Speaker 1: Kabooms. If you thought four hours a day dred minutes
Speaker 1: a week was enough, I think again. He's the last
Speaker 1: remnants of the old republic, a sole fashion of fairness.
Speaker 1: He treats crackheads in the ghetto gutter the same as
Speaker 1: the rich pill poppers in the penthouse. The Clearinghouse of
Speaker 1: Hot Takes break Free for something Special. The Fifth Hour
Speaker 1: with Ben Maller starts right now in the air everywhere
Speaker 1: as we are back at it in the podcast Ojo
Speaker 1: The Fifth Hour with Ben Maller and Danny G. Radio.
Speaker 1: And it is Friday, and that means it's a pick
Speaker 1: up Hellosa, strike up the band. Welcome players, You're welcome,
Speaker 1: are you? It's time now penny versus the penny. All right,
Speaker 1: let's get started. Danny G a man who is fighting
Speaker 1: the good fight? Is that how we say that? Danny
Speaker 1: will get more to that on the podcast. But you're
Speaker 1: you're a trooper. Through the magic of technology, you were
Speaker 1: able to be here and you're not contaminating anyone. I
Speaker 1: was quarantined upstairs the whole time by myself, not the
Speaker 1: first time I've been alone on a holiday bend, so
Speaker 1: it was okay. My girl still made me feel cool
Speaker 1: on my birthday though, I got to go outside for
Speaker 1: a few minutes, and now I feel like I've really
Speaker 1: been let out the loony bin for a walk on
Speaker 1: the wild side. To join you for a podcast. Wow,
Speaker 1: this is a podcasting while COVID. Now, I was able
Speaker 1: to do the show when I had the COVID because
Speaker 1: it up and and all that. I just hit the
Speaker 1: cough button a lot. So when you need a cough
Speaker 1: at all button, you're good to go. So this is
Speaker 1: Benny Versus the Pay podcast. We'll get into Danny G's
Speaker 1: life and times and the situation that he's going through
Speaker 1: on the Saturday podcast. But this being Benny Versus the Penny.
Speaker 1: It is already week seventeen of the NFL, which means
Speaker 1: we have this week next week, and then the playoffs start. Playoffs,
Speaker 1: as our former colleague Jim Morris said back in the
Speaker 1: day there so that will be coming up in a
Speaker 1: couple of weeks down the line. And so this is
Speaker 1: the next to last weekend we will pick every game
Speaker 1: in the NFL. We'll continue this all the way up
Speaker 1: until the super Bowl, and then we'll do something else
Speaker 1: on these Friday podcasts. We'll get back to having people
Speaker 1: hang out with us on the Friday podcast. But let's
Speaker 1: look back at week sixteen of the NFL season. Before
Speaker 1: we look ahead, we must look back. And there were
Speaker 1: sixteen games on the NFL card over the holiday weeken,
Speaker 1: most of them played on Saturday. And how did we do? Overall?
Speaker 1: Got off to a very good start in week sixteen,
Speaker 1: yours truly, but then they kept playing games and it
Speaker 1: didn't go so well for me as the weekend progressed.
Speaker 1: Now I ended up a middling eight and eight, which
Speaker 1: you don't make money when you go eight and eight.
Speaker 1: You have to get fifty two point four or better
Speaker 1: of your bets correct to make money. So I lost
Speaker 1: money at five, eight and eight. How did the penny
Speaker 1: do you ask, I'm sure the penny kicks the mass. Uh, well,
Speaker 1: the penny did kick my ass. The penny ended up
Speaker 1: winning and had a ridiculous hot speak here. The penny
Speaker 1: finished ten and six, got off to a terrible start,
Speaker 1: won seven of the final eight games on the card
Speaker 1: after starting the weekend three and five. So it was
Speaker 1: a reverso where I I got off to a good
Speaker 1: start and then took a shifter, and then the penny
Speaker 1: they got off to a mediocre start, and they went
Speaker 1: seven of eight to close out the weekend. So they
Speaker 1: end up ten and six. Now, I lost three games
Speaker 1: by one or as three games by a point or less,
Speaker 1: but I can't be less than a point. But the
Speaker 1: Patriot Bengal game, Patriots came back, had the ball, they
Speaker 1: were driving down the field, and there was a fumball.
Speaker 1: They were inside the red zone. That killed me. Cowboys Eagles.
Speaker 1: Eagles fumbled deep inside Cowboy territory. They were driving the
Speaker 1: ball down the field. They ended up losing by five.
Speaker 1: They were four point underdogs. And the Ravens and Falcons
Speaker 1: game lost that also by a mirror point. So three losses.
Speaker 1: But but I don't feel bad about that, Danny, because
Speaker 1: I feel like I handicapped the game. It was right there.
Speaker 1: It was anyone's game. And sometimes you're the fire hydrant,
Speaker 1: sometimes you're the you're the dog, and then in this case,
Speaker 1: I was the that was the fire hydrant. But that's fine.
Speaker 1: I think it was close's I'd rather have that than
Speaker 1: get my doors blown off like I in with the
Speaker 1: For some reason, I thought the Broncos defense would show
Speaker 1: up against the ramp. They lost by forty points, So yeah,
Speaker 1: it does cut both ways. I'd rather I'd lose. I'd
Speaker 1: rather lose my point because that tells me my gambling
Speaker 1: instincts were proper as opposed to to the Broncos didn't
Speaker 1: even show up and should have just taken Christmas off
Speaker 1: against the Rams in that game. But that's what has happened.
Speaker 1: And now let's see what's going to happen as we
Speaker 1: get out to Crystal Ball, get to the week seventeen card,
Speaker 1: and we already picked the Thursday night game. We did
Speaker 1: that on social media because there was no radio show
Speaker 1: this week because we're dark in sabbatical on the radio
Speaker 1: back this weekend on Sunday night. But we'll start out
Speaker 1: first game on the card for US Carolina six and
Speaker 1: nine at Tampa Bay seven and eight. It's on Fox.
