1 00:00:00,240 --> 00:00:15,720 Speaker 1: It's time to place your bets. Let's talk to the pros. 2 00:00:16,040 --> 00:00:17,439 Speaker 2: Welcome in everybody to betting pros. 3 00:00:17,480 --> 00:00:20,959 Speaker 3: It is me joeyp Joe Pizzapia, and today my guest 4 00:00:21,040 --> 00:00:23,520 Speaker 3: is the Welsh, my co host from leading off over 5 00:00:23,560 --> 00:00:25,400 Speaker 3: on the Fantasy pro side, and we're gonna break down 6 00:00:25,440 --> 00:00:29,000 Speaker 3: the MLB wagering for you heading into the twenty twenty 7 00:00:29,000 --> 00:00:29,560 Speaker 3: two season. 8 00:00:29,680 --> 00:00:30,840 Speaker 2: This is the preview show. 9 00:00:31,000 --> 00:00:33,360 Speaker 1: We're gonna talk a little win totals here when it 10 00:00:33,360 --> 00:00:35,720 Speaker 1: comes to teams, the overs and unders we like early 11 00:00:35,760 --> 00:00:38,559 Speaker 1: on here, we're also gonna talk about some player futures, 12 00:00:38,600 --> 00:00:40,919 Speaker 1: hand out some awards, and we'll get all the way 13 00:00:40,920 --> 00:00:43,800 Speaker 1: to the division winners and of course World Series at 14 00:00:43,840 --> 00:00:45,440 Speaker 1: the end of the day. In Welsh, this is that 15 00:00:45,520 --> 00:00:47,479 Speaker 1: time of year where we start to look at the 16 00:00:47,520 --> 00:00:50,080 Speaker 1: teams and we think we know who we've got, and then, 17 00:00:50,120 --> 00:00:53,040 Speaker 1: of course, as always, something happens, like the San Francisco 18 00:00:53,080 --> 00:00:55,720 Speaker 1: Giants come out of nowhere last year and show up 19 00:00:55,720 --> 00:00:58,120 Speaker 1: with the Seattle Mariners and change the perspective. 20 00:00:58,200 --> 00:01:00,480 Speaker 2: But I think it's a very exciting time here. 21 00:01:00,520 --> 00:01:02,960 Speaker 1: We've got some rookies that are breaking camp, so that 22 00:01:03,000 --> 00:01:05,120 Speaker 1: should be an interesting award to give out, but Welsh, 23 00:01:05,360 --> 00:01:08,160 Speaker 1: We've got an exciting potential twenty twenty two season ahead 24 00:01:08,200 --> 00:01:08,479 Speaker 1: of us. 25 00:01:08,840 --> 00:01:12,040 Speaker 4: It's glorious. It's glorious with all the futures to be had. 26 00:01:12,760 --> 00:01:15,800 Speaker 4: We were talking about this soft air. I've never even 27 00:01:15,920 --> 00:01:19,240 Speaker 4: before gambling became legal here in Arizona, I never was 28 00:01:19,360 --> 00:01:24,039 Speaker 4: like a crazy, crazy, big futures guy, you madly into 29 00:01:24,120 --> 00:01:27,880 Speaker 4: futures and very successful. But I gotta admit it's kind 30 00:01:27,959 --> 00:01:30,440 Speaker 4: of the most enticing I think it's ever been in 31 00:01:30,520 --> 00:01:33,400 Speaker 4: years that I've paid attention to it, watched it. Bogin 32 00:01:33,400 --> 00:01:35,479 Speaker 4: and I had talked about it over years and years. 33 00:01:35,720 --> 00:01:38,800 Speaker 4: With the advent of the of baseball being incentivized to 34 00:01:38,840 --> 00:01:42,280 Speaker 4: bring up rookies, Bam, we've got a whole bigger, different 35 00:01:42,360 --> 00:01:46,039 Speaker 4: race for Rookie of the Year awards and even some of. 36 00:01:46,000 --> 00:01:46,600 Speaker 5: The win totals. 37 00:01:46,640 --> 00:01:49,720 Speaker 4: I gotta tell you, scouring through there's some stuff in 38 00:01:49,760 --> 00:01:50,559 Speaker 4: there that I'm like. 39 00:01:51,160 --> 00:01:53,760 Speaker 5: Am I missing something? What am I missing? What is 40 00:01:53,800 --> 00:01:54,840 Speaker 5: Vegas trying to do here? 41 00:01:54,920 --> 00:01:57,640 Speaker 4: So if you are comfortable making a little bit of 42 00:01:57,680 --> 00:01:59,920 Speaker 4: an investment for the future in the game that you love, 43 00:02:00,720 --> 00:02:04,640 Speaker 4: discounts and money to be made today and hopefully we're 44 00:02:04,680 --> 00:02:06,000 Speaker 4: gonna nail some of those guys. 45 00:02:06,640 --> 00:02:07,880 Speaker 2: Yeah, one hundred percent, man. 46 00:02:07,920 --> 00:02:10,120 Speaker 1: And just to you know, kind of lay it out 47 00:02:10,120 --> 00:02:12,240 Speaker 1: there when it comes to these sort of early, you know, 48 00:02:12,320 --> 00:02:14,480 Speaker 1: season wagers when we're starting out the top of the year. 49 00:02:14,919 --> 00:02:16,360 Speaker 2: I like to think of it like investments. 50 00:02:16,400 --> 00:02:18,320 Speaker 1: You know, you see the things you like on the board, 51 00:02:18,360 --> 00:02:20,680 Speaker 1: and you invest a small amount or even a large amount, 52 00:02:20,720 --> 00:02:23,440 Speaker 1: depending on what your pank roll is, and then as 53 00:02:23,520 --> 00:02:25,880 Speaker 1: the season goes on, you reevaluate them. Is it time 54 00:02:25,919 --> 00:02:28,760 Speaker 1: to get off of that investment into another investment or 55 00:02:29,240 --> 00:02:31,400 Speaker 1: is it time to double down that investment. Let's say, 56 00:02:31,720 --> 00:02:34,000 Speaker 1: you know, you have Shoeotani who was a player last 57 00:02:34,080 --> 00:02:36,800 Speaker 1: year who did this show. We talked about him for MVP. 58 00:02:37,000 --> 00:02:38,639 Speaker 1: I said, if he pitches and he hits, how is 59 00:02:38,639 --> 00:02:41,200 Speaker 1: anyone going to deny him? Dan Harris of course called 60 00:02:41,240 --> 00:02:44,080 Speaker 1: me crazy. Both of those things were true. Cho Hoyotani 61 00:02:44,120 --> 00:02:46,400 Speaker 1: was MVP and I am crazy. So Dan was right 62 00:02:46,480 --> 00:02:48,720 Speaker 1: about one thing, wrong about the other. But it's the 63 00:02:48,720 --> 00:02:51,480 Speaker 1: whole point of being in early, even in small amounts, 64 00:02:51,520 --> 00:02:54,960 Speaker 1: as small investments, and then as the season progresses, you 65 00:02:55,080 --> 00:02:58,320 Speaker 1: reevaluate a month in, two months in, and then three 66 00:02:58,440 --> 00:03:00,320 Speaker 1: four months in and then obviously get the end as 67 00:03:00,360 --> 00:03:02,320 Speaker 1: well for that final push if there's still money to 68 00:03:02,320 --> 00:03:04,440 Speaker 1: be made. Now, when we're looking here, we're going to 69 00:03:04,480 --> 00:03:07,560 Speaker 1: be using our bettingpro site at bettingpros dot com, where 70 00:03:07,639 --> 00:03:10,000 Speaker 1: if all the consensus odds and all the different houses 71 00:03:10,000 --> 00:03:13,040 Speaker 1: there like bet, MGM, FanDuel DraftKings are all there. But 72 00:03:13,320 --> 00:03:15,720 Speaker 1: what's great about this is it gives you the consensus line. 73 00:03:16,000 --> 00:03:17,840 Speaker 1: They can go out there see the things you like 74 00:03:17,919 --> 00:03:20,080 Speaker 1: and then find the best odds anywhere can get them. 75 00:03:20,240 --> 00:03:22,600 Speaker 1: And also, if you're going to be doing in season wagering, 76 00:03:22,680 --> 00:03:25,240 Speaker 1: I strongly suggest you take a look at our prop 77 00:03:25,240 --> 00:03:28,040 Speaker 1: bet cheat sheets. So right there under MLB you go 78 00:03:28,120 --> 00:03:30,360 Speaker 1: under picks, you find the prop bet cheat sheet and 79 00:03:30,440 --> 00:03:32,880 Speaker 1: every day it's going to have that projection for you 80 00:03:32,919 --> 00:03:35,760 Speaker 1: with certain players, certain prop bets you can make there. 81 00:03:35,800 --> 00:03:38,119 Speaker 2: And the best location to make those wagers. 82 00:03:38,120 --> 00:03:40,680 Speaker 1: So if you haven't already, head over to bettingpros dot 83 00:03:40,680 --> 00:03:42,800 Speaker 1: com because that is the place to be to make 84 00:03:42,840 --> 00:03:45,040 Speaker 1: all these wagers. And I know New York is legal now, 85 00:03:45,040 --> 00:03:46,560 Speaker 1: so a lot of people are getting into this. A 86 00:03:46,560 --> 00:03:49,720 Speaker 1: lot of people from Fantasy World are starting to dip 87 00:03:49,760 --> 00:03:51,640 Speaker 1: their toes in the water of gambling, and I think 88 00:03:51,680 --> 00:03:54,160 Speaker 1: it's a fun thing to do. And if you understand 89 00:03:54,160 --> 00:03:56,160 Speaker 1: and you're a really good fantasy player, there's money to 90 00:03:56,160 --> 00:03:56,400 Speaker 1: be made. 91 00:03:56,400 --> 00:03:58,240 Speaker 2: All right, let's continue to educate the people. 92 00:03:58,240 --> 00:03:58,480 Speaker 5: Wels. 93 00:03:58,560 --> 00:04:00,840 Speaker 1: We'll start with the over unders on the games. So 94 00:04:01,120 --> 00:04:03,120 Speaker 1: here are some of the win totals for some teams 95 00:04:03,160 --> 00:04:05,240 Speaker 1: that right now really pop to me, and I'm going 96 00:04:05,280 --> 00:04:06,800 Speaker 1: to give you a few of them. The first one 97 00:04:06,840 --> 00:04:08,560 Speaker 1: is the Mariners at eighty three and a half. This 98 00:04:08,600 --> 00:04:10,840 Speaker 1: is a team that won ninety games last year. They 99 00:04:10,920 --> 00:04:13,760 Speaker 1: just acquired the reigning al Cy Young and Robbie Ray. 100 00:04:14,520 --> 00:04:17,600 Speaker 1: To me, this is a huge upgrade in that rotation. 101 00:04:17,680 --> 00:04:19,919 Speaker 1: I expect Logan Gilbert to make another step forward. We 102 00:04:20,000 --> 00:04:22,120 Speaker 1: just got news that Julia Rodriguez is going to open 103 00:04:22,560 --> 00:04:24,960 Speaker 1: the season with the team. That is a huge win 104 00:04:25,080 --> 00:04:28,640 Speaker 1: here for the Mariners. They acquired Winker Suarez. I think 105 00:04:28,720 --> 00:04:30,920 Speaker 1: might be done, but still, you know, they went out 106 00:04:30,920 --> 00:04:33,200 Speaker 1: there and they made adjustments. Do I expect Minch Hannigert 107 00:04:33,240 --> 00:04:35,920 Speaker 1: at forty bombs again, No, but eighty three and a half. 108 00:04:35,960 --> 00:04:37,680 Speaker 1: I expect them to be much better than a five 109 00:04:37,720 --> 00:04:40,599 Speaker 1: hundred team, especially as the Oakland As continue the jettison 110 00:04:40,600 --> 00:04:42,120 Speaker 1: players as Sean and I got dealt. 