Speaker 1: Good Wednesday morning, everybody.
Speaker 2: How are you welcome into a new episode of the
Speaker 2: Daly Juice Podcast with me Matt Perrault. You guys can
Speaker 2: follow me across all of my socials at Sports Talk Matt.
Speaker 2: And unfortunately we're in this rut two and one, one
Speaker 2: and two, one and two, just sort of back and
Speaker 2: forth here for us, and this week it's not been good.
Speaker 2: We've gone through two and one streaks. We're into a
Speaker 2: one and two streak. At the moment, we get Bobby
Speaker 2: Wood Junior over one and a half hits, runs and RBIs,
Speaker 2: but Jeremy Payne it does not come in. The Red
Speaker 2: Sox lose their fourth consecutive game, and all of a sudden,
Speaker 2: Boston is reeling at the moment, and you've got to
Speaker 2: be a little bit concerned because they were so hot.
Speaker 2: You wonder do they go so cold now. They got
Speaker 2: at La Rushman into the up yesterday. That didn't help.
Speaker 2: They still lost the game five to three to Toronto.
Speaker 2: So I'm going to stay away from sides and totals
Speaker 2: today and I'm going to focus on props and I'm
Speaker 2: going to use the home run prop, which, by the way,
Speaker 2: they've made a bit of a correction, so it comes
Speaker 2: out earlier than normal now, which is good.
Speaker 1: So we can use it for the daily juice.
Speaker 2: And so I have a home run prop that we're
Speaker 2: going to use with the home run tool. We're going
Speaker 2: to use the prop bet cheat sheet for a player
Speaker 2: and a pitcher today. So three prop bets that we're
Speaker 2: going to jump in with for today. And look the
Speaker 2: home run prop bet tool. I bet quarter units. Guys like,
Speaker 2: this is fun, okay, and you know, I know, you
Speaker 2: get kind of enamored with the price and it's like,
Speaker 2: oh my gosh, Matt, it's a plus four eighty five. Look,
Speaker 2: guys hitting home runs. It's not easy to predict this, okay.
Speaker 2: So this is sort of showing you what's available. But
Speaker 2: in all sty these are difficult types. No, it's not
Speaker 2: like a one billion dollar lottery ticket like the powerball,
Speaker 2: but it is something of an anomaly or a a
Speaker 2: you're trying to put the odds in your favor. How
Speaker 2: about that when it comes to guys who are going
Speaker 2: to hit home runs, meaning ballpark pitcher and the player,
Speaker 2: you line that up and you know it's it's still
Speaker 2: human beings have to do human being things, right, you're
Speaker 2: predicting what a human's going to do, so it can
Speaker 2: be somewhat difficult to do. So I do have one
Speaker 2: of those. If you want to do your own research,
Speaker 2: you can absolutely do that with the home run tool
Speaker 2: that we have available right now. If you don't like
Speaker 2: what I'm picking, I'm taking the top person, the top projection,
Speaker 2: the best most likely person to go deep here, according
Speaker 2: to the home run tool. You can find it yourself
Speaker 2: by going to betting pros dot com slash homers. You
Speaker 2: can fool around. You can find out whatever you want
Speaker 2: to look at, because it might be very much what
Speaker 2: you want.
Speaker 1: Right now. It's free.
Speaker 2: It is a premium feature, but it's going to be
Speaker 2: free for now. So check it out bettingpros dot com
Speaker 2: slash homers to see what might be available if you
Speaker 2: don't like what I'm playing, because when you open it up,
Speaker 2: this is what you see. Okay, you see this this breakdown.
Speaker 2: Mickey Moniac is the number one best option to go
Speaker 2: deep here, according to our home run tool.
Speaker 1: He's got Merrill Kelly. He's at Arizona. Okay.
Speaker 2: Dome roofs can be closed. Okay, so that's good. So
Speaker 2: we have ah power hitter in Mickey Moniac. We've got
Speaker 2: a picture matchup that we like a lot. The weather
Speaker 2: is great because there is no weather to worry about.
Speaker 2: The ballpark's not great. Chase Field is not awesome for
Speaker 2: home runs, but with the roof being closed, we like it.
Speaker 2: There are a lot of stats that will give you
Speaker 2: that we can poke around with, like strong power profile
Speaker 2: with an above average home run potential for Mickey Moniac,
Speaker 2: a highly hittable pitcher, well below average home run prevention.