Speaker 1: This is the A game for Fox. Kevin Burkhardt and
Speaker 1: Greg Olsen have the call. Buccaneers opened originally a six
Speaker 1: and app point favorite, that's all the way down to
Speaker 1: three and the forecast humid and overcast temperatures in the
Speaker 1: seventies at Raymond James Stadium, the house the T. J.
Speaker 1: Reeves built in Tampa and the slight lean on the
Speaker 1: handle towards the Carolina Panthers. But the Buccaneers don't look now,
Speaker 1: but Tom Brady and the Buccaneers and NFL worst for gamblers.
Speaker 1: If you bet on the Buccaneers blindly against the spread
Speaker 1: every week, you have gone three eleven and one this season.
Speaker 1: That is the worst mark in the NFL. Tampa one
Speaker 1: eleven and one against the spread their last thirteen games,
Speaker 1: and the Carolina Panthers on the other side since they
Speaker 1: made the coaching change. Steve Wilkes the interim coach, unlikely
Speaker 1: to be the permanent coach. But Carolina seven and three
Speaker 1: against the spread in the Steve Wilkes era as coach,
Speaker 1: and I'm gonna take the Panthers in this game. I'll
Speaker 1: take Carolina on the road. It as a small underdog.
Speaker 1: Actually like Carolina a lot in this game. The running
Speaker 1: game of Deonte Foreman and Cuba Hubbard to get chunk
Speaker 1: plays against that Bucks defensive front. They're not gonna be
Speaker 1: as good as they were last week against the Lions
Speaker 1: and historic first half of that game. But it's imperative
Speaker 1: that Carolina run the ball because you don't want to
Speaker 1: expose Sam Donald too much. He's like a vampire. You
Speaker 1: you throw the ball too much, it's like the vampire
Speaker 1: with sunlight, bad things happen. The Buccaneers have been winning
Speaker 1: games with spit, duct tape and w D forty at
Speaker 1: this point. They the last four weeks, Tom Brady has
Speaker 1: seven touchdowns, seven interceptions, and he's averaging barely over five
Speaker 1: and a half yards per past. Terrible numbers for Brady.
Speaker 1: You're not allowed to criticize him, though, Danny, because he's
Speaker 1: Tom Brady, and the Brady defense team will activate and
Speaker 1: circle the wagons. But those mistakes very costly. It's certainly
Speaker 1: a game like this the if there's are just the
Speaker 1: better team. Lately, they've been the better team. I say
Speaker 1: that continues this week. Their defense and will be able
Speaker 1: to slow down an offense for Tampa which is not
Speaker 1: that hard to slow down. Panthers two Buccaneers twenty the
Speaker 1: final and the Penny would like to remind you that
Speaker 1: we have a famous drop where you say you love
Speaker 1: Tom Brady so much that you would cuddle with him
Speaker 1: going with Tampa Bay. Well, there was a point when
Speaker 1: every other show was all Tom Brady all the time,
Speaker 1: but we've moved on from that. Now it's only twice
Speaker 1: a week. It's Tom Brady. I love Tom Brady. I
Speaker 1: would cuddle with him, that's how cool he is. So
Speaker 1: you used to have to do monitor. You were forced
Speaker 1: into ball monologues. Remember, oh yeah, Oh there was even
Speaker 1: a ball song that we played on a regular basis.
Speaker 1: That was fun that. The flight Gate scandal was good.
Speaker 1: That was good talk. That's good scandal radio for sports talk.
Speaker 1: That was a fun time. I'm glad I got to
Speaker 1: be on the radio during and you were part of that. Danny,
Speaker 1: we had we had a plast with that. It was fun. Balls.
Speaker 1: I was wonderful. Had the Belichick news conference where he
Speaker 1: you know, he was yapping, and then Brady got up
Speaker 1: there and he was talking about the balls, how he
Speaker 1: likes his balls, and it was it was lots of ball,
Speaker 1: dozens of ball drops. It was a lot. I was.
Speaker 1: I was holding ball, touching balls, you name. It had
Speaker 1: a lot of balls. It was. It was solid alright.
Speaker 1: Next up Cleveland six and nine at Washington seven, seven
Speaker 1: and one. It's on Fox with Adam Aman and Mark Labor.
Speaker 1: They have the call Commanders opened at two point favorite.
Speaker 1: They are favorite by I won most people betting on
Speaker 1: the Browns in this game. It's at FedEx Field, overcast,
Speaker 1: temperatures in the fifties at kickoff for this game. The
Speaker 1: Browns last ten road games they have a losing record.
Speaker 1: For gamblers. There are four and six under Kevin Stefanski
Speaker 1: Washington six three and one against the spread, their last
Speaker 1: ten under Ron Rivera, and the pick is in. I'm
Speaker 1: gonna take the Commanders in this game. There's a quarterback change,
Speaker 1: Carson Wentz taking over for the Commandos, and I am
Speaker 1: not a big fan, not a big fan of him.
Speaker 1: I'm not betting on this game because of Carson Wentz.
Speaker 1: I think he's a middling quarterback. And this is actually
Speaker 1: a similar situation if Taylor Heineke had started. I don't
Speaker 1: think there's much difference between when Wentz and Heineke. But
Speaker 1: I am betting against the Shawn Watson. He's played now
Speaker 1: a month, and in that month, the Cleveland Browns are
Speaker 1: averaging two or ninety six yards per game. Since Watson
Speaker 1: made his debut, that's twenty six in the NFL. He
Speaker 1: is simply not producing year uh, not getting it done.
Speaker 1: Just two touchdown passes, three interceptions, averaging less than six
Speaker 1: yards per attempt. At say slow offense, a plotting offense
Speaker 1: for Cleveland Washington. The strength of this team, you wouldn't
Speaker 1: know it based on the game with the forty Niners
Speaker 1: last week is the defense. They have a top ten
Speaker 1: fringe defense in the NFL based on some of the
Speaker 1: stats you mix in Brian Robinson, that running game against
Speaker 1: the Cleveland defense, which is still injury ravage and Washington
Speaker 1: only favored by a point, is the right side in
Speaker 1: this game they should win by closer to ten points.