111 00:04:42,160 --> 00:04:43,240 Speaker 2: So the Mariners over. 112 00:04:43,120 --> 00:04:45,320 Speaker 1: At eighty three and a half for me, the Rays 113 00:04:45,360 --> 00:04:47,120 Speaker 1: at eighty nine and a half. Welsh, I don't know 114 00:04:47,120 --> 00:04:48,520 Speaker 1: how many times you have to get beaten over the 115 00:04:48,560 --> 00:04:50,440 Speaker 1: head with this. The Rays are always going to win 116 00:04:50,560 --> 00:04:53,359 Speaker 1: ninety something games. It's how they manage the one sixty 117 00:04:53,400 --> 00:04:55,520 Speaker 1: two season. It's the way they do it. They will 118 00:04:55,520 --> 00:04:57,320 Speaker 1: make an addition to the team at some point in 119 00:04:57,360 --> 00:04:59,760 Speaker 1: time that makes sense to them and add more offense. 120 00:05:00,240 --> 00:05:03,279 Speaker 1: Likely to me, this is a team once again, every 121 00:05:03,360 --> 00:05:05,320 Speaker 1: year we sit here with the Rays. Every year it 122 00:05:05,320 --> 00:05:07,479 Speaker 1: should be an over, because every year it is. The 123 00:05:07,520 --> 00:05:09,280 Speaker 1: White Sox went from ninety two and a half to 124 00:05:09,360 --> 00:05:11,720 Speaker 1: ninety one and a half actually overnight when the Lance 125 00:05:11,800 --> 00:05:14,120 Speaker 1: Lynn news broke. He's going to miss some time here. 126 00:05:14,320 --> 00:05:16,160 Speaker 1: But I still like the over on this one. I 127 00:05:16,200 --> 00:05:18,480 Speaker 1: still think they're the kings of this division. I think 128 00:05:18,520 --> 00:05:20,920 Speaker 1: they're going to roll. I think top to bottom it's 129 00:05:20,920 --> 00:05:24,279 Speaker 1: a great offensive, defensive team, still a great rotation, even 130 00:05:24,279 --> 00:05:27,400 Speaker 1: if Lynn misses some time. The bullpen's very solid as well. 131 00:05:27,600 --> 00:05:29,360 Speaker 1: And then it's the Brewers at eighty nine and a half. 132 00:05:29,440 --> 00:05:31,680 Speaker 1: Another thing where I look at the division itself. I 133 00:05:31,720 --> 00:05:33,800 Speaker 1: really don't see a whole lot of competitors outside the 134 00:05:33,800 --> 00:05:36,880 Speaker 1: Saint Louis Cardinals really giving them any runs for their money. 135 00:05:37,040 --> 00:05:39,360 Speaker 1: That pitching staff is so good. They've got a pipeline 136 00:05:39,360 --> 00:05:41,480 Speaker 1: of some young pitchers as well. So those are the overs. 137 00:05:41,520 --> 00:05:43,320 Speaker 1: I like the Mariners at eighty nine and a half, 138 00:05:43,520 --> 00:05:45,120 Speaker 1: the White Sox at ninety one and a half, the 139 00:05:45,200 --> 00:05:47,440 Speaker 1: Rays at eighty nine and a half, and the Mariners 140 00:05:47,440 --> 00:05:49,520 Speaker 1: at eighty three and a half. So when you're looking 141 00:05:49,560 --> 00:05:52,840 Speaker 1: at some of the overs, who kind of pop to you, well, 142 00:05:52,880 --> 00:05:54,680 Speaker 1: so you thought might be a good early investment. 143 00:05:54,960 --> 00:05:57,400 Speaker 5: Well, I really like the Mariners one. It's interesting. 144 00:05:57,400 --> 00:05:59,040 Speaker 4: You've got a lot of high totals here. You've got 145 00:05:59,080 --> 00:06:02,000 Speaker 4: great teams. High totals can be a little bit scary. 146 00:06:02,040 --> 00:06:03,640 Speaker 5: But I love the Mariners one. 147 00:06:03,839 --> 00:06:06,719 Speaker 4: I'm such a you know, I'm such a sucker for 148 00:06:06,800 --> 00:06:09,599 Speaker 4: everything that they do. I absolutely love Logan Gilbert. I 149 00:06:09,640 --> 00:06:12,600 Speaker 4: love the step that he's gonna make, Julio Rodriguez. It's 150 00:06:12,600 --> 00:06:14,960 Speaker 4: a whole nother ballgame, you know, for me and my love, 151 00:06:14,960 --> 00:06:18,400 Speaker 4: and I think they've got depth from outfield to infield, 152 00:06:18,400 --> 00:06:19,919 Speaker 4: so I think it's a great team. Eighty three and 153 00:06:19,920 --> 00:06:23,560 Speaker 4: a half. Fantastic love that one. Not to say I 154 00:06:23,560 --> 00:06:26,040 Speaker 4: don't like the other ones' just high totals. I picked 155 00:06:26,080 --> 00:06:29,080 Speaker 4: on two really low total teams that I think actually 156 00:06:29,080 --> 00:06:32,200 Speaker 4: made improvements and I'd be really interested in. Number one 157 00:06:32,400 --> 00:06:34,800 Speaker 4: is the Royals, and the Royals are at seventy one 158 00:06:34,880 --> 00:06:37,479 Speaker 4: and a half, and this team is built to win, 159 00:06:37,960 --> 00:06:40,239 Speaker 4: that's what they are. They got brought in Zach Grank, 160 00:06:40,600 --> 00:06:44,160 Speaker 4: They've got another year in of this really good young rotation. 161 00:06:44,240 --> 00:06:47,000 Speaker 4: They got Brady Singer, They've got Daniel Lynch, they've got 162 00:06:47,080 --> 00:06:49,800 Speaker 4: Chris Boobie, they've got Jackson Kowhar that's kind of sitting 163 00:06:49,839 --> 00:06:50,360 Speaker 4: in the wings. 164 00:06:50,560 --> 00:06:51,480 Speaker 5: Brad Keller's in there. 165 00:06:51,480 --> 00:06:55,000 Speaker 4: I think they've got a really solid rotation, They've got 166 00:06:55,040 --> 00:06:57,599 Speaker 4: a decent bullpen, and I think they have a fantastic 167 00:06:57,760 --> 00:07:01,400 Speaker 4: explosive offense with Bobby in there. Seventy one and a 168 00:07:01,440 --> 00:07:04,200 Speaker 4: half that's really really good. That actually might be one 169 00:07:04,200 --> 00:07:06,360 Speaker 4: of my favorites. When all push comes to shove, there's 170 00:07:06,360 --> 00:07:08,640 Speaker 4: a there are the under we're going to talk about 171 00:07:08,720 --> 00:07:11,160 Speaker 4: might be my absolute favorite, but the Royals would be 172 00:07:11,160 --> 00:07:12,480 Speaker 4: one that I would want to hammer. 173 00:07:12,520 --> 00:07:14,480 Speaker 5: At seventy one and a half, and then this. 174 00:07:14,520 --> 00:07:17,960 Speaker 4: Other one's kind of also about team context and improvement. 175 00:07:18,240 --> 00:07:20,520 Speaker 4: It's the Tigers. The Tigers are down here. And and 176 00:07:20,520 --> 00:07:22,840 Speaker 4: by the way, I didn't look at every single one 177 00:07:22,880 --> 00:07:25,840 Speaker 4: of these. These were numbers I saw over on just 178 00:07:25,840 --> 00:07:28,360 Speaker 4: happening to be DraftKings at sixty six and a half, 179 00:07:28,400 --> 00:07:30,520 Speaker 4: So you might have to shop around whatever book you're 180 00:07:30,560 --> 00:07:32,440 Speaker 4: looking at, going to betting Pros and you can see 181 00:07:32,440 --> 00:07:34,480 Speaker 4: all the totals sixty six and a half. 182 00:07:34,960 --> 00:07:35,400 Speaker 5: I like that. 183 00:07:35,520 --> 00:07:38,880 Speaker 4: Hobby Baias comes in, Torklsen is in there again. This 184 00:07:38,920 --> 00:07:42,200 Speaker 4: is kind of you know, mymo here, you've got another 185 00:07:42,320 --> 00:07:47,120 Speaker 4: year improved of these young pitchers with Terrek Skugel, Casey Maiz, 186 00:07:47,200 --> 00:07:50,480 Speaker 4: Matt Manning, and Wardo Rodriguez. They bring in to kind of, 187 00:07:51,040 --> 00:07:55,280 Speaker 4: you know, boost out that entire rotation. They just got better. 188 00:07:55,360 --> 00:07:57,440 Speaker 4: They just they're not awesome, They're not a great team, 189 00:07:57,600 --> 00:07:59,760 Speaker 4: but they just got better. And at sixty six and 190 00:07:59,800 --> 00:08:02,160 Speaker 4: a half, there's a lot of upsides. So as far 191 00:08:02,200 --> 00:08:05,320 Speaker 4: as like two really you know, I don't know, maybe 192 00:08:05,400 --> 00:08:08,119 Speaker 4: stigma teams of not being good. I think both teams 193 00:08:08,200 --> 00:08:12,640 Speaker 4: made concerted efforts to improve more teams in it, and 194 00:08:12,840 --> 00:08:15,160 Speaker 4: I like both of those as far as over as 195 00:08:15,200 --> 00:08:16,680 Speaker 4: I would take on some team totals. 196 00:08:17,600 --> 00:08:20,080 Speaker 1: Now the Tigers right now, that consensus number is seventy 197 00:08:20,080 --> 00:08:22,200 Speaker 1: seven and a half and the Tigers on betting pros, 198 00:08:22,200 --> 00:08:24,120 Speaker 1: So it's something to take notice of. You can find 199 00:08:24,120 --> 00:08:27,160 Speaker 1: it somewhere else cheaper in terms of a lower number. 200 00:08:27,240 --> 00:08:29,440 Speaker 1: You could certainly bet that variance. And that's why it's 201 00:08:29,440 --> 00:08:32,000 Speaker 1: so important. That's why it's so great to have these 202 00:08:32,080 --> 00:08:33,040 Speaker 1: tools at our fingertips. 203 00:08:33,320 --> 00:08:35,200 Speaker 5: What is the what are they? What are they over there? 204 00:08:35,960 --> 00:08:38,000 Speaker 1: Their seventy seven and a half is the consensus for 205 00:08:38,040 --> 00:08:40,440 Speaker 1: the over under for the Tigers this year for winning. 206 00:08:40,280 --> 00:08:42,240 Speaker 4: Okay, and the consensus well, yeah, like I said, I 207 00:08:42,360 --> 00:08:44,920 Speaker 4: just happened to find sixty six and a half was 208 00:08:44,960 --> 00:08:47,640 Speaker 4: over on draftking. So that's the number that I got now, 209 00:08:47,679 --> 00:08:50,040 Speaker 4: seventy seven and a half. I ain't playing that. I 210 00:08:50,040 --> 00:08:51,400 Speaker 4: ain't playing Homeie, don't play that. 211 00:08:51,760 --> 00:08:52,840 Speaker 2: You play the under on that? 212 00:08:53,120 --> 00:08:56,200 Speaker 4: Yeah, way, I'm gonna take out that rather wap. I'm 213 00:08:56,200 --> 00:08:58,320 Speaker 4: not doing that one if it's seventy seven and a half. 214 00:08:58,320 --> 00:09:01,319 Speaker 4: But I found sixty six and a half on DraftKings, 215 00:09:01,360 --> 00:09:02,720 Speaker 4: and I like, I like, E. 216 00:09:03,640 --> 00:09:06,440 Speaker 1: Let's get to some of the unders here and for me. 217 00:09:06,480 --> 00:09:08,079 Speaker 1: The first one is gonna be the Orioles at sixty 218 00:09:08,120 --> 00:09:10,880 Speaker 1: four and a half. And yes, it's already a low number. 219 00:09:10,880 --> 00:09:13,920 Speaker 1: But this Orioles team is not very good. I mean 220 00:09:13,920 --> 00:09:16,160 Speaker 1: after John Means, and even John Means, I'm not sure 221 00:09:16,200 --> 00:09:18,199 Speaker 1: what we're getting out of him from a pitching standpoint. 222 00:09:18,840 --> 00:09:20,559 Speaker 1: I do think they're gonna sell off some more pieces 223 00:09:20,559 --> 00:09:23,640 Speaker 1: they continue to rebuild. I think they're gonnat bludgeoned by 224 00:09:23,640 --> 00:09:25,440 Speaker 1: the other teams in this division too. The Blue Jays 225 00:09:25,440 --> 00:09:27,600 Speaker 1: are great, The Yankees are gonna be the Yankees. The 226 00:09:27,600 --> 00:09:29,800 Speaker 1: Red Sox will continue to be a very good offense. 