Speaker 1: Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly, a production of iHeartRadio. Time
Speaker 1: now for Fantasy Football Weekly from iHeartRadio, your weekly source
Speaker 1: for the nation's best fantasy.
Speaker 2: Speculation and advice.
Speaker 3: Now along with the guys from.
Speaker 2: Guillotine Leagues dot com.
Speaker 4: Here's your host, Paulo.
Speaker 1: It is a difficult bye week for fantasy owners.
Speaker 3: We call this by Apocalypse two.
Speaker 4: How about by NATO? I like by NATO two.
Speaker 1: By NATO two or by Brian Johnson. Gave me this
Speaker 1: one this week and I liked it a lot. Buye
Speaker 1: Hard too, Buy Harder Hard like that by Harder, I
Speaker 1: think that's really good too. Six teams on buye We
Speaker 1: here to help you unearth some possible solutions to the
Speaker 1: guys that you need to find.
Speaker 3: It's a tricky, tricky spot.
Speaker 1: I'm Paul Charchi and co host today Scott fish thor
Speaker 1: Nye Strum.
Speaker 3: Hey, guys, Killo.
Speaker 1: It's really good to be back, and it is healthy.
Speaker 1: Last week it was not good for me.
Speaker 4: No.
Speaker 1: I feel so much stronger, so much vim and vigor.
Speaker 4: Nice. I like it that I can see it. The
Speaker 4: vigor is just out of poor coming right on to
Speaker 4: my pores. It's a little too much vigor a little viscous,
Speaker 4: but yes, uh.
Speaker 1: We will go through all the usual stuff. This is
Speaker 1: the last week for premature speculation. We're down to a
Speaker 1: point where there's not much time left to speculate, not
Speaker 1: much return on that investment.
Speaker 3: We'll give you the final three guys. We also pick
Speaker 3: up that time.
Speaker 2: I like mine? Do you like it? I like min?
Speaker 2: I'm sure?
Speaker 3: Okay, all right, good.
Speaker 1: We'll find out who they are towards the end of
Speaker 1: the show. We'll also give you the nine players upon
Speaker 1: whom you can take a chance. Very important this week
Speaker 1: in the bye week, and we'll answer three tough questions,
Speaker 1: one of which is basically a personal question for me.
Speaker 1: Using the show for your own I really am to
Speaker 1: suss out some of the problems.
Speaker 4: You know what, after thirty years, I feel like you've
Speaker 4: heard what.
Speaker 3: I never do this.
Speaker 4: Thirty years from now, you get another one.
Speaker 1: All right, good, Well we'll talk about that in twenty
Speaker 1: fifty five.
Speaker 4: Oh oh boy, jeez, Ian will be running the show.
Speaker 1: Then he will be running the show. Then Falcons take
Speaker 1: on the Jets. Scott, Let's let's start with this one
Speaker 1: right right here. I want to believe, yes, this can
Speaker 1: be Bjon Robinson's biggest game of the year.
Speaker 4: I have an A grade on him. I could almost
Speaker 4: give him the ard Vark. Did you know that Atlanta
Speaker 4: runs the ball at the highest rate in the NFL
Speaker 4: and the Jets allow the highest run rate against in
Speaker 4: the NFL? I love it. Yeah, that's an average of
Speaker 4: twenty eight rush attempts per game, and that's not even
Speaker 4: the receptions that Brice Hally gets. So I feel and
Speaker 4: Arthur Smith just loves loves running the ball by Jon
Speaker 4: Robinson twenty three touches and nineteen touches in the last two.
Speaker 4: The last five lead Backs versus the Jets averaged a
Speaker 4: line of one hundred and five yards in a score.
Speaker 4: But I feel like's better than a lot of them.
Speaker 4: So yeah, for sure, absolutely, I do. Actually, I love they.
Speaker 3: Got ground touchdowns and back to bed weeks he did.
Speaker 4: I love it. I love it. I do have l
Speaker 4: and Patterson on the bench, mostly because they're now splitting
Speaker 4: and I don't know what like. If it was one
Speaker 4: of them, I would give them a C grade because
Speaker 4: they're gonna get some work in this one. But Patterson,
Speaker 4: he played in the early part of the game, took
Speaker 4: took about eight carries there, uh about six carries and
Speaker 4: then two in the fourth, and Algier didn't really come
Speaker 4: until the fourth, so it's almost like he supplanted him.
Speaker 4: It's we're not it's Arthur Smith, though you have no
Speaker 4: idea what he's gonna do. Uh in the passing game.
Speaker 4: I do have a C grade on Jake Drake London.
Speaker 4: The Jets d is the only past to hold the
Speaker 4: team's wide receivers wide receiver group under their season averaging
Speaker 4: every single game, which means that you shouldn't start wide
Speaker 4: receivers against them.
Speaker 3: Mostly, So why am I starting London here with the
Speaker 3: C grade?
Speaker 4: But Drake London is really their only wide receiver option.
Speaker 4: He gets the volume and just recently, more recently, the
Speaker 4: Jets allowed Wattle over one hundred, Tyreek Hill over one hundred,
Speaker 4: Khalil Shakir over one hundred, DeVante Adams six for eighty six,
Speaker 4: Keenan Allen eight Forray seventy seven. A lot of those
Speaker 4: guys move around a lot, which is what Drake London does.
Speaker 4: He plays about twenty seven percent from the slot, and
Speaker 4: he's been moving to the slot way more often, which
Speaker 4: he'll need to do to avoid DJ Reid and Sauce
Speaker 4: Gardner on the perimeters.
Speaker 3: So they do that.
Speaker 4: It's barely a C grade for Drake London, but I'm
Speaker 4: giving it to him on the off chance that he's
Speaker 4: on the idea that he's going to get like eight
Speaker 4: or nine targets and find some way to make some
Speaker 4: meaningful use of this game.
Speaker 3: You know who's gonna Nazi Sauce Gardner and DJ Reid.
Speaker 3: Who John O. Smith?
Speaker 2: Yeah?
Speaker 4: I actually have John Smith on the bench. He what
Speaker 4: did he have zero targets last week? He's had his
Speaker 4: snaps drop four consecutive weeks now.
Speaker 3: Yeah, But to be clear, Kyle Pitch isn't getting that action.
Speaker 4: Nope. I also have Kyle Pitts on the bench. You
Speaker 4: could argue he's a slot guy that that you know
Speaker 4: would have a good matchup here. But I really don't like.
Speaker 4: I really don't like the option there, and I think
Speaker 4: they're gonna run far too much. There's only one guy
Speaker 4: in the past game. I think it's Drake London over
Speaker 4: on the Jets side. I will say with six teams
Speaker 4: on bye pits almost because almost becomes viable. That's what
Speaker 4: it takes at this point.
Speaker 3: If Brian had that matchup, it would be a grade.
Speaker 3: It's right now.
Speaker 4: Over on the other side, I like bris Hall. I
Speaker 4: gotta be no tiw I'm barely touching on the quarterbacks
Speaker 4: of the passing game because that's not what the Jets are.
Speaker 4: The Falcons are about Brice Hall. I have a B
Speaker 4: grade on the Falcons rank second against runners, but a
Speaker 4: lot of that is because they haven't allowed a rushing
Speaker 4: touchdown yet this season, and it seems a little unsustainable.
Speaker 4: They've had a few receiving scores over the last five weeks.
Speaker 4: Kamara had one hundred and nineteen total yards, Connor seventy three,
Speaker 4: Madison ninety three, Henry one hundred and twenty two. Like
Speaker 4: backs are getting yardage on them, they're just not getting
Speaker 4: in the end zone. That's the problem. That's kind of
Speaker 4: why I have a B grade on Brise Hall, who's
Speaker 4: getting fifteen touches per game, but he's got twelve catches
Speaker 4: in the last two games. He gets the receiving any work.
Speaker 1: Yeah, your problem here is this, Yes, you stop Breese Hall. Yeah,
Speaker 1: and you stop the entire Jets off of his. Falcons
Speaker 1: are going to play to stop Breeze Hall. That'll be
Speaker 1: the whole scheme, this defense, and Tim Boyle's not beating anybody.
Speaker 4: Yep.
Speaker 1: So that's why I absolutely possible, that's why I would
Speaker 1: you move him down to a seat.
Speaker 3: I'd have a sea grade on him, all right, at
Speaker 3: no higher.
Speaker 4: That's right, all right, that's fine, that's fine. Garrett Wilson.
Speaker 4: I do have a C grade on I'm not comfortable
Speaker 4: with it, but he has a thirty percent target share
Speaker 4: from Tim Boyle. If Tim Boyle throws at thirty times,
Speaker 4: that's ten targets. We saw it last week. He did
Speaker 4: need the score. You're probably looking at four to six
Speaker 4: catches fifty sixty yards out of Garrison. Garrett Wilson without
Speaker 4: the score, and that's a low C is probably where
Speaker 4: he's going to end up. I don't have a starting
Speaker 4: grade on Tyler Coughland, No, but he's had some surprisingly
Speaker 4: fantasy effective games three out the last five games and
Speaker 4: Titan the Falcons are fifth worst against tight ends. It's
Speaker 4: actually a decent spot if you're really really in a jam.
Speaker 4: But I do have him on the bench. Tim Boyle's
Speaker 4: just not fine, I know, right, just non functional quarterback.
Speaker 4: The college guy that you are. How many college touchdowns
Speaker 4: did Tim Boyle throw.
Speaker 2: Uh man, I don't know if the top of my head.
Speaker 3: One, Well, you have many interceptions. He threw thirteen. Wait really,
Speaker 3: and he's in the NFL.
Speaker 4: It's impressive.
Speaker 3: That is impressive catch.
Speaker 2: I'm not even mad.
Speaker 3: Jesus no business being in an NFL starting line. That's unbelievable.
Speaker 3: Dolphins take on the Commanders Lions. Dolphins, Commanders.
Speaker 4: Here we go.
Speaker 3: Oh there we are, all right, thank you.
Speaker 1: I'm thanking myself, by the way, arguably the best offense
Speaker 1: against unarguably the NFL's worst defense. So this is gonna
Speaker 1: be a one sided affair for sure. Yeah to Tyreek.
Speaker 1: Tyreek and Raheemos are just obvious a's. In Washington's last
Speaker 1: three games, they've allowed two passing scores of Gino Smith,
Speaker 1: three to Tommy DeVito, four to Dak Prescott. Jeez, by
Speaker 1: the way, they could go two, three, four, five. I'm
Speaker 1: not ruling out the five times game here for Tua.
Speaker 1: Washington's allowed the most by a mile points per game
Speaker 1: twenty nine and thirty five points per game over the
Speaker 1: last three weeks. So all those obvious starts are all a's.
Speaker 1: You know, you're not even going to mess with that
Speaker 1: stock Jalen Waddle, who nearly comes in with an A grade.
Speaker 1: He likely faces veteran Kendall Fuller the most, and he's
Speaker 1: the only passable cornerback for Washington. He's allowed just two
Speaker 1: scores all season, Still very good matchup for Waddle. No
Speaker 1: secondary surrendered more scores to wideouts than Washington's eighteen, so
Speaker 1: Wattle still comes in with a high B.
Speaker 3: And then Devin H.
Speaker 1: Chan is the most interesting play out of the whole
Speaker 1: matchup for sure, So total high risk, high reward play.
Speaker 1: A Chan could have a massive game against a very
Speaker 1: bad defense. The Dolphins could get way ahead. They could
Speaker 1: rest most stirt with the big lead and give a
Speaker 1: Chan carries. Or you know, a Chan comes into this
Speaker 1: game who's been you know, got injury issues of his
Speaker 1: own with the knee injury.
Speaker 3: Or they could get way.
Speaker 1: Ahead and they could just run Jeff Wilson or something, right,
Speaker 1: they could rest a Chan. So I mean there's a
Speaker 1: wide variance of possible outcomes here. Ah Chan can catch
Speaker 1: and if he gets target volume, he can help through
Speaker 1: the air. The last four games, Washington's allowed for receiving
Speaker 1: touchdowns in those four games to runners and a whopping
Speaker 1: fifty nine yards per game to running backs through the air.
Speaker 1: So a chan's going to help you a couple of
Speaker 1: different ways. I've got to be great on him, but
Speaker 1: wouldn't be surprised if he blew up here or if
Speaker 1: they just get ahead and they dial back his usage.
Speaker 1: So high risk ky reward play there. Let's go to
Speaker 1: the Washington side, beginning with my guy, Sam Hoowell. It's
Speaker 1: been a great season. You're league leader in completions, pass
Speaker 1: attempts and passing yards and sacks and sacks absorbed. They
Speaker 1: spine shattering fifty nine. I think he's up too, I
Speaker 1: believe to throw yes, that could be both. By the way,
Speaker 1: likely to be playing from behind throughout the entire game, right,
Speaker 1: So a lot of volume coming. Even though this is
Speaker 1: a guy who already leads a league in passes per
Speaker 1: game at forty one, he'll probably go over that in
Speaker 1: this one. Washington's defense is going to give up that
Speaker 1: big lead early game. Script is going to turn very
Speaker 1: howley in this one. Miami's secondary looks much improved on paper,
Speaker 1: but they've also they've also faced in the last month
Speaker 1: Aidan O'Connell, Tim Boyle and the Quadrice benched mac Jones.
Speaker 1: I had to look up what was after the rice.
Speaker 1: Mac Jones had been thrice benched for like a month.
Speaker 1: Now he's quadrice benched mac Jones. Miami has lost their
Speaker 1: top edge rusher, Jalen Phillips, who's not expected to play here, well,
Speaker 1: he won't play, and probably top safety Javon Holland is
Speaker 1: not going to play either. So there's a real opportunity
Speaker 1: for Sam Howell here, even just garbage time. Be great,
Speaker 1: Sam Howell, be great, and Terry McLaurin. This is really interesting.