Speaker 1: Commanders twenty four, Brownies six team will be the final
Speaker 1: and the penny go on the other way saying this
Speaker 1: is the week Deshaun Watson is going to get off
Speaker 1: the table, you know they Yeah, So he'll get out
Speaker 1: of the baby yoga pose and you'll get into a
Speaker 1: different pose like the Chargers coach the other day with
Speaker 1: his pose before the game that you see that video,
Speaker 1: Oh my god, quite the video of anyway. All right,
Speaker 1: New Orleans, Uh, the the game there New Orleans and Philadelphia.
Speaker 1: That's the next game as New Orleans comes in six
Speaker 1: and nine. Popular Record the NFL Philadelphia thirteen and two.
Speaker 1: It's on Fox with Joe Davis and Darryl Johnston The
Speaker 1: Eagles opened a seven point favorite, their favorite by five
Speaker 1: and a half most people betting on the Eagles. That
Speaker 1: scares me a little bit. Overcast and fifty degrees at
Speaker 1: kickoff at The Link in South Philly, the house that
Speaker 1: Tony Bruno used to watch games at back in the day.
Speaker 1: The Saints opened up in this game getting getting a
Speaker 1: fair amount of money, but the Eagles now getting pretty
Speaker 1: much everything as far as the gambling handle is concerned.
Speaker 1: Dennis Allen has coached Answer two and five against the spread,
Speaker 1: Philly six and one against the spread at home and
Speaker 1: New Orleans. They have been really bad against the better teams.
Speaker 1: They are owing three their last three games against teams
Speaker 1: that every winning record. I'm gonna take the Eagles here.
Speaker 1: It's uh, it's a favorite. I don't normally bet the favorites,
Speaker 1: but I'm gonna take Philly here. Good spot for them.
Speaker 1: Even with Jalen Hurts bad shoulder, he has not practiced
Speaker 1: and is not expected to play. The Eagles have not
Speaker 1: made that official at the time. We are doing Benny
Speaker 1: versus the Penny, so it's still up in the air,
Speaker 1: but we are comfortable with Gardner Minshew, who played well
Speaker 1: in stretches against Dallas. The big bugaboo and it's a
Speaker 1: massive thing if you're a gambler betting on a favorite
Speaker 1: is the turnover game. Two interceptions and two fumbles backbreaking
Speaker 1: killed us against the Cowboys last week. But the Eagles
Speaker 1: were able to matriculate the ball up and down the field.
Speaker 1: That sloppiness doing them in. But Gardner Minshew averaging eleven
Speaker 1: point to air yards per attempts, second highest average of
Speaker 1: his career. The big key here is getting that Philly
Speaker 1: defense on track. They were flambaided by the Cowboys for
Speaker 1: nineteen yards. They with a ten point second half lead
Speaker 1: in the third quarter in that game. The good news
Speaker 1: is Andy Dalton is starting for the Saints and he's
Speaker 1: good for a couple of turnovers himself Eagles seven and
Speaker 1: then all in Saints twenty the final and the penny
Speaker 1: is also riding with the Eagles. Alright, so we agree
Speaker 1: on that. Next up, boy, this is a game that
Speaker 1: it has no redeeming value. Arizona four and eleven at
Speaker 1: Atlanta five and ten. It's on Fox with Jason Bennetti
Speaker 1: and Brady Quinn for your your guy. Brady Quinn, who
Speaker 1: back in the day you worked on that show them, uh,
Speaker 1: and now you're on the midday show. But anyway, Brady
Speaker 1: Quimby calling this game part of the Fox Sports Radio Family.
Speaker 1: The Falcons opened up a three point favorite, and they
Speaker 1: are favored by three and a half right now. Most
Speaker 1: people betting on the Falcons inside the climate controlled Mercedes
Speaker 1: Benz Stadium. The Falcons two and eight against the spread
Speaker 1: their last tennis home favorites Atlanta three and seven over
Speaker 1: their last ten overall against the spread with Arthur Smith
Speaker 1: as coach, and Arizona's got those great numbers as a
Speaker 1: road underdog their nine and two against the spread. This
Speaker 1: the final couple of games of J. J. Watt. He
Speaker 1: announced this week that he's hanging up the shoulder pads
Speaker 1: and the helmet. He's done at the end of this season.
Speaker 1: Cardinals not going to the playoffs clearly, but I am
Speaker 1: gonna take Arizona this game. Last place teams going head
Speaker 1: to head, Cardinals have lost five games and roll straight up.
Speaker 1: Falcons have dropped four straight. Colt McCoy though he's gonna play.
Speaker 1: You say, who cares he sucks, But listen, he's the
Speaker 1: lesser of evils in this game. Colt McCoy coming off
Speaker 1: the concussion protocol back for Arizona and Trace McSorley, who
Speaker 1: was as bad as advertised. Somehow, that game went to
Speaker 1: overtime against Tampa Bay, which is more about the Bucks
Speaker 1: than it is the Cardinals. But Colt McCoy will be
Speaker 1: able to make a few players. You really don't need
Speaker 1: that much. This game will be nip and tuck, and
Speaker 1: I really think the key is you're getting that half point,
Speaker 1: the three and a half. Most likely this game decided
Speaker 1: by a field goal. Either Atlanta wins by a field
Speaker 1: goal or Arizona wins by a field goal. Either way,
Speaker 1: you're gonna win the bet with the three and a half.
Speaker 1: So I'll take the Cardinals plus the three and a half,
Speaker 1: Arizona nineteen and Atlanta sixteen the final. And just like you,
Speaker 1: the Petty would like to do a jersey exchange with
Speaker 1: Colt McCoy after the victory. Okay, there you go. Get
Speaker 1: you gonna get some grits and hang out with your
Speaker 1: own Drenovitch our our buddy done in Atlanta, part of
Speaker 1: the Fox Sports Radio Alumni Association. He's retired now. It's
Speaker 1: crazy when I hear people retire like it's weird. I'll think,
Speaker 1: get enough money to do that. I know, well he
Speaker 1: did TV. That's why sense not just radio. Jacksonville seven
Speaker 1: and eight at Arizona to twelve and one. It's on
Speaker 1: CBS with Andrew Catalan and James Lofton. The Jags opened
Speaker 1: a five and a half point favorite. They're favorite by
Speaker 1: four and a half slight lean on the handle the
Speaker 1: Houston in this game at n RG Stadium inside the Dome,
Speaker 1: the house that Chris and Houston built. Jacksonville has lost
Speaker 1: seven straight games outright as a favorite, including all three
Speaker 1: this season, and that is actually tied for the fourth
Speaker 1: longest streak in the Super Bowl era of Jacks have
Speaker 1: not been great on the road overall. They didn't win
Speaker 1: the game against the Jets, the last the road game there,
Speaker 1: but they take gone the Houston, the worst team in football.