227 00:09:29,800 --> 00:09:32,839 Speaker 1: We'll see what happens without sale how they do. But 228 00:09:32,960 --> 00:09:35,200 Speaker 1: I mean, really, I just I look at this East 229 00:09:35,240 --> 00:09:37,640 Speaker 1: and it's such a monstrous division. I think it's really hard. 230 00:09:37,640 --> 00:09:39,480 Speaker 1: Oh yeah, and that Rays team that already picked the 231 00:09:39,559 --> 00:09:41,880 Speaker 1: over on. I mean, the Orioles are going to be 232 00:09:41,880 --> 00:09:44,040 Speaker 1: in for a long season. The Nationals I think are 233 00:09:44,080 --> 00:09:46,560 Speaker 1: as well. I know it's been encouraging to see Patrick 234 00:09:46,600 --> 00:09:50,000 Speaker 1: Corbyn pitch a little bit better in this spring. I 235 00:09:50,080 --> 00:09:52,720 Speaker 1: understand that they've got some young talent potentially to break 236 00:09:52,720 --> 00:09:54,640 Speaker 1: through still in this team, I know Jan Sota is 237 00:09:54,640 --> 00:09:56,800 Speaker 1: the best player on the planet. But seventy one and 238 00:09:56,880 --> 00:09:58,880 Speaker 1: a half, I still like the under there. I think 239 00:09:58,920 --> 00:10:00,760 Speaker 1: this is a team that really struggles, and I do 240 00:10:00,800 --> 00:10:04,000 Speaker 1: think they're gonna jettison more pieces like Nelson Cruz as 241 00:10:04,040 --> 00:10:07,240 Speaker 1: the season goes on, just because they really can't compete 242 00:10:07,280 --> 00:10:09,000 Speaker 1: right now. They just can't do it. And I don't 243 00:10:09,000 --> 00:10:12,520 Speaker 1: axce Exprassburg to do anything. That thoracic outlet syndrome thing 244 00:10:12,559 --> 00:10:15,160 Speaker 1: has really crushed many careers in Major League Baseball with 245 00:10:15,240 --> 00:10:17,760 Speaker 1: pitchers over the last decade, and I expect to be 246 00:10:17,760 --> 00:10:19,600 Speaker 1: the same with him. So the under on the Nationals 247 00:10:19,640 --> 00:10:21,320 Speaker 1: at seventy one and a half, and then the Giants, 248 00:10:21,720 --> 00:10:24,439 Speaker 1: the Darling last year, the Cinderello eighty five and a half, 249 00:10:24,520 --> 00:10:28,280 Speaker 1: I'm gonna take the under here. Their move from Gossman 250 00:10:28,360 --> 00:10:31,480 Speaker 1: to Rodin. You can certainly argue that Rodin had a 251 00:10:31,520 --> 00:10:33,800 Speaker 1: wonderful season last year. I'm gonna argue he's got track 252 00:10:33,840 --> 00:10:35,839 Speaker 1: record of not pitching games, and I think that's a 253 00:10:35,920 --> 00:10:38,800 Speaker 1: huge one. Buster Posey's gone. You missed that leadership that 254 00:10:38,880 --> 00:10:42,280 Speaker 1: was there last year. Evan Longoria already on the shelf 255 00:10:42,280 --> 00:10:44,400 Speaker 1: to open the season. Everything broke right, I think for 256 00:10:44,440 --> 00:10:46,760 Speaker 1: the Giants, and I'm not trying to take anything away 257 00:10:46,800 --> 00:10:48,960 Speaker 1: from them as a team, but Welsh to me, the 258 00:10:49,000 --> 00:10:51,560 Speaker 1: Giants were a great story last year, but I'm not 259 00:10:51,559 --> 00:10:53,880 Speaker 1: buying them again to repeat it in twenty twenty two, 260 00:10:54,120 --> 00:10:56,160 Speaker 1: especially with some of those juggernaut teams you've got there, 261 00:10:56,200 --> 00:10:59,320 Speaker 1: like the Padres pitching staff now and the Dodgers. So 262 00:10:59,360 --> 00:11:00,840 Speaker 1: the under on the eighty five and a half for 263 00:11:00,880 --> 00:11:03,400 Speaker 1: the Giants, the under for the Nationals at seventy one 264 00:11:03,440 --> 00:11:05,080 Speaker 1: and a half, and the under for the Orioles at 265 00:11:05,080 --> 00:11:07,199 Speaker 1: sixty four and a half. Those are my three favorite 266 00:11:07,360 --> 00:11:09,760 Speaker 1: Who are your three favorite unders or two favorite unders 267 00:11:09,760 --> 00:11:10,640 Speaker 1: you've got here potentially? 268 00:11:10,679 --> 00:11:12,720 Speaker 4: First, Okay, so a couple a couple things real quick. 269 00:11:13,720 --> 00:11:17,839 Speaker 4: I have the best and just most perfect sell of 270 00:11:17,880 --> 00:11:20,040 Speaker 4: why you go over to the cheat sheet over on 271 00:11:20,120 --> 00:11:22,680 Speaker 4: betting pros because I'm such a dummy. And when I 272 00:11:22,720 --> 00:11:25,360 Speaker 4: was looking on DraftKings, absolutely was looking at the wrong 273 00:11:25,440 --> 00:11:27,840 Speaker 4: team and the Tigers, and I was like, what is 274 00:11:27,920 --> 00:11:31,679 Speaker 4: going on here? And had I, on that moment just 275 00:11:31,720 --> 00:11:34,480 Speaker 4: been on the sheet, I would have seen that I 276 00:11:34,520 --> 00:11:37,160 Speaker 4: was completely wrong. So getting back to the Tigers one 277 00:11:37,360 --> 00:11:39,480 Speaker 4: and I was one or two off as well because 278 00:11:39,480 --> 00:11:41,440 Speaker 4: I did the same dummy thing with the Royals, but 279 00:11:41,480 --> 00:11:43,360 Speaker 4: the Royals were seventy four and a half, I think, 280 00:11:43,480 --> 00:11:45,320 Speaker 4: and that doesn't change anything for me. I still love 281 00:11:45,360 --> 00:11:48,720 Speaker 4: the Royals ones. Tigers, big dummy hands up, go on 282 00:11:48,760 --> 00:11:51,400 Speaker 4: the cheet sheet on betting pros, that's the way to 283 00:11:51,480 --> 00:11:51,800 Speaker 4: do that. 284 00:11:51,840 --> 00:11:52,040 Speaker 5: One. 285 00:11:52,880 --> 00:11:57,400 Speaker 4: On the Giants one, I don't know, man, I don't 286 00:11:57,520 --> 00:12:01,000 Speaker 4: love that under because as you say, what everything you 287 00:12:01,040 --> 00:12:03,680 Speaker 4: said to the Rays you can just copy and paste 288 00:12:03,679 --> 00:12:06,240 Speaker 4: over to the Giants. They just win by the way 289 00:12:06,800 --> 00:12:09,000 Speaker 4: they made their rotation better. You know, they made that 290 00:12:09,080 --> 00:12:12,200 Speaker 4: rotation better. Alex Cobb, Alex would both really good pieces. 291 00:12:12,200 --> 00:12:14,840 Speaker 4: You've got Deskalafani and I don't know. I think they 292 00:12:14,880 --> 00:12:18,280 Speaker 4: are continuously a sneaky team with a really good bullpen 293 00:12:19,000 --> 00:12:23,720 Speaker 4: and a bad division. Dodgers fantastic Dodgers. 294 00:12:23,840 --> 00:12:25,040 Speaker 5: We'll talk about them later. 295 00:12:25,320 --> 00:12:29,320 Speaker 4: Padres little bit dicey on my two favorite bets here, 296 00:12:29,800 --> 00:12:34,040 Speaker 4: whatever the numbers are, the under on the Diamondbacks and 297 00:12:34,080 --> 00:12:36,720 Speaker 4: the Rockies wins is for me this year the Rockies 298 00:12:36,720 --> 00:12:39,920 Speaker 4: are going to not be great. I don't feel as 299 00:12:39,960 --> 00:12:42,920 Speaker 4: confident maybe with that one, but the Diamondbacks one. Now, 300 00:12:42,920 --> 00:12:45,000 Speaker 4: the Diamondbacks one I think is that sixty six and 301 00:12:45,040 --> 00:12:47,880 Speaker 4: a half. Yeah, the consensus is sixty six and a 302 00:12:47,920 --> 00:12:52,120 Speaker 4: half on the win totals here and the Diamondbacks, even 303 00:12:52,160 --> 00:12:54,080 Speaker 4: though they're going to try to put some of this together, 304 00:12:54,120 --> 00:12:56,760 Speaker 4: it's not a great team. It's a Dodger team that's 305 00:12:56,800 --> 00:12:59,600 Speaker 4: going to be pounding them. It's a Giants team that's 306 00:12:59,600 --> 00:13:03,600 Speaker 4: going to get extra wins. So that eighty five I 307 00:13:03,640 --> 00:13:07,200 Speaker 4: actually like me personally, I'm probably avoiding that one because 308 00:13:07,280 --> 00:13:09,720 Speaker 4: I think they're super sneaky. I think they're super super 309 00:13:09,720 --> 00:13:11,440 Speaker 4: sneaky on this one. But I think the Diamondbacks are 310 00:13:11,480 --> 00:13:13,880 Speaker 4: going to be one of the worst teams in baseball. 311 00:13:13,960 --> 00:13:14,280 Speaker 5: Again. 312 00:13:14,640 --> 00:13:18,040 Speaker 4: They continuously show that, and that is why I would 313 00:13:18,120 --> 00:13:20,400 Speaker 4: move off of them and I would go on the under. 314 00:13:20,760 --> 00:13:22,760 Speaker 4: And then, you know, the only other one I want 315 00:13:22,760 --> 00:13:24,760 Speaker 4: to look at real quick, Joe, because I'm gonna give 316 00:13:24,760 --> 00:13:28,280 Speaker 4: you on the fly after Yeah, yeah, well we're gonna 317 00:13:28,280 --> 00:13:31,680 Speaker 4: do this one. Even though this team has been kind 318 00:13:31,720 --> 00:13:35,960 Speaker 4: of similar to the Giants and the Rays over time. 319 00:13:36,800 --> 00:13:39,360 Speaker 4: When you just had the A's trade shamm and Aya 320 00:13:39,520 --> 00:13:42,720 Speaker 4: to the Padres and can continue to decimate that team, 321 00:13:43,360 --> 00:13:45,520 Speaker 4: they blatantly are staring you in the face to take 322 00:13:45,559 --> 00:13:47,720 Speaker 4: an under because they are rebuilding, and I don't think 323 00:13:47,760 --> 00:13:50,000 Speaker 4: they're gonna do it quick because they don't have a 324 00:13:50,000 --> 00:13:52,480 Speaker 4: lot of young pieces that are ready to come up. 325 00:13:52,920 --> 00:13:55,960 Speaker 4: Sixty eight and a half, they are a higher win 326 00:13:56,080 --> 00:13:59,680 Speaker 4: total than the Arizona Diamondbacks. I don't think so, Scooter 327 00:14:00,240 --> 00:14:02,760 Speaker 4: eight and a half. I'm gonna take the under. Betting 328 00:14:02,760 --> 00:14:05,920 Speaker 4: consensus bending pros consensus shows minus one twenty two. So 329 00:14:05,960 --> 00:14:08,400 Speaker 4: you're almost getting out of like good juice range. So 330 00:14:08,559 --> 00:14:10,600 Speaker 4: give me the A's, give me the Rockies, and boy, 331 00:14:10,640 --> 00:14:11,920 Speaker 4: give me the Diamondbacks unders. 332 00:14:12,880 --> 00:14:14,440 Speaker 1: Yeah, I love the A's one too. I could not 333 00:14:14,520 --> 00:14:17,400 Speaker 1: agree more. All right, let's switch gears to a little hardware. 334 00:14:17,480 --> 00:14:20,040 Speaker 1: Let's talk about MVP will start in the American League. 335 00:14:20,200 --> 00:14:23,040 Speaker 1: Vlad Guerrero right now is sitting at consensus at plus 336 00:14:23,040 --> 00:14:26,320 Speaker 1: three hundred, same as Shoeotani right around there, plus three fifty. 