56,120
Speaker 1: to hang your hat on. And the Bears are top

1055
00:54:56,160 --> 00:54:58,800
Speaker 1: five and fewest scheduleed justine receiving yards per game, the

1056
00:54:58,840 --> 00:55:02,800
Speaker 1: tight ends at six, so that has not that defense

1057
00:55:02,840 --> 00:55:04,960
Speaker 1: hasn't been good, but the tight end position is one

1058
00:55:05,000 --> 00:55:07,439
Speaker 1: that hasn't burned them so well on conquent.

1059
00:55:07,600 --> 00:55:10,279
Speaker 2: Yeah, that's I was going to ask, because I mean,

1060
00:55:11,239 --> 00:55:13,200
Speaker 2: it does look like we could see a QB change

1061
00:55:13,200 --> 00:55:14,839
Speaker 2: this week. So if it were Mike what I think

1062
00:55:14,920 --> 00:55:18,520
Speaker 2: Joe Flacco would be the most beneficial quarterback for Concorde.

1063
00:55:18,560 --> 00:55:20,520
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean that would change my quarterback.

1064
00:55:20,600 --> 00:55:23,239
Speaker 2: Yeah, that's who was starting the ball in weeks one

1065
00:55:23,360 --> 00:55:25,160
Speaker 2: through three when he was the tight end four. So

1066
00:55:25,200 --> 00:55:28,080
Speaker 2: I think, yeah, that's obviously going to depend on who's

1067
00:55:28,080 --> 00:55:30,480
Speaker 2: starting this week. If it's Zach Wilson a end, yes,

1068
00:55:30,520 --> 00:55:33,560
Speaker 2: he's outside my top twenty, But if it is Joe Flacco,

1069
00:55:33,640 --> 00:55:35,520
Speaker 2: that does give me hope, and he would probably be

1070
00:55:35,560 --> 00:55:38,600
Speaker 2: inside my top fifteen if that ends up being the case.

1071
00:55:38,840 --> 00:55:43,359
Speaker 1: But if it's Joe Flacco, like, why would that you know,

1072
00:55:43,440 --> 00:55:47,040
Speaker 1: they've Sala has said Jack Wilson's our guy. We're gonna

1073
00:55:47,080 --> 00:55:49,279
Speaker 1: kind of let him wearing on the job and you know,

1074
00:55:49,320 --> 00:55:52,680
Speaker 1: for better or worse. So if they went back to Flacco,

1075
00:55:52,719 --> 00:55:55,480
Speaker 1: that would go against everything's he is saying. I think

1076
00:55:55,719 --> 00:55:57,920
Speaker 1: Mike White would be the obvious choice because he actually

1077
00:55:57,920 --> 00:56:00,880
Speaker 1: hasn't played well for the Jets and he's not Joe Flacco.

1078
00:56:01,000 --> 00:56:03,400
Speaker 1: So that's kind of why i'm I don't see it,

1079
00:56:03,880 --> 00:56:06,000
Speaker 1: And I take your point. I would bump him up

1080
00:56:06,000 --> 00:56:07,959
Speaker 1: at Flako play, but I don't see a super high

1081
00:56:08,480 --> 00:56:12,080
Speaker 1: likelihood of it being Flacco. Maybe Flacco's elevated a backup

1082
00:56:12,160 --> 00:56:14,600
Speaker 1: and and uh and why it's the starter, But I

1083
00:56:14,680 --> 00:56:17,719
Speaker 1: just can't see him going back to him, even as

1084
00:56:17,760 --> 00:56:20,640
Speaker 1: bad as Wilson has been. All Right, what are we

1085
00:56:20,680 --> 00:56:21,600
Speaker 1: doing for the prop?

1086
00:56:22,239 --> 00:56:26,200
Speaker 2: Let's do a Taysom Hill prop again. Total passing, rushing

1087
00:56:26,800 --> 00:56:30,600
Speaker 2: and receiving yards against the Niners this week. There's no

1088
00:56:30,680 --> 00:56:32,799
Speaker 2: teams on it by this week, So I'm right around

1089
00:56:32,840 --> 00:56:33,959
Speaker 2: that tight end twelve range.

1090
00:56:34,160 --> 00:56:37,200
Speaker 1: Ye seems low, but no, we're high on him. He's

1091
00:56:37,680 --> 00:56:42,040
Speaker 1: really he's consensus height ened. I had to scroll down.

1092
00:56:42,080 --> 00:56:44,359
Speaker 1: That's why i'm it's tight end twenty eight.

1093
00:56:45,040 --> 00:56:47,400
Speaker 2: Oh what the hell that that has to be a bug.

1094
00:56:47,960 --> 00:56:52,520
Speaker 2: But so totally ourds passing, rushing and receiving over under

1095
00:56:52,600 --> 00:56:53,640
Speaker 2: fifty six and a half.

1096
00:56:54,360 --> 00:56:59,680
Speaker 1: Oh that is a good good man, I'm diving it

1097
00:56:59,760 --> 00:57:02,319
Speaker 1: up right now. I just know that off the top

1098
00:57:02,360 --> 00:57:04,680
Speaker 1: of that is a very good line. Now you said

1099
00:57:04,719 --> 00:57:05,880
Speaker 1: fifty six and a half.

1100
00:57:05,840 --> 00:57:06,879
Speaker 2: Fifty six and a half.