Speaker 1: Jack's five and ten against the spread on the road
Speaker 1: with Trevor Lawrence. Doug Peterson has not been great. Second
Speaker 1: consecutive road game, two in seven against the spread. So
Speaker 1: I'm giving a lot of numbers here, but I'm gonna
Speaker 1: take the textas of this game. Jacks as a road favorite,
Speaker 1: not comfortable. First time they've been a road favorite all
Speaker 1: all season long. Here, they have been favorited in only
Speaker 1: three games this year, and they have lost all three
Speaker 1: games outright as a favorite. So win or lose this
Speaker 1: is an odd game because win or lose it doesn't
Speaker 1: matter for Jacksonville. They are ensured of a winner take
Speaker 1: all game for the a f C South with Tennessee
Speaker 1: in Week eight teen. So they win this game by
Speaker 1: seventy points, it doesn't matter. They can lose this game
Speaker 1: by fifty points, it doesn't matter. Houston, meanwhile, they've done
Speaker 1: very well lately and and the overall in the division
Speaker 1: Houston three and oh against the spread their past three
Speaker 1: games as a dog and uh for gambles against a
Speaker 1: FC South divisional opponents, they're nine in three against the spread.
Speaker 1: We'll take the Jags to win it, but not cover
Speaker 1: the number. Jacks twenty four, Texans twenty three, the final
Speaker 1: and the penny. He's also wags in on his boring
Speaker 1: game by taking the Jags alright Jacksonville that the new
Speaker 1: hottie among the quarterbacks is Trevor Lawrence. Though he's the
Speaker 1: guy getting hyped up, Daddy, He's not my hottie, but
Speaker 1: he's he's been good for me lately. But you know, jack,
Speaker 1: I bet you Jacksonville ends up on multiple prime time
Speaker 1: games next year because the NFL marketing Arm they get
Speaker 1: together in the off season a resort, usually in Florida,
Speaker 1: and they go into a room and determine who who
Speaker 1: the sexy teams are for the following year. And they
Speaker 1: need that. They need to keep cultivating the next generation
Speaker 1: of quarterbacks. And so Trevor Lawrence is gonna get a
Speaker 1: lot of luck. Even though Jacksonville is not not a
Speaker 1: national team. They're not a you know, a great they
Speaker 1: don't have a great following, but they're gonna try to
Speaker 1: build one up with Trevor Lawrence. So alright, next up
Speaker 1: Chicago three and twelve at Detroit seven and eight. It's
Speaker 1: on Fox. Friend of the Show. Kenny Albert and Jonathan
Speaker 1: Vilma have the call. Lions opened up a six and
Speaker 1: a point favorite, their favorite by six. At this moment,
Speaker 1: most people think this is free money. Just bet on
Speaker 1: the Lions. It's like a broken a T M machine
Speaker 1: overcast in forty degrees in the Motor City, but the
Speaker 1: game is being played indoors, the great indoors at Ford Field. Bears.
Speaker 1: Check this out there. Oh in seven against the spread
Speaker 1: their last seven games versus teams that have a winning record,
Speaker 1: the Chicago oh and three their past three road games
Speaker 1: the Lions. This is an odd spot. There's six point
Speaker 1: favorites laying their most points in a game since way
Speaker 1: back in twenty nineteen. So this is uncharted territory recently
Speaker 1: for the Lions. Detroit enters four and no against the
Speaker 1: spread their last four at home, seven and one against
Speaker 1: the spread their past eight games regardless of location. They
Speaker 1: got their doors blown off by Carolina last weekend. I'm
Speaker 1: gonna take Chicago in this game. The Lions run defense
Speaker 1: sprung a major league in Carolina last week. They got
Speaker 1: absolutely trampled in that game by the Again and the
Speaker 1: Yang and the Panther running attack. Detroit still missing a
Speaker 1: couple of players on the defensive side of the ball,
Speaker 1: including Deshan Elliott, the safety and the information that we
Speaker 1: have year and so the Bears. The one thing the
Speaker 1: Bears do is run the ball. And so you've got
Speaker 1: to think that David Montgomery and Khalil Herbert in the
Speaker 1: backfield and then justin fields the dual threat quarterback. It's
Speaker 1: gonna be like the Autobahn running the ball around there
Speaker 1: and Jared Goff will be better. It's not. He's playing indoors,
Speaker 1: the great indoors, their climate controlled environment inside the dome,
Speaker 1: but not enough to cover the six points. Lions twenty seven,
Speaker 1: Bears twenty four the final, and the penny is the
Speaker 1: president of the Jared Goff Fan Club going with Detroit alright,
Speaker 1: de Detroit Football. Next up, Miami eight and seven at
Speaker 1: New England's seven and eight. It's on Serris with Iron
Speaker 1: Eagle and Charles Davis, friend of the podcast, and they've
Speaker 1: got the call on this. Patriots and the Dolphins actually
Speaker 1: opened a two point favorite. Patriots are a two and
Speaker 1: a half point favorite now, Dolphins originally favorite by two
Speaker 1: on the early line. Patriots getting a fair amount of
Speaker 1: the money. Foggy conditions at Gillette Stadium and kickoff, don't
Speaker 1: talk about to his head like that. Temperatures in the
Speaker 1: low fifties at kickoff. Dolphins have been a miserable road
Speaker 1: team for gamblers this year, with Mike McDaniel one five
Speaker 1: and one against the spread. Many people think though that
Speaker 1: this is a good spot for the Dolphins because Teddy
Speaker 1: Bridgewater in his career has been a very profitable quarterback
Speaker 1: forty two twenty two. His record forty two wins, twenty
Speaker 1: two losses against the spread in his career, twenty four
Speaker 1: and eight against the spread as an underdog and nineteen
Speaker 1: and four against the spread as a road underdogs. So
Speaker 1: those are some big time numbers. That's an eight winning
Speaker 1: percentage against the spread as a road dog for gamblers.