Speaker 1: Here's Sam Howell with all of this production. Terry mclaurin's
Speaker 1: on the fewest yards per game of his career, oddly enough,
Speaker 1: spreading the ball around to a lot of different players.
Speaker 1: Now mclaurin's going to see a lot of Jalen ram
Speaker 1: Xavian Howard. They're both playing well. Ramsey's allowing two receptions
Speaker 1: for seventeen yards in his coverage since coming off ir
Speaker 1: Howard giving up just three receptions for twenty five yards.
Speaker 1: I mean, both elite numbers, but again, these guys have
Speaker 1: seen some dreadful passing attacks and the last three quality
Speaker 1: number one wideouts they faced, Davante Adams aj Brown, Adam
Speaker 1: Thielen all rocked the Dolphins. So I'm keeping a B
Speaker 1: grade on Terry McLaurin. B grade on Curtis Samuel, who's
Speaker 1: got targeted at wopping twelve times last week after Washington
Speaker 1: fell behind early. Same game cript game script could be
Speaker 1: in play for Miami here, and that could help Curtis
Speaker 1: Samuel again. He's got a very positive matchup in the
Speaker 1: slot against Cater Kouho, the weak link in the Dolphins secondary.
Speaker 1: He's allowed five touchdowns in his coverage and a whopping
Speaker 1: eighty five percent completion percentage, So very strong matchup for
Speaker 1: Curtis Samuel with a B grade. Sticking with the passing game,
Speaker 1: Logan Thomas, Dolphins have given up at least forty one
Speaker 1: yards to tight ends in seven consecutive games.
Speaker 3: But see that's the problem.
Speaker 1: That's about all you get from Thomas is like the
Speaker 1: forty one yards. He doesn't score in no small parks.
Speaker 1: He doesn't get used in the red zone. He ranks
Speaker 1: seventeenth among tight ends in red zone targets. Behind it
Speaker 1: guys like Irv Smith, Kay Dotton, Logan, Thomas is better
Speaker 1: than that. They just don't throw to him in the
Speaker 1: red zone. He doesn't score touchdowns, so he can only
Speaker 1: give you the C grade on Logan Thomas in this one.
Speaker 3: And let's go to the Let's go to the running game.
Speaker 1: Brian Robinson likely to get games scripted out early for
Speaker 1: this one. You know, again, presuming Washington falls behind early,
Speaker 1: they're not going to be able to run. And Washington's
Speaker 1: got the lowest run rate in the league anyway. No
Speaker 1: back has top sixty six yards against Miami since Week six,
Speaker 1: none of top eighty eight yards since way back in
Speaker 1: Week two, and the Dolphins haven't allowed a rushing touchdown
Speaker 1: since back in Week seven, So it's all negative right now.
Speaker 1: He's been Brian Robbins has been catching more passes late,
Speaker 1: but Miami's terrific against receiving backs. The average running back
Speaker 1: receiving game against Miami is twenty six yards, and if
Speaker 1: he's got to split that evenly with Antonio Gibson, there's
Speaker 1: just nothing left for Brian Robinson, and I can only
Speaker 1: muster a C grade, and I considered a bench grade
Speaker 1: on him altogether. All right, let's take a break when
Speaker 1: we come back, take a chance on me. Nine players
Speaker 1: not only in your starting lineup, many of these guys
Speaker 1: around the.
Speaker 3: Waiver wire and you need the help. It's bye week
Speaker 3: by Apocalypse too, you need the help.
Speaker 1: We'll find guys that you can start in a pinch,
Speaker 1: including at least one tight end in a very thorny
Speaker 1: tight end week. Find out who it is when we
Speaker 1: come back Fantasy Football Weekly. Welcome back Fantasy Football Weekly.
Speaker 1: A segment we like to call take a chance on
Speaker 1: Me where we unveil a quarterback, running back, and receiver
Speaker 1: that you can in many cases pick up off the
Speaker 1: waiver wire and start. This week in Bipocalypse two, you
Speaker 1: start the quarterback position in Scott Fish.
Speaker 3: Who you got.
Speaker 4: Line's probably not on the waiver where I probably could
Speaker 4: have gone a little bit deeper with six teams on
Speaker 4: by here, but I went with brock Party getting an
Speaker 4: Eagles team. He's only forty eight percent started in all
Speaker 4: my one quarterback leagues. He's not started right now, so.
Speaker 3: That's kind kind of a mistake.
Speaker 4: That's what I thought too. That's what I thought too,
Speaker 4: gaining an Eagles team. There's a lot of whopping. Seven
Speaker 4: of the eleven quarterbacks they face to hit three hundred
Speaker 4: and or multiple scores, they're allowing three point twenty five
Speaker 4: touchdowns per game or the last four just a really
Speaker 4: good spot for brock party.
Speaker 3: All right, Sore, you take a chance on me quarterback.
Speaker 5: I'm gonna go with Gardner Minshew against the Titans. So
Speaker 5: Minshew is quarterback twenty one in fantasy points per game
Speaker 5: since he took over in week six. But I think
Speaker 5: this is a great matchup against a really bad Titan
Speaker 5: secondary since since Week seven, the Titans are third worst
Speaker 5: in completion percentage over expected allowed.
Speaker 2: I think Minshew can pop off this week.
Speaker 4: Yeah.
Speaker 3: I like Minshew this week as well. I've got a
Speaker 3: starting great on him.
Speaker 4: Yeah, me too.
Speaker 1: I'm gonna make up for Scott's rather choky brock Perdy
Speaker 1: by going the other way with a super high degree
Speaker 1: of difficulty. It's such a high degree of difficulty. Greg
Speaker 1: Luganis would get off the diving board and go back
Speaker 1: down the ladder.
Speaker 4: Be like.
Speaker 3: Kenny Pickett.
Speaker 1: Oh, you want to know how many touchdowns Kenny Pickett
Speaker 1: has thrown in the last six games?
Speaker 3: Three, two, two, one.
Speaker 4: Okay, you don't have any multi score touchdown games he
Speaker 4: has in his career.
Speaker 1: One is one, but you know what we could get
Speaker 1: one here? Okay, now, it's two reasons number one. And
Speaker 1: I'm sure you guys saw this stat, but this, this
Speaker 1: was a mind blowing stat.
Speaker 3: Last week, the.
Speaker 1: Pittsburgh Steelers went for four hundred yards yes of total offense.
Speaker 1: The last time they went for four hundred yards of
Speaker 1: total offense was the game before Matt Canada became offensive
Speaker 1: coordinator and in the forty.
Speaker 4: Four games between the two and no forty yard games. Yep,
Speaker 4: I saw that. I was like, that is staggering competence.
Speaker 1: That is a bookend of incompetence for Matt Canada right there.
Speaker 2: Incredible.
Speaker 3: It is so.
Speaker 1: Pickett, unshackled from Matt Canada last week, throws for seventy
Speaker 1: three percent completion rate and two hundred and seventy yards.
Speaker 1: I mean, he looked good. Didn't happen to find the
Speaker 1: end zone. But here comes Arizona. Every opposing quarterback has
Speaker 1: thrown a touchdown. This is a great opportunity. Pigott's gonna
Speaker 1: get at least one and prop not probably two. I can't,
Speaker 1: I can't go there. He's gonna get at least one
Speaker 1: here and maybe two.
Speaker 4: I like it.
Speaker 1: In this matchup at PFF ranks, Arizona twenty seventh in
Speaker 1: pass rush, twenty fourth in coverage, so there's a nice opportunity.
Speaker 1: Matthew Stafford just threw four touchdowns. Who's been languishing all
Speaker 1: year for touchdowns? Right, he just threw four against Arizona.
Speaker 4: Yeah.
Speaker 1: I like this game, Kenny Pickett, let's go to the
Speaker 1: running back positions.
Speaker 4: Got Yeah for the last one, I almost won with
Speaker 4: Trevor Lawrence because I have him as my QB six
Speaker 4: on the week, and I thought that's really high for
Speaker 4: Trevor Lawrence.
Speaker 3: He's coming off to big games.
Speaker 4: Yeah, yeah, it's it's a good spot for him too.
Speaker 4: My running back this week is to Ernest Johnson. Eight
Speaker 4: plus touches for fifty plus total yards and back to
Speaker 4: back this week. The Jags are eight and a half
Speaker 4: point favorites. So when Ernest goes to Cincy, get it,
Speaker 4: Like Ernest goes to jail, Ernest go back there to
Speaker 4: the nineties. Yeah, I'm glad you've both got it, because
Speaker 4: I was really worried about the people would get that.
Speaker 4: De Ernis goes to Citzy not to mention it, not
Speaker 4: to mention etn Is coming in banged up with a
Speaker 4: chest injury. So if they give him a lighter workload,
Speaker 4: especially if they get ahead. Denis Johnson could see eight, nine, ten, twelve,
Speaker 4: thirteen more touches. I like this spot for Johnson.
Speaker 3: Oh yeah, I won't.
Speaker 1: I won't lie it hurts right now. Yeah, Okay, let's
Speaker 1: go to Thorn. You take a chance with me running.
Speaker 5: I'm gonna go with Royce Freeman in his game against
Speaker 5: the Browns. So Royce Freeman against the Browns, this is
Speaker 5: the bold part of that. Yeah, but their run defense
Speaker 5: hasn't been quite as good this year. That pass defense
Speaker 5: have been great. Riyce Freeman this year number twenty and
Speaker 5: miss forest tackles per attempt, number fifteen in yards after
Speaker 5: contact per attempt, and he's a top ten PFF graded
Speaker 5: running back this year. Thirteen carries for seventy seven yards
Speaker 5: in a touchdown while playing thirty four percent of the
Speaker 5: snaps last week against the Cardinals. And this sort of
Speaker 5: goes with what Fish was saying with his If the
Speaker 5: Ram beat the Browns by double digits this week, the
Speaker 5: same thing could happen with Freeman getting all the touches,
Speaker 5: which would make him startable.
Speaker 4: Royce Freeman also top five in yards over expectation.
Speaker 2: Yeah, shocking.
Speaker 1: By the way, this is nothing like the freeman known
Speaker 1: in the past. I'm upgrade now he was Royce dropped
Speaker 1: the piano freeman. I upgraded him to Royce dropped the
Speaker 1: organ freeman because he was apparently running a little lighter.
Speaker 1: I'm gonna make the move all the way up to
Speaker 1: Royce drop the flute.
Speaker 3: Yeah yeah, I mean he's he is running like a
Speaker 3: man unencumbered.
Speaker 2: Sure is, Yeah, sure is.
Speaker 3: If we have time.
Speaker 1: At some point later in the showman asked you about
Speaker 1: Zack Evans and what the hell's gone horribly wrong? All right,
Speaker 1: I might take a chance on me running back. This
Speaker 1: also hurts, I was.
Speaker 4: I was not exactly right.
Speaker 1: Damian Pierce has devolved into a take a chance on
Speaker 1: me player, and barely even one at that. But this
Speaker 1: is the opportunity right here. Last week, Pierce returned after.
Speaker 3: A month long layoff.
Speaker 1: Singletary still got most of the work, but Pierce is
Speaker 1: a week healthier. Singletary only managed eighteen yards with his
Speaker 1: starting role last week, so maybe there's an opportunity for
Speaker 1: Pierce here against a Broncos defense giving up one hundred
Speaker 1: and forty rushing yards per game to running backs over
Speaker 1: the last three weeks.
Speaker 3: If you have only given up.
Speaker 1: One touchdown to the position six games. So maybe not
Speaker 1: a touchdown here, but Denver ranks dead lasts and runs
Speaker 1: stuff win rate. They're twenty ninth in run defense by
Speaker 1: Pro Football Focus. The opportunity is certainly there Damian Pierce,
Speaker 1: you know, dart throw opportunity. It's I would feel a
Speaker 1: certain amount of personal gratification if he could come through
Speaker 1: in this spot.
Speaker 4: When talking about Singletary, I'm disappointed you didn't say, after
Speaker 4: a couple of big games, motor stalled.
Speaker 5: Yeah, have a motor Singletary there you got?
Speaker 2: That would have been finest.
Speaker 3: Yes, listen, I.
Speaker 1: Don't play ma anybody for never listening to me about
Speaker 1: anything I ever say about Damian Pierce. Again, anybody actually
Speaker 1: take that advice? Go to the receivers. Who you got, Scott?
Speaker 4: Yeah, I am going to go over to that Chargers
Speaker 4: New England game and I'm gonna start Gerald Everett this
Speaker 4: week in a game again against New England. Keenan Allen
Speaker 4: is coming and dinged up. He wasn't even practicing this week.
Speaker 4: If he gets a lighter workload, they're gonna need to
Speaker 4: depend on someone. Everett back to full health last week
Speaker 4: had four for forty three to score, and he's top
Speaker 4: top five in tight end targets inside the ten. I
Speaker 4: think it's not a great matchup, but he's gonna need
Speaker 4: to be basically one of the only weapons.
Speaker 3: That makes sense. All right, let's go to your take
Speaker 3: a chance with your receiver four.
Speaker 5: I'm gonna go with Brown's wide receiver Elijah Moore against
Speaker 5: the Rams the aforementioned game against the Rams. More is
Speaker 5: wide receiver sixty in fantasy this year, but he's been
Speaker 5: coming on at least forty four receiving yards in each
Speaker 5: of his last three games, and this is a pretty
Speaker 5: solid matchup for him. The Rams have allowed the seventh
Speaker 5: highest PPR points per target to opposing slots. I think
Speaker 5: More could be a heavily used say ffty blanket for
Speaker 5: Joe Flacco in this game. Get a lot of those
Speaker 5: targets and maybe wrack up some points here.
Speaker 4: Alright, I like that.
Speaker 1: Uh, you need a tight end. Six teams are on
Speaker 1: by tight ends, always a thin position. Trey McBride may
Speaker 1: very well not play, which is problematic. So you're looking
Speaker 1: for tight end help. I'm gonna give you two.