Speaker 2: The weather's perfect, the ballpark's not great. Rate eight percent
Speaker 2: edge play on this, according to the home Run Best
Speaker 2: Bet tool from Betting Pros. So I'm gonna trail this,
Speaker 2: I'm gonna jump in on this. Merril Kelly did not
Speaker 2: give up a home run. In his last home start
Speaker 2: against the Dodgers five and two thirds, he gave up
Speaker 2: one earned run in a four to three win for
Speaker 2: the Diamondbacks. But in his start before that against the
Speaker 2: A's he went five innings, he gave up two earned runs,
Speaker 2: including a home run. The start before that he gave
Speaker 2: me went five innings, gave up one earned run in
Speaker 2: one home run. So in two of his last three starts,
Speaker 2: Merril Kelly at Home has given up a home run.
Speaker 2: So we've got a good pitching matchup. We've got a
Speaker 2: ballpark that know whether to worry about the dome is
Speaker 2: closed in Arizona. We're gonna go Mickey Montiac to hit
Speaker 2: a home run at plus four eighty five. Only a
Speaker 2: quarter unit, Okay, We're not We're not throwing full units
Speaker 2: at this. Okay, We're putting quarter units down on this.
Speaker 2: These are fun bets. These are things to trail and
Speaker 2: watch and like, don't go all bonkers here and start
Speaker 2: betting full units on these guys just because it's you know, again,
Speaker 2: this is a very niche market we're betting into. Okay,
Speaker 2: so we're only gonna put a quarter unit down on it,
Speaker 2: and like, let's just see how we can go. And
Speaker 2: I know, if you hit, you're gonna be like, oh, Mac,
Speaker 2: you should have put a full unit on that. You
Speaker 2: go to save the whole week. Yeah, I know, but
Speaker 2: let's not put full units. Do what you want. But
Speaker 2: I'm i go slow and small on these things. I
Speaker 2: am gonna lay the juice here with Michael Massey for
Speaker 2: the Royals hits runs in RBIs. This has been a
Speaker 2: very good market for us here with the prop bet
Speaker 2: cheat sheet the Royals. We got Bobby Wood Junior yesterday.
Speaker 2: The prop bit cheat sheet is really liking this prop
Speaker 2: here for today with Michael Massey.
Speaker 1: He's been hot.
Speaker 2: He didn't get it yesterday, but that's not a streak
Speaker 2: of three straight games in which he went over one
Speaker 2: and a over a half run in RBI. Sacrifice fly,
Speaker 2: we cash, single, we cash. He gets a walk in
Speaker 2: scores on somebody else's home run, we cash. There's multiple
Speaker 2: ways of cashing hits, runs in RBI's and the consensus
Speaker 2: projection here is to go two point one for him.
Speaker 2: He is a five star play and the reason is
Speaker 2: because of who is pitching for the La Dodgers this
Speaker 2: Eric Lawler guy six and six with a four point
Speaker 2: eight nine last time out against the Cubs, eleven hits,
Speaker 2: six eurn runs, two home runs given up at Wrigley Field.
Speaker 2: His last home start, though, he was pretty good six innings,
Speaker 2: only one hit given up. The start before that at
Speaker 2: home was against Colorado. He went six innings, he gave
Speaker 2: up six hits, three earn runs, one home run, a
Speaker 2: couple of walks for him. So two of the last
Speaker 2: three starts are you know, I guess yeah. The start
Speaker 2: against the Phillies. On the always last four starts, he's
Speaker 2: given up eleven, one, four and six hits. He's given
Speaker 2: up six zero, three and three earned runs. So the
Speaker 2: game against Seattle feels like a little bit of an
Speaker 2: anomaly for Eric Lahler. And let's go in and ride
Speaker 2: the prop bet cheat sheet here with Michael Massey to
Speaker 2: get back on the horse. He's gone over a half
Speaker 2: of this here in six of his last nine games,
Speaker 2: so five star play from the prop bet cheat sheet.
Speaker 2: Let's go ahead and take Michael Massey from the Royals
Speaker 2: to go over. That should be a half. Sorry, that's
Speaker 2: a mistake. That's a half. See what Sorry, that's my
Speaker 2: bat on that I typed in one point five cups,
Speaker 2: so he's typing in one point five. The consensus is
Speaker 2: a half, not one point five point five Michael Massey
Speaker 2: just to get a hit, run, an RBI. He gets
Speaker 2: one of those, he's going over. Okay, not one point
Speaker 2: five point five, So I apologize for that.
