1 00:00:00,120 --> 00:00:03,880 Speaker 1: The presidential election is likely to be decided by events 2 00:00:03,880 --> 00:00:07,600 Speaker 1: that have yet to occur, much more so than the 3 00:00:07,680 --> 00:00:12,080 Speaker 1: events that have already occurred. And what's occurring in Haiti 4 00:00:12,720 --> 00:00:17,080 Speaker 1: is anarchy. People will flee by the hundreds, and then 5 00:00:17,120 --> 00:00:21,240 Speaker 1: by the thousands, and by the ten thousands, and maybe 6 00:00:21,280 --> 00:00:24,759 Speaker 1: by the one hundred thousands and maybe a million. The 7 00:00:25,040 --> 00:00:28,560 Speaker 1: only country that has the capacity to do any of 8 00:00:28,600 --> 00:00:32,520 Speaker 1: this is the United States of America. Have you ever 9 00:00:32,600 --> 00:00:38,159 Speaker 1: had the experience of driving on a long road, watching 10 00:00:38,200 --> 00:00:41,600 Speaker 1: it wind and undulate, seeing the hills come up ahead. 11 00:00:42,240 --> 00:00:46,000 Speaker 1: Have you ever pondered who built the road? Where did 12 00:00:46,000 --> 00:00:50,560 Speaker 1: it lead to, and where did it come from? Why 13 00:00:50,600 --> 00:00:54,000 Speaker 1: did someone build that road, and who had the wisdom 14 00:00:54,040 --> 00:00:57,760 Speaker 1: to maintain it. We're very lucky to live in a 15 00:00:57,880 --> 00:01:03,760 Speaker 1: country that has been passed on to us by builders, 16 00:01:05,640 --> 00:01:13,399 Speaker 1: by people who architected ideas into reality and advanced them 17 00:01:14,360 --> 00:01:20,000 Speaker 1: through great turmoil and terrible cost, through the trials of 18 00:01:20,080 --> 00:01:28,200 Speaker 1: injustice and war and hunger and depression, to make the 19 00:01:28,400 --> 00:01:36,280 Speaker 1: union more perfect. And here we are, imperfectly but known 20 00:01:36,600 --> 00:01:42,080 Speaker 1: around the world as a beacon of opportunity and hope 21 00:01:42,880 --> 00:01:49,720 Speaker 1: and justice. One of the great divisive issues of our 22 00:01:49,960 --> 00:01:58,680 Speaker 1: time a time of ingratitude. Is that as we angrily 23 00:02:00,160 --> 00:02:04,720 Speaker 1: as a nation look at our borders and denounce the 24 00:02:04,800 --> 00:02:09,240 Speaker 1: human beings who have struggled to reach them, we do 25 00:02:09,400 --> 00:02:12,720 Speaker 1: so at the same time for many of us being 26 00:02:12,840 --> 00:02:19,679 Speaker 1: enthrolled to a man who denounces the nation as worthless 27 00:02:20,520 --> 00:02:26,000 Speaker 1: that those people would risk everything to reach. There seems 28 00:02:26,080 --> 00:02:32,800 Speaker 1: to be an imbalance, a lack of symmetry between the 29 00:02:32,919 --> 00:02:40,040 Speaker 1: rhetoric and the reality. We are lucky to live in 30 00:02:40,080 --> 00:02:47,800 Speaker 1: the United States. All across the world, there are places 31 00:02:48,440 --> 00:02:56,480 Speaker 1: that are steeped in oppression and brutality, where people can 32 00:02:56,560 --> 00:03:07,200 Speaker 1: be locked up and imprisoned, subjugated, murdered with no recompense, 33 00:03:09,200 --> 00:03:14,440 Speaker 1: with no law to protect them. There are places like Yemen, 34 00:03:14,520 --> 00:03:20,280 Speaker 1: in Syria, in Afghanistan and Somalia, where the law is 35 00:03:20,880 --> 00:03:24,839 Speaker 1: the law of the jungle. The strong survive and they 36 00:03:24,880 --> 00:03:30,680 Speaker 1: prey on the weak. Brutality is the only morality that 37 00:03:30,800 --> 00:03:40,400 Speaker 1: is practiced. Cruelty is currency, Starvation is common. This is 38 00:03:40,440 --> 00:03:50,240 Speaker 1: the soil from which terror grows. Hopelessness boisters more hopelessness 39 00:03:51,760 --> 00:03:58,840 Speaker 1: and hate and rage and anger. Americans over the last 40 00:03:58,920 --> 00:04:03,680 Speaker 1: quarter century have come to think of failed states as 41 00:04:03,800 --> 00:04:10,560 Speaker 1: places far away in the world, places that Americans understand 42 00:04:11,120 --> 00:04:16,880 Speaker 1: can directly threatened the stability of the United States. Because 43 00:04:16,920 --> 00:04:24,559 Speaker 1: the world is small and interconnected, the American news media very, 44 00:04:24,680 --> 00:04:29,320 Speaker 1: very rarely talks about what's happening in the Western hemisphere. 