Speaker 4: Oh in the same team, So three in this segment
Speaker 4: for people we're helping.
Speaker 1: We are trying to help here, how about Taysom Hill
Speaker 1: and or Juwan Johnson. Okay, okay, So we'll take the
Speaker 1: two Saints guys. So the top three Saints receivers are
Speaker 1: expected to be out. In fact, they've two of them
Speaker 1: are definitely out. Rashid Shaheed, our Guy Thor and I well,
Speaker 1: I think you might be on him to love them
Speaker 1: Andy and yes, he's been ruled out.
Speaker 3: Michael Thomas is on.
Speaker 1: I are the only glimmer of hope, and I don't
Speaker 1: think it's gonna happen, like five percent chance Chris Olave goes,
Speaker 1: but all three top receivers are out, so they're gonna
Speaker 1: have to make do with other players.
Speaker 2: I think the.
Speaker 1: Opportunity is going to be there for Taysom Hill, who's
Speaker 1: been targeted twenty five times in his last six games
Speaker 1: with with an average catch of twelve yards over that span,
Speaker 1: and in the games that Derek Carr started and finished
Speaker 1: since Week six, he'll seen at least nine to nine
Speaker 1: total opportunities been targets and carries. Detroit allows four red
Speaker 1: zone trips per game on the road, and New Orleans
Speaker 1: gets inside the opponent's twenty yard line four times per game.
Speaker 1: That's paydir time for potentially Taysom Hill. Now for Juwan Johnson,
Speaker 1: I didn't know this. He has the highest rate of
Speaker 1: lining up in the slot of any tight end in
Speaker 1: the league, which is really surprising. So he's a natural
Speaker 1: to take over the slot routes that have been left
Speaker 1: behind by Thomas and o'lave and Rashid Shaheed. So some
Speaker 1: opportunity for Juwan Johnson as well in this game. They
Speaker 1: gotta find somebody at Perry can only carry an offense
Speaker 1: so much so Taysom Hill Juwan Johnson both startable in
Speaker 1: this game.
Speaker 3: Let's go back to the matchups.
Speaker 1: Thor you're up to bat baby Colts taking on the
Speaker 1: Titans in this one. Zach Moss went off on the
Speaker 1: previous time these teams met.
Speaker 2: Yeah, but that's a total.
Speaker 1: Aberration for an otherwise very good Titans run defense.
Speaker 3: So what do you think in this one?
Speaker 2: I'm gonna give him a bee?
Speaker 5: And of course Gardner minshew as might take a chance
Speaker 5: at me quarterback, but with Zach Moss, I'm gonna give
Speaker 5: him a bee. Returns to the bell call role with
Speaker 5: Jonathan Taylor out with his thumb injury weeks two to five,
Speaker 5: when that was the case for Zach Moss as the
Speaker 5: Belcow average twenty four touches per game and one hundred
Speaker 5: and twenty three total yards per game. And to charge
Speaker 5: his point, in Week five against these very same Titans,
Speaker 5: Moss had one hundred and ninety five yards from scrimmage
Speaker 5: and two touchdowns. He's gonna get all the touches and
Speaker 5: all the use that should justify a be even borderline A.
Speaker 5: Those were the two I was between, not B and C.
Speaker 4: It was go.
Speaker 1: Now, I'm nervous because the Titans run defense other than
Speaker 1: that Zach Moss game has basically been shut down, and
Speaker 1: over the last six weeks they're giving up two point
Speaker 1: seven yards per carry for sure, So I have I'm
Speaker 1: a little more cautious on Moss than you are.
Speaker 5: Yeah, and that's why I ended up going with the B.
Speaker 5: But yeah, I'm pretty bullish on him.
Speaker 2: This week.
Speaker 5: I will give an a though to Michael Pittman, who
Speaker 5: is quarterback proof, matchup proof, et cetera. And in this one,
Speaker 5: it's a good matchup because he gets to go up
Speaker 5: against Sean Murphy Bunning sixty five percent catch rate allowed
Speaker 5: this year and Christian Fulton one hundred and twenty two
Speaker 5: passer rating allowed on targets.
Speaker 2: So Pittman's gonna eat here.
Speaker 5: He's wide receiver seventeen in fantasy, and he's had a
Speaker 5: twenty nine percent target share with Gardner Minshew under center.
Speaker 5: Gonna look to him early and often, and Pittman's going
Speaker 5: to be beaten up on whoever's matchup across from him.
Speaker 5: Not quite as good of a matchup for Josh Downs.
Speaker 5: I'm gonna give him a c that. The Titans have
Speaker 5: been better against the opposing slots this year, allowing the
Speaker 5: six lowest PPR points per target. Roger McCreery, who I've
Speaker 5: I was lower on the rest of his career, have
Speaker 5: been playing a little bit better out of the slot.
Speaker 5: He gonna beat up Downs and push him around. Very
Speaker 5: physical player, maybe a little two handsy sometimes. Yeah, like that,
Speaker 5: because you love that.
Speaker 4: I love Downs.
Speaker 2: Yeah.
Speaker 5: The Titans run predominantly zone coverage, and over the last
Speaker 5: four games, to be fair to Downs, Downs leads the
Speaker 5: Colts in target share percentage against coverage. But I have
Speaker 5: to temper the expectations a little bit, just because McCurry
Speaker 5: has been playing a little better, so i'll give down
Speaker 5: to the Sea. You're gonna keep the Colts tight ends
Speaker 5: on your bench, obviously moving over to the Titans, You're
Speaker 5: also gonna be keeping mister will Levis on your bench.
Speaker 2: DeAndre Hopkins, I'm gonna give him a c.
Speaker 5: He does have an awesome first freed share ever since
Speaker 5: will Levis took over. It's nearly thirty percent, but it's
Speaker 5: led to only forty eight point eight receiving yards pol.
Speaker 2: Game, and that can't complete a pass because Will Levis
Speaker 2: is not good.
Speaker 5: Yeah, just totally errant and he locks onto guys, which
Speaker 5: is the one thing you can say for Hopkins, but
Speaker 5: it's just not leading to the production so far. And
Speaker 5: this is an average matchup for Hopkins. Even outside that context,
Speaker 5: India has been league average against boundary wide receivers since
Speaker 5: the middle of the season, so nothing special with regards
Speaker 5: to that. Chicka Coonquo is also going to be staying
Speaker 5: on your bench. Derreck Henry, We're gonna give him a be.
Speaker 5: He has not had twenty carries in a game since
Speaker 5: Week eight. The Colts do have a below average run
Speaker 5: defense and Indy struggles.
Speaker 2: Again zone runs. So the matchup is there, will the
Speaker 2: touches be there?
Speaker 5: But fifty six percent of Henry's carries this year have
Speaker 5: been zone runs, and again Indy struggles against that. So
Speaker 5: with all that stuff baked, and I'm gonna give Henry
Speaker 5: a b and I hate to say, but you got
Speaker 5: to keep Tajay Spears on your bench. He's been awesome
Speaker 5: when he's been given the opportunity. He needs more opportunity
Speaker 5: does number one in the NFL and explosive run rate
Speaker 5: this year put Taja on the field more. Obviously, not
Speaker 5: enough touches to start him. Sixteen point five total yards
Speaker 5: per game average over the last two weeks not the best.
Speaker 1: You know, we get plenty wrong here, but you know
Speaker 1: one thing we got right was when Will Levis had
Speaker 1: that four touchdown breakout first game. Yeah, we said, look
Speaker 1: at those four touchdowns. Yes, those were on errand passes.
Speaker 1: That took a lot to all those things, and he
Speaker 1: had won that was a really nice pass and broken
Speaker 1: coverages as well.
Speaker 3: Yeah, were like, you know what.
Speaker 1: You know, before we assume that this guy's gonna be
Speaker 1: four touchdowns.
Speaker 3: Every he hasn't had four touchdowns since.
Speaker 2: Yeah, so it may not again.
Speaker 1: Right, total, Well, maybe we don't go quite that far.
Speaker 1: When we come back, Chargers taking on the Patriots. Austin
Speaker 1: Eckler has been very disappointing and this is a thorny matchup.
Speaker 1: We'll tell you what to expect when we come back
Speaker 1: Fantasy Football Weekly. Welcome back Fantasy Football Weekly. Paul Churchi
Speaker 1: and Scott Fish and thorn Eystrom with you, Scott. Austin
Speaker 1: Eckler has been veryverwhelming, dominating fantasy back for years. He
Speaker 1: ranks twenty first in yards over expectation, twenty five in
Speaker 1: rushing efficiency. He's top the meager milestone of three and
Speaker 1: a half yards per carry in one game since the
Speaker 1: opener YEP.
Speaker 4: And even his yardage totals, even if you include the
Speaker 4: receiving totals have been sub one hundred multiple times recently, which.
Speaker 1: Is good about this as a receiver among running backs. Yeah,
Speaker 1: why do you think he ranks? Some Pro football focuses
Speaker 1: just receiving receiving grade among running backs fourteenth fifty sixth.
Speaker 4: Jesus, I would never have guessed that because there doesn't
Speaker 4: feel like that. I mean, there's a lot of running
Speaker 4: backs in the NFL, but that's staying near dead last
Speaker 4: of the ones that I do have a B grade
Speaker 4: on him here, but I almost gave him a C grade.
Speaker 4: The lead back has scored in four straight against the Pats.
Speaker 4: I mentioned a lot of the stats you actually mentioned,
Speaker 4: but he still gets eighteen touches per game, four being catches.
Speaker 4: So in PPR leagues you're getting four points right there.
Speaker 4: You probably gained sixty seventy eighty yards and they're giving
Speaker 4: up touchdowns a lot recently for the Pats. I did
Speaker 4: give him a B. I could see it being a
Speaker 4: C over the passing game. Justin Herbert, I have a
Speaker 4: B grade on If keenan Allen somehow doesn't go, all
Speaker 4: likelihood is that he's going to go. He's been limited,
Speaker 4: he's been working on the side, he's not doing the
Speaker 4: full practices, but everyone seems to expect him to go.
Speaker 4: If he doesn't go, I would push Herbert down to
Speaker 4: a sea. But I do have a B grade on him.
Speaker 4: Only three quarterbacks have multi score games on the Patriots,
Speaker 4: which pushes him down. And Herbert himself has been pretty
Speaker 4: hit or miss, But in the last five weeks he's
Speaker 4: had three multi score games, two games around three hundred.
Speaker 4: He's rushing a ton more. He's like one hundred and
Speaker 4: twenty yards rushing the least two games alone. That's insane
Speaker 4: to me. I love it.
Speaker 3: I love all this extra work for Ramondre. We're getting
Speaker 3: the guy I want.
Speaker 4: It all season. Yeah, over here. For Keenan Allen, I
Speaker 4: have an A grade.
Speaker 3: No, no, no, I got a little exciting jump.
Speaker 4: He got way too excited. You love ram Stevenson. We're
Speaker 4: mentioning a lot of nicknames on this show. I've noticed
Speaker 4: I don't have a rams sound to give you. Okay,
Speaker 4: Keenan Allen A grade if he goes. I know, limited practice,
Speaker 4: but he's averaging nine catches for one hundred and two
Speaker 4: yards on twelve targets, and he's a coin flip chance
Speaker 4: for scoring. He scores about sixty sixty two games something
Speaker 4: like that. Quentin Johnson and I do have on the bench,
Speaker 4: but it's it's a good match up. And if Keenan
Speaker 4: Allen doesn't go, I can see trying to push Quentin
Speaker 4: Johnson or Jalen Guyton in. Gerald Everett might take a
Speaker 4: chance on me players. So obviously I think I have
Speaker 4: a secrete on him. You should, you know, try to
Speaker 4: get him in if you have a rough matchup over
Speaker 4: on the New England side, we don't know who the
Speaker 4: quarterback is going to be. They're preparing mac Jones to start,
Speaker 4: but if they keep benching him for Zappi, and they've
Speaker 4: had Malie Cunningham working with the quarterbacks a little, and
Speaker 4: now they have three wide receivers out, and Malie Cunningham
Speaker 4: late in the week was working with the wide receivers
Speaker 4: a little. So we don't even know what's gonna go
Speaker 4: on with that. So I have the whole passing game
Speaker 4: on the bench with tomorrow. Douglas is the only one
Speaker 4: you would have wanted to start, and he's out DeVante Parker.
Speaker 4: I can see him having a day, but you can't
Speaker 4: trust that. So Ramander Stevenson gets the only starting grade
Speaker 4: for the New England Patriots, averaging seventeen touches, gets like
Speaker 4: three to four catches. He takes three quarters of the
Speaker 4: two minute drill stuff, the long down and distant stuff,
Speaker 4: the pass game, snaps two thirds in the snaps in general.
Speaker 4: More recently he's got twenty three plus touches in back
Speaker 4: to back, which I know Charge absolutely loves. I do
Speaker 4: Chargers allowing the ninth most convoy yards to backs, including
Speaker 4: bottom three in yards and receptions to backs. So and
Speaker 4: that's more Stevenson's game than Ezekiel Elliott's who's coming and
Speaker 4: banged up. So I have Zeke on the bench. Not
Speaker 4: a B grade for Stevenson, I didn't say.