Speaker 1: That's a that's a mistake on my with the graphic.
Speaker 1: I typed in the wrong number.
Speaker 2: But point five for Michael Massey, hits runs and RBIs
Speaker 2: finally for us here for today, we're gonna go to
Speaker 2: a pitching prop and it's Dustin May starting for the
Speaker 2: Brewers up against the Padres. Now, the Padres sixty four
Speaker 2: and fifty seven on the year, they've been a little
Speaker 2: bit under the radar screen in terms of where they're
Speaker 2: going to be in the National League. They are second
Speaker 2: in the National League West. Sorry, sorry, third in the
Speaker 2: National League West. There tied for second nationally with Arizona
Speaker 2: at sixty four and fifty seven, but they're slightly behind
Speaker 2: him with the head to head matchup. But you've got
Speaker 2: a San Diego team that has won the first two
Speaker 2: games against the Brewers, and now Dustin May's going up
Speaker 2: against Robbie Ray.
Speaker 1: And Robbie Ray is a guy. Look, he was.
Speaker 2: Great with the Giants, but maybe that was the ballpark.
Speaker 2: But he had a bad first start against Houston at home.
Speaker 2: Five innings, four earned runs. I guess yeah, no, this
Speaker 2: is his first start. Sorry, this is first start with Rodres.
Speaker 2: He is let's start with the with the Giants. Was bad,
Speaker 2: five innings for earned run. But now he's here with
Speaker 2: San Diego. Dustin May. Look, I'm not the biggest of
Speaker 2: fans of Dustin May. I didn't love the acquisition by
Speaker 2: the Brewers, trading inside the division to grab a hold
Speaker 2: of Dustin May. But he's six and seven with a
Speaker 2: four point three eer for Dustin May, and the prop
Speaker 2: bet cheat sheet is not loving him today for what
Speaker 2: he may be looking like here. It may be a
Speaker 2: quick day for Dustin May. Prop bet cheat she likes
Speaker 2: under seventeen and a half out for Dustin May. He
Speaker 2: did go over this in his last start against Pittsburg,
Speaker 2: but he squeaked over it. He got eighteen start before that.
Speaker 2: He did not get there on the road. New team.
Speaker 2: Maybe kind of a quicker type of hook here in
Speaker 2: terms of where the Brewers might be with Dustin May,
Speaker 2: and against a Padres lineup that's starting to heat up,
Speaker 2: against no guy like Tatis who's starting to get his
Speaker 2: stroke back and starting to look like a player that
Speaker 2: might be difficult. Seventeen and a half, that's eighteen, So
Speaker 2: he goes through six. We lose this, okay, So we
Speaker 2: want him to get pulled in the fourth, fifth, or
Speaker 2: sixth innings. We do not want him to get through
Speaker 2: the sixth inning, get to the seventh inning for Dustin May.
Speaker 2: We want it basically a five inning type of performance
Speaker 2: for Dustin May, and the bullpen is pretty good for
Speaker 2: the brewer, So Pat Murphy might be more inclined with
Speaker 2: a guy who's new on the roster to not go
Speaker 2: deep with him and just go ahead and pull him.
Speaker 2: So Dustin May under seventeen and a half outs for
Speaker 2: us today at minus one twenty seven for one point
Speaker 2: twenty seven units, So three bets for us here today,
Speaker 2: all using Betting Pros tools. These are the things you
Speaker 2: see with Betting Pros Premium that is out there. And
Speaker 2: I was talking to somebody yesterday who was asking me
Speaker 2: about different promo codes and whatnot, and we will recount
Speaker 2: all of that about if you want to join Betting
Speaker 2: Pros Premium and follow this stuff, you can take a
Speaker 2: look at it yourself. But right now you can just
Speaker 2: go and check it out for the home run tool
Speaker 2: and others on Betting Pros Premium, Mickey Montiac Mantiac hit
Speaker 2: home run, Michael Massey over a half hits runs and
Speaker 2: RBIs and Dustin May under seventeen and a half outs
Speaker 2: here for today. We're jumping in on three player props.
Speaker 2: Let's put this around to a two in one versus
Speaker 2: a one in two Monday and Tuesday one and two.
Speaker 2: Let's get a two in one coming up here on Wednesday.
Speaker 2: My name is Matt Paroletz. You guys can follow me
Speaker 2: across all my socials at sports Doc Matt every morning
Speaker 2: wherever you guys get your podcasts.
Speaker 1: It is the Daily Juice