337 00:14:26,560 --> 00:14:30,040 Speaker 1: Now at BETMGM Blad, Guerrero is plus five hundred. Interesting 338 00:14:30,080 --> 00:14:32,640 Speaker 1: note there, Mike Trout is at plus three seventy five 339 00:14:32,640 --> 00:14:34,600 Speaker 1: in the consensus line, but at bet MGM you get 340 00:14:34,640 --> 00:14:37,120 Speaker 1: in for plus four to fifty. Right now on FanDuel 341 00:14:37,120 --> 00:14:40,800 Speaker 1: plus five to fifty. Those are kind of the odds 342 00:14:40,840 --> 00:14:45,040 Speaker 1: on favorites in the American League. So I still am 343 00:14:45,080 --> 00:14:46,480 Speaker 1: of the mind that as long as show hey O 344 00:14:46,520 --> 00:14:50,000 Speaker 1: Tani continues to pitch and hit. If he's gonna throw 345 00:14:50,000 --> 00:14:52,520 Speaker 1: one hundred and forty innings this year and he's going 346 00:14:52,600 --> 00:14:54,960 Speaker 1: to hit anything close than we did last year, I 347 00:14:55,000 --> 00:14:57,720 Speaker 1: don't know how anyone else wins Most Valuable Player. He 348 00:14:57,800 --> 00:15:01,080 Speaker 1: is literally pitching and hitting at a very high level. 349 00:15:01,360 --> 00:15:03,400 Speaker 1: It doesn't matter what Trout does, It doesn't matter what 350 00:15:03,480 --> 00:15:05,120 Speaker 1: Vladd does. I told you last year Lad could win 351 00:15:05,160 --> 00:15:06,880 Speaker 1: the Triple Crown. I would still vote for Otani if 352 00:15:06,920 --> 00:15:09,040 Speaker 1: I had to vote. And if you're looking right now 353 00:15:09,040 --> 00:15:11,480 Speaker 1: for the best line in Otani right now, that MGM 354 00:15:11,560 --> 00:15:13,200 Speaker 1: is the best place at plus three fifty, you can 355 00:15:13,240 --> 00:15:15,040 Speaker 1: get it because some have it at three hundred, some 356 00:15:15,160 --> 00:15:15,840 Speaker 1: at three forty. 357 00:15:15,920 --> 00:15:18,680 Speaker 2: But to me, it's still Otani in terms of favorites. 358 00:15:18,720 --> 00:15:20,720 Speaker 1: But if I'm going to look a little deeper, Welsh 359 00:15:20,920 --> 00:15:23,040 Speaker 1: and I'm gonna dig, and I'm trying to make a 360 00:15:23,080 --> 00:15:26,440 Speaker 1: case for somebody plus twenty two hundred on Louis Robert, 361 00:15:26,520 --> 00:15:29,480 Speaker 1: who I know is a favorite of yours. You're looking 362 00:15:29,480 --> 00:15:32,000 Speaker 1: for a narrative, right, it's a high profile team, a 363 00:15:32,040 --> 00:15:34,720 Speaker 1: team that, if everything breaks right, could win ninety five 364 00:15:34,760 --> 00:15:36,840 Speaker 1: to one hundred games, right if Link comes back healthy, 365 00:15:36,920 --> 00:15:39,200 Speaker 1: and you know, they just kind of roll the White Sox. 366 00:15:39,960 --> 00:15:41,920 Speaker 1: We're just scratching the surface of how good Louis Robert 367 00:15:41,960 --> 00:15:44,240 Speaker 1: can be At plus twenty two hundred, He's my favorite 368 00:15:44,240 --> 00:15:46,960 Speaker 1: of the long shots for American League MVP. How do 369 00:15:47,040 --> 00:15:49,000 Speaker 1: you feel about the favorites and how do you feel 370 00:15:49,040 --> 00:15:51,040 Speaker 1: about any long shots potentially that you would want to 371 00:15:51,040 --> 00:15:53,520 Speaker 1: put money on. I've already put money on Otani and Robert. 372 00:15:53,720 --> 00:15:56,040 Speaker 1: Those are my two guys. You have any guys you 373 00:15:56,120 --> 00:15:57,160 Speaker 1: like in the American League. 374 00:15:57,480 --> 00:15:59,600 Speaker 4: I just wanted to add I agree with the Otani stuff. 375 00:16:00,000 --> 00:16:01,880 Speaker 4: If Kings says have him at four hundred, so that 376 00:16:01,920 --> 00:16:03,960 Speaker 4: would actually I don't think it's just curated yet, so 377 00:16:04,000 --> 00:16:07,200 Speaker 4: that would actually be the current best odds. Really like 378 00:16:07,280 --> 00:16:07,840 Speaker 4: that if you. 379 00:16:07,800 --> 00:16:09,440 Speaker 5: Can jump good yeah. Plus. 380 00:16:09,760 --> 00:16:12,320 Speaker 4: I mean the problem too is with Atani is the 381 00:16:12,360 --> 00:16:14,560 Speaker 4: only thing that takes him away is injury, and that's 382 00:16:14,600 --> 00:16:18,320 Speaker 4: still very There's a big Possibilityory's out there, and that's 383 00:16:18,360 --> 00:16:20,520 Speaker 4: why he's not a minus number like he should be 384 00:16:20,600 --> 00:16:21,400 Speaker 4: a minus number. 385 00:16:21,440 --> 00:16:25,440 Speaker 1: He's so much far and away a favorite in that 386 00:16:25,480 --> 00:16:27,480 Speaker 1: sense because he does something that nobody else can do, 387 00:16:27,600 --> 00:16:30,120 Speaker 1: and that's why it's the injury risk that makes it 388 00:16:30,160 --> 00:16:30,800 Speaker 1: it's still three. 389 00:16:30,640 --> 00:16:32,480 Speaker 4: To one, and that's why it's easy money to throw 390 00:16:32,520 --> 00:16:34,240 Speaker 4: out there, because it's still plus four hundred. 391 00:16:34,320 --> 00:16:35,080 Speaker 5: Now here's the only thing. 392 00:16:35,080 --> 00:16:37,040 Speaker 4: I don't mean to extend all this conversation, but here's 393 00:16:37,080 --> 00:16:39,400 Speaker 4: the only thing that I do. Wonder is there going 394 00:16:39,440 --> 00:16:41,240 Speaker 4: to you know how they just created like the Otani 395 00:16:41,360 --> 00:16:44,560 Speaker 4: rule out there where Otani can now stay in the 396 00:16:44,560 --> 00:16:46,920 Speaker 4: game as a DH if he comes out. I wonder 397 00:16:46,960 --> 00:16:49,920 Speaker 4: if there's going to be an MVP Otani rule that 398 00:16:50,360 --> 00:16:52,400 Speaker 4: just think about this, If Otani continues to do what 399 00:16:52,480 --> 00:16:55,680 Speaker 4: he does, that MVP will never go to anybody else 400 00:16:55,720 --> 00:16:58,000 Speaker 4: by this logic. I just wonder if there's going to 401 00:16:58,040 --> 00:17:02,640 Speaker 4: be a narrative to writers and voters where they've seen 402 00:17:02,720 --> 00:17:05,560 Speaker 4: him do this, the expectation is there and they're now 403 00:17:05,640 --> 00:17:09,359 Speaker 4: looking for other players to do something otherworldly, even though 404 00:17:09,440 --> 00:17:11,320 Speaker 4: it is the best player. So I only put that 405 00:17:11,400 --> 00:17:14,520 Speaker 4: out there to say monitor that it's the easiest bet 406 00:17:14,560 --> 00:17:16,359 Speaker 4: you could do. You got to go show heyo Tani. 407 00:17:16,600 --> 00:17:19,560 Speaker 4: If I'm going to go deeper two that I like, 408 00:17:22,160 --> 00:17:24,920 Speaker 4: I mean, I hate to say it. I like Fyron 409 00:17:24,960 --> 00:17:27,320 Speaker 4: Bucks and at eighteen hundred, he's a little bit face. 410 00:17:27,800 --> 00:17:28,760 Speaker 2: It's a long shot. Why not. 411 00:17:29,000 --> 00:17:30,960 Speaker 4: He's a little bit higher of a favorite than Robert, 412 00:17:31,000 --> 00:17:33,359 Speaker 4: which actually don't like that. I like Robert a little 413 00:17:33,400 --> 00:17:36,439 Speaker 4: bit better, but at the same odds. And that was 414 00:17:36,480 --> 00:17:39,320 Speaker 4: on just drafting one of the ones I really like, 415 00:17:39,440 --> 00:17:41,720 Speaker 4: and I think it is on bet MGM. They're giving 416 00:17:41,760 --> 00:17:44,560 Speaker 4: you the best odds right now. No, no, no, it's 417 00:17:44,560 --> 00:17:47,960 Speaker 4: actually FanDuel. When I look at the betting Pro's cheat sheet, 418 00:17:48,000 --> 00:17:51,600 Speaker 4: here is Bobaschet at plus three thousand. I love you 419 00:17:51,680 --> 00:17:54,800 Speaker 4: three thousand, Bobaschet, And I think that's a solid bet 420 00:17:54,880 --> 00:17:58,919 Speaker 4: for a five tool, five tool player that's on a 421 00:17:59,040 --> 00:18:00,840 Speaker 4: team that is going to back up wins. And I 422 00:18:00,920 --> 00:18:03,840 Speaker 4: know we always put our focus in the Vladimir ger Junior, 423 00:18:04,280 --> 00:18:07,959 Speaker 4: but Bobashett at plus three thousand, that's pretty solid. So 424 00:18:08,320 --> 00:18:11,040 Speaker 4: I like your Robert Buxton, Bashett. Those would be my 425 00:18:11,080 --> 00:18:13,880 Speaker 4: big long shots. But Otani at four hundred. 426 00:18:14,359 --> 00:18:15,240 Speaker 2: I'll tell you what you know. 427 00:18:15,240 --> 00:18:16,880 Speaker 1: I always struggle with guys who are on the same 428 00:18:16,920 --> 00:18:19,560 Speaker 1: team like vlad and Bishett. Uh typically it would be 429 00:18:19,560 --> 00:18:22,119 Speaker 1: Otani and Trout, but because Otani does what he does. 430 00:18:22,359 --> 00:18:23,840 Speaker 2: Unless Trout is gonna start closing down. 431 00:18:23,920 --> 00:18:25,080 Speaker 5: They take away from each other. 432 00:18:25,359 --> 00:18:27,679 Speaker 4: Yeah, that's smart, it's really smart. 433 00:18:28,320 --> 00:18:30,440 Speaker 1: Typically they do because how do you how do you 434 00:18:30,480 --> 00:18:32,360 Speaker 1: disseminate them? You know, it's the same thing I have 435 00:18:32,440 --> 00:18:34,600 Speaker 1: a problem with the Dodgers in the National League, Like, 436 00:18:34,720 --> 00:18:36,760 Speaker 1: right now, you have Trey Turner, you have Freddie Freeman, 437 00:18:36,840 --> 00:18:38,679 Speaker 1: you have all those guys towards the top of the board, 438 00:18:38,760 --> 00:18:41,800 Speaker 1: along with Mookie Betts. Right all those guys are towards 439 00:18:41,800 --> 00:18:42,800 Speaker 1: the top of the board of MVP. 440 00:18:43,119 --> 00:18:45,480 Speaker 4: I mean, Robert kind of has that as well. Though 441 00:18:45,520 --> 00:18:48,720 Speaker 4: with Eloy Jimenez and jose A Brady, there's. 442 00:18:48,680 --> 00:18:51,400 Speaker 1: Star Frans send it like a Bray is a really 443 00:18:51,440 --> 00:18:54,560 Speaker 1: good player, Elloy is a We all love Eloya Menez, 444 00:18:54,600 --> 00:18:56,720 Speaker 1: but I think the public vision of him is still 445 00:18:56,760 --> 00:18:59,240 Speaker 1: he's a good player who's young, and we'll see. Whereas 446 00:18:59,240 --> 00:19:03,119 Speaker 1: if Robert has a thirty thirty season, Let's say that's 447 00:19:03,200 --> 00:19:05,360 Speaker 1: gonna trend upwards and he's gonna be like the new 448 00:19:05,359 --> 00:19:08,400 Speaker 1: hot look at the superstar guy in the National League. 449 00:19:08,440 --> 00:19:11,000 Speaker 1: A little bit trickier obviously, because we're talking about it. 450 00:19:11,080 --> 00:19:13,520 Speaker 1: You know, it's it's a tougher road here. Juan Soto's 451 00:19:13,520 --> 00:19:16,520 Speaker 1: on a terrible team, so he is the consensus number 452 00:19:16,520 --> 00:19:17,800 Speaker 1: one guy at plus three hundred. 