Speaker 1: So, Yeah, I don't think he did. And that sounds
Speaker 1: right to me too. Let's go to the Lions taking
Speaker 1: on the Saints. Saints were good defense, but has a
Speaker 1: good offense. And I've got a lot of good starting
Speaker 1: you know, good starting grades for Lions, not great good,
Speaker 1: a lot of B grades. But let's start with a
Speaker 1: B grade. David Montgomery. He's scored in all seven games
Speaker 1: that he started. Yes, he's averaging one and a half
Speaker 1: rushes from inside the five yard line, a pace that
Speaker 1: leads the league, and carries from inside the five over
Speaker 1: the past month, the Saints are allowing two running backs
Speaker 1: to top forty three yards per game. So even if
Speaker 1: Gibbs and Montgomery both get plenty of carries here, you know,
Speaker 1: still like Montgomery a lot, and I think he finds
Speaker 1: his way to the end zone again. Jamiir Gibbs also
Speaker 1: comes in with a B grade. He's seen at least
Speaker 1: five targets in each of the last six games. But
Speaker 1: the Saints have been terrific against receiving backs, allowing the
Speaker 1: fourth fewest receptions and the fourth fewest receiving yards allowed
Speaker 1: per game, and they've only given up one receiving touchdown
Speaker 1: allowed to running backs. He is getting some carries near
Speaker 1: the stripe, so he's not losing all the touchdowns to Monty,
Speaker 1: but it's still Montgomery's the touchdown first guy on volume.
Speaker 1: Jamiir Gibbs be great. Let's go to the passing game.
Speaker 1: Jared Goff comes in with a B grade as well.
Speaker 1: Saints are a good coverage team. They rank seventh by
Speaker 1: Pro Football Focus seventh and passing yards allowed, but the
Speaker 1: pass rush isn't nearly as good and Marshawn Latimer, their
Speaker 1: star cornerback, is out. New Orleans ranks thirty first in
Speaker 1: pass rush win rate and no New Orleans quarterback and
Speaker 1: New Orleans has seen sorry I'm trying to say, and
Speaker 1: New Orleans has seen some awful quarterbacking, including eight opposing
Speaker 1: quarterbacks who were either rookies, backups or been benched.
Speaker 3: And that really leads them.
Speaker 1: To I think some skewed stats in favor of the
Speaker 1: Saints that are not realistic here, I still like GoF
Speaker 1: B grade for him, A grade for i'man Ross Saint Brown.
Speaker 1: Of course, slot receivers killing the Saints and including fractionally
Speaker 1: talented players like Darnell Mooney and Christian Kirk and Josh
Speaker 1: Downs are good players, but they are not I'm on
Speaker 1: Ross Saint Brown.
Speaker 3: When he lines up on the outside.
Speaker 1: He also gets a plus matchup with Marshall and Latimer out,
Speaker 1: so I really do like Almen Ross Saint Brown.
Speaker 3: A grade for him.
Speaker 1: Sam Laporta comes in with a B grade Saints or
Speaker 1: a neutral tight end matchup, but they've allowed five tight end.
Speaker 3: Scores in the last six games.
Speaker 1: The only thing holding the Laporter back from elite tight
Speaker 1: end status is volume. He's posted between three and five
Speaker 1: receptions in eight different games. That's not quite enough to
Speaker 1: make you fantasy a Fantasy star tight end. And he
Speaker 1: only gets a B grade in this game. And all
Speaker 1: the other receivers like Josh Raymond, Kalief Ramon, Josh Reynolds,
Speaker 1: Kalif Rayman, Jamison Williams.
Speaker 3: On the bench, Let's go to the Saint side.
Speaker 1: I already gave you Taysom Hill and Juwan Johnson. Is
Speaker 1: might take a chance on me receivers at the tight
Speaker 1: end position. The only other guy that you could start
Speaker 1: from the receiving game is At Perry. This is a
Speaker 1: guy that Scott talked about last week last week, and
Speaker 1: he's the number one wide receiver.
Speaker 4: Now I knew all those injuries we're gonna have exactly.
Speaker 1: It's on all Covin against a pretty bad secondary. Perry
Speaker 1: is a taller guy with decent speed, and we saw
Speaker 1: Christian Watson put up a huge game against the Lions
Speaker 1: the week before that.
Speaker 3: It was DJ Moore.
Speaker 4: So I sick are six foot five pounds four four
Speaker 4: seven to be exact.
Speaker 1: Well, but wow, very nice, very nicely done. This is
Speaker 1: a dart throw, but the Lions are like twenty six
Speaker 1: in coverage by Pro Football Focus. They give up the
Speaker 1: seventh most fantasy points to receivers. So At Perry your
Speaker 1: official dart throw for me in this one. And then
Speaker 1: the other guy that we care about, Alvin Kamara. Tricky
Speaker 1: matchup here. Lions are a good run defense, allowing just
Speaker 1: three point four yards per carry. No back has top
Speaker 1: sixty seven yards against them all year, and Kamara has
Speaker 1: only hit that mark sixty seven yards on the ground once. Now,
Speaker 1: he does lead all receivers in targets, but Detroit is
Speaker 1: not allowed at running back to he hit five receptions
Speaker 1: or fifty receiving yards all year, and they haven't a
Speaker 1: lot of receiving score to the position all year either,
Speaker 1: So this is a tough spot for Kamara.
Speaker 3: I'm giving him a bee on volume.
Speaker 1: I would too, but that is it, and we're not
Speaker 1: playing Derek Carr and it's a very tough matchup missing
Speaker 1: his top three receivers all right. Final matchup of this
Speaker 1: segment is the Arizona Cardinals taking on the Steelers thor
Speaker 1: anybody from the Cardinals side that you like.
Speaker 5: Here only because of bye weeks, starting with Kyler Murray,
Speaker 5: who I'm going to give a C grade too. He
Speaker 5: does have a rushing touchdown in all three of his
Speaker 5: games back, which has really propped up his fantasy value
Speaker 5: even when he's not throwing the ball well. But in
Speaker 5: those three weeks, quarterback thirteen, quarterback six, and quarterback nine
Speaker 5: in fantasy despite the poor passing numbers.
Speaker 2: But this is not a great matchup here.
Speaker 5: Pittsburgh's pass defense has been great in recent weeks and
Speaker 5: as you guys know, everyone is hurt on the Cardinals side. Yep,
Speaker 5: So we'll talk about the first one now, Hollywood Brown.
Speaker 5: I'm gonna give him a seat if he plays. He
Speaker 5: was on the injury report all last week with this
Speaker 5: heeled deal, but played eighty seven percent of the snaps anyway,
Speaker 5: which is why it was good news that he returned
Speaker 5: to practice on Friday, trending towards playing in this game.
Speaker 2: Like I said, I'll give him a see.
Speaker 5: If he does, he is likely to draw stud rookie
Speaker 5: cornerback Joey Porter Junior from the Steelers.
Speaker 2: He looks so good, looks really good the past.
Speaker 5: In recent weeks here, Porter Junior has shadowed Jamar Chase,
Speaker 5: Amari Cooper, and DeAndre Hopkins. Of those three guys, only
Speaker 5: Chase got over forty yards forty nothing. Yeah, Porter's been
Speaker 5: great and he's gonna get his hands all over Hollywood
Speaker 5: coming off the line. That's the question you always have
Speaker 5: with Hollywood, So that could be a bad matchup there.
Speaker 5: Trey McBride's another Sea guy if he plays. Currently he's
Speaker 5: being deemed a game time decision and questionable with a
Speaker 5: groin injury, and even if he does play, it's a
Speaker 5: bad matchup for him too. The Steelers have allowed the
Speaker 5: ninth fewest Fantasy points per game to opposing tight ends.
Speaker 5: James Connor that the other Cardinals receivers and tight ends
Speaker 5: you're gonna leave on your bench, obviously, James Connor, I'm
Speaker 5: gonna give him a c Connor is typically played around
Speaker 5: sixty five percent of the snaps when the game script
Speaker 5: doesn't flip wildly against him, which, of course, playing for
Speaker 5: the Cardinals, that's something that can happen. Connor's number nine
Speaker 5: in explosive run rate, number four in miss tackles force
Speaker 5: per attempt. It's again not a great matchup for him.
Speaker 5: The Steelers have an above average run defense. That'll be
Speaker 5: keying on Connor here because Kyler's not throwing well and
Speaker 5: all Kyler's weapons are hurt.
Speaker 2: So we'll give Connor a see.
Speaker 5: Moving over to the Steelers, Kenny Pickett of course, was
Speaker 5: charged to take a chance on me quarterback and j Bold, Yeah,
Speaker 5: I mean, just to add something to that, can you
Speaker 5: Picktt last week? Number two and highly accurate throw rate
Speaker 5: across the NFL's.
Speaker 3: Never a highly accurate passer you.
Speaker 5: Take take the shackles of Matt Canada off and maybe
Speaker 5: we've got something here.
Speaker 2: Naj Harris. I'm gonna give him a bee.
Speaker 5: Since Week seven, Naje Harris averaging sixteen touches per game
Speaker 5: seventy two total yards per game. He's also number four
Speaker 5: overall in the NFL in explosive run rate this year. Cardinals,
Speaker 5: as you guys know, miss a lot of tackles and
Speaker 5: they also allow a lot of explosive runs. To think
Speaker 5: capping Harris's value as always is sharing the usage and
Speaker 5: the red zone touches with Jalen Warren. Those red zone
Speaker 5: touches have been about divvid fifty to fifty, so you
Speaker 5: have to keep that in mind. But I'm giving him
Speaker 5: a bee. I'm also going to give Jalen Warren a b.
Speaker 5: Last four games for Jalen Warren, he's averaging fifteen touches
Speaker 5: per game and one hundred and eight total yards per game.
Speaker 5: Warren is number his top two in explosive run rate,
Speaker 5: misstackles force per at ten and yards after contact tempts
Speaker 5: now absolutely incredible when he's when he's been on the field.
Speaker 2: This is a good matchup for him.
Speaker 5: As I was mentioned when I was talking about Harris,
Speaker 5: but of course again Warren has to share the workload
Speaker 5: with Harris, so we're gonna get both those guys.
Speaker 4: A B.
Speaker 2: Deontay Johnson, he gets an A.
Speaker 5: Johnson has a twenty seven percent target share since he
Speaker 5: returned from injury in Week seven. He has a thirty
Speaker 5: one percent first read share against too high coverage. Since
Speaker 5: that time, Cardinals run a ton of.
Speaker 2: Too high safety coverage.
Speaker 5: Looks, the Cardinals have allowed the third highest points per reception,
Speaker 5: points per target. I'm sorry to perimeter wide receivers this season.
Speaker 5: I think this is a game where Johnson eats George Pickens.
Speaker 5: Not as good of a matchup for him. We're gonna
Speaker 5: give him a C. I was talking about the thing
Speaker 5: of how much too high the Cardinals run. Teams that
Speaker 5: run too high against the Steelers are able to take
Speaker 5: away the home runs the Pickens hits.
Speaker 2: He got more help deep. He can't. He can't do
Speaker 2: his deep ball game. It's not as viable against too deep.
Speaker 5: George Picks only has a fourteen percent target share versus
Speaker 5: that coverage since Deontay Johnson.
Speaker 4: Returned, So they don't even try it.
Speaker 5: They don't even try it. Yeah, because he can't use
Speaker 5: them to stretch it deep. So I think all the
Speaker 5: use is gonna get funneled that Johnson in this game.
Speaker 5: You can start pickings, of course with all the bye
Speaker 5: weeks if you need to, but only giving him a C.
Speaker 5: Pat Fryarmuth is the is the other guy with an
Speaker 5: awesome matchup. We're giving him an A. I think he's
Speaker 5: gonna feast this week, last two weeks last I'm sorry,
Speaker 5: last two games where Friarmuth played double high car against
Speaker 5: double high coverage forty seven percent air yard share.
Speaker 3: Oh, I like that.
Speaker 5: So they like to use him to use the space
Speaker 5: that they get in whatever finding those spots down this
Speaker 5: seam over the full season, because you know, you could
Speaker 5: be like, oh that's just two games, that's a small
Speaker 5: sample over the full season. Twenty five percent first read
Speaker 5: share versus too high for Pat Fryermuth. Very good matchup
Speaker 5: for him. We're giving him an A as well.
Speaker 3: Oh I like it.
Speaker 1: I think he's in my top three love receiver our
Speaker 1: tight ends for this week.
Speaker 4: Love it charge. We got a minute here? Can I
Speaker 4: talk about fantasy cars for a second? Is that okay? Oh?
Speaker 3: It would be great?
Speaker 4: Thanks, So fantasycares Fantasycares dot Org is a five oh
Speaker 4: one C three charity that I run, and we are
Speaker 4: having a twenty five days of Christmas giveaway thing. We're
Speaker 4: giving away signed memorabilia, memorabilia and SFB spots each day
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Speaker 4: and donate thirty dollars or more, you get entered in
Speaker 4: all twenty five days. Today we gave away a signed
Speaker 4: Lamar Jackson Jersey. We're giving aways sign.
Speaker 3: Time by him.
Speaker 4: Yep. Oh okay, well yep, that makes it better. Yeah, yeah,
Speaker 4: I didn't sign it, but yeah I could have you
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Speaker 1: And you get entered into every day, all of them,
Speaker 1: all twenty five days.
Speaker 4: Yep.
Speaker 3: Hear to Christmas, Yep, absolutely love it.
Speaker 2: Christmas celebration. Love to see it.
Speaker 3: Yeah, go in something that's a great it's a great call.
Speaker 1: Obviously, Fantasycaars dot org is the destination website to go
Speaker 1: to for more information on that. I love it, fantastic.
Speaker 1: Thank you for doing that, and we encourage people to
Speaker 1: do that. You mentioned Deontay Johnson. Did you guys see
Speaker 1: him watch the.
Speaker 4: Watching just not even care? Yeah, that was bad man.
Speaker 2: I had a ton of effort there.
Speaker 4: That'd be zero between Claypool and Brown and Mike Wallace
Speaker 4: had some time. They've had some interesting people.
Speaker 1: They really haven't day pickings go into social media like
Speaker 1: you went out of the team and the whole thing's
Speaker 1: been pretty diseased over there. That wide receiver room for sure,
Speaker 1: I don't know, but hopefully better days ahead without Matt
Speaker 1: Canada there. We'll find out our number two of Fantasy
Speaker 1: Football Weekly coming up next, including three tough questions see
Speaker 1: if you can go three and ozer with our panel
Speaker 1: of experts, and we can continue breaking down games for
Speaker 1: the next hour as well. Stay tuned everybody our number
Speaker 1: two Fantasy Football Weekly. Paul Charge and Scott Fish throw
Speaker 1: Nystrom with you. This is a game we like to
Speaker 1: call three tough questions.