Speaker 1: But I'm going the other way. I'll taken up Patriots
Speaker 1: with two a tog of ilo and the concussion protocol
Speaker 1: Bridgewater starting this game. The Patriots secondary. They have been
Speaker 1: fleet bitten recently. It does not bode well against Tyreek
Speaker 1: Kill and Waddle and the big playmakers that Dolphins have.
Speaker 1: Mild weather, but I'm counting on the Patriots making Miami
Speaker 1: a one dimensional team, taking away the running game with
Speaker 1: that great front seven that the Pats have, and Mac
Speaker 1: Jones will do his part against the Dolphins secondary. R
Speaker 1: overall twenty nine and past defense that secondary over the
Speaker 1: last month. Here Patriots thirty three Dolphins six the final
Speaker 1: and the penny going the other way taking the fins alright.
Speaker 1: Disagreement on that. Next up, Denver four and eleven at
Speaker 1: Kansas City twelve and three. It's on CBS with Greg Gumble,
Speaker 1: who hates sports talk radio, and Adam arch A. Let Uh.
Speaker 1: The Chiefs opened up here at ten point favorite. They
Speaker 1: are favored by twelve and a half on the home
Speaker 1: field that Arrowhead Stadium, Temperatures in the forties at kick
Speaker 1: off in the heartland of Kansas City. Now. Russell Wilson,
Speaker 1: who's back starting for the Broncos again, has never started
Speaker 1: a game in which his team was a double digit underdog.
Speaker 1: Last time it was close. I think the last time
Speaker 1: he seems played, he was like eight and a half
Speaker 1: or nine point underdogs that came back in Denver. But
Speaker 1: this will be the most lopsided point spread of Russell
Speaker 1: Wilson's career. He is six and oh against the spread,
Speaker 1: including this season when getting at least seven and a
Speaker 1: half points. So I'm gonna take the Broncos in this game.
Speaker 1: Kansas City one and nine in their last ten against
Speaker 1: a FC opponents. They are three eleven and one their
Speaker 1: last fifteen against teams that have a losing record against
Speaker 1: the spread. We know Denver made the coaching change. They
Speaker 1: finally got rid of Nathaniel Hackett in his first season.
Speaker 1: Room move the team quit against the Rams and somebody
Speaker 1: named Jerry Rossberg takes over the clock management coach on
Speaker 1: an interim basis, Will this be a spark for the Broncos?
Speaker 1: I say yes. I say yes. Teams playing in their
Speaker 1: first game after firing their coach are fifteen and ten
Speaker 1: against the spread since ten outright wins in eighteen opportunities
Speaker 1: as underdogs, and the Broncos laid down against the Rams.
Speaker 1: That reminded me when I used to cover the NBA.
Speaker 1: I'd see teams do that when they were tired of
Speaker 1: their coach. They just they would lose by forty points
Speaker 1: on a random night to get the coach fired. That's
Speaker 1: what the Broncos did against the Rams last week. But
Speaker 1: now you bounced back divisional game, and there's a golden rule.
Speaker 1: Anytime you get over a touchdown in a divisional game,
Speaker 1: you always take the points. You don't ask questions. I
Speaker 1: expect a much better effort by Denver to prove to
Speaker 1: the ownership that Hackett was the problem. Cans us. He
Speaker 1: will win this game, but they will not cover the number.
Speaker 1: Chiefs twenty six, Broco's seventeen the final and the penny says,
Speaker 1: make that two and nine against the spread, going with
Speaker 1: the Chiefs. All right, Next up Indianapolis four ten and one,
Speaker 1: pu what stinks? That's Nick Foles and the New York
Speaker 1: Giants eight six and one. It's on CBS with Kevin
Speaker 1: Harland and Trent Green. The Giants opened up a three
Speaker 1: point favorite, and they are favorite in the swamp lands
Speaker 1: of Jersey by six. Most people believe the Giants free money,
Speaker 1: a lot of money coming on the Johnson Another foggy condition.
Speaker 1: The early forecast has foggy conditions, temperatures in the high
Speaker 1: forties at met Life Stadium. And I'm gonna take the
Speaker 1: Colts in this game. Don't don't tell anybody, Danny, but
Speaker 1: I'm gonna take the Colts here. It'll be our little secret,
Speaker 1: uh the future home of Derek Carr Well, yeah, yeah,
Speaker 1: that's a possibility there Washington. Daniel Jones as a favorite
Speaker 1: in his NFL career, has been favorite twelve times, has
Speaker 1: a losing record five and seven against the spread. Indie,
Speaker 1: they're in a tough stretch, one in six against the
Speaker 1: spread their last seven Sunday road games, and Nick Foles
Speaker 1: was not worth a bucket of warm spit in his
Speaker 1: starting debut. It looked like he won a raffle to
Speaker 1: play quarterback, Like they took him out of the upper
Speaker 1: deck at the Colts game and they're like, hey, would
Speaker 1: you like to play quarterback? And they don't have Jonathan Taylor,
Speaker 1: and I you know, Zack Moss. Is it just a
Speaker 1: jag running back? Just a guy and in these defense
Speaker 1: that is the strength, that's the strength of this team.
Speaker 1: But the last month they've been blood in their twenty
Speaker 1: nine overall their eleventh in the NFL. But the last
Speaker 1: month or twenty nine, every trend says, bet the Giants,
Speaker 1: Bet the Giants, Bet the Giants. But I say, no,
Speaker 1: the Giants even other eight six and one, and he
Speaker 1: still have a lot to play for. I don't trust
Speaker 1: him as this big favorite. I'm gonna zig when everyone
Speaker 1: else is zagging, and the Giants sig the cult. They're
Speaker 1: gonna need a couple of turnovers in order to get
Speaker 1: some points on the board. But I'll take the Giants
Speaker 1: twenty four and the Colts twenty the final and the
Speaker 1: penny is smoking the la la la, just like you
Speaker 1: going with the Colts. We agree on that. Agree with
Speaker 1: the Horseshoes. Next up on the card, the j e
Speaker 1: t s Suck Sucks Sucks seven and eight and Seattle
Speaker 1: also under five hundred at seven and eight. It's on
Speaker 1: Fox with Fox Sports Radio alumnus Chris Myers and Robert Smith.