453 00:19:18,119 --> 00:19:20,480 Speaker 2: That's a tough sell for Nano Tatistas. Gonna miss too 454 00:19:20,560 --> 00:19:20,960 Speaker 2: much time. 455 00:19:21,160 --> 00:19:23,120 Speaker 1: I hate to be boring Welsh, but I'm right back 456 00:19:23,160 --> 00:19:24,760 Speaker 1: at Bryce Harper, who is the guy that I picked 457 00:19:24,880 --> 00:19:26,719 Speaker 1: last year. You can get him at ten to one 458 00:19:26,760 --> 00:19:28,920 Speaker 1: on bet MGM. Right now, the consensus line is plus 459 00:19:28,960 --> 00:19:31,080 Speaker 1: six fifty. I would run to bet MGM for that 460 00:19:31,119 --> 00:19:34,240 Speaker 1: one at that ten to one because to me, even 461 00:19:34,240 --> 00:19:37,920 Speaker 1: though he had a Cassieanilson Schwarber, they're still more visioned 462 00:19:38,000 --> 00:19:41,280 Speaker 1: as ancillary pieces, whereas Harper is the star. He's the 463 00:19:41,280 --> 00:19:43,399 Speaker 1: guy that carried him. And we all know these awards 464 00:19:43,440 --> 00:19:45,960 Speaker 1: sometimes go in clusters. You get guys winning back to 465 00:19:46,000 --> 00:19:47,640 Speaker 1: back or two out of three, whether it be Cy 466 00:19:47,680 --> 00:19:50,159 Speaker 1: Young or MVP. So I think the Harper narrative is 467 00:19:50,160 --> 00:19:52,080 Speaker 1: still very strong, and he's viewed as the guy and 468 00:19:52,119 --> 00:19:54,560 Speaker 1: the leader, and I think he would be my one 469 00:19:54,600 --> 00:19:56,200 Speaker 1: and only wager in the National League that I would 470 00:19:56,200 --> 00:19:58,359 Speaker 1: want to make. But how about you, Do you like Harper? 471 00:19:58,359 --> 00:19:59,840 Speaker 1: Do you like somebody else potentially for this? 472 00:20:00,359 --> 00:20:00,600 Speaker 5: Yeah? 473 00:20:00,640 --> 00:20:03,639 Speaker 4: So I love the Harper one, and you know the 474 00:20:03,720 --> 00:20:05,639 Speaker 4: smart bet to do on these and I think you've 475 00:20:05,720 --> 00:20:07,440 Speaker 4: kind of alluded to it on all this type of 476 00:20:07,480 --> 00:20:08,520 Speaker 4: stuff in Team Futures. 477 00:20:08,840 --> 00:20:09,280 Speaker 5: It's set a. 478 00:20:09,280 --> 00:20:12,120 Speaker 4: Couple, you know, increase your odds. You know, you don't 479 00:20:12,119 --> 00:20:14,399 Speaker 4: have to go crazy units. But it's like if you're like, hey, 480 00:20:14,400 --> 00:20:16,280 Speaker 4: I want to spend one hundred bucks on all these guys, 481 00:20:16,680 --> 00:20:18,560 Speaker 4: you know, on different stuff, and it's like, get into 482 00:20:18,800 --> 00:20:21,280 Speaker 4: MVP Awards and maybe you know, pick two or three 483 00:20:21,320 --> 00:20:23,800 Speaker 4: and odds on in at the end, if you're betting, 484 00:20:23,840 --> 00:20:26,080 Speaker 4: you're going to make money, you know, especially if you 485 00:20:26,080 --> 00:20:28,040 Speaker 4: don't go nuts with it. So I love the Harper one. 486 00:20:28,040 --> 00:20:29,880 Speaker 4: But here is a side one that I'm gonna throw 487 00:20:29,880 --> 00:20:33,359 Speaker 4: out to you. And on FANDO you're getting plus nine hundred. 488 00:20:33,359 --> 00:20:33,520 Speaker 5: Now. 489 00:20:33,520 --> 00:20:35,560 Speaker 4: The only thing I don't like about this is you 490 00:20:35,600 --> 00:20:38,199 Speaker 4: get better odds in other places on Bryce Harper. But 491 00:20:38,560 --> 00:20:41,640 Speaker 4: I'm gonna throw out Ronald acunya. So Ronald d'acunya, he's 492 00:20:41,680 --> 00:20:44,240 Speaker 4: gonna start dhing and April's gonna miss up to two weeks, 493 00:20:44,240 --> 00:20:46,240 Speaker 4: that's all we're looking at. Then he's gonna start dhing 494 00:20:46,320 --> 00:20:49,240 Speaker 4: and then hit the field. This is a fantastic Braves 495 00:20:49,280 --> 00:20:51,600 Speaker 4: team that is going to be playoff bound, that's going 496 00:20:51,640 --> 00:20:54,440 Speaker 4: to win divisionally, is going to be up there. And 497 00:20:54,960 --> 00:20:58,320 Speaker 4: Ronald d'acunya fighting through that's gonna be a narrative, fighting 498 00:20:58,359 --> 00:21:01,280 Speaker 4: through dhing while he was hurt coming back from injury. 499 00:21:01,520 --> 00:21:04,440 Speaker 4: And if he puts up I mean, projections are wild 500 00:21:04,560 --> 00:21:05,640 Speaker 4: on Acunya right now. 501 00:21:05,920 --> 00:21:07,560 Speaker 5: If he puts up the numbers. 502 00:21:07,320 --> 00:21:09,800 Speaker 4: Yes there's stars there, but it stars in the same 503 00:21:09,840 --> 00:21:12,359 Speaker 4: respect that Robert has stars. Akunya is the guy. 504 00:21:12,600 --> 00:21:13,320 Speaker 5: If he puts up. 505 00:21:13,240 --> 00:21:16,040 Speaker 4: A thirty five to twenty five season while missing a 506 00:21:16,080 --> 00:21:18,000 Speaker 4: little bit of time and bringing them up to one 507 00:21:18,000 --> 00:21:20,320 Speaker 4: of the best teams in baseball, he's going. 508 00:21:20,280 --> 00:21:21,919 Speaker 5: To be in that conversation. 509 00:21:22,040 --> 00:21:24,080 Speaker 4: It's crazy that we're not picking a Dodger here, but 510 00:21:24,160 --> 00:21:25,680 Speaker 4: they all kind of eat into each other. 511 00:21:25,720 --> 00:21:26,760 Speaker 5: I suppose they do. 512 00:21:27,040 --> 00:21:28,560 Speaker 2: Chris, I think I'll go with the Coula. 513 00:21:29,640 --> 00:21:31,600 Speaker 1: I think it's just it's hard to how do you 514 00:21:31,640 --> 00:21:34,439 Speaker 1: peel off Turner from Bets from Freeman, Like, I don't know, 515 00:21:34,640 --> 00:21:36,880 Speaker 1: I mean, unless two guys get hurt and one guy 516 00:21:36,920 --> 00:21:39,000 Speaker 1: carries them, and that's that's a lot to ask. 517 00:21:39,440 --> 00:21:41,440 Speaker 2: It's that young different store here. 518 00:21:41,480 --> 00:21:43,480 Speaker 1: You got Garrett Cole, of course, you know the Yankee 519 00:21:43,480 --> 00:21:44,880 Speaker 1: at the top of the board American League of plus 520 00:21:44,920 --> 00:21:47,240 Speaker 1: four twenty five. In the America League, you also got 521 00:21:47,280 --> 00:21:50,280 Speaker 1: Shane Bieber plus seven fifty on the consensus line. You 522 00:21:50,400 --> 00:21:53,280 Speaker 1: got Robbie Ray to repeat over at plus eight hundred. 523 00:21:53,359 --> 00:21:55,679 Speaker 1: So those are kind of the favorites. I still go 524 00:21:55,680 --> 00:21:58,400 Speaker 1: to Lucas Giolito at ten to one. I like those 525 00:21:58,440 --> 00:22:01,879 Speaker 1: odds there, But for me, the really fun one is 526 00:22:01,920 --> 00:22:05,320 Speaker 1: going down to Justin Verlander, who the consensus is plus 527 00:22:05,359 --> 00:22:07,760 Speaker 1: sixteen hundred. But at bet MGM, you can get this 528 00:22:07,800 --> 00:22:09,240 Speaker 1: at twenty to one. If fan do, we can get 529 00:22:09,240 --> 00:22:11,840 Speaker 1: it to twenty to one. Verlander, if he gets back 530 00:22:11,880 --> 00:22:13,560 Speaker 1: to that forum where he's striking out two hundred and 531 00:22:13,600 --> 00:22:15,960 Speaker 1: ninety guys, three hundred guys and he's got a two 532 00:22:16,119 --> 00:22:22,240 Speaker 1: ERA and a one point zero something whip, Justin Verlander 533 00:22:22,280 --> 00:22:23,040 Speaker 1: could easily get back. 534 00:22:23,080 --> 00:22:24,520 Speaker 2: And he's a great narrative story. 535 00:22:24,600 --> 00:22:27,199 Speaker 1: He's, you know, the crown Jewel if you will, on 536 00:22:27,240 --> 00:22:29,680 Speaker 1: a Hall of Fame career coming back from Tommy John 537 00:22:30,000 --> 00:22:32,560 Speaker 1: Because you know, Garret Cole did struggle sometimes, Shane Bieber 538 00:22:32,560 --> 00:22:34,600 Speaker 1: did struggle. Both had the sticky stuff issues, right we've 539 00:22:34,600 --> 00:22:37,000 Speaker 1: got Verlander coming back here. To me, he's the most 540 00:22:37,000 --> 00:22:39,160 Speaker 1: exciting long shot. Glito is the one I like who's 541 00:22:39,160 --> 00:22:41,960 Speaker 1: a little bit more in between. But to me, Verlander especially, 542 00:22:42,000 --> 00:22:43,560 Speaker 1: we can get him at twenty to one in some places. 543 00:22:43,600 --> 00:22:44,080 Speaker 2: That's the dude. 544 00:22:44,080 --> 00:22:45,640 Speaker 1: I want to put money on Early and I have, 545 00:22:45,960 --> 00:22:47,680 Speaker 1: and I've a post will put money on Gilito. So 546 00:22:47,720 --> 00:22:50,520 Speaker 1: anybody I'm talking about today, I've made investments and then 547 00:22:50,600 --> 00:22:52,679 Speaker 1: same thing from like ten dollars to one hundred dollars. 548 00:22:53,000 --> 00:22:56,000 Speaker 1: Just to be transparent, because I don't try to advise 549 00:22:56,040 --> 00:22:58,680 Speaker 1: anything that I'm not in because I think that's called 550 00:22:58,680 --> 00:23:01,639 Speaker 1: bad advice. Now, when you're looking at this market, anything 551 00:23:01,640 --> 00:23:03,240 Speaker 1: pop out to you in the American lead, Well. 552 00:23:03,480 --> 00:23:06,879 Speaker 4: I love the Lucasgilido. One that would be I have 553 00:23:07,040 --> 00:23:08,919 Speaker 4: not made all of my futures bets. 554 00:23:09,280 --> 00:23:09,920 Speaker 5: That will be. 555 00:23:09,960 --> 00:23:12,640 Speaker 4: One that I make on Lucasgilito. I was around him 556 00:23:12,680 --> 00:23:15,240 Speaker 4: multiple times in White Sox camp. He looks as jacked 557 00:23:15,240 --> 00:23:18,520 Speaker 4: as he's ever done before. Also, you know, this is 558 00:23:18,520 --> 00:23:21,000 Speaker 4: a weird, dumb thing, but like it really seemed like 559 00:23:21,080 --> 00:23:23,400 Speaker 4: arbitration was like a. 560 00:23:23,320 --> 00:23:24,160 Speaker 5: Weight on him. 561 00:23:24,359 --> 00:23:26,480 Speaker 4: I saw him the day he signed his arbitration and 562 00:23:26,520 --> 00:23:28,560 Speaker 4: he seemed like the monkey was off his back. He 563 00:23:28,600 --> 00:23:30,719 Speaker 4: seems so much more relaxed. The team's gonna be more 564 00:23:30,760 --> 00:23:33,560 Speaker 4: reliant on him as well. Lid lance Lynn going down 565 00:23:34,000 --> 00:23:37,399 Speaker 4: that that's probably my absolute favorite. I mean, you know, 566 00:23:37,520 --> 00:23:40,399 Speaker 4: both of the great ones. Verlander two, it's the sneakiest 567 00:23:40,440 --> 00:23:43,200 Speaker 4: one out there, and getting you know, plus two thousand 568 00:23:43,760 --> 00:23:46,159 Speaker 4: is such a good bet as far as Ale the 569 00:23:46,200 --> 00:23:50,520 Speaker 4: only other one. But I never make bets on like repeats, 570 00:23:50,600 --> 00:23:53,119 Speaker 4: especially for a guy that popped like this. But you know, 571 00:23:53,320 --> 00:23:55,800 Speaker 4: Robbie Ray going to Seattle. It's kind of interesting, but 572 00:23:55,880 --> 00:23:58,040 Speaker 4: I'm probably not doing it. Odds are all right, bet 573 00:23:58,119 --> 00:24:01,600 Speaker 4: MGM has given you twelve to one, but you know, 574 00:24:01,680 --> 00:24:04,280 Speaker 4: I don't know, Like I think he will be important 575 00:24:04,440 --> 00:24:06,480 Speaker 4: and he will be in the race. This would be 576 00:24:06,520 --> 00:24:08,480 Speaker 4: one where it's like finishing, you know, could I get 577 00:24:08,480 --> 00:24:10,600 Speaker 4: a bet on finishing top three in the cy Young 578 00:24:10,640 --> 00:24:11,400 Speaker 4: I would like that. 579 00:24:11,600 --> 00:24:15,200 Speaker 5: But Jillie in some places, yeah you can. Jilli Verlander, 580 00:24:15,320 --> 00:24:16,440 Speaker 5: I think are the ones. 581 00:24:17,119 --> 00:24:17,880 Speaker 2: In the National League. 