Speaker 3: Tough question number one rest of season.
Speaker 1: New Indianapolis starting running back Zach Moss will be a
Speaker 1: RB one an RB two flex or bench.
Speaker 3: We begin with Scottfish first.
Speaker 4: I can't wait until Tank Bigsby goes to another team
Speaker 4: and is behind the stud runny back.
Speaker 3: I was eventually right on Zach Moss. It just took
Speaker 3: us three years to get there.
Speaker 4: Yes, that's all. That's all it is. It feels like
Speaker 4: we're that way a lot though. We call sleepers out
Speaker 4: and then it takes several more weeks or maybe a
Speaker 4: year or two. We are Look, we're usually early. We
Speaker 4: always want.
Speaker 1: The young guys to do good fast, and we don't
Speaker 1: have the patients that the teams that acquired the players.
Speaker 4: Yeah usually yeah.
Speaker 2: Uh.
Speaker 4: Here are where? Here are where Zach Moss? Here is
Speaker 4: where Zach Moss landed in the five games he played
Speaker 4: where either Taylor missed or he was limited getting back
Speaker 4: to action. This is the grades he would have had
Speaker 4: based on his stats A A, C, A B. That's
Speaker 4: that's how I feel he would have landed stat wise.
Speaker 4: I don't remember how we would have graded him or
Speaker 4: how we did grade him at the time, but his
Speaker 4: remaining matchups through the Fantasy playoffs, I would say our
Speaker 4: ballpark three middle ones, one bad one good one, good one,
Speaker 4: and even the matchup that's that's a bad one. They allowed.
Speaker 4: They allow a lot of volume to back, so volume
Speaker 4: season play, I think RB two seems like a lock.
Speaker 4: He could get to a low end RB one for me.
Speaker 4: Given the fact that that that team averages well over
Speaker 4: twenty touches for their lead back, I think I'm gonna
Speaker 4: say low end RB one is very in play here.
Speaker 4: So RB one, RB one, I'm gonna do it. Sure,
Speaker 4: let's get bold the.
Speaker 1: Rest of season. New Indianapolis starting running back Zack Bass
Speaker 1: will be in RB one, RB two flex or bench
Speaker 1: RB one for me.
Speaker 5: Jonathan Taylor probably out three weeks. They say two to
Speaker 5: three weeks, but it's not going to be two. Probably
Speaker 5: gonna be three weeks. We're already in week thirteen, so
Speaker 5: that's thirteen, fourteen, fifteen, So maybe Taylor comes back sixteen.
Speaker 4: And we saw what happened when Taylor came back limited early,
Speaker 4: you know exactly.
Speaker 5: So yeah, and Moss gets the Legiti bell call usage
Speaker 5: when Taylor's out, Like we were talking about before, and
Speaker 5: like Scott was just talking about, I think you have
Speaker 5: to consider him an RB one these next three weeks.
Speaker 1: Colts appear to be in the mix for a wild
Speaker 1: card and we'll play it in the end of the
Speaker 1: year and try to win, which I think is a
Speaker 1: factor in all of this. And you guys hit on
Speaker 1: most of my key talking points here. He's going to
Speaker 1: get a workhorse level of carries while Taylor's out. Now,
Speaker 1: I do I disagree that now with Taylor coming back
Speaker 1: fully presumably fully healthy and not with a leg injury, yeah,
Speaker 1: handed your I think right.
Speaker 4: Back, absolutely, I do think back once.
Speaker 1: He comes back, probably the timetable is probably gonna be
Speaker 1: three weeks. So I can't give an I can't give
Speaker 1: him an RB one grade when he might be a
Speaker 1: bench guy in weeks fifteen, sixteen, seventeen at So yeah,
Speaker 1: you know, that's just not you know, I think it's
Speaker 1: going to be. And by the way, and Thorn and
Speaker 1: I disagree a little bit about this. I think this
Speaker 1: is a tougher match up against Tennessee than Thorn does this.
Speaker 1: I think this is a tricky one. So I've got
Speaker 1: the correct answer RB two.
Speaker 2: Tough question number two.
Speaker 1: All right, it sabotage drops HeSE We've done sabotage questions
Speaker 1: three straight shows, and you build the deal In this
Speaker 1: you have to drop a brand name player that is
Speaker 1: good enough that your opponents will pick them up and
Speaker 1: start them and hurt themselves by doing so.
Speaker 3: It is a very difficult move to get correct. Should
Speaker 3: you sabotage drop Gus Edwards we go to thorn Ice
Speaker 3: from first.
Speaker 5: No for me, because if Kethon Mitchell gets hurt, it's
Speaker 5: the Zach Moss corollary all over again. The Ravens don't
Speaker 5: have anyone else play, so then Gus Boss would become
Speaker 5: the heavy belcow usage guy the rest of the season.
Speaker 5: So for that reason alone, I think you have to
Speaker 5: keep him on your roster.
Speaker 4: Scott, Yeah, so I'm gonna go injury agnostic here the
Speaker 4: old Bob Harris quote of not playing time, not count
Speaker 4: on injuries, not play towards injuries, And I'm gonna say, yes,
Speaker 4: he's We've seen his snaps go down more of a
Speaker 4: three headed mach monster. Now, Mitchell gained the start, by
Speaker 4: the way, Mitchell was one of my prespects before it
Speaker 4: was cool when he was on IR. I remember that again,
Speaker 4: way too early. Yeah, Gus was fourth in and running
Speaker 4: back snaps. Last week. He scored in five straight, but
Speaker 4: he lost that work. The last game, he has no
Speaker 4: pass game work. His yardage totals, even in those touchdown
Speaker 4: games were between forty and sixty five yards. So if
Speaker 4: he doesn't score, he doesn't get it. I think the
Speaker 4: hope here is sabotage drop him. Someone spends it on him,
Speaker 4: and he doesn't score, and then then it's a bust
Speaker 4: of a game.
Speaker 1: Dropping the guy with the third most rush touchdowns sounds insane,
Speaker 1: and maybe it is, or maybe it's just crazy enough
Speaker 1: to work. Touchdown dependent players are good candidates for this.
Speaker 1: In the fantasy playoffs, you need to get three straight wins. Yeah,
Speaker 1: can you count on a touchdown dependent player to not
Speaker 1: dud in any of those three?
Speaker 3: Probably not. Now he's averaging just nine.
Speaker 1: Carries the past two weeks, and as Scott mentioned, he
Speaker 1: does not catch. Let's go to the schedule, and here's
Speaker 1: the clincher. By this week, then Rams after that, they
Speaker 1: give up the seventh fewest rushing touchdowns Jacksonville after that,
Speaker 1: the second fewest rushing touchdowns Niners after that, seventh fewest
Speaker 1: rushing touchdowns Miami after that, twelfth fewest rushing touchdowns. If
Speaker 1: he doesn't give you touchdowns, you get nothing out of
Speaker 1: Gus Edwards sabotage drop boom.
Speaker 2: Yeah, tough question number three.
Speaker 1: All right, for the second consecutive week, I have a
Speaker 1: conundrum in my Empire League, this time involving my own
Speaker 1: rebuilding team. Rosters are only fourteen players. I love short
Speaker 1: roster Dynasty Empire leagues. I love them five my players
Speaker 1: out of the fourteen around by which is a common
Speaker 1: team's off right. But the other problem I got I
Speaker 1: have three more that are unlikely to play due to injury,
Speaker 1: so that gives me eight of my fourteen not available
Speaker 1: to me. I can't field a full lineup without dropping somebody.
Speaker 1: That's part of my long term rebuild. Right should I
Speaker 1: be required to drop somebody off of my rebuilding Empire
Speaker 1: League team.
Speaker 3: To help ensure that I field a full lineup? Scott?
Speaker 3: This is right in your wheelhouse?
Speaker 4: Well say, I mean it's the same my borderline. The
Speaker 4: same answer I gave last week about having by week
Speaker 4: or injured players in your lineup for tanking. I feel
Speaker 4: the unwritten rule is fielding a valid starting lineup.
Speaker 3: What if I don't have a valid starting lineup, you got.
Speaker 4: To make it work. That's why you like short benches
Speaker 4: is because you have to make the hard decisions. That's
Speaker 4: the entire reason you like this short bench is because
Speaker 4: there's players on waivers and you have to make the
Speaker 4: hard decisions. I will say, in my leagues, we have
Speaker 4: really large IRS to allow for players that are out.
Speaker 4: We uh, I allow things like this, but if it's
Speaker 4: not explicitly stated in the rules, generally, I say, you
Speaker 4: should be filling out your full lineup and if you
Speaker 4: have to desision.
Speaker 1: Yeah, but let me be clear about this, because I
Speaker 1: don't think you're giving the ans. It's not that you're
Speaker 1: not giving the answer I want. It's that you're not
Speaker 1: giving an answer that addresses this. Okay, I don't have
Speaker 1: the option to move to anybody to IR. Yeah, I
Speaker 1: got players who are out, like Chrystal Lave ruled out.
Speaker 1: He's not an IR, but he's not going to play.
Speaker 1: I don't I would have to drop a You're not
Speaker 1: dropping a Lave.
Speaker 3: I'm not dropping Chris.
Speaker 4: You're fourteenth player on the roster though, right different.
Speaker 1: So, but you're saying even though these aren't players that
Speaker 1: are out, these are just players who are hurt. I
Speaker 1: would have to drop somebody.
Speaker 4: Yeah, probably.
Speaker 3: Okay, So you're saying you have to make it.
Speaker 1: It sucks some position, yeah, and go try to cobble
Speaker 1: together with Yeah.
Speaker 4: I generally play in leagues where you you fix around that.
Speaker 4: But if it's not staying the bilossie.
Speaker 1: Now, this is different than last week's question about a
Speaker 1: guy who's tanking.
Speaker 3: He he was starting. Jeff Wilson is over.
Speaker 4: Jet, slippery slope.
Speaker 3: I don't have anybody to play, right, all right.
Speaker 4: I could argue that guy could be somewhere on a
Speaker 4: radio podcast arguing that you're tanking by by.
Speaker 3: By not having Crystal Lobby play through a concussion. I'm tanking,
Speaker 3: that's true, all right.
Speaker 1: Thor I can't feel the full lineup without dropping somebody
Speaker 1: who's part of my long term rebuild.
Speaker 3: Should I be required to make a drop?
Speaker 5: Well, this isn't going to change my my answer at all,
Speaker 5: but I do have a clarifying question. Is this this
Speaker 5: about etiquette or is this about conforming to the league rule?
Speaker 3: The buyer is no league rule? Okay on this subject?
Speaker 5: Well, either way, my answer is no, you should not
Speaker 5: be required to drop someone. And you bought the ticket,
Speaker 5: you get to take the ride field the lineup you want,
Speaker 5: you want.
Speaker 2: You're not openly tanking here. This is just a contextual problem.
Speaker 5: I don't think you should be saddled with a penalty
Speaker 5: because of circumstances, particularly in a rebuild, if your opponents
Speaker 5: don't like it, whatever.
Speaker 1: That's kind of That's where I am on this, is
Speaker 1: that I'm not doing it intentionally. I'm not trying to lose.
Speaker 1: I just happen to have fallen into us.
Speaker 4: I think that's if I think that's your argument. I
Speaker 4: think that's your argument to the league, is that it's
Speaker 4: not intentional.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm not trying to lose it, but I'm probably
Speaker 1: going to lose if I have to start Chrystal Lave
Speaker 1: my starting lie.
Speaker 5: Who are some of these guys we're talking about that
Speaker 5: you would have to drop, you know, like guys that
Speaker 5: are important to the long term rebuild. Well, okay, I
Speaker 5: mean granted, because we want to know if you're going
Speaker 5: to get in hot water because it's you know, someone
Speaker 5: who's borderline.
Speaker 3: Let me look here.
Speaker 1: One of them, my worst guy and the guy that
Speaker 1: I would end up dropping is.
Speaker 3: Well, no, I have to start him. It would have
Speaker 3: to be.
Speaker 1: Rashichi Heat. You don't have to be Rashii Heat would
Speaker 1: be the guy'd have to drop.
Speaker 2: No, we can't.
Speaker 4: I want to drop.
Speaker 2: Got to keep right.
Speaker 4: So is this the long term empire?
Speaker 3: Yes?
Speaker 1: Okay, yeah in an empire leaguef you don't know is
Speaker 1: an it's a dynasty league.
Speaker 2: Ye.
Speaker 1: Yeah, So I'm not dropping t Higgins. I'm not dropping
Speaker 1: I don't want to drop Rashiki Heat and I don't
Speaker 1: want to drop Chrysal And you shouldn't be forced to.
Speaker 1: I shouldn't be forced to. This is not tanking. This
Speaker 1: is just the circumstance that fell onto my roster this week.
Speaker 2: That's it, all right.
Speaker 4: It also very much affects the team you're playing against
Speaker 4: with potential playoff seedings.
Speaker 3: That's I know. I don't like that part. Ye, but
Speaker 3: I'm not you know, but I'm not.
Speaker 4: I know. That's the league integrity part that that comes
Speaker 4: into play.
Speaker 3: Let's go to the Panthers taking on the butts of Bucks. Well.
Speaker 1: Defense is playing like butt right now. Panthers cannot lie. Yeah,
Speaker 1: let's let's go to the Panthers side of this.
Speaker 4: Yeah, they're really well. I love Adam.
Speaker 3: I think Adam Field's going to bounce back from last
Speaker 3: week's bad game.
Speaker 4: I do too. And it's a completely new coaching staff,
Speaker 4: so we don't even know what to expect from that.