45 00:04:30,440 --> 00:04:34,200 Speaker 1: Did you know that Venezuela has amassed its armed forces 46 00:04:34,839 --> 00:04:38,920 Speaker 1: on the border of its smaller but oil rich neighbor, Guyana. 47 00:04:39,760 --> 00:04:43,159 Speaker 1: Did you know the current inflation rate in Argentina is 48 00:04:43,200 --> 00:04:47,760 Speaker 1: two hundred and fifty percent. The new president Mele is 49 00:04:47,800 --> 00:04:52,240 Speaker 1: attempting to impose his austerity package on a country where 50 00:04:52,279 --> 00:04:56,480 Speaker 1: sixty percent of the population is now dealing with food insecurity. 51 00:04:58,279 --> 00:05:04,479 Speaker 1: Something will give one way or another soon enough, The 52 00:05:04,600 --> 00:05:08,960 Speaker 1: point being, though, there are words that are seldom said 53 00:05:09,160 --> 00:05:15,320 Speaker 1: on American cable news. No, those words aren't Travis Kelcey 54 00:05:15,400 --> 00:05:21,599 Speaker 1: or Taylor Swift. Their words like Venezuela and Guyana, words 55 00:05:21,640 --> 00:05:26,760 Speaker 1: like Nicaragua, Nol Salvador and Honduras, words like North Dakota 56 00:05:26,800 --> 00:05:34,200 Speaker 1: and South Dakota, words like Nebraska and Indiana. The unseen places. 57 00:05:37,080 --> 00:05:41,719 Speaker 1: One of the unseen places is the country where it 58 00:05:41,760 --> 00:05:47,560 Speaker 1: is most convenient to turn away from, to cast our 59 00:05:47,640 --> 00:05:51,640 Speaker 1: eyes away from, Just as Americans might do, is they 60 00:05:51,760 --> 00:05:54,960 Speaker 1: walk down a Street in New York City or Denver, 61 00:05:55,040 --> 00:06:00,120 Speaker 1: or Los Angeles or San Francisco, and see long encampments 62 00:06:01,000 --> 00:06:06,320 Speaker 1: of homeless, some of them migrants. It is our nature 63 00:06:06,760 --> 00:06:10,719 Speaker 1: to look away, and so the world has looked away 64 00:06:10,800 --> 00:06:16,479 Speaker 1: from Haiti as it has always looked away from Haiti. 65 00:06:18,760 --> 00:06:23,600 Speaker 1: Did you know the population of Haiti is eleven million people, 66 00:06:24,680 --> 00:06:28,159 Speaker 1: the most in the Caribbean. Did you know that by 67 00:06:28,360 --> 00:06:32,800 Speaker 1: land area, Haiti is the third largest country in the Caribbean. 68 00:06:33,720 --> 00:06:38,159 Speaker 1: Did you know its government has fallen? The chaos reigned 69 00:06:38,240 --> 00:06:43,040 Speaker 1: supreme that the dominant gang leader is a man named Barbecue. 70 00:06:43,680 --> 00:06:48,280 Speaker 1: The former policeman turned gang leader is known for cooking 71 00:06:48,520 --> 00:06:53,680 Speaker 1: his opponents and feeding their remnants to the stray street 72 00:06:53,720 --> 00:07:00,280 Speaker 1: dogs that dominate Pordoo Prince. Did you know is eight 73 00:07:00,320 --> 00:07:05,120 Speaker 1: hundred miles from the southern tip of Florida. Here's the 74 00:07:05,200 --> 00:07:10,120 Speaker 1: thing about American politics and the punditocracy and everybody who 75 00:07:10,160 --> 00:07:17,840 Speaker 1: predicts what's coming next. The next prediction is often based 76 00:07:18,400 --> 00:07:24,400 Speaker 1: on the last event. With the lack of imagination about 77 00:07:24,440 --> 00:07:29,520 Speaker 1: what the next event might be. The presidential election is 78 00:07:29,640 --> 00:07:33,160 Speaker 1: likely to be decided by events that have yet to occur, 79 00:07:35,000 --> 00:07:39,240 Speaker 1: much more so than the events that have already occurred. 80 00:07:39,960 --> 00:07:45,280 Speaker 1: And what's occurring in Haiti is anarchy no different than 81 00:07:45,320 --> 00:07:51,080 Speaker 1: the anarchy in Somalia. What will happen next is an 82 00:07:51,080 --> 00:07:59,320 Speaker 1: outbreak of disease, atrocities, chaos, and then people will flee 83 00:07:59,720 --> 00:08:03,600 Speaker 1: the hundreds, and then by the thousands, and by the 84 00:08:03,720 --> 00:08:07,960 Speaker 1: ten thousands, and maybe by the one hundred thousands, and 85 00:08:08,040 --> 00:08:15,640 Speaker 1: maybe a million a million people. Imagine that a million 86 00:08:15,720 --> 00:08:22,720 Speaker 1: people from the poorest nation in the western hemisphere, all 87 00:08:22,760 --> 00:08:30,240 Speaker 1: of them black, fleeing, fleeing the western hemisphere of Somalia. 