582 00:24:17,880 --> 00:24:19,720 Speaker 1: I got Corbyn Burns a plus six hundred is the 583 00:24:19,760 --> 00:24:22,679 Speaker 1: favorite consensus wise, and then Sure's are a plus six fifty. 584 00:24:22,920 --> 00:24:25,040 Speaker 1: These odds have changed significantly over the last forty eight 585 00:24:25,040 --> 00:24:27,439 Speaker 1: hours after the Jacob deGrom news because Dagram was up 586 00:24:27,480 --> 00:24:29,840 Speaker 1: there as well. That has now changed a lot. You've 587 00:24:29,840 --> 00:24:32,439 Speaker 1: got Woodroff at plus eight hundred. I keep landing on 588 00:24:32,480 --> 00:24:34,200 Speaker 1: Walker Buehler, who I think really has a shot to 589 00:24:34,240 --> 00:24:36,600 Speaker 1: win twenty games, which is a feat we don't see 590 00:24:36,680 --> 00:24:39,600 Speaker 1: very often. Bullpen's really good, the offense is really good. 591 00:24:39,680 --> 00:24:41,600 Speaker 1: The division at the bottom part is a little weak. 592 00:24:42,160 --> 00:24:43,960 Speaker 1: Walker Buler plus seven fifty. You can get him a 593 00:24:44,000 --> 00:24:47,280 Speaker 1: plus nine hundred on MGM. To me, Walker Buehler's where 594 00:24:47,280 --> 00:24:49,119 Speaker 1: I want to make my investment in the National League. 595 00:24:49,160 --> 00:24:51,600 Speaker 1: I don't love a ton of the other guys outside 596 00:24:51,600 --> 00:24:54,800 Speaker 1: of him. You know, Burns and Sures are always good 597 00:24:54,800 --> 00:24:56,760 Speaker 1: investments if you want to invest in them, that's fine. 598 00:24:56,920 --> 00:25:00,040 Speaker 1: Max Free to plus eleven hundred. Maybe, just maybe he 599 00:25:00,040 --> 00:25:03,320 Speaker 1: takes another step forward, but I don't know in the 600 00:25:03,400 --> 00:25:04,919 Speaker 1: National League. To me, I'm just trying to keep it 601 00:25:04,920 --> 00:25:07,880 Speaker 1: simple and to me, it's Walker Buehler's race to lose 602 00:25:07,920 --> 00:25:10,040 Speaker 1: this year. I think this is his quote unquote Cy 603 00:25:10,080 --> 00:25:13,520 Speaker 1: Young season after contending and being in that conversation last year, 604 00:25:13,520 --> 00:25:14,760 Speaker 1: what do you think about national leagues? 605 00:25:14,760 --> 00:25:16,399 Speaker 5: I know it would have been to Grom, would have 606 00:25:16,400 --> 00:25:17,280 Speaker 5: been to Grom for me. 607 00:25:17,760 --> 00:25:20,320 Speaker 1: Well, it's a problem, I mean de Grom at this point, 608 00:25:20,960 --> 00:25:22,280 Speaker 1: you know what kind of it's. 609 00:25:22,200 --> 00:25:23,800 Speaker 4: Just no, no, I mean you're not now, You're not now 610 00:25:24,119 --> 00:25:27,160 Speaker 4: Suzier plus seven hundred, you know where you say Buehler. 611 00:25:27,440 --> 00:25:30,400 Speaker 4: I like Schurzer, and the odds are not that far off, 612 00:25:31,400 --> 00:25:33,040 Speaker 4: even though it's a little bit of banged upness. I 613 00:25:33,119 --> 00:25:35,600 Speaker 4: like the Schurzer one probably my favorite. But you mentioned 614 00:25:35,600 --> 00:25:37,200 Speaker 4: the other guy, like and you can get a twenty 615 00:25:37,240 --> 00:25:40,640 Speaker 4: five to one on fan duel right now? Is Max 616 00:25:40,680 --> 00:25:44,080 Speaker 4: Freid just same repeat he stuff, Go back to the brain, 617 00:25:44,280 --> 00:25:45,160 Speaker 4: go back to the braves. 618 00:25:45,240 --> 00:25:46,840 Speaker 5: See him pick up a bunch of wins. 619 00:25:47,240 --> 00:25:50,080 Speaker 4: You know, if he jumps into fifteen sixteen wins on 620 00:25:50,080 --> 00:25:51,840 Speaker 4: one of the best teams in the NL and he 621 00:25:51,960 --> 00:25:54,439 Speaker 4: is the lynch pin to it that. I think he 622 00:25:54,560 --> 00:25:57,200 Speaker 4: is a really good long shot guy for that award 623 00:25:57,240 --> 00:25:58,720 Speaker 4: because there's not a lot of arms, and there's a 624 00:25:58,760 --> 00:26:01,480 Speaker 4: lot of injuries that are surrounding that area. There's probably 625 00:26:01,480 --> 00:26:03,720 Speaker 4: someone we're not even talking about or thinking about. But 626 00:26:04,160 --> 00:26:06,520 Speaker 4: Max and Freed would be my both. 627 00:26:06,359 --> 00:26:07,680 Speaker 5: Maxes, I'll see. 628 00:26:09,320 --> 00:26:12,320 Speaker 4: Yep, those would be my my money one and my 629 00:26:12,400 --> 00:26:13,120 Speaker 4: long shot one. 630 00:26:14,080 --> 00:26:16,040 Speaker 2: All right, let's move over to Rookie of the Year. 631 00:26:16,320 --> 00:26:18,720 Speaker 1: This is exciting because this is one you might want 632 00:26:18,720 --> 00:26:20,000 Speaker 1: to jump on as soon as you listen to the 633 00:26:20,000 --> 00:26:22,159 Speaker 1: podcast before it changes. So Bobby Wood Junior in the 634 00:26:22,160 --> 00:26:24,879 Speaker 1: American League at plus two eighties and the consensus, then 635 00:26:24,880 --> 00:26:27,240 Speaker 1: you got torcos In a plus five hundred, Julio Rodriguez 636 00:26:27,240 --> 00:26:29,480 Speaker 1: a plus five fifty. We we just found out before 637 00:26:29,520 --> 00:26:31,840 Speaker 1: recording is going to break with the team and be 638 00:26:31,920 --> 00:26:35,240 Speaker 1: there opening day. Normally, when it comes to Rookie of 639 00:26:35,240 --> 00:26:37,480 Speaker 1: the Year, I waited out a little bit. I've already 640 00:26:37,520 --> 00:26:39,639 Speaker 1: put money on Bobby Witt. I've already put money on Julio. 641 00:26:39,720 --> 00:26:42,439 Speaker 1: I put bigger money on Julio because it's a bigger 642 00:26:42,480 --> 00:26:45,760 Speaker 1: payoff potentially, because I think there's that there's that path 643 00:26:45,800 --> 00:26:46,160 Speaker 1: for him. 644 00:26:46,560 --> 00:26:49,040 Speaker 2: But I still think Bobby Wit deserves to be the favorite. 645 00:26:49,080 --> 00:26:51,199 Speaker 1: I think he is going to actually be the favorite 646 00:26:51,200 --> 00:26:54,320 Speaker 1: who wins, which is also something that doesn't happen very often. 647 00:26:54,320 --> 00:26:56,600 Speaker 1: A couple of years ago, I remember having arguments with 648 00:26:56,640 --> 00:26:58,840 Speaker 1: people about Gavin Lux was basically a two to one 649 00:26:58,880 --> 00:27:01,000 Speaker 1: favorite for Rookie of the Year. I said, guys, he's 650 00:27:01,040 --> 00:27:03,600 Speaker 1: missed all this development time in twenty twenty, all the 651 00:27:03,640 --> 00:27:05,720 Speaker 1: crazy covid uff I don't even know. I think we 652 00:27:05,800 --> 00:27:07,480 Speaker 1: might invest in a pitcher or something like that. It 653 00:27:07,520 --> 00:27:09,760 Speaker 1: might be easier to invest in this guy. We're all 654 00:27:09,800 --> 00:27:13,040 Speaker 1: giving him the award spoiler alert, he didn't win. And 655 00:27:13,080 --> 00:27:14,760 Speaker 1: now I think Bobby Witt is that guy that might 656 00:27:14,760 --> 00:27:16,800 Speaker 1: be able to buck that trend where the favorite is 657 00:27:16,800 --> 00:27:19,160 Speaker 1: the favorite for reason, and he might be the wire 658 00:27:19,200 --> 00:27:21,280 Speaker 1: to wire favorite too. But Julio could get in that 659 00:27:21,280 --> 00:27:23,160 Speaker 1: conversation that you've got some other guys in the American 660 00:27:23,200 --> 00:27:25,040 Speaker 1: League too, you think you can compete. 661 00:27:24,920 --> 00:27:27,280 Speaker 4: Well, I mean, yeah, you got Spencer Torkolsen in there. 662 00:27:27,280 --> 00:27:30,040 Speaker 4: That's gonna be from day one, you know, and hitting 663 00:27:30,080 --> 00:27:33,000 Speaker 4: it a pretty prominent piece of the lineup. Adley is 664 00:27:33,040 --> 00:27:35,840 Speaker 4: going to be up there at some point. Adley's impossible though, 665 00:27:35,920 --> 00:27:38,640 Speaker 4: because he's not day one and the Orioles are going 666 00:27:38,680 --> 00:27:42,240 Speaker 4: to be atrocious. You could throw O'Neill crew that's NL. 667 00:27:43,760 --> 00:27:45,520 Speaker 4: There was one other No I got all n l. 668 00:27:45,560 --> 00:27:47,480 Speaker 1: Other guys is probably out there too, but he is 669 00:27:47,600 --> 00:27:49,840 Speaker 1: very starting to eat. I don't like Yeah, Jeremy Panya, 670 00:27:50,320 --> 00:27:53,280 Speaker 1: Riley Green's hurt already it's to me, it's a favorite 671 00:27:53,359 --> 00:27:54,399 Speaker 1: kind of race in the AL. 672 00:27:54,800 --> 00:27:58,240 Speaker 4: In the AL there it is the three guys. Bobby 673 00:27:58,280 --> 00:28:01,960 Speaker 4: Witt is the only one I would feel putting hard 674 00:28:02,000 --> 00:28:04,240 Speaker 4: cash on, like really good cash. And the best odds 675 00:28:04,240 --> 00:28:07,680 Speaker 4: are currently DraftKings at three ten plus three ten bet 676 00:28:07,720 --> 00:28:10,320 Speaker 4: and GM has got three hundred, which is pretty decent. 