Speaker 4: I do have Bryce Young on the bench. We kind
Speaker 4: of went over last week that the players that have
Speaker 4: tagged the Bucks that make their pass ranks so bad
Speaker 4: have been good quarterbacks. I don't know that I put
Speaker 4: Bryce Young there yet in his career, so I have
Speaker 4: him on the bench, even in a good spot. But
Speaker 4: I do have Adam Thielen with a C grade Bucks
Speaker 4: along the second most fantasy points to the slot where
Speaker 4: he lines up like eighty percent of the time, eighty
Speaker 4: seven percent of the time or something like that. This year.
Speaker 4: Just a ridiculous amount dud last week, but twenty one
Speaker 4: targets in the prior to mentioned different coaching staff, so
Speaker 4: we don't know. They may just lean on their best
Speaker 4: best weapon. But Bucks are bottom ten in yards and
Speaker 4: receptions to wide receivers. It's it's a great spot. I
Speaker 4: just a great spot. I'm just I only have to
Speaker 4: see because I really don't know how they're going to
Speaker 4: use him. We've seen duds recently.
Speaker 3: Number one and different.
Speaker 1: Coaching tight ends are out in this game. Hurst and
Speaker 1: Tremble are out. I'm telling you, Pep, they're gonna Piper Island.
Speaker 4: I know a lot of people have Jonathan Mingo as
Speaker 4: after last week, but Jonathan Mingo is a sleeper for
Speaker 4: this week. I have him on the bench. But again,
Speaker 4: it's a decent matchup, all right, We'll see if Bryce
Speaker 4: Young can support that much. I have Chuba Hubbard here
Speaker 4: with a C grade. By the numbers, this is the
Speaker 4: fifth hardest spot for runners, and a big part of
Speaker 4: it is they're only allowing twenty four touches per game
Speaker 4: to Bax because everybody passes against the Bucks. Jonathan Taylor
Speaker 4: and Christian mccaffley just walloped them. But that's those two.
Speaker 4: It's gonna be a volume C on a guy getting
Speaker 4: twelve to twenty touches per game or less, you know,
Speaker 4: x amount of games since even since Miles Sanders came back.
Speaker 4: Two to five of those are catches. That's where he's
Speaker 4: really going to make up the work and get to
Speaker 4: that volume C. Is with that the pass catching over
Speaker 4: on the Tampa Bay side in the past game. I
Speaker 4: do have Baker Mayfield on the bench. The Panthers have
Speaker 4: owned only allowed four quarterbacks to even surpassed two hundred
Speaker 4: yards this season, and none since Week six. Dak had
Speaker 4: one hundred and eighty nine, Stroud had one hundred and forty.
Speaker 4: So if you're expecting Baker Mayfield to substantially perform those
Speaker 4: two and that both of those are pretty recent. So
Speaker 4: teams run on Carolina because they're terrible against the run,
Speaker 4: they don't pass. I do have a B grade on
Speaker 4: Mike Evans. It's possible for a couple receivers to do
Speaker 4: okay even if Baker isn't startable. Evans has scored in
Speaker 4: eight games this year, including five to the last six.
Speaker 4: We keep talking about that forty percent end zone target share,
Speaker 4: that's just it's now up to forty three percent after
Speaker 4: last week it even moved up and he's actually second
Speaker 4: in the NFL, which is which is pretty crazy. The
Speaker 4: guy above him, Aj Brown, fifty two percent end zoned
Speaker 4: target share. Half the time when Jalen Hurts throws it
Speaker 4: into the end zone, it's going to him. That's insane.
Speaker 4: Be on Mike Evans. If Chris Godwin goes, I don't
Speaker 4: know that he's gonna go. If he goes, I'm still
Speaker 4: giving him a C because he's seen six plus targets.
Speaker 4: His floor is that seven to ten PPR range, but
Speaker 4: no second receivers top sixty five yards since week six,
Speaker 4: and only one of them scored. It's a C grade,
Speaker 4: but if he doesn't go, he's here on the bench.
Speaker 4: A grade for Rashad White, however, against the Carolina Panthers,
Speaker 4: I love this match. You could go a Fonsie, you
Speaker 4: could go in Ardvark, whatever you want. It's the third
Speaker 4: easiest matchup for opposing backs. They've allowed the most rushing touchdowns,
Speaker 4: bottom five yards per carry and bottom five in yards allowed.
Speaker 4: White averaging eighteen touches, four of those being catches, so
Speaker 4: he gets work there too. He's just a bel cow
Speaker 4: in a great matchup.
Speaker 1: All right, four brownstaking on the Rams. You already told
Speaker 1: us see like Elijah Moore is, Joe Flacco takes the
Speaker 1: helm of there. I assume then that Amari Cooper's in
Speaker 1: play here as well.
Speaker 5: Absolutely yeah, we're gonna give Cooper a B. He's got
Speaker 5: a twenty seven percent first read share. But since week seven,
Speaker 5: the Rams have allowed the pretty decent matchup here. Rams
Speaker 5: allowed the tenth most PPR points per target and receiving
Speaker 5: yards per game to perimeter wide receivers. Cooper can be
Speaker 5: started with confidence. Regardless of quarterback. Even though Joe Flacco
Speaker 5: has been pulled from the retirement home to start this one, Flackaw,
Speaker 5: you're keeping on the bench Jerome Ford, I'm gonna give
Speaker 5: him a ce. He's played sixty four percent or more
Speaker 5: of snaps in three of the last four games. In
Speaker 5: those three where he locked sixty four percent or more,
Speaker 5: Ford average nineteen touches and eighty eight total yards per game.
Speaker 5: Usage is going to be their Kareem Hunt status up
Speaker 5: in the air with a groin issue. But it is
Speaker 5: a tough matchup here. Charge you were mentioning how the
Speaker 5: Rams suppress the touchdowns of the opposing running backs, the
Speaker 5: Rams have also allowed the lowest explosive run rate and
Speaker 5: the lowest yards after contact per attempt week seven, so
Speaker 5: that run defense is playing pretty well. More of course,
Speaker 5: was might take a chance on me wide receiver David
Speaker 5: and Joku. Is that we've talked about some tight end
Speaker 5: issues on the one side.
Speaker 2: Other tight ends that we love.
Speaker 5: I love in Djoku since Week seven, and Djoku's number
Speaker 5: four in target share and number five in first read
Speaker 5: share with twenty eight percent. He's tight end seven in
Speaker 5: Fantasy points per game since then, and Get this, twelve
Speaker 5: red zone targets over that span since Week seven. This
Speaker 5: is also a very good matchup for Ndjoku. The Rams
Speaker 5: allow the second highest yards per route run to opposing
Speaker 5: tight ends. Moving over to the Rams. Matthew Stafford the
Speaker 5: aforementioned four touchdown game last time out. I don't think
Speaker 5: he's gonna get there again this week. I'm gonna give
Speaker 5: him a se That was only his second multi pass
Speaker 5: touchdown game of this season. He doesn't look fully healthy
Speaker 5: and this is a tough matchup against a good Browns
Speaker 5: pass defense this week. Pooka Nakua, my boy, I have
Speaker 5: to give him a greade, a even over the I'm
Speaker 5: giving Pooka an a even over the four games with
Speaker 5: Cooper Cupback. Get this stat, Pokinnakua twenty one percent designed
Speaker 5: look play percentage in those games with Cooper cutback. Cooper
Speaker 5: cups percentage of those per so they are still funneling
Speaker 5: all the usage of Puka. He He's the Duty's the
Speaker 5: straw that stirs the drink and everything. The Browns played
Speaker 5: the highest percentage of single high in the entire NFL.
Speaker 5: Guess who torches single high coverage, Mister Poka Nakua three
Speaker 5: point three yards per route run in his four career
Speaker 5: games against single high coverage. I realized that's a small sample,
Speaker 5: but he's been lighting up coverage looks like this Cooper Cup.
Speaker 5: I can only give him a see He's played eighty
Speaker 5: four percent or more of snaps in the four games back,
Speaker 5: but has averaged only twenty nine receiving yards per game
Speaker 5: in those four Cup has only two red zone targets
Speaker 5: over his last five games played. The Browns have allowed
Speaker 5: the eleventh fewest PPR points per targets to opposing slots.
Speaker 5: And again, they're not the design plays and everything like that.
Speaker 5: The first reads that's all going to Puka, not Cup.
Speaker 5: So we're gonna give him a Tyler Higbee. You got
Speaker 5: to keep on the bench. He's been targeted more than
Speaker 5: three times, only one time since Week four, going all
Speaker 5: the way back to September Kyron Williams, though, we're gonna
Speaker 5: give him an a Brian's Boy. Shout out to Brian
Speaker 5: Kien's return to his bell cow status last week against
Speaker 5: the Cardinals. Twenty two touches, two hundred four total yards,
Speaker 5: two touchdowns. This is I was mentioned in this before
Speaker 5: about how the Browns. They still have the really good
Speaker 5: pass defense, but the run defense has regress sort of
Speaker 5: under the surface a little bit. Browns have allowed the
Speaker 5: Browns have allowed the highest explosive run rate in the
Speaker 5: entire NFL since Week seven.
Speaker 4: Wow.
Speaker 5: Yeah, so a little bit of regression there. Williams could
Speaker 5: absolutely be a top three fantasy running back this week.
Speaker 5: And because of the matchup, that was why Royce Freeman
Speaker 5: was might take a chance on me running back. I
Speaker 5: think that's worth looking into as well.
Speaker 1: All right, when we come back, we'll talk about the
Speaker 1: Broncos surging defense kicking on the Texans.
Speaker 3: Can you start CJ Stroud.
Speaker 1: This passing game against suddenly solid Broncos not even suddenly
Speaker 1: even good for a while. We'll talk that through when
Speaker 1: we come back Fantasy Football Weekly. Welcome back Fantasy Football Weekly,
Speaker 1: Paul Church and Scott fish Thor and Eystrom. You can
Speaker 1: check out all my play rankings available at Guillotine leagues
Speaker 1: dot Com and in the Guillotine Leagues app as well.
Speaker 4: Man, I'm still not over your third tough question charge,
Speaker 4: Like I know for me, I am such team owners
Speaker 4: should be able to manage their teams however they want,
Speaker 4: like That's that's how I generally feel about things. So,
Speaker 4: like you your question, it makes me feel things just
Speaker 4: all over, like on both sides of the fence. I
Speaker 4: see all the angles. I'm like, oh, I hate that.
Speaker 4: I know this is a heat that spot spot right now,
Speaker 4: I hate that spot.
Speaker 3: I don't like it.
Speaker 1: Yeah, you know what I do like is Broncos taking
Speaker 1: on Texans. We're gonna have a nice opportunity for Javonte
Speaker 1: Williams here. I don't know how a guy who's really
Speaker 1: the focal point of his offense like Javonte Williams is
Speaker 1: has no rushing touchdowns.
Speaker 3: It's weird.
Speaker 1: Week thirteen, still looking for his first touchdown. Sneaky, tough
Speaker 1: matchup against Houston. They're giving up sixty nine rushing yards
Speaker 1: per game to running backs.
Speaker 3: That's very little. Over the last month.
Speaker 1: Houston's allowed the fourth highest has the fourth highest run
Speaker 1: stuff win rate.
Speaker 3: Well, that's bad news too.
Speaker 1: Williams lightly involved in the passing game and Houston's a
Speaker 1: neutral matchup there anyway, so I don't think he's going
Speaker 1: to help out that much there. I can only get
Speaker 1: you to a B grade and it's on volume. But
Speaker 1: it feels like more like a c opportunity for Javonte Williams.
Speaker 1: I'd like to tell you this is going to break
Speaker 1: his maiden for the season on the I hope, though
Speaker 1: I don't know if it's gonna happen here passing game,
Speaker 1: I only got two starters for you. Let's start with
Speaker 1: Courtland Sutton. He's a touchdown dependent receiver.
Speaker 4: But he scores a lot.
Speaker 1: He does score a lot, but you know it doesn't
Speaker 1: give up a lot. Houston giving up the second fewest
Speaker 1: wide out touchdowns. So if Houston plays like they normally
Speaker 1: do and Sutton doesn't score, he doesn't leave you with much. Now,
Speaker 1: in fairness, he's scored in five to six games. The
Speaker 1: passer rating for Russell Wilson when Sutton is targeted one
Speaker 1: hundred and thirty two really impressive. It's the highest mark
Speaker 1: among all wide receivers with at least fifteen fifty targets
Speaker 1: this year. So still starting Courtland Sutton here, but danger
Speaker 1: factor definitely in play.
Speaker 4: Also, he's one of the above forty percent end zone
Speaker 4: target guys.
Speaker 3: Which wouldn't surprise him now.
Speaker 1: Russell Wilson c grade here fantasy output is really capped
Speaker 1: by his low passing volume.
Speaker 3: Just twenty nine pass attempts per game.
Speaker 1: Houston secondary has been more vulnerable lately with Joe Burrow
Speaker 1: and Trevor Lawrence posting big recent games, but those quarterbacks
Speaker 1: he's also averaged thirty nine pass attempts. That's obviously well
Speaker 1: over Wilson's so with Wilson in fact, hasn't even hit
Speaker 1: thirty nine all year. He's thrown touchdowns in every game
Speaker 1: to Russe's credit, but just one touchdown in half of
Speaker 1: his games. And it's worth mentioning the Texans have surrendered
Speaker 1: the most quarterback rushing touchdowns, and Wilson's rush for at
Speaker 1: least thirty yards in five of the last seven games,
Speaker 1: so he might help you a little bit on the
Speaker 1: ground here as well. Just the C grade on Russell
Speaker 1: Wilson and Jerry Judy doesn't even deserve discussion. In a
Speaker 1: tough matchup, not saying it's impossible that he will score,
Speaker 1: but I'm not taking him against an above average pass defense.