Speaker 1: They have the call. Seattle opened a two and a
Speaker 1: half point favorite. This game is a pick them, It's
Speaker 1: a pick your no special Seattle getting most of the
Speaker 1: money here over of the handle in terms of the
Speaker 1: money on the Seattle at the stadium now named lumin
Speaker 1: Field overcast and the kickoff temperature at forty degrees in
Speaker 1: Chile Seattle. Seattle enters having failed to cover the spread
Speaker 1: six straight games. That is tied for their longest streak
Speaker 1: since the year two thousand. It's also tied for the
Speaker 1: longest such streak in the NFL this season, tied with
Speaker 1: Tom Brady's Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Mike White expected to return
Speaker 1: here as the starter for New York and the Jets
Speaker 1: have a two and one against the spread record in
Speaker 1: his starts. I'm taking the Jets in this game. We
Speaker 1: have seen the real Geno Smith and it ain't pretty.
Speaker 1: He was an m VP candidate up until he wasn't
Speaker 1: an MVP candidate. Over the overall, he was the five
Speaker 1: frank quarterback. He is still the fifth rand quarterback in
Speaker 1: the NFL last three weeks, though, Is it true that
Speaker 1: Geno Smith has five touchdowns, three interceptions, of passer rating
Speaker 1: below and less than six yards per attempt? As his
Speaker 1: numbers have gone down, down, down, down, down, down down
Speaker 1: like a broken elevator all the way to the basement.
Speaker 1: And part of that is Tyler Lockett's been out and
Speaker 1: you've had just DK Metcalf the last couple of games.
Speaker 1: Lock It should be back on the field, but Sauce Gardner,
Speaker 1: the shutdown defensive back, He's gonna take away either Metcalf
Speaker 1: or lock It. Pick your poison. And the Jets are
Speaker 1: very enthusiastic about Mike White's return. I'm not a huge
Speaker 1: believer in Mike White. He's been spotty. Had a big
Speaker 1: game against the Bears this year, had a big game
Speaker 1: last year against the Bengals. Other than that, it has
Speaker 1: not been pretty. But side by side, compared to Zack Wilson,
Speaker 1: this guy is Tom Brady two point oh. I'm talking
Speaker 1: about Mike White, Jets Seahawks twenty the final And like you,
Speaker 1: the penny is a big White fans going on with
Speaker 1: the j E t s sucks, sucks, suck. All right.
Speaker 1: The Seahawk fans not quite as braggadocious Danny as they
Speaker 1: were a couple of weeks ago about Geno Smith. They've
Speaker 1: been moaning a little bit the last month. Understandable, all right.
Speaker 1: Next up San Francisco, the San Francisco treat. That would
Speaker 1: be brock Purty against the loss Vegas Raiders Ers coming
Speaker 1: eleven four, Vegas six and nine. It's on Fox. Kevin
Speaker 1: Coogler and Mark Sanchez have the call. Danny G will
Speaker 1: be watching this game. The Raiders opened up a four
Speaker 1: and a half point favorite originally and that has gone
Speaker 1: all the way backwards. Not Niners, a ten point favorite.
Speaker 1: Ten point favorite for the Forts Allegiance Stadium. The site here, overcast,
Speaker 1: temperature in the fifties. Yeah, that's the story. Derek Carr
Speaker 1: has been sent to the googlag. He's gonna be watching
Speaker 1: the game with Danny G on his sofa there. Demoted
Speaker 1: sent home all because Mark Davis wants to save the
Speaker 1: possibility of an injury guarantee. It's like thirty three million
Speaker 1: dollars that the amount of money extra the Raiders would
Speaker 1: have to pay if Derek Carr were to get hurt
Speaker 1: the last couple of games, and they clearly have decided
Speaker 1: he's not gonna be on the team next year, so
Speaker 1: they don't want to deal with that nonsense. And the
Speaker 1: Raiders will play Jared Stidham the last couple of games
Speaker 1: of the year, and that is what's known in in
Speaker 1: my world as a white flag situation. They'll flag us
Speaker 1: up for the Raiders. They're thrown in the sponge. Uh
Speaker 1: that said, I actually I'm take the Raiders in this game.
Speaker 1: And the reason I don't know that this is a
Speaker 1: downgrade between Stidham and Car. We don't know what we're
Speaker 1: gonna get from Stidham. We know over the last month
Speaker 1: Derek Carr had six touchdowns and seven interceptions. He wasn't good, Okay,
Speaker 1: So it's not like the Raiders are are benching rich
Speaker 1: Gannon in an m v P season. This is not
Speaker 1: what's going on here. I am concerned. The one thing
Speaker 1: that scares me. I'm taking the Raiders, though. I'm concerned, Danny,
Speaker 1: that the locker room is going to rebel because even
Speaker 1: though Car sucks, the team seem to like him, and
Speaker 1: I'm worried this is gonna be like the Broncos last
Speaker 1: week against the Rams, where they just go out there
Speaker 1: and get smoked, uh and lose like fifty five, you know,
Speaker 1: fourteen or something like that. But I'm taking the chance
Speaker 1: that these guys will be professionals and they'll they want
Speaker 1: to impress the coach because he's gonna be there. There
Speaker 1: By all indications Mark Davis is not gonna blow out
Speaker 1: the coaching staff again, so they'll have some stability on
Speaker 1: the sidelines. Forty Niners will win this game, but they
Speaker 1: will not cover the spread. Forty Niners twenty seven, Raiders eighteen.