677 00:28:10,359 --> 00:28:13,000 Speaker 4: That would be my hard odds. If I want, and 678 00:28:13,119 --> 00:28:16,040 Speaker 4: I do, by the way, to have a fun bet, 679 00:28:16,400 --> 00:28:18,960 Speaker 4: I gotta go Julio Rodriguez as well, because Julio is 680 00:28:19,000 --> 00:28:22,359 Speaker 4: electric and this team. You know, when you look at 681 00:28:22,400 --> 00:28:24,680 Speaker 4: these teams as well, here look at the top three 682 00:28:24,760 --> 00:28:29,359 Speaker 4: rookie guys, Torque Tigers, Wit Royals, Julio Mariners. What's the 683 00:28:29,359 --> 00:28:32,880 Speaker 4: difference between these teams? The Mariners are hands down the 684 00:28:32,920 --> 00:28:35,600 Speaker 4: best team here, and that is something that is going 685 00:28:35,680 --> 00:28:38,160 Speaker 4: to carry a little bit of weight as far as 686 00:28:38,240 --> 00:28:41,680 Speaker 4: like statistically if these guys are close. But Julio Rodriguez 687 00:28:41,720 --> 00:28:45,520 Speaker 4: at plus six hundred on DraftKings right now, right now, 688 00:28:45,680 --> 00:28:48,120 Speaker 4: as this has been announced, this all could change. Like 689 00:28:48,120 --> 00:28:50,760 Speaker 4: you said before, I like Julio as a long bet. 690 00:28:51,080 --> 00:28:53,280 Speaker 4: I really like Bobby Witt, and if I wanted to 691 00:28:53,400 --> 00:28:55,480 Speaker 4: just feel comfortable getting a win. You could go torque, 692 00:28:55,480 --> 00:28:57,120 Speaker 4: but then I feel like you're really eating into your 693 00:28:57,120 --> 00:29:00,840 Speaker 4: potential money. I would go high bet like this would 694 00:29:00,960 --> 00:29:02,880 Speaker 4: of all the stuff we've done, I wouldn't be like 695 00:29:02,920 --> 00:29:05,360 Speaker 4: big unit betting. This would be a big unit bet 696 00:29:05,400 --> 00:29:08,040 Speaker 4: for me on Bobby Witt. And then I would go smaller, 697 00:29:08,560 --> 00:29:10,280 Speaker 4: you know, maybe cut it in half since it's plus 698 00:29:10,320 --> 00:29:12,240 Speaker 4: six hundred on Julio Rodriguez and. 699 00:29:12,840 --> 00:29:14,440 Speaker 5: You know, cash it at the end of the year. 700 00:29:14,800 --> 00:29:17,080 Speaker 4: This is the best one, that's the most that's my favorite. 701 00:29:16,800 --> 00:29:18,240 Speaker 5: One is the Rookie of the Year one. But no 702 00:29:18,320 --> 00:29:18,880 Speaker 5: surprise for me. 703 00:29:18,960 --> 00:29:19,640 Speaker 2: Oh absolutely. 704 00:29:20,160 --> 00:29:22,120 Speaker 1: And like I said, Julio, I think you make a 705 00:29:22,120 --> 00:29:24,400 Speaker 1: great point there, which is Seattle's probably gonna be the 706 00:29:24,480 --> 00:29:27,560 Speaker 1: most you know, public team that's going to get a 707 00:29:27,560 --> 00:29:31,120 Speaker 1: lot of attention potentially, and Rodriguez will go along with that. 708 00:29:31,120 --> 00:29:33,400 Speaker 1: That's a really good situation a wager on. And the 709 00:29:33,440 --> 00:29:36,840 Speaker 1: National League it's a little murkier. Seya Suzuki is at 710 00:29:36,840 --> 00:29:39,840 Speaker 1: plus three fifty. I'm not running there Anyo. Cruz plus 711 00:29:39,880 --> 00:29:42,040 Speaker 1: four hundred. He's starting the year in the minor leagues. 712 00:29:42,080 --> 00:29:44,320 Speaker 1: This might be the time to bet on him if 713 00:29:44,360 --> 00:29:47,080 Speaker 1: you want to get in while he's learning to play 714 00:29:47,120 --> 00:29:49,520 Speaker 1: the outfit a little bit in Triple A. In the 715 00:29:49,600 --> 00:29:53,280 Speaker 1: National League not clearer. You've got names like Kybert Ruiz, 716 00:29:53,360 --> 00:29:55,480 Speaker 1: Joey Part. I hate betting on catches. To me, the 717 00:29:55,520 --> 00:29:57,440 Speaker 1: only guy that I've bet on so far for the 718 00:29:57,480 --> 00:29:59,640 Speaker 1: National League is Hunter Green at plus eight hundred. I 719 00:29:59,680 --> 00:30:02,240 Speaker 1: like the I know he's a pitcher. Sometimes that could 720 00:30:02,240 --> 00:30:04,880 Speaker 1: be a dicey thing, but he is starting in that rotation. 721 00:30:05,400 --> 00:30:07,560 Speaker 1: I think the pitches well, he'll probably leave him in 722 00:30:07,600 --> 00:30:10,000 Speaker 1: there the entire season. Maybe he'll max out at one 723 00:30:10,080 --> 00:30:12,640 Speaker 1: hundred and sixty innings potentially this year, somewhere around there. 724 00:30:12,800 --> 00:30:14,200 Speaker 1: I think that would be enough to get it done 725 00:30:14,200 --> 00:30:16,400 Speaker 1: the National League because it's not a great crop unless 726 00:30:16,400 --> 00:30:19,000 Speaker 1: somebody really pops out of nowhere. So Hunter Green's my 727 00:30:19,040 --> 00:30:20,400 Speaker 1: guy in the NL. Welsh, do you have a guy 728 00:30:20,440 --> 00:30:21,840 Speaker 1: in the National League so young race. 729 00:30:22,040 --> 00:30:24,160 Speaker 4: I do want to say, I think Suzuki is the 730 00:30:24,200 --> 00:30:27,200 Speaker 4: safe bet to play. I don't see an issue making 731 00:30:27,240 --> 00:30:30,160 Speaker 4: that bet, even though he's not as fun or anything 732 00:30:30,200 --> 00:30:31,880 Speaker 4: like that. I just don't see the issue making it. 733 00:30:31,920 --> 00:30:34,880 Speaker 4: You get plus three to eighty over on DraftKings right now. 734 00:30:35,400 --> 00:30:36,240 Speaker 5: Here's I got? 735 00:30:36,240 --> 00:30:37,720 Speaker 4: Oh, by the way, on the hundred green one. Actually 736 00:30:37,720 --> 00:30:39,880 Speaker 4: like Nicolodolo a little bit better. I think he's a 737 00:30:39,880 --> 00:30:42,080 Speaker 4: better pitcher and he's going to be fifth in the 738 00:30:42,160 --> 00:30:45,760 Speaker 4: rotation and a rookie. But the deeper guy that I 739 00:30:45,760 --> 00:30:47,080 Speaker 4: would try to make a bet on. You want to 740 00:30:47,080 --> 00:30:48,920 Speaker 4: talk about guys coming out of nowhere. We still haven't 741 00:30:48,960 --> 00:30:50,600 Speaker 4: heard if he is going to break, but it might 742 00:30:50,640 --> 00:30:55,520 Speaker 4: be soon. But Bryson Stott, Bryson Stott with the Phillies, 743 00:30:55,920 --> 00:30:58,760 Speaker 4: they've talked about him being a guy that was going 744 00:30:58,800 --> 00:31:02,320 Speaker 4: to break camp as the basement. He's a shortstop, he is, 745 00:31:03,520 --> 00:31:06,560 Speaker 4: he's super patient, he walks, he doesn't strike out, he 746 00:31:06,640 --> 00:31:09,240 Speaker 4: can jump into homers and this is another high team win. 747 00:31:09,800 --> 00:31:13,600 Speaker 4: And he's plus one thousand, you know, ten times on 748 00:31:13,600 --> 00:31:15,640 Speaker 4: on DraftKings right now if you wanted to jump on that. 749 00:31:15,680 --> 00:31:16,400 Speaker 5: So I like Stuck. 750 00:31:16,680 --> 00:31:18,480 Speaker 4: That's a much more wide open race. So I might 751 00:31:18,520 --> 00:31:20,840 Speaker 4: take some chances, some liberties with the Rookie of the 752 00:31:20,920 --> 00:31:22,840 Speaker 4: Year award because I don't think it's locked in your 753 00:31:22,880 --> 00:31:24,800 Speaker 4: Owneil Cruiz one is a good one, but I would 754 00:31:24,800 --> 00:31:27,000 Speaker 4: probably go Suzuki and then I would throw a big 755 00:31:27,040 --> 00:31:27,880 Speaker 4: futures on Stott. 756 00:31:28,920 --> 00:31:31,480 Speaker 1: All right, let's switch Gears Welsh to the division winners. 757 00:31:31,960 --> 00:31:34,000 Speaker 1: Most of the favorites are minus money, so you're not 758 00:31:34,040 --> 00:31:36,560 Speaker 1: gonna get a whole lot of juice there. But what 759 00:31:36,680 --> 00:31:38,120 Speaker 1: you want to do is look for ones that have 760 00:31:38,200 --> 00:31:40,440 Speaker 1: potential to me the ones that stick out right away. 761 00:31:40,840 --> 00:31:42,800 Speaker 1: If things do break out for the Yankees and they 762 00:31:42,840 --> 00:31:45,680 Speaker 1: maybe acquire another pitcher, plus two to fifty, that's something 763 00:31:45,680 --> 00:31:47,200 Speaker 1: you could bet on, but it's the Yankees, so you're 764 00:31:47,200 --> 00:31:49,720 Speaker 1: always gonna have that premium. However, the consensus is plus 765 00:31:49,800 --> 00:31:52,600 Speaker 1: two to fifty. The Padres plus three twenty five. That's 766 00:31:52,640 --> 00:31:55,600 Speaker 1: an interesting one because with this pitching staff, if they 767 00:31:55,640 --> 00:31:59,960 Speaker 1: all are right, and we're talking Darvish, Manaia, Smell, Clevenger, 768 00:32:00,120 --> 00:32:03,040 Speaker 1: potentially Musgrove was great last year, that's a formidable rotation. 769 00:32:03,440 --> 00:32:05,560 Speaker 1: If they stay healthy and Tatis comes back and is 770 00:32:05,600 --> 00:32:07,760 Speaker 1: Tatis and they just tread water offensively for the first 771 00:32:07,800 --> 00:32:11,040 Speaker 1: few months, Padres at plus three twenty five are not impossible. 772 00:32:11,280 --> 00:32:12,960 Speaker 2: Neither of the Angels of plus three fifty. 773 00:32:13,000 --> 00:32:16,400 Speaker 1: If they get some pitching with Otani, with Cindergaard, with Sandoval, 774 00:32:16,680 --> 00:32:19,960 Speaker 1: those guys are certainly in it as well. And maybe 775 00:32:20,000 --> 00:32:21,360 Speaker 1: you can make a case for the Phillies with de 776 00:32:21,400 --> 00:32:23,480 Speaker 1: Gramou two plus four to fifty. If you want to 777 00:32:23,480 --> 00:32:25,520 Speaker 1: get a little funky there, if you think that the 778 00:32:25,600 --> 00:32:27,320 Speaker 1: Braves aren't as good as they were last year, or 779 00:32:27,320 --> 00:32:29,320 Speaker 1: without Freddy Freeman, or however you want to see that. 780 00:32:29,680 --> 00:32:30,160 Speaker 2: I don't. 781 00:32:30,360 --> 00:32:32,600 Speaker 1: But the Angels at plus three fifty, the Padres a 782 00:32:32,640 --> 00:32:35,080 Speaker 1: plus three twenty five, the Yankees at plus two to fifty. 783 00:32:35,120 --> 00:32:38,440 Speaker 1: Those are the few division teams winners potentially in terms 784 00:32:38,480 --> 00:32:41,160 Speaker 1: of numbers I think you can get behind. Others are 785 00:32:41,160 --> 00:32:43,640 Speaker 1: all you know, Dodgers are minus two hundred. That ship 786 00:32:43,760 --> 00:32:45,720 Speaker 1: is sailed already, So anything else stick out to you 787 00:32:45,720 --> 00:32:47,000 Speaker 1: When it comes to division winners. 788 00:32:46,800 --> 00:32:48,560 Speaker 5: Well, no, I think you nailed them. 789 00:32:48,600 --> 00:32:50,200 Speaker 4: I mean, if you wanted to get I could see 790 00:32:50,200 --> 00:32:53,360 Speaker 4: Marinders fans, you can always throw out a plus four 791 00:32:53,360 --> 00:32:56,000 Speaker 4: to fifty if crazy, you know, I mean, if you 792 00:32:56,000 --> 00:32:58,320 Speaker 4: wanted to get crazy. This is not the place where 793 00:32:58,360 --> 00:33:00,880 Speaker 4: I'm looking to get crazy. And you're gonna just have 794 00:33:00,960 --> 00:33:03,080 Speaker 4: to bite, you know, some of that juice. But just 795 00:33:03,200 --> 00:33:05,160 Speaker 4: you know, take your money home and maybe make some 796 00:33:05,160 --> 00:33:07,920 Speaker 4: bigger bets, especially on the big dogs if you're comfortable. 