88 00:08:31,080 --> 00:08:35,320 Speaker 1: The immigration crisis in America is about to get a 89 00:08:35,360 --> 00:08:39,560 Speaker 1: lot worse. And there's a simple truth to the matter. 90 00:08:41,160 --> 00:08:46,440 Speaker 1: Nations like Canada should be leading the international effort. They 91 00:08:46,480 --> 00:08:52,120 Speaker 1: should be sending soldiers and peacekeepers. But the only country 92 00:08:53,240 --> 00:08:56,520 Speaker 1: that has the capacity to do any of this is 93 00:08:56,559 --> 00:09:01,359 Speaker 1: the United States of America, and that reality is triggering 94 00:09:01,440 --> 00:09:07,559 Speaker 1: a profound resentment amongst the American people, who look more 95 00:09:07,600 --> 00:09:11,880 Speaker 1: and more favorably to demagogues like Donald Trump, who tell 96 00:09:11,920 --> 00:09:16,040 Speaker 1: them the United States is owed more than it is 97 00:09:16,160 --> 00:09:20,120 Speaker 1: required to give. And when there is an absence of 98 00:09:20,320 --> 00:09:26,000 Speaker 1: evidence of anyone else contributing in anywhere near the type 99 00:09:26,000 --> 00:09:30,480 Speaker 1: of meaningful way when it comes to danger, when it 100 00:09:30,559 --> 00:09:34,400 Speaker 1: comes to the urgent fights at the edges of the abyss, 101 00:09:34,960 --> 00:09:40,760 Speaker 1: where humanity itself is threatened by evil, as is the 102 00:09:40,840 --> 00:09:47,199 Speaker 1: case in Haiti, it should not be the case America 103 00:09:47,240 --> 00:09:52,760 Speaker 1: alone forever. Where are the French? Where are the Canadians? 104 00:09:53,520 --> 00:09:57,880 Speaker 1: Where are the Kenyans? This is what Secretary Blincoln is 105 00:09:57,960 --> 00:10:02,280 Speaker 1: working hard on in jim But the reality is this. 106 00:10:03,000 --> 00:10:10,320 Speaker 1: The clock is ticking in Haiti. Anarchy begets disease, begets death, 107 00:10:11,800 --> 00:10:18,720 Speaker 1: begets in humanity and suffering. That beggar imagination. How does 108 00:10:18,800 --> 00:10:24,760 Speaker 1: rwanda happen? First there is chaos and then there is murder. 109 00:10:25,400 --> 00:10:29,480 Speaker 1: This lesson is repeated over and over and over again, 110 00:10:30,600 --> 00:10:35,400 Speaker 1: and this time it's close to America's shores. This time, 111 00:10:35,600 --> 00:10:40,559 Speaker 1: ignoring it won't work. Haiti is a country with a 112 00:10:40,679 --> 00:10:46,280 Speaker 1: tragic history, steeped in a great and fundamental glory, a 113 00:10:46,320 --> 00:10:51,280 Speaker 1: beautiful culture and a tragic past. The only country in 114 00:10:51,360 --> 00:10:54,400 Speaker 1: world's history to be born out of a slave revolt, 115 00:10:54,880 --> 00:10:59,800 Speaker 1: the third oldest republic in the Western Hemisphere. Haiti. She 116 00:11:00,160 --> 00:11:04,240 Speaker 1: has been neglected, she has been trampled on, she has 117 00:11:04,320 --> 00:11:09,560 Speaker 1: been ignored. Her people have been downtrodden and oppressed, and 118 00:11:09,640 --> 00:11:14,280 Speaker 1: now Haiti will be a threat to stability everywhere in 119 00:11:14,360 --> 00:11:19,400 Speaker 1: the Western Hemisphere. The Biden administration has some time. This 120 00:11:19,480 --> 00:11:23,360 Speaker 1: is another crisis that's coming down the tracks. In a 121 00:11:23,400 --> 00:11:27,960 Speaker 1: few months from now, the focus on America's broken immigration 122 00:11:28,160 --> 00:11:33,440 Speaker 1: system won't just be about the Mexican border. It will 123 00:11:33,480 --> 00:11:37,800 Speaker 1: become much broader than that, because what's playing out has 124 00:11:37,880 --> 00:11:44,439 Speaker 1: a very predictable end and a tragic one. The truth 125 00:11:44,480 --> 00:11:48,280 Speaker 1: of the matter is the United States of America cannot 126 00:11:48,320 --> 00:11:52,680 Speaker 1: sit idly by and allow people by the thousands to 127 00:11:52,840 --> 00:11:56,560 Speaker 1: drown in the Caribbean as they do in the Mediterranean. 128 00:11:57,520 --> 00:12:01,880 Speaker 1: We cannot, we must not. Thank you for listening to 129 00:12:01,920 --> 00:12:05,680 Speaker 1: my political commentary. If you like what you heard today, 130 00:12:06,200 --> 00:12:11,320 Speaker 1: please also consider subscribing to The Warning Daily newsletter on 131 00:12:11,440 --> 00:12:12,000 Speaker 1: substack