Speaker 1: I may need a backdoor cover, but I'll take the
Speaker 1: Raiders plus the points going with the Niners, and I
Speaker 1: will say stead him look good running Josh McDaniels offense
Speaker 1: in the preseason. Granted that's against a bunch of turds,
Speaker 1: but he still looked efficient running that offense. So it'll
Speaker 1: be interesting to see how he does Sunday. I think
Speaker 1: the Niners will win. I just don't think they'll cover.
Speaker 1: That's a double digit line, so I and almost anytime
Speaker 1: you get double digits you take the points. Other than
Speaker 1: the game on Thursday when you had the Tennessee Titans
Speaker 1: with their high school offense. Alright, Minnesota twelve and three
Speaker 1: at green Bay seven and eight. It's on CBS with
Speaker 1: Jim Nance and Tony Romo. This is the big game
Speaker 1: on the CBS, the Columbia Broadcasting Systems, and I'm gonna
Speaker 1: take the Vikings. The Packers a three and a half
Speaker 1: point favor in this game. They opened at two and
Speaker 1: a half. I'm taking the Vikings. Most people betting on
Speaker 1: the Packers. Mild temperatures by a green Bay weather at
Speaker 1: lambeau Field, mostly cloudy forty two degrees at kick off,
Speaker 1: and the frozen tunterra green Bay thirteen, seven and one
Speaker 1: against the spreading games started by Aaron Rodgers. When the
Speaker 1: spread is within a field goal. This is over a
Speaker 1: field goal, though it's three and a half. The Packers
Speaker 1: three and oh against the spread their last three games.
Speaker 1: Minnesota oh in three against the number their last three games,
Speaker 1: Vikings one in six their last seven as an underdog.
Speaker 1: But i am gonna take Minnesota. The Packers have been
Speaker 1: living a charmed life here. Three straight wins, including giveaways
Speaker 1: that they were they were the beneficiary of Justin Fields
Speaker 1: couple of the mistakes, fourth quarter at Soldier Field three
Speaker 1: weeks ago to a tongue of Bylowa in the fourth
Speaker 1: quarter last week were three consecutive drives, three consecutive interceptions.
Speaker 1: You toss in the Rams who were frozen over once
Speaker 1: they got off the plane from l A at Lambeau Field.
Speaker 1: So everything's going right bending the direction of the Green
Speaker 1: Bay Packers. But I say it ends here. Aaron Rodgers
Speaker 1: goes against a Viking wretched past defense ranked in the
Speaker 1: low twenties, close to thirty in the NFL. But we'll
Speaker 1: likely not have Christian Watson. Even if Watson plays how effectively,
Speaker 1: be has got a bad hip, they'll be less than
Speaker 1: And these teams played early in the year Minnesota able
Speaker 1: to get some things done here. This is a field
Speaker 1: goal game, so another one of these games. I feel
Speaker 1: like it comes down to the end field goal game
Speaker 1: either way, And if you're getting the three and a half,
Speaker 1: which we are, you're gonna win either direction. If the
Speaker 1: Vikings win, they win there the underdog. If the Packers
Speaker 1: win by a field goal, you win because the line
Speaker 1: is three and a half. So I'll take the Vikings.
Speaker 1: I mean, Minnesota wins outright. Minnesota twenty six and the
Speaker 1: Green Bay Packers twenty three the final. Penny likes the
Speaker 1: Packers to stay hot, going with green Bay all right,
Speaker 1: Penny disagrees with me, going with the Packs Next. Next
Speaker 1: up the Battle of Los Angeles. Ye all, I am.
Speaker 1: It's five and ten the Los Angeles Chargers at nine
Speaker 1: and six Charges going to the playoffs. It's on CBS
Speaker 1: with Spirodida's who lives in Orange County I'm told? And
Speaker 1: Jay Feely and they have the call. The Chargers opened
Speaker 1: up a nine point favorite. They are favored by six
Speaker 1: and a half and a lean on the money. The
Speaker 1: handle goes to the Chargers. Temperatures in the fifties at
Speaker 1: kick off at SO five Stadium in l A on
Speaker 1: one day. That's a winter winter, remixed by l A Standards.
Speaker 1: Chargers Justin Herbert eight and thirteen as a favorite of
Speaker 1: three or more in his career Rams. They have yet
Speaker 1: to cover against the team or a winning record their
Speaker 1: oh and five against the spread. But I'm taking the Rams.
Speaker 1: You can ram it all day, you can ram it
Speaker 1: all night. The Rams are back, baby. They got the
Speaker 1: Baker and it's a Baker's dozen for Baker Mayfield. That
Speaker 1: performance was a simpatico performance by Baker against the bron
Speaker 1: because not granted it's because Denver wasn't really interested in playing,
Speaker 1: but man, Danny Gee, I couldn't believe it. I thought
Speaker 1: Baker Mayfield was at Oklahoma playing like Texas Tech or
Speaker 1: something that was wild. And you have a smirk on
Speaker 1: your face as you're saying, all, I don't think he's
Speaker 1: that good, But he was that game man, Sean McVeigh.
Speaker 1: This is the great lab experiment for Sean McVeigh to
Speaker 1: see if he's still got the Midas touch. And it's
Speaker 1: a means to an end for the Rams. And they
Speaker 1: don't know whether Stafford's gonna come back next year, even
Speaker 1: though he says he's not retiring. Will he be able
Speaker 1: to play cam Akers look like Eric Dickerson or or
Speaker 1: Marshall Falk or whoever you want. Oh my god, he
Speaker 1: was great. Uh. And and that is a weak spot
Speaker 1: for the Charge. I actually like the the Rams more
Speaker 1: because of their running game with cam Akers than I
Speaker 1: do because of Baker Mayfield. The weakness and the Charges
Speaker 1: is stopping the run. Rams have a little bit of
Speaker 1: extra rest here, and this is a gift from the
Speaker 1: gambling guys I think the Rams win this outright. Charges
Speaker 1: already wrapped up a playoff spot Rams thirty Chargers seven,
Speaker 1: the final battle Battle of l A smash hit for
Speaker 1: Baker Mayfield the penny. The penny is also smiling right now,
Speaker 1: going with your lambs all right? The can ram it
Speaker 1: all day or ram and all night, all right? Next
Speaker 1: up Sunday night, Pittsburgh seven and eight at Baltimore ten
Speaker 1: and five. It's on and b CE Mike Tarico wearing
Speaker 1: his peacock outfit with Chris Consworth and they have the call.