Speaker 1: Let's go to the Houston side. I don't want to
Speaker 1: begin with I think I'll begin with the running game.
Speaker 1: I already told you Damian Pierce's might take a chance
Speaker 1: on me runners, So I like the guy who's gonna
Speaker 1: get more work a lot more Devin Sanitary. The return
Speaker 1: of Damian Pierced daggered Singletary's usage and snaps last week.
Speaker 1: But this is such a good matchup you have to
Speaker 1: consider Singletary again here, Broncos. As I mentioned, I'll reiterate
Speaker 1: some of the key points averaging one hundred and forty
Speaker 1: rushing yards per game against Singletary on you usually active
Speaker 1: in the passing game last week and if that could
Speaker 1: if that does continue, that would be helpful here. Denver
Speaker 1: dead last and run stuff WI win rate twenty ninth
Speaker 1: and run defense by Pro Football Focus.
Speaker 3: Singletary comes in with a B grade in this game
Speaker 3: passing game.
Speaker 4: C J.
Speaker 3: Stroud with a B grade.
Speaker 1: Denver's turned into one of the tougher passing matchups over
Speaker 1: the last seven games. The Broncos have allowed multiple passing
Speaker 1: touchdowns one time, and that came in Week seven when
Speaker 1: Jordan Love only managed one hundred and eighty yards but
Speaker 1: got two touchdowns. During that same seven game stretch, Denver
Speaker 1: also allowing just two hundred and sixteen passing yards while
Speaker 1: averaging more than an interception per game. They've been very good,
Speaker 1: but so is CJ. Stroud and on volume and on
Speaker 1: just ability. I can't get him worse than a B.
Speaker 1: It feels like a C game coming. But man, he's
Speaker 1: just Stroud is just so hot right now. I can't
Speaker 1: get myself to do it emotionally. I'm keeping him out
Speaker 1: a B grade. Nico Collins and Tank Dell also coming
Speaker 1: in on B grades. Let's start with the Nico side
Speaker 1: of this. For him, back to back games with seven catches,
Speaker 1: He's coming off a one hundred yard game with a score,
Speaker 1: and over the last four weeks his eight red zone
Speaker 1: targets is second only to Ceedee Lamb. For Tank Dell,
Speaker 1: he's scored five times in his last four games, and
Speaker 1: he's got two one hundred yard games in that span.
Speaker 3: But now all the bad news for these guys.
Speaker 1: The Barcos secondary has allowed the fourth fewest receptions to
Speaker 1: opposing receivers, and the matchup on the outside that's both
Speaker 1: Dell and Collins primarily against Patrick's curtain is not good.
Speaker 1: He's allowing twenty five scoreless yards per game in his
Speaker 1: last month, and opposite certain Fabian Moreau is surging right now,
Speaker 1: allowing less than fifty six yards in his coverage in
Speaker 1: every single game this year, so tough matchups. I still
Speaker 1: am cautiously optimistic about Stroud, Collins, Dell, but they're tricky
Speaker 1: spots here and then Dalton Schultz. Denver's allowed at least
Speaker 1: fifty yards and a touchdown to tight ends in each
Speaker 1: of the last three weeks. Linebacker Josie Jewel allows one
Speaker 1: yard per route cover and Schultz is tied for fifth
Speaker 1: and red zone targets among tight ends. He's got an
Speaker 1: opportunity here, dud game last week. Better chance here, ce
Speaker 1: grade for Dalton sltz.
Speaker 3: All right, next matchup, let's do it.
Speaker 1: Forty nine ers taking on the Eagles. Yeah, his game
Speaker 1: of the week for sure in this one. Every Eagles
Speaker 1: game is game of the week.
Speaker 3: They are in. They are in the fourth of five
Speaker 3: crazy difficult games.
Speaker 4: Not not Eagles pats. Right, didn't that get demoted from
Speaker 4: like a Sunday demoted? They're like Eagles, You're awesome. But
Speaker 4: if we have to watch the paths, we're gonna move,
Speaker 4: that's right. Uh yeah, So in the Eagles paths are
Speaker 4: the foreign nine ers on the fortyniners passing side. Brock
Speaker 4: pretty was my super super choky take a chance on me.
Speaker 4: Players it's fairly Truecky, it was chocky. Go start Trevor
Speaker 4: Lawrence then if you if you're worried about it. Uh,
Speaker 4: Brendan Ayuk, I have an A grade on nineteen different
Speaker 4: receivers in eleven games have had one hundred plus yards
Speaker 4: and or scored on the Eagles. Yeah, that usually means
Speaker 4: two or more a game has scored in three straight
Speaker 4: Brandon ayukas I got a B grade on Deebo Samuel
Speaker 4: over the last three weeks, Debos averaging seven point three
Speaker 4: touches for seventy three yards. That's generally good for a
Speaker 4: C grade right there. But this is an awesome matchup
Speaker 4: as I just mentioned, and he's scored in two of
Speaker 4: his last three. Deebo's target share jumps eight percent versus
Speaker 4: zone Ayux drops ten percent, so naturally they rise with
Speaker 4: the other the other way around. This matchup, the Egos
Speaker 4: play man at the thirteenth highest rate rate, so it
Speaker 4: might be a little bit more of an AUK game here.
Speaker 4: And another thing with Deebo is he needs to do
Speaker 4: twice the work just to get Ayuk's stats, because Auk
Speaker 4: has twice the A dot two and a half times
Speaker 4: the end zone targets two and a half times the
Speaker 4: air yards. Everything about aux targets are more valuable. So
Speaker 4: I have the A grade on Ayuk, the B grade
Speaker 4: on Deebo Samuel, A grade on George Kittle. Tight ends
Speaker 4: have scored in three less four against Eagles, and all
Speaker 4: but one target tight end to see target six targets scored,
Speaker 4: all ended up with a twelve top twelve finish as well.
Speaker 4: I feel like that's where Kittle's gonna land if he
Speaker 4: gets that kind of target volume here. Christian McCaffrey also
Speaker 4: in A grade. It's just it's Christian McCaffrey. Man.
Speaker 3: Yeah, you don't have to flick all. We're all starting
Speaker 3: Christian mccaffy.
Speaker 4: It's it's a Yeah. It's a tougher spot because teams
Speaker 4: pass on them, they don't run. But uh over on
Speaker 4: the Eagles side, Jalen Hurts A grade. It's a tough matchup.
Speaker 4: It should be a B for any other quarterback except
Speaker 4: for Jalen Hurts. For NAR's d leads the NFL in
Speaker 4: interceptions and allowing the third fewest passing touchdowns. But Jalen
Speaker 4: Hurts has had multi score games every single week since
Speaker 4: Week one, like that's just Jalen Hurts. A grade on
Speaker 4: AJ Brown, who appears to be matchup proof except for
Speaker 4: when he faces lagarious needed. Yes, that's how it's worked
Speaker 4: this year. Highest end zone target share in the league
Speaker 4: at fifty two percent, as we previously mentioned, averaging seven
Speaker 4: catches on ten targets for a ninety five yards per game.
Speaker 4: Just ridiculous stats there for AJ Brown this year. B
Speaker 4: grade on DeVonta Smith has had a bigger day in
Speaker 4: two straight games than AJ Brown, which seems a little
Speaker 4: crazy going back to last year Devanta Smith without Goddard,
Speaker 4: that data still tracks. We've mentioned a couple times this year.
Speaker 4: Without Goddard, Davonta Smith basically takes all that work and
Speaker 4: he has very fantasy viable work. That's not gonna that's
Speaker 4: gonna factor again this week. We'll see if Dallas Goddard
Speaker 4: is back next week though, it's where we want to,
Speaker 4: you know, start to pull back. B grade on DeAndre
Speaker 4: Swift getting fifteen plus touches every game since taking the
Speaker 4: starting job. In that Minnesota game where he exploded, usually
Speaker 4: gets a couple of catches. I will say the forty
Speaker 4: nine ers only give twenty one running back touches per game,
Speaker 4: but luckily Swift gets almost all of it. So it's
Speaker 4: it's not the greatest spot. It's the kind of middle
Speaker 4: of the pack spot, actually a lower spot in San
Speaker 4: Francisco's top ten in a lot of categories. It's it's
Speaker 4: a B grade here. Yep, fine, that's it. Yeah, that's it.
Speaker 4: I was gonna I was gonna go on, but the
Speaker 4: music started playing. But yeah, five five of the last
Speaker 4: seven lead backs have scored, so I think there's a
Speaker 4: chance for that, and he's gonna get more opportunities in
Speaker 4: a good offense. So that's why he gets a B
Speaker 4: as opposed to a lot of the other running backs
Speaker 4: that San Francisco's had a good job stopping.
Speaker 3: Yeah.
Speaker 1: The catch, of course on touchdowns for DeAndre Swift is
Speaker 1: this quarterback todown. Yeah, yeah, that's you know, that's the problem.
Speaker 4: I also feel this game is gonna be gamescript is
Speaker 4: going to be closer. Philly's blown out a lot of teams,
Speaker 4: so the running backs don't run in this game.
Speaker 3: He will when we come back.
Speaker 1: Final segment of the show, Premature Speculation, Our final premature
Speaker 1: speculation of the year. This is it your last chance
Speaker 1: to go unurge somebody nobody else in your league has.
Speaker 1: Find out who it is when we come back. Final
Speaker 1: segment Fantasy Football Weekly, Paul charge and Scott Fish Thorneistrom.
Speaker 1: You can follow us on Twitter Matt Paul Chargi and
Speaker 1: Scott is at Scott Fish twenty four yep, and thor
Speaker 1: Is at thor ku.
Speaker 3: You are rocketed right now, premature.
Speaker 1: Speculation, our last one of the year. Give me some
Speaker 1: guys that you'll want to pick up now that other people.
Speaker 3: Will be trying to pick up.
Speaker 4: Down the road, and they're already on your team, Scott.
Speaker 4: So this is the time of year where I generally say,
Speaker 4: go get back up running backs in case there's an injury.
Speaker 4: I'm just gonna say that straight out again. I've said
Speaker 4: it a few times. Get those backups. But also it's
Speaker 4: the time of year where we start to see rookie
Speaker 4: wide receivers get more action and start to break out
Speaker 4: a little bit. And at least one of these prespects
Speaker 4: here in this group is going to be a rookie
Speaker 4: wide receiver. I'm going with Jalen Hyatt, who kind of
Speaker 4: broke out in Week twelve and no one really talked
Speaker 4: about he wasn't on Waiverwayer articles he had five catches
Speaker 4: for one hundred plus day. Being on the Giants, they're
Speaker 4: gonna be behind in a lot of games. I can
Speaker 4: see him getting in a decent amount of targets in
Speaker 4: negative game scripts and working his way to that, you know,
Speaker 4: high high volume for the rest of the season.
Speaker 3: All right, you kind of convinced me on that. I
Speaker 3: like it. Thor your premature speculation.
Speaker 5: Player Broncos wide receiver Marvin Mimms. Love Marvin Mims. His
Speaker 5: playing time has been ticking up ever since Week ten,
Speaker 5: and it's not showing in his receiving numbers quite yet.
Speaker 5: I think it will down this stretch here. Marvin Mims
Speaker 5: was named AFC Special Teams Player of the Week a
Speaker 5: couple of weeks ago, so he has been playing pretty well.
Speaker 5: But you know, in terms of the receiving opportunity here,
Speaker 5: Jerry Judy has been terrible. Your Broncos tight ends haven't
Speaker 5: been producing. You have a golden opportunity set up for
Speaker 5: Marvin Mims down this stretch here because of the matchups
Speaker 5: playing the Texans, the Chargers twice, Lions, Patriots, Raiders sets
Speaker 5: up very well. Add him before this Texans game. Houston
Speaker 5: has allowed the most PPR points per target to boundary
Speaker 5: wide receivers since Week seven. Texans also run a lot
Speaker 5: of too high coverage schemes. Mims leads the Broncos in
Speaker 5: yards per route run and yards after catch versus too high.
Speaker 5: Big fan of Marvin Mims, go pick him up.
Speaker 1: You know, I was tempted to do any of a
Speaker 1: variety of running back handcuffs because, as Scott mentioned, this
Speaker 1: is handcuff season. This is when you want to have
Speaker 1: the backups to your your workhorse backs. And I was like,
Speaker 1: you know what I got a I've got a handcuff
Speaker 1: wide receiver.
Speaker 3: You might want to pick up.
Speaker 2: Now.
Speaker 1: You can ever bank on injury, but anything happens to
Speaker 1: Tyreek Hill or Jalen Waddle. Okay, Braxton Barrios is those guys.
Speaker 1: He's one of these short, fast, slippery receivers who would
Speaker 1: walk right into the same kind of game breaking role
Speaker 1: that those guys have because he's so stylistically sim more.
Speaker 1: You also, like Marvin Mims, you get some special team stuff.
Speaker 1: Who knows, maybe you get lucky. Maybe as a rare
Speaker 1: wide receiver, handcuff Braxton Burrios.
Speaker 3: Like Okay, I'm luke warm on it, but you never know.
Speaker 3: You know, if you're in a.
Speaker 4: Deep league watching with Trent sherfielder, who's the other guy.
Speaker 1: There, Cedric Wilson, maybe something like that. Chiefs take on
Speaker 1: the Packers on Sunday night. Now, Patrick Mahomes, usualy just
Speaker 1: go Patrick Mahomes. Travis Kelcey obviously is the play has
Speaker 1: just been just not the same zeal right that you
Speaker 1: know that we've had in the past from those guys.
Speaker 1: Mahomes is throwing exactly two touchdowns in each of his
Speaker 1: last three games, which is good, but it's not mahomesy
Speaker 1: and good. And he's only averaged two hundred and twenty
Speaker 1: passing yards per game. That's not even close to Patrick Mahomes.