1101
00:57:06,960 --> 00:57:11,520
Speaker 1: Yep, yeah, I'll go under. I have him around fifty three,

1102
00:57:11,880 --> 00:57:13,320
Speaker 1: So a little bit under there.

1103
00:57:13,760 --> 00:57:13,960
Speaker 2: You know.

1104
00:57:14,200 --> 00:57:17,960
Speaker 1: It's even though he's his route participation rate has increased

1105
00:57:18,360 --> 00:57:22,680
Speaker 1: into the mid thirties, he's still not often getting targeted,

1106
00:57:23,280 --> 00:57:27,080
Speaker 1: you know, so can'tway projected more from more than a

1107
00:57:27,080 --> 00:57:30,640
Speaker 1: half a catch to a catch. And then this Niner

1108
00:57:30,720 --> 00:57:35,000
Speaker 1: defense is you know, obviously tougher, you know, one of

1109
00:57:35,000 --> 00:57:37,560
Speaker 1: the toughest in the league. And I think he's been

1110
00:57:37,560 --> 00:57:40,200
Speaker 1: a little bit more effective just in terms of, you know,

1111
00:57:40,240 --> 00:57:42,520
Speaker 1: what they've been able to do with his packages when

1112
00:57:42,680 --> 00:57:45,880
Speaker 1: they are in positive game script. So if the Niners

1113
00:57:46,160 --> 00:57:47,840
Speaker 1: kind of if it gets away from them, kind of

1114
00:57:47,880 --> 00:57:50,479
Speaker 1: like I do with the Cardinals against the Niners, that's

1115
00:57:50,520 --> 00:57:52,480
Speaker 1: when it's it's tough to kind of be you know,

1116
00:57:53,240 --> 00:57:56,120
Speaker 1: jogging Tastom Hill in there on or second down and

1117
00:57:56,160 --> 00:57:58,200
Speaker 1: then Dogs coming back, it's like, nah, you just got

1118
00:57:58,200 --> 00:58:01,680
Speaker 1: to get points. Get Dalton in a ris them. So yeah,

1119
00:58:01,680 --> 00:58:03,880
Speaker 1: I think there are some concerns, but I agree we are.

1120
00:58:04,160 --> 00:58:07,600
Speaker 1: We are both way higher than consensus on on Taysum.

1121
00:58:07,680 --> 00:58:10,600
Speaker 1: So in what's an ugly week for tight ends, again,

1122
00:58:10,840 --> 00:58:13,680
Speaker 1: I'd say go with upside, you know, go the touchdown

1123
00:58:13,720 --> 00:58:16,480
Speaker 1: upside of a guy knocks, Go with the touchdown upside

1124
00:58:16,520 --> 00:58:19,800
Speaker 1: of a guy like Hill, and let the chips fowl

1125
00:58:19,880 --> 00:58:21,400
Speaker 1: where they may, because there's gonna be a lot of

1126
00:58:21,440 --> 00:58:23,320
Speaker 1: these guys that could get you, you know, two to

1127
00:58:23,360 --> 00:58:26,320
Speaker 1: four catches for thirty to fifty yards that just don't

1128
00:58:26,320 --> 00:58:28,360
Speaker 1: have a good shout out of getting in the end zone.

1129
00:58:28,560 --> 00:58:28,920
Speaker 2: All right.

1130
00:58:29,160 --> 00:58:30,720
Speaker 1: That is going to wrap it up for a week

1131
00:58:30,800 --> 00:58:34,840
Speaker 1: twelve NFL Player Projections episode of the Action Network Podcast

1132
00:58:34,880 --> 00:58:39,840
Speaker 1: presented by FanDuel. For more great fantasy concept from Shaun

1133
00:58:39,880 --> 00:58:42,480
Speaker 1: and I, check out our full Fantasy preview episode over

1134
00:58:42,560 --> 00:58:45,480
Speaker 1: on the Fantasy Flex podcast channel. And if you're in

1135
00:58:45,560 --> 00:58:47,800
Speaker 1: the betting be sure to check my Week with Betting

1136
00:58:47,840 --> 00:58:50,040
Speaker 1: preview episode with Stucky, which will be out a little

1137
00:58:50,040 --> 00:58:54,800
Speaker 1: bit early this week for Thanksgiving. Action Network dot com

1138
00:58:54,840 --> 00:58:59,560
Speaker 1: for all of our player projections and rankings and betting

1139
00:58:59,640 --> 00:59:02,600
Speaker 1: and fan fantasy content, as well Fantasylabs dot com for

1140
00:59:02,600 --> 00:59:04,880
Speaker 1: our DFS tools and models. You can find Sewan on

1141
00:59:04,920 --> 00:59:07,400
Speaker 1: Twitter at the Underscore Odds Maker, you can find me

1142
00:59:07,440 --> 00:59:09,720
Speaker 1: at Chris Raybon, and you can find us at those

1143
00:59:09,760 --> 00:59:13,880
Speaker 1: same handles. All the three Award winning Action Network app.

1144
00:59:14,520 --> 00:59:18,320
Speaker 1: Have a happy Thanksgiving to you and yours. Until next time,

1145
00:59:18,560 --> 00:59:20,280
Speaker 1: let's get this money.

1146
00:59:21,480 --> 00:59:25,760
Speaker 3: Happy Thanksgiving gamblers, We're thankful for you.