Speaker 1: The Ravens opened up a four point favorite, and they
Speaker 1: are favored by two and a half. As Baltimore tries
Speaker 1: to catapult their way past Pittsburgh, most people seem to
Speaker 1: think the Steelers on the right side. Clear temperatures that
Speaker 1: kickoff at MT Bank Stadium, temperature in the mid fifties
Speaker 1: in Baltimore for this game. I'm gonna take the Steelers
Speaker 1: in this game. Now, I'm going against John Harbaugh, the
Speaker 1: Ravens fourteen and one, with hardballs, coach straight up at
Speaker 1: home versus rookie quarterbacks like Kenny Pickett. But over the
Speaker 1: last month, Pittsburgh they actually have the NFL second ranked
Speaker 1: defense over the last month. They're really balling. Only the
Speaker 1: Chargers defense has been better in terms of yards per game.
Speaker 1: All the indication just have them matching up well with
Speaker 1: Baltimore because of injuries. Tyler Huntley the backup quarterback and
Speaker 1: start this game. It would appear at the time we
Speaker 1: are doing Benny versus the Penny, Lamar Jackson with a
Speaker 1: bad knee. He is still in the twilight zone off
Speaker 1: in the distance there in terms of playing. Lamar Jackson
Speaker 1: has not practiced for four straight weeks, an entire month.
Speaker 1: He has missed practice. Also, I looked at the Ravens
Speaker 1: injury tent Calaius Campbell's got a bad knee, Marcus Peters
Speaker 1: a calf injury. They were not on the practice field
Speaker 1: this week as well. For the Poets and the Steelers,
Speaker 1: the healthier team t J Watt the disruptor in the middle,
Speaker 1: and Kenny pick It will make enough plays to get
Speaker 1: her done. These games almost always come down to the
Speaker 1: very end. I'll take the Steelers nineteen and the Ravens
Speaker 1: sixteen the final, and the Penny says the Steelers won't
Speaker 1: have Derek Carr throwing passes to them this week going
Speaker 1: with the Ravens alright now next up Monday Night Football.
Speaker 1: This is the only game this weekend that has two
Speaker 1: teams with a winning record matched up against each other.
Speaker 1: So this is the main event and it's not until
Speaker 1: Monday Night. Everything else's milk toasts compared to this game.
Speaker 1: As the Buffalo wagon rolls into the NATI Buffalo twelve
Speaker 1: and three, Cincinnati eleven and four. It's on ESPN with
Speaker 1: the Fox refugees Joe Buck and Troy Aikman as they
Speaker 1: bring all the Dow hickeys with them there to Cincinnati.
Speaker 1: The Bills opened up a one and a half point favorite,
Speaker 1: and that game now a pick them on Monday Night Football.
Speaker 1: So not for the faith of heart. This game a
Speaker 1: game designed for the penny, a pick up game, Bengals
Speaker 1: getting slightly more money at Paul Brown Stadium, cloudy fifty
Speaker 1: two degrees that kick off and a chance of rain
Speaker 1: during the game as Joe Burrow thirty one and eleven
Speaker 1: against the spread one not favored by more than a
Speaker 1: touchdown and Burrow and the Bengals have covered seven straight
Speaker 1: games as an underdog, including the playoffs last season. Cincinnati,
Speaker 1: those seven straight covers that's tied for the longest streak
Speaker 1: in the Super Bowl era. Bengals are twelve and one
Speaker 1: against the spread their last thirteen games, and they are
Speaker 1: twenty and three against the spread their last twenty three games,
Speaker 1: including the postseason last year. That is quite the role
Speaker 1: I say it continues here. I'm gonna take the Bengals
Speaker 1: in this game. It is a showcase game in the NFL,
Speaker 1: a couple of heavyweights in the a f C. As
Speaker 1: they d get out mono a mono. There is a
Speaker 1: key injury here, Cincinnati losing right tackle Lall Collins to
Speaker 1: a torn knee, and so that popped the tire for
Speaker 1: the Bengals on the turnpike. Here, it's next man up
Speaker 1: to protect Joe Burrow. The Bills, they are still dealing
Speaker 1: with the cracked windshield of Vaughan Miller, who's out for
Speaker 1: the year on defense, So that really ex is out
Speaker 1: each other. You've got a key lineman out for Cincinnati,
Speaker 1: key pass rusher out for Buffalo. The Bills pass rush
Speaker 1: has not been nearly as efficient of late, and Buffalo
Speaker 1: has been a very good team when the spread is
Speaker 1: either plus three two minus. Through their fifteen five and
Speaker 1: two against the spread, but I'm gonna take Joe Burrow
Speaker 1: and the Bengals to edge it out. This game will
Speaker 1: go back and forth and back and forth, and in
Speaker 1: the end, the ben Gals will stand to top the
Speaker 1: Mountain Bengals twenty seven Bills twenty four the final, and
Speaker 1: the Penny says, you will end the weekend on a
Speaker 1: low going with the Bills. Boo who who? All right?
Speaker 1: That is it for Benny versus the Penny. Good luck.
Speaker 1: Remember practice responsible gambling, don't bet every game like we do.
Speaker 1: Pick your spots and have fun and we'll see how
Speaker 1: we do. And tell a friend, Tell a friend. You know,
Speaker 1: somebody loves to bet on football and they want to
Speaker 1: hear free picks and information on every game. You can
Speaker 1: hear it right here every single Friday during the NFL
Speaker 1: season all the way through the postseason. And We've got
Speaker 1: a whole weekend of podcast, even though I'm supposed to
Speaker 1: be on vacation. We will have podcast on Saturday and
Speaker 1: Sunday as we get over the hump for the weekend
Speaker 1: and close out. I'll have a final podcast for on Saturday,
Speaker 1: and then it's on to and we'll we'll get to
Speaker 1: that and all the fun coming up. We have big
Speaker 1: plans in and we'll get to all that straight ahead.
Speaker 1: Thank you for listening and we will catch you next
Speaker 1: time later. Skater population