Speaker 1: And here's Green Bay coming and despite injuries to it
Speaker 1: a Jayi Alexander and they trade away Rasul Douglas improbably
Speaker 1: the Packers allowing just two hundred and nineteen passing yards
Speaker 1: per game, just one point two passing touchdowns per game,
Speaker 1: that's it. So it's still a grade. I'm Patrick Mahomes,
Speaker 1: but not like the obvious a that we've had in
Speaker 1: the past, So still a grade. Travis Kelcey, same as Mahomes,
Speaker 1: still a grade, but just not quite dominating like he
Speaker 1: used to. Still best of all from Travis kelce One
Speaker 1: dud game all year, that's it, and that's huge for
Speaker 1: fantasy tight ends.
Speaker 3: Half what we're asking for us. Just don't kill me,
Speaker 3: you know, fantasy tight end.
Speaker 1: The Packers are middle of the pack tight end defense,
Speaker 1: but elite tight ends have had plenty of success against him,
Speaker 1: and they've only really seen three and it was Sam
Speaker 1: Laporta twice and TJ Hockinson. They averaged sixty four yards
Speaker 1: and two thirds of a touchdown. Travis Kelcey A grade.
Speaker 1: Now the very controversial Rashee Rice. Every time I step
Speaker 1: out on a limb for Rashi Rice because I see
Speaker 1: something last week that makes me go, ooh, this is it.
Speaker 1: We can count on Rashie Rice. Then I get burned.
Speaker 1: But I'm doing it again.
Speaker 4: Yes, b grade, I'm with you. I'm actually with you.
Speaker 1: Rice is scored in three of his last five games.
Speaker 1: He's rush off his first one hundred yard games. Mahomes
Speaker 1: has got a one hundred and twenty nine passer rating
Speaker 1: when he targets for Shee Rice. That's the third highest
Speaker 1: among all wide receivers he's had. Last week, he had
Speaker 1: a thirty one percent target share rate. That's the highest
Speaker 1: of his career by a mile. Maybe that's a sign
Speaker 1: of things to come. Now he lines up in the
Speaker 1: slot a lot that puts him up against the worst
Speaker 1: of the Packers cornerbacks, Keishawn Nixon, who allows an astronomical
Speaker 1: eighty percent catch rate. So I like Rashie Rice. Here,
Speaker 1: I'm going out on him again. He keeps burning me.
Speaker 1: But I'm trying to B grade. I'm Rashi Rice, Isaiah
Speaker 1: Pacheco B grade and almost an A grade. He's running
Speaker 1: with just tremendous intensity. I love him. Just just watch,
Speaker 1: you know, watching him run. Pajecko's averaged seventy rushing yards
Speaker 1: per game over his last three but he's run harder
Speaker 1: than that, and I think he's deserving of more than that.
Speaker 1: He saw five targets for only the second time last week,
Speaker 1: when he also scored a couple of touchdowns. Over the
Speaker 1: last three weeks, opposing running backs of averaged one hundred
Speaker 1: and twenty eight yards per game against Green Bay. That's great.
Speaker 1: He should get the majority of that one hundred and
Speaker 1: twenty eight yards. They've also given up three touchdowns to
Speaker 1: running backs in the last three games, so I think
Speaker 1: Pacheco finds the end zone here too, So I again
Speaker 1: almost an A grade, but we're going B grade Isaiah Pacheco.
Speaker 1: The Packers only have a couple of middling C grades
Speaker 1: to give you here. Let's start with aj Dillon. As
Speaker 1: I've mentioned many times before, just because Aaron Jones is
Speaker 1: out does not mean Dylan is going to do particularly well.
Speaker 1: In fact, usually he does not. In eight career games
Speaker 1: without Aaron Jones, Dylan averages forty four rushing yards. That's
Speaker 1: it as the starter, just three point seven yards per carry,
Speaker 1: and he's only chipping in thirteen receiving yards in those
Speaker 1: starting games as well. The Chiefs allow the second fewest
Speaker 1: receiving yards to running backs, so I don't think he's
Speaker 1: going to help you a lot here. Kansas City has
Speaker 1: allowed at least seventy five rushing yards and or a
Speaker 1: score to running backs in five straight so there is
Speaker 1: some opportunity. But Dylan's but a total dud in these
Speaker 1: situations before, and I can only get you to a
Speaker 1: C grade. Speaking of C grades, Jordan Love coming off
Speaker 1: two of the two best games yes for sure, but
Speaker 1: they came against two of the worst secondaries in the NFL,
Speaker 1: Chargers and Lions. This is a dramatically harder matchup. Since
Speaker 1: getting handled by Kirk Cousins in Week six, the Chiefs
Speaker 1: are allowing per game averages of just one hundred and
Speaker 1: seventy six passing yards and one point one passing touchdowns.
Speaker 3: That's it.
Speaker 1: Five of the past six quarterbacks have thrown zero or
Speaker 1: one touchdown against the Chiefs. I can only get you
Speaker 1: to the C grade until Jordan Loves proves that he's
Speaker 1: capable of beating a defense this good. Jaden Reid is
Speaker 1: questionable with the chest injury. Expected to go Sunday night.
Speaker 1: He's kind of a poor man's Deebo Samuel. He's getting
Speaker 1: some carries. He's seen five carries over the last two games.
Speaker 1: He's hit at least four receptions in his last three games,
Speaker 1: scoring in two of them. Over the last five weeks,
Speaker 1: Kansas City's allowed the fourth fewest receptions per game to receivers.
Speaker 1: So I don't love Reid here. He runs from the
Speaker 1: slot that puts him up against Trent McDuffie. He's a
Speaker 1: gambling cornerback who is willing to get burned. He's allowing
Speaker 1: a passer rating of one hundred and forty three over
Speaker 1: the last five weeks, so Reid is still startable, but
Speaker 1: this is a tough matchup. C grade for him. Christian
Speaker 1: Watson Romeo Dobbs also se grades. Number one cornerback Lagerius
Speaker 1: Sneed has been suffocating over his last five games, allowing
Speaker 1: just three catches for forty two yards per game on
Speaker 1: a fifty percent catch rate. But the catches Sneed normally
Speaker 1: tracks the opposing number one outside receiver, but it's not
Speaker 1: clear on whether that's Dobbs or if that's Christian Watson,
Speaker 1: or if he's gonna follow neither. Maybe just goes by
Speaker 1: scheme or goes by side of the field. So I've
Speaker 1: got a C grade on both guys, but honestly, I
Speaker 1: don't love either one. I prefer you don't have to
Speaker 1: start either one, because if Sneed goes on either one, it's.
Speaker 3: Game over for those guys.
Speaker 1: You can only hope that they would go up against
Speaker 1: Jalen Watson, the other cornerback instead. I don't like those
Speaker 1: odds in an important game with the playoffs looming. Se
Speaker 1: grades on those guys, but I prefer you don't have
Speaker 1: to start him. Our final matchup of the day is
Speaker 1: the Monday Nighter Bengals taking on the Jaguars. Thur on
Speaker 1: the Bengals side, Jake Browning really caps the upside for
Speaker 1: really this whole offense sure does.
Speaker 2: Yeah.
Speaker 5: Jake Browning, By the way, I don't know if you
Speaker 5: guys knew this. He's from fulsom California, the places Johnny
Speaker 5: Cash shang about.
Speaker 3: Yeah, fulsome pritisan prison blues.
Speaker 5: And if your fantasy roster is in quarterback prison this
Speaker 5: week because of the bye week, I do think Jake
Speaker 5: Browning might be started. Bull Why I'm giving him a
Speaker 5: sea He was quarterback eighteen in Fantasy last week and
Speaker 5: this is a decent matchup. The Jake Wars have allowed
Speaker 5: the eighth highest passer rating since week seven, Jamar Chase,
Speaker 5: I'm gonna give him a B wide receiver thirty three
Speaker 5: last week in Fantasy with Browning. Obviously, there's a clear
Speaker 5: loss of value with Joe Burrow down, but this is
Speaker 5: a decent matchup as.
Speaker 2: Well for Chase.
Speaker 5: Jayguiers have allowed the eighth highest points per reception per
Speaker 5: I'm sorry per target since week seven. T Higgins, I
Speaker 5: think you got to keep him on the bench. He
Speaker 5: missed practiced last week or missed last week with the hamstring,
Speaker 5: hasn't been practicing this week.
Speaker 2: I don't think he's playing.
Speaker 5: Yeah, I don't think he's playing either. Even if he doesn't,
Speaker 5: I would still keep Tyler Boyd on your bench. And
Speaker 5: obviously the Bengals tight ends as well, just not going
Speaker 5: to be the volume there. Joe Mixon, I'm giving him
Speaker 5: a be only running back twenty two in Fantasy this year,
Speaker 5: averaging eighteen touches for seventy eight total yards per game,
Speaker 5: but he does rank number one in opportunity share, and
Speaker 5: he has the opportunity for a strong showing here against
Speaker 5: the Jaguars run defense that has allowed the fourth highest
Speaker 5: explosive run rate in the league since Week seven. The
Speaker 5: Jaguars also contextually stink against gap runs. That is a
Speaker 5: Cincinnati Bengals staple as far as their offensive scheme goes.
Speaker 5: Moving over to the Jaguars, I think Fish was talking
Speaker 5: about this earlier, but both you guys were about how
Speaker 5: well Trevor Lawrence had been playing. I'm gonna give him
Speaker 5: an a even though only quarterback seventeen in Fantasy over
Speaker 5: the course of the season, but the last two weeks
Speaker 5: quarterback one, quarterback six in Fantasy. He's top eleven in
Speaker 5: the league in yards per attempt and highly accurate throw rate.
Speaker 5: This is also a strong matchup for him. The Bengals
Speaker 5: have allowed the highest yards per attempt since the middle
Speaker 5: of the season. Calvin Ridley, I'm also giving him an
Speaker 5: a wide receiver twenty two in Fantasy over the course
Speaker 5: of the season, but again, just like Lawrence, last two weeks,
Speaker 5: he's been great. Ridley wide receiver one wide receiver eleven
Speaker 5: in Fantasy those two games. He also, I was talking
Speaker 5: about this with Fish before the show, seems to play
Speaker 5: better when Jay Jones is on the field. Jay Jones
Speaker 5: obviously back. The five games where Calvin Ridley's played with
Speaker 5: Zay this year, average line of six catches for eighty
Speaker 5: nine yards and a touchdown on more than eight targets
Speaker 5: per game. In the six games where Zay Jones has
Speaker 5: not played, Ridley's average line is three catches for thirty
Speaker 5: six yards, no touchdowns on only five plus targets.
Speaker 4: Yeah.
Speaker 1: I don't get that because it means a Jones barely
Speaker 1: impacts the game.
Speaker 4: Yeah.
Speaker 5: Our buddy Matt Harmon did a breakdown on this where
Speaker 5: he was talking about how it's difficult to press Ridley
Speaker 5: when Jay Jones is on the field. I guess that's
Speaker 5: what's opening them up. Okay, at least it shows in
Speaker 5: the numbers we'll see. But you know, Zay back here,
Speaker 5: this is also a good matchup. Even outside of that,
Speaker 5: Ridley feasts against single high coverage. Bengals are an extremely
Speaker 5: single high, heavy coverage scheme. So I like Ridley a
Speaker 5: lot this week. Christian Kirk, I'm only going to give
Speaker 5: him a C. He is wide receiver twenty four in Fantasy,
Speaker 5: so we've been around where Ridley's been Any's thirty second
Speaker 5: in deep targets. But I think the usage is going
Speaker 5: towards Ridley this week. Is part of the reason why
Speaker 5: I knock Kirk down to a sea. The Bengals have
Speaker 5: allowed the third most PPR targets to Slot since Week.
Speaker 2: Seven, so maybe I'm a little bit low on him.
Speaker 5: But I skew it towards the Sea as opposed to
Speaker 5: the b You're gonna keep Say Jones on the bench.
Speaker 5: His biggest Fantasy utility this week might be opening.
Speaker 2: Up Ridley for us again. Yeah, Evan Ingram, I'm gonna
Speaker 2: give him an a what tight end.
Speaker 1: Skioas no touchdowns on the season, Are you calling a touchdown?
Speaker 3: Right here?
Speaker 2: I am calling a touchdown? Okay, right here?
Speaker 4: All right?
Speaker 5: Tight end seven and Fantasy this year number four in
Speaker 5: deep targets for Evan Ingram and this is an awesome matchup.
Speaker 5: The Bengals have allowed the second most fantasy points per
Speaker 5: game and the second most receiving yards per game to
Speaker 5: opposing tight ends this year.
Speaker 2: Last two guys Travis.
Speaker 5: Etm were given a be Fantasy RB five, but he
Speaker 5: has seen the snaps come down since Week ten in
Speaker 5: those games, averaging seventeen touches sixty three total yards per game.
Speaker 5: But since Week seven, the Bengals have allowed the ninth
Speaker 5: highest explosive run rate and the fourth highest miss tackles
Speaker 5: per attempt. So maybe ETN could get back going here,
Speaker 5: dearness Johnson, I got to shout him out.
Speaker 2: Of course.
Speaker 5: Fish talked about him earlier in the show as has
Speaker 5: take a chance on me running back.
Speaker 2: I also think there's some value there potentially.
Speaker 3: Yeah, all right, so you've got to see grade on him.
Speaker 3: I would assume yes, Scott's taking Ernest goes to since
Speaker 3: the Ernest goes to Cincinnati. All right, thank you for
Speaker 3: listening to Fantasy Football Weekly. Everybody.
Speaker 1: Next week, it's the last week before the playoffs. Oh boy,
Speaker 1: So next week's going to be a real grinder as
Speaker 1: you try to find your way into the playoffs.
Speaker 3: If you're not already there, we'll talk to you then, everybody.
Speaker 3: Best of luck by on.
Speaker 1: Fantasy Football Weekly is a production of iHeartRadio. For more
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