797 00:33:08,360 --> 00:33:10,560 Speaker 4: You know, Astro's one sixty two. But now I think 798 00:33:10,760 --> 00:33:11,440 Speaker 4: you nail the most. 799 00:33:11,440 --> 00:33:11,680 Speaker 2: I mean. 800 00:33:11,800 --> 00:33:13,480 Speaker 4: The other thing you can get tricky with is just 801 00:33:13,520 --> 00:33:15,760 Speaker 4: like a really good division with a couple of teams 802 00:33:15,760 --> 00:33:17,200 Speaker 4: that are vuying for that same spot. 803 00:33:17,280 --> 00:33:17,440 Speaker 5: You know. 804 00:33:17,480 --> 00:33:19,280 Speaker 4: So if you're looking at like the Mets and Braves 805 00:33:19,280 --> 00:33:21,840 Speaker 4: and you just go, well, you know, the Mets at 806 00:33:21,840 --> 00:33:24,080 Speaker 4: one seventy five, with everything that they've done, I'm going 807 00:33:24,160 --> 00:33:26,000 Speaker 4: to take that bet. As Dagrom comes back and they're 808 00:33:26,040 --> 00:33:28,560 Speaker 4: gonna be able to win this division, bam, you're getting 809 00:33:28,560 --> 00:33:29,600 Speaker 4: some plus money on that. 810 00:33:29,680 --> 00:33:30,719 Speaker 5: But now you nailed it. 811 00:33:31,600 --> 00:33:34,280 Speaker 1: If you want to bet the Dodgers for anything, you 812 00:33:34,280 --> 00:33:36,840 Speaker 1: bet them to win the National League at plus two 813 00:33:36,840 --> 00:33:39,320 Speaker 1: to twenty five. Right now, the Astros are up at 814 00:33:39,360 --> 00:33:41,200 Speaker 1: the top at plus four fifty, the J's at plus 815 00:33:41,240 --> 00:33:43,680 Speaker 1: four seventy five in the American League, the Braves to 816 00:33:43,760 --> 00:33:46,200 Speaker 1: repeat to go to the World's Series again plus five hundred. 817 00:33:46,840 --> 00:33:49,000 Speaker 1: Same thing with the White Sox. Who I'm I'm in 818 00:33:49,000 --> 00:33:51,640 Speaker 1: that White Sox world. Still, I'm still buying the White Sox, 819 00:33:52,040 --> 00:33:54,440 Speaker 1: White Sox and Dodgers right now. Feel right to me. 820 00:33:54,800 --> 00:33:58,520 Speaker 1: That's where I'd be putting my money. But for you Welsh, 821 00:33:58,560 --> 00:34:00,960 Speaker 1: who do you want to win those American League and 822 00:34:01,000 --> 00:34:02,760 Speaker 1: National leg where would you be putting your money. I mean, 823 00:34:02,760 --> 00:34:05,040 Speaker 1: maybe it's on a team like Milwaukee too. That pitching 824 00:34:05,080 --> 00:34:08,160 Speaker 1: is spectacular. They are plus seven hundred. That would be 825 00:34:08,200 --> 00:34:10,000 Speaker 1: a fun one, and you can write that narrative because 826 00:34:10,000 --> 00:34:12,720 Speaker 1: in a short series that pitching could be absolutely electric, 827 00:34:12,920 --> 00:34:15,120 Speaker 1: especially if Yellish bounces back and becomes the player he 828 00:34:15,200 --> 00:34:15,920 Speaker 1: was a couple of years ago. 829 00:34:16,080 --> 00:34:17,879 Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean I would throw out the Padres. 830 00:34:18,280 --> 00:34:18,840 Speaker 5: Is all crazy? 831 00:34:18,840 --> 00:34:20,480 Speaker 4: It is, because I just want to point this out. 832 00:34:20,800 --> 00:34:24,640 Speaker 4: The Padres have an insane rotation of depth with guys 833 00:34:24,719 --> 00:34:27,239 Speaker 4: like Darvish and Snell, and obviously there's question marks that 834 00:34:27,239 --> 00:34:29,840 Speaker 4: are always going. But you put them in a small 835 00:34:29,880 --> 00:34:32,280 Speaker 4: series against anyone, and they could throw out Joe muskro 836 00:34:32,320 --> 00:34:34,200 Speaker 4: of you, Darvish and Blake Snell. Then the next series 837 00:34:34,239 --> 00:34:37,200 Speaker 4: they could throw out Clevenger and Sean Manaya. Plus they're 838 00:34:37,239 --> 00:34:39,600 Speaker 4: going to get Fernando Tatis Junior back. That actually might 839 00:34:39,600 --> 00:34:42,080 Speaker 4: be one of my favorites at plus eight point fifty 840 00:34:42,640 --> 00:34:45,320 Speaker 4: as far as NL goes al, I kind of like 841 00:34:45,360 --> 00:34:47,719 Speaker 4: the Blue Jays at four to seventy five. I think 842 00:34:47,760 --> 00:34:49,880 Speaker 4: that's a fun one. I might throw in the Yankees 843 00:34:49,920 --> 00:34:52,440 Speaker 4: as well as plus five to fifty. I'm probably this 844 00:34:52,480 --> 00:34:54,640 Speaker 4: is another spot I wouldn't be getting too crazy. The 845 00:34:54,680 --> 00:34:56,880 Speaker 4: Padres are as crazy as I'm gonna get at plus 846 00:34:56,920 --> 00:34:57,520 Speaker 4: eight fifty. 847 00:34:58,480 --> 00:35:00,840 Speaker 2: Yeah, Padres a good one. Brewers, I think are a 848 00:35:00,840 --> 00:35:01,439 Speaker 2: good one too. 849 00:35:02,000 --> 00:35:04,279 Speaker 1: Let's go to the World Series winner Dodgers, obviously the 850 00:35:04,280 --> 00:35:06,640 Speaker 1: favorites of four to seventy five. On the plus side, 851 00:35:07,000 --> 00:35:08,879 Speaker 1: you've got plus eight seventy five for the Blue Jays, 852 00:35:08,880 --> 00:35:12,040 Speaker 1: which I understand, the Astros at ten to one, the 853 00:35:12,120 --> 00:35:14,239 Speaker 1: Yankees are eleven to one. Same with the Braves and 854 00:35:14,280 --> 00:35:16,120 Speaker 1: White Sox. I'm still going with the White Sox. I 855 00:35:16,160 --> 00:35:17,719 Speaker 1: believe in the White Sox this year. I think it's 856 00:35:17,719 --> 00:35:22,240 Speaker 1: their turn to kind of learn. And you know, these Dodgers, 857 00:35:22,719 --> 00:35:25,840 Speaker 1: as great as they are, you know what if Kershaw 858 00:35:25,840 --> 00:35:26,920 Speaker 1: falters again and gets. 859 00:35:26,760 --> 00:35:28,920 Speaker 2: Hurt, what's the back of that rotation? Like, I don't know. 860 00:35:29,040 --> 00:35:31,880 Speaker 1: In a short series, they worry me a little bit more. 861 00:35:31,960 --> 00:35:33,600 Speaker 1: And I think that when I'm looking, I'm trying to 862 00:35:33,600 --> 00:35:35,720 Speaker 1: look for those teams that might be that short series pitching. 863 00:35:35,960 --> 00:35:38,239 Speaker 1: The White Sox can throw g Lito, lind Cease and 864 00:35:38,320 --> 00:35:39,040 Speaker 1: Copak at you. 865 00:35:39,400 --> 00:35:40,000 Speaker 2: That's a lot. 866 00:35:40,239 --> 00:35:42,520 Speaker 1: That is a lot, so for me That's where I'm 867 00:35:42,520 --> 00:35:44,759 Speaker 1: going at plus eleven hundred. That's my favorite wager on 868 00:35:44,800 --> 00:35:46,640 Speaker 1: the board. Do you have a favorite that you like 869 00:35:46,680 --> 00:35:48,479 Speaker 1: in terms of where you might put your money early 870 00:35:48,520 --> 00:35:49,480 Speaker 1: for World Series. 871 00:35:49,200 --> 00:35:52,319 Speaker 4: Welsh, I think I'm sticking with I mean, like, I 872 00:35:52,400 --> 00:35:54,239 Speaker 4: just want to point out, like the Dodgers I think 873 00:35:54,280 --> 00:35:56,640 Speaker 4: are just synonymous with this and you just kind of 874 00:35:56,640 --> 00:35:58,879 Speaker 4: go with them unanimously. I'm putting any bet on them 875 00:35:58,920 --> 00:36:01,879 Speaker 4: because I think they're ridiculou But look at those Blue 876 00:36:01,960 --> 00:36:05,480 Speaker 4: Jays at eight seventy five. They've continuously been aggressive in 877 00:36:05,520 --> 00:36:09,479 Speaker 4: the market. They replaced Robbie Ray with Kevin Gossman, which 878 00:36:09,480 --> 00:36:11,680 Speaker 4: I really like that move. You've got Barrios in there. 879 00:36:11,719 --> 00:36:15,480 Speaker 4: Plus they're still trying to be aggressive. There's still rumors 880 00:36:15,520 --> 00:36:17,840 Speaker 4: out there of Jose Ramirez. What happens if they go 881 00:36:17,880 --> 00:36:20,600 Speaker 4: out and acquire Jose Ramirez at the trade deadline, if 882 00:36:20,600 --> 00:36:23,040 Speaker 4: no extension with him is done and they've got the 883 00:36:23,080 --> 00:36:26,640 Speaker 4: assets to do it. They seem hyper, hyper aggressive. They've 884 00:36:26,680 --> 00:36:29,480 Speaker 4: got some bullpen, they've got a good rotation, and they've 885 00:36:29,520 --> 00:36:33,000 Speaker 4: got a fantastic offense of stars that are out there 886 00:36:33,360 --> 00:36:34,920 Speaker 4: that almost you know, nine to one. 887 00:36:35,160 --> 00:36:36,120 Speaker 5: I like the Blue Jays. 888 00:36:37,160 --> 00:36:39,239 Speaker 1: All right, there you have it, everybody, make sure you 889 00:36:39,280 --> 00:36:41,399 Speaker 1: head over to Bettingpros dot com so you can take 890 00:36:41,400 --> 00:36:43,680 Speaker 1: a look at all these consensus lines and every day 891 00:36:43,960 --> 00:36:46,080 Speaker 1: that prop bet cheat sheet will be out there for you. 892 00:36:46,160 --> 00:36:48,279 Speaker 2: And we'll be talking about it on Leading Off as well. 893 00:36:48,520 --> 00:36:50,960 Speaker 1: That's on our MLB side of our content on Fantasy 894 00:36:51,000 --> 00:36:53,640 Speaker 1: Pros again, that's the Fantasy Pros MLB channel, but we 895 00:36:54,040 --> 00:36:56,320 Speaker 1: encourage you all to subscribe to our Betting Pros channel 896 00:36:56,320 --> 00:36:59,440 Speaker 1: on YouTube as well, YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros 897 00:36:59,480 --> 00:37:01,520 Speaker 1: so you can always get the latest in terms of 898 00:37:01,560 --> 00:37:03,920 Speaker 1: all the pods and all the information and short videos 899 00:37:03,960 --> 00:37:06,480 Speaker 1: and live streams we do here in the way Dream 900 00:37:06,560 --> 00:37:08,480 Speaker 1: Market and Baseball is gonna be a great way Dream 901 00:37:08,520 --> 00:37:09,239 Speaker 1: Market this year. 902 00:37:09,360 --> 00:37:11,479 Speaker 2: It's gonna be wide open. It's gonna be super fun. 903 00:37:11,760 --> 00:37:13,759 Speaker 2: I can't wait to do it and hope you guys 904 00:37:13,760 --> 00:37:15,920 Speaker 2: are excited about it as well. That'll do it for us, 905 00:37:15,920 --> 00:37:17,600 Speaker 2: But the story of the game goes on for the Welsh. 906 00:37:17,600 --> 00:37:29,560 Speaker 2: I'm Joey p. We'll see you next time. Kids,